*5 Star NFL TOP Play of Week* The Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings meet up on Sunday in a game between two teams with very disappointing defense. The Bears were known for their strong defenses in the past, but no longer. This Bears defense has allowed 42 points or more in three of their last eight games. They also allowed 30 to the Vikings in their first meeting. Minnesota is dead last in the NFL in points allowed per game at 31.5 per contest. The Vikings offense has been much better of late as well with Peterson healthy and Christian Ponder playing better. The Bears offense has done pretty well with McCown under center. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game.

The over is 5-0 in the Bears last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 350 yards in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the NFC North. A 24-0 angle here. Take the over big!

*3 Star NCAA FB Tex A&M/Missouri Total* The Texas A&M Aggies offense was slowed down last week by LSU in a way that we haven't seen in a long time. Johnny Manziel didn't look good, but I have a feeling that will be different this week. Manziel is still the most electrifying player in the nation, and Missouri's pass defense is a glaring weakness. The entire Texas A&M defense is a complete mess. The Aggies have been unable to stop anyone all year long. Look for both teams to pile up the points in this one. Take the over. *Note- I would play this for 4 stars if you can get the over at 66.5 or lower. 3 Stars up to 71. Thank you.*

*3 NCAA FB Instate Rivalry Total* LA Monroe and LA Lafayette don't like each other one bit. This is a rivalry that doesn't get attention on a national scale, but locally this game is a really big deal. Kolton Browning and the Warhawks offense haven't been good the last two weeks, but I expect a much better effort from them in this one. Lafayette's running offense is the best in the conference and LA Monroe is very unlikely to be able to do anything about slowing them down at all. I had this one projected at 61 points. Take the over in this matchup.

*5 Star TOP Play Total DOMINATION* The Boston College Eagles and Syracuse Orange meet up in what should be a very competitive game in Syracuse on Saturday. The defense is the strength of both of these teams. Syracuse's offense is a mess, and the Orange rarely can put together long scoring drives. Boston College has an elite runner, but the Syracuse defense excels at stopping the run. This is one of those games where both defenses should be able to rise up and force a lot of field goal attempts if the offenses do get into the red zone. I had this one lined at 44.5, so I see a ton of value here. Take the under big!

*5 Star NCAA TOP Play of Week* The Idaho Vandals gave up 80 points in a drubbing at the hands of Florida State last week. Idaho's defense has been giving up huge totals all year. The Vandals defense is allowing an FBS worst 48.8 points per game this year. What about New Mexico State's defense? Not much better. They are allowing 47.2 points per game, which is second worst in the FBS. These are the two worst defenses in the nation up against each other. Expect lots of points from two offenses that are improving quite a bit. I lined this one at 80 points, so I'm very surprised the line dropped the way it has.

The over is 6-0 in Idaho's last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 40 points or more. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 on grass. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss of 20 points or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 6-0 in New Mexico State's last 6 November games. In all, a 37-0 angle. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The BYU Cougars are a completely different team than they were last year. This BYU team is looking to snap the ball as quick as possible and get off as many offensive plays as they can. That should work really well against a Nevada defense that is among the worst in the nation. Nevada's offense has plenty of fight, and Cody Fajardo is capable of leading this team to several scores here. Don't be surprised if BYU puts up a big number here. Take the over. *Note- The line has moved up in a big way since the opener when I took this. I would play this up to 61 for 4 stars and up to 66 for 3 stars, but above 66 I would pass. Thank you.*

*3 Star NCAA FB ACC Rivalry Total* The Duke Blue Devils are one of the biggest surprises in college football this year. North Carolina has been putting the pieces together on offense of late after Bryn Renner went down with an injury. Most thought the UNC offense wouldn't be any good the rest of the year, but Marquise Williams has been very good at QB for them. In the last 3 weeks, UNC has scored 45, 34, and 80 points. The Tar Heels defense isn't consistent though, and Duke's offense has improved a ton since the beginning of the year. I had this total set at 64 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and UConn Huskies are both ready for this season to be over. Rutgers was expected to be pretty good this year, but they've been a big disappointment. UConn won last week, but that was their first win of the season. The Huskies have been abysmal on offense all year long. UConn has absolutely no running game, and their passing attack isn't good either. The Huskies defense has shown some fight at home, and I expect more of that in this one. I had this number projected at 46 points. This should be an ugly game. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Hurricanes and Pitt Panthers both have offenses that have struggled to get going of late. The Hurricanes aren't the same team without Duke Johnson. Stephen Morris has been very disappointing of late at QB as well. Pitt lacks weapons on the offensive end. The Panthers have been playing some very low scoring games, and I've been backing the under with them for quite a while now. I'm not going to jump off the train just yet. Look for this one to stay close all game, and there should be a lot of field goals instead of touchdowns. Take the under.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Hidden GEM* The Bowling Green Falcons and Buffalo Bulls meet in a key MAC matchup Friday. Ralph Wilson Stadium will be the site for this one. Bowling Green has the number one pass defense in the nation and they have a top 10 defense in every category. Buffalo's defense has been great against MAC opponents. Neither of these teams has an elite offense. Last year when they got together the final score was just 21-7. This one might be a little higher, but I think the line should have been around 45 points. Look for a tight defensive battle all the way. Take the under big!

*5 Star NCAA FB Feast TOP PLAY* The East Carolina Pirates and Marshall Thundering Herd meet in a very important game for both teams Friday. The winner of this game will play in the Conference USA title game next week. East Carolina and Marshall both have a high octane passing attack, and I think that means a very high scoring game here. Both teams like to move quickly, so there will be lots of plays. I projected this one at 73 points.

The over is 5-0 in the Pirates last 5 games. The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5. The over is 6-0 in Marshall's last 6 November games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more last game. A 28-0 angle. Take the over big!

*3 Star NFL Thanksgiving Day Top Total* The Oakland Raiders offense will get a big boost from the return of Darren McFadden in this game. McFadden is one of the best runners in the league when healthy, and this Cowboys defense has been bad against the run. Dallas is dead last in the NFL in total defense and they are without Sean Lee, their best linebacker. The Raiders defense hasn't been able to stop the pass this year, and Tony Romo and the Cowboys offense have been clicking through the air of late. Romo's numbers are pretty impressive this year, and this is a good chance for him and the offense against a poor secondary. The over is 3-0-1 in the Raiders last 4 games. I think this has a good chance to top 50 points. Take the over.

*5 Star NFL TOP Play of Week* The Denver Broncos have the best offense in the NFL. The New England Patriots offense wasn't very good earlier this year, but that is definitely changing as they get healthy. Neither of these defenses are very good. Both of them are decent against the run, but these offenses are going to be airing it out in this game. The Broncos are averaging 40 points per game. The Patriots have scored an average of 33.25 points per game in their last 4 games. The weather here is a little iffy, but both of these teams are used to inclement weather. *Note- The line has moved down since I have picked this game, so I feel even stronger about the over if you can get it below 56*

The over is 22-5 in the Broncos last 27 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 games after playing on Monday night. The over is 5-1 in Denver's last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. A 31-6 angle. Take the over big!

*4 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Kansas City Chiefs defense is one of the best in the NFL. The Chiefs offense is one of the worst in the NFL when it comes to putting up yardage. They are especially bad through the air. San Diego's defense has been gradually improving over the last few games. The Chargers are very reliant on throwing the football offensively. They really don't have much of a running game. Expect the Chiefs to put a ton of heat on Phillip Rivers and make life miserable for him. KC has the best pass rush in the NFL.

The under is 5-0 in the Chiefs last 5 November games. The under is 6-0 in the Chargers last 6 against the AFC. The under is 6-1 in the Chiefs last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. A 17-1 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Tampa Bay Bucs still aren't a good football team, but their offense has been much better over the last few weeks. Glennon is starting to get into a bit of a rhythm and it is turning into much better productivity for this group. Tampa Bay got an amazing performance out of Bobby Rainey last week at RB, so they might have found a really nice new weapon. Detroit's offense can score on anyone, and this Tampa Bay defense has been a big disappointment this season. Both of these offenses have a big advantage here.

The over is 6-0 in Tampa's last 6 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the NFC. The over is 5-0 in the Lions last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in the Lions last 4 after allowing 250 yards or more passing in the last game. The over is 4-0 in the Lions last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 4-0 in TB's last 4 after allowing 350 yards or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Tampa's last 4 after gaining 350 yards or more. A 32-0 angle here. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Missouri Tigers and Ole Miss Rebels meet in what should be a great SEC clash. Missouri is still in the national title race if they win out and Mississippi has proven capable of beating big name teams at home this year. The strength of both of these teams is their offense. Missouri's glaring weakness is their secondary and I expect Bo Wallace and Mississippi to exploit that. Missouri's offense hasn't been stopped by anyone this year when James Franklin is healthy and he'll be back for this one.

The over is 6-0 in Missouri's last 6 road games. The over is 5-0 in Ole Miss' last 5 November games. The over is 5-0 in Missouri's last 5 road games against a team with a winning record. The over is 12-2 in Ole Miss' last 14 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing last game. A 28-2 angle backs this. Take the over.

*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of Week* The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks offense looked bad most of the year, but that was without star quarterback Kolton Browning. Browning is Mr. Everything for this offense, and he is back and healthy now. They put up 49 points two games ago against Troy. The oddsmakers haven't yet caught up to Monroe's much better offense with Browning on the field. South Alabama's offense should be able to move it against a Monroe defense that isn't very good against either the run or the pass. The South Alabama defense played pretty well earlier this year, but they have a lot of injuries and are struggling of late. I had this line projected at 63 points, so this one has a ton of value. Take the over in a big way here!

*3 NCAA FB Big 10 Total* The Ohio State Buckeyes won 60-35 last week in Illinois, but the Buckeyes weren't very impressive in that win. At this point in the season, Ohio State not only needs to win games, but they need to be very impressive when winning them. Urban Meyer knows the Buckeyes need style points. Indiana has the worst defense in the Big 10. The Hoosiers are allowing an eye-popping 535 yards per game. Opponents have scored at least 42 points against Indiana in 4 of their last 5 games. Ohio State will be the best offense they have faced yet. The Buckeyes could easily score 60 points by themselves. Indiana's offense put up 49 points on Ohio State last year, and they should score several here. This number is very high for a reason. Look for a very high scoring game. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB BYU/Notre Dame Total* The BYU Cougars and Notre Dame Fighting Irish are both tough defenses to run the football on when they know the run is coming. Last year these teams played to a 17-14 final score. A huge factor in this game will be the weather. There is snow expected during this game as well as 25 mph winds. Both of these passing games will have serious problems getting going. A ton of runs means a predictable offense for both teams as well as a clock that keeps running the entire game. Look for another low scoring contest here. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Pitt Panthers and Syracuse Orange are two teams that I have bet on the under with successfully several times already this year. Pitt has an offense that isn't very good at either throwing or running it, and Syracuse's offense has been a complete disaster of late. On the other side of the ball, both of these defenses have improved a great deal through the year. Syracuse has lots of team speed on defense, and Pittsburgh has a dominating defensive line. Look for field goals instead of touchdowns here. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star NFL Monday Night Football Total* The New England Patriots and Carolina Panthers meet in what should be a great game Monday night. New England's defense is much improved from a couple years ago. Carolina's offense still isn't elite, but the Panthers defense is amazing. Carolina is first in total defense in the NFL. If you haven't bought into this defense being elite, then you should do it now. New England's offense definitely isn't what it was the past few years, and Carolina's defense should be well-prepared for this one. The Panthers haven't given up more than 15 points in their last 5 games. Take the under.

*4 Star NFL 49ers/Saints Total DOMINATION* The San Francisco 49ers and New Orleans Saints meet in a key matchup in New Orleans this weekend. The 49ers were humbled last week by Carolina at home. Colin Kaepernick is starting to get criticized by the experts. The 49ers need to establish the run here, and I think they can against a Saints front seven that isn't very good. New Orleans has been able to move the ball well against everyone they have faced. The Saints are really tough to stop in the Superdome. I think this total is several points too low.

The over is 6-0 in the Niners last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5 on turf. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 overall. The over is 6-0 in the Saints last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings. A 25-0 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Miami Dolphins have been in the news for all the wrong reasons of late. Miami's offense is a complete mess right now. The offensive line was already terrible, and without Incognito and Martin they are even worse. San Diego's defensive line should control the line of scrimmage in this one. The Dolphins still have a pretty solid defense, and the Chargers have had trouble converting in the red zone this season.

The under is 5-0 in the Chargers last 5 vs. the AFC. The under is 5-0-1 in the Dolphins last 6 during week 11. The under is 9-0 in the Dolphins last 9 games against teams allowing 350 yards or more per game. The under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. A 28-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Washington Redskins and Philadelphia Eagles have a lot in common. Both of these teams have offenses that can score a lot of points quickly. They both also have defenses that can give up a lot of points in a short amount of time. The last few times these teams have gotten together it has been very high scoring. I don't see any reason to expect anything different in this game. Nick Foles is playing great for the Eagles and the Redskins secondary is terrible. RG3 is starting to look like himself once again, and he has had a ton of success against the Eagles in the past. Take the over here.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The San Diego State Aztecs have been good to me on overs so far this year. The Aztecs are good at stopping the run, but their secondary is weak. Hawaii can't run the ball, but they can definitely air it out. Hawaii should put up a lot more points here than most expect. On the other side, Hawaii's defense is dreadful. They are giving up 37.3 points per game for the year. The Hawaii offense has steadily improved as the season has progressed.

The over is 6-0 in Hawaii's last 6 games overall. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 on turf. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing more than 200 yards on the ground last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining at least 450 yards last game. A 22-0 angle. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Oregon State Beavers and Arizona State Sun Devils both like to air it out early and often. Don't expect many rushing attempts in this game. The weakness of both of these defenses is their secondary. Arizona State has been piling up the points at home all year. The Sun Devils have scored 62, 54, and 53 points in their last three home games. Oregon State has mismatches against AZ State's secondary and they'll get their points too.

The over is 5-0 in Oregon State's last 5 games on grass. The over is 6-0 in AZ State's last 6 after allowing less than 170 passing yards last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 275 total yards. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. A 21-1 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* When FIU and UTEP meet, I expect an absolutely horrible football game. Don't even try to watch, listen, or follow this game. There will be nothing exciting about this game. That being said, the game doesn't have to be exciting for me to see an opportunity to make money. FIU is dead last in the nation in points per game, and UTEP's offense is short-handed right now. These defenses aren't very good, but they'll probably look good on Saturday night. This number has moved throughout the week. I would make this a 4 star play down to 49 and a 3 star play as low as 47 points. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden Gem Total* The Texas State Bobcats had two weeks to prepare for this one, and I think that means their defense will be very well-prepared. Texas State's defense has been able to slow down some very good teams this year. Arkansas State's defense is also one of the best in the Sun Belt. Both of these offenses have really struggled with consistency so far this year. It wouldn't surprise me a bit to see a tight game here where both teams struggle to get into the end zone. I made this line 45, so I like the value on this one. Take the under here.

*3 Star NCAA FB Big 10 Total* The Michigan State Spartans have the best defense in the nation. They are allowing just 43 rushing yards per game. Michigan State's defense flies to the football. I don't see this defense giving up a big number against anyone. Without Taylor Martinez, Nebraska's offense isn't as dynamic. The Huskers are going to struggle to score in this one. Michigan State's stacked on defense, but their offense isn't very good. The Huskers defense stepped up in a big way last weekend at Michigan. Look for both D's to be very good here. Take the under. I would play this game as low as 41 points, but not lower.

*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns have won 7 straight games. Their offense has put up 35 points or more in 6 of those 7 wins. They have scored 41 or more in 4 of the 7 games. Georgia State's defense is so bad that Lafayette may get to 50 in this one. Georgia State's offense is slowly improving and you have to think that Lafayette will let them score some late in the game here. The over is 7-0 in Lafayette's last 7 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 3-0-1 in Lafayette's last 4 November games. The over is 4-0 in GA State's last 4 following a double digit home loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games at home. A 23-0 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Carolina Panthers and San Francisco 49ers meet for what should be a very good game on Sunday afternoon. The 49ers started a little slowly, but this offense is on fire right now. San Francisco has scored 31 points or more in five straight games. San Francisco also had a bye to prepare for this game, and I think that gives Jim Harbaugh and this offense an edge when it comes to facing a solid Panthers defense. On the other side, Carolina's offense is clicking in a big way right now. The Panthers have scored at least 30 points in four straight games. The 49ers run defense isn't all that good, and the Panthers should find room to run.

The over is 15-2 in the 49ers last 17 following a bye week. The over is 9-0 in Carolina's last 9 games against a team averaging at least 27 points per game. The over is 7-0 in the 49ers last 7 against teams averaging at least 24 points per game in the last half of the season. A 31-2 angle backs this one. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers meet Sunday. This is a game I selected on Monday before Aaron Rodgers went down with an injury. At this number (52), I would not have selected the over in this game with Rodgers out, but at a current level of 46.5 I do believe the 'over' is worth a look. Seneca Wallace will be better with a week of practice, and this Eagles defense is pathetic. Philly's offense should find plenty of holes in a weak Green Bay secondary. There's a good chance this game gets into the low 50's. I recommend a play on the over at 48 or less.

*5 Star CFB TOP Total of the Month* The San Diego State Aztecs and San Jose Spartans have a nice little rivalry going on. San Jose State has an NFL-caliber quarterback in David Fales. San Diego State has a balanced offense with two good runners and a quickly improving quarterback. My numbers had this game at 64 points, so this line is more than a touchdown away, which rarely happens. The Spartans are 24th in the nation in total offense, and Fales should pick apart a suspect San Diego State secondary. At the same time, San Jose State is 93rd in the nation in total defense, and San Diego State will get plenty of opportunities to score as well.

The over is 6-1-1 in the Spartans last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in SD State's last 4 after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their last game. The over is 8-2 in San Diego State's last 10 after an ATS loss. An 18-3 angle backs this play. Take the over big here!

*3 Star Notre Dame/Pitt Total Domination* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish defense hasn't been as good as expected so far this year, but it is still the strength of the team. Pittsburgh's offense has struggled the majority of the year, and I think they'll struggle up front against Notre Dame's front four. The Panthers defense is much improved and their defensive front is becoming a major strength for the team. Notre Dame doesn't have a consistent passing game, so I don't think they can beat this Pitt defense consistently. Look for both defenses to play well in this matchup.

The under is 5-0 in Pitt's last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Pitt's last 4 on grass. The under is 4-0 in Pitt's last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-1 in Pitt's last 7 November games. A 19-1 angle. Take the under.

*5 Star NCAA FB ACC TOP Total* The Syracuse Orange won 13-0 over Wake Forest in a game that I played the 'under' in last week. That was a great play from start to finish. Syracuse has lots of offensive issues right now. Their quarterback play has been shaky at best, and Maryland has a talented defense. The Terrapins are once again having problems with the injury bug this season. Syracuse has a quality defense that does a good job keeping their opponents from getting those big plays. I had this game lined at 48 points. Expect both teams defenses to bring their A game here. This one stays low scoring all the way. Take the under big!

*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Hidden GEM Total* The Nevada Wolfpack have a very good quarterback in Cody Fajardo. Fajardo is a dual-threat quarterback who is a weapon in every aspect of the game. He'll be up against a Colorado State defense that has been susceptible against mobile quarterbacks the past couple years. Nevada's defense is among the worst in the nation. The Wolfpack are allowing an astonishing 513 yards per game so far this season. Colorado State's offense has come to life of late, and I expect a big number from Colorado State here. Back and forth with both offenses lighting it up in this one.

The over is 4-0 in Nevada's last 4 after allowing 200 rushing yards or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in CSU's last 5 games. The over is 3-0-1 in CSU's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in Colorado State's last 5 after gaining 450 yards in their last contest. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after allowing 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 conference games. A 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total* The Eastern Michigan Eagles may have the worst defense in the nation. These guys just haven't been able to stop anyone this year. How bad are they? Eastern Michigan has given up 45.6 points per game so far in 2013. They have allowed at least 50 points in each of their last 4 games. Western Michigan's offense got going in their last game against UMass, and the Broncos should have plenty of success offensively here. At the same time, Western Michigan is giving up 37 points per game as well. Two horrible teams that can't play any defense. The over is the play.

The over is 6-0 in the Eagles last 6 on turf. The over is 5-0 in the Eagles last 5 after allowing 40 points or more in the previous game. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 conference games. A 22-0 angle here. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the best quarterbacks in the country. Rakeem Cato can air it out with the best of them and it's hard to imagine UAB's pathetic defense slowing down Marshall at all here. UAB's defense is allowing 38.4 points per game so far this year, and Marshall will be one of the best offenses they have faced all year. Marshall's defense is fully capable of giving up a lot of points, and UAB's offense is improving over the last few weeks. I had this one lined at 71 points. Look for a high scoring affair all the way. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have a high quality offense under new coach Bobby Petrino. Antonio Andrews is one of the best running backs in the nation. Andrews has almost 1300 yards on the ground already this year. Army runs the football extremely well. In fact, Army has more rushing yards than any other team in the country. Western Kentucky's rushing defense has struggled all year, and the Hilltoppers are dinged up on the defensive side of the ball. Both teams are going to have lots of room to run in this one. I think this game comfortably tops 60 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bearcats wins over FBS opponents this year have come against teams with a combined record of 3-36. While Cincinnati's defensive numbers look great, I don't think this defense is very good. SMU has been on fire offensively of late as Garrett Gilbert has come into his own of late. Look for the Mustangs to burn Cincinnati through the air early and often. SMU's defense is giving up 42 points per game, and Cincinnati should be able to move the ball at will.

The over is 4-0 in SMU's last 4. The over is 4-0 in SMU's last 4 after giving up more than 40 points in their last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more. A 21-0 angle here. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Friday Night MONEYMAKER* The Air Force Falcons and New Mexico Lobos are both teams that run the ball on nearly every play. The assumption then is that a game between these two teams would finish under the total, but a closer look tells us the value is clearly on the over in this game. Air Force is 113th in the nation and allows 221 rushing yards per game. New Mexico is 122nd in the nation and allows 252.6 yards per game on the ground. These two ground games are both very good. The Falcons are gaining 279 rushing yards per game. The Lobos are averaging 314 yards per game on the ground. Both teams are going to be running wild in this one.

The over is 5-0 in the Lobos last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up more than 200 yards on the ground in the previous game. A 19-0 angle here. Take the over.

*5 Star NFL Thursday TOP Play Total* The Washington Redskins are one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with because of their horrible defense and very well-balanced offense. RG3 wasn't himself at the beginning of the season, but he is playing well right now. How about Minnesota's defense? The Vikings have allowed at least 23 points in every game this year, and they have allowed 27 or more in every game but one. This Minnesota defense is a shell of its former self. Washington is giving up 31.6 points per game, so even though the Vikings offense isn't special they should be able to score plenty here. In the last two weeks, Minnesota put up 31 on Green Bay and 23 against Dallas. Christian Ponder is playing pretty well, and Adrian Peterson is running the ball as well as ever.

The over is 5-0 in the Vikings last 5 home games. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record. The over is 6-1 in the Vikings last 7 games against a team with a losing record overall. A 19-1 angle backs this play. Take the over big! *Note- I would rate this a 5 star play up to 50 and a 4 star play to 51.*

*4 Star NFL Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns have a long history of playing hard fought low scoring battles against each other. Earlier this year, the Ravens won 14-6 over Cleveland in Baltimore. Cleveland is really lacking play makers on the offensive side, but the Browns defense is very good. Joe Haden and the secondary have given Joe Flacco a hard time the last couple years. Baltimore's pass rush will disrupt Cleveland's offense in this one as well. I was very surprised to see 41.5 here. I lined this one at 37 points.

The under is 4-0 in the Ravens last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 8-0 in the Browns last 8 against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the Browns last 4 after gaining 250 yards or more passing in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Cleveland. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams overall. A 26-0 angle backs this one. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Minnesota Vikings offense isn't great, but the Dallas Cowboys defense is dead last in the NFL in yards allowed per game so far this year. Adrian Peterson should be able to do some damage here. On the other side, the Vikings defense is miserable. Minnesota has allowed 32.1 points per game so far this year. Tony Romo and the Cowboys offense are out to prove something this week after coming up just short against Detroit. Dez Bryant had an outburst last week, and I'm thinking he'll have a big game here.

The over is 10-1 in the Vikings last 11 games during week 9. The over is 7-0 in Dallas' last 7 home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games. The over is 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 after allowing 250 yards or more through the air the previous day. A 21-1 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The San Jose State Spartans have one of the most underrated quarterback in the country in David Fales. Fales is adept at picking apart subpar secondaries, and that is exactly what he'll be up against this week at UNLV. The Rebels secondary struggled badly against Hawaii and Fresno State's aerial attack. San Jose State should put up big points here. At the same time, UNLV's offense is light years better than it was last year. Caleb Herring and the Rebels offense should have a lot of success against a Spartans defense that ranks 100th in the nation in total defense. The scoreboard will light up in Las Vegas on Saturday afternoon. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Kent State Golden Flashes are a long ways removed from their Cinderella season last year. The Golden Flashes are a mess defensively right now. With Reardon healthy at quarterback and Dri Archer back healthy in the backfield, the Golden Flashes offense is much better than it was a few weeks ago. Akron isn't the punching bag they were a year ago. The Zips have a quality quarterback who should move it through the air against a poor Kent State secondary. This game should be very close, which puts overtime into play as well. I think this has a good chance of reaching the upper 50's or even 60 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have shown a ton of fight the last few weeks. Jim Grobe's team is much better defensively now than they were early in the year. Syracuse has tons of issues on offense, and Wake Forest's offense is one-dimensional. Wake Forest is averaging only 96 yards per game on the ground. Wake's defense is giving up just 20.8 points per game. I expected to see a total in the mid 40's in this one. The under is 6-0 in Wake Forest's last 6 games on turf. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games after gaining less than 100 yards on the ground in the last game. The under is 9-1 in Wake Forest's last 10 conference games. A 19-1 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Temple Owls have found a bit of a spark in young quarterback P.J. Walker. Walker threw 4 touchdowns and no picks in the team's 59-49 loss last weekend. Rutgers was overrated from day one this year, and the Scarlet Knights defense isn't even close to what it used to be. Oddsmakers are putting out totals that are too low for this group right now. Rutgers offense isn't any good, but they don't have to be to score a lot on a pathetic Temple defense. The Owls are giving up 516 yards per game this season. This total is set quite a bit too low. Take advantage and bet the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Marshall Thundering Herd lost a heart breaker last week at MTSU. Marshall is one of the most talented teams in Conference USA, and they get a perfect chance to bounce back in a big way this week. Southern Miss has lost 19 games in a row! The Golden Eagles are giving up more than 40 points per game this year. It wouldn't surprise me at all if Marshall gets to the posted total by themselves in this one. Rakeem Cato and the Thundering Herd offense will look great in this one. I had this number at 64 points. Look for this one to sail over the total. Take the over.

*3 Star Monday Night Football Total Domination* The St. Louis Rams offense is going to look a whole lot different without Sam Bradford under center. Bradford went down with a season-ending injury last week, and I believe the Rams are going to struggle in a big way to score points without him. Kellen Clemens will start here for the Rams. Clemens hasn't been good in his NFL career, and the Rams have virtually no running game. How do the Rams score points here? The Rams defense does play much better at home, and I expect them to fight to keep this game competitive, at least for a while. The posted total here hasn't been adjusted down enough for Bradford's injury. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.

*5 Star NFL TOP Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins defense has been one of the worst in the NFL for the past two years. The Redskins are giving up 30.7 points per game, and now they'll go up against the highest scoring team in the league. Denver is ticked off after losing last week in Indy, and the Broncos should light up the scoreboard here. RG3 wasn't completely ready at the beginning of the season, but he has looked much better in the past couple games. This Denver defense isn't very good. They are actually dead last in the NFL in pass yards allowed per game. The Redskins have one of the most balanced offenses in the league, and they should score plenty too.

The over is 4-0-1 in the Broncos last 5 against a team with a losing record. The over is 13-3 in the Broncos last 16 October games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. *Note- The line has moved up since I selected this game on Sunday, but my numbers had this one at 66 points. I would play this up to 61 points.* Take the over big here!

*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Browns offense isn't any good. Jason Campbell comes in here and it's hard to expect him to be much better than Brandon Weeden. Campbell doesn't have much help around him. After the Browns got rid of Trent Richardson, the offense became helpless. Defensively, Cleveland is a very solid unit. The Browns are 7th in the NFL in total defense. Kansas City is 1st in the NFL in points per game allowed. The Chiefs are giving up just 11.8 points per game. No opponent has scored more than 17 points on the Chiefs. KC's offense isn't high-powered and they are content to win low scoring games.

The under is 4-0 in the Browns last 4 during week 8. The under is 7-1 in Cleveland's last 8 after throwing for less than 150 yards in the previous game. The under is 21-5 in the Chiefs last 26 home games. The under is 7-1 in KC's last 8 following a win. The under is 12-2 in Cleveland's last 14 after scoring 14 or less in the previous game. A 51-9 angle backs this. Take the under.

*5 Star CFB TOP Play Late Night BAILOUT* The Hawaii Warriors offense really struggled early in the year, but they have been getting it together of late. Hawaii has no running game, but their passing game has gotten much better. Sean Schroeder has been a nice spark for the passing attack. Hawaii has scored 37, 27, and 37 points in their last three games. Colorado State is their opponent this week, and the Rams are 119th in the nation in pass defense. Hawaii is 122nd in the nation in pass defense. The Rams are coming off a momentum-building 52-22 shellacking of rival Wyoming. Both aerial attacks should get going here against two bad secondaries. The over is 5-0 in the Warriors last 5 October games. The over is 8-2 in their last 10 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in Colorado State's last 4 after scoring 30 points or more in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in the Rams last 4 after putting up 450 yards or more of offense. A 20-2 angle backs this. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA FB Stanford/Oregon State Total DOMINATION* The Stanford Cardinal and Oregon State Beavers meet in a key Pac-12 matchup Saturday night in Corvallis. I really like what I've seen out of this Oregon State offense this year. The Beavers are first in the nation in passing yards per game. What's the weakness of the Stanford defense? Their secondary. Brandin Cooks and Sean Mannion should carve up this secondary. Stanford will be able to score too. Oregon State is giving up 28.4 points per game so far this year.

The over is 9-0 in Oregon State's last 9 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 20 points in a game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up less than 100 rushing yards. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after putting up 450 yards or more in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 100 rushing yards in their last game. The over is 4-0 in Stanford's last 4 after allowing less than 100 rushing yards in their last game. A 34-0 angle in all backs the over. Take the over.

*5 Star TOP Play Total CRUSHER* The Fresno State Bulldogs have one of the best offenses in the country. Derek Carr is a great drop back passer, and I don't see SDSU being able to get pressure on him with their weak front seven and poor pass rush. Carr has lots of weapons and this Bulldogs offense is top ten in the nation in passing. Fresno State has allowed 37 points or more on three occasions already this year, so their defense isn't nearly as good as the offense. San Diego State's offense has been much better on their home field this year, and the Aztecs should get plenty of scoring chances here. Look for big plays from star running back Donnel Pumphrey. I made this total 70 points.

The over is 8-2 in Fresno State's last 10 games after gaining 450 yards or more in their last game. The over is 7-1 in San Diego State's last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the over big in this one!

*5 Star TOP Big 10 Total of the Year* The Ohio State Buckeyes are rolling right along on offense this year. Braxton Miller is clearly much better than he was a year ago, and the Buckeyes are playing at a faster pace. On the other side, the Buckeyes defense is significantly weaker than we are used to seeing. Their biggest weakness is the secondary. Penn State's Christian Hackenburg should find plenty of open receivers against this Buckeyes secondary. At the same time, the Nittany Lions aren't the same defensive team they used to be either. Ohio State's offense should have its way here. I had this one lined at 65 points, so I love the value on the over.

The over is 5-0 in Penn State's last 5 October games. The over is 8-0 in Penn State's last 8 following an ATS win. The over is 8-0 in the Nittany Lions last 8 against a team with a winning record. A 21-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA FB Total Value* Texas State is great at forcing a low scoring game. The Bobcats have a strong rushing defense, and their offense is very poor. Texas State often struggles to put together scoring drives. South Alabama is one of the most improved teams in the country. The Jaguars usually score a decent amount, but I see them struggling on the road here. My numbers had this total at 45 points. The Bobcats aren't an easy team to beat at home, and this one should end up being a hard fought battle in the trenches. Texas State slows this game down and controls the clock. I like the value here. Take the under.

*5 Star CFB TOP Play Under Radar Total* The Georgia State Panthers have actually improved quite a bit this year. This is a team that has been shocking people by covering the spread. Their defense isn't good, but they are serviceable. Louisiana-Monroe's offense is really lacking play makers right now. The Warhawks last three games have finished at 45, 41, and 35 points total. Monroe's defense is one of the best in the Sun Belt. Georgia State averages just 16.6 points per game on offense. The under is 4-0 in Georgia State's last 4 road games. The under is 6-1 in Monroe's last 7 following a bye week. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Take the under big here.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Troy Trojans have a way of making games very high scoring. Troy throws the ball early and often and they have a terrible defense. Western Kentucky likes to push the tempo and run a bunch of plays under new coach Bobby Petrino. Antonio Andrews is the best back in the Sun Belt, and he should have a big game for the Hilltoppers here. Western Kentucky's defense was top notch last year, but they are inexperienced and shaky this season. With both teams running a lot of plays, I like the over. I had this number set at 66 myself. Look for both teams to find the end zone several times in this contest. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Eastern Michigan Eagles have one of the worst rushing defenses in the nation. With a horrible rushing defense, heading to Northern Illinois to face Jordan Lynch and the Huskies is the last place you want to be going. Eastern Michigan is giving up 42.3 points per game, and Northern Illinois will be the best rushing attack they have faced this year. While Northern Illinois has an elite offense, their defense isn't good at all. The Huskies are 100th in the nation in total defense, and Eastern Michigan should get scoring opportunities here. This one gets ugly in a hurry, but both offenses should score plenty. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total* These are two of the worst teams in the nation. I certainly wouldn't want to wager on who is going to win this mess of a game, but I don't mind taking advantage of the fact that it should be an ugly low scoring game all the way. UMass hasn't scored more than 17 points in a game all year. Western Michigan's top offensive output is 20 points. This one has a 17-14 ugly game written all over it. Both defenses have looked better in recent weeks, but the offenses are a disaster.

The under is 7-0 in UMass' last 7 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 170 passing yards in their last game. It is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 following a loss of 20 points or more. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 games on turf. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring less than 20 points. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards on the ground. The under is 4-0 in Western Michigan's last 4 following a double digit loss at home. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 450 yards or more in the previous game. In all, a 51-0 angle backs this play! Take the under.

*5 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Pittsburgh Panthers have performed a little better offensively than most people expected (myself included). Navy's defense isn't any good, and the Panthers should be able to overpower the small Navy defensive front. Navy's offense is really hard to prepare for, and the Panthers defense has been disappointing this year. Pitt lacks play makers at linebacker, and that really is the key to stopping the Navy triple option attack. The posted total here opened more than 10 points off my projected total here (60 points). This line has slowly been moving up this week, but I'd play this one up to 55 points. Take the over big.

*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Browns offense is a real mess right now. Only Brian Hoyer has had any real success moving this team, and he is injured. Brandon Weeden has been bad all year, and the Packers defense has looked much better the last couple weeks. Green Bay's offense is missing several play makers right now, and I'm not sure they'll score as easily as most think here. The Browns defense is pretty good, especially in the secondary where they have Joe Haden and T.J. Ward. The Packers last two games finished at 31 and 36 points. The Browns know they can't win a shootout with the Packers and I expect them to try to slow this game down and control the ball. The under is 6-1 in the Browns last 7 during week 7. The under is 5-1-1 in the Browns last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oregon State Beavers and Cal Bears are two teams who don't even attempt to run the football. Both teams are terrible at running, but they can both air it out. Expect this to be a game where both quarterbacks get 50 pass attempts or more. A ton of passing attempts for good offenses against terrible defenses means a lot of points. Brandin Cooks has 63 receptions and 11 touchdowns already this year for Oregon State, and Cal doesn't have anyone who can even come close to slowing him down. Jared Goff and the Bears put up 34 points at home against an Ohio State defense that is much better than Oregon State's. The line is high here for a reason. This should be a real shootout.

The over is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 road games. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 following a SU win. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 conference games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 450 yards or more in their previous game. The over is 4-0-1 in Cal's last 5 home games. The over is 5-0-1 in the Bears last 6 after scoring 20 points or less in their previous game. A 37-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The UNLV Rebels have picked up the tempo in a big way on offense. UNLV ran 113 offensive plays last week. That set a new school record and a new Mountain West Conference record. It was only two plays away from the NCAA record set by Houston last year. Fresno State is regularly running more than 100 plays per game this year. This is going to be a fast-paced game and both offenses are very good. Fresno State has scored at least 40 points in their last 10 regular season games. UNLV's offense is firing on all cylinders with Herring now at quarterback. On the other side, both of these defenses will be completely overmatched. Fresno is giving up 33.4 per game on defense, and they have allowed 40 or more twice at home this year. UNLV has given up more than 50 twice this season already.

The over is 6-0 in Fresno's last 6 following a bye week. The over is 4-0 in Fresno's last 4 conference games. The over is 4-0-1 in UNLV's last 5 after giving up more than 280 passing yards. The over is 6-1 in UNLV's last 7 overall. The over is 6-1 in UNLV's last 7 following an ATS loss. Take the over. A 26-2 angle here. Take the over.

*5 Star FSU/Clemson TOP Total* The Florida State Seminoles offense has been firing on all cylinders with Jameis Winston at quarterback. Winston is completing 73% of his passes this year. Florida State is 4th in the nation in total offense, and they are averaging 53.6 points per game. Clemson has a terrific offense led by quarterback Tajh Boyd. Boyd is now a senior and he knows this offense extremely well. Sammy Watkins is one of the best receivers in the country, and he is capable of taking it the distance any time he touches it. These defenses have impressive stats, but they haven't faced an offense even close to as good as their opponent this week. Last year's game was 49-37 and there was a total of 1,096 yards in that game.

The over is 5-0 in the Seminoles last 5 games overall. The over is 6-0 in the Seminoles last 6 games following a win by 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 2-0 in the last 2 meetings between these teams. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total* The Nevada Wolfpack have an awful defense, but they can definitely score points. Cody Fajardo is the same type of quarterback as Colin Kaepernick, and he'll be able to move this offense against a less than stellar Boise State defense. Boise State has picked up the pace in a big way of late on offense. Both of these teams rank in the top 10 in the nation in terms of plays per game. Lots of plays should equal lots of chances to score points here. Boise State could put up 45 or 50 here, and Nevada should get more than 20.

The over is 4-0 in Nevada's last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 October games. The over is 5-0 in Boise State's last 5 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. A 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The USC Trojans offense has looked much better in the past couple games. It's big for them to have Silas Redd back in the lineup. Marqise Lee is expected to play this weekend as well. In their last two games, USC has scored 41 and 38 points. Notre Dame's defense hasn't been nearly as good as expected this year. It looks like they miss Teo even more than expected. USC's defense has been susceptible against the pass this year, and Tommy Rees is getting more comfortable at QB for the Fighting Irish. This was primarily a numbers play for me since I made this total 55. Look for this one to get over the posted total. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Washington Huskies had to play at Stanford and home against Oregon the last two weeks. The schedule makers must not be fans of Washington. I like the Huskies team a lot, but this is a really tough spot for them. I think that shows up most on the defensive side of the football this week. Washington's defense will be gassed in the hot Arizona weather after two long weeks before this one. Todd Graham's offense is very fast-paced and Taylor Kelly is making great decisions for the Sun Devils. Keith Price and Bishop Sankey lead a very good Washington offense who should score plenty in this one as well. Look for a high scoring contest. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks are one of the very worst teams in college football this year. Akron hasn't won a road game in their last 30 tries. This game has ugly written all over it. Miami hasn't scored more than 14 points in a game all year, and I don't see any reason to believe they'll do it in this game either. Akron nearly took down Michigan and Northern Illinois this year, so the Zips are much better than they have been. The defenses will be ahead of the offenses in this one. This looks like one of those 20-14 ugly games that are terrible to watch, but I don't mind cashing in a bet on ugly football.

The under is 8-0 in Akron's last 8 road games. The under is 7-0 in Akron's last 7 October games. The under is 5-0 in Miami's last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle backs this one. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Sunday Night Football Total* The Washington Redskins and Dallas Cowboys meet in an interesting Sunday Night game this week. These two teams have a rivalry that goes back a long ways. Robert Griffin III hasn't been very sharp early on this year, but I expect him to get much better as the season progresses. The Cowboys defense isn't very impressive, and Griffin has had plenty of success in Dallas before. Tony Romo had a terrific game last week, and I think he can back it up with another great performance against a really bad Washington defense in this one. The over is 16-2 in the Cowboys last 18 games against teams averaging at least 260 yards per game through the air. The over is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4 against a team with a losing record. Take the over.

*4 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Arizona Cardinals defense is one of the best in the NFL right now. Arizona is third in the NFL against the run, and they have one of the best corners in the NFL in Patrick Peterson. San Francisco is all about the running game, and I expect the Cardinals to slow them down pretty well throughout this game. Arizona's offense hasn't been very good this year. Carson Palmer is far too inconsistent, and the Cardinals have virtually no running game. San Francisco's secondary is very good against the pass, and I don't see Arizona putting together long drives against the 49ers.

The under is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 October games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the NFC. The under is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 October games. The under is 7-0 in the Cardinals last 7 games following a win. A 24-0 angle backs this one. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Kansas City Chiefs have stunned everyone with their red hot start. Many people expected this team to be better, but no one saw this team sitting at unbeaten heading into week 6. Oakland was considered by many to be at or near the bottom of the NFL power rankings this year. The Raiders aren't a good team, but they are definitely more competitive than expected. Oakland's defense has been pretty solid against both the run and the pass. Kansas City's offense is about ball control and letting their defense win the game. Oakland will struggle to score here, but I don't see the Chiefs putting up all that many points either.

The under is 14-2 in the Raiders last 16 during week 6. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing more than 250 passing yards in the previous game. The under is 11-1 in the Chiefs last 12 home games against a team with a losing road record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two at KC. A 37-3 angle backs this one. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Pittsburgh Steelers had a bye week to think about how awful they were through the first four contests of the season. Pittsburgh still has a very good defense, and I expect them to show up ready to play in this one. The Jets offense is still one of the worst in the league. Defensively, the Jets have been even better than expected. This sets up perfectly as a game where both teams will have to fight hard for all their yardage. Expect the scoring to consist of a lot of field goals. If you like defense, this should be your type of game. I think this stays in the low to mid 30's. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Colorado Buffaloes are a more competitive team this year under Coach Mike MacIntyre, but the Buffs still have an awful defense. Colorado is giving up 38 points per game so far this year. Arizona State's offense is high-octane and they can really score in bunches on their home field. Taylor Kelly should be able to pick apart this Colorado secondary. It wouldn't surprise me a bit to see Arizona State score more than 50 points in this game. Colorado's passing attack is much improved this year, and due to the pace of the game, the Buffs should get plenty of chances to score here.

The over is 4-0 in Colorado's last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in Arizona State's last 4 home games. The over is 6-0 in Arizona State's last 6 after gaining at least 280 yards through the air in their previous game. The over is 7-1 in the Sun Devils last 8 October games. A 21-1 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Hawaii coach Norm Chow is slowly helping this Hawaii offense progress as season moves along. The Warriors are picking up the tempo a bit and airing it out often. UNLV's pass defense hasn't been tested all season, but that will change here. UNLV has won three games in a row, and the Rebels offense is much improved. Caleb Herring hasn't turned the ball over since taking over as the team's starting quarterback. Both of these defenses are way below average, and the offenses have been clicking well in the last couple weeks. I had this total projected at 60 points. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* Who do you think is the number one rushing team in the country? Most fans would probably guess Navy, Army, Air Force, Georgia Tech, or maybe Oregon. All of those guesses are wrong. New Mexico comes into this game with the top ranked rushing attack in the nation. Bob Davie has really done a good job getting this team to buy into his system. The Lobos have a great runner in Kasey Carrier, and he should rack up the yards here against an undersized defensive front for Wyoming. Brett Smith is a superb quarterback for Wyoming. New Mexico's defense is still a mess. The Lobos are giving up 36 points per game. Wyoming is averaging 38 points per game. This one has shootout written all over it. Take the over.

*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of Week* The Kent State Golden Flashes are a totally different team with Dri Archer in the backfield. Archer came back last week, and the team put up 24 points and moved the ball well all game against a good Northern Illinois team. Ball State is led by the best quarterback in the MAC, Keith Wenning, and he can do it all. Wenning had a great game and led the Cardinals to a big win at Virginia last week (48 points on the road at an ACC school). Ball State is 12th in the nation in passing. Kent State's is ranked 113th in the nation in total defense this year. At the same time, the Cardinals defense is 106th in the nation at stopping the run. Archer and the Golden Flashes running game should rack up the yards here. In last year's game, the final score was 45-43. Expect another high scoring contest here. The over is 17-8 in Ball State's last 25 conference games. Take the over big!

*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The Navy Midshipmen are all about the running game on the offensive side of the ball. Past history between these two teams tells me that Duke isn't good at all at stopping the triple option. Duke couldn't stop Georgia Tech's triple option last month, and I don't think they'll stop Navy here. Duke has improved over the last few weeks offensively, and the Blue Devils should be able to move the ball consistently against an undersized Navy defense that isn't very good against the run or the pass. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. I had this number at 63 points. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Missouri Tigers are one of the most improved teams in college football. James Franklin and Henry Josey were both banged up last year, and now that they are healthy this is a completely different offense. The Tigers have been piling up the yards. Missouri ranks in the top ten nationally in total offense. Missouri's one weakness as a team right now is the secondary. The Tigers secondary ranks 114th in the nation in pass defense. Georgia has a ton of injured players, and their defense isn't any good right now, but the Bulldogs can still air it out with quarterback Aaron Murray at the helm. Both teams should put up a lot of points here.

The over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in Missouri's last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. The over is 7-0 in the Bulldogs last 7 games overall. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Georgia's last 4 against the SEC. In all, a 30-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The San Diego State Aztecs offense has come alive in the past three weeks. The Aztecs have scored 30, 26, and 51 points in their last three games. They should have plenty of success here against an Air Force defense that is among the worst in the country. Air Force is allowing 39.8 points per game this year. The Falcons are undersized on the defensive front, and San Diego State should be able to run all over Air Force. At the same time, Air Force's triple option is tough to defend, and San Diego State had a short week to prepare. Last year's game was low scoring between these two, but that was the exception rather than the rule. These teams have played a lot of high scoring games. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 conference games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two at Air Force. Take the over. *Note- This line has moved since I locked it in early in the week. I would play this one up to, but not above 56 points. Thank you.*

*4 Star NFL Play of Week* The Denver Broncos are an offensive juggernaut. The Dallas Cowboys defense isn't terrible, but they didn't look very good last week against Phillip Rivers and the San Diego Chargers offense. Peyton Manning is going to pick apart this Cowboys secondary. The Broncos are averaging a ridiculous 44.8 points per game. I give them a very reasonable chance of hitting 40 again in this one. Dallas' offense will have plenty of opportunities too. The Denver defense isn't very good against the pass, and I see Dallas airing it out often after getting behind early on. Denver is giving up 316 passing yards per game.

The over is 8-0-1 in the Broncos last 9 games following a win by 10 points or more. The over is 4-0 in Denver's last 4 on turf. The over is 5-0 in the Cowboys last 5 during week 5 of the season. In all, a 17-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*4 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The New Orleans Saints offense is firing on all cylinders once again. The Saints have Sean Payton back on the sideline, and Drew Brees is at his best once again. Brees has all kinds of weapons to work with, and this Saints offense is going to be hard for anyone to slow down. The Bears defense isn't what it used to be. Offensively, the Bears are much better than they were the last couple years. Chicago is averaging 31.8 points per game. The Bears defense is forcing turnovers that lead to a lot of points as well. Rob Ryan is improving this Saints defense, but they are going to get exposed sooner or later. This number is too low.

The over is 6-0 in the Bears last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 on grass. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 against an NFC oppponent. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 week five games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. In all, a 23-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Jacksonville Jaguars are the worst team in the NFL by a mile right now. Their offense is just brutal. Jacksonville is averaging just 7.8 points per game this season. The Jaguars will likely have trouble scoring in St. Louis against a Rams defense that plays much better at home. The Jaguars defense isn't good, but they should be able to keep the Rams off the board enough to keep this one under the total. St. Louis has no real running game, and Sam Bradford has been struggling with inconsistency this year. The under is 5-0 in the Jaguars last 5 following a double digit loss at home. The under is 5-0 in the Jags last 5 after allowing more than 30 points. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing more than 250 yards through the air in the previous game. A 14-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Detroit Lions offense is so much better with Reggie Bush in the backfield. Bush can do it all, and that gives Matt Stafford and this offense the missing piece to the puzzle. Green Bay's offense is tremendous, but their defense is giving up points in bunches. The Packers first three games have finished with a total of 62, 58, and 64 points. Detroit is fully capable of getting into a shootout with the Packers, and that is what I expect in this one. The over is 4-0 in the Packers last 4 games overall. The over is 4-0 in the Packers last 4 home games against a team with a winning record. The over is 6-1 in Detroit's last 7 road games against a team with a losing home record. The over is 7-1 in the Packers last 8 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing the previous game. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The West Virginia Mountaineers and Baylor Bears will get together Saturday night. Last year, these teams played to a 70-63 final. West Virginia's offense isn't as good as last year, but their defense is just as bad. Baylor's offense is even better than last season. The Bears are averaging a ridiculous 751 yards of offense and 69.7 points per game so far this year. It wouldn't shock me if Baylor put up 60 points in this game by themselves. The posted total here looks far too low. West Virginia likes to play at a fast pace, and Baylor will be glad to run a ton of plays. I made the total in this one 79 points, so I love the value on the over.

The over is 12-0 in Baylor's last 12 games following a win of 20 points or more. The over is 7-0 in Baylor's last 7 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in the previous game. The over is 6-0 in Baylor's last 6 after allowing less than 20 points in their last game. The over is 3-0-1 in the Bears last 4 following a bye week. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. A 32-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. *Note- This line has been all over the place this week. I would play this one up to 69 points for 4 stars and for 3 stars up to 74 points. Thank you.*

*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The New Mexico Lobos are great at running the football. They are awful at everything on the defensive end. New Mexico State is one of the worst teams in all of football, and they are particularly weak when it comes to stopping the run. New Mexico State is allowing 301 yards per game on the ground which is by far and away dead last in the nation. The Lobos should find running room all day long. New Mexico State allows 45.4 points per game defensively. New Mexico allows 40.2 points per game. Both these teams are bad, but they should both score a ton of points here.

The over is 4-0 in the Aggies last 4 road games. The over is 8-1 in the Aggies last 9 games overall. The over is 7-1 in the Aggies last 8 non-conference games. The over is 7-1 in the Aggies last 8 following a loss. In all, a 26-3 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Fresno State Bulldogs have one of the best offenses in college football. Derek Carr is a terrific quarterback who can make all the throws necessary. Idaho's defense won't have a chance to slow down this Bulldogs high-powered offense. At the same time, Fresno State's defense has been terrible this year. Fresno State is giving up 38.2 points per game. Idaho has scored 71 points in two home games this year. The Vandals should be able to put plenty on the board here. Fresno should comfortably put up at least 45-50 points here. The over is 8-2 in Idaho's last 10 games against a team with a winning record. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The East Carolina Pirates got their offense going in a big way last week against North Carolina. The Pirates racked up 55 points against an ACC defense. East Carolina has a rising star in quarterback Shane Carden. Middle Tennessee State hasn't shown the ability to stop anyone with a decent offense all year. The Blue Raiders offense is much more dangerous at home. East Carolina is going to score a lot of points here, so if MTSU is going to stay in this one they'll have to be ready offensively. The over is 14-2 in the Pirates last 16 games following a win by more than 20 points. The over is 5-0 in MTSU's last 5 after scoring less than 20 points in the previous game. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Northern Illinois Huskies are once again the team to beat in the MAC. Northern Illinois is piling up the points on a weekly basis. NIU is averaging 43.2 points per game. Kent State's defense is inexperienced this year, and the Golden Flashes will have trouble slowing down Jordan Lynch and company. Kent State's offense is much better now that Dri Archer is back in the lineup. Archer is the most electrifying player in the MAC. Northern Illinois has given up a bunch of points to everyone this year. Even Eastern Illinois racked up almost 600 yards and 39 points on NIU. The over is 4-0 in NIU's first 4 games this year. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games on turf. The over is 4-1 in Kent State's last 5 following a win. Take the over here.

*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Total of Week* The Marshall Thundering Herd have a real weapon in quarterback Rakeem Cato. Cato has all the tools to be a good NFL quarterback in the future. He can absolutely pick apart lesser defenses like UTSA. UTSA has been stout against the run of late, but they don't have a good secondary. Marshall is the perfect team to expose UTSA's weakness in the secondary. UTSA's offense has looked very good this year. Marshall's defense is almost as bad as their offense is good. Both teams like to play fast and this one has high scoring game written all over it.

The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5 October games. The over is 6-0 in Marshall's last 6 games following a loss. The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 home games against a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big!

*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Total TAKEDOWN* The UCLA Bruins and Utah Utes meet on Thursday night in a game televised by Fox Sports 1. UCLA had a bye week last week, so they'll be very fresh. The Bruins have one of the nation's best dual-threat quarterbacks in Brett Hundley. Hundley is a rising star in college football, and he is putting up some huge numbers this year. The Bruins offense is second in the nation in total offense at 614 yards per game. They are averaging 52 points per game. Utah changed their strategy in the offseason. The Utes now play an uptempo style employed by Dennis Erickson. Travis Wilson is a 6'7 quarterback who is getting this offense moving up and down the field consistently this season. The Utes have scored 148 points in their three home games this year. Both of these defenses lost their top players from last year, and I see the makings of a real shootout in this one. I made this one 68 points.

The over is 6-0 in UCLA's last 6 Pac-12 games. The over is 5-0 in UCLA's last 5 after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 following a win. I recommend a 5 star play up to 61 points. I would play it for 4 stars up to 63 and 3 stars up to 64 points. Take the over big!

*4 Star NFL Play of Week* The Philadelphia Eagles and Denver Broncos square off in a matchup of high-octane offenses. Neither of these teams will huddle up, and there will be a ton of plays run in this one. Peyton Manning has had a ton of great seasons in the NFL, but he is off to the fastest start of his career. Manning has 12 touchdown passes and 0 interceptions this year. This Eagles defense is giving up 323 yards per game through the air and Manning should shred them up here. On the other side, the Broncos have allowed at least 21 points in each game this year. The Eagles fast-paced offense can put up points as well. Denver is number one in total offense and Philly is number two in the NFL.

The over is 4-0 in the Broncos last 4 after allowing 90 yards or less on the ground in the previous game. The over is 5-0-1 in the Broncos last 6 following a win. The over is 7-0-1 in the Broncos last 8 following a win by 14 points or more. The over is 4-0-1 in the Broncos last 5 on grass. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 following a game where they scored 30 points or more. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 after gaining at least 150 yards rushing in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in the Eagles last 4 after gaining at least 350 yards in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. In all, a 43-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Chicago Bears have played three games that have went well over the posted total this year. Chicago's offense is improved, and their defense is forcing turnovers in a big way so far this season. Detroit's offense is one of the most dynamic in the league, and Reggie Bush will be back for this one. With Bush and Calvin Johnson around him, Matt Stafford should have a great season. Johnson should take advantage of a banged up Bears secondary. The Bears are averaging 31.7 points per game. The over is 5-0 in the Bears last 5. The over is 7-1 in the Bears last 8 road games. The over is 6-1 in the Bears last 7 during week 4. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The UNLV Rebels have actually won two straight games for the first time in a very long time. UNLV still isn't a good team at all. They beat up on a short-handed Central Michigan team and FCS Western Illinois. The Rebels run defense is atrocious. New Mexico can't throw the ball, but Bob Davie's team can definitely run with the best of them. The Lobos are averaging 267 yards per game on the ground. Earlier this year, UNLV allowed 397 yards on the ground in a single game against Arizona. New Mexico's defense is one of the worst in the country, and they won't be able to stop anyone all season long. Both of these teams are giving up about 35 points per game. I like the value here. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Air Force Falcons can run the football extremely well, but they can't stop anyone this year. Their defense is about as bad as you'll find anywhere. Air Force is undersized along the defensive front and their secondary isn't even as good as normal. Air Force will have a new quarterback here, but as long as he is decent in the triple option, this team will get some points against Nevada's horrible rushing defense. Air Force is allowing 41 points per game this year. Nevada is giving up 34 points per game this year. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 games in September. The over is 4-0 in Air Force's last 4 conference games. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Arizona Wildcats are much improved this season. Rich Rodriguez has one of the best running attacks in the country, and they should be able to move the football against everyone on their schedule. Steve Sarkisian has his most talented offense since he has been in Washington. Sarkisian decided to push the tempo on offense this year, and it has been paying off. Keith Price and Bishop Sankey are a terrific tandem in the backfield. Washington is averaging 629 yards per game this year. Arizona's defense hasn't faced a decent offense yet, and they will get chewed up here. The over is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 against a team with a winning record. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings at Washington between these teams. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are a completely team different team this year. Louisiana Tech had a high flying offense last year, but this season their offense is terrible. Louisiana Tech's strength is their defensive line, which will help them in this game against an Army team that runs the ball on nearly every play. Louisiana Tech hasn't been able to score on questionable defenses such as Tulane and Kansas in recent weeks, and I don't expect them to put up all that many here either. The clock should be rolling through much of this game. The under is 4-0 in Army's last 4 neutral site games. The under is 4-0 in Army's last 4 games following a game where they allowed 200 yards on the ground. The under is 4-0 in LA Tech's last 4 games overall. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The UTEP Miners have a solid quarterback in Texas A&M transfer Jamiell Showers. Showers nearly beat out Johnny Manziel at Texas A&M before last season, but ended up transferring to UTEP. He has faced some good defenses this year, but I expect him to be able to put up big numbers against a Colorado State secondary that was torched by Colorado in game one. On the other side, UTEP's front seven is their weakness and the Rams should be able to exploit that. Colorado State has been much better offensively at home over the past few years. This total is set too low for two defenses that are below average. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Oklahoma/Notre Dame Total* The Oklahoma Sooners and Notre Dame Fighting Irish will do battle in South Bend on Saturday. Oklahoma lost 30-13 to Notre Dame in Norman last year, and you better believe they'll want revenge here. The Sooners defense has been very good this year, and Notre Dame's offense has been very underwhelming. Notre Dame can't run the ball much at all, and the Sooners pass rush should get to Tommy Rees often. Notre Dame's defensive front is one of the best in the nation, and I don't expect this Oklahoma team to be able to run consistently on them. There should be a lot of field goals here as both defenses buckle down in the red zone. The under is 22-7 in Notre Dame's last 29 home games. Take the under.