Wyoming vs. Indiana 9:10 PM ET

Game# 665-666

Play On: Wyoming +4.5 (10*)

Indiana is certainly the bigger brand than Wyoming and plays in a better Conference. Which aligns itself with an enormous amount of early money being wagered on the Hoosiers. However, the Mountain West Conference was vastly underrated this season which is evidenced by their 4 NCAA Tournament berths and 2 of those teams (Boise State, Colorado State) being currently being ranked in the Top 25. It must be noted, Indiana has gone 2-8 SU in their last 10 games versus teams that are in the 2022 NCAA Tournament field.

Wyoming is coming off a loss against #23 Boise State in the Mountain West Conference Tournament. Nevertheless, the Cowboys have been resilient this season which is proven by their 6-1 SU record following a loss. They were also an extremely profitable 7-3 ATS as an underdog. Give me Wyoming plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Texas A&M vs. Tennessee 1:00 PM ET

Game# 647-648

Play On: Texas A&M +6.5 (5*)

The Texas A&M Aggies have caught fire at the right time evidenced by them going 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games. They were a longshot to make the NCAA Tournament at the end of regular season play. However, here they are playing their 4th game in 4 days and on an improbable run to winning a conference tournament championship and automatic NCAA Tournament bid. During the 3 games in the SEC Tournament the Aggies have held opponents to a mere 38.7% shooting.  A&M has also shot a blistering hit 25-48 (52.1%) from beyond the 3-points line in 3 conference tournament games.

Tennessee won both regular season games versus Texas A&M by comfortable margins of 10 and 14 points. The Volunteers were double-digit favorite on both occasions. Now they’re just a 7.0-point favorite versus the Aggies with 1 more day of rest and with a chance to win a SEC title. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the favorite in this spot. Thank you but no thank you. Give me Texas A&M plus the points.

UCLA vs. Arizona 9:00 PM ET

Game# 637-638

Play On: Over 142.5 (5*)

These teams went under the total in their 2 regular season meetings. However, the totals in those contests were 148.5 and 150.5 compared to today’s number of 143.0. Arizona has shot 50.9% or better from the field in 8 of their last 10. The Wildcats have played 9-0 to the over during its previous 9 contests when there was a total of 153.0 or less and a combined 159.0 points scored per game. Conversely, UCLA has played 4-1 to the over during its previous 5 games. Throughout that stretch, the Bruins averaged 78.0 points scored per game, shot 49.5%, and made an excellent 45.1% of their 3-point shot attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.

Virginia Tech vs. Duke 8:30 PM ET

Game# 633-634

Play On: Virginia Tech +6.0 (5*)

I haven’t been overly impressed with Duke’s performances in the ACC Tourney thus far. They’ve failed to cover on both occasions and each contest was in jeopardy heading into the final 2 minutes. That’s not to say they aren’t a great team because that would be a ludicrous statement. The Blue Devils have been less than stellar in their 2 games since arriving in Brooklyn while allowing 79 points to an undermanned Syracuse team and 76 to Miami last night. Duke has gone over the total in their last 5 games. Since the start of last season, Duke is 2-10 ATS after going over the total in each of their previous 3 contests and outscored those opponents by just 2.3 points per game.

Virginia Tech has played with a high degree of desperation and urgency the last 3 days with the NCAA Tournament hopes hanging in the balance. They were dominant in last night’s semifinal 13-point win over a red-hot North Carolina team. The Hokies held the Tar Heels to just 59 points and 36.7% shooting. During their 3 ACC Tournament contests Virginia Tech has averaged 78.3 points per game and shot 49.3%. Give me Virginia Tech plus the points.

Texas Tech vs. Kansas 6:00 PM ET

Game# 623-624

Play On: Texas Tech +2.5 (10*)

I may be in the minority when I say that Texas Tech is the overall better team in this matchup. I also like their chances of a deep NCAA Tournament run far better than that of the higher ranked Kansas Jayhawks. These teams split the 2 games during regular season action with the home side posting blowout victories on each occasion.

During their 2 Big 12 Tournament games versus Iowa State and Oklahoma the Texas Tech Red Riders have been dominant defensively. They held those opponents to only 48.0 points scored per contest and a mere 34.7% shooting. During their 2 regular season meetings versus Kansas, Texas Tech averaged 83.0 points scored per contest and shot an impressive 48.3%. Give me Texas Tech plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina 9:30 PM ET

Game# 865-866

Play On: Virginia Tech +2.5 (5*)

North Carolina won both regular season meetings versus Virginia Tech by 8 and 10-point margins. Despite the #25 Tar Heels have 1 more additional day of rest than the Hokies and being the higher seed, they opened as just a 2.0-point favorite. The sports books are begging you to take the favorite in this matchup but I’m not obliging. Virginia Tech will be the more desperate and urgent team in this matchup as they need a win to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive. Give me Virginia Tech plus the points.

Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky 8:30 PM ET

Game# 837-838

Play On: Over 142.5 (5*)

Kentucky is coming off a 71-63 win at Florida in their regular season finale and that contest went under 139.0. The Wildcats have played 9-1 to the over during its last 10 following an under in their previous game. Kentucky has averaged 77.6 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 51.2% over its previous 5 contests.

Vanderbilt is coming off yesterday’s 82-76 upset win over Alabama. Since the 2019-2020 season began, the Commodores have played 16-2 to the over (148.5 PPG) following a game in which they scored 80 points or more and that includes 4-0 this season (145.8 PPG).

Since the start of last season, these teams have played on another 4 times and each of those contests produced a combined 144 or more points being scored. During their 2 meeting this season, Vanderbilt went 19-46 (41.3%) from 3-point territory while Kentucky was an even better 14-30 (46.7%). The last encounter occurred at Adolph Rupp Arena in Lexington and there was an alarmingly high 58 free throw attempts. Furthermore, in the Commodores win over Alabama yesterday there were an astronomically high 79 free throw attempts by both teams. Give me this game to go over the total.

Miami vs. Duke 7:00 PM ET

Game# 863-864

Play On: Duke -8.5 (10*)

This is a Duke team which has shoot 48% or better in each of their last 6 games. Conversely, Miami has allowed its opponents to shoot 48% or better during 5 of its previous 6 contests. Duke will be playing with big time revenge stemming from a 76-74 home loss to Miami earlier this season in a game they closed as a 15.0-point favorite. The Blue Devils had a scare yesterday before pulling away late in a 9-point win over an undermanned Syracuse team that they blew out twice during regular season action. That’s not likely to occur again. Miami narrowly escaped with a 2-point overtime win over a hapless Boston College team in yesterday’s conference quarterfinals. Give me Duke minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin 6:30 PM ET

Game# 819-820

Play On: Wisconsin -3.0 (5*)

Michigan State has gone a dismal 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 and 2-7 SU&ATS during its previous 9 games versus all teams not named Maryland. Speaking of Maryland, Michigan State defeated them yesterday 74-70. However, since the start of last season, the Spartans are an abysmal 1-10 ATS following a win by 6 points or fewer and were outscored by an average of 10.2 points per game.

 Wisconsin is an unscathed 3-0 SU&ATS in neutral site games this season with victories over #17 St. Mary’s, #18 Houston, and Texas A&M. Those 3 teams currently have a combined 73-23 (.760) record this season. Furthermore, Wisconsin has gone 8-0 SU&ATS this season when their point-spread was anywhere from +3.0 to -3.0. Give me Wisconsin minus the points.

Texas A&M vs. Auburn 12:00 PM ET

Game# 831-832

Play On: Auburn -9.0 (5*)

Texas A&M enters this SEC Tournament Quarterfinal on a 5-game win streak. However, they escaped with an overtime win over Florida yesterday in a contest they blew a 10-point lead with exactly 1:00 to play in regulation and had a 16-point lead with 10:45 left. Furthermore, all their wins on this current win streak came over unranked teams. Keep in mind, prior to their present 5-game win streak, Texas A&M went a dismal 1-9 in their previous 10 contests.

The #4 Auburn Tigers enters the SEC Tournament with an outstanding 27-4 record and were the regular season conference champion. They lost 2 games in overtime against #20 Connecticut and #15 Arkansas. They also lost by 5 at #9 Tennessee and were upsets 63-62 at Florida. My point being, with a break or two the Tigers could have easily gone undefeated in regular season action. Auburn played Texas A&M just once during regular season action and won 75-58 at home while covering as a 12.0-point favorite. Additionally, they held the Aggies to a miserable 27.1% shooting day and were +7 on the boards. Give me Auburn minus the points.

