According to Anthony Slater of The Athletic, Curry has been fully cleared for his return and will play on Thursday and Im betting even with reduced minutes, this will spark the Warriors to try to run with the Raptors who have had not problems despite of an array of injuries of lighting up the score board on a regular basis. 

The Raptors are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a favorite with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored.  

The Raptors are 11-0 OVER L/12 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 239.4 ppg going on the board.  

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 35-13 OVER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The  banged up and battered Philadelphia 76ers  will once again be short handed tonight, with three key starters  (Joel Embiid (shoulder), Ben Simmons (back)  Josh Richardson (concussion).expected to miss this road game vs Sacramento.  This Im betting effects their offensive flow of a team that only averages 105.1 ppg on the road this season, and that ranks 6th in ppg allowed overall in the NBA ( 107.2 ppg). Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have been paying alot more attention to defence as the season progresses and previous to their last game took part in 5 straight lower scoring affairs that failed to eclipse the total. 

SACRAMENTO is 13-4 UNDER  against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of  218.1 ppg scored .

 NBA Teams like the Kimnhs  are 4-23-1 UNDER L/28  as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they shot over 55% from the field with a combined average of 213.6 ppg scored.

The Seventysixers are 0-13-1 UNDER L/15 with rest off a 10+ loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throw with a combined average of 203.5 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 PPG or more ) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 25-8 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 28-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Raptors have thrived despite dealing with injuries all season, but the most recent injuries are taking a toll because Ibaka and Gasol are their centers and they have no one to replace their quality and thus their offensive flow is off, and now knowing this they are going to have to step up defensively after allowing a whopping 133 points last time out. Meanwhile, the Suns are also banged up, and playing short handed and off two straight home losses and are also having issues with their flow. The suns last three offensive outputs have been 92, 111, 99 and another  below average offensive outing Im betting is on tonights agenda. The above mentioned realities are going to effect this total to the under. 

PHOENIX is 7-0 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive home losses this season.PHOENIX is 16-2 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more

The Raptors are 2-20 UNDER L/22 as a favorite off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with a combined average of 200.6 ppg scored.The Raptors are 0-13 OU (  as a favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they had a shooting percentage at least 10 lower than their opponent with a combined average of 190.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Suns are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a dog off a 10+ loss in a home game after a loss in which they led by double digits with a combined average of 206.4 ppg going on the board.

The Suns are 1-13 UNDER L/14 as a dog off a loss in a home game in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 203.7 ppg going on the board. 

Play UNDER 

Both these teams are banged up with key regulars out of the lineup .

Boston : 

[PG] 03/02/2020 - Kemba Walker is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs Brooklyn ( Knee ) He is still going to see limited time , and will playing less than 100%. 

Brooklyn:

The Celtics are 1-12 OU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 205.8 ppg scored. 

The Nets are 3-19-1 UNDER L/23 on the road with more than one day of rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 198.4 ppg going on the board. 

Play UNDER 

Chicago has been picking up their pace here late in the season , with their biggest problem coming in being able to slow down opposing offences, allowing an average of 121.2 ppg. Considering Dallas can light up the board quickly, I expect the Mavs to hit the 117+ point output on their own and for the Bulls to have to open up to keep pace in what Im betting will be a  fairly high scoring affair. Note: DALLAS is 31-5 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 235.4 ppg scored.

CHICAGO is 17-3 OVER  after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.1 ppg scored. The Bulls are 17-1-1 OVER L/19 as a dog with rest off a loss when they are off two losses as dogs with a combined average score of 231 ppg going on the board. NBA Teams like the Bulls are 13-0-1 OVER L/14 off a 10+ loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams are 16-1 OVER L/17 as a road favorite with no rest off a 10+ win as a road favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 233.1 ppg scored. Dallas   in 21 games on the  road  where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season has seen a combined average of 229 ppg go on the board. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DALLAS) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 34-11 L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

 Atlanta ranks 29th in ppg allowed and 4th in pace and have averaged 122.2 ppg in offence in their L/16 trips to the hardwood with 12 of those games going over the total.Meanwhile Memphis ranks 7th in pace and 23rd in ppg per allowed and are allowing a whopping 116.6 ppg on the road this season.  Based on my composite projections Im betting on the home side Atlanta , eclipsing the 122+ range with Memphis following suit in what is expected to be a high scoring affair by both me and the linesmakers.

The Hawks are 11-0 OVER L/11 off a win in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with a combined average of 249.2 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 8-1 OVER  when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 254.9 ppg scored.

ATLANTA is 15-1 OVER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average with a combined average of 244.2 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Orlando enters this game on tired legs as this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. ORLANDO is 11-2 UNDER  in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.8 ppg scored. The Magic enter this game vs the Lilliardless Blazers off a 114-113 loss at San Antonio on Saturday night in a game they worked very hard in to try to pull off the upset. ORLANDO is 7-0 UNDER in home games off a road loss this season with the combined score clicking in at 193.5 ppg. The Magic are also 0-18 UNDER L/18   at home off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score registering at 200.3 ppg. Meanwhile, NBA Teams like the Blazers are 1-15  UNDER L/16 as a road dog with rest off a 10+ loss in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint. Last time out the Blazers D, was smashed as they allowed 129 points in a loss and that in the past has resulted in a toned done more defensive mindset in their followup as is evident by  going Under is 7-3 UNDER in their  last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

ORLANDO is 17-5 UNDER  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 204.8 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - good 3 point shooting team - making 36% or better  of their attempts, in March games are 140-89 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Warriors beat the Wizards 125-117 in Washington on Feb. 3, and Im expecting a similar output here today back in Oakland for the rematch. Golden State played last night in. an upset win vs the suns  so they will be on tired legs and their defensive capabilities may suffer which gives credence to my projections of a big time run and and gun Washington Wizards offensive output, which will result in the Warriors having to open up themselves with some offensive fireworks or be blown of the court. The Warriors are 13-0 OVER  l/13 with no rest off a win facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 247.6 ppg scored. The Warriors are 11-0 OVER with no rest off a win with a combined average of 247.5 ppg. 

The Wizards own the worst ppg D, in the league, 6th fastest pace and 6th best ppg offfence in the league and have allowed more than 123 ppg on the road this season. 

The Wizards are 10-0 OVER L/10 on the road off a loss in a road game with a combined average of 152.9 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Wizards are 31-5-3 OVER L/39 as a favorite with less than two days rest after they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers.

Play OVER 

The Clippers crushed the Denver Nuggets 132-103 in a matchup of Western Conference contenders last time out, and now in their current form Im betting they will once again explode offensively  vs a Philadelphia team playing without  Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons.  I expect the Clippers to take this chance to really bring the heat here today vs a shorthanded Eastern Conference contender, that beat them 110-103 in Philly back on Feb 11. The Clippers   according the my projections will put up in the 117+ point range offensively while the Sixers put +105 ppg on the scoreboard. 

The Clippers are 11-0 OVER L/12 at home with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 237.3 ppg. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 43-18 L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

The public loves to bet Zion and company overs, and the lines-makers are offering them an option to do what they love to do and that is  bet the over at what I feel is a slightly bloated number ( 1 possession -3). This reminds me of a saying from the Late Jimmy the Greek, The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. 

Which leads me into my contrarian wager here as a I recommend we take the under. It must be noted that the Cavaliers are off a huge win at home last time out as underdogs vs the Sixers and will now Im betting be in a letdown situation.  Which brings into play this trend that shows CLEVELAND is 13-3 UNDER off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

 Teams like the Cavaliers  are 1-18 UNDER L/19 on the road off a 10+ win as a dog in which they had at least 10 more turnovers than their opponent with the average combined score of 183.2 ppg scored.The Cavaliers are also  0-15 UNDER L/15 as a dog off a win as a home dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers with the average combined score of those tilts ringing  at 201.3 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 33-12 UNDER UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Sacramentos last two road games both wins have featured top tier defensive efforts, holding the Clippers to just 103 points and the Warriors to 94 points. Their successes will have them continue to concentrate on playing top tier D, and this Im betting contributes to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this slightly bloated number.

OKLAHOMA CITY in 20 games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season have seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-3 UNDER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. 

