Michigan

Consensus GOM.

Game 270.

4:30 pm pst.

The first 12 games of the season Georgia looked unbeatable. They then ran into Alabama in the SEC Title game and got shellacked. Many naysayers out there said it was because they knew they would be in the CFP no matter what. Folks I say that is a bunch of hogwash. The winner has a psychological edge in case of a title game rematch. My friends, Jim Harbaugh is a sharp guy and he will take a page from the SEC Title game scheme. Giving a striding team like Michigan which is riding a five-game win streak (both SU & ATS), more than a touchdown is a gift. The pressure here is all on the Bulldogs. Michigan has the offensive personnel to keep the UGA defense busy and the defense to frustrate the Bulldogs offensively. And Georgia is 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a SU loss. Take Michigan plus the 7.5 here. Thank you.

Wisconsin.

Bookie Buster

Game 262.

7:30 pm pst.

Wisconsin began the season struggling, dropping three of their first four outings, both SU and ATS. The Badgers turned things around rattling off seven consecutive victories SU, going 5-2 ATS. They then fell flat against the Golden Gophers back on November 27. This is a smart, resilient with a sharp coaching staff. Arizona State showed very little consistency this season. The only bright spot was the contributions from their ball-carriers. Things don’t look to promising here as their two top running backs, White and Trayanum are not playing here. Also not suiting up for the Sun Devils are two of their starting cornerbacks and their starting center. The Badgers own a top-10 stop-unit in every major category, leading the nation in yards allowed (241.4) and rushing yards allowed (65.8). Overall, the stifling “D” ranks 6th, yielding a mere, 16.4 PPG. When Wiscy has the ball, they will run, run, run, keeping the ASU defense on the field and come the 2nd half, back-peddling and gasping for air. Head coach, Paul Chryst will have his team hungry and excited to earn a big Bowl victory. The Sun Devils are 3-8 ATS the last 11 Bowl games played, 3-9 ATS the last 12 games played on neutral sites, and 2-7 ATS the last nine games played vs. nonconference opponents. Take the Badgers. Thank you.  

Minnesota.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 246.

7:15 pm pst.

Golden Gophers head coach, PJ Fleck fired offensive coordinator, Mike Sanford Jr. and replaced him with 2021 Mountaineers offensive analyst, Kirk Ciarocca. Ciarocca is not participating here but has provided behind-the-curtain intel into West Virginia’s offense. This is going to further bolster the nation’s 9th ranked scoring defense of Minny. The Mountaineers also lost some key personnel to opt-outs. The Golden Gophers are intact. This is an outstanding team that overcame losing their three top ball-carriers, one after the other and still managed to be one of the most-potent rushing units in the land. They will keep the ball on the ground, control the tempo and the clock, keeping the Mountaineers defense on the field, and more importantly, their offense off of it. When West Virginia has the ball, they will rely upon the pass. Well, Minnesota counters with the 11th ranked passing defense in college football. The line here should be at least a TD and perhaps almost nine points. Keep in mind that this team thumped Colorado, Purdue, Nebraska, Maryland, Northwestern, Indiana, and Wisconsin this season. And their last two postseason appearances, they shellacked both Georgia Tech and Auburn. The Mountaineers are 3-13 ATS the last 16 Bowl games played, 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 3-14-1 ATS the last 18 games played in the month of December. The Golden Gophers are 4-0 ATS the last four Bowl games played, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played as a favorite, and 5-0 ATS the last five games played in the month of December. Take Minnesota. Thank you.  

Auburn.

Game 238.

9:00 am pst.

While Houston is a talented squad, playing in the ACC is a far cry from playing in the SEC. Bo Nix is gone and TJ Finley is the future of Auburn. The quarterback has shown poise and consistency. He also has running back, Tank Bigsby and a slew of outstanding receivers. Yes, the Tigers are on a four-game slide. But they have been competitive facing tougher opposition. The Cougars faced two solid foes this season. The Red Raiders and the Bearcats, losing both by a combined 73-48. Oh, and failing to cover in both too. The team is without all-universe player, CB/WR/KR/PR, Marcus Jones. No longer will they have good field position and will have a hole in the secondary. This game will be won in the trenches where Auburn owns a huge advantage with the bigger, stronger, stouter trenchmen. Houston is 1-5 ATS the last six games played on neutral sites, 0-6 ATS the last six games played in the month of December, and 0-4 ATS the last four Bowls games played. Take the Tigers. Thank you.

New England.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 472.

10:00 am pst.

With a win here, New England will lock up the AFC East. These two teams met a few weeks ago with the Patriots prevailing, 14-10. That game was won in the trenches where the Bills are outmanned and outclassed. Bill Belichick and the much-sharper New England coaching staff prepared a perfect game plan for that contest. And will come in here with a different scheme but still very effective. Josh Allen is in for another long and unproductive day here facing one of the NFL. The Bills “O” took a big hit with the loss of WR, Cole Beasley. Coming off a loss, following a seven-game win streak (SU and ATS) expect the Patriots to win here with authority. Buffalo is 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the AFC, 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-4 ATS the last four game splayed following a SU win. New England is 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the AFC, 5-0 ATS the last five games played as a favorite, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played at home. Take the Patriots. Thank you. 

Colts.

HR play.

Game 415.

5:15 pm pst.

If you recall, a season ago, Arizona flatlined down the stretch going 3-6. Well history repeats itself here and this season, they dropped four of their last seven outings. Kyler Murray hasn’t been the same since returning from his ankle injury and with WR Deandre Hopkins sidelined, the offense has shown very little consistency. Just the opposite for Indy which has won seven of their last nine SU and eight of their last 11 ATS. The Colts are very much alive in their division, coming off a big win vs. the Patriots last week. And if you’re concerned about them being on the road, Don’t be, they are 5-0 ATS the last five games played as a visitor winning some big games on the road vs. such notables as San Francisco and Buffalo. Jonathan Taylor and the 2nd ranked rushing unit in the NFL will take this game on his shoulders, or should I say his legs and demolish the beat-up, ‘Zona run defense. The Cardinals are 3-8 ATS the last 11 games played at home. Take Indy here. Thank you.

Green Bay.

LVSM.

Game 454.

1:30 pm pst.

I don’t care how depleted a team is, when you lose to the Raiders, you’ve hit rock bottom. Playing with just five days to rest, heal, prepare, and travel is tough. When you still have a slew of players in COVID-protocol that can’t practice and not knowing if they’re gonna’ play is even tougher. But the toughest thing of all is having to go into Lambeau and face the Packers and their loyal fans. The only 11-win team in the NFL still needs victories to lock up the NFC’s top seed and home field come the playoffs. Aaron Rodgers is on the cusp of being the teams all-time leader in TD passes. Look for this game to get uglier than Patrick Mahomes’ brothers tik tok videos. The Browns are 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. the Packers and 1-4 ATS the last five games played overall. The Packers are 20-8 ATS the last 28 games played following an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS the last five games played as a home favorite. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

Georgia State.

Game 232.

11:30 am pst.

Somehow, Ball State made a Bowl game. One of the worst offenses in the nation and their defense isn’t too far behind. Following a mid-season surge, they went just 1-5 ATS their last six games and really didn’t face any solid opposition. Riding 6-1 SU and ATS hot streaks, Georgia State owns the nation’s 8th ranked rushing unit that will control the clock and the tempo here. Defensively, the Panthers held some very good teams in check. They played Auburn and ULL very tough and beat Coastal Carolina. Georgia State is 8-1 ATS the last nine games played following a SU win and 5-1 ATS the last six games played as a favorite. Ball State is 1-4 ATS the last five Bowl games played and 1-4 ATS the last five games played overall. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

49ers.

TNW.

Game 451.

With no real offensive threats to rely on since Derrick Henry went down, the Tennessee “O” has been nonexistent. Ryan Tannehill can not carry the load all by himself and has started to crack committing multiple turnovers on a regular basis. Well, in comes Nick Bosa and the mighty San Francisco defense. The 49ers are in a key position to earn an NFC WC spot, winning five of their last six. Jimmy G has the offense humming like a 57” Chevy. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS the last five games played as a road favorite, 5-2 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

UNT.

Game 292.

12:30 pm pst.

A few angles seem to get us paid a bit more regularly guys. I’m talking about hot streaks and momentum. North Texas…5 straight wins…6 straight covers. And coming off a 45-23 outright win against an undefeated UTSA team as a 9.5-pt ‘dog. This team is brimming with confidence to not just compete, but to win here. Folks, this is the No.3 ranked rushing team in the nation lining up against a very pedestrian run defense. The Mean Green have five, yes five very talented ball-carries and as of post, all five are expected to play. The Red Hawks are 2-5 ATS the last seven as a fav, 4-13 ATS the last 17 nonconf, and 2-6 ATS last eight vs. Conference USA. Take the points with UNT here. Thank you.

Army.

Game 226.

5:00 pm pst.

Mismatch alert! Army boasts the nation’s 2nd ranked rushing attack, averaging over 286.9 YPG on the ground, resulting in the 27th ranked scoring offense, accounting for over 33.6 PPG. Missouri is a one-dimensional offense, solely relying upon the run. However, running back, Tyler Badie (1,612 yards rushing 14 TD’s on the ground, 330 yards receiving four TD’s in the air) will not be active here. The next ball-carrier only has 150 yards rushing this season. Coming off a loss to the Midshipmen will motivate the Black Knights to finish off the campaign on a high-note. The Tigers are 2-9 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning record, 0-4 ATS the last four games played vs. nonconference opponents, 3-14 ATS the last 17 games played in the month of December, and 8-21 ATS the last 21 games played overall. Take army. Thank you.

Rams.

BLOCKBUSTER.

Game 328.

4:00 pm pst.

The Rams won at the Cardinals on MNF. They are just one GB or Arizona in the conference. Seattle, at 5-8 mathematically can still make the postseason. But most-likely must win-out to do so. L.A. has Minny, Baltimore, and San Francisco remaining on the schedule. So, they really need a victory here to boost their confidence as it looks to be the least competitive foe left. The 3rd ranked passing offense in the NFL will shred the 32nd ranked pass defense here. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS the last six meetings in this series, 4-9 ATS the last 13 games played on the road, and 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played vs. the NFC. Take the Rams. Thank you.

Wyoming.

Game 221.

12:30 pm pst.

Kent State is not playing a conference opponent here and are a bit overmatched. They can run the bal. However, Wyoming counters with a very tough defense (22.5 PPG allowed). They too can run the ball and enter this matchup with confidence knowing they are 2-0 against MAC teams this season. The Golden Flashes are 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on neutral sites, 2-6 ATS the last eight nonconference games played, and 1-6 ATS the last seven games played as a ‘dog. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Green Bay.

LVSM GOM.

Game 315.

1:25 pm pst.

Sports fans, whether it is Lamar Jackson or Tyler Huntley at the helm, trust me, it won’t matter. Guys, this Ravens offense is mediocre at best. Just over the last month or so, they were outscored by Miami, Pittsburgh, and Cleveland once. None of those teams are powerhouses. In their two victories over the last five games, they eked out a 16-13 win over Chicago and a 16-10 win in an earlier meeting with Cleveland. Guys, this team is not a contender. But Green Bay is a contender. Aaron Rodgers will pick apart the leagues 31st ranked pass defense. This just might be his best performance of the season. On the flipside, whether it be on the ground or in the air, the Packers “D” will completely shut down the already stunted Ravens offense. With NFC reps, the Buccaneers and the Cardinals both also sporting 10 wins, the Packers want this win. My friends, since the Week 1 loss, Green Bay is on an 11-1 ATS run. They are money going 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played as a favorite, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played overall. The Packers win by double-digits. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

ULL.

Game 218.

6:15 pm pst.

ULL hasn’t tasted defeat since the first week of September. And won’t here. The Ragin’ Cajuns have won 12 straight contests behind a well-balanced offense and the nations 11th ranked defense. Not only do they outclass the struggling Thundering Herd but they also have the luxury of playing in front of a friendly New Orleans crowd. With an outstanding QB and three talented ball-carriers, Lafayette will control the clock and the tempo here, taking a page from Marshall’s last opponent, in which they suffered a 53-21 loss at the hands of Western Kentucky. The Thundering Herd are 2-6 ATS the last eight games played against teams with a winning record, 2-8 ATS the last 10 games played following a SU loss, and 0-4 ATS the last four games played in the month of December. Take the Ragin’ Cajuns. Thank you.

New England.

HR play.

Game 311.

Guys I have been rooting for Jonathan Taylor all season. And much of Indy’s success is because of the running back. But New England comes in here with the NFL’s 3rd ranked rushing defense and the overall top-scoring stop-unit. They are a swarming and stifling squad that will frustrate the Colts offense and slow down Taylor. During their seven-game SU and ATS winning streak the Pats “D” has allowed a mere, 10.4 PPG. On the flipside, Mac Jones is playing well beyond his years. He’s got a 70% completion rate on the campaign and over the last seven games, just two INT’s. He doesn’t make mistakes and the offense wears down opponents BIG TIME. The wrong team is favored here folks as the Patriots are 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the Colts, 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 6-1 ATS the last seven games played following a bye week, and 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. Take New England. Thank you.

Utah State.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 216.

4:30 pm pst.

Sports fans, don’t get trapped into thinking that a mid-level Pac-12 team is 7.5 points better than a Mountain West champ. BECAUSE THEY ARE NOT! I’m not looking to take away anything the 13th ranked rushing attack of the Beavers. They will move the chains on the ground. But being that they don’t pass the ball with any real success, it makes it very easy for the Aggies and their very smart coaching staff to figure them out offensively. Butthe real mismatch here is between the nations 15th ranked passing unit of Utah State and the 87th ranked pass defense of Oregon State. QB, Logan Bonner is a stud, with 36 TD’s 3500+ yards passing, he and his talented quartet of receivers will absolutely shred the Beavers secondary. The Aggies are red-hot. They have dropped just one game since mid-October, riding runs of 7-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. They’ve covered their last three in the underdog role, winning all three outright. I like Utah State straight up here but I will take 7.5 points folks. Take the Aggies. Thank you.

BYU.

Game 212.

12:30 pm pst.

BYU is a very good team that has faced and beaten quite a few other good teams in 2021. And with all respect to UAB, they really only stepped up once this season, resulting in a 56-7 beating at the hands of Georgia. For starters, there’s the potent 1-2 punch of 2500-yard passer Jaren Hall and 1400-yard rusher Tyler Allgier. Then there’s the fact that the team is going to come out firing on all cylinders because their head coach, the very well-liked, Kalani Sitake, just signed a long-term contract, and the team is excited about it. Then, there’s the elephant in the room folks. The coaching staff and the team will go out of their way to prove to pollsters that they deserved a New Years Day Bowl. Guys, don’t forget, this is a team that went 5-0 against Pac-12 opponents this season. They are also 7-2 ATS the last nine games played against Conference USA foes. Take BYU. Thank you.

Kansas City.

TNW.

Game 301.

5:20 pm pst.

Kansas City has won six in a row SU while covering four straight. During their last six games, the Chiefs defense has forced 16 turnovers while yielding a mere 10.9 PPG. Los Angeles is getting plowed for a ton of points and seem to lose to any solid foe. The last two months the Chargers have been defeated by the Ravens, Patriots, Vikings, and Broncos. With KC’s defensive issues behind them we must side with the hot-handed Chiefs. They are 7-1 ATS the last eight games played at the Chargers, 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 games played in the month of December, and 22-10-1 ATS the last 33 games played vs. the AFC West. The Chargers are 19-40-1 ATS the last 60 games played at home, 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played as a home ‘dog, and 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. AFC opponents. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

Arizona.

MNF GAME OF THE YEAR.

Game 130.

5:15 pm pst.

This is an ideal opportunity for the division-leading Cardinals to further distance themselves from the rest of the NFC West. Kyler Murray is back and shook off the cobwebs in last week’s win and cover in Soldier Field. What impressed me most in the quarterbacks first game back is that he committed zero mistakes. It’s now evident that head coach Sean McVay is in way over his head. To make matters worse, there is no possible way for the team to compete in this matchup. L.A. is on a 1-3 run SU and a 1-5 run ATS. Sure, they can pass the ball. But, ‘Zona counters with one of the NFL’s best pass defenses and ranks 4th overall in the league, allowing just 18.7 PPG. Mistakes, turnovers, penalties, and a weak pass rush will prove to be fatal for the Rams here. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played on the road. Arizona is 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. NFC West opponents. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

Tampa Bay.

HR play.

Game 126.

1:25 pm pst.

This is the time of year when cream rises to the top in the NFL. Over the course of the week, I keep hearing one thing. The Bills are a very good road team. Looking closely at their away record, they beat the Dolphins and the disappointing Chiefs, lost to the Titans, lost to the Jaguars, then beat two last-place doormats in the Jets and Saints. Now they must travel to Tampa to take on a Bucs team that has won and covered three straight. Tom Brady will dissect and decimate the overworked and overrated Buffalo defense here. On the flipside, Josh Allen is in for a long day lining up against a Tampa Bay “D” that is back at full strength and ranks 2nd against the rush. Without a successful ground game to crutch on, Allen is going to be a sitting duck here. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS the last four games played at home, 12-3-2 L17 games played in the month of December, and 5-2 L7 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you.

New Orleans.

CONSENSUS play.

Game 107.

10:00 am pst.

Riding a five-game SU slide, if the Saints are going to salvage their season and save head coach, Sean Payton’s job, they must win here. No matter who is under center, New Orleans is expected to see the return of running back, Alvin Kamara and a few other key players. Let’s be honest, facing the 32nd ranked scoring defense of New York would remedy any offenses ailments. New Orleans is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played following an ATS loss and 17-8 ATS the last 25 games played as a road favorite. Take the Saints. Thank you.

Dallas.

NFC EAST BB.

Game 117.

10:00 am pst.

The general public moved on the WFT team early this week because they have won and covered four in a row. But they will not be able to keep pace on the scoreboard with Dallas’ high-flying “O”. The Cowboys got back a few key cogs in the wheel on both sides of the line of scrimmage last week when they beat New Orleans on the road, 27-17. Dak Prescott and the 4th ranked aerial assault will shred the WFT’s 30th ranked pass defense. Throw in the mix the stellar 6th ranked rushing attack controlling the clock and the tempo and the Cowboys are going to hand the WFT and general public a big loss here. Dallas is 7-0 ATS the last seven games played vs. the NFC, 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 games played overall. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Army.

Game 104.

12:00 pm pst.

QUESTION: What do you get when you match up two of the best rushing attacks in the nation that neither throws the ball? ANSWER: 15 straight unders WOW! But the lowest total (34.5) that there has been in at least a decade, oddsmakers have made a pre-empted strike here guys. I don’t know about the total folks. But I do know that Army has faced and beaten better teams this season. And they score 15 PPG more and allow about 7 PPG less than Navy. The Black Knights are 5-1-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this series, 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 games played in the month of December, and 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played vs. nonconference foes. The Midshipmen are 1-6-1 ATS the last eight games played vs. INDEP and 0-6 ATS the last six games played vs. nonconference opponents.

Steelers.

TNW.

Game 101.

5:20 pm pst.

Minnesota is struggling. With back-to-back losses to San Francisco and Detroit, things have gone from bad to worse for the team. To add insult to injury (no pun intended), OT, Darrisaw and WR, Thielen will be sidelined here. Their only true offensive weapon, RB, Cook (check status) is questionable. Defensively, the Vikings have gotten plowed, allowing a total of 94 points the last three contests. Pittsburgh’s numbers aren’t too much more impressive. But QB, Roethlisberger (check statis) is most-likely playing and with the team coming off a win against rival Baltimore, the come in here with some momentum. The Steelers are 35-16-3 ATS the last 54 games played as a ‘dog and 13-5 ATS the last 18 games played as a road underdog. The Vikings are 2-7 ATS the last nine games played at home and 1-9 ATS the last 10 games played as a fav. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you.  

Patriots.

MNF Winner.

Game 475.

5:15 pm pst.

Guys the Bills are a very good team. But they are not a great team. At least not yet. Not crazy about the coaching staff and not crazy about the quarterback. The staff has made some poor late-game decisions and Allen, he has the physical talent, but guys, he’s a lunkhead. He takes too many unnecessary chances. Bill Belichick and his coaching staff knows this and will throw a lot of different schemes at him, shake him up, and force turnovers. The Patriots “D” rank No.1 in the NFL, allowing just 15.8 PPG and as importantly, have snagged 25 takeaways. Mac Jones is not, I repeat, is not a lunkhead. Apparently, you get a much better education in Alabama than you can in Wyoming. Guys every game he matures more and more and he has the confidence of six straight wins and for us we have the confidence of six straight covers. Not only that but New England also has the luxury of an ever-improving running game to keep the Buffalo defense honest. The Patriots are 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. the AFC while the Bills are 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. I like New England outright here. But I will take the points anyway. Thank you.

49ers.

LVSM play.

Game 473.

1:25 pm pst.

Very simply, San Francisco is starting to heat up while Seattle is as cold as ice. One team has won and covered three straight while the other has not. Jimmy Garoppolo has the 49ers offense purring like a 57’ Chevy. They have accounted for over 95 points during their three-game hot streak. Meanwhile, Russell Wilson and the dismal Seahawks (lack of) offense has tallied a total of 28 points over their three-game skid. Look for the NFL’s 6th ranked rushing attack to exploit the 23rd ranked run defense and allow Jimmy G to open up the passing game. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played as a road favorite. Seattle is 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC West. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Eagles.

HR play.

Game 461.

10:00 am pst.

Philly, my friends, believe it or not is just a half-game out of the final Wildcard spot in the NFC. The Jets, guys, the only thing the team is showing up for is to give QB, Zach Wilson some playing time following is month long hiatus. LOL. Sports fans, you don’t have to love the Eagles here as much as you have to hate the Jets. New York hasn’t won back-to-back games since a few opponents pulled their starters late last December. Wilson is in for a very long day trying to shake off the rust against the ever-improving Philadelphia pass rush. But the biggest mismatch is between the Eagles No.1 ranked rushing offense and the Jets 27th ranked run defense. Jalen Hurts, who it looks like should play here (check status), will put up his best numbers of the campaign both in the air and on the ground as he lines up against the NFL’s worst scoring defense. Going back a ways, Philly is 5-0 both SU and ATS in this series. Take the Eagles here. Thank you.

Michigan.

Game 322.

5:00 pm pst.

Guys, with all respect to Iowa, they more or less got to the conference championship sneaking through the back door.  Yes, they are 10-2, I am not looking to take away anything from that. However, Michigan, not only did they get here coming through the front door, they kicked the damn door in. They demoralized Ohio State last week. As a matter of fact, since their sole loss of the season to MSU, they’ve rattled off four straight wins and covers. As good as the Hawkeyes defense is, the Wolverines “D” is even better. This is going to play a huge part here folks as Iowa’s offense is stagnant. They own some of the ugliest numbers in college football. On the other hand, Michigan is 20th in total yards, 13th in scoring, owns a solid passing attack, and the nation’s 10th ranked running game. The Hawkeye’s two losses (Purdue and Wisconsin) were against two teams that played very aggressive defensively, each holding Iowa to just seven points. The Wolverines will do the same with their stellar stop-unit and offensively with the tandem of combined 2100-yard rushers, Haskins and Corum, will control the clock, the tempo, and wear down the overworked Hawkeyes “D” here. Take Michigan. Thank you.

Alabama.

Game 318.

1:00 pm pst.

We all know how good Georgia is. But the Bulldog’s can have a poor showing here or even lose and still own a spot in the CFP. Alabama has a sharper head coach, a better QB, and defensively matches up well against the rush, which is Georgia’s bread and butter. And most of all, thy need the win. The Bulldog’s really haven’t had to face too many well-balanced, aggressive stop-units. ‘Bama has taken six in a row SU in this series. The underdog is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this rivalry. The Crimson Tide is 4-1 ATS the last five games played as an underdog and 11-3 ATS the last 14 games played following an ATS loss. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Oklahoma State.

Game 308.

9:00 am pst.

Oklahoma State is 5th in the polls. The top-four teams all have tough games this weekend. Two of them (Georgia and Alabama) face one another. Someone has to lose. With a good showing here, the Cowboys can very well move up in the rankings and have a shot at the CFP. Okie State has won and covered the last two meetings in this series including October’s matchup, 24-14. The Cowboys are just a half-point away from covering 10 straight contests. The Bears have trouble with aggressive defenses and are primarily a one-dimensional offense, relying on the run. The Cowboys counter with the nation’s 5th ranked run defense. Overall, Oklahoma State’s “D” leads the country in sacks (49) and tackles for loss (99). They will spend more time in the Baylor backfield than the Baylor players. The Bears are 2-10 ATS the last 12 games played at the Cowboys and 2-5-1 ATS the last eight games played on fieldturf. The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played in the month of December and 20-6-1 ATS the last 37 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take Oklahoma State. Thank you.

Dallas.

TNW.

Game 301.

5:20 pm pst.

Losing their last two outings, 7-4 Dallas must turn things around here to both, widen their lead in the division and to keep pace with the conference teams sporting eight and nine wins. Don’t put too much stock in the fact that the Cowboys are dealing with COVID-19 issues. Dan Quinn takes the reins on the sidelines and most of the squad is still intact. They should see the return (check status of all players) of receiver, Lamb. And whether Elliott plays or not, Pollard can handle the load on the ground. But it will be Prescott who shines here facing the leagues 23rd ranked pass defense. Dallas is 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. the NFC, 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road. New Orleans is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played vs. the NFC, 3-8 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-3 ATS the last four game splayed at home. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Minnesota.

Consensus.

Game 267.

1:25 pm pst.

Minny is red-hot, winning and covering three in a row and four of their last five games. Dalvin Cook will run amok here against the NFL’s 20th ranked run defense. The only games San Fran has covered in Santa Clara since 2019, were against the LAR. They are 0-8 ATS against every other visitor. They are also 3-10 ATS the last 13 games played as a fav and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS win. Minnesota is 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road and 6-2 ATS the last eight games played as a road ‘dog. Take the Vikings. Thank you.

Green Bay.

NFC GOM.

Game 270.

1:25 pm pst.

Making Green Bay an underdog in Lambeau Field is a huge mistake. The Packers are an NFC elite team for sure. And following a two-game skid, if the team is going to turn things around, it is this week. Their defense allowed the most points since Week 1 last week. Playing a sliding Rams offense that has accounted for 26 total points the last two games will remedy this. LA hasn’t covered since mid-October and making them a fav here truly is a huge mistake. They are 0-7 ATS the last seven games played vs. Green Bay and 3-8-1 ATS the last 12 games played in the month of November. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. the NFC and 5-1 ATS the last six games played as an underdog. Take the Packers. Thank you.

New England.

HR.

Game 252.

10:00 am pst.

Winners of five in a row both SU and ATS, New England is the hottest team in football. Mac Jones is maturing at a rapid rate. The offense has established the run like the Patriots teams of old. And their defense ranks #1, allowing just 16.1 PPG. Tennessee is a very good team. However, since the absence of Derrick Henry, their offense went from scoring 34 to 28, to 23, to just 13 points in last week’s loss. Because they can’t move the chains on the ground, you’re seeing a ton of three and outs and even more interceptions by Tannehill. Thus, resulting in an overworked and tired defense. New England is 4-1 ATS last five games played vs. the AFC, 4-0 ATS the last four games played as a favorite, and 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the November. Take the Patriots. Thank you.

Pittsburgh.

BC.

Game 263.

10:00 am pst.

Following four wins and a tie, Pitt lost a heartbreaker last weeks to LAC. Not only do the Steelers want to redeem themselves, but they have revenge in their hearts and their minds here. The Bengals took both meetings a season ago. Pittsburgh is 16-4-2 ATS the last 22 games played in Cincinnati, 4-1ATS the last five games played on the road, and 34-15-3 ATS the last 52 games played as an underdog. Take the Steelers. Thank you.

Cal.

TD.

Game 203.

7:30 pm pst.

Two teams that know one another very well come down to turnovers. Cal is one of the best on the nation at both ends of the field. The Golden Bears defense is much tougher and certainly more reliable. They are 12-1 ATS the last 13 games played as a road underdog, 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. conference opponents, and 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the Golden Bears. Thank you.

Notre Dame.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 207.

5:00 pm pst.

Notre Dame moved up to #5 in the polls. With Alabama slated to play Georgia in the SEC championship and Michigan facing Ohio State this week and then one of those two teams heading for a meeting with most likely a streaking Wisconsin team, something I preach all season long… style points are huge right now for Notre Dame. Both sides of the line of scrimmage they outclass a Stanford team that has already thrown in the towel, dropping six in a row both SU and ATS. Take the Fighting Irish. Thank you.

Kentucky.

BB.

Game 165.

4:30 pm pst.

Between Kentucky’s stout defense and the 1-2 offensive punch of QB, Levis (2,444 Yards Passing, 23 TD’s) and RB, Rodriguez (1,150 Yards Rushing, 8 TD’s) the Wildcats will get another win and cover. Things didn’t go so well the last time Louisville faced and SEC representative (Mississippi 43-23 on opening day). Kentucky is 4-1 ATS the last five games played at Louisville. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

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Oregon State.

VIM GOM.

Game 203.

12:30 pm pst.

Oregon is very beatable. Oregon State is a remarkable 8-0 ATS as a Pac-12 road ‘dog for head coach Jonathan Smith since 2019. The Ducks dominated this series until last November. The tide is turning folks. The Beavers are 5-1-1 ATS the last seven games played at the Ducks, 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take Oregon State. Thank you.

Penn State.

CONSENSUS GOM.

Game 223.

12:30 pm pst.

The wheels have completely come off the MSU wagon folks. Now facing a very tough PSU defense (15.5 PPG allowed) their struggling offense is in real trouble. Doesn’t matter who is at the helm for the Nittany Lions, they will devour the Spartans 130th ranked pass defense in the air. Penn State is 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 9-2 ATS the last 11 games played as a favorite, and 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played overall. Take the Nittany lions. Thank you.

Utah State.

CONSENSUS Play.

Game 123.

10:00 am pst.

New Mexico, which is 1-10 ATS this season, also ranks dead-last in the nation in both total offense and scoring. If you’re keeping track, that’s 130th. The dismal unit averages just 238.8 YPG and 12.4 PPG. This is a team that has tried five quarterbacks this campaign. All the Lobos want is for the season to be over. Now they must face an Aggies team that comes in here upset and motivated. After winning five in a row SU and four straight ATS, Utah State got crushed last week at the hands of Wyoming. Because of that defeat, they must win here and get some help for a piece of the MW Mountain. Very rare for this time of year, but they are 100% healthy and have quarterback, Bonner (2,930 yards passing, 59.7% completion rate, 27-10 ratio) and running backs, Tyler JR. and Noa (1,203 yards rushing, nine TD’s on the ground. The trio will control the clock and wear down the already-overworked and tired UNM defense that has been scorched for 102 points just over the last three contests. The Aggies are 4-0 ATS the last four game splayed in this series. Take Utah State. Thank you.

Kansas State.

ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE Play.

Game 121.

9:00 am pst.

Guys, the line in the Kansas State/Texas matchup is off. The game should be a pick ‘em or even K State minus one. The reason why the line is off…Wildcats quarterback, Skylar Thompson is banged-up and as of posting he is listed as questionable. Two things here folks…#1 backup QB, Will Howard is no stranger to starting. Last year he was in nine games and this year four games. #2 …guys, Kansas State’s success has very little to do with their offense. Their 7-4 record is all about their defense. Thy allow just 21.0 PPG in one of the highest-scoring conferences in college football. And my friends, their defense is 100% healthy. No injuries there. Texas is a trainwreck, dropping six in a row both SU and ATS. Speaking of against the spread. K State is 10-3-1 ATS the last 14 meetings in this series. No matter who is the helm, the Wildcats with this game outright. But I will take the FG here. Thank you.  

Buffalo.

High Roller.

Game 109.

5:20 pm pst.

Sitting in 2nd place in the AFC East and coming off their worst loss of the season, Buffalo…if they want to make a run at the division and moreover, the conference, they must win here. On both sides of the line of scrimmage, the Bills outclass the Saints. Lay the points here.

Dallas.

Consensus play.

Game 108.

1:30 pm pst.

 Dallas comes off their poorest offensive effort this season. After covering their first seven games, the Cowboys have failed to cover two of their last three. On the other hand…the wheels have completely come off the Las Vegas wagon guys. Losing five of their last seven SU, six of their last eight against the spread. I don’t know what’s worse, their offense which has averaged 14.3 PPG their last three or their defense which has allowed 32.0 PPG over that same three-game span. Tough number but Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott, and Tony Pollard are too much for Vegas to handle. The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS the L4 following a SU loss and 6-1 ATS L7 at home. I lean on Dallas here. Thank you.

Detroit.

Game 106.

9:30 am pst.

Sports fans, granted there’s no glitz or glamor in the Bears/Lions Thanksgiving Day matchup. Guys, living in Vegas, we have a melting pot of residents with a large population hailing from the Windy City. Funny thing…I haven’t seen a single person sporting a Bears jersey in over a month and a half. They are riding a five-game SU losing streak, going just 1-4 against the spread. And their once-feared defense has sprung a leak bigger than the hole that iceberg left in the Titanic. Wanna’ know something funny about the 0-9-1 Detroit team? They are getting us bettors paid. They’ve covered six games this season. One thing for sure, with back-to-back 130-plus yards performances, running back D’Andre Swift has Lions fans excited for the first time in years. He will get the bulk of the load here, slowing the pace, and keeping the Bears defense on the field. Chicago is 3-8 ATS the last eleven vs. the NFC North, 1-4 ATS the last five in the month of November, and 2-5 ATS the last seven on fieldturf. I’m taking the 3.5 points with Detroit here. Thank you.

NIU.

Consensus play.

Game 104.

4:00 pm pst.

NIU clinched the MAC West and is headed to the conference title game on December 4th with the winner of the Miami-Ohio/Kent State matchup. The Huskies have won seven of the last eight games SU and are 6-2 ATS coming into this contest. The Broncos are on a 1-3 SU run failing to cover all four of those games. The ‘dog is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in this series. WMU is 2-8 ATS the last 10 games played at NIU, 0-4 ATSA the last four games played against conference opponents, and 0-4 ATS the last four games played as a favorite. NIU is 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 games played vs. WMU, 5-2 ATS the last seven games played vs. conference foes, and 3-1-1 ATS the last five games played at home. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

Miami.

High Roller play.

Game 457.

10:00 am pst.

These two AFC East rivals may sport similar record, but folks, trust me, they are worlds apart. The Jets, come account for a dismal, 17.9 PPG. Which would be funny if it weren’t true. Wanna hear a real joke? 36-year-old Joe Flacco is getting the start. Is this déjà vu? Weren’t we here before? This is not an ideal time for the not-so-swift-a-foot quarterback to make a comeback. The Dolphins “D” has tightened up quite a bit over recent weeks holding Tyrod Taylor and Lamar Jackson to a total of one TD, snagging four INT’s while tallying nine sacks. The New York defense or lack thereof ranks 32nd sports fans. Guys, I can go on and on here. But keeping it simple, it doesn’t matter who is at the helm for the Jets. They don’t have the personnel to compete with any opponent above the Pop Warner level. Miami has covered nine of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry. Here are some Jets ATS numbers for you. They are 5-17 ATS the last 22 games played vs. AFC East opponents, 2-8 ARS the last 10 games played as an underdog, and 0-5 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a losing record. Take Miami and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Carolina.

Blue Chip.

Game 460.

10:00 am pst.

Cam Newton back under center. Christian McCaffrey back on the field. And a defense ranking 6th in the league, yielding a mere 19.3 PPG. Throw in the mix the WFT is in a big “let down” mode here following their first win in over five weeks, and this is an ideal time for Carolina to prevail. The WFT is 1-4 ATS the last five games played on the road and 1-5 ATS the last six games played as an underdog. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

Baltimore.

Consensus play.

Game 461.

10:00 am pst.

Even if Chicago sees the return of defense stars, Mack and Jackson, the Bears are still no match for Lamar Jackson and the powerful Ravens offense. Especially coming off a loss and having several extra days to rest and prepare. Chicago is 5-16-1 ATS the last 22 games played following a bye week and 1-4 ATS the last five games played as a home ‘dog. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Green Bay.

NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 467.

10:00 am pst.

Aaron Rodgers had a week to work off the rust. And he knows all too well how to handle the Vikings defense. Moreover, the Packers defense has become one of the toughest and stingiest in the league. They have shut down better offensive units than this one. Green Bay is 3-1 ATS the last four meetings in this series, 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road, 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. teams with a losing record, 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC North, and 20-8 ATS the last 28 games played overall. Take the Packers. Thank you.

SMU.

High Roller.

Game 327.

12:30 pm pst.

Giving a team like SMU double-digits is a gift folks. Yes, Cincinnati will be able to pass the ball. However, the Bearcats won’t be able to run against their stout front-7. Don’t let it slip your mind that the Mustangs account for over 41.6 PPG and can both throw and run the ball with efficiency here. Cincy is on an 0-4 ATS slide playing some very close game with teams they should have thumped. The underdog is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series. Take SMU. Thank you.

Michigan.

Consensus.

Game 343.

12:30 pm pst.

Following their sole defeat, Michigan has won and covered their last two games. Coach Harbaugh knows his team must keep their foot on the gas and get a big win here if they are to have a shot at the CFP. The 9th ranked; one-loss Wolverines have six teams in front of them in the polls that also have one loss. The Michigan defense has been outstanding. DE, Hutchinson and LB Ojabo each have 10 sacks and will get to the mistake-prone Maryland quarterback, Tagovailoa who has been sacked 15 times just over the last five games. But the biggest mismatch is between the 25th ranked scoring machine of the Wolverines offense (34.7 PPG) going up against the 102nd ranked doormat of a Terrapins defense (31.4 PPG allowed). Michigan is 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. Maryland and 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. conference foes. Maryland is 0-5 ATS the last five games played as an underdog and 0-6 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the Wolverines. Thank you.

Minnesota.

Big Ten Game of the Month.

Game 357.

12:30 pm pst.

Minnesota has been through quite a bit this season. Their three top running backs all went down, one after the other. And yet, they still rank 22nd in the nation in rushing. After rattling off four consecutive wins and covers, the Golden Gophers have lost and failed to cover their last two outings. Well folks, no need for any concern because pulling in to Memorial Stadium to face the Big Ten’s cellar-dweller, the Indiana Hoosiers, is just what the doctor prescribed to get back on track. Indiana, which is 0-7 in conference play this season, own some of the nation’s poorest offensive numbers. And lining up against college football’s 18th scoring defense here, things will go from bad to worse for the Hoosiers. Defensively, they won’t be able to stop the ball-carrying tandem of Thomas and Irving, who have teamed up for 981 yards rushing and five TD’s in the backup roles. The Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the Hoosiers, 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 games played on the road, and 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 games played in Big Ten play. Minny wins by double-digits folks. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you.

Wake Forest.

Oddsmakers Mistake.

Game 361.

9:00 am pst.

Clemson fans, I wouldn’t get too excited over the teams three-game SU win streak. For us bettors, the Tigers are still point spread poison, donning a 2-8 ATS mark this season. Wake Forest, which is 6-0 in conference play, has a chance to lock up their first ACC Atlantic title since 2006. And trust me folks, nothing would be sweeter than clinching it this week against the team which has dominated this league the last several seasons. The Tigers defense is good. But in three of their last four contests (let’s throw out the Huskies, they stink), their stop-unit has allowed 71 points. The Demon Deacons own the nation’s No.2 scoring offense, averaging 44.7 PPG. Sam Hartman, who has tallied 3,163 yards passing, a 60% completion rate and 30/8 on the ratio is much more reliable than his counterpart, DJ Uiagelelei. Wake Forest has shaken up and gotten to much better quarterbacks this year folks. The team is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings with the Tigers and 13-6 ATS the last 19 games played as a road ‘dog. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS the last four games played vs. teams with a winning record and 2-8 ATS the last 10 games played in the favorite role. Take Wake Forest. I like them on the money line but I will take the 4.5 points here. Thank you.

Iowa State.

Bookie Buster.

Game 401.

9:00 am pst.

With all respect to the Sooners, they just don’t look as good as their record. They are going up against one of the nation’s toughest, stingiest, and most-frustrating defenses (20.5 PPG allowed) here. The Cyclones are equally string against the pass as well as the rush. Let’s be honest, Oklahoma’s quarterbacks are starting to crack. Iowa State is very well-balanced offensively. Brock Purdy (2,441 yards passing, 73.4% completion rate, 15/6 ratio) and Breece Hall (1,172 yards rushing, 16 TD’s on the ground) are not intimidated by OU at all. They have already faced and beaten this team. Hall’s legs will allow Purdy to open up the passing game and exploit the 104th ranked pass “D” of Oklahoma. The Cyclones are 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the Sooners, 20-9-1 ATS the last 30 games played as an underdog, and 20-7 ATS the lats 27 games played following a SU loss. Take Iowa State. Thank you.

New England.

High Roller play.

Game 311.

5:20 pm pst.

It takes some teams a very long time to bounce back from a 43-3 beating. Atlanta had just four days. They now must face the striding New England team riding a four-game win and cover streak. The Patriots are resembling the team old, establishing the run and playing very good defense. Mac Jones will pick apart the Falcons Swiss-cheese like “D” just as Dak Prescott did on Sunday. New England is 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. Atlanta, 26-10 ATS the last 36 games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played in the month of November. Take the Patriots. Thank you.

Green Bay.

Ten Dimes Play.

Game 260.

1:25 pm pst.

As of post, it looks like Aaron Rodgers (check status) will be under center here. Russell Wilson (check status) is also expected to play. But in all sincerity, when Wilson was at the helm, while putting up some good individual numbers, he just couldn’t do enough to help his team play with any consistency. Green Bay is money, covering eight straight outings. Rodgers and his arsenal of weapons will dissect the leagues 29th ranked pass defense here. Wilson and the sputtering Seattle “O” will have problems with the 7th ranked pass “D” of the Packers. Green Bay has taken four of the last five meetings in this series SU and all five ATS. They are also 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. NFC opponents. Seattle is 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games played at Lambeau Field and 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played on the road. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Cleveland.

Bookie Buster.

Game 243.

10:00 am pst.

The oddsmakers know the general public are jumping on the Patriots bandwagon once again and are looking to trap you here. However, rookie quarterback, Mac Jones is going to be on the run all day against the ferocious Browns defense here (15.0 PPG the last three outings). There is also no way New England will be able to even slow down the NFL’s top-rushing attack (160.2 YPG on the ground). Cleveland is 5-1 ATS the last six games played as a road underdog. New England is 4-11-1 ATS the last 16 games played following a SU win. Take the Browns. Thank you.

Buffalo.

AFC East GOM.

Game 247.

10:00 am pst.

Guys, just for the record, I am not a big fan of laying nearly two TD’s with any NFL team. But, when you’re touted as the AFC’s top team coming off the most embarrassing loss of the campaign, and you’re playing the Jets…well folks, things change drastically for me. The AFC East race is much closer than many anticipated. And with other conference reps like the Titans and the Ravens sporting just two losses, the three-loss Bills must make a move here. Guys, Ken O’Brien, Richard Todd, and yes even Joe Namath could be under center and New York would still struggle to put points on the board. The Jets average a laughable, 18.0 PPG and now must face a pissed-off Bills defense that tops the league in just about every category. Coming off their poorest offensive output since late-December 2019, Josh Allen and the Buffalo offense will go out to make a statement here. And what a statement it will be against the NFL’s biggest doormat. Here’s some ATS numbers for you…the Bills are 3-0-1 the last four games played following an ATS loss, 5-1-1 the last seven games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 9-2-1 the last 12 games played in the month of December. I would give you some Jets ATS stats, but you would need a box of Kleenex. LOL. Take Buffalo here under 2 touchdowns. Thank you.

Tampa Bay.

High Roller.

Game 251.

10:00 am pst.

Tom Brady is on track to have one of the best seasons of his storied career. Suffering just their second loss of the campaign, the Buccaneers had a bye week to rest, heal, and prepare. The No.1 passing attack in the NFL faces the 32nd ranked pass defense. Not only will The WFT get picked apart in the air, they also won’t be able to move the chains at all. The WFT’s only strength is on the ground. Well, the Bucs are 2nd in the league defending the rush. One more item, guys. The WFT has committed 13 turnovers while Tampa Bay has 15 takeaways. The Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS then last eight games played following an ATS loss. The WFT is 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you.

Washington State.

Bookie Buster.

Game 167.

7:30 pm pst.

This is way too many points to give the striding Washington State team which enters this contest winning four of their last five game SU and six in a row ATS. The Cougars defense has stepped up and they now have a confident, talented quarterback at the helm. They are 5-0 ATS the last five games played at the Ducks and 10-1 ATS the last 11 overall games vs. the Ducks. Take Washington State. Thank you.

Nevada.

Oddsmakers Mistake Play.

Game 223.

7:30 pm pst.

Nevada has won and covered the last three meetings with San Diego State. The Wolfpack matchup up quite well with the Aztecs. Defensively, they can contain the SD State running game. Offensively, quarterback, Carson strong (3,197 yards passing, 70.7% completion rate, 25/7 ratio) and the nation’s third ranked aerial attack will shred the Aztecs in the air which will allow running backs, Toa Taua and DeVonte Lee (718 yards rushing, seven TD’s combined on the ground to move the chains on the ground and keep the San Diego State honest. The Wolfpack are 9-0 ATS the last nine games played as an underdog, 7-0 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS loss, and 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take Nevada. Thank you.

Utah State.

MWC GOM.

Game 221.

7:30 pm pst.

The Aggies have owned the Spartans, winning the last eight meetings SU, going 7-1 ATS. Utah State owns the top-spot in the MW Mountain and with the lowly cellar-dwelling Wyoming and New Mexico remaining on their schedule, they must win here to ensure the division crown. They enter this contest on a four-game SU win streak covering their last three outings. SJ State has only covered twice this season in the favorite role and those were against the atrocious, UNLV and Wyoming squads. They just don’t have the personnel to compete offensively here (21.4 PPG). The 1-2 punch of quarterback, Bonner (2,486 yards passing, 61.3% completion rate, 21/9 ratio) and receiver, Thompkins (1,314 yards receiving, eight TD’s) will dissect the SJSU secondary. Take Utah State. Thank you.

Boston College.

Consensus.
Game 131.

12:30 pm pst.

Guys, Boston College’s stats are a bit skewed. Their team leader, Phil Jurkovic missed most of September and all of October. The quarterback returned last week to spark the Eagles to a 17-3 win and cover over the Hokies. He’s back and will start in his own highlight reel here against the Yellow Jackets very weak defense. My friends, Georgia Tech possesses some of college football’s ugliest stats defensively. When they have the ball, they must line up against one of the nation’s toughest stop-units. BC allows a mere, 18.8 PPG. Tech is riding a three-game SU slide, are 1-4 the last five overall, both SU and against the spread. Between Jurkovic and the ferocious and frustrating Boston College defense, I like the Eagles outright but I will take the two points here with a BC team that is 20-9 ATS the last 29 games played as a road ‘dog and 25-12-1 ATS the last 38 games played in conference play. The Eagles soar folks. Take Boston College. Thank you.

ECU

High Roller.

Game 173.

9:00 am pst.

The Pirates, on both sides of the line of scrimmage, are playing some great football, resulting in five consecutive covers for us bettors. Now guys, I am not looking to take away anything from the Tigers. I mean this is a team 4-1 at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium with their only home loss coming at the hands of the undefeated Road Runners. In all honesty, Memphis will be able to throw the ball here. But that’s all they will be able to do. They can’t run the ball at all. ECU is much more well-balanced offensively. They’ve got a 2,000-plus yard passer and a running back approaching 1,000 yards rushing. Together, Ahlers and Mitchell will keep the Memphis “D” honest and back-peddling. Being that they can and will run the ball with authority, the Pirates will control the clock and the tempo here. They are 11-2 ATS the last 13 meetings with the Tigers, 7-0 ATS the last seven games played in conference play, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played as a road ‘dog. Take the points and take your bookmakers money with ECU. Thank you.

Baltimore.

Blue Chip Play.

Game 113.

5:20 pm pst.

It really doesn’t matter who is under center, Miami just can’t score. And scoring is what you need to do to compete with the top-ten offense (yards, passing, rushing, scoring) of Baltimore. To make matters worse for the Dolphins, they possess some of the poorest defensive numbers in the NFL. The Ravens are 9-0 ATS the last nine meetings with the Dolphins, 19-9 ATS the last 28 games played vs. AFC opponents, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played following an Ats loss. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Pitt.

Consensus play.

Game 116.

4:30 pm pst.

Pitt has been money, going 7-2 SU and more importantly, 7-2 ATS this season. Kenny Pickett (3,171 yards passing, 68.7% completion rate, 29/3 ratio) and the 4th ranked passing attack of Pitt will pick apart the 86th ranked pass defense of UNC. The Tar heels can score. However, they face one of the toughest stop-units in the nation (22.7 PPG allowed). North Carolina is 1-7 ATS the last eight games played following an ATS win 1-5 ATS the last six games played as an underdog, and 2-6 ATS the last eight games played on the road. Pitt is 4-0 ATS is 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. teams with a winning record, 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. conference foes, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the Panthers. Thank you. 

Buffalo.

Bookie Buster Play.

Game 101.

4:00 pm pst.

Buffalo can score points as the Bulls average 33.7 PPG behind one of the best rushing attacks (25th, 205.4 YPG on the ground) in college football. The backfield consists of three talented ballcarriers in McDuffie, Cooks Jr., and Marks Jr., who have combined for over 1,539 yards rushing and 16 TD’s on the ground. They will control the clock and the tempo here. Buffalo took last year’s meetings, 42-10. The Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS the last 17 games played as an underdog and 7-1-1 ATS the last nine games played following an ATS loss. The Redhawks are 0-4 ATS the last four games played as a favorite and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Green Bay.

HIGH ROLLER play.

Game 469.

1:25 pm pst.

Aaron Rodgers is out. This is why the line moved from 2.5 up to 7.0. Jordan Love is no Aaron Rodgers. But the Packers are one of the best and most well-balanced teams in the NFL. They have the supporting cast on offense to do what just about every other “O” has done to the Chiefs defense this season. That is light them up. Kansas City is getting plowed for 27.5 PPG. On the flipside, the Green Bay stop-unit has emerged as one of the toughest in football. With the 6th ranked pass defense they will contain Patrick Mahomes and the KC passing unit. The Packers are 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 4-1 ATS the lats five games played as an underdog, and 7-0 ATS the last seven games played overall. The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home, 2-12 ATS the last 14 games played following a SU win, and 4-15 ATS the last 19 games played overall. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

Arizona.

BLUE CHIP Play.

Game 471.

1:25 pm pst.

The general public has moved this line several points. Yes, Arizona lost their first game of the campaign last week. But that was to Green Bay. And yes, George Kittle is expected to return here. However, the Cardinals own a top-five offense and a top-five defense. They will shred the 26th ranked run defense of San Francisco here. And will shut down the pedestrian 49ers offense. Getting ‘Zona off their first loss is going to be fatal for San Fran folks. The Cards are angry, motivated, and no longer have pressure on themselves. Arizona is 6-1-1 ATS the last eight meetings in this series overall, 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 11-5 ATS the last 16 games played against teams with a losing record, 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 games played as an underdog, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

Baltimore.

CONSENSUS Play.

Game 456.

10:00 am pst.

Baltimore comes off a bye week healed, rested, and prepared knowing they have a real chance here to put some serious distance between themselves and the rest of the AFC North. Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota offense showed exactly what they are made of, going 1-for-13 on 3rd down vs. the 29th ranked Dallas pass defense a week ago. Now the Baltimore pass “D” isn’t too much better. But they are rested and prepped here as I mentioned a moment ago. The real mismatch is when the Ravens have the ball. They are equally good in the air as well as on the ground. They will shred the porous Vikings stop-unit badly. Particularly on the ground where the NFL’s 3rd ranked rushing unit eats away a lot of clock and controls the tempo. One more thing. Coming off a loss, (ahem) an ugly loss to the Bengals following a five-game win streak will extra motivate the Ravens to bounce back with a vengeance here. Minnesota is 1-10 ATS the last 11games played on turf, 2-7 ATS the last nine games played following an ATS loss, and 3-11 ATS the last 14 games played overall. Take Baltimore to roll here folks. Thank you.

Houston.

TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Game 335.

4:30 pm pst.

Houston must win-out to have a December AAC Title showdown with Cincinnati. The Cougars have rattled off seven consecutive SU wins, going 5-2 ATS. Their top-20 scoring offense will cut through the South Florida 108th ranked scoring defense like a hot knife through butter. On the flipside, the Cougars will completely shut down the Bulls lackluster offense. Houston has taken the last five meetings in this series SU, covering the last four by an average margin of 19.2 PPG. The Cougars are 6-2 ATS the last eight games played on the road, 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 17-6 ATS the last 23 games played on grass. Take Houston. Thank you.

New Mexico State.

CONSENSUS PLAY.

Game 362.

1:00 pm pst.

There is no doubt Utah State deserves their praise. They sit atop the MW Mountain conference at 4-1, and own an overall record of 6-2. Granted, New Mexico State is 1-7 SU. But they are money, going 6-2 ATS, covering against some very good opponents. NMSU owns a very good rushing unit and will move the chains here against the nation’s 102nd ranked run defense. More importantly, they will keep the Utah State “D” on the field and their “O” off it. The home team is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. New Mexico State is 8-0 ATS the last eight games played following a SU loss, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played vs. the MWC, 6-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. nonconference foes, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played as an underdog. Take New Mexico State. Thank you.

Baylor.

BIG 12 GOM.

Game 357.

12:30 pm pst.

If this isn’t one of the biggest mismatches on the board this Saturday, nothing is. The 7-1, 14th ranked Baylor Bears face the unranked, 3-5 TCU Horned frogs. Baylor is 6-2 ATS while TCU is 1-6-1 against the spread in 2021. On both sides of the ball, the Bears totally outclass the Horned frogs. You’ve got a top-10 rushing unit led by Smith and Ebner, which have combined for nearly 1600 yards rushing and 11 TD’s. Then you’ve got the 116th ranked run defense on the other side of the line of scrimmage. Throw in the mix dual-threat QB, Bohannon, wow, what a stud. He’s accounted for nearly 2000 all-purpose yards and 23 TD’s. That would be enough. But the Bears also possess one of the nations toughest and stingiest defenses too. TCU, riding a three-game loss and no cover streak with the average margin of defeat coming by 17.3 PPG. The road team is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in this series. Take Baylor. Thank you.

Pitt.

Bookie Buster.

Game 321.

9:00 am pst

Duke in on a four-game SU slide. Gunnar Holmberg hasn’t tossed a touchdown pass over the last two contests. Now, the struggling quarterback must face an angry Pitt “D” that allowed nearly as many points last week than they have yielded over their four previous outings combined. The Panthers need wins to stay top the ACC Coastal. They also need style points to crack the top-25 again. Look for Kenny Pickett (2,755 yards passing, 69.2% completion rate, 26/3) and the nation’s 4th ranked passing attack to dissect the 124th ranked pass defense of the Blue Devils. Pitt is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in this series. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

Virginia Tech.

Friday Night Lights Play.

Game 315.

4:30 pm pst.

Over their last four games, Boston College is accounting for a dismal, 10.0 PPG while being outscored by 15.5 PPG. Their offense is so poor, it is forcing their defense to stay on the field way to long. The Eagles “D” is overworked and tired. This doesn’t bode well as the Hokies “D” is confident, coming off their best performance since late-September. Dual-threat quarterback, Braxton Burmeister leads an offense with a slew of solid ball-carriers. This matchup is tailor-made to benefit Virginia Tech. They will keep the overworked BC defense on the field by running, running, running the ball. The Eagles are 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a SU loss, 1-4 ATS the last five games played against conference opponents, and 1-5 ATS the last six games played as an underdog. Take the Hokies. Thank you.

NIU.

MAC GAME OF THE WEEK.

Game 307.

4:00 pm pst.

NIU sports a 6-2 SU record going 5-2-1 ATS. The Huskies are rolling, winning five consecutive contests SU. Both teams can run the ball. However, NIU is a perfect 4-0 in MAC play and has won the last 10 meetings with Kent State. Granted, they haven’t met since 2017. But knowing you’ve won 10 in a row in a rivalry gives the team and the coaching staff a great deal of confidence here. Both quarterbacks are solid. The Huskies are significantly tougher that the Golden Flashes defending the air. NIU is 4-0-1 ATS the last five games played at Kent State and 7-0 ATS the last seven games played following a bye week. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

Tennessee.

HIGH ROLLER play.

Game 257.

10:00 am pst.

Tennessee has emerged as a true force in the AFC. Right now, they are two games ahead of Indianapolis in the South and can put some real distance between them and the 2nd place team with a win here. Guys, if you’re worried about a let down here, don’t be. If that was gonna’ happen, it would have been last week. Two weeks ago, they took down the Bills then followed it up last week with a 27-3 smack down of the Chiefs. Indy is a good team, winning three of their last four SU and all four ATS. However, they really haven’t faced the same level of competition. The Colts are one-dimensional offensively, relying on the run. The Titans “D” is one of the best in the NFL at stuffing the run. Speaking of running, I have two words for you, “Derrick Henry.” The standout running back has 869 yards rushing and 10 TD’s on the ground. His ball-carrying will control the clock, the tempo, and wear down the mediocre, Indy stop-unit. These two teams met a month ago with Tennessee prevailing, 25-16 for the win and cover. The Colts are 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played vs. the AFC South. Take the Titans folks. Thank you.

Atlanta.

CONSENSUS Play.

Game 254.

10:00 am pst.

Carolina has now lost and failed to cover four in a row. Without Christian McCaffrey in the backfield, Sam Darnold’s and the offenses numbers have dropped significantly. And for a team that showed heart at the beginning of the season, there is no cardiologist on the planet that can bring them back to life here. Football is about momentum and Atlanta certainly has that, going 3-1 SU and ATS the last four games. And in those four contests, veteran quarterback, Matt Ryan has accounted for 10 TD’s and just 1 INT. The Panthers are pretty good against the pass. But their offense is so poor, it’s put the defense in a position of being overworked and tired. Ryan will connect with Pitts, Ridley, and Patterson coming out of the backfield, move the chains, and cross the goal line, handing Carolina another loss, and more importantly another no cover. The Panthers 1-5 against the number the last six games played at the Mercedez-Benz Stadium and 1-6 ATS the last seven overall versus the Falcons. Lay the field goal folks with the Falcons. Thank you.

Virginia.

ODSSMAKERS MISTAKE PLAY.

Game 155.

7:15 pm pst.

BYU us fading fast. With two losses and a two-point squeaker over their last three contests, the Cougars have now failed to cover three straight. In comes a Virginia team on a four-game win and cover hot streak, beating Miami Florida, Louisville, Duke, and Georgia Tech. Brennan Armstrong leads the nations 2nd-ranked passing offense. The Cavaliers quarterback has tallied 3,220 yards passing, a 64.2% completion rate, and 23/6. This does not bode well for a BYU defense ranking 85th vs. the pass and allowing 70% completion rate against Power-5 foes. Virginia is 5-0 ATS the last five game played against nonconference opponents, 22-8 ATS the last 30 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played following an ATS win. Take Virginia. Thank you.  

Florida State.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 147.

12:30.

It’s not just the departure of Trevor Lawrence and a handful of playmakers. It’s also not just that the team was hit with the injury bug. On top of all that, Clemson just doesn’t possess the heart, the enthusiasm, the confidence, or, and most importantly, the personnel. Florida State has issues too. But, one thing they can do, is score points. The Seminoles, behind a ferocious ground attack, are averaging 31.3 PPG. They have won three in a row SU and believe that Bowl eligibility is within their grasp. Corbin, Ward, and dual-threat quarterback, Travis will control the clock and the tempo on the ground here and wear down the Tigers “D”. The last time Clemson covered a game was back in December. They are riding an eight-game ATS slide. By the way, that includes failing to cover five straight as a double-digit favorite. Take Florida State. Thank you.

Michigan State.

CONSENSUS PLAY.

Game 124.

9:00 am pst.

This is a battle between two teams that know one another very well. Two teams that are ranked in the top-10. Two teams that are undefeated. And two teams that are getting bettors paid against the spread. However, Michigan State had a bye week to rest, heal, and prepare. And guys, that is huge here. Not only that but, I’m not the biggest fan of Jim Harbaugh in big games. My friends this is a big game. And he just has never shown me that when it’s time to step up, he can get the job done. Offensively the Spartans are more-well-balanced and can keep the Wolverines defense honest because of it. Michigan is not a great passing team. They are pretty one-dimensional. Now, they can run the ball. I am not gonna’ argue that. But the Green & White are excellent at defending the run. Getting four points with a team that is rested, more complete offensively, and having covered 11 of the last 13 meetings is a gift. MSU plus the points is an early Christmas present. Take it, unwrap it, and enjoy it. Take the Spartans. Thank you.

Navy.

FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS play.

Game 113.

4:30 pm pst.

It’s true, Navy is just 1-6 SU in 2021. However, the Midshipmen are on a 4-1 ATS run. All against superior opposition. While Tulsa has been winning (3-1 SU L4), they have been eking by foes. They beat Arkansas State by seven, Memphis by six, and South Florida by one. The Golden Hurricanes aren’t so golden when laying double-digits, going 0-2 ATS this season in that situation. Navy has the ground game (23rd) to eat away the clock, grind Tulsa down, and keep this contest very close. The Midshipmen are 4-0 ATS the last four games played at the Golden Hurricanes, 7-0 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. Conference opponents. Take Navy. Thank you.

Coastal Carolina.

TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Game 110.

4:30 pm pst.

The 24th ranked Chanticleers dropped 10 spots in the polls this week following their first loss of the season. Coastal Carolina does not take dropping in rankings or losing very lightly. Their last loss was December 2020, to finish out last season. They began this season blowing up Citadel, 52-14. Laying points is nothing new either as they have been favorites of 4.5 points up to 36 points, covering five of their seven contests (-32, -26.5, -36, -33.5, -26) this season. The Trojans are known for their defense. But against who? In their last four outings, Troy has allowed ULM to post 29, South Carolina 23, Georgia Southern 24, and Texas 28 points. All no covers. Coming off a loss and needing style points, Coastal Carolina and their 3rd ranked scoring offense (45.7 PPG) will light up the scoreboard here. The Trojans are 1-6 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record, 1-8 ATS the last nine games played following a SU win, and 1-5 ATS the last six games played as a road underdog. The Chanticleers are 7-2 ATS the last nine games played vs. teams with a winning record, 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 games played against conference opponents, and 4-0 ATS the last four games played at home. Take Coastal Carolina. Thank you.

Indianapolis.

SNLB GOM.

Game 471.

5:20 pm pst.

San Francisco is on a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. Garoppolo is most-likely out (check status). And both Mostert and Kittle are injured. Even if the trio was in uniform, the team just does not match up well with an Indianapolis team that has covered their last three contests. Wentz (1,545 yards passing, 64.2% completion rate, 9/1) and Taylor (682 total yards and five TD’s) will decimate the overworked 49ers “D”. They are 1-5 ATS the last six games played at home and 10-27-1 ATS the last 38 games played as a favorite. The Colts are 7-2 ATS the last nine games played on the road and 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played in the month of October. Take Indianapolis. Thank you.

Carolina.

BOOKIE BUSTER.

Game 453.

10:00 am pst.

Losing three in a row, the Panthers must turn their season around right now. Playing the Giants will do just that. New York can not score at all. And playing the NFL’s 6th ranked defense, things will go from bad to worse for the team. The 1-2 punch of Darnold and Hubbard will prove to be too much in this matchup as the tandem will light up the scoreboard here against the 30th ranked “D” of NY. Carolina is 8-1 ATS the last nine games played on the road. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

Green Bay.

CONSENSUS PLAY.

Game 456.

10:00 am pst.

Let’s be honest guys. As much as we all enjoy football. We are not here to have fun. We are here to make money. The Green Bay Packers are just that, THEY ARE MONEY! The Packers have won and covered five straight. Very simply, Green Bay, behind the leadership of Aaron Rodgers, is one of the best teams in the NFC and one of the best in all of football. They have lined up against some very tough defenses and have lit them all up. The WFT won’t be able to stop the bleeding here. Prior to the season starting, their defense was supposed to be one of the toughest in the league. Well, they rank 32nd vs. the pass, 31st in total yards allowed, 23rd in takeaways, and yes, 32nd (in case you’re keeping score, that’s dead-last) in points allowed. They are getting blasted for 31.0 PPG. That would be enough folks. But Green Bay’s stop-unit has emerged to be one of the best in the NFL. Look for Rodgers to have his best game thus far this season facing a defense that is allowing 65% completions. The Packers win by 2 TD’s or more. Thank you.

Tennessee.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 458.

10:00 am pst.

The cat is out of the bag folks. Kansas City is beatable and their weaknesses have been exposed. The Chiefs have crushed bettors, only covering two outings in 2021 and going back a bit, they are on a 4-13 ATS slide. The Titans, behind the rushing of Derrick Henry will shred the 27th ranked run defense of the Chiefs, controlling the clock and keeping Patrick Mahomes off the field. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings with KC, and 4-1 ATS the last five overall games played. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS the last four games played vs. AFC opponents and 0-4 ATS the last four games played following an ATS win. Take the Titans. Thank you.

