Kentucky @ Mississippi State 4:00 PM ET

Game# 375-376

Play On: Mississippi State -11.0 (10*)

Mississippi State is coming off a 35-10 win over BYU. The Bulldogs covered in that contest as a sizable 22.5-point favorite.

Kentucky is coming off a 40-34 home win over a Missouri team that’s 0-5 against FBS opponents this season. That win improved the Wildcats season record to 5-1 (.833).

Any conference favorite of 10.5 to 21.0-points (Mississippi State), coming off a favorite of 10.0 or more ATS win in which they covered by 2.0 points or more, versus an opponent (Kentucky) with a win percentage of .500 or better, and they are coming off a home game where both teams scored 31 points or more, resulted in those conference favorites going 25-0 ATS since 1995, and they won by an average of 26.6 points per game. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Louisville @ Florida State 12:00 PM ET

Game# 397-398

Play On: Louisville +7.0 (5*)

Louisville is coming of a shocking 45-42 loss to Boston College in a game they were an 18.5-point home favorite. Florida State will enter this game with a vastly underachieving 2-3 (.400) record.

Any conference road underdog (Louisville) of 4.0 to 10.0-points, coming off a home favorite of 10.0 or more straight up loss, versus an opponent (Florida State) possessing a win percentage of less than .800, resulted in those road underdogs going 23-1 ATS (95.8%) since 1991. Bet on Louisville plus the points for a 5* wager.

Memphis @ Houston 8:00 PM ET

Game# 303-304

Play On: Memphis +3.0 (5*)

Memphis is coming off last Saturday’s 30-27 home win over then undefeated and #25 Navy. However, they failed to cover that contest as a 3.5-point favorite. The win improved the Tigers season record to 5-1 (.833). Despite a disappointing 2016 campaign, Memphis still a very respectable 14-8 over their past 22 games.

Houston entered last Saturday game at Tulsa as a substantial 14.0-point favorite, and were victims of a shocking 45-17 loss against the then 1-5 Golden Hurricane.

Any road team (Memphis) with a win percentage of better than .666 that’s won 14 or more of their last 22 games, and is coming off a home straight up win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, versus an opponent (Houston) coming off a road straight up loss by 28 points or more, resulted in those road teams going 70-5 (.933) straight up since 1982. Since that stellar straight up record sides with the underdog in this game, it certainly takes on added significance, and creates a plethora of betting value. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 5* wager.

Auburn @ LSU 3:30 PM ET

Game# 207-208

Play On: LSU +7.5 (5*)

Auburn is off to a very good 5-1 start to the season, and they’ve held 5 of those 6 opponents to 14 points or less. However, Auburn is 0-9 SU&ATS in their last 9 away games when facing a fellow SEC team that’s playing with revenge and they’re coming off a straight up win. Auburn lost those 9 games by a decisive average of 26.7 points per contest.

LSU has gone a superb 47-4 in their last 51 home games versus teams not named Alabama. LSU has defeated Auburn 8 consecutive times during games that were played on their home field in Baton Rouge. LSU will also be out to revenge last season’s 18-13 loss at Auburn. Furthermore, LSU rebounded nicely from an embarrassing home loss to Troy 2 weeks ago by knocking off Florida 17-16 in Gainesville last Saturday. Bet on LSU plus the points for a 5* wager.

Oklahoma vs. Texas 3:30 PM ET

Game# 181-182

Play On: Oklahoma -9.0 (10*)

Texas has vastly underachieved thus far by going just 3-2. They won their last 2 games over Iowa State 17-7 and Kansas State 40-34. The Longhorns are 0-4 SU&ATS during their last 4 games after back to back wins, and they lost by 18.3 points per contest. You may be surprised to know that Texas hasn’t put together a 3-game win streak since 11/15/2014.

Oklahoma is coming off a stunning 38-31 loss to Iowa State last Saturday, and especially since the Sooners were a 30.0-point favorite in that contest. Oklahoma has gone 35-3 straight up in their last 38 games following a loss, and that includes 26-12 ATS (68.4%). If they were facing a conference opponent in those contests their record improved to 22-7 ATS (75.9%), and that includes 9-0 ATS as a favorite of 11.5 or less. Bet on Oklahoma minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Kansas @ Iowa State 12:00 PM ET

Game# 149-150

Play On: Iowa State -22.5 (5*)

Kansas has gone 0-43 straight up and 10-33 ATS during their last 43 away games. If they were a road underdog of 39.0 or less in those contests while playing with revenge, and allowed 24 points or more in its previous game, versus an opponent that scored 23 points or more in their previous game, it resulted in the Jayhawks going 0-10 SU&ATS. Kansas lost those 10 contests by a massive average of 38.5 points per game.

Iowa State is coming off a huge 38-31 upset win at then #2 Oklahoma last week, and they did so as an enormous 30.0-point underdog. Any college football home favorite of 11.5 to 25.0 points who’s playing before game 8 of the season, coming off a straight up win as an away underdog of 10.0 or more points in which they scored 35 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1994. The average margin of victory in those contests was a substantial 30.7 points per game. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Texas Tech @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET

Game# 137-138

Play On: Texas Tech +4.0 (5*)

#24 Texas Tech is 4-1 (.800) on the season and their only loss came at the hands of #14 Oklahoma State by a score of 41-34. West Virginia comes in at 3-2 (.600) and was a 31-24 loser at #5 TCU last Saturday. The Mountaineers only other defeat came at #15 Virginia Tech by an identical 31-24 score. West Virginia has gone a stellar 16-6 during its last 22 games played.

Any conference away underdog of 4.0 or less (Texas Tech) with a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent (West Virginia) coming off a conference straight up loss by 7 points or less, and that opponent also has a win percentage of .600 to .800, and they (West Virginia) won 13 or more of their last 32 games played, resulted in those away underdogs going 15-2 ATS (88.2%) since 1990. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 5* wager.

South Alabama @ Troy 8:00 PM ET

Game# 101-102

Play On: Troy -16.0 (5*)

South Alabama has gone 0-4 against FBS opponents this season while allowing 38.5 points and 483.5 yards per game. South Alabama is also a miserable 0-6 SU&ATS during its last 6 away games when facing conference opponents.

Troy is coming off a huge 24-21 upset win at LSU as a 20.5-point underdog in their previous game. After losing their season opener 24-13 at Boise State, Troy has reeled off 4 straight wins. Since the start of last season, Troy is a stellar 7-1 at home against conference opponents.

Any home favorite of 14.0 or more that’s playing in game 2 through 7 of the season, coming off an away underdog of 10.0 or more straight up win, and has a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 SU&ATS since 1994. The average margin of victory was a massive 35.3 points per game. Bet on Troy minus the points for a 5* wager.

Washington State @ Oregon 8:00 PM ET

Game# 377-378

Play On: Oregon +3.0 (10*)

Oregon is coming off a 45-24 home win over California last Saturday. That victory improved the Ducks season record to 4-1 (.800). A win over a nationally ranked opponent would go a long way in putting Oregon back on the national radar. I look for the Ducks to be sky high on Saturday and turn in their best performance to date.

Washington State is coming off a 30-27 upset win over USC which came as a 5.0-point home underdog. I just don’t see how the Cougars can possibly come close to match the intensity they displayed last week in that huge win, and especially so when playing on the road. A letdown is in the forecast.

Any home team (Oregon) with a win percentage of better than .750, coming off a conference win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent (USC) coming off a conference home underdog straight up win by 8 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 38-0 straight up since 2000. Considering this straight up betting angle sides with the underdog, it certainly adds significantly to the betting value. Bet on Oregon plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Minnesota @ Purdue 3:30 PM ET

Game# 347-348

Play On: Minnesota +4.0 (5*)

I respect the fact that Purdue seems to be much improved under this new coaching regime. However, the fact remains, since 2014, Purdue has gone an abysmal 3-31 (.088) when facing fellow Big Ten Conference teams, and that includes 1-16 (0.59) at home. Hardly a stellar resume for a team that’s a conference favorite of better than a field goal on Saturday.

Minnesota is coming off an extremely disappointing 31-24 loss to Maryland, and it came in a game in which they were a sizable 13.0-point home favorite. The defeat dropped their season record to 3-1. On a positive note, the Gophers are a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games.

Any conference road underdog of 3.0 to 5.0-points, coming off a conference home favorite of 8.0 or greater upset loss by 6 points or more, resulted in those underdogs going 18-0 ATS since 1991. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager.

Duke @ Virginia 12:20 PM ET

Game# 335-336

Play On: Virginia -2.0 (5*)

Duke is coming off a 31-6 loss to Miami as a 5.0-point home underdog in their previous game. The defeat dropped their record to 4-1 (.800). The Blue Devils will be out to avenge last season’s 34-20 home loss to Virginia.

Conversely, Virginia is coming off a huge 43-24 win at Boise State last week, and did so as a sizable 14.0-point underdog.

Any conference home favorite of 9.5 or less, coming off an away underdog straight up win in which they covered by 12.0 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 21.0-points or less, and they’re (Duke) playing with revenge, resulted in those home favorites going 14-0 ATS since 1981. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests was a lopsided 22.8 points per game. Bet on Virginia minus the points for a 5* wager.

Arizona State @ Stanford 4:00 PM ET

Game# 201-202

Play On: Stanford -17.0 (10*)

Arizona State is coming off a shocking 37-35 upset of undefeated Oregon, and they did so as a 15.5-point home underdog. That win evened the Sun Devils record at 2-2. The Sun Devils have surrendered 30 points or more in each of their 4 games this season. Arizona State has gone 1-6 SU&ATS in their last 7 road games following a straight up win.

Stanford has gone an extremely profitable 7-1 ATS as a home favorite of 12.0 or more when facing an opponent that allowed 32 points or more in their previous game. The Cardinal won all 8 contests straight up and did so by a massive 33.0 points per game. Stanford is coming off a momentum building 58-34 conference home win over UCLA which ended a 2-game losing streak.

Any conference home favorite of 10.5 to 21.0 points that’s coming off a conference game, versus an opponent coming off a conference win by 3 points or less, and they (Arizona State) possess a win percentage of .450 to .550, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 SU&ATS since 2007. The average margin of victory in those contests was 30.9 points per game. Bet on Stanford minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Indiana @ Penn State 3:30 PM ET

Game# 151-152

Play On: Indiana +18.5 (5*)

After opening the season with a loss to Ohio State, Indiana has won their next 2 games by a cumulative score of 86-34.

Penn State needed a touchdown in the waning seconds of the 4th quarter to defeat Iowa 21-19, and barely avoided being upset as a 12.5-point favorite. The win improved the Nittany Lions season record to 4-0.

Any conference underdog of 12.0 to 20.5-points which is playing with revenge, coming off 2 or more wins in a row, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent coming off a win by 32 points or less, and they (Penn State) possess a win percentage of .900 or better, resulted in those underdogs going 28-2 ATS (93.3%) since 1993. Those double-digit underdogs also won 12 of those 30 games straight up. Bet on Indiana minus the points for a 5* wager.

Maryland @ Minnesota 12:00 PM ET

Game# 141-142

Play On: Minnesota -13.0 (5*)

This will be Maryland’s first conference road game of the season. The Terrapins were a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS as a conference away underdog a season ago, and lost by an average of 26.7 points per game. After beginning this season 2-0, Maryland was humbled during last week’s 38-10 blowout loss to Central Florida in a game they were a 4.5-point home favorite.

The P.J. Fleck era at Minnesota has begun with a bang as his Gophers are off to a fast 3-0 starts. Minnesota is coming off a 34-3 win over Middle Tennessee State and covered easily as a 14.0-point favorite.

Any favorite of 28.5 or less that’s coming off 2 or more wins in a row, the last of which they covered as a favorite, versus an opponent which allowed 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those favorites going 32-8 ATS (80%) since 2008. Bet on Minnesota minus the points for a 5* wager.

BYU @ Utah State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 109-110

Play On: Utah State +3.0 (5*)

After opening the year with a 20-6 win over an FCS team (Portland State), things have gone completely south for BYU. They’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games with all of them coming as an underdog, and scored 13 points or less in each of those defeats. The Cougars will also be without senior starting quarterback Tanner Mangum on Friday night who’s out with an ankle injury.

Utah State is coming off a resounding 61-14 win at San Jose State last week, and handedly covered as a 1.5-point favorite. Since 2012, the Aggies are 25-6 (.806) at home, and that includes 7-0 if they’re off a win versus an opponent coming off a loss.

Any home team (Utah State) coming off a straight up win in which they scored 28 points or more, versus an opponent that’s gone 0-3 SU&ATS as an underdog during each of their previous 3 games, and they (BYU) scored 13 points or less on each of those occasions, resulted in the home teams going a perfect 23-0 straight up since 1982. The straight up records take on added significance considering what the point-spread is in this contest.

Any home team that’s playing with revenge, and is coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they scored 57 points or more, versus an opponent that scored 34 points or less in their previous contest, resulted in those home teams going 19-1 SU&ATS since 1988. Bet on Utah State for a 5* wager.

Washington @ Colorado 10:00 PM ET

Game# 353-354

Play On: Colorado +12.0 (5*)

Colorado has begun the season with 3 straight wins, and each of those victories has come by 17 points or more. Since the start of last season, the Buffaloes have gone a perfect 8-0 on their home field in Boulder. Colorado is also a very profitable 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog, and all those games took place since 10/24/2015.

Washington is coming off a 63-7 win over Montana and defeated Fresno State 48-16 in each of the past 2 weeks.

Any conference home team (Colorado) playing in Game 4 of their season, and they won each of their first 3 games by 17 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 33-2 (.943) straight up and 26-9 ATS (74.3%) since 1997.

Any home team (Colorado) coming off 2 straight wins in a row, and each of those victories came by 17 points or more, versus an opponent (Washington) coming off 2 consecutive games in which they scored 42 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 37-12 SU&ATS (75.5%) since 1991. Play on Colorado plus the points for a 5* wager.

Alabama @ Vanderbilt 3:30 PM ET

Game# 379-380

Play On: Vanderbilt +19.5 (5*)

Let’s talk about the betting value that can be had on the sizable home underdog in this contest. Vanderbilt is 3-0 and has allowed a grand total of 13 points on their way to doing so. The Commodores defense has allowed a mere 198.3 total yards per game. Their most impressive performance came in a 14-7 upset win over Kansas State last Saturday. As a result, Vanderbilt has now gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games as a home underdog, and all those contests transpired since last season.

On the flip side, Colorado State racked up 401 total yards of offense in last week’s 41-23 loss to Alabama. That production proves that the Crimson Tide defense isn’t invincible like many believed going into that contest. The Tide didn’t cover in each of their previous 2 games, and failed to do so by a combined 25.0 points.

Any conference home underdog of 14.5 to 19.5-points which has a winning record, and is coming off 2 or more wins in a row, resulted in those home underdogs going an extremely profitable 18-1 ATS (94.7%) since 2002. Bet on Vanderbilt plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

NC State @ Florida State 12:00 PM ET

Game# 321-322

Play On: NC State +12.5 (5*)

Florida State will be playing in their first game since opening their season 3 weeks ago with 24-7 loss to Alabama. The Seminoles not only failed to cover that game as a 7.5-point underdog, but they lost starting quarterback Deondre Francois to a season ending knee injury. With James Blackman making his first career start under center, and with the Seminoles being potentially rusty after such a long layoff, it shapes up as a dangerous spot for the home favorite.

NC State was upset 35-28 by South Carolina in their season opener despite outgaining the Gamecocks in total yards by a decisive 504-246 margin. The Wolfpack has since bounced back with 2 straight wins, and they’ve amassed 485 or more total yards in each of their first 3 contests. They will be out to revenge last year’s narrow 24-20 home loss to Florida State.

Any conference away underdog of 7.0 to 15.5 points (NC State) that’s playing with revenge, and they’re coming off a non-conference game, and they won 7 games or less during the previous season, versus an opponent (Florida State) coming off a non-conference underdog ATS loss, and they won 11 games or less in the year before, resulted in those away underdogs going 25-3 ATS (89.2%) since 1986. Play on NC State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Stanford @ San Diego State 10:30 PM ET

Game# 209-210

Play On: San Diego State +9.0 (5*)

This pick has more to do with the positives pertaining to San Diego State than anything negative regarding Stanford. San Diego State is coming off an impressive 30-20 win at Arizona State last week and it came as a 2.0-point underdog. The Aztecs are now a sensational 24-2 during their previous 26 games played. Furthermore, they’ve won 21 of their last 23 at home, and that includes a current 12-game win streak in that specific role. There’s a plethora of betting value to be had on the home underdog in this spot.

Any non-conference home underdog of 2.5 to 10.0-points that won 21 or more of their last 28 home games, and they’re coming off a non-conference win in which they scored 21 points or more, resulted in those home underdogs going 24-4 ATS (85.7%) since 2002. The underdogs also won 17 of those 28 games straight up. Bet on San Diego State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Texas @ USC 8:30 PM ET

Game# 201-202

Play On: Texas +16.0 (5*)

Since 12/5/2015, Texas is 4-0 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 or more, and won 3 of those 4 games straight up. The Longhorns new head coach Tom Herman made a habit of upsetting highly ranked opponents during his previous tenure at Houston.

Texas is coming off a 56-0 blowout of UTEP while easily covering as a 24.5-point home favorite. USC has opened the season 2-0 with home wins over Western Michigan and Stanford. This sets up an extremely strong college football betting angle that’s been unbeaten for the past 8 seasons and favors the underdog.

Any college football road underdog of 2.5 to 18.0-points, coming off a home favorite of -10.0 or more ATS win, versus an opponent coming off home wins during each of its previous 2 games, resulted in those road underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 2010. The underdog also won 8 of those 13 games straight up. Bet on Texas plus the points for a 5* wager.

LSU @ Mississippi State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 187-188

Play On: Mississippi State +7.5 (10*)

For starters, Mississippi State has the better head coach (Dan Mullen) and quarterback (Nick Fitzgerald) in this matchup. The Bulldogs have covered their last 3 games against LSU, won straight up on one occasion while its 2 losses came by narrow 2 and 3-point margins. Since 2012, Mississippi State has gone a stellar 26-9 at home. Since 2013, LSU is an abysmal 1-7 straight up and 0-8 ATS on the road following a win.

Mississippi State is off to a 2-0 start. The Bulldogs opened with a 49-0 win against Charleston Southern, and then last week went on the road where they crushed Louisiana Tech by a score of 57-21. Mississippi State has now gone 13-9 over its last 22 games. A combination of the previously mentioned results creates a powerful college football betting angle which favors the underdog in this matchup.

Any college football home underdog of 4.5 to 11.0-points, coming off 2 straight wins in which they scored 40 points or more in each contest, and they’ve won 10 or more of its previous 22 games, resulted in those home underdogs going a perfect 23-0 ATS since 1983. The underdog also won 18 of those 23 games straight up. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 10* wager.

Illinois @ South Florida 7:00 PM ET

Game# 107-108

Play On: South Florida -17.0 (5*)

The good news or Illinois fans is their team has started the season 2-0. The bad news, Illinois hasn’t won 3 straight games since 9/24/2011. Furthermore, since 9/13/2014, they’ve gone a dismal 0-5 ATS as an underdog of 13.0 to 29.0 points following a straight up win, and lost those contests by a lopsided margin of 33.4 points per game. There 2 wins to start the season both came at home, and were against vastly inferior opponents than the one they’ll be facing on Friday night. They barely beat Ball State in their season opener by a score of 24-21, and then defeated Western Kentucky 20-7 last Saturday.

Despite their 2-0 record, South Florida has underachieved thus far in terms of playing to its full potential. They were rather uninspiring in their season opening 42-22 road win at San Jose State, and failed to cover as a 21.0-point favorite. Then 2 weeks ago Stony Brook gave the Bulls all they can handle for 3 quarters, before they pulled away for a double-digit victory. South Florida’s scheduled game at Connecticut last Saturday was postponed due to “Hurricane Irma”. So I look for them to be energized and fully engaged while playing before a national television audience on Friday night.

Any non-conference home favorite of 4.5 or more, versus an opponent coming off a non-conference home underdog straight up win, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 12-0 ATS since 2002. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests was a decisive 29.3 points per game. Play on South Florida minus the points for a 5* wager.

New Mexico @ Boise State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 103-104

Play On: New Mexico +15.5 (5*)

Boise State has gone 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 17.5 or less. The Broncos are coming off a narrow 45-42 loss at nationally ranked Washington State last Saturday.

New Mexico is coming off their 2nd straight upset loss to arch rival New Mexico State last week. The Lobos will be seeking revenge for a second consecutive week, and will look to atone for last year’s 49-21 loss to Boise State. New Mexico is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 conference games when playing with revenge as an away underdog of 20.5 or less, and if they’re coming off a straight up loss in its previous contest. The Lobos have won 5 of those 7 games straight up, and each of those contests have occurred since 2014.

Any conference away underdog of 8.0 to 19.0-points, playing with revenge, and is coming off a home favorite straight up loss while playing with revenge, and they scored 10 points or more in that previous contest, versus an opponent coming off a straight up loss, resulted in those away underdogs going a perfect 13-0 ATS since 1994. Bet on New Mexico plus the points for a 5* wager.

Houston @ Arizona 10:30 PM ET

Game# 397-398

Play On: Arizona +1.0 (10*)

This will be the season opener for Houston. Their scheduled season opener last week against Texas San-Antonio was cancelled due to “Hurricane Harvey”.

Arizona is coming off last week’s season opening 62-24 win over Northern Arizona, and covered as a 27.5-point home favorite. Despite the win, Arizona is just 8-14 during its last 22 games.

Any home team playing in their 2nd of their season (lined game), coming off a home favorite ATS win, versus a non-conference opponent (Houston) playing in its season opener, resulted in those home teams going 32-2 (94.3%) straight up since 1987. The straight up number takes on added significance considering this point-spread. Bet on Arizona for a 10* Top Play wager.

Oklahoma @ Ohio State 7:30 PM ET

Game# 383-384

Play On: Ohio State -7.5 (5*)

Oklahoma will be out to revenge last year’s embarrassing 45-24 home loss to Ohio State in a game they were thoroughly dominated from start to finish. Attaining revenge is a lot easier said than done and especially so when trying to accomplish at “The Horseshoe” in Columbus. Oklahoma opened their season last Saturday with a convincing 56-7 home win over outclassed UTEP. The Sooners are about to step way up in class on Saturday.

Ohio State overcame a halftime deficit in last week’s season opener at Indiana, and pulled away for a convincing 49-21 win. The Buckeyes covered that game covered that game as a substantial 20.5-point road favorite against a better than advertised Hoosiers team. Ohio State is 52-4 in their last 56 home games, and that includes 22-1 versus non-conference opponents. Considering they’re a rare single digit home favorite on Saturday that impressive home resume equates to betting value.

Any home favorite playing in their 2nd game of the season, coming off an away favorite ATS win in whgich they covered by 15.0 or less, versus an opponent playing with revenge who scored 64 points or less in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 13-1 ATS since 1991. The home teams won all 14 of those contests straight up. And the average margin of victory was 27.9 points per game. Bet on Ohio State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Nebraska @ Oregon 4:30 PM ET

Game# 357-358

Play On: Oregon -13.5 (5*)

Nebraska escaped 43-36 home win over Arkansas State last Saturday, and failed to cover as a 14.5-point favorite. As a matter of fact, the Cornhuskers needed an interception in the end zone with less than a minute to play in order to preserve the victory.

Oregon will be out to avenge last year’s narrow 35-32 loss at Nebraska. Former South Florida head coach Willie Taggart’s tenure at Oregon began last week in a highly successful manner. The Ducks clobbered Southern Utah 77-21 and easily covered as a substantial 31.0-point home favorite. Oregon amassed a massive 703 yards of total offense in the contest. They will be facing a porous Nebraska defense on Saturday will allowed 493 yards last week against Arkansas State. Play on Oregon minus the points for a 5* wager.

Indiana @ Virginia 3:30 PM ET

Game# 341-342

Play On: Indiana -3.0 (5*)

This is a Virginia football program which has gone 16-42 during their previous 58 games. The cavaliers are coming off a season opening lackluster 28-10 win over a FCS opponent (William & Mary).

Indiana gave Ohio State all they can handle for better than a half last week before being outscored in the 4th quarter 28-0, and losing 49-21. As a matter of fact, they racked up over 400 yards passing against a very talented Ohio State defense.

Any non-conference away favorite of 17.5 or less, coming off a conference home underdog ATS loss in which they scored 10 points or more, versus an opponent which allowed 10 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those away favorites going 12-0 SU&ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory in those contests was a decisive 18.1 points per game. Bet on Indiana minus the points for a 5* wager.

Ohio @ Purdue 8:00 PM ET

Game# 301-302

Play On: Ohio +3.5 (5*)

Purdue gave Louisville all they can handle during last week’s 35-28 home loss to Louisville, and they easily covered as a 25.5-point underdog. However, their upset bid was derailed by 4 offensive turnovers. This will mark just the 3rd time that Purdue has been installed as a favorite against a FBS opponent since 2013.

I really like this Ohio team and their veteran head coach Frank Solich. They’re definitely be one of the favorites to win the MAC and could possibly be last year’s version of Western Michigan. The Bobcats are coming off a 59-0 season opening win over Hampton, and easily covered as a massive 36.5-point favorite. Since the 2015 season, Ohio is a perfect 6-0 ATS as a non-conference underdog.

Any non-conference away underdog of 4.0 or less (Ohio), coming off a non-conference win by 14-points or more, versus an opponent (Purdue) coming off a loss in which they allowed 35-points or more, resulted in those road underdogs going 14-1 ATS since 1992. The underdogs also won 13 of those 15 games straight up. Bet on Ohio plus the points.

Florida St. vs. Alabama 8:00 PM ET

Game# 205-206

Play On: Florida St. +7.5 (10*)

Writing about how good Alabama has been in recent years, and how good they’ll be this season, is nothing more than redundant as well as boring. Hence, let’s talk about Florida St.  The Seminoles are one of the few teams in the country capable of matching up with Alabama from an overall talent perspective. As a matter of fact, Florida St. holds the slight edge in experience with 16 returning starters from a team that went 10-3 in 2016, compared to 12 for Alabama. Furthermore, since 2012, Florida St. has gone a terrific 59-9 (.868) under the watchful eye of head coach Jimbo Fisher. That includes a National Championship in 2013, and a College Football Playoff appearance in 2014. Additionally, the Seminoles have won 7 straight season openers since Jimbo Fisher took over as head coach, and they’re also a perfect 12-0 in their first 2 games of the season since 2013. It all adds up to a sizable amount of underdog betting value regardless of the opponent, and especially so with the generous amount of points they’ll be receiving. Bet on Florida St. plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Troy @ Boise St. 3:45 PM ET

Game# 207-208

Play On: Troy +11.0 (5*)

Troy returns 16 starters from a team that went 10-3 in 2016. During last year’s extremely successful campaign, Troy nearly pulled off a monumental upset during a narrow 30-24 defeat as a 35.0-point away underdog against the eventual national champion Clemson. My point being, this experienced team from the Sun belt Conference won’t be intimidated nor will be in awe of playing on the blue turf in Boise against a perennial Mountain West powerhouse. Bet on Troy plus the points for a 5* wager.

Michigan vs. Florida 3:30 PM ET

Game# 201-202

Play On: Florida +4.0 (5*)

Michigan finished last season by going 0-3 ATS in its final 3 games as a favorite, and lost 2 of those contests straight up. The Wolverines return just 6 starters from last year’s 10-3 team, and that includes only 1 on the defensive side of the ball.

Unlike Michigan, Florida will have a substantial amount of experience (15 starters) returning from a team which went 9-4 in 2016. Although there’s uncertainty at the quarterback position, Florida has 3 viable and highly talented options to choose from. The Gators are undervalued in this spot. Bet on Florida plus the points for a 5* wager.

South Carolina vs. NC State 3:00 PM ET

Game# 197-198

Play On: NC State -5.0

I consider NC State to be a huge sleeper in the ACC. The Wolfpack return 16 starters from a team that went 7-6 in 2016, and they concluded the year with a 41-17 Independence Bowl rout of Vanderbilt. Since the 2015 season, NC State is an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS as a non-conference favorite. All those games occurred with current head coach Dave Doeren roaming the sideline. Play on NC State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Colorado St. vs. Colorado 8:00 PM ET

Game# 151-152

Play On: Colorado St. +5.5 (5*)

Colorado St. is coming off an impressive 2017 debut during last Saturday’s 58-27 blowout win as a 3.5-point favorite over Oregon State. The Rams are now an extremely profitable 11-3 ATS since the 2016 season began, and that includes a perfect 7-0 ATS in games 1 through 6. Colorado St. will also be out to revenge last season’s embarrassing 44-7 loss to its in-state rival.

Any away or neutral site underdog of 8.5 or less (Colorado St.) in their 2nd game of the season that’s playing with revenge, coming off a win in their season opener, and they won 7 games or less the year before in addition to winning 10 or more of its previous 22 contests, versus an opponent that won 6 or more game the season before, resulted in those underdogs going 18-3 ATS (85.7%) since 1984. Taking this college football betting algorithm one step further, if the point spread was 6.5 or less, those underdogs improved to 10-1 ATS and won straight up 9 times. Bet on Colorado St. plus the points for a 5* wager.

Clemson vs. Alabama 8:00 PM ET

Play On: Clemson +6.5 (10*)

Just to refresh everyone’s memory, Clemson may have lost to Alabama in last year’s national championship game, but it was no fault of then sophomore quarterback Deshaun Watson. During that contest, Watson threw for a massive 405 yards, tossed 4 passes for touchdowns, and rushed for an additional 73 yards. Watson was brilliant in Clemson’s semifinals win over Ohio State on New Year’s Eve. He accounted for 316 total yards and 4 touchdowns in that contest.

Clemson gets a lot of acclaim for their high-powered offense, and rightfully so. However, their defensive prowess seems to fly under the radar. The Tigers stop unit is allowing just 17.1 points and 306.9 yards per game. They stifled Ohio State’s offense in their semifinal win by not only shutting them out, but also held the Buckeyes to a mere 215 total yards.

The Alabama defense has been dominant this season, and it’s been a major reason why they’re a perfect 14-0 up until this point. They’re allowing a paltry 11.4 points and 244.4 yards per game. Alabama has allowed 17 points or less in each of its previous 8 games.

Any college football underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 (Clemson), facing an opponent (Alabama) which allows 14.0 points or less per game for the season, and they allowed 17 points or less in each of their last 5 games, resulted in those underdogs going 43-15 (74.1%) against the spread since 1992. The average line in those 58 contests was 7.0, and the underdog won 25 of those games straight up. Bet on Clemson plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Auburn vs. Oklahoma 8:30 PM ET

Play On: Oklahoma -3.0 (10*)

We’ve seen this line move quickly from 6.0 down to 4.5. Quite frankly, I attribute it to the overzealous Southeast Conference fans that still feel they’re superior when facing any non-conference team. Auburn is a terrific defensive football team, but they’re very limited offensively. That flaw reared its ugly head in all 4 of their losses, and it will again in the Sugar Bowl. Oklahoma went on a late season run that saw them win its last 9 games on their way to seizing the Big 12 title. Sooners quarterback Baker Mayfield has been as good as any quarterback in the country during the second half of the season. Lay the points with “Boomer Sooner”. Bet on Oklahoma minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

USC vs. Penn State 5:00 PM ET

Play On: Penn State +8.0 (5*)

Talk about a couple of red-hot teams heading into a bowl game that aren’t not playing for a national championship, that’s exactly what we have here. After starting the season 1-3, including an embarrassing 52-6 opening game loss to Alabama, USC enters the “Grand-Daddy of them All” on an 8-game win streak. The Trojans have also covered 7 of those 8, and has captured the money in each of its last 6. Meanwhile, all Penn State has done is win 9 straight, and secure the Big Ten Crown. This game has all the earmarks of an instant classic that goes right down to the wire. With that in mind, it favors a cover by the underdog. Bet on Penn State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Western Michigan vs. Wisconsin 1:00 PM ET

Play On: Western Michigan +9.5 (5*)

Do you think Western Michigan will be excited to play in a major bowl game versus a Power 5 Conference team? If you answered no, I recommend couch time with your nearest psychiatrist, or talk to me when you sober up. Here’s the deal, Wisconsin is the stronger, more athletic, and better team on paper. You know what they say about paper, teams don’t play on it. Western Michigan doesn’t beat themselves, and they’ll need to be flawless once again versus unequivocally the best team they’ve faced all season. On the other hand, Wisconsin had much higher aspirations when heading into the Big Ten Championship Game, and then proceeded to squander a 21-point lead in a loss to Penn State. The Badgers now find themselves playing a MAC opponent instead of vying for a national championship. This game will be much closer than people think. Bet on Western Michigan plus the points for a 5* wager.

Iowa vs. Florida 1:00 PM ET

Play On: Iowa +3.0 (5*)

Iowa has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games, and allowed 13 points or less on each occasion. Florida is 0-2 SU&ATS during its previous 2 games and allowed 31 points or more in each of those contests.

Any team (Iowa) coming off 2 straight games in which they allowed 14 points or less, versus an opponent (Florida) that allowed 31 points or more in each of its previous 2 contests, resulted in those teams going as perfect 49-0 straight up since 2012. Considering this betting angle supports the underdog (Iowa) in this contest, the straight up results take on added significance. Bet on Iowa plus the points for a 5* wager.

Ohio State vs. Clemson 7:00 PM ET

Play On: Ohio State -2.5 (10*)

It’s extremely difficult for me to go against Ohio State head coach Urban Meyer in a big game, and especially on that’s a virtual even matchup like this one. After all, since taking over in Columbus prior to the 2012 season, Meyer is 61-5 (.924) as head coach of the Buckeyes. Furthermore, during that time span, Ohio State is 11-1 straight up and 10-2 ATS as a favorite or dog of 4.0 or less. All due respect to Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney, but my money will unequivocally be on Urban Meyer and the Buckeyes. Bet on Ohio State for a 10* Top Play wager.

Louisville vs. LSU 11:00 AM ET

Play On: LSU -3.0 (5*)

This is a much better LSU team than their 7-4 record indicates. Their 4 defeats came against #1 Alabama, #20 Florida, #17 Auburn, and #8 Wisconsin. Those 4 losses were by a combined 23 points, and versus teams which have compiled a cumulative 40-10 (.800) record thus far. The LSU defense has been terrific this season, and has allowed 21 points or less in 10 of its 11 games. LSU cleared up their cloudy picture regarding its next head coach. They chose to retain interim head coach Ed Orgeron who took over for the fired Les Miles earlier this season. Under the guidance of Orgeron, LSU has gone 5-2 SU&ATS.

Louisville was 9-1 and on the cusp of being one of 4 teams chosen for the college football playoffs. Then they shockingly collapsed in their final 2 regular season games. First came a lopsided 36-10 upset loss to Houston as a sizable 17.5-point road favorite. Next was a humiliating 41-38 loss to Kentucky in a game they were a massive 28.5-point home favorite. The question now becomes, how motivated will they be to play in a less glamorous bowl game than anticipated, and against a 4-loss opponent?

Despite Louisville having the better record in this Citrus Bowl, LSU has unequivocally played a much tougher schedule. My professional intuition leads me to believe that LSU will be the more focused team when kickoff time arrives. Bet on LSU minus the points for a 5* wager.

Kentucky vs. Georgia Tech 11:00 AM ET

Play On: Georgia Tech -3.5 (5*)

These are 2 teams that finished strong and earned their way to a New Year’s Eve bowl game. I was especially impressed with Georgia Tech going 3-0 SU&ATS in its last 3 games. That stretch included quality road wins over Virginia Tech and Georgia. The Yellow jackets were 8-4 during regular season action, and their 4 losses came against opponents with a combined 38-13 (.745) record.

One thing that will most likely be a determining factor in this game is ball security. Georgia Tech has turned the ball over just 15 times this season. Conversely, Kentucky has committed a massive 27 turnovers in 2016.

Finally, Georgia tech and has been one of the best rushing offenses in college football under head coach Paul Johnson. They should have a field day against a Kentucky defense which has allowed 225 yards rushing per game. Bet on Georgia tech minus the points for a 5* wager.

Florida State vs. Michigan 8:00 PM ET

Play On: Florida State +7.5 (10*)

Sometimes it’s about motivation when it comes to handicapping bowl games. Pundits will tell you that Michigan is out to prove the playoff committee wrong for being snubbed. However, my past experiences lead me to disagree with those opinions. The disappointment of being relegated to a smaller stage often brings out the worst and not best for teams in the position Michigan will be. Conversely, Florida State has been out of national championship contention for quite some time, and are elated to be in this illustrious bowl game.

Any underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 (Florida State), possessing a winning record, versus an opponent (Michigan) coming off a road loss by 3 points or less, and they also own a winning record, resulted in those underdogs going 35-10 ATS (77.7%) since 1993. The underdog also won 22 of those 45 games straight up. Bet on Florida State plus the points for a 10* Top Play selection.

Nebraska vs. Tennessee 3:30 PM ET

Play On: Nebraska +10.5 (5*)

I know that Nebraska starting quarterback Tommy Armstrong is unlikely to play, or may see very little action due to an injury sustained during the Cornhuskers final regular season game. However, the adjustment made to this line is inflated in my professional opinion. Backup quarterback Ryker Fyfe is very talented, and has proven to be more than capable when given past opportunities to play. The Nebraska defense has been solid for the most part this season, allowing just 22.7 points per game.

