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College Football Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-12-20	Wisconsin -2 v. Iowa	Top	7-28	Loss	-109	43 h 1 m	Show
Wisconsin @ Iowa 3:30 PM ET Game# 385-386 *Play On: Wisconsin -2.0 (10)** This opening line and the following substantial line movement really caught my eye. Wisconsin opened as a 3.0-point road underdog and at the time of this writing they have moved all the way to a 2.0-point road favorite. Of curse I checked Iowa’s injury list and COVID-19 situation to see if something within those categories prompted this large of a move but there was nothing of the sort. Iowa enters this contest on a 5- game win streak. However, their wins have come over 5 Big 10 Conference opponents that enter this week with a cumulative 10-20 record and all currently have losing records. Wisconsin has lost 2 straight and scored only a combined 13 points in those defeats. However, they were plagued by 7 turnovers committed during those 2 games. Another words, they stopped themselves more so than opposing defenses did. On a positive note, the 2-2 Badgers have been outstanding on defense while allowing a mere 12.3 points and 229.3yards per game. Iowa is solid offensively, but they are far from a juggernaut. Bet on Wisconsin for a 10* Top Play.
12-12-20	Georgia v. Missouri +13.5		49-14	Loss	-110	41 h 1 m	Show
Georgia @ Missouri 12:10 PM ET Game# 305-306 *Play On: Missouri +13.5 (5)** Let me start by saying that Georgia is unequivocally the more talented team in this matchup. However, the Bulldogs had higher aspirations before the season began than what they have attained heading into their regular season finale. Yes, they are 6-2, but they won’t be playing in the SEC Title Game and or the College Football 4-Team Playoff which was their main 2 goals. Conversely, Missouri has rebounded from an 0-2 start to win 5 of its last 6 games. By doing so they catapulted themselves into the AP Poll Top 25. Since losing their home opener to #1 Alabama, Miami has won 4 straight at home. This will be a Tigers team that will be highly motivated and inspired. Bet on Missouri plus the points for a 5* wager.
12-05-20	Fresno State +6.5 v. Nevada		26-37	Loss	-108	24 h 6 m	Show
Fresno State @ Nevada 9:00 PM ET Game# 389-390 *Play On: Fresno State +6.5 (5)** Nevada is coming off their first defeat of the season in a 24-21 upset loss at Hawaii which spoiled their surprising 5-0 start. Fresno Sate also suffered their only loss to Hawaii in their season opener. However, since that time they've gone 3-0 SU&ATS and won by 17.7 points per game. The Bulldogs also haven't played since 11/14 due to a pair of COVID-19 related cancellations. The positive thing to take away from that layoff is they should be fresh and relatively healthy. Fresno will also be out to reveng last season's 35-28 home loss to Nevada. I wouldn't be shocked at all to see an outright upset in this contest. Nonetheless, I won't get greedy and take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Fresno State plus the points for a 5* wager.
12-05-20	BYU -10 v. Coastal Carolina	Top	17-22	Loss	-115	21 h 35 m	Show
Coastal Carolina @ BYU 5:30 PM ET Game# 493-494 *Play On: BYU -10.0 (10)** This is a situation that I have to trust my eyes and professional intuition. I firmly believe that BYU could have at the very least competed for a title in any Power 5 Conference if afforded the oppotunity. Regarding strength of schedules neither of these teams rates highly. However, my personal eye test indicates that BYU is the more physical team on both sides of the ball and especially so on the interior line. BYU quarterback Zach Wilson is an NFL quarterback waiting to happen. Coastal Carolina relies heavily on their run game to move the ball with 65% of their offensive plays this season being rushing attempts. Conversely, BYU allows a mere 88 yards per game on the ground and just 2.9 yards per rushing attempt. This line speaks volumes to me with the #9 Cougars as a double-digit road favorite against the #14 and undefeated Coastal Carolina. Bet on BYU minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
12-05-20	Oklahoma State v. TCU +2.5		22-29	Win	100	16 h 11 m	Show
Oklahoma State @ TCU 5:00 PM Game# 393-394 *Play On: TCU +2.5 (5)** The Oklahoma State defense that looked so stout at the beginning of the season has exponentially regressed of late. Specifically, they allowed 41 points or greater in 3 of its last 4 games. The #19 Cowboys are 2-2 in their previous 4 games and failed to cover on each occasion. After starting 1-3, TCU has rebounded to win 3 of their last 4 games. They are coming off a 59-23 blowout win over Kansas. Any college football home team playing after Game 7 of their season, and is coming off a conference win by 35 points or more, versus an opponent (Oklahoma State) that is not undefeated, resulted in those home teams going 45-4 (91.8%) straight up since 2017. The straight up betting angle takes on added significance since it supports the home underdog in this contest. Bet on TCU for a 5* wager.
12-05-20	Memphis +3 v. Tulane		21-35	Loss	-107	15 h 2 m	Show
Memphis @ Tulane 12:00 PM ET Game# 429-430 *Play On: Memphis +3.0 (5)** Memphis is coming off wins by scored of 56-14 and 10-7 during their previous 2 games. Conversely, Tulane is coming off a 30-24 loss to Tulsa. The combination of those 3 results sets up a an unblemished straight up betting angle displayed below. Any college football road team (Memphis) coming off 2 straight games in which they allowed 14 points or fewer, and they are facing a conference opponent (Tulane) coming off a loss by 6 points or less, resulted in those road teams going 24-0 straight up since 2013. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-28-20	LSU v. Texas A&M -14.5	Top	7-20	Loss	-108	20 h 13 m	Show
LSU @ Texas A&M 7:00 PM ET Game# 235-236 *Play On: Texas A&M -14.5 (10)** Thee first college football playoff rankings came out this week and 5-1 Texas A&M is #5. The Aggies can justify their ranking with a decisive win over defending national champion LSU on Saturday night. LSU is a mediocre 3-3 and is a shell of the team they were a season ago. The Tigers are coming off a gratifying 27-24 win at Arkansas. However, they are 0-2 SU&ATS this season following a win and allowed a combined 93 points in those losses to Missouri and Auburn. As a matter of fact, LSU has allowed 44 points or more and 506 yards or greater in all 3 of their losses this season. They will be facing a Texas A&M offense which has averaged 39.8 points scored and 460.0 yards gained during their current 4-gamee win streak. The Aggies only loss this season came at the hands of #1 Alabama. Texas A&M will also be out to revenge a humiliating 50-7 loss at LSU last season. The Aggies will enter this game with plenty of rest as they take the field for a first time in 3 weeks. Bet on Texas A&M minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
11-28-20	Rutgers v. Purdue -11		37-30	Loss	-105	18 h 51 m	Show
Rutgers @ Purdue 4:00 PM ET Game# 193-194 *Play On: Purdue -11.0 (5)** After starting the season with what was then a huge upset win at Michigan State, Rutgers has preceded to lose its next 4 games. The latest of which was a gut wrenching 48-42 home loss in overtime versus Michigan in a game they squandered a 17-0 lead. After winning their first 2 games, Purdue has lost 2 straight by narrow to #11 Northwestern 27-20, and then last week at Minnesota 34-31 in a game they outgained the Golden Gophers by 98 yards. The Boilermakers will be reenergized on Saturday with star wide receiver Rondell Moore back into the mix. In his season debut at Minnesota last week, Moore amassed 15 receptions for 116 yards. If there was a silver lining during his absence it was fellow wide receiver David Bell who has hauled in 39 catches for 425 yards and 6 touchdowns during the Boilermakers first 4 games. Bet on Purdue minus the points for a 5* wager.
11-28-20	Auburn v. Alabama -24		13-42	Win	100	19 h 27 m	Show
Auburn @ Alabama 3:30 PM ET Game# 229-230 *Play On: Alabama -24.0 (5)** The Crimson Tide will also be playing with big time revenge due to a 48-45 loss at Auburn last year. The Auburn defensive unit has not been the dominant force they were in recent years evidence by the allowing 402.9 yards per game. The Tigers stop unit will bee facing an Alabama offense that averages 49.4 points scored and 548.6 yards gained per game. After a shaky start to the season, the Crimson Tide defense has been dominant over their previous 3 outings while allowing 6.7 points and 227.0 yards per game. Alabama enters this week 7-0 and as the top ranked team in the country. Additionally, there last 3 wins have com by 31 points or mor and they outscored those opponents by an enormous margin of 152-20. This sets up an extremely profitable college football ATS betting angle displayed below. Any college football home favorite of 21.5 to 31.0 that is coming off 3 straight wins by 21 points or more and is playing after Game 5 of their season, resulted in those sizable home favorites going 25-7 ATS (78.1%) since 2008. Bet on Alabama minus the points for a 5* wager.
11-28-20	Georgia Southern v. Georgia State +0.5		24-30	Win	100	14 h 25 m	Show
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State 12:00 PM ET Game# 157-158 *Play On: Georgia State (Pick) (5)** This line jumped off the page at me when I saw 4-4 Georgia State open as a small favorite versus a Georgia Southern team that is 6-3. Upon further investigation, mainly through my trusted and powerful 4D handicapping software, it certainly made sense. Georgia State is coming off a 31-14 away win over South Alabama and easily covered as a 3.5-point favorite. Georgia State enters this week having gone 14-14 straight up in their last 28 home games. This creates a powerful college football betting angle listed below. Any college football conference pick or favorite of 13.5 or less that is playing after Game 8 of their season, and they are coming off a an away favorite ATS win in which it covered by 4.0 or more, and they have won 13 or more of their last 28 at home, versus an opponent (Georgia Southern) with a win percentage of .444 or better, resulted in those home teams going 26-1 straight up (96.3%) and 24-3 ATS (88.9%) since 2017. Bet on Georgia State for a 5* wager.
11-28-20	Maryland +12 v. Indiana		11-27	Loss	-109	15 h 29 m	Show
Maryland @ Indiana 12:00 PM ET Game# 191-192 *Play On: Maryland +12.0 (5)** Maryland is coming off straight up wins in their previous 2 games and both came as a double-digit underdog. This will also be a Maryland team which that is playing its first game in 3 weeks on Saturday following 2 straight cancellations due to positive COVID-19 tests. On the other hand, Indiana is coming off an emotional 7-point loss at Ohio State in a game they were a large 21.0-points underdog. The Hoosiers also expended a ton of emotional energy while rallying and nearly overcoming a 35-7 second half deficit. Prior to that they had knocked off long-time nemesis Michigan State and Michigan. Up next for the #12 Hoosiers is a date at #18 Wisconsin. Can you say flat spot? Maryland is coming off 2 consecutive wins which improved their season record to 2-1 (.667). They will be facing an Indiana team coming off a 42-35 loss at #3 Ohio State. This sets up an outstanding college football betting angle that is shown below. Any college football away underdog of 8.0 to 14.0 with a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent (Indiana) coming off a conference loss by 7 points or fewer, and that opponent (Indiana) also has a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those away underdogs going 17-3 ATS (85%) since 2000. Bet on Maryland plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-27-20	Oregon v. Oregon State +13.5		38-41	Win	100	10 h 39 m	Show
Oregon @ Oregon State 7:30 PM ET Game# 139-140 *Play On: Oregon State +13.5 (5)** Despite their 1-2 record, Oregon State appears to me as an improved team compared to what we witnessed in recent seasons. Oregon State has averaged a respectable 26.4 points scored and 354 yards gained per game. Conversely, notwithstanding of their #9 ranking and 3-0 record, Oregon has shown a vulnerability defensively. The Ducks defense has allowed their first 3 opponents to rack up an average of 432.0 yards per game. Oregon State is also coming off a momentum building 31-27 home win over California in their previous outing in a game they were a 1.0-point underdog. Bet on Oregon State plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-21-20	Oklahoma State +7 v. Oklahoma		13-41	Loss	-105	29 h 32 m	Show
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma 7:30 PM ET Game# 401-402 Play On: Oklahoma State +7.0 This will be the toughest defense that Oklahoma would have faced this season. The Cowboys have allowed 21 points or fewer in 5 of its 6 games this season. The only exception came in their lone loss which came in overtime versus Texas. The Oklahoma State offense has been as high scoring as we have seen under head coach Mike Gundy, but still has gained a sizable 461 yards or more in 3 of its last 4 games. Spence Sanders is a better than average quarterback and star running back Chuba Hubbard is an absolute stud. The Oklahoma defense has shown improvement from a season ago but at the same time remains vulnerable. The Sooners have allowed 37 points or greater on 3 separate occasion this year and 400 yards or more 4 times. Oklahoma State has gone a profitable 3-1 ATS in their last 4 visits to Norman. Bet on Oklahoma State plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-21-20	Liberty v. NC State -3.5	Top	14-15	Loss	-110	28 h 26 m	Show
Liberty @ NC State 7:30 PM ET Game# 359-360 *Play On: NC State -3.5 (10)** If NC State even contemplated taking Liberty lightly all they need to do is use Virginia Tech as a lesson not to do so. Liberty went into Blacksburg earlier this season and defeated Virginia Tech 38-35 as a 17.0-point underdog. This certainly will be a bigger game for upstart Liberty while seeking their 2nd win over a Power 5 Conference school this season. However, NC State has unequivocally played the tougher schedule and combined with my previous point made should have no excuse on Saturday to come up with nothing less than a huge effort. Liberty is coming off a 58-14 blowout win over West Carolina and that improved their season record to 8-0. Conversely, Virginia Tech is coming off a 38-22 win over Florida State which now makes them 5-3 this season. The combination of this data sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football home favorite of 2.0 or more that has at least 1 loss on the season, and they scored 22 points or greater during its previous game, versus an undefeated opponent that is playing after Game 8 of their season who allowed 27 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1990. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests was 20.3 points per game. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
11-21-20	Wisconsin v. Northwestern +7.5		7-17	Win	100	24 h 29 m	Show
Wisconsin @ Northwestern 3:30 PM ET Game# 395-396 *Play On: Northwestern +7.5 (5)** Northwestern is off to a 4-0 start which includes quality road wins at Iowa and Purdue. Wisconsin has played only 2 games due to COVID-19 outbreaks but has been extremely impressive in win over Illinois 45-7 and Michigan 49-11. However, Northwestern has held their own against Wisconsin over the past 25 years. Since 1995, Northwestern has gone 14-5 ATS against the Badgers and won 9 of those 19 encounters straight up. As a matter of fact, the Wildcats are 5-1 ATS and 3-3 straight up in their last 6 games versus Wisconsin and all under the watchful eye of current head coach Pat Fitzgerald. The Wildcats have allowed 20 points or fewer in each of their 4 games and all have come against fellow Big 10 Conference teams. They have also forced an impressive 10 turnovers during those 4 wins. Northwestern will be able to stay in this game throughout due to the stellar play of their stingy defense. I would not be shocked at all to see an outright upset in this game, but I will not be greedy or foolish and take the points. Bet on Northwestern plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-21-20	Cincinnati v. Central Florida +6		36-33	Win	100	24 h 23 m	Show
Cincinnati @ Central Florida 3:30 PM ET Game# 343-344 *Play On: Central Florida +6.0 (5)** This will be unequivocally the best defense that UCF has faced this season. Conversely, this will also be the most dymamic offense that Cincinnati has faced so far. As a matter of fact, UCF is # in the country in total offense while gaining 619.1 yards per game. Another factor to consider in the speed of which the UCF offense plays. The Golden Knights average an enormous 87 offensive plays per game. On the other hand, the most offensive plays that the Cincinnati defense has been asked to defend this season was 85 against SMU. As a matter of fact, Cincinnati opponents this season have averaged only 71 offensive plays per game against them. Central Florida is coming off a 38-13 blowout win over Temple in their previous game. Since 2017, the Golden Knights have gone 11-0 straight up and 10-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed 14 points or fewer. Furthermore, UCF enters this week having won 25 straight home games against all team not named Tulsa. Finally, my wild card is this contest will be Central Florida quarterback Dillon Gabriel. The left-handed sophomore is averaging a plentiful 396.3 passing yards per game while throwing for 23 touchdowns against only 2 interceptions. Bet on Central Florida plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-21-20	Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina -4		23-34	Win	100	21 h 56 m	Show
Appalachian State @ Coastal Carolina 12:00 PM ET Game# 347-348 *Play On: Coastal Carolina -4.0 (5)** Coastal Carolina is coming off a 23-6 conference win over South Alabama. That win improved their season record to a perfect 7-0. Appalachian State enters this week on a 5-game win streak and their last 4 all came against fellow Sun Belt Conference teams. Any college football conference home favorite of 3.5 to 9.0 that is coming off a conference win, and owns a win percentage of .571 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .666 or better that is coming off 3 or more wins in a row including the most recent one coming against a conference opponent, resulted in those home favorites going an outstanding 50-13 ATS (79.3%) since 1997. Bet on Coastal Carolina minus the points for a 5* wager.
11-18-20	Toledo v. Eastern Michigan +7		45-28	Loss	-110	9 h 51 m	Show
Toledo @ Eastern Michigan 7:00 PM ET Game# 311-312 *Play On: Eastern Michigan +7.0 (5)** The last 3 meeting between these teams were all decided by 5 points or fewer. Eastern Michigan is coming off back to back conference road losses by scores of 27-23 and 38-31. They covered on each of those occasions as an underdog. Toledo is coming off an excruciating 41-38 loss at Western Michigan. The Rockets inexplicably blew a 38-27 loss with less than a minute to play in that contest. That loss now makes Toledo 0-5 SU&ATS in conference away games since the start of last season. Any college football home team that is coming off conference losses by 7 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 40-22 straight up since 2011. Considering this college football straight up betting angle backs the underdog in this game it takes on added significance. Bet on Eastern Michigan plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-14-20	Arkansas v. Florida -17	Top	35-63	Win	100	22 h 57 m	Show
Arkansas @ Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 137-138 *Play On: Florida -17.0 (10)** At first glance when looking at this line on Monday, my initial feeling was Florida would be in for an emotional letdown after defeating Georgia for a first time in 4 tries during its previous game. However, that win catapulted them to #6 in the country, and if they aspire to be in the SEC title game or the College Football 4-team Playoff, they have no room for error. Additionally, they are going to need some style points along the way. Arkansas has been a nice story this season under first year head coach Sam Pittman. After being an SEC laughingstock for the past few seasons, the Razorbacks are a respectable 3-3 and are a perfect 6-0 ATS in those contests. It is highly improbable that Florida will overlook this game in lieu of what they have at stake and how competitive of an opponent they will be facing. Furthermore, the Razorbacks will be without head coach Sam Pittman who tested positive for COVID-19 this week. Former Missouri head coach and now Arkansas defensive coordinator will take on the temporary head coaching duties. From an emotional standpoint, that will affect the Razorbacks in some way, shape, or form. I look for Florida to make a further emphatic statement in “The Swamp” on Saturday night. Bet on Florida minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
11-14-20	Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech -2		25-24	Loss	-115	17 h 14 m	Show
Miami @ Virginia Tech 12:00 PM ET Game# 155-157 *Play On: Virginia Tech -2.0 (5)** Virginia tech was a substantial 17.0-point home favorite last week as an unranked team against upstart #25 Liberty. The Hokies let their guard down and were knocked off by Liberty 38-35. Nevertheless, they has not deterred the books from making them an unranked favorite again this week and this time versus #9 Miami. The Hurricanes are enjoying a 6-1 season to this point with their lone defeat coming at Clemson. They barely escaped with a 44-41 win at NC State in their last game and needed a late rally to win as a road favorite of -11.0. The Canes have allowed an alarmingly high 39.0 points and 492.0 yards per contest throughout their 3 road games this season. They will be facing a balanced and explosive Virginia Tech offense. I look for the Hokies to bounce back with a huge effort on Saturday. Bet on Virginia Tech for a 5* wager.
11-14-20	Indiana v. Michigan State +7.5		24-0	Loss	-110	17 h 12 m	Show
Indiana @ Michigan State 12:00 PM ET Game# 163-164 *Play On: Michigan State +7.5 (5)** Indiana is coming off an emotional 38-21 win over Michigan. In doing so, they snapped a 24-game losing streak versus Michigan and won for a first time since 1987. Now they go on the road as a touchdown favorite against a Michigan State team that was embarrassed last week during a 49-7 defeat at Iowa as just a 5.0-point underdog. Additionally, Indiana has #3 Ohio State up next. This looks like the proverbial flat spot for #10 Indiana. Bet on Michigan State plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-11-20	Toledo v. Western Michigan -2		38-41	Win	100	10 h 23 m	Show
Toledo @ Western Michigan 8:00 PM ET Game# 119-120 *Play On: Western Michigan -2.0 (5)** Toledo has gone an abysmal 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as an away underdog, and that includes 0-7 ATS if they scored 28 points or more during their previous game. Conversely, Western Michigan has won 7 straight at home and that includes going 5-1 ATS versus FBS opponents. Western Michigan will be seeking big time revenge after going 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games against Toledo. Both teams are coming off blowout wins in their season openers played last Wednesday. Toledo defeated Bowling Green 38-3 and covered easily as a 23.5-point home favorite. Western Michigan shellacked Akron 58-13 while covering comfortably as a 20.5-point away favorite. These results set up a profitable college football betting angle displayed below. Any college football conference home favorite of 9.5 or less that is coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 10.0-points or more, and they are facing an opponent coming off a conference home favorite ATS win in which they also covered by 10.0 or greater, resulted in those home favorites going 21-8 ATS (72.4%) since 1984. Bet on Western Michigan plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-07-20	Baylor v. Iowa State -13.5	Top	31-38	Loss	-115	22 h 23 m	Show
Baylor @ Iowa State 7:00 PM ET Game# 345-346 *Play On: Iowa State -13.5 (10)** It is clear at this point that Baylor is nowhere near the caliber of team that they were a season ago under current Carolina Panthers head coach Matt Ruhle. Iowa State is better than their present 4-2 record indicates. Iowa State is averaging 433.3 yards of total offense per game. The Cyclones are coming off a 52-22 blowout win at Kansas in a game they outgained the Jayhawks by 302 total yards. Baylor is allowing 371.8 yards per game. The combination of this data sets up a terrific college football betting angle displayed below. Any college football home favorite of between 10.5 to 21.0 points that is coming off a game in which they outgained their opponent by 125 yards or more, and that home favorite is facing an opponent which is allowing between 330 to 390 yards per game, resulted in those home favorites going 25-2 ATS since 2011. The average line in those 27 contests was 15.2 and those favorites outscored the underdogs by a substantial 24.9 points per game. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
11-07-20	Florida +3 v. Georgia		44-28	Win	100	19 h 60 m	Show
Florida vs. Georgia 3:30 PM ET Game# 381-382 *Play On: Florida +3.0 (5)** Georgia has been excellent defensively this season except in their 41-24 loss to Alabama. The Crimson Tide racked up an enormous 564 yards of total offense in that contest which included 417 through the air. Now Georgia has the task of attempting a red-hot Florida offense led quarterback Kyle Trask that has averaged 42.0 points scored and 476.5 yards gained per game. The Gators defense has been suspect thus far but they are coming of its best effort of the season in holding Missouri to 248 yards during a 41-17 win. The Gators will be playing with big time revenge after losing to Georgia in each of the previous 3 seasons. Georgia has also committed 7 turnovers over the past 3 games and has received inconsistent play from quarterback Stetson Bennett. Florida will be able to score on this stout Georgia defense and the Bulldogs will not have the offense to keep up. Bet on Florida plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-07-20	Liberty v. Virginia Tech -16.5		38-35	Loss	-110	15 h 22 m	Show
Liberty @ Virginia Tech 12:00 PM ET Game# 323-324 *Play On: Virginia Tech -16.5 (5)** We have an unranked team like Virginia Tech as a better than 2 touchdown chalk against an opponent like Liberty who is presently ranked #25 in the AP Poll. That tells me everything I need to know. As I have stated on many occasions over the past 2 few weeks, you should trust the oddsmakers implicitly over those who vote in college football national polls. Sure, Liberty is 5-0, but their wins have come over opponents that currently have a combined record of 4-26. The Hokies will totally outclass the upstart Liberty Flames and will cover this large number. Bet on Virginia Tech minus the points for a 5* wager.
11-07-20	Michigan State v. Iowa -5		7-49	Win	100	15 h 21 m	Show
Michigan State @ Iowa 12:00 PM ET Game# 349-350 *Play On: Iowa -5.0 (5)** Michigan State is coming off a stunning upset win at in state rival Michigan last Saturday and they did so as a mammoth 21.5-point underdog. However, this is the same team which opened their season two weeks ago with an equally stunning 38-27 loss to Rutgers in a game they were a home favorite of 9.5. I say equally as stunning because Rutgers had entered that contest on a 22-game Big 10 losing streak. The Spartan committed 7 turnovers in that defeat. Iowa is currently 0-2 but those defeats came by only a combined 5 points. Additionally, those 2 losses came against Purdue and Northwestern who have begun their seasons with a cumulative 4-0 record. My handicapping software goes back to 1980 and shows Iowa never beginning a season 0-3 over that 40-year span. Iowa head coach Hayden Frye has been in his current position and same locale since 1999. During his tenure, Iowa has gone 4-0 SU&ATS as a favorite of 8.5 or less following 2 consecutive losses, and they won by a decisive margin of 28.5 points per game. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 5* wager.
11-06-20	BYU v. Boise State +3.5		51-17	Loss	-110	31 h 37 m	Show
BYU @ Boise State 9:45 PM ET Game# 313-314 *Play On: Boise State +3.5 (5)** I always look find home underdogs with a strong home field. This is certainly one of those situations. Since 1987, Boise State has gone an outstanding 156-31 (.834) straight up at home. More recently, the Broncos have gone 25-3 (.893) straight up at home since 2016. BYU is 7-0 but their schedule has been far tough. Those 7 victories have come over opponents that have a current combined 18-27 (.400) and none of those games were against teams from a Power 5 Conference. Since 1999, Boise State is a very profitable 27-12 ATS (69.2%) as an underdog. Boise State is coming off 2 straight covers with both coming as a double-digit favorite. This sets up a tremendous college football straight up betting angle which is applicable to this game and supports the home underdog. Any college football home team which is coming off back to back covers as a double-digit favorite has gone 41-5 (89.1%) straight up since 2016. Bet on Boise State plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-06-20	Miami-FL v. NC State +11		44-41	Win	100	21 h 4 m	Show
Miami @ NC State 7:30 PM ET Game# 309-310 *Play On: NC State +11.0 (5)** NC State is coming off a 48-21 loss at North Carolina in their previous game and failed to cover as a 16.0-point underdog. That loss dropped their season record to 4-2 (.667). Miami is coming off wins over Pittsburgh and Virginia in their previous 2 games played. The combination of these results sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle displayed below. Any conference home underdog of 5.0 to 16.0 points that is coming off a conference away underdog ATS loss, and they possess a win percentage of .600 or better, versus an opponent that won each of their previous 2 contests, resulted in those home underdogs going 24-5 ATS (82.7%) since 2000. Additionally, those home underdogs won 13 of those 29 games straight up. Bet on NC State plus the points for a 5* wager.
10-31-20	Ohio State v. Penn State +12.5	Top	38-25	Loss	-110	51 h 11 m	Show
Ohio State @ Penn State 7:30 PM ET Game# 135-136 *Play On: Penn State +12.5 (10)** Despite losing being upset 36-35 at Indiana last week as a 7.0-point favorite, Penn State outgained the Hoosiers 488-211. Ohio State is coming off a season opening home blowout win over Nebraska. However, the Cornhuskers were able to move the ball evidenced by its 370 yards of total offense in that contest. Any college football conference home underdog of 14.0 or less that is coming off an away favorite of 7.0 or greater straight up loss in which they allowed 22 points or greater, and they are facing an opponent coming off a home win by 17 points or more, resulted in those home underdogs going 11-0 ATS since 2009. The home underdogs also won 6 of those 11 games straight up. Bet on Penn State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
10-31-20	Virginia Tech -3 v. Louisville		42-35	Win	100	48 h 30 m	Show
Virginia Tech @ Louisville 4:00 PM ET Game# 121-122 *Play On: Virginia Tech -3.0 (5)** The difference in this game will be the Virginia Tech offensive rushing attack. The Hokies are averaging a robust 292.0 yards per game rushing and that includes a sizable 6.5 yards per attempt. They will be facing a Louisville defense which has allowed their opponents to rush for 230 yards per contest including a lofty 5.6 yards per attempt over their previous 3 games. Virginia Tech is coming off a 23-16 loss at Wake Forest in a game they closed as a 10.5-point favorite. Conversely, Louisville is coming off a 49-16 blowout win ober Florida State while easily covering as a 5.0-point home favorite. The combination of those results and this current point-spread produces an unbeaten college football betting angle displayed below. Any college football road favorite of 1.5 or greater that is coming off a straight up loss as an away favorite of 12.5 or less, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite cover and they have a win percentage of .500 or worse, resulted in those road favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1998. The average margin of victory for those road teams came by a decisive 22.8 points per game. Bet on Virginia Tech minus the points for a 5* wager.
10-31-20	Kansas State v. West Virginia -3.5		10-37	Win	100	43 h 30 m	Show
Kansas State @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 *Play On: West Virginia -3.5 (5)** This is a classic example of an unranked team like West Virginia being installed as a favorite versus a ranked (#16) team in Kansas State. I unequivocally trust the oddsmakers evaluation of team than those individuals voting in the weekly polls. West Virginia is a perfect 3-0 at home this season and that includes 2 wins over Big 12 opponents. They have been stingy on defense since the season began but even more so at home where the Mountaineers have allowed 16.0 points and 206,0 yards per game. Contrarily, the Kansas State defense has allowed 427.6 yards per game during their 4-1 start to the season. The West Virginia offense is more than capable of exploiting the weaknesses of a defense that has stopped opponents more so because of turnovers than anything else. Bet on West Virginia minus the points for a 5* wager.
10-29-20	South Alabama +4.5 v. Georgia Southern		17-24	Loss	-110	22 h 1 m	Show
South Alabama @ Georgia Southern 7:30 PM ET Game# 103-104 *Play On: South Alabama +4.5 (5)** Georgia Southern is coming off a 28-14 loss at Coastal Carolina which dropped their season record to 3-2 (.600). South Alabama is coming off wins in each of their previous 2 games which improved their season mark to 3-2 (.600) and that includes 4-1 ATS. Any college football away underdog that is playing before Game 11 of their season, and has a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Georgia Southern) coming off a road loss who owns a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those away underdogs going 21-1 ATS (.954) since 1991. The away underdogs also won 13 of those 22 games straight up. Bet on South Alabama plus the points for a 5* wager.
10-24-20	Cincinnati v. SMU -2.5		42-13	Loss	-109	28 h 21 m	Show
Cincinnati @ SMU 9:00 PM ET Game# 347-348 *Play On: SMU -2.5 (5)** The Cincinnati defense is superior to that of SMU. The SMU offense is far more explosive compared to their Saturday night opponent. The difference for me in this played is an experienced senior quarterback Shane Buchelle who has played in plenty of big games as a starter for both SMU and Texas. As a matter of fact, Buchelle was a 5* recruit coming out of the elite Texas high school football ranks. The Mustangs come in as the lower ranked team despite playing the tougher schedule and a perfect 5-0 record. Any college football home team that is coming off 5 or more straight up wins in a row, and both teams in the contest have a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those home teams going 28-3 straight up since 2016. The home teams outscored their 31 visiting opponents by an average of 14.9 points per game. Considering the small number we are being asked to cover, this college football straight up betting angle takes on added significance. Bet on SMU for a 5* wager.
10-24-20	Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh +10		45-3	Loss	-110	23 h 3 m	Show
Notre Dame @ Pittsburgh 3:30 PM ET Game# 317-318 *Play On: Pittsburgh +10.0 (5)** The Panthers have held their own against Notre Dame over the past decade. This year should be no different. The offensive strength for Notre Dame is their running which is evident when looking at its 261.0 rush yards per game average. Conversely, the Pittsburgh defense allows a mere 62 rushing yards per game which includes an outstand 1.9 yards per attempt. As a matter of fact, the Panthers defense is allowing just 20.3 points and 275.0 yards per game. Notre Dame is coming off an uninspiring 12-7 home win over Louisville in a game they were never close to covering as a 15.5-point home favorite. The Irish do not meet my eye test pertaining to their current #3 nationally ranking. The Panthers defense will get enough stops to keep their time inside the number. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 5* wager.
10-24-20	Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +11		16-23	Win	100	23 h 52 m	Show
Virginia Tech @ Wake Forest 3:30 PM ET Game# 323-324 *Play On: Wake Forest +11.0 (5)** This line opened at 7.0 and has skyrocketed to 11.0 as Virginia Tech seems to be a public darling. Make no mistake, the Hokies are very good but their chemistry has taken time to shape hold due to many positive COVID-19 tests. As a matter of fact, their defense has performed poorly thus far. The only reason they were not further exposed during last Saturday’s 40-14 win over Boston College is because it was able to force 5 turnovers. The Wake Forest defense is also a weakness. Nevertheless, the Demon Deacons offense will be more than productive enough to keep this game competitive throughout. Bet on Wake Forest plus the points for a 5* wager.
10-24-20	Iowa State +3 v. Oklahoma State		21-24	Push	0	23 h 51 m	Show
Iowa State @ Oklahoma State 3:30 Game# 349-350 *Play On: Iowa State +3.0 (5)** Since Matt Campbell has taken over as head coach of Iowa State, he has had his Cyclones ready to play when facing elite competition. This will be another one of those instances on Saturday when facing #6 Oklahoma State. Iowa State has been stout against the run defensively and that will be one of the keys in getting this cover. The Cyclones are also an extremely balanced offense between run and pass. It’s close to a 50/50 balance between running and passing plays in addition to yards gained doing each. Oklahoma State has been superb defensively but has not faced the level of competition that Iowa State has played thus far. The other key to our cover will be Iowa State junior quarterback Brock Purdy who can beat you with his arm or legs. Bet on Iowa State plus the points for a 5* wager.
10-24-20	NC State v. North Carolina -14.5	Top	21-48	Win	100	19 h 19 m	Show
NC State @ North Carolina 12:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 *Play On: North Carolina -14.5 (10)** The first thing that jumped out at me was the double-digit point-spread. Especially when consider North Carolina heads into this week ranked 14th and NC State comes in at #23. It seems the sportsbooks are begging you to take the underdog. I know that a high percentage of bettors will take the bait considering North Carolina was upset at Florida State last week as a 14.0-point favorite, and NC State has gone 3-0 SU&ATS since losing to Virginia Tech 45-24. Speaking of Virginia Tech, North Carolina beat them 56-45 just 2 weeks ago while racking up an enormous 558 yards of total offense. NC State turned the ball over 3 times in their previous game. Since 2018, the Wolfpack have gone 0-7 SU&ATS following a game in which they committed 3 or more turnovers and lost by an average of 23.1 points per contest. Bet on North Carolina minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
10-17-20	Georgia +5 v. Alabama		24-41	Loss	-110	25 h 42 m	Show
Georgia @ Alabama 8:00 PM ET Game# 165-166 *Play On: Georgia +5.0 (5)** In my professional opinion Georgia is unequivocally the best defense in college football this season. During their 3-0 start they have defeated Arkansas, Auburn, and Tennessee while allowing just 12.3 points and 236.7 yards per game. This 2020 version of the Alabama defense is not what we have been used to witnessing during recent seasons. The Crimson Tide is a perfect 3-0 but they are allowing 30.0 points and 473.0 yards per game. As a matter of fact, during their 63-48 win over Ole Miss last Saturday they surrendered 647 yards to the Rebels. Georgia is not a dynamic offense, but they are extremely efficient and effective. The Bulldogs are averaging 36,0 points and 430.0 yards per game. I would not be shocked at all to see Georgia win this game, but I will not get greedy and take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Georgia plus the points for a 5* wager.
10-17-20	Texas A&M v. Mississippi State +5.5	Top	28-14	Loss	-110	21 h 38 m	Show
Texas A&M @ Mississippi State 4:00 PM ET Game# 143-144 *Bet On: Mississippi State +5.5 (10)** This is a dangerous spot for Texas A&M after they pulled of a home upset over then #3 Florida last week. As a matter of fact, the Aggies last 2 games have come against #2 Alabama and the previously mentioned contest versus Florida. Now they face a Mississippi State team which is coming off a pair of disappointing losses to Arkansas and Kentucky after beginning their season with an upset win at LSU. As the old cliché goes, “beware of the wounded animal”. I just can not envision Texas A&M coming close to the same intensity level they had in their last games which came against Top 10 ranked teams. Despite suffering 2 straight losses, the Bulldogs outgained both those opponents by 125 and 136 yards. The problem was, they committed an alarmingly high 10 turnovers in those defeats and now have 14 in their first 3 games. I just do not see the volume of mistakes continuing to occur on Saturday. Furthermore, despite the offense putting their defense in tough sports because of turnovers, the Bulldogs are allowing only 285.7 yards per game to their opponents. They have been especially strong against the run while allowing only 39 yards rushing per game. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
10-17-20	Central Florida v. Memphis +3		49-50	Win	100	20 h 14 m	Show
UCF @ Memphis 3:30 PM ET Game# 149-150 *Play On: Memphis +3.0 (5)** These are two quality teams who are both coming off a loss. The difference being UCF blew a 23-5 lead at home to Tulsa and eventually fell 34-26. On the other hand, SMU overcame a 24-0 deficit at SMU and then lost when SMU kicked a field goal as time expired resulting in a 30-27 defeat. I see that as a momentum advantage of Memphis over UCF based on how both teams finished their previous game. Additionally, since 2017, Memphis is 21-2 straight up at home and that includes winning 11 consecutive times. That alone creates ample betting value on the home underdog in this matchup. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 5* wager.
10-17-20	Louisville v. Notre Dame -16.5		7-12	Loss	-109	19 h 5 m	Show
Louisville @ Notre Dame 2:30 PM ET Game# 153-154 *Play On: Notre Dame -16.5 (5)** Louisville opened the season with a home win over Western Kentucky. Since that time, they have gone 0-3 straight up and 0-2-1 ATS with all those defeats coming against ACC opponents. The most disappointing of those losses came in their 46-27 loss to Georgia Tech last week in a game in which they were a 4.0-point road favorite. After a 2-week layoff due to COVID-19 issues, Notre Dame returned to action last Saturday with an easy 42-26 home win over Florida State. The Notre Dame defense was a bit rusty but settled down as the game progressed. Speaking of the defense, they are allowing 13.0 points per contest during a 3-0 start to the season. Look for the Notre Dame stop unit to take advantage of a Louisville team which has committed a whopping 11 turnovers through their first 4 games. Notre Dame is averaging outrushing their opponents by an average of 160 yards per game during their 3-0 start. During their previous 2 games they averaged 6.2 yards per rushing attempt against South Florida and 8.4 yards per try versus Florida State. This sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle below which supports a pick on Notre Dame. Any college football home favorite of 10.5 to 21.0 (Notre Dame) that is outrushing their opponents by an average of 60 or more yards per game on the season, and they are coming off 2 straight contests in which they averaged 6.0 or more yards per rushing attempt, resulted in those teams going 41-14 ATS (74.5%) since 1992. The average line for those 55 teams was -16.3. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 5* wager.
10-17-20	Pittsburgh v. Miami-FL -12.5		19-31	Loss	-110	17 h 36 m	Show
Pittsburgh @ Miami 12:00 PPOM ET Game# 113-114 *Play On: Miami -12.5 (5)** After a 3-0 start and a high national ranking, Miami was humbled in their blowout loss to Clemson last week in a game they were dominated on both sides of the ball. I look for the Canes to bounce back with a vengeance this week against a Pittsburgh team which comes off a pair of heartbreaking 1-point losses to NC State and Boston College who are both average at best. Miami has gone 3-0 SU&ATS this season as a favorite while winning by a decisive 24.0 points per contest. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 5* wager.
10-16-20	BYU v. Houston +5		43-26	Loss	-108	8 h 34 m	Show
BYU @ Houston 9:30 PM ET Game# 109-110 *Play On: Houston +5.0 (5)** BYU is 4-0 and nationally ranked but none of those victories have come against a team the caliber of what they will face tonight. BYU blew out their first 3 opponents, but they turned in an unimpressive performance in their last game versus UTSA. They were a massive 33.0-point home favorite in that contest but escaped with a just a narrow 7-point win. Houston finally was able to play their first game of the season last week after having several dates scheduled due to COVID-19. They got off to a slow start after falling behind 24-7 versus Tulane, then stormed back to win going away 49-31 and cover as a 6.5-point home favorite. Furthermore, they won that came handily despite committing 5 turnovers while forcing none from Tulane. This is a very experienced roster that is in year 2 of the head coaching tenure of Dana Holgorsen. I am of the opinion this is a very good Houston team that is flying under the radar at this still early juncture. Bet on Houston plus the points for a 5* wager.
10-16-20	SMU v. Tulane +7		37-34	Win	100	4 h 4 m	Show
SMU @ Tulane 6:00 PM ET Game# 107-108 *Play On: Tulane +7.0 (5)** SMU squandered a 24-0 lead in their previous game against Memphis and needed a last second field goal to ultimately win that contest 30-27. Tulane is coming off a similar type fate having blown a 24-7 lead versus Houston last week in a game they were held to a season low 70 yards rushing. However, in their prior 3 games the Green Wave rushed for 203, 265, and 430 yards. Conversely, SMU has allowed 189 yards or more rushing in al 3 games versus FBS opponents this season. I look for Tulane to lean heavily on their running game to control time of possession and limit the number of possessions for an explosive SMU offense. Bet on Tulane plus the points for a 5* underdog wager.
10-10-20	Charlotte v. North Texas +3		49-21	Loss	-110	52 h 50 m	Show
Charlotte @ North Texas 8:00 PM ET Game# 355-356 *Play On: North Texas +3.0 (5)** Although North Texas is just 1-2, their offensive numbers suggest otherwise. The Mean Green are averaging a robust 41.0 points scored and 573.7 yards gained per game. However, they have been plagued by turnovers, undisciplined penalties, and shoddy defensive play. North Texas is averaging 239 yards per game rushing. Conversely, Charlotte is allowing an average of 232 yards rushing per game and an alarmingly high 6.2 yards per carry. Sometimes the best defense is an potent offensive running game. This looks to be a textbook example of just that. Charlotte is 0-2 but covered both of those contests as an underdog. Recent college football betting history suggests teams in this precise situation have been a fade when cast as a favorite. Any college football home team that is facing an opponent off 2 consecutive losses which they covered as an underdog on both occasions, resulted in this home teams going 31-5 straight up since 2016. The straight up results take on added significance since this betting angle backs the home underdog. Bet on North Texas plus the points for a 5* wager.
10-10-20	Miami-FL v. Clemson -14	Top	17-42	Win	100	51 h 48 m	Show
Miami @ Clemson 7:30 PM ET Game# 317-318 *Play On: Clemson -14.0 (10)** Both teams come in with unblemished 3-0 records. Nonetheless, Miami is 3-0 ATS during those contests while Clemson failed to cover as a double-digit favorite on each occasion. However, it must be noted, the defending ACC Champion Tigers were a favorite of 28.0 or greater in all those contests. Truth be told, they sleepwalked through each of those victories and obviously looked uninspired while playing vastly inferior opposition. That will not be the case with #7 Miami and their star transfer quarterback D’Eriq King coming to Death Valley. Bet on Clemson minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
10-10-20	Mississippi State +2 v. Kentucky		2-24	Loss	-110	51 h 56 m	Show
Mississippi State @ Kentucky 7:30 PM ET Game# 307-308 *Play On: Mississippi State +2.0 (5)** After stunning the defending national champion LSU Tigers as a 17.0-point underdog in their season opener Mississippi State was on the opposite side of that spectrum in a stunning loss to Arkansas as a 17.0-point home favorite. Even more humiliating for the Bulldogs is it enabled Arkansas to snap an abysmal 20-game SEC losing streak. Now they find themselves as a road underdog against an 0-2 Kentucky team that has been a bit of a disappointment to start the season. Kentucky has an extremely strong rushing attack. However, the defensive strength of the Bulldogs defense has been their ability to stop the run evidenced by them allowing just 1.9 yards per rushing attempt in their first 2 games. Furthermore, Mississippi State has passed for an abundant 946 yards thus far. Conversely, the Kentucky defense is allowing an atrocious 9.9 yards per pass attempt thus far. Bet on Mississippi State for a 5* wager.
10-10-20	Tennessee +12.5 v. Georgia		21-44	Loss	-109	46 h 15 m	Show
Tennessee @ Georgia 3:30 PM ET Game# 321-322 *Play On: Tennessee +12.5 (5)** This is the chance Tennessee has been looking for. A chance prove they are indeed for real. Since starting last season 2-5, Tennessee has reeled off 8 consecutive wins which includes conference wins over South Carolina and Missouri in 2020. They will be facing a highly ranked SEC opponent in Georgia that may be getting caught in a vulnerable spot. The #3 Bulldogs are coming off a dominating win at home over Auburn last week and they travel to Tuscaloosa a week from Saturday to take on #2 Alabama. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 5* wager.
10-10-20	Virginia Tech +4.5 v. North Carolina		45-56	Loss	-110	42 h 11 m	Show
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina 12:00 PM ET Game# 319-320 *Play On: Virginia Tech +4.5 (5)** North Carolina has hardly appeared to me as a #8 team in the country from what I witness during their first 2 games. They beat a below average Syracuse team in their season opener 31-3. However, that was a 10-6 game headed into the final quarter. Last week they narrowly escaped with a 26-22 win at Boston College. Virginia Tech is 2-0 after wins over Duke and NC State to start the season. The Hokies ran for over 300 yards in both of those contests. Additionally, they will get their #1 quarterback Hendon Hooker back for a first time this season after being forced to sit out under COVID-19 protocol regulations. Despite the defense being hit hard by COVID-19, the Hokies still lead the nation in sacks. That is not good news for highly touted North Carolina quarterback Sam Howell who has played below the standard he displayed last season to this point. Bet on Virginia Tech plus the points for a 5* wager.
10-03-20	Auburn v. Georgia -7		6-27	Win	100	25 h 43 m	Show
Auburn @ Georgia 7:30 PM ET Game# 153-154 *Play On: Georgia -7.0 (5)** Auburn is coming off a 29-13 home win over then nationally ranked Kentucky. However, they were beneficiaries of a +3 turnover margin and were outgained by 60 yards in that contest. Georgia got off to a shaky start as a 4-touchdown favorite last week and actually trailed 7-5 at the half. The Bulldogs came out and dominated 2nd half action and left with an easy 37-10 win. I look for the Bulldogs to be much sharper this week against the #7 Tigers and put together a consistent 60-minute effort. Bet on Georgia minus the points for a 5* wager.
10-03-20	Oklahoma v. Iowa State +7.5	Top	30-37	Win	100	25 h 44 m	Show
Oklahoma @ Iowa State 7:30 PM ET Game# 123-12 *Play On: Iowa State +7.5 (10)** I know many college football bettors will not be courageous enough to fade Oklahoma following a loss. However, I am not only willing to do so but it is going to be my largest wager on Saturday. Oklahoma had a commanding 35-17 lead in the 4th quarter against Kansas State last Saturday. Nevertheless, the Wildcats scored 24 unanswered and came away with a huge 38-35 upset win as a 27.5-point road underdog. Now Oklahoma has not lost 2 consecutive regular season games since 1999. As a result, public betting has favorited Oklahoma big time thus far. Yet, this line went from Oklahoma opening as a 9.5-point favorite down its current state of -7.5. This is a chance for redemption on many fronts for Iowa State. First, they will be out to atone for a poor showing in their home opener when they were knocked off by UL-Lafayette 31-14 in a game they closed as a 13.0-point favorite. Secondly, they will be out to revenge a narrow 42-41 loss at Oklahoma last year in a game they were a 14.5-point underdog, and failed on a 2-point conversion late in that contest which would have earned them an upset over the eventual Big 12 champion. Despite Oklahoma winning 5 straight Big 12 titles and making it to the College Football Playoffs the last 3 years, Iowa State has played the Sooners extremely tough. As a matter of fact, since Matt Campbell took over the head coach duties at Iowa State in 2016, The Cyclone have gone just 1-3 against Oklahoma but all 3 losses came by 10 points or less. Bet on Iowa State plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager.
10-03-20	Texas Tech +2.5 v. Kansas State		21-31	Loss	-109	21 h 33 m	Show
Texas Tech @ Kansas State 3:30 ET Game# 135-136 *Play On: Texas Tech +2.5 (5)** Kansas State is coming off a huge upset win over then #3 Oklahoma last Saturday in a game they overcame a 17-point 4th quarter deficit. It would be hard to imagine them coming close to matching their intensity they exhibited a week ago. There is a more than reasonable chance that the Wildcats will have an emotional letdown this Saturday. It is just a matter of to what degree. Keep in mind, this is the same Kansas State team which was knocked off in the home opener by Arkansas State 35-31 as a sizable 15.0-point favorite. Conversely, Texas Tech is coming off a gut wrenching 63-56 overtime loss to #9 Texas. The Red Raiders blew a 56-41 lead with less than 4 minutes to play in that contest. Texas Tech has long been known for their explosive pass happy offense and this year is no different. Tech has passed for a combined 755 yards in their first 2 games. They will be sure to attack a vulnerable Kansas State secondary which has surrendered 717 yards passing in their first 2 contests. Additionally, this is a Texas Tech team that has run the ball with some success in the early going while averaging 155.0 rushing yards per game. Look for there to be a role reversal this week when both teams square off. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points as a 5* wager.
10-03-20	TCU +11 v. Texas		33-31	Win	100	17 h 4 m	Show
TCU @ Texas 12:00 PM ET Game# 141-142 *Play On: TCU +11.0 (5)** Texas is coming off an emotional come from behind road victory over Texas Tech last week. The Longhorns overcame a 56-41 deficit with just 3:41 to play and forced overtime where they eventually prevailed 63-56. They will be facing a TCU team which is coming off a tough 37-34 home loss to a solid Iowa State team. Nonetheless, the Horned Frogs torched the Cyclones defense for 400 yards passing in defeat. They should be able to move the ball against a Texas defense which looked soft a week ago and stay inside the number. Bet on TCU plus the points for a 5* wager.
09-26-20	Florida State v. Miami-FL -11		10-52	Win	100	21 h 13 m	Show
Florida State @ Miami 7:30 PM ET Game# 39-396 *Play On: Miami -11.0 (5)** Miami has opened the season with wins over UAB and at Louisville while covering both contests as a favorite. Florida State is coming off a 16-13 upset loss at home to Georgia Tech. This sets up an extremely profitable college football ATS betting angle shown below. Any college football favorite of 10.5 to 21.0-points (Miami) that is coming of 2 consecutive covers as a favorite and is facing an opponent (Florida State) coming off a conference loss by 3 points or less, resulted in those favorites going 30-8 ATS since 1992. The average line in those 38 games was 14.5 and the favorites outscored the underdogs by 22.7-points per game. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 5* wager.
09-26-20	Tennessee v. South Carolina +4		31-27	Push	0	21 h 12 m	Show
Tennessee @ South Carolina 7:30 PM ET Game# 405-406 *Play On: South Carolina +4.0 (5)** #16 Tennessee returns 17 starters from a team that finished last season on a 6-game win streak. However, head coach Jeremy Pruitt enters his 3rd season in Knoxville and his first 2 Volunteers teams both got off to slow starts. Specifically, during Pruitt’s 2-year tenure, Tennessee has gone a combined 3-7 in their first 5 games of the year, and that includes last year’s 38-30 loss to Georgia State as a 23.5-point home favorite in their opening contest. The bad news is South Carolina was 4-8 a season ago. The silver lining was that when it was all said and done, they played the toughest schedule in all of college football. The Gamecocks were horrible offensively last year. Head coach Will Muschamp brings in former Colorado State head coach Mike Bobo as his new offensive coordinator. Bobo was able to convince senior graduate transfer Colin Hill to join him at South Carolina. Hill spent the last 3 years under center for Bobo at Colorado State. I would not be surprised whatsoever to get the outright upset in this one. Moreover, I will take the points as an additional bonus and not be greedy. Bet on South Carolina plus the points for a 5* wager.
09-26-20	Mississippi State +17 v. LSU		44-34	Win	100	17 h 16 m	Show
Mississippi State @ LSU 3:30 PM ET Game# 433-434 *Play On: Mississippi State +17.0 (5)** I know high profile SEC football programs like LSU reload as opposed to rebuilding. However, the defending national champion LSU Tigers need to replace an inordinate amount of talent that from last year’s team who are now making their livelihoods playing on Sundays. Besides the fact they will be facing a Mississippi State team who is now coached by passing game guru Mike Leach formerly of Texas Tech and Washington State. SEC defensive coordinators will need time to adjust to Leach’s complex passing game. Additionally, Leach was able to persuade former Stanford quarterback K.J. Costello to come on board as a senior graduate transfer. Costello spent 3 seasons as Stanford’s starting quarterback and threw for 6,251 yards and 9 touchdowns despite having his season cut short by injury in 2019. I am not going to be bold enough to predict an outright upset. Nevertheless, LSU fans will witness this game being way too close for comfort. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 5* wager.
09-26-20	Army v. Cincinnati -12.5	Top	10-24	Win	100	17 h 14 m	Show
Army @ Cincinnati 3:30 PM ET Game# 435-436 *Play On: Cincinnati -12.5 (10)** Army has looked terrific in 2 blowout wins over Middle Tennessee State and UL-Monroe. Their vaunted triple option rushing attack has looked in midseason form while racking up 390 yards per game on the ground and averaging 36 minutes in time of possession per game. Nonetheless, they will be stepping up in class considerably in their first road game of the season against a Cincinnati team that has gone a superb 22-5 during the last 2 seasons. The Bearcats return 8 starters on defense and 15 of its top 17 tacklers from a year ago. The Cincinnati defensive line may be the best in the AAC this season. I look for the Bearcats to open an early lead and give Army a taste of its own medicine by controlling the tempo of this game. Bet on Cincinnati minus the points for a 10* Top Play
09-24-20	UAB v. South Alabama +7		42-10	Loss	-110	25 h 40 m	Show
UAB @ South Alabama 7:30 PM ET Game# 417-418 *Play On: South Alabama +7.0 (5)** UAB opened the season with an uninspiring 45-35 win over Central Arkansas that plays at the FCS level. They followed that up with a 31-14 loss at nationally ranked Miami in a game they failed to cover as a 15.0-point underdog and were outgained by 207 yards. Since the start of last season UAB has gone 10-6. However, 2 of those wins came over FCS opponents. Additionally, 7 of their wins versus FBS opponents last year were against teams that finished a combined 15-69 (.178). South Alabama enters this game with a record of 1-1. They covered both of those contests as a double-digit underdog. They won at Southern Miss 32-21 in their season opener as a 12.0-point underdog. Their last game resulted in a narrow 27-24 loss as an 11.5-point home underdog to Tulane. Unfortunately, South Alabama blew a 24-13 lead in the 4th quarter of that game that prohibited them from pulling off another huge upset. The Jaguars have amassed an impressive 669 yards passing in their first 2 games of the season. Bet on South Alabama plus the points for a 5* wager.
09-19-20	SMU -14 v. North Texas		65-35	Win	100	18 h 18 m	Show
SMU @ North Texas 6:00 PM ET Game# 129-130 *Play On: SMU -14.0 ()** SMU is coming off a 31-24 win at Texas State in a game in which they piled up 544 yards of offense. They should have scored much more if not for 3 costly turnovers. North Texas defeated Houston Baptist 57-31 in their season opener. The good news is they amassed over 700 yards of total offense. The bad news is they allowed their FCS opponent to rack up 569 yards of total offense and that includes 480 coming through the air. SMU will have a field day passing the ball against a porous North Texas secondary and should be able to score at will. The Mustangs defense will give up their share of yards and points but will get enough stops for us to get the cover. Bet on SMU minus the points for a 5* wager.
09-19-20	Boston College +6 v. Duke		26-6	Win	100	12 h 17 m	Show
Boston College @ Duke 12:00 PM ET Game# 113-114 *Play On: Boston College +6.0 (5)** Duke has gone an abysmal 0-12 ATS in their last 12 conference home games when the line was +5.0 to -10.0. They even lost 11 of those 12 games straight up. Conversely, Since 2014, Boston College has gone a perfect 7-0 as an away underdog and they won 4 of those 7 contests straight up. Duke hung in there in a 14-point loss at Notre Dame last week. However, that was a talented Notre Dame team that appeared extremely flat as a 3-touchdown favorite. Bet on Boston College plus the points for a 5* wager.
09-12-20	Georgia Tech v. Florida State -12		16-13	Loss	-117	56 h 35 m	Show
Georgia Tech @ Florida State 3:30 PM ET Game# 399-400 *Play On: Florida State -12.0 (5)** Geoff Collins begins his 2nd season as the head coach of Georgia Tech. Collins is slowly transitioning his spread offense from the triple option attack that was employed during the Paul Johnson era. The Yellowjackets were 3-9 a season ago which included a loss to Citadel and 6 other defeats by 16 points or greater. They do have 9 returning starters on offense. However, that unit was among the worst nationally in many statistical categories. Florida State is an experienced team with a terrific young new head coach in Mike Norvell who comes over from Memphis. Norvell has proven to be a brilliant offensive mind and he inherits 7 returning offensive starters. The Seminoles also return 10 defensive starters and that type of continuity is sure to pay dividends early on. Especially when considering the shortened offseason because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Florida State finished 6-7 a season ago which marked a second consecutive losing season which was preceded by 42 straight winning campaigns. I look for Florida State to be back on its way to prominence and it starts with an emphatic statement on Saturday. Any college football conference home favorite of 7.0 to 14.5-points that is playing in their season opener, and they won 6 or more games the year before, versus an opponent who won 4 or fewer games during the previous season, resulted in those home favorites going 5-0 SU&ATS since 1998. More importantly, the average margin of victory in those 5 contests was 33.0 points per game. Bet on Florida State minus the points as a 5* wager.
09-12-20	Arkansas State v. Kansas State -12.5	Top	35-31	Loss	-110	14 h 14 m	Show
Arkansas State @ Kansas State 12;00 PM ET Game# 427-428 *Play On: Kansas State -12.5 (10)** Arkansas State hung tough last week at Memphis last week in a 37-24 loss in which they covered as a 17.0-point underdog. However, they allowed the quick strike Memphis offense to have 34 minutes in time of possession. They also allowed Memphis to rack up 502 yards of total offense in that contest. That is not good news since Kansas State was one of the best teams nationally in time of possession last season. Furthermore, since 2015, Arkansas State is 0-6 SU&ATS after their season opener as a non-conference away underdog. The average line in those 6 contests was 17.5 and they lost by an average of 34.8 points per game. Since 2017, Kansas Sate is 3-0 SU&ATS as a non-conference home favorite when facing an opponent from a Group of 5 Conference. The average line in those 3 contests was 25.7 and the Wildcats won by 41.3 points per game. Kansas State will be a tad bit inexperienced on offense, but they do have a good one in senior dual threat quarterback Skyler Thomson who passed for 2315 yards while also running 405 yards and 11 touchdowns. Play on Kansas State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
09-12-20	UL-Lafayette +11.5 v. Iowa State		31-14	Win	100	43 h 56 m	Show
UL-Lafayette @ Iowa State 12:00 PM ET Game# 415-416 *Play On: UL-Lafayette +11.5 (5)** This game has trap written all over it. We have the #23 ranked Power 5 Conference school like Iowa State Cyclone as just an 11.5-point home favorite versus a team from the lowly Sun Belt Conference. However, when digging deeper the picture becomes a wee bit clearer. Iowa State is coming off a disappoint 7-6 season in which they had high expectations. UL-Lafayette went 11-3 a season ago with 2 of their losses coming against national ranked Sun Belt champ Appalachian State and the other in their season opener versus Mississippi State. The Rajun Cajuns return senior quarterback Levi Lewis who passed for over 3000 yards last season and their top two running that combined to rush for 1967 yards. I like the Rajun Cajuns to take this game right down to the wire and an outright upset would not shock me in the least. But we will gladly take the points as an added bonus. Bet on UL-Lafayette plus the points for a 5* wager.
09-10-20	UAB v. Miami-FL -14		14-31	Win	100	35 h 46 m	Show
UAB @ Miami Fla. 8:00 PM ET Game# 393-394 *Play On: Miami Fla. -14.0 (5)** UAB is coming off an uninspiring 45-35 home win over Central Arkansas last Thursday. The Blazers are coming off a successful 9-5 season in 2019 which saw them lose 49-6 to Florida Atlantic in the CUSA Championship Game. When researching further, UAB had 7 wins over FBS opponents last season that finished with a combined 15-69 record. Additionally, they also squeaked out a 24-19 home win over Alabama State team that plays at the FCS level and finished last season with a 5-6 record. In their last 4 losses last season they were outscored by an enormous margin of 147-32. The Blazers do return 18 starters but sometimes experience can be deceiving and especially so when stepping up in class to play a Power 5 Conference team on the road. Miami is coming off last year’s disappointing 6-6 regular season. However, all 6 losses came by 10 points or fewer and an average of 6.2-points per game. The most disheartening defeat came in a 14-0 bowl game loss to Louisiana Tech. What has been sorely missing for Miami in recent years has been consistent productivity at quarterback. Well that is about to change with redshirt senior D’Eriq King a transfer from Houston. During his only full season as the starting quarterback at Houston in 2018, king completed 63.5% of his passes for 2982 yards, 36 touchdowns, and only 6 interceptions. He also ran for 675 yards and 14 touchdowns. As a matter of fact, during the previous 3 seasons at Houston, King threw for 50 touchdowns against just 10 interceptions and ran for an additional 28 scores. Despite going a mediocre 13-13 the past 2 seasons, Miami was still able to haul in the 13th best recruiting class nationally in 2020. Bet on Miami Fla. Minus the points for a 5* wager.
09-07-20	BYU v. Navy +1	Top	55-3	Loss	-115	26 h 0 m	Show
BYU @ Navy 8:00 ET Game# 243-244 *Play On: Navy +1.0 (10)** BYU recently had 10 of their originally scheduled 12 games cancelled to reasons pertaining to COVID-19. Their schedule has been reduced from 12 to 8 games. As a result, the coaching staff and players were just notified a few weeks ago that they would be traveling cross country to play Navy in Annapolis, Maryland. Instead of having an entire offseason to prepare for the highly efficient Navy triple option rushing attack, they had all of 3 weeks to do so. That certainly is not an easy task since it will be extremely difficult to simulate the efficiency and speed that the Navy offense operates at. Besides the short preparation time for BYU, they will also be facing a Navy team that went 11-2 last season with their only 2 defeats coming against #17 Memphis and #12 Notre Dame which both took place on the road. The Midshipmen also defeated #22 Air Force (11-2) and SMU (10-3). Navy finished at #20 in the final 2019-2020 AP Poll. Navy has gone 29-4 in their last 33 at home. Furthermore, the Midshipmen are 12-0 in their last 12 at home against non-conference opponents. Bet on Navy for a 10* Top Play wager.
01-13-20	Clemson +6 v. LSU		25-42	Loss	-105	5 h 54 m	Show
Clemson vs. LSU (8:00 PM ET) Game# 283-284 *Play On: Play On: Clemson +6.0 (5)** The Clemson Tigers have now made 5 straight college football playoff appearances and they’ll be seeking their 3rd national championship in 4 years. Furthermore, they also played in the 2016 National Championship Game where they suffered a narrow 45-40 loss to Alabama. Monday will make 4 national title games in 5 years for Clemson. They’re also a stellar 6-2 in college football playoff games. Conversely, LSU has made the college football 4-team playoff for a first time. They were extremely impressive in the 63-28 semifinal win over #4 Oklahoma. However, they’ll be up against a much better defense and team tonight that possesses plenty of big game experience. I won’t go out on a limb and call for an outright upset, but I’ll glad take the points and see it as an attractive betting value. Bet on Clemson plus the points for a 5* wager.
01-06-20	Miami-OH v. UL-Lafayette -14		17-27	Loss	-107	4 h 46 m	Show
Miami-Ohio @ UL-Lafayette 7:30 PM ET Game# 279-280 *Play On: UL-Lafayette -14.0 (5)** Miami (8-5) somehow came away with winning the MAC championship being outgained by 74.6 yards per contest. During the Redhawks 8 games on the road or at neutral site they’ve averaged a paltry 18.5 points and 279.9 yards or total offense per game. It’s not like they had dominating defensive numbers either. In those previously mentioned road/neutral site contests, they’ve allowed 35.7 points and 429.9 yards per game. They will be facing a UL-Lafayette offense who’s averaging 38.8 points scored and 501.4 yards per game. Furthermore, ULL averages 265 yards per game on the ground. Conversely, Miami is giving up 174 yards rushing per contest. Bet on UL-Lafayette minus the points for a 5* wager.
01-02-20	Boston College v. Cincinnati -7.5		6-38	Win	100	1 h 26 m	Show
Boston College vs. Cincinnati 3:00 PM ET Game# 271-272 *Play On: Cincinnati -7.5 (5)** Despite Boston College going 6-6 and making it to a bowl game, head coach Steve Addazio was fired after the Eagles regular season slate was completed. That’s never a positive thing for team’s preparing and playing in a bowl game. Conversely, #21 Cincinnati’s (10-3) football program is stable under the guidance of head coach Luke Fickell who has guided the Bearcats to double-digit wins for a second straight season. Cincinnati’s only 3 losses came against #2 Ohio State (13-1) and twice to #19 Memphis (12-2). Bet on Cincinnati minus the points as a 5* wager.
01-01-20	Baylor +5 v. Georgia	Top	14-26	Loss	-111	21 h 39 m	Show
Baylor vs. Georgia 8:45 PM ET Game# 269-270 *Play On: Baylor +5.0 (10)** When it comes to college football bowl season handicapping, sometimes it’s a matter of what team you can bank on being more motivated. Georgia need a win in the SEC Championship Game against LSU to make the college football playoffs. However, they were throttled by LSU and thus had to settle for a Sugar Bowl invite against upstart Baylor. Baylor has enjoyed a magnificent 11-2 season to this point. The Bears only 2 losses came at the hands of #4 Oklahoma (12-2). They suffered a heartbreaking 30-23 overtime loss to Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship Game which cost them a trip to the college football playoffs. They also blew a 28-3 lead at home to Oklahoma in a 34-31 loss. The bottom line is this. Nobody in college football was surprised by Georgia’s success this season. However, nobody expected Baylor to be this good let alone being one play away from reaching the college football playoffs. Baylor will be the more juiced up team in this one. Bet on Baylor plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
01-01-20	Wisconsin -3 v. Oregon		27-28	Loss	-100	17 h 14 m	Show
Wisconsin vs. Oregon 5:00 PM ET Game# 267-268 *Play On: Wisconsin -3.0 (5)** Despite Oregon (11-2) being the higher ranked team with a better record than Wisconsin (10-3), they find themselves as the underdog in this Rose Bowl contest. Like I’ve alluded to on several occasions, I trust oddsmakers evaluations more than the college football playoff committee. They’re begging you to take the #6 ranked Ducks as an underdog over #8 Wisconsin. Nonetheless, I’m not taking the bait. Wisconsin has played the tougher schedule with 2 of their 3 defeats coming against #2 Ohio State (13-1). The Badgers star running back Jonathan Williams will be the deciding difference in this contest. The Wisconsin defense has been outstanding this season and has recorded 4 shutouts. Bet on Wisconsin minus the points for a 5* wager.
01-01-20	Minnesota +7.5 v. Auburn		31-24	Win	100	13 h 6 m	Show
Minnesota vs. Auburn 1:00 PM ET Game# 285-286 *Play On: Minnesota +7.5 (5)** P.J. Fleck has done a remarkable job of turning this Minnesota football program around. The #18 Gophers are 10-2 and will be highly motivated as an underdog while facing #12 Auburn (9-3). I wouldn’t be shocked to see an outright upset in this one but let’s not get greedy and take the generous number being given. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager.
12-31-19	Kansas State v. Navy -2.5		17-20	Win	100	5 h 53 m	Show
Navy vs. Kansas State 3:45 PM ET Game# 255-256 *Play On: Navy -2.5 (5)** Navy enters the Sun Bowl with an impressive 10-2 record. Their only losses came against #15 Notre Dame (11-2) and #19 Memphis (12-2). The Midshipmen also own quality wins over Air Force (11-2) and SMU (10-3). There are a handful of teams that run the triple option rushing attack, but none are close to doing it as successfully as Navy. The Midshipmen are averaging 364 rushing yards per game and a lofty 6.1 yards per attempt. Conversely, Kansas State has allowed 200 yards or more rushing on 4 of their 12 games. The Wildcats are 8-4 and own a huge upset win at Oklahoma. However, their offense isn’t explosive and relies on grinding out long drives to wear opposing defenses down. I just don’t thing they’ll get enough offensive possessions against Navy to succeed in that regard. Bet on Navy for a 5* wager.
12-30-19	Mississippi State v. Louisville +5		28-38	Win	100	2 h 21 m	Show
Louisville vs. Mississippi State 4:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 *Play On: Louisville +5.0 (5)** Mississippi State has question marks at quarterback with their second choice Tommy Stevens getting today’s start. Head coach Joe Morehead has been on the proverbial hot seat for the last 2 months but has somehow survived. The Bulldogs were a poor 3-6 this season versus teams that were invited to bowl games. Former Appalachian State head coach Scott Satterfield did a remarkable job in his first year in Louisville while tuning over a program that was 2-10 a season ago to 7-5 in 2019. As a result, Satterfield was named ACC Coach of the Year. Furthermore, during his tenure as head coach at Appalachian State, Satterfield’s teams were a perfect 3-0 during bow games. Louisville played 9 of their 12 regular season games against teams that were invited to bowl games. Bet on Louisville plus the points for a 5* wager.
12-28-19	Clemson v. Ohio State +2.5	Top	29-23	Loss	-110	32 h 10 m	Show
Clemson vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET Game# 243-244 *Play On: Ohio State +2.5 (10)** Ohio State has played the much tougher schedule of these pair of 13-0 teams and that will pay dividends in the outcome of this game. The Buckeyes have beaten #8 Wisconsin twice, #10 Penn State, #14 Michigan, and #21 Cincinnati. Clemson has recorded just 1 win over a team that’s currently ranked in the Top 25 and that was over #24 Virginia in the ACC Championship game. Bet on Ohio State plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.
12-27-19	USC +2.5 v. Iowa	Top	24-49	Loss	-105	31 h 58 m	Show
USC vs. Iowa 8:00 PM ET Game# 233-234 Play On: USC +2.5 Iowa has relied heavily on their defense this season to do its heavy lifting. The Hawkeyes are allowing a mere 13.2 points per game this season. Yet, they somehow managed to lose 3 games this season. Iowa’s offensive production has left much to be desired. The Hawkeyes have averaged only 304.2 total yards of total offense per game. Iowa went 6-3 in Big 10 Conference play but only 1 of those wins came against a team that finished with a winning record. After suffering through an underachieving 5-4 start, USC finished their regular season slate by winning their last 3. Despite how goo the Iowa defense is, USC will present a stiff challenge with their multifaceted passing game. During their current 3-game win streak, USC has averaged an incredible 466 yards passing per contest. Bet on USC plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
12-27-19	Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M -5.5		21-24	Loss	-105	30 h 47 m	Show
Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M 6:45 PM ET Game# 231-232 *Play On: Texas A&M -5.5 (5)** The public betting patterns have sided with Oklahoma State in this matchup. After all, the Cowboys have won 3 straight and 7 of its 9 bowl games under current head coach Mike Gundy. Yet, Texas A&M has gone from an opening 2.5-point favorite to their current status which shows them as high as a 6.5-point chalk. This is a classic case of reverse line movement. We must keep in mind, Texas A&M faced one of the hardest schedules in the country this season, playing three teams that were either ranked No.1 at the time or finished the season at No. 1 (Clemson, Alabama, LSU). They’ve also went up against five teams that were ranked in the top 10, and three of those five games were on the road (Clemson, Georgia, LSU). Bet on Texas A&M minus the points for a 5* wager.
12-27-19	Michigan State -3.5 v. Wake Forest		27-21	Win	100	26 h 18 m	Show
Wake Forest vs. Michigan State 3:20 PM ET Game# 229-230 *Play On: Michigan State -3.5 (5)** Wake Forest began the season by going 7-1. However, they dropped 3 of its final 4 regular season games with their only victory coming over a Duke team that entered that contest on a 4-game losing streak. Michigan State had lofty expectations in 2019 only to finish with a disappointing 6-6 record. Most of the Spartans issues came on offense. Nonetheless, they should have no trouble moving the ball against a Wake Forest defense that’s allowed 35 points or more on 5 separate occasions and 500 yards or greater 4 times. Conversely, the Michigan State defense has been solid for the most part while allowing just 22.7 points and 319.2 yards per game. Additionally, it should tell you something when two Power 5 conference teams meet in a bowl game and the one that’s 6-6 is favorite over an 8-4 opponent. Bet on Michigan State minus the points for a 5* wager.
12-27-19	North Carolina v. Temple +6		55-13	Loss	-105	23 h 59 m	Show
Temple vs. North Carolina 8:00 PM ET Game# 227-228 *Play On: Temple +6.0 (5)** The good news for 6-6 North Carolina is all their losses have come by 6 points or fewer. The bad news is that they were 0-3-1 ATS and 1-3 straight up this season as a favorite of 9.5 or less. Furthermore, the Tar Heels also own only 1 win this season against bowl eligible teams. Temple enters their bowl game with a stellar 8-4 record. All 4 of their losses came against bowl teams with a combined record of 38-14 (.731). The Owls have gone an outstanding 5-0 ATS this season as an underdog of 9.0 or less, and they won 4 of those 5 contests straight up. Bet on Temple plus the points for a 5* wager.
12-26-19	Pittsburgh -11 v. Eastern Michigan		34-30	Loss	-107	31 h 47 m	Show
Eastern Michigan vs. Pittsburgh 8:00 PM ET Game# 225-226 *Play On: Pittsburgh -11.0 (5)** Pittsburgh has unequivocally played a much tougher schedule compared to Eastern Michigan. The Panthers finished 4-4 during ACC action while Eastern Michigan went 3-5 in the MAC. As a matter of fact, 8 of Pittsburgh’s 12 games came against teams that are involved in bowl games. The Pittsburgh defense is far superior to that of Eastern Michigan’s stop unit. The Panthers are allowing just 21.2 points and 302.5 yards per game. Eastern Michigan has given up 30.3 points and 428.2 yards per game. Bet on Pittsburgh minus the points for a 5* wager.
12-24-19	BYU v. Hawaii +2		34-38	Win	100	30 h 40 m	Show
BYU @ Hawaii 8:00 PM ET Game# 221-220 *Play On: Hawaii +2.0 (5)** Hawaii will have the advantage of playing at home in this game. Despite these teams not playing in the same conference, they will meet for a 3rd straight season. BYU won and covered the previous 2. The Rainbow Warriors are a very experienced team that will be playing with revenge and will also look to atone for a loss at Boise State in their previous contest which occurred in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game. Conversely, BYU has gone a money draining 0-6 ATS as a favorite this season, and that includes a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS as an away favorite of 4.0 or less. Hawaii has cover 2 of its previous 3 games. BYU has gone 5-3 in their last 8 games. However, the Cougars were just 2-6 ATS during those contests. This sets up an applicable and very profitable college football straight up betting angle which is illustrated below. Any college football home team (Hawaii) that cover in 2 of their previous 3 games, versus an opponent (BYU) which failed to cover in 6 or 7 of their previous 8 contests, resulted in those home teams going 45-12 (78.9%) straight up since 2015. Bet on Hawaii for a 5* wager.
12-21-19	Washington -3 v. Boise State	Top	38-7	Win	100	30 h 39 m	Show
Washington vs. Boise State 7:30 PM ET Game# 215-216 *Play On: Washington -3.0 (10)** For starters, former Boise State and current Washington head coach Chris Peterson will be roaming the sidelines for a final time on Saturday. Peterson surprisingly resigned from his position in November due to personal issues. It’s har to imagine the Huskies not coming up with a huge effort in Peterson’s swan song. Secondly, #19 Boise State enters this Las Vegas Bowl with a terrific 12-1 record. Nonetheless, the oddsmakers have made unranked and 7-5 Washington as the favorite. Like I’ve alluded to on many occasions, I trust the oddsmakers a heck of a lot more than college football poll voters. By the way, Boise State suffered their only defeat at BYU 28-25. Conversely, Washington won easily at BYU earlier this season by a decisive score of 45-19. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
12-21-19	SMU v. Florida Atlantic +3.5		28-52	Win	100	26 h 45 m	Show
SMU @ FAU 3:30 PM ET Game# 211-212 *Play On: FAU +3.5 (5)** SMU is 10-2 and has been ranked in the Top 25 for numerous weeks this season. However, this Boca Raton Bowl will be played on the home field of FAU. After losing their first 2 games to #2 Ohio State and a vey good UCF team, FAU went on to win 10 of their next 11 games heading into this bowl matchup against SMU. FAU did lose head coach Lane Kiffin who took the job at Mississippi following the Owls 49-6 demolition of UAB in the Conference USA Championship game. Nonetheless, they quickly hired recently fired Florida State head coach Willie Taggart who already has a stranglehold in recruiting the plethora of high school talent Sunshine State. Taggert won’t be coaching on Saturday, but the Owls players should be inspired knowing he’ll be at the game and watching with a vested interest. Bet on FAU plus the points for a 5* wager.
12-21-19	Liberty +5 v. Georgia Southern		23-16	Win	100	25 h 40 m	Show
Liberty vs. Georgia Southern 2:30 PM ET Game# 209-210 *Play On: Liberty +5.0 (5)** Georgia Southern (7-5) has run the triple option offense very successfully for year and through a few head coaching regimes. The Eagles have run the ball on an enormous 82.5% of their offensive plays this season. The problem with running this offense is when playing from behind on the scoreboard it’s not built to overcome deficits via the passing game. Specifically speaking, Georgia Southern is averaging just 11 pass attempts and 73 yards per game in the air while completing only 51.5% of those throws. The biggest difficulty when facing a triple option offense is it’s usually an only time a team will see it all year. Additionally, it’s difficult for scout teams to match the speed and precision in how it runs let alone having most times than not only a week to prepare for it. On a positive note, Liberty last played on 11/30 and will have been afforded 3 weeks to get ready defensively for what they’re about to face. Former Ole Miss head coach Hugh Freeze has done a great job in his first year at Liberty while leading them to a 7-5 record and it will be the Flames first ever bowl game. Liberty has seen 3 of their 5 losses this season come against Power 5 Conference teams. I look for the Flames to be the more motivated and sharper team in this matchup for reasons I just alluded to. Bet on Liberty plus the points for a 5* wager.
12-20-19	Buffalo -6.5 v. Charlotte		31-9	Win	100	19 h 7 m	Show
Charlotte vs. Buffalo 2:00 PM ET Game# 201-202 *Play On: Buffalo -6.5 (5)** The weather forecast is calling for severe wind gusts of up to 40 MPH. With that in mind, both teams run games will be extremely important in deciding the ATS winner. If indeed that forecast is 50% accurate, it would hinder each team’s passing game in a big way. Both Charlotte and Buffalo have formidable running games. Buffalo averages a substantial 254 yards rushing per game and gains a lofty 5.0 yards per attempt. It’s not as if Buffalo will be out of their comfort zone since they’ve run the ball of 69.9% of their offensive plays this season. They’ll also be going up against a Charlotte defense which isn’t very good at defending the run. Charlotte has allowed 193 yards rushing per game and opponents are averaging 5.0 yards per run. Conversely, Buffalo’s defense has been very vulnerable to their opponents passing games. However, the Bulls are allowing just 93 yards per game on the ground and limiting teams to a mere 2.9 yards per rushing attempt. Regardless of the weather, Charlotte has run the ball on 62.1% of their offense plays this season and would be hard pressed to come close to that number on a calm day. Bet on Buffalo minus the points for a 5* wager.
12-14-19	Army v. Navy -10.5		7-31	Win	100	69 h 27 m	Show
Army vs Navy 3:00 PM ET Game# 303-304 *Play On: Navy -10.5 (5)** Army got off to a fast 3-1 start to the season. Their only defeat in that sequence came at #14 Michigan 24-21 in overtime. The Black Knights were a sizable 21.0-point underdog in that contest. Following that nice beginning to the season, Army surprisingly lost their next 5 games. The Black Knights haven’t defeated a team that currently owns a winning record. As a matter of fact, their 5 wins came against teams with a combined record of 17-43 (.283). Furthermore, 2 of their 5 wins came over FCS teams in Morgan State (3-9) and VMI (5-7). Navy has enjoyed a fantastic 9-2 season heading into this huge rivalry game. The #23 ranked Midshipmen own quality wins over SMU (10-2) and Air Force (10-2). They finished a stellar 7-1 in the American Athletic which is conference which currently has 3 teams (Navy, Cincinnati, Memphis) ranked in the Top 25 of the latest college football playoff rankings and another in SMU (10-2) who sits on the periphery. The Middies are scheduled for a Sun Bowl appearance against Kansas State from the Big 12 who handed #4 Oklahoma their only loss to date. Dating back to last season, Navy has gone 8-1 ATS in their previous 9 games as a favorite, and that includes 7-0 ATS (+25.4 PPG) as a favorite of 4.0-points or greater. Bet on Navy minus the points for a 5* wager.
12-07-19	Wisconsin +16.5 v. Ohio State		21-34	Win	100	25 h 20 m	Show
Wisconsin vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET Game# 119-120 *Play On: Wisconsin +16.5 (5)** It’s highly probable, if 12-0 Ohio State were to get upset by 10-2 Wisconsin, they would still be part of the college football playoffs. My point being is the level of urgency for a decisive margin of victory so to impress the playoff committee isn’t the same as it were be for #5 Utah or #6 Oklahoma. Wisconsin will be out to revenge a 38-7 loss at Ohio State earlier this season. Their vaunted rushing attack was held to 84 yards on that day which is substantially below its season average. As a matter of fact, since that loss to Ohio State, Wisconsin has won 4 straight and their offense averaged 36.0 points scored and 503.5 yards of total offense per contest which includes 299.0 yards on the ground. The Badgers have outrushed their opponents by a sizeable 147 yards per game this season. Any college football neutral field underdog (Wisconsin) that’s outrushing its opponents by 100 or more yards per game, resulted in those underdogs going 36-11 ATS (76.6%) since 2015. Those 47 underdogs also won 27 of those contests straight up. Bet on Wisconsin plus the points for a 5* wager.
12-07-19	Virginia v. Clemson -28		17-62	Win	100	47 h 19 m	Show
Virginia vs. Clemson 7:30 PM ET Game# 121-122 *Play On: Clemson -28.0 (5)** Those of you that have followed me over the years are very much aware of my reluctance to lay this big of a number. Nevertheless, this is an exception to that practice. Clemson has felt disrespected since the 2019 college football playoff rankings began. You can look for the Tigers to come out with a strong effort on Saturday night against a Virginia team playing in its first ever ACC Championship Game. Furthermore, Virginia is coming off last week’s emotional 39-30 win over Virginia Tech. That victory snapped a 14-game losing streak to their bitter in state rival. Earning a spot in the conference championship game seemed to be an afterthought after getting the proverbial monkey off their back. Clemson is a perfect 12-0 thus far, and that includes going an extremely profitable 9-3 ATS. As a matter of fact, the Tigers are 5-0 ATS this season as a favorite of 28.0 to 42.0-points and they won by a massive average of 45.2 points per contest. They’ve also outscored their 8 ACC opponents by 35.7 points per game. This will be Clemson’s 5th trip the ACC Championship Game in as many years. Clemson has scored 38 points or more in each of their previous 8 games. Any college football favorite of 23.5 to 31.0 that coming off 5 consecutive game in which they scored 37 points or more, resulted in those sizable favorites going 30-6 ATS (83.3%) since 1995. Bet on Clemson minus the points for a 5* wager.
12-07-19	UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -6		38-45	Win	100	40 h 50 m	Show
UL-Lafayette @ Appalachian State 12:00 PM ET Game# 107-108 *Play On: Appalachian State -6.0 (5)** UL-Lafayette enters this conference title game on a 6-game win streak and all those victories came over Sun Belt opponents. This current hot streak enabled them to finish their regular season slate with an impressive 10-2 (.833). As a matter of fact, their last loss occurred on 10/9 at home when they fell 17-7 to Appalachian State. Appalachian State closed out their regular season with last Saturday’s 48-13 blowout win at Troy. That triumph improved their season record to an outstanding 11-1 (.917) and kept them alive to be the Group of 5 representative in a New Year’s Day Bowl game. Any conference home favorite of 3.5 to 10.0 (Appalachian State) that’s coming off a conference win by 6 points or more, and they own a win percentage of .750 or better, Versus an opponents that’s coming off conference win in each of their previous 3 games played, and they (UL-Lafayette) possess a win percentage of .700 to .909, resulted in those home favorites going 34-3 ATS (91.9%) since 1996. Bet on Appalachian State minus the points for a 5* wager.
12-06-19	Oregon v. Utah -6.5		37-15	Loss	-105	27 h 43 m	Show
Oregon vs. Utah 8:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 *Play On: Utah -6.5 (5)** Oregon had the win taken out of their sails after being upset at Arizona State a couple of weeks ago. They seemed to carry that over to last week’s uninspiring 24-10 win over Oregon State. The Oregon defense had looked elite for most of this season until recently. The Ducks stop unit has allowed a combined 915 yards of total offense over its last 2 contests. They’ve also given up 31 points or more in 3 of their last 6 games. Furthermore, they will be facing a Utah offense that’s averaging 39.4 points scored and 463.4 yards of total offense per game throughout their last 5 contests. After losing their conference opener at USC, Utah finished the regular season with 8 consecutive wins and had an average victory margin of 29.0-points per contest while covering on each of those occasions. The Utes defensive unit is arguably the best in the country. During their 11-1 regular season, Utah allowed a mere 11.2 points and 241.6 yards per game. Offensively speaking, Utah runs the football on 2/3 of the time, and dominates time of possession while holding the ball for eye-popping 34:52 per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 5* wager.
11-30-19	Utah State v. New Mexico +11.5		38-25	Loss	-110	27 h 3 m	Show
Utah State @ New Mexico 4:00 PM ET Game# 423-424 *Play On: New Mexico +11.5 (5)** Utah State is coming off a 56-21 home loss to Boise State. That defeat dropped the Aggies season record to 6-5 (.545). New Mexico enters their final regular season game with a 2-9 (.181) record. Any home team with a win percentage of .181 or greater, versus an opponent (Utah State) playing after game 6 of their season who has a win percentage of .555 or worse, and they’re coming off a home loss by 35 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 74-8 (90.2%) straight up since 2010. Since this very successful straight up betting angle supports the double-digit underdog it takes on even greater significance. Bet on New Mexico plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-30-19	Tulane +3.5 v. SMU		20-37	Loss	-104	26 h 8 m	Show
Tulane @ SMU 4:00 PM ET Game# 413-414 *Play On: Tulane +3.5 (5)** Tulane is coming off a 34-31 home loss to Central Florida which dropped its season record to 6-5 (.545). Tulane has lost 4 of their last 5 but its previous 3 defeats have come by only a combined 14 points. SMU is coming off a 35-28 loss at Navy. The Mustangs are now 9-2 (.818) this season. Any college football road underdog of 4.0 or less (Tulane) with a win percentage of .545 to .888, and they’re coming off a conference game, versus an opponent (SMU) that’s coming off a conference loss by 7 or less, and they own a win percentage of .555 to .875, resulted in those road underdogs going 24-2 ATS (92.3%) since 1995. Bet on Tulane plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-30-19	Southern Miss +9 v. Florida Atlantic		17-34	Loss	-109	26 h 47 m	Show
Southern Miss @ Florida Atlantic 3:30 PM ET Game# 411-412 *Play On: Southern Miss +9.0 (5)** Southern Miss is coming off a 28-10 loss to Western Kentucky in a game they were a 3.0-point home favorite. That defeat made them 7-4 on the season, and 2 of their defeats came against SEC teams Mississippi State and #5 Alabama. FAU is coming off a 40-20 win at UTSA which improved their record to 8-3 (.727). Any road underdog of 2.0 to 12.0 (Southern Miss) that’s coming off a conference home favorite straight up loss in which they failed to cover by 14.0 points or more, versus an opponent (FAU) coming off a road win and has a win percentage of .750 or worse, resulted in those road underdogs going 12-0 ATS since 2015. The road underdogs also went 11-1 straight up in those 12 games. Bet on Southern Miss plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-30-19	Rice -6.5 v. UTEP		30-16	Win	100	25 h 27 m	Show
Rice @ UTEP 3:00 PM ET Game# 387-388 *Play On: Rice -6.5 (5)** After losing their first 9 games of the season, Rice has won its last 2. The last of which was last week’s 20-14 win over North Texas. Since 2017, UTEP has gone an abysmal 1-32 straight up versus FBS opponents. During that identical stretch of time, the Miners are a horrible 3-15 ATS as an underdog of 20.0 or less. UTEP has lost its previous 2 games by scored of 44-35 to New Mexico State and 37-10 against UAB. Any road favorite of 4.0 to 20.0 points (Rice) that’s coming off 2 straight wins, and they allowed 14 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent (UTEP) which has allowed 37 points or more in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those road favorites going 28-6 ATS (81.2%) since 2010.
11-30-19	UNLV v. Nevada -7	Top	33-30	Loss	-110	26 h 42 m	Show
UNLV @ Nevada 3:00 PM ET Game# 389-390 *Play On: Nevada -7.0 (10)** UNLV is coming off a 38-35 win over San Jose State and did so as a 7.0-point home underdog. That win improved the Rebels season record to 3-8 (.272). Conversely, Nevada is coming off a 35-28 upset win at Fresno State in a game they were a 13.0-point underdog. The Wolfpack have now gone 3-0 SAU&ATS in their last 3 and 7-4 overall. Nevada will also be out to revenge last year’s 34-29 loss at UNLV. Any college football home favorite of 7.0 to 24.0 that’s coming off a conference road SU&ATS win in which they covered by 6.5-points or more, versus an opponent (UNLV) who’s coming off a conference underdog of 6.0 or greater straight up win, and they own a win percentage of .250 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 28-1 ATS (96.5%) since 2006. Bet on Nevada minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
11-30-19	Florida International +8 v. Marshall		27-30	Win	100	22 h 50 m	Show
FIU @ Marshall 12:00 PM ET Game# 361-362 *Play On: FIU +8.0 (5)** FIU is coming off last Saturday’s 30-24 huge upset win over the Miami Hurricanes in a game they were a sizable 21.0-point underdog. The Golden Panthers became bowl eligible with that win and are now 6-5 (.545). Marshall is coming off a 24-13 loss at Charlotte that dropped its season record to 7-4 (.636). Any conference away underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 that allowed 24 points or more in their previous game, and they own a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent coming off a road loss by 7 points or fewer, and they have a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those road underdogs going 19-1 ATS (95%( since 1999. Bet on FIU plus the points for a 5* wager.
11-29-19	Virginia Tech -2.5 v. Virginia		30-39	Loss	-112	43 h 30 m	Show
Virginia Tech @ Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 315-316 *Play On: Virginia Tech -2.5 (5)** Despite Virginia being 6-0 at home this season and 11-1 since last year they’re an underdog in this matchup. That tells me a lot of what I need to know. The Virginia Tech defense is honoring long time coordinator Bud Foster in a big way by pitching shutouts against Georgia Tech and Pittsburgh in their previous 2 games. Foster has previously announced his retirement following this season. Look for the Hokies defense to play a major part in a victory on Friday that will catapult them to an ACC Championship Game showdown with #3 Clemson. By the way, Virginia Techs has won 14 straight games against Virginia. Bet on Virginia Tech minus the points for a 5* wager.
11-29-19	Toledo v. Central Michigan -10		7-49	Win	100	43 h 29 m	Show
Toledo @ Central Michigan 12:00 PM ET Game# 317-318 *Play On: Central Michigan -10.0 (5)** Central Michigan has been the biggest surprise of this season in the MAC. With a win on Friday, the Chippewas will advance to the MAC Championship game to take on Miami-Ohio. Central Michigan has been dominant at home this year while going 5-0 SU&ATS and winning by an average of 23.2 points per game. Conversely, Toledo is 0-3 SU&ATS in conference away games this season and lost by an average of 23.3 points per contest. The Rockets are already bowl eligible with a 6-5 record, so they’re aren’t playing for a heck of a lot on Friday. Bet on Central Michigan minus the points for a 5* wager.
11-23-19	Temple v. Cincinnati -10		13-15	Loss	-110	22 h 21 m	Show
Temple @ Cincinnati 7:00 PM ET Game# 135-136 *Play On: Cincinnati -10.0 (5)** Cincinnati escaped with a narrow come from behind 20-17 win at South Florida in their previous outing. It was their second scare in 3 games as they also barely survived in a 46-43 win at East Carolina on 11/2 in a game they closed as a large 24.5-point favorite. In any event, #19 Cincinnati (9-1) controls their own destiny regarding being the lone “Group of 5” representative to play in a “New Year’s 6 Bowl Game”. It’s highly unlikely they’ll take 7-3 Temple lightly on Saturday night. The Owls are coming off a 29-21 upset win over Tulane in a contest they closed as a 6.5-point home underdog. Any college football conference favorite of 7.0 to 24.5 (Cincinnati) that’s coming off a road win, and they’re facing an opponent that’s coming off a conference straight up win as an underdog of 6.0 or more, and they scored 34 points or less while doing so, resulted in those favorites going 24-3 ATS (88.8%) since 2004. Bet on Cincinnati minus the points for a 5* wager.
11-23-19	Boston College v. Notre Dame -20.5	Top	7-40	Win	100	18 h 48 m	Show
Boston College @ Notre Dame 2:30 PM ET Game# 161-162 *Play On: Notre Dame -20.5 (10)** Notre Dame is coming off blowout wins over Navy 52-20 and Duke 38-7 during its last 2 games. Those wins improved #16 Notre Dame to 8-2 this season. Boston College is coming off a 38-31 home loss to Florida State. That defeat dropped the Eagles season record to 5-5 (.500). Any college football favorite of 15.0 to 28.0 (Notre Dame) that’s coming off back to back wins by 28 points or greater on each occasion, versus an opponent (Boston College) with a win percentage of .125 or better and is coming off a straight up loss, resulted in those sizable home favorites going an outstanding 42-6 ATS (87.2%) since 1986. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.
11-23-19	Penn State +19 v. Ohio State		17-28	Win	100	15 h 25 m	Show
Penn State @ Ohio State 12:00 PM ET Game# 211-212 *Play On: Penn State +19.0 (5)** The good news for the Ohio State Buckeyes is their ranked #1 with a 10-0 record and have won all its game by 24 points or more. The bad news is they haven’t been challenged yet this season, and who knows how they’ll react when that finally occurs. I’m of the opinion that’s going to occur in this one. Penn State has failed to cover in each of their previous 2 games against Minnesota and Indiana. However, the Nittany Lions are still 9-1 and ranked #9 in the latest college football rankings. I’m not going out on a limb in predicting and outright upset win by Penn State, but will gladly take the generous number being given to Penn State. Furthermore, the last 3 meetings between these teams have all been decided by 3 points or less. Any college football road underdog of 5.0 to 20.5 that’s coming off ATS losses in each of their previous 2 games, and they possess a win percentage of .800 or better, versus an opponent (Ohio State) with a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those road underdogs going 22-2 ATS (91.6%) since 2009. Bet on Penn State plus the points for a 5* wager.

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