At 7:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Davidson Wildcats (743) plus the points versus the Kentucky Wildcats (744). Kentucky (24-10) enters the Big Dance feeling very good about themselves after they won the SEC Tournament Championship Game with their 77-72 upset win over Tennessee on Sunday. The Wildcats have won three straight games — as well as seven of their last eight contests — but the pressure this young team faces makes this a very dangerous game for them. As it is, Kentucky has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 road games after winning three straight games — and they have also failed to cover the point spread nine of their last eleven road games after winning three straight games against a conference rival. This Davidson team is the proverbial “live by the 3, die by the 3” opponent — more on that in a moment. The Wildcats held their SEC opponents to a microscopic 28.3% shooting mark from behind the arc which is a near historic number. But after a very deep dive into some research on this, the simple fact emerges that Kentucky’s gaudy 3-point defensive numbers may speak more to the fact that their conference opponents were not very good at making 3s across the board. As a conference, SEC teams made just 34.3% of their 3-point shots which ranked all the way down at 28th for all conference. It is telling that in their last loss this season, Florida made 10 of their 24 shots from behind the arc (41.7%). On the other hand, Kentucky only derives 20.4% of their points from the 3-point line — so they are vulnerable to trading 2s for 3s against Davidson. They also make only 69.0% of the free throws in conference play which makes them precious favorites laying more than a single possession. These Wildcats do crash the glass effectively — they rank 8th in the nation by pulling down 35.6% of their missed shots. But Davidson does a great job of protecting their defensive glass as their opponents only rebound 23.4% of their missed shots which is 18th best in the nation. Kentucky is just 3-7-3 ATS in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games which makes taking the underdog even more intriguing.

Davidson (21-11) has won four straight games as well as eight of their last nine contests after winning the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament with their 58-57 upset win over Rhode Island last Sunday. These Wildcats play a slow and patient pace on offense that constantly works to find good shot opportunities before they strike. Davidson ranks 28th in the nation by making 39.1% of their 3-point shots. Head coach Bob McKillop deploys an intricate set of ball screens and picks that will challenge this young Kentucky team made up five freshman and two sophomores in their core rotation. Every player in the Davidson rotation makes at least 35% of their 3-point shots. The Wildcats also maximize their offensive efficiency by only turning the ball over in 14.5% of their possessions which is 7th best in the nation. Davidson’s defense improved during conference play when McKillop’s assistant coaches convinced him to add a 2-3 zone to their arsenal — and this may confound Kentucky if deployed at the right time. These Wildcats have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after allowing no more than 60 points in their last game. Davidson has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning record. Lastly, Davidson has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in the NCAA Tournament — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games when playing on a neutral court. 10* CBB Davidson-Kentucky CBS-TV Special with the Davidson Wildcats (743) plus the points versus the Kentucky Wildcats (744). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wright State Raiders (737) and the Tennessee Volunteers (738). I used to like taking Unders for these early tournament games on neutral courts in the Conference Tournaments — but too many bettors started latching on to that angle to squash much of the value in these investments. I had no early Unders for the Conference Tournaments (and I might have had an Over?) — but I do like the convergence of factors for this game to be lower scoring than expected between two teams with stout defenses but who can experience scoring droughts. And this game will tip off 11:40 AM local time in Dallas which may contribute to a groggy start for both teams. Wright State (25-9) is a defense-first team that ranked 30th in the nation by allowing only 65.7 PPG. Led by 6’9 freshman Loudon Love and 6’11 Parker Ernsthausen make it very tough for opposing teams to score inside — the Raiders’ ranked 26th in the nation by limiting their opponents to making just 45.6% of their shots inside the arc with that number dropping to just a 44.3% mark in Horizon League play. This strength compels them to play at a slow pace where they are quite content to grind out low-scoring games. This Wright State team has a low effective field goal percentage of 49.0% ranking 254th in the nation — and they make only 34.0% of their shots from behind the arc which ranks 221st in the nation. Only Grant Benzinger makes more than 36% of his shots from 3-point land This team plays as if the first team to 65 points wins — they averaged only 64 PPG in their nine losses this year. They won the Horizon League Tournament with their 74-57 win over Cleveland State — and they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 15 points. And while that game finished Over the 126.5 point total, the Raiders have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing an Over. They limited the Vikings to only 4 offensive rebounds in that game to continue their strong protection of their defensive glass as they ranked 38th in the nation by limiting their opponents to pulling down just 25.0% of their missed shots. Wright State has then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 5 offensive rebounds in their last game. And in their last 10 games against teams outside the Horizon League, Wright State has played 7 of these games Under the Total.

Tennessee (25-8) ranks 4th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. This Volunteers’ team boasts athleticism and length which helps them to be strong in all facets on defense including closing off transitions, forcing turnovers while boasting on-the-ball skills that led to them ranking in the 96th percentile in half-court defense. They limited SEC opponents to scoring at just a 1.01 Points-Per-Possession rate. But this Tennessee team can struggle on offense. They have five players who make at least 38% of their 3-pointers — but because they lack a guard who can create his own shot or who is proficient in creating scoring opportunities for others, this team can become too reliant on jump shots. They rank just 290th in the nation by making only 47.0% of their 2-point shots. In five of their last eight regular season games against SEC foes, the Volunteers scored at a rate lower than 0.97 PPP. Tennessee enters the Big Dance coming off a 77-72 upset loss to Kentucky in the SEC Championship Game as a 2-point favorite where they shot just 37.1% from the field. The Volunteers have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Tennessee has played their last two games Over the Total — but they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. Additionally, the Volunteers have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Furthermore, Tennessee has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the number set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. And in their last 5 games against SEC foes, the Vols have played all 5 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament First Round Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Wright State Raiders (737) and the Tennessee Volunteers (738). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:15 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Rhode Island Rams (724) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (723). Oklahoma (18-13) limps into the Big Dance amidst some scrutiny that they should have not been given an at-large bid given that they have lost eleven of their last fifteen games. The Sooners are 10-20 ATS in their thirty boarded games this season — and this begs the question as to whether this is an underachieving team due for a breakout performance or are the oddsmakers (and betting public betting that has not influenced the market enough to normalize Oklahoma’s ATS value) still slow to acknowledge the real value of this team? This team reminds me of the Arizona State we went against on Wednesday who also enjoyed a fast start to the season but then experienced regression due to (1) opponents making effective adjustments that they had no answer along with (2) a simple case of the Regression Gods returning. Lets talk about the latter first. Trae Young was on fire to take the College Basketball community by storm. But later during a six-game losing streak during Big 12 play, Young was shooting just 33.6% from the field along with only 19.6% of his 3-point shots. Frankly, Young’s torrid shooting rate was bound to regress — but that inevitability was compounded by some key adjustments. Big 12 opponents began focusing on taking away Brady Manek as the team’s second scoring option. Oklahoma became too dependent on outside shooting without doing enough create more possessions from offensive rebounding or forcing turnovers. Playing in hostile environments made things worse — the Sooners make only 43.3% of their shots away from home as compared to their 46.4% shooting mark overall (given a shooting percentage near 50% on their home court). When Young is not on the court, Oklahoma scores at a mere 0.97 Points-Per-Possession rate which ranks 322nd in the nation in (unadjusted) Defensive Efficiency. But the regression was not just on the offensive end of the court. Opponents shots started falling against this team — they had an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 109.6 which ranked 7th in the Big 12 and which was far higher than their 100.7 Adjusted Defensive Efficiency for the entire season. I don’t care what teams do or do not deserve to reach the television event which is March Madness — but I care greatly about overvalued or undervalued teams. This Sooners team is not simply too reliant on jump shots that stopped falling at ridiculous rates — and the early afternoon tip on a neutral court does not help their cause. Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games against teams with a winning record — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games against teams outside the Big 12. A strong bounce-back effort is not likely either after they suffered a 71-60 upset loss to Oklahoma State as a 1-point favorite as they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 16 games after a double-digit upset loss as a favorite. The Sooners have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread loss. And head coach Lon Kruger has seen his Oklahoma teams fail to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games in the NCAA Tournament.

Rhode Island (25-7) matches up very well with this Sooners team. They are NCAA Tournament tested with five seniors playing important roles on this team with the experience of almost defeating an Oregon team in the Round of 32 that eventually went to the Final Four. The Rams will enter this tournament feisty after losing in the Atlantic 10 Tournament Championship Game by a 58-57 score as a 1-point favorite. Rhode Island has failed to cover the point spread in six of their last eight games — but they have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 24 road games after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. The team is led by a 6-3 senior in guard Jared Terrell. His 225-lb frame will allow him to push around Young who will surely be his defensive assignment — and the freshmen phenom has struggled against physical and pesky defenders who take him out of his comfort zone. The Rams can struggle to shoot the basketball and can be exposed against opponents with size — but Oklahoma is not the opponent to take advantage of these weaknesses. Rhode Island is quite good at forcing turnovers to create their scoring opportunities in transition. The ranked 3rd in the nation by forcing turnovers in 22.8% of their opponent’s possessions which is 5th best in the nation — and the Sooners can be exploited in this area as they ranked 6th in the Big 12 by turning it over in 18.0% of their possessions (including in 21.1% and 21.8% of their possessions against West Virginia which resulted in two losses to “Press Virginia). Rhode Island also plays very good 3-point defense as they were best in the Atlantic 10 in their opponent’s 3-point field goal percentage of 31.6% while also leading the conference with the lowest 3-Point-Attempt to Field-Goal Attempt ratio of 31.5%. The Sooners were 2nd in the Big 12 with a 39.1% 3-PTA/FGA ratio — and they average 10 made 3-pointers per game. But the Rams have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games after fifteen games into the season against opponents that average at least 10 made 3-pointers per game. Lastly, Rhode Island has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games played on a neutral court. 10* CBB Thursday Afternoon Tip Off with the Rhode Island Rams (724) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (723). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Stanford Cardinal (624) minus the points versus the BYU Cougars (623). Stanford (18-15) looks to bounce-back from their 88-77 loss to UCLA last Thursday in the Pac-12 Tournament. The Cardinal struggled to shoot the basketball in that game as they made only 43.9% of their shots. But Stanford scored at least 76 points in each of their last three games — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after scoring at least 75 points in their last game. The Cardinal has won six of their last eight games — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after winning five or six of their last seven games. This team has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games when playing just their second game in the last seven days. They get to host this opening game in Palo Alto where they are 13-5 this season. Stanford has covered then point spread in 8 of their last 9 games at home. The Cardinal has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 3 straight home games when favored in the 3.5 to 6 point range. Furthermore, Stanford has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

BYU (24-10) lost in the West Coast Conference Finals back on March 6th with their 74-54 blowout loss to Gonzaga. The Cougars had covered the point spread in their previous two games before failing to cover that +9.5-point spread as an underdog. But BYU has then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 road games after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Additionally, the Cougars are just 8-17-2 ATS in their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. Moving forward, BYU has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road games in a postseason tournament — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 road games in the opening round of a tournament. 20* CBB Wednesday Late Show Bailout with the Stanford Cardinal (624) minus the points versus the BYU Cougars (623). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Huskies (625) and the Boise State Broncos (626). Washington (20-12) enters the NIT having lost two straight games after losing to Oregon State in the Pac-12 Tournament by a 69-66 score last Wednesday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Huskies made only 38.3% of their shots in that game but did hold the Beavers to a 39.3% shooting percentage. Washington has then played 20 of their last 24 games Under the Total after a loss to a conference rival. The Huskies have also played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total — and they have played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Washington was the lower seed in this game — but a conflict with the Boise State basketball arena tonight means that the Huskies will be hosting this game. The Huskies have played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total. Washington has also played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And while this team has played their last two games Under the Total, they have then played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight games Under the Total.

Boise State (23-8) has lost two of their last three games with their 78-75 upset loss to Utah State last Thursday as an 8-point favorite. The Broncos went to halftime with a 40-32 lead — and they have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in the first-half of their last game. Boise State made 14 of their 18 free throw attempts (78%) in that game — and they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a game where they made at least 78% of their free throw attempts. The Broncos have to accept that they will be on the road for this game (despite being the lower seed) — and they have seen the Under go 12-3-1 in their last road games which includes playing seven straight Unders against teams with a winning record at home. Boise State has also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams outside the Mountain West Conference. And in their last 16 games with the Total set in the 140 got 149.5 point range, the Broncos have played 12 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB NIT First Round Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Huskies (625) and the Boise State Broncos (626). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colgate Raiders (633) and the San Francisco Dons (634). San Francisco (18-15) has lost two of their last three games after their 88-60 loss to Gonzaga as a 13-point underdog back on March 5th. The Dons played their worst defensive game of the season by watching the Bulldogs make 53.3% of their shots in that game. Expect a strong defensive effort from San Francisco tonight as they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. The Dons have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. San Francisco hosts this game where they hold their visitors to just a 42.6% shooting percentage — but they only make 42.8% of their shots as well. The Dons have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total — and they have also seen the Under go 11-4-1 in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 8 home games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, the game finished Under the Total 7 times.

Colgate (19-13) saw their five-game losing streak snapped last Wednesday with their rough 83-54 loss at Bucknell as an 8.5-point underdog. The Raiders made only 32.7% of their shots in that game — and that came on the heels of making only 32.1% of their shots in their previous game. Over their last five games, this team is shooting only 40.3% from the field. But the bigger problem for Colgate was that Bucknell made 51.7% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last four contests. The Raiders have then played 7 of their last 10 boarded games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Additionally, Colgate has played 4 of their last 5 boarded games Under the Total on the road — and they have played a decisive 17 of their last 19 road boarded games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Raiders have played 5 straight games Under the Total against non-conference opponents. And in their last 25 games as an underdog, Colgate has played 18 of these boarded games Under the Total. 25* CBB CBI First Round Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Colgate Raiders (633) and the San Francisco Dons (634). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Syracuse Orange (612) plus the points versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (611). Arizona State (20-11) opened as a 1-point favorite in this game and now find themselves a 2-point favorite in most locations. The deeper analytics suggest that point spread is right in line for this matchup — but those metrics are valuing their earlier season success that simply might have been predicated on outlier performances. After twelve games into the season which included their wins over Kansas and Xavier, the Sun Devils were making almost 60% of their shots inside the arc while nailing 50% of their 3-point shots. Their 59.2% effective field goal percentage was simply unsustainable — only last year’s UCLA team had an eFG at that mark over the last ten seasons of college basketball. So, the Regression Gods were due to make a visit for this team. Furthermore, head coach Bob Hurley’s small-ball formula simply got exposed in Pac-12 Conference play. They only shot better than 50% from the field twice against conference opponents. Their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency that ranks 17th in the nation for the season is contrasted with a subpar Adjusted Offensive Efficiency that was merely 7th in the Pac-12 (with that number ranking 121st in the nation if extended to the entire season). They made only 33.7% of their shots from behind the arc in Pac-12 play while shooting under 50% of their shots inside the arc. So I take their full-season metrics with a big grain of salt. They limp into the Big Dance having lost five of six with their 97-85 upset loss to Colorado last Wednesday — and they have only covered the point spread once in their last six contests. I don’t think the blank slate of the NCAA Tournament helps this team. They have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a loss to a conference rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 road games after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. Their declining effectiveness in shooting the basketball is not a good compliment to mediocre defensive play — they were 10th in the Pac-12 by allowing opponents to make 52.7% of their shots inside the arc. These factors explain why Arizona State is just 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 36 games played on a neutral court, the Sun Devils have failed to cover the point spread 26 times.

Syracuse (20-13) has a similar team to this Arizona State in many regards. Both teams sport great guard play but with limited depth which has placed a strain on the starters. But while the Sun Devils’ offensive prowess has declined, the Orange’s patented play behind their 2-3 zone defense consistently gets better as the season wears on as the players become more adept in its execution. Syracuse ranks 11th in the nation Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Their record is middling — but they do benefit from a very tough strength of schedule. Frankly, Jim Boeheim gives his team a huge edge in this game against an opponent that has already been exposed and who has matchup issues. The Sun Devils’ effort has been called into question on the boards and in their perimeter defense. Look for Syracuse militant execution of ball-screen after ball-screen to wear down their defense. Arizona State has a nice freshman in Remy Martin that offers them energy on offense but with the drawback of being a terrible liability on defense (at one point in the Pac-12 season, opponents were scoring at a 1.19 Points-Per-Possession against them with Martin on the floor). The Sun Devils struggled when opponents slowed the game down, created shots inside the arc while pounding the offensive glass — and these are all things the Orange can execute. Syracuse is 12th in the nation by rebounding 35.2% of their missed shots — and the Sun Devils were 9th in the Pac-12 by allowing their opponents to rebound 30.3% of their missed shots. Furthermore, a weakness of the 2-3 zone is that requires the defense to sacrifice some defensive rebounding in guarding the perimeter (although this Orange team has been better in this regard this season) — yet the Sun Devils do not crash the glass as they were 10th in the Pac-12 by rebounding only 26.2% of their missed shots. Breaking this game illuminated to me just what a bad matchup this is for a Sun Devils team that has to face this tricky 2-3 zone on a short turnaround from the release of the bracket. Boeheim’s teams have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 NCAA Tournament games — and they have covered the point spread in 29 of their last 41 games as an underdog getting 6 or less points on a neutral court. Like almost every other team in this tournament (including all four 16 seeds), if Arizona State makes at least 50% of their 3-pointers, they will likely win the game. More often than not, I see the Sun Devils losing this game straight-up (but race to take the points for some insurance!). 25* CBB NCAA Tournament First Four Game of the Year with the Syracuse Orange (612) plus the points versus the Arizona State Sun Devils (611). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (645) and the Canisius Golden Griffins (646). Jacksonville State (21-12) saw their three-game winning streak snapped back on March 2nd with their 70-63 loss to Murray State as a 6-point underdog. The extended break may contribute to the Gamecocks being a bit sluggish on offense in this game. As it is, Jacksonville State has played 11 of their last 13 boarded games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played a decisive 38 of their last 51 boarded games Under the Total after a point spread loss including eight of their last ten boarded games in that situation. Furthermore, the Gamecocks scored only 25 points in the first-half of that game — and they have then played 6 straight road boarded games Under the Total after failing to score more than 25 points in the first-half in their last game. This team is playing well on the defensive end of the court as they have held their last five opponents to just a 40.6% shooting percentage. Now this team goes on the road where the Under is 41-16-1 in their last 58 boarded games against teams with a winning record on their home court. Additionally, in their last 32 boarded games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range, Jacksonville State has played 22 of these games Under the Total.

Canisius (21-11) were upset in the Metro Atlantic Association Tournament by Quinnipiac by a 72-69 score back on March 2nd as a 9-point favorite. The Under is then 23-9-2 in their last 34 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while that game finished just below the 146.5 point total, the Golden Griffins have then played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. Furthermore, Canisius has seen the Under go 23-11-1 in their last 35 games on their home court. The Golden Griffins have also played 8 straight games Under the Total in non-conference play. And in their last 11 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range, Canisius has played 9 of these games Under the Total. Lastly, the Golden Griffins have played 7 straight games Under the Total in Tournament play. 10* CBB Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (645) and the Canisius Golden Griffins (646). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (615) plus the points versus the LSU Tigers (616). UL-Lafayette (27-6) will be licking their chips at the opportunity to defeat the Tigers in this game. The Ragin’ Cajuns lost two of their last three games after losing to UT-Arlington last Saturday despite being a 7-point favorite in that game. UL-Lafayette has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Ragin’ Cajuns have covered the point spread in 7 straight road games after an upset loss on the road as the favorite — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 12 road games after a point spread loss. Playing away from home should not be a problem for this team that was 13-5 on the road this year. UL-Lafayette has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.

LSU (17-14) has lost three of their last four games with their 80-77 loss to Mississippi State last Thursday as a 3-point underdog in the SEC Tournament. The Tigers started slow by going into halftime with a 45-29 halftime deficit which does not bode well for them in this game as they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games when trailing by at least 15 points at halftime of their last game. LSU only allowed the Bulldogs to pull down seven offensive boards after limiting them to just 6 offensive rebounds in their previous game which was also against them. The Tigers have then failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 30 games after not allowing more than 9 offensive rebounds in each of their last two games. LSU gets to host this game — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Tigers have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games with the Total set at 160 or higher. Lastly, in LSU’s last 11 games in tournament action, they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 78-17 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Road Warrior Wipeout with the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (615) plus the points versus the LSU Tigers (616). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Texas Southern Tigers (610) minus the points versus the North Carolina Central Eagles (609). NC Central (19-15) finished 6th in the Mid-Atlantic Athletic Conference during the regular season that metrics guru Ken Pomeroy ranked the second least competitive conference in the nation. The Eagles then won four straight games in MEAC Tournament to earn the automatic bid — culminating in their 71-63 upset win over Hampton on Saturday as a 4-point underdog. This is a nice accomplishment for this team but they simply have not engaged in a schedule that prepares them for the stakes and pressure of the NCAA Tournament. According to Pomeroy’s rankings (I simply ignore the RPI is simply garbage data at this point in my career), the best team NC Central faced was Illinois (!) who rank 104th in his ratings system. The Eagles best win this season was that win over Hampton who rank 245th in his hierarchy. NC Central has depth — but they also rank 313th in the nation by turning the ball over in 20.8% of their possessions. This team does not take advantage of the 3-point shot either with only 25% of their points coming from behind the arc. So not only is this a few steps up in class but this team’s style of play does not help them overachieve relative to their talents.

