Taking the BEARS. I have kicked Chicago's back in since pre-season. QB is brutal and the coach doesn't help a bit. But there is zero chance I am laying at home with the Rams. OL is a nightmare. Gurley is done. Guy hasn't been healthy last couple years. Goff making that contract look horrible. Not his fault that he is an average QB. Rams always have problems with good defenses. And, the Bears defense is still an elite unit. We might not win this one outright, but there is not a chance the Rams win this by a TD. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. I get it. It might be a square play here with NE off a bye week. But I can't trust Philly even as a small dog. Especially with Super Bowl Pay-back on the menu tonight. This is NOT that Eagles team. This team has loads of problems on both sides of the ball. They are 5-4. Where is the good win? At Green Bay? Is that what we are hanging our hats on? Let's do a little recap here. Redskins jumped out early on them and Philly held on. Lost at Atlanta. Lions beat them here. The GB win. Mauled Jets with a backup QB behind center for the visitors. Beaten badly at Minny, then smashed by Dallas on National TV. Beat a so so Bills team. Again I ask - Will Brady beat this team by 4 points off a bye week with a Super Bowl loss memory fresh in his head. I don't think this game is close. It might be tight for a half, but Patriots defense will want to reshape their image after the Ravens game. Brady has something to prove. Brady 13-4 off bye week. Pats with the NFC East co-leader Cowboys on deck at home. Then South leading Texans then West leading Chiefs all coming up. This is the most focused and fresh they will be. I found this little tidbit on the web from the start of the season - Since 2002, away favorites coming off a bye are 66-31 against the spread (68%) and a phenomenal 28-6 ATS (82.4%) and 31-3 straight up (91.2%) when favored by at least 4.5 points. - 10* Money Bomb NE PATRIOTS 

Taking the SAINTS. Have to grab this team off a bad game. NO not looking too pretty last week vs the Falcons. This is a game that the HC takes very seriously. TB off nice come from behind win over Arizona. But this isn't a rookie QB and HC. This is a HOF QB & Coach, and Super Bowl winning combo. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking the JAGUARS. Last we saw Jax they were getting mauled in London 26-3 by the Texans. Minshew mania over after that 2 interception day. Off their bye week, Nick Foles returns. Minshew was solid. 13 TDs. 93 passer rating. Not too shabby for the rookie. But Foles has a playoff pedigree. We can laugh and joke about it. The guy wins. 14-4 back in 2013/2014 for Philly. Then 6-2 the last 2 years filling in for Wentz, and 4-1 in the Playoffs adding a Super Bowl Trophy to his shelf. Colts for me, way too shaky. And I was a big Indy guy this season. But TY out. QB questions. Not a spot to be laying points. Shaky kicking game. Jags all day for me here. 8* Sure Shot JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Taking IOWA STATE. Please explain this line. I know. Tom Herman what, 14-4 as a dog. Here getting a TD. Longhorns ranked in the Top 20. Iowa State 5-4, and laying a pretty decent size chunk here. World will be on Texas and Herman. We are going opposite. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE 

Taking ALABAMA. We had LSU ML last week and it payed off. We will be all in on the Tide. Off a loss. Holy. Normally, their loss is the playoffs and they blast some team to open the season. Now the angry is fresh and will carry over. There will be no let-down for a double loss here. Tide still #5 in the Playoff Poll. That is an entire other argument as somehow Georgia who lost to South Carolina is 4 ahead of Alabama and undefeated Big 10 teams among others. Back to Miss State being a sacrificial lamb this afternoon. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking MARSHALL. Interesting 2 point line move and the money was already in on LT as they are always live as dogs under Holtz. LT also averaging over 50ppg last 4 and again, besides the line move, the total dropped. Thought about moving this to a Top 10, but even hitting 60% this month, we aren't forcing our hand. 5* Best Bet MARSHALL 

Taking the NINERS here. I don't think I have heard one person say they like San Fran. I get Wilson is having an MVP year. Something tells me though that SF are practiced and ready to go. Extra prep time off the Thursday game. Injured guys get some more time. Sanders looked good in his first game since trade from Denver. The defense is not too shabby. 10* Money Bomb SAN FRANCISCO 49ers 

Taking the COWBOYS. Went back and forth a bit on this one. I do like Minny. Love their HC. But their QB is a Prime Time nightmare. How about 6-14 in prime-time starts, and 6-29 against opponents with winning records! Dak is 14-5 in his prime-time starts. Let's not forget 0 4th quarter comebacks either from Cousins, 0-10-1 when trailing coming into the 4th. Not going to say some negatives backing Garrett in this spot for Dallas. But Minny just hasn't figured it out when it matters on the road. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking SEATTLE, again. These guys forgot they had a game last time out. What a disaster. But, new day. We are back on them. Seattle won last year by 20, and 19 in 2017. I'm looking for them to bring the defense after getting hammered by 30 the other night. Eastern Washington comes in off a huge 107-25 win! That wasn't on XBox. That was against something called Portland Bible College. Folks, that is just some bad mojo beating a school with Bible in it's name like that. 5* Best Bet SEATTLE 

5* Best Bet CAL BAKERSFIELD 

Taking CLEMSON. Undefeated, defending Champs, not in the Top 5 of the CFB Playoffs. I would lay 40 here. I think the Tigers demolish NC State who has been exposed the last 2 weeks giving up 89 points to Wake and BC. This is going to be a 55-10 type of game. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking TENNESSEE. Kentucky playing a WR at QB and he is acting like a RB. Vols need 2 wins to get bowling. This is one. Vandy to end the year the other. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSEE

Taking LSU here on the MONEY LINE, but also going to play some at +6.5. We have seen Saban teams have trouble with good offenses. Look at this line. A healthy Tua and we would be getting double digits, and I would still be looking at LSU. I can here all the Alabama backers saying Tide just have to win by a TD. Live dog today. 4* Money Maker LSU on the ML-- If you are taking +6.5, boost it to a 8* Sure Shot play. 

