Rating: 2 Units

Although Houston has beaten Minnesota 12 of the last 14 SU, the Timberwolves have covered 5 of the last 6 of those. It’s unclear if Minny PG Ricky Rubio was relieved or disappointed he didn’t go to New York for Derrick Rose, but Timberwolf F Andrew Wiggins has been on fire of late (29 ppg, 52% in February). The Rockets haven’t been able to contain Minny C Karl-Anthony Towns this year, as he has scored 32 ppg and grabbed 17 rpg in the two meetings.

Rating: 2 Units

Sizzling Miami is 8-1 vs. the number in its last 9 games at American Airlines Arena, and the Heat scored a 95-89 victory in only previous match against the Pacers. Miami played in Atlanta last night, but the Heat are 8-2 vs. the points when unrested this season and have an 8-4 mark at home when unrested the last three seasons. Miami C Hassan Whiteside had 26 pts. and 22 boards in first encounter, leading the Heat to a 58-38 edge on the backboards. Pacers yielded 116 ppg in last 6 games before hosting Memphis last night, and are just 2-10 vs. the points this season playing the 2nd of back-to-back games.

Rating: 2 Units

Much to the chagrin of the national media and team president Phil Jackson, Carmelo Anthony is still a Knick. ‘Melo had 28 pts. in first meeting with Philly, played Jan. 11, but that wasn’t enough as Philly PG T.J. McConnell hit a buzzer-beater to give the Sixers a 98-97 decision. Look for New York to return the favor this time around, as the Knicks catch Philadelphia coming off a game at home against Washington. Sixer C Joel Embiid, who had 21 pts. and 14 boards in the first game, is out with a knee injury now, and Nerlens Noel (13 pts., 8 rebs. in first encounter) was shipped to Dallas.

Rating: 2 Units

—Compelled to continue backing UTEP until further notice. The surging Miners have won 10 of their last 12 SU and have covered ten straight after Thursday’s win at FAU, as UTEP has finally mastered HC Tim Floyd’s various defensive tricks, while Gs Omega Harris (16.7 ppg) & Dominic Artis (15.2 ppg) control the offense. FIU was UTEP’s first victim when the Miner season began its turnaround in mid-January, and the Golden Panthers have continued skidding, losing 13 of their last 15 after Thursday’s upset loss vs. UTSA.

Rating: 2 Units

Surging South Dakota, which catches host IUPUI in a letdown spot after the Jaguars scored a rousing 83-82 revenge win on Thursday vs. rival Fort Wayne. Now IUPUI must deal with a percolating Coyotes squad that stretched its SU win streak to 5 on Thursday vs. WIU. That was also the 17th cover in the last 22 spread decisions for USD, which includes an 11-point win over the Jags on Jan. 7 at Vermillion. The hot Coyotes have also cracked the 90-point barrier three times in their last four games, with sizzling Air Force transfer G Matt Mooney scoring 20 or more in 7 of the last 10 games.

Rating: 2 Units

Charlotte was on a 1-11 SU nosedive prior to visiting Detroit on Thursday, as a combination of G Kemba Walker’s poor recent shooting (40% L10Gs) and the absence of C Cody Zeller (team is 2-15 SU without him this season) has hosed the Hornets. Selling off C Boogie Cousins to New Orleans for Buddy Hield and “change” looks like just another horrible King move. Charlotte’s slump is deep, and after hearing how he wasn’t worth acquiring, Hield will want to silence some critics.

Rating: 2 Units

With Big Dance-seeking VT (projected as a 9th-seed) determined to avoid any “bad losses” down the stretch, have no problem laying several hoops vs. fading, talent-thin BC, which has dropped 11 consecutive ACC contests, with 4 of the last 5 by DDs. Balanced, good-shooting Hokies (48.5% FGs)—who saw six players score 8 points or more in their hard-fought 71-70 home victory over Clemson on Tuesday—are gunning for their 4th straight cover on the hostile conference trail. Keep in mind, in earlier 85-79 win in Blacksburg, VT led by 18 before the Eagles’ 6-5 jr. G Jordan Chatman (8 ppg) got the hot hand, finishing with a career-high 30 off the bench.

Rating: 2 Units

.While Penn State has stumbled a bit in the last five weeks (3-7 SU), Minnesota has apparently caught its second wind, winning six straight after a five-game losing streak. The Gophers (21-7) are now driving hard for their first NCAA tourney berth in four years. Minny’s unusual, raised-floor Williams Arena figures to disorient the Nittany Lions’ key freshman trio of G Tony Carr (12.9 ppg), F Lamar Stephens (12.5 ppg) and PF Mike Watkins (8.1 rpg) more than just a little bit. Meanwhile, Minny PG Nate Mason (15.1 ppg, 5.3 apg) is running the attack assertively, while 6-9 jr. Reggie Lynch (3.1 bpg) anchors the defense. Payback time.

Rating: 2 Units

NCAA Tourney at-large hopeful Illinois State (RPI in mid 30s; slotted on Last Four In list) is seeking to tie a school-record for wins (25) in visit to Cedar Falls. So, in near pick ‘em scenario, compelled to go with the surprising Redbirds, who were missing previously-injured 6-7 jr. MiKyle McIntosh (12.7 ppg, 6.0 rpg) in their grinding 57-51 home series win on Feb. 1st. Speaking of McIntosh, we forecast a big, bounce -back game after he went 0-6 from the field in 50-46 home win over Southern Illinois on Wednesday. Offensively-stodgy, erratic-shooting UNI (62.4 ppg; 336th nationally; 40.3% FGs; 328th) winds up its forgettable reg.- season without a signature win!

Rating: 2 Units

With veteran BSU needing a victory to stay alone atop the MAC West standings, strongly suggest grabbing a 2+ hoops with the road-proven Cardinals, who’re a notable 6-1 as a visiting underdog this term. Envision another strong offensive showing from BSU’s dynamic inside-outside duo of 6-6 sr. F Franko House (13.8 ppg, 6.5 rpg) & 6- 3 soph G Taylor Persons (15.8 ppg), who combined for 42 points in their 84-78 home series victory in late January. BSU, which hit an eye-popping 58% from the field in the first meeting, finds plenty of open looks again vs. WMU’s sieve- like defense, permitting 48.5% FGs (342nd nationally).

