This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown spot: The Bulls had lost five straight heading into the All Star break and with Jimmy Butler and Nikola Mirotic sidelined with injury, the team wasn’t expected to make much noise in the second half. However, behind some great play from Derrick Rose, Chicago has won three straight, most recently a full team effort in a 109-104 victory over Washington on Wednesday. So is it time to crown the Bulls after a couple of good games? We’re going to caution in reading too much into this small win skein, remember that they combined to shoot just 40.9 percent while failing to top 95 points in their previous three losses. Also note that Chicago has lost four straight on the road. 

Desperation breeds motivation: The Hawks will be risking life and limb today to try and secure a victory as they’ve come out of the All Star break and lost three straight. They’ll also be eager to snap a four-game home skid.

ATS statistics: Note that Chicago is just 9-11 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent this season and only 2-4 ATS after playing three consecutive home games, while Atlanta is a perfect 3-0 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: The revenge factor gets thrown out the window today as the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on ATLANTA.

AAA Sports 

This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: The Sixers fell 106-94 at Washington on February 5th and have lost seven of the last eight in the series.

Classic “look-ahead” spot: With a game vs. Cleveland at home on Sunday, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors looking past their lowly opponent today. Washington has already done this a few times this season, losing to the Bulls on Wednesday, who were playing without Derrick Rose and Jimmy Butler and also to the Heat earlier in the season without Chris Bosh and Dwayne Wade on the floor.

ATS statistics: Note that Washington is just 15-17 ATS vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while Philadelphia is 9-7 ATS in its last 16 in the same position.

The bottom line: The 76ers are at full health and catch an inconsistent Wizards team looking ahead to its matchup vs. the defending Eastern Conference champions; play on PHILADELPHIA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Indiana Pacers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Momentum: Indiana is finding a groove with a new starting lineup, over the last 12 games the unit has scored 102.2 points per 100 possessions when on the court together, while giving up 85.2. Once momentum is lost though, it’s very difficult to gain it back and that’s the situation that the Hornets find themselves in here as they had their five-game win streak and four-game road winning streak snapped in Wednesday’s 114-103 loss to the Cavaliers.

Revenge: Indiana’s 12-game home win streak in the series was snapped in a 117-95 loss to Charlotte on February 10th. 

ATS statistics: Note that Charlotte is just 16-18 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which average 99-plus points per contest, while Indiana is 19-7 ATS vs. teams with winning records and 23-15 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus per contest.

The bottom line: It’s a classic letdown spot for the visitors, we like the surging home side to take advantage and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Play on INDIANA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Houston Rockets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: The Rockets have already lost twice to the Blazers this season, despite massive efforts from James Harden and Dwight Howard.

Classic letdown spot: There’s no question that Portland has been playing awesome of late, but note that the team hasn’t won seven in a row in over 15 months. Conversely, while the Blazers sit complacent and contented, the Rockets are now on the outside of the playoff picture looking in after falling 117-114 in OT at Utah on Tuesday.

ATS statistics: Note that Houston is 2-1 ATS this season after playing three consecutive road games, also 7-4 ATS in its last 11 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest and 6-4 ATS this season as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range, while Portland is just 3-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we expect Harden and Howard to keep this one close enough to at the very least allow the ROCKETS to sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown spot: The Hornets have been playing great, but after winning four straight away from friendly confines, we’re definitely expecting a drop-off in production today. Note that Charlotte hasn’t won five straight on the road in more than 14 years. And note that the Hornets were 6-17 away from home prior to this run.

Revenge: The Cavs will be looking to atone for a 106-97 setback to the Hornets on February 3rd.

Injuries: Note that Charlotte will be without Michael Kidd-Gilchrist who was lost to an injury last Wednesday. 

If history is any precedence: Cleveland has to be loving its chances today as the last time Charlotte visited on January 23rd, 2015, the home side would come away with the convincing 129-90 victory.

ATS statistics: Note that Charlotte is just 16-17 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Cleveland is 15-9 ATS vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: A classic letdown spot, revenge situation, all signs do indeed point to the CAVALIERS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TNT SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Chicago Bulls.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Injured legend: The Lakers have looked a lot more competitive of late, especially for bettors as they’ve covered in six straight games. A big reason has been the improved play of Kobe Bryant, who has averaged 24.9 over his last seven. Note though that Bryant would dislocate his right middle finger in Friday’s 119-113 loss to San Antonio and while the aging super star will get the start today, we don’t expect him to be nearly as effective. With their main weapon and offensive focal point relegated as a second or third option tonight, we have a hard time seeing the overachieving visitors keeping pace with this hungry home side.

Rising Bulls?: Chicago stumbled into the break, but looked great on both ends of the floor in a 116-106 home over Toronto on Friday that ended a five-game skid. Pau Gasol, who played 6.5 years with Bryant in LA, would barely miss posting a triple-double with 18 points, 11 boards and nine assists. Gasol dominated his former team on January 28th as well with 21 points, 12 boards and seven assists in the Bulls’ 114-91 victory.

If history is any precedence: The Bulls have to like their chances today in being able to string together a couple of convincing victories as they’ve won seven of the last nine in the series, including the last four on their home floor.

ATS statistics: Note that LA is just 5-7 ATS this season after scoring 105 points or more, while Chicago is 12-9 ATS in all non-conference contests.

The bottom line: With their leader injured, we expect the Lakers to come out flat tonight, it’s a perfect storm of factors working in favor of the BULLS, lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Detroit Pistons.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Uphill battle: Despite beating the 76er’s 121-114 on Friday and going 10-7 since January 13th, the Pelicans face a daunting task in their quest for a second-straight playoff appearance, right now they’re 12th in the Western Conference, six games behind Houston and Utah for eighth place.

On the cusp: Conversely, despite a brutal stretch in which they’ve lost four straight and seven of their last ten overall, the Pistons still sit just 1.5 games back of Charlotte and Chicago for the final two spots in the East. Detroit got a much needed boost via trades before the deadline, acquiring Tobias Harris from the Magic for Brandon Jennings and Erlan Ilyasova, while also getting Donatas Motiejunas and veteran guard Marcus Thornton from the Rockets: "You're going to have to take some risk in order to get better," Pistons coach Stan Van Gundy said. "There are no deals where there's no risk and we feel like this was a risk we could handle."

Revenge factor: Detroit will be looking to atone for a lacklustre 115-99 setback at New Orleans on January 21st. In fact, the Pelicans have won three straight in Detroit and haven’t lost to the Pistons whatsoever since February 2012.

ATS statistics: Note that New Orleans is just 5-13 ATS in non-conference games this season and only 9-12 ATS after scoring 105 points or more, while Detroit is 4-3 ATS this year as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range and in 16-9 ATS in all home games.

The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night at Cleveland, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the home side and we expect this determined play to ultimately prove to be the difference in the outcome of this contest. Lay the points on the PISTONS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the LA Clippers.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Significant injuries: The Spurs will once again be without the services of big man Tim Duncan and veteran Manu Ginobili tonight.

Home court advantage: The Spurs are 28-0 at home, but a mere 17-8 on the road. Obviously that’s still a great record, but it’s definitely been more of an adventure for San Antonio whenever it’s played away from friendly confines. LA is 17-8 at home and with a game vs. the Warriors on deck next, we’re expecting the team to leave everything it has on the floor tonight in trying to secure the upset.

Revenge factor: San Antonio won the first matchup of the year, a 115-107 victory on December 18th. 

ATS statistics: Note that the Spurs are interestingly just 4-5 ATS in their last nine vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while the Clippers are 9-7 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and 6-3 ATS in their last nine vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per game.

The bottom line: Even without Blake Griffin in the lineup tonight, we love the CLIPPERS in this spot, there are a bunch of different situational and strong trend based factors working in their favor today and while we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: The Bucks fell 106-101 to Washington on January 13th and will be highly motivated to avoid the season series sweep, losing the first three meetings of the year.

Momentum: Milwaukee played like a desperate team in its 112-111 win over the Celtics on Tuesday, breaking a stretch of five-straight losses. The Bucks would allow the C’s to battle back from 19 down in the fourth quarter, but were able to finally find a way to pull out the victory. If the team had lost that one, we’d likely be going the other way on this selection, but with the victory, we like Milwaukee to come in focused and confident tonight.

ATS statistics: Note that Washington is just 1-3 ATS this year as a road dog of three points or less and only 13-15 ATS vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while Milwaukee is 18-15 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and 13-9 ATS in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: With the All-Star break looming, we think the visitors get caught looking ahead to that time off, while the hungrier BUCKS take advantage and build off their latest victory.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Detroit Pistons.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge motivation: The home side will be looking to avoid its first three-game skid since December, while also out to avenge a loss to the Nuggets in Denver just last month.

Letdown/look-ahead spot: Denver has been playing a lot better lately, especially for bettors, covering the spread in eight of its last ten. It had won two in a row SU and seven straight ATS until a 105-104 loss as a 2.5 point favorite in Brooklyn on Monday. It’s hard to gain momentum back after losing it and with eight days off for the All Star break after this contest, there’s no question in our minds that this does indeed set up as a classic letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors.

ATS statistics: Note that Denver is just 1-2 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Detroit is 15-12 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: We expect the visitors to check out of this one early and for the hungry PISTONS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Sacramento Kings.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

“The Brain” stays: There were reports that coach George Karl was on his way out of Sacramento, but GM Vlade Divac has given him a second chance and with one last opportunity to secure a win after eight losses out of their last nine, we look for the “The Brain” and his team to rise to the occasion. 

Revenge: The hungry Kings will be eager to atone for a particularly low-spot of their season when they fell 110-105 to the 76ers at home on December 30th. 

DeMarcus Cousins: Keep your eyes on the big man, he’s averaging 31.0 points and 17.3 boards in his last three vs. Philadelphia.

ATS statistics: Note that Sacramento is 5-3 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses and 4-3 ATS after playing three consecutive road games, while Philadelphia is a horrible 11-13 ATS at home this season and only 2-3 ATS this year as a home dog of 3.5 to six points.

The bottom line: We think a motivated and highly focused KINGS team finally comes to play a full four quarters and comfortably pulls away down the stretch for the ATS cover.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the New York Knicks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

New York coaching change: When a struggling team makes a coaching change in the middle of the season, one of two things invariably happens: either the team responds, or nothing changes and it continues to spiral down the proverbial crapper. We think the former will be the case though, at least for tonight as Kurt Rambis will now take the reigns for the first time since the Knicks let go of Derek Fisher. 

Perfect opponent to get untracked against: New York looks to regain the form which saw it dominate the first month and a half of the season and a date vs. the struggling Wizards is just what the doctor ordered, Washington has dropped eight of 11 while allowing 111.4 PPG.

Revenge factor: New York did manage to beat Washington 117-110 on October 31st to snap a seven-game win slide in the series, but the Knicks will still be eager to break a four-game losing streak in the series at Madison Square Garden.

ATS statistics: Note that Washington is already 0-3 ATS this season as a road underdog of three points or less and just 5-6 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while New York is 7-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses and 11-8 ATS following a non-conference contest.

The bottom line: The coaching change, the revenge factor, plenty of strong ATS statistics, all signs do indeed point to the KNICKS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation levels: Boston is rolling, it’s won nine of its last ten, most recently a 128-119 victory over Sacramento on Sunday. That also included a hugely satisfying victory over Cleveland on Friday. The Bucks on the other hand will be playing with extreme desperation as they look to break a season-high five-game slide. Desperation breeds motivation while winning leads to contentedness.

Revenge factor: The Bucks play with revenge today, they fell 99-83 at home to Boston on November 10th. Note that Milwaukee has in fact dropped two straight and seven of their last ten to the C’s in front of the home town crowd.

Getting healthier: The home side expects a big boost today with the return from OJ Mayo, who has been sitting for 11 games with a hamstring injury (one other players to keep your eyes on today is Bucks’ centre Greg Monroe, who is averaging 20.5 points on 56.3 percent shooting over his last eight games).

ATS statistics: Note that Boston is just 3-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: The situational, motivational, personnel and trend based factors do all indeed point to the BUCKS as the sharp move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on the Chicago Bulls.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different basic factors:

Revenge: Charlotte has won two of three over Chicago, most recently a 102-96 victory on December 5th.

Derek Rose: Chicago star Jimmy Butler won’t be playing in this one, but D-Rose has picked up the slack by averaging 19.5 points and 9.5 assists the last two games.

ATS statistics: This is in fact a spot in which the Bulls have dominated in for bettors, going 12-8 ATS last 20 after allowing 105 points or more, while Charlotte has struggled in this spot by going just 14-17 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest and just 6-10 ATS after scoring 105 points or more. 

The bottom line: With a five game road trip which starts on Wednesday, we think the home side comes into this one a bit complacent and despite being down a key player, we ultimately feel that the level of desperation in which the BULLS play with today will prove to be the difference. Play on CHICAGO.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the New York Knicks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The home side will be the hungrier team today in our opinion, it’s lost four straight and now sits 11th place in the Eastern Conference. 

Carmelo Anthony: How Melo goes, so go the Knicks. New York is 0-7 in games he’s missed, but he’s expected to be in the lineup today. 

Classic letdown/look-ahead spot: The Nuggets have been trading wins and losses over their last six games and come in off an extremely satisfying come from behind 115-110 victory over Chicago on Friday. With a game tomorrow night in Brooklyn, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors coming into this one a bit complacent.

ATS statistics: Note that Denver is just 10-11 ATS this season after scoring 105 points or more, while New York is 6-4 ATS after three or more consecutive losses, 5-3 ATS after scoring 85 points or less, 21-14 ATS vs. good offensive teams which average 99-plus points per contest and interestingly, 5-1 ATS vs. the Northwest division.

The bottom line: We feel there are enough situational and trend based factors to pull the trigger on the determined home side, play on the KNICKS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Letdown/look-ahead spot: We feel this sets up as a classic spot bet against the Jazz, they’ve won four straight, but had to hold on for dear life in an 85-81 win over Denver on Wednesday, unable to cover the 8-point spread. And with a three game road trip starting tomorrow night in Phoenix, it’s definitely not too hard to imagine the home side looking past their Eastern Conference opponent this evening.

Revenge: The Bucks have dropped 13 straight in Utah.

Desperation breeds motivation: While the Jazz are flying high, the Bucks come in having lost four straight and five in a row on the road. There’s no question in our minds who will be the more motivated side in this one.

ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS vs. Northwest division opponents this season and 5-1 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Utah is only 1-3 ATS after scoring 85 points or less and just 2-4 ATS after playing three consecutive home games.

The bottom line: While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the BUCKS to risk life and limb to secure a victory today and expect them to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Dallas Mavericks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge factor: Dallas suffered a 106-82 setback to the Heat on New Years Day, a loss which still represents the team’s second lowest point total of the season. The Mavericks have in fact lost eight of the last nine in the series.

Letdown spot: It’s hard to gain back momentum and after having their four-game win streak halted in a 115-102 loss at Houston just last night, suffice it to say we think the Heat come in with “heavy legs” this evening. 

ATS statistics: Note that Miami is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine when playing on back-to-back days and just 2-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more, while Dallas is 14-7 ATS after allowing 105 points or more and 12-10 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: Both teams have injury concerns, so that area is a “wash,” DALLAS though clearly has the situational, motivational and trend based factors all working in its favor today.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Orlando Magic.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown/look-ahead spot: This is as big as it gets with this angle, the Thunder have won nine of their last ten, including four straight and after playing the lowly Eastern Conference Magic tonight, have a battle at defending champion Golden State on Saturday. Suffice it to say, it’s obviously not too hard to imagine OKC looking past Orlando this evening.

Revenge: The Magic fell 139-136 in double OT at home to the Thunder on November 30th. Orlando has also lost six straight in OKC.

Road warriors: The Magic are 10-7 SU against the Western conference with six of those setbacks decided by six points or less, including three in the extra frame.

ATS statistics: Note that Orlando is 12-4 ATS in non-conference game this year, while OKC is just 8-13 ATS in non-conference contests and only 7-18 ATS vs. teams with losing records.

The bottom line: We won’t be so bold as to call for an outright upset, but with the situational and trend based factors working in their favor, we look for the MAGIC to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Letdown spot: Portland is 22-26 after winning seven of its last nine and with eight of the next ten coming on its home floor, it's very hard for us not to imagine the Blazers coming in a bit complacent in facing the lowly Wolves tonight and with an important two game, back-to-back road trip in LA on the horizon.

Desperation breeds motivation: The Wolves have lost 14 of 15 overall and ten in a row on the road. Not only will they be trying to end that slide, but also to avenge three straight losses to the Blazers, including two close ones this year, a 106-101 setback on November 2nd and a 109-103 effort on December 5th.

ATS statistics: Note that Minnesota is already 5-3 ATS this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 9 points range, while Portland is 0-3 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: The situational factors and the trends do indeed both point to the TIMBERWOLVES as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Orlando Magic.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Immediate revenge factor: The Magic lost 113-94 in Boston on Friday.

Desperation levels: Orlando will surely be the hungrier team today, it's lost eight straight and 12 of its last 13: "We've got to figure something out. We've got to do it fast or it's just going to keep going south," guard Victor Oladipo said. "We've said it all. We've been saying it all the past couple of weeks, and we've just got to do it. There's nothing more we can say."

If history is any precedence: Then Orlando has to be loving its chances for a bounce-back performance, it's averaged 101.5 in four consecutive home wins over the Celtics while giving up 93.8.

ATS statistics: Note that Boston is already just 2-4 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Orlando is 4-2 ATS after playing three consecutive road games.

The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the MAGIC to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown spot: This is a battle for first spot in the division, but we think the Heat are lined up for a classic letdown today, they salvaged a five-game road trip by winning their final three, all by four points or less.

Desperate visiting side: While Miami comes into this one feeling a lot better about itself, the Hawks will be playing with desperation today as they've gone just 1-4 in their last five.

Revenge factor: Miami beat Atlanta 100-88 on December 14th.

ATS statistics: Note that the Hawks are already 2-1 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest and 21-15 ATS in their last 36 when trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while the Heat are 1-5 ATS after scoring 105 points or more this season and 0-4 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: The situation and the trends both point to the HAWKS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* REVENGE ASSASSIN on the Sacramento Kings.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivated and revenge minded: Sacramento is likely to be without head coach George Karl for this one, but there won't be any lack of motivation as the visitors desperately try to avoid a fourth straight loss, while also looking to snap a ten-game losing streak in Memphis.

ATS statistics: Note that Sacramento has dominated in this spot for bettors all season long, going 12-10 ATS on the road, 4-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses and 14-7 ATS vs. teams with winning records. And note, despite their recent surge the Grizzlies have been brutal in this position, going just 7-11 ATS following a non-conference game, only 3-6 ATS following a victory by ten points or more and a poor 13-16 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest.

The bottom line: From a situational and trend based stand point, all signs do indeed point to the KINGS as the savvy move in this one.

AAA Sport

This is a 10* REVENGE ASSASSIN on the Utah Jazz.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

If history is any precedence: Then the home side has to be loving it chances today, Charlotte has lost eight straight in Salt Lake City, while averaging 84.0 points and 40.3 percent shooting.

Motivation: Charlotte has won three straight, while Utah has lost five of seven. We definitely feel this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the contented Hornets, while the Jazz will be risking life and limb as they look to break the slide. And note that home side also plays with revenge after falling 124-119 in double OT to Charlotte just last week.

ATS statistics: Note that Charlotte is just 6-13 ATS after a non-conference game and just 6-8 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while Utah is 6-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite and 11-6 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: The situations and trends do all indeed point to the JAZZ as the sharp wager in this one.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Phoenix Suns.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Momentum: These are a couple of horrible teams, the 76ers are just 6-39, while the Suns are 14-31. Phoenix though has a chance to string together back-to-back wins for the first time in seven weeks after snapping a six-game slide in Saturday's convincing 98-95 victory over the Hawks: "It's valuable experience for these guys to be in a game like that and win," assessed Suns' coach Jeff Hornacek afterwards.

Revenge: The Suns fell 111-104 to Philadelphia on December 26th, which snapped a five-game win skein in the series.

Inept home side: The 76ers have been particularly horrible of late, allowing at least 51 boards in four of their last six, while also holding a rebounding disadvantage in seven of their last eight.

ATS statistics: Note that Phoenix is already 2-1 ATS this year as a road dog of three points or less, while Philadelphia is a horrible 7-13 ATS after a loss by ten points or more.

The bottom line: We think there are enough factors working in favor of the visitors to pull the trigger on this one and while we obviously wouldn't be surprised by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the SUNS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Atlanta Hawks.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Hawks healing up: Atlanta is expected to welcome back Paul Millsap to the lineup. Millsap and the Hawks will be especially motivated today to break a two game slide, most recently a 98-95 setback at Phoenix on Saturday. Millsap leads the team with 18.4 points and 8.8 boards, but he's averaging 20.4 points and 53.5 percent shooting over his last eight away from friendly confines (if Millsap doesn't return, we still love this play as the team is expected to move Al Horford from center to fill the void, while placing Tiago Splitter in the middle).

Classic letdown spot: The Nuggets have been playing a bit better of late and come in off a 104-101 win over Detroit on Saturday; but note, Denver is a horrible 9-14 in front of the home town crowd this season.

Injured home side: Jameer Nelson and Kenneth Faried are both listed as doubtful/questionable and if they do play, they will not be at 100% capacity.

