Taking NC STATE here. Trying to find some motivation for the 'Noles. 5-3. I thought these guys could be a playoff team. I mean, a lot of people had high hopes for these guys. Now they will be in some crap bowl. State off a bad loss for sure. But I can see them being pumped up to take down Florida State in this spot. And.. You know when I see teams, especially a big name like FSU laying that 6.5, the voices in my head hear weekend warrior bettor saying, no way Florida State doesn't win by a touchdown. We could score and outright win tonight. 5* Best Bet NC STATE

Taking ARKANSAS here. Just like this spot for the Razorbacks. Rested, Gators off a huge win over Georgia. Arkansas was smashed their last time out. Wish I moved on this earlier in the week as the line has dropped. But in any case, I think we get an out-right victory this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot ARKANSAS 

Taking the BUCCANEERS here. Yep. Going ugly again on a Thursday night. Tampa off a crazy OT loss to the Raiders. They are sinking. Winston in the 'sophomore slump.' Nary a rushing attack. Defense looks like swiss cheese. But sign me up for the home dogs. Falcons in prime let down spot. Big win over GB last week. They are also off 4 straight close games, and 5 tough ones if you include their win over Carolina before that. This is a step-down in class by the looks of things. Look. TB HC Koetter is now 3-0 vs his old team. Like I said when he rolled on the Bucs in Game 1, they have the inside edge as they also employ old Atlanta HC Mike Smith on the defense. Falcons 1-11 ATS under HC Quinn. That is nuts. Tampa gets their first home win on the year here. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Going UNDER the total here. We lost the total here yesterday, but have to go right back to it here in Game 7. Hendricks has a 1.31 ERA this postseason. Kluber at .89 in his 5 post-season starts. Nothing else to say. 8* Sure Shot UNDER Cubs/Indians 

Taking the INDIANS here. How can I not take Kluber in this spot. Guy has a .89 ERA this postseason in his 5 starts. Truly one of the best performances on record. Can't say anything bad about Hendricks and his 1.31 post-season ERA. He has been almost as good as Kluber. I think the final piece for me getting on the Tribe here is the bullpen. We have a fresh Miller who has been terrific. Cody Allen hasn't given up a run. We can easily see these guys for 2 innings each. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND INDIANS 

Taking the COWBOYS here. The trends all say Philly here. 15-3 ATS last 18 vs NFC East teams. Dallas 3-12 ATS last 15 as home faves, 9-24 ATS last 33 in those games under Garrett. But this is a different team, and the coach is doing something different. Normally they go and lose games at San Fran or GB. But Garrett is putting Dak and the offense is great spots. He isn't resting on the fact he Tony Romo in there to sling all game long no matter what play calling he was giving. But this under control offense is a beast. The OL is still the best in the game. Elliot is doing a great job hitting holes. Could be a Dez sighting tonight. And, the 'Boys are off their bye week. That extra time is great especially since Philly threw some new wrinkles into upending Minny last week at home. Now, if the Eagles were coming in off a loss, then I could see backing the dog. I just think this Dallas team is really working very well right now. Let's not forget that Philly is also bringing a rookie QB on the road with them. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the SAINTS here. Will grab the home dogs here. Nearly went +120 and will probably sprinkle a little ML in here. Look. Brees at home. A beast. 11 TDs 2 INTs leading an offense scoring 36ppg here at home and putting up over 500 yards of offense. And speaking of beasts, the Beast Mode is gone and Seattle has nary a rush attack. Wilson is clearly hobbled. Guy has rushed for 33 yards this year after going for 2300+, over 500 a year in his other 4 seasons. At this rate, he might not get to 100. I know the Saints defense is bad. But the catch Seattle with an early start time off the Sunday night game. Did you watch that game? What a slug-fest. What do the 'Hawks have left. A loss here and they are still atop the NFC West. For New Orleans, it is clearly get busy time. They are 2-4 but still in the hunt as the Falcons are 4-3 atop the South. Saints 10-3-2 ATS last 15 as dogs and have won their last 3 SU as dogs. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking CLEMSON here. Rolling our Top Rated MONEY BOMB out on the Tigers. I know the 'Noles are 23-1 SU last 24 here at Doak. But I do not like what I have seen. FSU scoring 35ppg. But have notched 35-20-17 last 3 games. Are they saving it up for tonight? They have allowed 34 to Ole Miss. 63 to Louisville. 35 to South Florida and 37 to North Carolina. What is going to happen when the best QB they have seen comes to play here? 40+? Clemson is 8-3 ATS last 11 in the series and 4-1 ATS last 5 here on the road. What really comes into play for me here is defense and the QBs. Clemson defense allowing 15ppg which is basically have of what Florida State gives up. Add in we have the more experienced QB and I think we cruise to a double digit win here tonight. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS 

Higgs is cruising along crushing the books with his NFL Selections. Sean is locked in here on MNF with his Top Rated 10* MONEY-BOMB. Do your wallets and bankroll a favor. Take your opinion, walk outside to the garage, get a shovel and dig a hole. Put whatever idea you have for this Texans / Broncos match-up in that said hole, and bury it. 'Mr Money' is going to deliver another GUARANTEED WINNER to start your week $ 

Taking the CHARGERS here. Had the under last time these guys played on Thursday night and cashed another NFL ticket. So we get a little extra rest which is always a blessing. Also, a 4pm start time is much better for a west coast than a 1pm kickoff. I know what you are thinking. Higgs. Falcons beat-up the Panthers at home. Won at Denver. Should have won at Seattle. Now you are telling me they don't beat a San Diego team that gives away leads by a touch-down! I had Seattle last week out of their bye thinking they would handle things. This Atlanta team looks pretty good. But b2b west coast games vs a pair of real physical defenses takes a toll. Also. Falcons have a 'bigger', so to speak game up next against the Packers. If they are to stumble, against an out of conference team is the way to do it. Chargers even in finding ways to lose, don't get blown out. SD 20-9 ATS L29 as road pups and 8-2 ATS last 10 overall. 2-4 with 3 losses by 8 points and the 6pt loss to KC in OT! They have actually outscored their opponents on the year. Falcons 2-6 ATS last 8 at home. 10* Money Bomb SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 

