Taking MID TEN STATE here. I lost last week with the Blue Raiders, but will jump right back on them. So they are a FG home dog to an SEC team with a superior defense. Somehow they rate 10 points in the Dome? What am I missing here. Ok, Orange have some starters back. But this MDTNST offense should be able to put up some points. Their OC was fired from Syracuse's HC before taking over here. A little revenge will be on the plate for sure. 8* Sure Shot MID TEN STATE 

Taking the PATRIOTS tonight. I could probably make a case for KC. But I really like them more next week. Extra prep time for Andy Reid facing his old club. Eagles at Arrowhead, that will be a big game for the HC. Plus, they have division rival SD on deck. Patriots are the Patriots. Brady will do his thing. The loss of Edelman will be felt. Will it? This team continues to plug pieces on both sides of the ball and wins. Wins Big! Chiefs lost their best RB in preseason. WR Maclin is also gone. Poe and Howard were a big force on the DL. Can't see Alex Smith getting into a shootout with Brady. This should be a 10-16 point win for NE. 5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Taking UCLA big. First. We have revenge angle from last years 31-24 in College Station. (we had A&M) Bruins had a terrible year after being picked to win the PAC 12 going 4-8. That is what happens when your NFL QB goes down injured. Well, Rosen is back and if his play equals his mouth this team is a playoff contender. I know that there is a new OC in town and UCLA's old OC is now on the Aggies. But A&M lost their 2 best defensive guys. Rosen, at home, should be a little more mature in the pocket. Texas A&M, as of this writing Friday hasn't said who their QB is. Whoever it is, it wasn't last years starter. So he won't have help from their top 4 WRs from last year who have all departed. UCLA needs Rosen to shine. A&M is such an underachieving bunch. UCLA 30-10 ATS last 40 at home vs non-conference teams. Bruins need a fast start to wipe out that bad season stench from LY. 10* Money Bomb UCLA BRUINS

Taking FLORIDA STATE tonight. You know I have no problem backing Bama. Though we did have Clemson ML in the Championship. I don't mind laying points with this guys. We opened up last year with them as a 10* Money Bomb beat-down over USC. But times are different. They don't have the Seminoles old HC working for them. They do bring in yet another OC to run the show. Look. Bama has NFL talent every year. Clearly the cream of the crop at recruiting. But this is an early game vs a very good team that is title contender. Both teams have top 5 defenses. I can't see the Tide getting what, another dozen defensive TDs this year. Have to grab the points for sure. 8* Sure Shot FLORIDA STATE 

Taking the TITANS here and will grab the +150 ML also. KC with the really short week as they open up the regular season Thursday vs the Super Bowl Champs. We know Andy Reid doesn't play to win all that often in preseason. After that Patriots game, KC gets some nice extra prep time for Reid's old team, the Philadelphia Eagles. I will be all over the Chiefs as their HC is remarkable with rest. Back to preseason though. KC with nothing really to play for. Titans, still a struggle team looking for any and all wins. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSEE TITANS 

Going OKLAHOMA STATE. I really like these guys this year. Well, I liked them last year and they crushed me out of the gate in Game 2. The old Central Michigan debacle. Man, up 14-0 and I think we are going to have a blowout. They lose in crazy fashion. Which is why I absolutely love them today. Not a chance in hell that Gundy takes his foot off the gas for one second. Tulsa was explosive last year. They had 2 1000 WRs, 2 1000 RBs and a 3000 yard QB. Well everyone of those guys is gone except 1 RB. They hit Stillwater with a young QB vs a team that is loaded offensively. Rudolph, Hill and Washington could be the best QB-RB-WR trio in the land this year. This is a tough spot for a young Golden Hurricane team. These guys are a legit Championship contender. It starts tonight! 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA STATE

Taking COLORADO STATE. No problem opening up the College Football season with a Top 10*. This Rams team should be playing a bowl game on New Year's Day. The offense is going to punish a lot of defenses. Their own defense has 8 starters back and should be able to handle the Beavers. The schedule lines up for this guys to probably win the MWC. Oregon State, for me, is probably the 11th best team in the Pac 12. Yes, I think they are a bottom Power 5 team. I know they have 15 starters back off a 4-8 season. And they were pretty decent ATS wise covering 8 games. I just feel at this price. Rams home vs the bigger Pac 12. The crowd will be an advantage. Rams should cash this one by double digits. 10* Money Bomb COLORADO STATE 

Going UNDER the total here. 100% Certain that these guys play on 9/24. Not a chance that the Pats put out any kind of plays. Whenever I see team matched up in preseason and they meet in the regular season. It is always an auto play on the UNDER. When it is a coach like 'The Hoodie', fuhgedaboutit. Pats will get their wheels going next Week 3. For this one. I don't see them cracking 10 points. 8* Sure Shot UNDER Patriots/Texans 

Taking TAMPA BAY tonight. From everything I am reading and seeing, Winston is going to play the entire first half for the Bucs. Sign me up no questions asked. Then we might get Ryan Fitzpatrick for a bit. They lost their 3 starter Griffin so undrafted QB from Colorado Sefo Liufau will get a bunch of action. Jags have some QB problems. Man, I hate to say that since I like Bortles. But he is in real danger this year if he doesn't have huge improvement. That being said. We know that TB is going to roll out starters for nice stretch. Jags had some big, fluky type plays in their win over that Pats. Can't count on big plays like that every week. Bucs get it done for us. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

Taking SAN FRAN tonight. Man. I probably should go ML +160 with these guys. Look. We know that Andy Reid doesn't put much stock into preseason. Heck, the guy is 0-14 in Week 2. But in this spot, we are going large on the 49ers with their new HC. Kyle Shanahan takes over a putrid team. A new regime in charge. And with any new regime, you know they are going to come out firing. This is a down franchise right now. Shanahan is going to want a win and get that losing mentality off the team. Teams like this, and last nights play on the Browns included. These coaches need any Ws they can get so the players buy into them. With a new HC facing an old vet, I expect the hungry team gets it done and scores us an outright win. 5* Best Bet SF 49ers 

Taking the RAYS here. Should really just lay out the Run Line for +145 in this spot. But we have strung together a couple small losing days, we need to have a nice sweep of the board. I like Archer a lot. The kid has great stuff. Worse case scenario for him in this spot is that he has 10Ks through 3 innings and his pitch count starts climbing. I am down on the Tigers for the year, and they haven't changed my thinking of them. This is a banged up unit, the bats, and on the mound. Fulmer had an MRI that should something on his shoulder. I am no doctor, but anytime a pitcher has some kind of arm injury, I would raise an eyebrow. He gave up 5 runs in back to back starts prior to his 'inflamed bursa' being found. 10* AL Game of the Week TAMPA BAY RAYS 

Going OVER the total here. Friers has given up 17 HRs already this year in just 42 innings. That is an epic pace! He has pitched to a better ERA at home, 3.50, than on the road, 6.38 - That being said, I think he still gives up 4-5 runs tonight. Not that I am huge sabermetrics type capper. I like my WHIP and BAA, but in the case of Friers, I have to note his extremely high FIP. It is off the charts bad. And let's not sell Verlander short. Clearly the mileage is taking its toll on his arm. He had a great year last year, but is slow out of the gate. He was limited the year before, so maybe we are seeing some arm fatigue early. We know that the Astros can hit. And giving free passes will help us get some more runs on the board tonight. Verlander is half-way home to last years walk total. Final thought at we toss in some Verlander road splits. How about 2-3 in 5 starts with an ERA of 7.24 - A 1.79 WHIP adds to my thinking we see a 5-5 game by the 4th. 5* Best Bet OVER Tigers/Astros 

Rolling out a BEST BET tonight with the ASTROS and going for the RUN LINE Money payday. You can lay the -130 if you want. I see Verlander tweets out that the Tigers just arrived in Houston at 6am. I normally like fading the Sunday night team the next day. Especially when on the road. And doubly when I see someone on their team say they get in at daybreak. Astros should be able to muster some runs tonight. I know Fulmer has nice numbers, but eventually that Detroit dumpster-fire bullpen makes an appearance. Let's go Stros! 5* Best Bet HOUSTON ASTROS 

Taking GONZAGA here. Well, the Zags blew our Best Bet on Saturday as they couldn't hold a comfy lead. But it is a new day. And tonight the WCC cuts down the nets. I can't say much bad about NC. Back to back Championship Games speaks volumes. This is what they have been waiting for. But, like Gonzaga, this team has been in some nail-biters this tournament. That being said, just like the Zags. Bulldogs have the size inside to compete with the 'Heels. This line tells us all we need to know about this game. It is going to be a battle to the end. 10* Money Bomb GONZAGA 

Taking the ROCKIES here. Sometimes early on, you have to jump on an opportunity. And that is what I think we have year. I think Milwaukee will be a bad team this year. I think the Rockies have talent and can at least be a .500 club. Guerra came out of nowhere to post a 2.81 (9-3) ERA last year. But his spring has been awful. And he is no spring-chicken as he is 32 after finally getting to the show. 25 y.o Gray is looking to build off a solid campaign. And he has a nice offense behind him. Story, CarGo, Blackmon, Arenado. I think we should up at least a 5 spot here. And our revamped pen should seal the deal. 8* Sure Shot COLORADO ROCKIES 

Taking GONZAGA here. I can't knock South Carolina one bit. What a run. Knocking off Baylor, Duke and Florida. Great job. But I just think Gonzaga team is playing old, we are getting no respect card here. Let's be honest. As much as everyone is shocked South Carolina here. Everyone also thought that the Zags might be caught sleeping against Mike Daum and South Dakota State. Then it was Vandy who would knock them off in Round 2. Alas, Northwestern was not up to the challenge. But oh that Press Virginia. They will beat this over-rated WCC team. This is a tough squad. Gamecocks playing with house money for sure. But this Zags bunch is very good, and I believe under-rated since they are the WCC. They are that 'mid-major' that people don't realize aren't a mid-major anymore. These guys needed a deep run for all their early departures lately, and they got it. I think Few will have the troops ready. These guys took care of business all year. In conference, and out. Do we forget them beating Arizona, Florida and Iowa State? Best teams SC beat were Michigan and Florida all year before the NCAAs. They beat a Duke team with no PG. Baylor, who underachieves like that is their championship game. And Florida again. Please. Marquette went 19-13 this year. Not a special club at all.  I think Zags win this one going away. 5* Best Bet GONZAGA 

Taking TCU here. Yep. Lost both semis taking dogs. But I will grab TCU here. Just think they are the better team. They were looking at an NCAA spot before a late fade. But they have handled themselves beating what I believe are better teams. Fact is that heading into Mississippi, Tech had won 2 road games all year. Not sold on them after getting Indiana in a defacto home game. Who didn't want anything to do with the NIT and opted to play on the road. And fired their coach after the loss. Luck into Belmont at home. They did win at Mississippi. And took care of a hot WAC team in Bakersfield. Frogs do everything just a tad bit better in my eyes. 5* Best Bet TCU HORNED FROGS 

Taking EDMONTON here. Have to lay the short number. Nearly made this a GOW. Oilers looking to clinch their first playoff spot in 11 years. 8* Sure Shot EDMONTON OILERS 

Taking WISCONSIN here. Going with the experienced bunch. Think it is safe to say that nobody thought the Badgers were an 8 seed. And they backed that up as they gear up to try to make another Final Four run (3rd in 4 years). I just like Koenig as a 4 year guard here in the tournament. You have Happ and Hayes, another senior up front. Florida didn't have to worry about inside play against East Tenn State or Virginia, so it's easy to bring heavy pressure to the wings. That won't be the case vs the Badgers. 5* Best Bet WISCONSIN 

Taking BAYLOR here. I get Baylor was on a 5-5 run heading into the Big 12 Tourney and promptly lost to Kansas State. But that was then. They notched an easy win over New Mexico State. Then had to battle USC to the wire. I mean. I clearly remember these guys the #1 team in the land when I unload on West Virginia giving them 5 when the Bears came to visit. (we won that big play $) - The guys lost to tournament teams Kansas, Kansas State, West Virginia and Oklahoma State. Their worse loss was a 6 point road game at TCU. Which doesn't look all that bad since TCU is at MSG for the NIT quarter-finals. I am not anywhere near sold on South Carolina. So they beat Duke. I had Duke! - But prior to beating the NCAAs, want to know how many tournament teams they beat. 3 - Vermont - Michigan, in November, Wolverines shot 19% from the field, 7% from 3! - and Florida off an OT game. All at home. South Carolina playing with house money for sure. But I can only see them coming down after that win over Duke. The coach was crying after the game! A 2nd round game!! Give me the Bears. 10* Money Bomb BAYLOR BEARS 

Taking MISSISSIPPI here. We had Georgia Tech as a nice home puppy when the knocked off Indiana. But we will fade away here. GT after beating the Hoosiers who then fired their coach, were obviously a team in turmoil. They then beat Belmont, who were probably riding high from knocking out Georgia. Now they go on the road, a place where they are 2-10 this year, to face SEC Ole Miss. The same Mississippi team that went into Syracuse and beat the Orange 85-80, while GT ended their regular season in the Dome getting trucked 90-61. The closest road losses - a 4pt loss at ND and 1pt loss at VT. Tech won by 3 in OT at VCU and beat NC State (another team that fired its coach). I can't trust them to hang here. Rebels beat Sweet 16 South Carolina to end their season. Beat MizzU in the SEC Tourney. Lost a 1pt game to Arkansas. Went on the road and beat a decent Monmouth and the aforementioned Syracuse squads. GT a middle of a road team at best, that plays poorly on the road. I look for Ole Miss to pack their bags for MSG. 5* Best Bet MISSISSIPPI 

Taking ARIZONA here. I am trying to figure out why this line isn't closer to double digits. Who did Mary's beat that makes you think they hang here? They lost at home to Texas Arlington by 14. (we did cash that NIT winner as dog out-right over BYU). Back to Mary's. Lost to Zaga by 10, when somehow the line was down to 4. Lost at the Zags by 23. And lost to them by 18 in the conference tournament. So. How could was that WCC this year? Do we give them credit for wins over Dayton and Nevada? Stanford? I know how good the PAC 12 is. Arizona, Oregon and UCLA are top seeds here. If we look at the Zags 7pt win over Arizona earlier this year, we see 'Cats leading scorer didn't see the floor at all. What I do know is that Mary's lost to every good team it has faced. While Arizona, even with a 5pt loss to UCLA and 27pt loss to Oregon, redeemed themselves. Beating UCLA 96-85 on the road before their home loss to them. And after that home loss, getting sweat revenge when it counted with a 9pt win over the Bruins in the PAC 12 tourney, and winning the crown by knocking off the Ducks by 3. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA WILDCATS 

Taking FLORIDA STATE here. I am not sold on Xavier. I did cash them in the Big East tournament +4 vs Creighton after they knocked off Butler and DePaul in the rounds before. But that was a desperate team that needed a win to get to the NCAAs. They had lost 6 straight before beating DePaul twice. Once to end their season, and then to open the Big East tourney. Look. They gutted out a pair of 2pt win over the Hall after their assist leader Sumner went down. But fact is, they won 3 games over DePaul and a desperation win over Butler that was tied with a minute to go. No way I trust them again a very good Seminoles team. Let's see Winthrop, Minnesota, Florida, Wake, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Duke, Notre Dame, Louisville, Miami.. Just the NCAA teams they knocked off this year. Xavier lost to Baylor, Lost Butler twice. Lost to Nova twice. Lost to Creighton twice. - I mean, you can't even compare, especially with the injury last month. Give me the Noles big. 8* Sure Shot FLORIDA STATE 

Taking GONZAGA here. I get that Northwestern is a nice story. But this is where dreams come to die. Zaga overcame a terrible first half and put away SD State by 20 without breaking a sweat. Rest assured, there will be no adjustment period here. HC Few knows he needs to make some noise. These guys aren't a little Cinderella bunch anymore. They were a dominate team all year and have the 1 seed. Northwestern was given a gift foul that they delivered on. And, it probably should have been more seeing how Seton Hall had a flagrant called against them today that totally blew the spread and any chance of a win. These guys took care of Florida, Arizona and Iowa State all on neutral floors. I think those teams are better than Northwestern. Sorry ESPN Greeny, your boys are in for a rude awakening this afternoon. 5* Best Bet GONZAGA 

Taking WICHITA STATE here. What a complete joke? What the heck does the committee have against the Shockers? They screwed them in their undefeated year putting them in the Kentucky bracket and here as a 10 seed they get Kentucky again as a 2 seed. I do like Dayton. But the Shockers have been running roughshod over teams.. Try these margin of victories on for size - 20,15,26,19,26,29,19,17,18,41, .8. 15,42,26,17 - you get the picture yet. Forge the 8pt win. That is an anomaly. Minimum 15 points. So double what they are laying here. If you don't think they will be motivated to crush the Flyers you are sorely mistaken. 5* Best Bet WICHITA STATE 

Taking SMU here. 16 straight wins for the 30 victory Mustangs. People talk about seeds, but man. How about the way that the AAC is looked at. Terrible seeds by SMU and Cincy. No respect. If Connecticut made the dance, they would be on a 5 line based on their name. So USC in off a huge comeback win. They might feel good about themselves. They beat SMU back in November 78-73. In fact SMU lost to Michigan, USC and Boise all away from home back in November. But even with those non-conference losses, Vegas still sees theses guys as a decent size favorite. Let's roll the dice on the fave here. 8* Sure Shot SMU MUSTANGS 

Taking SETON HALL here. Not getting fancy in my thinking here. Both teams lost in the conference championship games. No harm in that. But this really rests on the Hall defense getting the job done. And the fact that they are in their 2nd straight tournament. They went to Gonzaga last year. And that is a great growing experience. Arkansas is a 25 win program. Clearly not a push-over. Just think the experience factor is high here. 10* Money Bomb SETON HALL 

Taking NEVADA here. What team is going to play the disrespected card more than the Wolfpack? They weren't going to be invited unless they won the MWC. This is a 29 win team. They are pretty good. I get people normally see San Diego State out here. But this bunch has something to really prove here. I had Iowa State through the Big 12 and even at +475 to start the tournament there. Not a surprise as they have won this tournament a few times over the last couple years. Just think they might be counting their chickens before they hatch here. 10* Money Bomb NEVADA WOLFPACK

Taking VIRGINIA TECH here. Almost put this out on the sites ML +200. VT had reeled off wins in 4 of 5 before Florida State beat them in the ACC tournament. I just can't trust Wiscy. Yeah, they some Final Four hold-over guys. But before their season finale win over Minny, and 2 tourney Ws, they had lost 5 of 6. So what team is showing up? The one that run out of the building Sunday? The one that beat Indiana, who we faded and cashed with Georgia Tech as a nice dog with? ACC was much better than the Big 10 this year. Va Tech went into Michigan and beat the Wolverines. And also beat Nebraska on the road. They beat Duke, Virginia, Miami. These guys play for Buzz. Wiscy was 21-3 in early February. I make it a habit of not backing teams on a slide. Especially come tourney time. And ones that are laying points to boot. Live dog here. 5* Best Bet VIRGINIA TECH 

Taking ST. PETERS here. So, the Peacocks have had some time to lick their wounds getting bounced as a 2 seed in MAAC tourney, no such luck for Albany. Fresh off of Sunday's 56-53 nail-biter. They have to be thinking. Are we really in the CIT? We had a 9pt lead with under 9 to play. Did we really miss 10 of 11 shots? Did we really lose a lead with 38 seconds to play? St Pete's defense will get after the Danes, who, I believe have zero heart or motivation for this game. 10* Money Bomb ST PETER's 

Taking UT ARLINGTON here. Also might sprinkle some ML +185 on this. Not sure of the status of Jalen Jones otherwise this could have been possibly a Top 10* Look. I had UT to win the Sun Belt. Make no mistake, this is a good team. As I have said before, road wins at Texas and St Mary's shows us these guys can play. Now they head to a tough BYU court. Most teams getting NIT bids feel snubbed from the NCAAs and fail to show up. Arlington is one of those teams that has to win their conference tournament to get a bid. So they will be especially ready tonight to take care of a 'bigger' named school. 5* Best Bet UT ARLINGTON

Taking GEORGIA TECH here. So Indiana gives up the home court because they wouldn't have a crowd? Maybe they are just upset about this underachieving team they have. Look. Hoosiers are very talented, that is why they are favored on the road. But I have to question the motivation for them. Yellowjacks beat ND and Florida State here b2b and also knocked off North Carolina and NIT 2 seed Clemson at home. You know they are pumped just to be playing and they get a big name like Indiana on their court. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA TECH 

Taking COLORADO STATE here. These guys 9-2 SU last 11 with Nevada the only ones to knock them off. What a year from this group! Who would have thought they would be here after their January. These guys have been playing with 7 scholarship players. Can't under estimate the elevation either. Charleston not accustomed to it that's for sure. Rams were upset 2 years ago here as a NIT 1 Seed by South Dakota State. Can't see them failing after the run they had this year. 8* Sure Shot COLORADO STATE 

Going IOWA STATE here. Had these guys on my Big 12 Tournament Talk video at +475 so why would I not take them now. ML +135 would have been what I put on the site, but slumping, so I just need some wins to get us back on the right path. Like I said the other 2 days taking this team. Veteran team. Have own this before. Focused. West Va pressure defense in b2b2b won't be as effective. They shot what 26% last night. Forced nary a TO. But they are a good time so they won. But they won't be able to pull that with these group. 10* Money Bomb IOWA STATE 

Taking GEORGE WASHINGTON again! Yes, we lost a terrible 10* on them last night. But they can't be any worse than that. They had 13 points at half-time and didn't cover by a bucket putting up 40 in the 2nd half. Richmond beat them already this year. But as I said, this team has some solid pieces. Said yesterday they won last years NIT. They won't back down from the Spiders. Underdog 12-4 ATS last 16 helps a little. 5* Best Bet GEORGE WASHINGTON  -- Be Sure to Check Back after 2pm for any Night Game Additions 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA here. Time slot is a boon for Duke after that tough affair with UL. These guys split their games this year. NC put in a workman like game over Miami and just drubbed The U to death by 25. It was a nice way to start the day as we went 3-0 at noon. Duke had to battle back, and if it was for horrible FT shooting, UL would be in this game. Forget the gambling aspect. I can't understand how these kids today can chuck the ball from 30FT, but can't hit a FT with nary a soul guarding you. All I do is teach my kids basketball team FT shooting! They are FREE THROWS - ok, back to this game. These guys have played 2 high scoring games already. But it's tourney time. I expect a bit of a slow down. Especially with Duke off that kind of game. I think NC is the team to beat. 10* Money Bomb NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking IOWA STATE here. How am I not taking these guys? Cashed them yesterday. Said on my Big 12 Tournament Talk video that these guys +700 were our dark-horse play. And now they get TCU off a huge upset. Now, regular season and opening rounds of tournament, I will fade away on a line I think is short. TCU had dropped 7 straight coming into the Big 12 Tournament. Now they have 2 wins under their belt. You have 14-15 losses, I don't there is any way you should be in the NCAAs. Stop with this 6-7-8th team in these big conferences. Give me the Belmonts and Monmouths, mid-major madness. I think the bell tolls for Cinder-Fella tonight. Cyclones the better team. So the Horned Frogs won 2 straight. Iowa State won this thing in 2014 as a 4 seed and 2015 as a 2 seed. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE 

Taking PURDUE today. Michigan rolled these guys by 12 handing them their only loss since the end of January. Wolverines with a lot of emotion spent in yesterday win crushing Illinois. The plane crash thing is one thing. But they you had them super pumped about the Illini calling them soft and that Illinois is tough. You knew something extra special was coming from Michigan. Well I think that here. Boilermakers with something to prove again a team that their worse defeat of the year. 5* Best Bet PURDUE 

Taking  BUFFALO here. I got these guys to win the conference tourney, so you know I will be on them here. I guess you can go ML -135 if you want. But I think the Bulls are too talented and focused to let Kent linger. They both won on each others courts, Kent winning by 8 at the end of February and Buffalo by 13 in January. Bulls 9-1 ATS last 10 in this series. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BULLS 

- ALWAYS Check Back, Lines come up late with these conference tournaments ! -- Taking GEORGE WASHINGTON here. We had the Dukes as a free play last night and they collapsed down the stretch vs STL. But we can't forget the Billikens were a dog to the 14 seed. A terrible road record. GW won this year by 8 already. They won the NIT last year. They need a run to the championship to even think of getting into NCAAs. I also like their 2 big guys inside. 10* Money Bomb GEORGE WASHINGTON 

Taking NEW MEXICO here. Fresno won this tournament last year, so they are battle tested. These guys split their 2 games. But in the Fresno win, Tim Williams did not play. Well he is back. New Mexico has a great 1-2 punch, they get to the line, and hit their FTs. In what should be a tough battle, have to go with the better FT shooting team. 8* Sure Shot NEW MEXICO 

Taking LOUISVILLE here. I don't know. Call me crazy. But something tells me that Pitino will have these guys primed up this afternoon. I know they have already beat Duke at home this year. And you can say, oh revenge for Duke. But this Blue Devils bunch was up and down all year. UL brings the defense every night. This ins't a game in North Carolina. We are in Brooklyn. UL played Big East Tournaments up here. I think that these guys will be ready to roll. Last year, they had a self imposed tournament ban on themselves. They are hungry. 5* Best Bet LOUISVILLE 

Taking LEHIGH here. No ML or we would be on that here. Lehigh has beaten these guys twice already and I don't think that changes here. This just isn't a good matchup for the Bison. I liked the Mountain Hawks to win the conference back in November, and nothing had changed. Lehigh 15-2 ATS last 17 as road underdogs! 5* Best Bet LEHIGH MOUNTAIN HAWKS 

Taking ULL here. Like these guys to make a little noise down in Katy, Texas and not just because my brother in law lives there! Laffy beat these guys twice this season. They won 69-52 on the road and 88-82 at home. Don't be fooled by that close score. Cajuns were up 20 at the half and 20 with under 4 minutes to go. I see ULL winning this one comfortably. 10* Money Bomb UL LAFAYETTE 

Taking SOUTH DAKOTA STATE here. Cashed these guys as a free pick on my video last night and as a service play the day before. Will go back to the well tonight. Can't knock Omaha. They are on a 12-3-1 ATS run vs Summit teams. The offense is clicking. But the Jackrabbits can score. And what I liked most last night was they never quit and the defense. Daum is a best inside and out. He is the guy that can carry teams in these tournaments. These guys split shoot-outs this year. But I have to give the edge to SoDak and the defense. Rabbits 5-2 ATS last 7 in the series. 8* Sure Shot SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 

Taking ALBANY here. Stony won both meetings this year. Heck, they beat Albany while the Danes were shooting 56% from the floor and rallied from being down 37-24 at home before winning 72-70. Then Stony went on the road and won 72-65. Yet, the #2 seed is still a dog to the #3 seed. 5* Best Bet ALBANY 

Taking GREENSBORO here. Have these guys at the start of the tournament at +600 as the 1 seed. Obviously, East Tenn State was the favorite regardless of tie-breakers. But NCG beat these guys on the road by 4. And finished up the regular season with a 72-66 win. The dog has covered 4 straight in the series so that's a plus for us. Might sprinkle some +190 ML on this also. 5* Best Bet NC GREENSBORO 

Taking GREEN BAY here. Going to go with the Phoenix. And why not. I put them out in my on my Horizon League Tournament Preview Video at +550. As I said, they had beaten both Valpo and Oakland, the 2 top dogs in league play. Now both are eliminated and our GB team should stand out here. We have cashed a few times with Ill-Chi on the year. But the time has come to fade away and lock in Phoenix. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY 

Taking NORTH FLORIDA here. Payback baby. Last year Gulf Coast won this tourney and knocked regular season champs (No Fla) out in a 33pt beat-down in the semis. We had North Florida as a Top 10* +400 and +9 and they delivered. Will again be going ML +500 with the dogs who are looking for quadruple revenge this afternoon! 10* Money Bomb NORTH FLORIDA

Taking JACKSONVILLE STATE tonight. And why not. 4 seed just knocked off the 1 seed and is favored over the 2. They crushed Martin on the road 92-72 back at the end of December. This is what the Madness is all about. 8* Sure Shot JACKSONVILLE STATE 

---Weekly + Monthly Followers... Be sure to check your mail as lines come up late ------- Taking OKLAHOMA STATE here. Have to go back to our Top 10* on West Virginia laying points to #1 Baylor last time I liked a ranked match up like this. Forget about West Va who was a Top 10 team at the time laying points. We have a totally 'unranked' team over the #1. Disclaimer. I did have Kansas the other night and they failed to cover double digits. Should have used my head a little better and fade the newly minted #1 in their first game. That being said. The Cowboys in their final home game vs the top dogs in the land? Should be a wild one for us. Kansas also knows it just needs to win the Big 12 Tourney, which they do in their sleep, to lock up a 1 seed in the NCAAs. Oklahoma State on a 10-2 ATS run last 12 and 5-2 ATS last 7 at home vs Kansas. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking MURRAY STATE here. A 7 seed as a small dog every time. Murray had a down year after being picked to win the west finishing 3rd. But here they come. They did drop 3 straight coming into tourney play. But found them favored in the opening round against the 6 seed. They then took care of business vs 3 seed Morehead last night and we cashed them as a best bet (had them as Best Bets in both games). So we again will be on board the Racers express. +135 is ok if you want to go ML. Both teams won their home games in the series this year. Jonathan Stark with 37 last night and 41 the night before, seems to putting the team on his shoulders. Tenn Martin is sitting, rested with a double bye. Fresh memory of beating Murray to end the regular season last week. 5* Best Bet MURRAY STATE 

Taking MURRAY STATE here. Coming right back on the 7 seed. What a terrible night for us as both Murray and Tennessee State fail to cover in OT for us yesterday. But I go back to what I thought before the games started. Why are the 7 and 8 seed favored? Because they are the better clubs that's why. Now Morehead is the 3 seed but I don't see much difference between Murray's 9-8 conference play and the Eagles 10-6. Morehead did the game in early February 101-100 at home. Won't be shocked if Murray takes the +140 on the ML in this game. As we saw last night, Jonathan Stark can win a game by himself. Doesn't hurt that he also has a 2nd OVC 1st team selection in Terrell Miller to help pick up the slack. 5* Best Bet MURRAY STATE 

Taking the ISLANDERS here. The real question is how can we not take New York. Islanders have been off since Saturday. And mark my words, they are chomping at the bit to get back on the ice. Losing 7-0 last time out? That's like losing 16-0 in MLB or 54-0 in NFL. That is a beat-down. Game 4 of a long road trip. But off a long break, this is a game they must have. They have been pretty good since the coaching change and I expect a big performance tonight. 8* Sure Shot NY ISLANDERS 

Taking NORTH FLORIDA here. Going to sprinkle some ML +400 here also. Osprey's swept the series this year winning by 11 on the road and 6 at home. Now they are getting a huge number. I know the first inkling is to say. Well, it is tough to beat a good team 3 times. I get it. But North Florida is really on a mission here. They won the regular season last year. Then Gulf Coast bounced them on their own floor by 33! We did cash Lipscomb opening round, but we are the big dogs tonight. 10* Money-Bomb NORTH FLORIDA 

Taking HOLY CROSS here. I did a little e-zine for March Madness with a few other cappers this year. One of the things I told readers was this. Avoid teams coming in on slumps to their conference tournaments. And look for a team 'peaking' at the right time. Well, Navy has dropped 4 straight. Holy Cross, has is 3-2 their last won. (Won 2 out of 3). Now, not sexy at all. But when you beat the 3 seed by 16, have a little let-down game, then win 2 straight before falling in OT by 3 to the 2 seed, you seem to be trending in the right direction in my eyes. Navy won at home by 13 in mid-January after HC won by a point to start the month. Let's not forget Holy Cross won this tournament last year. 4* Money Maker HOLY CROSS 

Taking MURRAY STATE here. Again in the OVC the lower seed is favored. 7 Murray over 6 Tenn Tech. What is going on here? Personally, I think the Racers underachieved by not winning their side of the conference this year. Tenn Tech scored a 4pt win back in January when Murray shot 34% from the field. Not going to win many road games shooting like that. Plus, the Racers are limping in having dropped 3 straight. Normally, I would be fading this kind of action. But as I have said before in spots like this. When I see the perceived better, or 'ranked' higher team in the dog role, I know the numbers are on my side to roll with the fave. 5* Best Bet MURRAY STATE 

Taking TENNESSEE STATE here. This is a nice experienced team from last year. They went 20-10, 11-5 in OVC play last year. I thought they would be better than they performed this year. But this is a talented bunch. McCall is the OVC DPOY for the second straight year. The Tigers are the 8th seed, yet are favored here over 5 seed SEMO. A flat out no-brainer for me when I see things like that. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE STATE 

Taking KANSAS here. Nearly made this a Top 10* Money-Bomb. But I really try to avoid big faves like this. Yes, we cash Louisville yesterday as a double digit fave. So why again tonight? Well, we have seen just how bad Oklahoma is going 4-12 in conference, and 10-18 overall. Add in the Sooners are 1-8 on the road and we are getting a recipe of success together. Kansas looking to lock up a 1 seed and in their final home game, I expect peak performance from all. Fans and players alike! - Just can't see Kruger's bunch putting up much of fight here. 8* Sure Shot KANSAS 

Taking LIPSCOMB here. A little A-Sun tourney flavor tonight. Going against NJIT as I think they are ready to wrap up their disappointing season. Last year as a 2 seed they were upended in the first round. Might be easy to think they will rally around that with a couple starters back. But the fact is this team is 3-11 in conference play and 2-14 on the road. Those wins, over Stetson who is also 3-11 in conference play and sits behind NJIT, and a 4pt win over Idaho State, on a neutral court, as 7pt faves. They do come in with 2 straight wins. 1 over said Stetson who they swept. And their only other conference win, over SC Upstate. Now, Upstate was off a OT loss over top dogs Gulf Coast. They needed to rally for 52 points in the 2nd half to even force OT. So safe to say they were spent as clearly evident that NJIT scored 51 in the second half after being down 16 to win 88-87. Lipscomb comes in 11-3 in conference play with a loss to top seed Gulf Coast, and getting swept by North Florida. North Florida were regular season champs last season and were expected to be the team to beat. After an up and down year, they are 7-7 in conference. But they still have talent so I won't hold that against our Bison. Bison like to push it (85ppg) and I can't see NJIT 41% FG shooting holding up to make this a game. 5* Best Bet LIPSCOMB BISON 

Taking the BISON here. I will be the first to say that I do not like this line at all. And in other spots I would be on the small home dog here. But North Dakota State is in a dog fight with South Dakota for the top seed here in Summit play both sitting at 10-4. Oral is in last with a 4-11 conference record and just 8 wins on the year. They are also on the outside looking in at a 8 team conference tournament. Yes, they could very well be highly motivated to make their conference tourney. But Oral has not be dominate in Summit play in nearly a decade. North Dakota State has won 2 of the last 3 conference tournaments. Obviously they are better team. The records speak to that. I just think at this short price, I have to go with a the better team and not a desperate team who hasn't played well for nearly four months. 8* Sure Shot NORTH DAKOTA STATE 

Taking BOISE here. You can grab the points, but I will go ML here. You can go see my January 17th free play video as we were all over New Mexico that game as 5pt dogs. Well, we get our Boise revenge tonight. Road team and underdog 5-1-1 ATS last 7 in this series. Looking for another dog outright. 4* Money Maker BOISE STATE 

Taking UTEP here. We have big revenge from a 20pt road loss in early January. But that was a different Miners team in my eyes. These guys have been winning games lately. 6 of their last 7 and that includes outright wins when they were +11 and +14 dogs. Sign me up for the hungry home dog. UTEP 13-3 ATS last 16 as a home puppy. LaTech hasn't covered in 4 straight while UTEP is 5-0 ATS in that stretch. Home team on a 6-2 ATS run. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet UTEP 

Taking NORTH DAKOTA STATE here. So we already knocked these guys off on the road back in December. But I think the Bison really want to lay it on them here at home. I can't help but think they are still brewing over the Jackrabbits beating them in the Summit Championship last March. In fact, in 2 of the last 3 championship games, SDST has ended NDST hopes of the getting to the NCAAs. Now it is only February, but I just can't see the Bison giving SDST any breathing room here. Jackrabbits already under-performing on the year. Why give them any hope of a happy season? They have 2 road wins all year. An 8pt win over Drake. (who was drubbed at home last night by 29) and a 4pt win over Omaha when they had to hit 50% of their shots. We have lost twice at home. Once to North Dakota (we beat them in their place a week later) and our last game. Losing by 10 to South Dakota as they shot over 50% from the field. So off that loss, I am thinking we get the proverbial 'A' game from the team with a big focus on defense. 10* Money Bomb NORTH DAKOTA STATE 

Taking the FALCONS here. Should really just go +140 ML, but I will take whatever points I can get with this high powered offense. So I can have a huge drawn out story as to why I like Atlanta. But let's keep it simple. Pats in their 7th Super Bowl in 15 years. Let's see. NE 20 STL 17  .. NE 32 CAR 29 .. NE 24 PHI 21 .. NYG 17 NE 14 ... NYG 21 NE 17 .. NE 28  SEA 24 ... I see some close games here people. And as much as teams change, this one doesn't. It is still lead by the same HC and QB. So we are getting a close game. I think we will see a lot more Blount from NE than people think. They need to keep their defense off the field, because Matty Ice will torch them. We hear about how NE didn't face any good offenses on the year, but they showed up to slow down the Steelers. Well, as we cashed with NE I noted Big Ben's terrible road splits. Add in they lose their super RB and the game plan is out the window and Pitt is in trouble. Nobody has respected the Falcons all year. The public probably jumps on them with us, since everyone hates Brady. Dan Quinn's defense is the difference. It has been improving all year and is on top of it's game right now. The highest total in Super Bowl history makes it an easy UNDER play for me. Seeing 59, 59.5s right now. Like I said. I expect more of a rush attack here. Long drives. But we will be taking the Dirty Birds to end a miracle season. 10* Money Bomb ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking TEXAS TECH here. So, a team that has lost 20 straight to the Longhorns in Austin is favored, on the road. Sign me up! 5* Best Bet TEXAS TECH 

Taking GEORGE MASON here. So, I think STL is a bad team. So maybe this is a sucker line since I am blinded by how I perceive the Billikens. But they are one of the worse scoring and shooting teams in the land. Mason now 6-1 ATS on the road. We have HUGE revenge angle for us as STL beat us at home and we were 14pt favorites! It was as tough spot coming off a St Joe's road win and a game at Richmond on deck. But I don't think we shoot under 40% here. In their last home win, STL shot 55 FTs. 55!! Any team shooting 55 FTs at home is going to be in a game. I would be shocked if we didn't win this by double digits. 10* Money Bomb GEORGE MASON 

Taking BUTLER here. Creighton a different team without their PG. We had the Hoyas at home and they trucked the Blue Jays. Butler is just probably better defensively and overall than Georgetown. Creighton beat DePaul, but has struggled, losing 2 of 3 since Watson went down. Butler with 11pt revenge on their minds from a road loss 2 weeks ago gets it done. 5* Best Bet BUTLER

Taking BUFFALO here. I just like this spot. In off not 1, but 2, 1pt road losses. Losing twice on the road isn't good for anyone, and losing by a lone point probably hurts even more. But now we are home and facing a CMU off a road OT win. So maybe they are content to go 1-1 on a road trip. They have a tiny spark plug 30ppg scorer. But I think the way the Bulls have played the last 2 games, the defense will shut things down a bit. 8* Sure Shot BUFFALO BULLS 

Taking KENTUCKY here. What do I say about the lower or unranked teaming giving points. Here we have Kentucky, no slouch in being ranked pretty high, laying a TD to Kansas who was just blitzed by West Va (a nice win for us). The Wildcats also come in off a loss. Again. This looks like they are begging you to take Kansas. 5* Best Bet KENTUCKY WILDCATS 

Taking RICE here. We have revenge from an earlier December game. We have long travel to for Old Dominion. They are facing team scoring over 80ppg and they slug along at 60. A lot more difficult forcing your style of play on the road. I don't expect 37 from the field, 24% from 3 and 45 from the charity stripe at home from Rice either. And I am pretty sure you can bet the ranch that OD won't be hitting over 50% from the floor when they can't hit 40% on the year. 10* Money Bomb RICE OWLS 

Taking the FALCONS here. Here comes the team nobody is talking about. Well. We cashed them huge last week as a Top 10, and will do it again this afternoon. Let's be honest here. Cowboys really should have won last week. If they have a real coach, that game isn't close. But their HC again gets his butt handed to him in the playoffs. Can we get off that Romo is a choke artist. The play calling cost Dallas again. That being said. I expect something totally different here with Atlanta. Their coach will unleash their best weapon, Ryan to Jones to destroy a putrid GB secondary. Falcons run game isn't chopped liver either. I get that Rodgers getting points is a nice option. But against a team, a HC, and a QB that is a veteran squad, it will be a different ballgame. Atlanta defense isn't all that bad either. I am not saying we won't see a shoot-out here. I am liking this over right now at 60.5. But this Atlanta team has been the group that nobody saw coming. We heard about the Giants defense taking them to the Super Bowl. The Seattle play-off magic. The resurgent Cowboys with a dynamic rookie duo. But nothing about the Dirty Birds. That will change as they head to Houston for Super Bowl 51 - 10* Money Bomb ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking UT ARLINGTON here as our Top CBB Play of the Day! - I know, I know. Higgs, a double digit fave? Not my normal 10* play for sure. But I just like this spot a lot.  We have the Mavericks in with triple revenge from last year. A pair of regular season losses, but the conference tournament. Everyone is back from that squad. ULM win-less in conference and losers of 5 straight and are a shell of that team losing 4 starters. This Texas-Arlington team is pretty good. They already scored wins over Texas and St Mary's. I think they will be with a really focused effort this afternoon to blast a team that has owned them. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS ARLINGTON 

Taking CLEMSON here. I'll grab the 11-6 Tigers in off of 4 losses. They are in these games. 5.5 would have been good for covers in half their losses, and a push in another. UL suits up for the first the first time without their PG Snider, who is their 2nd leading scorer and leads them in assists. Facing a team desperate for a win, and having scoring droughts of your own, then losing your PG isn't a recipe for success. 5* Best Bet CLEMSON TIGERS 

5* Best Bet FRESNO STATE

Taking ORAL ROBERTS here. I had these guys rated a lot higher than some others in Summit play. They are a veteran group. Looking at this line, you have to shake your head. South Dakota looks like the better team. 13-8, 4-1 in conference play. But Oral I think is the better team. Short home dog that hasn't beaten a team the last 3 outings. They are the betting shooting team. And let's not get wrapped up the losses. These guys stepped out and played some real teams. Baylor, Oklahoma, Michigan State, Mississippi, Creighton. Even Montana is a tough foe as they are a top team in the Big Sky. 10* Money Bomb ORAL ROBERTS 

Taking the CHIEFS here. So we have KC basically a PK here at home. Steelers throttled them back in Week 4 to the tune of 43-14. They abused the Dolphins so bad, PETA is looking into animal cruelty chargers against Pitt! I had Miami as a free play and the game was not ever close. Steelers completely dominated. Brown with 2 TD catches, 50 and 62 yards. Bell rumbles for 167 and is still carrying tacklers to the airport. And yet, this line is Pk, -1 maybe depending when you are getting this play. Steelers have a prolific attack without a doubt. But they just beat, basically a journeyman QB and a team from Miami playing in 15 degree weather. KC is 23-5 their last 28 games. Steelers blew them up at Heinz Field. But their 3 other losses were 19-12, 19-17, 19-17. I like Mike Tomlin as a HC. But give me Andy Reid with an extra time any day of the week. They can say whatever they want, but we all know they have been planning to face the Steelers since the season ended. Huge revenge game. Home field. And they have probably the key X-factor of both teams in rookie return man Tyreek Hill. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS 

Taking NORTHRIDGE here. We get a little double revenge working in our favor as we lost in OT, plus another game by a point. Plus Davis has won 5 straight. I think that we are the better team as we come in off a pair of dog, out-right road wins. That kind of stuff will gives us the extra boost of mojo we need to take down this enemy. We last played on Wednesday, while Davis has a Thursday night loss under their belts. These guys were my sleeper to win the Big West and they will take another step forward tonight. 5* Best Bet CS NORTHRIDGE 

Taking the FALCONS here. I have to be honest. I think this team has been the most under the radar squad in the NFL this year. Them and probably KC. How are people over looking this offense? I have been on them a couple times, faded them like in their finale against the Saints (moneybomb winner). This team has really taken a huge step on the defensive side of the ball under Quinn. I'll come back to Atlanta in a second. On to Seattle. Look. We cashed them as a Best Bet last week. But we had them at home, with the world on the Lions and Stafford and his bum finger injury. Dome teams playing in the elements, especially against a team like Seattle, in that stadium. It was really no-brainer in the Seahawks or nothing. Falcons have been putting up some crazy points this year. It will be tough here in their dome. Seattle I think, will have a big problem in their secondary. Tough trying to duplicate the production and what Earl Thomas brings to the field. Julio Jones went for 139 in Seattle (I had Seattle. ATL off big home win over Car, then road win at Denver). Richard Sherman wasn't exactly the best CB in the league that day. And now he is missing some big help with Thomas out. Seattle went 3-4-1 on the road this year. Lost 9-3 to the Rams. 14-5 to the Bucs. Tied Arizona 6-6. Lost at NO 25-20. Lost at GB 38-10. Look at the points they scored. Or should I say didn't score. I will say they beat the Jets 27-24. Beat SF 25-23. Beat Patriots 31-24. They played a near perfect game last week. Can't expect that every week. Especially in the playoffs. Falcons offense, like our Packers 10* Winner over the Giants last week, will be the difference maker. 10* Money Bomb ATLANTA FALCONS

Taking NORTH CAROLINA here. Grabbing the 'Heels at home here in what I think is a relatively easy double digit win situation. We have the Seminoles off a rush the court win over Duke. Now, not really an upset in my world, but I can see a bit of let down taking shape here. Carolina has been destroying teams at home. FSU with a couple neutral site games over Manhattan and GW before scoring a win at Virginia. At first glance, that looks like a good score. But the Cavs were off b2b roadie wins at Cal and Louisville. A let down was inevitable. Give me the home faves here. 8* Sure Shot NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking LOUISVILLE here. Easy call for me fading Duke. First. It's Duke! I should have really had Florida State the other night and I am kicking myself for missing it. That being said, this is a different team without Coach K. I mean right off the bat. Do you know Duke was 11-7 last year in ACC play? They haven't won the conference since 2004. Yet they get lines like they are the undefeated UNLV team. Blue Devils 0-2 ATS without Coach falling to cover laying 26 v BC and then the Seminole game. We can even add Duke 1-5 ATS since mid-December. UL had a 24pt lead at one point over Pitt before pissing it away to a 5pt non-cover. Expect a full 40 minutes of focus vs a hated rival. 10* Money Bomb LOUISVILLE 

5* Best Bet CENTRAL MICHIGAN 

Taking WEST VIRGINIA here. Are you kidding me? The newly minted #1 team in the land a 6pt underdog. Just on principle you know we taking the Mountaineers here. You know I always say when I get that lower, or unranked team laying points, we are jumping on board. Well this to me screams West Va in a blowout. I see 7s in some spots. 10* Money Bomb WEST VIRGINIA 

Taking CLEMSON here. Last year, we had Bama in this spot. But I think as I wrote in my Tigers write up about them blowing up Ohio State, they just have this team circled since the start of the season. We know they can move the ball vs this defense. Tide has had problems with QBs like this. I can't knock Alabama one bit. And it is tough going against a team that is the defending champ and nary a team hangs competes. I can't help but think losing Kiffen hurts a bit too. Sark is a good coach, but to do this a week before a title game? I dunno, something is up and it will come out. We knew Lane was leaving, but he was ready to get that ring along with everyone else. Nick is too good a coach to let this be an issue you would think. That being said, something just tells me Clemson is ready to take that next big step. 10* Money-Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking the PACKERS here. How can we go against a red hot A-A-Ron here at home? Pack have won 6 straight making good on the 'we'll run the table' guarantee. Enter the NY Giants who will be playing their 3rd straight road game. Granted. The defense looked good last week with a must win game for Washington. But wasn't it just the week before they lost on the road to a rookie QB in Philly when they themselves could have locked up a playoff spot with a win? Rodgers has been torching defenses lately to the tune of 18TDs and 0 picks the last 7 games. Giants defense has been very good, and I can't throw any knocks their way. But Green Bay put up 38 on Seattle and Minnesota here in December. Those teams aren't weak on the defensive side of the ball. Nor can I throw out the 31 they put up on the Lions on the road. Look. Prior to Detroit getting rolled by Dallas on Monday night, they had given up 20 or more points Once in their last 8 games. And a final thought here on the Giants offense. That was suppose to carry the team. But it has been pedestrian all season. Who expects them to turn it on here in January after 4 full months of football. The line is short because of the way the Giants defense has been playing. I just can't go against a decent GB defense that handled these guys in October allowing 220 yards in that game and being up 23-9 before a late ODB TD pass from Eli. The Giants offense isn't better. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking SEATTLE here. I get it. I know how you can grab the points here. Lions seem to be in every game. Believe me. Last week we had them and I wrote about the close losses. But I just do not like this spot for them. First. Dome team playing outside. And outside in one of the toughest stadium. Do we add that temps will be near 30 with a chance of rain or snow? I will be the first to say I have been down on Seattle all year. But I think they play angry here. Last home game they were blitzed by Arizona. Lions look like they have run out of steam the last 3 weeks. Both teams have limped to the finish line. But this line screams to take the points with the way Seattle has been playing. The public last saw Seattle barely beating SF. Something tells me Pete Carroll gets his troops playing perfect ball tonight. 5* Best Bet SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

8* Sure Shot NORTH DAKOTA

5* Best Bet ARKANSAS ST

Taking FORDHAM here. I had both of these guys in the middle of the road for the A-10. Joe's still adjusting after losing their leading scorer. Give me the scrappy home pup here in their conference opener. 5* Best Bet FORDHAM 

5* Best Bet UTAH STATE

5* Best Bet NEVADA 

8* Sure Shot CAL DAVIS

5* Best Bet LOYOLA CHICAGO 

Taking USC here. I faded these guys day 1 against Alabama, but this team is playing some excellent ball lately. And truth be told, the Big 10 hasn't impressed in bowls. Yes we cashed with Indiana and Northwestern, but also fading Ohio State and Michigan in big fashion. Do we think that Penn State is really the cream of the crop from this conference? For the sake of the selection committee, let's hope not. They left a Conference Champion off the playoff roster. No team probably playing with a bigger chip on their shoulder than Penn State. Do they channel teams of past, like the 86 bunch, and the 'fatigue game' vs Miami? I don't hear SC taking that kind of smack. But I just get the feeling that the Lions haven't faced an offense like what they will see out of the Trojans here. 5* Best Bet USC TROJANS 

Taking FLORIDA here. I was leaning a little Iowa when the lines were first posted. But I am all in on the Gators here. They won 16-10 at LSU. Lost at Florida State 31-13. Were throttled by Alabama (we had Bama) 54-16. But as I said in my Bama write up that day. Gators are in off a brutal stretch. They were missing key guys. The scheduling was brutal. Now they get guys back. They are playing in-state. When was the last time Iowa plucked out a huge Florida recruit? This is a big game for them. Get the losing taste out of their mouth. And honestly. I have backed Iowa in bowls before and it hurts. 8* Sure Shot FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking the SAINTS here. I know Atlanta is playing for that 2 seed. But I think there is way too much pride on the other side lines here. Getting to 8-8 is a big deal. No way Brees and Payton want a 3rd straight 7-9 season. New Orleans 6 of 8 losses have been by 1,3,6,2,3 and 5. And we get a points like this with Brees and the #1 offense. +290 Dog Outright in play here. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS  

Taking the JAGS here. Appears all these guys needed was new coach on the sidelines. Colts will mail it in with nothing to play for here. While Jax players need to show ownership and whatever HC will be taking over, that they are quitters. 5* Best Bet JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 

Taking TAMPA here. Part of me says take Carolina as they will be playing for pride and yada yada yada. Super Bowl team out of the playoffs, that type of motivation. But I can't overlook the injuries here. I know all teams are banged up. But I think the Panthers mail it in here. Bucs have the slimmest of shots at the playoffs. Honestly, for them to make it, they need a real miracle. But you figure with no pressure they win it going away here. In front of a home crowd, I think getting to 9-7 is a big deal. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY 

Taking CLEMSON here. Where is the respect for this team? Total smack in the face. Dabo will have these guys extra chippy with a monster chip on their shoulders here. Ohio State has set the precedent that you don't have to be a conference champ to get in the playoffs. And you can lose a h2h with the conference champ and still get here. I don't want to hear how the Big 12 has no championship game and gets left out of these things from now on. Look. Buckeyes have a good team, but are not as explosive as years past. They are 6-6 ATS this year. Penn State and Michigan beat them in the trenches and Clemson is +22 sacks on the year. That is where this game will be won. And this Clemson team is nothing but focused at getting back to Alabama.. 5* Best Bet CLEMSON TIGERS 

Let's get it here. ROLL TIDE - How can we not take these guys. They have been rolling all year. We had the over in the SEC Championship Game and I said that both sides of the ball from Alabama wears you down. Do we really think extra time off is going to help here? Let's be honest. This line will only get higher. I might come back with a middle if it gets to near 20. Washington is a good team. The ole, chip on the shoulder, disrespected thing going on here. PAC 12 is the little brother conference and all that jazz. Are we really giving this Alabama staff nearly a month to game plan here? I can have a big to-do about individual players on both sides and balls and run down some stats. Bottomline is this - I see something like in the 38-17 range. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE