Take Pittsburgh.

This is my GI play.

Game 309.

5:20 pm pst.

The line here urges me to side with a Steelers team riding a four-game SU win streak while covering six of their lasts seven. Granted, the Browns have faced some tougher opposition, but have been crushing bettors, going 1-5-1 ATS the last seven. Mistake-prone, Baker Mayfield (12 INT's against just 9 TD's) is in trouble here as he lines up against the ball-hawking, Pitt "D" that has tallied 22 takeaways. They are 5-1 ATS the L6 vs. the AFC North and 6-1 ATS the L7 overall. Cleveland is 9-23-1 ATS the L33 at home and 5-21-2 ATS the L28 vs. winners. Take the Steelers. Thank you.

Take Buffalo.

This is my MAC EAST GOM.

Game 311.

4:00 pm pst.

Buffalo, which has won and covered the L2 years vs. Kent State, enters tonight's contest riding three-game SU and four-game ATS streaks. Kent State hasn't won in over a month as they are on  an 0-3 SU slide. The Golden Flashes have no "flash" whatsoever when it comes to offense (24.9 PPG), which doesn't look to promising here as they face the nation's 36th ranked scoring defense. The Bulls own one of college football's most potent ground attacks that will devour the 128th ranked rush defense of the Golden Flashes. The road team is 7-1-1 ATS the L9 meetings in this series. Buffalo is 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. Kent State and 8-2 ATS the L10 vs. losers. Take the Bulls. Thank you.

Take SF.

This is my MNF winner.

Game 274.

5:15 pm pst.

The Seattle defense (29th vs. pass, 13th vs. rush, 23rd in scoring) leaves a lot to be desired. they have allowed every offense to put up points on them except Arizona. Offensively, the Seahawks are sound, however, the 49ers "D" ranks 2nd, yielding a mere, 12.8 PPG. San Fran also enters this matchup with an extra three days to rest, heal, and prepare. The home team is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. The Seahawks are 0-5 ATS the last five following an ATS win. The 49ers are 27-7 ATS then last 34 on MNF. Take San Francisco. Thank you.

Take Carolina.

This is my TD play.

Game 263.

1:25 pm pst.

I don't expect the Packers to have another poor outing like last week's, 26-11 meltdown at the hands of the Chargers. However, this matchup is no cakewalk either.The Panthers, with Kyle Allen at the helm, are 5-1 both SU and ATS. The quarterback is posting a better completion percentage (60.7%) through six games than Cam Newton (56.2%) did in two. MVP candidate, Christian McCaffrey (881 yards rushing, 10 TD's) will shred the Green Bay defense (24th vs. the rush). Whether wide receiver, Davante Adams (questionable) is available or not, Aaron Rodgers will be running for his life vs. the NFL's 9th ranked pass defense. Carolina is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series and 4-1 ATS the last five on the road. Green Bay is 6-13-1 ATS the last 20 vs. the NFC and 1-3-1 ATS the last five in November. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

Take Buffalo.

This is my DOW.

Game 253.

10:00 am pst.

For the life of me, I can't understand how Cleveland can be favored here. The underachieving, Browns (2-6 SU and ATS) are riding a four-game lose and no cover streak and are playing at home where the team is a dismal, 0-3 both SU and ATS, allowing visitors to outscore them by 13.7 PPG. Buffalo, which is one of the healthiest teams in football, is this season's most pleasant surprise (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS). Second year quarterback, Josh Allen has found his rhythm. But it will be never-aging running back, Frank Gore who will take this game on his shoulders (or should I say his legs) and steamroll the NFL's 30th ranked run defense. By the way, I bet you didn't know the Bills own the League's #3 stop-unit (16.4 PPG allowed). Buffalo is 4-0 ATS the last four on the road, 5-2 ATS the last seven vs. the AFC, and 7-3 ATS then last 10 overall. Cleveland is 9-23 ATS the last 32 at home, 7-19-1 ATS the last 26 in November, and 5-21-1 ATS then last 27 vs. winners. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Take Kansas City,

This is my AFC GOM.

Game 251.

10:00 am pst.

As of deadline, it's looking like Patrick Mahomes will play. But, even if the standout quarterback does not, there is no need for concern. Backup, Matt Moore (21-11 ATS record as a starter) showed just how capable he can be in last week's, 25-of-35, 275 yards passing, 1 TD/0 INT performance to earn the win and cover against a very tough Minnesota defense. Tennessee enters this contest covering only once since September (1-3-1 ATS run) and offensively, to put it very simply, lacks the personnel to compete here (26th in scoring, 18.7 PPG). Look for revenge to motivate Chiefs head coach, Andy Reid after losing a 2017/2018 wild card game to the Titans. Kansas City is 18-7-1 ATS the last 26 on the road and 17-8 ATS the last 25 vs. the AFC. Tennessee is 1-4-1 ATS the last six at home and 0-4 ATS the last four vs. winners. Take the Chiefs. Thank you.

Take Clemson.

This is my STL play.

Game 117.

4:30 pm pst.

I don't normally lay this type of lumber but the Tigers aren't a normal college football team. The No.4 Clemson squad may have an opportunity to leapfrog the loser of the LSU/Alabama matchup with a good showing here. NC State comes off back-to-back losses and has only covered once since August (1-6 ATS run). It won't matter who the Wolf Pack has calling the plays. But, if quarterback, Devin Leary is once again under center, the redshirt freshman may need to increase the coverage on his life insurance policy. Clemson owns the nation's second ranked pass defense (134 yards per game allowed in the air) and the overall sixth ranked stop unit (11.7 PPG allowed).  Just in case you were wondering, they have no problems running up scores (Beat Georgia Tech by 38, Syracuse by 35, Charlotte by 42, Florida State by 31, Louisville by 35, Boston College by 52, Wofford by 45). The Tigers are 8-1 ATS the last nine on the road, 14-3 ATS the last 17 vs. conference foes, and 9-3 ATS the last 12 overall. Take Clemson. Thank you.

Take L Tech.

This is my TD play.

Game 186.

1:00 pm pst.

Since a season opening loss to Texas, Louisiana Tech has rattled off seven consecutive wins SU, going 5-2 ATS, including a perfect, 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS marks at home. North Texas, on the other hand, has covered just once over the last month and a half (1-4 ATS L5) and is winless on the road at 0-4 SU (1-3 ATS) on the campaign. The Bulldogs feel they have a chance at a New Years Day Bowl and will keep their foot on the gas. The Mean green are 1-4 ATS the L5 vs. the Bulldogs, 2-8 ATS the L10 in conference play, 1-7 ATS the L8 on the road, and 3-12 ATS the L15 overall. Take L Tech. Thank you.

Take Alabama.

Game 168.

12:30 pm pst.

The general public moved this line from a TD down to a -6 as of deadline and as contrarian, I like it even more now. Tua Tagovailoa (questionable) is listed as a game time decision, but reports are that quarterback returned to practice and is moving quite well. Counterpart, Heisman frontrunner, Joe Burrow heads up the nation's No.2 passing unit. But he faces his toughest test yet with an Alabama pass defense that yields a mere, 180.1 yards per game in the air, tallying 11 interceptions. The success of the Tigers offense relies on the passing game. Unlike recent years, they do not have a solid rushing attack, therefore this Tide defense can key on the pass. The Crimson Tide have the edge in the trenches which will allow the nation's fifth ranked aerial assault to exploit the Tigers 60th ranked pass "D". Nick Saban is one of the best coaches in the nation preparing his team for big games, so look for him to extend his winning streak in this series to nine straight (6-2 ATS last eight). Take Alabama. Thank you.

Take Kansas State.

This is my DOW.

Game 183.

12:30 pm pst.

Don't fool yourself, with three straight wins and covers, Kansas State is for real. Quarterback, Skylar Thompson (60.5 percent completion rate, 1,336 yards passing, 7/1) is playing with confidence and has the team believing they can win. He faces a "leaky" Texas defense (97th, 31.5 PPG allowed) that hasn't held any offense in check since a week three meeting with Rice. Look for the Wildcats swarming and stingy secondary (18th, 186.2 yards per game in the air allowed) to frustrate Longhorns quarterback, Sam Ehlinger. KSU head coach, Chris Klieman will have his offensive unit do what they do best, run, run, run. They will control the tempo, the clock, and the outcome here. The Wildcats are 9-2-1 ATS the last 12 meetings with the Longhorns, 4-1 ATS the last five on the road, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 overall. Take Kansas State. Thank you.

Take Illinois.

This is my 91% Angle Play.

Game 135.

12:30 pm pst.

The odds makers are giving Michigan State way too much credit here as I feel this line should be single digits. Under Lovie Smith, Illinois has improved by leaps and bounds this season, as they have won three straight, while covering four in a row against such notables as Michigan, Wisconsin, and Purdue. Granted, MSU steps down in class a bit after consecutive losses to Ohio State, Wisconsin, and Penn State, but the Spartans have become point spread poison, riding a four-game no cover streak. Without much of a running game, the offense is left in the hands of erratic quarterback, Brian Lewerke. The potent rushing attack of Reggie Corbin and Dre Brown (1,019 yards rushing, nine TD's combined) will keep the Michigan State "D" honest and keep this game very close. The Fighting Illini are money in conference play going 4-0 ATS the last four vs. Big Ten opponents. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS the last four vs. the Big Ten, 1-6 ATS the last seven at home, and 2-5 ATS the last seven following a bye week. Take Illinois. Thank you.

Take LA.

This is my TNF Winner.

Game 107.

5:20 pm pst.

LA once again has established a running game which will further allow Philip Rivers and the NFL's 6th ranked passing attack to exploit the worst pass defense in the League (32nd). Meanwhile, Derek Carr is in for another long day (sacked 7 times in 2 losses last season vs. LA) as he faces the swarming, 5th ranked pass "D" of the Chargers. LA is 4-0 ATS the L4 vs. Oakland, 9-2-1 ATS the L12 on the road, and 8-1 ATS the L9 in November. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

Take Dallas.