Texas Southern (15-19) successfully executed the Mike Davis formula of playing a tough non-conference schedule to prepare them for the Southland Conference Tournament with the play to win that event to qualify for the NCAA Tournament. For the fourth time in the last five seasons, Davis led his Tigers team to the Big Dance with this approach. Ignore Texas Southern’s sub-.500 record. This team lost their first thirteen games this season by engaging in a non-conference schedule that included Kansas, Gonzaga, Ohio State, Clemson, Syracuse, TCU, Baylor and BYU. Pomeroy ranked their non-conference schedule the toughest in the nation. Now this team enters the Big Dance with plenty of big game experience as well as recent memories of playing in the NCAA Tournament. That should serve them well tonight behind an experienced head coach in Davis who has also led Indiana and UAB to the Big Dance. Having won seven straight games to win the Southland, this team is peaking at the right time. They shot 59.1% from the field while holding Arkansas-Pine Bluff to just a 39.7% field goal percentage in the Conference Tournament Championship Game. The Tigers can make 3s as they shot a healthy 36.3% from behind the arc this season. But what this team does best is beat their opponents at the foul-line like a good Bobby Knight disciple should. Texas Southern was 6th in the nation with a Free Throw Attempt to Field Goal Attempt ratio of 43.2%. The Tigers also led the Southland Conference with an opponent’s FTA/FGA ratio of 28.7%. 10* CBB Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Texas Southern Tigers (610) minus the points versus the North Carolina Central Eagles (609). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Southeastern Louisiana Lions (559) and the Saint Mary’s Gaels (560). Saint Mary’s (28-5) hoped to earn an at-large bid for the NCAA Tournament but will have to settle for the NIT after being left out of the Big Dance on Sunday. The Gaels’ NCAA Tournament dreams who were ruined when they lost to BYU in the Semifinals of the West Coast Conference Tournament last back on March 5th by an 85-72 score. The Gaels saw the Cougars make 61.1% of their shots in that game which was their worst defensive effort for the entire season. In fact, BYU was the first team to shoot at least 50% from the field against them since Georgia made 50.8% of their shots against them all the way back on November 26th. Expect a much better defensive effort from this team that holds their opponents to just a 41.3% of their shots on their home court. Saint Mary’s has seen the Under go 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after a point spread loss. And while the Gaels have made at least 47.8% of their shots in three straight games, they have then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after making at least 47% of their shots in three straight games. Saint Mary’s gets to host this opening round game — and they have played 14 of their last 17 home games Under the Total on their home court. The Gaels have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total as a double-digit favorite. Furthermore, Saint Mary’s has played a decisive 37 of their last 52 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 13 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range, the Gaels have played 11 of these games Under the Total.

Southeastern Louisiana (22-11) saw their nine-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 59-55 loss to Stephen F. Austin as a 7-point underdog. The Lions lost that game despite holding the Lumberjacks to just a 42.1% field goal percentage. Southeastern Louisiana has held their last five opponents to just a 41.3% shooting percentage. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Lions have played 11 of their last 16 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And in their last 7 games against teams outside the Southland Conference, Southeastern Louisiana has played 5 of these games Under the Total. Lastly, while the Lions are making 45.7% of their shots this season, the Gaels have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams that are making at least 45% of their shots. 10* CBB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Southeastern Louisiana Lions (559) and the Saint Mary’s Gaels (560). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the St. Bonaventure (545) plus the points versus the UCLA Bruins (546). I have been waiting to get an update on the status on 6’6 forward Courtney Stockard who missed St. Bonaventure’s (25-7) last game due to a hamstring injury. He has been declared a game-time decision but the information I am now getting is that he will not play tonight. We will still have a play on the Bonnies but it will be a 10* rated play rather than a 20* (or higher) play given the likelihood that this team will be without their third leading scorer. St. Bonaventure (25-7) saw their thirteen game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 82-70 loss to Davidson as a 3.5-point underdog. The Bonnies saw the Wildcats make 56% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort of the season. Look for a strong effort from this St. Bonaventure team that has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. The Bonnies have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 road games after allowing at least 80 points in their last contest. Even without Stockard, St. Bonaventure has their two best offensive weapons in one of the best backcourts in the nation with Jaylen Adams (20.5 PPG) and Matt Mobley (18.2 PPG). They helped this team lead the Atlantic-10 by making 40.4% of their 3-point shots. But what I like about this team is their ability to create extra scoring possessions if their shots are not falling. The Bonnies were 3rd in the A-10 by forcing turnovers in 18.6% of their opponent’s possessions. St. Bonaventure also pulls down 30.1% of their missed shots which was 4th best in the conference. The Bonnies Pack-Line defense also protects the 3-point line on the defensive end of the court as they were 2nd in the conference by holding opponents to just a 31.9% shooting percentage from behind the arc. This outstanding guard play along with these team intangibles have helped them cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played on a neutral court with the Total set in the 150 to 159.5 point range. St. Bonaventure has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in expected close games where the line is in the +/- 3-point range (although the news about Stockard may push the line to +3.5 or better for us). Additionally, the Bonnies have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record.

UCLA (21-11) had won two straight games before losing to Arizona in the Semifinals of the Pac-12 Tournament by a 78-67 score. The Bruins made only 39.7% of their shots in that game as they continued to be inconsistent on the offensive end of the court. UCLA is reliant on making 3s — they led the Pac-12 by making 40.3% of their shots from behind the arc. They make 41.4% of their shots from behind the arc in the games they win this season. But if these shots are not falling against the Bonnies pack-line defense, this Bruins team simply does not do the little things to create more scoring opportunities. UCLA was 12th in the Pac-12 by forcing turnovers in a mere 13.9% of their opponent’s possessions. They were also just 6th in the conference by pulling down 28.9% of their missed shots. Look for the Bruins to be flat in this game (with the injury to Stockard perhaps playing into their overconfidence against a mid-major program). UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games after a straight-up loss. The Bruins have also failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 31 games after winning two of their last three games. Additionally, UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games against teams outside the Pac-12. The Bruins have not covered the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 21 games played on a neutral court, they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of these games. Together, these team trends produce per our specific 103-41 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the St. Bonaventure (545) plus the points versus the UCLA Bruins (546). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (554) minus the points versus the Boston College Eagles (553). Western Kentucky (24-10) had their NCAA Tournament dreams ruined on Saturday in their 67-66 upset loss to Marshall as a 6-point favorite in the Conference USA Championship Game. The Hilltoppers made only 35.5% of their shots in that game which was their worst offensive effort for the entire season. That was a surprising performance for a team that led Conference USA in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Look for Western Kentucky to bounce-back against this Eagles team that was 14th of the 15 teams in the ACC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Hilltoppers have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after an upset loss. Western Kentucky has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread loss. Getting to host this game will help this Hilltoppers team as they are 13-3 on their home court with an average winning margin of +13.3 PPG. Western Kentucky makes 50% of their shots on their home court — and that shooting prowess has helped them cover the point spread in 8 of their last 14 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. This is a good team led by a Virginia transfer in Darius Thompson who came over as a graduate transfer this season. The Hilltoppers defeated Purdue on a neutral court back in November. Western Kentucky has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games against non-conference opponents. And in their last 6 games in Tournament play, the Hilltoppers have covered the point spread 5 times.

Boston College (19-15) lost in the ACC Tournament to Clemson last Thursday by a 90-82 score as a 5-point underdog. The Eagles allowed 87 points in their previous game which was a four-point victory over NC State — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 80 points in two straight games. Additionally, while Boston College has scored at least 76 points in five straight games, they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games after scoring at least 75 points in five straight contests. Now this team goes on the road where they have an awful 4-36 record straight-up in the first four seasons under head coach Jim Christian when playing in hostile environments. The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. One of the problems for BC when playing away from home is shooting 3s as they are making a mere 30.9% of their shots from behind the arc on the road which is far below their 36.2% mark for the season. That will make things difficult to score points against this Hilltoppers’ interior defense that led Conference USA with an opponent’s field goal percentage inside the arc of 46.7%. The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against non-conference opponents. And in their last 12 games in Tournament action, Boston College has failed to cover the point spread 9 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 104-34 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB NIT First Round Game of the Year with the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (554) minus the points versus the Boston College Eagles (553).. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Northern Kentucky Norse (547) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (548). Louisville (20-13) saw their bubble-burst on Sunday after they failed to get an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament after bowing out in the ACC Tournament last Thursday in their 75-58 loss to Virginia. The Cardinals limp into the NIT having lost three of their last four games as well as five of their last seven contests. It may be difficult for this team to get up for this game against a mid-major after a long season of tumult and controversy which saw Rick Pitino canned for his lack of accountability (at the very least) for the brothel that was operated on the Louisville campus to help lure recruits. Louisville has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams outside the ACC. The Cardinals have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games in the month of March. Louisville returns home for the first time since March 1st after playing their last three games on the road — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 home games after playing at least three straight games on the road. The Cardinals have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road.

Northern Kentucky (22-9) was the best team in the Horizon League all season but were upset in the Quarterfinals of that conference tournament to a surging Cleveland State team by an 89-80 score despite being a 14-point favorite back on March 3rd. Look for this Norse team to bounce-back with a strong effort with the opportunity to produce a high profile victory. Northern Kentucky has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss. This team was 10-7 on the road this year with an average winning margin of +5.0 PPG. The Norse led the Horizon League in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and opponent’s effective field goal percentage — and their strong defense travels. Northern Kentucky are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games on the road — and they are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, the Norse have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games against non-conference opponents — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games as an underdog. Additionally, Northern Kentucky has covered the point spread in 18 of their last 22 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games in Tournament play. Together, these team trends produce our specific 121-36-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Northern Kentucky-Louisville ESPN Special with the Northern Kentucky Norse (547) plus the points versus the Louisville Cardinals (548). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Radford Highlanders (544) minus the points versus the Long Island Blackbirds (543). Radford (22-12) earned the Big South Conference automatic bid with their 55-52 win over Liberty back on March 4th to win that conference tournament. The Highlanders do plenty of things make them reliable teams in single-elimination tournaments if their shots are not falling. Their head coach Mike Jones was an assistant to Shaka Smart for those full-court pressure “Havoc” teams of VCU. This Radford team was 2nd in the Big South by forcing turnovers in 20.2% of their opponent’s possessions. This is an area of vulnerability for the Blackbirds as they ranked 7th in the Northeast Conference by turning the ball over in 19.7% of their possessions. The Highlanders also create more scoring chances by crashing the offensive glass as they led their conference by rebounding 34.7% of their missed shots. Long Island is vulnerable here as well as they were 6th in the Northeast Conference by allowing their opponents to rebound 30.8% of their missed shots. Radford combines these attributes with strong defensive play — they have held their last five opponents to make only 39.2% of their shots. All of these characteristics have helped the Highlanders cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Radford has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 boarded games against non-conference opponents. And in their last 10 boarded games after a straight-up win, the Highlanders have covered the point spread in 7 of these games.

Long Island (18-16) rallied to win nine of their last twelve games culminating in winning the Northeast Conference Tournament with their 71-61 upset win over Wagner last Tuesday. The Highlanders made 53.2% of their shots which was tied for their best shooting effort in their last fourteen games. But this team may be due for a big emotional letdown now. As it is, Long Island has failed to cover the point spread in four straight boarded games after a point spread victory. The Highlanders have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight boarded games played on a neutral court. This Long Island team has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 boarded games against teams outside the Northeast Conference. Lastly, while the Highlanders average 8 made 3-pointers per game, they are facing a Radford team that has covered the point spread in 7 straight boarded games after 15 games into the season against teams that average at least 8 made 3-pointers per game. 10* CBB Long Island-Radford tru TV Special with the Radford Highlanders (544) minus the points versus the Long Island Blackbirds (543). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Long Island Blackbirds (543) and the Radford Highlanders (544). Redford (22-12) earned an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament with their 55-52 win over Liberty last Sunday to win the Big South Conference Tournament. The Highlanders got it done by playing outstanding defense. They have held their last five opponents to just a 39.2% shooting percentage which is a bit lower than their 42.8% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. Radford has then played 4 straight boarded games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 boarded games Under the Total after a win over a conference rival. Additionally, the Highlanders have played 6 of their last 7 boarded games Under the Total after not allowing more than 55 points in their last game. Radford’s win over Liberty occurred despite the Flames making 43.9% of their shots which was the best shooting percentage of their last seven opponents. The Highlanders shot 36.2% from the field which sounds low — but it was actually their best field goal percentage over their last three games. Scoring is an issue for this Radford team that makes only 41.2% of their shots away from home. They are making only 39.6% of their shots over their last five games. The Highlanders scored only 61 points in their previous game — and they have then played 5 of the last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 65 points in two straight games. They only had 7 assists in their win over Liberty — and they have played 5 straight boarded games Under the Total after failing to generate at least 9 team assists in their last game. Long Island loves to shoot 3s as they average 23 shots from behind the 3-point line — but head coach Mike Jones coached teams have played 9 of their last 11 boarded games Under the Total against opponents who attempt at least 21 shots from behind the arc per game. Redford was 2nd in the Big South in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they led the conference by holding their opponents to just a 47.1% shooting percentage inside the arc.

Long Island (18-16) earned an automatic bid to the Big Dance with their 71-61 win at Wagner last Tuesday. The Blackbirds have then played 5 of their last 7 boarded games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 9 boarded games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, Long Island has played 5 of their last 6 boarded games Under the Total after winning at least two in a row. Over their last five contests, the Blackbirds defense has improved significantly as they have held those opponents to just a 35.5% field goal percentage. The Seahawks made only 30% of their shots despite having the advantage of playing on their home court in that Big South Tournament Championship Game. But Long Island was on fire wit their shooting as they made 53.2% of their shots — but they are not likely to come close to that figure in this game when considering that was tied for the best field goal percentage over their last fourteen games. Moving forward, the Highlanders have played 5 of their last 6 boarded. games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. And in their last 6 boarded games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, the Blackbirds have played 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament First Four Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Long Island Blackbirds (543) and the Radford Highlanders (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bearcats (828) minus the points versus the Houston Cougars (827). Cincinnati (29-4) has won six games in a row with their 70-60 win over Memphis yesterday as a 17-point favorite. The Bearcats have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, Cincinnati has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after winning at least two straight games against conference rivals. The Bearcats get it done with defense as they are 2nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Cincinnati has not allowed more than 61 points in four straight games — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after not allowing more than 65 points in each of their last four games. This is expected to be another low-scoring game with the total in the 128 point range. The Bearcats have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games with the Total set no higher than 130. Cincinnati will also be looking to avenge a 67-62 upset loss to the Cougars back on February 15th — and they have covered the point spread in 4 straight games when playing with revenge.

Houston (26-6) has won five straight games with their 77-74 upset victory over Wichita State yesterday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Cougars have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a narrow win by 3 points or less against a conference rival. Additionally, Houston has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after winning at least five straight games in a row. The Cougars have covered the point spread in two straight contests — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games after covering the point spread in two straight games. And while Houston has played three straight games that finished Over the Total, they have then failed to cover the point spread 4 of their last 5 games after playing at least three straight games Over the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 70-27 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB American Athletic Conference Game of the Year with the Cincinnati Bearcats (828) minus the points versus the Houston Cougars (827). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Kentucky Wildcats (823) plus the points versus the Tennessee Volunteers (824). Kentucky (23-10) has won two straight games — as well as six of their last seven contests — with their 86-63 win over Alabama yesterday. This young Wildcats team should build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Kentucky has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a double-digit win over a conference rival. Now this team has the opportunity to avenge two losses to the Volunteers this season. Their last meeting was back on February 6th which resulted in a 61-59 narrow loss in Lexington. Kentucky has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when avenging a same-season loss — and they have covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games when avenging a same-season loss. Moving forward, the Wildcats have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. And in their last 8 games played on a neutral court, Kentucky is 5-1-2 ATS.

Tennessee (25-7) has won six straight games with their 84-66 win over Arkansas yesterday. The Volunteers made 57.1% of their shots in that game which was their best shooting effort in their last fourteen contests. But Tennessee has then failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 39 games after winning three straight games against conference rivals — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in four of their last five of these situations. The Volunteers have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games when playing on a neutral court as a favorite of no more than 3 points. And in their last 17 games played on a neutral court with the Total in the 135.5 to 139 point range, Tennessee has failed to cover the point spread in 11 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 94-38 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Kentucky-Tennessee ESPN Special with the Kentucky Wildcats (823) plus the points versus the Tennessee Volunteers (824). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Rhode Island Rams (822) minus the points versus the Davidson Wildcats (821). Rhode Island (25-6) reached the Atlantic-10 Conference Tournament Championship Game yesterday with their 90-87 win over St. Joseph’s as an 8.5-point favorite. The Rams won that game despite the Hawks. Rhode Island is then 25-11-1 in their last 37 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 26 of their last 40 games after a win over a conference rival. Additionally, the Rams have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 85 points in their last game. Now this team has the opportunity to avenge a 63-61 loss at Davidson back on March 2nd. Rhode Island has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing with revenge — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games when avenging a loss on the road. Additionally, the Rams have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games played on a neutral court.

Davidson (20-11) has won seven of their last eight games with their 82-70 win over St. Bonaventure yesterday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Wildcats made 56% of their shots in that game which was their best offensive effort in their last five contests. But after defeating St. Louis in their previous game by 18 points in the Atlantic-10 Tournament, this team may be due for a letdown now. Davidson has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after winning their last two games by double-digits. The Wildcats made 16 shots from 3-point land against the Bonnies after nailing 11 3-point shots in their win against the Billikens — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after making at least 10 3-pointers in two straight games. Furthermore, while Davidson has failed to cover the point spread in five of their last six games (and six of their last eight), they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after covering the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. Lastly, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games played on a neutral court as an underdog or pick ‘em. Together, these team trends produce our specific 103-48 ATS team trends for this situation. 20* CBB Davidson-Rhode Island CBS-TV Special with the Rhode Island Rams (822) minus the points versus the Davidson Wildcats (821). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the USC Trojans (543) plus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (544). USC (23-10) has won six of their last seven games with their 74-54 win over Oregon yesterday as a 3-point favorite over the Ducks. Look for the Trojans to build off that momentum tonight and keep this game very close (if they do not pull the outright upset). They have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after winning three of their last four contests. Additionally, USC typically plays well on neutral courts as they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games on a neutral court — and they have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games on a neutral court with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Additionally, the Trojans have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. USC will be additionally motivated with revenge on their minds after losing to the Wildcats by an 81-67 score in Tuscon. The Trojans have covered then point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when avenging a loss on the road. 

Arizona (26-7) has won four straight games — as well as six of their last seven contests — with their 78-67 win over UCLA as a 6.5-point favorite yesterday. But the Wildcats are just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a point spread win. Arizona had won their previous two games by comfortable margins as well with their 83-67 win over Colorado on Thursday and a 66-54 win over California in their last game of the regular season. But the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after winning three straight games by double-digits. Arizona has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after winning straight games against conference rivals. The Wildcats committed only 6 turnovers yesterday in their win over the Bruins — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not committing more than 8 turnovers in their last game. One of the reasons why Arizona is finding success right now is because they are dominating their opponents at the free throw line. They had 10 more attempts at the charity stripe yesterday after taking 16 more attempts against Colorado and 11 more free throw attempts against Cal. But the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after playing three straight games where they attempted more than 10 free throws than their opponent. They are unlikely to see this advantage again tonight against this Trojans team that does not let their opponents get to the free throw line too often. USC is 2nd in the Pac-12 with an opponent’s Free Throw Attempt to Field Goal Attempt ratio of 27.3% — and that number drops to just a 26.7% for the season which is ranked 32nd best in the nation. Arizona is just 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 16 games played on a neutral court as a favorite or pick ‘em, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread 10 times. 25* CBB Pac-12 Game of the Year with the USC Trojans (543) plus the points versus the Arizona Wildcats (544). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Kansas Jayhawks (532) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the West Virginia Mountaineers (531). West Virginia (24-9) opened as a small underdog for this Big 12 Tournament Championship Game but betting action has moved the Mountaineers to a small favorite in this game. Perhaps bettors expect West Virginia to dominate down low against this Jayhawks team missing 7’0 Udoka Azubuike with a knee injury. More on that below. But this Mountaineers team has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 Tournament Championship Games. They enter this year’s Finals coming off their 66-63 win over Texas Tech as a 2-point favorite yesterday. West Virginia has then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. The Mountaineers have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a close win by 3 points or less against a conference rival. And while West Virginia has won five of their last six games (and six of their last eight games), they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Mountaineers will be motivated by the fact that they lost their two previous meetings with the Jayhawks this season — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last opportunities to avenge a loss to their opponent. The fact is that West Virginia does not match up very well with this Kansas team. “Press Virginia” is 2nd in the nation in forcing turnovers — but the Jayhawks are 2nd in the Big 12 by turning the ball over in just 16.7% of their possessions. This year’s Kansas team is 20th in the nation by making 39.8% of their 3-point attempts — and they led the Big 12 with 42.7% of their field goal attempts being from behind the arc. The Mountaineers are 8th in the Big 12 by allowing their opponents to make 38.0% of their 3-point attempts. It will be hard for West Virginia to keep up in the scoring department considering that they are making only 41.3% of their shots on the road.

Kansas (26-7) reached the Big 12 Championship Game with their 83-67 win over Kansas State as a 7-point favorite — but they will not be resting on their laurels from that achievement. The Jayhawks saw their 13-point halftime lead almost evaporate in the second-half before showing the resolve to pull away. The Wildcats were able to take advantage of Kansas’ interior defense that was missing Azubuike. But Bill Self has had a day to make adjustments to the second-half defensive struggles for this team. Kansas has players with size to play down low in Azubuike’s absence. While this Mountaineers team is bulky and physical but they do not have regular rotation players taller than 6’8. The Jayhawks have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing with one day or less of rest. Kansas has covered the point spread in two straight games as well as five of their last seven contests — and they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 road games after covering the point spread in their last two games. Additionally, the Jayhawks have covered the point spread in 6 straight road games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Lastly, Kansas has covered the point spread in 6 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB Big 12 Game of the Year with the Kansas Jayhawks (532) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the West Virginia Mountaineers (531). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the New Mexico Lobos (534) plus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (533). San Diego State (21-10) not only played their best game of the season yesterday in their 90-73 upset victory over Nevada as a 2.5-point underdog — but they enjoyed one of the best first halves a college basketball team has played in a very long time. They scored at an incredible 1.68 Points-Per-Possession rate in those first 20 minutes which is a historic number. With 1:27 left in the first-half, the Aztecs enjoyed a 55-21 lead over a very good Nevada team (that we, unfortunately, had a big play on). Sometimes teams simply cannot miss their shots. We don’t want to chase that loss. However, on the other hand, San Diego’s State’s shooting prowess yesterday is screaming for a call from the Regression Gods — so we need to have some action on this game to face then Aztecs. I appreciate that this San Diego State team is better than record after enduring injuries for much of the season. But they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after an upset win. Additionally, while the Aztecs have covered the point spread for three their last four games, they have then failed to covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after covering the point spread in three straight games. Furthermore, while San Diego State had defeated Fresno State by a 64-52 score in the Quarterfinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after winning two straight games by double-digits against a conference rival.

