40* (CBB) Late Night Total KNOCKOUT (UNDER 145) 

I think we are getting some great value with the UNDER at 145. These are two of the best defensive teams in the country according to KenPom. Arizona ranks 19th in defensive efficiency and are No.1 in the country in defending the 2-point shot. There will be no easy baskets for the Wolverines in this one and they aren't exactly a great 3-point shooting team. Michigan is shooting just 32.1% from deep and only average 6 made 3-pointers a game. 

We saw a good Seton Hall defense that ranks No. 1 in defensive efficiency and No. 25 in 2-point defense hold the Wolverines to just 65 points on 41.9% shooting in their big upset loss earlier this week. 

Arizona comes in averaging an impressive 91.0 ppg on 48% shooting, but a lot of that is because they played 3 cup cakes to start the year. They only had 69 points at the end of regulation against Wichita State and shot just 40.7% from the field and were 5 for 27 (18.5%) from deep. Give me the UNDER 145! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (OVER 221.5) 

I love the OVER 221.5 in tonight's big NBA game between the Nets and Warriors. I know the UNDERS have been cashing left and right to start the 2021-22 season, but I actually think it's playing into our favor with this number. 

These are two exceptional offensive teams. The Nets had their struggles early on offense, but that has changed here of late and a big reason for that is James Harden is finally starting to play up to his potential. As for the Warriors, they have been a force offensively, averaging 115.1 ppg. I think both teams could get into the 120's, but we really just need something like a 115-110 final to cash this easy. Give me the OVER 221.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 227) 

I just can't help myself but to take the OVER 227 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Grizzlies and Hornets. While these two teams don't exactly fly up and down the court, we have two of the top offenses facing off against two of the worst defenses. 

Charlotte is 8th in offensive efficiency and Memphis isn't too far back at 12th. On the flip side, the Hornets are 29th (just barely ahead of the Pelicans) in defensive efficiency and Memphis is 28th. 

I just think with how bad these two teams are defensively it's going to lead to a little faster pace, as both offenses won't have to work hard to get an open look. As long as don't have one of these teams go ice cold, this should easily get into the 230s. Give me the OVER 227! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (UNDER 221.5) 

I really like the UNDER 221.5 in Monday's NBA matchup between the Hornets and Cavs. I have a really hard time seeing these two teams score into the 220's. 

The Cavs are an ideal UNDER team. They are awful offensively, don't like to play with much tempo (T-24th in pace) and are a top half of the league defensive team. UNDER has cashed in each of the Cavs' last 5 games. 

The reason the total is high, is the Hornets are an OVER team. They score 118.6 ppg and give up 115.3 ppg. 

Aside from Cleveland doing whatever they can to slow the pace down, I think we could see Charlotte play a little slower than what we would normally see. Hornets are going to be on no rest after hosting the Blazers yesterday and this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the UNDER 221.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 223.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 223.5 in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Pacers visiting the Nets. It's hard to not like the Pacers a a big dog given what we have seen out of this Brooklyn team so far, but I just can't get there with Indiana with the injury to Malcolm Brogdon. 

The Pacers have already been without two starters to start the season in T.J. Warren and Caris LaVert, which I think makes losing Brogdon, by far one of their best players, that much bigger of a blow. Brogdon leads the team in scoring (23.4 ppg) and assists (7.0 apg) and is second in rebound (7.0 rpg). I just wonder if the Pacers will be able to get into any kind of rhythm offensively without him at the point. 

As for the Nets, they are playing no where close to what we thought we would see offensively. Some of that is not having Kyrie Irving, but it's also a lackluster group of role players and James Harden shooting bricks. Harden is averaging just 16.6 ppg on 35.9% shooting. No surprise the UNDER is 5-0 in their 5 games. Give me the UNDER 223.5! 

40* (NBA) Late Night Total NO-BRAINER (Over 234) 

I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 234 in tonight's NBA game between the Blazers and Grizzlies. Portland had combined for at least 239 points in each of their first two games before laying a dud in a 86-116 loss at the Clippers on Monday. Memphis has scored at least 118 in all 3 of their games, with all 3 games going over and seeing a combined score of 134 or more. 

Portland leads the NBA in pace of play at 108.1 and Memphis ranks dead last in the NBA in defensive efficiency. Hard to see the Blazers not getting to 120 points in this one. Throw in how well the Grizzlies are playing offensively and this thing could easily get into the 250s. 

OVER is 24-11 in Portland's last 35 after a game that went UNDER and 18-8 in the Grizzlies last 26 as a road dog. Give me the OVER 234! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 229.5) 

The line here screams take the Pacers and I might end up throwing a little on Indiana in this one, but I think the even better value is on the OVER 229.5. 

I think a lot of people expected this Pacers offense to struggle early with starters Caris LeVert and T.J. Warren sidelined. It hasn't. They got 3 guys who are scoring 20+ ppg. Sabonis is at 26.0 ppg, Brogdon is at 24.7 ppg and 1st round rookie Duarte is at 20.3 ppg. They rank in the top half of the league in offensive efficiency. They also are playing fast, as they rank 5th in the NBA in pace. 

They also catch a break in this one, as the Bucks will be without two starters and two of their better defenders in Brook Lopez and Jrue Holiday. 

You might be wondering about the Bucks offense without those two guys, but they still got Antetokounmpo and Middleton to carry that offense. I also don't think this Pacers defense is anything special. They just held Miami to 91 in their last game, but that Heat team shot horrific and really looked lost without point guard Kyle Lowry. Give me the OVER 229.5! 

40* (NBA) - Suns/Lakers ESPN Sharp Money INSIDER (Under 223) 

It's a long season and one loss doesn't mean much, but no one wants to start the season poorly. I think there's going to be a sense of urgency for both the Suns and Lakers to play well and avoid starting 0-2 after upset losses in their season openers. LA got 30+ points from LeBron and AD and still lost 114-121 at home to the Warriors. Phoenix lost by double-digits at home 98-110 to the Nuggets. 

You also got to factor in with how big a public team the Lakers are and this being a game that is televised on ESPN, it's going to get a decent amount of traffic. I think these big games can see some inflated totals and this definitely feels high to me. 

The Lakers are simply too old to play a run and gun style for 82 games and adding Westbrook doesn't change that. You also got some chemistry issues with Westbrook trying to carve a role in an offense where he's not going to be the primary ball handler. It wasn't pretty in his debut, as he scored just 8 points with a mere 4 assists and 5 rebounds. 

Suns are also a team that doesn't like to play fast. Phoenix T-26th in pace of play last year and basically brought the same roster back. These are also two teams that ranked in the Top 10 in defensive efficiency last year. Give me the UNDER 223! 

40* (NBA) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (OVER 219.5) 

I want to lay the points with Chicago in this one (might put a little on it), but feel the safer bet is on the OVER 219.5. This new look Bulls team is getting some hype coming into the season after adding Lonzo Ball and DeMar DeRozan to form a pretty good top 4 with returnees Zach LaVine and Nikola Vucevic. They also got a talented youngster in Pat Williams, who I like, and two more additions off the bench in Alex Caruso and Derrick Jones Jr. 

I think they could be even better than people are expecting. With what's going on with Ben Simmons in Philly, there's reason to think this team could be right there fighting for that right to be the 3rd best team in the Eastern Conference behind the Bucks and Nets. 

Regardless if they live up to that or not, this is a team that I think will be one of the more higher-scoring teams in the league. Few are better in the NBA at igniting the fast break than Ball and LaVine is one of the more electric open court players. I see this team playing a ton in transition and being one of the more higher-scoring teams in the league. 

The big concern with Chicago is just how good can this team be defensively? I think it could have some problems, especially early in the year given the lack of chemistry they have playing together. 

Detroit doesn't even figure to be in the running for a playoff spot this year. The Pistons simply put lack talent. They are rebuilding under Cade Cunningham. He's not going to play. I just think people have a hard time seeing the Pistons doing enough offensively to want to take the OVER in this game. 

I just think the total is too low. I think Chicago will be pushing 120 points and don't think this defense on the road is going to hold Detroit under 100. Give me the OVER 219.5! 

50* (NBA) - Suns/Bucks Game 6 MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 222.5) 

As much as I wanted to go take the points with Phoenix here, the Suns have burnt me the last two games of this series. I also think the much stronger play in this one is the OVER. While these two teams combined for 242 in Game 5, Milwaukee had one of the greatest team shooting games in NBA Finals history. They couldn't miss in the 2nd and 3rd quarter. Phoenix was also on fire, as they shot 55.2% from the field. 

Look for the shooting to cool off in the first elimination game of the series. Phoenix must win to force a Game 7, so we know they are going to give everything they got defensively. While Milwaukee is up, this game is huge for them too. They don't want this to go to a Game 7. Give me the UNDER 222.5! 

50* (NBA) Hawks/Bucks MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 226) 

I think we are getting a really great price on the UNDER (226) in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals. While Game 1 went over the total of 223.5 in the Hawks 116-113 win, it didn't get their by much. 

That was with some really big offensive performances by both teams. Trae Young had a game-high 48. He's getting all the praise and rightfully so, but John Collins had a monster game with 23 points and 15 boards. For the Bucks, they got 34 from Antetokoumpo and 33 from Holiday. 

We know we are going to get the best Milwaukee has to offer on the defensive side to avoid going down 0-2 before Game 3 in Atlanta. You also got to think that both teams will make some adjustments to slow the other team down. Give me the UNDER 226! 

40* (NBA) - 76ers/Hawks VEGAS INSIDER (Over 225.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 225.5 in Game 4 between the 76ers and Hawks. These two flew past the total (224.5) in Game 3, combing for 338 points in Philly's 127-111 win. I just think we are going to see a similar type of game that should easily get to the 230s. 

