At 9:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Kansas State Wildcats (543) minus (or plus) the points versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (544). Kansas State (20-13) is being disrespected in many circles for making the Big Dance despite with their losing 8-10 record in Big 12 play. But this is a battle-tested team from the most competitive conference in the nation with two signature wins over Baylor along with victories over West Virginian and Oklahoma State along with two agonizing 2-point losses to Kansas this season. There are plenty of things to like about this underrated team in single-elimination play. They play physical in the paint which triggers some very tough defensive play. In their 51-50 loss to West Virginia in the Big 12 Tournament as a 5.5-point underdog, they held the Mountaineers to just a 26.7% shooting mark in the defeat. The Wildcats’ rank 27th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. This team sees their five starters all score at least 9.4 PPG — and they are 21st in the nation by assisting on 60.5% of their field goals. Bruce Weber’s team also generates scoring chances with their pressure defense as they were 2nd in the Big 12 by forcing turnovers in 22.2% of their opponent’s possessions. Kansas State is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread win. Furthermore, the Wildcats have committed 5 and 6 fewer personal fouls in their last two games despite their intense defensive pressure — and they have then covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games after committing at least five fewer personal fouls in at least two straight games. Additionally, Kansas State has covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning record.

Wake Forest (19-13) were the overachievers of the ACC this season with their 9-9 conference record. But this is a young team that may be a year away — and this is a team that often showed some jitters down the stretch of games with turnovers and careless play. This is a program that has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games in the NCAA Tournament. Defense is an issue for Danny Manning’s team. In their 99-90 loss to Virginia Tech last Wednesday in the ACC Tournament, they allowed the Hokies to shoot 51.7% from the field. Overall, the Demon Deacons ranked 10th in the ACC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. And while the Wildcats are vulnerable on the boards ranking 7th in offensive rebounding and 9th in defensive rebounding in the Big 12, this Wake Forest was a middling 6th in offensive rebounding and 4th in defensive rebounding against ACC competition. The Demon Deacons have not committed more than 13 turnovers in six straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 roads games after not committing more than 14 turnovers in at least five straight contests. And while Wake Forest forces only 12 turnovers per game, the Wildcats have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 road games against opponents that do not force more than 14 turnovers per game. Lastly, this game could come down to free throws with both these teams loving to get to the charity stripe after leading their respective conference in Free Throw Attempt to Field Goal Attempt ratios on offense. But while Kansas State was a middling 7th in their defensive FTA/FGA ratio, the Demon Deacons were second to last in their opponent’s FTA/FGA ratio. The Wildcats just have many more paths to success in this contest after showing a much higher upside during the regular season. 25* CBB First-Four NCAA Tournament Game of the Year with the Kansas State Wildcats (543) minus (or plus) the points versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (541) plus the point(s) versus the New Orleans Privateers (542). New Orleans (20-11) completed their Cinderella season on Saturday by winning the Southland Conference Tournament with a 68-65 win over Texas A&M Corpus Christi. The Privateers were the big overachievers in the conference last season after being picked to finish 9th or 10th in the conference in the preseason polls. While New Orleans did return almost everyone from the group that finished just 10-20 last season, that was also a team that did not finish in college basketball metrics guru Ken Pomeroy’s top-300. The Privateers’ signature victory this season was a win on the road at a bad Washington State team. A big letdown may be impending for this team that has failed to cover the point spread in 28 of their last 40 games in tournament action.

Mount St. Mary’s (19-15) has won four straight games to win the Northeast Conference Tournament Title with their 71-61 win over St. Francis (PA) last Tuesday. After a poor 1-11 start, the Mountaineers proved themselves to be the class of their conference. But that opening stretch of games included a brutal schedule that included West Virginia, Iowa State, Michigan, Minnesota, Arkansas and Bucknell that made this team battle-tested moving forward. Mount St. Mary’s has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 boarded games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Furthermore, the Mountaineers made 18 of their 22 attempts at the charity stripe to win the Northeast Tourney Title — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight boarded road games after shooting at least 78% from the free throw line in their last game. This Mount St. Mary’s program has a pedigree in the NCAA Tournament which includes a First Four appearance in Dayton back in 2014. And while the Privateers want to force turnovers — they led the Southland Conference by forcing turnovers in 24.6% of their opponent’s possessions — the Mountaineers are used to this pressure in their conference as they finished 2nd in the league in turnovers on offense. 10* CBB Mount St. Mary’s-New Orleans First Four Special with the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (541) plus the point(s) versus the New Orleans Privateers (542). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico State Aggies (771) and the Cal-State Bakersfield Roadrunners (772). New Mexico State (27-5) has won four straight games with their 78-60 win over Missouri-KC as an 8.5-point favorite. The Aggies held the Kangaroos to just a 36.7% shooting percentage which was the third time over their last four games that they have held an opponent to no better than a 36.7% shooting mark from the field. New Mexico State sot a blistering 55.8% from the field themselves which was their best shooting performance over their last nine games. Expect the Aggies to come back to Earth with their shooting considering that they make only 45.1% of their shots away from home. New Mexico State has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Aggies have also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total against fellow Western Athletic Conference opponents. Moving forward, New Mexico State has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total as a favorite. The Under is also 24-7-1 in their last 32 games when playing on a neutral court.