The Thunder are 0-10 UNDER L/10 with less than two days rest off a win as a road favorite in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent with a combined average of 195.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=82 shots/game) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 37-14 UNDER L/5 seasons with a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

Going from sea level in Portland and than traveling to the high altitudes of Utah, in the 2nd part of a back and back road games, makes for a situation where I expect the Celtics to be a little slower than usual and for a Jazz team in desperate need of shoring up a bleeding defence to  make a concerted effort  at turning this into a  physical affair that I project to stay on the low side of the total. BOSTON is 15-5 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. UTAH is 21-6 UNDER  off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more with a combined average of 195.1 ppg going on the board. ( Phoenix lit up the Jazz at home 131-111) 

The Jazz are 0-14-2 UNDER l/16 as a home favorite with rest off a loss after a game in which their opponents points per field goal attempt was better than 1.5 with a combined average 188.4 ppg scored.

The Celtics are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a dog after they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 183.1 ppg going on the board.  

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record ARE 55-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Minnesota has a one way modus operandi and that is full throttle take no prisoners basketball that pays very little attention to defence ranking 7th in pace in the league and 27th in pgg allowed and a respectable 13th in offensive ppg output . Meanwhile, Miami plays a different style of hoops, and a slower pace, but will have to adjust a bit to the Wolves speedy style as has been the case over the last 5 games, as the Heat have combined with their opponents to average 231.4 ppg and have gone over in 4 straight tilts. The Heat overall have averaged 116.9 ppg at home this season, and Im betting on that number being eclipsed here and for the Wolves to chase and get themselves into the +110 range offensively, which will result in a over. 

The Timberwolves are 15-0 OVER L/`15 as a dog off a loss as a dog in which they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with the 3 most recent games in this subset dating back to last season seeing 243,240, and 256 combined ppg going on the board. 

NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 135-63 OVER L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Teams like the Wolves are 23-4 OVER L/27 as a 8+ dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Heat are 22-1 OVER L/23 as a favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored.

NBA

The Heat are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average score of 231.3 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER  

This is obviously a high total and there was a time when I would be looking for value on the under. But now in the new NBA the league facilitates entertaining  back and forth affairs which their fan base obviously embraces. In recent meetings these teams have taken part in take no prisoners run and gun offensive slugfests with the average combined score of the L/3 meetings  clicking in at 268 ppg. 

Milwaukee runs the No.1 ranked pace and the most explosive offence in the league , while the Wizards, rank 6th in ppg output and 6th in pace, but rank last in the league in defence ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. The x factor here is the Bucks top tier D, but it must be noted that WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better  over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those games clicking in at a whopping 266 points per game and overall Brooks is 10-0 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average score of 253.5 ppg going on the score board.

The Wizards are 18-1 OVER L/19 as a dog off a loss in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 250.1 ppg. 

Play OVER 

Two top tier teams one from the West and one from the East do battle this afternoon in LA as the Lakers host the Celtics .Its an early start and Im leaning on an under here in what should be a chippy post season type affair. The Lakers rank 3rd in defensive efficiency in the league  6th in ppg per game allowed behind the 12th ranked pace, while the Celtics ranked 3rd in ppg allowed and operate fairly slowly behind the 17th rank pace.  The time of the game, the metrics and also my projections estimate the total should be closer to 221 thus giving us more than 1 possession of value on this number. 

Under is 21-8 in Celtics last 29 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games as a road underdog.Under is 21-9 in Celtics last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 41-18 in Lakers last 59 games as a home favorite.

BOSTON is 15-4 UNDER  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 211.7 ppg going on the board.

The Lakers are 0-12-1 UNDER L/12 off a 10+ win in a home game when they are playing a non-conference game with two conference games before after with a combined average score of 183.2 ppg scored. 

The Celtics are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 with less than two days rest off a win in a road game when they are off two games in which they had more than 25 fouls with a combined average of 186.3 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 55-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 55-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

The Kings are coming off a 129-125 victory over the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday and Im betting they come right at the Clippers here this afternoon in a tilt I have projected to go over the set total. Note: The Kings blew out the Clippers 124-103 in their last meeting in Los Angeles on Jan. 30. 

The Clippers are 13-1 OVER with rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 247.1 ppg scored. 

NBATeams like the Clippers are 19-2 OVER as a home favorite off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. 

The Kings are 9-0-1 OVER L/10 as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average score of 236.8 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

The new look Wolves will send out the down town trio D’Angelo Russell, Omari Spellman and Malik Beasley to the court today in a home game and Im betting they will force a capable Celtics team into a old fashion run and gun affair that eclipses this total. Both are fresh and rested and both should will be prepared to make this into a track meet. 

MINNESOTA is 24-9 OVER  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. 

The Timberwolves are 17-0 OVER L/17 after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with every game in the subset eclipsing this total -average combined score in those tilts rings in at 236.5 ppg. 

NBA 

Teams like the Wolves are 19-2 OVER L/21 with rest off a loss as a home favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a. combined average score of 236 ppg going on the board. 

Play OVER 

Indiana's successes and failures on predicated on  their defensive play, as they rank only 21st in the NBA in offensive output, and 9th in ppg allowed, behind a slower grinding type of play that has them ranked 25th in pace. Meanwhile, NYK ranks 28 in offensive output and 21st in pace . Considering both sides modus operandi  my projections make this total one possession off the mark, which has me leaning strongly  to the under. 

The Pacers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 182.2  ppg scored. 

 The Knicks are 3-18-1 UNDER L/22 as a home dog off a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored. 

 INDIANA is 21-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. 

NEW YORK is 10-2 UNDER as a home underdog of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 209. 6 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Knicks are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13  with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss as a home favorite after a game with 8+ lead changes with a combined average of 209 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

 NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 44-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW YORK) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games are 51-19 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 Washington ranks 6th in the NBA in offensive ppg output, and rank dead last at 30th in the league in defense , behind the 6th ranked pace. Its obvious when the Wizards go on the court, you better be prepared to run and score non stop or be blown off the court. With the Wizards fresh after the all star break you can bet they will come out of the gates , like their hairs on fire and will force Cleveland to reciprocate with offensive fireworks of their own.

NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a road dog off a 10+ win as a dog in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 243.3 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Wizards  are 14-0-1 OVER  L/15 off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with a combined average of 242.4 ppg scored.

The Wizards are 18-1 OVER at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 238.2 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Chicago was   playing alot of offensive back and forth affairs before the all star break, but Charlotte does not have the fire power to take part in that type of affair ranking 30th in the league in offence, and will look to slow this game down behind the 30th ranked pace in the NBA . This Im betting has a direct effect on this total to the under. 

The Bulls are 0-17-1 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a 10+ loss in a road game when they are off two losses as dogs with a combined average of 184.2 ppg scored with non of the tilts in the subset going over this total. 

The Hornets are 1-13 UNDER L/14 on the road after a game as a road dog in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average of 192.9 ppg .NBA Teams like the Hornets are 0-13 UNDER L/13  with more than two days of rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with the combined average score of 208 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 analysis to follow- thank you for your patience 

After watching the World vs USA rising stars tilt on Friday night when 282 total points went on the board, it became obvious to me that this is also going to be  another no defence affair that easily flies over the total, thanks in part the 24 added points the Kobe Bryant output gives to this total score. The NBA wants their all star game to be as entertaining as possible so they are going facilitate 

Play OVER 

This is the fifth game in the Heats Western road trip and they are now on tired legs and wont have their usual jump here tonight in the high altitude of Utah which Im betting directly effects their  offensive output tonight which favors an under wager . 

The Heat are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a road dog with rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 189.5 ppg scored.The Heat are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a dog off a win facing an opponent that has a season-to-date average points per FGA of better than 1.3 with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored.

The Jazz are 0-18 UNDER L/18 as a home favorite off a road game in which they had fewer than 4 times as many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 189.7 ppg scored. 

Snyder in his L/49 in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of UTAH has seen a combined average of 203.3 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 30-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Boston enters this game fully healthy and will be primed to play top tier defence here behind the 17th ranked pace and  2nd ranked ppg D in the league. Meanwhile, Houston since changing over to a predominant small ball lineup have shown mixed results with the most troubling aspect seeing difficulties from beyond the arc which Im betting will effect output here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. 

The Rockets are 9-35-5 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with rest with a combine average of 217.3 ppg scored.

The Celtics are 0-11-1 UNDER l/12 on the road with rest off a win in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent with a a combined average of 200.9 ppg scored. 

BOSTON is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg. 

HOUSTON is 23-10 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

We all know the Bucks go at full throttle most nights behind the no1 pace and no 1 offence in the league, but their D continues to get better and is now ranked 7th in ppg allowed and ranked 1st in defensive rating. Note: DRating - Defensive Rating for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions. Because of slightly bloated lines the Bucks have seen 6 of their L/9 stay under the total, and tonight Im betting there is more value to the under on board according to my projections which are a full possession under this number at 224. I know might seem like . small edge, but any edge against very accurate overall totals is a contrarian go signal situation for me. 

The Bucks are 1-20 UNDER L/21 off a 10+ win in a road game after a win in which they never trailed with a combined average score of 195.1 ppg scored with only 1  game in the 21 sub set going over this set total. The Bucks are 0-13 UNDER L/13  as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a road favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average 0f 202 ppg going on the board with none of the games eclipsing this posted total. 

NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 51-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play UNDER 

The Jazz are 1-18 L/19 with rest off a win in a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times with a combined average of 201 ppg scored with the highest combined score during the 19 game run clicking in at 227. 

The Jazz are 1-17-2 UNDER L/20 off a win in a home game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score clicking in at 191.7 ppg with none of the 20 games going over this set total. 

The Rockets are 1-16-1 UNDER L/18 as a home favorite off a loss as a road favorite after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 206.7 ppg going on the board. 

HOUSTON is 31-16 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.8 ppg. HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. HOUSTON is 23-12 UNDER  against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 32-7 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

This will be the second time Atlanta and New York have played. The Knicks won the first contest 143-120 on Dec. 17 and now Im betting they come at each other with same energy here today and get us an over winner. 

ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Knicks  are 15-0 OVER L/15 after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Hawks are 15-0-1 OVER L/16 as a favorite with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game with the average combined score clicking in at 231.4 ppg.

Play on the OVER 

Orlando owns the best ppg defence in the NBA and ranks 29th in offence, behind the 28th ranked pace, so its obvious to see the type of game plan they implement. Mean while, ee all know Milwaukee can light the board up quickly behind the No.1 offence  so Orlando will take special care here and try to drag this game down to a speed that takes the Bucks out of their flow. Note: Milwaukee also ranks 9th in ppg D, in the league so the Magics pedestrian O is really going to have trouble tonight with output. Advantage to the under.

The Magic are 0-15 L/15 as a dog with rest off a loss in a road game in which they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average with a combined average of 181.5 ppg going on the board. 

The Magic are 0-17 UNDER L/17 at home off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 200 ppg scored. 

ORLANDO is 12-2 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.8 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER 

The new look Rockets, on tired legs  get set to play the second of a road back-to-back set Friday night against the   Phoenix Suns .  Im betting some of their trades screw with the offensive flow of the team at least for tonight, and because of their uptempo win vs the Lakers last night will now be in an emotional letdown spot in regression stage. This    Im betting will effect the total to the low side here this evening. 

The Suns are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a dog with rest off a loss as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 187.6 ppg scored. 

The Rockets are 0-16-2 UNDER L/18 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with a combined average of 213.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA Teams like the Suns are 1-17-1 UNDER L/19 as a home dog with rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 212.9 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (HOUSTON) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 42-13 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

San Antonio operates a medium speed ranking 15th in the NBA pace, and own the 12 ranked offensive rating with the average combined score of their road games clicking in at 228.4 ppg a full possession under this offered total and tonight Im betting their output and pace will slow even more as this is their 3rd road game in 4 nights . Meanwhile, Portland owns the 11th ranked pace, and are in a regression state after their star Damian Lillard went on a historic points run .  Both circumstances Im betting combine to see a score that stays on the low side of this number. 

The Trailblazers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 198.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Spurs are 0-10 UNDER L/10 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in a road game in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average score of 210.5 ppg. 

 Doncic's second sprained ankle this season has him on the sidelines again, and while the Mavericks  has adapted without him Im seeing flow issues with the offense especially on the perimeter. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are talking about playing better defence, and last time out scored just 96 points but held the Pistons to just 82 points and Im betting more stringent D, will once again be on tonight s . agenda in Dallas which will help keep this score on the low side of the total. 

MEMPHIS is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg. MEMPHIS is 18-8 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217 ppg scored.

The Grizzlies are 0-14 UNDER L/14 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.8 ppg. 

The Mavericks are 4-20-1UNDER L/25 with rest off a win in a road game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with a combined average of 197.9 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams are 3-24 UNDER L/27 as a home favorite off a game as a dog when their last four games are LLWW with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The Atlanta Hawks will have trouble finding enough healthy players to compete on Monday when they host the Boston Celtics.. The Hawks lost two more starters on Saturday and could be without leading scorer Trae Young when they return home to meet the Celtics. If young plays he may see limited time because of nagging minor injuries. With thaqt said, Im betting the Hawks offensive flow will be curtailed as will be their offensive output in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total.

The Celtics are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a road 8+ favorite with rest coming off a win with a combined average of 196.8 ppg scored.

HC Stevens is 25-9 UNDER  as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of BOSTON with the combined average score of those tilts clikcing in at 205.6 ppg.

The Hawks are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a 8+ dog off a loss in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before with a combined averag of 198.2 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Milwaukee came out last time out asleep at the proverbial wheel, and lost as DD favorites  to a short handed Denver team by a 127- . Now a little embarrassed Im expecting a concerted effort  to make sure they don't have  a repeat performance and to make sure they have  a much better defensive effort. 

Teams like the Bucks  are 7-27-1 UNDER as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 200.9 ppg. Teams like Bucks are 1-13-1 UNDER L/15  with rest after playing as a home favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 210.5 ppg. 

The Suns are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road off a loss in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 207.4 ppg. 

The Suns are 1-13 UNDER  as a dog off a loss as a dog in which their assists decreased by at least 10 from the game before with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. 

PHOENIX is 15-4 UNDER in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons are 213.6 ppg. 

Play UNDER 

The Wizards allow an average of 121 points per game, the worst figure in the NBA by a large margin, and because they rank 3rd in offensive output we   we are getting a bloated public line to bet into. Add to that a couple of back forth performances by the Nets in high scoring games and we now have what Im betting is two possession value to the under.  Nets are 0-14 OU with no rest when the line is within 3 of pick with the combined average score of 204.4 ppg going on the board. The Wizards are 0-11 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 209.5 ppg. The Nets are 2-23 UNDER with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when the total is at least 15 points more than their last game with a combined average of 191.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Both these teams can light it up offensively and because of this the linemakers are setting what Im betting is a public leaning line that offers value for sharp under bettors. 

The Grizzlies are 2-19-1 UNDER L/22 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.7 ppg scored.

NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 29-11 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/ NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 41-10 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Toronto has been firing on all cylinders of late averaging more than 117 ppg on offence, with the combined average of  226.1 ppg scored in those tilts. On the season Cleveland has average 113.5  +ppg while allowing 114.1 ppg behind the 29th ranked defensive rating. Everything points to those numbers projecting a total combined score that will breach this total.

TORONTO is 8-1 OVER  versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 233.1 ppg scored. 

The Raptors are 12-1 OVER L/13 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average score of 234.9 ppg going on the board.

NBA teams like the Raptors  are 22-2 OVER L/24  as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 237.9 ppg scored. 

The Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 232.5 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Milwaukee has been playing some excellent defence of late, and as a result of this have gone under the set total in 5 of their L/6 trips to the hardwood. We all know Washington loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon but after a huge back and forth tilt last time out vs Atlanta ( 133-152) regression to the mean is expected which puts this tilt closer to the 234 range, which according to my own projections gives us value on an under. 

MILWAUKEE is 24-13 UNDER versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.6 ppg scored.

The Bucks are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 at home with rest off a 10+ win in a road game in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 194.2 ppg with none of the games in this subset going over this total. 

NBA Teams like the Wizards are 5-25 UNDER L/30 as a road 8+ dog with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which a game in which their points per field goal attempt was better than 1.5 with a combined average of 195.5 ppg going on the board.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 50-19 UNDER  L/23 seasons seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 The Spurs give up an ugly 114.5 ppg, 24th in the NBA and the Raptors average more than 112 ppg overall this season despite of being short handed with injuries for much of this season, but are healthy entering this game vs the Spurs . Both teams are top-level three-point shooting squads with Toronto shooting  37.6% to the Spurs’ 36.7%. With that said, Im betting on a big time shoot out here today in the Alamo. 

TORONTO is 12-2 OVER in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored.

SAN ANTONIO is 20-9 OVER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 33-9 OVER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

 Miami,   has won its last two home games in overtime and could easily find themselves on tired legs here tonight in a game that Im betting will be slow paced as compared to some of their more recent efforts. 

The Clippers their opponents tonight  are 8-23 UNDER  since Nov 08, 2018 as a road dog and have recently gone under 4 straight times as road dogs with the  combined average score of 209.7 ppg scored. 

LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 UNDER  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season

The Heat  0-7-2 UNDER  L9 vs the LA Clippers. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-9 L 23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102  or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 23-5 L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Lakers defence rebounded nicely from allowing 139 points on Monday in a blowout loss at Boston by recording a 100-92 road victory over the New York Knicks on Wednesday. Im betting on more of the same hardcore defensive action tonight against the Brooklyn Nets in a game I have projected to stay under this slightly bloated total. Quote:"They're an elite defense," Nets coach Kenny Atkinson said of the Lakers. "(JaVale) McGee and (Dwight) Howard are absolutely playing, really protecting the rim. They obviously have elite perimeter defenders with LeBron and Danny Green and all those guys.END QUOTE.

 The Lakers have gone under 10 of 11 games as favs with no rest.  The Nets have gone under 8 of their L/10 times at home vs a side playing the 2nd of back to backs. 

Play UNDER 

The Celtics enter off a 139-107 rout of the Western Conference-leading Los Angeles Lakers on Monday vs an explosive Memphis side with a less than average defence. Thanks to this we have a bloated total to bet into here favoring the under.  Memphis thanks to bloated total lines involcving them have seen 4 straight games stay under the total. Stevens in the L/21 games after a combined score of 245 points or more as the coach of BOSTON has seen a combined average of 217.9 ppg scored. 

MEMPHIS is 11-3 UNDER after allowing 120 points or more this season which waws the case last time out. ( the combined average score of these games was 219.3 ppg.

NBA MEMPHIS is 23-8 UNDER in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 40-9 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The two teams played Wednesday in Miami, with the Heat producing a 106-100 victory. However, Im betting on a much faster pace being set here as the Spurs on their own home floor will play at fast out of transition. Last time out the Spurs took part in a 121-120 loss to Atlanta, and in the recent past SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 OVER  after a loss by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 235.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 OVER  in non-conference games this season with the average combined score of 230.9 ppg. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-7 OVER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Utah's 10-game winning streak ended Thursday when the Jazz suffered a 138-132 overtime loss to the host New Orleans Pelicans. Their defence was the culprit last time out, but now in rebound mode Im looking for the Jazz to go into shut down mode which will see a score that fails to eclipse this total. 

SACRAMENTO is 8-0 UNDER  in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 215.4 ppg going on the board. 

NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 plus PPG), after scoring 130 points or more are 70-40 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the under 

The Blazers are off a loss last night and now  playing  a back-to-back, will be on tired legs this evening vs Oklahoma City.  Things would be worse without the production from point guard Damian Lillard who as usual even in a loss lead the way for the Blazers Note:The Blazers are 0-18 UNDER as a road dog off a loss as a road dog in which Lilliard scored 30 points or more which was the case last night.

Donovan is 15-4 UNDER in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 39-13 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

While the Heat are 28-12 and second in the Eastern Conference, they have struggled away from home.The Heat are just 10-11 on the road, scoring 7.5 points per game fewer away from AmericanAirlines Arena scoring  an average of 108 ppg behind the 25th ranked pace. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City rank 19th in ppg, behind the 24th ranked pace, entering this game after a wild game against the Raptors last time out (130-121), Im expecting an offensive regression and a return to their usual staunch defensive ways.Donovan is 70-39 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. Spoelstra is 84-53 UNDER  in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days as the coach of MIAMI with a combined average of 193.2 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The Bucks took 128-102 win against the New York Knicks on Tuesday with the comfortable margin of victory allowing them to limit the minutes of their starters. Im betting they will be very fresh here and ready to really bring some heat on the Celtics offensively . That in part is why the books laid such a big side number on this game, also factoring in the Celtics fatigue factor with this being a back to back situation for them, and also taking into consideration that HC Stevens left alot of the starters in for more minutes than expected. While the side, is to inflated to have me on the Bucks I do expect their motivation to really see them show no mercy tonight and for the proud Celtics to fire back with some offensive  fire works of their own in chase mode which Im betting sees a score that eclipses this total. 

Teams like the Celtics  are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a dog with no rest after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with the combined average score clicking in at 236.7 ppg.

he Bucks are 9-0 OVER L/9  as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 234.3 ppg scored. 

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 31-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Houston played last night and  are now on tired legs and may not be as ready to push the action as usual as we get into the nitty gritty middle of a grueling season. With the Blazers knowing they are entering the proverbial dragons den, you can bet they will be ready to play hard core defence. PORTLAND is 11-1 UNDER  in road games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 16-4 UNDER in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.2 ppg were scored. 

The linesmakers have more often then not over compensated on Houston totals when they are set at 230+ or more with 46- of the L/65 games staying under the total . 

 D'Antoni is 23-9 UNDER off an upset loss as a road favorite as the coach of HOUSTON. ( Memphis upset them last night) the average combined score of those follow up games clicks in at 218.7 ppg. 

The Trailblazers are 3-18 UNDER L/21 on the road off a win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with none of the games in that subset eclipsing this total with a combined average of 200 ppg scored. 

The Rockets are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 as a home favorite off a loss as a road favorite after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 202.5 ppg going on the board with none of those totals going over this offered  number. 

Play UNDER 

Golden State enters this game in a big time funk, especially from a offensive standpoint ranking 29th in the league in offensive efficiency. Because of their lack of scoring the Warriors take a very conservative approach to their tilts, with the pace numbers decreasing drastically since the start of the season. Today against the explosive Mavs  A team that has put 142 , and 141 points on the  board against them in their L/2 meetings this will once again be the case and help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. 

GOLDEN STATE is 10-1 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 211.2 ppg. 

The Warriors are 0-13 UNDER L/13  off a loss as a road dog in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average of 200.6 ppg.The Warriors are 0-16-1 UNDER L/17 as a dog with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average of 192.2 ppg going on the board.The Warriors are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a dog with rest off a loss as a road dog in which they had 20+ turnovers with a combined average of 192.5 ppg.

Play UNDER

Over the last two games the Suns have allowed 94 and 92 points, the first time they've won consecutive games while allowing 94 or fewer since 2015. Considering this is now a recipe for success Im betting they will be paying special attention to being cogent  in transition which Im betting sees this game played at slower pace than expected which will result in a combined score that stays on the low side of this total. Phoenix did  beat Atlanta 128-112 when the clubs met in Phoenix on Nov. 14, but Atlanta in the past has been vigilant defensively in revenge situations  as they are 11-2 UNDER   revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of just 212.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

The Suns are 2-16-2 UNDER  as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 202.6 ppg scored.

The Hawks are 3-30 UNDER L/33 at home with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 186.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

Boston scored 140 points for the second time this season last time out and has reached triple digits in five of its past seven games and my projections estimate the Celtics  a team that averages +115 ppg at home this season should score in the +112 point range here tonight at home vs the Bulls  that despite of a good defensive performance last time out . Previous to that game the Bulls allowed 111, 118, 123, 116 points respectively . Note: BOSTON is 13-4 OVER  when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 229.1 ppg scored.CHICAGO is 11-3 OVER  when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg scored.

The Bulls are 13-1-1 OVER L/15  as a road dog with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the combined average of 231.9 ppg going on the board.

NBA Teams like the Celtics and Bulls  are 15-1-1 OVER L/17 with rest after they had a field goal percentage of at least 50 a free throw percentage of at least 85 with a combined average of 232.5 ppg . 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 33-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 225.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Play OVER 

Atlanta is pretty banged up with Trae Young just  added to the injury report due to left hamstring pain. He and De'Andre Hunter (foot) are questionable. Bruno Fernando (personal) remains away from the team. It must be noted young had 86 points combined in this L/2 games vs Brooklyn, and with him banged up his offence out-put Im betting will be curtailed if he plays. With Brooklyns Kyrie Irving returning to the floor, it looks like this total has been adjusted upward of where my line projections set at 224, which is a two possession discrepancy. There are just to many injuries for the Hawks to have flow here tonight and Irving despite of a huge emotional lift for his team, will still  be restricted minute wise and will take time to blend in again and provide his team with positive offensive flow . 

