The set-up: Obviously the Knicks are the biggest surprise team in the league this year. New York has to be feeling damn good about its chances of landing a big off-season free-agent after its big season this year. However, after eight straigth blowout wins and covers, everything points to a classic letdown here, especially with another "cream puff" coming to town tomorrow night in Atlanta. The Knicks were super lucky to escape with a home victory last time out, nailing a three-point shot with no time left on the clock to force OT with the Pels, to then go on and win/cover by ten. 

The pick: The Hornets come in off a dominant 109-101 home win over the Blazers, proving that they haven't thrown in the towel either. And with the news that LaMelo Ball is cleared to start working with the team again, there's added incentive again all of a sudden. If Charlotte can win this game, it has contests upcoming vs. the lowly Bulls and Cavaliers, so a three-game win streak would be a very realistic goal here. Outright win? Possible. In the end though, let's grab up all these points!

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Hornets.

The set-up: The Blazers have lost five of their last six. They average 114.6 PPG, while conceding 114.8. The Hornets come in equally as hungry,a s they've lost four in a row. Charlotte got hit by the injury bug early, but this is still a great situational spot bet in my opinion, against a Portland team that's struggling in many regards and which is going to get caught looking ahead to back-to-back home games starting on Tuesday vs. the Clippers and Nuggets.

The pick: Charlotte has lost four in a row, but was decently competitive in a 130-115 setback at the Nets in their latest action. The Hornets play with revenge here after falling 123-111 to the Blazers in early March, and note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which they conceded 120 or more points in. Grab the points and expect this one to come right down to the wire.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Hornets.

The set-up: The Bulls are out for revenge here after the lost 103-94 here to Cleveland back on March 24th. The Cavs are coming off a listless 119-101 loss to the Warriors. Despite having played and lost just last night at home to the Grizzlies, I like Chicago to dig deep here and find a way to get the job done vs. the lowly Cavaliers. 

The pick: The Cavaliers are just 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games, while Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 95 or less points in. Look for the hungry home side to defend its court and lay the short points.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Bulls.

The set-up: I think there's value on this hungry underdog side out to break an eight-game slide. That includes a 123-111 setback at home to Washington just last night. Clearly Phoenix is the better team, but it's interesting to note that it's been exchanging ATS wins/losses over its last ten games straight. 

The pick: Off a big 106-86 SU/ATS win/cover at home over the Heat, there's no reason not to believe this incredibly strong pattern won't continue here. The Suns don't need to run up the score in the second half if they have a lead. The Kings are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. No outright, but closer than expected.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Kings.

The set-up: Both teams are banged up. The Lakers more so. This is a lot of points to be giving up though to the defending champs, who I expect to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. LA has split its last eight games. The Lakers fell 110-104 to the Heat last time out. I expect a very competitive affair here as well. 

The pick: Brooklyn enters off a 139-111 blowout win over the Pels at home. The Nets though are still just 1-6 ATS in their last seven as double-digit favorites. I think this is a great situational play. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Lakers.

The set-up: San Antonio plays with revenge here after falling 106-96 on this floor just two nights ago. Despite that loss, the Spurs have actually been pretty good on the road, going 12-8 SU and 13-7 ATS. Denver is 17-9 SU at home but only 12-14 ATS. Note that the Nuggets are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after holding their previous opponent to 99 points or less in a SU/ATS victory as well. 

The pick: The Spurs are still in the mix for a playoff spot, but they desperately need to find a spark. Note though that San Antonio is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to under 100 points in. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Spurs.

The set-up: This is a bad spot for the Lakers. LA is coming off a win over the Raptors, but it has a tough game here vs. a hungry Miami team that's off a 124-112 loss at Memphis, but which had won four in a row previous. The Heat also hit the road after this for a tough four-game Western road swing, putting added importance onto this contest. 

The pick: LA I think is going to go through the motions with its superstars injured and sidelined. LA plays tonight against the Heat, and then tomorrow night in Brooklyn, making this a prime "look ahead" spot for the visiting side as well. This one is going to be personal to Pat Riley and the home side. Lay the points.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Miami Heat.

The set-up: These two teams have identical records at 25-26. Each still has a good shot at making the playoffs, but both need a win here. New York has lost four of its last five. The Knicks only average 105 PPG, while allowing 104.4. 

The pick: The Celtics have split their last ten games. Boston is coming off a lacklustre loss just last night vs. Philly, but I'm not buying into the fatigue factor here. Note that the Celtics average 112.4 PPG, while conceding 110.6. Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. The panic button has been pressed in Boston. Expect a big response/win this evening and lay short points.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Celtics.

The set-up: Both teams are fantastic. Baylor is great at shooting the three-ball, and Gonzaga is the best at shooting from two-point range. The Bulldogs allow just 89.1 points per 100 possessions on the season. The Bulldogs also have size at every position, which is a mismatch issue for Baylor, as it starts four players 6-foot-5 or shorter.

The pick: The Bears are also tough defensively, but not on the same level as the Zags, allowing 91.8 points per 100 possessions overall (and 97.9 points per 100 possessions vs. Big 12 opponents.) Baylor would have had difficulties with that red hot UCLA team too. Expect Gonzaga's size, experience and depth to prove to be the difference maker and lay the points.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Gonzaga.

The set-up: UCLA is great at shooting the three-ball, and it's been super efficient so far in its big Cindarella run. The Bruins had to play an extra game as well in the FIRST FOUR to even advance into the Big Dance. Gonzaga is on a mission to go undefeated, but after three straight covers to advance here, I'm expecting the Zags to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one.

The pick: Gonzaga is the highest scoring team in the nation, averaging 92.9 PPG. UCLA only averages 72.6. The Bruins are just happy to be here, while the Bulldogs are going to want to send a message at this point to its final opponent. On the National stage, look for Gonzaga to lay the hammer down from the opening tip, until the final horn.

This is a 10* FINAL FOUR GAME OF THE WEEK on Gonzaga.

The set-up: The Grizzlies four-game win streak against-the-spread came to an end in its second straight straight-up loss to Utah, falling 126-110 last time out. With the rematch at home against the Jazz on Wednesday, this absolutely sets up as a "look-ahead" spot as well for the visiting side.

The pick: The Rockets struggles this season are well documented. First it was the James Harden ordeal, and then they were hit hard by COVID. The Rockets are getting healthier though and after hammering the Wolves 129-107 last time out, I expect the still hungry home side to catch this Memphis team flat-footed. The outright is definitely possible, but in the end grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Houston Rockets.

The set-up: Will Oregon State's Cindarella run come to an end here? Maybe not. But for this play, I'm not concentrating on which team will win and cover the entire game, I believe this one sets up well for Houston in the first half of this contest. Oregon State stymied Loyola Chicago last time out in the first half, but Houston is an entirely different animal, that plays an entirely difference pace and approach. 

The pick: This is a bad matchup for the Beavers, who have been on an amazing run up to this point. If this was a "normal" season, Oregon State wouldn't even be in the NCAA Tournament. "Timing" and chemistry is obviously a big and real thing in sports wagering. I think the general CBB betting public has fallen in love with the Beavers, but all signs point to the Cougars coming out firing right out of the gate here as they look to "flip the script" on Oregon State and put the pressure on the Beavers from the "get go." I'm laying the points in the first half.

This is an 8* FIRST HALF DESTRUCTION on Houston.

The set-up: The Ducks smashed Iowa 95-80 behind 23 points from Chris Duarte last time out and I like them to carry that momentum over here into another victry. USC advanced by beating Kansas 85-51. These teams met on February 22nd in LA, and the Trojans won 72-58, setting this up as a classic revenge spot as well for Oregon. 

The pick: The Mobely brothers are tough to stop, but the Ducks perimeter defense has vastly improved since the last time these teams played against each other. The Ducks won the Pac 12 Championship and they've won 11 of their last 12. With a chance to avenge the earlier loss, I look for the red hot Ducks to do just that (that said, grab as many points as you can!)

This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Oregon.

The set-up: UCLA has been hot. Previous to this point, the Bruins entered the Tournament on a four-game slide. UCLA averages 73.1 PPG, while allowing 67.9. Johnny Juzang and company have been playing well, but I think regression is finally in store here vs. this sizzling hot Alabama team. 

