At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Georgia Bulldogs (671) plus the points versus the Mississippi Rebels (672) in the first round of the SEC tournament. THE SITUATION: Georgia (15-16) has lost two straight games as well as three of their last four contests with their 94-64 loss at LSU as an 8.5-point underdog last Thursday. Ole Miss (15-16) had their two-game winning streak end last Thursday with their 69-44 loss at Mississippi State as a 6-point underdog. The SEC tournament is being played on a neutral court at Bridgestone Arena which is home to the Nashville Predators in the NHL.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS PLUS THE POINTS: Georgia played their second-worst defensive game of the season (and their worst in their last fourteen games) by allowing the Tigers to nail 57.6% of their shots. The Bulldogs are a young team with three freshmen in the starting lineup — so that humiliating loss should give head coach Tom Crean plenty of fodder to have his team ready to play in this game. Georgia has covered the point spread in 22 of their last 29 games after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 29 games after a loss by at least 20 points on the road. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least 30 points. And in their last 15 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last contest, Georgia has covered the point spread in 12 of these games. Led by a likely top-five pick in the NBA draft in June in Anthony Edwards, the Bulldogs do have talent. They led the SEC by making 52.8% of their shots inside the arc — and they have made a healthy 46.2% of their shots over their last five games (despite an underachieving 36.2% mark against LSU which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last seven games). Georgia has scored a healthy 77.4 PPG in those last five games. They have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games as an underdog. Mississippi has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after failing to score more than 50 points in their last game. The Rebels stay on the road where they are just 3-11 while making just 37.1% of their shots which results in only 60.6 PPG. Ole Miss is 13th in the SEC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Georgia will be looking to avenge a 70-60 loss at Mississippi back on January 25th. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 26 games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. Don’t be surprised if Georgia pulls the upset — but take the points for some insurance. 10* CBB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Georgia Bulldogs (671) plus the points versus the Mississippi Rebels (672). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Georgia State Panthers (668) minus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (667) in the Quarterfinals of the Sun Belt Conference tournament. THE SITUATION: Georgia State (19-12) snapped their three-game losing streak back on March 3rd with their 89-70 win over Arkansas-Little Rock as a 3.5-point favorite. Georgia Southern (19-13) advanced to the Quarterfinals of this tournament with their 82-81 win over UL-Lafayette on Monday where they were 8.5-point favorites. Georgia State is the host school for the Sun Belt tournament with the games being played in the GSU Sports Center.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS MINUS THE POINTS: The Eagles shot 53.3% from the field on Monday in that win which was the best shooting effort in their last seven games. But they also made only 10 of their 20 free throws — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to make more than 53% of their free throws in their last contest. Missing freebies has been an Achilles’ heel for this team as they were last in the Sun Belt by making just 67% of their free throws — and they ranked 277th in the nation overall by hitting just 67.7% of their free throws the season. Georgia Southern may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of the rest 19 games after a win by 6 points or less — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a narrow win by 3 points or less. Now this team goes back on the road after playing their last two games at home where they make only 43.0% of their field goal attempts — so missing free throws could hurt this team. The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 19 road games as an underdog getting 6 points or less. Furthermore, Georgia Southern has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games in March. Additionally, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games when playing their second game in three days. Georgia State should have a big advantage when it comes to energy with their eight days off — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games when playing with at last a week off between games. The Panthers’ style under first-year head coach Rob Lanier emphasizes launching plenty of 3s with their four-out attack while crashing the offensive glass and using pressure to force turnovers. Georgia State is 2nd in the Sun Belt by pulling down 35.8% of their missed shots — and they are also 2nd in the conference by forcing turnovers in 20.8% of their conference opponents. The Panthers took 41.2% of their shots from behind the arc in conference play — and they rank 13th in the nation by nailing 40.3% of their 3-pointers when playing at home. Georgia State is 12-2 at home with an average winning margin of +15.2 PPG — and they were led by a stingy defense that limited their guests to just 38.8% shooting which resulted in only 68.4 PPG. The Panthers are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 home games — and they are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Georgia State should build off the momentum of their victory over the Trojans as they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after a win by at least 15 points — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Panthers have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games in expected higher scoring games with the Total set in the 150s.

FINAL TAKE: Georgia State will be looking to avenge a 79-70 upset loss at home to Georgia Southern back on February 28th where they were 5-point favorites. The Panthers have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games when avenging a same-season loss — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Tournament Game of the Year with the Georgia State Panthers (668) minus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (667). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the opening round of the Conference USA tournament between the Florida Atlantic Owls (675) and the Old Dominion Monarchs (676). THE SITUATION: FAU (16-15) has lost two straight games as well as six of their last seven contests with their 94-82 loss at Marshall as a 5.5-point favorite last Wednesday. Old Dominion (13-18) has lost three of their last five games with their 72-63 loss at UAB as a 2-point favorite on last Saturday. The Conference USA tournament is being played on a neutral court at the Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Owls allowed the Thundering Herd to nail 53.4% of their shots which was the second-worst defensive effort of their season (and worst over their last fourteen games). FAU has then played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Owls have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss against a conference rival. Now FAU stays on the road where they are making just 40.1% of their shots which is resulting in only 65.6 PPG. The Under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games played on a neutral court — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games on a neutral court as an underdog. The Owls have also played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total when playing their second game in eight days. And in their last 10 games when listed in the +/- 3 point range, FAU has played 8 of these games Under the Total. Old Dominion allowed the Blazers to make 51.1% of their shots which was the highest field goal percentage in their last four games. The Monarchs did hold UAB to just four offensive rebounds in that contest — and they have then played 10 of their last 12 games on the road Under the Total after not allowing more than 5 offensive rebounds in their last game. Old Dominion is 7th in the nation by limiting its opponents to rebounding just 21.7% of their missed shots. The Monarchs stay on the road where they are making only 39.6% of their shots which results in just 60.2 PPG. Old Dominion is 339th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 43.1% when playing away from home. The Monarchs have played 39 of their last 51 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and they have also played 21 of their last 26 games when playing on a neutral court as the favorite. Old Dominion has also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total in tournament action.

FINAL TAKE: The Monarchs are a strong defensive team that ranked 3rd in Conference USA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rank 57th in the nation Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing away from home. FAU has an effective field goal percentage of 46% when playing away from home which is just 279th in the country. 25* CBB Conference USA Total of the Year with Under the Total in the opening round of the Conference USA tournament between the Florida Atlantic Owls (675) and the Old Dominion Monarchs (676). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:30 AM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Sacramento State Hornets (625) minus the points versus the Weber State Wildcats (626) in the first round of the Big Sky tournament. THE SITUATION: Sacramento State (15-14) has lost two straight games as well as four of their last six contests after their 76-72 loss at Portland State as a 4.5-point underdog on Saturday. Weber State (12-19) has lost three of their last four games with their 78-69 loss at Eastern Washington as an 11.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HORNETS MINUS THE POINTS: Bettors are backing the Wildcats with the hope that they can flip the switch to find the form that was expected for this team that was one of the preseason favorites to win the regular-season crown. Instead, Weber State stumbled to an 8-12 conference record. Injuries played a role with this team underachieving — but head coach Randy Rahe’s team struggled on defense all season with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranking of 301st in the nation when playing away from home. Getting healthy has not changed that disappointing play as they rank 314th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency over their last ten games. The team trends that help to identify the personality of this team and program under Rahe do not offer evidence that this team can flip the switch. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after a point spread win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games after a point spread win. Weber State has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up loss where they covered the point spread as an underdog. The Wildcats have particularly struggled on the road where they are just 4-13 with an average losing margin of -12.1 PPG. Weber State allows their opponents to make 48.5% of their shots away from home — and they are making only 42.4% of their shots in those games which results in just 61.8 PPG. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog played on a neutral court. Sacramento State made only 43.6% of their shots last Saturday which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last six games. But the Hornets have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after losing two of their last three games. Sacramento State does a couple of things that will help them create extra scoring chances if their shots are not falling. The Hornets are 2nd in the Big Sky by pulling down 33.0% of their missed chances — and the Wildcats are just 10th in the conference by allowing their opponents to pull down 30.0% of their missed shots. The Hornets also lead the Big Sky by forcing turnovers in 21.6% of their possessions — and Weber State has turned the ball over in 18.9% of their possessions over their last ten games which is 130th in the country. Sacramento State has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games on the road against teams who are winning 20-40% of their games. The Hornets have also covered the point spread in 7 straight games played on a neutral court — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games when favored on a neutral court. Furthermore, Sacramento State has covered the point spread in 12 of its last 17 games when favored. Additionally, the Hornets have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Sacramento State will also be looking to avenge a 70-66 loss to Weber State back on February 6th — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games on the road when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. 10* CBB Wednesday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Sacramento State Hornets (625) minus the points versus the Weber State Wildcats (626). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Northern Kentucky Norse (616) minus the points versus the Illinois-Chicago Flames (615) in the Finals of the Horizon League conference tournament. THE SITUATION: Northern Kentucky (22-9) has won three of their last four games after their 80-69 win over Wisconsin-Green Bay last night as a 5.5-point favorite. Illinois-Chicago (18-16) has won three straight games as well as six of their last seven contests after their 73-56 upset win over Wright State yesterday as a 6-point underdog. This game will be played on a neutral court at Indiana Farmers Coliseum in Indianapolis.

REASONS TO TAKE THE NORSE MINUS THE POINTS: Northern Kentucky should continue to build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games on the road after winning a least two of their last three games. The Norse have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games when playing their second game in three days. Northern Kentucky won the Horizon League tournament last season under head coach John Brannen who then took the vacated job at Cincinnati in the offseason. The Norse also lost their best player in Drew McDonald. But the program landed a veteran head coach in Darrin Horn who has a decade of head coaching experience at Western Kentucky and South Carolina along with long tenures as an assistant at Marquette and Texas. Horn could have waited for a more high profile job in his return to head coaching but he liked the opportunity at Northern Kentucky. The cupboard was not empty when it comes to talent with guards Jalen Tate and Tyler Sharpe along with forward Dantez Walton back from last season. Injuries have kept this big three from playing together often this season with Tate and Walton missing ten games and eleven games respectively this season. When Tate went down early this season, Walton raised his level of play to lead this team with talk of him perhaps being the Horizon League’s best player before he went down with an injury. But this core is healthy again and have played together for the last seven games. Northern Kentucky has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games played on a neutral court — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games played on a neutral court as a favorite. Illinois-Chicago held the Raiders to just 28.3% of their shots which was the best defensive effort in their last six games. But the Flames have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 after not allowing their last opponent to shoot better than 33% from the field. Illinois-Chicago has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit victory. The Flames are one of the hottest teams in basketball — and they have covered the point spread in four of their last five games (and five of their last seven). But Illinois-Chicago has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games after winning four or five of their last six contests. The Flames’ biggest weakness is being too loose with the basketball as they turn the ball over in 21.2% of their possessions when playing away from home which ranks 287th in the nation. The Norse have forced turnovers in 20.1% of their opponent’s possessions in their last ten games which is 81st best in the country over that span.

FINAL TAKE: Northern Kentucky will have the additional motivation tonight to avenge a 73-43 loss at home to Illinois-Chicago back on February 16th despite being a 10-point favorite in that game. 25* CBB Horizon League Conference Game of the Year with the Northern Kentucky Norse (616) minus the points versus the Illinois-Chicago Flames (615). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Manhattan Jaspers (607) minus the points versus the Fairfield Stags (608) in the opening round of the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament. THE SITUATION: Manhattan (12-17) has lost three straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests with their 66-50 upset loss at home to Fairfield as a 5-point favorite. Fairfield (12-19) snapped a four-game losing streak with the upset victory last week. The MAAC tournament takes place on a neutral court at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City.

REASONS TO TAKE THE JASPERS MINUS THE POINTS: Manhattan allowed the Stags to make 61.9% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort for them this season. The Jaspers also made only 29.8% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last twenty-three games along with their second-worst offensive performance all season. Manhattan has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after an upset loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after not scoring more than 50 points in their last contest. And while the Jaspers trailed by a 34-17 score at halftime of that game, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after trailing by at least 15 points at halftime of their last game. Manhattan has also covered the point spread in 26 of their last 39 road games after losing six or seven of their last eight contests. This has been a better team in tournament play under head coach Steve Masiello. The Jaspers have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 33 games in the MAAC tournament — and they have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 road games in an opening contest in a tournament. Additionally, Manhattan has covered the point spread in 4 straight games played on a neutral court — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games as a favorite playing on a neutral court. Fairfield played their best offensive game of the season with that win over the Jaspers last week. And by holding Manhattan to just 29.8% shooting, they come off their best defensive contest in their last seven games with that being the third-lowest opponent’s field goal percentage for them this season. But the Stags have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing their last opponent to shoot better than 33% from the field. Fairfield has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after suffering an upset loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games on the road after a win over a conference rival. Additionally, the Stags are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Fairfield had failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after not allowing more than 55 points in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games after not allowing more than 50 points in their last contest.

FINAL TAKE: Despite enjoying their best shooting effort all season last Thursday against the Jaspers, the Stags are still only making 37.6% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in just 55.8 PPG. 10* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Manhattan Jaspers (607) minus the points versus the Fairfield Stags (608). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the BYU Cougars (894) minus the points versus the Saint Mary’s Gaels (893) in the semifinals of the West Coast Conference tournament. THE SITUATION: BYU (24-7) takes the court again tonight having won nine straight games after their 81-64 victory at Pepperdine back on February 29th as a 6.5-point favorite. Saint Mary’s (24-7) advanced to the semifinals of this tournament with their 89-82 victory over Pepperdine in double-overtime on Saturday as a 7-point favorite. This game will be played on a neutral court at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.

REASONS TO TAKE THE COUGARS MINUS THE POINTS: BYU has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a victory over a conference rival where they scored at least 80 points. The Cougars are an outstanding shooting basketball team — they are 5th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency while leading the nation by making 42.0% of their shots from behind the arc. BYU made 53.1% of their shots in their victory over the Waves. That was the third straight game where the Cougars shot at least 48.4% of their shots — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after making at least 47% of their shots in three straight games. BYU has also scored at least 81 points in three straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 80 points in three straight games. The Cougars make 49.2% of their shots away from home which results in them scoring 77.1 PPG — and they lead the nation with a 42.4% shooting percentage from 3-point land when playing on the road. BYU also leads the West Coast Conference by forcing turnovers in 19.0% of their opponent’s possessions. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games when favored. Saint Mary’s has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. And while the Gaels have played four straight games Over the Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after playing at least three straight Overs. BYU has a field goal percentage of 50.4% — and Saint Mary’s has failed to cover the point spread in 34 of their last 52 road games against teams who make at least 48% of their shots. The Gaels also allow their opponents to make 35.4% of their shots from behind the arc when they are playing away from home. Saint Mary’s has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 22 games when playing on a neutral court with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. The Gaels have also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games as an underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 29 games played on a neutral court as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Saint Mary’s will be looking to avenge an 81-79 loss at BYU back on February 1st — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when attempting to avenge a loss on the road to their opponent. 25* CBB West Coast Conference Game of the Year with BYU Cougars (894) minus the points versus the Saint Mary’s Gaels (893). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (863) plus the points versus the South Dakota Coyotes (864) in the Quarterfinals of the Summit League conference tournament. THE SITUATION: North Dakota (12-17) has lost their last two games after losing at South Dakota last Saturday by a 77-67 score as a 7.5-point favorite. South Dakota (20-11) snapped a three-game losing streak with that victory. This game is being played on a neutral court in Sioux Falls.

REASONS TO TAKE THE FIGHTING HAWKS PLUS THE POINTS: North Dakota made only 5 of their 10 free throw attempts in that game which is uncharacteristic for this team that ranks 22nd in the nation by making 76.6% of their free throws this season. The Fighting Hawks have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to shoot better than 53% of their free throws in their last game. This is a good shooting basketball team that ranks 25th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 52.4% when playing away from home on neutral courts or hostile environments. North Dakota is led by an All-League performer in guard Marlon Stewart. This team usually plays its best basketball in tournament situations. The Fighting Hawks have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 tournament contests — and they have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games in the Summit League conference tournament. Furthermore, North Dakota has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in March. Additionally, the Fighting Hawks are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games played on a neutral court — and they are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games on a neutral court as an underdog. South Dakota does nail 39.0% of their 3-pointers — but North Dakota has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after fifteen games into the season against teams who shoot at least 37% from 3-point land. The Coyotes shot 54.2% from the field in their victory last Saturday which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. But this South Dakota team shoots only 45.1% when playing any from home. While the Coyotes rank 9th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 54.8%, that number drops to a 51.6% clip when they are playing away from home arena. South Dakota has failed to cover the point spread 6 of their last 8 games played on a neutral court — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games played on a neutral court. The Coyotes win over the Fighting Hawks finished below the 155 point total — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. And in their last 7 games played with at least seven days of rest, South Dakota has failed to cover the point spread 5 times.

FINAL TAKE: The Coyotes swept the two regular-season games with North Dakota this season as they also defeated them on the road by an 82-68 score on February 8th. This is considered a semi-home game for South Dakota with it being played in Sioux Falls — but it is still 116 miles away from their home campus in Vermillion. Look for the Fighting Hawks give the Coyotes their biggest fight in this single-elimination contest. 25* CBB Summit League Game of the Year with the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (863) plus the points versus the South Dakota Coyotes (864). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Ohio Valley Conference championship game between the Murray State Racers (751) and the Belmont Bruins (752). THE SITUATION: Murray State (23-8) reached the finals of this tournament with their 73-61 win over Austin Peay as a 1-point favorite yesterday. Belmont (25-7) joined them yesterday as they won their eleventh straight game with their 60-50 win over Eastern Kentucky as a 13.5-point favorite. This game is being played on a neutral court in Evansville, Indiana.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Racers have played 9 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Murray State is playing excellent defense right now after holding the Governors to just 39.3% shooting. The Racers have held their last five opponents to just 39.6% shooting from the field which has resulted in only 61.0 PPG. Moving forward, Murray State has played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 12 games as an underdog, the Racers have played 9 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Belmont has played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a victory over a conference opponent. They also have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Bruins made only 33.8% of their shots in that game — but they held Eastern Kentucky to just 29.9% shooting to win the game handily. Belmont has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a game where neither team scored more than 60 points. The Bruins have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court as the favorite.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a defensive struggle between the top two defenses in the Ohio Valley Conference in terms of Adjusted Efficiency. Murray State has played 7 of their last 8 games after fifteen games into the season Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and Belmont has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB Ohio Valley Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the Ohio Valley Conference championship game between the Murray State Racers (751) and the Belmont Bruins (752). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Mountain West Conference tournament championship game between the Utah State Aggies (741) and the San Diego State Aztecs (742). THE SITUATION: Utah State (25-8) has won two straight games as well as eight of their last nine games with their 89-82 win over Wyoming as a 15-point favorite yesterday. San Diego State (30-1) has won their last four games after suffering their first loss of the season with their 81-68 win over Boise State yesterday. This game will be played on a neutral court at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Aggies outlasted the Cowboys by shooting 56.1% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last eleven games. Utah State has then played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total on the road after a point spread win. The Aggies have also played 13 of their last 15 games Under the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. And while yesterday’s game flew Over the 136 point Total, Utah State has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. San Diego State has played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They also have played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after a game where they scored at least 80 points. The Aztecs rank 10th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency this season. In their fifteen games away from home this year, San Diego State has held these opponents to just 39.9% shooting and only 60.9 PPG. The Aztecs have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total that were played on a neutral court. San Diego State has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total in tournament action. And while Utah State makes 46.1% of their shots this season, the Aztecs have played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total against teams who shoot at least 455 from the field. The Aggies are outscoring their opponents by +12.7 PPG — but San Diego State has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: Utah State hopes to avenge an 80-68 loss to San Diego State back on February 1st — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total when motivated by revenge. The Aggies have also played 6 straight games Under the Total when avenging a double-digit loss on the road. Expect a lower scoring game between the top two defensive teams (in terms of Adjusted Efficiency) in the conference). 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the Mountain West Conference tournament championship game between the Utah State Aggies (741) and the San Diego State Aztecs (742). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Baylor Bears (613) plus the points versus the West Virginia Mountaineers (614). THE SITUATION: Baylor (26-3) has won two of their last three games with their 71-68 win in overtime at home against Texas Tech on Monday as a 7-point favorite. West Virginia (20-10) had lost six of their last seven games before they defeated Iowa State on the road on Tuesday by a 77-71 score as a 6-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BEARS PLUS THE POINTS: Baylor shot just 36.5% from the field on Monday in what was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. But the Bears have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a point spread win. They go back on the road this season where they are 12-2 with an average winning margin of +10.0 PPG. They hold their home hosts to just 41% shooting which has resulted in just 61.1 PPG. Baylor is 38-18-1 ATS in their last 59 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games against teams with a winning percentage of at least 60% on their home court. The Bears have also covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games on the road getting the points. Furthermore, Baylor has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. West Virginia made 44.3% of their shots on Tuesday in what was the best shooting effort in their last eight games. But the Mountaineers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after covering the point spread in their last game. West Virginia returns home where they are 13-2 this season — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when favored. The Mountaineers have lost two of their last three home games while scoring only 58.7 PPG on just 35.9% shooting. West Virginia has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

FINAL TAKE: West Virginia will be looking to avenge a 70-59 loss at Baylor back on February 15th — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when avenging a loss where they did not reach 60 points. 10* CBB Baylor-West Virginia ESPN Special with the Baylor Bears (613) plus the points versus the West Virginia Mountaineers (614). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Kentucky Wildcats (615) plus the points versus the Florida Gators (616). THE SITUATION: Kentucky (24-6) saw their eight-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 81-73 upset loss at home to Tennessee despite being an 8.5-point favorite. Florida (19-11) has won two of their last three games after their 68-54 win at Georgia as a 2-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WILDCATS PLUS THE POINTS: Kentucky allowed the Volunteers to make 52.8% of their shots which was not only the second-highest opponent’s field goal percentage for them all season but also the worst defensive performance in their last twenty games. The Wildcats should rebound with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. They also have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after winning two of their last three games. Now Kentucky goes back on the road where they are 8-4 this season. The deeper analytics rank the Wildcats as the 6th best road team in the nation when looking at Adjusted Net Efficiency. They have covered the point spread in 4 straight games on the road — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games as an underdog. Furthermore, the Wildcats have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Florida has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after a win on the road against an SEC rival. The Gators have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 home games after allowing no more than 60 points in their last contest. And while Florida has covered the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then failed to cover the point spread 4 of their last 5 games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. The Gators return home where they are 11-3 this season — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 26 games on their home court. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 18 home games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, Florida has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of these contests.

FINAL TAKE: The Gators are looking to avenge a 65-59 loss at Kentucky back on February 22nd — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games when attempting to avenge a loss on the road. 25* CBB SEC Underdog of the Year with the Kentucky Wildcats (615) plus the points versus the Florida Gators (616). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Commonwealth Rams (861) and the Davidson Wildcats (862). THE SITUATION: VCU (18-12) has lost six of their last seven games with their 80-77 loss at home to Duquesne on Wednesday as a 5.5-point favorite. Davidson (15-14) has lost their last two contests after their 80-63 loss at Richmond on Wednesday as a 5.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: VCU has seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread setback. They have also played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a game where at least 155 combined points were scored

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Yale Bulldogs (849) minus the points versus the Dartmouth Big Green (850). THE SITUATION: Yale (22-6) has won four straight games with their 66-63 win over Princeton last Saturday as an 8-point favorite. Dartmouth (12-15) has won five of their last six games with their 76-57 win at Columbia last Saturday as a 2-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS MINUS THE POINTS: Yale has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games on the road after a straight-up victory where they did not cover the point spread as a favorite. And while the Bulldogs have only covered the point spread once in their last five games, they have then covered the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games on the road after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. They go back on the road where they are 12-5 this season while holding their home hosts to just 39.1% shooting which results in only 65.5 PPG. Yale has covered the point spread in 15 of the last 20 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 45 of their last 57 road games when favored. Yale is a great shooting basketball team that ranks 20th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 51.1%. And while the Big Green hold their opponents to just 41.8% shooting from the field, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against teams who do not allow their opponents to make more than 42% of their shots. Dartmouth played their second-best defensive game of the season last week by holding Columbia to just 33.3% shooting. But they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a point spread win. The Big Green returns home after playing their last two games on the road but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after playing their last two games on the road. Furthermore, Dartmouth has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Dartmouth looks to avenge a 75-57 loss at Yale back on February 8th — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 51 of their last 78 games at home when attempting to avenge a double-digit loss. 10* CBB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with the Yale Bulldogs (849) minus the points versus the Dartmouth Big Green (850). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Clemson Tigers (854) minus the points versus the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (853). THE SITUATION: Clemson (15-14) has lost two of their last three games with their 70-58 loss at Virginia Tech as a 1.5-point underdog on Wednesday. Georgia Tech (16-14) has won three straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 73-57 win over Pittsburgh on Wednesday as a 6-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS MINUS THE POINTS: Clemson looks to bounce-back from one of their worst games of the season against the Hokies. They made only 35.1% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last seven games. They also allowed Virginia Tech to make 54.2% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have allowed all season. The Tigers allowed Florida State to make 50% of their shots in their previous game — but they have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 home games after allowing two straight opponents to shoot at least 50% of their shots. Head coach Brad Brownell’s team has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games when playing with one or no days of rest. They return home where they are 11-5 this season with an average winning margin of +8.3 PPG. The Tigers play the 32nd stingiest defense in the nation when playing at home according to their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — they limit their guests to just 40.4% shooting which translates into only 62.6 PPG. Clemson should shoot better tonight — they have still made 47.9% of their shots over their last five games even after the difficult shooting effort against the Hokies. Clemson takes tons of 3s — but they do lead the ACC by making 53.2% of their shots inside the arc. Their efficiency inside the arc improves at home as they are making 56.5% of their 2-point shots which is the 26th best mark in the nation. Georgia Tech does hold their opponents to just 40.2% shooting — but the Tigers have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 33 games after fifteen games into the season when facing a team that does not allow their opponents to shoot better from 42% from the field. And while the Yellow Jackets shoot 45.3% from the field, Clemson has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after fifteen games into the season against teams who make at least 45% of their shots. Georgia Tech may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a victory by at least 15 points. They made 49.1% of their shots in what was the best shooting effort in their last four games. They also held the Panthers to 30.9% shooting which was the best defensive performance in their last fourteen games. But this will be the Yellow Jackets third game since Saturday — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games when playing their third game in seven days. Additionally, Georgia Tech has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after winning two straight games against conference opponents — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after winning at least three in a row against ACC foes. The Yellow Jackets go back on the road where they are 6-8 this season. Georgia Tech has covered the point spread in five of their last six games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 39 road games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. The Jackets have also failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 24 road games with the Total set in the 130 to 134.5 point range. Georgia Tech has two weaknesses that undermine the tough defense they play for head coach Josh Pastner. The Yellow Jackets foul too much to give their opponents freebies at the charity stripe — especially on the road. Georgia Tech ranks 315th in the nation with an opponent’s Free Throw Attempt-to-Field Goal Attempt ratio of 44.4% when playing away from home. The Yellow Jackets also turn the ball over in 22.8% of their possessions which is 342nd in the nation — and Clemson forces turnovers in 19.9% of their opponent’s possessions which is a solid 105th best in the nation.

FINAL TAKE: Clemson will have revenge on their minds as well for this game after losing to Georgia Tech in Atlanta by a 68-59 score back on February 25th. Not only have the Tigers covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 opportunities to play with revenge but they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when looking to avenge a loss where they did not score at least 60 points. 25* CBB Friday ESPN2 Game of the Year with the Clemson Tigers (854) minus the points versus the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (853). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Utah State Aggies (704) minus the points versus the New Mexico Lobos (703) in the Quarterfinals of the Mountain West Conference tournament. THE SITUATION: Utah State (23-8) saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 66-64 upset loss in Albuquerque at New Mexico where they were 8-point favorites. New Mexico (19-13) has won two straight games after their 79-66 victory over San Jose State in the opening round of this tournament yesterday. This tournament is being played on a neutral court in the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas.

REASONS TO TAKE THE AGGIES MINUS THE POINTS: Utah State allowed the Lobos to make 44.8% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last four games. They should rebound with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after suffering an upset loss on the road as a favorite laying at least 8 points. Utah State has also covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss. And while the Aggies have played their last two games Under the Total, they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after playing their last two games Under the Total. Utah State has made 48.0% of their shots over their last five games which has resulted in them scoring 76.4 PPG. They also have held their last five opponents to just 39.6% shooting which has produced only 62.2 PPG. This has also been a winning team away from home with their 8-7 record in road games and games played on a neutral court. The Aggies have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games played on a neutral court. They also have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games as the favorite. New Mexico made 47.5% of their shots yesterday which was theist shooting effort in their last seven games. But the Lobos have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after a win by at least 10 points. New Mexico has also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after a point spread victory. The Lobos were 15-3 when playing at home in the Pit — but they are just 4-10 when playing on the road or neutral courts. New Mexico has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games played on a neutral court as an underdog. The Lobos has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games as a dog. Furthermore, New Mexico has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better.

FINAL TAKE: Utah State should control the offensive glass tonight as they look to avenge their loss to end the regular season. The Aggies rank 2nd in the Mountain West Conference by pulling down 30.2% of their missed shots — and the Lobos allow their conference opponents to rebound 31.5% of their misses which is 11th in conference. 10* CBB Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the Utah State Aggies (704) minus the points versus the New Mexico Lobos (703). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Missouri-Kansas City Kangaroos (679) and the Utah Valley State Wolverines (680). THE SITUATION: UMKC (15-14) has won three games in a row with their 80-58 win over Chicago State last Saturday as a 20-point favorite. Utah Valley State (11-18) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Wednesday in a 73-66 loss at Cal-Baptist where they were 6-point underdogs.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Kansas City has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 24 of their last 33 road games Over the Total after a point spread loss. And while the Kangaroos have covered the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. UMKC is hot with its shooting right now as they are making 48.5% of their shots over their last five contests. Now they go back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total. The Kangaroos have also played 8 of their last 10 games on the road Over the Total as an underdog. Utah Valley State made only 43.9% of their shots last week in their loss to Cal-Baptist — that was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. The Wolverines have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. And while Utah Valley State has lost five of their last seven games, they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after losing five or six of their last seven contests. Over their last five games, they are still making 49.8% of their shots which has resulted in them averaging 76.8 PPG. They have also allowed 75.0 PPG over those last five games. They return home where they are scoring 74.9 PPG while allowing their opponents to average 70.4 PPG. Hosting this Kangaroos team will help their shooting as UMKC is 285th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 53.8% when they are playing on the road. Utah Valley State has played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Wolverines have also played 13 of their last 17 home games Over the Total as a favorite or pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: Utah Valley State makes only 30.3% of their shots from behind the arc — but the Kangaroos have played 14 of their last 17 games Ove the Total against opponents who do not shoot better than 31% from behind the 3-point line. 25* CBB Western Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Missouri-Kansas City Kangaroos (679) and the Utah Valley State Wolverines (680). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Drake Bulldogs (712) minus the points versus the Illinois State Redbirds (711) in the first round of the Missouri Valley Conference tournament. THE SITUATION: Drake (18-13) has lost three straight games after their 70-43 loss at home to Northern Iowa as a 3.5-point underdog on Saturday. Illinois State (10-20) has won two of their last three games with their 71-60 upset win at Evansville as a 2.5-point underdog last Saturday. The Missouri Valley Conference tournament is played on a neutral court at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis, Missouri.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS MINUS THE POINTS: Drake made only 30.2% of their shots which was the lowest shooting mark in their last twenty games. The Bulldogs made only 3 of their 21 shots from behind the arc (14.3%) in their loss to the Panthers — but the have then covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games on the road after a game where they did not make at least 20% of their 3-point attempts. Drake should shoot better tonight as they have made 36.3% of their shots from downtown in their last ten games away from home in games played on neutral courts and true road games. The Bulldogs should respond with a strong effort as they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after a double-digit loss which includes them covering the point spread in those last four opportunities. Drake has been a reliable team when playing on neutral courts as well as they are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games on a neutral court — and they are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games played on a neutral court when favored. Illinois State played their best defensive game of the season against the Purple Aces by holding them to just 32.8% shooting. But the Redbirds are only 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. They stay on the road where they are just 1-14 this season with an average losing margin of -10.4 PPG. Illinois State allows their opponents to make 47.2% of their shots when playing away from home which results in them scoring 75.5 PPG. They also make just 42.2% of their shots in those fifteen games away from Normal. The Redbirds have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing on a neutral court. Illinois State is also just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games when playing as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Drake will be looking to avenge a 57-53 upset loss at Illinois State where they were 1.5-point underdogs back on February 22nd. The Bulldogs play sound fundamental basketball as they made 52.9% of their shots inside the arc which is 2nd best in the MVC. They also hold their opponents to just 46.0% shooting inside the arc which is 2nd best in the Missouri Valley Conference. Illinois State may struggle to score as they make only 45.9% of their shots inside the arc which is 10th in the conference. 25* CBB Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Year with the Drake Bulldogs (712) minus the points versus the Illinois State Redbirds (711). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Creighton Bluejays (778) minus the points versus the Georgetown Hoyas (777). THE SITUATION: Creighton (22-7) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 91-71 upset loss at St. John’s as a 5.5-point favorite. Georgetown (15-14) has lost four games in a row after their 66-63 loss at home against Xavier as a 3.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUEJAYS MINUS THE POINTS: Creighton played one of their worst games of the season after perhaps enjoying their most positive stint of the year during their previous five-game run. The Bluejays allowed the Red Storm to make 55% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last twenty-three games. They also made only 37.3% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. But Creighton has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a loss by at least 15 points. The Bluejays have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread defeat. Creighton has still won nine of their last eleven games — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after winning at least six or seven of their last eight games. The Bluejays return home where they are 16-1 this season with an average winning margin of +15.7 PPG. Creighton holds their opponents to just 39.7% shooting from the field — and they also make 49.5% of their shots at home which translates into 83.1 PPG. The Bluejays have covered the point spread in 4 straight games on their home court with four victories all by at least 11 points. Creighton has also covered the point spread in 24 of their last 34 home games against teams who do not have a winning percentage better than 40% on the road. Additionally, the Bluejays have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 home games with the Total set in the 150 to 154.5 point range. This team ranks 5th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency according to KenPom — and the analytics also say they have the best Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing at home. Creighton has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 home games as a favorite in the 6.5 to 12 point range — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 straight games against teams with a winning record. Georgetown has been reduced to an eight-man rotation after four programs left the program in December. Head coach Patrick Ewing’s team will be furthered shorthanded tonight with Omer Yertseven and Mac McClung both doubtful with ankle and foot injuries. Those two players are the Hoyas’ top two possession and shot takers on the team — so their potential loss is devastating. As it is, Georgetown has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread win. They are making only 41% of their shots over their last five games which have resulted in them scoring only 67.8 PPG. Now they go back on the road where they are just 4-6 — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games on the road. This team struggles in defending the perimeter as they rank 302nd in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 35.9% of their shots from behind the arc — and they allow their home hosts to nail 37.5% of their shots from 3-point land which is 298th in the nation. Creighton is 5th in the nation by making 42.1% of their 3-pointers when playing at home. The Hoyas have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games on their home court. Furthermore, Georgetown has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Creighton will be motivated to avenge an 83-80 loss at Georgetown back on January 15th. The Bluejays have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games when playing with revenge — and they have covered the point spread in 27 of their last 40 games when avenging a narrow loss by 3 points or less. 25* CBB Big East Game of the Year with the Creighton Bluejays (778) minus the points versus the Georgetown Hoyas (777). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Siena Saints (770) minus the points versus the Niagara Purple Eagles (769). THE SITUATION: Siena (17-10) has won seven straight games after their 52-50 win at Marist on Friday as a 6-point favorite. Niagara (11-18) has won two straight games as well as four of their last six contests with their 100-91 overtime victory over Iona as a 2.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SAINTS MINUS THE POINTS: Siena has played their last three games on the road where they were favored — and they have covered the point spread in their last 3 games after playing their last three games on the road where they were laying the points. They return home where they are a perfect 13-0 with an average winning margin of +10.2 PPG. The Saints are making 47.4% of their shots at home which is resulting in them scoring 73.8 PPG. They have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games when laying the points. Siena has also covered the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning percentage no better than 40% on the road. Niagara made a shot a season-high 58.7% from the field on Saturday in their overtime win over the Gaels. The Purple Eagles made 15 of their 25 shots from behind the arc in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games after making at least thirteen 3-pointers in their last game. Niagara has also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games after a game where they made at least 55% of their shots. Furthermore, the Purple Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a game where they scored at least 100 points in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after a game where they at least 155 combined points were scored. They go back on the road where they are just 2-15 with an average losing margin of -12.9 PPG. Niagara allows their home hosts to shoot 47.6% of their shots which results in them scoring 75.4 PPG. The Purple Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: Niagara’s upset win over Iona came on the heels of them upsetting St. Peter’s at home by a 63-54 scorer as a 5-point underdog. But the Purple Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games in March. 10* CBB Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Siena Saints (770) minus the points versus the Niagara Purple Eagles (769). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas-San Antonio Road Runners (801) and the Old Dominion Monarchs (802). THE SITUATION: UTSA (13-16) snapped their two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 66-59 victory over UAB as a 3-point favorite. Old Dominion (12-17) also ended their two-game losing streak when they defeated Florida Atlantic on Sunday by an 85-80 score as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: UTSA has played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a victory at home against a conference rival. The Roadrunners have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, UTSA has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Toal after holding their last opponent to no more than 60 points — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. The Roadrunners held the Blazers to just 36.1% shooting — but now they go back on the road where they allow their home hosts to make 46.5% of their shots which results in them scoring 82.9 PPG. Defense is an issue for this team as they rank 290th in the Adjusted Defensive Efficiency along with just 11th in conference play. UTSA has played 7 straight games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 6 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, the Roadrunners have played 11 of their last 15 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 6 points. UTSA is a solid offensive team that scores 77.8 PPG while averaging 65 shots per game along with 10 made 3-pointers per contest. Old Dominion has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who score at least 77 PPG. The Monarchs have all played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who average at least 62 shots per game — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games after fifteen games into the season against teams who make at least 8 shots from behind the arc per game. Old Dominion committed only eight personal fouls in their win over the Owls on Sunday with FAU getting whistled for 19 personal fouls — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after being called for at least 10 personal fouls than their opponent in their last game. The Monarchs have also played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight games against Conference USA foes. Now this team stays at home where they are 9-4 this season. Old Dominion has played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams who are not winning more than 40% on the road. The Monarchs have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams who are winning 40-49% of their games this season.

FINAL TAKE: Old Dominion will be looking to avenge an 85-81 loss at home to UTSA back on February 6th — and the Monarchs have played 18 of their last 21 home games when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Conference USA Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Texas-San Antonio Road Runners (801) and the Old Dominion Monarchs (802). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Xavier Musketeers (741) and the Providence Friars (742). THE SITUATION: Xavier (19-10) has won two straight games as well as six of their last eight contests with their 66-63 upset win at Georgetown as a 3.5-point favorite on Sunday. Providence (17-12) has won their last four games with their 58-54 win at Villanova as a 7.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 5-0-1 in the Musketeers last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a victory over a Big East rival. Xavier has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win where they did not cover the point spread. The Musketeers stay on the road where they are limiting their opponents to just 39.4% shooting from the field which results in them giving up only 68.1 PPG by their home hosts. Xavier also makes 43.7% of their shots away from home which is producing just 69.2 PPG. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Musketeers’ last 6 games on the road — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher on their home court. Xavier has also played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting up to 6 points. Providence has paled 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after pulling off an upset against a conference foe as an underdog getting at least 6 points — and this includes them playing five straight Unders in that situation. The Friars have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now this team returns home where they are 11-3 while holding their guests to just 39.1% shooting which results in these visitors scoring only 62.0 PPG. Providence ranks 13th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing at home. The Friars have played 21 of their last 28 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. They also have played 15 of their last 21 home games Under the Total when playing just their second game in seven days. Additionally, Providence has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 6 points. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Friars have played 5 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Providence will be looking to avenge a 64-58 loss at Xavier back on February 8th — and they have played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Xavier-Providence FS1-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Xavier Musketeers (741) and the Providence Friars (742). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Iowa Hawkeyes (648) minus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (647). THE SITUATION: Iowa (20-9) has won three of their last four games with their 77-68 victory at home against Penn State as a 5-point favorite on Saturday. Purdue (15-14) snapped a four-game losing streak with their 57-49 win at against Indiana where they were 6.5-point favorites on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HAWKEYES MINUS THE POINTS: Iowa should build off their momentum as they are 7-3-3 ATS in their last 13 games after a straight-up win — and they are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games after a point spread victory. The Hawkeyes stay at home where they are 14-1 this season with an average winning margin of +14.2 PPG. Iowa makes 47% of their shots on their home court which has resulted in them scoring 81.7 PPG. The Hawkeyes are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 home games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Additionally, Iowa is 12-2-2 ATS in their last 16 home games when favored — and they are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Hawkeyes rank 5th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. And while the Boilermakers launch 21 shots from behind the arc this season, Iowa has covered the point spread in 8 straight home games who take at least 21 shots from 3-point land per game. Purdue played their best defensive game of the season last week by limiting the Hoosiers to just 25.4% shooting from the field. But the Boilermakers have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games on the road after a victory at home against a Big Ten rival. Purdue has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. And while the Boilermakers are 14-4 at home this season, they are just 4-10 when playing on the road. They are making just 37.4% of their shots on the road which has resulted in only 60.0 PPG. Purdue makes only 28.1% of their 3-pointers and just 43.1% of their shots inside the arc on the road which ranks 318th and 335th in the nation. Their 42.8% effective field goal percentage on the road is just 338th in the country. These struggles with shooting the basketball have contributed to the Boilermakers going just 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 road games — and they are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better on their home court. Purdue has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games after a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored. The Boilermakers defeated Indiana despite them making only 37.5% of their shots. Purdue has a low 39.7% field goal percentage over their last five games — it will be difficult to keep up with this Iowa team that is highly efficient on offense.

FINAL TAKE: Iowa will be looking to avenge a brutal 104-68 loss at Purdue back on February 5th. The Hawkeyes have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 home games when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent. 25* CBB Big Ten Game of the Month with the Iowa Hawkeyes (648) minus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (647). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Arkansas State Red Wolves (605) plus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (606). THE SITUATION: Arkansas State (15-15) has lost eight straight games after their 77-74 loss at UL-Lafayette as a 3-point underdog last Wednesday. Georgia Southern (18-12) has won their last two games with their 79-70 upset win at Georgia State last Friday as a 5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RED WOLVES MINUS THE POINTS: The Red Wolves made only 3 of their 15 shots from behind the arc against Ragin’ Cajuns last week for a low 20% shooting percentage from 3-point land — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after failing to shoot better than 20% from downtown in their last game. Arkansas State makes 39.7% of their 3-pointers when playing on the road which is the 8th best mark in the nation — so they should shoot better from 3-point land tonight. The Red Wolves also do a great job of drawing fouls as they lead the nation with a 49.3% Free-Throw Attempt-to-Field Goal Attempt ratio. They should play well tonight as they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after a point spread loss. They stay on the road where they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. Georgia Southern may be due for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after an upset win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games after a win on the road. Now after playing their last three games on the road, the Eagles return home where they are 10-3 this season. But Georgia Southern has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after playing their last three games on the road. But the analytics indicate that the Eagles do not play their best basketball on their home court. Georgia Southern ranks 146th in the nation in Adjusted Net Efficiency with a 194th in the nation mark on offense and a 108th national clip on defense — but the Eagles rank 223rd in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 121st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on their home court. Their Adjusted Net Efficiency when playing at home drops to a 159th ranking. The Eagles have covered the point spread in their last two games while winning five of their last seven games. But Georgia Southern has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after winning four or five of their last six games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after covering the point spread in two straight games.

FINAL TAKE: Arkansas State tends to overachieve against the best teams on their schedule. The Red Wolves have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games ass an underdog. 10* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Arkansas State Red Wolves (605) plus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (606). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Idaho State Bengals (865) and the Weber State Wildcats (866). THE SITUATION: Idaho State (6-20) has lost twelve straight games after their 89-76 loss at home to Portland State as a 4-point underdog last Thursday. Weber State (11-17) has lost three of their last four games after their 89-83 upset loss to Portland State as a 1-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bengals have played 15 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a loss by double-digits. Idaho State has also played 7 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Bengals have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after losing at least two in a row — and they have played 18 of their last 22 games Over the Total after losing at least fifteen of their last twenty games. Now this team goes back on the road where they are allowing their home hosts to nail 50.7% of their shots which has produced 74.5 PPG. Idaho State has played 6 straight road games Over the Total — and they have played 19 of their last 26 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, the Bengals have played 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog. Weber State has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and this includes them playing four straight Overs after a victory. Furthermore, the Wildcats have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. Weber State stays at home where they are scoring 80.8 PPG on 49.4% shooting from the field. The Wildcats have played 5 straight home games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage no better than 40% on the road. Furthermore, the Over is 10-4-1 in Weber State’s last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage no better than 40% overall.

FINAL TAKE: Idaho State is just 318th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are 347th in the country by allowing their opponents to make 56.0% of their shots inside the arc. The Bengals have a defensive field goal percentage of 48.3% — and the Wildcats have played 15 of their last 20 home games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 45% or higher. Weber State is 3rd in the Big Sky Conference with a 53.3% of their shots inside the arc — they should score plenty of 2-pointers against this Idaho State team. 25* CBB Big Sky Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Idaho State Bengals (865) and the Weber State Wildcats (866). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Michigan State Spartans (705) and the Maryland Terrapins (706). THE SITUATION: Michigan State (19-9) has won two straight games with their 78-70 win at home over Iowa as a 9.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Maryland (23-5) has won ten of their last eleven contests with their 74-73 win at Minnesota as a 1-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Spartans have seen the Under go a decisive 39-16-3 in their last 58 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a victory over a Big Ten rival. Michigan State has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Now Sparty goes back on the road where they are just 8-6 this season while making only 43.6% of their shots which is translating into just 70.2 PPG. Michigan State sees their effective field goal percentage of 53.9% drop to a 50.3% mark when they are playing away from their home at the Breslin Center in East Lansing — that ranks 91st in the nation. But the Spartans’ outstanding defense does travel as they hold their home hosts to just 38.7% shooting which results in only 67.6 PPG. The Under is 14-6-1 in their last 21 games on the road — and the Under is also 18-7-1 in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, the Under is 22-8-1 in Michigan State’s last 31 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Additionally, in the Spartans’ last 13 games in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, Michigan State has seen 11 of these games finish Under the Total. Maryland allowed the Golden Gophers to make 45.6% of their shots on Wednesday which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last eight contests. The Terrapins have a bad habit of starting slowly which requires them to dig themselves out of big holes — they had to rally from a 16-point halftime deficit to defeat Minnesota. The Terrapins average only 33.4 points in the first half this season with that number dropping to 31.8 points in the first 20 minutes in conference games. They are making only 43% of their shots at home with an effective field goal percentage of 49.1% which ranks 243rd in the nation. Overall, their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency on the season ranks 35th in the nation — but that number plummets to 73rd in the country when they are playing on their home court in College Park. But Maryland holds their guests to just 36.7% shooting which results in a mere 59.8 PPG when they are playing at home. The Terrapins have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 11 of their last 17 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 130s. Maryland has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: These are two of the best defensive teams in the nation with the Spartans and Terrapins ranking 13th and 12th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency respectively. Maryland holds their opponents to just 39.1% shooting — and Sparty has played 8 straight games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 42% or less. And while Michigan State out-rebounds their opponents by +7.6 RPG, the Terrapins have played 6 straight home games Under the Total against opponents who out-rebound their opponents by at least +7.0 RPG. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Michigan State Spartans (705) and the Maryland Terrapins (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Georgia State Panthers (852) minus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (851). THE SITUATION: Georgia State (18-11) has lost two straight games after their 86-78 loss at Texas State last Saturday as a 4-point underdog. Georgia Southern (17-12) snapped their two-game losing streak on Saturday with their 81-61 upset victory at UT-Arlington as a 5.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS MINUS THE POINTS: Georgia State should respond with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a double-digit loss on the road. The Panthers have also covered the point spread in 6 straight games after allowing at least 85 points in their last game. Now after being on a road underdog in their last two games, they return home where they are 11-1 this season with an average winning margin of +16.9 PPG. Georgia State has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after losing two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after being an underdog in two straight games. The Panthers score a healthy 84.2 PPG on their home court while limiting their guests to just 37.9% shooting from the field which has translated into only 67.3 PPG. Georgia State has covered the point spread in 5 straight home games with the Total set in the 150 to 159.5 point range. They also have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 home games as a favorite of no more than 6 points. Georgia Southern made 52.8% of their shots on Saturday in what was the best shooting effort in their last four games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a game where they scored at least 80 points in their last game. They also held the Mavericks to just 31.8% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last eleven games. But the Eagles have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of the last 7 games after an upset victory — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after an upset win against a Sun Belt Conference foe. Furthermore, Georgia Southern has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 15 points — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after a double-digit win over a Sun Belt rival. Now the Eagles stay on the road where they are just 7-9 this season where they are making only 42.7% of their shots from the field. Georgia Southern has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 6 points.

FINAL TAKE: The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after fifteen games into the season against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-80% range. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year with the Georgia State Panthers (852) minus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (851). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Wildcats (651) and the USC Trojans (652). THE SITUATION: Arizona (19-8) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 73-72 upset loss at home to Oregon as a 5.5-point favorite. USC (19-9) has lost their last two games with their 75-69 loss at Utah as a 1-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats allowed the Ducks to shoot 42.6% from the field which was the best shooting effort from an opponent in their last four games. Arizona should tighten up on defense — they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite. They have also played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a narrow loss by 6 points or less. The Wildcats rank 21st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and that mark rises to them being the 5th best team in the nation when playing on the road in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Arizona holds their home hosts to just 39.8% shooting which is resulting in them allowing only 67.7 PPG in their eleven road games. The Wildcats make only 28.2% of their 3-pointers on the road which is 313rd in the nation — and their effective field goal percentage of 44.3% on the road ranks 318th. Arizona has played 4 of there last 5 road games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games on their home court. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as the favorite. USC has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Trojans have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after a point spread defeat. USC allowed the Utes to make 48.2% of their shots on Sunday which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six games. The Trojans have the 40th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and that ranking has improved to 31st best in the country in that metric over their last ten games. USC has held their last five opponents to just 37.6% shooting from the field and now they return home after playing their last two games on the road. The Trojans have played 13 of their last 15 games Under the Total after playing their last two games on the road. USC is 11-2 at home while holding their guests to scoring 64.5 PPG on 39.5% shooting from the field. But USC only makes 43.2% of their shots at home given their 47.5% shooting percentage inside the arc which is 285th in the nation. The Under is 39-18-1 in the Trojans’ last 58 home games — and they have played 7 storage home games Under the Total in February. Furthermore, the Trojans have played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher.

FINAL TAKE: USC will be looking to avenge an 85-80 loss at Arizona back on February 6th. The Trojans have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. 25* CBB Thursday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Wildcats (651) and the USC Trojans (652). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the LSU Tigers (841) and the Florida Gators (842). THE SITUATION: LSU (19-8) snapped their two-game losing streak on Saturday with their 86-80 win at South Carolina as a pick ‘em. Florida (17-10) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 65-59 loss at Kentucky where they were 5-point underdogs.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Tigers held the Gamecocks to just 37.3% shooting from the field in what was the best defensive effort in their last six games. But the Over is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road after a victory. Additionally, the Over is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread win. LSU has also played 21 of their last 28 road games Over the Total after a game where at least 165 combined points were scored. The Tigers stay on the road where they are 6-6 while averaging 82.3 PPG but allowing 80.6 PPG in their twelve contests. LSU has played 36 of their last 52 road games Over the Total which includes them playing eight of the last nine games on the road Over the Total. They have also played 20 of their last 26 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court — and the Over is 45-19-1 in their last 65 road games when they are the underdog. The Tigers rank 2nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they have scored at least 76 points in six straight contests. LSU has then played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after scoring at least 75 points four straight games. Florida has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Gators have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total after a game where neither team scored more than 65 points. They return home where they are 10-3 this season while averaging 75.4 PPG. Florida has paled 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on their home court. Additionally, the Gators have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Florida holds their opponents to just 41.5% shooting from the field — but LSU has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams with a defensive field goal percentage of 42% or less. 10* CBB LSU-Florida ESPN2 O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the LSU Tigers (841) and the Florida Gators (842). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Iowa State Cyclones (606) minus the points versus the TCU Horned Frogs (605). THE SITUATION: Iowa State (11-16) has lost two straight games after their 87-57 loss at home to Texas Tech as a 5-point underdog on Saturday.  TCU (15-12) has won two of their last three games with their 67-60 upset victory over West Virginia as a 5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CYCLONES MINUS THE POINTS: Iowa State played one of their worst games of the season on Saturday against one of the hottest teams in the nation in that Red Raiders team. The Cyclones shot just 35.8% from the field which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last ten games. Iowa State also allowed Texas Tech to make 57.1% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last twenty-two contests. The Cyclones have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after allowing their last opponent to make at least 55% of their shots. Iowa State suffered a terrible blow a few weeks ago with the season-ending injury to their best player, Tyrese Halliburton. Yet Steve Promm’s team immediately responded with an 81-52 blowout win at home against Texas in their first game without Halliburton before losing at Kansas and then at home to the Red Raiders which are two teams that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks in the top-15 in the nation according to his numbers. This team should respond with a strong effort in this winnable game. The Cyclones have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by at least 20 points to a fellow Big 12 rival. And while Iowa State has only covered the point spread once in their last four games, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games after failing to cover the point spread in three of the last four games. The Cyclones are 10-5 at home with an average winning margin of +7.3 PPG while limiting their opponents to just 41.2% shooting from the field. They have covered 4 straight home games as a favorite — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home when favored by up to 6 points. And in their last 5 home games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, Iowa State has covered the point spread in 4 of these contests. TCU made 44.4% of their shots in their upset win over the Mountaineers which was the best shooting mark in their last eight games. They also held West Virginia to just 40.3% shooting which was also the best defensive effort in their last twelve games. But the Horned Frogs have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games on the road after a win over a conference opponent. Additionally, TCU has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a point spread win. Now the Horned Frogs go back on the road where they are just 2-8 this season. While TCU ranks 90th in the nation in Net Adjusted Efficiency overall, they plummet to 206th in the nation with their Net Adjusted Efficiency when playing on the road. They rank 351st in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 58.2% when playing on the road — their home hosts are making 47.4% of their shots overall which has resulted in 70.6 PPG. They also have an effective field goal percentage of 42.4% on the road which is 343rd in the nation while making only 37.5% of their shots which is producing just 56.9 PPG. The Horned Frogs are also making only 38.8% of their shots over their last five games which is why they are averaging just 55.8 PPG. TCU has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games on the road — and they ave failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games on the road against teams who are winning at least 60 % of their games at home. The Horned Frogs are also just 6-19-2 ATS in the last 27 road games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Head coach Jamie Dixon only uses eight players in his rotation — and TCU may be without starting guard Francisco Farabello who is questionable with a concussion. This has been a disappointing season for the Cyclones — and their postseason aspirations are likely gone with Halliburton’s injury — but look for them to play a good game after their embarrassing loss to Texas Tech. 25* CBB Tuesday ESPNU Game of the Year with the Iowa State Cyclones (606) minus the points versus the TCU Horned Frogs (605). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma State Cowboys (877) and the Kansas Jayhawks (878). THE SITUATION: Oklahoma State (14-13) has won three of their last four games after their 83-66 win over Oklahoma on Saturday as a 1.5-point favorite. Kansas (24-3) has won twelve straight games with their 64-61 upset win at Baylor as a 1-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cowboys have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the total after a straight-up win. Oklahoma State has also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight games against fellow Big 12 opponents. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. They also have played 6 of tiger last 9 road games as a double-digit underdog. The Cowboys will be challenged by the outstanding defense that this Jayhawks team plays. Kansas is limiting their opponents to averaging just 60.7 PPG — but Oklahoma State has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against opponents who do not allow more than 64 PPG. The Cowboys rank 98th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency this season — but they have the 46th best Adjusted Offensive Efficiency mark over their last ten games. Kansas has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a narrow victory by 3 points or less — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And while the Jayhawks victory over the Bears fell below the 131 point total, they have then played 15 of their last 21 home games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Kansas has also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a game where both teams did not score more than 65 points. Kansas returns home where they are 12-1 this season while making 49.6% of their shots which is resulting in 78.7 PPG. The Jayhawks have the 9th best offense in the nation based on Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they have the 2nd highest Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on their home court. Kansas makes 58.3% of their shots inside the arc when playing at home which is the 11th best mark in the country. Oklahoma State is vulnerable on the defensive end of the court as they rank 9th in the Big 12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they allow their home hosts to shoot 50% of their shots inside the arc on the road which is the 138th worst mark in the nation. The Over is 19-6-1 in their last 26 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Jayhawks have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total as a favorite — and they have played 18 of their last 28 home games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite. Kansas has also played 8 of their last 12 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. And while the Cowboys hold their opponents to 40% shooting this season, the Jayhawks have played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against opponents who do not allow their opponents to shoot better than 40% from the field.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas won the first meeting between these two teams back on January 27th by a 65-50 score. Oklahoma State has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when avenging a double-digit loss on their home court. 25* CBB Big Monday ESPN Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Oklahoma State Cowboys (877) and the Kansas Jayhawks (878). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (865) and the Washington State Cougars (866). THE SITUATION: Stanford (17-9) snapped a four-game losing streak with their 72-64 upset win at Washington as a 2.5-point underdog on Thursday. Washington State (14-13) has lost three straight games with their 66-57 upset loss to California as a 6.5-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cardinal has seen the Under go 8-3-2 in their last 13 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Stanford has also played 8 of their last 11 games after an upset loss. The Cardinal is one of the best defensive teams in the nation as they rank 6th in the country in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They also rank 7th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. They hold their hosts to just 42% shooting from inside the arc which helps them post an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 42.5% — both those numbers are 3rd best in the nation for teams playing on the road. The Under is 9-4-2 in Stanford’s last 15 games on the road — and the Under is also 9-4-1 in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better when playing at home. Furthermore, the Under is 3-0-1 in the Cardinal’s last 4 road games as a favorite — and they have also seen the Under go 8-3-1 in their last 12 games as a favorite. Washington State has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Cougars have played 4 straight games Under the Total after losing two in a row — and they have played a decisive 36 of their last 51 games at home Under the Total after losing five or six of their last seven contests. They made only 29.8% of their shots against the Golden Bears after shooting just 28.6% from the field in their previous game against USC. Over their last five games, Washington State is shooting just 35.8% which has resulted in only 63.8 PPG. They stay at home where they are making just 40.9% of their shots while ranking 302nd in the nation with a 46.4% field goal percentage inside the arc. Overall, the Cougars have an effective field goal percentage of 46.6% when playing at home which is the 313th lowest mark in the nation. Moving forward, the Cougars have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: To make matters worse, they may be without their point guard Isaac Bonton who is questionable with a leg injury. Boston leads the team in touches when he is on the court while ranking second in shots — so the Washington State offense will likely suffer if he is not able to play or if he is hindered with his leg. 25* CBB Sunday ESPNU Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (865) and the Washington State Cougars (866). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between Southern Utah Thundercats (771) and the Weber State Wildcats (772). THE SITUATION: Southern Utah (14-12) has lost three straight games after their 68-66 loss at Northern Colorado as a 7-point underdog on Thursday. Weber State (10-16) has lost their last three games with their 77-63 loss at Montana State as a 5-point underdog last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Thunderbirds have played 7 of their last 10 games over the total after a loss on the road by 3 points or less. They also have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Southern Utah has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after losing three straight games to Big Sky opponents. Now the Thunderbirds go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Southern Utah has not made more than three shots from behind the arc in two straight games — but they have then played 22 of their last 30 games Over the Total after failing to make more than three shots from 3-point range in two straight games. They now face a Wildcats team that is 328th in the nation by allowing their opponents to nail 37.3% of their shots from downtown. Weber State allows their opponents to make 45.1% of their shots this season — and the Thunderbirds have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams who allow their opponents to make at least 45% of their shots. Southern Utah has also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total against teams who are not winning more than 40% of their games. Weber State has played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. The Wildcats have also played 6 straight games Over the Total after losing two straight games. They return home where they are 7-4 while making 49.4% of their shots which is generating 80.5 PPG. Weber State has played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as an underdog. The Wildcats’ play on the defensive end of the court has waned as of late. They have allowed their last five opponents to make 47.9% of their shots which has resulted in them averaging 71.0 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: Southern Utah will be looking to avenge a 75-65 upset loss at home to Weber State back on January 30th. The Thunderbirds have played 22 of their last 33 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total on the road when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 25* CBB Big Sky Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between Southern Utah Thundercats (771) and the Weber State Wildcats (772). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Marquette Golden Panthers (609) plus the point(s) versus the Providence Friars (610). THE SITUATION: Marquette (17-8) has lost two straight games with their 73-65 upset loss to Creighton on Tuesday as a 3.5-point favorite. Providence (15-12) has won their last two games with their 73-63 upset win at Georgetown as a 1.5-point underdog on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN PANTHERS PLUS THE POINT(S): Markus Howard scored only 13 points in the loss on Tuesday as he made only 4 of 14 shots in that contest. Howard should be anxious to redeem himself this afternoon and get back to scoring at his 26.7 PPG clip. Marquette should be rested for this contest as this is just their second game in the last ten days — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Now this team goes back on the road where they are 5-6 this season but where they also rank 19th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency for road teams. The Golden Panthers are making 39.4% of their 3-pointers on the road which is the 10th best mark in the nation. This offensive proficiency has helped Marquette cover the point spread in 4 straight games on the road — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Golden Panthers have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 road games with the Total set in the 140s — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 road games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Providence has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a win on the road. The Friars have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a double-digit win against a conference rival. That was Providence’s second straight upset victory as their win over the Hoyas was preceded by a 74-71 upset win over Seton Hall as a 1-point underdog. The Achilles’ heel for this team is their ability to score baskets as they rank 7th in the Big East in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They only make 45.3% of their shots inside the arc which is 329th in the nation — and their effective field goal percentage of 46.4% is 310th in the country. The Friars can struggle to find good looks in their half-court offense. This helps explain why Providence has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games as a favorite. The Friars have also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 22 home games with the Total set in the 140s.

FINAL TAKE: Marquette will be looking to avenge an 81-80 upset loss in overtime at home to Providence despite being a 5.5-point favorite back on January 7th. The Golden Panthers have covered the point spread in 31 of their last 45 games when avenging an upset loss at home — and this includes them covering the point spread in five of these last seven situations. Howard scored 39 points in that contest and he now returns to Providence where he scored 52 points back in 2018. 10* CBB Marquette-Providence Fox-TV Special with the Marquette Golden Panthers (609) plus the point(s) versus the Providence Friars (610). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (871) plus the points versus the Oakland Grizzlies (872). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (12-14) looks to rebound from their 94-90 upset loss to Wisconsin-Green Bay last Saturday as a 2-point favorite. Oakland (10-17) has won their last two games with their 72-64 win over Youngstown State as a 4-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS PLUS THE POINTS: Milwaukee allowed the Phoenix to make 56.9% of their shots last Saturday which was the worst defensive effort of the season. The Panthers should respond with a strong effort tonight as they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after a loss at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after an upset loss to a Horizon League rival. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in a decisive 34 of their last 52 games after allowing their last opponent to make at least 55% of their shots — and this includes them covering the point spread in three of these last four situations. Even after that defensive effort last week, the Panthers have held their last five opponents to just 40.4% shooting from the field. They go back on the road where they have won their last two contests — and they have covered the point spread in 32 of their last 40 road games with the Total set in the 135 to 139.5 point range. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 31 of their last 47 road games after scoring at least 85 points in their last game — and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Panthers are 2nd in the Horizon League by forcing turnovers in 20.5% of their opponent’s possessions — and this is an area of weakness for the Grizzlies because they rank 7th in the conference by turning the ball over in 19.6% of their conference possessions. Milwaukee is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Oakland has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win on their home court. They stay at home for the third straight game where they are getting outscored this season despite their 6-5 record. But the advanced metrics rank the Grizzlies as 308th in the nation in home-court advantage when it comes to net Adjusted Efficiency — and Milwaukee ranks 202nd in the nation in net Adjusted Efficiency when playing on the road. Oakland has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 26 home games against Horizon League opponents. Furthermore, the Grizzlies have failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 40 home games against teams who are not winning more than 40% of their games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 home games after fifteen games into the season against teams with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range. Oakland has also been an unreliable favorite as they have failed to cover the point spread in 30 of their last 47 games when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee plays at an up-tempo as they average 62 shots per game — and the Grizzlies have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 19 games against teams who average at least 62 shots per contest. 25* CBB Horizon League Underdog of the Year with the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (871) plus the points versus the Oakland Grizzlies (872). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Utah Utes (678) minus the points versus the UCLA Bruins (677). THE SITUATION: Utah (14-11) has lost two straight games with their 80-62 loss at Oregon on Sunday as a 12.5-point underdog. UCLA (15-11) has won't three straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 67-57 win over Washington as a 3-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE UTES MINUS THE POINTS: Utah’s loss at Oregon was preceded by a 70-51 loss at Oregon State last week — and they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after suffering two straight double-digit losses. The Utes have also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games at home after a point spread loss. They return home where they are 10-1 this season with impressive victories over Minnesota and BYU. Utah is 13-1 at home this season with a +17.6 PPG scoring margin — and they rank 39th in the nation Adjusted Net Scoring Efficiency when playing on their home court. The Utes make 57.7% of their shots inside the arc when playing at home which is 14th best in the nation. Utah makes 49.5% of their shots overall at home which has resulted in 82.3 PPG. The Utes have covered the point spread in 4 straight games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Furthermore, Utah is a decisive 54-23-3 ATS in their last 80 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. UCLA had failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win. And while that game finished Under the Total, the Bruins have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Additionally, UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 17 road games after winning two games in a row — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight road games after winning three of their last four contests. The Bruins go back on the road where they are just 4-7 this season with an average losing margin of -4.9 PPG. UCLA makes only 43.1% of its shots on the road which results in just 66.3 PPG. The Bruins have failed to cover the point spread in 35 of their last 52 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 34 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 road games as an underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Utah will be looking to avenge a 73-57 loss at UCLA back on February 2nd — and they have covered the point spread in 28 of their last 42 home games when playing with same-season revenge. 10* CBB Thursday Late Show Bailout with the Utah Utes (678) minus the points versus the UCLA Bruins (677). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the South Alabama Jaguars (601) plus the points versus the Appalachian State Mountaineers (602). THE SITUATION: South Alabama (16-11) has won four straight games with their 50-49 win over UL-Monroe last Saturday as a 10-point favorite. Appalachian State (15-12) has won three of their last four games with their 62-57 upset win at Georgia Southern last Saturday as a 6-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE JAGUARS PLUS THE POINTS: South Alabama won that game last week despite making only 31.6% of their shots which was the lowest shooting mark for them all season. The Jaguars survived that game due to holding the Warhawks to just 31.5% shooting. South Alabama has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored. The Jaguars have not covered the point spread in their last two games — but they have then covered the point spread in a decisive 42 of their last 65 games on the road after failing to cover the point spread in their last two games. South Alabama has held its last five opponents to just 38.7% shooting from the field. Now the Jaguars go back on the road where they are 7-6 this season. South Alabama forces turnovers — and this attribute travels. The Jaguars 3rd in the Sun Belt Conference by forcing turnovers in 20.4% of their opponent’s possessions — and that mark improves to a 20.5% clip when they are playing on the road which is 53rd best in the nation. This is an area of vulnerability for the Mountaineers as they are 7th in the Sun Belt by turning the ball over in 20.0% of their conference possessions — and that number worsens to a 20.9% clip where they are playing at home which is the 306th worst mark in the nation. South Alabama is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road — and they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court. The Jaguars are also 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in six of their last seven games as a dog. Appalachian State may be due for a letdown as they are just 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games after a point spread victory. And while they have covered the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. The Mountaineers return home where they are 8-4 this season but with a small average winning margin of +4.4 PPG. Appalachian State makes only 41.8% of their shots at home which results in just 68.7 PPG — they also rank 310th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on their home court. The Mountaineers have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 home games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 home games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. Appalachian State has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games when favored

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Kansas State Wildcats (839) and the Texas Tech Red Raiders (840). THE SITUATION: Kansas State (9-16) has lost five straight games with their 68-57 loss at TCU on Saturday as a 3-point underdog. Texas Tech (16-9) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 73-70 upset loss at Oklahoma State as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats held the Horned Frogs to just 44.2% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last four games. Kansas State has played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Wildcats stay on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, Kansas State has played 19 of their last 26 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 9.5 to 12 points. The Wildcats have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total as an underdog overall. And in their last 15 games with the Total set at no higher than 129.5, Kansas State has played 12 of these games Over the Total. Texas Tech has splayed 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a loss by three points or less — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Red Raiders return home where they are 12-2 this season while making 48.1% of their shots which has generated 76.6 PPG. Texas Tech has played 6 straight home games Over the Total with the number set no higher than 129.5. They also have played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas State will be looking to avenge a 77-63 loss at home to Texas Tech back on January 14th — and the Wildcats have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss at home. 25* CBB Wednesday ESPN2 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Kansas State Wildcats (839) and the Texas Tech Red Raiders (840). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Cal-Baptist Lancers (813) minus the point(s) versus the Missouri-Kansas State Kangaroos (814). THE SITUATION: Cal-Baptist (18-7) has won four of their last five games with their 107-45 win over Westcliff in a non-boarded game last Thursday. UMKC (13-14) snapped a three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 59-53 upset victory at Cal-State Bakersfield as a 4.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE LANCES MINUS THE POINT(S): Cal-Baptist should build off their momentum as they are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a double-digit win on their home court. The Lancers go back on the road where they are 5-2 this season — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games on the road. Cal-Baptist has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Lancers are 9th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of just 43.6%. They also rank 6th in the nation by limiting their home hosts to just 26.1% shooting from behind the arc. Cal-Baptist should also get plenty of second-chance scoring chances in this game as they rank 2nd in the Western Athletic Conference by pulling down 33.2% of their missed shots. The Kangaroos are 9th in the WAC by allowing their opponents to rebound 31.3% of their missed shots. UMKC is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread win. Now after playing their last two games on the road, the Kangaroos return home where they are just 7-6 this season. UMKC has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after playing their last two games on the road. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 home games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Cal-Baptist has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last contest. 10* CBB Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Cal-Baptist Lancers (813) minus the point(s) versus the Missouri-Kansas State Kangaroos (814). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Northwestern Wildcats (625) and the Maryland Terrapins (626). THE SITUATION: Northwestern (6-18) has lost nine straight games with their 77-61 loss at Penn State as a 12-point underdog on Saturday. Maryland (21-4) has won their last eight games with their 67-60 upset win at Michigan State on Saturday as a 6.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Terrapins have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total at home after a point spread victory. Maryland defeated the Spartans despite allowing them to make 41.8% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last five games. The Terrapins are 5th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They return home where they are 14-0 wheel holding their opponents to just 59.3 PPG on 36.2% shooting. Maryland has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 21 of their last 29 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Northwestern has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 14 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. The Wildcats have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Northwestern lost that game against the Nittany Lions despite shooting 46.6% from the field which was the highest field goal percentage in their last six games. The Wildcats are last in the Big Ten in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They are still shooting just 39.6% from the field in their last five games which has generated only 59.2 PPG. The Under is 15-7-1 in their last 23 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Wildcats have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Northwestern shoots only 40.8% in Big Ten play which has resulted in just 61.6 PPG. The Wildcats have played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total in conference play. Maryland is making only 40.2% of their shots on conference play — but they are holding their opponents to just 39.5% shooting in Big Ten play. The Terrapins have played 22 of their las 34 games Under the Total in conference play. 10* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Northwestern Wildcats (625) and the Maryland Terrapins (626). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the West Virginia Mountaineers (616) minus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (615). THE SITUATION: West Virginia (18-7) has lost three straight games after their 70-59 loss at Baylor on Saturday as a 5-point underdog. Oklahoma State (13-12) has won two straight games as well as three of their last four contests with their 73-70 upset victory at home against Texas Tech as a 3-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MOUNTAINEERS MINUS THE POINTS: West Virginia allowed the Bears to make 51.8% of their shots in what was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. The Mountaineers remain the second best team in the nation in terms of Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. And while they have not covered the point spread in their last three games, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least three straight games. West Virginia should respond with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and they have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after a point spread loss. They return home where they are 12-1 this season with an average winning margin of +17.3 PPG. The Mountaineers hold their guests to just 36.4% shooting from the field which translates into only 59.2 PPG. West Virginia has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home. While the Mountaineers make 45.9% of their shots at home, they do a few other things quite well to give them extra scoring opportunities. West Virginia leads the nation by pulling down 40.3% of their missed shots — and the Cowboys are 202nd in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 28.5% of their missed shots. The Mountaineers also lead the Big 12 by forcing turnovers in 24.6% of their opponent’s possessions — and Oklahoma State is 168th in the nation by turning the ball over in 19.0% of their possessions. The Cowboys may be due for a letdown after pulling off two straight upset wins as they also knocked off Kansas State on the road as a 3-point underdog before pulling off the same feat against the Red Raiders. But Oklahoma State has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after winning three of their last four games. They stat on the road where they are 6-6 despite making only 43.6% of their shots from the field. The Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games as an underdog getting 9.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, Oklahoma State has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games with the Total set in the 130s.

FINAL TAKE: The Cowboys will be looking to avenge a 55-41 loss at home to the Mountaineers back on January 6th — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss at home. 25* CBB Tuesday ESPN2 Game of the Year with the West Virginia Mountaineers (616) minus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (615). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Portland State Vikings (868) minus the points versus the Idaho Vandals (867). THE SITUATION: Portland State (12-14) has lost two of their last three games with their 89-81 upset loss to Eastern Washington as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. Idaho (7-17) had lost eight of their last nine games before they upset Eastern Washington last Thursday as a 15-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE VIKINGS MINUS THE POINTS: Portland State should respond with a strong effort as they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. They stay at home where they are 7-3 this season with an average winning margin of +10.0 PPG. The Vikings have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Portland State has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games with the Total set in the 145 to 149.5 point range. The Vikings shoot 46.5% on their home court but there are a few things they do that give them extra possessions which helps them get to their 83.6 PPG scoring average on their home court even their shots are not falling. Portland State is 8th in the nation by pulling down 36.1% of their missed shots — and that mark rises to a 37.4% mark when they are playing at home. The Vikings are also 3rd in the Big Sky Conference by forcing turnovers in 19.6% of their opponent’s possessions. This is an area of weakness for the Vandals as they are last in the Big Sky by turning the ball over in 20.8% of their conference possessions. That mark rises to a 21.5% clip when they are playing on the road which is 272nd in the country. Idaho has not been very consistent after victories as they are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a straight-up win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games after a win over a conference rival. Additionally, the Vandals have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after an upset win as a road underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a win on the road. Furthermore, Idaho has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after a narrow win by 6 points or less. They made 50% of their shots against Eastern Washington after shooting 52.3% from the field in their previous game against Montana — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 32 games after shooting at least 50% from the field in two straight games. The Vandals stay on the road where they are just 3-9 this season with an average losing margin of -7.0 PPG. Idaho scores only 62.7 PPG on the road while ranking 307th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Vandals are also last in the Big Sky in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency.

FINAL TAKE: Portland State will be looking to avenge a 72-61 upset loss at Idaho despite being a 6.5-point underdog in that game. The Vikings have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss on the road. 25* CBB Big Sky Conference Game of the Year with the Portland State Vikings (868) minus the points versus the Idaho Vandals (867). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Oregon Ducks (858) minus the points versus the Utah Utes (857). THE SITUATION: Oregon (19-6) snapped a two-game losing streak on Thursday with their 68-60 victory over Colorado as a 5-point favorite. Utah (14-10) had their two-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with their 70-51 loss at Oregon State as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DUCKS MINUS THE POINTS: Oregon has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games after a straight-up win — and they have also covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. The Ducks have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games after losing two of their last three contests. Those prior two losses for this Oregon team were on the road where they are just 6-5. But the Ducks are 13-1 on their home court where they are outscoring their opponents by +16.0 PPG. Oregon makes 49.5% of their shots on their home court which has generated 81.6 PPG. They are 7th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing at home due to them nailing 41.8% of their shots from behind the arc which is the 4th best home mark in the nation. They should make plenty of 3s tonight against this Utes team that is third to last in the nation by allowing their home hosts to make 42.7% of their 3-pointers. The Ducks have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 home games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. Oregon has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Utah has covered the point spread in five of their last seven games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. The Utes go back on the road where they are just 4-9 with an average losing margin of -10.3 PPG. Utah ranks just 307th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 55.1%. The Utes also make only 39.8% of their shots on the road which results in only 62.4 PPG. Utah has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road — and hey ave failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 road games with the Total set in the 130s.

FINAL TAKE: Utah made only 35.6% of their shots in the first meeting between these two teams on January 4th which Oregon won in Salt Lake City by a 69-64 score. The Utes were 4-point underdogs in that game — and they enter this game having failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games as an underdog. 10* CBB Sunday Late Show Bailout with the Oregon Ducks (858) minus the points versus the Utah Utes (857). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Drake Bulldogs (846) minus the points versus the Evansville Purple Aces (845). THE SITUATION: Drake (16-10) has lost two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 97-62 loss at Missouri State on Wednesday as a 2.5-point underdog. Evansville (9-17) has lost thirteen straight games with their 73-66 loss to Loyola-Illinois on Wednesday as an 8-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS MINUS THE POINTS: Drake should respond with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games after a point spread defeat. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a loss by at least 15 points — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a loss by at least 20 points. Drake allowed the Tigers to make 53% of their shots in what was the worst defensive effort in their last thirteen games. They also made just 41.2% of their shots in that game which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last five contests. The Bulldogs return home where they rank 24th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.2%. Drake is 12-1 at home with an average winning margin of +12.4 PPG. The Bulldogs make 50.3% of their shots at home which has translated into 77.3 PPG — and they hold their guests to just 40.5% shooting from the field. Drake is 37-14-2 ATS in their last 53 games at home The Bulldogs have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 home games with the Total set in the 130s — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 home games against teams with a winning percentage no better than 40% on the road. Evansville is just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games after a straight-up loss. The Purple Aces made 51.2% of their shots in the losing effort which was the best shooting effort for them in their last sixteen contests — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a point spread. Now Evansville goes back on the road where they rank just 302nd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 44.2%. The Purple Aces are just 4-9 away from home this season with an average losing margin of -12.5 PPG. Evansville makes only 40.4% of their shots on the road which results in just 65.2 PPG. The Purple Aces have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. Furthermore, Evansville has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better — and they are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Evansville will be looking to avenge a 73-50 loss at home to Drake back on January 22nd — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss this season. 10* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Drake Bulldogs (846) minus the points versus the Evansville Purple Aces (845). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Stanford Cardinal (808) plus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (807). THE SITUATION: Stanford (16-8) has lost three straight games as well as six of their last seven contests with their 74-69 upset loss at home to Arizona State on Thursday. Arizona (17-7) has won five of their last six contests with their 68-52 win at California on Thursday as a 10.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CARDINAL PLUS THE POINTS: Stanford shot a healthy 52% from the field on Thursday — but it was their defense that let them down as they allowed the Sun Devils to make 54.7% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort of the season. The Cardinal is one of the best defensive teams in the nation — they rank 17th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while also topping the Pac-12 in that metric. Stanford should respond with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games when playing with one day of rest. The Cardinal has also covered the point spread in 28 of their last 42 home games after losing at least two games in a row. They stay at home where they are 12-3 this season with an average winning margin of +12.2 PPG. Stanford is 2nd in the Pac-12 with an effective field goal percentage of 52.6% — and they rank 38th in the nation with an eFG of 55.7% on their home court. Overall, the Cardinal has a field goal percentage of 48.9% at home which has translated into 71.9 PPG — and they are limiting their guests to just 39.6% shooting what results in only 59.7 PPG. Stanford has covered the point spread in 29 of their last 40 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 24 home games against Pac-12 foes. Furthermore, the Cardinal has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 home games against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-80% range — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 home games as an underdog getting no more than 6 points. Arizona made 48.1% of their shots on Thursday in their win over the Golden Bears which was the best shooting mark in their last thirteen games. But the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a double-digit win on the road. Arizona has also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 24 games when playing with one day of rest. The Wildcats are not playing their best basketball as of late. They have allowed their last five opponents to make 43.5% of their shots which is well above their opponent’s 39.4% field goal percentage for the season. And while they are averaging 78.3 PPG this season on 46.1% shooting, those numbers have dropped to just a 69.2 PPG scoring clip over their last five games on 39.3% shooting. Now this team stays on the road where they make only 44.6% of their shots inside the arc which drags down their effective field goal percentage to 45.0% when on the road — those marks rank 279th an 287th in the nation. Arizona averages 78.3 PPG this season — but Stanford has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 home games against teams who score at least 77 PPG. And while the Cardinal has an opponent’s field goal percentage of 39.3%, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after fifteen games into the season against teams who do not allow their opponents to shoot better than 42%.

FINAL TAKE: Arizona has failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 40 games against teams who are winning 60 to 80% of their games —and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last thirteen games against opponents who are winning at least 60% of their contests. Stanford will be without their 6’9 junior forward Oscar Da Silva who is out with a head injury — but they do have 6’9 Jaiden Delaire and 6’10 Lukas Kisunas who are regular rotational players off the bench who will be asked to play more in this contest. It is also Da Silva’s absence which explains why the Cardinal are underdogs in the 4-point range despite the analytics projecting a 1-point win for the Wildcats. 25* CBB Pac-12 Underdog of the Year with the Stanford Cardinal (808) plus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (807). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Bradley Braves (641) and the Southern Illinois Salukis (642). THE SITUATION: Bradley (17-9) has won their last two games with their 72-61 win over Indiana State as a 6.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Southern Illinois (15-11) had their seven-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 55-38 loss at Valparaiso where they were 3.5-point underdogs.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Salukis shot a season-low 23.6% from the field on Wednesday against the Crusaders — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not making at least 33% of their shots in their last game. Southern Illinois has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after not reaching at least 50 points in their last game. Additionally, the Salukis have played 25 of their last 33 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a double-digit setback. The return home where they are holding their guests to just 39.2% shooting which is translating into only 56.8 PPG. Southern Illinois has played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Bradley has seen the Under go 10-4-1 in their last 15 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a victory on their home court. The Braves go back on the road where they are making just 39.1% of their shots which has resulted in only 64.3 PPG. Bradley has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total. They also have seen the Under go 10-2-1 in their last 13 road games as a favorite.

FINAL TAKE: Southern Illinois will be looking to avenge a 67-48 loss at Bradley back on January 11th. The Salukis have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road — and they have played 50 of their last 81 games when looking to avenge loss where they did not score at least 60 points. 10* CBB Bradley-SUI CBS Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Bradley Braves (641) and the Southern Illinois Salukis (642). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the College of Charleston Cougars (611) plus the points versus the Northeastern Huskies (612). THE SITUATION: Charleston (15-11) has lost their last two games with their 76-63 loss at Hofstra as a 4-point underdog on Thursday. Northeastern (12-13) snapped their four-game losing streak on Thursday with their 71-63 win over UNC-Wilmington as a 13.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE COUGARS PLUS THE POINTS: Charleston has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 29 of their last 44 games after a double-digit loss on the road. And while the Cougars have not covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. Charleston allowed the Pride to make 54.7% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort this season. But the Cougars have still held their last five opponents to just 40.6% shooting — and they are hitting a solid 47% of their shots over that span. Charleston stays on the road where they are 17th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 53.5%. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games on the road — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games as an underdog. Northeastern has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7s tragic games at home after a straight-up win where they have failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. The Huskies have also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 home games after a point spread loss. Northeastern made 48.1% of their shots in the victory which was the best shooting mark in their last four games. But defense is the issue with this team — they rank 338th in the nation with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 55.1%. The Huskies allow their guests to make 48.4% of their shots. Northeastern is just 5-5 at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games at home. They also are just 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 home games as the favorite — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 33 home games when laying 3.5 to 6 points. The Cougars hold their opponents to just 41.8% shooting — but the Huskies have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games against teams who do not allow their opponents to make more than 42% of their shots. Northeastern leads the Colonial Athletic Association by forcing turnovers in 20.4% of their opponent’s possessions — but Charleston also leads the conference by only turning the ball over in 14.7% of their possession.

FINAL TAKE: Charleston will be looking to avenge a 79-76 upset loss at home to Northeaster back on January 16th despite being a 3-point favorite in that game. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when motivated by same-season revenge. 10* CBB Saturday Afternoon Tipoff with the College of Charleston Cougars (611) plus the points versus the Northeastern Huskies (612). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rider Broncs (857) and the Siena Saints (858). THE SITUATION: Rider (14-9) has won five of their last six games with their 73-58 victory over Niagara last Saturday as a 9-point favorite. Siena (11-10) has won four of their last five games with their 65-49 win over Fairfield as an 8-point favorite last Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Rider has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total after a victory. The Broncs won that game over the Purple Eaters by making 54.5% of their shots which was the best shooting effort of their season. But now Rider goes back on the road where they are making just 42.3% of their shots. The Broncs have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road. Rider is playing their best defense of the year at this point of the season after holding Niagara to just 33.3% shooting on Sunday. The Broncs have held their last five opponents to just 39% shooting which has resulted in just 64.6 PPG which is -6.0 PPG below their season average. Rider will be challenged to defend their defensive glass against this Saints team that leads the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference by pulling down 34.5% of their missed shots. The Broncs are 43rd in the nation by limiting their opponents to rebounding 24.5% of their missed shots. Rider has held their last two opponents to just 5 and 7 offensive rebounds in their last two games — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 9 offensive rebounds in two straight games. And while Siena averages a +4.6 net Rebounding Per Game margin this year, the Broncs have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who are outrebounding their opponents by at least +4.0 RPG. The Saints have played 22 of their last 32 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Siena has also played 8 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored. The Saints stay at home where they have held their guests to just 41.2% shooting which has generated only 64.7 PPG. Siena has played 21 of their last 28 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Siena is also playing their best defense of the season after limiting the Stags to just 30.2% shooting last Friday. The Saints have limited their last five opponents to only 38% shooting which has resulted in just 63.2 PPG. Siena has covered the point spread in four of their last five games — and they have then played 9 straight games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games.

FINAL TAKE: Siena will be looking to avenge an 85-77 loss at Rider back on January 5th — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total when playing with revenge where they allowed at least 75 points. 25* CBB Friday ESPNU Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Rider Broncs (857) and the Siena Saints (858). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis Jaguars (853) and the Northern Kentucky Norse (854). THE SITUATION: IUPUI (6-20) has lost four straight games with their 80-79 win over Wisconsin-Milwaukee on Saturday as a 4-point underdog. Northern Kentucky (18-7) has won four straight games as well as nine of their last ten contests with their 84-65 win over Detroit last Saturday as a 12-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: IUPUI has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a loss to a Horizon League conference rival. The Jaguars have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. IUPUI shot just 32.9% from the field in that game against the Panthers which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last sixteen games. Now the Jaguars go back on the road where they have allowed the home team to score 80.3 PPG. IUPUI has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. This team is scoring a healthy 78.2 PPG over their last five games — but they have allowed 83.8 PPG in those games as well. Northern Kentucky has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. The Norse stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Northern Kentucky is scoring 81.4 PPG at home where they are making 46.2% of their shots. The Norse should approach or exceed this scoring average as they are 2nd in the Horizon League in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are facing a Jaguars team that is last in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency.

FINAL TAKE: Northern Kentucky won the first meeting between these two teams back on January 12th by a 96-71 score. IUPUI has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 10* CBB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis Jaguars (853) and the Northern Kentucky Norse (854). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Oregon Ducks (656) minus the points versus the Colorado Buffaloes (655). THE SITUATION: Oregon (18-6) has lost their last two games after their 63-53 upset loss at Oregon State on Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. Colorado (19-5) has won their last three games with their 81-74 win over Stanford as an 8.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DUCKS MINUS THE POINTS: Oregon has suffered two straight upset losses as their loss in Corvallis was preceded by a 70-60 upset loss at Stanford as a 2-point favorite. The Ducks finally return home for the first time since January 26th having played their last here games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games after playing their last three games on the road. Oregon has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to cover the point spread in three straight games — and they have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games on their home court after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. The Ducks are 12-1 on their home court with an average winning margin of +16.1 PPG. Oregon makes 50.3% of their shots on their home court which has generated 82.7 PPG. They have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 home games — and they have also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 home games with the Total set in the 130s. Furthermore, the Ducks have also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 home games when playing just their second game in eight days. Colorado has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 17 road games after a win on their home court. The Buffaloes win over the Cardinal came on the heels of a 71-65 win over Cal — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games on the road after winning their last two games on the road. Colorado has also failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games on the road after winning three of their last four games. The Buffaloes are just 13-38-1 ATS in their last 52 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 41 of their last 60 road games after winning two straight games against Pac-12 foes.

FINAL TAKE: Colorado has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games as an underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 37 road games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 6 points. Oregon has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games against teams with a winning record. Look for the Ducks to get right back at home for the first time in over two weeks. 10* CBB Colorado-Oregon ESPN Special with the Oregon Ducks (656) minus the points versus the Colorado Buffaloes (655). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Austin Peay Governors (660) minus the points versus the Murray State Racers (659). THE SITUATION: Austin Peay (16-9) has lost two straight games after their 71-63 loss at Belmont on Saturday as a 6.5-point underdog. Murray State (18-6) comes off a 73-65 victory over Texas State as a 4-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GOVERNORS MINUS THE POINTS: Austin Peay should respond with a strong effort as they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home after a straight-up loss. The Governors return home where they are a perfect 11-0 this season with an average winning margin of +15.2 PPG. Austin Peay makes 51.1% of their shots at home which has generated 86.2 PPG. The Governors have covered the point spread in 7 straight home games after playing a game on the road. Austin Peay is also 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 games on their home court overall — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 14 home games as a favorite or pick ‘em. Murray State had failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a point spread win. Now after playing their last three games at home, the Racers go back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home.

FINAL TAKE: Murray State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Racers have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog. 10* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Austin Peay Governors (660) minus the points versus the Murray State Racers (659). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners (674) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Marshall Thundering Herd (673). THE SITUATION: UTSA (11-14) has lost three of their last four games with their 91-84 loss at Charlotte on Saturday as a 5.5-point underdog. Marshall (12-13) has won their last two games with their 83-79 upset win at home against Louisiana Tech last Saturday as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROADRUNNERS PLUS (OR MINUS) THE POINT(S): UTSA played one of their worst games of the season against the 49ers on Saturday. They made only 39.7% of their shots which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last eleven games. They also allowed Charlotte to make 57.9% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last five contests. The Roadrunners have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. Additionally, UTSA has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread setback. They return home where they are 8-4 this season with an average winning margin of +12.7 PPG. They are making 47.4% of their shots at home which has resulted in them averaging 84.9 PPG in those contests. The Roadrunners have cord the point spread in 22 of their last 30 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Marshall had failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Now the Thundering Herd go back on the road where they are 4-7 while making only 43.9% of their shots. Marshall has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games on the road when they are the favorite.

FINAL TAKE: The Thundering Herd have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. UTSA has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Roadrunners have also coved the point spread in 6 straight games at home where they are underdogs of up to six points. 10* CBB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners (674) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Marshall Thundering Herd (673). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Southern Illinois University-Edwardsville Cougars (651) and the Eastern Illinois Panthers (652). THE SITUATION: SIU-Edwardsville (6-19) snapped their four-game losing streak last Saturday with their 83-75 upset victory against Eastern Kentucky as a 2-point underdog. Eastern Illinois (12-12) snapped their three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 71-65 win over Morehead State as a 6-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL:

At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (865) plus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (866). THE SITUATION: Florida State (20-3) has won their last three games with their 99-81 win over Miami as a 13.5-point favorite on Saturday. Duke (20-3) has won five games in a row after their dramatic 98-96 win in overtime at North Carolina on Saturday as a 7.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SEMINOLES PLUS THE POINTS: Florida State has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 24 games after a double-digit win at home — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a point spread cover as a double-digit favorite. The Seminoles have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after a game where at least 165 combined points were scored. Once again head coach Leonard Hamilton has plenty of depth to implement his up-tempo attack on both ends of the court. Florida State leads the ACC by forcing turnovers in 22.9% of their opponent’s possessions — and that mark improves to a 24.2% clip when playing on the road which is 14th in the nation. The Seminoles are also 67th in the nation by pulling down 31.7% of their missed shots. But what makes this team intriguing this season is that they shoot better than the last two squads who still managed to reach the Sweet Sixteen and the Elite Eight in the last two seasons. Florida State is 2nd in the ACC by making 40.6% of their 3-pointers. This team is also 19th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Seminoles are 8-3 on the road this season with victories over Louisville, Florida along with a win on a neutral court against Purdue. Duke had failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Additionally, the Blue Devils have failed to cover the point spread 4 straight games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last contest. The Blue Devils have only covered the point spread twice in their last seven games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Now after playing their last three games on the road, Duke returns home where they are 11-2 this season. But the most impressive victory this team has in Cameron Indoor Arena this season is agains a Pittsburgh team that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks as just the 78th best team in the nation. The Blue Devils have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 home games as a favorite laying 6.5 to 9 points. Rebounding has become an issue for this team on defense as they have allowed their last ten opponents to pull down 31.2% of their missed shots which is 294th in the nation. And they make only 67.3% of their free throws at home which is 275th in the nation — so don’t give up hope if Duke is covering the point spread late in this game.

FINAL TAKE: The Blue Devils are making 48.1% of their shots this season — but the Seminoles have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after fifteen games into the season against opponents who make at least 48% of their shots. Duke has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after fifteen games into the season against teams are winning at least 80% of their games. And in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Florida State has covered the point spread in 4 of these contests. 10* CBB Florida State-Duke ESPN Special with the Florida State Seminoles (865) plus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (866). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Fairfield Stags (844) minus the points versus the Iona Gaels (843). THE SITUATION: Fairfield (9-13) has lost two of their last three games with their 65-49 loss at Siena on Thursday. Iona (6-12) snapped their three-game losing streak with their 73-52 win at Quinnipiac as a 5.5-point underdog on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE STAGS MINUS THE POINTS: Fairfield made only 30.2% of their shots on Thursday which was the second lowest mark of the season — and their lowest field goal percentage in their last sixteen contests. But the Stags have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 12 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Fairfield has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after failing to score at least 50 points in their last game. And in their last 7 games played with just one day of rest, the Stags have covered the point spread 6 times. They return home where they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Fairfield should shoot better this afternoon — and they should thrive in second chance opportunities against the Gaels. The Stags lead the Metro Atlantic Athletic Association by pulling down 34.9% of their missed shots — and Iona is 10th in the conference by allowing their opponents to rebound 31.4% of their missed shots. Iona played their best defensive game of the season on Thursday by holding the Bobcats to just 32.2% shooting. But the Gaels have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 26 games after a victory by at least 20 points. Iona covered the point spread on Thursday for the first time since in their last four contests but they have failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 40 games after a point spread victory — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games on the road after one covering the point spread once in their last three contests. The Stags stay on the road where they are 4-7 this season while being outscored by -6.0 PPG. They are making just 40.2% of their shots on the road — and they rank 301st in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing in hostile environments. Iona has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road — and they are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Fairfield will be looking to a avenge a 64-57 loss at Iona back on January 17th as a 3.5-point favorite. The Stags have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they did not score at least 60 points. Fairfield has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range. Look for the Stags to cruise to an easy win. 10* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Fairfield Stags (844) minus the points versus the Iona Gaels (843). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (831) and the Connecticut Huskies (832). THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (15-7) has won five games in a row with their 80-79 upset in at Wichita State as a 5-point underdog on Thursday. UConn (12-10) also comes off an upset victory as well as they knocked off Tulsa on the road on Thursday by a 72-56 score as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bearcats made 54.5% of their shots in shocking the Shockers on Thursday — that was the best shooting effort in their last eleven contests. But Cincinnati also allowed Wichita State to make 48.5% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage all season. The Bearcats have still held their last five opponents to just 39.7% shooting from the field. Cincinnati has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a victory over a conference rival — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Bearcats stay on the road where they are making only 42.9% of their shots. Cincinnati has seen the Under go 48-16-2 in their last 66 games on the road — and the Under is also 39-12-2 in their last 53 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Bearcats have also played 47 of their last 60 road games Under the Total as a favorite. UConn made 51.9% of their shots in their upset victory on Thursday which was the best shooting effort in their last eleven games. Yet this team is still only making 39.1% of their shots over their last five games — so the Regression Gods are likely to visit Connecticut this afternoon. The Huskies have then played 33 of their last 50 games Under the Total after an upset victory. UConn has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They return home where they are only allowing their opponents to make 39.8% of their shots which has resulted in just 65.1 PPG. But the Huskies are making just 41.7% of their shots at home. UConn has played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Huskies have also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: UConn will be looking to avenge a 67-51 loss at Cincinnati back on January 1st. The Huskies have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. 10* CBB Cincinnati-UConn CBS Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (831) and the Connecticut Huskies (832). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the UT-Arlington Mavericks (629) minus the points versus the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (630). THE SITUATION: UT-Arlington (10-14) has lost two of their last three games with their 57-50 upset loss at Appalachian State as a 1-point favorite on Thursday. Coastal Carolina (12-12) has lost five of their last six games after their 100-63 loss at home to Texas State on Thursday as a 2.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MAVERICKS MINUS THE POINTS: UT-Arlington played one of their worst games of the season against the Mountaineers. They made only 36.2% of their shots which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last eight games. They also allowed Appalachian State to nail 44.2% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last eight contests. The Mavericks lead the Sun Belt Conference with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 45.8%. UT-Arlington should respond with a strong effort as they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. The Mavericks have also covered the point spread in a decisive 40 of their last 63 games after a suffering a loss on the road. Furthermore, UT-Arlington has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a loss on the road where they did not score at least 60 points. Second-year head coach Chris Ogden has five of his top six starters back from last year’s group that finished 2nd in the Sun Belt Conference with a 12-6 regular-season record — so this is an experienced group. While they are only 5-9 on the road this season, they are outscoring their home hosts overall. The Mavericks typically play a very challenging non-conference schedule with this season being no exception with contests against Florida State, Oregon, and Gonzaga where they lost by only 6 points in Spokane. UT-Arlington is 7-3-2 ATS in the last 12 games on the road — and they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road as the favorite. Coastal Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games after a double-digit loss at home. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games after a loss at home to a conference rival. The Chanticleers are trending in the wrong direction as they have made only 41.7% of their shots over their last five games while allowing their opponents to nail 48.1% of their shots. Furthermore, Coastal Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games at home — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road.

FINAL TAKE: UT-Arlington will be looking to avenge an 82-77 upset loss at home to the Chanticleers as a 4-point underdog back on January 11th. The Mavericks have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when playing with revenge from a same-season loss — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. 10* CBB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the UT-Arlington Mavericks (629) minus the points versus the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (630). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Indiana Hoosiers (642) minus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (641). THE SITUATION: Indiana (15-7) has lost three straight games after their 68-59 loss at Ohio State last Saturday as a 7.5-point underdog. Purdue (13-10) has won three of their last four games after their 104-68 blowout win at home against Iowa as a 4-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HOOSIERS MINUS THE POINT(S): The Boilermakers are likely due for a big emotional letdown after playing their best game of the season. Purdue nailed 19 shots from behind the arc en route to a 63.1% shooting percentage which was — by far — their best offensive effort of the season. But the Boilermakers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, Purdue has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a blowout victory by at least 30 points. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 road games after a win over a Big Ten opponent — and they have generally been inconsistent this season as they failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up victory. In terms of Adjusted Efficiency, the Boilermakers rank number one in the nation when playing at home in Mackey Arena — but they plummet to just 96th in the nation in that metric when playing on the road. Purdue is 3-8 away from home with an average losing margin of -5.3 PPG. Offense is the biggest weakness of this team — they rank 12th in the Big Ten by scoring 68.8 PPG while also ranking 12th with their meager 65.8% free throw percentage along with their 45.0% shooting mark inside the arc. Their shooting is even worse when they are playing on the road where they are making just 36.5% of their shots which is translating into just 59.0 PPG. The Boilermakers are 345th in the nation on the road with an effective field goal percentage of 41.5% due to their 26.5% shooting from behind the arc (335th in the nation) and their 42.8% shooting clip inside the arc (317th in the nation). Purdue is 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games in Big Ten play. The Boilermakers are also 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 25 road games with the Total set in the 140 to 144.5 point range. Indiana is desperate for a victory — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a loss on the road to a Big Ten opponent. The Hoosiers have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after losing four or five of their last six contests. Now after playing their last two games on the road where they were the underdog, they return home where they are 12-2 this season with an average winning margin of +13.9 PPG while ranking 23rd in the nation in Adjusted Net Efficiency. Indiana makes 48.6% of their shots at home which generates a healthy 80.0 PPG. The Hoosiers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games with the Total set in the 140 to 144.5 point range. Indiana leads the Big Ten with a Free Throw Attempt-to-Field Goal Attempt ratio of 38.6%. And while Purdue leads the Big Ten by pulling down 34.0% of their missed shots, the Hoosiers also lead the conference by limiting their opponents to rebounding just 24.5% of their missed shots. The Boilermakers average +4.6 net RPG versus their opponents — but Indiana has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 home games after fifteen games into the season against opponents who average at least +4.0 RPG.

FINAL TAKE: Bobby Knight is expected to make his first return to Assembly Hall since 1999 with the University honoring the 1980 National Championship team — so emotions will be very high. Indiana has defeated Michigan State, Ohio State, and Florida State on their home court this season that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy currently ranks in his Top-19 teams in the nation with his analytics. Purdue has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games as an underdog. 25* CBB Big Ten Game of the Year with the Indiana Hoosiers (642) minus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (641). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Drexel Dragons (624) minus the points versus the James Madison Dukes (623). THE SITUATION: Drexel (12-11) has lost three straight games with their 80-72 loss at Delaware on Saturday as a 5.5-point underdog. James Madison (9-13) snapped their seven-game losing streak on Saturday with their 83-66 win over UNC-Wilmington as a 4-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DRAGONS MINUS THE POINTS: Drexel has failed to cover the point spread in their last three games — but all three of those games were on the road. The Dragons return home where they are 9-2 this season with an average winning margin of +9.4 PPG. Drexel is making 47.3% of their shots at home which has generated 74.3 PPG. The Dragons have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after playing their last two games on the road. The Dragons have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 home games against teams with a winning percentage at 40% or less on the road. Drexel makes 38.7% of their shots from behind the arc on their home court which is the 47th best mark in the nation. This is an area of vulnerability for the Dukes who are 9th in the Colonial Athletic Association by allowing their opponents to make 37.5% of their 3-point shots. The Dragons also lead their conference by pulling down 30.8% of their missed shots in conference play — and that mark improves to a 34.2% clip in the Drexels’ home games this season which is 43rd best in the nation. James Madison played one of their best games of the season on Saturday — they made 43.9% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last eight games while limiting the Seahawks to just 40.1% shooting which was also the best defensive effort in their last eight games. But the Dukes have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. James Madison has also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. Now the Dukes go back on the road where they are 3-7 with an average losing margin of -10.1 PPG. James Madison makes only 37.5% of their shots on the road which is resulting in just 67.2 PPG. The Dukes make only 40.5% of their shots inside the arc on the road which is 344th in the nation. James Madison has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher at home. The Dukes thrive by getting to the free-throw line — they lead the CAA with a Free Throw Attempt-to-Field Goal Attempt ratio of 39.6%. But the Dragons are 33rd in the nation when playing at home with an opponent’s FTA:FGA ratio of 22%.

FINAL TAKE: James Madison is looking to avenge a 78-71 upset loss at home to Drexel where they were 3.5-point favorites — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games when playing with revenge. The Dragons nailed 11 of their 27 shots (40.7%) from behind the arc in that game — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games as a favorite. The Dukes have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games as an underdog. 10* CBB Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the Drexel Dragons (624) minus the points versus the James Madison Dukes (623). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Temple Owls (827) and the Memphis Tigers (828). THE SITUATION: Temple (11-10) snapped their four-game losing streak on Saturday with their 76-64 win at home against East Carolina as a 10.5-point favorite. Memphis (16-5) has won their last two games with their 70-63 win over UConn as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Owls made 48.9% of their shots on Saturday in their victory over the Pirates which was the best shooting mark in their last ten games. But Temple has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now the Owls go back on the road where they are making only 36.4% of their shots which is translating into just 63.4 PPG. Temple ranks only 350th in the nation (out of 353 Division I teams) with an effective field goal percentage of 39.4% due mostly to their 37.7% shooting mark inside the arc which is also 350th in the nation — and they rank 310th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on the road. The Owls have played 26 of their last 36 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Temple has also played 6 straight road games Under the Total with the number set in the 135 to 139.5 point range. The Owls are last in the American Athletic Conference overall in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they play strong defense for head coach Aaron McKie. Temple ranks 33rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency with that ranking improving to 24th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. Memphis has been outstanding on defense this season for head coach Penny Hardaway — they rank 10th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency based on their nation-leading opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 41.7%. The Tigers have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight home games Under the Total after a win over a conference opponent. Memphis has also played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. But this team has struggled to score points as of late as they are making just 41.5% of their shots over their last five games which is has resulted in just 59.8 PPG. The Tigers stay at home where they are limiting their guests to only 34.2% shooting from the field which has translated into just 59.8 PPG. Memphis has the 3rd best Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on their home court. They have played 15 of their last 22 home games Under the Total as the favorite.

FINAL TAKE: Memphis has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and Temple has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB Wednesday CBS Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Temple Owls (827) and the Memphis Tigers (828). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the St. Louis Billikens (798) minus the points versus the Duquesne Dukes (797). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (17-5) has won their last three games with their 78-73 win at Saint Joseph’s on Saturday as an 8-point favorite. Duquesne (16-5) snapped a three-game losing streak on Sunday with their 71-69 win at home over LaSalle where they were 9.5-point favorites.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BILLIKENS MINUS THE POINTS: Saint Louis won their game on Saturday against the Hawks despite allowing them to make 43.4% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last four games. The Billikens return home where they are 11-2 this season with an average winning margin of +8.4 PPG. St. Louis holds their victories to just 39.6% shooting from the field which has resulted in just 64.7 PPG. The Billikens are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. And while St. Louis has played their last two games on the road, they have then covered the point spread in 27 of their last 39 games after playing their last two contests on the road. Additionally, the Billikens have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. St. Louis has a few ways to increase their scoring chances if their shots are not falling. First, the Billikens are 2nd in the Missouri Valley Conference by pulling down 33.9% of their missed shots — and they are 29th in the nation by rebounding 35.7% of their misses when playing at home. This is an area of vulnerability for the Dukes who are 14th in the MVC by allowing their opponents to rebound 33.5% of their missed shots — and they rank 330th in the nation by allowing their home hosts to rebound 35.1% of their misses when playing on the road. St. Louis is also forcing turnovers in 21.1% of their opponent’s possessions in conference play which is 3rd best in the Missouri Valley — and Duquesne is 12th in the conference by turning the ball over in 20.3% of their conference possessions. The Dukes shot 50.9% from the field on Sunday which was the best shooting effort in their last eleven games. But Duquesne has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 47 of their last 69 games after a narrow win by 6 points or less. And in their last 7 games after a point spread setback, the Dukes have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these games. Duquesne is likely due for regression on the offensive end of the court as they are making only 40.7% of their shots in their last five games which has resulted in just 63.4 PPG. Now the Dukes go back on the road where they are making just 42.6% of their shots. Duquesne has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Dukes have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall.

FINAL TAKE: St. Louis will be motivated to avenge a 73-59 loss at Duquesne back on January 2nd. The Billikens have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 home games when looking to avenge a loss. 20* CBB Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with the St. Louis Billikens (798) minus the points versus the Duquesne Dukes (797). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the North Carolina Tar Heels (861) plus the points versus the Florida State Seminoles (862). THE SITUATION: North Carolina (10-11) had won two games in a row before getting upset at home on Saturday by a 71-70 score despite being a 12-point favorite. Florida State (18-3) comes off a 74-63 win at Virginia Tech on Saturday as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TAR HEELS PLUS THE POINTS: North Carolina had been playing better basketball before getting upset by the Eagles. Head coach Roy Williams’ team was hit hard with departures from last season which left this year’s team very inexperienced. Injuries have also hurt the club although star point guard Cole Anthony did return to the court to score 26 points in the losing effort against Boston College. Perhaps there were chemistry issues with Anthony getting reacclimatized with his teammates. But Anthony is a star who will likely be a lottery draft pick in the NBA this June — so this Tar Heels team is much better with him back in the mix. North Carolina made only 36.1% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games. The Tar Heels also allowed the Eagles to make 46.4% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last seven contests. North Carolina should respond with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games after an upset loss as a favorite laying at least 12 points. The Tar Heels go back on the road where they are 5-5 this season while outscoring their home hosts. North Carolina leads the ACC by pulling down 34.9% of their missed shots — and they should have success in getting second-chance opportunities against this Seminoles team that allows their conference opponents to rebound 31.3% of their missed shots which is 10th in the ACC. Rebounding travels — and crashing the glass has helped the Tar Heels cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road as an underdog. North Carolina has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games as an underdog getting the points. Florida State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread win. The Seminoles return home where they are 10-0 this season — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games when favored. Florida State has also failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 27 home games with the Total set at 145 to 149.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: The Seminoles are making 45.9% of their shots this season while limiting their opponents to just a 40.6% field goal percentage — but North Carolina has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games against teams who shoot at least 45% of their shots while keeping their opponents to no better than 42%. 10* CBB North Carolina-Florida State ESPN Special with the North Carolina Tar Heels (861) plus the points versus the Florida State Seminoles (862). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Monmouth Hawks (840) minus the point(s) versus the Rider Broncs (839). THE SITUATION: Rider (12-8) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 66-63 loss at St. Peter’s as a 1-point underdog. Rider (12-8) has won their last three games with their 68-52 win over Fairfield as a 6-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HAWKS MINUS THE POINT(S): Monmouth made only 38.3% of their shots on Wednesday in what was their lowest field goal percentage in their last five games. The Hawks have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread setback. Now after playing their last two games on the road, they return home where they are 7-0 this season with an average winning margin of +10.4 PPG. Monmouth holds their guests to just 40.5% shooting from the field. They have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. They also have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 home games with the Total set in the 140s. They force turnovers in 22.2% of their opponent’s possessions on their home court. They also should get some freebies at the line this afternoon as they rank 21st in the nation with a Free Throw Attempt-to-Field Goal Attempt ratio of 46.2% at home. Rider has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a double-digit win over a conference rival. The Broncs probably played their best game of the season on Friday. Their 53.2% field goal percentage was their best shooting mark of the season — and their 35.4% opponent’s field goal percentage was their second-best effort all year going back to November. But Rider has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. They are also 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games after a point spread win. Now the Broncs go back on the road where they are 6-7 this season — but they are only making 41.7% of their shots from the field. Rider has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Broncs have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Rider is last in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 53.9%. The Broncs are 9th in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They do rank 2nd in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but Monmouth ranks 4th in that metric while also ranking 2nd in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. 4* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Monmouth Hawks (840) minus the point(s) versus the Rider Broncs (839). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona State Sun Devils (821) and the Washington Huskies (822). THE SITUATION: Arizona State (12-8) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 67-65 upset loss at Washington State as a 2-point favorite. Washington (12-10) has lost four straight games after their 75-72 loss at home to Arizona as a 2-point underdog on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Sun Devils have played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss as a road favorite. Arizona State had only 9 assists in that game — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a game where they did not generate more than 9 assists in their last game. The Sun Devils have played their last two games Under the Total — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders. Arizona State stays on the road where they are making only 40.9% of their shots which has resulted in just 64.7 PPG. But the Sun Devils play tough defense — they rank 26th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency with that ranking improving to 21st in the country when looking at defensive numbers on the road. Arizona State has played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Sun Devils have played 9 of their last 12 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting no more than 6 points. Washington has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played a decisive 35 of their last 51 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Huskies did nail 14 of their 28 shots from behind the arc in that game — but they have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a game where they made at least 50% of their 3-pointers. They also have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after making at least 13 shots from downtown in their last game. Yet despite those numbers, Washington has made only 42.9% of their shots in their last five games which has resulted in only 65.0 PPG. The Huskies stay at home where they are holding their guests to just 36.9% shooting which has resulted in just 61.9 PPG. The Huskies have the top Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in Pac-12 play executing the 2-3 zone of head coach Mike Hopkins — and they rank 21st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Washington has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total — and they have also played 17 of their last 25 home games Under the Total as a favorite.

FINAL TAKE: The Huskies have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season Under the Total against opponents who are winning 60 to 80% of their games. Arizona State has played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 10* CBB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Arizona State Sun Devils (821) and the Washington Huskies (822). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Buffaloes (819) and the USC Trojans (820). THE SITUATION: Colorado (16-5) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with their 72-68 upset loss at UCLA as a 4.5-point favorite. USC (17-4) has won five of their last six contests with their 56-52 win over Utah as an 8-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Buffaloes have played their last two games Over the Total — and they have then played 27 of their last 36 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. Colorado stays on the road where they are making only 38.9% of their shots which is resulting in just 65.6 PPG. The Buffaloes are making just 41.3% of their shots inside the arc on the road which is 338th in the nation. This difficulty in shooting 2-pointers has dragged their effective field goal percentage on the road to just a 44.2% mark on the road which is 300th in the country. Colorado has played 25 of their last 34 road games Under the Total — and they have played 20 of their last 26 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. But this Buffaloes teams does play excellent defense — they rank 18th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. And that ranking improves when only looking at how teams play on the road where Colorado ranks 13th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. USC has played 30 of their last 44 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Trojans have played 21 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a win against a Pac-12 rival — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after winning at least two in a row against conference opponents. USC has also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 55 points in their last game. The Trojans stay at home where they have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total — and they have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record after fifteen games into the season. USC also plays tough defense — they rank 28th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while also ranking 2nd in the Pac-12 in that metric in conference play. They hold their visitors to just 38.7% shooting on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: Colorado out-rebounds their opponents by +6.1 RPG — but the Trojans have played 13 of their last 14 games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who out-rebound their opponents by at least +4.0 RPG. And while USC is outscoring their opponents by +6.3 PPG, the Buffaloes have played 6 straight games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who outscore their opponents by +4.0 PPG. 25* CBB FS1-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Buffaloes (819) and the USC Trojans (820). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Valparaiso Crusaders (766) minus the points versus the Illinois State Redbirds (765). THE SITUATION: Valparaiso (11-11) has lost two of their last three games after their 80-69 loss at Bradley as a 5.5-point underdog. Illinois State (7-14) snapped a seven-game losing streak on Wednesday as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CRUSADERS MINUS THE POINTS: Valparaiso should respond with a strong effort tonight as they are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, Valparaiso has covered the point spread in 40 of their last 51 games after a loss on the road by at least 10 points. The Crusaders allowed the Braves to shoot 52.9% from the field on Wednesday which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games. Valparaiso has covered the point spread in 12 straight games after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. The Crusaders return home where they are 7-1 this season with an average winning margin of +9.7 PPG. They limit their visitors to just 44.2% shooting from the field which results in just 66.5 PPG. Valparaiso is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games as the favorite. The Crusaders should force plenty of turnovers in this one — they are forcing turnovers in 20.5% of their opponent’s possessions in Missouri Valley Conference play and the Redbirds are last in the conference by turning the ball over in 20.1% of their conference possessions. Illinois State has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. The Redbirds made 46.7% of their shots against the Purple Aces which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. But Illinois State is only making 40.8% of his shots over their last five games even after that effort. The Redbirds go back on the road where they are 0-10 this season with an average losing margin of -11.3 PPG while making just 41.7% of their shots which results in 64.4 PPG. Illinois State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games on the road as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Illinois State tends to live-and-die by the 3-point shot. They are 2nd in the MVC by taking 45.8% of their shots from behind the arc — but they are making only 32.7% of these shots when playing on the road which is 157th in the nation. And while they average 22 attempts from behind the 3-point line per game, the Crusaders have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in the second half of the season against opponents who attempt at least 21 shots from behind the arc per game. 20* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Valparaiso Crusaders (766) minus the points versus the Illinois State Redbirds (765). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Huskies (619) and the Memphis Tigers (620). THE SITUATION: UConn (11-9) snapped their four-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 78-63 win over Temple as a 4.5-point favorite. Memphis (15-5) ended their two-game losing streak on Wednesday when they defeated Central Florida in their gym by a 59-57 score as a 1.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Huskies have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. UConn has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win by at least 15 points. The Huskies managed that victory despite making just 35.5% of their shots. UConn has not shot better than 39.7% over their last three games — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after failing to shoot better than 40% in three straight games. Over their last five contests, the Huskies have a 39.5% field goal percentage. UConn is last in the American Athletic Conference with an effective field goal percentage of just 42.5% — and they are also last in the conference by making just 26.0% of their 3-point attempts. It gets even worse for the Huskies when they are playing on the road where they are scoring just 64.0 PPG. UConn’s Adjusted Offensive Efficiency is just 307th in the nation when playing on the road — and they are making only 24.2% of their 3-pointers in their true road games. But the good news for head coach Dan Hurley’s team is that they play very good defense on the road as they rank 20th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. UConn has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total — and they have played 4 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Huskies have also played 6 straight road games Under the Total as an underdog getting no more than 6 points. Memphis has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Tigers have also played 6 straight home games Under the Total after a narrow win by 6 points or less. Memphis averages 73.7 PPG this season but that mark has plummeted over their last five games to a mere 59.4 PPG scoring average with a 42.8% field goal percentage. But head coach Penny Hardaway can lean on the outstanding defensive this team played. The Tigers lead the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 41.8% fueled by their tough interior defense that is limiting their opponents to just 39.2% shooting inside the arc which is 2nd best in the country. Overall, Memphis ranks 15th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and that number improves to them being 7th in the nation in that metric when they are playing on their home court. The Tigers limit their guests to scoring just 60.9 PPG on 34.3% shooting. Memphis has played 4 of their last 5 games at home Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage no better than 40% on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The Tigers have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with the number set in the 130s. 25* CBB CBS-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Huskies (619) and the Memphis Tigers (620). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (878) plus the points versus the Wright State Raiders (877). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (10-11) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Saturday with their 70-53 upset loss at Cleveland State as a 3-point favorite. Wright State (18-4) has won two straight games with their 95-63 win over Northern Kentucky last Friday as a 4.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS PLUS THE POINTS: Milwaukee has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 25 games after an upset loss by double-digits. The Panthers have also covered the point spread in a decisive 54 of their last 81 games after a loss by at least 10 points to a Horizon League rival — and this includes them covering the point spread in 8 of these last 12 situations. Milwaukee allowed the Vikings to make 51.1% of their shots in that game which was the most defensive field goal percentage in their last seven games. Even worse, the Panthers made only 25.4% of their shots in that game which was the worst shooting performance for them all season. Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a game where they did not make at least 28% of their shots. This team does have ways to generate more scoring opportunities if their shots are not falling. The Panthers lead the Horizon League by forcing turnovers in 21.8% of their opponent’s possessions. Milwaukee also returns home where they are pulling down 36.9% of their missed shots which is 19th best in the nation. The Panthers are 7-3 on their home court with an average winning margin of +7.1 PPG while holding their opponents to just 42.9% shooting. Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 14 of their last 23 home games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 6 points. Wright State enjoyed their best shooting mark of the season last week as they nailed 61.1% of their shots. The Raiders rushed out to a 48-28 halftime lead against the Norse — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after being up by at least 20 points at halftime of their last game. Wright State has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread win. Now after playing their last three games at home, the Raiders go back on the road where they are making just 43.2% of their shots. Wright State also makes only 65.5% of their free throws when on the road which is 310th worst in the nation — so don’t give up hope if the Raiders are covering the point spread late in this game. Wright State averages 81.5 PPG — but Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after fifteen games into the season against teams who score at least 77 PPG. And while the Panthers make just 40.5% of their shots, the Raiders have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after fifteen games into the season against teams who do not make more than 42% of their shots. Furthermore, Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 6 straight games against teams with a winning record after fifteen games into the season.

FINAL TAKE: The Panthers will be looking to avenge an 82-70 loss to Wright State back on December 30th. Milwaukee has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games when avenging a same-season loss — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 19 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. 25* CBB Horizon League Game of the Month with the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers (878) plus the points versus the Wright State Raiders (877). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Northeastern Huskies (619) and the William & Mary Pride (620). THE SITUATION: Northeastern (11-10) has lost two of their last three games with their 76-74 loss to Delaware on Sunday as a 7.5-point favorite. William & Mary (15-7) has lost two of their last three games as well after their 70-58 loss to Towson State as a 5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Huskies have played 26 of their last 38 games Over the Total after a narrow loss by 3 points or less — and this includes them playing 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a narrow loss by 3 points or less at home. This is an outstanding team in shooting the basketball that ranks 6th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.3%. Northeastern also ranks 4th in the nation by making 40.4% of their shots behind the arc. Those numbers do not fall off much when they are playing away from — they nail 37.7% of their 3-pointers on the road which is 26th best in the country which helps maintain their effective field goal percentage of 55% which is 11th best in the nation for teams playing on the road. The Huskies have played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 12 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Northeastern should score plenty of points against this Pride defense that ranks 232nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Huskies average 72.7 PPG on the road — and they are scoring 76.8 PPG in their last five games while making 48.5% of their shots from the field. But Northeastern has allowed their last five opponents to also make 48.5% of their shots as well. William & Mary has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. And while that game finished Under the 137 point Total, the Pride have then played 11 of their last 12 home games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. William & Mary should be able to keep up with the Huskies scoring as they rank 14th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 54.8%. The Pride will likely live inside against Northeastern — they rank 19th in the nation by making 54.7% of their 2-point shots while the Huskies rank 321st in the country by allowing their opponents to make 54.3% of their shots inside the arc. William & Mary is making 47.9% of their shots on their home court which has resulted in 76.7 PPG. The Pride have played 36 of their last 52 games Over the Total on their home court — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, William & Mary has played 23 of their last 34 home games Over the Total as the favorite — and they have played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of William & Mary’s 66-64 upset victory over the Huskies back on January 4th. Northeastern shot just 43.5% from the field in that game while making just 6 of 19 (31.6%) of their shots from behind the arc in a game that saw only 65 respective possessions. The tempo should be quicker in this rematch (with the Huskies making more shots) — the Pride average 67.6 possessions per game while Northeastern averages 67.5 possessions in conference play. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Northeastern Huskies (619) and the William & Mary Pride (620). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Alabama Crimson Tide (809) plus the points versus the LSU Tigers (810). THE SITUATION: Alabama (12-7) has won four games in a row with their 77-74 win over Kansas State on Saturday in the Big 12/SEC Challenge as a 9.5-point favorite. LSU (15-4) has won eight games in a row with their 69-67 upset win at Texas on Saturday in their Big 12/SEC Challenge matchup where they were 2-point underdogs.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CRIMSON TIDE PLUS THE POINTS: Alabama has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. And while that game finished above the 146 point total, the Crimson Tide have then covered the point spread in 11 straight games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Alabama allowed the Wildcats to make 35.1% of their shots which — while low — happened to be the worst defensive effort in their last five games. The Crimson Tide have the second-lowest Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in SEC play — and they have held their last five opponents to just 34.7% shooting from the field. Now Alabama goes back on the road where they are outscoring their opponents despite a 4-6 record. The Tide have covered the point spread in 5 straight games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. LSU is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games after narrow win on the road by 3 points or less. The Tigers have been very fortunate to eke out close games. LSU has won their last six games by a combined 15 points with all those victories by 4 points or less and with three of them decided by 1 or 2 points. The Tigers return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Head coach Will Wade lost three starters from last year’s Sweet Sixteen squad — but he did return five contributors from that group while complementing them with five transfers. Yet scoring may be a problem for this team against this Crimson Tide defense. LSU is making only 44.0% of their shots over their last five games — and they make only 25.8% of their 3-pointers on their home court which is 341st in the nation. The Tigers do lead the SEC by rebounding 41.1% of their missed shots in conference play — but Alabama is 2nd in the SEC by limiting their opponents to rebounding just 26.9% of their missed shots.

FINAL TAKE: The Crimson Tide are beginning to thrive under first-year head coach Nate Oaks who has this team playing at the quickest adjusted tempo in the nation. Over their last ten games, the advanced metrics list Alabama as the 21st best team in the nation — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Those metrics rank LSU at just 45th in the nation over their last ten games despite them being ranked once again in the Top-25 for the first time in ten weeks. The Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record — and they are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. 25* CBB Underdog of the Month with the Alabama Crimson Tide (809) plus the points versus the LSU Tigers (810). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (628) minus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (627). THE SITUATION: Rutgers (15-5) has won three of their last four games with their 75-72 win over Nebraska as a 13.5-point favorite on Saturday. Purdue (11-9) snapped a two-game losing streak last Friday with their 70-57 victory over Wisconsin as a 4-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SCARLET KNIGHTS MINUS THE POINTS: The Boilermakers are likely due for a letdown after playing one of their best games of the season against the Badgers. Purdue has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread win. Additionally, the Boilermakers ave failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games on the road after a win over a Big Ten opponent. But Purdue has still only covered the point spread twice in their last seven games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games on the road after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Now this team goes back on the road where they have a completely different team than they are at home where they are 9-2 this season at Mackey Arena. But the Boilermakers are just 2-7 on the road where they are being outscored by -6.0 PPG. Purdue is not a good shooting team — they are 256th in the nation in effective field goal percentage and that number drops to 42.9% in Big Ten play which is last in the conference. The Boilermakers also have the worst Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in the Big Ten. Their shooting is even worse away from home as they are making just 35.4% of their shots which is resulting in just 58.3 PPG. Pursue has an effective field goal percentage of 39.5% on the road which is 348th in the nation. They make only 23.8% of their 3-pointers on the road while making just 41.5% of their shots inside the arc on the road which ranks 345th and 327th in the nation. The Boilermakers also make things very difficult for themselves on the road by not getting to the free-throw line — they rank 329th in the nation with a Free Throw Attempt-to-Field Goal Attempt ratio of 21.3%. Purdue is just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 27 road games against Big Ten opponents. Rutgers is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after a victory over a Big Ten opponent. And while the Scarlet Knights have won nine of their last eleven games, they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after winning at least four or five of their last six games. Rutgers won seven games in Big Ten play last season with head coach Steve Pikiell returns seven of the top eight scorers from that team. The Scarlet Knights stay at home where they are 14-0 with an average winning margin of +17.1 PPG. This Rutgers team plays outstanding defense as they rank 9th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Scarlet Knights hold their guests to just 35.6% shooting on their home court which results in 56.0 PPG. Rutgers rank 3rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing at home. They will make things very difficult for the Boilermakers’ shooters as they rank 20th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 44.0%.

FINAL TAKE: The Scarlet Knights have already defeated Seton Hall, Penn State, Indiana, and Minnesota on their home court — metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks all four of those teams in the top 39 teams in the nation. Purdue is just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. 25* CBB Big Ten Game of the Month with the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (628) minus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (627). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the North Carolina State Wolfpack (866) minus the points versus the North Carolina Tar Heels (865). THE SITUATION: NC State (14-6) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 64-58 loss at Georgia Tech as a 1-point underdog. North Carolina (9-10) snapped their five-game losing streak with their 94-71 win at home against Miami (FL) as a 7-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WOLFPACK MINUS THE POINTS: NC State should respond with a strong effort as they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Wolfpack have covered the point spread in 31 of their last 48 games after a loss on the road where they did not score at least 60 points. And while NC State has only covered the point spread once in their last three games, they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. This is an experienced team that returned six of their top seven starters from last year's 24-win team. The Wolfpack are 11-1 on their home court where they are outscoring their opponents by +14.3 PPG. NC State holds its opponents to just 40.4% shooting on their home court which has resulted in only 64.3 PPG. The Wolfpack have also held their last five opponents to just 38.1% shooting. North Carolina has failed to cover the point spread 9 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. The Tar Heels made 58.1% of their shots which was by far the best shooting performance of this team all season — the next highest field goal percentage they enjoyed was in their first game of the season where they made 46.7% of their shots against Notre Dame. But North Carolina is just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. Yet this remains a highly disappointing season for head coach Roy Williams who lost his top five scorers from last year’s team. Injuries have further exposed the talent deficit on the roster this season. Veteran big man Sterling Manley and four-star freshman Anthony Harris are out the season with injuries. But the biggest loss has been with five-star freshman guard Cole Anthony who has out for a month and a half with a knee injury. At one point, Anthony was considered the possible number one pick in the June NBA draft. The Tar Heels go back on the road where they are just 4-5 this season while making only 40.4% of their shots. North Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better on their home court. North Carolina has also failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 25 road games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 6 points — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in those last three situations. The Tar Heels only make 27.6% of their shots from behind the arc in true road games which is 308th in the nation — and their 43.7% effective field goal percentage in true road games is just 304th in the country. North Carolina only makes 58.2% of their free throws in hostile environments as well which is 304th in the nation. The Tar Heels try to make up for these shooting deficiencies by crashing the offensive glass — they are out-rebounding their opponents by +9.4 RPG. North Carolina out-rebounded the Hurricanes on Saturday by a 41 to 21 margin — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after out-rebounding their last opponent by at least 20 boards. Furthermore, NC State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams that out-rebound their opponents by at least +5.0 RPG.

FINAL TAKE: The Wolfpack are outscoring their opponents by +7.2 PPG while holding these foes to just 41.9% shooting from the field. North Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games against teams who do not allow their opponents to shoot better than 42% — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +4.0 PPG. 25* CBB Big Monday ESPN Game of the Month with the North Carolina State Wolfpack (866) minus the points versus the North Carolina Tar Heels (865). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Baylor Bears (755) plus the points versus the Florida Gators (756). THE SITUATION: Baylor (16-1) has won fifteen games in a row after their 61-57 win over Oklahoma on Monday as an 11-point favorite. Florida (12-6) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 84-82 loss at LSU as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BEARS PLUS THE POINTS: Baylor should continue to build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win. The Bears have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games when playing just their second game in seven days. Baylor pulled out that game with the Sooners despite making only 34.9% of their shots which was the lowest shooting mark in their last five games. Defense is keeping this Bears team competitive as they rank 4th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they lead the nation in that metric over their last ten games. Baylor also creates more scoring opportunities by forcing turnovers in 22.4% of their opponent’s possessions which is 39th best in the nation. This is an area of vulnerability for this Gators’ team as they turn the ball over in 18.8% of their conference possessions which is the highest rate in the SEC. The Bears have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. Baylor also generates more scoring opportunities for themselves by crashing the offensive glass — they lead the Big 12 by pulling down 37.6% of their missed shots. Defense, forcing turnovers, and generating second-chance scoring opportunities are all attributes than tend to not deviate from normal expectations when playing in hostile environments which probably goes a long way to explain why the Bears are 7-1 on the road this season with an average winning margin +11.6 net PPG. Baylor is also nailing 36.4% of their 3-pointers on the road which is the 53rd best road mark in the nation. The Bears are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 road games — and they covered the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Baylor has also covered their last 5 games as an underdog. Florida has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 home games after a point spread win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 19 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. The Gators return home where they are 7-1 this season be but perhaps point spread expectations are too high for them. They have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games at home while failing to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Florida struggles to shoot the basketball — they are making only 44.8% of their shots on their home court. They also make just 30.6% of their shots from behind the arc at home which is the 279th worst mark in the nation. The Gators have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 home games when favored.

FINAL TAKE: While I am aware that Baylor was elevated to number one in the human polls (but I only know that when that information is shoved at me, it’s meaningless data) and realize that there is a growing list of number one ranked teams that have lost to unranked opponents, those circumstances mean nothing to me for this contest. Florida’s best win is against an Auburn team that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks 28th in the nation. Baylor has four victories over Kansas, Arizona, Butler, and Villanova that Pomeroy currently ranks at 18th or better. The Bears’ style of play translates in hostile territory giving us nice value. 10* CBB Baylor-Florida ESPN Special with the Baylor Bears (755) plus the points versus the Florida Gators (756). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Arkansas Razorbacks (692) minus the points versus the TCU Horned Frogs (691). THE SITUATION: Arkansas (14-4) has lost two straight games with their 72-70 loss at Mississippi State as a 4.5-point underdog on Wednesday. TCU (13-5) snapped a two-game losing streak on Tuesday with their 65-54 upset victory over Texas Tech as a 2.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAZORBACKS MINUS THE POINTS: Arkansas needs to get focused back on sharing the basketball to establish better looking shots — they have managed only 12 and 8 assists in each of their last two games. The Razorbacks have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after not generating more than 12 team assists in two straight games. Arkansas only attempted 11 free throws on Wednesday as well while the Bulldogs got to the line 31 times which resulted in a -21 point differential for them at the line. The Razorbacks have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 25 games after a game where they attempted at least 20 fewer free throws than their opponent. Arkansas returns home where they are 10-1 this season with an average winning main of +17.9 PPG. The Razorbacks are playing sound fundamental defense under first-year head coach Eric Musselman who came over from Nevada — they are holding their guests to just 56.9 PPG on 38.4% shooting on their home court. Arkansas has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage at 40% or less on the road. The Razorbacks are 20th in the nation in forcing turnovers in 23.5% of their opponent’s possessions — and the Horned Frogs are vulnerable on this front as they turn the ball over in 20.2% of their possessions (238th in the nation) with that mark being even worse in Big 12 play at a 21.9% clip. TCU also likes to force turnovers — they are 26th in the nation by forcing turnovers in 23.5% of their opponent’s possessions. But good luck forcing turnovers against this Arkansas team that leads the SEC by turning the ball over in just 12.2% of their possessions. The Horned Frogs made 46.9% of their shots in their upset win over the Red Raiders which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. But TCU has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after pulling off an upset win in conference play. The Horned Frogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a double-digit win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up victory. Now this team goes back on the road where they are 2-3 with an average losing margin of -7.0 PPG. TCU is likely to get a visit from the Regression Gods this afternoon when it comes to their shots falling as they make only 37.0% of their shots away from home. They are also nailing just 36.8% of their shots over their last five games. Jamie Dixon’s team is taking 49.5% of their shots from behind the arc in Big 12 play — but that will be a chore against this Razorbacks’ team that leads the nation by holding their opponents to just 23.9% shooting from behind the arc. The Horned Frogs had also allowed their previous two opponents to make 53.7% and 57.7% of their shots before holding Texas Tech to just 43.1% shooting. TCU ranks a dismal 347th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 58.7% when they are playing on the road. The Horned Frogs have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after not allowing more than 55 points in their last game. TCU has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.

FINAL TAKE: The Horned Frogs are just 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 road games as an underdog. And while they hold their opponents to 62.3 PPG, Arkansas has covered the point spread in 33 of their last 48 home games after fifteen games into the season against opponents who do not allow more than 64 PPG. 25* CBB Big 12/SEC Challenge Game of the Year with the Arkansas Razorbacks (692) minus the points versus the TCU Horned Frogs (691). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Michigan Wolverines (610) minus the points versus the Illinois Fighting Illini (609). THE SITUATION: Michigan (11-7) has lost three straight games as well as four of their last five contests after their 72-63 upset loss at home to Penn State on Wednesday as a 4.5-point favorite. Illinois (14-5) has won five straight games with their 79-62 win at Purdue as a 5.5-point underdog on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WOLVERINES MINUS THE POINTS: Michigan made only 35.3% of their shots against the Nittany Lions which was the worst shooting effort in their last ten games — and it was their lowest field goal percentage they have generated all season when playing on their home court. The Wolverines certainly miss Isaiah Livers who has been over a month with a groin injury. But keep in mind that three of the four losses they have suffered over their last five games have been on the road in the rugged Big Ten against teams who all are projected to make the NCAA Tournament. This is a battled tested team that is desperate for a victory this afternoon. Michigan did defeat a good Purdue team at home this month even without Livers by a 84-78 score in their other home game this month before this contest. Even without Livers in five of their seven Big Ten contests so far this season, they are still 2nd in the conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Look for the Wolverines to respond with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after suffering an upset loss. They are also 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a point spread loss. Michigan is 8-2 on their home court with an average winning margin of +15.7 PPG. They are making 49.2% of their shots on their home court which has translated into 83.1 PPG — so the Wolverines should nail more of their shots than they did on Wednesday. Michigan is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games at home — and they are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 22 home games against Big Ten foes, the Wolverines have covered the point spread 16 times. Illinois nailed 55.1% of their shots in their upset win on the road against the Boilermakers which was the best shooting mark they have enjoyed in their last twelve games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after making at least 55% of their shots in their last game. The Fighting Illini are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games after a point spread victory. The Illini stay on the road where they are 3-4 this season while making only 42.3% of their shots. Illinois make only 28.2% of their 3-pointers away from home which is 292nd in the nation. The Fighting Illini are 11th in the Big Ten with an effective field goal percentage of 46.1%. And Illinois has failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 37 road games with the Total set in the 135.5 to 139 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Michigan will also be motivated to avenge a 71-62 loss at Illinois back on December 11th where they were 1.5-point underdogs. The Wolverines have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 opportunities to avenge a same-season loss — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games then playing with revenge from a loss on the road. Michigan still has their wily veteran point guard leader in Xavier Simpson along with big man Jon Teske and a cadre of scrappy role players that rookie head coach Juwan Howard has done a good job in empowering this season. 25* CBB FS1-TV Game of the Month with the Michigan Wolverines (610) minus the points versus the Illinois Fighting Illini (609). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Wright State Raiders (870) minus the points versus the Northern Kentucky Norse (869). THE SITUATION: Wright State (17-4) has won two straight games as well as ten of their last eleven contests with their 79-72 win over Youngstown State as an 11-point favorite last Saturday. Northern Kentucky (14-6) has won and covered the point spread in five straight contests after their 75-49 win over Cleveland State as a 13.5-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAIDERS MINUS THE POINTS: Wright State is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a point spread loss. And while the Raiders have not covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after failing to cover the point spread in three straight games. Wright State stays home where they are 9-2 this season with an average winning margin of +13.9 PPG. The Raiders make 46.5% of their shots on their home court which has translated into 82.8 PPG. Wright State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. They also have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Raiders matchup very well with this Northern Kentucky team. The Norse force turnovers in 19.9% of their opponent’s possessions which is 129th in the nation — but Wright State is 17th in the nation by turning the ball over in just 15.8% of their possessions. The Raiders are also 32nd in the nation by pulling down 34.0% of their missed shots with that mark jumping even higher to a 39.1% offensive rebounding clip in conference play. Northern Kentucky allows their opponents to rebound 32.3% of their missed shots which is 316th in the nation — and that number has been even worse against Horizon League foes as they are pulling down 35.1% of their missed shots against them. The Norse played their best defensive game of the season on Saturday by holding the Vikings to just 31.4% shooting — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. And while Northern Kentucky held Youngstown State to just 33% shooting in their previous game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after holding their last two opponents to no better than 37% shooting. Furthermore, the Norse have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after winning at least five games in a row. Now Northern Kentucky goes back on the road where they are making just 43.2% of their shots as compared to their 45.3% mark overall. The Norse has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 road games after playing a game at home. And while they have won six of their last eight games, Norther Kentucky has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games after winning six or seven of their last eight games.

FINAL TAKE: Rust may play a role in this game as the Norse have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games when playing with five or six days of rest. Wright State has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games when playing with five or six days of rest. 10* CBB Friday Late Show Bailout with the Wright State Raiders (870) minus the points versus the Northern Kentucky Norse (869). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Butler Bulldogs (868) minus the points versus the Marquette Golden Eagles (867). THE SITUATION: Butler (15-4) has lost three games in a row with their 76-61 loss at Villanova as a 3.5-point underdog on Tuesday. Marquette (14-5) has won three in a row with their 82-68 win over St. John’s as an 8-point favorite on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BULLDOGS MINUS THE POINTS: Butler needs to stop their three-game losing streak in Big East play but they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after losing three in a row to conference rivals. And their loss at Villanova came upon the heels of a 13-point upset loss at DePaul — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after suffering two straight double-digit losses to Big East rivals. Furthermore, while the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in three straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least three straight games. Butler returns home where they are 9-1 with an average winning margin of +17.0 PPG. The Bulldogs made only 40.6% of their shots against the Wildcats which was the worst shooting effort in their last five games. They should shoot better tonight as they are making 47.8% of their shots at home which has resulted in 72.1 PPG. Butler has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 home games with the Total set in the 130s. The Bulldogs have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games as a favorite laying 6.5 to 9 points. This team is playing outstanding defense as they are 19th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They have held their last five opponents to just 39.2% shooting from the field — and they limit their guests to just 54.1 PPG on 36.0% shooting on their home court. Butler is vulnerable to teams that force turnovers as they are coughing it up in 20.2% of their conference possessions — but that is not this Golden Eagles team who only force turnovers in 12.4% of their Big East opponent’s possessions which is last in the conference. Marquette has scored at least 82 points in three straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 80 points in three straight games. And while they 20 fewer shots than the Red Storm on Tuesday, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after attempting at least 20 fewer shots than their opponent in their last contest. Now the Golden Eagles go back on the road where they are 4-4 but being outscored by -3.0 PPG. They make only 41.6% of their shots on the road — and they are making just 41.6% of their shots in their last five contests. Marquette has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home.

FINAL TAKE: The Golden Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games as an underdog. 25* CBB Big East Game of the Month with the Butler Bulldogs (868) minus the points versus the Marquette Golden Eagles (867). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Oregon State Beavers (684) minus the points versus the UCLA Bruins (683). THE SITUATION: Oregon State (12-6) has lost two straight games as well as three of their last four contests with their 89-76 loss at Washington State as a 3.5-point favorite on Saturday. UCLA (9-9) snapped a three-game losing streak on Sunday with their 50-40 win at home against California as a 9-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BEAVERS MINUS THE POINTS: Oregon State allowed the Cougars to nail 50.9% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort of the season. The Beavers should play better tonight as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 18 games after a point spread setback. Oregon State is a strong offensive team that ranks 18th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Beavers take 44.2% of their shots at the rim which is the 20th highest mark in the nation. They also get to the free-throw line with a free throw attempt-to-field goal attempt ratio of 40.4% which is 23rd in the nation. Oregon State should get to the free-throw line plenty of times tonight against this Bruins team that has an opponent’s FTA-to-FGA ratio of 37.9%. Now head coach Wayne Tinkle’s team returns home where they are 8-1 this season with an average winning margin of +14.0 PPG. The Beavers’ reliable method of generating points at the rim or the free-throw line has helped them score 80.8 PPG on their home court where they also make 50.4% of their shots. Oregon State also played solid defense at home as they limit their guests to just 40.7% shooting. The Beavers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. UCLA’s win against California was ugly by both teams. The Bruins made just 41.3% of their shots which happened to also be their best offensive effort in their last three games. The Golden Bears made only 30.4% of their shots which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last ten games. However, Cal probably needs to take more of the credit/blame for that ghastly number that the UCLA defense considering they experienced a scoreless spell lasting 10:59 minutes in that game. The Bruins have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games on the road after a straight-up victory. Now after playing their last three games at home, UCLA goes back on the road where they are 2-5 with an average losing margin of -4.5 PPG. The Bruins have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after playing their last three games on the road. UCLA struggles to score points under first-year head coach Mick Cronin — they rank 252nd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 47.4%. They are making only 42.3% of their shots on the road which has resulted in only 65.9 PPG in those seven games away from home. The Bruins are making just 40.6% of their shots in their last five contests. UCLA does get much of their offense from second-chance opportunities as they pul down 36.1% of their shots which is 13th best in the nation. The Beavers are doing a good job in Pac-12 play of limiting second-chance opportunities as are limiting conference opponents to rebounding just 26.1% of their missed shots. UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 35 of their last 51 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 21 road games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: The Bruins beat Washington earlier this season but they have also endured a bad loss at home to Cal-State Fullerton. UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. This Oregon State team returned four key contributors from last year’s group that finished 18-13 — and they have already register quality wins against Arizona, Colorado, and Iowa State at home in Corvallis. 25* CBB Thursday FS1-TV Game of the Month with the Oregon State Beavers (684) minus the points versus the UCLA Bruins (683). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Huskies (663) and the Houston Cougars (664). THE SITUATION: UConn (10-7) has lost two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 61-55 loss at Villanova on Saturday as a 9.5-point underdog. Houston (15-4) has won two straight games as well as eight of their last nine games after their 65-54 upset win at Wichita State on Saturday as a 4-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Huskies have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. UConn made 49% of their shots in their losing effort to the Wildcats in that game which was the best shooting effort in their last six contests. Yet the Huskies are only making 40.3% of their shots still over their last five games. They stay on the road where they are making just 41.8% of their shots which is resulting in just 64.7 PPG. UConn has played 7 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Houston has played 16 of their last 22 home games Under the Total after a double-digit win on the road. And while the Cougars have only allowed 25 and 20 points in the first half of their last two games, they have then played 26 of their last 38 games Under the Total at home after not allowing more than 30 points in the first half in at least two straight games. Houston returns home where they are holding their visitors to just 35.2% shooting from the field which is resulting in just 60.9 PPG. The Cougars are improving on the defensive end of the court as they have held their last five opponents to just 38.2% shooting. But Houston is not as dynamic on offense when playing on their home court this season. The Cougars are 13th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency while posting an effective field goal percentage of 49.5% — but when playing at home, their effective field goal percentage drops to 49.1% while their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency plummets to just 64th in the nation. Houston has played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road.

FINAL TAKE: UConn has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight road games Under the Total when getting the points as the underdog. 5* CBB Thursday ESPNU Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Connecticut Huskies (663) and the Houston Cougars (664). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (824) minus the points versus the North Dakota State Bison (823). THE SITUATION: South Dakota State (14-8) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 99-84 loss at South Dakota as a 2.5-point underdog. North Dakota State (13-6) has won two straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 83-74 win over North Dakota as an 8-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE JACKRABBITS MINUS THE POINTS: South Dakota State allowed the Coyotes to make 64.4% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have allowed all season. The Jackrabbits do have the lowest opponent’s effective field goal percentage in Summit League play at 48.3% — and they are 2nd in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. South Dakota State is 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games after a point spread loss. Now they return home where they are a perfect 11-0 this season with an average winning margin of +19.8 PPG. The Jackrabbits hold their guests to just 38.8% shooting from the field which has resulted in only 62.4 PPG. South Dakota State was expected to take a couple of steps back this season after the graduation of their senior leader Mike Daum. Head coach T.J. Otzlelberger than departed to Las Vegas to take the UNLV head coaching gig and All-Summit League shooting guard David Jenkins decided to transfer to the Runnin’ Rebels to join him in Vegas as well. But assistant head coach Eric Henderson has maintained the consistency with this basketball since, despite losing 83% of their scoring from last season, they are leading the Summit League on Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Jackrabbits are 10th in the nation with a 54.9% effective field goal percentage — and that mark rises to a 61.3% mark in conference play. South Dakota State has made at least 50% of their shots in seven straight games — and they are averaging 82.2 PPG on their home court while making 50% of their shots. The Jackrabbits are a decisive 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. South Dakota State has also covered the point spread in 7 straight home games as the favorite. North Dakota State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games on the road after a game where they scored at least 80 points. This Bison team returns ten of their eleven regular contributors that lost to Duke in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. But this team was just 9-7 in Summit League play last season before their depth helped them win the conference tournament to seize the automatic tournament bid. They then defeated a mediocre NC Central team in the four-four in Dayton before getting clobbered by the Blue Devils. This team lacks a superstar and relies on their depth to keep them competitive. They are just 5-5 on the road this season where they are making only 39.6% of their shots. North Dakota State is just 17-37-1 ATS in their last 55 games on the road as an underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 road games as an underdog or pick ‘em. This team is also just 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 games against teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: North Dakota State’s best win was against East Tennessee State that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks as the 57th best team in the nation. Their next best win was a 2-point win at home against South Dakota that Pomeroy ranks as the 187th in the country. The Bison have a very bad loss at home to Utah Valley who Pomeroy ranks at 276th in the nation. South Dakota State has an impressive 7-point loss earlier in the season at Arizona. Lay the points with the Jackrabbits. 25* CBB Summit League Game of the Month with the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (824) minus the points versus the North Dakota State Bison (823). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Purdue Boilermakers (606) minus the points versus the Illinois Fighting Illini (605). THE SITUATION: Purdue (10-8) has lost three of their last four games after their 57-50 loss at Maryland on Saturday as a 6.5-point underdog. Illinois (13-5) has won four games in a row with their 75-71 win over Northwestern on Saturday as a 12.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BOILERMAKERS MINUS THE POINTS: Purdue should respond with a strong effort as they are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. This team has been a much different team at home than on the road this season. The Boilermakers are 8-1 at Mackey Arena this season where they are outscoring their opponents by +22.8 PPG. Purdue has won fifteen straight home games in Big Ten play — and they have outscored the five major conference opponents they have hosted this season by +24 points per 100 possessions. The Boilermakers are an outstanding defensive team — they rank 6th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have held six of their opponents to under 50 points. Purdue has held their guests to just 36.8% shooting which has translated into only 54.6 PPG. Scoring has been the problem for this Boilermakers team when playing on the road. They made only 35.7% of their shots in their loss at Maryland on Saturday. But Purdue ranks 10th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing at home — and that has helped them also post the top home-court rating in Adjusted Efficiency this season. The Boilermakers have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games on their home court — and they are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less on the road. Illinois comes off a 50% shooting mark against the Wildcats which was the best shooting mark in their last five games. But the Fighting Illini are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight-up win. And while the Illini have won five of their last six games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after winning five or six of their last seven contests. This Illinois team will likely struggle to score baskets tonight against this outstanding Boilermakers defense as they rank just 10th in the Big Ten in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Illini are 11-1 at home this season but just 2-4 away from home where they are being outscored by -6.0 PPG. Illinois makes only 40.6% of their shots on the road which translates into just 65.5 PPG. The Illini are also making only 39.5% of their shots over their last five contests. Illinois ranks 256th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 44.9% due to their low 3-point shooting percentage of 25.3% which is 331st in the nation. Nailing 3-pointers will be very tough in Mackey Arena where the Boilermakers are holding their visitors to just 26.2% shooting from behind the arc which is the 22nd lowest mark in the nation. Additionally, the Fighting Illini have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record at home.

FINAL TAKE: Purdue will also be looking to avenge a 63-37 loss at Illinois back on January 5th in a game where they made only 15 of their 60 shots from the field. The Boilermakers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games as the favorite. The Illini have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as an underdog. 25* CBB Tuesday ESPNU Game of the Month with the Purdue Boilermakers (606) minus the points versus the Illinois Fighting Illini (605). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Portland State Vikings (882) minus the points versus the Weber State Wildcats (881). THE SITUATION: Portland State (9-10) has won two of their last three games with their 82-76 win over Idaho State on Saturday as a 7.5-point favorite. Weber State (6-11) snapped their three-game losing streak on Thursday with their 76-68 victory at Idaho State as a 1-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE VIKINGS MINUS THE POINTS: Portland State is 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games after a straight-up win. And while the Vikings have not covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after not covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Portland State is led by Holland Woods who might be the best point guard in the Big Sky Conference. He leads an offense that tops the conference in Adjusted Efficiency. The Vikings also live off their offensive glass as they rank 7th in the nation by pulling down 37.1% of their missed shots. Portland State should get plenty of second-chance opportunities against this Weber State team that is 11th in the Big Sky by allowing their opponents to rebound 32.8% of their missed shots. The Vikings stay at home where they are 5-2 with an average winning margin of +12.1 PPG. Portland State has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Weber State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up win. The Wildcats have also failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after a point spread victory including failing to cover the point spread in five straight after cover the spread. It has been a disappointing season for head coach Randy Rahe in the thirteenth season with the program. The Wildcats have a good backcourt consisting of Jerrick Harding and Cody John but they are not getting much help in the frontcourt. They stay on the road for a third straight game where they are just 2-8 with an average losing margin of -13.1 PPG. Weber State makes only 40.9% of their shots on the road — and they allow their home hosts to make 50.1% of their shots from the field. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Weber State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games as an underdog. Portland Sate has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games when favored by 3.5 to 6 points. Look for the Vikings to overwhelm this struggling Wildcats team. 25* CBB Big Sky Game of the Month with the Portland State Vikings (882) minus the points versus the Weber State Wildcats (881). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Boise State Broncos (822) minus the points versus the Utah State Aggies (821). THE SITUATION: Boise State (11-8) has lost two straight games as well as three of their last four contests with their 85-78 upset loss at Air Force on Wednesday as a 1-point favorite. Utah State (14-5) snapped a three-game losing streak last Saturday with their 80-70 win at home over Nevada as a 9.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRONCOS PLUS THE POINTS: Boise State has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss. Head coach Leon Rice has five of his top six scorers from last season return from a group that finished a disappointing 13-20 — that was the first time in the last seven seasons that the Broncos did not register at least 20 wins. This Boise State team expects to return to the postseason. All three of their most recent losses were on the road — now they return home where they are 8-1 this season with a signature victory over BYU. The Broncos are outscoring their guests by +21.8 PPG due to a prolific offensive attack that scores 83.8 PPG with a 47.9% field goal percentage. They also hold their visitors to just 39.3% shooting from the field. Boise State has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 home games as an underdog. The Broncos do a great job of protecting their defensive glass as they rank 14th in the nation by holding their opponents to just a 22.8% offensive rebounding rate. Utah State played one of their best games of the season last Saturday to end their losing streak as they made 46.3% of their shots while holding the Wolf Pack to just 39% shooting from the field — both those marks were the best statistical performances in their last four games. But the Aggies have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 road games after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. Expectations are very high for this team that returned four starters from last year’s 28-7 team that made the Big Dance after winning the Mountain West Conference tournament. But this team has struggled away from home with a 5-4 record which includes recent losses at UNLV and the Air Force. Utah State is making only 41.8% of their shots when on the road which has resulted in only 67.8 PPG. Their effective field goal percentage of 44.1% when on the road ranks a disappointing 282nd in the nation — and they are making only 26.5% of their 3-pointers on the road which is 317th in the country. The Aggies have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Utah State has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games as a road favorite. Their struggles on offense extend beyond shooting poorly when on the road. The Aggies are making just 39.3% of their shots in conference play — and their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 98.9 against MWC foes is just 9th in the conference. Furthermore, interior defense has been a concern for this group as they rank 8th in the MWC by allowing their opponents to make 50.5% of their shots inside the arc.

FINAL TAKE: This is not a good matchup for Utah State. Boise State averages 8 made 3-pointers per game — and the Aggies have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games against teams who make at least 8 shots from downtown per game. The Broncos have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB ESPNU Game of the Year with the Boise State Broncos (822) minus the points versus the Utah State Aggies (821). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Duke Blue Devils (764) minus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (763). THE SITUATION: Duke (15-2) looks to bounce-back from a 79-72 upset loss at Clemson as a 10.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Louisville (14-3) has won three in a row with their 73-68 win at Pittsburgh as a 6-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUE DEVILS MINUS THE POINTS: Duke should respond with a strong effort as they are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a straight-up loss. The Blue Devils have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after an upset loss to an ACC rival. Duke allowed the Tigers to make 51.6% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort of the season — and just the second time an opponent shot better than 48.6% from the field against them. The Blue Devils did make 50% of their shots in the loss which was also their worst shooting effort in their last five games. Duke has nailed 53.4% of their shots over their last five games. But the Blue Devils strangely are disappointing at the free throw line as they making only 66.5% of their free throws. They missed 10 of their 20 free throws against Clemson — but they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after failing to make at least 53% of their free throws in their last game. Duke returns home where they are 9-1 with an average winning margin of +23.9 PPG. The Blue Devils make 49% of their shots at home which helps them generate 85.4 PPG — and they hold their opponents to just 40.1% shooting. Duke is 5th in the nation by pulling down 37.2% of their missed shots. They also are 2nd in the ACC by forcing turnovers in 23.0% of their opponent’s possessions — and the Cardinals are vulnerable lacking a true point guard as they turn it over in 18.1% of their conference possessions which is 8th in the ACC. Louisville is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after a straight-up victory where they failed to cover the point spread. The Cardinals may be fatigued in this game with this being their third straight game on the road. They make only 42.3% of their shots away from home — and they are shooting just 40.9% from the field over their last five games so they may struggle to keep up with the Blue Devils’ offense. Louisville is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Cardinals have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Duke ranks 4th and 5th in the nation respectively in Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Efficiency which gives them a strong case that they are the best team in the nation. They have covered the point spread in 5 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Louisville ranks 22nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 16th in the country in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 10* CBB Louisville-Duke ESPN Special with the Duke Blue Devils (764) minus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (763). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Villanova Wildcats (616) minus the points versus the Connecticut Huskies (615). THE SITUATION: Villanova (13-3) has won three straight games after their 79-75 win in overtime on Tuesday over DePaul as a 9.5-point favorite. UConn (10-6) has lost three of their last four games after their 89-86 loss at home to Wichita State last Sunday as a 3.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WILDCATS MINUS THE POINTS: Villanova should be emboldened with their comeback victory against the Blue Demons as they rallied from an 11-point deficit with just 2:14 left to play in that game to force overtime before pulling out the victory. The Wildcats have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after a straight-up win where they failed to cover the point spread — and they have covered the point spread in 27 of their last 38 games after a point spread loss. They have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after winning at least three games in a row against Big East opponents. This team is once again loaded for head coach Jay Wright: they return three starters from last year’s 26-win team that won the Big East regular-season title and has been fortified with a superb freshman class. 6’8 sophomore point-forward Saddaq Bey appears to be taking his game to another level as he has scored 51 points over his last two contests while nailing 12 of his 18 shots from behind the arc. Villanova is 8th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — they have five players who average in double-digits per game. They stay at home where they are 8-0 this season with an average winning margin of +14.2 PPG. The Wildcats have covered the point spread in 35 of their last 52 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 home games against teams with a losing record. UConn has failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 34 of their last 49 games after a narrow loss by 3 points or less in Big East play — and this includes them failing to cover the point spread in five of these last six situations. The Huskies return four starters from last year’s 16-17 team that finished just 6-12 in conference play — but they had a big void to fill in the loss of Jalen Adams who led the team by scoring 16.9 PPG. UConn ranks just 10th in the Big East in both Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Efficiency — and they took a big blow with the season-ending injury to starting wing Tyler Polley. Now after playing their last two games at home, UConn goes back on the road where they are 2-4 while making just 40.8% of their shots. Scoring has been the biggest problem for head coach Dan Hurley’s team — they are making just 38.7% of their shots over their last five games. In their two true road games this season, they rank 337th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they have an effective field goal percentage of 40.9% in those two games which is 358th in the nation. Furthermore, they have turned the ball over in 23.8% of their possessions (309th in the nation) in those two road games while fouling way too much with an opponent’s Free Throw Attempt-to-Field Goal Attempt ratio of 49.1% which is 334th in the country. Fouling the Wildcats is a death sentence as they rank 9th in the nation by making 78.1% of their free throws.

FINAL TAKE: UConn has lost both their true road games to Cincinnati and South Florida by 31 combined points — and neither team is as dangerous as this Villanova team that has registered a victory on their home court over Kansas. 10* CBB UConn-Villanova FS1-TV Special with the Villanova Wildcats (616) minus the points versus the Connecticut Huskies (615). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Iowa Hawkeyes (866) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (865). THE SITUATION: Iowa (12-5) has won two straight games as well as six of their last eight contests with their 75-62 win at Northwestern on Tuesday as a 6-point favorite. Michigan (11-5) has lost two of their last three contests with their 75-67 loss at Minnesota as a 3-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HAWKEYES MINUS THE POINTS: Iowa is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Now the Hawkeyes return home where they are 7-1 this season with an average winning margin of +18.3 PPG. Iowa scores a robust 81.5 PPG while making 46.8% of their shots on their home court. This team is 4th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Hawkeyes have covered the point spread in 6 straight games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as a favorite of up to 6 points. Iowa has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. The Hawkeyes are also 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Michigan misses Isaiah Livers who has been out with a groin injury. While the Wolverines miss his 13.6 PPG, they miss his presence on the other end of the court even more as his 6’7 frame offers a complement to the 7’0 Jon Teske. Rookie head coach Juwan Howard lacks the forward in Livers’ size range who has his skills on both offense and defense. Michigan was whistled for 19 personal fouls in their loss to the Golden Gophers while drawing just 7 fouls — and that resulted in them getting to the free-throw line just six times while Minnesota attempted 27 free throws. The Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not attempting more than 7 free throws in their last game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after committing at least 10 more personal fouls than their opponent in their last game. Michigan played their worst defensive game of the season against the Golden Gophers by allowing them to make 54.9% of their shots — and they do not have easy answers to that problem before Livers returns from injury. The Wolverines are allowing their Big Ten opponents to make 47.7% of their shots. Michigan stays on the road where they are making only 43.8% of their shots. The Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 road games with the Total set in the 140s. Furthermore, Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games as a road underdog — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

FINAL TAKE: Iowa will be looking to avenge a 103-91 loss in Ann Arbor to the Wolverines back on December 6th. 6’11 Luka Garza scored 44 points against the Michigan defense that had Livers — and Minnesota center Daniel Oturu torched the Wolverines for 30 points last Sunday without Livers offering help to Teske. 20* CBB Friday Late Show Bailout with the Iowa Hawkeyes (866) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (865). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the California Golden Bears (693) and the USC Trojans (694). THE SITUATION: California (8-8) has won two straight games with their 61-58 upset win at home against Washington on Saturday as a 6.5-point underdog. USC (13-3) has won seven of their last eight games after their 74-63 upset win at UCLA last Saturday as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trojans shot 57.4% from the field in their upset win over the Bruins which was their best shooting effort of the season. USC also held UCLA to just 37.9% shooting with that defensive performance being more indicative of their level of play since they have held their last five opponents to just 37.3% shooting from the field. USC has played an eye-popping 15 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a game where they made 57% of their shots while holding their opponent to no better than 43% shooting from the field. Additionally, the Trojans have played 29 of their last 40 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now after playing their last three games on the road, USC returns home to make their Pac-12 debut in front of their home fans this season. The Trojans have played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total after playing their last three games on the road. The Under is 35-16-1 in USC’s last 52 games at home — and the Under is 21-8-1 in their last 30 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 9 home games in conference play, the Trojans have played 8 of these games Under the Total. California has played 6 straight games Under the Total after a win over a Pac-12 opponent — and they have played 10 straight games on the road Under the Total after playing a game at home as an underdog. And while the Golden Bears have covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in their last two games. Cal looks to build off their best defensive performance of the season as they held the Huskies to just 29.5% shooting from the field. But now the Golden Bears go back on the road where they are scoring just 56.0 PPG while making only 36.2% of their shots. Cal ranks 353rd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of just 35.3% in their three true road games. And over their last five games, the Golden Bears are making just 39.6% of their shots. Cal has played 17 of their last 23 road games Under the Total. The Golden Bears have also played 35 of their last 55 games Under the Total as an underdog including the Under going 3-0-1 in their last 4 games when getting the points.

FINAL TAKE: Cal has played 19 of their last 26 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 20 of their last 27 road games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB Pac-12 Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the California Golden Bears (693) and the USC Trojans (694). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (646) plus the points versus the Texas State Bobcats (645). THE SITUATION: Louisiana-Monroe (6-10) has lost three straight games with their 84-62 loss at Georgia State as a 12.5-point underdog last Saturday. Texas State (10-8) has won two straight games as well as three of their last four contests with their 82-57 win over Appalachian State as a 7-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WARHAWKS PLUS THE POINTS: UL-Monroe allowed the Panthers to nail 57.7% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort of the season. The Warhawks should respond with a stronger effort as they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a point spread loss — and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a loss by at least 20 points. Furthermore, UL-Monroe has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after losing at least two straight games to Sun Belt Conference opponents. Now after playing their last three games on the road, the Warhawks return home where they are 6-3 this season with an average winning margin of +9.2 PPG. UL-Monroe should play better on defense as they limit their visitors to just 40% shooting this season. The Warhawks have covered the point spread in a decisive 38 of their last 60 games after allowing at least 80 points in their last game — and this includes them covering the point spread in twelve of these last seventeen situations. UL-Monroe has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home as an underdog — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight home games as a dog getting up to 6 points. Texas State nailed 53.8% of their shots last Saturday against the Mountaineers which was their second-best shooting effort all season. The Bobcats have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Now Texas State goes back on the road where they are just 2-6 with an average losing margin of -4.1 PPG. A concern for this team is finding offense after their three-year starter on the wing in Nigel Pearson. The Bobcats are making only 41.6% of their shots on the road — and they have made just 41.3% of their shots in their last five games despite their nice shooting performance on Saturday. Much of the Texas State offense comes from getting to the free-throw line — they rank 12th in the nation with a Free Throw Attempt-to-Field Goal Attempt ratio of 41.6%. Getting these calls is not as reliable when playing in hostile environments. The Bobcats have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games on the road — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games as a favorite. Additionally, Texas State has failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less.

FINAL TAKE: The Bobcats will have success forcing turnovers as they rank 2nd in the Sun Belt by forcing turnovers in 21.9% of their opponent’s possessions — and the Warhawks are 10th in the conference by turning it over in 22.2% of their conference possessions. But UL-Monroe should be able to make this up to stay competitive with their 3-point shooting. The Warhawks are 2nd in the Sun Belt by making 39% of their shots from behind the arc — and they are 22nd in the nation by nailing 41.7% of their 3-pointers at home. Texas State is 287th in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 36.0% of their 3-point shots. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Underdog of the Month with the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (646) plus the points versus the Texas State Bobcats (645). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:45 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Providence Friars (838) minus the points versus the St. John’s Red Storm (837). THE SITUATION: Providence (10-7) saw their four-game winning streak snapped last Friday with their 70-58 loss at home to Butler as a 1-point underdog. St. John’s (12-5) snapped a three-game losing streak last Saturday with their 74-67 win at home to DePaul as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE FRIARS MINUS THE POINTS: Providence made only 31.7% of their shots against the Bulldogs which was their second-worst shooting effort of the season. They also allowed Butler to make 55.6% of their shots which was the highest mark any opponent has shot against them all season. This was probably the worst overall effort for Ed Cooley’s team all season which was a disappointment because they had registered quality wins against Texas, Georgetown, DePaul, and then Marquette before the loss to the Bulldogs. This team returned all five starters from last year’s team that made the NIT. Expect a strong effort tonight as the Friars ave bounced back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a loss at home to a conference rival — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss at home. This veteran group needs to get back to sharing the basketball after managing only 8 assists on Friday — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after failing to generate more than 9 assists in their last game. Providence stays at home where they are 7-2 this season with an average winning margin of +17.4 PPG. They play tough defense at home by limiting their opponents to just 39.1% shooting which translates into just 60.8 PPG. The Friars rank 17th in the nation in Net Adjusted Efficiency Margin when playing on their home court. St. John’s has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win at home against a fellow Big East rival. The Red Storm made 40.3% of their shots which seems pretty low — but it was actually the best shooting effort in their last five games. St. John’s is one of the worst shooting teams in the nation — they rank 308th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 45.6%. They have made only 36.8% of their shots over their last five games which has contributed to them playing six straight Unders — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after playing at least three straight Unders. The Red Storm will be playing in just their third true road game tonight — they are 351st in the nation on the road with an effective field goal percentage of 37.6% while making only 17.1% of their 3-point shots on the road which is 352nd in the nation. St. John’s are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games on the road. This Red Storm team compensates for this poor shooting with a full-court press under first-year head coach Mike Anderson. His “forty minutes of hell” approach has led the Red Storm to 18th in the nation by forcing turnovers in 24.2% of their opponent’s possessions. The Friars are vulnerable as they turn the ball over in 19.0% of their possessions (140th in the nation) but that mark has dipped to a 17.5% mark in their four conference games. Providence does force turnovers as well at a 23.0% rate which is 36th in the nation. The Friars should seize an advantage in the possession battle on the offensive boards as they pull down 32.6% of their missed shots which is 57th in the nation — and St. John’s allows their opponents to pull down 31.2% of their missed shots which is 294th in the nation. The Red Storm have been out-rebounded by at least 7 boards in four straight games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after being out-rebounded by at least six rebounds in three straight games.

FINAL TAKE: St. John is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Providence has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB Wednesday FS1-TV Game of the Month with the Providence Friars (838) minus the points versus the St. John’s Red Storm (837). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the West Virginia Mountaineers (636) minus the points versus the TCU Horned Frogs (635). THE SITUATION: West Virginia (13-2) has won two straight games as well as six of their last seven contests with their 66-54 win over Texas Tech on Saturday as a 4.5-point favorite. TCU (12-3) has won four straight games with their 52-40 win over Oklahoma State as a 3-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MOUNTAINEERS MINUS THE POINTS: The Horned Frogs played their best defensive game of the season against the Cowboys by limiting them to just 30.2% shooting from the field. But TCU has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Horned Frogs have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. Head coach Jamie Dixon has only three players back from the regular rotation from last year’s 23-14 team that reached the Semifinals of the NIT. But this team has only played three of their games away from home this season with just one of those being in a true hostile environment. Yet TCU is making just 38.1% of their shots away from home. The Horned Frogs have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. TCU relies on its 3-point shooting as they rank 30th in the nation by making 37.3% of their 3-point shots. But they will be playing a Mountaineers team that might be playing the best defense in the nation. West Virginia ranks tops in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency along with posting the lowest effective field goal percentage of 38.6%. The Mountaineers are also 2nd in the nation with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 35.1% — and they are 2nd in the nation by holding their opponents to just a 23.3% shooting mark from behind the arc. West Virginia has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. The Mountaineers have not allowed more than 54 points in three straight games. They have then covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games after not allowing more than 55 points in two straight games — and they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 20 games after not allowing more than 60 points in three straight games. West Virginia is a perfect 7-0 at home where they are outscoring their opponents by +16.7 PPG. They have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. This Mountaineers team does a number of things to help them score points. First, they are 4th in the nation by pulling down 38.4% of their missed shots. Second, they get to the free-throw line — their Free Throw Attempt-to-Field Goal Attempt ratio of 41.2% is 16th in the nation. Third, West Virginia forces turnovers in 21.5% of their opponent’s possessions — and this is an area of vulnerability for the Horned Frogs who cough the ball up in 19.6% of their possessions which is 189th in the nation.

FINAL TAKE: West Virginia has defeated Ohio State and Wichita State on a neutral court which are teams that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks as the 7th and 25th best teams in the nation. TCU’s best victory is at home against an Iowa State team that KenPom ranks just at 55th in the country. Look for the Horned Frogs to get exposed in this game. 10* CBB TCU-West Virginia ESPNU Special with the West Virginia Mountaineers (636) minus the points versus the TCU Horned Frogs (635). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Northern Kentucky Norse (823) and the Illinois-Chicago Flames (824). THE SITUATION: Northern Kentucky (10-6) snapped their two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 75-64 upset win at Oakland as a 2.5-point underdog. Illinois-Chicago (6-11) has lost three in a row with their 64-62 loss at Wisconsin-Milwaukee as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Norse has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Northern Kentucky made 50% of their shots against the Grizzlies which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. Now this team plays their third straight game on the road where they are scoring only 62.9 PPG while making just 40.6% of their shots. But the Norse also limit their home hosts to just 41.4% shooting from the field led by their outstanding perimeter defense. Northern Kentucky is 10th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 27.2% shooting from behind the arc. The Norse have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Illinois-Chicago has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Now the Flames return home where they are scoring only 66.7 PPG on low 43.9% shooting. Offense is an issue for this team as they rank 264th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. But the Flames also come off their best defensive game of the season where they held the Panthers to just 31.7% shooting. Illinois-Chicago holds their guests to just 42% shooting on their home court. The Flames have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Northern Kentucky’s win at Oakland cruised Over the 130.5 point total in that contest — but they have then played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Illinois-Chicago has played 10 straight home games Under the Total after a game against a fellow Horizon League rival. 10* CBB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Northern Kentucky Norse (823) and the Illinois-Chicago Flames (824). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Iowa Hawkeyes (838) plus the points versus the Maryland Terrapins (837). THE SITUATION: Iowa (10-5) has lost their last two games after their 76-70 upset loss at Nebraska on Tuesday as an 8-point favorite. Maryland (13-2) has won three in a row after their 67-55 win at home over Ohio State on Tuesday as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE HAWKEYES PLUS THE POINTS: Iowa has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after a loss on the road. The Hawkeyes have also covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a point spread loss. Iowa played one of their worst games of the season against the Cornhuskers. They allowed Nebraska to make 49.1% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last six games. They also shot just 41.6% from the field which was the worst offensive effort in their last eight contests. The Hawkeyes made only 4 of their 33 shots (12.1%) from 3-point land — but they have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to make at least 20% of their shots from behind the arc in their last game. Iowa made it to the second round of the NCAA Tournament but suffered a tough blow last month when Jordan Bohanan decided to take a medical redshirt this season to fully recover from the hip surgery he had in the offseason. While the loss of Bohanan probably lowers the ceiling regarding the potential of the team, the Hawkeyes are likely still an NCAA Tournament team again this season given their depth along with two very good players in junior Luka Garza and sophomore Jon Weiskamp who is a likely future NBA player. Iowa has defeated Texas Tech and Cincinnati this season on neutral courts while also recording a nice win at home against Minnesota. The Hawkeyes are 6-1 at home this season where they are outscoring their opponents by +18.3 PPG due to their potent offense that scores 83.6 PPG on 48% shooting from the field. Head coach Fran McCaffrey has built an offensive juggernaut in Iowa City as this team ranks 5th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Hawkeyes have covered the point spread in 5 straight games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games as an underdog. They are also 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Maryland comes off their biggest win of the season against a Buckeyes team that was ranked number one in the nation earlier in the season. They held Ohio State to just 31.3% shooting from the field in that game in what was the best defensive effort in their last six contests. But the Terrapins have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games after a double-digit win at home. Maryland has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after winning two games in a row against Big Ten opponents. And while they have covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after covering the point spread in their last two contests. The Terrapins also reached the second round of the Big Dance last season but expectations are higher for this team with all but one of their contributors from that team back this season. However, the departure of big man Bruno Fernando to the NBA has left a void with Maryland missing his 13.0 PPG, 10.6 RPG, and 2.0 APG. The lack of a consistently reliable scorer in the post has held back this team at times. They have been riddled with slow starts which have them living on the edge before senior point guard Anthony Cowan bails them out. They have been much too loose with the basketball as they are turning the ball over in 19.5% of their possessions in Big Ten play. This is also not a great shooting basketball team as they rank just 227th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 48.0% — and they are making just 38.2% of their shots on the road. Furthermore, now after playing their last three games at home in College Park, the Terrapins go on the road for just their third true road game in a hostile environment — and they have lost their first two road games at Seton Hall and Penn State. Shooting has been the biggest problem for this team in those games as they rank just 303rd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency on the road due to their terrible 36.2% effective field goal percentage in those games which is the worst mark of all Division I teams. Maryland has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Terrapins have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 4 road games as a favorite — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 34 road games as a favorite of 3 points or less.

FINAL TAKE: Shot volume may make the difference in this game. Maryland was outshot by the Buckeyes in their last contest by a 67 to 46 margin — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after being outshot by at least 20 in their last game. Iowa outshot Nebraska by a 77 to 53 margin in their loss on Tuesday — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after outshooting their last opponent by at least 20. 25* CBB Friday FS1-TV Game of the Month with the Iowa Hawkeyes (838) plus the points versus the Maryland Terrapins (837). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Pennsylvania Quakers (821) minus the point(s) versus the Princeton Tigers (822). THE SITUATION: Penn (7-5) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Saturday with their 78-64 loss at home to this Tigers team. Princeton (5-8) has now won two straight games as well as four of their last five contests.

REASONS TO TAKE THE QUAKERS MINUS THE POINT(S): Penn should bounce-back with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss. They also have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. The Quakers made just 36.6% of their shots in that game which was their worst shooting effort of the season. They also allowed the Tigers to make 53.7% of their shots after holding their previous two opponents to just 34.4% and 34.8% shooting. Penn should shoot better in this rematch as they rank 29th in the nation by making 54.4% of their shots inside the arc. Their 2-point shooting proficiency actually improves when playing on the road where they are making 55.1% of their shots inside the arc which is the 14th best road mark in the country. Five of the Quakers’ seven victories have been on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games on the road. Penn has quality victories against Alabama and Providence that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks as the 50th and 66th best teams in the nation. The Quakers also have a 10-point loss on a neutral court to Arizona. Princeton shooting effort of 53.7% last Saturday was their second-best offensive performance of the season. But they are making only 42.9% of their shots back on their home court. The Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home. Defense has been the bigger issue for head coach Mitch Henderson as they rank 298th in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 53.6% of their shots inside the arc. Unfortunately for this team, their defense has been worse on their home court. Visitors are nailing 46.8% of their 3-point shots on the Princeton home court this season which is the 348th worst mark in the nation — and these guests have an effective field goal percentage of 53.4% which is 305th in the nation. The Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams with a winning record — and they are just 11-26-1 ATS in their last 38 games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: The road team is now 17-7-1 ATS in the last 25 meetings between these two teams. And Penn has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games when avenging an upset loss where they were favored by at least 7 points. 10* CBB Penn-Princeton ESPNU Special with the Pennsylvania Quakers (821) minus the point(s) versus the Princeton Tigers (822). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Oregon Ducks (658) minus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (657). THE SITUATION: Oregon (12-3) has won six of their last seven games with their 69-64 win at Utah last Saturday as a 4-point favorite. Arizona (11-3) snapped their two-game losing streak on Saturday with their 75-47 victory over Arizona State as a 10.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DUCKS MINUS THE POINTS: Oregon should build off the momentum of their best defensive effort of the season where they held the Utes to just 35.6% shooting. The Ducks have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 27 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a point spread victory. Now Oregon returns home where they are 8-1 with an average winning margin of +20.0 PPG. The Ducks hold their guests to just 38.2% shooting which results in only 63.6 PPG — but what they do on the other end of the court is even more impressive. Oregon makes 52.4% of their shots at home which translates into 83.6 PPG. The Ducks are 3rd in the nation by making 44.5% of their shots from behind the arc at home — and their effective field goal percentage of 63% at home is also 3rd best in the country. Oregon has covered the point spread in 25 of their last 35 games at home — and they ave covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Arizona has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win. The Wildcats will be playing just their second true road game this season after losing at Baylor earlier this season. Arizona has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court. Additionally, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Arizona’s best win this season is against an Illinois team that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks as the 29th team in the nation. The Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Ducks have defeated Seton Hall (on a neutral court), at Michigan, and home against Houston who all rank higher by Pomeroy than the Fighting Illini. Oregon has covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. In this battle of the best two teams in the Pac-12, look for the Ducks to pull away. 10* CBB Arizona-Oregon ESPN Special with the Oregon Ducks (658) minus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (657). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Georgia State Panthers (628) minus the points versus the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (627). THE SITUATION: Georgia State (10-6) has lost two straight games after they suffered a 90-87 upset loss at Arkansas State on Monday as a 3.5-point favorite. UL-Lafayette (7-9) comes off an 81-73 upset win at Appalachian State as an 8-point underdog on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS MINUS THE POINTS: Georgia State should respond with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss. They should play better on the defensive end of the court after allowing the Red Wolves to make 48.1% of their shots in what was their fourth-worst defensive effort of the season. This is another good team for the Atlanta team that has made the NCAA Tournament in three of the last five seasons. First-year head coach Rob Lanier saw his team lose by just 11 points at Duke in November. The Panthers lead the Sun Belt Conference by forcing turnovers in 23.1% of their opponent’s possessions — and they are hosting a Ragin’ Cajuns team that is turning the ball over in 19.5% of their possessions. Georgia State is also making 37.5% of their shots from behind the arc which is 31st in the nation — and that number climbs to a 42.6% clip in their home gym which is 12th best in the country. The Panthers return home where they are a perfect 6-0 with an average winning margin of +20.5 PPG. They are holding their guests to just 37.0% shooting from the field. Georgia State is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games — and they are 7-1-1 in their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Panthers are also 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a losing record. Louisiana is just 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games after a straight-up win. They stay on the road where they are 2-6 with an average losing margin of -10.2 PPG. The Ragin’ Cajuns make only 39.4% of their shots on the road — and they are allowing their home hosts to make 47.0% of their shots. Louisiana has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games as an underdog. The defense is a significant issue for this team as they rank 258th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Ragin’ Cajuns allow their opponents to shoot 55.5% inside the arc which is 328th in the country.

FINAL TAKE: Louisiana has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 20* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Georgia State Panthers (628) minus the points versus the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (627). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Hollywood Sports’ CBB BLOWOUT BOOKIE BUSTER
Frank Sawyer

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Boise State Broncos (836) minus the points versus the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (835). THE SITUATION: Boise State (10-6) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 83-66 loss at Nevada as a 3.5-point underdog. UNLV (8-8) has won four games in a row with their 71-59 win over the Air Force on Saturday as a 6-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RUNNIN’ REBELS: That was probably the Broncos worst game of the season. They made only 5 of their 26 shots from behind the arc while shooting just 36.2% of their shots which was their second-worst offensive effort of the season. They also allowed the Wolf Pack to nail 55.9% of their shots which was their worst defensive performance of the season. They should respond with a strong effort tonight as they have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a loss. This team returned four starters and five of their top six scorers from last year’s team that finished just 13-20. Despite snapping six straight seasons of winning at least 20 games, expectations are high to make a run for the NCAA Tournament this season — and they have a nice win over a BYU team that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks as the 30th best team in the nation. Boise State returns home where they are 7-1 this season with an average winning margin of +23.6 PPG. They are making 48.5% of their shots at home which has translated into 85.1 PPG while holding their visitors to only 39.% shooting. The Broncos have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage no better than 40% on the road. Boise State has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 home games with the Total set in the 135 to 139.5 point range. UNLV has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 18 games after winning five or six of their last seven games. Now after playing their last four games at home at the Thomas & Mack Center, they go back on the road for the first time since December 7th. The Runnin’ Rebels are just 1-4 on the road where they are making just 38.7% of their shots while getting outscored by -12.0 PPG. UNLV is just 15-33-5 ATS in their last 53 road games — and they are 11-24-4 ATS in their last 39 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. This team lives off the offensive glass where they are pulling down 36.5% of their missed shots — but Boise State is 13th in the nation by limiting their opponents to rebounding just 22.5% of their missed shots. The Runnin’ Rebels also turn the ball over in 22.4% of their possessions which is 312th in the nation — and the Broncos force turnovers in a healthy 19.3% of their opponent’s possessions.

FINAL TAKE: UNLV’s best win was against a Utah State team during their current winning streak that is fading fast — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. Boise State has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games as a favorite. 20* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Boise State Broncos (836) minus the points versus the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (835). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Marquette Golden Eagles (602) minus the points versus the Providence Friars (601). THE SITUATION: Marquette (11-3) has won six of their last seven games with their 71-60 win over Villanova as a 2-point favorite on Saturday. Providence (9-6) has won three in a row as well with their 66-65 win at DePaul as a 1-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN EAGLES MINUS THE POINTS: Marquette should continue to build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a win at home over a conference rival. The Golden Eagles defeating the Wildcats despite making only 37% of their shots which was their worst shooting effort of the season. This team can overcome bad shooting performances because they get plenty of easy ones at the free-throw line — they rank 8th in the nation with a Free Throw Attempt-to-Field Goal Attempt ratio of 42.5% which is 8th best in the nation. The Friars will put them on the free-throw line tonight as they rank 231st in the nation with an opponent’s FTA/FGA ratio of 34.3%. Marquette only made 5 of their 21 shots from behind the arc for a low 23.8% shooting mark — and that is far below their 40.8% shooting percentage from 3-point land which is 3rd best in the nation led by their superstar guard Markus Howard. The Golden Eagles are a perfect 8-0 at home with an average winning margin of +20.7 PPG. They are playing much better defense under head coach Steve Wojciechowski than in past seasons — they are holding their visitors to just 34.9% shooting which has resulted in 60.0 PPG. Marquette has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games as a favorite. Providence has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a point spread victory. Expectations were high for head coach Ed Cooley’s team this season that returned all five starters from a team that missed the NCAA Tournament for the first time in six seasons. They have registered their three best wins of the season in their current winning streak with victories against Texas, Georgetown, and DePaul — but they have also endured bad losses to Long Beach State, Penn, and Charleston. The Friars have struggled on the road where they are just 2-5 while being outscored by -8.6 PPG. Providence makes only 36.4% of their shots when playing on the road. They have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Friars have also failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after playing a game where they were an underdog on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Providence has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as an underdog. Marquette has been bolstered with the strong play of Utah State transfer Kobe McEwan to complement Howard as a second scoring threat. The Golden Eagles are top-40 in both Adjusted Offensive and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. 25* CBB Tuesday FS1-TV Game of the Month with the Marquette Golden Eagles (602) minus the points versus the Providence Friars (601). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the West Virginia Mountaineers (863) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (864). THE SITUATION: West Virginia (11-2) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 60-53 loss as a 10-point underdog at Kansas. Oklahoma State (9-4) has lost four of their last six games after their 85-50 loss at Texas Tech on Saturday as a 5.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MOUNTAINEERS PLUS (OR MINUS) THE POINT(S): West Virginia should respond with a strong effort after their loss on Saturday. They shot just 32.2% from the field against the Jayhawks’ which was the worst shooting effort of the season. They also allowed Kansas to make 40.4% of their shots which was their worst defensive performance in their last six contests. The Mountaineers have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 23 games after a loss against a Big 12 rival. West Virginia has also covered the point spread in 6 straight games on the road after a game where neither team reached 65 points. After a disappointing 15-21 record last season, head coach Bob Huggins has a younger new-look roster this year that is finding success implementing his system. The Mountaineers are dangerous road warriors because they do many things to create additional scoring opportunities if their shots are not falling. West Virginia forces turnovers in 21.0% of their opponent’s possessions which is 99th in the nation. The Mountaineers also crash the offensive glass as they rank 6th in the nation by pulling down 39.0% of their missed shots. And this team gets to the free throw line as they are 38th in the nation with a free throw rate-to-field goal attempt ratio of 39.3%. West Virginia is 5-2 on the road with an average winning margin of +6.0 PPG. This Mountaineers team also plays outstanding defense. They rank 5th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are holding their home hosts to just 34.4% shooting from the field which is resulting in only 60.6 PPG. Oklahoma State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when playing their second game in three days. The Cowboys return all five starters from last year’s 12-20 team but depth is an issue for this group. They return home where they are making only 41% of their shots this season — and they are shooting just 39.3% from the field over their last five games. In fact, while Oklahoma State is just 99th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, that number plummets to 229th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing at home. The Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And while this is Oklahoma State’s just second game since December 29th, they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 home games when playing only their second game in eight days.

FINAL TAKE: The Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Together these team trends produce our specific 62-19 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB West Virginia-Oklahoma State ESPN2 Special with the West Virginia Mountaineers (863) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (864). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Illinois Fighting Illini (846) minus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (845). THE SITUATION: Illinois (9-5) has lost two of their last three games after their 76-56 loss at Michigan State on Thursday as a 10-point underdog. Purdue (9-5) has won their last two games with their 83-78 win against Minnesota at home in double overtime as a 7-point favorite on January 2nd.

REASONS TO TAKE THE FIGHTING ILLINI MINUS THE POINTS: Illinois shot just 29.3% from the field against the Spartans in what was their worst shooting effort of the season. Illinois has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss. This team returned eight of their top nine scorers from last year’s team that had just a 12-21 record last season. But they also added a 7’0 290-lb freshman in Kofi Cockburn who has helped the team rank 3rd in the nation by pulling down 39.3% of their missed shots. The Illini return home where they are 8-1 with an average winning margin of +24.5 PPG. Illinois is making 51.6% of their shots on their home court which is generation an 86.7 PPG scoring average. They also limit their visitors to just 41.1% shooting. The Illini are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home — and they are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games when laying the points. Purdue has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 road games after a win at home against a Big Ten rival. This team lost three starters from last year’s team with the biggest hole being the graduation of Carsen Edwards that has left this team without a reliable go-to scorer. The Boilermakers go back on the road where they are just 2-4 while scoring just 60.0 PPG because they are making only 36% of their shots. Purdue really struggles to make baskets away from home — they rank 314th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of just 41.5% when playing on the road. The Boilermakers connect on only 24.7% of their 3-pointers on the road which is 325th in the nation. They are also making a mere 52.3% of their free throws in true road games which is 343rd in the nation. Purdue has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 50-14-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 

FINAL TAKE: Purdue’s best win this season was at home against a Virginia team who does not look nearly as good as advertised when entering the season. The Boilermakers also lost on the road at Nebraska by 14 points to a Cornhuskers team that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranks as just the 152nd best team in the nation. Pomeroy places Illinois at 44th in the nation who has a signature win at home against Michigan. Purdue has failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games as the underdog. 25* CBB Sunday FS1-TV Game of the Month with the Illinois Fighting Illini (846) minus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (845). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (810) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (809). THE SITUATION: Michigan State (11-3) has won three straight games with their 76-56 win over Illinois as a 10-point favorite on Thursday. Michigan (10-3) has won two straight games after their 86-60 win over UMass-Lowell as a 23-point favorite on December 29th.

REASONS TO TAKE THE SPARTANS MINUS THE POINTS: The Wolverines will be without their best offensive player in Isaiah Livers who missed that last game and remains questionable with a groin injury. Livers is shooting 50% from 3-point range while being the closest thing to a go-to scorer for this group. Rookie head coach Juwan Howard has been impressive with instilling confidence in this team while giving his players sophisticated play sets and the green light to shoot when open. Michigan is 2nd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage go 56.9% as they are nailing 38.7% of their 3-pointers (14th in the nation) and 56.2% of their shots inside the arc (10th in the nation). But the problem for this team is that they lack a Plan B if the shots are not falling. The Wolverines do not force turnovers as they have in the last two seasons under head coach John Beilein — they rank 311th in the nation by seeing turnovers in just 16.8% of their opponent’s possessions. They do not crash the glass either as they rank 240th in the nation by pulling down just 26.1% of their missed shots. And they do not get to the free-throw line for easy ones as they rank 318th in the country with a free throw rate to field goal attempt ratio of 24.5%. This is just this team’s third true road game this season — they lost their previous two road games while ranking just 317th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in those games. They are making a mere 16.2% of their shots from 3-point land in those two games in hostile environments — and that was with Livers. This is the Wolverines’ first road game since December 11th after playing their last three games at home. Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Wolverines have also failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 33 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 9 points. Michigan State has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. The Spartans are 6-1 at home this season where they are making 49.2% of their shots which has generated 88.3 PPG. They also play outstanding defense at home where they hold their guests to just 35% shooting from the field which is resulting in 58.2 PPG. Michigan State is 8th in the nation with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 42.3% — and they are limiting their opponents to making only 28.6% from behind the arc (29th in the nation). The Spartans have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 31 games at home. They also have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 31 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

FINAL TAKE: Michigan State will have the best player on the court in Cassius Winston — and they have a viable Plan B if the shots are not falling by pulling down 35.3% of their missed shots which is 26th in the nation. Michigan catapulted up the national polls by winning the Battle 4 Atlantis tournament with the benefit of being a veteran team — but the Regression Gods have been visiting them ever since with their hot shooting that week. 20* CBB Michigan-Michigan State CBS-TV Special with the Michigan State Spartans (810) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (809). Best of luck for us — Frank.