Duke @ Ohio State 9:30 PM ET

Game# 637-638

Play On: Ohio State +2.5 (10*)

Duke is coming off a huge win over then #1 Gonzaga which catapulted them to the top spot in the latest AP Poll. Now thy find themselves as a short favorite on the road against an unranked Ohio State team that’s already suffered 2 losses this season. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the top ranked Duke Blue Devils. I am declining that invitation. Bet Ohio State plus the small number for a Top Play wager.

Florida State @ Purdue 7:30 PM ET

Game# 615-616

Play On: Purdue -11.0 (5*)

This line jumped right off the page at me. It’s been a long while since I can recollect a Leonard Hamilton coached Florida State team being this sizable of an underdog. After careful examination, I can fully understand why. The only game Florida State played versus a ranked team this season they were soundly beaten by 16 at #14 Florida. Furthermore, the Seminoles escaped with a 1-point win over Boston University in their previous outing an in a game they closed as a 17.0-point home favorite.

Purdue is the real deal. The Boilermakers are an experienced team that’s 6-0 to start the season, covered 5 of those 6 contests, and have shot 50% or better in all those contests. Their lone non-cover came in a 92-67 win over Indiana State as an enormous 26.0-point home favorite. Purdue has also made an outstanding 43.5% of their 3-point shots and 76.1% of its free throw attempts. Additionally, the Boilermakers have been dominant on the boards with an off the charts +17 rebound per game advantage. Bet Purdue minus the points.

Washington vs. South Dakota State 9:30 PM ET

Game# 613-614

Play On: South Dakota State -6.0 (10*)

This line opened at 7.5 and is now down to 6.0. I’m of the opinion that public and not sharp money was the cause of the line move. After all, we have a poer conference team as an underdog versus an opponent from the Summit. Washington is coming off yesterday’s 77-74 upset win over George Mason in a game thy closed as a 4.5-point underdog. It was by far the Huskies best offensive performance of the year while shooting 48% and considering they shot 40% or worse in each of their first 4 contests. Washington is 3-2 and suffered resume killing home losses to Northern Illinois as a 20.0-point favorite and Wyoming.

South Dakota State is a terrific mid-major team. I was on them yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite when they blew out Nevada 102-75. The Jackrabbits are 5-1 straight up and 4-1 ATS in lined games. They’ve been superb offensively to start the season which is evidenced by them averaging 90.7 points scored per game while shooting an impressive 51.4% and a spectacular 44.1% from 3-point territory. The Jackrabbits only defeat came at #10 Alabama 104-88. Despite that loss, they still shot a stellar 48.6%. This is considered a neutral site game despite being played Sioux Falls, South Dakota as part of the Crossover Classic Tournament. Bet South Dakota State minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Santa Clara vs. TCU 10:30 PM ET

Game# 805-806

Play On: Santa Clara +3.5 (5*)

Both teams are undefeated with Santa Clara 4-0 and TCU 3-0. Nonetheless, Santa Clara is the better money makes at 3-0-1 ATS versus 1-2 ATS for TCU. As a matter of fact, Santa Clara has covered their last 3 while winning by an average of 22.7 points per game. Santa Clara has some eye-opening wins by 16 over Stanford and 22 over Nevada. Santa Clara has an excellent 20/10 assist to turnover margin thus far while TCU is an uninspiring 15/16. Since the start of last season, TCU is a dismal 3-11 ATS versus teams that average 14 turnovers or fewer per contest and they were outscored by an average of 10.2 points per game. Bet Santa Clara plus the points.

Nevada vs. South Dakota State

Game# 777-778

Play On: South Dakota State -2.5 (5*)

South Dakota State is 4-1 and all their wins have come by 12 points or more. The Jackrabbits only loss came at #14 Alabama 104-88. This is an explosive offensive team from South Dakota State that averages 88.4 points scored per game, shoots 50.2% from the field, and that includes an extremely impressive 42.2% from 3-point land. Conversely, Nevada has allowed 80.0 points per game and their opponents have shot 47.5% from the field. Bet South Dakota State minus the points.

Hofstra @ Richmond 7:00 ET

Game# 779-780

Play On: Hofstra +9.5 (5*)

Hofstra is 1-3 to start the season but covered 3 of those 4 contests.  They turned in strong performances in losses by 2 at #20 Maryland and by 8 in overtime at #15 Houston. Richmond is off to a disappointing 2-2 start and is coming off a 73-70 loss at Drake. Bet Hofstra plus the points.

Texas-Arlington @ San Diego State 10:00 PM ET

Game# 651-652

Play On: San Diego State -19.5 (5*)

Texas-Arlington has gone 0-3 SU&ATS versus Division 1 opponents and lost by a massive 26.7 points per game. During those defeats they averaged a mere 50.3 points scored and committed 23.7 turnovers per game.

San Diego State is 2-1 but has played a much tougher slate than Arlington. The Aztecs last 2 games as a 6-point loss at BYU and 2-point home win versus Arizona State. The Aztecs once again lives up to their annual tradition of being a stout defensive team. They’re allowing just 60.7 points per game and holding opponents to 38.3% shooting which includes 23.5% from 3-point territory. Bet San Diego State minus the points.

Arizona vs. Wichita State 10:00 PM ET

Game# 887-888

Play On: Arizona -9.0 (5*)

Although these teams enter this Roman main Event Tournament in Las Vegas with identical 3-0 records, my personal eye test tells me that Arizona is much the better side in this matchup. Wichita State has failed to cover in 2 of their first 3. They escaped with narrow wins at home versus Jacksonville State by 3 and South Alabama by 6. The Shockers have struggled so offensively while averaging just 63.0 points scored per game and shot a poor 39.1% while doing so.

Arizona is 3-0 SU&ATS thus far with an average victory margin of 45.0 points per game. They held those 3 opponent to just 49.0 points scored per game and an extremely impressive 27.6% shooting. Furthermore, the Wildcats averaged 94.0 points scored per game while shooting 50.3%, and 39.5% from beyond the 3-point line. Even with that great shooting, Arizona still managed to average an impressive 13 offensive rebounds per contest. Bet Arizona minus the points.

Ohio @ Kentucky 7:00 PM ET

Game# 827-838

Play On: Ohio +12.0 (10*)

Kentucky is unequivocally the more talented in athletic team in this matchup. However, Ohio is an experienced and battle tested team. The Bobcats are the defending MAC Tournament champions and upset Virginia in the 1st Round of the 2021 NCAA Tournament as a #13 seed. Ohio has begun this season by going 3-0 SU&ATS. The Bobcats are averaging 12 three-point makes per game while converting on a solid 38.3% of those long-distance attempts. Look for that ability to knock down 3-point shots as a key contributing factor to us covering this game.  Bet Ohio plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Rutgers @ DePaul 8:30 PM ET

Game# 731-732

Play On: DePaul +3.5 (5*)

Rutgers is 3-0 but failed to cover in any of those contests versus Merrimack, NJIT, and Lehigh. Not exactly the blue bloods of college basketball. Conversely has started the season 2-0 SU&ATS with win over Coppin State and Central Michigan. However, they won those contests by an average of 29.0 points per game and they scored 98.0 points per contest. Additionally, DePaul dominated the boards in those 2 wins at +24.0 per game. Bet DePaul plus the points.

Northern Illinois @ Missouri 8:00 PM ET

Game# 725-726

Play On: Northern Illinois +14.5 (5*)

Missouri is coming off an 80-66 home loss to UMKC in a game they closed as an 11.0-point favorite. Northern Illinois opened the season with a shocking 71-64 win at Washington and as a 20.0-point underdog. They were handed a dose of reality in their last game at Indiana which resulted in an 80-46 loss. Despite that defeat, Northern Illinois made an impressive 41.2% of their 3-point shot attempts and averaged 26 free throw attempts per game. The great equalizers for college basketball underdogs is their ability to shoot well from 3-point lead and getting to the free throw line in abundance. Bet Northern Illinois plus the points.

Ole Miss vs. Marquette 7:00 PM ET

Game# 759-760

Play On: Ole Miss -3.0 (5*)

This game is part of the Charleston Classic and more importantly on a neutral floor. Ole Miss has opened the season with home wins over Charleston Southern 93-61 and New Orleans 82-61. On the other hand, Marquette’s last 2 games resulted in home wins over Illinois 67-66 and New Hampshire 75-70. Ole Miss is the more experienced and better team in this matchup.

Any favorite coming off 2 home win that each came by 10 points or more, versus an opponent coming off 2 home wins by 5 points or fewer, resulted in those favorites going 44-12 ATS (78.6%) since 1997. Bet Ole Miss minus the points.

Oklahoma vs. East Carolina 7:00 PM ET

Game# 751-752

Play On: Over 137.5 (10*)

Both teams in this matchup can score with regularity and like to play at an up-tempo pace. During their first 2 contests, Oklahoma averaged 86.5 points scored per game, shot 57.3%, and made 40.0% of its 3-point attempts. Despite shooting at such a high percentage, the Sooners still averaged a robust 62 field goal attempts per contest. Through East Carolina’s first 3 games they averaged 82.7 points scored and 67 field goal attempts per outing. This one has all the earmarks of an entertaining up and down high scoring game. Bet over the total for a Top Play wager.

Toledo @ Oakland 7:00 PM ET

Game# 667-668

Play On: Oakland -2.0 (5*)

Toledo has started the season with a pair of 8-point wins over Valparaiso and Detroit. Although Oakland is 1-1, they have a more impressive resume. They played each of their first 2 games on the road and performed remarkably well with all considered. They opened the season with a 7-point loss at West Virginia but easily covered as a 17.5-point underdog. It was one of the rare occasions in the Bob Huggins era that West Virginia was outrebounded, and in this case by a considerable margin of 48-33. They followed that up with a huge upset 56-55 win at Oklahoma State and did so as a sizable 17.5-point underdog. Oakland didn’t shoot the ball well in either game but made up for it with a combined 26 offensive rebounds which created numerous multiple possession opportunities. Oakland will also be playing with big time revenge after losing by 27 to Toledo last season. Bet Oakland over Toledo.

