Going OVER the total. Texans defense is like a wet bag trying to hold a brick. Absolutely pathetic. Cost us last week in these write ups. I can't see them slowing down an angry A-Aron. Rodgers hurt us also as we had the Over against Tampa. Well. Looked good early as it was 10-0 then Rodgers turns into INT machine and its 38-10 and we can't get any garbage scoring. Off that kind of game, I am all in on the Pack and Rodgers jumping out fast. Already on the first half over will also be on the full game. 8* Sure Shot OVER Packers/ Titans 

Taking DALLAS. I will never say 'bad pick' when I have a team +3 and it goes to -1. No way. But, Hello 2020. Plenty of time we have been ahead of lines and totals only to be beat. It is a tough grind. I can't believe how poorly things played out Monday night. But there is zero shot that I think that Washington is a good team. I do like their defense though. We are also on the UNDER in this game. And why not. Redskins now with 5 straight games of 20 or less points. I have faith in Andy. The playmakers are there for him to make plays. Dallas isn't laying anything this afternoon. Any early number of them laying is long gone. That's fine. Washington has been down double digits in EVERY game this season. Dallas 15-4 ATS last 19 in division games. I'll tell you this. Dallas loses here, there should be a HC change coming. There is way too much talent here going to waste even before Dak was injured. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking INDIANA. Everyone going to say, oh, Penn State just has to win by a touchdown. Easy money. And yeah. PSU with some nice offensive talent. But the questions are on defense where they have just 4 returning starters. Hoosiers a bit better shape on that side of the ball. A lot of hype on Indiana as I see some 'top 25' mentions which I hate since that means the cat will be out of the bag soon enough if things go well. This is a pretty good team. They have held spring practices, PSU had none. Home dog gets it done. 5* Best Bet INDIANA HOOSIERS 

Taking IOWA STATE. Team ranked 6 giving the ole 3.5 - Now, you know that normally when I see that 3.5 or 7.5 I am riding the fave. But in this case, I am going against my usual thinking. Because 1, I don't believe one iota that the OkSt is a Top 10 team. The defense is alright. But really. They needed a huge 13-0 4th quarter not to lose outright at home to Tulsa. I remember, I was laying 24 with them! They were out yarded. 14pt win at West Virginia (I was on WVa). Another phantom win and cover as they got a fumble return TD and scored with a little over a minute left to open things up. Time for a little revenge as the Cyclones lost at home as 11pt faves to Cowboys. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE 

Taking TCU. Not high on Oklahoma at all this season. Yet oddsmakers still laying the wood with these guys thinking Baker, Murray and Hurts are behind center. Sooners 2-2 coming off that Texas win (we had the Longhorns). They need 4 OTs to pull that off or they would be sitting at 1-3 season. Give me some home dog love here. Plus +195 ML will get some action. Last year was 28-24 Sooners as 18pt faves. Patterson 14-4 ATS at home with rest. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet TCU

Taking the COWBOYS. Ok. No Dak. I get it- huge loss. Guy has been throwing for 400 yards and 4 TDs a game. But, let's be honest. The turnovers have killed them early in games. The defense is like a wet paper bag trying to hold 20 tuna cans. Not going to hold. Give me some Andy Dalton. Do people forget this guy took Cincy to the playoffs? Have you see the offensive playmakers on this Dallas roster? The WR corp is possibly the best in the league. And, they RB is, I dunno, pretty good in his own right. Home dogs. I'll take the points and grab the ML. This team will be 100% improved based on the QB change. Why? Cause they will feed Zeke like a fat guy at a buffet. Then Andy will pick apart an Arizona defense playing their 3rd straight road game. Make no mistake people. The Cowboys offense isn't the NY Jets, Panthers or Washington Redskins. And it isn't the Niners or Lions either. And Dalton is probably a lot less likely to toss INTs then Dak.  No way you can lay points with Arizona in this spot. Murray may run all over the place. But the Cowboys are winning this one outright. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS

Taking the CHIEFS. I am high on the Bills. We had the over on Tuesday, but all in all, I do like the club. Like the HC. Like the defense. Like the run game. QB a bit of a question mark. It shows at time. But look. How the heck are we getting in front of Andy Reid here. This is like a bye week for him. Extra rest for his guys - Extra prep. Off a loss on top of that where they played poorly. And the Bills. Ok, at home. Short week after a Tuesday game. I have taken my fair share of home dogs this season. We can run down those losers if we really wanted to. Not doing it. Give me the reigning champs, angry, with extra prep + rest. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS 

5* Total Money OVER Browns/ Pitt

Taking ALABAMA. Covid for Nick. Ok. I still have Sark on the sidelines. Who has more to prove than this guy? Hot shot OC. HC in Washington. Back to USC. Drinks way out of job. Gets gig in Bama. Leaves for NFL. Comes back to college. Look. It's a Wednesday night. Who knows where Nick will be on Saturday night. What I do know is that the defense will be up ready to eat glass after giving up 48 last week. Georgia defense a tough one to crack. But my money is on the Tide and their NFL ready skill position players. I would have been on this game at 6/6.5/7. I will be on it at 3.5/4. I just can't see this Georgia team putting up enough points to pull this thing out. And the line is short enough for me to think the defense will close any back door. Who has given the Tide hard times over the years? Cam. Tebow. Burrow. DeShaun and Trevor. Johnny Manziel. I'm not trying to knock Steson, but I can't put him in that kind of category. Bama defense with a bruised ego. Home game. Sark looking to show he can coach and maybe find another HC gig. Plus Saban doing whatever. Tide by 10. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking TENNESSEE. Grabbing the Vols here. And what am I missing? Is this the low hanging fruit game and I am not seeing the obvious? They won a tough one on the road against South Carolina. They handled MizzU 35-12, which looks better now as LSU was a 14pt road fave and lost 45-41. And led Georgia 21-17 at the half on the road. Kentucky defense is not near the Georgia defense. So - Wildcats in off a 24-2 win where they put 157 yards, allowed zero points defensively and got 6 INTs. Can you get past Kentucky was 4-14 on 3rd down and averaged about 3 yards a play? Vols 33-2 SU 26-9 ATS in this series and 7-1 ATS last 8. Tennessee off that loss - well. Let's go Pruitt. Bama on deck. If you have any hope of being over .500 you need to win this by double digits. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS 

