50* KANSAS/BAYLOR NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 141)

I will gladly take the UNDER 141 in Monday's huge Big 12 matchup between No. 2 Baylor and No. 6 Kansas. The Bears are elite on the defensive side of the ball and while Kansas isn't as good defensively as they have been in recent years, they are still more than capable of holding their own on that side of the ball. 

Baylor just played a similar team to Kansas in Texas Tech on Saturday and they won that game by a final of 168 to 160 for a combined score of just 128. Kansas is certainly going to be motivated for this game and should be locked in defensively here off a loss and playing on a week of rest. UNDER has cashed in 10 of the last 13 meetings between these two teams when they play at Baylor. In both meetings last year they combined for 122 and 125 points. Give me the UNDER 141! 

40* BULLS/MAVERICKS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Over 227) 

I don't expect a whole lot of defense to be played in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Bulls and Mavericks. Chicago's not a great defensive team to start with, but more than anything the Bulls just can't have much gas left in the tank. This will be their 6th straight road game and 9th road game in their last 10 overall. Their spirits also have to be a bit crushed coming off that horrific collapse at OKC on Friday. They have allowed 117 or more in each of the last 4. Dallas can definitely score, but with them coming off a massive game at Milwaukee on Friday and them leaving for a 3-game road trip that starts tomorrow in Toronto, I don't see them being all that invested on the defensive side either. Give me the OVER 227! 

40* BAYLOR/TEXAS TECH NCAAB NO-BRAINER (Under 139)

I just can't help myself here with the UNDER 139 in Saturday's Big 12 showdown between Texas Tech and Baylor. These are just two of the best defensive teams in the Big 12, they are two of the best in the entire country. The Bears are 3rd nationally in defensive efficiency and Texas Tech is 5th. I know Baylor is great offensively, but this is by far the best defense they have faced this year and it's unlikely they go offensively on the road. I just don't see either team getting to 70 points. Play the UNDER 139! 

40* KENTUCKY/AUBURN NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Under 146) 

I think we are getting a great price here with the UNDER in Saturday's SEC matchup between Kentucky and Auburn. Neither of these teams are great offensively. Kentucky is 9th in the SEC in offensive efficiency and Auburn is 10th. The Wildcats are 3rd in the SEC in 3P% compared to 12th in 2P%. That plays right into the Tigers strength defensively. Auburn is just 9th in 2P% defense and 4th in 3P% defense. It's the same thing on the other side. The Tigers are 1st in 2P% offense and 7th in 3P%. Kentucky's defense is 1st in 2P% defense and 13th in 3P% defense. Both teams are built to take away what the other does the best. Give me the UNDER 146! 

40* OLD DOMINION/RICE NCAAB STEAMROLLER (OVER 146) 

I love the value here with the OVER 146 in Friday's C-USA clash between Old Dominion and Rice. For starters, the Owls are your ideal OVER team. Rice is not only efficient offensively, they like to play fast. The Owls are No. 1 in C-USA in offensive efficiency and No. 2 in tempo. They need all the scoring they can get because they don't play much defense. They are 13th in conference play in defensive efficiency. Old Dominion is mediocre offensively and average defensively, but more than anything will be forced to play at Rice's fast pace. Give me the OVER 146! 

40* MINNESOTA/MICHIGAN NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Under 152) 

I'm going to take the UNDER 152 in today's Big Ten matchup between Michigan and Minnesota. I just feel the number here is inflated quite a bit due to the Wolverines coming into this game averaging 77.7 ppg in their 4 Big Ten games. What people will overlook is those 4 games have come against the 4 worst defensive teams in the conference. 

Minnesota isn't elite defensively, but they are 5th in the Big Ten in adjusted defensive efficiency and 1st in opponents effective field goal percentage. As for Michigan's defense, they rank 1st in defensive efficiency and 2nd in effective field goal defense. Gophers offense has also not traveled well. In Minnesota two road games this season they scored 65 vs Illinois and 59 against Wisconsin. Give me the UNDER 152! 

40* VCU/GEORGE MASON NCAAB SLAUGHTER (Over 136.5) 

I see a ton of value here with the OVER 136.5. VCU can flat out score the basketball. In the Rams last 5 games they are averaging 85.4 ppg. After giving up 74 to a depleted Dayton team in their last game, I'm confident that VCU will score at least 80 in this one. 

That means we need roughly 60 from George Mason to eclipse this total and I think they hit that mark with relative ease on their home floor. VCU is giving up 68.4 ppg on the road and a lot of that is due to the pace they play at. The Patriots will have ample opportunities. As long as they don't shoot like 35% or something, this thing is going to fly over the total. Give me the OVER 136.5! 

40* PITT/SYRACUSE NCAAB NO-BRAINER (Under 141) 

These two teams have both been off for almost 3 weeks. Syracuse hasn't played a game since Dec. 19th and Pitt has been off since Dec. 22nd. Both are going to have to shake off a lot of rust on the offensive side of the ball. I also think we are going to see both teams bring it defensively with fresh legs. 

Syracuse is definitely playing faster than they have in recent years, but they have also played a pretty easy schedule, which I believe is aiding those numbers. It also has people looking over the defense of these two teams. Both have the ability to really lock down the opposition. 

Another thing is that these are two of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the country. Pitt ranks 224th in KenPom's 3P% and Syracuse 216th. Pitt is also offensively challenged and are without one of their best players in sophomore guard Justin Champagnie. 

In the two meetings last year these two combined for 130 and 121 points. Give me the UNDER 141!  

40* MIZZU/MISS ST NCAAB SHARP STAKE (UNDER 138.5)

I'm going to take the UNDER 138.5 in Tuesday's SEC matchup between Missouri and Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are a team that want to slow the game down as much as possible. Mississippi State comes into this game ranked 340th out of 357 D-I teams in adjusted tempo. 

The definitely are going to want to slow it down in this one, as they are coming off a double-overtime game against Kentucky on Saturday which saw 5 different players log 34 or more minutes with two guys playing 44 or more. That game with the Wildcats ended up with 151 combined points, but they only combined for 122 (61-61) in regulation. 

Missouri just played a game against Arkansas that saw a combined 149 points, but note that the Razorbacks like to play fast, ranking 29th in adjusted tempo. In the game before against Tennessee, which ranks 300th in pace, they saw just 126 combined points. The game before that against Bradley, which ranks 305th in tempo only saw 107 points. Give me the UNDER 138.5! 

40* OKLAHOMA ST/W VIRGINIA NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Under 142.5) 

I like the UNDER 142.5 in Monday's Big 12 matchup that has No. 9 West Virginia going on the road against Oklahoma State. The Mountaineers aren't playing at the same pace as we have seen over the last few years, as they are currently way back at 243rd in adjusted tempo. They kind need to slow it down with their offense, as they are just 254th in effective FG% and 271st in 2P%.

They also make up for their offense with a strong defense, which comes in ranked 13th in the country in adjusted efficiency. On top of that, they just recently had one of their top scorers Oscar Tshiebwe leave the team. 

Oklahoma State does prefer to play at a faster pace, but I don't think they will be looking to push the pace as much in this one. That's because the Cowboys have had just 1 day off after playing an OT game at Texas Tech on Saturday. A game that saw 4 different players log at least 33 minutes. Cowboys can also defense, as they are 27th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Give me the UNDER 142.5! 

40* INDIANA/MARYLAND NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Under 136.5)

I think this is a great price and spot to take a shot on the UNDER 136.5 in Monday's Big Ten showdown between Indiana and Maryland. These are two teams that aren't exactly looking to push the pace. The Hoosiers rank 299th in adjusted tempo and are playing at the 12th slowest pace of the 14 Big Ten teams. Maryland is even slower, ranking 305th in adjusted tempo and 13th in the conference. 

On of the slow pace, you have two teams that are very strong defensively. Maryland is also down a starter with Darryl Morsell sidelined, which really hurts their rotation, as they were basically playing just 7 guys. 

UNDER has cashed in 18 of Indiana's last 26 games vs a team with a winning record and the average score in these games is just 133.1 ppg. UNDER is also 10-2 in their last 12 after giving up 80+ in their last game and 12-3 in their last 15 at home after losing 2 of their last 3. Give me the UNDER 136.5! 