Rating: 2 Units

With bubble-riding Seton Hall (RPI in the high 40s) highly motivated to avoid any “bad losses” prior to the upcoming Big East tourney, have no qualms laying the small number vs. DePaul, which is likely feeling a bit giddy following its 67-65 upset win at Georgetown on Wednesday. The Blue Demons didn’t handle their rare success well in league play previously when they knocked off Providence in early January, followed by an 83-58 blowout loss at Marquette. The Pirates’ powerful 6-9 jr. F Angel Delgado (22 double-doubles; 2nd nationally) continues to control paint area, while usually-lethal 6-3 jr. G Khadeen Carrington (17.3 ppg) quickly regains his groove after a season-low 1 of 9 from the field in his team’s 71-64 home win over desperate Xavier on the same day.

Rating: 2 Units

Offensively-explosive & defensively-smothering WSU (82.4 ppg; yielding only 62.9 ppg) is continuing to make a strong case for Big Dance at-large inclusion (if he doesn’t capture MVC tourney) with Gonzaga-like increasing string of lopsided victories in conference play. Hence, have no reservations laying the lumber vs. disheartened MSU, recouping from its 77-68 upset loss at lower-tier Bradley on Wednesday. The deep Shockers—who had 14 players score in their 109-83 home romp over Evansville on Tuesday—are greatly benefiting from the emergence of poised 6- 4 frosh PG Landry Shamet (11.0 pp, 3.3 apg), who’s ranked a lofty 13th nationally in assist-to-TO ratio. Keep in mind that Gregg Marshall’s WSU side is ranked second nationally in scoring margin (+19.6 ppg).

Rating: 2 Units

The Williams/Brewer trade isn't about to make the Lakers any better. Not anytime soon, at least. A 36-point loss at Phoenix, prior to the break, dropped LA to 7-25 on the road. Meanwhile, the Thunder are off an 11-point win against the Knicks. That brought them to 20-8 at home. I am looking for another double-digit win here.

Rating: 2 Units

Atlanta took first two against Miami this season, but the Heat rode a combined 47 points from Gs Goran Dragic and Dion Waiters for a win (and 6th straight series cover) in most recent meeting on Feb. 1. Heat C Hassan Whiteside (18 pts., 18 boards) completely outdid Hawk pivot Dwight Howard (just 6 pts.) that night. Miami has won and covered 6 of last 7 road games, while Atlanta is only 6-13 vs. the points in its last 19 at Philips Arena.

Rating: 2 Units

Memphis currently owns the West's No. 6 seed and if it stays away from falling lower, the Grizzlies would avoid Golden St or San Antonio in the first round. However, one of those two teams will be waiting for them in the second round and just who expects Memphis to be able to win a series against either of those teams? The Grizzlies have won seven of their last 10 games and have held their own on the road this season, going 16-13 SU and 15-14 ATS.

Rating: 2 Units

Defensively-sound Oakland (yielding only 40.2% FGs) is only one game behind league-leading Valpo. So, vociferously recommend the revenge-minded, surging Golden Grizzlies (7 straight wins; 5-2 vs. spread), who haven’t tasted defeat since their sour 80-72 home upset loss to Green Bay Jan. 27. Expect astutely-coached Oakland to take better care of the ball (19 TOs in first tilt) this time. And count on more formful gunning from the Grizzlies’ potent backcourt duo of 6-4 jr. Martez Walker (17.1 ppg) & 6-4 sr. Sharron Dorsey-Walker (12.6 ppg, 3.7 apg), who combined for a “brickish” 11 of 35 from the field (2 of 13 from downtown) in the earlier tilt. The defensively-lax Phoenix (76.5 ppg; 272nd nationally) are only 3-5 as home chalk TY.

Rating: 2 Units

New Orleans is 0-5 ATS their L5 games as a home underdog of 5 points or less. Home Dogs in the NBA that are coming off two wins as a road dog are a horrible 8-21 straight up and 10-19 ATS, covering only 34% of the time since 1996. Look for the Pelicans to try and work on their offense and for the Rockets to keep the pressure on.

Rating: 2 Units

Hardly convinced we get a repeat of first meeting at Athens on Jan. 25, when Georgia provided little support for top scorer F Yante Maten (who scored 20), and Bama got a career-high 26 points from frosh F Braxton Key in unexpected 80-60 Tide romp. But Bama has not been able to put together more than a 2-game SU win streak in SEC play this season, and Avery Johnson’s bunch had covered just 1 of first 6 SEC games at Coleman Coliseum into Feb. 18 games vs. LSU. This is the type of spot to go with Bulldogs, who were 7-1 last 8 in preferred dog role prior to Kentucky matchup on Feb. 18.

Rating: 2 Units

If not for bad luck, Phil Martelli would have no luck this season, as St. Joe’s is now down its top two scorers after the recent foot injury to G Lamarr Kimble (15.5 ppg) following the loss of top scorer Shavar Newkirk (20.3 ppg; went down with knee in early January). While we would be careful not to dismiss the shrewd Martelli, the matchups haven’t worked lately for the Hawks vs. Bona, as even Martelli’s Big Dance qualifier lost twice to the Bonnies a year ago. That depletion in the St. Joe backcourt creates real problems vs. G-heavy Bona and its dynamic duo of Jaylen Adams & Matt Mobley, who combine for nearly 41 ppg. The absence of Kimble robs Martelli of his top scorer from first meeting on Jan. 24.

Rating: 2 Units

Regardless of the outcome of UR’s critical battle with A-10 co-leader/cross-town rival VCU on Friday, would still feel good about laying a handful with the Spiders (alone in 3rd place), who’ve covered 4 of the previous 5 at the friendly Robbins Center (prior to the Rams). Note, in first meeting, UR comfortably led 79-64 with 4:22 to go before Davidson made a late run in Spiders’ 82-80 upset road win on New Year’s Eve. Offense-minded but inconsistent-firing Wildcats (only 43.2% FGs; 33.6% from distance) have no adequate matchup for UR’s versatile 6-9 sr. F T.J. Cline, who had 19 points, 10 rebounds & 8 assists in earlier clash.

Rating: 2 Units

With nationally-ranked Purdue seeking to stay alive in the three-team race for the Big Ten reg.-season crown, will lay single-digits vs. out manned, undersized Penn State, lacking the needed momentum following a discouraging 82-66 setback at Nebraska one week ago. Envision the Boilers’ formidable frontline duo of 6-9 soph Caleb Swanigan (nation-leading 22 double-doubles) & 7-2 jr. C Isaac Haas (13.2 ppg, 5.3 rpg) doing plenty of business (again) in the paint, while sharp-shooting G tandem of 6-0 frosh Carsen Edwards (10.9 ppg) & 6-4 Dakota Mathias (9.9 ppg) prevent the stretched-out PSU defense from consistently collapsing inside. Matt Painter’s Purdue side 12-3 vs. the spread its last 15 in Big Ten action prior to Saturday’s game vs. Michigan State.

Rating: 2 Units

With Miami having trouble playing .500 ball in the ACC and struggling to stay on the Big Dance bubble, the last team Jim Larranaga’s bunch needs to see is Tony Bennett’s Virginia. The Hurricanes have had trouble identifying a reliable third scoring option beyond Gs Davon Reed and Ja’Quan Newton, with 6-5 frosh Bruce Brown recently enduring an awful 1-for-12 night against VPI. The Cavs are seeking to give the home folks something to cheer about after a rare loss at Charlottesville last Wednesday at the hands of Duke.

Rating: 2 Units

Big Dance-seeking ISU is tied with Wichita State for 1st place in the two-team MVC race. But, still unafraid of taking a generous number with veteran, dangerous Loyola-Chicago, a sterling 6-1 as a 1½-pt. or more underdog this term. Even though the Redbirds’ valuable 6-7 jr. F Mckyle McIntosh (13.3 ppg, 6.2 rpg; missed previous 5 games) returned from injury in the 67-66 win over Missouri State on Wednesday, ISU still struggles to pull away from the aroused Ramblers, itchin’ to regain respect following unsightly 81-59 home series loss on New Year’s Day (most lopsided defeat of year).

Rating: 2 Units

NCAA Tourney-bound CU is now enjoying steadier PG play, thanks to fast-developing 6-3 soph Khyri Thomas, who’s running the attack with more self-assurance (according to Omaha sources). Therefore, must lay single-digits with the revenge-minded, normally good-shooting Bluejays (52.1% from the field; 2nd nationally), who hit a poor 1 of 18 from deep in the earlier clash when the team was still out of sorts due to the recent injury loss of star floor general Maurice Watson Jr. CU owns the most fluid big man on this court in gifted 6-11, 215-pound frosh C Justin Patton (13.7 ppg, 6.3 rpg), so look for Greg McDermott’s Bluejays to climb to 18-8-1 as home chalk since 2015-16.

Rating: 2 Units

There wasn’t much home edge when these two tipped off a season ago, when the road team won both meetings. That success on the Big Ten trail has continued this season for Maryland, which won SU in all six of its chances as a Big Ten road dog through last Wednesday’s latest success in the role (at Northwestern). Coach Mark Turgeon probably is a bit concerned that frosh supporting weapons F Justin Jackson & G Anthony Cowan have been misfiring more frequently in the past few weeks, though another freshman, 6-7 sharpshooter Kevin Huerter, hit 16 triples over a recent (College Forecast Continued on next page) 5-game stretch to prevent too much of the offensive load falling upon jr. star G Melo Trimble (17 ppg).

Rating: 2 Units

ISU is 16-9 and seems NCAA tourney bound, but isn’t there just quite yet. With a little revenge in mind and a 6-1 mark as a home favorite, the Cyclones—with their superior shooting—should creep closer in this one. ISU got a big game (18 points, 12 rebs., 2 blocks) out of 6-8, 240 freshman Solomon Young Wed. at K-State. The Cyclones out-shoot the Horned Frogs from the arc (239 converted triples to 185), a nice edge at raucous Hilton Coliseum in these days of over-emphasized metrics.

Rating: 2 Units

Summit sources have sounded the alarm on South Dakota, as the revved-up Coyotes have scored 83 or more in four of the last five outings, part of longer 8-3 SU and 15-5 spread upticks. Keying recent ascent has been explosive 6-7 sr. F Tyler Flack, who has scored 22 ppg since late January return to active duty from injury. Meanwhile, soph G Matt Money has scored 20 or more in five straight. Note that Flack missed the Jan. 18 loss at the Mabee Center, and not much has gone right since that win for ORU, recently mired in 5-game SU skid before minor upset over IUPUI.

Rating: 2 Units

UCF is eager to finish with a winning record in league play and be invited to a postseason tourney. So, strongly support the defensively-stifling Knights (allow just 60.9 ppg and a nation-low 35.6% from the field), who own more quality victories than ECU, which hasn’t won back-to-back AAC games this year. Count on more representative shooting from UCF’s potent inside-outside duo of 7-0 jr. C Tacko Fall (12.0 ppg, 9.8 rpg; 133 blocks L1+Ys) & 6-5 G Matt Williams (15.5 ppg), who combined for a season-worst 3 of 16 from the field in their grinding 48-45 home series win on Jan. 3. Pirates, who scored 78 with a plethora of transition baskets vs. perimeter-oriented Temple on Wednesday, meet significantly more resistance in this slower- paced contest

Rating: 2 Units

In heated “Packers vs. Brewers” rivalry, don’t mind laying short price with Green Bay side looking for third win in a row vs. its bitter in-state rival. Pack, er, Fighting Phoenix, desperate to regain momentum heading into fastapproaching Horizon Tourney, and perfect opportunity provided by host Panthers, who have lost last five SU. Significant scoring edge (80 ppg vs. 67 ppg) for Green Bay, which had five DD scorers in recent home romp past Horizon leader Valpo and has been getting good work from Bradley transfer G Warren Jones, who has scored DDs in seven of last eight.

Rating: 2 Units

In a near-pick ‘em scenario, urge an “investment” on surging E’Ville, gunning for its sixth straight spread victory (4-1 SU, only loss in OT at Indiana State). The Aces impressively had three players surpass 20 points (including Ohio transfer, 6-5 soph Ryan Taylor) in their 87-70 home romp over Drake on Tuesday. Thus, expect a strong performance from E’Ville, which clanked a season-low 23.5% from the field in its head-burying 74-63 home upset loss to BU on Jan. 4th. Note that the offensively-challenged Braves (only 64.2 ppg; 329th nationally) have managed to defeat only lower-rung Drake since Jan. 12.

Rating; 2 Units

Big-Dance bound ND (projected as a 6th seed) is still in the hunt for the coveted ACC reg.-season crown, so have no qualms laying several hoops vs. fading NC State, in the midst of a 6-game spread losing skein. The Wolfpack continues to be plagued by poor shot selection. And the NC State players might have some trouble staying fully focused following the recent dismissal announcement of 6th-year mentor Mark Gottfried, who’ll coach the rest of the season. Plus, expect more formful shooting from the solid DD-scoring senior Irish duo of 6-8 V.J. Beachem & 6-6 Steve Vasturia, who combined for only 9 of 26 from the field in their come-from behind 84-76 victory at feisty Boston College on Tuesday.

Rating: 2 Units

Don’t look for this one to be a thing of beauty. Cal, under Cuonzo Martin, has become the stingiest defense in the Pac-12, while Stanford is seeking a little rivalry revenge after a 66-55 loss in Berkeley 2½ weeks ago. But, in a grind-it out affair, any points could prove valuable for the home dog, especially now that 6-9 F Michael Humphrey, 6-5 swingman Dorian Pickens, and streak-shooting G Marcus Allen (20 points last game) have joined in helping 6-8, 245 Cardinal star Reid Travis (17.2 ppg, 8.6 rpg) more frequently on the offensive end. With the Bears less than dynamic on the attack, the value lies with the home dog.

Rating: 2 Units

The post-Chris Beard decline at UALR has been a steep one, as the Trojans have disappeared from the Sun Belt radar in their current 2-8 nosedive, not to mention burning thru the money of any remaining backers since mid-December, dropping 12 of their last 16 vs. the number. Among several shortcomings has been an inability to identify a reliable second scoring threat beyond G Marcus Johnson, Jr. (14 ppg), the only DD scorer in Little Rock’s lineup. Meanwhile, Ark State remains in contention for the top seed in the fast-approaching Sun Belt Tourney, and star G Devin Carter (16,3 ppg) should be excited after scoring his league season high 28 in ASU’s earlier win over the Trojans Jan. 14.

Rating: 2 Units

UIC (13-13) is fighting for a winning record and a possible 2nd-level postseason tourney, a decent goal for a team that was 5-25 LY. So will gladly buck defensively-soft, low-rung Detroit, yielding 85.7 ppg (345th nationally) & 50.6% from the field. The Flames’ precocious frosh backcourt duo of 6-4 G Tarkus Ferguson & 5-11 Godwin Boahen are looking forward to this trip to the Motor City after combining for 25 pts., 12 rebounds & 13 dimes in their wire-to-wire 78-64 win over the timid Titans Jan. 6. UDM will think twice about driving into the lane recalling how UCI’s springy 6-9, 210 jr. Tai Odaise (11.3 ppg, 7.0 rpg; 172 blocks L1+Ys) swatted away 8 shots in that earlier tilt.

Rating: 2 Units

Payback time for BYU, which absorbed an 88-75 shock loss to DD dog USD at the Jenny Craig Pavilion on Jan. 14. Of course, that was a bit of revenge for the Toreros after being hammered by 58 the last time they played the Cougs a season ago. But not sure USD is going to recover from their recent humiliation at the hands of Saint Mary’s, as the Toreros lost their offense and scored only 27 points (for the entire game!). USD has been held below 50 [points on three occasions in recent weeks, with its offense failing to provide a consistent third option beyond top scorers F Brett Bailey (16.3 ppg) & G Olin Carter III (15.7 ppg), now carrying too much of the offensive burden. The 82-ppg Cougs have the offense to pull away and have plenty of blowout wins on their ledger this term, and absence of injured PG L.J. Rose not much of a negative with several other capable options avaialble for HC Dave Rose. 1

Rating: 2 Units

Until further notice, I'm inclined to ride Tim Floyd's surging UTEP, which has made a dramatic turnaround from earlier 12-game SU skid by winning 6 of last 8 SU, and covering last six, thru Feb. 10. Floyd's various junk defenses confounding recent foes who had scored only 58 ppg in recent 6-game stretch. Prior to Feb. 9 win at erratic FAU, the Mean Green had not won SU since before Christmas (Dec. 20 to be exact), and recent loss of jr. F Jeremy Combs with ankle injury leaves beleaguered UNT HC Tony Benford with just one DD scorer (frosh G A.J. Lawson at 11.1 ppg).

Rating: 2 Units

Home-loving Marshall (8-1 as a favorite in Huntington) is delighted to be back on its home floor after three straight road games. Yes, defense is often optional for HC Dan D’Antoni’s Thundering Herd. But UAB has lost three straight on the road and is only 1-4 as a visiting dog. Quick-shooting Marshall (87 ppg) should get its uptempo offense going in this one and gradually outscore the visiting Blazers.

Rating: 2 Units

Payback time for Golden State after losing by 3 at Golden 1 Center on Feb. 4. Boogie Cousins was a lot more effective that night for Sacto (scoring 32) than in earlier meeting at Oakland when scoring “only” 17 in Kings’ 11-point loss. But what we have seen from Warriors this season is real focus on certain occasions, and this revenge match could bring out the best in Golden State, especially with nothing to look forward to for almost a week with the All-Star break on deck. Don’t expect a repeat of circumstances from recent game at Sacto, when Steve Kerr was ejected, and Draymond Green and Kevin Durant got in each other’s faces. With nine straight wins in Oakland by DD margins, Warriors can extend this scoreline.

Rating: 2 Units

UNM probably wishing it didn’t have to play this one at the Wise Pies Pit, as the Lobos continue to fare better on the MW road (5-2 SU and vs. line) than at Albuquerque (1-5 vs. spread, including a loss to DD dog San Jose State in last home game Feb. 4). The Lobos will miss injured key cog F Tim Williams (out with foot injury), who scored 19 vs. this foe in UNM’s upset win at Boise on Jan. 17. The Broncos are also faring well on the MW trail (5-1 SU and vs. line as loop visitor), with soph G Paris “John Havlicek” Austin now flourishing in his new sixth-man role (Austin 18 ppg first three coming off the bench!).

Rating: 2 Units

Utah was at a disadvantage in first meeting with the Clippers this season, as star Jazz F Gordon Hayward was out of the lineup. Now Hayward is back and has a sizzling shooting touch, scoring 29 ppg and making 56% of his shots in his last 5 games and PF Derrick Favors hadn’t yet worked his way back into the starting lineup. This time around, it’s the Clippers who will be without their key player, as LA PG Chris Paul remains sidelined after undergoing thumb surgery. The Clips are just 5-11 vs. the points on the road since Dec. 18.

Rating: 2 Units

After enduring a series sweep LY, look for a super-intense effort from defensively-sound Sun Belt challenger UT Arlington (allowing only 69.3 ppg, 40.8% FGs; 7.3 spg), which is 4-0-1 as home chalk TY. UALR (30-5 LY; only 13-11 TY prior to Texas State Feb. 11) is clearly not the same team sans departed HC Chris Beard (now the Texas Tech head honcho, by way of UNLV). Foresee the Mavs’ highly proficient inside-outside tandem of 6-7 jr. Kevin Hervey (16.4 ppg, 8 rpg) & 6-3 jr. G Jalen Jones (12.6 ppg) continuing to thrive vs. the weak-traveling Trojans, only 2-5 vs. the spread as a visitor TY (prior to visit to Texas State on Saturday). Double revenge works!

Rating: 2 Units

Washington’s recent 16-game Verizon Center win streak and 10 spread covers in a row were both put to the sword within the past week, but Wiz (11-3 last 14 vs. line thru Feb. 9) have still been offering great value the past month. Washington also in better form than it was in late November when losing first meeting 126-115 vs. Thunder, which was also a reunion for HC Scott Brooks against his former employer. Brooks might have the edge in rematch, as Thunder basically playing .500 ball over the past month, and Washington did “hold” Russell Westbrook to 12 for 25 FG shooting in first clash (though Westbrook still scored 35, with help of many FTs). Expect a better effort from Wiz All-Star G John Wall, just 6 for 20 from floor in first meeting.

Rating: 2 Units

Maybe the ‘72 Dolphins still living in Miami are going to resume the tradition of breaking open the champagne bottles if raging Heat (12 SU wins and covers in a row thru Feb. 9!) come close but fall short of matching the 17-0 from ‘72! (Cross-sport, we know, but play along with us!) Within that recent Miami surge are 8 straight wins and covers at American Airlines Arena, and Heat have extra incentive to atone for bitter double-OT loss the last time Orlando visited back on Dec. 20. The Miami win streak has been more about the Heat’s defense, which has been at its best in the fourth quarter, when they’ve allowed just 88.4 points per 100 possessions (70.9 when Hassan Whiteside on the floor). Note Magic’s seven losses by DD margins from Jan. 16-Feb. 9. 1

Rating: 2 Units

DeMar DeRozan hit the ground running on his return from a 4-game injury absence, scoring 31 and 30 while shooting 49% in his first two games back. Meanwhile, the Pistons have struggled to 3-9 SU and 4-8 spread marks on the road since mid-December. The Raptors are 15-9 vs. the number laying points at the Air Canada Centre this season, and 23-16 the last 2 seasons laying 9 pts. or fewer. Detroit’s frontline strength with C Andre Drummond wasn’t apparent in first meeting. Toronto’s Jonas Valanciunas outscored Drummond 32-16 and outrebounded him 11-6, forcing him to ride the bench in foul trouble, while DeRozan burned the Piston backcourt for 40 points in 18-point Raptor win.

Rating: 2 Units

Even after recent narrow defeats, St. Peter's has been tagged by sources as a team to watch in the upcoming MAAC Tourney, more so after bounce-back 76-45 romp past capable Quinnipiac on Feb. 9. The Peacocks (allow only 63.9 ppg) continue to rank among the nation's scoring defense leaders, while emergence of 6-7 soph Sam Idowu (DD scoring last three) has provided another scoring threat. Nothing to fear with Manhattan, on 2-6 spread skid thru Feb. 9. Not much of a road trip across the George Washington Bridge for Peacocks, who whipped Jaspers by 14 at Jersey City on Dec. 4.

Rating: 2 Units

Surging UNI is playing much better than it did in its 68-64 home loss to Missouri State in the MVC lidlifter back on Dec. 28. Hence, must strongly recommend grabbing any available points with the percolating Panthers, who’ve covered 6 of the past 8 in league play. Meanwhile, Bears have slipped on stop end since mid-January, allowing lower-rung Evansville to nail 56% from the field in their 74-66 road setback one week ago. Count on a fast start from defensively stiffening UNI (allowing 64.3 ppg) after falling behind 32-8 in the first meeting, along with tighter perimeter coverage after MSU hit 12 of 22 from distance. Bears a lowly 1-7 last 8 as home chalk.

Rating: 2 Units

Some progress is being made at both of the WCC outposts under new coaches. Advancements for Herb Sendek's SCU, however, a bit more pronounced, as Broncos have uncovered some viable scoring complements for bombs-away jr. G Jared Brownridge (18.2 ppg), with three other DD scorers now in Sendek's lineup. Sources report new Tiger HC Damon Stoudemire running some NBA-like offensive sets, but UOP (only 40.5% from floor) still lacking requisite shooters to make the fancy stuff work consistently. Also no home edge at Spanos Center for Tigers, just 1-6 vs. line at Stockton in WCC play.

Rating: 2 Units

Dallas has performed well as a home favorite this season, covering 6 of 7 chances as American Airlines Center chalk. Mav HC Rick Carlisle has been doing a good job with Dallas lately, as the Mavs have recovered from an 11-27 start to 9-5 SU and 11-3 spread marks since beating Phoenix in Mexico City on Jan. 12. Magic HC Frank Vogel is running out of ideas with the Magic, who are just 6-16 SU since the day after Christmas. Dallas is a different team now from the one that lost in Orlando back on Nov. 18. The Mavs were off to a 2-13 start, and they didn’t have the services of injured PF Dirk Nowitzki and rookie G Yogi Ferrell (18 ppg, 50% on treys the last 5 games) had yet to be acquired from Brooklyn.

Rating: 2 Units

UTEP lost its previous game on Thursday, but the rallying Miners continued to play well, falling only 62-61 to Louisiana Tech, which is 17-8 SU. Still, UTEP has won 6 of his last 8 games, with the two defeats by 3 and by 1 point. Former Oregon starter Dominic Artis (14.9 ppg, 6.6 rpg) continues to play well, as do consistent jr. Omega Harris (17.0 ppg) and still developing 7-1 sr. C Matt Williams (11.8 ppg, 5.4 rpg). With So. Miss struggling to score (58 points or fewer in 5 of last 6 games), defensively-conscientious UTEP resumes its surge.

Rating: 2 Units

These two MW reps have reversed roles from recent seasons and seem to be heading in opposite directions. On both counts, advantage SJSU, which beat UNLV at the Event Center on Jan. 28 and takes a 3-game SU win streak into Thomas & Mack, including its first win this millennium over San Diego State on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the shorthanded Rebs are on 2-8 SU and spread skid. For the first time in recent memory, the best player in this rivalry belongs to the Spartans, with big-time 6-8 soph F Brandon Clarke scoring 24 ppg his last 8, including 23 in the win over UNLV two weeks ago.

Rating: 2 Units

Charlotte finally snapped its 7-game losing streak with a home victory over league doormat Brooklyn on Tuesday before hosting Houston Thursday night. A major reason for the Hornet slide has been Kemba Walker’s shooting slump, as he’s made just 35.5% in Charlotte’s last 5. The Clippers are 10-1 SU in the last 11 against the Hornets (8-3 vs. the points), and PF Blake Griffin has averaged 28 pts., 9 rebs., 5.4 assists and has shot 54% in his last 5 games. L.A. C DeAndre Jordan gives Clippers a defensive presence the Hornets lack

Rating: 2 Units

With USA (11-12) battling for a winning record and a possible second-tier postseason tourney, must lend support to the streaking Jags, who've covered 3 straight, including well-played (had a season-low 5 TOs) 76-71 upset win at Troy one week ago. Sun Belt doormat and offensively-challenged ULM (66.1 ppg)—which hasn't surpassed 68 points over the last 10 games—will have trouble keeping pace with more uptempo USA, featuring the solid inside-outside duo of physical 6-7, 260-pound soph F Josh Ajayi (11 ppg, 5.5 rpg) & smooth 6-3 sr. G Ken Williams (13.0 ppg, 3.2 apg). Warhawks not built to play catch-up, hitting only 33.5% (236th nationally) from the arc.

Rating: 2 Units

With SBU yearning to stay in the hunt for the A-10 reg.-season title, suggest an "investment" on the superior Bonnies, who expended little emotional energy in their comfy 70 -55 home victory over lower-rung Saint Louis on Wednesday. Must give decided backcourt advantage to SBU's lethal duo of 6-3 jr. Matt Mobley (19.8 ppg, 6.1 rpg) & 6-2 jr. Jaylen Adams (21.4 ppg, 6.2 apg). And GW's main post threat, 6-9 sr. F Tyler Cavanaugh, will have his hands full with the Bonnies' aggressive 6-7 sr. F Denzel Gregg (12.4 ppg, 7.9 rpg; 87 blocks L1+Ys). Underachieving Colonials, who haven't notched a signature win to date, only 2-7 last 9 vs. the spread.

Rating: 2 Units

In a near-pick ‘em scenario, give ringing endorsement to nationally-ranked, Big Dance-bound Butler (currently projected as a sixth seed), itchin’ to sweep the season series after losing three meetings a year ago, including 14-pt. setback in the Big East tourney. PC won’t easily shake off a sorrowful 72-70 OT loss at Seton Hall on Wednesday when the Friars canned only 5 of 18 from downtown. Contrastingly, the Bulldogs are feeling “good vibes’ following their 68-65 victory at tough Marquette, as crafty HC Chris Holtmann successfully tweaked his lineup. Plus, count on a highimpact outing from BU’s super-steady 6-7 sr. Andrew Chrabascz (hails from Portsmouth, RI; 11.8 ppg, 4.9 rpg), inspired by his own rooting section at the Dunkin’ Donuts Center.

Rating: 2 Units

Surging 16-9 Syracuse (5 straight wins & covers) eager to stay on the radar screen of the Big Dance Selection Committee. Hence, must “invest” in the Orange, whose patented 2-3 matchup zone was a major deterrent for Pitt in ‘Cuse’s earlier 77-66 home triumph, when the Orange blocked 9 shots and limited the Panthers to a poor 35% from the field. Jim Boeheim’s ‘Cuse side, ably led by settled-in sr. PG John Gillon (Colorado State transfer), has shown great resolve by overcoming DD-deficits in its last three hard-earned victories. Unbalanced Pitt, beset with shaky chemistry under critical 1st-year HC Gene Stallings, drops its fourth straight at the Petersen Events Center.

Rating: 2 Units

N.O. PF Anthony Davis exploded for 45 pts. in the first meeting vs. Minnesota back on Nov. 23, when the Pels outshot Minny 54%-38%. New Orleans has been slumping of late (1-5 SU and vs. the points L6), but Minny is just 2-8 vs. the number since beating the Clippers in L.A. on Jan. 19. The season-ending knee injury to G Zach LaVine (19 ppg) is a blow, as vet backup G Brandon Rush has scored only 2.9 ppg over the last 4 seasons covering 162 games. LaVine led his team with 26 pts. in the first meeting.

Rating: 2 Units

With Oakland only 2 games behind Horizon leader Valpo, highly recommend laying a handful of points with the revenge-minded Golden Grizzlies, who committed a season-worst 25 TOs in their surprising 93-88 upset loss at Detroit in mid-January. It’s likely the Titans’ bruising 6-6, 240-pound jr. F Jaleet Hogan is given special attention if necessary after he poured in a career-high 39 in that stunner. Plus, count on more accurate gunning from Oakland’s DD-scoring trio of 6-7 jr. F Jalen Hayes, 6-4 sr. G Sharron Dorsey-Walker, and 6-4 jr. G Martez Walker, who combined for a rim-clanking 10 of 32 from the field in their 53-51 squeaker at Cleveland last Saturday.

Rating: 2 Units

To say this matchup has not worked lately for Wazzu would be an understatement after Utah has scored a pair of 88-47 wins (!) the last two meetings. Including a Jan. 18 rout in the Palouse when the Utes shot 58% and dominated the glass by a whopping 45-26 count. (By the way, the Cougs lost by “only” 21 in the first meeting last season). As a year ago, WSU still can’t match up physically with this foe, and Utah didn’t even have 6-8 Utah State transfer David Collette (14.3 ppg; returned to action Jan. 26 vs. Oregon) available in the first meeting. The Utes (15-6 SU; 6-2-1 their last nine vs. the line thru Feb. 1) are methodically positioning themselves for a call on Selection Sunday.

Rating: 2 Units

Utah already owns a “hat trick” against Dallas this season, but the last two meetings have been close, with spread covers for the Mavs. Who have been doing a lot of that lately, with a 9-2 spread mark their last 11 thru Feb. 2, putting them back into the West playoff discussion. Among some recent positives for Dallas have been a healthy Dirk Nowitzki, a spark provided by G Seth Curry (15.1 ppg as a starter in January), and Harrison Barnes now owning five 30-point efforts after recording just one during his career with the Warriors (where, admittedly, his shots were a bit harder to find). No knocks on playoff-bound Utah, although the Jazz are just 9-14 vs. the line away from Salt Lake City

Rating: 2 Units

After a mostly rough January, Cavs looked like their old selves in recent 107-91 romp past Ok City at the "Q" on Jan. 29. Russell Westbrook (only 7 of 26 from floor) was very flustered that afternoon and was outscored by Kyrie Irving 29-20. Even with that win, Cleveland still entered last weekend on 4-12 spread skid, but Thunder has been alarmingly noncompetitive in recent consecutive DD losses to Cavs, Spurs, and Bulls, as recent absence of key frontliner Enes Kanter (arm) has already helped drop Ok City down to the No. 7 slot in the West playoff queue.

Rating: 2 Units

La Salle is back in the muddled A-10 race following its much-needed 88-78 home victory over UMass on Wednesday. So double revenge should work for the uptempo Explorers, whose rangy G duo of 6-7 B.J. Johnson (17.8 ppg) & 6-5 sr. Jordan Price (17.4 ppg) should have a field day vs. defensively-soft, poor-boarding Fordham, permitting 47.9% FGs (330th nationally) and is -7.6 in rebound margin(338th). Plus, there’s not much “home cooking” for the lower-tier Rams, who’ve dropped 6 of their last 8 at historic but quite quaint Rose Hill Gym (3200 capacity).

Rating: 2 Units

Slumping Mass in the midst of a 4-game losing skein (including home upset losses to Fordham & George Mason), as the sagging defense has allowed an increasing point total in each of those setbacks. So, must ardently recommend laying a small number with A-10 challenger RI, which digs in on the stop end, permitting only 66.6 ppg along with 6 bpg. Rams’ powerful post presence, 6-7 sr. F Hassan Martin (14.8 ppg, 6.6 rpg; 298 career blocks), should control the paint area. Good bet RI shoots more accurately from the charity stripe after missing a whopping 17 foul shots in its come-from-behind 79-77 home win over the Minutemen on Jan. 15.

Rating: 2 Units

Since the oddsmakers continue to undervalue Maryland, which has won its first five outright (all as an underdog!) on the Big Ten road, compelled to back the Terps at the Bryce Jordan Center. Penn State (1-4 SU its last five thru Feb. 3) has been combative, but is still falling short vs. most of the quality league foes. Many of Mark Turgeon’s ballyhooed freshmen (including 6-7 frosh Justin Jackson, who scored 25 ppg in recent back-to-back wins at Minnesota & Ohio State) are removing some of the scoring burden from jr. G Melo Trimble, whose FG percentage (now 45.2%) is the best of his career.

Rating: 2 Units

Not sure what has gotten into Miami, but it’s time to pay attention to the dramatic Heat revival that has featured a stunning 9 wins and covers in a row going into last Saturday vs. the Sixers. You’re not alone if you didn’t see this coming...Miami, don’t forget, was 1-10 SU in its previous 11 games before the streak! Amid much lineup shuffling, Gs Goran Dragic (23.3 ppg & 6.4 apg) and Dion Waiters (22.1 ppg and 4.1 apg) have carried the offensive load, and the Heat have been the league’s second best defensive team over the course of the win streak. Meanwhile, young Minnesota is still slow to embrace Tom Thibodeau’s defensive concepts, as another recent letdown on the stop end (105 or more points in eight straight thru Feb. 2) contributed to 1-5 spread skid going into Feb. 3 vs. the Pistons.

Rating: 2 Units

Utah has been terrible on the road lately, losing its last 7, and 9 of its last 10 spread decisions away from Salt Lake City. With G Rodney Hood possibly out for a while after reinjuring the knee that kept him out for two weeks earlier this season, and PF Derrick Favors sitting for “rest” in back-to-back games recently (“rest” might not be the whole story), Jazz could be a little thin. Surely Atlanta will be ready to avenge its 95-68 loss in Utah on Nov. 25, as that was the Hawks’ worst offensive performance of the season.

Rating: 2 Units

Apparently there is a fragile underbelly to the recent Philly revival, as the Sixers have started to wobble again (no covers last three thru Feb. 1). That roughly coincides with Joel Embiid missing a few more games with ongoing knee concerns that caused him to skip the early portion of this road trip that began with a heavy loss at Dallas. Earlier, Philly caught Detroit in the middle of a 4-10 Piston slump, the 76ers winning by 18 at the Palace on Dec. 11, without Embiid. But nowhealthy Detroit has been playing better recently at Auburn Hills (4-1 SU last five at home after its Feb. 1 romp past the Pelicans).

Rating:  2 Units

—Indiana blew a 9-point 4th-Q lead at OKC, as the Thunder rallied to force OT in the first meeting on PG Russell Westbrook’s 3-pointer with 2 seconds left. Westbrook finished with 31 pts., 11 boards and 15 assists that night. However, the Pacers rebounded to win in OT as PG Jeff Teague scored 5 points in the last 1:08 of the game to seal a victory for Indy. The Thunder are just 9-18 the last 2 seasons as a road dog, and Indy has been a respectable small home favorite (29-19 the last 3 seasons laying 6 or fewer). After a hot start facing Eastern squads, the Thunder have faded, losing 4 of last 5 SU and vs. the points against the other conference.

Rating: 2 Units

This matchup has not worked well lately for the 'Ville, which wasn't close in two tries vs. Virginia last season and was similarly flummoxed by Cavs in 61-53 loss at KFC Yum! Center on Dec. 28. As was case LY, Cards were unable to speed up the game and forced to play at UVa's pace as the 'Ville wheezed in halfcourt sets, recording a paltry 7 assists and forced into low percentage three-balls to beat shot clock, connecting on only 2 of 14 triples in process. Tony Bennett now finding some needed offense from 6-5 jr. Devon Hall, who has scored DDs in eight of last ten thru Feb. 3

Rating: 2 Units

With Cal seeking to remain on the radar screen of the NCAA Tourney Selection Committee, will lay single digits vs. CU, which allows 9 ppg more away from Boulder TY (78 ppg on road; 69 at home). The defensively-stout, board-crashing Bears (62.4 ppg; +7.9 rebound margin) will provide the Buffs few uncontested looks. Meanwhile, anticipate crowd-pleasing performances from Cal’s forceful 6-11 F Ivan Rabb (15.6 pg, 10.7 rpg) and the nifty backcourt tandem of 6-6 Jabari Bird (14 ppg) & swift 5-11 frosh Charlie Moore (13.9 ppg). The Buffs are only 6-13 as a visiting underdog since 2014-15 (prior to trip to Stanford Thursday night).

Rating: 2 Units

Boston has been “over” 18-4 in its last 22 prior to hosting the Lakers Friday, and the last 10 Celtic games have averaged 222.4 ppg after tallying 222.6 in 14 games in January. Boston played last night, and Celtics have been “over” the total in 6 of last 7 games when unrested. The Clippers have been over the total in their last 5 games, giving up 123 ppg in that run.

Rating: 2 Units

Bad time for injury-thinned Indiana to be playing balanced and defensively-conscientious Wisconsin. Top-scoring G James Blackmon Jr. (17.6 ppg) has missed the last two contests with a leg injury. The Hoosiers previously lost 6-8 top inside defender F OG Anunoby (11.1 ppg, 5.4 rpg) for the season with a torn ACL. The Badgers, with everyone back from LY, augmented by 5-11 frosh shooter D’Mitrik Trice (48% treys), are 7-2 laying the lumber this season in Madison.

Rating: 2 Units

After Feb. 2 win over Lakers, Washington has won 16 straight at the Verizon Center and is 14-2 vs. the points in those games. The Wizards have covered 10 straight overall, and just took a 107-94 decision in New Orleans despite a 36-point, 17-rebound game by Pelican frontline all-star Anthony Davis. Washington G Bradley Beal made 11 of 16 shots in first meeting, and PG John Wall dished 19 assists in the victory. Sure, New Orleans could surprise the Wizards, but bettors who support the Pels and lose will feel awfully foolish

Rating: 2 Units

Even with New Mexico missing top post threat, PF 6-8 Tim Williams (17.9 ppg, 7.9 rpg; foot injury), MW doormat UNLV still came up short in its 80-77 home loss on Wednesday. So, strongly suggest laying a short price with resilient CSU, which has covered 4 of last 5 following a SU loss. Facing the soft Rebel defense (74.4 ppg; 237th nationally), count on more representative shooting performances from Rams’ potent, senior inside-outside duo of 6-8 sr. F Emmanuel Omogbo (13.8 ppg, 10.7 rpg) and 6-4 G Gian Clavell (18.2 ppg), who combined for an icy 11 of 34 from the field in their 79-76 home loss to tough conference co-leader Boise State on Tuesday.

Rating: 2 Units

Before we forget, would be remiss if not mentioning the strong Summit League "over" trends that have often featured these entries (SDSU "over" 14-2 last 16, ORU "over" 11 in a row!). There are also reasons to like the host Jackrabbits, looking to atone for bitter 6-point loss (and another "over") at the Mabee Center on Jan. 12 and now developing some momentum for the fast-approaching conference tourney, taking down potent Omaha and Western Illinois (blowing out the latter 98-65) in last two. Note SDSU's raging 6-9 soph Mike Daum scored 35 ppg over recent 3-game stretch.

Rating: 2 Units

Both teams have had their chances to make some noise in March get derailed by key injuries (Creighton minus nation’s top assist man, PG Mo Watson, and “X” now minus explosive soph wing Edmond Sumner). But the Bluejays have had a bit longer to adjust without their key cog and have steadied in recent wins vs. DePaul and at Butler, as K-State transfer Marcus Foster has been assuming more of the service burden along with touted frosh Davion Mintz, plus sixth man jr. Tyler Clement. Remember, when both teams were at full strength in mid-January, Creighton won at the Cintas Center. The Musketeers barely escaped vs. Seton Hall in their first game minus Sumner.

Rating: 2 Units

NC State’s troubled 6th-year mentor Mark Gottfried is feeling increasing heat after his Wolfpack blew a DD lead in its painful 100-93 OT home loss to Syracuse on Wednesday. Hence, must wholeheartedly endorse smartly-coached Miami-Florida, likely to bounce back from its unsurprising 75-57 loss to loaded Florida State on the same day. Foresee the Hurricane’s potent Gtrio of 6-2 jr. Ja’Quan Newton, rangy 6-6 sr. Davon Reed & highly-regarded 6-4 frosh Bruce Brown exploiting defensively-soft NC State (78.7 ppg; 303rd nationally) for the second time TY after combining for 58 points their team’s 81-63 home victory on New Year’s Eve

Rating: 2 Units

GT’s first-year mentor Josh Pastner claimed his team understandably lacked much energy in its 75-63 loss at Clemson on Wednesday following emotionally-draining upsets at home over Florida State and Notre Dame in the previous games. So, recommend taking 3+ hoops with re-charged Yellow Jackets, who figure to shoot straighter after 4 starters combined for a “brickish” 5 of 26 from the field vs. the Tigers. WF won’t easily establish its post game vs. defensively stifling GT (39.5% from the field; 3 bpg; 4th nationally), so Yellow Jackets likely climb to 4-1 last 5 as a visiting dog. Upset possible.

Rating: 2 Units

For the second straight weekend, a key home game for Penn State. Once again the Nittany Lions’ recuperative powers will be tested, after PSU played well, but got no reward in Tuesday’s triple-OT loss at Indiana. Five Lions reached double figures in that testing contest, including 6-7 freshman Lamar Stevens with 26 points. With ascending Maryland up next, PSU can’t afford to overlook visiting Rutgers, which has lost its last six road games, all but one by 12 or more.

Rating: 2 Units

With SH off two highly combative losses to Big East upper-division foes Butler & Xavier, strongly suggest taking any available points vs. G’Town, only 2-5 as home chalk TY. The Pirates’ formidable 6-9 jr. F Angel Delgado (16 double doubles TY; tied for 3rd nationally) will continue to do damage in the paint, while goodshooting 6-2 frosh Myles Powell (11 ppg) is eager to build on his season high 26-pt. explosion off the bench vs. the Musketeers on Wednesday. Watch for more formful gunning from SH’s steady 6-3 jr. combo G Khadeem Carrington (16.6 ppg), who hit a substandard 3 of 13 from the field vs. the X-Men.