Vanderbilt vs. Alabama 8:30 PM ET

Game# 751-752

Play On: Over 147.5 (5*)

Alabama has seen their last 6 go over the total when the number was 153.0 or less and there was a combined average of 163.5 points scored per game. The Crimson Tide have been less than inspiring defensively over their last 5 contests while allowing 80.0 points per game and their opponents shot 40.2% from 3-point territory. On a positive note, during that identical stretch Alabama has averaged 11 three-point makes per game and converted on an excellent 84.0% of their free throws.

Vanderbilt has played 9-3 to the over in their last 12. The Commodores have also averaged 11 three-point makes per game throughout its last 5 contests and connected on a stellar 38.5% of those attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.

Virginia Tech vs. Notre Dame 7:00 PM ET

Game# 725-726

Play On: Virginia Tech -125 (10*)

Virginia Tech’s NCAA Tournament chances continue to be on life support after yesterday’s thrill buzzer beating 3-point shot in a 1-point win over Clemson. I look for them to carry that momentum into today. The Hokies are now 10-2 in their last 12 games. Since the start of last season, Virginia Tech is 3-0 SU in their games versus Notre Dame. Virginia Tech is an excellent defensive team that has allowed only 61.7 points per game. Conversely, Notre Dame is 1-7 SU this season versus opponents who allow 64 points or less per game. The Fighting Irish are also 0-3 SU&ATS in lined neutral site games this season. Barring something unforeseen, Notre Dame is a lock to make “The Big Dance”. On the other hand, Virginia tech needs at least 1 more if not 2 more wins in this ACC Tournament to possibly get there. I’m going with the team that will surely exhibit more desperation and urgency in this matchup. Give me Virginia Tech.

Rice vs. North Texas 6:30 PM ET

Game# 799-800

Play On: North Texas -10.5 (5*)

For starters, Rice has gone a dismal 1-4 ATS this season as a double-digit underdog.  The Owls were hammered in their 2 regular season games versus North Texas by scores of 67-44 and 75-43 while shooting a cumulative 31.8% from the floor. They were also -37 in the rebounding department in those 2 defeats.

North Texas is coming off a 70-68 upset loss at UTEP in their regular season finale. That setback halted a 14-game North Texas winning streak. North Texas is 19-2 SU and 14-7 ATS in their last 21 games. The Mean Green finished 16-2 in CUSA play and allowed just 55.9 points per game while doing so. Give me North Texas minus the points.

Mississippi State vs. South Carolina 6:00 PM ET

Game# 749-750

Play On: Over 137.5 (5*)

Mississippi State is a horrible 3-point shooting team. However, they make up for that glaring weakness by their ability to get to the free throw line. During their 2 regular season meetings versus South Carolina the Bulldogs attempted 26 free throws on each occasion which is extremely high by college basketball standards. Through their previous 5 outings Mississippi State averaged 25 free throw attempts per game. The Bulldogs will be facing a South Carolina team that averages 21 three-point shot attempts per game. They’ve played 8-2 to the over since game 16 of their season when facing opponents that average 21 or more 3-point shots per game. Conversely, South Carolina has allowed an average of 25 free throw attempts per contest over its last 5 games. By the way, South Carolina has played 10-1 to the over in their last 11 and that includes 5-0 over if the number was 139.0 or less (143.2 PPG). Give me this game to go over the total.

Oregon vs. Colorado 5:30 PM ET

Game# 777-778

Play On: Colorado +1.0 (5*)

You can make a strong case for Oregon being among the top underachieving teams in college basketball this season. The Ducks limp into the PAC-12 Tournament having lost 5 of their last 7 games. Conversely, Colorado finished regular season action on a 7-1 SU run and that included a lopsided 16-point win over #2 Arizona. The Buffaloes have averaged 78.1 points scored per game throughout their previous 8 contests and shot 48% or better on 6 of those occasions. Give me Colorado in this one.

Florida vs. Texas A&M 12:00 PM ET

Game# 745-746

Play On: Texas A&M +2.5 (5*)

After going through an 8-game losing streak, Texas A&M finished the season on a 5-1 run which included 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4. Florida went just 3-4 SU during its last 7 regular season contests. What really sticks out to me is the Gators previous 5 games in which they allowed opponents to shoot a combined 48.0% and make 40.8% of their 3-points shot attempts. Conversely, Texas A&M shot 50% from the field over their last 5 outings. Give me Texas A&M plus the points.

Indiana vs. Michigan 11:30 AM ET

Game# 713-714

Play On: Michigan -2.0 (5*)

Michigan has dominated their head-to-head series versus Indiana which is evidenced by 9 straight wins over the Hoosiers. The last 8 of those wins came by 11 points or more including an 80-62 victory at Indiana this season. The Wolverines figure to get an extra boost with head coach Juwan Howard returning from a 5-game suspension. During the 5 games without Howard, Michigan averaged 77.8 points scored per contest while shooting 49.0%, making 38.2% of its 3-point attempts, and 82.9% of its free throws. Conversely, Indiana finished their regular season by going a dismal 2-7 SU over its last 9 games. Give me Michigan minus the small number.

Fairfield vs. St. Peter’s 9:30 PM ET

Game# 695-696

Play On: St. Peter’s -5.0 (5*)

St. Peter’s dominated Fairfield in both regular season matchups while winning by scores of 57-41 and 70-59. They held Fairfield to a combined 34-112 (30.3%) shooting in those contests. Speaking of good defense by St. Peter’s, they held their last 3 opponents to a mere 42.7 points per game and 26.9% shooting from the field. Additionally, St. Peter’s finished regular season action on a 4-0 SU&ATS run and won by a substantial 17.5 points per game. Conversely, Fairfield is coming off yesterday’s 72-50 win over Canisius. Since the 2019-2020 season, the Stags are 3-14 ATS after allowing 55 points or fewer in their previous outing and was outscored by 8.6 points per game. Give me St. Peter’s minus the points.

Ole Miss vs. Missouri 6:00 PM ET

Game# 679-680

Play On: Missouri +4.0 (5*)

Let me preface my analysis by saying that both teams aren’t very good. Nevertheless, I feel strongly that the lesser of 2 evils is clearly the underdog in this matchup. Ole Miss is 1-8 SU in their last 9 which includes a current 4-game losing streak. Their only win during that stretch came over a terrible 6-25 Georgia team. Furthermore, Ole Miss has gone an abysmal 1-6 SU&ATS in their last 7 this season as a pick or favorite. Conversely, Missouri is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a pick or underdog of 5.5 or less. Missouri won and covered both regular season meetings versus Ole Miss. During those wins, Missouri averaged 76.0 points scored per game, shot 58.2%, made 52.4% of its 3-point shot attempts, and was a +9.5 rebounds per contest. Give me Missouri plus the points.

St. Mary’s vs. Gonzaga 9:00 PM ET

Game# 623-624

Play On: Gonzaga -12.5 (10*)

It’s apparent by current betting patterns that the public is wagering on St. Mary’s plus the sizable number like it’s an absolute cinch. After all, these teams just met on 2/28 in the regular season finale for both teams and St. Mary’s walked away with a convincing 10-point win as a 10.5-point home underdog. Additionally, the Gaels held Gonzaga to a season low 57 points and 36.7% shooting. I’m here to tell you that’s not happening again. Gonzaga was caught in a flat spot, and the Bulldogs will bounce back with vengeance tonight. The oddsmakers were certainly not deterred by that previous result based on the opening number of 13.5. Gonzaga will show their upper echelon class tonight in a revenge situation. Give me Gonzaga minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Canisius vs. Fairfield 7:00 PM ET

Game# 609-610

Play On: Canisius +3.5 (5*)

Fairfield won both regular season matchups versus Canisius. However, those wins came by just 4 and 6 points so it’s not as if they dominated them. Fairfield has been anemic offensively over their last 5 contests while averaging just 57.8 points score per game and shooting a terrible 37.6% from the field. The Stags are coming off a 57-41 loss at Saint Peter’s in their regular season finale. Since the start of last season, Fairfield is a dismal 1-8 ATS following a contest in which they scored 55 or less and were outscored by an average of 11.2 points per game. On the other hand, Canisius comes into to the MAAC Tournament riding the momentum of having gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. Give me Canisius plus the points.

