This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Dallas Mavericks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that OKC is in fact just 1-4 ATS this year against poor offensive teams which average 98 plus points per contest, while Dallas is 3-1 ATS in its last four at home and 3-1 ATS in its last four against clubs with winning records.

The bottom line: OKC comes in off an exhausting 137-125 loss in Houston just last night. Dallas enters off a 94-86 home loss to Toronto on Saturday. These teams have split a pair of games this year, each winning on its own court. OKC ranks tenth overall in scoring, but in the bottom third defensively. The Mavs have played a lot better over the last two months, but still own the league’s worst offense. Dallas makes up for it though on the defensive end with the third ranked defense. But this play is based mainly on the situation, as OKC comes to town dead tired. Look for the hungry MAVERICKS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* NON-CONFERENCE ASSASSIN on the Phoenix Suns.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Phoenix is 17-9 ATS in non-conference games this year, 16-9 ATS after a loss of ten points or more and 12-9 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Brooklyn is just 11-17 ATS in non-conference contests and only 5-12 ATS against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest.

The bottom line: Phoenix was never going to make the playoffs and comes in having lost five straight. The Nets had dropped five of seven before beating Detroit at home on Tuesday. We think the home side has a predictable letdown here after the rare victory. This is a revenge game for the Suns after they lost 122-104 to Brooklyn at home on November 12th. We think the Suns are the “hungrier” of these two bottom feeders tonight and while we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can, play on PHOENIX.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games and 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 115 points or more, while Portland is just 4-5 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog and only 1-4 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: These are two evenly matched teams battling for a playoff spot in their respective conferences, but we think the situation favors the visitors. Milwaukee is coming off a blowout loss in Golden State, but still comes in having won eight of its last ten. This sets up as a classic letdown spot for Portland, which won four of its final five on the road, only to now return home for the first time in two weeks. We’re banking on the just as hungry visitors to at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points, play on MILWAUKEE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* NON-CONFERENCE ASSASSIN on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that the Wolves are already 12-8 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 12-5 ATS after allowign 115 points or more, while Miami is interestingly just 3-4 ATS against the Northwest division this year.

The bottom line: Minnesota comes in hungry after a 117-104 setback at Boston on Wednesday. The Heat continued their hot run with a 120-112 home win over the Pelicans on Wednesday. The Wolves average 104.9 PPG and allow 104.9. The Heat average 102.6 PPG and allow 101.8. The Wolves aren’t going to be rolling over today, this one means just as much to them as it does to the Heat. The revenge factor is working in our favor, we’re expecting a back and forth battle which is decided in the closing momemts. Grab the points, play on MINNESOTA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NON-CONF SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Utah is just 12-17 ATS this year against teams with winning records and only 11-15 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106 PPG, while Cleveland is 12-8 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more and 15-12 ATS this season against teams with winning records.

The bottom line: No need to overthink this one, not only do the CAVALIERS play with revenge, but Utah comes in having played in Detroit just last night. We’re expecting a rout from start to finish, lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Golden State Warriors.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

The bottom line: The Warriors enter this one having lost three straight. Philadelphia enters off a hugely satisfying 118-116 road win over LA in its latest action. We’re expecting the struggling Warriors to put on a clinic today as they look to get off the schneid with a resounding victory. At the same time, this does definitely also set up as a classic letdown spot for Philadelphia, which has little to play for other than pride at this point. This has also been an arena in which the 76ers have struggled in for a while now, going just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 at Golden State. Conversely, this is a spot in which the Warriors have excelled in for bettors, going 4-1-1 ATS in their last six against a team with a losing road record. Over their last ten game the 76ers have allowed an average of a whopping 116 points. We’re laying the points with confidence, play on GOLDEN STATE.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Memphis Grizzlies.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Milwaukee is just 8-9 ATS in its last 17 after playing three consecutive home games and only 6-14 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories (also just 11-18 ATS on the road), while Memphis is 18-12 ATS this seaosn in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent.

The bottom line: Milwaukee averages 105.1 PPG and allows 104.3. Memphis averages 101.2 points and allows just 100.8. This is the start of a tough Western road swing for the Bucks, with games against the Clippers and Warriors next week. It’s obviously not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead to this rough part of their schedule and they could also be caught flat-footed with complacency off six-straight victories. The Grizzlies on the other hand have lost five straight and will be risking life and limb today in trying to get off the scheid. Lay the points, play on MEMPHIS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

As note that Washington is just 7-9 ATS so far in the second half of the season and only 1-2 ATS in its last three on the road, while Minnesota is 4-1 ATS this month overall and 17-9 ATS this season against good offensive teams which score 106 points per game. 

The bottom line: Not only do we think this one sets up great for the Wolves from a trend based stand point, but we also think the situation favors them as well. Washington has won five straight, including four straight on the road and two straight in overtime. This is the final game of the trip and all signs point to a classic letdown here. Minnesota is playing its best ball of the year, having won six of its last ten, but it comes in off a tough 102-95 loss in Milwaukee. All signs point to a comfortable cover for MINNESOTA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the LA Lakers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that LA is 3-1 ATS in its last four against good offensive teams which score 106-plus points per contest, while Phoenix is just 7-9 ATS this season after scoring 115 points or more. 

The bottom line: The Suns have covered the spread in four straight, but after a three game win streak, they’d fall short for the straight up victory in their 131-127 setback to Washington last time out. We think this sets up as a natural letdown spot after that near miss. LA is in full rebuilding mode, but has four players which average double figures. The LAKERS won’t be rolling over, grab as many points as you can.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: 

As note that LA is just 16-17 ATS on the road this year and just 1-2 ATS in its last three as an underdog, while Memphis is 17-10 ATS in revenging a loss against an opponent and 3-1 ATS after a loss by ten points or more.

The bottom line: We think the Clippers are poised for a letdown and we’re expecting the Grizzlies to risk life and limb here after a third straight loss, this time at home to the league worst Brooklyn Nets 122-109 on Monday. LA has a game in Minnesota on Wednesday night and we think will have a tough time against this revenge-minded and desperate home side. Play on the GRIZZLIES.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and some great situational factors:

As note that Cleveland is already 8-4 ATS this year when playing with two days rest, while Detroit is just 4-7 ATS against divisional opponents. 

The bottom line: This is a great “situational” play in our opinion. The defending champs have lost four of their last six, including two straight. They also play with revenge here after falling to Detroit 106-90 on Boxing Day. Detroit plays in Indiana on Wednesday and clearly the second game of the back-to-back is going to be tough at this time of year, despite it taking place on its own floor. The trends and the situation favor the visitors, play on CLEVELAND.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Charlotte Hornets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and scheduling factors:

As note that Charlotte is already 5-2 ATS this year against the Northwest division and 2-1 ATS after allowing 115 points or more, while Denver is just 4-5 ATS this year when playing with two days rest and only 3-7 ATS off an upset win as an underdog.

The bottom line: We think this one also sets up great from a “situational” stand point. This is the finale of a tough seven-game road trip for the Hornets, one which has seen them go just 2-4. Clearly they’d love nothing more than to get off the schneid and finish strong. Denver on the other hand looks poised for a letdown, it’s a classic spot bet as the team returns to the comforts of home after two big road victories over Chicago and Milwaukee. All signs point to a letdown here for the home side, play on CHARLOTTE.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Portland Trailblazers.

We think the Thunder are poised for a letdown here after winning four straight, most recently a 109-106 win over Utah on Tuesday. Russell Westbrook finished with his 30th triple-double of the season with 43 points, 11 boards and ten assists. Note that it was the third straight game that the Thunder would play without guard Victor Oladipo, who is dealing with a back injury. Portland will be especially motivated after a 1-3 road trip. The Blazers though are still just 2.5 games out of the final playoff sot. Keep your eyes on Damian Lillard, he’s tied for 13th in the NBA with 41 games of 20-plus points this season. Note though that from an ATS trend stand point, they don’t get much stronger than this as the Thunder are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record, while the Blazers are 4-1 ATS in thier last five home games following a road trip of seven or more days. PORTLAND has won five straight at home over OKC and we expect that strong trend to continue here.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Washington Wizards.

REASONING: The Warriors beat the 76ers in Philadelphia just last night, unable to secure the ATS victory for bettors. We think the team will also struggle to cover this evening and do in fact feel that the home side has a legitimate shot at taking this one outright. Clearly the Warriors are the better overall team. But by 6.5 to 7 points on the road in the second game of a back to back better? We don’t think so. Golden State is the league’s No. 1 offense with an average of 118.2 PPG. It ranks 13th in scoring defense at 105.4 PPG. Washington averages 107.9 PPG and allows 105.5. Note though that Golden State is just 4-7 ATS this year when playing the second game of the back to back, while Washington is 6-4 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more. Grab the points, play on the WIZARDS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SUPER SHOCKER on the LA Lakers.

The Spurs came out of the All Star Break and held on for a 105-97 win over the Clippers on Friday. LA though will be eager to get off the schneid today and break a three-game losing slide. We think that this sets up as a “trap” for the Spurs, who are wrapping up an exhausting eight-game road trip with the annual rodeo having taken over San Antonio’s AT&T Center this month. The Lakers will be especially motivated though as they’ve lost by a combined 53 points over their last two games. Clearly the Spurs are a great team, while the Lakers are one of the worst in the league. We’re not here to try and convince you otherwise, we simply feel that the overall “situation” favors the home side. And note that San Antonio is in fact just 4-5 ATS this year after playing three or more consecutive road games, while LA is 23-19 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. Grab as many points as you can, play on the LAKERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Charlotte Hornets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a couple of different factors, “revenge” being the most important:

These teams played on January 28th and the Kings somehow managed a 109-106 road victory. So the “revenge” factor definitely comes into play here.

Charlotte is also going to be desperate tonight as it looks to break a string of five straight losses, most recently a 114-108 OT heartbreaker in Detroit in its first game back from the break, a game which it led for almost the entire way in regulation.

The Hornets are simply the “better” team anyways, averaging 104.5 PPG and allowing 104.4. Compare that to the Kings who average 103.2 PPG and allow 105.6.

Also note that Charlotte is 6-3 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Sacramento is already just 1-5 ATS after a win by ten points or more this year and only 2-7 ATS after scoring 115 points or more.

The Kings played great without DeMarcus Cousins in their first game without the big man in the line-up, but all signs point to immediate regression in the second game. Play on the HORNETS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets (7:05 EST).

REASONING: We think Philly is poised for a letdown here after winning its second straight, most recently a 117-109 victory at home over the Heat on Saturday. The Hornets on the other hand come in desperate, they lost for a ninth time in ten games with a 107-102 home loss to the Clippers on Saturday. They’ve split a pair of games this year, but Charlotte does play with revenge after dropping the most recent 102-93 in Philadelphia back on January 13th. Note that despite the recent uptick in play, the 76ers still rank just 26th overall on the offensive end in averaging 101 PPG. Philadelphia is also terrible on the defensive end, allowing 106.8 PPG. The Hornets average 104.9 PPG and allow 104.5. Note though that Philadelphia is just 8-11 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while Charlotte is 2-1 ATS in its last three at home. Desperation breeds motivation. All signs point to the vistors coming into this one complacent and the hungry home side taking advantage. Lay the points, play on the HORNETS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the New York Knicks.

REASONING: The Spurs are great and the Knicks are terrible. This is a great situational play though as New York has several factors working in its favor and while we won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we do think that the hungry home side can at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. San Antonio won its second straight on the road in Friday’s 103-92 victory in Detroit, while New York lost its fourth straight and sixth in its last seven with a 131-123 setback at home to the Nuggets on Friday. Not surprisingly, this one sets up as a revenge game for the Knicks, who lost the only matchup last year, 100-99. With a game tomorrow night in Indiana though, the stage is now finally set for the Spurs to have a small mental lapse as they get caught “looking ahead” to that one. Note that San Antonio is just 2-3 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games, while New York is 20-13 ATS after allowing 105 points or more, 5-2 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite and 16-11 ATS against teams with winning records. Grab the points, play on the KNICKS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Brooklyn Nets.

REASONING: Miami continues to roll along, having won 12 in a row. The Heat have gone 11-0-1 ATS in that span. But with a game tomorrow night in Philadelphia, followed by another “cream puff” at home against Orlando, we think the Heat finally come in a bit complacent. Clearly the Nets are a horrible team, they’re just 9-44. Brooklyn is the worst defensive club in the league in allowing 114 PPG. The Nets are decent offensively though, averaging right around 105 PPG. And note, despite the recent surge, the Heat are still ranked just 25th in the league in scoring at 100.8 PPG. Granted, Miami’s defense is pretty good (ranked 6th overall in allowing 101.9 per game), but as mentioned off the top, we feel this sets up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors. And note, the Heat are interestingly just 4-5 ATS against the Atlantic division this year, while the Nets are 3-1 ATS in their last four against the Southeast. Miami may manage a victory here, but we think the hungry home side takes it down to the wire. Grab the points, play on the NETS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

REASONING: We primarily base our picks on “situations.” After ten straight victories, including five straight at home, we think the Miami Heat finally come out flat in the opener of their extended road trip. The Wolves though have lost three straight and will be risking life and limb today in trying to secure a victory. Despite the recent win streak, Miami still comes in averaging just 100.4 PPG (while allowing 101.9). The Wolves average 104 PPG (and allow 105.4). Note though that Miami ist just 1-2 ATS in it last three after playing three consecutive home games, while Minnesota is already a near-perfect 7-1 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses. After losing Zach LaVine to injury, the Wolves are going to be even more motivated today as they look to rally and stop the slide. Play on MINNESOTA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Brooklyn Nets.

REASONING: As primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we think this one sets up beautifully for the lowly Nets. Indiana has won four straight, most recently downing the Magic 98-88 on the road on Wednesday. The Nets come in off seven straight losses after falling 95-90 at home to the Knicks on Wednesday. It’s no big surprise that this sets up as a revenge game for Brooklyn, as Indiana has already taken two of three this year, including a 121-109 home win in the most recent back on January 5th. With a game tomorrow night against Detroit, followed by OKC and Cavaliers, it’s obviously not too hard to imagine the Pacers looking past bottom feeder Brooklyn. Note that Indiana is just 8-15 ATS on the road this year and only 10-16 ATS against teams with losing records, while Brooklyn is 2-1 ATS in its last three against clubs with winning records. Clearly Indiana is the better team, but the NETS and the points is the correct call tonight.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the LA Lakers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Denver is already 0-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU wins and just 2-4 ATS off an upset win as an underdog,w hile LA is 10-7 ATS this season in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent.

The bottom line: Looks like Denver’s big run comes to an end tonight, we think these strong ATS trends carry over. Play on LA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Charlotte Hornets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: 

Note that Sacramento is already just 5-10 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more and just 4-5 ATS when playing on back-to-back days, while Charlotte is 10-7 ATS in its last 17 non-conference games and 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 105 points or more.

The bottom line: The Kings came up just short last night and I think will once again struggle in the finale of their road-trip. Charlotte came up just short in New York last night and will be the hungrier side. Play on the HORNETS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EXPRESS on the New Orleans Pelicans.

REASONING: We look at “situations” and scheduling a lot when making our selections and we think this one sets up really well for the home side today. San Antonio is poised for a letdown here in our opinion, it’s won five straight, including three straight on the road over the Cavaliers, the Nets and the Raptors. This is the final game of the Spurs five-game trip, before an extended home stand. Also note though that New Orleans plays with revenge today as well after a 113-100 loss back on December 18th. The Pelicans still have a shot at grabbing the eighth seed in the West and a win today would be huge after splitting their last five games. We think NEW ORLEANS keeps this one competitive until the final moments, grab the points.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks.

REASONING: Both teams come in struggling. The Rockets had lost four of six before beating Memphis 119-95 on the road on Saturday. Milwaukee though is going to the more motivated side tonight in our opinion as the team looks to snap a five game slide, most recently a 109-97 setback to the Heat on Saturday. Note that this is a revenge game for Milwaukee as well after it fell 111-92 in Houston back on January 18th. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up nice for Milwaukee, but it’s also great from a trend based stand point, as note that the Rockets are just 1-3 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and only 7-10 ATS after a win by ten points or more, while Milwaukee is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 after playing three consecutive road games and 8-4 ATS in all non-conference contests this season. Grab as many points as you can, play on the BUCKS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Brooklyn Nets.

REASONING: As primarily a situationally based handicapping service, these are exactly the types of contests which we are constantly on the look out for. Off an epic 118-115 OT win in Cleveland against the defending champs, the Spurs now have to “get up” for a game against lowly Brooklyn, before then travelling to Toronto for a game tomorrow night against the No. 2 team in the Eastern Conference. The Nets have been all over the map as far as their game-to-game consistency is concerned, blowing out New Orleans 143-114 on the road, before then falling 112-105 at Charlotte after that. Brooklyn though does play with revenge after a blowout loss to San Antonio in December. Note that the Spurs are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Brooklyn is 2-1 ATS in its last three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. Grab as many points as you can, play on the NETS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* BEATDOWN on the LA Lakers.

REASONING: The Lakers broke a five-game skid with a convincing 108-96 win over the Pacers on Friday night. We had LA in that one. The Mavs enter off two straight losses, most recently a deflating 112-107 setback in OT at home to the Jazz on Friday. To say this is a revenge game would be a big understatement as Dallas has taken 12 straight in the series, including a 101-89 victory on the road back on December 29th. LA shot 47.1 percent from the floor in the win over Indiana. Note the Lakers are ranked 17th in scoring at 104.7 PPPG. LA though allows 110.2 per night. Dallas’ offense though is atrocious in averaging a league worst 96 PPG. The Mavs are also last in rebounding. Note though that Dallas is pretty good defensively in allowing 100.7 PPG. We’re expecting LA to build off its last performance and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we definitely feel there are enough factors working in favor of the visitors to pull the trigger. Play on the LAKERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Boston Celtics.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

Portland played and lost in Philadelphia just last night. We had the Blazers in that one and while we don’t normally “flip-flop” on a team, we also realize that each contest must be looked at individually. This has just been a bad spot for Portland this year, as it’s only 3-6 ATS when playing on back-to-back days and a horrible 6-10 ATS in all non-conference contests.

Conversely, this is a spot in which the C’s have excelled, going 19-11 ATS this season as the favorite, 2-1 ATS after a loss by ten points or more and 14-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more.

The bottom line: With two whole days off to refocus, we’re expecting the home to take full advantage of this opportunity. Lay the points, play on BOSTON.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the LA Lakers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: 

As note that Indiana is just 1-5 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and only 7-9 ATS in non-conference games, while LA is 10-8 ATS in non-conference games and 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent.

The bottom line: With a much tougher game in Utah tomorrow night, it’s not too hard to imagine the Pacers getting caught looking past the lowly Lakers today. Play on LA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Brooklyn Nets.

REASONING: Brooklyn will be desperate to get off the schneid after losing its 11th straight, most recently a 119-109 home loss to Toronto on Tuesday. New Orleans most recently snapped a two-game slide with a 118-98 victory over Orlando on Wednesday. To say this is a “revenge” game would be an understatement, as New Orleans has taken the last six straight in the series, including a 104-95 road win in the first matchup this year back on January 12th. The Nets have no issues scoring, averaging 105.3 PPG, but are the worst on the defensive end in conceding 115 PPG. Brooklyn catches a break though as New Orleans averages just 102.6 PPG, ranked 22nd overall. The Pelicans aren’t overly special defensively either in allowing 104.8 PPG. Note that Brooklyn is 3-1 ATS in its last four against clubs with losing records, while New Orleans is just 1-3 ATS in its last four in the same position. With two whole nights off before a home game against the defending champions, it’s not too hard to imagine the Pelicans getting caught looking ahead. Grab the points, play on BROOKLYN.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* plays on the Portland Trailblazers.

REASONING: Desperation breeds motivation. The Trailblazers come in having lost three straight, most recently a 107-85 setback at Charlotte on Wednesday. Philadelphia enters on the other end of the spectrum, having won five of its last six after upsetting the Raptors 94-89 on Wednesday. Portland averages 107.4 PPG, but allows 110.6. Despite the recent turnaround in play of late, note that Philadelphia still averages just 99.3 PPG, while conceding 104.9. From a trend based stand point, they simply don’t get much better than this as Portland is 5-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses, while Philadelphia is just 3-5 ATS after a dvisional contest. We think the hungrier team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the BLAZERS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Miami Heat.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Houston is just 7-8 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more and just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a road fav in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Miami is already 11-9 ATS in non-conference contests this season and 8-5 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: With a home game against the Bucks tomorrow night and a date against the red hot Warriors on Friday, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught “looking ahead” to those ones and past the lowly Heat. Grab the points, play on MIAMI.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Phoenix Suns.

REASONING: We think this sets up as a bit of a trap for the Jazz, who come to Talking Stick Resort Arena on a four-game win streak. Conversely, the Suns will be looking to continue to build momentum after they halted a two-game skid by upsetting the Spurs in Mexico City on Saturday. From a trend based stand point though, they simply don’t set up much better for the underdog home side, as Utah is 0-4 ATS in its last four on the road and interestingly 0-6 ATS against the Western conference, while Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last six at home and 4-1 ATS in its last five against teams with winning records. With three whole nights off before a game at lowly Dallas on the weekend, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking past their cellar dweller opponent tonight. Grab the the points, play on the SUNS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* THROWDOWN on the LA Lakers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that the Lakers are 10-6 ATS in their last 16 following a loss by ten points or more, while the Clippers are just 5-8 ATS after a non-conference game and just 5-7 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU wins.

The bottom line: With Oklahoma City on deck on Monday, it’s not too hard to imagine the Clippers getting caught “looking ahead” to that one. Grab the points, play on the LAKERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Charlotte Hornets.

REASONING: The Hornets are going to be the much “hungrier” team today as they’ve lost three straight and five of their last six, most recently a 121-114 road defeat to Houston on Tuesday. Conversely, this sets up as a letdown spot for suddenly over-acheiving Philadelphia, which has won two straight and four of its last five. From a motivational stand point, this one sets up fantastically for Charlotte. From a trend based stand point, it becomes an even stronger play on the Hornets, as they’re 6-2 ATS in their last eight after allowing 100 points or more and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a losing home record, while Philadelphia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven at home and only 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. As primiarly a situationally based handicapping service, these are exactly the types of scenarios that we’re always on the look out for, play on CHARLOTTE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Orlando Magic.

REASONING: Orlando was competitive in a 100-93 setback at Houston to open their Western road swing, but then came out flat in a 111-95 setback to the Lakers on Sunday. The Magic benefit in not having to change hotels for this road game as they get ready to face the Clippers, who we think could be caught a little complacent here after winning four straight. Note that LA will once again be without the services of Blake Griffin. LA gets caught looking ahead to a couple nights off after this one, while it’s going to be all hands on deck for the visiting side as it tries to bounce back after the poor performance against the lowly Lakers. Note that Orlando is already 4-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses and 4-3 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while LA is just 4-9 ATS in non-conference games this season and only 11-12 ATS against clubs with losing records. While we’ll stop short in predicting an outright upset, all signs point to a much tighter affair than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on the MAGIC.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Brooklyn Nets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and the “revenge factor.” 

Not only does Brooklyn play with revenge after falling 108-107 to Philadelphia back on December 18th, but note that the 76ers are 0-4 ATS this year following a divisional contest and just 4-6 ATS after scoring 105 points or more. And note that the Nets are 10-7 ATS at home this year 7-5 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record.

The bottom line: Looks like a great spot for the NETS to score a solid win at home, lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Memphis is 0-3 ATS this year when playing with two days rest and just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 after scoring 105 points or more, while LA is 12-8 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent.

The bottom line: We think the surging Grizz finally have a letdown here and the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the LAKERS.

AAA Sports

his is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Chicago Bulls.

REASONING: The Hornets had won two straight and five of six before falling 121-109 at home to the Cavs on Saturday. The Bulls come in off their second straight loss and fifth in their last sixth after an embarrassing 116-96 setback at home to Milwaukee on Saturday. The Bulls play with revenge though today, as the Hornets have won three straight in the series, including a 103-91 victory at home in the first matchup this year on December 23rd, 2016. Charlotte is ranked 16th in the league in scoring at 104.9 PPG and ranked eighth in scoring in allowing 102.6. Chicago is ranked 23rd in the league in scoring with an average of 100.5 PPG. Note that the Bulls are first in rebounding with 47.7 PPG. The Bulls are tough defensively as well, ranked sixth in allowing 100.6 PPG. Note that Charlotte is just 1-3 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more, while Chicago is 3-1 ATS as a home fav of three points or less. We think the home side is much “hungrier” today and look for this determination to pay dividends once it’s all said and done. Play on CHICAGO.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Indiana Pacers. 

REASONING: We think the Bulls have a letdown here after winning their second straight, most recently a narrow 101-99 victory over the lowly Nets at home on Wednesday. Conversely, the hungry Pacers will be eager to return to form after dropping their fourth in a row, a 111-105 setback in the nation’s capital on Wednesday. The Pacers beat the Bulls 111-94 at home back on November 5th and we’re expecting a similar final outcome here. Chicago is ranked 23rd in the league in scoring with 100.7 PPG and fifth on the defensive end in allowing 99.8. The Bulls are led by Jimmy Butler, who averages 24.5 points and 6.6 boards per game. Note that Chicago is last in the league from behind the arc, shooting 30.6 percent. Indiana got 34 points from Paul George in the loss to the Wizards. Note that the Pacers are 18th in the league in scoring with 103.9 per night and 20th on the defensive end, allowing 106 per contest. Note that Indian is 12th in the league from behind the arc, hitting 35.6 percent. Note that Chicago is just 1-4 ATS this year as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range and just 6-10 ATS against teams with losing records, while Indiana is 16-12 ATS in its last 28 after three or more consecutive losses. We like the desperate PACERS to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Memphis Grizzlies.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: 

As note that the Thunder are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 as a road dog of three points or less (including 0-2 this year) and just 3-5 ATS against teams with winning records, while Memphis is 5-3 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more and 7-5 ATS after allowing 105 points or more.

The bottom line: After some recent suspect play, we expect the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night and for the strong trends listed above to continue. Play on MEMPHIS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Indiana Pacers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: 

As note that Indiana has been money in the bank in this spot for bettors, going 10-4 ATS in its last 14 after scoring 85 points or less and 14-11 ATS in its last 25 after three or more consecutive losses, while Washington has struggled in this spot, going just 5-7 ATS this season against clubs with losing records and just 50-56 ATS in its last 106 when playing the role of favorite.

The bottom line: After three straight losses, we’re expecting the visitors to risk life and limb today and while the outright win is obviously not out of the question, we’re going to grab the points in the end. Play on the PACERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Indiana Pacers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Boston is just 6-11 ATS on the road this year and just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 105 points or more, while Indiana is 4-2 ATS this season already in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 8-6 ATS when playing the role of underdog.

The bottom line: This is Indiana’s final game before the Christmas break, but the Celtics have one more game tomorrow night against the Thunder. We’re expecting the visitors to get caught looking ahead and expect the revenge minded home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night Play on the PACERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE BLOWOUT SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Atlanta Hawks.

REASONING: Both teams come into this one off a victory. The Wolves are poised for a letdown here though in our opinion after winning for the second time in three games in getting the better of Phoenix 115-108 at home on Monday. The Wolves are in the middles of the pack on the offensive end, averaging 104.3 PPG, which ranks them 14th overall. Defensively though the team has been a big disappoinment in allowing 106.9 PPG, ranking it 23rd. The Hawks returned to form in a big road win over the Thunder to push them back over the .500 mark and we’re expecting them to keep the momentum rolling. ATL would shoot 54.7 percent from the floor and go 9 of 20 from behind the arc. So far the Hawks are 20th in the league in scoring at 102.6 PPG and 16th on the defensive end in allowing 104.4 PPG. Note though that Minnesota is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven against the Eastern Conference, while ATL is already 3-1 ATS this year as a home fav of 3.5 to six points. Play on ATLANTA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Atlanta Hawks.

REASONING: The Hawks snapped a seven game slide in a 103-95 victory over the Heat on Wednesday and they’ll clearly be looking to keep the momentum rolling. Milwaukee on the other hand is poised for a letdown here in our opinion after winning five of its last six, most recently a 115-107 home victory over the Blazers on Wednesday. Atlanta has already beaten the Bucks this year, prevailing 107-100 back on November 16th. Atlanta held a 47-34 advantage on the boards over the Heat last time out, big man Dwight Howard would led the way with 23 points, 17 boards, four assists and two blocks. Note that ATL is ranked 24th in scoring at 100.3, but makes up for it on the defensive end in allowing 102 PPG, ranked 12th. Milwaukee owns the 18th ranked offense at 103.8 PPG. The Bucks also have an above average defense, conceding 101.8 PPG, ranked 10th. Note though that Atlanta is 6-3 ATS against winning teams this year and 3-1 ATS following a divisional contest, while Milwaukee is just 3-4 ATS after a non-conference game and only 4-5 ATS against clubs with losing records. We think the home side gets caught looking ahead to its road trip, which starts tomorrow night in Washington, followed by a game in Toronto on Monday. Grab the points, play on ATLANTA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the Charlotte Hornets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Charlotte is 5-3 ATS in its last eight on the road and 6-3 ATS in its last nine as a road fav in the 3.5 to six points range, while Dallas is just 7-11 ATS as an underdog this season and only 4-5 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: Charlotte looks to take advantage of this favorable matchup after a recent stretch of shoddy play. We’re expecting the home side to have a letdown and for these strong ATS trends to continue. Play on the HORNETS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that San Antonio is 8-2 ATS on the road this year and 5-3 ATS against teams with winning records, while Milwaukee is just 5-6 ATS at home and already 0-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU wins.

The bottom line: We think the Bucks will get caught off guard by this high-powered West Coast team and expect the deeper Spurs to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on SAN ANTONIO.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Cleveland is 3-1 ATS in its last four following a divisional contest and 25-18 ATS in its last 43 when playing with two days rest, while Toronto is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after allowing 85 points or less.

The bottom line: The Raptors have been on quite the role, having won five straight and they’ve already lost the Cavs this year. But that said, we think CLEVELAND, which has scuffeled a bit of late, will once again find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Orlando Magic. 

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and the “revenge factor:”

Orlando played and lost to Detroit 108-82 back on November 28th. Clearly the Magic will be out to atone for that lacklustre effort. Detroit has won five of its last six and we think will come in a bit complacent here.

The bottom line: Note that Orlando is already 5-2 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while Detroit is 0-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories. Play the MAGIC.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Brooklyn Nets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and the “revenge factor:”

Brooklyn lost at home to Milwaukee just last week so is out to avenge that setback and note that it’s 2-0 ATS in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent thi sseason and 14-10 ATS in its last 24 as a road dog of 9 1/2 to 12 points.

And note that Milwaukee is just 2-11 ATS in its last 13 after three or more consecutive SU victories and just 3-4 ATS in its last seven when playing the role of favorite. 

The bottom line: Great situational and trend based factors make the NETS the correct call in this one.

AAA Sports 

This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Atlanta Hawks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Detroit is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 on the road and only 6-9 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more consecutive SU losses, 4-2 ATS in its last six after allowing 105 points or more and already a perfect 4-0 ATS against the Central Division (also 6-2 ATS in front of the home town crowd). 

The bottom line: Desperation breeds motivation. Play on ATLANTA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the Portland Trailblazers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

As note that New Orleans is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after three or more consecutive SU victories and only 11-13 ATS in its last 24 as a road dog of 3.5 to six points, while Portland is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 as a home fav of 3.5 to six points.

The bottom line: This is a “revenge” game for the struggling Blazers. The Pelicans have turned things around of late, but we think this one sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors today. Combined with what should be a superhuman effort from the home side tonight as it looks to get off the schneid and back to its winning ways, all signs do indeed point to PORTLAND as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the Dallas Mavericks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite between 14.5 and 18 points, while San Antonio is just 13-15 ATS in its last 28 when playing with two days rest and only 1-2 ATS this season against teams with losing records.

The bottom line: Desperation leads to motivation. While we’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, we do definitely think that the desperate visitors can keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on DALLAS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the Detroit Pistons. 

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Houston is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more consecutive ATS victories, while Detroit is 22-7 ATS in its last 29 off an upset loss as a favorite.

The bottom line: Look for the desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on DETROIT.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks.

REASONING: Obviously the Golden State Warriors are an awesome team and barring a major upset, they’ll be back in the finals as the Western Conference representative. Golden State comes to Milwaukee on a five-game win streak, including a 20-point victory in Boston just last night. The Bucks come into this one on the other end of the spectrum, having lost two in a row and four of their last five. Milwaukee will be especially motivated after scoring just 25 second-half points against Miami in its latest setback. A couple of players that continues to shine for the Bucks are Giannis Antetkounmpo and Jabari Parker. Antetokounmpo is averaging career highs in points (21.1), boards (8.7), assists (5.4), blocks (2.2) and steals (1.7) per game, while Parker is averaging 20.8 points in eight games this month. Note that the Warriors are just 33-37 ATS in their last 70 non-conference games, while Milwaukee is already 4-2 ATS this year vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest. The Bucks upset the Warriors outright last year, but we’re going to recommend grabbing the points. Play on MILWAUKEE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Miami Heat.

REASONING: Miami is in the midst of its first six-game losing streak since 2008 and will clearly be playing with desperation tonight as it looks to get off the schneid. The Heat are struggling and are injured, but face the perfect opponent to get untracked against as the Bucks come to town tired after last night’s deflating 107-100 loss at home to Atlanta. Miami will be without the services of guard Goran Dragic and of big man Justise Winslow. Milwaukee has struggled with consistency in these spots though, already 0-2 ATS this year when playing on back-to-back days. And note that Miami is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 after three or more consecutive SU losses, including 2-1 ATS this season. A great situational pick, play on the HEAT.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

REASONING: Desperation breeds motivation. After losing four straight, we’re expecting the hungry Thunder to find a way to get the job done tonight. Most recently OKC fell to Detroit on the second game of a back-to-back. Houston comes in off an easy 115-88 win over the 76ers, but with a game at home against Portland tomorrow night, we think the visitors get caught looking ahead to that one. It’s all hands on deck for OKC tonight as it looks to break the slide and with games at home against Brooklyn and Indiana over the weekend, there won’t be any “looking ahead” for the Thunder. Also note that Houston is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 as a road dog of three points or less, while OKC is 3-2 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest and already 2-0 ATS following a loss by ten points or more. Play on the THUNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Portland Trailblazers.

REASONING: The Bulls haven’t played since Saturday’s 116-105 win over the Wizards, while Portland edged Denver 112-105 on Sunday night. From a scheduling stand point, this one sets up perfectly for the Blazers, as this is the start of a tough Western Conference road swing for the Bulls, with a game at Utah on Thursday night, before then visiting the Clippers, Lakers and Nuggets over the next week and a half. We think Chicago gets caught looking ahead and comes out a bit flat in this one. Portland on other hand plays the final game of a short three-game home stand before embarking on a long Eastern Conference road swing, putting added emphasis onto this contest. Note that Chicago is 7-9 ATS in its last 16 as a road dog of 3 points or less and just 18-20 ATS in its last 38 after a win by ten points or more, while Portland is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home fav of 3 point or less. Lay the points, play on the BLAZERS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Memphis Grizzlies.

REASONING: Desperation breeds motivation and success often leads to complaceny. It’ll be all hands on deck for Memphis as it looks to break out of a sluggish stretch, while Utah is poised for a big letdown after a recent turnaround in play. The Jazz return home for their first game after a successul eastern road swing with a 4-1 mark, capped off with a very satisfying 102-91 win over the Heat on Saturday. Memphis is averaging just 97 PPG, ranked last in the Western Conference. Most recently Memphis comes in off a 106-96 setback to the Bucks on Saturday. Note though that Memphis is 31-19 ATS in its last 40 after allowing 104 points or more, including 2-1 ATS this season, while Utah is just 2-3 ATS in its last five following a win by ten points or more. Grab the points, play on the GRIZZLIES.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the Houston Rockets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on strong and relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that San Antonio has struggled in this spot for bettors for a while now, going just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 as a road fav of three points or less, while Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home dog of three points or less (it’s also 19-9 ATS in its last 28 when playing with two days of rest).

The bottom line: Houston shocked the Spurs with an outright victory on their own floor just last week, but we think the visitors come in tired this evening after their win at home over the Pistons just last night. Look for HOUSTON to push the pace and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. 

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on strong and relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that LA is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more consecutive SU wins, while Minnesota is already 2-1 ATS this year after allowing 105 points or more. 

The bottom line: LA comes to town off a hard-fought 110-108 win in Oklahoma City just last night. The Clippers have been on an absolute tear, they’re 8-1 overall (7-2 ATS), but we think they’re finally set up for a letdown tonight against this energized Wolves team. Minnesota has had two nights off since handling the Magic 123-107, and we’re expecting it to carry that momentum and confidence over into this one. While the outright win isn’t out of the question obviously, we’re going to recommend grabbing the points. Play on MINNESOTA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the New Orleans Pelicans.

REASONING: New Orleans is going to win a game one day. And today may be the day! While we’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, we do think that the desperation levels in which the visitors play with today will take this one down to the wire at the very least. Pelicans’ center Anthony Davis is fourth in the NBA with an average of 30.9 PPG and among the leaders in rebounds, steals, blocks and double-doubles. The Pelicans come to town off a 102-94 setback at Sacramento on Tuesday. Milwaukee on the other hand is primed for a letdown here after its three game win streak was snapped in an ugly 86-75 OT loss to Dallas on Sunday. The Bucks have been playing sloppy this year as they’re allowing 18.1 PPG on 16.1 turnovers. Note that the visitors also play with “revenge” tonight after falling 117-113 at home earlier in the month. And note that New Orleans is 20-17 ATS in its last 37 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Milwaukee is just 7-10 ATS in its last 17 as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range. Grab as many points as you can, play on NEW ORLEANS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

As note that New Orleans is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 as a road dog of 12.5 poitns or more and 19-12 ATS in its last 31 following an upset loss as a favorite, while Golden State is just 21-24 ATS in its last 45 as a home fav of 12.5 point or more and already 0-3 ATS against teams with losing records.

The bottom line: The Pelicans are 0-6. Clearly they are going to be in a foul mood today and while we’re not going to predict a crazy outright upset, we do definitely feel that the visitors can keep this one competitive. Grab the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Washington Wizards.

REASONING: We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on common sense: Washington is 0-3 SU/ATS. Atlanta is 3-1 SU/ATS. The Wizards lost to the Hawks in Atlanta 114-99 on Opening Night, so play with the very real “revenge” factor tonight as well. As primarily a “situationally based” handicapping service, these are exactly the types of contests that we’re constantly on the look out for. And note that Atlanta is just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 as a road dog of three points or less, while Washington is 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more consecutive SU losses. Play on the WIZARDS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the LA Clippers

REASONING: We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on strong and relevant ATS statistics, as well as common sense:

Note that OKC is just 10-17 ATS in its last 27 when playing with two days rest, while LA is 14-9 ATS in its last 23 as a home fav in the 6.5 to nine points range.

The bottom line: Russell Westbrook has a date in Golden State tomorrow night and we think the Thunder guard gets caught looking ahead to that one. Look for the red hot CLIPPERS to come in focused on the task at hand and to pull away down the stretch for the convincing victory. 

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics.

REASONING: We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics, as well as common sense:

Note that Chicago is just 7-14 ATS in its last 21 as a road dog in the 3.5 to 6 points range, while Boston is 57-38 ATS the last two seasons in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: These teams played just last week and the Bulls took the home victory. It’s payback time for the Celtics, who continue to get healthier after the first few games of the season. Prime letdown spot for 3-0 Chicago, look for the home side to ride the wave of momentum and to pull away down the stretch. Play on BOSTON.

AAA Sport

This is a 10* SHOCKER OF THE WEEK on the Minnesota Timberwovles.

REASONING: This play is based on a couple of simple factors. The Wolves are winless to start the year and had early double-digit leads evaporate in both setbacks. This is the team’s first home game and clearly Minnesota will be looking to put together a full four quarter effort. The Wolves also play with immediate revenge, as they’d fall in Memphis on Opening Night. The Grizzlies bounced back from a loss in New York to beat the Wizards at home in the second game of the back to back, but the team expended a bunch of energy in securing the OT victory. It’s a perfect set of situational circumstances all coming together for this one selection. Also note that Memphis is just 41-48 ATS in its last 89 on the road, while Minnesota is 3-1 ATS in its last four against teams with winning records. Lay the points, play on MINNESOTA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards.

REASONING: We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

Other times we feel a more “common sense” approach is the best way to handicap a contest, and that’s definitely the case here. The Grizzlies come in off a deflating 111-104 loss at New York just last night, while the Wizards have been off for two nights to refocus after falling 114-99 to Atlanta in their opener. It’s a great scheduling and situational scenario to take advantage of and also note that the Wizards are 16-12 ATS in their last 28 when playing with two days of rest, while the Grizzlies are just 28-30 ATS in their last 58 following a non-conference contest. Play on WASHINGTON.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

REASONING: The Lakers beat the Rockets at home on opening night, but then predictably came out flat in a 96-89 setback to the Jazz two nights later. LA has covered the spread in both games, but we think it’s going to have a hard time matching pace with the surging Thunder. OKC played from behind the entire night, but would end up pulling away in OT to beat the Suns 113-110 last time out. Russell Westbrook scored 51 points, grabbed 13 boards and dished out ten assists. Clearly OKC will be looking to get more people involved:“"Overall, we've gotta get more people involved," Thunder head coach Billy Donovan said. "We've gotta be able to utilize our big guys better and pound the ball inside." OKC has a major size advantage in the paint tonight and we think that this will prove to be the differnce in the end. Note that LA is just 8-12 ATS in its last 20 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 9 points range, while OKC is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 105 points or more. Lay the points, play on the THUNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz.

REASONING: The Jazz are 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS to open the year. LA is 1-0 SU/ATS after handling the Blazers on opening night. We think that Utah can catch the Clippers a bit complacent here and keep this one competitive down to the wire. LA plays Phoenix tomorrow night and it has to be feeling content after beating Portland, a team which knocked it out of the first round of the playoffs last year. Utah comes in with momentum after handling the upstart Lakers 96-89 on Friday. George Hill led the way in that one with 23 points. Derrick Favors also had a big game with 15 points and 11 boards in 20 minutes off the bench. Note that Utah is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine 9 points range and interestingly, 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games played on a Sunday, while LA is just 41-50 ATS in its last 91 at home and just 12-14 ATS in its last 26 Sunday contests. Play on UTAH.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks.

Reasoning: We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

Other times though we feel that a more “common sense” approach is the best way to handicap a contest. And that’s the case here as Brooklyn is coming off a game just last night at home against the Pacers, while the Bucks have had two days off to refocus after a 107-96 setback to the Hornets in their opener. Lay the points, play on MILWAUKEE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Houston Rockets.

REASONING: As we saw last night, anything can happen in the NBA on any given night. We had a play on Golden State and it looked completely out of sorts in its blowout loss at home to the San Antonio Spurs. With all of that said though, we’re not expecting a big upset tonight and think the much deeper and talented Rockets will take advantage of this favorable matchup. LA is in a rebuild this year, as Kobe Bryant is gone and Luke Walton is now head coach. Walton will have his hands full with yount talent D’Angelo Russell, Jordan Clarkson, Julius Randle, Larry Nance Jr. and No. 2 pick Brandon Ingram. Walton will be leaning heavily on his vets, Luol Deng, Lou Williams, Timofey Mozgov and Jose Calderon. James Harden leads the Rockets, he was the league’s second-leading scorer at 29 PPG last year. Note that Houston finished 5-2 in the preseason. In addition to Harden, keep your eyes on veterans Ryan Anderson, Eric Gordon and Trevor Ariza. Lay the points, play on HOUSTON.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ATS DESTRUCTION on the Golden State Warriors. 

REASONING: When it comes to “Against The Spread Sports,” ie: basketball and football, we’ve often found that we need a couple of weeks to really get a “feel” for the team’s and as such, we’ll be playing it a bit conservative to open the 2016/17 NBA campaign. We are primarily a “situationally based” handicapping service, but because the team’s haven’t even played a single game yet, we’re using a more common sense approach on Opening Night. All eyes in the basketball World have been on Golden State after Kevin Durant moved over from OKC and we think the team will be looking to make a statement this evening. The Warriors looked great in the preseason, so chemistry isn’t going to be an issue whatsoever. San Antonio has more chemistry issues to worry about than the talented super stars on Golden State, with veterans like Pau Gasol added into the Spurs’ lineup. We’re dipping our toes into the water to open the season and simply feel that GOLDEN STATE will be playing with a massive chip on its shoulder which we believe will result in a lop-sided final outcome once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Handicapping a series is much like coaching one, you have to make necessary adjustments from game-to-game. We think the Cavaliers are the way to go in Game 1. Can LeBron James, along with a healthy Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving steal this one outright? Obviously it wouldn’t be a complete shocker if the Cavs pulled off the series opening straight-up upset. In fact, James won Games 1 and 3, before succumbing in six to the Warriors in last year’s Finals. We feel this is a great situational play as Golden State comes into the Finals tired and injured, while for the most part it’s been a walk-in-the-park for Cleveland to this point. The Warriors have not been blowing teams out of the water in the postseason and were taken to the wire by the Oklahoma City Thunder, they’d become one of only three teams in NBA playoff history to claw back from a 3-1 deficit. How much gas is left in the tank for the defending champs after that series? And after setting the NBA record for regular season wins? There is no more “aura” of invincibility on their home floor. Cleveland on the other hand has given James plenty of rest throughout the regular season and in the playoffs and now “The King” is ready to do what he does best. Clearly James’ supporting cast is light-years better than it was last season. The Cavs are ready to play “small ball,” and they’re equipped to play in the paint as well. In a contest which we feel will come down to whichever team has the ball in its hands last, we’re going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the CAVALIERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Golden State Warriors.

It’s been a back and forth series and here we are in Game 7. Golden State has reeled off two straight victories and now has a clear advantage in playing this decisive contest on its own floor. The Thunder have already won two games in Golden State, but we think Oklahoma City has a letdown here after failing to secure the series victory on its own floor in Game 6. The Thunder had a late collapse in the fourth quarter and Golden State, spurred by 41 total points from Klay Thompson, would use a 19-5 surge to seal the deal. We simply can’t see Golden State faltering here. The Thunder have completely exceeded everyone’s expectations and the combination of Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant is a formidable one, but the Warriors’ starters are just too good and we believe they’ll have their best game yet of the Western Conference Finals. Note that Oklahoma City is just 6-11 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Golden State is 2-1 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog. The NBA is going to get what it wanted, a rematch between Cleveland and the Warriors. Lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Toronto Raptors.

We played Toronto in Game 1 and after getting out to a quick 7-0 start, the Raptors would struggle the rest of the way, eventually getting blown out 115-84. Toronto has lost Game 1 of all three rounds to this point and has subsequently bounced back to earn the Game 2 victory in each. Can the Raptors regroup and pull off the massive upset in Game 2? Unlikely, but we think tonight’s affair will be much more competitive and expect the visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel to be an ample amount of points afforded to them. After back-to-back grueling seven game series victories, Toronto just couldn’t match pace with the rested Cavaliers in Game 1. The Raptors have responded well in this position, not just in the postseason, but all year long, going 13-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or more, while Cleveland is just 20-27 ATS this season after scoring 105 points or more. DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry have been consistently inconsistent in the playoffs, but look primed for a bounce back effort tonight after the poor showings in Game 1. Grab as many points as you can, play on TORONTO.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

We played the UNDER in Game 1, but will focus on the side in Game 2. OKC shocked the world with a stunning outright Game 1 victory and we think the visitors have a legitimate shot at doing it again on Wednesday night. Another upset may be asking too much, but clearly this is a deep Thunder team which comes in with a ton of confidence and momentum. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook are unstoppable right now and we have a hard time seeing the Warriors slowing them down in Game 2 either. Momentum is a factor that is almost impossible to properly quantify into a line and we think the oddsmakers are way off in setting this one. Note that the Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. The aura of invincibility surrounding the Warriors’ “home court advantage” is over and while we won’t in the end call for the outright upset, we do think OKC keeps this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on the THUNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Toronto Raptors.

Yes, Toronto is coming off a couple of grueling seven game series victories and will be without its starting center for at least a couple more games. Yes, Cleveland is well rested after dispatching its first two opponents in four games each and sports a healthy Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving in its line-up this year. We think this is a great situational wager though as we’re expecting “rest” to lead to “rust” and for the battle tested visitors to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Cleveland has had nine whole days off between series, while Toronto comes in firing on all cylinders, DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry have finally found their stroke and will be looking to build off that momentum. Jonas Valacuinas is a key part to Toronto’s offense, but Bizmak Biyombo has filled in admirably. Oklahoma City beat the Spurs in six games and not many gave it a chance in Game 1 of the West Conf Finals vs. the Warriors, but we all know how that one finished. We’re not going to call for an outright upset, but all signs do indeed point to the points as the savvy move in this one.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

It’s time to face reality, despite having all around specialist Kawhi Leonard and new comer LaMarcus Aldridge, the Spurs are an old team which have run out of gas. San Antonio’s vaunted defense has no answer for the Thunders’ Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook and OKC’s veterans and bench players are dominating their counterparts. Tony Parker and Tim Duncan having nothing left in the tank, while the Thunder are receiving big contributions from the likes of Serge Ibaka and Dion Waiters. Note that San Antonio is just 2-7 ATS this year when playing on one days rest, while Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in the same position. Why are the Spurs favored here? This is a horrible matchup as OKC’s athletes are running circles around the plodding and aging Spurs. Play on the THUNDER (and make sure to sprinkle a little on the money line as well!).

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Toronto Raptors.

We think Toronto is going to play its best game of the series and look for it to jump out to an early lead, to keep the foot on the gas throughout and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. So far three games in this series have gone to OT. It’s obviously been evenly matched to this point, but as it wears on, we think that home floor will finally start to become a big advantage. Both teams are without their centers, which puts the focus on smaller lineups and guard play, which despite the 94-87 OT loss in Game 4, does in fact favor Toronto. Raptors’ guards DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry have struggled mightily in the playoffs, but there’s no reason not to think that they won’t play significantly better in front of the home town crowd tonight: “They're our two All-Stars and sooner or later they're going to come through or be a part of what we're trying to do. It's not like we're just going to bench Kyle and DeMar, and go away from them. They're our guys. We believe in them," Raptors’ coach Dwane Casey said. Miami got a huge boost from aging super star Dwayne Wade last time out, but surely he’s running out of gas at this point. Note that Miami is already just 1-2 ATS this year when tied in a playoff series, while Toronto is 2-1 ATS in the same position. Everything does indeed point to the RAPTORS as the savvy move in this one.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers will look to push this series to a Game 7 and while they may ultimately fall in Toronto, we look for the home side to take advantage of familiar surroundings and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. The Pacers led by 15 late in the third quarter but somehow managed to lose 102-99 on Tuesday. It certainly wasn’t because of Paul George though, who had 39 points: “It's a desperation feeling," George said last night. "We'll give everything we have tomorrow night and make sure that that's enough." Toronto’s stars have struggled, Kyle Lowry is averaging 15.2 points and 31.4 percent shooting, while DeMar DeRozan, who had 34 points in Game 5, had averaged just 13.3 and 29.6 percent over the first four games of this series. The Raptors collapsed in a similar situation vs. the Nets two years ago, losing Game 6 on the road and then Game 7 at home. Note that Toronto is a horrible 4-11 ATS in its last 15 in the first round of the playoffs and just 15-18 ATS in its last 33 when playing with two days rest, while Indiana is 12-4 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest and 5-3 ATS in its last eight when trailing in a playoff series. We feel that home floor will prove to be pivotal tonight, play on the PACERS. 

AAA Sports

This is a 10* Opening Round RED DRAGON is on the Portland Trailblazers.

The Clippers may have taken four of the five regular season contests from the Blazers this year, but we think the visitors can at the very least keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Portland can score with anyone, it averaged 105.1 points on 45 percent shooting. It’s weakness is clearly on the defensive end where it allowed an average of 104.3. Damian Lillard leads the way for the Blazers with an average of 25.1 points and 6.8 assists, while CJ McCollum is averaging 20.8 points and 3.2 boards. LA averages 104.5 points on 46.5 percent shooting and gives up an average of 100.2 Chris Paul is the heart of the offense, he averages 19.5 points and ten assists, while Blake Griffin posted 21.4 points and 8.4 boards on average. Griffin though is still working his way back into game shape after missing most of the year with injury and suspension. And note that despite dropping four of five to the Clippers, the Blazers were very competitive, they enter this series having gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games played in Los Angeles. We wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset here, play on PORTLAND.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* Opening Round SIDE OF THE YEAR on the Toronto Raptors.

Toronto’s best season in franchise history isn’t going to mean much if it doesn’t contend for the Eastern Conference crown. We’re expecting the home side to make the most of familiar surroundings and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. It’s been back-to-back first round disappointment’s for Toronto, so we look for the home side to make Game 1 a statement. The Raptors were injured for most of the season last year, but are at 100% health heading into this year’s playoffs. Note that Toronto hasn’t lost more than two straight since mid-November: “I think we're in a better mental place," Raptors’ coach Dwane Casey assessed. "The confidence level is higher. Guys have accepted their roles much more. That's a huge difference. We're in a much better place defensively." This isn’t a matchup that favors the Pacers, evident by the fact that they dropped three of four in the season series. It’s also interesting to note that the Raptors shot an average of 35.3 free throws per game in four meetings with Indiana. We think there are enough situational factors working in favor of TORONTO to pull the trigger on a play of this magnitude.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Golden State Warriors.

Records were made to be broken. The 1995 Chicago Bulls 72 game win streak remains in tact, but the Warriors can match that with a victory tonight. To do that though, they’ll have to battle history, as they’ve lost 32 straight regular season games in San Antonio, which is trying to set some records of its own, including becoming the only team in league history to remain undefeated on its home floor for an entire regular season. Golden State played and won 100-99 in Memphis last night, Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson got caught looking ahead to this one as the two normally sharp outside shooters went a combined 5 of 24 from behind the arc. Suffice it to say, we don’t expect that type of shooting performance to happen two times in a row and in a contest of this magnitude. The Spurs come in off a loss to the Nuggets, but the entire starting line-up was given the night off, so while it’s true that San Antonio comes into this one well rested, we’ll point out that San Antonio has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors this season, going 18-20 ATS vs. teams with winning records and only 11-20 ATS in its last 31 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest. Conversely, this is a spot in which the Warriors have dominated in for bettors all year, going 10-6 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and 6-2 ATS after playing three consecutive road games. Grab as many points as you can as we look for this one to come down to the wire. Play on GOLDEN STATE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that Washington is just 7-12 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more and just 25-27 ATS vs. good offensive teams which average 99-plus points per contest, while Detroit is 10-7 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog and 15-8 ATS in its last 23 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: Home court advantage can’t be overlooked in this situation, all signs do indeed point to the PISTONS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Atlanta Hawks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that Toronto is just just 15-16 ATS in its last 31 vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Atlanta is 17-10 ATS following a loss by ten points or more.

The bottom line: Toronto is stuck in the No. 2 spot in the East, while Atlanta is still fighting for playoff position. Atlanta also plays with double revenge. Play on the HAWKS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the LA Lakers.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

For this selection, we’re keeping it simple.

This without a doubt sets up as a classic “letdown” spot for the visitors, who just finished ending Golden State’s 54 game regular season home win streak with a 109-106 stunner on Friday night. And with two whole days off before facing the 28-47 Pelicans at home, it’s not too hard to imagine the Celtics “looking past” LA today as well. Note that five of the first seven teams to beat Golden State would then go on to lose their next game. LA has had a few days off after upsetting the Heat and the Nick Young and Jordan D’Angelo fiasco has finally started to die down. The Lakers would beat the Celtics 112-104 on December 30 and while we won’t be so bold as to call for an outright upset tonight, we do think this one sets up beautfilly for the home side. Grab as many points as you can.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the LA Lakers.

The Heat sit 6.5 games ahead of ninth-place Chicago with nine left in the regular season. Miami comes to town off a 110-99 win over Brooklyn on Monday, the team’s 11th victory out of it last 15. This is the final match-up between Dwayne Wade and Kobe Bryant. The Lakers will be out to avenge seven-straight losses in the series, including a 101-88 setback on November 10th and to also atone for a listless 123-75 loss at Utah on Monday, matching the team’s worst setback in franchise history and most lopsided of Bryant’s career. The Lakers have a lot to play for now too, they’re in danger of finishing with the fewest wins in franchise history, needing to win five of their final eight games to surpass the 19 wins from the 1957-58 team. Note that Miami is just 10-11 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more and only 10-11 ATS after scoring 105 points or more, while LA is 6-3 ATS this year after scoring 85 points or less and 16-12 ATS in all non-conference games. A great situational play, grab as many points as you can with the LAKERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Utah Jazz.

Utah is coming together at the right time. It’s been very good defensively all season long, but it’s latest offensive performance has it thinking it could steal this game vs. the defending champions outright. The Jazz would make a franchise-best 17 3-pointers in a 123-75 destruction of the Lakers on Monday. Keep your eyes on Rodney Hood, who was eight of nine from behind the arc. The Jazz have averaged 10.7 3-pointers and have shot 40.4 precent from behind the arc during an 8-2 stretch which has earned it seventh in the Western Conference. Utah also plays with revenge here after dropping all three previous meetings with the Warriors this season. Golden State continues to roll, it’s coming off a 102-94 SU win and ATS loss vs. the Wizards just last night. Golden State’s energy and focus is surely starting to waiver at this point of the season and the weight of expectations continues to grow as the playoffs approach. It’s a perfect spot for the Jazz to take advantage of. All six of the Warriors’ losses this year have come in similar types of situations. And with five of its final eight games at home, it’s not too hard to imagine Golden State in some small way, looking ahead to that favorable season-ending schedule. Also note that Utah has been pretty effective in slowing down Steph Curry, holding him to an 18.0 scoring average and 39.1 field goal percentage for the series, his lowst mark vs. any team from the West. The Jazz have in fact been “lights-out” with their defensive play of late, giving up 88.2 points over their ten-game run, while just limiting the Lakers to just 30.6 percent shooting last time out. We think that UTAH comes to play tonight, grab as many points as you can.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Chicago Bulls.

These two teams are moving in opposite directions, but as we always say: “desperation breeds motivation!” We think the value has swung back onto the hungry Bulls in this one. Chicago will be looking to avoid a season sweep at the hands of Atlanta, while also delaying the Hawks playoff spot, who would clinch one with a victory tonight. The Bulls are currently on the outside of the playoff picture looking in, sitting in ninth position: “I don't think anybody's quit," Chicago’s star guard Jimmy Butler said last night. "We've just hit adversity at the wrong time and we've got to fix it. It better carry over from in this locker room out to the court. That's the only way to get this thing fixed." And with seven of their next eight game vs. likely playoff bound clubs, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the home side. For all intents and purposes, this has become a “do-or-die” game for the Bulls tonight. Note that Atlanta is just 3-4 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog, while Chicago is 5-3 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses. Play on the BULLS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the LA Clippers.

Denver has won three of four, while LA has dropped three of four. The Nuggets come in off a 116-105 win over the Lakers on Friday in which their bench scored a road season-high 71 points on 57.4 percent shooting. Suffice it to say, we’re not expecting lightning to strike twice for Denver tonight. Although the teams have split a pair of games this season, LA does play with revenge after a listless 87-81 setback last time out (note that it was the Nuggets first win in the last five in the series). LA does come in with a bit of momentum as well after it broke its three-game slide with a hard-fought 96-94 home win over Portland on Thursday. LA will also be eager to get back on track in front of the home town crowd, the team was 30-11 in friendly confines last year, but is 23-12 so far this season: "I think we've had a nice year on the road," coach Doc Rivers said, "but I don't think we've had a nice year at home.” Note that Denver is just 16-17 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while LA is 8-3 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last six after failing to cover the spread in five of its last six games, including in two straight, while New York is just 5-7 ATS this season after a win by ten points or more and only 8-9 ATS in its last 17 vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: This line has dropped since we took it (we have -8.5), but regardless, we still love this selection and are predicting a complete blowout. Cleveland comes in off a few shaky efforts, but gets back into the winners circle with a decisive effort over the lowly Knicks. Play on the CAVALIERS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Boston Celtics.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that Boston is 27-22 ATS this season vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest and already 4-2 ATS after playing to three or more consecutive SU losses, while Philadelphia is 0-9 ATS this year as a home dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range, just 4-9 ATS vs. division opponents and only 18-24 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: Here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against, we look for BOSTON to take advantage of this favorable spot and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the New Orleans Pelicans.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on scheduling: 

Running out of gas yet?: The Warriors continue to get the job done, they come into this one having won four straight and nine of their last ten, but there’s no question that the team has to be feeling a bit tired at this point of the season. With the playoffs on the horizon, at some point it’s not too hard to imagine the Warriors to start to have a bit of a mental letdown. And with the lowly Knicks on deck after the 24-41 Pelicans tonight, before a grueling road trip which starts next week in Dallas and at San Antonio, it’s definitely not to hard to imagine the team getting caught looking past this “vanilla” stretch to the much more important part of their schedule next week.

The bottom line: We feel it’s a great spot to pull the trigger on this “situational” selection, grab as many points as you can with the PELICANS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Dallas Mavericks.

These two teams are moving in opposite directions right now, but as we like to say: desperation breeds motivation. While we wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, we do think that at the very least that the hungry and revenge minded Mavs will keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Hornets are primed for a letdown here after winning seven straight, most recently a 125-109 thumping of the Rockets on Saturday. They’ve also won nine-straight at home. Dallas on the other hand has lost five-straight. The Mavs most recently fell 112-105 to visiting Indiana on Saturday, dropping them to .500 for the first time since early November. Dallas though is still in the thick of the playoff race, in a tie with Houston for the Western Conference’s final playoff spot. As mentioned off the top, the Mavs play with the revenge-factor today after falling 108-94 to the Hornets on November 5th. One player to keep your eyes on for the visitors is veteran Dirk Nowitzki, who has averaged 26.8 points and hit 57.1 percent over his past four overall. Grab as many points as you can, play on DALLAS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown spot: After five straight victories, we think the Heat, who have a back-to-back set starting at Chicago on Thursday and ending in Toronto on Friday, suffer a classic letdown here.

Revenge: Milwaukee plays with revenge after falling 107-103 to Miami on January 29th.

Desperation breeds motivation: The Bucks will not only be hungry to avenge that setback, but they’ll also be risking life and limb in trying to snap a stretch in which they’ve lost five of their last seven. 

ATS statistics: Note that Miami is just 3-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS after a divisional contest and 12-9 ATS after a loss by ten points or more.

The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on MILWAUKEE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Home sweet home: The Hornets return to Charlotte for the first time in nearly three weeks, going 4-2 on their road trip. They’re in a heated race for the postseason and will look to now take advantage in playing eight of their next nine in front of the home town crowd. And it all starts tonight.

Phoenix road woes: The Suns are brutal away from friendly confines, they’ve lost 15 straight on the road by an average of 20.1 points. 

Revenge factor: One of Phoenix’s 15 victories this year came against Charlotte on January 6th, the Suns would pull away for a 111-102 win. In fact, Phoenix has won three straight in Charlotte and seven of the last eight in the series (but note, the Suns’ top five scorers from last year’s 111-106 victory there are not even with the team or are injured). 

ATS statistics: Note that Phoenix is just 7-20 ATS on the road and interestingly, just 16-23 ATS this season vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while Charlotte is 19-15 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and 7-3 ATS following a divisional contest.

The bottom line: We think a motivated Charlotte team, which has dropped two of its last three, comes in focused on the task at hand today and uses these motivational factors to post a convincing victory. Play on the HORNETS.

AAA Sports

This is 10* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Indiana Pacers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Scheduling and motivation levels: No need to overanalyze this one, as good as Damian Lillard has been and despite the Blazers having won 12 of their last 14, Portland comes into this one off a very satisfying 103-95 victory at Chicago just last night. For the Pacers though, this is an ultra-important game as they hit the road tomorrow for a five game trip, starting off in Cleveland. Not only will they be looking to take advantage of home floor, but they’re also out for revenge after falling 123-111 to Portland on December 3rd. It also wouldn’t be too hard to imagine the Blazers getting caught looking ahead to two whole days off after tonight’s game before continuing their marathon road trip at New York, Boston, Toronto and Detroit respectively. 

ATS statistics: Note that Portland is a poor 4-8 ATS this season when playing on back-to-back days, while Indiana is 19-8 ATS vs. teams with winning records and 8-5 ATS this year as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range.

The bottom line: The situational, motivational and trend based factors all point to the PACERS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* Southeast Division GAME OF THE YEAR on the Atlanta Hawks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

History is against them: There’s no question that the Hornets have been playing great of late, but note that they’ve never posted five wins on a six-game road trip in franchise history. This one definitely sets up as a letdown spot for the home side after its thrilling 96-95 victory over Indiana on Friday, where Kemba Walker scored a layup with just 2.4 seconds left.

If history is any precedence: Atlanta has to be loving its chances for a victory today as it’s gone 15-2 in the series in front of the home town crowd since 2007.

Revenge factor: Charlotte beat the Hawks 107-84 on January 13th. 

ATS statistics: Note that the Hornets are just 17-18 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Atlanta is 20-17 ATS in the same position.

The bottom line: Charlotte has been playing extremely well, while the Hawks for the most part have been struggling with offensive consistency. And that’s why we love this selection, it’s a great situational play as we expect the visitors to come in a tiny bit complacent, while the home side will be risking life and limb to try and string a couple wins together. Play on ATLANTA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown spot: The Bulls had lost five straight heading into the All Star break and with Jimmy Butler and Nikola Mirotic sidelined with injury, the team wasn’t expected to make much noise in the second half. However, behind some great play from Derrick Rose, Chicago has won three straight, most recently a full team effort in a 109-104 victory over Washington on Wednesday. So is it time to crown the Bulls after a couple of good games? We’re going to caution in reading too much into this small win skein, remember that they combined to shoot just 40.9 percent while failing to top 95 points in their previous three losses. Also note that Chicago has lost four straight on the road. 

Desperation breeds motivation: The Hawks will be risking life and limb today to try and secure a victory as they’ve come out of the All Star break and lost three straight. They’ll also be eager to snap a four-game home skid.

ATS statistics: Note that Chicago is just 9-11 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent this season and only 2-4 ATS after playing three consecutive home games, while Atlanta is a perfect 3-0 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: The revenge factor gets thrown out the window today as the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on ATLANTA.

AAA Sports