Illinois @ Iowa 12:00 PM ET

Game# 143-144

Play On: Iowa -15.0 (5*)

Iowa is coming off a 23-19 win over then undefeated and #8 Minnesota. Illinois is coming off a remarkable 37-34 come from behind upset win at Michigan State as a 16.0-point underdog. Nevertheless, that was against a Spartans team that’s 4-6 and has gone 0-5 SU&ATS over its last 5 games.

Any college football conference favorite of 7.0 to 16.5 that’s coming off a straight up win, and they possess a win percentage of .818 or worse, versus an opponent (Illinois) coming off a straight up win as an underdog of 6.0 or greater, resulted in those favorites going 30-5 ATS (85.7%) since 1998. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Central Florida @ Tulane 12:00 PM ET

Game# 179-180

Play On: Tulane +6.0 (5*)

Central Florida is coming off a shocking 34-31 upset loss at Tulsa as a 15.0-point favorite. Tulsa entered that contest with a poor 2-7 record. That UCF loss dropped their season record to 7-3 (.700).

Tulane is much better than their 6-4 record may indicate. Their 4 losses came against Navy, #18 Memphis, #15 Auburn, and Temple while all occurred on the road. Those 4 opponents who’ve beaten Tulane presently have a combined record of 30-9 (.769). By the way, Tulane has gone a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS at home in 2019 and won by a substantial average of 28.2 points per game.

Any college football underdog (Tulane) of 3.5 to 10.0 that possesses a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (UCF) who’s coming off a straight up loss and has a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those underdogs going 18-3 ATS (85.7%) since 1999. Bet on Tulane plus the points for a 5* wager.

Oklahoma @ Baylor 7:30 PM ET

Game# 381-382

Play On: Oklahoma -10.0 (5*)

This line makes no sense at all. Undefeated Baylor is a sizable underdog against an Oklahoma team which has allowed 89 combined points over their last 2 games. However, we must keep in mind, 3 of Baylor’s wins this year have come by 3 points or fewer, and then last week they escaped with a 29-23 overtime victory at TCU. Baylor’s defense will have their hands full against an Oklahoma offense that has scored 41 points or more during 8 of its 9 games, and the game that didn’t crack 40 the Sooners were a 34-27 winner over Texas. Furthermore, the Sooners are averaging an eye-popping 587.1 yards of total offense per game. Bet on Oklahoma minus the points for a 5* wager.

Stanford @ Washington State 4:30 PM ET

Game# 403-404

Play On: Washington State -10.0 (10*)

Washington State enters this week on a 2-game losing streak. Those losses dropped their season record to 4-5 (.444). This sets up a straightforward and extremely profitable college football betting angle which is displayed below.

Any college football favorite of 10.0 to 20.5 that owns a win percentage of .400 to .490, and they’re coming off losses during each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those favorites going 35-5 ATS (87.5%) since 2009. Bet on Washington State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Troy @ Texas State 3:00 PM ET

Game# 345-346

Play On: Texas State +7.0 (5*)

Troy is coming off a 49-28 home win over Georgia Southern and did so as a 2.0-point underdog. The win improved their season record to 4-5. Nevertheless, Troy is 0-3 SU&ATS this season following a win. They’ll also be facing the 2 best teams in the Sun Belt Conference next when they travel to UL-Lafayette and host Appalachian State. The point being in this looks to be a proverbial flat spot for the road favorite. Texas State is coming off a 30-28 win over South Alabama.

Any college football home underdog that’s coming off a conference win by 6 points or fewer, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog straight up win by 10 points or more, resulted in those home underdogs going 12-0 SU&ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory came by a decisive 15.8 points per game. Bet on Texas State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Florida @ Missouri 12:00 PM ET

Game# 389-390

Play On: Missouri +7.0 (5*)

It’s been a tale of 2 seasons for Missouri. They’ve gone a dismal 0-4 on the road but a perfect 5-0 at home. They enter this week on a 3-game losing streak but will receive a needed lift with the return of starting quarterback Kelly Bryant from a hamstring injury. Although the Tigers offense has been inconsistent, the same can’t be said for its defense. Missouri has allowed just 19.1 points and 287.8 yards per game this season. It won’t be easy against #11 Florida, but the Missouri defense will make enough stops, and Bryant will make enough plays to keep this game close throughout. Bet on Missouri plus the points for a 5* wager.

North Carolina @ Pittsburgh 8:00 PM ET

Game# 313-314

Play On: North Carolina +4.5 (5*)

Pittsburgh is coming off a 20-10 win at Georgia Tech which improved their season record to 6-3. However, all 6 wins have come by 10 points or fewer, and the Panthers are only 3-2 at home. It must be note, the Panthers have committed an alarmingly high 13 turnovers throughout the course of its previous 5 games.

North Carolina has gone just 2-2 in their last 4 but it wasn’t any fault of their offense. During that stretch, the Tar Heels offense averaged 32.5 points and 512.3 yards per game. North Carolina is 1-2 on the road with their only 2 losses coming by narrow margins of 24-18 at Wake Forest and 43-41 versus Virginia Tech. Bet on North Carolina plus the points for a 5* wager.

Iowa State @ Oklahoma 8:00 PM ET

Game# 173-174

Play On: Iowa State +15.0 (10*)

#9 Oklahoma (7-1) is coming off a shocking 48-41 loss at #23 Kansas State. The Sooners were a mammoth 23.5-point road favorite in that contest against the then unranked Wildcats.

Iowa State is coming off a 34-27 upset loss to #23 Oklahoma State in a game they closed as an 11.0-point home favorite. That dropped the Cyclones season record to 5-3 (.625). Their 3 defeats came by just a combined 10 points. This is a team that’s a couple plays away from being either 7-1 or 8-0. Their other 2 losses were 18-17 to #18 Iowa (6-2) and 23-21 at #12 Baylor (8-0). My point being, the Cyclones are much better than their record indicates.

Any conference away underdog of 3.0 to 26.5-points that’s coming off a conference double-digit home favorite straight up loss, and they own a win percentage of .333 or better, versus an opponent (Oklahoma) who’s not undefeated, resulted in those away underdogs going 43-14 ATS (75.4%) since 1991. Those underdogs also won 23 of those 57 games straight up. Bet on Iowa State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

USC @ Arizona State 3:30 PM ET

Game# 153-154

Play On: Arizona State +2.0 (5*)

USC is coming off last Saturday’s demoralizing 56-24 home loss to #7 Oregon. That was a game in which the unranked Trojans were just a 3.5-point underdog. The loss dropped their season record dropped to an extremely disappointing 5-4 (.555). It’s no secret that current USC head coach Clay Helton was on the hot seat going into the Oregon game, and that chair became scalding hot following that blowout loss.

Arizona State is coming off road losses to Utah and UCLA in each of their previous 2 outings. Despite those defeats, the Sun Devils are still a respectable 5-3 and with a strong finish they can still secure a solid season under 2nd year head coach Herm Edwards.

Any home team that’s coming off road losses in each of its previous 2 games played, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .600 or less, and they lost at home by 28 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those home teams going 29-2 (93.5%) straight up since 2010. The straight up results in this betting angle take on added value since it’s backing the home underdog. Bet on Arizona State for a 5* wager.

Penn State @ Minnesota 12:00 PM ET

Game# 141-142

Play On: Minnesota +7.0 (5*)

Minnesota routed Rutgers 42-7 and Maryland 52-10 during its previous 2 games. That improved the Golden Gophers season record to 8-0 which includes 5 straight ATS covers. Despite that undefeated record, Minnesota is only ranked #17 in the last college football playoff rankings. Furthermore, there are six 2-loss team that are ranked ahead of them. Talk about motivation heading into this matchup against #4 Penn State. Not to mention head coach P.J. Fleck rewarded with a contract extension this week. This game will be much closer than many so-called experts may thing, and I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. However, I won’t get greedy and will gladly accept the points.

Any college football home underdog of 4.5 to 10.0 after game 6 of their season that’s coming off 2 wins while scoring 42 points or more on each occasion, and they possess a win percentage of .800 or better, results in those home underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 1988. They also won 10 of those 13 contests straight up. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager.

Temple @ South Florida 8:00 PM ET

Game# 111-112

Play On: South Florida +2.0 (5*)

This pick speaks to the mindset of each team. Granted that Temple has played a tough 3-game stretch versus #21 Memphis (8-1), #25 SMU (8-1), and a Central Florida (7-2) team that’s right on the periphery of Top 25 status. However, it was the manner of which they lost their last 2 games versus SMU 45-21 and Central Florida 63-21 that’s alarming. The Owls defense allowed a combined 1269 yards in those defeats. Furthermore, in their loss to Central Florida which occurred in their previous game, television cameras caught some discord and finger pointing transpiring on the Temple sidelines. This is also a Temple team that was blown out 38-22 at Buffalo earlier this season in a game they were a 14.0-point chalk.

South Florida has garnered momentum of late by going 3-1 over their last 4 games. The Bulls lone less during that span came at #24 Navy. Throughout that same stretch, South Florida has averaged 263.3 yards rushing per game at a clip of 6.4 yards per attempt. They’ll be facing a Temple defense tonight which has allowed 583 yards rushing over its last 2 games.

Any college football home team that’s facing an opponent playing after game 8 of its season, and that opponent is coming off a home loss by 35 points or greater, and that opponent has a win percentage of .363 or better, resulted in those home teams going 34-1 (97.1%) straight up since 2011. Bet on South Florida for a 5* wager.

Ball State @ Western Michigan 8:00 PM ET

Game# 103-104

Play On: Ball State +6.5 (5*)

Western Michigan is coming off a 49-10 home win over a hapless Bowling Green team. Dating back to last season, Western Michigan is 0-6 SU&ATS following a win which includes 0-4 SU&ATS in 2019. The Broncos lost those 6 contests by a decisive 20.8 points per game. Furthermore, Western Michigan is 0-7 SU&ATS during its last 7 after playing at home in their previous game.

On the other side of the table is Ball State who’s coming off a disappointing 34-21 loss to Ohio which snapped a 3-game win streak. I look for the Cardinals to bounce back with a strong effort today. I wouldn’t be shocked to see an outright upset. However, I won’t be greedy and take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Ball State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Colorado @ UCLA 9:00 PM ET

Game# 345-346

Play On: UCLA -6.5 (5*)

These are 2 teams headed in opposite directions. UCLA opened the season by losing their first 3 games to #17 Cincinnati, #25 San Diego State, and #10 Oklahoma. They’ve since gone 3-2 which included 2-0 SU&ATS during their previous 2 contests. The UCLA offense has averaged 35.7 points and 446.7 yards per game during its previous 3 contests. They will be facing a Colorado defense which has allowed 39.0 points and 499.8 yards per game over its last 4 contests. Those terrible defensive numbers are a direct result of the Buffaloes 0-4 record during that time. Bet on UCLA minus the points as a 5* wager.

Oregon @ USC 8:00 PM ET

Game# 343-344

Play On: USC +4.5 (5*)

Oregon lost their season opener to Auburn and since that time has won 7 straight games. However, they looked very beatable during their last 2 outing by barely squeaking by Washington 35-31 and Washington State 37-35. Prior to those narrow wins, the Ducks defense had allowed 7 points or fewer in 5 consecutive games. Obviously, Washington and Washington State identified some soft spots that went previously undetected in Oregon’s defense.

USC is coming off wins in each of their previous 2 games over Arizona and Colorado. The Trojans offense was instrumental in both victories by averaging 38.0 points and 483.0 yards per game.

Any home underdog of 6.0 or less (USC) that’s coming off wins in each of their previous 2 games, versus an opponent (Oregon) with a win percentage of .857 or better, and they’re coming off 4 or more wins in a row, resulted in those home underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 2015. The home underdogs also won 12 of those 15 contests straight up. Bet on USC plus the points for a 5* wager.