Cal-State Bakersfield (22-8) reached the WAC Finals with their 81-80 win over Utah Valley State yesterday in an ugly shooting contest where the Roadrunners’ 29.5% shooting mark failed to best the Wolverines’ 31.6% shooting percentage. Both teams needed four overtimes and a full 20 more minutes of play to reach the 80 point threshold after a 52-52 score at the end of regulation. Despite that Over, the Roadrunners have still have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in conference play. CS-Bakersfield has also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. Moving forward, the Roadrunners have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And in their last 8 boarded games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, CS-Bakersfield has played 6 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico State Aggies (771) and the Cal-State Bakersfield Roadrunners (772). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (754) minus the points versus the Marshall Thundering Herd (753). Middle Tennessee (29-4) cruised into the Conference USA Championship Game yesterday with an 82-56 victory over UTEP. Look for the Blue Raiders to build off the momentum from that game. Middle Tennessee has covered the points spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a straight-up win — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. The Blue Raiders have also covered the point spread in 6 straight road games after a win by at least 15 points. Moving forward, Middle Tennessee has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. The Blue Raiders have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games when favored in the 7-12.5 point range. And in their last 11 games played on a neutral court, Middle Tennessee has covered 9 of these games.

Marshall (20-14) has won four straight games themselves with their 93-77 win over Louisiana Tech yesterday as a 5.5-point underdog. But the Thundering Herd may be due for a letdown after that upset victory. They have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 34 games after winning at least four straight. And while this Marshall team has covered the point spread in three straight games, they have also failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 35 road games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. Furthermore, the Thundering Herd have failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 16 games as an underdog in the 7-12.5 point range. Lastly, this just tends to be a bad matchup for this Marshall team the tis second to last in defensive rebounding when facing this Blue Raiders team that leads the conference in offensive rebounding. The Thundering Herd have failed to cover the point spread in their last 4 meetings with Middle Tennessee. 10* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (754) minus the points versus the Marshall Thundering Herd (753). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kent State Golden Flashes (751) and the Akron Zips (752). Kent State (21-13) has down eight of their last nine games after scoring their second straight upset win with their 68-66 win over Ohio as a 3.5-point underdog yesterday. The Golden Flashes have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight up win. Kent State has also played 7 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. And in their last 5 games on the road as an underdog getting less than 7 points, the Golden Flashes have played all 5 of these games Under the Total.

Akron (26-7) has won three straight games with their 74-70 win over Ball State yesterday. The Zips have now played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And with than game just falling below the 145.5 point total, Akron has now played 10 of their last 12 road games Under the Total in the month of March. Moving forward, the Zips have played 5 straight games Under the Total as a favorite laying less than 7 points. The Under is also 9-2-1 in Akron’s last 12 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games played on a neutral court, the Zips have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Lastly, in the last 12 meetings between these two teams, the Under is 9-2-1. 10* CBB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Kent State Golden Flashes (751) and the Akron Zips (752). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Bluejays (745) and the Villanova Wildcats (746). Villanova (30-3) has won four straight games with their narrow 55-53 win over Seton Hall yesterday as an 11.5-point favorite. The Wildcats have then played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Villanova has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points, the Wildcats have played 6 of these games Under the Total. They face a Bluejays team that does nail 51% of their shots this season — but Villanova has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who shoot at least 45% from the field.

Creighton (25-8) has won three of their last four games with their 75-72 win over Xavier yesterday as a 4-point favorite. The Bluejays’ 54.7% shooting percentage in that game was their best offensive effort in their last eight games. Creighton has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And with that game just finishing below the 147.5 point total, the Bluejays have now played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against fellow Big East opponents. Moving forward, the Under is 3-0-1 in Creighton’s last 4 games against teams with a winning record. The Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog getting 7-12.5 points. And while the Wildcats hold their opponents to just 62.9 PPG, the Bluejays have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams that do not allow more than 64 PPG. Lastly, the Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. 25* CBB Big East Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Bluejays (745) and the Villanova Wildcats (746). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Northwestern Wildcats (731) and the Wisconsin Badgers (732). Northwestern (23-10) has won two straight games with their 72-64 win over Maryland as a 2-point underdog yesterday. The Wildcats shot a sizzling 55.3% from the field in that game which was the third time over their last four games where they made at least 52.9% from the field. Regression is likely for this team that makes just 43.8% of their shots this season — and that number drops to only a 43.2% mark when away from home. As it is, Northwestern has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Under is 9-2-1 in the Wildcats’ last 12 games as an underdog. And in their last 13 games played on a neutral court, Northwestern has played 10 of these gams Under the Total. Now they face this Badgers team that outscores their opponents by +10.8 PPG — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG.

Wisconsin (24-8) held Indiana to just a 41.1% shooting mark yesterday in a 70-60 victory as a 5-point favorite. The Badgers have then seen the Under go 21-10-1 in their last 32 games after a straight-up win — and they have seen 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Moving forward, the Under is 3-1-1 in Wisconsin’s last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Lastly, the Badgers have now played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total played on a neutral court — and that includes five straight games when laying the points. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Northwestern Wildcats (731) and the Wisconsin Badgers (732). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (737) and the Kentucky Wildcats (738). Kentucky (26-5) has won nine games in a row with their 71-60 win over Georgia yesterday as an 11.5-point favorite. The Wildcats held the Bulldogs to just a 33.3% shooting percentage but they shot just 38.3% from the field themselves. John Caliper has slowed the pace down for this team after engaging a blistering pace earlier in the season. There were 72 possessions in that game yesterday which was actually the highest total for the Wildcats over their last four games. Kentucky has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points.