ATS statistics: Note that Atlanta is 16-11 ATS in its last 27 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest and 7-5 ATS this year following an upset loss as a favorite, while Denver is just 10-12 ATS in front of the home town crowd and only 4-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog.

The bottom line: We like a focused and determined ATLANTA team to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The Rockets are just 22-22 on the year and will be playing this one without big man Dwight Howard. They've also lost three of their last four. Most recently Houston fell 123-114 to the Pistons, despite 33 points, a career-high 17 boards, to go along with 14 assists from James Harden. Note though that the Rockets are 36-23 without Howard in the lineup since 2013/14: "We have to figure it out," Harden said. "We've been through this situation before. Guys are going to have the opportunity to step up and play extra minutes, so just take advantage of it. Every go on this roster is preparing themselves for a situation like this."

Good news on injury front: Dwight is down, but Patrick Beverly is expected back for the home side, he's missed three of the last five.

Harden: The Rockets' sharp-shooter is hitting 52.1 percent in 11 career games vs. Milwaukee.

Classic letdown/look-ahead spot: After three straight victories at home against the Eastern Conference, the Bucks now hit the road for a late night Western conference affair, there's no question that this one screams letdown spot for the visitors. And with a game tomorrow night in New Orleans against "The Brow," it's not too hard to imagine the Bucks in some small way getting caught looking ahead to that one.

ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is just 2-5 ATS after a win by ten points or more this season; it's also a brutal 4-19 ATS in its last 23 after allowing 85 points or less and only 2-8 ATS in its last ten after three or more consecutive SU victories. And note that Houston is 9-6 ATS this season after a non-conference game.

The bottom line: We love the hungry home side to defend its floor and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the ROCKETS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

On paper: This one looks like a mismatch, the Raptors are on the verge of their longest win streak in nearly 14 years, while the Heat have fallen on hard times because of injury. But that's why there's a point-spread and in our professional opinion, this is indeed too much to be giving up to the desperate visiting side which has lost six of its last seven. Conversely, the Raptors have won six in a row after a 22-point loss to the Cavaliers on January 4th. We always like to say that desperation breeds motivation and that winning leads to complacency at some point and with the Clippers and Washington on deck next for the home side, we find it hard to imagine the Raptors in some small way not getting caught looking ahead to those more difficult contests.

ATS statistics: Note that Miami is 4-1 ATS this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent and 7-5 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Toronto is just 5-6 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: Despite the injuries, we feel there are many other factors combining to work in favor of MIAMI today and look for it to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel to be a very healthy spread afforded to it.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST ASSASSIN on the Miami Heat.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Home cooking: The Heat return home from a six-game road trip, going just 2-4 in the process. Miami will be extra motivated to take advantage of this opportunity, as the team will then have to gear up for another five game trip starting on Thursday (note that the Heat are 15-8 SU in front of the home town crowd this season).

Revenge: The Bucks took all four games over the Heat last year.

ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is just 1-5 ATS this year after a victory by ten points or more and just 3-4 ATS when playing with two days of rest, while Miami is 6-3 ATS this season following a loss by ten points or more and 2-1 ATS after scoring 85 points or less.

The bottom line: Miami is banged up, but what team isn't at this point of the season? After a lacklustre trip and with another big one on the horizon, we think the HEAT come into this one focused, put the foot on the gas and don't let up until the final horn; lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: This is an obvious one and is what this pick is almost 100% based upon. The last time the Warriors were in Cleveland, they'd leave the city with the Larry O'Brien Trophy. Golden State also beat the Cavs at at home on Christmas day.

Coming back down to Earth: After starting the season 24-0, the Warriors have lost two of their last three.

Momentum: The Cavs come in hot, their only loss in the last three weeks was Thursday's 99-95 loss at San Antonio, Cleveland had won eight straight prior to that and would follow up the setback with a commanding 91-77 victory at Houston to wrap up a 5-1 road trip.

Home court advantage: Cleveland has to be liking its chances today, it plays five of its next six at Quicken Loans Arena, where it's won six straight and is 15-1 overall.

ATS statistics: Note that Golden State is just 5-9 ATS in non-conference games this year, while Cleveland is 4-1 ATS after playing three consecutive road games and 11-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: This is personal. This is their home turf. We expect an all out war, but look for the CAVALIERS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the Chicago Bulls.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: One month after playing the longest game in four years, the Bulls are back to avenge that 147-144 four OT setback.

Classic letdown spot: Detroit became just the NBA's fourth team to beat the Warriors in Saturday's 113-95 effort.

Motivation: After a season-best six-game win streak, the Bulls have lost four of their last five. This is an ultra-important stretch for the Bulls, who open a stretch with ten of 12 on the road, where they've dropped six of their last nine.

ATS statistics: Note that Chicago is 2-1 ATS already this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent and 26-14 ATS in the same position over the last three, while Detroit is just 4-6 ATS this season after a win by ten points or more and just 20-24 ATS in the same position over the last three.

The bottom line: We think the home side comes in a bit complacent and the hungry BULLS find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: These teams played on November 9th and the Warriors would pull away for the 109-95 victory.

Scheduling: It's almost impossible not to imagine the Warriors getting caught "looking ahead" to their game at Cleveland on Monday and then at Chicago on Wednesday.

Home court domination: Detroit is 13-6 at home and had won four straight there prior to Tuesday's 109-99 setback to San Antonio. The Pistons rank in the league's Top 10 with 97.4 points allowed per home game.

ATS statistics: Note that the Warriors are just 5-8 ATS in non-conference games this year and only 7-8 ATS vs. teams with winning records, while Detroit is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 as a home dog in the 3.5 to 9 points range and 6-1 ATS this season off an upset loss as a favorite.

The bottom line: While we wouldn't be completely shocked by an outright upset, we think the home side will at the very least take this one down to the wire and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Miami Heat.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic "letdown" spot for the Nuggets: No need to overanalyze this play in our opinion, overachieving Denver has won three of its last four, including a 112-110 victory over Golden State on Wednesday.

Desperation factor for Miami: The Heat have been playing sloppily of late, they'd open their six-game road trip with a win in Phoenix, but have since lost three-straight. But desperation breeds motivation and the ATS stats are backing us up today as well.

ATS statistics: Note that Miami is 9-6 ATS in non-conference games this year and 5-3 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Denver is 3-7 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog and 5-10 ATS after scoring 105 points or more.

The bottom line: Both teams are dealing with injuries, but one is coming off an epic win, while the other will be playing with desperation. Lay the short points with confidence on the hungry, hungry HEAT.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Brooklyn Nets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Scheduling: No need to overanalyze this angle, the Nets have had a day off to prepare, while the Knicks come in off a hard-fought 120-114 win over the Celtics just last night. Advantage Brooklyn.

Desperation breeds motivation: The Nets have lost ten straight at home.

Carmelo Anthony status: Anthony suffered a sprained right ankle in last night's win, his status is uncertain for this evening and if he does happen to play, clearly he won't be functioning at 100% capacity (It's hard to imagine the Knicks playing their super-star in the second game of a back-to-back vs. the lowly Nets though if he is in fact injured even in the slightest).

Revenge factor: Anthony played a key part in his team's 108-91 home win vs. Brooklyn on December 4th, scoring 28.

ATS statistics: Note that New York is just 6-7 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while Brooklyn is 8-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more.

The bottom line: Off a big win just last night, a victory which likely cost them the services of their best player for a while and facing a desperate and revenge minded home side, all signs do indeed point to a classic letdown spot for the visitors; grab as many points as you can with the NETS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Charlotte Hornets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge factor: Charlotte has dropped both meetings to Atlanta already this year (note that neither was a blowout, a 97-94 on October 30th and 94-92 two days later).

Letdown spot: This is a classic letdown spot for the visitors after they ended Chicago's six-game win streak with a 120-105 victory on Saturday.

Desperation leads to motivation: Despite being down big man Al Jefferson, the Hornets will be risking life and limb today in trying to snap a seven-game slide: "It's the defense, obviously," coach Steve Clifford said. "We've got to get back to, in the games 12 through 23, we were the second-best defensive team in the league against a good schedule so we're capable of much better."

ATS statistics: Note that Atlanta has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors, just 4-5 ATS after a victory by ten points or more, only 6-9 ATS after scoring 105 points or more and 7-9 ATS vs. teams with losing records. And not that this is a position in which Charlotte has performed extremely well in, going 3-1 ATS this season as a home dog of three points or less and 4-2 ATS when playing with two days of rest.

The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night in Milwaukee, we think the Hawks come in a bit distracted, leaving the door open for CHARLOTTE to finally break its slide.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Cracks in the armour: The Thunder are 26-12, but have shown some signs of fatigue of late, they'd have to hold on for a 117-113 win over the Lakers on Friday and then fell 115-110 to the Blazers on Sunday, allowing Portland to hit 19 3-pointers.

Defense slipping: OKC has given up 108.6 PPG over its last eight.

Desperation breeds motivation: Minnesota has lost six-straight: "We're trying not to let a losing mentality set in," Wolve's veteran Andre Miller assessed. "It's tough. We have a lot of young guys, a lot of inexperienced guys, and we're just trying to go out there and put a good 48 minutes together on both ends of the court. ... We've gotta figure out how we're gonna get the monkey off our back."

Revenge: To say this is a revenge game would be a bit of an understatement, as the Thunder have won seven straight in the series and 16 of the last 18 overall.

ATS statistics: Note that OKC is just 4-13 ATS this year vs. teams with losing records and only 1-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite, while Minnesota is 30-27 ATS in its last 57 after playing to three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night at home vs. Dallas, it's certainly not too hard to imagine the Thunder "looking past" the lowly Wolves today and when taking into account the rest of the above factors listed above, all signs do indeed point to MINNESOTA as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Boston Celtics.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The Celtics defeated the Knicks 100-91 on December 27th, but have since lost five of six since. New York has won five of seven since that setback to Boston. This is one of those circumstances in which we feel the "revenge" factor is going to be over-rated, as Boston will be playing with utter desperation as it looks to break the slide, therefore negating any "revenge" advantages that the Knicks may have normally had in this spot.

ATS statistics: Note that Boston is 11-7 ATS on the road this year and 2-0 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses, while New York is just 2-4 ATS following a victory by ten points or more this season and only 3-4 ATS as a home fav of three points or less.

The bottom line: Sometimes we keep it simple and for us, it simply comes down to these two factors: we ultimately feel that New York is set up for a classic letdown after the recent surge, while Boston's desperation level will turn out to be the difference in the end; play on the CELTICS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Brooklyn Nets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

New coach for Brooklyn: When a team fires a head coach in the middle of a season to shake things up, it can have one of two effects: either the team responds and dominates, or it continues to slide as if nothing happened. While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we do think the firing of Lionel Hollins and the assigning of GM Billy King will light enough of a fire under the home side to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

ATS statistics: And the stats back up our line of reasoning as well as note that San Antonio has in fact struggled in this spot over the last few seasons, going just 13-18 ATS in its last 31 when playing with two days of rest, while Brooklyn has excelled in this spot for bettors already this year, going 9-4 ATS in all non-conference games, 13-9 ATS vs. teams with winning records, 16-12 ATS vs. good offensive clubs which average 99-plus points per contest, interestingly it's also 4-1 ATS vs. the Southwest division (the entire Southwest just can't help itself in "looking past" the lowly Nets it would seem), and 9-7 ATS in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.

