Maryland @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM ET

Game# 635-636

Play On: Wisconsin -7.0

Maryland has gone 1-4 SY&ATS in their last 5 which includes 0-3 ATS as an underdog. The Terrapins are a very good defensive team but can’t put the ball in the ocean offensively. During conference action, Marland has shot 39.8% from the field and made a poor 28.3% of their 3-point shot attempts.

This can be perceived to be a heavy number to cover for a Wisconsin team which is 1-5 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games. However, the Badgers are 11-2 SU at home this season with their lone defeats coming against #5 Tennessee and #3 Purdue.  Additionally, Wisconsin is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in conference home games and that includes 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS as a favorite. Give me Wisconsin minus points.

UCF @ West Virginia 7:00 PM ET

Game# 603-604

Play On: Over 143.0

UCF has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 and there was a combined average of 147.2 points scored per game. West Virginia has played 5-1 to the over during conference home games this season and there was a combined 156.5 points scored per contest. The Mountaineers are #1 during Big 12 action with regards to offensive tempo but last in adjusted defensive efficiency. Give me this game to go over the total.

South Carolina State @ Howard 7:30 ET

Game# 306639-306640

Play On: Over 149.0

These are the top 2 three-point shooting teams during MEAC action. Additionally, Howard is #1 in adjusted offensive efficiency during conference play and South Carolina State #3. We have a perfect storm situation when it comes to free throws attempted and allowed per game in this matchup. South Carolina State’s conference games have averaged a combined 50 free throw attempts while Howard is at 49 per contest. Howard is last in MEAC play in adjusted defensive efficiency. South Carolina State is coming off a 71-67 defeat at Norfolk State and they’ve played 11-3 over the total this season immediately following a loss. These teams met earlier this season and Howard prevailed 82-78 and that contest went over the total of 152.5. Furthermore, there was a combined 52 free throw attempts during that contest and that’s extremely high by college basketball standards. Give me this game to go over the total.

Seton Hall vs. St. John’s 5:00 PM ET

Game# 861-862

Play On: Seton Hall +6.5

I see an ample amount of betting value in the underdog Seton Hall Pirates in this game. St. John’s is a dismal 2-7 SU in their last 9 games. Seton Hall is #1 in offensive rebounding and #2 in free throw percentage during Big East play. Conversely, St. John’s is next to last in defensive rebound and last in free throw percentage during Big East action. Give me Seton Hall plus points.

North Texas @ UAB 3:00 PM ET

Game# 853-854

Play On: UAB -125 (ML)

North Texas is coming off a home win over Memphis. However, the Mean Green have gone 0-3 SU in their last 3 following a win and hasn’t won back-to-back games since 1/17. UAB is an unscathed 5-0 SU in conference home games including quality wins over South Florida (18-5), Memphis (18-7), and FAU (20-5). Give me UAB as a money line favorite.

Northwestern @ Indiana 3:00 PM ET

Game# 855-856

Play On: Indiana -130 (ML)

Northwestern is 1-6 SU in conference away games this season which includes losing their last 5 in that situation. Indiana is coming off a dismal performance during a 20-point loss to #2 Purdue. Since the start of last season, the Hoosiers are 7-1 SU after a conference loss by 10-points or more. During that same time span, Indiana is 6-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6.0 or less. The Hoosiers are 10-3 SU at home this season and 2 of those defeats came against #2 Purdue and #6 Kansas. Give me Indiana as a money line favorite.

Nevada @ UNLV 11:30 PM ET

Game# 815-816

Play On: UNLV -2.0

Nevada 919-6) is coming off a gauntlet of 3-games against some of the best teams the Mountain West Conference has to offer in Utah State (21-4), San Diego State (19-6) , and New Mexico (20-5). They managed to win 2 of those 3 contests with the previous 2 resulting in an overtime home win over San Diego State and a 1-point loss to New Mexico. Now they travel up the highway to take on in-state rival UNLV who has won 5 in a row to improve their season record to 14-9. This sets up nicely for the hometown Rebels. Give me UNLV minus points.

San Francisco @ Loyola-Marymount 9:00 PM ET

Game# 793-794

Play On: Over 143.0

San Francisco has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 this season when the total was between 140.0 to 149.5 and there was a combined average of 158.8 points scored per game. The Dons have shot 50% or better in 9 of their previous 14 games. During West Coast Conference action San Francisco has averaged 81.3 points scored per game and shot 49.6% from the field. Loyola has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 at home with a combined 146.8 points scored per game. Loyola has made a red-hot 39.4% of their 3-points shot attempts throughout their previous 5 contests. However, on a negative note throughout that identical 5-game span they allowed 80.8 points per contests, opponents shot a combined 51.9% from the field including making 39.4% of their 3-point shot attempts. These teams met earlier this season which resulted in a San Francisco 90-74 win and the contest easily going over the total of 141.5.  Give me this game to go over the total.

Kentucky @ Auburn 6:00 PM ET

Game# 731-732

Play On: Auburn -8.0

Auburn is 13-0 at home this season and each of those wins came by 11 points or more. They covered 9 of those 13 contests and won by an average of 22.1 points per game. Both of these teams are explosive offensively, but Auburn is better on the defensive end which will pay dividends down the stretch in this contest. Give me Auburn minus points.

Kentucky @ Auburn 6:00 PM ET

Game# 731-732

Play On: Over 164.5

This game will be played at a frenetic offensive pace. Kentucky is #7 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and Auburn is #9. Kentucky is also #12 nationally in offensive temp while averaging 72.6 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played. Auburn is in the upper 20% of college basketball in that category as well while averaging 70.1 possessions per. Auburn is very good defensively but their biggest flw on that end of the floor is they foul a lot. Kentucky has made 75.2% of their free throws this season and that’s very good by college basketball standards. Kentucky is #3 nationally and #1 during SEC action in offensive 3-point shooting while making 40% of those shots beyond the arc. I’m not going to allow this high number scare me away from going over the total. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see this contest approach the high 170’s or low 180’s. Give me this game to go over the total.

Stanford @ Washington State 6:00 PM ET

Game# 743-744

Play On: Over 145.5

Stanford has been an offensive juggernaut during PAC-12 play while averaging 78.1 points scored per contest while making an excellent 42.2% of their 3-points shots and 77.5% of their free throws. The Cardinal are coming off an 85-65 loss at Washington. Stanford has played 6-0 to the over this season following a loss by 10 points or more and there was a combined 160.7 points scored per game. Stanford is #2 during PAC-12 action when it comes to offensive tempo and Washington State is #2 in adjusted offensive efficiency. Washington State has averaged 80.4 points scored per game at home this season while shooting a shade under 51% from the field and went 37.9% from beyond the 3-point line. Give me this game to go over the total.

Youngstown State @ Clevland State 3:00 PM ET

Game# 669-670

Play On: Over 151.5

Since the start of last season, these Horizon League in-state rivals have played 3 times, and each went over the total with an average combined score of 159.3 points scored per game. That includes a 94-69 Youngstown State win earlier this season in a game that soared over the total of 146.0. YSU has played 4-0-1 to the over in their last 5 contests with a combined 167.6 points scored per game. The Penguins have allowed 81.0 points per game in their last 5 and opponents made 39.0% of their 3-point shots. Cleveland State has gone 11-2 at home this and averaged 80.2 points scored per game. Cleveland State allows the most free throw attempts of any Horizon League team during conference play. That will help us significantly since YSU is #1 in the Horizon League from the free throw line while connecting on an excellent 79.1% of their attempts.

Wisconsin @ Iowa 2:15 PM ET

Game# 655-656

Play On: Over 152.5

Iowa is #16 nationally when it comes to adjusted offensive efficiency. The Hawkeyes are also #18 nationally and #1 during Big 10 Conference action in offensive tempo. Conversely they’re next to last during conference action in adjusted defensive efficiency. Iowa is dead last in Big 10 action when it comes to 2-point defensive percentage. That’s problematic since they’ll be facing a Wisconsin team that’s #1 during conference play with their 2-point shooting at 53.1%.  Wisconsin is #19 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. Wisconsin defeated Iowa 83-72 earlier this season and had 35 free throw attempts in that contest while going a superb 23-36 (63.9%) shooting from inside the arc. Give me this game to go over the total.

Texas Tech @ Iowa State 12:00 PM ET

Game# 601-602

Play On: Iowa State -7.5

The last time Texas Tech took the floor was at home on Monday night when they shellacked #6 Texas 79-50 in an ESPN nationally televised game. Now 5 days later they find themselves as a sizable 7.5-point road underdog at Iowa State and most bettors will opt to take Texas Tech after witnessing their superb performance just 5 days ago. However, Iowa State is ranked #10 nationally and 14-0 at home this season including an extremely profitable 12-2 ATS with an average victory margin of 28.5 points per game. The Cyclones have also won 6 of their last 7 games overall with their lone defeat coming by just 2-points at #12 Baylor. On the other hand, Texas Tech has lost 3 of their last 4 true road games including a 23-point loss at #3 Houston. Give me Iowa State minus points.

New Mexico @ San Diego State 10:00 PM ET

Game# 895-896

Play On: San Diego State -6.0

This line jumped right off the board to me. This is an extremely heavy line in my professional opinion where the oddsmakers and sportsbooks are making the underdog New Mexico Lobos (20-5) a very enticing option to wager on. Especially considering when these teams played at New Mexico on 1/13 the Lobos walked away with an 88-70 blowing win while easily covering as a 3.5-point favorite. It must be noted, San Diego State possesses an extremely strong home court where they’ve gone 12-0 this season and with an average victoy margin of 17.0 points per game. Furthermore, they’ve covered in 6 of their last 7 at home with all coming as a favorite and won by 15.7 points per contest. The tables will turn in this 2nd matchup between 2 Mountain West Conference teams that barring something unforeseen will be in the NCAA Tournament. I’m going against public perception in this one and give me San Diego State plus points.

California @ Washington State 10:00 PM ET

Game# 823-824

Play On Washington State -8.5

Washington State is a red-hot 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS during their previous 9 games. That includes 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home and with an average victory margin of 11.2 points per game. The Cougars will be playing with revenge stemming from an earlier season loss at California. During the past 3 seasons, Washington State is 6-0 SU&ATS at home when playing with same season revenge with an average victory margin of 16.3 points per game. Give me Washington State minus points.

Northern Colorado @ Portland State 10:00 PM ET

Game# 815-816

Play On: Over 153.5

Northern Colorado is currently a 2.0-point road favorite in this contest. They’ve played 3-0 to the over this season as a favorite in true road games and there was an enormouse 176.0 combined points scored per contest. During their previous 5 contests, Northern Colorado has averaged 80.6 points scored per game while shooting 50.9% from the field, 40.0% from 3-point range, and 76.1% from the free throw line. Northern Colorado is coming off an 87-81 home win over Montana. They’ve played 10-1 to the over this season immediately following a game in which there was a combined 115 points or more being scored. Those 11 contests averaged a combined 165.7 points scored per outing.

Portland State has seen their last 3 all go over when the total was 138.0 or greater and there was a combined 169.3 points scored per game. They’ve played poor defense throughout their previous 5 contests while allowing 76.8 points per contest while opponents shot 48.1% and made 38.2% of their 3-point shot attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.

Colorado @ UCLA 9:00 PM ET

Game# 801-802

Play On: Colorado -125 (ML)

This is like my pick on UMass +4.5 versus Richmond last night. I thought the sportsbooks were begging you to take the small favorite that was 12-0 at home, and the line made little sense. When that happens, I go with a contrarian pick or just plain pass on the game. UCLA has been red-hot while winning 7 of its last 5 which includes a current 5-game win streak. While Colorado is 1-6 SU&ATS this season during true road games. Yet, it’s Colorado who’s the favorite in this contest. Give me Colorado on the money line.

Minnesota @ Purdue 8:30 PM ET

Game# 777-778

Play On: Over 145.0

Minnesota has gone over the total in their last 4 when the number was 140.0 or greater and there was a combined 159.3 points scored per game. The Golden Gophers are #1 in Big 10 Conference action when it comes to 2-point percentage offense while making 53.7% of those attempts inside the arc. They’re also #2 in free throw attempts during Big 10 play.

Purdue has scored 79 points or more in each of their 6 conference home games this season. They’ve also seen 4 of their last 5 conference home contests go over the total with a combined average of 167.8 points scored per game. Purdue is #2 nationall and #1 during Big 10 action when it comes to adjusted offensive efficiency. Additionally, during conference action Purdue averaged a noteworthy 26 free throw attempts per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Memphis @ North Texas 8:00 PM ET

Game# 761-762

Play On: Memphis +1.5

North Texas is a solid team which plays very good defense. However, their offensive game leaves much to be desired. The Mean Green have lost 4 of their last 5 which included home defeats versus UAB and South Florida. This is a very talented Memphis team whichg by all accounts has underachieved up until this point. Nevertheless, after hitting rock bottom during a 0-4 SU&ATS stretch, they rebounded to go win their last 3. Memphis is a more than respectable 6-3 in true road games which includes quality wins at Missouri, VCU, and Texas A&M. The Tigers have allowed 30 points or fewer in the 1st half in each of their previous 3 games. Memphis has gone a perfect 12-0 SU over the past 3 season after allowing 30 points or less during the first half of each of their previous 2 contests and won by an average of 12.1 points per occurrence. I’ll take Memphis in this one.

Western Carolina @ Samford 9:00 ET

Game# 701-702

Play On: Samford -7.5

Samford is 14-0 SU at home this season with a decisive average victory margin of 20.8 points per game. Since losing their first 2 games of the season, Samford has gone a sizzling hot 22-1. The Bulldogs have shot 46% or better in each of their previous 5 games. Samford is a perfect 11-0 SU&ATS this season after shooting 47% or better during each of their previous 3 contests and won by a substantial margin of 18.4 points per game. The Bulldogs are a perfect 4-0 ATS this season as a single-digit home favorite  and won by 13.3 points per game.

Samford has scored 75 points or more in each of their previous 5 games and Western Carolina is coming off a 79-46 blowout win over Mercer. College Basketball favorites like Samford that have scored 75 points or more during each of their previous 5 games, and is facing an opponent like Western Carolina who’s coming off a win by 30 points or more, resulted in those favorites going 33-10 ATS (76.7%) throughout the previous 5 season. The average line in those 43 contests was 8.0 which is almost identical to the number in this matchup. Give me Samford minus points.

Massachusetts @ Richmond 7:00 PM ET

Game# 661-662

Play On: Massachusetts +4.5

This line makes little sense to me. We have a Richmond team that’s 12-0 SU & 11-1 ATS at home this season. Then we have a UMass team that’s only 1-5 SU in true road games this season. Furthermore, Richmond is 9-1 in conference play while UMass is a mediocre 6-5. Yet, Richmond is only a 4.5-point home favorite. This looks to good to be true when it comes to taking Richmond as a small home favorite. When that occurs, I tend to go the opposite direction and that’s precisely wh I’m going to do here. Give me Massachusetts plus points.

Oakland @ IPFW 7:00 ET

Game# 673-674

Play On: Over 152.0

Oakland has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 163.0 or less and there was a combined average of 169.8 points scored per game. During their previous 5 outings, Oakland averaged 84.8 points scored per game and averaged 12 thrree-point shot makes per contest. During that identical time span they also shot an excellent 83.7% from the free throw line.

IPFW has averaged 82.0 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 53.9% throughout their previous 3 contests. During conference action, IPFW averages 80.6% points scored per game while making 37.4% of their 3-point shot attempts. These teams played at Oakland earlier this season, and IPFW walked away with a 98-77 win which easily went over the total of 149.0. I’m confident that will see a similar high scoring affair in today’s matchup. Give me this game to go over the total.

LSU @ Florida 8:00 PM ET

Game# 627-628

Play On: Florida -9.5

These appears to me as a heavy line in which the sportsbooks are begging you to take the double-digit underdog. I’m not accepting that seemingly alluring invitation. Florida has won their last 4 conference home games by 12.7 points per contest. Florida has averaged 88.9 points scored per game at home while shooting 49% and went to the free throw line an alarmingly high 26 times per contest.

LSU is 0-4 SU in their last 4 conference away contests and lost by 14.5 points per game. During their last 5 overall, LSU allowed 89.6 points per game while opponents shot 46% from the field and 38.6% from 3-point territory, and opponents averaged 24 free throw attempts per contest. Give me Florida minus points.

Iowa State @ Cincinnati 7:00 ET

Game# 617-618

Play On: Under 136.5

Cincinnati has played 5-1 to the under in their last 6. The Bearcats are 3-0 to the under in their previous 3 at home and with just a combined average of 129.3 points scored per game. Iowa State has played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 when the total was 140.0 or less. The Cyclones are 13th national in adjusted defensive efficiency. Both teams are very good defensively and have limitations offensively. Give me this game to go under the total.

Marquette @ Butler 6:30 PM ET

Game# 601-602

Play On: Over 154.5

Butler upset Marquette 69-62 on the road earlier this season and that game easily went under the total of 154.5. Yet, the oddsmakers seem fully undeterred by that result as this current total is identical to the first meeting between these teams. These teams rank #2 and #3 in 3-point offensive shooting percentage during Big East Conference action.

Butler has played 8-3-1 to the over in their last 12 and there was a combined 154.8 points scored per game. During their 6 conference home games this season Butler averaged 77.3 points scored per contest. During their previous 5 contests, Butler averaged 82.8 points scored per game while shooting 48.7% and made 37.5% of their 3-point shots.

Marquette enters today on a 7-game win streak in which they shot 50% or better on each occasion. They also allowed 72 points or more in 5 of those contests. The Golden Eagle love to play at a torrid offensive tempo and that’s been even more evident in their conference games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Baylor @ Kansas 6:00 ET

Game# 769-770

Play On: Kansas -6.5

Kansas will be in a sour mood after losing on the road to in-state rival Kansas State 75-70 in their previous game. We must keep in mind, that contest took place just 2 days after Kansas turned in a flawless performance in a convincing win over #5 Houston. The Jayhawks are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS this season immediately following a loss and with an average victory margin of 13.7 points per game. The Jayhawks are also a perfect 12-0 at home this season with a sizable point per game differential of +16.4. Kansas has won their last 3 at home versus Baylor and by an average decisive margin of 17.7 points per game despite being just a small favorite on 2 of those occasions and an underdog on another.

As good as Baylor is, their defensive play over their previous 5 games has been extremely shaky. During that span they’ve allowed opponents to shoot a combined 49.5% from and filed and an alarmingly high 44.1% from 3-point range.  That shapes up as problematic against a Kansa team that at home this season has shot 53.3% from the field and made an excellent 41.3% of their 3-point shot attempts.

This is another example of a heavy line that reeks of sportsbooks pleading with you to take the nationally ranked hefty underdog. I’m not taking the bait. Give me Kansas minus points.

Houston @ Cincinnati 4:00 PM ET

Game# 697-698

Play On: Cincinnati +5.5

Every avid college basketball fan knows how good Houston is defensively. However, Cincinnati is #17 nationall in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Bearcats are also the top 3-point shooting team during Big 12 Conference play. Cincinnati has suffered 5 conference losses this season, but all of them came by 5 points or fewer. The Bearcats also come in with momentum and confidence after knocking off #23 Texas Tech on the road in their previous game. Give me Cincinnati plus points.

Quinnipiac @ Mount St. Mary’s 4:00 PM ET

Game# 721-722

Play On: Quinnipiac -120

Quinnipiac (19-4) enters today on a 10-game win streak and that includes winning 4 of those contests on the road. Quinnipiac is an unblemished 16-0 this season as a money line favorite and 15-0 versus teams with a losing record like Mount St. Mary’s (10-13).

Mount St. Mary’s is coming off a 4-point home win over Manhattan but failed to cover as a sizable 9.5-point favorite. Since the start of last season, Mount St. Mary’s is 1-7 versus the money line immediately following a home win. They played at Quinnipiac earlier this season and lost 79-65. Revenge can only carry you so far. Give me Quinnipiac as a money line favorite.

TCU @ Iowa State 2:00 PM ET

Game# 669-670

Play On: Iowa State -7.5

TCU is a very good team so this appears to be a heavy line which screams of the sportsbooks begging you to take the underdog. I am going to turn down their kind gesture and opt for the much smarter money going on the home favorite. Iowa State is 13-0 SU at home this season with a massive point per game differential of +29.7. Included in those home victories were wins over #4 Kansas and #5 Houston. Iowa State won 73-72 at TCU earlier this season in a game they forced 27 Horned Frogs turnovers. That’s nothing new for an Iowa State team that ranks #2 nationally in forcing turnover. The Cyclones have forced opponents into turnovers in 26.1 of their offensive possessions this season. Iowa State is also #4 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. Give me Iowa State minus points.

Cornell @ Yale 2:00 PM ET

Game# 667-668

Play On: Over 153.5

Yale is #1 during Ivy League in adjusted offensive efficiency while averaging 117.9 points per 100 offensive possessions. Cornell is #2 in that same category uring league play. Cornell is also #1 in the IVY when it comes to offensive temp while averaging 68.6 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played. Cornell has scored 77 points or more in 10 of their last 11 games. Yale has scored 79 points or more in each of their last 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Providence @ Butler 2:00 PM ET

Game# 659-660

Play On: Over 145.0

Butler is coming off a 71-62 loss at #1 Connecticut and the game went under the total of 145.0. Butler has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 immediately following an under and with an enormous average of 171.3 points scored per game. Providence has gone over the total in their last 5 when the number was 137.5 or greater and there was a combined 155.0 points scored per game. These teams met earlier this season at Providence and the Friars won 85-75 and that contest easily sailed over the total of 139.5. What stuck out to me in that matchup was the fact there was a combined 170 field goal attempts which equates to a torride offensive tempo set by both teams. Give me this game to go over the total.

Dayton @ VCU 7:00 PM ET

Game# 885-886

Play On: VCU +1.5

This isn’t as much about disliking Dayton in this matchup, but more about liking VCU in this specific spot. After all, Dayton (21-3) is ranked #19 nationally and have won 16 of their last 17 games.  Their only loss in that stretch came at Richmond just recently. That’s the same Richmond team that suffered their only conference loss last week at VCU.

VCU is 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 games. Their lone defeat in that successful run came at St. Bonaventure in a game they blew a 20-point 2nd half lead. Additionally, they allowed just 60.0 points per game in those 8 contests and held opponents to a combined 36.8% shooting from the field. On the offensive side, VCU has made an impressive 40.4% of their 3-point shot attempts and went 84.6% from the free throw line over their previous 5 games. Give me VCU in this one.

Arizona @ Utah 8:00 PM ET

Game# 817-818

Play On: Utah +6.0

Arizona is a legitimate national title contender. However, they’re a bit vulnerable in conference away games. The #8 Wildcats have suffered road losses to unranked teams such as Stanford, Oregon State, and Washington State. As a matter of fact, all 5 losses by Arizona this season have come either on a neutral floor or true road game. Conversely, Utah is 0-5 SU&ATS in conference away games. However, they’re a perfect 12-0 SU & 8-4 ATS at home with an average victory margin 18.0 points per game. They’ll also be out to revenge a 92-73 loss at Arizona earlier this season. Give me Utah plus points.

Samford @ UNC-Greensboro 7:00 PM ET

Game# 789-790

Play On: UNC-Greensboro -115 (ML)

This line jumped right off the screen at me. We have a Samford team which has gone 20-1 SU in their last 21 games as a conference underdog. Well, that’s because UNC-Greensboro is a very good team who’s 9-1 SU at home with a substantial point per game differential of +18.7.

Here’s the main reason why we will win this game. Greensboro (17-6) is making a red-hot 41.8% of their shot attempts in conference play which ranks #1 in that category. Furthermore, the Spartans are making a superb 43.4% of their 3-point attempts at home. Conversely, as good as Samford has been, they’re dead last during conference action defending the 3-point shot while opponents have made an alarmingly high 39.8% of those long-distance attempts. Greensboro will also be out to atone for a 79-70 loss at Samford earlier this season. With a win tonight, Greensboro will forge themselves into a tie with Samford atop the Southern Conference standing. Give me UNC-Greensboro on the money line.

North Alabama @ North Florida 7:00 PM ET

Game# 306531-306532

Play On: Over 151.0

North Florida has scored 76 points or more and shot 49% or better in 7 of their last 8 games. North Florida is #1 in adjusted offensive efficiency during Atlantic Sun Conference play. They’re also shooting a sizzling hot 41.3% from the 3-point territory during conference action. Each of their last 3 contests have gone over the total with a combined average of 170.7 points scored per game.

During their previous 5 contests, North Alabama has averaged 81.6 points scored per game, shot 48.7% from the field, converted on 48.7% of their field goal attempts, shot a scalding hot 43.7% from beyond the 3-point line, and made 79.3% of their free throws. They’ve seen each of their previous conference away contests go over the total with a combined average of 168.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Nebraska @ Northwestern 9:00 PM ET

Game# 737-738

Play On: Over 141.0

Nebraska has played 10-0-1 to the over in their last 11 whenever the total was 142.0 or greater. The Cornhuskers are #2 in Big 10 play when it comes to offensive 3-point shooting percentage at 40.8% and Northwestern is #1 at 44.1%. Conversely, Nebraska is #12 in Big 10 play at defensing the 3-point line as opponents have made 38.1% of those long-distance attempts while Northwestern is #13 at 38.8%. These teams are also the bottom 2 teams during Big 10 action in regard to 3-point shot attempts against them. Additionally, Nebraska has seen 43.8% of their field goal attempts come from beyond the 3-point line in Big 10 play which is the highest in the league. Give me this game to go over the total.

Southern Illinois @ Drake 8:00 PM ET

Game# 713-714

Play On: Drake -10.0

Drake (18-5/9-3) is coming off a 75-67 loss at Missouri Valley Conference leader Indiana State (20-3/11-1) last Saturday in a game that was even closer than the single-digit margin would indicate. The Bulldogs are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss with an average victory margin of 15.4 points per game. Drake is also an unscathed 12-0 SU at home while outscoring their opponents by 17.9 points per game. Drake is #1 in MVC play when it comes to turnovers being committed which has seen them turn the ball over on only 12% of their offensive possessions. Conversely, Southern Illinois is last in that same category while committing turnover on 19.6% of their offensive possessions. Southern Illinois has been an average shooting team at best during conference action. That doesn’t bold well for them in this matchup since they don’t figure to get many 2nd chance opportunities against a Drake team that leads the Missouri Valley in defensive rebounding and is #2 nationally in that category. Give me Drake minus points.

High Point @ UNC-Asheville 6:30 PM ET

Game# 306503-306504

Play On: Over 157.0

Both teams have been adept at getting to the free throw line during conference play and each is excellent in making those attempts with High Point at 81.5% and Asheville 77.6%. Asheville is averaging 79.1 points scored per game while shooting 50.6% and 43.0% from beyond the 3-point line. High Point averages 84.2 points scored during conference play and also gets to the free thrown line 31 times per contest. These teams met 3 weeks ago, and High Point walked away with an 84-79 home win. There was a combined 70 free throw attempts awarded in that contest and the teams converted on 82.6% of those attempts. Asheville has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when there was a total of 148.0 or greater and it resulted in a combined 162.0 points scored per game. High Point has scored 78 points or more in each of their last 11 games. Asheville has scored 79 points or more in 8 of their last 9 at home. Give me this game to go over the total.

San Diego State @ Air Force 10:30 PM ET

Game# 609-610

Play On: Air Force +10.0

Before you question my sanity in making this choice take a second to hear me out. San Diego State is coming off a convincing home win over nationally ranked Utah State. Now they go on the road to face an Air Force team that’s gone 1-11 SU in their last 12 and is 0-4 SU&ATS during conference home games while being outscored by 15.3 points per contest. Nevertheless, San Diego State faces a scheduling gauntlet in the next 4 conference games having to face Nevada (17-5), Colorado State (17-5), #25 New Mexico (18-4) and #22 Utah State (19-3). This situation screams as a flat spot for #24 San Diego State. On a positive note for Air Force, they average 10 three-point makes per game while converting on an impressive 39.3% of those attempts during conference play. The Falcon have also shot 47% or better in 5 of their last 7 contests. Give me Air Force plus points.

Charlotte @ South Florida 9:00 PM ET

Game# 651-652

Play On: South Florida -134

These are a pair of red-hot teams that are atop the AAC standings. However, South Florida is 8-0 SU and 6-1-1 ATS at home in their last 8.  In an otherwise even matchup, the home court advantage will serve the Bulls well in this one. Give me South Florida as a money line favorite.

Indiana @ Ohio State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 609-610

Play On: Indiana +6.0

This is a struggle of 2 struggling Big 10 teams that are in the midst of extremely disappointing seasons. Nonetheless, Ohio State as a sizable favorite after losing their last 4 and 7 of their previous 8 isn’t conducive to laying points with any type of confidence. The Buckeyes are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 as a favorite of 9.0 or less.

Ohio State is coming off a 2-point loss at Iowa. Indiana is coming off a dismal performance during a 85-71 home loss to Penn State in a game they closed as a 7.0-point favorite. College Basketball underdogs of between 3.5 to 9.5 that are coming off a SU favorite loss, and their facing an underdog coming off a conference loss by 3 points or fewer, resulted in those underdogs going an extremely profitable 35-10 ATS (77.8%) throughout the previous 5 seasons, and the average line was 5.8. Give me Indiana plus points.

Kansas @ Kansas State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 875-876

Play On: Over 144.5

Kansas has been sizzling hot offensively over their last 9 games and all against Big 12 Conference opponents. During that stretch, the Jayhawks have averaged 78.4 points scpored per game and shot a sensational 53.1% from the field. Kansas will be facing a Kansas State which is last during Big 12 Conference play when it comes to free throw attempts allowed at 24 per game. Additionally, over their previous 5 contests Kansas State has allowed an alarmingly high 30 free throw attempts per game. Kansas has made 74.2% of their free throw attempts in conference play which is 2nd best. Kansas has seen their last 3 road contests on the road go over the total with a combined 162.0 points scored per game. The last 4 meetings between these bitter in-state rivals have all gone over the total with a combined average of 167.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Purdue @ Wisconsin 1:00 PM ET

Game# 829-830

Play On: Wisconsin +2.5

Purdue is 9-2 in conference play and both losses occurred on the road versus Northwestern and Nebraska. Wisconsin squandered a 20-point 2nd half lead at Nebraska in their previous outing and may have been caught peeking ahead to their huge home game versus #2 Purdue. Despite that loss, the Badgers are 15-3 in their last 18 games and have won straight at home. The Badgers are also a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season with an average victory margin coming by 12.4 points per contest. Give me Wisconsin plus points.

St. Mary’s @ Gonzaga 10:30 PM ET

Game# 815-816

Play On: Over 138.5

Despite the extremely slow pace that St. Mary’s prefers to play at, they’ve still played 8-3 to the over in their last 11 games. The Gaels are #1 in offensive efficiency, #1 in 3-point shooting percentage (38.2%), and #2 in free throw percentage (75.9%) during conference play.

Gonzaga has scored 73 points or more in 20 of 21 games this season with the lone exception coming against #2 Purdue. The Bulldogs have also scored 74 or more in all 11 at home while averaging 91.7 points per game and shooting a blistering hot 53.6% from the field. Give me this game to go over the total.

Drake @ Indiana State 6:00 PM ET

Game# 729-730

Play On: Indiana State -5.5

This is a matchup of the 2 best teams in the Missouri Valley Conference. Indiana State (19-3) will be playing with revenge stemming from an 89-78 loss at Drake (18-4) earlier this season. Since that defeat the Sycamores have reeled off 6 wins in a row. Indiana State is also 9-0 SU at home this season with an average victory margin of 26.5 points per game. Drake is just 2-3 SU&ATS in their last 5 true road games with all those as a favorite. This will be only the 2nd time this season that the Bulldogs are an underdog which tells me precisely how the oddsmakers feel about this matchup. Besides that loss at Drake, the only other defeats that Indiana State has suffered came at Michigan State and Alabama. Another thing to keep in mind. If Indiana State has a small lead down the stretch which prompts Drake to intentionally foul to extend the game, Indiana State is the 4th best free throw shooting team in the country at 79.1%. Give me Indiana State minus points.

Auburn @ Ole Miss 6:00 PM ET

Game# 739-740

Play On: Ole Miss +3.5

Ole Miss will be out to revenge an earlier season 82-59 blowout loss at Auburn. The Rebels are a perfect 12-0 SU and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS versus conference opponents with an average victory margin of 15.3 points per contest. Auburn is a Top 10 caliber team when they’re at their best. However, they dropped their last 2 conference road games at Alabama and Mississippi State. Give me Ole Miss plus points.

Richmond @ VCU 4:00 PM ET

Game# 687-688

Play On: Richmond +4.0

VCU had their 5-game win streak snapped on Tuesday after they blew a 19-point lead at St. Bonaventure and lost by 5. VCU has also lost 5 home games this season including defeats against McNeese State and Norfolk State. Richmond continues to receive little respect despite their 16-5 record and current 11-game win streak in which they covered 10 of those contests. They’re also a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in conference away games and they were an underdog on each of those occasions. Give me Richmond plus points.

Virginia @ Clemson 2:00 PM ET

Game# 653-654

Play On: Virginia +5.0

Clemson has leveled off considerably after an impressive start to the season. The Tigers are coming off an uninspiring 70-64 home win over a terrible Louisville team and didn’t come close to covering as a 16.0-point favorite. Clemson is 0-3 SU in their last 3 games immediately following a win. They also suffered a recent home loss to Georgia Tech as an 11.5-point favorite.

Virginia enters today on a 5-game win streak in which they outscored opponents by an average of 10.4 points per game. Granted those wins didn’t all come over top shelf competition, but you can never undervalue an underdog with momentum. During their current win streak, Virginia has made an excellent 41.7% of their 3-point shot attempts. Making those long-distance shots is the great equalizer for an underdog and especially so on the road. Give me Virginia plus points.

Manhattan @ Quinnipiac 7:00 PM ET

Game# 865-866

Play On: Over 151.5

These teams played on 1/17 at Manhattan and Quinnipiac walked away with a 76-59 win and that contest easily went under the total of 151.0. The oddsmakers seem undeterred by that result when setting the total for today’s matchup since it’s practically identical. That previous contest only had a combined 135 points scored but it was no fault of which how fast a tempo it was played at. We saw a combined 165 field goal attempts in that contest which is very high. These team are #1 and #2 during conference play when it comes to adjusted offensive tempo. Manhattan has seen each of their 4 games go over the total and there was a combined 155.0 points scored per game with the average total being 140.5. Quinnipiac has scored 76 points or more in 7 of their last 10 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Wisconsin @ Nebraska 8:30 PM ET

Game# 789-790

Play On: Nebraska +1.5 (-115)

Nebraska has been tough at home this season with their lone loss coming versus in-state rival and #13 Creighton (16-5). However, they’ve gone a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in conference home games which includes a 16-point win over #2 Purdue (19-2). The won those 5 conference home contests by 11.8 points per game while averaging 81.8 points scored per outing and shooting 51.9%. The Cornhuskers will also be seeking revenge for an 88-72 loss suffered at Wisconsin earlier this season. #6 Wisconsin is 16-4 but 3 of their losses took place in true road games. It’s also worth noting, Nebraska is shooting a blistering hot 41.8% from 3-point range during conference play. Conversely, Wisconsin ranks 10th in Big 10 Conference action when it comes to defending the 3-points shot as opponents have made 38% of their attempts against them. Give me Nebraska.

Florida @ Kentucky 8:00 PM ET

Game# 709-710

Play On: Kentucky -5.5

Florida is an uninspiring 1-3 SU&ATS in true road games this season and allowed 84.3 points per contest while doing so. The Gators rank next to last in adjusted defensive efficiency during SEC play. That’s not good news when considering that Kentucky is #9 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and #4 in 3-point shooting while converting on an impressive 40.2% of their long-distance attempts. Kentucky doesn’t beat themselves which is proven by them turning the ball over on just 13.1% of their offensive possessions. The Wildcats are 10-1 at home this season which includes winning their last 4 by 15.3 points per contest and they averaged 95.3 points scored per game. Give me Kentucky minus points.

Bowling Green @ Ball State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 613-614

Play On: Over 149.0

Bowling Green has gone over the total in each of their previous 8 contests and there was a combined average of 162.0 points scored per game. That includes 4-0 to the over in conference away games with a combined 154.0 points scored per contest. Ball State has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 whenever the total was 140.0 to 149.5 and there was a combined 154.0 points scored per contest. Ball State has also played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 conference home games and with a combined average of 158.3 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go over the total.

Marquette @ Villanova 7:00 PM ET

Game# 619-620

Play On: Villanova -129 (ML)

This is another of those situations where the oddsmakers are throwing uss a curve ball. We have an unranked Villanova team that enters today on a 4-game losing streak versus #9 Marquette (15-5). They’re pleading with us to take Marquette in this spot. My response is simply no thank you. Despite Villanova sporting an uninspiring 11-9 overall record which includes some bad losses, we must keep in mind they also own wins over currently ranked #15 Texas Tech (16-3), #3 North Carolina (17-3), and #13 Creighton (16-5). Give me Villanova as a money line favorite.

South Carolina @ Tennessee 6:30 PM ET

Game# 601-602

Play On: Tennessee -13.5

South Carolina is 17-3 yet they’re a current 14.0-point road underdog. The Gamecocks are also 5-2 in SEC play but they’re unranked. It’s like the sportsbooks are begging you to take the seemingly generous number of points being afforded to them. Well, I’m not taking the bait. Tennessee is ranked 5th nationally with a 15-4 record which includes 10-0 SU at home. Furthermore, the Volunteers are 3-0 SU&ATS in SEC home games thus far and with an average victory margin of 21.7 points per contest. Give me Tennessee minus points.

Ohio State @ Northwestern 3:30 PM ET

Game# 811-812

Play On: Northwestern -2.5

Ohio State is 0-4 this season in true away games and all those games came against fellow Big 10 Conference teams. After starting the season 11-2, Ohio State has also dropped 4 of the last 5 overall which includes losses to 3 unranked teams. Northwestern has gone 10-1 at home this season which includes quality wins over #2 Purdue (18-2) and #10 Illinois (14-5). Furthermore, Northwestern is #2 in Big 10 play in 3-point accuracy while making 41.4% of those long-distance shot. Conversely, Ohio State ranks 13th during Big 10 conference play in 3-point defense while allowing opponents to convert an alarmingly high 40.6% of their attempts. Give me Northwestern minus points for a Top Play wager.

James Madison @ Appalachian State 6:00 PM ET

Game# 753-754

Play On: Appalachian State -120 (ML)

James Madison was ranked in the AP Top 25 up until recently which was prompted by an upset win over then #4 Michigan State in their season opener. They then proceeded to win their next 13 to begin the season 14-0. However, they’re 4-2 since which included a 59-55 home loss to Appalachian State. Appalachian State is 15-2 in their last 17 games. The Mountaineers are also a perfect 9-0 at home which included an upset over currently ranked #7 Auburn. Give me Appalachian State as a money line favorite.

Arizona @ Oregon 5:30 PM ET

Game# 751-752

Play On: Oregon +4.0

Arizona is one of the best teams in the country. However, they’ve been extremely vulnerable in true road games this season while going 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 when cast into that role. All 3 of those losses came as favorites as -9.0 or greater and included an absolute stunner as an 18.5-point chalk at Oregon State just 2 days ago. The Wildcats started the season 8-0 but have gone just 6-5 since.

Oregon is a perfect 10-0 SU at home this season and that includes 4-0 when facing conference opponents. The Ducks have won their last 5 at home versus Arizona and all came with current head coach Dana Altman at the helm. It’s also worth noting, Oregon has made an excellent 41.8% of their 3-point shot attempts in conference play. Arizona ranks 10th in conference playing in defending the 3-point shot as their opponents have converted on a concerning 38.1% of their long-distance attempts. The great equalizer for a college basketball underdog is their ability to make 3-point shots and that certainly is applicable in this instance. Give me Oregon plus points.

Auburn @ Mississippi State 3:30 PM ET

Game# 685-686

Play On: Auburn -2.5

Mississippi State went 11-2 during their non-conference slate but is only 2-4 in conference play. The Bulldogs have also committed turnovers on 18.2% of their offensive possessions in those 6 games and only 2 SEC teams are worse. They’ll be facing an Auburn team that ranks #1 in SEC action while forcing turnovers on 21.6% of their opponents’ offensive possessions.  This is a less than desirable matchup for Mississippi State.

#7 Auburn (16-3) will be in an extremely sour mood heading into this matchup after suffering a 79-75 loss at bitter rival Alabama on Wednesday night. Despite giving up 79 points to Alabama they held the Crimson Tide to just 38.5% shooting. Auburn is a very underrated defensive team which gets overlooked due to their 83.9 points per game scoring average this season. Nevertheless, the Tigers are #5 nationally in defensive efficiency and #1 in that category during SEC play. Give me Auburn minus points.

Kansas @ Iowa State 1:30 PM ET

Game# 627-628

Play On: Iowa State -4.5

So we have the #23 Iowa State Cyclones as a 4.5-point favorite over the Kansas Wildcats. Granted the game is being played in Ames, Iowa. However, based on this line if the game were played at Kansas, the higher ranked Jayhawks would only be a 2.5 to 3.5-point favorite. They’re begging you to take the dog in this pot and I see that as a sucker bet. I’ll go with a contrarian approach, give me Iowa State minus points.

St. Joseph’s @ St. Bonaventure 8:30 PM ET

Game# 887-888

Play On: Over 144.0

St. Bonaventure has gone over the total in each of their last 5 at home with a combined average of 153.2 points scored per game. The Bonnies have scored 89 points or more and shot 55% or better in 4 of those last 5 at home. St. Joe’s has gone over the total in all 6 of their true road games this season with a combined 163.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Xavier @ Creighton 8:30 PM ET

Game# 645-646

Play On: Over 148.0

Xavier has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 and there was a combined average of 161.0 points scored per game. The Musketeers have been playing a an extremely fast office pace over their last 7 contests which is evidenced by them having 63 or more field goal attempts on each occasion. Xavier has scored 74 points or more in 8 of their last 10 games. Creighton is averaging an impressive 87.8 points scored per game while shooting 51.2% and includes going 36% from 3-point range at home this season. Give me this game to go over the total.

St. Mary’s @ San Francisco 10:00 PM ET

Game# 817-818

Play On: San Francisco +1.5

No analysis due to time constraints.

Virginia @ Georgia Tech 6:00 PM ET

Game# 759-760

Play On: Georgia Tech +2.0

No analysis due to time constraints.

Northwestern @ Nebraska 2:15 PM ET

Game# 679-680

Play On: Over 144.0

No analysis due to time constraints.

North Carolina @ Boston College 2:15 PM ET

Game# 677-678

Play On: Boston College +7.0 (-115)

No analysis due to time constraints.

Purdue @ Iowa 2:00 PM ET

Game# 653-654

Play On: Iowa +6.5

No analysis due to time constraints.

St. Bonaventure @ George Mason 2:00 PM ET

Game# 649-650

Play On: St. Bonaventure +2.5

No analysis due to time constraints.

Marquette @ St. John’s 12:00 PM ET

Game# 609-610

Play On: St. John’s +1.5

St. John’s is coming off road losses in their last 2 games played versus Creighton and Seton Hall. However, the Red Sorm are 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 at home. Marquette is an excellent team but they’ve hit a bit of a wall of late. They’re 3-3 SU in their last 6. Additionally, the Golden Eagles are 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 previous away games. Give me St. John’s in this one.

Creighton @ Seton Hall 12:00 PM ET

Game# 611-612

Play On: Seton Hall +3.0

Seton Hall is playing extremely well right now. They’ve begun their Big East Slate by going 6-1 which includes a current 5-game win streak. The Pirates have posted quality wins over UConn by 15 and Marquette by 3. Seton Hall is a stellar 8-1 SU at home this season.  Creighton has been plagued by inconsistent play recently which is evidenced by an uninspiring 5-4 SU record over their previous 9 games. Give me Seton Hall plus points.

Miami Fla. @ Syracuse 12:00 PM ET

Game# 601-602

Play On: Syracuse -1.5

The Orange are in much need of quality wins if they hope to make the NCAA Tournament. They do own Quad 1 wins over Oregon and Pittsburgh twice this season. This is another golden opportunity for them to shine their resume a little brighter against a formidable Miami team. Syracuse is a perfect 8-0 SU at home this season and is coming off a confidence building 11-point road win at Pittsburgh in their previous game. Syracuse is also an extremely profitable 5-0 ATS this season as a favorite of 5.0 or less and won by an average of 12.8 points per game. Miami has lost 3 of their last 4 and included a an upset shocking defeat to Louisville as a 16.0-point home favorite. They also lost in their previous outing to Florida State as a 5.5-point home favorite. Give me Syracuse to come out on top in this one.

St. Peter’s @ Fairfield 7:00 PM ET

Game# 877-878

Play On: Over 135.0

This is a very low total for a Fairfield game. That has much to do about the extremely slow tempo that St. Peter’s plays at which ranks #350 nationally out of 363 division 1 teams. However, the Peacocks have played 3-1 to the over in their last 4 and averaged a respectable 71.8 points scored per game. Furthermore, St. Peter’s has scored 67 points or more in their last 3 and 4 of the previous 5 on the road. When considering the current total on this contest, the previous sentence is certainly noteworthy. St. Peter’s is 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 games while averaging an extremely high 28 free throw attempts per game and making an outstanding 75.9% of those attempts.

Fairfield has played 6-0 to the over in conference play and with a combined 156.4 points scored per game. During those 6 contests they shot a blistering hot 42.0% from 3-point range, 55.4% inside the arc, and converted on an excellent 78.2% of their 3-point attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.

NC-Wilmington @ Elon 7:00 PM ET

Game# 747-748

Play On: Elon +7.5

Elon has gone 6-1 SU at home this season while UNC-Wilmington is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 true away games. The adage is that the great equalizer for college basketball underdogs is the ability to make 3-point shots. Elon is #66 nationally in offensive 3-point shot percentage at 36.1%. Additionally, Elon averages 10 three-point makes at home while converting on an excellent 40.1% of those long-distance attempts. As a matter of fact, Elon has averaged 88.1 points scored per game at home while shooting a superb 51.7% from the floor. Conversely, NC-Wilmington is #303 national when it comes to defensive 3-point shooting percentage defense at 36.1%. I love the home underdog betting value in this matchup. Give me Elon plus the points.

Wisconsin @ Penn State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 645-646

Play On: Wisconsin -5.5

Despite playing against the 337th toughest schedule or 26th easiest whichever way you want to interpret it, Penn State still has an uninspiring 8-9 record.  Conversely, Wisconsin is 13-3 while playing against the 5th strongest schedule in college basketball. The Badgers are also an impressive 6-2 versus teams in the Top 50 of KenPom rankings. The Badgers are #6 nationally in offensive efficient and #27 defensively. Give me Wisconsin minus points.

Texas A&M @ Arkansas 9:00 ET

Game# 649-650

Play On: Texas A&M -141

This line stuck out to me since we have a team like Arkansas that traditionally has a strong home court which includes a win this season over Duke at Bud Walton Arena, and they come up as an underdog versus a 10-6 opponent like Texas A&M. Truth be told, Arkansas hasn’t been very good in recent games. The Razorbacks enter this contest on a 3-game losing streak in which they were outscored by an average of 21.3 points per game. Additionally, Texas A&M is much better than their 10-6 record indicates.  The Aggies have played against the 12th most difficult strength of schedule but still own quality wins over Ohio State on the road, at SMU, in addition to nationally ranked Kentucky, and Iowa State. Give me Texas A&M as a money line favorite.

St. John’s @ Seton Hall 8:30 PM ET

Game# 641-642

Play On: Seton Hall +2.5

Seton Hall is 5-1 in Big East Conference Play and 3 of those wins took place on the road. The Pirates also own quality home wins over nationally ranked Marquette and UConn. Give me Seton Hall in this one.

Utah @ Stanford 5:00 PM ET

Game# 843-844

Play On: Over 156.5

Stanford has played 8-0 to the over at home this season with a combined average of 171.4 points scored per game. Conversely, Utah has played 5-0-2 to the over in neutral site and true away games with a combined 153.3 points scored per contest. Stanford is #19 nationally in 3-points offensive shooting percentage while making 38.6% of their attempts. Utah is #31 nationally at that same category at an impressive 37.6%. Additionally, Utah is #203 and Stanford #260 nationally when it comes to 3-points percentage defense. Both teams are in the upper 30% in college basketball when it comes to offensive tempo. Give me this game to go over the total.

Portland @ San Francisco 10:00 PM ET

Game# 767-798

Play On: San Francisco -16.5

Portland isn’t a good team whatsoever. They rank #248 in offensive efficiency and #292 defensively. Portland has suffered 5 losses this season that KenPom has ranked #220 or worse and were defeated by a sizable average of 9.0 points per game. Additionally, Portland hasn’t registered a win this season versus any team that ranks in KenPom’s Top 160. On the other hand, San Francisco has gone a perfect 8-0 at home this season with an enormous average victory margin of 30.4 points per game. The Dons will also enter tonight on an overall 5-game win streak in which they outscored their opponents by 26.8 points per contest. Give me Portland minus points.

Temple @ North Texas 6:00 PM ET

Game# 739-740

Play On: North Texas -11.0

Temple started the season 3-0 and has gone 5-8 since. Those struggles have occurred despite playing against a strength of schedule that ranks #217 according to KenPom. The Owls have also suffered bad losses at the hands of #235 Columbia, #262 Old Domion, #176 East Carolina, and #147 South Florida.  On the other hand, North Texas is 7-0 at home this season with an average victory margin of 20.0 points per game. The Mean Green is a very frustrating team to play against since they plat at one of the slowest offensive paces in the country and are an excellent defensive team as well. Give me North Texas minus points.

Fordham @ Saint Bonaventure 2:30 PM ET

Game# 663-664

Play On: St. Bonaventure -10.0

Fordham has an uninspiring 7-8 record this season while facing a soft strength of schedule that ranks #333 nationally. They’ve also sustained bad losses to #217 Abilene Christian, #260 Central Connecticut State, and #331 NJIT. They also among the nation’s worst in free throws allowed. Conversely, St. Bonaventure ranks 19th nationally in free throw percentage while making 77.5%. The Bonnies are also a very good 3-points shooting team ranking #34 in that category. Give me St. Bonaventure minus points.

Davidson @ George Washington 2:00 PM ET

Game# 647-648

Play On: George Washington -120 (ML)

Davidson is 1-2 in true road games while losing to East Tennessee State (#204-KenPom ranking) and by 34 at St. Mary’s. Davidson is also coming off a pair of home losses in their last 2 games played including falling to Rhode Island (#188-KenPom ranking). George Washington is 9-1 SU at home this season with their only loss occurring 2 games ago in a triple overtime thriller vs. Fordham. However, they rebounded nicely in their last game with a solid road win over VCU. GW ranks 20th nationally in 3-point offensive shooting percentage at 38.2%. Give me George Washington on the money line.

Xavier @ Providence 2:00 PM ET

Game# 649-650

Play On: Providence -150 (ML)

Xavier has lost 3 of their last 4 and 6 of the previous 9. They are 0-3 SU in true road games as well. Providence is 10-1 SU at home and is ranked 6th nationally in defensive efficiency. Give me Providence minus points.

Northwestern @ Wisconsin 8:10 PM ET

Game# 607-608

Play On: Northwestern +7.5

Wisconsin is an excellent team and well deserving of their ranking. But, Northwestern is more than capable of holding their own in this matchup if not pull an outright upset. However, I won’t get greedy and will take the generous number of points given to me. Northwestern already has quality wins this season over Dayton, Purdue, and Michigan State. The Wildcats are also 2-1 in true road games. They say the ability to make 3-point shots is the great equalizer for a college basketball underdog. This is certainly one of those situations I subscribe to that theory.  Northwestern is #29 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.7%. Conversely, Wisconsin is #280 nationally in 3-point defensive shooting percentage. Give me Northwestern plus points.

IPFW @ Robert Morris 7:00 PM ET

Game# 871-872

Play On: Over 154.5

Despite their poor record, Robert Morris has scored 75 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games and that includes the previous 4 played at home. Furthermore, RMU has played 4-0 to the over this season when the total was 145.0 or greater and there was a combined total of 171.5 points scored per game.

IPFW loves to play an up-tempo style of basketball. They’ve scored 75 points or more in 13 of 17 games this season. During their last 3 games played IPFW averaged 91.3 points scored per contest. They’re coming off 2 losses against Wright State 106-98 and Youngstown State 95-83. Additionally, I look for IPFW to get plenty of east transition baskets when facing this RMU team who turns the ball over on 24% of their offensive possessions which ranks #304 nationally, and considering IPFW is #11 nationally in forcing turnovers. Give me this game to go over the total.

UCLA @ Utah 9:00 PM ET

Game# 803-804

Play On: UCLA +9.0

Utah has certainly faced a very difficult schedule but has still gone 11-4 and is 8-0 at home. However, they come off road losses in their last 2 games to Arizona 92-73 and Arizona State 82-70. Additionally, since the start of the 2021-2022 season Utah is an abysmal 2-13 SU following a conference loss by 10 points or more.

