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NFL Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
09-16-18	Texans v. Titans +3		17-20	Win	111	5 h 58 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Tennessee (270) HOUSTON (0 - 1) at TENNESSEE (0 - 1) Week 2 Sunday, 9/16/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Titans using Line, which is currently prices them as 3-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Titans to hold the Texas to less than 5.5 yards-per-pass and less than 21 points. In past games where the Titans have met or exceeded these KPIs, they have gone 93-43-2 ATS. Slicing the data bit further to include only when they were home dogs produces a 8-4 SU and 10-2 ATS mark good 83.3% winners. Database Situational Query Play against road teams using the money line in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, team that had a terrible record last season with a win percentage of 25% or less and now playing a team had a winning record last year. 30-2 since 1983 for 93.8%. Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning) If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning and deep learning processes - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian probability networks. Also, we have deployed combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances in predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. NBA 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%. NCAAB 10-Star plays 14-5 ATS for 73%
09-10-18	Rams v. Raiders +5	Top	33-13	Loss	-105	11 h 40 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Oakland Raiders (482) LA RAMS (0-0) at OAKLAND (0-0) Week 1 Monday, 9/10/2018 10:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Raiders using the line, which currently has them installed as 4.5-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a 7-Star amount on the line and a 3-Star amount on the money line. The ML is currently at +190, which with an outright Raiders win returns $570 on the $300 (3-star) amount and a total of $1270 for the entire 10-Star wager. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Raiders to have at least 100 rushing yards, and achieve a minimum of 6.0 yards-per-play. In this role and installed as a home dog, the Raiders have gone 9-3 ATS for 75% since 1989. They covered by an average of 6.55 PPG. The Rams are just 1-5 ATS when visiting a underdog host and allowing them 100 RY and 6.0 or more YPPL. They are also projected to score between 23 and 28 points as calculated by deep machine learning tools that identified a cluster of predictive areas. Machine learning will identify a specific data point. That’s the true difference between these often times misused terms that are subsets of AI. When the Rams have allowed a host to gain 100 or more RY and given up between 23 and 28 points, they are just 2-8 ATS. In games where the opponent scored 28 or more points, they have gone 0-12 ATS. Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning) If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning and deep learning processes - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian probability networks. Also, we have deployed combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances in predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. NBA 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%. NCAAB 10-Star plays 14-5 ATS for 73%
09-09-18	Bills +8 v. Ravens	Top	3-47	Loss	-110	4 h 18 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Buffalo (459) BUFFALO (9 - 8) at BALTIMORE (9 - 7) Week 1 Sunday, 9/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Bills using the line, which currently has them installed as 7.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Bills to have at least 125 rushing yards and will have more RY than the Ravens. In this role and installed as a road dog, the Bills have gone 28-10-1 ATS for 74% since 1992. They covered by an average of 6.33 PPG. They are also projected to force 2 turnovers in this game and are 59-30 ATS (+26.0 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers since 1992. Slicing the data with all of these projections shows that the Bills have gone 8-1 ATS for 89% winners. Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning) If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances n predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. NBA 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%. NCAAB 10-Star plays 14-5 ATS for 73% Active Sports MLB 10-Star plays 10-5 or $5,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager. MLB 2018 7-Star 72-71 and 5.55 units x $700 = $3,885 MLB 2018 5-Star 14-11 and 5.61 units x $500 = $2,805 MLB Overall 2018 $12,420.00 CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800 NFLX 7-Star plays 6-3 ATS $1,890 NFLX 3-0 ATS 10-Stars $3,000 NCAAF 5-Star plays 1-1 $-50.00 NCAAF 7-Star plays 2-2 ATS $-140.00 NCAAF 10-Star 1-0 ATS $1,000.00 NFL 5-Stars 0-1 ATS $-500.00 NFL 7-Stars 0-0 ATS NFL 10-Stars 0-0 ATS
09-09-18	Titans v. Dolphins +2	Top	20-27	Win	100	4 h 17 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Miami (468) TENNESSEE (10 - 8) at MIAMI (6 - 10) Week 1 Sunday, 9/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Miami using the line, which currently prices them as 2-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Dolphins to gain at least 5.0 yards per rush, have at least 125 rushing yards and will have ore rushing yards than Tennessee. When Miami has rushed for 125 or more yards and out-rushed their visiting opponent, they have gone 58-12 SU and 47-22-1 ATS for 68% winners since 1989; 5-1 since the start of the 2015 season. Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning) If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances n predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. NBA 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%. NCAAB 10-Star plays 14-5 ATS for 73% Active Sports MLB 10-Star plays 10-5 or $5,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager. MLB 2018 7-Star 72-71 and 5.55 units x $700 = $3,885 MLB 2018 5-Star 14-11 and 5.61 units x $500 = $2,805 MLB Overall 2018 $12,420.00 CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800 NFLX 7-Star plays 6-3 ATS $1,890 NFLX 3-0 ATS 10-Stars $3,000 NCAAF 5-Star plays 1-1 $-50.00 NCAAF 7-Star plays 2-2 ATS $-140.00 NCAAF 10-Star 1-0 ATS $1,000.00
09-09-18	Bengals v. Colts -2	Top	34-23	Loss	-105	4 h 16 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Indianapolis (458) CINCINNATI (7 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (4 - 12) Week 1 Sunday, 9/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Colts using the line, which currently prices them as 2.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Colts to gain at least 150 rushing yards and 6.8 yards per pass play and have more first downs than the Bengals. In past home games where they have matched or exceeded these performance measures, the Colts are 18-1 SU and 16-2-1 ATS for 89% and covering by an average of 12 PPG. The Colts are also projected to have a higher third down conversion percentage then the Bengals. Combining the projections that they will gain 150 or more RY and have the better third down execution percentage has produced a perfect 14-0 SU record and 12-2 ATS 86% winners. Database Situational Query Play on any team vs the money line that was a mistake-free team from last season committing 1 or less turnovers-per-game. 26-8 over the last 5 seasons for 76.5%, +1740 per $100 wagered.
01-21-18	Jaguars v. Patriots -7.5	Top	20-24	Loss	-105	7 h 3 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England (312) The Matchup: JACKSONVILLE (12 - 6) at NEW ENGLAND (14 - 3) Start Time: Week 20 Sunday, 1/21/2018 3:05 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on New England using the line. The line opened at 9 and 8 ½ at some other spots. and JAX money came in on news of Brady’s injured hand. The line went to -7, and now has risen to 7 ½ , which is the level we believe that an equilibrium will take place. The injury has now been determined and reported to be a cut on the hand and that Brady practiced in full Friday and threw well. We noted in the reports that never were the fingers of the hand mentioned. Injured fingers are far more important than a cut to any other part of the throwing hand. Brady is known for his strong arm and amazing spin that pierces through headwinds with ease. The fingers of the hand are what puts spin on the football, just like on a baseball and any sphere that is connected to the hand and figers. So, we feel very confident, that Brady will be as close to 100% as any 40-year QB can possibly be for this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics The Jaguars have used play action 44% of their pass plays ranking highest in the NFL this season. The Eagles and Patriots have used play action 32% of the time by comparison. In play action,. Bortles has attained a strong 105.6 passer rating, which is third-best among qualifying QB. In the two playoffs games, JAX has used play action in 24 of their 49 pass attempts. Bortles has completed 13 of those 24 play action pass plays, 176 passing yards, and both TD’s. The Patriots are known to take away the strength of their opponent and make the opponent somehow defeat them by using their weaker assets. DT Flowers is the Patriot that can disrupt the ground attack with Fournette and also get immense pressure up the middle making it difficult for Bortles to have any wide passing lanes to complete pass plays. His colleague is LDT Malcolm Brown, who is also one of the best in the league and the two DTs combined are arguably the best pair in the NFL. The interior OL is weak for the Jaguars. RG AJ Cann has graded quite low against his peers and will be overwhelmed in run blocking and especially pass protection. LT Cam Robinson is struggling as well and he may become a target for corner blitzes. However, we believe the more that JAX has to call plays directed to the left, the more it will play into the strengths of the Patriots defensive scheme. Further, the Jaguars do not have the elite WR that will even challenge Stephon Gilmore or Malcolm Butler. This in turn, then forces Bortles to go to more 3-WR sets on second and more than 6 yards, where play action is essentially useless against the Patriots defense. So, we strongly believe that the tandem DT will not need any help to clog the passing and running lanes on early downs forcing Bortles into long down situations where he has struggled. Brady has the best passer efficiency rating in the NFL by a large amount and a monumental amount over Bortles. Brady also has the best TE in the NFL by a large amount based on yards-per-route-run. Brady also has a favorable matchup on the perimeter using Cooks and RB Dion Lewis. We would not be surprised to see 4 WR sets on the first Patriot possession that will serve to spread the Jaguars defense and make the middle of the field open for Gronk and also power running plays between the tackles with Birkhead and/or James White. The media talks about the Jaguars best-ranked NFL defense, but it is actually the Patriots defense that deserves and has earned that recognition. Since giving up 33 in a loss to Carolina October 1, only the Dolphins have scored more than 16 points (17 points) in 6 home games. Game Intelligence Analytics Play on any team (NEW ENGLAND). After leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. And is now facing an opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. 32-8 over the last 5 seasons for 80% and has made $2320 wagering $100 per play. SIM Matching Game Situations New England 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when they allow 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. Brady is 22-10 ATS when facing good defenses allowing between 14 and 20 PPG. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also 12-3 ATS for 80% winners in College Hoops and on a 5-2 ATS run in the NBA.
01-14-18	Jaguars +7.5 v. Steelers	Top	45-42	Win	100	1 h 29 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Jacksonville (305) The Matchup: JACKSONVILLE (11 - 6) at PITTSBURGH (13 - 3) Start Time: Week 19 Sunday, 1/14/2018 1:05 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Jaguars using the line. An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 245 to 255 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics The Jaguars became only the third team since 2000 to have 4 or fewer wins in the previous season and then win a playoff game the next season. They accomplished that feat last week in their win over Buffalo and now find themselves with an even greater test against Pittsburgh. Of the 17 teams that lost their playoff game, none had the power and dominating defense that the Jaguars possess. Many of them did not have a veteran QB either. It is very probable that the Steelers will put a ‘spy’ on Bortles given his recent scrambling ability and rushing yards in recent games. Bortles ranks 12th in the NFL in QB Run threat and had 71 of his 88 rushing yards scrambling in last week’s win. The ‘spy’ will be William Gay and certainly can minimize Bortles scrambling threat. However, this puts one less man in coverage and can make it easier for the OL to create passing lanes for Bortles too. Marquis Lee is projected to have a very big day if the Jags are to win this game. He will be covered by Joe Haden, who has had a very good season after two poor ones. Lee is Bortles favored target and has the length and size to get enough separation from Haden to make plays downfield. Bortles will need protection too and here is arguably the biggest advantage for the Jags offense. Specifically, Jags Center Brandon Linder is an elite one in the league and is one of the best centers in pass protection, which will offset the pass rushing strength of DI Javon Hargrave. Game Intelligence Analytics Play on road underdogs using the money line (JACKSONVILLE). After failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games. And is now facing an opponent after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. 33-30 since 1983 for 52.4% and making $3,720.00 per $100 wager. If the line is 7 or higher, the record becomes 13-7 ATS for 65% ATS winners. SIM Matching Game Situations Jaguars 63-25 ATS (+35.5 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. 14-4 ATS since the start of the 2012 season. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also 14-6 ATS in College Hoops. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
01-13-18	Titans v. Patriots -13	Top	14-35	Win	100	8 h 20 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England (304) The Matchup: TENNESSEE (10 - 7) at NEW ENGLAND (13 - 3) Start Time: Week 19 Saturday, 1/13/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on New England using the line. Game Intelligence Analytics Patriots are a solid 16-1 ATS (+14.9 Units) after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons and 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. SIM Matching Game Situations New England is: 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when they allow 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when their defense allows 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 3.5 to 4 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards this season. 81-12 ATS when achieving an 11 or less yards per point ratio. 6-1 ATS since 2015 6-1 ATS in playoff games dating back to 2002. Tennessee is: 3-7 ATS as away double digit dog and scoring 21 or fewer points. 30-53 ATS when allowing an opponent 6.0 or more yards per play. 8-48 ATS when allowing an opponent 11 or less yards per point. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017. They have also been applied to college hoops that is now on an 12-5 ATS run. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play.
01-13-18	Falcons -3 v. Eagles	Top	10-15	Loss	-100	28 h 46 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Atlanta (301) The Matchup: ATLANTA (11 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 3) Start Time: Week 19 Saturday, 1/13/2018 4:35 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Atlanta Falcons using the line. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics With Foles under center, there are numerous concerning questions regarding the health of the Eagles offense. Yes, he was an All-Pro, but that is ancient news and irrelevant to this game. Yes, he looked quite poor in his last two games filling in for Wentz, but will HC Pederson be able to fix the problems having had two week sof preparation? The Falcons have a very good and vastly underrated defensive unit. The unit is led by MLB Deion Jones, who ranks 3rd best of all players at his position in the NHL and who shutdown the pass catching abilities of the Rams Todd Gurley. The Rams second year RB is a finalist for the league MVP award and none have played better against him than Jones. The Eagles TE Zack Ertz is the best receiver on the offense, but he will have his toughest matchup this season against Jones. The Eagles will most definitely look to get Ertz matched up against SAM LB Beasley, who is the weak link on this defensive unit. However, if the Eagles are forced to take Ertz to the perimeter to achieve that matchup, you can be certain that Atlanta will bring max pressure right up the middle. So, without having a safety value TE option, Foles will have difficulty moving the chains. The Eagles OL is quite good and led by Center Jason Kelce, who ranks best in the NFL. The right side of the Eagles line including RG, Brooks, and RT Johnson, is significantly better than left side. Power running plays will be aimed to this side, I believe, but will be going right at the strength of the Falcons defense line. Desmond Trufant will be defending pass routes targeting Alshon Jeffries. Here again, this is advantage Falcons, as Trufant is more than capable of handling Jeffries in man coverage island situations. Moreover, Trufant has one of the best SS in the NFL in Keanu Neal in bracket type coverage defensive schemes. These two could have opportunities to bate Foles into making poor decisions in vertical routes leading to interceptions. Look for Atlanta to move slot CB Brian Poole to cover Torrey Smith and then move Robert ASlford to slot CB to cover Nelson Agholor in the Eagles 3-wide sets. Smith has been awful and ranks 114th the NFL WR rankings. So, Smith doesn’t even provide a decoy option for Foles to help open up the middle of the field for crossing routes. On offense, Atlanta has several major matchup advantages with the most glaring one being Julio Jones being defended by CB Ronald Darby. On the other side of the field, Mills has been exploited in double move pass routes and Sanu is one of the best around the league in executing sharp corners and well-executed routes. Atlanta does not have strong guard play along the offensive line in Garland and Schwitzer, but they are flanked by strong Center and tackle play. The Key point is that Matt Ryan can get rid of the ball quickly in under 2.7 seconds and this minimizes any pressure from the Eagles elite defensive front four. The Falcons do have the option to execute power run plays aimed at DRT Jernigan and DRE Curry. Game Intelligence Analytics Play on favorites (ATLANTA). After having won 3 out of their last 4 games. And now facing an opponent having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. 34-8 over the last 10 seasons for 81% winners and has made $2,520. Per $100 wagered. Over the past five season, this query has shown a 21-3 ATS record good for 88% winners. Adding in the away favorite parameter to the above query produces an incredible 8-1 ATS mark good for 89% winners. SIM Matching Game Situations Falcons 11-6 ATS for 65% when allowing opponents 5.5 to 6 yards-per-play over the L3 seasons. Falcons are 15-8 ATS for 65% when opponent commits 2 or more turnovers. Matt Ryan is 12-13 for 62% when averaging 7.7 or more yards per pass attempt. Eagles 8-18 ATS for just 31% winners when committing two or more turnovers in home games. 2-12 ATS when allowing opposing QB to verage 7.7 or more yards per attempt. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
01-06-18	Titans v. Chiefs -8	Top	22-21	Loss	-108	21 h 2 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Kansas City (102) The Matchup: TENNESSEE (9 - 7) at KANSAS CITY (10 - 6) Start Time: Week 18 Saturday, 1/6/2018 4:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Kansas City using the line. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Tennessee will struggle to stop the KC ground attack and the projections are illustrated below in the SIM matching Game Situations section. Alex Smith is amazing in play action situations and Tennessee defense is not good at all defending play action. Smith led the league in deep passing yards with 1344 yards and 12 TD. Tyreek Hill led the league in deep passing yards with 628 and TE Kelce led the league in all TE with 266 yards. The capability of KC to make the big chunk yards on offense will provide more than enough points on the scoreboard to win this game and cover easily. Despite Mariota using his legs to move chains in their week 17 win, he ranks second to last in QBR with a clean pocket at just 78.2. That is second to last to Cleveland’s QB Kiser. Game Intelligence Analytics Teams that are playing in the Wild Card Round and are home favorites of 7.5 to 11.5 points are a perfect 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS since 20003. The line has moved up two full points from the opening line despite even 50-50 betting on each team. Although Tennessee is back in the playoffs, they have not done well noting a 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.; 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a home win over the last 2 seasons; 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. SIM Matching Game Situations Tennessee 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when their defense allows 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when they allow 7 to 7.5 net passing yards per attempt. 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games when they allow 300 to 350 total yards. Kansas CITY 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. 23-10-2 ATS when gaining 150 rushing and 250 passing yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play.
12-31-17	Saints v. Bucs +6	Top	24-31	Win	100	6 h 1 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Tampa Bay (310) The Matchup: NEW ORLEANS (11 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 11) Start Time: Week 17 Sunday, 12/31/2017 4:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Tampa Bay using the line. Game Intelligence Analytics Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TAMPA BAY). Revenging a loss against opponent. And is off a cover where the team lost as an underdog. 34-11 over the last 10 seasons for 75.6% and $2,190 per $100 wager over the last 10 seasons. SIM Matching Game Situations Payton is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games after having won 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of the Saints. Payton is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games as the coach of the Saints. Payton is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) facing excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or fewer yards per return in the second half of the season as the coach of the Saints. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play.
12-31-17	Cowboys -3 v. Eagles	Top	6-0	Win	100	2 h 9 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Dallas (323) The Matchup: DALLAS (8 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 2) Start Time: Week 17 Sunday, 12/31/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Dallas using the line. Game Intelligence Analytics Play on favorites (DALLAS). After having won 3 out of their last 4 games. And is now facing an opponent that has been a very hot team having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. 33-8 over the last 10 seasons for 80.5% and $2,420 per $100 wagered. SIM Matching Game Situations Dallas has lost the last two games against Philadelphia and technically playing with double revenge against a divisional opponent and on the road. This situation has seen Dallas fair well for their backers when Dallas is also favored going 15-4 SU and 12-7 ATS for 63% winners Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play.
12-24-17	Bills v. Patriots -11	Top	16-37	Win	100	4 h 31 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England (122) The Matchup: NE hosting Buffalo Start Time: 1:00 EST SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on New England using the line. Game Intelligence Analytics The algorithms show a very strong probability that Buffalo will not exceed 150 passing yards in today’s game. The Patriots are an amazing 12-3 ATS for 80% winners when playing at home and holding an opponent to less than 150 passing yards and having won 5 or 6 of the past 7 games. SIM Matching Game Situations NE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. NE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when their defense allows 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. NE is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards-per-attempt. NE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 total yards over the last 2 seasons. NE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. NE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they gain 400 or more total yards this season. NE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NCAAF for the Bowl games and those plays now stand at 4-0 ASTS. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
12-23-17	Vikings v. Packers +9	Top	16-0	Loss	-110	10 h 0 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Green Bay (104) The Matchup: MINNESOTA (11 - 3) at GREEN BAY (7 - 7) Start Time: Week 16 Saturday, 12/23/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Green Bay using the line. An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 300 to 320 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season. Game Intelligence Analytics There are several database queries that focus on the last three weeks of the regular season and have produced solid results over extended periods of time. One of them is activated for this matchup and it is very simple and spans 35 seasons. Play against favorites using the money line that are off a cover installed as a double digit favorite and with the game taking place in the last three weeks. Play against these false favorites has produced a 20-13 record for 61% winners and has made whopping $2,960 wagering $100 per play. What makes this an incredible money maker is that it has averaged a +203 DOG play. SIM Matching Game Situations GB is a solid 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games off 3 or more consecutive overs. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-20 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
12-23-17	Colts v. Ravens -13.5	Top	16-23	Loss	-110	54 h 39 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Baltimore Ravens (102) The Matchup: INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 11) at BALTIMORE (8 - 6) Start Time: Week 16 Saturday, 12/23/2017 4:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Baltimore using the line. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics It seems each season in the NFL, there is more and more passes being attempted and less rushing attempts. This evolution in the game has forced CB to be far more productive in pass coverage when targeted. As a result several new metrics have appeared and the one that always stands out is QBR rating when targeted. The lower the number the better the CB performance as it reflects greater amounts of incompletions and interceptions. The Ravens Jimmy Smith ranks fourth-best in the NFL with a 49 QBR when targeted. So, to put this into perspective, a QB receives a QBR of 39 for simply throwing an incompletion and anything under 50 is truly great CB play. Smith was injured in the first week of December and out for the remainder of the season with an achilles injury. So, the defense has had to adjust significantly to fill the gap left by arguably their best defensive player in pass plays. The defense did give up 486 passing yards in the crazy loss to Pittsburgh, but Roethlisberger has done that many times in his career. Last week, the Ravens defense held Cleveland to 136 passing yards and granted, it was Cleveland. The Colts, though, have not had more than 200 passing yards in 4 straight games and they won’t in this one either. The Colts rank 31st averaging only 286.2 passing yards per game and only the Bengals are worse averaging 268 passing yards per game. Game Intelligence Analytics From the projections Baltimore is expected to gain 50 or more rushing yards and 100 or more passing yards than the Colts. When these two KPI have combined in past games, it has produced a 267-47-3 ATS record. When we add the third metric calling for Baltimore to attain better than 7 yards per pass attempt, the past games have produced 213-28-2 ATS for 88% winners. When these KPI are aligned in home Ravens games, it has gone a perfect 6-0 ATS. The average SU margin of these six games has been 27.5 points and the average ATS margin has been 17.8 points. SIM Matching Game Situations Baltimore is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992. Harbaugh is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when facing terrible defensive teams allowing more than 6.0 yards-per-play in the second half of the season as the coach of Baltimore. Baltimore is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 50 to 100 yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-20 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
12-18-17	Falcons v. Bucs +7	Top	24-21	Win	100	5 h 59 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Tampa Bay (332) The Matchup: ATLANTA (8 - 5) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 9) Start Time: Week 15 Monday, 12/18/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Tampa Bay using the line. An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 200 to 220, which is undervalued (money line is inflated due to the public pushing the favorite higher) significantly based on a realistic chance that the dog wins SU. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season. Game Intelligence Analytics SIm projects that the Bucs will have at least 50 more rushing yards than the Falcons. In past games where this has occurred for the Bucs they are an outstanding 90-20-2 ATS for 82% winners since 1985. And since the start of the 2014 season, they are 9-2 ATS for 82% winners. SIM Matching Game Situations Atlanta is just 4-7 against the money line (-14.1 Units) when they rush for 100 to 125 yards over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta is 5-15 against the money line (-11.5 Units) in road games when they outgain their opponents by 0.5 to 1 yard-per-play.
12-17-17	Rams +1 v. Seahawks	Top	42-7	Win	100	5 h 13 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Rams The Matchup: LA RAMS (9 - 4) at SEATTLE (8 - 5) Start Time: Week 15 Sunday, 12/17/2017 4:05 PM SIM grading: 10 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star wager on the Rams using the line The majority of sports books now offer alternative lines and totals. If you have access to that, consider placing a 7 star amount on the total and a 2.5 star amount on the alternative - 4 ½ Rams line, which we expect you’ll see getting +230 payback. Also, we have a 5 star play on the total and this open up the opportunity to place an action reverse wager that pays 4:1 and would obviously be with the Rams and the ‘over’. A more aggressive parlay wager would be to use the Rams and the Money Line and the ‘over’, which will pay significantly more if both plays hit. Game Intelligence Analytics SIM projects that the Rams will have at least 50 more rushing yards than the Seahawks. Including the fact that the Rams are visitors and lost ATS in their last game has produced a record of 585-153-17 ATS for 79% winners since 1989. Now, if we wanted to know what the Rams record is we’d find a very impressive 14-1 ATS since 1989 and the KPI combination has not lost for the Rams since 1990. SIM Matching Game Situations Rams are a solid 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Rams are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after scoring 35 points or more last game. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 37-18 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
12-17-17	Eagles -7.5 v. Giants	Top	34-29	Loss	-101	4 h 53 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 307 Philadelphia -7 The Matchup: PHILADELPHIA (11 - 2) at NY GIANTS (2 - 11) Start Time: Week 15 Sunday, 12/17/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Philadelphia using the line. Round Table Discussion Points Once again we are stepping in against the New York Giants, and yes Philadelphia will be without Carson Wentz. However, Nick Foles understands the Eagles offense and will execute it quite well. Further, he is going against a NY Giant Team that is 2-11 on the season with a more than suspect defense that has been giving up big plays all year. The Eagles have a lot of offensive weapons, while all of the Giants big play guys have been lost for the season. Eli Manning is a sitting duck in the pocket and will look for quick dump offs instead of trying to go through the play progressions. The Eagles run defense has been consistent and strong all year and should have no problem stifling the anemic Giant rushing game. The Eagles are a hungry bunch looking to get closer to locking up the first round bye and home field throughout the playoffs, while the Giants will be thinking of a high draft pick and next season or moving in to another team Look for the Eagles to soar this week in the Meadowlands. SIM Matching Game Situations Philadelphia is 6-0 ATS, Plus 6 Units when facing a poor passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of over 61% on the season. Philadelphia is 60-34 ATS, Plus 22.6 Units when allowing 75 to 100 rushing yards since 1992. NY Giants are 0-6 ATS when they are outgained by 150 plus yards the last 2 years. Philadelphia is 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) when they rush for 150 to 175 yards. Philadelphia is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 150+ yards over the last 3 seasons. Giants are just 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) when they allow 150 to 175 rushing yards. Giants are an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 150+ yards over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 37-18 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
12-17-17	Dolphins +4 v. Bills	Top	16-24	Loss	-109	3 h 25 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: MIami Dolphins The Matchup: MIAMI (6 - 7) at BUFFALO (7 - 6) Start Time: Week 15 Sunday, 12/17/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Miami using the line. Game Intelligence Analytics The following database system query has gone 38-14 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $2,200 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play against favorites (BUFFALO). After covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. And is a marginal winning team posting a win percentage between 51% to 60%. And playing a marginal losing team in the second half of the season. SIM Matching Game Situations SIM projects that Miami will out rush Buffalo today. Since 1989 when this has occurred they have gone 138-65-4 ATS for 68% winners in all games. If, when on the road, then their record goes to 65-23-2 ATS for 74% winners. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 37-18 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
12-11-17	Patriots -10.5 v. Dolphins	Top	20-27	Loss	-103	4 h 37 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England Patriots (133) The Matchup: NEW ENGLAND (10 - 2) at MIAMI (5 - 7) Start Time: Week 14 Monday, 12/11/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Patriots using the line. The SIM also projects that the ‘over’ will be a winning wager as well. It is graded as a 5 star play. So, place a 5 star wager on the ‘over’. Moreover, it stands to reason as we have done for the last three times this occurrence presented, a paraly is a validated play as well. The recommended wager type is a reverse action wager that pays 4:1 if both dies and total hit pay dirt. So, simply, if you wager $100 on a reverse parlay with the Patriots and the ‘over’ the following scenarios are possible outcomes. Win Patriots and the ‘over’ would pay $400. Win patriots and lose total would lose $120. Win ‘over’ and lose Patriots would lose $120. Lose Patriots and lose the ‘over’ would lose $240. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Advanced and Predictive Analytics Tom Brady has posted a 10-1 ATS mark when playing against teams with a WP between 37 and 47% in his career. Jay Cutler is a money burning 4-11 ATS as a home underdog. Supporting the ‘over’ is a database query that has produced a 27-5 mark good for 84.4% winners since 1983. Play ‘Over’ with road teams against the total (NEW ENGLAND). And is an excellent offensive team scoring 27 PPG or more. And is now facing a poor defensive team allowing between 23 and 27 PPG. After allowing 9 points or less last game. SIM Matching Game Situations NE is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. NE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow 100 to 125 rushing yards over the last 2 seasons. NE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards over the last 2 seasons. NE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Miami is just 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when their defense allows 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 10-31 ATS (-24.1 Units) when they allow 7.5 to 8 net passing yards-per-attempt. Miami is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) in home games when they allow 100 to 125 rushing yards. Miami is 8-30 ATS (-25.0 Units) in home games when they allow 350 to 400 total yards. Miami is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when they allow 6 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 37-18 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
12-10-17	Eagles v. Rams +1	Top	43-35	Loss	-110	4 h 22 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Los Angeles Rams (128) The Matchup: PHILADELPHIA (10 - 2) at LA RAMS (9 - 3) Start Time: Week 14 Sunday, 12/10/2017 4:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the LA Rams using the line. I will be on the Twitter feed @JohnRyanSports1 throughout the day to offer up 2nd half betting opportunities and in-game LIVE betting situations. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Through 12 weeks of the season, Eagles linebacker Mychal Kendricks had allowed the 14th-lowest passer rating against allowing zero touchdowns and three passes defended. His Week 12 matchup against the Seahawks, though saw him give up five receptions on six targets for 63 yards and the first touchdown in his coverage (a running back) for a passer rating of 150.0. Gurley is second among running backs in receiving yards with 563, second in missed tackles after the catch with 13 and is averaging the fourth-highest yards gained per route run with 1.90 on 297 snaps in route. We see Gurley having a huge game and also will be a punishing factor between the tackles as well. This dominance will open up the perimeter for Sammy Watkins in man coverage where he has been at his best all season. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 36-13 ATS hitting 75% winners and has made $2,370 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play agaist road underdogs or pick (PHILADELPHIA). That is also a hot team after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. And with a winning record. Playing another winning record team in the second half of the season. SIM Matching Game Situations Rams are 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. Rams are a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 36-16 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
12-10-17	Cowboys v. Giants +4	Top	30-10	Loss	-105	3 h 38 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: NY Giants (130) The Matchup: DALLAS (6 - 6) at NY GIANTS (2 - 10) Start Time: Week 14 Sunday, 12/10/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Giants using the line. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics A key matchup we give the edge to the Giants pits Dallas Guard Zack Martin against DL Dalvin Tomlinson. Martin is undeniably one of the best OG in the league, but he will be going up against a rapidly improving rookie, who ranks far and above the best rookie interior defender. Moreover, Tomlinson ranks 16th in the NFL in run-stop and has improved his season metrics in every game to date. Another matchup is Giants Damon Harrison going up against Dallas C Travis Frederick. Again, Frederick ranks among the Top-3 in all C metrics, but is going up against his toughest opponent bar none. Harrison ranks in the Top-3 in overall performance and has a league-best 29 run stops. Edge to the Giants DL. Sterling Shepard is a must-have in your daily fantasy lineups today. He is the best receiver on the roster by far and has exceptional matchup advantages against a highly suspect Dallas secondary. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 33-10 ATS hitting 77% winners and has made $2,200 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY GIANTS). Revenging a loss against opponent. And is off a cover where the team lost as an underdog. SIM Matching Game Situations Giants are a solid 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards. Giants are 25-9 ATS at home when they gain 125 or more RY and 200 or more PY. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 36-16 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
12-10-17	Vikings v. Panthers +2.5	Top	24-31	Win	100	2 h 23 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Carolina (116) The Matchup: MINNESOTA (10 - 2) at CAROLINA (8 - 4) Start Time: Week 14 Sunday, 12/10/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Carolina using the line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 38-14 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $2,260 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CAROLINA). After 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers. And is now facing an opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers. SIM Matching Game Situations Minnesota is just 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in road games when they score 15 to 21 points. Carolina is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. Rivera is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) off a road loss as the coach of Carolina. Carolina is a strong 20-8 ATS when gaining more than 150 rushing yards and 200 passing yards. When the previous query includes the Panthers playing at home, the results go to a staggering 13-2 ATS. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 36-16 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
12-07-17	Saints +1 v. Falcons	Top	17-20	Loss	-102	10 h 37 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Saints (101) The Matchup: NEW ORLEANS (9 - 3) at ATLANTA (7 - 5) Start Time: Week 14 Thursday, 12/7/2017 8:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Saints using the line. Round Table Discussion Points The Saints defense has made vast improvements in 2017 allowing only 17.9 points-per-game in the last 10 games. NFC Defensive Player of the Month for November Cam Jordan has registered 10.5 sacks and 13 tackles for loss this season and has eight sacks, a forced fumble and fumble recovery in his last nine encounters with Atlanta. Rookie cornerback Marshon Lattimore, who has made progress from an ankle injury that sidelined him for the past two games, could be in line to guard wideout Julio Jones on Thursday. Atlanta's Ben Garland will get the start as fellow LG Andy Levitre has been ruled out with a triceps injury. Chemistry is vitally important for any NFL team, especially Atlanta since they are coming off a 9 point performance in their loss to Carolina last week. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics A massive matchup advantage for the Saints is rookie tackle Ryan Ramczyk, who was acquired with the 32nd pick in the draft acquired when they traded Cooks to the Patriots. This has worked out well for both teams. Ramczyk ranks best among all rookie offensive tackles in both pass blocking and run blocking. He will matched up against Grady Jarrett, who ranks within the top 25% of all linemen for interior pass rushing and run stoppage. However, he is not an elite linemen and Ramczyk will dominate him. Another Saints advantage is WR Michael Thomas, who continues to move up the ranks every week. He now ranks seventh-best among 116 WR. He ranks fourth-best in drop rate and has just TWO drops and both of them occurred in Week 4. He primarily lines up on the left side of the field and will be defended by an average CB in Robert Alford. Look for Brees to move formations when needed to get this matchup. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 24-4 ATS hitting 86% winners and has made $1,960 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play on road teams (NEW ORLEANS). That are mistake-free team having committed 1.25 or fewer TO-per-Game. And now facing a team forcing 1.25 TO-per-Game. After Week 7 games have been played. And after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. As the spreadsheet shows, the average ATS margin has been a quite impressive seven points. If we eliminate the ATS losses, the ATS margin for the wins is a remarkable 10.11 points. This query serves to reinforce the SIM projection expecting a double digit Saints win. SIM Matching Game Situations Saints are a solid 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt. Falcons are 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) when they allow 125 to 150 rushing yards. Falcons are 31-81 ATS when they have allowed 150 or more rushing yards. Falcons are 3-42 SU and 9-36 ATS when they have allowed 150 or more rushing yards and allowed more than 6.5 yards per play. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 36-15 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. I have a special priced Bowl Package for just $159.00. We have gone 33-15 ATS for 69% ATS winners over the last three Bowl Seasons and back in 2009, posted a historic 15-1 ATS result. Over the past 10 bowl seasons we have hit 65% ATS winners.
12-04-17	Steelers v. Bengals +6	Top	23-20	Win	100	8 h 22 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Cincinnati Bengals (380) The Matchup: PITTSBURGH (9 - 2) at CINCINNATI (5 - 6) Start Time: Week 13 Monday, 12/4/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Bengals using the line. So, if you are wagering $100 per star unit, this would be a $700 dollar wager. If you have chosen to play $500 per 7 star release than you are wagering $71.42 per star. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Antonio Brown is the best WR in the league this season, but the Steelers may find it far more difficult to get him the ball than in any other game this season. That is because Bengals CB William Jackson III is play at a Pro Bowl level and has dominated all receivers to date. He has faced four WR that rank very high in performance metrics this season in Brown (first), Davonte Adams (24), T.Y. hilton (38th), and Marquis Lee (50). This group of WR have combined for just TWO receptions for 42 yards on seven targets when Jackson was the primary defender. Of the 214 coverage snaps, only nine have been defending the slot, where he has allowed ONE reception for ONE yard. In Week 7, with Jackson defending Brown, he allowed NO receptions. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 52-20 against the money line hitting 72% winners and has made $3,660 wagering $100 per game since 2007. The system has also gone 6-1 making $710 this season wagering just $100 per game. Play against any team using the money line (PITTSBURGH). After a game where they forced no turnovers. And is now facing an opponent after 2 consecutive games where they committed no turnovers. And now if we add in the double-revenge that Cincy finds themselves having in this game. The record goes to a brilliant 7-1 SU and making $1,162 per $100 ML wager since the start of the 2015 season. The average SU win margin has been 14 points for all eight of these games. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
12-03-17	Giants +9 v. Raiders	Top	17-24	Win	100	5 h 45 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: NY Giants (375) The Matchup: NY GIANTS (2 - 9) at OAKLAND (5 - 6) Start Time: Week 13 Sunday, 12/3/2017 4:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on NY Giants using the line. We also like using a combination wager placing a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount on the money line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 51-19 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $1,720 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OAKLAND). After having won 2 out of their last 3 games. And is a marginal losing team winning between 40% to 49% of their games. And now facing a losing record team. SIM Matching Game Situations NYG are 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards. NYG are 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards per attempt. NYG are 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games when both teams score 20 or more points. OAK is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) facing poor offensive teams scoring 17 or less points per game. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
12-03-17	Vikings v. Falcons -2.5	Top	14-9	Loss	-105	2 h 16 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Atlanta (356) The Matchup: MINNESOTA (9 - 2) at ATLANTA (7 - 4) Start Time: Week 13 Sunday, 12/3/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on using the line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 27-5 ATS hitting 84.4% winners and has made $2,150 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on home favorites (ATLANTA). After having won 3 out of their last 4 games. And is now facing an opponent after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. Over the past year, this system has produced an amazing 9-1 ATS mark. Over the past year, the average cover has been a whopping 9 points. SIM Matching Game Situations Minnesota is just 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Minnesota is 44-70 ATS (-33.0 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points. Atlanta is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-30-17	Redskins v. Cowboys -1	Top	14-38	Win	100	59 h 51 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Dallas (302) The Matchup: WASHINGTON (5 - 6) at DALLAS (5 - 6) Start Time: Week 13 Thursday, 11/30/2017 8:25 PM SIM grading: 10 star grading on a 3 to 10 grading scale Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star amount on Dallas using the line. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Despite scoring anemically in their last three games, Dallas remains a strong rushing team ranking 2nd best averaging 4.7 YPR. Even without Elliott, they have the running backs to get the job done. They will control the line of scrimmage and the clock. Their three losses appear to be far worse than they really are since they lost to juggernaut Philadelphia, Atlanta, and the Chargers. All three of those teams are playing very well. Washington is not on that list and have found ways to lose games. The Saints game was pitiful and so was the Giants win, which close till the 4th quarter. Giants are perhaps the worst team in the league not named Cleveland. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 38-12 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made $2,480 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on any team (DALLAS). After scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games. Over the past three season, this DB query has produced an amazing 12-2 ATS record for 86% winners. The average cover has been 6 points and the 12 wins have covered by 10 points. SIM Matching Game Situations Washington is just 34-61 ATS (-33.1 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points. Washington is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) when they allow 125 to 150 rushing yards. Dallas is a solid 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 33-14 ATS 70% record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-27-17	Texans +7.5 v. Ravens	Top	16-23	Win	100	12 h 16 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Houston (275) The Matchup: HOUSTON (4 - 6) at BALTIMORE (5 - 5) Start Time: Week 12 Monday, 11/27/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 star play based on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Houston using the line. Alternative wager strategy. Given the favorable projections we like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 5.5* play on the line and a 1.5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirement is that we need a +135 Money Line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 7* wager using the line. In this game, the money line is lined at +265 with some books sowing +280. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Since Tom Savage took over control of the offense, DeAndre Hopkins has seen 37 targets, which is tops in the league over the last three weeks. To date the passer rating has not yet impressed, but the yards per route has increased to 2.28 yards per route run. Hopkins will be covered by one of the best corners in the league this season in Jimmy Smith. He has the best passer rating at just 25.7 and ranks in the top-10 in many other metrics. Yet, Hopkins is an elite WR and this matchup will be won by Hopkins tonight. WE also like the matchup of WR Bruce Ellington being mostly matched up against Ladarius Thomas. Ellington has become the No. 2 WR with the injuries to Fuller and has stepped up and produced. He has steadily been passing choice out of the slot where crossing routes will help free him up in space. Then there is the monumental mismatch of Houston’s DE Clowney matched up against LT James Hurst. Clowney has performed very well in both run and pass defense. Hurst was playing at LG and now due to injuries has moved to LT. He has not doe well in either position. Even if Ronnie Staley can play tonight, he will be no where close to 100% and Clowney will require double teams allowing for bunch pressure up the middle. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 35-11 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made $2,380 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play on road teams using the money line (HOUSTON) . And is a good passing team gaining between 6 and 7-7.3 PYA. And is now facing a horrible passing team gaining 5.3 or fewer PYA. After allowing 7 or more passing yards per attempt last game. SIM Matching Game Situations Houston is a perfect 5-0 against the money line (+8.3 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Houston is 10-2 against the money line (+10.1 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 total yards over the last 3 seasons. Houston is 10-3 against the money line (+9.4 Units) when they gain 4.5 to 5 total yards per play over the last 3 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 32-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-26-17	Saints v. Rams -2	Top	20-26	Win	100	5 h 32 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Los Angeles Rams (268) The Matchup: NEW ORLEANS (8 - 2) at LA RAMS (7 - 3) Start Time: Week 12 Sunday, 11/26/2017 4:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a scale of 3 to 10 stars. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on the Rams using the line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 26-5 ATS hitting 84% winners and has made $2,050 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Of the winning plays 48% of them covered the spread by 7 or more points. SIM Matching Game Situations Saints are just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 22-12 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-26-17	Panthers -5.5 v. Jets	Top	35-27	Win	100	2 h 54 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Carolina (261) The Matchup: CAROLINA (7 - 3) at NY JETS (4 - 6) Start Time: Week 12 Sunday, 11/26/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out fo a 3 to 10 grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on carolina using the line. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Carolina leads the NFL converting 47% of their third down situations. The Jets will be pressured on defense in first and second downs looking to make third and long situations more prevalent and more difficult to convert. Carolina runs the ball more often than the NFL average on first down eliminating the second and long situations. Newton also extends plays with his mobility as good as anyone else in the league. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 27-8 ATS hitting 77% winners using the first half line and has made $1,820 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play against underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (NY JETS). After having lost 3 out of their last 4 games. With a winning percentage of between 40-49%. In the second half of the season. Rivera is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the second half of the season as the coach of Carolina. SIM Matching Game Situations Carolina is a solid 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards over the last 3 seasons. Carolina is 49-25 ATS (+21.5 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 total yards. Carolina is 40-19 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards. Jets are 18-50 ATS for just 27% when they have 3 turnovers in a game. Jets are 25-100 ATS for 20% when habving three or more turnovers in a game. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 22-12 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-26-17	Bears +14.5 v. Eagles	Top	3-31	Loss	-115	2 h 33 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Chicago Bears The Matchup: CHICAGO (3 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 1) Start Time: Week 12 Sunday, 11/26/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 grading scale Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star wager amount on the Chicago Bears using the line. We also like adding a 2 star play using the money line on the Bears. No one believes the Eagles can lose this game and this offers us a great ,oney line price just in case the world is wrong and the Bears somehow manage to make headline news. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 41-18 ATS hitting 70% winners and has made $2,120 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Of the winning plays, 65.8% of them have covered the spread by 7 or more points. Play against favorites of 10.5 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) . That are good passing teams averaging 230 or more passing yards/game. After allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games. SIM Matching Game Situations Fox is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses allowing 235 or more passing yards per game in the second half of the season in all games he has coached. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 30-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-23-17	Chargers -1.5 v. Cowboys	Top	28-6	Win	100	27 h 51 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Dallas (110) The Matchup: LA CHARGERS (4 - 6) at DALLAS (5 - 5) Start Time: Week 12 Thursday, 11/23/2017 4:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on the Chargers using the line. If the money line is higher than 135, then consider playing a combination wager consisting of a 5* amount on the lie and a 2 star amount on the money line. Round Table Discussion Points We didn’t believe the loss of Elliott would have have such a grave impact to the Dallas season, but it has and they are in dire shape. The Chargers have suddenly won four of their last six and covered five of those games. Their ground attack has improved significantly and now Rivers has more time to throw and can use play action pass much more effectively. Granted, Chargers were the benefactor of one of the worst coaching decisions ever made by the Buffalo Bills last week and now will have a much tougher game at Dallas, but one that we fully believe will win. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 41-16 ATS hitting 72% winners and has made $2,340 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play against home teams (DALLAS). That are good rushing teams averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards-per-carry. After being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. SIM Matching Game Situations Garrett is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after scoring 14 points or less last game as the coach of Dallas. Garrett is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games facing poor passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 61% or worse as the coach of Dallas. Chargers are a solid 30-11 ATS (+17.9 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. Chargers are 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-20-17	Falcons +1.5 v. Seahawks	Top	34-31	Win	100	12 h 11 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Atlanta Falcons (475) The Matchup: ATLANTA (5 - 4) at SEATTLE (6 - 3) Start Time: Week 11 Monday, 11/20/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on the Atlanta Falcons using the line. To have the combination wager validated, we need a DOG play to have a money line of at least +135 to satisfy the expected ROI. That is not the case currently, and would need to see the line rise to 3 ½ or 4 for that to occur. We see a greater chance of the line moving towards -1 or even pick-em, so stick with the 7 star wager using the line. The fact that the line is moving ‘against’ our play on Atlanta has not and will not impact the consensus data we collect. About 55% of all bets are on Atlanta and with the line moving down towards pick-em implies that the bet amounts on Atlanta are much larger than the bets being placed on Seattle. Round Table Discussion Points With Sherman out for the season, the Falcons will certainly target Griffin and move Julio Jones in pre-snap situations to get Griffin covering him in at minimum under-man coverage. Jones may not have been finding the end zone as much this year, but he ranks best in the NFL in yards per routs at 2.88 yards per route. Devonte Freeman will be out for this game and Tevin Coleman will get the extra load of carries. Seattle LB Wagner will be matched up against Coleman. Wagner ranks fourth best LB in run-stops, but Coleman provides an extra amount of elusiveness and quickness, which we expect to overcome Wagner’s strong tackling and pursuit fundamentals. Seattle WR Baldwin has been steadily lining up in the slot and ranks 4th with 112 such positions since Week 6. The aim tonight will be to get Baldwin lined up in man coverage against Brian Poole, who has had some troubles in these matchups. Falcons can lineup zone look pre-snap and then possibly use Desmond Trufant in slot coverage. Trufant has not allowed a pass completion of more than 25 yards this season. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 26-7 ATS hitting 79% winners and has made $1,830 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play against home favorites (SEATTLE). After allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game. And is now facing an opponent after gaining seven or more passing yards-per-attempt in 2 straight games. SIM Matching Game Situations Atlanta is a solid 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt. Atlanta is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. Seattle is just 13-35 ATS (-25.5 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 total yards per play. Seattle is 28-70 ATS (-49.0 Units) when they allow 6 or more total yards per play. Atlanta is 21-9 ATS when gaining 4 or more yards per rush and scoring between 22 and 28 points. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-19-17	Eagles v. Cowboys +6.5	Top	37-9	Loss	-115	9 h 38 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Dallas The Matchup: PHILADELPHIA (8 - 1) at DALLAS (5 - 4) Start Time: Week 11 Sunday, 11/19/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on dallas using the line. An alternative wager is to place a 2 star amount on the money line and a 5 star amount using the line given the projection from the SIM calling for the SU Dallas win. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 45-19 ATS hitting 75% winners and has made $2,410 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play against road favorites (PHILADELPHIA). That are excellent offensive teams scoring 27 or more points-per-game. After leading in their previous game by 21 or more points at the half. SIM Matching Game Situations Dallas is a solid 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home games after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. Dallas is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) after a loss by 14 or more points. Philadelphia is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams averaging 5.65 or more yards-per-play over the last 2 seasons.
11-19-17	Cardinals v. Texans -2.5	Top	21-31	Win	100	2 h 27 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Houston (462) The Matchup: ARIZONA (4 - 5) at HOUSTON (3 - 6) Start Time: Week 11 Sunday, 11/19/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Houston using the line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 37-12 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made $2,380 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play against underdogs or pick (ARIZONA). After allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Since the start of last season, this query has produced a record of 3-18-1 SU and 4-18 ATS. SIM Matching Game Situations Houston is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games. Houston is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games. Arizona is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-19-17	Redskins +9.5 v. Saints	Top	31-34	Win	100	2 h 51 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Washington (465) The Matchup: WASHINGTON (4 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 2) Start Time: Week 11 Sunday, 11/19/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 star grading Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on Washington using the line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 27-9 ATS hitting 75% winners and has made $1,710 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play against favorites (NEW ORLEANS). That are excellent offensive teams scoring 27 or more points/game. And after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games. In similar fashion, teams that: Have allowed 14 or fewer points in 2 straight games. Possess a season average of 15 or less offensive yards per point. And posted an offensive yards-per-point of less than 10.5. ARE just 5-12 ATS for 29.4% winner. SIM Matching Game Situations Saints are an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game. Redskins are 62-27 ATS (+32.3 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. Redskins are 17-8 ATS (+32.3 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points in road games. Redskins installed as road dogs are 13-5 ATS (+32.3 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-16-17	Titans v. Steelers -7	Top	17-40	Win	105	6 h 25 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Pittsburgh Steelers (312) The Matchup: TENNESSEE (6 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 2) Start Time: Week 11 Thursday, 11/16/2017 8:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager 7 star amount on the Pittsburgh Steelers suing the line. Round Table Discussion Points With Steelers starting cornerback Joe Haden out, Matthews will likely see a lot of Sensabaugh on the outside. In last week’s matchup against the Colts, Sensabaugh allowed two catches on three passes into his coverage for 22 yards. Mathews averages 1.75 yards per route run and when lined up to the outside right he has caught 14 balls for 174 yards. Sensabaugh lined up on the defense’s left side (right side offensively) in 25 of his 27 coverage snaps last week. Quinton Spain is expected to play tonight and resume his guard duties for the Titans. This is good news for the Titans, but he will going against one of the best interior defensive linemen in the league. Cameron Howard ranks in the top-3 in numerous categories and ranks 2nd in pass rush productivity. We believe Howard will win this battle and dominate to an extent that may warrant double teaming. Delanie Walker has really stepped up his game over the last 3 games. Mariotta has a 99 passer rating when targeting him over the last three games. Walker has increased his yards per snap from 1.65 to 2.14 yards per route run. Sean Davis does not have good coverage skills and a player has been targeted against him once every 9.3 snaps. Look for Pittsburgh to mix up the coverages and keep Marriotta guessing if Davis is in man-to-man coverage. Advanced and Predictive Analytics from Database Systems The following database system query has gone 36-12 ATS hitting 75% winners and has made $2,280 wagering $100 per game since 2014. Play against underdogs or pick (TENNESSEE). After allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Titans are just 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Titans are 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread. Titans are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is a solid 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. Titans are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. Titans are an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Roethlisberger is 8-1 ATS against similar teams with WP identical to Pittsburgh (60 to 70%). Methodologies and Cost Saving Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-13-17	Dolphins v. Panthers -8.5	Top	21-45	Win	100	6 h 12 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Carolina (276) The Matchup: MIAMI (4 - 4) at CAROLINA (6 - 3) Start Time: Week 10 Monday, 11/13/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount using the line on Carolina. Round Table Discussion Points Both teams struggle at times to run an efficient scoring offense, but Miami has struggled to put up points all season. We analyze many of our advanced metrics using the foundation ratio of yards-per-point (YPP), which is a measure of offensive efficiency. The lower the ratio the more efficient the team offense. Currently, the Rams lead the NFL with a 11.8 YPP ratio meaning on average they score 1 point for every 11.8 yards the offense gains. The worst, is Cleveland that requires 19.7 yards of offense to score 1 point. Carolina ranks 20th with a 16.8 YPP ratio and Miami 29th with an 18.6 YPP ratio. Miami, though, is dead last in road games YPP with a horrid 27.4 YPP. Carolina has posted a solid 15.9 YPP in their home games. We fully expect Carolina to control the tempo of the game and the clock with long time consuming scoring drives. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 34-3 SU for 92% winners and 22-14 ATS hitting 61% winners and has made $3,000 wagering $100 per game since 1983. The DB system has averaged a -7.4 line and a -152 Money Line play with the average margin of victory nearly 10 points. Play on home favorites using the money line (CAROLINA). Off 2 straight wins against division rivals. And now facing an opponent after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Miami is just 2-10 against the money line (-9.6 Units) when they rush for less than 75 yards over the last 2 seasons. Miami is a near-imperfect 1-7 against the money line (-8.3 Units) in road games when they rush for less than 3 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. Carolina is an outstanding 52-14 against the money line (+40.0 Units) when they allow less than 250 total yard. Carolina is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Carolina is 35-12 ATS (+21.8 Units) vs. poor offensive teams - scoring 17 or less points/game Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-12-17	Steelers -10 v. Colts	Top	20-17	Loss	-108	3 h 43 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Pittsburgh (255) The Matchup: PITTSBURGH (6 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 6) Start Time: Week 10 Sunday, 11/12/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on scale of 3 to 10 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount with Pittsburgh using the line. Round Table Discussion Points Last week the colts got a big win but that was against Tom Savage and his check down style, the colts also may have lost Vontae Davis in that game and lost Malik Hooker for the season the previous game. Now they get to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers who halved owned this series lately. The Steelers bring experienced quarterback Ben Roethlisberger along with big play receiver Antonio Brown and running back Leveon Bell, who is starting to get it going. The Steelers also bring a physicality that the Colts don’t like. In their last game against a physical defense the Colts were beaten 27-0 at home. The Steelers are only giving up 16.4 points per game and the Colts give up close to 29 points. We see the Colts playing from behind in this one and if that is the case Jacoby Brissett will be in for a long afternoon. The Steelers offense is starting to click and this is a good match-up for them. Take the Steelers and lay the 10 points. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone hitting winners and has made $ wagering $100 per game since . The system has also averaged an impressive . The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is 11-1 ATS after gaining 6.5 or more yards per play in previous game the last 3 years. Pittsburgh is 2-0 ATS against Indianapolis over the last 3 years with an average score of 36-8 Pittsburgh is 39-20 ATS (plus 17 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards since 1992. Pittsburgh is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt. Pittsburgh is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. Colts are 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games when they're outgained by opponents by 0.5 to 1 yards/play. Colts are 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 100-150 yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-12-17	Browns +11 v. Lions	Top	24-38	Loss	-115	2 h 19 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Cleveland The Matchup: CLEVELAND (0 - 8) at DETROIT (4 - 4) Start Time: Week 10 Sunday, 11/12/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on the Cleveland Browns. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 49-19 ATS hitting 72% winners and has made $2,810 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play on road teams (CLEVELAND). Poor offensive team scoring 17 or less points-per-game. After allowing 30 points or more last game. Here is a second DB system query that has produced a record of 35-10 ATS for 78% winners and has made $2,400 wagering $100 per play since 1983. Play on road teams (CLEVELAND) in Weeks 10 through 13. After 6 or more consecutive losses. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Caldwell is a money losing Caldwell is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game as the coach of Detroit. Detroit is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) facing poor offensive teams scoring 17 or less points/game in the second half of the season. Detroit is just 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) off a double digit road win. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-06-17	Lions -2 v. Packers	Top	30-17	Win	100	4 h 38 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Detroit Lions (473) The Matchup: DETROIT (3 - 4) at GREEN BAY (4 - 3) Start Time: Week 9 Monday, 11/6/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play on Detroit minus the points using the line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 34-11 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made $2,190 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play on road favorites (DETROIT). After 2 or more consecutive losses. With a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. GB is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games facing poor defensive teams allowing 5.65 or more yards-per-play over the last 3 seasons. GB is just 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games facing poor passing defenses allowing 7 or more passing yards-per-attempt. The SIM shows a very high probability that Detroit will score at least 24 points in this matchup. Packers are a horrid 16-51 ATS for 24% winners when playing at home and the opponent scores 24 or more points. Moreover, they are a similar 3-10 ATS for 23% winners since 2013. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-05-17	Bucs +7 v. Saints	Top	10-30	Loss	-105	4 h 56 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Tampa Bay (455) The Matchup: TAMPA BAY (2 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 2) Start Time: Week 9 Sunday, 11/5/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 maximum Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Tampa Bay plus the points. An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line. Round Table Discussion Points Three Saints offensive linemen did not practice on Wednesday: guard Larry Warford (abdomen), guard Andrus Peat (hip) and tackle Terron Armstead. These relatively minor injuries will have an impact on the new found Saints ground attack. We normally do not use injuries as any reason for supporting a play, but in this case having three OL ‘dinged’ is just not a positive thing for the Saints. Despite being second in the NFL in team passing yards, the Bucs have had trouble putting points on the board. They have executed far better in road games posting a solid 15.6 Yards-per-point (YPP) ratio. We expect TB to perform above their season average and possibly post a season-high in YPP today. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 96-53 hitting 64% winners and has made $3,770 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play on underdogs or pick (TAMPA BAY). That are an average offensive team scoring between 18 to 23 PPG. And is facing an excellent offensive team scoring 27 PPG or more. After scoring 14 points or less last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Saints are just 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. TB is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. TB is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games when both teams score 20 or more points. TB is 62-30 ATS (+29.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. TB is 20-9 ATS and 5-0 ATS since 2012 in games where they gain 5.0 YPR and had less than 90 rushing yards in the previous game. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
11-02-17	Bills v. Jets +3.5	Top	21-34	Win	100	6 h 58 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: NY Jets (308) The Matchup: BUFFALO (5 - 2) at NY JETS (3 - 5) Start Time: 8:20 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on the Ny jets using the line. Optional alternative is to create a combination wager using a 5* amount on the line and a 2* amount using the money line. However, the money line must be at +135 or higher for this to be validated based on ROI analysis. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 22-7 for 76% winners and has made $1,630 wagering $100 per play since 1983. Play on all teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (NY JETS). After 5 or more consecutive wins against the spread. In November games. This database query has produced games that have gone 7-1 ATS over the last five seasons. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Buffalo is just 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992. Jets are a solid 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games off a home loss. Jets are 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games after playing a game at home. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
10-29-17	Cowboys v. Redskins +3	Top	33-19	Loss	-115	4 h 25 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Washington (270) The Matchup: DALLAS (3 - 3) at WASHINGTON (3 - 3) Start Time: 4:25 PM ET SIM grading: 10 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 10 star amount on Washington using the line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 29-8 ATS hitting 78% winners and has made $2,020 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS). After beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game. With the game taking place in weeks 5 through 9. Here is another database query that has gone 23-7 for 77% winners and has made $1,740 wagering $100 per play since 2007. PLay on all teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (WASHINGTON). After a loss by 10 or more points. Against an opponent after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest (Coming off road loss at Philadelphia) over the last 2 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
10-29-17	49ers +13 v. Eagles	Top	10-33	Loss	-115	1 h 23 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: San Francisco (259) The Matchup: SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 1) Start Time: 1:00 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on the 49ers using the line. So, if you wager $100 per star unit, this is a $700 wager in total. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has gone 26-4 hitting 87% winners and has made $2,160 wagering just $100 per game since 2007. Play on underdogs of 10.5 or more points (SAN FRANCISCO). After a loss by 14 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game. Here is a second database query that has produced a 29-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2007. Play on road teams (SAN FRANCISCO). Slow starting offensive team scoring 7 or less PPG in the first half. After allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
10-26-17	Dolphins v. Ravens -3	Top	0-40	Win	100	3 h 24 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Baltimore (102) The Matchup: MIAMI (4 - 2) at BALTIMORE (3 - 4) Start Time: Week 8 Thursday, 10/26/2017 8:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Baltimore using the line. Sim projects a high probability that Baltimore will win this game by 6 or more points. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has produced 39-12 ATS winners hitting 77% winners and has made $2,580 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on any team. After being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games. And with the current game being played in the first half of the season. Here is a second database query that plays against Miami and has produced a 29-7 ATS mark for 80.6% winners and has made $100 players a total of $2,130 since 2007. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3. After going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games. With a winning record on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Harbaugh is a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of Baltimore. Harbaugh is also a strong 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off 3 or more consecutive ‘overs’ as the coach of Baltimore. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Baltimore tonight.
10-23-17	Redskins +5 v. Eagles	Top	24-34	Loss	-110	13 h 40 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Washington (477) The Matchup:WASHINGTON (3 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 1) Start Time: Week 7 Monday, 10/23/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Washington using the line. The current line shows Washington at + 4 or + 4 1/2 . A second opportunity tis to exploit the upset potential of this matchup. Lace a 5 star amount using the line and a 2 star amount using the money line. This wager is what we have coined as the ‘Combination Wager’. Round Table Discussion Points Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Washington is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly. We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query returns a 29-7 ATS record good for 81% winners and has made $2, 130 per $100 wager since 2008 inclusive. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WASHINGTON). That are excellent passing team averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/attempt. And after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games. Over the past 3 season, this query has produced a 11-3 ATS mark good for 79% winners. This reflects the consistent performance and validity of the query. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Redskins are a solid 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus excellent rushing defenses allowing 70 or fewer rushing yards/game. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Redskins tonight.
10-22-17	Falcons v. Patriots -3	Top	7-23	Win	100	10 h 59 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England The Matchup: ATLANTA (3 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (4 - 2) Start Time: 8:30 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play Patriots for a 7 star amount on the line. An optional strategy is to play the ‘under’ and the Patriots using the line for no more than 3 star reverse action parlay that pays 4:1 odds. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive . The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Patriots are a solid 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons. Patriots are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Patriots are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game over the last 2 seasons. Patriots are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing excellent offensive teams averaging 6 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. Belichick is 53-25 ATS (+25.5 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of NE. Patriots are a perfect 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they gain 400 or more total yards over the last 2 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots.
10-22-17	Jets v. Dolphins -3	Top	28-31	Push	0	3 h 48 m	Show
The Matchup:Miami -3 versus NY Jets Start Time:10-22-2017 1:00PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: wager a 7 star play using the line on Miami. An alternative wager is to play a 4* amount on the money line and a 3 star amount on the line. Miami is coming off a strong second half at Atlanta last week, while the Jets were getting robbed in New England. This was a tough loss for the Jets who have to travel to Miami who will be looking to avenge an earlier loss to the Jets this season. We are for expecting an inspired effort by the Dolphins this afternoon and avenge the loss earlier this season. Take Miami Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 23-4 hitting 85% winners and has made 19.0 units/unit wagered since 2013. Play on home teams using the money line. After going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games. In conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NY Jets are 0-6 ATS off a division game the last 3 years Miami is 18-7 ATS revenging a road loss of 14 or more points since 199 Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Miami Dolphins.
10-19-17	Chiefs v. Raiders +3	Top	30-31	Win	100	6 h 41 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Oakland Raiders (302) The Matchup: KANSAS CITY (5 - 1) at OAKLAND (2 - 4) Start Time: Week 7 Thursday, 10/19/2017 8:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play on the Raiders plus the points for a 7 star amount. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 58-27 hitting 68% winners and has made 28.3 units/unit wagered since 1983. Play against any team (KANSAS CITY). That is a good rushing team averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry. And after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 5 to 5.5 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. Oakland is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they rush for 5 or more yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Raiders on Thursday Night Football.
10-16-17	Colts v. Titans -6.5	Top	22-36	Win	100	7 h 4 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Tennessee (276) The Matchup: INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 3) at TENNESSEE (2 - 3) Start Time: Week 6 Monday, 10/16/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 10* amount using the line on Tennessee. Play a 5 star amount on the ‘OVER’. Play a 3* reverse parlay using the Titans and the ‘OVER’. Round Table Discussion Points A reverse parlay is essentially a double action ‘IF’ bet. Here's how the reverse parlay works: In the first part of the bet, we'll say Tennessee is -7 ½, you are risking $110 to win $100. The ‘IF’ bet comes into play next with your second part of the bet which we'll say is the ‘OVER’ lined at 49 1/2 for $110 risk to win $100. Part 2 of the reverse bet would be the ‘OVER’ risking $110 for $100 and then if that wins the Titans -7 comes into play at $110 risk to win $100. If both ‘IF’ bets win you get $400 for the $100 reverse parlay bet. If one play wins and one play loses you lose $120. If both lose you lose $220 or $240 depending on the books vig charge. A push, where you win one, and push on the second, or push on both would get you $200. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following data query has produced a 35-10 ATS record hitting 78% winners and has made $2,400 per $100 game wagered since 2008. Play on any team (TENNESSEE). After being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games. And is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games. This shows the games played since the 2014 season, which has produced a 9-3 ATS record. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Tennessee.
10-15-17	Packers v. Vikings +3.5	Top	10-23	Win	100	3 h 27 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Minnesota Vikings (260) The Matchup: GREEN BAY (4 - 1) at MINNESOTA (3 - 2) Start Time: Week 6 Sunday, 10/15/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on the line playing the Vikings. Given that the projections clearly show an upset, consider making a combination wager that consists of a 5 star amount using the line and a 2 star amount using the money line. Round Table Discussion Points Interesting that when the announcement of Bradford not starting and that Kennum would be starting at QB, the lie did not move. If anything, the line has seen a slight push toward the 3 point level and the books increasing the vig to -115 to play on the Vikings. This push will increase the money line we can get on the Vikings. That money line is currently listed at +140/+145 at the majority of the large sports books. So, as long as you can get a minimum of +135 on the money line, the combination wager is the preferred strategy. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following money line system has gone 78-59 hitting 57% winners and has made $3,090 per $100 game wagered since 2008. Play against road teams using the money line. After having won 3 out of their last 4 games. And is a top level team winning 75% or more of their games on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Vikings are 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games after a win by 6 or less points since 1992. Vikings are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Vikings are 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards Vikings are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they allow 75 to 100 rushing yards over the last 3 seasons. Vikings are a perfect 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last 3 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Minnesota Vikings.
10-15-17	Patriots -9 v. Jets	Top	24-17	Loss	-105	3 h 37 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England The Matchup: NEW ENGLAND (3 - 2) at NY JETS (3 - 2) Start Time: Week 6 Sunday, 10/15/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount using the line on the Patriots. Round Table Discussion Points The Patriots will be without two of their top cover men against the Jets. A late addition to the Pats’ injury report, Stephon Gilmore is out for Sunday’s game with a concussion. Gilmore was not listed on New England’s injury report prior to Saturday, but Josina Anderson of ESPN.com reports (on Twitter) the cornerback had experienced headaches since the Buccaneers game nine days ago. Eric Rowe is out with a groin injury, leaving the Patriots shorthanded on the outside. Gilmore’s concussion setback comes after he was a game-time decision to face the Bucs due to an ankle injury. Rowe hasn’t practiced since aggravating a groin problem in Week 4. New England did not sign anyone before Saturday afternoon’s deadline, so the team will not make a practice squad promotion for depth purposes as a result of these injuries. This key info does not have any significant impact to our week long analysis of this matchup. The Patriots have played a bend and do not break style of defense in previous seasons including ones that saw them win the SB. We do not see McCown being successful enough at exploiting these gaps in the Patriots defense. The Jets will not have an answer for Gronkowski and would not be surprised at all to see him grab more than 10 receptions. These plays are essentially run plays in the Patriots offensive game plan. Gronk can line up anywhere on the field and you will see him near the sidelines to spread the field and open up the A and B running gaps. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 23-4 ATS hitting 85% winners and has made $1,860 per $100 wagered on each game since 1983. Play on road favorites (NEW ENGLAND). Excellent passing team averaging 255 or more passing yards/game. And after allowing 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games. Here is a second data query that has produced a 30-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners and has made $2,230 per $100 wagered on each game. Play on road teams (NEW ENGLAND). With a struggling defense allowing 385 or more total yards/game. After allowing 400 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games. The Patriots defense has allowed 400 or more yards in three straight games. NFL teams with struggling defenses allowing 400 yards in three straight games are 86-53 ATS for 60% ATS winners. Adding in the parameter that the season-to-date allowed yards exceeds 350 yards per game produces a very nice 30-7 ATS for 81% ATS winners. The Patriots are 9-4 ATS after allowing 400 or more yards in three straight games. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots.
10-12-17	Eagles v. Panthers -3	Top	28-23	Loss	-101	7 h 25 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Carolina (104) The Matchup: Philadelphia at Carolina Start Time: 8:25 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star wager amount on Carolina using the line. Round Table Discussion Points Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following data query has gone 35-11 ATS hitting 76% winners winners and has made $2,290 per $100 wagered since 2014 Play against underdogs or pick (PHILADELPHIA). After allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Carolina is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Carolina is a solid 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games when facing excellent offensive teams averaging 375 or more yards/game. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Carolina Panthers.
10-09-17	Vikings v. Bears +4	Top	20-17	Win	100	3 h 17 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Chicago Bears The Matchup: Minnesota (2-2) at Chicago (1-3) Start Time: 8:30 PM ET SIM grading: 7stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount using the line on the Bears. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 82-83 for just 50% winners using the money line, BUT has made $6,080 wagering just $100 per game since 1983. The system has also averaged an impressive +175 dog play. Play against road favorites using the money line. After allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. And now facing an opponent after a loss by 14 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Bears are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons. Bears are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Chicago Bears.
10-08-17	Packers +2.5 v. Cowboys	Top	35-31	Win	100	3 h 3 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Green Bay The Matchup: Green Bay (3-1) at Dallas (2-2) Start Time: Sunday, October 8, 4:25 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount on the Green Bay Packers. So, if you wager $100 per star unit, this would be a $700 wager. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 31-7 ATS hitting 82% winners and has made $2,330 per $100 wager since 1983. Play on any team, road or home. After leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. And is now facing an opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Green Bay is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons. Garrett is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Green Bay Packers.
10-08-17	Bills +3 v. Bengals	Top	16-20	Loss	-101	3 h 45 m	Show
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Buffalo The Matchup: Buffalo (3-1) at Cincinnati (1-3) Start Time: Sunday, October 8, 1:00 SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount on the line with the Bills. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 36-13 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made $2,170 per $100 wager since 1983. Play against home favorites. After allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt in their last game. And is now facing an opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Lewis is just Lewis is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a 2 game road trip. Lewis is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. Taylor is a solid 7-2 ATS facing vs. passing defenses allowing 4.3-6.3 passing yards/att. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Buffalo Bills.
10-05-17	Patriots -4.5 v. Bucs	Top	19-14	Win	100	4 h 40 m	Show
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on New England (303) as they take on Tampa Bay in NFL action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by at least 8 points. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 24-5 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made 18,5 units/unit wagered since 2007. Play on road favorites. Excellent passing team averaging 255 or more passing yards/game. After allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Patriots are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons. Patriots are 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game. Patriots are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play over the last 2 seasons. Belichick is 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6 yards/play. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots.
10-02-17	Redskins v. Chiefs -7	Top	20-29	Win	100	8 h 15 m	Show
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on the Kansas City Chiefs (280) as they take on Washington in NFL action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that KC will win this game by more than 9 points. For those that love playing money lines, the line is looking a bit cheap currently at -280. So, that too is an attractive, yet far more riskier wager based on ROI analysis. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following data query has gone 19-7 ATS for 73% winners and 24-3 SU since 1989. Play against road dogs. That are off a home dog SU win covering by 20 or more points. That are winning record teams. That are now taking to ther road installed as dogs. And Facing an opponent that has a winning record on the season. The spreadsheet shown above displays all of the query results since 1989. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Kansas City Chiefs.
10-01-17	Bills +8 v. Falcons	Top	23-17	Win	100	5 h 49 m	Show
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on Buffalo (267) as they take on Atlanta in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Buffalo will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot to win this game. Play a 7* wager using the line OR Play a 5* wager using the line and a 2* wager using the money line. Round Table Discussion Points Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 60-27 ATS hitting 69% winners and has made 30.3 units/unit wagered since 2007. Play on road teams (BUFFALO). Team is off 1 or more straight ‘overs’. Team is averaging just 17 or less points/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Atlanta is just 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. Matt Ryan is 7-15 ATS as a home favorite of -4 ½ to -11 points. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bills and look for the shocking upset win.
09-24-17	Giants +6 v. Eagles	Top	24-27	Win	100	2 h 48 m	Show
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on the NY Giants as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles in NFC East action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The recommended play is to make a 7* wager on the line. An optional wager is to make a 5* play using the line and then a 2* wager using the money line. Round Table Discussion Points Eli Manning has consistently targeted his TE, Engram’s way through the first two weeks, targeting him a total of 12 times, tied for ninth most in the league among tight ends. The rookie could potentially have a tough matchup this week, coming up against linebacker Jordan Hicks. However, Hicks has had a surprisingly slow start to his third season, currently grading as the second worst linebacker in the league among 78 qualifying linebackers. The key matchup, though, will be Odell Beckham, Jr. against Rasul Douglas or Jalen Mills, who are both rookie corners. Douglas is the better of the two through two weeks, so look for the Giants to force the matchup onto Jalen Mills. Whether ODB is 80% or not, any rookie corner is going to be overwhelmed by his athleticism and size. The fact that ODB is even on the field presents significant matchup problems for the Eagles. This will open up better opportunities for Eli to target his TE, which will open up the gaps in the running game too. Giants have not been able to rush the ball or even establish the run since they have fallen behind in each of their first two games. However, teams that have rushed for 99 or less yards in two straight games are a solid 35-24 ATS for 59% winners since the start of the 2016 season. In NFC East games only, these teams are a perfect 3-0 ATS. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points Giants are 0-2 and in full desperation mode. Making matters worse is that they now find themselves on the road against a division foe in a very, very hostile environment. As a rule that we are taught as young children, never approach a wounded animal and this is certainly the case in this matchup. In the NFC, since 2006 season, these matchups have seen the 0-2 loser go 8-2 SU and 8-2 ATS for 80% winners. When these wounded animals take to the road , they are 5-1 ATS and SU since 2006. Since, 1989, these traveling winless teams have gone 13-9 SU and 14-8 ATS. As you can see from the data above, the times that these dogs don’t come through, they are absolutely destroyed. In 2013, the Giants were destroyed 38-0 and were installed as 1 ½ point favorites. There is more data that supports a strong effort from the Giants. They are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Giants.
09-21-17	Rams v. 49ers +3	Top	41-39	Win	100	13 h 14 m	Show
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on the San Francisco 49ers (302) as they take on the Los Angeles Rams in NFL Thursday Night football action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that San Fran will win this game. Make a 7* wager getting the points on SF. Combination wager consisting of a 5* play on the line and a 2* play using the money line. Optional: Make a 3* reverse parlay wager using the line and the ‘OVER’. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 34-11 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made 22.0 units/unit wagered since the beginning of the 2008 season. Of the 45 games played, 60% of them covered the spread by 7 or more points and under scores the upset potential for the 49ers. Play on any team. After scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games. The spreadsheet above is displaying the last 5 seasons of results for the data query. Over the past 5 seasons, it has produced a 10-4 SU mark, 11-3 ATS mark, and a 10-4 ‘OVER’ mark. The average SU margin has been 4.86 points and the average spread cover has been by 7.8 points and the total points has covered the ‘over’ by an average of 9.3 points. Rams find themselves installed as a modest favorite for the third straight game. The Rams are an imperfect 0-5 ATS in this role coming off a home loss. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the 49ers and the other recommended wagers.
09-17-17	Redskins v. Rams -2.5	Top	27-20	Loss	-110	9 h 36 m	Show
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on the RAMS (282) as they take on the Redskins in NFL action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rams will win this game by more than 6 points. Round Table Discussion Points Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 38-5 hitting 88% winners and has made 32.5 units/unit wagered since 2008. Play against road teams using the money line. Off a home loss by 10 or more points. And now facing an opponent off a home win. These road money burners have gone just 17-25-1 ATS for 40% winners. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rams.
09-10-17	Seahawks v. Packers -3	Top	9-17	Win	105	7 h 10 m	Show
Team Analysis Seatlle- Seattle has a weakness in its O-line, but their skill players are what shows promise this season. QB Russell Wilson has developed solid in-the-pocket skills in a spread passing attack, while maintaining his ability to improvise on the move. WR Doug Baldwin can beat defenders in a number of ways, while TE Jimmy Graham still causes matchup problems. RB Thomas Rawls is a violent runner, while change-of-pace RB C.J. Prosise looked great in limited action as a rookie. The Seahawks gave up the third fewest points and the lowest yards per carry average in the league last season. Green Bay- Not much more I can say about Aaron Rodgers that you don’t already know. WR Jordy Nelson is nearly impossible to cover one-on-one, and Rodgers makes up for the lack of talent in the rest of his receiving group. RB Ty Montgomery impressed after moving from WR, but his durability is questionable and the Packers lack depth at RB. Two second-round picks, CB Kevin King and S Josh Jones, need to get up to speed quickly. Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and Morgan Burnett are a solid safety combo, but if the Packers can't cover, they'll be forced into many shootouts. Recent Trends Seattle Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Under is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games in September. Green Bay Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games on grass. Over is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games in Week 1. Head to Head Seahawks are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Green Bay. Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings. Personal Analysis Although the Seahawks play a better team on paper, something about Rodgers and his competitiveness seems to be concerning. Along with Rodgers comes the notorious Lambeau field lure. As you can see from the trends, it’s not looking too optimistic for the Seahawks. This should be a tight game early, but the Packers will come out on top and cover the spread.
09-10-17	Colts v. Rams -4.5	Top	9-46	Win	100	8 h 51 m	Show
The play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on the LA Rams (472) as they take on the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1 NFL action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rams will win this game. If you like the money line play only, we have no issue with that strategy. Make certain you are risking a 7* amount, which at current money lines of -200 would be a wager risking 7* amount to make a 3.5* amount. Round Table Discussion Points Not good numbers for either team in this one based on last year’s performance metrics. We like the fact that a much improved Rams defense will be going up against Scott Tolzien, who has not won a game in his career as a starter. Today we get to lay a field goal with a team, who has the better defense and offense against a team who will be without their QB field general today. This is the second year for Ram QB Jared Goff and we look for some major improvement this year. Also, Goff has additional playmakers to work with this season. Look for Todd Gurley to get off to a good start against the weak Colts defense front five. This in turn will force the Colts linebackers to creep closer to the LOS to cover the A and B gaps. Then, Goff, will have play action knowing his WR are in man coverage. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 48-20 using the money line hitting 71% winners and has made 25.3 units/unit wagered since 2007. Play against any team using the money line. Poor passing defense from last season that allowed 7 or more passing yards/attempt. In non-conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pagano is just 2-8 against the money line (-8.4 Units) in the first two weeks of the season as the coach of the Colts. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rams.
09-10-17	Falcons v. Bears +7	Top	23-17	Win	100	3 h 55 m	Show
7* graded play on the Chicago Bears (456) as they take on the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1 NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Bears will cover this number and may win this game. The recommended strategy is to make this release a combination wager using a 5* play on the line and a 2* play using the money line. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics We are expecting the Bears ground attack led by Howard to present quite a problem for the Atlanta defensive front. The SIm projects that the Bears will have at least 125 rushing yards. In past games where Atlanta allowed 125 or more rushing yards, they are 23-42 ATS since 1992 and 58-125-2 ATS since 1980. This situation is not exclusive to the Falcons, but it is one that applies to the majority of matchups in the NFL. Since the 2013 season, the Falcons are 5-10 ATS and 3-12 SU when allowing more than 150 rushing yards. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 22-4 ATS hitting 85% winners and has made 17.6 units/unit wagered since 2007. Play on any team team. That had turnover margin of -1 /game or worse last season. In conference matchups.. Super Bowl Losers have an extended hangover and the Falcons certainly should have that in place after their historic collapse. SB losers are just 5-12 SU and 2-15 ATS since 2000 season. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bears.
02-05-17	Patriots -3 v. Falcons	Top	34-28	Win	100	58 h 25 m	Show
50* graded play on the New England Patriots as they take on the Atlanta Falcons in 2017 Super Bowl action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by 7 or more points. We also like the adjusted spread of Patriots -10 ½ that currently pays 220/100 and Patriots -14 ½ that pays +450/100. So, make these prop adjusted line wagers no more than 20% of your normal wager on our plays. So, a $500 wager becomes a $100 wager for the prop bets. More prop bets: 1. Will the team that scores first win the game? NO pays +130 Obviously, we are playing for Atlanta to get out fast. 2. Total FG made Over 3 ½ -125 3. Patriots win by 11 to 13 +1100 4. Falcons lead at the Half and Patriots win + 350 5. Who will have more I.Thomas (Celtics) or Patriots total points. Patriots – ½ -105 6. Who will have more Celtics 1H points or L. Blount rushing yards. Blount -1 ½ -120 7. MVP – Chris Hogan at 30:1 Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-4 mark good for 90% winners and has made 30.2 units/unit wagered since 2006. Play on favorites vs. the money line (NEW ENGLAND) quick starting team outscoring opponents by 5+ PPG in the first half, after allowing 17 points or less in 4 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Patriots are 41-16 ATS (+23.4 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards Patriots are 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last 3 seasons. Patriots are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play this season. Patriots are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) facing below-average defensive teams allowing greater than 5.65 yards/play this season. Patriots are 18-1 against the money line (+14.9 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. And here is the one major situation that also supported Denver last year in Super Bowl 50. Teams coming off any playoff game that scored 40 or more points are just 11-18 SU and 4-25 ATS in the next game in all playoff and SB games played since 1996. Fine tuning this a bit, we find these high-powered offenses come crashing to earth with a 1-7 SU and 1-7 ATS mark when scoring when scoring more than 40 points, ATS win, and zero TO since 2000. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots. The Falcons were gashed for 208 rushing yards against the Eagles in Week 10 and then allowed more than 99 rushing yards in every game since. These yards were gained between the tackles and the Eagles exploited that weakness. In our opinion, it is very likely that the Patriots game plan will be to establish and dominate the line of scrimmage with a pounding rushing attack led by Blount and augmented by Lewis and others. This will then open up play action for Brady allowing him more than enough time to scan the field and identify the best opportunity and deliver accurately for big gains. This is where Chris Hogan may shine and has a shot at the MVP. He is a strong and big WR, who runs excellent routes on every down and creates space to receive the ball and then gain more yards after the catch. Of all the Patriots WR, he may be the one that creates the most space in his routes and is extremely smart after the catch. The Patriots defense gets hardly any real credit from the TV talking heads. In our opinion, there is no doubt that the Patriots defense will create major read issues for Ryan. Now, the expected game plan is that the mythical Belichick will design a scheme to take away Julio Jones. However, if you look at previous games this season, Antonio Brown and AJ Green had monster games, but their offenses still score less than 20 points. The Patriots rank second in the NFL this season in corner shadowing. This means that they allocate a corner to cover the same WR for the majority of the game. In this scheme, we think the surprise move will be to put Rowe on Jones. Butler has the elite speed, but not the size to cover Jones consistently, but using Rowe and then occasionally Butler will create that unpredictability that eliminates any OC to anticipate matchups in any down situation. The Patriots used the blitz on 25% percent of their opponents’ drop backs this season ranking 26th-highest rate in the league. But Belichick takes ‘not blitzing’ a step further by only rushing three defenders or fewer on 26% of their passing plays this season. That’s far and away an outlier in the NFL today with the Cowboys next closest, at 19%, and the majority of teams are under 10%. On first downs, New England used it 21% of the time and on every single down, except for fourth, they are more likely to rush three players than to blitz. The biggest single advantage in dropping eight into coverage is that it allows for a double team without eliminate the underneath coverage man that is present in a four-man rush. This also allows for one corner (Rowe) to man-up against Jones and the other 7 defenders in zone scheme. Last, this scheme takes away WR and RB screens from Atlanta’s play calling. Patriots allowed all of 77 yards on screen plays this year. The next closest team was the Buccaneers, at 164, and the league average was 315.
01-22-17	Steelers v. Patriots -6	Top	17-36	Win	100	6 h 20 m	Show
50* graded play on the New England Patriots (314) as they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in AFC Conference Championship action set to start at 6:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by 10 or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-8 mark good for 83% winners and has made 37.3 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play against road teams using the money line (PITTSBURGH) that are good passing teams averaging 6.7 to 7.3 PY/Attempt and is now facing an average passing defense allowing 5.9 to 6.7 PY/Attempt, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game. This is a money line system and I see no road blocks preventing anyone from playing a straight money line wager on the Patriots. The SIM projections essentially show that if the Patriots win the game they will also cover the spread. So, you could consider a combination wager using a 14* amount on the line and a 7* amount using the money line for a total of 21* amount. The reason it is 4* less, is to account for the increase vig using the money line and to optimize the ROI for the combination wager. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is just 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) in road games when they allow 22 to 28 points NE is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. NE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they rush for 3.5 to 4 yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. NE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last 3 seasons. NE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) racing good offensive teams averaging >=5.65 yards/play over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots. Patriots’ defense ranks best in the NFL in scoring defense and best with a 0.25 points per play allowed ratio. They rank 9th in yards per play allowed, which reflects a bend and don’t break motif. This style of defense has served the Patriots quite well over the years. I do think they will bring more pressure on Roethlisberger early in this game to minimize the chances that Brown can execute vertical routes. Moreover, we believe that the Patriots defense will contain Bell and LB Hightower’s name is expected to be heard quite a bit from the announcers. We don’t need to get into the Patriots offensive scheme as they will have a great game plan in place that will attack all areas of the Steeler defense. We expect the Patriots to attack the perimeter early and often to loosen up the middle of the field. Once that occurs, Brady will look to his RB and WR in slants and crossing routes getting the ball to receivers in stride so that yards after the catch will be optimal. EXTRA Wagers: Play ‘NO’ that there will be three straight scores by the same team. -180 Shortest TD scored ‘OVER’ 1 ½ yards -105 Logan Ryan will intercept a pass +475 Total FG made 3 ½ ‘OVER’ -140 Longest FG made ‘UNDER’ 45 ½ -100 Patriots defense scores first +1800 (just have to play that one)
01-15-17	Steelers +2.5 v. Chiefs	Top	18-16	Win	100	10 h 17 m	Show
25* graded play on Pittsburgh (305) as they take on Kansas City (306) in AFC Divisional Playoff action set to start at 1:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game by more than four points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 34-12 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 2005. Play against favorites (KANSAS CITY) revenging a loss against opponent, after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points this season. Pittsburgh is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) facing inconsistent defensive teams allowing more than 350 yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Pittsburgh is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. Roethlisberger is 20-11 ATS in all games played over the last five seasons with lines ranging between -2.5 to 4.5. Fundamental Discussion Points This is a rematch of the Week 4 blowout Steeler win at Pittsburgh in Week 4. The teams are significantly different than that Week 4 game and most dominant change has been the development of Le’Veon Bell, who now can take over a game. The KC defense will face a monumental challenge to contain all of the Steeler weapons. Their ability to stop the best running back in the game will be a lot more difficult without the services of future Hall of Fame linebacker Derrick Johnson and starting interior defenders Jaye Howard and Allen Bailey, all of whom have been placed on IR since the first meeting. Pittsburgh running back Le’Veon Bell has been outrageous of late, generating 78, 139, 60, 88 and 110 yards after contact in his last five games, forcing 24 missed tackles during that time. On offense, KC has their own big-gun version Kelce, who is certainly a playmaker and game changer. He has accumulated 652 yards after the catch, which is more than all but 12 TE have in total receiving yards in the NFL. The Steelers defense has done extremely well in underneath man coverage situations, which would have a LB on Kelce. Further, the transition in ‘over-under’ coverages has been disguised pre-snap and Alex Smith will have to make incredibly fast reads downfield to locate the safety and if that safety is providing deep help in Kelce vertical routes. That hand-off in coverage between LB and safety occurs at 20 yards downfield and it is that precise timing that Smith will have the best opportunity to deliver the ball to Kelce in space. However, if Smith has to rely on this type of minutia detail to move the chains, it will be a very long day at Arrowhead. Take the Steelers.
01-15-17	Packers v. Cowboys -5	Top	34-31	Loss	-108	6 h 9 m	Show
*50 graded play on Dallas (308) as they take on Green Bay (307) in NFC Divisional Round Playoff action set to start at 4:40PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a a 44-18 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 2010. Play on favorites (DALLAS) after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record and with the game taking place in the second half of the season. Here is a money line system that has gone 34-2 for 94.4% winners and has made 30.4 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on home favorites of -160 to -475 using the money line (DALLAS) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread and with a winning record on the season playing another winning record team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Dallas is a solid 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they rush for 125 or more yards over the last 3 seasons. · Dallas is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play this season. · Dallas is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play Fundamental Discussion Points** If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dallas Cowboys. If you play Fantasy Football, definitely add Elliott to your team. It is not secret that the Cowboys front office and recent coaching and GM interviews have made it a point to say this is Elliotts’ time and he will be the dominant force in their offensive schemes and game plans. Ok, so if the Packers look to stop and contain Elliott, then they are exposed to the likes of Dez Bryant, Cole Beasely, Williams, and other weapons. Dak Prescott is a duel threat too, and with a make shift secondary, we do not see the Packers being able to stop the Cowboys. If Jordy Nelson was playing, then this matchup discussion would be a bit more evenly matched. However, what most observers do not know, is that the Cowboys have the number 1 ranked secondary in the NFL and this despite having a mediocre pass rush. So, the dominant edge goes to the expectations that a relatively-clean Aaron Rodgers cannot keep up with a Cowboys’ offense that is averaging the fifth-most yards per carry before contact facing a Green Bay defense surrendering the seventh-most yards per carry before contact. Take the Cowboys.
01-14-17	Seahawks v. Falcons -5	Top	20-36	Win	100	8 h 12 m	Show
25* graded play on the Atlanta Falcons (302) as they take on the Seattle Seahawks (301) in the NFC Divisional Round of playoff action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Atlanta is 76-19 ATS (+55.1 Units) when they gain 8 or more net passing yards/attempt Atlanta is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when they gain 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt Seattle is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) when they allow 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt Seattle is 17-58 ATS (-46.8 Units) when they allow 8 or more net passing yards/attempt. Here are the supporting systems for this Titan release on Atlanta. Play on any team vs the money line (ATLANTA) mistake-free team with less than 1.25 TO/game committed and is now facing a team averaging less than 1.25 TO/game forced, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. 71-18 over the last 10 seasons for 80% winners and making 52.4 units/unit wagered averaging a -103 favorite. Slicing this system to include only favorites produces a 62-9 record for 87% winners since 2005 good for 87% winners making 45.6 units/unit wagered averaging a -181 ML favorite wager. SIX Point TEASER Opportunity: Atlanta and Louisville in CBB Play on any team in a 6-point teaser (ATLANTA) that is a mistake-free team averaging less than 1.25 TO/G committed and is now facing a team averaging less than 1.25 TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Falcons. The Falcons have the 6th best OL in the league supporting the 2nd best overall offense and best scoring offense at 33. . Moreover, they are playing at home with the week of rest. Matt Ryan is remarkably accurate and makes solid decisions under pressure. He is averaging a league-best 8.8 yards per pass attempt while the Seattle defense ranks 15th allowing 6.7 yards per pass attempt. Further, the Seattle defense is missing Earl Thomas and his replacement Terrell is simply making too many coverage mistakes. The Falcons feature Julio, but you will see two TE sets, where both TE run vertical routes and then send Jones underneath to vast open areas in the middle of the field. Seattle may be able to take that underneath route away, but then Ryan will know he has either TE in man coverage without safety help. Sounds like a perfect situation for big scoring plays.