Taking KANSAS STATE. Oh, you think we are in let-down mode? Not a chance. The real let down will be coming from the Red Raiders. What is left in their tank? You have a 15pt lead with 3+ minutes to go. You give that up, and lose in OT - vs a hated rival. Puh-Leaze. Nowhere to go but down as they hit the road. KST is 7-2 ATS last 9 in the series and have won the last 4 outright. 8* Sure Shot KANSAS STATE 

4* Total Money UNDER NC/BC

Taking the COWBOYS. Going to sprinkle some ML in on these guys also. We have seen that both of these teams can score. And both can give up some points. We are already on the over. Something just tells me Dallas really shows up this week. I mean, Ok. Wilson with 9 TDs in his 2 games. But, Seahawks have been outgained (970 yards) in their two games. Dak and Dallas overcame multiple 15 point holes. Seattle is 3-7 ATS last 10 and that was with a great home-field edge. Dallas as a fave, eh, I'm leery. As a dog, I will bite - just like this live dog this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the PATRIOTS. We have the Hoodie vs Gruden. No contest. We cashed Vegas on MNF while riding the Over in our free pick video Sunday. Nice emotional win for the Raiders in their new stadium. Now they face the best HC and a QB who looks like he is healthy and back in Super Bowl Season form. Tough one for sure the way it ended Sunday night. But this is a team that just goes about its business. Let's flash back to when we had the Panthers in Week 1 over Vegas. That should have been a win for us. This coach won't make those mistakes to cost a team the win. Especially coming up a yard short last week. 2-0 and off a big win over the Saints. Nowhere to go but down for the Silver and Black. 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking the GIANTS. I get it. Higgs. How the F are we taking another crap dog! You are killing us with the Browns and Giants in Week 1 - Lions + Jets Week 2. Oh the pain. This line is coming down for a reason. SF is pretty banged up. Giants are in desperation mode. I get no Barkley. But that might actually help NYG since they will realize this is a passing league and they have some weapons. Won't be shocked at an outright win here. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS 

Taking the RAMS. Eagles going to Eagle. We had Washington last week and the defense did exactly what I thought they would do. 8 sacks of Wentz. Injuries already piling up in Philly. Normally I don't simplify things by saying if you can't stop X, how will you stop Y. In a case of now preseason games and practices though, I will. Cowboys a much better team talent wise. Even if their new coach was as lame as the old one in the play calling. Rams have a lot to prove after last season. Can't see how their pass rush does not get to Wentz at least 5 times. They have the best guy on the DL in the game. Yes - early start west to east for LAR. But I will be more inclined to fade them next week at Buffalo since the Covid forces them to go home and not stay in nearby. McVay will have the offense exploiting Philly weaknesses. 5* Bets Bet LA RAMS

Taking the BROWNS. Had these guys and watched them get demolished on Sunday. Also faded Cincy and had to hold for dear life just to earn a push with the Chargers. So - First drive for Cleveland INT and 8 plays later a TD. Next possession. Run a fake punt and fumble the ball. FG. 10-0 just like that. But. We did come right back for a TD. Missed the PAT, and that should have told us we are going to be in for a long day. And it was. A 99 yard drive for a TD. We miss a FG - 70 yards in about 40 seconds, its 24-6 and we are done. Hunt and Chubb went for 130 combined which is nice. I don't see them playing catch-up vs Cincy. Ah the Bengals. I can't even write the Chargers HC name since he is so terrible. Maybe I should have said, he's a crap HC, and just stayed away. But Taylor was a winning QB for the Bills. Plenty of weapons. And, Chargers do what they do. Shoot themselves in the foot, time and time again. Last week Cleveland saw an MVP performance from opposing QB completing 20/25 3 TDs. Burrow led a great drive to put them in position to win or tie the game. But overall. Come on. 23-36. Pretty sure he was 8-12 on the last drive. All short stuff. 5 yards a pass. Short week for a rookie QB, on the road. Fans or not, it is a tough task. I think we have a great play here. Everyone down on the Browns saying same ol' Cleveland. While everyone saying, wow, Burrow nearly had a last minute TD drive negated by an OPI. That game was ugly because the players played ugly. Browns in a blow-out. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS 

5* Best Bet NORTHEASTERN 

Taking SOUTH DAKOTA STATE. Coming in off loss to the top seed, So Dak St will lay a double digit beating on Fort Wayne. Jackrabbits won both regular season games. They shoot the lights out. IPFW not a great shooting team, especially from the charity stripe and deep. 5* Best Bet SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 

Taking MISSOURI STATE. Nice win last night. Looking for this to continue with this squad. Said yesterday not to overlook them. Here we are. Again, this team was suppose to be the top dogs of the MVC. Time to shine. It is wide open now with the 1&2 seeds gone. In their split this year, home team winners of both games. Riding the Bears. 5* Best Bet MISSOURI STATE 

Taking BRADLEY. Nice little run by Drake, but I will be backing the Braves this afternoon. I thought Bradley would be possibly the first team to knock off Northern Iowa. But here we are. Drake got some red hot shooting of their own coupled with the NIU not being able to connect from anywhere. That is a nice combination to have during a game. These 2 split out both winning on their home courts. Drake is feeling the slippers - Bradley won't overlook them. 5* Best Bet BRADLEY 

Taking MISSOURI STATE. The 6 seed a slight fave over the 3 seed. Now. In another smaller conference, we actually went against a 9 laying 4 to an 8 based on the 8 winning 10 straight in the series. Here. We see Missouri State, a team picked to win the conference, falter a bit. We see these 2 split the season series - Both winning in convincing fashion on the others home court. 71-58 Missouri State 3 weeks ago. Indiana State 78-68 at MSU in January. The public will be all over the Sycamores when they look at records and seeding. Maybe the line gets to pick. I am seeing some 1.5 pop up so the early money appears to be on our Bears. 8* Sure Shot MISSOURI STATE 

Taking HAMPTON. Grab the ML if you can. You can find +3s or +130s. I like this Hampton team. Grabbed a tourney winner ticket at 35-1 at Oceans the other day. Just $25, but pays 875. Anything possible in March. We have the leagues top 2 scorers. They teams split the regular season. Marrow at 22ppg is a senior. He will be launching all day. But I like Stanley better. The sophomore is I think, their best player. 5* Best Bet HAMPTON PIRATES

4* PL Money COLORADO AVS 

Taking MICHIGAN. This is a different team with Livers in the line-up. We have seen that first hand. Won't be shocked at an outright win this afternoon. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking FLORIDA STATE. - Before I get to this, if you are in NY-NJ-PA area, be sure to come down to Bally's AC on Thursday March 19. Like the Super Bowl, I will have a Fan Cave - Plenty of food + drink and gifts! Stop by. -- So we are grabbing FSU here. Also, will be grabbing these guys as a National Champion Future. Can't dispute the record. 24-4, sitting atop the ACC. Lose at Duke. Ok, no shame. Loss at National Champ Virginia. OK, not bad. But how do you drop a 2pt game to Pitt to start the year on the road? You bounce back trucking Florida on their home court though. All we hear is Duke, San Diego State, Gonzaga, Baylor, Kansas. Nothing about the Noles. Notre Dame on deck so nothing much of a look ahead. Then closing out to BC. Again. This should be a 7 game win streak heading into the ACC tournament. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA STATE 

Taking the NUGGETS. These guys won 5 of the last 6 vs the Clippers. Also. And I have said this before about LAC, and other teams. You just can't turn it on. Morris and Jackson new in town for 6 and 3 games. They need to learn the flow. Paul George has been struggling. The load management/ injury things hurt the overall game play. Getting a nice amount of points. Easy play backing the road team. 8* Sure Shot DENVER NUGGETS

Taking WRIGHT STATE. Battle for the  Horizon here. Raiders sitting on top right now at 14-3, NKU 13-4. Wright took it Norse back on Jan 24 laying a whipping on them 95-63. What really leads me to Wright though is this. Looking over the season I see 6 losses.  Losses by 1 - 2 - 7 (OT) - 4 - 3 - and the what the heck, 18 to Youngstown. They are just more battled tested in these close games. Let us not forget that last year these guys split out, only for NKU to win the rubber match and go dancing, while Wright State hit the NIT. That still lingers. 5* Best Bet WRIGHT STATE 

5* Best Bet WESTERN KENTUCKY 

Taking DAYTON. The beat goes on as the Flyers are at 16 in row. Zero losses in regulation - 25-2 with a pair of neutral court losses in OT to Colorado by 2 and Kansas by 6. Mason with its 2nd win in last 8 won't put up much a fight. Get on those Dayton futures yesterday because this team at a minimum, should be Elite Eight bound. 8* Sure Shot DAYTON FLYERS 

5* Best Bet BROOKLYN NETS

Taking INDIANA STATE. 5 straight wins for the Sycamores in the series, including 23 point blow-outs the last two. 65-42 back on January 14th and 85-62 last February. That Evansville 3pt win over Kentucky way back in Game 2 seems like years ago. 15 straight losses and counting. 5* Best Bet INDIANA STATE 

5* Best Bet INDIANA PACERS 

8* Sure Shot TORONTO RAPTORS 

Taking PRINCETON. Bit of an odd number here. One, we see Harvard sitting at 16-7 and Princeton at 11-10. So you think, ok, number is pretty normal. Then we dig a bit. Wait a second - The Tigers are 6-2 in Ivy play and sits a game ahead of Harvard's 5-3? Princeton also pulled out a 1pt win back on February 1st. Previously, Harvard had won 4 straight in the series. But back to this number. All the Crimson have done is play close games lately. Lets just look at the point differentials -4 (OT, laying 14) 22 (laying 12.5) 1,3,1,3 (OT), 4,5,4,3 (OT). Close games, wins and losses. If Aiken was here, different story. This is probably a Top 20 team. But I have to grab the points here with the dog. We are either winning this baby outright or a dog-fight. I can't see a home win approaching double digits. 5* Best Bet PRINCETON 

Taking BYU, and yes, laying the big number even though Gonzaga lurks on deck. Best 3pt shooting in the land and #3 in overall FG% at 50+. They hit their FTs also. Clara can push it, yet are still monster-dogs. I'm not buying it. This is a tough home court, and Clara hasn't traveled well all year. 5* Best Bet BYU 

Taking AUBURN. Going with the low hanging fruit here. Tigers really need to get their road woes straightened out. 12pt loss at Missouri last time out. That goes with them getting routed by Alabama (we had the Tide) 83-64 and then 69-47 at Florida in the next game. A little road pattern develops here. Then again, I tend to let this one slide a bit based on the fact Auburn had played 3 straight overtime games, and 4 OT games in their last 5. All 5 games were wins by the way. But I can't put Georgia on, or even near the level of these 3 teams. 2-10 in SEC play. 4 straight losses. Tom Crean not a guy a love. While Bruce Pearl, though disliked by many, is someone I have had success backing. 5* Best Bet AUBURN TIGERS

Taking COLORADO STATE. CSU on a 8-2 SU run with those losses both coming to Utah State. They took care of the Runnin' Rebels 95-77 back on February 1st, and nothing has changed since then. UNLV 2-2 since then. With a 1pt win, a 5pt win and loss, and an OT loss. That is what they are. A .500 team.  13-14 on the year, 8-6 in conference. Maybe I am a little high on Colorado State. They have a bunch of scorers. All but 1 regular hits his FTs. Dog and road team on a nice 3-1-1 ATS run. We'll grab some of that tonight. 5* Best Bet COLORADO STATE 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. All you need to do is look at this line. Maryland, a 'Top 10' team getting a handful of buckets on the road from a barely 'ranked' Spartans team. You know I love these kinds of games. Lets not forget that to start the year, Michigan State was THE #1 team in those rankings. Sometimes it takes a while to get things going. Never count out Sparty. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN STATE 

Taking AKRON. I know CMU likes to push it, but I think the Zips keep pace. Chips defense a little less than to be desired. Akron needs to keep pace with BG atop the MAC East. CMU 2 back in the west of Northern Illinios. Both of these guys have over achieved in my eyes. They were for me, more a middle pack grouping. But here we are. That is why they play the games. 5* Best Bet AKRON ZIPS 

Taking SOUTH CAROLINA. Give me the Frank Martin team here. Tom Crean with a near barren cabinet. Has a one and done guy. That's it. And that isn't going to help him rebuild this Georgia team. Carolina has won 4 of 5 and 6 of their last 8. Bulldogs have dropped 6 of 7 and 8 of 10. 2-8 in SEC Play. Don't be fooled by 10 home wins. A&M and Tennessee in SEC action. Other than that, we have some smaller schools coming in for a payday. ML this puppy as the Gamecocks get it done for us. 5* Best Bet SOUTH CAROLINA 

Taking BOWLING GREEN. I thought BG or maybe Buffalo would be the top dogs here in MAC East. Well, I am looking good with BG sitting at 9-2 in conference play. Akron, next, at 7-3. The dog is on a 5-1 ATS run in the series. Maybe this line is a little too good to be true. Does seem a bit high to me. 8 straight and 9 wins in 10 games is enough for us to back the hot visitors. 5* Best Bet BOWLING GREEN 

Taking NORTH TEXAS. Mean Green trying to keep pace with La Tech in CUSA action. Taking on last place Mid Ten State and laying anything short of 10 looks solid based on my number having this game at 11. 13-3 ATS run helps the cause also. 5* Best Bet NORTH TEXAS

Taking WEST VIRGINIA. Just like the way these guys are playing. You know they will bringing the defense here at home. Not a spot to look ahead to here at home, next up Sooners on the road. But we should look there as Kansas looms. Tonight though, Iowa State and their 0-6 road record will have to keep searching for their first victory. 5* Best Bet WEST VIRGINIA 

Taking the CHIEFS. Not going to get real deep into this game. We have two teams, both different. KC is your new style air-assault. Niners bring a multi-headed rush attack. The defense has been much better for SF of late. But lets look at that. KC even falling behind by big scores has not only rallied to win the games. But also shut down those offenses. 37-14 the last two 2nd halves for KC. How about the 2nd quarter score of 42-10. We also have Andy Reid off a bye week which is always a profitable angle, not at 19-3 SU. Let's also reflect a little on SF play calling. This is the same HC that blew a 28-3 Super Bowl lead. He was cruising Sunday vs GB then you look up to see 27-0 has turned into 34-20 and the backdoor hope was alive for a moment for GB backers. As good as the defense has been for SF, I just think that Mahomes is on another level the last 2 weeks. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS 

5* Best Bet NORTHERN ILLINOIS 

5* Best Bet AKRON ZIPS 

Taking the CHIEFS. Gotta say this is a tough one as we have had Tennessee plenty of times this season. Cashed them vs Patriots in Round 1, lost with Ravens in Round 2. Now, the AFC Championship. 3 straight playoff road games. 4 straight road games overall. We have seen Henry be a beast. We have seen trick plays. We have seen defense. I like their HC. Think the defense is a bend don't break unit. But KC sees the door ajar. They lost here to New England last year. Off an epic comeback - it's one for the record books. Records were set. They look pretty focused. They didn't get away from what they did all year when down 24-0. The Ravens folded up like a tent. KC also with revenge from a Week 10 35-32 loss at Tennessee. They led 29-20 going into the 4th quarter. 29-27, 32-27 and then 35-32 as Tannehill completed a 23 yard pass with 23 seconds left to pull out the win. That was Mahomes first game back from injury. Titans a different team with Tannehill under center and what could have been if he played the entire season. I am not going to knock his 2 playoff games this year with 88 and 72 yards passing - Henry for 195 and 182 show what kind of team this is. That being said - I think KC is in the zone. They let it slip away last year. Heck- Go back to January of 2018 and Mariotta was beating Alex Smith here 22-21 after KC led 21-0 at half! Those 2 teams are eons ago. They were a 3pt home fave last year over the Patriots. Down 14-0 at half, 17-7 entering the 4th. Do you remember this game? Under betters haven't forgotten. A 21-17 lead at the 7 minute mark. Down 24-21 with 3 + to play. Up 28-24 with 2 minutes left. Down 31-28 with 30 seconds left. Tied - OT - Brady Magic 36-31. They have battled back when needed. Twice in the playoffs. They have faced the adversity. I am not saying the Titans aren't a great story. Holy Cow Tannehill coming back to Miami to be the starting QB in a Super Bowl is Kurt Warner story-book time. Maybe a slight, albeit by the tiniest margin, an edge at HC. But this Tennessee team is really cooking. I just think in the end - what KC has been through in their last playoff games adds a big edge to them. Titans with the house money, but with that you don't get a lot of urgency. The World wanted Chiefs / Saints last year. KC holds up their end of the deal here. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 

Taking CLEMSON. Also, grab some of this ML. We cashed both these guys in the Playoffs. LSU looked really good putting up a zillion points. Which is why we get this inflated line. Clemson a tough team. Probably the best defense LSU will face. For me though, edge to defending champs. Nobody talking repeat. Just the Joe Burrow Heisman show.  Dabo will have this team ready to go. 5* Best Bet CLEMSON 

Taking the PACKERS here. Rodgers at home. Short number. They will know if they are playing division rival Minny, or heading to SF to face the Niners for some payback. This line will only rise. Seattle banged up. They didn't look that impressive vs a very depleted Philly team. Granted, on the road, but still - not impressed. I get Seattle has HOF in Wilson and Carrol. Rookie HC for us. But - this is why they have a rookie. HC. Mike McCarthy terrible play calling. Rodgers playing with that chip on his shoulder. Raise your hand if you had either of these teams getting to the NFC Championship Game before the season started! - 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the CHIEFS. One. Have to back Andy Reid off a bye week. 18-3 in his career and 5-2 here with KC. This year vs the Raiders, 40-9. I know the Texans aren't the Raiders. But their HC drinks from the same fountain as fellow former State of Texas HC, Dallas Cowboy Jason Garrett. How do you have faith backing this team? Even getting this big number- Can't do it. Watson should have been picked at least twice. Bills collapse and we get Houston here in Kansas City. Not buying this team at all. Texans have been slow starters their last 2 playoff games. That won't fly here vs Reid's bunch. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS 

Taking MINNY. Smacking myself for last week. I have been on the Vikes so many times this season. Had a NFC North future on these guys. And I got so annoyed the last time I bet them (vs GB), that I was blinded against New Orleans. And my bankroll paid the price. I get SF is rested. And they need it. They are a pretty banged up team. But Minny is healthy. This is a talented team on both sides of the ball. Won't be surprised if this turns into a bit of a shoot-out. That being said, SKOL!  5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS 

5* Best Bet AKRON 

10* Money Bomb LOUISIANA TECH 

4* Money Maker CHARLESTON 

5* Best Bet ST FRANCIS PA

Taking the SAINTS. Now. You know I like my Vikings. Had them plenty of times this season. Cost me a NFC North future ticket. But that isn't why I am fading them here. Believe it or not, it's their defense - or lack of it. Tough to say as a big Zimmer fan. But this will be a problem here. Tough place to play here vs Brees and Payton. This offense is really explosive. Air or ground, NO can do it both. Kimara and Murray are a 1-2 beast out of the backfield. Best WR in the league right now in Thomas. Vikes come limping in to say the least. Saints, after a slow Week 1&2 go 11-3 ATS to finish the year. Outscoring teams by +117. 3rd straight year these guys are getting together. We remember the Minnesota Miracle in 2017. Saints with revenge last year 30-20. (then they get hosed at home with that PI call). Now, time for a 13-3 Wild Card to lay it to the visitor who is 1-4 vs teams with winning record this year. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 

Taking CINCY. What an absolute disgrace Bearcats here facing a 6-6 BC team. I know some teams will lack motivation for Bowl Games. I don't see that with Cincy though. Even in a lesser bowl like this. These guys can still get 11 wins on the year. That is a big number in College Football. And this BC team. Shouldn't even be bowling. - Fired their HC. Their best offensive player (RB) sitting out. On a back up QB. Their OC left. Their new HC is the DC at Ohio State and he was slightly busy the weekend before this bowl game. Cincy all day and will also be on the UNDER. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BEARCATS

Taking BAYLOR. Look. I am getting down here on the Bears because I saw last year Georgia didn't show up for the Sugar Bowl as they lost to Texas 28-21. 13.5 pt faves in that spot and it was 28-7 Texas with 11 minutes left in the 4th. So color me sketchy they are all in here. Under Kirby Smart, 2-2 in Bowls. Won Liberty Bowl 31-23 over TCU and Rose Bowl over Penn State 54-48 in 2017 before losing to Alabama 26-23 in National Championship Game. That was a brutal loss. Now they face Baylor. Bears only losses to Oklahoma on the year. Now. is Georgia pumped up for this Sugar Bowl? A win, they are in the Playoffs. But they get routed and back to back Sugars. We know Baylor will be pumped to be here. I am sure they will bring fans. This is huge season for this Waco bunch. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS 

Taking ALABAMA. No playoffs. No problems. Motivation? How about facing Michigan and that HC? You think Saint Nick wants to lose here? They lost some shootouts. This QB has A LOT to prove. You don't think he is motivated? All his NFL bound WRs will be playing for what I have seen right now. Tua will be going in mid NFL rounds, or sitting out a year rehabbing. Bama needs to see this QB more and get him into the system. They aren't taking New Years Day off. And Michigan - When was the last time they beat a ranked team. Heck a good team. Tide arguably would be favored over some of these Final Four Playoff teams. What will the lines be if it was Michigan? Also on the OVER here as Tide will get near 40 themselves. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking CLEMSON, going ML. I know its a couple bucks off laying -1. But in the long run, this isn't going to hurt as we win these games. Arguably the 2 best teams some may say. Clemson, through no fault of their own - Defending Champs, Undefeated, somehow fall out the Top spot. And never had a chance to reclaim it. Well the year long disrespect is ready to be faced head on. Here come the Buckeyes. Look. I like OSU. We have cashed with them several times this year - albeit not last week when we had them and the over. But the fact is their best win on the year was at home, as 20pt home faves. This was a great win for them as they showed some heart and dominated the 2nd half. Can't get down like that to Clemson though. Tigers now in their 5th straight playoffs. Defending Champs. 3 seed! OSU can play the revenge angle from 2016. But I am not betting against Dabo. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS 

10* Money Bomb BOISE STATE 

Taking LSU. Been riding these guys the last few weeks and they have been lining our pockets. Got a quick -10 on one of my Jersey APPs then it was on the move in seconds. Sooners playing with fire coming down the stretch. I just don't have faith in their defense to make a stop. Obviously Hurts can put a legit hurt on us with a backdoor. That being said, I don't think it will maker when we are up 3+ scores most of the game. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS 

Taking AIR FORCE. Gotta love a service academy favored over a Power Conference. That is what immediately had me circle this game. Maybe. Maybe Washington State is pumped to finish 7-6 instead of 6-7. I know AF is excited as they are 10-2 and can get to 11 wins by knocking off a PAC 12 school. No 1 rush attack vs No 3 pass attack. We will also be on the Over in this game. Leach 4-10 ATS in Bowl Games. How about PAC 12 3-18-1 ATS last 25 bowl games! 5* Best Bet AIR FORCE

Taking LA TECH. Man. Got lucky with LT on my Jersey Apps at +10 before this came crashing down. But I still like the dog. And will sprinkle in some ML also. Who the heck is Miami to come on the road and lay this number vs a good La Tech bunch. 5 straight bowl wins for them. Skip Holtz is a terrific dog coach, and as stated above, 5 straight bowl wins. Manny Diaz was DC here before landing the Miami gig and his DC was also on Holtz staff. Familiar. Maybe. But that works for both sides. Last year, LT was in Hawaii. Now, bowling in Shreveport. Holy cow will there be a huge fan base cheering them on. Especially when you have a name like Miami U coming to town. We'll grab the 9-3 dogs to the 6-6 name brand team. 5* Best Bet LOUISIANA TECH 

Taking the COWBOYS. Tough laying with this HC. But, Dallas has been very good vs NFC East teams the last few years. Long year for Philly as injuries have decimated the team. When you are down your best OL and basically every WR that was on your active roster to start the year - it can be tough. Winner here will basically lock up the division. I hear the cheers for taking a home dog. I have seen Dallas come in here with Romo and lay eggs with the division on the line. This team, and the recent Cowboys have been much more complete than those previous teams. Going to lay it here and watch the Dak and Zeke show earn their contracts. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

10* Total Money UNDER Dallas/ Philly

Taking the BRONCOS. Long season for the NFL veteran HC Fagio. Started ugly with a loss in Oakland. He will get his revenge next week here. Now breaking in a new signal caller. Simple thinking here though. We have an old school coach who isn't quitting on the season. His team hasn't quit all year. Lions a hot mess. Can't believe they are keeping their HC around. They old coach, Jim Caldwell was let go because 10-6 wasn't good enough. Jeez. That's another story. But here they are with a terrible QB, on the road, in one of the tougher places to play. Dome team outside, in Denver elevation to boot. Lay it. 10* Money Bomb DENVER BRONCOS

Taking the CHARGERS. Raiders really buried us last week. 16-3 at half and you can't put away the Jags on the road. In your final home game. Where is the motivation? I get they are closing out in LA - another city they played in. But I can't see them caring. Pack the bags. Here, then Denver. Then Vegas. Time to move. On the other hand. Rivers wrapping up his career possibly? Have to like this LAC offense a heck of a lot better than the Raiders. Off what 6, 7 TOs last week. I really want to forget that game since we had the Chargers. But this team will bounce back from that horrible game. Can't say the same about Oakland. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS

Taking WASHINGTON. So -last game for Chris Peterson in what has to be thought of a failed stint. His old squad, Boise on the other side of the field today. Now, PAC 12 has had their problems in bowls - heck - not just bowls - the eat themselves with this Friday night games and cost them a chance at the playoffs. Here though, we are going with the faves. Ranked vs unranked and in this case the small school is the hunted. I just think that the QB spot is the key. Boise on 3rd of year. Washington with an NFL prospect. Team happy to send their coach off with a big bowl win. Also - they want to impress their new HC, who is their current DC. We know the defense will be pumped for their guy. 8* Sure Shot WASHINGTON HUSKIES 

Taking SMU. Lane train moving to the SEC. Where does that leave FAU? I have no clue. But Willie Taggart comes over from Florida State to get his career back on track. Might be a good fit. Today though. No. Give me the Pony Express. Even on their home field, FAU a home dog. Tells you all you need to know about where the CUSA Champs are. QB Shane Buechele had a nice little year for the Mustangs - 3,626 yards passing 33 TDs. SMU looking for a big 11th win on the year. Where is the motivation for the Owls? New coach coming in. Playing at home, again. They played in this bowl in 2017. They have their DC running the show here in the Boca Raton Bowl. 10* Money Bomb SMU

Taking DALLAS. I just can't get over this line move. The look ahead was Dallas -4. Opening number last week -3. Now, +2 for the Cowboys. I get it. Garrett is a dead man walking. They don't need this game as long as they beat Washington and Philly they are in the playoffs, with, Home Field! But nothing is a given in life. Especially when Jason Garrett is your QB. Also, having your kicker miss 10 FGs isn't helpful either. Now. If you, with extra rest, Playoff Revenge, and quite frankly, some damn pride, can't get off the carpet at home and show your fans something this afternoon. Then this 3 game slide will be 6 because you won't beat Philly next week or the Redskins. Rams needs this more, understood. They also needed a win at Pittsburgh. They eked out a win over the Bears. Got mauled by the Raven. Beat a bad Arizona team. Last week, really got on Seattle good. San Fran on deck, then Cards to end the year. Everything pretty much screams LA Rams. We will go opposite and happily cash our tickets. 10* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the RAIDERS. Holy Cow are the Jags a dead team walking. Totally underestimated how done this team is last week when I unloaded on them. Raiders off a loss. But, no RB. He should be back and I think Oakland can challenge this total themselves. That is how far I think Jax is done right now. Zero interest in flying cross country 2 weeks before Christmas. 8* Sure Shot OAKLAND RAIDERS

Taking the BEARS. Line on the move as it was a 6.5 and I see some 4.5 - Mitchell looking pretty good the last 2 Thursdays behind center tossing some TDs. Maybe this Bears offense has finally found itself. I was hesitant after Thanksgiving. But 2 in a row, I'll take a stab getting some points. Chicago defense will travel and has been above average most of the time. Packers defense worries me a bit. Something not right with the offense with what I have seen the last 5 weeks. Maybe Bears making a late wild-card run here. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS 

10* Money Bomb  ST MARYS -- Cal is brutal. They got a rare win last game. Won't be close tonight. 

4* Total Money UNDER Northern Iowa / James Madison 

8* Sure Shot COLORADO 

Taking the RAMS. Wilson and Seattle crushed my dreams last week on Minny. My Vikings NFC North ticket dangling in the wind. So yea, I will grab LAR here. I know I have kicked their teeth in at times this year saying they aren't a great team. From Super Bowl to possibly not making the playoffs. But man oh man, it seems like Seattle is playing with fire every game. Forget fire. TNT. I dunno, something worse. No Theilen or however you spell his name at WR. Cook goes out. That is a game changer. They eked out a win at home over LAR when Greg the Leg missed a game winning FG. Good for us as we had Seattle ML. But as I said - Seattle playing a little to close to the edge. OT to beat Tampa, Lost to Baltimore. Lost to Bridgewater Saints. Nearly lost to Bengals. 2pt win on the road at Pitt when Big Ben got hurt. OT win on the road at SF. 27-10 was their easiest win at Arizona. Heck 17-9 at Philly was painful to watch. I just can't see them catching every break all season long. 5* Best Bet LA RAMS 

Taking the JAGS. Who the heck are the Chargers to be laying again on the road. It was 14-0 Denver before you settled in last week. (we had Broncos) Going to sprinkle in some ML here. Rivers looks done. Lynn should be fired before Garrett. LAC finds interesting ways to lose games on a weekly basis. Seems like every game is decided by one score. Give me a the home dogs with a QB with something to prove. 10* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Taking the SAINTS. Tough spot again for San Fran. Off a tough Ravens game - now coming to the dome to face Brees and Payton. This is a pretty short number. Normally I shy away from the long hanging fruit. But people will be all over SF for a second week in the row in a dog role. A little extra rest with the Thanksgiving Game in Atlanta, and this should be a nice cash. 8* Sure Shot 

Taking OHIO STATE. Another program that just looks unbeatable. An NJ app had this at 12.5 Saturday night around midnight. Was gone by 8am. I'm shocked. I would lay up 20 here. I don't see Wiscy slowing down the Buckeyes. I get it. Badgers a Top 10 defense. I see a 207-0 score over Kent State, Michigan State, Central Michigan and South Florida. Impressive. 35-14 home win over Michigan. Seems good. Win over undefeated Minnesota on the road 38-17. - How about 38-7 loss to these Ohio State Buckeyes. I will forgive taking that 24-23 last second loss to the Illini. That was between crushing Michigan State 38-0 and playing at Ohio State. But talent proves out. And OSU has been the most talented and dominate team all the land this season. #1 scoring offense. #5 offense overall yardage. #1 defense overall yardage. This game in the dome in ideal conditions. OSU is putting up 45+ in my mind. 48-21 that unreasonable - no. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE 

Going OVER the total. 38-7 in the rain. Now - dome, fast track. #1 offense in the country and Wiscy is a lumbering defense. Buckeyes getting at least 45-50 tonight. I think Badgers can score a couple TDs. I won't be shocked to see something like 27-10 at half and the flood gates will just open. 8* Sure Shot OVER Badgers/ Buckeyes

Taking LSU. I had Georgia Tech last week. Obviously, a poor play. But like I said in that write up. Where has this Georgia offense been all year. LSU not as great as the Bulldogs on D. But the defense is good enough to hold Georgia down. Like Ohio State - until we see LSU put on ice, how can you not like them laying anything short of double digits? Last year was 36-16 LSU. I think we will see something along those lines today. Georgia is way too many close games for me to consider them elite. The loss to South Carolina just terrible. I know it looks a little too easy saying LSU just needs to win by a TD. But I will grab the low hanging fruit. They did play a close game vs Auburn 23-20. Those Tigers not to shabby themselves losing to Georgia 21-14 and beating Alabama in a wild one 48-45. But I think this LSU team is on another level right now. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS 

Taking MEMPHIS. A repeat from last week. Think Tigers cover by double digits in this one. I'm thinking of a nice 20pt win actually. Cincy struggled with Temple and South Florida before last weeks game with Memphis. It was 17-3 in the first Tigers, and the beat down should have been on. I don't think Memphis lets this one get away. 8* Sure Shot MEMPHIS TIGERS 

Taking CMU. What a turnaround under McElwain for the Chips. 1-11 last year, MAC Championship Game this year. These guys on a 8-1-1 ATS run. 41 points in 5 of their last 7 games. We get an uninspired Miami Ohio gang for this game at Ford Field. How about a 20-17 win over Akron when you are laying 29? Then you follow that up with a 41-27 loss at Ball State who at the time had 4 wins, and, you were a dog! A dog to a 4 win team. 2-5 on the road for the MiaO and I think that road woes continue. Maybe this looks like the old low hanging fruit type of gang. But I am not getting in front of Central Michigan the way they are playing right now. 5* Best Bet CENTRAL MICHIGAN 

Taking UTAH. I think Utes best team in the PAC 12. Always lean to the better defensive team in this spot. Plus, we have a clear coaching edge. I opened the season with Utah over BYU and I will close out their regular season with them over Oregon. Top 5 D that will slow down the Ducks. Oregon is not a bad team. Top 25 on both sides of the ball. Arguably they have a Top QB draft pick in Hebert. I can forgive the crazy loss to start the year vs Auburn. But laying an egg in probably the biggest game of the year vs Arizona State. Not forgivable. Utes win this one going away. 5* Best Bet UTAH UTES 

Taking the PACKERS. Had these guys ML last week and they totally wet the bed on national TV. Just looking at Rodgers face you can tell how pissed and angry he was. This Giants defense is nothing like San Fran. This is a team that the Packers beat. These guys are 8-3. Lost both games in Cali to Chargers and Niners in bad fashion. In between, a 8pt win at home over Panthers and a bye. Sitting at 8-3, same as Minnesota, Pack need a win. Again, Giants defense not anywhere near what the Niners will bring. Rodgers too much a competitor to not bounce back after that performance Sunday. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS

Taking UAB. Huge game here. Blazers trying to lock up CUSA West. Presently a 3 way tie with Southern Miss and La Tech. Good News. They beat La Tech head to head. Bad news. Southern Miss won their head to battle. But good news. UAB is facing a 4-7 North Texas team that has 2 home on the year over barely D1 schools UTEP and UTSA. And, they give 33ppg that places them on the other side of the Top 100. Blazers come in with a rough Top 10 defense that can smell it's spot in the Championship Game. Southern Miss this weekend. Well they face Florida Atlantic, who at 8-3, sit atop the CUSA East. But, with just a game lead over Marshall and Western Kentucky, they need a win. They REALLY need win since they lost to WKU and that would leap frog the Hilltoppers past the Owls into said Championship Game. Blazers just have to win this game which makes better since there is no spread to worry about. 10* Money Bomb UAB BLAZERS