New Mexico (19-14) is one of the hottest teams in the nation as they have won seven straight games with their 83-68 win over Utah State as a 4-point favorite yesterday. This team had talent but they are now beginning to thrive under first-year head coach Paul Weir who frequently changes his starting lineup to create matchup problems for the Lobos’ opponents. This team has become an offensive juggernaut as they have scored at least 91 points in four of their last seven games — and their 83 points yesterday was their second-fewest in that seven-game stretch. Look for this New Mexico team to build off their momentum to be a dangerous dog against an Aztecs team now burdened with expectations. The Lobos have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, New Mexico has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last contest. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Lobos have covered the point spread in 5 of these games. 10* CBB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the New Mexico Lobos (534) plus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (533). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Toledo Rockets (864) minus the point(s) versus the Eastern Michigan Eagles (863). Eastern Michigan (21-11) has rattled off seven straight wins after they defeated Akron yesterday by a 67-58 score. But the Eagles have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after winning at least four straight games. And while Eastern Michigan has covered the point spread in six straight games — as well as eight of their last ten contests — they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after covering the point spread in eight of their last ten games. Additionally, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored. Moving forward, the Rockets are the type of team that Eastern Michigan struggles with. Toledo make 47.3% of their shots — including 39.9% of their shots from behind the arc. Eastern Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games against teams who make at least 45% of their shots — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after fifteen games into the season against opponents who nail at least 37% of their 3-point attempts. Furthermore, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games when playing on a neutral court with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range.

Toledo (22-10) has won three of their last four games with their 71-69 win over Miami (OH) yesterday as a 6-point favorite. The Rockets won that game despite making only 43.5% of their shots which was their worst offensive effort in their last five games. Toledo did limit the Red Hawks to just 15 free throw attempts as they committed only nine personal fouls in that game — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not committing more than ten personal fouls in their last game. Moving forward, the Rockets have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Toledo has also covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games when playing on a neutral court. Additionally, the Rockets have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, while the Eagles are outscoring their opponents by +5.1 PPG, Toledo has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games after fifteen games into the season against opponents that outscore their foes by at least +4.0 PPG. 10* CBB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with the Toledo Rockets (864) minus the point(s) versus the Eastern Michigan Eagles (863). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Nevada Wolf Pack (874) minus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (873). Nevada (27-6) has won seven of their last eight games with their 79-74 win over UNLV yesterday as a 5-point favorite. The Wolf Pack showed their resolve in that game as they went into the locker room at halftime down 8 points — and then they saw the Runnin’ Rebels make their first two baskets in the second-half. But this resilient Nevada team made 10 of their first 12 shots in the second-half — including five 3-pointers — to take re-establish their momentum to win the game. The Wolf Pack shot just 44.3% from the field in that game which was their worst offensive effort in their last three games. This is a dynamic offensive team that ranks 9th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they also rank 10th in the nation by making 40.3% of their 3-point shots. They will be very motivated tonight as they look to avenge a 79-74 loss to the Aztecs at San Diego State just last Saturday. Nevada has been very reliable in revenge situations as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 opportunities to avenge a loss — and they have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games when avenging a loss on the road. Furthermore, the Wolf Pack have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. Nevada plays well in these tournament situations — they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games when playing with one day or less of rest and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when playing on a neutral court as a favorite or pick ‘em. This team certainly will feel comfortable shooting in the Thomas & Mack Center after their offensive display in the second-half yesterday. Furthermore, the Wolf Pack have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after fifteen games into the season against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-80% range.

San Diego State (20-10) has won seven straight games with their 64-52 win over Fresno State yesterday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Aztecs have now covered the point spread in three straight games — but hey have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after covering the point spread in at least three straight contests. Furthermore, this San Diego State was the favorite in these last three games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games after covering the point spread in three straight games as the favorite. Furthermore, the Aztecs have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 20 games after a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a contest where both teams did not score more than 65 points. Scoring can be an issue for San Diego State as they make only 42.8% of their shots on the road. They only had 8 team assists yesterday in their win over the Bulldogs — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games after a game where they did not have more than 9 assists as a team. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Game of the Year with the Nevada Wolf Pack (874) minus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (873). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET On Friday, we will be playing the Wichita State Shockers (826) minus the points versus the Temple Owls (825). Wichita State (24-6) takes the court again after seeing their seven-game winning streak snapped last Sunday in a 66-61 upset loss to Cincinnati as a 3-point favorite. The Shockers made only 40.7% of their shots in that game which was their worst shooting effort in their previous eleven games. Look for Wichita State to bounce-back as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last seven games after an upset loss to a conference rival. The Shockers are also 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a straight-up loss. Wichita State has not covered the point spread in four straight games — as well as five of their last six contests — but they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. The Shockers have also covered the point spread in 4 straight games after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven contests. Wichita State are heavy favorites in this contest laying around 11 points — but they have covered the point spread in 37 of their last 57 games as a double-digit favorite. 

Temple (17-14) snapped their two-game losing streak yesterday with their 82-77 win over Tulane as a 6-point favorite. The Owls committed only six turnovers in that game which was the eleventh straight game that they did not commit more than 14 turnovers in their last game — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after not turning the ball over more than 14 times in at least four straight games. Temple thrives against teams that want to force turnovers. The Owls rank 31st in the nation by turning the ball over in just 15.9% of their possessions — and that number dropped to just a 15.2% mark in conference play. But forcing turnovers is not the Shockers formula for success as their opponent’s average just 12 turnovers per game. Subsequently, Temple has failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 22 games against opponents that do not force more than 12 turnovers per game — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after fifteen games into the season against teams that do not force more than 12 turnovers per game. The Owls are looking to avenge a 93-86 loss to the Shockers back on February 15th but they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games when attempting to avenge a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. Lastly, Temple has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. 10* CBB Temple-Wichita State ESPNU Special with the Wichita State Shockers (826) minus the points versus the Temple Owls (825). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs (849) and the Tennessee Volunteers (850). Mississippi State (22-10) reached the Quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament yesterday with their 80-77 win over LSU as a 3-point favorite. The Bulldogs shot lights out in that game by making 58.3% of their shots which was not only their best field goal percentage over their last six games but also their third best offensive effort of the season. But Mississippi State has then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after shooting at least 55% from the field in their last game. The Bulldogs have also played 30 of their last 46 road games Under the Total when playing with one day or rest between games. Additionally, Mississippi State has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when an underdog or a pick ‘em. And while the Volunteers are outscoring their opponents by +8.1 PPG this season, the Bulldogs have played 5 straight games Under the Total against opponents that outscore their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG.

Tennessee (23-7) has won four straight games with their 66-61 win over Georgia last Saturday as an 8.5-point favorite. Despite holding the Bulldogs to just a 42.3% shooting percentage, that was actually the Volunteers highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last four games. Tennessee has not allowed more than 65 points in each of their last four games — and they have then played 12 of their last 14 road games Under the Total after not allowing more than 65 points in four straight contests. Additionally, the Volunteers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Furthermore, Tennessee has played 7 straight road games Under the Total after winning two straight games against SEC rivals. Moving forward, the Volunteers have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Lastly, in their last 10 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, Tennessee has played 8 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB SEC Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs (849) and the Tennessee Volunteers (850). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Xavier Musketeers (858) minus the points versus the Providence Friars (857). Providence (20-12) has won three of their last four games after their 72-68 upset win over Creighton yesterday in a game that went to overtime. Look for the Friars to suffer a letdown tonight — they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a win by 6 points or less. That win for Providence came after a 61-57 narrow win over St. John’s in their last game in the regular season — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in their last 3 games after eking out two straight wins by 6 points or less. The Friars were 3.5-point underdogs against the Bluejays yesterday — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. Additionally, Providence has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games when winning two of their last three games. And in their last 17 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range, the Friars have failed to cover the point spread 11 times.

Xavier (28-4) looks to build off their dominant 88-60 win over St. John’s yesterday as a 7-point favorite. The Musketeers may be hard to stop in this contest as they have covered the point spread in 39 of their last 56 games after a win by at least 20 points. Xavier has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last contest. The Musketeers is dominating the glass as of late as they have out-rebounded their last four opponents by at least 9 rebounds — and they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after out-rebounding their last four opponents by at least 6 RPG. Moving forward, Xavier has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games played on a neutral court — and this includes covering the point spread in eight of their last nine games when the total was set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. The Musketeers have also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games in Tournament action. Lastly, Xavier has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 29 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB Big East Game of the Year with the Xavier Musketeers (858) minus the points versus the Providence Friars (857). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Rhode Island Rams (830) minus the points versus the VCU Rams (829). Rhode Island (23-6) enters the Atlantic-10 Tournament coming off two straight losses after their 63-61 loss at Davidson in a pick ‘em contest last Friday. That loss came on the heels of an embarrassing 30-point loss at home for Senior Night against St. Joseph’s. Get this Rams team remains the regular season champions of the conference with their 15-3 record. They should get back to their winning ways in A-10 play this afternoon while benefiting from the rest as they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games when playing just their second game in eight days. This team is built to play well in tournament situations as they some of the extra things to create more scoring opportunities if their shots are not falling. Rhode Island is 2nd in the conference by rebounding 31.4% of their missed shots. These Rams also led the A-10 by forcing turnovers in 22.9% of their opponent’s possessions — and this is an area of vulnerability for VCU as they were 12th in the conference by turning the ball over in 19.5% of their possessions. These characteristics have helped Rhode Island cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games played on a neutral court as a favorite or pick em. The Rams limited their turnovers against the Wildcats last week as they only committed 7 turnovers — and they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after not turning the ball over more than 8 times in their last contest. Furthermore, Rhode Island has allowed their last two opponents to pull down only 7 and 9 offensive rebounds — and they have then covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after not allowing more than 9 offensive rebounds in each of their last two games. This team just needs to shoot the ball better — they made only 40.3% of their shots against Davidson after shooting an awful 28.1% from the field in that loss to St. Joe’s in their final home game of the season. Rhode Island makes a healthy 46% of their shots when playing on the road so don’t be surprised if they break out with a strong shooting effort this afternoon.

VCU (18-14) has won and covered the point spread in their last two games while laying the points after they rallied with a late 10-0 run yesterday to pull out a 77-72 win over Dayton yesterday. But this team may be due for a letdown now as they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after covering their last two games as the favorite. This Rams team has not been as effective as an underdog considering that they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games when getting the points as the dog. Frankly, this is a mediocre VCU team that ranked 10th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 7th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in the Atlantic-10. The old days of Shaka Smart’s “havoc” pressure defense are gone as this team was 8th in the conference in forcing turnovers and steals-rate. They also are 6th in the conference in offensive rebounding. They pulled down only 5 offensive rebounds yesterday — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a game where they did not pull down more than 5 boards on the offensive end of the court. This team is dependent on taking full advantage of their shots since they do not do the little things to create more scoring opportunities — they survived yesterday by shooting 49.1% from the field. But they shot only 41.4% from the field in their lone meeting with Rhode Island this season back on February 2nd in an 81-68 loss at home. Unfortunately for VCU, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when attempting to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponents. Lastly, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB Atlantic-10 Game of the Year with the Rhode Island Rams (830) minus the points versus the VCU Rams (829). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (748) minus the points versus the UAB Blazers (747). Western Kentucky (22-9) enters the Conference USA Tournament on a two-game losing streak after they were humiliated last Saturday by this same UAB team by a 101-73 score despite being 1-point favorites. The Hilltoppers made only 42.9% of their shots which was their worst field goal percentage in their last eight contests. But it was the Blazers’ shooting effort that made the difference in that game as they could barely miss on their end of the court. Their 61.7% shooting percentage was not only their best field goal percentage of the season while also being the best offensive effort against any team that faced the Hilltoppers this season. Western Kentucky should bounce-back with a very strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 15 games when avenging a double-digit loss on the road. They have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss. Additionally, not only have the Hilltoppers covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss but they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread setback. Furthermore, Western Kentucky has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 100 points — and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games after a game where at least 155 combined points were scored. This team should be very confident in this game as they play for a program that has covered the point spread in 33 of their last 49 Conference USA Tournament games. They have also covered the point spread in 40 of their last 58 games played on a neutral court. And in their last 12 opportunities to face a team with a winning percentage of 60% or higher, the Hilltoppers have covered the point spread 9 times.

UAB (20-12) has won three straight games with their 83-72 win over FAU last night as a 10.5-point favorite. We had the Owls last night in what was one of three point spread losses last evening that was decided by a single point (Dear Regression Gods, we are due some karma …). We don’t want to chase losers — but, we also do not want to forego strong opportunities for arbitrary reasons either. The Blazers held FAU to just a 41.2% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last six games. UAB also made 11 of their 13 free throws (84.6%) to just eke out the point spread win — yet they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after making at least 78% of their free throws in their last game. This Blazers team has a recent history of failure in this tournament where they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games in the Conference USA Tournament. Additionally, UAB has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games when playing on a neutral court as an underdog or pick ‘em — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games when playing on a neutral court with the Total in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Lastly, the Blazers have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 meetings with Western Kentucky. 25* CBB Conference USA Game of the Year with the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (748) minus the points versus the UAB Blazers (747). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Mississippi State Bulldogs (714) minus the points versus the LSU Tigers (713). Mississippi State (21-10) had won three straight games but they enter the SEC Tournament on a two-game losing streak after their 78-57 loss to this same LSU squad last Saturday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 17 of their last 23 games when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent. Mississippi State has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 28 games after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, the Bulldogs have cord the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games away from home after a double-digit loss. Additionally, while Mississippi State has not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after failing to cover the point spread in their last two games. The Bulldogs have also covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 games after dropping their last two games. And in their last 5 games played on a neutral court, Mississippi State has covered the point spread 4 times.

LSU (17-13) is primed for a letdown after that loss to the Bulldogs last week as this their first game back on the court. The Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after a win at home against a conference rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a double-digit victory over an SEC rival. Additionally, LSU is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they are 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 road games after losing two of their last three games. And in their last 5 games played on a neutral court, LSU has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these contests. Together, these team trends produce our specific 134-37-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CBB Thursday Night Discounted Deal with the Mississippi State Bulldogs (714) minus the points versus the LSU Tigers (713). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Stanford Cardinal (727) plus the points versus the UCLA Bruins (728). Stanford (18-14) has won five of their last six games after their 76-58 win over California yesterday as a 9-point favorite. The Cardinal should build off their momentum this afternoon as they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win  — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, Stanford has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a win over a Pac-12 opponent. And the Cardinal has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning five or six of their last seven games. Moving forward, Stanford is a dangerous dog in this contest when considering that they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Injuries haunted them for much of the season which impacted their win-loss record but afforded expanded roles for a trio of talented freshman in Daejon Davis, Oscar da Silva and Kenzie Okpala. Add into the mix junior Reid Travis and senior Dorain Pickens and this Cardinal team becomes very interesting.

UCLA (20-10) snapped their two-game losing streak on Saturday when they upset USC on the road by an 83-72 score as a 5-point underdog. The Bruins made 50.8% of their shots in that game which was their best offensive effort in their last six games. They also held the Trojans to just a 40% field goal percentage in what was their top defensive game in their last nine contests. But UCLA has failed to cover the point spread in 28 of their last 41 games after a win on the road by double-digits. The Bruins have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after an upset victory by double-digits as a road underdog. And while that game finished just below the 155.5 point total, UCLA has then failed to cover the point spread in 28 of their last 42 games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 108-41 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CBB Thursday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Stanford Cardinal (727) plus the points versus the UCLA Bruins (728). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (719) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (720). San Diego State (19-10) has won six straight games with their 79-74 win over Nevada last Saturday as a 1.5-point favorite. The Aztecs made 49.2% of their shots in that game which was their best shooting effort in their last four games. They also allowed the Wolf Pack to make 49.2% of their shots which was their worst defensive performance in their last seven contests. Both of those results should see some regression this afternoon which points to an Under. As it is, the Under is 5-0-1 in San Diego State’s last 6 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a point spread victory. The Aztecs have also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after winning three straight games against conference rivals. Now this team goes back on the road after playing their last two games at home — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after playing their last two games on their home court. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Under is 4-1-1  for San Diego State.

Fresno State (21-10) has lost two of their last three games with their 95-86 loss at New Mexico as a 3.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Bulldogs did shoot 49.1% from the field in that game which was their best film goal parentage in their last four games. But Fresno State allowed the Lobos to make 53.7% of their sots which was their worst defensive effort in their last eight contests. Both marks should see declines in this game to help our Under. The Bulldogs have played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. Furthermore, Fresno State has managed to pull down only 8 offensive rebounds in each of their last two games — and they have then played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after not rebounding more than 9 boards in two straight games. Additionally, the Bulldogs have played 26 of their last 38 road games Under the Total after a loss on the road to a conference rival. Lastly, in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Fresno State has played all 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (719) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (720). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Kansas Jayhawks (704) minus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (703). Kansas (24-7) will be looking to avenge an 82-64 upset loss to the Cowboys in Stillwater last Saturday in their most previous game. The Jayhawks were 3.5-point favorites in that contest — and they shot only 41.7% from the field which was their worst offensive effort in their last twelve games. They also allowed the Cowboys to make 50% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last six contests. Kansas went into halftime of that game trailing by a 46-30 score — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 17 games after allowing at least 45 points in the first-half of their last game. Bill Self’s team has also covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games when avenging an upset loss as a road favorite — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games when avenging a double-digit loss. Moving forward, the Jayhawks have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 road games after winning for of their last five games. They have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games played on a neutral court with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. And in their last 18 Tournament games, Kansas has covered the point spread in 12 of these games.

Oklahoma State (19-13) has won three straight games with their 71-60 upset win over Oklahoma last night as a 1-point favorite. The Cowboys held the Sooners to just a 37.9% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last thirteen games. Oklahoma State made only 39.1% of their shots in that game but dominated Oklahoma on the boards by owning a decisive 53-27 rebounding edge. The Cowboys have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after pulling down at least 50 rebounds. Oklahoma State has also failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games on the road when playing their second game in three days — and they have a very short turnaround from playing just last night. This Cowboys team has enjoyed halftime leads of 11, 16 and 5 points in each of their last three games but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after owning halftime leads of at least 5 points in three straight contests. Moving forward, Oklahoma State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after winning four or five of their last six games. And in their last 11 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range, the Cowboys have failed to cover the point spread 9 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 82-27 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CBB Oklahoma State-Kansas ESPN2 Special with the Kansas Jayhawks (704) minus the points versus the Oklahoma State Cowboys (703). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Creighton Bluejays (696) minus the points versus the Providence Friars (695). I like the line movement with this game as Creighton (21-10) opened as a 4-point favorite and has moved down to a 3.5 or so fave in most spots — so lets add it as a 10* play this afternoon. The Bluejays enters this game coming off an 85-81 loss at Marquette as a 2-point underdog on Saturday. This Creighton team has been outstanding in bounce-back situations as they have covered the point spread in 27 of their last 37 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games after a loss on the road. Additionally, the Bluejays have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 27 games after a point spread setback. And in their last 19 games after allowing at least 80 points, Creighton has covered the point spread 14 times. They will be looking to avenge an 85-71 loss to the Friars in their gym back on January 20th — and they have covered the point spread in a decisive 66 of their last 104 games when looking to avenge a loss on the road. The Bluejays have also covered the point spread in 28 of their last 43 games as the favorite.

Providence (19-12) has won two of their last three games with their 61-57 win over St. John’s last Saturday as a 6-point favorite. The Friars have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a win on their home court. Providence limited the Red Storm to just a 41.5% field goal percentage in that game which was their best defensive effort in their last eleven games. Interestingly the Friars have failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 66 of their last 99 games after a game where 125 or fewer combined points were scored. Moving forward, Providence has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after winning two of their last three games. And in their last 16 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range, the Friars have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of these contests. 10* CBB Providence-Marquette FS1 Special with the Creighton Bluejays (696) minus the points versus the Providence Friars (695). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Memphis Tigers (672) minus the points versus the South Florida Bulls (671). South Florida (10-21) registered their second-straight upset victory last Sunday with their 65-54 win over SMU as an 8.5-point underdog. That came on the heels of their 75-51 upset win over these same Tigers back on March 1st as a 13.5-point underdog. We had the Bulls in that contest with Memphis who were in a fantastic “play-against” situation — but we will fade South Florida in this quick rematch. The Bulls have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games after at least two straight point spread victory. Additionally, South Florida has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after a point spread win. This remains a team that is just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 11 games played on a neutral court, the Bulls have failed to cover the point spread 8 times.

Memphis (19-12) has won five of their last six games with their 90-70 blowout win over East Carolina on Sunday as a 14-point favorite. The Tigers have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a win over a conference rival — and they have covered then point spread in 3 of their last 4 games off a win on their home court against a team from the American Athletic Conference. Furthermore, Memphis has covered the point spread in 3 straight games off a win at home where they scored at least 85 points. And while the Tigers have covered the point spread in five of their last six games, they have then covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. Lastly, Memphis has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games when avenging a loss as a home favorite laying at least 7 points. 20* CBB South Florida-Memphis ESPNU Special with the Memphis Tigers (672) minus the points versus the South Florida Bulls (671). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Florida Atlantic Owls (619) plus the points versus the UAB Blazers (620). UAB (19-12) probably played their best game of the season last Saturday when they upset Western Kentucky by a 101-73 score as a 1-point underdog. The Blazers held the Hilltoppers to just a 42.9% shooting percentage which was impressive — but they also made a sizzling 61.7% of their shots from the field which was their best shooting performance of the season. Now as a double-digit favorite against a team they destroyed by a 75-44 score back on January 4th, it would not be the first time that a team in this situation did not bring their proverbial “A-Game.” As it is, UAB has failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 18 games after a game where they made at least 57% of their shots while holding their opponents to no better than a 43% shooting mark. The Blazers have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a win by at least 20 points. Additionally, UAB has failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 14 games hitting the century mark in points — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Blazers have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games when playing on a neutral court.

Florida Atlantic (12-18) has lost two straight games — as well as seven of their last nine contests — with their 85-78 upset loss at Charlotte last Saturday as a 3-point favorite. The Owls had held their previous three opponents to no better than a 38.7% shooting percentage before allowing the 49ers to make 44.4% of their shots. Florida Atlantic should get back to playing their stingy defense that ranked 3rd in Conference USA in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Owls have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 85 points in their last game. FAU is also 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games artery a point spread loss. Additionally, the Owls have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after losing five or six of their last seven contests. FAU will be motivated with revenge after losing to the Blazers by a 75-44 score. The Owls have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when attempting to avenge a loss where they failed to score more than 60 points. Lastly, FAU has covered the point spread in a decisive 54 of their last 88 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-80% range. 25* CBB Conference USA Underdog of the Year with the Florida Atlantic Owls (619) plus the points versus the UAB Blazers (620). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Iowa State Cyclones (627) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (628). Iowa State (13-17) limps into the Big 12 Conference Tournament having lost six straight games with an ugly 81-60 loss in Oklahoma on Saturday as a 10.5-point underdog. The Cyclones endured their worst shooting game of the season in that contest as they made only 32.3% of their shots in that loss. Look for Iowa State to bounce-back with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by at least 20 points. And while the Cyclones have failed to cover the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Now this team travels to Kansas City for the neutral court for this tournament — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing on a neutral court as an an underdog of 6 points or less. Iowa State will also be motivated with revenge after getting swept by the Longhorns this season after falling to them for a second time back on January 22nd by a 73-57 score. The Cyclones have covered the point spread in 51 of their last 82 games when playing with revenge.

Texas (18-13) has won two of their last three games with their 87-79 upset win over West Virginia on Saturday as a 5.5-point underdog. The Longhorns were on fire with their shooting in that game as they made 56.9% of their shots which was their best offensive performance of the season. But this Texas team allowed the Mountaineers to score 42 points in the first-half on the heels of allowing 45 points in the first-half against Kansas in their previous contest. The Longhorns have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games are allowing at least 40 points in the first-half in two straight games. Additionally, Texas has failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 24 games in the opening round of a tournament. And in their last 17 games played on a neutral court, the Longhorns are just 5-11-1 ATS. 10* CBB Iowa State-Texas ESPNU Special with the Iowa State Cyclones (627) plus the points versus the Texas Longhorns (628). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Washington Huskies (602) plus the point(s) versus the Oregon State Beavers (601). Washington (20-11) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 72-64 loss to Oregon as a 3-point underdog. The Huskies made only 38.6% of their shots in that game which was their worst offensive effort in their last seven games. Look for Washington to bounce-back as they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they are also 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Huskies have covered the point spread in 6 straight road games after a point spread loss. Now they travel to T-Mobile Arena down the street on the Las Vegas strip — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when playing on a neutral court.

Oregon State (15-15) has won two of their last three games with their blowout 92-67 win at Washington State last Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. A letdown is likely for this Beavers team as they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win. Oregon State has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Beavers have failed to cover the point spread 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 39-8-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Washington Huskies (602) plus the point(s) versus the Oregon State Beavers (601). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the UL-Monroe Warhawks (590) minus the points versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (589). UL-Monroe (15-14) has lost two of their last three games entering the Sun Belt Conference Tournament after an upset lose to this Red Wolves team by an 83-79 score despite being a 7.5-point favorite on Saturday. Look for the Warhawks to exact their revenge tonight with this game being playing in the New Orleans Superdome in the Big Easy. UL-Monroe has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after an upset loss at home — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games after an upset loss to a conference rival. Additionally, the Warhawks have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after a point spread loss. And while this team has failed to cover the point spread in two straight games, UL-Monroe has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after suffering two straight point spread losses. These Warhawks have raised their level of play in the second-half of the season by winning eight of their last eleven games. The insertion of freshman guard Michael Ertel jumpstarted this group and completed two dynamic wing players in Travis Munnings and Sam McDaniel. This team can score with of their peers in the Sun Belt Conference — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after a game where both teams scored at least 75 points. They also have covered the point spread in 30 of their last 43 games after a game where at least 155 combined points were scored. This will be a very motivated Warhawks team as they lost both their games with the Red Wolves this season. But UL-Monroe has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 13 games when playing with revenge — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games when playing with double revenge.

Arkansas State (11-20) had their best offensive performance in their last eighteen contests by making 52.7% of their shots with their win over the Warhawks on Saturday. They were also on fire from behind the arc by making 11 of their 20 shots from 3-point land. That was why they were able to outlast UL-Monroe in that scoring fest — but that is not something that will likely repeat itself tonight. Head coach Keith Richard typically has his UL-Monroe teams play intense defense: six of their previous seven opponents had not shot better than 44.8% from the field before the Red Wolves went off on them. But Arkansas State shoots only 43% from the field away from home which includes a 32.4% mark from downtown. But the defensive struggles for the Red Wolves will likely continue after allowing the Warhawks to make 50.9% of their shots. Arkansas State is last in the Sub Belt in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while six of their last eight opponents have made at last 50.9% of their shots. A letdown is very likely for this team that has suffered offseason turmoil regarding internal discipline which compelled Mike Balado to suspend some of his players including the team’s most talented players in Deven Simms. The Red Wolves have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after an upset loss to a conference rival. Arkansas State has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win over a conference rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread win. Additionally, the Red Wolves have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 29 games played on a neutral court — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Frankly, Arkansas State is looking to build the right chemistry for the future while UL-Monroe still has aspirations that they can make a run in this tournament in the Crescent City. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Tournament Game of the Year with the UL-Monroe Warhawks (590) minus the points versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (589). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Georgia Bulldogs (622) minus the point(s) versus the Vanderbilt Commodores (621). Georgia (16-14) has lost two straight games after their 66-61 loss at Tennessee last Saturday as an 8.5-point underdog. But the Bulldogs should bounce-back with the clean slate of the SEC Tournament. Georgia has rebounded to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 38 games after a straight-up loss — and this includes covering the point spread in five of their last seven games after a loss. The Bulldogs have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 11 road games after a straight-up loss. Now they have an opportunity to exact some revenge from an 81-66 loss to the Commodores back on February 7th. Georgia has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games on the road when avenging a loss to their opponent — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight road games when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 75 points.

Vanderbilt (12-19) snapped their three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 82-69 upset win at Ole Miss as a 3-point underdog. The Commodores played one of their best games of the season in the win. They shot 52.7% from the field which was their best offensive performance in their last seven games — and they held the Rebels to just 42.6% from the field which was their best defensive effort in their last sixteen contests. But that strong game likely sets up this Vanderbilt team for a letdown as they have failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 30 games after a double-digit upset win. The Commodores have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after losing two of their last three games. Now this team goes on the road to the neutral court in St. Louis — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games as an underdog or pick ‘em on a neutral court. Vanderbilt has also failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, the Commodores have failed to cover the point spread 5 times. 20* CBB Wednesday Night Discounted Deal with the Georgia Bulldogs (622) minus the point(s) versus the Vanderbilt Commodores (621). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Florida International Panthers (614) plus the point(s) versus the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (613). FIU (14-17) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 79-53 loss at Old Dominion as a 15-point underdog. The Panthers endured their worst shooting effort of the season by making only 27.9% of their shots — and they also played their worst defensive game over their last five contests by allowing the Monarchs to make 56.4% of their shots. Look for FIU to bounce-back with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after a double-digit loss to a conference rival. Additionally, the Panthers have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread setback. FIU has also covered the point spread in 6 straight road games after a double-digit loss. The Panthers were only 2 of 22 from behind the arc in that game for an ugly 9.1% mark — but they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after a game where they failed to make more than 20% of their 3-point shots. And while that game finished just below the 134.5 point total, they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a game that finished Under the Total. Moving forward, FIU has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after winning two of their last three games.

Southern Miss (14-17) snapped their four-game losing streak last Saturday with their 72-64 upset win over Louisiana Tech as a 2.5-point underdog. The Golden Eagles made 52.1% of their shots which was their best offensive effort in their last seven games. But Southern Miss has then failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 36 games are an upset loss to a conference rival. The Golden Eagles have also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 18 road games after an upset win. Now this team goes on the road to Frisco, Texas where the Conference USA Tournament is being held — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their lsat 13 games on a neutral court with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. 20* CBB Wednesday Night Discounted Deal with the Florida International Panthers (614) plus the point(s) versus the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (613). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Colorado State Rams (593) plus the points versus the Utah State Aggies (594). Colorado State (11-20) has lost four straight games entering the Mountain West Conference Tournament after their ugly 108-87 loss to New Mexico back on February 28th. The time off should help this team regroup and refocus after a tumultuous season which saw head coach Larry Eustachy leave the program amidst a controversy that saw them coached by two different interim head coaches. This team is still playing hard for current head coach Jace Earl — they were down by only 4 points with two minutes on the road against the best team in the conference in Nevada in their previous game before their subpar effort against the Lobos. The opportunity for a reset on their season for this conference tournament should be a relief for this team. New Mexico made 60.7% of their shots in their last game which was the best any team has shot against them all season. The Rams made 50% of their shots themselves but just got overwhelmed an opponent that was not missing their shots. Look for Colorado State to bounce-back as they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a loss by at least 20 points. They have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after a loss to a conference rival. And while the Rams have not covered the point spread in four of their last six games, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Colorado State has the type of team that can play well on a neutral court as they rank 3rd in the MWC by pulling down 31.1% of their missed shots. The Rams rebounded a dominant 37.5% of their missed shots in their 84-75 win over the Aggies back on January 10th in the only meetings between these two teams this season. Utah State is vulnerable in this area again this afternoon as they rank just 6th in the MWC by allowing their opponents to rebound 27.1% of their missed shots.

Utah State (15-16) snapped their four-game losing streak last Saturday with their 79-67 loss to UNLV as a 1.5-point underdog. But the Aggies have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after a point spread win. And while that game finished well below the 155 point total, Utah State has then failed to cover the point spread in 15 of their last 20 road games after a game that finished Under the Total. Furthermore, this Aggies team has not been reliable in revenge situations. They have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 opportunities to exact revenge — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games when avenging a loss where they surrendered at least 75 points. Lastly, Utah State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 71-27 combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Wednesday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Colorado State Rams (593) plus the points versus the Utah State Aggies (594). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (592) minus the points versus the Air Force Falcons (591). UNLV (19-12) limps into the Mountain West Conference Tournament having lost five straight games after their 79-67 upset loss at Utah State last Saturday. The Runnin’ Rebels allowed the Aggies to make 50% of their shots — and they have seen three of their last four opponents make at least 50% of their shots. But an encouraging development in that game was that UNLV made 53.1% of their shots which might be encouraging in this game. They Rebels sore 86.6 PPG on their home court while making 49.6% of their shots — and they do have the advantage of hosting this tournament in their Thomas & Mack Center. The blank slate of the conference tournament should help the emotional state of this team. UNLV has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games in tournament play. And while that loss to Utah State came after an embarrassing 26-point loss to Nevada, this team has rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after suffering two straight double-digit losses. Look for UNLV to get off to a better start on their home court after going into halftime with a 42-30 deficit to the Aggies after being down 54-28 to the Wolf Pack at the half. The Runnin’ Rebels have cord the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after trailing by double-digits in their last two games at halftime. This is a very favorable matchup for UNLV as I will discuss shortly. For starters, the Falcons only make 41.7% of their shots this season — and the Runnin’ Rebels have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games against teams that do not make more than 42% of their shots.

Air Force (12-18) snapped a two-game losing streak on Saturday with their 83-61 win over San Jose State — but a letdown is likely for this team. Not only have they then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a double-digit win but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a win by at least 20 points. The Falcons raced out to a 50-28 lead at halftime against the hapless Spartans — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after scoring at least 45 first-half points in their last game. Moving forward, Air Force faces a significant situational disadvantage in this game. For starters, the Falcons had to play four games over an eight-day span last week given the need to play a rescheduled game with Fresno State that was cancelled in January. Now this team has to travel to Vegas to play at our local time of 11 AM. That is a bad beat for a team that is just 3-11 on the road with an average losing margin of -13.5 PPG. The Falcons make only 37.2% of their shots on the road and I do expect them to struggle on the offensive end of the court. Air Force opened as an 11.5-point underdog but has been bet down to the +9 to +9.5 point range — and that was enough for me to pull the trigger on this situation this morning. The Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road as an underdog. Lastly, Air Force has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. 10* CBB Wednesday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (592) minus the points versus the Air Force Falcons (591). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Portland State Vikings (536) minus the points versus the Sacramento State Hornets (535). Portland State (19-12) has won four of their last five games with their 97-90 win over North Dakota on Saturday as an 8.5-point favorite. Look for the Vikings to build off the momentum of that victory as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a win on their home court — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a home victory where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. They also have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. This team finished 9-9 in the Big Sky Conference — and they will be at full attention against this Hornets team who earned two of their four conference wins this season against them. The Vikings to shoot the basketball in both these previous games this season — they made only 41.7% in the first meeting between these two teams back on December 30th before making just 34.4% of their shots in the rematch at home where they lost by a 71-61 score. Sacramento State has allowed their last five opponents to make 47.8% of their shots — so Portland State has a good chance to shoot better tonight. The Hornets made 48.9% of their shots in that February meeting and have made a sizzling 55% of their (100) shots from the field against the Vikings this season. But the Regression Gods will likely make an appearance tonight as Sacramento State is shooting only 40.9% on the road this year. Portland State should dominate the offensive glass once again tonight after pulling down 38.3% and 34.1% of their missed shots in the first two meetings between these two teams. The Vikings led the Big Sky by rebounding 35.8% of their missed shots — and the Hornets are last in the conference by allowing their opponents to rebound 28.8% of their missed shots. Moving forward, Portland State has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games played on a neutral court. The Vikings have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games with the Total set in the 150 to 159.5 point range.

Sacramento State (7-24) snapped a nine-game losing streak on Saturday with their 88-77 upset win over Northern Colorado as a 7.5-point underdog. The Hornets enjoyed a momentous Senior Day in that contest but they are likely ripe for a letdown now as they have failed to cover the point spread in 24 of their last 34 games after a double-digit win against a Big Sky rival. Additionally, Sacramento State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread victory. Lastly, the Hornets have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after losing two of their last three games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after losing five or six of their last seven games. 25* CBB Big Sky Conference Tournament Game of the Year with the Portland State Vikings (536) minus the points versus the Sacramento State Hornets (535). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the BYU Cougars (527) plus the points versus the Gonzaga Bulldogs (528). Gonzaga (29-4) was absolutely dominant last night as they made 16 of their first 20 shots en route to a scorching 64.3% shooting percentage in the first-half which overwhelmed San Francisco in their eventual 88-60 victory. The Bulldogs cooled off with their shooting but still ended up making 53.3% of their shots. They held the Dons to a 36.7% opponent’s field goal percentage in what was their best defensive effort in their last five games. But I am expecting a letdown in this game for the National Championship runner-ups in a game that they do not need in qualifying for the Big Dance. Gonzaga is 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games after a win by at least 20 points. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after a straight-up win — and they are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games are a win by at least 20 points. And while this Gonzaga team actually shot their lowest field goal percentage last night as they have in their last three games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after making at least 47% of their shots in three straight games. This Bulldogs team is usually a bit overvalued relative to their point spread expectations. They have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 11 games on a neutral court as a favorite in the 9.5 to 12 point range, Gonzaga has failed to cover the point spread 7 times.

BYU (24-9) has won two straight games — as well as six of their last eight contests — with their 85-72 upset win over Saint Mary’s last night as a 5-point underdog. The Cougars got 32 points from Yoeli Childs and another 25 points from Elijah Bryant to offer this team a dangerous 1-2 punch on offense. This BYU team was very efficient against an outside Gaels’ defensive unit as they generated 20 assists while turning the ball over 6 times. Look for the Cougars to build off their momentum and being a very dangerous underdog tonight. They have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games after winning five or six of their last seven contests. They have also covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after scoring at least 85 points in their last game. BYU pulled down only 24 rebounds last night after only pulling down 27 and 29 boards in their previous two games — but for this team that likes to play disciplined on offense while sacrificing offensive boards for transition defense, fewer rebounds tends to be a sign of them playing well in terms of making shots while gearing the tempo to their style of play. The Cougars have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after not rebounding more than 31 boards in three straight games. BYU is doing a great job of protecting the basketball as they have committed more than 8 turnovers in three straight games. Not only have the Cougars covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after not turning the ball over more than 8 times in their last game but they have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after not committing more than 11 turnovers in each of their last two contests. Another thing this BYU team does very well is protect their defensive glass as they rank 7th in the nation by limiting their opponents to rebounding only 22.5% of their missed shots — and that number improved to a mere 20.9% rate in conference play. This will likely make Gonzaga uncomfortable as they led the West Coast Conference by rebounding 32.8% of their missed shots. Lastly, the Cougars were swept by the Bulldogs in their two meetings this year after losing by a 79-65 score at home back on February 24th — but BYU has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 15 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they surrendered at least 75 points. 25* CBB West Coast Conference Game of the Year with the BYU Cougars (527) plus the points versus the Gonzaga Bulldogs (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Idaho State Bengals (534) minus the points versus the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (533). Idaho State (14-15) has lost two of their last three games with their 75-64 loss at Montana last Saturday as a 14.5-point underdog. The Bengals shot just 46.6% from the field in that game which was their worst offensive effort in their last four games. This Idaho State team has been very good in bounce-back situations as they have rebounded from a straight-up loss in 7 straight games — and they have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a loss to a Big Sky rival. Additionally, the Bengals have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after losing two of their last three games. Idaho State usually takes care of business against lower teams as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. The Bengals have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games as the favorite. This team should be very motivated to avenge an 84-80 loss at Southern Utah back on February 3rd — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent.

Southern Utah (11-18) has lost two straight games — as well as five of their last six contests — with their 78-76 loss at Idaho on Saturday as a 12.5-point underdog. The Thunderbirds lost that game despite making 51.7% of their shots which was their best offensive effort of their last thirteen contests. But this Southern Utah team has then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. Additionally, the Thunderbirds have only distributed 9 and 10 assists in each of their last two games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 30 games after failing to dish out more than 12 assists in two straight games. Now Southern Utah stays on the road — and they are just 2-13 away from home with an average losing margin of -13.2 PPG. They make just 41.4% of their shots on the road. That is not a good sign for a team that is just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games played on a neutral court. Lastly, in their last 5 meetings with the Bengals, they have failed to cover the point spread 4 times. 10* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Idaho State Bengals (534) minus the points versus the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (533). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the San Francisco Dons (731) plus the points versus the Gonzaga Bulldogs (732). San Francisco (18-14) has won four of their last five games with their 71-70 win over Pacific on Saturday. The Dons pulled that game as a 3-point favorite because of their strong defensive end of the court as they held the Tigers to host a 42.9% shooting percentage. San Francisco is dangerous despite being a double-digit dog as they have already pulled an upset against Saint Mary’s this season. They lost to these Bulldogs by an 82-73 score back on January 27th — but they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing with revenge. Additionally, the Dons have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, San Francisco has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games when playing with one day or less of rest between games. The Dons have also covered the point spread in 5 straight games when playing on a neutral court with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher, San Francisco has covered the point spread in 4 of these games.

Gonzaga (28-4) has won twelve straight games with their 83-69 win over Loyola-Marymount as a 19-point favorite on Saturday. The Bulldogs shot a red hot 61.2% from the field in that game — their second best shooting effort all season — after making 55.4% of their shots in their previous game against BYU. But this Gonzaga team has failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 19 games after making at least 55% of their shots in two straight contests. The Bulldogs have also failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after a double-digit victory. Additionally, Gonzaga has failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Lastly, in their last 33 games played on a neutral court as a favorite laying at least 12.5 points, Gonzaga has failed to cover the point spread 22 times. 10* CBB Monday Late Show Bailout with the San Francisco Dons (731) plus the points versus the Gonzaga Bulldogs (732). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Northeastern Huskies (730) minus the points versus the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (729). Northeastern (22-9) is the hottest team in the Colonial Athletic Association as they have won eight straight games with their 74-50 blowout win over Delaware yesterday. The Huskies made 51.9% of their shots in a ho-hum effort for them when considering that they have shot better than that in five of their last eight contests. But perhaps the most encouraging aspect regarding that win over the Blue Hens was that they held them to just a 36% shooting percentage. Look for Northeastern to build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Huskies have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a win by at least 20 points. Additionally, Northeastern has covered the point spread in 5 of the last 7 games after recording at least five straight wins — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after registering at least six straight victories. And in their last 4 games played on a neutral court as a favorite or pick ‘em, the Huskies have covered then point spread 3 times.