Utah @ Washington 4:00 PM ET

Game# 391-392

Play On: Utah -3.0 (5*)

The Washington Huskies had lofty expectations heading into this season. They lost 35-31 at home to Oregon in their previous game which dropped its season record to a disappointing 5-3. The Huskies other 2 losses occurred as a double-digit favorite to both California and Stanford. During their last 4 games Washington’s run defense has allowed opponents to rush for 176.5 yards per contest and average 4.6 yards per attempt. That certainly shapes up to be problematic when facing a Utah offense that’s averaging 219 yards rushing per game and 5.1 yards per run attempt.

The 7-1 (.875) Utes have quietly flown under the radar as potentially reaching the college football 4-team playoffs. Utah has gone an unscathed 4-0 SU&ATS since suffering their lone defeat at USC. During their current 4 game win streak the Utes defense has allowed a mere 5.9 points and 187.3 yards per game.

Any conference favorite of 19.0 or less 9Utah) that’s coming off conference home wins by 14 points or more in each of their previous 2 games, and they possess a win percentage of .700 or better, versus an opponent (Washington) coming off a conference home loss, resulted in those conference favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1991. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests was 21.4 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 5* wager.

Georgia vs. Florida 3:30 PM ET

Game# 371-372

Play On: Georgia -5.5 (10*)

Florida’s defense looked terrific through their first 6 games. Nevertheless, that hasn’t been the case over their previous 2 outing in which they allowed 34.5 points and 449.0 yards per game. During those 2 contests they permitted South Carolina to rush for 217 yards and LSU amassed 218 on the ground. The Gamecocks and Tigers also combined to average a huge 6.5 yards per rushing attempt. That’s troublesome when considering Georgia has averaged 237 yards per game rushing and a massive 6.1 yards per running attempt.

This is a perfect opportunity for Georgia to forge themselves right back into to the 4-team college football playoffs discussion. Despite being the favorite in this contest, they’re facing a higher ranked opponent (Florida). Nothing would elevate their status more than a convincing win which I truly believe they’re primed to do. The Georgia defense has been dominant thus far in 2019, allowing a mere 10.6 points and 266.7 yards per game. They suffered a shocking 20-17 home loss to South Carolina in a game they closed as a 20.5-point favorite. That’s been their only blemish of the season. The Bulldogs outgained South Carolina in that defeat by a decisive 468-297 yards. Unfortunately, they committed 4 turnovers in that setback while failing to create any of its own. Georgia dominated Florida in the last 2 head to head meeting by outscoring them 78-24 and outgaining the Gators 822-383. Bet on Georgia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Georgia Southern @ Appalachian State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 303-304

Play On: Georgia Southern +15.5 (5*)

Georgia Southern can be a very frustrating team to play against and even for opponents who are far superior on paper. They run a triple option offensive rushing attack, and on most occasions execute it flawlessly.  When doing so, they limit opponent’s offensive possessions and in turn cover up some of their defensive deficiencies. That’s especially been the case during their current 3-game win streak. Throughout that time span they’ve averaged 340.0 yards rushing per game. Conversely, their defense has allowed just 17.0 points and 244.7 yards per game. Georgia Southern will certainly have their hands full with #20 Appalachian State (7-0) on the road. However, earlier this season they played at #13 Minnesota (8-0) and barely missed upsetting them as a 17.0-point underdog while losing 35-32. Bet on Georgia Southern plus the points for a 5* wager.

Washington State @ Oregon 10:30 PM ET

Game# 153-154

Play On: Oregon -14.0 (5*)

Washington State is 0-2 SU&ATS in conference away games thus far. They allowed 38.0 points and 529.0 yards per game in those losses. They will be facing an Oregon offense averaging 43.5 points and 528.5 yards per game at home this season.

Oregon will be playing with big time revenge after losing to Washington State during each of the previous 4 seasons. The Ducks have won 6 in a row since their season opening 27-21 loss to #9 Auburn. During that stretch, they’ve allowed 7 points or fewer in 5 of those 6 games. Furthermore, they’re 4-0 at home while allowing 4.7 points and 247.2 yards per game. Bet on Oregon minus the points as a 5* wager.

Missouri @ Kentucky 7:30 PM ET

Game# 157-158

Play On: Missouri -10.0 (5*)

Kentucky is an uninspiring 1-4 in SEC action thus far in 2019. During those 5 SEC contests their offense has been anemic while averaging just 13.0 points per game.

Missouri is coming off last Saturday’s stunning 21-14 loss at Vanderbilt in a game in which they closed as a 21.5-point favorite. That defeat snapped a 5-game win streak. Their only other loss of the 2019 season came in similar fashion when they fell 37-31 at Wyoming as a 16.5-point favorite. The Tigers bounced back from that defeat by hammering West Virginia 38-7 in their next game and covered as a 13.0-point favorite. Additionally, since 2016, Missouri is 5-0 ATS as a favorite following a straight up loss and won by a massive 45.4 points per game.

Any college football road favorite of 3.5 or greater possessing a win percentage of .600 or better and is coming off an away loss by 7 points or more as a double-digit favorite, resulted in those road favorite going 11-0 ATS since 1983. The won those 11 contests by 22.1 points per game. Bet on Missouri minus the points for a 5* wager.

Central Florida @ Temple 7:00 PM ET

Game# 123-124

Play On: Temple +11.5 (5*)

UCF is coming off a closer than expected 41-28 home win over an East Carolina team which has gone 1-4 versus FBS competition. The Golden Knights didn’t come close to covering as a mammoth 34.5-point favorite. That win improved their season record to 5-2, and both losses came on the road versus Pittsburgh and Cincinnati.

Temple is coming off last week’s 45-21 loss at #16 SMU and failed to cover as a 10.0-point underdog. The loss dropped the Owls record to a still very respectable 5-2 (.714). As a matter of fact, they’re an unscathed 4-0 SU&ATS at home which included wins over then nationally ranked teams in Maryland and Memphis.

Any conference home underdog of 7.0 to 11.5 points that possesses a win percentage of .700 or better, and is coming a off a conference away underdog ATS loss, versus an opponent coming off a win by 40 points or fewer and they own a win percentage of .600 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 1981. The home underdogs also won 10 of those 14 games straight up. Bet on Temple plus the points for a 5* wager.

Virginia @ Louisville 3:30 PM ET

Game# 191-192

Play On: Virginia -3.0 (5*)

The Louisville defense has been horrible over their last 4 games. During that stretch, they’ve allowed 44.5 points and 576.0 yards per game. The Cardinals are coming off a 45-10 home loss to Clemson. Since 10/13/2018, Louisville is 0-6 SU&ATS (-38.3 PPG) following a game in which they allowed 42 points or greater. Prior to the Clemson loss they upset then undefeated Wake Forest 62-59.

Virginias’s defense has been stout over their previous 2 games in allowing 17 points to Miami and 14 in a blowout win over Duke last Saturday. The Cavaliers are one of the best teams in the country that’s currently not ranked in the Top 25. Their opponent (Louisville) on Saturday has a long way to go yet before even entering that conversation.

Any road favorite of 2.5 to 20.0 that’s coming off a straight up win, and they allowed 17 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games, versus an opponent which has allowed 37 points or greater during each of its last 2 contests, resulted in those road favorites going 13-0 ATS. The average margin of victory in those 13 contests was a substantial 26.1 points per game.

Oklahoma State @ Iowa State 3:30 PM ET

Game# 169-170

Play On: Iowa State -10.5 (5*)

Oklahoma State is coming off 2 straight losses at the hands of Texas Tech and Baylor. The Cowboys allowed 45 points in each of those contests and those opposing offenses racked up a combined 1122 yards gained. They’ll be facing an Iowa State team that’s averaging 37.1 points and 481.1 yards per game. Furthermore, Oklahoma State is an awful -9 turnover differential thus far in 2019. They’ve also committed an alarming 16 turnovers during their last 6 games.

Iowa State enters this week with a 5-2 record. However, the Cyclones are 3-0 SU&ATS during their previous 3 contests while winning by a decisive margin of 19.7 points per game. Their only 2 losses came against #20 Iowa 18-17 and #14 Baylor 23-21. The Cyclones are basically a couple of plays away from being a 7-0 team and being in the college football playoffs discussion. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 5* wager.

New Mexico State @ Georgia Southern 3:00 PM ET

Game# 167-168

Play On: Georgia Southern -14.0 (5*)

New Mexico States will enter this game with a winless 0-7 record. The Aggies are allowing 245 yards rushing per game and a massive 6.1 yards per attempt. That’s a huge concern when considering they’ll be facing a Georgia Southern triple option offensive attack which has rushed for 307 and 310 yards during their previous 2 games. Both those contests resulted in Georgia Southern wins which evened their season record at 3-3. Another telling factor is each team’s turnover differential. Georgia Southern is a respectable +2 for the season while New Mexico State is at a horrendous -15. New Mexico State has allowed 42 points or more in all 4 of its away games, and that includes an average of 54.2 points and 576.2 yards per contest.

Any home favorite of 11.5 to 19.5 (Georgia Southern), versus an opponent (New Mexico State) coming off 6 or more losses in a row, and they (New Mexico State) possess a win percentage of .250 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 2016. The average margin of victory was a substantial 32.8 points per game. Bet on Georgia Southern minus the points for a 5* wager.

Miami @ Pittsburgh 12:00 ET

Game# 189-190

Play On: Miami +5.0 (5*)

Miami is coming off a surprising 28-21 loss to Georgia Tech last Saturday in a game they closed as an 18.5-point home favorite. The loss dropped its season record to 3-4 (.528) and they’re also an uninspiring 10-12 over their last 22 games. Pittsburgh is coming off a 27-20 win at Syracuse in their last time out which improved their record to 5-2 (714). The combination of this data sets up a never lost college football betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any conference away underdog of 4.0 to 10.0-points (Miami) that’s coming off a home double-digit favorite straight up loss, and they possess and win percentage of .300 or better, and they won 15 or fewer of their last 22 games, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) that’s won 19 or less of its last 22 contests while also having a current win percentage of .77 or less, resulted in those away underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 1992. The underdogs also won 9 of those 15 games straight up. Bet on Miami plus the points for a 5* wager.

Arizona State @ Utah 6:00 PM ET

Game# 359-360

Play On: Utah -13.0 (10*)

This double-digit point-spread caught my eye immediately. Especially when considered each team owns identical 5-1 (.833) records, and both are nationally ranked with Utah coming in as #13 and ASU #17. It’s like the sportsbooks are begging you to take the sizable underdog in this contest. Upon further examination, I’m not falling for the trap. Utah has been terrific defensively this season. They’re allowing a mere 13.2 points and 271.5 yards per game. The Sun Devils defense has also been impressive at time during this 2019 campaign. However, they’ve allowed 30 or more points in half their games and permitted their opponents to amass 404 yards or more of total offense in 4 of its last 5 games. Furthermore, Utah hasn’t allowed any of their 6 opponents to eclipse 400 yards, and the Utes have racked up 457 yards or more of offense in each of their previous 4 games.

Utah is coming off a 52-7 win at Oregon State and easily covered as a 14.0-point favorite. Arizona State defeated Washington State 38-34 in their previous game and covered as a 1.0-point home underdog. This created a terrific college football betting angle displayed below.