The pick: The Tide have won eight in a row, which includes the SEC Tournament Championship. Bama averages 79.7 PPG, while allowing 69.5. This is easily the toughest team that UCLA has faced so far in this tournament, but I can't see the Bruins slowing down this tremendous Tide offense, which excels in shooting from range (Alabama also has a huge rebounding advantage, by 14 per game.) I look for the Tide to pull away for a comfortable cover in the second half.

This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOOUT on Alabama.

The set-up: The Seminoles are a dangerous team that I think can win this one outright. FSU is off a dominating 71-53 win over Colorado in its last outing. Michigan advanced by beating LSU 86-78. 

The pick: Each team features depth and experience. FSU's Anthony Polite is going to be a matchup issue for Michigan, which continues to play without top player Livers. I believe FSU's strong defensive play continues here and while I do think the outright is possible, in the end I'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on FSU.

The set-up: Oral Roberts has been fantastic, most recently advancing past Florida 81-78. The Golden Eagles have a dynamic offense which averages 82.0 PPG. The one weakness of Oral Roberts though is its defensive play, as it concedes 75.9 PPG. 

The pick: Arkansas held on for a tight 68-66 win over a dangerous Texas Tech side and I expect it to lay the hammer down here with the Elite Eight in sight. The Razorbacks already defeated Oral Roberts 87-76 in mid-December, but all signs point to an even bigger blowout here. This is simply a really bad matchup for Oral Roberts, as Arkansas has a couple players over 7 feet. Lay the points, expect a rout.

This is a 10* SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR on Arkansas.

The set-up: Villanova beat UNT 84-61 to advance in its most recent matchup, while Baylor advanced by beating Wisconsin 73-63. Both teams have looked good this year and honestly, it wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either side to cover this contest. 

The pick: Villanova has two National Championships since 2016 though, while Baylor hasn't advanced past the first round since 2012. The Bears are the hungrier side here for sure. Baylor averages 83 PPG, while Villnova averages 75. Look for the Bears superior offense to pull away for the comfortable cover in the closing moments.

This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on Baylor.

The set-up: Both teams are coming off big upsets to advance to the round of 16. Loyola Chicago sports some of the best defensive metrics in the country and while it did take out No. 1 Illinois last time out, I think the Beavers are still be undervalued in this spot. Oregon State's numbers over the last month have been incredible and it has an opportunity here to once again shock the nation. 

The pick: Loyola Chicago's only weakness is its offense. The Beavers are going to try and push the pace and get the Ramblers out of their comfort zone. I don't expect this underdog Oregon State side to go down quietly. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a war until the final buzzer blares.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Oregon State.

The set-up: The 14-10 NCState Wolfpack average 73.5 PPG, while allowing 69.4. They're coming off a win over Davidson to advance. CSU beat Buffalo in the first round. Colorado State averages 75.9 PPG, while allowing just 65.8. 

The pick: The Wolfpack are only 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight following an ATS victory, while the Rams are 7-2 ATS in their last nine neutral site games following an ATS win. These teams are evenly matched, but CSU's superior defensive numbers will see it through to the semifinals.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Colorado State.

The set-up: Indiana is coming off a hard-fought 109-106 OT victory in Miami just last night and I think it'll stumble here as it comes in "gassed." The Pacers managed to win both in Miami, but an imminent letdown does in fact seem, imminent. 

The pick: Milwaukee is coming off six straight SU victories, but it's gone just 2-4 ATS in that span, including going 0-2 ATS the last two. The Bucks hammered the Pacers 130-110 the last time these teams faced off and all signs point to a similar style beatdown here in my opinion. A great situational play, as I think that the Pacers are tired, and I expect the home side to push the pace and pull away down the stretch.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Bucks.

The set-up: Maryland was in complete command in its 63-54 win over UConn as a 3.5-point underdog. Alabama won handily over Iona 68-55, but it was unable to cover the large 17-point spread. Maryland isn't explosive offensively (68.6), but it's efficent, as it hit 51.2 percent from the floor in its last outing. The Terps though are fantastic on the defensive end, conceding just 64.6 PPG. 

The pick: The Tide are on a seven-game win streak after winning the Conference Tournament and first round. Overall Alabama averages 79.2 PPG, while allowing 69.3. The Tide only managed 68 points in their last game, making just 47.2 percent from the floor. Regression is appearing for Alabama right before our eyes. Maryland's defense is underrated and I like it to once again keep the Terps competitive late. Grab the points.

This is an 8* BLOOD-BATH on Maryland.

The set-up: Colorado easily got by Georgetown 96-73 on Saturday, while FSU handled UNC Greensboro 64-54. The Buffs had an unusually awesome percentage from range in their opener and suffice it to say, I'm not expecting lightning to strike twice for them here. Overall the Buffs average 73.8 PPG, while allowing 63.6. 

The pick: Florida State allowed UNCG back into its opening round game, before finally pulling away for good in the final five minutes. Don't expect the Seminoles to take the foot off the gas here though. The Seminoles sport one of the deepest rotations in the country and I'm not reading too much into Colorado's win over an overrated Georgetown team, which somehow caught first in the Big East Tournament to advance. Look for the deeper and more experienced Seminoles to pull away and maintain down the stretch.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Florida State.

The set-up: Ohio is coming off a monumental 62-58 upset win over Virginia in the first round. Can anyone say letdown spot? The Bobcats are in unchartered territory now and I think they'll stumble here vs. the deeper and more experienced Blue Jays. Creighton avoided an upset with a 63-62 win over UCSB. 

The pick: Don't read too much into Ohio's win though. Yes, it was big and signficant, however UVA got hit by some major COVID issues just a week and half before the Tournament started. There's a big asterisk beside that victory. However, we can read a lot from Creighton's win, as the Blue Jays bent, but didn't break. The Blue Jays' numbers on the defensive end are more efficient and I expect that to play a part here as well. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Creighton.

The set-up: Oral Roberts has been fantastic, but I think its Cindarella run comes to an end tonight. The Golden Eagles most recently go by Ohio State in the first round as 15 point underdogs. Florida though comes off an impressive victory over Virginia Tech as a 1.5 point dog and I think it's superior defensive play, and experience will be just too much Oral Roberts to handle in the second round. The Golden Eagles are great offensively, averaging 81.5 PPG, but they've been poor defensively, conceding 75.6. 

The pick: Florida averages 74 PPG, while conceding 69.8. There were plenty of BIG upsets in the first round. Both of these teams come in off upsets. Oral Roberts upset win in the first round can absolutely be classified as a "major" upset though. And this then sets it up for a letdown for sure. Look for Florida's depth on both ends of the court to be the difference and lay the points with confidence.

This is a 10* SECOND ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR on Florida.

The set-up: Texas Tech is 18-10, advancing by beating Utah State 65-53. Arkansas is 23-6 after getting the better of Colgate 85-68. I think the Red Raiders Mac McClung will be a matchup issue for Arkansas today. Texas Tech only allows 63 PPG this year, but just conceded 53 to the Aggies, and there's no reason not to think they won't bring that same intensity here towards the Razorbacks. 

The pick: Arkansas allows 70.6 PPG, and it just gave up 68 to Colgate. The Red Raiders are well-coachd and experienced and I look for their tough defensive play to be just too much for Arkansas to handle. Lay the the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Texas Tech.

The set-up: This is an instate rivalry, but these teams haven't played in over a decade. Illinois cruised by Drexel 78-49 and while I'm not expecting quite as big a blowout here, I do definitely expect Illinois to jump out to a quick lead, one which I expect it to hold onto going into the half-time break. The Ramblers played from behind in their 71-60 win over Georgia Tech last time out, and I think they are in fact "gassed" after that ordeal. 

The pick: Loyola Chicago's offense simply can't match pace with Illinois. The Illini come from the tough Big Ten as well and I think they'll be out to send a message here today. Note that Illinois is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine after a 25 points or greater win in its last outing. Look for the Fightning Illni to put the foot on the gas to open up the FIRST HALF.

This is a 9* FIRST HALF DESTRUCTION on Illinois.

The set-up: Abilene Christian is 23-4, while Texas is 19-7. The Wildcats have won four in a row, most recently a 34-point victory over Nicholls in the conference tournament game. Abilene Christian is extremely adept defensively and I expect that fact to keep it competitive with the Longhorns late.

The pick: Texas has won five in a row, including beating Oklahoma State in the Big 12 title game. Expectations are high for the Longhorns, but note that they're 0-9 ATS in their last nine NCAA Tournament games. The Wildcats are 7-2 ATS in their last nine netural site contests as an underdog in the +8.5 to +11.5 points range as well. The Wildcats have looked like one of the best and most dangerous mid-major teams and I look for them to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Albilene Christian.