Georgia Tech vs. Louisville 7:00 PM ET

Game #607-608

Play On: Under 135.0 (5*)

Georgia Tech is coming off an 82-78 home win over Boston College in their regular season finale. That contest easily sailed over the total of 134.0. Nevertheless, the Yellowjackets have played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 immediately following a contest that went over and there was only a combined 125.5 points scored per game. Louisville has played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 whenever the total was 138.5 or less and there was just a combined average of 122.3 points scored per game. The Cardinals have scored 63 points or fewer in 5 of its previous 7 games. These teams met once during regular season action and Louisville walked away with a 67-64 win and that contest went under the total of 137.5. These ACC rivals have now witnessed their last 8 meetings all going under the total and there was a combined 124.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Northern Kentucky vs. Wright State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 613-615

Play On: Northern Kentucky -115 (5*)

Northern Kentucky is coming off a 14-point win over IPFW in last night’s Horizon League Tournament Semifinal. Quite frankly, the game wasn’t even as close as the final score may indicate. Northern Kentucky has now gone 14-0 SU&ATS in their last 14 games versus all teams not named Detroit who they lost to twice. Northern Kentucky is also 7-0 SU&ATS this season when coming off a conference win by 10 or more and won by an average of 11.6 points per game. They defeated Wright State in both regular season matchup and shot a combined 54.1% while doing so.

Northern Kentucky has won 5 straight and the last 4 have all come by 14 points or more. Northern Kentucky has averaged 69.5 points scored per game this season. Conversely, Wright State is allowing 71.1 points per game this season. Any college basketball neutral site pick or favorite that’s coming off 3 consecutive wins by 10 points or more, and they average between 67 to 74 points scored per game, versus an opponent that allows between 67 to 74 points per game, resulted in those teams going an extremely profitable 85-14 (85.9%) against the money line since the 1996-1997 season. Give me Northern Kentucky on the money line.

Iowa @ Illinois 7:30 PM ET

Game# 817-818

Play On: Iowa +4.0 (5*)

I love the way Iowa is playing right now. The Hawkeyes have won their last 5 and includes 3-0 ATS in road games. All 5 wins have come by double-digit margins with the average margin of victory being by 16.2 points per game. Illinois is 4-2 SU in their last 6 at home but was just 1-5 ATS in those contests. Iowa lost to Illinois 87-83 at home in early December but is a much better team cuurently than they were 3 months ago. The great equalizer for college basketball underdogs is their ability to make 3-point shots. During their current 5-game win streak, Iowa has converted on an excellent 40.3% of their 3-point attempts while averaging 10 makes per contest. This is nothing new for a Hawkeyes team which averages 9 three-point makes per game this season. Since Game 16 of their season, Illinois is 0-6 ATS versus opponents that average 8 or more 3-point makes per game. Give me Iowa plus the points.

Lehigh @ Colgate 2:00 PM ET

Game# 203-204

Play On: Over 145.0 (5*)

Lehigh has been highly efficient on the offensive end of the floor throughout their previous 3 games. During that stretch they’ve averaged 82.3 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 51.3%. Lehigh has converted on an excellent 41.9% of its 3-point shot attempts in conference play this season.

Colgate has witnessed each of their previous 3 games going over the total and there was a combined 152.0 points scored per contest. Colgate is averaging a robust 76.6 points scored per game, shot 49.7%, and made 40.9% of its 3-point attempts in Patriot League contests this season. Give me this game to go over the total.

Michigan @ Ohio State 12:30 PM ET

Game# 805-806

Play On: Michigan +4.5 (5*)

Michigan is coming off an 82-71 home loss to #24 Iowa. The Wolverines have gone a perfect 6-0 SU in their last 6 following a loss in their previous game. During its last 3 contests, Michigan has averaged 81.0 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 52.9% from the field. Ohio State has allowed 75.5 points per game while permitting their opponents to shoot 47.1% over their last 4. The #23 Buckeyes are a mediocre 6-5 SU in their last 11 games which included a home loss to last place Nebraska on 3/1. Give me Michigan plus the points.

Mississippi State @ Texas A&M 8:30 PM ET

Game# 679-680

Play On: Texas A&M -2.0 (10*)

Mississippi State has gone a dismal 1-8 SU in SEC road games this season with their only win coming versus a Missouri team which has a poor 4-13 conference record and is 10-20 overall. The Bulldogs are coming off a disheartening home overtime loss to #5 Auburn that for all intent and purposes eliminated them from a possible at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament. It’s hard to imagine the Bulldogs recovering emotionally from that loss just 3 days later. Furthermore, Mississippi State is 0-4 SU&ATS this season within the point-spread parameter of pick to +4.0.

Texas A&M starter the season 15-2 then proceeded to lose 8 straight games. Since that time, the Aggies have rebounded to win 4 of their last 5 and includes a present 3-0 SU&ATS run. As a matter of fact, Texas A&M is coming off a 10-point road win over #25 Alabama in a game they closed as a 16.0-point underdog. During their current 3-game winning run, the Aggies scored 84.7 points per contest and shot a blistering hot 55.8% from the field. Give me Texas A&M minus the small number for a Top Play wager.

North Carolina @ Duke 6:00 PM ET

Game# 707-708

Play On: Over 153.5 (5*)

The last 5 times these teams have met each contest went over the total and with a combined average of 171.0 points scored per game. North Carolina has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when the total was 150.0 or greater and with a combined 166.6 points scored per game. Duke is averaging 82.8 points scored per game, shot 51.2%, and made 42.6% of their 3-point shots in conference play. North Carolina has averaged 77.8points scored per game in conference play. The Tarheels have seen 8 of their last 10 games go over the total. Both teams are very good free throw shooting teams. This is a high total by college basketball standards but rightfully so. Give me this game to go over the total.

Oklahoma @ Kansas State 4:00 PM ET

Game# 679-680

Play On: Kansas State -2.0 (5*)

Oklahoma is an abysmal 1-8 SU in conference away games this season.  During their previous 3 road games, Oklahoma allowed their opponents to shoot a combined 59.2% which is just atrocious defense. During those last 3 away games, the Sooners averaged a paltry 55.0 points scored per contest.

Kansas State does come in on a 4-game losing streak. However, 3 of those 4 losses came by a combined 9 points. The Wildcats will be out to revenge a narrow 2-point loss at Oklahoma earlier this season. Give me Kansas State minus the small number.

Kentucky @ Florida 2:00 PM ET

Game# 629-630

Play On: Florida +5.0 (5*)

#7 Kentucky has gone a perfect 18-0 at home this season. However, they’re a mediocre 6-5 in true road game which includes dropping its last 2 at Tennessee and Arkansas. Florida is attempting to make a late push for an NCAA Tournament at-large bid. They’ve won 3 of their last 4 including a home upset win over #5 Auburn. The Gators will also be out to avenge an embarrassing 21-point loss at Kentucky earlier this season. Expect a superb effort from Florida in front of a boisterous home crowd against an extremely talented opponent. Florida has won 6 of their last 7 at home and it’s lone defeat in that stretch came versus #14 Arkansas who’s won 14 of its last 15 contests. Give me Florida plus the points.

Arkansas @ Tennessee 12;00 PM ET

Game# 603-604

Play On: Tennessee -6.5 (5*)

Arkansas has gone 14-1 in their last 15 games and their lone loss in that stretch was a 1-point defeat at #25 Alabama. Yet, here they are as a sizable underdog versus an opponent that’s only ranked 1 spot higher than them in the national polls. Furthermore, Arkansas defeated Tennessee 58-48 at home earlier this season. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the red-hot underdog in this spot. I’m not getting lured in. Tennessee Is an unbeaten 15-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 19.0 points per game. As a matter of fact, the Volunteers are 8-1 in their last 9 with their only loss coming versus Arkansas. The combination of senior day, revenge, and a raucous crowd will inspire Tennessee to a statement win and cover. Give me Tennessee minus the points.

Morehead State vs. Belmont 10:30 PM ET

Game# 861-862

Play On: Belmont -4.5 (5*)

Morehead State (22-10) won an Ohio Valley Conference Tournament opening round game yesterday over Tennessee Tech. It must be noted, Morehead State is 0-3 in their last 3 games following a win. Conversely, Belmont had an opening round bye due to a superb 15-3 conference record. Belmont (24-6) enters this postseason contest having gone 11-1 in their last 12 games with their lone defeat coming against Murray State (28-2) who is ranked #22 nationally. Give me Belmont minus the points.

Richmond @ St. Bonaventure 5:00 PM ET

Game# 841-842

Play On: St. Bonaventure -3.5 (5*)

St. Bonaventure is coming off a blowout loss at VCU which halted a 7-game win streak. However, the Bonnies are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home and won by an average of 17.0 points per game. The Bonnies are also 25-10 (71%) ATS in their last 35 games as a conference home favorite. St. Bonaventure will also be out to revenge a 10-point loss at Richmond earlier this season. Give me St. Bonaventure minus the points.