Taking the VIKINGS here. Tough taking a road fave for sure. But we get Minny out of the bye week. We have Philly in a stumble dropping 2 straight as we cashed with the Lions and Redskins against them the last 2 weeks. Look. Mike Zimmer is a great HC. The team really responds to the guy. How does 19-3 ATS last 22 grab you? How about 10-2 ATS L12 as a fave and 9-1 ATS L10 on the road. I fully expect the Vikings defense to take control of the rookie early here. And I am not hating on Philly. When you beat the Browns, the Steelers missing guys and a the Bears, you really aren't beating the league elites. We saw Pitt just lay an egg in Miami to a Dolphins team that had looked horrible. Rookie HC and QBs rarely have playoff bound first years. I would say Philly might have a bit of edge facing their old QB. But what did Bradford really do here? I think that trade will be great long term for both clubs. Philly recoups a pick and Minny is undefeated with a top defense that has a legit shot at a Super Bowl right now. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking WYOMING here. Have cashed with the Cowboys a few times and will come back to them here laying the small number on the road. Nevada is in total free fall. The offense is absolutely terrible. They have scored more than 17 points once in their last 4 games. Wyoming has lost at Nebraska, then blew a game late at Eastern Michigan. But they have crushed Colorado State and Air Force their last 2 outings. We are also in off a bye week which does nothing help. 5* Best Bet WYOMING COWBOYS 

Taking NEW MEXICO STATE here. Uh.. Going ugly here. Aggies got hammered on the road last week at Idaho giving up 55! Georgia Southern though looks like a shell of its former self. Pretty simple in my thinking here. We get New Mexico State at home off a debacle. We have Georgia Southern playing their 4th straight game! GA Southern off a big game vs Georgia Tech and have an even bigger game vs Appalachian State up next. 8* Situational Sure-Shot NEW MEXICO STATE 

Taking AUBURN here. These guys started slow for sure. And when you see ranked teams giving double digits to other ranked teams, I am sure you scratch your head. But this isn't like Alabama huge line over the 6th ranked Aggies. Tide just get an extra couple points on them just because of their name. In this case, the Tigers are a vastly improved unit. I do like the smash-mouth Hogs. But off Alabama and Ole Miss in b2b, hitting the road for Auburn off their bye week is difficult. Also a little revenge angle for last years crazy OT loss for the home team. Arkansas has given up 45 to Texas A&M and 38 to TCU both on the road. So we have seen Auburn play some defense. They held Clemson to 19, A&M 29, LSU 13, Miss. St 14. Not saying that these 4 teams possess the best offenses in College Football. Just pointing out that this defense can make stops. They will especially be able to make stops with an extra week of prep and rest under their belts. Public money flowing like an open dam on the Hogs, yet the line is now up a full 3 points since opening. 10* Money Bomb AUBURN TIGERS 

Taking BOISE here. Keep it real simple here. I just think this is a flat spot for BYU. Not that they won't be up for this game, but what is left in the tank? Off OT vs Mississippi. That on the heels of crushing Michigan State on the road. What a brutal schedule. Boise looking for revenge from last year. 5* Best Bet BOISE STATE 

Taking SEATTLE here. Am I missing something? Are they starting some QB from the street here? Will they be playing with a secondary? I really can't believe this line is so low. Maybe it is just because I think the Falcons are going to get destroyed here. Look. You know that I am not a huge backer or lover of Seattle. But in this spot, I am all in. We get the Falcons off a road win in Mile High over the defending Super Bowl Champs. That was on the heels of them knocking off the reigning NFC Champs, their own division winners, the Carolina Panthers. Now they face another physical defense coming off a bye week. Sign me up please! This is a long haul for Atlanta. To Denver, back home and now out west again to Seattle. 8* Sure Sure SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the CHIEFS here. Absolute no-brainer for me. We get Andy Reid off a bye week. The guy is nothing but a winner in his career with rest to the tune of 15-2 SU. Add in some added motivation after being trucked on national TV and KC will be extremely focused here. Raiders 4-1 but could easily be 1-4 the way their games end. 10* Money Bomb KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking the REDSKINS here and will probably scoop up +135 ML too boot. We had the Lions last week. And I will fade again on the rookie in b2b road games. I have been on the 'Skins a few times already. Do we forget these guys made the playoffs last year. This is a pretty good offense even without Reed. The film is out on Wetz and teams will adjust accordingly. I'm calling for a dog outright here. 5* Best Bet WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking BAYLOR here. Laying 7 TDs is a tough pill to swallow. But, we have a lot of things working in our favor. First, the history. 66-7 last year, 60-14 2014. 59-14 2013. Now, the numbers. 59-46-45. The margin of victory in those games. Next up. Kansas last week left it all on the field. Blowing a 9pt lead with a 90 seconds left is painful. Missing the game winning field as time expired is painful. Missing 3 FGs in the 4th quarter is downright inhumane. Fresh off taking TCU to the bitter end, we know that Jim Grobe will have these guys on their 'A' game. Especially off their bye week. Especially the way they played against Iowa State having to come back from being down 42-28 entering the 4th quarter. So they had a week to think about that. Now they see the Jayhawks aren't going to be quitters as they fought tooth and nail for a win. Bears have another bye week next week before facing Texas. Rest assure. Their sole focus is to come out here with a Baylor classic 64-16 win. 8* Sure Shot BAYLOR BEARS 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA here. Easy Best Bet winner last week as Virginia Tech beat the 'Heels. Now the whole let down factor was a major reason we were on the Hokies. The piss-poor weather was just an added benefit. No hurricane rain or winds for NC this game. And lookie here. Miami is off a tough loss to that same Florida State foe. Now. Not only does Miami blow a 13-0 lead. But with a chance to tie it up at 20 with a minute and a half left, they pull a page from the FSU playbook and their kicker gets a PAT blocked! The U had that game circled as a we are back type game. Total flat spot for them. North Carolina QB Mitch Trubisky has 13 TDs and just 2 picks and a depressed Hurricanes bunch will find themselves in a fast hole. 10* Money Bomb NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking the BILLS here. Right off the bat I like the extra rest. Tough flying cross country. Even tougher when you are off a win over a hated rival. But let's not forget that this a talented team. They started out sluggish but have come on strong. Let's be honest. You really think the Rams are good? I am not buying it. They have been out-yarded in every game! Are they winning 4 in a row? Will the get 5 turnovers today? Another huge division win for them over Arizona. I just see a let down and a correction to the norm. Gurley is averaging 2.6 yards a carry! Dog Outright. 8* Sure Shot BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the CHARGERS here. Circle the wagons time for San Diego. Are you kidding me? Blow a 21pt lead to KC and lose in OT. Blow a lead to the Colts with a minute and change. And last week's Saints debacle blowing a 13pt lead with 7 minutes to go. Well. The Raiders offer the perfect remedy. We have double-revenge working for us. We have the fact that Oakland has already made 3 trips east already and that adds to fatigue. We have the fact that the Raiders have been out yarded in all their games. We know that they have been on the lucky side of things as they edged the Saints and needed a late TD to get past Baltimore. SD is 16-10 SU 19-7 ATS and are getting a nice number. Sprinkle that 165 ML in here. These teams are pretty evenly matched and one is ready for a huge win! 10* Money Bomb SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 

