Indianapolis.

MNF MM.

Game 479.

5:15 pm pst.

The Ravens are just a few points away from donning the same 1-3 record the Colts are sporting. Yes, they are riding a three-game SU win streak. But the team has a ton of holes that can’t be filled by gametime. Getting their first win of the year last week will give the Colts the boost of confidence they needed. Doubtful, Lamar Jackson can replicate last week’s 316 passing yard performance against the improving, Indy pass defense. This along with the Baltimore injury-plagued backfield, prompts me to take the TD on MNF here. The Colts are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played at the Ravens and 10-2 ATS the last 12 games played overall vs. the Ravens. Take Indianapolis. Thank you.

Bills.

Sunday Night Late Bailout.

Game 477.

5:20 pm pst.

With all respect to the Chiefs, which are a talented team, they are not under the radar anymore. And, Andy Reid is no genius. Let’s be honest, his time has passed. The guy owns a 17-15 postseason record as a coach. He does not adapt well. The Kansas City defense ranks 31st in yards allowed, 27th vs. the pass, 30th vs. the rush, and 31st in points allowed. They are getting shellacked for 31.3 PPG. Patrick Mahomes and the offense are as good as any in football. But the Buffalo “D” is one of the toughest in the NFL right now. They are No.1 in total yards, No.1 vs. the pass, No.4 vs. the rush, and yes, No.1 in scoring, allowing a mere, 11.0 PPG. On the flipside, look for running back, Devin Singletary to shred the KC defense and allow Josh Allen to open up the passing game. The Bills are 5-1 ATS their last six games played on the road, 7-2-2 ATS their last 11 games played as a road ‘dog, and 8-3 ATS their last 11 games played vs. AFC opponents. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Raiders.

Las Vegas Strip Move.

Game 470.

1:05 pm pst.

Even if they were riding in a tank, the Bears offense still couldn’t be able to get into the endzone. They are 30th in scoring, posting a dismal, 16.0 PPG. With a passing that ranks 32nd, the Raiders can key on their running game and shut down the entire offense. There is no possible way they can keep pace with the high-flying Las Vegas scoring machine. To make matters worse for Chicago, they must face a Vegas team returning home following their first loss of the 2021 campaign. Whether it is Andy Dalton or Justin Fields under center, Raiders head coach, Jon Gruden will have his defense prepared, primed, and ready to go. Quarterback, Derek Carr (1,399 yards passing, 64.1% completion rate, 8/3) and his arsenal of receivers will light up the scoreboard here and rival the lights on the Vegas Strip. Chicago is 1-6 ATS their last seven games played as a road ‘dog and 1-4 ATS their last five games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the Raiders. Thank you.

Panthers.

BLUE CHIP.

Game 456.

10:00 am pst.

No Christian McCaffrey (check status), no problem. Following three straight wins and covers to kick-off the season, Carolina suffered a heartbreaking loss to Dallas last week. The Panthers will come in here angry. Chuba Hubbard is an able backup. The running back lines up against the NFL’s 32nd-ranked run defense. That would be enough. However, sorry Eagles fans, but the team is their own worst enemy, committing 44 penalties through four games. Their current three-game loss and no cover streak speaks for itself, Now, they must face a top-10 defense in every major category. The line should be closer to a touchdown here. Philadelphia is 1-7 ATS their last eight games played on the road, 4-9 ATS their last 13 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 2-5 ATS their last seven games played overall. Take Carolina. Thank you.

Packers.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 465.

10;00 am pst.

Since their season-opening loss, Green Bay has now rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. Cincinnati may be 3-1 as well. But, let’s take a look why. They beat a Minnesota team in overtime that is currently 1-3. They lost to a Chicago squad that can’t seem to cross the goal line. They trounced the fading Pittsburgh team that is struggling. And last week, they eked out a win and no cover against a winless Jacksonville club. Their last three outings, the Packers are posting 30.6 PPG. Aaron Rodgers is in top-form. So is his stellar wideouts, Davante Adams and Randall Cobb. The Bengals secondary is outclassed and outmatched here. Throw in the mix that Rodgers is supposed to get back several offensive linemen this week and when this game is over, it just might be the biggest aerial assault we’ve seen this season. Green Bay has a couple of linebackers playing in their second full game back and reports are that their linebacking corps is just about whole now. The Bengals are 1-6 ATS their last seven games played following a SU win. The Packers are 6-2 ATS their last eight games played overall. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Alabama.

SEC WEST GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 387.

5:00 PM PST.

Nick Saban seems to go out of his way to shellack his former assistant coaches. He is now 24-0 SU against them. This doesn’t bode well for Texas A&M head coach, Jimbo Fisher. There are a few more angles that support playing the Alabama Crimson Tide this week. For starters, the No.1 team in the nation has Georgia just over their shoulder in the polls and need all the style points they can get before a likely SEC title game meeting down the road. The team can easily run the gauntlet and throttle the rest of their remaining regular-season opponents. The Aggies have now dropped and failed to cover their last two outings. Both against teams they were favored over (Razorbacks and Bulldogs). The team also has injuries to two of their starting cornerbacks (check status) and have to face the stellar passing attack of the Crimson Tide. Offensively, they are having issues at quarterback as starter, Haynes King (check status) has been out with an ankle injury and backup, Zach Calzada’s weaknesses have been exposed (1 TD, 2 INT’s, 286 yards passing) two games as a starter. Neither play-caller has what it takes to line up against this defense. With no ground game to rely on, the offense is way overmatched here facing the might ‘Bama stop-unit. On paper, the Texas A&M defense has good numbers. But they haven’t face anywhere near the caliber of QB in Bryce Young (17 TDs, 2 INT’s, 73% completion rate, 1,365 yards passing) or an offense that accounts for over 45.6 PPG and doesn’t make mistakes (one turnover). The Crimson Tide have taken the last eight meetings in the rivalry SU, going 5-2 ATS the last seven. They are also 8-2 Ats the last 10 games played vs. conference opponents, 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the month of October, and 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played overall. Take Alabama and ROLL TIDE. Thank you.

Notre Dame.

CONSENSUS PLAY.

Game 397.

4:30 pm pst.

Notre Dame comes in here angry and looking for redemption following their first loss of the campaign. But the 14th-ranked Fighting Irish know that if they win out, they have a shot at a major Bowl, and perhaps more. The Hokies come off a bye following a lackluster, 21-10 win and no cover against the Spiders (Richmond). That was their second straight no cover. They don’t have the offense to keep pace with Jack Coan and the Irish “O”. Notre Dame is 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning record and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played on the road. Virginia Tech is 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. nonconference foes and 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a bye week. Take the Fighting Irish. Thank you.

Oregon State.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 349.

1:00 pm pst.

Oregon State, the only undefeated team in the Pac-12 North, is riding a four-game win and cover streak. It seems without Mike Leach, Washington State just can not compete, going 3-7 SU their last 10 games. They don’t possess the talent to contend in this matchup. On both sides of the ball, the Beavers are far superior. The road team is 9-3 ATS the last 12 meetings in this series. Oregon State is 10-1 ATS the last 11 games played on the road and 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played against conference foes. Take the Beavers. Thank you.

Wake Forest.

ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE PLAY.

Game 319.

12:30 pm pst.

No, it’s not Clemson, not Louisville, not Pitt, and not even Virginia Tech. Very quietly, Wake Forest is the only ACC team with an undefeated record. The Demon Deacons are 5-0 overall, including a 3-0 mark in conference play. Their offense is putting up over 38.4 PPG. But it has been their defense that has amazed the college football world. They allow a mere 18.2 PPG, have seven takeaways, and 16, yes 16 sacks. What are the limited and very immobile Syracuse quarterbacks, Shrader and Devito, who by the way, have combined for 3 TD’s AND 4 INT’s, what they heck are they gonna do here? The line is currently -6. I have them winning by at least 10-12 points. Anything under a TD is an early Christmas gift guys. The Demon Deacons are 6-2 ATS their last eight games played vs. conference opponents. Take Wake Forest here folks and you will take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Michigan State.

TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Game 315.

9:00 am pst.

Michigan State knows if they keep their foot on the gas, they have a very good chance at the Big Ten title. While Rutgers has shown some grit, they stepped up in class twice, resulting in losses their last two outings. The Spartans “D” will be too tough here. On the flipside, the Scarlet Knights won’t be able to stop the powerful Spartans rushing attack. Michigan State is 5-0 ATS their last five games played as a road favorite. Take the Spartans. Thank you.

Texas.

Game 380.

9:00 am pst.

It isn’t about which team wins. It’s about which team covers. And Oklahoma is getting too much credit from the oddsmakers, going 1-4 ATS in 2021. On the other hand, Texas is 4-1 ATS this season with three straight wins and covers. Both teams match up well here. And both know each other very well. But, the Sooners, despite a 5-0 SU mark, have let some very poor teams hang in there with them this season. The Longhorns 1-2 punch of quarterback, Thompson and running back, Robinson can control the clock and the tempo here. Oklahoma is 0-4 ATS the last four games played at Texas and 2-7 ATS the last nine games played overall vs. Texas. The home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. Take Texas. Thank you.

Los Angeles.

Blue Chip Play.

Game 601.

5:20 pm pst.

This is an ideal spot for sportsbettors to get a big weekday win. The Rams come off their first loss of the season and are looking for redemption. A loss is more helpful to a team than a win. It shows where they need improvement. Let’s be honest, if Jimmy Garoppolo didn’t get hurt last week, Seattle would most-likely have suffered their third consecutive loss and no cover. Matthew Stafford and the Rams enter this matchup with the NFL’s 4th-ranked passing unit. They face the Seahawks 28th-ranked pass defense. You can also expect the running back corps of L.A. to establish the ground game vs. the leagues poorest rush defense. The Rams are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 5-1 ATS the last six games played following a SU loss, and 23-9-1 ATS the last 39 games played vs. the NFC. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Houston.

High Roller.

Game 303.

4:30 pm pst.

We are used to seeing Houston put up some very impressive numbers. This season, one of their most impressive stats is that they don’t turn the ball over. In five games, not one turnover. Once again this season, they have a heck of an offense, scoring 36.6 PPG. Clayton Tune and Alston McCaskill are a mighty 1-2 punch, as good as any quarterback/running back combo in the nation. They will do what every other offense has done to Tulane this season, and that is shred them. This is a defense getting plowed for over 40.2 PPG. I get that the Oklahoma and Mississippi lit them up, but so did ECU last week, for 52 points. WOW!!! The Green Wave has scored their share of points as well. But, they haven’t lined up against a defense as ferocious as the Cougars. They are equally strong vs. the pass and the run and are a top-10 stop-unit in points allowed, yielding a mere 15.0 PPG. And already have six takeaways. Houston is 13-4 ATS the last 17 meetings with Tulane, 5-2 ATS the last seven games played on the road, and 4-1 ATS the last five game played vs. teams with a losing record. Under a touchdown is a gift folks. Take Houston here for a Thursday night win and cover. Thank you.

Raiders.

MNF Winners.

Game 279

5:15 pm pst.

Las Vegas owns the NFL’s top-ranked passing attack as the offense is accounting for over 30.0 PPG. While Los Angeles is a good team, each week their defense is yielding more points than the previous week (16, 20. 24 points allowed) You can also expect the Chargers to be in “let down” mode following their victory over the Chiefs. The underdog is 18-6 ATS the last 24 meetings in this series. The road team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. The Raiders are 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played at the Chargers, 5-1 ATS the last six as a road underdog, and 4-0 ATS the last four games played on MNF. The Chargers are 16-37-1 ATS the last 54 games played at home, 3-10-1 ATS the last 14 as a home favorite, and 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on MNF. Take Las Vegas. Thank you.

Buccaneers.

LATE BAILOUT.

Game 277.

5:20 pm pst.

Maybe Belichick isn’t that great of a coach with Brady as his QB. On both sides of the ball, New England is outclassed and overmatched here. After rattling off 10 consecutive victories including a super Bowl, Tampa Bay lost a game to Los Angeles last week. They will come in here pissed-off and looking for vengeance. The Bucs “D” will put pressure on the Pats rookie QB while Brady does what he does best. The Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS their last five games played following a loss. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you.

Ravens.

Blue Chip.

Game 277.

1:25 pm pst.

I understand Denver is undefeated and their defense ranks among the best in football. But their opponents thus far have a combined record of 0-10. Baltimore with their top-ranked rushing unit, has now rattled off two straight wins. The Bronco’s “D” have faced two rookie QB’s and a “never was.” Lamar Jackson is neither of those. The Ravens defense can and will neutralize the Bronco’s ground game and get to Teddy Bridgewater. Look for Baltimore to make a statement here. The Ravens are 9-4 ATS their last 13 meetings in this series, 4-1 ATS their last five games played on the road, 6-2 ATS their last eight games played vs. AFC foes, and 8-3 ATS their last 11 games played overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Packers.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 275.

1:25 pm pst.

Both Pittsburgh and Green Bay are dealing with a laundry list of injuries. But that is where their similarities end folks. These are two entirely different teams, playing two entirely different types of football, heading in two entirely different directions. Since their season-opening loss, Green Bay has shown they are an NFC elite team. After a season-opening outright win, Pittsburgh has dropped two in a row to two squads they were favored over and on paper, should have beaten. The Steelers offense just can’t seem to punch it in the endzone and won’t be able to keep pace with Aaron Rodgers and the high-flying Packers offense. Something unique this year that I have noticed. Green Bay has been adapting their schemes to matchup up with opposing defenses. Traditionally, they play THEIR game. But this season, they are changing their offensive gameplan to take advantage of the weaknesses by the opposing defense they line up against. Defensively, the Packers can counter Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers only offensive threat, their passing game, with a top-10 pass defense. Green Bay gets another win and cover while Pittsburgh sinks further into the abyss. Pittsburgh is 3-7 ATS their last 10 games played overall. Green Bay is 5-2 ATS their last seven games played as a home favorite. Take the Pack here guys and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Panthers.

Las Vegas Strip Move play.

Game 261.

10:00 am pst.

Christian McCaffrey (201 yards rushing, one TD) isn’t the reason why Carolina is winning. Now that he is out, nothing changes. Chuba Hubbard is an able backup. The Panthers nasty defense is allowing a mere, 10.0 PPG. They will slow down Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense. But it will be QB, Sam Darnold that continues to shine as he and the 8th-ranked passing unit lights up the Cowboys 31st-ranked pass “D”. Carolina has won and covered the last two meetings in this series and is 8-0 ATS their last eight games played on the road, 6-0 ATS their last six games played as a road ‘dog, 5-1 ATS their last six games played vs. NFC foes, and 5-1 their last six games played overall. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

Titans.

AFC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 255.

10:00 am pst.

Sports fans, just like me, I am gonna’ keep this analysis very short and extremely sweet. It’s no surprise that the Titans are perched atop the AFC South. It’s also no surprise that the Jets are winless. Listen guys, it takes at least five years for a good college QB to develop in to a good pro QB. Poor Zach Wilson. He’s having a heck of a tough time. The New York passing “LACK OF” offense ranks 30th. Wilson doesn’t have a ground game to rely on as that ranks 29th. Overall, the unit ranks dead-last in scoring, posting a dismal, 6.7 PPG. The Jet’s “D” isn’t that bad. But they spend so much time on the field, they are getting worn down. The legs of Derrick Henry will keep the New York stop-unit honest and allow Ryan Tannehill to hook up with his favorite wideout, Julio Jones and even Henry coming out of the backfield. The Titans “D” have improved with each contest and now they face an overworked Jets offensive line and a rookie QB. New York is 1-5 ATS their last six games played in the month of October and 0-4 their last four games played as an underdog. Take Tennessee and you will take your bookmakers money. Thank you.  

Fresno State.

CONSENSUS Play.

Game 223.

8:00 pm pst.

Guys, I’m not usually a fan of laying double-digits on the road in college football. But there are a few situations in the Fresno State/Hawaii matchup that urges me to do just that. This is a team, that once again is getting bettors paid, at 4-1 ATS this season. They crushed UConn, hung in tight with 3rd-ranked Oregon, decimated CP, beat UCLA, and then last week hung on to beat UNLV. Real quick, let’s talk about that game. The Bulldogs off a big high after beating the Bruins and was in “let-down” mode against the Rebels. To quote Forrest Gump, “That’s all I have to say about that.” LOL They come in here looking to make a statement against and overmatched and outclassed Rainbow Warriors team. This is one of the nation’s top passing units facing one of the worst pass defenses. QB, Jake Haener has tallied 15 TD’s, two INT’s, and 1842 yards passing. He will pass at will here and allow RB, Ronnie Rivers to move the chains on the ground. Flipside, Hawaii’s only strength offensively is throwing the ball. But once again, Fresno State’s pass “D” is very tough and very stingy. The Bulldogs have covered five of the last six meetings in this series. Oh, and one more angle guys, revenge. Last season’s meeting was the worst defeat of Fresno’s campaign. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. The Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS their last eight games played at the Rainbow Warriors and 8-3-1 ATS their last 12 games played as a road favorite. The Rainbow Warriors are 10-21 ATS their last 31games played vs. teams with a winning record and 1-5 ATS their last six games played following a SU win. Lay the points here guys. Take Fresno State.  Thank you

Boston College.

Oddsmakers Mistake Play.

Game 117.

4:30 pm pst.

Clemson has now failed to cover five straight going back to last season. Boston College can control the clock with their outstanding rushing attack and keep Clemson’s “D” on the field and more importantly, the Tigers offense off of it. The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS their last five games played at the Tigers, 19-7 ATS their last 26 games played as a road ‘dog, and 23-9-1 ATS their last 33 conference games played. Take Boston College. Thank you.

Army.

Annihilator play.

Game 129.

2:00 pm pst.

Ball State is on a three-game SU (four-game ATS) losing streak. They played three teams that were favored by a total of 34-points and lost by a combined 54-points. The Cardinals have no way to stop the Black Knights mighty rushing attack (2nd nationally). Army will completely shut down the BSU offense with one of the stingiest stop-units (19.0 PPG allowed) in college football. The Black Knights are 5-1 ATS their last six games played vs. nonconference foes, 6-2 ATS their last eight games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 5-2 ATS their last seven games played on the road. Take the Black Knights. Thank you.

USC.

PAC 12 GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 155.

11:00 am pst.

After last week’s embarrassing loss to Oregon State as a 10-point favorite, expect USC to come out here looking to make a statement against the conference doormat, Colorado, which has covered just one point spread since the beginning of last December. The Buffaloes are accounting for a dismal, 13-8 PPG. The Trojans post 32.5 PPG and will light it up in the air here with the nations 17th-ranked passing unit against the lax, Buffs pass defense (63rd). Colorado is 1-4 ATS their last five games played at home and 1-5 ATS their last six games played overall. Take USC. Thank you.  

Texas.

Touchdown play.

Game 185.

9:00 am pst.

Since starting Casey Thompson at the helm, Texas is 2-0 both SU and ATS. The QB (in his two starts), has thrown for 464 yards passing, an 80.8% completion rate, 7/2 ratio. The offense now has a passing attack to go with the nation’s 7th-ranked ground assault (267.8 yards per game rushing). This doesn’t bode well for a TCU team that allowed a pedestrian Cal squad to put up 32-points and SMU to gain 595 yards of offense, both Ats losses. The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS their last five games played as a favorite, 11-5 ATS their last 16 games played on grass, and 5-1 ATS their last six game splayed overall. Take Texas. Thank you.

Iowa.

Friday Night Lights Winner.

Game 107.

5:00 pm pst.

Maryland may be 4-0 (3-1 ATS), but outside of West Virginia (which they eked by), they haven’t faced any solid adversaries. Iowa, which is also 4-0 (3-1 ATS), have faced several good opponents in Indiana and Iowa State, covering both contests. Granted, Taulia Tagovailoa and the Terrapins offense have put up some impressive numbers. But they have not lined up against anywhere near the caliber of defense the Hawkeyes possess. Maryland won’t be able to run the ball at all here, making their offense one-dimensional. When Tagovailoa gets pressured, he makes mistakes. Iowa has already accounted for six takeaways and that number will skyrocket here. Without any bells and whistles, the Hawkeyes “O” is posting 28.8 PPG. Their defense gets offenses off the field quickly allowing their offense to control the clock and wear down defenses. Iowa won and covered the most recent meeting, back in 2018, 23-0. They are 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 20-6 ATS the last 26 games played as a road favorite, 6-1-1 ATS the last eight games played vs. conference foes, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

Cincinnati.

Thursday Night Winner.

Game 102.

5:20 pm pst.

Joe Burrow and Joe Mixon have been steadily improving. One thing for sure, they have been consistent. Lining up against one of the NFL’s weakest defenses will surely pay off for the Cincy offense. The Jaguars are allowing over 30.3 PPG while accounting for e mere, 17.7 PPG. They are 0-3 both SU and ATS this season. The favorite is 3-0-1 ATS the last four meetings in this series. Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. AFC opponents, 1-5 ATS the last six games played as an underdog, and 1-6 the last seven games played overall. Take Cincinnati. Thank you.

Overall, my BIG GAMES ARE ON-FIRE. This Sunday I have isolated just 2 BIG GAMES on the NFL card for you: 2-0 HIGH ROLLER and my first BOOKIE BUSTER of the season. They went 12-2 a season ago. Get both, go 2-0, and GET PAID.

Free NFL WINNER: Green Bay Packers.

Game 495.

5:20 pm pst.

The Packers are still slated to represent the NFC come this February. Their embarrassing season-opening loss fueled their fire. Last week, their game was as sharp as we expect it to be. This is the matchup Green Bay needs to put any doubts behind them and go forward with confidence. San Francisco has a slew of injuries, particularly to their running game. Currently, five running backs are listed as questionable or out. Without a solid rushing attack to crutch on, Jimmy Garoppolo just isn’t the same quarterback folks. On the other hand, Aaron Rodgers is an MVP quarterback that shines in both tough situations and in big games. This contest, he shines like the sun. The 49ers are 2-6 ATS the last eight game played at home and 5-20-1 the last 26 games played as a home favorite. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Baltimore.

High Roller.

Game 473.

10:00 am pst.

Guys, as far back as I can remember, no matter who is under center, Detroit just can’t win. The last year Barry Sanders donned a Lions uniform, I believe was 1998. It’s been 23 years and this offense hasn’t had a playmaker since. Let’s put a pin in that for a moment. Now, through the first two games, the Baltimore defense faced Vegas and KC, two big offenses. The Ravens “D” will make an example of Lions offense here. The Detroit defense has gotten smoked for over 76 points already. In comes one of the most-explosive offenses in the NFL here. Baltimore is No.1 in rushing, No.3 in total yards, and No.4 in scoring. YIKES!!! The Ravens have won and covered the L3 meetings in this series, outscoring the Lions, 110-39. This game gets uglier than a Kardashian prior to cosmetic surgery. LOL Baltimore is 6-1 ATS their last seven games played as a favorite, 11-5 ATS their last 16 games played on the road, and 8-2 ATS their last 10 games played overall. Take the Ravens. Thank you.   

Kentucky.

Annihilator.

Game 315.

4:00 pm pst.

For all you Gamecock fans out there that are excited that after six straight losses and no covers to finish last seasons campaign, that this season South Carolina has a record of 2-1 SU and 2-0-1 ATS, let’s pump those breaks a bit. Mark Stoops and his Wildcats have won six of the last seven meetings in this series SU and more importantly, seven of the last eight ATS. The most recent matchup, last December was a massacre with Kentucky shellacking South Carolina, 41-18. This season, Kentucky is already 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS. They beat ULM and bested Missouri and then in a sandwich spot took it easy on Chattanooga, looking ahead to this matchup. Penn-transfer, Will Levis is a heck of a gunslinger. The QB has a 64.6% completion rate, 800 yards passing, and 7/4 ratio. Then there’s the very exciting legs of running back, Chris Rodriguez, who has tallied 377 yards rushing and four TD’s. This tandem will keep the Gamecocks defense back peddling all game. While the stellar (and I mean STELLAR) defense of the Wildcats shut down the very pedestrian offense of the Gamecocks. South Carolina is 1-6 ATS the last seven games in conference play, 1-5-1 ATS the last seven games played as a home ‘dog, and 2-6 ATS the last eight games played vs. teams with a winning record. Lay the short price with Kentucky here. Thank you.

Kansas State.

BIG 12 GOM.

Game 369.

4:00 pm pst.

Both teams are 3-0. But that’s where their similarities end. The Oklahoma State offense is a far cry from the squads we have grown accustomed to. They can’t run the ball with any efficiency. And their passing game is the poorest we have seen in years. Now the struggling “O” must face one of the nation’s toughest defenses (15.7 PPG allowed) with a top-10 unit against the rush. Kansas State has faced not one but two good teams (Stanford and Nevada) and have crushed both. Running back, Deuce Vaughn (371 yards rushing 5 TD’s) is a monster. He will shred the Cowboys defense and allow the Wildcats to open up their passing attack. Kansas State is 8-2 ATS the last 10 meetings in this series, 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played as an underdog, 12-4 ATS the last 16 games played against conference opponents, 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played on the road, and 19-9 ATS the last 28 games played overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Louisville.

CONSENSUS.

Game 367.

12:30 pm pst.

Florida State is a mess. They are 0-3 SU (1-2 ATS). Granted they lost to a ranked Notre Dame team in their opener. But losing to Jacksonville State as a 28-point favorite is something to be concerned about. You would have thought, if they had any pride or talent, they would have bounced back after that loss. But no, they got smoked by Wake Forest, 35-14. Louisville is a solid, well-balanced club. The Cardinals took down the Seminoles last year, 48-14. Malik Cunningham and Jalen Mitchell are an outstanding 1-2 offensive punch. FSU just can’t stop the pass at all. Dual-threat Cunningham will establish the offense in the air and then run off the pass and move the chains. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS their last five games played in this series. The Seminoles are 4-11 ATS their last 15 games played overall. Take Louisville. Thank you.

Boston College.

Oddsmakers Mistake Play.

Game 344.

9:00 am pst.

Pay no mind to the fact that quarterback, Jurkovic went down. Senior, Grosel is an able backup. Besides, when you have a rushing attack accounting for over 205.7 YPG and you’re lining up against one of the nations weakest run defenses, it won’t matter. The Eagles will control the clock and the tempo. When on “D”, the very stingy BC stop-unit will contain the Tigers “O”. Missouri is 1-6 ATS their last seven games played as a road favorite, 0-6 ATS their last six games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-6 ATS their last six games played overall. Take Boston College. Thank you.

Seattle.

Las Vegas Strip Move.

Game 292.

1:25 pm pst.

Tennessee is a mess off the field as well as on it. Health protocols and injuries are already taking its toll in this team and it’s only Week 2. They were shelled by Arizona last week, 38-13. Now they must face one of the most complete teams in football. The Titans allowed Kyler Murray to light them up. Well, Russell Wilson will absolutely scorch them. Even if they didn’t have to contend with injuries and illnesses, they wouldn’t be to compete on this matchup. They are 0-4 ATS their last four games played in the month of September. Seattle is 5-0 ATS their last five games played this month. Take the Seahawks. Thank you.

Denver.

High Roller.

Game 283.

10:00 am pst.

Guys, I like Urban Meyer. And I like Trevor Lawrence. However, I like what I see in the Denver Broncos a heck of a lot more. Teddy Bridgewater and Melvin Gordon provide the perfect 1-2 punch to knockout most NFL defenses. And the Jacksonville defense, if you wanna’ call it that, they are in for a longer season than last year. Last week against Houston, they allowed 289 YP and 160 YR. Bridgewater and Gordon are salivating right now folks. Von Miller and the ferocious Broncos LB corps are going to go after the young Lawrence, wreak havoc, and create turnovers. Denver is still a well-kept secret to offer value, at least for another week or so. Here’s some ATS stats for you. Jacksonville is 3-8 ATS their last 11 games played vs. the AFC, 2-5 ATS their last seven games played at home, and 1-4 ATS their last five games played overall. Under a TD is an early Christmas present. Take the Broncos. Thank you.

San Diego State.

Consensus.

Game 178.

4:00 pm pst.

San Diego State can run the ball successfully against any defense in the nation. They also have one of the best defenses we’ve seen thus far. Utah, on paper, should have beaten BYU last week. But was manhandled, eventually losing 26-17. Sure, they can beat the likes of Weber State. But here they are overmatched. The Aztecs will control the tempo and the clock with their stellar rushing attack, keeping the Utes defense on the field and tired come the second half. Utah’s only weapons are running back’s, Bernard and Thomas. But the San Diego State eight ranked rush defense will contain the pair. The Utes are 2-6 ATS their last eight games played as a favorite, 1-8 ATS their last nine games played in September, and 0-5 ATS their last five nonconference games. Take the Aztecs. Thank you.

Iowa.

Annihilator.

Game 148.

12:30 pm pst.

Laying this type of lumber isn’t an issue here folks. Going back to last season, Iowa has won eight consecutive outings SU, going 7-1 ATS. Granted, this is bit higher of a price than they are used to laying, but Kent State is clearly outclassed and overmatched. This is the last tune-up game the Hawkeyes have before they start facing tough opponents and conference foes. Their stout and stingy defense will shut down the Golden Flashes “O” even worse than the last time they stepped up in class, a 41-10 loss to the Aggies just two weeks ago. Since 2002, Kent State has been outscored by 41.1 PPG while going 0-10 vs. top-10 teams. Iowa is 8-2 ATS their last 10 nonconference games. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

Purdue.

Touchdown.

Game 137.

11:30 am pst.

For the life of me, I can’t figure out how Notre Dame can be ranked 12th in the nation. Guys, they have no rushing attack whatsoever. Their QB, Wisconsin-transfer, Jack Croan ….it’s not his six TD’s that impresses me. It’s his two interceptions that stand out far more to me. The team needed overtime to beat FSU and then need a last-minute score to beat Toledo. COME ON. Their swiss-cheese like offensive line has yielded 10 sacks against two mediocre defenses. On the flipside, their defense is getting plowed for 5.0 YPC and has yielded 5 TD’s on the ground. Well folks, in comes a Purdue team riding high after a season-opening win and cover over Oregon State and then a real confidence building 49-0 shutout over UConn. QB, Jack Plummer is the real deal. He’s a great leader and has at his disposal, amazing receivers in TE, Durham, and WR Bell. He’s also got two solid ball-carriers in Dourue and Downing. And it’s that backfield that will earn them this win here. The Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS the last six games played at the Fighting Irish. I like them outright so the +7.5 is a gift. Take Purdue. Thank you.

Virginia Tech.

NO LIMIT.

Game 119.

9:00 am pst.

The Virginia Tech defense is going to maul the slow-footed, West Virginia quarterback, Jarrett Doege while Braxton Burmeister (311 yards passing 7/2 in the air and 94 yards rushing and one TD on the ground) and his arsenal of weapons cut through the Mountaineers “D” like a hot knife through butter. The Hokies are 7-2 ATS their last nine games played as an underdog and 5-2 ATS their last seven games played in this series. Take Virginia Tech. Thank you.

Baltimore.

MNF winner.

Game 481.

5:15 pm pst.

With so many underdogs (11 of 15) not just covering, but also winning outright (8 of 15), Baltimore won’t take any chances this Monday Night Football contest. Ravens head coach, John Harbaugh is notorious for covering in the teams’ season-opener, going 5-0 ATS their last five in Week 1. They also get us bettors paid when in this situation, going 5-1 ATS their last six games played vs. the AFC, 4-1 ATS their last five games played on the road, 8-3 ATS their last 11 games played as a road favorite, and 12-5 ATS their last 17 games played on MNF. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Denver.

High Roller.

Game 475.

1:25 pm pst.

New York quarterback, Daniel Jones better take some life insurance out this week. He will be mauled by Von Miller and Bradley Chubb and the now full-strength Denver “D”. The Giants are in for a very long season and starting it off in Week 1 against the new and improved Broncos which are out to make a statement, just might be fatal. Denver is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series and 6-1 ATS their last seven games played on fieldturf. New York is 0-4 ATS their last four games played in week 1 and 6-17-1 ATS their last 24 games played at home. Take the Broncos. Thank you.

Seattle.

Las Vegas Strip Move.

Game 465.

10:00 am pst.

The Colts are dealing with COVID issues along with some key injuries. But even at full strength, Indianapolis just doesn’t match up well with Seattle. The Seahawks are strong both up front and in their secondary. The seasoned Russell Wilson-led team are notoriously strong starters, going 4-0 ATS their last four games played in the month of September. The Colts are not, going 1-11-1 ATS their last 13 games played in Week 1 and 0-5 ATS their last five games played as a home ‘dog. Take Seattle. Thank you.   

Utah.

Holy War Winner.

Game 383.

7:15 pm pst.

Utah has dominated the “Holy War” winning the L9 meetings with their in-state rival, BYU. My friends I was in attendance last Saturday at Allegiant Stadium when BYU came to town to meet the doormat also known as Arizona. They eked by with a win and no cover. In no way, shape, matter, or form is this the same Cougars team that suffered just one loss a year ago. It’s not just the departure of Zach Wilson, who is now donning a New York Jets uniform. He’s gone, the running game is gone, and a few major defenders are gone too. Utah is a solid squad. Under head coach, Kyle Wittingham, they are smart, disciplined, and make very few mistakes. The explosive offense returns 10 starters and has added QB Charlie Brewer. You may remember from his time at Baylor, carving up BIG 12 defenses for over 9700 yards passing and 65 TD’s. Oh, the offense also added a couple of Power-5 transfers in their backfield as well. This unit will light up scoreboards this season BIG TIME. The Utes are 5-0 ATS their last five games played at the Cougars. BYU is 2-5 ATS their last seven games played vs. the PAC 12. Take Utah. Thank you.

Texas.

Wiseguy Play.

Game 371.

4:00 pm pst.

Texas thumped a very good ULL team last week. The 1-2 punch of quarterback, Hudson Card and running back, Bijan Robinson are too much for an Arkansas defense that has more leaks than the Titanic. The team was losing to Rice thru three quarters last week. The Razorbacks are a rushing team. Well, the Longhorns are reported to possess one of the toughest run defenses in their conference. Steve Sarkisian has his “O” resembling ‘Bama from his days with them. Texas is 5-0 ATS their last five nonconference games and 4-1 ATS their last five games played as a road favorite. Arkansas is 3-10-2 ATS their last 15 nonconference games and 5-16 ATS their last 21 games played following a SU win. Take the Longhorns. Thank you.

Liberty.

Consensus play.

Game 367.

4:00 pm pst.

Just because a game doesn’t consist of Power-5 teams doesn’t mean there isn’t gold in them thar hills. The Liberty Flames weren’t just a good team a season ago, going 10-1 SU including a big Bowl victory, they were also money to us bettors. The Flames went 9-2 ATS in the 2020/2021 campaign, rattling off eight straight covers to finish the season. Quarterback, Malik Wills is a stud. Last year he had a 64% completion rate, 2,040 yards passing, 20 TD’s and only 4 INT’s. Add another 900 plus yards and 14 more scores on the ground and each game Wills can star in his own highlight reel. With him at the helm, opposing defenses stay on the field a long time and come the 2nd half, run out of gas. Troy is a good team. But they are not a great team. Missouri-transfer, QB, Taylor Powell has Trojans fans very excited. However, overall, they just don’t have the personnel to compete in this contest. Particularly on the stop-end of the ball. Liberty is 8-0 ATS their last eight nonconference games, 6-1ATS their last seven games played vs. the Sunbelt conference, and 23-8 ATS their last 31games played on the road. Take the Flames. Thank you.

Air Force.

Touchdown play.

Game 337.

12:30 pm pst.

Once again, this season, the Navy offense looks to be struggling. They accounted for just seven points in their season-opening, 49-7 shellacking by Marshall. This makes four consecutive games they have posted seven or less points. Things will go from bad to worse here as they face a very tough Air Force defense. The Falcons will control the clock and the tempo, keeping the Middies “D” on their heels the entire contest. Air Force is 4-1 ATS their last five meetings with Navy, 21-8 ATS their last 29 nonconference games, and 4-1 ATS their last five games played following an ATS loss. Take the Falcons. Thank you.

Notre Dame.

Gridiron Play.

Game 334.

11:30 am pst.

After losing their final two games last season, Notre Dame had problems in their season-opening win and no cover last week with Florida State. If the Irish are going to be taken seriously in the polls, they must destroy all lesser foes. Toledo is a lesser foe. Notre Dame is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS their last five game played vs. MAC opponents. The Rockets are in way over their head here. They are 0-4 ATS their last four games played vs. teams with a winning record, 0-6 ATS their last six games played as a road underdog, and 0-5 ATS their last five games played following an ATS win. Take the Fighting Irish. Thank you.

Nevada.

Consensus Play.

Game 217.

7:30 pm pst.

8 Stars.

+3.5.

MWC contender, Nevada is a monster team. They have a Heisman-hopeful at the helm in Carson Strong. The quarterback tossed for over 2,585 yards with 27 TD’s, and just four INT’s. Cal is supposed to have a strong defense. However, they give up a lot of points. The Wolfpack plays strong, smart, aggressive football. And certainly, when stepping up, has done very, very well. Take Nevada. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

Super Bowl LV WINNER.

Game 101.

3:30 pm pst.

In a game that puts together the defending Super Bowl Champion and the league’s hottest young quarterback against a team led by the winningest quarterback in the history of the league, do away with all the smoke and mirrors. These two teams met back in the end of November in this same stadium, with Kansas City prevailing, 27-24. Patrick Mahomes bested Tom Brady. These are the NFL’s No.1 and No.2 passing offenses. Tampa Bay did away with the running attack for most of the season but as of late started to utilize the ground game. Kansas City has a mediocre rushing attack and has had a bit more success on the ground. Both offenses put up about the same number of points.

A lot has been spoken about the Bucs defense being stellar against the run. They are. But these are two of the best QB’s in the game and both units are primarily passing attacks. Having said that, overall, these two defenses yield about the same number of points, literally a half-point difference.

This game is going to come down to four major factors. First, coaching, Andy Reid is a much sharper coach with a better and more experienced playoff staff around him than Bruce Arians. Second, defense. We all know how good these offenses are. But the Chiefs are significantly better against the pass ranking 14th compared the Buccaneers, which are 28th. Third, special teams. Both have good kickers but KC has much better return specialists. Last, mistakes. And Patrick Mahomes has been more consistent than Tom Brady and overall, the Chiefs turn the ball over less. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS L5 playoff games and 11-5 ATS L16 vs. teams with a winning record. Tale Kansas City. Thank you.

PROPS

The first set of props consist of smart money plays that offer little risk. The second set are a few props that offer huge value with a chance for a big payday.

-Will Game Be Tied After 0-0, YES -110

-Largest Lead of The Game 14.5 Points, Under +100

-Total Sacks by Both Teams 3.5, OVER -120

-Shortest FG Under 27.5 Yards, YES -110

-Total Interceptions by Both Teams 1.5, Over +140

-Patrick Mahomes TD Passes 3, Over +200

-Darrel Williams Longest Rush 8.5 Yards, Over -110

-Travis Kelce Total Receptions 7.5, Over -135

-Harrison Butker Total FG’s 1.5, Over -125

-Tom Brady TD Passes 2, Over -125

-Leonard Fournette Total Rushing Yards 46.5, Over -110

-Mike Evans Total Receptions 4.5, Over -120

-Chris Godwin Total Receptions 5.5, Over -110

-Ryan Succop Total FG’s 1.5, Over -120

-----------------------------------------------------------------

-Will Game Be Decided by Exactly 3 Points, YES +425

-Will There Be More Than 3.5 Kickoff Returns, Yes +170

-First Score of The Game FG/Safety, YES +190

-Will There Be A Safety, Yes +800

-Will There be a Defensive TD, Yes +250

-Total Number of Kickoff Returns by Both Teams 3.5, Over +170

Buffalo Bills.

AFC TITLE GAME WINNER.

Game 313.

3:40 pm pst.

The defending Super Bowl champion, Kansas City Chiefs certainly deserve all their praise. But they haven’t covered

a game since November 1. As a matter of fact, their last seven regular season wins came by 2, 4, 3, 6, 6, 3, and 3 points. Throw in the mix last week’s six-point win over the Cleveland Browns, who outscored them in the 2nd half, and you realize they aren’t as unbeatable as their record shows. The Buffalo Bills enter this contest winning their last eight SU and going 9-1 ATS their last 10. In the regular-season matchup, the Chiefs came off their first loss of the campaign and was focused to bounce back against a still-maturing Bills squad. Buffalo has the confidence, the momentum, and the defense to rattle Patrick Mahomes and slow the Kansas City offense down. On the flip side, Josh Allen is 6-0 vs. top-10 total defenses this season. The Bills “O” ranks 2nd in scoring, putting up over 31.3 PPG. This doesn’t bode well as the Chiefs “D” is very beatable. Buffalo is 5-1 ATS L6 at the Chiefs, 4-0 ATS L4 on the road, 7-1-2 ATS L10 as a road ‘dog, and 6-1 ATS L7 vs. the AFC. Kansas City is 1-4 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record, 0-5 ATS L5 at home, 0-4 ATS L4 as a home fav, and 0-5 ATS L5 vs. the AFC. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

NFC TITLE GAME WINNER.

Game 312.

12:05 pm pst.

In a rematch from a mid-October meeting in which Tampa Bay throttled Green Bay, 38-10, you can expect a very different outcome here. That meeting was before the Packers offense became more well-balanced. The Buccaneers defense is good, but is vulnerable to the pass. Last week’s performance against Drew Brees, they took advantage of his diminished arm strength. Well, that’s not going to happen here. In comes Aaron Rodgers (48 TD’s, 5 INT’s, 70.7% CR, 4,299 YP) and one of the most explosive aerial assaults in the NFL. RB, Aaron Jones will keep the Tampa Bay “D” honest, allowing Rodgers to light up the sky in the air vs. the 21st ranked pass defense of the Bucs. We all know Tampa Bay abandoned the run this season. They don’t run the ball at all. When good, aggressive defenses go up against Tom Brady and key on him, the TB “O” sputters. Let’s face it the GB stop-unit vastly improved over the last two months, holding all opponents to 25 or less points. Remember that the Packers score 30 or more 13 times this season and have not turned the ball over in 11 outings. They rank No.1 in the NFL in offensive miscues. They don’t make mistakes. The Home Team is 5-2 ATS L7 meetings in this series. Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS L10 in the month of January. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS L6 playoffs home games. Take the Packers. Thank you.

NO.

NFC GAME OF THE YEAR.

Game 308.

3:40 pm pst.

With no running game to speak of, Tampa Bay solely relies upon Tom Brady throwing the ball. Well, New Orleans owns a tough defense (21.1 PPG allowed) that ranks 5th vs. the pass. They have bested Brady and the Bucs both meetings this season SU and ATS and going back a bit, have won and covered five straight in this series. Drew Brees is 100% healthy and has the dangerous Alvin Kamara running the ball. Also, perhaps the most dangerous RB in the NFL coming out of the backfield as a receiver. Brees will hook up often with stellar wideouts, Harris and Thomas especially against the very vulnerable pass defense of the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS L5 in January and 1-4 ATS L5 as a road underdog. New Orleans is 7-1 ATS L8 vs. the NFC and 8-2 ATS L10 overall. Take the Saints. Thank you.

Cleveland.

VIM.

Game 305.

12:05 pm pst.

KC deserves their praise. However, the oddsmakers have “inflated” their lines thus resulting in this team failing to cover their last eight outings. While Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense can score, the defense leaves a lot to be desired. Particularly against the run. Every decent ground attack has piled up yardage and points on Kansas City. Well, in comes the NFL’s 3rd ranked rushing unit. While RB’s, Chubb and Hunt, who have combined for over 2,000 yards rushing and 20 TD’s on the ground, keep the KC defense honest and allow Baker Mayfield, who has thrown just one INT in the last 10 games, to hook up with his arsenal of receivers. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS L4 at home and 0-4 ATS L4 vs. the AFC. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

Baltimore.

SMP.

Game 303.

5:15 pm pst.

Giving Lamar Jackson and the NFL’s No.1 rushing attack points in the playoffs is a mistake. This is a team that enters this contest winning six in a row SU and seven straight ATS. The matchup favors the Ravens ground attack against the lax 17th ranked rush defense of the Bills. When the postseason inexperienced Josh Allen and the Buffalo squad has the ball, they must line up against the No.2 stop-unit in football. The Baltimore “D” has made a habit of shutting down offenses that usually account for 30 points per game. The Ravens are 7-0 ATS L7 playoff road games, 16-5 ATS L21 vs. the AFC, 9-3 ATS L12 in January, and 20-8 ATS L28 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

GB.

BCP.

Game 302.

1:35 pm pst.

There is no team in the NFL that is as “Jekyll & Hyde” as LA. While Green Bay has played the most consistent football in the league this season. Jared Goff will be under center here. That thumb injury may be a factor folks. The Rams won’t be able to keep pace offensively with the No.1 scoring offense in the NFL. FYI, the Packers defense have held their last six opponents to an average of 18.5 PPG. When Green Bay has the ball, the “Big 3” of Rodgers, Adams, and Jones will keep the Los Angeles “D” on the field, on their toes, and very busy. The favorite is 9-1 ATS L10 meetings in this series. The Rams are 0-6 ATS L6 vs. the Packers. The Packers are 7-2 ATS L9 in the month of January. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

Alabama.

NCAAF CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER.

Game 500.

5:00 pm pst.

With the National Championship game upon us, for the first time in a long time there are no arguments, no debates, and no protests as to why other teams are more deserving to be here. The last two undefeated ranked teams in the nation square off in the matchup everyone was hoping for.

 I made the line here between -8 and -10 points depending on injury/illness. When it officially came out making Alabama a seven-point favorite, the public immediately bet it up to -8 and it is now floating between -7 and -8.  

 For many years the favorite won and covered in the Title game. Then the tide (no pun intended) flowed in the opposite direction with the underdogs not just covering but winning a few contests outright as well.

 For me personally, I am torn. When I was a kid in the early ‘70’s, my father, a respected horse player and sports bettor, turned on the tube one Saturday morning to watch a game he had wagered on. I took one look at Paul “Bear” Bryant on the sideline, arms folded with that stoic look on his face, and that patented houndstooth fedora and I immediately fell in love with Alabama football. But there are two places your heart doesn’t belong, in love and in sports betting.

 Growing up now, the handicapper in me instantly leaned on the underdog here with all those points. Especially after last week’s dismantling of a Trevor Lawrence-led Clemson team in the Sugar Bowl. Many out there felt (including me) that Ohio State did not belong in the CFP. Prior to last week’s CFP semifinal, I did not feel the Buckeyes would be so dominating on both sides of the ball. They showed how good they are by overcoming a seven-point deficit to then outscore the Tigers 42-14. However, there are no more cards up OSU’s sleeve, the cat is out of the bag now. ‘Bama has seen all they can do. And there are very few coaches as good at preparing a squad for a big game as Nick Saban. And a big no-no in betting is not judging a team solely from their last performance.

 Saban and Alabama does have their work cut out for them. Ohio State has a well-balanced offense and Justin Fields has taken his game to another level. This is a unit that ranks 42nd in passing, 5th in rushing, and 8th in scoring. Take note, that this “O” revolves around Fields and last week he got banged up a bit against Brent Venables “D”. He will play but those ribs might still be tender here and that may be a factor. Speaking of injuries, the Buckeyes injured list is so long it rivals a Bill Belichick Patriots list (check status). Something the Crimson Tide doesn’t have to worry about, being just about full strength.