Taking CLEMSON. Look. These guys. Defending Champs. Getting slighted since they play in the ACC. What a joke. I don't care if we are laying 30 here. Dabo will have this team firing on all cylinders coming out of their bye week. Statement time to let the powers that be know. We are the defending Champs. We are undefeated for the 2nd straight regular season. We have WON the National Championship Game 2 of the last 3 years. And have been in the National Championship Game 3 of the last 4 years. 8* Sure Shot CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking MARSHALL. I like Butch Davis. Wish he never left Miami U. But this is a real tough spot. Off huge upset of old school, nowhere to go but down. Look at the numbers. Plus 3 in TO's. They also stopped Miami twice in the red-zone (1,11 yard lines). Huge yardage discrepancy. Marshall also has a chance to make the CUSA Championship Game if they win and Florida Atlantic goes down. First thing to worry about . Taking care of FIU. 5* Best Bet MARSHALL 

Taking the COWBOYS. Let's start with the Bills. An 8-3 team getting in some spots a full TD from a 6-5 team. Oh we have to take the team with the better record. Let's see. They have scored more than 30 twice, both vs Miami. Wins at NYJ and NYG. Were down big and needed miracle to beat Jets. Faced Rookied QB in Giants. Beat Cincy. Does that need a comment? Lost to Patriots. Whipped 31-10 at home by Eagles. Beat Redskins 24-9 with Haskins at QB. Lost at Cleveland 19-16. Beat Denver with Brandon Allen and his 82 passing yards at QB 20-3 at home. Dak and friends will have a field day here. Bad conditions and poor play calling cost them in NE. A huge, must , must , must win game for Dallas here. Short week. Desperate team. Huge talent differential at offensive skill positions. Bills beat the bad teams. Lose to good ones. It is proven in their games this season 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the PACKERS. Getting GB off a bye week. Getting GB and Rodgers, angry. Last time in Cali they were a no show for a game vs the Chargers. I am sure - 100% positive, Rodgers took the team to task for that showing. As great as his 17 TDs and 2 INTs look. How about the run game with the other Aaron, Jones, with 11 rushing TDs (plus 3 in the air). Smith and Smith combo with 18.5 sacks. I am sure they will get some pressure on Jimmy G. And who is he handing off to? A lot of lingering injuries on both sides of the ball for San Fran. I don't find it hard to believe that Aaron Rodgers still holds a grudge for the Niners taking Alex Smith over him. ML and Points if you want them. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking DALLAS. Might also grab a little +245 ML. Listen. You don't make all that much money fading this QB + HC combo. And you all know how I feel about this Dallas HC. Brutal. But that's a story for another day. One. I think Dallas defense is pretty good. Albeit they have shown just flashes. But they can get pressure on Brady and their LBs are a solid group. This is really going to come down to dictating Zeke and their OL. Honestly though, the way Dak has played, you really can't get down if they have him passing often to his WR dynamic duo. I think this is just too many points. If you can get 7 at a little higher price, I think its worth it. But I also think Dallas has a shot at being a live dog this afternoon also. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the TITANS. Can't believe I didn't load this game up at the start of the week. Off bye week. Tannehill makes this team look 100% better offensively. Defense always solid for Tennessee. I like Foles. Thought it was a great signing. Guy has done nothing but win games when given a start. But, he has a game and a what, a series or 2 under his belt. You can't be breaking new QBs in Week 12. Especially when you are the Jags who historically struggle on offense. Sad for the lost year Jaguar fans. A lot of wasted talent on that defense. Give me the lunch box brigade. All the Titans do is win when nobody is looking and end up 9-7 and in the playoffs. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE TITANS 

Taking TENNESSEE. Vols rolling right now with 3 straight wins. Off a bye week, they get a free-falling Missouri bunch who has dropped 4 in a row. No offense to be found scoring 6-0-7-14 in those games. They had 33 or more in 20 of 26 games! MizzU has dropped 50 the last 2 times these guys have played. Vols rested, smell the blood in the water. Bowl eligible with a win. Sprinkle that +160 ML 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS 

Taking LSU. No time to slow down the scoring. It is run it up time as it does matter in the rankings. How is Arkansas putting up points here? On the bad side of 100 for both offense and defensive ratings. What is this gonna be, 52-3? How about a 60 spot. Will the get to 70. Last week was the let down spot. This is back to work time to keep pace with Ohio State and Clemson putting up 50 a game. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS

Taking MEMPHIS. South Florida done for the year. No bowl. The offense a total Jekyl and Hyde unit that has put up 17-7-45-3-27 their last 5 games. Can't be inconsistent against this Tigers team. 45-54--43-47-28Loss- 52-35-42-55. Too much to slow down for Bulls. 10* Money Bomb MEMPHIS TIGERS 

Taking TEXAS A&M. Rolling this baby out as a BEST BET. One day, Jimbo is going to have beat a good team. Not just a good team, but a Top 10 team. Somewhere. Here, the road. Outer space. You can't be in the SEC and face Alabama, Auburn, LSU and Georgia and not win a game. You will 8-4 every year and out the door in 4. Lost to Clemson, Bama and Auburn this year. Lose by 14 at Clemson, 20 at Bama, 8 to Auburn. Bulldogs have trouble on the offense sometimes. Too many points if you like Georgia in my opinion. Another loss most likely, but A&M in cover mode. 5* Best Bet TEXAS A&M

8* Sure Shot AIR FORCE 

Taking the COLTS. I am no fan of the Texans. Way too inconsistent for me. Especially laying points like this. Huge division game. I get Brissett under center. I have not 1, but 2 100 yard backs last week. I know Texans can be explosive on offense. But, if you aren't on the field all that much, good look. I can see how you would be on Houston after they had their doors blown off last week. Indy is 5-1 SU last 6 in this series. Jacoby, a perfect 3-0 vs Houston in his starts. So it wasn't all Luck for Indy. Cots when healthy a very solid team. And I have to be all aboard even in a short week. They made light work of the Jags. And with this last game as the exception, every Colts game is a possession game. 5* Best Bet INDIANAPOLIS COLTS