| NBA Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 11-14-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 209 | 95-124 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
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Denver s top tier D, have not allowed 9 of their L/12 opponents to breach the 98 point plateau ranking first in ppg allowed and ranking 26th in pace behind the leagues 27th worst ppg offense. Meanwhile, Portland averages 104 ppg on the road this season, but my projections estimate at least 6% drop in output here based on a analytical chart I use which equates, into a 97.76 team score , while Denver is estimated to score 107 points, giving us more than a full possession advantage on this totals offering making this a viable bet based in my projections, DENVER is 8-1 UNDER vs poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 196.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 7-0 UNDER as a favorite this season with a combined average of 196 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 55-25 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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| 11-09-21 | Hawks v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 98-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
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The Hawks will match up with the Utah Jazz for the 2nd time this week. Utah won the first meeting 116-98 but Im betting on a aggregate of 10 more points on the board here according to my projections thus giving value to an over bet. Part of this assessment is based on the Jazz expecting to have Mike Conley back in the lineup which aid in offensive flow. Add to that Atlanta has allowed each of its past seven opponents to score between 111 and 127 points and we have a large output expectation here. ATLANTA is 31-13 OVER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 10-2 in Jazz last 12 games as a home favorite. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 48-17 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 37-13 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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| 11-08-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 214 | 92-108 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
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The Pelicans have lost 6 straight thanks to a lack off offensive flow, and Im betting nothing changes tonight as they play a Dallas team that is playing a strong brand of defense at the moment. With that said, Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse this number. DALLAS is 12-3 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-0-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as a favorite. DALLAS is 29-12 UNDER L/41 in home games versus struggling teams - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or more. NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 UNDER in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games as a road underdog.
NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW ORLEANS/DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 40-12 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. |
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| 11-07-21 | Bucks v. Wizards OVER 221 | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
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Milwaukee because of some injury issues have been less than fluid offensively lately and that has resulted in a string of unders. However, Budenholzer has been repeating a mantra of late that his team needs to be more aggressive, and after their loss to NYK at home last time out, Im betting we see exactly what the HC is calling for. With Washington getting into a offensive flow of late, Im betting on a higher scoring game than the lines-makers may anticipate. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER in home games versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 246.3 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 games as a home underdog.Over is 6-1 in Wizards last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Over is 13-3 in Wizards last 16 games following a straight up win.Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a ATS win.Over is 21-6 in Wizards last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rater for bettors. Bucks and Wizards have gone over in 8 straight meetings. Play OVER |
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| 11-04-21 | 76ers v. Pistons OVER 208.5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
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Detroit is the only team shooting below 40 percent (39.4), and is even worse behind the 3-point arc (26.7 percent, also worst in the NBA) and because of this the lines-makers have under estimated the Totals number here. This kind of ineptness is bound to recoil on the upide of the output markers. Philadelphia took a 110-102 victory vs the Pistons at home last Thursday and my estimate makes the Total closer to 212 which according to those projections makes for a viable over wager here.Over is 6-0 in Pistons last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit and 7-0 OVER L/7 overall meetings. Rinse and repeat to the over in play here. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DETROIT) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season, after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 77-37 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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| 11-03-21 | Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 215.5 | 126-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
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The Clippers have not breached the 100 point plateau in 3 straight games, while the Wolves have not scored more than 98 points in 4 of their L/5 overall. Clippers also own the 6th best 'ppg defense and the 26th ranked ppg offense and 27th ranked offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Wolves rank 7th in ppg allowed and 25 in ppg scored offense. Everything points to a lower scoring affair. MINNESOTA is 15-5 UNDER versus struggling offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 214.7 ppg. MINNESOTA is 10-0 UNDER in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.9 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 22-9 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or less 3 straight games are 24-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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| 11-01-21 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 217.5 | 128-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
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Chicago ranks 4th in ppg allowed D, and have shown themselves to be methodical in their approach ranking 22nd in pace and Im betting . Meanwhile, the Celtics despite of some tainted numbers are also running at a slower pace ranking 14th in the league. My projections have estimated this Totals offering to be off by almost a full possession to the under at 215 giving us value on this offered number. CHICAGO is 17-7 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg . CHICAGO is 14-3 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. Under is 8-1 in Bulls last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 road games.Under is 14-3 in Bulls last 17 overall. Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CHICAGO) - off a home win, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 41-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for 72% conversion rate. Play on UNDER |
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| 10-31-21 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 219.5 | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
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Dallas has started this season paying special attention to defense and that has resulted in 5 straight unders. The Mavericks are ranked 8th in ppg allowed and 24th in pace and dead last in offensive output. Meanwhile, Sacramento runs at a faster pace, but will have their flow curtailed here which Im betting results in a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered number. Note: Afternoon NBA games also generally have a tendency of being slower events. Under is 6-0 in Kings last 6 Sunday games.Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-1 in Kings last 9 games as a road underdog.Under is 21-5-1 in Kings last 27 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 home games. Under is 12-3 in Mavericks last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA team (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 72-36 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER NBA team (DALLAS) - an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 112-63 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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| 10-30-21 | Knicks v. Pelicans UNDER 215 | 123-117 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
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The Pelicans played and lost last night, and are now on tired legs . Add to that their offensive flow without Zion Williamson is muted ranking 27th in ppg offensive average and you have a situation where points will be hard to come by vs a staunch defensive side that plays a good portion of their games in a slow paced environment. note: Knicks rank 26th in pace in the NBA Under is 5-0-1 in Pelicans last 6 games as a home underdog.Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. NEW YORK is 9-0 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 195.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 20-9 UNDER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons of 210.5 ppg. Under is 9-2 in Knicks last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - after a game where they covered the spread, a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a struggling team (25% or less ) are 31-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 212.4 ppg. Play UNDER |
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| 10-29-21 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 205.5 | 109-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
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Orlando has seen 4 of their 5 games go over the total this season, thanks to a bad D (allowing 120 or more points in 3 of those tilts. They will have to open up soon, or continue to see negative results because of their defensive ineptness. Tonight Im betting the Magic become more aggressive and for the Raptors to fire back in a tilt my projections estimate at 209. ORLANDO is 19-8 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored in those 27 games.
NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (ORLANDO) - off a home loss, a struggling team (25% or ) playing a team with a losing record are 50-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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| 10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 228 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
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Golden State is back to running and gunning and rank 5th in offensive out put and 6th in pace in the NBA and Im betting they continue to push forward here at a high octane pace tonight vs a tired Memphis side that wont have the legs to play defense after playing last night and this being their 4th straight road game. Subsequently I expect the Grizzlies will have to open up or be blown of the court which will result in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate. MEMPHIS is 27-15 OVER in road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored in those 42 tilts. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE/MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 36-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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| 10-28-21 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 222.5 | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
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Washington early on this season is not running and gunning like they have in the recent past and their pace is now ranked 17th in the league and they at least for now are paying alot more attention to defensive play especially in transition which Im betting translates in lower offensive outputs. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks , currently rank 29th in pace while their D, has been staunch ranking 3rd in ppg allowed and 4th in the league in overall defensive rankings . With that said, Im betting on a lower scoring game than the offered total. Under is 9-3 in Hawks last 12 road games. Under is 9-2 in Wizards last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Washington. Play UNDER |
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| 10-26-21 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 224 | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
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Golden State won their 3rd straight game out of the gate this season, with their D, playing tough in Sacramento. Tonight against a Thunder team that look to have very little offensive flow at the moment, Im betting the Warriors once again will mute the Oklahoma City D, and aid in this tilt stay under the offered Totals number. Note: Oklahoma City is averaging just 93.3 ppg on offense so far this season. Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 games as a road favorite.Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous games. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City.Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - an explosive offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against a horrible offensive team (104 or less PPG), after a win by 10 points or more are 25-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 10-25-21 | Magic v. Heat OVER 213.5 | 90-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
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Two interstate rivals go head to head in a early season tilt that has to low of a totals number attached to it according to my projections. My number is closer to 216 thus giving us value with an over wager. Note: MIAMI is 11-0 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.5 ppg scored. Over is 7-1 in Heat last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 games following a straight up loss.Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games following a ATS loss.Over is 10-2 in Heat last 12 games as a favorite. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as a home favorite. Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 5-0 in Magic last 5 Monday games.Over is 7-0 in Magic last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 road games. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 7-2 in Heat last 9 home games. Play OVER |
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| 10-24-21 | Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 224.5 | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
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The Celtics looked tired in flat last time out in a 115-83 loss to the Raptors. Im now expecting a much more focused effort that will see Boston playing alot more basketball in transition while paying attention to this defensive play which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered number. BOSTON in their L/18 games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more have seen a combined average of 202.6 ppg. Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 16-5 in Rockets last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 34-16-1 in Rockets last 51 home games. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, team that had a losing record last season are 24-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 40-14 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. 16 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996 here in Houston. Play UNDER |
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| 10-23-21 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 223 | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
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My projections estimate a combined score in the high 220s here giving us ultimate value with an over wager in this spot. Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games. SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 OVER against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games as a home underdog.Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games. These teams have gone over in 7 straight meetings. Play OVER |
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| 10-22-21 | Suns v. Lakers UNDER 222.5 | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
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These numbers is bit high according to my projections and should be closer to 220 so we have a full possession value to the under. PHOENIX is 17-5 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more since 1996 with a combined average of 201 ppg going on scoreboard. Under is 4-0-1 in Suns last 5 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0-1 in Suns last 5 games as a road underdog. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. LA LAKERS are 17-6 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.2 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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| 10-22-21 | Hornets v. Cavs UNDER 225.5 | 123-112 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
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Both these teams took part in wide open back forth high scoring hoops affairs in their first games of the season. Both now Im betting are on slightly tired legs and will now play a more conservative brand of hoops here in their 2nd game of the season. My projections estimate both sides will score no more than +108 points which sets in play key trends. CHARLOTTE is 17-0 UNDER where both teams score 108 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.1 ppg going on the board .CLEVELAND is 18-1 UNDER where both teams score 108 or less points in a game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 192.8 ppg scored. Under is 6-1 in Hornets last 7 games as a favorite.Under is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 Friday games.Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHARLOTTE) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 26-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 10-20-21 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 218.5 | 134-138 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
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The Knicks had success last year playing a grinding systematic brand of hoops and nothing will change this season. Meanwhile, Boston is a little banged up, with Horford is Out (COVID-19), Jaylen Brown is questionable (COVID-19) and Payton Pritchard is probable (nose) and their flow could easily be off here in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the offered totals number. Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 road games.Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a home favorite.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 home games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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| 07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 218.5 | 123-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
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The Bucks have seen their offence get into a flow and their scoring output increase after Game 1 and are now averaging 110.5 points per game and will be prepared to run here vs what Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 143-87 L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate! Play OVER |
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| 07-14-21 | Suns v. Bucks OVER 220 | 103-109 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 14 m | Show | |
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My Pace projections have been accurate to this point in the NBA Finals series, and now Im expecting a score in the mid 220s much like the first two tilts. Advantage over. Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. PHOENIX is 20-7 OVER versus defenses - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231.5 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 24-9 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 230.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 49-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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| 07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 219 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
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This Totals open was closer to what I project the true number should , which I estimated to be in the low 220s which makes this over wager a viable investment opportunity. Im betting the Suns with plenty of energy after an extended rest at home here in Phoenix will continue to press the action, on fresh legs as they did in game one and for the Bucks now more rested and adjusted to this time zone will come out here with all guns blazing in an attempt to steal a game before going home. This will culminate in a higher scoring tilt than might be expected by both the pundits and lines-makers. Note: The Bucks were consistently open from 3-point range in game 1 , and had a +44% conversion rate and Im betting that continues and aids our over cause. MILWAUKEE in 31 non-conference games this season have seen a combined average of 237.7 ppg go on the board. PHOENIX is 11-2 OVER vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 20-9 OVER after a win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average 226.9 ppg go on the board. ( Suns took game 1- 118 to 105) NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 38-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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| 07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 217 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 38 h 58 m | Show | |
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The Suns are well rested and will be ready to bring alot of energy to game 1 of the NBA finals. They popped 130 points on the board in their final game vs a very good Clippers D, and more of the same explosive offensive fireworks are on tonights agenda, which will force the Bucks to open up as well or be blown off the court. This Im betting leads to a combined score that eclipses this offered totals number. PHOENIX is 7-0 OVER after scoring 130 points or more this season with a combined average of 241.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. PHOENIX is 21-9 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored. Williams is 16-5 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more as the coach of PHOENIX with the combined average score of 231.3 ppg scored. Budenholzer in 67 games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more as the coach of MILWAUKEE the average combined score has rung in at 231.2 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points 29-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 52-22 OVER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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| 06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 218.5 | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
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The Clippers successes are almost always based on top tier defensive play as is evident by their 7th ranked ppg defense, and precise shooting behind a deliberate 26th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Suns also rank 26th in pace and are tied with the Clippers for the 7th best ppg defense. More of the same type of hoops Im betting will once again be on display here this evening which will result in a score that fails to eclipse this total. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 25-12 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 217.5 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 16-6 UNDER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored. Lue is 21-6 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached with a combined average of 206.2 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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| 06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226 | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
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Trey Young almost single handily carried the Atlanta Hawks to victory in game 1 of this series. Now I expect Young to be curtailed and regress naturally and for this series to become alot more physical and defensive, which will result in a lower scoring affair with less flow. Under is 7-0 in Bucks last 7 games following a straight up loss. ATLANTA is 10-0 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog with a combined average of 186.6 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 25-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series since 1996 with average of 186.8 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 29-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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| 06-23-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226.5 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
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Since the play offs began the Atlanta Hawks successes have been based on precise high opportunity shooting chances, and tough physical defensive hoops and nothing will change today vs their host the Milwaukee Bucks. This Im betting helps keep the flow of this game at a slower pace than the lines-makers are expecting. Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 3-0-1 in Bucks last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 home games Budenholzer is 23-9 UNDER in home games in all playoff games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 195.8 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 35-19 UNDER in home games after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.MILWAUKEE is 17-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 221.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 42-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 06-20-21 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 221.5 | 114-120 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
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Clippers are off a exhausting 7 game series vs the Jazz last time out, and the Suns may be a little rusty after an extended lay off after disposing of the defending champion LA Lakers . Considering these parameters Im betting on a fairly grinding lack of flow from game 1 in afternoon action. Under is 8-2 in Suns last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 30-14 in Clippers last 44 games as a road underdog. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 105-44 L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS/PHOENIX) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 42-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - off a road win, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks UNDER 221.5 | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