Any conference home favorite of 8.0 to 31.0 with a win percentage of .900 or less (Utah), coming of conference favorite ATS win in which they covered by 2.0 or more and scored 35 points or greater, versus an opponent (Arizona State) with a win percentage of .636 or better who’s coming off a conference straight up underdog win, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 15-0 ATS since 1985. The average margin of victory in those contests was 31.5 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Oregon @ Washington 3:30 PM ET

Game# 367-368

Play On: Washington +3.0 (5*)

Not a lot of people projected Washington to have 2 losses at this early juncture of the season. However, they were upset as double-digit favorite by both California and Stanford. They’ll be an unfamiliar role has a home underdog against #12 Oregon. It will mark the first time that the Huskies have been a home dog since 2015. Furthermore, Washington has gone an inspiring 21-2 (.913) straight up at home since 2016. Additionally, the Huskies will be out to revenge last season’s 30-27 loss at Oregon.

Washington is coming off last Saturday 51-27 PAC-12 win at Arizona. The Huskies easily covered that contest as a 6.0-point favorite. That win improved their season record to 5-2 (.714). Conversely, Oregon is coming off a 45-3 conference win over Colorado. The Ducks enter this week with a 5-1 (.833) record. The combination of this data sets up a never lost college football betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any home team (Washington) playing in a conference game that has a point-spread of +7.5 to -7.5, and they’re coming off a conference win by 20 points or greater while also covering by 31.0 or fewer, and they possess a win percentage of .454 or better, versus an opponent (Oregon) coming off a conference win by 21 points or more and they own a win percentage of .833 or worse, resulted in those home team within those point-spread parameters going 17-0 SU&ATS since 2014. The home team won those 17 contests by an average of 17.8 points per game. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager.

Temple @ SMU 3:30 PM ET

Game# 417-418

Play On: SMU -8.5 (5*)

Temple owns wins this season over then #17 Maryland and #23 Memphis. However, both victories came at home, and neither of those opponents are currently ranked in the Top 25. It also must be noted, the Owls suffered a 38-22 loss at Buffalo, and that’s a Bulls team which is presently 1-4 against FBS teams, and obviously their only win came at the expense of Temple. The Owls upset Memphis 30-28 last Saturday as a 4.0-point home underdog. They hung on for that win after almost squandering a 16-0 lead.

SMU is currently ranked #23 and sports a perfect 6-0 record. Nonetheless, they received a huge scare in their previous game played 2 weeks ago when they defeated Tulsa 43-37 in 3 overtimes. The Mustangs failed to cover as an 11.5-point home favorite, but stormed back from a 21- points 4th quarter deficit to tie the contest and send it to overtime. That was their first non-cover of the season and broke a 5-game ATS win streak to start 2019.

Any college football home favorite of 4.5 or more that’s playing with rest, and is coming off a home win in which they failed to cover as a favorite by 22.0 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Temple) who’s coming off a SU&ATS win that they covered by 3.0 points or greater, resulted in those home favorites going an unscathed 14-0 ATS since 2008. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests came by a decisive 25.4 points per game. Bet on SMU minus the points for a 5* wager.

Kent State @ Ohio 12:00 PM ET

Game# 345-346

Play On: Kent State +7.5 (5*)

Ohio was one of the preseason favorites to win the MAC. But they haven’t come close to living up to those expectations up to this point. They’re a dismal 1-4 straight up versus FBS opponents and their only win came in overtime at Buffalo 21-20. The Bobcats are also coming off a heartbreaking 39-36 home loss to Northern Illinois during their previous game.

Kent State is coming off last week’s 26-3 win at Akron evened their season record at 3-3. Their only 3 defeats came at the hands of #17 Arizona State, #11 Auburn, and #6 Wisconsin.

This is a game which will receive very little attention from the public or sportsbooks worldwide. However, I see this as a golden opportunity to take advantage of an underdog with ample betting value. I wouldn’t be shocked to get an outright win in this game but won’t be greedy and will gladly take the points. Bet on Kent State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Pittsburgh @ Syracuse 7:00 PM ET

Game# 311-312

Play On: Syracuse +3.5 (5*)

Pittsburgh is coming off an away underdog straight up 33-30 upset win at Duke in their previous game. The Panthers were beneficiaries of 6 Duke turnover that heavily contributed to that win. Now they’re a road favorite against a Syracuse team that entered the season with high expectations but has vastly underachieved. Syracuse is off top a disappointing 3-3 start after an excellent 2018 campaign which saw them going 10-3. The biggest disappointment has been an experienced defense which was torched by Maryland, Clemson, and even Western Michigan for that matter. This looks to be a perfect spot for atonement for the Orange on Friday night at home and in front of a national television audience. They will be out revenge 1 of their 3 losses last season which came in overtime at Pittsburgh.

Any college football home underdog of 4.0 or less that’s facing an opponent coming off a week of rest, and they were an away underdog straight up winner in their previous game, resulted in those home underdogs going 5-0 SU&ATS since 1998. The average margin of victory for those 5 home underdogs was a decisive 18.2 points per game. Bet on Syracuse plus the points for a 5* wager.

South Alabama @ Troy 8:00 ET

Game# 301-302

Play On: Troy -14.5 (5*)

South Alabama has gone 0-5 this season versus FBS teams. As a matter of fact, they enter this week on a 4-game losing streak during which their offense was anemic. During that stretch, they averaged only 10.7 points scored and 277.5 yards of total offense per game.

Troy is coming off losses in each of its last 2 games against Arkansas State 50-43 and 42-10 during their previous out at Missouri. Those 2 defeats dropped their season record to 2-3 (.400). With an exception of their loss at Missouri, Troy has averaged 40.7 points scored and 487.5 yards of total offense per game in its other 4 contests.

Any college football favorite of 10.5 to 20.5 with a win percentage of .400 to .490 (Troy), coming off straight up losses in each of their previous 2 contests, and they scored 6 points or more during their last outing, versus an opponent (South Alabama) who scored 6 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those favorites going an extremely profitable 26-1 ATS (96.2%) since 2010. Bet on Troy minus the points for a 5* wager.

Washington @ Arizona 11:00 PM ET

Game# 151-152

Play On: Arizona +6.5 (5*)

Washington is coming off a listless effort last Saturday night during a 23-13 loss at Stanford as a substantial 12.5-point favorite. It marked the 2nd time this season that the Huskies were upset as a double-digit favorite with the other coming against California.

After losing 45-38 in their season opener at Hawaii, Arizona has reeled off 4 straight wins, and includes last week’s 35-30 win at Colorado as a 2.5-point underdog. The Wildcats are an explosive offense team that averages 37.2 points and 539.2 yards per game. Additionally, since 10/7/2017, Arizona is 6-1 SU&ATS as a home underdog of 1.5 to 10.0.  Bet on Arizona plus the points for a 5* wager.

Florida @ LSU 8:00 PM ET

Game# 179-180

Play On: LSU -13.0 (5*)

Florida is coming off last week’s 24-13 upset win at home over Auburn. However, they were facing a freshmen quarterback Bo Nix who was making his first ever start in an SEC road game. This week it will be LSU senior quarterback Joe Burrow who’s enjoying a terrific start to the season. Florida’s defense has been terrific thus far and a major reason why they’re sitting at 6-0. Nevertheless, the LSU offense is averaging 54.0 points scored and 571.0 yards per game on their way to their 5-0 start. LSU is also allowing only 81.0 yards rushing per game and a mere 2.6 yards per attempt. The Tigers will also be out to revenge last season’s 27-19 loss at Florida. LSU has historically very good during big games on their famed Saturday night contests in Baton Rouge. They can chalk this one up as another of those successful situations. Bet on LSU minus the points for a 5* wager.

Penn State @ Iowa 7:30 PM ET

Game# 203-204

Play On: Penn State -3.0 (5*)

Iowa is coming off a 10-3 loss at Michigan last week which ended a 4-game win streak to start the season. College football home underdogs of 6.0 or less playing after game 5 of their season, and are coming off an away underdog ATS loss when they were undefeated, resulted in those home underdogs going 1-9 ATS since 1980, and 0-6 ATS if they scored 13 or fewer in their previous contest.

Penn State seems to be getting better every week. They’re 5-0 and have allowed 13 points or fewer in each of those wins. The Nittany Lions are also averaging 47.0 points and 499.6 yards per games offensively. Bet on Penn State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Alabama @ Texas A&M 3:30 ET

Game# 183-184

Play On: Texas A&M +17.5 (5*)

Texas A&M is 3-2 but their only losses came at #2 Clemson 24-10 and versus #12 Auburn 28-20. Alabama deserves all the accolades they’ve received this season after winning each of their first 5 games by a combined score of 259-74. However, Saturday will be the first time this season they’ll be facing a ranked team.

Texas A&M has failed to cover in each of their previous 2 games with both being as a favorite. Those pair of non-covers came against Arkansas and Auburn. They had last week off and narrowly escaped with a 31-27 win over Arkansas as a 22.0-point favorite in their previous game.  The week before, they lost at home to Auburn 28-20 as a 4.0-point favorite

Any home underdog of 11.0 to 19.0 (A&M) with a win percentage of .250 or better, coming off ATS losses as a favorite in each of their last 2 games, and they scored 26 points or more in their previous contest, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .727 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 18-0 ATS since 1981. Bet on Texas A&M plus the points for a 5* wager.

Mississippi State @ Tennessee 12:00 PM ET

Game# 157-158

Play On: Mississippi State -6.5 (5*)

Tennessee is 0-3 SU&ATS at home this year versus FBS opponents. One of those setbacks came in their home opener against Georgia State in a contest they were a sizable 24.0-point favorite. Since 2016, Tennessee is 0-6 ATS as a home underdog of 5.5 or greater and lost by an enormous 33.2 points per game.

Mississippi State had last week off to recover from a 56-23 shellacking they suffered at Auburn in their previous outing. The Bulldogs defense isn’t anywhere near the caliber they were a season ago but is still adept at creating turnovers. They’ve forced 15 turnovers throughout their 3-2 start in 2019. Conversely, Tennessee has a poor turnover differential of -6 in their 4 games against FBS teams this season. Look for that to factor into deciding the outcome of this contest.

Any conference road favorite of 3.0 or more (Mississippi State) that’s coming off a road loss by 21 points or greater, resulted in those road favorites going 13-0 ATS since 2016. The average margin of victory was 20.8 points per game. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Virginia @ Miami 8:00 PM ET

Game# 109-110

Play On: Miami -2.0 (5*)

This line makes no sense at all. You have an unranked Miami team with a 2-3 losing record as a small favorite against #20 Virginia who’s only loss came at #9 Notre Dame. However, the sportsbooks are never that gracious and seem to be baiting bettors into taking the nationally ranked underdogs. I’m not falling for it.

Despite their 4-1 record, Virginia has a turnover differential of -6. Additionally, the Cavaliers have endured monumental struggles attempting to run the ball in their previous 2 games against Old Dominion and Notre Dame. Specifically, those pair of outings saw them accumulate just a combined 73 yards rushing and they averaged a miserable 1.3 yards per attempt. Conversely, the Miami defense is allowing only 79 yards rushing per game and an excellent 2.5 yards per attempt.

Miami lost to Virginia Tech last Saturday 42-35. On a positive note, they rallied from being down 28-0 in that contest to tie the score at 35-35 but eventually came up short. The Hurricanes were plagued by committing 5 turnovers in the contest including 3 interceptions on its first 3 offensive possessions. Miami did outgain Virginia Tech by a wide margin of 563 to 337. I don’t see them being mistake prone tonight against a Virginia defense that’s forced only 5 turnovers in 5 games. Bet on Miami for a 5* wager.

UL-Monroe @ Texas State 9:15 PM ET

Game# 105-106

Play On: UL-Monroe -3.0 (5*)

UL-Monroe is 2-3 but their 3 defeats have come against very formidable opponents (Florida State, Iowa State, Memphis). Even in those losses they’ve shown an ability to move the ball by amassing 419 yards or more on each occasion. UL-Monroe is a very balanced offense that averages 224 yards rushing and 246 passing per game. Conversely, Texas State has a terrible rushing attack which averages just 81 yards per game in addition to a mere 2.7 yards per attempt. Neither of these defenses are very good. However, the more dangerous and balanced offense of UL-Monroe will be the difference tonight’s outcome. Bet on UL-Monroe minus the points for a 5* wager.

Washington @ Stanford 10:30 PM ET

Game# 351-352

Play On: Washington -14.5 (5*)

This isn’t your typical David Shaw coached Stanford team that we are used to seeing in the Top 25. The Cardinal are 2-3 and their only 2 wins have come against teams (Oregon State, Northwestern) that are a combined 1-6 this season. As a matter of fact, one of those wins came in their previous game against perennial PAC-12 cellar dweller Oregon State by a narrow 31-28 margin, and that failed to cover as a 3.5-point road favorite. Now they return home to face a red-hot nationally ranked Washington team in a game which they’re tabbed as a better than 2-touchdown underdog.

Speaking of Washington, since a Week 2 upset loss at home against California, the Huskies have gone 3-0 SU&ATS and cashed in as a favorite on each occasion. Washington is 4-1 and has also gone 16-6 in its last 22 games.

Any conference away favorite of 14.0 to 21.0-points (Washington) that’s gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games, and they covered as a favorite on all 3 of those occasions, and they won 19 or fewer of their last 22 contests,, versus an opponent (Stanford) with a win percentage of .600 or worse, resulted in those sizable road favorites going 26-2 ATS (92.4%) since 2000.

Any college football home underdog of 13.5 to 21.5-points (Stanford) that’s coming off an away win by 17 points or fewer, versus an opponent that’s gone 3-0 SU&ATS during its previous 3 games, resulted in those home underdogs going 0-9 ATS, and they lost by an enormous average of 40.0 points per game. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 5* wager.

Pittsburgh @ Duke 8:00 PM ET

Game# 325-326

Play On: Pittsburgh +5.0 (5*)

Pittsburgh has beaten Duke in each of their last 4 meetings. The Panthers enter this week with a 3-2 (.600) record. Their only 2 defeats came at the hands of #12 Penn State and #23 Virginia. The Panthers did manage to upset #18 UCF 2 weeks ago.

Duke is coming off a 45-10 blowout win at Virginia Tech in a game they were a 2.5-point underdog. After losing their season opener to #1 Alabama, the Blue Devils have rebounded to win 3 straight games. Duke has ran the ball on 58% of their offensive plays this season. They’ll be challenged by a Pitt defense that’s allowing a mere 2.9 yards per rush in 2019.

Any conference away underdog of 2.5 to 7.5 (Pittsburgh) with a win percentage of .571 or better, versus an opponent (Duke) that’s playing with revenge and they’re coming off a conference away underdog straight up win by 3 points or more, and they own a win percentage of .750 or worse, resulted in those away underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 2005. Those underdogs also won 13 of those 14 games straight up. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 5* wager.

Michigan State @ Ohio State 7:30 PM ET

Game# 391-392

Play On: Ohio State -20.0 (5*)

Michigan State is coming off a lackluster 40-31 home win against Indiana but failed to cover as a 14.0-point favorite. As a matter of fact, that was a 34-31 game until the Spartans scored a defensive touchdown on the last play of the game. Comparatively, Ohio State owns a 51-10 road win at Indiana on 9/14. The Spartans have also suffered a 10-7 home loss to Arizona State as a 16.0-point favorite.

Ohio State is clicking on all cylinder. Offensively they’re averaging 52.4 points scored and 537.2 yards gained per game on their way to a perfect 5-0 start. The Buckeyes defense is allowing just 8.6 points and 223.8 yards per game. Ohio State has covered each of their last 4 games with all coming as a favorite and won by a massive average of 48.8 points per contest.

Any conference home favorite of 18.5 to 36.0 with a win percentage of .600 or better (Ohio State), and they’re coming off an away favorite of 14.0 or greater ATS win in which they covered by 3.0 points or more, versus an opponent (Michigan State) that failed to cover their previous contest, resulted in those large home favorites going 28-1 ATS (96.5%) since 2002. Bet on Ohio State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Northwestern @ Nebraska 4:00 PM ET

Game# 361-362

Play On: Nebraska -7.0 (10*)

Northwestern is coming off a 24-15 loss to Wisconsin which dropped their season record to 1-3. The Wildcats only win came over UNLV who annually one of the poorest football programs in the country. Northwestern’s offense is averaging just 15.5 points and 292.7 yards per game. Furthermore, they’ve committed an alarmingly high 11 turnovers in their first 4 games of the season.

Nebraska was outclassed last week against Ohio State in a 48-7 home loss while also failing to cover as a 17.0-point home underdog. Despite that low scoring output in addition to being held to a mere 231 total yards, Nebraska is still averaging 31.8 points and 438.2 yards per game. The Cornhuskers will also be playing with double revenge stemming from 2 straight losses to Northwestern by narrow margins of 34-31 and 31-28.

Any conference favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off a conference home underdog of 11.0 or greater ATS loss in which they scored 16 points or fewer, and they’re facing an opponent (Northwestern) coming off a loss by 34 points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came by a decisive 24.8 points per game. Bet on Nebraska minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan 3:00 PM ET

Game# 335-336

Play On: Eastern Michigan -6.0 (5*)

Central Michigan is 2-3 (.400). Their only 2 wins have come over Albany who plays at the FCS level and winless Akron. The Chippewas have turned the ball over an alarming 11 times in their 5 games.

Eastern Michigan is coming off wins over Central Connecticut State 34-31 and at Illinois 34-31 during its last 2 games. That improved their season record to 3-1. Their only defeat came at Kentucky in Week 2. I look for a solid Eastern Michigan passing attack to have its way against a Central Michigan defense that’s allowing 275 yards passing per game.

Any conference away favorite of 10.5 or less that’s coming off a week of rest (Eastern Michigan), and has non-conference wins in each of their last 2 games, and they scored 34 points or more during their previous contest, versus an opponent (Central Michigan) with a win percentage of .200 or better, resulted in those away favorites going 19-1 ATS (95%) since 1994. Bet on Eastern Michigan minus the points for a 5* wager.

UCF @ Cincinnati 8:00 PM ET

Game# 307-308

Play On: Cincinnati +4.0 (5*)

Cincinnati is coming off an inspiring 52-14 win at Marshall last Saturday and easily covered as a 4.0-point favorite. The Bearcats will enter this huge conference showdown with #18 UCF having won 9 straight home games. That adds to the betting value for the home underdog Bearcats. Cincinnati is 3-1 this season with their lone defeat coming at #4 Ohio State. As a matter of fact, during their 3 wins over Marshall, UCLA, and Miami-Ohio, Cincinnati has allowed 14 points or fewer and 256 yards or less on each occasion. The Cincinnati offense is averaging an enormous 34:16 in time of possession which has aided its defense in a big way. Conversely, UCF averages 25:16 in time of possession per game which speaks mostly to their quick strike explosive ability. I look for Cincinnati to minimize UCF chunk plays on offense, and to win the time of possession battle. The Bearcats will also be out to revenge 3 losses in a row to UCF.

Any college football home underdog of 9.5 or less, coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 27.5 points or more, and they’re playing with revenge, resulted in those home underdogs going 10-0 ATS since 1990. The home underdogs also won 9 of those 10 games straight up. Bet on Cincinnati plus the points for a 5* wager.

Washington State @ Utah 10:00 PM ET

Game# 145-146

Play On: Washington State +6.0 (5*)

Washington State is coming off a stunning 67-63 home loss to UCLA as an 18.0-point home favorite which dropped their season record to 3-1 (.750). Since 2015, Washington State has gone 6-0 ATS following a loss in their previous game in which they scored 28 points or more. They also won 5 of those 6 contests straight up and were an underdog on 4 separate occasions. Since the start of last season, Washington State has gone a very profitable 5-1 SU&ATS during true road games. Additionally, since 2013, the Cougars are 6-1 straight up and 7-0 ATS as an away underdog of 16.0 or less following a loss in their previous game, and all under the guidance of current head coach Mike Leach. Furthermore, the Cougars are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games against Utah.

Utah is coming off a 30-23 upset loss at USC as a 3.5-point favorite. The Utes have lost 3 straight at home to Washington State.

Any college football away underdog of 3.5 to 7.0-points (Washington State) with a win percentage worse than .800, and they’re coming off a home straight up loss as a favorite of 14.0 or greater in which they allowed 22 points or more, versus an opponent 9Utah) possessing a winning record, resulted in those away underdogs going a perfect 15-0 ATS since 1992. Bet on Washington State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Kansas State @ Oklahoma State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 165-166

Play On: Kansas State +5.0 (5*)

Oklahoma State is coming off last Saturday’s 36-30 loss at Texas, but they managed to cover as a 7.0-point underdog. That defeat dropped their record to 3-1. The Cowboys defense has surrendered 396 yards or more to all 3 of their 2019 FBS opponents while allowing a lofty 31.0 points per game. Oklahoma State will be out to revenge last year’s loss at Kansas State.

Kansas State enters this Big 12 Conference game after having last week off. The Wildcats last played 2 weeks ago when they came away with a 31-24 win over Mississippi State as a 7.0-point away underdog. Since last season, Kansas State is an unblemished 6-0 ATS as a conference underdog of 10.5 or less. Kansas State has averaged an enormous 280.0 yards per game rushing per game during their 3-0 start. Conversely, Oklahoma State has allowed 158 yards or more rushing in all 4 of their games this season.

Any college football conference away underdog of 5.5 points or fewer that’s coming off a win and possesses a winning record, versus an opponent (Oklahoma State) with a win percentage of .250 or better and they’re playing with revenge, resulted in those away underdogs going 16-1 ATS since 1992. Those away dogs also won 14 of those 17 games straight up. Bet on Kansas State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Mississippi State @ Auburn 7:00 PM ET

Game# 167-168

Play On: Mississippi State +10.0 (5*)

Auburn is coming off a 28-20 win at Texas A&M and did so as a 3.5-point underdog. Mississippi State is coming off a 28-13 win over Kentucky and they covered as a 6.0-point home favorite.

Any college football conference away underdog of 3.5 to 13.0 points that’s playing before Game 10 of their season, and they’re coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 9.5 points or more while scoring 21 points or greater, versus an opponent (Auburn) coming off an away conference straight up win as an underdog, resulted in those away underdogs going 11-0 ATS since 1989. The underdogs also won 6 of those 11 contests straight up. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Minnesota @ Purdue 3:30 PM ET

Game# 137-138.0

Play On: Minnesota -1.5 (10*)

Purdue is coming off a 34-13 home loss to TCU in which they failed to cover as a 3.0-point underdog. They also blew a 14-point 4th quarter lead at Nevada in their season opening 34-31 loss. The Boilermakers are a disappointing 1-2 thus far with their only win coming at home over Vanderbilt. The Boilermakers starting quarterback Elijah Sindelar remains questionable while attempting to recover from a concussion.

Minnesota enters their Big 10 Conference opener with a 3-0 record and those wins came by 7 points or less. The Gophers are unlikely to blink in a close game. They defeated Fresno State 38-35 in their only 2019 road game to this point. Dating back to last season, Minnesota has won 5 straight games under 2nd year Gophers head coach P.J. Fleck.

Any conference away team that’s coming off 3 or more wins in a row, versus an opponent coming home a home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 21.0-points or fewer, and they have a win percentage of .400 or worse, resulted in those away teams going 50-1 straight up since 1982. Bet on Minnesota for a 10* Top Play wager.

Indiana @ Michigan State 3:30 PM ET

Game# 153-154

Play On: Indiana +14.0 (5*)

Michigan State is coming off a decisive 31-10 road win at Northwestern while easily covering as an 8.0-point favorite. Up next for the Spartans is #5 Ohio State. This has all the making of a flat spot for Michigan State. The last Spartans home game saw them being upset 10-7 by Arizona State as a 16.0-point favorite. They’ve now gone an uninspiring 4-4 in their last 8 home games.

Indiana has no issues in a 38-3 win over Connecticut in their previous game and covered with no sweat as a 27.5-point home favorite. The Hoosiers are 3-1 with their lone defeat coming against Ohio State. Bet on Indiana plus the points for a 5* wager.

Penn State @ Maryland 8:00 PM ET

Game# 107-108

Play On: Maryland +7.0 (5*)

Penn State has been less than impressive in my humble opinion relative to their current #12 national ranking. This will be their first road test of the season after opening with 3 consecutive home games. They held on to beat Pittsburgh 17-10 and trailed Buffalo 10-7 at halftime before eventually pulling away. They’ve shown a defensive vulnerability against the run thus far and look for Maryland to exploit that early and often. Speaking of Maryland, they’ll enter their Big 10 Conference opener on a week of rest. They were upset at Temple 20-17 in their previous outing. However, we must keep in mind that in wins over then nationally ranked Syracuse and Howard they outscored them by a combined score of 142-20 while racking up an enormous 1273 yards of total offense. Maryland will also be out to revenge lopsided losses to Penn State during each of the previous 2 seasons.

Any conference home underdog of 9.0 or less (Maryland) that’s playing with rest, and is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 3 points or more, and is also playing with revenge, resulted in those home underdogs going 13-0 ATS since 1999. Even more compelling is the fact that those home underdogs won 12 of those 13 games straight up. Bet on Maryland plus the points for a 5* wager.

Colorado @ Arizona State 10:00 PM ET

Game# 351-352

Play On: Arizona State -7.0 (10*)

Colorado is coming off a 30-23 home loss in overtime to Air Force. That defeat thwarted the Buffalos from starting 3-0. This will be Colorado’s first road test of the season. They’re a dismal 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an away underdog of 3.5 or greater. They’ve allowed 30 points or more in each of their first 3 contests, and they’ll be facing an Arizona State team which has allowed exactly 7 points in each of its first 3 games on their way to a 3-0 start.

Former New York Jets head coach Herman Edwards has done a more than admirable job since taking over at Arizona State. The Sun Devils have gone 10-5 in regular season games under Edwards and that includes 6-1 at home. Arizona Sate is coming off a 10-7 upset win at Michigan State last Saturday in a game they were a sizable 16.0-point underdog. Arizona State is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS at home versus Colorado since the Buffaloes joined the PAC-12 and with an enormous victory margin of 26.0 points per contest.

UL-Lafayette @ Ohio 2:00 PM ET

Game# 321-322

Play On: UL-Lafayette +3.0 (5*)

UL-Lafayette is averaging a robust 8.1 yards per offensive play on their way to a 2-1 start. As a matter of fact, in their last 2 games they amassed 593 and 748 yards of total offense during blowout wins over Liberty and Texas Southern. Ohio has begun the season 1-2 and is allowing opponents to average 6.4 yards per offensive play.

Any road team (UL-Lafayette) that collected 575 yards or more of total offense during each of its last 2 games, and they’re averaging 6.2 yards or more per offensive play, versus a team (Ohio) which is allowing opponents to gain 6.2 yards or more per offensive play, resulted in those road teams going 30-1 straight up (96.8%) since 1992. The straight up results take on added significance because they back the road underdog in this instance. Bet on UL-Lafayette plus the points for a 5* wager.

Michigan @ Wisconsin 12:00 PM ET

Game# 343-344

Play On: Wisconsin -3.0 (5*)

Michigan is 2-0 but failed to cover each contest by 17.0-points or more. They narrowly escaped with a 24-21 home win over Army in overtime and didn’t come close to covering as a 22.0-point favorite.

Wisconsin is 2-0 while covering both games as a favorite and holding each of their opponents scoreless. They outscored South Florida and Central Michigan by a combined score of 110-0 and covered each of those contests by 26.0-points or more. Since 2004, Wisconsin has gone a superb 90-12 (.882) at home. Considering how small a spread we’re being asked to cover, that outstanding record at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wisconsin takes on special significance.

Any conference home favorite of 5.5 or less (Wisconsin) that coming off 2 straight covers as a favorite in which it held their opponents scoreless, and they covered each of those contests by 11.5-points or greater, resulted in those home favorites going 21-3 ATS (87.5%) since 1981. Bet on Wisconsin minus the points for a 5* wager.

Utah @ USC 9:00 PM ET

Game# 305-306

Play On: USC +4.5 (5*)

USC was caught in a trap game last week. They had just come off an emotional 45-20 win over Stanford in their PAC-12 opener and was set to host #10 Utah next. In between those pair of PAC-12 contests was a non-conference road game at BYU. The Trojans fell to BYU 30-27 in overtime as a closing 5.0-point favorite. USC will also be out to revenge a 48-17 blowout loss at Utah last year. Backup quarterback Kedon Slovus has more than held his own while replacing injured starter J.T. Daniels. In 2 plus games, Slovus is 58-75 (77.3%) passing while throwing for 5 touchdowns.

Utah is coming off a 31-0 home win over Idaho State who plays at the FCS level. The Utes failed to cover that contest as a 36.5-point favorite. Since 2015, Utah is 0-4 SU&ATS as a conference road favorite of 7.5 or less when facing an opponent off a straight up loss by 17 points or fewer. The Utes lost those 4 contests by an average of 9.3 points per game.

Any conference home underdog of 4.5 or less that’s playing in game 2 through 9 of their season, coming off an away favorite straight up loss by 3 points or more in which they failed to cover by 8.0 or more, versus an opponent (Utah) coming off a win by 31 points or fewer and they possess a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going 16-2 ATS (88.9%) since 2000. Those home underdogs also won 15 of those 18 games straight up. Bet on USC plus the points for a 5* wager.

Houston @ Tulane 8:00 PM ET

Game# 303-304

Play On: Tulane -4.0 (5*)

Houston is a team that’s run the ball on 61.2% of their offensive plays in 2019. During its first 3 games, Tulane’s experienced defense has allowed only 95 rushing yards per game and 3.1 yards per attempt. The Green Wave matches up very well in this game and will also be out to revenge last year’s 48-17 loss at Houston.

Tulane is coming off last week’s 58-6 home win over Missouri State in a game they easily covered as a 31.5-point home favorite. Houston is coming off last Friday’s 31-24 home loss to Washington State. The combination of these results sets up an extremely profitable college football ATS betting angle which is exhibited below.

Any conference home favorite of 3.5 or more (Tulane) that’s coming off a SU&ATS win in which they scored 45 points or greater, and they’re facing an opponent (Houston) that scored 19 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 22-1 ATS (95.7%) since 2001. Bet on Tulane minus the points for a 5* wager.

Georgia State @ Western Michigan 7:00 PM ET

Game# 177-178

Play On: Georgia State +9.5 (5*)

Western Michigan turned in a dismal performance last week during a 51-17 loss at Michigan State while not coming close to cover as a 15.5-point underdog.  They surrendered an alarmingly high 582 yards of total offense to the Spartans who failed to reach 300 yards in their season opening win over Tulsa. It’s apparent in year 3 of the Tim Lester era, he’s not close to the master recruiter that former head coach P.J. Fleck (Minnesota) is and was, and the steady decline of talent has been obvious.

Georgia State opened their season with a 38-30 massive upset win at Tennessee as a 24.0-point underdog. As to be expected, they were flat during last week’s 48-42 home win against Furman in a game they failed to cover as a 7.0-point favorite. On a positive note, they rallied from a 20-3 first half deficit in that contest and displayed plenty of character while doing so. With their 2-0 start, the Panthers have already equaled its win total from a season ago.

Any college football away underdog of +1.5 to +13.5 that’s coming off a non-conference home win in which they scored 45 points or more but failed to cover, resulted in those away underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 2011. Those road dogs also won 11 of those 15 contests straight up. Bet on Georgia State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Memphis @ South Alabama 3:30 PM ET

Game# 151-152

Play On: South Alabama +19.0 (5*)

Memphis opened their season with an emotional 16-10 home win over Ole Miss. They followed that up with last week’s 55-24 home win over Southern University who plays at the FCS level. Now they go on the road for a first time this season and are laying a substantial number to boot. Keep in mind, up next for Memphis is their conference opener at home versus Navy, and they’ll be out to revenge last year’s 22-21 upset loss at Annapolis. This appears to be a potential flat spot and trap game for the Tigers.

South Alabama deserved a better fate during its season opening 35-21 road loss at Nebraska. The Cornhuskers scored 2 touchdowns via interception returns and another on a punt return. South Alabama held a formidable Nebraska offense to just 276 yards in that loss. The won their home opener last Saturday over Jackson State by a score of 37-14 and held them to a mere 265 yards of total offense. The Jaguars will also be out to avenge last season’s 52-35 loss at Memphis while covering comfortably as a 31.5-point underdog. Bet on South Alabama plus the points for a 5* wager.

NC State @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET

Game# 113-114

Play On: NC State -6.5 (10*)

This 2019 Mountaineers team is terrible in comparison to the successful precedent that was set before them at West Virginia. They barely got by James Madison 20-13 in their season opener thanks to a +3 margin in turnovers, and then was blown out 38-7 last week at Missouri. That was a Missouri team that had been upset at Wyoming the week before as a 15.5-point chalk.

NC State has been extremely impressive during its 2-0 start to 2019. They outscored their first 2 opponents East Carolina and West Carolina by a decisive margin of 74-6 while committing no turnovers in doing so.

Any college football away favorite of 3.5 or greater that’s coming off 2 straight win in which they allowed 14 points or fewer, versus an opponent that gave up 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those away favorites going 50-14 ATS (78.1%) since 2008. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

North Carolina @ Wake Forest 6:00 PM ET

Game# 103-104

Play On: Wake Forest -3.0 (5*)

North Carolina a dismal 1-9 in their last 10 and 0-7 during its previous 7 conference road games. Dating back to last season, Wake Forest enters this week with a modest 4-game winning streak.

Wake Forest is coming off last week’s 41-21 win at Rice. North Carolina has opened the season with 2 consecutive straight up wins as an underdog, and the last of which came over ACC rival Miami. These results set up an extremely strong college football ATS betting angle which is displayed below.

Any conference home favorite of -2.0 to -31.0 that’s coming off a road win by 13 points or more, versus an opponent coming off 2 or more win in a row, and they’re last victory came as a conference home underdog by 31 points or fewer, resulted in those conference home favorites going 28-3 ATS (90.3%) since 1981. Bet on Wake Forest minus the points for a 5* wager.

Western Michigan @ Michigan State 7:30 PM ET

Game# 367-368

Play On: Western Michigan +16.5 (10*)

Michigan State is coming off a listless 28-7 home win over Tulsa in their season opener and failed to cover as a 22.5-point home favorite. Since the start of last season, the Spartans have now gone a dismal 0-5 ATS as a home favorite. Their defense certainly has held up its end of the bargain and did so once again in their season opener. However, the offense continues to struggle as they amassed just 303 yards gained against Tulsa. They’ll be facing a Western Michigan defense that returns 10 starters from a season ago.

This looks like a trap game for the home favorite. The Spartans will host Arizona State in their next game. They will be playing with revenge after suffering an upset loss at Arizona State last year. After that it’s their Big 10 schedule for the rest of 2019. Michigan State has gone just 14-8 over its previous 22 games.