This is my MNF MONEYMAKER.

Game 475.

5:15 pm pst.

Dallas did away with New York in the season opener, 35-17. The Cowboys began the campaign at 3-0, only to drop the next three contests, However, the 1st place Dallas team got back on track a few weeks ago, dominating Philly two weeks ago. They are off a bye week and come in here rested and ready to make a run in the NFC. New York has dropped four in a row and got their first cover in a month in last week's, 31-26 loss at Detroit. The Giants don't pose too much of a threat on either side of the ball here (23rd offensively, 28th defensively).Look for Prescott and Elliott to exploit the Blue defense while the cowboys "D" gets to first year QB, Daniel Jones. Dallas is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 13-3 ATS the last 16 vs. the NFC East, and 4-0 ATS the last four in November. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.  

Take New England.

This is my LB play.

Game 473.

5:20 pm pst.

Baltimore is a good team. However, they do  not get the bettors paid, going 1-5 ATS the L6, while the best team in football, New England is on a 4-game ATS win streak, en route to a 6-2 ATS mark on the season. The Patriots not only own the NFL's #1 scoring offense (31.2 PPG), they also possess the League's #1 scoring defense (7.6 PPG). Lamar Jackson is playing well, but Baltimore's passing unit still ranks 18th while their pass defense ranks 26th. New England is 5-1 ATS the L6 on the road, 7-2 ATS the L9 vs. the AFC, and 46-19 ATS the L65 overall. Baltimore is 0-6 ATS the L6 at home, 0-4 ATS the L4 vs. the AFC, and 1-5 ATS the L6 overall. Take the Patriots. Thank you.

Take Denver.

This is my 'DOW.

Game 470.

1:25 pm pst.

With three consecutive losses and no covers, and sitting at 2-5, Cleveland is one of this season's biggest disappointments. With all the big names they have on offense, they average a mere, 19.0 PPG. They now must travel to Mile High and face a Denver "D" that yields just 15.0 PPG at home. Take the Broncos. Thank you.

Take Green Bay.

This is my NFL GOM.

Game 471.

1:25 pm pst.

In what just might be the biggest mismatch on the board this week, the 7-1 Packers go into Carson to take on the 3-5 Chargers. Green Bay is 3-0, both SU and ATS on the road this season, outscoring hosts by 8.0 PPG. LA is 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in Carson. This really isn't a home game for the Chargers and offers them no home field advantage. Davante Adams returns here to further bolster the Packers aerial assault. The Chargers "O" (19.6 PPG) just can't keep pace here. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings in this series, 4-0 ATS then L4 on the road, and 6-2 ATS the L8 overall. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Take Detroit.

This is my OM play.

Game 465.

1:05 pm pst.

Matt Stafford (64.4% CR, 2093 YP, 16/4) leads the 5th ranked passing unit in the NFL and will pick apart an Oakland secondary that ranks 31st and has given up major points to their L6 opponents. The Lions are 5-1 ATS the L6 on the road, 8-2-1 ATS the L11 on grass, and 15-5-1 ATS the L21 vs. losers. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Take Minnesota.

This is my TD play.

Game 459.

10:00 am pst.

As of print, it looks like Patrick Mahomes is going to be sidelined again. Don't fool yourself, Matt Moore is a big step down as his replacement. KC can not run the ball at all to ease the burden on Moore. Flipside, the Chiefs are horrible against the rush and in comes Dalvin Cook and the #3 ranked rushing attack in the NFL. The Vikings are 4-0 ATS the L4 following an ATS loss. The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS the L5 overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Take SMU.

This is my NO LIMIT.

Game 359.

4:30 pm pst.

One of the biggest matchups this Saturday is in the American Athletic Conference. SMU has the opportunity to make a New Year's Day Bowl, while avenging five straight losses to their conference rival, Memphis. Both have explosive offenses, but the Mustangs own the edge as running back, Xavier Jones will control the clock and keep the 93rd ranked run defense of the Tigers on the field and gasping for air come the second half. SMU's fast and ferocious pass rush (second nationally, 36 sacks) will wreak havoc on Memphis quarterback, Brady White. Take SMU. Thank you.

Take ULL.

This is my TD play.

Game 350.

2:00 pm pst.

At 5-2 SU (6-1 ATS), UL Lafayette is looking to take a stronghold of the Sun Belt West. Playing Texas State (2-5 SU, 1-5-1 ATS) will allow the Ragin' Cajuns to do just that. They have won and covered the last six meetings with the Bobcats. Even to my surprise, ULL has the No. 3 ranked rushing unit in college football (286.9 yards per game on the ground). Wanna' talk mismatch? The Texas State defense ranks 118th vs. the rush. The Bobcats only score 18.1 PPG and come into this contest with some key players banged up on offense. Outside of a season opening loss and cover to Mississippi State, Lafayette has held all opponents to 25 or less points. The backfield trio of ball-carriers, Ragas, Mitchell, and Calais (1,641 yards rushing, 22 TD's combined) will flatten the Texas State "D" like a pancake. The Ragin' Cajuns are 4-0 ATS the last four vs. losers, 4-1 ATS the last five vs. conference foes, and 6-1 ATS the last seven overall. Take ULL. Thank you.

Take Kansas State.

This is my BIG 12 GOY.

Game 347.

12:30 pm pst.

There are certain angles that many bettors subscribe to, with one of the most popular being the infamous, "let down" spot. There will be many out there believing that Kansas State is in such a situation after beating Oklahoma last week, 48-41, as a 23.5-point 'dog. However, the Jayhawks bested the Horned Frogs two weeks ago, 24-17 as a 4.5-point underdog. The "let down" would have happened a week ago. With back-to-back wins and covers, I feel K State is brimming with confidence and starting to stride. I know Kansas enters this game on a three-game cover streak and has covered the last three in this series, however, there are new coaches involved this season, looking to start new traditions and this team just falls short on talent. The Wildcats are healthy and match up well here. Behind the legs of running backs, Gilbert and Brown, they have a potent rushing attack (165.4 yards per game on the ground). This will allow dual-threat quarterback, Thompson (1,207 yards passing 7/1 in the air, 204 yards rushing, eight TD's on the ground) to work his magic against the nation's 106th ranked defense (32.8 PPG allowed). The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS the last five at the Jayhawks, 7-3 ATS the last 10 on the road, and 7-2 ATS the last nine overall. Take Kansas State. Thank you.

Take Michigan.

This is my STL play.

Game 323.

9:00 am pst.

After riding a seven-game ATS drought (going back to last season), Michigan has turned it around to become point spread gold, covering four of the last five outings. The team has dominated Maryland, winning and covering the last four meetings by a combined score of 164-34. I am very impressed with coach Harbaugh's prep work, so I am not afraid of a "sandwich" situation, as the Wolverines just decimated the Fighting Irish, 45-14, and have the Spartans up next. Harbaugh won't allow a slip up here. The Terrapins have not fared well in the conference, donning 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS marks, getting shredded by the Nittany Lions, Golden Gophers, Hoosiers, and Boilermakers, posting just 42 points in those matchups, while yielding 185 points. Look for Michigan quarterback, Shae Patterson to have huge performance against the Maryland 116th ranked pass defense. Take Michigan. Thank you.

Take San Francisco.

This is my LVSM.

Game 301.

5:20 pm pst.

San Francisco is just a few points away from covering every game this season (5-2 ATS). The 49ers have become one of the NFL's best teams, especially on the road where they are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. Arizona dropped three in a row (Baltimore, Carolina, Seattle), then won three straight (Cincinnati, Atlanta, NYG), only to come back to Earth last week in a 31-9 thumping at the hands of New Orleans. My point here, they fold when facing good teams. The 49ers are a very good team. The Cardinals won't be able to score against the League's #2 scoring defense (11.0 PPG allowed). Kyler Murray is lining up against the #1 pass "D" in football and is in for a long night here. The Cardinals defense (or lack thereof) is one of the worst in the NFL (27.9 PPG allowed). I see the second ranked rush offense exploding here and opening up Jimmy G and the passing unit. San Francisco is 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played at Arizona. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Take Baylor.

This is my BIG 12 GOM.

Game 306.

5:00 pm pst.

Baylor is undefeated and sitting atop the Big 12. They must keep their foot on the gas as they have TCU, Oklahoma, and Texas the next three outings. The Bears look to exact some revenge from last year's, 58-14 embarrassing loss to the Mountaineers. West Virginia has lost and failed to cover three in a row, yielding 44.0 PPG during the span. This is a true mismatch. The Mountaineer are 2-5 ATS the last seven meetings in this series, 1-5-1 ATS the last seven on the road, and 1-4-1 ATS the last six in the conference. Take the Bears. Thank you.

Take Pittsburgh.

Game 228.

5:15 pm pst.

Miami, at 0-6, is also statistically the worst team in football, ranking 32nd in offense and defense (O 10.5 PPG, D 35.2 PPG). While Pittsburgh is not that much better in the win/loss column (2-4), the Steelers have covered four straight. This is a team and a city full of pride. They also thrive on Monday Nights, going 5-1 ATS the last six MNF games. The Dolphins are 3-12 ATS the last 15 games played on the road, 1-5 ATS the last six games played vs. the AFC, 1-8 ATS the last nine games played on MNF, and 2-7 ATS the last nine games played overall. Take the Steelers. Thank you.

Take San Francisco.

This is my NFC GOM.

Game 270.

1:05 pm pst.

Both teams have emerged to be NFC powerhouses. Both offenses are impressive. But, the big difference here is on the defensive side of the ball where San Francisco's fast and ferocious stop-unit lads the NFC in points allowed (second overall, 10.2 PPG). Carolina', Kyle Allen has done well in Cam Newton's absence. However, the second year quarterback has not had to face a "D" like he will here. Another key mismatch is with the NFL's second ranked rushing attack of the 49ers going up against the League's 23rd ranked run defense of the Panthers. The favorite is 7-3 ATS the last 10 meetings in this series. Take San Francisco. Thank you.

Take Tampa Bay.

This is my BB.

Game 253.

10:00 am pst.

Tampa is a lot better than their record as they are one of the highest scoring teams in the NFL (28.8 PPG). No matter who is at the helm, Tennessee has problems putting points on the board. They won't be able to run the ball against the NFL's top-ranked run defense. The Bucs had a week off to think about their last two outings (both losses), rest, and prepare. Tampa Bay is 4-1-1 ATS the last six on the road. Tennessee is 0-4-1 ATS the last five at home. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

Take Indianapolis.

This is my AFC GOM.

Game 272.

10:00 am pst.

HOT SEAT ALERT: Rumors surround the future of John Elway, Vic Fangio, and Joe Flacco in Denver. No surprise there. Someone that isn't on the hot seat is Jacoby Brissett. The quarterback (1,388 yards passing, 65.0 percent completion rate, 14/3) has Colts fans saying, "Andrew who?" Indianapolis has taken control of the AFC South by no accident. They are playing solid football. The Colts have dominated the Broncos, going 9-2 ATS the last 11 meetings, including 6-1 ATS the last seven at home. Overall, Indy has gotten the bettors paid, going 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the month of October, 6-2-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. the AFC, and 4-1-1 ATS this season. Take the Colts. Thank you.

Take Memphis.

This is my AAC GOM.

Game 117.

4:00 pm pst.

Memphis won and covered the last two meetings with Tulsa by a combined, 88-35. The Tigers enter this contest 6-1 overall. However, they are tied for third in the AAC West. They need every conference win they can get right now. They face a Tulsa squad that is 0-3 ATS at home this season. This is a mismatch on both sides of the ball. Look for quarterback, Brady White (1,884 yards passing, 70.3 percent completion rate, 18/4) and running back, Kenneth Gainwell (830 yards rushing, eight TD's) to shred the 97th ranked (31.0 PPG allowed) of the Golden Hurricanes. The road team is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. Memphis is 8-2 ATS the last 10 conference games. Tulsa is 3-8 ATS the last 11 home games. Take the Tigers. Thank you.

Take Western Kentucky.

This is my STL play.

Game 149.

11:30 pm pst.

Marshall, Marshall, Marshall is in real trouble here as they face an extremely tough defense, defense, defense. Western Kentucky owns the nation's 17th ranked "D", yielding a mere, 17.9 PPG. The Hilltoppers are equally strong against the pass and the run. They are on a four-game win and cover streak, holding those foes to only, 9.5 PPG. The Thundering Herd are a rushing team behind running back, Brenden Knox (719 yards rushing, seven TD's). But so was the Black Knights of Army which mustered just eight points on 137 yards rushing. Western Kentucky is 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. Marshall and 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. conference opponents. Marshall is 0-5 ATS the last five games played at home and 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. conference opponents. Take the Hilltoppers. Thank you.

Take Ball State.

This is my TD play.

Game 176.

11:00 am pst.

Ball State enters this matchup winning three in a row SU and the last four ATS against the likes of NC State, NIU, EMU, and Toledo. Ohio has crushed bettors, riding a four-game no cover streak en route to a dismal, 1-6 ATS mark this season. The Bobcats have no defense, ranking 102nd vs. the pass, 107th vs. the rush, and 95 in points allowed (30.7 PPG). The Cardinals are a very healthy and capable team on both sides of the ball. Look for quarterback, Drew Pitt (1,868 yards passing, 65.7 percent completion rate, 16/6) and his talented receiving corps to light it up while running back, Caleb Huntley (711 yards rushing, five TD's) keeps the Ohio "D: honest. Ball State is 4-1 ATS the last five conference games. Ohio is 0-4 ATS the last four conference games. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

Take Houston.

This is my AFC SOUTH GOM.

Game 453.

10;00 am pst.

Houston is playing some very solid football and enter this contest with confidence after a 31-24 outright win (as a 3.5-point 'dog) over Kansas City last week. Indy too, beat KC two weeks ago and comes in following a bye week. Jacoby Brissett has played well since the departure of Andrew Luck. However, the off week should have the newly named starter a bit rusty. The Colts depend solely on the running game which poses a big issue as they go up against the NFL's 8th ranked run defense. Offensively, Houston (10th passing, 5th rushing, 8th scoring) won't have any problems moving the chains. The 1-2 punch of Deshaun Watson and Carlos Hyde are going to put up points. The road team is 8-1-2 ATS the last 11 meetings in this series. The Texans are 6-2-1 ATS the last nine games played on the road and 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 games played vs. the AFC. Take the Texans. Thank you.

Take Minnesota.

This is my NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 457.

10:00 am pst.

Kudos to the Detroit Lions for covering four straight. But, the party ends here. It will be hard enough for the team playing on a short week, but mentally coming back from a controversial MNF, 1-point loss to division rival, Green Bay Packers, will be fatal. They don't possess the toughest offensive line. In comes the ferocious pass rush and one of the stingiest stop-units in football (6th, 15.5 PPG allowed) of the Minnesota Vikings. Detroit has no defense whatsoever. Minny quarterback, Kirk Cousins has silenced the critics (1,374 yards passing, 69.7 percent completion rate, 9/3). But, it will be the legs of running back, Dalvin Cook (583 yards rushing, six TD's) and the third-ranked rushing unit in the NFL that will take this game over and run with it (no pun intended LOL). The Vikings are 4-1 ATS the last five games played at the Lions and 17-8-3 ATS the last 28 overall games vs. the Lions. Take the Vikings. Thank you.

Take Boise State.

This is my MISMATCH GOM.

game 355.

7:15 pm pst.

Boise State has had their way with BYU, taking the last three in this series, including a 24-7 win and cover in Provo, two years ago. The Cougars starting quarterback, Zach Wilson is out and backup, Jaren Hall (check status) is listed as questionable with concussion-like symptoms. This is a team riding a three-game loss and no cover slide, dropping five of the last six as a home 'dog. Undefeated BSU (6-0 SU, 4-1-1 ATS) should see the return of Hank Bachmeier. But, even if the quarterback doesn't go, backup, Chase Cord (295 yards passing, 6/0) will step in nicely to lead the 11th ranked passing unit in the nation. Look for the Broncos tandem of ball-carriers, Robert Mahome and George Holani (741 yards rushing, six TD's combined) to trample the 123rd ranked run defense of the Cougars. Take Boise State. Thank you.

Take Georgia.

This is my STL play.

Game 376.

3:00 pm pst.

I really do feel bad for Kentucky here. Georgia comes off their first loss of the season, dropping seven spots in the polls. Last week's 20-17 defeat at the hands of South Carolina is going to motivate them this week. They will take out their frustrations and make a statement to the pollsters. The Bulldogs have won nine straight in this series, going 7-2 ATS, covering the last six meetings. The Wildcats are forced to go with Lynn Bowden Jr. (a converted wide receiver) at quarterback, due to injuries. This is not a very good offense (99th, 23.5 PPG) to begin with and now they face the stout, Bulldogs seventh-ranked stop-unit (12.3 PPG allowed). Expect quarterback, Jake Fromm (70.4 percent completion rate, 1,371 yards passing, 9/3) to bounce back in a big way after the worst performance of his collegiate career. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. conference opponents. Take Georgia. Thank you.

Take Missouri.

This is my NO LIMIT.

Game 407.

1:00 pm pst.

Missouri has rattled off five consecutive wins, cashing in for the bettors in four of the five ATS. They face one of the few remaining teams in college football that have yet to cover this season. That's right, Vanderbilt (1-5 SU) is 0-6 ATS in 2019, being outscored by an average of 18.6 PPG. Not only has the Tigers offense moved the ball with authority (38.8 PPG) behind quarterback, Kelly Bryant, but they own the 11th ranked stop-unit in the nation (15.8 PPG allowed). The Commodores took a 34-10 beat down at home last week vs. the 113th ranked, Rebels of UNLV. They are outclassed on both sides of the ball in this matchup. Mizzou is the only team in the SEC East undefeated in conference play. They must earn style points, running up the score against lesser foes. The Tigers are 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played vs. teams with a losing record and 4-0 ATS the last four games played following an ATS loss. The Commodores are 0-5 ATS the last five games played at home and 0-7 ATS the last seven games played overall. Take Missouri. Thank you.

Take LSU.

This is my SEC GOM.

Game 379.

12:30 pm pst.

The second-ranked Tigers own the nation's top-scoring offense (52.5 PPG) on the No. 2 passing unit in college football. They must keep their foot on the gas as they have the Aggies up next and the Crimson Tide in two weeks. They will beat up on a 3-3 (2-4 ATS) Mississippi State team that doesn't score too much (26.8 PPG) and just can't seem to stop anyone from reaching the end zone (27.2 PPG allowed). The key mismatch is Joe Burrow (2,157 yards passing, 79.6 percent completion rate, 25/3) and potent aerial attack of the Tigers going up against the 75th ranked pass defense of the Rebels.LSU is 9-3 ATS the last 12 at the Rebels, 4-0 ATS the last four on the road, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 vs. the SEC. Take LSU. Thank you.

Take Florida.

This is my TOUCHDOWN PLAY.
Game 373.

9:00 am pst.

If it weren't for LSU (42-23 loss and cover last week), Florida would be 7-0 this season. The Gators took last year's meeting, 35-31, rushing for 367 yards. this year, they have a better quarterback at the helm. South Carolina is in a huge "let down" spot after shocking Georgia, 20-17 last week, as a 20.5-point 'dog. To be honest, the Bulldogs had 30 first downs but turned the ball over four times. The Gamecocks 98th ranked pass "D" will get lit up here, while their offense is going to get shut down by the fast and furious, Gators 10th ranked stop-unit (14.1 PPG). Florida is 6-2 ATS the last eight on the road and 7-3 ATS the last 10 overall. Take the Gators. Thank you.  

Take Dallas.

Game 269.

1:25 pm pst.

Dallas is a good team, but, they are not an NFL elite. The Cowboys started the season at 3-0, beating three nobodies (Giants, Redskins, Dolphins, a combined record of 2-12). They then played two solid teams in the Saints and Packers and lost and failed to cover both.Well, the 0-4 Jets most likely will see the return of quarterback, Sam Darnold and tight end, Chris Herndon (check status on both), but it won't matter. The New York "O" ranks 31st in scoring, 32nd in passing, and 30th in rushing. Look for Dak Prescott and company to exploit New York's doormat of a secondary and get back on track here. Dallas feeds on lower tier teams and it doesn't get much lower than their opponent here. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a losing record. The Jets are 1-5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a winning record and 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Take San Francisco.

Game 265.

1:05 pm pst.

A season ago, my opinion on this matchup would have been very different. But, this is 2019 and these two teams are in very different places right now. San Francisco owns the best running game in the NFL, the #2 scoring offense (31.8 PPG), and a top-five defense in every major category. Their defensive line is one of the most feared in the league and will go through the porous, offensive line of Los Angeles and get to the struggling, Jared Goff (7 TD/7 INT). With several linebackers out, including Clay Matthews, the Rams defense is going to get steamrolled by the top rushing tandem in football, running back's, Matt Brieda and Raheem Mostert (576 yards rushing combined). The 49ers are 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. Take San Francisco. Thank you.

Take Seattle.

Game 255.

10:00 am pst.

This line moved from a +2.5 to a -1.5. People are starting to take notice of Russell Wilson's extraordinary season (1409 YP, 73.1% CR, 12/0) and an offense that is putting points on the board. The Seahawks, which last played Thursday, October 3rd, catch the Browns on a short week, getting thumped on MNF, 31-3 at the 49ers. The Cleveland offense should see the return of a player or two but still only accounts for 18.4 PPG. Defensively, they have problems when facing solid rushing offenses and particularly, dual-threat QB's (AHEM). The Seahawks are 2-0 SU and ATS on the road in 2019 and are an overall, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played as a visitor. The Browns are 6-19-1 ATS the last 26 games played vs. teams with a winning record and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played at home. Take Seattle. Thank you.

Take Carolina.

Game 251.

6:30 am pst.

Since losing Cam Newton, Carolina has rattled off three straight wins and covers. Quarterback, Kyle Allen (677 YP, 5/0) and running back, Christian McCaffrey (587 YR, 6 TD's) have united to give the offense a huge spark. The Panthers lost the September 12th matchup and the Buccaneers have dropped two of three since (both SU and ATS). Tampa Bay isn't having any luck running the ball, thus leaving the offense in the hands of the "Jekyll & Hyde", Jameis Winston to face the NFL's 4th ranked pass defense. The Buccaneers are banged-up and might be missing some key cogs in the wheel. The road team is 8-3 ATS the last 11 meetings in this series. The Panthers are 5-1 ATS the last six games played at the Bucs. The Bucs are 1-8-1 ATS the last 10 game played in the month of October. Take Carolina. Thank you.

Take Navy.

Game 123.

4:30 pm pst.

Navy has taken the last four in this matchup SU, going 3-1 ATS. The average margin of victory coming by 10.25 PPG. The Midshipmen come in here brimming with confidence as they bested Air Force, 34-25, a week ago. Tulsa may not recover after squandering a 30-9 lead in last week's exhausting, triple-OT loss at SMU (43-37). Last year's meetings saw Navy tally 395 yards rushing and now they have the addition of dual-threat quarterback, Malcolm Perry. They possess a monster "D" (24th vs. the pass, 14th vs. the run) that will contain the Tulsa one-dimensional offense. On the  other side of the ball, the Golden Hurricanes 84th ranked run defense is going to be trampled by the nation's #1 rushing attack. The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The Midshipmen are 4-1 ATS the last five conference games and 6-1-1 ATS the last eight overall games. The Golden Hurricanes are 2-8 ATS the last 10 games following an ATS win and 3-7 ATS the last 10 home games. Take Navy. Thank you.

Take Army.

Game 191.

4:00 pm pst.

This matchup certainly favors Army as Western Kentucky has no experience facing an option offense. The Black Knights possess the 8th ranked rushing attack in college football and will control the clock and keep the Hilltoppers defense on the field. Western Kentucky does not have an explosive offense (21.8 PPG, 76th passing and 126th rushing) and can not keep pace on the scoreboard here. Backup quarterback, Ty Storey (58.8% completion rate, 5/4) is in for a long day lining up against the tough, veteran pass defense (25th) of Army. The Black Knights are money to bettors, going 4-0 ATS the last four games following a SU loss and 6-0 ATS the last six games on the road. The Hilltoppers are 4-12 ATS the last 16 non-conference games and 1-5 ATS the last six October games. Take Army. Thank you.

Take Duke.

Game 132.

9:30 am pst.

Georgia Tech is point spread poison, failing to cover all five outings this season. As a matter of fact, the Yellow Jackets are riding an eight-game ATS cold streak. This is an offense (or lack thereof) that puts up a mere, 8.0 PPG on the road, where they are outscored by 30.0 PPG. After three consecutive wins and covers, Duke comes off a tough loss at home vs. Pitt. The Blue Devils are looking for a little redemption here for themselves and their fans in Durham against a team they have covered the last five meetings against. Dual-threat quarterback, Quentin Harris (1,007 yards passing, 11/4 in the air, 347 yards rushing, four TD's on the ground) will shred the soft defense of Georgia Tech, while the Blue Devil's stop-unit completely shuts down the Yellow Jackets "O". Georgia Tech is 2-7 ATS the last nine games vs. teams with a winning record and 3-7-1 ATS the last 11 games on the road. Duke is 4-0 ATS the last four games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS the last seven games following a SU loss. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you.

Take Virginia.

Game 109.

5:00 pm pst.

Virginia comes in here off a bye, well-rested and prepared following their first loss of the season. This is a team that has covered five of the last six meetings in this series. They have faced and beaten such notables as Pitt and Florida State, while competing in their sole defeat to Notre Dame. Miami folds when facing good teams as they shown in losses to Florida, North Carolina, and even Virginia Tech. Their only victories came against Bethune Cookman and Central Michigan. The Virginia defense (21st vs. the pass, 17th vs. the rush) will shut down the one-dimensional, passing offense of Miami. The road team is 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS the last four games played at the Hurricanes. The Hurricanes are 2-7 ATS the last nine vs. conference foes. Take Virginia. Thank you.

Take LAC.

This is my HR.

Game 472.

1:05 pm pst.

Denver, at 0-4 this season is on an 0-8 SU and a 1-7 ATS run going back to last season. Their offense is non-existent and their defense has fallen by the waist side. They rank 30th vs. the rush and in comes Ekeler and Gordon. Look for the ground game to open up Phillip Rivers and the passing game. The Broncos are 8-21-1 ATS the last 30 vs. the AFC. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

Take Buffalo.

This is my UOW.

Game 469.

10:00 am pst.

The Bills are money at 3-1 ATS (3-1 SU) and have a top-10 defense in every major category. They will shut down the lackluster, Titans offense. On the other side of the ball, Buffalo's fourth ranked rushing unit will control the tempo and the clock. The Bills are 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road, 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Take Jacksonville.

This is my TD.

Game 457.

10:00 am pst.

Gordon Minshew and Leonard Fournette have rattled off two straight victories and three consecutive covers. Carolina has no offense whatsoever and no defense against the run. Giving the Jaguars 3.5 points is a gift here. The Panthers are 1-4 ATS the last five at home. Take the Jacksonville. Thank you.  

Take Chicago.

This is my NL.

Game 453.

10:00 am pst.

The Chicago Bears have rattled off three consecutive victories, mostly due to the NFL's #2 ranked defense (11.2 PPG allowed). It doesn't matter that Chase Daniel is at the helm. The backup quarterback was 22 of 30, for 194 yards passing, and 1/0 in last week's, 16-6 win and cover over Minnesota. Oakland, under  Derek Carr can't pass the ball (26th) and just can't seem to cross the goal line (19.8 PPG). To contend with the ferocious Chicago defense, you must have both, a solid ground and a solid air attack. Carr is in for a very long day here.The Bears are 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played overall. The Raiders are 0-4 ATS the last four games played in the month of October. Take Chicago. Thank you.

Take UAB.

This is my MISMATCH GOM.

Game 360.

4:00 pm pst.

UAB won and covered the last two years in this matchup, by a combined score of 94-21. They come off their first loss of the season and will seek some redemption here against a winless, Rice team. The Owls can not contend on either side of the ball in this mismatch. Rice is 0-4 ATS the last four at UAB. UAB is 13-3-1 ATS the last 17 at home. Take UAB. Thank you.

Take Arizona.

This is my PAC 12 GOM.

Game 343.

1:30 pm pst.

Giving an Arizona team four points that is riding a three-game SU win streak and that has won and covered the last two meetings in this series, is a mistake. No matter who is at the helm, the Wildcats own top-25 passing and rushing units. Colorado gives up a lot of points. The road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. The Buffaloes are 1-5 ATS the last six conference games and 1-6 ATS the last seven games following a bye week. Take Arizona. Thank you.

Take Auburn.

This is my TD play.

Game 385.

12:30 pm pst.

We see two of the SEC's five undefeated teams square off here. This is the first meeting since 2011, however, the Tigers covered all five matchups between 2001 and 2011, going 4-1 SU. Auburn counters Florida's stout defense with one of the nation's top rushing units. Despite owning the #5 defense in college football, the Gators are going to have a very tough time in the trenches on both sides of the ball. The Tigers possess NFL caliber offensive and defensive lines. Florida quarterback, Kyle Trask is lining up against his first real test and by far his fiercest "D". The Tigers are 6-0 ATS the last six overall games. The Gators are 1-4 ATS the last five conference games. Take Auburn. Thank you.

Take Iowa.

This is my BIG TEN GOM.

Game 355.

9:00 am pst.

Jim Harbaugh was supposed to start a dynasty when he took the head coaching job at Michigan in 2015. He won the Citrus Bowl in his first year. Since, the team has lost three consecutive Bowl games. His reputation as a big game coach is finished. Last week's victory over Rutgers was the team's first cover since the first week of November last year. Now they face an undefeated (4-0), Iowa team that has taken five of the last six meetings in this series SU. The Hawkeyes have a few things they haven't had in recent seasons, a big-time quarterback and a potent offense. Nate Stanley (965 yards passing, 8/0) is a real gunslinger. He also has the luxury of three 200+ yards rushers. The Wolverines defense is good, but does have problems with strong rushing attacks. On the flipside, the mediocre, Michigan offense is going to be in for a long day against the nation's #3 stop unit (8.5 PPG allowed). The underdog is 11-3 ATS the last 14 meetings in this series. Take Iowa. Thank you.  

Take UCF.

This is my FNL.

Game 307.

5:00 pm pst

In what going is going to be a huge AAC showdown, I just don't see Cincinnati keeping pace with Central Florida.Desmond Riddler (815 yards passing, 8/3) is good. However, the quarterback will be outperformed by his counterpart, Dillon Gabbriel (1,338 yards passing, 14/2). But, the biggest difference here will be the superiority of the Knights rushing attack (232.6 yards per game on the ground). They will keep the Bearcats defense on the field and gasping for air come the second half. UCF has won and covered the last three meetings in this series, with the average margin of victory coming by 24.6 PPG. Cincinnati folds like a cheap suit when facing solid opposition, going 5-16 ATS the last 21 games vs. teams with a winning record. The Knights are 6-2 ATS the last eight games on the road, 8-3 ATS the last 11 games vs. conference foes, and 14-6 ATS the last 20 games overall. Take UCF. Thank you.

Take Temple.

This is my AAC GOW.

Game 305.

5:00 pm pst.

Temple has won and covered all five meetings in this series since 2014, including last year's, 49-6 thumping. Not much has changed to think this year's matchup would have any different of an outcome. The Owls own a top-25 passing game and a top-10 defense against the pass. Overall, they account for 30.5 PPG and only allow 17.2 PPG. They are also one of the healthiest squads in the nation. The Pirates pose very little threat offensively, averaging just 21.4 PPG. Quarterback, Holton Ahlers makes some very bad decisions, which is evident in his 4/5 TD/INT ratio and 54.1% completion rate. Temple is 22-6 ATS the last 28 vs. conference opponents, 15-7 ATS the last 22 vs. teams with a winning record, and 40-19 ATS the last 59 overall.

Take Cincinnati.

Game 277.

5:15 pm pst.

The last three meetings in this AFC North rivalry were decided by a total of 13 points, with Cincinnati covering two of the three matchups. Andy Dalton leads the #2 passing unit in the NFL and goes up against the 30th ranked passing defense in the league here. Mason Rudolph has a few more weapons at his disposal. Neither offense is having any success running the ball and both rank near the bottom of the NFL in scoring (Cincinnati 18.0 PPG, Pittsburgh 16.3 PPG). I just can't seem to back the Steelers until they show some signs of life. Take Cincinnati. Thank you.

Take Kansas City.

This is my NFL GOM.

Game 261.

10:00 am pst.

Detroit, at 2-0-1, is one of this season's most pleasant surprises. However, beating a banged-up, Philadelphia team last week is going to prove to be a much easier task than facing a true, NFL powerhouse like Kansas City, this week. Patrick Mahomes leads the top passing unit in football and the third overall scoring offense (33.7 PPG). The Chiefs quarterback is going to shred the 22nd ranked Lions passing defense here. While I like head coach, Matt Patricia, he is overmatched and outclassed by Andy Reid. Kansas City is 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 games played on the road, 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played in the month of September, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the CHIEFS. Thank you.

Take New England.

This is my AFC EAST GOM.

Game 263.

10:00 am pst.

The fans in upstate New York are the happiest they have been since Jim Kelly was at the helm. QB, Josh Allen leads the 3-0 Bills. I hate to burst the bubble for the people of Buffalo, but the teams record was earned against three teams that are collectively, 1-8 (Jets 0-3, Giants 1-2, Bengals 0-3). Granted, the Patriots three opponents (Steelers, Dolphins, Jets) are a combined, 0-9, but, New England is still in a class shared by few. The Patriots (along with the Chiefs) are the cream of the AFC crop. Future Hall Of Famer, Tom Brady leading the NFL's #2 scoring offense (35.3 PPG) is nothing new. But, the New England defense ranks #1 in points allowed, passing yards, rushing yards, and total yards. Patriots defensive coordinator, Brian Flores and head coach, Bill Belichick will have their defense primed and ready to befuddle the Bills offensive line and their young quarterback. New England will not allow the other AFC East, 3-0 team to maintain any confidence. They are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings vs. Buffalo, 16-5-1 ATS the last 22 meetings in Buffalo, 20-8 ATS the last 28 games played on the road, 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played vs. the AFC East, and 42-18 ATS the last 60 games played overall. Take the PATRIOTS. Thank you.

Take Ohio State.

This is my BIG TEN GOM.

Game 195.

4:30 pm pst.

I don't think there's another team in the nation with a record like Nebraska's (3-1) that has a bigger false sense of worth. This is a team that is 1-3 ATS in 2019 with their only good performance coming against NIU. Ohio State is a FG away from being 4-0 ATS. They have covered numbers of 14.5 against Cincinnati, 17 at Indiana, and 38.5 vs. Miami-Ohio. The Buckeyes third ranked offense (53.5 PPG) will steamroll a Cornhuskers defense (25.2 PPG allowed) that hasn't faced a squad anywhere near this level. Look for OSU to gain some style points from the pollsters here and make a statement to the rest of the Big Ten. They are 6-0 ATS the last six games played following a SU win and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played overall. Nebraska is 1-6 ATS the last seven games played in the month of September and 4-12 ATS the last 16 games played at home. Take the BUCKEYES. Thank you.

Take UAB.
this is my CUSA GOM.

Game 191.

4:00 pm pst.

The odds makers are a bit off on this line. I have the number closer to double digits as last year's Conference USA champions, UAB Blazers are the only unblemished team in the league (3-0). Western Kentucky is very beatable, as they proved in losing 35-28 to Central Arkansas, and getting routed, 38-21 to Louisville. The Hilltoppers don't have much of a running game and their starting quarterback, Steven Duncan is out with a foot injury and none of the backups have that much experience. The Blazers have a very fast and talented, stop-unit (18th, 14.0 PPG allowed). And, soph quarterback, Tyler Johnston is a stud, throwing for 746 YP, a 64.3% CR, 8/2 in the air and another 114 YR and one score on the ground. UAB is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played on the road, 5-0 ATS the last vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Western Kentucky is 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home, 3-8 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take the BLAZERS. Thank you.

Take SMU.

This is my AAC GOM.

Game 121.

1:00 pm pst.

I have no problem laying a TD and a hook with an SMU team that has won and covered all four of their outings this season, including last week's, start-to-finish, 41-38 road victory over rival, TCU. South Florida has notched just one win since last October and that was a week ago against South Carolina State. The lackluster, Bulls offense (21.7 PPG) can not keep pace with the well-balanced, "O" of the Mustangs (43.5 PPG). Southern Methodist's quarterback, Shane Buechele (1159 YP, 66.7% CR, 7/4) and running back, Xavier Jones (370 YR, eight TD's) are going to light up the scoreboard so much, they are going to need to replace the bulbs. South Florida is 3-10 ATS the last 13 games played vs. conference opponents and 1-6 ATS the last seven games played at home. Take SMU. Thank you.

Take Green Bay.

This is my HR.

Game 102.

5:20 pm pst.

Philly is one of the NFL's most banged-up teams. Even at full strength, they would have a tough time in this matchup. Not only are they 1-2 SU, but they have yet to cover a game yet this season. Green Bay is 3-0, both SU and ATS, beating some very talented team (Chicago, Minnesota, Denver). Philadelphia, with a ground game that averages under 100 YR per game , relies upon their passing game. Well, they face the #5 pass defense in football here. The Eagles are 0-6 ATS the last six in the month of September. The Packers are 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the month of September. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

Take Navy.

This is my TD play.

Game 103.

5:00 pm pst.

Navy has covered the last four meetings with Memphis, going 3-1 SU. The Midshipmen own the #1 rushing attack in the nation, averaging over 371.5 YPG on the ground. They control the tempo and the clock. Defensively, they rank 2nd in college football, yielding just 8.5 YPG. Dual-threat QB, Malcolm Perry (68.8% CR 2 TD's in the air, 184 YR 5 TD's on the ground) is going to take this game on his shoulders. The Midshipmen are 5-0-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Navy. Thank you.

Take Washington.

This is my MNF winner.

Game 490.

5:15 pm pst.

There is no questioning that the Bears defense is the reason why they aren't 0-2. Their offense is a league-ranked 31st, accounting for 9.5 PPG. The Redskins defense is no world-beater. However, their "O" put up 27 points on the Eagles and 21 points on the Cowboys. Case Keenum can throw the ball. And with several RB's banged up, you can expect a heavy dose of AP (Adrian Peterson). Washington has won seven straight in this series, going 6-1 ATS, with five consecutive covers. Chicago is notoriously slow starters, going 5-12 ATS the last 17 games played in the month of September. Take the Redskins. Thank you.

Take Seattle.

This is my NFC GOW.

Game 482.

1:25 pm pst.

Drew Brees is out leaving the reins in the hands of Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill. HC, Sean Payton said both will see action here. Without Brees, the offense must lean on RB, Alvin Kamara. Well, Seattle's rush defense ranks 4th in the NFL. This along with the fact that Russell Wilson is healthy and playing better than ever, prompts me to lay the points here. The home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series. The Saints are 0-5 ATS the last five vs. teams with a winning record, 0-5 ATS the last five vs. the NFC, and 0-7 ATS the last seven overall. The Seahawks are 17-5 ATS the last 22 in Week 3, 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 vs. the NFC, and 10-4-1 ATS the last 15 overall. Take Seattle. Thank you.

Take Green Bay.

this is my NO LIMIT.

Game 462.

10:00 am pst.

Green Bay has the NFL's #2 defense, yielding 9.5 PPG. Denver has the NFL's 28th ranked offense, posting just 15.0 PPG. Expect a lot of three-and-outs for the Broncos, thus putting Aaron Rodgers on the field to work his magic. The home team is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. The Broncos are 5-14 ATS the last 19 on the road and 1-5 ATS the last six overall. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Take Nebraska.

This is my LVSM.

Game 323.

5:00 pm pst.

The Illinois defense has sprung a few leaks, yielding 23 points to Connecticut and 34 points to Eastern Michigan. This doesn't bode well as they line up against QB, Adrian Martinez and a Nebraska offense that's averaging over 36.7 PPG. The Cornhuskers have won three in a row and five of the last six in this series (4-2 ATS). They are 6-0-1 ATS the last seven vs. conference opponents. The Fighting Illini are 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take Nebraska. Thank you.

Take Central Florida.

This is my TD play.

Game 319.

12:30 pm pst.

Central Florida thumped Stanford,45-27 to earn a 3-0 start, both SU and ATS. The Knights moved up two spots in the polls to #15. They face a Panthers squad they shredded a year ago, 45-14. Not much has changed. Pitt has no ground game whatsoever and relies solely on their passing game. Well, UCF owns one of the top defenses in the nation (13.7 PPG allowed), including the 21st ranked pass defense. The Knights are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played on the road, 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. nonconference foes, and 20-8-1 ATS the last 29 games played overall. Take Central Florida. Thank you.

Take Auburn.

This is my SEC WEST GOM.

Game 367.

12:30 pm pst.

Auburn took each of the last two meetings with Texas A&M and enter this matchup a perfect, 3-0, both SU and ATS. Texas A&M steamrolled Texas State and Lamar but was never in it vs. Clemson. Now, the 8th ranked Tigers are getting too many points against the 17th ranked Aggies. Both teams can play defense. Auburn has one of the top ground attacks in the nation. They will control the clock here. The road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. Take the Tigers. Thank you.

Take Temple.

This is my BLOWOUT.

Game 325.

12:30 pm pst.

Temple enters this contest 2-0 SU and ATS, with a defense that has allowed just 14.5 PPG. Granted, Buffalo was supposed to get spanked by Penn State (45-13), but last week's, 35-17 loss to Liberty exposed just how bad this team really is. Owls QB, Anthony Russo (686 YP, 66.7% CR, 7/2) leads the 5th ranked passing attack in college football. Temple is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 5-0 ATS the last five vs. teams with a losing record, and 21-6 ATS the last 27 following an ATS win. Buffalo is 0-5 ATS the last five nonconference, 0-4 ATS the last four vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-5 ATS the last five overall. Take the Owls. Thank you.

Take Northwestern.

This is WG play.

Game 334.

9:00 am pst.

Michigan State has a good defense, but their offense leaves a lot to be desired. They face a Northwestern team that has won and covered the last three meetings in this series and can eat up a lot of clock with a ground game that is averaging 184.5 YPG. This is a team that upended Utah and had a chance with Stanford. The Spartans are 1-6 ATS the last seven overall games. The Wildcats are 20-6-1 ATS the last 27 conference games. Take Northwestern. Thank you.  

Take California.

This is my DOW.

Game 353.

9:00 am pst.

California owns a stifling defense, allowing a mere, 16.3 PPG, bringing them a 3-0 record and a top-25 ranking (23rd). They possess a stellar secondary. This is going to be fatal for Mississippi frosh QB, Matt Corral, who really hasn't been tested yet. Look for the 1-2 punch of QB, Gabers and RB, Brown Jr. to move the chains here. The Rebels are 1-4 ATS the last five in September, 1-4 ATS the last five at home, 5-15-1 ATS the last 21 vs. teams with a winning record, and 9-24-1 ATS the last 34 overall. Take the Golden Bears. Thank you.

Take Utah.

This is my FNL play.

Game 305.

6:00 pm pst.

USC, which comes off a sloppy loss at BYU, has Utah here then goes on the road to Washington and Notre Dame. Things are going to go from bad to worse for the Trojans as they face a stout, Utes defense that has not allowed an opponent to reach 100 yards rushing. Frosh QB, Slovis tossed three INT's against BYU a week ago. Look for more freshman mistakes here. Utah is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 12-5 ATS the last 17 on the road, and 6-2 ATS the last eight in the conference. USC is 2-8 ATS the last 10 in September, 4-10 ATS the last 14 at home, and 7-19-1 ATS the last 27 overall. Take the Utes. Thank you.  

Take Chicago.

This is my HR.

Game 285.

1:25 pm pst.

 Chicago led the League in scoring defense last season and it's looking like their stop unit is just as string this season.

 Joe Flacco has never been known as quick-footed. The Bears "D" will get to him, especially because the Broncos do not have a solid ground game to keep defenses honest.

 Look for the Chicago offensive line (five sacks allowed last week) to play much better here and allow QB, Mitchell Trubisky to work his magic.

 The Bears are 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 4-1 ATS the last five on the road, and 9-3 ATS the last 12 overall. The Broncos are 0-4-1 ATS the last five in September, 3-9-1 ATS the last 13 at home, and 8-20-1 ATS the last 29 overall. Take Chicago. Thank you.

Take Los Angeles.

This is my DOMINATOR.

Game 263.

10:00am pst.

Pay no mind into the holdout of Melvin Gordon. Austin Ekeler recorded 154 yards from scrimmage (58 rushing/96 receiving) and accounted for three TD's last week.

The Chargers are an AFC elite team. They take on one of the worst teams in the NFC here. The Lions got a Week 1, 27-27 tie with bottom the bottom feeding, Cardinals. LA is one of the best road teams in the NFL, going 7-1 ATS the last eight as a visitor. Detroit is 4-1 ATS the last five at home. TAKE THE CHARGERS. Thank you.  

Take Northern Illinois.

This is my HR.

Game 193.

5:00 pm pst.

 For the life of me, I can't figure out why Nebraska is laying two TD's here. I have this game about 8.5 points.

 The Cornhuskers have yet to cover in 2019. They allowed the Jaguars of South Alabama to post 21 points in the opening week and then blew a 17-point halftime lead in last weeks, 34-31 loss to the Buffaloes.

 The Huskies, which have covered both outings this season, have a ton of talent on both sides of the ball. Let's not forget they are 16-5 ATS the last 21 vs. the Big Ten and 7-3 ATS the last 10 in September. Nebraska tends to be overvalued in Lincoln, going 3-12 ATS the last 15 at home and are slow starters, going 0-5 ATS the last five in September. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

Take Iowa.

This is my TD.

Game 153.

1:00 pm pst.

 Iowa has had Iowa State's number, taking the last four meetings in this series SU, going 3-1 ATS. The average margin of victory is 16.5 PPG.

 The Hawkeyes have some things this season they haven't had in recent campaigns. That is a solid offense, and a big time play caller in Nate Stanley. The quarterback has tossed six TD's and 0 INT's. He also has the tandem of running back's, Mekhi Sargent and Toren Young, who have combined for 257 yards rushing  and two TD's. They will light up the scoreboard here going up against a defense that yielded 26 points to the Panthers of Northern Iowa last week.

 Cyclones quarterback, Brock Purdy does not have the luxury of a ground game to help open up the passing game. So, facing one of the strongest stop units in the nation is going to be fatal once again. Iowa State is 0-4 the last four at home and 0-6 ATS the last six overall. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

Take Kansas State.

This is my LVSM.

Game 111.

9:00 pm pst.

They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Kansas State took a 31-10 loss at the hands of Mississippi State last September. But, these are two very different teams right now.

 Under first year HC, Chris Klieman, the Wildcats are much improved. Granted, they beat up on lesser foes (2-0 SU and ATS), but they have a solid backfield with quarterback, Skylar Thompson (74.3% CR, 363 yards passing, 3/0) and Ball State transfer running back, James Gilbert (218 yards rushing, 3 TD's). They will keep a Bulldogs defense honest that has allowed the Rajun' Cajuns and the Golden Eagles to put up 43 combined points on them. While Mississippi State's "O" is good, they will have a long day lining up against a very stout, K State front seven.

 The Wildcats are 6-2 ATS the last eight on the road, 15-5 ATS the last 20 as an underdog, and 4-0 ATS the last four overall.Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Take New Orleans.

This is my MNF winner.

Game 480.

4:10 pm pst.

New Orleans got caught looking in Week 1, a season ago, as they lost, 48-40 to Tampa Bay. The Saints then went on to win 10 in a row SU, going 9-1 ATS. This is one of the most explosive, experienced, and well-coached teams in the NFL. They are only one of six teams touted to reach double-digit wins (10.5).Veteran gunslinger, Drew Brees will exploit a Texans "D" that is now without Jadevon Clowney (traded to Seahawks). HC, Sean Payton and DC, Dennis Allen will have the defense primed and ready to get to DeShaun Watson through an offensive line that yielded a whopping, 62 sacks last year. Houston is 3-7-1 ATS the last 11 games played on the road. Take New Orleans. Thank you.

Take San Francisco.

This is my HR.

Game 461.

1:25 pm pst.

Bringing in Bruce Arians is not going to help the Buccaneers. The HC had a ton of talent at his disposal with the Cardinals and still went just 15-16-1 the last two seasons. This is a team that allowed an NFC-high, 29.0 PPG last year. They must now face a healthy, Jimmy Garoppolo, who has a slew of weapons in his arsenal. Defensively, the 49ers acquired defensive linemen, Dee Ford and Nick Bosa to assist sack-master, DeForest Buckner. Bucs quarterback, Jameis Winston would be smart to take out some extra life insurance this week. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played in Week 1 of the season. Take San Francisco. Thank you.

Take Minnesota.

This is my BB.

Game 454.

10:00 am pst.

Minnesota is 3-0, both SU and ATS vs. Atlanta under Zimmer. They come off a very strong preseason campaign, and unlike the Falcons have no distractions. The fact that the Vikings are a playoff caliber team that did not make the postseason last year is going to motivate them this year. Minny, had one of the stingiest defenses in the league LY. Their offense, led by Kirk Cousins is going to shred an Atlanta "D" that ranked near the bottom of the barrel a season ago and still has serious issues in their secondary. By the way, Matt Ryan's passer rating plummets on the road. The Vikings are 4-1 ATS the last five games played in Week 1 and 36-16-1 ATS the last 53 games played at home. The falcons are 1-4 ATS the last five games played on the road and 2-6 ATS the last eight games played overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Take Baltimore.

This is my AFC GOM.

Game 459.

10:00 am pst.

Miami is touted to be the worst team in the NFL at 500/1 to win the Super Bowl and win a league-low, 4.5 games. Baltimore had to replace a few key players from last year's #2 scoring defense and are expected to be just as tough. They have a solid ground attack that will steamroll one of the NFL's most porous rush defenses. The Ravens have covered eight straight meetings over the Dolphins, including five in a row in Miami. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Take Wyoming.

This is my TD play.

Game 353.

4:00 pm pst.

There are times to judge a matchup from a previous performance. And, there are times you should not. This is the earlier of the two. Texas State was shellacked by Texas A&M, 41-7, while Wyoming upended Missouri, 37-31, as a 15-point underdog. Granted, the Bobcats faced a better team in the Aggies, however, only eked out eight yards rushing as they yielded over 232 yards on the ground. The Cowboys can run the ball and keep the Bobcats defense on the field and winded come the second half. Wyoming gets the bettors paid, going 7-1 ATS the last eight games played vs. Sun Belt opponents and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Wyoming. Thank you.

Take Central Florida.

This is my TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 359.

4:00 pm pst.

Don't put too much stock in the fact that Florida Atlantic covered a 27-point spread against Ohio State last week. The Owls weren't getting the Buckeye's "A-game," especially after trailing, 28-0 at the end of the first quarter. Now they face the AAC 's strongest representative in Central Florida. The Knights are one of the deepest squads in the nation, offensively, and can put up points on any defense in college football. The 1-2 punch of quarterback, Brandon Wimbush and running back, Adrian Killins Jr. will completely decimate an Owls "D" notorious for being a doormat. Central Florida is 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 6-1 ATS the last seven games played in the month of September, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the CUSA. Take Central Florida. Thank you.

Take Appalachian State.

This is my CRUSHER play.

Game 338.

12:30 pm pst.

Not too much has changed for either of these teams since last September's matchup in which Appalachian State shredded Charlotte, 45-9. This contest puts together the Sun Belt's best team against the Conference USA's worst. The Mountaineers are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball and are 17-2 SU at home since 2016, with the average margin of victory coming by 27.2 PPG. They are 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. the CUSA, 5-0 ATS the last five games played in the month of September, and 6-0 ATS the last six non-conference games played. The 49ers are 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning record, 4-12 ATS the last 16 games played in the month of September, and 2-9 ATS the last 11 non-conference games. Take Appalachian State. Thank you.

Take Syracuse.

This is my UOW.

Game 317.

9:00 am pst.

Don't put too much stock in Maryland's, 79-point drubbing of Howard in Week 1. They will have no such luck against a stellar, Syracuse defense that returns a pair of defensive ends that each had double-digit sacks last year and a veteran secondary. Sophomore quarterback, Tommy Devito was a bit flat in 'Cuse's, 24-0 blanking of Liberty. However, expect a big bounce back here, especially under head coach, Dino Barbers and a very capable roster of ball-carriers. The Orange is 10-3 ATS the last 13 games played on the road. Take Syracuse. Thank you.

Take Georgia.

This is my SEC EAST GOM.

Game 201.

4:30 pm pst.

I don't normally like laying wood like this in the early weeks of the season, but National title contender, Georgia (which shares the SEC with Alabama) must come out of the gate strong and keep their foot on the gas all season, hoping for 'Bama to slip up. This game will be won in the trenches, where the Bulldogs have an overwhelming edge. They have won and covered the last two years over the Commodores, by 28 and 31 points. Lat the points with Georgia. Thank you.

Take Northwestern.

This is my NO LIMIT.

Game 185.

1:00 pm pst.

These two teams only met once in recent years as Northwestern, a 10-point underdog, bested Stanford, 16-6, back in September of 2015. Stanford is one of the least experienced squads in the nation, returning just nine starters to a team that ranked 123rd in rushing last year. The Cardinal does have a stud of a quarterback in K.J. Costello. However, the Wildcats, which have covered eight straight as a road underdog, have a talented running back in Isaiah Bowser (864 yards rushing in eight games last season) and most of a defense that only gave up points to some of the best offenses in the nation a season ago. I am not saying that Stanford is looking forward here, but with Southern Cal on deck (Northwestern has UNLV up next), they might be a bit distracted. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Take Eastern Michigan.

This is my TD play.

Game 179.

12:30 pm pst.

The Eastern Michigan offense returns most of its key components. Coastal Carolina has a new HC, very little experience, no real starting QB, and lost their best defensive player to transfer. The Eagles are a solid team with a very good QB that beat the Boilermakers on the road and only lost by three at the Aztecs. They are 20-6-1 ATS the last 27 games played on the road, 16-5 ATS the last 21 non-conference games, and 25-11 ATS the last 36 games played overall. Take Eastern Michigan. Thank you.

Take Toledo.

This is my SHOCKER play.

Game 171.

9:00 am pst.

Mark Stoops' Wildcats come off their best season in decades, but I don't see how this team can lay double-digits here. They rely solely upon throwing the ball after losing their top ball-carrier, Benny Snell Jr. to the NFL, and only return four defensive starters. This includes their entire secondary. This doesn't bode well as they face a Rockets team that has most of their offense back, including quarterback, Mitchell Guadagni (candidate for MAC Offensive Player of the Year). This is an explosive offense that put up over 50 points six times a season ago, while averaging over 40.3 PPG. take Toledo. Thank you.

Take New England.

This is my SUPER BOWL/GOY WINNER.

Game 101.

3:30 pm pst.

In a matchup that puts together a storied, seasoned, dynasty against the hottest and youngest HC and team in years, many expect a great contest. Both offenses have showed that they can put points on just about anyone. But, on this platform, post-season experience, and moreover, Super Bowl experience plays a huge part. Tom Brady has passed for 2,576 yards with 18 TD's and just five INT's in his eight Super Bowls. Yes, at 41, he is the oldest QB to ever start the Super Bowl. But, the last two years, Tom Terrific has diced up Philadelphia and Atlanta for 971 yards in the February contest and has amassed 15 post-season outings with 300 or more yards passing. The future Hall of Famer stands behind a stout OL, has Sony Michel (931 YR, 6 TD's) and dual-threat RB, James White (425 YR, 5 TD's) in the backfield. White is the NFL's top-catching RB. Gronkowski and Edelman are proven, sure-handed, receivers. Speedster, Chris Hogan is a deep threat. And when you need a PAT or FG, Gostkowski is as good as it gets. Jared Goff had an outstanding season. However, he is just in his third year as a pro and has never been in such a high-pressure situation. He will once again be missing his "go-to" guy in WR, Cooper Kupp, who went down with a knee injury late November, resulting in Goff accounting for just six TDP's over the last seven games. Todd Gurley, also had a great season, but we still don't know if he is back at 100%. This offense had problems running the ball against the Saints two weeks ago. Defensively, the Rams front-seven is very good most of the time, but there are times when they are very erratic, springing leaks. The Patriots defense has turned it up when they needed to and has gotten better as the season progressed. This game will come down to a few key things... First, which Head Coach will prepare his team better and outsmart his counterpart. Next, who can establish the run. Both have solid running attacks but Sony Michel has the momentum and the New England "D" is stronger vs. the rush. Lastly, mistakes. Whoever commits less penalties and doesn't turn the ball over, will prevail. In my opinion, to win the Super Bowl, you must have a seasoned HC, and a veteran QB. After losing last year's Super Bowl to a one-hit wonder, expect the "Bill and Tom" show to leave no doubt about their legacy. Taker the Patriots. Thank you.  

Below are some prop bets I feel have value:

Longest FG of Game 47.5 Yards-OVER -110.

Shortest FG of Game 26.5 Yards-UNDER -110.

Will the Patriots Score a TD in 1st Qtr-YES -110.

Total Gross Passing Yards by Brady-282.5-OVER -110.

Total Rushing Yards by Brady 1.5 yards-OVER +130.

Longest Rush by Brady 2.5 Yards-OVER +140.

Total TD Passes by Brady 2-OVER -110.

Total TD Passes by Brady 2.5-OVER +170.

Total Rushing Yards by Michel 76.5-OVER -110.

Total Rushing Attempts by Michel 17.5-OVER -110.

Total Receptions by White 4.5-OVER -150.

Total Receptions by Gronkowski 3.5-OVER -110.

Will Gronkowski Score a TD-YES +170.

Total First Downs by Patriots 23.5-OVER -110.

Will Goff Throw a 3rd Qtr TD Pass-YES +140.

Will Goff Throw a 4th QTR TD Pass-YES -120.

Total Receptions by Gurley 3.5-OVER -110.

Total 3rd Down Conversions by Rams 5.5 OVER EVEN.

Take New England.

This is my AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER.

Game 313.

3:40 pm pst.

I am not looking to take away anything from the Chiefs. But, to be honest, I watched last week's matchup with the Colts. From the opening kickoff, Kansas City seemed to dominate. But, Andrew Luck was off, making some poor passes, he fumbled the ball away, receivers dropped some easy catches, and career money kicker, Adam Vinatieri missed both a FG and a PAT. I think the Colts more lost the game, than did the Chiefs win it. This game is going to be cold. Early reports were forecasted to be in single-digits, which compelled bettors to play the Under. As of print, the updated forecast is approximately, 20 degrees. The Patriots are in a rare, underdog role for the first time since 2014 with Tom Brady at the helm, which will motivate them. These two teams played a mid-November, barn-burner, with the Pats prevailing, 43-40. We all know how good the Chiefs offense is, ranking #1 in points scored. And, Pat Mahomes has a banner year (66.0% CR, 5097 YP, 50/12), but guys, he is a first-year starter playing against a dynasty with the best HC/QB combo ever. The New England defense has tightened up. Now, they will allow yards but, they are going to throw different schemes at Mahomes and force the young QB to make some mistakes. The Kansas City "D" is a doormat, ranking 31st vs. the pass and 27th vs. the rush. Agreed, Josh Gordon is gone and Rob Gronkowski isn't what he once was. However, rookie RB, Sony Michel (931 YR, 6 TD's), who ran for 129 yards and 3 TD's last week, will exploit a rush defense ranking last, yielding 4.96 YPC in the regular season. There is a lot of talk about New England's lack of success on the road. NONSENSE! The weather will hinder the KC passing game. Mahomes' youth will be a factor. And the Brady/Belichick vast post-season experience will play a major role. The Chiefs are 2-9 ATS the last 11 playoff games and 2-5-1 ATS the last eight overall games. The Patriots are 8-3 ATS the last 11 playoff games and 38-17 ATS the last 55 overall games. TAKE NEW ENGLAND. Thank you.

Take New Orleans.

This is my NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER.

Game 342.

12:05 pm pst.

These two teams met on November 4th at the Superdome, which turned out to be one of the best games of the season, as New Orleans got the win and cover, 45-35. Los Angeles will be playing their first road playoff game under their new regime. The Rams and their top-five offense did score less, while their defense allowed more, on the road this season. This is also the first time the team is an underdog all year, which may affect their confidence as a young team. Jared Goff's numbers fall drastically away from home as the QB has a 22/3 TD/INT ratio at L.A. Memorial Coliseum, but as a visitor, has a 10/9 ratio, not to mention he owns a 1/5 ratio vs. playoff teams and as you know, will be without his "safety blanket", WR, Kupp here. Playing at home, in front of a friendly crowd, in one of the loudest venues in sports, definitely benefits the Saints, which in the Sean Payton/Drew Brees era, are 6-0 in the Superdome, in the playoffs. Last week, the Rams "D" only had to contain one offensive threat against the Cowboys, in RB Ezekiel Elliott. The Saints possess a slew of talented receivers, along with the tandem of RB's, Kamara and Ingram. Alvin Kamara is going to be the key here, not just as a ball-carrier, but also coming out of the backfield as a receiver. This is just too many playmakers for the Rams defense to cover. As far as QB's go, Drew Brees is one of the best ever and has not just been on this platform, but has won here as well. New Orleans also accounts for some truly, time-consuming drives, keeping defenses tired, and offenses off the field. Also note, CB, Talib gambles a bit, and being that he is not 100%, Brees will exploit him. Defensively, the Saints leave a lot to be desired in the air, but own the 2nd ranked stop-unit vs. the rush. The Rams offense passes off the run. The tandem of Gurley and Anderson will need to establish the ground game, and will get their yards, especially with DT, Rankins sidelined here, but wonder boy HC, Payton will make adjustments. The Home Team is 7-0 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS the last seven playoff games. New Orleans is 5-2 ATS the last seven January games. TAKE THE SAINTS. Thank you.

Take Los Angeles.

This is my HIGH ROLLER.

Game 305.

10:05 am pst.

With all respect to a New England team that just captured their 10th straight AFC East title, let's face it, that's nothing special. In the last month and a half, when they had to win, Los Angeles did, sporting a 6-1 SU record, with victories over such notables as Pittsburgh, Kansas City, and Baltimore. The Patriots erratic defense is in for a long day here. The tandem of RB's, Gordon III and Ekeler, and the trio of receivers, Allen, Williams, and Williams is bad enough, but with veteran QB, Philip Rivers (68.3% CR, 4308 YP, 32/12) at the helm, the day just got even longer for the New England "D". On the flipside, to contain Tom Brady, you must hurry the QB. The duo of DE's, Bosa and Ingram will spend so much time in the Patriots backfield, they might as well wear their uniform. The Chargers "D" got to the very mobile, Lamar Jackson a week ago, so the flat-footed, Brady is a sitting duck here. New England does not have the services of WR, Gordon and TE, Gronkowski is just a shadow of his former self. The Bolts have covered all games played outside of L.A. this season and have covered their last five straight as an underdog, winning those five games outright. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Take Dallas.

This is my BOOKIE BUSTER.

Game 303.

5:15 pm pst.

Los Angeles has been the team to beat since Week 1. And for the first half of the season, the Rams seemed unstoppable. Since the second half began, teams have uncovered ways to beat them. They dropped three of their final eight contests, to the Saints, Bears, and Eagles. Two of those teams (Saints & Eagles) the Cowboys faced and beat just in the last five weeks. The LA defense is weak against the run. Well, the NFL's top-rusher, Ezekiel Elliott (1434 YR) lines up against them here. The RB is salivating as he knows the Rams ranked dead-last in the League, getting plowed for 5.1 YPC. Dak Prescott has a playoff win now to get the pressure off his shoulders. The Cowboys "D" is tough (20.2 PPG allowed). And they are money as an underdog, covering six of the last seven in the role. RB, Todd Gurley (slated to play) was left out the last two games and will be rusty. Jared Goff has yet to prove himself in the post-season. Los Angeles is 1-4-1 ATS the last six home games, 1-5 ATS the last six playoff games, and 0-4-1 ATS the last five games vs. teams with a winning record. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Take Indianapolis.

This is my NO LIMIT.

Game 301.

1:35 pm pst.

Kansas City finished the campaign at 12-4. However, the Chiefs have been point spread poison, covering just once over their last seven outings entering this game. This is a team that has crushed bettors in the post-season as well, going 1-9 ATS their last 10 playoff appearances and 1-11 SU their last 12. But, let's talk about the present day. QB, Pat Mahomes does lead the top scoring offense in football. Let's be honest, the "O" hasn't been as explosive without Kareem Hunt. WR, Tyreek Hill is the unit's biggest threat. He must face a much-improved, Indianapolis secondary and an overall defense that has tightened up, and finished the season ranked 10th, yielding only 21.5 PPG. The biggest weakness for KC is their defense (31st vs. the pass, 27th vs. the rush). This doesn't bode well as Andrew Luck is having a career year (67.3% CR, 4593 YP, 39/15), behind an OL that has allowed just 16 sacks. The QB, along with standout WR, T.Y. Hilton, and RB, Marlon Mack will shred the Chiefs "can't stop anybody" stop-unit. The Colts are 7-1 ATS the last eight games played at the Chiefs and 11-4 ATS the last 14 overall games vs. the Chiefs. Take Indianapolis. Thank you.

Take Clemson.

This is my NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER.

Game 151.

5:00 pm pst.

Clearly, the 2 best teams in college football face each other here for the National Title. Both are 14-0 SU. Both are 8-6 ATS. Both own a top-5 offense. And both own a top-5 defense. The difference here is that most teams are afraid of Alabama before they even step on to the field. However, Clemson having faced them the L3 years, have no fear of Saban of his Crimson Tide squad. Speaking of which, 'Bama alum, Dabo Swinney is 8-1 SU and ATS his L9 Bowl/Playoff games. Nick Saban is 3-6 ATS his L8 Bowl/Playoff games. The Alabama defense is tough but has given up 21, 28, and 34 points in consecutive contests, entering this matchup. The Tigers are 13-3 ATS the L16 on neutral sites. The Crimson Tide is 1-5 ATS the L6 in January. Take Clemson. Thank you.

Take Philadelphia.

This is my BOOKIE BUSTER.

Game 107.

1:40 pm pst.

Making LY's Super Bowl Champions and the Super Bowl MVP, an underdog in January, is a mistake. Philly is on a roll and has a lot to prove which makes them a very dangerous team. Not to take anything away from Chicago, but they have a QB making his post-season debut. The Bears live and die by their defense. It is their offense that is less than stellar. This is a problem because the Eagles "O" is soaring. Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS the L8 road playoff games. Chicago is 2-5 ATS the L7 home playoff games. Take the Eagles. Thank you.

Take Los Angeles.

This is my HIGH ROLLER.

Game 105.

10:05 am pst.

There's a few things you must do to win in the post-season. You must stop the run and you must win on the road. Well, the Chargers rank 9th vs. the rush (top-10 in every major defensive category) and are 7-0 SU and ATS in games not played in LA this season. The 24-10 loss to Baltimore 2 weeks ago was Los Angeles' worst offensive output this season. Expect Philip Rivers to exact some revenge here behind one of the best offensive units in football. QB, Lamar Jackson will not have the element of surprise here as LA now knows what to watch for. I don't see the young, Jackson keeping pace with the veteran, Rivers in the post-season forum. The Road Team is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. The Ravens are 1-5 ATS the L6 at home. The Chargers are 21-8-1 ATS the L30 on the road. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.