BYU @ Oregon 10:00 PM ET

Game# 647-648

Play On: BYU +4.5 (5*)

#12 Oregon is only a 4.0-point home favorite against BYU? That means, if the game was being played at BYU, then the unranked Cougars would be a 1.5 to 2.5-point favorite. Like I’ve said time and time again, I unequivocally trust the oddsmakers extensively more than those voting in national polls. The sportsbooks are begging you to bet the home favorite in this one. Well, I’m not taking the bait. Bet BYU plus the points.

Hofstra @ Iona 7:00 ET

Game# 615-616

Play On: Hofstra +6.5 (5*)

Iona has opened the season with 2 home wins which have come over Appalachian State and Harvard. In their 90-87 win over Harvard, Iona allowed the visitors to shoot an alarmingly high 52.8% but were bailed out by 24 turnovers committed by the Crimson. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Iona is a dismal 1-6 SU following 2 consecutive home games.

Hofstra shot a blistering 58% in their previous game which resulted in a 73-63 win at Duquesne. That win improved their season record to 1-1. Hofstra’s loss came at Houston by 8 in overtime and they easily covered that game as an 18.5-point underdog against a Final Four team from a season ago. Furthermore, since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Hofstra has gone an extremely profitable 19-6 ATS (76%) following a SU win. Bet Hofstra plus the points.

Sacred Heart @ Providence 6:30 PM ET

Game# 1227-1228

Play On: Sacred Heart +15.5 (5*)

Providence is coming off an uninspiring 80-73 win over Fairfield in their season opener. The Friars were a 14.5-point home favorite, and at no time were they ever covering this contest with their largest lead being 12 points. Providence had a parade to the free throw line evidenced by an enormous 36 attempts but made good on only 66.7% of those opportunities. The Friars were a dismal 4-22 from beyond the 3-point line. Under current head coach Ed Cooley and since 2019, Providence has gone a poor 4-14 ATS in non-conference game.

Sacred Heart is coming off an 86-81 overtime win at Lasalle in their season and did so as a 7.5-point underdog. That was a huge confidence building win and especially considering they over a 5-point deficit with just 0:05 left in regulation time and were behind 52-38 with 10:49 left to play. Bet Sacred Hear plus the points.

Kansas vs. Michigan State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 625-626

Play On: Kansas -4.0 (5*)

Michigan State has gone 4-4 SU and 1-7 ATS in their first 9 games of the season over the past 2 years when playing away from home. The Spartans are coming off a disappointing 15-13 season and went a bankroll depleting 8-20 ATS in those contests. That includes the Spartans going 1-6 SU&ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 6.0 or less.

This is an experienced Kansas club that returns 4 starters from a team that went 21-9 last season and advanced to the 2nd Round of the NCAA Tournament.The preseason power ratings that I trust indicates should be a 7.5-point favorite on a neutral floor versus Michigan State. It’s very seldom there’s that much disparity between my power numbers compared to the actual point-spread unless a key injury or pertinent miscellaneous factors are failed to be accounted for. Neither comes in to play for this Tuesday night premium matchup at Madison Square Garden in New York. Bet Kansas minus the points.

Baylor vs. Gonzaga 9:20 PM ET

Game# 811-812

Play On: Gonzaga -4.0 (10*)

College Basketball fans have been waiting for this matchup to take place all season and appropriately it occurs in the National Championship game. I cashed in easily with Baylor as a 10* Top Play on Saturday in their blowout win over Houston. I really like this Bears team, but Gonzaga can beat you in a vast assortment of ways. The Bulldogs are coming off their thrilling overtime win against a game and resilient UCLA team. It was the first time in 28 games that Gonzaga had not won a game by 10 points or more. The Bulldogs will be inspired by seeking their first ever national championship and after coming up short in the title game versus North Carolina in 2017. Additionally, Gonzaga will look to be the first team to finish undefeated and win a national championship since Indiana accomplished the feat in 1976. The Bulldogs had their scare against UCLA and now they’ll get back to their dominant self tonight. Bet on Gonzaga minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Houston vs. Baylor 5:15 PM ET

Game# 801-802

Play On: Baylor -5.0 (10*)

Houston is the first team in NCAA Tournament history that has won 4 straight games against double-digit seeds. However, they were lucky to escape with a 3-point win over Rutgers and nearly squandered a 17-point halftime lead before winning by 6 versus #12 seed Oregon State in their previous game. On both occasions they failed to cover.

Conversely, Baylor is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 with wins coming over the likes of #8 seed Wisconsin, #5 seed Villanova, and #3 seed Arkansas and the average margin of victory was 11.0 points per game. They covered each of those 3 contests as a favorite and averaged just 6.2 turnovers committed per game. Furthermore, Baylor is #1 nationally in 3-point shooting at 41.1% and #3 in offensive efficiency by scoring 123.0 points per every 100 possessions this season. Not only has the top seeded Bears had a tougher slate than Houston during the “Big Dance”, they also played in a significantly stronger Big 12 Conference than the American Athletic where Houston competes. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

UCLA vs. Michigan 9:55 PM ET

Game# 659-660

Play On: Michigan -6.5 (10*)

#1 seed Michigan (23-4/.852) takes on #11 seed UCLA (21-9/.700) in Tuesday’s NCAA Tournament East Regional Final. The Wolverines are coming off a 76-58 win over Florida State while covering with ease as a 2.0-point favorite. UCLA is coming off an overtime win over Alabama and did so as a 6.0-point underdog.

Since the 1990 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed that’s a favorite of 10.0 or less who possesses a win percentage of .851 to .944, and is playing after Round 1, and they covered their previous game by 4.5-points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .771 or less and they are coming off an upset win, resulted in those top seeds going 12-0 ATS. The average line in those 12 contests was 8.8 and those #1 seeds won by a substantial average of 19.8 points per game. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

USC vs. Gonzaga 7:15 PM ET

Game# 657-658

Play On: USC +8.5 (5*)

Besides Baylor, I believe that USC is the only other remaining team capable of giving Gonzaga a competitive game. The Trojans are excellent defensively. During their 3 NCAA Tournament wins over Drake, Kansas, and Oregon, USC held those opponents 58.3 points scored per game and a combined 32.1% shooting. Furthermore, they have also averaged 83.0 points scored per game in the Big Dance and shot a sizzling hot 54.8% from the floor. I am not going to sit here and attempt poking holes in Gonzaga’s game. Quite frankly the Bulldogs have very few if any weaknesses to expose. Nevertheless, it’s all about beating the number and that’s my only concern. I am not going to go out on a limb and predict an outright upset. However, in my eyes there’s ample betting value on the sizable underdog USC. Bet on USC plus the points for a 5* wager.

Arkansas vs. Baylor 9:57 PM ET

Game# 653-654

Play On: Baylor -7.5 (10*)

Baylor is coming off a 62-51 win over Villanova and covered as a 7.5-point favorite. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Baylor has gone an extremely profitable 12-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed 55 points or fewer and they outscored their opponents by an average of 16.1 points per game. Furthermore, Arkansas averages a robust 65 field goal attempts per game this season which translates to playing at a lightning-fast tempo. However, Baylor is 9-1 ATS during the past 3 seasons versus opponents averaging 62 or more field goal attempts per game and outscored those team by a decisive margin of 20.0 points per contest. Simply put, attempting to play up tempo basketball plays right into the Bears hands.

Arkansas barely escaped with a 72-70 win over #15 seed Oral Roberts in their previous game while failing to cover as an 11.0-point favorite. Any NCAA Tournament favorite of 9.0 or less that’s playing after Round 1, and they’re coming off an ATS cover as a favorite, versus an opponent (Arkansas) coming off game in which they failed to cover as a favorite, and that opponent has a win percentage of .687 or better, resulted in those favorites going 7-0 ATS since 2012. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests was 17.7 points per game. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Oregon State vs. Houston 7:15 PM ET

Game# 655-656

Play On: Oregon State +8.0 (5*)

When it comes to NCAA Tournament betting, it’s not just about who has the better record, higher ranking, or lower seed. It’s often about who is playing their best basketball at the right time. I think it’s safe to say that this recent surge by Oregon State is no longer a fluke. The Beavers have gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 and 9-1 SU&ATS during its previous 10 games played. Additionally, Oregon State is 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 not played on their home floor and they were an underdog on 8 of those occasions. During their 3 NCAA Tournament wins, Oregon State has allowed a mere 61.3 points per game, held opponents to an eye-popping 31.3% shooting, and had a +9 per game rebounding advantage. By the way, Houston’s last 2 wins have come over Rutgers and Syracuse, the Cougars shot just 37.2% and scored only 62.5 points per contest. Bet on Oregon State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Oregon vs. USC 9:45 PM ET

Game# 643-644

Play On: USC -2.0 (5*)

Oregon has gone 12-2 during their last 14 games. Nonetheless, since the start of last season, they have gone 0-5 straight up after winning 12 or more of their last 15 games and were beaten by 11.2 points per contest. The Ducks have shot the ball extremely well of late. However, they have also allowed their previous 5 opponents to shoot an alarmingly high 49.0%.

Saying that USC has been stout defensively during the first 2 rounds of this NCAA Tournament is surely a vast understatement. The Trojans held Drake and Kansas to 53.5 points per game and a combined 29.2% shooting. Conversely, throughout their previous 4 contests, USC averaged 79.5 points scored per game while shooting a scalding hot 51.8%. The Trojans have also made an impressive 40.7% of its 3-point shot attempts over their previous 5 outings. Bet on USC for a 5* wager.

UCLA @ Alabama 7:15 PM ET

Game# 645-646

Play On: Alabama -6.5 (10*)

History isn’t on the side of UCLA in this contest. Since the NCAA Tournament Play-In Round was established in 2015, no team has advanced from that round to a Regional Final. As a matter of fact, the only other team to even reach the Sweet 16 was Syracuse in 2018. The Bruins have been beneficiaries of a favorable draw in their NCAA Tournament wins while defeating #11 seed Michigan State, #6 seed BYU, and #14 seed Abilene Christian. They will be facing a whole other level of competition on Sunday when they square off against #2 seed Alabama.

Alabama enters this Sweet 16 contest having won their last 8 and 22 of its previous 25 games. The Crimson Tide had a combined +37 rebounding advantage in the first 2 rounds versus Iona and Maryland. Alabama has the lethal combination of being a good 3-point shooting team and they defend the 3-point line extremely well (28.9%). The Crimson Tide has allowed their last 5 opponents to average a mere 11 free throw attempts per game.