UCLA is off to an extremely disappointing 6-9 start to the season which includes losing 7 of their last 8. Nevertheless, the Bruins have seen all 9 of their losses come by 9 points or fewer so it’s not like their getting blown out by anybody. Their issues come on the offensive side where they’ve struggled for most of the season up until this point. However, they’re only allowing 62.1 points per game and holding their opponents to 39.1% which has kept them competttive throughout. Give me UCLA plus points.

Butler @ Marquette 9:00 PM ET

Game# 731-732

Play On: Marquette -11.5

Marquette is much better than their 11-4 even indicates. The Golden Eagles have faced the 7th most difficult schedule in the nation thus far. They own quality wins at Illinois (11-3) by 7, Kansas (13-1) by 14, Texas (12-3) by 21, and Creighton (12-4) by 5. Marqutte is coming off a loss at Seton Hall. Nevertheless, the Golden eagles are 3-0 following a loss this season while winning by a huge margin of 29.3 points per game. Butler enters this matchup having gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and was outscored by an average of 11.0 points per game. Give me Marquette minus the points.

Arkansas @ Georgia 9:00 PM ET

Game# 733-734

Play On: Over 151.5

These teams have seen their last 4 meetings all go over the total with a combined average of 172.5 points scored per game. Arkansas has played 11-3 to the over this season and likes to push the pace offensively. The Razorbacks have also witnessed a combined average of 50 free throw attempts per contest in their 14 games and that is extremely high by college basketball standards. Georgia is adept at get to the free throw line while averaging 24 attempts per game. During their previous 4 contests Georgia has averaged 85.0 points scored per game and shot 50.6% from the field. Give me this game to go over the total.

Tennessee @ Mississippi State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 697-698

Play On: Tennessee -130 (ML)

Both teams are 11-3 but that’s where the similarity ends. Tennessee has played the 17th most difficult schedule in the country so far. They own quality wins over nationally ranked Illinois and Wisconsin. Their only 3 losses came by single digit margins with all versus top caliber teams the likes of Kansas, Purdue, and North Carolina. Conversely, Mississippi State has yet to play any teams ranked withing the top 55 in KenPom’s rankings. Give me Tennessee as a money line favorite.

Stanford @ USC 4:00 PM ET

Game# 717-718

Play On: Over 151.0

USC has played 5-0 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 151.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 164.8 points scored per game. The Trojans have also gone over the number in their last 4 at home with a combined average of 163.3 points scored per game. Stanford is coming off a 59-53 win at UCLA on Wednesday and that contest easily went under the total of 138.5. However, the Cardinal have played 3-0 to the over this season immediately following an under and with a combined 154.0 points scored per contest. Additionally, Stanford has played 5-1 to the over when the total has been 148.0 or greater this season and with a combined 162.8 points scored per game. Furthermore, Stanford shot just 36% in Wednesday game versus UCLA and that was the 5th time this season they shot less than 44%. However, the Cardinal followed the previous 5 up by averaging 85.0 points scored per game. The pace of this game based on season averages for both teams will be conducive to a high scoring game relative to the current total. Give me this game to go over the total.

St. Johns @ Villanova 1:00 PM ET

Game# 623-624

Play On: Villanova -4.5

Villanova has endured some resume killing losses this season. Namely, they lost to Philadelphia Big 5 rivals Drexel, Penn, and St. Joseph’s. However, they’re 5-0 versus teams that are ranked in the Top 41 of KenPom rankings. The Wildcats are on a current 4-game win streak with wins over UCLA, North Carolina, Memphis, and DePaul. During those 4 contests their defense has been outstanding while holding opponents to 60.5 points per game and 36% shooting. With Rick Pitino and St. John’s and St. John’s coming to town I look for Villanova to be more than up to the challenge. Give me Villanova minus points.

Connecticut @ Butler 6:30 PM ET

Game# 877-878

Play On: Butler +6.0

This will be just the 3rd true road game for UConn this season and they lost to Kansas by 4 and Seton Hall by 15 in the first 2. Butler is 10-4 but it’s worth noting that they’re 8-0 at home and considering their a sizable underdog in this spot that element can’t be ignored. Butler has also played the tougher schedule to this point compared to UConn which may not result in winning this game outright but certainly bodes well for them to be competitive throughout and stay inside the number. Give me Butler plus points.

Indiana @ Nebraska 9:00 PM ET

Game# 705-706

Play On: Nebraska -5.0

Nebraska is 11-2 and every good as their record indicates. The Cornhuskers have quality depth and are a very experienced team. Indiana is one of the youngest teams in the Big 10 Conference. It seems odd to see Nebraska as a favorite over Indiana in basketball. With that in mind, it most likely will produce a fair share of underdog bets just based on the perception of reach programs history on the hardwood. Give me Nebraska minus points.

USC-Upstate @ UNC-Asheville 6:00 PM ET

Game# 306513-306514

Play On: UNC-Asheville -10.0

UNC-Asheville is very good offensively and especially so at home where they’re averaging 92.0 points per game. Asheville is also very adept at getting to the free throw line while averaging 26 attempts per game. That’s not good news for a USC-Upstate team that allows 24 free throw attempts per game. USC-Upstate is a poor 2-8 this season versus Division 1 competition and they’re also 1-4 ATS as an underdog of 12.0 or less. Asheville is coming off 3 consecutive non-conference games which saw them go 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS while hold those opponents to less than 40% shooting. Since last season, Asheville is 8-1 ATS at home following 3 consecutive non-conference games with an average victory margin of 25.1 points per contest. Give me UNC-Asheville minus points.

West Virginia vs. Ohio State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 681-682

Play On: Ohio State -9.0

No analysis on College Basketball today.

St. Bonaventure vs. Akron 4:00 PM ET

Game# 659-660

Play On: St. Bonaventure -115 (ML)

No analysis on College Basketball today.

Wichita State vs. Kansas 4:00 PM ET

Game# 649-650

Play On: Kansas -13.0

No analysis on College Basketball today.

Washington @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET

Game# 877-878

Play On: Over 156.5

No analysis on today’s games due to time restrictions.

McNeese State @ Michigan 7:00 PM ET

Game# 306535-306536

Play On: McNeese State +10.5

No analysis on today’s games due to time restrictions.

Missouri vs. Illinois 9:00 PM ET

Game# 873-874

Play On: Illinois -6.5

This game will be played at a neutral site at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis. Illinois is the more balanced team on both ends of the floor. The Illini are 8-2 with their only losses coming against Top 15 caliber teams in Marquette and Tennessee. They also own a 9-point at Madison Square Garden over an excellent Florida Atlantic (9-2) who has 5 returning starters from last season run to the NCAA Tournament Final Four.

Missouri is 7-4 including a blowout home loss to Memphis and a 73-72 home defeat to Jackson State as a 22.5-point favorite. The Tigers have also dropped their last 2 games played versus Kansas and Seton Hall. Thus far Missouri is statistically one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in the country. That’s certainly not good news and especially so against Illinois who ranks 43rd nationally in offensive rebounding. This isn’t a good matchup for the Tigers. Give me Illinois minus points.

Canisius @ High Point 7:00 PM ET

Game# 306661-306662

Play On: Canisius +8.5

Canisius has gone an extremely profitable 4-0-1 ATS this season as an underdog of 6.5 or greater. The Golden Griffins are coming off a hard fought 82-71 loss at Pittsburgh. Canisius is 3-0 SU&ATS this season versus Division 1 opponents following a SU loss. Canisius also gave Syracuse (9-3) all they can handle in a 12-point loss and upset St. Bonaventure (7-3) with both contests coming on the road. Canisius has faced a much more difficult schedule than High Point (9-4) has played against. Hence, the underdog value I love in this matchup. Give me Canisius plus points.