40* GRIZZLIES/CELTICS NBA SHARP STAKE (Under 221) 

I just don't see tonight's game between the Grizzlies and Celtics getting into the 220s. On one side you have a Memphis team that is going to be without their best player in star point guard Ja Morant. Not to mention they are still missing two other key pieces in Justice Winslow and Jaren Jackson Jr. I know they scored 116 in their last game against the Nets after Morant went down early, but Brooklyn sat their two stars in Durant and Irving. 

As for Boston, the Celtics just played a massive a huge game at Indiana last night. A game Boston desperately wanted after losing their last two, including the game before at Indiana by 1-point. Celtics had to use a ton of energy up to rally for that win last night as they trailed by double-digits going into the 4th quarter. I just don't see the energy being there for Boston on no rest. They certainly aren't going to be looking to push the tempo. Give me the UNDER 221.5! 

40* BULLS/WIZARDS NBA SHARP STAKE (Over 234) 

I got no problem playing the OVER with the high total in Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Wizards and Bulls. This is the ideal matchup for a high-scoring game, as we have two teams that like to push the pace and are not good defensively. Both are on a day of rest, so their legs should be fresh. They also both turn it over a decent amount, so both offenses should get a lot of quick easy scores in transition. 

Bulls are 23rd in the league in defensive efficiency, while the Wizards are sitting at 26th. Chicago is 2nd in the league in pace behind only the Warriors and Washington is 3rd. Bulls have allowed 124 or more points in each of their 3 games so far, including 129 to the Warriors who are dead last right now in offensive efficiency. Wizards aren't much better, giving up 121 ppg. Give me the OVER 234! 

40* TEXAS A&M/LSU NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Over 141) 

I look for LSU and Texas A&M to easily eclipse the total of 141 in tonight's SEC matchup. This LSU team is an offensive juggernaut. The Tigers rank in the Top 10 in both adjusted offensive efficiency (6th) and effective FG% (10). They also are Top 50 in the country in pace. LSU has scored at least 81 points in each of their 6 games. 

I feel the value stems here from the fact that Texas A&M comes in allowing just 60.7 ppg, but I'm not buying that as a sign that this Aggies team is elite defensively. I think it's just more of who they have played and that's a bunch of bad teams. Texas A&M's strength of schedule ranks 315th, as the only team they have played in the Top 140 is TCU and they gave up 73 to the Horned Frogs. 

I know the Aggies scored just 55 in that loss to TCU, but LSU is not a great defensive team and tend to give up quite a bit of points. They have given up 81 to SIU Edwardsville and 80 to Nicholls State. They also allowed 85 to St. Louis. I just think there's a high probability here that both teams surpass 70 points. Give me the OVER 141! 

40* MICHIGAN ST/MINNESOTA NCAAB NO-BRAINER (Under 157.5) 

While I would have loved to get the opening number of 160, I still see a ton of value here with the UNDER at 157.5. Really I think anything over 150 is worth a play. With the spread right around 2.5 points this total is calling for a final score of like 80-77. That's a ton of points for two teams playing on just two days of rest. 

Not only should the lack of time off lead to a slower tempo, you also got to think Michigan State is going to really come out fired up on the defensive side after starting out 0-2 in Big Ten play. As for Minnesota this feels like a bit of a flat spot coming off a huge upset win at home against No. 4 Iowa in overtime. Their star player Marcus Carr played 43 minutes in that game with 3 others logging 30+ minutes. 

In last year's two meetings between these two teams they combined for 132 and 122 total points and you have to go back to the 2014-15 campaign to find the last time these two teams combined for more than 150 points. Give me the UNDER 157.5! 

40* NORTHWESTERN/INDIANA NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Under 140.5) 

I think we are getting some big time value with the UNDER at the total of 140.5.  Indiana is a team that's built on their defense. They had 5 quality opponents in non-conference in Providence, Texas, Stanford, FSU and Butler. The most they allowed in any of those game in regulation was 63. They also failed to score 70 in 3 of the 5. They don't shoot great from deep, are a bad free throw shooting team and don't love to push the pace. 

Northwestern is a team that is coming off a shocking 79-65 win against Michigan State at home, but if you watched that game you could see the Spartans weren't ready to play. You can't knock the Wildcats for playing harder, I just don't think it will be as easy offensively for them in their first game away from home against the likes of Indiana. 

Defensively I think Northwestern is for real. They are 45th in adjusted efficiency, 3rd in effective field goal% defense and rank in the Top 25 defending both the 2-Pt (11th) and 3-Pt (22nd). They got the guys inside to make it tough on the Hoosiers. Give me the UNDER 140.5! 

50* PELICANS/RAPTORS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 228.5) 

I will gladly take the OVER 228.5 in Wednesday's NBA season opener between the Pelicans and Raptors. I feel like these are going to be two of the highest scoring teams in the league this year. Toronto is a team that shot and made a lot of 3's last year and from the looks of it will be shooting it even more. That's pretty evident with them replacing their two big men of Ibaka and Gasol with Aron Baynes. They were jacking up 40+ 3's in the preseason. 

As for the Pelicans, the minutes restrictions are off for Zion and this team is built to get up and down the floor with all their youth and athleticism. They also got plenty of guys who shoot from deep. I look for Zion to feast against the small-ball Raptors lineup and for this game to fly past the total. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

50* WARRIORS/NETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 231.5) 

I think we are going to see the Warriors and Nets fly past the total of 231.5 tonight. Golden State won't have Draymond Green for this game and lost Klay Thompson for the year. The loss of Thompson is big, but his absence will be more felt on defense than offense. I don't see the offense having any trouble to score with the trio of Steph Curry, Andrew Wiggins and Kelly Oubre Jr. These 3 are going to shoot and make a ton of 3-pointers this year. 

As for the Nets, we finally get to see the dynamic duo of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. These are two of the most skilled offensive players in the league. While Durant is a solid defender, Irving is a major liability on that side of the ball. 

You also have to factor in all the new pieces both teams are working in compared to last year. The lack of chemistry usually impacts the defense a lot more than the offense. I wouldn't be surprised if both teams scored 120+ points. Give me the OVER 231.5! 

40* MARYLAND/RUTGERS NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Under 137.5) 

I think we are getting a great price with the UNDER between Rutgers and Maryland. This will be the Big Ten opener for both teams and I'm expecting a big time effort from both sides. Maryland comes in off an ugly 67-51 loss at Clemson. While their stingy defense did their part, the offense really struggled in their first game against a quality defense. 

It doesn't get any easier for the Terps against the Scarlet Knights, who are one of the best defensive teams in the country. Just look at Rutgers last game against Syracuse. They held the Orange to 69 points. The very next game for Syracuse they put up 101 on BC. 

Both teams have scored a lot in non-conference, but it's just a different beast in Big Ten play. Big thing to keep in mind With Rutgers strong offensive numbers is they have played every game at home. Keep in mind the Scarlet Knights won just 2 road games all of last year and one of those was an OT win against Purdue in the final game of the season. Give me the UNDER 137.5! 

40* FLORIDA/FLORIDA ST NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Under 140) 

I just think there's a ton a value here with a total of 140 in Saturday's big in-state showdown between Florida and Florida State. If you watched any of the FSU/Indiana game you can see the struggles that this Seminoles team is going to have scoring against teams who can protect the rim and not let them get easy looks down low. They went from scoring 86 in their opener against North Florida to just 62 in regulation against Indiana. 

Florida is every bit as good defensively as the Hoosiers, if not better. The Gators come in 17th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency and are 11th in the nation in 2-Pt % defense. 

Florida has put up some solid offensive numbers to this point, but they have played two teams outside the top 200 in Kenpom in Army and Stetson. They did score 80 against BC, who is currently No. 85, but the Eagles are not a strong defensive team. They gave up 97 to St. John's, 76 to Villanova and 85 to Minnesota. 

FSU always seems to have big long and athletic players and this year is no different. Seminoles also are 17th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 12th in 2-Pt % defense. 

Last year these two teams combined for just 114 points and the books completely missed the mark in that one with a total of 135. Give me the UNDER 140! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 150.5) 

This game has a frantic up and down pace written all over it. Both Nebraska and Creighton want to push the tempo and waste no time getting a shot up. Both teams rank in the Top 25 in terms of average possession length. Creighton ranks 23rd at 14.6 and Nebraska is 9th at 14.1. 

I really think this favors the Bluejays, who not only like to play fast, but are extremely efficient on the offensive end. Creighton is 7th in adjusted offensive efficiency, 17th in effective FG% and 4th in 2-PT%. Nebraska isn't quite on that level, but with number of possessions that each team figures to have, we should have no problem here eclipsing 150 points. Give me the OVER 150.5. 

40* CREIGHTON/KANSAS NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Under 151) 

I just think there's a lot of value here on the UNDER 151 in Tuesday's big matchup between No. 5 Kansas and No. 8 Creighton. I think the number here on the total is a bit inflated given that the Jayhawks come in averaging 80.6 ppg and the Bluejays are even better at 85.3 ppg. 

Thing you have to realize with Creighton is they haven't played anyone of significance. Their 3 wins are against North Dakota State, Nebraska-Omaha and Kennesaw State. The only one of those 3 that rank in the Top 200 is ND State (No. 175) and the Bluejays only scored 69 points in their victory against them. 

Kansas allowed 102 to Gonzaga in their opener, but have really locked up opponents defensively since that game. Jayhawks come in ranked 5th in the country in defensive adjusted efficiency. Creighton is also a good defensive team, ranking 50th in adjusted defensive efficiency and in the Top 50 in both 3-Pt % and 2-Pt % defense. Give me the UNDER 151! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 145)

I was shocked to see this total at less than 150. FIU can score and score in a hurry with their ability to torch teams from long distance. It's early, but you have to take notice to the fact that FIU leads the country in 3-Pointers attempted per field goal attempted at 61.2% (D-1 average is 37.5%). Not only that they rank 2nd in effective FG% and #22 in 3-Point%. Jacksonville State will be happy to play this style as they are 15th in 3PA/FGA at 50.6%. There's a chance both teams have an off night, but if we just get average shooting from these two, this thing is going past this total. Give me the OVER 145! 

40* OKLAHOMA ST/MARQUETTE NCAAB SHARP STAKE (OVER 147.5) 

Both of these teams want to run and gun. Oklahoma State is averaging 80.0 ppg and are attempting 24 3-point shots/game, making an average of 8. Marquette is at 87.0 ppg with 22 3-point attempts and 9 makes per game. Only reason Marquette games haven't been higher scoring is they have played two dud offenses in Ark-Pine Bluff and E Illinois. Both shot worse than 28% from the field against the Golden Eagles. 

Similar story two Oklahoma State, who has played a couple of poor offenses in Texas-Arlington and Texas Southern. I just don't think either of these teams will be able to stop the other from scoring and the only reason this total isn't pushing 155 is because of the misleading defensive numbers these two have posted. Give me the OVER 147.5! 

50* UNC/STANFORD NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 143.5)

I'm confident we are going to get a shootout in Tuesday's matchup between North Carolina and Stanford. The Tar Heels come in ranked No. 14 and have looked impressive early on on the offensive side of the ball. As you would expect, UNC wants to play fast and use all that athleticism to their advantage.

I got a feeling the Cardinal will be happy to play up-tempo. They just put up 82 points on Alabama and not many like to play at the frantic pace of the Crimson Tide. Only reason that game didn't get into the 150's was Alabama shot 7 of 29 from deep. I would be shocked if both teams don't eclipse 70 points. This total should be closer to 150. Give me the OVER 143.5! 

40* N TEXAS/ARKANSAS CBB STEAMROLLER (Over 142.5) 

Don't be fooled by the fact that Arkansas only brings back 1 starter. The Razorbacks have a great coach in Eric Musselman and have went out and retooled the roster with 6 transfers and 4 freshman. They put up a 142 points in their opener against Mississippi Valley State. They didn't just feast inside. Arkansas shot 20 of 40 (50%) from deep. 

Clearly this team wants to run and gun this season. While that's not quite the style of North Texas, I think the Mean Green are more than capable of playing at a faster pace. They too opened against Miss Valley State. They scored 116 and made 21 3-pointers. North Texas has 4 of their top 6 scorers back and one of the best players in C-USA in senior Javion Hamlet.

I think these two will easily hit the 150 mark. Give me the OVER 142.5! 

50* CELTICS/HEAT NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 213.5)

As much as I want to fire back on the Heat at +3.5 after cashing on them in Game 4, I'm going to take the UNDER 213.5. Game 4 ended up going over the total by 9 points, but the OVER didn't look good for the majority of that game. We got a 35-33 4th quarter (a lot of late scoring). I get it happens, but I don't see Game 5 coming close to this number. 

Miami wants to finish this thing off and the Celtics are facing elimination. We haven't seen a lot of games go OVER the total since the first round completed, especially late in the series like we are here. Give me the UNDER 213.5!  

40* ROCKETS/THUNDER NBA NO-BRAINER (Under 216.5)

There's really no choice here but to take a shot with the UNDER in Game 7 between the Rockets and Thunder. With the Nuggets/Jazz going well under the total last night (combined for just 158 points with a total of 215.5), UNDERS are now a perfect 7-0 in Game 7s going back to the start of last postseason. 

The Rockets have been such a high-scoring team this season that I just think people have a hard time taking the UNDER. Thing is playoffs are a different beast and the Thunder matchup really well with them on the defensive side. UNDER has cashed in each of the last two in the series. Give me the UNDER 216.5!

40* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Over 238) 

I want to take Dallas and the points, but I try to stay clear of public dogs. Wouldn't surprise if they did cover. With that said, I feel the better bet is on the OVER. The Clippers made easy work of the Mavs defense in Game 4. They put 154 points on 63% shooting. I just don't think Dallas will be able to slow them down. They seemed to come out with a different fire in Game 4 and I don't see that going away. Key here is Luka and the Mavs will not go down without a fight and with Luka the Mavs are going to score. Give me the OVER 238! 

50* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 234.5)

I wanted to take the points with the Mavs and might have a little side action on them, but I believe the real value in this game is the OVER. These are two of the best offenses the NBA has to offer. Mavs have shot 50% or better from the field in 3 straight games. Luka Doncic has taken his game to another level and this Dallas team is oozing with confidence after winning Game 4 on a buzzer beater. There's just too much star-power and great shooters on the floor. I think this total should be closer 240. Give me the OVER 234.5! 

40* NUGGETS/JAZZ NBA NO-BRAINER (Over 219)

I think we are getting a steal with the total sitting less than 220 for Game 5 between the Nuggets and Jazz. Utah has Denver's defense figured out and I don't think there's anything they are going to implement in this one that will change the outcome. Jazz have scored at least 124 points in all 4 games to this point. They have shot 51% or better in the last 3, including 58% in Game 4, a game Denver had to have. Nuggets have allowed 50% or better shooting in 6 of their last 7 overall. It is what it is at this point. All we need is for Denver to not have a horrible night shooting and this thing should fly past the number. Give me the OVER 219! 

40* NUGGETS/JAZZ NBA NO-BRAINER (Over 217) 

I see a ton of value here with the OVER 217 in Game 4 between the Nuggets and Jazz. These two flew past the posted totals in Game 1 and Game 2. They combined for 160 in Game 1 and 129 in Game 2. They did go for just 211 in Game 3, but that was with the Nuggets scoring just 87 points on a miserable 38% shooting. Denver had shot 52% and 46% in the first two games. Utah has scored at least 124 in all 3 games. I see this easily getting to 220 and wouldn't be shocked if it eclipsed 230. Give me the OVER 217! 

50* BLAZERS/LAKERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 225) 

The books keeping dropping the total, but I don't think they have adjusted enough for Game 3. The Lakers/Blazers combined for just 193 points in Game 1, which had a total of 234. They then had just 199 in Game 2 with a total of 227.5

The Lakers defense has completely shut down the Blazers offense. Portland shot a mere 39% in their win in Game 1 and hit only 40% in Game 2. Lakers had a great offensive game and still only had 111 points. LA shot 48% from the field and connected on 14 3-pointers after making only 5 in Game 1. 

I just think we are going to see more of the same from the Lakers defense. With how inconsistent the Lakers shooting has been, they likely regress from their strong Game 2 performance. Give me the UNDER 225! 

50* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Under 229.5) 

I really like the value here with the UNDER at 229.5 in Game 1 between the Clippers/Mavs. I know Dallas didn't play great defense in their 8-game bubble restart, but you have to keep in mind they really had nothing to play for. They were all but locked into the No. 7 seed in the west. I think the intensity goes up a lot for the Mavs. As for the Clippers, they are a top tier defensive team, but I feel they got another level they can take it to. Play the UNDER 229.5! 

50* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 222.5) 

I see a ton of value here with the OVER 222.5. Last time out the Magic played a very low scoring game against the Raptors, which ended at 208 with a total of 222. However, each of their first 3 games had gone over the total. All 3 seeing at least 229 and all 3 the Magic gave up 116 or more. 

While the 76ers won't have Ben Simmons for this game, I think that could play to our advantage. It gets another guy who can hit a 3-ball on the floor. I actually think the loss of Simmons hurts them more on the defensive side and the 76ers defense has stunk in the bubble so far. I could easily see both teams hitting 120 in this one. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 225) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA action that has the Raptors visiting the Jazz. I just don't see either team looking to push the pace all that much in this one. Toronto is playing their 5th straight on the road in about as bad a spot as you can get, playing in Utah on no rest after a game last night in Sacramento. As for the Jazz, they had Sunday off, but had to play back-to-back on the road Friday/Saturday to close out a 4-game east coast trip. Another thing here is Utah has won 5 straight and will be highly motivated for revenge from a 20-point loss at Toronto earlier this season, where they gave up 77 in the 1st half to the Raptors. 

UNDER is 15-5 in Utah's last 20 home games when they are on a win streak of 4 or more and 6- 1 in their last 7 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 222) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222 in Sunday's NBA action that has the Spurs hosting visiting the Cavs. We see totals in the 230's on the reg in the NBA now a days and I just feel with how bad these two are playing defensively this should be closer to 230 than 220. Cleveland has allowed 4 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 54% or better from the field. San Antonio has allowed each of their last 4 to shoot 47% or better, including 53% last time out at Brooklyn. Cavs give up 115 ppg at home and Spurs allow 117 ppg on the road. Give me the OVER 222! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 246.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 246.5. This might seem crazy, but I actually think there's value here. Minnesota is playing absolutely zero defense right now. They have allowed 126 or more in each of their last 4 road games, all of which saw a combined score of 244 or more, with 3 of those going for 250+. Pelicans are built for a shootout, as they are scoring 118.2 ppg and giving up 117.0 ppg in their last 5. I think both teams easily hit 120 with New Orleans going for 130+. Give me the OVER 246.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 230.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Monday's matchup that has the Rockets visiting the Knicks. These two teams just played on Feb. 24th and combined for 135 points in a 123-112 Rockets win. I think we are going to see even more offense in this one. 

I'm pretty confident Westbrook and Harden will be motivated to show out at Madison Square Garden. They only get to play their once a season. Houston's small ball has them scoring a ton here lately. Only the Celtics have been able to keep them under 120 points since the break. 

As for the Knicks offense, they have been shooting really well. New York has hit 50% from the field in 3 straight games. Coming off a big road game at Boston on Saturday and a huge home game against the Clippers looming on Thursday, plus having just beat the Knicks, I don't see Houston being overly invested on playing defense in this one. Give me the OVER 230.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 144.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 144.5 between Nebraska and Ohio State. The Buckeyes put up 80 on the Cornhuskers at home earlier this season and with the free fall that Nebraska is on right now, I could see them topping that mark in this one. Cornhuskers are allowing 81.2 ppg on 47% shooting in their last 5. Last two at home they have allowed 86 to Michigan State and a staggering 81 to Wisconsin. 

Other big key here is Ohio State's defense has really regressed over the season. Buckeyes are 11th in the Big Ten in defensive efficiency and 12th in effective field goal defense. Nebraska is due for a big offensive night and all we need is for them to flirt with 70 to cash. Give me the OVER 144.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 214) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 214 between the Nuggets and Pistons. I just think with the trade of Drummond Detroit has went into full on rebuild mode. The defense has not been good and they are going up against a Denver offense that just shot 59% while scoring 128 at home against the Wolves. That was the 4th time in 5 games the Nuggets shot 50% or better from the field. Pistons can score and should be able to hit at least 105. I think the total here should be closer to 225. Give me the OVER 214! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 210)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 210 between the Hornets and Pacers. I just think we are getting big time value here on the OVER due to how awful these two teams just played offensively in their last game. Charlotte scored just 86 at home to the Nets and Indiana managed just 81 on the road at Toronto. Both teams did allow 115+ in those losses. Pacers score 110 ppg at home and Hornets allow that same number on the season. I think we see Indiana get to 120 and that means we need a mere 91 from Charlotte to cash. Give me the OVER 210! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 136.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 136.5 between Xavier and DePaul. These two teams played once already and combined for just 126 points, staying UNDER the mark of 139. Given how much both offenses struggled to score, especially inside, I see no reason to not take UNDER at this price. 

Also, Xavier is playing to a lot lower scoring games right now. Over the last month they have basically started 3 big men. That's bad for offense and great for defense. It also slows the game way down. Give me the UNDER 136.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 151.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 151.5 between Michigan State and Iowa. The Spartans have made a switch to a smaller lineup and the offense really responded well to the new look with 86 points on the road at Nebraska. I think there's a really good shot they put up at least 85 in this one. Iowa's defense is not good and it's really bad on the road. 

The one thing with the small ball lineup for the Spartans is that is does make them vulnerable inside on defense and Iowa has an absolute star in Garza. I think all we need is for the Hawks to hit 70 points for an easy cash. Give me the OVER 151.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 226) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 226 in Friday's NBA clash that has Boston visiting Minnesota. I think we are getting some value here with the OVER due to a couple big names sitting this out. Kemba Walker won't play for Boston and Karl-Anthony Towns is out for the Wolves. 

Celtics got more than enough offensive fire-power to score a bunch against this awful Minnesota defense. It's going to be a big struggle on that side of the ball for the Wolves with all the new pieces. 

I like the offensive weapons a little more after the moves. Not having Towns is huge, but I also think him not playing really makes it hard for Boston to show up thinking they need to play hard defensively to win this game. Give me the OVER 226! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 236) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 236 between Washington and Cleveland. No doubt this is a big number, but it's really not when you factor in the two teams that are playing. Wizards and Cavs are atrocious on the defensive end. Wizards combine their lack of defense with an uptempo offensive attack and I'm confident they control the tempo here on their home floor and they should be really looking to push it given the long layoff and fresh legs. 

I also think Cavs are a better offensive team with the addition of Drummond and will be a little more explosive offensively now that head coach Beilein is gone. The players simply didn't like him or his ways of coaching. They are going to want to show out now that he's gone to make him look even worse. Give me the OVER 236! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 135) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Thursday's Pac-12 clash between UCLA and Utah. Unless you stay up late or follow the Pac-12 real close, chances are you aren't aware of how much better the Bruins are playing down the stretch. Most expected a smoother transition under first year head coach Mick Cronin, but it just didn't happen. 

Players have bought in. UCLA has won 7 of their last 9 and are quietly sitting just 1-game back of 1st place in the Pac-12. Their defense, as you would expect under Cronin, has gotten better and better. I think that's why there's so much value with the total here. UCLA has allowed under 60 points 5 times in their last 8 games. Utah only averages 63.6 ppg in Pac-12 play and a mere 58.8 ppg in their last 5. Give me the UNDER 135! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 134) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 134. These two teams played earlier this season and combined for just 118 points. Both teams shot poorly, but part of that for Baylor was they couldn't force turnovers. Oklahoma, who is really good at protecting the ball, only turned it over 8 times. Bears are also a team that likes to play slow, so if they aren't getting transition looks, they are eating up clock. 

Oklahoma only lost by 4 in that first meeting, so you have to believe the will go with a similar game-plan and hope their defense, which has been much better at home, can make a few more stops. Scoring on Baylor's defense won't be easy. Bears don't need to force turnovers to keep an opposing team in check. Give me the UNDER 134! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 128.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 128.5 between Baylor and Texas. These two teams already played once this season at Baylor and the Bears won that contest 59-44 for a combined total of just 103 points. I just don't think it's going to be a whole lot different in the rematch. 

Note that Baylor has played two Big 12 teams twice so far this season and both times the second meeting was almost a mirror image of the first. Bears beat Iowa State 68-55 at home and then later won at ISU 67-53. They also beat Oklahoma State 75-68 on the road and then won 78-70 at home. 

I just don't know how Texas is going to be able to score, especially if Kai Jones and Jase Febres (both questionable) can't go. Keep in mind Baylor plays at the slowest tempo in the Big 12 and the Longhorns are 7th out of 10 in tempo. Give me the UNDER 128.5! 

50* NCAAB C-USA TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Over 133) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 133 in tonight's C-USA matchup that has North Texas visiting Middle Tennessee. The Mean Green are the most efficient offense in C-USA with offensive efficiency rating of 115.0. The next best is Louisiana Tech at 108.8. They are shooting 56% on 2-pointers, 42% from deep and 79% from the free throw line. They have scored 70 or more in 6 of their last 8 and should easily hit that mark against the Blue Raiders, who have allowed 80 or more in 4 of their last 6. 

As for Middle Tennessee's offense, they play at the 5th fastest tempo in the conference and are a much better 3-point shooting team than they are inside. Defending the 3-ball has been a struggle for North Texas, as they are 13th out of 14 in 3-pt % defense. Middle Tennessee is also 4th in free throw rate and Mean Green are 10th in defensive free throw rate. They just scored 83 at UTSA and are averaging 75.3 ppg at home. I could see both teams eclipsing 70 and all we need is for 67 each to cash a winner. Give me the OVER 133! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 138) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 138 between Texas Tech and Oklahoma. I think we are getting a great price on the total here because of how high scoring some of these last few games have been for the Red Raiders. Big part of that is their last 3 have come against Kentucky, West Virginia and Kansas. All of which rank in the Top 45 in offensive efficiency. 

The other big key is Tech has lost 3 of 4 and I believe we can count on them really locking in defensively at home in this one to get back on track. Oklahoma's offense has really slowed down in Big 12 play and in their last two road games they managed just 53 points at K-STate and 57 at Baylor. The only time they have scored more than 62 on the road in Big 12 play is at ISU, who is arguably the worst defense in the conference. Give me the UNDER 138!  

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 146.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 146.5 between Alabama and Tennessee. The Crimson Tide are going to put up points, especially at home. Alabama has a tempo rating of 75.9 in SEC play and the next best is South Carolina at 73. There's been just one SEC game out of 8 that they have failed to score at least 76 points and the fewest they have scored at home in conference play is 77. 

Thing is with the loss of Herb Jones the Tide are not nearly as strong defensively and simply must win shootouts. Tennessee is 3rd in the SEC in effective field goal percentage and come in having shot 48% from the field in their last 5. I'm confident the Vols can keep pace here and give us at least 70, which is all we should need to cash a winner. Give me the OVER 146.5. 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 131.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 131.5 in Monday's Big 12 showdown between Texas and Kansas. These two played to a combined score of just 123 a couple weeks ago and the total for that was 129. I think it says a lot that that game went under and yet we are seeing the total even higher in the rematch. 

I couldn't agree more. Kansas is a much better offensive team at home and while Texas' offense struggles on the road, I don't think they can do much worse than scoring 57 points on 40% shooting. Also, both teams shot awful from deep in that first meeting, going a combined 8 for 30 (26%). Considering both teams are shooting 35% from deep on the season, we should see a nice up tick in scoring from a few more 3's made. On top of that, KU was just 67% from the free throw line and Texas was 56%. Give me the OVER 131.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 139.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 139.5 in Saturday's Big 12 matchup that has ISU at Texas. Cyclones play at one of the fastest tempos in the Big 12 are the worst defensive team in the conference. A perfect recipe for a high-scoring game and I think there's value with the total here due to the fact that the Cyclones are coming off a very low scoring game at home against Baylor, where they managed just 53 points and combined for 120. 

It was the second time ISU has had to play Baylor in their first 7 conference games. They have also played games against two other great defensive teams in KU and Texas Tech. Their othre 3 games against TCU, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State all saw a combined score of 149 or more. Texas ranks in the bottom half of the league in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. I see both teams easily scoring 70 points. Give me the OVER 139.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 222.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222.5 between the Raptors and Pistons. I played and won on the OVER last night with Toronto in their game at Cleveland. I thought that total was way too low given how good the Raptors have been offensively and how bad the Cavs defense had been playing. It's basically the same story here. Since Toronto has got healthy their offense has been lights out. Pistons are giving up 118.4 ppg on 48% shooting in their last 5. Toronto will be on no rest, but I think that will impact them more on defense and actually adds value to the over. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (OVER 221.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 221.5 between the Raptors and Cavs. With how good Toronto has been offensively of late and how bad Cleveland has been defensively, I don't know how you don't take a shot on this OVER at this price. 

Raptors have scored 110 or more in 7 of their last 8 games and 5 times during this stretch have scored 122 or more. If they hit that mark, we would only need Cleveland to chip in 100 to cash a winner. Cavs have allowed 7 of their last 9 opponents to shoot 51% or better from the field. They have also scored 106 or more in 6 of their last 7 and this isn't a great spot for Toronto to be shelling out a ton of effort on defense. Give me the OVER 221.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 222.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 222.5 in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Knicks hosting the Grizzlies. I think we are seeing a big overreaction with this total because of how much the UNDER has been hitting for both of these teams. UNDER is 7-1 in Memphis' last 8 games and 7-1 in New York's last 8 games. 

Why take the OVER? Both of these teams will be playing on no rest and I just don't see either team being all that locked in defensively. The Knicks especially, who have been downright awful defensively playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. OVER is also 6-1 in the Grizzlies last 7 when playing on no rest. Give me the OVER 222.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 135) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 135 in Monday's Big Ten showdown between Iowa and Wisconsin. I just think this is too low a total to pass up a play on the OVER. The Hawkeyes aren't just the best offensive team in the Big Ten, they are No. 3 in the country in offensive efficiency.

Last time out they hosted a Rutgers team who in a lot of ways is similar to Wisconsin with how they like to ground out wins with their defense. That game ended with a 165 points, flying past the total of 138. Opposing teams are shooting lights out from 3 against the Badgers and there's simply no slowing down Luka Garza inside, so I see no reason not to expect Iowa to score close to their season average of 80.2 ppg (79.5 ppg in Big Ten). 

Iowa's fast pace forces teams to play a little faster than they would like and I think the Badgers will be able to get a lot of clean looks from deep, as they got guys 1-5 who can knock it down from 3. Give me the OVER 135! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 218.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 218.5 in Monday's NBA contest that has Detroit hosting the Cavs. These two teams played a home-and-home earlier this month and both games saw a combined score of at least 227. 

Detroit is dealing with some injuries, but it's not slowed them down. Pistons are averaging 117.2 ppg in their last 5. They will be facing a Cleveland team that is playing no defense right now. Cavs have allowed each of their last 7 opponents to shoot 48% or better with 6 of those going for at least 51%. 

Detroits' defense hasn't been much better in their last two, giving up 125 to the Grizzlies at home and 121 to the Nets. You have to go back to Dec. 3rd to find the last time the Pistons held a team under 100 points. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 224.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 224.5 in Saturday's big Western Conference matchup that has Utah facing off against Dallas. The Mavs are one of the most explosive offensive teams in the league and just got back one of their biggest offensive weapons in Porzingis. Dallas comes in having scored 120 or more in 4 of their last 5 games. 

Dallas is also vulnerable on defense and even more so right now with the recent loss of big man Dwight Powell. Utah is known for their defense, but they are winning games more with their offense this year. The Jazz come in having scored 118 or more in 6 straight games. I could see both teams scoring 120+ in this one and we likely need just one to cash a winner. Give me the OVER 224.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 230) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 230 in tonight's NBA action that has the Grizzlies visiting the Pistons. Memphis ran into a buzz-saw last time out at Boston scoring just 95 points. However, the fact that they got to 95 is impressive, given they had just 17 points in the 2nd quarter and only 19 in the 3rd quarter. 

Prior to this game the Grizzlies had scored 110 or more in 15 straight games. Defense is always going to be a problem for Memphis and Detroit comes in off a 127 outburst at home against a Kings team that was pushing the tempo. Pistons are averaging 117.8 ppg in their last 5. The return of Reggie Jackson is huge as it allows them to keep the pace up with him and Derrick Rose. Give me the OVER 230! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 228)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 228 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Lakers and Nets. Since Kyrie Irving has returned from injury the Nets have gone just 1-4 with their only win at home against a Hawks team that was down their best player (Trae Young).

In their 4 losses they have allowed no fewer than 117 points and three of those they allowed the opposing team to shoot 50% or better. After going through the motions last night at the Knicks, I expect a much more aggressive LA offensive attack in this one. 

A big reason for that is Irving is back on the floor for Brooklyn, as I don't think there's a guy LeBron enjoys beating more than Irving after what he did to get out of Cleveland. I think the Lakers could score 130 with ease in this one. 

I also think Brooklyn will score here as we just aren't going to get anything close to a max effort defensively from LA playing on no rest in their 4th straight on the road, especially with a big game at Philly on deck Saturday. Give me the OVER 228! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 135.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 135.5 between Wake Forest and Clemson. We have seen the Demon Deacons get torched on several occasions in conference play, as they are giving up 78 ppg. Recently giving up 80 at home to Va Tech and 90 at Duke. 

Clemson is coming off a horrible shooting night at NC State, where they managed just 54 points on 38% shooting, which I think is playing into the favorable number here. Prior to that the Tigers had scored 79 or more in 3 straight. 

The other big thing here is tempo. Wake Forest is playing at the 2nd fastest tempo in the ACC, behind only Duke. I think Clemson will be just fine playing up tempo with how easy it's going to be for them to score. I think that pace will allow the Demon Deacons to contribute enough to push this well over the mark. Give me the OVER 135.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 221) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 221 in Monday's matchup between the 76ers and Nets. Since losing Embiid to injury Philadelphia has really slowed things down. In the 6 games without him they have a pace rating of just  95.42 which is 29th slowest in the league and well below their season average of 101.1. 

The offense without Embiid has been especially bad on the road, scoring just 91 at Dallas, 95 at Indiana and 90 at New York. It's why I'm not concerned at all about the fact that these two teams just combined for 223 points in their meeting last week at Philly. If anything the fact these two teams just played each other adds more value to the UNDER. Give me the UNDER 221! 

50* NCAAB PAC-12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 137) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 137 in Saturday's Pac-12 showdown between Stanford and USC. Stanford, Washington and USC are in a class all of their own in terms of defensive prowess in the Pac-12. The gap between them and the next best team is very noticable. 

Cardinal are No. 1 in defensive efficiency and No. 3 in effective field goal defense. USC is No. 3 in defensive efficiency and No.1 in effective field goal defense. This total is basically for both teams to score 70 and I have a hard time seeing either side get to 65.

UNDER is 30-15 in USC's last 45 conference games and 10-2 in their last 12 at home as a favorite of 6 or less. Give me the UNDER 137! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 225.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 225.5 in tonight's NBA matchup between the Jazz and Pelicans. Really hard to not like the over when you look at just how good these two teams have been on the offensive side of the ball of late. 

Utah is averaging 122.0 ppg and shooting 52% from the field over their last 5 games, while the Pelicans are scoring 118.8 ppg in their last 5. New Orleans also averages 115.7 ppg at home and have scored 112 or more points in 9 of their last 10. 

Utah is perceived as a great defensive team, but the Jazz have a tendency to not show up on that side of the ball away from home. In their last two road games against the Wizards and Nets, they let both shoot 50% from the field. Give me the OVER 225.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Over 135.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 135.5 for tonight's C-USA clash between Marshall and Charlotte. I just think this total is way to low. Marshall is a team that likes to play fast and aren't afraid to light it up from deep. The Herd did manage to score just 50 in their last game at UAB, but the Blazers are one of the better defensive teams in the conference. 

Key here is just that whenever these two teams play it turns into an offensive game. In the last 8 meetings they have combined for no fewer than 159 points. Marshall simply has a way of making the 49ers play to their preferred uptempo style and I expect that trend to continue, especially with the game on the Herd's home floor. Give me the OVER 135.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 218) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 218 between the Nets and 76ers. The highest combined score in the 76ers last 3 games without Embiid is 207. They are clearly playing at a slower pace too, which is evident by the fact the Mavs only put up 109 points despite making 11 3-pointers and shooting 51% from the field. Nets are T-9th in defensive efficiency and opposing teams are only shooting 43.3% against them, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Give me the UNDER 218! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 228.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 228.5 in Tuesday's NBA clash between the Suns and Hawks. I think there's come value here due to the fact that Phoenix is off a couple of lower-scoring games against the Magic and Hornets, who are also two of the slowest paced teams in the league. In their last game against Charlotte they shot 50% from the field but yet only had 100 because of the pace. Hawks managed just 86 in their last game, but that was with Trae Young sidelined and he's cleared to go for this one. Neither of these teams are great defensively and both can light it up offensively. Give me the OVER 228.5! 

50* NCAAB A-10 TOTAL PLAY OF THE MONTH (Over 136) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 136 as Davidson will host Richmond. The Spiders have really picked up the pace this season compared to last year and while it's early they are playing with the 3rd fastest tempo in the A-10. Davidson might not always play fast, but they are capable of speeding things up as they got the No. 4 ranked offense in the conference. 

Another big thing is that both of these teams can light you up from long distance. Both teams are shooting better than 35% from deep and rank among the tops in the country in percentage of shots from deep. Davidson's 3 conference games have seen an average score of 144.6 and the Wildcats are averaging 88.7 ppg at home. Give me the OVER 136! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Over 218.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 218.5 in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Suns and Hornets. For starters, the average combined score in Phoenix' home games this season is 230.1 ppg, as they are scoring 115.3 ppg and giving up 114.8 ppg. 

Hornets allow 111 ppg and are giving up 112.4 ppg in their last 5, so we can expect to see Phoenix at least hit their average. Charlotte is coming off a game at Utah where they only scored 92, but that was with them scoring just 13 first quarter points. They averaged 26.3/quarter over the final 3. Hornets had also scored 104 or more in their previous 4 and if they simply get to 100 I think we cash this easy. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Over 224) 

I'll take my chances here on the OVER 224 in Saturday's NBA showdown between the 76ers and Mavs. Even though Dallas is playing on no rest after last night's ugly loss at home to the Lakers, they should be ready to go here as the starters didn't have to play big minutes because of the lopsided score.

Note that Dallas shot a mere 40.6% from the field and still put up 114 points against LA. This team is just so explosive on offense and play at such a quick pace that more times than not they will find themselves in shootouts. 

76ers are without leading score Embiid, but his loss actually hurts them more defensively than it does offensively. Philadelphia shot 49% and put up 109 points against Boston without him in their last game and the Celtics are a way better defensive team than Dallas. Give me the OVER 224! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Over 146.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 146.5 between Iowa and Maryland. Hawkeyes are just built for high-scoring games, as they come in 5th in the country in offensive efficiency and 99th on defense. In Iowa's 4 Big Ten games the average score for those games has been 159.7, as they are averaging 79.7 ppg and giving up 80.0 ppg. 

Last time out they only scored 70 at Nebraska, but that's pretty impressive if you factor in they shot just 42% from the field and were a dreadful 4-33 (12%) from deep. They should shoot much better at home in this one, as they are shooting 48% from the field and 36% from deep at Carver this season. 

Maryland averages 74.8 ppg and have done so against a tough schedule. This will be only 7th time they have faced at eam outside the Top 85 in defensive efficiency. They have scored 80 or more in 4 of the 5 with the only exception being in a 74-55 blowout win over Fairfield. Give me the OVER 146.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 224) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 224 in tonight's matchup between Portland and Minnesota. If you look at the overall resume of these two teams the OVER might seem like the obvious play here. However, both teams are dealing with serious injuries and tough scheduling spots, which I think make the UNDER the clear choice. 

Portland is playing their 5th and final game of a brutal 5-game road trip and in their last 6 games rank a mere 23rd in pace of play at 97.2. As for Minnesota, they have really been a different team without Karl Anthony Towns. In the 11 games he's missed the Timberwolves have the 29th worst offensive rating and the best defensive rating. I just think given the circumstances there's a ton of value here. Give me the UNDER 224! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 216) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 216 in Thursday's big matchup between the 76ers and Celtics. I'm just not sure why the total is this high. I get the Celtics just gave up 129 points at home to the Spurs last night and will be on no rest, but I'm convinced that was more of a lack of effort than anything, as they had their eyes set on this matchup. 

On top of that, the 76ers won't have their best player, as Embiid is out with a dislocated finger. That's a massive blow for Philadelphia's offense. He's by far their best offensive threat and he was the main reason that the 76ers won in Boston earlier this season, as he scored 38 points on 12 of 21 shooting. 

Key here is that I do think those that will be playing for Philadelphia are going to give a max effort here with Embiid sidelined and that's going to come on the defensive end. Also, while I expect a much better effort from Boston, I do think they will be playing at a slower pace than normal with their tough schedule of late. Give me the UNDER 216! 

50* NCAAB AAC TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Over 140.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 140.5 in tonight's big matchup between Memphis and Wichita State. I just don't think the number here is anywhere close to high enough with the fire-power these two teams have on offense and the likely pace of play we are going to see. 

Memphis comes in playing at the 9th fastest tempo in the country. Tigers on average shoot the ball in 14.9 seconds, which is the 7th fastest mark. While Wichita State's defense has been great, opponents shots have gone up in 16.4 seconds which is 38th fastest. 

Also the Shockers defensive numbers have been greatly skewed by who they have played. Memphis is 68th in offensive efficiency. It will be the first team Wichita State will have faced that ranks in the Top 125 (9 of their 14 opponents have ranked outside the Top 200). 

Memphis also has great defensive numbers, but in their two games against good really good offensive teams they gave up 82 to Oregon and 78 to NC State. I think both teams hit 70 points no problem. Give me the OVER 140.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL DESTROYER (Over 215.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 215.5 between the Jazz and Knicks. I originally liked Utah at -11, but the line has gotten out of control and in turn see a lot more value on the OVER. Knicks played last night in LA and are giving up 120 ppg when playing on no rest this season (124.3 ppg if it's against a team with a winning record). 

Utah is known for their defense, but they are quietly transitioning into a more offensive team. Jazz are 11-1 in their last 12 games and in this stretch have scored 109 or more points in 9 of those games. I also don't see them being all that focused defensively against a bad Knicks team. Note that while New York did score just 87 in last night's loss to the Lakers, they had scored 112 or more in each of their previous 3 games. If they can simply get to 100 I think we cash this easy. Give me the OVER 215.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MONEYMAKER (Over 220.5)

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 220.5 between Boston and San Antonio. OVER has cashed in 11 of the Spurs last 15 games as they continue to show signs of progress offensively, while continuing to struggle on the defensive end. In the Spurs last 5 games they are scoring 120 ppg and giving up 112.4 ppg. 

Celtics are a good defensive team, but I don't think we see them play up to their potential on that side of the ball tonight, as they will have a hard time not holding back for tomorrow's huge division game against the 76ers. Also 4 of the last 5 meetings in the series have gone OVER, including a game earlier this season where they two combined for 250. Give me the OVER 220.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT OVER/UNDER SLAUGHTER (Over 226) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 226 in tonight's late action between the Kings and Suns. No one has been playing at a faster pace in their last 3 games than Sacramento and the Suns have been a consistent Top 10 team all season in pace of play (3-points higher at home). I not only think these two teams eclipse the mark, but I think they fly past it. 

In the Kings last 5 games they are giving up 112.6 ppg and scoring 111.2 ppg. In the Suns last 5 they are scoring 115 ppg and giving up 115.2 ppg. Take that combined with the pace of play and both teams have a realistic shot of scoring 120 in this one. Give me the OVER 226! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL DESTROYER (Over 132)

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs and Ramblers going OVER the total of 132. UNDER has cashed in 3 straight and 7 of Loyola's last 9 games, which I think is playing into this small total. Drake can light it up, as they have scored 72 or more in 4 straight, eclipsing 80 in 3 of those. All 4 games saw a combined score of 152 or more. 

Last year both meetings between these two combined for at least 150, going off for 159 in the game at Drake. OVER is 7-0 in Drake's last 7 home games after a game that went OVER the total and 9-0 in their last 9 at home after allowing 75 or more in 3 straight games. Give me the OVER 132! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 220) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 220 in tonight's matchup that has Toronto hosting Portland. I just think the number here is way too high given the circumstances for both teams. For Toronto they just can't catch a break. Already down Siakam, Powell and Gasol, they are now going to be missing VanVleet. That's a big loss, as he's a big scorer for them right now and also a guy that gets people easy shots. 

Raptors have also slowed the pace way down with all these injuries. Since losing all those guys in that game at Detroit back on 12/18 their pace of play rating is a mere 24th and figures to drop even more without VanVleet. 

Blazers have been in a lot of high-scoring games of late, but this will be their 4th straight game on the road in a span of just 7 days, as they have had to go from New York, to Washington, to Miami to Toronto. They too are decimated with injuries and I think they will be happy slowing things down and playing at Toronto's new slow pace. Give me the UNDER 220! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 122.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 122.5 as Missouri hosts Tennessee in SEC play. I just don't know where the offense is going to come from in this one. The Vols offense has been a complete mess since they lost starting point guard Lamonte Turner. They made 13 3-pointers in their last game against LSU and still only managed 64 points. The game before they totaled a mere 46 at home against Wisconsin. 

Tennessee will be up against an elite Missouri defense here, as the Tigers are allowing just 56.8 ppg overall and a mere 50.7 ppg at home. As for Missouri's offense, they aren't very good either. Tigers are only averaging 67.3 ppg against opponents that allow 66.9 ppg, which is not good at all for a Power 5 team given the cupcakes they face in non-conference play. Only once in the Tigers last 8 games have they scored more than 66 and that was against Chicago State. Give me the UNDER 122.5! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 154) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER in Saturday's Big 10 matchup between Iowa and Penn State. These are two explosive offensive teams. Iowa is 4th in the country in offensive rating and the Nittany Lions are in the Top 50. Penn State also plays at one of the fastest tempos and this thing will be like a track meet with how both like to get out in transition. 

Iowa has scored 77 or more in 4 of their last 5 and are averaging 80.8 ppg on the season. Penn State has scored no fewer than 73 in in their last 7 and are averaging 80.4 ppg. Neither team is all that great defensively, especially when they get matched up against better teams. Give me the OVER 154!

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 138) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 138 between Temple and Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane are 289th in pace of play and should be able to dictate the tempo at home, especially with the Owls figuring to be a bit flat footed playing their second road game in a 4-day stretch. 

Both of these teams are also really strong on the defensive end. Temple is only giving up 61.9 ppg and just held UCF to a mere 58 points on the road in their last game. Tulsa is only giving up 65.4 ppg and holding teams to 39.5% shooting at home. Owls are a miserable 38.8% from the field in road games this season. Give me the UNDER 138! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 143) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 143 in Friday's Big Ten matchup that has Rutgers visiting Nebraska. I just think both teams are going to easily hit the 70-point mark and that makes it an easy play with a total of 143. Rutgers is 0-3 on the road and scoring just 66.3 ppg away from home. However, they should not have a hard time scoring more than that here. Nebraska is giving up 74.9 ppg and are getting owned inside, so the Knights are going to get a ton of easy looks at the rim to get them going. 

As for the Cornhuskers offense, they have been playing much better of late and Rutgers defense has been not been near as good on the road as it has at home. Nebraska put up 90 at Indiana and 70 at home against Purdue in their two early Big Ten games. I think they come real close to their 75 ppg average in this one. Give me the OVER 143! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 223.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 223.5 between the Celtics and Hawks. Atlanta will be getting back their best offensive player in Trae Young and their offensive net rating is 13.9 points higher with him on the floor compared to when he's not. Not to mention he also makes their defense worse. Atlanta just can't defend the pick and roll and Celtics are one of the best in the league at pick and roll offense. 

Other big key here is that because Boston is so much better than Atlanta, this is not a game where they are going to feel the need to lockdown defensively. The proof of that is in recent matchups. OVER has gone 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams including 4-0 in the last 4 games in Boston. Give me the OVER 223.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 209.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 209.5 as the Bulls host the Jazz on Thursday. Chicago has been great against bad teams this year, but are just 1-12 SU when playing a team with a winning record and just gave up 123 pontis on 55% shooting in a home loss to the Bucks. I just don't think their defense can keep up against Utah. 

Jazz are known as a defensive team, but they really clicking on offense right now. The addition of Jordan Clarkson has really lit a fire under them. They have scored 100 plus in 9 straight games and are averaging 112.6 ppg in their last 5. Bulls are also playing better offensively of late at 108.4 ppg in their last 5 and a big part of that is the emergence of rookie Coby WHite, who has scored 18+ in 3 of the last 4 and is shooting 61% from deep during this run. Give me the OVER 209.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 220) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 220 in Tuesday's NBA showdown with the Nuggets and Rockets. I know James Harden may or may not play, but I don't think it will matter. If Harden plays the Rockets are going to put up points, as Houston is averaging 118.8 ppg at home. if he doesn't they still probably score a lot as they got more than enough weapons. 

Keep in mind the Nuggets come in averaging 116 ppg in their last 5 and are giving up 110.4 ppg during thsi stretch, so they have been in a lot of up tempo games of late. You also factor in both defenses probably not giving a max effort here on New Year's Eve and this thing should fly past the number. Give me the OVER 220! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 152) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 152 in Tuesday's Big East showdown between Providence and Georgetown. I just feel the books have really missed the mark in this one. I get the Hoyas are a strong offensive team and are averaging 81.8 ppg, but those numbers are definitely inflated due to the non-conference schedule. 

It won't be so easy, especially on the road against a strong defense like Providence, which is only giving up 59.6 ppg and holding teams to 38% shooting at home. Friars are also not the best offensive team, as they have scored 70 or fewer in 5 of their last 7 with the two exceptions coming against Stony Brook and Pepperdine. Give me the UNDER 152! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 136) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 136 in Tuesday's NCAAB matchup that has Clemson hosting Miami. I think we are getting value here on the total because Miami comes in averaging 78.6 ppg over their last, but that has more to do with who they have played during that stretch. 

It just isn't going to be that easy on the road against a conference foe, especially the likes of the Tigers who are only giving up 61.4 ppg on the season and just 57 ppg at home. Clemson just played a game at home against Yale that didn't even get to 100 as the two combined for 99. UNDER has cashed in 4 straight games for the Tigers and it's no surprise with how good they are on defense and how limited they are on offense. Give me the UNDER 136! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Over 142) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 142 between Davidson and Vanderbilt. Only 3 times all season has a Commodores came finished under this total. The only games that didn't is when they couldn't get their offense going and that won't be a problem here. Davidson plays small a lot and are vulnerable inside and Vanderbilt has the guys to take advantage of that. 

Both of these teams are very efficient offensively, as the Wildcats come in having hit 46% from the field and Vanderbilt is at 47.3%. Both can also light it up from deep, as Davidson averages 9 made 3-pointers and the Commodores average 10. I think this has the potential to hit 160. Give me the OVER 142! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 225) 

I'll take my chances here with the OVER 225 in Thursday's NBA matchup between Memphis and Oklahoma City. Since Ja Morant returned from injury the Grizzlies have been playing at a super fast pace and that combined with their lack of defense has led to the OVER cashing in 6 of their last 7 games. Thunder are also trending up offensively, as they are averaging 116.2 ppg in their last 5 a stretch that has seen an average combined score of 227.8 ppg. Give me the OVER 225! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 226.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 226.5 in tonight's game that has the Mavericks hosting the Spurs. Dallas should have Doncic back in the lineup and with him they should do whatever they please against a bad Spurs defense that is giving up 116.2 ppg. In fact, both teams could go off here. San Antonio is averaging 120.0 ppg in their last 5 and the Mavs are scoring 117.2 ppg on the season. Both have also brought the offense in division games. Spurs are averaging 121.2 ppg against division opponents and the Mavs are even better at 127.2 ppg. Give me the OVER 226.5! 

50* NBA XMAS DAY VEGAS SHARP TOP PLAY (Under 223) 

My money is on the UNDER 223 in the huge Christmas Day matchup between the Lakers and Clippers. These two teams are so good that their numbers can sometimes be misleading, especially on the defensive end. Because they have so much offensive talent they don't have to bring it defensively on a nightly basis. There's no concern here with them showing up on that side of the ball in this one. These two have played once already and only combined for 114 points and that was with the Clippers shooting 51% from the field and the two combining for 24 made 3-pointers. I just think a slower pace and a little more defensive intensity are going to keep this thing well below the mark. Give me the UNDER 223! 

40* NBA XMAS DAY TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 220) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 220 in the big Christmas Day showdown between the Bucks and 76ers. Not many teams have had much success slowing down Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee offense, but few teams have the size and athleticism that the 76ers bring to the table. I really think Philadelphia is going to be able to slow this game down and play more at their tempo at home. Not to mention these are two really good defensive teams. Bucks lead the league in defensive efficiency and the 76ers are sitting in 7th. UNDER is also 6-1 in Milwaukee's last 7 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 11-4-1 in the 76ers last 16 home games vs a team with a winning road record. Take the UNDER 220! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Over 218.5) 

I'll once again take my chances here with the OVER in a game involving the Grizzlies. We should have cashed the OVER last night with Memphis and Cleveland, but the Grizzlies were a no show in the 4th quarter and Ja Morant was off with just 8 points. I fully expect Morant to bounce back and for this thing to fly past the total. OVER is still 4-1 in the Grizzlies last 5 and each of their last 6 have seen at last 220 points. OVER is also 2-0 since Fox returned for Memphis. Give me the OVER 218.5! 

50* VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 223)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER 223 between the Grizzlies and Cavs. Memphis' is rolling offensively right now and pushing the pace while they are at it. Grizzlies have scored 110 or more points in 7 straight games. They have also allowed 111 or more in each of their last 4 and are giving up 115.4 ppg on the road. OVER has cashed in each of their last 4 games. 

Cavs aren't the best offensive team, but are scoring 109.6 ppg in their last 5 and should be able to score plenty here at home against a soft Memphis defense. Prior to their last game against Charlotte where the two combined for just 198 points, Cleveland had played 4 straight games with a combined score of 126 or more. Give me the OVER 223! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 234.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 234.5 in Thursday's big NBA showdown on TNT between the Rockets and Clippers. These big TNT games on Thursday are often some of the biggest bet NBA games of the week and the books definitely inflate the total to the OVER in these games. Which is what I think is happening here. 

These two teams have played twice already, so there's familiarity between the two, which favors the defense. They did combine for 141 points in their most recent meeting, but LA shot 52% and Houston shot 46%. I just don't think we are going to see that good of shooting in this one, as I expect max effort defensively. Not to mention the previous meeting this season only saw 195 points and the total for that game was 233.5. GIve me the UNDER 234.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 225) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 225 in Thursday's big NBA showdown on TNT between the Lakers and Bucks. These big TNT games on Thursday are often some of the biggest bet NBA games of the week and the books definitely inflate the total to the OVER in these games. Which is what I think is happening here. 

No question these two have a ton of star power and come in scoring at a high rate, but I'm expecting a playoff like atmosphere in this one and both of these teams can be really good defensively when they want to. In fact, Bucks are No.1 in the NBA in defensive efficiency and the Lakers are No. 3. Both are also going to be without some key players, as Bledsoe is a no go for Milwaukee and Kuzma is likely out. Anthony Davis is also likely playing here at less than 100%. Give me the UNDER 225! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 148) 

*Analysis Coming*