Alabama enters this contest with a season record of 26-6 (.813). The Crimson Tide is coming off an impressive 96-77 win over Maryland in a game they easily covered as a 6.0-point favorite. They will be facing a UCLA team with a season record of 20-9 (.690). The combination of this data sets up an NCAA Tournament betting angle which has remained perfect since 2002 and is shown below.

Any Sweet 16 favorite of 3.5 or more that’s a #2 seed (Alabama), and they possess a win percentage of .806 to .870, and they’re coming off an ATS win as a favorite in which they scored 68 points or greater, versus an opponent (UCLA) with a win percentage of .685 or better, resulted in those #2 seeds going 12-0 ATS since 1992. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests came by 13.5 points per game. Bet on Alabama minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Florida State vs. Michigan 5:00 PM ET

Game# 627-628

Play On: Florida State +2.5 (5*)

This the game that the loss of 6’7 senior forward Isaiah Livers (13.7 PPG/6.1 RPG) catches up with Michigan. Livers went out with a foot injury during the Big Ten Conference Tournament win over Maryland and has been ruled out for the season. Without Livers, Michigan is 2-1 and one of those wins came over #16 seed Texas Southern in a game the Wolverines failed to cover by a sizable 12.5-points. They were able to get by LSU 86-78 in 2nd round action. However, LSU is far from being considered a strong defensive team.

Florida State presents a whole different challenge for Michigan and will matchup very well against Sunday’s higher seeded opponent. During the first 2 rounds of the “Big Dance” Florida State all 53.5 points per game and held their opponents to a combined 39-116 (33.6%) shooting. Additionally, throughout their previous 3 games, the Seminoles shot a sizzling hot 53.5%. This will be just a 3rd time all season that Florida State will have been an underdog which should serve as extra motivation. The Seminoles will be facing a Michigan team which has held their opponents to only 39.3% shooting this season. Florida State is 7-1 straight up this season when facing teams who hold their opponents to 42% or worse shooting. Bet on Florida State for a 5* wager.

Creighton vs. Gonzaga 2:10 PM ET

Game# 641-642

Play On: Gonzaga -13.0 (5*)

Even for a #1 seed, this is a rare heavy number for them to cover from Round 3 and beyond. Nevertheless, those top seeds have been quite successful in doing so when cast into in this exact betting situation. Gonzaga is coming off wins over Norfolk State 98-55 and Oklahoma 87-71 during in the first 2 rounds while covering both contests as double-digit favorites.

Creighton will be able to hang with Gonzaga early on before the #1 and undefeated Bulldogs will eventually pull away for the double-digit cover. Moreover, this will be the first ever Sweet 16 appearance for the Creighton men’s basketball program and the challenge will ultimately be too overwhelming considering the quality of opponent they’ll be up against.

Since the 1990 tournament and after 2nd round action, #1 seeds that are favorite by 12.5 points or more and coming off a win by 13 points or more, versus an opponent (Creighton) with a win percentage of .733 or better, resulted in those #1 seeds going 6-0 ATS. The average point-spread in those 6 contests was 13.5 and the average margin of victory came by a dominating 25.4 points per game. Bet on Gonzaga minus the points for a 5* wager.

Syracuse vs. Houston 9:55 PM ET

Game# 647-648

Play On: Syracuse +6.5 (5*)

The #2 seed Houston Cougars narrowly escaped with a 63-60 win over Rutgers to reach the Sweet 16. They failed to cover as a 7.0-point favorite and at no time throughout the game were they doing so. Houston is a terrific team that will enter Saturday night’s contest on a 9-game win streak. However, they have not faced nearly as difficult a schedule as Syracuse. Saturday will be just their 2nd Sweet 16 appearance since the “Phi Slama Jama” teams led by Hakeem Olajuwon Clyde Drexler played in 3 consecutive “Final Four” appearances.

Jim Boeheim has spent 40 plus years as head coach at Syracuse. Along the way his teams have enjoyed a high degree of success during NCAA Tournament action and especially when cast into the role of an underdog. Since the 1996 his Orange have gone 35-16 (.686) straight up and 30-21 (58.8%) ATS. Furthermore, since the 2003 “Big Dance”, Syracuse has gone 7-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 3.0 to 9.5-points. Basically speaking, Boeheim has his teams playing their best basketball in March. This year is no different as Syracuse upset both #6 seed San Diego State and #3 seed West Virginia during the first 2 rounds. Additionally, since the 2016 NCAA Tournament, Syracuse is 9-2 straight up and 10-1 ATS as either a #10 or #11 seed. Additionally, Syracuse has gone 5-1 straight up and 6-0 ATS over their last 6 games. Their only setback during that time was when Virginia hit a buzzer beating 3-point shot against them in the ACC Quarterfinals, but they still were inside the number as a 5.5-point underdog. The Orange also held 5 of those 6 opponents to less than 40% shooting while converting 51.9% or more of its field goal attempts 3 times. Bet on Syracuse plus the points for a 5* wager.

Villanova vs. Baylor 5:15 PM ET

Game# 621-622

Play On: Baylor -7.0 (10*)

Villanova entered the NCAA Tournament having lost 3 of their last 4 games. That funk coincided with them losing senior starting point guard Conor Gillaspie to a season ending knee injury during a 73-61 loss at Butler on 2/28. The Wildcats also had favorable matchups in the first 2 rounds against #12 seed Winthrop and #13 seed North Texas.

Villanova will be facing a much different animal on Saturday in #1 seed Baylor (24-2). The Bears began the season 18-0 before COVID protocols shut them down for 23 days. When returning they were unimpressive in their first 2 games before gradually returning to form. Anything short of a national championship with this loaded roster would be considered a failure in Waco. This team seems to be more than capable of living up to those expectations and Saturday will be a statement game for them in that regard.

Since the 1993 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed playing in a “Sweet 16” game that’s favorite of 3.5 to 9.5, coming off a favorite ATS cover, and they’re facing a #5 seed or higher with a win percentage of .687 or better, and that underdog is coming off ATS covers in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those #1 seeds going 10-0 SU&ATS. The average victory margin in those 10 contests was by a decisive 14.9 points per game. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Tech 10:00 PM

Game# 617-618

Play On: Western Kentucky +1.0 (5*)

This is a game that will be played between teams from Conference USA. Western Kentucky will look to avenge a 63-58 loss to Louisiana Tech on 1/9. However, they did defeat the Bulldogs the day before 66-64.  Since joining Conference USA in 2015, Western Kentucky has never lost 2 games to Louisiana Tech. This is the same Western Kentucky team that pulled off a huge upset at #5 Alabama earlier this season. They also gave #11 West Virginia all they can handle before falling by 6 points on a neutral court. Conversely, he only game that Louisiana Tech stepped up in class this season they failed miserably during a 31-point loss at LSU.

Western Kentucky is coming off a NIT 1st round 69-67 win over St. Mary’s and did so as a 2.0-point underdog. Louisiana Tech enters this contest with a 22-7 (.759) season record. This sets up an unbeaten NIT betting angle which is displayed below.

Any NIT team with a point-spread of 0.0 to 2.5 that’s playing a game in round 2 or beyond and is coming off a straight up underdog win by 9 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Louisiana Tech) with a win percentage of .700 or better, resulted in those teams going 7-0 SU&ATS since 2001. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests came by 7.3 points per game. Bet on Western Kentucky for a 5* wager.

Maryland vs. Alabama 8:45 PM ET

Game# 831-832

Play On: Alabama -5.5 (10*)

Alabama is coming off a 68-55 win over Iona on Saturday but failed to cover as a 16.5-point favorite. Maryland was a 63-54 winner on Saturday over Connecticut and did so as a 2.5-point underdog. This sets up an NCAA Tournament against-the-spread betting angle that has remained unbeaten since 1990 and is displayed below.

Any NCAA Tournament 2nd Round favorite of 15.0-points (Alabama) or less that’s coming off a double-digit win but failed to cover as a favorite of 15.0-points or greater, versus an opponent (Maryland) off a straight up underdog win by 5-points or more, resulted in those favorites going 18-0 ATS since 1990. Those 15 favorites won by a decisive margin of 17.9 points per game. Bet on Alabama minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Colorado vs. Florida State 7:45 PM ET

Game# 827-828

Play On: Colorado +2.0 (5*)

Colorado is coming off a 1st round 96-73 win over Georgetown while easily covering as a 5.5-point favorite. That win improved the Buffaloes season record to 23-8 (.742). Teams like Colorado coming off such a performance are unbeaten in 2nd round action over the past 32 NCAA Tournaments. The specific details are displayed below.

Any NCAA Tournament team playing in the 2nd round that’s coming off a favorite ATS win in which they covered by 21.0 points or less while winning straight up by 22 points or more, they scored 94 points or greater in that 1st round victory, and possesses a win percentage of .696 or better, resulted in those teams going a perfect 35-0 straight up since 1990. This straight up betting angle takes on added significance when considering the current point-spread. Bet on Colorado for a 5* wager.

LSU vs. Michigan 7:10 PM ET

Game# 825-826

Play On: Michigan -4.5 (5*)

Michigan is coming off a 1st round 82-66 win over Texas Southern but failed to cover as a 28.5-point favorite. The Wolverines will be taking on #9 seed LSU.

Any NCAA Tournament round 2 team with a point-spread of 6.5 or less that’s coming off a win in which they failed to cover by 6.5 to 18.0-points, and they won straight up by 8 to 17 points while scoring 70 points or more in that 1st round contest, versus an opponent which is a #9 seed or lower, resulted in those teams going 18-1 SU&ATS since 1990. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 5* wager.

Abilene Christian vs. UCLA 5:15 PM ET

Game# 829-830

Play On: UCLA -4.5 (5*)

The #11 seed UCLA Bruins have advanced to the 2nd Round by way of wins over Michigan State and BYU. PAC-12 teams have now gone an outstanding 6-0 SU&ATS thus far in the 2021 NCAA Tournament.

The #14 seed Abilene Christian is coming off a shocking upset of Texas on Saturday which accounted for their 5th straight win. They managed to win that contest despite shooting an awful 29.9%. However, they forced 23 Texas turnovers, limited them to just 40 field goal attempts, and had a 36-31 rebounding advantage. They’ll have an extremely difficult time duplicating that defensive effort against a UCLA team that has committed just a combined 12 turnovers in their first 2 NCAA Tournament games while shooting 47.3%.

Any NCAA Tournament favorite of 3.5 to 8.0 (UCLA) versus an opponent who has won 5 or more games in a row, and that opponent (Abilene Christian) is a #13 to #16 seed, resulted in those favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1999. The average victory margin in those 15 contests was 15.2 points per game. Bet on UCLA minus the points for a 5* wager.

Syracuse vs. West Virginia 5:15 PM ET

Game# 813-814

Play On: Syracuse +3.5 (5*)

Syracuse is coming off an impressive 1st round 16-point win over San Diego State in a game they were a 3.0-point underdog. The Orange have now gone 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS during their previous 5 games. Their only straight up loss in that span came in the ACC Tournament quarterfinals to Virginia when the Cavaliers hit a buzzer beating 3-point shot. During that stretch, Syracuse has averaged making 11 three-point shots per game while converting on a stellar 40.1% of those long-distance attempts. The Orange 2-3 zone has been extremely effective during that identical period evidenced by the limiting their 5 opponents to a combined 37.8% shooting.

West Virginia is coming off a 1st round 84-67 win over Morehead State while covering as a substantial 13.0-point favorite. As good as West Virginia has been this season, this isn’t your typical defensively stingy Mountaineers team. As a matter of fact, over their last 5 games the Mountaineers have allowed opponents to score 77.0 points per contest while they shot a combined 49.0%

Any NCAA Tourney Round 2 underdog of 4.5 or less who was an underdog in their 1st round game, versus an opponent coming off a favorite ATS win in which they covered by 4.0-points or greater, resulted in those underdogs going 6-0 ATS since 2002. Those underdogs also won 5 of those 6 games straight up. Bet on Syracuse plus the points for a 5* wager.

Wisconsin vs. Baylor 2:40 PM ET

Game# 801-802

Play On: Baylor -6.0 (10*)

#1 seed Baylor is coming off an 85-62 win over Hartford in Round 1. That win improved their season record to 23-2 (.920). Wisconsin is coming off an 85-62 Round 1 blowout win over North Carolina in a game they closed as a 2.0-point underdog. The Badgers enter this Round 2 matchup with a modest 15-9 (.600) season record. This data leads to a terrific NCAA Tournament betting angle which is displayed below.

Any NCAA Tourney #1 or #2 seed with a win percentage of .920 or less that’s playing in a 2nd round game, and they’re a favorite of 6.0 or greater, versus an opponent coming off a straight up underdog win by 12 points or more in the first round, and they have a win percentage of .812 or less, resulted in those top 2 seeds going 16-1 ATS (94.2%) since 1990. They outscored those 17 lower seeds by a substantial average of 19.8 points per game.

Oklahoma vs. Missouri 7:25 PM ET

Game# 765-766

Play On: Missouri -105 (money line) (10*)

Both teams have struggled down the final stretch of regular season and conference tournament action. Something must give in that regard and I am extremely confident that Missouri is the lesser of 2 evils in this matchup. Oklahoma has gone 2-5 straight up in their last 7 games and failed to cover any of those contests. Furthermore, their only 2 wins during that stretch came over an Iowa State team which finished the season with an abysmal 2-22 record and that includes 0-18 in Big 12 action.

Missouri was eliminated in the SEC Tournament by way of a 6-point loss to #9 Arkansas. However, the Tigers are 3-0 in their last 3 following a loss in their previous game. Bet on Missouri for a 10* Top Play money line wager.

Ohio vs. Virginia 7:15 PM ET

Game# 771-772

Play On: Ohio +7.5 (5*)

Virginia had to exit the NCAA Tournament after a narrow quarterfinal win over Syracuse due to COVID issues. They haven’t been able to practice all week as a result and didn’t arrive in Indiana until Friday. That’s bound to have some kind of negative effect on the Cavaliers performance and it’s just a matter of how much. It’s not like Virginia was playing great leading up to the “Big Dance”. Virginia has gone an uninspiring 3-3 straight up and 1-5 ATS over their previous 6 games which included losses to 2 teams (NC State, Duke) not invited to the NCAA Tournament. Furthermore, they will be facing an Ohio team that’s gone 9-1 SU&ATS over their last 10 games and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS (+10.0 PPG) as an underdog. The Bobcats have scored 83 points or more in 6 of its last 7 and shot 48.6% or better during 7 of their previous 8 games. Bet on Ohio plus the points for a 5* wager.

UCSB vs. Creighton 3:30 PM ET

Game# 767-768

Play On: UCSB +7.5 (5*)

Creighton enters the NCAA Tournament with a 20-8 (.714) record. The #12 seed UCSB is currently 21-4 (.840). This sets up an outstanding betting angle which has covered at a very high rate over the past 31 NCAA Tournaments.

Any NCAA Tournament #12 seed with a win percentage of .764 or better that’s playing in a 1st round game, and there’s a point-spread of 10.0 or less, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .714 or better, resulted in those #12 seeds going an extremely profitable 21-3 (87.5%) since 1990. Those #5 seeds also won 14 of those 24 games straight up. Bet on UCSB plus the points for a 5* wager.

St. Bonaventure vs. LSU 1:45 PM ET

Game# 781-782

Play On: St. Bonaventure +1.5 (5*)

This line jumped right off my computer screen when I first viewed it. We have an LSU team that advanced to the SEC Tournament Final where they lost by 1 to #5 Alabama, and now is barely a favorite versus a mid-major opponent. However, this is a sneaky good St. Bonaventure team who is 16-4 and all 5 of their starters average double-digit scoring. Additionally, the Bonnies are one of the best defensive teams in the nation who have held their opponents to 62 points per game and less than 40% shooting. St. Bonaventure also likes to play at a slow and methodical pace offensively. That potentially can frustrate an LSU team who prefers playing up tempo basketball and will be especially evident if the Tigers need to play from behind in 2nd half action. Bet on St. Bonaventure for a 5* wager.

Winthrop vs. Villanova 9:57 PM ET

Game# 729-730

Play On: Winthrop +6.5 (5*)

If you have been an avid follower of the NCAA Tournament on an annual basis, then you are well aware of the success that #12 seeds have attained when facing #5 seeds in 1st round action. The #12 seed Winthrop enters the “Big Dance” with an excellent 23-1 (.958) record.

Villanova enters the NCAA Tournament sporting a 16-6 record (.727) and a #5 seed. The Wildcats lost their starting senior point guard Connor Gillespie (14.0 PPG/4.6 APG) late in the season and haven’t performed well since that occurred. Villanova lost 3 of their last 4 games while suffering losses to teams (Butler, Providence, Georgetown) who have a combined 36-40 record.

Any NCAA Tournament #12 seed (Winthrop) with a season win percentage of .765 or better, they won their conference tournament, and they are playing against a #5 seed with a win percentage of .714 or better, and there’s a point-spread of 10.0 or less, resulted in those #5 seeds going 21-3 ATS (87.5%) since 1990. They also won 14 of those 24 contests straight up. Bet on Winthrop plus the points for a 5* wager.

North Texas vs. Purdue 7:25 PM ET

Game# 731-732

Play On: Purdue -7.0 (5*)

Purdue is coming off an 87-78 overtime loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals. That defeat dropped their season record to 16-8 (.667). North Texas won 4 games in 4 days to capture the Sun Belt Conference Tournament title. The Mean Green enters the “Big Dance” with a 17-9 (.654) record.

Any NCAA Tournament #4 seed (Purdue) playing in a 1st round game that’s coming off a loss, and is a favorite of 9.5 or less, and they possess a win percentage of .781 or less, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .774 or less, resulted in those #4 seeds going 21-2 ATS (91.3%) since 1996. Bet on Purdue minus the points for a 5* wager.

Oral Roberts vs. Ohio State 3:00 PM ET

Game# 739-740

Play On: Over 156.5 (5*)

Oral Roberts have proven they can put up points versus power conference teams. During games against Wichita State, #11 Oklahoma State, and #10 Arkansas earlier this season they scored 76 points or more on each occasion. All those teams are in the 2021 Tournament and each contest went over the total. There was a combined average of 163.0 points scored per contest. Oral Roberts has averaged 81.8 points scored per game while converting on 38.8% of their 3-point attempts (#11 nationally) and 81.8% of its free throws which is best in the entire country.

Ohio State has been no slouch offensively this season as well. The Buckeyes have averaged 122.3 points scored per 100 possessions this season which is 4th best in the country. Like Oral Roberts, Ohio State is an excellent free throw shooting team at 76.3% which ranks 33rd out of 357 Division 1 teams in that category.

I mentioned both teams excellent free throw shooting for a reason. As a matter of fact, during each of their previous 5 contests, Ohio State allowed opponents to reach the free throw line 25 times per contest, and Oral Roberts did so 24 times per game. The total is this high for good reason. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager.

Drake vs. Wichita State 6:40 PM ET

Game# 713-714

Play On: Drake -105 (Money Line) (10*)

Wichita State was less than impressive during their conference tournament. They barely survived in quarterfinal round with a 1.0-point win over South Florida as an 11.5-point favorite. The following day they were upset by Cincinnati as a 5.5-point chalk. The Bearcats then preceded to get blown out 91-54 by Houston in the American Athletic Association Finals.

Drake (25-4) is coming off a 75-65 loss to #17 Loyola-Chicago in the semifinals of the Missouri Valley Conference tournament. The Bulldogs are 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss in their previous contest. They also defeated Loyola earlier this season. Bet on Drake for a 10* Top Play money line wager.

Toledo vs. Richmond 7:00 PM ET

Game# 705-706

Play On: Toledo -2.5 (5*)

Richmond enters the NIT on a 3-game losing streak and failed to cover on each occasion. One of those defeats occurred as a 15.0-point home favorite against a St. Joseph’s team that finished the season with a terrible 5-15 record. After starting the season 6-1, Richmond was a mediocre 7-7 over their last 14 games. The Spiders are 0-4 SU&ATS in its last 4 games when the point-spread is +4.5 to -4.5.

Toledo is ranked #15 in the nation when it comes to offensive efficiency. As a matter of fact, the Rockets have scored 79 points or more in 8 consecutive games in addition to 76 or great during 17 of its previous 18 contests. Toledo was upset by eventual MAC champion Ohio during the conference tournament semifinals. The Rockets have gone 6-1 straight up this season following a loss. Bet on Toledo for a 5* wager.

Ohio State vs. Illinois 3:30 PM ET

Game# 657-658

Play On: Illinois -5.5 (5*)

This will be the 4th game in as many days for Ohio State. Prior to the start of conference tournament action, the Buckeyes finished their regular season by going 0-4 SU&ATS in their final 4 games. Conversely, Illinois had a 1st round bye in the Big 10 Tournament. The Illinois defeated Rutgers 90-68 and #5 Iowa 82-71 the past 2 days. Illinois is now a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 contests while winning by an average of 16.3 points per game. Additionally, the Illini are 13-1 in their previous 4 games played. Bet on Illinois minus the points for a 5* wager.

Oregon State vs. Colorado 10:30 ET

Game# 631-632

Play On: Colorado -9.0 (5*)

It’s easy to fall in love with a Cinderella in the month of March like Oregon State. The Beavers are coming off upset wins over UCLA and Oregon during their first 2 games of this PAC-12 Tournament. I am here to tell you that their magical run comes to a screeching halt tonight. Oregon State has allowed their last 5 opponents to shoot 48.1% and make 39.1% of their 3-point attempts. Conversely, Colorado has converted on an impressive 40.4% of their 3-point shots and made an excellent 84.7% of their free throws throughout its previous 5 contests. Colorado also swept Oregon State this season by winning 78-49 at home and 61-57 on the road. The Beavers shot a miserable 34.5% from the field in those 2 defeats. Furthermore, Colorado will enter tonight’s conference title riding a 6-game winning streak. Bet on Colorado minus the points for a 5* wager.

Georgia Tech vs. Florida State 8:30 PM ET

Game# 625-626

Play On: Florida State -4.0 (10*)

Florida State will have plenty of motivation after squandering a chance to with the ACC regular season title by being upset at Notre Dame in their final game. The Seminoles will also be out to avenge a 76-65 loss at Georgia Tech the last times these teams squared off. Florida State won their only ACC Conference Tournament championship in 2012. They will be facing a Georgia Tech team on a 7-game win streak. However, the Yellowjackets only need to win 1 game to reach the ACC Finals after Virginia needed to bow out in their scheduled semifinal game due to COVID protocols. This is a textbook case of one team just being happy to be here (Georgia Tech) versus an opponent (Florida) which is very hungry to receive top billing. Bet on Florida State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Ohio vs. Buffalo 7:30 PM ET

Game# 621-622

Play On: Buffalo -2.5 (5*)

This will be Buffalo’s 3rd straight appearance in the MAC Championship Game and they’ll be seeking their 3rd straight conference tournament title. The Bulls are a red-hot 7-0 in their last 10 and 10-1 during its previous 11 games. Buffalo has been a high-powered offense that like to playing at a turbo charged tempo. However, it’s been their defensive play which has really impressed me of late. The Bulls have held their last 5 opponents to 38.7% shooting, 23.6% from 3-point territory, and a mere 11 free throw attempts per game. Buffalo is also an outstanding rebounding team that is +8 per contest in that category this season. Conversely, Ohio has gone a dismal 0-6 SU&ATS during the past 2 seasons when facing an opponent with a +4 or greater rebounding edge per game, and they lost by a decisive margin of 17.5 points per contest. Bet on Buffalo for a 5* wager.

Wisconsin vs. Iowa 8:55 PM ET

Game# 841-842

Play On: Iowa -4.0 (5*)

Wisconsin barely escaped with a 1-point win over Penn State last night. The Badgers led by 18 with 7:24 left to play and were outscored 24-7 the rest of the way. The good news is they advanced to the Big 10 Conference quarterfinals. The bad news for Wisconsin backers, their team is a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 games following a win and were beaten by an average of 10.0 points per contest.

Iowa had a 1st round bye and finished their regular season slate with a 77-73 home win over this same Badgers team. However, the Hawkeyes failed to cover that contest as a 7.5-point favorite after having a comfortable 9-point halftime lead.

Any college basketball postseason favorite of 3.0 to 5.5-points (Iowa) that’s coming off a home win in which they failed to cover, and both teams have a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those favorites going 19-0 ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory in those 19 contests was 11.5 points per game. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 5* wager.

Akron vs. Buffalo 7:30 PM ET

Game# 841-842

Play On: Buffalo -4.0 (5*)

Buffalo is a program that has been quite accustomed to reaching this point of the MAC Tournament in recent years. As a matter of fact, they have won the last 2 MAC Tournaments that have been played while also being crowned in 2015 as well. The Bulls are playing their best basketball of the season at the most opportune time. They have reeled off 6 straight wins and scored 80 points or more in 5 of those contests. Additionally, during their previous 4 games played they held opponents to less than 40% shooting on all those occasions. Lastly, Buffalo lost at Akron earlier this year but got their revenge at home a couple of weeks ago. Buffalo has gone 7-1 in their last 8 games against Akron. Bet on Buffalo minus the small number for a 5* wager.

Missouri vs. Arkansas 7:00 PM ET

Game# 831-832

Play On: Arkansas -5.0 (10*)

Missouri got off to a fast 13-3 start to the season and were ranked in the Top 25 for several weeks. However, since that time the Tigers lost 5 of its next 8 games leading up to today. The Tigers narrowly escaped in a 3-point win over Georgia yesterday. Missouri has gone 0-6 SU&ATS the over the past 2 seasons following a win by 3 points or fewer.

Arkansas comes into this SEC Tournament quarterfinal matchup on a red-hot 8 games winning streak. The Razorbacks are also an extremely profitable 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a favorite of 9.5 or less and they won by 15.3 points per game. Bet on Arkansas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Georgetown vs. Seton Hall 6:00 PM ET

Game# 847-848

Play On: Seton Hall -3.0 (5*)

Georgetown upset Marquette and Villanova in the first 2 rounds of this Big East Tournament. The Hoya have failed to string together 3 straight wins in a row all season long. As a matter of fact, Georgetown has gone 0-3 SU&ATS this season immediately after back-to-back wins. They lost those 3 contests by an average of 14.7 points per game.

Seton Hall comes into this Big East Conference Semifinal with a 13-12 record. Georgetown enters at 11-12 (.478). Any college basketball favorite (Seton Hall) that’s playing in a conference tournament semifinal game, and they posses a winning record, versus an opponent with a season win percentage of .400 to .490, resulted in those favorites going 30-8 ATS (78.9%) over the last 5 seasons. Bet on Seton Hall minus the points for a 5* wager.

South Florida vs. Wichita State 12:00 ET

Game# 819-820

Play On: Wichita State -10.0 (5*)

South Florida won their AAC Tournament opening round game yesterday with a nail biting 73-71 win over Temple. That victory snapped a 4-game losing streak. However, South Florida is an abysmal 0-5 ATS in their last 5 as an underdog of 4.0 or more and lost by a decisive margin of 23.4 points per game. The Bulls are also 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 following a win. Furthermore, South Florida has shot the ball terrible throughout their previous 5 contests. During that time, they shot 35.3% from the field and went a poor 63.4% from the free throw line.

Wichita State enters AAC Tournament action riding a 7-game win streak. That includes a 68-63 upset win over #7 Houston. The Shockers will be facing a South Florida team that has shot a terrible 40.2% from the field this season. Since the start of last season, Wichita State has gone 6-0 SU&ATS versus opponents that have shot 45% or worse on the season. Bet on Wichita State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Penn State vs. Wisconsin 8:55 PM ET

Game# 677-678

Play On: Wisconsin -5.0 (5*)

Penn State enters this game on their first 3-game win streak of the season. However, those 3 wins came over Minnesota, Maryland, and Northwestern who have combined to go a dismal 21-38 (.356) in Big 10 Conference games. Conversely, Wisconsin has gone 1-5 in their last 6 contests and fell out of the AP Top 25 for a first time all season. Nevertheless, it must be noted, those 5 defeats came at the hands of #5 Iowa twice, #4 Michigan, #3 Illinois, and #20 Purdue. Those 4 teams have combined to go 57-19 (.750). So, before you think you’re getting a steal by taking the underdog you should seriously reconsider. Bet on Wisconsin minus the points for a 5* wager.

Nevada vs. Boise State 5:30 PM ET

Game# 743-744

Play On: Boise State -4.0 (5*)

Nevada won the 2 regular season meeting versus Boise State. The Wolfpack went 5-2 in their final 7 regular season games. Conversely enters this Mountain West Conference Tournament game on a 3-game losing skid. Yet, it’s the Broncos who come up favorite. I’m going with a contrarian approach in this one. Bet on Boise State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Duke vs. Louisville 6:30 PM ET

Game# 611-612

Play On: Duke -2.0 (10*)

If there was ever a trap play in this year’s conference tournament action, then this is it. Louisville is the higher seed with a better record and beat Duke twice already this season. Yet, they find themselves as the current underdog in this matchup. Taking the underdog would seem logical right? Not so fast my fellow sports bettors. It’s rarely ever that simple or easy when it comes to sports betting. If it looks to good to be true, then more times than not it is.

Throughout their previous 10 games Duke has averaged 78.9 points scored per contest and shot 49.5% from the field. Conversely, Louisville shot a combined 39.3% during their previous 5 games played. This extremely young Blue Devils team makes a statement in this one. Bet on Duke for a 5* wager.

Southern Miss vs. Rice 8:00 PM ET

Game# 825-826

Play On: Rice -4.0 (5*)

These 2 teams struggled mightily down the final stretch of regular season action. Nonetheless, Rice is by far the lesser of 2 evils in this matchup. The Owls defeated Southern Miss in their 2 regular season meetings 88-62 and 76-68. During those pair of wins, Rice was a terrific 27-64 (42.1%) from 3-point territory and had a substantial +22 rebounding advantage. Furthermore, Southern Miss has lost 10 of its last 11 and failed to cover on 9 of those occasions. Bet on Rice minus the points for a 5* wager.