The size advantage the 76ers have is really making things easy for them offensively. Philadelphia has shot 55%, 53% and 58% from the field in the 3 games. There's only been one playoff game this year where they shot worse than 50%. That's not going to change in this series with all the easy looks they are getting inside. 

Atlanta's only choice is to outscore them and they definitely got the fire-power to do that on their home floor. Hawks have shot 51%, 46% and 48% in the series, so it's not like they aren't getting good looks. They had 111 points in Game 3, despite shooting just 6 of 23 (26%) from behind the 3-point line. Give me the OVER 225.5!

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 222.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 222.5 in Game 3 between the Suns/Nuggets. Usually I lean towards the UNDER the deeper the series goes, but 222.5 just doesn't feel like near enough. These two teams combined for 227 in Game 1 and 221 in Game 2. That's with the Nuggets only scoring 105 and 95. 

Nuggets are scoring 117.9 ppg on their home floor this season. Last time they were home was Game 5 in their first round series with Portland and they put up 147 in a game that saw 287 combined points. Both Game 1 and Game 2 in Denver got to the 230's. 

Key here is that while I think the Nuggets will get a big boost offensively at home, I don't think the Nuggets defense is going to have any better luck trying to slow down this Suns offense. Phoenix really got whatever they wanted. As long as they don't go ice cold, this thing should fly past the mark. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

50* (NBA) - Monday MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 220.5) 

I'm going to take my chances with the UNDER 220.5 in Game 1 between the Nuggets/Suns. These two teams played 3 times in the regular-season. Suns won 106-103 in the first meeting, Denver won 130-126 in overtime and 120-112 in double-overtime the next two. 

So while it looks like 2 of the 3 were high scoring, the game that ended with 156 had 28 points scored after regulation (tied 114-114) and in the game that had 132 there were 36 scored in extra time (tied 98-98).  Denver has also lost two starters since the last time they played in Jamal Murray and Will Barton. 

I think there's value with this total due to the Nuggets coming off a high-scoring series against the Blazers. Phoenix and Portland are actually tied (4th) in offensive efficiency at 114.9. The big difference is defense. Suns are 9th in defensive efficiency at 108.8 and the Blazers are 29th at 113.4. Phoenix is also tied with Denver in pace at 26th, where Portland was tied for 16th in pace. Give me the UNDER 220.5! 

40* (NBA) - Mavs/Clippers Game 7 NO-BRAINER (UNDER 212) 

I'm going to take the UNDER 212 in Game 7 between the Mavs and Clippers. UNDERs are always a strong way to look in any Game 7. There's a lot more than just winner takes all that keeps these games lower scoring.

You have to keep in mind these teams have played each other 6 times in a little over a  week now. Both teams know what kind of adjustments the other team is going to make and they know how to defend them. You also got tired legs, which can lead to poor shooting. Lastly, the pressure of a Game 7. 

These two haven't combined for more than 205 in each of the last 3 games in the series. I don't see them breaking that trend in this one. Give me the UNDER 212! 

50* (NBA) - Suns/Lakers MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 207.5) 

I like the UNDER 207.5 in Game 6 tonight between the Lakers and Suns. I'm torn on whether or not LA can win this game, but I am pretty confident that it will be low scoring. I think the Lakers are not only desperate facing elimination, but also embarrassed from that ugly loss in Game 5. The level of intensity they are going to have at home with their backs against the wall is going to be really high. 

At the same time, I don't think the Suns are feeling good about things. Sure they like that AD is hurt, but this thing can flip in a hurry if he comes back. Chris Paul knows to not like his team take this game lightly, just because they got a Game 7 at home if needed. I expect Phoenix to be just as motivated here to finish this thing off. I just don't think there's going to be enough pace and shot making to get this to the 210 range. Give me the UNDER 207.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 219) 

I don't play a ton of OVERs in the NBA playoffs, but the OVER 219 in Wednesday's Jazz/Grizzlies game is one I just can't help myself with. These two combined for 221 in Game 1 and that was with neither team shooting great.

The Jazz were especially off their game, shooting 42.0% from the field and 25.5% from behind the 3-point line. Utah in the regular-season shot 47% from the field and 38.8% from behind the 3-point line at home, where they averaged 117.2 ppg. 

I think the Jazz were sleep walking a bit after the week layoff and it definitely didn't help matters that star player Donovan Mitchell was a late scratch. He's expected to play in Game 2, but either way Utah will be more mentally ready if he can't go. 

I could see the Jazz eclipsing the 220 mark in this one and confident we are going to get enough from Memphis to cash this ticket. Give me the OVER 219! 

40* (NBA) - Nets/Celtics VEGAS INSIDER (Under 229.5) 

I think the UNDER 229.5 is worthy of a play in Game 1 Saturday between the Nets and Celtics. People are just assuming Brooklyn can't be stopped with the Big 3 of Durant, Irving and Harden all healthy. They also see Boston just score 118 in their win over Washington on Tuesday. 

I'm not about to say the Nets won't lethal on offense, but let's not forget they didn't a lot of time together in the regular-season. I also don't trust the Celtics offense without Jaylen Brown. Tatum put up 50 in that game against the Wizards and they still only had 118. 

What I think people are sleeping on is the Nets defense. They got better and better on that side of the ball as the season went on. I also think all 3 of the Big 3 have the ability to take their defense to a different level. They just don't need to play hard on that side of the ball in the regular-season. I think they make it really tough on Tatum and the Boston offense. I just don't think they get to 230. Give me the UNDER 229.5! 

50* (NBA) - Grizzlies/Warriors MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 221) 

I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 221 in Friday's Play-In matchup for the No. 8 seed between the Warriors and Grizzlies. While we just watched the Wizards/Pacers fly past the total last night, the UNDER has hit in 3 of the 5 play-in games with the only two OVERs coming in games that involved the Pacers. 

The Grizzlies/Spurs matchup on Wednesday went UNDER the total of 225 by 29 points, as the Grizzlies won that game by a final of 100-96. The Warriors/Lakers game stayed UNDER the total of 217 by 14 as LA won 103-100. 

Both of these teams were exceptional on the defensive end, as Memphis held the Spurs to just 35% shooting, while Golden State held the Lakers to 40.7% from the field. If you go back it's nothing new. Grizzlies have held 6 of their last 7 opponents to 44% or worse, while the Warriors have held 7 of their last 10 under that mark. These two played late in the regular-season and only combined for 214 points and that was with GW shooting 49%. Give me the UNDER 221! 

40* (NBA) - Wizards/Celtics Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Under 233) 

I will gladly take the UNDER 233 in Tuesday's Play-In game between the Wizards and Celtics. I just think the total here is way too high for a game of this magnitude. The intensity for a winner take all game is massive and people forget just how much better the defenses get in the postseason. 

We saw that in the Wizards matchup with Charlotte in the regular-season finale, where they winner got to the No. 8 seed. That game had a total of 231 and finished with 225. Both these teams are better defensively than what they showed in the regular-season. Play the UNDER 233! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO BRAINER (Over 228.5) 

I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the OVER 228.5 in Sunday's game between the Magic and Timberwolves. A lot of people will just stay clear of this game as both of these teams are out of the playoff picture. 

That's where I feel the value lies. There's zero incentive for either of these teams to play defense. That's definitely how Minnesota likes it, as the Timberwolves are scoring 124.6 ppg and giving up 124.2 ppg in their last 5. Magic should be able to keep pace and I could see this thing flying past the total and into the 240s. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* (NBA) - Early Bird VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Under 221.5) 

I think there's some decent value with the UNDER 221.5 in Sunday's early matchup between the Celtics and Heat. This is the first of two straight games these two teams will play, as they will square off in Miami again on Tuesday. 

These two games could very well decide which of these two teams finish as the No. 6 seed and get next week off and which finishes No. 7 and is forced to earn a spot in the postseason in the play-in tournament. 

I just think with how much these games mean, it's going to have a playoff-like feel to it. Look for both teams to turn up the defensive intensity and for this to stay well below the mark set by the books. Give me the UNDER 221.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 235) 

I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 235 in Thursday's NBA matchup between the Raptors and Wizards. OVER has cashed in 3 straight and 6 of 8 overall for Washington. Easy to see why when you look at how good this team is playing offensively and how much they struggle defensively. Washington has shot at least 47% from the field in 13 of their last 14, including each of the last 8 games. They have allowed 125, 141 and 135 in their last 3 games. 

Raptors are a team that relies more on their offense to win games than their defense. Toronto has allowed each of their last 5 opponents to shoot 47% or better from the field. There's just going to be no defense played in this game. Give me the OVER 235! 

50* (NBA) - Tuesday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 215.5) 

I really like the UNDER 215.5 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Heat and Mavs. These two teams are in similar spots down the stretch, as both are fighting to avoid the play-in tournament. Right now both are safe, but not by much. 

Mavs sit 6th, just 0.5-games ahead of 7th place Portland. Miami is 6th in the east, but are just 1-game up on 7th place Boston. Every win is huge for these two teams and I think with both teams having Monday off, we are going to get a big defensive effort. 

Both teams also figure to be without two of their top offensive playmakers, as the Mavs aren't expected to have Kristaps Porzingis and the Heat are going to be without Tyler Herro. Note Miami is also still without Oladipo and may not have the services of Iguodala. Give me the UNDER 215.5! 

50* (NBA) - Friday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 219) 

I absolutely love the UNDER 219 in Friday's huge Western Conference showdown between the Suns and Jazz. The winner of this game will be in the drivers seat for the No. 1 seed in the west, as Utah comes into this matchup just 1-game up on the Suns with both teams having just 9 left on the schedule after this contest. Phoenix has the tiebreaker, so if the two finished tied they get the top spot. 