Citadel vs. ETSU 5:00 PM ET

Game# 847-848

Play On: Under 152.5 (5*)

These teams met twice during regular season action and both games went under the total with a combined average of 146.0 points scored per contest. ETSU has played 6-0 to the under in their last 6. The average totals in those 6 contests were 152.5 and there was a combined 145.0 points scored per game. Citadel lost to their last meeting with ETSU 77-67 on 2/19. Citadel has played 6-0 to the under this season when playing with same season revenge and there was a combined 141.1 points scored per contest.

This Southern Conference Tournament game will be played on a neutral court in Evansville, Indiana. Citadel has a season field goal percentage defense of 43.1 and ETSU is at 44.9. Any neutral site contest played between teams with a field goal percentage defense of 42.5 to 45.5, and each team is playing after Game 15 of their season, resulted in those contests playing 28-2 (93.3%) to the under since the 2017-2018 season began. The average total in those 30 contests was 154.9 and there was just a combined 138.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Iowa @ Michigan 9:00 PM ET

Game# 765-766

Play On: Iowa +2.0 (5*)

Michigan is coming off an 87-70 convincing win over in state rival Michigan State which revenge an earlier season 16-point defeat at East Lansing. The Wolverines exhibited a high degree of intensity and emotion during that victory as a result. It would be hard to imagine they can come close to matching that fever pitch tonight. Additionally, Michigan has gone 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 games following a win. Furthermore, keep in mind that win over Michigan State came versus a Spartans team that is now 2-6 during their previous 8 outings.

Michigan State will be facing an Iowa team that has won 7 of their last 8 and each of its last 4. During the Hawkeyes current 4-game win streak they’ve won by a decisive margin of 16.5 points per contest. Iowa is also 3-0 in their last 3 road contests and won by 15.3 points per game. Lastly, Iowa will be out to revenge a 5-point home loss to Michigan in their first encounter of the season. Give me Iowa plus the points.

Cincinnati @ SMU 7:00 PM ET

Game# 731-732

Play On: SMU -7.0 (5*)

SMU will be playing with big time revenge this evening versus a Cincinnati program that has defeated them in each of the last 10 meetings. One of those defeats came at Cincinnati earlier this season. However, SMU is a perfect 14-0 at home this season and with an average victory margin of 14.8 points per game. The Mustangs will be facing a Bearcats team that is 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4. Cincinnati is also a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a road underdog while losing by 15.3 points per game. Give me SMU minus the points.

Michigan State @ Ohio State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Under 139.5 (5*)

Michigan State is coming off an 87-70 loss at Michigan in a game that easily sailed over the total. Nevertheless, the Spartans have played 7-0 to the under during its last 7 following an over in their previous game. Those 7 contests averaged just a combined 130.0 points per game. Furthermore, 5 of those 7 contests had a total of 143.5 or less and there was only a combined 123.4 points scored per game. Conversely, Ohio State has played 6-2 to the under in their last 8 games.

Auburn @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 711-712

Play On: Mississippi State +4.0 (10*)

Auburn has gone 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 on the road. Their only 2 SU wins came against the 2 worst teams in the SEC in Missouri and Georgia. As a matter of fact, those 2 wins came by a combined 3 points and they were favorites of 14.0 and 14.5 in those contests. Conversely, Mississippi State has gone 7-1 SU in conference home games this season. The Bulldogs have shot 49% or better in each of their previous 5 at home. Give me Mississippi State minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Providence @ Villanova 6:30 PM ET

Game# 605-606

Play On: Villanova -9.5 (10*)

We have the higher ranked team in #9 Providence (24-3) as close to a double-digit underdog against #11 Villanova (21-7). Just as I expected, public money has been overwhelmingly in favor of Providence. I seldom if ever go with what can be perceived as the obvious choice. This betting situation certainly qualifies in the regard. Furthermore, I unequivocally trust the oddsmakers more than those voters participating in the national polls. These teams met just 2 weeks ago at Providence and Villanova walked away with a 5-point win. This is one of those times that the revenge factor means very little to me. The Friars just don’t match up well against Villanova. I’m calling for a decisive win and cover by the home favorite Wildcats. Gove me Villanova minus the points for my Big East Game of the Year”.

UCLA @ Washington 11:00 PM ET

Game# 877-878

Play On: Washington +8.5 (5*)

Washington was just 3-4 in their first 7 home games. However, since conference play began the Huskies are 6-1 at home and their only loss came to #2 Arizona. Conversely, UCLA is just 2-4 SU&ATS in their last 6 conference away games. Washington will also be out to revenge a 26-point loss at UCLA earlier this season. UCLA is clearly the better team on paper. Nevertheless, give me Washington plus the points.

San Diego State @ Wyoming 9:00 PM ET

Game# 867-868

Play On: Over 129.5 (5*)

Wyoming has gone under in each of their previous 2 games. The Cowboys have played 4-0 to the over this season following back-to-back unders and there was a combined 151.5 points scored per game. Wyoming has also played 7-0 to the over at home this season whenever there was a total of 144.0 or less and there was a combined 146.4 points scored per game. San Diego State has gone over the total in their last 3 and there was a combined 133.3 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Kansas State @ Texas Tech 9:00 PM ET

Game# 871-872

Play On: Texas Tech -12.5 (5*)

Texas Tech is coming off a 69-66 loss at TCU. The #12 Red Raiders are a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss and won by 16.0 points per contest. Texas Tech will also be out for revenge after sustaining a 62-51 loss at Kansas State earlier this year. Give me Texas Tech minus the points.

Wichita State @ Memphis 2:30 PM ET

Game# 835-836

Play On: Memphis -8.5 (5*)

After being a major disappointment for the first half of the season, Memphis is playing like the team experts thought they would be down the final stretch of regular season action. The Tigers are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games. Furthermore, Memphis is 5-0 SU&ATS in their previous 5 as a favorite of 3.5 or greater and with an average victory margin of 15.4 points per game. The Tigers are also 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 conference home games and won by 17.5 points per contest. Conversely, Wichita State has lost its last 4 conference away game. The Shockers also suffered a 82-64 blowout home loss to Memphis on New Year’s Day. Wichita State started the season 10-3 and has gone 4-8 since that time. Give me Memphis minus the points.

Boise State @ UNLV 10:00 PM ET

Game# 801-802

Play On: UNLV +1.0 (5*)

UNLV has gone 4-0 in their last 4 conference home games and won by an average of 13.5 points per contest. UNLV will also be out to revenge a 6-point loss at Boise State on 2/11. Boise State is 13-2 in conference play and UNLV is 9-6. Despite the Broncos being 4.0 games better than UNLV in the conference standings, the oddsmakers have virtually made this an even game. It’s seldom as easy as it looks when it comes to sports betting. Give me UNLV on Saturday.

Kansas @ Baylor 8:00 PM ET

Game# 761-762

Play On: Baylor -3.0 (5*)

I may be in the minority, but I don’t think Kansas is as good as their record or ranking indicates. This is a golden opportunity for Baylor to make a huge statement and send a message to other Big 12 teams regarding the upcoming conference tournament. Baylor will be playing with big time revenge after sustaining an embarrassing 24-point loss at Kansas on 2/5. The Bears are coming off a 2-point win at Oklahoma State in a game they shot just 36%. However, Baylor is 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they shote less than 40% and won by an average of 10.7 points per game. The oddsmakers are undeterred by Baylor’s blowout loss at Kansas based on this line and I concur with that mindset. Give me Baylor minus the points.

Florida State @ Virginia 4:00 PM ET

Game# 661-662

Play On: Virginia -7.0 (5*)

These are two teams clearly headed in opposite directions. Florida State has gone any abysmal 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games. That includes going 0-5 SU&ATS during its previous 5 road contest and they lost by an average of 14.8 points per game. Virginia is coming off a narrow 4-point loss to Duke. Nonetheless, the Cavaliers are 10-0 this year following a loss which includes 7-0 ATS in the last 7 with an average victory margin of 10.3 points per game. Virginia is also 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a home favorite. Give me Virginia minus the points.

Auburn @ Tennessee 4:00 PM ET

Game# 659-660

Play On: Tennessee -3.5 (10*)

This line jumped right off the page to me since #3 Auburn comes up as an underdog versus #17 Tennessee. Especially when considering, if this game were being played at Auburn, the Tigers would only be no more than a 3.0 or 4.0-point favorite. Since Auburn was ranked #1 for a first time in program history in late January, they’ve been dominant at home but very beatable on the road. Specifically speaking, during that time span Auburn is 2-2 SU and 0-4 ATS on the road. Additionally, their only 2 SU road wins in that stretch came over Missouri by 2 as a 14.0-points favorite and by 1 over Georgia as a 14.5-point chalk. Those 2 opponents are arguably the worst teams in the SEC this season. Conversely, Tennessee is a perfect 14-0 at home this season. The Volunteers are #36 nationally out of 358 Division 1 teams in terms of home court advantage. Tennessee is also #3 nationally in defensive efficiency in giving up just 87.9 points per their opponents 100 offensive possessions. Give me Tennessee minus the small number for a Top Play wager.