Virginia.

ACC GOM.

Game 338.

4:30 pm pst.

Virginia is on a three-game win streak both SU and ATS. The first two games, were as underdogs against Miami Florida and Louisville, both on the road. this says a lot about this team. Then last week’s 48-0 shellacking of Duke at home says even more. The Cavaliers bring into this matchup, one of the nation’s top-offensive units in total yards and passing yards. Guys, the Yellow Jackets are allowing over 382 YPG which includes 228 passing yards per game. WOW! Quarterback Brennan Armstrong is a stud, with 2,824 yards passing, a 64% completion rate, and a 19/6 ratio. With a few more solid performances, I wouldn’t be surprised if he was mentioned in the Heisman watch. Counterpart, Jeff Sims, four picks in his last two starts. There is no way he and his pedestrian Georgia Tech offense will be able to keep pace with Armstrong and the high-flying aerial assault of Virginia. Here’s some against the spread numbers for you…the home team is 7-2-1 the last 10 meetings in this series. The Yellow Jackets are 1-4 the last five on the road and 4-12 the last 16 vs. teams with a winning record. The Cavaliers…7-3 the last 10 in conference play and 10-3 the last 13 overall. Take Virginia here folks and you will take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Syracuse.

CONSENSUS WINNER.

Game 341.

9:30 am pst.

Syracuse is money, covering five straight and going back a bit, eight of their last nine outings. The team is just a handful of points away from being undefeated instead of 3-4. The Orange defense is solid and will completely shut down the Hokies lackluster, 111th ranked offense. The Syracuse “O” is led by the nation’s No.2 leading rusher, Sean Tucker. The running back has tallied 948 yards rushing and nine TD’s on the ground. Add another 224 yards receiving and another two TD’s coming out of the backfield. The 12 ranked rushing unit in college football will control the clock, move the chains, wear down the 79th ranked run defense of Virginia Tech, and win this game outright. The Orange are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 5-0 ATS the last five games vs. conference opponents, and 5-1 ATS the last six game splayed overall. Take Syracuse. Thank you.

Arizona.

VEGAS INSIDER MOVE.

Game 267.

1:05 pm pst.

The only undefeated team in the NFL won both games in 2021 in which they were road underdogs. They enter this matchup in the same situation. The Cleveland offense owns the top-ranked rushing unit in football. But their top running back, Nick Chubb is ruled out this week. They are effective because they have two ball-carriers in the backfield. Without both, they aren’t the same. Baker Mayfield is in for a long day against one of the league’s best pass defenses. The Browns “D” sprung a leak last week allowing the Chargers to put up 47 points. The Cardinals have an awesome passing attack and will take a page from the Chargers playbook and exploit the Browns weaknesses. Arizona is 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road, 7-3-1 ATS the last 11 games played as an underdog, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

Los Angeles.

HIGH ROLLER PLAY.

Game 261.

10:00 pm pst.

The Chargers are money, covering eight of their last nine games and are 4-0 SU and ATS their last four games played as a visitor. To go even further, Los Angeles is 6-0 ATS their last six games played vs. AFC opponents. The Ravens lost to the Raiders, went to the mat with an overrated Chiefs team, had a tough time with the winless Lions, beat a banged-up Broncos squad, and then needed overtime to best the Colts. None of these teams are as complete or are paying at the same level as LA. Baltimore is 0-5 ATS their last five games played at home vs. teams with a winning road record. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

Green Bay.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 255.

10:00 am pst.

Make no mistake of it guys, Green Bay is an NFC elite team. The Packers have now rattled off four straight wins and covers. This is a team, no matter the circumstance or the opponent, that does what it takes to win and also to cover. In one of footballs oldest rivalries, don’t kid yourself, Green Bay enjoys beating Chicago. They have taken nine of the last 10 meetings SU, going 7-3 ATS, including four consecutive wins and covers. The Bears defense, on paper, is good. However, they have faced two solid offenses in 2021, losing 34-14 to the Rams and 26-6 to the Browns. In comes Aaron Rodgers and the high-flying Packers offense which has posted 29.2 PPG during their current win streak. Chicago just doesn’t have the personnel to contend on the scoreboard here. The Packers are 17-5 ATS the last 22 at the Bears and 20-7 the last 27 overall vs. the Bears. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

Arizona State.

ANNIHILATOR PLAY.

Game 161.

7:00 pm pst.

There is a big difference between playing consistent solid football and getting lucky. ASU is the first. Utah is the second. And in this battle for the Pac-12 South, you will see the difference. The Sun Devils are on a three-game win and cover streak. Dual-threat quarterback, Jayden Daniels won’t have a problem moving the chains here against the “cushy’ Utah defense. Speaking of the Utes, they are in major “let down” mode here after last week’s win at the Trojans, in which USC accounted for nearly 500 yards of offense. The Utes just won’t be able to pass against one of the toughest pass defenses in the nation. Let’s not forget the Sun Devils “D” ranks 13th in points allowed (16.2 PPG) and have 11, yes 11 takeaways. This doesn’t bode well for the mistake-prone Utah “O”, which have committed five turnovers already. Arizona State is 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road and 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. conference opponents. Utah is 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home and 1-4 ATS the last five games played overall. Take the Sun Devils. Thank you.

Alabama.

SEC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 183.

4;00 pm pst.

Taking their first loss in just short of two years is bad enough. But dropping from 1st to 5th in the polls, behind four undefeated teams does not sit well with Nick Saban. Don’t put too much stock in last week’s loss. This is a team that was playing at such a high level for such a long time, they were bound to drop a game sooner or later, guys. When you have a team loaded with talent and a coaching staff as good as Alabama, a loss does two things for the team: No. 1, it takes the pressure off. No. 2, it shows you what you need to work on. For the polls, they can’t afford NOT to blow out Mississippi State here. The Crimson Tide will bounce back and make an example of a Bulldogs team that just won’t be able to score on them or stop Bryce Young and the explosive ‘Bama passing attack. The Tide are 5-1 ATS the last six meetings with the Bulldogs, outscoring them by 25, 48, 24, 31, and 41 points in those five ATS victories. Any point spread under four TD’s is a joke. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Michigan State.

BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 131.

9:00 am pst.

When your quarterback has thrown for 1,575 yards passing with 14/2, your running back has ran for 913 yards rushing with nine TD’s, and you have two receivers about to each hit 500 yards receiving, it’s no wonder why your offense is posting over 36.7 PPG. Through six games, the Spartans are 6-0 SU and 4-0-2 ATS. They have outright victories over Northwestern and Miami Florida and have thumped Nebraska and Rutgers. That would be enough to back the team here. However, the Michigan State defense has been stellar, yielding only 19.3 PPG. Indiana is a train wreck. The Hoosiers own some of the poorest numbers in the conference, on both sides of the ball. Offensively, they just can’t score against any solid stop-units. And defensively, they are yielding 28.2 PPG and have just two takeaways. At 1-4 ATS this season, they are point spread poison. MSU has taken 10 of the last 12 meetings in this series SU. And this matchup has been circled on the Spartans calendar since last year’s 24-0 embarrassing loss to the Hoosiers as a 16.5-point favorite. These are two entirely different teams this year. With Michigan on deck, and the schedule getting tougher, Michigan State needs wins and needs to tighten the ship here. They are 12-5 ATS the last 17 games played vs. Indiana and 6-0 ATS the last six games played as a road favorite. Indiana is 1-5 ATS the last six games played overall and 3-10-1 ATS the last 14 games played as a home ‘dog. Take the Spartans. Thank you.     

San Diego State.

TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Game 119.

4:30 pm pst.

With a ranking of No. 24 in the nation and a 5-0 record, if San Diego State is to be taken seriously, the must continue to shred opponents. The Aztecs have covered four in a row with outright victories over Arizona and Utah and covering large spreads over Towson and New Mexico. San Jose State was a surprise a season ago. This season, they are a mess. They went from a 7-0 SU regular-season record (6-0-1 ATS) in 2020 to a 3-3 mark in 2021, covering just once, and currently riding a five came no cover streak. The San Diego State defense is tough and will shut down the lackluster San Jose State offense. Look for the Aztecs to also decimate the Spartans in a mismatch in their rushing attack. San Diego State is 4-0 ATS the last four games played at San Jose State, 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played as a favorite, and 17-6 ATS the last 23 games played on field turf. Take the Aztecs. Thank you.

Syracuse.

CONSENSUS PLAY.

Game 116.

4:00 pm pst.

Clemson is just 3-2 and is having trouble scoring. Coming off a bye week is not going to change things at all. They enter this matchup and face a very scrappy, Syracuse team which has had their last their outings all decoded by three-points against some stiff competition (Liberty, Florida State, Wake Forest). As a matter of fact, the Orange are on a four-game cover streak. Even when the Tigers were a top-ranked team, they had trouble in this series, going 1-3 ATS the last four meetings with their conference rival. The ‘Cuse possess both a solid ground game (10th) and a run defense that has been stellar (31st). While Clemson’s “D” has been very good, they will wear down here. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS the last six games played as a favorite. The Orange are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played as an underdog. Take Syracuse. Thank you.

Tampa Bay.

Blue Chip play.

Game 109.

5:20 pm pst.

Slowing down Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay offense is a task that very few can accomplish. The Bucs are averaging 33.4 PPG. The Philly offense just won’t be able to keep pace score for score in this matchup. And finally getting a win last week at the Panthers, you can expect the Eagles to fall back down to Earth. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you.