8* Sure Shot TENNESSEE STATE

Taking LSU here. This team is good. You know I like their HC and have cashed already with him this year. We have the whole Heisman jinx thing going on for UL. And look. UL Had much higher hopes than the Citrus Bowl. These guys climbed to #3 in the polls after they pasted Florida State. But they lost to Houston and Kentucky. And are here. A dog to a 7 win team. Fournette was banged up this year and the Tigers really skip a beat with their rush attack. 10* Money Bomb LSU TIGERS 

Taking FLORIDA STATE with the points and ML +225 here. What is there not to like? 'Noles get to a face another big league program. And to help things along, a pro-style offense that their defense can contain while catching a TD. Sign me up. FSU was at it's worse playing run-type QB offenses. Michigan is not that kind of offense. Plus, they limped to the finish line. The covered 1 game against a ranked team they played. That was Penn State. Colorado, Wiscy, Iowa, Ohio State. All tough games for the Wolverines. Florida State defense was #1 in the nation in sacks, Michigan #2. But we have seen the Michigan OL struggle lately. Dog outright here. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA STATE 

5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA STATE

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE here. These guys were humiliated last year in bowl action, and no way Mike Gundy lets that go down 2 years in a row. Cowboys excited and bring a potent offense into the Alamo Bowl. Both teams off losses that would have given them Conference Titles. But I think Colorado, for all the times we did cash on them, is just the weaker team. Buffs new to the bowling with nary a player ever been to one. This is routine for Okie State. Can't help but think we will have a Big 12 friendly crowd playing here in Texas also. Final thought is that Colorado loses it's DC. So even with a replacement in-house, it just isn't the same as a the experience walking away. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS 

Taking OAKLAND here. The Grizz are off b2b games vs Georgia and Michigan State. A pair of bigger power conference schools. Now the old proverbial 'drop in class.' That isn't a knock on Wright State. The real key for me here is that after Oakland won both regular season games, the Raiders pulled out the OT upset in the Horizon Tournament. Oakland 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series. 8* Sure Shot OAKLAND GRIZZLIES

Taking KANSAS STATE here. How can we not back this HC? Snyder a profitable 5-1 as a dog this year (loss at Oklahoma) and are 27-13 67.5% last 40 under him. A&M roared out to a fast start but has been pedestrian down the stretch. Sumlin < Snyder is no contest. Sumlin 0-7-1 ATS last 8 game for the Aggies. Whispers that Snyder is hanging it up after this win. 8* Sure Shot KANSAS STATE

Taking NORTHWESTERN and the ML +185 here. And why not. Last year we cashed a monster 10* on Tennessee and they destroyed Northwestern. No way they come out like that here against Pitt. This line I think will continue to rise since the public just loves a team that scores 70 in regulation. But Northwestern can move the ball themselves and have a defense capable of a stop or two. I think getting to 7-6 is a big factor backing the Wildcats. 5* Best Bet NORTHWESTERN 

5* Best Bet ILLINOIS

Taking DENVER and grabbing the +160 here. We had the Broncos at home blowing a game vs these guys on Sunday night. Well, what better gift than revenge here on Christmas night. KC 2-8 ATS last 10 home games. Denver out yarded this group by 200 yards and blew an 8pt lead with 12 seconds to go. Not happening here. Denver defense should again corral Smith and I am expecting the Broncos offense to score us a low scoring outright win. 5* Best Bet DENVER BRONCOS 

Taking the SAINTS here. A little revenge game for Brees and New Orleans. Tampa kept Drew out of the end zone 2 weeks ago, but he is in off a monster game against Arizona. Like my Titans/Jags write up. How do know what Tampa does here? They haven't been in must win games in years. Final home game for Brees. It could be his final home game for the franchise. Heck, their HC could be ousted at the end of the year. Something tells me that Brees and the boys have one more big game left in the bag. 8* Sure Shot NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the PACKERS here. Oh how the times have changed. Vikes started 5-0. I know I can't take last weeks loss to the Colts (we had Minny) as a main reason to like GB, but you can't be happy with the total play of the Vikings. The OL is still a mess. The defense can't bail you out every game. And let's be honest here. Minny was a dome team for a long time even though they play outdoors now. So in Green Bay, the advantage grows with Rodgers behind center. And what about A-A-Ron. Guy has pulled the Pack off the trash heap and primed for a playoff spot. This is one of those spots that Green Bay excels at. Taking advantage of a floundering team. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the BROWNS here and grabbing +210 on ML. This is it for Cleveland. Road trip at Pitt next week who will probably be in some kind of playoff positioning game. So here it is. San Diego, on the road, cold weather and elements. Rivers tosses more INTs late in the season than anyone I can remember. We know that the Browns are going to show heart here. Nobody wants to go win-less. I think that the Mike McCarthy HC era will be coming to an end. This team is 9-21 their last 30. Where is the motivation for them? At least Cleveland is playing its final home and will want to get that W for them. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the BEARS and going ML +155. We cashed with Carolina on MNF over these Redskins. Now they are really backed into a corner where they need to win and get help. Bears have been competitive with Barkley behind center. So MNF, now on the road, on a Saturday vs a team being led by a guy who is out to prove himself. Live dog for me here. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS

Taking the BILLS here as my NFL GAME of the YEAR - Right off the bat we have Rex Ryan coaching for his job and questions around QB Tyrod Taylor. Rex is a players coach, and his players will go all out here in their final home game. We have the fact that the 3 years here in Buffalo, the Bills won by 16 (33-17), 19 (29-10) and 19 again (19-0). Are we really sold on Matt Moore for 2 solid road games in division play coming off the bench? The truth is, Miami can lose this and face a NE team that is already locked into 1 bye seed in cozy Miami next weekend. Favorite is 8-3 ATS in this series last 11. Miami 2-5 ATS last 7 vs Bills and 0-4 ATS here in Buffalo. 10* NFL GOY BILLS 

8* Sure-Shot Total OVER La Tech/ Navy

10* Money Bomb DAYTON

Going OVER the total here. Tulsa should put up about 50 here. I am pretty confident that the Chippewas can get us 24-30 points. Tulsa has a pretty potent offense and CMU has a timely defense that has put some points on the board. Won't be shocked a bit to see a special teams score here either. Should be a wild one in Miami. 5* Total Money Best Bet OVER Central Michigan/ Tulsa 

Taking the RAVENS here. Tough spot for us off that MNF push. But Baltimore is a veteran team with a very good coach, so I think they take care of the sliding Eagles here. We have a very good defense vs a team that is 2-8 their last 10 games. 2-8! Remember all the talk of the new Philly defense and their QB. Well the rookie has 14 turnovers his last 8 games. Eagles have failed to score more than 15 in 3 of their last 4 games. They face an angry BLT squad that boasts one of the best defenses in the league. In off that loss, with bitter rival Pitt on deck, Ravens can't afford a slip off. A loss and they are out of the playoffs. This is a playoff game for them. 10* Money Bomb BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking TENNESSEE here. One of the few positives from the year for us was our call on these guys. This is a solid team. They aren't sexy in today's fantasy league style of play. They are ugly and pound you death. As I said on my Thursday podcast, all KC does is win. Win win and win some more. But they are 2-7 ATS last 9 at home, and Mariota looks like he is putting it together with 21TD and 3 INTs his last 10 games. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking the COUGARS here. I'll be honest, was thinking of grabbing the ML dog here. But I think that Houston still has plenty to prove here. They will get to send off their QB with a nice bowl win, and enter their new HC, OC Major Applewhite with a bowl win. They also keep their DC in place. Can't forget that these guys beat the Big 12 Champ in Oklahoma, and a pretty good Louisville team with a QB who nearly won the Heisman. Aztecs don't much gas left in the tank. I can see them being close for half, but Houston is pulling away for a double digit win here. 8* Sure Shot HOUSTON COUGARS 

Taking NEW MEXICO here. Normally you would shy away from a team making a repeat appearance in b2b bowl games. But for the Lobos, this is a sweet spot for them. A home game! They lost in this bowl last year to Arizona. They are now nearly a TD fave over bowl newcomer UT San Antonio. Just have to think that Bob Davies group is hungry for a win here. A nice 8-4 season would turn into something huge to catch a bowl win since they haven't since 2007. They offense is powerful enough to overcome the short comings of a bad D. I see a 10pt cushion for us this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb NEW MEXICO 

5* Best Bet GEORGE WASHINGTON

5* Best Bet ILLINOIS CHICAGO 

5* Best Bet UC RIVERSIDE

5* Best Bet SOUTH ALABAMA

Taking the RAVENS here as my GOW. Look. This Baltimore team always plays the Patriots hard. They have proven they can win up here in the playoffs. They aren't afraid of Brady. The defense is the real deal. They are coming on when it counts. Flacco can do enough to keep it close here. They have a solid FG kicker who can kick in the elements. So no Gronk. A banged up Bennett. A banged up Brady. Ravens finally looking healthy. I'll grab the points here. 10* Money Bomb BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking DALLAS here. Were done in again with a late score that cost us a cover last week. I don't want to hear about how the Giants won in Week 1. A totally different Dallas team coming to town tonight. First. We are in with extra rest. Always a plus, especially in mid-December. Giants didn't face this offense. Oh, they saw a little Elliot and glimpses of Dak. But we are way past Game 1 and the Dallas OL is a well-oiled machine making this offense one of the leagues best. The bend don't break defense lives up to that exact billing. Losing JPP is a painful loss for the GMen. They will need to find someone else to step up and generate some pressure on Dak. Nothing has changed for me about NY. Their run game is suspect. It is ODB or nothing in the air. The DL will struggle here. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BEARS here. I see from 7.5 up to 8.5s in some spots, and even a 7 or to. Look. It is an ugly Sunday of dogs for me for sure. One. I like my dogs. And we had been close to 60% before the last week's horrible 1-7 day of sides and totals. That being said. That is one day. We are going to get back on track as we always done season after NFL season. So, nobody giving Chicago a shot here. All I hear is revenge game for the Lions. We have talked about on my podcast how Detroit seems to rally in the 4th. The back-door should be wide open for a late cover here. Also, we can't discount that Detroit home games have been decided by  1-1-3-3-7-3 points this year. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the TITANS here. Tell me you had Tennessee favored over the defending Super Bowl champs here? I faded Denver last week off that KC game and they scored late to crush my bankroll. I will do it again here. I know the Broncos have a pretty good defense, but I think they favor a more pass happy team, then the power run game that the Titans will use. Tennessee with the edge at QB regardless who starts for Denver. Coming out of their bye week, this is a perfect spot for us to jump on the home team. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSEE TITANS 

8* Sure Shot NEW MEXICO STATE

5* Best Bet SOUTH DAKOTA STATE

5* Best Bet WISCONSIN BADGERS

Taking OHIO here. Again, another school I like that should be right behind Akron at the top of the MAC. I do like Iona. And even though they lost their best player (English), and a pair of other starters, these guys don't look too bad being led by another former NBAer's son (Cassell). I just think this a type a game that the Bobcats must win. 5* Best Bet OHIO 

Taking UAB. I like this Blazers team. Have them at the top of the CUSA. This is one of the games that they have to win. Memphis a middle of the pack AAC team, but led by a scoring machine in Lawson. Would really be all in UAB if Williams was 100% here, but he has a bum ankle that he has been playing through. 5* Best Bet UAB

5* Best Bet EVANSVILLE

Taking BRADLEY here. Have had these guys before. They bring back a lot of experience. Just think they will do well against a bottom tier MAC team in my eyes. This is a winnable game and would not be shocked if we score an outright upset here. 5* Best Bet BRADLEY

Will grab us some CHATTANOOGA here. This is a good program people. Should be the Southern Conference winners are a Top 3-5 mid-major program in the country. 4 starters back off a 29 win team. Herd should be closer to the bottom, than the top of CUSA 8* Sure Shot CHATTANOOGA MOCS

Taking the BILLS here. So we have the 6-5, fighting for their playoff lives Buffalo Bills catching just a lowly FG from the 9-2 Raiders? Seems a little sketchy to me. Tough spot as the Bills are West Coasting it for the 3rd time this season. But I think Rex gets the best out of his troops this afternoon. Oakland with huge game next with against KC. Buffalo can put points on the board. And we know the Raiders stop unit gives up plenty of yards and points. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking ATLANTA here. Sign us big time here. I think Atlanta is having a nice little season. They have always played good with Matty Ice here at home. But what really gets me on them here is last Sunday night. Granted, we failed to get the cover as we had Denver. But KC left it all on the field for that win. Played an extra quarter of football vs a bitter division rival. Oh, and they have the other division leader, the Oakland Raiders on deck. KC has been winning games. But a closer look over the last few shows us this. A late rally and OT win at Denver. A home loss to Tampa. A miracle win in Carolina down 17-3 in the 4th. Getting out-yarded but beating the Jags. Just playing with fire in my book. 10* Money Bomb KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking CLEMSON here. I think Dabo rates a clear edge over the new VT staff. This has been a huge year for the Hokies in Year 1 after Beamer Ball. But this Tigers team has responded after a rough loss. I just think this team is really focused on getting back to face Alabama. They seemed to go through the motions a few times this year. But they know they are out of the playoffs with the way the Committee is treating the Big 10 teams. I expect a statement here. Hokies possess a dual threat QB and we saw how Clemson handled UL in almost the same spot. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS

5* Best Bet FLORIDA ATLANTIC 

Going OVER the total here. I can lay the 24 with Bama. I know we all here how they can lose and still be #1. I can't see Saban having his guy taking a game off. The dude is nuts. The defense is good. We all know about the 12 defensive/special teams TD. Fact is this. Bama lines wear down teams. Florida is not close to being ready to compete here. They have given up 466, 423 and 387 yards to Arkansas, LSU and Florida State. Now you are stepping up to play the defending champs in a rematch of LYs Tide win. Alabama has given up 18 points in November. I think the Tide get into the 30s and I am looking for 1 measly score from the Gators. 5* Total Money Best Bet OVER Florida/Alabama 

Taking WEST VIRGINIA here. Talk about send in the clowns. This Baylor team has absolutely collapsed. Grobe is out as HC. They are on a long trip with a freshman QB. 6-0 to 6-5. These guys were in the Top 10! What the heck!! 62-38 Bears walloped the Hokies last year. Time for the payback. 8* Sure Shot WEST VIRGINIA 

5* Best Bet OLE MISS

8* Sure Shot CENTRAL FLORIDA

Taking NAVY here. 22-2 SU at home. 11-1-2 ATS L14. And we are laying this? If this line was higher I would rate it higher. I am trying to figure out why this is so low. I do respect the Temple defense. But man, they are really expecting them to shut this Middie offense down. They just put up 75 last week. Temple in the Red Zone - 57% TD rate, Navy 82% - 5* Best Bet NAVY

5* Best Bet SOUTHERN MISS

5* Best Bet TEMPLE OWLS 

10* Money Bomb EASTERN ILLINOIS

5* Best Bet SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 

Taking GREEN BAY here. Have to say, I will be taking GB +165 on the ML here also. Think this line is a little sketchy. Eagles have played their best at home, going 4-0. Yet, this line is barely moving off a FG. Wentz after a fast start has come back down to rookie Earth. He has 4TDs and 6INTs his last 6 games (11TD 7INT year). Green Bay also playing their 3rd straight road game. If you have been living under rock, GB has been shredded for 89 points against the Titans and Redskins. That being said though. Why do I have that feeling that A-A-Ron is going to have a vintage, since he has been terrible, performance. I see one of those blast from the past 4 TD nights where Green Bay finally plays some decent ball. He has 25TDs and 7INTs which isn't too bad considering how bad they have played. We have cashed in 3 of the Packers last 4 games so I think I have a pretty good feel of their level of play. Desperate team with a HOF QB will get it done here on the road. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS

Taking the RAVENS here. Had these guys last week and Dallas knocked in a late one for a non cover. That being said. Oh have the Bengals have fallen. 3-6-1 on the year. No playoffs. Green and Bernard missing. Just add to the missing assistants that have left off both sides of the ball the last couple years and the talent and coaching level has dropped. It has really been a fast fade this season. Baltimore is looking to take control of the AFC North and keep pace with the Steelers. I think they do it behind a very good defense this afternoon. Ravens have lost the last 5 in the series, but I see a big payback coming there way here. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Taking the FALCONS here. Arizona off a loss and in b2b road games. Not an ideal scheduling spot for them as they get Atlanta off their bye week. Look. Arizona had a great year last year. But that is not this team. Carson Palmer looks like father time took a bite out of him. Just 13TD and 10 INTs on the year. Both sides not with the strongest secondaries, but you have to think Ryan to Jones will have a monster afternoon here. I think the Falcon defense can control David Johnson. Arizona 1-3 on the road and that was a win over the Niners giving up 28ppg. That won't help vs an Atlanta team that scores at will in the Dome. 8* Sure Shot ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking MIAMI here. Again with these guys. How many times have we cashed on this team? I'll tell you. A LOT $ And we will go back to the well again. Sp, they had a great comeback last week. That is the stuff that you look for. A team not responding to their coach or lacking motivation, or belief in themselves would have given up late. They battled and snatched victory from the jaws of defeat! Look. SF is bad. I see stuff like, oh the played the Pats tough basically held NE scoreless the 2nd and 3rd quarters. Well. Guess what? They lost! And couldn't cover double digits! Stop with they play tough already. Cross country for an early start time. Chip Kelly is probably going back to Oregon or another college. Couple that with there is just a lack of talent on both sides of the ball here for San Fran. Miami has been playing great and it is the result of good OL play. They should exploit a terrible 49er front 7 that gave up 249 and 248 rushing yards to the Saints and Bucs. They gave up 170 to the Pats last week. Ajayi will probably have 120 by halftime. If the Dolphins have any hope that they are a wild-card team they need a 10+pt win here. 10* Money Bomb MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking ALABAMA here. How can we not? I get it. Laying 17 is a ton. Iron Bowl be damned we are laying the wood here though. We get Alabama off a terribly sloppy game last week. To be expected though. They know the big game was this week as they have a spot in the SEC Championship Game locked up. Tide continue to get defense and special teams help on the scoreboard. The defense is just insane. They haven't allowed a TD in 13 quarters. They give up 2 yards a rush. Less than 70 a game. Their worse performances have been on the road for sure. But we are home here. And probably half a bit of inflated line. Tigers QB Sean White is banged up. RB Pettaway who is explosive is expected back after missing the last 2 games. But again. 2 YPR for this 'Bama defense. 40 sacks, 2nd to Florida State's 41. 9 Defensive TDs. 3 Punt Return TDs. A QB in Hurts, who just hurts opposing defenses through the air or with his legs. The Tigers defense is good, but they have beaten up on weak teams. Clemson (19-13) and A&M (29-14) beat these guys while Bama beat A&M 33-14 earlier this year and Clemson 45-40 in the NC last year. The Bama offense just bullies teams into submission over the course of 4 quarters. They are just trying to beg people to go against the Tide with this number. This team is an all around 'team' and I think a 20+pt win is in the making. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking OHIO STATE here. Right off the bat. When was the last time Harbaugh won a big game? NFC Championship Game over the Falcons? Urban 60-5 at Ohio State, 3 losses in Big 10 play. Twice to Michigan State. They have crushed Michigan 42-13, 42-28 the last 2 years, 42-41 in 2013 and 26-21 in his first year when he went 12-0. The were ranked 3rd that year but ineligible for post season play. Let's be honest, they can easily have 2 Championships under Meyer right now. Michigan comes in with a backup QB or a starter with a bad collarbone. Either way, edge Buckeyes. Both defenses are serious stop units, but only Ohio State has play-makers on the offensive side of the ball. Barrett a solid dual threat QB with 24TDs 4 INTs on the year and 8 more TDs and over 700 yards from his feet. O'Korn had one decent year with Houston but Ohio State is an entirely different breed of defense than the AAC. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE BUCKEYES 

8* Sure Shot ARIZONA WILDCATS

Taking TULSA here. This Cincy team is done. On national TV last week, at home, for senior night, fighting to get bowl eligible, they flat out laid an egg losing 34-7. Heck it was 34-0 in the 3rd before Cincy put up a score in the early 4th. So now they get revenge minded Tulsa who is cruising with a top 10 ranked offense looking to impress the bowl people. Hurricanes have scored 40 or more in 11 of last 13 games. This isn't last years Bearcats who can score. They have been outscored 112-26 last 4 games 1-8 ATS last 9. 5* Best Bet TULSA 

Taking AKRON here. This is a pretty good team. I try to early in the year grab the teams that I think will be the top teams in their conferences, especially mid-majors and look for good value. I think we get that with the Zips here who should be a 25 win team out of the MAC. 5* Best Bet AKRON ZIPS

Taking ILL-CHI here. Like this team. Should be very improved from last years bunch. Like the inside punch they bring with Dixson at 24ppg and Odiase. Cal Poly has to replace a lot of scoring from last year. This is basically a home game for us and you know I love my home dogs. Especially in a tournament setting like this. 10* Money Bomb ILLINOIS CHICAGO 

Taking TEXAS here. It is easy to think TCU gets the win with their secure HC on the sideline. We have been talking about Charlie Strong getting the boot for 2 years now. Man. I do like this guy. Did a good job at UL. But after we cashed opening day with Texas beating ND, it has been a nightmare. Well, I think his players really like him for one. What better way to screw with the boosters than to get to be bowl eligible. Also. This TCU defense is really bad. Longhorns can move the ball. That hasn't been their problem. A little double revenge angle is the whipped cream angle on why Texas should be big winners this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS LONGHORNS 

Taking the COWBOYS and the OVER here. It is tough to lay this when the numbers say Dallas doesn't cover at home. But this is a different Cowboys teams as they are now on a 9-1 ATS/SU run. Dak and Elliot behind this line have been nothing short of brilliant. I would really have no issue with taking the Redskins here. I think Cousins leads a pretty good offense and the defense is no slouch either. But we just cashed them rolling the Packers. Now it is a short week vs a real physical, grinding team. I just think Dallas really pulls away in the 2nd half behind their OL. But I do think we see points here from both teams. I'm think something along the lines of 37-27 type range. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS + Over 

