40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 136.5) 

I'll take my chances with St. Mary's and Arizona State flying past the total of 136.5 in tonight's neutral site matchup in Phoenix. OVER is 6-1 in St. Mary's last 7 games as they continue to light it up from deep. The Gaels are No. 1 in the country in 3-point percentage, hitting 43.8% of their outside shots and average 9-made 3's a game. Arizona State has scored 70+ in four straight and just put up 79 last time out against Georgia. St Mary's defense has struggled of late. Last time out they let Cal shoot 50% and put 77 points. The game before they allowed 53.8% shooting an 78 points to Dayton on a neutral site. I just feel there's a really good chance both teams get to 70-points. Give me the OVER 136.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 218.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 218.5 in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Grizzlies visiting the Thunder. This is not your Grizzlies from the last decade. Memphis is pushing the pace behind rookie point guard Ja Morant, who has really been playing well. Grizzlies have posted two of their best offensive ratings in their last two games. Memphis loves to get out in transition and that's one area OKC is struggling. Thunder 30th in PPP allowed in transition. On the flip side the Grizzlies are not a good defensive team. They are giving up 114.5 ppg on the road nad while OKC's offense isn't great, they are averaging 112.7 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 130.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 130.5 as Cincinnati hosts Tennessee. Both of these teams are built around their defense and this is a huge game for both teams in trying to build up that postseason resume. Not to mention both teams are coming off a loss. Vols are only giving up 55.3 ppg and that's against teams that average 71.1 ppg. Cincy only averages 73.9 ppg. Bearcats are giving up 63.4 ppg and Tennessee only averages 68.6 ppg. I think there's a full 10-points of value with this total. Give me the UNDER 130.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 226.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 226.5 in Tuesday's NBA matchup that has the Suns visiting the Clippers. These two teams played at Phoenix earlier this season and combined for 152 points with the two combining for 28 made 3-pointers and 58 made free throws. Suns will finally get back DeAndre Ayton from his 25-game suspension and he's a big add offensively. Devin Booker is questionable, but I think he could play here. 

Also, Phoenix played a grueling game last night at home against Portland, so don't expect a big defensive effort here. Offensively this team has scored at least 108 points in 10 straight games. Clippers are scoring 116.4 ppg at home and the Suns give up 113.6 ppg on the road. LA could also come out a bit flat defensively, as they just recently finished up a 6-game road trip and have a much bigger game on deck Thursday at home against the Rockets. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

50* NCAAB NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (OVER 153) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 153 between Oklahoma and Creighton. These two teams can both light up the scoreboard. Creighton comes in averaging 78.5 ppg on 48% shooting and those numbers jump up to 83 ppg and 50% from the field at home. The offense figures to get even strong as mid-year transfer Denzel Mahoney is expected to make his debut tonight. Mahoney average 19 ppg and shot 43% from 3 last year with SE Missouri State. 

Oklahoma is scoring 76.3 ppg and only once all season have they failed to hit the 70-point mark. They should have no problem hitting that mark against a soft Creighton defense that has given up 75+ in each of their 3 games so far against a Power 5 opponent. 

OVER is 4-0 in the Sooners last 4 road games and 7-0 away from home in the month of December over the last 3 seasons. Give me the OVER 153! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 137.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 137.5 in Saturday's big non-conference game that has Michigan hosting Oregon. The Wolverines are a really good offensive team and as is the case with most teams they are much better at home. Michigan is averaging 88.4 ppg at home and last time they played at the Crisler Center they scored 103 points against Iowa. Oregon comes in scoring 78.9 ppg and are scoring 76.8 ppg in their last 5. I just think both teams are going to hit at least 70 points and if they do we cash this thing easy. Give me the OVER 137.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 223.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 223.5 in Friday's matchup that has the Hawks hosting the Pacers. Atlanta is just a great team for the OVER, as they are capable of going off on the offensive side of the ball, but play absolutely no defense. Hawks are giving up 118.8 ppg on the season and opposing teams are shooting 48% against them. Indiana is a strong offensive team and while they can be really good defensively, I don't think we get a great effort on the defensive side of the ball in this one. Pacers are fresh off a max effort in a big upset win at home over Boston and two days prior to that hosted the Clippers. They have to go play this game at Atlanta and then head right back home for 3 more at home, so really easy for them to kinda take the night off defensively against a bad Hawks team. Give me the OVER 223.5! 

50* NBA ATLANTIC DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 210.5) 

My money is on the UNDER 210.5 in Thursday's big showdown between the Celtics and 76ers. Both of these teams are trying to lay claim as the best team in the east and both are going to bring it. 76ers are not the same offensive team on the road as they are at home, while Boston is likely down one of their top scorers in Hayward. Both teams are also in some tough scheduling spots with not a lot of rest, so the pace should be even slower than it typically would. Give me the UNDER 210.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 139.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 139.5 between Mississippi State and La Tech in Thursday's college hoops action. These are two really good offensive teams. The Bulldogs are averaging 80.4 ppg and have scored at least 72 in every game. In their two step up games against Creighton and Indiana, they combined for 154 and 163 points, giving up 80+ in both matchups. Mississippi State just put up 81 on the road at Coastal Carolina and are shooting 49.7% from the field on the season. I think both teams could hit 75 in this one. Give me the OVER 139.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 233)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 233 in Thursday's NBA matchup between the 76ers and Wizards. Washington is just an ideal OVER team, as they like to push the pace and don't play any defense. Wizards are No. 1in the league in pace of play and No. 30 in defensive efficiency. With Thomas Bryant a no go for Washington, Wizards frontcourt is in big trouble here against Embiid. Note backup big man Ian Mahinmi is also out and Mortiz Wagner is questionable. I could see Philadelphia scoring 130+ in this one, but they likely only need to hit 120 for us to cash this one, as Washington is averaging 121.4 ppg at home. GIve me the OVER 233! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 144.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 144.5 between BYU and Utah. The Cougars come in ranked 26th nationally in offensive efficiency and senior Yoeli Childs will make his debut after being suspended for the first 9 games. Childs averaged 21.2 ppg and 9.7 rpg last year. Utah can also score, as they are averaging 81.4 ppg on the season and 97.7 ppg at home. They have shot a ridiculous 59.3% from the field at home and 47.9% from deep. Give me the OVER 144.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 144.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 144.5 in Tuesday's Big 10/ACC matchup between Iowa and Syracuse. This is not your usual Orange powerhouse team. They just gave up 85 to Penn State and 86 to Oklahoma State. I think the defensive woes are going to be a lingering problem and Iowa is a team that not only loves to push the pace, but score the ball effectively. I also think they got the shooters to exploit the Cuse zone defense. I got both teams easily eclipsing 70 and this thing finishing closer to 155. Take the OVER 144.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 146.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 146.5 in Monday's ACC/Big Ten challenge matchup that has Miami visiting Illinois. The Fighting Illini have the looks of one of the most improved teams in the country and are absolutely on fire offensively to start out the new season. Illinois comes in averaging 88.3 ppg and that goes up to 93.3 ppg at home. They will be facing a Miami team that has not been able to stop any quality opponent from putting up a ton of points. Hurricanes allowed 87 to Louisville, 78 to Florida and 80 to UConn. All 3 of those teams shot 53% or better from the field. I would be shocked if Illinois didn't get 80 and that means we need just 70 from Miami to get us clear of the number. Give me the OVER 146.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 226.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER. The Clippers just put on a defensive clinic last night against the Mavs and have the looks of an elite defensive team when they want to be. I don't think we get that same effort on the defensive side of the ball in the second game of a back-to-back, especially against a bad Memphis team. Grizzlies are awful defensively and I could see the Clippers scoring 125 or more here. I think we get more than enough offense from Memphis at home to push this over. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 216.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 216.5. I was on the OVER and lost in Chicago's last game, as the Pistons were a complete no-show scoring just 89 points and shooting 34% from the field. I'm not buying that being a sign of the Bulls defense turning a corner. IT's also the second time this season Chicago has held an opponent under 100 points. 

Bulls aren't the best offense, but they are playing as fast as anyone right now and I don't think we get a max effort here from Miami on the defensive side in the first game of a back-to-back with a much bigger at Philly on deck tomorrow. I do think the Heat's offense has a big game. Miami has hit 50% or better from the field in 4 straight games and will have their way against this Bulls defense. Give me the OVER 216.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 227.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 227.5 in Thursday's TNT matchup that has the Bucks hosting the Blazers. Portland's offense figures to be in a world of hurt in this one, as star point guard Damian Lillard is out with a bad back. They got no choice here but to try and slow this game down, as they simply can't go score for score with the Bucks and expect to keep it close. As for Milwaukee, I think they too will be looking to play at a slower pace given they are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and just finished up a 3-game road trip. Also, good chance this gets out of hand and I think blowouts are much more favorable to games staying under the mark. Give me the UNDER 227.5! 

50* NBA CENTRAL DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 219)

I'll gladly take my chances with the OVER 219, as I think these two could easily get into the 230's. Chicago might be a bad team, but they got some playmakers on offense and love to push the pace. Bulls have played at a 107.6 pace in their last 5 games, which is the best mark in the league over that span. Chicago loves to attack in transition and the Pistons are one of the worst at defending in transition. Bulls also have a bad defense. Chicago is giving up 111.3 ppg and 115 over their last 5. Detroit is averaging 111.2 ppg over their last 5 and giving up 112 ppg. Give me the OVER 219! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 208) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 208. I just think we are going to see a very slow paced game and both of these teams are strong defensively. Magic play at one of the slowest paces in the league and the Raptors pace of play has been on the decline, largely because they haven't had Kyle Lowry in the lineup. He's still out. Toronto has gone 6 straight games holding opponents to 44% or worse from the field and are facing a Magic team that is only scoring 98.5 ppg on the road this season. These two played back on 10/28 and combined for just 199 and I wouldn't be surprised if they stayed below the 200 mark in this one. Give me the UNDER 208! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 140.5)

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 140.5 in tonight's big college hoops matchup between Oklahoma and Oregon State. Both of these teams are really strong on the defensive side of the ball. It's why the total is what it is when Oklahoma is averaging 78 ppg and Oregon State is scoring 83.5 ppg. UNDER is 13-3 in the Sooners last 16 non-conference games and 13-4 in the Beavers last 17 after scoring 75 or more in 2 straight games. Give me the UNDER 140.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 234) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 234. No reason to overthink this one. The OVER is almost an automatic play with the Pelicans right now. OVER is 6-1 in New Orleans' first 7 games, as they are scoring 119 ppg and giving up 124 ppg. Pelicans love to push the pace and should be flying up and down the court here coming off 3 days of rest. Toronto also has fresh legs, as they will be playing just their 3rd game in the last 9 days. Give me the OVER 234! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 236)

I'll take my chances with the OVER 236 in Monday's NBA tilt between Golden State and New Orleans. Both of these teams love to play up-tempo, as each ranks in the Top 10 in pace of play. Both are also poor defensively, ranking in the bottom 10 in defensive efficiency. You don't get a much better combo than that for a high-scoring game. Give me the OVER 236! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 222)

I'll gladly take the OVER at just 222 in tonight's game between Chicago and Memphis. The Bulls are going to be a great OVER team with all that offensive talent. They didn't have anywhere close to their best game and still put up 125 in their opener. Defense will be a problem. They let the Hornets shoot 23 of 44 (52%) from deep. Memphis only scored 101 in their opener, but only had 41 in the 2nd half. That was on the road against a good Miami team. They will be better at home. Give me the OVER 222! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 227.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Friday's matchup between the Hornets and Wolves. I was shocked at how well Charlotte shot the ball from deep in their opener against the Bulls. Some of that was bad defense by Chicago, but you don't make 23 3-pointers on accident. Half of the HOrnets shots were 3's and they had 3 different guys make 5 or more. Minnesota to me is the ideal over team with the talent they got on offense and the lack of defense that is played. Minnesota put up 43 3-pointers in their opener against the Nets. BET THE OVER 227.5!

50* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 232.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 232.5 in tonight's matchup between the Suns and Kings.   A ton of young talent on both of these rosters and one thing young teams struggle with is playing defense, especially in games that don't matter this early in the season. Not to mention, these two were playing at two of the fastest paces in the preseason, so the tempo is going to be ideal for a high-scoring game. BET THE OVER 232.5! 

40* NBA (OVER 210)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in tonight's Central Division showdown between the Pacers and Pistons. Indiana was really pushing the pace this preseason and I don't think the Pistons are going to slow them down on their home floor. Detroit will be without Griffin, but I still think they got enough shooters to push this thing over the small total. BET THE OVER 210! 

50* NBA OPENING NIGHT MAX BET WINNER  (Over 231) 

You can't read a ton from preseason games, but one thing I like to look at is pace. Both these teams ranked in the Top 5 in pace of play this preseason. I think without Kawhi the Raptors will be looking to push the pace a lot more, as they need those easy buckets in transition. As for the Pelicans, they are a young group of kids that want to fly up and down the floor. No Zion no problem, there's a lot more talent than him on this team. They got a lot of guys who can shoot the 3. I got both teams reaching 120 in this one. BET THE OVER 231! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 216) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER  in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. I know we just saw these two fly past the total in Game 3, but that was simply a result of the Warriors not bringing the energy on the defensive side of the ball. Raptors were getting way too many layups, which in turn upped their confidence and I believe led to them going 17-38 (44%) from deep. They were +5 on 3-pointers over the Warriors. They were just 11-38 (29%) in Game 2, so we should expect to see regression from Game 3. Golden State can't go down 3-1 with 2 of the next 3 in Toronto. They have to win, which means max effort defensively. I think the same applies for the Raptors. If they are serious about dethroning the champs they need to win this game with Durant out and Thompson at less than 100%. Give me the UNDER! 

