The set-up: Cornell jumped out to an early lead yesterday in its 73-62 win over Princeton and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas here. Pennsvylvania comes in off a 76-67 victory at Columbia, but I believe it'll have a much tighter fight on its hands today vs. the suddenly confident Big Red team. Cornell now faces former Big Red head coach Steve Donahue today, looking to avenge the fact that they've dropped 13 of the last 14 in this series. 

The pick: Note that Penn is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten when coming off a five-points or greater victory and playing with zero days rest, while Cornell is 8-2 ATS in its last ten home games playing on no rest and off a win of ten points or more. I like the home side to at the very least, take this one right down to the final moments. Grab the points.

8* BEST OF BEST on Cornell.

The set-up: I base my picks on many things. Primarily though I'm a "situational" handicapper and from a situational stand-point, I think this one works highly in favor of the visiting side. The Kings have won two straight, most recently a very satisfying victory over the Heat at home just last night. The Spurs come in as the "hungrier" team after three straight losses. The Kings are just 10-15 at home this season anyways. 

The pick: The Spurs are also 7-3 ATS in their last ten after two or more consecutive losses and 3-1 ATS in their last four as a road favorite, while Sacramento is just 5-9 ATS as a home dog this year and only 3-4 ATS this season vs. teams which average over 106 plus points per contest. Look for the Spurs to take advantage of this tired/content Kings side and lay the points.

10* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH on the San Antonio Spurs.

The set-up: Harvard is 13-6 and it's looking to bounce back after losing its last two games by a combined four points. Most recently The Crimson fell to Princeton, 70-69. Harvard is still 6-3 on the road though and I think it will in fact use the last two losses as motivation to once again take this contest down to the wire. Outright victory? Clearly very possible. But in a game which I envision coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. Yale is 7-0 at home and 14-4 ATS this year. The Bulldogs are no pushovers, but I think that's just added incentive for The Crimson to "come to play" today. 

The pick: Note as well that Harvard is 20-4 ATS in its last 24 as an underdog, including 2-0 ATS this year, while Yale is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 off a home vs. a conference rival, including 0-2 ATS this season. This one has "nail biter" written all over it, so grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on Harvard.

The set-up: I think the second place Cougars get caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight. Now, I'm not calling for the outright upset or anything, but I'm definitely expecting a much tighter battle than what this spread would suggest. Yes, BYU is 6-3 in WCC action and Portland is just 9-15 overall and 1-7 in league play, but I believe the home side "comes to play" tonight. BYU comes in off a monumental 81-79 win over Saint Mary's last time out, which sets it up for a classic "letdown" here in my opinion. Portland most recently fell 85-61 to Santa Clara. 

The pick: Note though that BYU is just 1-3 ATS this season already as a road favorite or pick and just 9-19 ATS in its last 28 off a win vs. a conference rival, while Portland is already 3-0 ATS this season in revenging a loss in which the opponent scored 85 points or more in. Look for the Pilots to play with passion as they try to avenge the earlier setback and expect the visitors to leave the back door open just enough for home side to comfortably sneak in through once it's all said and done.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Portland.

The set-up: Weber State is the "hungrier" team here in my opinion. The Wildcats are 8-14 overall and 4-7 in Big Sky play. Weber State beat Southern Utah last Thursday, and then fell to Northern Colorado on the weekend. Sacramento State is 11-9 overall, but it's also only just 4-7 in league action. The Hornets come in with zero momentum as well, as they've lost three straight, most recently a 67-53 setback to Idaho on Monday. Weber State also plays with the added incentive of "revenge" tonight after it fell 71-57 in Sacramento back on January 11th. 

The pick: Sacramento State is also a poor 3-6 ATS in its last nine as a road dog of three points or less (including 0-2 ATS this season), while Weber State is already 4-1 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Lay the short points, expect a big rout.

8* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on Weber State.

The set-up: Denver destroyed Portland 127-99 last night, but I think it'll come out flat here vs. this desperate Jazz team. Utah has last four straight and I believe it's going to keep the foot on the gas from to finish here as it looks ot take advantage vs. the now weary Nuggets team. The Jazz are still 18-4 at the Vivint Smart Home Arena this year and I expect that record to improve resoundinly after this one. 

The pick: The Nuggets are also just 48-60 ATS in their last 108 on the raoad and only 2-4 ATS this season after covering in four or five of their last six vs. the spread, while Utah is a perfect 4-0 ATS already this year after failing to cover four of its last five vs. teh spread, 5-2 ATS in trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent and 2-0 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of six points or more. All signs point to a lop-sided destruction for the home side. Lay the points. 

10* DESTRUCTION on the Utah Jazz.

The set-up: Am I predicting an outright upset here? Nope. But I do think that the "hungrier" team will come in "under the radar" here and keep this one much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. The Mountaineers are 17-4 overall and 5-3 in league play, while Iowa State enters having lost five of its last six (9-12 overall.) Note that the Cyclones aren't the same team that made the NCAA Tournament last year, but they're still averaging 74.7 PPG, while allowing 72.2. WVU averages 73.3 PPG and it allows 61.3. 

The pick: Note though that Iowa State is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 off two straight losses vs. a conference rivals (including 2-0 ATS this season), while WVU is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a home favorite in the 9.5 to 12 points range (including only 1-2 ATS this year.) No outright, but closer than expected.

9* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Iowa State.

The set-up: Southern Illinois has won five straight and is 7-3 in the Missouri Valley Conference, but I believe it'll finally have a letdown here vs. this hungry home side. Evansville is desperate beyond believe after opening conference play by going 0-10, most recently falling 80-68 to Northern Iowa. The Salukis are just 10-12 overall though and if not now, when for the Purple Aces? The Salukis average 63.3 points and it allows 60.8. Evansville averages 69.2 PPG and it allows 75.2. Yes, on paer this one favors SIU, but I think the visitors finally get caught looking past their opponent today. 

The pick: Note as well that SOuthern Illinois is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten off a road win, while Evansville is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 after allowing 80 points or more (including 4-2 ATS this season.) I'm primarily a "situational" handicapper and this one falls into several of my systems. Clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Evansville.

The set-up: Duke is is coming off a 97-88 win and cover on the road over Syracuse, but I think it'll have its hands full here vs. this hungry BC side. Boston College is just 7-7 at home, but it comes in off an impressive 71-70 win over UNC and I have no reason not to believe that the Eagles can't carry over that confidence/momentum here. BC is playing its best basketball of the season and it's out to avenge a terrible 88-49 loss to Duke on December 31st. On paper the Blue Devils are clearly the better team. But BC's recent improvement in play, combined with these strong situational factors make the home side the correct call here in my opinion. 

The pick: Note as well that Duke is a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite in teh 12.5 to 18 points range, while BC is a solid 5-2 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent which scored 75 points or more in. I'm grabbing the points and expecting an all out battle until the end.

10* DESTRUCTION on Boston College.

The set-up: Enough is enough. After 11 straight losses, I look for the Wolves to risk life and limb to pull out this victory today. The Kings come in off a double-digit loss to the Lakers. The Wolves still have one of the best players in the league in Karl Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins is putting up career best numbers. I look for these two to put their team on their backs tonight. The Kings have played only slightly better than the Wolves this year, but I think their young core struggles to keep up with this determined veteran Wolves team. 

The pick: Note as well that Minnesota is 12-10 ATS in its last 22 on the road, while the Kings are just 3-6 ATS as a home favorite this year and only 8-15 ATS at home overall. Grab the points.

10* play on the Wolves.

The set-up: I think the hungry 5-15 Idaho Vandals sneak in under the radar here vs. the 11-8 Sacramento State Hornets. Both teams come in on losing streaks. Most recently Sacramento State fell 59-54 to Eastern Washington. Idaho lost 77-72 on the road to Northern Arizona. 

The pick: Note that the Hornets are a poor 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games after scoring 55 points or less in their previous contest, while the Vandals are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 off a SU loss. Grab the points and expect an all out war until the final horn!

9* DESTRUCTION on Idaho.

The set-up: While the outright win is obviously not out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. The Bears hold a one game lead over Kansas with a perfect 8-0 conference record. K-State is only 2-6 in league play and it's to pull off the upset here. Baylor is 5-0 on the road and its been exceptional defensively, but the Bears look poised for a mental letdown here in my opinion, with bottom feeder Oklahoma State up next, BU has hit a very "vanilla" part of its schedule. 

The pick: K-State has played its best basketball of the year at home, going 8-4 at Bramlage Coliseum thus far. Additionally note that K-State is still a sharp 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a road loss. I'm grabbing the points and expecting an all out war until the final horn. 

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on K-State.