ATLANTA is 10-2 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season are a combined average of 214 ppg. 

Note: the Hawks are 0-21 UNDER L/21 after at least 1 day rest and having held their previous opponent to less than 40% field goals and 20 fast break points and the Hawks having at least two steals in that game(which was the case vs free wheeling Washington offence last time out)

The Nets are 0-11 UNDER L/11 with less than two days rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 211.8 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

The Celtics had a losing streak reach three games for the first time when they fell 109-98 to the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday. Boston has dropped each of its last two games by double-digit margins, including a 15-point loss to the San Antonio Spurs its last time at home and are now in desperation mode here at home again tonight. With that said, I expect the Green Clovers to come right at the Pelicans and to obliterate their porous D, that ranks 28th in ppg allowed  with an all out assault and for the Pelicans to answer back behind their 8th ranked offensive output (113.3 ppg) and 3rd ranked pace and for this total to be obliterated. 

New Orleans has gone over 7 straight times.

NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 OVER  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 240.2 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Pelicans  are 20-4 OVER L/24 on the road when they are off two games in which more than 65 percent of their field goals were assisted with a combined average of 230 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 54-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

Play on the OVER 

 Memphis ranks 10th in offence, and 27 in ppg allowed on defence, behind a 3rd ranked pace. Meanwhile. San Antonio ranks 6th in ppg on offence,  and 25th in pgg allowed on D, behind the 12 ranked pace. Needless to say the odds are suggesting a fairly high scoring affair here. Question is how many combined points can both teams accumulate here. My answer and projections estimate north of 230 . Note:SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or worse this season with a combined average of 239 ppg scoredAN ANTONIO is 23-9 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.4 ppg going on the scoreboard.The Grizzlies are 12-1 OVE$R L/12 facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with a combined average 236.9 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Kemba vWalker might be out for the Celtics but they are still capable of getting offensive production from their bench vs a Spurs side that has been defensively challenged this season. Im betting tonight the Celtics  will have no choice but to do some running and gunning vs a Spurs side , starting to heat up , and are off a win vs mighty Milwaukee last time out, by a 126-104 count thanks to an uptick in their beyond the arc shooting .

SAN ANTONIO is 15-7 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 231.1 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 11-2 OVER in non-conference games this season with a combined average 232 ppg scored. 

The Spurs are 13-0 OVER  as a dog for the second straight game with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored. 

 NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning teams are 37-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Oklahoma City played last night but are well conditioned and Im betting will still have the energy to be physical with the Nets, a team that is suffering offensively of late. This tilt has the ear marking of   setting  a slower more methodical pace as one team tries to per-serve energy for a-second half surge and the other just trying to right their sinking ship. Note: The Thunder work off the 6th slowest pace in the NBA and 12th ranked ppg allowed D. 

BROOKLYN is 8-0 UNDER  in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 210.7 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.1 ppg scored. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-4 UNDER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

The Thunder are 0-23 to the UNDER when the line is within three points of pick and they are off a game in which they allowed 50-plus points in the paint and they are facing a team that has averaged fewer than 55 points in the paint.

Play UNDER 

Detroits banged up and on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights, and Im betting they will play this game a reduced pace  vs a Cleveland team showing less and less offensive cohesiveness of late averaging just 101.2 ppg behind the 23rd ranked pace in the NBA . Note: DETROIT is 16-1 UNDER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.4 ppg scored. 

DETROIT is 30-18 UNDER in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.6 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games are 39-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

The Raptors are banged up and Im betting they slow this game down and rely on their bench to play top tier D here tonight in a game I have projected to stay on the low side of the total.

PG] 01/06/2020 - Fred VanVleet is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday vs Portland ( Hamstring )[C] 12/19/2019 - Marc Gasol is out indefinitely ( Hamstring )[SF] 12/19/2019 - Norman Powell is out indefinitely ( Shoulder )[PF] 12/19/2019 - Pascal Siakam is out indefinitely ( Groin )

PORTLAND is 28-15 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.8 ppg scored. 

The Trailblazers are 0-17 UNDER  in the history of the franchise as a road dog off a loss as a road dog in which Damian Lillard had 30-plus points with a combined average 194.2 ppg scored with none of the total eclipsing this number.

Play UNDER 

The Bulls continue to play at a very high level on the defensive side of the court and protect the perimeter with a take no prisoners attitude. The Bulls have held their opposition  to the fourth-lowest 3PT% (.334)  conversion rate in the league which will be of ultra importance here tonight against a Dallas group which ranks  second in beyond the arc conversion rate this season.  The Bulls struggle to score ranking 25th in ppg behind what has recently been a  slow pace on a regular basis and with some injury woes ie (Markkanen) out with an injury this will be the case again, which in turn will highlight the need to be even more stringent offensively, which Im betting holds down the combined points total here this evening to the low side of the number. Note: Dallas is also playing a markedly slower pace of late, and now rank 20th in in the NBA in pace. 

Play UNDER

The Clippers got blasted by the Memphis Grizzlies yesterday a 140-114 count . It was an ugly defensive showing by the Clippers and today I expect they try to repair their proverbial defensive damn by slowing this game down and concentrating on their transition game. This Im betting directly effects this total to the low side of the number. 

NEW YORK is 18-8 UNDER  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the lal/31st 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored.  The Knicks are 4-26-1 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams are 5-33-1 UNDER L/39 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 202.2 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days against opponent extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 42-17 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Analysis to follow

Brooklyn has shown very little cohesive flow in their L/ 10 games, with the offense having averaged 108 points on 44.4 percent field goal shooting, including 32.8 percent from 3-point range. That's not a good omen for their offensive output today vs a Toronto side that has held their L/4 opponents to 97 points or less. This tilt has an under written all over it even though the Nets have formerly inured Levert back in the lineup after a long injury layoff. 

The Raptors are 1-11-1 UNDER L/13 on the road facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 202 ppg scored.

Teams like the Nets  are 0-14-2 UNDER L/16 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a road game when they are off two games in which they allowed their opponent to score 10+ more than they usually allow with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The Brooklyn Nets have hit a wall  in  offensive production . However, they have the ability to bounce back as they  had been fairly effective overall without injured starters Kyrie Irving and Caris LeVert in the lineup.After being held under 100 points in consecutive games for the first time this season, Im betting the Nets bounce back with a big offensive output today vs a struggling Minnesota side that is getting blasted for an average of 114.9 ppg at home this season. Note: key offensive starter Towns was able to participate in drills at practice on Sunday while wearing a leg sleeve on his knee, and will probably play tonight. His teammate Wiggins is a 50% chance starter tonight as he deals with some time of illness. 

Saunders is 15-4 OVER after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 235 ppg going on the board. MINNESOTA is 13-3 OVER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 pig scored. 

The Timberwolves are 14-0 OVER L/14  after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with a combined average of 234.6ppg scored with every game in the subset eclipsing this current total.

NBA Teams like the Nets are 21-4 OVER L/25 as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent making more than 20 free throws with a combined average  of 227.1 pig scored.

Play OVER 

My projections estimate this total slightly bloated, with the Rockets  Westbrook sitting tonight for rest purposes . The Rockets usually play division games with a more physical   presence. Note:HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.8 ppg scored. The Rockets beat the Pelicans twice already this season in high scoring affairs but Im betting this game will be played differently as both teams are on tired legs after playing yesterday. 

NBA Teams like the Rockets  are 2-25 UNDER off a win as a favorite in which they had assists on less than 40 percent of their field goals ( none of the 27 games in the subset have gone above this opening total)

The Rockets are 2-19 UNDER L/21 on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with the average combined score clicking in at 213.4 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 102-46 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

Milwaukees offence averages 120+ ppg while Atlanta D, allows an average of 118.6 ppg. Milwaukee has scored agains the best of Ds consistently, and against this below average defence, Im betting they score in the average of 10 points higher on their season to date average offensive output. Meanwhile, Atlanta, is capable of chasing behind a offence that averages 110 + ppg in recent 5 games activity span, which Im betting results in a higher scoring affair than the lines makers anticipate. 

NBA Teams like the Bucks are 19-1 OVER  on the road off a loss as a favorite when the total is at least 15 points more than their last game with a combined average of 239.2 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA Teams like the Hawks are 15-1 OVER L/16 as a dog with more than two days of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with a combined average of 243.2 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Cleveland is well rested and of late have been up trending offensively and are capable of doing  out put damage here in a game I have pegged toast paced. 

The Celtics are 13-0 OVER L/13 at home with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with a combined average of 227.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 14-1 OVER L/15 as a 8+ dog with more than one day of rest off a home game in which they had 20+ turnovers with a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored.

CLEVELAND is 13-3 OVER in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.4 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 32-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON ) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Trail Blazers' had their four-game winning streak abruptly end last time out  as the club was 4-of-29 from beyond the arc. Im now expecting a shooting bounce back effort here tonight in Utah behind the 11th fastest pace in the league and the 10th ranked ppg offence. Meanwhile, Im betting on a up-trending Utah offence averaging 110.4 ppg in their L/5 overall, to fire power back on rested legs after their Christmas break. This projected group of scenarios will make for a score according to my projections that slams into the plus 220 mark on the combined totals scoreboard.

PORTLAND is 20-8 OVER when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. 

The Trailblazers are 11-0 OVER L/11 off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 236.8 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Jazz are 20-0 OVER L/20  with rest off a loss in a road game when the total is at least 15 points more than their season-to-date average with a combined average of 247.5 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Both LeBron James and Anthony Davis according to an ESPN report are both expected  play Christmas day. I know with these super stars in the lineup the public will naturally chase the total over here, but I say not so quick as  my projections estimate that a number closer to 220 is order here,  which gives us one possession value. Hey I know it does not seem like much of an advantage but believe me, it is considering how proficient Vegas has historically been setting lines on NBA totals.

Also from a matchup perspective these two rivals, are proving to have a dislike for each other , so a physical play off style affair is not out of the question, which also has me leaning to this being a lower scoring affair than the public and pundits expect. 

Christmas Day under since 2005, have been an extremely good bet : 38-22-1 UNDER for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

 NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) . are 63-38 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Even with Luka Doncic sitting out his third game with a sprained ankle Friday night, the Mavericks defeated the host Philadelphia 76ers 117-98 and are not missing a beat offensively without their star guard int the lineup. Tonight against the injury depleted Raptors Im expecting them to keep rolling offensively, and for the Raptors deep bench to answer back with some offensive fireworks of their own in a game that eclipses this total.

NBA Teams like the Mavs are 50-15 OVER L/65 as a road dog with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with a combined average of 226.9 ppg scored.

 NBA Teams like the Raptors  are 16-2 OVER L/18  with rest facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 226.1 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DALLAS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an good defensive team (41.5-43.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 63-30 OVER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

New Orleans is exhausted as they play their 3rd game in 4 night and 6th game in 10 days and doubt they will be prepared to run here tonight and will be mote tempered in their approach to this tilt . Meanwhile, Golden State still playing without Curry and Thompson just don't have the weapons to run and gun and will be methodical with their game plan which will help keep this tilt on the low side of the total. GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 207.8 ppg scored. 

The Pelicans are 3-22-1 UNDER as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a win in a road game with the average combined score of 190.3 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Pelicans  are 2-19 OU L/21 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after playing as a road dog when they are off two games in which they held their opponent to 10+ less than they usually allow wit the combined average of 189.5 ppg scored. NBA Teams Pelicans are 1-15 UNDER L/16 when the line is within 3 of pick off a win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with a combined average of 211.6 ppg. 

The Warriors are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15  as a dog with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average of 191.8 ppg scored.The Warriors are 2-22-1 UNDER L/25  with rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5with a combined average of 201.2 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW ORLEANS) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 42-15 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The run and gun Rockets don't fit their profile lately, as they have slowed down their pace  in recent games , as they look for a more balanced game plan, that focuses on defending properly in transition. Fatigue may also be playing a part, but what is obvious is that they have really put the brakes on and that Im betting effects this final score going under the projected total. Meanwhile, the Clippers are on tired legs after a 6 game road trip , and now here at home Im expecting a more muted effort as they get used to home cooking again. It must also be noted that the Clippers own the best home D rating in the league at 99.2 ppg and  are more than capable of slowing Harden and company. 

HOUSTON is 21-9 UNDER  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.D'Antoni is 10-1 UNDER  in road games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less as the coach of HOUSTON ( Clippers beat the Rockets back in November)

NBA Teams like Houston are 0-14-1 UNDER  on the road off a home game after a win in which they trailed after the third with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. The Rockets are 0-13-2 UNDER on the road off a win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with a combined average of 210.1 ppg scored. 

NBA team (HOUSTON /LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in December games are 64-22 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 50-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Hawks previous to a high scoring back in forth affair in their L/game, have had problems scoring in their previous 3 games, scoring 102, 100, and 96 points respectively with all 3 tilts staying under the total. Atlanta has taken part in some explosive offensive games, in the last few seasons, but more often than not they struggle to be a consistent offensive force, and here tonight against a Utah side that owns the 8th best ppg D, in the league another one of those games Im betting develops. With that said, Im recommending we take an under stance here this evening.

The Jazz are 1-17 UNDER L/18 with rest off a win in a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times with a combined average score of 200.1ppg scored, with none of the games eclipsing this total. 

NBA Teams like the Jazz are 7-36-3 UNDER as a road favorite with rest off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 220.4 pig scored.

The Hawks are 3-29 UNDER L/32  at home with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 185.4 ppg scored.

The Hawks are 1-23 UNDER L/24  as a home dog off a road game after being outscored in the paint by double digits with a combined average score of 187.4 ppg going on the scoreboard . 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 27-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Devon Booker is out for the Suns tonight which Im betting effects their offensive flow and the total combined score of this tilt.Cameron Johnson (hip), and Tyler Johnson (illness)  are also out and despite of Deandre Ayton returning from his 25 game suspension his time will be limited . Im expecting the top tier LA Clippers D to really make life difficult for the Suns tonight in a more grinding affair than the lines-makers might expect. 

NBA Teams like the Clippers are 7-31 UNDER L/28 at home with more than one day of rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average score of 215 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams like the Suns Teams are 1-14-1 UNDER L/15 as a road dog off a loss in a home game in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 215.7 ppg scored.

NBA  team (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, off a close road loss of 3 points or less are 42-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHOENIX) - off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, on Tuesday nights are 29-6 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors, 

Play UNDER 

Pistons key starter Griffin sat during the second half of the Pistons' 115-107 victory at Houston due to left knee soreness and is not 100% entering this game and could easily not play or see limited action. This will effect the offensive flow of the Pistons and instead they will have to rely on what is looking like a solid defence that is up-trending as was evident when they held Harden and company to a low offensive output last time out.  Meanwhile, Washingtons front court is also banged up. Second-year big man Moritz Wagner sat out on Saturday due to a left ankle sprain. Starter Thomas Bryant is weeks away from returning due to a stress reaction in his right foot. I know that the Wizards D, is atrocious but , with Motowns pace (ranked 23rd in the league) Washingtons D will not be under alot of stress, and the game as a whole should be slower and lower scoring than the line estimations . 

DETROIT is 24-11 UNDER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Wizards are 1-17 UNDER L/18 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points with a combined average of 211.9 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like Detroit are 0-13 UNDER L/13 with rest off a win in a road game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with a combined average of 206.1 ppg going on the board. (The Wizards won the first meeting between the teams on Nov. 4, 115-99.)

Play UNDER 

San Antonio ranks 25th in the NBA in ppg allowed (115.5 ppg) while Phoenix is ranked 5th in ppg offence, and rank 23rd in defence and 8th in pace. Key starter Booker is expected to start today  for the Suns despite of being slated in as questionable because of arm contusion. With the NBA sending out subliminal messages , and  wanting to put a show on for this Mexico city crowd look for a run and gun game that sails over the total. 

The Suns are 11-0 OVER L/11  at home off a loss with a combined average score of 245.5 ppg scored.The Suns are 10-0 OVER  off a loss after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 244.7 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA Teams are 11-0 OVER L/11 on the road off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 23 fouls per game with a combined average of 240.7 ppg scored. 

SAN ANTONIO is 20-7 OVER   in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 season with a combined average of 234.7 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are  39-13 OVER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Miami defence showed it metal when  it went against the  West's best in the Los Angeles Lakers  losing a hard fought 113-110 decision on Friday night. Going against Anthony Davis and LeBron James is no small task, and Im betting they will be ready to grind away on Dallas tonight and wont have the legs to run in gun after playing last night. 

The Heat are 1-14 UNDER L/15 as a dog off a loss in a home game when playing on Saturday with no rest with a combined average of 170.4 ppg. The Heat are 0-10 UNDER L/10 after playing as a home dog facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 187.5 ppg scored.

NBA Teams are 54-102-2 L158 UNDER at home after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent that has a season-to-date average points per FGA of better than 1.3 with a combined average of 208.3 ppg scored. 

NBA team (DALLAS) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in December games are 64-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

San Antonio ranks 25th in the NBA in ppg allowed (115.5 ppg) while Phoenix is ranked 5th in ppg offence, and rank 23rd in defence and 8th in pace. Key starter Booker is expected to start today  for the Suns despite of being slated in as questionable because of arm contusion. With the NBA sending out subliminal messages , and  wanting to put a show on for this Mexico city crowd look for a run and gun game that sails over the total. 

The Suns are 11-0 OVER L/11  at home off a loss with a combined average score of 245.5 ppg scored.The Suns are 10-0 OVER  off a loss after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 244.7 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA Teams are 11-0 OVER L/11 on the road off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 23 fouls per game with a combined average of 240.7 ppg scored. 

SAN ANTONIO is 20-7 OVER   in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 season with a combined average of 234.7 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are  39-13 OVER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

New Orleans is really struggling to score of late and have mustered an average of 105.6 ppg in their L/5 overall, while not going above 97 points in two of those tilts. They are trying to shore up their D, so that offence is suffering because of a lack of flow. Overall the Pelicans have gone under in 6 of their L/8 overall. Meanwhile, the Sixers are allowing an average of just 98.2 ppg at home this season, with the average combined score of their games as hosts clicking in at 209 ppg.  Tonight Im betting the Sixers red ranked ppg D, to stand tall and for New Orleans to suffer offensively which will directly effect this game staying under the total.

 The Pelicans are 0-11 L/11 UNDER as a 8+ dog with rest off a game as a dog in which they scored a least 18 fast break points with a combined average of 197.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Teams like the Pelicans  are 0-11 UNDER L/11 with rest off a road game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with a. combined average of 201.9 ppg scored. 

The Seventysixers are 1-16 UNDER L/17  with no rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with a combined average of just 186.7 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play UNDER 

analysis to follow-thank you for your patience 

  The Dallas Mavericks and Detroit Pistons square off in Mexico City on Thursday night in a game I have pegged to be a lower scoring affair as compared to the total being offered. 

Detroit owns the 20th ranked offence in the NBA behind the 23rd ranked pace, and 14th ranked ppg defence . Meanwhile, Dallas ranks 15th in ppg allowed and 20th in pace, and thanks to above average 3 point conversion rate shooting are ranked 3rd in ppg offence thanks to a top tier 3 point conversion rate that is due for regression . Today in a neutral court environment I expect both sides to not have the same flow as they would when playing at home in the US, and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. 

NBA Teams Dallas have gone UNDER 13 straight times  as a road favorite after their opponent shot over 50% from the field with the combined average of 204.6 ppg scored.

NBA  Teams like the Mavericks are 9-38 OU L/47 at home with more than one day of rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 214.6 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Pistons have gone under 13 straight times with more than one day of rest off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 202. 8 ppg scored.

NBA DETROIT is 23-11 UNDER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.7 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

The Suns rank 5th in offence in the league but just 22nd in ppg allowed and are the 8th ranked pace and will once again come right at their opponents tonight which will bring them otu of their shell in a chase mode, which will result Im betting in a high scoring affair that eclipses this total.

PHOENIX is 8-0 OVER  in home games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 10-2 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 236.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA Teams are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a dog off a win as a road dog in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 233.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a struggling  team (25-40%) are 24-5 OVER L/23 seasons with a combined average score of more than 231 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER 

The Nuggets enter this game vs the 76ers are holding opponents to an NBA-low 101.9 points per game, and once again will look to grind it out vs a top tier foe in Philadelphia. 

NBA Teams  like the Nuggets are 0-13 UNDER as a dog with rest off a loss as a road favorite in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

The Seventysixers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 with rest off a win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

NBA Teams  like the 76ers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 with rest off a win when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the combined average of 203.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), first half of the season are 112-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors, 

NBA team (DENVER) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 28-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in December games are 60-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 204 ppg. 

Sacramento has the 26th ranked offensive output in the league and the slowest pace, and here agains the explosive Rockets, they will be ready to make this a grinder that helps keep this on the low side of the total.

The Kings are 0-14 UNDER as a dog with no rest off a win after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with a combined average of 199.1 ppg scored.

The Rockets are 0-15-3 UNDER L/18 with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP with a combined average of 215.7 ppg. 

NBA  Teams are 4-24 UNDER as a favorite with rest off a win facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game with a combined  average of 217.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's are 29-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

LATE STEAM ( UNDER)

Atlanta's most-recent game   against Brooklyn, saw them losing 130-118 on Wednesday night at home. The Hawks run a very fast paced offensive system, but its their defence that suffers most, as they rank 28th in the league in ppg allowed at 117.8 ppg. Much of their defensive ugliness can be attributed to carelessness especially on the road where they average18.4 turnovers per away game. Im betting nothing changes tonight here in Charlotte , in what will be an affair that goes over the set total. Note:My projections estimate both sides will score +105 points. ATLANTA is 9-0 OVER   where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 245 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

ATLANTA is 10-0 OVER  after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 241 ppg going on the board.

Borrego is 32-13 OVER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 as the coach of CHARLOTTE with a combined average of 227.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ATLANTA) - poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) against a horrible defensive team (47.5% or more) 75-41 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

 Denver is returning to the New York area after absorbing a 108-95 loss in Boston Friday night and now knowing they have to play better offensively as Im now betting they will be more aggressive with their attack in transition against a Brooklyn side that plays a efficient style of offensive hoops behind a top 10 pace and a lower tier D ranked 20th in ppg allowed at 113.4 ppg. With that said Im betting a combined score  that eclipses this Totals offering. 

Play OVER 

 The Houston  Rockets behind the leagues No.2 offence and 2nd fastest pace has averaged 128.2 points in its last six games and Im betting will have another   big effort tonight vs a 22nd ranked ppg allowed D. Meanwhile, the Suns, have allowed an average of 123.3 in their last six. But they've squeezed a pair of wins into the half-dozen, including a 139-132 overtime triumph at New Orleans on Thursday as their offence continues to show some flashes of explosiveness behind the 5th ranked offensive ppg side in the league. Im betting the Suns will do more damage here tonight against Houstons 23d ranked ppg allowed  D, in what should be a chase the leader type of affair. 

Play OVER 

This game is based on my output offensive projection numbers which estimate that both these teams will eclipse the 105+ point plateau. Note: PORTLAND is 11-1 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average score of 240.9 ppg were scored.

The Trailblazers are 10-0 OVER L/10 as a dog off a 10+ point home win in which they shot over 50% from the field with the average combined score clicking in at 229.1 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%), in December games are 44-17 OVER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Thunder are a deliberate defense first team trying to find a groove. Oklahoma City ranks 22nd in ppg offensive output,  12 th in ppg allowed, and 23rd in pace. Meanwhile, the Wolves like to run and gun, but will play down to another teams pace, and with top scorers Wiggins and Towns not playing or seeing limited action and less than 100% their offensive flow will be effected tonight which favors a lower scoring totals output. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-0 UNDER  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored. 

The Thunder have gone under in 6 of their L/7  as a favorite.

Play UNDER 

The Heat enter off a 121-110 overtime win over the Raptors on Tuesday  and are obviously on tired legs and will not Im betting have alot of energy tonight vs the Celtics and will play with a defensive mind set. Meanwhile, their hosts the Celtics are a defence first team , ranking 5th in ppg allowed behind a deliberate pace . that ranks 21st in the league. The above combination of betting leads to a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. 

BOSTON is 33-19 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.9 ppg which gives us more than a possession edge, making this a viable under situation. 

NBA team (MIAMI /BOSTON) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in December games are 50-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Clippers are ranked 5th in ppg offensive output in the NBA behind the 8th ranked pace. and 11th in ppg allowed. Meanwhile, Portland ranks 9th in ppg on offence, rank 24th in ppg allowed behind the 9th fastest pace. Tonight Im betting these teams continue their pace and offensive output numbers, and  lack of consistent defensive play and for this score to be eclipsed. 