I think the defensive intensity is going to be very high on both sides. You also got Utah playing this game without Donovan Mitchell or Mike Conley. So while these two did combine for 230 in their last meeting, that was with Mitchell carrying the Jazz with 41 points. Conley was also in double-figures with 11. Give me the UNDER 219! 

40* (NBA) - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR (Under 222.5) 

I will take my chances with the UNDER 222.5 in tonight's late game between the Suns and Clippers. This game could very well decide home court if these two were to meet in the second round, as Phoenix is in the No. 2 spot, 1-game up on the Clippers. 

I think because of what is at stake, we get a strong effort defensively from two teams that can really excel on that side of the ball. Clippers are also going to be without one of their top scorers in Leonard and the Suns are in a big flat spot off that grueling 5-game road trip that had them playing the Bucks, 76ers, Celtics, Nets and Knicks. Give me the UNDER 222.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 228.5) 

I like the OVER 228.5 in Wednesday's game between the Nuggets and Pelicans. These are two of the better offensive teams in the league with New Orleans averaging 115.0 ppg and Denver at 115.5 ppg. 

Pelicans had a rough stretch recently with a lot of guys out, but they are back to full strength and have shot extremely well over their last 4 games. They hit 56% against the Nets, 56% against the Magic, 47% against the Spurs and 54% against the Clippers. Nuggets are also giving up 114.4 ppg in their last 5. Pelicans defense can't be trusted, especially on the road. NO gives up 116.0 ppg on the road and Nuggets average 117.1 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* (NBA) - Suns/Knicks NBATV Vegas STEAMROLLER (Under 215)

We didn't get there with the UNDER in Sunday's Suns/Nets game, but it's not going to keep me from playing the UNDER here. Phoenix is playing on no rest and will be finishing up an absolutely brutal 5-game road trip that has seen them play the Bucks, 76ers, Celtics and Nets away from home over the last week. 

Knicks are a team built on energy and defense and couldn't come into this game with more momentum on their side. There's a buzz in New York about this team and for good reason, as they have won 9 straight games. This is another chance to prove to themselves they are for real against one of the hottest teams in the league. Give me the UNDER 215! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 228.5) 

I will take the UNDER 228.5 in Monday's matchup between the Spurs and Wizards. Bradley Beal is listed as probable after suffering a leg injury late in yesterday's win over the Cavs. While it would be better if Beal wasn't playing, I definitely think he could struggle playing here at less than 100%. It's also going to be tough for Washington here to play with a ton of pace in the second of a back-to-back. 

I know the let the Cavs shoot 51.3% yesterday, but the Wizards defense has really been playing better of late. Prior to that game Washington had held 5 straight opponents to 44% or worse from the field. Spurs just shot 43.5% in their last game and have shot under 44% in 3 of their last 4 now. UNDER has cashed in 6 straight games for the Spurs. Play the UNDER 228.5! 

40* (NBA) Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Under 232) 

I think we are going to see a lower scoring game than what most expect in Sunday's huge matchup between the Suns and Nets. These two teams know there's a chance they meet up in the Finals. Brooklyn is arguably the team to beat if they get their Big 3 all healthy. Phoenix is quietly sitting out west 1.5-games back of No. 1 Utah. They just haven't got the love the deserves, as it feels like they are still viewed as the 4th or 5th best team in the west. Most see it Lakers/Clippers and then the Jazz before even thinking Phoenix. 

With the Nets expected to have 2 of their 3 with Durant and Irving, I think the Suns are going to treat this like it's a "test" to see where they really stand in the NBA hierarchy. I think with Phoenix playing their 4th straight on a grueling road trip that has already been to Milwaukee, Philly and Boston over the last week. 

Nets can light it up, but they have also shown they can turn it up defensively when they want to. I think they will match the Suns intensity in this one and this finds a way to stay UNDER 232! 

40* (NBA) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 221) 

I will take a shot with the UNDER 221 in Wednesday's big non-conference clash between the Suns and 76ers. Phoenix doesn't get near the respect they deserve in the Western Conference. This has arguably been the best team for over a month now. Suns are 15-3 in their last 18 games. They just won at Milwaukee on Monday. 

While the game against the Bucks saw 255 combined points, both teams shot lights out. This here will be a matchup of two teams that both rank in the Top 5 in defensive efficiency. 76ers should be motivated off a rare home loss and could be without two of their top scores here with Harris and Simmons questionable. Not having Simmons would also slow down the pace even more for Philly. I also think Suns will be fine playing slower in the second road game in 3 days, especially knowing they got to play at Boston tomorrow. Give me the UNDER 221! 

50* (NBA) - Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 237.5) 

I love the OVER 237.5 in Tuesday's game between the Timberwolves and Kings. I just don't see any defense being played between these two Western Conference bottom feeders. Neither plays much defense as it is. Both certainly haven't been playing much of late, as Minnesota is giving up 121.8 ppg on 50% shooting in their last 5, while Sacramento has allowed 119.4 ppg on 51% shooting in their last 5. 

Key here is that both of these teams can score. I don't think it will take much for both of these teams to reach 120 points. Also, I think the fact that these two are scheduled to turn around and play each other again in Sacramento tomorrow night, gives that much more incentive to not try defensively in this first meeting. Give me the OVER 237.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 225.5) 

I really like the UNDER at 225.5 in Monday's big NBA matchup between the Warriors and 76ers. The spread for this game looked way off with the 76ers sitting as a 9-point favorite, but now that we see Steph Curry listed as questionable it makes more sense. The line tells me that Curry isn't likely to play. 

Even if he does, I think the 76ers will come to play, as Curry and Embiid are two of the top choices right now for MVP. I also think the scoring in this game could be hindered by the fact that Philadelphia has two key guys listed as questionable with Seth Curry and Tobias Harris. Those are two big losses, as both are shooting over 40% from 3. 

Neither Curry played in the first meeting between these two and that game ended with a mere 206 points. Give me the UNDER 225.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 223.5) 

Give me the OVER 223.5 in Friday's game between the Rockets and Nuggets. I just feel like this total should be closer to 230 with the way Houston is defending. Houston has allowed at least 125 in each of their last 4 and 118 or more in 9 of their last 10. If the Rockets can simply put up 110 in this one at home, this thing should fly past the total. Give me the OVER 223.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 212) 

I'll take my chances her with the UNDER 212 in Thursday's TNT late night matchup between the Celtics and Lakers. It doesn't matter who is available to play, when these two franchises face off, they are going to treat it a little differently. Add in the fact that it's on TNT and I think we get a really strong defensive effort from two really good defensive teams. 

UNDER has also been a really strong play for both of these teams of late. UNDER has cashed in 8 of the last 10 for Boston and 10 of the last 15 for LA. UNDER is also 9-1 in Boston's last 10 as a favorite and 6-0 in the Lakers last 6 at home. Give me the UNDER 212! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (OVER 229)

I will take my chances with the OVER 229 in Monday's game between the Bulls and Grizzlies. Both of these teams have been strong OVER plays of late. OVER has cashed in each of Chicago's last 3 games and the last 4 for the Grizzlies. 

The Bulls have been a team that played in a decent amount of high scoring games, but I feel they are even more offensive-minded after the moves they made at the trade deadline. They gave up defense for offense by getting Vucevic and it also strengthened their bench. They got a lot more fire-power on the bench than they had early in the year. 

Memphis has scored 110 or more points in 12 of their last 13 games. Even the game where they didn't that contest still had 218 points scored. With Bulls on no rest and playing their 5th and final game of their road trip, I don't see them playing a whole lot of defense in this one. Give me the OVER 229! 

40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Over 231.5) 

I like the value here with the OVER 231.5 in Sunday's NBA matchup that has the Pacers visiting the Grizzlies. The OVER has cashed in 3 straight for Memphis and this Grizzlies offense has been on an absolute tear for a few weeks now. Memphis has scored 116 or more in 5 straight and 110 or more in 11 of 12.

They should be able to put up a big number here against a Pacers team that is without their best interior defender in Myles Turner. It's just not the same defense without one of the league's best shot blockers on the floor. Key here is the Pacers should be able to keep pace offensively with Memphis. This is a game I think we could see both teams eclipse 120 points. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 227) 

The OVER 227 is definitely a play for me tonight in the Pelicans/76ers matchup. New Orleans has been one of the worst defensive teams all season and are really playing poorly on that side of the ball right now. Pelicans are giving up 123.6 ppg on 50% shooting over their last 5 games with all 5 opponents scoring at least 115 points. 

With the 76ers playing at close to full strength and coming in fresh off 2 days of rest, I would be shocked if they don't put up at least 120 in this game. If they do that, this should fly past the mark, as the Pelicans are averaging 116.7 ppg at home. I also don't think Philadelphia will be laying it all on the line defensively like they did in their last game at Boston. Give me the OVER 227! 

40* (NBA) - Late Night Total NO-BRAINER (Under 225.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 225.5 in tonight's big Western Conference showdown between the Suns and Jazz. These two own the two best records in the NBA, as Utah is 38-12 and the Suns are 35-14. 

Both are playing extremely well coming in as both have gone 9-1 SU over their last 10 games. I just think the intensity level is going to be turned up a notch in this game and we are going to see both teams come out looking to defend at a high level. 

That's what they do, as Utah is 3rd in the league in defensive efficiency and the Suns are 6th. Also adding to this, both teams like to slow it down and play a little more in the halfcourt. They also played once earlier this season back on Dec. 31 and the two combined for a mere 201 points with a total of 219. Give me the UNDER 225.5!  