UNC-Wilmington (11-20) pulled off their second straight upset win yesterday when they shocked Hofstra by a 93-88 score despite being a 6-point underdog. The two-time defending CAA champions are led by Devontae Cacok who is the only player in the nation that averages more than 13 Rebounds-Per-Game. Considering that this team took the Huskies to overtime twice this season, they may look like a dangerous underdog tonight in this spot. But I see them being overwhelmed by a team that is both very familiar with them yet who will not dare look past them given those two close results. Northeastern has done a nice job in limiting the Seahawks’ typical edge on the glass. UNC-Wilmington is 29th in the nation by pulling down 34.0% of their missed shots — but they only rebounded 29.2% and 27.5% of their missed shots in their two meetings with the Huskies who rank 47th in the nation by limiting their opponents to just a 25.5% offensive rebounding rate. The Seahawks were buoyed yesterday by making 49.2% of their shots — but regression is likely tonight when considering that was their shooting performance in their last seventeen games. They made 10 of their 25 shots (40%) from behind the arc against the Dragons but are still shooting just 34.7% from the 3-point line this season. This team is also making only 42.2% of their shots when on the road. UNC-Wilmington has then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 85 points in their last contest. This team may be playing with fire by getting involved in these higher-scoring affairs as they have give up at least 82 points in four straight games. The Seahawks have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after allowing at least 85 points in their last contest. And while they have covered the point spread in six of their last eight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 16 games after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. That second meeting between these two teams was the Huskies’ first win on this eight-game run they are on as they have raised their level of play down the stretch. Expect them to pull away from the Seahawks while dethroning the two-time CAA champs. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Tournament Game of the Year with the Northeastern Huskies (730) minus the points versus the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (729). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland State Vikings (723) and the Oakland Grizzlies (724). Cleveland State (11-22) pulled off their third straight upset victory on Saturday with their 89-80 shocking 89-80 win over tournament favorite Northern Kentucky by an 89-80 score despite being a 14-point underdog. The Vikings have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after an upset win over a conference rival. Cleveland State has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Vikings have played 5 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 85 points in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last contest. Additionally, Cleveland State has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored at least 80 points — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games after a game that finished Over the Total as their game with Norse finished well above that 140 point total. Despite that high scoring game, the Vikings are playing better on defense which explains why they are pulling off these upsets. Cleveland State has held their last five opponents to just a 40.0% shooting percentage. Moving forward, the Vikings have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

Oakland (19-13) looks to build off their 62-55 win over IUPUI yesterday as a 7.5-point favorite. The Grizzlies flexed their muscles on defense by holding the Jaguars to just a 37.7% shooting percentage in the win. Oakland has then played 7 straight games Under the Total after winning a game where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. Additionally, the Grizzlies have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while this Oakland team has failed to cover the point spread in nine of their last ten games, they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven contests. Moving forward, the Grizzlies have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 6 games against teams playing on a neutral field, the Under is 4-1-1. 25* CBB Horizon League Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland State Vikings (723) and the Oakland Grizzlies (724). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Michigan Wolverines (837) plus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (838). Michigan (27-7) has won eight straight games with their 75-64 win over Michigan State yesterday as a 5-point underdog. Look for the Wolverines to build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after winning at least three straight games against a conference rival. Additionally, Michigan has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. This Wolverines team is getting it done with defense as they now rank 6th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They held the Spartans potent offensive attack to just a 38.1% shooting percent. Michigan State went to halftime with only 29 points after Nebraska had just 24 points at the half against the Wolverines on Friday — and Michigan has then covered the point spread in 10 of the last 13 games after not allowing more than 30 points at halftime of their last two games. Moving forward, the Wolverines have covered the point spread in 6 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Michigan has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games as an underdog. And in their last 16 games played on a neutral court, the Wolverines are 12-3-1 ATS. Now the Wolverines have the opportunity to avenge two grueling losses to this Boilermakers team. After losing a 70-69 game at home back on January 9th, Michigan lost an epic scoring fest in West Lafayette on January 25th by a 92-88 score. The Wolverines have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games when avenging a same-season loss. They also have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 21 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road — and this includes covering the point spread in these last five situations.

Purdue (28-5) has won five straight games after their 78-70 win over Penn State yesterday. Hopefully, everyone grabbed our big Boilermakers play when the line was still -6 up to -7.5 as the line did keep moving past -8.5 which made the final two late 3-pointers by the Nittany Lions very unfortunate. Purdue has then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win. The Boilermakers made 52% of their shots in that game which was the fourth straight contest where they made at least 51.6% of their shots — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after making at least 47% of their shots in four straight contests. And while Purdue has only covered the point spread once in their last six contests, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of the last 7 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Furthermore, Purdue is just 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Lastly, in their last 7 games played on a neutral court, the Boilermakers have failed to cover the point spread 5 times. 20* CBB Michigan-Purdue CBS-TV Special with the Michigan Wolverines (837) plus the points versus the Purdue Boilermakers (838). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:50 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Purdue Boilermakers (638) minus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (637). Purdue (27-5) has bounced-back from a three-game losing streak last month by winning four straight games after they disposed of Rutgers yesterday by an 82-75 score. The Boilermakers may be a little under appreciated given that three-game slide — but it was a product of a grueling Big Ten schedule. Purdue lost a one possession game at home to Ohio State before traveling to Michigan State where they lost again by a single possession. They were then flat on the road in their third game in eight days against an improving young Wisconsin team (that lost by just 3 points to the Spartans yesterday). This remains an outstanding team that does many things quite well. Despite that losing streak, the Boilermakers still enjoyed the top Efficiency Margin in the Big Ten even with a more difficult schedule than Michigan State. They are 3rd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency while ranking 25th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Their offense can is nearly unstoppable with 7’2 center Isaac Hays a beast down low while being surrounded by four players that can all nail 3-point shots. The Boilermakers are 2nd in the nation by making 42.1% of their 3-point shots. In their victory over the Scarlet Knights yesterday, Purdue made 13 of their 30 shots from behind the arc for a 43.3% mark. The Boilermakers have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after making at least 13 shots from 3-point land in their last game. This offensive juggernaut has shot at least 51.4% from the field in each of their last three games. Not only has Purdue covered then point spread in 14 of their last 20 games after making at least 50% of their shots in two straight games but they have also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after making at least 50% of their shots in three straight games. Moving forward, the Boilermakers have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 31 games after winning four or five of their last six games. They have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games when playing with one day or less of rest. Furthermore, they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games on a neutral court with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. And in their last 11 games on a neutral court as a favorite laying 6.5 to 12 points, Purdue has covered the point spread 9 times. With a rising superstar guard in sophomore Carsen Edwards surrounded by four seniors, this tight-knit team has the makeup to win high-stakes contests.

Penn State (21-12) pulled their third straight upset against Ohio State yesterday in their 69-68 victory over the Buckeyes as a 5.5-point favorite. The Nittany Lions made only 37.9% of their shots but made it count from behind the arc where they made 9 of 19 shots for a sizzling 47.4% mark. But that win may speak more to some of the limitations of that Ohio State team than it does about Penn State. This Nittany Lions team is solid with no glaring weaknesses — but they also lack significant strengths which they will need to defeat elite opponents. They finished 7th in the Big Ten in both Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They suffered a major blow towards the end of the conference season when their best interior defender in Mike Watkins suffered a season-ending injury. Penn State will miss his bulking 6’9 frame against this outstanding Purdue offense. Another area of concern for this Nittany Lions regards the points they give up at the charity stripe. Penn State was 13th in the Big Ten with a free throw attempt to field goal attempt ratio of 27.0%. They also ranked 12th in the conference with an opponent’s FTA/FGA ratio of 34.7% which is a dangerous proposition when facing this Boilermakers team that makes 74.2% of their free throws. The Nittany Lions did play the Boilermakers close in their first meeting back on February 18th when Purdue pulled out a 76-73 victory — but they have then failed to cover point spread in 5 of their last 8 games when attempting to avenge a loss on the road. Lastly, while Penn State has covered the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven contests. 25* CBB Big Ten Game of the Year with the Purdue Boilermakers (638) minus the points versus the Penn State Nittany Lions (637). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Michigan State Spartans (636) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (635). Michigan State (29-3) has won thirteen games in a row after their 63-60 win over Wisconsin yesterday in the Quarterfinals of the Big Ten Tournament. The Spartans survived that game despite being a 12-point favorite against the Badgers. They made only 42.9% of their shots — including just 5 of their 16 shots from behind the arc (31.2%) which was their worst offensive performance in their last nine games. Michigan State also allowed Wisconsin to make 45.6% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last six games. We had a big play on that Under yesterday — and I noted in the Report that this team is perhaps the best defensive unit that head coach Tom Izzo has enjoyed in his tenure with this program. They lead the nation with an opponent’s Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 42.3%. Even better, Sparty has been absolutely filthy in defending the rim and their opponent’s field goal percentage of 38.1% inside the arc is the second lowest mark for any team in the last fifteen seasons. As usual, this Izzo team crashes the glass as they rank 5th in the nation by pulling down 36.7% of their shots while also ranking 26th in the nation by holding their opponents to rebounding only 24.3% of their missed shots. Michigan State has out rebounded their last three opponents by at least +12 Rebounds Per Game — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 20 games after outrebouding their last two opponents by at least 10 boards per game. This team performs well in these tournament situations as well as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when playing their second game in three days. The Spartans have only covered the point spread once in their last four contests — but they have then covered the point spread in a decisive 62 of their last 100 contests under Izzo after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Furthermore, Michigan State will be fueled by revenging after suffering two straight losses to their in-state rival when they lost at home to the Wolverines by a 82-72 score back on January 13th despite being a 9.5-point favorite. Sparty has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games when avenging an upset loss to their opponent.

Michigan (26-7) reached the Semifinals of the Big Ten Tournament with their triumphant 77-58 win over Nebraska as a 5-point favorite yesterday. This was a big win for the Wolverines as it avenged their worst loss of the season which was a 20-point loss to the Cornhuskers back in mid-January. After making only three 3-pointers on Thursday against Iowa, Michigan responded yesterday by torching the nets by making 11 of their 23 shots (47.8%) from behind the arc. Don’t be surprised if the Wolverines suffer a small emotional letdown in this game after avenging that loss to Nebraska. This team is the defending Big Ten Tourney Champions from last year who have defeated the Spartans two straight times — and they are securely one of the at-large teams for the NCAA Tournament next week. They have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games after winning at least twelve of their last fifteen contests. Furthermore, this team has an Achilles’ heel which is their free throw shooting. They are making only 65.5% of their free throws which is 332nd in the nation an an unusual characteristic for a John Beilein-coached team. Perhaps even worse, their starting point guard Xavier Simpson and their highest usage player in Charles Matthews are making only 51.5% and 54.3% of their free throws — and because both players figure so prominently in their offense, they are both vulnerable to strategic fouling in expected close games. Lastly, this Michigan team plays outstanding defense as they are holding their opponents to just 63.5 PPG — but the Spartans have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after 15 games into the season against teams that do not allow more than 64 PPG. 10* CBB Michigan-Michigan State CBS-TV Special with the Michigan State Spartans (636) minus the points versus the Michigan Wolverines (635). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Florida State Seminoles (546) minus the points versus the Boston College Eagles (545). Florida State (19-10) has lost two straight games after their 76-63 loss at Clemson on Wednesday as a 3-point underdog. That setback came on the heels of their 92-72 loss at NC State last Saturday. Now the Seminoles return home where they are 12-2 this season with an average winning margin of +14.4 PPG. They are scoring a robust 87.6 PPG on their home court while shooting 51.6% from the field in those games — and they are holding their visitors to just a 40.6% shooting percentage. Florida State has covered the point spread in 18 of their last 25 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Additionally, the Seminoles have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 25 games after suffering two straight losses on the road. And in their last 26 games after enduring two straight losses by at least 10 points, Florida State has covered the point spread 22 times. They will also be motivated by revenge from an 81-75 loss on the road to the Eagles back on January 15th — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when avenging loss on the road to their opponent.

Boston College (17-13) snapped their three-game losing streak on Monday with their 85-70 win over Syracuse as a 2-point favorite. The Eagles played their best defensive contest in their last eleven games by holding the Orange to just a 38% shooting percentage. But while BC has covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after covering two of their last three games. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 3-10 while making only 43.8% of their shots. The Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games on the road. Boston College has also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 15 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Lastly, in the last 6 trips to Tallahassee, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of these contests. 10* CBB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Florida State Seminoles (546) minus the points versus the Boston College Eagles (545). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Illinois State Redbirds (862) minus the point(s) versus the Indiana State Sycamores (861). Illinois State (16-14) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Saturday with their 68-61 loss at Loyola-Illinois as a 12-point underdog. The Redbirds should bounce-back with a strong effort tonight as they are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, Illinois State has covered the point spread in 23 of their last 32 games after winning two of their last three games. This team suffered some key injuries this season which contributed to their disappointing 10-8 record in Missouri Valley Conference play — but they have recently seen the return of two injured starters in Phily Fayne and Keyshawn Evans. On paper, this team is as talented as the Loyola-Ill team that has received much more attention this season. They have a Player of the Year candidate in Milik Yarbrough. This team is steady on both ends of the court with offensive and defensive effective field goal percentages that each rank 3rd nest in the conference. This Illinois State team is also 2nd in the Missouri Valley by making 51.2% of their shots inside the arc. The Redbirds are also tops in the conference by holding their opponents to just a 31.3% shooting mark from 3-point land. They will be motivated with revenge tonight after losing by an ugly 84-54 score to these Sycamores back on January 20th. But the Redbirds have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 opportunities to avenge a loss to their opponents. Furthermore, Illinois State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when playing on a neutral court.

Indiana State (13-17) has won two straight games with their 66-64 win at Bradley as a 5.5-point underdog last Saturday. The Sycamores have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 17 games after a point spread win. And while this Indiana State team has only allowed 64 and 53 points in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight road games after not allowing more than 65 points in two straight games. This team made only 37.7% of their shots in their win over the Braves — and their 37.8% shooting percentage over their last five games is red flag for them now in Arch Madness. They are 301st in the nation by making only 46.5% of their shots inside the arc. They also give their opponents too many free throw attempts as they are 326th in the nation with an opponent’s free throw attempt to field goal attempt ratio of 42.2% — so this team simply does not make things easier for themselves. The Sycamores have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Indiana State has also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 5 games played on a neutral court, the Sycamores are just 0-4-1 ATS. Lastly, this Indiana State team has covered the point spread just once in their last six games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in a decisive 42 of their last 58 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least four of their last five games. 25* CBB Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Year with the Illinois State Redbirds (862) minus the point(s) versus the Indiana State Sycamores (861). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Miami (OH) Redhawks (838) minus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (837). Miami (OH) (15-15) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 90-83 loss at Kent State as a 3-point underdog. The Redhawks should bounce-back with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a point spread setback. Additionally, while that game fished well above the 138.5 point total for that contest, Miami has then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Now this team returns home where they are 8-4 with an average winning margin of +12.6 PPG. This the 3rd best team in the Mid-American Conference when it comes to Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they hold their visitors to just a 41.9% shooting percentage. The Redhawks have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They will be motivated by revenge tonight after losing to the Bobcats on the road by a 92-87 score back on February 17th. Not only has this Miami covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games when playing with same-season revenge but they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when looking to avenge a loss where they allowed at least 75 points.

Ohio (13-16) has won three of their last four games with their 75-59 win over Bowling Green on Tuesday as a 4-point favorite. The Bobcats held the Falcons to just a 39.3% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last five games. But Ohio has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Bobcats have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 road games after a double-digit victory over a conference rival. Ohio has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 road games after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game — so a letdown from this team is likely. This team struggles on the road where they are just 2-11 with an average losing margin of -9.7 PPG. This team made 52.2% of their shots in their win against the Redhawks two weeks ago. But this is a team that usually struggles on offense as they are last in the Mid-American Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. On the road, Ohio makes just 42.6% of their shots. They rely on making 3s as they are 2nd in the conference by making 39.1% of their shots — but this Miami team is 2nd in the MAC with an opponent’s 3-point field goal percentage of just 33.0%. Even worse for the Bobcats, the Redhawks limit their visitors to a mere 28.0% shooting percentage from behind the arc. Ohio has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they are only 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Game of the Year with the Miami (OH) Redhawks (838) minus the points versus the Ohio Bobcats (837). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Bowling Green Falcons (822) minus the points versus the Buffalo Bulls (821). Bowling Green (16-14) has lost four straight games after their 75-59 loss at Ohio as a 4-point underdog on Tuesday. That game finished well below the 151.5 point total — and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Additionally, this Falcons team has played their last two games Under the Total — and they have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after playing at least two straight Unders. Now this team returns home where they are 9-5. They have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on their home court. Additionally, Bowling Green has covered the point spread in 5 straight games against teams with a winning record. They will be motivated with revenge from a 95-82 loss to Buffalo back on February 16th — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when avenging a double-digit loss.

Buffalo (22-8) has won two straight games — as well as four of their last five contests — with their 80-68 win over Akron on Tuesday as a 14.5-point favorite The Bulls are then 0-5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a point spread win. Additionally, while this Buffalo team has won fifteen of their last eighteen games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after winning 15 of their last 20 games. Furthermore, the Bulls have failed to cover the point spread in five of their last six games — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 0-3-2 ATS. Moreso, Buffalo has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 road games as a favorite in the 6.5 to 12 point range — and this includes failing to cover four of their last five of these situations. The Bulls are also 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. Lastly, while Buffalo has shot at least 50% of their shots in nine straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after making at least 50% of their shots for three straight games. 10* CBB Friday Night Discounted Deal with the Bowling Green Falcons (822) minus the points versus the Buffalo Bulls (821). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Michigan Wolverines (849) minus the points versus the Nebraska Cornhuskers (850). Michigan (25-7) survived a 77-71 contest that required overtime yesterday against Iowa as a 9-point favorite. The Wolverines were ice cold from 3-point range as they made only 3 of 19 (15.8%) of their 3-point shots. They also saw their top two players Moritz Wagner and Muhammad-Ali Abdur Rahkman foul out on a host of calls that were rather shaky. Yet the Wolverines move on with a clean slate this afternoon with their nerves settled with a game under their belts at the fabled Madison Square Garden. Expect a much better performance from this team that was 4th in the Big Ten by making 37.3% of their 3-pointers this season. Michigan has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Wolverines have covered the point spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 14 games played on a neutral court, Michigan is 10-3-1 ATS. They will be very motivated in this game as they look to avenge a 72-52 loss at Nebraska back on January 18th. That was their worst game of the season in what was in large part a product a brutal schedule where they were playing their third game in six days after a gauntlet that started with a win at Michigan State followed by rallying from a 14-point first-half deficit. The Wolverines also struggled with the Cornhuskers defensive strategy that relied on their bigs quickly switching off picks to stymie their big men like Wagner playing on the perimeter. Expect head coach John Beilein to make the appropriate adjustments to Nebraska’s willingness to change their man-to-man defenders to create good shot opportunities. As it is, Michigan has covered the point spread in 6 straight games when playing with same-season revenge. The Wolverines have also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games when avenging a loss on the road to their opponents.

Nebraska (22-9) has won eight of their last nine games with their 76-64 win against Penn State on Sunday as a 3-point favorite. That was a big game for the Cornhuskers team as it secured the 4th seed in this tournament and a bye into the Quarterfinals of the Big Ten Tournament. But this team may suffer an emotional letdown after that strong effort against the Nittany Lions. They shot 49.1% from the field which was their best offensive effort in their last five games — and they held Penn State to just a 40.7% mark which was their best defensive effort in their last four contests. Nebraska enjoyed a 34-17 lead at halftime in that contest — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in their last 3 games after posting a halftime lead of at least 15 points. The pressure of this game may get to this Cornhuskers team as well as they must win this game — and then still beat Michigan State tomorrow — to secure a big to the NCAA Tournament given their lack of quality wins. They were much better at home where they were 16-1 this season with that line blemish being a 1-point loss to Kansas. But Nebraska was 6-8 on the road where they made just 40.5% of their shots. The Cornhuskers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing on a neutral court. Nebraska has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games in the month of March. And while these Cornhuskers have been favored in their last two games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after being a favorite in at least two straight games. 20* CBB Friday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Michigan Wolverines (849) minus the points versus the Nebraska Cornhuskers (850). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (847) and the Michigan State Spartans (848). Wisconsin (14-17) advanced to the Quarterfinals of the Big Ten Tournament yesterday afternoon with their 59-54 upset win over Maryland as a 2.5-point underdog. The Badgers won that game despite making just 36% of their shots. Wisconsin has won four of their last five games in large part because they have finally started limiting their turnovers. Not offering opponents fast break transition opportunities was a foundational principle for this program under head coach Bo Ryan as they finished in Top-Five nationally in limiting turnovers in the final seven seasons of his coaching tenure. But this Badgers’ team under head coach Greg Gard was turning the ball over in 20.7% of their possessions after their first four games in Big Ten play. This young Wisconsin team has improved significantly in this department as they have not turned the ball over more than 15.9% of their possessions in each of their last eight games. Protecting the basketball has helped the Badgers slow the tempo and grind games out. They have played 4 of their last 5 games in conference play Under the Total. Wisconsin will certainly try to shorten the game and limit the number of scoring possessions for the Spartans. Michigan State is outscoring their opponents by +17.5 PPG — and the Badgers have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +4.0 PPG. Wisconsin has also played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total as an underdog. Additionally, the Under is 12-3-2 in the Badgers’ last 17 games played on a neutral court. Furthermore, Wisconsin is playing with double-revenge this season after losing to Sparty twice this season — and they have played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total when facing a team that has beaten them in at least two straight games.

Michigan State (28-3) takes to the court again after their 68-63 win at this same Wisconsin team last Sunday in Madison as a 7.5-point favorite. The Spartans have then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing just their second game in a week. Additionally, Michigan State has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. This Tom Izzo team may very well be his best defensive team ever in his long career. They lead the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 42.0%. Furthermore, this team is absolutely filthy in protecting the rim as they are limiting their opponents to just a 37.8% shooting mark inside the arc which is the second lowest mark for any team in College Basketball over the last fifteen seasons. But this Spartans team can get stuck on offense if their superstar Miles Bridges can not get his offensive game going. Bridges has not scored more than 10 points in four of his last seven games — and Michigan State has played 6 of those 7 conference games Under the Total. Moving forward, the Spartans have played 28 of their last 42 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range. And while Sparty has only covered the point spread twice in their last eight games, they have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Lastly, Michigan State has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. 25* CBB Big Ten Conference Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Wisconsin Badgers (847) and the Michigan State Spartans (848). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oregon State Beavers (553) and the Washington Huskies (554). Oregon State (14-14) snapped their three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 79-75 win over Arizona State as a 2.5-point underdog. The Beavers made 52.8% of their shots in that game which was their best offensive effort in their last four contests. Oregon State has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory over a conference rival. Additionally, the Beavers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, while that game finished Over the 149.5-point Total, they have then played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. This Oregon State is one of the best defensive teams in the Pac-12 — they rank 4th in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, opponent’s effective field goal percentage and opponent’s 3-point percentage. But this Beavers team struggles on offense as they rank 8th in all three of those offensive categories as well. Oregon State makes only 43.2% of their shots on the road — but they do hold their home hosts to just a 42.8% shooting percentage. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Beavers’ last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall.