50* RAPTORS/WARRIORS GAME 3 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 213.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER in Game 3. It took an unthinkable scoring drought at the end of Game 2 for that to stay UNDER the total. I think that has a lot of people going back to the OVER in Game 3. Not me. Durant has already been ruled out and I think there's a decent chance that Klay Thompson doesn't play or plays at way less than 100%. We saw how hard it was for the Warriors to score once Thompson went out and I think the effort is going to be there for Toronto, especially on the defensive end. I could easily see both teams not getting to 100 points. Give me the UNDER 213.5! 

50* BUCKS/RAPTORS GAME 6 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 212.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Game 6. We cashed in an easy winner on the UNDER in Game 5 and I think we are going to see a very similar type of game tonight. I could actually see it being even more low scoring. Raptors defense has been great all playoffs and Milwaukee has no choice but to give everything they got on that side of the ball facing elimination. Easily see both teams fail to get to 100 points. Give me the UNDER 212.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 216.5) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER in Game 5 of the Raptors/Bucks series. The last 3 in the series have gone OVER the total, but two of those were results of blowouts and the other is a game that went to double-overtime. I just think with the thing tied 2-2 and how good these two teams are defensively, we are going to see this thing stay well below the number here. I wouldn't be shocked at all if both teams failed to reach 100 points. Give me the UNDER 216.5! 

50* BUCKS/RAPTORS GAME 4 VEGAS TOP PLAY (Under 217.5) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER in Game 4. Each of the last two in the series have gone OVER the total, but Game 3 going over was a joke. It was 96-96 at the end of regulation, which is a total of 192. The two teams proceeded to score 38 more points in two overtime periods to finish with 230. As much as people want to focus on the offensive stars, these are two elite defensive teams and this game is massive, as we either have the Bucks go up 3-1 or Toronto tie it up at 2-2. Both teams are going to bring it tonight. Give me the UNDER 217.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 209.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Raptors and 76ers staying UNDER the total in Game 7. I honestly don't think either team is going to reach 100 points. Keep in mind that in the first 3 games played in Toronto, Philadelphia has managed to score just 95, 94 and 89 points. The 76ers defense has been hit or miss, but we know we are getting a max effort in a winner take all scenario. Give me the UNDER 209.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 214.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Game 4 on Sunday. These two have stayed UNDER the total in each of the first 3 games of the series and the UNDER is 7-1 in Toronto's 8 playoff games and 6-2 in the 76ers 8 games. Philadelphia seems to have figured out this Raptors offense and it just got easier with Siakam unlikely to play. As for Toronto's defense, the energy wasn't where it needed to be in Game 3. I'm pretty confident the intensity will be there as they try to avoid going down 3-1 and tie this thing up at 2-2 going back to Toronto. Give me the UNDER 214.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 219.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Game 2 between the Nuggets and Blazers. These two flew past the total in Game 1, as both teams shot better than 50% from the field and 37% from deep. These two will have a much better understanding of what the other team wants to do offensively and this a really big game for both teams. I also don't foresee the two combining for 47 made free throws. Give me the UNDER 219.5! 

40* NBA PLAYOFFS OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 220) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Game 2 between the Celtics and Bucks. Yesterday the 76ers/Raptors UNDER 221 was my favorite play and that game ended up with a combined score of 183. Keep in mind this was after Game 1 saw just 203 points with a total around 223. 

I think there's very similar value in this play. The Bucks and 76ers combined for 202 points in Game 1, finishing well below the mark of 223. That was with the Celtics shooting a ridiculous 54% from the field. Again, they adjust the total, but only by a couple points. 

These are two very good defensive teams and no one knows how to disrupt an offense like Brad Stevens and he appears to have a pretty good game plan for Antetokounmpo. Milwaukee will match that defensive intensity in a must-win spot. Take the UNDER 220! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 221)

I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 221 in Game 2 between the 76ers and Raptors. These two teams combined for just 203 points in Game 1, which closed with a total of 223. The game stayed under the mark by 20-points, even with the two teams combining for 70 points in the 1st quarter (280 pace). The most points the Raptors have allowed in the postseason so far is 104 and that was Game 1 of the first round against the Magic. Since then they have gone 5 straight not allowing more than 96. I expect more of the same with a much better effort on the defensive side from Philly. Give me the UNDER 221! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 224.5) 

No disrespect to the rest of the league, but I think this is the best series we are going to see the entire postseason, as I firmly believe your 2019 NBA Champion will be whoever wins this series. Golden State knows they were lucky that Chris Paul got hurt last year and I think both teams really have a good understanding of what's at stake here. As much talent as these two teams have in terms of offensive playmakers, both are very strong defensively and I think we see this stay well below the mark. Give me the UNDER 224.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 223.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER at this price all day. I'm actually a bit shocked the number here is more than 220, as I think these are two elite defensive teams. In the most recent meeting, back in late February, the Bucks won by a final score of 98-97 with a total of 227. I wouldn't be shocked if both teams failed to reach 100 in this one, but even if they do we got room to work with. Give me the UNDER 223.5! 

50* VIRGINIA/TEXAS TECH SHAPR MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 118) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER, as I just don't see any reason to overthink this one. You have arguably the two best defensive teams in the country facing off. Neither team likes to push the pace and both have their limitations on the offensive side of the ball. Texas Tech only combined for 112 in their win over Michigan State and Virginia's victory over Auburn saw just 125. I think this could be really tough to watch for those that don't like defense, as I think it could be a race to 50 points. Give me the UNDER 118. 

50* FINAL FOUR PLAY OF THE YEAR (Under 132) 

I'm shocked this total is in the 130's. I'll gladly take my chances it stays below the mark. Michigan State surprised everyone by beating Duke, but they only managed 68 points on 43% shooting in the win. The Blue Devils play good defense on just their talent. Texas Tech's defense is on a whole different level. 

All Michigan State has to do is ask their biggest rival in Michigan, who the Red Raiders held to a mere 44 points and 33% shooting. Michigan State's offense might be a little better than the Wolverines, but not by much. 

Spartans are also a very strong defense team and I just think it's going to be a struggle for both sides to reach 50 points and this total is basically asking both teams to score 66. Give me the UNDER 132! 