50* (NBA) - Wednesday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Over 231) 

I love the OVER 231 in tonight's game between the Pelicans and Nets. While Brooklyn won't have the services of James Harden for a while, they are expected to get back Kevin Durant. The duo of Durant and Irving with all the role players they got is more than enough. 

I look for the Nets to have a field day offensively against an awful Pelicans defense that is giving up 117.6 ppg over their last 5. They didn't even try to defend the 3-point line in last night's 107-123 loss to the Hawks, as Atlanta went 20 of 31 (64.5%) from deep. They give those Nets the same looks and Brooklyn could easily score 140+

The key here is I think the Nets aren't going to be all that locked in defensively. They got a lot of new pieces and it's going to take some time before they are a cohesive defensive unit. New Orleans is also a very strong offensive team. Give me the OVER 231! 

50* (NBA) - Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 225.5) 

I love the OVER 225.5 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Pelicans and Hawks. I think we are getting a discount on the total due to the fact that New Orleans could be playing again without Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram. Both are listed as questionable, but there's been no indication that they will play. If they do that's great, but I don't think they need them to eclipse this number. 

In the Pelicans last 4 games they have combined for 124 with the Celtics, 125 with the Magic, 129 with these same Hawks and 137 in their last game with the Rockets. Going back even further, NO has seen a combined score of at least 120 in 7 of their last 8. 

Add that with how the Hawks have been playing and this is a no-brainer. In Atlanta's last 5 games they are scoring 117.8 ppg on 49% shooting and giving up 117.2 ppg on 48% shooting. Give me the OVER 225.5! 

50* (NBA) - Friday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (UNDER 224) 

I absolutely love the UNDER 224 in Friday's game between the Pelicans and Hawks. I just don't see these two coming anywhere close to this total given the circumstances. 

For Atlanta, they will be in the 2nd game of a back-to-back after a grueling 134-129 OT win at San Antonio last night. A game in which 4 different Hawks' players logged 35 or more minutes. On top of that, this is Atlanta's 8th and final game of a brutal 8-game road trip. 

As for the Pelicans, they might be extremely short-handed here, as Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram and Lonza Ball are all questionable. Given that the line for this game is right around a pick'em that tells me there's a good chance at least two of these guys aren't suiting up and maybe all 3. Give me the UNDER 224! 

40* (CBB) - NCAA Tournament 'Elite 8' SHARP PLAY (UNDER 153.5) 

I'm going to take the UNDER 153.5 in Tuesday's Elite 8 matchup between USC and Gonzaga. This will be the fourth straight game featuring the Bulldogs with a total north of 150. Only one has gone over and that was their second round game with Oklahoma and it barely got there (total 156, finished at 158). 

I just think the OVER is inflated in Gonzaga games because of how good they are offensively. I don't know that you can stop them, but I think USC can at least make it difficult. Based on KenPom's numbers, USC is No. 4 in the country in defensive efficiency and No. 6 in effective FG%. They counter Gonzaga's No. 1 rated 2P% offense with the No. 1 2P% defense. Trojans also do a really good job of not fouling and limiting their opponents free throw attempts. 

I also think Gonzaga's offense is so good that people fail to realize how good this team is defensively. Gonzaga is No. 7 in defensive efficiency and one thing they do really well that counters a USC strength is keep their opponents off the offensive glass. I think USC's awful free throw shooting (No. 327 at 64.6%) could really hurt them in this game. Give me the UNDER 153.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 224.5) 

I really like the OVER 224.5 in Monday's game between the Bulls and Warriors. Chicago added Nikola Vucevic at the deadline and he really gives the Bulls a legit second option to pair with Zach LaVine. It no doubt makes the bulls a better offensive team. The problem is they got worse defensively and weren't a good defensive team to start with. Not to mention there's going to be a drop in their defense adding in new players, as the chemistry just isn't there. 

It's why I'm not concerned with the Warriors offensive struggles of late. There's also a chance here that Golden State could be getting Steph Curry back from injury, which would definitely make this an even stronger play if he suits up. Either way I look for this game to easily get into the 230's. Give me the OVER 224.5! 

50* (CBB) - NCAA Tournament 'Sweet 16' MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 143) 

I love the UNDER 143 in Sunday's Sweet 16 clash between Florida State and Michigan. I know the Wolverines put up 82 in their first game against Texas Southern and 86 in the Round of 32 against LSU, but that was to be expected. Texas Southern ranked 211th in defensive efficiency and LSU ranked 124th. 

It won't be nearly that easy against Florida State. The Seminoles ranked 31st in defensive efficiency and were one of the toughest teams in the country to score inside on (No. 10 in 2P % defense). Just look what they did to Colorado in the Round of 32. The Buffaloes scored 96 points against Georgetown in the 1st round and then were only able to manage 53 against FSU. 

Factor in Michigan is also an elite defensive team and one that likes to play the game in the halfcourt, I don't see these two teams reaching 140. Give me the UNDER 143! 

40* (CBB) - NCAA Tournament 'Sweet 16' TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 139) 

I'm going to take the OVER 139 in Saturday's Sweet 16 matchup out of the South Region between No. 1 seed Baylor and No. 5 seed Villanova. I just think the total here should be pushing 150. Baylor is lethal on the offensive side of the ball. 

They shot lights out from deep in the first two games, hitting 11 of 33 against Harford and 8 of 17 against Baylor. They didn't play close to their best against Wisconsin and still put up 76 points. That game with the Badgers saw a combined 139 points, which again is why I think the total here should be much higher. Vilanova is a much better offensive team than the Badgers and probably a little worse. I think people see that the Wildcats rank near the bottom in the country in pace, but they just haven't seen an offense like Baylor. 

I know it was over a year ago, but these two played last season on a neutral court in late November. Baylor won that game 87-78 for a combined score of 165. That game's total was 139. 

OVER has cashed in 11 of Baylor's last 14 road games vs a team that averages 8 or more made 3-pointers/game and 11 of their last 14 after 15+ games when facing a good team that is outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game. Give me the OVER 139! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 219.5) 

I really like the UNDER 219.5 in Friday's matchup between the Blazers and Magic. I know Portland is coming off a 125-122 win over Miami that flew past the total of 215.5, but I just don't see them wanting or needing to push the pace in the 2nd of a back-to-back. 

A big reason for that is this could get really ugly for Orlando. The Magic were big time sellers at the trade deadline, parting ways with three of their best players in Vucevic, Gordon and Fournier. Cole Anthony is still out with an injury and they have lost Fultz and Isaac for the season. They added Otto Porter Jr, Wendell Carter Jr, and Gary Harris, but unlikely they play this game. Simply put the Magic are going to be playing a bunch of scrubs in this one and might struggle to score 90. Give me the UNDER 219.5! 

40* (NBA) Over/Under Total MASSACRE (Over 229) 

I like the OVER 229 in Wednesday's NBA matchup that has the Mavs visiting the Timberwolves. Dallas is in a groove offensively right now. The Mavs just scored 132 points on 56% shooting from the field in a 132-92 win over the Blazers. That's 3 straight games now where the Mavs have shot 50% or better from the field. 

Unless they don't show up at all, you can pretty much bank on them extending that to 4 straight against the Timberwolves. Opponents are shooting 48% against the Timberwolves on the season. Key here is Minnesota has got their offense going. In the 7 games since they returned from the All-Star break they are averaging 116.9 ppg. Mavs defense has been better, but it's still not great and this feels like a game they won't put forth a big effort on that side of the ball. Give me the OVER 229! 

40* (CBB) - March Madness 1st Round TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 138) 

I like the UNDER 138 in Friday's South matchup between No. 8 North Carolina and No. 9 Wisconsin. This game to me has a defensive battle written all over it. Both of these teams are very good defensively. Wisconsin ranks 12th in the country in defensive efficiency and North Carolina is right on their heels at 14th. 

The Tar Heels do like to push the pace offensively, but few are better at slowing down the tempo than Wisconsin. The Badgers finished 326th in adjusted tempo. One reason they can control it, is they don't turn it over often. Wisconsin ranked 2nd in the country in TO %. 

In the Badgers last game they lost to Iowa, but were able to make it their style with the Hawks winning by a final of just 62-57. I just don't think these two will sniff 140. Give me the UNDER 138! 

40* (CBB) - March Madness 1st Round TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 131.5)

I will take my chances with UNDER 131.5 in Friday's First Round action out of the South Region that has No. 6 seed Texas Tech taking on No. 11 seed Utah State. I just think the UNDER is worth a look at anything over 130, as you have two outstanding defensive teams that just don't give up a lot of easy looks. 

Texas Tech's identity is to grind opponents down with a stingy defense and methodical pace. The Red Raiders ranked 24th in the country in defensive efficiency and 316th in adjusted tempo. Utah State is a little higher up there in tempo at 153rd, but are 8th in the country in defensive efficiency. They are 4th best in 2-Pt % defense. I think that spell trouble for a Texas Tech offense that only averages 6 made 3-pointers a game. This game to me feels like it's going to be a race to 60 and I wouldn't be shocked if neither team got there. Give me the UNDER 131.5! 

40* (NBA) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 230) 

I think we are getting a great price with the OVER at just 230 in Thursday's NBA game between the Wolves and Suns. It's tempting to take the big number with Minnesota in this game, but after how they burned me on Tuesday against the Lakers, I'm gonna pass. 

Thing is, while there's likely value with the Timberwolves right now, I think there's more value on the OVER. Minnesota is playing better right now because they are scoring points. A team that only averages 109.4 ppg on the season is scoring 118.6 ppg on 49% shooting in their last 5. 

The other key here is that while the offense is improved, the defense has remained a weakness. Minnesota is giving up 120.0 ppg on the road this year and 122.8 ppg in their last 5. Suns have shot worse than 47% from the field once in their last 18 games and will have fresh legs here having been off the last 2 days. Give me the OVER 230! 

50* BLAZERS/WOLVES NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 233.5) 

I really considered take the Timberwolves as a home dog here, but I think the real value in this game is the OVER 233.5. Minnesota looked like a different team out of the break, as they went on the road and crushed the Pelicans 135-105. Timberwolves shot 53.7% from the field in that game and while some of that was New Orleans subpar defense, it's not like the Blazers are a good defensive team. Portland just allowed the Suns to shoot 59% from the field in a crushing 121-127 loss at home on Thursday. 

I think there's a good chance that Minnesota carries over that strong offensive showing and I definitely don't trust this Timberwolves defense to slow down a potent Blazers offense. This is one of those games where it feels like both teams could easily get into the 120s and it wouldn't shock me if it got way up there with both in the 230s. Give me the OVER 233.5! 

40* RAPTORS/HORNETS NBA TOTAL DESTROYER (Over 230.5) 

I like the OVER 230.5 in Saturday's NBA matchup that has the Raptors visiting the Hornets. Toronto has a bunch of guys out right now in Quarantine and I think it has them a bit undervalued on the offensive side. Toronto has not slowed down at all offensively, they played short-handed at Boston right before the break and put up 125 and then came out of the break with 120 at home against the Hawks. 

Thing is, they have to score like that because all those guys out is really hurting them defensively. Raptors are giving up 121.8 ppg on 49% shooting in their last 5. I just feel like with the current form of Toronto and the Hornets being a very capable offensive team with a sub-par defense, this game will easily get into the 230's. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

40* CAVS/PELICANS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 228.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 228.5 in Friday's NBA game that has the Pelicans hosting the Cavs. I'm expecting a big bounce back game offensively for New Orleans after they stunk it up last night against the Timberwolves, scoring just 105 points on 43% shooting. This is just too good of an offensive team to play that poorly and the Cavs are definitely a team that can be exposed on the defensive side. 

The big key here is the Pelicans just aren't a good defensive team at all. They just let a depleted Minnesota team put up 135 points on 54% shooting. Clearly some of that is effort, but more of it is just they don't have the pieces to be any good on that side of the ball. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* CELTICS/NETS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 234.5) 

I'm going to take the OVER 234.5 in Thursday's game that has the Boston Celtics visiting the Brooklyn Nets. I know 234.5 might seem like a big number for a total, but it feels like a discount to me given the teams involved. 

The Nets are simply the ideal team to back the OVER with and the books have had a hard time setting the bar high enough. The OVER has cashed in 24 of Brooklyn's last 31 games. 

Even though they aren't the offensive juggernaut they would be if Kevin Durant was healthy, they got more than enough offensive fire-power with the duo of Kyrie Irving and James Harden. Nets have scored 124 or more points in 7 of their last 10 games and Durant only played in 1 of those games. 

Boston in years past has been known for their defense, but they have had their struggles on that side of the ball this season. They are giving up on average 110.8 ppg and allowing opponents to shoot 47% from the field. They are expected to get back one of their top defenders in Marcus Smart, but he hasn't played since the end of Jan. I just think given the rust and lack of conditioning, he's not likely to have a huge impact in slowing down this Nets offense. 

This is just one of those games where I think both teams have a really good shot at reaching 120 points. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

40* SPURS/MAVS NBA OVER/UNDER DESTROYER (Over 222.5)

I'll take my chances with the OVER 222.5 in Wednesday's NBA showdown between the Mavs and Spurs. I just think this total should be closer to 230 than 220. Dallas has really come alive of late. They won 9 of their last 11 games before the All-Star break. A big reason they surged is they got healthy and their offense starting producing close to the level it did last year when it was one of the best the league has ever seen. 

This is a team that can score 120 points and not even play well. Thing is they almost have to score that much because of how bad they are defensively. San Antonio is healthy and got most of their guys back after playing short-handed for most of February because of Covid. I think this a better offense than they are getting credit for right now. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* NEBRASKA/IOWA NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Over 152.5) 

I really like the OVER 152.5 in Thursday's Big Ten matchup that has Nebraska visiting Iowa. The Hawkeyes haven't had an offensive outburst for a while now. After scoring 88 at Michigan State on Feb. 13th, they have gone 4 straight games failing to reach the 80-point mark. I know 80 is a lot of points, but were talking about an Iowa team that averages 84.7 ppg (88.4 ppg at home). 

There is reason to explain their recent scoring slump, as 3 of their last 4 were on the road against Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio State. It's going to feel like a breeze for the Hawkeyes offense against the Cornhuskers defense. Not only is Nebraska giving up 76.7 ppg on the road, but the Cornhuskers have no answer for Luka Garza down low, which is going to open up everything. 

The key here is I don't think it will just be Iowa's offense that has a big game. Nebraska has really come alive offensively, scoring 70 or more in each of their last 4 games. Keep in mind they hadn't scored 70 or more in more than 2 straight games all season prior to this stretch. Hawkeyes defense has been better, but I don't think Iowa will be as invested as they have been given the opponent and the fact that they are fresh off that huge road win over Ohio State on Sunday. Give me the OVER 152.5! 

40* BUCKS/GRIZZLIES NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 234.5) 

I know the UNDER has hit in each of the Grizzlies last 5 games and the last 2 for the Bucks, but I can't help myself with the OVER when these two face off tonight. I know it's been better here of late, but the Grizzlies are not a good defensive team. They have allowed 9 of their last 14 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. 

After scoring a mere 97 points on 40.5% shooting in Tuesday's ugly 31-point loss to the Nuggets at home, I feel really good about the Bucks offense showing up in a big way in this one. I could easily see Milwaukee scoring 130 in this one. 

I also think the Grizzlies could put up a big number here. Memphis has scored 120+ in 3 of their last 5 and are as healthy as they have been all season. Bucks are also not a great defensive team. They have given up 110 or more in 10 of their last 12 and are allowing 115.1 ppg on 47% shooting in road games this season. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

40* HORNETS/WOLVES NBA TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 232)

I will gladly take my chances here with the OVER 232 in tonight's game between the Hornets and Timberwolves. The OVER has been free money during Charlotte's current 6-game road trip. Each of the first 5 games on this trip have gone OVER the total and all 5 have seen a combined score of at least 234 points with 4 of the 5 going for more than 240. 

I think the only reason this total isn't closer to 240 is because the Timberwolves are coming off a game against the Suns at home where they only scored 99 points. That's just not a big concern for me when you factor in how bad the Hornets have been defensively of late. Charlotte has allowed at least 121 points in all 5 games on this trip and all 5 teams have shot 51% or better from the field. Minnesota also plays no defense, having allowed 118 or more in 4 straight with 3 of those teams going for 128 or more. Give me the OVER 232! 

40* JAZZ/76ERS NBA TOTAL MONEYMAKER (Over 227.5) 

I just can't help myself here with the OVER with a total of just 227.5 in Wednesday's game between the Jazz and 76ers. These two teams just played on Feb. 15 at Utah and combined for 157 points in a 134-123 win for the Jazz. Neither team had an answer for the opposing offense, as both teams shot 50% or better from the field. Philadelphia also got to 123 points despite only making 8 of 23 from long-distance (avg 12 made 3's at home). 

I just don't think it's asking a lot for these two teams to each hit 114 points in this game, as that would be enough to cash the OVER right there. Utah hasn't scored fewer than 112 in 11 straight games and the 76ers are averaging 117.7 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 227.5! 

40* HORNETS/BLAZERS NBA LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Over 233) 

I like the OVER 233 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Blazers and Hornets. The OVER has been cash money in games with Charlotte as the road team. The Hornets have played 16 games away from home and 12 have gone OVER the total. Charlotte is averaging 114.1 ppg on the road and giving up 117.3 ppg. In just the last 5 games the Hornets are scoring 116.8 ppg and giving up 121.8 ppg. 

Key here is the Blazers figure to get back on track offensively after really struggling on that side in their 4-game skid. Portland just ran out of gas playing short-handed. They should have their legs back under them in this one, as they have had the last 2 days off. Prior to losing 4 straight, Blazers had scored at least 115 in 5 straight and I think they easily get there in this one. In fact, I see both teams reaching 120. Give me the OVER 233! 

40* CLIPPERS/BUCKS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Under 237)

There's no denying that these are two of the better offensive teams in the league, but the total here suggests that neither of these two teams will play any defense. I know the defensive numbers aren't great at times for either of these teams, but I think a lot of that is these two teams have a tendency to play defense when they want. I think both can be elite on that side of the ball if they so choose. 

I think both of these teams are going to treat this game a little different. I see it more as a final statement for each team before the All-Star break. I also think the unusual 3:30 EST start time will have both teams a little bit out of their comfort zone on the offensive side of the ball. Give me the UNDER 237! 

40* MAVS/NETS NBA TOTAL STEAMROLLER (OVER 238.5)

I know we have had hit a bit of a rough stretch here with the OVERs in Brooklyn games, as the UNDER has cashed in 3 of their last 4, but I'm not ready to jump off the ship just yet. I think we are actually getting some decent value here, as my numbers suggest that this total should be closer to 245. 

I just think the fact that Dallas is coming off a game where they score just 97 points at Philly and the Nets off a game where they held the Magic to 92, has this total much lower than it should be. Brooklyn is still scoring at an elite level and the Mavs when right are one of the best offensive teams in the league. Key here for me is I think Porzingis will be back for Dallas, as he practiced on Friday. I also think Doncic should be able to expose Harding and Irving, as neither of those like to play defense. I see both teams in the 120s. Give me the OVER 238.5! 

50* MAGIC/NETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 228) 

If you have been following my NBA picks this year, you knew that the OVER in tonight's Brooklyn/Orland game was going to be on the board. I just don't know the books can make the numbers high enough for these Nets games.

I definitely will be a little more cautious with the OVER going forward when Brooklyn plays a top tier team, as we did just see the UNDER cash in their two games with the Lakers and Clippers, but no way am I not taking the OVER when they are playing a sub-par team like Orlando. 

The Nets are so good offensively, even without Durant, that they know they don't have to play all that hard on the defensive end to win games. I definitely don't see them being interested in giving that extra effort against the Magic and it's not like we need 240 in this one, we just need to get to 230. These two combined for 137 in a recent meeting on Jan. 16 and that was with them only reaching 102 at the half. Give me the OVER 228! 

40* KINGS/NETS NBA TOTAL STEAMROLLER (Over 242)

We have lost with the OVER in each of the Nets last two games against the Lakers and Clippers and looking back it probably wasn't the best move to take the OVER in those two games given just how badly the Nets wanted to beat those two teams. We are still way in the profit with the OVER in Brooklyn games this season and will take another shot with the OVER here against the Kings. 

I got a good feeling that the Nets are going to revert right back to their sluggish defensive ways now that they are facing a bad team in the Kings. You also have to factor in that these two teams just played roughly a week ago and combined for 261 points in a 136-125 Brooklyn win. I wouldn't be shocked if we saw a very similar score in the rematch. Give me the OVER 242! 

50* HORNETS/JAZZ NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 229) 

I love the OVER 229 in today's game between the Jazz and Hornets. These two teams played earlier this month (Feb. 5) and combined for a ridiculous 259 points as the Jazz won 138-121 on the road. Now I'm not expecting them to approach to 260 again, but I don't think getting to 230 is asking a lot. I wouldn't be shocked at all if Utah score 130 on their own in this one. 

The big key here being how good a 3-point shooting team Utah is and how bad the Hornets are at defending it. Jazz are shooting 39% and averaging 16 made 3-pointers on the season. Charlotte is allowing opponents to shoot 40% from deep with an average of 16 made 3-pointers on the road. 

The other thing here is because the Jazz figure to have such an easy time scoring, are fresh off two grueling games against the Clippers and have a big home game on deck against LeBron and the Lakers, I don't see them really investing a lot of energy on defense in this one. Give me the OVER 229! 

40* GRIZZLIES/MAVS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 231.5) 

I will take my chances here with the OVER 231.5 in Monday's NBA matchup between the Mavs and Grizzlies. Dallas might not be on the same level as the Nets in terms of an OVER team, but they aren't far off. Mavericks are exceptional on the offensive side of the ball and really have no choice but to try and outscore their opponents with how much they struggle defensively. 

The OVER has cashed in each of the last 7 games for the Mavs and 12 of their last 15 overall. Every game during this 7 game OVER streak has seen at least 235 combined points. This play becomes even easier to make when you look at how Memphis has been playing. Grizzlies consistently have been in high-scoring games as they too are clicking offensively and struggling defensively. OVER is 7-1 in their last 8 and 10-2-1 in their last 13. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

40* NETS/CLIPPERS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 237) 

We didn't get there with the OVER in Brooklyn's last game against the Lakers, but I'm confident we will see a shootout here in LA against the Clippers. I think both of these teams are going to have a hard time bringing their "A" game on the defensive side of the ball. The Nets just played as good a defense as they could in their last game against LeBron and the Lakers. Same thing for the Clippers, who laid it all on the line in their revenge game against Utah. 

With Leonard and George back in the mix for the Clippers, they should really score at will against this Nets defense. Same thing for Brooklyn's offense with Harden and Irving. I got both teams hitting 120 in this one. Play the OVER 237! 

40* PISTONS/GRIZZLIES NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 220.5) 

I will gladly take my chances here with the OVER 220.5 in tonight's NBA game between the Pistons and Grizzlies. Memphis is just one of those teams that you almost have to take the OVER blindly right now. The OVER has cashed in 6 straight and is 9-1-1 in the Grizzlies' last 11 games. The average combined score in Memphis' last 5 games is 238 and all we need here is 221. 

I think the only reason the total here isn't more is because the Pistons aren't a great offensive team, but they are going to score against this Memphis defense. Grizzlies have allowed 7 of their last 9 opponents to shoot 50% or better and given up 110 or more in 9 straight. Give me the OVER 220.5! 

40* SUNS/PELICANS NBA TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 231)

I got no problem taking a shot with the OVER 231 in tonight's matchup between the Suns and Pelicans. The OVER has cashed in each of New Orleans' last 6 games. The Pelicans have scored 124 or more in 4 of their last 6 and at least 110 in 9 straight and 14 of their last 15. Hard to see them not scoring 120+ in this one, as the Suns are slipping on defense right now, having allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. 

Thing is the Pelicans have to score a lot because they are not a good defensive team. New Orleans is giving up 114.5 ppg on 47% shooting on the season and in their last 5 games are allowing 126.8 ppg on 54% shooting. That defense will have to work tonight without big man Steven Adams, so don't expect this to be the game they turn it around. Give me the OVER 231! 

50* BULLS/76ERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 230.5)

I really like the OVER 230.5 in tonight's game between the Bulls and 76ers. The OVER had cashed in 3 straight games for Chicago before Wednesday's low-scoring game with Detroit, where both teams had an awful quarter that kept it UNDER. With the way Chicago can score and their limitations on defense, this is team that should be in a lot of high-scoring games. 

I definitely think that's the case here. The 76ers are really clicking on offense. Philadelphia has scored at least 111 points in 6 straight and 9 of 10 overall. They also have allowed 110 or more in 8 of their last 9. With the uptempo style the Bulls like to play and their lack of defense, I could see this flying past the number here. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

40* NETS/LAKERS NBA TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 235.5)

We are back at it again with another OVER in a game involving the Nets. After flying past their total of 226.5 in their last game at Phoenix (won 128-124) the OVER is now 21-3 in the Nets last 24 games. 

While Durant is out for Brooklyn, they still figure to score at will in this game with the duo of Kyrie Irving and James Harden. As for the Lakers, they won't have AD. I think his loss hurts them a lot more defensively in this matchup. Offensively the Lakers should be just fine here, as Brooklyn has no one that can defend James. I think both teams have a very good shot at getting to 120 in this game. Give me the OVER 235.5! 

50* PISTONS/BULLS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 220)

I love the value here with the OVER 220 in Wednesday's game between the Bulls and Pistons. This is a late addition to the slate, as the league threw this game together last minute after both teams had their original schedule opponents unavailable to play. 

I believe it's going to lead to a more high-scoring game than what me night normally see between these two division rivals. Detroit went from suppose to playing the Spurs at home last night and the Mavs in Dallas tonight to traveling to Chicago. I just don't see them being locked in, especially on the defensive side of the ball. 

Chicago is scoring 114.8 ppg over their last 5 games and really matchup well here. Bulls are a great 3-point shooting team, hitting 38.3% as a team and will be facing a Detroit defense that is allowing opponents to shoot 39% from deep. 

As for the Bulls defense, it's one of the worst in the league. Chicago is giving up 116.0 ppg on 48% shooting. Pistons aren't known for their offense and are only averaging 108.9 ppg on the season, but are averaging 115.4 ppg in their last 5. A stretch that has seen them eclipse 120 on 3 different occasions. If either team hits 120 (both are more than capable) this should fly past the mark. Give me the OVER 220! 

40* NETS/SUNS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 231.5)

If you have been following me of late, you shouldn't be the least bit surprised that I'm taking the OVER 231.5 in Tuesday's game between the Suns and Nets. At this point, it's going to take quite a bit for me to get off the OVER bandwagon in Brooklyn games. The OVER has cashed in 20 of the Nets last 23 games. To no surprise, given how good Brooklyn is offensively and how bad they are defensively. 

I don't have many concerns with the Nets offense, as long as they got at least 2 of their big 3 in action. As for their defense, I think they could be in for a long night here against a red-hot Suns team, especially given Brooklyn is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and have massive road games against the Lakers and Clippers looming. I think at least one of these teams will hit 130 points and could see both eclipsing 120. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

40* PELICANS/GRIZZLIES NBA TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 231.5)

I will gladly take my chances here with the OVER 231.5 between the Pelicans and Grizzlies. You will be hard pressed to find two teams playing worse on the defensive side of the ball going into a matchup than what we have here. 

In the Pelicans last 3 games they have allowed 129 to the Bulls, 143 to the Mavs and 123 to the Pistons. All 3 of those teams shot at least 54% from the field and all 3 games saw at least 235 points. Note that that while the defense has been sloppy, New Orleans is playing great offensively, averaging 121.2 ppg in their last 5. They have scored 109 or more in 13 straight games. 

As for Grizzlies, they have allowed 5 straight opponents and 6 of their last 7 to shoot 50% or better from the field. Memphis has allowed 110 or more points in 7 straight games. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

50* MISSOURI/GEORGIA NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 153.5) 

I love the OVER 153.5 in Tuesday's SEC showdown between Georgia and Missouri. The Bulldogs are exactly the kind of team you want to take an OVER with. Georgia is potent offensively and like to play at a face pace. The Bulldogs rank 5th in the SEC in tempo and are scoring 76.4 ppg in SEC play (79.6 ppg last 5 games). They also play little to no defense, giving up 84.8 ppg in conference play this season. 

Missouri like to play at a little slower tempo, but given how easy it figures to be on the offensive end for them, I look for them to speed it up a little tonight. In the Tigers last 12 games they have faced two teams who rank outside the Top 90 at KenPom in defensive efficiency. In those games they scored 88 against Auburn (No. 93) and 102 against TCU (No. 148). Georgia ranks 140th. 

It's also worth noting that Missouri will be without big man Jeremiah Tilmon, who is their best defensive presence inside. He missed their last game against Arkansas and the Tigers gave up 86 in a game that saw a combined score of 167. Give me the OVER 153.5! 

40* NETS/KINGS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 241.5)

I feel like a broken record with the OVER in Nets games, but it's been one of the best bets in the NBA for well over a month now. The OVER is 19-3 in their last 22 games. It's also 6-0 in their last 6 and 7-1 on the season in games with a total of 238 or more. 

Even with Durant out for this game, I still feel great about the Nets and Kings eclipsing the mark here of 241.5. Brooklyn is still elite offensively with the duo of Irving and Harden and will be up against a Sacramento defense that has allowed 110 or more in 6 straight. 

As for the Kings offense, they have scored 110 or more in 7 straight and 9 of 10 overall. Brooklyn has allowed 115 or more in 13 of their last 15 with 11 of those teams scoring 120 or more. I think both teams hit 120 in this one. Give me the OVER 241.5! 

50* WIZARDS/ROCKETS NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 228.5)

I love the value here with the UNDER 228.5 in Monday's NBA matchup between the Rockets and Wizards. A lot of people just see the fact that Washington is giving up 119.1 ppg and just immediately look to play the OVER. 

Thing is the Wizards have had a bit of bad luck on the defensive end this year. They advanced stats suggest they should be allowing a lot less than they have been and those stats are starting to show as the UNDER has hit in 6 of the last 7 games for the Wizards. 

Not only is it their defense, but it's also their struggles offensively, as Washington has shot 42% or worse from the field in 6 of 7. Houston is in a major offensive funk right now as well, as they are really missing Christian Wood and will also be without Oladipo. Rockets have shot 43% or worse in 5 straight and are scoring just 98.8 ppg during this stretch. Give me the UNDER 228.5! 

40* BLAZERS/MAVS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 235.5) 

I just think the OVER is a really strong play right now in games involving the Mavs. Dallas has finally gotten healthy and we are starting to see them regain that elite offensive form they showed last year. The Mavs are averaging 127.6 ppg on 49.4% shooting in their last 5. 

As good as they have been offensively, they have been just as bad, if not worse, on the defensive side. Dallas is giving up 129.6 ppg over this same 5-game stretch. Blazers are down two starters in Nurkic and McCollum, which I think has people thinking they aren't as strong offensively. Thing is, as long as they got Lillard running the point they are going to be an offensive juggernaut and they got plenty of other guys who can score. Blazers are scoring 117.0 ppg and giving up 115.9 ppg in road games this year. Play the OVER 235.5! 

50* SPURS/HORNETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 228.5) 

I love the OVER 228.5 in Sunday's matchup between San Antonio and Charlotte. I see these two teams easily getting to 230 points. That's basically been every game here of late for the Hornets. In Charlotte's last 5 games they are scoring 118.6 ppg and giving up 114.6 ppg. 

Spurs aren't exactly viewed as a great offensive team, but they are quietly averaging 110.7 ppg and that jumps up to 113.2 ppg on the road. In their last road game at Atlanta on Friday they scored 125 points on 53% shooting and were better than that as they had 110 points thru 3 quarters before throwing in the scrubs in the 4th. 

Spurs are also not a great defensive team. They are giving up 111.5 ppg on 47% shooting from the field and 39% from behind the 3-point line on the season. That poor 3-point defense figures to be a major problem against the Hornets. Charlotte is averaging 14 made 3's and shooting 38% from deep on the season. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

40* NETS/WARRIORS NBA STEAMROLLER (Over 242.5) 

I'm not about to give up with the OVER in Brooklyn games after one low-scoring game. The Nets are off a 104-94 win at home against the Pacers. That was the first time in 8 games they held a team under 120 points. I just think it was more of Indiana not being able to buy a shot in the 1st half. Pacers had 30 points at intermission and then scored 64 in the 2nd half. 

I don't see the Nets slowing down the Warriors, especially with how well Curry is playing right now. At the same time, Brooklyn could go off in this one. They will be getting back Durant and you know he's going to be excited for this one. Nets scored 60+ points on the Warriors in each half when these two met on opening night. Brooklyn has gotten even strong on offense since that game with the addition of Harden and worse defensively. Warriors are also a completely different offensive team now compared to then. Give me the OVER 242.5! 

50* KNICKS/WIZARDS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 218.5) 

I really like the UNDER 218.5 in Friday's slate between the Knicks and Wizards. Washington's defensive numbers don't look great, as they are giving up 120.9 ppg on the season and 126.4 ppg at home. I'm not saying this is a great defensive team, but the advance stats strongly suggest they are a better defensive team than what it shows. Teams have just shot lights out against them. 

That's where the Knicks come into play. New York is one of the few, if not the only, team that wants to win games strictly on their defense. New York is only scoring 101.7 ppg on the road this season. 101.7 ppg would be decent 10 years ago. It's awful in this day an age. With Bradley Beal sitting out this game for rest, the Knicks should be able to turn this into more of a half-court game and keep it well below the number. Give me the UNDER 218.5! 

40* RAPTORS/CELTICS NBA SHARP STAKE (Under 223) 

Most will be quick to take the OVER in Thursday's game between Toronto and Boston, as the OVER has gone a perfect 7-0 in the Raptors' last 7 games. While Toronto has clearly got some things figured out on offense, they have played a bunch of bad defensive teams during this stretch. 

I believe there's reason to believe that this game will be lower-scoring than expected. The Raptors will be playing their 6th straight road game and will be playing this game on no rest. It's also their 5th game in the last 7 days. 

While Toronto figures to be playing at a slower pace than they have been, they also figure to be up against a very motivated Celtics team that will be looking to snap a 2 game skid. Boston did give up 122 at Utah in their last game, but had allowed just 106.8 ppg over their previous 5. They also only give up 107.4 ppg at home. 

UNDER is 8-1 in Toronto's last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 5-1 in their last 6 after a game where they scored 125 or more (had 137 last night). UNDER has also cashed 7 straight times when they are playing their 5th road game in 7 days and is 5-0 this season after allowing 110 or more in 4 straight games. Give me the UNDER 223! 

40* PELICANS/BULLS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 231)

I like the OVER quite a bit with the Pelicans at the Bulls. New Orleans has scored at least 109 points in 10 straight games and have failed to reach that mark only 3 times all season. The Bulls are giving up 114.8 ppg on 48% shooting at home this season. 

I believe the only reason the total here isn't higher, is the fact that Chicago has been in a bunch of low scoring games here of late. However, that's more a result of who they have played, as their last 5 have come against the Knicks (twice), Magic (twice) and Wizards. 

I'm confident the Pelicans will get to at least 120 in this game, but the real key here is that we should get a big output from Chicago as well with New Orleans playing the second of a back-to-back on the road. OVER is 6-1 in the Pelicans last 7 on no rest and 8-1 in their last 9 as a favorite. Give me the OVER 231! 

40* PACERS/NETS NBA OVER/UNDER STEAMROLLER (Over 235)

I'm going to keep playing the OVER in Brooklyn games until they quit going OVER the total at this ridiculous rate. The OVER is 18-2 in the Nets last 20 games. You really can't ask for a better over team. The Nets are one of the best offensive teams in the league and play absolutely no defense. Even without Durant they got more than enough fire-power with Irving and Harden to keep cashing these overs. 

Nets defensively are as bad as I have seen. They have given up 120 or more points in each of their last 7 games and several of those have come against bad offensive teams. With the way Indiana can score and Brooklyn playing here on no rest, I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Pacers eclipsed 130 in this game. Nets are going to score at least 110 and more than likely will be in the 120s. Give me the OVER 235!

50* RAPTORS/WIZARDS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (OVER 232)

I love the OVER 232 in today's game between the Raptors and Wizards. Washington has seen the UNDER cash in 4 straight, but all of those were on the road and against some subpar offensive teams in the Heat (twice), Hornets and Bulls. Prior to this recent stretch the OVER had cashed in 11 of 16 games involving the Wizards. OVER is also a dominant 7-2 in the 9 home games Washington has played. Not a big surprise that the Wizards are an OVER team at home. They play at one of the fastest tempos in the league, are scoring 121.3 ppg at home and giving up 125.2 ppg. 

As for the Raptors, they are red-hot offensively right now. Toronto is averaging 122.0 ppg over their last 5 and are scoring 116.5 and giving up 115.7 ppg on the road this season. OVER has cashed in each of the Raptors last 6 games and is 9-4 in their 13 road games. Give me the OVER 232! 

50* NETS/PISTONS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (OVER 230)

I love the OVER between Brooklyn and Detroit tonight. Even with Kevin Durant sidelined, the Nets are still an offensive juggernaut with Irving and Harden. Those two can more than carry the load and I expect both to be on point here to make sure the Nets don't lose a 3rd straight game. 

Thing is those two are also a big liability on the defensive side of the ball and we have seen the Nets consistently give up a ton of points to bad offensive teams like Detroit. Brooklyn has allowed 120 or more points in 10 of their last 11 games. There's a good chance both teams hit 120 points in this game. The total here should be closer to 240. Give me the OVER 230! 

40* NOTRE DAME/DUKE NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Over 146.5) 

I like the OVER 146.5 in today's ACC clash between Duke and Notre Dame. Both of these offenses are capable of putting up 80 points in this game. Notre Dame is absolutely on fire right now on the offensive side of the ball. Irish have shot 51% or better from the field in each of their last 3 games and scored at least 79 in all 3. They will be going up against a Duke defense that has allowed each of their last two opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. 

