Here we go again with the Bears, as I have been looking for spots to play the unit.  Now that former Eagles QB Barkley has started the improve, feel the Bears are in a nice spot to catch the 'Skins napping.  Remember, Washington is 0-4 ATS after a DD loss at home.  Traveling the next week surely helps our cause.   In fact, they are 0-5 ATS in this price range.  If you haven't noticed Chicago is an amazing 5-0 ATS as a home underdog in their building this season.  With week #16 in mind, BEARS!

4:05 Eastern

5* (321) New Orleans +3 over Arizona

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

Hard to believe the line is only three out in the desert, but nevertheless we’ll go with the traveling Saints (5-8).  Arizona shows the chalk with a similar 5-7-1 record, but 5-2-1 SU at home with +22-point differential overall this season.  Back to New Orleans as they line up +7 in point differential on the year with a 2-4 SU mark on the road. Remember, though, these type road clubs, in this price range off a loss come out and play well as a norm the next week, and Arizona is just 4-10 ATS L14 home and 1-6 ATS L7 times out.  Saints a productive 6-0 ATS vs.

10* Houston over San Diego State

COLLEGE BOWL OPENING TOP PLAY ALERT....Not afraid to lay points versus offensive minded San Diego State (8-3) with the Cougars (9-3) playing a more difficult schedule during the year. Feel you will see some late money on the Strip Saturday for SDS but, not to worry as the emotional edge completely goes to Houston with a new offensive minded coach (Applewhite) looking for the big win to start his career off on a positive note down in Texas.

Technically, the Cougars have covered 8-of-10 at neutral sites and 16-5 ATS in non-conference.  High flying Padres 0-4 ATS vs. >.500 units and 2-9-1 ATS in non-conference.  In closing, the SDS is a real negative 2-6-1 ATS during the month of December.  Good Luck.

5* WEST VA.+ (342) over Oklahoma
No doubt the "super sooners" come in loaded for muskie as they have won 7 straight conference games.  OU is 8-2 overall, but have not done well on the Strip this season.  They did crush Baylor (did you say defense?) last week, but playing in Morgantown is whole different scenario.  The home standing Mounties have dropped one heart breaker to Oklahoma State this season, and come 8-1 SU after winning against over valued Texas last week.  West Va. with their vaunted offense the Mounties should be able to trade points throughout this contest to support their current 4-1 ATS record in November.  Although the Sooners are catching the Vegas money, believe we have another upset today with this club 1-4 ATS on the road last five times out.

5* NAVY over East Carolina

CFB GAME OF THE WEEK...BDS

Cashed both our Thursday night games, refrained on Friday, but looking for more here. At this time of the season, must favor Middies mental and physical advantages as they will most likely win the turnover battle versus inconsistent Pirates...Good Luck!

Play on: 4* SAN DIEGO STATE over Wyoming @ 3:30 Eastern

Normally, don't like laying DDs on the road but, this seems to be super situation even considering the line adjustment.  SDS shows 9-1 SU winning 6 straight, going 5-1 ATS for money clones. The Pokes come in off a loss to UNLV last time, only to lose in 'trips OT 69-66, AND OF COURSE NOT COVERING.

LOOKING BACK...Wyoming comes in 3-11 ATS in November, while the road team in this series is red hot at 4-1 ATS.  Considering that numbers don't lie late in the season look for State to crush COWBOY COUNTRY.

Play on: 4* Washington State (373) over Colorado 

Colorado actually plays in the PAC-12, "My mother would be shocked to know the Buffs are playing road games near water."  Still have to respect State despite the road setting.  They have not lost a conference and scored 56 on Cal last week.  Overall, the surprising unit from Pullman has won 8-of-10 SU, while earning in Vegas overall.  After losing to the Trojan Horse the Buffs have been hot and come 8-2 SU, while stealing 6-of-10 on the Strip.  The public seems to be backing Colorado considering the line moves, but remember the road unit is 5-1 ATS in the series along with the UNDERDOG, Ditto.

OVER LAY AGAINST AN EASTERN UNIT THAT CAN SCORE AGAINST RELAXED COUG "D."  

4* OKLAHOMA STATE+...FALSE LINE MOVEMENT VIA THE SHARPS, BUT LIKE THE MONEY PLUS HERE AS THE COWBOYS WILL CATCH THE FROGS A LITTLE SHORT EARLY SATURDAY.  GOOD LUCK.

10* New Orleans+ 3-1/2 over Carolina

Held off until we garnered the latest injury, and as we thought the Panthers have key injuries on sides of the ball, and their secondary should be destroyed QB Brees.  Like the way the Saints are playing now despite some short comings.  Good Luck.

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5* EASTERN MICHIGAN over NIU
Not afraid to buck the Huskies this evening who are both 3-7 SU & ATS on the season.  Surprisingly, EMU is rocking with a 6-4 SU record, while going 8-2 ATS in Vegas. They are 5-1 ATS off an ATS win, NIU 1-3 ATS on the road.  Remember, the Huskies have lost both their quarterbacks this season (Hare and Maddie), so I'll go with the surprising EMU to pick the cash on Wednesday night...Good Luck.

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10* USC +7-1/2 or +8 (6-3) over Washington (9-0) @ 7:30 Eastern
Just getting up to speed in College Football for this week.  Well, we our earlier BIG-10 GOY won for you this Saturday.  Here, we all know the Huskies are generating CFB Playoff vibes and rightly so, considering their ability and guile. Still, I love the number that has now dropped down to +7-1/2 for the wacky Trojans.  Remember, UNDERDOG is 4-1 ATS in the series, and Trojans show strong at 4-1 ATS against the conference rivals coming into action Saturday.  If USC gets off quickly, don't be surprised an outright UPSET is on-deck.  Good Luck.

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10* Purdue+ over Northwestern @ 12:00 Eastern

BIG-10 GAME OF THE YEAR…BDS

Not afraid to go against wasted Wildcats who fought with Ohio State and Wisconsin the last few weeks.  Northwestern defeated Purdue last year taking advantage of 5 turnovers by the ‘Cats.  Realize NW the superior entity but, just don’t see marked effort here.  NW 6-13 ATS off a SU loss, while suffering ‘Due a super 8-2 ATS off a SU loss and 8-1 ATS after rushing for under 100 yards in their most recent game.  The road unit has done well of late in this series, but just can’t project a strong effort by the flat ‘Cats.  Good Luck!

Return later for the night card in all sports!

4* Toledo -7 or less, over NIU

Realize NIU off BB wins, can't recommend since they show 2-7 ATS vs. >.500 clubs.  Burning Rockets should have their way from the offensive standpoint, and show 7-0 ATS off a SU win of 10 or more points.  Look for a high scoring game and a cover by the Rockets!

PAC-12 BARKING DOG

11/05….5* (393) Oregon+ over USC @ 7:00 Eastern

Looks as though the public has taken heart knowing the Ducks defense is allowing 530 yards to opposing offenses, basically an open field to success.  This has resulted in the line moving from a -14 to -17 at press time. But, young QB Herbert of Oregon threw for almost 500 yards against Arizona State last Saturday. We know the Ducks are a long shot to become bowl eligible, while USC (5-3) must stay on their current path to secure post season entrance.

Last year Oregon was -4 over USC winning SU/ATS 48-28.  Hence, a revenge and a more critical situation for home standing USC. The major quirk here for this handicapper is the number, USC won by more than 20 points last week, but show 2-8 ATS in that role the next week.  Also, the Trojans are 10-26 ATS off a SU win.  So, with Oregon 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, we’ll grab the inflated number to cash.  Good Luck.

10* UMass (375) over Troy @ 3:30 Eastern

The “M’s” had to travel from Amherst to Troy this weekend which should help with the frequent flyer mileage for those privileged, that’s about 1,232 miles, a long-distance commute for sure.  The eastern visitor is 2-7 SU, 5-4 ATS on the campaign.  Home standing Troy out of the SBC comes off a 4-8 year, bringing back 13 starters.  Well the Trojans have them rocking down in Alabama winning 6-of-7 SU with the only loss to national star Clemson.  They opened the season covering 5 straight (5-2 ATS) games.  UMass finished 3-9 SU last, while returning only 10 starters and inexperience has hurt on the defensive end.  They started the season with losses to Boston College and Florida.  UMass has been competitive with the exception of the Louisiana Tech (28-56) game .  Remember Troy has won 5 straight, showing off a bye week, and have Appalachian State next. Troy is 2-1-1 ATS laying doubles this season, but I just don’t like the spot, since the Trojans bring a 0-4 ATS record after a bye.  Visiting UMass is 4-1 ATS on the road.  TAKE THE POINTS.

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4* Atlanta (307) over Tampa Bay @ 8:25 Eastern

Thursday night the Falcons (5-3) show off a huge mind bending 33-32 win over Green Bay down south.  Whereas, the home standing Bucs (3-4) look to recharge after a 30-24 OT defeat versus visiting Oakland.  The better football team coming in, Atlanta shows with a 5-3 SU & ATS in 2016.  Tampa Bay fields a 3-4 SU & ATS legend.  In this series, the chalk has covered 8-of-11 in Vegas.   By the way, out of the two the Bucs have the more difficult emotional assignment coming off an OT loss.  They play with QB Winston 6-14 SU in his NFL starts.  Since the Falcons show off a more positive experience and bring same season revenge, must back QB Ryan and company.  Remember, Atlanta is 5-1 ATS on Thursday and 5-0 ATS in road games.  Good Luck

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3* Buffalo + over Ohio University @ 6:00 Eastern

Most power rating sources have the Bobbies (6-3) 3+ touchdown leader here.  However, there is a glaring factor to consider inside the letdown angle.  Ohio was just booked as a +16-point underdog, winning SU 31-26 last week at powerful Toledo (6-2) last week.  They have experienced Central Michigan next on the schedule.  In this series, Ohio has dominated with 6 straight victories however, Buffalo has covered 4-of-5 in Vegas.  Currently, Ohio has won 5-of-6, splitting on the big board 3-3 now plays into revenge.  Critical, on the negative side, the Bobbies have not covered a double-digit spread this season at 0-3 ATS L3 times out.  And, when you considered the visitor runs for 130 yards a game the Bulls have a great chance of staying close throughout.

We have more selections on deck.

3* Arizona+ over Stanford @ 11:00 Eastern

The Cardinal has fallen on hard times losing 3-of-4 to Washington, Washington State and Colorado. Last week they scored just 5 points against the Buffs.  And, we know Arizona has been banged up, but they are getting healthy at the quarterback position which tells me we have a "pay-on" situation in a much needed conference game at home.  Granted the series ATS has gone to Stanford of late, but their reality has us seeing a close game, maybe a FG win either.  Good Luck.

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5* Florida State over Clemson

ACC GAME OF THE WEEK…BDS

This battle is one of the most highly regarded matchups this season in College Football, and one of the most significant rivalries in the nation. The successful school has an inside shot at taking the conference and a good chance of playing in the four team set which eventually crowns the nation’s best team.  Clemson comes in 7-0 SU and looks to continue their national surge.  On the other hand, the 5-2 (UNC/Lousiville) Sems look to challenge with an injured defense.  Remember, though, RB Gallman is still questionable for the Tigers.  No matter, he will not be 100% for this situation.  Actually, we expect FSU to change some of their offensive play calling to allow for a more structure attack, keeping QB Watson of Clemson off the field as much as possible. Despite the injuries, FSU has the ability to win this SU, even though the road unit has been cashing in the series of late.  Technically, FSU shows 4-0 ATS after an ATS loss and 12-3-1 ATS scoring 20 or less in their most game.

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10* WASHINGTON #4 (199) over Utah #17 @ 3:30 Eastern
We have -9-1/2 in this game, in some areas it's as high as -10.  Do your home work and try your best to have -9-1/2 going into action.  One important angle for us was the 34-23 win by Utah last year in Washington.  To say the alumni were pissed off would be an understatement. This time around the units play in Utah. Last week Utah (7-1, 4-4) won at UCLA barely, while the Huskies at home crushed Oregon State.  So, Washington comes in fresh with a strong positive attitude knowing they must avenge last season's debacle.  The Huskies (7-0, 4-3) will use their balanced attack to pound the smaller Utes, causing gaps and allowing the passing game to develop. Although Utah will be sky high, we must note they are a perfect 0-4 ATS at home versus a winning road unit.  And the Huskies need not worry about the Troy Williams revenge, FINAL SCORE:  Washington 31 Utah 13, Good Luck.

10/27/16

5* Jacksonville (101) +3-1/2 over Tennessee @ 8:25 Eastern

Theme:  “Grab the Hook with JAX”

Yes, we realize this is a critical home game for Tennessee after losing SU to Cleveland and Indianapolis on this same field.   But, the Jags are 4-1 ATS after their defense collapsed allowing 30 or more points in their most recent contest.  Last week Jacksonville dropped a 33-16 encounter to Oakland down in Florida.  Like the Jaguars, the home standing Titans won back-to-back games but, then lost last week 34-26 at Indianapolis.  Defensively, Tennessee suffers allowing key red zone points.  By the way, JAX defeated Indianapolis in week #4 on the road.    Overall on defense the Jaguars allow just 290 yards (#5) a game, and can win this SU if they hold Tennessee to roughly the same output. And, after surrendering 30 or more points to their most recent opponent Tennessee comes up short in Vegas…1-9-2 ATS, and 2-8-1 ATS L10 as a HOME favorite.  In closing, recall Jacksonville is 8-1-2 ATS in the series and will grab the money here.  Good Luck! 

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10* (H) Georgia Southern (110) over Appalachian State @ 7:30 Eastern

Hate going against App. State but, RB Cox appears to be less than 100% coming into action.  Last year Cox ran for two touchdowns in a 31-13 win over Southern, as the home team scored 31 straight points to win.  GS could not get their passing game going to balance their attack (64 yards), therefore the App. State defense was able to focus on the air game.  This time around, we look for a reversal of form as finally Southern has a more balanced attack and should at least stay under (dog) the number.  We note, App. State comes in 1-8 ATS off a SU win, while the home standing GS kids bring a 7-3 ATS record vs. >.500 units. GS has dropped 5 straight to the number, but appears to be the very best side here. TAKE THE POINTS!

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(478) 10* Denver over Houston @ 8:30 Eastern

Granted this is not the Broncos best role of late at home, laying points.  However, l’m sure I don’t have to tell you how much it means for Denver to have head coach Gary Kubiak back on the sidelines after suffering complex migraines a few weeks ago.  Going all the way back to his days as a Texas A&M quarterback, the coach has always been a tenacious competitor.  Now his unit shows off back-to-back losses to Atlanta and San Diego, and outstanding quarterbacks in Ryan and Brees.  So, it appears to be a tailored made situation for the Broncos, at home on Monday night.  The young Texans come off a scintillating OT win (26-23) over Indianapolis, and have played the majority (4-2) of their games this season in the friendly confines of NRG Stadium.  Houston is 4-2 on the season (3-2-1 ATS), while the home standing Broncos bring a 4-2 mark both SU & ATS.  With this being such an important game for each unit, one of the keys we look at is the turnover numbers.  Denver is ranked #9 in the NFL (11-8) with a plus three but, visiting Houston is rated #26 (6-10) at minus four.  On the field, and considering the current number in Vegas playing a clean game will be paramount for both teams.  Recently, both Denver and Houston have been losing propositions on Monday night, but the Broncos have covered at a 4-1-1 ATS mark at home and bring a 12-5 ATS off a SU loss.  Finally, the Texans have faced two quality teams this season in New England and Minnesota and were completely blown away.

4* Nebraska over Purdue

Bad building for the hurting Boilers as they travel to Lincoln to play the pissed off 'Huskers who were beaten last year by Purdue 55-45.  Nebraska will look to stay unbeaten with a 5-0 (4-1 ATS) streak after winning last week at Indiana.  Here we find the number daunting on the Strip but, Purdue is banged up physically and will fall early in what should be a 45-10 win approximately for Nebraska.

5* TCU+ (325) over West Va.

It looks as though the Horned Frogs don't be long on the same field as the Mounties, especially in Morgantown.  And, when you further note that WVU was smashed by this same unit 40-10 last year, you would fully expect a rebound effort considering.  WVU is 5-0 on the season and shows with Oklahoma State on-deck.  On paper, the major field weakness for either squad is the TCU defense that has been riddled by dual purpose offenses this season.  However, the Frogs have won 3-of-4 with the only loss to high flying Oklahoma.  Plus, they have gone 7-3 ATS in the month of October, while the Mounties are 6-20 ATS at home vs. a >.500 road unit. TAKE THE POINTS!

10* Colorado+ (389) over Stanford @ 3:00 Eastern

Last week all Big-10 road team won, so don't be surprised if that trend goes west this weekend with the exception of one encounter.  Granted the Cardinal did defeat the Irish last week at South Bend, but this Buffalo unit has really come on this season with a outstanding 5-2 record.  In addition, they show on a 7-0 ATS run this season...COLORADO!

5* Indiana (327) over Northwestern

Both clubs are now 3-3 on the season, but the Hoosiers show off difficult back-to-back losses to highly rated Ohio State and Nebraska.  In fact, if you add in the game against Michigan State three weeks ago it's obvious Indiana is falling down in class having to play upstart NW. Indiana comes in 5-1 ATS in conference, while the underdog fires a 5-2 ATS in this splendid series. 

5* USC over Arizona

Despite this road setting, still going with the young QB of the Trojans who's QBR is off the charts considering the opponents and settings.  And, we look for Adoree Jackson of USC to continue spurring the under valued special teams with his speed and big play ability, not discounting bringing field advantage situations.  Realize the underdog has been the play in this series but, the 'Cats are on a 1-7 ATS dinger and show just 5-11 ATS at home.  The road unit in the series has covered 5-of-7 in Vegas.  Stay with us as big games are on-deck.  Good Luck.

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10* Mississippi State +7 over BYU @ 10:15 E.

One of the keys  this season has been college football and the SEC combatants for this handicapper.  So, we absolutely love the Bulldogs (2-3) tonight, despite a road setting in altitude.   Also, we are ignoring the BYU (3-3) 5-1 ATS run on the Strip since they will truly experience a “national realm of reality” when they face this SEC unit off a loss.  Remember the Cougars show tonight 0-5 ATS against the SEC.  Good Luck.

Buy 1/2 point if you can to reduce this situation to Baltimore -3.  Good Luck with the current scenario. Brad Diamond

10* UMASS over Tulane

The huge edge here is UMASS is coming down in class after a huge battle last week with an SEC unit, and they COVERED.  Here they match-up well with the Greenies, and they catch the unit traveling for a rare date back east.  Look for a SU win by UMASS.

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5* Florida over Vanderbilt @ 12:00 Eastern

SEC GAME OF THE WEEK

Realize the Commies are over their heads Saturday early when they face the upstart Gators who were just ousted by the fiery Volunteers in Knoxville.  Not only do the visitor possess the talent advantage, but they have now answers on defense to stop a diversified offense.  The road team is 8-0 ATS in the series, while Florida has covered 4 straight in Vegas when traveling to Vanderbilt.  Good Luck.