Look ahead spot: It's not like the Spurs will have it marked down on their calendar, but this does indeed set up as a bit of a look ahead spot for the visitors with a game in Detroit tomorrow night.

The bottom line: A new coach, a new direction. Strong ATS stats backed by an equally as important "spot" circumstance. This is a lot of points, too many in our opinion, grab as many as you can with the NETS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Recent poor road play: Dallas has dropped four of its last six away from friendly confines.

Classic "look ahead" spot: The Mavs host the Cavaliers on Tuesday, before returning to the road to face OKC, Chicago and San Antonio.

Desperation breeds motivation: The Wolves have dropped five straight after getting blown out 125-99 at home by Cleveland on Friday.

Revenge factor: Minnesota lost both games to Dallas last year.

ATS statistics: Note that Dallas is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 as a road favorite of 3.5 to six points, while Minnesota is 5-4 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: A perfect combination of factors collide and while we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the WOLVES to take full advantage of this situation and to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the LA Kings.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that St. Louis is just 2-7 (-6.7 units) this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent and only 3-4 (-2.4 units) when playing on back-to-back days.

And note that LA is 9-2 (+6.4 units) vs. teams with winning records this season.

Play on the KINGS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: Milwaukee has lost six straight in this series, including a 103-93 setback in Dallas just last week.

Fatigue/letdown spot: Dallas is coming off a couple of back-to-back victories, including an exhausting 117-116 double OT win over Sacramento on Tuesday, followed by a 100-91 win over New Orleans on Wednesday. Now they hit the road for an East Coast game vs. the lowly Bucks, suffice it to say, it's not too hard to imagine the Mavs coming in a bit complacent here and that's exactly what we're banking on with this play.

Desperation levels: Milwaukee on the other hand will be extra motivated to avoid a third straight loss after falling 117-106 at Chicago on Tuesday.

ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is in fact 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 at home vs. Dallas.

The bottom line: Desperation vs. contentedness. While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by the outright victory, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can with the BUCKS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation: We definitely feel that the Wizards have the upper hand in the "motivation department" today, they have lost three of their last four to Toronto, Miami and Cleveland, all of whom rank in the top four in fewest points allowed per game. There's no question that the "revenge" factor comes in to play here as well. Also note that the Wizards looked pretty damn good in defeat to the Cavs last time out, eventually succumbing 121-115 on Wednesday, but posting season bests in field-goal (55.3) and 3-point (58.3) percentage, assisting on 31 of 42 field goals and setting the pace with a 22-5 edge on fast-break points.

Getting healthier: Part of the Wizards recent issues have been because of injuries, but Nene returned to play against Cleveland along with Gary Neal. Both looked good and will now be back up to speed. Kris Humphries is also expected to play tonight after sitting vs. the Cavaliers.

Raptors D is slipping: It's true that Toronto dominated the lowly Nets 91-74 on Wednesday, but note that it had given up an average of 118.5 points in losses to Chicago and Cleveland previous.

ATS statistics: Note that Toronto is just 2-4 ATS in its last six overall, while Washington is 5-3 ATS in its last eight when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: Desperation breeds motivation, we think the home side is hungrier and that fact will prove to be the difference once the final horn blares; play on the WIZARDS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Houston Rockets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

James Harden: The Rockets super star is finally starting to fire on all cylinders, he's averaging 28.1 PPG, which is second best in the league. Harden had 30 points in a 93-91 win at Utah on Monday.

Motivation: Houston has started to play much better of late, but there's no question it still has a long way to go and something to prove today as it looks to avoid a third straight home loss (following a seven-game win streak there). The Rockets play the next seven at home: "It's a great opportunity for us to take care of home-court advantage," Harden assessed last night. "We gotta focus on things we can control; our defensive togetherness, rebounding the basketball and limiting the turnovers."

If history is any precedence: Then Houston has to be loving its chances to continue its surge, it's won nine of the last 11 meetings with Utah and has swept all five at home by an average of almost 19 points.

Trending the other way: The Jazz's vaunted defense is starting to come unravelled, they're most recently coming off a 123-98 setback at San Antonio on Wednesday, the most points the team has allowed all year. They'd go on to allow the Spurs to shoot a massive 60.5 percent from the floor.

Injuries: Utah has been hit by a rash of injuries and will once again be without the services of Rudy Gobert, Dante Exum, Derrick Favors and Alec Burks.

ATS statistics: Note that Utah is just 11-12 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Houston is 20-9 ATS in its last 29 when playing with two days of rest.

The bottom line: The Rockets are getting healthier and have found their swagger, while the Jazz are reeling from injury and loss of identity. When taking into account all of the factors listed above, there's no question in our minds that a lop-sided destruction is in the cards tonight; play on HOUSTON.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Charlotte Hornets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Stephen Curry: Is injured, he'll be a game time decision, but if he does play, he won't be at 100% and we don't expect him to play a pivotal role in the outcome of this one. Curry returned from a two-game absence on Saturday, but left after playing 14 minutes when he injured his leg again in a 111-108 OT win over Denver.

Motivation for the Hornets: Charlotte will be desperate here, and despite having to deal with some key injuries, we think the passion and focus in which the team plays with today will be the difference, the Hornets are looking to avoid their first four-game losing streak of the season, while trying to start a four-game road trip off on the "right foot." "Obviously we're missing some guys but our energy level is good but it's just our defense and our rebounding," Hornets coach Steve Clifford said. "When we start to get our defense going again, then we'll win again."

Look ahead spot: While it's only the lowly Lakers, it's still not too hard to imagine the Warriors looking ahead to their game vs. Kobe Bryant and the much improve Lake-Show on Tuesday.

Strong and relevant ATS statistics: Charlotte is 5-1 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more and 2-0 ATS after playing to three or more consecutive SU losses, while Golden State is just 5-6 ATS in non-conference game this year.

The bottom line: A plethora of different factors do all indeed point to the points as the savvy move in this contest, grab as many as you can with CHARLOTTE tonight.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Major Injury: Brooklyn has lost the services of veteran guard Jarrett Jack, who tore an ACL as well as a meniscus on Saturday; Jack has been pivotal in the Nets taking two of three from the Celtics this season.

Revenge factor: Boston does indeed play with revenge here, the C's took the first game 120-95 at home, but have since dropped two straight to Brooklyn, including a 100-97 setback at home on Saturday.

Motivation: We definitely feel that the visitors will be the more motivated team today, they'll desperately be trying to avoid a second three-game losing streak in the last three weeks.

Strong and relevant ATS statistics: note that Boston is 10-5 ATS on the road this year, 5-3 ATS up off an upset loss as a favorite and 9-7 ATS in revenging a loss vs. an opponent, while Brooklyn is a poor 8-9 ATS in front of the home town crowd this season.

The bottom line: Revenge is a powerful motivating factor and it is one which we feel will ultimately prove to be the difference today; play on the CELTICS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the LA Lakers.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

- Scheduling: The Suns have lost eight straight and are coming off a 142-119 setback at Sacramento just last night.

- Brutal defensive play: Phoenix was allowed opponents to average 109.3 points per game shoot 48.6 percent, both league worsts in that span.

- LA trending in opposite direction: Lakers just yielded their fewest points this year, limiting Philadelphia to 36.9 percent shooting in Friday's 93-84 victory: "We're starting to play off each other, and guys are just being comfortable in their own skin," guard Lou Williams said. "These past few games we've played with a lot of confidence and played at a better pace."

- Revenge: LA plays with revenge after falling 120-101 in Phoenix in mid November.

- Strong and relevant ATS statistics: note that Phoenix is just 5-10 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while LA is 9-7 ATS this season vs. teams with losing records.

The bottom line: We feel the home side should be a much bigger favorite, the LAKERS have improved dramatically over the last few weeks, while the Suns are spiralling down the proverbial crapper due to injury.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Sacramento Kings.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a couple of different factors:

- Motivation: we like the Kings to come out fired up here, after losing 122-103 at Golden State, the team would then be humbled in a 110-105 home loss to the lowly 76ers.

- DeMarcus Cousins: The Kings' big man has been playing really well of late, he had 21 points, 11 boards and three blocks before fouling out in the setback to Philadelphia. Note that Cousins averages 27.9 PPG at home as well. And finally note that Cousins has dominated the Suns throughout his career with averages of 23.2 points and 13.8 boards in his last nine vs. them.

- Revenge Factor: Cousins did not play in a 118-97 road loss to Phoenix back on November 4th.

- Poor defense: The Suns have lost seven straight and have given up an average of 108 points on 49.2 percent shooting in that span.

- ATS Stats: Note that Phoenix is just 5-9 ATS after scoring 105 points or more, while Sacramento is already 4-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses.

Play on SACRAMENTO.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers.

While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the lowly 76ers to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Memphis hasn't been playing great the last few weeks, after back to back road losses at Chicago and Dallas, the Grizzlies would rebound with a decent 96-84 win at Indiana on Saturday. Memphis is on the road over Christmas, a game tomorrow night in Washington is followed with a game at Charlotte on Boxing day; it's definitely not too hard to imagine the visitors looking past their cellar dweller opponent this evening (also note that Memphis is just 6-8 SU on the road this season). Philadelphia also plays a game tomorrow night in Milwaukee, but the 76ers won't be looking past their opponent, in fact the team plays with revenge after falling 92-84 in Memphis back on November 29th. This is also Philadelphia's last home game until January 4th, which without question puts added importance into trying to secure a victory at all costs tonight. And while it's true that the Grizzlies have won five straight in the City of Brotherly Love, note that four of those victories came by five points or fewer, last season's win went to OT where Memphis needed to rally from 18 down over the final seven minutes. And finally note, this is not the same defensive minded Grizzlies clubs from years past as the team is allowing an average of 100.2 PPG this season. Grab as many points as you can with PHILADELPHIA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Indiana Pacers.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single handicapping methodology and believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term. We routinely look at many factors, including motivation, scheduling, other external factors along with line price/movement and one thing we always take into consideration are strong and relevant Against The Spread statistics and they're what we're basing this pick on entirely, as note: the Pacers are 10-2 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records and 10-3 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while San Antonio is already 6-7 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU wins and just 11-18 ATS in its last 29 when playing with two days of rest. Play on INDIANA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Boston Celtics.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single handicapping methodology and believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term. We routinely look at many factors, including motivation, scheduling, other external factors along with line price/movement and one thing we always take into consideration are strong and relevant Against The Spread statistics and they're what we're basing this pick on entirely, as note: Minnesota is a poor 16-28 ATS the last three seasons when playing on back-to-back days and just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after allowing 85 points or less, while Boston is already 5-2 ATS in non-conference contests this season and 9-7 ATS vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest. Play on Boston.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the Philadelphia 76ers.