The set-up: After seeing a bunch of favorites get the hook early on Friday, the Virginia Cavaliers will be cautious not to follow the same fate here in what is actually a very favorable matchup for them. Note that the Cavs are still the reigning NCAA Champion, because last year's tournament was cancelled. The Cavs had a small COVID issue, and one player will not be at the game today, but they've won seven of their last ten and three in a row. 

The pick: Ohio has won nine of its last ten games. It's had to deal with COVID issues this year as well. The Bobcats lack the depth and experience a this level though, and note that the Cavs are 10-3 straight-up in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 after an ATS loss. The Cavs are well-coached and their defense is suffocating. Look for UVA to pull away for a comfortable win and cover on Saturday night.

This is a 10* FIRST ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR on UVA.

The set-up: No upsets here. There were a bunch yesterday obviously, but I expect the Wolverines to come in focussed and to pull away in the second half for a comfortable win and cover. Texas Southern has won ten games in a row, including an eight-point victory over Mount St. Mary's in the FIRST FOUR. 

The pick: Michigan is 20-4 this year. The Wolverines will come in angry after getting upset by Ohio State in the Big Ten tournament by a point. Wolverines head coach Juwan Howard had this to say of his team's great season in the tough Big Ten Conference: "It's been a great experience for not only players but the coaches as well. All we've dealt with has truly prepared us for this time. Some of the close games that we've had this year, the overtime victory that we've had, a loss during a close game. We've also experienced some games that we've really dominated on both ends of the floor. It's prepared us for this moment." The Wolverines bring a ton of experience here and they're 4-1-1 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games as the favorite, while The Tigers are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten Saturday games (does that matter? It certainly doesn't help!) Texas Southern ranks 237th in adjusted offensive efficiency, while Michigan ranks seventh. Lay the points.

This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on Michigan.

The set-up: I think this one sets up well for the Celtics. Sacramento plays better at home than on the road, and after its 121-119 win oat Washington two nights ago, an inevitable letdown is imminent. Note that not only is it a "letdown" spot for the visiting side, but it's also a "look-ahead" spot as well with a game in Philadelphia tomorrow night. 

The pick: BOston has lost two in a row and is in desperation mode. The Celtics also play with revenge here after falling 116-111 in Sacramento in early February. It's a perfect set of situational circumstances working in favor of Boston tonight, so lay the points with confidence.

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Cetlics.

The set-up: Houston smoked Cincinnati in the ACC Tournament Championship game, but I think it'll have its hands full here with this underrated Cleveland State side. The Vikings are the Horizon League Tourney champ after dispatching Oakland 80-69. Cleveland State averages only 69.5 PPG, but it's one of the best on the defensive ends, especially at defending the three-ball, allowing just 30.4 percent from range, which ranks 34th in the country.

The pick: Houston allows only 57.6 PPG, while scoring 77.6. Clearly the Cougars are a good team, but note that they're just 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring 90 or more points in their previous outing. The Vikings on the other hand are 7-1 ATS in their last eight as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games. I think the Vikings tough defensive play keeps them competitive late. No outright, but much closer than what this massive spread would suggest. Grab the points.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on Cleveland State.

The set-up: Georgia Tech finished 17-8. Loyola Chicago finished 24-4. The Yellow Jackets are led by Jose Alvarado and they allow 70 PPG. Loyola Chicago though is led by senior center Cameron Krutwig, who actually helped lead the Ramblers to a Final Four berth in his freshman year in 2018. 

The pick: The Ramblers own one of the top defenses in the country, conceding just 55.5 PPG. Finally, the Yellow Jackets are going to have play this game without standout Moses Wright as well. While I do think an outright upset is possible, in the end let's grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Loyola Chicago.

The set-up: UCLA enters on a four-game losing streak. That included a first round exit in the conference tournament to the eventual champion Oregon State Beavers. It was a tight game though, as the  Bruins eventually lost 83-79 in OT. Michigan State had an up and down year as well. The Spartans lost in the first round of their conference tournament as well by a score of 68-57 to Maryland. 

The pick: UCLA averages 72.8 PPG, and it concedes 68.5. Michigan State on the other hand averages 69 PPG, while allowing 70.6. The Spartans are also a poor 5-11 ATS in their last 16 following an ATS loss and just 1-6 ATS in their last seven neutral site games, while UCLA has in fact performed very well in this spot for bettors of late, going 7-3 ATS in its last ten as an underdog. Clearly I think the outright is going to happen, but in the end I'm still grabbing the points.

This is a 10* FIRST-FOUR PLAY-BOOK on UCLA.

The set-up: The Thunder have split their last ten games. Overall they average 106.4 PPG, while allowing 112.1. Atlanta is on a six-game win streak. The Hawks average 112.9 PPG, while allowing 111.4. OKC though has performed well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. The Thunder are also a great 13-7 ATS on the road this season. 

The pick: With an eight-game extended Western road swing starting at the Lakers on Saturday night, there's no question that this also sets up as a "look ahead" spot for the home side. The Thunder have been trading good starts with bad of late, but with upcoming road dates at Houston and Minnesota, a three-game win skein is a very real possibility. I like the "hungrier" team to at the very least, keep this one close down the stretch.

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Thunder.

The set-up: These two teams are evenly matched, but after losing 109-99 to the Clippers here two nights ago, I expect the Mavericks to lay everything on the line here to avenge that setback. Note that the Mavs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 100 or less points in. 

The pick: The Clippers have been alternating ATS wins/losses over their last four games and I look for that pattern to continue here, especially with three whole nights off after this before a home game against the Hornets. While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, I'm still grabbing the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Mavericks.

The set-up: Toledo finished 21-8, while Ricmond was 13-8. The Rockets finished averaging 81.3 PPG, whiel conceding 71.4. The Spiders average 75.6 PPG, while allowing only 69.3. 

The pick: Richmond ended the season by losing three straight, but this is a deep and talented Spiders team which comes from the much tougher conference. Toledo has been great no doubt, but its competition has to be called into question here, as its offensive numbers are skewed due to that talent level faced. I think Richmond can win this one outright, but in the end I'll grab the points.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Richmond.

The set-up: Obviously the Lakers are the better team. LA is still having to play without the services of big man AD though, so consistency from game to game has been an issue for the defending champs of late. Minnesota has had problems since Day 1 this year (COVID, injuries), but it comes in playing its best basketball of the season, having covered in three straight and going 2-1 SU as well. With two road games at Phoenix upcoming, the road ahead isn't going to get any kinder for the Wolves either. Not surprisingly, Minnesota plays with revenge here as well after a 112-104 loss as a six-point dog in early February. 

The pick: The Lakers have won and covered in two straight since the break, but a letdown is imminent here facing this lowly Wolves side and with LaMelo Ball and the Hornets (Jordan), coming to town on Thursday. I look for the hungrier visiting side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST on the T-Wolves.

The set-up: I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the Knicks. New York has covered in three of its last four games and gone 2-2 SU in that span. Last time out it fell 117-112 at Brooklyn. If you sleep on the Knicks this year, Julius Randle and company are going to burn you. New York plays with revenge after falling 109-89 to Philly on December 26th, but the Knicks have made big strides since then. And with a game at home against Orlando on Thursday, New York has nothing to look past to in this revenge spot. 

The pick: Philly continues to do well without big man Joel Embiid in the line-up, as it's won and covered in three straight since the break. But with a game at home tomorrow night vs. the surging Bucks, this absolutely sets up as a "look ahead" spot for the home side. This is a classic "trap" for Philly here and I expect it to fall in. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Knicks.

The set-up: Are the Jazz a better overall team than the Warriors? Their win/loss record would certainly indicate that. However, I think this one sets up well for the home side to at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Utah's numbers both defensively and offensively are superior, but after its rather easy victory at home over the Rockets, and with upcoming road contests at Boston, Washington, Toronto and Chicago, this sets up as a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. 

The pick: No such luxury for the Warriors though, who not only play with revenge here after falling 127-108 to the Jazz back on January 23rd, but who have lost four straight overall. Note that GS is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after three games or longer losing ATS/SU streak. A great situational call on the home side here in my opinion. Grab the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Warriors.

The set-up: The Kings beat the Rockets 125-105 before the break. Sacramento has struggled on the road though this season and I think it'll have its hands full here vs. this rested home side. Note that the Kings are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven as an undredog. 

The pick: Atlanta looks for its fourth straight win here, and it's definitely been better at home than on the road. Sacramento is also a terrible 3-10 ATS in its last 13 here, while the Hawks are 4-0 ATS the last four in this series. Home court DOES matter here, so lay that points.

This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on the ATL Hawks.

The set-up: South Carolina plays with revenge here in the Tournament after losing the only regualr season matchup with Ole Miss by a score of 81-74. While the Gamecocks lost that contest by seven, I expect this one to come right down to the wire, where whichever team has its hands on the ball last will come out on top. South Carolina lost its final two games of the regular season, but it played the Rebels competitively in the regular season and I expect that to happen again here. 

The pick: Ole Miss has a significant advantage on the defensive side of the ball, but the Rebels are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games as a favorite in the +6 to +9 points range as well. I like SC to battle tough and to at the very least, take this one down to the final moments. Grab the points.

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL TOURNEY BLOWOUT on South Carolina.

The set-up: Philadelphia is 24-12 and the Bulls are 16-18. Philly is going to have to make some adjustments coming out of the break, with a few key players still on the COVID list. Overall the 76ers are averaging 114.7 PPG, while allowing 111.2. 

The pick: The Bulls have won six of their last nine games. Overall Chicago is averaging 115 PPG, while allowing 115.2. Chicago comes in healthier than its been in a long time and it plays with revenge. Note as well that the 76ers are just 13-36-2 ATS in their last 51 on the road, while the Bullds are a solid 4-1 ATS in their last five as the favorite. Philly struggles on the road even with its best players in the line-up, but with Simmons and Embiid out, I have a hard time seeing the visiting side competing whatsoever today. Lay the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Bulls.

The set-up: Oklahoma State just upset the Mountaineers 85-80 as ten-point dogs, but after winning six of their final seven games down the stretch of the regular season, I look for the Cowboys to finally take a step back here. Overall Oklahoma State averages a decent 76.7 PPG, but it concedes 72.3. 

The pick: WVU is etter on both end of the floor, averaging 77.6 PPG, while allowing 72.1. The Cowboys have actually won four out of the last seven in this series, so the Mountaineers have added incentive in this matchup. Finally note that WVU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 85 or more points in. Lay the short points.

This is a 10* BIG 12 BEST OF THE BEST on West Virginia.

The set-up: Both teams are hungry for a win here. San Antonio entered the break just at the right time, as it had lost three of its final five. The Mavs won three straight heading into the break, so the timing was very bad for them. Also note that Luke Doncic is questionable for this contest and if he does play, he's not going to be at 100%.

The pick: Finally note that San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last seven on the road, while the Mavericks are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine vs. clubs with winning records. Expect this rested Spurs team to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the San Antonio Spurs.

The set-up: I like the Bucknell Bison to sneak in through the back door comfortably in this one. Bucknell advanced to the semis with a 92-84 win over Lafayette. Colgate got here by defeating Boston 77-69. 

The pick: The Bison though are 7-3 ATS in their last ten vs. teams with winning records, while Colgate is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after back-to-back SU/ATS victories. Colgate hasn't been good at covering big numbers at home and I expect that trend to continue here vs. this high-scoring Bison side. Grab as many points as you can.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Bucknell.

The set-up: These teams played on Thursday and the Wolverines managed the 69-50 victory. Michigan is still in hunt for the No. 1 seed in the Big Dance, but with the regular season title wrapped up and the Big Ten Tournament to now look ahead too, I do indeed believe that the Wolverines will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. 

The pick: Michigan State could earn a spot in the NCAA Tournament with an upset win today. It's also senior night at Michigan State. There's a lot on the line today for the home side. Revenge from the immediate loss. Senior night. A spot in the Big Dance on the line. Michigan isn't going to lose this game, but I believe the conditions are definitely right for a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. This is a few too many points to be giving up, so make sure to grab as many as you can.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Michigan State.

The set-up: Wisconsin will be laying everything on the line here in my estimation as it looks to avoid a three-game losing streak to end the season. The Badgers have actually lost four of their last five, including a tight 73-69 defeat to at No. 23 Purdue on Tuesday. Iowa is still in a hunt for a No. 1 seed, but after its big 102-64 spanking of Neraska, I think it comes out a bit complacent here. This is a revenge game for Wisconsin, which lost 77-62 at home to the Hawkeyes back on February 18th (note that the Badgers are 7-2 ATS In their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it lost both SU and ATS and in which it scored 65 or less points in.) 

The pick: Iowa has a great offense, but it's defense is its weakness. I'll point out as well that the Hawkeyes are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after back-to-back SU/ATS victories. Look for this one to come right down to the wire and grab as many points as you can.

This is an 8* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on Wisconsin.

The set-up: The Rebels lost to No. 19 SDSU last time out. With the victory, the Aztecs claimed the MWC regular season title. Despite that though, UNLV has been playing well of late, winning three of its last five. Overall the Rebels have averaged 69.7 PPG this season, while allowing 67.3. 

The pick: Wyoming is ripe for the picking here after having four of its last seven games canceled or postponed due to COVID. Most recently the Cowboys lost 72-59 to Utah State. Wyoming has poor numbers, averaging 75.4 PPG, while allowing 75.9. The Rebels are playing better and have a golden opportunity to close out strong against this disorganized Wyoming side. A great situational spot wager on UNLV.

This is a 10* MOUNTAIN WEST GAME OF THE MONTH on UNLV.

The set-up: Villanova is the better team, but I think the home side can at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Villanova enters off a 12 point win over Creighton at home. The Wildcats though are just 11-9 ATS. The Friars are 11-13 ATS this seaosn. Villanova is the better team here, but this one has battle till the end written all over it. 

The pick: Providence is good on the boards and it plays better at home. The Friars also play with revenge here after falling 71-56 at Villanova earlier in the season (note that they're 6-3 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a road loss of ten or more points vs. an opponent.) I'm grabbing the points and getting the popcorn ready!

This is an 8* UNDERDOG DESTRUCTION on Providence.

The set-up: I think FSU gets caught looking past Notre Dame this afternoon. The Seminoles enter off a relatively simple 29 oint home win over Boston College, but note that they've split their first six true road games this year. 

The pick: The Irish are going to be in a terrible mood here after losing four straight, including an upset loss to NC State at home in their most recent. Notre Dame is just 5-5 at home, but note that the Irish have responded well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 ATS in their last nine after a ten points or greater SU home loss in their last outing. Expect the home side to play with pride as it looks to close out the regular season with a signature victory. That said, grab the points for sure.

This is a 9* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on Notre Dame.

The set-up: No upsets here in our opinion. Cal Irvine is 14-8 this year and the Anteaters won't take the foot off the gas with the regular season finish line in sight. LBSU is just 5-9 and it enters having lost two straight. LBSU has a good offense which averages 73.6 PPG, but the Anteaters have an exceptional defense which concedes just 64.3. 

The pick: UC Irvine's offense is averaging only 64.3 PPG as well, but the visitors catch a break here for sure facing this terrible LBSU defense which allows 80.6 PPG. LBSU is just 1-3 ATS in its last four at home, while UC Irvine is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 when playing with four-plus days of rest. Look for the Anteaters to come in focussed and for their superior defense to be the difference-maker in the end.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on UC Irvine.

The set-up: Canisius is 6-4 and Siena is 11-3. The Griffins are 5-1 in their last six, but they're coming off a loss in their last outing to Fairfield. Canisius has had to deal with several COVID postponements this season

The pick: The Saints enter having won three straight. Sienna is better at home than on the road, coming in having gone 9-4-1 ATS in its last 14 in friendly confines. I can't trust the Griffins on the road. The Saints haven't been great against the spread, but they've been playing really well lately, scoring 68 or more points in three straight wins and allowing 70 or less at the same time. I look for the Saints to pull away down the stretch for a comfortable cover.

This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Siena.

The set-up: This is the first round of the A-1 Championship. George Washington crushed Fordham 71-47 back on December 30th, but I think the hungry Rams can keep this one much more competitive now that the Tournament is here. Fordham won't be lacking for motivation after two straight losses. The Rams average only 52 PPG, while the Colonials average 69.7. 

The pick: Fordham's defense has been decent though, conceding just 67.6 PPG. Of course, when you score less than you allow, it's hard to win on most nights. The Colonials though lost four of their last five games down the stretch and have zero momentum here. George Washington's numbers over the last month are so terrible, that they're now comparable to Fordham's. In this battle of bottom feeders, I'm going to grab the points and expect it to be much closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Fordham.

The set-up: Fort Wayne enters the Horizon League Tournament with an 8-14 record. The Mastadons enter with momentum as well afte rwinning two of three, most recently a victory over Green Bay. The Vikings are 16-7 and they're won two of their last three as well. 

The pick: Cleveland State though has been off since February 20th, when it defeated this very Purdue Fort Wayne team by a score of 67-55. The longer two week lay off isn't going to help with chemistry and note that the Mastadons are 5-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS victory. I expect a battle until the final moments, so grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Purdue Fort Wayne.

The set-up: The Pelicans have been alternating SU/ATS wins/losses over their last five games and they most recently come off a 117-114 road loss as 2.5 point favorites at San Antonio. They also play with revenge here after losing 129-118 to the Jazz as 6.5 point underdogs back on January 21st. Clearly the Pelicans have all the motivation they need right in front of them here, but also note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games after allowing 115 or more points in a SU/ATS road loss in their previous outing. 

The pick: Utah's the better team, I won't try to convince you otherwise, but I simly feel this spread is too large for it to cover. With a more high-profile and "tougher" game looming at Philadelphia on Wednesday, this is also a prime "look ahead" spot for the visiting side. A great situational play that I'm taking out of my PLAY-BOOK. Grab the points.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the New Orleans Pelicans.

The set-up: Clearly WKU is the better team. The Hilltoppers are 16-5, but I don't think they're going to be able to cover this large spread. The FIU Panthers are 9-15. FIU won't be lacking for motivation after losing six in a row. The Panthers average 74.9 PPG, and they allow 76. 

The pick: WKU comes in complacent here after winning seven of its last eight, including a 91-58 blowout victory over FIU in its last outing. Winning can lead to complacency (especially at the Collegiate level), and that's what I'm expecting here. With a final home series vs. fourth place ODU up next, this also sets up as a "look-ahead" spot for the home side. I like FIU to keep this one a lot closer than what this spread would suggest. 

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Florida International.

The set-up: The Aggies took the first game on Friday night by a score of 75-72. This is a battle between the third and fifth ranked teams. This game means much more to Utah State at this point though, because its still currently on the outside of the NCAA Tournament looking in. Utah State has already moved into third though after Boise State lost to SDSU. Utah State needs to win its last three games and it has a chance to run down Colorado State still. 

The pick: Nevada played well and covered two nights ago, but previous to that it hadn't played since early February due to COVID issues. I think the Wolfpack get caught flat-footed here now in this second contest and vs. this determined home side. Nevada gave its best shot and came up short last time out and with a chance to end their Tournament hopes, I like the Aggies to find a way to deliver the goods. 

This is a 10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on Utah State.

The set-up: The 49ers are third in the Conference USA and 47th in the country in scoring defense, limiting their opposition to just 64.9 PPG. Charlotte is also proficient from the charity stripe, ranked third in the conference. Charlotte took both meetings last year, this is the first this season. However note that the 49ers lost to UTEP 57-53 the last time these teams played in El Paso back in 2019, so the visiting side won't be taking anything for granted.

The pick: The Miners are 10-10 overall and 6-8 in league play. UTEP averages 71 PPG, and it allows 69.6. Note though that Charlotte has done extremely well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games as an underdog in the +4.5 to +6.5 points range. This one is going to come down to the final moments, so I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Charlotte.

The set-up: No need to overthink this one. These teams played just last night and the Grizzlies managed the outright win as 8.5 point underdogs. Coming into that contest the Clippers had been on quite the run, but they still have a chance to catch the idle Lakers, who have been struggling without big man AD in the lineup. Now this line has dropped a couple points and the "better" team in this matchup plays with revenge and has all the motivation it now needs to bounce back and crush the Grizzlies. 

The pick: Memphis had been on an extended losing streak leading up to that point and it played with revenge as well. With both those motivational factors now out of the way, an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. I look for the visiting side to make a quick and immediate response in this bounce-back revenge scenario. Lay the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the LA Clippers.

The set-up: I like Denver here. Washington had won five in a row, before a blowout loss to the Clippers in its last outing. This will be the Wizards fourth and final game of their road trip, and with a much "easier" game at home vs. Minnesota on Saturday, there's no doubt that this one sets up as a classic "let-down/look-ahead" spot as well. 

The pick: The Nuggets have last two straight against the spread, falling 123-115 at Atlanta as 2.5 point favorites, before then beating Portland 111-106 at home in their last outing, unable to cover the 6 point spread. After this game though the Nuggets hit the road for an extended five-game trip, so that definitely puts added importance onto tonight's contest for the home side here. Finally note that the Nugs play with revenge as well after falling 130-128 in the Nation's capital in mid February as 2.5 point favorites. This one has ATS "B-L-O-W-O-U-T" written all over it. 

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Denver Nuggets.

The set-up: Miami Ohio has won two straight and I like the Red Hawks to continue to push hard with the end of the regular season just around the corner. WMU though enters having lost two in a row. WMU has had three of its last five games postponed due to COVID, and teams having to deal with these issues have almost always struggled in every circumstance. The Broncos only average 63.5 PPG. 

The pick: WMU lost to Miami Ohio a few weeks ago and only managed 56 points in that one. Miami Ohio comes to town off its best game of the entire seaosn as well, smoking Central Michigan 96-54. Finally note that WMU is just 1-5 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while Miami Ohio is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five vs. a team with a losing straight-up record. Lay the points, expect a comfortable cover.

This is a 10* MAC DESTRUCTION on Miami Ohio.

The set-up: The Hornets are off a 132-110 loss at Utah, but I think they'll keep tonight's contest much closer. Outright victory? It's possible, but in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Phoenix has won three straight, scoring 132-, 128 and 132 points in the process, most recently blasting Portland 132-100. But with a three-game road trip up next, starting in Chicago, and ending at the Lakers, this definitely sets up as a "look ahead" spot for Phoenix. 

The pick: Charlotte has been alternating against the spread wins and losses over its last six games and that pattern is going to continue here. The Hornets have a difficult schedule before the All Star game, finising out the remainder with every game on the road, so this is a team which can't afford to look past any body or anything at this point. The Hornets are 6-0 ATS in their last six following a loss of more than ten points as well. Grab the points.

This is a 10* SHOCKER OF THE MONTH on the Charlotte Hornets.

The set-up: I like betting on motivated teams. There's only a handful of games remaining in the regualr season and South Carolina will be eager to snap a five-game slide. Most recently the Gamecocks enter off a 93-78 home loss to Missouri as 3.5 point underdogs. This is also a revenge game for South Carolina, which lost 75-59 in Columbia as a 2.5 point underdog back on February 6th. Ovearll South Carolina averages 74.2 PPG, while allowing 78.4.

The pick: Mississippi State is going to get caught complacent here, as it just revenged an earlier loss to rival Ole Miss in its last outing. Teh Bulldogs average only 70.1 PPG, while allowing 66.4. I think the home side comes out flat here after its big win and I think the hungrier revenge minded visiting team will at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door. Grab the poins.

This is a 10* REVENGE ELITE OF THE ELITE on South Carolina.

The set-up: The Hokies are coming off an OT win at Miami, and after surviving that near disaster, I like them to come in focussed here vs. this dangerous Georgia Tech side. Virginia Tech hasn't playes since February 9th, but it's desperate for a win here. Georiga Tech has been playing well against some good teams, but it keeps coming up short. Overall the Jackets allow 67.2 PPG. 

The pick: Virginia Tech is dealing with a couple injuries, but with so much time off to prepare, I don't see this being an issue at all. I think Georgia Tech is primed for a letdown here vs. a desperate Hokies side. These teams haven't played this year, but VT does play with revenge as well after falling 76-57 to the Jackets last season. I'm laying the short points, but expecting a major blowout!

This is a 10* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Virginia Tech.

The set-up: The Lakers have been struggling a bit without Antony Davis in the line-up. LeBron James has recently vowed to find a way to bridge the gap and fill the void until he returns, but easier said than done in my opinion. Washington on the other hand comes to town finally playing its best basketball of the year and there's no way this visiting side will take the foot off the gas. Russell Westbrook has worked hard and finally found some chemistry with Bradley Beal, as the Wizards have won four straight SU/ATS, including over some pretty big name teams. 