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Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 Atlanta took game 5 by a 109-106 score in Philadelphia thanks to being able to slow the Sixers down defensively after going down early. Playing some physical hardcore D will continue to be the Hawks recipe for success vs a Sixers side that is streaky offensively. With that said, D, will also be the focus of the visitors in this big game, and Im betting will result in a tight lower scoring affair. Rivers is 38-21 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached with a combined average of 197.8 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Under is 11-5 in 76ers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. ATLANTA is 15-1 UNDER L/16 when attempting to close out a playoff series with a combined average of 174.5 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 24-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series with a combined average of 185.6 ppg scored. Under is 10-3 in Hawks last 13 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 42-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
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With this series tied 2-2 and the clippers offense hitting on all cylinders entering game 5 Im now expecting the explosive Jazz to take an aggressive stance tonight, and come out firing on all cylinders on their own home floor, which Im betting will see the Clippers have to open up as well in a tilt that I have projected to eclipse this total. Utah in 7 home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season have seen a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. LA Clippers in their L/76 road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 224.6 ppg go on the board. Play OVER |
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| 06-15-21 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 217 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
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Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5- No Irving or Harden in the lineup for the Nets has this Totals number taking a dive that is in my betting opinion over done by both the lines-makers and the market. Yes these games have been lower than the expected as compared to the totals offerings but with the current number according to projections being transiently low a high probability edge for an over wagering opportunity cashing looks promising in my humble betting opinion. With Milwaukee off two straight wins, Im betting they look to take advantage of this Nets injury situation with an aggressive approach which result in the pace here being favorable for an over wager to cash. Milwaukee is 12-4 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 13-4 OVER off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 93-46 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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| 06-14-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 104-118 | Win | 101 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
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The Jazz looked defensively lazy last time out, and were starting to rely on their offensive explosiveness to just run over opponents. The last game in this series that saw the Jazz get blasted was a wake up call for them, and now Im expecting a more defensive minded effort and also for the Clippers to regress offensively which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair as compared to the offered total. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Jazz last 9 games following a straight up loss. Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 8-2-1 in Clippers last 11 games following a straight up win.Under is 7-2-2 in Clippers last 11 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 7-2-1 in Clippers last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. .LA CLIPPERS are 31-17 UNDER when they have the around same number of rebounds as their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 32-15 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 191.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 102-44 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. These teams have not gone over the total in 4 of their L/5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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| 06-13-21 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 222 | 125-118 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
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The Suns behind the 26th ranked pace, Im betting will precisely attack this game like they have every play off game to date, with patience and precision. They have Denver on the verge of elimination, and now without panic will methodically continue to play a top tier brand of defence, and take high %shot opportunities. This type of approach is a must here in the high altitudes of the Mile High city and this Im betting translates in a lower combined score than the offered total. DENVER is 20-9 UNDER after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. Denver in their L/78 home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more have seen a combined average of 192.2 ppg go on the scoreboard. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 100-41 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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| 06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 106-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
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The LA Clippers success and failure is predicated on playing to tier defensive hoops, that is ranked 4th in ppg D and a precise mind set that is evident by a 28th ranked pace. Tonight Im betting that type of basketball will be on full display as they desperately need to win this game to avoid going down 3-0 in this series. Also betting on Rudy Gobert to continue his top tier defensive play and for the Jazz to show their ability to also play strong D wull be on full display. With that said, I expect we see a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers might expect. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. UTAH is 32-14 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of 190.1 ppg. Snyder is 105-84 UNDER off a home win as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 207.1 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 UNDER when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game this season with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored. Under is 7-1-2 in Clippers last 10 Conference Semifinals games. LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks OVER 224.5 | 127-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
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This Total offers value as my own simplified pace and shooting statistics algorithm chart indicates. The 76ers shot 54.9 % FG in game one and 52.9% in game 2. Atlanta shot over 51% in game 1 but fell to just over 45% in game 2. Ny projections estimate the Hawks will shoot above or around their season average here at home of around 48% while the Sixers will regress to the high 40s as well or better , which translates in a combined score that breaches this total. ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 238.8 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Play OVER |
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| 06-10-21 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 221 | 111-117 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
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The Clippers behind the 28th ranked pace and 4th ranked ppg defense in the NBA will continue to disrupt the flow of the explosive Utah Jazz in a game I have pegged to be physical and to stay under the the offered total. LA CLIPPERS are 15-6 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average 218.5 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. Under is 7-0-2 in Clippers last 9 Conference Semifinals games. UTAH is 49-21 UNDER off a close home win by 3 points or less with a combined average of 190.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.UTAH is 32-13 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs with a combined average of just 189.3 ppg going on the score board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 50-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Utah. Play UNDER |
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| 06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 234.5 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
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Both these top tier teams have alot of fire power and big name stars in the lineup but this series Im betting will continue to be more physical than anticipated . Remember this is not a international competition and or an all star game, its NBA post season action which has a tendency of producing alot more battles on the inside, which can make a game have alot less flow and thus less points going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 125.7 ppg. BROOKLYN is 17-8 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN/MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 28-3 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 06-09-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 222 | 98-123 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
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Denver behind the 27th ranked pace and No.8 ppg offense operates at a precise speed behind precision shooting but Im betting they will be forced to speed up their play against a Phoenix side that they do not matchup well against overall. The Suns put 122 points on the board in the opening game of this series, and after watching that tilt, I feel strongly the Nuggets will have to go on the attack more aggressively vs a explosive offensive side that ranks 7th in the NBA in ppg offense that can and will will fire back with some consistent offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt that will Im betting easily eclipse this total.Note: 6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Arizona. DENVER is 11-2 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.1 ppg scored.DENVER is 9-1 OVER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 235.6 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 8-0 OVER after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average of 239.3 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 24-9 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 228.8 ppg going on the board.PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 230.6 ppg going on the. board.PHOENIX is 16-4 OVER after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 229.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 25-5 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - after allowing 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 225 points or more are 277-178 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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| 06-08-21 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 220.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
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Utah was able to run over the Memphis Grizzlies in their first round series, but Im betting their offensive flow will not be as fluid here vs a LA Clippers team that can ramp things up defensively . Im betting on hardcore action on the inside to be key for the Clippers and for a very physical series to manifest itself in game 1 of their competition vs a explosive Utah side that they know they must handle with kid gloves. LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 UNDER as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored. Under is 6-0-2 in Clippers last 8 Conference Semifinals games. Under is 20-5-2 in Clippers last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. UTAH is 31-13 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 182.6 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (/LAC /UTAH) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 40-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Salt Lake City. Play UNDER |
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| 06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 223 | 102-118 | Win | 101 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
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Game 1 in this series was a high octane affair thanks to the Sixers slow start and that saw them try to catch up furiously by chasing a DD deficit . Im now looking for the experienced Sixers who key to success is top tier D, to come out here with a more physical game plan, that will center on taking the young Hawks out of a steady flow. This will result in a lower scoring affair than the Totals offering might indicate. Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 playoff games as an underdog. ATLANTA is 9-0 L/9 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog with a combined average of 182.9 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 23-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series with a combined average of 184.1 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 35-17 L/52 UNDER in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more with a combined average score of 212.2 ppg scored. Under is 13-4 in 76ers last 17 games following a ATS loss. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, on Tuesday nights are 54-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.Under is 7-0 in 76ers last 7 Tuesday games. Play on the UNDER |
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| 06-07-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 219.5 | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
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The two most recent meetings in this series have eclipsed the number, with a combined average of '244 ppg going on the board. Rinse and repeat for an over wager. PHOENIX is 23-9 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 12-4 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 7-0 OVER after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average of 241 ppg scored. DENVER is 15-4 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored.Malone is 17-4 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 227.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 32-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 24-5 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 48-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Five of the L/6 meetings in this series here in Phoenix have gone over the total. Play OVER |
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| 06-07-21 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 234 | 86-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
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Watching the first game of this series, and than applying pace numbers, and the fact that the play off hoops between top tier teams are usually more physical than regular season games, than a projected combined score of the high 220s makes this total beatable according to my estimates.
Budenholzer is 38-23 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of MILWAUKEE with a combined average of 222.5 ppg. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 45-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 06-06-21 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 209.5 | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
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Kawhi Leonard and the Los Angeles Clippers will play host to Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks with a spot in the second round, and a matchup against the Utah Jazz, on the line and because of what's at stake they will both leave everything on the floor in what Im betting will be a much higher scoring affair than some of the previous games in this series. If the game is close down the stretch and one teams pulls ahead late expect a boatload full of fouls and points, and if one side is up big dont expect them to take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal at which point the game will open up. Other variables including OT, also take precedence for me in making this an over wager on a fairly low total according to my projections which make the number 216 which is a 2 possession difference.