Taking SOUTHERN MISS. I do like UAB. 6-2 looks nice, but no real upset, major wins. In off 30-7 at Tennessee. Now, rested So Miss off bye week. They are 5-3 but like UAB, 3-1 in Conference Play looking up at 4-1 La Tech. Just the scheduling spot I have to go with the home fave here. 5* Best Bet SOUTHERN MISS 

Taking STANFORD. Back with a QB behind center, we will take the small faves here. Off their bye-week, sitting at 4-4, nice staring at Colorado who has dropped 5 straight. Buffs haven't won a game in November since 2016! 5* Best Bet STANFORD 

Taking BAYLOR. I have no idea where this line is coming from. I would think the Bears by at least 20. I think with everything around Kansas, maybe, MAYBE, the Jayhawks finally give up the Big 12 crowns. Now, I do like Central Arkansas. This is strong Southland team. But not laying points. I see nothing about Baylor missing 7 guys. So we are taking the low hanging fruit out of the gate. BAYLOR BEARS 

Taking the COWBOYS. Think this will be a bit of shootout, so maybe look a little at the over. But my top play is on the side. Dallas out of the bye. Getting healthy all around. The defense has under-achieved in my eyes. I think they really get after Jones behind center. NYG OL not great shakes at all. Key here to a nice double digit win is Zeke and Dak. They pound early, open things up, and you get the big plays from Dallas WRs. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BROWNS. I wasn't high on these guys to start to the year. Still not high on them. But they have the best offensive guys on the field. If they can't pull out a win here, fire the coach before the flight home. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking TAMPA BAY. Like Russell for sure. This is a no brainer when it comes to the QBs here. But Seattle does like to run. And Tampa brings a solid run D. Also, I don't think Seattle can handle the Bucs WRs. These are two #1 wide-outs that could star on any team. Seahawks just not covering as faves. How about 10 straight dogs now in Seattle games? 1-5 ATS this season for Seattle and 0-4 ATS at home. Their 2 wins at home, 21-20 over Cincy, 30-29 over the Rams (remember Rams missed FG at end). Lost to Teddy Bridgewater 33-27, lost to Ravens 30-16. Can't trust them laying even vs this team. 8* Sure Shot TB BUCCANEERS 

Taking the JETS, my Top Play of the Week. All the money pouring in on the Dolphins. I get Jets looking bad. But I am all over them today. Let's remember, Gase was run out of Miami last year. You don't think this is a huge game for him? You don't think any Jets players on the roster from last year wants payback for losing both games to Miami. Jets by double digits. 10* Money Bomb NEW YORK JETS 

Taking MEMPHIS. Line opened 3 and as high as 6 now at some shops. We have the lower ranked team vs the undefeated higher ranked team and laying a little chunk at home. SMU undefeated, but not sharp last week. Some call SMU HC Sonny Ykes since he isn't fond of playing much D. Or at least that is what I call him. You give up 73 and 96 yard TD passes last week to a back up QB on the road. Tigers tough at home. I think they win by 10. 8* Sure Shot MEMPHIS TIGERS 

Taking WASHINGTON. Will grab Chris Peterson and his troops as a small home dog. Look. He has had trouble when he is a favorite. Even at Boise, he thrived in the dog roll. And here, out of a bye week, at home. Forget. 18 straight wins out of the bye for Peterson. Eason doesn't turn the ball over, this is an outright win for the home team. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON HUSKIES 

Taking GEORGIA. Here is another Radio Game I did on Monday. The line then, Florida laying 4. Heck, I even saw a sporadic 3.5 laying around. Opened at 6.5, dropped rose again. Not even sure of what to make of that. A group really trying for a 2 point middle? Well. I will say I was leaning Gators. And why wouldn't I? Fromm not looking like a guy some say should go #1 in the draft. Struggling last 2 games. But why do I see this turning into a big Bulldogs win going away. Both teams off bye weeks. What has been super for Georgia all year, their defense. 40 points allowed in 4 SEC games. You know how you do that. Control the clock. Gators have allowed LSU and South Carolina to both go for over 200 yards on the ground the last 2 games. Double digit win here for the visitors. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking the PANTHERS. Off a bye week, I think they are ready to pick off the Niners. We had the Redskins and managed a half point cover without scoring a point. Washington then proceeded to bite us in the butt on Thursday night as they don't force a punt, but still manage to cover the number. Back to the Niners. Just a spot I think is bad for them. Still banged up on the OL. Plus, short week with division rival Arizona on deck. That is where their focus will be. They can drop an out of division game. Heck, they can win and not cover. I just think that since Cam has been out, this is a different team. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking the COLTS. Again, back as our Top Play this week. I can't believe this line is where it is. I am shocked is not over a touchdown. In fact, it has dropped a bit. I have no clue why. How can a sharp money player come in on Denver? They just traded a veteran WR. Their QB has looked awful in pocket. Their defense is ok which you would expect from this HC. But everything else is a mess. Indy a focused a group. I said this from the moment Luck went down. There is not really a huge drop off to Brissett. Kid filled in when Luck was lost for the season before. That is huge. The defense cost them games that season. That has improved. The OL has improved. The run game. Everything has improved. Like this HC. You see how Philly has struggled since he has left. Much like the guy in SF. He leaves ATL after the Super Bowl loss and Falcons can't muster anything. Huge end on the sidelines for us today. I don't care about extra rest for Denver. That team played scared even after Mahomes went down. If this isn't a double digit win I will be shocked. 10* Money Bomb INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking the GIANTS. Might even sprinkle some +250 ML here. Giants getting healthy on offense. Rookie Daniel Jones with some new toys returning. Barkley, Tate, Engram. They will score some points here. Lions who I thought were off to a promising start, well, losing your RB hurts. I just can't back the Lions as a favorite of this size. 8* Sure Shot NY GIANTS  

Taking SAN DIEGO STATE. Rocky Long has the Aztecs back in the hunt this year. Defense a Top 10 unit and should be able to man handle UNLV late night here. Revenge for home loss last year. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO STATE 

Taking CAL. Big ballsy play as a 10*. I get it. 3 straight losses. An offense that can't score 20. But, we are getting 3 TDs tonight. Utah with their own injured QB. Maybe he plays a bit. Maybe he gets hurt. Bears defense hasn't give up more than 24 points in 14 straight games. I'm looking for a score or 2 and we should be home free with a win. Thought about the Under 37.5, but this is a 6 full points lower than any Cal total this season. Bears on a 13-3 under run in PAC 12 games and 10 of their last 11 on the road have gone under. Just tossing out some trends for you. 10* Money Bomb CAL BEARS 

Taking LSU. Give me these guys at home all day long here. No look ahead here. These guys are taking care of business every week. Saw Bo Nix toss 3 INTs vs the Gators. This defensive backfield is just as good. Delpit or Stevens will have some big plays this afternoon. Burrows the Heisman leader right now. LSU by 20+ 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS 

Taking the BULLS as a Best Bet to start the season. Like this young Chicago team. A lot of good young guys. Everyone healthy. Charlotte a lot of rebuilding going on. Lose their leader in Kemba. Who is stepping up in a close game? I think Bulls surprise some teams this season. LaVine, Markkannan, Dunn, Porter, Carter Jr. Some solid pieces. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BULLS 