Wake Forest vs. Notre Dame 8:00 PM ET

Game# 811-812

Play On: Notre Dame -8.0 (5*)

Wake Forest enters the ACC Tournament on a 7-game losing streak. Additionally, they failed to cover the last 6 while losing by an enormous 26.0 points per game. During their last 5 contests Wake Forest has been anemic offensively while averaging a mere 53.4 points scored per game while shooting an awful 35.1% from the field.

Notre Dame has gone through a down year which is evidenced by their 10-14 record. However, there are coming off a huge upset win over Florida State 83-73 as a 5.5-point home underdog. I look for them to carry that momentum into this contest against a fragile opponent who’s season can’t end soon enough. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 5* wager.

Elon vs. Drexel 7:00 PM ET

Game# 821-822

Play On: Elon +4.0 (5*)

Elon may have entered this Colonial Conference Tournament as a #8 seed but they are clearly the hottest team. Elon has gone a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 contests and 5 of those came as an underdog like they will be in today’s conference championship game. They also held 5 of those 7 opponents to 58 points or fewer. Elon is also +8 rebounds per game throughout their previous 5 contests. Drexel has allowed 74.8 points per game and allowed opponent to shoot just a tad under 47% over their previous 4 contests. Bet on Elon plus the points for a 5* wager.

St. Mary’s @ Gonzaga 9:00 PM ET

Game# 797-798

Play On: Gonzaga -18.0 (5*)

I very rarely if ever lay this many points. However, there’s always an exception to the rule and this classifies as one for me. Gonzaga handled St. Mary’s with relative ease in their 2 regular season matchups versus the Gaels. This isn’t the high caliber of a St. Mary’s team we have witnessed in the recent years. They have gone just 5-6 in conference games this season while averaging a mere 59.7 points scored per game. Conversely, Gonzaga is 15-0 versus conference opponents while averaging a robust 90.9 points scored per game and went a scintillatingly hot 55.1% from the field. Bet on Gonzaga minus the points for a 5* wager.

Appalachian State vs. Georgia State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 793-794

Play On: Georgia State -6.5 (5*)

Appalachian State entered the Sun Belt Conference Tournament with an uninspiring 13-11 record and that included losing 6 of their last 7 regular season games. The Mountaineers will be playing their 4th game in 4 days after winning in the first 3 rounds including upsets in their previous 2 over Coastal Carolina and Texas State.

Georgia State coming into this Sun Belt Championship Game riding an 8-game win streak while covering on 6 of those occasions. During this stretch, 5 of their last 7 wins have come by 9 points or more. They will have fresher legs than Appalachian State after earning a first-round bye. The Panthers are 10-4 versus conference opponents and 16-5 overall. Bet on Georgia State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Mercer vs. UNC-Greensboro 7:00 PM ET

Game# 795-796

Play On: UNC-Greensboro -4.5 (5*)

For starters, Greensboro has won each of their previous 6 meetings versus Mercer. That includes going 2-0 ATS against them this year. They dominated those 2 contests on the glass and were a combined +19 on the boards which includes an enormous 27 offensive rebounds. Similar to my Georgia State pick, Greensboro earned a 1st round bye in this Southern Conference Tournament while Mercer will be playing their 4th game in as many days. Bet on UNC-Greensboro minus the points for a 5* wager.

Wisconsin @ Iowa 12:30 PM ET

Game# 733-734

Play On: Iowa -6.5 (10*)

#25 Wisconsin is 4-7 in their last 11 and that includes losing 4 of its previous 5 contests. Conversely, #5 Iowa has won 6 of its last 7 and covered in 5 of those contests. The lone blemish during that stretch was a loss at #2 Michigan. So clearly these are teams headed down opposite paths with one being a serious contender for a national title and the other a textbook pretender.

These teams met in Madison earlier this season and Iowa walked away with a convincing 77-62 win. The Hawkeyes are averaging a robust 80.4 points per game in Big 10 action while Wisconsin has scored fewer than 70 during each of their previous 7 outings. Furthermore, Iowa has held 4 of their last 6 opponents to less than 40% shooting. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 5* wager.

Vanderbilt @ Ole Miss 7:00 PM ET

Game# 653-654

Play On: Over 134.0 (5*)

Despite their lousy record, Vanderbilt has managed to score 67 points or more in 11 of its last 12 games, and 70 or greater on 9 of those occasions. The Commodores are coming off a 78-64 upset win at Cincinnati in their last time out. Vanderbilt has played 4-0 to the over this season following a game in which they allowed fewer than 70 points, and there was a combined 154.5 points scored per contest. Vanderbilt has also played 6-0 to the over this season when there’s been a total of 131.0 to 138.0, and a combined 152.7 points were scored per contest. The Commodores have converted on an impressive 39.4% of its 3-points shot attempts while averaging 10 makes per contest throughout their previous 5 outings.

Ole Miss has seen 4 of its last 5 games go over when there was a total of 130.0 to 139.5.  The Rebels have witnessed their last 7 games against Vanderbilt going over the total and there was a combined 153.5 points scored per contest. One of those meetings took place in late February when Vanderbilt dealt Ole Miss a 75-70 loss in Nashville. Bet on this game to go over the total as a 5* wager.

Duke @ North Carolina 6:00 PM ET

Game# 651-652

Play On: Over 149.5 (10*)

Duke has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 and 10-1 to the over during their previous 11 games. The Blue Devils have averaged 77.0 points scored per contest and shot a superb 49.3% throughout their previous 5 contests. Duke will be facing a North Carolina team that loves to play up tempo basketball and averages a lofty 62 field goal attempts per game this season. That’s significant since Duke has played 6-0 to the over this season when facing teams that average 62 or more field goal attempts per game, and there was a combined average of 162.7 points scored per contest.

According to Ken Pomeroy, North Carolina plays an extremely fast pace when facing fellow ACC teams. The Tar Heels have averaged a robust 71.0 offensive possessions per 40 minutes of play this season. They will be facing a Duke team that is 14th nationally in offensive efficiency. The Blue Devils have averaged 115.2 points scored per 100 offensive possessions. Those types of analytics from team facing each other more times than not turn into a high scoring contest. Speaking of facing each other. The last 3 times these teams have met, each of those contests went over the total. The average combined score in those 3 games was 179.0. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play.

Indiana @ Purdue 2:00 PM ET

Game# 621-622

Play On: Purdue -6.5 (5*)

Indiana has fallen off a cliff of late which is evidenced by them going 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Conversely, Purdue is 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 with an average victory margin of 13.0 points per game. The Boilermakers are 10-1 at home this season with their sole defeat coming against #2 Michigan. Purdue has won 8 straight over Indiana and that includes an 81-69 win in Bloomington earlier this season. Bet on Purdue minus the points for a 5* wager.

Mississippi State @ Auburn 1:00 PM ET

Game# 611-612

Play On: Mississippi State +2.0 (5*)

Auburn has really struggled down the final stretch of regular season action. The Tigers have gone 2-7 straight up and 1-7-1 ATS over their previous 9 games.

Mississippi State is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 on the road and was an underdog on 2 of those occasions. The Bulldogs have been extremely stingy defensively throughout their last 5 contests while allowing a mere 59.4 points per game and holding those opponents to a combined 35.0% shooting. That’s not good news for Auburn backers since their team has shot an awful 38.7% in their last 5 outings and that includes 26.8% from 3-point territory. Bet on Mississippi State for a 5* wager.

Pittsburgh @ Clemson 12:00 PM ET

Game# 603-604

Play On: Clemson -8.0 (5*)

This is a depleted Pittsburgh team which has recently seen 2 of their top scorers opt out of the season and put their names in the transfer portal. The Panthers are also a dismal 0-4 in their last 4 conference away games. On a positive note, Pitt is coming off a home win over ACC cellar dweller Wake Forest that snapped a 5-game losing skid. Nonetheless, they have lost 8 of their last 10 and playing out the string at this juncture.

Clemson has gone an excellent 10-1 at home this season while covering 7 of those 11 games. Their lone defeat came against #11 Florida State. The Tigers have gone 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 games against Pittsburgh with an average victory margin of 14.3 points per contest. The held the Panthers to 60 points or fewer in 7 of those 8 contests. I look for more of the same today. Bet on Clemson minus the points for a 5* wager.

Ball State @ Toledo 7:00 PM ET

Game# 827-828

Play On:  Over 154.0 (5*)

The pace in this game should be conducive to a high scoring affair. Each team has seen their last 5 games average a combined total of 126 field goal attempts per contest which is high by college basketball standards. Additionally, both teams have recently been excellent from the free throw line with Ball State 84.9% of their attempts and Toledo 83.5%.

Ball State has witnessed each of their previous 4 games go over the total and there was an enormous 170.3 points scored per contest. During that stretch, the Cardinals averaged 91.5 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 52.4%. They have also been deadly from beyond the 3-point line of late. Throughout their last 5 games, Ball State has converted on 39% of its 3-point shot attempts and averaged 10 makes per contest.

Toledo is ranked 13th out of 357 Division 1 teams in offensive efficiency. The Rockets have averaged 115.7 points scored per 100 offensive possession this season. They also rank #1 in that category when facing conference opponent while scoring 118.6 points per 100 offensive possessions. Toledo has played 3-0 to the over in their previous 3 games when there was a total of 150.0 to 159.5, and there was 165.3 points scored per contest. Lastly, the Rockets have averaged 83.6 points scored, shot 47.4%, made 39.2% of their 3-point attempts through their previous 5 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager.

Dayton vs. VCU 3:30 PM ET

Game# 863-864

Play On:  Dayton +4.0 (5*)

I cashed in with Dayton yesterday as they defeated Rhode Island 84-72 thus covering easily as a 3.0-point favorite. I am coming right back with them again today. The Flyers are arguably playing their best basketball of the season right now and at the most opportune time. Furthermore, Dayton has gone 4-1 SU&ATS this season as an underdog of 3.0 or more and ironically enough their lone loss in that role came against VCU. The Flyers are also 4-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they scored 80 points or more and were an underdog on 3 of those occasions. VCU has enjoyed a terrific season but has dropped 2 of their last 3 games. Bet on Dayton plus the points for a 5* wager.

Rhode Island vs. Dayton 3:30 PM ET

Game# 763-764

Play On: Dayton -3.0 (5*)

Rhode Island finished their regular season slate by going 1-6 straight up and 2-5 ATS in their final 7 games. During their 2 regular season battles versus Dayton this season the Rams shot 38.6% of their shots and that includes a terrible 12-48 (25%) from beyond the 3-point line.