Tennessee’s defense was atrocious in their final 3 regular season games against Kentucky, Missouri, and Vanderbilt. During that course of time, they allowed 39.3 points and 661.0 yards per game against far from prolific offensive teams. Bet on Nebraska plus the points for a 5* wager.

Oklahoma State vs Colorado 9:00 PM ET

Play On: Oklahoma State +3.0 (5*)

Colorado played in its first ever PAC-12 Championship game against #4 Washington during its last outing. Nevertheless, the Buffaloes didn’t acquit themselves very well at all, and were blown out 41-10. Colorado held out hopes of being invited to the Rose Bowl, but the committee opted for USC instead. This is a Colorado football program which had gone a combined 14-48 from the start of 2011 through 2015. It’s not like they’ve been used to the degree of success attained in 2016, and the disappointment from the conference title game loss, and Ross Bowl snub has most likely shaken their confidence, and will have some type of negative affect.

Oklahoma State will be out to atone for a poor performance during their 48-20 lopsided loss to Mississippi in the 2016 Sugar Bowl. As opposed to Colorado, Oklahoma State has become accustomed to success, and has gone 102-50 (.671) during the past 13 seasons under current head coach Mike Gundy. As a matter of fact, the Cowboys are an even more impressive 92-38 (.708) during the past 11 years, and each one of those campaigns will and have ended with a bowl appearance. Bet on Oklahoma State plus the points for a 5* wager.

South Florida vs. South Carolina 2:00 PM ET

Play On: South Florida -10.0 (10*)

South Florida flies under the radar a bit while heading into this bowl season with a stellar 10-2 record. They’re only 2 losses came at the hands of Florida State (9-3) and Temple (10-3). South Florida has scored 35 points or more in 10 of 12 games this season. Granted the SEC is still considered a vastly superior from top to bottom than the AAC. However, the disparity gap between those conferences narrowed considerably in 2016.

South Carolina went 6-6 during regular season action, and their only win over a FBS opponent with a winning record came in an upset of Tennessee. The Gamecocks have averaged only 19.2 points scored and 336.4 yards of total offense per game Bet on South Florida minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

West Virginia vs. Miami 5:30 ET

Play On: Miami -2.5 (5*)

Miami’s Mark Richt, he spent the previous 15 seasons as head coach of the Georgia Bulldogs. During that tenure, Georgia went 9-4 straight up and 8-5 against the spread in bowl games, including 5-1 SU&ATS if they were facing an opponent coming off a win. By the way, West Virginia enters the Russell Athletic Bowl following a win over Baylor in its regular season finale.

West Virginia (10-2) started the season with 6 consecutive wins, and appeared to be a possible college football playoff sleeper. However, they finished 4-2, and looked anything but that part. The Mountaineers were blown out at Oklahoma State 37-21, and were shellacked 56-28 on their home field against Oklahoma. They finished their regular season slate with a narrow 3-point home win as a 17.0-point favorite versus Baylor. That was a Baylor team which entered that contest on a 5-game losing streak, and a football program that was in total disarray.

I love the direction this Miami Hurricanes football program is heading under Mark Richt, and they enter this bowl game riding a wave of momentum. Contrarily, I’m not enamored whatsoever with how West Virginia finished its regular season slate, and for all the reasons which have been already touched upon. Bet on Miami for a 5* wager.

Northwestern vs Pittsburgh 2:00 PM ET

Play On: Pittsburgh -4.5 (5*)

This is a Pittsburgh team that’s much better than their 8-4 record may indicate. They’ve posted wins this season over #3 Clemson and #5 Penn State. Additionally, 3 of their 4 losses came by a combined 11 points. The Panthers offense has been dynamic this season, and particularly so in their last 3 games. As a matter of fact, the Panthers have scored 36 points or more in 10 of 12 games this year. During that stretch, they averaged 58.3 points and 523.0 yards per game. Northwestern was 6-6 this year, and it included a loss to Illinois State who plays at the FCS level. Bet on Pittsburgh minus the points for a 5* wager.

Baylor vs. Boise State 10:15 PM ET

Play On: Boise State -7.0 (5*)

Baylor opened the season by winning its first 6 games. Since that time, they’ve dropped 6 games in a row, and concluded their 2016 regular season campaign with an uninspiring 6-6 record. My college football handicapping software program tracks all results back to 1980. With that in mind, this will be the first time a team enters a bowl game on a 6-game losing streak during that entire 37-year period. There’s been reports of a mutiny by assistant coaches against current Baylor head coach Jim Grobe. This season can’t end quick enough for Baylor, and their performance in this bowl game will be indicative of such.

Boise State has been a favorite in all 12 of their games this season. Despite going 10-2, the Broncos were a dismal 3-9 ATS in those contests. Part of the reason for their lack of ATS success was being a favorite by 13.0-points or more in 10 of those 12 games. The last time Boise State was an underdog goes way back to 12/31/2014, and it came in a bowl game against Arizona. This is a more favorable betting parameter for the Broncos liking. Bet on Boise State minus the points for a 5* wager.

North Texas vs. Army 12:00 PM ET (Tuesday 12/27)

Play On: Army -10.0 (5*)

Army will be out to revenge a 35-18 home loss to North Texas as a 17.5-point favorite on 10/22. The final score was a bit misleading due to Army turning the ball over 7 times in that contest and had a turnover margin of -6. Since that upset win, North Texas went a dismal 1-4 in its final 5 regular season games, and was outscored by a combined 95 points through that course of time. Army’s defense has been strong this season, evidenced by the Cadets allowing just 282 yards per game during regular season action.

Army’s strength on offense is a triple option rushing attack that averages a lofty 5.5 yards per attempt. Army outrushed arch rival Navy 316-112 in their regular season finale. Conversely, North Texas has allowed their opponents to average a lofty 5.1 yards per rushing attempt this season.

Vanderbilt vs. NC State 5:00 PM ET (Monday 12/26)

Play On: NC State -5.5 (10*)

The NC State defense has been stout against the run this season, further proven by them allowing just 105 yards per game on the ground. That’s significant when handicapping this contest, and especially when considering Vanderbilt has ran the ball on 56.7% of their offensive snaps during regular season action. Speaking of Vanderbilt’s offense, the Commodores have scored 17 points or less in 7 of their 12 regular season games, and they were particularly anemic when playing away from home. On the other side of the fence, NC State has amassed 469 yards or more of total offense in 6 of their 12 games. They’ll be facing a Vanderbilt defense which has allowed 453.3 yards per game over their previous 3 contests. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

BYU vs. Wyoming 9:00 PM ET

Play On: BYU -10.0 (5*)

Wyoming has been a nice story this year. After years of futility, the Cowboys went 8-5, and played in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game. Nevertheless, they’ve lost 3 of their last 4, and allowed 46.3 points in addition to 347.3 yards rushing per game during that stretch. The Cowboys run defense will be in for a long day against BYU’s potent rushing attack led by bruising running back Jamaal Williams who ran for 1165 yards in 9 games this season.

BYU played a very challenging schedule this season, and that was especially true in their first 8 games. The Cougars finished 8-4 and won their last 4 regular season contests. Their 4 losses came against, UCLA, Utah, West Virginia, Boise State, and were by a combined 8 points. With a little bit of luck, we could’ve been talking about an undefeated team at this juncture. Starting quarterback Taysom Hill will not play tonight. However, sophomore backup quarterback Tanner Mangum started 12 games last year after Hill sustained a season ending injury in the Cougars 2015 opener. There will be little if any drop off with Mangum under center. Bet on BYU minus the points for a 5* wager.

Memphis vs. Western Kentucky 7:00 PM ET

Play On: Western Kentucky -6.5 (5*)

You can certainly make the argument for Memphis playing in a tougher conference compared to Western Kentucky. Nevertheless, Western Kentucky has faced 8 teams this season which will be participating in bowl games, and they went 5-3 in those contests. Included in those 3 defeats was a loss at #1 Alabama, and a pair of setbacks by a combined 4 points. Despite their 8-4 record, Memphis has beaten just 1 FBS team (Temple) this season that finished with a winning record. The Hilltoppers are an explosive offense team, and they’ve scored 44 points or more in each of their previous 9 games. They’ll be facing a Memphis team which has allowed 44 points or more in 4 of their previous 6 games. Bet on Western Kentucky minus the points for a 5* wager.

Arkansas State vs. Central Florida 5:30 PM ET

Play On: Central Florida -5.5 (5*)

Although Central Florida was an uninspiring 6-6 this season, all 6 of their defeats came against teams playing in a bowl game. As a matter of fact, the 6 time they lost to have compiled a cumulative 54-19 (.740) record heading into their bowl games. Arkansas State has gone an excellent 15-1 in the Sun Belt Conference over the past 2 seasons. However, during that same 2-year period, Arkansas State was a dismal 0-7 straight up and 1-6 ATS in non-conference games versus FBS teams. It’s worth noting, this game will take place at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida which is a stone’s throw from Central Florida’s campus. Bet on Central Florida minus the points for a 5* wager.

Appalachian State vs. Toledo 5:30 PM ET

Play On: Toledo -1.0 (5*)

This is an explosive offensive team from Toledo. The Rockets average 38.8 points scored and 529.7 yards of total offense per game. These teams have played one common opponent this season and that was Akron. Appalachian State came away with a 45-38 win at Akron, and allowed the Zips to gain 486 yards of total offense. Conversely, Toledo cruised to a 48-17 win at Akron.

Appalachian State was the 2016 Sun Belt co-champion, and shared the title with Arkansas State. That’s an Arkansas State team which has gone a combined 15-1 in Sun Belt conference games the past 2 seasons. Toledo has defeated Arkansas State in each of the last 2 years by lopsided scores of 63-44 and 37-7. Since the start of last season, Toledo is 7-0 ATS and 6-1 straight up in non-conference games. Their only blemish on that straight up mark was a narrow 55-53 loss at BYU this past September. Bet on Toledo for a 5* wager.

Texas-San Antonio @ New Mexico 2:00 PM ET

Play On: New Mexico -6.5 (5*)

New Mexico has the luxury of playing a bowl game on its home field for the 2nd consecutive year. Bowl teams playing on their home field have historically been a good bet, evidenced by a 17-10 (62.9%) against the spread record since 1992. As a matter of fact, since 1996, any home favorite of 8.5 or less playing in a bowl game, and they possess a win percentage of .666 or better, resulted in those home favorite going 6-0 SU&ATS. The average margin of victory in those 6 contests was a sizable 17.2 points per game.

Preparing for a potent triple option offense like the one New Mexico runs can cause opposing defensive coordinators many sleepless nights. Scout teams of New Mexico opponents can’t simulate the efficiency and speed of how it operates in practice. Furthermore, coaching staffs can go years between facing triple option offenses, and have very little to go on. Besides, New Mexico isn’t just any triple option offense, they lead the nation with 360.9 rushing yards per game. Conversely, Texas San Antonio has allowed 157.8 yards rushing per game. Bet on New Mexico minus the points for a 5* wager.

Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma 12:30 PM ET

Play On: Oklahoma -11.0 (5*)

Oklahoma is coming off a resounding 56-28 conference win at West Virginia in their previous game, and they easily covered as a 3.0-point favorite. On the other hand, Oklahoma State, they’re coming off a 31-6 upset win over TCU as a 6.0-point road underdog in its last game.

Any home favorite of 24.0 or less (Oklahoma), coming off a conference win by 11 points or more, versus an opponent (Oklahoma State) coming off a conference underdog of 6.0 or more straight up win, resulted in those home favorites going 26-0 SU&ATS since 2004.

Temple @ Navy 12:00 PM ET

Play On: Navy -2.5 (5*)

It seems like eons ago that Temple opened their season with a shocking 28-13 loss to Army. Speaking of that Army loss, there’s cause for concern when considering the Cadets run a very similar triple option offense in comparison to Navy. Army amassed a massive 329 yards rushing in that contest against Temple. Navy is averaging 342 yards rushing per game this season, and gets a robust 6.0 yards per attempt.

You may be surprised to know, Navy has gone 23-2 during their last 25 home games, and that includes a present 15-game win streak in Annapolis. Considering they’re less than a field goal favorite in this contest, you can’t ignore Navy’s recent home field dominance. Navy has scored 42 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games, and has only punted twice in the month of November. Senior quarterback Will Worth leads the nation with 23 rushing touchdowns, has run for more than 1000 yards, and is a far better passer than statistics would indicate.

Navy has seemed to get stronger as the season progressed, and that was certainly evident during their last 2 games. The 9-2 (.818) Midshipmen walloped East Carolina 66-31 as a 7.5-point road favorite 2 weeks ago, and then last Saturday crushed SMU 75-31 while covering as a 7.0-point chalk. By the way, Temple has gone 2-31 straight up in their last 33 road games versus an opponent with a win percentage of better than .750.

Any conference home favorite (Navy), coming off away favorite ATS wins in which they covered by 10.0 points or more during each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 SU&ATS since 2012. The average margin of victory was 22.2 points per game.

Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky 12:00 PM ET

Play On: Western Kentucky -10.0 (10*)

Louisiana Tech is coming off a 39-24 upset loss as a double-digit favorite in their regular season finale against Southern Mississippi. They’ll be facing a Western Kentucky team that’s won 12 straight conference home games, and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 when they’re a favorite of 19.0 or less. They won those 6 contests by a decisive average of 28.8 points per game.

Western Kentucky is coming off wins of 60-6 over Marshall, and 45-7 against North Texas during their previous 2 games. They finished the regular season with a 9-3 record. They’ll be playing with revenge stemming from a 55-52 regular season loss at Louisiana Tech. Their other 2 defeats came at #1 Alabama, and a narrow 1-point loss at the hands of Vanderbilt.

Any favorite of 6.5 to 19.0 (Western Kentucky), coming off 2 straight wins by 28 points or more on each occasion, versus an opponent (Louisiana Tech) that allowed 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those favorites going 23-3 ATS (88.4%) since 2008. Bet on Western Kentucky minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Ohio vs. Western Michigan 7:00 PM ET

Play On: Ohio +17.0 (5*)

Veteran head coach Frank Solich will have his Ohio Bobcats ready to play on Friday night against nationally ranked and undefeated Western Michigan. Although I’m not brave enough to call for an outright upset, I strongly believe this game will be much closer than most expect, and Ohio is a good bet to stay within this sizable number.

Ohio is coming off a conference win over Akron in its regular season finale. Since the start of last season Ohio is a perfect 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 3.0 or more when coming off a win. Two of those covers came against conference opponents (Bowling Green, Toledo), and they won those both of those contests straight up as a double-digit underdog on both occasions.

Any underdog of 4.5 to 24.0 (Ohio), coming off a conference game, and is playing after game 12 of the season, versus an undefeated opponent (Western Michigan), resulted in those underdogs going 10-0 ATS since 2003. The underdogs also won 7 of those 10 games straight up. Bet on Ohio plus the points for a 5* wager.

Wyoming @ New Mexico 10:15 PM ET

Play On: Wyoming -3.0 (5*)

Wyoming’s amazing turnaround season can become more astounding with a win in Albuquerque on Saturday night. If they’re able to accomplish that feat, the Cowboys will play in the Mountain West Championship game for a first time. I like the balance Wyoming possesses on offense compared to New Mexico’s predominately triple option rushing attack. It’s my professional opinion that will be the deciding difference in this game.

Any road favorite (Wyoming) which average 6.2 or more yards per offensive play, playing after game 6 of the season, and they gained 450 yards or more of total offense in each of its last 2 games, versus an opponent (New Mexico) that defensively allows 6.2 yards or more per play, resulted in those road favorites going 27-1 (96.4%) straight up since 1992. The road teams had a massive +25.7 point per game differential in those 28 contests. Bet on Wyoming minus the small number for a 5* wager.

Florida @ Florida State 8:00 PM ET

Play On: Florida State -7.0 (10*)

I haven’t been sold on Florida all season. Granted their defense is one of the best nationally. Nevertheless, the Gators offense leaves a lot to be desired. Florida State has too many weapons at the skilled positions for the Florida defense to remain stout for an entire 4 quarters.

Florida State is coming off a 45-14 blowout win at Syracuse this past Saturday. On the other hand, Florida pulled off a huge 16-10 upset win as a 13.5-point underdog at Florida last week.

Any home favorite of 4.0 to 16.5 (Florida State), coming off a conference win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent (Florida) coming off a win as an underdog of 6.0 or more, resulted in those home favorite going 43-4 ATS (91.4%) since 1985. As a matter of fact, since 1998, this precise betting angle has gone an even better 31-1 ATS (96.8%). Bet on Florida State minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager.

Oregon @ Oregon State 4:00 PM ET

Play On: Oregon State +3.0 (5*)

Oregon State is coming off a confidence building 42-17 home blowout win over Arizona in their previous games. The victory improved the Beavers record to a still undesirable 3-8 this season. However, they’ve gone a profitable 8-3 ATS in those contests. Conversely, Oregon comes off an 30-28 upset win over Utah, and did so as a 13.5-point road underdog. Despite that win, the Ducks have gone a dismal 2-7 over its last 9 games.

Any home team (Oregon State) coming off a conference win by 21 points or more, versus an opponent (Oregon) coming off a conference win as an underdog of 6.0 or greater, resulted in those home teams going an incredible 71-4 (94.7%) straight up since 1980. Considering the home team is the underdog in this contest, the straight up numbers take on additional significance. Play on Oregon State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Washington @ Washington St. 3:30 PM ET

Play On: Washington St. +7.0 (5*)

Washington State has gone 9-1 straight up and 8-2 ATS during the past 2 season in home games versus FBS opponents. The Cougars are coming off an away underdog ATS loss last week at Colorado. However, they still sport a stellar 8-3 record, and with a win today can find themselves playing in the PAC-12 Championship Game next week. Washington must win Friday and in the conference title game to make it to the college football 4-team playoff. Just because they urgently need this game doesn’t automatically mean that they’ll win, or more importantly cover. Washington State would like nothing better than to spoil their bitter in-state rival from getting to the pinnacle of college football. Bet on Washington State plus the points for a 5* wager.

San Diego State @ Wyoming 3:30 PM ET

Play On: Wyoming +10.0 (5*)

Forgive Wyoming for looking ahead last week, and being upset 69-66 in overtime at UNLV. The Cowboys just haven’t been in that position in quite a long time. Despite that defeat, they’re still 5-1 in conference action while being in a 3-way ties for the Mountain Division lead with Boise State and New Mexico. Basically, Wyoming still controls its own destiny. However, first thing first, it’s a huge game against #24 San Diego State (9-1/6-0). Here’s the up side. Wyoming has gone 5-0 at home this season, including 4-0 ATS versus FBS opponents, and 3 of those victories came as an underdog. So it’s not like they’re in an unfamiliar role this week. One of those wins came against #22 Boise State, and that’s been the lone loss on the Broncos resume this season. There’s no denying that San Diego State is high quality team. However, Wyoming is fully capable of making this a down to the wire type game, and I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. Bet on Wyoming plus the points for a 5* wager.

Duke @ Pittsburgh 3:00 PM ET

Play On: Pittsburgh -7.0 (10*)

Pittsburgh is coming off a monumental upset at Clemson last week, and did so as a substantial 22.0-point underdog. In case you’re worried about this being a possible letdown spot for the Panthers, consider that Duke is also coming off an upset win over their bitter rival North Carolina. The Blue Devils won that contest 28-27, and did so as a 10.0-point home underdog.

Any home favorite of 7.0 to 22.0, coming off a straight up win as an underdog, versus an opponent coming off a conference away underdog of 6.0 or more straight up win, resulted in those home favorite going 17-0 ATS since 2007. The average margin of victory was 21.0 points per game. Bet on Pittsburgh minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Virginia @ Georgia Tech 12:30 PM ET

Play On: Georgia Tech -11.0 (5*)

Georgia Tech is coming off a 30-20 win last Saturday at then nationally ranked Virginia Tech, and did so as a sizable 14.0-point away underdog.  Any college football home favorite of 11.0 or more (Georgia Tech), coming off a straight up win as an away underdog of 10.0 or greater, versus an opponent (Virginia) with a win percentage of .125 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 49-18 ATS (73.1%) since 1994. Bet on Georgia Tech minus the points for a 5* wager.

Oklahoma State @ TCU 12:00 PM ET

Play On: TCU -4.5 (5*)

This current point spread tells me everything. Putting it into proper perspective, we have an unranked TCU team as a favorite against #13 Oklahoma State. Furthermore, if this game were to be played at Oklahoma State, the Cowboys would be a paltry 1.0 to 2.5-point favorite. On the surface, taking the ranked underdog would seem like an absolute steal. However, it’s just never that easy.

Now let’s look at college football ATS betting history pertaining to teams in this precise situation. TCU is coming off a 62-22 win at then #11 Baylor in their previous game. It’s also worth noting, that contest took place 2 weeks ago, and TCU will enter Saturday’s game with an extra week of rest compared to Oklahoma State.

Speaking of Oklahoma State, they’re currently riding a 6-game win streak. Nevertheless, they’ve allowed 31 points or more during 4 of those 6 wins, and that includes in each of its last 2 outings.

Any conference home favorite (TCU) of 33.0 or less that’s not undefeated, coming off a conference win by 35 points or greater, versus an opponent (Oklahoma State) which has allowed 31 points or more in each of its last 2 games, resulted in those home favorites going 22-1 ATS (95.7%) since 2003. Bet on TCU minus the points for a 5* wager.

Louisville @ Houston 8:00 PM ET

Play On: Houston +15.0 (5*)

The Houston Cougars enter this week riding a 15-game win streak at home. This will be just the 2nd time during that stretch in which they’ve been installed as an underdog. The only other time it occurred was during this year’s season opener against Oklahoma. Houston defeated the Sooners 33-14 on that day as a 13.5-point underdog. As a matter of fact, this will be a first time since that opening game in which Houston will be an underdog at home or on the road. The Cougars are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS as an underdog under head coach Tom Herman. Besides Oklahoma, Houston upset Louisville and Florida State as a double-digit underdog last season as well. Furthermore, dating back to 2011, Houston is an unscathed 14-0 ATS its last 14 games as an underdog. My personal power index numbers indicate to me that Louisville should be just a 7.5-point road favorite over Houston. Bet on Houston plus the points for a 5* wager.

California @ Washington State 10:30 PM ET

Play On: Washington State -14.5 (5*)

Washington State is coming off a resounding 69-7 home win over Arizona in their last game. The #23 Cougars have now gone 16-6 during its preceding 22 games, and that includes a stellar 7-2 in 2016. Washington State is an explosive offensive team, proven by their average of 43.0 points scored and 502.3 yards gained per game. Conversely, California has allowed 45 points or more in each of their previous 4 games.

Any conference home favorite of 10.0 to 33.0 that’s playing after game 6 of the season, coming off a conference win by 35 points or more, and has won 11 or more of its last 22 games, versus an opponent which has given up 31 points or more in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 SU&ATS since 2004. The average margin of victory in those contests was a substantial 33.7 points per game. Bet on Washington state minus the points for a 5* wager.

Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech 3:30 ET

Play On: Georgia Tech +14.0 (5*)

Georgia Tech is coming off an embarrassing 48-20 loss at North Carolina last Saturday. That defeat dropped their record to 5-4 (.555) on the season. Virginia Tech is coming off a narrow 24-21 win at Duke in their previous game. The Hokies are now 14-8 over its past 22 games.

Any road team (Georgia Tech) playing in conference game, coming off a conference loss by 21 points or more, and has a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Virginia Tech) which has won 8 or more of their previous 22 games, resulted in those road teams going 36-9 (80%) ATS since 2002. The away teams were also 24-21 straight up in those 45 contests. That straight up record takes on added significance since I’m using the double-digit underdog. Bet on Georgia tech plus the points for a 5* wager.

Southern Miss @ Old Dominion 3:30 ET

Play On: Old Dominion -2.5

Ball security plays a major role in me making this bet. Old Dominion has a turnover margin of +10 while Southern Miss is an atrocious -12. That’s an astound +22 net difference edge for Old Dominion, and in a game the sportsbooks consider to be a virtual even matchup. Old Dominion is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS at home this season, and 4-1 SU&ATS versus Conference USA opponents with a substantial +22.7 point per game differential. Southern Miss enters this week having lost 3 of their last 4 games. Bet on Old Dominion for a 10* Top Play wager.

Rice @ Charlotte 2:00 PM ET

Pick: Charlotte -10.5 (5*)

This game qualifies as a college football betting angle which hasn’t only been highly successful for the past 34 seasons, but it’s also a perfect 3-0 ATS this year. Charlotte is coming off a 38-27 win at Southern Mississippi last Saturday, and did so as a sizable 17.0-point road underdog.

Any home favorite of 10.0 or more (Charlotte), coming off an away underdog of 10.0 or more straight up win in which they scored 35 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going an outstanding 31-8 ATS (79.5%) since 1983. Bet on Charlotte minus the points as a 5* wager.

Alabama @ LSU 8:00 PM ET

Play On: LSU +8.0 (10*)

I’m not going to try and convince any of you that undefeated and top ranked Alabama isn’t as good as their record indicates, or has several weaknesses that could be exploited. Quite frankly, that’s just not the case. Nevertheless, LSU has gone an exceptional 46-4 (.920) in its last 50 games at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, and that automatically creates a plethora of betting value on the home underdog. Since Les Miles was fired, and interim head coach Ed Orgeron took over, LSU has gone 3-0 SU&ATS, and won by an average of 29.0 points per game. The LSU defense has been stout all season, and has allowed 20 points or less in all 7 games. The Tigers only 2 losses came on the road against #8 Wisconsin by 2-points, and #11 Auburn by 5.

Any home underdog of 2.0 to 10.0, playing with rest after game 5 of the season, and they’ve won 24 or more of their last 28 home games, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .800 or better, and that opponent scored 58 points or less in their previous game, resulted in those home underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 1988. The home dogs also won 9 of those 13 games straight up. Bet on LSU plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Iowa @ Penn State 7:30 PM ET

Play On: Penn State -7.0 (5*)

Penn State is coming off a 62-24 win over Purdue, and covered as a 15.5-point away favorite. That victory extended Penn State’s current win streak to 4 games. Their only 2 defeats this season came at #3 Michigan, and in a narrow 3-point setback at Pittsburgh.

Iowa is coming off a 17-9 loss to Wisconsin, and failed to cover as a 4.0-point home underdog. The Hawkeyes record is now 5-3, and that’s disappointing considering this season’s expectations, and what considered to be a somewhat soft schedule.

Any conference favorite of 7.5 or less, coming off a conference away favorite ATS win, versus an opponent coming off a conference home underdog ATS loss, and that opponent has a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 SU&ATS since 1989. The average margin of victory in those contests was a lofty 16.8 points per game. Bet on Penn State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Florida @ Arkansas 3:30 PM ET

Play On: Florida -3.5 (5*)

Florida will enter this game riding a 3-game win streak, and allowed 14 points or less in each of those contests. The Gators have been one of the best defensive teams in the country all season. They’ve allowed a paltry 11.7 points and 239.9 yards per game thus far.

Arkansas is coming off a 56-3 shellacking at Auburn in its last game. The Razorbacks are a disappointing 1-3 in SEC action this year. Through the course of those 4 conference games, Arkansas has allowed a massive 45.0 points and 517.3 yards per game.

Any road team (Florida) which has allowed 17 points or less in each of their previous 2 games, versus an opponent (Arkansas) that scored 6 points or less in their last contest, resulted in those road teams going 27-4 SU&ATS since 2007. This betting angle is straightforward, and certainly make a lot of sense. Sometimes we just need to keep it simple. Bet on Florida minus the points for a 5* wager.

TCU @ Baylor 3:30 PM ET

Play On: TCU +8.5 (5*)

TCU is coming off a disappointing 27-24 loss to Texas Tech last Saturday, and did so as a 10.0-point home favorite. The defeat was their 2nd in a row, and dropped the Horned Frogs record to 4-4 (.500). What once seemed like a lock, TCU is in jeopardy of making it to a bowl game. They must win at least 2 of their remaining 4 games against Baylor, Oklahoma State, Texas, and Kansas State. That certainly won’t be an easy task, but it may be just what the doctor ordered for a vastly underachieving team.

Baylor is come off their first loss of the season, and for all intents and purposes, eliminated themselves from national championship consideration. Adding salt to the wound was the gut wrenching way in which that defeat transpired. Texas kicked a field goal with less than a minute to play, and came away with a 35-34 against the then #6 ranked Bears. More times than not, when situations like this occur, it prompts a flat spot for those teams.

Any conference road underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 (TCU), coming off an upset loss as a conference home favorite of 10.0 or more, and has a win percentage of .300 or better, resulted in those underdogs going 27-6 ATS (81.8%) since 1992.

Buffalo @ Ohio 6:00 PM ET

Play On: Ohio -19.5 (5*)

This game fits into one of my favorite college football betting angles to use over the years, and has certainly paid me huge dividends.

 Ohio is coming off a 31-26 win against Toledo in the previous game, and they did so as a 15.0-point road underdog. That victory improved their record to 6-3 (.667).

Buffalo enters this week with a dismal 2-6 (.333) record. The Bulls are 0-3 SU&ATS on the road this year, and has lost by an average of 31.0 points per game.

Any home favorite of 10.0 or more (Ohio), coming off a road win as an underdog of 10.0 or more, and they possess a winning record, versus an opponent (Buffalo) with a win percentage of .125 or better, resulted in those sizable home favorites going 36-13 ATS (73.4%) since 1994. Bet on Ohio minus the points for a 5* wager.

Nebraska @ Wisconsin 7:00 PM ET

Play On: Wisconsin -8.0 (10*)

Think about this for a second. We have an undefeated team playing in the second half of the season, and they’re more than a touchdown underdog against an opponent who’s lost twice. Wisconsin’s only 2 losses this season have come against #6 Ohio State in overtime, and at #3 Michigan by a narrow 14-7 margin. The Badgers also own a win over a very good LSU team. Conversely, this will unequivocally be the toughest opponent that Nebraska has faced all year.

Any conference favorite of 6.5 or more, playing in game 7 of the season or beyond, possessing win percentage of less than .800, and is facing an undefeated opponent, resulted in those favorites going 5-0 SU&ATS since 1980. Their average margin of victory was a decisive 23.2 points per game. This is certainly an extremely rare and powerful betting situation. Bet on Wisconsin minus the points for a 10* top play wager.

Boise State @ Wyoming 7:00 PM ET

Play On: Wyoming +14.0 (5*)

This is a huge danger sport for the undefeated and #13 ranked Boise State Broncos. Playing a game in the high altitude of Laramie, Wyoming is always a challenging element to deal with for visiting teams. Additionally, facing a Cowboys team that enters this contest on a 3-game win streak makes it an even more strenuous chore. I would be very much surprised if Wyoming doesn’t turn in an inspired and competitive effort. The sizable home underdog with a winning record is a terrific betting value from where I’m sitting.

Wyoming enters this contest with a 5-2 (.571) record, and #13 Boise State is a perfect 7-0. Wyoming has won each of their previous 2 games, and all of those have come versus conference opponents. Bose State has won the last 9 meetings in this head to head series.

Any conference home underdog of 5.5 to 17.5 possessing a winning record, coming off 2 straight conference wins, and their previous win came by 4 points or more, and they’re playing with revenge, versus an opponent that’s undefeated after 7 or more games, resulted in those home underdogs going 21-1 ATS since 1992. Bet on Wyoming plus the points for a 5* wager.

Army @ Wake Forest 3:30 PM ET

Play On: Army +7.5 (5*)

Army is coming off an unexpected 38-16 loss to North Texas as a 17.5-point home favorite. The defeat dropped their record to 4-3 (.571). Wake Forest is coming off a 17-6 loss at Florida State. The Demon Deacons record heading into this week is 5-2 (.714). Wake Forest has also gone 9-13 over its last 22 games.

Any road team that’s +8.0 to -16.0, coming off a home loss by 14 points or more, possessing a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .818 or less, coming off a loss in which they scored 24 points or less, and they’ve won 8 or more of its last 22 games, resulted in those road teams going 19-1 SU&ATS since 1996. Bet on Army plus the points for a 5* wager.

California @ USC 10:30 PM ET

Play On: USC -16.0 (5*)

Despite their 4-3 record, California has allowed 43 points or more in 5 of those 6 games. Sooner or later that kind of defensive ineptitude will catch up to any team, and one that’s reliant on their offense scoring on a high percentage of its possessions. They’ll be facing a USC team on Thursday that’s 3-0 at home, and allowed a mere 14.7 points per game in those contests. The Trojans enter tonight on a 3-game win streak (Arizona State, Colorado, & Arizona), and the average victory margin was 19.7 points. During this current win streak, the USC offense has racked up a mammoth 545.3 yards of total offense per game.

Any conference home favorite of 12.0 to 15.0 points, coming off an ATS win as a favorite of 12.0 or more, versus an opponent coming off a game in which both teams scored 31 points or more, resulted in this home favorites going 17-0 SU&ATS since 1995. The average victory margin was a sizable 26.9 points per game. Bet on USC minus the points for a 5* wager.

Arkansas @ Auburn 6:00 PM ET

Play On: Auburn -10.0 (10*)

After losing 2 of their first 3 games, Auburn has rebounded by going 3-0 SU&ATS in its previous 3 contests. By the way, their two defeats came at the hands of #4 Clemson (7-0) and #6 Texas A&M (6-0). The performance of Auburn’s defense has flown under the radar to this point. The Tigers stop unit has allowed only 16.0 points per game. As a matter of fact, during this current 3 game win streak, they’ve allowed a meager 11.3 points and 292.7 yards per contest. Auburn is also coming off a bye week and will be plenty rested.

I wouldn’t make too much of Arkansas’s upset win over Ole Miss last Saturday. The Razorbacks did have the luxury of playing that contest at home. Ole Miss is an overvalued, overrated, and undisciplined team in my eyes. Lastly, the Rebels defense isn’t nowhere near as good as the one Arkansas will face on Saturday.

·       Auburn is coming off 38-14 win at Mississippi State.

·       Auburn has now gone 11-11 over its last 22 games.

·       Arkansas is coming off a 34-30 win over Ole Miss, and did so as a 10.0-point home underdog.

·       Arkansas is 14-8 through their previous 22 games.

Any conference home favorite of 4.0 to 24.0, coming off a conference home win by 10 points or more, and they won 17 or less of its previous 22 games, versus an opponent coming off a conference straight up win as an underdog of 6.0 or more, and they’ve won 5 or more of their last 22 games, resulted in those home favorites going 47-4 ATS (92.1%) since 1985. Bet on Auburn minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

TCU @ West Virginia 3:30 PM ET

Play On: West Virginia -6.0 (5*)

TCU barely escaped with a 24-23 win in their previous game against perennial conference last place finisher Kansas, and didn’t come close to covering as a substantial 30.5-point road favorite. Despite their 4-2 record, TCU has allowed 41 points or more on 3 separate occasions. Even in last week’s slim 1-point win over lowly Kansas, they surrendered 470 total yards to the Jayhawks offense.

Any conference away underdog (TCU), coming off a conference away win in which they failed to cover by 10.0-points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of better than .750, resulted in those away underdogs going 0-8 ATS since 1992. Additionally, they lost those contests by a massive 31.0 points per game.

West Virginia has a reputation of being an explosive offensive team since Dana Holgorsen took over as head coach. However, this season’s Mountaineers defense is allowing just 19.4 points per game. They’ll also be playing with big time revenge stemming from last season’s 40-10 loss at TCU. The Mountaineers are coming off an impressive 48-17 win as a 3.0-point favorite at Texas Tech last Saturday. That win improved their unscathed record to 5-0.

Any conference home favorite of 15.5 or less (West Virginia), playing in game 6 or beyond, coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 17.5-points or more, versus an opponent coming off a win with and they’re not undefeated, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 14-0 ATS since 2003. The average victory margin in those contests was a decisive 21.9 points per game. Bet on West Virginia minus the points for a 5* wager.

Colorado @ Stanford 3:00 PM ET

Play On: Colorado +1.5 (5*)

Colorado enters this week with a solid 5-2 record, and they’ve covered in each of those 7 games. The Buffalos only losses came at #3 Michigan in a game they squandered a 2nd half lead, and there was also a narrow 21-17 defeat at USC. Colorado is coming off a 40-16 conference blowout 40-16 home win over Arizona State in their previous game.

Stanford was a 17-10 winner last Saturday as a 3.0-point underdog at Notre Dame. Keep in mind, Notre Dame is now an extremely disappointing 2-5. Stanford has been anemic offensively over its last 3 contests, averaging just 13.0 points and 268.3 total years per game during that time frame. They’ll be facing a Colorado defense on Saturday that’s allowed a meager 14.3 points and 318.0 total years per game over its previous 3 games. Play on Colorado for a 5* wager.

NC State @ Louisville 12:00 PM ET

Play On: Louisville -19.5 (5*)

Louisville turned in a lackluster performance last Friday during a 24-14 home win over Duke. The Cardinals didn’t come close to covering as a massive 35.0-point favorite. As a matter of fact, after Duke scored a touchdown with 6:34 left to play in the 4th quarter, they narrowed their deficit to just 17-14. Nevertheless, Louisville followed by going on a drive that took 5:22 off the clock, and resulted in a touchdown with just 1:32 left to play. After watching NC State nearly knock off Clemson last week, the Cardinals should have no excuses in terms of being mentally prepared.

Any conference home favorite of 13.5 to 32.0 (Louisville), coming off a conference win in which they failed to cover as a home favorite of 27.0 or more, versus an opponent (NC State) coming off a conference game, resulted in those home favorites going an extremely successful 24-2 ATS (92.3%) since 1980. Bet on Louisville minus the points for a 5* wager.