Western Michigan is coming off a 48-13 win over Monmouth and they covered as a 26.5-point home favorite against their FCS opponent.

Any college football non-conference away underdog of 4.5 or greater (Western Michigan) that’s coming off a home favorite of -15.5 or more ATS win, versus an opponent (Michigan State) that’s coming off a straight up win, and they’ve won 8 or more of its last 22 games, resulted in those away underdogs going 21-0 ATS since 1988. Bet on Western Michigan plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Nebraska @ Colorado 3:30 PM ET

Game# 331-332

Play On: Colorado +4.5 (5*)

Nebraska hardly looked like a Top 25 team during their season opening 35-21 home win over South Alabama. The Cornhuskers didn’t come close to covering as a 35.0-point favorite. They only scored 2 offensive touchdowns in that victory and amassed only 276 yards of total offense. Dating back to 2017, Nebraska has lost 7 straight on the road and allowed an average of 45.4 points per game while doing so.

Colorado is coming off a season opening 52-31 win over Colorado State and easily covered as an 11.5-point favorite. The Buffaloes have a solid senior quarterback in Steven Montez.

Any college football non-conference home underdog of 5.0 or less (Colorado) that’s coming off a favorite ATS win in which they scored 34 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Nebraska) that’s coming off a straight up win by 5 points or greater, resulted in those home underdogs going 22-7-1 ATS since 1982. Those home dogs also won 20 of those 30 contests straight up. Bet on Colorado plus the points for a 5* wager.

tWest Virginia @ Missouri 12:00 PM ET

Game# 319-320

Play On: Missouri -13.0 (5*)

West Virginia narrowly escaped with a 20-13 win against James Madison. I expect this inexperienced Mountaineers team to suffer through some early growing pains with former Troy head coach Neal Brown in his 1st year in Morgantown. Since 2015, West Virginia is 1-5 ATS as an away underdog and lost all 6 contests straight up by a decisive average of 22.7 points per game.

Missouri is coming off a 37-31 upset loss in their season opener at Wyoming and did so as a sizable 15.5-point favorite. Since 10/21/2017, Missouri has gone 6-1 ATS as a home favorite of 9.0 or more and won all 7 games straight up by a substantial average of 31.2 points per contest. I look for former Clemson quarterback Kelly Bryant to have a huge game for the Tigers.

Any college football non-conference double-digit home favorite that’s coming off a straight up loss, and they’re facing an opponent who scored 37 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1999. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests was a massive 39.6 points per game. Bet on Missouri minus the points for a 5* wager.

Marshall @ Boise State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 303-304

Play On: Marshall +11.0 (5*)

Since 10/24/2015, Boise State has gone a lousy 5-15-1 ATS as a home favorite, and that includes 0-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.0 to 17.0-points. The Broncos are coming off a stirring 36-31 upset win at Florida State last Saturday in which they overcame a 31-13 deficit. Now they return home on short rest to face a very respectable Marshall team that has no problems in their season opener last week during a 56-17 home win against overmatched VMI. I firmly believe Boise State will suffer some type of emotional letdown from last week’s huge comeback win on the road. Marshall is a good enough team to stay inside this current point-spread with all being considered. Bet on Marshall plus the points for a 5* wager.

Notre Dame @ Louisville 8:00 PM ET

Game# 217-218

Play On: Notre Dame -18.0 (5*)

Louisville finished last season by going 0-7 SU&ATS while losing by an average of 34.3 points per game. During that futile 7-game stretch, they allowed an enormous 57.0 points per contest. Furthermore, since 2016, the Cardinals are 0-6 ATS as a double-digit underdog and lost by an average of 38.8 points per game. Former Appalachian head coach takes over the reigns at Louisville. I think he’s an excellent hire, but it will take time for him to turn things around at a program which has gone 8-22 during its last 22 games. He’ll have the unenviable task of facing a Top 10 team in his head coaching debut at Louisville.

Notre Dame returns 13 starters from a team that went 12-1 a season ago. Their lone loss came in the College Football Playoffs semifinal game to eventual national champion Clemson. Since 2017, the Irish went 5-1 ATS as an away favorite of 6.0 or greater and won each of those contests straight up by an average of 20.0 points per game.

Since 1992, any college football away favorite of 7.0 or greater (Notre Dame) that’s playing in their season opener, and they won 12 or more games in the previous year, versus an opponent (Louisville) who’s won 6 or more of their previous 22 contests, resulted in those away favorites going 5-0 ATS. Those 5 road chalks won by an average of 35.4 points per game. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 5* wager.

Oregon vs. Auburn 7:30 PM ET

Game# 207-208

Play On: Oregon +4.0 (5*)

Auburn’s true freshmen starting quarterback Bo Nix has drawn comparisons to former Texas A&M Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel. Before we get carried away, let’s see how he fares against an Oregon defense that possesses a ton of talent and has a chance of being very good. By the way, Oregon signal caller is senior Justin Herbert is projected to be the first quarterback taken in the 2020 NFL draft. He may have even been a first round choice this year if he had forgone his senior season. Herbert will be protected by one of the best offensive lines in the country. He’ll also have the luxury of a gifted group of wide receivers. This has all the makings of a game that goes down to the wire. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see Oregon win straight up, but I’ll take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Oregon plus the points for a 5* wager.

Virginia @ Pittsburgh 7:30 PM ET

Game# 203-204

Play On: Pittsburgh +3.0 (5*)

Virginia seems to be the popular pick to win the ACC Coastal Division. Now they open the season as a road favorite against the defending Coastal Division champion Pitt Panthers. Pitt finished last year by going a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 home games. On the other hand, Virginia is an abysmal 5-31 SU on the road since 2012, and that includes 1-8 SU since current head coach Bronco Mendenhall took over in 2017. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 5* wager.

SMU @ Arkansas State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 193-194

Play On: Arkansas State -2.5 (5*)

With this small of a point spread, picking the straight up winner is nearly as import as covering the spread. As a matter of fact, college football teams that were +2.5 to -.2.5 that won the game straight up have gone 2636-76 ATS (97.2%) since 1980. Furthermore, this is a SMU football program which has gone 1-33 SU as a non-conference away under since 1997. Additionally, the Mustangs are 0-11 SU&ATS as a non-conference away underdog of 9.5 or less since 2014 while losing by 22.7 points per game. Conversely, Arkansas State is 39-8 at home since 2012. Additionally, during that exact time frame, the Red Wolves went 16-1 SU and 14-2 ATS as a home favorite of 2.0 to 14.0-points. Bet on Arkansas State minus the small number for a 5* wager.

FIU @ Tulane 8:00 PM ET

Game# 137-138

Play On: Tulane -2.5 (5*)

FIU went 9-4 last season under head coach Butch Davis and they return 16 starters. However, they faced only 3 teams that finished with a winning record. As a matter of fact, their 2018 regular season opponents finished with a dismal 53-82 (.393) record.

Will Fritz is set to begin his 4th season as head coach at Tulane. The Green Wave have improved in every year with Fritz in charge. They started 2-5 a season ago and finished by winning 5 of its last 6 games to finish 7-6 which included a 41-24 bowl win over UL-Lafayette. It marked just a 2nd time in 14 seasons that Tulane finished with a winning record.

Any home favorite of 7.0 or less that’s playing in their season opener, and they won 7 or more games during the year before, versus an opponent that won 9 games more fewer in the previous season, resulted in those home favorites going 14-2 ATS (87.5%) since 2010. Bet on Tulane minus the small number for a 5* wager.

Florida vs. Miami Fla. 7:00 PM ET

Game# 291-292

Play On: Miami Fla. +7.5 (5*)

Miami has gone 14-1 in their last 15 home games. They’re also 16-0 straight up and 12-4 ATS in their previous 16 non-conference home games. The Hurricanes have also gone 31-2 in their last 33 home openers and that includes winning its last 12 home debuts.

Miami has gone 22-6 straight up in their last 28 at home. Any college football home underdog of 9.5-points or less that’s won 22 or more of its last 28 at home and they’re playing in their season opener has gone 7-0 ATS since 2008. Those underdogs also won 6 of those 7 games straight up. Bet on Miami plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Clemson vs. Alabama 8:00 PM RT

Game# 151-152

Play On: Clemson +6.0 (5*)

Clemson has outgained their opponents on the ground this season by a decisive average of 164 yards per game. Since 2014, any college football underdog that’s playing on a neutral field (Clemson), and they’re rushing for 100 yards or more per game than their opponents for the season, resulted in those underdogs going an extremely profitable 35-10 ATS (77.8%). The average point-spread during those 45 games was 6.1. Bet on Clemson plus the points for a 5* wager.

I think Clemson’s top ranked defense will be the deciding difference in this game. I wouldn’t be shocked to see Clemson get the outright upset, but I won’t get greedy and will gladly take the points. Bet on Clemson plus the points for a 5* wager.

Texas vs. Georgia 8:45 PM ET

Game# 277-278

Play On: Texas +12.5 (5*)

Texas put together a 9-3 regular season with their 3 defeats coming by a combined 9 points. The Longhorns did fall to Oklahoma 39-27 in the Big 12 Championship Game in a contest that was much closer than the final score indicates.

Georgia is coming off a bitter disappointment from a 35-28 loss to #1 Alabama in the SEC Championship Game during a contest they squandered a 14-point lead. Then was snubbed by the college football playoff committee thus resulting in a New Year’s 6 Bowl Game appearance. During my experience as a professional sports handicapper that spans close to 2 decades, teams like Georgia are flat more times than not after enduring such disappointment leading into a bowl game. Bet on Texas plus the points for a 5* wager.

Washington vs. Ohio State 5:00 PM ET

Game# 275-276

Play On: Washington +7.5 (10*)

Washington was one of my 4 predictions to make the college football playoffs before the season began. Obviously, they fell short in that regard. However, this is an experienced Huskies team with an imposing defense which allowed just 15.5 points and 301.8 yards per game on their way to a 10-3 season and PAC-12 title. Conversely, Ohio State’s defense is a major concern and that was especially evident late in the year. The Buckeyes allowed 38.0 points and 451.3 yards per game during its last 3 contests against Maryland, Michigan, and Northwestern. The also gave up 49 points and 539 yards to Purdue during their lone loss of the season. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Kentucky vs. Penn State 1:00 PM ET

Game# 271-272

Play On: Kentucky +7.0 (5*)

Penn State is 9-3 but doesn’t have a single win against a team that’s currently ranked in the top 25.  Conversely, Kentucky has beaten #10 Florida, #23 Missouri, and #18 Mississippi State while 2 of those wins came on the road. Additionally, they lost in overtime at #19 Texas A&M.

Kentucky’s offensive strength is running the ball as evidence by them churning out 201 yards rushing per game. The #14 Wildcats have ran the ball on 64% of their offensive plays this season. That’s concerning for Penn State’s defense considering that they’ve permitted 6 opponents to run for 188 yards or more this season. Bet on Kentucky plus the points for a 5* wager.

LSU vs. Central Florida 1:00 PM ET

Game# 273-274

Pick: Central Florida +7.5 (5*)

For starters, Central Florida has won 25 straight games and they’re also an extremely profitable 17-8 (68%) ATS during those contests. Yet, despite being currently ranked #8 by the college football playoff committee, they’ve never really been seriously considered to be part of that 4-team gala. Last year while playing with a monumental chip on their shoulder, the Golden Knights knocked off Auburn 34-27 in a New Year’s Day bowl game and did so as a 10.5-point underdog.

On a positive note, LSU had a successful 9-3 regular season campaign and was rewarded with a New Year’s Day bowl game invite. On the down side, I’m not sure how motivated the #11 Tigers will be to play against a team from outside the Power 5 Conferences. My educated guess is very little. Bet on Central Florida plus the points for a 5* wager.

Iowa vs. Mississippi State 12:00 PM ET

Game# 269-270

Play On: Mississippi State -6.5 (5*)

Despite Iowa putting up impressive offensive numbers in their last few games, they’re very limited on how they can attack opposing defenses. They rely heavily on their power running games and their best receivers are both tight ends. Furthermore, Iowa has struggled offensively this season against “Power 5 Conference” teams that currently have a winning record. This will unequivocally be the best defense that Iowa has faced all season long.

Mississippi State has allowed only 12.0 points and 268.4 yards per game. As a matter of fact, the Bulldogs have allowed 13 points or fewer in 9 of their 12 games this season. The only 4 losses that Mississippi State has suffered this season have come against #1 Alabama, #10 Florida, #11 LSU, and #14 Kentucky. At the time of this writing, those 4 teams have combined to go 42-9 (.824) this season. Moreover, since the start of last season, Mississippi State has gone 6-0 SU&ATS as a favorite of 34.5 or less when facing non-conference opponents, and they won by an average of 36.8 points per game. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Northwestern vs. Utah 7:00 PM ET

Game# 265-266

Play On: Utah -6.5 (5*)

Both teams will be missing key personnel due to injuries. However, I just can’t ignore the fact that Utah has won 13 straight bowl game appearances and went an extremely profitable 10-3 ATS during those contests. Additionally, Utah has won 23 straight games against non-conference opponents and covered in 17 of those 23 contests. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 5* wager.

Pittsburgh vs. Stanford 2:00 PM ET

Game# 259-260

Play On: Stanford -4.0 (5*)

This will be the 4th consecutive year that Pittsburgh has reached a bowl game. The Panthers have gone 0-3 SU&ATS in the prior 3. Furthermore, Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU&ATS since 2003 when playing in a bowl game against a “power 5 Conference” opponent. They also have dropped their last 2 games of this season to Miami and Clemson while be outscored by a combined 66-13.

Stanford closed their regular season slate with 2 straight wins and outscored their opposition by 16.0 points per contest. The Cardinal enter this Sun Bowl matchup with an 8-4 record. Their only 4 losses came against Notre Dame (12-1), Washington State (11-2), Washington (10-3), and Utah (9-4). Those 4 teams have combined to go 42-10 (.808) this season. Bet on Stanford minus the points for a 5* wager.

Cincinnati vs. Virginia Tech 12:00 PM ET

Game# 257-258

Play On: Cincinnati -5.5 (10*)

Cincinnati has averaged 238 yards rushing per game on their way to an impressive 10-2 regular season campaign. That’s not good news for a Virginia Tech defense that’s surrendering an alarming 206 yards rushing per game this season. ASA a matter of fact, since 2016, Virginia Tech is a dismal 0-7 ATS when facing an opponent that’s averaging 230 or more rushing yards per game and they were outscored by 12.6 points per contest.

Cincinnati finished their regular season slate with a 56-6 blowout win over East Carolina. The Bearcats average an enormous 8.2 yards per offensive play during that victory. Cincinnati is averaging 458.2 yards of total offense per game. They’ll be facing a Virginia Tech defense which has allowed 436.7 yards per game during regular season action. The combination of all the previously mentioned statistical data sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any favorite of 3.5 to 10.0-points (Cincinnati) that averages 440 yards or more of total offense per game, and they’re coming off a game in which they averaged 6.75 yards or more per offensive play, versus an opponent (Virginia Tech) which is allowing 390 to 440 yards per game, resulted in those favorites going 33-8 ATS (80.5%) since 2009. The average point-spread was -7.9 and those favorites outscored the underdogs by an average of 15.0 points per game. Bet on Cincinnati minus the points for a 5* wager.

Iowa State vs. Washington State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 247-248

Play On: Washington State -2.5 (5*)

I don’t like the way Iowa State finished the regular season. They narrowly escaped with a 4-point home win as a double-digit favorite against a Kansas State team that finished with a losing record. Then in their regular season finale they averted total disaster as a 40.0-point home favorite by scoring a late go-ahead touchdown to defeat an FCS team in Drake 27-24.

Washington State is coming off a surprisingly successful 10-2 regular season campaign. Their only losses came at USC by 3 and in their regular season finale against 2018 PAC-12 champion Washington. The Cougars were an impressive 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS in games played away from Pullman, Washington. Bet on Washington State minus the small number for a 5* wager.

Syracuse vs. West Virginia 5:15 PM ET

Game# 243-244

Play On: Syracuse -3.0 (5*)

Syracuse is coming off a huge turnaround season that saw them go 9-3. The Orange were a money making 8-4 ATS as well. Syracuse finished the season with a convincing 42-21 win at Boston College (7-5). The Orange have an impressive +14 turnover ratio heading into their bowl game. Speaking of bowl games, this will be Syracuse’s first such appearance since 2013 so it will be a team that will be very inspired. Since 2012, West Virginia has gone 1-4 in 5 bowl appearances and failed to cover on each occasion. Bet on Syracuse minus the points for a 5* wager.

Purdue vs. Auburn 1:30 PM ET

Game# 241-242

Play On: Purdue +3.5 (5*)

Purdue began the season 0-3 and then went on to win 6 of its last 9 regular season games to finish at 6-6. The Boilermakers saw 4 of their 6 losses come by 4 points or less and they also handed #5 Ohio State their lone loss of the season. Furthermore, Purdue was 3-0 ATS as an underdog this season and won 2 of those contests straight up. They will be facing an Auburn team whose quarterbacks completed 60.4% of their passes this season. Purdue is 9-1 ATS the past 2 seasons when facing an opponent that has a pass completion rate of 58% or better and they outscored those teams by 11.2 points per game. Bet on Purdue plus the points for a 5* wager.

Duke vs. Temple 1:30 PM ET

Game# 235-236

Play On: Temple -3.0 (5*)

Duke began the season 4-0 then went 3-5 to close out its regular season slate. Duke allowed 35 points or more during 4 of their last 5 games. The Blue Devils were an awful -11 turnover differential over their previous 9 games and that’s certainly not a winning formula.

Temple lost their first 2 games and then preceded to go 8-2 over its last 10 regular season contests ands that includes winning each of their previous 3. During their current 3-game win streak they’ve averaged 47.7 points scored per game and had a combined +8 turnover differential. Bet on Temple minus the points for a 5* wager.

Memphis vs. Wake Forest 12:00 PM ET

Game# 221-222

Play On: Memphis -3.0 (5*)

Memphis star running back Darrell Henderson declared for the 2019 NFL Draft and in doing so will not play in this Bahamas Bowl Game. Granted, Henderson was a huge part of the success this explosive Memphis offense has had this season, but there’s still plenty of talent at the offensive skilled positions. After all, this is a Memphis team which is averaging a robust 43.6 points scored and 534.3 yards gained per game. They’ll be facing a porous Wake Forest defensive unit which is surrendering 33.2 points and 465.3 yards per game this season. Memphis went 8-5 this season and advanced to the American Athletic Conference Championship Game. They suffered 2 of their losses against #8 and undefeated Central Florida (12-0). Play on Memphis minus the points for a 5* wager.

Marshall vs South Florida 8:00 PM ET

Game# 215-216

Play On: South Florida +3.0 (10*)

South Florida won their first 7 games and then when on to lose its last 5 regular season contests. Before jumping to conclusions, keep this in mind, any team entering a bowl game that lost 5 or more games in a row has gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS since 1980. By the way, all 4 of those contests occurred since 2011. The average margin of victory was 13.5 points per game. In the Bulls defense, the 5 losses were to Houston (8-4), Tulane (7-6), Cincinnati (10-2), Temple (8-4), and Central Florida (12-0). Those 5 teams are currently a combined 45-16 (.737) this season.

This 2018 Gasparilla Bowl will be played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa which is South Florida’s home field. Moreover, teams playing in a bowl game on their home field have gone 21-12 straight up and 20-13 ATS since 1998. If those teams were an underdog and faced an opponent with a win percentage of .636 or better, they improved to 6-1 ATS and 5-2 straight up. Marshall enters this bowl game having finished 8-4 (.666) during regular season play. Bet on South Florida plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Ohio vs. San Diego State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 213-214

Play On: Ohio -2.5 (5*)

San Diego State started the season by winning 6 of their first 7 games. Since that time, they’ve gone 1-4 to finish their regular season schedule at 7-5. Additionally, all 6 of the Aztecs wins against FBS opponents this season have come by 8 points or less. They also sustained bad home losses to Eastern Michigan as a 10.0-point favorite and against UNLV (4-8) as a mammoth 24-point chalk.

Despite not making it to the 2018 championship game, Ohio was arguably the best team in the MAC down the final stretch of regular season action. As a matter of fact, they were 7-2 in their final 9 games and the 2 losses came by a combined 5 points. They also easily defeated a very good 10-3 Buffalo team 52-17 in November. During their previous 6 games played, Ohio was a +13 in the turnover department, and they scored 49 points or more 5 times. Earlier this season they faced quality non-conference opponents in Cincinnati (10-2) and Virginia (7-5). They were very competitive on both occasions and their offense had no issues moving the ball on each occasion. Bet on Ohio plus the points for a 5* wager.

Middle Tennessee State vs. Appalachian State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 209-210

Play On: Middle Tennessee State +7.0 (5*)

Middle Tennessee State lost to UAB by 2 points in the Conference USA Championship Game on 12/1. The Blue Raiders are 14-2 during its last 16 and 10-1 in their previous last 11 following a loss in their preceding game. Included in those results following a loss is 4-0 SU&ATS when they were an underdog 3.0-points or more and they won by an average of 15.3 points per contest. I also look at senior quarter Brent Stockstill as being an “X factor” in this contest. The southpaw passer is a 4-year starter for MTSU and has amassed 12,165 yards passing while completing 65.5% of his attempts for 105 touchdowns against just 33 interceptions during his illustrious college football career. MTSU enters this New Orleans Bowl with an 8-5 record. However, 3 of those defeats came on the road versus SEC opponents (Vanderbilt, Kentucky, Georgia) that will be participating in bowl games with 2 of those teams currently being nationally ranked. Bet on Middle Tennessee plus the points for a 5* wager.

Eastern Michigan vs. Georgia Southern 5:30 PM ET

Game# 207-208

Play On: Eastern Michigan +2.5 (5*)

Georgia Southern went an impressive 9-3 during their regular season slate. However, just 2 of those 9 victories came over an FBS opponent that currently has a winning record. They did manage to not get totally blown out during a 38-7 loss at #2 Clemson, but their other 2 non-conference games came against inferior opponents in Massachusetts and South Carolina State who plays at the FCS level. They’re far from a dynamic offense that relies heavily on their triple option rushing attacks that accounts for 76% of their yardage gained this season. As a matter of fact, there are as one dimensional as they come which is evidenced by 84.5% of their offensive plays being rushing attempts.

Eastern Michigan enters this Crampton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama sporting a 7-5 record. Nevertheless, 4 of their 5 defeats came by a combined 16 points with all 4 of those coming by 7 points or fewer, and they also own a quality road win at Purdue. Their only defeat that came by more than one possession came against #22 Army 37-22. It must be noted, they held Army’s explosive offensive rushing attack to less than 4.0 yards per attempt and 104 yards below their season average per game. That’s a good sign since they’ll be facing a very similar offensive run game from Georgia Southern. Eastern Michigan’s defense was dominant during its final 3 regular season game while allowing just 11.3 points and 205 yards per contest.

EMU has trailed at the half in only 1 of their last 6 games. Conversely, Georgia Southern trailed at the half in just 3 of their 12 games and each time it resulted in a loss. Putting that into perspective, the Georgia Southern run heavy offense isn’t built to play from behind. Bet on Eastern Michigan plus the small number for a 5* wager.

North Texas vs. Utah State 2:00 PM ET

Game# 201-202

Play On: North Texas +8.5 (5*)

Despite losing their regular season final at Boise State 33-24 that cost themselves a berth in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game, Utah State finished with an outstanding 10-2 record. Nonetheless, the Aggies only faced 2 FBS teams all season that currently have a winning record and lost both of those contests against Michigan State (7-5) and previously mentioned Boise State (10-3).

North Texas enters this New Mexico Bowl matchup with a shiny 9-3 record of their own, and their 3 lone defeats came by only a combined 11 points. That’s surely a powerful prerequisite for underdog betting value. Since 10/31/2015, North Texas has gone an unscathed 5-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 5.0-points or more when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. The Green Wave won those 5 contests by a decisive 12.8 points per game.

Any college football underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points (North Texas) that’s playing after game 7 of their season, and they own a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent coming off a conference road loss in their previous game, and they (Utah State) have a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those underdogs going 15-1 ATS since 1994. Those underdogs also won 9 of those 16 games straight up. Bet on North Texas plus the points for a 5* wager.

UL-Lafayette vs. Tulane 1:30 PM ET

Game# 203-204

Play On: UL-Lafayette +3.5 (5*)

Tulane managed to win 4 of their last 5 regular season games to finish at 6-6 and become bowl eligible. Nevertheless, the Green Wave have gone 0-4 ATS and just 2-2 straight up this season as a favorite of 3.0-points or more when facing an FBS opponent. Their only 2 straight up wins in those 4 games came against Navy (3-10) 29-18 and over East Carolina (3-9) 24-18.

UL-Lafayette is much better than their mediocre 7-6 record may indicate. They’ve seen 5 of their 6 losses come against Appalachian State (10-2) twice with one of those occurring in the Sun Belt Championship Game, #1 Alabama (13-0), #17 Mississippi State (8-4), and Troy (9-3). Those 4 teams currently have a combined 40-9 (.816) record this season. They’ve also gone an extremely profitable 8-2 ATS over their last 10 games. Bet on UL-Lafayette plus the points for a 5* wager.

Navy vs. Army 3:00 PM ET

Game# 103-104

Play On: Navy +8.0 (5*)

We have a 3-9 Navy team facing #23 Army who’s 9-2, yet, Army opened as just a 6.5-point favorite in this contest. This line has since moved to 8.0 due to the public’s money being wagered heavily on Army. Besides their near upset of #4 Oklahoma this season, Army has played an extremely weak schedule. Case in point was their final 2 regular season games against Colgate and Lafayette. Conversely, Navy plays in the very respectable American Athletic Conference in which they faced #8 Central Florida (11-0), and they also had a non-conference game against #3 Notre Dame (12-0). This is a battle tested Navy team despite their uninspiring record. The Midshipmen will also being playing with revenge after losing the last 2 against Army by a combined 5 points. This will also be the first time since 2001 in which Navy will be an underdog in this annual classic rivalry game. Bet on navy plus the points for a 5* wager.

Northwestern vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 321-322

Play On: Northwestern +15.0 (10*)

Northwestern has thrived in the underdog role under current head coach Pat Fitzgerald. Since the latter part of the 2014 season, Northwestern has gone an outstanding 20-7 ATS (74%) as an underdog and that includes 18-3 ATS (85.7%) when facing an opponent that’s not undefeated. Northwestern lost their Big 10 opener to Michigan and then preceded to win its last 7 conference games.

Ohio State is coming off a huge upset win against Michigan in their regular season finale. By doing so the Buckeyes have keep their college football playoff hopes alive. It would be difficult for me to imaging they will be able to match the intensity level they displayed a week ago. Ohio State may come out on top but this game will be much closer than people will anticipate. Bet on Northwestern plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Fresno State @ Boise State 7:45 PM ET

Game# 317-318

Play On: Fresno State +1.0 (5*)

It’s very rare that I will ever fade a team with a strong home field like Boise State possesses in a virtual pick game. However, this is an exception to the rule. Fresno State will be playing with double revenge stemming from losses to Boise State in last year’s Mountain West Championship Game and in an earlier game this season. Fresno State’s top-notch defense will be the deciding difference tonight. Bet on Fresno State for a 5* wager.

Texas vs. Oklahoma 12:00 PM ET

Game# 311-312

Play On: Oklahoma -8.0 (5*)

Oklahoma will be playing with big time revenge after suffering their lone regular season defeat at the hands of Texas earlier this season. The Sooners aren’t only seeking the win but won’t hesitate to do so in a convincing manner if given the opportunity to do so. Style points will go a long way in convincing the college football playoff committee to allot the Sooners one of the 4 slots. I don’t like the lackluster manner which Texas finished the regular season. Case in point was a narrow 7-point win in their last game against lowly Kansas. Bet on Oklahoma minus the points for a 5* wager.

Utah vs. Washington 8:00 PM ET

Game# 305-306

Play On: Utah +6.0 (5*)

Despite Washington’s stellar 9-3 regular season, they were a dismal 3-9 against-the-spread in those contests. Furthermore, The Huskies have gone an even worse 0-7 ATS during their last 7 games as a conference favorite. Furthermore, it would be difficult for me to fathom Washington matching their intensity level and focus they exhibited in last week’s huge road win over then #7 Washington State. Especially when considering they already have beaten Utah 21-7 on the road in their PAC-12 opener. Ironically enough, it was the Huskies only conference ATS cover of the regular season.

Utah has averaged a lofty 202 yards rushing per game this season. Conversely, the Utes defense is only allowing 100 yards rushing per game and less than 3 yards per attempt. No matter how you cut it, that equates to a winning formula.

Utah has outgained their opponents on the ground by an average of 102 yards per game. Anytime there’s been a

Game# 181-182

Play On: Boise State -2.5 (5*)

Since 1999, Boise State has gone an incredible 118-8 (.937) on their home field. The Broncos are also 14-1 in their last 15 versus Utah State and that includes 8-0 at home. Considering the small point-spread we’re being asked to cover those outstanding straight up records can’t be ignored. Boise State is coming off a 45-14 blowout win over New Mexico and they covered as a 22.0-point away favorite. That victory improved their season record to 9-2. Conversely, Utah State enters this regular season finale on a 10-game win streak. Their only defeat this season came in overtime during their opening game at Michigan State.

Any conference home favorite of 3.5-points or less (Boise State) playing after Game 8 of their season that’s coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 5.5 or more, versus an opponent (Utah State) with a win percentage of .600 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 25-7 ATS (78.1%) since 1980. Bet on Boise State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Arizona State @ Arizona 3:30 PM ET

Game# 233-234

Play On: Arizona State -1.5 (5*)

Arizona State is coming off last Saturday’s narrow 31-29 loss at Oregon. That defeat dropped their season record to a mediocre looking 6-5. However, all 5 of the Sun Devils losses this season have come by 7 points or less. Conversely, Arizona was destroyed at Washington State 69-28 in its last game. The Wildcats are now 5-6 and 3 of those defeats have by come by 27 points or more.

Any away favorite of 3.0 or less that scored 27 or less in their previous game, versus an opponent coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they allowed 39-points or more and failed to cover by 23.0 or more, resulted in those road favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests was a sizable 16.5 points per game. Bet on Arizona State minus the small number for a 5* wager.

Troy @ Appalachian State 2:30 PM ET

Game# 185-186

Play On: Appalachian State -10.5 (5*)

This will be the regular season finale for both teams and the winner of this game will advance to the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game. Appalachian State enters this contest with an outstanding 8-2 record and has now gone 17-5 over their last 22 games. The Mountaineers will be out to revenge last season’s 28-24 loss at Troy. Appalachian State has gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 20.0 or less when facing an opponent with a win percentage of worse than .857. They won those 6 contests by an average of 27.3 points per game.

Troy is coming off a 12-7 win over Texas State which improved its season record to a stellar 9-2 (.818).

Any conference home favorite of 10.0 to 17.0-points (Appalachian State) who’s won 17 or fewer of its last 22 contests, and that’s playing with revenge in their last home game of the season, and currently has a win percentage of .444 or better, versus an opponent (Troy) coming off a straight up win in which they scored 33 points or less, and they (Troy) have a win percentage of less than .900, resulted in those home favorites going 19-1 ATS (95%) since 1998. Bet on Appalachian State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Michigan @ Ohio State 12:00 PM ET

Game# 161-162

Play On: Ohio State 5.0 (10*)

Since 2011, Michigan is a dismal 2-12 straight up in away games against teams with a win percentage of better than .666. Conversely, since 2012, Ohio State has gone a terrific 28-1 during conference home games. Furthermore, Ohio State has won 13 of their last 14 against Michigan and is a perfect 6-0 against the Wolverines with Urban Meyer as their head coach. There’s just way too much home underdog value on the Buckeyes in this contest to pass up on. Bet on Ohio State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Nebraska @ Iowa 12:00 PM ET

Game# 123-124

Play On: Iowa -9.5 (10*)

Nebraska is coming off last Saturday’s 9-6 home win over Michigan State. That victory improved the Cornhuskers record to 4-7 and all 4 wins occurred on their home field. Iowa is coming off a 63-0 blowout win at Illinois in a game in which they covered as a 16.0-point road favorite. The combination of these teams results in their last games sets up an extremely successful college football point-spread betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any conference home favorite of 34.0-points or less (Iowa) that’s coming off a conference ATS win as an away favorite of 7.0-points or more in which they held their opponent scoreless, and they’re facing a team (Nebraska) that wasn’t shutout in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 32-2 ATS (94.1%) since 1992. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Cincinnati @ Central Florida 8:00 PM ET

Game# 353-354

Play On: Central Florida -7.0 (10*)

Central Florida is coming off last Saturday’s 35-24 win over Navy. That victory improved their season record to a perfect 9-0. Cincinnati is coming off last week’s 35-23 win over South Florida. The Bearcats head into this huge American Athletic Conference showdown with an impressive 9-1 record.

Any home favorite of 3.5 to 11.0-points (UCF) with an undefeated record that’s playing after Game 9 of the season, and they’re coming off a win by 38 points or less while scoring 21 points or more, versus an opponent with at least 1 loss on the season, and they’re coming off a win in which they scored 31 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1988. The average margin of victory in those contests came by a decisive margin of 19.5 points per game. Bet on Central Florida minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest 12:00 PM ET

Game# 321-322

Play On: Pittsburgh -6.0 (5*)

Wake Forest is coming off a huge conference upset of NC State in their previous game and they did so as a sizable 18.5-point road underdog. That upset victory improved the Demon Deacons season record to 5-5 (.500).

Pittsburgh enters this week on a 3-game win streak which bettered its season record to 6-4 (.600) in addition to 4-1 in ACC action. That recent surge has put the Panthers in the driver’s season for a berth in the ACC Championship game as longs as they win their final 2 regular season games. That seemed highly improbable after they were shellacked by Central Florida 45-14 and Penn State 51-6 during the non-conference portion of their schedule. The Panthers will be a highly motivated bunch on Saturday.

Any conference road favorite (Pittsburgh) of 3.5-points or more with a win percentage of .500 or better that’s coming off 2 or more wins in a row, and they’re facing an opponent with a win percentage of .222 or better that’s coming off a conference away underdog of 13.5-points or greater straight up win, resulted in those road favorites going 26-5 ATS (83.9%) since 1980. Bet on Pittsburgh minus the points for a 5* wager.