Over is 14-5-1 in Clippers last 20 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 9-4 in Clippers last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Over is 6-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

PORTLAND is 11-1 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 138.2 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Lakers and the Nuggets are both playing very good defensive basketball of late at a deliberate pace. 

The Nuggets rank 1st in the league in ppg allowed at 101.8 ppg and rank 28th in pace, and just 22nd in ppg. Meanwhile, the Lakers 4th in ppg allowed and despite of the offensive talent on board rank just 12th in offensive production, behind the 17th ranked pace. 

With this game promising to be physical, and knowing what the modus operandi is of both teams  and the taxing conditions of playing in the thin air of the Mile High City it is an easy decision to make this an under recommendation.  

Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 overall.Under is 3-0-1 in Lakers last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 11-4 in Lakers last 15 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 19-7 in Lakers last 26 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 24-9 in Lakers last 33 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 13-5 in Lakers last 18 Tuesday games.Under is 35-16 in Lakers last 51 games following a ATS loss.Under is 40-19 in Lakers last 59 vs. Western Conference.Under is 29-14 in Lakers last 43 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 28-10 in Nuggets last 38 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 22-8 in Nuggets last 30 home games.Under is 22-8 in Nuggets last 30 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 20-8-1 in Nuggets last 29 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 7-3 in Nuggets last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 21-9 in Nuggets last 30 games following a ATS loss.

DENVER is 11-1 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 205 ppg. 

LA LAKERS are 18-4 UNDER  after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after 2 or more consecutive unders against opponent after 3 or more consecutive unders are 126-78 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Sacramento plays at the 30th ranked pace in the league and 28th in ppg production but Im betting they pickup the pace tonight against a weak defensive side that allows an average of 110.1 ppg on the road this season. Also when Chicago has Zach Lavine on the court and healthy they seem to push the tempo more and that is what I expect tonight in a tilt that eclipses this total.  

SACRAMENTO in their L/30 as a favorite over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 223.9 ppg go on the board.

Over is 16-5 in Bulls last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SACRAMENTO) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are 32-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER 

Orlando ranks 30th in ppg on offence, 3rd best in ppg allowed in the league and 29th in pace. This is a deliberate methodical team that bases their successes and failures on top tier defense and nothing will change here today vs the Warriors. Meanwhile, Golden State ranks 21st in offensive output, and will have a hard time finding a better flow here tonight which Im betting  will hinder them further and will also lead to a fairly low combined score in this contest. 

Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 39-18 in Magic last 57 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Orlando.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (ORLANDO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or less are 40-11 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Detroit is on tired legs and in now way shape or form are the ready to run and gun here tonfight.
DETROIT is 14-3 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.
Meanwhile, Orlando has proven themselves inconsistent this season, overall but the one thing they have shown consistency with is their defense first mentality. Orlando ranks 29th in offensive output, 3rd in ppg allowed and 29th in pace, and that the kind of tone this game Im betting will offer once again. 

NBA team (DETROIT) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) are 53-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ORLANDO) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) str 29-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Kings have put up 100 or fewer points in three of their past four games. thanks in part to being with Bogdan Bogdanovic who injured his hip and also because of filling the spot of offensive minded D'Aron Fox with defensive specialist  Cory Joseph. The Kings because of being short handed have been depending on their top tier brand of defense to remain competitive and that will be even more prevalent here tonight against a run and gun Wizards side. This projected game plan Im betting leads to a score that fails to eclipse this total. 

Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Kings last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Kings last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Kings last 5 Sunday games.Under is 4-1 in Kings last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Kings last 11 road games.Under is 8-3 in Kings last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Under is 37-18 in Kings last 55 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Washington.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the UNDER 

Both these teams have shown to have some very porous defences, and both sides know they need to fix that situation, and are working hard to get stops .  Wizards star guard Bradley Beal told reporters. QUOTE:We compete hard enough to win every game. We are top five in offense. We know that is not the problem. We just have to get stops." END QUOTE: Im betting tonight San Antonio trys to reverse a ugly 6 game win streak, by paying more attention to defence vs an explosive offensive side, which in turn will see a slighter slower pace than the Wizards would like to see.  

NBA Teams like the Spurs are 1-17  UNDER  as a road favorite when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points with the combined average score of 216.8 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 18-8 UNDER  after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.4 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 26-4 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 60-26 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Sacramento has gone under in 3 straight games and have not allowed more than 99 points in any of those tilts . The Kings own the 29th ranked pace, and 28th ranked offensive output. Look for more methodical action tonight, as they look to slow down the high flying Phoenix Suns! 

Walton is 21-8 UNDER  in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. 

The Suns are 0-14 UNDER L/14 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio less than 1.5 with the verage combined score clicking in at 193.8 ppg. The Suns are 0-13 UNDER  off a loss as a favorite when they are off two games in which their opponent had double-digit steals with a combined average of 193.1 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams are 8-40-2  UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a home dog facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average score of 207 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 31-10 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Raptors were showing signs of fatigue Saturday and Pascal Siakam had an off night with 15 points on 6-for-24 shooting with five turnovers and with only one day rest in between games, I sure their still a bit exhausted. Also being without injured Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka. defence and a slower pace has been key for the Raptors and that will once again be the case tonight here  on home court as they get reacclimatized  to being on home court after an extensive 5 game road trip. Tonight Im betting the Raps will hold the Hornets to under their season ppg offensive average of 106 ppg, and for they themselves to have a limited out put because of being short handed. 

Under is 3-1-1 in Hornets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. NBA Southeast.Under is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 Monday games.Under is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (TORONTO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record on the season are 475-337 UNDER L/23 seasons for a long term 59% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Both the Cleveland Cavaliers and the NY Knicks are struggling, and both are looking at this like a winnable game, and both Im betting will be primed to be aggressive here in transition which Im betting helps this combined score get over this total. Yes, I know both sides have been creating unders of late, but that wont be the case here tonight. Note: NYK L/47 home games have seen a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.CLEVELAND in their L/44 games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 218.1 ppg scored.

Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Play OVER 

Washington has the 3rd best offence in the league the 28th worst D ppg allowed, and 8th fastest pace. This is almost always recipe for a high scoring back and forth tilt. Meanwhile, Orlanso has seen an uptick in their offensive outputs of late, and Im betting they will need that extra offence against a team that plays wide open run and gun ball. 

The Wizards are 19-0 OVER with less than two days rest off a road game in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 232.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER  off a road win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 83-49 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Kawhi Leonard and Amir Coffey are expected to miss tonight for the Clippers which will effect their flow. Meanwhile, Atlanta is also short handed with a boat load full of injuries, something that will also effect their flow, especially since they will be on tired legs playing their their 4th straight road game in west coast road trip in less than a week. 

The Clippers are 0-5 UNDER L/5 as a home favorite with a combined average of 199 ppg going on the board. 

Under is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 home games.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 overall.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Celtics won't be at full strength for the trip out west, and for at least a month after that, with the loss of high-scoring guard Gordon Hayward to a broken left hand earlier in the week. Im betting this will hamper the offensive flow of the Celtics and they will take a more defensive, stance for a while to compensate for their offensive loss. Tonight because of this Im betting this Total is slightly bloated with the value towards the under. BOSTON i in 13 road games    after 6 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined score of 216.1 ppg.

These teams have gone under in the L/4 meetings. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - a very good team (7 or better  PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more are 33-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - a very good team (7  or better PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Washington enters this game ranked 8th in pace in the league 8th in ppg(115.6) , and 28th in ppg allowed(120). Meanwhile, Minnesota is ranked 5th in pace, 4th in offensive output (117.2), and 25th in ppg allowed(116.2). Its obvious both sides run and gun with reckless abandon, while exhibiting an inability or disinterest in playing D. It is what it is. A far is this total is concerned, and how high it might seem, you have to remember this is the new NBA , and totals like this will show up more and more often as the league continues its quest to entertain the public. There can be under value with bloated totals, but this one not one of them. 

WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER  versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more  free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 244.6 ppg scored.

MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Wolves average 119.2 ppg and opposition  average 114.7 ppg. Based on a aggregate output system I use, 3-6 . points per team is projected above these numbers making this a viable over situation based on past performance trends and current form.

Play OVER