Taking the JETS. New Jets team people. I thought at the start of the season, they were a playoff team. Then mono and injuries show up and you have a 3rd stringer in their behind center and the wheels are falling off. Well, Mono-Man is back. The OL is still a concern for me. But I do like the defense. I think with a real NFL QB you make your RB that much better. Everything improves. Jets HC has beaten Pats while in Miami. Always a tough series here. You can't really knock NE. The defense is taking the ball away every game. What I see is Brady throwing some end-zone INTs. Patriots offense is ok, but nothing really special. 5* Best Bet NY JETS 

Taking the BEARS. Great run by Teddy B with 4 straight wins and the Saints can't be complaining. Guy was decent in Minny, so not exactly a true back up. But, back to back road games tough in the NFL. At Seattle, home vs Dallas and Tampa - road win vs hot Panthers. Bears going to be an angry bunch for sure. Bad loss in London. I don't care who is throwing the ball, Chicago wins with defense. And, we have seen when Teddy and the Saints get a good defense, they struggle. 13-6 last week. 12-10 over Dallas. We have seen Tampa and Seattle give up plenty of points. Bears allowing just 13.8ppg and are on a 17-6-1 ATS run at home last 24 games. 8* Sure Shot CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the FALCONS. Both of these guys in a bit of a free-fall. I think the Dan Quinn era(rror) is going to be coming to an end soon. Granted, the kicking has bit them in the butt, but what a waste of this offensive talent. Rams come in now losers of 3 straight, and have an early start time, while playing Matty Ice at home who has pretty good numbers here. That says all you need to know about the state of the Falcons. Ryan leading the NFC in TD passes and yards. He has a pair of pretty decent wide-outs if you don't know them. Job on the line here for the home team HC. Dog Outright. 5* Best Bet ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the COLTS. Big game here for Indy. Rested, off bye. Guys back getting healthy. Hilton and Mack are great weapons for Brissett. They have won 7 of their 8 at home. They have covered 9 of 10 against teams with a winning record. 27-8 SU vs the Texans. Houston in off huge win over KC. In fact, both teams last win over Chiefs. Back to back roadies tough. Double tough after winning at Arrowhead, then coming to a play a team that beat you in the playoffs last year. Colts get it done. 10* Money Bomb INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 

Taking PENN STATE. I just think this is going to be a beat down. Michigan is done. I think Harbaugh is out of here. White-out game vs these guys? Forget it. Penn State line is going to maul the Wolverines on both sides of the ball. We can beat the Michigan / Harbaugh vs ranked teams thing to death (1-6 on the road). PSU defense clear edge over Michigan. This team is in real trouble. I don't think they score 10 points tonight. 10* Money Bomb PENN STATE 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. Had Bears last week and that bit us in the butt. But that is who they are. Beat bad teams. Lose to decent teams. Now on the road, the 'Ranked' and "Undefeated" Baylor Bears are dogs. Chuba Hubbard to run all over the Bears. 8* Sure Shot OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking LSU. I see this as a 20+ point win for LSU. Miss State having trouble scoring lately. 10 points at Tennessee! If Auburn is dropping 56-23 on you, I see LSU getting mid 40s at a minimum. Even at home, State going to have problems containing Burrows. QB problems don't help. Having your defense drafted into the NFL doesn't help. LSU can really name their score tonight. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS 

Taking CLEMSON. So, last year 77-16. Not that I am expecting that. But, we did cash Louisville last week. A wild, wild, 62-59 game vs Wake. Going on the road and knocking off a ranked team is a big deal coming off last season's 2-10 train-wreck. Even catching this big number, I don't think it's close. Clemson putting up some big numbers. 45-14 last week. 52 vs Charlotte, 52 vs GT. 41-6 at Syracuse. Can you say Louisville is along the lines of GT, SU? Even a down FSU? Forget this Tigers QB as a Heisman guy. The Heisman guy is his RB. 7 yards a carry. Heck, Dixon with 6ypg. Birds gave up 123 and 95 last week to a pair of Wake RBs. I am sure Clemson tailbacks licking their chops here. How about Tee Higgins seeing a Wake WR going for 196. I think Clemson drops 50 easy today and Cards don't have the horses to stay within 30. Also. Let's not rule out some Playoff Points. OSU and Oklahoma putting up big numbers. LSU and Alabama will cancel each other out, or will they? Pour it on 80s style. 8* Sure Shot CLEMSON TIGERS

Taking FLORIDA. I get the thinking. Let-down off that LSU loss. I don't think so. Gators with bye-week next week. They know they need this game. A big what-if last week with an end-zone INT and stopped at LSU 2. Had lead at half-time. Tough loss for sure. But South Carolina comes in giddy upsetting Georgia. Deeper looks shows 4 Bulldogs turnovers help the cause greatly. Getting out-yarded by nearly 200 yards. Not sure who is QBing for Gamecocks, but I still think they don't score more than 13 points. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking OHIO STATE. How the heck is Northwestern keeping this within 30 points? Nebraska 13-10, Wiscy 24-15, 31-10 Michigan State.  So 10-15-10 vs Big  10 teams. Ohio State has given up 17 in 2 Big 10 road games. 48-7 at Nebraska, 51-10 at Indiana. Is Northwestern on either of their levels? 99-17 outscoring conference foes on the road for OSU. Ohio State is scoring 40-50 here. I don't think Wildcats get past 10 - and if they do, Buckeyes will surely answer any score. 5* Best Bet OHIO STATE 

Taking the NATIONALS. Up 3-0. Big play tonight to wrap things up. Teams up 3-0 rarely lose. We have seen it a handful of times. But STL has looked anemic at the dish this series. Nats are just playing so well right now. Corbin at home this season was excellent. 8-2 2.40 ERA in 16 starts with a .199 BA Against and a .99 WHIP. Don't be fooled by this 7+ Post Season ERA. In his lone start vs LAD, 6 innings 3 hits 9 Ks 1 earned. He came in relief, gave up 6 in 2/3rds of an inning. His other 2 relief starts 1.2 innings 3Ks.. I will chalk that up to an unfamiliar role. In his regular spot here, I think we see what he did all season at home. Send in the clowns. Cards had their 'ace' blasted last night. Totally deflates their confidence. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON NATIONALS 

Taking the LIONS and will be looking at +215 on the ML. Everyone will be on the Packers after they dismantled Dallas early. They will probably over look the INTs, the missed FGs, the 500+ yards off offense they gave up. Oh, it's Aaron Rodgers at home and they only have to win by a touch down. Detroit off bye. Had that crazy KC game before. For me though. This is just a great situational spot for the road team. Extra prep time for division rival. I get it. GB will be looking for revenge off 31-0 loss here at home last year. But, no Rodgers. I don't put much merit in that angle. 5* Best Bet DETROIT LIONS 

Taking the CHARGERS. This Pitt team is in trouble this year. Forget the QB problems. This defense has yet to get an offense off the field when it needs to. Enter the Chargers off a brutal home loss. Yeah, we had Denver and the points. But I thought they would hang tough and too much Rivers and Allen would win a close shoot-out. Instead. LAC couldn't do anything right. I expect them to get right here. A big offensive night for this team. 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERS 

Taking the RAMS. So, we had ML play on Seattle last Thursday. Tough, tough loss as Rams miss FG at end of game. Looking inside the stats here. Rams put up basically 30 points in about 25 minutes of work. Closed in on nearly 500 yards of offense. This is a huge game for LAR sitting at 3-2. We have Niners here on Monday Night. I think they win this over the Browns. That means, a short week. Off a MNF win. While Rams sitting with extra for this monster divisional game. Everyone remembers what they last saw. That is Niner domination, and Rams chocking on a late FG.  10* Money Bomb LA RAMS 

Taking the JAGUARS. Saints have bit us in the butt the last two weeks. We will fade them again. So, on the grass, out of the dome, and off a big SNF win over the Cowboys. And a big division win over Tampa Bay. Taking to the road in a non-conference game seems a bit of let-down spot. Teddy B off his best game ever. This Saints team still has had trouble offensively - Yes 4-1. But winning by just 4 points a game and having eclipsed 300 yards of total offense twice. How is that possible in today's NFL? Christian McCaffrey had 250 yards himself in a game last week! - Look. Maybe Ramsey is back as he sees the team competing. Fournette having a huge bounce back season. DJ Chark is on the same page as Minshew. Bears on deck for NO, so you think they might eye that NFC game more important. 8* Sure Shot JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking INDIANA. Have to say. As a Jersey guy, it pains me to see how brutal Rutgers is. Every time I watch 30 for 30 The U, I think to myself. Man, can Rutgers just keep NJ kids in this state for a few years. Ah, what could be. That being said, in reality land, Rutgers is terrible. They have scored a grand total of 23 points their last 4 games vs Big 10 games. All 23 at home, 16 vs BC, 7 vs Maryland. Did I mention getting blasted 30-0 at Iowa and 52-0 at Michigan. Ok, Hoosiers may not be that level. The fact Indiana put a 31 spot up on Michigan State is enough for me to get behind them. Yeah, even a Sparty team that was possibly looking past Indiana. Is Rutgers that much better than UConn who Hoosiers beat 38-3? I don' think so. Eastern Illinois lost here 52-0. I can see something in between like the 45-10 range. I feel safe laying 30 here off a bye week.  5* Best Bet INDIANA HOOSIERS

Taking the COWBOYS. I get that people will be giddy getting Aaron Rodgers at a FG or maybe even 3.5. This game is going to be a Dallas BLOWOUT. One. Let's talk about what we last saw from Dallas. Them struggling in the Dome vs the Saints. Wasn't like the defense didn't show up. Hats off to Sean Payton and company out-coaching Jason Garrett though this is nothing new. At home, off a prime time loss, Dallas primed for a rout. So GB has some extra rest. They need it. They were just exposed by the Eagles. If you want to say Dallas didn't play anyone, let's talk about the Packers defense and their performances. You really impressed with them shutting down the Bears and Broncos. And getting Cousins at home to throw a bad INT - No DeVonte is a big blow to Rodgers WR corp. Someone will probably step up, but it won't be enough. Think Dallas OC adjusts, and Zeke has a monster game to open things up for Dak. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the BEARS. Call me crazy. Call me anything you want. Just don't call me late for dinner. Said on my video last Sunday about this Bears offense. I think they are better with Mitch OUT. Give me Chase all day long. The offense can't get worse. Oh yeah, LONDON ALERT. This isn't in Oakland or LA, or Vegas or wherever the heck the Raiders lay their heads down. These outfit is half a globe away from home. You don't think Mack is going to wind up his buddies to make sure to release the dogs of war on his former team and coach? If Chicago can get any offense going this is going to be a blood bath. This would be a normal 10* Play. But have to downgrade a bit based on the travel, time, field. Bears roar behind their defensive leader. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the VIKINGS. On these guys AGAIN!! Yes, we have been on Minny all season long with mixed results. I'll tell you this - If Cousins can't solve this defense, it is really time for them to move on. Eat the contract. What a waste of this WR dynamic duo. Not to mention their TE. Cook should feast on this Giants defense. This is a BAD TEAM people. Don't be fooled by a crazy comeback at Tampa or the fact they beat a rookie QB who looked lost last week. Daniel Jones has some problems that just haven't come up and bite him yet. Fumbles and INTs vs this defense, rest assured, will be turned into points by this anemic offense. For me. This is really a season changer for the Vikings. They should come in here with their excellent HC and defense and really dictate this game to the Giants. Cousins, even with short passes should carve these guys up. The NFC North is there for the taking. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking OHIO STATE. I know Michigan State brings a defense. But until I see the Buckeyes offense slowed down, I am not getting in front of it. 26-6 last year, 48-3 the year before. The question isn't will Sparty slow down Ohio State. The question is can Michigan State get into double digits to sneak in the back door! I'll forgive giving up 31 to Indiana (OSU 51-10 @Indy this season) last week with Ohio State on deck. Clear look ahead. But, Sparty struggled with Arizona State at home. They got 3 INTs from Northwestern. OSU putting up 52ppg giving up 8. - Sparty always seems a bit slow vs OSU. And I don't think their D is up to the task vs these athletes. 5* Best Bet OHIO STATE 

Taking GEORGIA. So we lost with the Bulldogs against ND. That was a pretty physical game and bye week was much appreciated. Now time to get back to business. And that is destroying week teams to make the top SEC teams look powerful and mean. Hello Tennessee. Oh how the Vols have fallen. Guys quitting the team in September. Georgia by 41 and 26 the last 2 games. This should shape up as a 30pt win. Not bothered by the OC for Tenn having been on GA sidelines. The Vols offense and QB situation in complete shambles. Tenn 4-13 ATS last 17 at home. 8* Sure Shot GEORGIA BULLDOGS

Taking NORTHERN ILLINOIS. Don't be fooled by Northern Illinois coming in with 3 straight losses. Playing at Utah, Nebraska and Vanderbilt is a bit of step of from MAC play. Now the huge drop off to Ball State. A team that NIU has dominated going 17-3 last 20, 10 straight wins and 7 straight ATS covers. Huskies much better team, battle tested. Nothing better than coming home where you are 47-9 SU last 56 games. This should be a 10 point win. 10* Money Bomb NORTHERN ILLINOIS 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. This is not your old Texas Tech team. First off. They are on their 3rd QB of the season. Their old offense is in the NFL. This team is struggling right now. We will toss out the recent numbers head to head based on that. New regime for the Red Raiders. Will on across the field, Gundy just keeps the offense churning. I just don't think Red Raiders can keep up. I know double digits on the road, in conference is a tough pill to swallow. But TT, 1-7 SU and 1-6-1 ATS last 8 games. Tech put up 14 against Arizona and 16 vs Oklahoma. Can't have faith backing that. Add in a revenge spot for the Cowboys. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking UCF. I get it. People down on these guys right now. Their undefeated and Playoffs hope dashed by a loss at Pitt. Now everyone thinking that Cincy is live home dog. I get it. But this line will probably bottom out around here. I saw some 4.5s which are no long gone. Central Florida just on a 28-1 SU regular season run. That is tough to ignore. Again, we are small fave. Cincy off a blowout win over Marshall. I think that dropped this line a bit. UCF rolled Uconn in a final score that was not even that close. UCF putting up nearly 50ppg and has scored 30 or more in 31 straight games. Not saying UCF is Ohio State, but Cincy can be had by some speed across the field. How about Cincy just 1-5 last 6 as a home dog. 8* Sure Shot UCF 

Taking the STARS. I like this Dallas team. I think they are that good. They will be in the Stanley Cup hunt come playoffs. A good defense, at home. A real short number. I get Boston is good. Not getting any arguments out of me there. Home opener on what should be a big season in Dallas. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS STARS 

Taking OAKLAND here. Now. I do like both of these guys. Shame they have to play in a one game playoff. It is like getting a pair of Mid-Majors in that 8/9 or 5/12 game in the NCAAs. You want to back the Sun Belt, Patriot or Big West. But no. You are staring at the Ohio Valley, Summit or CAA darling you had circled! Two low payroll teams showing the big boys how to win. Uh.. Rant over - So I like the A's to advance. One. I think their bullpen is a bit better. Two. The lineup has much more punch than the Rays. 3 - Manaea. We get this guy out of the gate, we are looking strong. 5 starts, 4-0 with a 1.21 ERA. A .78 WHIP on the year. Listen. This is no knock on Charlie Morton. 16-6 3.05 ERA on the year 240 Ks. Guy is good. Probably will see a little Glasnow if he gets in trouble along the way. Again. I just think they A's have enough offense to push across the runs here. Low scoring and we will also be on the UNDER. 5* Best Bet OAKLAND A's 

Taking the COWBOYS. Have yet to see the Saints defense show up for a series this season. Not a chance they can slow down Dallas. Even if Brees was playing, we would be on Dallas. Tons of talent on both offenses. Just think Cowboys D is a step or two above N'awleans. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the VIKINGS. We have been on these guys all season. Will come back again here on the road. We had Packers over Bears here. We will take Minny over Bears. Vikes bring their own pretty good defense to the battle today. Getting a FG, I know its tough with Cousins and how he screws things up sometimes. But, this is a balanced attack. Not high on Chicago offense at all. They will be coming off MNF so that helps us a bit in the rest department. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking SEATTLE. Punt return and a fumble return for TD put Seahawks in a tough spot. Gotta believe in Pete Carroll to have these guys ready to rock a rookie QB and HC. Clear edge on the sidelines for us. Panthers just came here and did whatever they wanted to do. Something that the Ravens couldn't do at home. But with a backup QB across the field, Arizona was ambushed by a 4 TD outings. Russell Wilson comes in off a 400 yard game. 4 of the last 6 games have been decided by a FG. The other two, a tie and a 6 pt win. I think this is going to be a beat down in the 30-10 type range. 440+ yards per game for Arizona D with 0 INTs yet. Cards 1-15-1 SU last 17 games. 10* Money Bomb SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the TITANS. I like the Falcons. This is their division to lose know with Brees out. I have them at a nice plus money ticket to win the South. But my oh my do they play down to teams. Their failures on the road continue after losing to Vikings and last week to the Colts. They mauled Philly in a physical affair - but, let's not forget they had to pull that win out of their butts. 6 INTs for Matty Ice after 7 all of last year. For me though, we get extra rest with Tennessee. The are going to try to run, run, run and then throw to their tight end. I think this is going to be an ugly affair. Falcons seem to play down to teams. But, Titans 12-10 their last 22, how about 8-16 last 24 for Atlanta. We have the better defense in a game of two desperate teams. Coin flip game to me and we are getting a bit more than a FG. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking ARIZONA. No no no. Not sold on UCLA. Even though they buried us coming back from a 49-17 hole. What do they have in the tank here after putting up 63? And really. A team that had not scored more than 14 in a game scored 50 in 20 minutes. Not buying it. Arizona in off bye and back to back road games for bad teams helps our cause. UCLA now 2-16 last 18 SU on the road.  5* Best Bet ARIZONA 

Taking NORTH TEXAS. Was looking at this game before the King news. Figured to be a high scoring affair. King a beast with 50 TDs last season. But do not overlook Mason Fine. He's no slouch. Mean Green should be at top of CUSA North. Balanced O that is stacked with experience. Defense can be shaky. But little brother vs big brother and now a blow like this to Cougars. 8* Sure Shot NORTH TEXAS

Taking OHIO STATE. Rolled with these guys last week. Putting up 70+ with Nebraska on deck. And said Cornhuskers trailed on the road last week by 14 multiple times as a near 14 pt road favorite. Buckeyes are scoring 44+ tonight. I think the defense does the rest in a 20+ pt win. 5* Best Bet OHIO STATE 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. One, we have the ol' unranked team favored over 'ranked' team. Love seeing that nonsense. So, again, K-State ranked? Based on a win over Mississippi State? Nicolls State, Bowling Green, road win at Miss State. Barely over 100 yards passing from your QB. A 100 yard Kick return, leading rusher 59 yards on 17 carries. Look. We were big on Texas last week over the Cowboys. Muffed punt cost me the cover the there. But, Spencer Sanders looks solid at QB. This defense will be fine vs Wildcats. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking LIBERTY. New Mexico off their biggest game of the year vs New Mexico State. Now have to fly cross country. Hugh Freeze really has this team moving the ball. Liberty won by 9 last year. Their QB last week had 300 yards passing on just 10 completions last week. Eventually Liberty will be up by 20 and New Mexico is going to have to get away from their strength of running the ball. 8* Sure Shot LIBERTY 

Taking CLEVELAND. Look. Can't be happy at the sloppy play on MNF vs the Jets. Some real dumbness from the Browns. We get a little reprieve as this is the night game as opposed to an early start. Rams good yes. Faded them at Carolina, big backing of them vs Saints. But this is a tough spot. The OL didn't look all that good last week. Cleveland for all the ugliness can still bring some pressure. Talented home dog in Prime Time vs NFC Super Bowl Reps from last year. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the NINERS. So Big Ben is injured. He plays, he doesn't. Steelers really have some issues brewing. They looked terrible at New England. That's allowed. But to not even be in control before Ben got injured. We saw Seattle basically lay an egg at home. And they are not historically good in September. Especially on the road. So now they may have a new man under center. We have seen the Niners perform pretty well on both sides of the ball so far. The rush attack is pretty solid. Defense getting it done. Actually shocked this isn't 3 with Big Ben. I guess the thinking is Pitt is desperate at 0-2. Home team for me. 8* Sure Shot SAN FRAN 49ers

Taking the VIKINGS. Time to fade away on the Raiders. The losses will start piling up. Ugly game from Minny at GB, so you know they will be 100% focused here and not overlooking Oaktown. We saw the Bills come in here and still a win last year. Not happening. 1-1 for Vikes, and need to keep pace with 2-0 GB who is also 2-0 in division. Zim at home always strong. Everything just better for Minny on their home turf. We saw KC not score in 3 quarters and still dominate Oakland. I think Vikings put up 30+ and Raiders don't know what hit them. Their defense won't allow RB Jacobs to control this game. They have their own RB who can put on a show. 10* Money Bomb MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the LIONS. So these guy buried us in Week 1. We avoided them last week against the Chargers. Now they take to the road getting a TD. You know I am no Philly fan. But the bias is not shying through here. This is an overvalued team right now. We saw it in Week 1 vs Washington. We even saw it last week against the Falcons. And we were on Atlanta. But that wasn't an easy win. Philly banged up all over the place. Plus, this can easily be a look ahead for them. Green Bay on Thursday night lurks ahead. Lions defense looked great first 3 quarters in Arizona before, I am assuming, not playing the 4th quarter. They held a pretty good QB in Brees in check last week. And we know Stafford is a stat compiler late in games. Back door wide open for him to come strolling in. 8* Sure Shot DETROIT LIONS 

Taking TOLEDO.. Rams in off getting crushed by Arkansas. This is a bad team. A bad team with no QB. Rockets with a ton of experience and should contend for MAC Championship. 5* Best Bet TOLEDO ROCKETS 

Taking GEORGIA. Listen. Notre Dame cannon compete on the road with top programs. 0-8 in their January Bowl Game vs elite team getting outscored by 21ppg. Make no mistake about it. Georgia is an elite team. 30-3 losers to Clemson last year. 44-28 losers to Ohio State in 2016. Do I have to go back to 2013 and Bama crushing them in NCG 42-14. Even in the regular season. Last year 24-17 losers at USC. And SC had been down lately. Losers at Stanford 38-20 and 41-8 at Miami U in 2017. 45-27 at USC in 2016. Look. ND a good program. But they get exposed by real football schools as they do not have the depth and speed to keep up. Irish defense will be in for a long day against this Bulldogs OL. Ian Book can't do it by himself. Balanced Georgia and better defense at home. I'll lay the big number. 8* Sure Shot GEORGIA BULLDOGS 

Taking TEXAS. Not backing a freshman tonight. Tough place to play. I was down a bit on Texas. Had LSU over them to open things up. But Longhorns have been putting up plenty of points. Cowboys also, 52-56-40. But this defense a little tougher than Oregon State, McNeese and Tulsa. Oklahoma State has really owned Texas going 7-2 SU last 9. Time for some payback. Again, Spencer Sanders on the road. Not buying it. 3rd road in 4 weeks for Cowboys. Ehlinger looking good. 8* Sure Shot TEXAS 

Taking OLD DOMINION. They guys hung vs Va Tech. Now, a run first team, who look to milk the clock, getting 4 TDs. And, 4 TDs from a team that let it all hang out in huge program win over Florida State. Now, Noles not be old time Noles, but for Virginia, huge, huge win. And, hello Notre Dame on deck. Do we really expect them to come out and put 40 plus after rallying last week? Play down to the competition week with ODU off a bye ready for this VA attack. 5* Best Bet OLD DOMINION 

Taking the BRONCOS. Lost an ugly one with these guys on Monday night. But we are home and angry. Plus, as everyone probably already knows. Our HC was the DC of the Bears. Like I said when we took the Packers of Chicago. Bears defense will be good. But they won't be historically great. We saw how bad the offense looks. Are you telling me Miller and Chubb won't be able to get after Trubisky this afternoon? He's a statue. And the play calling is highly questionable. Give me Denver who has every player strength and weakness marked down on that Bears sideline. 5* Best Bet DENVER BRONCOS

Taking the RAMS. I get it. Saints want revenge for last year. Maybe the refs give them a play to make up for it. I don't think it will matter. We saw the Texans move up and down the field on Monday night. Rams can do the same. Gurley looked ok. Plus, with Brown, now they can really pound away and keep Brees off the field. Can't hide the now 2-9 SU and 1-11 ATS run that New Orleans has put together in Games 1+2 the last couple years. Maybe Brees is in his swan song. Last year was the least amount of passing yards in his 12 years with the Saints. I know he sat a game, but he would have need 400 to get up to next lowest total. Look. New Orleans is solid. But I think everyone already had this game as loss for the Rams. Super Bowl runner ups have their motivation. 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS 

Taking OKLAHOMA. This UCLA team. Geez. Had them them in both of their losses this season. And they have looked terrible. I am the first to say we don't overreact to a game. But I have seen nothing the last 2 games that says Chip Kelly is going to be able to keep up here. This opened at like 18/19. I still think anything under 30 is a gift. 14 pts in for UCLA. Sooners with 700 yards of O in their games. Oklahoma a bye week next. UCLA with PAC 12 home opener up next. Only way this game is close is if UCLA manages 3 8 minute TD drives to keep visitors off the field. Not happening. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking ALABAMA. Yeah, I will lay a quarter on the road. Freshman QB vs the Tide. Bama in a normal game wins by, like 22-23 a game. Now they get to feast on a young signal caller. This is Charleston Southern. I can't see South Carolina getting into the teens here. Alabama is good for 45+ today. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA 

Taking AIR FORCE. So Colorado comes in off huge rivalry games. Wins over Colorado State and Nebraska. The Cornhusker Comeback was a wild down 17-7 win 34-31 OT win. If there was a ever a spot for a little letdown, here it comes. Triple Option team who is off their bye week. Now, this isn't a huge number, but worth the value on the dog. A good schedule spot for Air Force. They will want to show up against in-state 'big brother.'  How pumped will this crowd be for Air Force after Nebraska? 5* Best Bet AIR FORCE 

Taking GREEN BAY to open up the season. So real fast - You know we had a nice season in 2018. In 2017 we led ALL handicappers in NFL. And going back to 2010 and over 1000 picks, we are cashing at a 56% clip. This season, I feel a 60+ % season on deck. I've redone worked some numbers, and man, if I adjusted faster last season we would have added at a minimum, a half dozen more wins.  -- For 2019 kick-off though, we are grabbing the dogs. I've said in videos already that I expect the Bears to take a step back. Losing their DC will be felt, especially early. Let's not forget that even though we cashed Chicago when they jumped to that 20-0 lead before losing 24-23. I still don't expect Mitch to outperform Aaron. Rodgers, I feel, has a lot to prove. New HC and now he has to show that his old HC was keeping him down. Getting a nice number, have to play the division dogs with a chip on their shoulder. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking LOUISVILLE. Irish couldn't cover 20 in 4 contests last year. Can't see them doing it here. Ok, ND has Ian Book back at QB. But - lost their leading rushing and receiver. And 4 of their top defensive guys. We see them get rolled in January Bowl games because they don't have the depth to compete. Not that UL is a New Year's Day bowl team, but the talent is still ACC level and pretty decent. Satterfield comes over from Appy State where he was 28-4 in Sun Belt play. This team absolutely quit on Bobby Petrino last year. Leading Florida State before losing 28-24. Then they get wholloped 66-31 by Georgia Tech. And then the wheels just fall off as they allow 56-77-54-52-56. That is nuts. But, a new regime in charge. A new attitude. A defensive coach with 10 starters back, 6 on offense. UL players have been waiting a year to redeem themselves. Irish to open a good start and getting 20. 10* Money Bomb LOUISVILLE 

Taking RUTGERS. These guys basically in my backyard. And nothing would make me happier for them to start winning games in the Big 10 and bringing some respect to our State's football status. Chris Ash needs a big win for his program. UMass is the right opponent to start the year. A new HC breaking in schemes. Just 8 returning starters. Last year, 4 wins, 3 vs FBS teams. All 8 losses by double digits. 34 at BC, 21 at Georgia Southern, 39 at FIU, 16 at Ohio, 39 at Georgia, 19 vs BYU, 16 vs USF. Look Rutgers not some awesome program. 1-11 last year and laying 2 TDs. This is probably Ash's best team. As bad as they were last year, they didn't quit. Nearly beat Northwestern and Michigan State. Lost to Penn State here by a TD. 8* Sure Shot RUTGERS

Taking UTAH. So this line has been sliding down. I get BYU is tough at home. But I really like this Utah team. I am as of this writing Tuesday, trying to find the best number for them to win the PAC 12. That is where I think this team is. Great coach. Like the defense. Always solid units. Returning starters. They check all the proverbial boxes. 5* Best Bet UTAH UTES 

Taking HAWAII here.  I get people like Arizona a bit thinking Tate is healthy at the QB spot. Kid was a beast 2 years ago. I also think people are expecting him to become Johnny Manziel under Kevin Sumlin when he was at A&M. That was 2013. Rainbows were a little bit of a darling to start the year. Off a 3-9 season, finished with 8 wins. Now, they have Arizona, Oregon State and head to Washington to start this year. That isn't easy. But you have to like having 18 starters back including your QB who went for 36 TDs and nearly 3900 yards in the air (just 10 INTs.) Getting double digits as a home dog is always nice - But the long travel for any team coming here adds more value to the points. Again, off a nice break out season, these guys are thinking they can win both of these games vs the PAC 12. Big brother vs Little brother and we will grab the live dog here. 5* Best Bet HAWAII RAINBOWS 

Taking the GATORS. This should be a double digit win for Florida. I'm a Canes guy, but this is not a good spot for them. New HC. New schemes. New coaches. New plays. New systems. Defensive guy taking over a team that couldn't get any QB play from a good offensive coach. Gators with another year under their newer coach Dan Mullen. Gators always bring a defense and the offensive should take another step forward. 10* Money Bomb FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking OAKLAND. Sign me up for some Friers at home. Thought the line was a little low for NY last night and here they are a dog. But they should be. Happ has been brutal. Last 4 starts with a 6+ ERA. A 6 ERA his last 15 starts. 5.40 on the year. 5.20 on the road in 10 starts. Fiers a 2.52 ERA his last 15 starts. How about this- Since April 28th, Fiers with the 2nd lowest ERA among all American League starters (2.52). 2.89 at home in 14 starts with a 1.04 WHIP. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND A's 

Taking SAN FRANCISCO. One - I do like Dallas. Am a Cowboys fan. But I am not blinded by any loyalty. Especially to this coach. Guy does not care about pre-season at all. Might also like the Over a bit here. Cooper Rush will play mostly for Dallas. But I really like this SF rotation. Maybe we see a series of Jimmy G. But I really like seeing Nick Mullins and CJ Beathard. Wilton Speight is interesting out of UCLA. I just think Niners with a bit more to prove here than the 'Boys. 5* Best Bet SF 49ers 

Taking the BRONCOS and going ML on this game. You could go and lay the -2.5, but we are going ML since it is preseason and we aren't laying a huge number. What we do have is a new HC coming in to town. For me, I am always on new HC's, especially in their first games. They want to win. The guy they replaced didn't win enough, so even in August, a W is a W. Here's a little secret for you. I like the Falcons. Have NFC South Champion future on them. But we won't be getting a full game of Matt Ryan to Julio Jones. These guys were hit with some injuries last year. They aren't taking chances in early August. Broncos with everything to prove under a new HC and his new play-calling. 5* Best Bet DENVER BRONCOS 

Taking the NETS. Where is the motivation for the Heat? Wade's last home game last night. A big night for him. Team wins but is knocked out of the playoffs. Now on the road. I don't think even being locked into the playoffs that Brooklyn will take things for granted. This franchise has been down and I think finishing above .500 is better than 41-41. 10* Money Bomb BROOKLYN NETS

Taking VIRGINIA. Have had these guys several times and said I think this is their year. Not changing that now even after they cost last game and we won on Texas Tech. Cavaliers erase all memories of last years epic first round loss. 8* Sure Shot VIRGINIA 

Taking VIRGINIA. So we had both of these guys last weekend - Will go with VA to get it done. Look. I said in our Auburn write up last week that was the spot to move on them. Off a loss of key player, vs a conference foe. Double revenge on the season. Everything lined up. Now, not so much. I get that these guys have been great in this tournament. Really just a couple hiccup spots of poor play. But I said all season I believed Virginia looked a bit different. They are 2 wins away from getting away from last years epic loss. I think that is a huge motivation factor for them. They have been tested and responded. I think Auburn has peaked and this is a double digit loss for them  5* Best Bet VIRGINIA 

Taking DEPAUL. So- have to like DePaul and the way they are scoring right now. 92-97-100 last 3 games. Clearly better offensively than South Florida. Nearly 48%FG to 42% - 34.7% from 3 - 32% and 73% at the line compared to 64% for the Bulls. And that shows in So Fla's scores. 56-47, 66-57, 82-79 in OT.  I can't see them keeping up. I am trying to find a good South Florida win - I guess beating Wichita 54-41, maybe Memphis game 84-78. DePaul with 4 wins over St John's and Seton Hall. Also beat Xavier. I'm grabbing the Big East here in the CBI. 5* Best Bet DEPAUL 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA. I really want to jump in with a larger play, nearly a Top 10* Money Bomb here. I just think - As much as Auburn wants to run with these guys, they just don't have the horses to last. NC is scoring 80, at a minimum tonight. If Auburn wants to push the tempo this game, I think they are getting run out of the building like 93-75 territory. As great as the Tigers have looked, they will need another SEC Championship Game performance to knock off the Tarheels. 5* Best Bet NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Death, Taxes, and Izzo's first Sweet 16 since 2015. I think he will have these guys primed tonight. So. I managed a back-door cover with Yale over LSU. Then LSU cost me by a half-point. My first fade was based on what will get with everything going on with the coaching situation. They hung tough enough to get to the second round. Where, they let a double digit slip away against a pretty average, at best Big 10 team. Michigan State doesn't play those childish games. They are going to maul you on both ends. They just crushed Minnesota, a common foe they see on a regular by 20. As I said. First Sweet 16 since 2015 for Izzo and friends. Not a chance they are losing focus vs these guys. LSU, I don't know. They have been playing with fire in the first two rounds. Think this is a 10pt win for Sparty. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN STATE. 

Taking VIRGINIA. Love that everyone is on Oregon. Holy cow people - First. Let's talk about the gift that the Ducks received. First. They were not even dancing until the knocked off Washington in the PAC 12 championship. Which, I think would have been unfair if Arizona State was in the play-in and not Oregon. So they run the table. Then they get a middle Big 10 team. Hot team prevails. They get Irvine - who I had over K-State. But still a 13 seed. Hitting 13 3s at a 52% clip helps to crush a small mid-major. Arizona State got run out of the building by Buffalo. Washington beaten by NC. And what do we have here -Well, hello Virginia. Good luck Oregon. Another ACC team to take a PAC 12 team behind the woodshed. Said it in their win over Oklahoma, and will say it again here. Virginia has 3 losses on the year. 2 of them to another 1 Seed in Duke. There was no let down before or after those Duke games. A 23 pt win over Wake isn't all that impressive. But how about a 6 point road win at North Carolina after a 10pt Duke loss - VA, on a mission. This game will be around 6-10 then its 15 and honestly, I don't Oregon scoring 60 in this game. Cavs should have 70+. 10* Money Bomb VIRGINIA CAVALIERS

Taking GONZAGA. So this line I see ticking up to 7.5 after an opening number of 6.5 I see a lot more money on Florida State. And I get it. FSU looking good in the NCAA. ACC battle tested. But are they? Say we throw out 2 bad road losses to Pitt, losing by 13 and losing at BC by 5. We have a 10pt loss to Duke in the ACC tournament - I see a 18pt loss at NC - losing by 13 at Virginia. Then 2 pt home loss to Duke and a 6pt neutral loss to Nova. Man- I see 1-4 vs the Top teams and losing all by double digits. We can say all we want about the Zags playing the WCC and ACC better top to bottom. Taking away that no-show game in WCC Championship we see 2 losses. 3 on a neutral to the Vols and 13 their next game at NC. That is a tough 2 step coming from the Northwest. I'm buying the Zags based on the reverse line move. 5* Best Bet GONZAGA 

Taking HOUSTON. I am not buying Ohio State one bit. I don't care how many games the Big 10 has won so far in the tournament. You have a pair of 2 seeds in Michigan and Michigan State who are both Final Four type teams. Purdue is a 3. But your mid levels, Wiscy, bounced in Round 1. Maryland needed everything and the kitchen sink to get past Belmont. Minny with a good match-up over Louisville. Iowa gets annual choke artist, Cincinnati Bearcats. OSU 9-13 in conference - dropped 3 straight and 4 of 5 coming into the conference tournament. 19-14 gets you a bid? What a joke. I know they opened with a win over Cincy - Also knocked off Creighton and UCLA. But Houston better than that. Houston 32-3. Took care of business vs LSU, Oklahoma State on the road. Plus tourney teams St Louis and Utah State. You can only beat who is front of you. Cougs beat nearly all. At one point, OSU lost 5 straight and 6 of 7 in Big 10 play. Then ended the regular season 2-6 in conference play. Way to inconsistent for my liking. Will lay it with Houston. 8* Sure Shot HOUSTON COUGARS 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA. Losses to Duke, Virginia, Kentucky and Michigan for NC. Plus a puzzling loss to Texas and a loss to Louisville. That's it. Washington put up 48 points vs Oregon in the PAC 12 Championship Game. That was after losing the regular season finale to them 55-47. They lost to an 8-23 Cal team. I can't see them sniffing staying within double digits. I think NC is going to outboard them on both ends of the court. I cashed Huskies ML in Round 1. But this is a terrible match-up for them. Can't see them keeping pace with Heels. This should be a 20pt win for NC along the 85-65 range. After a slow start in Round 1. I expect NC to be 100% ready to come for the PAC 12 regular season Champs. 10* Money Bomb NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking TENNESSEE. Not worried at this price with the Vols. So they took a close game vs Colgate. That doesn't shock me too much. Let's look at their season. Lost on a neutral to 'good' Kansas by 6 in OT. Auburn got them twice. I mean, who was beating Auburn in that SEC Championship Game? Nobody. They were in, as they say, 'the zone.' Lost by 2 in OT at LSU. And got run out of Kentucky by 17. They did their revenge at home winning by 19 over Kentucky though. Who is comparable to this Iowa team they played? Louisville, who they beat by 11? Mississippi State 17? Florida 12? How about Gonzaga? Beat them by 3 on a neutral. Iowa came into the Big 10 tournament dropped 4 straight and 4 of 5. They needed OT to beat a slumping Indiana team. They beat Rutgers by 2 and Northwestern by 1 in back to back games. You know how they do vs tourney teams. Losses to Michigan by 21 and 15. Michigan State 22 and 15. 20 at Wiscy, 20 at OSU. Vols too talented. This should be at least a 15 point win for Tennessee. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. One team in off a super impressive win that they controlled basically from start to finish. The other guys, a huge fave in a dog fight most of the afternoon, Will side with an angry Izzo who will have his guys more than ready for Minny. Sparty beat these guys by 24 already this year. Last years bunch 30 points better. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN STATE