Dayton enters the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament with momentum after a road upset win at St. Bonaventure in their regular season finale. The Bonnies entered that game unbeaten at home. Throughout their previous 6 outings Dayton has averaged 74.2 points per game and shot a stellar 48.9%. During that identical stretch, the Flyers also held their opponents to just 38.2% shooting. Bet on Dayton minus the points for a 5* wager.

Idaho State @ Eastern Washington 9:00 PM ET

Game# 697-698

Play On: Over 146.5 (5*)

I am going outside of the box to find betting value in this Big Sky Conference matchup. To begin with, Eastern Washington has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 and those contests. Those 7 games had an average total of 148.8 and there was a combined 163.9 points scored per contest. Additionally, Eastern Washington scored 85 points or more in each of those previous 7 outings.

Eastern Washington has scored 49 and 51 points during the first half of their last 2 games. Conversely, Idaho State has allowed 64 points or fewer in each of their previous 5 games. The previously mentioned data sets up an extremely profitable college basketball totals betting angle displayed below.

Any college basketball team (Idaho State) with a total of 140.0 to 149.5 which has allowed 65 points or less in 4 straight games, and they’re facing an opponent (Eastern Washington) who has scored 40 points or more in the 1st held of its last 2 contests, resulted in those games playing 33-8 (80.5%) to the over since 2016. Those 41 contests had an average total of 144.0 and there was a combined 153.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager.

Maryland @ Northwestern 9:05 PM ET

Game# 691-692

Play On: Maryland -4.0 (5*)

Maryland enters this contest riding a 5-game win streak which has improved their season record to 15-10. By doing so the Terrapins have plated themselves onto the NCAA Tournament bubble. Maryland can now ill afford to lose to a Northwestern team that is 4-13 in Big 10 action and that includes losing 13 of its last 14 games. As a matter of fact, they probably need a decisive win tonight in order to improve their NCAA Tournament resume. They will be taken on a Wildcats team that has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 conference home games and lost by a sizable margin of 17.2 points per game. Bet on Maryland minus the points for a 5* wager.

Creighton @ Villanova 8:30 PM ET

Game# 685-686

Play On: Villanova -4.5 (10*)

Villanova has a couple of things to atone for in this game and I am confident they will be more than up to the challenge. First, they’ll look to avenge an 86-70 loss at Creighton earlier this season. By the way, since the start of the 2014-2015 season, Villanova has gone a stellar 9-1 straight up and 8-2 ATS when playing with same season revenge. Secondly, the #10 Wildcats will look to bounce back from an embarrassing 73-61 upset loss as a 12.5-point road favorite versus Butler in their previous game. However, Villanova is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 as a home favorite of 11.5 or less and won by a decisive margin of 19.5 points per game. The Wildcats allowed Butler to shoot 50% in their previous game. Additionally, Villanova is 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they allowed their opponent to shoot 50% or better and they won by 18.3 points per contest.  Bet on Villanova minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Minnesota @ Penn State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 673-674

Play On: Penn State -5.0 (5*)

These are 2 Big 10 teams that have gone on a late season tailspin. However, something has to change for one of them today and in my mind Penn State is much the lesser of two evils. Minnesota is an abysmal 0-9 SU&ATS in true road games this season and only managed to cover twice by doing so. Furthermore, the Golden Gophers are 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 overall while being outscored by 13.2 points per game. Even worse, their last 2 defeats came against Nebraska and Northwestern who currently are the bottom 2 teams in the Big 10 regular season standing. The loss to Northwestern came by 8 points at home and it halted a Wildcats 13-game losing streak. Despite their recent struggles, Penn State will be good enough to get the cover tonight against an opponent who’s season can’t end soon enough. Bet on Penn State minus the points for 5*.

Kentucky @ Ole Miss 9:00 PM ET

Game# 647-648

Play On: Ole Miss -3.0 (5*)

Kentucky went into last Saturday’s home tilt with Florida riding a season high 3-game win streak. That momentum was squashed after suffering a 71-67 loss to the Gators. The harsh reality of the situation for Kentucky is they are now an extremely disappointing 8-13 this season.

Kentucky has beaten Ole Miss the last 11 times they met. Nonetheless, the odds-makers had Ole Miss opening as a favorite. They did so even with the Rebels coming off a crushing loss to ACC cellar dweller Vanderbilt that just about eliminated them from receiving an NCAA Tournament at-large bid. Despite that disheartening defeat, Ole Miss has won 6 of their last 8 games. Bet on Ole Miss for a 5* wager.

Tulsa @ Central Florida 7:00 PM ET

Game# 619-620

Play On: Central Florida -3.0 (5*)

Public betting trends shows a high number of wagers and a lopsided amount of money going on Tulsa plus the points. I on the other hand will take a contrarian approach here. Tulsa started the season with a promising 7-3 record. Since that time, they have gone a dismal 3-7. Conversely, UCF is 4-2 in their last 6 games and both losses came by exactly 1-point. I am going with the side which has been competing harder of late. Bet on Central Florida for a 5* wager.

Detroit @ Northern Kentucky 7:00 PM ET

Game# 651-652

Play On: Detroit -115 (Money Line) (5*)

Northern Kentucky has won 8 of its last 10 games. However, they’re just 3-3 in their previous 6 conference home games.

Detroit enters this Horizon Conference Tournament game red-hot. The Titans have won 9 of its last 10 and 11 of their previous 11 games. Throughout their previous 5 contests, Detroit is averaging 78.5 points scored per game while shooting 48.4% and converting on a superb 41.2% of their 3-point tries. Detroit is also one of the best free throw shooting teams in the country at 80.3% on the season.  Bet on Detroit for a 5* money line wager.

North Carolina @ Syracuse 7:00 PM ET

Game# 839-840

Play On: Syracuse +2.0 (5*)

North Carolina is coming off a huge win over then #7 and now #11 Florida State in their previous game. The Tar Heels have bitter rival Duke up next which will be their regular season finale. Sandwiched between those 2 contests is a road game against Syracuse who they just beat recently. This sets up as a classic look ahead or flat spot for North Carolina depending on what phrase you like best.

Syracuse is coming off road losses to Duke and Georgia Tech in their previous 2 games. The Orange haven’t lost 3 games in a row all season. Furthermore, Syracuse is 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 at home. This is an attractive college basketball situation that favors the home team. Bet on Syracuse for a 5* wager.

Iowa @ Ohio State 4:00 PM ET

Game# 803-804

Play On: Ohio State -3.0 (10*)

#4 Ohio State will be in a sour mood today after coming off back-to-back losses for the first time this season. The Buckeyes have gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a home favorite of 4.0 to 17.0 points and with an average victory margin of 20.0 points per game. Ohio State is also 12-2 ATS since the start of the 2017-2018 season under current head coach Chris Holtmann as a conference home favorite of 6.0 or less. The Buckeyes are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home versus Iowa and won by an average of 14.0 points per contest. Ohio State won 89-85 at Iowa earlier this season despite Iowa going 14-32 (43.7%) on their 3-point shot attempts. Bet on Ohio State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Baylor @ Kansas 8:00 PM ET

Game# 749-750

Play On: Kansas +3.5 (10*)

Baylor (18-0) is a terrific team so let’s get that out of the way. However, it’s going to be extremely difficult for them to remain unbeaten going into the NCAA Tournament while playing in an extremely strong conference like the Big 12. The #2 ranked Bears are coming off a flat performance in a 5-point home win over a 2-17 Iowa State team. They closed as  a massive 24.0-point favorite in that contest.

For starters, Kansas has gone a terrific 47-2 in their last 50 home games. That includes 11-1 this season with their lone defeat coming against #14 Texas. Since that Texas loss, Kansas has won 6 straight at home and covered on each of their last 4. The Jayhawks have improved dramatically on the defensive end as the season has progressed. As a matter of fact, over their previous 6 contests Kansas allowed 59.8 points per game and held opponents to a combined 35.4% shooting. The Jayhawks won 5 of those contests and their only defeat came in overtime at Texas.  Furthermore, Kansas is 15-1 in their last 16 at home versus Baylor. Their only home loss to the Bears came last season. That should provide extra motivation and emotion for a program which prides itself on defending their home court. Bet on Kansas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Rhode Island @ Duquesne 7:00 PM ET

Game# 729-730

Play On: Duquesne (-115 on Money Line)

This is a game between Atlantic 10 Conference teams that both having a losing record. Nevertheless, Rhode Island as lost 5 of their last 6 contests in a addition to coming up short in 5 of its previous 6 conference away games. On the other side of the coin is a Duquesne team which is 4-1 during their previous 5 conference home games. The Dukes enter today on a 2-game losing streak and haven’t dropped 3 in a row all season long. Bet on Duquesne for a 5* money line wager.

Florida State @ North Carolina 4:00 PM ET

Game# 661-662

Play On: Florida State -1.5 (5*)

Florida State is on a 4-game win streak and has also been victorious in 9 of their previous 10 contests. North Carolina relies heavily on their big men to dominate the offensive glass. However, Florida State has the size to neutralize the Tar Heels offensive rebounding prowess. The Tar Heels aren’t a proficient 3-point shooting team, so things won’t come easily for them against a Seminoles team that has limited their opponents in conference play to just 40.4% shooting. Conversely, North Carolina is come off a disappointing 83-70 home loss to Marquette in a game in which they closed as a 9.5-point favorite. Bet on Florida State minus the small number for a 5* wager.

Florida @ Kentucky 4:00 PM ET

Game# 669-670

Play On: Kentucky -1.5 (5*)

Florida is an uninspiring 2-3 in conference road games this season. They have also failed to cover 3 of their last 4 games. Conversely, Kentucky is riding a current 3-game win streak with the last 2 coming on the road. The Wildcats confidence level should be even higher considering they blew out the Gators on their own home floor 76-58 earlier this season. That win was the 5th straight for Kentucky when playing Florida. By the way, Florida is a dismal 1-7 straight up during the past 3 seasons when playing with same season revenge from a loss by 10 points or more. Lastly, we have an 8-13 Kentucky team as a small favorite in this contest against an opponent who is 12-6. The sportsbooks are attempting to entice you into taking the road underdog that possesses a much better season record than the team they’re facing. I’m not taking the bait. Bet on Kentucky for a 5* wager.

Texas @ Texas Tech 12:00 PM ET

Game# 605-606

Play On: Texas Tech -3.0 (5*)

Texas Tech (14-8) has lost their last 3 and failed to cover its previous 5 contests. Despite those recent failures they are a favorite against #14 Texas (14-6) who is coming off a thrilling 75-72 overtime win at home against #17 Kansas. The degree of urgency in this matchup clearly favors Texas Tech and that will be a huge factor in determining the outcome of this contest. Texas Tech has lost 4 games in a row just once since the start of the 2015-2016 college basketball season and that came late in the 2017-2018 campaign. Additionally, the Red Raiders are 6-1 in their last 7 games against Texas and that includes a 79-77 win in Austin earlier this season.

Here’s an extremely profitable college basketball betting angle which is applicable to this matchup and dates back to the start of the 2016-2017 season. Any conference home favorite of 4.0 or less (Texas Tech) who has lost 3 straight games and they possess a win percentage of .650 or less, versus an opponent (Texas) coming off a win and is playing with revenge, and that opponent has a win percentage of .300 or better, resulted in those conference favorites of 4.0 or less going 17-4 ATS (80.9%). Bet on Texas Tech minus the points for a 5* wager.

Ohio State @ Michigan State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 765-766

Play On: Michigan State +4.0 (5*)

Tom Izzo has been extremely successful throughout his career of having his Michigan State teams playing their best basketball late in the season. Based on the Spartans performances in their last 2 games it appears that trend is continuing. Michigan State is coming off back-to-back upset wins at Indiana and then #5 Illinois at home. Now they take on an Ohio State team that seems set up for a flat spot. The Buckeyes are coming off a game against #3 Michigan at home and are set to host #9 Iowa on Saturday. Between those contests versus Top 10 teams is a game against Michigan State who is an uninspiring 6-9 in conference action and just 12-9 overall. This is a classic sandwich game and look ahead situation for Ohio State. It’s also worth noting that Michigan State has won each of their last 7 home games against Ohio State. Bet on Michigan State plus the points for a 5* wager.

USC @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET

Game# 773-774

Play On: Colorado -2.5 (5*)

These teams met this past New Year’s Eve and Colorado walked away with a 72-62 win as a 3.5-point road underdog. The Buffaloes are a shiny 8-1 straight up and 6-3 ATS at home this season and outscored those 9 opponents by a decisive 18.7 points per game. This is a classic example of an unranked team like Colorado being a favorite against a ranked opponent in #17 USC. The oddsmakers and sportsbooks aren’t that generous, and this is a clear case of baiting bettors to take the ranked underdog. Bet on Colorado minus the points for a 5* wager.

Western Kentucky @ Houston 7:00 PM ET

Game# 749-750

Play On: Western Kentucky +11.5 (5*)

Both teams take a break from their busy conference schedules as Houston (18-3) hosts Western Kentucky (15-4). Thinking unranked Western Kentucky can’t play with #12 Houston would be a careless error in judgement. All you need to do is point to the Hilltoppers winning at #6 Alabama, and then giving #10 West Virginia all they could handle before losing by 6 in Morgantown. They say an ability to make 3-point shots at a high percentage is the great equalizer for college basketball underdogs. Well then Western Kentucky fits that mold based on them making a superb 44.8% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. The Hilltoppers will make this game a lot more competitive than Houston fans would feel comfortable with. Bet on Western Kentucky plus the points for a 5* wager.

Connecticut @ Georgetown 9:00 PM ET

Game# 635-636

Play On: Georgetown +4.5 (5*)

Connecticut is just 3-5 SU&ATS in their last 8 and that includes 1-3 SU&ATS in conference road games. Georgetown is 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS this season in conference home games versus unranked opponents. They say the ability to make 3-point shots is the great equalizer for college basketball underdogs. During their previous 5 games Georgetown has gone an excellent 42.7% from 3-point territory. Throughout that identical stretch, Georgetown has also connected on a terrific 78.4% of its 3-point shot attempts. Bet on Georgetown plus the points for a 5* wager.

Penn State @ Nebraska 8:00 PM ET

Game# 631-632

Play On: Under 145.0 (5*)

Penn State has played 5-1 to the under in its last 6 games and that includes 3-0 on the road. Those 3 road games averaged only a combined 129.3 points scored per game and they went under by a cumulative 51.5 points. During their last 6 contests, Penn State has scored only 63.3 points per game and shot an abysmal 36.2% from the floor.

Nebraska has played 7-1 to the under in their last 8 games and there was a mere 130.0 combined points scored per contest. During that stretch, the Cornhuskers averaged 63.0 points scored per game and shot a miserable 38.2% from the floor. Nebraska is also 5-0 to the under in their last 5 when there was a total of 141.0 or greater and there was only a combined 128.6 points scored per game. Those 5 contests went under the total by a combined 89 points. Finally, Nebraska is coming off a recent upset win at Penn State 62-61 and that contest easily stayed under the total of 144.5. Play on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager.

Florida @ Auburn 7:00 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: Over 154.0 (5*)

Florida has played 6-1 to the over in true road games this season. Conversely, Auburn has played 5-1 to the over this season in conference home games and there was a combined 168.0 points scored per contest. Additionally, Auburn has played 7-1 to the over in their previous 8 games overall. During its last 5 contests, Auburn has allowed 86.0 points per game. This will be a fast paced, high scoring, and entertaining game to watch. Bet on this contest to go over the total for a 5* wager.

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 871-872

Play On: Oklahoma State +3.5 (10*)

Texas Tech is coming off back-to-back losses to West Virginia and Kansas. The #15 Red Raiders have now gone just 3-4 straight up in their last 7 games played. Texas Tech will be playing with revenge from an 82-77 home defeat to Oklahoma State on 1/2/21. However, I don’t think revenge will be a determining factor in this one.

Oklahoma State has gone 4-0 in their last 4 conference home games. Additionally, 3 of those victories came over nationally ranked teams in Kansas, Arkansas, and Texas. Nevertheless, they find themselves as a home underdog versus a visiting team that isn’t performing like a Top 25 team right now. During their previous 5 games, Oklahoma State has held its opponents to a mere 36.9% shooting and that includes 24.3% from beyond the 3-point line. Bet on Oklahoma State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Davidson @ St. Bonaventure 3:30 PM ET

Game# 811-812

Play On: Under 133.5 (5*)

These are 2 excellent defensive teams. St. Bonaventure is 1 of just 27 teams in the nation that have held opponents to less than 40% shooting for the season. The Bonnies are allowing only 61.8 points per game in Atlantic 10 Conference action. It should then come as no surprise when I say they played 9-2 to the under in conference play.

Davidson has seen all 4 of their conference road games go under and there was just a combined 123.5 points scored per contest. Davidson will be playing their 2nd game in 3 days. Since the start of the 2018-2019 season, they have played 7-0 to the under when playing their 2nd game in 3 days, and there was a combined average of only 125.2 points scored per game. During their previous 5 games, Davidson has allowed a mere 57.6 points per contest, held them to a dismal 36.6% shooting, and opponents were getting to the free throw line an average of 12 time per outing. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager.

Colorado @ Oregon State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 737-738

Play On: Oregon State +7.0 (5*)

Colorado is clearly the better team, but I don’t like them at all in this spot. The Buffalos have dropped their last 2 games and despite their 16-7 overall record, they are just 4-5 in conference road games. Conversely, Oregon State has gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 conference home games. The Beavers are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games this season as an underdog of 12.5 or less, and they won 4 of those contests straight up. Bet on Oregon State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Louisville @ North Carolina 6:00 PM ET

Game# 713-714

Play On: North Carolina -5.0 (5*)

Louisville has gone just 2-3 in their last 5 games. The Cardinals haven’t played game in 19 days due to COVID-19 safety protocols. North Carolina is a perfect 7-0 straight up at home this season. If the Tar Heels (13-7) hope to get themselves back into NCAA Tournament consideration a huge winning effort today would go along way in entering that discussion. Bet on North Carolina minus the points for a 5* wager.

Mississippi State @ Ole Miss 6:00 PM ET

Game# 723-724

Play On: Ole Miss -7.0 (10*)

Ole Miss has played themselves into NCAA Tournament consideration by going 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Included in this current successful run was home wins over #20 Missouri by 21 and versus #19 Tennessee. The Rebels have also averaged 82.3 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 52.2% during their previous 3 contests. On the other side of the table is Mississippi State who has gone a poor 2-6 in their previous 8 games and is coming off an embarrassing 72-51 home loss to Vanderbilt. These are 2 teams that are clearly headed on opposite paths. Bet on Ole Miss minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Illinois @ Minnesota 3:30 PM ET

Game# 657-658

Play On: Minnesota +5.0 (5*)

You won’t find any team in the country this season that has a winning record but such a huge disparity between their home and away performances like Minnesota. The Golden Gophers are an abysmal 0-8 straight up and 1-7 in true road games this season. However, they are 13-1 straight up and 10-4 ATS at home. Minnesota has posted home wins over #3 Michigan, #4 Ohio State, #11 Iowa, and a solid Purdue (14-8/9-6) team. Now they get another chance to shine against #5 Illinois today who they lost to by 27 points on the road earlier this season. I’m betting on Golden Gophers coming up big at home against another nationally ranked team. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager.

Notre Dame @ Syracuse 2:00 PM ET

Game# 637-638

Play On: Over 150.0 (5*)

Syracuse has gone under the total in each of their previous 2 games. The Orange have played 3-0 to the over this season following 2 straight games going under. Notre Dame has been red-hot offensively throughout their previous 5 contests. During that time, Notre Dame averaged 81.4 points scored per game while shooting 52.9% and they made an excellent 40.3% of their 3-point attempts. Furthermore, Notre Dame has shot 53.8% or better in all of their previous 4 conference road games. Both teams are among the best free throw shooting teams in the country with Notre Dame at 77.2% on the season and Syracuse comes in at 79.1%. These teams will be meeting for the first time this season. Both head to head meetings a season ago easily went over the total with a combined 166 and 173 points being scored. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager.