Memphis @ SMU 9:00 PM ET

Game# 315-316

Play On: SMU +8.5 (5*)

SMU is coming off 2 straight wins in which they scored 42 points or more. The Mustangs have now gone 10-12 during its last 22 games played.

Any home underdog of 1.5 to 12.5-points that’s coming off 2 straight wins in which they scored 42 points or more on each occasion, and they’ve won 10 or more of their previous 22 games played, resulted in those home underdogs going 46-9 ATS (83.6%) since 1982. Those home underdogs also went an outstanding 37-18 during those 55 contests. Bet on SMU plus the points for a 5* wager.

Tulane @ Houston 8:00 PM ET

Game# 311-312

Play On: Tulane +10.0 (5*)

Houston is coming off conference straight up favorite losses to Temple and SMU during its last 2 games. The Cougars also allowed an alarming 104 points combined during those 2 defeats.

Tulane is coming off last Saturday’s 24-18 win over East Carolina. That win marked a 3rd straight victory which evened their record at 5-5, and the Green Wave has now gone 10-12 throughout its last 22 games played.

Any conference away underdog of 10.5-points or less that possesses a win percentage of .500 or better, and they’ve won 10 or more of its previous 22 games played, versus an opponent coming off straight up favorite losses in each of their last 2 games, and they (Houston) own a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those away underdogs going 19-1 ATS (94.4%) since 1982. Those underdogs also won 15 of those 20 games straight up. Bet on Tulane plus the points for a 5* wager.

Miami Fla. @ Georgia Tech 7:00 PM ET

Game# 139-140

Play On: Georgia Tech -3.0 (10*)

Miami has gone 0-3 SU&ATS during their last 3 games and were a favorite in each of those contests. Their offense has been anemic throughout this current losing streak and scored 14 points or fewer on each occasion. Furthermore, the Hurricanes last win came on 10/6 in a 28-27 home win over a not very good Florida State team, and they had to overcome a 27-7 second half deficit in that contest. Miami comes into this game with a disappointing 5-4 (.555) record after being ranked in the Top 20 throughout the first half of this season.

Georgia Tech is coming off SU&ATS wins in their previous 2 games. Even more impressive is both those wins came on the road at Virginia Tech and North Carolina. Additionally, they’ve gone 4-1 SU&ATS during their last 5 games and forced 13 turnovers throughout that time. The Yellowjackets enter this week with a 5-4 (.555) record.

Any conference home favorite of 4.5-points or less with a win percentage of .750 or worse, coming off conference away SU&ATS wins in their previous 2 games and last they covered their previous contest by 2.0-points or more, and they’re playing after Game 7 of their season, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .777 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 20-1 ATS (95.2%) since 1981. Bet on Georgia Tech minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma 3:30 PM ET

Game# 151-152

Play On: Oklahoma -20.5 (5*)

Oklahoma has scored 51 points or more in each of their previous 3 games. They will be facing an Oklahoma State defense which is allowing a substantial 36.3 points per game throughout its last 5 contests. Oklahoma is 3-0 SU&ATS in the last 3 games against Oklahoma State and averaged 46.0 points scored per contest. Oklahoma State is 0-2 SU&ATS in its last 2 road games with those defeats coming against Kansas State and Baylor. Comparatively, Oklahoma defeated both Kansas State 51-14 and Baylor 63-33. Oklahoma is 8-1 and is on the periphery of a Top 4 College Football Playoff rating. They can use all the style points they can get and especially so against what’s perceived to be a decent opponent that is currently 5-4 (.555).

Any home favorite of 7.5 to 30.0-points that’s coming off 3 straight games in which they scored 50 points or more on each occasion, versus an opponent with a win percentage of worse than .666, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests was 36.4 points per game. Bet on Oklahoma minus the points for a 5* wager.

Baylor @ Iowa State 3:30 PM ET

Game# 133-134

Play On: Iowa State -14.5 (5*)

Baylor is coming off last Saturday’s 35-31 win over Oklahoma and they did so as a 6.5-point home underdog. That victory improved the Bears season record to 5-4 (.555). Conversely, Iowa State is coming off last week’s 27-3 win at Kansas which made them 5-3 (.625) this season.

Any home favorite (Iowa State) of 4.0 to 24.0 points that’s coming off a conference win by 13 points or more, and they possess a season win percentage of .600 or better, versus an opponent (Baylor) coming off a conference home underdog of 6.5-points or more upset win in which they scored 10.0 points or more, and they own a win percentage of .181 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 42-2 ATS (95.4%) since 1985. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a 5* wager.

North Carolina @ Duke 12:20 PM ET

Game# 149-150

Play On: Duke -10.5 (5*)

Duke is coming off a 20-12 upset win at Miami and did so as a sizable 9.0-point underdog. That victory improved the Blue Devils season record to 6-3 (.666). North Carolina will be out to revenge last season’s 27-17 home loss to Duke. The Tar Heels currently have a miserable 1-7 record.

Any conference home favorite (Duke) of 10.0 to 23.0-points that’s coming an underdog of 8.5-points or greater straight up win, and they own a win percentage of .375 or better, versus an opponent (North Carolina) with a losing record that’s playing with revenge, resulted in those home favorites going 23-1 ATS (95.8%) since 1988. Bet on Duke minus the points for a 5* wager.

Vanderbilt @ Missouri 12:00 PM ET

Game# 185-186

Play On: Missouri -16.5 (5*)

Missouri is coming off last Saturday’s 38-17 win at Florida. The Tigers have now gone 12-10 during their previous 22 games. Vanderbilt is coming off a 45-31 win at Arkansas in their last outing. The Commodores are 9-13 in their last 22 games. These results and 22-game records fit nicely into a highly successful college football betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any home favorite (Missouri) that’s coming off a conference win by 21 points or more, and they’ve won 12 or more of their previous 22 games, versus an opponent coming off an away game in which they scored and allowed 31 points or more, and they (Vanderbilt) have won 15 or fewer of their last 22 games, resulted in those home favorites going 17-1 ATS (94.4%) since 2012. Those home teams also won all those 18 contests straight up and did so by a substantial average of 29.4 points per game. Bet on Missouri minus the points for a 5* wager.

Wake Forest @ NC State 7:30 PM ET

Game# 109-110

Play On: NC State -17.0 (5*)

NC State quarterback Ryan Finley and the Wolfpack offense should have a field day against a porous Wake Forest defense. During 5 ACC games this season the Demon Deacons defense has allowed 43.6 points and 532.0 yards per contest. Wake Forest is 0-4 SU&ATS this season versus teams that currently have a winning record and lost by 28.3 points per game. Conversely, NC State has faced just 2 teams that currently have a losing record and was 2-0 SU&ATS while winning by 26.5 points per game.

Wake Forest is coming last Saturday’s 24-17 home loss to Syracuse and they failed to cover as a 6.5-point underdog. That defeat dropped the Demon Deacons season record to 4-5. Conversely, NC State is coming off last week’s 47-28 home win over Florida State in a game they covered as a 9.5-point favorite. The combination of these results in addition to the Wake Forest season record creates a never lost college football ATS betting angle illustrated below.

Any conference favorite of 25.0 points or less that’s coming off a conference home favorite ATS win in which they scored 24 points or more and allowed 28 or fewer, versus an opponent with a losing record and who’s coming off a conference home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 12.0-points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 16-0 ATS since 1998. The average margin of victory in those 16 contests came by an enormous 29.1 points per game. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 5* wager.

California @ Washington State 10:45 PM ET

Game# 373-374

Play On: California +10.0 (5*)

California has won its last 2 games played against Washington 12-10 and Oregon State 49-7. Washington State is coming off a thrilling come from behind 41-38 win at Stanford last Saturday. The combination of these previously mentioned results sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any road team that’s coming off 2 straight up wins in a row and they allowed 14 points or fewer on each occasion, versus an opponent that allowed 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those road teams going 62-22 ATS (73.8%) since 2008. The road teams were also an even better 67-17 (79.8%) straight up in those contests. Considering this college football betting angle sides with the double-digit road underdog in this contest, the straight up results take on greater relevance. Bet on California plus the points for a 5* wager.

Alabama @ LSU 8:00 PM ET

Game# 419-420

Play On: LSU +14.5 (5*)

Obviously, Alabama is been completely dominant in obliterating their opponents this season. The Crimson Tide has won all 8 of their games this season by 22 points or more. However, this will be the first time this season they’ll face a ranked opponent on the road. Their previous 3 road wins have come over Ole Miss, Arkansas. Those 3 opponents have combined to go a dismal 2-12 this in SEC games.

LSU is coming off impressive conference wins over Mississippi State and Georgia during their previous 2 games. Those 2 opponents have combined to go 12-4 this season. Those wins improved LSU to 7-1 this season, and they’re currently #3 in the college football playoff rankings. Additionally, the home underdog Bayou Bengals are a terrific 58-8 at home since 2009. The Tigers defense has yielded just 15.1 points per game through their first 8 contests.

Any college football home underdog of 14.5 points or more who’s coming off conference win in each of their previous 2 games played, and they have a winning record, resulted in those home underdogs going 17-0 ATS since 2001. Furthermore, those double-digit home underdogs pulled the outright upset in 8 of those 17 games. Bet on LSU plus the points for a 5* wager.

Georgia Southern @ UL-Monroe 3:00 PM ET

Game# 377-378

Play On: UL-Monroe +7.5 (5*)

Georgia Southern is coming off a huge 34-14 upset win over Appalachian State and did so as an 11.0-point home underdog. That win improved their record to 7-1 (.875). Conversely, UL-Monroe is coming off conference wins over Coastal Carolina and Texas State during its previous 2 games played.

Any college football home team (UL-Monroe) that’s coming off conference wins during its previous 2 games played, versus an opponent (Georgia Southern) coming off a home underdog upset win by 34 points or less, and they (Georgia Southern) possess a win percentage of .888 or worse, resulted in those home teams going an incredible 96-12 (88.9%) straight up since 1992. By the way, if those home teams were a pick or underdog they went 10-0 ATS and 9-1 straight up. Bet on UL-Monroe plus the points for a 5* wager.

Michigan State @ Maryland 12:00 PM ET

Game# 347-348

Play On: Maryland +3.0 (10*)

Michigan State is coming off a tough 3-game stretch in which they went 2-1 against Penn State, Michigan, and Purdue. Furthermore, following Saturday’s game at Maryland they’ll be hosting Ohio State and will be presented with an opportunity to squelch the Buckeyes national championship aspirations. With that in mind, this shapes up for a potential flat sport for a Spartans team which has already endured 3 losses this season.

Maryland has gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season. Granted the competition in those wins was less than stellar. However, they defeated Minnesota, Rutgers, and Illinois by an average of 28.7 points per game. The Terrapins also upset #15 Texas earlier this season and did so as a 12.0-point underdog.

Maryland enters this week with a solid 5-3 record. The Terrapins racked up 712 yards of total offense in last Saturday 63-33 home win over Illinois. Maryland is averaging 377.6 yards of total offense per game and they’ll be facing a Michigan State defense which is yielding 353.2 yards per contest throughout its first 8 games. Which leads us to a powerful college football betting angle illustrated below which heavily favors the home underdog in this matchup.

Any college football home underdog playing after Game 6 of their season that averages 330 to 390 yards of total offense per game, and they amassed 475 yards or more of total offense in their previous game, versus an opponent (Michigan State) that surrenders 330 to 390 yards per game, resulted in those home underdogs going 39-4 (90.7%) straight up since 1992. Bet on Maryland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.  

Pittsburgh @ Virginia 7:30 PM ET

Game# 315-316

Play On: Virginia -7.0 (5)

Virginia has gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 games. That current win streak has improved their season record to 6-2 (.750) and catapulted them into a Top 25 national ranking. The Cavaliers are also 4-0 SU&ATS at home this season and they won by an average of 16.5 points per game. Their most recent win came in last Saturday’s 31-21 victory over North Carolina and they covered as an 8.0-point home favorite. Virginia will be playing with big time revenge after having lost 3 straight games to Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh is coming off a 54-45 home win over Duke last Saturday and they did so as a 2.5-point home underdog. That win evened the Panthers season record at 4-4. The Panthers defense has been shaky all season long and they yielded 619 yards in that win over Duke. The Panthers stop unit has also allowed 37 points or more in each of their previous 4 ACC games.

Any home favorite of 6.5 to 19.0-points that’s playing with revenge and they’re 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 games, and they possess a win percentage of .875 or worse and is coming off a home favorite ATS win during their previous game, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) coming off a SU&ATS win, resulted in those home favorites going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The average margin of victory in those contests was 24.6 points per game. Bet on Virginia minus the points for a 5* wager.

Navy vs. Notre Dame 8:00 PM ET

Game# 207-208

Play On: Notre Dame -23.5 (10*)

The only team that will prevent Notre Dame from winning this game by 4 touchdowns or more is Notre Dame. The Irish are coming off a bye week and look for them to put forth an inspired effort after barely surviving against Pittsburgh in their previous game. As a matter of fact, that narrow 20-14 win as a 20.0-point home favorite may have been the worst thing for Navy. I look for Notre Dame to be a focused and hungry team in this nationally televised primetime matchup. This has been a down year for Navy this far and look for a continuation of just that on Saturday night. The Midshipmen won’t be able to match the physicality of Notre Dame’s offensive and defensive line. They’ll be worn out by the time 2nd half action rolls around. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Washington State @ Stanford 7:00 PM ET

Game# 161-162

Play On: Stanford -2.5 (5*)

Washington State is coming off an emotional home win over 34-20 home win over a very good Oregon Ducks team. That victory improved their season record to 6-1 and catapulted to them to #14 in the country. Stanford enters this matchup with a 5-2 record and ranked #24 in the land. Yet, it’s the lower seeded Cardinal that’s the favorite in this spot. Since 2008, Stanford has gone 60-9 (.870) at home and that includes an extremely profitable 43-26 ATS (62.3%). The Cougars are in for a letdown while Stanford keeps itself alive in the PAC-12 title chase with a win. Bet on Stanford minus the small number for a 5* wager.

Purdue @ Michigan State 12:00 PM ET

Game# 187-188

Play On: Michigan State -1.0 (5*)

Both teams enter this week with identical 4-3 (.571) records. Purdue is coming off a shocking 49-20 upset of then #3 and undefeated Ohio State while doing so as a 12.5-point home underdog.

Any home favorite of 14.5-points or less that possesses a winning record and is playing after Game 2 of their season, versus an opponent with a winning record and they’re coming off a home underdog of 7.0-points or greater straight up win in which they scored 17 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 2009. Those 13 home favorites won by an average of 22.7 points per game. Bet on Michigan State minus the small number for a 5* wager.

Clemson @ Florida State 12:00 PM ET

Game# 205-206

Play On: Florida State +17.0 (5*)

Since 2010, Florida State has gone 48-10 at home, and Saturday will be just the 4th time during this stretch that they’ll be an underdog in Tallahassee. The Seminoles have won 3 of their last 4 and their only loss in that sequence was 28-27 at Miami in a game they squandered a 17-point second half lead. Clemson handed NC State their first loss of the season last week during a 41-7 home blowout win. I like this game to be much close than expected. Bet on Florida State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Oregon @ Washington State 7:30 PM ET

Game# 367-368

Play On: Washington State -2.5 (10*)

Washington State is coming off SU&ATS wins in each of their previous 2 games. They barely coved in their previous game as an 18.5-point favorite during a 56-37 victory at Oregon State. That win improved the Cougars season record to 5-1 (.833). Oregon is coming off last Saturday’s thrilling 30-27 overtime win over then #7 Washington and they did so as a 3.5-point home underdog. The Ducks also enter this contest with a 5-1 (.833) record. I entered previously mentioned data into my college football handicapping software and it spit out a never lost ATS betting angle which is detailed below.

Any college football home favorite of 5.5-points or fewer that owns a win percentage of .833 or less after Game 5 of their season, and is coming off SU&ATS win in each of their previous 2 contests, and they covered their previous game by 32.0 or less while scoring 24 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a straight win and who possesses a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 19-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 19 contests was 20.1 points per game. Bet on Washington State as a 10* Top Play wager.

Mississippi State @ LSU 7:00 PM ET

Game# 403-404

Play On: LSU -6.0 (5*)

LSU is coming off a 36-16 home upset win over then #2 Georgia last week. After facing Mississippi State on Saturday night, the Tigers have a date with top ranked Alabama. Mississippi State is also coming off a 23-9 home upset win over Auburn and did so as 3.0-point underdog.

Any home favorite of 9.5-points or fewer (LSU) who’s coming off a straight up win in which they scored 24 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent that coming off a bye week, and they’re (Mississippi State) coming off a home underdog straight up win in which they covered by 5.5-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 12 contests was 20.2 points per game. Bet on LSU minus the points for a 5* wager.

UTSA @ Southern Miss 7:00 PM ET

Game# 393-394

Play On: Southern Miss -16.5 (5*)

Southern Miss is coming off losses to North Texas and Auburn in their last 2 games. Conversely, UTSA is coming off a 31-3 loss to Louisiana Tech during their previous contest. Those results create an unbeaten college football betting angle which is listed below.

Any college football favorite of 10.5 to 20.5-points (Southern Miss) that’s coming off straight up loss in each of their previous 2 games, and they possess a win percentage of .400 to .490, and they’re facing an opponent (UTSA) that allowed 13 points or more in its previous game, resulted in those favorites going 27-0 ATS since 2009. Bet on Southern Miss minus the points for a 5* wager.

Penn State @ Indiana 3:30 PM ET

Game# 343-344

Play On: Penn State -14.0 (5*)

Penn State was shocked at home by Michigan State last week during a 21-17 and it transpired with the Nittany Lions being a sizable 13.5-point favorite. Indiana is coming off losses in each of their previous 2 games to Iowa 42-16 and Ohio State 49-26. These results create a perfect college football betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any conference away favorite of 11.0-points or greater (Penn State) that’s coming off a home favorite straight up loss in which they failed to cover by 11.0-points or more, versus an opponent (Indiana) that allowed 42 points or more in each of their previous 2 contests and scored 7 points or more during its last game, resulted in those favorites going 10-0 ATS since 1980. Those 10 favorites won by a decisive average of 34.6 points per game. Bet on Penn State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Virginia @ Duke 12:30 PM ET

Game# 321-322

Play On: Duke -6.5 (5*)

Duke is coming off a 28-14 ACC road win at Georgia Tech and did so as a 2.0-point underdog. Virginia is coming off last Saturday’s 16-13 upset win against Miami and did so as 7.0-point home underdog. This sets up a rare but never lost college football angle which is displayed below.

Any conference home favorite of 3.0 to 18.5-points (Duke) that coming off a conference away underdog straight up win, versus an opponent (Virginia) coming off a conference home underdog of 5.0-points or more upset win, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 2006. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests was a substantial 24.8 points per game. Bet on Duke minus the points for a 5* wager.

Stanford @ Arizona State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 305-306

Play On: Stanford -2.5 (5*)

After winning its first 4 games the Stanford Cardinal has lost their last 2, including a latest 40-21 defeat to Utah as a 4.0-point home favorite. The Cardinal had last week off to recover from that embarrassing loss in Palo Alto. Arizona State has lost 3 of its last 4 games and it dropped their season record to 3-3. Stanford is a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 games as a conference road favorite of -15.5-points or lees versus an opponent with a win percentage of .700 or worse.

Any conference road favorite of 7.0-points or fewer that’s coming off a conference straight up favorite loss in which they allowed 21 points or more, and they’re coming off a week of rest, versus an opponent that’s coming off straight up loss, resulted in those road favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory in those 8 contests came by a decisive margin of 18.5 points per game. Bet on Stanford minus the small number for a 5* wager.

Michigan State @ Penn State 3:30 PM ET

Game# 201-202

Play On: Michigan State +13.5 (5*)

Penn State will look to rebound from a disheartening 27-26 home loss to #3 ranked Ohio State. It marked the 2nd straight season in which they lost to the Buckeyes by exactly 1 point. They did have last Saturday off, but it’s still a huge emotional hurdle to overcome. It’s worth noting, this is a Penn State team that barely survived as a 24.5-point home favorite during a 45-38 overtime win over Appalachian State in their season opener. Since 2014, Penn State is 0-4 ATS in conference games following a home loss and they lost straight up on 3 of those occasions.

Georgia @ LSU 3:30 PM ET

Game# 197-198

Play On: Georgia -7.5 (10*)

Georgia is undefeated at 6-0 thus far and have outscored their opponents by a combined score of 257-78. The Bulldogs have allowed 17 points or fewer in 5 of those 6 contests while they scored 38 points or more on all 6 occasions. Georgia doesn’t beat themselves and that’s evidenced by them committing just a combined 3 turnovers in 6 games. Since 10/18/2014, Georgia has gone a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS as a conference away favorite of 3.0 to 16.5-points when facing an opponent coming off a straight up loss. That’s applicable to Saturday’s game at LSU and the Bulldogs won those 6 contests by an average of 21.2 points per game.

LSU has gone 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a conference underdog of 9.5-points or less after scoring 17 points or fewer in its previous contest. The Tigers lost those 4 contests by an average of 15.5 points per game.

Georgia is coming off home wins over Tennessee 38-12 and Vanderbilt 41-13 in their last 2 games they’ve played. Conversely, LSU is coming off a 27-19 SUATS loss at Florida and did so as a 1.0-point favorite. The combination of those 3 results leads us to a a unbeaten college football betting angle which is shown below.

Any away favorite (Georgia) playing after Game 3 of the season who’s coming off home wins by 14 points or more in each of their previous 2 games played, and they allowed 14 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent (LSU) coming off a conference SU&ATS loss in which it failed to cover by 8.0 points or more while they also scored 23 points or less, resulted in those away favorites going 15-0 ATS since 2010. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests was a sizable 29.9 points per game. Bet on Georgia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Duke @ Georgia Tech 12:20 PM ET

Game# 129-130

Play On: Georgia Tech -2.5 (5*)

Duke had off last week and is coming off a terrible performance during a 31-14 home loss to Virginia Tech. That’s the same Virginia Tech team that sandwiched that Duke win between a 42-28 loss at Old Dominion and the last Saturday’s 45-23 home blowout loss to Notre Dame. The Blue Devils are a mediocre 12-10 during its last 22 games played and that includes 4-1 in 2018.

Georgia Tech is coming off 2 dominating wins in a row which has evened their record at 3-3 while 2 of those 3 defeats came against #23 South Florida and #4 Clemson. Those 2 teams have combined to go 10-0 thus far in 2018. The Yellow Jackets latest win came during last Saturday’s 66-35 rout of Louisville and they covered as a 5.5-point road favorite. It marked the 2nd straight game that Georgia Tech cracked the 60-point barrier. They also crushed Bowling Green 63-17 2 weeks ago. The only 2 home losses the Yellow Jackets have suffered since last season came against Clemson and Georgia. Both those teams were part of the 4-team College Football Playoffs last season.

Any conference home pick or favorite of 4.5-points or less that’s coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 16.0 points or more in addition to scored 46 points or greater, and they’re playing after Game 6 of their season, versus an opponent with a winning record who scored 6 points or more in their previous game and has won 16 or fewer of it last 16 games, resulted in those home teams going 18-0 SU&ATS since 1983. Bet on Georgia Tech minus the points for a 5* wager.

Florida Gators @ Vanderbilt Commodores 12:00 PM ET

Game# 191-192

Play On: Vanderbilt +7.5 (5*)

The #14 Vanderbilt after last Saturday’s huge win over then #5 LSU, and further knowing that #2 Georgia is on tap next. Florida’s overconfidence may come into play on Saturday. After all, they’ve gone 26-1 in their last 27 games against the Commodores. This is a classic trap game and flat spot for the road favorite Gators.

Speaking of Georgia, Vanderbilt traveled to Athens last Saturday and got hammered 41-13. Despite their two decades plus of futility against Florida, the Commodores are a respectable 14-10 ATS during the previous 24 meetings.

Any college football conference home underdog of 4.0 to 10.0 points (Vanderbilt) that’s coming off an away loss by 28 points or more, versus an opponent (Florida) who’s won their previous 3 games played and all of which were against conference foes, resulted in those home underdogs going a perfect 12-0 ATS since 1994. Bet on Vanderbilt plus the points for a 5* wager.

Kentucky @ Texas A&M 7:00 PM ET

Game# 381-382

Play On: Kentucky +6.0 (5*)

Despite their 5-0 record, #13 national ranking, in addition to quality wins at Florida, Mississippi State, and South Carolina, Kentucky still is getting no respect from the oddsmakers. As a matter of fact, this will mark a 3rd time in 6 games that the Wildcats are dubbed as an underdog. Granted, Texas A&M suffered it’s only 2 losses this season to #1 Alabama and #4 Clemson. However, their 3 wins have come against Northwestern State, UL-Monroe, and narrowly escaped with a 24-17 home victory last week against Arkansas in a game they closed as a substantial 19.0-point favorite.

Any undefeated college football away underdog of 3.0 to 7.0-points that’s playing in their 6th game of the season, and they won by 26 points or fewer in their previous contest, versus an opponent that allowed 14 points or more in its last outing, resulted in those undefeated away underdogs going a perfect 15-0 ATS since 1996. Those underdogs also won 12 of those 15 games straight up. Bet on Kentucky plus the points for a 5* wager.

Old Dominion @ Florida Atlantic 5:00 PM ET

Game# 327-328

Play On: Florida Atlantic -13.5 (5*)

This is one of those tricky situations in which the underdog is an enticing option. After all, we have a double-digit favorite in FAU that’s coming off s straight losses which dropped its season record to an uninspiring 2-3 (.400). Meanwhile Old Dominion upset nationally ranked Virginia Tech 2 weeks ago as a 29.5-point underdog, and then barely fell short in last Saturday’s 37-35 loss at East Carolina while covering as a 7.0-point underdog. Nonetheless, recent college football ATS betting history strongly suggests taking the favorite in this precise scenario.

Any college football favorite of 10.5 to 20.5-points that lost each of their previous 2 games, and they own a win percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent which allowed 13 points or more during its last contest, resulted in those favorites going a perfect 26-0 ATS since 2009. The average margin of victory in those 26 contests was 28.4 points per game. Bet on Florida Atlantic minus the points for a 5* wager.

Iowa State @ Oklahoma State 3:30 PM ET

Game# 383-384

Play On: Oklahoma State -9.0 (10*)

Iowa State is coming off a 17-14 loss at TCU last Saturday in a game they were held to 198 yards of total offense. Since 1996, Oklahoma State is 32-11 ATS (74.4%). Since 1996 as a home favorite when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. If that opponent covered that previous game as an underdog the Cowboys improve to 12-1 ATS (92.3%) in that identical situation.

Oklahoma State is an explosive offensive team that’s averaging 44.4 points and 545.4 yards per contest. Conversely, Iowa State averages a paltry 17.5 points scored and 299.5 of total offense per game.

Oklahoma State is coming off a 48-28 win at Kansas and they covered as a 17.0-point favorite while doing so. The win improved the Cowboys season record to 4-1 (.800). The loss to TCU last week dropped Iowa State to 1-3 (.50) this year. These records and last week’s Oklahoma State SU&ATS winning result creates an extremely profitable college football betting angle that sides with the favorite in this matchup.

Any home favorite of 9.0-points or more that’s coming off a favorite of 15.5-points or greater ATS win, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent (Iowa State) with a win percentage of .250 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 43-9 (82.7%) ATS since 1992. Bet on Oklahoma State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Tulane @ Cincinnati 12:00 PM ET

Game# 339-340

Play On: Cincinnati -7.0 (5*)

The Cincinnati Bearcats have quietly gone 5-0 to start their 2018 regular season campaign. The Bearcats are coming off last Saturday’s 49-7 blowout win at Connecticut and they covered easily as a 16.0-point favorite while doing so. Cincinnati has allowed 17 points or fewer in 4 of their 5 games. If there was any chance of the Bearcats taking Tulane lightly forget about it. Tulane pulled off a huge upset over previously undefeated Memphis in their last game when they won 40-14 and did so as a hefty 14.0-point home underdog. Nevertheless, that victory improved the Green Wave season record to just 2-3.

Any college football home favorite of 7.0 to 24.0 points (Cincinnati) that’s coming off an away win by 10 points or more in its previous game, versus an opponent (Tulane) coming off a conference straight up win as an underdog of 6.0-points or greater, resulted in those home favorites going an unblemished 14-0 ATS since 2010. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests came by a decisive margin of 28.2 points per game. Bet on Cincinnati minus the points for a 5* wager.

Toledo @ Fresno State 10:35 PM ET

Game# 155-156

Play On: Toledo +9.5 (5*)

Fresno State is coming off a 38-14 road win at UCLA. But let’s not get carried away with that victory since UCLA is 0-3 to start the season. The Bulldogs will enter Saturday’s game having gone an uninspiring 15-13 during its last 28 home games.

Toledo is coming off a 63-44 win over Nevada in which they covered as an 11.5-point favorite. The Rockets are 16-6 during its last 22 games played.

Any underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 points (Toledo) that coming off an ATS favorite win in which they scored 42 points or more, and they’ve won 11 or more of their last 22 games played, versus an opponent (Fresno State) coming off a win by 17 points or more, and they’ve won 11 or more of its previous 28 home games, resulted in those underdogs going 16-0 ATS since 2014. Those underdogs also won 10 of those 16 games straight up. Bet on Toledo plus the points for a 5* wager.

Stanford @ Notre Dame 7:30 PM ET

Game# 207-208

Play On: Notre Dame -5.5 (10*)

Stanford was extremely fortunate to come away with a 38-31 overtime win at Oregon last week. Granted, kudos to them for overcoming a 4th quarter 24-7 deficit. However, that comeback was more of a byproduct of a bevvy of Oregon turnovers and a botched coaching decision by in the last minute that resulted in a fumble, when essentially all they needed to do was take a knee. That brain cramp by Oregon’s coaching staff allowed Stanford to mount a drive which led to a last second field goal that sent the contest into overtime. The win improved #7 Stanford to 4-0.

Notre Dame head coach made a bold move last week by replacing former starting quarterback Brandon Winbush with Ian Book. The move paid off handsomely as Book passed for 325 yards and 2 touchdowns in addition to running for an additional 3 touchdowns during a 56-27 rout at Wake Forest. The Irish easily covered that contest as a 6.0-point favorite. That victory improved #8 Notre Dame to 4-0.

Any home favorite of 8.0-points (Notre Dame) or less that’s coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 32.0-points or less and scored 52 points or more, versus an opponent with at least 1 win, resulted in those home favorites going 30-6 ATS (83.3%) since 1997. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager.

Utah @ Washington State 6:00 PM ET

Game# 149-150

Play On: Utah -1.5 (5*)

Washington State is coming off a 39-36 loss at USC and now finds themselves at 3-1 (.750) this season. Conversely, Utah is coming off a 21-7 home loss to Washington and their 2018 record now stands at 2-1 (.667).

Any road team (Utah) which is +2.0 to -2.0 that’s coming off a straight up loss, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent (Washington State) with a win percentage of .600 to .800, and they’re coming off a conference loss by 7 points or less, resulted in those road teams going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1992. The average victory margin in those 10 contests was 10.9 points per game. Bet on Utah for a 5* wager.

Army @ Buffalo 12:00 PM ET

Game# 109-110

Play On: Buffalo -7.5 (5*)

Army is coming off a gut wrenching 28-21 overtime loss at #5 Oklahoma. After nearly pulling off a stunner as a 29.0-point underdog before over 87,000 fans in Norman, they now travel to Buffalo play in front of a sparse crowd. I know the Cadets are extremely disciplined, but it’s hard to imagine they won’t be in for a letdown.

This is a Buffalo team that’s flown quietly under the radar during their 4-0 start and dating back to last season they’ve won 7 straight games. The Bulls are coming off a 43-14 blowout win at Rutgers in a game in which they covered as a 5.5-point favorite. They also own a win at Temple 36-29 and did so while being a 4.0-point underdog. Buffalo will be out to revenge last season’s 21-17 loss at Army in which they nearly pulled off an upset as a substantial 16.0-point underdog.

Any home favorite of 12.5-points or less (Buffalo), coming off an away favorite of 7.5-points or less ATS win in which they covered by 24.0-points or fewer and scored 21 points or more, versus an opponent (Army) coming off a straight up loss in which they covered as an underdog by 5.0-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests was 19.1 points per game. Bet on Buffalo minus the points for a 5* wager.

North Carolina @ Miami 8:00 PM ET

Game# 103-104

Play On: Miami -17.5 (5*)

North Carolina is coming off a 38-35 upset win over Pittsburgh and they did so as a 3.0-point home underdog. Miami is coming off a 31-17 win over FIU but failed to cover as a 26.0-point home favorite. The combination of these previously mentioned results and current point-spread leads us to a powerful college football betting angle.

Any home favorite of 14.5 to 27.0-points that’s coming off a home win in which they failed to cover as a favorite of 18.0-points or greater, and they scored 31 points or more in that win, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 SU&ATS since 1986. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests was 38.7 points per game. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 5* wager.

Arizona State @ Washington 10:30 PM ET

Game# 409-410

Play On: Washington -17.0 (5*)

Washington is coming off an impressive 21-7 win at Utah in their previous game and they easily covered as a 4.0-point favorite. Conversely, Arizona State was handed their first defeat of the season last Saturday night while being upset 28-21 at San Diego State as a 5.5-point favorite. The combination of these two results creates a never lost college football ATS betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any conference home favorite of 5.0-points or greater, coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they allowed 15 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Arizona State) coming off an away favorite straight up loss, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 1989. The average margin of victory during those 13 contests was a sizable 28.9 points per game. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 5* wager.

Stanford @ Oregon 8:00 PM ET

Game# 355-356

Play On: Oregon +2.5 (5*)

Even though Stanford reached the PAC-12 Championship game last season they went 0-4 ATS in conference road games. They did mange to win 2 of those 2 road tilts but by just a combined 4 points.

Since 2018, Oregon has gone 60-10 at home and that includes 9-1 since last season. Oregon is coming off home wins over San Jose State and Portland State during their previous 2 games. However, they failed to cover as a favorite in each of those contests.

Any home team who +3.0 to -3.0 and is coming off 2 straight wins in which they failed to cover as a home favorite has gone 8-0 SU&ATS since 1981. The home teams won those 8 contests by an average of 10.6 points per game. Bet on Oregon for a 5* wager.

South Carolina @ Vanderbilt 4:00 PM ET

Game# 387-388

Play On: Vanderbilt +2.5 (10*)

South Carolina unexpectedly had last week off after Hurricane Florence swept through the Carolinas and resulted in their home game versus Marshall being cancelled. The last time the Gamecocks took the field 2 weeks ago they were hammered 41-17 at home against Georgia and fell far short of covering as an 8.5-point underdog. There’s no embarrassment in losing to Georgia but the manner of which it occurred was alarming for South Carolina fans.

Vanderbilt began the 2018 season with home wins over Middle Tennessee State 35-7 and Nevada 41-10. Last Saturday they put up a valiant effort before better than 80,000 fans at Notre Dame before losing 22-17. Nevertheless, the Commodores covered with ease as a 14.0-point underdog. They’re now a perfect 3-0 ATS on the season. Vanderbilt’s defense has been outstanding thus far while surrendering a mere 13 points and 308 yards per game. The Commodores will be out to end a 9-game losing streak against South Carolina. However, their previous 3 losses to the Gamecocks all came by 9 points or fewer. This is potentially the best team Derek Mason has possessed since taking on the head coaching job at Vanderbilt. Bet on Vanderbilt for a 10* Top Play wager.

Notre Dame @ Wake Forest 12:00 PM ET

Game# 343-344

Play On: Notre Dame -7.0 (5*)

Notre Dame is 3-0 so far and they allowed 17 points or fewer in each of those wins. The Irish are now 15-7 during their last 22 games played. Conversely, Wake Forest is coming off a 41-34 home loss to Boston College.

Any away favorite of 5.0-points or more that’s coming off 2 straight wins in which it allowed 17 points or less, and they’ve won 9 or more of their previous 22 games played, versus an opponent (Wake Forest) who allowed 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those away favorites going 25-1 ATS (96.1%) since 2014. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 5* wager.

Washington State @ USC 10:30 PM ET

Game# 309-310

Play On: Washington State +3.5 (5*)

Washington State has commenced their 2018 college football campaign with a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS record. Each of those 3 wins came by 22 points or more. USC is coming off a dismal performance during last Saturday’s 37-14 loss at Texas. The combination of those previously mentioned 4 results sets up a powerful college football betting angle which is illustrated below

Any team who’s won 3 straight games by 21 points or more, and they’re facing a conference opponent that’s coming off a loss by 17 points or more, resulted in those teams going 44-1 (97.8%) straight up since 1988. The straight up record contained within this college football betting angle takes on added significance since it supports the underdog Washington State Cougars. Bet on Washington State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Ohio State @ TCU

Game# 203-204

Play On: TCU +13.0 (10*)

You can’t be much more dominating than #4 Ohio State showed during fits first 2 games of the season. The Buckeyes recorded home blowout wins over Oregon State 77-31 and Rutgers 52-3.

Since 2005, TCU has gone an outstanding 28-2 straight up in non-conference home games. The Horned Frogs opened their 2018 slate with a 55-7 home rout of Southern University. Then just 5 days later they hammered SMU 42-12 while covering as a substantial 23.5-point road favorite.

Any college football home team (TCU) that’s coming off 2 straight wins by 21 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Ohio State) who scored 42 points or more during each of its last 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 40-9 (.816) straight up since 1980. As a matter of fact, since 2010, the home teams in that precise situation are an even better 22-1 (.957) straight up. The straight up records pertaining to this college football betting angle take on added significance when accounting for the home team (TCU) being a double-digit underdog. Bet on TCU plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Vanderbilt @ Notre Dame 2:30 PM ET

Game# 137-138

Play On: Vanderbilt +14.0 (5*)

Vanderbilt has begun their 2018 campaign with decisive home wins over Middle Tennessee State 35-7 and Nevada 41-10. They easily covered both contests with last of which came as a10.0-point favorite. The Commodores defense was stout in those 2 wins in allowing just 272.0 yards per game and forced 6 turnovers. By the way, Notre Dame committed 3 turnovers last week against Ball State. Speaking of Notre Dame, they opened their season with home wins over Michigan 24-17 and Ball State 24-16.

Any college football away underdog of 3.0 to 18.0-points (Vanderbilt) who’s coming off an ATS win as a favorite of 10.0-points or more, and they’re facing an opponent coming off back to back home wins, resulted in those away underdogs going 16-0 ATS since 2010. Additionally, those underdogs won 10 of those 16 games straight up. Bet on Vanderbilt plus the points for a 5* wager.

Miami Fla. @ Toledo 12:00 PM ET

Game# 115-116

Play On: Toledo +11.0 (5*)

Miami is coming off a 77-0 shellacking of Savannah State last Saturday. However, they opened their season with an embarrassing 33-17 loss as a 3.0-point favorite against LSU. Dating back to last season, Miami has lost 4 straight games to FBS opponents.

Toledo opener their season 2 weeks ago with a 66-3 home win over VMI. The Rockets will have the benefit of having last week off. This is a Rockets football program that’s gone 12-1 in their previous 13 home games and hasn’t been a home underdog since 9/6/2014. Bet on Toledo plus the points for a 5* wager.

Georgia @ South Carolina 3:30 PM ET

Game# 347-348

Play On: South Carolina +10.5 (5*)

South Carolina is coming off a 49-15 win at Coastal Carolina last week. The Gamecocks finished with a stellar 9-4 record a season ago. South Carolina has also gone 10-2 during its last 12 home games.

Georgia advanced all the way to the College Football national championship game last season and ended up with a brilliant 13-2 record. The Bulldogs opened the season with a 45-0 win over Austin Peay.

Any underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 points that scored 42 points or more in their previous game, and they won 8 games or more in the previous season, versus an opponent coming off a win by 17 points or more, and they also won 8 games or more in the previous season, resulted in those underdogs going 27-3 ATS (90%) since 2014. Bet on South Carolina plus the points for a 5* wager.

Air Force @ Florida Atlantic 2:00 PM ET

Game# 317-318

Play On: Florida Atlantic -9.0 (5*)

Florida Atlantic suffered a 63-14 drubbing at Oklahoma last week, and they failed to cover as a 21.5-point underdog. FAU has now gone 13-9 during their previous 22 games played. Although the Owls program has made giant strides since Lance Kiffin became their head coach last season, they’re still far from being ready to contend with quality teams from the power conferences. On the other hand, Air Force is similar in caliber to what they’ll face from top teams in their own conference. The Falcons are coming off last Saturday’s season opening 38-0 win over Stony Brook, and they covered that contest as a 15.0-point home favorite.

Any favorite (FAU) that’s coming off an away underdog of 16.0-points or more ATS loss, and they won 8 or more of their previous 22 games, versus an opponent (Air Force) coming off a home favorite of 10.0-points or more ATS win, resulted in those favorites going 11-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests was 18.0 points per game. Bet on Florida Atlantic minus the points for a 5* wager.

Georgia Tech @ South Florida 12:00 PM ET

Game# 307-308

Play On: South Florida +3.5 (5*)

Georgia Tech opened their 2018 campaign last week with an easy 41-0 win over Alcorn State. Conversely, South Florida took care of business as well in their home opener in a 34-14 triumph over Elon. South Florida has now gone a stellar 16-2 straight up and 12-6 ATS during their previous 18 home games.

Any non-conference home underdog of 2.0 to 6.0-points (South Florida) that’s coming off a season opening non-conference home win in which they scored 33 points or less, and they’re facing an opponent (Georgia Tech) coming off a win by 22 points or more, resulted in those home underdogs going 10-0 ATS since 1983. Those home underdogs also won straight up on 9 of those occasions. Bet on South Florida plus the points for a 5* wager.

Mississippi State @ Kansas State 12:00 PM ET

Game# 323-324

Play On: Kansas State +9.0 (5*)

Kansas State narrowly escaped last Saturday with a 27-24 home win against South Dakota, and they’re now 15-7 over their previous 22 games played. The Wildcats are now an impressive 26-2 straight up during their previous 28 non-conference home games. I look for Kansas State to bounce back from last week’s lackluster performance when they host #18 Mississippi State on Saturday. Speaking of Mississippi State, they christened their 2018 season with a resounding 63-6 rout of Stephen F. Austin.

Any home underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 points (Kansas State) that’s coming off a home win by 3 points or less in which they allowed 17 points or more, and they’re playing in game 2 through 6, resulted in those home underdogs going 19-1 ATS (95%) since 1993. The underdogs also went 15-5 straight up in those contests. Bet on Kansas State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Miami vs. LSU 7:30 PM ET

Game# 217-2018

Play On: LSU +3.5 (5*)

Miami surprised many by starting last season 10-0 and catapulting themselves into the College Football Playoff discussion. However, the Hurricanes then proceeded to go 0-3 SU&ATS during their final 3 games played and were outscored by a decisive margin of 96-44. This will be just the 9th neutral site (Arlington, Texas) game for Miami since 2008, and they lost 7 of those previous 8 contests.

The LSU Tigers will enter this season opener with a chip on their shoulders. They barely were voted into the preseason AP Poll Top 25. It’s also been well publicized that their head coach Ed Orgeron is a favorite to be one of the first to be fired this season. The Tigers defense will be one of the nation’s top stop units in 2018, and they’ll keep LSU in games against teams that may have a perceived superior talent level such as Miami is projected to have. Speaking of neutral site games. This will be the 10th such contest for LSU since 2013. They went 6-3 during the previous 9 and their 3 losses came by a combined 9 points. Bet on LSU plus the points for a 5* wager.

Navy @ Hawaii 11:00 PM ET

Game# 215-216

Play On: Navy -10.5 (5*)

Since 2015, Navy is a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS as a road favorite of 7.0 points or more and won by an average of 21.7 points per game. The Midshipmen have been amongst the elite rushing teams in the country since the turn of the century. As a matter of fact, they averaged a robust 5.6 yards per rushing attempt last season. This sets up a straightforward and extremely profitable college football betting angle which is exemplified below.

Any college football road favorite (Navy) of 10.5 to 21.0-points that averaged 5.25 yards or more per rushing attempt during their previous season, resulted in those road favorites going 24-4 ATS since 2009. Those 28 road favorites average point-spread was -14.7 and they outscored their opponents by 23.4 points per game.

Hawaii opened their season last Saturday at Colorado State and they pulled off a 43-34 upset as a sizable 17.0-point underdog. Hawaii is looking to rebound from a dismal 3-9 campaign in 2017. This sets up a never lost college football angle which is displayed below.

Any college football non-conference away favorite (Navy) of 3.5-points or greater, versus an opponent (Hawaii) coming off a straight up win by 4 points as an away underdog of 10.5-points or more in which they scored greater than 20 points, and that opponent (Hawaii) won 9 games or less in the previous season, resulted in those road favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1995. Those road teams won by a whopping average of 30.9 points per game. Bet on Navy minus the points for a 5* wager.

Washington vs. Auburn 3:30 PM ET

Game# 193-194

Play On: Washington +2.5 (10*)

This is one of those rare betting situations where I dispose of my technical handicapping hat and rely solely on my professional intuition. I predicted in mid-July for Washington to be one of my 2 sleeper teams to win the national championship at odds of +1600.  If that indeed is going to transpire, or even have a chance of doing so, losing their season opener isn’t the path for my prediction to be realized. Additionally, a win against a quality opponent like Auburn during a game played in the hear of SEC country (Atlanta) would be a gigantic resume builder.

If the football adage of defense wins championships hold true, then Washington has a solid foundation to do so. The Huskies return 9 starters from a defense that allowed 16 points or less in 9 of 13 games a season ago. Nevertheless, their key to a potential national championship run will mainly rest on the shoulders of 4th year starting quarterbackJake Browning. When Washington won the PAC-12 championship and reached the College Football Playoffs 2 seasons ago, Browning was nothing short of spectacular. During that 2016 campaign, Browning threw for 3430 yards while tossing 43 touchdown passes and was intercepted only 9 times in 391 attempts. Besides his career high 68.5% completion rate in 2017, Browning’s overall numbers dipped substantially last year. I expect the seasoned signal caller to bounce back with an outstanding 2018 season. Bet on Washington for a 10* Top Play wager.

Syracuse @ Western Michigan 6:00 PM ET

Game# 143-144

Play On: Syracuse -4.5 (5*)

This will be the 3rd year as head coach at Syracuse for Dino Babers. Although he’s made the Orange a more entertaining team to watch on offense, his team must show a marked improvement in 2018 following identical 4-8 seasons. If he wants to prevent his seat from starting to become warm, Syracuse can ill afford to begin the season with a loss to a MAC school. Nevertheless, this is a much tougher season opener than each of the past 2 years when the Orange hosted FCS opponents.

The one thing that jumped off the page at me is that Syracuse returns 8 offensive starter which includes 3-year starting quarterback Eric Dungy. Conversely. Western Michigan returns only 5 defensive starters. That low of a number is okay at schools like Alabama, Oklahoma, Clemson, or Georgia. Those are schools that bring in a plethora of 4* and 5* recruits annually that are more than prepared to step up and succeed in a starting role. The last I checked, Western Michigan is a good MAC football program who made it to a “New Year’s 6 Bowl” just 2 years ago, but they aren’t in the class of those previously mentioned schools in terms of overcoming losses of over half their defensive starters due to their eligibility running out. Subsequently, I look for Syracuse’s offense to have their way on Friday and make it difficult for Western Michigan to keep pace.

I already alluded to the returning starters on offense for Syracuse and those on defense for Western Michigan. Syracuse was off to a promising 4-3 start to the season a year ago only to drop their final 5 games. The combination of all this data sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any team (Syracuse) that’s playing in their first 2 games of the season who has 8 or more returning offensive starters, and they lost 3 or more straight games to close out the previous season, versus an opponent (Western Michigan) which returns 5 or fewer defensive starters, resulted in those teams going 26-5 ATS (83.9%) since 2014. Those teams outscored their 31 opponents by an average of 24.7 points per game. Furthermore, this identical college football betting angle has gone an even better 14-1 ATS (93.3%) since 2016. Bet on Syracuse minus the points for a 5* wager.

Alabama vs. Georgia 8:00 PM ET

Game# 155-156

Play On: Georgia +5.0 (10*)

In my mind, this is an even matchup across the board with a lone exception, Georgia’s passing game is more consistent than Alabama’s aerial attack. This is also a Georgia team that averages 267 yards rushing per game, and has run for 238 yards or more in each of their previous 4 games. As a matter of fact, they torched Oklahoma for 317 yards son the ground in their thrilling double overtime win in the New Year’s Day national semifinal.

Any neutral field underdog (Georgia) that averages 225 yards or more rushing per game, and has rushed for 225 yards or more in each of their previous 4 games, resulted in those underdogs going 23-3 ATS (88.5%) since 1992. Bet on Georgia plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Alabama vs. Clemson 8:45 PM ET

Game# 273-274

Play On: Alabama -3.0 (10*)

This line tells me everything. We have the #4 seed Alabama as a favorite against top seeded Clemson in a playoff semifinal game. The Crimson Tide will also be out to revenge last year’s national title game last second loss to Clemson. Alabama is just as good as they were a season ago. Despite what the so-called experts on television are professing, I don’t believe that to be the case for Clemson. Bet on Alabama minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Georgia vs. Oklahoma 5:00 PM ET

Game# 271-272

Play On: Georgia -2.0 (5*)

Sometimes it’s just best not to overthink when it comes to sports handicapping. This qualifies as one of those scenarios for me. Both these offenses are very good. However, the big difference comes on the defensive side of the ball, and Georgia is vastly superior in that area. The Bulldogs allowed just 13.2 points and 270.9 yards per game. Bet Georgia for a 5* wager.

Central Florida vs. Auburn 12:30 PM ET

Game# 267-268

Play On: Central Florida +11.0 (5*)

Motivation is a key element when handicapping college football bowl games. Having said that, I see undefeated and 10th ranked Central Florida having a clear advantage in that aspect. The Golden Knights have been given very little respect all season long due to their perceived weak schedule. Now they get an opportunity to silence their critics against one of the top teams from the SEC. Conversely, Auburn blew a golden opportunity to reach this year’s college football playoff resulting from being blown out by Georgia in the SEC Championship Game. Their consolation prize is a bowl game against a “Group of 5 School” in a situation they have a lot to lose and very little to gain.

Central Florida is the top scoring team in the nation that averages 49.4 points per game. The Golden Knights have scored 45 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. This sets up a very profitable ATS betting angle which is displayed below.

Any underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points (UCF) that averages 31 or more points per game, and they scored 42 points or more in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those underdogs going 52-24 ATS (68.4%) since 2008. Those underdogs also won 37 of those 76 games straight up. Bet on Central Florida plus the points for a 5* wager.

Wisconsin @ Miami 8;00 PM ET

Game# 263-264

Play On: Miami +5.0 (5*)

Miami will be playing this Orange Bowl contest on its home field. The Hurricanes have gone a perfect 7-0 at home this season. Conversely, Wisconsin went 5-0 in true road games this year, but all 5 of those wins came against teams that finished with losing records.

Miami’s defense has allowed an average of 4.7 yards per play on their way to its current 10-2 record. The Hurricanes have a terrific turnover margin of +16 throughout its first 13 games.

Meanwhile, Wisconsin’s offense averaged a robust 6.2 yards per play while putting together an outstanding 12-1 record. Nevertheless, the Badgers are coming off a 27-21 loss to Ohio State in the Big 10 Championship Game, and were outgained in that contest by 151 total yards.

Iowa State vs. Memphis 12:30 PM ET

Game# 259-260

Play On: Memphis -4.0 (10*)

Memphis will be playing on its own home field and that’s significant. Since 2014, Memphis is 21-4 at home and that includes 10-0 when facing non-conference opponents. The Tigers are also 7-0 at home this season which included wins over bowl teams in Navy, SMU, and UCLA. Memphis has an outstanding season record of 11-2 with their only 2 defeats coming against undefeated and 10th ranked Central Florida.

Any team playing at home in a bowl game with a win percentage of .666 or better, and they’re a favorite of 6.5-points or less, resulted in those teams going 5-0 ATS since 1980. There was a decisive average margin of victory of 18.4 points per game. Bet on Memphis minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

USC vs. Ohio State 8:30 PM ET

Game# 255-256

Play On: Ohio State -8.0 (10*)

Both these teams are offensively explosive. It comes down to who will be better defensively, and my money unequivocally goes to Ohio State in that regard. USC has surrendered 26.0 points and 404.8 yards per game this season. Conversely, the Buckeyes defense is allowing just 19.9 points and 292.3 yards per game.

Another key factor will be Ohio State’s potent rushing attack versus the porous run defense of USC. The Buckeyes are averaging 250 yards rushing per game and average a lofty 5.9 yards per carry. USC is allowing 158 yards rushing per contest.

This isn’t a good matchup for USC, and I see a similar result to when they faced Notre Dame earlier this season. The Trojans were blown out in that contest 49-14, and they allowed Notre Dame to rush for 377 yards and average 8.0 yards per carry. Bet on USC as a 10* Top Play wager.

Kentucky vs Northwestern 4:30 PM ET

Game# 251-252

Play On: Northwestern -9.5 (5*)

Northwestern finished the regular season by going 7-0 SU&ATS during its last 7 games. The Wildcats won their previous 2 games by scores of 39-0 over Minnesota and 42-7 at Illinois.

Kentucky enters this Music City Bowl matchup with a respectable 7-5 record. However, they lost their final 2 regular season games by scores of 42-13 at Georgia and were walloped at home by Louisville 44-17.

Any non-conference favorite of 6.5-points or more playing after Game 3 of the season, and they’re coming off 2 straight wins which each came by 28 points or more, versus n opponent that allowed 38 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those favorites going 9-0 ATS since 1993. The average margin of victory in those 9 contests came by a substantial 30.4 points per game. Play on Northwestern minus the points for a 5* wager.

Virginia Tech vs. Oklahoma State 5:15 PM ET

Game# 243-244

Play On: Virginia Tech +6.0 (5*)

This bowl game matchup is a direct contrast of styles. Oklahoma State (9-3) relies heavily on their offensive explosiveness for success. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech (9-3) gets it done by playing stout defense and controlling time of possession. As a matter of fact, the Virginia Tech offense averaged 32:13 in time of possession per game, and they’ll be facing an Oklahoma State defense that’s allowed 400.0 yards per game this season. I firmly believe this game shapes up very nicely for the underdog Hokies.

There’s something magical about taking a college football underdog of exactly 5.0-points and thrust into this identical situation. Since 1980, college football underdogs of +5.0, coming off a straight up win, and they’re facing a non-conference opponent, resulted in those underdogs going 45-22 ATS (67.2%). Bet on Virginia Tech plus the points for a 5* wager.

Virginia vs. Navy 1:30 PM ET

Game# 241-242

Play On: Navy +1.0 (10*)

Navy may be only 6-6 but of their defeats have come by 10 points or less. The Midshipmen will be playing this bowl game on their home field. Since 2012, Navy has gone an outstanding 28-5 (84.8%) at home. Navy’s only home loss this season came against currently undefeated and #10 Central Florida. Conversely, during that precise 5-year time frame, Virginia is a horrible 4-26 (.133) during away games. Bet on Navy for a 10* Top Play wager.

Missouri vs. Texas 9:00 PM ET

Game# 239-240

Play On: Missouri -2.0 (5*)

Missouri began the season 1-5 and making it to a bowl game seemed like a pipe dream at that juncture. However, the Tigers then proceeded to win 6 games in a row to finish its regular season slate at 7-5. They’ve outscored their opponents by an average of 30.0 points per game during their current win streak, and scored 45 points or more on each occasion. The only advantage I see for Texas is the fact they’re playing in its own home state, and that won’t be enough. Bet on Missouri for a 5* wager.

Army vs. San Diego State 3:30 PM ET

Game# 223-224

Play On: San Diego State -6.0 (5*)

It’s been a banner year for Army football. The Black Knights finished the regular season with a stellar 9-3 record and defeated Navy for the 2nd year in a row. As matter of fact, that was the first time Army beat Navy in consecutive seasons since 1996. Nevertheless, the schedule that the Black Knights played this season was less than aspiring. None of Army’s 9 wins came against a team that currently has a winning record.

San Diego quietly went about their business and finished the regular season with an impressive 10-2 record. The Aztecs own quality non-conference wins over PAC-12 teams Arizona State (7-5) and Stanford (9-4) who both will be playing in bowl games. The Aztecs finished its regular season by going 4-0 SU&ATS in its last 4 games, and they won those outings by an average of 27.5 points per contest. Although this won’t be a true road game, it must be noted that San Diego State went a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS on the road this season, and won by a decisive 22.2 points per contest. Bet on San Diego State minus the points for a 5* wager.

Texas Tech vs. South Florida 12:00 PM ET

Game# 221-222

Play On: Texas Tech +3.0 (10*)

South Florida enters this Birmingham Bowl with a terrific 9-2 (.818). Nonetheless, upon careful examination the Bulls played an extremely soft schedule. Their 8 victories over FBS opponents this season came against teams that currently have a combined 27-69 (.281) record. The Bulls other win came against a FCS team in Stony Brook, and that contest was tied in the 4th quarter before South Florida scored 2 unanswered touchdowns.

Meanwhile, yes Texas Tech is only 6-6 (.500) this season, 10-12 over their last 22 games, but they’re better than those records indicate. The Red Raiders faced 3 FBS non-conference opponents in Arizona State, Houston, and Oklahoma State who all posted winning regular season records. Texas Tech managed to win 2 of those 3 contests. They also finished regular season with a 27-22 upset win at Texas as a 7.5-point underdog, and that qualified them for a bowl game. Subsequently, that win may have very well saved the job of head coach Cliff Kingsbury. The Red Raiders have much to be thankful for this bowl season, and will be plenty motivated against nationally ranked opponent.

Any college football bowl underdog of 7.5-points or less that’s won 13 or less of their previous 22 games, possessing a win percentage of .500 or less, and they’re facing an opponent with a win percentage of .666 or better, resulted in those bowl underdogs going 9-0 ATS since 2013. The underdogs also won 8 of those 9 contests outright, and their only straight up loss came by a narrow 2-point margin. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 5* wager.

UAB vs. Ohio 12:30 PM ET

Game# 217-218

Play On: UAB +7.5 (5*)

Ohio was sailing along at 8-2 and seemed like a mortal lock to play in the MAC Championship Game against Toledo. However, they then proceeded to be upset on the road by Akron and Buffalo during its final 2 regular season games. Other than playing in an extremely alluring site for a bowl game, I don’t see the Bobcats being highly motivated or focused against a less than prominent opponent.

After their football program went on a 2-year hiatus, UAB returned in 2017 to go 8-4 (.667), and that feat is nothing short of incredible with all things being considered. I’m sure playing in a bowl game seemed like an extreme longshot for the UAB faithful before the season began. Their Blazers will certainly be amped up to play, and emotion can carry an underdog a long way during the bowl season.

Any team (UAB) playing after Game 6 of the season that has a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent coming off conference losses during which they allowed 31 points or more in each of their last 2 games, and they (Ohio) also own a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those teams going 29-6 ATS (82.8%) since 2007. Additionally, those teams went 26-9 straight up in those contests as well, and that surely bodes well for the underdog in the Bahamas Bowl. Bet on UAB plus the points for a 5* wager.

FIU vs. Temple 8:00 PM ET

Game# 215-216

Play On: FIU +7.5 (5*)

Temple is a far cry from the team that won an American Athletic Conference crown just 2 seasons ago. Quite frankly, at 6-6, Temple is fortunate to be playing in a bowl game.

FIU will be plenty motivated after completing a successful 8-4 regular season campaign, and they’ll be playing in a bowl game for the first time since 2011. FIU has a veteran head coach in Butch Davis who’s had more than his fair share of successes at the collegiate level.

FIU is coming off a 63-45 win over Massachusetts in their regular season finale. Temple finished its regular season with a decisive 43-22 win at Toledo. Any college football underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points (FIU), coming off a game in which they scored 42 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a win by 17 points or more, resulted in those underdogs going 66-25 ATS (72.5%) since 2013. The average line in those 91 contests was 6.7. This precise betting angle has gone an outstanding 14-5 ATS (43.7%) this season alone. Bet on FIU plus the points for a 5* wager.

Boise State vs. Oregon 3:30 PM ET

Game# 205-206

Play On: Boise State +7.5 (5*)

I can’t help but think that former Oregon head coach Willie Taggart’s decision to leave after just one year in Eugene will have some affect on the Ducks. The Ducks finished the regular season with a 69-10 rout of archrival Oregon State. However, Oregon is a dismal 0-6 ATS over the past 3 seasons following a win by 21 points or more, including 0-4 ATS this season, and they lost 3 of those 4 contests straight up. Oregon enters this Las Vegas Bowl having lost 4 straight games not played on their home field.

This isn’t one of your vintage Top 10 Boise State teams from years past. Nevertheless, the Broncos went 10-3 this season, and won a Mountain West Conference Championship. Boise doesn’t beat themselves, they committed only a combined 4 turnovers throughout their last 11 games. Boise also went 4-2 straight up and 5-1 ATS when they had to play somewhere else besides their own blue turf.

Troy @ Arkansas State 7:30 PM ET

Game# 311-312

Play On: Troy (5*)

Troy enters their regular season finale with a stellar 9-2 record, and they’re allowing a mere 16.8 points per game. Troy has led at the half by scores of 28-10 and 41-0 during its previous 2 games. Conversely, Arkansas State is 7-3 and is surrendering 24.2 points per contest.

Any road team (Troy) that’s allowing 16 to 21 points per game, and they had a lead of 14 points or more at halftime during each of their previous 2 games, versus an opponent which is allowing 21 to 28 points per game, resulted in those road teams going 25-5 (83.3%) straight up since 2008. Bet on Troy for a 5* wager.

TCU vs. Oklahoma 12:30 PM ET

Game# 333-334

Play On: TCU +7.5 (10*)

TCU has won each of their previous 2 games, and the most recent of which was a 45-22 victory over Baylor. Oklahoma is coming off a 59-31 win over West Virginia which improved their season record to 11-1 (.917). The Sooners are 21-1 during its last 22 games.

Any underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points (TCU), coming off 2 straight wins, and they scored 42 points or more during their previous game, versus an opponent (Oklahoma) that’s coming off a win by 17 points or more, owns a win percentage of .857 or better, and has won 11 or more of its last 22 games, resulted in those underdogs going 19-2 ATS (90.5%) since 2013. Those underdogs also won 12 of those 21 games straight up. Bet on TCU plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager

Stanford vs. USC 8:00 PM ET

Game# 303-304

Play On: Stanford +4.0 (5*)

Stanford will be out to avenge an earlier season 42-24 loss at USC. After staring the season 1-2, Stanford won 8 of its next 9 games to finish the regular season at 9-3 (.750). and their only defeat in that sequence came at Washington State 24-21.

Since 11/17/2012, Stanford has gone 7-1 SU&ATS as an underdog after game 5 of the season, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS (+13.5 PPG) during its last 4 in that precise role. The Cardinal are also 6-0 SU&ATS (+12.7 PPG) in their last 6 as a conference underdog of 12.0-points or less while playing with revenge.

After sustaining a 49-14 loss at Notre Dame, USC rebounded to win their last 4 regular season games to finish 10-2.

Any conference championship game underdog of 7.0 points or less, playing with revenge, and they have a win percentage of .750 or less, versus an opponent that’s won 2 or more games in a row, resulted in those underdogs going 7-0 ATS since 1980. The underdogs also won 5 of those 7 contests straight up.

Colorado @ Utah 10:00 PM ET

Game# 187-188

Play On: Utah -10.5 (10*)

Utah has lost each of their last 2 games and is currently 5-6 (.454) The Utes must win their regular season finale on Saturday to become bowl eligible. Colorado is coming off a 38-24 loss to USC in its previous game.

Any conference home favorite of 10.5 to 19.5-points, and they have a win percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent coming off a loss by 31 points or less. resulted in those home favorites going 27-6 ATS (81.8%) since 2008. If those home favorites are coming off 2 straight losses, they improve to 10-0 ATS since 2009. The average victory margin in those contests was 28.2 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.

Iowa State @ Kansas State 3:30 PM ET

Game# 163-164

Play On: Iowa State +3.0 (5*)

Iowa State is coming off a 23-13 win over Baylor. That victory improved their season record to 7-4 (.636). Kansas State is coming off a 45-40 upset win over Oklahoma State, and did so as a 19.5-point underdog.

Any team (Iowa State) playing in a conference away game when they’re +3.0 to -3.0, and they have a winning record, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .510 to .600, result in those away teams going 25-6 ATS (80.6%) since 2008. Those away teams also won 23 of those 31 games straight up. Bet on Iowa State plus the points as a 5* wager.

Duke @ Wake Forest 12:30 PM ET

Game# 157-158

Play On: Wake Forest -11.5 (5*)

Duke is coming off a 43-20 upset win over Georgia Tech, and they did so as a 6.5-point underdog. Wake Forest is coming off a 30-24 win over NC State, and the Demon Deacons covered as a 2.5-point favorite.

Any home favorite of 4.0 to 17.5-points (Wake Forest), coming off a conference SU&ATS win in which they scored 22 points or more, versus an opponent (Duke) coming off a conference win as an underdog of 6.0 or more, resulted in those home favorites going 59-13 ATS (81.9%) since 1985. Bet on Wake Forest minus the points for a 5* wager.

Texas Tech @ Texas 8:00 ET

Game# 141-142

Play On: Texas -9.5 (5*)

Texas Tech enters their regular season finale on Friday having gone 1-5 SU&ATS during its last 6 games. Their only win in that sequence came against a hapless 1-10 Baylor team. The Red Raiders are coming off last Saturday’s 27-3 home loss to TCU, and they failed to cover as a 7.0-point underdog. Texas Tech will be looking to revenge last year’s 45-37 home loss at the hands of Texas.

Texas is coming off a 28-14 win at West Virginia and did so as a 3.0-point underdog. The win improved Texas to 6-5 and made them bowl eligible. Texas is much better than their record may indicate. The Longhorns lost to nationally ranked team Oklahoma by 5, Oklahoma State by 3, and USC by 3.

Any conference home favorite of 7.5 to 15.5 points, possessing a win percentage of .400 or better, and they’re coming off an away underdog straight up win by 12 points or more, versus an opponent (Texas Tech) coming off a home underdog loss and is playing with revenge, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 1981. The average margin of victory in those contests was 24.4 points per game. Bet on Texas minus the points for a 5* wager.

Western Kentucky @ FIU 7:00 PM ET

Game# 139-140

Play On: Western Kentucky -2.0 (5*)

Western Kentucky is coming off a 41-38 win over Middle Tennessee State in their previous game. The win improved the Hilltoppers season record to 6-5. Additionally, they’re 15-7 during its last 22 games.

FIU is coming off a 52-24 blowout loss at FAU last Saturday. That defeat dropped their season record to 6-4 (.600).

Any conference road favorite of 3.0 or less that has a winning record, and they’ve won 14 or more of their last 22 games, versus an opponent possessing a win percentage of .510 to .600, resulted in those road favorites going 16-4 ATS (80%) since 2009. Bet on Western Kentucky minus the small number for a 5* wager.

South Florida @ Central Florida 3:30 PM ET

Game# 137-138

Play On: South Florida +11.0 (5*)

Despite being a terrific 10-1 (.909) this season, South Florida has failed to cover in each of their previous 4 games. Central Florida enters this week with a perfect 10-0 record.

Any road underdog (South Florida) that failed to cover their last games, and both teams have a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those road underdogs going 19-1 ATS (95%) since 2009. The road underdogs won 8 of those 20 games straight up. Bet on South Florida plus the points for a 5* wager.

NC State @ Wake Forest 7:30 PM ET

Game# 333-334

Play On: Wake Forest -2.0 (10*)

Wake Forest is coming off a 64-43 away favorite ATS win at Syracuse last Saturday. The win improved their record to 6-4 (.600) and made them bowl eligible. The Demon Deacons offense has caught fire over their past 3 games while scoring 37 points or more on each occasion.

NC State escaped with a narrow 17-14 win at Boston College last week which put an end to a 2-game losing streak. The Wolfpack benefitted from Boston College losing starting quarterback Anthony Brown to a 1st half injury.

Any conference home team with a win percentage of .444 or better that’s playing after Game 6 of the season, and they’re coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they scored 60 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 32-4 (88.9%) straight up since 1987. The straight up results in this betting angle takes on added significance due to the tiny number we’re being asked to cover. Bet on Wake Forest for a 10* Top Play wager.

Rutgers @ Indiana 12:00 PM ET

Game# 321-322

Play On: Indiana -11.0 (5*)

Rutgers is coming off a 35-6 loss at Penn State in their previous game. That defeat dropped their season record to 4-6 (.400). Indiana comes off a 24-14 win at Illinois last Saturday which snapped a 4-game Hoosiers losing streak, and it improved their season record to 4-6 (.400). Despite both teams having identical season records, and Rutgers having a better conference record, Illinois is still tabbed as a double-digit favorite. This line tells me all I need to know.

Any conference home favorite of 10.5 to 20.5-points, possessing a win percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .125 or better, and they’re (Rutgers) coming off a loss by 31 points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 23-1 ATS (95.8%) since 2008. Bet on Indiana minus the points for a 5* wager.

SMU @ Memphis 12:00 PM ET

Game# 373-374

Play On: Memphis -12.0 (5*)

Memphis is coming off a 41-14 win at Tulsa in their previous game, and they covered as a 14.5-point away favorite. The win improved the Tigers record to 8-1. Memphis will have the luxury of having last week off. Meanwhile, SMU was a 43-40 loser at Navy last Saturday in a game in which they closed as a 1.0-point favorite.

Any regular season conference home favorite that has a win percentage of .500 or better, and they’re coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 10.0-points or more, versus an opponent (SMU) coming off am away favorite straight up loss, resulted in those home favorites going 15-1 ATS since 1989. Bet on Memphis minus the points for a 5* wager.

Texas @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET

Game# 341-342

Play On: West Virginia -3.0 (5*)

Since 2015, Texas has gone 0-5 SU&ATS as an away underdog of 14.0 or less, and lost by a lopsided 26.2 points per game. Meanwhile, since 2015, West Virginia is 4-0 SU&ATS as a home favorite of 16.5 or less when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .500 or less.

Texas enters this week with a disappointing 5-5 record. West Virginia is coming off ATS covers as a favorite in each of their last 2 games, and the last of which came in 28-23 victory at Kansas State. The Mountaineers are now a stellar 16-6 in their last 22 games.  

Any conference home favorite of 3.5 or less that’s coming off favorite ATS covers in each of its previous 2 games, they scored 24 points or more in their last game, and they’ve won 9 or more of its last 22 games, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .400 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 31-4 ATS (88.9%) since 1994. Bet on West Virginia minus the points for a 5* wager.

Boise State @ Colorado State 10:30 PM ET

Game# 159-160

Play On: Colorado State +6.5 (5*)

Colorado State is coming off back to back straight up favorite losses against Air Force 45-28 and then last Saturday was defeated by Wyoming 16-13. Nonetheless, Colorado State is a stellar 19-6 (.760) in their last 25 home games, and that includes 17-8 (68%) ATS.

Any conference home underdog of 18.0-points or less with a win percentage of .200 or better, coming off straight up favorite losses in each of their previous 2 games, and their most recent defeat came by 17 points or less, resulted in those home underdogs going 8-0 SU&ATS since 2010. The home underdog won those 8 contests by an average of 10.6 points per game. Bet on Colorado State plus the points for a 5* wager.

TCU @ Oklahoma 8:00 PM ET

Game# 159-160

Play On: TCU +7.0 (5*)

TCU enters this week with an outstanding 8-1 record and they’ve allowed 14 points or less in each of their last 2 games. Since 11/6/2013, TCU 10-2 ATS as an underdog and that includes 4-0 ATS in addition to 3-1 straight up when they’re an underdog of 6.0 to 11.0 points.

Any road team (TCU) which has suffered at least 1 loss, coming off 2 straight game in which they allowed 14 points or less on each occasion, and they’re playing before Game 12 of the season, resulted in those road teams going 40-12 ATS (76.9%) and 38-14 (73.1%) straight up since 2008. Bet on TCU plus the points for a 5* wager.

Alabama @ Mississippi State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 177-178

Play On: Mississippi State +14.0 (5*)

I’m not going to sit here and right about how Alabama has any flaws. Quite frankly, there are none that have been apparent during their 9-0 start.

Mississippi State enters this week on a current 4-game win streak which has improved their season record to 7-2 (.777). Mississippi State is coming off a lackluster 35-23 home win over Massachusetts last Saturday. Nevertheless, the Bulldogs are 11-0 in their last 11 during the 2nd of back to back home games, and that includes covering each of their last 6 with an average margin of victory by 32.3 points per contest.

Any home underdog of 11.0 to 20.5-points, coming off 2 or more wins in a row, and they possess a win percentage of .636-.800, versus an opponent with a win percentage of better than .600, resulted in those home underdogs going 23-2 ATS (92%) since 2005. Bet on Mississippi State plus the points for a 5* wager.

NC State @ Boston College 12:00 PM ET

Game# 133-134

Play On: Boston College +3.0 (5*)

NC State is coming off a 38-31 home loss to Clemson in their previous game. Boston College is coming off wins of 41-10 at Virginia and 35-3 over Florida State during their previous 2 contests.

Any team (Boston College) coming off 2 straight wins that each came by 31 points or more, versus an opponent (NC State) that allowed 37 points or more in their previous contest, resulted in those teams going 72-6 straight up (92.3%) since 1992. The straight up results take on added significance due to this betting angle supporting the home underdog. Bet on Boston College plus the points for a 5* wager.

Washington @ Stanford 10:30 PM ET

Game# 121-122

Play On: Stanford +6.5 (5*)

I’m not going to waste time trying to poke holes into a very good Washington team that’s currently ranked #9 and sports an outstanding 8-1 record. This is all about home underdog betting value in this contest. Since 2008, Stanford is 54-8 (.871) straight up and 39-23 ATS (62.9%) when playing at home. That includes a perfect 4-0 in 2017 and they covered on 3 of those occasions. The Cardinal are 6-3 overall this season, and 2 of those losses each came by exactly a narrow 3-point margin. This game will go down to the wire, and I’ll take a calculated risk on the home underdog. Bet on Stanford plus the points for a 5* wager.

Toledo @ Ohio 7:00 PM ET

Game# 107-108

Play On: Ohio +3.0 (5*)

Since 2011, Ohio has gone a stellar 32-10 (.762) at home under the guidance of current head coach Frank Solich, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog. The Bobacts will enter this game with an impressive 7-2 record, and they’ve won and covered in each of their previous 2 games while being a home favorite on both occasions. That sets up a rare but perfect college football ATS betting angle that clearly points toward the home underdog in this exact situation.

Any home underdog of 6.0-points or less playing after Game 3 of the season, coming off back to back home favorite ATS wins, and they possess a winning record, resulted in those home underdogs going 7-0 ATS since 1988. If they were a home underdog of 3.0 to 6.0-points the betting angle improves to 6-0 SU&ATS since 1988, and there was an average victory margin of 11.5 points per game. Bet on Ohio plus the points for a 5* wager.

Virginia Tech @ Miami 8:00 PM ET

Game# 341-342

Play On: Miami (5*)

#8 Miami enters this week with a perfect 7-0 record. The Hurricanes are also riding a 12-game home winning streak. Conversely, #13 Virginia Tech will enter this contest with a stellar 7-1 (.875) record.

Any undefeated home team playing after Game 7 of the season, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .875 or less, resulted those unbeaten home teams going 209-31 (.871) straight up since 1982. The straight up numbers take on added betting value when considering the point spread in this contest. Bet on Miami for a 5* wager.

Texas @ TCU 7:15 ET

Game# 379-380

Play On: TCU -6.5 (10*)

TCU will be in a sour mood after last week’s 14-7 upset loss at #14 Iowa State. What better way to bounce back from their first loss of the season than with a convincing win over in state rival Texas. Meanwhile, Texas is coming off a 38-7 road favorite ATS win over winless Baylor.

Any home favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off an away favorite straight up loss by 21 points or less, versus an opponent coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 4.0-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1982. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came by a substantial 27.7 points per game. Bet on TCU as a 10* Top Play wager.

Kansas State @ Texas Tech 7:15 PM ET

Game# 381-382

Play On: Texas Tech -3.0 (5*)

Kansas State is coming off a lackluster 30-20 win over hapless Kansas last Saturday and failed to cover as better than a 3-touchdown favorite. They allowed the lowly Jayhawks to rack up 482 yards of total offense in that contest. As a matter of fact, during the past 5 games, Kansas State’s defense has allowed an average of 359.2 yards per game in the air. That’s not good news considering they’ll be facing a Texas Tech offense which average a robust 348 yards passing per game. The Red Raiders will also be out to revenge last season’s 44-38 defeat at the hands of Kansas State. Play on Texas Tech minus the points for a 5* wager.

Marshall @ FAU 6:00 PM ET

Game# 317-318

Play On: Marshall +7.0 (5*)

Marshall is coming off a 41-30 loss as a 15.0-point home favorite to FIU. The loss dropped Marshall to 6-2 (.750) on the season. FAU enters this week with a respectable 5-3 record.

Any conference road underdog of 3.5 to 10.0-points with a win percentage of .300 or better, coming off a conference home double-digit favorite straight up loss, versus an opponent that has at least 1 loss on the season, resulted in those road underdogs going 26-5 ATS (83.9%) since 1991. Bet on Marshall plus the points for a 5* wager.

Navy @ Temple 8:00 PM ET

Game# 313-314

Play On: Navy -8.0 (5*)

After starting 5-0 and being ranked in the Top 25, Navy has dropped each of their last 2 games. However, those defeats came at the hands of #15 Central Florida (7-0) 31-21 and at #22 Memphis (7-1) 30-27. Since the start of 2014, Navy is a perfect 6-0 ATS as a conference favorite of 4.0 or more.

Temple is 3-5 and has lost 4 of its last 5 games. They’re an unimpressive 2-2 at home with their only wins coming against Villanova 16-13 and Massachusetts 29-21. They were upset in their last game at home by UConn 28-24 in a game they were a 10.5-point favorite.

Any conference road favorite of 4.0-points or more (Navy), possessing a win percentage of .583 or better, and they’re coming off back to back conference losses in which they allowed 27 points or more on each occasion, versus an opponent (Temple) with a losing record, resulted in those road favorites going 10-0 ATS since 1998. The average margin of victory in those 10 contests was 23.2 points per game. Bet on Navy minus the points for a 5* wager.

Georgia Tech @ Clemson 8:00 PM ET

Game# 139-140

Play On: Georgia Tech +14.0 (5*)

Clemson is coming off a 27-24 shocking upset loss at Syracuse in a game they were a 23.0-point road favorite. Syracuse exposed weaknesses in a Clemson defense that had looked invincible to that point.

Clemson will be facing a Georgia Tech team that’s a modest 4-2 this season. However, both of their losses each came by 1-point against Tennessee in overtime and at undefeated Miami-Florida. Facing Georgia Tech’s vaunted triple option attack can be a frustrating and extremely difficult task. This is a rushing offense that’s racked up 403 yards or more on 4 separate occasions this season.

Any conference underdog of 14.5-points or less that playing before Game 11 of the season, and has a win percentage of better than .333, versus an opponent coming off a conference away favorite of 10.0 or more straight up loss, resulted in those away underdogs going 25-7 ATS (78.1%) since 1994. Bet on Georgia Tech plus the points for a 5* wager.

Mississippi State @ Texas A&M 7:15 PM ET

Game# 207-208

Play On: Mississippi State (5*)

Mississippi State has allowed 155 and 29 yards respectively during its last 2 contests. Meanwhile, Texas A&M has been outgained on the ground by 161 and 159 yards during its previous 2 games.

Any road team that’s allowed 125 yards or less rushing during each of their last 2 games, versus an opponent which has been outgained on the ground by 150 yards or more in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those road teams going 24-2 SU&ATS (92.3%) since 2008.

TCU @ Iowa State 3:30 PM ET

Game# 193-194

Play On: Iowa State +7.0 (5*)

TCU is coming off a 43-0 lopsided win over Kansas last Saturday. The Horned Frogs held a massive 475-21 total yards advantage while coasting to that victory. However, TCU is a poor 1-8 ATS since 2015 following a game in which they outgained their opponent by 225 yards or more. Additionally, the #4 undefeated Horned Frogs have in state rival Texas and #10 Oklahoma up next.

Iowa State is 5-2 and enters this week riding a current 3-game win streak. The Cyclones have cracked the Top 25 for the first time this season after last Saturday’s 31-13 upset win at Texas Tech. Keep in mind, this is also the same Iowa State team that knocked off then unbeaten and #2 Oklahoma as a 31.0-point road underdog. I look for the Cyclones to give TCU all they can handle and then some. Bet on Iowa State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Florida State @ Boston College 8:00 PM ET

Game# 111-112

Play On: Boston College +4.5 (5*)

Boston College is coming off conference straight up underdog wins by defeating Virginia 41-10 and Louisville 45-42. Those victories improved their season record to 4-4 (.500). Florida State will enter Friday night’s game with a disappointing 2-4 (.333) record.

Any conference home pick or underdog of 6.5 or less, coming off back to back conference straight up underdog wins, and they covered their previous game by 8.0-points or more, and they have a win percentage of less than .600, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .714 or less, resulted in those home underdogs going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1988. Those underdogs won all 10 of those contests outright and did so by a convincing 17.0-points per game. Bet on Boston College plus the points for a 5* wager.

Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois 7:00 PM ET

Game# 107-108

Play On: Eastern Michigan +7.5 (5*)

Eastern Michigan enters tonight’s game on a current 5-game losing streak. However, all 5 of those defeats have each came by 7 points or less. As a matter of fact, the previous 4 losses each came by 5 points or less, and came against opponents that have a combined 22-8 (.733) record headed into this week’s action. My point is simple, Eastern Michigan is a much better team than their 2-5 record would indicate. Furthermore, since 9/23/2016, Eastern Michigan is a perfect 10-0 ATS as an underdog of 2.0-points or more, and won 4 of those contests straight up. Meanwhile, Northern Illinois is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games as a home favorite of 14.0-points or less. Bet on Eastern Michigan plus the points for a 5* wager.

Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech 7:30 PM ET

Game# 351-352

Play On: Wake Forest +5.5 (5*)

Georgia Tech is coming off an agonizing 25-24 loss at #10 Miami, and next week will be facing defending national champion Clemson. In between they’re facing lightly regarded but underrated 4-2 (.66) Wake Forest. This is certainly a potential flat spot for the Yellowjackets. That defeat dropped Georgia Tech to 3-2 (.600) on the year.

Any underdog of 3.5 to 9.5-points (Wake Forest) that possesses a winning record, versus an opponent (Georgia Tech) coming off a straight up loss by 3 points or less and they scored 24 points or less, resulted in those underdogs going 17-0 ATS since 1993. Bet on Wake Forest plus the points for a 5* wager.

LSU @ Ole Miss 7:15 PM ET

Game# 405-406

Play On: Ole Miss +7.5 (5*)

LSU is coming off a 27-23 win over Auburn and did so as a 6.0-point home underdog. That improved their season record to 4-2 (.666). The Tigers have gone 14-8 over their previous 22 games played.

Ole Miss is coming off a 57-35 win over Vanderbilt, and they covered easily as a 3.5-point favorite. That victory evened their season record at 3-3 (.500).

Any conference home team (Ole Miss) that -18.0 to +9.0, coming off a conference SU&ATS win in which they covered by 18.5 points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .44 or better, versus an opponent coming off a conference underdog of 6.0 or more straight up win, and they have a win percentage of .181 or better in addition to winning 8 or more of their previous 22 games played, resulted in those conference home teams going 19-0 SU&ATS since 1995. Bet on Ole Miss plus the points for a 5* wager.

Oregon @ UCLA 4:00 PM ET

Game# 383-384

Play On: Oregon +7.0 (5*)

Oregon is coming off an embarrassing 49-7 loss at Stanford in their previous game. The Ducks are now 4-3 (.571) in 2017. UCLA is coming off a 47-30 loss at Arizona in their previous game, and now finds themselves with a very disappointing 3-3 (.500) record.

Any conference road team (Oregon) who’s +7.5 to -7.5 that’s playing after Game 6 of the season, coming off a conference loss by 24 points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (UCLA) with a win percentage of less than .666, resulted in those road teams going 14-0 SU&ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests came by 11.6 points per game. Bet on Oregon plus the points for a 5* wager.