Kentucky @ Arkansas 2:00 PM ET

Game# 627-628

Play On: Arkansas -2.0 (5*)

Kentucky comes in with a stellar 23-5 record. Nevertheless, they’re just 1-4 SU&ATS in true road games when their point-spread is between -4.5 and +4.5. Arkansas is an outstanding 15-1 at home this season with an average victory margin of 15.1 points per game. Their most notable home wins coming over #3 Auburn and #19 Tennessee. The Razorbacks are a red-hot 12-1 SU&ATS in their last 13 games overall. Give me Arkansas minus the small number.

IPFW @ Detroit 1:00 PM ET

Game# 615-616

Play On: Detroit -3.0 (5*)

IPFW is 19-10 this season. Yet, they find themselves as an underdog versus a 13-13 Detroit team. Which is sure to give some public bettors a false sense of security when taking the underdog. I had Detroit on Thursday as a 1.5-point home underdog and they defeated Cleveland State (19-8) by 7. That win improved their record in lined home games to 7-0 SU&ATS this season and with a decisive victory margin of 13.0 points per contest. To use an overused cliché, “if it’s not broke then don’t fix it. Give me Detroit minus the points.

Cleveland State @ Detroit 7:00 PM ET

Game# 759-760

Play On: Detroit +1.5 (5*)

This line jumped right off the page at me. We have a 19-7 Cleveland State team as just a short favorite versus a 12-13 opponent. As a result, Cleveland State will undeniably be a heavily bet public side. However, going with the perceived obvious pick more times than not is the wrong decision. Besides, Detroit is a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in line home games this season and with a decisive victory margin of 14.0 points per contest. The Titans average 81.9 points scored per game at home while shooting 47.0% and converting on an excellent 45.1% of their 3-point attempts. As a matter of fact, Detroit has averaged 14 makes from 3-point territory per game at home. Detroit will also be out to revenge a 2-point loss at Cleveland State earlier this season. Give me Detroit plus the small number.

LSU @ Kentucky 9:00 PM ET

Game# 737-738

Play On” Over 142.0 (10*)

LSU has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 and that includes 4-0 over (145.5 PPG) on the road. Kentucky has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 at home when there was a total of 141.5 or greater and a combined 163.7 points were scored per game. Kentucky is ranked #4 national in offensive efficiency while scoring 120.6 points per 100 offensive possessions. The last 5 Kentucky games have seen a combined average of 127 field goal attempts per game which equated to an extremely fast pace by college basketball standards. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Wisconsin @ Minnesota 9:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Over 134.5 (5*)

Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 at home and there was a combined average of 144.7 points scored per game. The Golden Gophers have allowed opponents to shoot 48.4% and make 42.9% of their 3-point attempts throughout its previous 5 games. On a positive note, Minnesota has made 38.8% of their 3-point shot attempts in those 5 contests.

Wisconsin has played 4-1 to the over this season in true road games when facing teams that are currently unranked and there was a combined 142.8 points scored per game. The Badgers have played 3-0 to the over in their previous 3 outings and with an average of 140.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Mississippi State @ South Carolina 6:30 PM ET

Game# 663-664

Play On: South Carolina +2.5 (5*)

South Carolina has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 while averaging 78.0 points scored per game and they shot an impressive 49.7%.  The Gamecocks have held opponents to a mere 41.3% shooting this season and that’s noteworthy when it comes to today’s contest. Mississippi State is an abysmal 1-8 SU this season when facing teams that hold their opponents to 42% or less shooting on the year. Mississippi State is a terrible 1-7 SU in true road games this season and their lone win came in their previous outing by a slim 2-point margin versus Missouri who’s currently the 2nd worst team in the SEC. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Mississippi State is 0-6 ATS immediately following a conference win by 3 points or fewer and was outscored by a sizable 12.2 points per game. Give me South Carolina plus the small number.

Villanova @ Connecticut 8:00 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: Over 136.5 (10*)

Villanova has played 7-1 to the over in conference away games this season and there was a combined average of 147.1 points scored per contest. The Wildcats have also gone over the total in 5 of its last 6 overall with a combined 152.0 points scored per game. Villanova averages 9 three-point makes per game this season. Conversely, Connecticut has played 7-1 to the over this season versus opponents that average 8 or more 3-point makes per contest and there was a combined 160.0 points scored per game. During the first meeting of the season, Villanova walked away with an 85-74 home win and that contest easily sailed over the total of 128.5. The adjustment has been made to their 2nd matchup, but it still won’t prevent this game from surpassing the number. Give me this game to go over the total as a Top Play wager.

Baylor @ Oklahoma State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 895-896

Play On: Oklahoma State +5.0 (5*)

Oklahoma State is 3-0 in their last 3 and 5-1 during its previous 6 at home. The Cowboys have been extremely efficient offensively while shooting 47% or better in 7 of its last 8 games. Since 2019, Oklahoma State is 10-0 SU at home in February. As good as Baylor is, they’ve gone a disappointing 1-3 SU&ATS in their last 4 away games. The Bears also lost to Oklahoma State on their home floor earlier this season in a game they were a substantial 14.0-point favorite. Give me Oklahoma State plus the points.

West Virginia @ TCU 8:00 PM ET

Game# 885-886

Play On: Over 132.5 (5*)

West Virginia has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 away games and there was a combined 144.7 points scored per contest. West Virginia is coming off a 71-58 home loss to Kansas and that contest went under 147.5. The Mountaineers have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 following an under. TCU has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 at home.

Indiana @ Ohio State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 875-876

Play On: Ohio State -5.5 (5*)

Ohio State is coming off a 75-62 home loss ti Iowa on Saturday. It was the Buckeyes 1st home loss of the season. Ohio State is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS following a loss this season. Additionally, Ohio State will be playing with revenge stemming from a 67-51 loss at Indiana earlier this season. The Buckeyes have made an excellent 41.6% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games.

Indiana started the season 16-5. However, they’ve gone a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 while averaging a mere 59.0 points scored per game and a combined 37.8% shooting. The Hoosiers are also 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 at Ohio State. Give me Ohio State minus the points.

UTEP @ Middle Tennessee State 7:00

Game# 865-866

Play On: Middle Tennessee State -5.0 (5*)

MTSU is 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Furthermore, the Blue Raiders 8-0 SU&ATS in their previous 8 as a favorite of 8.5 or less with an average victory margin of 10.9 points per game. UTEP has allowed 3 of their last 4 opponents to shoot 51% or better. That’s not good news since they’ll be facing an MTSU team which has averaged 76.6 points scored per game, shot 49.8% from the field, made 41.2% of their 3-point attempts, and converted on 81.1% of its free throws over their previous 5 contests. Give me Middle Tennessee State minus the points.

Colorado @ Stanford 10:00 PM ET

Game# 805-806

Play On: Over 134.0 (5*)

Colorado has gone over the total in their last 4 and there was a combined 148.0 points scored per game. During that stretch, Colorado averaged 81.7 points scored per game, shot 50.5% from the field, and converted on an excellent 44.1% of its 3-point shot attempts. Stanford has played 3-0 to the over in its last 3 when the total was 137.5 or less and there were 148.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Texas A&M @ Vanderbilt 6:00 PM ET

Game# 737-738

Play On: Vanderbilt -3.5 (10*)

Vanderbilt was very competitive in road losses at #2 Auburn and #19 Tennessee. They covered the Tennessee game and fell just short in a 14-point loss to Auburn as a 13.5-point underdog. The Commodores return home where they’ve won 3 straight and a much-improved team than we saw earlier this season. Conversely, Texas A&M started the season 15-2 and then since that time they’ve gone 1-8. Their lone victory in that sequence came by 1 at home over Florida. These are two teams heading in opposite directions. Give me Vanderbilt minus the points for a Top Play wager.

Tennessee @ Arkansas 4:00 PM ET

Game# 673-674

Play On: Arkansas -2.5 (5*)

Tennessee is an unbeaten 0-4 at home this season but an uninspiring 5-6 SU in games played away from Knoxville. Arkansas is 14-1 at home this season and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6. Arkansas has held 9 of their last 11 opponents to shoot less than 40% and held them to 60 points or fewer 7 times. Give me Arkansas minus the small number.

Auburn @ Florida 2:00 PM ET

Game# 651-652

Play On: Florida +3.5 (5*)

We have unranked Florida (16-10) as just a 3.0-point underdog versus #2 Auburn (24-2) who is near perfect if not for sustaining 2 overtime losses. They’re begging you to take Auburn as a short favorite in this spot but I’m declining the invitation. Florida is in desperate need of a resume building win over a top opponent and the chance won’t get much glorious than this one. The Gators have won their last 5 at home. Furthermore, this will be the 4th road game for Auburn since they were ranked #1 for a first time in school history. They looked anything but dominant in the previous 3 while escaping with a 1-point win at Missouri and 2-point victory at Georgia. Those are arguably the 2 of the worst SEC teams this season. The Tigers also lost in overtime at Arkansas. Give me Florida plus the points.

Alabama @ Kentucky 1:00 PM ET

Game# 629-630

Play On: Kentucky -6.5 (5*)

#4 Kentucky will be in a sour mood after suffering a 13-point loss at Tennessee in their previous outing. The Wildcats return to the comforts of Adolph Rupp Arena where they’re 15-0 this season and outscoring opponents by 24.5 points per game.

#25 Alabama has gone just 2-5 SU in true road games this season which included terrible losses to Missouri as a 14.0-point favorite and as a 14.5-point chalk at Georgia. We know that Alabama can beat of the best of the best when considering they have wins over 5 teams currently ranked in the Top 25. However, the only thing consistent about the Crimson Tide is their inconsistently. Give me Kentucky minus the points.

Texas Tech @ Texas 12:30 PM ET

Game# 615-616

Play On: Texas -3.0 (5*)

Texas is a terrific 15-1 at home this season and outscored their opponents by a decisive average of 19.8 points per game. Texas Tech is 16-0 at home this season but they’re only 2-5 SU in true road games. As a matter of fact, the Red Raiders have scored 60 points or fewer in 3 of its last 4 games. That can be highly problematic when facing a Texas team which is allowing a mere 50.6 points per game at home. Texas will also be playing with big time revenge after suffering a 13-point loss at Texas Tech. I’m betting the Longhorns even the score in this one by a comfortable margin.

Ohio @ Kent State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 881-882

Play On: Kent State -120 (5*)

Kent State comes in on a red-hot 7-0 SU&ATS run in which it outscored those opponents by a sizable 10.6 points per game and they shot an impressive 48% or better in 6 of those contests. Additionally, Kent State has shot a blistering hot 43.6% from 3-point territory throughout their previous 5 games. At the time of this writing, Kent State is a 1.0-point favorite over Ohio. The Golden Flashes are also an extremely profitable 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS this season when their point-spread is +2.5 to -2.5. Furthermore, Kent State is coming off a 72-59 win at Toledo in a game they closed as an 8.5-point underdog. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Kent State has gone an unbeaten 9-0 SU following a straight up underdog win. Speaking of that Toledo win, it completed a 2-0 series sweep this season versus the Rockets. Ironically enough, 2 of the 4 losses for Ohio this season came versus Toledo. Kent State will also be playing with revenge stemming from an 80-72 loss at Ohio earlier this season. The table will turn in this matchup. Give me Kent State on the money line.

Towson State @ UNC-Wilmington 6:00 PM ET

Game# 743-744

Play On: NC-Wilmington +3.5 (10*)

NC-Wilmington continues to not get much respect from oddsmakers despite going 14-2 SU&ATS in their last 16 games versus Division 1 opponents. Furthermore, the Seawolves have gone a superb 9-0 ATS and 8-1 SU in their last 9 as an underdog. Wilmington is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in lined home games this season, and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog. Give me UNC-Wilmington plus the points for a Top Play wager.

Boise State @ Air Force 10:00 PM ET

Game# 729-730

Play On: Over 120.5 (5*)

Boise State has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5. Duriung that stretch there was an average total of 128.7 and 137.4 combined points were scored per game. Air Force has played 8-4 to the over this season in conference games and there was an average of 127.4 points scored per game. The Falcons have been terrible defensively over their previous 4 outings while allowing 82.0 points per game and permitting opponents to shoot a sizzling hot 58.5% from the field. Give me this game to go over the total.

Vanderbilt @ Auburn 9:00 ET

Game# 717-718

Play On: Over 143.0 (10*)

Vanderbilt has gone over the total in each of their last 5 contests. The Commodores shot a blistering hot 43.5% from 3-point territory throughout that 5-game stretch. Auburn is coming off a 75-58 home win over Texas A&M in a game that easily went under the totakl of 141.5. However, Auburn has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 following an under and there was a combined 152.0 points scored per game. Both teams have recently been great at getting to the foul line. Through each team’s previous 5 outings, Vandy averaged 23 free throw attempts per contest and Auburn did so 26 times per game. Conversely, during that identical 5-game stretch, both teams sent their opponents to the free throw line with almost identical frequency. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Mississippi State @ Alabama 7:00 PM ET

Game# 691-692

Play On: Alabama -6.0 (5*)

Mississippi State has lost 5 of their last 6 games. The Bulldogs are also an abysmal 0-6 SU in true road games this season. During their previous 3 road contests, Mississippi State averaged a paltry 56.7 points scored per game and shot less than 40% in each contest.

Alabama’s only 2 home losses this season came against #2 Auburn and #4 Kentucky. The Crimson Tide is coming off a 68-67 home win over #24 Arkansas. It was just the 4th time all season that Alabama failed to score more than 70 points. The previous 3 times that occurred, Alabama followed those sub-70-point performances by averaging 85.0 points scored per contest in their following game. Alabama also shot 39% in that win over Arkansas. It marked just the 5th time all season that Alabama shot less than 40% from the field. The first 4 times that transpired, Alabama bounced back to shoot 50% or better on each occasion. The Crimson Tide will also be playing with same season revenge stemming for an earlier season 2-point loss at Mississippi State. Give me Alabama minus the points.

Utah State @ San Diego State 11;00 PM ET

Game# 661-662

Play On: San Diego State -4.5 (5*)

San Diego State will be out to revenge an earlier season loss at Utah State. The Aztecs are 12-1 at home this season and allowed just 54.7 points per game and held opponents to a miserable 36.8% shooting. As a matter of fact, since the start of the 2019 calendar year, San Diego State is 49-5 at home and that includes 30-4 versus conference opponents. Utah State has lost 2 straight games and that includes an 85-72 defeat as an 11.0-point home favorite against Nevada in its previous contest. Give me San Diego State minus the points.

Kentucky @ Tennessee 9:00 PM ET

Game# 659-660

Play On: Tennessee -125 (10*)

#4 Kentucky hammered Tennessee 107-79 on 1/15 at Adolph Rupp Arena in Lexington. Yet, the sportsbooks were undeterred by that result and deemed this to be an even matchup. None to my surprise, early lopsided betting patterns have shown public action to heavily favor Kentucky.  

Tennessee possesses an extremely strong home court in Knoxville where they’ve 13-0 this season and 63-9 (.875) in their last 72. The Volunteers enter today on a 4-game win streak and having allowed just 64 points or fewer in each of their previous 3. Since the start of last season, Tennessee is a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS after allowing 65 points or less in each of their previous 3 and they won by an enormous average of 31.5 points per game. Give me Tennessee on the money line for a Top Play wager.

Arkansas @ Missouri 9:00 PM ET

Game# 657-658

Play On: Missouri +7.5 (5*)

Arkansas is coming off a 1-point loss Alabama which halted their 8-game win streak. The Razorbacks are coming off grueling close games versus #2 Auburn and #25 Alabama in their last 2. They have #19 Tennessee up next after today’s contest and in between they face a subpar 10-14 Missouri team. Additionally, Arkansas is one of just a couple currently ranked Top 25 teams that hasn’t responded well immediately following a loss this season. Missouri may have a poor record and is one of the bottom feeders in the SEC. However, the Tigers are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 at home. Give me Missouri plus the points.

West Virginia @ Kansas State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 871-872

Play On: Kansas State -3.5 (5*)

West Virginia has gone 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 true away games and were outscored by 15.0 points per contest. The most recent of those road defeats came on Saturday when they were routed by Oklahoma State 81-58. Furthermore, the Mountaineers are 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 as an underdog of 11.5 or less and they lost by an average of 14.6 points per game. Conversely, Kansas State has gained some confidence after winning 3 of its last 4 which included upset road wins over TCU and Iowa State. The Wildcats will also be out to revenge a 3-point road loss at West Virginia earlier this season in a game they easily covered as a 9.0-point underdog. Give me Kansas State minus the points.

Virginia @ Virginia Tech 7:00 PM ET

Game# 879-880

Play On: Over 118.5 (5*)

Virginia has played 6-0 to the over in conference away games this season whenever there was a total of 132.0 or less, and there was a combined 135.6 points scored per game. Virginia has scored 63 points or more in each of their previous 8 games. The Cavaliers are the #1 free throw percentage team in the ACC.

Virginia Tech has scored 71 points or more and shot 50% or better in 5 of its last 6 games. The Hokies have converted on an eye-popping 48.5% of their 3-poinst shot attempts over their last 5 games while averaging 12 makes per contest. As a matter of fact, the Hokies are #2 nationally in offensive 3-point shooring percentage.

Both teams play at a snail’s pace offensively which could make for frustrating television for over bettors to watch. However, the total has been adjusted accordingly and I am predicting both teams to score 60 points or more with all things being accounted for. Give me this game to go over the total.

Ole Miss @ Missouri 8:30 PM ET

Game# 793-794

Play On: Missouri -2.0 (5*)

These certainly aren’t 2 of the better teams in the SEC. Nonetheless, the home standing Missouri Tigers are the lesser of the 2 evils and they possess ample betting value in this matchup. Missouri has suffered 4 home loss this season and those defeats came by a combined 11 points. On the other hand, Ole Miss is 1-4 SU in true road games this season. Give me Missouri minus the small number.

Ohio State @ Michigan 6:00 PM ET

Game# 739-740

Play On: Ohio State +2.5 (10*)

My prediction is Michigan will be a heavily bet side in this matchup after their 82-58 home blowout over #3 Purdue on Thursday. It was far and away the best that Michigan has played all season. It would be a big ask to expect Michigan to turn in a similar dominating performance over another ranked team just 2 days later. It’s also unlikely the Wolverines will be able to match the emotion and laser like focus they displayed against Purdue. Conversely, #16 Ohio State will be in a sour mood after being upset 66-64 at Rutgers on Wednesday night. The good news for Buckeye backers is that their team is 5-0 SU this season following a loss. Give me Ohio State plus the small number for a Top Play wager.

TCU @ Texas Tech 4:00 PM ET

Game# 691-692

Play On: Texas Tech -10.5 (5*)

#13 Texas Tech (18-6) is coming off a poor performance in their last game as they fell 70-55 at unranked Oklahoma. On the bright side, the Red Raiders are 5-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss and they won by a decisive margin of 16.6 points per game. Included in those 5 bounce back wins were victories over #8 Kansas and #19 Tennessee. Furthermore, Texas Tech is an unbeaten 14-0 at home this season and 13 of those wins came by double-digit margins and the other was by 8 over then #5 Kansas. TCU has a stellar 16-5 season record which includes 4-1 SU in true road games. Yet, they’re unranked and come in as a heavy underdog. They’re begging you to take the sizable underdog in this spot. I won’t accept their seemingly generous offer. Give me Texas Tech minus the points.

West Virginia @ Oklahoma State 2:00 PM ET

Game# 633-634

Play On: Oklahoma State -3.5 (5*)

West Virginia is coming off a 79-63 home win over a struggling Iowa State team. That victory halted a Mountaineers 7-game losing streak. West Virginia is a terrible 0-5 SU&ATS in conference road game this season and were outscored by 13.4 points per contest. Oklahoma State is 3-1 SU in their last 4 at home and their lone defeat came in overtime. The Cowboys rank #19 out of 357 Division 1 teams in defensive efficiency while allowing 91.5 points per 100 defensive possessions. I look for that part of their game to pave the way for a cover. Give me Oklahoma State minus the points.

Navy @ Army 1:30 PM ET

Game# 011-012

Play On: Navy -3.5 (5*)

Navy lost to Army at home and blew a massive 27-point lead in that contest. Yet, the Midshipmen find themselves as a road favorite in this current matchup and rightfully so. Since that epic comeback win over Navy, Army has gone a dismal 1-5. Navy is the top defensive team in the Patriot League from an efficiency rating standpoint. The Middies get their revenge on Saturday. Give me Navy minus the points.

Texas A&M @ Auburn 12:00 PM ET

Game# 609-610

Play On: Auburn -12.5 (5*)

#1 Auburn will be in a bad mood after losing in overtime at Arkansas in their previous game. They return home where they’ve gone a dominating 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS with an average victory margin of 18.8 points per game. They’ll get just what the doctor order in a Texas A&M team which has lost 7 consecutive games after starting the season 15-2. The Aggies have been poor defensively throughout their previous 5 games while allowing opponents to shoot 48.6% and convert on an alarmingly high 44.8% of their 3-point shot attempts. Give me Auburn minus the points.

Arizona State @ Washington 11:00 PM ET

Game# 863-864

Play On: Washington -120 (5*)

Washington suffered some bad losses in the non-conference portion of their schedule against teams like Utah Valley State, Winthrop, and Northern Illinois. Nonetheless, they have shown vast improvement in PAC-12 Conference play while going 7-4 in those contests. As a matter of fact, Washington is 4-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season. On the other hand, Arizona State is 0-4 SU in conference play and was outscored in those outing by 19.3 points per game. Give me Washington on the money line.

Purdue @ Michigan 9:00 PM ET

Game# 843-844

Play On: Over 144.5 (10*)

#3 Purdue enters this contest after going over in their last 5 and with a combined 160.2 points scored per game. The Boilermakers have scored 80 points or more in 6 straight and 8 of its last 9 games. Purdue is #1 nationally out of 357 teams playing Division 1 basketball in offensive efficiency while scoring 126.5 points per 100 possessions. They’ll be facing a Michigan team that has allowed 74.2 points per game and permitted opponents to shoot 49.2% over their previous 5 contests.

Michigan has seen all 4 of their conference home games go over the total with a combined average of 148.4 points scored per game. The Wolverines are #24 national in offensive efficiency at 113.8 points scored per 100 possessions. Michigan will be out to avenge an 82-76 loss at Purdue in a game that took place just last Friday. That contest easily surpassed the total of 145.5. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Morehead State @ Belmont 8:00 PM ET

Game# 803-804

Play On: Belmont -9.0 (5*)

This line jumped off the board at me. Morehead State is 19-6 which includes 11-1 in Ohio Valley Conference action. Additionally, they already have an 83-74 home win over Belmont on their season resume. Yet, they opened as a 10.0-point underdog in this matchup. They’re begging you to take the underdog in this spot. However, upon further research, Morehead State is 0-6 ATS this season as a road underdog with an average margin of defeat coming by 16.3 points per game.

Since their loss to Morehead State, Belmont has won 6 consecutive games and shot 49% or better in each of those contests. Belmont is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home versus Morehead State and won by a decisive margin of 21.3 points per game. Give me Belmont minus the points.

Old Dominion @ Middle Tennessee State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 775-776

Play On: Middle Tennessee State -5.0 (5*)

Old Dominion has gone a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 conference road games and lost by an average of 12.0 points per contest. Conversely, Middle Tennessee State is a perfect 10-0 at home with an average victory margin of 18.1 points per game. MTSU is also an extremely profitable 7-0 ATS this season as a favorite of 12.0 or less. Give me Middle Tennessee State minus the points.

Tennessee @ Mississippi State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 745-746

Play On: Mississippi State +1.5 (10*)

#19 travels to Biloxi, Mississippi for what shapes up to be a tough matchup despite them facing an unranked opponent. The Volunteers are coming off an 81-57 blowout win at South Carolina. Since the start of last season, Tennessee has gone 0-4 SU following a conference win by 20 or more and lost by an average of 9.3 points per game. The Volunteers are just 2-4 SU in conference away games this season.

Mississippi State has displayed a strong home court advantage this season while going 12-1 SU and 9-4 ATS in those games. Furthermore, Mississippi State is 5-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season The Bulldogs are coming off a 63-55 loss at Arkansas in a game they shot just 35.3% from the field. Mississippi State is 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they shot less than 40% and has a substantial victory margin of 18.0 points per game. The Bulldogs are in desperate need of a signature win over a ranked opponent to improve their NCAA Tournament resume. Give me Mississippi State for a Top Play wager.

Missouri State @ Drake 8:00 PM ET

Game# 723-724

Play On: Over 142.0 (5*)

Drake has seen 5 of its last 6 contests go over the total and there was a combined 154.5 points scored per game. Drake is coming off a 74-69 overtime loss to Northern Iowa. The Bulldogs have gone over in their previous 3 following a loss. Missouri State has witnessed 5 of their last 6 going over when the total was 135.0 or greater. Give me this game to go over the total.

St. Joseph’s @ Davidson 7:00 PM ET

Game# 693-694

Play On: Over 144.5 (5*)

Davidson has played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 contests and there was a combined 148.0 points scored per game. The Wildcats are an excellent offensive team that is #7 nationally in efficiency while averaging 117.8 points per 100 offensive possessions, #4 in 3-point shooting (40.6%), and #24 in free throw shooting at (77.1%). These teams met in Philadelphia on 1/ 5 which resulted in an 88-73 win which easily went over the total of 143.0. As a matter of fact, since the start of the 2019-2020 season, these teams have met 4 times and each of those games went over the total. St. Joe’s has played 3-1 to the over in its last 4 while scoring 69 points or more in all those games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Ohio State @ Rutgers 7:00 PM ET

Game# 699-700

Play On: Rutgers +3.5 (5*)

Rutgers has gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS as a conference home underdog this season. Included in those 4 victories was wins over #3 Purdue and #17 Michigan State. The Scarlet Knights are 13-9 SU this season. However, 5 of their 9 losses have come by 3 points or fewer. #16 Ohio State (16-5) has lost 3 of its last 4 conference road games. Give me Rutgers plus the points.

Michigan @ Penn State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 655-656

Play On: Penn State +2.0 (5*)

Michigan is a disappointing 2-6 SU&ATS in true road games this season. The Wolverines have been terrible defensively during their previous 3 contests while allowing 79.3 points per game and opponents shot an alarmingly high 52.6% from the field. Penn State has gone a respectable 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at home. The Nittany Lions have also gone an impressive 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 this season as a home underdog of 8.0 or less. Give me Penn State plus the small number.

Wisconsin @ Michigan State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 617-618

Play On: Over 138.0 (5*)

These teams met in Madison on 1/21 with Michigan State prevailing 86-74 and that contest easily surpassing the total of 139.0. Wisconsin has played 10-1 to the over this season whenever the number was 136.0 or greater. The Badgers have also averaged a robust 62 field goal attempts per game over their previous 5 contests. On the other hand, Michigan State has converted on an excellent 41.4% of their 3-point attempts and 84% of its free throws throughout the last 5 contests. Give me this game to go over the total.

Auburn @ Arkansas 7:00 PM ET

Game# 623-624

Play On: Arkansas +2.5 (10*)

They’re begging you to take the #1 Auburn Tigers as a short favorite over an unranked team. Since being ranked #1 for the first time in school history 2 weeks ago, Auburn has played 2 road games and turned in uninspiring performances against arguably the 2 worst SEC teams. They escaped with narrow wins by 1 at Missouri and by 2 versus Georgia. Conversely, this is a red-hot Arkansas team that’s riding an 8-game win streak and they covered on 7 of those occasions. The Razorbacks are also 13-1 at home this season. Give me Arkansas plus the small number for a Top Play wager.

Kansas @ Texas 9:00 PM ET

Game#  907-908

Play On: Texas +1.5 (5*)

Kansas is coming off Saturday’s huge 83-59 home win over #10 Baylor. Now just 2 days later they have to travel to Austin, Texas to take on the #20 Longhorns. It’s only human nature that Kansas won’t be able to match the emotional intensity and sharpness they displayed versus the defending national champion Baylor Bears. The Jayhawks will be taking on a Texas team which has gone 14-1 SU at home this season while allowing a paltry 48.9 points per game. Texas has 4 returning starters from a team that swept Kansas last season and held them to only 34.1% shooting in those 2 contests. Texas is coming off Saturday’s 63-41 home blowout win over #21 Iowa State.

Arizona @ Arizona State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Under 143.0 (5*)

Both teams are outstanding defensive teams. Arizona ranks #4 in adjusted defense in allowing just 87.4 points per 100 offensive possessions. Arizona Stata is #54 out of 357 Division 1 teams in that same category. Arizona State has played 7-0 to the under in their last when there was a total of 142.0 or greater and there was a combined 136.0 points scored per game. The Sun Devils have also played 9-0 to the under at home this season when the total was 131.5 or great. Furthermore, Arizona State is statistically one of the worst offensive teams in college basketball this season. These teams met just 10 days ago in Tempe, and Arizona walked away with a 66-57. That contest easily went under the total of 148.0. Arizona has played 7-3 to the under this season when facing conference opponents and they held those teams to 37.5% shooting and only 13 free throw attempts per game. Bet this game to go under the total.

Loyola-Chicago @ Missouri State 2:00 PM ET

Game# 845-846

Play On: Loyola-Chicago -114 (5*)

Loyola will be playing with same season revenge after sustaining a 79-69 home loss to Missouri State. It was 1 of just 4 losses that Loyola (17-4) has dealt with this season. Their only other defeats came at the hands of #13 Michigan State by 2, #1 Auburn by 9, and at Drake (17-7). This is an experienced and battle tested team that will be more than up to the challenge today against a solid Missouri State (17-7) team. Give me Loyola-Chicago for a money line wager.

Oregon @ Utah 8:30 PM ET

Game# 807-808

Play On: Oregon -3.5 (5*)

I very seldom go with a road favorite on the huge Saturday college basketball cards. However, this is one of those exceptions to the rule. Don’t be deceived by the 25-point home win by Utah over Oregon State on Thursday night. The Beavers are a terrible team. As a matter of fact, that victory snapped a Utah 10-game losing streak. On the other hand, is a red-hot Oregon team which has won 8 of its last 9 which includes an unscathed 4-0 on the road. Oregon is an unbeaten 8-0 in their last 8 games versus Utah. Bet Oregon minus the points.

Kentucky @ Alabama 8:00 PM ET

Game# 791-792

Play On: Alabama +1.5 (10*)

The one thing that’s been consistent for Alabama this season has been their inconsistency. The Crimson Tide is coming off a resounding 100-81 road loss at #1 Auburn. That defeat dropped the Crimson Tide’s season record to 14-8. They have also suffered puzzling losses to Iona, Davidson, at Georgia as a 14.5-point favorite, and at Missouri as a 14.0-point chalk. Nonetheless, there are many positives. Alabama has posted wins over #2 Gonzaga, #6 Houston, #8 Baylor, #22 Tennessee, and #25 LSU. So, it’s unlikely they’ll be intimidated by taking on #4 Kentucky at home where Alabama has gone 10-1 SU. Their lone home defeat was by a narrow 3-point margin against top ranked Auburn. Give me Alabama plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Northern Iowa @ Drake 6:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Over 142.0 (5*)

Drake has gone over the total in their last 5 and there was a combined 156.8 points scored per game. The Bulldogs come into this Missouri Valley game with an outstanding 17-6 record. That’s significant in the respect that Northern Iowa has played 10-1 to the over this season when facing an opponent with a winning record and there was a combined 153.1 points scored per game. Northern Iowa is averaging a lofty 77.5 points scored per game this season in conference action. Drake has allowed 76.0 points per game throughout their previous 5 contests. It also must be note, Drake has made a terrific 39.3% of their 3-point shot attempts at home. Bet this game to go over the total.

Baylor @ Kansas 4:00 PM ET

Game# 693-694

Play On: Kansas -2.0 (5*)

The last time Kansas played at home was last Saturday when they were thoroughly embarrassed in an 18-point loss to #4 Kentucky. To their credit, the Jayhawks bounced back with a quality road win by 9 at Iowa State earlier this week. Speaking of last Saturday, #8 Baylor was upset by unranked Alabama. Kansas has lost back-to-back home games just once since 1990 and that occurred in December, of 2017 with both coming against non-conference opponents. The #10 Jayhawks learned a valuable lesson last week and they’ll be ready to bring their “A Game” to this one. Bet Kansas minus the points.

Tulane @ Temple 2:00 PM ET

Game# 663-664

Play On: Temple -3.5 (5*)

These are two teams headed in opposite directions. After a terrible start to their season, Temple has seeming righted the ship. The Owls have gone a stellar 5-1 in their last 6 games. Conversely, this is a Tulane team which has been atrocious in true road games this season while going 0-6 and losing by an average of 21.7 points per contests. These teams met at Tulane earlier this season at Tulane and Temple walked away with a 69-64 win as a 3.0-point underdog. It has always been pretty for Temple, but in 8 American Athletic Conference contests they’ve held their opponents to only a combined 38.4% shooting and a miserable 26.7% from 3-point territory. Give me Temple minus the points.

Tennessee @ South Carolina 1:00 PM ET

Game# 625-626

Play On: South Carolina +7.0 (5*)

South Carolina is far from a great team. Nevertheless, the Gamecocks are a respectable 13-8 overall and 4-5 in the extremely tough SEC. They will be facing a #22 ranked Tennessee team that’s gone a dismal 1-4 SU during its previous 5 true road games. South Carolina will also enter this matchup with momentum after winning 3 of its previous 4 games. Give me South Carolina plus the points.