The set-up: The Knicks have won two of their last four, but I predict they'll have a predictable letdown here vs. this hungry Cavaliers team. Most recently New York beat the Pacers on the road. The Cavs have lost ten of their last 11, including three in a row. Kevin Love and company will be out for blood tonight. Also note that the Cavs play with revenge here, as NY is 2-1 in the season series thus far. 

The pick: Note as well the NY is just 11-13 ATS this year after covering in its prevoius game and only 11-14 ATS vs. clubs with losing records, while Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in revenging a blowout loss of 20 points or more. Look for the "hungrier" team to risk life and limb to get untracked.

8* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The set-up: I like Bradley Beal and the home side to throttle the Warriors here. Golden State broke a five-game losing streak with a rare road win in Cleveland, but I believe it'll struggle to keep pace with the high-tempo and hungry Wizards in the Nation's capital tonight. The Wiz have won four of seven and Beal is playing his best ball of the season and he's playing with a chip on his shoulder because of the All Star snub. Expect that trend to continue here vs. this hapless Warriors defense. 

The pick: Note as well that Golden State is still just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 on the raod, while Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last seven at home. Look for Washington to go up early and to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn. Lay the points.

8* play on the Washington Wizards.

The set-up: Detroit's slide has been brutal and while it's playing through injuries, I still believe it'll have more than enough in the tank here to push the visiting side to brink. Detroit comes in off another loss at home to Toronto as a 4.5 point underdog, while Denver knocked off the East leading Bucks in its last contest. And with a game at home on Tuesday vs. red hot Portland, who would fault the visitors for coming in complacent and looking past their lowly non-conference opponent today?! 

The pick: Additionally note that Denver is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten non-conference road games after scoring 125 points in a win in its last game, while Detroit is 7-2-1 ATS in its last ten after five or more ATS losses in a row. I wouldn't in fact be shocked by an outright upset, but in the end I'm grabbing the points.

10* BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST is on Detroit Pistons.

The set-up: I think Dayton is going to get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent today. Dayton has won ten in a row, but the Rams aren't going to roll over here. Most recently Fordham fell 62-52 to St. Bonaventure. Dayton comes off a 73-69 win over Duquesne. On paper, clearly the Flyers are the better team, but everything points to this being a letdown/trap in my opinion. 

The pick: Note that Fordham is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 conference road games as an underdog in the +23.5 to +27.5 points range, while Dayton is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine conference home games following a nine games or more SU unbeaten streak. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a solid cover.

10* play on Fordham.

The set-up: The Wolves are out of playoff contention, but I think they'll put up a fight here after falling in OT at home to the Kings. Note that LA is also coming off a 20 points loss to the Kings. Karl Anthony Towns and Anthony Wiggins both continue to play hard for Minnesota and I believe they'll keep their team in this one late. Kawhi Leonard didn't play last time out and there's a chance he won't play here either. The Clippers are not at 100% health and I think they're going to struggle with consistency again here. 

The pick: Also note that the Wolves are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games following an OT home loss, while the Clippers are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games following a 20 points or more SU loss. Grab the points, expecting a tight battle.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The set-up: Troy got the better of Georgia State at home 75-65 two weeks ago. The Trojans though are in bounce back mode after an 86-57 loss to Georgia Southern. The Panthers' lone loss in their last five was against the Trojans. I think the "revenge" factor gets thrown out the window here, as Troy is still the "hungrier" team. 

The pick: Overall the Trojans have three victories over top five teams in the conference. Additionally note that Troy is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 conference road games as a double-digit underdog, while Georgia State is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a double-digit same season road loss. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

8* play on Troy.

The set-up: The Rebels are hungry here. After breaking a six-game slide, they then lost in double OT at home to Auburn. LSU though comes in complacent here in my opinion, as it's won nine in a row, most recently over Alabama. Also note that this is a revenge game, as LSU posted the 80-76 road win in the reverse fixture. 

The pick: Additionally note that Ole Miss is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games as a double digit dog and off an OT home loss, while LSU is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 following a six games or more unbeaten streak. I'm not calling for the outright, but everything points to this one being closer than what this spread would suggest. 

8* play on Mississippi.

The set-up: I think the 14-4 Yale Bulldogs get caught looking past the 6-12 Columbia Lions. Columbia is 1-1 in Conference play after falling to Cornell at home last time out 62-50. Yale comes in complacent here though in my opinion after four straight wins, including starting conference play 2-0. Columbia averages 66.8 PPG and it allows 69.1. Yale averages 75.7 PPG and it allows 62.7. 

The pick: Note though that Columbia is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 off a loss vs. a conference rival, while Yale is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. This is a letdown spot for the Bulldogs in my opinion. Conversely, the Lions will be eager to pull of the upset here and while that likely won't happen, everything points to a more competitive battle than what this spread suggests. Grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on Columbia.

The set-up: I think CSUB comes in under the radar here vs. WAC-leading NMSU. The Runners are 4-2 to start WAC play. NMSU is 6-0 in WAC play. Note though that three of the Aggies last four wins have come by single digits. Teams regularly reserve 

The pick: The Roadrunners posted their second OT win of the season last Thursday by knocking off Utah Valley 58-59. CSUB then lost 86-79 at home to Seattle. I believe the hungry visitors do indeed push the home side to the limit and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright, everything points to this one being a competitive battle until the end. Grab the points.

8* play on Bakersfield.

The set-up: North Dakota State is 14-7 and I think it'll have its hands full tonight vs. the hungry 5-13 Western Illinois Leathernecks. This is a big time revenge game for the desperate home side. The Bison have won 14 of the last 15, including all three meetings last year. 

The pick: Note as well that North Dakota State is a poor 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a home win against a conference rival, while WIU is 14-8 ATS in its last 22 revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, including a sharp 4-1 ATS this year. Expect a battle until the final moments and grab all these points.

10* play on Western Illinois.

The set-up: Marshall won't be lacking for motivation here as it's lost four of its last five. The Herd though are 3-5 in league play and they'll look to get off the schneid in this very winnable game. FIU was on a three-game win streak, but it enters off a humbling 75-49 loss to Charlotte. Marshall averages 74.6 PPG and it allows 72, while FIU averages 79.6 PPG and it allows 73.4. These teams are evenly matched, but I think Marshall is the "hungrier" side and I believe FIU is collectively rattled after its last poor performance. 

The pick: Note as well that Marshall is already 5-2 ATS this year as a road dog or pick, while FIU is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off a road loss by 20 points or more. I won't be surprised by an outright victory obviously, but in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. 

8* play on Marshall.

The set-up: The Spartans and Wildcats played on December 18th and MSU hung on for the 77-72 win. I expect a similarily hard-fought affair tonight as well. MSU is tied for first in the Big Ten with a 7-2 record, while Northwestern is just 1-8 in league play. Note though that the Wildcats have faced the 17th most difficult schedule in the country according to BPI. Most recently the Wildcats fell 71-59 to the Buckeyes. Overall NW averages 66.3 PPG and it allows 67.6. The Spartans lost 67-63 in Indiana, then bounced back with a 70-52 win over Minnesota. MSU averages 77.1 PPG and it allows 63.2. 

The pick: On paper MSU is the better team, but Northwestern comes in as the much "hungrier" side this evening. Note that none of the Wildcats' eight losses in conference play have come by more than 14 points. Additionally note that NW is 4-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog of 13 points or more. I believe the home side leaves the back door open just enough for desperate visiting team to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Northwestern.

The set-up: Nebraska is 7-13 and I think it'll have its hands full here with this determined 11-8 Michigan team. After starting 7-0, the Wolverines have gone just 8-4 since. The Wolverines had plenty of turn-over from last season and they've been dealing with injuries, but Nebraska is the perfect opponent to get untracked against. 

The pick: Note that Michigan is 6-0 ATS in its last six after a loss by six points or less and 5-0 ATS in its last five after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while Nebraska is already just 4-6 ATS at home this season and only 4-6 ATS this year after covering the spread in its previous game. I'm laying the points and expecting the "hungrier" team to deliver tonight.

10* PLAY-BOOK on Michigan.

The set-up: The Vandals won't be lacking for motivation today as they've dropped four in a row. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds can empathize, as they've lost two of their last three, including a crushing OT loss to EWU last time out. The "revenge factor" comes into play here as well for the home side, who has lost three straight in this series, including two in a row at home. 

The pick: Southern Utah averages 67 PPG and it allows 64. The Vandals have a stout defense as well which holds the opposition to just under 38 percent shooting on the year. Southern Utah is just 4-5 ATS this season as a favorite, while Idaho is 9-7 ATS as an underdog. In a contest which I envision being decided late, I'm grabbing as many points as I can.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Idaho.