Taking the COWBOYS and the OVER here. It is tough to lay this when the numbers say Dallas doesn't cover at home. But this is a different Cowboys teams as they are now on a 9-1 ATS/SU run. Dak and Elliot behind this line have been nothing short of brilliant. I would really have no issue with taking the Redskins here. I think Cousins leads a pretty good offense and the defense is no slouch either. But we just cashed them rolling the Packers. Now it is a short week vs a real physical, grinding team. I just think Dallas really pulls away in the 2nd half behind their OL. But I do think we see points here from both teams. I'm think something along the lines of 37-27 type range. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS + Over 

5* Best Bet FORDHAM

TAKING UAB here. Like the returning starters. Like that even on neutral court, here in Missouri, UAB should have fans to cheer them on. GW replaced their HC in September! Come on. We have the superior back-court that I always like early on. Just the better team here all around. 10* Money Bomb UAB 

5* Best Bet TOWSON 

 Taking the RAIDERS here. Just the better team and not laying a ton. Game in Mexico. The Raiders and Dallas, probably the 2 biggest surprises on the year. Carr is really maturing into a top QB. 17 TDs and just 3 INTs, while the big contract Osweiler signed doesn't look that good in year 1, 11TDs 9INTs. The OL has been very good. Texans defense nothing like when it has Watt coming after you. Raiders in off a bye week and have had success vs Osweiler when he played in Denver. So the added tape will only help. When is the last time the Texans played good on the road vs a team with a winning record? They haven't. I know the Raiders are young and the defense doesn't scare. But this is a talented group that is finding direction under Del Rio this year. 8* Sure Shot OAKLAND RAIDERS 

8* Sure Shot ILLINOIS STATE 

Taking the REDSKINS here. Have to grab my boys here in revenge mode. I lost with these guys last year in the playoffs and I expect some payback here on Sunday night. Fact is, Green Bay is 9-12 their last 21 games. If you think Aaron Rodgers has been anything but average the last calendar year, you are sadly mistaken. No way the Packers lose 4 straight right? I thought the Redskins were getting zero respect from odds-makers to win the NFC East with a pair of rookie QBs leading the Eagles and Dallas. This is a good team that plays well within its mean under their coach. Pack with injuries concerns on both sides of the ball. Josh Norman has been a boost to the Washington secondary. Kerrigan and Murphy have 7 sacks apiece for the 'Skins and A-A-Ron has been put on his back 22 times so far. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the DOLPHINS here. Tough in a b2b road spot, but you can't back the Rams here. I can say I would have liked Miami +1, but I was thinking they win outright anyway. Jeff Fisher is just not getting it done. I mean, why are we waiting till now to trot out their QB of the future? Maybe because the coach is terrible and the QB had been terrible in pre-season. Dolphins have been money for us since we cashed them as a top play home dog over the Steelers. The OL is really the difference for me and has opened things up for their offense. 5* Best Bet MIAMI DOLPHINS 

8* Sure Shot EAST TENN ST

5* Best Bet DAVIDSON

5* Best Bet MERCER

5* Best Bet YOUNGSTOWN STATE

Taking the JAGUARS here. I said on my podcast that the Gus Bradley era is over and it looks like Jax is mailing it in. But I look at this line and say to myself. How many people are saying 'no way the Lions don't win by touchdown this week!' I can see eliminator pools dwindling by the thousands come 4pm Sunday. Lions out of their bye, are now in first place in the NFC North. They also have a big Thursday Turkey-day showdown against the Vikings ahead. The Jags actually have the statistically better offenses and defenses in this match-up. Tossing out the Lions 6pt OT win over Minny, their other 4 wins have been a combined 11 points! And they are asked to lay nearly full TD here? How many times have we seen Bortles put up points when his team is down. The back door is wide open here. 5* Best Bet JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

5* Best Bet CS NORTHRIDGE

Taking VANDERBILT here. I had higher hopes for Vandy this year. I think their coach might get shown the door after the season. I do like them in this home spot though. They have a tough finale against the Vols next, but this game is winnable to me. I know the offense is bad, but the defense, especially home, has proven to be a good unit. Now we get a freshman QB making his 2nd start, on the road to boot, laying double digits? 'Dores on a 7-2 ATS run as double digit dogs! They have been in every game this year with the except Ga. Tech. 8* Sure Shot VANDERBILT 

5* Best Bet ST MARY'S

Taking TCU here. Oh, another flat-out gem to unload on. The old ranked team getting points from an unranked team. How many people are saying.. Okie State is ranked getting points and beat them 49-29 last year. Easy Money! - As our buddy Lee Corso says. Not so fast my friend. Sign me up for some Gary Peterson bye-week magic. This is far from a vintage Horned Frogs unit. But they had no probably crushing Baylor 62-22 on the road 2 weeks ago. And with extra prep time, I am sure the coach has refreshed the memories of last year. On the road, undefeated and ranked #5 in the land, only to have their season blow-up in their faces. Payback is in order as they snuff out any flicker of hope that the Cowboys had at running the table and somehow climbing the playoff rankings. 5* Best Bet TCU 

Taking KANSAS STATE here. As close to a 'no-brainer' out there as I can get. First, we have such a huge edge in coaching this really should be a 10-20 pt win for us. Just look at Baylor. They road their negative press to a fast 6-0 start beating cupcakes and have now lost 3 straight. The last 2 by a combined 61 points. Where is the motivation for the Bears? Lost their QB.  Their coach is not going to be here at the end of the year. Assistants probably working on resumes. Lame duck staff with no major bowl pending. And then we have Bill Snyder a perfect 8-0 ATS last 8 out of byes. Need a win for bowl eligibility. 10* Money-Bomb KANSAS STATE 

Taking OHIO here. This is a solid club from the MAC. Experienced and has depth. Should be one of the 2 top teams in league play. Won't be shocked to see them approach 25+ wins on the year. Tech is a bottom rung ACC team so you know the Bobcats will be gunning to take down an ACC school. 10* Money Bomb OHIO BOBCATS

Taking MICHIGAN here. Vandy didn't help their cause by turning the ball over 20 times to Marquette. Wolverines a bit more experienced and I can't see that kind of bad ball handling with their experienced back-court. And on the flip side of that, the Golden Eagles are a young bunch. I know this line flipped from Michigan -1 to Marquette -1. And I am normally on already, or have followed such moves. But I think this in an over-reaction to the Vandy game. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking LOUISVILLE here. Said on my podcast that UL has to really make a statement here. The powers that be obviously adhere to a little head to head action as Clemson is ahead of the Cardinals. So I expect a big showing tonight to show the committee that they are to be taken seriously. Now, if Houston has been sitting pretty at 10-0, then things are totally different. But with losses to Navy and SMU, well they can only really be a semi-spoiler. So, a short week and Houston QB Ward nursing a shoulder injury. Plus we get the revenge factor on top of the perfect storm of upsets last week. 5* Best Bet LOUISVILLE 

Taking SMU here. Pitt will be in a little bit of a transition phase with their new HC. They went to OT out of the gate vs Eastern Michigan and then beat Gardner Webb. SMU has talent and I think will be on mission to take down an ACC team in a tournament. 5* Best Bet SMU MUSTANGS

Taking SIENA here. 5 double digit scored back including 4 seniors and this is the kind of dog I like to grab. Now GW won the NIT last year but have lost some starters. Basically a 2 man team. And you need more help when you are trying to keep up with the run and gun style of Siena 8* Sure Shot SIENA SAINTS 

Taking MONMOUTH here. The top seeds from last years NIT battling it out. Carolina with their 3rd game in 5 days and take on a tough Hawks bunch. Last year was a break out for this group as they knocked off 4 power 5 teams on the road and we cashed everyone. I will gladly jump on them here with the same team largely intact. 5* Best Bet MONMOUTH HAWKS 

Taking ALABAMA here. First big play of the year in CBB and we are in big revenge mode here. Dayton crushed the Tide last year 80-48! Avery Johnson looking for some home cooking in Tuscaloosa for some payback. 10* Money-Bomb ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE 

5* Best Bet PURDUE BOILERMAKERS

Taking the PATRIOTS here. How can I not grab them off a bye week. Short week for Seattle coupled with a long trip east. And frankly, I don't think they are as good as past editions. We have faded them on several occasions already. Brady is just doing Brady things. Throwing TDs, winning. Gronk and Bennett are monsters over the middle. I think Brady is really on a mission to make up for his suspension. There will be Super Bowl revenge as Seattle offense is a shell of that team. 8* Sure-Shot NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

5* Best Bet RICE OWLS

Taking CAROLINA here. They have put 2 straight together and might be looking at playoff spot if they keep it going. Won't be easy though as KC has gone 16-2 L 18 and 17-3 L 20 SU. Those are some tough numbers to fade. I just feel the Panthers are finally better football after their bye week. KC isn't dominating the stats but are getting the TOs (+13). Cam is having a poor season overall, but has gotten it done the last 2 weeks. At 3-5 they are in no position to be overlooking or past any opponent. Just certain spots where I feel a team is that 'must win' spot, and this is one of them. 10* Money Bomb CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking COLORADO STATE here. One. The HF for Air Force is negated since the Rams are use to this altitude of play. Two. We get the Falcons off a big road win over a fellow Academy win in Army. Colorado State basically off 2 straight bye weeks as they won 37-0 last week. AF is 2-11 ATS last 13 games after facing Army and Navy. 5* Best Bet COLORADO STATE 

Taking ARKANSAS here. Back on the Hogs here. We were 'Bama last week and they got us the W. So how can we, or anyone for that matter back LSU as a road fave? Nowhere to go but down and that is a bad spot vs an Arkansas team that has beaten them the last 2 years. 5* Best Bet ARKANSAS

Taking LA TECH. These guys have lost to Arkansas and Midd Tenn State by 5 points combined. They hung with an explosive Texas Tech offense 59-45 on the road. They passing offense is one of the best in the land. QB Ryan Higgins 30 TDs and just 4 INTs on the year. Final home game for the Bulldogs. I see a 50pt day lining up. UTSA is a middle of the road team and quite frankly, could be very flat here. As I said, Tech lost to MDST while the Road Runners come in off an outright win over Midd Tenn winning 45-25 as 19 point DOGS! Reality check in Ruston this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb LOUISIANA TECH 

Taking OKLAHOMA here. Man. Laying this kind of number vs a team that averages 40ppg! Just screams that the Sooners win this 63-35. Where has is the motivation for the Bears. How is an interm HC in Grobe getting this team off the mat? Road loss at Texas knocked them from the unbeaten. They get absolutely thrashed allowing 62 at home to TCU. Now they face a Sooners team with extra rest and getting weapons back on offense. 2 years go the Bears won here. Payback in order. 8* Sure Shot OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking the RAIDERS here. Oakland has killed it on their east coast trips, but haven't done well in front of the home fans. Maybe you can say playing better teams, like the Falcons and Chiefs will do that to you. Maybe you think well, they aren't that good. True. They are terrible undisciplined and the defense leaves a lot of room for improvement. But this offense can generate yards and points. Do we forget that they went into Denver last year and shut out Oswieler in the 2nd half, scoring 15 points themselves winning the game 15-12? I get the Denver defense is the real deal. I get in a Pk, you don't need much from Siemian at QB or a patchwork RB duo. I think the Raiders are believing in themselves. And to get the defending champs at home for a battle to see who is top dog in the AFC West. 5*  Best Bet OAKLAND RAIDERS

Taking the PANTHERS here. I can't tell you how many times we have cashed the Rams as dogs over the last couple years. I can tell you about just as many times we faded a Panthers team to a win. Things are different for Carolina as they look far removed from a Super Bowl team of last year. I have to say though, something tells me that Cam Newton gets some calls this afternoon. He has been getting drilled and nary a flag. Now, I am not some pussifacation of the game guy. I think QBs should take their licks. And I also think that if they removed Cam from that Denver game, the same people complaining would have lost their minds. A starting QB removed with a minute to go driving for a GW score. Come on. Again, that being said here I think after meeting Goodall, he will get a benefit of a call or 2. Enough of my QB safety rant. The Rams. A picture of 8-8 or 7-9 every year, every team under Jeff Fisher. Guy will soon have the most losses of ANY NFL HC! Let's face the truth here. This Rams offense is brutal. They draft a QB and let him sit while they don't amass any wins. Carolina has a decent rush defense and Gurley hasn't impressed this season. Tough laying points with a fave that looks to be having a down year. But I feel there is too much pride here for them to slip up again on the road. 8* Sure Shot CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the DOLPHINS here. Yes the old -3.5. You know from my podcasts that I love this and the 7.5 faves. As much as I cash dog-outrights, when I see these lines, I pounce like a puma! Miami off their bye week. Jets in b2b road games and 4th in 5 weeks. Dolphins OL healthy and you get b2b 200 yard rush games. These guys have a talented DL and will hound Fitzmagic into something bad. 10* Money Bomb MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking ALABAMA here. Saban's bunch is 22-2 SU L24 with 19 wins coming by 7 or more. How can we not take the best team in the land when they are laying less than 10? This is a dominate team. I am sure Lane Kiffin will dial something special up here against LSU. Both teams off bye weeks. But the Tigers have a lot more to worry about in my eyes. Bama has scored 12 non-offensive touchdowns. 9 on defense, 3 special teams. That is basically a score a game. So stat wise you are telling me with that, I am getting the Tide at a pick? Sign me up. I do like Orgeron. And I think he should get a full time gig. But this Alabama crew. Come on with this coaching staff. LSU safety says they are going to dominate and have been letting Alabama off the hook - Why give the Tide any more fuel to their undefeated, National Championship repeat , us against the world mentality. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA