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NFL Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
11-03-19	Lions +3 v. Raiders	Top	24-31	Loss	-119	4 h 48 m	Show
Detroit Lions over the Oakland Raiders 4:05 PM EST, November 3, 2019 7-Star play on the Lions This is a situational betting system that has made over $3,500 per $100 NCAAF pick (52-28-4 for 65% winning NFL picks) spanning the last five seasons. Play against favorites that have a defense that has not forced their opponents to commit turnovers and is averaging less than 1 Turnovers-per-game and after a game where they forced zero turnovers. Raiders are 5-18 ATS in games following two consecutive ones in which they allowed 385 or more yards in each game. From the machine learning summary, we learn that Oakland is just 7-28 ATS for 20% when they have allowed 27 or more points and 350 to 400 offensive yards. The Lions are 30-7-2 ATS when they have scored 27 or more points and gained between 350 and 400 total offensive yards.
11-03-19	Titans +4 v. Panthers	Top	20-30	Loss	-115	1 h 19 m	Show
7-Star Tennessee Titans over the Carolina Panthers 1:00 PM EST, November 3, 2019 Titans have the second-best defense based on my rating system in the AFC behind only the Juggernaut Patriots. This unit is flying vastly undetected by the ESPN ‘Experts’, but perhaps today will be the day that they get acknowledged for their outstanding play. Titans offense has sputtered and at times looks terrific and at others, you wonder who the heck they are. Carolina has a middle of the road defensive unit and I believe that the Titans offense will have one of their best games this afternoon. This situational query is simple and has been a solid money-maker posting a 67-27 ATS record good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be against all favorites that were trailing by 14 or more points at the half in their last game. The machine learning tools project that the Titans defense will contain Carolina’s offense to 5.5 and 6.0 yards-per-pass attempt. When they have achieved this performance measure they have posted a 17-5 ATS record.
10-31-19	49ers -9.5 v. Cardinals	Top	28-25	Loss	-110	52 h 4 m	Show
John Ryan Sports 7-STAR SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS OVER THE ARIZONA CARDINALS 8:20 PM EST, October 31, 2019 This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 35-14-1 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets over the last 7 seasons. It instructs us to play against road underdogs that had 36 or fewer minutes of possession, had more first downs than points scored and allows opponents to get 15 or more first downs per game. Arizona is just 4-15-1 ATS for 21% in games where the total has been between 42.5 and 49 points over the last three seasons. From the machine learning tool shed the 49ers are an outstanding 58-12 ATS for 83% when they have outgained their opponents by 150 or more total yards in games played since 1989 and 7-2 ATS for 78% winning bets since 2017.
10-28-19	Dolphins v. Steelers -14	Top	14-27	Loss	-105	10 h 44 m	Show
7-Star on Pittsburgh over Miami 8:20 PM EST, October 28, 2019 This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 28-8 mark good for 78% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. It instructs us to play against underdogs or pick that are average passing teams gaining between 185 and 230 passing-yards-per-game and after a game in which they averaged 7.2 or more passing yards-per-attempt and are now facing a struggling pass defense allowing between 240 and 300 passing yards-per-game. This betting system has covered the spread by an average of 7.5 points. The Dolphins are just 2-10 ATS in road games when facing struggling passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 61% or worse over the last three seasons. Worse yet is that the Fish are an imperfect 0-8 ATS on the road and coming off a divisional game.
10-27-19	Packers -4.5 v. Chiefs	Top	31-24	Win	100	1 h 58 m	Show
7-STAR ON GREEN BAY OVER KC IN SNF FOOTBALL 8:20 PM EST, October 27, 2019 This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 28-8 mark good for 78% winning bets over the last 30 seasons. It instructs us to play on road favorites that are excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more yards-per-pass-attempt and after allowing seven or more passing yards-per-game in three straight games. Andy Reid is 4-12 ATS in home games and has won five or more of his last seven games as the coach of the Chiefs.
10-27-19	Panthers v. 49ers -4.5	Top	13-51	Win	100	5 h 20 m	Show
San Francisco 49ers vs Carolina Panthers 4:05 PM EST, October 27, 2019 7-Star Bet is on the 49ers WHAT DOES THE MACHINE HAVE FOR US? The 49ers are one of two remaining NFC undefeated teams, but have done it with solid defense and a grinding power run game. They rank dead last with 49 catches made by wide receivers and prompted management to acquire Emmanuel from the Denver Broncos. He had 30 catches for 367 yards and two TDs in seven games and can play the slot possession and wide-out equally. The emergence of Kyle Allen, who is 4-0 in his starts while Cam Newton continues to rehab from a foot injury, has essentially saved the Panthers season. However, this will be the best defense he will have played against and I believe he will struggle in this matchup. This situational betting system has earned a 46-19 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. It instructs us to play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with an excellent offense that is averaging 5.7 or more yards-per-play, after being outgained by previous opponent by 100 or more total yards last game. Carolina is 2-11 ATS following back-to-back games in which they scored 30 or more points.
10-27-19	Chargers +3.5 v. Bears	Top	17-16	Win	100	3 h 53 m	Show
LA Chargers over the Chicago Bears 3:30 PM EST, October 26, 2019 7-Star play on the Chargers plus the points The summary projections from the machine learning tool shed indicate that Chicago will be held to 21 or fewer points, and will allow less than 6.5 yards-per-pass by the Bears. The Chargers are 149-38-8 ATS overall and 69-17-4 ATS for 80% winning bets when the Chargers defense has met or exceeded these projections. The Chargers are a perfect 7-0 ATS after one or more consecutive losses to the spread over the last three seasons. This situational query has earned a 65-33 record good for 65% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. Play against home favorites of -3.5 to -10 points that are coming off a game where they did not force a turnover.
10-27-19	Eagles v. Bills -1	Top	31-13	Loss	-128	3 h 40 m	Show
Philadelphia Eagles at the Buffalo Bills 1:00 PM EST, October 27, 2019 7-Star Bet is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points (-1.5) This situational query has earned a 28-7 ATS record good for 80% winning bets over the last 10 seasons and is a perfect 10-0 ATS over the last three seasons. Play on home favorites in a non-conference game that are off a double-digit win over a division foe. Pederson is just 3-13 ATS in games played on articial turf since being the Eagles head coach. From the machine learning tool shed Buffalo is a solid 6-0 ATS when they rush for 4.0 to 4.5 yards-per-rush and the Eagles are 2-11 in games where both teams score 20 or more points. Buffalo is a consistent 65-30 ASTS when they have forced an opponent into two or more turnovers.
10-24-19	Redskins +17.5 v. Vikings	Top	9-19	Win	100	4 h 31 m	Show
Washington Redskins vs Minnesota Vikings 8:20 PM EST, October 24, 2019 7-Star play on the Redskins This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 42-15-1 ATS record good for 74% winning bets since 2010 and has had not one losing season. Play on teams that have been beaten by 33 or more points to the spread in their last five games and are now playing a team that has gone over the posted total by 30 or more points in their last three games.
10-21-19	Patriots -9.5 v. Jets	Top	33-0	Win	100	4 h 39 m	Show
New England Patriots vs New York Jets 8:15 PM EST, October 21, 2019 7-Star play on the Patriots minus the points (-9.5) Here is the summary from the machine learning projections. The Patriots held the opponent to between 50 and 75 yards rushing, gained between 400 and 450 total offensive yards and/or outgained their opponent by 150 or more total yards. So, the Patriots are 28-6-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9 points when they have held an opponent to 50 to 75 rushing yards including 5-0 ATS when they outgained the opponent by 150 or more total yards. The Patriots are 7-1 ATS when allowing 50 to 75 RY and gaining between 400 and 450 total offensive yards.
10-20-19	Vikings v. Lions +2.5	Top	42-30	Loss	-100	2 h 37 m	Show
Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings 1:00 PM EST, October 20, 2019 7-Star play on the Lions plus the points (+3.5) This situational betting system has earned a solid 368-263 ATS record good for 58% winning bets over the last 35 seasons. Play against road teams that have covered four or five of their last six games and has earned a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season. This simple to use syste has made the $100 bettor a profit of $7,877. Here is the summary from the machine learning projections. In past home games in which the Lions gained over 140 rushing yards and posted a yards-per-point ratio of 12 or lower (more efficient) they have earned a 15-4 SUATS record and covering the spread by an average of 12 points.
10-20-19	Rams v. Falcons +3	Top	37-10	Loss	-100	1 h 25 m	Show
LA Rams vs Atlanta Falcons 1:00 PM EST, October 20, 2019 7-Star Bet is on Atlanta plus the points (2.5) This situational query has earned an incredible 44-15 ATS record good for 75% ATS winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play on any team after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points over their last five games and are now playing an opponent, whose last three games have gone over the total by a combined 28 or more points. The Falcons will hold the Rams to 24 or fewer points and will pass for an average eof at least 9 yards-per-pass-attempt. In past home games, in which the Falcons met or exceeded these performance measures have earned them a 28-2 SU record winning the game by an average of 15 points and a 24-5-1 ATS mark good for 83% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 12 points.
10-17-19	Chiefs v. Broncos +3.5	Top	30-6	Loss	-115	13 h 56 m	Show
Kansas City versus Denver 8:20 PM EST, Thursday, October 17, 2019 10-Star Bet is on the Denver Broncos The machine learning summary projects that Broncos will score 24 or more points and will contain KC to less than 350 total yards, and rush for 150 or more yards. In past home games where the Broncos have met these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 38-2 SU record and 32-8 ATS mark good for 80% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 14 points. In addition, road favorites from Week 7 to the end of the regular season, who had a 0.500 record or better the previous season and are allowing 4.7 or more RYPC are just 1-21-1 ATS. This situational query has earned a solid 35-11 ATS record for 76% winning bets since 1980. Play against any team that is coming off two losses in which they were favored and has a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season and is now playing a team with a losing record on the season. Here is an additional situational query that has earned a 47-18 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets since 1980. The requirements are to bet against road teams that struggle in the ground game averaging 70 to 95 RYPG and after two straight games getting outrushed by more than 75 yards in each, and are now facing a mediocre rushing defense that is allowing 95 to 125 RYPG.
10-14-19	Lions v. Packers -3	Top	22-23	Loss	-130	3 h 12 m	Show
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers 8:20 PM EST, Sunday, October 14, 2019 7-Star Bet is on the Green Bay Packers The machine learning summary projects that Packers will score 24 or more points and will contain Detroit to less than 350 total yards. In past home games where the Packers have met these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 61-2 SU record and 54-8-1 ATS mark good for 87% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 14 points. This situational query has earned a solid 54-19 ATS record for 74% winning bets since 2013 and has not had a single losing season. Play against underdogs or pick-em that are averaging 5.6 or more yards-per-play after a game in which they allowed 400 or more yards and are now facing a team that allows 5.6 or more yards-per-play on the season.
10-13-19	Cowboys -7 v. Jets	Top	22-24	Loss	-109	4 h 15 m	Show
DALLAS COWBOYS VS NEW YORK JETS 4:25 PM EST, OCTOBER 13, 2019 10-STAR BET ON THE DALLAS COWBOYS This situational query has earned an outstanding 23-4 ATS record over the last 30 seasons for 85% winning bets. The query instructs us to bet on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after playing a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points and is playing against a host that is coming off B2B road losses. This situational query has earned a 43-17 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The query instructs us to play against any team off two consecutive road losses that has a poor win percentage of 25% or lower on the season. If the game is played in week 5 or after the record improves to 42-14-2 for 75% winning bets. The machine learning summary projects that the Cowboys will outgain the Jets by at least 150 net offensive yards. The Jets are 6-47-3 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 16 points. The Cowboys are 55-12-1 ATS for 82% winning bets when they have outgained an opponent by 150 or more yards.
10-13-19	Seahawks v. Browns	Top	32-28	Win	100	4 h 17 m	Show
Seattle Seahawks vs Cleveland Browns 1:00 PM EST, Sunday, October 13, 2019 7-Star Bet is on the Seahawks at pick-em The machine learning summary projects that Seahawks will rush for at least 150 yards and will gain at least 6 yards-per-play. In past road games where Seahawks have met these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 15-7 SU record and 17-4-1 ATS mark good for 81% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 11 points. This situational query has earned a solid 36-12 ATS record for 75% winning bets since 2015 and has not had a single losing season. Play against underdogs or pick-em that are averaging 5.8 or more yards-per-play after a game in which they allowed 400 or more yards and are now facing a team that allows 5.8 or more yards-per-play on the season.
10-13-19	Bengals +11 v. Ravens	Top	17-23	Win	100	4 h 59 m	Show
Cincinnati vs Baltimore 1:00 PM EST, Sunday, October 13, 2019 7-Star Bet is on Cincinnati plus the points This situational query has earned an incredible 24-5 ATS record good for 83% ATS winning bets over the last 5 seasons. Play on road teams that are outrushed by at least 40 yards per game on the season and are coming off a game in which they were outrushed by 100 or more yards. Head Coach Harbaugh is 10-20 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record. Ravens are just 0-6 ATS in home games after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons.
10-13-19	Texans +4 v. Chiefs	Top	31-24	Win	100	1 h 28 m	Show
Houston Texas vs Kansas City Chiefs 1:00 PM EST, Sunday, October 13, 2019 7-Star Bet is on the Houston Texas plus the points This situational betting system has earned an 62-29 record for 68% winning NFL bets since 2010. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are excellent offensive teams gaining at least 370 yards-per-game on the season and is facing a struggling defensive unit that is allowing an average of 325 to 375 YPG on the season. From the machine learning predictive summary the Texans are 11-5 SU winning the game by an average of 7 points and 12-3-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9.7 points.
10-10-19	Giants v. Patriots -16.5	Top	14-35	Win	100	3 h 18 m	Show
New York Giants vs New England Patriots 8:20 PM EST, Thursday, October 10, 2019 7-Star Bet is on the Patriots The machine learning summary projects that the Patriots will score 27 or more points, pass for a minimum of 8.0 yards-per-attempts, and will allow the Giants less than 350 yards of offense. In past games where the Patriots have scored 27 or more points and averaged 8.0 YPPA they have earned a 100-6 SU record winning the games by an average of 18.8 points and 87-19 ATS for 82.1% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 13.3 points. If we add the defense holding the opponent to fewer than 350 offensive yards their record improves to an amazing 52-0 SU and 48-4 ATS for 92% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 18.1 points.
10-06-19	Packers v. Cowboys -3.5	Top	34-24	Loss	-110	3 h 10 m	Show
Green Bay vs Dallas 4:25 PM EST, Sunday, October 6, 2019 10-Star Bet is on Dallas minus the points The ground game will be dominated by the Cowboys and will allow them to control the LOS, the clock, and keep Rogers off the field. The Cowboys rank fifth in rushing offense while the Packers are dreadful 26th. Dallas ranks 10th-best stopping the run while the Packers can’t stop the run rnaking 26th in the NFL. Dallas will need to blitz gaps to stop the run and can play many different pass coverages that will bring confusion to even a veteran like Rogers. The machine learning summary projects that Dallas will out rush GB by at least 50 yards, will score 24 or more points, and will rush for a minimum of 1450 yards. In past home games where Dallas has met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned an outstanding 58-5 SU record winnig the games by an average of 17 points and 61-2 ATS for 97% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 15.7 points.
10-06-19	Jaguars +3.5 v. Panthers	Top	27-34	Loss	-114	1 h 7 m	Show
Jacksonville vs Carolina 1:00 PM EST, Sunday, October 6, 2019 7-Star Bet is on JAX Jaguars The machine learning summary projects that the Jaguars will score 24 or more points, rush for at least 140 yards and put-rush the Panthers. In past road games where JAX has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 52-3 SU record winning the games by an average of 15 points and 48-6-1 ATS for 89% winning bets covering the spread by an average of 13.3 points. This situational query has earned a 42-17 ATS record good for 71% ATS winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Play on any team that has not committed a turnover in two consecutive games and is facing an opponent tat committed three or more turnovers in their last game.
10-06-19	Jets +15 v. Eagles	Top	6-31	Loss	-127	1 h 47 m	Show
New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles 1:00 PM EST, Sunday, October 6, 2019 7-Star Bet is on the Jets plus the points Jets are an outstanding 77-8-2 ATS 91% when scoring 20 or more points, gaining 125 or more rushing yards and out-rushing their opponent. Jets are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games This situational query has earned a 36-13 ATS record good for 74% ATS winning bets over the last 30 seasons. Play on Underdogs or pick (NY JETS) that are struggling teams outgained by their opponents by 1.25 or more yds/play and after gaining 200 or less total yards-per-game over their last 2 games.
09-29-19	Cowboys v. Saints +3	Top	10-12	Win	100	8 h 58 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints 8:20 PM EST, Sunday, September 29, 2019 10-Star Bet is on the Saints plus the points This situational query has earned a 47-17 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to simply play against road favorites that have been dominating their previous opponents by at least 10 PPG and after a win of 10 or more points. Here is a perfect 18-0 ATS betting system and requires us to play on teams in game splayed on artificial surface that are averaging 34 or fewer rushing plays per game and are coming off a road win as a dog, had 32 or fewer minutes in time of possession and is now facing a winning record team that has averaged 32 or more minutes per game.
09-29-19	Chargers -14.5 v. Dolphins	Top	30-10	Win	100	1 h 20 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins 1:00 PM EST, Sunday, September 29, 2019 7-Star Bet is on the Charger minus the points The machine learning summary projects that the Chargers will score 24 or more points, pass for a minimum of 8.0 yards-per-attempts, and/or will gain at least 6.6 yards-per-play. In past road games where Chargers have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 41-11 SU record and 42-10 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11 points. This situational query has earned an incredible 32-10 ATS record good for 76% ATS winning bets over the last 35 seasons. Play on road favorites that are coming off a loss as a favorite and is a struggling team with a win percentage between 25 and 40% on the season and is facing a team that has a losing record on the season.
09-29-19	Chiefs v. Lions +8.5	Top	34-30	Win	100	1 h 52 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Kansas City vs Detroit 1:00 PM EST, Sunday, September 29, 2019 7-Star Bet is on Detroit plus the points The machine learning summary projects that the Lions will score 24 or more points and will gain between 375 and 425 total offensive yards. In past home games where the Lions met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned an outstanding 24-6 SU mark and a 26-4 ATS mark good for 87% winning bets and covering the spread by an average eof 10.2 points. This situational query has earned an incredible 31-9 ATS record good for 78% ATS winning bets over the last 35 seasons. Play against favorites that have an excellent offense averaging 5.7 or more yards-per-. play on the season and after gaining at least 450 total yards in each of their last two games.
09-26-19	Eagles v. Packers -4	Top	34-27	Loss	-103	4 h 3 m	Show
7-STAR ON THE GREEN BAY PACKERS (102) OVER THE PHILADELPHIA EAGLES IN TNF ACTION SET TO START AT 8:20 PM EST. The machine learning summary projects that the Eagles will have less than 100 rushing yards, will have no more than 325 total yards, and will not score more than 21 points. In past road games where the Eagles have underachieved these performance measures they have posted an ugly 9-42-1 SU record and 18-34 ATS mark for 65% losing bets. The Packers are 65-4 SU winning the games by an average of 15.9 points and 50-18-1 ATS for 74% win if bets an covering the spread by an average of 8.8 points in home games where they have met or exceeded these performance measures. This situational query has earned a 52-21 ATS record for 71% winning bets for the past 35 seasons and is a perfect 11-0 ATS over the last three seasons. Play against underdogs including pick-em after having lost two of their last three games when playing Thursday nights. 3-0 ATS teams playing in Week 4 are a perfect 11-0 ATS when facing a team that is 0-3 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11 points.
09-23-19	Bears -5 v. Redskins	Top	31-15	Win	100	5 h 10 m	Show
7-STAR ON THE UNDER AND 7-STAR CHICAGO IN THE MNF MATCHUP BETWEEN THE HOST WASHINGTON REDSKINS AND THE VISITING CHICAGO BEARS. The machine learning summary projects that the Redskins will not gain more than 75 rushing yards, will be held to 100 fewer yards in total offense than what Chicago will gain and will not score more than 17 points. In past home Redskins games where they under achieved or at the most met these performance measures the UNDER has gone 11-3 for 79% winning bets and covered the total by an average of 8 points. Further, the Redskins are an imperfect 0-13-1 ATS. This situational query has earned a perfect 10-0 UNDER record since 2015. The UNDER is 10-0 with a winless home dog of 4.5 or more points in week 3 and further down the regular season schedule and are facing an opponent that has a win percentage of at least 0.500 on the season. So, play each of the 7-Stars separately and then add no more than 4-Star parlay playing the Bears minus the points and the UNDER.
09-22-19	Lions +5 v. Eagles	Top	27-24	Win	100	5 h 18 m	Show
7-STAR WAGER ON THE DETROIT LIONS AS THEY TAKE ON THE PHILADELPHIA EAGLES IN NFL ACTION SET TO START AT 1:00 PM EST. The machine learning summary projects that the Lions defense will dominate and hold the Eagles to less than 75 rushing yards, gain 350 or more offensive yards, and have more offensive yards then the Eagles. In past games where the Lions met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 33-11 ATS record good for 72% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 8.5 points. When the game was on the road they were an even better 12-3 ATS for 80% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 10.2 points. Eagles continue to sputter on offense in the beginning of games and rank dead last in the NFL scoring just 42 points in the first quarter since the start of last season. They will be without their two best receivers and are missing two starting defensive linemen.
09-22-19	Raiders +10 v. Vikings	Top	14-34	Loss	-130	4 h 5 m	Show
10-STAR WAGER ON THE OAKLAND RAIDERS (471) AS THEY TAKE ON THE MINNESOTA VIKINGS IN NFL ACTION SET TO START AT 1:00 PM EST. This situational query has earned a 34-11 ATS record for 76% winners over the last 10 seasons. It instructs us to play against home favorites that are solid offensive teams that averaged 5.4 or more yards-per-Play in the previous season and are coming off a game where they gained 400 or more total offensive yards. The machine learning summary projects that the Raiders defense will force at least two turnovers and the Raiders offense will score 21 or more points and have fewer turnovers than the Vikings. In past road games where the Raiders met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 31-9 SU record for 78% winning bets and a 35-5-1 ATS record good for 88% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 12.5 points since 2000.
09-19-19	Titans v. Jaguars +2.5	Top	7-20	Win	100	13 h 54 m	Show
7-STAR ON THE JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (302) AS THEY TAKE ON THE TENNESSEE TITANS IN TNF NFL ACTION SET TO START AT 8:20 PM EST. The machine learning summary projects that the This situational query has earned a solid 108-65-5 ATS for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The query instructs us to play on any favorite that played a home game in their previous outing during the first four weeks of the season. Simple and quite profitable and easy to track. The query has had just one losing season among the past 10 seasons amnd that was a 6-7-1 result in 2015. The remaining nine season all showed consistent profitable results. The ‘Moustache put out a remarkable effort in his first NFL start completing 22-of-33 pass attempts for 213 yards and touchdown for a QBR of 111.8, which ranks seventh among NFL quarterbacks. Defensive coordinators will have film on him and Tennessee will look to adjust and exploit the weaknesses they learn for the film. I have see the film and the Jaguars OL did a solid job under difficult conditions against a strong Texans defense. The Jaguars OC will be able to add more complexity to the play calling schemes despite being a short week. Titans will get burned if they bring pressure since Garner Minshew has the elusive athleticism to buy a second or two more time to execute pass routes that will be in man coverage situations. The machine learning summary projects that the Jaguars defense will force two or more turnovers, that the Jaguars offense will out rush the Titans, that Jaguars will have a minimum of 135 rushing yards. In past home games where the Jaguars rushed for 135 or more yards and out rushed their opponent they have earned a solid 39-19-3 ATS record for 67% winning bets since 2001. In past home games where the defense forced two or more turnovers, the Jaguars are 54-26-3 ATS for 68% winning bets. In past home games where they met or exceeded all three of the performance measures they re 24-6-1 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2001.
09-16-19	Browns v. Jets +7	Top	23-3	Loss	-105	7 h 19 m	Show
7-Star on the New York Jets as they take on the Cleveland browns in NFL action set to start at 8:10 PM EST. The machine learning summary projects that the Jets to gain more rushing yards than the Browns and will win the turnover battle. Teams that were lined as home dogs and have met or exceeded these performance measures have attained an outstanding 1305-129-27 ATS record for 91% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 12.2 points since 1989. In the same role the Jets are 16-2 ATS for 89% winning bets covering by an average of 13.11 points. This situational query has earned a solid 66-32 ATS for 67.3% winning bets over the past five seasons. The query instructs us to play on any team after a game where they committed one or no turnovers and is facing an opponent that had a turnover margin of -3 or worse in their last game. When we slice the data to include only home teams the record has been 74-39 ATS over the last 10 seasons for 65.5% winning bets. This second situational query has earned a 85-45 ATS mark for 65.4% winning bets since 2015. This query instructs us to play against favorites of 3.5 to 10-points after game where their defense forced zero turnovers. The third situational query that supports the Jets and works against the Browns and has earned a solid 40-16 ATS mark good for 71.4% winning bets since 1980. The query instructs us to play against favorites that had a terrible scoring defense in their previous season allowing at least 24 points-per-game and after a paying a game where 50 or more total points were scored.
09-15-19	Cowboys v. Redskins +6.5	Top	31-21	Loss	-115	2 h 58 m	Show
7-STAR ON THE WASHINGTON REDSKINS AS THEY TAKE ON THE DALLAS COWBOYS IN NFL ACTION SET TO START AT 12:00 PM EST. The machine learning summary projects that the Redskins to gain a minimum of 6.5 passing yards per attempt and score a minimum of 27 points. They are also protected to have the better and more efficient offensive yards-per-point ratio. Teams that were lined as home dogs and have met or exceeded these performance measures have attained an outstanding 327-61-5 ATS record for 84.3% winning bets since 1989. Over the last five seasons the Redskins are 6-1 ATS for 86% winning bets covering by an average of 13.7 points when averaging 6.5 or more yards per pass attempt and scoring 27 points as a home dog. This situational query has earned a solid 65-29 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The query instructs us to play against favorites off a home win during the first four weeks of the season. When the play against team is a road favorite the record improves to 40-14 ATS for 74% wins over the last 10 seasons.
09-15-19	Colts +3 v. Titans	Top	19-17	Win	100	2 h 44 m	Show
7-STAR WAGER ON THE INDIANAPOLIS COLTS AS THEY TAKE ON THE TENNESSEE TITANS IN NFL ACTION SET TO START AT 1:00 PM EST, SEPTEMBER 15, 2019. This situational query has earned an outstanding 25-5 ATS record over the last 10 seasons for 83% winning bets. The query instructs us to play on underdogs or pick (INDIANAPOLIS) that were an excellent passing team from last season that averaged 275 or more passing yards-per-game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards-per-attempt last game. This query has earned a 10-1 ATS record over the last three seasons. The machine learning summary states that the Colts will gain between 125 and 150 rushing yards and score between 22 and 28 points. In past road games where the Colts have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 11-2 ATS record of 85% winning bets.
09-08-19	Ravens v. Dolphins +7.5	Top	59-10	Loss	-115	3 h 46 m	Show
7-STAR ON THE MIAMI DOLPHINS (460) AS THEY TAKE ON THE BALTIMORE RAVENS IN WEEK-1 NFL ACTION SET TO START AT 1:00 PM EST. From the Machine Learning summary, The Dolphins are projected to have fewer turnovers than the Ravens and will gain a minimum of 100 rushing yards and 200 passing yards. In past home games where they have met or exceeded these projections the Dolphins have earned a 22-0 SU record winning the games by an average of 16.2 points and a 20-2 ATS record for 91% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 12.5 points. This situational query has earned a 30-8 ATS record for 79% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The query instructs us to play on all underdogs that had a horrible defense in the previous season that allowed an average of 385 yards-per-game.
09-08-19	Chiefs v. Jaguars +4	Top	40-26	Loss	-115	2 h 27 m	Show
7-STAR WAGER ON THE JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (464) AS THEY TAKE ON THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS IN NFL ACTION SET TO START AT 1:00 PM EST. The Machine learning summary projects that the Jaguars will gain at least 7 yards-per-pass attempt, force a minimum of two turnovers, and will hold the Chiefs to fewer than 28 points. In past home games where the Jaguars have achieved or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 31-0 SU record for 100% winning the games by an average of 14.7 points and a 28-2 ATS mark good for 93% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 11 points. In games where the Chiefs scored fewer than 28 points, committed two or more turnovers, and allowed a minimum of 7 YPPA they have been a money-burning 2-28 SUATS losing the games by an average of 19 points and failing to cover the spread by an average of 16 points.
09-05-19	Packers v. Bears -3	Top	10-3	Loss	-115	7 h 49 m	Show
7-STAR ON THE CHICAGO BEARS (452) AS THEY TAKE ON THE GREEN BAY PACKERS IN WEEK-1 NFL ACTION SET TO START AT 8:20 PM EST. From the Machine Learning summary the Bears are projected to score between 22 and 28 points, will hold the Packers to less than 90 rushing yards, and will limit Rogers yards per pass attempt to 5.5 or fewer yards. The Bears in a home tilt are an outstanding 40-3 SU and 37-6 ATS covering the spread by an average of 10.4 points when they have held an opponent to 90 or fewer rushing yards and fewer than 5.5 yards-per-pass attempt (YPPA). When we slice the dataset to include just divisional opponents the record improves to 15-1 SU and 14-2 ATS for 88% wins and covering the spread by an average of 10.4 points. Road teams that won six or more games in the previous season and now find themselves installed as a pick-em to a 7-point underdog in week-1 and facing a divisional opponent are 18-34-2 for just 35% ATS winners. So, playing against these dogs has earned 65% ATS winning proposition. Over the last five seasons this query has produced a 6-1 ATS record for 86% wins and covered the spread by an average of 7.9 points.
02-03-19	Patriots -2.5 v. Rams	Top	13-3	Win	100	108 h 44 m	Show
John Ryan Sports @JohnRyanSports1 Wednesday, January 30, 2019 1. The Play and How to Play It 10-Star wager on the New England Patriots as they take on the Los Angeles Rams in Super Bowl LIII to be held at the Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA and set to start at 6:30 PM EST, Sunday, February 3, 2019. I am 13-2 against the spread with for years of ‘no play’ spanning the last 19 seasons. This impressive record DOES NOT automatically mean that I will win this game again. I am not in any way tempering my enthusiasm for this play. I am just giving you a reminder to remain disciplined with your 10-Star wager amount. If you wagered $100 per 10-Star release, then stay with that wager and if you wagered $10,00 for a 10-Star wager then maintain that amount. There is no reason to lose your mind and bet beyond your means. You’ll enjoy the game just as much, if not more, wagering the same amount you started with at the beginning of this season. I sincerely appreciate all of your loyal support as my customer base crew by double digits again this season, which indicates our service must be doing something right. I will look to continue that excellence into March Madness, the NBA, and MLB. Once again. Thank you. 2. Machine Learning Projections and Outcomes The Machine Learning summaries show a 7-Star play on the UNDER. Now, here is the fun part as we combine different alternative line wagers and a couple of parlays. I have always played some prop bets, which will be outlined below, but the real opportunity is with these alternative lines. 1. So, 10-Star wager on the Patriots. 2. 7-Star wager on the UNDER 3. 3-Star Action Reverse Parlay (Patriots and the UNDER) pays 4-to-1. 4. 1-Star Parlay UNDER u51½+155 and Patriots -7½ +215 5. 1-Star Parlay UNDER u61½ -185 and Patriots and -20½ +900 So, for number 4 listed above, the bet is ‘UNDER’ a total of 61.5 points and getting back $155 per $100 if it wins and $100 getting back $215 if Patriots win by 8 or more points. When each leg is combined into a parlay, the $100 risk is to win $703.25. Item 5 is calculated the same way and a parlay combining the ‘UNDER’ 51.5-points and Patriots -20.5 risks $100 to win $1,440.54. Note too that these parlays would return the original $100 wager if betting at a legal establishment. So, you are risking $100 to win $1,440.54 for a total return of $1,540.54. Machine Learned Projection Summaries The Patriots will gain a minimum of 8 yards-per-pass play, gain 125 to 150 rushing yards, and gain 400 to 450 total yards, and score 22 to 28 points. The Patriots defense will allow 6.5 to 7 net passing yards per pass play, allow 5 or more rushing yards per attempt. Patriots Precedents 7-0 ATS when they allow 6.5 to 7 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. The average score was 28.6 to 13.4 Patriots 29-11 ATS when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards-per-attempt. The average score was 29.9 to 19.3 Patriots 28-8 ATS when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. The average score was 33.5 to 17.3 Patriots 17-5 ATS when they gain 8 or more net passing yards-per-attempt over the last 3 seasons. The average score was 31.9 to 20.3 Patriots. 48-28 ATS when they allow 5 or more rushing yards per attempt since 1992. The average score was 28.9 to 21.7 Patriots 43-16 ATS when they rush for 125 to 150 yards since 1992. The average score was 27.4 to 16.1 Patriots. 68-39 ATS when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992. The average score was 25.4 to 17.7 Patriots. 11-1 ATS when they gain 400 to 450 total yards over the last 2 seasons. The average score was 30.5 to 14.5 Patriots. 16-3 ATS when they gain 400 or more total yards over the last 2 seasons. The average score was 31.9 to 18.8 Patriots. 8-0 ATS when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. The average score was 33.1 to 18.3 Patriots. 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. The average score was 31.3 to 19.9 Patriots. Rams Precedents 31-68 ATS when allowing 22 to 28 points. The average score was Rams losing 19.5 to 25.3 19-78 ATS when they allow 8 or more newt passing yards per game. The average score was Rams losing 19.2 to 31.4. 21-54 ATS when they allow 125 to 150 rushing yards. The average score was Rams losing 18.3 to 25. 15-34 ATS when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt. The average score was 19.6 to 26.9. Combinatorial Algorithm Results In all games, when the Patriots have gained 400 or more total yards, they are an amazing 129-22 SU winning by an average of 13.9 points and 104-41-6 ATS covering the spread by an average of 8.2 points. When they have gained 400 or more total yards and average 8 or more passing yards per attempt, they are a 74-8 SU winning by an average of 18.3 points and 66-15-1 ATS covering by an average of 12.5 points for 81.5% wins. When they have attained the two performance measures above and held their opponent to 21 or fewer points, they are 47-0 SU winning by an average of 25.1 points and 44-2-1 ATS for 96% covering the spread by 18.1 points. 1. Data Base Situational Queries Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our tool shed and the ones now in development. This DB query has earned a 22-4 ‘UNDER’ record for 85% over the past 10 seasons. The query parameters are to play ‘UNDER’ the posted total with any team after a win by 6 or fewer points and now facing an Opponent after 2 straight games where 60 or more total points were scored in each game.
01-20-19	Patriots +3 v. Chiefs	Top	37-31	Win	105	11 h 30 m	Show
John Ryan Sports @JohnRyanSports1 Saturday, January 19, 2019 1.The Play and How to Play It A. Play a 7-Star wager amount on the New England Patriots (313) as they travel to Kansas City (214) installed as 3.5-point underdogs in the AFC Championship game. B. Play a 7-Star wager UNDER the total currently priced at 56-points. C. Play a 5-Star Parlay using the Patriots and the UNDER. 2. Machine Learning Projections and Outcomes Projections clearly show that both teams will be successful with their ground attacjs with the Patriots gaining between 150 and 175 RY and KC gaining between 100 to 125 RY. Patriots will gain 400 to 425 total yards while KC will be less than 400 TY. Patriots will gain a minimum of 6 yards per play (YPPL). KC will average at least 5.5 yards-per-rush (YPRA). So, the Patriots are an outstanding 8-0 against the spread (ATS) when they gain between 6 and 6.5 YPPL and 15-4 ATS when they gain 6 or more YPPL. Over the Patriots dynasty we have seen their defense play with a scheme begging the opponent to run the ball. This is one of the building blocks that worked so well in taking out the opponents’ best player or team strength. It sows in the data as well with the Patriots overall records improving the more RY they allow. The Patriots are 48-28 ARS when they have allowed 5 or more RYPA and an even better 18-6 ATS when allowing 5.5 or more RYPA. Further, the atriots are 6-1 SU winning by an average of 11.4 points and 6-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 8 points when they rush for 150 to 175 yards and the opponent rushes for 125 to 150 yards. When the Patriots have had 10 or fewer rushing plays than passing plays in playoff games they are 13-0 SU winning by an average of 16 points and 9-4 ATS covering the spread by an average of 10 points. When the Patriots have had the more balanced offense than the opponent in playoff games as measured by (Patriots passes-rushes) – (Opponent passes-rushes) they are 10-1 SU winning by an average of 11.2 points and 9-2 ATS for 82% covering the spread by an average of 8 points. Last, Patriots are 6-0 SU winning the game by an average of 19.8 points and 5-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11.4 points when they outrush their opponent by a minimum of 25 yards and run 10 or more plays. 1. Data Base Situational Queries Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This query resulting in a 46-20 ATS mark for 70% spanning the last 38 seasons. Play against favorites after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games and is now facing an opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half of their last game. Supporting the UNDER is a query that has returned a 60-26 UNDER mark for 70% over the past 10 seasons. Play Under with road teams that are off 1 or more straight OVER results with a defense allowing 18 to 23 points-per-game (PPG) and facing a defensive team allowing 23 to 27 PPG after Week 8. Of the 86 games that met the query parameters, 51% of them went UNDER the total by more than 7 points. It has produced a solid 8-3 record this season. In playoff action this query has produced a 5-1 ‘UNDER’ record covering the total by an average of 11.6 points.
01-20-19	Rams +3 v. Saints	Top	26-23	Win	101	20 h 51 m	Show
John Ryan Sports @JohnRyanSports1 Saturday, January 19, 2019 1. Wager Opportunity 10-Star Wager (5,7 and 10-Star scale) on the Los Angeles Rams (311) getting 4-points facing the New Orleans Saints in the NFC Championship game set to start at 3:05 PM EST. 2. Machine Learning Projections and Outcomes The summary projections call for the Rams to win this game by at least 6 points. The Rams are projected to score 27 to 35 points, gain 125 to 150 rushing yards, and average 7.7 or more passing yards per attempt. All playoff teams that have met or exceeded these performance measures have earned a 6-0 SU mark winning by an average 14 points and 5-1 ATS for 83% and covering the spread by an average of 11.1 points. 3. Data Base Situational Queries Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This query resulting in a 34-8 ATS mark for 81% spanning the last 10 seasons. Play on elite road teams (LA RAMS) that are averaging 265 or more passing yards per game (PYPG) after allowing 7 or more passing yards per attempt (PYPA) in 2 straight games and is now facing a struggling passing defense allowing 230 to 265 passing yards per game. This DB query has gone an amazing 22-4 ATS over the past five seasons. The matchup with the most positive advantage is Rams WR Robert Woods, who will be defended by the Saints P.J. Williams. Woods will be lined up as the slot receiver as often as possible to get this favorable matchup against Williams, who defended slot receivers 88% of the 436 routes (snaps) he defended this season. In fact, this is the biggest advantage any WR has in both games. Interesting that the Woods-Williams matchup has the two ‘slowest’ players on their respective units with sporting a 4.51 ‘40’ and Williams a 4.59 ‘40’. Brandan Cooks and Marshon Lattimore are the speed merchants with 4.33 and 4.36 ‘40’ times respectively. This matchup is nearly equal with the machine learning final grade a modest edge to Cooks. The same equality can said of the Josh Reynolds and Eli Apple matchup as well. Gerald Everett has a potential big day in front of him both as a run blocker a pick setter, and a receiver. He will be matched up against the Saints Vonn Bell and has significant size and speed advantages against a truly elite group of Saints linebackers. This type of matchup does not happen all that often in my years of matchup research where a TE, not named Gronkowski or Kelce, can have a major impact on the execution of the offense. The QB comparison, of course, favors Brees, but not nearly as much as Fox Sports and ESPN and other ‘talking heads’ would lead you to believe. In fact, Brees set an NFL completion percentage during the regular season, but was not among the leaders in pass attempts over 20 yards. He did have the highest percentage at 52% of these ‘deep’ throws, but only attempted 55 Rank 18th) of them for 871 yards (ranking 11th),during the season. Goff ranked 11th with 65 deep throw attempts, completed 48% (ranked 7th) for 975 yards (rank 7th). As outlined above, Goff has the better matchup WR and TE advantages and this offsets any individual measure attained by Brees. Oh, and then there is Gurley, who is far more important to the offense then what he gains in rushing and receiving yards. He alone opens up play action and offers tremendous A or B gap pass blocking protection when asked to do so. When Goff has been kept clean, he completed 294 passes on 404 pass attempts for 73% completing rate and 3,775 passing yards, By the way, both Brees and Goof had 27 TD passes when kept clean, which was tied for 4th in the NFL. So, again the performance measures illustrate that the QB comparison is closer to an equal battle than a complete mismatch. There’s more to write of course, but I will be still writing and the game will have started.
01-13-19	Eagles +9.5 v. Saints	Top	14-20	Win	100	4 h 19 m	Show
John Ryan Sports @JohnRyanSports1 Sunday, January 13, 2019 1. The Play and How to Play It OVER Philadelphia at New Orleans (307) Philadelphia Eagles +8 Parlay Eagles +8 and OVER 52.5 Place a 7-Star wager (5,7 and 10-Star scale) on the OVER, which is currently priced at 52.5-points. 7-Star Wager on the Philadelphia Eagles, who are priced as 8-point road dogs. If you have access to adjusted lines consider a 3-Star amount parlayed with the Eagles +3.5 returning $180 for a winning $100 wager and OVER 56.5 returning $165 for a winning $100 wager. This parlay pays off $642.00 per $100 wager. 2. Machine Learning Projections and Outcomes The Saints had the best yards-per-point ratio in the NFL at 12.03, which simply means that they needed to gain 12 yards to get 1 point on the scoreboard. This ratio measures offensive efficiency and the lower the ratio the better the offense. In playoff games where a home favorite seeded 1 or 2 had earned a YPPT season average of 14 or less, the OVER has gone 14-5 ATS for 74%. When this high-powered offensive team is hosting a foe that played the week before and installed as 7 to 11-point favorite, the OVER is a very nice 10-2 for 83.3% and the host just 4-8 against the spread (ATS) and 6-6 straight-up. Saints have a much improved run defense this season, but Philadelphia is 9-1 ATS against strong units allowing less than 90 rushing yards per game. 3. Data Base Situational Queries Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This DB Query has returned a 42-14 UNDER mark for 75% over the last 5 seasons. Play UNDER the posted total Play UNDER with any team against the total in a game involving two average defensive teams allowing 18 to 23 PPG and after allowing 30 points or more last game.
01-13-19	Chargers v. Patriots -4	Top	28-41	Win	100	4 h 39 m	Show
John Ryan Sports @JohnRyanSports1 Sunday, January 13, 2019 1. The Play and How to Play It NFL New England (306) Los Angeles Chargers (13 - 4) at New England Patriots (11 - 5) Week 19 Sunday, 1/13/2019 1:05 PM EST Place a 10-Star wager (5,7 and 10-Star scale) on the Patriots, who are installed as 4-point home favorites. 2. Machine Learning Projections and Outcomes Patriots are projected to win this game by 10 or more points. They are going to score between 22 and 28 points, average 8 or more passing yards per attempt (PYPA), gain a minimum of 4 rushing yards per attempt (RYPA), and 6.4 or more yards per play (YPPL). Patriots are 75-44-2 ATS for 65% when scoring 22 to 28 points and a perfect 9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS when in the playoffs; 58-18 ATS when gaining 6.4 YPPL since 1989 and 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS since 2016; 112-12 SU winning by an average of 15 points and 96-26-2 for 79% covering by an average of 11 points when gaining a minimum of 8 YPPA since 1989; 17-5 ATS since 2016. When the Patriots have gained a minimum of 4 RYPA and passed for a minimum of 8 PYPA, they have produced a 45-11 ATS mark for 80.4% covering by an average of 13.3 points and 9-2 ATS covering by an average of 8.7 points since 2016. 3. Data Base Situational Queries Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This DB Query has returned a 31-9 ATS mark for 78% over the last 38-seasons. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after Week 8 that are off 2 consecutive road wins and with a winning record for the season. If the opponent has a winning record, which the Patriots obviously do, this query improves to 30-8 ATS for 79% winners. Over the last 15 seasons, this query has earned a 13-4-1 ATS mark covering by an average of 8 points and 15-3 SU record winning the game by an average of 12 points.
01-12-19	Colts v. Chiefs -5		13-31	Win	100	6 h 51 m	Show
John Ryan Sports @JohnRyanSports1 Saturday, January 12, 2019 1. The Play and How to Play It NFL Kansas City (302) Indianapolis (11 - 6) at Kansas City (12 - 4) Week 19 Saturday, 1/12/2019 4:35 PM Place a 10-Star wager (5,7 and 10-Star scale) on the Kansas City Chiefs, who are installed as 5-point home favorites. 2. Machine Learning Projections and Outcomes KC is projected to roll in this game. They are going to score 28 or more points, average 8 or more passing yards per attempt (PYPA), 6.9 or more yards per play (YPPL). KC is 118-29-5 ATS for 80% when scoring 28 or more points since 1989; 28-12-2 ATS when gaining 6.9 YPPL since 1989 and 5-1-1 ATS this season; 91-23-5 ATS when gaining a minimum of 8 YPPA since 1989 covering by an average of 9.2 points; 7-1-1 ATS this season covering by an average of 8.8 points. When KC has had all three metrics met or exceeded, they have produced a 28-5-2 ATS mark for 85% covering by an average of 12.2 points and 6-0 ATS covering by an average of 10.7 points this season. Any team that has met or exceeded these performance metrics has gone a ridiculous 544-119-16 ATS for 82% covering by an average of 11.4 points since 1989. 3. Data Base Situational Queries Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This DB Query has returned a 25-5 ATS mark for 83% over the last 38-seasons. Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off 2 consecutive road wins and with a winning record on the season playing another winning record team. A second DB query reveals that playing against underdogs that have won 8 or more of their last 10 games has earned a 51-26 against the spread (ATS) mark for 66.2% over the last 10 seasons. If the team sports a winning record about 60%, this query’s record improves to 25-10 ATS for 71% over the last 10 seasons. Ryan’s NFL 10-Star Divisional Game of the Year
01-06-19	Chargers +3 v. Ravens	Top	23-17	Win	100	1 h 8 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup San Diego Chargers (105) San Diego (12 - 4) at Baltimore (10 - 6)Week 18 Sunday 1/6/2019 1:10 PMSIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Chargers, currently priced at 2.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Baltimore has an elite defense, but the projections call for San Diego to be quite successful moving the ball on offense. They are projected to gain between 200 and 250 net passing yards and score 22 to 28 points. In past road games where the Chargers have met or exceeded these projections they are 10-4-1 ATS for 71.4% success. Ravens are just 1-12 ATS when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons. Our vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This query has earned a 96-33 mark using the money line for 74.4% over the last 38 seasons. Play against any team using the money line after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points and now facing an opponent off a double-digit road win. This query is 8-2 ATS in 2018 and has had just three losing seasons since 1980 and those were by just 1 single win. 8-7 in 2009 and 7-6-1 in 2016.
01-05-19	Seahawks v. Cowboys -2	Top	22-24	Push	0	8 h 1 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Dallas Cowboys (104) Seattle (10 - 6) at Dallas (10 - 6) Week 18 Saturday, 1/5/2019 8:15 PM Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Dallas Cowboys, currently priced at 2-point favorites. Place a 7-Star wager on the OVER currently priced at 42.5 points and also a 5-Star Reverse Action parlay that pays 4:1 on Dallas and the OVER. SIM Projections and Results This game will showcase the best linebackers in the league and will be a big factor in who does win this game. These teams met in Week 3 and Seattle won easily at home, but that was before Dallas got focused and began their run to the NFC East Division crown and before Seattle got their bone crushing run game on full throttle. The projections certainly favor a more offensive type of game than most media talking heads have been predicting. That is not a recommendation to play the OVER, but rather that the offenses will be able to sustain drives and move the chains. Whether is becomes a game of field position is a toss up. The projections are what truly matter in our world. Dallas is projected to average a minimum of 0.5 yards per play more than Seattle, will average between 6 and 6.5 YPPL, will rush for more than 120 yards, and will allow Seattle to score 17 to 24 points. In past games where the Cowboys have averaged 6 to 6.5 YPPL they are a perfect 10-0 SUATS. Seahawks are just 16-31 SU and 15-32 ATS when allowing 6 to 6.5 points; 6-14 SU and 5-15 ATS when allowing 6 to 6.5 YPPL and scoring 17 to 24 points. Our vast NHL, NFL, NCAAF, NCAAM, NBA, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This query has earned a 38-13 mark good for 75% since 1980. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 and are an average offensive team scoring between 18 to 23 PPG and is now facing a good offensive team scoring 23 to 27 PPG and after a game where 60 total points or more were scored. Since the start of the 2015 season this query has earned a perfect 6-0 SUATS mark and has covered the spread by an average of 8.8 points.
12-30-18	Dolphins +5 v. Bills	Top	17-42	Loss	-105	2 h 40 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Miami Dolphins (319) MIAMI (7 - 8) at BUFFALO (5 - 10) Week 17 Sunday, 12/30/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Miami Dolphins, who are currently priced as 5-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results Buffalo is just 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Our database tells us that playing against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are average rushing team gaining 3.5 to 4.5 YPR and after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game and now facing a team with a poor rushing defense allowing a minimum of 4.5 YPR has earned a very strong 72-34 ATS mark for 68% since 1980.
12-30-18	Lions +9.5 v. Packers	Top	31-0	Win	100	1 h 27 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Detroit Lions (311) DETROIT (5 - 10) at GREEN BAY (6 - 8 - 1) Week 17 Sunday, 12/30/2018 1:00 PM 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Lions, who are currently priced as 8-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results The Lions are projected to gain 100 rushing yards and gain 200 passing yards. In past games where they have been installed as 4.5 to 11.5-point dogs and meeting or exceeding these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 17-10 ATS mark for 63% This DB query has produced a 56-19 ATS record for 75% over the past 38 seasons. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal losing team with a win percentage between 40% to 49% playing a losing record team. This query has not lost in the past 5 seasons and has earned a perfect 9-0 record.
12-24-18	Broncos v. Raiders +2.5	Top	14-27	Win	108	11 h 17 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Oakland Raiders (132) DENVER (6 - 8) at OAKLAND (3 - 11) Week 16 Monday, 12/24/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Raiders. who are installed as 3-point home dogs and a 7-Star wager on the OVER, which is currently priced at 43 points. Also, place a 5-Star parlay on the Raiders using the line and the OVER. An alternative wager consideration is to play a 4-Star parlay using the Raiders on the money line and the OVER. Some sportsbooks offer alternative lines on certain prime time games. These lines include adjusted lines where the book will offer lines that are plus or minus 6 points on either side of the current line. For example, the total will see lines of 49.5 and 36.5 for the total. With these lines comes increased vig of approximately +200 to 220 for each side of this total. The advantage for us is that we can play the OVER 49.5 and if correct get paid $220 for a $100 wager. So, you can construct a parlay wager using the 49.5 alternative total line and the Raiders on the money line that would pay off a quite handsome $630 per $100 wager. Food for thought for sure. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Raiders to play above the majority of season averages and certainly has the potential to win this game. The Raiders are projected to gain an average of 7 to 7.5 passing yards per attempt (YPPA), gain between 6.3 and 6.8 yards per play (YPPL), score between 24 and 30 points, and gain a minimum of 350 total yards (TY). Denver is 5 -24 SU for 20 percent winners 7-18 ATS for 28% winners when they allow 350 to 400 offensive yards and allow between 24 and 30 points. Slicing the data to only show road games for Denver and the record worsens to 2 wins 14 losses for 12 and a half percent and 4 wins and 12 losses against the spread for 25% win rate and failing to cover the spread by an average eof 7.6 points. The OVER in this exact situation is 10-6 for 60%. The OVER is a perfect 7-0 when Denver has allowed 6.3 to 6.8 YPPL and 24 to 30 points in road tilts with a cover averaging 15 points. Looking at just two parameters, the Raiders have averaged 33 points when they have gained 6.3 to 6.8 YPPL and 7 to 7.5 YPPA. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 43-14 for 75.4% ATS mark since 2009. Play on all teams facing a conference foe where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.
12-23-18	Texans +2.5 v. Eagles	Top	30-32	Win	100	3 h 32 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Houston Texans (124) Houston (10 - 4) at Philadelphia (7 - 7) Week 16 Sunday, 12/23/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Texans. who are installed as 2.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Texans to be quite efficient offensively and will score 24 to 31 points, will rush the ball for more than 150 yards and will have at least a 5 minute edge in time of possession. For starters the Eagles are just 8-27 SU and 9-25-1 ATS and failing to cover the spread by an average of 7.1 points when they allow 150 or more RY and allow 24 to 31 points. When at home the record drops to a horrid 2-10 SU and 1-11 ATS failing to cover by an average of 10.4 points. Lastly, when we add in the TOP projection, the Eagles record declines to just 1-6 SUATS for 14.3%. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 29-9 ATS mark for 76% since 1980. Play on road teams in the second half of the season that are mistake-free teams averaging fewer than 1.25 TOPG and after 4 consecutive games where they committed no more than 1 turnovers and now facing a team forcing fewer than 1.25 TOPG.
12-23-18	Jaguars v. Dolphins -3.5	Top	17-7	Loss	-100	2 h 16 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Miami (110) Jacksonville (4 - 10) at Miami (7 - 7) Week 16 Sunday, 12/23/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Miami, who are priced as 3.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 52-19 ATS mark since 2009. Play on any team after 2 consecutive games where they committed no turnovers and now facing an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This query has gone a perfect 7-0 ATS this season and has covered the spread by an average of 8.6 points.
12-22-18	Ravens v. Chargers -4	Top	22-10	Loss	-100	13 h 34 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup San Diego Chargers (124) BALTIMORE (8 - 6) at LA CHARGERS (11 - 3) Week 16 Saturday, 12/22/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Chargers. who are installed as 4.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Chargers to score 22 to 28 points, average 7.7 yards per pass attempt (YPPA), gain a minimum of 350 total yards, and will outgain the Ravens by a minimum of 1.1 yards-per-play (YPPL). The Chargers are 14-3 SU and 12-5 ATS for 71% when outgaining their opponent by a minimum of 1.1 YPPL and averaging a minimum of 7.7 YPPA. When they outgained their opponent by a minimum of 1.1 YPPL in home games, they are an outstanding 50-11 SU and 45-16 ATS for 74% and covering the spread by an average of 8.6 points. Adding in the projection that they will gain a minimum of 350 yards produces a 41-7 SU and 36-12 ATS records. The Ravens are the best defensive team in the NFL currently and rank first in YPPA at 5.53 and TY allowed at 290.1 per game. However, the Chargers have done well against the best defenses in the league. Since 2013 when facing a stout defense allowing less than 300 yards per game in a home game have gone 4-1 SUATS and have covered the spread by an average of 14.3 points. The Ravens are just 1-12 SU and 2-11 ATS when allowing 22 to 28 points since the start of the 2016 season and when the game is on the road an imperfect 0-7 SU and 2-5 ATS for 29%. When the Ravens opponent has outgained them by a minimum of 1.1 YPPL, they are just 23-48 SU and 19-50-2 ATS for 28%; 1-5 SUATS since the start of the 2016 season. When they have been outgained by a minimum of 1.1 YPPL and allowed a minimum of 7.7 YPPA, they are a miserable 6-30 SU and 10-25-1 ATS for 29%; 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS for 22% since the start of the 2013 season.
12-17-18	Saints -6 v. Panthers	Top	12-9	Loss	-109	8 h 19 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New Orleans Saints (331) New Orleans (11 - 2) at Carolina (6 - 7) Week 15 Monday, 12/17/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Saints. who are installed as 6-point road favorites. Also, a 7-Star graded play UNDER the posted total. We recommend a maximum bet of no more than a 2-Star parlay amount using the Saints wager on the line and the UNDER. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Saints will gain 8.5 or more yards per pass attempt, will force Carolina into a minimum of 2 turnovers, will gain a minimum of 375 total yards. Saints are 22-5 SU winning by an average of 14.7 points for 82% and 42-3 ATS covering the number by an average of 11.8 points for 89% when they have passed for at least 8.5 YPPA and forced the opponent into 2 turnovers. Adding in the Divisional showdown, the Saints are a near-perfect 7-1 ATS for 88%. When they have defeated the opponent in the previous meeting, they are an even better 13-1 ATS covering by an average of 12.5 points. Supporting the play on the UNDER is the fact that the Saints are 12-1 UNDER and covering the total by an average of 8 points when on the road against a divisional foe with the week after a win in which they came back from a deficit This database situational query has returned a profitable 61-27 UNDER record for 69% over the past five seasons. The query is to play under the posted total with home teams after a 2 game road trip and with the game occurring in the last 4 weeks of the regular season.
12-16-18	Patriots -2.5 v. Steelers	Top	10-17	Loss	-109	5 h 41 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New England Patriots (327) New England (9 - 4) at Pittsburgh (7 - 5 - 1) Week 15 Sunday, 12/16/2018 4:25 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (3 to 10-star grading scale) on the New England Patriots which the market has priced them as 2.5-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Patriots to score between 22 and 28 points, rush for 3.5 to 4 yards per attempt and gain at least 250 net passing yards. The Patriots are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they rush for 3.5 to 4 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons; 68-38 ATS (+26.2 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992. The Steelers are just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons; 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 350 to 400 total yards over the last 2 seasons. This database situational query has produced a 30-8 mark for 79% winners since 1980. Play on road teams in Week 8 using the money line that are mistake-free teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game and after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or fewer turnovers and are now facing a team forcing 1.25 TO-per-game forced. Addressing the ATS side of this query and looking for road favorites have earned a stout 27-7 ATS mark for 79% since 1980; since the start of the 2016 season, this query has produced an 8-3 ATS mark for 73% success.
12-16-18	Cowboys +3 v. Colts	Top	0-23	Loss	-100	2 h 13 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Dallas Cowboys (313) Dallas (8 - 5) at Indianapolis (7 - 6) Week 15 Sunday, 12/16/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on Dallas who are currently priced at 3-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Dallas is on a role and the MATH projects this will continue in Indianapolis Sunday afternoon. One query reveals that Dallas is 9-1 ATS after a dominating game featured by having had at least 34 minutes in time of possession and are now installed as a road dog since 2010. Dallas has suddenly become the second best defense in the NFL based on numerous flash metrics like scoring defense. The Colts, when installed as a 3.5 point dog to a 3.5 favorite, facing a defense allowing less than 21 points after 8 games, and then gaining less than 5.0 yards-per-play, are just 5-12-1 ATS failing to cover the number by an average of 7.7 points. The following database system query has produced a solid 24-8 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 2009. Play against home teams in the second half of the season where the line is +3 to -3 in a game involving two teams posting a total yards differential between -40 and 40 yards and after outgaining opponent by 100 or more total yards.
12-16-18	Dolphins +9 v. Vikings	Top	17-41	Loss	-120	2 h 10 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Miami Dolphins (202) MIAMI (7 - 6) at MINNESOTA (6 - 6 - 1) Week 15 Sunday, 12/16/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Dolphins, who are priced as 8.5-point home favorites for this Bowl game matchup. SIM Projections and Results Dolphins are projected to score 22 to 28 points and hold Minnesota to less than 100 rushing yards. In past games where the Dolphins have met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a 54-13-2 ATS mark for 81% and covering by an average of 6.7 points; 30-4-1 ATS for 88% covered by an average of 9 points and 31-4 SU for 89%. Our vast NCAA and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This one has done quite well sporting a 35-12 ATS mark for 75% since 1980. Play on road teams with a struggling defense allowing 6.0 or more yards-per-play, after allowing 400 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games.
12-16-18	Packers v. Bears -5	Top	17-24	Win	100	2 h 6 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Chicago Bears (603) SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Bears. who are installed as 5.5-point home favorites. Also, a 5-Star graded play UNDER the posted total. We recommend a maximum bet of no more than a 2-Star amount using the line and the UNDER. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: GB is 0-6 ATS when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. Chicago is 7-0 ATS in home games when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. Chicago is 6-0 ATS in home games when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons. Chicago is 6-0-1 ATS in home games when they force and commit the same number of turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Chicago is 28-7-1 ATS when scoring 22 to 28 points and allowing 225 or fewer net passing yards; 5-0 UNDER the total since the start if the 2016 season.
12-15-18	Texans v. Jets +7	Top	29-22	Push	0	6 h 33 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New York Jets (508) Houston (9 - 4) at NY Jets (4 - 9) Week 15 Saturday, 12/15/2018 4:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7- stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the NY Jets, who are currently priced as 7-point home dogs. Consider an optional combination wager using a 5.5-Star amount on the line and a 1.5-Star amount using the Money Line, which is priced at +240. The 1.5-Star wager using the money line returns $240 per $100 wager and $360 return for the $150 ($100 per Star) wager. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls the Jets Further, Houston is an imperfect 0-11 ATS failing to cover by an average of 10 points when on the road playing on turf and having the better win percentage than the opponent. Add in the fact they are coming off a loss as a favorite and they are 0-2 SUATS failing to cover by 13.5 points. Granted. Only two game sample size, but specific to the Texans. Since the start of the 2015 season, all team sin this role have done poorly sporting a money-burning 5-12 ATS record for 29%. The following database situation query provides a solid record of 22-8 ATS for 73% since the start of the 1980 season. Play against road teams using the money line that are good rushing teams averaging between 125 and 150 RY/game and after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game and is now facing a team with a poor rushing defense allowing between 125 to 150 RY/game.
12-13-18	Chargers +4 v. Chiefs	Top	29-28	Win	100	5 h 55 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Chargers at Kansas City 10-Star Thursday, December 13, 2018 LA CHARGERS (10 - 3) at KANSAS CITY (11 - 2) Week 15 Thursday, 12/13/2018 8:20 PM @JohnRyanSports1 Thu, Dec. 13, 2018 as of 9:22 AM EST ATS Moneyline Total Rot# Teams Bets Bets Bets Percentage 8:20pm 301 Los Angeles Chargers 3007 42% +3.5 -105 908 43% 163 O 2691 70% 53.5 O -111 302 Kansas City Chiefs 4206 58% -3.5 -105 1223 57% 188 U 1129 30% 53.5 U -110 Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the San Diego Chargers, who are installed as 3.5-point road dogs. Also, consider an alternative combination wager comprised of an 8-Star wager using the line and a 2-Star wager using the money line. If you are wagering $100 per star (10-Star = $1,000 risk), then with a money line of 163 returns $326 if the Chargers win the game SU. The 8-Star amount would cover obviously adding $800 for a total profit of $1,126. If the Chargers lose by 3 or fewer points, the line wager wins $800, the money line wager loses $200 for a net profit of $600. Using these optimized ratios between line and money line will add significant profit to your bottom line over the course of a season. So, a Holiday reminder to stay the course maintaining the same daily discipline that has served us so well to date. Projections and situational Precedents The Chargers and Chiefs are projected to attain or exceed any specific or combination of he following performance measures in this game. Chargers Precedents v 87-20 ATS for 80.6% covering by an average of 9.7-points when they gain 8.3 or more net passing yards-per-attempt since 1990. § 8-3 ATS covering by an average of 6-points since 2016. v 101-25 ATS for 80.2% covering by an average of 10.2 points when gaining 140 or more rushing yards since 1990. § 8-2 ATS for 80% covering by an average of 10.6-points. v 12-3 ATS for 80% covering by an average of 8.5-points when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. v 27-2 SU and 26-3 ATS for 90% covering by an average of 13.5-points when they score 28 or more points and force an opponent into 2 or more turnovers since 2009. v 22-3-2 ATS for 88% covering by an average of 7.7-points when installed as a road dog facing a divisional foe and having a lower, more efficient yards-per-point ratio since 1990. Kansas City Precedents v 22-3-2 ATS for 88% covering by an average of 7.7-points when installed as a road dog facing a divisional foe and having a lower, more efficient yards-per-point ratio since 1990. v 24-79 ATS for 23% covering by an average of 9.5-points when they allow 28 or more points since 1990. o 1-11 ATS for 8,.3% failing to cover by an average of 15.6-points when installed as home favorite between -3 and -7.5. v 3-11 ATS for 21.4% failing to cover by an average of 11.4-points when installed as a home favorite and having 2 or more turnovers and allowing 28 or more points. Data Base Algorithm Findings Our vast NCAAM, NBA, NCAAF, NHL, MLB, and NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced query technologies we have in our data toolshed. This one has produced a 48-18 ATS record for 67.4% since 1980 and calls for us to play against home favorites that is a solid rushing team gaining 4.5 or more YPR and after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game and is now facing a team with a rushing defense allowing between 3.5 to 4.5 YPR.
12-10-18	Vikings v. Seahawks -3	Top	7-21	Win	100	11 h 60 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Seattle (134) MINNESOTA (6 - 5 - 1) at SEATTLE (7 - 5) Week 14 Monday, 12/10/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Seahawks, who are installed as 3-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Minnesota has struggled running the ball this season ranking third worst averaging just 86 RYPG. They pass the ball a ton ranking eighth gaining 274.8 PYPG, and third averaging 40.9 pass attempts per game. Kirk Cousin has done his part completing 71% of his pass attempts and is second to only Drew Brees, who has completed 75% of his passes. The problem is that the Vikings are not stretching defenses vertically as evident by averaging only 6.7 yards per pass attempt that rank a dismal 22nd. This allows defenses to play far more aggressive schemes not having to respect the vertical routes. Seattle does not have elite corners and Thielen and Diggs will have advantages being defended by Justin Coleman and Shaquille Griffin respectfully. So, Seattle will play a lot more cover-2 and will focus on containing Cousins to the pocket and minimizing the times he has to extend plays. Seattle will not be concerned if Minnesota starts out running the ball somewhat effectively in a bend and don’t break defensive scheme. Our vast NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced mathematical technologies we have in our data tool shed. This one has produced a 65-30 ATS record for 68% and calls for us to play againstall teams in a conference matchup where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games. Seattle has covered 7 of their last 8 games and is facing a team that does a whole lot more throwing than running as illustrated above. More specifically, teams play against a conference foe at home and that foe averages 250 or passing yards on the season and has averaged 250 or more over their last three games are a perfect 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS covering by an average of 10.5 points.
12-09-18	Eagles v. Cowboys -3.5	Top	23-29	Win	105	5 h 12 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Dallas Cowboys (130) PHILADELPHIA (6 - 6) at DALLAS (7 - 5) Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 4:25 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (3 to 10-star grading scale) on the Cowboys which the market has priced them as 3-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Cowboys to average a minimum of 6 yards per play and will have the lower, more efficient yards-per-point ratio. In past games where the Cowboys have attained these performance measures, they have produced a 76-5 winning by an average of 14.6 points and 64-15-2 ATS covering by an average of 9.2 points. Slicing the data set to include games from the start of the 2016 season shows that Dallas is a perfect 12-0 and 11-1 ATS covering by an average of 12 points. The Eagles have not done well when allowing these performance measures going just 3-30 SUATS losing by an average of 13.6 points and failing to cover by an average of 12.9 points over the past 10 seasons. When the opponent has gained a minimum of 6 YPPL and rushed the ball for a minimum of 137 yards, the Eagles are just 1-5 ATS since 2016 and 3-17 ATS over the past 10 seasons. This database situational query has produced a 22-9 mark for 71% winners since 2009. Road teams using the money line with a struggling defense allowing 6.0 or more yards-per-play, after outgaining previous opponent by 150 or more total yards. Dallas WR trio of Gallup, Cooper, and Beasley all have significant matchup advantages. Cooper has been a huge success so far and his presence stretches a defense vertically. He will be covered in man situations by Sidney Jones and Prescott will be targeting Cooper in man situations as often as possible. Eagles trio of WR will have their hands full just to get meaningful seperationg from the defender to give Wentz a chance at completing a pass. Byron Nelson is perhaps the best coverage CB in the NFC and will all but eliminate either of Algholor or Jefferies. And Chidobe Awuzie is nearly as good as Nelson in man coverage. Zach Ertz has had a great season as the league leader in receptions for a TE and will be looking to break the all-time TE receiving record in the weeks to come. This day though, will see him matched against a very good and physical safety in Jeff Heath. Given the strength of the Dallas LB and their elite speed from sideline to sideline, it will be difficult for Wentz to extend plays rolling out to either side, especially to his right where he has been exceptional this season. Dallas pressured Brees up the middle to disrupt that offense, but with Wentz, their goal will be pocket containment and force him to step up in a crowd of linemen. Dallas’ LB speed is the biggest problem facing the Eagles offense.
12-09-18	Saints -9.5 v. Bucs	Top	28-14	Win	100	3 h 15 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New Orleans Saints (113) NEW ORLEANS (10 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 7) Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Saints, who are installed as 10-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Saints are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season while the Bucs are just 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points over the last 3 seasons. Bucs are 0-24 SU and 1-23 ATS losing to the number by an average of 17.8 points when the opponent has gain 7 or more yards-per-play and the opponent had a lower (more efficient) yards-per-point ratio. Our vast NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced mathematical technologies we have in our data tool shed. This one has produced a 25-6 ATS record for 81% and calls for us to play on road favorites that are mistake-free teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game and is now facing a team that has forced 1.25 turnovers per game and after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or fewer turnovers. If the game is taking place in the second half of the season, the record improves to 28-6 ATS for 82.4% since 1980
12-09-18	Jets +5 v. Bills	Top	27-23	Win	100	2 h 29 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup NY Jets (115) NY JETS (3 - 9) at BUFFALO (4 - 8) Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Jets, who are currently priced as 4.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Jets are expected to gain 6 or more yards per play and will have a lower, more efficient yards-per-point ratio than Buffalo. In past games when the Jets have accomplished this, they are a solid 34-3 SU and 32-5 ATS covering by an average of 14.8 points. In past games when the Bills have allowed these measures to an opponent, they have been a horrid 1-49 SU and 6-43-1 ATS for 12% and failing to cover by an average of 13.6 points. The following database system query has produced a solid 29-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 1997. Play on any team after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.
12-09-18	Patriots -9 v. Dolphins	Top	33-34	Loss	-105	2 h 29 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New England Patriots (117) NEW ENGLAND (9 - 3) at MIAMI (6 - 6) Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the New England Patriots, whom the market has priced as 8-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Patriots will gain 250 to 300 net passing yards and 7.5 to 8 yards per pass attempt, gain a minimum of 137 rushing yards and between 400 and 450 total offensive yards. Miami is projected to gain less than 250 net passing yards and less than 7.5 passing yards per attempt. Patriots are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons; 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt since 1992; 100-19-2 ATS when they rush for a minimum of 137 yards and 18-2 ATS covering by an average of 12.3 points when on the road against a divisional opponent.
12-09-18	Falcons +4 v. Packers	Top	20-34	Loss	-110	2 h 29 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Atlanta (111) ATLANTA (4 - 8) at GREEN BAY (4 - 7 - 1) Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Falcons, who are installed as 4-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls the The following database situation query provides a solid record of 54-22 ATS for 71% since the start of the 2014 season. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they forced no turnovers and are now facing an opponent after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers.
12-06-18	Jaguars +4.5 v. Titans	Top	9-30	Loss	-115	33 h 32 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Jacksonville (101 JACKSONVILLE (4 - 8) at TENNESSEE (6 - 6) Week 14 Thursday, 12/6/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Jacksonville Jaguars, whom the market has priced as 4-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Tennessee is projected to score 15 to 21 points and that JAX will rush for a minimum of 150 yards. This pair of performance measures has produced a 2-9 ATS mark and failing to cover by an average of 13 points. In road games, JAX is 10-2 ATS when rushing for a minimum of 150 yards and allowing 15 to 21 points. Our Algorithms show us that playing on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (JACKSONVILLE) in a game involving two average defensive teams allowing 18 to 23 PPG after 8 or more games have been played and after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points has produced a 30-8 ATS mark good for 79% since 1980. This is a database situational query using the money line that has produced a 26-7 record for 79% since 1980. Play on any team vs the money line off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival when playing on a Thursday Night.
12-02-18	Chargers v. Steelers -3	Top	33-30	Loss	-108	7 h 57 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Pittsburgh Steelers (713) LA CHARGERS (8 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 3 - 1) Week 13 Sunday, 12/2/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Steelers, whom the market has priced as 3-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Our Algorithms show us that playing on favorites after having won 3 out of their last 4 games and now facing an opponent having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games has made steady annual profits for 10 seasons with a 34-4 SU 90% record winning by an average of 13.8 points and a 31-6-1 ATS record and 84% winners covering by an average of 8 points. If we include only teams that were favored by 2.5 points or more, the record improves to 30-2-1 ATS for 94% and covering by an average of 10.5 points and 33-0 SU winning the game by an average of 15.7 points. The last loss occurred in the 2014 season and over the last 3 seasons has gone a perfect 12-0 ATS.
12-02-18	49ers +10.5 v. Seahawks	Top	16-43	Loss	-124	4 h 5 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup San Francisco 49ers (702) SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 9) at SEATTLE (6 - 5) Week 13 Sunday, 12/2/2018 4:25 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the 49ers, who are currently priced as 10-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results The 49ers are projected to play exceedingly well and have the potential to get what would be a shocking road win over Seattle. Since 2014, the 49ers are 15-3 ATS for 83% when they have scored 24 to 31 points. They are also a solid 7-2 ATS when gaining more yards-per-play than opponents in road games installed as a dog since 2014. The following database system query has produced a solid 48-17 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 1983. Play against home favorites that are solid rushing teams gaining a minimum of 4.5 YPR and are now facing a team with an average rushing defense allowing 3.5 to 4.5 YPR and after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This database system query has produced a 38-13 ATS mark good for 75% spanning the last five seasons. Play on road teams in the month of December after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games.
12-02-18	Colts v. Jaguars +5	Top	0-6	Win	100	1 h 29 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Jacksonville (352) INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 5) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 8) Week 13 Sunday, 12/2/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Jaguars, who are priced as a 4-point home dog. Consider an optional alternative wager comprised of a 6-star play on the line and a 1-Star play using the money line to exploit the potential for SU upset win. The money line is currently at 180, which implies a 1.8:1 return for the 1-Star portion for a grand total of 1.8-Stars or $180 for a $100 wager. Plus, the 7-Star line wager would win too and combining for a grand profit of $880. If they cover, but fail to win, then the total profit is $600. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: The SIM projections show that the Jaguars will score 23 to 30 points and contain the Colts passing attack to no more than 6.5 yards-per-pass, and will outgain the Colts by a minimum of 0.5 yards-per-play. When the Jaguars have been installed as a home dog and scoring 23 to 30 points, they are a remarkable 15-2 ATS for 88% and covering the spread by an average of 8 points. This database situation query plays on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent and is off an upset loss as a road favorite and has produced a 83-43 ATS mark for 65 % since 1980.
12-02-18	Panthers -3 v. Bucs	Top	17-24	Loss	-122	1 h 12 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Carolina (355) CAROLINA (6 - 5) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 7) Week 13 Sunday, 12/2/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Panthers, who are priced as 3-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Carolina is projected to score a minimum of 28 points and when they do are 8-1 ATS in games played over the last two seasons. When TB allows 28 or more points they are just 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 2-9-1 ATS over the past 2 seasons. This DB query has attained a 38-13 ATS record good for 75% playing on road teams in December after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games.
11-29-18	Saints v. Cowboys +8	Top	10-13	Win	100	33 h 24 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Dallas Cowboys (509) NEW ORLEANS (10 - 1) at DALLAS (6 - 5) Week 13 Thursday, 11/29/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Cowboys, who are priced as 7.5-point road dogs. Consider an optional alternative wager comprised of a 8-star play on the line and a 2-Star play using the money line to exploit the potential for the Cowboys SU upset win. The money line is currently at 300, which implies a 3:1 return for the 2-Star portion for a grand total of 6-Stars or $600 for a $200 wager. Plus, the 8-Star line wager would win too and combining for a grand profit of $1,600. If Dallas covers and fails to win, then the total profit is $800, which is quite attractive given the ceiling at $1600 is twice that amount and 60% better than just the $1000 10-Star lione play. Not steering your thoughts in this direction as a straight 10-Star wager using the line is a solid play as well. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Dallas is projected to gain at least 50 more rushing yards and have a greater yards-per-play (YPPL) ratio. When the Saints have allowed these measures in road games, they are just 5-45 SU losing by an average of 11.5 points and 10-39-1 ATS failing to cover the number by an average eof 8.7 points. Saints have won 10 and covered in 9 straight games and this sets up as a very tough situation for them to continue their success. Teams on 10 or more game winning streaks and are installed as as road favorites are just 7-22 ATS for 24% and losing to the spread by an average of 7 points. The last time this situation happened was in 2016 with the Dallas Cowboys, so you can bet this has been discussed in detail in their meetings this week. In Week 13 of the 2016 season, they won the game but failed to cover the number on the road against the Vikings. The next week they laid a big-time egg scoring just 7 points and allowing 10 points in the fourth quarter on the road at Giants Stadium. Playing on home teams using the money line and are mistake-free teams committing 1 or less turnovers-per-game and after 2 consecutive games where they committed no turnovers has produced a highly successful 45-8 SU record good for 85% winners since 2014. When these teams are coming off a game where they enjoyed a +2 turnover margin, the record goes to 25-5 for 83.3% winning by an average of 10.9 points. Saints will have advantages, of course, with WR Thomas and Kirkwood, but they are going up against two of the better corners in the conference. Anthony Brown will defend Kirkwood and although he is barely 6-feet tall, he runs a 4.33 forty and will blanket Kirkwood all over the field. Byron Jones has the size and excellent technique to contain Thomas in man coverage situations. The fact that Dallas can bring pressure and still have confidence in their corners to minimize separation distances eliminates the double-move routes that the Saints have had major success with over their 0-game winning streak. Dallas has added Amari Cooper to their WR group and it has enabled the offense to stretch defenses vertically, which in turn opens up enhanced running lanes for Elliott and other RBs to dart through to the second level. Dallas does have an advantage in the run game and this truly is the most import key for Dallas to control game tempo, time of possession, and field position. Once the running game is established and the Saints need to bring a safety into the box, it will open up outstanding play action opportunities for Prescott to execute.
11-26-18	Titans +4.5 v. Texans	Top	17-34	Loss	-115	8 h 2 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Tennessee (273) Tennessee (5 - 5) at Houston (7 - 3) Week 12 Monday, 11/26/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Titans, who are priced as 4.5-point road dogs. Consider an alternative combination wager consisting of a 7.5-Star play using the line and a 2.5-Star play using the money line to exploit the upset Titan victory. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Titans are projected to have modestly more rushing yards and will have no more than 0.5 YPPL deficit than the Texans. When these two performance measuring sticks have been met or exceeded by the Titans, they have produced a stout 104-37-2 ATSD mark for 74%. When this game has been on the road, they have produced a 52-17 mark good for 75% and covering by an average of 7.9 points. Drilling the dataset a bit deeper, our queries return a 31-8 ATS record good for 80% and covering by 9.7 points per game when installed as a road dog of 1 to 7 points and 5-1 ATS since the start of the 2015 season covering by an average of 13.6 points.
11-25-18	Dolphins +9 v. Colts	Top	24-27	Win	100	6 h 52 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Miami Dolphins (265) MIAMI (5 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (5 - 5) Week 12 Sunday, 11/25/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Dolphins, who are priced as 8-point road dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 5-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +270. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Dolphins pull off the upset returns ($540). If they fail to win, but cover, the return is still a healthy 5-Star amount. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Dolphins to gain 0.5 yards-per-play or fewer than the Colts. These road teams that are installed as dogs of 8 to 14.5 points are a solid 22-4 ATS for 85% covering by an average of 7.5 points since the start of the 2016 season. This database situation query that has produced a 35-19 ATS record good for 72% winners since the start of the 1980 season. Play on any team (MIAMI) in a game involving two poor defensive teams allowing 23 to 27 PPG in the 2nd half of the season and after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games.
11-25-18	49ers +2 v. Bucs	Top	9-27	Loss	-105	2 h 27 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup San Francisco (255) SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 8) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 7) Week 12 Sunday, 11/25/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the 49ers, which the market has priced them as 2.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and precedents are as follows: 49ers are expected to gain between 350 and 400 total offensive yards and average 6.0 to 6.5 yards-per-play. The 49ers are 16-4-3 ATS when they have achieved this pair of performance measures. When at home and allowing these performance measurss, the Bucs are an imperfect 0-5 ATS failing to cover by an average of 15.6 points. The following database system query has produced a solid 67-30 ATS mark good for 69% winners over the past five seasons. Play against favorites (TAMPA BAY) with a poor turnover defense forcing 1 or less turnovers-per-game and after a game where they forced no turnovers.
11-25-18	Giants +4.5 v. Eagles	Top	22-25	Win	100	2 h 54 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup NY Giants (257) NY GIANTS (3 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 6) Week 12 Sunday, 11/25/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Giants which the market has priced as 5.5-point road dogs. An added recommended play is to play a combination wager comprised of a 7.5-Star wager on the line and a 2.5-Star wager using the money line. Also play a 7-Star wager on the ‘OVER’ and consider no more than a 3-Star amount on a reverse action parlay using the Giants and the ‘over’ OR a 3-start straight parlay using the Giants and the ‘OVER’. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Giants to score more than 21 points and gain at least 6.0 YPPL. The Giants are 15-8-1 ATS for 65% when they have gained 6 to 6.5 YPPL in road games and 5-0 ‘OVER’ since 2013 covering the total by an average of 17.5 points. The Eagles are 2-10 ATS for 17% when allowing a visitor to gain 6 to 6.5 YPPL since 2008. This money line database query has produced a remarkable 24-3 record for 89% since 1980. Play on any team using the money line in the second half of the season (NY GIANTS) that are mistake-free teams averaging less than 1.25 TO-per-Game committed and is now facing a team forcing no more than 1.25 TO-per-Game and after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better. Giants are also 14-7 ATS off of B2B games achieving a turnover margin of 2 or better.
11-22-18	Bears -3 v. Lions	Top	23-16	Win	100	2 h 1 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup The Chicago Bears (105) Chicago (7 - 3) at Detroit (4 - 6) Week 12 Thursday, 11/22/2018 12:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Chicago Bears, who are priced as 3-point road favorites. This play is with Chase Daniels at QB. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Bears are a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. Detroit is just 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when they allow 8 to 8.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. Bears are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games when they outgain their opponents by 0.5 to 1 yard-per-play. In Detroit home games facing a strong QB, who is completing 64% or more of his passes and are outgained by at least 0.5 YPPL has produced a poor 30-88-3 ATS mark losing to the spread by an average of 8.1 points. Since the start of the 20`15 season, the Lions are 5-14 ATS for 26% under the same performance measures. Chase Daniels will start at QB. Good news for him knowing he has excellent matchup advantages with his two WR Anthony Miller (Slot) and Taylor Gabriel. Allen Robinson is evenly matched against Lions corner Darius Slay. Miller will see more targets in this game using quick slants, hooks, bubble screens for Daniels to execute successfully. So, with the run game over-matched against the Lions defensive front, these quick hitters will serve the same purpose and put Daniels and the offense into a minimum of long downs. Detroit will have immense difficulty getting passes completed to either WR, but especially T.J. Jones, who will be covered by Amukamara. This matchup is the weakest of any WR-CB matchup on this weeks’ NFL card. They are both 6-foot tall, but Amukamara has size and speed weighing 205 pounds to Jones’ 190 and speed with a 4.38 versus 4.46 40-time. Not much difference in speed, but the size allows Amukamara to be very physical with Jones in the first 5-yards of any route. Kenny Golladay will be the other starting WR for the Lions and he will defended by one of the best in Kyle Fuller. The Lions have swapped these WR given that Golladay has lineup ‘right’ 39%, left 30%, and slot 16% of plays run, but either Bears defender has the upper hand in both matchups.
11-19-18	Chiefs v. Rams -3	Top	51-54	Push	0	9 h 55 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Rams (466) Kansas City (9 - 1) at La Rams (9 - 1) Week 11 Monday, 11/19/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Rams, who are priced as 3-point home favorites. This line may go to 3.5 from its’ current level of 3 -120 that are available at the majority of books we monitor. Lines makers really do not want to have the number ‘3’ changed and would prefer to move the vig instead. Yet, I do not think you’ll see -3 and -125 vig and instead the line will shift to -3 ½ -105. With the Rams projected to win by more than 11 points, the vig is almost irrelevant at this point and it doesn’t hurt to book the wager at -3 -120 line. An alternative is to play the money at -160, but reduce the size of your bet so you are only risking a 10-star amount. So, 10-Stars devided by 1.60 would then equal a wager of 6.25-Stars on the money line. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Rams to score between 28 and 35 points, will rush for more than 140 yards and pass for more than 300. The Rams are 7-1 ATS and 8-0 SU oinstalled as a home favorite when they rush for 140 or more yards and pass for more than 300 yards. This database situational query has produced a 39-6 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2008. Play on favorites (LA RAMS) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games and is now facing an opponent having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. When these teams are home favorites, the record improves to 25-4 ATS for 86% and is also 13-2 ATS over the past five seasons. Next, this query has returned a record of 51-21 for 71% winners over the past 10 seasons and works against the Chiefs. Play against underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) that is a very hot team having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. This is the game we have all been waiting for and after the Saints put up the gaudy offensive and defensive numbers against the defending SB Champs Eagles yesterday, the Rams may have just a bit more motivation to show them and the football world what they are capable of achieving. The Rams have a significantly better defense based on our metrics and rankings and this may be more of the highlight tonight then the offenses. The Rams pass rush ranks best in the NFL and the dominant reason is that they have the personnel to cover any WR in man situations and open space. The left side of the OL is vulnerable to this aggressive pass rush. Guard Cam Irving and left tackle Eric Fisher have really struggled in blitz situations an drank near the bottom of NFL starters in this category. Of course, Mahomes has the athleticism to extend plays and avoid sacks, but few teams, if any, have the intelligent speed that the Rams defense possesses. Look for the Rams to really bring the heat in passing downs when the Chiefs are on their right hash. The Rams can execute containment on the perimeter and use the right sidelines essentially as an extra defender. This could see Mahomes make the critical mistake of throwing back across the field with high risk results. Jared Goff leads the NFL with 204 attempts having a minimum of 2.5 seconds to execute the play and has achieved a 107.3 QBR that ranks ninth best. By comparison, Mahomes ranks 9th in attempts with 2.5 or more seconds of protection, buty ranks a dismal 26th in QBR. Think KC will blitz Goff? Well, that is a very dangerous situation given that Goff has achieved a 111.9 QBR with no pressure and a 115.5 under blitz conditions. Moreover, the Rams trio of receivers of Kupp, Woods, and Cooks have gotten the most respect of any group in the NFL with defenders giving them an average cushion of 6.5 yards and all of them average more than 3.5 yards of separation on targeted pass plays. Now, Kupp is not playing and the Rams will adjust to fill that gap that he leaves in their overall production. That addition can come from many different players. Rams will look to run more two TE sets with Everett, who is an exceptional receiver and can line-up anywhere on the field. His size and speed will present an immediate matchup problem for the Chiefs defense. Josh Reynolds will certainly see more targets as well. Overall, the two TE and 4 and 5-WR sets will have these different personnel in them and Goff still has Gurley in the backfield to use as a decoy for his high percentage play action pass plays. Take the Rams
11-18-18	Eagles v. Saints -7	Top	7-48	Win	100	4 h 10 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New Orleans Saints(460) Philadelphia (4 - 5) At New Orleans (8 - 1) Week 11 Sunday, 11/18/2018 4:25 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Saints which the market has priced as 7.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Maryland to gain a minimum of seven yards per play, score 27 or more points, and gain a minimum of 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Saints in home games are 22-11-1 ATS for 67% winners when averaging 7 or more YPPL and 8.5 or more YPPL. Saints are a stellar 21-5 ATS for 81% when our rushing their visiting opponent by 50 or more yards and out passing them by 100 or more. Here is a strong database situational query that has produced a 40-16 ASTS result for 71% winners since 2008. Play against any team (PHILADELPHIA) off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite in the month of November. A second query under scores the strength of this play even more producing a 63-28 ATS mark good for 69% winners since 1980. Play on home favorites (NEW ORLEANS) tht are outrushing opponents by 40 or more YPG and after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game and are now facing an average rushing team posting a +/- 30 RYPG differential after 8 or more games.
11-18-18	Steelers v. Jaguars +6	Top	20-16	Win	100	4 h 38 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Jacksonville Jaguars (472) Pittsburgh (6 - 2 - 1) At Jacksonville (3 - 6) Week 11 Sunday, 11/18/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are priced as 5.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Jaguars to score 24 to 30 points and will hold Pittsburgh to less than 85 rushing yards. When the JaguARS HAVE MET OR EXCEEDED these performance measures in home games they have gone 17-2 SU winning by 10.5 PPG and 13-5-1 ATS for 72% covering by 7.7 points. When installed as a home dog, they have gone 4-1 SUATS covering by 11 points. When the Steelers have been involved with games rushing for less than 85 yards and allowing 24 to 30 on the road they have gone a miserable 2-13 SU losing by an average of 11.4 PPG and 3-12 ATS failing to cover by an average of 11.20 points. When they are installed as road favorites they have gone 1-7 SUATS losing by an average of 9.9 points and failing to cover by an average of 13.4 points. This database situation query that has produced a 30-8 ATS record good for 79% winners spanning the last 10 seasons. Play on any team that is a struggling offensive team scoring 14 to 18 PPG and is now facing a defensive team allowing 23 to 27 PPG and after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.
11-11-18	Cowboys +8 v. Eagles	Top	27-20	Win	100	3 h 32 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Dallas (273) Dallas (3 - 5) at Philadelphia (4 - 4) Week 10 Sunday, 11/11/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Dallas Cowboys who are priced as 7.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Cowboys to gain at least 7 YPPL (Yards-per-play) and will outgain the Eagles by a minimum of 0.5 YPPL. They are 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they do rush for 125 to 150 rushing yards. When Dallas gains 7 or more YPPL and 125 or more RY in road games, they are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS covering by 14.6 PPG. When they outgain their opponent by at least 0,5 YPPL and gain at least 125 RY in a road game are 35-12 ATS and against a divisional foe they are 14-5 ATS. Another data set shows that Dallas is 8-0 and 7-1 ATS covering by an average of 14 PPG when gaining a minimum of 135 RY, executing 60 plays, and their opponent gains a maximum of 85 RY. This database situational query has produced a 99-51 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 1980. Play on road underdogs or pick in a game involving two average teams posting a -3 to 3 PPG differential and after scoring 14 points or less last game. Dallas is a solid 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a loss by 14 or more points. Take Dallas
11-11-18	Patriots v. Titans +7	Top	10-34	Win	100	1 h 52 m	Show
ohn Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Tennessee (513) NEW ENGLAND (7 - 2) at TENNESSEE (4 - 4) Week 10 Sunday, 11/11/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Titans, who is currently priced as a 6.5-point home dog. If you are able to get a money line wager, consider placing an 6-Star amount using the line and a 1-Star amount using the money line. SIM Projections and Results Projections call for Tennessee to have at least 125 rushing yards and gain a minimum of 5.5 YPPL. In past games when Tennessee has met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone a nice 27-10 SU winning by an average of 7.5 PPG and 24-11-2 ATS for 69%. Moreover, they are a perfect 6-0 against the money line (+10.6 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards over the last 3 seasons. This database situational query has produced an impeccable 239-15 record using the money line. Play on any team vs the money line off 1 or more straight overs, a good defensive team allowing between 14 to 18 PPG and is now facing an average defensive team allowing between18 to 23 PPG after 8 or more games.
11-08-18	Panthers +3.5 v. Steelers	Top	21-52	Loss	-115	9 h 36 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Carolina Panthers (107) Carolina (6 - 2) at Pittsburgh (5 - 2 - 1) Week 10 Thursday, 11/8/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Carolina Panthers, who are priced as 3.5-point road dogs. With these types of DOGS, we always like suggesting an alternative wager using the line and money line to exploit the upset value. So, consider a 7-Star play using the line and a 3-Star play using the money line. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Panthers to gain between 6 and 6.5 YPPA (Yards-per-pass-attempt) and in this situation they have posted a 29-13 ATS mark. Carolina defense is projected to hold the Steelers ground attack to between 75 and 100 yards and are 6-0 ATS in past games where they have achieved this measure. Panthers are 46-21 ATS (+22.9 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards and 66-19 ATS (+45.1 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. The Steelers are an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons; 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 net passing yards; 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when they allow 125 to 150 rushing yards. When Carolina has rushed for more than 125 yards and held the opponent ot less than 100 rushing yards and then scored between 22 and 28 points, they have gone 19-1 SUATS winning by an average of 12.9 PPG and covering the number by an average of 12.40 PPG. Here is a database situation query that has produced a 23-5 ATS record using the line and good for 82.1% winners since the start of the 1980 season. Play against favorites that are excellent offensive teams gaining at least 370 YPG and after outgaining opponents by 100 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games and is now facing a team with a struggling defense allowing 335 to 370 YPG. Take the Carolina Panthers
11-05-18	Titans v. Cowboys -4.5	Top	28-14	Loss	-115	10 h 54 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Dallas (474) Tennessee (3 - 4) at Dallas (3 - 4) Week 9 Monday, 11/5/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Cowboys, who are priced as 5.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Cowboys defense to hold the Titans ground attack to fewer than 85 yards, the Cowboys will gain a minimum of 135 rushing yards and will outgain the Titans by a minimum of 0.7 yards-per-play. In home games, where the Cowboys have attained these performance measures, they have gone 32-1 SU winning by an average of 17.4 PPG and 29-3 ATS covering by an average of 12 PPG and goof for 90.6% winners. The pace of play is expected to be slow and grinding with Dallas running a maximum of 65 and Tennessee a maximum of 60 plays from scrimmage. So, when Dallas met the performance measures above and then combined with the slower paced style of game, they have gone 16-0 winning by an average of 16.9 PPG and 12-3-1 ASTS for 80% and covering the number by an average of 9.3 PPG.
11-04-18	Lions +5.5 v. Vikings	Top	9-24	Loss	-110	4 h 58 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Detroit (451) Detroit (3 - 4) at Minnesota (4 - 3 - 1) Week 9 Sunday, 11/4/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Detroit Lions, who are priced as 5.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to have a greater yards-per-play ratio than the Vikings. In past road games facing a divisional rival, the Lions have produced a record of 23-9-2 ATS for 72% covering by an average of 6.4 PPG. When the Lions have achieved this and also gained a minimum of 6 YPPL their success soras to a 13-1 ATS mark covering by an average of 11 PPG. Here is a database situation query that has produced a 59-22 ATS record good for 73% winners since 1980. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a loss by 10 or more points and is now facing an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. This DB situational query has produced a 58-27 ATS mark good for 68% winners since 1980. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two average teams with +/- 3 PPG differential and after scoring 14 points or less last game.
11-04-18	Chiefs v. Browns +9	Top	37-21	Loss	-110	4 h 44 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Cleveland (454) Kansas City (7 - 1) at Cleveland (2 - 5 - 1) Week 9 Sunday, 11/4/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Browns, which the market has them priced as 8.5-point home dogs in this matchup. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Browns to score between 24 and 28 points and gain more rushing yards than the Chiefs and will gain a minimum of 125 RY. The Browns are 35-8-1 ATS in home games when they gain 125 RY or more and outgain their opponent in rushing yards. Adding the projection that they will score 24 to 28 points sees a strong precedent of 7-1 ATS covering by an average of 8.9 PPG. The following database system query has produced a solid 46-21 ATS for 69% spanning the last 10 seasons. Play on underdogs or pick after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games and are now facing an opponent after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games.
10-28-18	Saints v. Vikings +2	Top	30-20	Loss	-105	9 h 31 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Minnesota Vikings (274) New Orleans (5 - 1) at Minnesota (4 - 2 - 1) Week 8 Sunday, 10/28/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Vikings using the line, which currently prices them as 2.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Vikings to gain a minimum of 1.0 more yards-per-play than the Saints. When the Vikings have been a host and achieved this performance measure, they have produced an incredible 9-1 SUATS record winning by an average of 7.95 PPG against the spread and by 13 points SU. Also, the Saints are just 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less since 1992. The following DB situational query has gone 22-5 using the money line for 82% winners and has made $1,820 per $100 wager since 2014. Play against road teams using the money line (NEW ORLEANS) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in October games.
10-28-18	Packers v. Rams -7.5	Top	27-29	Loss	-110	6 h 29 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Rams (272) Rams (7 - 0) hosting the Packers (3-2-1) Week 8 Saturday, 10/28/2018 4:25 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Rams, which is currently lined at -9-points SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Rams to have a minimum of 1.2 yards-per-play advantage over the Packers, will gain a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-pass, and will score at least 28 points. In past games, the Rams have produced an 11-3 ATS mark when scoring 28 or more points, a 55-19-3 ATS mark good for 74% when throwing for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-pass play, and 10-3-1 ATS for 77% when outgaining an opponent by a minimum of 1.2 yards-per-game. Since 2015, the Packers are just 2-10 ATS when being outgained by a minimum of 1.2 yards-per-play and 6-15 ATS when allowing 28 or more points and when being outgained by 1.1 YPPL and allowing 28 points a miserable 1-8 ATS.
10-28-18	Eagles v. Jaguars +4.5	Top	24-18	Loss	-105	2 h 25 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Jacksonville (252) Philadelphia (3 - 4) vs. Jacksonville (3 - 4) Week 8 Sunday, 10/28/2018 9:30 AM Wembley Stadium - London, England SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5 to 10-Star grading scale) on Jacksonville using the line, which currently has them priced as 3.5-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results The Jaguars are projected to outgain Philadelphia by a minimum of 0.5 yards-per-play. When teams have achieved this performance measure and gain a minimum of 125 rushing yards, the Eagles have been a miserable 4-23 SU losing by an average of 8.9 PPG and 4-22-1 ATS failing to cover by an average of 9.4 PPG. Under the same scenario, the Jaguars have produced a 28-7 SU record winning by an average of 14.9 PPG and 29-6 ATS covering by an average of 13.2 PPG. The following database situation query has returned a solid 41-13 ATS mark for 76% winners since the start of the 2009 season and 7-2 ATS since the start of the 2017 season. Play on any team (Jacksonville) after scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games. This simple query’s results covered the spread by an average of 7 PPG.
10-22-18	Giants v. Falcons -3.5	Top	20-23	Loss	-111	8 h 5 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Atlanta Falcons (476) Ny Giants (1 - 5) at Atlanta (2 - 4) Week 7 Monday, 10/22/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Falcons using the line, which currently prices them as 5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Falcons to gain a minimum of 1.0 more yards-per-play than the Giants. When the Falcons have been a host and installed as a favorite and achieved this performance measure, they have produced an incredible 19-1 SU record winning by an average of 12.9 PPG and a 16-3-1 ATS mark 84% covering by an average of 9.5 PPG. The following DB situational query has gone 43-15 ATS for 74% winners since 1980. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY GIANTS) after a game where they forced no turnovers and now facing an opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. The SU record is 54-7 so playing the money line is a reasonable alternative.
10-18-18	Broncos v. Cardinals +1.5	Top	45-10	Loss	-105	5 h 39 m	Show
The Play and the Matchup Arizona Cardinals (302) Denver (2 - 4) at Arizona (1 - 5) Week 7 Thursday, 10/18/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Arizona Cardinals using the line, which currently has them priced as 2-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Arizona has not run the ball well in any of their games to this point, but the ‘MATH’ clearly points to Arizona having their first 100+ rushing yard game tonight. When Denver has been installed as a road favorite and have allowed the host to gain 100 or more rushing yards, they have been a money burning 11-37-3 ATS for 23%. When the Cardinals have been home dogs and have gained 100 or kore RY, they have gone on to produce a solid 35-12 ATS mark good for 75% winners and covered by an average of 6.1 PPG. Here is a strong DB System Query that has gone 32-12 ATS for 73% winners. Play on road teams with a struggling defense allowing 6.0 or more yards-per-play and after allowing 400 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games. The average winning bet covered by an average of 9.5 PPG.
10-14-18	Rams -6.5 v. Broncos	Top	23-20	Loss	-102	5 h 2 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Rams (160) SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Rams, which the market has them priced as 6.5-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results The Rams are projected to score a minimum of 24 points and gain a minimum of 6.0 yards-per-play. The Broncos are just 13-58 SU and 11-59-1 ATS for 16% when allowing 24 or more points and 6.0 or more YPPL. Broncos are just 4-16-1 ATS in this situation when playing at home and when installed as a home dog are just 1-6 ATS. Here is a DB Situation Query that has produced a 20-2 ATS mark good for 91% over the past 5 seasons. Play on road teams that are excellent passing teams gaining a minimum of 265 passing yards-per-game and after a game allowing 7 or more passing yards-per-attempt in 2 straight games and is now facing a struggling passing defense allowing between 230 and 265 passing yards-per-game.
10-14-18	Cardinals +10.5 v. Vikings	Top	17-27	Win	100	4 h 42 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Arizona Cardinals (251) Arizona (1 - 4) at Minnesota (2 - 2 - 1) Week 6 Sunday, 10/14/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Arizona Cardinals, which the market has them priced as 10-point road dogs. We also have a 7-Star graded play on the ‘OVER’. So, play each as 7-Star plays and then consider adding a 3-Star reverse action parlay using the total and the line. Also, a 1-Star amount using the Money Line and the total. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Cardinals to play much better defense today and will hold the Vikings to less than 21 points and less than 100 rushing yards. When the Cardinals have achieved both performance measures, they have gone 39-15 SU and 47-6-1 ATS for 88.7% winners and when installed as road dogs they improve to 22-13 SU and a remarkable 32-2-1 ATS. The following DB situational query has produced a solid record of 33-9 ATS for 79% winners and 10-2-1 ATS for 83% since 2008 and covering by an average of 5.77 PPG. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a terrible offense averaging 260 or less total yards-per-game, after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game.
10-07-18	Ravens v. Browns +3		9-12	Win	105	3 h 20 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Cleveland (452) Baltimore (3 - 1) at Cleveland (1 - 2 - 1) Week 5 Sunday, 10/7/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on the Cleveland Browns on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. The current market has the Browns priced as a 3-point home dog after opening at pick-em. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Cleveland to gain 1.4 or more yards play than he Ravens will gain. In past home games where NFL teams have been installed as dogs and then meeting or exceeding the YPPL KPI, has produced a 148-54 SU and 165-43-3 ATS mark good for 82.9% winners since 1989; 30-5 SU and 31-4 ATS for 88.6% winners covering by an average of 14.10 PPG since the start of the 2015 season. Here is a Database Situational Query that has gone 32-9 ATS for 78% success over the past 10 seasons. Play against favorites that have been a dominant team by outscoring opponents by 10 or more points-per-game and after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games. When installed as a road favorite, these dominant teams have gone just 1-7 ATS since 2013.
10-07-18	Titans -5 v. Bills		12-13	Loss	-110	3 h 15 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Tennessee Titans (455) Tennessee (3 - 1) at Buffalo (1 - 3) Week 5 Sunday, 10/7/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Titans which the market has them priced as 5.5-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Titans to The Titans are projected to outgain the Bills by a margin of 1.4 yards-per-play and will have a more efficient yards-per-point offense by a minimum of 1.5. When these two KPI have collided in past games, the Titans are 24-0 SUATS.
10-07-18	Packers v. Lions +1	Top	23-31	Win	100	3 h 17 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Detroit Lions (464) Green Bay (2 - 1 - 1) at Detroit (1 - 3) Week 5 Sunday, 10/7/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Lions, which the market has them priced as 1-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to out gain the Packers by a minimum of 1.4 yards-per-play. When they have been playing at home and have met this KPI they are 45-6 SU and 41-10 ATS for 80.4%; since the start of the 2013 season, the Lions are 10-0 SUATS Here is a nice DB System query that has produced a solid 32-7 record good for 82.1% winners and has made $2,430 per $100 wagered since 1983. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6 points or less last game and is now facing an opponent coming off a loss by 3 or less points.
10-07-18	Dolphins v. Bengals -6	Top	17-27	Win	100	3 h 51 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Cincinnati (466) Miami(3 - 1) at Cincinnati (3 - 1) Week 5 Sunday, 10/7/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Bengals, which the market has them priced as 6-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Bengals to enjoy a margin of at least 1.4 yards-per-play and will have a more efficient yards-per-point offense by a minimum of 1.5. When these two KPI have collided in past games, the Bengals are 29-1 SUATS and has covered by an average of 16 points.
10-04-18	Colts v. Patriots -10	Top	24-38	Win	100	9 h 45 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New England (302) Colts (1 - 3) at Patriots (2 - 2) Week 5 Thursday, 10/4/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Patriots, which the market has them priced as 10-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Patriots to gain 1.4 or more yards play than the Colts will gain. In past home games where the Patriots attained or exceeded the YPPL metric, they have gone 34-1 SU and 32-3 ATS for 91.4% winners. Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query that has produced a 45-17 record for 73% winners since 1983 and has gone 18-1 ATS over the past 10 seasons. Play against road teams that are not strong rushing teams averaging between 70 and 95 RY-per-game and after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in 2 straight games, and is now facing a team with an average rushing defense allowing between 95 and 125 RY-per-game. Colts are passing 67% of the time and the entire scheme is get the ball out of Luck’s hands quickly. This plays right into the teeth of the Patriots defense, who rank 3rd overall and based on the predictive metrics will be a top-5 defensive unit over the course of the season. As we enter Week 5 action the Patriots pass defense ranks 20th, but 6th in coverage metrics. Their loss at Detroit allowing them 26 points was not attributed to poor pass coverage, but to the superior execution of the Detroit offense. The Colts under Manning and Luck have done well using play action to allow both QBs enough time to identify vertical ‘chunk’ route opportunities that have very high completion percentages. Without the presence of a ground attack and having to throw on 67% of the plays to date, will make it nearly impossible to catch the Patriots defense in a man coverage scheme while using play action. Simply, the Patriots defense is expected to give the underneath route and occasionally jump the slant route to the slot receiver looking for the interception. Scary thing right now for defensive coordinators facing the Patriots is that they are executing pass plays 52% of the time. The emergence of Michel and the convoy of RBs and a much better than expected OL has reduced pressure on Brady in pass plays and has allowed for play action on nearly every pass play called. Gordon gives Brady a vertical threat that the Colts cannot defend with one CB. Gordon has to be bracketed and that all but eliminates the safety blitz. If the safeties are forced to come to the LOS to help stop the Patriots run game, then Brady will have man coverage on the perimeter with Hogan or Gordon.
09-30-18	Ravens +3 v. Steelers	Top	26-14	Win	103	8 h 45 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Baltimore (275) Baltimore (2 - 1) at Pittsburgh (1 - 1 - 1) Week 4 Sunday, 9/30/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Ravens which the market has them priced as 3.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Ravens to to gain at least 7 passing yards per attempt, will score at least 24 points and that Pittsburgh will gain over 100 rushing yards. In past road games where the Ravens have met this trio of metrics, they have gone 13-2-1 ATS for 87% winners. The Steelers in this situation have been a money burning 1-24 ATS and 4-21 SU. Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play against home favorites after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers has produced a 86-47 record since 1983 for 64.7%, +3430 per $100 wagered.
09-30-18	Bengals v. Falcons -3.5	Top	37-36	Loss	-100	1 h 14 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Atlanta (256) Cincinnati (2 - 1) at Atlanta (1 - 2) Week 4 Sunday, 9/30/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on the Falcons on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Falcons using the line, which currently prices them as 3.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Falcons to gain more then 35 more RY and 75 more passing yards than the Bengals. When the Falcons have achieved this tandem of KPI, they have gone 18-0 SU and 17-1 ATS. That lone ATS loss occurred back in 1998. Playing on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where the team committed no turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse has produced a solid 24-5 mark over the last 10 seasons for 82.8%, +1850 per $%100 wagered Take the Falcons.
09-30-18	Jets +7.5 v. Jaguars	Top	12-31	Loss	-115	1 h 14 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup NY Jets (261) NY Jets (1 - 2) at Jacksonville (2 - 1) Week 4 Sunday, 9/30/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Jets, which the market has them priced as 7.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Jets to gain more than 100 rushing yards and will hold JAX to less than 21 points. In past games where the Jets were installed as road dogs and attained that tandem of metrics they have gone 36-16 SU and 44-4-4 ATS for 92% winners. Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play against favorites with a poor turnover defense forcing 1 or less turnovers-per-game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. 53-22 over the last 5 seasons for 70.7%, +2880
09-27-18	Vikings v. Rams -7	Top	31-38	Push	0	4 h 23 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Rams (102) MINNESOTA (1 - 1 - 1) at LA RAMS (3 - 0) Week 4 Thursday, 9/27/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Rams, which the market has them priced as 7-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Rams to have a minimum of 125 rushing yards and will keep Minnesota to less than 95 rushing yards. Rams will post a minimum of 8 yards per pass attempt and will score a minimum of 27 points. In past games, where the Rams have met or exceeded these KPI, they have gone a perfect 16-0 SU and 16-0 ATS covering the spread by 14.5 points-per-game. When at home, they have gone 8-0 ATS covering by 13.81 points-per-game. DB Situational Query The following query goes like this. Play against road underdogs using the money line off a home blowout loss by 21 points or more against opponent off a home win. It is not a bad option either if you are a Money Line player and wish to use that wager method. However, we would only caution you to reduce the wager amount to 3.5-Stars given the -285 money line currently prevailing in the market. 47-3 since 1983 for 94%, +3840 per $100 wagered.
09-23-18	Saints v. Falcons -1.5	Top	43-37	Loss	-110	5 h 37 m	Show
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Falcons (468) NEW ORLEANS (1 - 1) at ATLANTA (1 - 1) Week 3 Sunday, 9/23/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Atlanta Falcons, which the market has them priced as 3-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Falcons to score 28 or more points, gain at least 375 total offensive yards, and average 7 or better yards-per-play. In home Falcon games installed as a favorite and meeting these KPI they have gone an impressive 14-0 SU winning by an average 16 points and 11-2-1 ATS for 85% and covering the number by 8.50 points. Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on home teams that are off a win against a division rival, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. 36-12 since 1983 for 75%, +228o per $100 wager. This situational query has not lost in 10 years and is a perfect 8-0 over that span.

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