We think this is a few too many points to be giving up as we look for the lowly visitors to catch the defending Eastern Conference Champs a little flat-footed and disinterested and while we won't be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Cleveland will welcome back Kyrie Irving into the fold and suffice it to say, we don't think the transition for the new point guard and his team will go off seamlessly right out of the gates. This also definitely sets up as a classic "letdown/look ahead" spot for the home side, after four straight victories the Cavs now face the 76ers, before a game vs. New York on the 23rd and the much anticipated Christmas Day matchup in Golden State. Also note that Philadelphia is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 as a road dog in the 15.5 to 18 points range, while Cleveland is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a home fav in the same points range. Play on the 76'ERs!

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards.

We look for the hungry home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Washington is chasing the Hornets in the Southeast Division and has been hit hard by the injury bug, the team will be without the services of Bradley Beal and Nene once again: "We can't use (injuries) as an excuse," coach Randy Wittman said. "We just haven't been consistent in terms of night in and night out. Night in and night out, your shooting can change. You take shots and miss shots, but defensively, and effort-wise putting the commitment into it has to be every night." Charlotte also has a bunch of injuries to contend with though, including to big man Al Jefferson and guard Nicolas Batum. The Hornets would stop a two-game slide with a 109-99 OT win over the Raptors on Thursday, but the extended absence of Jefferson will prove to be too much in our opinion tonight, note that he's averaged 18.8 points and 10.9 boards in helping his team win six of the last eight in this series, including a 101-87 home decision on November 25th. So not only do the desperate Wizards play with revenge, but they can also actually play with confidence, because if history is any precedence, then the team has to be loving its chances here as Washington is 8-2 in its last ten division games dating back to last season and has won five straight at home vs. Southeast foes. Note that Charlotte is just 4-6 ATS on the road this year and only 2-4 ATS vs. division opponents, while Washington is 59-44 ATS the last three seasons in front of the home town crowd and 3-2 ATS vs. its division this year. Play on WASHINGTON.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz.

We are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, which means we look at things like motivation and scheduling to base a lot of our selections, but that said, we don't prescribe to any one single handicapping methodology and instead believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to secure profit over the long-term. One set of factors that we always take into consideration when making a selection are relevant and strong "Against The Spread" statistics, and it's what we're basing this entire 5-game report on: note that Denver is already just 2-4 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and just 3-7 ATS after scoring 105 points or more, while Utah is a perfect 4-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite and 2-1 ATS off a loss by ten points or more. Play on the JAZZ.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Brooklyn Nets.

We are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, which means we look at things like motivation and scheduling to base a lot of our selections, but that said, we don't prescribe to any one single handicapping methodology and instead believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to secure profit over the long-term. One set of factors that we always take into consideration when making a selection are relevant and strong "Against The Spread" statistics, and it's what we're basing this entire 5-game report on: note that Brooklyn is already 2-0 ATS this year as a road dog between 9.5 and 12 points, as well sat 11-6 ATS vs. good offensive teams which average 99-plus points per contest, while Indiana is just 4-5 ATS this year vs. teams with losing records and only 4-5 ATS following a non-conference contest (also note, that it's not too hard to imagine the Pacers "looking ahead" to their tough two game Western road swing, which starts tomorrow night at Memphis and ends at San Antonio on Sunday). Play on the NETS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers.

We are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, which means we look at things like motivation and scheduling to base a lot of our selections, but that said, we don't prescribe to any one single handicapping methodology and instead believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to secure profit over the long-term. One set of factors that we always take into consideration when making a selection are relevant and strong "Against The Spread" statistics, and it's what we're basing this entire 5-game report on: note that New York is just 3-4 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more and 0-2 ATS in its last two as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 9 points range, while Philadelphia is a perfect 4-0 ATS this season after playing three consecutive road games and 8-6 ATS vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest (and with a game at home tomorrow night vs. the Bulls, its not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught "looking past" the lowly home side today). Play on the 76'ERs!

AA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the LA Lakers.

While we wouldn't obviously be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the hungry home side to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the handful of points that it's been afforded. LA has lost six straight. Milwaukee has lost nine-straight on the road. But the Bucks come in off a monumental victory and suffice it to say, in our professional opinion this does indeed set up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors after they beat the previously unbeaten Golden State Warriors 108-95 on Saturday. But not only does this set up as a letdown spot, it's also a classic "look ahead" spot as well for Milwaukee, as it will be in Golden State on Friday for the rematch. Note that Milwaukee is just 1-2 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest and just 1-4 ATS after scoring 105 points or more, while LA is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 when playing with two or more days of rest and already 7-5 ATS this season in all non-conference contests. Play on the LAKERS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single particular handicapping methodology and believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to secure profit over the long-term. We definitely take strong ATS trends into consideration whenever handicapping a game and that's the case with today's three NBA picks, these selections are all based entirely on ATS trends: note that Philadelphia is already 8-5 ATS on the road this season and 6-3 ATS in revenging a home loss vs an opponent, while Toronto is just 6-8 ATS as a favorite this season and only 4-8 ATS vs. teams with losing records. And with a game at Indianapolis tomorrow night, it's almost impossible not to imagine the home side coming in a bit complacent here as it gets caught looking ahead to that one. Play on the 76ers.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

When the smoke clears at the end of this one, we look for the visitors to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. LeBron James had 33 points and ten boards in a 105-100 win over the Blazers last time out, the Cavs fighting their way back from an 18-point deficit to snap a three-game slide. And if history is any precedence, then Cleveland has to be loving its chances to roll that momentum into this contest, as the Cavaliers have won 11 straight in the series by an average of 14.1 points. The Magic are now trending in the opposite direction, after winning five-straight, Orlando would drop two of its last three on a five-game road trip, most recently a disheartening 107-104 setback at Phoenix on Wednesday. We love how the situation sets up in this one, but it's also strong from a trend based stand point as well, as note that the Cavs are 5-3 ATS this season vs. teams with winning records, while Orlando is just 9-12 ATS in its last 11 as home underdogs of three points or less. Play on CLEVELAND.

AAA Sports 

This is an 10* ASSASSIN on the Chicago Bulls.

While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the visitors to at the very least, keep this one close enough to sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch with the handful of points that have been afforded to them. The C's return home after a successful 3-2 road trip and suffice it to say, we believe this does now indeed set up as a classic letdown spot for them. Conversely, the Bulls will be extra focused tonight to stop a two-game slide, but have to be feeling pretty confident in this matchup as they've won three straight and 13 of the last 17 in the series. The Bulls had been playing well up to their recent slide: "I don't know what it is," guard Jimmy Butler assessed last night. "Can't close teams out; have a lead, don't finish, lose games ... We keep talking about it, yadda, yadda, yadda, but eventually we're going to have to fix it or we're going to keep finding ourselves on the losing end of ball games." Note that Chicago is 3-2 ATS in its last five off an upset loss as a favorite, while Boston is just 17-18 ATS in its last 35 following a victory by ten points or more. Play on the BULLS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Clippers.

While we're mainly a situationally based handicapping service, we definitely don't prescribe to any one single handicapping methodology and instead believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to handicap a contest. For this particular five-game NBA report, we're basing all of the picks on strong ATS and O/U trends: note that Orlando is 1-3 ATS its last four as a road dog of three points or less and just 7-15 ATS in its last 22 vs. the Pacific division, while LA is 6-4 ATS in its last ten as a home fav of three points or less and 17-14 ATS in its last 31 when playing with two days of rest. Play on the CLIPPERS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors.

While we're mainly a situationally based handicapping service, we definitely don't prescribe to any one single handicapping methodology and instead believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to handicap a contest. For this particular five-game NBA report, we're basing all of the picks on strong ATS and O/U trends: note that Golden State is interestingly just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 vs. Atlantic division opponents, while Toronto is 6-1 ATS when playing the role of underdog this season and a perfect 6-0 ATS vs. teams with winning records. Play on the RAPTORS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Utah Jazz.

We're going to recommend a sprinkling a little on the money line today as well, this one has all the makings of a classic letdown spot for the visitors as we look for the home side to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and sneak in through the back door down the stretch. This is the opening game of a seven-game road trip for the Warriors. From a situational stand point, this one sets up perfectly. Golden State is clearly the cream of the crop in the NBA this year, but Utah has quietly been dominating as well, it will be gunning for its first three-game win streak of the season, falling short on three previous tries. Note that the Jazz are in fact one of the best defensive clubs in the league, allowing 93.2 PPG, while also allowing the fewest field-goal attempts at 75.6 per contest. Most recently Utah is coming off a 101-87 victory over New Orleans. Grab as many points as you can with the JAZZ.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Phoenix Suns.

When the smoke clears at the end of this one, we're expecting the home side to find a way to get the job done. Phoenix will be extra motivated to "right the ship" after losing three of its last four, most recently a 98-84 loss at San Antonio on Monday. It was a poor performance after averaging 106.5 points. This is also an immediate revenge game for the Suns after falling 122-116 at New Orleans on Sunday. After a brutal start to the season, New Orleans has now won three straight, including a 14-point win over San Antonio on Friday. Can anyone say "letdown spot?!" Note that the Pelicans are 0-7 on the road this year. This is the first of two straight at home for Phoenix, before embarking on a season-high six-game road trip and with a date vs. the first-place Warriors on Friday, tonight's contest has basically become a "do-or-die" scenario. And note that New Orleans is a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing with two days of rest, while Phoenix is 18-8 ATS in its last 26 after a loss by ten points or more and 17-7 ATS in its last 24 after playing three consecutive road games. Play on the SUNS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Houston Rockets.

Patrick Beverley returns to the lineup for the Rockets and we believe he'll be a difference maker today vs. a tired and contented Grizzlies team which is coming off a victory just last night. This is also an immediate revenge scenario after Houston fell to Memphis last week. The Rockets are starting to look a lot better defensively as well, allowing 102 points and 41.5 percent shooting since firing head coach Kevin McHale. Big man Dwight Howard is also expected back in the lineup after sitting out in Saturday's setback to the Knicks. The Grizz have gone 5-1 their last six, including beating Dallas 110-96 last night; in our professional opinion, there's no question that this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors. It's a great situational play, and note that Memphis is in fact a poor 13-21 ATS in its last 24 vs. division opponents, while Houston is 40-36 ATS last three years in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and 21-18 ATS in its last 39 off an upset loss as a favorite. Play on the ROCKETS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Orlando Magic.

We like the Magic to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. After an extended win streak, New York is coming off its worst offensive performance of the season and we definitely feel that this now also sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors. The Knicks were flat in a 95-78 setback to Miami on Monday, setting season lows in points and field-goal percentage. Orlando looks to bounce back after a 117-103 road loss to Cleveland, the team gave up its most points in regulation this season. Two completely different mind sets for both teams, after an extended stretch of excellence, New York finally lost and comes in deflated. Orlando on the other hand is coming off a poor effort and will be extra motivated to get back on track. A great situational play in our opinion, but also note that the Knicks are a horrible 26-35 ATS in their last 61 following a loss by ten points or more and a poor 40-50 ATS their last 90 vs. teams with losing records. And note that Orlando has excelled in this spot for bettors, 3-1 ATS in its last four when playing against a team with a winning record and 29-25 ATS last three years following a loss by ten points or more. It's also not too hard to imagine the Knicks getting caught "looking ahead" to their rematch at home vs. the Heat on Friday. There's no question that there are a bunch of different factors that all point to NEW YORK as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports 

This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on the LA Lakers.

While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright victory here, we do think that the visitors can catch a complacent and contented Warriors team a little flat footed and expect them to sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample spread they've been afforded tonight. If you're wagering on this game, you are more than just a casual fan, you know what the Lakers are about and you know what the Warriors are about. With a win today, Golden State will open the season 16-0, setting the all time NBA record for best start ever. We won't try to convince you that Golden State is a mediocre team which has just gotten lucky to this point, or that the Lakers are a lot better than what their record indicates. That's obviously not the case for either team whatsoever. We do feel however that this a great spot to go against the red hot Warriors and that the value has clearly shifted to the visiting side. While there's incentive to gain the 16 wins, LA will be as equally as motivated to play the unlikely spoiler. And note that the Lakers are in fact 30-26 ATS in their last 56 after three or more consecutive losses, while Golden State is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a home favorite in the 12.8 to 18 points range. Grab as many points as you can with the LAKERS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

We look for the hungry home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Whether Kevin Durant plays or not, we expect the Thunder to rally after losing 93-90 to New York on Friday. This sets up as a classic letdown spot for the Mavericks though, who can't help but come in complacent after winning six straight, including a 102-93 victory over Utah on Friday. But not only is it a letdown spot, but it's also a "look ahead" contest with road games at Western Conference foes Memphis and San Antonio after this, marking three road games in four nights. Note that Dallas is 14-19 ATS in its last 33 after three or more consecutive SU victories, while OKC is 20-17 ATS its last 37 off an upset loss as a favorite. Play on the THUNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE DESTRUCTION on the LA Clippers.

LA has lost six of eight, making this contest almost a "must win" scenario and because of that, we fully expect the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the afternoon. The Clippers catch a huge break here as well in not having to face Raptor center Jonas Valanciunas, who broke his hand in Friday's 102-91 win over the Lakers. LA is coming off back-to-back losses and also plays with the double revenge factor after dropping both to Toronto last year. Note that the Raptors are in fact a poor 5-13 ATS in their last 18 after playing three consecutive road games and just 27-31 ATS the last three season's after a victory by ten points or more. And note that LA has dominated in this spot for bettors, 22-17 ATS in its last 39 off an upset loss as a favorite. The loss of Valanciunas will prove fatal for Toronto today, expect the hungry CLIPPERS to put the foot on the gas early and never let up.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

AAA Sports uses a variety of handicapping methodologies every single day, but this five game NBA report is based entirely on strong ATS and Over/Under trends. Note that New York is just 6-13 ATS in its last 19 when playing with two days of rest and just 26-36 ATS the last two seasons in all non-conference games. And note that OKC is 4-3 ATS at home this year and 55-43 ATS in front of the home town crowd the last two, while also going 55-46 ATS after scoring 105 points or more in the same time frame. Play on the THUNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans.

AAA Sports uses a variety of handicapping methodologies every single day, but this five game NBA report is based entirely on strong ATS and Over/Under trends. Note that San Antonio is just 1-3 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories and a poor 16-23 ATS in its last 39 vs. division opponents. And note that New Orleans is 46-42 ATS the last two years vs. teams with winning records and 20-13 ATS its last 33 vs. division opponents. Play on the PELICANS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Philadelphia 76ers.

While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the home side to at the very least, sneak in through the back door with what we believe to be a healthy amount of points afforded to it. In our professional opinion, this one sets up as a classic letdown spot for the Mavericks who have won three straight, over the Clippers, Lakers and at Houston respectively. Remember, it was the Rockets that ousted the Mavs from the Playoffs last year as well. Conversely, the 76ers have not even won a game yet this year, in fact the organization hasn't won in almost eight months dating back to last season. One player to keep your eyes on today is Philadelphia center Jahlil Okafor, who is averaging 19.2 points and who had 21 to go along with 12 boards in Saturday's 92-83 loss at San Antonio. Also note that the home side gets a boost offensively today with the expected return of Robert Covington, the third-year small forward averaged 13.5 points last season. Play on the 76'ERS!

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The Cavaliers are rolling to open the season, sitting at 7-1 and most recently stormed from behind to take a 118-114 home win over Utah on Tuesday. LeBron James had 31 points, including 17 in the fourth quarter. Cleveland now starts a three-game trip vs. New York, a team that it beat 96-86 at home back at the start of the season. The Knicks come in off a deflating 95-93 loss at Charlotte on Wednesday, getting outscored 26-14 in the fourth quarter in which they shot a dismal 27.3 percent. Cleveland is starting to get healthier, which is more bad news for the Knicks as guard JR Smith is back in the line-up after missing three games with a bruised right knee. Note that Cleveland is 17-10 ATS in its last 27 when playing with two days of rest, while New York is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 as a home dog in the 3.5 to 6 points range. Play on the CAVALIERS.

AAA Sports

 This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Orlando Magic.

Orlando is gunning for its fifth win its last seven games and to also break a four-game slide at home in this series. Most recently the Magic are coming off a 101-99 home win over the Lakers on Wednesday. Orlando now catches a tired Jazz team coming off a disheartening 92-91 loss at Miami just last night. After winning four of its previous six, Utah has now dropped the first two of its tough four-game East Coast road swing. The wheels have come off the bus for the Jazz defense, it allowed a season-high point total in Tuesday's 118-114 loss at Cleveland and surrendered 48.3 percent shooting over the past two. Both teams have significant injuries, so we'll call that department a "wash." This is simply a great situational play, Utah is tired and deflated while the Magic have plenty of positive momentum; play on ORLANDO.

AAA Sports 

This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

We jumped on this line the moment it came out and got 5.5 and it's since gone up closer to 7 as of writing this (6 AM EST), but regardless, we love this selection and while we wouldn't be completely shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as well look for the home side to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. The Warriors are 8-0 after their 109-95 win over Detroit on Monday. After winning eight straight games, it's not too hard to imagine Golden State finally having a letdown here. The Grizzlies though won't be a tiny bit complacent whatsoever, in fact they'll be playing with utter desperation tonight as they look to break out of a sluggish patch. Memphis (3-5) will also be playing with the immediate revenge factor after getting thumped 119-69 in Oakland on November 2nd. The Grizz though looked pretty good in their last start, falling 94-92 to the Clippers on Monday: "If we play like that, keep playing like that, we'll get back to our old selves," forward Zach Randolph said yesterday. "A loss is a loss but we've got to take the positives, the energy, the defense, the things we did well." Note that Golden State is just 1-3 ATS already this year vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while the Grizzlies are 57-45 ATS in their last 102 vs. teams with winning records. Play on MEMPHIS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Brooklyn Nets.

While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset here, we do definitely feel that the lowly Nets will come to play today and will be able to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Houston has won four straight, while Brooklyn has lost seven straight. Contentedness vs. desperation. This is also a revenge game of epic proportions, as the Rockets have won 16 of 17 in the series, including eight straight at the Toyota Center. Note that Brooklyn is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 when playing with three or more days rest, while Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last seven as a home favorite between 12.5 to 18 points and 0-2 ATS in its last two vs. poor offensive teams which score 91 points or less. Play on the NETS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT on the New Orleans Pelicans.

No need to overanalyze this one, desperation breeds motivation, we love the home side to finally get off the schneid tonight and get revenge for its 107-98 setback at Dallas on Saturday. The Pelicans are 0-6, but have gotten great play from big man Anthony Davis, who is averaging 25.2 points, 9.3 boards and 2.8 blocks per game thus far. Davis gets a boost with the expected return of Jrue Holiday to the line-up. The Mavericks are 3-3 and have struggled with consistency from night to night, note that Dallas is just 15-19 ATS in its last 34 when playing with two days of rest, while New Orleans is 12-7 ATS in its last 19 as a home favorite of three points or less. Play on the PELICANS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

When the smoke clears at the end of this one, we look for the home side to find a way to get the job done. If history is any precedence, then LeBron James and company have to be liking their chances as Cleveland has taken six straight in this series. After losing 97-95 to the Bulls on opening night, the Cavaliers have gone unbeaten, most recently a 101-97 victory over Indiana on Sunday. James had 29 points, six boards and four assists. Big man Kevin Love had 22 points and a season-high 19 boards. The Jazz come to town contented, having won three straight on the road, but now face a Cleveland team which is 15-1 in its last 16 vs. the Western Conference and which has won eight straight at home vs. the West. Note that Utah is just 7-13 ATS in its last 20 when playing with two days of rest, while Cleveland is 35-32 ATS in its last 67 non-conference games. In our professional opinion, this number should be a little higher, play on the CAVALIERS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

LeBron James may have to sit this one out after injuring his leg in a 108-102 win over Philadelphia on Friday, but regardless, we like the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. After an opening day loss to the Bulls, the Cavs have won five straight and now face a Pacers team which has won three straight. Note though that Indiana has struggled mightily in this spot for bettors, going just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 off an upset win as an underdog and only 17-21 ATS in its last 38 after three or more consecutive SU victories. And note that the Cavs are 23-16 ATS in their last 39 vs. division opponents. Play on CLEVELAND.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Pelicans will be looking to get off the schneid and end the team's worst start in 11 years and take advantage of what we believe will be a complacent Hawks side which has won five straight. Desperation vs. contentedness. Is Anthony Davis and company really as bad as their 0-4 record would indicate? We definitely think the answer is: no way! "I've just got to find the (open) guy, try to make the right play, which I'm trying to do," Davis assessed last night. "Then it's on the guys to knock down the shots. Once they do that, then (the defense) can't double and triple team as much, because we have guys who can shoot the ball. I just want to be the best I can be to help the team win. I feel I'm not doing it right now." A date vs. Atlanta is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though, note that Davis is averaging 26.0 points and 11.3 boards while shooting 52.9 percent in the last four in the series. With a game at home vs. division rival Washington tomorrow night, it's definitely not too hard to envision the visitors getting caught "looking ahead" to that contest. Note that Atlanta is just 43-48 ATS the last two seasons vs. teams with losing records, while New Orleans is 15-11 ATS in its last 26 off an upset loss as a favorite, 15-13 ATS in its last 28 after three or more consecutive SU losses and 15-14 ATS in its last 29 when playing with two days of rest. We expect the home side to finally hit a couple shots and to at the very least, keep this one close enough to escape with the ATS victory; play on the PELICANS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Boston Celtics.