The pick: Scheduling wise it favors Washington as well, as the Wiz will lay everything on the line here as they have a game tomorrow night at the Clippers. The Lakers on the other hand are in prime "look-ahead" territory with a road game at West leading Utah up next on Wednesday. A currently red hot team, facing an injured defending champion side which can't help itself looking ahead to its much more important conference matchup up next. This one actually has outright upset written all over it, but let's grab up all these points!

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Washington Wizards.

The set-up: They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Oklahoma State won this game by eight points on the road as an 8.5 point underdog in mid January. The Red Raiders are still ranked, but after back-to-back losses, this is now a "must win" game. The Red Raiders average 73.6 PPG, while allowing 62.9. The Cowboys are primed for a letdown here after winning five of their last six. Oklahoma State averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 70.6. 

The pick: Texas Tech is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge an in-season home loss of five or more points to an opponent as well. Texas Tech's defense, combined with the stellar play of Mac McClung is the difference-maker. Lay the points.

This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on Texas Tech.

The set-up: The Terrapins are on the road to face Rutgers, and they come to town on top form, having won three straight, most recently getting the better of Nebraska 79-71. The Scarlet Knights are ahead of the Terps in the standings, but they come in off a 71-64 road loss at Michigan. Maryland's defense has been great though this season, allowing just 65.6 PPG this year. Rutgers hasn't been quite as stout, allowing 68.1 PPG. 

The pick: Rutgers does have the rebounding advantage, and it produces more steals per game, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after scoring 65 points or less in a SU road loss in its last outing. In a contest which I see being decided by whichever of these team's has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION on Maryland.

The set-up: Kansas is now 16-7 after its 59-41 win over K-State on Wednesday. Texas Tech returns to action after an 82-71 loss to WVU on February 9th to fall to 14-6 overall. It was a tough loss for the Red Raiders, who had two games postponed. Not due to COVID issues though, but rather weather related. Because of this, I think it in fact works in favor of Texas Tech. Overall Texas Tech averages 74.2 PPG, while allowing 62.7. 

The pick: The Jayhawks average 74 PPG, while allowing 66.2. Kansas is coming off the satisfying win over its rival and note that it's only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records. Also note that the road team is 5-2 ATS in its last seven head-to-head meetings. Four of the Jayhawks last five wins have come against bottom feeders. Expect the Red Raiders to pull off the minor upset here, but grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Texas Tech.

The set-up: Cleveland State is 15-6 and IPFW is 6-13. The Mastadons play their final two regular season games here and I like them to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. The Mastadons had lost eight straight against the spread before their 72-70 loss to Youngstown State last time out, proving that they're still trying to post victories here at the end of the season and remain competitive.

The pick: These teams played twice at Cleveland State earlier in the year and the Vikings won both games. Both games were competitive though, 63-61 and 89-80. I expect another battle until the end, meaning I'll definitely be grabbing as many points as I can!

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Purdue Fort Wayne.

The set-up: I'm all about picking "spots." Here's a good one for Milwaukee in my opinion. The Bucks have issues this year, but they play with immediate revenge after losing here to the Raptors 124-113 two nights ago. That was the Bucks fourth straight SU/ATS loss in a row and suffice it to say, I expect Milwaukee to hit the panic button and play with extreme desperation here as it tries to break the slide. OKC is in town tomorrow night, but the Bucks won't be looking past Eastern rival Toronto obviously. 

The pick: With a game at Minnesota tomorrow though, the Raptors could easily be caught looking ahead to that much more "winnable" game, content with having already earned a hard-fought split against the Bucks. From a situational stand-point, it definitely is a great play on the Bucks here in my opinion. But also note, Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last eight in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 120 or more points in. I'm laying the points and expecting a major blowout.

This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on the Bucks.

The set-up: New York is playing well, as it enters on a three-game win streak. The Knicks are needing massive games every night from Julius Randle to pull these out though and I think he and the rest of the visiting side are in for a bit of a letdown on the road here finally. 

The pick: The Magic on the other hand are out to bounce back at home here off a 19 point road loss to the Suns. Previous to that they broke a slide with a win at Sacramento. This is a revenge game for the Magic as well after they lost by seven in The Big Apple in mid January. New York only shot 36 percent in that victory as well, but got another big game from Randle. However, as I stated above, I can't see that happening again here and especially now that the Knicks are hitting the road. Note that the Magics are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after losing by 15 or more points SU/ATS on the road in their last outing as well. I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Orlando Magic.

The set-up: I think this one sets up well from a situational stand point for Boston. In this season of "COVID," situational handicapping has become very useful in certain...situations. Denver is coming off a big home win over the Lakers and it has a game at Washington tomorrow night. The Celtics have lost three in a row and are desperate for a victory before Atlanta comes to town for a two-game set, starting tomorrow night. One of these teams is desperate, the other is very content.

The pick: Additionally note that the C's are 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference home games following a three games or longer SU losing streak. I'm expecting a blowout once the final horn sounds, so lay the points with confidence.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Celtics.

The set-up: Austin Peay is 13-8, while Southeast Missouri State is 7-14. These teams played at Austin Peay a few nights ago and the Governors hammered the Redhawks 78-63. But with a game at 17-5 Eastern Kentucky up next, I think the visiting side will have a much more difficult time duplicating its offensive performance against this revenge-minded SE Missouri State team on the road. After winning five of seven, and with the upcoming two-game series vs. Eastern Kentucky, this one sets up as a trap for the visitors. 

The pick: The Redhawks are the "hungrier" side here, as they look to snap a three-game losing streak. The Governors are the deeper, more experienced team, but this situation favors the home side. I'll stop short in predicting an outright upset, but everything points to this one coming right down to the wire.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on SE Missouri State.

The set-up: Virginia sits atop the conference after taking out UNC 60-48 at 11-1 thus far. Florida State enters of a momentum-building 92-85 OT win over Wake Forest and it's now 11-3 overall and 7-2 in ACC action. The Cavaliers of course get the job done with their smothering defensive play (58.8 per contest conceded), as they enter averaging 69.9 PPG. 

The pick: The Seminoles average 79.1 PPG, while conceding just 69.4. This is a team which likes to get down and dirty defensively as well, but it's their up-tempo pace on offense which I think UVA will have difficulties matching. Especially on the road. Yes, this is a much-improved UVA team, one of the best that FSU has seen all year. But the said can also be said for the Cavaliers, on the road facing an underrated and dangerous FSU side. I'm going with FSU to win at home in this one.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Florida State.

The set-up: This is a revenge game for ASU after it fell 80-79 at Oregon State in the final moments. Oregon State though is just 10-9 overall with a 6-7 league record, entering this one on a two-game slide, most recently falling 70-61 on the road to the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona State is only 6-9 overall and 3-6 in conference play. Most recently the Sun Devils lost 75-64 to Oregon on Thursday. 

The pick: Overall these teams numbers are very similar. ASU's offense is slightly better and Oregon State's defense is a little better. The back-to-back road games isn't doing Oregon State any favors though. Home floor, combined with the revenge factor (note that ASU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge an in-season road loss to an opponent in which it allowed 80 or more points in. Lay the points, expect a blowout.

This is a 10* PLAYBOOK on Arizona State.

The set-up: These are two poor teams, but I think this one will be decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last. Miami is 7-11 overall and 3-10 in league play. Most recently it lost 80-76 to Virginia Tech. However, a postponement in its game vs. UNC on Monday will be beneficial for sure in my opinion for the Hurricanes, who get an extra couple days off to focus and prepare to take advantage. 

The pick: The Irish are just 8-10 overall and 5-7 in conference action. Notre Dame looks primed for a letdown here as well after a 93-89 win over Duke on Tuesday. Neither team will qualify for the Big Dance, so motivation in that respect simply isn't there for either of these team's right now. Miami has had to deal with plenty of injury issues, but it plays with revenge here after falling 73-59 at home to the Irish earlier in the season. I think Notre Dame gets caught flat-footed after its big win from last time out and I like the hungrier Hurricanes to keep this one interesting down the stretch. Grab the points.

This is an 8* ACC DESTRUCTION on Miami.

The set-up: It's an immediate revenge scenario for lowly UNLV, which lost 78-66 to the Broncos on Thursday. I expect a tighter contest here and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to this one coming right down to the wire in my opinion. Bryce Hamilton is a matchup issue for any team. If Hamilton can get any type of support, the Rebels have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright (he finished with 26 points on Thursday.) Overall UNLV allows just 68.1 PPG.

The pick: The Broconos average 78.4 PPG. They shot 50 percent in the win on Thursday. Boise State previous to this series lost two straight to Nevada, while splitting with Colorado. Consistency from game-to-game has been an issue of late for Boise State and I think that pattern continues here. Again, I don't think it'll have such a huge collapse here that it loses outright, but I do think the this line is inflated. Expect the hungrier team to keep this one interesting down the stretch and grab the points.

This is a 10* MOUNTAIN-WEST GAME OF THE MONTH on UNLV.

The set-up: While the outright victory is obviously not out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Northeastern comes to town on a seven-game win streak and in first place. Towson is on a seven-game losing streak. Northeastern is 10-4 ATS this year, but I think it's asking too much to cover his mid-sized spread on the road vs. this super hungry and motivated home side. The Huskies aren't great offensively, but they make up for it on the other end by conceding just 68.6 PPG. Towson allows 76.5. 

The pick: The Tigers are a really good rebounding team and they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Huskies are the better team this year, but I think they'll have their hands full until the final moments. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Towson.

The set-up: San Diego is 4-5 so far, while Cal State Bakersfield is 12-7. These teams offensive and defensive numbers aren't drastically different. I just think that it sets up well for San Diego, as it's 5-1 ATS in its last six after posting 100 or more points in a SU home victory in its last outing (won 101-64 over Bethesda.) 

The pick: The Roadrunners are going to be caught looking ahead to a two-game road set at Conference leading UC Santa Barbara and the hungry Tritons are going to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on San Diego.

The set-up: The Pacers are 11-12 and they're on a four-game losing streak after falling 104-94 to the Nets just last night. The Pistons won't be lacking for motivation here, they're 6-18 and coming off a 122-111 win over Brooklyn on Tuesday. Indiana has struggled defensively this year, conceding 111.9 PPG. In the second game of the back-to-back, I think they'll have their hands full here with this hungry home side.

The pick: Detroit hasn't been much worse defensively, allowing 113.5. Indiana has started to slide and playing the second game of the back to back on the road against a desperate Detroit team is not what the doctor ordered to get back on track in my estimation. The Pistons and Jerami Grant have an opportunity here to win this one outright as they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after scoring 120 or more points in a SU/ATS victory in their last outing. I'm grabbing the points, but would not be shocked by an outright upset.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on the Detroit Pistons.

The set-up: All six of Montana's Big Sky losses have been decided in the final seconds, with three by three points or fewer, and none being by more than six points (which was a double OT defeat). In short, the Grizzlies win/loss record could easily be a lot better if a couple lucky bounces went their way. It's very interesting to note as well, that over its last three series, Montana has won the first game, only to lose the second two days later. 

The pick: Weber State is primed for a letdown after four-straight victories. With a home and home set vs. Eastern Washington next week, the road ahead doesn't get any easier for the Grizzlies. This is a crucial contest for the season and I don't think that home court advantage can be looked past. Montana is the hungrier dog in this fight and I like it to deliver on home-court.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on Montana.

The set-up: A couple of bottom feeders going head-to-head here, but I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular case. Both teams come in off losses. Wake lost 79-58 to the Fighting Irish, while Boston College lost 81-65 to NC State. The Notre Dame loss snapped a five-game ATS win streak as well for the Demon Deacons and I think they'll take another step back here as well. Overall Wake averages 69.2 PPG, while allowing 68.7.

The pick: Boston College returned to action after missing three weeks in the loss to the Wolfpack, and it looked ugly early, as NC State went on a 37-3 run at one point, before the Eagles close the first half at 44-21. BC was without a couple of players as well in that one, but the team looked much stronger as the game went on and considering the circumstances and the way the contest opened, the Eagles definitley pulled it together quickly and finished that one strong. And I feel there's no reason not to believe they can't carry that momentum over here as well. With the rust of a few weeks off now gone, look for BC to come out much faster this time around. The Eagles average 72.1 PPG, while allowing 78.4, but note tha they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine home gaems after allowing 80 or more points in a SU/ATS loss in their last outing. I like BC to find a way to get the job done here.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on Boston College.

The set-up: Creighton has been struggling against the spread for bettors, losing three in a row. One of those losses was an outright loss at home to Georgetown just last week. The Blue Jays were favored by 14 points in that one. Georgetown has a losing record, but it's 8-6 ATS overall this season. The Hoyas have covered in five straight games, including in their last one when they lost 84-74 at Villanova as 13.5 point underdogs.

The pick: After that close call, I think the Hoyas definitely take a step back here. Creighton is ready to avenge last week's setback and the spread it has to cover here is almost cut in half of what it was in that contest. Much more manageable and realistic and I expect the Blue Jays to deliver in this fantastic situational opportunity. Lay the points.

This is a 10* BIG EAST GAME OF THE YEAR on Creighton.

The set-up: New Orleans has won three straight. The Pelicans catch Houston off a 119-94 loss in Charlotte just last night. New Orleans also plays with revenge here after losing to the Rockets just two weeks ago. The Pels also hit the road for five games starting tomorrow night in Chicago, so that makes tonight's contest extra important.

The pick: Frankly, Houston has overachieved since the James Harden trade and it's definitely starting to show some "cracks in the armor." I base my picks on many different things, but from a situational standpoint, they simply do not get much better than this. I look for a completely lop-sided blowout here for the home side.

This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Pelicans.

The set-up: Minnesota is having another difficult season, mainly due to injuries and COVID. The Wolves enter having lost three of their last four. Dallas enters having won two of three, most recently a 134-132 victory over the Warriors. Dallas is 4-1 SU the last five in this series at home and it's covered in seven of the last ten in this series overall. That includes going 4-6 ATS here in this building. Note that Minnesota's last remaining good player, D'Angelo Russell, is also questionable for this contest. 

The pick: Dallas may have won two of three, but it hasn't been pretty. The Mavericks have continued to struggle posting any ATS victories though, but I think that's finally about to change here. This is the perfect opponent to get back on track against defensviely and I expect the Mavericks' offense to continue to build chemistry as well. Look for a full four-quarter effort from the home side and lay the points with confidence.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: Northwestern won't be lacking for motivation here as it's just 3-8 in league play. Most recently the Wildcats fell to Rutgers. In fact, Northwestern enters having lost eight in a row. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as Purdue has lost two of three, including a 61-60 setback to Maryland in its most recent outing. Northwestern averages 74.7 PPG< and it allows 71.9.

The pick: Purdue only allows 66.3, but the Boilermakers offense isn't any better by averaging 73.9. Northwestern is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games after a five-games or longer SU losing streak. I think Purdue struggles with focus here after its latest road loss and I like the Wildcats to risk life and limb today as they try to get off the schneid. I'm grabbing the points.

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Northwestern.

The set-up: Toledo is 16-4 and Ball State is just 6-9. Outright win? I'm not predicting that, but I do definitely think the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. Toledo has won five straight, including a 15 point victory over Akron last time out. Winning, especially at the College level, can lead to complacency. 

The pick: Ball State won't be lacking for motivation here, as it's facing the top team in the league on its own floor, while it will also be trying to erase a four-game slide. Last time out the Cardinals fell by 20 points to the Bulls. Toledo has hit a very "vanilla" part of its schedule, with NIU up next and I think it finally comes out a bit flat here. I'll point out as well that Ball State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after scoring 60 or less points in a SU/ATS loss in its previous outing. Grab the points.

This is a 10* MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Ball State. 

The set-up: This is the first game of a two-game set between the teams and I expect it to be a lot more competitive than what this spread is leading us to believe. Cal Poly won't be lacking for motivation off a 64-51 loss to CSU Northridge on Saturday. Hawaii split its last series with UC Irvine, winning 62-61 in OT in the last one and I think it comes out a bit flat to start this one after that emotional revenge victory. Overall the Mustangs average 60 PPG, while allowing 69.9. Hawaii averages 71.1 and concedes 66.2. 

The pick: Cal Poly's offense has been an issue all year, but it comes in as the hungrier team here. These defenses are very similar and I think the visitors will keep it competitive until the final moments. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but as stated before, this one definitely looks like it'll come right down to the wire. Grab the points!

This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Cal Poly Slo.

The set-up: Marshall's won two in a row, but I think it'll stumble here vs. a hungry ODU side which is rested, as it's had its last four games postponed due to COVID issues. Previous to winning two in a row, Marshall had dropped two in a row. Overall the Herd is 3-3 in Conference play. Previous to its break, ODU had won four of five. ODU enters are 4-2 in league play. 

The pick: The Monacrchs only allow 68.5 PPG this season, and despite being 5-2 on the road this year, I think that Marshall will have a difficult time replicating its last two offensive performances. Not only is ODU a perfect 5-0 SU at home this year, but it's also 5-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. I'm banking on ODU to quickly shake off any rust and while the outright win is clearly not out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* CONFERENCE USA GAME OF THE MONTH on Old Dominion.

The set-up: Denver comes in off a satisfying win over Utah, as Nikola Jokic posted his ninth straight double-double. LA had lost four straight ATS, but they were able to break that slide with an 8-point road victory.

The pick: The last four times Denver has come to play in this building, LA has averaged 121 points, while conceding just 109 to it. I think this trend of domination continues, as I don't think Denver has the defense to hang with the home side down the stretch. This is an important game and I expect The King and company to build off their latest ATS victory with an even stronger performance this evening. Lay the points.

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Lakers.

The set-up: Dallas will look to snap out of a six-game losing skid here. Devin Booker hit a last second shot and the Mavericks most recently fell at home to the Suns. Atlanta enters off an eight-point loss to the Lakers. Both teams have plenty of talent, but each has struggled at times this year. 

The pick: With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched. However, Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last eight non-conference road games after a five-games or longer SU losing streak. I like Luka Doncic and the now desperate Mavericks to lay everything on the line here and to find a way to earn a victory finally. Lay the short points.

This is an 8* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: Outright win? I'm not predicting that. But I do think the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. Houston is 15-1 overall and 10-1 in AAC action. The Cougars have won eight in a row. Winning can lead to complacency, especially among college athletes. East Carolina enters under the radar and hungry to break out of a six-game slide, most recently falling to Tulsa 77-68. Houston's a good team, most recently beating SMU 70-48. With a week off before a contest at USF though, I think the Cougars will come out flat in the second half as they get caught looking ahead. They're in no fear of actually losing this game outright, but I also don't think they'll run up this score, instead leaving the back door open for a nice cover for the hungry home side.

The pick: ECU average 61 PPG and it concedes 69.3. Hence its poor overall record. The Pirates though are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games as an underdog in the +15.5 to +17.5 points range and as stated, they're clearlier the "hungrier" dog in this fight. I expect Houston to indeed get caught looking ahead here. No upset, but tighter than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on East Carolina.

The set-up: Memphis is 8-6 and it's coming off a huge win in San Antonio just last night. Now it's 9-6. Suffice it to say, I think this sets up as a classic "letdown" spot, as Memphis now travels across country to play a non-conference game just 24 hours later. 

The pick: Indiana on the other hand is on a two-games losing streak. The Pacers will be desperate to break out of their slump and I think this is the perfect situation in which to do that. These team's offensive and defensive numbers are similar, but note that Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games after a two-games or longer SU losing streak. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Indiana Pacers.

The set-up: After three straight losses, the Suns have now won two in a row, including a 111-105 victory over these very Mavericks on Saturday. The Suns are playing without Devin Booker right now, so the Mavericks have no excuse in this revenge scenario. And not only does Dallas play with revenge here, it's also out to break a five-game losing streak. For all intents and purposes, this is absolutely a "must win" scenario for Luka Doncic and company. 

The pick: Betting on sports isn't about simply looking at team's averages and figuring out if they can cover a spread. Indeed, there's so many other factors to take into account and in this case, I still think Dallas is the better team on paper and on the floor. There's just been zero chemistry for this Dallas team this year for some reason. But that's about to change. Doncic and Porzingis are a forced to be reckoned with and I thnk they'll will their team to its best win of the year tonight. I'm laying the short points.

The is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: Hey, I'm all about betting a really great "situation," and that's definitely the case here for the Wizards in my opinion. The Nets are off a 147-125 win over the Thunder in their latest game, but with a much more high-profile game against the Clippers at home on Tuesday, I think the visiting side gets got "looking ahead." The Wizards on the other hand won't be lacking for motivation here after four straight losses. 

The pick: The Nets are also just 1-5 ATS in their last six after scoring 145 or more points in a SU/ATS home victory in their last outing, while the Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after four or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. The Nets are the better team, but this is about the overall "situation," which I've outlined definitely favors the home side here. Grab the points.

This a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the Washington Wizards.

The set-up: MTSU won't be lacking for motivation here as it tries to break a five-game losing streak. The Blue Raiders average 60.8 PPG, while allowing 67.5. Dontrell Shuler averages 12.6 points and 2.2 boards. The UAB Blazers have won six of their last seven and I think they're going to get caught "looking past" their lowly opponent here and I look for them to leave the back door open just enough for this hungry Blue Raiders team to comfortably sneak through down the stretch. UAB averages 75 PPG and it concedes 58.5. 

The pick: Betting on sports isn't about simply adding up offensive and defensive averages and then trying to find edges in posted lines, as there are a plethora of other factors to also consider. And that's the case here. Clearly UAB is the better team, but I don't think it'll run up the score here and we definitely don't have to question the Blue Raiders resolve after their extended losing streak now. UAB won this game 70-59 two nights ago as an 11-point favorite, pushing on the number. The Blue Raiders are getting a few more points here, but I expect an even more tightly contested affair this time around. Grab the points.

This is a 10* CONFERENCE USA GAME OF THE MONTH on MTSU.

The set-up: Am I suggesting that you should play the 0-12 Idaho Vandals on the moneyline here for their first victory of the season? Of course not. But I do now believe that the value has swung their way as far as the spread is concerned. This number is just too big. Weber State is 8-4, but after a 25 point victory in the first matchup with the Vandals on Thursday, I think the Wildcats get caught looking ahead to a few days off before a home game against No. 1 Montanta State on February 4th. 

The pick: The Vandals actually had some decent numbers in the Thursday loss, shooting 42.9 percent from the floor, with 33 total rebounds and 17 assists. Turnovers and extremely poor outside shooting did them in, but I expect a much cleaner game this time around. As I said up top, no outright, but more competitive than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points.

The is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Idaho.

The set-up: After six-straight victories, I think that UC Irvine takes a step back here. Hawaii had lost two in a row, before winning in a blowout in its last outing. The Warriors allow 68.5 PPG, while the Anteaters concede just 62.5. UC Irvine's strength of schedule can be question in my opinion, and note that it's just 1-3 on the road so far this season. 

The pick: Hawaii is 2-2 at home, but it's 7-2 ATS after a 15 points or greater SU/ATS victory in its last outing. Keep your eyes on Casdon Jardine, who leads the Warriors in points and rebounding. UC Irvine has been shaky on the road this year and it now faces a Anteaters team coming off its best performance of the season. Hawaii also plays with revenge here after losing both games in this series last season. While the outright is clearly not out of the question, all signs point to a solid cover at the least.

This is a 10* BIG-WEST GAME OF THE YEAR on Hawaii.

The set-up: Outright victory? Maybe. This is a contest which I envision coming right down to the wire, and because of that, I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. I think 16-1 Belmont is going to get caught looking past the 8-5 Austin Peay Governors. Belmont enters off a 114-62 win over SIU-Edwardsville. The Bruins average 83.2 PPG, while allowing 68.3. 

The pick: Austin Peay likely got caught looking ahead to this game in its last game, falling 76-70 to Jacksonville State. The Governors average 73.5 PPG while allowing 69.7. These teams are very similar on the defensive end, and as I pointed out, I do think this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for the Bruins, who are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after scoring 110 or more points in a SU/ATS road victory in their last outing. I smell an upset, but in the end let's grab up the points!

The is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH on Austin Peay.

The set-up: I got down early and do not have a very good line (just +2), however I think the Blazers are going to win this one outright (that said, I'm still going to recommend to play with the points, rather than the moneyline.) My "Coach's Corner" packages are all about "situations." This one sets up GREAT for the Blazers in my opinion. The Blazers have lost three straight against the spread, going just 1-2 straight-up in the process, most recently a 125-122 home setback to the Thunder. Portland though comes in motivated to win here in my opinion after the scuffling stretch and because this is the opener of a big seven-game road trip. Also throw in the fact that it's a "revenge" game after a 128-126 OT loss back on December 26th. 

The pick: After three straight victories, and with a night off before a four-game Estern swing, I think the home side finally gets caught complacent and flat-footed here. I'm banking on the Blazers winning outright, but as I said up top, the official play will be to grab as many points as you can.

The is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Portland Trailblazers.