Washington (19-10) is the best team in the Pac-12 when it comes to Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, opponent’s effective field goal percentage and opponent’s 3-point field goal percentage. But this Huskies team ranks second to last on offense in all three of those categories. They enter this game having won two of their last three games with their 68-51 win at California as a 3-point favorite on Saturday. Washington has then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, this team has now played a decisive 23 of their last 28 games Under the Total against fellow Pac-12 opponents. They return home where they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Lastly, the Huskies are looking to avenge a 97-94 loss to Oregon State back on February 10th — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge. 25* CBB Pac-12 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oregon State Beavers (553) and the Washington Huskies (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the South Florida Bulls (541) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (542). Memphis (18-11) registered their fourth straight upset victory on Sunday when they stunned UConn on the road by an 83-79 score despite being a 5-point underdog. Now this team returns home where they find themselves in unfamiliar territory as a 13.5-point favorite. Tubby Smith’s team has only been asked to lay more points one time this season — that was their second game of the season way back on November 14th against Arkansas-Little Rock where they laid 14.5-points in what turned out to be a 70-62 victory for them. I like this Tigers team — but they are not reliable double-digit favorites right now. Memphis has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 home games laying at least 12.5 points. This team looks due for a big letdown in what they will likely see as an opportunity for a breather. The Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after covering the point spread in four of their last five games. Memphis has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after winning four or five of their last six games. The Tigers are playing higher scoring games for Smith with 162 and 176 combined points being scored in their last two games. But this team has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after playing two straight games where at least 155 combined points were scored. Additionally, Memphis has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall, the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread 4 times.

South Florida (8-21) has lost eight straight games after their 79-68 loss to Tulane on Saturday as a 6-point underdog. The Bulls have at least covered the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after dropping at least eight in a row. This is an ugly underdog when considering they have lost their last four games by at least the 11 points that they were beat by the Green Wave. But South Florida has covered the point spread in 15 of their last 24 games after losing at least two straight games by double-digits. They have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after losing three straight games by double-digits. And this team has covered the point spread in their last 3 games when riding a losing streak of at least four games where they lost all four by at least 10 points. Furthermore, the Bulls have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games as a road underdog getting 12.5 to 18 points. They are looking to avenge an 86-74 loss to the Tigers back on January 31st — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when avenging a loss where they surrendered at least 85 points. Lastly, in their last 7 trips to Memphis, South Florida has covered the point spread 5 times. 10* CBB Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the South Florida Bulls (541) plus the points versus the Memphis Tigers (542). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Tennessee State Tigers (768) minus the points versus the Eastern Illinois Panthers (767). Tennessee State (15-14) limps into the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament on a three-game losing streak after their lost by an 84-59 score at Belmont on Saturday as an 11.5-point underdog. The Tigers made only 36.1% of their shots in that contest which was their worst offensive effort in their last eighteen games. They also allowed the Bruins to make 56.6% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last twelve games. But conference tournaments offer blank slates — and this Tennessee State team has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games after a loss by at least 20 points. The Tigers have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. And while Tennessee State has not covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 3 straight games after going at least 0-3 ATS in their last three games. The Tigers have also covered the point spread in 21 of their last 30 road games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Tennessee State is equipped to play well on a neutral court as they led the OVC by forcing turnovers in 22.9% of their opponent’s possessions — and the Panthers are 8th in the conference by committing turnovers in 19.8% of their possessions. Additionally, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games with the Total set in the 120 to 129.5 point range.

Eastern Illinois (11-18) has won two of their last three games after their 68-56 win over SIU-Edwardsville on Saturday as a 6-point favorite. The Panthers made 46% of their shots which was their best offensive effort in their last four games — and they held the Cougars to just a 37.7% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last six contests. But a letdown is likely for this team as they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. And while that game finished well below the 140.5 point total, Eastern Illinois has then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after playing a game that finished Under the Total. This team may struggle to score points tonight as they are last in the Ohio Valley Conference by making just 44.3% of their shots inside the arc. They make only 38.5% of their shots on the road. Not surprisingly then, the Panthers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games played on a neutral court. Eastern Illinois has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Lastly, the Panthers are looking to avenge a 50-47 loss to Tennessee State back on January 27th in a game where they turned the ball over in 22.8% of their possession. Eastern Illinois has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 26 games when avenging a loss where they did not score at least 50 points. 25* CBB Tournament Game of the Month with the Tennessee State Tigers (768) minus the points versus the Eastern Illinois Panthers (767). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Clemson Tigers (744) minus the points versus the Florida State Seminoles (743). Clemson (21-7) snapped their three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 75-67 win over Georgia Tech as a 10-point favorite. The Tigers have then covered the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win. And while this Clemson team has not covered the point spread in thee straight games, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Now this team stays at home where they are 14-1 this season with an average winning margin of +14.9 PPG. The Tigers hold their visitors to just 61.8 PPG on low 38.8% shooting. Clemson has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games as a favorite or pick ‘em. Additionally, the Tigers have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road.

Florida State (21-7) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 92-72 loss at NC State as a 1.5-point underdog. The Seminoles has then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss by at least 15 points. Florida State has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread loss — and they are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. And while the Seminoles have failed to cover the point spread in five straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least three straight games. Now this Florida State team stays on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, the Seminoles have failed to cover the point spread all 4 times. 10* CBB Florida State-Clemson ESPNU Special with the Clemson Tigers (744) minus the points versus the Florida State Seminoles (743). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the LSU Tigers (721) and the South Carolina Gamecocks (722). LSU (16-12) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 93-82 loss at Georgia as a 4.5-point underdog. The Tigers have then played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, LSU has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Tigers have also played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last contest. And in their last 19 road games as an underdog or pick ‘em, LSU has played 14 of these games Over the Total. Moving forward, the Tigers have played 8 straight games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range.

South Carolina (15-14) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 72-68 loss at Mississippi State as a 7-point underdog. The Gamecocks have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. South Carolina has also played 14 of their last 17 home games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. And while the Gamecocks have covered the point spread in four straight games, they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five games. South Carolina returns home where they have played 4 of their last 6 home games Over the Total with the number in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Lastly, while the Tigers are making 47.7% of their shots for the season, the Gamecocks have played 6 straight home games Over the Total against teams that are making at least 45% of their shots. 10* CBB Wednesday Night O/U Tip-Off with Over the Total in the game between the LSU Tigers (721) and the South Carolina Gamecocks (722). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Xavier Musketeers (720) minus the points versus the Providence Friars (719). Providence (18-11) snapped their two-game losing streak snapped on Saturday with their 74-69 win at Georgetown as a 2-point underdog. But the Friars have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a close win by 6 points or less — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a straight-up win in general. Additionally, Providence has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread win. Now this team goes back on the road where they are 6-7 for the season while making only 44% of their shots. The Friars have failed to cover the point spread in 3 straight road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, Providence has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

Xavier (25-4) has won ten of their last eleven games after their 89-77 win at Georgetown last Wednesday as a 5-point favorite. The Musketeers have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 26 games after a point spread victory. And while Xavier has scored at least 79 points in their last three games, they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after scoring at least 75 points in three straight games. The Musketeers will be looking to avenge an 81-72 upset loss to Providence in their gym back on January 6th — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games when playing with revenge. Xavier gets the rematch at home where they are 16-1 with an average winning margin of +15.2 PPG. The Musketeers are scoring 89.0 PPG on their home court while making 50% of their shots — and they are holding their opponents to just a 41% shooting percentage. Xavier has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 home games as the favorite or a pick ‘em. Lastly, the Musketeers have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. 25* CBB Television Game of the Month with the Xavier Musketeers (720) minus the points versus the Providence Friars (719). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boise State Broncos (547) and the San Diego State Aztecs (548). Boise State (22-6) has won two straight games with their 87-54 win at Colorado State as a 7-point favorite. The Broncos have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up victory — and the Under is also 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after a win by at least 20 points. Furthermore, Boise State has played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total after allowing no more than 55 points in their last game. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 6 straight games Under the Total. The Broncos have also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total with the number set in the 140 to 149.5 point range — and this includes six straight games away from home Under Total when the number is set in that range. Furthermore, the Under is 23-11-1 in Boise State’s last 35 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

San Diego State (17-10) has won four straight games with their 71-59 win at San Jose State on Saturday as a 13.5-point favorite. The Aztecs have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, San Diego State has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a game on the road where they won but failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. Those 59 points they allowed to the Spartans was actually the most they have allowed in their last three games — and they have then played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 65 points in three straight contests. Now this team returns home where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total. The Aztecs have also played 19 of their last 26 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. They are hosting a Broncos team that averages 10 made 3-pointers per game — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams that average at least 8 made 3-pointers per game. Lastly, in the last 15 meetings between these two teams, they game finished Under the Total 11 times — and this includes six of the last seven games Under the Total when playing at San Diego State. 10* CBB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Boise State Broncos (547) and the San Diego State Aztecs (548). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Baylor Bears (540) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (539). Baylor (17-12) has lost two straight games after their 82-72 loss at TCU on Saturday as a 5.5-point underdog. The Bears allowed the Horned Frogs to make 54% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last nine games. Baylor has then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. And while that game finished Over the 146.5 point total, the Bears have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Baylor has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after losing two straight games. Now this team returns home where they are 12-4 with an average losing margin +13.8 PPG. The Bears score 80.2 PPG on 49.2% shooting on their home court. They also limit their visitors to just a 40.2% shooting percentage. Baylor has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on their home court.

Oklahoma (17-11) snapped their six-game losing streak on Saturday with their 86-77 win over Kansas State as a 5-point favorite. The Sooners found their shooting stroke in that game as they made 52.7% of their shots which was their best shooting effort in their last seven games. But making shots on the road has been a challenge for this team as they remaking only 44% of their shots away from home — as compared to their 47.2% shooting mark for the season — which too often has compelled freshman Trae Young to force his shots when his teammates shots are not falling. As it is, Oklahoma has failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Sooners have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9g ames against teams with a winning record. Defense has also been an issue for this team as they have allowed their last five opponents to make 51% of their shots. Oklahoma has failed to cover then point spread in 8 of their last 10 games with the Total set in the 150 to 159.5 point range. The Sooners go back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games. 20* CBB Oklahoma-Baylor ESPN2 Special with the Baylor Bears (540) minus the points versus the Oklahoma Sooners (539). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Northern Illinois Huskies (534) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (533). Northern Illinois (11-17) has lost two straight games after their 82-53 loss at Eastern Michigan on Saturday as a 7.5-point underdog. The Huskies shot only 37.3% from the field which was their worst shooting effort in their last thirteen games. Northern Illinois also allowed the Eagles to make 55% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last six contests. The Huskies have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a loss by at least 20 points. And while Northern Illinois allowed 77 points in their previous game in a 9-point loss at Ball State, they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after allowing at least 75 points in two straight games. Now after playing their last two games on the road, this team returns home where they are 9-3 this season with an average winning margin of +9.0 PPG. The Huskies average a healthy 77.0 PPG on sizzling 48.3% shooting on their home court. Northern Illinois has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 home games as a favorite or pick ‘em. Furthermore, the Huskies have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 6 home games with the Total set in the 150 to 159.5 point range, Northern Illinois has covered the point spread in 5 of these games. This team will be motivated with revenge after losing to the Rockets by an 82-77 score — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games when playing with revenge.

Toledo (20-9) snapped a two-game losing streak last Friday with their 89-76 win over Central Michigan as a 7-point favorite. The Rockets made 55.4% of their shots in that game which was their best offensive effort in their last eight games. But Toledo has then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread victory. The Rockets made 15 of their 18 (83.3%) of their free throws in that game — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after making at least 78% of their shots from the charity stripe in their last game. Furthermore, Toledo has failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 31 games after a home game where both teams scored at least 75 points. This team looks primed for a letdown — while they have won fifteen of their last twenty games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 25 games after winning at least fifteen of their last twenty games. Lastly, the Rockets have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 meetings with the Huskies. 20* CBB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Northern Illinois Huskies (534) plus the points versus the Toledo Rockets (533). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Alabama Crimson Tide (526) minus the points versus the Florida Gators (525). Alabama (17-12) has lost three straight games with their 76-73 upset loss to Arkansas as a 4-point favorite. The Crimson Tide made only 44.9% of their shots in that game which was their worst shooting effort in their last five games. They also allowed the Razorbacks to make 47.4% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last seven contests. Alabama has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 38 of their last 58 games after a loss on their home court. The Crimson Tide have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Alabama has covered the point spread in 21 of their last 27 games after an upset loss as a home favorite. This Crimson Tide is 12-3 on their home court with an average winning margin of +10.0 PPG. They are making 50.2% of their shots on their home court while limiting their visitors to just a 39.4% shooting mark. Alabama has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games on their home court. They have also covered the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And while the Gators have a 37.5% shooting percentage from the 3-point line, the Crimson Tide have covered the point spread in 24 of their last 34 home games after fifteen games into the season against teams that make at least 37% of their shots from 3-point land.

Florida (18-11) snapped their three-game losing streak with their 72-66 victory over Auburn as a 1.5-point favorite. The Gators shot only 44.1% from the field in that game — but that was still their best offensive effort in their last four contests. Florida has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after a win by 6 points or less — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. Additionally, the Gators have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after having lost two of their last three games. Now this team goes back on the road where they are making only 42.9% of their shots. They able failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Florida has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 13 road games as an underdog of 6 points or less. And while the Gators are looking to avenge a 68-50 loss to the Crimson Tide back on February 3rd, they have then failed to covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games when playing with revenge. 20* CBB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Alabama Crimson Tide (526) minus the points versus the Florida Gators (525). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ball State Cardinals (517) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (518). Ball State (19-10) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 87-80 upset loss to Western Michigan as a 4.5-point favorite. The Cardinals allowed the Broncos to shoot 51.7% from the field in that game which was their worst defensive effort in their last six games. They did stay competitive in that game since they made 53.6% of their shots. Now this Ball State goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. The Cardinals have also played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Now they travel to Muskegon to face this Chippewas team that is outscoring their opponents by +5.3 PPG — and Ball State has played 21 of their last 29 games against teams that outscore their opponents by at least +4.0 PPG. Furthermore, Central Michigan launches 28 shots from 3-point range per game — and the Cardinals have played 22 of their last 31 games Over the Total against teams that average at least 21 shots from the 3-point line per game. 

Central Michigan (16-13) has lost three straight games after their 89-76 loss at Toledo on Saturday as a 7-point underdog. The Chippewas have then played 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. Central Michigan has also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least 90 points in their last contest. Now this team returns home where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total. The Chippewas have also played 6 straight home games Over the total as an underdog. Ball State launches 23 shots from behind the arc themselves — and Central Michigan has played 17 of their last 20 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams that average at least 21 shots per game from 3-point land. Additionally, the Chippewas are looking to avenge a 82-76 loss to Ball State back on January 16th — and they have played 14 of the last 19 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. Lastly, in the last 6 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Ball State Cardinals (517) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Virginia Tech Hokies (724) plus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (723). Virginia Tech (20-9) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 75-68 upset loss to Louisville as a 4-point favorite. The Hokies have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Virginia Tech stays at home where they are 13-4 with an average winning margin of +14.7 PPG. The Hokies are scoring 84.2 PPG on their home court based on strong 52.2% shooting. Virginia Tech is one of the best offensive teams in the nation. They are 8th in the nation with a 57.5% shooting percentage inside the arc. They also are 8th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 58.1% which is buoyed by their 39.4% shooting mark from the 3-point line. The Hokies also hold their visitors to just a 41.8% shooting percentage. Virginia Tech is a decisive 27-12-1 ATS in their last 40 games on their home court. The Hokies have also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This team will be looking to avenge a 74-52 loss to the Blue Devils back on February 14th. Virginia Tech has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games when avenging a double-digit loss on the road.

Duke (24-5) has won five straight games after their 60-44 win over Syracuse on Saturday as a 13.5-point favorite. The Blue Devils held the Orange to just a 31.5% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last sixteen contests. But this team has then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after allowing no more than 50 points in their last game. This Duke team held Syracuse to just 16 points in the first-half on Saturday after limiting Louisville to only 25 first-half points in their previous game. I have expected the Blue Devils to improve their play on the defensive end of the court as the season moved on — but they have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than 30 points in the first-half of their last two games. Now this young Duke team goes back on the road after playing their last two games at home where they were double-digit favorites. The Blue Devils have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after playing their last two games at home as the favorite. Lastly, Duke has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 79-28-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Big Monday ESPN Game of the Year with the Virginia Tech Hokies (724) plus the points versus the Duke Blue Devils (723). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Iowa Hawkeyes (840) minus the points versus the Northwestern Wildcats (839). Iowa (12-18) has lost six straight games after their 86-82 loss at Minnesota on Wednesday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Hawkeyes return home — after playing four of those last six games on the road — where they are 8-6 with an average winning margin of +10.1 PPG. Scoring is not the problem for this Iowa team that is 30th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They average 85.2 PPG on their home court while making 50.8% of their shots. They have scored 82 points in their previous game against Indiana as well — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their lat 8 games after scoring at least 75 points in two straight games. Their two losses at home over this losing streak was a 2-point loss to a solid Indiana team and a 3-point loss to an outstanding Michigan State team. They are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Hawkeyes have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games as the favorite or as a pick ‘em.

Northwestern (15-15) has lost five games in a row themselves with their 70-64 upset loss to Wisconsin as a 3-point favorite. That was the second straight upset loss for this Wildcats team that is really struggling to score baskets. They have not scored more than 64 points in eight straight games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score at least 65 points in three straight games. Northwestern is not taking enough shots — they put up only 47 shots in their loss to the Badgers after attempting just 50 shots in their previous game against Maryland. They have then failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after failing to take more than 50 shots in two straight games. Over their last five games, they are making only 39.5% of their shots even when being stingy with their shot selection. Unfortunately for Chris Collins’ team, they are not playing well on the defensive end of the court either as they have allowed their last five opponents to make 47.8% of their shots as compared to their season opponent’s field goal percentage of 44.0%. Now they go on the road where they re 4-9 with an average losing margin of -6-2 PPG. They are making just 40.3% of their shots on the road. Northwestern has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games on the road. They also have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in the last 6 trips to Iowa City, the Wildcats have failed to cover the point spread 5 times. 10* CBB Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the Iowa Hawkeyes (840) minus the points versus the Northwestern Wildcats (839). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Golden Gophers (827) and the Purdue Boilermakers (828). Purdue (25-5) has won two straight games after their 93-86 win at Illinois on Thursday as a 9-point favorite. The Boilermakers made 58.3% of their shots in that game which was their best offensive effort in their last eight games. Despite that offensive display, this Purdue team is making only 45.8% of their shots over their last five games. They will look to play better on defense after allowing their last two opponents to make 50% of their shots. The Boilermakers have an outstanding 39.3% opponent’s field goal percentage on their home court. Purdue has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Boilermakers have also seen the Under go 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. Additionally, Purdue has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after winning two straight games against Big Ten opponents. Now they return home to West Lafayette where they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total. The Boilermakers have also played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road.

Minnesota (15-15) snapped their nine-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 86-82 win over Iowa as a 1.5-point favorite. The Golden Gophers have then played 22 of their last 32 road games Under the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. Additionally, Minnesota has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their lsat 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. This team is making only 40.6% of their shots in Big Ten play. They have played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Golden Gophers will also be looking to avenge an 81-47 loss to Purdue back on January 13th — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they did not score at least 50 points. Lastly, in the last 11 games between these two teams at Purdue, the game finished Under the Total 9 times. 10* CBB Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Golden Gophers (827) and the Purdue Boilermakers (828). Best o luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Mercer Bears (857) and the Wofford Terriers (858). Mercer (17-13) has won seven straight games after their 83-70 win at the Citadel on Friday as a 6.5-point favorite. The Bears shot 49.2% from the field in that game which was actually their worst offensive effort in their last four games. This Mercer team won by playing one of their better games of the season on defense as they held the Citadel to just a 36.7% shooting percentage which was tied for the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six contests. The Bears have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and the Over is also 10-4-1 in their last 15 games after a point spread win. Mercer has also played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning at least four straight games. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 12 of their last 16 road games Over the Total as the underdog or as a pick ‘em. The Bears have also played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Mercer has played 4 of these games Over the Total.

Wofford (20-10) has won three of their last four games with their 75-71 upset win at East Tennessee State on Friday as a 9-point underdog. The Terriers have then played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total after an upset win over a conference rival. Wofford has also played a decisive 31 of their last 44 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 9 home games after winning three of their last four, the Terriers have played 8 of these games Over the Total. Now this team returns home where they have played 37 of their last 53 games Over the Total — and this includes playing twenty-two of their last thirty home games Over the Total. Wofford has also played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, the Terriers are looking to avenge a 73-65 loss to the Bears back on February 3rd. Wofford has played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss on the road. 25* CBB Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Mercer Bears (857) and the Wofford Terriers (858). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 11:59 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UC-Irvine Anteaters (681) and the Hawai’i Warriors (682). UC-Irvine (15-15) has won two straight games — as well as seven of their last eight contests — with their 69-49 win over UC-Santa Barbara on Wednesday as a 2.5-point favorite. The Anteaters are playing outstanding defense as they held the Gauchos to just a 31.6% shooting percentage. UC-Irvine has not allowed their six opponents to shoot better than 35.2% from the field. That have played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 50 points in their last game. They also have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. And in their last 11 games after a win at home against a conference opponent, the Anteaters have played 9 of these games Under the Total.