The set-up: I think Luka Doncic will single-handidly will his team to victory here as he tries to make some sense of Kobe Bryant's death. The entire NBA World is in shock still and Doncic had a special early and recent relationship with Black Mamba. The Mavs are coming off a loss in Utah as well. OKC has won five straight and I think it's poised for a letdown here finally though. Also note that the Mavs play with the revenge factor after falling 106-101 here earlier in the season. Overall Dallas averages 116.6 PPG and it allows 108.1. The Thunder though average 110.8 PPG and they allow 109.8. 

The pick: Additionally note that Dallas is still a sharp 7-3 ATS this year as a road underdog and 5-2 ATS in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite this season, while OKC is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine after scoring 110 points or more in three straight games. Everything points to a big bounce back for this potent Mavs' offense in my opinion. Lay the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: While I obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, in the end I'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Orlando has lost 12 straight in this series, so motivation to break that slide is definitely working in their favor as well. The Clippers come in content after winning five of their last six, while the Magic have lost four of their last five. Most recently LA beat the Heat 122-117. LA averages 112.7 PPG and it allows 106.7. The Magic though are desperate here after a listless 109-98 to the Celtics on Friday. The Magic are averaging 105.8 PPG and they're allowing 106.8. 

The pick: Orlando's early offensive numbers are skewed though because of early injusry issues, but there's no excuses today. Note as well that the Clippers are already a poor 7-10 ATS this season after scoring 120 points or more, while Orlando is a perfect 2-0 ATS off two or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite. With a game "on the road" at the Lakers on Tuesday, I believe the visitors rest players and get caught looking ahead as well. Grab the points.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Orlando Magic.

The set-up: I think 7-11 Fordham sneaks in under the radar here and finds a way to keep this one competitive vs. 14-5 St. Louis. The Rams come in with momentum as well, as they broke a five-game slide with a win over George Washington last time out. Saint Louis however enters suscepitble after two straight losses in my opinion. The Rams have struggled offensively this year, but the defense has been sharp in allowing only 61 PPG. The Billikens allow 66. And note that over its last four games Saint Louis has averaged just 66 PPG. 

The pick: Additionally note that the Billikens are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 0-4 ATS in its last four following a SU loss, while Fordham is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games following a SU/ATS win/cover. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Fordham.

The set-up: The Citadel Bulldogs return home to start a two-game home stand. The Citadel is 54-47 all time vs. the Paladins in Charleston. The Citadel play with revenge here as well after Furman took both games last year. Furman is the better team on paper, but after its win over Samford, I think it gets caught looking past its lowly opponent tonight. 

The pick: Also note that Furman is a poor 2-6 ATS in its last eight on the road and off a victory and as a favorite of ten points or more, while Citadel is 7-1 ATS in its last eight as a home dog in the ten to 15.5 points range and off a loss. Revenge is a dish best served cold. Grab the points.

10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on Citadel.

The set-up: BOston is 11-9 away from TD Garden and it enters on a two-game win streak. Orlando is 13-9 at home this year and it's looking to bounce back off a loss. Overall Boston averages 112.3 PPG and it allows 105.7. Orlando averages 104 PPG and it concedes a league best 104 as well. Orlando has gotten healthier over the last month and that's seen the team have a dramatic turnaround in play across the board. The Magic though allow only 100 PPG at home, while the Celtics' offensive average drops to 108 on the road. 

The pick: Additionally note that Boston is a poor 2-4 ATS this year already after two or more consecutive home victories, while Orlando is a sharp 3-1 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. Boston is dealing with injuries right now as well. I'm laying the points and expecting a decisive home victory.

10* DESTRUCTION on the Orlando Magic.

The set-up: Yale is 13-4 and its on the road to take on a hungry 7-7 Brown Bears team. Brown plays with revenge here, as it fell at Yale in mid January by a score of 70-56. Yale comes in off an 89-75 road win at Howard, but I think the Bulldogs will have their hands full tonight. This is a great situational play in my opinion, as Brown has had an extended period off, having not played since the loss at Yale. 

The pick: On paper Yale has the advantage, but note that it's just 1-3 ATS in its last four after playing a game as a road favorite, while Brown is 4-2 ATS in its last six revenging a road loss of ten points or more and 4-1 ATS this season after a loss by ten points or more. I think the outright upset is definitely possible, but in the end I'm going to grab the points.

10* ANNIHILATOR on Brown.

The set-up: Clearly the Nets have a lot of issues to resolve. They've been a much better home team than on the road though and they won't be lacking for motivation tonight facing the Lakers. LA comes to town off a come from behind win in New York just last night and it could very likely be sitting key pieces of its rotation in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Situationally I believe this one sets up great for the hungrier home side. 

The pick: But note as well that the Lakers are still just 8-9 ATS in non-conference games this year and only 40-49 ATS in their last 89 vs. clubs with losing records, while Brooklyn is already 6-3 ATS this season as a home underdog. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a "nail biter." 

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Brooklyn Nets.

The set-up: FIU is 13-6 and after two straight victories, I think it comes in a tiny bit complacnet here vs. 7-12 ODU, which enters off two straight losses. FIU plays at a fast pace, averaging 81 PPG, but its defense is horrible. The Monarchs are coming off a tough 66-62 loss to Charlotte. ODU's defense has been fantastic though, ranked 42nd in the league overall. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up nicely for the home side. 

The pick: Note as well that the Monarchs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last five at home, while the Panthers just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a road dog after back-to-back victories. I'm laying the points.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Old Dominion.

The set-up: The Marist Red Foxes are after their second straight victory after getting the better of Iona 83-73. Matt Herasme had 17 points and 11 boards in the victory. It was a break out game for Marist, as it set season highs for field goal percentage, points scored, three-pointers made, three-point percentage, assists, rebounds and free throws made. The Manhattan Jaspers had won four of five to open league play before then falling 65-58 to Monmouth on Saturday. 

The pick: Manhattan is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after playing two straight home games (including 0-2 ATS this year), while Marist is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 80 points or more in its previous game. The Red Foxes come in off an inspiring win and I look for them to carry that momentum over here. That said, grab the points.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Marist.

The set-up: Akron is 4-1 ATS in its last five, but it comes to town off a ten-point home loss to Toledo last time out. Miami Ohio comes in hungrier here though after dropping four of its last five, including falling by nine at Ball State last time out. These two teams are always competitive. Miami Ohio though plays with revenge here as Akron has taken the last two between the schools, both SU and ATS. 

The pick: But note that Miami Ohio is was gone 4-1 SU at home the last five in this series, including 5-0 ATS. Akron is the better team on paper, but Miami Ohio is the hungrier and more desperate revenge-minded team on the floor. Grab the points.

8* play on Miami Ohio.

The set-up: I like the home side to pull off the upset here. However, I'm going to recommend to grab the points instead of playing on the money line. The Shockers have suddenly lost back-to-back games and I think the hungry Bulls will take advantage of this now reeling visiting side. USF won't be lacking for motivation here either as it enters off a 55-54 road loss vs. UCF. Note that USF won this game at home last year by a score of 54-41. The Bulls struggle offensively, but they make up for it on the defensive end. 

The pick: Note as well that USF is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 as an underdog, while Wichita State is just 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 as a road favorite. South Florida's last three losses have come by a combined eight points. The stage is set for the outright, but as stated off the top, I'm grabbing the points.

8* play on USF.

The set-up: This game will be broadcast nationally on Fox Sports 1 and I'm expecting an all out war. The Terps are 14-4, but I believe they'll have a fight on their hands today. In fact note, Maryland is 0-4 in true road games this year. The Terps have not let an opponent exceed 70 points in league play so far, but they come in averaging just 71.2 PPG. Northwestern is just 6-11 and it'll have a big opportunity to snap its frustration with a quality win this evening. Easier said than done, but note that the Wildcats do in fact have two wins over Top 100 teams and six of their last seven losses have been by single digits. Northwestern's offense catches a break today facing the slower paced Terrapins.

The pick: Maryland is 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a road favorite (including 0-3 ATS this year), while Northwestern is 8-3 ATS this season as an underdog. This one has "nail-biter" written all over it, so grab the points.

10* play on Northwestern.

The set-up: On paper the Bucks are the much better team here. At 38-6 though, I think the home side comes out a bit complacent here vs. this 16-28 Bulls team. Chicago though does come in with some momentum after taking down the Cavaliers 118-116 last time out. The Bucks average 119.5 PPG and the Bulls average only 105.8. Chicago though had key players injured again to start the season, so this offense is only finally starting to come together. Both however sport similar defensive numbers, with the Bulls allowing only 107.8 PPG, while the Bucks concede 106.9. 