Alabama (18-13) reached the SEC Tournament Semifinals in an ugly 64-53 win over South Carolina yesterday as a 4-point underdog. The Crimson Tide have now played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread win — including five straight Unders. Alabama has also played 4 of theirs last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Expect head coach Avery Johnson to attempt to shorten this game and take his chances against a Wildcats team that may get jittery down the stretch. There were only 61 possessions yesterday in the Tide’s upset win over the Gamecocks. Alabama has not seen more than 71 possessions in their last nine games since a four  overtime affair with South Carolina in early February. The Crimson Tide have played 4 straight games Under the Total as an underdog. Alabama has also played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total with the number in the 130-139.5 point range. And in their last 5 games play played on a neutral court, the Crimson Tide have played all 5 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB SEC Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (737) and the Kentucky Wildcats (738). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 AM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Albany Great Danes (763) plus the points versus the Vermont Catamounts (764). Vermont (28-5) has cruised through the American East Tournament with a 45-point win over Maine followed up by a 74-41 victory over New Hampshire on Monday in a game where they held their visitors to just a 28% shooting percentage. Given the Catamounts’ dominance, it might be tempting to expect more of the same from them in this Championship Game — especially with Vermont hosting this contest. But the Catamounts have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home boarded home games as the favorite. They are also are just 4-11-1 in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Remember that Maine was the doormat of the American East with their 3-13 record and that New Hampshire team has never played in an NCAA Tournament. Granted, neither team scored more than 41 points against Vermont — but teams that do not allow more than 63 PPG (Vermont defense: 61.8 PPG) and who have not given up more than 50 points in two straight games — now facing an opponent that allows 63-67 PPG (Albany defense: 66.2 PPG) — these teams have then failed to cover the point spread in 30 of the last 38 situations where these conditions applied.

Albany (21-12) has won both their games decisively as well with a 29-point win over Hartford followed up by a 63-56 win on the road at Stoney Brook as a 2.5-point favorite on Monday. This is a young team with their top two players being sophomores. While this group could very well by a top-100 team next season, the future is now for this group with the chance to make the Big Dance next week. Expect a spirited effort from this team playing without any pressure — and this is a group that has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 road boarded games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Lastly, underdogs who have covered the point spread in two straight games as a favorite now facing a team that has covered the point spread in two straight games as a double-digit favorite have then covered the point spread in 25 of the last 31 situations where these conditions applied. 25* CBB American East Game of the Year with the Albany Great Danes (763) plus the points versus the Vermont Catamounts (764). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (593) and the North Carolina-Central Eagles (594). MD-Eastern Shore (15-19) has three straight games in Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference play after their 68-66 win over Hampton yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite. That game finished far below the 143.5 point Total which made it there 4 boarded game in a row that MD-Eastern Shore has played a game Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. The Hawks have also played 4 straight boarded games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Additionally, MD-Eastern Shore has played 8 of their last 9 boarded games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 8 of their last 10 boarded games Under the Total as an underdog in the 7-12.5 point range.

North Carolina-Central (23-8) enters this game following a blowout 95-60 victory over Bethune Cookman on Wednesday as a 12.5-point favorite. The Eagles have then played 5 straight boarded games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 boarded games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Under is 11-3-1 in UNC-Central’s last 15 boarded games as a favorite which includes a 4-1-1 Under in their last 6 boarded games laying 7-12.5 points. Lastly, these team trends are complemented by a strong empirical angle that has been 61% effective over the last five seasons. In games in the month of March with the Total set in the 130-139.5 point range, when both teams come off at least two straight wins versus conference opponents, these games finished Under the Total in 192 of the last 316 situations where these conditions applied. 25* CBB Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (593) and the North Carolina-Central Eagles (594). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the South Carolina Gamecocks (556) minus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (555). South Carolina (22-9) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Saturday in a 75-70 loss at Ole Miss as a 3-point favorite. Now the Gamecocks being their SEC Tournament with the opportunity to avenge a 90-86 upset loss to the Crimson Tide back on February 7th. Favorites in the 3.5-9.5 point range coming off an upset loss as a road favorite who are now looking to avenge a same-season loss have then covered the point spread in 120 of the last 193 situations (62%) where these conditions applied. While Alabama is outscoring their opponents by +4.2 PPG, South Carolina has covered the point spread in 16 of their last 23 games against opponents that outscore their opponents by at least +4.0 PPG. Additionally, the Gamecocks have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played on a neutral court — and they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on a neutral court as the favorite.

Alabama (18-13) has won two of their last three games with their 75-55 win over Mississippi State yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite. The Crimson Tide are just 19-41-2 ATS in their last 62 games after a straight-up win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Alabama has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after a double-digit victory. The Gamecocks shoot only 41.6% from the field, the Crimson Tide have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games against teams that do not shoot better than 42% from the field. Furthermore, Alabama has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court. 25* CBB SEC Tournament Game of the Year with the South Carolina Gamecocks (556) minus the points versus the Alabama Crimson Tide (555). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Texas-Arlington Mavericks (546) minus the points versus the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (545). UT-Arlington (24-7) had won eight straight games before closing out their regular season with an 83-81 loss at UL-Lafayette. The Mavericks have then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after straight-up loss. UT-Arlington has also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 18 games after a loss by 6 points or less. This team will be playing with an extra motivation of revenge this afternoon having lost to the Chanticleers by a 72-70 score back on January 30th. The Mavericks have covered the point spread in 6 straight games when avenging a same-season loss to their opponents. And in their last 5 games as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points, UT-Arlington has covered the point spread 4 times.