Hawai’i (16-10) has won two straight games with their 74-63 win over Long Beach State on Thursday as a 4-point favorite. The Warriors have then played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a double-digit win over a conference rival. Hawai’i has also played a decisive 49 of their last 76 games Under the Total on their home court after a previous win at home. And while the Warriors have covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 28 of their last 41 home games Under the Total. Furthermore, Hawai’i has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. This UC-Irvine team is outrebounding their opponents by +8.0 RPG — and the Warriors have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams that outrebound their opponents by at least +4.0 RPG. The Anteaters also possess a stingy opponent’s field goal percentage of 38.7% — and Hawai’i has played 22 of their last 30 games Under the Total against teams that do not allow their opponents to make more than 39% of their shots. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. 10* CBB Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the UC-Irvine Anteaters (681) and the Hawai’i Warriors (682). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Cal-State Fullerton Titans (670) minus the points versus the Long Beach State 49ers (669). Cal-State Fullerton (15-10) looks to bounce-back from their 69-65 upset loss at UC-Riverside as a 5.5-point favorite back on Wednesday. The Titans have bounces back to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after a point spread loss. Cal-State Fullerton has still won three of their last four games — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after winning two of their last three games. Now this team returns home where they are 8-3 with an average winning margin of +11.0 PPG. The Titans have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 15 games on their home court. Cal-State Fullerton has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 18 games against teams with a losing record, the Titans have covered the point spread 13 times.

Long Beach State (13-16) has lost two straight games — as well as four of their last five contests — with their 74-63 loss at Hawai’i on Thursday as a 4-point underdog. The 49ers shot just 39.6% from the field in that game which was their worst offensive effort in their last twenty-four games. But Long Beach State shoots only 43.5% from the field away from home so a significant improvement tonight is unlikely. The 49ers managed only 5 assists on Thursday which goes a long way to explain their struggles on offense — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after failing to generate at least 9 assists in their last game. Long Beach State has played there straight games Under the Total — and not only have they then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after playing an Under but they have also failed cover the point spread in 6 straight road games after playing two straight games Under the Total. The 49ers stay on the road where they are just 6-11 with an average losing margin of -8.5 PPG. Long Beach State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. They have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 trips to Cal-State Fullerton. Lastly, in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record, the 49ers have failed to cover the point spread 8 times. 10* CBB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Cal-State Fullerton Titans (670) minus the points versus the Long Beach State 49ers (669). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Massachusetts Minutemen (613) and the George Mason Patriots (614). UMass (11-17) has lost four games in a row after their 82-78 loss to VCU on Wednesday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Minutemen allowed the Rams to make 54.2% of their shots as their play on the defensive end of the court continues to falter. UMass has allowed their last three opponents to shoot at least 50.8% from the field — and seven of their last nine opponents have made at least 50.8% of their shots. Furthermore, all eight of their last eight opponents have scored at least 82 points. The Minutemen have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. Additionally, UMass has played 7 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now the Minutemen go back on the road where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total. And while the Patriots attempt 21 shots from the 3-point line per game, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams that average at least 21 shots from behind the arc per game.

George Mason (13-15) has won three of their last four games with their 79-76 win at St. Joseph’s on Wednesday as a 7-point underdog. The Patriots have then played 23 of their last 32 games Over the Total after an upset win over a conference rival. George Mason has also played 11 of their last 13 home games Over the Total after a win by 3 points or less. Now this team returns home where they have played a decisive 43 of their last 63 games Over the Total. The Patriots have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, George Mason has played 12 of their last 15 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 145 to 149.5 point range. And in their last 23 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%, the Patriots have played 16 of these games Over the Total. They will be hosting this Minutemen team that makes 9 shots from the 3-point land per game — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams that average at least 9 made 3-pointers per game. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 154-47 combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Massachusetts Minutemen (613) and the George Mason Patriots (614). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Drake Bulldogs (548) minus the points versus the Valparaiso Crusaders (547). Drake (10-2) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 89-81 loss at Illinois State as a 3.5-point underdog. The Bulldogs managed to make only 36.8% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last four games. Drake has then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss to a fellow Missouri Valley Conference rival. Now this team returns home where they are 10-2 with an average winning margin of +11.2 PPG. Drake should shoot much better this afternoon as they are making 47.2% of their shots — and they are holding their visitors to just a 42.4% field goal percentage. The Bulldogs are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games on their home court. Drake has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Additionally, the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games as a favorite or pick ‘em. Drake will be looking to avenge a 77-60 loss to the Crusaders back on January 10th — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when playing with revenge.

Valparaiso (4-12) has lost four of their last six games with their 68-63 upset loss to Northern Iowa on Tuesday as a 2.5-point favorite. The Crusaders committed 28 personal fouls in that game — and they have then failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 road games after a game where they committed at least 22 personal fouls. Valparaiso goes back on the road where they are just 4-12 with an average losing margin of -5.3 PPG. They are making only 42.5% of their shots away from home. That has contributed to their 2-6-1 ATS mark in their last 9 games on the road. The Crusaders have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 road games with the Total set in the 140 to 144.5 point range. And in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, Valparaiso is just 2-5-1 ATS. 25* CBB Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Year with the Drake Bulldogs (548) minus the points versus the Valparaiso Crusaders (547). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Georgia Bulldogs (542) minus the points versus the LSU Tigers (541). Georgia (15-12) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 66-57 loss at South Carolina as a 3.5-point underdog. The Bulldogs shot just 38.2% from the the field in that game which was their worst offensive effort in their last seven games. But Georgia continued to play strong on the defensive end of the court as they held the Gamecocks to just a 30.9% shooting percentage. Now the Bulldogs return home where they are 10-3 this season with an average winning margin of +8.2 PPG. They also hold their home hosts to just a 37.9% shooting percentage. Georgia has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 34 games after a straight-up loss. The Bulldogs have also covered the point spread in 19 of their last 27 games after winning two of their last three games. And while Georgia has only covered the point spread twice in their last six games, they have then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after failing to cover the point spread in four of their last six games. The Bulldogs have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, Georgia has not allowed their last three opponents to shoot better than 37.9% from the field — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 20 home games after not allowing at least three straight opponents to make at least 40% of their shots.

LSU (16-11) has won three of their last four games with their 88-78 win over Vanderbilt on Tuesday as a 4-point favorite. The Tigers made a whopping 62.5% of their shots in that game which was their best offensive effort of the season. But this LSU team has failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 39 games after a straight-up win — including going just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a victory. Additionally, this team is 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games after a point spread loss. The Tigers have also failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 30 games after a win on their home court — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in ten of their last twelve games after a win at home against a fellow SEC rival. And while LSU committed only 6 turnovers in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after not committing more than 8 turnovers in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 4-7with an average losing margin of -8.4 PPG. The Tigers are allowing their home hosts to make 48.0% of their shots. LSU is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. The Tigers are also 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against these Bulldogs. Lastly, while they are looking to avenge a 61-60 upset loss to Georgia as a 5-point favorite back on January 16th, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games when playing with revenge an upset loss as a home favorite. 20* CBB LSU-Georgia ESPNU Special with the Georgia Bulldogs (542) minus the points versus the LSU Tigers (541). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Niagara Purples Eagles (850) minus the points versus the Marist Red Foxes (849). Niagara (18-12) has lost two straight games after their 95-88 loss to Canisius on Wednesday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Purple Eagles allowed the Golden Griffins to make 50.8% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last nine games. Look for Niagara to bounce-back tonight as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Purple Aces have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. Now this team stays at home where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games — and they have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. This team leads the Metro Atlantic Athletic Association in 2-point defense by holding their conference opponents to just a 48.0% shooting percentage inside the arc. They have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games as the favorite. And in their last 13 games with the Total set in the 160 to 169.5 point range, Niagara has covered the point spread 10 times. 

Marist (6-22) snapped their five-game losing streak last Saturday with their 69-51 win over St. Peter’s as a 3.5-point underdog. But the Red Foxes have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a straight-up win. Marist has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a win on their home court against a conference rival. And while the Red Foxes have covered the point spread in two straight games, they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after covering the point spread in two straight games. They go back on the road where they are an ugly 2-13 with an average losing margin of -9.0 PPG. Marist has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Together, these team trends produce our specific 70-22 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Blowout Bookie Buster with the Niagara Purples Eagles (850) minus the points versus the Marist Red Foxes (849). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Cornell Big Red (826) plus the points versus the Yale Bulldogs (825). Cornell (10-13) has lost two of their last three games after their 79-71 loss to Penn last Saturday. The Big Red should bounce-back with a strong effort tonight. Not only have they covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 15 of their last 18 games after a point spread loss. Cornell was whistled for 24 personal fouls in that game with the Quakers while Penn committed just 13 fouls — but they have then covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games after a game where they were called for at least 10 more personal fouls than their opponent. The Big Red stays at home where they are 7-3 this season while scoring 85.2 PPG on sizzling 49.2% shooting. Cornell has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And while the Big Red’s previous game was a 107-101 win over Princeton, they have covered the point spread in 29 of their last 43 games after allowing at least 75 points in two straight games.

Yale (12-14) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last Saturday with their 64-49 loss at Harvard as a 4-point underdog. The Bulldogs are then 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they are also 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Yale has failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after a loss on the road. Now the Bulldogs go back on the road where they are just 5-11 with an average losing margin of -5.2 PPG. They are allowing their home hosts to make 47.8% from the field. Yale has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Together, these team trends produce our specific 98-32-2 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Cornell Big Red (826) plus the points versus the Yale Bulldogs (825). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (854) minus the points versus the Wofford Terriers (853). East Tennessee State (23-6) has lost two of their last three games after their 84-82 loss to the Citadel despite being an 18.5-point favorite on Tuesday. The Buccaneers should bounce-back with a strong effort as they have covered the point spread in 11 straight games after an upset loss as a favorite laying at least 6 points. Additionally, East Tennessee State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread loss — and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a straight-up win. Additionally, this team has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after scoring at least 80 points in their last game. Now the Buccaneers return home where they are 12-2 this season with an average winning margin of +17.0 PPG. East Tennessee State averages a robust 81.1 PPG on 50.2% shooting on their home court while holding their visitors to just a 39.7% shooting percentage. The Buccaneers have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games on their home court. East Tennessee State has also covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

Wofford (19-10) snapped a two-game winning streak on Tuesday when they lost to UNC-Greensboro on their home court by a 76-66 loss to UNC-Greensboro as a 3-point underdog. The Terriers are not likely to rebound with a strong effort as they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a loss at home. Furthermore, Wofford has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a double-digit loss. The Terriers have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after playing a game where they were a home underdog. Wofford goad back on the road where they are 7-7 but getting outscored by -1.8 PPG. They have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 70-17-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, while Wofford is looking to avenge a 75-62 loss to the Buccaneers back on January 27th, they simply do not match up well with this East Tennessee State team. The Terriers lead the Southern Conference by making 40.4% of their 3-pointers — but the Buccaneers lead the conference in 3-point defense by holding their opponents to just a 31.5% shooting mark. Wofford made only 8 of their 25 shots from behind the arc (32.0%) — and now they will be taking these shots on East Tennessee State’s home court where they hold their opponents to just a 30.3% shooting mark from the 3-point line. The Buccaneers are vulnerable against teams that force turnovers as they are coughing it up in 20.3% of their possessions. But the Terriers are 9th in the Southern Conference by forcing turnovers in just 18.0% of their opponent’s possessions.  25* CBB Southern Conference Game of the Year with the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (854) minus the points versus the Wofford Terriers (853). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Dons (621) and the Pacific Tigers (622). Pacific (14-15) saw their two-game losing streak snapped on Saturday with their 72-68 loss to Santa Clara as a 9-point favorite. The Tigers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Pacific made just 38.9% of their shots in that game — and they have made just 41.4% of their shots over their last five games. However, the Tigers have held their last five opponents to just a 42.9% shooting percentage — so they should improve on the defensive end of the court after seeing Santa Clara make 51.2% of their shots. Pacific stays at home for this game where they have played 25 of their last 36 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. They will be facing a Dons team who averages 8 made shots from behind the arc per game — and the Tigers have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against opponents that average at least 8 made 3-pointers per game. Furthermore, Santa Clara is looking to avenge a 69-67 loss to San Francisco back on January 25th — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road.

San Francisco (16-13) has won two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 72-63 win over Loyola-Marymount on Saturday as an 8.5-point favorite. The Dons made 47.1% of their shots in that game which was their best offensive effort in their last four games. San Francisco has then played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a win over a conference rival. Additionally, while the Dons have covered the point spread in three straight games, they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two straight games. Now this team goes back on the road where they are making only 41.8% of their field goals this season. They have plaid 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total as a road underdog. Additionally, San Francisco has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against fellow West Coast Conference opponents. Furthermore, the Dons have played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. Lastly, in San Fran’s last 33 games against teams with a losing record, they have played 22 of these games Under the Total. 10* CBB Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Dons (621) and the Pacific Tigers (622). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee State Tigers (651) and the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (652). Tennessee State (15-12) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their upset 72-59 loss to Eastern Kentucky. The Tigers allowed the Colonels to make 53.3% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last ten contests. They should play much better on defense tonight as they are holding their conference opponents to just 41.6% of their shots this season. Tennessee State also made just 37.5% of their shots in that game — but they may not improve much on that mark when considering that they are making only 40.7% of their shots on the road. Moving forward, the Tigers have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They go back on the road where they have played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total. Tennessee State has also played 11 of their last 16 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. They will be looking to avenge an 87-81 loss to Tennessee Tech back on January 8th — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing with revenge for a loss at home to their opponents. 

Tennessee Tech (17-12) has lost four of their last five games with their 75-65 loss at Murray State on Saturday as a 13.5-point underdog. The Golden Eagles have then played 7 straight home games Under the Total after a loss on the road to a conference rival. Tennessee State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Eagles are making only 41.5% of their shots in their last five games which is far below their 44.5% season average. Now they return home where they are holding their opponents to just a 40.6% shooting percentage which is much better than their opponent’s field goal percentage of 44.2% for the season. Tennessee State has played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total on their home court — and this includes playing four straight Unders. The Eagles have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Lastly, Tennessee State has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total as a favorite. Together, these team trends produce our specific 88-31 combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Ohio Valley Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee State Tigers (651) and the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (652). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the UT-Arlington Mavericks (596) minus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (595). UT-Arlington (16-12) has lost two straight games with their 100-79 loss at UL-Lafayette last Saturday as a 9.5-point underdog. This was one of this team’s worst games of the season. They made only 38.1% of their shots which was their worst field goal percentage in their last seven games — and they allowed the Ragin’ Cajuns to shoot 50% from the field which was their worst defensive performance in their last ten contests. The Mavericks should bounce-back with a strong effort tonight as they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a loss by at least 20 points. UT-Arlington has also covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games after a point spread defeat. Furthermore, the Mavericks have covered the point spread in 6 straight home games after a loss on the road. UT-Arlington’s previous game was an 84-71 loss on the road at UL-Monroe — but they have then covered the point spread in 12 of their last 13 games after allowing at least 80 points in their last two games. Now this team returns home where they are 11-2 this season with an average winning margin of +9.5 PPG. They are holding their visitors to a low 37.7% shooting percentage. The Mavericks are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on their home court. And this team will be motivated to avenge a 74-59 loss to Georgia Southern back on January 27th — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. Led by 6’7 forward Kevin Hervey, UT-Arlington is rebounding a healthy 31.4% of their missed shots which is 4th best in Sun Belt play. This is an area of vulnerability for the Eagles as they rank 10th in the conference by allowing their opponents to pull down 32.1% of their missed shots.

Georgia Southern (17-10) snapped their three-game losing streak on Friday with their 85-80 upset victory over Georgia State as a 2-point underdog. The Eagles have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 ames after a win by 6 points or less. Georgia Southern has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win — and they are just 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after a point spread win. This team is 9-7 on the road — but they are outscoring their home hosts by just +0.7 PPG. The Eagles are making only 41.5% of their shots away from home. They have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. They are struggling on defense as of late by allowing their last five opponents to make 46.2% of their shots which is far above their 42% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. Furthermore, the Eagles are 9th in the Sun Belt by allowing their opponents to make 50.9% of their shots inside the arc. Lastly, Georgia Southern has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 101-27-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year with the UT-Arlington Mavericks (596) minus the points versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (595). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Northwestern Wildcats (572) minus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (571). Northwestern (15-14) has lost four straight games after their 71-64 upset loss to Maryland as a 2-point favorite on Monday. But the Wildcats have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after an upset loss to a conference rival. Northwestern has also covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after a straight-up loss. Additionally, the Wildcats have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games after losing two straight games against conference opponents. The frustrating aspect to this losing streak for head coach Chris Collins is that this team has held significant leads at half-time in their last three games. They were up 37-30 at the half against Maryland after holding that huge 49-27 lead over Michigan State at the halftime of their previous game. And they were up 33-24 at the half three games ago against Rutgers. Playing all 40 minutes is critical for this team — and they have covered the point spread in 6 straight home games after holding at least a 5-point lead at halftime in three straight games. This team stays at home where they are 11-5 with an average winning margin of +13.1 PPG. They are holding their visitors to just a 41.4% shooting percentage. Additionally, the Wildcats have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games on their home court.

Wisconsin (13-16) has won three of their last four games with their 733-63 win over Minnesota on Saturday as a 7.5-point favorite. The Badgers have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win over a conference rival. Wisconsin is also just 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games after a point spread win. And while the Badgers held Purdue to only 53 points in their previous game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after not allowing more than 65 points in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 2-10 this season with an average losing margin of -7.3 PPG. They are scoring only 60.7 PPG on the road while making just 41.7% of their shots. Wisconsin is just 6-13-2 ATS in their last 21 games on the road — and they are also 6-13-2 ATS in their last 21 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Badgers are looking to avenge a 60-52 loss to the Wildcats back on February 1st — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 attempts at revenge. Lastly, Wisconsin has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last meetings with Northwestern. 20* CBB Wisconsin-Northwestern ESPN2 Special with the Northwestern Wildcats (572) minus the points versus the Wisconsin Badgers (571). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Air Force Falcons (762) plus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (761). San Diego State (15-10) enters this game coming off their 95-56 blowout win over UNLV on Saturday as a 4-point favorite. But the Aztecs have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win against a conference rival where they scored at least 80 points. San Diego State did make 11 of their 13 free throw attempts in that game for a sizzling 85.7% rate — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a game where they made at least 78% of their free throw attempts. Getting to the free throw line is perhaps the biggest weakness of this team as they are last in the Mountain West Conference with a free throw attempt to field goal attempt ratio of 26.9%. San Diego State has won two straight games after they defeated Wyoming by an 87-77 margin — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after winning two straight games by double-digits. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 4-8 with an average losing margin of -3.3 PPG. The Aztecs have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight road games against teams with a winning record on their home court. San Diego State has struggled against this Falcons team as they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 encounters — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in four of their last five trips to Colorado Springs.

Air Force (10-15) has lost two straight games with their 76-52 loss at Boise State on Saturday. The Falcons played one of their worst games of the season in that contest. They made just 38.5% of their shots in that game — their worst shooting effort in their last four games while allowing the Broncos to make 52.8% of their shots which was their worst defensive performance in their last nine contests. This team has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after a loss by at least 20 points in their last game. Additionally, Air Force has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games after a point spread setback. Now after playing these last two games on the road, the Falcons return home where they are making a healthy 47.3% of their shots. Air Force has covered the point spread in 5 straight games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Falcons have also covered the point spread in 7 straight home games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. They do play up to their opponents — while the Aztecs are outscoring their opponents by +9.4 PPG, Air Force has covered the point spread in 6 straight games against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +8.0 PPG. Their defensive pressure should help keep this game close tonight. The Air Force is 2nd in the Mountain West by forcing turnovers in 19.5% of their opponent’s possessions — and the Aztecs are 7th in the conference by turning the ball over in 17.3% of their possessions. Lastly, the Falcons are looking to avenge an 81-50 loss to San Diego State back on February 3rd — and they have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 75 points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 99-20-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Underdog of the Year with the Air Force Falcons (762) plus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (761). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Iowa State Cyclones (738) plus the points versus the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs (737). TCU (18-9) has won two of their last three games with their 90-70 win over Oklahoma State as a 7-point favorite on Thursday. The Horned Frogs held the Cowboys to just a 36.7% shooting percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last seven games. But TCU has then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a win by at least 15 points. Additionally, the Horned Frogs have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after a straight-up win — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after a point spread win. Furthermore, TCU has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after a home win over a conference rival. And in their last 18 road games after a win at home, the Horned Frogs have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of these games. Now this team goes back on the road where they are 5-6 with an average PPG losing margin. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 road games with the Total set in the 150 to 159.5 point range.

Iowa State (13-13) has lost two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 78-66 loss at Kansas State. The Cyclones allowed the Wildcats to make 51.7% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last nine games. But Iowa State has then covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after losing two straight games — and they have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after losing two straight games against conference rivals. Additionally, the Cyclones have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after losing three of their last four games. Now this team returns home where they are 9-5 while holding their opponents to just a 41.4% shooting percentage. Iowa State has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on their home court. And in their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, they are 6-0-1 ATS. Lastly, the Cyclones are looking to avenge a 96-73 loss to TCU back on January 17th. Iowa State has covered the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games when playing with revenge from a loss by at least 20 points — and they have covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games when avenging a loss on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 107-27 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with the Iowa State Cyclones (738) plus the points versus the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs (737). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Duquesne Dukes (723) and the St. Bonaventure Bonnies (724). Duquesne (15-12) has lost four straight games with their 82-75 loss at St. Joseph’s on Saturday as a 7.5-point underdog. The Dukes held the Hawks to a 44.1% shooting percentage which is a middling mark — but it is also the best defensive performance for them in their last five games. This team has still allowed their last five opponents to make 52.6% of their shots. Duquesne has has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 80 points in their last game to a conference rival. The Dukes have also played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. That game finished Over the 142.5 point Total — and Duquesne has played 24 of their last 35 games Over the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. That was the fifth straight Over the Dukes — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight games Over the Total. Furthermore, Duquesne has covered the point spread in four of their last six games — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. The Dukes have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, Duquesne has played 5 of these games Over the Total. Additionally, the Dukes are looking to avenge an 84-81 loss to the Bonnies back on February 3rd — and they have played 26 of their last 39 games Over the Total when playing with revenge — and this includes playing their last seven games Over the Total.

St. Bonaventure (20-6) has won eight straight games with their 77-74 upset win over Rhode Island as a 2-point underdog on Friday. The Bonnies made just 38.1% of their shots in that victory which was their worst offensive effort in their last fourteen games. But St. Bonaventure has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. The Bonnies have also played 7 straight games Over the Total after a point spread win. And in their last 21 home games after an upset victory, St. Bonaventure has played 16 of these games Over the Total. Furthermore, the Bonnies have played 16 of their last 18 games Over the Total after they won eight of their last ten games. This team has scored at least 77 points in six straight games — and they have played 6 straight home games Over the Total after scoring at least 75 points in three straight games. They are making 47.2% of their shots over their last five games. Lastly, in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record after 15 games into the season, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. 10* CBB Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Duquesne Dukes (723) and the St. Bonaventure Bonnies (724). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Richmond Spiders (717) plus the points versus the George Washington Colonials (718). Richmond (9-17) has lost three straight games after their 72-66 upset loss to St. Louis on Saturday as a 3-point favorite. The Spiders made just 40.7% of their shots which was their worst offensive effort in their last four games. They also allowed the Billikens to make 58.1% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last ten contests. Richmond has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a loss at home to a conference rival. The Spiders have also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after two straight losses to a conference rival. Richmond did make 11 of their 14 free throws in that contest for a 78.6% mark — and they have then covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games after a game where they made at least 78% of their free throws. and while that game finished above the 134 point total, the Spiders have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 29 games after a game that finished Over the Total. Now this team goes back on the road where they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Richmond has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Spiders have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games at GW.

George Washington (12-15) has won two straight games as well as three of their last four contests with their 80-56 blowout upset win over VCU on Saturday as a 2.5-point underdog. The Colonials shot 52.6% from the field which was their best offensive effort in their last eight contests. GW also held the Rams to just a 37.3% shooting mark which was also their best defensive effort in their last thirteen contests. The Colonials have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after an upset win over a conference rival. And while their win over VCU came on the heels of an 11-point win over UMass, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after winning two straight games by at least 10 points. Furthermore, the Colonials have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after winning three o their last four games. Now this team returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Additionally, George Washington has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. Lastly, while the Colonials are looking to avenge a 78-68 loss to Richmond back on January 13th, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games when playing with revenge on their minds. Together, these team trends produce our specific 103-35 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CBB Road Warrior Wipeout with the Richmond Spiders (717) plus the points versus the George Washington Colonials (718). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (705) and the South Carolina Gamecocks (706). Georgia (15-11) has won two straight games — both upset victories — with their 72-62 win over Tennessee as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Bulldogs have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while this Georgia team has played their last two games Over the Total, they have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after playing two straight games Over the Total. The Volunteers committed a whopping 27 personal fouls in that game on Saturday which helped produce a 38 free throw attempts for the Bulldogs (they made 27 of these shots from the charity stripe). Georgia has then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a game where their opponent committed at least 22 personal fouls — and they have played 16 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a game where their opponent committed at least 27 personal fouls. Now this team goes back on the road where they are making only 41.5% of their shots. The Bulldogs have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have also played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Georgia has also seen the Under go 8-3-1 in their last 12 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall. The Bulldogs will be looking to avenge a 64-57 loss at South Carolina back on January 13th — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with revenge.

South Carolina (14-13) snapped their six-game losing streak game after their 84-75 upset victory over Auburn on Saturday as a 7-point underdog. The Gamecocks played one of their best defensive games of the season in that contest by holding the Tigers to just a 31.7% shooting percentage. South Carolina is playing tough defense on their home court where they are holding their visitors to just a 41.4% shooting percentage. Yet the Gamecocks are only making 36.2% of their shots over their last five games overall. South Carolina has 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total after a straight-up victory. The Gamecocks have also played 19 of their last 27 home games Under the Total after a game where at least 155 combined points were scored. South Carolina stays at home where they are making just 40.5% of their shots. The Gamecocks have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. South Carolina has also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 26 games when they are listed in the +/- 3-point range, the Gamecocks have played 18 of these games Under the Total. Lastly, in the last 16 games between these two teams in Columbia, the Under is 11-4-1. 25* CBB SEC Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (705) and the South Carolina Gamecocks (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Hoosiers (527) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (528). Indiana (16-12) has won four games in a row with their 84-82 upset win at Iowa on Saturday as an 11-point favorite. The Hoosiers pulled that game out despite allowing the Hawkeyes to make 55.1% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last five games. Improving the play on defense for this team was priority number one for first-year head coach Archie Miller who came over from a Dayton program where he had very competitive NCAA Tournament teams predicated on strong defensive play. This team has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make at least 55% of their shots. Indiana has still held their last five opponents to just a 39.8% shooting percentage. The Hoosiers are also a surprising 3rd in the Big Ten in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Indiana has played 19 of their last 27 road games Under the Total after an upset victory. The Hoosiers have also seen the Under go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after a point spread victory. Indiana won that game against Iowa because they made 56.1% of their shots which was actually their worst offensive effort in their last three games. Expect the Regression Gods to make an appearance tonight. Not only have the Hoosiers played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where they shot at least 50% of their shots but they have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after shooting at least 47% from the field in three straight contests. Now this team stays on the road where they are making only 44.4% of their shots this season. Indiana has seen the Under go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games on the road — and the Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Additionally, the Hoosiers have played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams wit ha winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 6 games with the Total set in the 130-139.5 point range, Indiana has played 5 of these games Under the Total.

Nebraska (20-9) saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 72-66 loss at Illinois as a 1-point underdog. The Cornhuskers have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Nebraska has also played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. Now this team returns home where they are playing very tough defense by holding their opponents to just a 40.9% shooting percentage. These Cornhuskers are also limiting their Big Ten opponents to shooting only 40.9% from the field. Nebraska has played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And while the Hoosiers are making 46.0% of their shots this season, the Cornhuskers have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams that are making at least 45% of their shots. Nebraska has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Cornhuskers have also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total in Big Ten play. Additionally, they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Hoosiers (527) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Texas A&M Aggies (518) minus the points versus Mississippi State Bulldogs (517). Texas A&M (17-10) has lost two straight games after their 94-75 loss at Arkansas on Saturday as a 3-point underdog. Both those games were on the road — and the Aggies have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after losing two straight games on the road. The Aggies did not cover the point spread in either of those two games — but they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. This Texas A&M team has been much better at home where they are 12-2 this season with an average winning margin of +13.2 PPG. The Aggies’ defense is particularly tough at home where they are holding their opponents to just a 38% shooting percentage. Texas A&M has covered the point spread in 4 straight games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 21 of their last 29 home games as a favorite laying 6.5 to 9 points. The Aggies should control the offensive glass tonight as they lead the SEC by pulling down 34.0% of their missed shots. Texas A&M ranks 20th in the nation overall by rebounding 34.8% of their missed shots — and the Bulldogs are 10th in the SEC by allowing their opponents to pull down 30.7% of their missed shots.

Mississippi State (19-8) snapped their two-game losing streak on Saturday with their 79-62 win over a reeling Ole Miss team as a 7.5-point favorite. But the Bulldogs have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after a double-digit victory — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 11 games after a double-digit win against a conference record. Mississippi State has scored at least 79 points in their last three games — but not only have they failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 14 games after scoring at least 75 points in two straight games but they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least 75 points in three straight contests. The Bulldogs won that game despite making just 5 of their 11 free throws for a 45.5% mark. Mississippi State has then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to make at least 53% of their free throw attempts. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 2-7 this season while  making only 42.6% of their shots. The Bulldogs have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games on the road — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Lastly, Mississippi State has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 9 points. Together, these team trends produce our specific 83-28 combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Texas A&M Aggies (518) minus the points versus Mississippi State Bulldogs (517). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Toledo Rockets (515) plus the points versus the Eastern Michigan Eagles (516). Toledo (19-8) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 99-71 loss at Ball State as a 2.5-point underdog. The Rockets made just 39% of their shots in that game which was the worst offensive effort in their last five games. Toledo also saw the Cardinals to make 50.8% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last thirteen contests. Look for Toledo to bounce-back as they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a loss by at least 20 points in their last game. The Rockets have also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Now this team stays the road where they are 8-5 this season. Toledo has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, the Rockets have covered the point spread in 6 straight road games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range. And in the last 18 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, Toledo has covered the point spread 13 times.

Eastern Michigan (16-11) has won four of their last five games after their 72-67 upset win at Central Michigan on Saturday as a 3.5-point underdog. But the Eagles have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games off a win at home against a conference rival. Additionally, Eastern Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a point spread victory. Now this team returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Eagles have also failed to cover the point spread in 23 of their last 34 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in the last 26 games with the Total set in the 140 to 149.5 point range, Eastern Michigan has failed to cover the point spread in 18 of these games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 99-32-1 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Don’t Need the Points (but we will take the points) Underdog Special with Toledo Rockets (515) plus the points versus the Eastern Michigan Eagles (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma Sooners (715) and the Kansas Jayhawks (716). Oklahoma (16-10) has lost five straight games after their upset loss at home to Texas on Saturday as a 7-point favorite. The Sooners shot just 30.8% from the field in that game. At times, such a poor shooting effort may be a harbinger of a visit from the Regression Gods. However, this Oklahoma team has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after failing to make more than 33% of their shots in their last game — and this includes four Unders in those last five situations. The team’s struggles on offense start with freshman sensation Trae Young who is in the midst of a terrible shooting slump. He has made only 10 of the 51 shots from 3-point land he has hoisted up during his team’s losing streak. Young tends to force his shot when his teammates are not making their shots — and this problem gets worse when they are playing on the road. Oklahoma is still averaging 87.5 PPG on 47.1% shooting. But the Sooners are scoring over 13 PPG less than their season average over their last five games while making just 43% of their shots over that stretch. Unfortunately for this Oklahoma team, that low shooting mark is just about what they are shooting on the road given their 43.8% shooting percentage. The Sooners have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Oklahoma has also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss to a conference rival. Additionally, the Sooners have played 3 straight Unders after getting upset by at least ten points despite being the favorite in that game. And in their last 9 games after an upset loss to a conference rival, Oklahoma has played 6 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, the Sooners have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.

Kansas (21-6) has won three of their last four games with their 77-69 won over West Virginia on Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Jayhawks have then played 10 straight games Under the Total after a win on their home court. Additionally, not only has Kansas played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win but they have also seen the Under go 38-16-1 in their last 55 games after a point spread victory. The Jayhawks scored 83 points in their previous game against Iowa State — but they have then played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after scoring at least 75 points in two straight games. Moving forward, Kansas has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against fellow Big 12 opponents. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Jayhawks have played 7 of these games Under the Total. 25* CBB Big 12 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma Sooners (715) and the Kansas Jayhawks (716). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Illinois-Chicago Flames (712) minus the points versus the Detroit Titans (711). Illinois-Chicago (16-12) has won eight of their last nine games after their 83-75 win at Wisconsin-Green Bay as a 2.5-point favorite on Friday. The Flames should build off their momentum as they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. And while Illinois-Chicago has covered the point spread in eight of their last nine games, they have then covered the point spread in 7 straight games after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Now this team returns home where they are outscoring their visitors by +10.3 PPG while holding those opponents to just a 37.8% shooting percentage. This team will have redemption on their minds tonight considering that this is their first opportunity at home to make up for their upset loss to Cleveland State in their previous home game. The Flames have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on their home court — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Illinois-Chicago has covered the point spread in a decisive 21 of their last 26 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 15 of their last 21 games with the Total set in the 150 to 159.5 point range. This is the Flames just second game since that loss to Cleveland State back on February 10th — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games when playing their second game in eight days.

Detroit (8-20) snapped their three-game losing streak on Friday with their 94-84 upset win at Youngstown State as a 13.5-point underdog. But the Titans have then failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games after a point spread win. Detroit has also failed to cover the point spread in 26 of their last 35 games after a double-digit win on the road. Additionally, the Titans are just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. Now this team stays on the road where they are just 3-12 this season while being outscored by -15.0 PPG. This Detroit team makes only 41% of their shots on the road while allowing their home hosts to make 49.7% of their shots which is translating into 89.8 PPG. 3-point shooting will likely play the biggest role in this game. Illinois-Chicago leads the Horizon League by making 37.6% of their 3-point shots — and the Titans are 9th in the conference by allowing their opponents to make 39.9% of their 3-point shots. On the other hand, Detroit is last in the Horizon by making just 34.4% of their 3-point shots — and the Flames are tops in 3-point defense by holding their opponents to just a 32.2% shooting mark from behind the arc. The Titans have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And in their last 10 trips to Illinois-Chicago, Detroit has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these contests. Together, these team trends produce our specific 127-35 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CBB Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the Illinois-Chicago Flames (712) minus the points versus the Detroit Titans (711). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (703) plus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (704). Miami (18-8) has lost three straight games with their 62-55 upset loss to Syracuse as a 4.5-point favorite. The Hurricanes made just 33.9% of their shots in that game which was their worst offensive effort of the season. Miami has now failed to cover the point spread in three straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 32 of their last 49 games after failing to cover the point spread in three straight games. The Hurricanes held the Orange to just 25 points in the first half of their last game — and they have then covered the point spread in 44 of their last 71 road games after not allowing more than 25 points in the first half of their last contest. That came on the heels of Miami holding the Cavaliers to just 17 points in the first-half against Virginia — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than 30 points in the first half in two straight games. Now this team goes back on the road where they have covered the point spread in a decisive 52 of their last 80 road games as an underdog getting 6 points or less — and this includes covering the point spread in five of their last eight road games as a dog getting no more than 6 points.

Notre Dame (16-11) has won three of their last four games after their 84-67 upset victory at Boston College on Saturday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Fighting Irish made 63.3% of their shots in that game which as a season-high for this team. Notre Dame is still getting by despite being riddled with injuries. Their star player Bonzie Colson and freshman D.J. Harvey are both not likely to take the court again before the end of the regular season. That is not a good sign for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games after a victory by at least 15 points — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in their last 3 games after a double-digit win on the road. Additionally, the Irish have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a point spread victory. The injuries this team has suffered which have shortened their bench will not help them when playing on short rest. As it is, they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 21 games when playing with one day or less of rest. Lastly, in their last 5 games with the Total set in the 130 to 139.5 point range, Notre Dame has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of these games. 10* CBB Miami (FL)-Notre Dame ESPN Special with the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (703) plus the points versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Purdue Boilermakers (866) minus the points versus the Penn State Lions (865). Purdue (23-5) has lost three straight games after they suffered a 57-53 loss at Wisconsin on Thursday as an 11-point favorite. The Boilermakers were flat in that game after suffering two straight heartbreaking losses to Ohio State and then Michigan State last Saturday. No shame in those two losses to two other Top-Fifteen teams in the Ken Pomeroy rankings. But Purdue made only 39.6% of their shots on Thursday which was their worst offensive effort in their last twenty games. The Boilermakers have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a loss against a Big Ten rival by 6 points or less. Purdue has also covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after an upset loss as the favorite. Additionally, the Boilermakers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after allowing no more than 60 points in their third straight game. And while Purdue has failed to cover the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. This remains an elite team that is 5th in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency and 8th in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency — and only Michigan State is the other team to be in the Top Ten in both those categories. They have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 11 games when playing just their second game in eight days. They return home where they are 14-1 with an average winning margin of +24.9 PPG. They are scoring 85.8 PPG while making 50.7% of their shots on their home court while limiting their visitors to just a 38.7% shooting percentage. Purdue has covered the point spread in 18 of their last 26 home games as a favorite or pick ‘em.

Penn State (19-9) has won four straight games after they defeated Ohio State on Thursday as a 1.5-point favorite. But this Nittany Lions team may be due for a letdown against this angry Boilermakers team. Penn State has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. And while the Nittany Lions have won six of their last seven games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games. Now this team goes back on the road where they have failed to over the point spread in 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 9 points. Penn State has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games with the Total set in the 140 to 144.5 point range. And in their last 17 road games against teams with a winning record at home, the Nittany Lions are just 4-12-1 ATS. The biggest weakness for this team is that tend to make things too difficult for themselves in scoring points by not getting to the free throw line enough. They rank 235th in the nation with a free throw attempt to field goal attempt ratio of 31.6% — and that number has dropped to 27.5% mark in Big Ten play. That makes it tough as a big underdog. Lastly, Penn State has failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against the Boilermakers in West Lafayette. Together, these team trends produce our specific 91-31 ATS combined angle for this situation. 20* CBB Sunday Late Show Bailout with the Purdue Boilermakers (866) minus the points versus the Penn State Lions (865). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Temple Owls (856) plus the  points versus the Houston Cougars (855). Temple (15-11) saw their five-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with their 93-86 loss at Wichita State as a 12.5-point underdog. The Owls allowed the Shockers to make 56.4% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last seventeen games. Temple has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a loss to a conference rival — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Owls have covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing at least 90 points in their last game. What this team does best is clamp down on the perimeter. Temple is 16th in the nation by limiting their opponents to making just 31.2% of their 3-point shots — and that number drops to just a 29.6% mark in conference play. The Owls have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Temple has also covered the point spread in 25 of their last 37 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Additionally, Temple has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games overall in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range. They will be motivated with revenge on their minds after losing at Houston back on December 30th by a 76-73 score. The Owls have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games when looking to avenge a loss where they allowed at least 75 points.

Houston (20-5) has won four straight games with their 67-62 upset win over Cincinnati on Thursday. The Cougars have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games after winning three straight games against conference rivals. And while this Houston team has won eight of their last ten games along with twelve of their last fifteen contests, they may be due for a letdown now. The Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games after winning eight of their last ten games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after winning twelve of their last fifteen games. The biggest weakness for this team is that they put too many opposing players on the free throw line. Houston ranks 312th in the nation with an opponent’s free throw attempt to field goal attempt ratio of 41.3% — and that number worsens to a 41.5% ratio in conference play. They are also only making 42.5% of their shots when on the road. The Cougars have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road. And in their last 14 road games as a favorite laying no more than 3 points, they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of these games — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in three of these last 4 situations. Together, these team trends produce our specific 94-34 ATS team trends for this situation. 10* CBB Houston-Temple CBS Sports Network Special with the Temple Owls (856) plus the  points versus the Houston Cougars (855). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Weber State Wildcats (701) and the Sacramento State Hornets (702). Weber State (18-7) has won eight straight games after their 95-86 upset win in overtime at Portland State on Thursday. The Over is then 7-2-1 in the Wildcats’ last 10 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is also 18-7-1 in their last 26 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, Weber State has played 10 of their last 12 games on the road Over the Total after a game where both teams scored at least 75 points. Additionally, the Wildcats have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after winning at least three straight games. Weber State has played a decisive 43 of their last 63 road games Over the Total. The Wildcats gave also played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. These team trends make sense when considering that Weber State is making 49.2% of their shots away from home while allowing their home hosts to make a healthy 47.2% of their shots. Weber State has made 52.3% of their shots in their last five games.

Sacramento State (6-20) has lost five straight games with their 67-64 loss to Idaho State on Thursday as a 3-point favorite. The Hornets made just 41.7% of their shots which was their worst shooting effort in their last four games. Sacramento State has then played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a loss to a Big Sky opponent. The Over is also 17-8-1 in their last 26 games after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 12-4-1 in their last 17 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Hornets have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing their second game in three days. Sacramento State stays at home where they have played 11 of their last 13 home games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em — and this includes playing eight of their last nine home games Under the Total when getting no more than 6 points as the underdog or pick ‘em. The Hornets are making 49.6% of their shots on their home court — but they will need to be making their shots tonight given their defense that has allowed their last five opponents to make 49.4% of their shots. Sacramento State has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 6 times. 10* CBB Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Weber State Wildcats (701) and the Sacramento State Hornets (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the UC-Irvine Anteaters (643)  minus the points versus the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (644). UC-Irvine (13-15) looks to rebound from a 62-61 upset loss to Hawai’i on Thursday as a 7-point favorite. The Anteaters did limit the Warriors to just a 35.2% shooting percentage but that was actually the best a team has shot against them in their last four games. UC-Irvine has bounced-back to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 5 straight games after a point spread loss. Now this team goes back on the road where the have covered then point spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Additionally, the Anteaters have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 20% to 40% range. And while the Mustangs force only 12 turnovers per game, UC-Irvine has covered the point spread in 8 straight games against teams who do not force more than 12 turnovers per game after 15 games into the season. Furthermore, UC-Irvine has covered the point spread in 4 straight trips to Cal-Poly SLO.

Cal-Poly SLO (8-18) has lost three straight games with their 92-84 loss to Cal-Davis back on Thursday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Mustangs have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after a loss to a conference rival. Furthermore, Cal-Poly SLO has failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after allowing at least 80 points in their last game. Additionally, not only have the Mustangs failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 9 games after suffering two straight losses but they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games after enduring three straight losses. This team stays at home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games — and they have also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. This team struggles on the offensive end of the court where they are shooting just 40.1% from the field — and they are making only 37.5% of their shots over their last five games. Lastly, the Mustangs are just 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 117-22 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* CBB Road Warrior Wipeout with the UC-Irvine Anteaters (643)  minus the points versus the Cal-Poly SLO Mustangs (644). Best of luck for us — Frank.