The Blue Devils have scored 75 or more in 4 straight and are averaging 77.4 ppg at home on the season. Duke scored 75 points on 52% shooting in an earlier meeting this season. That was the first time 5 meetings the Blue Devils didn't score at least 83 on the Irish. 

OVER is 8-2 in Duke's 10 conference games this season, 20-6 in their last 26 at home and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 at home off a conference loss. OVER is also a perfect 6-0 in Notre Dame's last 6 off a road loss by 3-points or less. Give me the OVER 146.5! 

40* RAPTORS/NETS NBA STEAMROLLER (OVER 241.5) 

I know a total in the 240's is extremely high for an NBA game, but I don't think it's that big of a challenge in a game involving this Nets team. Brooklyn has turned into an offensive juggernaut with their big 3 of Durant, Harden and Irving. Because it's so easy for them on offense, they don't really invest a lot on the defensive end. The Nets have allowed at least 115 in points in 12 of their last 14 games. They have scored 120+ in 8 of their last 10. 

The Raptors are giving up 114.2 ppg on the road this season and 116 ppg over their last 5. I just don't see Toronto being able to slow down this Nets offense. On the flip side, I don't think it's asking much for the Raptors to hit the 120 mark, especially when you factor in Brooklyn likely not playing much defense here with a big game on deck tomorrow at Philadelphia. Give me the OVER 241.5! 

40* WARRIORS/MAVS NBA STEAMROLLER (OVER 227) 

We cashed the OVER last night in the Mavs 122-116 win at Atlanta, which easily surpassed the total of 224. I will fire right back with the OVER in tonight's home game for Dallas against the Warriors. I just don't see a lot of defense being played in this one. 

For the Mavs, they just aren't going to have the legs to give the kind of effort needed on the defensive end. Not only is Dallas playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, but this will be their 5th game in the last 7 days. 

For the Warriors, they got no choice but to play small-ball as their top 3 centers are all out with injuries after Kevin Looney went down in their last game against the Celtics. They are really forced to try and win with their offense. If Porzingis plays (he could sit due to rest), he will have a field day inside, but even if he doesn't the Mavs should score with relative ease. Give me the OVER 227! 

40* MAVERICKS/HAWKS NBA ANNIHILATOR (Over 222.5) 

I like the OVER 222.5 between the Mavs and Hawks. Both of these teams are far from dominant on the defensive side of the ball. Atlanta is giving up 110.0 ppg and Dallas is giving up 110.7 ppg. I don't see either team being all that invested defensively in this one. The Mavs have been running on fumes for weeks and while they are as healthy as they have been, a lot of those guys are still working their way back into shape. 

Hawks are clearly a team built around their offense and after a big defensive effort on Monday against the defending champs, I don't see them being all that invested on that side of the ball, especially with another game on deck tomorrow against the red-hot Jazz. I really think the total here should be closer to 230 and not 220. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* CLIPPERS/NETS NBA TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 242.5) 

I just can't help myself here with the OVER in Tuesday's big matchup between the Nets and Clippers. I know 242.5 looks like a big number and it is, but not so much when you look at how Brooklyn's games have been playing out. 

The Nets might be the best offensive team we have seen. They are scoring at will and are expected to have their big 3 of Durant, Irving and Harden for this game. One of the big reasons they are scoring so much is they aren't playing any defense. They have been letting mediocre offenses score 120+ points at will. The Clippers are far from mediocre.

In the Nets last 9 games they have seen a combined score of 237 points or more with each of their last 3 games going for at least 160. All we need here is for both teams to score in the 120's to cash this ticket and I think that's about as low as these two could go. Give me the OVER 242.5!  

40* GEORGIA/AUBURN NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Over 159)

I got no problem playing OVER the big number of 159 in tonight's SEC showdown between Auburn and Georgia. Auburn was already a top tier offense in the SEC but the addition of freshmen sensation Sharife Cooper has taken them to another level. The Tigers are averaging 81.6 ppg in their last 5. 

I look for them to have no problem getting to 80 points in this game. Georgia is giving up a staggering 82.6 ppg in conference play and a staggering 87.5 ppg in road games this season. When ever they have faced a decent offense their defense has been exposed. 

Now add in the fact that Auburn doesn't play much defense of their own and these two teams love to push the pace and you got the makings of a game that will easily get into the 160s. Give me the OVER 159! 

50* ROCKETS/THUNDER NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (OVER 222.5) 

I love the OVER 222.5 in Monday's matchup between the Thunder and Rockets. I really think this Rockets team is better than they get credit for and could end up being quite the juggernaut offensively. They come into this game off 126 point outburst in a 14-point win at New Orleans and I look for the offense to have another big game on the road against OKC tonight. 

Thunder just gave up 147 points in regulation to the Nets and have allowed 112 or more in 8 of their last 10 games. OVER is 6-2 in OKC's last 8 games and in their last 5 they are scoring 111.6 ppg and giving up 118.8 ppg. They also are allowing a staggering 121.9 ppg at home this season. I just think the total here should be closer to 230. Give me the OVER 222.5!  

40* WASH ST/WASHINGTON NCAAB STEAMROLLER (OVER 140) 

I like the OVER quite a bit in Sunday's Pac-12 matchup between in-state rivals Washington and Washington State. You got two teams here that have been playing absolutely no defense. The Huskies are giving up 77.3 ppg on the season and a ridiculous 83.2 ppg in conference play. I know Washington State's offense isn't great, but they can easily get 70 here. As for the Cougars defense, they are allowing 76.2 ppg on the road and 77.4 ppg over their last 5 conference games. Hard to see them slowing down a Washington offense that is averaging 77.8 ppg in their last 5. Give me the OVER 140! 

40* MAGIC/RAPTORS NBA SHARP STAKE (Under 220.5)

The books have missed the mark in Sunday's NBA total between the Raptors and Magic. Orlando is one of the worst offensive teams in the league. The only teams worse than the Magic in offensive efficiency this season are the Cavs and Timberwolves and keep in mind this is a Orlando team that has lost one of their best offensive playmakers in Markelle Fultz. Toronto has a decent offense with a bad defense, which I believe is why the total is in the 220s, but the Raptors will be playing here without two of their top offensive options in Norman Powell and OG Anunoby. On top of all that, the UNDER has cashed in 10 of the last 13 meetings and each of the last 9 meetings have seen fewer points than the total posted here. Give me the UNDER 220.5! 

40* RICHMOND/ST. JOE'S NCAAB STEAMROLLER (OVER 152.5) 

I look for Richmond and St. Joe's to fly past the total of 152.5 today. Richmond is averaging 76.2 ppg in A-10 play and have scored at least 77 in all but one game. The lone exception being 66 points against St. Bonaventure, who has the No. 1 defense in the conference. 

The Spiders will have to have their worst shooting performance of the season to not hit 80 points against the Hawks. St. Joseph's is giving up 84.7 ppg on the season and 82.3 ppg for the year. A big reason for that is not only are they not good defensively, but they combine that by playing at one of the fastest paces in the country. They have allowed 80 or more in 6 of their 7 league games. 

Key here is that Richmond loves to play fast and aren't very good defensively . They are 13th out of 14 teams in effective FG% defense in the A-10. They are letting opponents shoot 57% on 2-point attempts, which is huge here as the Hawks are not a good 3-point shooting team. I think this one easily gets into the 160s. Give me the OVER 152.5! 

40* BULLS/HORNETS NBA SHARP STAKE (OVER 227) 

I really like the OVER 227 in Friday's NBA matchup between Chicago and Charlotte. The Bulls have really been playing well here of late and almost all of their games during this stretch have been high-scoring. The OVER is 5-1 in their last 6. Not a huge surprise given that Chicago is playing at the second fastest pace in the league and are also one of the worst defensive teams in the league. 

Charlotte games this season have seen an average of 115.7 ppg, but when you factor in the pace that this one will be played at, it's easy to see them getting to 230. Note that both teams are going to have fresh legs. Bulls are playing on 3 days of rest and the Hornets are playing on 5 days of rest. Give me the OVER 227! 

40* DUKE/PITTSBURGH NCAAB STEAMROLLER (OVER 141.5) 

I like the OVER 141.5 in tonight's ACC matchup between Pittsburgh and Duke. The Blue Devils are as healthy as they have been in a while and I'm expecting them to really come out locked in offensively after a mere 67-points last time out against Va Tech. That game was last Tuesday, so Duke has had plenty of practice time to get things figured out. 

Pitts defense is currently the best in the ACC, but I'm not buying it. I just don't see them being able to slow down Duke in this one. Key here is I do think the Panthers got some offensive fire-power and the Blue Devils are not a good defensive team. I think both teams easily score 70 in this one. Give me the OVER 141.5! 

40* THUNDER/NUGGETS NBA SLAUGHTER (Over 220.5) 

I look for the Nuggets and Thunder to easily eclipse the total of 220.5 tonight. Denver is kind of built for high-scoring games, as they rely on their offense to win them games. The Nuggets are 4th in the NBA in offensive efficiency and 25th in defensive efficiency.

Denver has played 13 gams this season. They have scored at least 103 points in every game and only once have they held their opponents under 100 points and that was the Knicks. In the Nuggets last 10 games they have allowed their opponent to shoot 46% or better 8 times. The Knicks game and a game against a depleted 76ers team because of Covid are the only two teams they held under that mark during this stretch. 

In the Thunders' last 5 games they are averaging 111.6 ppg and giving up 114.0 ppg. To me this total should be closer to 230 than 220. Give me the OVER 220.5!