Taking the FALCONS here. I don't know. This line just sucks me in. Maybe I'm the sucker. But I will gladly grab an Atlanta team that is an offensive explosion lately. I know that the Broncos can bring heat on Matt Ryan. I am not sold on the Denver QB whoever it is no matter how great the defense helping him is. Might sprinkle some ML +180 on this puppy. 5* Best Bet ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking KANSAS STATE here. Like Snyder in this role. Off a loss last week to West Va, and with a big revenge game here at home. Texas Tech dropped the 'Cats 59-44 last year putting up nearly 700 yards of offense. This K-State defense is one of the toughest in the land (4) in total yards yielding under 240 a game. We saw them against the cupcakes (FIU, Missouri St) give up 7 points. But holding a pretty good Stanford team playing at home to just 227 total yards is a good showing. Texas Tech can score, but the defense is putrid. Try allowing 43ppg last 13 road games. Over 500ypg allowed. Final thought here. Last 2 games here in K-State, 45-13, 55-24 good for 31 and 32pt wins. This would have been a play regardless of QB status. 10* Money Bomb KANSAS STATE 

Taking VIRGINIA TECH here. Straight up situational play here. We have North Carolina in off an emotional and physical battle vs Florida State. So. Not only did they jump out to a 21-0 lead on the 'Noles, they gave it all back and then some to be down 35-34 (blocked PAT) with 23 seconds left. They connect on a 54 yarder as time expired. To say there is nowhere to go but down is an understatement. NC is a good club. They have won 15 of their last 16 regular season games. But Virginia Tech is off their bye. The Florida State 10 pt dog outright, last second win. Add in that Tarheels have the Hurricanes on deck. Perfect sandwich flat spot. We also know that the Hokies are 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series and the road team is 7-3 ATS last 10. 5* Best Bet VIRGINIA TECH

Taking MINNESOTA here. I will be the first to say that I was totally wrong about this Iowa team. Obviously, everything that had to go right last year did. Because they are really paying their debts this year. A loss to North Dakota State. Barely edging out Rutgers. Losing at home to Northwestern. Winning the stats in just one game shows their true colors. They will be in for a battle here against Minny. I have had these guys several times already and will come back to cash a ticket here at high noon. Golden Gophers 5-2 ATS last 7 in the series, dog 5-2 ATS also. But at +1, I will just go for the even money here. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS 

Taking the VIKINGS here. Faded both of these guys last week with mixed results. Skins cashed on the free pick video, while the Panthers were mauled by Minny. Let's cut to the chase here. Defense. Even though the Giants poured what, 100+ million onto that side of the ball, they can only look on in envy at Zimmers unit. This guy is a great coach. 25-5 ATS last 30 and 16 of last 18 good for 89% against the number! No AP no problem. McKinnon and Asiata filled in just fine when Peterson was lost for the year. Bradford is getting more comfortable by the day with his new club. Minny has given up 14, 16 and 10 in their games. The defense is a straight up public enemy. Giants already to have some injuries pop up. Eli is a statue and will go down at least 3-4 times tonight. One will probably result in a fumble, and he will toss a pick or 2 as he will be harassed all night long. 10* MNF GOM Vikings 

Taking ARIZONA here. The ol' perfect storm set-up shaping up nicely for us. We have the Cardinals off a game where they were thoroughly embarrassed on the scoreboard and all aspects of game play. The Rams flew to the east coast after beating division rival Seattle and their offense exploded to the tune of 37 points in Tampa. Make no mistake though, this Rams offense is not good. Before heading to Tampa, this offense punted on 16 of 22 possessions and had 3 TOs without scoring a touchdown. Besides in off back to back upset wins and a cross country back to back roadie, they face a very angry Arizona team. These guys have Super Bowl aspirations. Bruce Arians will have these guys on fire from the coin toss after a 5 TO game. Remember the game after losing to the Patriots? 40-7 over Tampa. I'm looking for more of the same this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the JETS here. Going to grab them +125 on the ML also. Have to love the home dog getting points. I know it is Seattle, but still not a fan of west coast teams coming east in early action. Couple that with the fact that Wilson is banged up. Jets defense is a beast and gets plenty of pressure on opposing QBs. Seattle has quite frankly, struggled out of the gate here. I know the Jets were humiliated last week. QB play was absolutely brutal last week. 6 INTs from Fitzpatrick, 8 TOs total, including 2 defensive TDs. You aren't winning any games at any level pulling stunts like that. 10* Money Bomb NEW YORK JETS

Taking CLEMSON here. Wow. What a slap in the face to the Tigers. I know they haven't been very sharp to start the season. But these guys are very good. I think it is safe to say the Heisman front-runner will emerge between the QBs here tonight. For me. It basically comes down to defense. Clemson with the better one. Everyone is in love with the offense attack of Louisville. Let me check some here. 18 straight home wins. Undefeated home dog. Team that lost in the National Championship Game last year. yep. I am correct. 8* Sure Shot CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking OKLAHOMA here. Ranked team a home underdog to an unranked team. Sign me up Sooners! I said on podcast week 1 that Oklahoma is terrible when ranked high to start the year. And out of the gate, they lose outright as a double digit fave. Then get assaulted at home by Ohio State. Now they take to the road to face a TCU team that is a tough out in any venue. But Oklahoma is talented even with the losses. This is the type of team that will now run the table, and at the end of the year, everyone will be saying that, hey, if you lose early, it is better than losing late. That being said, with 2 losses they are most likely out of any Playoff talk unless things get crazy for other teams. Sooners also with 2 weeks to think about that home loss and get ready for a team that nearly beat them without their starting QB on the road last year. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking MICHIGAN here. Gotta love a team in the Top 10 getting double digits. Wow. What does that tell us? I think Wisconsin is overrated. I had LSU and Wiscy beat them. But where is LSU now? They beat Michigan State as a small road dog but got 4 TOs. But now they travel to face the Wolverines with a young signal caller. Michigan will be looking to attack all day with 17 sacks already on the young season. Wiscy in tough b2b road venues has Ohio State at home next. Tough stretch for any team. Michigan now playing their 5th straight at home to start the year and have essentially a bye next week on the road at patsy Rutgers. 10* Money Bomb MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE here. Like I said in my podcast the other day. Be it College Hoops or Football, when I see the 'ranked' team getting points from a lower, or un-ranked club, fugedaboutit - all in on that team. Cowboys were a pre-season Top 25 team. They shouldn't have covered in that crazy Central Michigan game, but they shouldn't have gotten the L either. They did lose to a good Baylor club. But running the table to 8-2 heading into the last games at TCU and Oklahoma is a very good possibility. We cashed Texas over ND week 1 but how good does that win look now? Also, Texas gave up 50 to Cal. Mason Rudolph leads Okie State to 40ppg and even with a bye week, the Longhorns will have trouble slowing things down. I do like Charlie Strong as HC. But this is a tough spot with a desperate team who's season can really get bad with a loss here and the big Red River Rivalry game vs Oklahoma up next. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking the BUCS here. Great spot for us here. We get the Rams (who we cashed with last week), off another win over bitter division rivals, the Seattle Seahawks. Last year in an identical spot after they bear Seattle, we grabbed the Redskins as a Top 10* as rolled to 24-10 win. On top of that, and the flight cross country, we have Tampa in off a humiliating loss. 40-7. 4 INTs for Winston. 27-52. Yikes. Ugly. I think Tampa is a playoff type team. They are a talented bunch. The Rams are the Rams. A team that can't even start a guy they take at the top of the draft. The defense is solid, but on the road I have zero faith in the team as a whole. 10* Money Bomb TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Taking the JAGUARS here. They were tough here at home and probably should have gotten the W. They were taking out on the west coast, but I like this match-up here. Ravens a bit long in the tooth compared to the younger Jags. The offense finally got going against (down 20-2) the Browns, the BROWNS, but they were in danger of losing. They didn't look too fluid in their opener vs the Bills. Same Bills unit that was mauled for 37 by the Jets last week. The seat is starting to get pretty warm now for Gus Bradley. Jags are 12-38 under on his watch. These guys were the off-season darlings. Time to man up. Gut Check. Back to the wall. Whatever cliche you want to throw out there. At 0-2 the time is now. 8* Sure Shot JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking AUBURN here. Now, I have seen reports of buying out contracts here. Who knows what is true. What I do know is that Auburn can bring some defense to a game. Home dog in the SEC? Sign me up. LSU is working on a new QB. Everything trend wise says LSU is the play. I just think we get a huge effort as Malzahn's job is on the line. 5* Best Bet AUBURN 

Taking APPALACHIAN STATE here. Lost badly last week with these guys as the 'U' rolled to a glory day beat-down. But make no mistake, this is a talented crew. Let's cut to the chase though. Akron is off a game for the ages. A 17 pt dog winning by 28 points putting up 65. Yes 65 Points! Down 21-7 entering the 2nd Q and score 5 TDs. They aren't getting that kind of luck today. Not from a much more disciplined club off a beating themselves. A big step down in class for Appy and they should roll to a double digit cover here. 10* Money Bomb APPALACHIAN STATE

Taking IOWA here. Never like laying nearly 2 TDs on the road, but these programs are in different places. Iowa in off a last second loss to North Dakota State! Now, NDST is a FCS school, they are one of the top ones in the nation. I don't think Rutgers would win against them. That being said. Iowa has zero room for a slip up. Maybe if they didn't lose you could say they would over-look the Rutgers. But they aren't in a spot with Northwestern up next. QB Beathard is 15-3 and, as a senior, won't be intimidated playing in New Brunswick. I don't think that the Scarlet Knight offensive, especially at QB, will be able to mount any serious offensive drives. We saw them get hammered 48-13 at Washington. Iowa has the same kind of talent. Howard and New Mexico are not even close to Big 10 talent. 5* Best Bet IOWA 

Taking the VIKINGS here. Ugly win for sure last week for Minny. But that should have been expected after the loss of their QB. I don't think it really matters who starts this week. It is about AP breaking things open, and defense that is one of the best in the games. Pack barely escaped last week with a win. Vikes opening a new stadium, which I would normally fade. Just like Thursday when the Bills trot out Bruce Smith. Whenever things like this go down, they seem to be a distraction. That being said though, Minny has hopes for a deep playoff run. It gets real serious here on Sunday night. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

Taking the DOLPHINS here. Uh. Don't like the cross country flight. But I am following my gut here. Miami defense is the real deal. Facing Seattle at home, you really can't get on them for mustering 10 points in that 12-10. The defense just couldn't hold on the last 30 seconds. Was I expecting the Pats to win in Arizona? Hell no. I wasn't expecting a win there with Brady. Maybe the Cards just took Garoppolo not being Brady and Gronk not playing and figured they can skate through a home game. I doubt Miami will be overlooking anyone behind center wearing a Patriots helmet. The Dolphins should be able to harass the youngster. Pats OL is not their strength while the pass rush is a huge one for the visitors. Defenses know have a game tape of the new QB, and I am pretty sure he won't be completing 73% of his passes this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb MIAMI DOLPHINS 

Taking the REDSKINS here. Lost with these guys as my Top 10* last week. Nearly came back on them here. Are you kidding with this line? I could have moved earlier on the sites and gotten 2.5. How is that possible? 1 game. Really? These guys were a playoff team last year. Cousins is perfect for Grudens system. They have a great group of WRs. The defense, although terrible on Monday night, is a decent unit. And speaking of MNF, getting humiliated at home is a great way to get people off your bandwagon. The Dallas Dak attack was right there until a bonehead play by Williams cost them a shot at a game winning FG. Now. Dak 'looked' good. No sacks or INTs. But a pair of 50+ FGs and a chance at 3rd won't win you many games. His 227 yards on 45 pass attempts is a little more than 5 a throw. That isn't cutting it. Dez had nothing targeted to him down field. Washington on a 'early' short week since they had the 1st MNF game now has some game film. I think they win this by double digits. 8* Sure Shot WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking OKLAHOMA here. I know it is easy to fade Stoops. Guy seems to be clueless at times. They never seem to live up to their high rankings, but come out of know where when nobody is watching. And right now, the people watching are waiting for Urban Meyer to have his Buckeyes bury the Sooners at home. As Lee Corso likes to say. Not so fast my friend. OSU a very young team. Yes. Outscoring teams 62.5 to 6.5 is impressive. But Bowling Green and Tulsa at home are not football factories. Baker Mayfield and the Sooner offense should have the advantage over a young, albeit, talented defense. And let's go back to the beginning of Summer for a second. Oklahoma was a 9pt fave when this game was first lined. It was then down to 6. And after losing to Houston, now the Sooners a small dog. Wow. Houston is a good club. But not enough to warrant that kind of line move. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking ALABAMA here. Hopefully 3rd times the charm for the Tide. Ole Miss has won the last two and now we come in laying double digits. I had Ole Miss against FSU and they looked good for a half. Make no mistake this 'Bama defense is as good or better than the 'Noles. I respect that Chad Kelly is the best QB in SEC play. But they lost their starting QB and top CB already. I know the recruit well, but Saban will light into Kiffen to make sure they don't turn the ball over 5 times in this one. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA 

Taking APPALACHIAN STATE here. First. Let's just say that the average fan is going to be all in on the Canes. And they should be. I mean, tough to knock a team ranked and with a new HC that is looking to turn the program back to a powerhouse that is was. But let's not sleep on Appy State here. I said on my first podcast of the year to take the points and they can hang with the Vols. They did. This is a veteran team that went 11-2 LY and has a bunch of starters back. Home dogs on ESPN vs a team like Miami? I will sprinkle ML +150 on the home dogs. 5* Best Bet APPALACHIAN STATE 

Taking the REDSKINS here. Absolutely no respect here. Washington won the NFC East last year. You can say the were a joke, but that's on you. Cousins isn't sexy like Big Ben, but he fits Gruden's system. Their WRs as a group are top flight. None stand alone like Bryant, but this offense will put up points. The defense is solid. And let's talk about the Steelers. They are missing some pieces here in Week 1on offense. Coming on the road and laying points is not an easy task. Opening night on MNF. Skins are looking to prove the doubters wrong. And make no mistake, Pitt has a huge game up next week vs Cincy. That is one physical rivalry that gets more chippy by the quarter. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON REDSKINS 

Taking the BUCCANEERS here. As I said in my Thursday podcast, after Carolina, you can really shuffle the deck behind them. I like Tampa's talent. That isn't to say that Matt Ryan and Julio Jones are chopped liver. I just like the way the Bucs improved their secondary in the off-season. Atlanta is 1-11 ATS last 12 as chalk. We can say, hey, double revenge spot for Atlanta. But they barely were home field -3 fave before the smart money grabbed the number. Bucs new HC was their OC last year and Winston will look to improve off a solid rookie season. As an added knowledge bonus, we have ex Falcons OC as our HC and their old HC, Mike Smith, as our DC. I think we can get a little edge with our defense here. 8* Sure Shot TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Taking the BEARS here. Had Tony George on my podcast Thursday. He told the listeners he had the Texans as his Super Contest selection and gave Houston as a Free Play on the show. I was like wow. The guy hit like 65% last year in the contest, have to respect his opinion. But as I watch this number drop a bit, I see 4.5 in some spots, I had to dig a little. I am not as high on Houston as others. I really haven't seen enough of Brock Osweiler to think he is getting this team 10,11 wins. The defense will be playing with a limited JJ Watt. I think that John Fox is a pretty good HC. Pretty sure he knows a little about Brock since he drafted him in Denver! 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS

Taking SAN DIEGO STATE here. Have had this game circled since early August. I don't think Cal was going to be very good. I had Hawaii and the 21 when it first opened in Australia. I always like Rocky Long and he's doing a good job here in Mountain West action. First round pick Goff and the Bears blitzed the Aztecs on the road last year 35-7, and I think SDST gets some payback. Aztecs can control the clock and keep the Cal offense off the field. They also have a senior led defense that can keep points off the board. 8* Sure Shot SAN DIEGO STATE 

Give me WASHINGTON STATE here. 10.5/ 11 pts! Are you kidding me? Since 2012, Mike Leach is on a 12-3 ATS road dog run. That includes outright wins over Oregon, USC, Arizona, Cal and Utah. Boise is 99-6 since 2000 on the Blue Turf. But they did drop their last 2 at home last year. The defense isn't strong enough to contain the 'Air Raid' pass attack that the Cougars bring. QB Luke Faulk has 38TD 8INTs last year so he should be able to move the ball vs the Boise. Should be a shoot-out with a total over 70 and I will grab the double digits and smile all the way to the window. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON STATE 

Taking TCU here. I have said numerous times over the last couple years on my podcast what kind of lines get my attention, and why I bet them. Well, we have the ole 7.5 here. When I see this, I know that the fave is covering by double digits at half and wins going away. You have heard me say it a million times before. Oh, so and so is favored is favored by 6.5? There is no way the don't beat fill in blank by a touchdown. Same as oh, so and so is getting 7.5. Love that extra half point. When I see the half on 3 and 7, I am on the favorite 9 times out of 10. TCU is the better club. Yes, their defense wasn't good last week. But I think that was more of just playing down and going through the motions. Arkansas on the other had all types of trouble generating offense. Not shocking since they only have a few starters back. But this isn't your typical SEC power run team. TCU 14-3 ATS last 17 at home, one loss as 46pt faves! This is much better number to cover. Horned Frogs 7-3 ATS last 10 non-conference games while the Razorbacks log a 1-4 ATS during the same. Look for an improved defensive effort from TCU, and the offense to put up 40 here. 8* Sure Shot TCU HORNED FROGS 

Taking ALABAMA here. I know there guys are breaking in another new QB. But come on people, Tide just reload. They are always at the top of recruiting classes. For me, this is me thinking that Lane Kiffin is going to pull out all the stops to humiliate the Trojans. Getting canned on an airport runway. You think this guy is over that? Alabama is not the team to be breaking in a new QB against either. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE 

Taking TEXAS A&M here. And how can we not? Unranked team giving points to the 'better' team, the 'ranked' team. I see games like this, in week 1 no-less, and just shake my head. I like UCLA. I think they can challenge for the PAC 12 title. But I am not backing a team with an offense that returns just 5 starters. Bruins with a pretty good defense and a bit of an edge there. But the Aggies counter that with their new OC who just happened to hold that spot at UCLA the last 4 years. During the year, maybe that wouldn't really translate well. But in Game 1. With an August of prep. He knows the strength and weakness of this team. That tilts the ball into our corner. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&M 

Taking WESTERN MICHIGAN here. So a big, bad Big 10 team is favored by a little nickel over the MAC? Weren't the Wildcats 10-3 last year? Beat Stanford. But, the numbers show me that Northwestern isn't strong as home faves. 6-13 ATS last 20, 13-24 L37 ATS including 0-7 ATS vs MAC teams. The Broncos have a returning QB, a pair of good RBs who each have 1000 yard seasons under the belt, and a solid WR corp. PJ Fleck has done a great job here as WMU is 11-4 ATS last 15 as away dogs under his watch. I have Western Michigan winning the MAC and I think they come out on fire here to grab a little respect knocking off a power conference team. 5* Best Bet WESTERN MICHIGAN 

Taking the FALCONS here. So we cashed our last NFLX game as these same Jaguars rallied for a Best Bet win on Sunday night. Now, a straight fade. Short week. Nothing to prove for them. They will just be going through the motions. Atlanta on the other hand. Well, I think we see a little more determination. They didn't look good vs Miami. I think they rate a huge edge just based on the fact that the Jags are playing on a short week. I doubt we see Matt Ryan. In fact, after Romo was injured, I can't believe that I am reading that the Saints will play Drew Brees! Matt Schaub is a real NFL QB who put up decent numbers before, I don't even how to type it. We all saw it. The guy threw something like 10 Pick for TDs in week! That being said, we will get him at least a bit vs backups. Matt Simms will probably get a long leash here. And he hasn't been bad in his 2 appearances so far. 8* Sure Shot ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the JAGUARS here. I know this is Week 3. And teams pretty much run out their 'A' game starters and play for a half or more. For me though, this is about how I think the Jags have improved themselves. The offense looks to take another step forward. The defense should be a solid unit. Bengals know who they are. I don't think they will be out for blood and really bringing it here. Jax on the other hand is looking to take that next step. The fact is at 0-2, they really can't afford to go 0-3, even here in pre-season. Gus Bradley has the pieces with some high draft picks. Time to put it together. 5* Best Bet JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Taking HAWAII here. Will grab the 20+ and sprinkle some +900 ML in also. I think this sets up nicely for us. A long flight for both teams. New HC for the Rainbows but 15 returning starters who needed a jolt of new life in them. They face a rebuilding Cal team that lost their QB Goff to the NFL and their top 6 WRs. 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense. Laying 20 on a different contintent! I have the Bears pegged for the basement of the PAC 12. 5* Best Bet HAWAII RAINBOWS 

Taking the SAINTS here. Both teams winless so far. I know Week 3 is the 'dress rehearsal' for teams. Now, from 2009-2012 Pittsburgh was 12-4 SU 11-5 ATS in preseason action. Times are a change. Including their 0-2 SU/ATS mark this year, the Steelers are now 2-14 SU/ATS last 16 in preseason action! I think that the Steelers first team offense plays the first half here. But I don't think they do too much damage. The Saints defense has actually been pretty good in it's limited action and I like what I have see and read about them so far. I think Sean Payton will unleash Brees and his offense here. I mean, not that is has to do with football, but the state of Louisiana has had some national news recently. And the recent flooding is in my eyes, an opportunity for New Orleans a to come and give the people something to cheer about. With proceeds going to flood victims, I expect a big crowd that will leave very happy tonight. 8* Sure Shot NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Going OVER the total here. I will say I was totally wrong about the Chargers as we backed them last week. But I absolutely love, LOVE this total here tonight. Both teams off of lack-luster performances. Nary a hint of offense to be found. I think the coaches take the gloves off, and ease up on the leashes here in Week 2. I expect we see the starters play at least a quarter and get us close to half-way home on this total. To be honest, it will be a shock to me if this game isn't at almost 30 by the half. 10* Total of the Week OVER Cardinals/Chargers 

Taking the BROWNS here. Yes. A BEST BET play on these guys. A team who's first score of the preseason was a safety and then allowed 2 safeties as the final 2 scoring plays. You can't make this stuff up. Same old Cleveland! That being said. I nearly played them against GB last week, but deep in my gut knew that the value would be here at home. And it is as they get zero respect and can't even lay the home FG as a fave. Bottom line is this. That game was terrible last week. I think RG3 gets a little more action here. I think HC Hue Jackson wants the fans to know things are different. I'm looking at this as a double digit win. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Going OVER the total here. Pretty simple in my thinking. Chip Kelly loves to run it up. He has gone OVER in 10 of 12 pre-season games. And with both Kap and Gabbert  battling for the top QB spot, I expect both to be airing it out. 8* Sure Shot OVER Texans/Niners 

Taking the CHARGERS here. First. We know that Mike McCoy tries to win a bit in preseason (7-4-1 ATS). We also have the Titans ex HC as our OC (Ken Whisenhunt) who did pretty good with the QB here. Now, we won't get a flurry of Phillip Rivers and that is fine. But, we have seen in the past a team get up for a coach facing an old team, regardless of how many wins (3-20) he had there over the year. We also have QB Zach Metteberger facing a team he started 10 games for. Kellen Clemens is a veteran who should have success against 3rd and 4th string defenders. So, I am sure MIke Mularky is a great family man and person. But let's be honest here. 2-7 last year after being promoted to HC of these Titans. 2-14 his only season with the Jags (2014). 9-7 then 5-11 with the Bills back in 2004-2005. And he is going to be successful with a 2nd year QB playing a few snaps and journeyman Matt Cassell coming in? Alex Tanney out of that QB U Monmouth University? Hey. I'm a Jersey Guy. Would love to see him do something great. But in the world of sports gambling, I am all in on the Chargers to roll here. 10* Money Bomb SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 

Taking the RAVENS here. Baltimore was brutal last year. We won't see much of Flacco or Cam. Panthers in case you were in a cave lost the Super Bowl last year. But this is pre-season. Ravens will be hungry to get last years taste out of their mouths. What better way then to knock off the NFC Champs who will be going through the motions waiting for September to get here. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS 

Going UNDER the total here. At least it finally dawned on the Jays to keep Sanchez in the rotation. They were going to move him to the 'pen. He is only the AL leader in ERA at 2.71. That makes sense. Just an 11-1 record on the year. Nice road split with an ERA of 2.11 and 7-0 in 11 starts. He is off his best month as he posted a 1.59 ERA n 5 starts with a .82 WHIP and .176 BAA. Duffy is off a 16K gem as he took a no-no into the 8th. He has a 2.98 ERA on the year in 31 game, 15 starts. KC has gone under in 7 of 10, Jays 6 in a row. Under has cashed 5 of the last 6 in the series. 10* Total of the Week UNDER Jays/Royals 

Taking the RANGERS here. Getting a nice price on a team that has dominated the favorite winning 9 of 10 this season. The team that went out and added 2 more pieces to a playoff puzzle. Perez is 5-2 1.88 ERA in 7 career starts vs Houston. Keuchel is 4-7 with a 4.58 ERA in 17 starts vs Texas including going 0-3 with a 7.91 ERA this season. 5* Best Bet TEXAS RANGERS 

Taking the WHITE SOX here. Will grab Sale at this price. So he cut up some stupid jersey. I don't think it matters here. The clubhouse and team has been a wreck since the start of the season. That didn't stop them from playing well. They have slumped. I get it. But Sale has nice numbers vs the Cubs (.56 ERA 16 innings 28Ks) and Lackey has a 6.12 ERA his last 7 starts. Sal eis 7-1 in 10 starts with a 2.08 ERA, .91 WHIP and .194 BAA on the road this season. 8* Sure Shot CHICAGO WHITE SOX 

Taking the GIANTS here. Will have to grab Bumgarner at this price. Even if he has a 'bloated' 2.75 road ERA, he still has an impressive 1.15 WHIP and .228 BA away from home. I just can't see the Yankee bats getting good contact here. I know Tanaka is having a nice year and is clearly NY's best pitcher. But he has pedestrian numbers at home, 3-1 4.71 ERA i n 10 starts. Before this losing streak, the Giants had the best record in all of MLB. This is a good team, and when we can get a Cy Young guy like this getting a couple bucks, count me in. 8* Sure Shot SF GIANTS

Taking the RANGERS here. Texas picked up Hamels last year to be a horse and a stopper and that is exactly what they need here to stop the bleeding of a 3-11 run. I didn't believe in Lackey when he had a great run in May and I am not believing in him now. He has been roughed up in 3 of his last 4 starts and I think that is what we will see from the 37 year old the rest of the season. Hamels is 6-1 with a 2.09 ERA on the road. 48 hits allowed in 60 innings. Texas 24-6 in Cole's last 30 starts, 11-4 last 15 on the road. I think we have the edge on the mound here. 5* Best Bet TEXAS RANGERS 

Going OVER the total here. Nothing I like better than jumping on an over after a 1-0 game. We get a pair of pitchers tonight that are very hitter friendly. Right off the bat we see Gio with an ERA approaching 4.60 at home. Fact is, he has been on the decline for what is now his 4th straight year. ERA has risen every year. Strike outs down, innings down, hits up. Gio 6-2-1 over last 10. Davies looks like he hit a wall the last 2 starts. He has a near 5.50 road ERA and batters are slapping him at a .291 clip. Over is 9-3-1 last 14 in the series. 10* Total Money OVER Brewers/ Nats 

Taking the CUBS here. Look. I like Matz. A lot. I was all over this kid after his first start of the year. I thought he had some great stuff and he ran off 7 straight wins. Since then though, buyer beware. 0-2 in his 4 June starts posting an ERA near 6 (5.91). They are talking surgery for bone spurs in his pitching elbow. Clearly something has bothered him lately. Now. I am no huge fan of John Lackey, especially coming off his worse outing of the year. But I like the Cubs here in payback mode from the playoffs. And we have the Mets in a free fall, getting swept by the Nationals, losing 4 straight and 6 of 10. Their offense is down right ugly with James Loney, Kelly Johnson and Alejandro De Aza, batting clean-up, 6th and lead-off yesterday. Yikes. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO CUBS

Taking the ROCKIES here. Will fade away on Shelby Miller and his 9+ ERA here at Coors Field. Yeah. I must have a pretty big pair to unload on Jorge DeLaRosa and his 7+ ERA on the year. But the Rockies are 11-1 in DLR's last 12 home starts vs DBacks. He is 23-5 his last 28 home starts and 56-17 last 73. The guy wins at home for whatever reason and has owned Arizona here. 10* Money Bomb COLORADO ROCKIES

Taking the WHITE SOX here. How can I not grab Sale at this price. I think he should probably be favored in the 130 range. He has been that good this year. The first 11 game winner. Only has a 1.01 WHIP to his name. Has been better on the road than at home stat wise. 5-1 2.09 ERA .212 BA against .99 WHIP with a SHO and 2 CGs to his name. Buchholz is back from the bullpen where he gave up 4 runs in 9.1 innings. That is what he is. A guy who looks good for 2 innings before giving up 4 runs in 2 different frames. Sox 12-3 in Sale's last 15 starts. Boston 3-8 in Clay's last 11. 10* Money Bomb CHICAGO WHITE SOX

Taking the NATS here. One. Anytime I can get someone like Scherzer at this price, I am jumping on the train. I am not going to say he has been unhittable. He is sporting an ERA at over 3.50. But the BA against is a solid .212 and a WHIP of 1.05 isn't terrible. He is still missing bats, (107Ks 88inn). I also think that we get the advantage of a guy with something to prove tonight. Last time in Wrigley, (May 6) the Cubbies bombed him for 7 earned in 5 innings. I am not knocking Hendricks one bit. The guy has given up more than 2 runs just once his last 8 starts. The one that helps us though is his poor road numbers. 1-4 4.23 ERA. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON NATIONALS 

Taking the BRAVES here. Will grab Teheran in this spot. If he was on any other team, the guy would be a Cy Young contender. Instead, he toils on this rebuilding franchise. Teheran is posting a tidy .67 ERA here in May with a .82 WHIP and .176 BA against. For the year, 2.73 ERA .216 BAA 1.11 WHIP. The 1-4 record is more for the Braves lack of offense. The guy hasn't given up more than 2 runs since mid-April. Braves back home a long home stand with their ace on the hill, and a new manager calling the shots. That will be a nice little boost in the arm tonight. Enter the Brewers. I like Jimmy Nelson. I think he has the makings of a staff ace for Milwaukee. But I think in this spot, the way the Braves are hitting lately, edge to the home team. And let's be honest. With a 2-17 record at home, Atlanta has to start winning here sometime. Right. Right? 10* Money Bomb ATLANTA BRAVES 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA here. These guys are really putting it all together on both sides of the floor. Very deep and talented. I can't take anything away from Villanova. But this line is short enough to ride the favorite. If the 'Cats shoot, like 75% again, well, the outcome will be very different. But I think t he 'Heels defense stymies the hot handed Nova bunch. Roy Williams wins another title and sails off into the sunset a champ again. 8* Sure Shot NORTH CAROLINA TARHEELS 

Taking VILLANOVA here. Going ML. I think the Cats win this but the way this tournament has been, would I really be shocked by a 40ft three pointer banging in off the glass to make it a 1pt win? So, it is easy to say Revenge here. Sooners rolled winning by 23 back in December. Game never in doubt as Oklahoma was drilling 3s and jumped out to early lead never looking back. Both teams last losses were identical 69-67 games in conference tournament play. What does that mean? Probably nothing except they had the same score! I think Nova plays a better defense here. The Buddy Show has been on the talk of college hoops for some time now. But I think the Wildcats slow him down and force the Sooners off their game. 10* Money Bomb VILLANOVA 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA here. We have with NC the last 2 games and will continue to build our bankroll with them as they face ND tonight. Now, am I expecting another 31pt beating like in the ACC tournament? No. But it would be great for us! I can see this being another contest where the talent of Carolina just gradually pulls away. Irish needed all kinds of luck Friday night. Can't see everything lining up 2 games in a row for them 5* Best Bet NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking VIRGINIA here. Look. I had the Zags last game. They blew a couple leads. That is not happening with VA here. Virginia is a very good team. In case you forget, this is a 1 seed that was upset by Michigan State last year. I don't expect a 2-17 3pt performance and 29% FG shooting here, even against this Orange zone. I don't think Syracuse should have been invited to the dance, but they have exceeded expectations by far. Syracuse was under .500 in the ACC. They got a gift when Michigan State was knocked out. We gladly took them and the free money against Mid Ten St. But the ball is coming to an end for Cinderella. 10* Money Bomb VIRGINIA CAVALIERS 

5* Best Bet KANSAS JAYHAWKS

5* Best Bet OREGON DUCKS

8* Sure Shot NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking IOWA STATE here. 5* Best Bet IOWA STATE

5* Best Bet OREGON 

8* Sure Shot KANSAS JAYHAWKS

10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&M

5* Best Bet MARYLAND

Taking SYRACUSE here. I will tell you this. Not surprised in the least to see the Orange here. I mean. Doesn't seem like every year, the team that is not suppose to be in, and doesn't deserve a spot, always win that Round 1 game? Well, Syracuse took care of their part. Now, they have a legit shot at getting to the Sweet 16. Hello Mid Tennessee State. Clearly, at least in my eyes. One of, if not the best upset of all-time. I thought Sparty was robbed of a 1 seed and were Final Four material. Holy cow. Bracket Busted. But onto Sunday. So MDST is off the biggest game and win of their lives. They hit every FT down the stretch. Which is saying something cause as team they hit 60% from the stripe. One guy hitting better than 68% from the FT line. With 27 seconds left in the game, they hit 7 of 8 FTs missing the last with 5 seconds left and a tidy lead. They were 6-12 of before that. They won't catch lightning in a bottle again. Orange, as up and down as they were, are still an ACC team. With ACC talent. Fact is, Syracuse as much as a Cinderella underdog. They are they guys nobody wanted here. 8* Sure Shot SYRACUSE 

Taking STEPHEN F AUSTIN here. So. I did have West Va last game. I thought to myself. 2 teams that play almost the same pressure defenses. Huggy's crew fared better vs tougher teams. Totally did not take into account that SFA would actually bring the better defense to the fold. So now we have them basically in a Pk vs ACC Notre Dame. A 14 seed that is a 1, 1.5 dog in round 2! ND was trounced by NC after beating Duke in OT in the ACC tourney. No harm getting hammered by that team. Irish not a cupcake. But this SFA team looks impressive. 10* Money Bomb STEPHEN F AUSTIN 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA here. Not going to overthink things here. NC is playing excellent. Can't see a slip up here. If I was to think about taking Providence here, I would need to be thinking can they win outright. They can't. 5* Best Bet NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking VIRGINIA here. So, Butler. Lost to tournament teams Providence twice, Xavier twice, Villanova twice and Miami Florida. Beat tournament teams Seton Hall twice (they're out) Purdue (out) Cincinnati (out) and Temple (out). What is the common theme that I see here. Losing to teams that are better? Virginia defense is the difference maker here. 10* Money Bomb VIRGINIA 

Taking WICHITA STATE here. Had these guys the last 2 games. Make it 3 in a row. 11 seed favored over a 3. I haven't really dug into past tourneys to look. But I think it is safe to say that this is a very rare. Shockers are a veteran, talented bunch. I do like the Canes. But for this line to open like this? 4* Money Maker WICHITA STATE 

Taking NORTHERN IOWA here. Last year, these guys cruised into the tourney at 30-3. A little different this year. But they are playing extremely well winning 12 of their last 13. Missouri Valley is a tough conference. These guys play anyone, anytime. Getting buckets like this the way they play defense. Sign me up. I like Shaka Smart. Did a great job at VCU. And an even better one here in his first year at Texas without 'his' type of guys. Not a great match-up for his Longhorns here. 5* Best Bet NORTHERN IOWA 

Taking WEST VIRGINIA here. Yeah. Stephen F Austin is a trendy mid-major. Both teams play aggressive defenses. But let's be honest here. SFA doesn't face the teams that West Va does. And when it does. This is what you get. 42 loss at Baylor. 10 at Northern Iowa. 7 at Air Force. 10 at UAB. 7 at Arizona State. Blow a 13pt lead vs Tulane and lose by 1. This is a huge step up. West Va could easily be considered a Final Four team. Give me Team Huggy Bear. 8* Sure Shot WEST VIRGINIA 

Taking VCU. Yeah. These guys were blasted in the A 10 Championship game. Which is why I love them more here. Oregon State, I think, shouldn't be here. So they Gary Payton Jr. The PAC 12 got A LOT of love on selection Sunday. Right off the bat we see the 10 seed favored by 4. Beavers were .500 team in conference play. Could be again, without their #2 scorer. VCU defense will respond in a huge way this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb VCU 

Taking WICHITA STATE here. Cashed with these guys in the play-in, and are back on them here. Playing with a huge chip on their shoulder. Arizona is very good. At home, 17-1. But, just 5-5 on the road. Now they have to travel, cross country 25 hundred something miles to face the Shockers. Good luck with that. 8* Sure Shot WICHITA STATE

Taking TULSA here. Wow. Who had these guys dancing? Nobody according to the bracket heads leading up to selection Sunday. But here we are. And the world is on Michigan. And I pull my Lee Corso, not so fast my friends. I had Tulsa big over Memphis and paid dearly. But this team was playing well until the Tigers upended them, twice. This is a senior led team. They have very good guard play. Those are 2 things that win games in late March. With a second life, I think the Golden Hurricane get the win here. 10* Money Bomb TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE

Taking SOUTHERN here. Had these guys in their win to get here. Look. These guys are the last 2 teams on the seed list. Holy Cross ranking dead last. And why not. They had 10 wins before someone winning 4 in a row. But let's be honest here. I know in the past Holy Cross has been NCAA darlings. People. That was 2001,2002,2003. A long, long time ago. This is a bad team. They played Kansas, losing by 33 and Rhode Island, lost by 18. I think the bell sounds tonight. I expect Southern to come out hard here. In 2013, they gave the Zags a scare dropping a 64-58 game when Gonzaga was the 1 seed. A little bit more recent tourney experience. This year, they lost at Arkansas (18) and Memphis (5) and beat Mississippi State (4), Tulane (8) and Wyoming (10). Both teams know this is a winnable spot for them. Holy Cross might be in a 'better' conference, but I think the hungry Jaguars get us the win here. 5* Best Bet SOUTHERN JAGUARS

Taking NORTH FLORIDA here. This is a tough little squad. They are one of the better offensive teams in the nation. They can light it from outside. Now, they didn't end the year the way they wanted after winning the regular season Atlantic Sun title. Luck would have it the Gators arena is under renovations, so they have to travel to a hungry mid-major. Wow. As if Florida was happy with a down season already, they have to hit the road, in-state no-less. Ospreys and their fans will be absolutely giddy getting an SEC team at home. Sprinkle some +280 ML on this baby! 8* Sure Shot NORTH FLORIDA 

Taking STEPHEN AUSTIN here. These guys run this conference. Try 57-1 SU last 3 years. SFA only had non double digit wins twice! A pair of NCAA trips with a win over VCU under their belt. You could be daring and grab ML Corpus Cristi, but I can't see Austin not dominating again. 5* Best Bet STEPHEN F AUSTIN LUMBERJACKS

Taking NORTH CAROLINA here. I will say that this NC bunch is really playing well of late. Clearly they are in the proverbial 'zone' here in the ACC tournament. When they are playing like this, watch out. They have revenge from a 5pt loss back on 2/27. I do like the Cavaliers. They are nothing to snub your nose at. But right now, NC is blazing a trail looking for the Final Four. 8* Sure Shot NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking MEMPHIS here. Ugh. So these guys buried my Top 10* last night. But that is exactly why I am on them here. Yes, this is a big number. But we have, who basically fired their HC before he pulled a rabbit out of his butt and upset Houston. Clearly the players were extra motivated and faced a Houston team who thought they could go through the motions and win. Now we have Memphis. They just whooped a pretty good team in Tulsa who was playing very well, and came in with a revenge chip on their shoulder. The Tigers controlled the entire game. I look for their rebounding to be the big factor here. They also have a revenge angle going for them, but I just think they are the much better team and Tulane will fade in the second half. 5* Best Bet MEMPHIS TIGERS