Coastal Carolina (16-16) has won two of their last three games with their 80-67 win over South Alabama on Wednesday as a 2.5-point favorite. The Chanticleers are then just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Coast Carolina has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games as an underdog getting 7-12.5 points. Lastly, despite their victory on January 30th over the Mavericks, this is the type of team that gives the Chanticleers fits. UT-Arlington attempts 25 shots from behind the arc per game while making 9 of these shots. Coastal Carolina has failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 25 road games against teams that attempt at least 21 shots from the 3-point line per game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road games against teams who make at least 8 shots from behind the arc per game. 10* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Texas-Arlington Mavericks (546) minus the points versus the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (545). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the Purdue Boilermakers (518) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (517). Michigan (21-11) literally got off the plane yesterday morning — without their road uniforms that were on a different flight — to the play the early game in the Big Ten Tournament. Somehow this team that survived an airplane scare the day before shot a sizzling 53.6% from the field en route to a 75-55 victory over Illinois. We had the Illini in that game yesterday — and I still love that play despite seeing them lose by 20 points. I still suspect a hangover is coming for this Wolverines team playing another game with an early tip. But this is not a situation where we are chasing. Michigan has now won two straight games as well seven of their last nine games. However, the Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after winning at least two straight games against conference rivals and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after winning five or six of their last seven contests. Michigan has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points.

Purdue (25-6) has won two straight games — as well as eight of their last nine contests — with their 69-65 win at Northwestern last Sunday as a 3-point favorite. The Boilermakers are then a decisive 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games after a straight-up win — and they are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games after a point spread victory. The one loss for this team over that stretch was an 82-70 loss in Ann Arbor to Michigan on February 25th. The Wolverines outside-shooting big men forced the outstanding Purdue front court to move outside the paint where they are not comfortable — and this opened up space for their penetrating guard Derrick Walton to eat them up with drives in the lane. Expect Matt Painter to adjust with some sort of zone defense to clog the lanes and make things easier for his bigs defending the Michigan reliance on 3-point shooting. As it is, the Boilermakers have covered the point spread in 9 straight games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. Purdue has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games on a neutral court. The Boilermakers are also 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB Friday Afternoon Special Feature with the Purdue Boilermakers (518) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (517). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the East Carolina Pirates (533) plus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (534). SMU (27-4) cruises into the American Athletic Conference Tournament off a 103-62 victory over Memphis last Saturday. But this Mustangs team has been susceptible to letdowns in Tournament action. SMU has failed to cover the point spread in 30 of their last 45 games on the road in tourney action. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 30 games played on a neutral court. Now they face a Pirates team they have destroyed twice this season. The Mustangs crushed East Carolina by a 75-44 score back on December 31st — and they were even more dominant in the February 1st rematch where they blew out the Pirates by an 86-46 score. Beware of big favorites playing in the early game in their debut in a tournament against a team that already has a tournament game under their belts. Furthermore, double-digit underdogs who are looking to avenge two losses to their opponent where they failed to score at least 60 points and this opponent comes off a win at home where they scored at least 85 points — these underdogs have covered the point spread in 55 of the last 80 situations (69%) where these conditions applied.  

East Carolina (15-17) comes off a nice 80-69 upset win over Temple yesterday afternoon as a 5-point underdog. The Pirates have now covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games against conference opponents. East Carolina has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. The Pirates have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against opponents that scored at least 100 points in their last game. Lastly, this East Carolina team has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games when avenging a blowout loss by at least 20 points. 10* CBB Friday Afternoon Tipoff with the East Carolina Pirates (533) plus the points versus the SMU Mustangs (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (802) minus the points versus the Tulane Green Wave (801). Tulsa (14-16) has lost two straight games with their 81-69 loss in New Orleans against Tulane last Saturday as a 3-point favorite. The Golden Hurricanes have the opportunity for revenge to open the American Athletic Conference Tournament where they are laying 5-6 points — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games as the favorite. Furthermore, Tulsa has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games when laying less than 7 points as a favorite. And in their last 20 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Golden Hurricanes are 14-5-1 ATS.

Tulane (6-24) snapped a three-game losing streak with their upset win over Tulsa last Saturday. But expect a letdown now as they are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they are 6-15-2 ATS in their last 23 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, while the Green Wave have now played ten straight games that finished Over the Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after playing at least two straight Overs. And in their last 53 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, Tulane has failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 40 of these games. 20* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (802) minus the points versus the Tulane Green Wave (801). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the CS-Northridge Matadors (793) plus the points versus the CS-Fullerton Titans (794). CS-Northridge (11-18) has lost five straight games with their 86-78 loss to CS-Fullteron last Saturday. The Matadors have covered the point spread in 34 of their last 50 road games when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 75 points. CS-Northridge is also 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 encounters with the Titans. Additionally, the Matadors have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 road games against conference opponents. And in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning record after fifteen games into the season, CS-Northridge has covered the point spread in 19 of these contests.

CS-Fullerton (16-13) has won six of their last seven games with that victory on the road against the Matadors. But the the Titans have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 road games after a game as an underdog. Furthermore, CS-Fullerton has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after winning five or six of their last seven games. And in their last 6 games played on a neutral court as a favorite, the Titans are just 1-4-1 ATS. 10* CBB Don’t Need the Points Underdog Special with the CS-Northridge Matadors (793) plus the points versus the CS-Fullerton Titans (794). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Rice Owls (761) minus the points versus the UTEP Miners (762). Rice (22-10) has won four of their last five games with their 86-75 win over Southern Mississippi yesterday as a 12-point favorite. But these Owls have not covered the point spread in five of their last six contests. Rice has also failed managed only eight offensive rebounds in each of their last two games — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight toad games after failing to pull down more than 9 offensive rebounds in two straight games. The Owls have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games played on a neutral court — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when favored on a neutral court. Furthermore, Rice has covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

UTEP (19-16) did upset the Owls in their last meeting back on February 18th by a 79-71 score as a 7-point underdog on Rice’s home court. But teams playing their second game in three days looking to avenge a loss to their opponent as a home favorite laying at least 7 points have then covered the point spread in 76 of the last 119 situations (64%) when the conditions applied. The Miners have won six of their last seven games after a 74-67 victory over Charlotte last Saturday as a 6-point favorite. UTEP has covered the point spread in thirteen straight contests — and this is the time to fade them. The Miners have covered the point spread by 43.5 combined points over their last five games — but teams on a neutral court with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range have failed to cover the point spread if they have beaten the point spread by at least 36 combined points in 47 of the last 67 situations where these conditions applied. Lastly, while UTEP commits only 13 turnovers per game, the Owls have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 29 road games against teams who do not commit more than 14 turnovers per game. 25* CBB Conference USA Game of the Year with the Rice Owls (761) minus the points versus the UTEP Miners (762). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (722) minus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (721). Michigan State (18-13) looks to erase a two-game losing streak after their 63-60 loss at Maryland to close out their regulate season. The Spartans shot only 36.7% from the field in that game — but they should bounce-back with a better effort this afternoon. Not only is Michigan State 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games after a straight-up loss, they have also covered the point spread in 31 of their last 41 games after a loss by 3 points or less. Sparty has covered the point spread in 4 straight games as a favorite laying less than 7 points. And in their last 29 games against teams with a losing record, Michigan State is 20-8-1 ATS.

Penn State (15-17) survived a 76-67 win in overtime versus Nebraska yesterday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Nittany Lions are then 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a point spread win. Moving forward, Penn State has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range. And while the Nittany Lions shoots just 41.8% from the field, the Spartans have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games after fifteen games into the season against teams that do not shoot better than 42% from the field. 10* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Michigan State Spartans (722) minus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (721). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Georgia Bulldogs (768) minus the points versus the Tennessee Volunteers (767). Georgia (18-13) played their worst game of the season last Saturday in an 85-67 loss at Arkansas as a 7-point underdog. The Bulldogs’ 31.1% shooting mark was their worst offensive effort of the season — and allowing the Razorbacks to hit 55.7% of their shots simultaneously representing their worst defensive performance of the year. With Mark Fox on the hot seat, there is little doubt that the head coach has strongly communicated his displeasure with that collective effort which should produce plenty of hard work this afternoon. As it is, Georgia has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a point spread loss. The Bulldogs have also covered the point spread in 6 straight games after allowing at least 85 points in their last contest. Georgia has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record. The Bulldogs have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court as a favorite.

Tennessee (16-15) snapped their three-game losing streak last Saturday in their 59-54 win over Alabama as a 2.5-point favorite. The Volunteers have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a win versus an SEC opponent. Tennessee has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against fellow conference rivals. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, the Volunteers have failed to cover the point spread 4 times. 20* CBB Thursday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Georgia Bulldogs (768) minus the points versus the Tennessee Volunteers (767). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Illinois Fighting Illini (719) plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (720). The Michigan team (20-11) survived a scare yesterday when their airplane taking them from Detroit to Washington D.C. could not take off due to heavy winds and skidded off the runway. While significant damage occurred to the airplane, there were no significant injuries from any of the passengers. The mishap has forced the Wolverines to take a 7:45 AM EST charter flight into DC this morning. Not only does this take this Michigan team out of their routine regarding practice and preparation but their sleep patterns will be out of whack today. Even worse, the Wolverines are scheduled to play the early noon tip off game in situations that are already notorious for slow starts. Michigan is a jump shooting team with little interior game — and the impacts of air travel earlier in the morning will likely negatively impact their orientation. As it is, this was a team looking due for a letdown after closing out their regular season with a 93-57 win at Nebraska. The Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 42 games after a double-digit win at home against a Big Ten rival. And while Michigan has won six of their last eight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after winning five or six of their last seven contests. Furthermore, the Wolverines have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range.

Illinois (18-13) closed out their regular season with a disappointing 62-59 win at Rutgers as a 5.5-point favorite last Saturday. The Illini need a deep run in this tournament to make themselves part of the conversation of perhaps still making it into the NCAA Tournament. The Illini have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games when playing their second game in eight days. The Fighting Illini will be looking to avenge a 66-57 loss to the Wolverines back on January 21st. Illinois has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games when looking to avenge a same-season loss. This will remain a confident Illini team who can tap into their experience of defeating the Wolverines by an 85-69 score back on January 11th. And this Illinois team has already been in DC for a day and will benefit from a good night’s sleep and some practice time in the Verizon Center. 25* CBB Tournament Underdog of the Year with the Illinois Fighting Illini (719) plus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (720). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the North Carolina Tar Heels (711) minus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (712). Miami (21-10) defeated Syracuse yesterday afternoon by a 62-57 score as a 2-point favorite. The Hurricanes have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a point spread win. Miami (FL) has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games on the road after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. Additionally, while the Hurricanes have now played five straight Unders, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 23 games after playing at least three straight Unders. And in their last 10 games played on a neutral court as an underdog, Miami has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these contests.

North Carolina (26-6) takes the court again after their triumphant 90-83 win over Duke last Saturday night. But there is little chance that the Tar Heels will be looking past this Hurricanes team that defeated them back on January 28th by a 77-62 score as a 6-point underdog. As it is, North Carolina has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a game where at least 165 combined points were scored. The Tar Heels do not rely on 3-point shooting with this being another Roy Williams team that relies on their bigs to score points. Just 30% of North Carolina’s shot attempts are from the 3-point line which is 315th in the nation. We love that for these early tip games that can be disorienting for jump shooting teams that rely on establishing a comfortable rhythm. Moving forward, the Tar Heels are 21-7-3 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite in then 7-12.5 point range. And in their last 27 games played on a neutral court as a favorite, North Carolina is 19-6-2 ATS. 10* CBB Thursday Afternoon Tip Off with the North Carolina Tar Heels (711) minus the points versus the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (557) and the Colorado Buffaloes (558). Washington State (13-17) has lost seven of their last nine games with their 77-68 loss at UCLA last Saturday. The Cougars have then played 21 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Washington State now travels to Las Vegas where the Pac-12 Tournament is being held — and the Under is 17-5-2 in their last 24 games played on a neutral court. The Cougars have also played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 7-12.5 points. Furthermore, Washington State has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total as an underdog on a neutral court. Additionally, the Cougars have played 23 of their last 31 games Under the Total in Pac-12 play.

Colorado (18-13) has won two straight games with their 54-46 win over California last Saturday as a 2.5-point favorite. The Buffaloes have then played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Colorado held the Golden Bears to a minuscule 27.3% shooting percentage in that game — and they have seen the Under go 11-3-1 in their last 15 games after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Buffaloes have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total as a favorite. 25* CBB Wednesday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (557) and the Colorado Buffaloes (558). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Bucknell Bison (582) minus the points versus the Lehigh Mountain Hawks (581). Bucknell (25-8) was the class of the Patriot League this season leading the conference in both Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Efficiency while possessing a nice signature win on the road at Vanderbilt. But the Bison were swept by the Mountain Hawks during the regular season — so this Bucknell team has everything on the line in this game. Frankly, Lehigh won both those games because they were on fire with their 3-point shots. In their 82-71 win on January 11th, the Mountain Hawks nailed 10 of their 17 shots from behind the arc and then followed that up on February 8th by making 9 of 19 shots from 3-point land in a 79-71 victory. All combined, Lehigh has been 19 of 36 for an uncanny 52.8% mark from behind the arc in a number screaming out for regression. On the other hand, Bucknell was just 13 of 46 from the 3-point land in both games for a low 28.3% mark. The Bison host this Championship Game where they are 14-2 where they nail 37.9% of their 3-point shots. Bucknell has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as a favorite laying less than 7 points.

Lehigh (20-11) enters this game coming off a 91-88 win at Boston on Sunday — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight boarded games after a point spread win. The Mountain Hawks may be undermanned in this game with 6’8 freshman Pat Andree questionable with an ankle injury — and he is a vital role player who is on the court 41.1% of the time. This will be a tough enough game as it is for this team playing in a hostile environment where they shoot just 46.8% from the field. The Mountain Hawks are shooting only 45.9% over their last five games. Bucknell holds their guests to just a 40.2% shooting mark — and their last five opponents have shot just 35.9% from the field. 25* CBB Patriot League Game of the Year with the Bucknell Bison (582) minus the points versus the Lehigh Mountain Hawks (581). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (528) plus the points versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (527). Virginia Tech (21-9) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last Saturday in an 89-85 loss at home to this same Wake Forest team as a 1.5-point favorite. The Hokies get the opportunity for revenge as they begin their ACC Tournament — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games when avenging a loss as a home favorite. Additionally, Virginia Tech is 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 29 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Hokies have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 28 games as an underdog, Virginia Tech has covered the point spread 21 times — and that includes covering the point spread in 16 of their last 21 games when getting less than 7 points.

Wake Forest (18-12) has won four straight games after dispatching of Boston College yesterday by a 92-78 score as a 12.5-point favorite. But not only have the Demon Deacons then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread win but they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a double-digit win. Wake Forest has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. And in their last 10 games laying less than 7 points, the Demon Deacons have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these games. 25* CBB ACC Underdog of the Year with the Virginia Tech Hokies (528) plus the points versus the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (527). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the TCU Horned Frogs (574) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (573). Oklahoma (11-19) has won two of their last three games with their 73-68 win over TCU on Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Sooners have now covered the point spread in six straight contests — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 road games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven contests. Now this team looks to defeat the Horned Frogs for the second straight time in this immediate rematch — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games in the month of March. And in their last 5 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread 4 times.

TCU (17-14) has now lost seven straight contests with that loss last Saturday. But the Horned Frogs have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games played on a neutral court. TCU has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 65-20 ATS combined angle for this situation. While these opening round rematch situations are not always strong revenge situations, this one is quite good with the Horned Frogs as the favorite. 25* CBB Wednesday Night Special Feature with the TCU Horned Frogs (574) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (573). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte 49ers (535) and the Alabama-Birmingham Blazers (536). Charlotte (13-16) has lost five of their last seven games entering the Conference USA Tournament with their 74-67 loss at UTEP last Saturday as a 6-point underdog. The 49ers committed only 10 turnovers in that game which made it the thirteenth straight time that they did not commit more than 14 turnovers in a game. Charlotte has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not committing more than 14 turnovers in at least three straight contests. Now the 49ers stays on the road where they have played 7 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record after fifteen games into the season. Additionally, Charlotte has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. And in their last 7 games as an underdog, the 49ers have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, while the Blazers shoot 46.5% from the field, Charlotte has played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams that shoot at least 45% from the field.

UAB (16-15) limps into this tournament having lost five of their last six games after suffering an upset 68-56 loss to FIU as a 13-point favorite on Saturday. Not only have the Blazers then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss but they have played 13 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. UAB shot just 31.7% from the field in that game — and they have then played 18 of their last 23 games Under the Total after failing to shoot at least 33% from the field. The Blazers have also played a near consecutive 16 of their last 17 games Under the Total after losing four of their last five games. Moving forward, UAB has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as a favorite. And while the 49ers have an opponent’s defensive field goal percentage of 46.7%, the Blazers have played 10 of their last 12 road games Under the Total after teams who allow their opponents to shoot at least 45% from the field. 25* CBB Conference USA Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte 49ers (535) and the Alabama-Birmingham Blazers (536). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Duke Blue Devils (526) minus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (525). Clemson (16-14) has won three straight games with their 75-61 win over NC State yesterday afternoon as a 6-point favorite. The Tigers have covered the last two games while being the favorite — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after covering the point spread in two straight games as the favorite. Additionally, Clemson is just 2-8-2 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Tigers have not been reliable underdogs as they are 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a dog — and they are 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 games when getting less than 7 points as an underdog.

Duke (23-8) awaits the Tigers looking to bounce-back from their 90-83 loss at North Carolina Saturday night as a 7-point underdog. The Blue Devils have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. Duke has also covered the point spread in 33 of their last 47 games on the road after a game where both teams scored at least 75 points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 81-27-6 combined angle for this situation. Lastly, because Duke scores 80.5 PPG and Clemson scores 75.1 PPG, the Blue Devils are supported by an empirical angle that has been 70% effective over the last five seasons. Duke has scored 75 and 83 points in their last two games — and neutral court favorites or pick ‘ems who score at least 76 PPG while scoring at least 75 points in two straight games and now facing a team that scores 74-76 PPG have then covered the point spread in 77 of the last 110 situations where these conditions applied. 10* CBB Wednesday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Duke Blue Devils (526) minus the points versus the Clemson Tigers (525). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Miami Hurricanes (523) minus the point(s) versus the Syracuse Orange (524). Syracuse (18-13) has won two of their last three games with their blowout 90-61 win over Georgia Tech on Saturday as a 9-point favorite. Jim Boeheim’s team once again finds themselves on the bubble regarding the NCAA Tournament — and they probably need to win this game. Given their improbable run to the Final Four last season while finding themselves in a similar situation when beginning the ACC Tournament last year, it might be tempting for bettors to take the Orange. However, Syracuse has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a loss by at least 20 points. And while the Orange nailed 15 of their 24 shots from behind the arc against the Yellow Jackets, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 road games after nailing at least 13 shots from the 3-point line in their last game. This team has been awful away from the Carrier Dome where they lost ten of their twelve games while being outscored by -9.7 PPG. They shoot just 40.6% from the field on the road while allowing teams to convert 49.5% of their shots. The Orange have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 road games when playing just their second game in the last seven days.

Miami (20-10) has lost two straight games with their 66-57 loss at Florida State as a 7-point underdog last Saturday. The Hurricanes have then rebounded to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Miami has also covered the point spread in 29 of their last 47 games in expected close games with the point spread in the +/- 3-point range. And while Syracuse won the last meeting between these two teams by a 70-55 score, the Hurricanes have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 road games when avenging a double-digit loss. Together, these team trends produce our specific 66-26 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CBB Wednesday Afternoon Tipoff with the Miami Hurricanes (523) minus the point(s) versus the Syracuse Orange (524). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Gonzaga Bulldogs (716) minus the points versus the Saint Mary’s Gaels (715). Saint Mary’s (28-3) has won six games after their blowout 81-50 win over BYU last night. Considering that the Cougars were the team to spoil the Bulldogs perfect season two Sundays ago, it might be tempting to expect this to be a close game. But the Gaels have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 37 road games after two straight wins by double-digits. Saint Mary’s has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games as an underdog getting less than 7 points. Additionally, the Gaels have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 29 games after fifteen games into the season against teams who are winning at least 80% of their games. And while the Bulldogs commit just 17 personal fouls per game, Saint Mary’s has failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 34 contests.

Gonzaga (31-1) reached the Championship Game of this tournament with their 77-68 win over Santa Clara last night as a 23.5-point favorite. The Bulldogs have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a point spread win — and they are 26-8-1 ATS in their last 35 games after a straight-up victory. Gonzaga is 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Bulldogs are also 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games when favored by less than 7 points. Lastly, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in a whopping 11 of their last 12 meetings between these two teams. 10* CBB Tuesday Late Show Bailout with the Gonzaga Bulldogs (716) minus the points versus the Saint Mary’s Gaels (715). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Milwaukee Panthers (713) plus the points versus the Northern Kentucky Norse (714). This Horizon League Championship Game features the most overachieving team in the league’s regular season in the Norse favored against the league’s most underachieving team in the regular season. Milwaukee (11-23) disappointed by closing out the regular season with nine straight losses to finish 4-14. But the Panthers have rattled off three straight wins over Detroit before pulling a big 43-41 upset over Valparaiso and then upsetting Illinois-Chicago by a 74-68 score as a 2-point underdog to reach this Championship Game. Now Milwaukee has the chance to erase all the disappointment in the regular season with a victory tonight. As it is, the Panthers have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games on the road after winning at least three straight games against Horizon League opponents. Milwaukee is also 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing their third game in five days. And the Panthers are typically dangerous underdogs as they are 24-11-2 ATS in their last 37 games as an underdog — and they are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points. Milwaukee has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games played on a neutral court. And while the Panthers lost to the Norse by a 69-63 score back on February 11th, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games when avenging a same-season loss.

Northern Kentucky (23-10) has won five games in a row with their 84-74 win over Youngstown State last night. The Norse reaches the Horizon League Championship without having to face either Valparaiso nor Oakland who were the best two teams in the league during the regular season. The Norse shot 50% from the field last night for the fourth time in their last five games — but they will now be facing a Panthers’ team that has held their last five opponents to just a 42.4% shooting mark. Northern Kentucky has been very reliant on their first shot considering that they have pulled down only nine and five offensive rebounds in their last two games. The Norse have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 26 games after not rebounding at least ten offensive boards in two straight games. Furthermore, Milwaukee does a good job of taking advantage of higher percentage shots as they were tops in the Horizon by shooting 53.5% inside the arc. This is an area of vulnerability for Northern Kentucky as they were 6th in the conference by allowing their opponents to hit 52.0% of their 2-point shots. The Norse also only average 6 steals per game — and the Panthers have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games against teams that do not average more than 6 steals per game. Northern Kentucky exceeded expectations all season — and they are a program that has never qualified for a postseason tournament which makes them a precarious favorite against a program that made the Big Dance three seasons ago. 25* CBB Horizon League Tournament Game of the Year with the Milwaukee Panthers (713) plus the points versus the Northern Kentucky Norse (714) Milwaukee Panthers (713) plus the points versus the Northern Kentucky Norse (714). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Siena Saints (549) plus the points versus the Iona Gaels (550). Iona (21-12) reached the Championship Game of the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Tournament with their upset 73-65 win over St. Peter’s as a 2.5-point underdog yesterday. This was a very disappointing result for us since we had a big play on the Peacocks — and things looked good at half-time with St. Peter’s enjoying a 28-24 lead. With clear eyes, we do note the Iona has failed to cover the point spread in 40 of their last 62 games after failing to score at least 25 points by half-time of their last game. The Gaels have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. Iona has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a point spread victory.

Siena (17-16) reached the Finals of the MAAC Tournament with their 89-85 win over Monmouth yesterday as a 7-point underdog. The Saints have now covered the point spread in 4 straight games against conference competition. They also have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 11 games in the month of March, Siena has covered the point spread in 9 contests. And while they scored only 25 points in the first-half yesterday to trail by 14 points, they have then covered the point spread in 32 of their last 43 games after failing to score more than 25 points in the first half of their last game. 10* CBB Siena-Iona ESPN2 Special with the Siena Saints (549) plus the points versus the Iona Gaels (550). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the College of Charleston Cougars (533) plus the points versus the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (534). UNC-Wilmington (28-5) reached the Colonial Athletic Association Tournament with their 105-94 win over William & Mary yesterday as a 5.5-point favorite. The Seahawks are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, UNC-Wilmington is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last contest. Moving forward, the Seahawks have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. UNC-Wilmington has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games as a favorite on a neutral court.

Charleston (25-8) reached this Championship Game with their 67-59 win over Towson yesterday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Cougars should enjoy a home crowd advantage with this game being played in North Charleston. The College of Charleston have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And while the Seahawks score 85.4 PPG, the Cougars have covered the point spread in 31 of their last 47 road games against teams that score at least 77 PPG. UNC-Wilmington also launches 26 shots from behind the arc per game — but Charleston has covered the points spread in 11 of their last 15 games against teams who attempt at least 21 shots from 3-point land per game. Lastly, while the Cougars shoot 73.8% from the free throw line, the Seahawks have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 37 games after fifteen games into the season against teams that shoot at least 72% from the charity stripe. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Game of the Year with the College of Charleston Cougars (533) plus the points versus the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Northern Illinois Huskies (525) and the Eastern Michigan Eagles (526). Northern Illinois (15-16) has lost three straight games entering the first-round of the Mid-American Conference Tournament with their 87-82 loss at Ball State as a 5.5-point favorite. The Huskies have then played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Northern Illinois has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after losing at least three straight games. Now the Huskies begin on the road in this tourney where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Northern Illinois has also played 9 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5-6 points.

Eastern Michigan (15-16) saw their two-game winning streak snapped with their 60-56 loss to Toledo as a 4.5-point favorite. The Eagles have then played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. And while that game finished below the 147.5-point Total, Eastern Michigan has still played 5 of their last 7 conference games Over the Total. Now the Eagles return home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. Eastern Michigan has also played 6 straight home games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Eagles defeated the Huskies by an 84-68 score in their last meeting back on February 25th — and Northern Illinois has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total when avenging a same-season loss to their opponents on the road. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total all 5 times. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Tournament of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Northern Illinois Huskies (525) and the Eastern Michigan Eagles (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.