The pick: Chicago is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a road dog and 5-3 ATS in its last eight in trying to revenge a blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more, while Milwaukee is just 11-14 ATS already this season after three or more SU victories. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a competitive battle.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Chicago Bulls.

The set-up: Charlotte is 10-6, but it comes in off an 80-63 loss to WKU. A game vs. 6-12 ODU sets up as a look-ahead/let-down spot for the 49ers though in my opinion. And ODU definitely won't be lacking for motivation here after it fell 68-67 to Marshall last time out. 

The pick: Note as well that Charlotte is a terrible 11-19 ATS in its last 30 as a road dog (including only 2-3 ATS this season), while ODU is a strong 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home favorite. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Old Dominion.

The set-up: I think 6-11 Illinois State is the "hungrier" team here. Clearly the outright win isn't out of the question with a spread like this, but I'm going to grab the points in the end. Most recently Illinois State fell 84-74 to Drake to fall to 1-4 in Conference play. Overall the Redbirds average 67.2 PPG and they allow 70.6. Loyola Chicago averages 70 PPG and it allows 61. On paper and as stated above, this one favors the visitors. But I believe the Ramblers come in complacent after two straight wins. 

The pick: Note as well that Loyola Chicago is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten road games following a two games or more unbeaten ATS/SU streak, while Illinois State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 home games following a loss by ten or more points and as an underdog of four points or less. Everything points to the slight upset, grab the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK on Illinois State.

The set-up: Miami looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its impressive road win over the Thunder, while I expect the Spurs to risk life and limb here for a victory after getting embarrassed at home by the Hawks in a close loss. Miami is at home tomorrow night as well to the Kings, so I believe this does in fact set up as a "look ahead" spot for the visitors as well. The Spurs are now below .500 and they can ill afford to look past anyone. San Antonio has a game tomorrow night in Phoenix vs. an equally as desperate Suns team, making tonight's contest that much more imporant for the home side here. 

The pick: Note that Miami is just 4-5 ATS this year as a road favorite and only 4-5 ATS this season off a road win, while San Antonio is a sharp 7-3 ATS this season in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. Look for the home side to pull away down the stretch.

10* NON-CONFERENCE BEST OF THE BEST on the San Antonio Spurs.

The set-up: Georgia State is 13-6 and it's won three straight. I think it gets caught looking past this desperate Troy home side, which has lost two in a row and five of its last six. Note though that Georgia State is just 4-6 in true road games this season. Georgia State has the better offense, but note that Troy is 5-4 at home. Also note that each team won its home floor in last year's season series. 

The pick: Note as well the Georiga State is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten following three game SU/ATS unbeaten streak, while Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games after a three-games or more losing streak and as an underdog. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a battle until the final moments. 

8* SLAM-DUNK on Troy.

The set-up: Elon comes in under the radar here, but hungry as ever after losing four of its last five games. Most recently the Phoenix fell 63-41 to Drexel. Delaware has lost four of five, most recently falling 77-68 to William and Mary. The Blue Hens are the better team on paper, but I think they get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. 

The pick: Note as well that Delaware is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight as a favorite and only 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 following a SU loss, while Elon is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight following a SU loss. Grab the points and expect a battle until the end.

9* DESTRUCTION on Elon.

The set-up: After falling to Kansas to open league play, WVU has rattled off thee straight Big 12 victories and it enters at 14-2 overall. K-State comes in as the "hungrier" team though as it's lost nine of its last 12. The Wildcats will be looking to get off the schneid here and earn their first conference victory of the year. The Wildcats are sharp defensively as well, holding the opposition to just 61.8 PPG on average. WVU averages only 72.1 PPG and I believe it'll have its hands full with his now desperate home side. 

The pick: Additionally note that WVU is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten conference road games after three or more SU/ATS victories, while K-State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after three or more losses and as an underdog of five points or more. I'm grabbing the points and expecting this contest to be decided in the final moments.

10* CASH-BOMB on Kansas State.

The set-up: Dallas plays with revenge here after falling 121-119 in Portland earlier in the season. The Blazers have been more "miss" than "hit" this season, but after two straight victories and playing against this revenge minded home side, I believe Portland reverts to its usual sub-par self. The Mavs have looked better now that Luka Doncic is fully recovered from his ankle injury, as the Mavs enter this one off three straight victories. Doncic had 25 points, 15 boards and 17 assists in the most recent 127-123 win over the Kings. 

The pick: Note as well that Dallas is 10-3-2 ATS in its last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing SU record, while Portland is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten on the road and only 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in a SU win in its previous outing. After a big win at Houston, I look for the Blazers to stumble in this difficult road venue. Lay the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: I think the 9-6 Rider Broncs get caught lookin past the 4-11 Niagara Purple Eagles tonight. The Broncs come in off a 69-52 win over a weak Marist team, while Niagara enters off a much-needed 70-69 victory over Iona at home in its latest action. Rider has so far averages 72.9 PPG and it's allowed 71.3. The Purple Eagles average 66.6 PPG and they allow 76.2. Clearly on paper Rider is the better team, but I think this one sets up great situationally for the "hungrier" home side. 

The pick: Note as well that Rider is already a poor 2-6 ATS on the road this season and just 3-4 ATS after playing a road game this year, while Niagara is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog. Rider's form on the road hasn't been great and I believe it'll have its hands full. Clearly the outright win isn't out of question, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Niagara.

The set-up: I think 4-13 MTSU comes in under the radar here and keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest vs. 11-6 FAU. The Blue Raiders have lost eight straight, while FAU has gone 9-3 in its last 12. The Owls though come off a poor 81-58 loss to UNT and with 11-6 UAB invading in two nights, I think this definitely sets up as a bit of a "trap" for the home side. On paper, clearly FAU is the better team. But losing wears on teams and I don't think we have to question MTSU's resolve and focus tonight. A great situational play for sure here in my opinion. 

The pick: Additionally note that MTSU is a sharp 7-2 ATS in its last nine off two straight losses against a conference rival, while FAU is already a poor 4-5 ATS this season vs. schools with losing records. No outright, but a 'nail-biter.' Grab the points.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Middle Tennessee State.

The set-up: The Pacers are the better team on paper. But this is the opener of a home and home set and I think the home side is going to risk life and limb here to try and pull off the minor upset. After two straight wins, complacency kicks in for Indiana and after two straight losses, a sence of urgency for the home side. The Pacers just managed a 101-95 win over the 76ers last time out, but it certainly wasn't pretty. In fact note that Indiana has lost six of its last 11 overall. Note as well that the home team won and covered in each game in this series last year. The Wolves are coming off a 117-104 loss at home to OKC. Both teams are playing without key players for this series (Victor Oladipo and Karl Anthony Townes), but I think this one sets up great for the Wolves situationally.

The pick: Note as well that the Pacers are already a poor 3-5 ATS this year after covering in three of their last four against the spread, while Minnesota is a sharp 8-4 ATS in non-conference games this season. I'm banking on the home court advantage being sigificant tonight. This one means more to Minnesota.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The set-up: I think 14-2 Duquesne, which enters having won four straight, will get caught "looking past" the lowly 6-9 Fordham Rams. The Dukes most recently held on for a 66-61 win over George Washington. The Rams though have lost four of their last five and they've yet to get a conference victory. Most recently they fell 64-44 to St. Bonaventure. Fordham has two players averaging in double figures and Duquesne has three. On paper this one favors the Dukes, but with a more difficult 10-5 opponent in the Rhode Island Rams up next, I do indeed belive the home side gets caught looking ahead here as well.  

The pick: The Rams are also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five after scoring 65 points or less in four straight games, while the Dukes are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) I'm grabbing the points and expecting a "nail biter."

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Fordham.

The set-up: 15-3 Wright STate is at 6-12 Illinois Chicago and I believe that the under the radar home side will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. The Raiders enter off an 80-64 win over IUPUI, while UIC fell 68-52 to UNK last time out. Revenge also comes into play here after Wright State took both games in this serires last year. Overall Wright State averages 81.1 PPG and it allows 72.2. The Flames average 65.4 PPG and they allow 72.2. 

The pick: Wright State though has responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS In its last nine home games following a loss in which it posted 55 points or less in. Conversely, Wright State is already a poor 1-4 ATS this season after playing a road game. Expect the Flames to lay everything on the line and while I wouldn't be completely shocked by an outright upset, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. 

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Illinois Chicago. 