01-08-17	Giants +5.5 v. Packers	Top	13-38	Loss	-109	5 h 32 m	Show
25* graded play on the NY Giants (107) as they take on the Green Bay Packers (108) in NFC Wild Card action set to start at 4:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Giants will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-16 ATS mark good for 72% winners since 2005. Play on road teams (NY GIANTS) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) in the second half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Giants are a solid 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt since 1992. Giants are 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games when their defense forces 2 turnovers since 1992. Giants are 54-27 ATS (+24.3 Units) after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game since 1992. Giants are 5-1 against the money line (+6.1 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 total yards this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Giants. Weather will be a factor with cross winds in the 8 to 12 MPH range throughout the game. Game time temps will start at 12 degrees and steadily move into single digits during the game. However, we strongly believe this will give the Giants an added edge since they are the better rushing team and have a vastly better rushing defense. Giants have won all season with their defense and it will be no different today. Giants rank 3rd in scoring defense, 2nd posting a 0.267 opponent points per play ratio, and third with a 35% opponent third down conversion percentage. Green Bay led by Rogers is an elite offensive unit once again this season. Green Bay ranks 2nd with a 46% third down conversion percentage, BUT we believe that the Giants defense will keep that number under 33% today. Giants will be successful in keeping first down gains to low numbers and forcing Rogers to move the chain on third and long distances. Rogers is one of the best ever, however, this Giants defensive unit has steadily gotten better over the second half of the season and arguably are now the best defensive units left in the playoffs. Further, the Giants are a mistake free team ranking 2nd in the league averaging just 5.5 penalties per game. Packers secondary is a mess right now due to injuries. They have safeties playing corner in dime packages and this is a HUGE advantage for Beckham and Shepard in man coverage. If Beckham gets double teams, then it will open up high percentage pass completions to other WER and the TE. Take the Giants.
01-08-17	Dolphins +12 v. Steelers	Top	12-30	Loss	-110	4 h 32 m	Show
25* graded play on the Miami Dolphins (105) as they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (106) in AFC Wild Card action set to start at 1:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dolphins will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has an outside shot at getting a shocking upset win. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-7 ATS mark good for 79% winners since 2005. Play against any team (PITTSBURGH) off 1 or more straight ‘overs’ against opponent off 6 or more consecutive ‘overs’. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is a solid 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games off in 2 straight division games since 1992. Pittsburgh is just 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992. Tomlin is a miserable money losing Tomlin is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) revenging an upset loss against opponent as a road favorite as the coach of Pittsburgh. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dolphins. Steelers have struggled to stop the run this season. They rank 20th allowing 4.3 YPR while Miami ranks 8th gaining 4.5 YPA. Ajayi has been a major factor and was just named the team MVP. His success will open play action where Moore can target a vastly underrated receiver corp in man coverage.
01-07-17	Raiders +4 v. Texans	Top	14-27	Loss	-110	8 h 56 m	Show
25* graded play on Oakland (101) as they take on Houston (102) in AFC Wild Card action set to start at 4:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. We also have a 10* graded play on the ‘over’ for this matchup. So, in addition to the combination wager, consider playing a 10* amount on the ‘over’ and then a reverse action parlay using the money line and the ‘over’ for a 5* unit play. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 95-48 ATS for 66.4% winners since 1983. Play against home favorites (HOUSTON) off a road loss against opponent off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more. Here is a second system that has gone 34-13 ATS for 72.3% winners since 2005. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OAKLAND) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a good team sporting a 60 to 75 win percentage and now playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 to 6 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. Oakland is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Oakland is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Oakland is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Raiders. History has been made before this game even starts. Connor Cook will be the first QB in NFL history to make his first career start in a playoff game and we think he will also be the first to win his first start in a playoff game. We performed an 11-game example of rookie quarterbacks playing in playoff action and their record is just 4-7 SU, but the spread record is 8-3 ATS. The first time a rookie was uder center in a playoff game was back in 1976 when Pat Haden played for an injured James Harris in a 14-12 win over Dallas. The last game, was in 2015 when A.J McCarron played for starter Andy Dalton in a 18-16 loss to Pittsburgh. Since 2000, the performance levels have been far more impressive, although just a 5-game sample size. So, these data examples do provide support for Connor Cook to perform well this afternoon. An added reason is that Houston is dealing with their own QB injuries and numerous injuries on the defensive side of the ball. Given the very talented and elite quality of the Oakland WR led by Amari Cooper, we strongly believe that Cook will be able to make plays , move the chains, and score points. .
01-01-17	Chiefs v. Chargers +4.5	Top	37-27	Loss	-110	27 h 54 m	Show
50* graded play on San Diego as they take on Kansas City in NFL action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SD will lose this game by four or fewer points and has a great opportunity to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-21 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1983. Play on home teams (SAN DIEGO) off 2 or more consecutive ‘unders’, in a game involving two good offensive teams scoring between 23 and 27 PPG. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. KC is just 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in road games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game KC is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Chargers. Even without Melvin Gordon in the lineup, we see San Diego ending the season with a great effort for the home crowd. Rivers is a veteran player, who never gives up and that will be demonstrated in this matchup. We expect him to exceed the SIM projections of 325 passing yards and obviously the higher that total goes, the greater the chances of the upset win too.
12-25-16	Ravens v. Steelers -6	Top	27-31	Loss	-103	8 h 31 m	Show
25* graded play on Pittsburgh as they take on Baltimore in AFC North Division action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game by more than 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-22 ATS mark good for 68% winners since 2005. Play on favorites (PITTSBURGH) good team (outgain opp. by 40-100 YPG and is now facing an average team (+/- 40 YPG differential after outgaining opponent by 150 or more total yards in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they allow 3.5 to 4 rushing yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points this season. Pittsburgh is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) in home games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Pittsburgh Steelers. Normally, our analysis centers on the most common personnel alignment (single back, 3 WR, slot receiver and/or TE), but in this matchup keep your eyes peeled to Baltimore’s fullback Kyle Juszczyk. Baltimore’s use of the FB is unique in this modern-era of spread offenses and it certainly works for them. Without the lead FB blocker, Baltimore averages 3.9 YPR, which ranks 24th in the league in all formations, but with the FB 5.0 YPR. However, Pittsburgh is a divisional rival, who already knows Baltimore’s tendencies better than anyone in the league. Pittsburgh defense ranks third allowing 89.2 rushing yards per game. We strongly believe that Pittsburgh will force Baltimore into third-and-long situations, which all but eliminates the power FB scheme. Take the Steelers.
12-24-16	Vikings +7 v. Packers	Top	25-38	Loss	-110	2 h 50 m	Show
25* graded play on Minnesota (11) as they take on Green Bay (12) in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-6 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2005. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) after a game where they forced one or less turnovers and is now facing an opponent after two consecutive games where they forced three or more turnovers. Here is a second system that has gone 23-4 ATS for 85% winners since 1983. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after scoring 9 points or less last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Minnesota is a solid 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 net passing yards/attempt · Minnesota is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. · Minnesota is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons. · Minnesota is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Green Bay defense is just not good and reflects all of the injuries the unit has had to endure this season. Minnesota’s defense remains one of the best in the NFL and they will certainly have the skills to contain Rogers. Vikings rank 2nd in the NFL allowing just 5.9 yards per pass play, third allowing 205.6 yards per game, and fourth overall allowing 5.0 yards per offensive play. Moreover, they are excellent at bringing pressure ranking 7th in sack percentage. Take Minnesota.
12-24-16	Falcons v. Panthers	Top	33-16	Win	105	2 h 41 m	Show
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Carolina in NFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game by at least 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-5 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play on road teams (ATLANTA) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Atlanta is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt · Atlanta is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt · Atlanta is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 1 to 1.5 yards/play · Carolina is an imperfect 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when they allow 8 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Falcons.
12-22-16	Giants -2.5 v. Eagles	Top	19-24	Loss	-112	14 h 35 m	Show
25* graded play on the NY Giants (101) as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles (102) in a major NFC East matchup set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NY will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-3 mark good for 91% winners using the Money Line since 2010. Play on favorites using the money line in the second half of the season (NY GIANTS) hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games. Here is a second amazing system that has gone 22-4 ATS for 85% winners since 2010. Play on road teams (NY GIANTS) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · NY Giants are a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 to 6 net passing yards/attempt · NY Giants are 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt · Philadelphia is a near-imperfect 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the NY Giants. Two teams heading in opposite direction face off tonight on Thursday Night Football. Of note, is the fact that this is the first Thursday Night Game between these two teams in their 84-year history. Giants have won eight of the past nine games and in large part due to a very staunch defense. The Giants ‘D’ ranks third in scoring defense, second in opponent points per play, and third allowing opponents to convert just 35% of third down situations. Eagles offense is really struggling, but head coach Pederson has his team playing all 60 minutes and there is yet to be any ‘give-up’ yet. Doubtful, they will give up in this heated Division rivalry either. However, the Giants defense presents so many very difficult matchups to the Eagles offense, that lacks any significant receiver threat. Over the last 3 games, the Giants defense ranks best in the NFL forcing opponents to gain 26.3 yards to score just 1 equivalent point on the scoreboard. Take the Giants.
12-19-16	Panthers v. Redskins -7	Top	26-15	Loss	-100	24 h 33 m	Show
50* graded play on Washington as they take on Carolina in NFC action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by 11 or more points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Carolina is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Carolina is 15-42 ATS (-31.2 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points Carolina is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when they allow 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt Carolina is an imperfect 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when they allow 8 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. Washington is a solid 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt Washington is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they gain 8 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 2 seasons. Washington is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Washington is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they gain 400 or more total yards over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Washington. It will be the Washington passing game led by Cousins that will be the major difference maker in this game. Washington ranks 2nd in the NFL averaging 303 passing yards per game and 3rd allowing a sack on only 3.50% of passing plays. The OL has done a magnificent job protecting Cousins and giving him extra time and confidence to find the open receiver. Carolina defense is poor ranking 30th allowing 272 passing yards per game. We strongly believe Cousins will shred the Carolina zone and post above average numbers across all major metrics. Take the Washington Redskins.
12-18-16	Packers v. Bears +4.5	Top	30-27	Win	100	4 h 15 m	Show
25* graded play on the Chicago Bears (312) as they take on the Green Bay Packers (311) in NFC North action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great opportunity to win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-6 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2005. Play against favorites (GREEN BAY) off an upset win as a home underdog and with a winning record on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Bears are a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play over the last two seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Weather conditions will have an impact on this game. It is very rare that we ever state that weather will impact the result or will favor one team and not the other, but in this case, it does favor the Bears. Green Bay’s ground game is average with their OL having below average run blocking grades. Chicago’s defensive front is one of the best in the game that the media never highlights. That defensive front will completely stop the ground game forcing Rogers to make throws in what will be horrific conditions with wind chills between -10 and -20 degrees. Even for the best spiral throwers in the game, the swirling and strong winds will make any throw over 15 yards difficult. Punts will be a big factor too and I would not be surprised to see returners let the ball drop to the ground instead of attempting a high-risk catch. Bears ground game will be successful against the Packers DL. Bears rank 8th averaging 4.4 yards-per-rush. Also, have you noticed that Bears have covered 5 of the last six games? Plus, Rogers I 0-3 in his career when the game temperatures are in the single digits. He HATES this weather and is nursing a right calf injury, which is the leg an RH QB needs strength and leverage to throw the ball. Take the Bears and expect the win.
12-18-16	Jaguars +3.5 v. Texans	Top	20-21	Win	100	4 h 7 m	Show
25* graded play on Jacksonville (319) as they take on Houston (320) in AFC South action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that JAX will win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-21 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1983. Play on road underdogs or pick after 7 or more consecutive losses. 41% of the plays made based on the criteria of this system covered the spread by more than 7 points. This underscores the upset potential identified by the SIM Algorithm The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · JAX is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they allow 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. · JAX is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 5 to 5.5 net passing yards/attempt Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Jaguars. Houston is arguably the worst offensive team to ever be in first place in a Division. They have been outscored by 45 points this season. Of course, JAX is a struggling team having lost eight straight games, but they do have the tools and talent to compete and win this game. JAX passing defense has done very well ranking 5th in opponent passing yards per attempt, 4th allowing 203 passing yards per game and 14th in sacks. Houston is a horrible 29th averaging just 5.8 yards per pass, rank 28th throwing an interception on 2.88% of all plays run, and 28th in completion percentage. JAX surprises everyone, but not you and not us. Take Jacksonville.
12-18-16	Titans +6.5 v. Chiefs	Top	19-17	Win	100	4 h 5 m	Show
25* graded play on Tennessee (317) as they take on Kansas City (318) in AFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-11 SU mark using the money line for 79% winners over the past five seasons. Play against any team using the money line (KANSAS CITY) after a game where they forced no turnovers and is now facing an opponent after four consecutive games where they committed 1 or fewer turnovers. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Titans are 32-8 ATS (+23.2 Units) when they rush for 150 to 175 yards Titans are 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards KC is a money burning 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) when they allow 150 to 175 rushing yards KC is also a horrid 25-80 ATS (-63.0 Units) when they allow 150 or more rushing yards Fundamental Discussion Points As the SIM projects and the technical points under score, it will be the Titans ground attack that will be the principle reason they win this road game and take control of the AFC South Division. Tennessee ranks 3rd averaging 4.7 yards per rush, 3rd averaging 144.5 rushing yards per game, and 2nd with 48% of all plays executed on the ground. KC can’t stop the run and rank 25th allowing 4.3 yards per rush, 27th allowing 123 rushing yards per game. Marriota has played extremely well over the last nine games and has done even better taking care of the ball and not forcing throws that can lead to interceptions. Tennessee has gone four straight games without a turnover while creating eight turnovers by their defense. Take Tennessee.
12-17-16	Dolphins -2.5 v. Jets	Top	34-13	Win	100	9 h 58 m	Show
25* graded play on the Miami Dolphins (303) as they take on the NY Jets (304) in NFL Saturday action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that MIAMI will win this game by at least 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-7 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2005. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY JETS) with a poor first half defense allowing 14 or more points per game, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Jets are a miserable 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 125 rushing yards over the last 3 seasons. 20-43 ATS (-27.3 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 total yards per play Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dolphins. Now, I am fully aware that the Dolphins have been a terrible cold weather team, especially in December games; that they now are relying on Matt Moore due to the injury to Tannenhill; that somehow the Jets defeated the 49ers last week; and that Miami has outplayed only 2 of the last 6 opponents in the box score data. But, this is the Jets 2016 edition and having Bryce Petty under center is hardly an asset at this point in his very young career. It is one thing to be prepared to be under center in the NFL and have a strong OL in front of you. It’s vastly different when the QB is not quite ready and the OL and other units are playing largely inconsistent football more evident of an expansion team. Miami is playing to get into the playoffs and the team is centered on taking it one play at a time and not getting caught up in the emotion of any game or situation. The Dolphins also have two excellent WR in Landry and Parker going up against a Jets defense that ranks 24th in the NFL in allowed pass completion percentage and 30th in interceptions. Moore is the most undervalued QB in Draftkings for those folks who are engaged in that competition. Take the Dolphins.
12-15-16	Rams +16 v. Seahawks	Top	3-24	Loss	-105	13 h 8 m	Show
25* graded play on the Rams (301) as they take on Seattle (302) in Thursday Night NFL action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rams will lose this game by fewer than 13 points and has only a modest opportunity to post a remarkable upset win. Given the favorable projections, I like normally make these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. *However, in this case, we are suggesting adding a 3 play to the 25* line wager. . Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 55-22 ATS mark good for 71.4% winners since 2005. Play on a road teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games. Here is a second system that has gone 23-5 ATS for 82% winners since 2005. Play on road teams (LA RAMS) that are struggling offensive teams scoring 17 or less points/game, and after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games. Here is a third system working against Seattle and has gone 32-10 ATS for 76% winners since 2005. Play against favorites (SEATTLE) after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Seattle is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season Fundamental Discussion Points** If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rams tonight. The Rams defense is the key to this cover. They are playing well despite being backed by the worst NFL offense. That unit ranks 5th allowing just 35% third-down conversions and rank 8th allowing 7.2 yards-per-pass. Wilson had a horrific last game and the team, in our opinion, is not nearly as good as the media talking heads would lead you to believe. Hence, that is why the line is inflated to these lofty levels and then lifted even higher by an irrational public sentiment. Take the Rams.
12-12-16	Ravens v. Patriots -6	Top	23-30	Win	100	13 h 24 m	Show
50* graded play on New England (134) as they take on Baltimore (133) in MNF action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by at least 11 points. I also have money flow data to believe this line, now at NE -7 points can drift lower to 6 points by game time. There has been a surge in public betting support on Baltimore and it has been enough to move the line lower. I would recommend waiting till later this afternoon or even after 6:00 PM ET to place the wager for the game. Although the projections show that the extra point benefit in the line will not be necessary, it NEVER hurts shopping and working for the best possible line available. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Patriots are a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. · Patriots are 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games when they allow 75 to 100 rushing · Patriots are 60-35 ATS (+21.5 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points · Patriots are 42-18 ATS (+22.2 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 0.5 to 1 yard/play · TOM BRADY is a perfect 6-0 ATS in his career at home when facing the current No.1 ranked defense. Fundamental Discussion Points The 6-0 ATS record when facing the best defense in home tilts in Foxborough essentially sums up this section of analysis as well. We can discuss the x’s and o’s, but truly no one prepares a team better for a game than the Patriots coaching staff. They find a way to identify an opponent’s strength and minimize that strength in the game. They then force an opponent to beat them using their weaknesses, which many times matches up against the Patriots’ strengths. Baltimore ranks first in scoring defense, yards per game allowed, third-down conversions allowed, and yards per rush allowed. The Patriots are tied with Baltimore in scoring defense, 9th in total yards allowed, 11th in rushing yards per attempt, 8th in rushing yards per game, and 11th in passing yards per game allowed. So, with Baltimore’s inconsistent offense, it may be the Patriots defense that creates turnovers and gets stops on third downs and gives the offense short field scoring opportunities. Take the Patriots.
12-11-16	Saints +2 v. Bucs	Top	11-16	Loss	-107	7 h 15 m	Show
25* graded play on New Orleans as they take on Tampa Bay in NFC action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that New Orleans will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 84-41 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 1983. Play ON underdogs or pick (NEW ORLEANS) in a game involving two average teams posting a +/- 3 PPG differential after 8 or more games, and after scoring 14 points or less scored in their last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · TB is just 27-54 ATS (-32.4 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points · TB a miserable 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when their defense allows 300 to 350 net passing yards. · TB is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games when their defense allows 300 or more net passing yards. · 13-38 ATS (-28.8 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 0.5 to 1 yards/play. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Saints. Saints are second in offensive scoring and will be matched against a rather suspect TB defense that ranks 19th in scoring defense. Granted, the Saints defense does rank 30th in scoring defense, but that stat is a bit manipulated due to the scoring barrage of their offense. The Saints offense is just too powerful with Brees for the Bucs to contain enough to allow Winston and his unit to keep pace. Brees ranks first in the NFL converting 50% of their third-down situations this season. Take the Saints.
12-11-16	Cardinals v. Dolphins +2.5	Top	23-26	Win	100	4 h 19 m	Show
25* graded play on Miami (116) as they take on Arizona (115) in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-10 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 1983. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ARIZONA) off 2 or more consecutive ‘overs’ and is a good offensive team scoring between 23 and 27 PPG and is now facing a matchup against a poor defensive team allowing between 23 and 27 PPG. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Arizona is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons. Miami is a solid 41-14 ATS (+25.6 Units) when their defense forces 3 turnovers since 1992. Arizona is a money burning 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dolphins. If you read even a little bit of the media coverages for this game, you already know that Miami has not covered a December game in the last 3 seasons. That’s all about to change this afternoon. We fully expect Ryan Tannenhill to have a monster game throwing the ball to Jarvis Landry and DeVante Parker, who will have favorable matchups against the Arizona secondary. The reason is the emergence of the Dolphins ground attack, which has opened up far more play action opportunities to exploit vertical routes. Take Miami.
12-11-16	Texans v. Colts -6.5	Top	22-17	Loss	-103	4 h 53 m	Show
25* graded play on Indianapolis as they take on Houston in AFC South action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Colts will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-18 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 2005. Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) after scoring 14 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game. Of the 62 qualifying plays made by the criteria detailed in the system, 29 of them or 47% covered the spread by at least 7 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Houston is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. · Houston is a money losing 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games when they rush for 100 to 125 yards · Indianapolis is a solid 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points This game marks Houston’s fourth road game in the last five weeks and travel fatigue will be an issue. Actually, that fatigue has become quite evident in the Houston secondary in recent weeks and Luck will undoubtedly exploit any assignment mistake that secondary makes in this game. It is fact, that statistically, the Colts defense essentially can’t stop much of anything this season. They are though in a favorable spot against an offensive challenged Texans offensive unit ranking 28th in scoring offense and dead last with a miserable 5.4 yards-per-pass play ratio. Take the Colts.
12-08-16	Raiders +3 v. Chiefs	Top	13-21	Loss	-100	13 h 54 m	Show
25* graded play on Oakland as they take on Kansas City in Thursday Night NFL action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Make certain you get a minimum Money Line of +135. If it is below +35, then simply make this a 25* play using the line only. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-6 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2005. Play against any team (KANSAS CITY) off 1 or more straight ‘overs’ against opponent off 6 or more consecutive ‘overs.' The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is a solid 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they gain 400 or more total yards over the last 2 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. KC is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games facing defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last two seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Raiders. KC has been out gained for the season, and Alex Smith has had seven straight games throwing less than 300 passing yards. Oakland’s defense leads the NFL with 25 takeaways and a +14 turnover margin that has propelled to a tie with New England for the best record in the conference. The key matchup tonight involves KC’s abilities to convert on 3rd down situations. Oakland’s defense ranks 8th best in the NFL allowing opponents to convert 3rd down situations 37.6% of the time. KC ranks a dismal 28th converting 34.6% of their third down conversions. Oakland’s defense will be a principal reason they win this critical AFC West showdown.
12-05-16	Colts v. Jets	Top	41-10	Loss	-110	3 h 25 m	Show
25* graded play on the NY Jets (378) as they take on the Indianapolis Colts (377) in AFC action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Jets will win this game. If this line, currently showing the Jets installed as 1.5 point dog, moves to 3 and you can get a money line of at least +130, then a combination wager is validated using a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Jets are a stout 63-25 ATS (+35.5 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. Moreover, they are an impressive 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games off a home loss dating back to 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Jets.
12-04-16	Bills +3 v. Raiders	Top	24-38	Loss	-100	7 h 8 m	Show
25* graded play on Buffalo as they take on Oakland in AFC Conference action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Buffalo will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-6 ATS mark good for 82.4% winners since 2005. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OAKLAND) in a conference matchup, who are off a no-cover where the team had won installed as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is a miserable 5-26 ATS (-23.6 Units) when they allow 150 to 175 rushing yards; 18-78 ATS (-67.8 Units) when they allow 150 or more rushing yards. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bears. Buffalo is a strong team that has not had things go their way in every game. They are 6-5 and right in the middle of the playoff hunt in the AFC. Oakland has won 5 straight games to move to first place in the West. Yards-per-point is a metric and not a fundamental variable, but it does lead into t the fundamental discussions. Buffalo ranks 3rd in the NFL with 13.3 yards per point offensive ratio. This means that on average for Buffalo to score 1 point on the scoreboard, they need to gain 13.3 yards of offense. This metric ranges from about 12 to 24 in any given season. The lower the metric, the more efficient an offense operates on the field. Oakland ranks 5th in this category at 14.8 and has posted a very impressive 11.8 reading over their last three games. However, the last three weeks has put Oakland into an unsustainable situation, and there is a significant propensity for their offense to revert to or below their mean. So, look for Buffalo to establish the ground game and control the tempo of the game.
11-27-16	Titans v. Bears +5	Top	27-21	Loss	-105	50 h 7 m	Show
25* graded play on Chicago as they take on Tennessee in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 130-40 since 1983 (16-3 L5 seasons) good for 76.5% winners and made a HUGE 59.5 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams vs. the money line (TENNESSEE) - in non-conference games, off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tennessee is a poor 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season since 1992; 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons; 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game; 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Fox is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game in all games he has coached since 1992. Chicago is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992; 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Fundamental Discussion Points Chicago plays better at home where they've earned both of the wins this season and allow 17.5 PPG against. Tennessee is a losing team on the road. This play screams contrarian. Chicago LB Danny Trevathan has recorded 11 or more tackles in two straight games.
11-24-16	Redskins v. Cowboys -6.5	Top	26-31	Loss	-110	28 h 35 m	Show
25* graded play on Dallas as they take on Washington in NFC East Thanksgiving Day action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 335-236 since 1983 that made a HUGE 75.4 units/unit wagered and is 5-2 this season. Play against road teams (WASHINGTON) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Dallas is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game this season; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins this season; 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Garrett is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games as the coach of Dallas. Redskins are a poor 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Fundamental Discussion Points The Cowboys are the class of the NFC at this point. They are a balanced and well-performing, consistent team. I don't think the Redskins can say the same. "Road teams have a disadvantage on Thursday night" is a popular topic for articles for a reason. Even better Washington played Sunday night and are playing late afternoon on the road on Thanksgiving Day. Take them Boys and lay the points.
11-20-16	Eagles v. Seahawks -6.5	Top	15-26	Win	100	52 h 17 m	Show
25* graded play on Seattle as they take on Philly in NFC action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seattle will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seattle is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992; 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Carroll is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games as the coach of Seattle. Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Russell Wilson connected with Doug Baldwin for three touchdown passes versus the Patriots while the former also accounted for three scores (two passing, one rushing) in the last meeting with the Eagles - a 24-14 Seahawks win on Dec. 7, 2014. Jordan Matthews, who is nursing back spasms, has been the lone consistent Eagles wideout with 23 catches for 216 yards in his last three games. The Eagle's wideouts will continue to be poor especially against this Seattle defense. Take Seattle Seahawks.
11-20-16	Jaguars +6.5 v. Lions	Top	19-26	Loss	-110	49 h 7 m	Show
25* graded play on Jacksonville as they take on Detroit in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Jacksonville will lose this game by less than 4 points and have a chance at the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 86-40 since 1983 (6-2 L3 seasons) good for 68.3% winners and made a HUGE 42 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (DETROIT) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season. Another proven system supports this play posting a 74-33 since 1983 (10-5 L3 seasons) good for 69.2% winners and made a nice 37.7 units/unit wagered. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (JACKSONVILLE) - with a poor first half defense - 14 or more points per game, after a loss by 6 or less points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is a poor 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) versus poor rushing teams - averaging under 90 rushing yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992; 13-35 ATS (-25.5 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992; 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 11. Jags are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week; 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November. Fundamental Discussion Points Look for defensive back Jalen Ramsey, who has become a clear favorite in the race for defensive rookie of the year while shutting down a litany of star receivers throughout his first season, to shadow Detroit's Marvin Jones. Neither team has shown any ability to run the ball on the season with the Jags ranking 26th in the league, one spot ahead of Lions. The teams also rank at the bottom of the NFL in forcing turnovers. The Jags are rested and looking to win. Take Jacksonville Jaguars.
11-20-16	Ravens +7.5 v. Cowboys	Top	17-27	Loss	-115	49 h 1 m	Show
25* graded play on Baltimore as they take on Dallas in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Baltimore will lose this game by less than 5 and have a shot of the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-12 over the last 10 seasons good for 74.5% winners and made 21.8 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BALTIMORE) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Garrett is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a home favorite; 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse; 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season as the coach of Dallas. Harbaugh is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games and he is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season as the coach of Baltimore. Ravens are 4-0 straight up against the Cowboys since 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points Baltimore's top-ranked run defense will take aim at rookie Ezekiel Elliott and Dallas' offensive line after holding the Steelers (36 yards on 18 carries) and Browns (33 on 13) to 2.2 yards per carry. Quarterback Joe Flacco is taking more chances down the field under new offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg and averaged 7.56 yards per attempt in the last two games while throwing four touchdown passes. Baltimore has won its last five games against teams starting rookie quarterbacks. Take Baltimore Ravens.
11-20-16	Titans +2.5 v. Colts	Top	17-24	Loss	-105	4 h 44 m	Show
25* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Indianapolis in AFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will win this game by seven or more points. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-5 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2005. Play against any team (INDIANAPOLIS) off 1 or more straight ‘overs’ against opponent off 6 or more consecutive ‘overs.' The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tenn is a stout 32-8 ATS (+23.2 Units) when they rush for 150 to 175 yards; 65-20 ATS (+43.0 Units) when they rush for 125 or more yards; Indy is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 150 or more rushing yards over the last 3 seasons; 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by
11-17-16	Saints +3.5 v. Panthers	Top	20-23	Win	100	12 h 29 m	Show
25* graded play on the Saints as they take on the Carolina Panthers in Thursday Night NFL action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Saints will win this game. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 71-33 since 1983 (9-3 L5 seasons) good for 68.3% winners and made 34.7 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites (CAROLINA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. New Orleans is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC South; 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Carolina. Payton is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a loss by 6 or less points as the coach of New Orleans and he is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game as the coach of the Saints. Carolina is a poor 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC; 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC South; 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Road team is 21-9 ATS in their last 30 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Saints. The Saints' Brandin Cooks enjoyed a career day in his previous encounter with Carolina, highlighting his career-high 173-yard performance with an 87-yard touchdown. New Orleans RB Mark Ingram has recorded four touchdowns in his last three road contests. The Saints are a +2 in turnover ratio while the Panthers are -7 (fourth-worst in NFL). Take New Orleans Saints.

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