The Cleveland Cavaliers are now in full attack mode after throttling the Raptors 115-84 in game 1 of this series  and than smashing them again by DDs in game 2- 108-89. Now despite of the change in venues Im betting the Raptors as hosts still wont be able to stop the explosive Cavaliers , as they are still tired from their two exhausting  opening round series vs Indiana and Miami. With that said, look for the well rested Cavs to  continue to rock the house offensively again in game 3 and for the Raptors to chase again, which will eventually see this combined score easily eclipse the beatable Total.

Over is 11-4 in Cavaliers last 15 Conference Finals games.  Over is 24-6 in Raptors last 30 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points

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The Cleveland Cavaliers are now in full attack mode after throttling the Raptors 115-84 in game 1 of this series  and Im betting the Raptors wont be able to stop them again, as they are still tired from their two opening round series vs Indiana and Miami. With that said, look for the well rested Cavs to rock the house offensively again in game 2 and for the Raptors to chase again, which will eventually see this combined score easily eclipse the beatable Total. Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 24-5 in Raptors last 29 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Over is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 11-3 in Cavaliers last 14 Conference Finals games.Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

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The Heat have morphed as this season has progressed and have gone , from a big, bruising team to an undersized, speedy one, with Dwayne Wade looking like a 19 yr old again. Actually both teams are looking different , but today I feel we will see the Raptors Rozen and Lowry at their best in a game that I am betting will be much speedier than many pundits expect. Both Raptors players have picked up their offense in the last couple of games and that in part is why I can see this total being eclipsed. Im also expecting a fairly close game, which adds to my thoughts on a combined score that eclipses this number.

Over is 13-6 in Heat last 19 Conference Semifinals games,Over is 23-5 in Raptors last 28 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

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Recent games in this series have become very methodical and physical and obviously low scoring.  I know Hassan Whiteside, is not expected to play tonight for the Heat, but in the recent past the Heat have shown a propensity to actually be better defensively without him, despite of media proliferation of the opposite. If your a close watcher of the Heat, this exact concept , despite of being hard to grasp has been tackled on various radio shows, and some of the numbers during the current season suggest support for this.  Also from the Raptors side, it seems key cogs, Lowry and DeRozan are struggling offensively, and the team as a whole is relying on D to be their catalysts. With that said, I expect both teams to take part in another conservative affair and a combined score that fails to eclipse the Total. 

Under is 8-1 in Heat last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-2 in Raptors last 12 overall.Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 road games.

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The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to play the San Antonio Spurs in game 5 of their NBA 2nd round series this Tuesday night. The Thunder in game 4, won a 111-97 decision at home to even the series at 2 games a piece. In that  game the Thunder exerted alot of emotional energy. Needless to say, it won't be easy playing at that level again , vs a Spurs side that is dead set on getting back to solid physical defensive performances and shutting down the Thunders momentum and offensive cohesiveness. Oklahoma City's 111-97 victory ranked among the most points that an opposing team has scored against the Spurs in any of Popovich's 254 playoff games.Spurs HC  Popovich and company have traded offensive rebounds for their usually staunch transition defense, and this I'm betting stops here. The above situations will translate into a much slower and physical defensive game than many might now think possible. The linesmakers agree with my assessments, with a 199.5 Total, but there is still room for a value under play in this spot in a game Im predicting combines to not eclipse the low 190s.

Under is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and they are 5-1 under in their L/6 home games, and 20-8 in their L/28 Western Conference affairs. Under is 5-2 L/7 meetings.

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The Portland Trailblazers host the Golden State Warriors in a game that I am betting will be fast paced and full throttle .  The linesmakers agree with my assessment, as they have raised the opening number on the total from game 3, a full three points. It's no mystery that the young Blazers play their best hoops at home behind a no fear take no prisoners attitude, as was evident in their game 3 victory here by a 120-108 count, eclispig the set total by 17 points. Portland also played  more effeciently than  defending champs for almost 42 of the 48 minutes in Game 2, and will once again be a force to be dealt with as was the case in a , 137-105 thrashing of the Warriors in  regular-season victory Feb. 19 . With that said it must be noted that five of Portland's starters can capably advance the ball, and will consistently key spot-up looks for Lillard and McCollum. Meanwhile, we all know what the Dubs can do offensively, especially if forced into a small ball lineup, which is what I'm betting happens  again today. Note: Portland's owns the 2nd worst Defensive rating with  105.6 points  allowed per 100 possessions, from teams left in this years play offs. Over is 9-0 in . Blazers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Portland.

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 The Portland Trailblazers host the Golden State Warriors in a game that I am betting will be fast paced and full throttle  . It's no mystery that the young Blazers play their best hoops at home behind a no fear take no prisoners attitude. Portland played  more effeciently that  defending champs for almost 42 of the 48 minutes in Game 2, and will once again be a force to be dealt with as was the case in a , 137-105 thrashing of the Warriors in  regular-season victory Feb. 19 . With that said it must be noted that five of Portland's starters can capably advance the ball, and will consistently key spot-up looks for Lillard and McCollum. Meanwhile, we all know what the Dubs can do offensively, especially if forced into a small ball lineup, which is what I'm betting happens today. Note: Portland's owns the 2nd worst Defensive rating with  105.6 points  allowed per 100 possessions, from teams left in this years play offs.

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Game 1 of this series featuring the Raptors and the Miami Heat featured some hardcore physical defensive basketball and some bad shooting from some key players on both sides that resulted in a lower scoring affair that saw the scoreboard flash a  90-87 score favoring Miami with nearly no time on the clock when Toronto's Lowry hit a Hail Mary to send the game to OT. The game eventually eclipsed the Total, and despite a repeat extra time game, there is value here with taking the under.  I know the Raptors started a small lineup in game 1, and want o push the pace, but the Heat, will want to do the opposite and I feel they can slow this game down with Whiteside being a key defensive cog for the Heat. 

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Charlotte has played some tremendous basketball against the Miami Heat in this opening round NBA play off series, but failed in their attempt to oust the Heat in game 6 as Dwayne Wade looked like a 20 year old again, and brought everything to save the Heat and force a game 7. Now I expect an extremely high energy game this Sunday, in a contest that I am betting will be much higher scoring than many of the pundits anticpate. As we now get a value number to bet into because the last four meetings were so defensive and physical ain nature. I'm betting both teams leave everything on floor and total combined score soars over this posted Total. Over is 5-1 in Hornets last 6 road games.Over is 8-2 in Hornets last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Miami.

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Oklahoma City averaged 112 points in the series against the Mavericks - including 122.7 over the last three games and rolling. San Antonio despite of their top tier defense abilities, will I am betting still have to do some scoring tonight, against a uptempo opponent. This will eventually lead to a score that will be eclipsed. Over is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 road games.Over is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

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With Curry injured for Golden State they have to pay more attention to defense, and are more than capable of a top tier effort in that regard, as is evident behind a 5th ranked NBA defensive rating ie (for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 posessions.) Im betting that Golden State comes out here in more physical fashion, and slow down a Houston side that just wants to run and gun. This I am betting will result in a lower scoring tilt than many of the pundits might expect. It must be noted that in the five games that the Warriors have played without Curry this season they averaged 10.2 fewer points than their season average on offense.

Under is 6-2 in Rockets last 8 road games. Under is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.

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