The set-up: I think the 10-7 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers are going to have their hands full today with the 6-11 UT Arlington Mavericks. The Chanticleers are averaging over 80 PPG in the early going, but they enter off a poor 78-66 loss to Texas State. A lot of their early numbers are skewed because of the level of competition. UTA on the other hand has struggled for most of the season with consistency, but it comes in playing its best basketball of the season and off its biggest win thus far, outlasting App State 66-56. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but CC is just 1-4 ATS in its last five road games following a loss in which it allowed 75 points or more inw, while UTA is 7-3 ATS in its last ten home games after a SU win in which it held its opponent to 59 points or less in. This one has "blowout" written all over it. Lay the points.

10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on UT Arlington.

The set-up: I think the 2-7 Iona Gaels come in under the radar here and keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest vs. 8-5 Rider. Iona came into this season having won four straight MAAC championships, but it enters this contest having losgin five in a row. The Gaels are 2-5 on the road this season. Coach Tim Cluess has his work cut out for him if he wants to avoid his first losing campaign as boss since he took over ten years ago. Rider has been the better team "on paper" so far this year, but it comes in off its first conference loss (a poor 80-61 setback to Quinnipiac) and I believe it's primed for another letdown here vs. this unbelievably hungry defending league champion. 

The pick: Note as well that the Gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last five after faling to cover six or seven of their last eigth vs. the spread, while Riders is a poor 0-3 ATS this season already following a conference game. I think the "hungrier" team will at the very least, take this one down to the final moments. Grab the points.

10* UNDERDOG ELITE OF THE ELITE on Iona.

The set-up: Nevada has won its last two games, but it's just 1-2 on the road this year. The Wolf Pack are unbeaten in MWC play and while I think they'll keep that record in tact with another victory here, I don't think it's going come easily. SJSU is now six games under .500 after a 79-64 loss on the road to Fresno State. Clearly on paper the Wolf Pack is superior, but I think the hungry home side doesn't go down without a fight here. 

The pick: Additionally note that Nevada is a poor 10-12 ATS in its last 22 off a win by ten points or more vs. a conference rival, while SJSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range. Considering the above factors, I'm grabbing the points.

9* PLAY-BOOK on San Jose State.

The set-up: Am I predicting that the 5-11 Wyoming Cowboys are going to upset the 15-0 SDSU Aztecs SU tonight? I'm not. But I do think that the stage is set for a much more competitive affair than what this spread would suggest. SDSU is no joke, winning big road games at BYU and Utah State. Most recently the Aztecs faced Utah State on the road and won by a score of 77-68. Overall SDSU averages 75.7 PG and it allows 56.8. The Cowboys come in off a 72-61 loss at Colorado State. Overall Wyoming averages 60.4 PPG and it allows 66.4. 

The pick: I'll point out though that the Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last four when playing the role of underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last five following an ATS victory, while SDSU is a poor 0-4 ATS in its last four road games vs. a team with a losing home record. I think SDSU wins this game, but I don't think it'll cover this large spread again on the road and in this difficult venue. Grab the points.

10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Wyoming.

The set-up: No need to overthink this one. The Kings come in off a win over the Warriors at home just last night and I believe they'll struggle to keep up with this focus Suns team, which is desperate for a victory after falling to Memphis last time out. The Suns are in the middle of an important five-game home stretch and I expect them to risk life and limb to take advantage of this favorable situation. 

The pick: The Suns are still averaging 114.2 PPG this year, while the Kings are still averaging only 105.9. Phoenix has already taken two of three matchups between the clubs this year and I look for it to continue that trend of success tonight. Lay the points.

8* play on the Suns.

The set-up: Valpo is 8-7 and Southern Illinois is 7-8. This is a revenge game for the Salukies, as Valparaiso has won three of the last four between the clubs, including 55-52 last year. Both teams come in off victories, but I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this one. Valpo though looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its upset OT win over Evansville last time out. The Salukis cruised to a 67-55 win over Illinois State last time out and four starters put up double-digit in points. I believe the home side carries that momentum over here. 

The pick: Valpo is also a poor 1-5 ATS in its last six off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, while SIU is already 6-1 ATS at home this season. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Southern Illinois.

The set-up: The Thunder enter off a loss in Philadelphia. The Nets come in off a loss to Orlando just last night as well. In this contest where both team's played just last night, I believe that the home court advantage can not be overlooked as a very real deciding factor once it's all said and done. OKC's recent run came to a crashing halt last night, while Brooklyn has now lost six in a row. I believe that Spencer Dinwiddie and company lay everything on the line here to get off the schneid and to take advantage of this particular matchup. 

The pick: Note as well that the Thunder are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine Eastern road swings in the second game of the back to back and coming off a loss in the first, while the Nets are a perfect 5-0 ATS this season as a home underdog of six points or less. I'm grabbing the points, but expecting an outright.

10* play on the NETS.

The set-up: The Suns come in off a 120-112 win over New York. They play with revenge here after falling to Memphis earlier in the year. This is an important stretch for the Suns, as they play the Grizzlies today, followed by very winnable games vs. the Kings, Magic, Hornets, Hawks and Knicks. I think the Suns lay the hammer down here from start to finish as they push hard over this stretch vs. this "lesser" competition. And for the Grizzlies? They come in off a highly satisfying 140-114 blowout road victory over the Clippers just last night! 

The pick: Note as well that Memphis is just 36-45 ATS in its last 81 vs. teams with losing records, while Phoenix is already 17-5 ATS this year in revening a loss vs. an opponent. This one has home side blowout written all over it in my opinion. Lay the points.

10* REVENGE ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the Phoenix Suns.

The set-up: I think 12-2 Dayton gets caught "looking past" lowly 3-10 St. Joe's today. Most recently Dayton got the better of La Salle 84-58. The Flyers are one of the highest scoring teams in the nation and it's difficult to say anything negative about them. I simply feel that they come in complacent here, while I believe the Hawks risk life and limb here to try and pull off the upset. Keep your eyes on Ryan Daly for the home side, he's the only Hawk to average in double digits in scoring this year. 

The pick: Additionally note that Dayton is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a road favorite of 16.5 points or higher on the tail of a three games or more unbeaten streak, while St. Joe's is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 home games as an underdog in the 15.5 to 21.5 points range. I think the hungry home side keeps this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on St. Joseph's.  

The set-up: I think 5-10 Cleveland State brings everything it has this afternoon to try and pull off this upset vs. 9-6 Youngstown State. This is the home opener for Cleveland State as far as Confernece play is concerned, and that's always a big deal. Cleveland State opened up league action by splitting on the road vs. UIC and IUPUI. The Vikings' record though is more indicative of the level of competition they had to play in non-conference action, as those opponents had a combined record of 95-62. Off an 82-80 win over IUPUI, I like Cleveland State to keep the momentum rolling hee at home. 

The pick: And if recent history is any precedence, then the Vikings have to be loving their chances here, as they took both games vs. Youngstown State last season. I'm throwing the revenge factor out the window. That was last year and the Vikings can't afford to take the foot off the gas now after the slow start. The outright is indeed possible in my opinion, but in the end I'll grab the points.

10* COACH'S CORNER on Cleveland State.

The set-up:

The pick:

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Portland Trail Blazers.

The set-up:

The pick:

10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Oakland.

The set-up: The Raptors have played better than most thought they would this year without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. Every night Toronto takes the court it has a target on its back as teams try to knock off the defending champs. Toronto is 3.5 games back of Miami and it comes to town without the services of key figures Pascal Siakam and Marc Gasol. Miami beat Toronto 121-110 in OT back on December 3rd in the lone matchup this year and I think an even bigger blowout is in the cards here at home. Toronto is off a 117-97 win over the Cavs, while Miami enters off a poor 123-105 loss to the lowly Wizards. 

The pick: Note that Toronto is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven in South Beach, while Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last ten after a SU loss. Look for the Heat to play with passion from start to finish after their latest embarrassing effort as they look to kick this injured Raptors team from start to finish.

10* play on the HEAT.

The set-up:

The pick:

8* play on the HORNETS.

The set-up: I'm not calling for an outright upset here. The 3-9 St. Joe's Hawks though won't be lacking for motivation today as they try to pull off the upset vs. the 10-3 Spiders. Richmond's early record has much to do with strength of schedule. The same can also be said of the Hawks. The Spiders though enter having lost two straight, falling 90-78 to Alabama and then getting crushed at home by Radford 73-58. St. Joes on the other hand comes in off a momentum building 84-69 victory over William and Mary. The Spiders average 76.3 PPG and the Hawks average 71.6. 

The pick: I think it sets up well for the hungry Hawks to keep this one close from a situational stand point, but also note that the Hawks have responded well in this spot from an ATS angle as well, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven as a dog. The Spiders on the other hand are a poor 6-10 ATS in their last 16 after a loss by ten points or more. I look for the Hawks to build off their latest performance and to keep this one much more competitive than what this spread would suggest.