We look for the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. The Wizards are coming off a come from behind 118-113 win in Milwaukee last Friday, before a 102-99 win over San Antonio, a game in which Bradley Beal hit a 3-pointer with 0.3 seconds left on the clock. The C's though shut down Beal last year, holding him to just 11 points while shooting under 32 percent in three meetings. There's no question that the home side will be the hungrier of the two teams here, Washington is off back to back thrilling victories and now hits the road, whereas Boston has lost three straight, most recently a 100-98 setback to Indiana on Wednesday. The Wizards won two of three in the series last year, this sets up as a revenge game as well after Boston fell 101-88 in Washington in the most recent meeting back on December 27th. One other player to keep your eyes on today is Celtics leading scorer Isaiah Thomas, who is averaging 20.8 points in his last five in this series. Note that Washington is just 16-19 ATS in its last 35 following an upset win as an underdog, while Boston is 13-11 ATS in its last 24 off an upset loss as a favorite and 26-17 ATS in its last 43 after three or more consecutive SU losses. Play on BOSTON.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Chicago Bulls.

Both teams are coming in off losses, but the Thunder played just last night. No need to overanalyse this pick, we look for the hungry home side to finally step up and to take advantage of this matchup. Chicago is coming off a humiliating 130-105 loss at previously winless Charlotte on Tuesday, surrendering its highest point total in regulation since 2010. We had the Hornets in that one and it was just a bad spot for the Bulls, as Charlotte was going to be risking life and limb in that game to secure the victory. But now the situational tables have turned in favor of the now equally as desperate Bulls, who have lost two of their last three. The Thunder have averaged 114.2 points so far this season, but struggled down the stretch in Wednesday's 103-98 home loss to unbeaten Toronto. And to say this is a "revenge" spot for Chicago would be a bit of an understatement as well, as the Thunder have won six of the last seven meetings, including a 109-100 effort at home in the latest back on March 15th. Note that Oklahoma City is just 51-54 ATS vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99 plus points per contest, while Chicago is 20-15 ATS in its last 35 after allowing 105 points or more. Play on the BULLS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the LA Clippers.

Both teams come in without a loss and while the home side may ultimately gut out the victory in this one tonight, we feel that the visitors can at the very least, keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Golden State most recently annihilated Memphis 119-69 on Monday. Note, all three teams that Golden State has beaten this year, New Orleans twice, Houston and Memphis are the same ones in which it eliminated en route to the NBA title. LA is off to a 4-0 start as well, most recently a 102-96 victory over the Suns on Monday. So far it's been a cake-walk for the Warriors, but the team now faces its stiffest test to date, and note that Golden State is in fact just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 after allowing 85 points or less, while LA is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 6.5 to 9 points range and 53-41 ATS in its last 94 on the road. Play on the CLIPPERS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* UNDERDOG DESTRUCTION on the Brooklyn Nets.

No need to overanalyze this one, Brooklyn is winless and will be risking life and limb today, pushing the pace from the outset as it desperately looks to get off the schneid. Atlanta on the other hand has won four straight and comes in complacent after winning 98-92 in Miami just last night. This is also a revenge scenario after the Hawks eliminated the Nets from the first round of the playoffs in six games. Also note that it's widely been reported that Atlanta will be resting a lot of its starters in the second game of the back-to-back scenario this season. Desperation vs. contentedness. Note that Brooklyn is 11-7 ATS in its last 18 as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points, while Atlanta is just 18-19 ATS in its last 37 following a divisional contest. We look for the visitors to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe, play on the NETS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Indiana Pacers.

We jumped on this line early and only got +3.5. It's since moved closer to +5.5 in most places, but we still love this selection and while we obviously would not be shocked by the outright upset victory, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the desperate and hungry visitors to take this one down to the wire. Detroit has yet to lose a game, while Indiana has yet to win. Contentedness vs. desperation. Divisional contests are always the most important, this is doubly so for the winless Pacers in this spot obviously. Detroit has looked great to this point, but in our opinion this definitely sets up as a classic "letdown" spot for the home side, which is coming off an extremely satisfying 98-94 OT win over the Bulls on Friday. Also note that Indiana is 22-19 ATS in its last 41 after a loss by ten points or more and 17-13 ATS in its last 30 when playing with two days of rest, while Detroit is just 5-14 ATS in its last 19 as a home fav in the 3.5 to 6 points range and only 4-8 ATS in its last 12 when playing with three or more days rest. Play on the PACERS.

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This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets.

The Hornets will be playing with desperation today as they look to avoid their worst start in 26 years and suffice it to say, we believe this determination will finally translate into production on the court and while we obviously wouldn't be shocked by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. This is also a revenge spot for Charlotte after it fell 98-89 in the team's most recent meeting back on March 23rd. We actually had the Hornets in their last game, a tough 94-92 defeat to Atlanta on Sunday; we had +1.5, failing to get the cover by a single free throw and after choking away an outright lead with under two minutes to play. Note though that this is a spot in which Chicago has struggled in for bettors, just 43-51 ATS the last two seasons vs. teams with losing records, while Charlotte is 43-32 ATS vs. teams with winning records in that same span. Desperation breeds motivation, play on the HORNETS.

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This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Philadelphia 76ers.

We think the home side comes out firing tonight and keeps this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. This is a perfect situational play as the Cavaliers are injured and enter a stretch in which they play six games against non-playoff teams from a year ago; it's a classic "letdown" spot. Cleveland has already opened 2-1 with three tough games vs. Chicago, Memphis and Miami; LeBron James' back is ailing and Kyrie Irving is still out due to injury. Kevin Love is also feeling sore after surgery to his shoulder in the offseason. Philadelphia is 0-2, most recently coming off a listless 99-71 loss to Utah on Friday. The 76ers are a young team, but need no more motivation today than taking on the Eastern Conference defending champions and with some of the Cavs' stars seeing reduced time, this is indeed a fantastic situational play for us to take advantage of. Note that Cleveland is just 10-11 ATS in its last 21 after a victory by ten points or more, while Philadelphia is 16-11 ATS in its last 27 after scoring 85 points or less and 8-2 ATS in its last ten as a home dog of 12 points or more; play on the 76ER's.

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This is an 8* play on the Charlotte Hornets.

While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by the outright upset today, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the home side to exact a little revenge from an early season loss to the Hawks. Atlanta won 112-101 in New York on Thursday and then hung on for a 97-94 home victory over Charlotte on Friday. There's no question that Charlotte will be "hungry" here after opening the season 0-2, having not dropped three in a row to open a campaign since 2010. The Hornets roared back and nearly overcame a 14-point deficit in the fourth quarter vs. ATL, but were ultimately unable to overcome 20 turnovers which led to 26 Atlanta points. One player to keep your eyes on today is Charlotte's Kemba Walker, the guard is averaging 18.7 points in his last three at home vs. the Hawks. Note that Atlanta is just 17-19 ATS in its last 36 following a divisional contest, while Charlotte is 48-41 ATS the last two seasons in revenging a loss vs. an opponent and 8-5 ATS in its last 13 as a home dog of three points or less. Play on the HORNETS.

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This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the New Orleans Pelicans.

While we obviously wouldn't be completely surprised by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the hungry and revenge minded home side to at the very least, take the defending champions down to the final shot. Golden State beat New Orleans 111-95 at home to open the season and then would pull away for a 112-92 win in Houston just last night. Note that the Warriors will almost assuredly be without the services of sharp-shooter Klay Thompson though, who played just 24 minutes in last night's win due to an ailing back and who will likely be sitting in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. And note that center Andrew Bogut did not play in last night's game and won't be in this one either because of a concussion suffered in the opener. To say this is a "revenge" game is a bit of an understatement as well as the Warriors have won 15 of the last 16 in the series, including the first round playoff sweep last year. After the loss to the Warriors, New Orleans would then fall 112-94 to Portland on Wednesday. But with a few extra days off to prepare for this game, we like the desperate home side to come out focused on the task at hand. And note, Golden State is just 12-15 ATS in its last 27 as a road fav in the 3.5 to 6 points range, while New Orleans is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a home dog in the same points range and 15-12 ATS in its last 27 when playing with two days of rest. Play on the PELICANS.

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This is an 8* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT on the Phoenix Suns.

Damian Lillard is the only player remaining from the Blazers lineup from last season, but the team would get a career night from CJ McCollum in its 112-94 win over New Orleans on Wednesday. McCollum had 37 points, topping his previous regular-season high by ten. Suffice it to say, we're not expecting a repeat performance tonight, in fact there's no question that this now sets up as a classic "letdown" spot, both for McCollum and for his team. Phoenix is coming off a 111-95 setback to visiting Dallas, a game in which all of its top scorers struggled with consistency: "I think everybody from top to bottom can take a piece of this loss," said center Tyson Chandler. For us it's simple, we don't think that Portland is as good as what its opening performance would indicate and we certainly don't think that Phoenix is really as horrible as it played in its opener. And note that the Blazers are in fact a poor 26-29 ATS in their last 55 after a victory by ten points or more, while the Suns are 16-8 ATS in their last 24 after a loss by ten points or more. Play on PHOENIX.

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This is an 8* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Houston Rockets.

We bet against the Warriors in their home opener vs. New Orleans and came up short, but believe the Rockets can catch the defending champs "looking ahead" to their rematch with the Pelicans tomorrow night. Houston is coming off a horrible 105-85 loss in its home opener to Denver, a team not expected to do much this year and it also plays with revenge after Golden State ousted it from last season's playoffs. Also note that Golden State will be without the services of big man Andrew Bogut, who left the opener with a concussion. This is obviously a significant loss, as Bogut played a key part in slowing down Houston center Dwight Howard last year: "We can't worry about what wasn't brought in Game 1," Howard said. "That's over with. There's no need to focus on that anymore." Note that Golden State is just 8-9 ATS in its last 17 as a road favorite of three points or less, while Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last five as a home dog of three points or less and 6-1 ATS after scoring 85 points or less. Play on the ROCKETS.

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This is an 8* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

While we wouldn't be completely shocked by an outright victory, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. There is literally only one way the Wolves can move this season and that's up as they'd finish dead last in the league a year ago. Minnesota will be extra motivated today as well as it looks to win one for Flip Saunders after the coach finally succumbed to cancer last week. The Wolves have a nice mix of veteran experience and explosive young talent. Kevin Garnett is back in Minnesota for another year and he's joined by Andre Miller, and Tayshaun Prince, the trio have a combined 29 years of experience. These three will be tasked to influence Andrew Wiggins, No. 1 overall pick Karl-Anthony Towns and slam dunk champion Zach LaVine. The Lakers were 21-61 last season and will once again be led by Kobe Bryant, who will be looking to mentor nine players who have three seasons or fewer of NBA experience. Bryant has been a shell of his former self the last two years because of injury and already comes into the regular season banged up after suffering a lower-leg contusion in the final preseason contest. To say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement, the Lakers have had the Wolves number for a few years now, having won 29 of the last 34 in the series and 15 of the last 17 at the Staples Center, a situational factor that we can also take advantage of. We think the WOLVES depth will prove to be the difference in the end.

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This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Indiana Pacers.

Indiana won 56 games in 2013/15, but only 38 last year, due in part to several injuries over the courts of the season, most notably to leading scorer and heart of the team Paul George, who returns to 2015 at full health: "With the talent we have, this should be the most prolific offense we've had here," said coach Frank Vogel. Complimenting George will be Monta Ellis and center Myles Turner. Toronto won't be surprising anyone this season, after back-to-back trips to the playoffs, the team will obviously be looking to make a deeper run after getting bounced in the first round on both occasions. The Raptors look pretty good, DeMarre Carroll is a defensive specialist who has a nice touch from the outside, he's been tasked to fill the void left by Louis Williams (the 2015 Sixth Man of the Year) and Greivis Vasquez. Toronto finished among the league leaders in scoring average, but lacked considerably on the defensive end of the court, which would ultimately prove to be their downfall in the playoff series loss to Washington. Note that Indiana is 7-6 ATS in its last 13 as a road dog in the 3.5 to 6 points range, while Toronto is just 6-13 ATS in its last 19 as a home fav in the 3.5 to 6 points range. While we wouldn't be shocked by the outright SU victory, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can, play on the PACERS.

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This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans.

Will the Warriors suffer a letdown after their epic run to NBA greatness last year? Maybe, but there is little chance that the team will completely implode and miss the postseason. Suffering a bit of a mental lapse on opening night after receiving their championship rings right before tip-off against a revenge minded Pelicans team which has lost 14 of 15 in the series, including seven straight at the Oracle Arena is not too hard to imagine though. Alvin Gentry was an assistant coach for the Warriors last year, but is now the head man in New Orleans. The Warriors core group of players are back, so to is Pelicans' big man Anthony Davis, who was fourth in the NBA with 24.4 PPG last year, first with 2.9 blocks per game and the top eight in field goal percentage, rebounds per game and double-doubles. Davis and company will be out for some serious revenge after getting swept by the Warriors in four straight in last years playoffs; the team looks poised for another strong run though with the additions of Kendrick Perkins and Nate Robinson, who will pull duty with guard Eric Gordon, who finished second in the NBA in 3-point shooting at 44.8 percent. We expect the visitors to keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe, play on NEW ORLEANS.

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This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bulls.

We aren't overthinking this one, Chicago was eliminated by the Cavaliers in last season's conference semifinals and we are expecting the home side to exact a little revenge this evening as it looks to take advantage of a less than 100% LeBron James. James had been sitting for the last two weeks because of a back issue. While big man Kevin Love is back in the lineup for Cleveland, point guard Kyrie Irving is still weeks away from returning after getting surgery on his knee. Chicago has a new coach (Fred Hoiberg), but a lineup which has consistently competed for Eastern Conference supremacy over the last half decade, and that group is 100% healthy. A great situational play, we're laying the short points.

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This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Sometimes I feel it's necessary to completely dissect a contest, looking at individual player match-ups and at situational and motivational factors and in other instances, I believe a more "common sense" approach is the best way to handicap a game. That's definitely the case with this selection. With their backs against the wall, I look for the Cavaliers to play their best game of the series and would obviously not be surprised whatsoever to see the home side win this one outright. And from a trend based stand point, this selection is about as strong as you could possibly ask for, as Golden State is 13-14 ATS this year after a win by 10 points or more, while Cleveland is 7-3 ATS following a loss by 10 points or more. Consider sprinkling a little on the money line as well as "The King" holds serve on his court, play on the CAVALIERS.

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This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

I grabbed an early +7 and it's since gone up, but regardless, while I wouldn't be shocked with an outright Cavs victory, I do definitely feel that despite losing Kyrie Irving to injury, that the visitors won't be going down without a fight today and look for them to at the very least, sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I feel to be a healthy spread afforded to them. Irving had an awesome game, but I think the combination of Matthew Dellavedova and Iman Shumpert can fill the void. It was in fact just the second time that Cleveland has failed to cover the spread in the team's last six playoff games. And remember, the Cavaliers were 2-0 SU against the Hawks in the Eastern Conference Finals without Irving and went 1-1ATS with Dellavedova averaging 14 points in his place (also note that LeBron James picked up the scoring slack vs. the Hawks by averaging 33.5 points in the two games that Irving missed). I had the Warriors as my NBA Finals GAME OF THE YEAR in Game 1 and obviously feel pretty fortunate to get the victory. This is do or die for the Cavaliers though, if they can somehow manage to steal this one outright, they'd absolutely be in the "drivers seat" heading back home. Golden State has struggled in this spot as well already in the postseason, just 4-5 ATS so far when leading in a playoff series (and note that the Cavs are 10-4 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest). While the rest of the World goes one way, we'll go the other, grab as many points as you can with CLEVELAND.

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This is a 10* Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on the Golden State Warriors.

An interesting match-up indeed, but I think that the Warriors' depth, health and clear home court advantage will ultimately prove to be too much for the Cavaliers. In Game 1 anyways. LeBron James is playing the best basketball of his career, but his supporting cast is not only injured (guard Kyrie Irving is hobbled with a knee issue), but it's arguably the worst one he's had surrounding him in his career. Golden State is loaded with talent up and down the line-up and I simply can't see the Cavs' bench keeping pace. Cleveland's turn around started in January when the team transformed itself into a defensive juggernaut, but now the Cavaliers face their stiffest test yet. Irving has been the most trustworthy defender, but his injury is obviously a major concern for the team. The Cavs have given up just 98.5 points per 100 possessions during the postseason; but note, Golden State's defense has been one of the league's best all year long. The Warriors have played 49 games at Oracle Arena this season and they've won 46 of those outings. Golden State just faced one of the league's most potent offensive weapons in the entire league in James Harden and would go on to dispatch his team in five games. Granted, James is the better and more experienced all around player, but "The King" definitely doesn't have the same supporting cast around him which Harden enjoys. Note that Cleveland is just 6-13 ATS this year when playing the role of underdog, while Golden State is 48-34 ATS when dubbed the favorite. Look for the WARRIORS to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.

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This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on the Golden State Warriors.

I think the Warriors are going to bounce back and finish off the Rockets in Game 5. I took the Rockets at +1500 to win the NBA Championship last summer but have been hedging my wager throughout this series, but that said, I obviously didn't expect the Warriors to sweep. After its extremely satisfying win in Game 4, I think the table is set for an equally as epic letdown for Houston this evening and look for Golden State to play with a chip on its shoulder and to comfortably pull away down the stretch for the ATS cover: "We just don't want to come back to Houston," Warriors guard Klay Thompson confirmed last night. "It's not going to be easy. They are here for a reason. We have to come and play with more intensity and play together and we'll win the game." Good news for us, Warriors guard Stephan Curry is fine after suffering a nasty fall in Game 4. More good news for us, Rockets' center Dwight Howard, who received a flagrant 1 foul in Game 4 could be suspended a game because of his reckless actions. No need to break down individual player match-ups at this point, the strengths and weaknesses of each team is well known to even the most casual NBA fan, I simply feel the situation benefits the WARRIORS and look for the team to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

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This is a 10* WESTERN-CONFERENCE FINALS GAME OF THE YEAR on the Golden State Warriors.

Golden State has a 2-0 series lead, but has yet to cover the spread. The Rockets have fought valiantly to this point, I had Houston and the UNDER in Game 1 and then the UNDER again in Game 2. However, while Houston continues to deal with injuries, the Warriors continue to gain confidence. One player to keep your eyes on today is the Warriors Stephen Curry, who had 34 points in Game 1 and 33 in Game 2. Obviously it's not going to be a cake walk though: "It hurts, but they did what they had to do," said the Rockets James Harden last night. "They won two games at home. We're going back home to get two games." Golden State though is hardly getting cocky, especially after it let a 17-point lead slip away in Game 2: "They feel like they lost two games they should have won," Golden State's Draymond Green assessed afterwards. "We feel like we almost gave this one away ... we have a ways to go, there's a lot we can get better at. But we're sitting here 2-0 and that's the most important thing." Expect to see a lot of shots from the outside, these teams obviously love shooting the 3-ball, as Golden State leads the league with 29.3 average per game, while Houston clocks in at 27.6. In my professional opinion, we haven't even seen the best of the Warriors yet, this is a difficult match-up for the Rockets and with the injury issues continuing to surround Howard and in a near pick-em game, I think that GOLDEN STATE takes full advantage and finally gets the job done ATS.

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This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Houston Rockets.

I think that the visitors will keep this one competitive enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The only thing that people are talking about from the Clippers/Rockets series is the epic collapse from LA, but I think we need to give credit where credit is due, mainly to Kevin McHale and the coaching staff of Houston, which made huge adjustments defensively to come back from the 3-1 series deficit. Now the Rockets come into this series with a ton of confidence and momentum; also note that they play with the revenge factor today after losing all four regular season contests (also note that Dwight Howard sat out two of those meetings and is once again playing at 100% now). These teams are very similar in that they like to play tough defense and then get out on the break and spread out the opposing team with a lot of three-balls; look for each side to be putting an added emphasis on perimeter defense today, making this area a “wash.” From a trend based stand point though, this selection is about as strong as you could possibly ask for as Houston is 20-15 ATS in revenging a loss vs. an opponent this season, while Golden State is interestingly just 10-12 ATS vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest. While I won’t be so bold as to predict an outright victory, I do think that the ROCKETS have all of the tools in place to take this one down to the wire.

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This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors.

Momentum is something that the books often have time properly quantifying into a line and while it's a factor which can clearly be over-rated in some instances, that's not the case in this one in my opinion as I expect Golden State to continue to play well on both ends of the floor. Tony Allen is once again injured, if he does play tonight he'll basically be a non-factor. Allen was the only thing slowing down Golden State's Curry and Klay Thompson; Thompson had a series-high 21 points and Curry netted 18 to go with a career playoff-high six steals, seven boards and five assists in Wednesday's 98-78 dismantling. But as mentioned off the top, the Warriors are getting the job done at both ends of the floor, limiting Memphis to an average of 81 points and 38.6 percent shooting in the back-to-back victories (note that Golden State is 6-2 ATS this season after allowing 85 points or less). Warriors coach Steve Kerr knows that the team can ill afford to give the Grizzlies any hope, look for him to press the pace of this one from the outset, I expect the WARRIORS to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.

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