5*Pittsburgh Steelers +5

The line on this game before the season started was Kansas City -2.5. I think this line is inflated based on how the Steelers looked last week. Big Ben five turnovers in one his worst performances of his career at Heinz Field. I think the Steelers will be super focused going against a Chiefs' team that has Oakland, Denver, and Dallas on deck. Pittsburgh has recorded the 3rd most sacks in the league while Kansas City has allowed the 3rd most. Great spot for the road dog!

4*LA Rams +3

5*Chicago Bears +7

Baltimore returns home feeling confident after their west coast upset at Oakland. The Bears have a sneaky good offensive line and a real defense, which ranks 6th overall, allowing 27 yards per game less than the Ravens. Joe Flacco has the second worst quarterback rating (71.6) this season. Mitchell Trubisky should be able to make some chunk plays with his feet while avoiding the pass rush. The Bears are ranked 27th in yards per play (4.9) while the Ravens are ranked 29th (4.6). The Bears are upgraded at the QB position now while the host is just 1-6 ATS in non-conference games of late. Take the road dog!

10*Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +6.5

Miami is coming off two physical contests against Duke and FSU. The Hurricanes won last week despite getting outgained by 69 yards. Georgia Tech is averaging 6.4 net yards per play while Miami is averaging 6.5 net yards per play. The Yellow Jackets have two weeks to prepare for this revenge game as Miami won 35-21 at GA Tech despite getting outgained 361-355 last October. We are getting some nice value with the better defense in almost every measurable stat on the stop side. Miami is 1-3 SU in their last four tries after playing FSU. Take the generous 6.5 points with the road dog in this upset maker!

5*Dallas Cowboys -2

I had the Rams last week in part because I thought Dallas was looking ahead to this game. The Packers have eliminated the Cowboys from the playoffs in two of the past three seasons. Dallas really needs this game going into their BYE week. Dallas gets Anthony Hitchens (LB) and David Irving (DE) back and those two players should help going against a Packers' team that plays Minnesota next week. Take the host at -2 or less!

4*LA Rams PK -110

4*Jacksonville Jaguars +8.5

5*Arizona U +7

The Wildcats committed five turnovers in a 6-point loss against Utah two weeks ago. Arizona outgained the Utes by 107 yards. The Wildcats have two weeks to prepare for this big revenge game as they lost by 25 points last season, despite winning the stats by a 412-388 mark. Colorado is just 1-5 straight-up in their last six tries after playing UCLA. Take the road dog in this upset maker!

4*Pittsburgh U +3.5

4*Cleveland Browns +3.5

4*LA Rams +7.5

5*Northern Illinois +11

The Aztecs have played three games where they had to come from behind to win all three. Very tough the next week and Northern Illinois is a real team that two weeks defeated Nebraska. According to my rankings, this game should really be a 9-point spread. Northern Illinois has two weeks to prepare knowing the Aztecs won last season in Northern Illinois 42-28. The Huskies run defense is much better and the stop unit is allowing just a 92.1 passer rating against. San Diego State has allowed a passer rating of 131.4. Too many points. Take the road dog!

4*Chicago Bears +7.5

4*New Orleans Saints +6

4*Buffalo Bills +3.5

4*Arkansas State +6

4*Appalachian State +5.5

10*Central Florida +3.5

The Knights have two weeks to prepare for this revenge game after losing 30-24 in OT at home against Maryland last season. We note that Central Florida outgained the Terrapins 455-373, despite committing 4 turnovers. I think we're getting points with the better team. I would take a slice on the money line as well!

5*Chicago Bears +7

The Bears have a sneaky good offensive line and the defense seems more comfortable in John Fox's third year with the team. Mike Glennon is a former Buccaneer and the Bears should be pumped up for this game. His 84.7 QBR in his career ranks above average. Tampa Bay hasn't played a meaningful game in quite some time. I think this line is a tad inflated. Take the road dog!

5*Philadelphia Eagles +6

The Eagles have a top 5 offensive line and defensive line. That's a great combo and the Eagles have added some nice skill players. The Chiefs are coming off an emotional win against the Patriots. Fading home favorites after defeating the Super Bowl champion has been a key wise guy play for years. Take the Eagles plus the generous 6 points! 

4*California +4

4*Kentucky +7

5*Memphis +3.5

UCLA was lucky to win in week one and now will be coming off a 50+ point effort against Hawaii. The Bruins haven't played an early 12 PM Eastern Time zone game in quite some time. Memphis has the offense to score on just about anyone and based on the O/U for this game that seems likely. Teams coming off a 50+ home victory facing winning teams off a BYE have been a great play against as favorites this decade. My sources tell me that the host is taking this game very seriously. Public betting the Bruins in a big way yet the line hasn't really moved much. Vegas is very comfortable booking those bets. I'll back Memphis plus the points.

4*Chicago Bears +7

4*Jacksonville Jaguars +6

4*Tennessee Titans -1.5

5*San Diego State +3.5

The host was outgained by 149 yards in last week's win against NMSU. Note, the Sun Devils have been outgained in 10 straight games dating back to last season. SD State has won the stats in seven of their past 10 games. The Aztecs are the more talented team in my opinion and will gladly take the three and a hook. 

5*Middle Tenn State +10.5

The Blue Raiders equaled their lowest scoring output at home since 2009, managing just 6 points against Vandy. Head Coach Rick Stockstill is 8-1 ATS in his career with Middle Tenn State following a loss of more than 20 points. The Blue Raiders are 5-1 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 11 points since 1993. Fact is, the total suggests a high-scoring game and this line should be closer to 8 points. Take the hungry road dog in this huge upset maker!

5*Appalachian State +14.5

The Bulldogs have issues on the offensive line and defensive backfield. App State has a real defense and should be able to keep this one within two touchdowns. I have the the host favored by 12 points. Good value here. Take the road dog!

4*Troy +11

5*Tennessee Titans -3

I love this team, from the starters to the backups and a coach who is building something special. This is the most talented Titans' roster in quite some time. Take the host!

5*LA Rams +3

New head coach Sean McVay is going to game plan for this contest and the Rams boast a solid QB rotation. Sean Mannion will follow Goff and the former had 4 touchdowns and just one interception in last year's preseason. The Cowboys played in the Hall of Fame game in 2010 and 2013. They won both games only to lose their very next preseason game. Also, the Rams averaged a league-low 14 points per game last season. These teams are 12-3 SU in their first preseason contest of late. Take the LA Rams plus the generous 3 points!

4*Arizona Cardinals  PK

Bruce Arians is coming off his first losing season (7-8-1) of his brilliant NFL coaching career. His 50-25-1 career record is very impressive and I believe he wants to set the tone and win early this preseason. The Cardinals will have Drew Stanton and Blaine Gabbert under center battling it out late. They should have success going against the Cowboys' third and fourth stringers. Jason Garrett has never emphasized winning in the preseason evident by his 9-16 SU August record, including 2-10 in his past 12 games. Lots of distractions in Dallas right now. Luke McCown was just signed and he has attempted just 40 NFL throws since 2012. He'll be rusty. Take Arizona in this one!

5*Cleveland Cavilers +4

The Cavs return home after two straight blowouts in Golden State. Cleveland plays really well at Quicken Loans Arena and certainly are in familiar territory. The Cavs were 1.5-point favorites in this same situation last year. Add Durant and you get the home team plus 4 points. Cleveland is the defending NBA champions and should be super focused in this spot. I will go against the public in this one and take the home team.

5*Washington Wizards +5

I think the Wizards have a great shot at pulling off the upset, or at least keep this deciding contest close to the best. Over the past five games, the Wizards are plus +3 in point differential while the Celtics are minus -3. Washington has been blown out in Boston of late and I believe they have something to prove. The Celtics are just 6-11 ATS when playing with 2 days of rest this season. Take the road team!

4*Indiana Pacers +4

I like the Pacers to avoid the sweep or at least keep this one very close. Indiana tends to play really good basketball in this time slot at home. Take the hungry host!

3*Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-120)

Listed Pitchers RYU/Freeland)

5*Gonzaga Bulldogs +1.5

Team is on a mission. The Bulldogs should be the small favorite. Take the points before they disappear.

5*Oregon Ducks +5

If you look at the average power rating of opponents played it's not that far apart. Average power rating of opponents played: OREGON 79.9 vs.  N CAROLINA 81.2. The Ducks know how to play without the injured Chris Boucher and matchup quite well against the Tar Heels. I thought this line would be closer to NC -3 and the hook. Take the Ducks in this upset maker.

4*Kentucky +2.5

The Wildcats are on a huge winning run and a wise man once said you don't bet against these teams. Kentucky is 4-0 SU and ATS under coach John Calipari as an underdog in the NCAA tournament. Take the Wildcats!

5*Indiana Pacers -2

The Pacers play much better at home which is evident of a plus +4.5 point differential at Bankers Life Fieldhouse while the Nuggets are minus - 3.1 on the road. Denver is coming off a big emotional win against the Cavs. Lets not forget, Denver crushed Indiana 140-112 at home on Jan. 12 while shooting 57.8 percent from the floor. The Nuggets are 14-31 straight-up after an upset win as an underdog over the past three seasons, including 3-9 this year. Take the hungry host!

5*Oregon Ducks +1.5

Wow! I thought this game would be closer to a pick em. I will gladly take the generous 1.5 points in this upset maker.

4*Rhode Island +5.5

4*Wichita State +5

5*Purdue +1

I like this Purdue team which should enjoy a healthy rebounding edge, and they are much more consistent at the FT stripe which is key in these type of games. Take the Boilermakers to advance to the sweet 16!

5*New Mexico State +12.5

The Aggies are a real College Basketball team that can score and rebound with the best of them. Baylor has been inconsistent at times throughout the season. I have the Bears favored by 10 points so lets take the generous 12.5 points in this matchup.

4*Bucknell +14

5*Princeton +7

I try to keep it simple when handicapping the tournament. I really like teams getting points that tend to play lower scoring games by being methodical. The Tigers certainly do that and should feel right at home playing in Buffalo. Princeton last appeared in the Big Dance back in 2010, losing to Kentucky by just two points as 12-point underdogs. I have Notre Dame as 5.5-point chalk so I will trust my numbers in this game and go with the underdog. Upset Alert!

4*New Orleans Pelicans -2.5

The Pelicans will be playing with two days rest while the T-Blazers will be playing its third game in four days. Portland has a big game against the Spurs on deck. Portland will have a hard time matching up with Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins. The ladder has average 38.7 points and 10.3 rebounds in three games against Portland earlier this season as a member of the Kings. Take the host!

4*Ohio U -2.5

4*TCU  PK

4*Iowa State -2.5

4*Virginia Tech +1.5

5*TCU Horned Frogs +5

TCU hasn't shot the ball particularly well of late and should get a nice boost at home against a ranked team. The Horned Frogs are 5-2 revenging a road loss this season while WV is only 2-7 ATS on Saturday this year. TCU is hell bent on defeating a highly-ranked team. The Mountaineers have a much bigger game on deck against Baylor. TCU is 13-4 SU at home and 35-19 SU in all home games over the past three seasons. Take the hungry host!

4*Syracuse +4

4*Houston U +2

4*Vanderbilt -3.5

5*USC +3.5

The Trojans shot just 31% while committing a season-high 17 turnovers in losing to Oregon on December 30th by 23 points. Now in the rematch, the line is "only" 3.5 points mostly because the Ducks have won 10 straight in the series, while covering six of those tilts. The public will be all over Oregon. It's a trap line in my opinion. USC is playing its best basketball of the season and should be super focused in this spot. Take the hungry host! 

4*Indiana Pacers -4

5*New England Patriots -3

I think the Patriots' scheme will create mismatches against this Falcons' defense. A defense that has allowed the second most points in Super Bowl history. New England has outgained its opponent in nine straight games. These teams are perfect in the Super Bowl, going 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS. The Patriots' offensive line is significantly better in pass protection, which is key in Super Bowl handicapping. New England has an underrated secondary that should be able to hold the Falcons to FG attempts on multiple possessions. New England owns the better red zone stats and is the more disciplined team. The Patriots have tons of "big game" experience, while the Falcons are a relatively young team. Nerves could creep in a little bit. That is a major factor and history has told us such. We get a future Hall of Fame head coach & QB with an extra week to prepare. Including the postseason, New England is 15-4 SU with an extra week of rest. I think this line is only heading higher. I like the Patriots by 7 in Super Bowl 51!

3*Philadelphia +2.5

4*Milwaukee Bucks +5.5

The Bucks committed 18 turnovers when these teams met less than a week ago in Houston. I think Milwaukee matches up well and should be sharper here at home. Houston has played four more games than the Bucks so far this season. Take the hungry host.

4*Detroit Pistons +2.5

4*Illinois Chicago -4.5

5*Seattle Seahawks +5

We are getting about an extra point with Earl Thomas not being able to play. These two teams are very familiar with each other and I think this will be a closer game than most people expect. I will gladly take the points with a defense that is ranked 22 spots higher (No. 5) than the host (No. 27), according to Football Outsiders. The Seahawks have outgained their opponent in six straight games and have a ton of postseason experience. This game won't feel too big for them. The Seahawks are 13-3 ATS as underdogs with QB Russell Wilson under center in his career. Take the road dog in this spot! 

4*Rutgers +6.5

5*Green Bay Packers -4

The Packers defeated the Giants 23-16, as 7-point home chalk on October 9th. Green Bay outgained New York 406-221. Eli Manning has never really been good in extreme cold and temps are expected to be around 15 degrees. I think this line is soft and should close higher. Green Bay is 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS as home favorites of 3.5 to 7 points over the past three seasons. The Packers own the better red zone stats which is key in the playoffs. We get the better coach with a ton of postseason experience. Take the host!

4*Dallas Mavericks +1.5

4*Penn State +8

4*Iowa +3

4*Miami Dolphins +10

4*NY Jets +3.5

5*Nebraska +7.5

10*Colorado Buffaloes -3

This is a more meaningful game for Colorado as they haven't won a bowl game since 2004. The Buffaloes will be making their first bowl appearance since 2007, and I know for a fact they want to win this game for reasons that go beyond football. Oklahoma State missed a chance for the Sugar Bowl by losing to Oklahoma and have gone 7-14 SU after playing the Sooners of late. The key for Colorado this season has been rushing for 100+ yards. They are 10-0 SU when running for 100 or more yards, but 0-3 when held under 100. Considering the Cowboys are allowing 205 rushing yards per game, I think that benefits the Buffs. Oklahoma State has a good passing game, but Colorado counters with the 3rd-ranked pass defense in the nation. The Buffs' defense held four foes to season-low yardage while the Cowboys are allowing 457 yards per game and 6.0 yards per play. OK State allowed 500+ yards on five different occasions this season. These teams have historically been bad in their bowl game. Take Colorado!

4*Northwestern +5.5

I like unranked bowl underdogs vs. ranked teams and the Panthers fall into a great play against system over the years. Teams that scored 60 or more points in their last game are 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS of late. We also get the much better defense. The Wildcats allowed just 22 points this season, while Pittsburgh allowed 36 per contest. Against other bowl teams NW is allowing 5.2 yards per play and 24.0 points per game, while Pittsburgh is allowing 6.8 yards per play and 41 points per game. I think Northwestern will be motivated to finish the season with a victory after last year's 10-win performance.

Independence Bowl

4*Vanderbilt +6

St. Petersberg Bowl

5*Miami (OH) +14.5

The RedHawks won six straight games to become bowl-eligible for this first time since 2010. Miami OH played five bowl teams this season and outgained every single foe. NC State played eight bowl teams and only managed to outgain their opponent on four occasions. The RedHawks are 18-9 ATS as underdogs over the past three seasons. The Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS as a favorite this season and have gone 4-9 ATS off a win against a conference rival of late. I will trust my numbers and grab the points with the RedHawks.

10*Denver Broncos +3 (+110)

The Kansas City Chiefs have been outgained in six of their past seven games, and are allowing more yards than they gain this season. Denver plays with same season revenge from a 30-27 setback on November 27th. We note that the Broncos outgained KC 464-273 in that overtime loss. Denver has dropped two in a row and I think they will bounce back behind their defense. A stop unit that is allowing just 4.8 yards per play this season, while holding opposing quarterbacks to a league-low 65.6 passer rating. NFL teams are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS after playing the Tennessee Titans since Week nine. Super Bowl winning teams have been gold after losing exactly two games in a row. I'll take the points with the hungry Broncos in this spot!

5*Wyoming +10.5

These two teams were rivals before BYU leaving the MWC to become independent in 2010. Wyoming has been great as an underdog this season going 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS. The Cowboys are hugely motivated and this is way too many points for a team that defeated thirteen-ranked Boise State on Halloween weekend. This will be Wyoming's first Bowl game since 2011, when they lost to Temple in the Gildan New Mexico Bowl. We note that Bowl teams with 8+ wins on the season are a sparkling 27-9 ATS as underdogs of 10 or more points of late. The Cowboys (.576) played a much tougher schedule than BYU (.469) this season. Wyoming went 4-4 ITS (in the stats) while BYU went 1-4 ITS against other bowl teams. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS with extra rest in their last five tries. I think this line is out of whack so lets take the double digits in what should be a closer game than most people think!

5*Chicago Bears +5.5

This is basically the Bears' Super Bowl and they will fight to the end with John Fox as head coach. Matt Barkley has played well at the QB position. These two teams are very familiar with each other's scheme. Aaron Rodgers is hobbled and they are coming off an emotional victory against Seattle last week. NFL teams are 14-27-3 as favorites after facing Pete Carroll's Seahawks the previous week. The Bears have the better defense and sport an 89.9 QB rating against. Pretty good. Take the hungry host!

5*Tennessee Titans +5.5

Marcus Mariota is getting better with each game and will be ready for the coldest game of his career. The Titans strong running game (144.5 per game) should perform well against this current Chiefs' run defense (122.9 yards against) in frigid conditions. Kansas City has been outgained in five of their past six games. I'll take the better offense and defense getting five and the hook every day of the week and twice on Sunday. Take the road dog in this upset maker! 

5*Appalachian State +1.5

The Mountaineers return to the Camellia Bowl for the second straight year. They won last year on a late FG before falling behind by three touchdowns. App State should learn from what happened in 2015. I also believe that high-powered offenses (Toledo) don't perform well with significant time off. How motivated is Toledo after losing their conference title game 55-35 to Western Michigan. The Rockets were hoping for a bigger bowl game. Defense travels well and the Mountaineers are dynamic on the stop side. They are allowing 4.9 yards per play which ranks in the top third of all the bowl teams. App State is very good running the ball and Toledo has struggled at stopping the run. Bowl favorites are just 4-16-2 ATS if they allowed 50 or more points in their conference championship game. Take App State!

4*UTSA +8

5*Green Bay Packers +3

The Packers can't afford any slip-ups and should be primed for a big effort at home. It will be very cold and the Packers are more accustomed to playing in frigid conditions. Seattle is coming off an emotional revenge game against the Carolina Panthers, and they have a big revenge game on deck (Thursday) against the LA Rams. Earl Thomas is OUT and he is the QB of the defense. He will be missed in this spot. Green Bay is 30-13 straight up in December home games of late. Take the hungry host!

4*Philadelphia Eagles +2.5

4*Utah Jazz -5.5

5*Arizona Cardinals -2.5

The Cardinals return home off a blowout loss against the Falcons and head coach Bruce Arians should have his team razor sharp. The coach has gone 4-0 SU after two consecutive losses in his Arizona career. They bring in the better defense and are holding opposing QB's to a 74.3 passer rating. The Redskins like to throw the ball and the Cardinals are solid against the pass, holding foes to just 195.1 yards per game. This is basically the Cardinals' Super Bowl knowing they can't afford another loss. Washington just played a physical game against Dallas and has a big game against the Eagles on deck. Arizona is 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their past five games against the NFC East. Take the hungry host.

4*Penn State +3

4*Oklahoma State +12

5*Temple +3

The Owls own the better defense and getting three points. I like that especially since Temple was in this same spot last season and lost to Houston U, holding the Cougars to 24 points, which was 16 below their season average. Temple has held 10 teams to season low or second low yardage this season. Navy has scored 141 points in their last two games and now must play a stop unit that is holding foes to just 273.8 yards per game. The Owls have future NFL players all over its defense. Temple has outgained its opponent in nine straight games. Navy is 1-4 ATS before colliding with Army. I will back Temple plus the points in this AAC Championship game.

5*Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6

The Buccaneers have won two in a row and have historically played the Seahawks tough. In 2013, Seattle defeated Tampa Bay 27-24 in overtime, but failed to cover the 16-point home spread. Tampa Bay has a rising star at QB and should be able to score enough points against a defense that will be missing some key personnel. Seattle is making its third trip into the Eastern Time Zone and have traveled more miles than any other team not playing in London. Seattle has a ginormous playoff revenge game against Carolina on deck. Look for the Buccaneers to make it four straight covers against the Seahawks. Take the host!

4*Cleveland Browns +7

10*Vanderbilt +7.5

The Commodores need a win to become bowl-eligible and will be playing with double revenge. Vandy has covered three of the past four meetings and usually plays close games against the visitor. I think Vanderbilt has a great chance to win this game outright, considering they will bring in the better defense. Also, Tennessee has no chance to win the SEC East so I have to question if they will bring their "A" game. The Commodores are cashing 72% as underdogs of 6.5 or more points under head coach Derek Mason. Finally, the Volunteers are 2-10 ATS after a straight up win of more than 20 points. Take the hungry host!

4*Detroit +7

4*Washington Redskins +7

The Cowboys defeated the Redskins earlier this season, 27-23 as 3.5-point road underdogs in a game yours truly was on. I will fade them in this rematch considering the Redskins outgained Dallas 432-380 in the first game and the underdog has gone 24-9 ATS in the past 33 meetings. Washington has won the stats in six straight games and they rank No. 7 in overall team efficiency. They are a real NFL team and I like them in this big time rivalry game on Thanksgiving Day. Take the generous 7 with the road team and Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours.

4*Indianapolis Colts -2.5

4*Jacksonville Jaguars +6.5

5*Baltimore Ravens +8.5

Baltimore is well-coached and have been fantastic under John Harbaugh as an underdog of more than 7 points. He's cashing 75% as an underdog of 7.5 or more points in Non-Conference games in his career. The Underdog in Cowboy games are on a 20-9 ATS run. NFL home favorites are just 13-32 ATS after playing the Steelers with Mike Tomlin as head coach. I can't resist taking the leagues top-ranked defense as more than a TD underdog. I'm going against Jo Public and will back the Ravens plus +8.5 points in this spot.

4*UCLA +13.5

4*Washington State +6.5