LA CLIPPERS in their L/18 games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 215.7 ppg scored. Clippers in their L/9 home games as a favorite have seen a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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| 06-05-21 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 239.5 | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
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Its obvious both these sides are obvious with explosive offenses, but at this time of year during the post season, a much more physical brand of hoops is going to be played. With that said, Im betting these two heavyweights slowly accustom themselves to their opposition, and for the inside action to take the form of a ufc battle zone. Edge under. Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 21-10 in Bucks last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MILWAUKEE is 25-14 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored. Budenholzer in 144 career games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in all games he has coached has seen a combined average score of 210.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 32-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 06-04-21 | Clippers v. Mavs OVER 216.5 | 104-97 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
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Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 According to the overall pace of this series and style of play my projections suggests a tilt where both teams score 107+ points which gives us an edge to the over on a total that I have projected at 219 which gives us a full possession plus advantage on this offered number, Note: DALLAS is 33-7 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 235.9 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 32-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg going on the board. DALLAS in 42 games when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 221.1 ppg scored. Clippers HC Lue is 17-5 OVER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in all games with a combined average of 228.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DALLAS) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, on Friday nights are 47-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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| 06-03-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 207 | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
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If the Lakers have any chance of salvaging this series, they are going to have to come out of their defensive shell and open up. This Im betting leads to a much higher scoring game affair than the lines-makers expect. PHOENIX is 9-1 OVER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.5 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 11-1 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.4 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 78-41 OVER L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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| 06-02-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 225 | 110-126 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
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These teams have been playing back forth high scoring hoops this entire series and nothing will change tonight. All 4 games in this series have gone over with the L/3 showing a combined average score of 245 ppg scored. Rinse and repeat. MEMPHIS is 16-7 OVER in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 235.4 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 9-1 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season with a combined average of 238.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 16-6 OVER after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 13-3 OVER in road games after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 237.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MEMPHIS/UTAH) - after 3 or more consecutive overs against opponent after 4 or more consecutive overs are 43-18 OVER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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| 06-02-21 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 229.5 | 112-129 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
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The Wizards went full tilt last time out, and avoided elimination ,behind the No.1 pace in the league, and now on the verge of elimination Im betting they attack in all out fashion which in turn will force the Sixers to open up , which will than result in what I project will be a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this offered number. PHILADELPHIA is 23-8 OVER in home games off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average . Over is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 games as a favorite. WASHINGTON is 20-9 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 245.3 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 16-6 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 244.4 ppg going on the board. Over is 11-4-1 in Wizards last 16 playoff games as an underdog. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 100-49 OVER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after a combined score of 215 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 404-271 OVER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia. Play on the OVER |
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| 06-01-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 226 | 140-147 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
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The first 3 games of this series , saw this offered total eclipsed and despite of a lower combined score ,last time out, Im betting on a overall pace increase here as Denver in energized form will look to run the Blazers out of building in the thin air of the mile high city in what will be a fast paced affair. PORTLAND in 31 games when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season have seen a combined average of 228.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 14-4 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 19-9 OVER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 36-13 L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 53-26 L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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| 05-31-21 | 76ers v. Wizards UNDER 230 | 114-122 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
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The Sixers clobbered the Wizards last time out 132-103 and by the end of that game you could see the DC group was in a dejected mood, which Im betting will carry into this game. Meanwhile, Philly Im betting will regress offensively while continuing to play a top teir brand of defense that ranks 6th in the league in ppg allowed. WASHINGTON is 15-7 UNDER after a loss by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 223.4 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA in 18 road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 213.7 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 13-3 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.9 ppg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 18-4 UNDER in the 4th game of a playoff series since 1996 with a combined average of 184.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 47-18 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 52-25 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 05-30-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 209.5 | 100-92 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
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This is a pivotal game in this series and /Im betting the Suns down 2-1 in this series will have to be more aggressive offensively and try to push the Lakers out of their comfort zone. This Im betting leads to a much higher scoring affair than the first 3 games of this series saw. LAKERS in 33 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season have seen a combined average of 214 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 21-12 OVER versus teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 225.5 ppg. Play OVER |
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| 05-30-21 | Knicks v. Hawks UNDER 209.5 | 96-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
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The opus Morandi of the NY Knicks has been a grinding defensive style of hoops and nothing changes here today. The Knicks rank 26th in ppg offense No.1 in ppg defense and No.30 in pace in the NBA. With that said, Im betting on a very physical game here as NY will continue to try to disrupt the Hawks flow. This Im betting results in a fairly low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this offered number. NEW YORK lost game 2 here in Atlanta in this series and are also 16-4 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 207.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 05-29-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies UNDER 224 | 121-111 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
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The last game in this series was a high scoring offensive slugfest , but now in game 3 Im expecting regression from these offenses and for the Grizzlies to step up their defensive play here at home and for Utah to follow suit behind the No.3 ranked ppg D in the NBA . UTAH is 31-10 UNDER as a # 1 seed in the playoffs since 1996 with a combined average of 185.4 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 9-3 in Jazz last 12 games playing on 2 days rest. MEMPHIS is 19-4 UNDER after a combined score of 245 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.6 ppg scored. Jenkins is 13-2 UNDER after allowing 130 points or more as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 211.9 ppg going on the board. Jenkins is 13-1 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.Jenkins is 9-0 UNDER in home games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 219 ppg going on the score board.Jenkins is 15-4 UNDER in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. Under is 37-15 in Grizzlies last 52 home games. Under is 21-10 in Grizzlies last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - averaging 9 or more steals/game on the season, on Saturday games are 47-18 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 69-34 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 31-9 in the last 40 meetings in Memphis. Play UNDER |
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| 05-29-21 | 76ers v. Wizards OVER 227 | 132-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
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Down 2 -0 in this series the Wizards 3rd ranked ppg offense and 1st ranked pace will have to open up and play the type of hoops they were built to play and because of their 30th ranked ppg defense the edge goes to what Im betting will be a high scoring game. I know the Sixers are a defense first team but they will also be forced to open up which they can do well when pushed. This game projects to be in the 230s (combined score). This total is still relevant even if Russell Westbrook does not play for the Wizards tonight.
WASHINGTON is 14-6 OVER (+7.4 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined score of 245.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 3rd game of a playoff series are 34-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 44-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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| 05-28-21 | Nets v. Celtics OVER 227 | 119-125 | Win | 101 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
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Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 Boston is now down 2-0 in this series after 130-108 loss last time out. Unfortunately now for the Celtics they are going to have to open up if they have any chance of competing , which Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring affair here in game 3. Note: Over is 20-8-1 in Celtics last 29 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Over is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 home games. BOSTON is 8-1 OVER in home games after allowing 120 points or more this season with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. BOSTON is 11-2 OVER in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored. BROOKLYN in 70 games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season have seen a combined average of 233 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 23-11 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-9 OVER L5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 31-11 OVER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BROOKLYN) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 41-16 OVER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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| 05-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 218 | 129-141 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
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Memphis has been a dangerous opponent for all comers as this season has progressed and their aggressiveness has. been obvious, for anyone watching. Nothing will change tonight as they will come right back at the talented Jazz and force their opponent to open up in what Im betting will be a high scoring affair. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Utah.MEMPHIS in 24 road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season have seen a combined average of 233.6 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. Jenkins is 14-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 231.5 ppg scored.Jenkins is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 237 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 34-11 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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| 05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers UNDER 231 | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
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The Philadelphia 76ers are built for post season hoops and Im betting their top tier defense and physical style of play will try to slow down the run and gun Wizards which will result in a much lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers might expect here in game 2 of this series. I know game one saw a higher scoring final result but Im betting the Wizards will feel the effects of a grueling schedule and the physical tenacity of game one which will result in a less explosive offensive effort. PHILADELPHIA iin 22 games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more are 53-18 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 115 points or more are 41-10 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 27-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days against opponent extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 39-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 05-24-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | 109-128 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
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Denver will play this game with desperation as they do not want to go down 2-0 to Portland and completely obliterate their home court advantage. Finally adjustments will be made especially from a defensive perspective and their game will take on a stronger defensive focus which Im betting results in a combined score that stays on the low side of the offered total. Note:DENVER is 8-0 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of these tilts ringing in at 212.1 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record for 110-71L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 100-58 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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| 05-23-21 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 213 | 90-99 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
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The Lakers opus Morandi has been based on playing solid defense this season, but this team with players like James and Davis can gear it up with the best of teams offensively and today Im betting their going to have to do just that , vs a Suns side that Im betting will be very aggressive in transition . The suns in their 72 games this season have seen a combined average of 224.8 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 8-1 OVER in home games after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 231.1 ppg going on the score board. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LAL/PHOENIX) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 30-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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| 05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
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This play off game is being played early in the afternoon here on the west coast, and Im expecting a slower grinding game that will result in a lower scoring affair. Add to that the Clippers modus operandi is based on a more physical precise game plan behind the 28th ranked pace and the 4th best ppg defense and the 10th ranked ppg offense. Under is 6-0-2 in Clippers last 8 playoff games as a favorite. Meanwhile, Dallas , is 13-1 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 214 ppg scored and are 8-0 UNDER vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 213 ppg scored and 12-3 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 216 .6 ppg scored.DALLAS is also 10-1 UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 212.5 ppg scored. So what Im getting at here is that Mavs HC Carlisle adjusts his game against teams like the Clippers which always look has me look at the offered total with a lower scoring result in mind. With that said, Im betting this number is beatable with an under wager. Note: Dallas ranks 9th in ppg defense, and 17 in ppg offense, and run at a slow 24th ranked pace. Under is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 20-6 in Mavericks last 26 games as an underdog.Under is 13-4 in Mavericks last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Play UNDER |
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| 05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards OVER 237 | 115-142 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
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Indiana plays a one way style of hoops, and cannot adapt to what can sometimes be a grinding style play off basketball in any way shape or form. Its not an attack on them its just the way their built to run and gun, and thats what they will do. The Pacers rank 5th in pace in the league, 25th in ppg allowed and 6th in ppg offense. Meanwhile, Washington ranked No.1 in pace and 30th in ppg allowed and 3rd in offensive ppg output , and run their attack in a very similar way to the Pacers, and operate a game paln that is suited for high octane action. With that said, Im betting on both sides, to come out here and blaze a trail on the court and for this combined score to eclipse this offered number. Yes, the first game only saw 218 combined points but this game Im betting sees the Wizards attack from the beginning and for the Pacers to have to follow suit or be blown off the court. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 41-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 37-17 OVER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. INDIANA is 7-0 OVER in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 239.5 ppg scored. INDIANA is 11-2 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 240.2 ppg scored. Bjorkgren is 10-1 OVER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points as the coach of INDIANA. Over is 11-1 in Wizards last 12 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 20-6 in Wizards last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Play OVER |
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| 05-19-21 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 222.5 | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
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Western Conference - Play-In Game - Game 1 Memphis ranks 6th in defensive rating in the league and in the middle of the pack in offensive output ppg and as the season was winding down began to play alot more attention to defensive play and ended going under in 6 of their L/7 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, The Spurs rank 15th in pace and 21st in offensive ppg efficiency and in 3 of their L/9 games failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau against similar type systematic teams ( NYK and twice vs Utah) . Im betting the Spurs one again struggle with flow vs a Grizzlies group that has become well adapted at suffocating their opponents flow. MEMPHIS is 15-7 UNDER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 215.7 ppg going on the score board in those 22 games. MEMPHIS is 12-2 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216 ppg going on the scoreboard. MEMPHIS is 20-8 UNDER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 218 ppg going on the scoreboard. MEMPHIS is 8-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 219 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 8-0 UNDER in home games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-1 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO/MEMPHIS ) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 05-18-21 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 233 | 100-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
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Washington plays a one way style of wide open hoops, and are not not suited to play off basketball in my humble opinion and will have issues operating in a more physical grinding environment. Meanwhile, the Celtics now without the services Jaylen Brown will need to readapt their game, and pay alot more attention to defense in transition which Im betting will help keep this game total combined score stay on the low side of the the total. UNDER is 5-0 L/5 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON/BOSTON ) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 32-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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| 05-16-21 | Heat v. Pistons OVER 217 | 120-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
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DETROIT is 11-0 OVER after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.6 ppg. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as a road favorite and have gone over in 4 straight in Heat last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 road games. Over is 13-3 in Heat last 16 games as a favorite. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER |
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| 05-15-21 | Lakers v. Pacers UNDER 226.5 | 122-115 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
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The Lakers who are ranked No.1 in the NBA in defensive efficiency opus operandi bases it successes and failures on playing a tough defensive system that plays a great deal to transitional play. Considering Indiana runs a all out take no prisoners style of hoops its obvious that two different styles will go head to head here. However Im betting on the superior side solidifying that future play off game plan by making sure their will is imposed, which will see this game grind at a slower pace than the lines-makers expect or project. Also generally speaking afternoon action has a way of being slower paced than games played later in the day or night, thus adding to my belief that this combined score fails to eclipse the total. Note: Indiana is off a big time offensive slugfest last time out losing 143-132 to the Bucks , and Im betting they will regress here with less energy and offensive efficiency. INDIANA is 21-8 L/29 UNDER after scoring 130 points with the average combined score clicking in at 210.6 ppg. INDIANA is 13-3 UNDER in home games after allowing 130 points with a combined average of 201.8 ppg. LA LAKERS are 28-11 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with the combined average score of 212.1 ppg going on the board. LA LAKERS are 32-15 UNDER (+15.5 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with the average combined score clicking at 215.1 ppg . LA LAKERS are 22-7 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 68-34 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 150-96 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 05-15-21 | Bulls v. Nets UNDER 235 | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
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Brooklyn has solidified its defensive play of late as they prepare for post season hoops and nothing changes here today vs the Bulls. Meanwhile, the Bulls continue to play good defense and have held 3 of their L/5 opponents to 99 point ore less. This afternoon Im betting on a continuation of this type of top tier D by both sides in a games that Im betting stays under the the offered total. CHICAGO is 13-3 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.4 ppg going on the board. CHICAGO is 12-2 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents this season with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. Under is 9-0 in Bulls last 9 overall. Under is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 9-4 in Nets last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, on Saturday games are 42-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 45-18 L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate of bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 05-13-21 | Blazers v. Suns OVER 231.5 | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
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The Suns have gone over 7 straight times and their L/6 games have eclipsed this offered total. Meanwhile, the visiting Blazers are currently in high octane over drive, ranking 5th in the league on ppg offense and 4th in offensive rating, but just 22nd in ppg defense and a ugly 29th ranking in defensive rating. Looking at current form, and the overall data, it becomes obvious that in general terms that this game should be a high scoring slugfest. Play OVER |
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| 05-13-21 | 76ers v. Heat OVER 218.5 | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
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The Heat have had great success of late pushing the tempo of their games, and as a result have gone over 10 straight times. Im betting that the Sixers if they are keen on winning this game , will have to match the Heats pace and that will result in a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. MIAMI is 8-0 OVER after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite this season with the average combined score clicking in at 232.5 ppg.MIAMI is 8-1 OVER in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season with a. combined 224.9 ppg scored.MIAMI is 12-1 OVER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season with a combined average of 224 ppg scored. Philadelphia dating back to last season in their L/68 road games have seen a combined average of 221.3 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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| 05-12-21 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 223 | 122-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
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The Rockets obviously have nothing left to play for, but an opportunity to upend the defending champs Im betting is something that will motivate them and push them into action. They have been playing a wide open brand of hoops lately and nothing should change here at Staples tonight Note: Houston has combined with their opponents to average of 250+ ppg in tier L/5 games overall. Meanwhile, at this time of year teams like the Lakers are gearing up for the play offs and looking to gain momentum. I know the Lakers D has been key to their successes this season, but they also need to generate some offense , and will push forward here aggressively either out of need or greed which will see this tilt turn into a higher scoring game than the pundits might expect.HOUSTON in 7 games as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points this season have seen a combined average of 245 ppg scored.Over is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 overall. Play OVER |
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| 05-12-21 | Spurs v. Nets UNDER 233 | 116-128 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
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The Nets continue to play a much better brand of hoops of late as they pay special attention to their defensive responsibilities as the play offs approach. After playing last night the Nets will not be in a run and gun formation anyway and their tired legs could easily see them trying to grind this game down a bit to a slower pace vs the Spurs which should limit wide open back forth action which will relate to a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Nets are 5-1 UNDER L/6 games. The Nets are 0-11 L/11 UNDER at home off a win in a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 199.1 ppg going on the board. Under is 16-5 L/21 meetings in Brooklyn. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 25-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 28-10 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 05-11-21 | Nets v. Bulls UNDER 233 | 115-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
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The Chicago Bulls are playing a strong brand of defensive hoops of late holding three straight opponents to less than 99 points, with all 3 affairs generating wins for them. Im betting that because of their recent successes that type of basketball will continue to be played tonight vs the talented high flying Brooklyn Nets which will directly effect the pace of this game. Also with the play offs approaching the Nets have noticed are staring to pay attention to a better brand of defensive hoops that has resulted in the under cashing in 8 of their L/12 overall. CHICAGO is 10-2 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents this season with a combined average of 215 ppg scored. In 33 home games this season the Bulls have seen a combined average score of 220.4 go on the score board. CHICAGO is 9-1 UNDER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season with a combined average of 214.2 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 11-3 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 214.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, on Tuesday nights are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 30-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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| 05-11-21 | Clippers v. Raptors UNDER 218 | 115-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
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Clippers are gearing up for play off basketball by playing a top tier brand of D that has resulted in 8 straight unders.With Toronto playing short handed here Im betting Nurse will employ a conservative posture that will see a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. TORONTO is 13-1 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 206.9 ppg scored.TORONTO is 20-7 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.3 ppg. Play UNDER |
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| 05-10-21 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 227.5 | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
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Golden States Curry has averaged 37.7 per game in his past 15 contests as the Warriors offense goes into warp speed when he is on the floor behind the leagues 2nd ranked pace. Meanwhile, Utah a team that ranks 1st in ppg offense in the league is more than capable of responding with offensive fireworks of their own, which Im betting will deliver a higher scoring affair that will see this totals number eclipsed. Over is 4-1-1 in Jazz last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Warriors/ Jazz 6-0 OVER L/6 meetings . The last 2 meetings this season, have seen 235 and 250 combined points go on the board. Play on the OVER |
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| 05-09-21 | Knicks v. Clippers UNDER 215 | 106-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
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The Clippers recently completed a three-game season sweep over their crosstown rivals, rolling the Los Angeles Lakers 118-94 on Thursday and its obvious their defense is rolling in top gear, and knowing the Knicks opus operandi is based on top tier defense and nothing changes today as Im betting on a low scoring grinder. NEW YORK in 62 games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season have seen a combined average of 211.9 ppg scored. The Knicks are 0-12 UNDER L/12 with rest coming off a loss in which they led by double digits. NEW YORK is 19-8 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 52-24 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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| 05-09-21 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 222 | 130-124 | Win | 100 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
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The Celtics are 16-0 OVER L/16 off a road loss in a in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes with a combined average of 236 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - off an upset loss of 15 points or more as a road favorite are 27-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.
Play OVER |
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| 05-08-21 | Nets v. Nuggets UNDER 231.5 | 125-119 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
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Denver has the 9th ranked ppg defense in the NBA and owns the 26th ranked pace. So needless to say they are fairly methodical in their approach considering their successes. Nothing will change tonight at home in the Mile High city against a talented Nets group that despite of being able to put points on the board in bunches knows playing a better brand of defense as the post season approaches is very important. With that said, Im betting that this game will see some special attention to playing good transitional hoops which will reflect a muted response on the score board then the pundits might expect. BROOKLYN is 8-1 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 225.2 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 24-11 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored in those 35 titls. DENVER is 10-1 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 214.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 05-08-21 | Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 227 | 116-124 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
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Houston has been opening up of late, and are off a big time back and forth tilt vs Milwaukee last time out losing by a 141-131 count. However today Im betting on regression from the Rockets offense and energy depletion to rare its ugly head as they play their 5th game in 8 nights. Meanwhile, Utah is off a hard fought tilt vs Denver last night, and will also find them selves playing on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state which Im betting produces a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 23-11-1 in Rockets last 35 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. HOUSTON is 25-6 UNDER L/31 vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 203.5 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 22-12 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored. UTAH is 13-5 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - a very good team (7 or more PPG diff.) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 25-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play UNDER |
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| 05-08-21 | Spurs v. Blazers UNDER 233 | 102-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
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Spurs are on tired legs as they play their 4th straight road game in 7 days and off a game last night. That will effect their pace, vs a Portland side that has allowed their opposition 109 points or less in 4 of their L/6 games. The Spurs are 0-14 UNDER L/14 off a game as a favorite in which they committed fewer than 15 fouls. Under is 7-2 in Trail Blazers last 9 games as a home favorite. Under is 9-3 in Trail Blazers last 12 home games. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, tired team - playing their 4th road game in 7 days are 60-28 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 05-06-21 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 228.5 | 97-118 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
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Oklahoma City rank dead last in the NBA in offensive efficiency , and have failed to eclipse the 99 point threshold in 4 of their L/6 overall while Golden State despite of super star Curry in the lineup are ranked 23rd in offensive efficiency. When these teams played back in the middle of April the Warriors put 147 points on the board vs the Thunder, and now in the return matchup Ok City will out be looking to slow this game down to a crawl which Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the pundits might expect. Note: In that game where the Warriors pounded 147 points on the board the Thunder shot just over 25% from the Field and just 56% from the charity stripe. Advantage under.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-9 UNDER in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 216 ppg scored in those tilts.OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-9 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.2 ppg. These teams have gone under 10 straight times here in Oakland. Play UNDER |
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| 05-05-21 | Wizards v. Bucks OVER 242 | 134-135 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
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Washingtons offense remains consistent and explosive and there have been few to any regressions after big offensive outputs like the one they just had against Indiana winning a 151-141 slugfest. The Wizards rank 1st in pace 4th in ppg offense and 29th in ppg defense, Needless to say their style of hoops bases its successes and failures on run and gun basketball with a no prisoners attitude on display and nothing will change here tonight vs a Bucks team that can put a bucketload full of points on the board as well, via a offense that ranks 1st in ppg offense in the NBA , behind the 3rd ranked pace and 21st ranked ppg. defense . After playing last night, the Bucks will be on tired legs, so Washington will push with extreme prejudice, which Im betting leads to an all out back and forth tilt that will see very little defense played. First team to 130 points wins. WASHINGTON is 9-0 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 250.2 ppg going on the score board. Four of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this total .Over is 7-1 in Bucks last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 7-0 in Wizards last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. Play OVER |
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| 05-05-21 | Suns v. Hawks OVER 227.5 | 103-135 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
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Atlanta ranks 9th in the league in offensive efficiency and 22nd in defensive efficiency while the Phoenix Suns rank 7th in offensive efficiency and from a head to head stand point Im betting on that efficiency and lack of it on the Hawks part will lead us over the total in this contest. ATLANTA is 9-1 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 238.9 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 8-0 OVER versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 233.9 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 9-1 OVER versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season with a combined average 232.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ATLANTA) - after a combined score of 235 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 84-54 OVER L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHOENIX) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against a good shooting team (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 56-35 OVER L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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| 05-04-21 | Warriors v. Pelicans UNDER 235 | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
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Golden State played last night against this same Pelicans side and beat them 123-108. Both sides looked motivated, but some exhaustion issues were evident. Im betting both these sides, will once again have a hard time finding their legs here in this late season battle and the combined score will end up on the lower side of the offered total. Golden State has gone under in 6 of their L/8 while New Orleans has gone under in 5 of their L/6. GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 UNDER in road games when playing on back-to-back days this season with a combined average of 211.4 ppg going on the board. GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 UNDER when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days this season with a combined average of 212 ppg going on the board. GOLDEN STATE is 11-1 UNDER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season with a combined average of 219.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games are 56-29 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. |
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| 05-03-21 | Magic v. Pistons OVER 210 | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
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Orlando has gone over in 9 of their L/11 overall and with nothing left to play for should play looser and just look to pad stats. 'Im betting on Detroit also opening up in the same fashion and for this tilt to eclipse the total. Over is 5-1 in Magic last 6 games as an underdog. Over is 21-10-1 in Pistons last 32 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. ORLANDO is 10-1 OVER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.9 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 8-0 OVER after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more this season with a combined average of 233.2 ppg scored. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Detroit. Play OVER |
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| 05-02-21 | Knicks v. Rockets UNDER 217.5 | 122-97 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
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With nothing left to play for Im betting the Rockets will run here with wreck-less abandon but the Knicks will not allow this game to be wide open and will be out to control the pace. The Knicks own both the top ppg defense and the slowest pace in the league and Im betting their will to make this a grinding affair will outwill the Rockets need to rack up stats. With that said, Im betting on a lower scoring affair that will not eclipse this total. NEW YORK is 9-0 UNDER L/9 in road games after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games with a combined average of 195.5 ppg scored.NEW YORK is 9-0 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 192.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, a terrible team (25% or less ) playing a team with a winning record are 29-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 05-02-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 243.5 | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
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Both sides can score, that is an obvious point. However, this tilt Im betting will be a hard fought physical play off affair as both sides look to send a pre play off message to each other. BROOKLYN is 16-5 UNDER L/21 in road games vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or more of their attempts with a combined average of 207 ppg. MILWAUKEE is 17-5 UNDER in home games off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 05-01-21 | Heat v. Cavs OVER 208 | 124-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
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My projections estimate that this total should be closer to 212 which gives us more than a 1 possession advantage on this total to the over. MIAMI is 10-0 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.5 ppg scored. MIAMI is 15-5 OVER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 overall.Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as a favorite.Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 PPG or less differential), after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games are 24-3 OVER L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - in a game involving two struggling defensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games 36-11 OVER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER |
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| 05-01-21 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 232.5 | 113-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
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Golden State is no longer a team that can just beat up on opponents behind an explosive offense as they only rank 21st in offensive rating and as a result their defense has had to ramp itself up as is evident in ranking 9th in defensive rating. Meanwhile, they now go against a Rockets side that rank 27th in offensive rating. I know both sides like to run at a faster pace their efficiencies and deficiencies dictate uneven proficiency from a offensive standpoint giving us value with an under wager on this offered totals number. The Rockets are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a home dog coming off a home win with a combined average of 207.4 ppg. HOUSTON is 21-11 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 222 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 24-13 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 224.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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| 04-30-21 | Spurs v. Celtics OVER 219.5 | 140-143 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
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The Celtics are increasing their pace and offensive aggressiveness of late and have gone over in 3 straight games, and Im betting they will press the action again and turn this into a scoring fest. The Spurs are 13-0-1 OVER L/14 as a dog with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers. SAN ANTONIO is 27-15 OVER in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 41-28 OVER (+10.2 Units) when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.4 ppg scored. BOSTON is 21-9 OVER after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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| 04-29-21 | Pelicans v. Thunder UNDER 231 | 109-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
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The Pelicans have gone under in 3 straight games and have played good defence of late, and Im betting they remain on the path here tonight vs a Thunder side that is ranked 28th in ppg offence this season. Van Gundy is 22-9 UNDER in road games off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog in all games he has coached with a combined average of 192.7 ppg scored. The Thunder are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a dog coming off a win in which they had more turnovers than assists with a combined average of 199.9 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-21 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored. NBA team (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off a close road loss of 3 points or less are 38-13 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 04-29-21 | Nets v. Pacers UNDER 240 | 130-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
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Indiana after allowing +130 points last time out in a lopsided loss will try to get back to defensive basics here this evening vs the run and gun Nets which Im betting will be deflating to this combined score to to low side of the offered totals number. Note: Pacers Domantas Sabonis is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Brooklyn ( Back ) and this Im betting effects positive flow for the Pacers and will directly impact offensive output, making playing a better brand of D of utmost importance. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more are 33-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 04-28-21 | Spurs v. Heat OVER 213 | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
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My projections make this total closer to 217. Great value here with an over wager if generalities play out. The Spurs are 12-0-1 OVER L/13 as a dog with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers last game with the average combined score clicking in at 237 ppg. MIAMI is 11-2 OVER in home games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.5 ppg scored. MIAMI is 15-4 OVER in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.6 ppg scored. MIAMI is 23-9 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 154-95 OVER L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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| 04-28-21 | Hornets v. Celtics OVER 215 | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
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Charlotte lost 114-104 to Milwaukee last night, and susceptible to being trampled on by their hosts tonight, which will have them in chase mode which bodes well in a garbage time scenario for an over wager to cash . My projections estimate that the Celtics will put close to 117 points on the board with Charlotte projected to put 103 points on the scoreboard. Which gives us a full possession advantage on this total. Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games as a favorite. CHARLOTTE is 9-0 OVER in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 239.4 ppg scored. Borrego is 15-2 OVER in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games as the coach of CHARLOTTE with a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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| 04-28-21 | Magic v. Cavs OVER 210 | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
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Orlando has gone over in 7 of their L/8 games and Im betting on a more uptempo game than the first two meetings in this series back in January. Advantage over. ORLANDO is 25-7 OVER versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 9-1 OVER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 7-0 OVER after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more this season with a combined average of 236 ppg scored. CLEVELAND is 23-12 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a losing record are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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| 04-27-21 | Wolves v. Rockets UNDER 235 | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
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This number stood out to me from an eye test, and then my projections verified my initial observation . Value to the under. HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better this season. HOUSTON is 20-10 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 220.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 225 points or more are 29-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - off a home win against a division rival, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 26-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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| 04-27-21 | Nets v. Raptors UNDER 233 | 116-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
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The Raptors may not be a championship quality team anymore but they still are well coached and have the ability to slow explosive sides the Nets down . After playing last night the Raptors are on tired legs so they wont be in any shape to run and gun here, and with the Nets off a hard fought run and gun win vs the Suns last time out, I expect they will be in a letdown situation , which will also contribute to a lower combined score than anticipated. TORONTO is 15-4 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 115 points or more are 35-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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| 04-27-21 | Thunder v. Celtics OVER 214.5 | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
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Boston is off a loss last time out and will have little mercy here vs the Thunder tonight. That will have the thunder operating and catchup zone all night which will help this combined score go over the total. The Celtics are 14-0-1 OVER L/15 coming off a road loss where they had at least 30% of their points on threes with a combined average of 236 ppg scored. BOSTON is 14-4 OVER in home games after allowing 120 points or more over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 13-4 OVER off a road loss this season. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after scoring 90 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games are 54-29 OVER L/5 seasons, for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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| 04-25-21 | Suns v. Nets UNDER 233 | 119-128 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
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The Suns last time out, looked fatigued from the quick turnaround after playing Philadelphia, were also outr-ebounded 48-38 by the Celtics in 99-86 loss. Im betting that exhaustion will continue permeate today and that they will be more interested in slowing this game down vs the fast paced Nets , to remain competitive which Im betting directly effects the combined score. Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Brooklyn. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 93-39 UNDER L/24 seasons for 71% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 04-23-21 | Celtics v. Nets UNDER 225.5 | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
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Boston has gone under in 10 of their L/15 and will be primed to slow things down vs the high flying run and gun Nets here this evening in revenge mode for a 121-109 loss back in March. This Im betting results in a lower combined score than the offered total. BROOKLYN is 12-2 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.2 ppg. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 214.5 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 115-68 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 65-39 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 04-22-21 | Pistons v. Spurs OVER 216 | 91-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
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This total is based on a projection prognosis which is based on how both teams matchup against each other . This one is simple, as my number suggests this total should be closer to 219 giving us a full possession of value. The Pistons are 16-0 OVER L/16 as a 8+ point dog after allowed at least 45 points in the paint and being outscored in the paint last game with a combined average of 235 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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| 04-21-21 | Heat v. Spurs UNDER 215.5 | 107-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
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Miami successes and failures are based on how ell they play defence. They rank 3rd in ppg allowed , and just. 26th in ppg offensive output and the 28th ranked pace. Meanwhile, San Antonio ranks 20th in ppg offence, and 12 in ppg defence behind a 15 ranked pace. With that said, the numbers suggest we will get a game that sees a combined score in the lower range of 215 number being offered. .Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. MIAMI is 15-7 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored. The Heat are 0-10 UNDER L/10 going under by more than 20 ppg on average on the road coming off a win. Under is 11-4 in Spurs last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Play UNDER |
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| 04-19-21 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 234.5 | 128-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
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The Suns were completely asleep at the wheel in their last trip to the hardwood losing a 111-85 decision at home to the Spurs. Could they have been looking ahead to this top tier tilt? Whatever the situation was, Im expecting a rebound here, and special attention played to playing top tier defensive effort. PHOENIX is 17-3 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more. The Bucks HC Budenholzer is 111-78 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached with the combined average of 208.5 ppg scored. Its obvious both teams can light it up, but top tier D, will be on display tonight in this EAST vs WEST slugfest. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHOENIX) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| NBA Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 11-14-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 209 | 95-124 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
| 11-09-21 | Hawks v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 98-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
| 11-08-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 214 | 92-108 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
| 11-07-21 | Bucks v. Wizards OVER 221 | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
| 11-04-21 | 76ers v. Pistons OVER 208.5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
| 11-03-21 | Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 215.5 | 126-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
| 11-01-21 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 217.5 | 128-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
| 10-31-21 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 219.5 | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
| 10-30-21 | Knicks v. Pelicans UNDER 215 | 123-117 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
| 10-29-21 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 205.5 | 109-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
| 10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 228 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
| 10-28-21 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 222.5 | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
| 10-26-21 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 224 | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
| 10-25-21 | Magic v. Heat OVER 213.5 | 90-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
| 10-24-21 | Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 224.5 | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
| 10-23-21 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 223 | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
| 10-22-21 | Suns v. Lakers UNDER 222.5 | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
| 10-22-21 | Hornets v. Cavs UNDER 225.5 | 123-112 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
| 10-20-21 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 218.5 | 134-138 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
| 07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 218.5 | 123-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
| 07-14-21 | Suns v. Bucks OVER 220 | 103-109 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 14 m | Show | |
| 07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 219 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
| 07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 217 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 38 h 58 m | Show | |
| 06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 218.5 | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
| 06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226 | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
| 06-23-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226.5 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
| 06-20-21 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 221.5 | 114-120 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
| 06-18-21 | 76ers v. Hawks UNDER 221.5 | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
| 06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
| 06-15-21 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 217 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
| 06-14-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 104-118 | Win | 101 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
| 06-13-21 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 222 | 125-118 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
| 06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 223.5 | 106-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
| 06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks OVER 224.5 | 127-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
| 06-10-21 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 221 | 111-117 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
| 06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 234.5 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
| 06-09-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 222 | 98-123 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
| 06-08-21 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 220.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
| 06-08-21 | Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 223 | 102-118 | Win | 101 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
| 06-07-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 219.5 | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
| 06-07-21 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 234 | 86-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
| 06-06-21 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 209.5 | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
| 06-05-21 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 239.5 | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
| 06-04-21 | Clippers v. Mavs OVER 216.5 | 104-97 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
| 06-03-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 207 | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
| 06-02-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 225 | 110-126 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
| 06-02-21 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 229.5 | 112-129 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
| 06-01-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 226 | 140-147 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
| 05-31-21 | 76ers v. Wizards UNDER 230 | 114-122 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
| 05-30-21 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 209.5 | 100-92 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
| 05-30-21 | Knicks v. Hawks UNDER 209.5 | 96-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
| 05-29-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies UNDER 224 | 121-111 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
| 05-29-21 | 76ers v. Wizards OVER 227 | 132-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
| 05-28-21 | Nets v. Celtics OVER 227 | 119-125 | Win | 101 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
| 05-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 218 | 129-141 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
| 05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers UNDER 231 | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
| 05-24-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | 109-128 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
| 05-23-21 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 213 | 90-99 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
| 05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
| 05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards OVER 237 | 115-142 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
| 05-19-21 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 222.5 | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
| 05-18-21 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 233 | 100-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
| 05-16-21 | Heat v. Pistons OVER 217 | 120-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
| 05-15-21 | Lakers v. Pacers UNDER 226.5 | 122-115 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
| 05-15-21 | Bulls v. Nets UNDER 235 | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
| 05-13-21 | Blazers v. Suns OVER 231.5 | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
| 05-13-21 | 76ers v. Heat OVER 218.5 | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
| 05-12-21 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 223 | 122-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
| 05-12-21 | Spurs v. Nets UNDER 233 | 116-128 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
| 05-11-21 | Nets v. Bulls UNDER 233 | 115-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
| 05-11-21 | Clippers v. Raptors UNDER 218 | 115-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
| 05-10-21 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 227.5 | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
| 05-09-21 | Knicks v. Clippers UNDER 215 | 106-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
| 05-09-21 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 222 | 130-124 | Win | 100 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
| 05-08-21 | Nets v. Nuggets UNDER 231.5 | 125-119 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
| 05-08-21 | Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 227 | 116-124 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
| 05-08-21 | Spurs v. Blazers UNDER 233 | 102-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
| 05-06-21 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 228.5 | 97-118 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
| 05-05-21 | Wizards v. Bucks OVER 242 | 134-135 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
| 05-05-21 | Suns v. Hawks OVER 227.5 | 103-135 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
| 05-04-21 | Warriors v. Pelicans UNDER 235 | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
| 05-03-21 | Magic v. Pistons OVER 210 | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
| 05-02-21 | Knicks v. Rockets UNDER 217.5 | 122-97 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
| 05-02-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 243.5 | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
| 05-01-21 | Heat v. Cavs OVER 208 | 124-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
| 05-01-21 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 232.5 | 113-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
| 04-30-21 | Spurs v. Celtics OVER 219.5 | 140-143 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
| 04-29-21 | Pelicans v. Thunder UNDER 231 | 109-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
| 04-29-21 | Nets v. Pacers UNDER 240 | 130-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
| 04-28-21 | Spurs v. Heat OVER 213 | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
| 04-28-21 | Hornets v. Celtics OVER 215 | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
| 04-28-21 | Magic v. Cavs OVER 210 | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
| 04-27-21 | Wolves v. Rockets UNDER 235 | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
| 04-27-21 | Nets v. Raptors UNDER 233 | 116-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
| 04-27-21 | Thunder v. Celtics OVER 214.5 | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
| 04-25-21 | Suns v. Nets UNDER 233 | 119-128 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
| 04-23-21 | Celtics v. Nets UNDER 225.5 | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
| 04-22-21 | Pistons v. Spurs OVER 216 | 91-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
| 04-21-21 | Heat v. Spurs UNDER 215.5 | 107-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
| 04-19-21 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 234.5 | 128-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