50* NIT SEMIFINAL *MAX BET* TOP PLAY (Over 150.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Tuesday's NIT semifinal action between  Wichita State and Lipscomb. For those that haven't watched the Bisons, they have one of the best players you haven't heard of in Garrison Mathews. The guy just put up 44 points against NC State. He can really do it all, as he made 14 shots in total, including 8 from behind the 3-point line. He's playing out of his mind in the NIT and I think the assumption here is that Wichita State is going to be able to shut him down. 

I don't think so and as long as Mathews plays well, this thing should easily eclipse this total. Not only is Mathews a prolific scorer, but this Lipscomb team plays at the 14th fastest pace in the country. They are also a very unselfish team (24 assists on 34 made field goals vs NC State). They have scored at leas 86 in all 3 NIT games and given up 80+ twice. 

Note that while the Shockers aren't giving up a ton in the NIT, they have played 3 teams that don't like to push the tempo in Indiana (216th), Clemson (252nd) and Furman (231st). The closest thing to Lipscomb that Wichita State has seen in terms of pace is Memphis (7th). Both meetings saw at least 159 points and both times Memphis got to 85 points. Also, Tigers won both of those games, so I would definitely lean Lipscomb for those wanting to play a side. I just see more value in the total. Give me the OVER 150.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 219) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 219 in Monday's NBA action between the Jazz and Hornets. Charlotte is playing a lot of young guys and are getting abused on the defensive side of the floor here of late. Hornets just let the Warriors shoot 60% from the field for the game and have allowed 56% or worse in 3 of their last 4. Utah is known for their defense, but have scored 110 or more in 10 straight. I think this easily eclipses 220. Give me the OVER 219! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 225)

I"ll take my chances with Tuesdays' marquee matchup between the Bucks/Rockets going UNDER the total set by the books. Anytime you get two elite teams paired against each other, I think both teams come out looking to make a statement, especially when those teams each have an MVP-caliber player like we have here with James Harden and Giannis Antetokounmpo. 

There's also other incentives here. Milwaukee is trying to secure the No. 1 seed so they can start getting some guys like Giannis some much-needed rest over the final few weeks. Houston on the other is desperately trying to stay in the No. 3 seed in the west. 

These are also two teams that are very underrated on the defensive side of things and both have been playing really well on that side of the ball of late. Houston is only giving up 105.6 ppg over their last 5 and Milwaukee isn't far back allowing 106.0 in their last 5. UNDER is 15-5-1 in Rockets last 21 and 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 at home vs a team with a winning record. Give me the UNDER 225! 

50* NCAA 1ST ROUND TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 126.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Friday's matchup between Virginia Tech and St. Louis. I don't think either of these two teams are going to find it easy to score, as both of these teams are built on their defense. Both rank in the Top 15 in the country in defensive efficiency. St Louis also likes to grind things out and limit the number of possessions, which is ideal for unders. It's why the UNDER has cashed in 37 of the last 54 non-conference games for the Billikens. Give me the UNDER 126.5! 

 40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 225.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in tonight's marquee matchup between the Spurs and Warriors. Golden State is coming off one of it's best defensive performances of the season, as they held Russell Westbrook, Paul George and the OKC Thunder to just 88 points on 32.3% shooting in Saturday's 22-point blowout win. The game before they limited James Harden and the Rockets to 104 points. Spurs have won 8 straight and during this run have been locking opponents down. San Antonio has allowed more than 105 in just one game during this hot stretch and we can bank on a big effort here. Give me the UNDER 222.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 234.5) 

I wanted to take the Warriors here off that embarrassing loss to the Celtics, but the spread is just a little too high for my liking. Good news is I like the OVER just as much, if not more, as these are two of the top offensive teams in the league. Both of which are not playing all that great defensively as they try to adjust to playing with a new star. For Golden State it's DeMarcus Cousins and for Denver it's Isaiah Thomas. Last time these two teams played the Warriors won 142-111 as they combined for 253. I don't know if they get there, but they easily hit 235. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 233.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 233.5 in Sunday's Western Conference showdown between Denver and Los Angeles. Nuggets are finally healthy and simply have a plethora of playmakers at their disposal. I just think they are going to be extremely tough to contain and we saw that in their first game back from the break. Denver shot a miserable 40.8% from the field and yet still put up 114 points. Clippers will have no answer and really have no choice but to try to outshoot the Nuggets, which should have this thing flying past the number. Give me the OVER 233.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 213.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Clippers and Grizzlies going OVER the total of 213.5. I just think there's some value here on both sides. I think the perception is that LAC is not going to be as potent offensively after trading away one of their top scorers in Tobias Harris, but they made some sneaky good additions in other trades and put up 120+ in each of their final 3 before the break. 

As for the Grizzlies, it's the opposite. This team has the perception of being this defensive juggernaut. However, that was before they traded away the anchor in the middle in Marc Gasol. Memphis is in full on rebuilding mode and just aren't going to bring that energy and effort on the defensive side of the ball down the stretch. Give me the OVER 213.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 229) 

I'll take my chances here with the Blazers and Nets combining for at least 230 points. Brooklyn is a team that likes to get up and down the floor and are averaging a healthy 114.9 ppg at home this season. Portland can run and gun as well and giving up 113.3 ppg on the road. 

More than anything, I think the pace will be up there in this game with both teams well rested out of the All-Star break. Last year the OVER was 9-5 in the first game back from the break and the few that went UNDER barely stayed under the mark. Last time these two played in Brooklyn they combined for 252. 

It's also worth noting the Blazers have recently added Rodney Hood and Enes Kanter and we almost always see teams struggle defensively when new pieces are added. Give me the OVER 229! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 218) 

I'll gladly take my chances here in this bottom-feeder showdown between the Suns and Cavs. I just don't see a whole lot of defense being played in this one. These are two awful teams that really are better off losing than winning right now. There's just no motivation for either side to be 100% locked in on the defensive side. 

Not that these two teams could play quality defense if they wanted to. Phoenix has allowed at least 116 points in 13 straight games. I know the Cavs aren't a great offensive team, but they are a lot better now that Kevin Love is back in the lineup. Cleveland gives up 113 points/game and Suns have only failed to reach 100 points once in their last 8 games. I think this thing finishes a lot closer to 230 than 220. Give me the OVER 218! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 157.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Buffalo and Toledo going OVER the mark set by the books. These two teams played at Buffalo back in early January and combined for 190 points in a 110-80 win for the Bulls. I just don't see a change in venue being enough for the Rockets to slow down this high-powered Buffalo offense, which is averaging 85.2 ppg and shooting 47% from the field in conference play. However, I could see Toledo keeping pace at home, as the Rockets are scoring 78.7 ppg at home. OVER is also a perfect 9-0 in the Bulls last 9 road games in the month of February. Give me the OVER 157.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 137.5)

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 137.5 in Wednesday's Big Ten clash between Minnesota and Nebraska. Gophers have lost 3 straight and the Cornhuskers have dropped 7 in a row, so both of these teams are going to be highly motivated for a win. I think that leads to a big defensive effort and a much lower-scoring game than the books are expecting.

While these two combined for 163 points back in early December, a lot has changed since that game. Nebraska has lost one of their best players in Isaac Copeland and their offense has simply been non-existent of late. Cornhuskers are averaging 56.4 ppg on a mere 32% shooting over their last 5. 

They have no choice but to rely on their defense to win and they are only giving up 56.8 ppg at home. Minnesota is also a completely different offensive team on the road, as they average 72.6 ppg on the season, yet have only put up 63.4 ppg on 39% shooting away from home. Give me the UNDER 137.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 208.5) 

*I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 208.5 in Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Grizzlies. Memphis just held Anthony Davis and the Pelicans to 90 points on 39.5% shooting. This team is starting to find its rhythm defensively again and they really need it with how their offense is struggling to get easy looks. Memphis hasn't shot better than 44% from the field in 6 straight games. Spurs defense has been the culprit in their 4-game losing streak. I think we see a big effort on that side following a much-needed 2-day break. Give me the UNDER 208.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 132) 

I'll take my chances here with Michigan State and Wisconsin going UNDER the total of 132. These are two really good defensive teams and it's no secret that the Badgers love to slow things way down and really grind out a win. The Spartans had lost 3 straight before a dominant 79-55 win at home over Minnesota, where they held the Gophers to just 37% shooting. Tom Izzo really pushed his players after the 3-game losing streak and I think we see that same effort we saw against Minnesota in this one. As for the Badgers, they absolutely have to have this one if they want a shot at a Big Ten title. Give me the UNDER 132! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 138) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Monday's Big 12 clash between Oklahoma and Baylor. The Bears have seen the OVER cash in each of their last 3, but did manage just 63 points last time out against K-State and are dealing with some major injuries. They already lost Tristan Clark to a season-ending injury and may be without their next best player in Makai Mason, as well as King McClure. Both were held out of Saturday's game, which makes unlikely they will play just a couple days later. Baylor is going to have focus more on the defensive side of the ball. As for Oklahoma, they have really been struggling offensively and are coming off a game against Texas Tech where they managed just 54 points. I think both teams will struggle to reach 65. Give me the UNDER 138! 

50* NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 227) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Monday's Central Division clash between the Bulls and Bucks. OVER is perfect 4-0 in Chicago's last 4 and they are playing ideal basketball for the OVER to cash. Bulls are shooting lights out, hitting 50% or better in 6 straight and are playing little to no defense in the process. Don't be fooled by Milwaukee's 83-points last time out with the Greek Freak sidelined. This team will have no problem scoring 120+ here against the Bulls. I'm confident Chicago adds enough to push this well past the mark. Give me the OVER 227! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 234) 

I'll take my chances with the Lakers and 76ers going OVER the mark of 234. I just think there's too much offensive fire-power in this one. Not to mention teams just don't play real hard defensively in the weeks leading up to the All-Star break. Not only are players looking ahead to the break, but they are starting to wear down. Lakers last two games have saw them give up 136 to the Pacers and 128 to the Celtics. They have allowed 120 or more points in 8 of their last 10 games. 76ers have allowed 110 or more in 5 of their last 7 and have scored at least 106 in every game they have played since the calendar turned to 2019. Give me the OVER! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 228.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Saturday's NBA clash between the Hawks and Hornets. No team plays at a faster pace in the NBA than Atlanta and only the Knicks, Suns and Cavs are ranked lower in defensive efficiency than the Hawks. That's a pretty good combo for high-scoring games. Charlotte only managed 93 last time out at Dallas, but had scored 115+ in their previous 2 and will be facing a Hawks defense that has allowed 7 straight opponents to reach at least 112 points. Atlanta has also scored 112 or more in 7 of their last 8. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 222.5)

I'll take my chances with the Jazz and Rockets combining for at least 223 points. Houston doesn't figure to have Chris Paul, who is one of the better defenders. It's just going to be run and gun and hope Harden puts up 50 because the defensive effort won't be there on no rest. Utah's defense has been shaky of late and the Jazz are also playing on no rest. I think both teams could score 125 points and all we really need is for one of the two to get there to secure a win. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE WEEK (Under 131) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 131 in Friday's Big Ten action between Maryland and Wisconsin. These two teams already played once this season in a defensive battle, as the Terps squeaked out a 64-60 win at home back on Jan 14th. Both teams shot under 39% from the field. I don't see any reason to expect anything different. Maryland is allowing 62.2 ppg on the road and will be motivated to get a big signature win after losing 2 of their last 3. Wisconsin only gives up 61.7 ppg at home and will be out for revenge. Give me the UNDER 131! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 226.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 226.5 on the total for the Hawks/Jazz. I usually don't like playing the OVER in games involving Utah, but I like the spot we are in. Atlanta's the ideal over team. The Hawks play at the fastest tempo in the league and are also one of the worst defensive teams. 

Utah's defense has been slipping of late and while some might expect a big effort here after giving up 132 at Portland last time out, I just don't see the Jazz laying it all on the line against a bad team like the Hawks, especially with James Harden and the Rockets coming to town tomorrow. 

OVER is 7-2 in Utah's last 9 off a SU loss by more than 10 points and 9-2-1 in their last 12 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. OVER is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 5-0 in their last 5 vs a team from the Western Conference. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 234) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in this one. I just think the number here has been set way too high. Both teams have to be battling fatigue, as each will be playing their 3rd game in the last 4 days. For New Orleans they are playing on no rest, as they hosted Detroit last night. Pelicans are also without their best player in Anthony Davis. On top of that, both E'Twaun Moore and Nikola Mirotic were banged up against the Pistons and are questionable to play. I think these two will be lucky to hit 220. Give me the UNDER 234! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 219.5)

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 219.5 in this one. Both Charlotte and Indiana will be playing in the second game of a back-to-back set, as the Hornets hosted the Suns on Saturday while the Pacers hosted the Mavs. Both teams won rather easily, so I'm expecting a little more edge defensive than you would typically see in a game with both teams on no rest. UNDER is 35-17 in the Pacers last 52 home games 13-4-1 in their last 18 vs a team with a losing record and 5-1 in their last 6 when playing on 0 days of rest. UNDER is also 22-7 in the last 29 meetings between these two teams in Indiana. Give me the UNDER 219.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 225)

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in tonight's Eastern Conference showdown between the 76ers and Pacers. Both teams come in playing well, as the Pacers are 9-2 in their last 11, while Philadelphia is 6-2 in their last 8 and off a 149-107 blowout win against Minnesota. I just think the defensive effort is going to be there for both teams and when these two want to, they can be elite defensive teams. Clearly there's offensive talent on both sides, but with the total where it is it's too much value to pass up. Give me the UNDER 225! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 226.5) 

First off, for those that don't know, this game is being played in London. That right there has me thinking there will be a lack of defense played. That's even more so when you factor the caliber a teams we have here with the Knicks and Wizards. Washington has been playing decent, surprisingly since John Wall went down. I just think the ball is moving a little more and it's resulted in the ball going in the hoop more frequently. Wizards have scored at least 109 in 8 straight and 121 ppg over their last 7. Knicks are giving up 117 ppg on the road, so 120+ from Washington should be easy. All we need is for New York to hit around 110-115 for this to fly over and the Wizards are giving up 118.7 ppg. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 224.5)

I'll take my chances with the UNDER in tonight's NBA action between the Jazz and Clippers. With their top 3 point guards all injured, Utah has really had to rely on their defense of late and they come in having held each of their last 4 opponents to 41.2% or worse from the field. 

While they have scored 100+ in 4 straight, they have not shot the ball well at all of late. The Jazz are shooting 42.4% from the field in their last 5. Clippers have held their last 5 opponents to 43.2% shooting and I think we get a big effort on that side from LA, as they come in having lost 3 straight and really can't afford to lose here with their upcoming schedule not all that favorable. Give me the UNDER 224.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 207.5) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER in this one. The Rockets are a great offensive team, but are playing short-handed right now and in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, as well as their 3rd game in 4 nights. I just don't see them playing with the same pace offensively and tired legs is bad news for a team that loves to shoot 3-pointers like the Rockets. Add in Memphis desperately needing a win and the Grizzlies being a team that wants to grind games out with a methodical pace and stingy defense. All adds up to a low scoring game. Give me the UNDER 207.5! 

50* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (UNDER 224) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Thursday's TNT clash between the Spurs and Thunder. This just feels like way too many points given how well both of these teams are playing on the defensive side of the ball. San Antonio has been playing great defense for over a month now and OKC has held each of their last 5 opponents under 44% from the field. Spurs are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and Thunder are running on fumes as well, which will keep the pace down. While these two haven't played yet this season, 6 of the last 7 meetings have gone UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 224! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 230.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in tonight's NBA action that has the Kings and Suns going head-to-head. These two teams are ideal for a high-scoring game. Sacramento plays at the second fastest pace in the NBA, so possessions for both teams will be up there. The even bigger key is the lack of defense these two teams play. Both rank in the bottom 10 in the league in defensive efficiency. Kings give up 117.9 ppg on the road and the Suns allow 112.9 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 147) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Saturday's huge Big Ten clash between No. 14 Ohio State and No. 8 Michigan State. I actually think the line is pretty spot on, but I see a ton of value with the UNDER. These are two really good defensive teams. Michigan State is holding opponents nearly 9 points below their season average and Ohio State is holding opponents nearly 14 points under their average. I just think the fact that both teams come in off high-scoring games is playing into this inflated total. UNDER is 13-4 in the Buckeyes last 17 after scoring 80 or more and 9-2 in the Spartans last 11 after 2 straight blowout wins by 20+ points. Give me the UNDER 147! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 138)

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in tonight's Big Ten clash between Nebraska and Maryland. Both of these teams are playing outstanding defense. The Cornhuskers are allowing just 57.8 ppg and holding teams to 37.4% from the field. The Terps are only giving up 65.2 ppg, while holding opponents to 40.3% shooting. Both teams went 1-1 in their 2 early conference games and both are going to be highly motivated to make sure they get to 2-1 and not 1-2. UNDER is 8-1 in Nebraska's last 9 with a line of +3 to -3 and 12-3 in Maryland's last 15 conference games. Give me the UNDER 138! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 231) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Thursday's NBA action that has the Kings hosting the Lakers. I'm expecting zero defense to be played here. The Lakers are coming off that huge win on the road over the Warriors Christmas Day. They are primed for a letdown off that huge win, especially given they won't have LeBron or Rondo for this contest. Kings love to push the pace and I the young Lakers will gladly play that style here and both teams should eclipse 120. Bet the OVER 231! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 222.5)

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER. There's always a ton of value with the UNDER in these Christmas Day games, as this isn't just another regular-season game. Players consider it an honor to play on Christmas and more times than not we see playoff-like intensity. There's no doubt we get that level of intensity from these two division rivals. I think we could see both teams struggle to simply get to 100 points. Give me the UNDER 222.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 221.5)

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER. There's always a ton of value with the UNDER in these Christmas Day games, as this isn't just another regular-season game. Players consider it an honor to play on Christmas and more times than not we see playoff-like intensity. I see a ton of value here in this particular matchup. OKC is one of those teams that can be an elite defensive team when they want to and they know they will have to bring it on the road against James Harden and the Rockets. Key here is Houston is without Chris Paul and they just aren't the same offensive team without him on the floor. Give me the UNDER 221.5!

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 199) 

It shouldn't take a whole lot of explanation to why I like the UNDER in a game involving the Grizzlies. While everyone else in the NBA is trying to spread the floor, push the pace and jack up a bunch of 3's, Memphis is grinding games out with a methodical approach that has an old school feel to it. Miami's still without starting point guard Dragic and last time out scored just 88 at Utah. Both teams rank in the bottom 7 in offensive efficiency and Top 11 in defensive efficiency. Give me the UNDER 199! 

50* NBA CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 218.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with these two Central Division rivals going UNDER the mark set by the books. The UNDER has cashed in 7 straight games involving the Pacers and is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 as well. A big reason for that is both teams are getting it done on the defensive end. Milwaukee is allowing just 104.8 ppg over their last 5 and Indiana is only giving up 97.8 ppg. Both teams are holding opponents under 43% shooting in their last 5. Bucks won by 17 at home way back on Oct. 19, but the UNDER is 10-1 in the Pacers last 11 when revenging a road loss of 10 or more points. Give me the UNDER 218.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 216) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 216 in tonight's NBA action that has the Rockets visiting the Jazz. Utah is coming off a game where they set a new franchise record with 20 made 3-pointers and shot 61% from the field on their way to putting up a 139 points against the Spurs. Houston's defense has been slipping of late, but the offense has also picked up and I just don't think it's asking a lot for these two to hit at least 220. OVER is 28-15 in Utah's last 43 off a win by 15 or more and 8-1 in their 9 home games this season. Give me the OVER 216! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (UNDER 213.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Friday's NBA action that has the Heat visiting the Bulls. This doesn't figure to be a very entertaining game to watch, as we have two offenses that are struggling to score without some key guys on the floor. Miami's offense has gone ice-cold without starting point guard Goran Dragic and even with him they were below-average. Chicago scored 124 on 56.8% shooting last time out, but that was against an awful Suns team. Prior to that the Bulls put up 83 on their home floor against the Raptors and had scored fewer than 100 in 5 of their previous 6. UNDER 8-3 in Bulls last 14 overall and 3-0 in Miami's last 3. BET THE UNDER 213.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 152) 

I just don't think these two teams are going to have enough gas left in the tank to shoot well from the field and play at the tempo needed to eclipse the total here. Auburn played an OT game against Xavier to open the Maui Invitational. Their two studs, Bryce Brown and Jared Harper both played 43 minutes. They then had to lay it all on the line against the talk of college basketball in No. 1 Duke, with Harper and Brown each playing 38 minutes. Arizona had a hard fought win against ISU and then played in a track-meet and lost to Gonzaga 91-74. If both teams were playing on 2-3 days rest I would get this total. Give me the UNDER 152! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 164.5)

I'll take my chances with the OVER in this non-conference clash. The Citadel are averaging 42 3-point attempts per game and have hit 40.5% of them. They played a game against Clemson earlier that saw 180 points and I think that's where we are headed here. I certainly think they get to 170. Texas is going to flirt with the century mark in this one and after a couple of tough nights offensively, I think they will be excited for the opportunity. Sure a game against UNC is on deck, but that's not until next week. Note that Clemson score 100 on the Citadel and allowed the Bulldogs to score 80. The Tigers won their next two games 71-51 and 74-59. I think those two games show you just how different a pace and style The Citadel play with. Give me the OVER 164.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 149) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER here. Iowa pretty much brought back their entire nucleus from last year and this was a team that didn't shy away from high scoring games. Iowa was 3rd in the Big 10 and 48th nationally at 79.7 ppg. They were also dead last in the Big 10 and 317th nationally, giving up 78.7 ppg. They have put up 85 ppg over their first 2 and will be playing an Oregon team that has scored 80+ in each of their first 2. Get ready for a  track meet in New York on the hardwood. Give me the OVER 149! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 138) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in tonight's rematch of last year's championship game. These two only combined for 141 points in the title game last year and both suffered some pretty massive losses on the offensive side. Villanova parted ways with Brunson (18.9 ppg), Bridges (17.7 ppg), DiVincenzo (13.4 ppg) and Spellman (10.9 ppg), while Michigan lost Wagner (14.6 ppg), Abdur-Rahkman (12.9 ppg and Robinson (9.2 ppg). Don't get me wrong both teams reloaded and will be a force this season, but I expect defense to be the deciding factor in this one. Give me the UNDER 138! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 225.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 225.5 in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Mavericks hosting the Wizards. Washington comes in off a much-needed 108-95 win over the Knicks and based on the score it looks like the defense played great, but I just feel it was more of New York's lack of offense and a bad night shooting. Wizards are still giving up 120.7 ppg on the season, including a ridiculous 125.4 ppg on the road. Dallas is a very similar team to Washington. They are a capable offensive team at 110.8 ppg (116.2 ppg at home) and not very good on defense. Mavs are allowing 116.8 ppg and opposing teams are shooting 50% from the field. Give me the OVER 225.5!

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 230) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Monday's NBA action between the 76ers and Hawks. Atlanta leads the NBA early on in pace of play and Philadelphia isn't too far behind, as they have the 8th fastest pace of play. I think the 76ers will enjoy the up-tempo game and I don't see them being all that interested in locking down defensively against an Atlanta team that simply isn't very good, especially with a big road game at Toronto on deck tomorrow. OVER is a perfect 3-0 in the Hawks 3 road games and the averaging score in those games has been 241.7. All we need is for them to get to 231. Give me the OVER 230! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 219)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Kings and Grizzlies combining for at least 220 points. I think we are getting value here with Memphis coming off a dreadfully low-scoring game in their 92-84 win at Utah. Kings have combined for at least 238 points in all 4 games and have shot at least 50% from the field in every game. They are playing in the 2nd of a back-to-back, but this is a very young team and it's really early in the season, so I don't think it will effect their play at all. Opposing teams are shooting 51.5% against Sacramento, so Memphis will have no trouble getting their offense going. Give me the OVER 219! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 233.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Mavs and Hawks eclipsing this high total of 233.5. These two teams are both awful defensively. Dallas comes in giving up 122 ppg and the Hawks are allowing 122.7 ppg. Atlanta has also made a point of trying to play as fast as they can. They are doing a good job of it, as they lead the league in pace of play. Dallas will have no problem playing up-tempo against this team, as they are well equipped to outscore them. Look for this one to get into the 240s. Give me the OVER 233.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 227.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 227.5 in Tuesday's NBA action between the Kings and Nuggets. Denver has held each of their first 3 opponents under 100 points, which I believe is keeping this total much lower than it should be. I don't see the defensive effort being there for the Nuggets in a big time sandwich game. Denver is off a home win against the Warriors and have LeBron and the Lakers on deck Thursday night on TNT. Not to mention the Kings are the perfect team to back for the OVER. Sacramento is playing at the fastest pace in the league and are one of the worst in the league in defensive efficiency. Give me the OVER 227.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 229) 

Scoring is way up this season in the NBA. Last year the average score for an NBA game was 112.4. While it's really early, this year the average combined score is 226.6. Books are trying to increase the number on these totals, but they are struggling to adjust them enough. I don't think the scoring is going anywhere, as teams are putting a major emphasis on pace and 3-point shooting and I'll continue to look to play the OVER with certain teams. Both these teams fall into that category. The average score in Bulls' games this season is 239 points and for Dallas it's 148.5. Chicago is giving up 122.5 ppg and Mavs are allowing 128.5 ppg. Give me the OVER 229! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 226) 

Scoring is way up this season in the NBA. Last year the average score for an NBA game was 112.4. While it's really early, this year the average combined score is 226.6. Books are trying to increase the number on these totals, but they are struggling to adjust them enough. I don't think the scoring is going anywhere, as teams are putting a major emphasis on pace and 3-point shooting and I'll continue to look to play the OVER with certain teams. Minnesota is definitely one of them. The average score in Timberwolves' games this season is 250 points, as they are averaging and giving up 125 ppg. Indiana comes in averaging 115 ppg and are giving up 118 ppg on the road. Give me the OVER 226! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 232) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 232 in Friday's NBA showdown between the Kings and Pelicans. Sacramento is expected to be one of the worst teams in the league, but I like the offensive talent they got and with Fox at the point they are going to play up-tempo. I believe that's going to lead to an offensive onslaught tonight. The Pelicans were fantastic offensively in their opener at Houston and if they can do that to the Rockets, I see no reason not to expect more of the same here in their home opener. New Orleans might just be the best team in the west no one is talking about, but that won't last for long. I think they could hit 130 points again tonight, but even if they hit just 120, that should be enough to eclipse this mark. Give me the OVER 232! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 226) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 226 in tonight's Western Conference clash between the Clippers and Nuggets. This is a massive total and I just don't see them getting to it. Los Angeles is a team that everyone is writing off now that their trio of Griffin Paul and Jordan are all gone. They still have a great head coach in Doc Rivers and are going to play hard. They also have the best defensive backcourt in the league with Patrick Beverly and Avery Bradley. For Los Angeles to be competitive early, they are going to have to go all out defensively, as the offense figures to struggle to get going with no go-to guy. That duo of Beverly and Bradley will really make things tough on the Nuggets, as they will lock down Denver's dynamic young backcourt of Gary Harris and Jamal Murray. Give me the UNDER 226! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 219) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bucks and Hornets going OVER the mark of 219. I've really liked what I seen from the Hornets offense in the preseason. They really have put an emphasis on the 3-point shot. They hit 19 of them in their preseason finale against the Mavs and I expect a much more free-flowing offense without Dwight Howard on the roster. This is also one of the more deeper teams in the league and should easily eclipse the 108.2 ppg they averaged last year. Milwaukee is another team that I think is going to take a big step forward offensively, as I loved the hire of Mike Budenholzer, who did some great things with the Hawks. Bucks are going to space things out a lot more and they too figure to shoot a lot more 3-pointers. We saw them connect on 25 from deep in their preseason finale against the Timberwolves with all 5 starters making at least 2. Give me the OVER 219! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 212.5) 

As you can tell by the spread, the books aren't expecting a close game in Game 6, as the Warriors are laying close to 13-points at home. While I wouldn't be shocked if Golden State covered the big spread, given they are facing elimination and the Rockets are without a key piece in Chris Paul, I think the real value is with the total. After combining for just 187 points in Game 4 and 192 in Game 5, we have seen the total drop almost 15 points from Game 4 to Game 6. I just think Houston is looking more ahead to Game 7 at home and won't be as good defensively here, especially with Paul sidelined. Golden State is also due for an offensive explosion and I think we see them get to around 220 with Houston doing more than enough to push it over the mark here. Give me the OVER 212.5

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 206.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Celtics and Cavs staying UNDER the mark of 206.5 set by the books. These two teams combined for 113 points in Game 4 to go OVER the total for the first time in the series. Most will just assume this will be another high-scoring game, but the first two games in Boston suggest otherwise. The Celtics were a completely different team defensive in Games 1 and 2 at home, holding the Cavs to 83 and 94 points respectively. I think Cleveland once again has trouble to score away from home. I also think with how big this game is that we get another big effort from the Cavs on the defensive end to keep Boston from going off. I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if we saw both teams fail to reach 100 points. Give me the UNDER 206.5! 

40* WARRIORS/ROCKETS TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 225) 

This has the feeling of an NBA Finals matchup, as most people agree that the winner of this series is going to end up the champs when it's all said and done. I know both teams are littered with elite offensive players, but it's their defense that makes them so special. These are two of the best defensive teams in the game. I just think that given what's at stake and how important each game is, both of these teams will be giving everything they got on the defensive side of the ball. I wouldn't be shocked if these two failed to eclipse 210. Give me the UNDER 225! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 208) 

I'll take my chances here with the Jazz/Rockets going UNDER the mark set here by the books. All the attention with Houston is on their offense and how many 3-pointers they make and take. What is getting overlooked is their defense, which has shined in the last 2 games. After giving up 116 in a loss at home in Game 2, the Rockets held the Jazz to 92 on 41.7% shooting in Game 3 and 87 points on 38.6% shooting in Game 4. With a chance to put the series away, I expect another big effort from Houston at home in Game 5. AT the same time, we are going to get a max effort here from Utah facing elimination. Take the UNDER 208! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 232) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans and Warriors going OVER this big total set by the books. These two teams combined for 124 in Game 1 with Curry sidelined. He returned in Game 2 and came off the bench with 28 points and the two combined for 137. I know defense usually wins out over a series in the playoffs, but these two teams play at such a frantic tempo that they are going to score a ton even if they don't shoot well. New Orleans offense has been great the entire postseason, but it was exceptional in their 2 home games against the Blazers in the first round. I expect their offense to improve at home in Game 3, but I don't know that they will be able to do anything to slow down Golden State's offensive attack. Keep in mind the Warriors scored 121 in Game 2 with Thompson scoring just 10 points and Durant/Thompson going a mere 4-18 from deep. Give me the OVER 232! 

40* NBA '76ERS/CELTICS' TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 207.5)

The Celtics just cant catch a break in the injury department, as they will be without Jaylen Brown for Game 1 tonight against Philadelphia. That's a crushing loss for Boston on the offensive side of the ball. It's not going to kill the defense, as they can just play Smart in his spot and he's arguably a better defender, but not as skilled offensively. I look for the Celtics to really rely on their defense in this game and I think they could make it really tough on the 76ers. Miami was a great matchup for Philadelphia in the first round. I think Boston knows this team a lot better and will be able to make it a lot harder. There's also a drastic difference in playing on the road in Boston than Miami in the postseason. This is going to be the first real hostile environment for the 76ers in the postseason and I think we could see some rust here for Philadelphia having last played 6 days ago. Give me the UNDER 207.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 195.5) 

I'll take my chances with Game 7 between the Celtics and Bucks finishing UNDER the mark set by the books. This series has really shifted to a defensive battle. After combining for at least 206 in each of the first 4, they scored just 179 in Game 5 and 183 in Game 6. The Bucks have held the Celtics to 42% or worse from the field in each of the last 4 games and Boston held Milwaukee to a mere 87 points on 37% shooting last time these two played at the Garden. With this being a winner-take-all scenario, I think the pressure and defensive intensity from both sides will have this game finishing in the 180's. Take the UNDER 195.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 223.5) 

My money is on the Bucks and Nuggets going OVER the total set here by the books. Milwaukee has seen the OVER go 10-1 in their last 11 games, as they continue to light it up on the offensive side and struggle to defend on the defensive side. The Bucks have scored 115 or more points in 9 of their last 11 games and have allowed 100+ in all 11. The Nuggets are in a similar boat, as the OVER is 4-1-1 in their last 6. During this 6-game stretch Denver is averaging 120.7 ppg and allowing 118.8 ppg for an average combined score just under 240. Give me the OVER 223.5!