Rating: 2 Units

Memphis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. While the Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.

Rating: 2 Units

The under 6-2 in Lakers last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 22-8-2 in Lakers last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. While the under is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings and 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Memphis.

Rating: 2 Units

Iowa gets a third tune-up Wednesday night, hosting Western Illinois in Iowa City before the Hawkeyes return to Big Ten play next week. The Hawkeyes (9-3, 0-2 Big Ten) have handled nine of 10 nonconference foes this season, but couldn't hang with then-No. 17 Iowa State and lost both of their Big Ten contests earlier this month. They haven't played since leading by as many as 37 points in a 93-62 win over visiting Southeast Louisiana on Dec. 21. Iowa is 76-5 in nonconference home games dating to 2012.

Rating: 2 Units

Kansas hopes to keep riding the flashy contributions provided thus far by Ochai Agbaji and Christian Braun. Agbaji explored early entry into the NBA draft before opting to return, while Braun has retooled his game to become a more complete player. Agbaji has ranked among the nation's top scorers all season; he is putting up 22 points per contest. Braun, meanwhile, does a little bit of everything, averaging 16.8 points, 6.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He is shooting 62.6 percent from the floor, largely because of improved capacity to score off drives and fast breaks. Consider that Kansas is 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Rating: 2 Units

Consider that Boise State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. While Fresno State is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

Rating: 2 Units

Lehigh (1-9) enters Tuesday's game on a five-game losing streak, having most recently lost to Albany 68-52 on Dec. 21. The Mountain Hawks are 0-2 against Power Five opponents this season. Consider that the Mountain Hawks are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS loss and 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss.

Rating: 2 Units

The Cavaliers are full of crazy stats this season on the wagering side of things. They are 25-7-1 ATS, including 12-4 ATS on the road. To add one more sparkling stat to the pile, they are 9-0 ATS as favorites. That could spell trouble for the Pelicans, especially with Brandon Ingram (Achilles) listed as doubtful and Nickeil Alexander-Walker in the health and safety protocols.

Rating: 2 Units

The Rockets had mostly sidestepped COVID-related issues prior to Monday. They played without six rotation players after D.J. Augustin, Kenyon Martin Jr., Garrison Mathews and Jae'Sean Tate all entered health and safety protocols in advance of a 123-99 loss to the Charlotte Hornets. Houston also played without its starting backcourt of Kevin Porter Jr. (thigh) and rookie Jalen Green (rest) while taking a fourth consecutive loss, but both should be available Tuesday. Still, the Rockets were forced to lean on a pair of G-League call-ups (Trevelin Queen and Daishen Nix), while three other rookies logged significant minutes in the loss to the Hornets. Queen put up a team-best 17 points after never scoring more than two in an NBA game previously. Consider that the over is 11-1 in Rockets last 12 games playing on 0 days rest.

Rating: 2 Units

The Cleveland Cavaliers dominated the depleted Toronto Raptors on Sunday night.  The Cavs likely will face another short-handed team when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday night. Cleveland overcame COVID-19 absences of its own to beat the Raptors -- who were missing 10 players due to COVID -- 144-99 in Cleveland. Toronto was missing its top five scorers, all of whom were in the NBA's health and safety protocols. The Raptors had just four players from their regular roster available. Cleveland gained its most lopsided victory of the season despite having seven players in the health and safety protocols, including Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley. Consider that the Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in New Orleans.

Rating: 2 Units

Getting Lillard's sidekick, CJ McCollum, back would help, especially with a rugged schedule ahead. After seeing the Mavericks, the Trail Blazers will face the Jazz, Los Angeles Lakers, Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat in their next four games. The good news is McCollum could see action in at least some of those games. The club announced over the weekend that he will be re-evaluated this week in hopes that he'll be cleared to play after suffering a collapsed lung earlier in the month. He has missed the last eight games. The Trail Blazers also are without five players in the league's medical protocols, including Robert Covington, who played 31 minutes in the loss at New Orleans. The teams will meet for the first time this season. The home team has lost four of the last five meetings in the series, with the Mavericks prevailing 132-92 on a trip to Portland last March, when Doncic outscored Lillard 37-19. Consider that the Trail Blazers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Rating: 2 Units

The Jazz head to San Antonio after their 120-116 victory over Dallas on Christmas Day. Mitchell led Utah with 33 points, his ninth 30-point game of the season. Bojan Bogdanovic scored 25 points, Mike Conley hit for 22, and Jordan Clarkson and Rudy Gobert added 12 and 10 points, respectively, in the victory. Gobert also grabbed 11 rebounds for the Jazz, who have won three straight games and 11 of their past 13 outings over the past month. Utah dominated the COVID-compromised Mavericks, who just didn't have the firepower to keep up late in the game. The Jazz have not lost a player to coronavirus this season. Consider that the Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bulls will be playing the second game of a back-to-back set with Lonzo Ball (COVID-19) and Alex Caruso (foot) both out. That’s not exactly ideal. However, they are in tremendously better shape than the Hawks, who could be missing 10 players in the health and safety protocols. The biggest names who aren’t expected to play are Trae Young, John Collins and Danilo Gallinari. The Bulls could run away with this one.

Rating: 2 Units

The loss to the Hornets was Denver's second straight and a tough one to take. The Nuggets led by 19 in the third quarter and 17 at the start of the fourth but were outscored 38-13 in the final 12 minutes. Denver is just 5-6 in the month and is feeling the absence of several players. Jamal Murray has not played yet, Michael Porter Jr. had back surgery and will miss the rest of the year and several players have been in and out of the lineup recently. Aaron Gordon missed Thursday's game, and rookie Bones Hyland has been battling ankle issues. Hyland gutted out 14 minutes after rolling his right ankle on Wednesday night in Oklahoma City but had just three points.  Consider that Denver is 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Rating: 2 Units

The Indiana Pacers missed the postseason with a 34-38 record last year, after playing in NINE of the previous 10. The Pacers opened 1-6 and will enter this Christmas Day game in Chicago at 14-19, two games out of the "Play In" cut line. The Bulls were 31-41 last season, missing the postseason for the FOURTH consecutive year. However, the Bulls have reinvented themselves as a threat in the Eastern Conference behind Zach LaVine and the free-agent signing of DeMar DeRozan. They also picked up center Nikola Vucevic from Orlando last season (where his talents were wasted) plus added Lonzo Ball as a free agent. Like many other teams in recent weeks, the Bulls have had severe COVID issues but still enter this contest 19-10, battling 22-13 Milwaukee for the Central Division lead. The Bulls currently hold down the No. 2 seed in the East.

Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day

After not having much success in tight games over the first part of the season, the New Orleans Pelicans have turned their fortunes around during their current four-game winning streak. Over the Pelicans' first 29 games, they were just 1-9 in "clutch" games -- games where the score is within five points in the final five minutes. But starting with New Orleans' 113-110 win in Oklahoma City on Dec. 15, a game decided by Devonte' Graham's 61-foot shot at the buzzer, the Pelicans are 3-0 in such games. Today, New Orleans tries to keep its momentum going with a return trip to face the Oklahoma City Thunder in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are coming off a 113-101 loss Thursday in Phoenix. Consider that OKC is 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Rating: 2 Units

For the Philadelphia 76ers to be successful, Joel Embiid must play at an ultra-high level every night. Anything less and the Sixers can be defeated -- especially with a shorthanded roster due mostly to health and safety protocols. Philadelphia dropped a 98-96 decision to the depleted Atlanta Hawks on Thursday. The 76ers will look to rebound on Sunday against the host Washington Wizards. Embiid recorded 23 points and 10 rebounds before missing a potential game-tying jumper at the buzzer against the Hawks. Clearly, the Sixers need more. The Sixers currently have four players in health and safety protocols -- Danny Green, Georges Niang, Andre Drummond and Shake Milton. It's unclear if any of them will be cleared to face the Wizards. Consider that Philadelphia is 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.

Rating: 2 Units

The Warriors will be without Jordan Poole, who had 28 points in the loss at Phoenix, and Andrew Wiggins, who contributed 19 to the home win, due to COVID-19 health and safety protocols. Meanwhile, the Suns will have leading scorer Devin Booker, who suffered a hamstring strain in the second quarter of the first meeting and sat out the rest of the win, as well as the Suns' next seven games, including the rematch with the Warriors. Booker has gotten more productive by the game in his three outings since returning to the lineup last Sunday, scoring 16, 24 and then 30 points in Thursday's 113-101 home win over the Oklahoma City Thunder. Cam Johnson is among the Suns happy with the holiday scheduling, including the early start. Consider that Phoenix is
13-5 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest, 18-7 ATS in their last 25 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Milwaukee Bucks received an early Christmas present in the form of two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo clearing the NBA's health and safety protocols on Friday. However, Antetokounmpo's status remains up in the air for Milwaukee's Christmas Day showdown against the visiting Boston Celtics on Saturday afternoon. With Antetokounmpo sidelined for a fifth straight game in COVID-19 protocols Thursday, the Bucks pulled out a 102-95 road win against a Dallas Mavericks squad playing without superstar Luka Doncic. Khris Middleton finished with 26 points and seven assists and Jrue Holiday had 24 points while dishing out seven helpers to pace Milwaukee. Recently signed center DeMarcus Cousins contributed 22 points and eight rebounds. It was the Bucks' second straight win and third in five games without Antetokounmpo. Whether or not Milwaukee has its star back in time to face Boston in the nationally televised showdown, the Bucks remain a confident bunch. Consider that Boston is 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Rating: 2 Units

This line is too big for UNLV to cover. They're hard to trust after failing to cover against Omaha and my model makes this a 6 point game. The San Diego Toreros should be able to keep this within double digits. They just covered against NAU on the road, which is a hard task, and are looking to build some momentum. Grab the value in the points here.

Rating: 2 Units

 This is the first game of a back-to-back set for the Thunder, who have been notorious with regards to resting players in such situations. There have been no reports of anyone sitting out yet, but that could change as the day moves along. Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets could dominate this matchup, even if the Thunder are at full strength, so I’ll jump on this now.

Rating: 2 Units

Cleveland won't have Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley or Isaac Okoro, but this line still feels steep. The Cavs have won six in a row and covered 14 straight. They were favored in their previous five games. Inconsistent Boston also is missing some frontcourt stalwarts and is just 5-7 ATS as a home favorite. Grab the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Wildcats are one of the last undefeated teams in the country. They average the most points in Division I at 91 PPG on 49.7 percent from the field, top ten in the nation. The Wildcats also have a dominant defense only allowing 62.8 PPG on 36.1 percent from the field, 5th lowest in the country. The Volunteers are a very good opponent. They are ranked 19th in the country but they have shown that they will struggle against good teams. They only scored 44 points in regulation against Texas Tech and just 53 points against Villanova. The Wildcats offense is too good to be held to such a low number. Their defense is going to slow down the Volunteers as they win this game.

Rating: 2 Units

The Tommies are the better team in this matchup. They are the best three point shooting team in the country. They make an average of 13.7 threes per game on 40.3 percent from downtown. The Pioneers defense is really bad. Kenpom ranks their defense at 315th in the country. They have been struggling recently. They are just 1-7 SU in their last eight games. The Pioneers should be struggling again in this game. The Tommies offense should lead them to a win over the struggling Pioneers.

Rating: 2 Units

I'm a bit surprised that this has moved in favor of Idaho State, a team that has yet to cover the spread in any of its eight games. I'll gladly take the extra value as it moves the game into playable range for the model. I make this one a 16.5 point win for UC Santa Barbara and theres a good chance that Idaho State can lose by 20+ any time they step on the court. I'd take this play even if the model didn't like it, but getting the line movement makes it a must for me. Fade the Bengals until they prove that they can cover a spread.

Rating: 2 Units

 These schools are less than a two hours drive away from one another and this should be a good game between rivals. My model has the line a bit too small for Campbell. I am making this a six point spread so grabbing this -3 line at Caesars is good value. Wilmington is 2-6 ATS and probably best described by beating a bad Delaware State squad by just 4 points. Take the stronger Campbell team to cover.

Rating: 2 Units

Had a rare losing day in NCAA hoops on Tuesday but also my picks were affected by unexpected absences. COVID is very much a factor in this sport, too. What the heck are you gonna do? This is the first game of Wednesday and Hartford has just one victory. The Hawks allow 76.2 points per game, which is important because Sacred Heart has yet to win a game this year when scoring under 70. The Pioneers have taken the past two in this series. Hartford is 1-5 ATS in its past six as a dog. Sacred Heart is 8-2 ATS in its past 10 as a favorite. This spread has started to rise at some books so let's lock it in.

Rating: 2 Units

 Fading the Beavers here. They have lost 10 straight games only covering the spread in one of them. They are one of, if not, the worst teams in a Power Five conference. The Colonels have been playing really well this season. They will have the best player on the court in this game, Ty Gordon. Gordon has scored at least 22 points in each of his last five games. He should dominate again today and lead the Colonels to an easy cover.

Rating: 2 Units

The Spartans have been playing great basketball. They are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six games. They have also been great at home as they are 5-0 SU and ATS in their home stadium. The Broncos have been struggling recently. They are 4-5 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games. They are also significantly worse on the road. In the Broncos four games away from home, they are just 1-3 SU and ATS. The Spartans will be able to slow down the Broncos and cover this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

The Pistons finally broke their 14-game losing streak with a win over the Heat on Sunday. While they did lose 14 in a row, eight of those losses were by nine or fewer points. When the Pistons have been underdogs by between eight and 11 points this season, they are 6-1 ATS. The Knicks are dealing with an outbreak of COVID-19 that has them shorthanded, and they have lost eight of their last 10 games. While I think the Knicks win this matchup, I think the Pistons can keep things relatively close.

Rating: 2 Units

 I love this Xavier team. The Musketeers have talent from top to bottom. They are 9-2 ATS including 3-0 ATS as an underdog. This is a really big game for their Big East regular season championship hopes. The Wildcats have been struggling against good teams. They are 1-4 SU and ATS against teams that Kenpom ranks in the top 50. Kenpom ranks the Musketeers at 23rd. The Musketeers are going to give the Wildcats a tough time. This is going to be a fun game to watch. The Musketeers will play good enough to cover this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

The Jaguars are the perfect under team. Kenpom makes them the worst offense in all of Division I. They also play at one of the slowest paces in the country. This has allowed the under to cash in all nine of their games against Division I opponents. The Eagles also play at a very slow pace. Their offense is not good either. They are only averaging 64.9 PPG against Division I teams. This game is going to be played at a criminally slow pace and stay under this low total.

Rating: 2 Units

 The SportsLine Projection Model and a few others believe The Citadel should be favored quite a bit more than one point. Both teams played Monday in this holiday-type event at The Citadel with Manhattan winning and the host school losing. The Bulldogs' Hayden Brown was selected as the Southern Conference Preseason Player of the Year in a vote by the league’s head coaches and he has played like it, averaging 20.2 points and 8.4 rebounds. The Jaspers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win. The Bulldogs have covered six straight following an ATS loss.

Rating: 2 Units

This spread seems about 3-4 points too high as the teams open Summit League play. The Pioneers are one of the better defensive clubs in the league so should be able to hang around in their own gym. Grad transfer K.J. Hunt is the only Summit League player that currently leads his team in scoring (15.8 ppg), rebounding (4.5 rpg), assists (3.6 apg) and steals (1.2 spg). Denver is 8-1 ATS in its past nine as a home dog.

Rating: 2 Units

Houston is clicking offensively and visits a short-handed Bulls team that gutted out a five-point win over the Lakers on Sunday. DeMar DeRozan could certainly go off for 38 like he did Sunday but Chicago is struggling defensively, which should keep this competitive. Back the Rockets to cover for the ninth time in their last 11 games as underdogs.

Rating: 2 Units

The Tommies have been impressive in their first Division I season. They are really good offensively. The Tommies are the best three point shooting team in the country. They make an average of 13.6 threes per game on 40 percent from downtown. The Mavericks are terrible. They are 0-10 against Division I teams losing by an average of 20.8 PPG. This spread is way too low. The Tommies should dominate this game and easily cover this small spread.

Rating: 2 Units

The Eagles have been over performing this season. They are 7-3 ATS this season. Their fast pace is something that some teams struggle with. I expect for Valparaiso to be one of those teams. The Eagles won’t allow them to get set defensively as they get out in transition often. The Beacons are a bad home team. They are 0-3 SU and ATS in their three home games against Division I teams. This spread is too big to stay off. The Eagles should be able to do enough to cover this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

The Trail Blazers finally broke their seven-game losing streak with a win over the Hornets on Friday. That win came at home. They have been awful on the road, posting a 2-10 record there ATS. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have won 10 of their last 11 games with all 10 wins coming by at least seven points. Look for them to keep rolling here.

Rating: 2 Units

The Stags have been impressive so far this season. They are 9-1 ATS including 7-0 ATS on the road. The Minutemen have a terrible defense. Kenpom ranks them as 318th best defense in the nation. They are allowing 78.5 PPG on 48.5 percent from the field against low tier offenses. The Stags are the better team. They should be favored. I expect the Stags to have an easy time offensively and cover the spread (and maybe win straight up).

Rating: 2 Units

The Bears are the number one team in the country and for good reason. They are running through their opponents as they have an average margin of victory of 26.8 PPG. The Bears are 7-2 ATS so far this season. On the other side, the Ducks haven’t been good this season. They were ranked 13th coming into this season but they are just 6-5 SU and 3-8 ATS. In their one game as an underdog (5 points), they lost by 29 to Houston. Their road doesn’t get any easier today. They’re outmatched in this battle. Take the Bears to win big.

Rating: 2 Units

These are two of the best offenses in the country. Kenpom ranks the Hawkeyes as the 4th best offense and the Aggies as the 46th best offense. This has allowed the over to cash at high rates for both of these teams. Six of the Hawkeyes seven home games and all six of the Aggies games away from home have gone over the total. This game is going to be played at an extremely fast pace and go over this total.

Rating: 2 Units

The Warriors are basically punting this game. After playing Friday, they have decided to rest Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Otto Porter Jr. and Andre Iguodala. That’s in addition to Jordan Poole being in the health and safety protocols. They are going to have a difficult time generating points with the likes of Damion Lee, Gary Payton Jr. and Nemanja Bjelica leading the way.

Rating: 2 Units

I was surprised to see this line so low. My model makes this line 14.5, and thats with some rather conservative estimation. There's a legitimate chance that this finishes closer to 20 than it does to 10. The distribution of expected results is heavily on the side of a Xavier cover. Trust the model and take the home favorite to get it done.

Rating: 2 Units

I love betting on Western Illinois almost as much as I love betting against Eastern Illinois. My model has a huge edge, indicating that this should be a 24 point win for the Leathernecks. I even saw Erik Haslam's model has this at 40 points. I think that must be a bug in his system, but there's a non-zero chance it's a real projection. EIU is that bad. They lost to Missouri by 28 and I think Western Illinois is a better team. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

I'm returning about three points of value on this game for Bakersfield. My model is indicating that Colorado should only be favored by ten points rather than thirteen. The Buffaloes are 1-8-1 ATS at home this season and have looked disappointing. Colorado is 8-3 SU but have only once beaten a team by more than 13 and that was against lowly Maine. Cal State Bakersfield should keep this close enough to cover, take the points.

Rating: 2 Units

As of this writing, we know that the Lakers are without Russell Westbrook, Talen Horton-Tucker, Avery Bradley and Dwight Howard in COVID protocols, although apparently Malik Monk is out of them. I'll take the fully healthy Timberwolves (at least healthy as of this writing) at home. The Wolves are 5-2 ATS in their past seven as favorites and will be amped up to face LeBron.

Rating: 2 Units

The Grizzlies come into this matchup on a hot streak, winning nine of their last 10 games. All nine of those wins came by at least seven points, as well. Meanwhile, the Kings are dealing with an outbreak of COVID-19 that is expected to sideline De’Aaron Fox, Terence Davis, Marvin Bagley III and Alex Len. That’s in addition to Richaun Holmes (eye) being listed as doubtful and Tyrese Haliburton (back) listed as questionable. This could get ugly for the Kings in a hurry.

Rating: 2 Units

It’s difficult to read too much into the Hornets performance lately given how decimated their team has been by an outbreak of COVID-19. Their situation is starting to improve, though, with both Terry Rozier and Mason Plumlee back in the fold. Even LaMelo Ball, who is listed as questionable, could make his return for this game. Portland, on the other hand, has lost 10 of their last 11 games with their only win coming against the rebuilding Pistons. Six of those 10 losses came at home. With CJ McCollum (lung) still out, it’s going to be tough for the Trail Blazers to pull out a win.

Rating: 2 Units

Easily the game of the night and it's important to note that San Diego State isn't the home team or I wouldn't take the Gaels -- it's a neutral site in Phoenix. I consider these teams about even, although KenPom has Saint Mary's eight spots higher. The difference for me is SDSU is again without sophomore guard Lamont Butler for the third consecutive game. Solid all-around player as in about 24 minutes per game, he averages 9.7 points (47.1 percent from deep), 2.1 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game.

Rating: 2 Units

Both of these teams have been cashing the under consistently. The under has cashed in all five of the Gaels games away from home and the under has cashed in four of the Aztecs five home games this season. These teams have elite defenses. Kenpom ranks the Gaels as the 8th best defense and the Aztecs as the 11th best defense. Additionally, both of these teams play with no urgency. This will be a defensive battle from the tip. Take the under.

Rating: 2 Units

This spread is too high for this total. The Mustangs have covered each of their last four games. These teams play at such a slow pace that covering this spread sounds near impossible. The Bulldogs offense has been struggling. The Mustangs will be able to keep this game close enough to cover this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

Frankly, I think Pacific should be about a four-point favorite. The SportsLine Projection Model has the Tigers winning by 11. That seems a bit off. It's the first-ever meeting between these schools. Pacific has been great defensively, holding opponents to just 41.9 percent from the field. North Dakota State is 1-4 in true road games. The Bison have used five different starting lineups already. They are 1-5-1 ATS in their past seven.

Rating: 2 Units

These teams just played on Tuesday where the Jaguars won by seven points. The Texans are terrible offensively. Kenpom ranks them as the 280th best offense. They average just 61.6 PPG on 40.5 percent shooting. They are also one of the worst three point shooting teams in the country. They rank 354th in three point percentage and 346th in three’s made per game. The Jaguars will be able to score too many points for the Texans to keep up with. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bonnies have been struggling with the absence of their best player, Kyle Lofton. Lofton is a big loss for the Bonnies as he was playing 39 minutes per game. The Bonnies are 0-5 ATS in their last five games with Lofton missing their last three. Now they have to face the Hokies who have been playing really well this season. They are 7-4 SU and ATS this season including 5-1 SU and ATS at home. Kenpom ranks the Hokies 31st in Division I. The Hokies will take advantage of the Bonnies struggles and cover this small spread.

Rating: 2 Units

Devin Booker is expected back Thursday and DeAndre Ayton is playing. While the Suns have been effective without Booker, they become one of the best teams in the NBA with him, along with Golden State and Utah. The Wizards are having some problems lately. They’ve lost seven of their last nine (1-8 ATS). Take the Suns to cover.

Rating: 2 Units

Definitely don't love the board today -- but this number has come down enough where we will roll with the Retrievers at home. They enter on a three-game skid but all away and against better teams than UNC Greensboro, which is 5-0 at home but 1-2 on the road and in neutral site games. The Retrievers are the top scoring team in the America East at 78.2 ppg and also lead in three-point field goals made (93), free-throw percentage (80.3) and assists per game (13.5). It's a veteran team with four seniors and a junior starting. The Retrievers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven as favorites.

Rating: 2 Units

This spread is too high. I make these teams about even with the absence of Cougars center Dishon Jackson who is out with a thumb injury. The Aggies have won each of their last three games, all of which were on the road. The Cougars are coming off of a straight up loss in a home game where they were favored by six. They should struggle again in this game. The Aggies will be able to keep this game close enough to cover the spread.

Rating: 2 Units

I am very high on this Xavier team. The Musketeers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games and 6-0 ATS in their last six home games. The Eagles are not a good team. They are just 1-4 ATS in their five games as an underdog including 0-3 ATS as a double digit underdog. The Musketeers are a much better team. They have beaten up on bad teams and will again in this game. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

I’m not going to lie, rolling with the Pacers here, given what they have done to me this season, makes me feel a little uneasy. With that being said, the Bucks are in rough shape with Giannis Antetokounmpo, Donte DiVincenzo and Wesley Matthews all in the health and safety protocols. To complicate matters, Khris Middleton (knee) is listed as questionable. If he’s out, this line could swing significantly. I’ll take a chance and lock in the Pacers now.

Rating: 2 Units

South Dakota is 6-0 at home this season and 59-9 all-time at its fairly new Coyote Sports Center. After sitting out last season in the pandemic, Aussie Hunter Goodrick has come back strong for the Coyotes and is averaging 7.2 points and 7.7 rebounds. All six of Bellarmine's losses are against good-to-great competition (Purdue, UCLA, Gonzaga to name three) but all of its wins are against garbage. Only two of Bellarmine’s 11 games have had single-digit scoring margins.

Rating: 2 Units

 I'm going to risk picking this one early in the hopes that Joel Embiid plays for Philly because he did participate in the shootaround this morning after sitting out Monday. The Heat already have ruled out Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo among a few other lesser guys.

Rating: 2 Units

 I'll take this moderate total to go over in an interesting matchup between UCF and Temple. Central Florida seems to focus more on offensive production and runs up the score in road games. They're 3-0 on the over when away from home and each time the total has safely cashed by at least 10 points. Temple should help by getting to the free throw line and adding points with the clock stopped while staying competitive at home. The over is the play here.

Rating: 2 Units

The Knights are one of the worst teams in Division I. They are 0-8 with an average margin of defeat of 20.4 PPG. The Stags have looked impressive this season. They are 8-1 ATS and have been trending upwards. They have won seven of their last eight games including four straight road games. They will dominate this terrible Knights teams and easily over this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

The Beavers are terrible. They are 1-8 SU and ATS so far this season. They are averaging just 65.1 PPG and allowing 72.2 PPG. The Aggies have looked impressive so far this season. They are just 4-3 but they are trending in the right direction. This is a perfect spot for the Aggies to stay hot. The Aggies will have a huge advantage on the glass in this matchup. This will help give them easy second chance baskets against a terrible defense. The Aggies will keep this game close enough to cover the spread.

Rating: 2 Units

Despite luring the nation's No. 1 recruiting class, Penny Hardaway's Tigers have been mammoth disappointments on a four-game losing streak. The program hasn't lost five in a row since Jan. 29-Feb. 16, 2000. The models still largely love Memphis, though, and I do think the team gets fired up tonight in a White Out game against the No. 6 Tide. Already, at least 22 NBA teams have requested credentials for the game. This is the Tide's first true road game and that does matter. I'm not saying Memphis will win -- wouldn't stun me, though -- but 5.5 points is too many.

Rating: 2 Units

Corpus Christie is getting far too much love here. Minnesota has been playing great basketball and is going to have a pretty easy time winning this game. My model makes this game a 20 point win for the Gophers. This one is already moving as it opened at 15, I'd play it all the way to -17.

Rating: 2 Units

I have the wrong team favored in this one- my model is making the Jacksonville Dolphins a 1 point favorite against Southern Miss. USM has failed to cover in three straight games while Jacksonville holds solid 5-1 ATS record so far this season. Another telling sign is that Jacksonville beat UNCW by 29, while USM beat them by 14. With the home court factored in that still makes Southern Miss about 6-8 points worse by comparison. Take the point and a half and watch for Jacksonville to probably win this game on the floor.

Rating: 2 Units

There are a ton of wrinkles to this game. The most notable storyline is Stephen Curry looking to break the all-time three-point record. However, this is a tough spot for the Warriors team, itself. They just played Monday and plane issues will force them to not even travel from Indiana to New York until today. With that being said, the Knicks are also in a less-than-ideal situation with R.J. Barrett, Obi Toppin and Quentin Grimes all in the health and safety protocols. This won’t be easy for either team, but I’ll take Curry to help lead the Warriors to cover.

Rating: 2 Units

The Spartans have a terrible offense. Kenpom ranks them as 333rd best offense in the country. Now they have to face the powerful Volunteers defense which Kenpom ranks number one in the country. Tennessee doesn’t have the most elite offense as proven in their game against Texas Tech. This total is way too high. This game shouldn’t come close to this total.

Rating: 2 Units

My model doesn't really do huge spreads, it operates much more successfully on lines that are less than about 18 points. However, I don't need my model to make this play on LSU, the line is far too small. LSU is 8-1 against the spread and is facing a Northwestern State team that lost on the road to SMU by 47, UL Monroe by 30, and Houston by 41. LSU beat UL Monroe by 62 to open the year and has many other impressive wins. This should be a cover at 31.5, lay the large number and enjoy the show.

Rating: 2 Units

This line is way too low, I'm seeing some projections around 17 and 20 for this game. My system is coming in a bit more conservatively at 15 points but this is definitely a strong signal from the model. ETSU is a borderline top 100 team while NC A&T hovers around the bottom 300 depending whose rankings you use. There's a good chance that 7-3 ETSU can run away with this on 3-8 NC A&T. Grab the home favorite.

Rating: 2 Units

Not exactly a marquee matchup between the 3-5 Red Flash and 1-8 Hawks on Tuesday. I don't read too much into Hartford's record because it has played just one true home game and lost close to Boston U, which is pretty good. The Hawks have played a very tough schedule. Hartford leads the American East in shooting at 45.8 percent overall and 35.3 percent from deep. Hartford brings back 62.9 percent of the team's scoring — including four of its top seven scorers -- from last year when it won the America East title and lost to eventual champion Baylor in the NCAA Tournament. The SportsLine Projection Model has Hartford winning by five and a few other models have about the same.

Rating: 2 Units

As if going up against Joel Embiid wasn’t difficult enough, the Grizzlies will likely have to do it without Steven Adams (ankle), who is listed as doubtful. Brandon Clarke (knee) has already been ruled out, and even Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) is questionable. If Jackson sits out, this game could get out of hand in a hurry. Even if he plays, though, I like Embiid to help the Sixers cover.

Rating: 2 Units

Both the Rams and the Panthers play with no urgency. The under has cashed in seven out of ten games for the Rams and six out of nine games for the Panthers. The Rams defense has been amazing this season only allowing 62.8 PPG. They should slow down the Panthers in this game. The Rams will slow down the pace in this game and keep this under the total.

Rating: 2 Units

Less than ten college basketball games today, but we can still find some value. It appears that Milwaukee is getting a bit too much respect here, my model is projecting Rhode Island to win by 9 points. URI has done well against the spread so far this season, going 6-3 as a favorite. They're going to have advantages on both sides of the ball in this game, but it's going to be especially tough for Milwaukee when they're on offense. Expect the defense for the Rams to lead the way. They'll handle business on the road, lay it.

Rating: 2 Units

Give the Heat credit. Even with Jimmy Butler (tailbone) and Bam Adebayo (thumb) out, they have won both of their last two games. One win was a shocker over the Bucks, although their last victory came against a Bulls team that has been ravaged by COVID-19. This is a tall order for them against the Cavaliers, who beat them by 26 points in Miami a couple of weeks ago. The Cavaliers have been beating just about everyone of late, winning seven of their last nine games. All of those wins came by at least 13 points, as well.

Rating: 2 Units

I do like George Washington to win this game but don't love the number so we'll go with the moderate moneyline price. Freshman Brayon Freeman has been great for the Colonials and has a 20:5 assist-to-turnover ratio over his last three games. GW largely goes, though, how sophomore guard Joe Bamislie goes. He is averaging 20.0 ppg and shooting 60.5% from the floor in GW victories this season, compared to 11.3 ppg and 30.6% shooting in losses. Radford is unbeaten at home but winless on the road.

Rating: 2 Units

The Huskies have been terrible this season. They have one of the worst offenses in the country. Out of 358 teams, they rank 357th in scoring offense and 356th in field goal percentage. The Cougars have been exceeding expectations this season. They are 7-2 ATS this season including 5-0 ATS in their last five games. They are the better team and should be favored as the home team. The Huskies are 1-6 SU away from home and the Cougars are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS at home. The Cougars should be able to control this game and cover this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

The Trail Blazers have lost seven of their last eight games with six losses coming by at least 10 points. Their only win during that stretch game against the rebuilding Pistons. They are hoping to get Damian Lillard (abdomen) back, but even if he plays, he might be limited and/or rusty. CJ McCollum (lung) will definitely be out, so they will at least be without one of their top two scorers. The Timberwolves haven’t been great, either, with five straight losses, but they’ve had an incredibly difficult schedule. Add in the possibility that D’Angelo Russell (ankle) could return after practicing Saturday and the Timberwolves could break their losing streak.

Rating: 2 Units

 The Bears are ranked number two in the country for good reason. Baylor is the only team in the country that Kenpom ranks top ten in both offense (5th) and defense (7th). The Bears have been dominant this season as they are 8-0 SU and their closest game was an eight point win. Villanova only has two losses this season and they have come in their only two games against top ten teams. They lost by nine to UCLA and by six to Purdue. The Bears will be able to do enough to cover this spread.

Rating: 2 Units

 Idaho is getting a lot of love in the market after their recent win over South Dakota State, but I think that is giving us a lot of value going the other way. My model agrees, making this a 15.5 point expected win for Bakersfield. Bakersfield has not played in a while, but their last game was a win over Boise State, they won 46-39 when made 15.5 point underdogs! We've seen how solid Boise is, therefore I think the Roadrunners should be able to handle Idaho by 12. Idaho lost to a similarly ranked Utah Valley squad by 38 earlier this year, so I think theres a good chance at a beat down.

Rating: 2 Units

 The Warriors have played the majority of their schedule at home, which has helped them to a 21-4 start. They haven’t exactly struggled on the road, though, posting a 7-2 record there, including 6-3 ATS. The Sixers are a disappointing 5-6 at home, including 1-4 ATS as a home underdog. Despite the matchup problem that Joel Embiid presents, I still like the Warriors to win this in deciding fashion.

Rating: 2 Units

 The Rams have been playing well recently. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. They are also 4-0 ATS away from home. The Monarchs are still without one of their best players, Charles Smith, who is out with mononucleosis. It hasn’t hurt them yet but now they have to face one of the best defenses in the country. According to Kenpom, the Rams are the third ranked defense in the country. They are going to prevent the Monarchs from doing anything offensive and easily cover this spread. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

Both of these teams have done well against the spread this year. However, I have the wrong team favored in this one- my model is making UC Irvine a favorite by a full point. I think it'll be a nail biter of a game but it's always good to take the points in those scenarios, especially when you're getting what appears to be the more complete side. I'd play this all the way down to +1.5 here if it happens to fall, but grab the points while you can.

Rating: 2 Units

My projections are showing a good chance that Abilene Christian can run away with this game over Drexel, so the line is definitely a bit small. The official number I'm getting is an 8.5 point victory for the Wildcats. They've covered all but their first game of the season against Utah and should be able to keep it rolling today. Drexel has looked solid but I'll fade them on the road in Texas, lay it with Abilene.

Rating; 2 Units

The Wildcats look unbeatable right now. They are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS this season. Kenpom ranks them as the 18th best offense and the 7th best defense. All of the Illini's production has come from Kofi Cockburn. They are missing two rotation guards. The Wildcats will be able to slow down Cockburn and the Illini will have no answer. This line is way off. Take the undefeated Wildcats to win this game.

Rating: 2 Units

I missed picking on Youngstown State last time but I think they bounce back nicely here today, they've still covered two of their last three contests. My model is making this a 9 point win for Youngstown and I'll gladly take three points of value on a home team. Canisius has not covered in any of their last five games and the Penguins should take care of business. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

 I wonder if this is the first time in NBA history that a team on at least a seven-game winning streak is a home dog of at least nine points. I'd be surprised if it has happened before. I fully expect Milwaukee to win, but I have to take this number on Houston considering how well and hard the Rockets are playing. They are 4-0 ATS in their past four as home dogs.

Rating: 2 Units

The Timberwolves have said that D’Angelo Russell (ankle) probably won’t play in this game, which would mark his third straight absence. Losing one of their top scorers for a matchup with a team that has the third-best defensive rating in the league could have them facing an uphill battle. They will need more scoring from Karl-Anthony Towns, but he’ll likely spend of most of the game being defended by the stout duo of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. I like the Cavaliers chances here.

Rating: 2 Units

The Blue Demons look really good. They are 7-1 ATS and their offense is on fire. They are averaging 85.3 PPG on 49.2 percent from the field. The Cardinals haven’t been good at home. They are just 1-3 ATS at home. I am low on Louisville this year, especially against good opponents. The Cardinals only defensive struggle is that they let up too many points in the paint. DePaul does a great job of getting points at the basket. The Blue Demons will keep this game close enough to cover. Take the points.

Rating: 2 Units

 The various models have the New Jersey Institute of Technology winning by about three points, so just in case I'll do the moneyline here. Not a great schedule today so may be the only pick -- there's actually one game that pits Yellowstone Christian (didn't know existed) against Montana. That's going to divide the Dutton family for sure! It's akin to Auburn-Alabama on the Yellowstone ranch. Great show. I digress. NJIT has won three straight games. Miles Coleman and Dylan O’Hearn are among the America East’s Top 10 scoring leaders with O’Hearn (19.9 ppg) first and Coleman (14.9 ppg) seventh. O'Hearn comes off a school Division I record 42-point game against Lafayette. NJIT also is good defensively, leading the America East in field-goal defense at 38.0 percent. Army is 0-3 on the road and has covered only one of its past six vs. teams with a winning record.

Rating: 2 Units

At 3-6, Arizona State’s expectations are long gone for a salvageable season. On Thursday, the Sun Devils face a motivated Grand Canyon team that has two Arizona State transfers in Taeshon Cherry and Holland Woods. Look for ASU’s strength of schedule to pay dividends Thursday.. The Devils have faced heavyweight matchups in tournaments and have already played two Pac-12 games. Take ASU on the small line.

Rating: 2 Units

Iowa State was putrid last season but under first-year head coach T.J. Otzelberger, ISU brought in seven transfers and is one of a handful of unbeatens left in the nation. The Cyclones rank Top 15 nationally in turnover margin and steals per game. ISU is No. 21 in the NCAA's NET rankings and has three Quad 1-2 wins, one of eight teams with that many nationally. Iowa, meanwhile, has dropped two straight. Are the Hawkeyes the better team? Probably, but I'm absolutely taking this many points on a home team in a rivalry game.

Rating: 2 Units

Gonzaga has not looked great in its past three games, losing two and beating Tarleton by just nine. Will the Zags lose here? Obviously not, but Merrimack is a solid NEC team with all five starters back from last season. Thus, this veteran bunch shouldn't be intimidated and can hang within 25-30. The Warriors also will play VERY slow to keep the possessions to a minimum. The Zags may be looking ahead a bit to spanking in-state Big Brother Washington on Sunday.

Rating: 2 Units

St. John’s will be in for a test Thursday against Monmouth. The Hawks are 7-1 overall and their only loss was by two points against Charlotte. Moreover, they start five seniors including former Big East Seton Hall guard Shavar Reynolds. Yet, St. John’s has a knack of speeding up teams. That does not bode well for Monmouth. Take the Red Storm.

Rating: 2 Units

I had no intention of playing this game, but Memphis just ruled out second-leading scorer Dillon Brooks due to protocols. That's on top of Ja Morant, Brandon Clarke, Ziaire Williams and perhaps Kyle Anderson (missed past four and is questionable) out. There's no way the Lakers should lose even on the road, but I'm not interested in giving four points, either.

Rating: 2 Units

Both of these teams just played Wednesday, so rest days could be coming. The Jazz didn’t have to push their starters in a lopsided win over the Timberwolves, but the Sixers were forced to battle to the final minute against the Hornets. I think Mike Conley Jr. is the most notable potential rest candidate on the Jazz. On the Sixers, this could be a spot for them to sit Joel Embiid. He’s been healthy for two back-to-back sets this season and in one of them, he missed a game for rest. This line could move a lot if he’s ruled out, so I’ll grab it now and take a chance.

Rating: 2 Units

The Boilermakers are the number one team in the country and for good reason. They are 8-0 straight up and have the best offense in the country. The Scarlett Knights have been terrible this season. They are 1-7 ATS and struggling on both ends of the court. Rutgers’ Geo Baker is unlikely to play again in this one. The Scarlett Knights are coming off of a 35 point loss to Illinois. The Boilermakers are going to dominate the Scarlett Knights and cover this spread easily. Lay the points.

Rating: 2 Units

I'm always pleased when the model decides to pick against an 0-7 ATS team. Idaho State has just looked terrible this year and I have them losing by 14.5. It would not be the least bit shocking to see this get to twenty points. I'd take almost any spread against them right now but it definitely helps that California is 6-2 ATS. The Bears can play cohesive basketball, which is all it takes to cover against the Bengals. Lay it.

Rating: 2 Units

The Spartans rarely play well at Minnesota -- must be that silly raised floor. Last year, they lost by 25 in Minneapolis. This is only MSU's second true road game of the season and in their first one they faced a very short-handed Butler team. I do believe the unbeaten Gophers are playing over their heads right now, but first-year coach Ben Johnson did a great job rebuilding on the fly by landing some great transfers -- Minnesota's top four scorers are are all transfers. This should be a defensive slugfest and I'd be more surprised if MSU covers than I would if the Gophers win outright.

Rating: 2 Units

This is simply one of those games where there's no doubt the visiting team will win but the home team is getting too many points by a handful. Arkansas State dating to last season is 3-9 ATS in its past 12 games vs. a team with a losing record. UAPB is just 1-9 SU but has played a brutal schedule with every game but one on the road. Last season Pine Bluff upset the Red Wolves in Jonesboro.