10* UPSET SHOCKER BEST OF THE BEST on St. Joes.

The set-up: Wyoming beat Nebraska Wesleyan 82-68 in its last outing, while Boise State got the better of CSU Northridge on Saturday, winning 103-72. Jake Hendricks had 21 points for the Cowboys in their latest win. I think the lowly Cowboys catch the Broncos complacent here. Boise State has won three straight and I do indeed expect it to get caught looking past its lowly opponent today. 

The pick: The numbers/trends support us as well, as note that Boise State is just 9-12 ATS in its last 21 off a home win by ten points or more, including only 1-3 ATS this year, while Wyoming is 3-1 ATS in its last four off a home victory. I like the improving visiting side to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Wyoming.

The set-up: I think this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the Suns. Phoenix just broke its seven-game losing streak vs. the Kings and they now face a desperate Blazers team, which has lost three in a row and which will emabark on tough Western road swing after this contest. For all intents and purposes, this becomes a "must win" scenario for Phoenix. The Blazers defeated the Suns by only one point earlier in the year, so they definitely won't be looking past their opponent today either. 

The pick: Additionally note that Phoenix is a poor 3-9 ATS in its last 12 in trying to revenge a close loss vs. an opponent of three points or less, while Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last six after two or more consecutive losses. I'm laying the points and expecting the home side to risk life and limb from start to finish.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Portland Trail Blazers.

The set-up: Cleary I'm not predicting an outright win for 2-11 Detroit today, but I do think that the 13-1 Bulldogs will get caught "looking past" their lowly non-conference opponent today to the New Years break and then conference action. Most recently the Titans were competitive in another loss to Oakland, falling 78-69. Overall Detroit averages 66.9 PPG and it allows 79.8. Keep your eyes on Antoine Davis, who averages 25.2 points and 4.4 assists per game. The Bulldogs average 88.2 PPG and they allow 68.1. Filip Petrusev leads Gonzaga in scoring this season, averaging 16.7 PPG. 

The pick: Note though that Detroit is already 3-1 ATS this year after failing to cover in two of its last three vs. the spread, while Gonzaga is already just 3-4 ATS this year after three or more SU victories. I look for the Bulldogs to go up early and then to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Grab the points.

8* DESTRUCTION on Detroit.

The set-up: Wisconsin Green Bay is 5-9 and Northern Kentucky is 9-4. The Phoenix are the "hungrier" team here and while their defense leaves everything to be desired, they average a whopping 82.7 PPG. Most recently Green Bay fell 90-84 to a tough Wright State team. The Phoenix often play five guards on the floor at once and I think they'll stretch the Norse today, who rely on their play in the paint to score. UNK has won three of its last four after pulling away for a 74-64 win over Milwaukee last time out. 

The pick: I'll point out though that the Phoenix are already 6-3 ATS on the road this season and 6-1 ATS in their last seven after a loss by six points or less. UNK on the other hand is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range and interestingly 0-2 ATS this year vs. poor defensive teams which concede 77 plus points per contest. I think the Phoenix' unorthodox style and high-scoring rate proves to be the difference in this one. That said, let's grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Wisconsin Green Bay.

The set-up: The 1-9 Cornell Big Red are going to slide under the radar here vs. the 10-2 Nittany Lions in my opinion. In their most recent 80-76 loss at Hartford, Cornell was led by Jimmy Boeheim with 26 points. Cornell though is on the brink though, as note that it's lost five games by four points or less and a sixth against reigning Patriot League champ Colgate in a game it led by double digits in the second half. The Lions have won ten in a row and they're perfect at home. But with the New Year's break on the horizon, before conference play starts with a game at home vs. Iowa, I do indeed feel this sets up as a "look ahead" spot for the home side. 

The pick: Cornell is also 4-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog, while Penn State is only 1-4 ATS in its last five off a home win by ten points or more. Grab the points.

10* SHOCKER SPECIAL on Cornell.

The set-up: The Warriors have won three straight games after upsetting the Rockets at home on X-Mas Day as double-digit underdogs, but I think they'll predictably return to mediocrity today vs. this hungry visiting side. Phoenix comes to town desperate to break a seven-game slide. 

The pick: Here is what Steve Kerr said after the X-Mas day win for the Warriors: "We're probably not going to play a bigger game than this all year," Warriors coach Steve Kerr said. "A national TV game against the Rockets. This game meant a lot to us." Can anyone say "letdown" spot? NOte as well that the Suns are already 4-1 ATS this year off a cover where it lost the game SU as a dog, while GS is only 2-3 ATS this season as a home dog of six points or less. I like the "hungry/desperate" team to find a way to get the job done tonight.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Phoenix Suns.

The set-up: The Yellow Jackets come in hungry here as they've lost four of their last five over the last two weeks. Overall the Yellow Jackets average 65.6 PPG and allow 67.8. The Warriors had their two-game win streak snapped by Washington last time out. Overall Hawaii averages 71.3 PPG, while coneding 72. 

The pick: Georgia Tech though is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 following a SU loss, while Hawaii is just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 tournament games. Strengh of schedule is the issue here and GT has played a much more difficult one to this point. These early numbers are skewed. Expect a decisive victory from the Power 5 Conference member today and lay the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK on Georgia Tech.

The set-up: Houston comes into this game riding a four-game win streak and it's just a 1/2 game behind the Nuggets for the division lead. This latest win streak includes a come from behind victory over the Spurs, followed by victories over the Clippers, Suns and Kings. Golden State has inexplicably won two in a row itself, but I believe the injury depleted home side has a hard time keeping pace with Houston's scoring depth of James Harden and Russell Westbrook on the national stage (note that Harden is 5-2 on X-Mas Day games as well.) 

The pick: Additionally note that Houston is 4-0 ATS in its last four on the road and 9-3 ATS in its last 12 vs. clubs with losing records, while GS is only 11-29-1 ATS in its last 41 following a SU victory. D'Angelo Russell has been decent for GS this season, but I think his lack of scoring help dooms the home side tonight. Lay the points, expect a blowout.

10* BEATDOWN on the Houston Rockets.

The set-up: With a big X-Mas day game on the horizon, I think the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Of course, the 11-19 Pistons can't afford to look past anyone at this point. The 76ers avoided a fourth straight defeat with a win over the Wizards at home last time out, but the Pistons suffered their fourth loss in a row in a disappointing performance vs. the Bulls. Additionally note that the Pistons play with revenge here after falling 117-111 in Philadelphia earlier in the year. On paper the 76ers are the better team, but I believe the situation sets up great for the desperate/hungry home side. 

The pick: The numbers/trends support as well, as note that the visitors are only 4-7 ATS this year vs. teams with losing records, while Detroit is already a perfect 3-0 ATS off a loss by ten points or more to a division rival. This one has "upset" written all over it, but I'll gladly grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Detroit Pistons.

The set-up: Canisius has won three staright in this series, including a 68-62 victory back in March last year. The Golden Griffins are 5-5, but the Saints are just 3-5. All that said, I think the hungry home side finally bounces back here and gets some revenge in this series in a big way at home tonight to open MAAC play. Note that Canisius is only 1-4 in true road contests this season, most recently falling 82-73 at Buffalo. 

The pick: The Saints are a "different" team at home. So far they're 3-0 there this season. Siena comes in with momentum as well after besting Bucnell 81-71 last time out. Finally note that the Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while the Golden Griffins are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. teams with a losing SU record. With revenge on their minds and momentum on their side, I like the Saints to dominate from start to finish. Lay the points.

10* MID-MAJOR GAME OF THE WEEK on Siena.

The set-up: The Hawks come in off another loss, but were competitive by covering the spread at home vs. Utah last time out. The Nets return home off a loss to the Spurs, a game in which they led for most of until the final moments when they stumbled and blew it. Atlanta's weakness is on the defensive end, but it looked a lot better vs. Utah most recently and I think it carries that momentum over here. 

The pick: Spencer Dinwiddie is doing everything he can for the Nets this year with Kyrie Irving still sidelined with injury, but note that the Nets have been disastrous in this spot for bettors, going 4-7 ATS in their last 11 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, including 0-2 ATS this year. The Hawks conversely have gone a strong 9-4 ATS already this season after three or more consecutive SU losses. In a game which I see coming down to the final moments, I'm grabbin the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on the Atlanta Hawks.

The set-up: Cal Irvine comes to Illinois Chicago with a 7-6 record. The Flames are the "hungrier" team here in my estimation after starting just 4-8. UIC returns home for the first time in three games, which I believe is going to help it tremendously. UCI though is playing its third straight away from friendly confines and I believe this works against it. UCI comes in off a dishearening 67-61 loss to UTEP in the championship game of the Sun Bowl Tournament on December 17th as well. 

The pick: UIC is fighting hard and will be in a particularly foul mood here after falling 67-66 to Illinois State last time out. Tarkus Ferguson was a bright spot in defeat with 22 points. Not as well that UIC is already 3-1 ATS this season off a road loss, while UCI is only 1-3 ATS in its last four as a favorite. In a contest which I envision coming down to the final moments, I'm grabbing the points.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Illinois Chicago.

The set-up: I think the Kings come in under the radar here and keep this one competitive until the final moments. Sacramento is just 12-15 on the year, but it's looked a lot better despite a loss to Charlotte last time out. Overall the Kings average 104.7 PPG and concede 107. The Pacers are 19-9 on the year and 12-3 at home. Overall the Pacers average 109.2 PPG and concede 104.2. 

The pick: The Kings can't afford to look past anyone, but would anyone fault Indiana "looking past" their lowly non-conference opponent todayw tih a game at Milwaukee on Sunday, followed by a game at home vs. Toronto on the 23rd (in fact, key players could be rested for the home side here.) This one has "upset" written all over it in my opinion, but I'm grabbing the points in the end.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Sacramento Kings.

The set-up: Hofstra is 7-4 and Princeton is 3-7. Hofstra enters off a win over Stony Brook, after falling by 28 to St. Bonaventure. Overall the Pride average 77.6 PPG, but I think they'll have their hands full from this suddenly surging home side. 

The pick: After a slow start though the Tigers come in off two straight victories, inlcuding a 90-86 OT win over Iona at the inaugural Air Force Reserve Basketball Hall of Fame Invitational at the Barclays Center. NOte that the Tigers are also 7-3 ATS in their last ten following an ATS victory, while Hofstra is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine following a victory and only 1-4 ATS in its last five road games vs. teams with a losing road record. I think the momentum the Tigers are riding is real and I look for them to carry it over for at least one more game. Lay the points.

10* MID MAJOR MAULING on Princeton.

The set-up: I think the 1-5 Marist Red Foxes give the 6-2 Rider Broncos everything they can handle. Marist is only averaging 56.2 PPG, but it's been good defensively in conceding only 62. 

The pick: The Broncs have won four in a row and I think they come in complacent here. On paper clearly Rider is the better team, but I think the situation and the numbers point to the Red Foxes being able to cover with this huge number they've been afforded. Note as well that Marist is a solid 4-1 ATS in its last five off a close road loss by three points or less, while Rider is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Marist.

The set-up: The Lakers come in off a big 113-110 road win over Miami, handing the Heat their first loss of the year. The Lakers have the best record in the NBA, but with a game at Indiana, followed by a tilt at Milwaukee, then at home to Denver before their X-Mas Day matchup at home vs. the Clippers, would anyone fault the visitors in some small way "looking past" their lowly opponent today? Note that this is a "revenge" game as well for ATL after it fell 122-101 in LA on November 19th as a 15 point underdog. 

The pick: The Hawks can't look ahead or look past anyone on any given night with their 6-20 record. ATL has lost three straight, but note that it's 8-2 ATS in its last ten after three straight losses by ten points or more (and that includes going 2-0 ATS this year.) LA on the other hand is a poor 2-6 ATS in its last eight as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range (including only 1-3 ATS this season.) Grab the points, expect a comfortable cover.

10* PLAY-BOOK on the Atlanta Hawks.

The set-up: CSUN is only 2-8 and the Pacific Tigers are 9-3, but I'm expecting a competitive battle until the final horn. CSUN comes in highly motivated after three straight losses, while Pacific comes in complacent after four straight victories. The numbers on paper firmly favor the Tigers, but as stated above, I think from a situational stand point this one sets up great for the hungry Matadors. 

The pick: Note as well that Pacific is 2-4 ATS in its last six home games, while CSUN is 4-0 ATS in its last four on the road. Pacific is also 0-3 ATS the last three in this series in front of the home town crowd. I think the "hungrier" team will at the very least, keep this one very tight until the final moments. Grab the points.

10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on CS Northridge.

The set-up: 8-1 Stanford is at 3-7 San Jose State for a Saturday night non-conference matchup. I'm not calling for the outright upset, but I do think that the visitors will get caught flat footed here vs. this hungry home side. SJSU has lost five straight, so motivation won't be an issue here. 

The pick: Seneca Knight has scored in double-digit in six of his last seven games for the Spartans and I predict the SJSU standout will have a big game on his home floor. The Spartans are struggling in all categories, but I think from a situational stand point this one sets up nicely for them, as the Cardinal get caught looking ahead to their game at home vs. the surging San Francisco Dons. No outright, but a comfortable cover through the back door once it's all said and done.

9* PLAY-BOOK on San Jose State. 

The set-up: The 8-2 San Francisco Dons are at Cal State Fullerton to take on the 3-7 Titans. San Francisco has the much better early numbers across the board, but I think the desperate/hungry home side will give the Conference leader everything it can handle. San Fran comes in off a highly satisfying 76-64 win over Cal and I think it does indeed come in complacent here. 

The pick: Cal State on the other hand will be desperate here to pull off the upset and snap a five-game slide, most recently falling 66-55 to San Diego. San Fran though has struggled in this spot for bettors, going just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 as a road favorite, while Cal State has gone 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 60 points or less in three straight games. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a war until the final horn. 

10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Cal State Fullerton.

The set-up: The 7-2 Toledo Rockets are at Detroit to take on the 1-7 Titans. I think the hungry home side though will keep this one more competitive than what this spread would suggest. The Rockets have won four straight, but I think that success in this case is going to lead to complacency. Detroit though has lost five in a row and I believe it comes out and throws everything it has at its non-conference opponent today in an attempt to get off the schneid. On paper the Rockets are clearly the better team, but I think they'll be in for a fight here vs. this desperate home side.

The pick: Keep your eyes on Detroit's Antoine Davis, who is averaging 24 points and five assists per game. Note as well that Toledo is just 3-4 ATS as a favorite this year and only 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 80 points or more. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

8* DESTRUCTION on Detroit.

The set-up: The Hoosiers opened up the season 9-0. Then last week they lost their first Big Ten Game 84-64 to Wisconsin. This is the Hoosiers first home conference game of the year, but I think they'll come out flat here vs. this hungry 4-5 Cornhuskers side. Note that the Hoosiers have only played one ranked team so far, so their win/loss record needs to be taken with a grain of salt in my opinion. Nebraska comes in off a 95-76 loss to a red hot Creighton team, but I think it bounces back here and keeps this one more competitive than what this spread would suggest. 

The pick: Note as well that Indiana is just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 home games following a road conference loss of 20 points or more, while Nebraska is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games as an underdog of 15 points or more and off of a loss of 15 points or more. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points.

10* COACH'S CLINIC on Nebraska.

The set-up: I had a play on the Pacers in their home win over the Celtics two nights ago. I then played against the Celtics last night in their second straight contest, this time at home to the 76ers. Philly won that game and now I think the Pacers will stumble here in similar fashion vs. this desperate Hawks side. Outright upset? Possible, but in a game which I do definitely envision coming down to whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab up what I feel to be a generous amount of points. 

The pick: The Hawks give up a whopping 118.8 PPG, but the Pacers aren't blowing anyone away with their offense (Oladipo still sidelined with injury and while Malcolm Brogdon has been decent, offense is still Indiana's weakness.) Where the Pacers excel is on the defensive side, but Trae Young and company's strength is clearly on the offensive side (27.9 PPG average.) Finally note that Indiana is already a terrible 1-5 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less, while ATL is already a solid 3-1 ATS this season off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more (Hawks were just humbled in Chicago.) A three game home stretch follows this game for the Pacers, including a high-profile contest vs. the Lakers. I think the visitors get caught looking ahead and I look for the desperate/hungry home side to take advantage. Grab the points.

10* UNDERDOG ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the Atlanta Hawks.

The set-up: I had a big play on the Pacers last night and after a back and forth battle with Boston, the home side eventually pulled away and held on for the victory in the final moments. Some could argue that Boston got caught "looking ahead" to this game at home vs. the now division leading 76ers, but I'll argue against that. Just look at the performance of Kemba Walker, who poured in 44 points, with three rebounds and seven assists.

The pick: Philadelphia has been poor on the road and the C's have been fantastic at home this season. But all good and bad things come to an end, and I think the highly motivated 76ers come in and take advantage of this tired Boston team that laid everything on the line last night in Indiana. Note that Philly is 7-3 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with winning records, while Boston is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine in the second game of a back to back following a loss in which it allowed 100 or more points in. The situation highly favors the 76ers here.

10* BEST OF THE BEST on the Philadelphia 76ers.

The set-up: I think this is a non-conference opponent in which K-State will get caught looking past. Alabama State is just 1-7, most recently comign off a 73-59 loss to South Dakota on Monday. Tobi Ewuosho continues to lead Alabama State in scoring at 13.8 points per game, while he is also grabbing a team-high 6.3 rebounds per game. K-State is 5-3, but I think it comes out flat here after it's disappointing 73-65 loss to Marquette on December 7th. In fact, the loss ended a 33-game home winning streak vs. non-conference opponents (in the loss the Wildcats shot a season-low in field goal percentage at 32.3 percent.) 

The pick: Alabama State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference games following a loss by ten or more points, while K-State is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 non-conference home games following an ATS home loss. The Wildcats have a ten day break after this game before a home contest vs. St. Louis. Alabama State is right back on the road at Boise State this weekend though. I think the hungry dog keeps this ine competitive late. Grab the points.

10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Alabama State.

The set-up: The Celtics have a game tomorrow night at home vs. the 76ers, who took a .5 game lead with last night's win at home over the Nuggets. Indiana though will be the more motivated side in my opinion after losing two of three. Previous to that though the Pacers had won eight of 11. Indiana also lost three of four to Boston in the regular season last year, while also getting swept by the Celtics in the first round of the playoffs. Revenge is certainly a motivating factor working in favor of the home side as well. Boston averages 110.6 PPG and it allows 104.7, while Indiana averages 108.8 and it concedes 102.8. 

The pick: Note that Boston is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off three or more straigth home wins, while Indiana is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four off an upset loss by ten points or more as a home favorite. I think the C's do get caught looking ahead to their game tomorrow night and I like the motivated and revenge minded home side to take advantage. Lay the point/s.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Indiana Pacers. 

The set-up: The theme of taking underdogs in this five-game report continues with the 3-6 Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix are at UCF to take on the 6-2 Golden Knights. The Phoenix don't play much defense, but they're able to put points on the board with the best of them, with four players averaging in double figures. Overall the Phoenix average 73 PPG and the Knights average 82. 

The pick: But after three straight victories, I think the Knights get caught flat footed here vs. the up-tempo Phoenix, who are ranked as the 26th fastest pace out of 300 teams. Green Bay is also 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog, while UCF is only 7-8 ATS in its last 15 after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games. No outright, but decided late. Grab the points.

8* play on Wisconsin Green Bay.

The set-up: 4-5 Monmouth is hungry for a win here, but 1-6 Princeton is desperate. I like the Tigers to pull away down the stretch in front of the home town crowd once it's all said and done. This is the only favorite I'm taking in this five-game report on Tuesday night. Monmouth averages 64.7 PPG and I think it'll have its hands full with an improving Tigers' team which just fell 82-76 to Drexel (Jaelin Llewellyn led the way with 28 points and three assists.)

The pick: I'll point out that Princeton has been money in the bank for bettors in this position as well, going 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 vs. a team with a losing SU record, while Monmouth is a poor 0-4 ATS in its last four following a SU victory. Lay the points, expect a blowout. 

8* play on Princeton.

The set-up: The Tigers' big second half push came up short in their last game, as they fell to 4-5 in their 83-67 loss to Loyola Marymount. Eli Scott led Loyola Marymount (4-5) with a triple-double (21 points, 13 assists, 13 boards) while Ivan Alipiev chipped in with 12 points and three assists. 

The pick: ULM is 18-3 in its last 21 home games, including a perfect 4-0 this season. That said I think the Warhawks have their hands full today in the I-20 Rivalry. Grambling State has four players that average in double figures and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs do indeed point to this one coming down to the wire. Therefore, let's grab the ample points provided.

8* play on Grambling State.

The set-up: St. Joe's is only 2-8 and it enters having lost seven in a row. Most recently the Hawks fell 78-66 to No. 20 ranked Villanova. Temple is 6-2 with quality victories over USC, Texas A&M and Davidson. So will the Owls get caught looking past their lowly opponent? I think in some small way they do. Temple only allows 60 PPG, but the Hawks have shown a propensity to score on the road this year already, averaging 74 PPG. Yes the Hawks have been terrible defensivel, but they catch a break here facing a Temple offense which isn't running away from anyone. 

The pick: Additionally note that St. Joes is 6-1 ATS in its last seven off a home loss, while Temple is just 10-15 ATS in its last 25 as a home favorite, including 0-3 ATS this year. I think the hungry visiting side keeps this one competitive late, so I'm grabbing the ample points.

8* play on St. Joseph's.

The set-up: Here's another "David vs. Goliath" matchup and while I'm obviously not calling for an outright upset here, I do think that the hungry 1-7 Detroit Titans can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest vs. the 6-3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish. ND looks vulnerable after two straight losses as well. Yes the Irish have beaten up on the "lesser" competition, but it's already lost to heavyweights Maryland, Boston College and North Carolina. Notre Dame is clearly the better team, but the Titans do have a stand-out in Antoine Davis, who averages 23.8 PPG. 

The pick: The Titans have responded well in this spot for bettors as well, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while ND is just 11-21 ATS in its last 32 as a home favorite and only 2-5 ATS in all non-conference games alread this season. I like the hungry visiting side to keep this one close down the stretch.

10* play on Detroit.

The set-up: The 9-14 Detroit Pistons are in the Big Easy to take on the 6-17 Pelicans. Detroit's won three in a row, including a victory over the Pacers last time out. New Orleans on the other hand is struggling with consistency, but it clearly won't be lacking for motivation here after eight straight losses. After narrowly getting by the Pacers, I think this does indeed finally set up as a letdown spot for Detroit. Last night I had a play on the Kings and they wound up winning outright on the road vs. the Mavericks. I think this is a similar type situation here, as the Mavericks entered last night's contest as one of the hottest teams in the league and the Kings were desperate for a victory. 

The pick: Additionally note that Detroit is 0-4 ATS in its last four whne playing on two days rest and a poor 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight following an ATS victory, while New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in its last ten at home in this series. I think the Pelicans finally get over the hump here vs. a complacent Pistons team that struggles on the road anyways. Lay the point/s.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on New Orleans Pelicans.

The set-up: Interesting to note, this game won't actually be played on the Dukes home court, as the UPMC Copper Fieldhouse is being renovated. Instead its at the Kerr Fitness Center ten minutes away. The Lions won't be lacking for motivation here, as they fell to Bryant, 67-65, on a last-second steal and dunk in Smithfield. Columbia got a career-high 25 points from Randy Brumant, who also had 12 boards and also 22 points from Mike Smith. The Dukes are 7-0 after a 71-58 win over VMI on Wednesday, but I think Duquesne will have its hands full here vs. a Lions team which has plenty of talent to match. 

The pick: Additionally note that Columbia is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog or pick, while the Dukes are just 9-14 ATS in their last 23 as a home favorite or pick. I think the "hungrier" team catches the complacent home side flat-footed and I expect it to comfortably sneak in through the back door once it's all said and done. Grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Columbia.

The set-up: Dallas is looking fantastic behind the play of 20 year old phenom Luca Doncic. Doncic has plenty of talent around him as well, but after yesterday's big win over the Pelicans, I think the home side finally gets caught complacent here. The Kings on the other hand are 8-13 and they're hungry for a victory here after three straight losses. The Kings came close though in their last one, falling 105-104 in OT to the Spurs. 

The pick: Clearly in every respect, the Mavericks are better on than the Kings on paper. But Sacramento remains competitive and it's playing its best ball of the young season right now. Additionally note that the Kings are already 8-4 ATS on the road this year and 6-2 ATS off a road loss. The Mavs on the other hand are just 5-6 ATS at home this season. This one comes down to the wire, so grab the points.

10* DESTRUCTION on the Sacramento Kings.

The set-up: I think the 2-5 Thundering Herd can keep this one competitive until the final moments vs. the 6-2 Toledo Rockets. The Herd play with immediate revenge here, as they fell to Toledo 96-70 at home just last week. Marshall then lost to Akron, while Toledo defeated Cleveland State in its last trip to the court. 

The pick: The Rockets have won three straight, but I think they'll have much more of a fight on their hands vs. Taevion Kinsey and the hungry visiting side. I'll point out as well that Marshall has responded well for bettors in a "revenge" role, going 8-2 ATS in its last ten in revenging a loss where an opponent scored 85 or more points. Toledo on the other hand has struggled in this position, going 13-16 ATS in its last 29 as a home favorite or pick, including only 1-2 ATS this season. In a contest which I envision coming down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK on Marshall.