 Head coach Ryan Day must be concerned with the vastly improved defense of Alabama. Outside of the shootout with Florida in the SEC Title game, Pete Golding’s stop-unit have held every opponent to 24 or less since early-October.

 On the opposite side of the ball, Mac Jones and the explosive Crimson Tide offensive juggernaut, which accounts for 49.7 PPG, the Buckeyes will not have the same success defensively as last week in getting their foe off the field. Bama’s big three, Mac Jones, Najee Harris, and DeVonta Smith will control the clock and keep the OSU defense on the field and more importantly, their offense off of it. Mac Jones is smart and savvy and has the luxury being protected by one of the biggest and stoutest offensive lines in the nation.  

 Ryan Day is a sharp guy and his team is loaded with talent but they are not impervious to perhaps being in a letdown situation here either. That game last week vs. the Tigers was a matchup the Buckeyes were dreaming of since being ousted from last year’s CFP semifinal by Clemson. Maybe the wind just might be out of their sails a bit here.

 Ohio State is 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS win and 1-4 ATS the last five vs. teams with a winning record. Alabama is 7-1 ATS the last eight following an ATS loss and 7-1 ATS the last eight vs. the Big Ten.

 Being that this line is around a hot number, listen to Smokey Robinson’s mama, and shop around and get the best number you can. Lay the points and roll with the Tide. Take Alabama. Thank you.

WFT.

SMP.

Game 146.

5:15 pm pst

Washington has come alive the latter half of the season, wining five of their final seven games both SU and ATS. Their defense has held every opponent since mid-November to 20 points or less. Tampa Bay with Tom Brady has become solely a passing offense abandoning the run the entire season. This is a problem today as the WFT secondary ranks No.2 in passing yards allowed and 4th overall in scoring. Washington is 4-0 ATS L4 following a SU win, 4-1 ATS L5 as an underdog, and 4-0 ATS L4 on Saturday. Take the WFT. Thank you.

NO.

NFC SOUTH GOM.

Game 113.

1:25 pm pst.

The Saints can clinch the No.1 seed in the NFC with a win here and some help. RB, Alvin Kamara is out. But the offense is loaded with playmakers while the defense ranks among the best in the NFL. The Saints are 5-1 ATS L6 at the Panthers, 6-1 ATS L& vs. the NFC South, and 15-6 ATS L21 as a road favorite. Take New Orleans. Thank you.

Tennessee.

AFC SOUTH GOM.

Game 111.

1:25 pm pst.

Tennessee needs to win for a chance at the postseason. They own one of the best scoring offenses in the NFL (30.0 PPG). RB, Derrick Henry is looking to hit the 2,000-yard milestone and has a very good shot at it as he faces the league’s 31st ranked run defense. The favorite is 10-3 ATS L13 meetings in this series. The Texans are 2-5 ATS L7 at home, 3-8 ATS L11 as an underdog, and 5-11 ATS L16 overall. Take the Titans. Thank you.

Dallas.

NFC EAST GOM.

Game 107.

10:00 am pst.

A few things need to happen for Dallas to take the NFC East and make the playoffs. But they first need to win here. They have won and covered three straight as their defense has stepped up and both Andy Dalton Ezekiel Elliott are playing their best football of the season. Oh, and both are looking to reach season milestones. The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS L7 meetings in this series. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Iowa State.

Fiesta Bowl Winner.

Game 496.

1:00 pm pst.

On both sides of the ball, we can expect the well-balanced and more battel-tested Cyclones to dominate here. The 2020/2021 Ducks are not as explosive as past squads. Look for one of the nation’s best 1-2 punches of QB, Brock Purdy (2,594 YP, 66.4% CR, 18/9) and RB, Breece Hall (1,436 YR, 19 TD’s) to control the tempo and the clock while the ISU stop-unit (21.8 PPG allowed) contains the Oregon offense. The Ducks are 7-15 ATS L22 following an ATS win and 5-11-1 ATS L17 nonconference games. Iowa State is 5-1 ATS L6 as a favorite and 16-7 ATS L23 following a SU loss. Take the Cyclones. Thank you.

Indiana.

Outback Bowl Winner.

Game 494.

9:30 am pst.

Things are going to get ugly for the Mississippi offense here. Their two best receivers, Elijah Moore and Kenny Yeboah opted out prior to the LSU matchup (53-48 loss and no cover). The duo caught 55% of the passes this season and 50% of the TD’s. Without the tandem on the field, Indiana and their 19th ranked defense can key on the ground game. But things get even uglier as the Hoosiers offense (30.1 PPG) line up against just about the worst defense in college football (127th vs. the pass, 104th vs. the rush, 122nd in scoring). Backup quarterback, Jack Tuttle believe it or not owns a better QBR than did starter, Michael Penix Jr. Indiana is 7-0 ATS in 2020, 4-1 ATS last five vs. losers, and 4-1 ATS last five nonconference games.Take the Hoosiers. Thank you.

Clemson.

BOWL GOY/SUGAR BOWL WINNER.

Game 334.

5:45 pm pst.

Many people in and out of the college football arena feel that Ohio State does not belong in the CFP. I will leave the debating to those who DO NOT bet on games. I say they do belong here for the sole purpose of them being outclassed gets us paid in this matchup. Just over the past month, the Buckeyes have struggled with the Scarlett Knights, Hoosiers, and Wildcats. And folks, you can combine those three teams and still wouldn’t be close to the talent level that Tigers possess. They have gotten burned for 260.3 yards per game in the air in 2020.

I have two words for you, Trevor Lawrence. He is always superb but since returning to action from covid protocol he has been stellar. Don’t forget, he personally took down Ohio State in the 2019 Fiesta Bowl when the Buckeyes were a more talented team than the current squad. Not only will he shred them in the air but the uncharitable Clemson defense (27th vs. the pass, 9th vs. the run, 11th in scoring) will shut them down offensively. The Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS the last six vs. the ACC and 0-4 ATS the last four vs. winners. The Tigers are 10-2 ATS the last 12 Bowls and 17-4 ATS the last 21 on neutral sites. Take Clemson. Thank you.

NORTHWESTERN.

Citrus Bowl WINNER.

Game 330.

10:00 am pst.

In a peculiar Bowl season this game actually puts together two teams that should be Bowling. Both are six-win teams from Power-five conferences. For those of you who enjoy nostalgia, eleven years to the day after facing off in a thrilling bowl game, these two teams meet again on New Year's Day in the Citrus Bowl at Orlando, Florida. The teams played in the 2010 Outback Bowl, with the Tigers pulling out a 38-35 overtime victory. Current Kansas City Chiefs quarterbacks coach Mike Kafka completed 47 of 78 passes for 532 yards with four touchdowns and five interceptions for the Wildcats. Wow, how’s that for eerie?

 Both teams are in different places mentally. The Tigers have since fired head coach, Gus Malzahn and hired Boise State boss, Bryan Harsin. On the flip side, the Wildcats might be the most harmonious team in action right now. As a matter of fact, the game will be the last in the career of Northwestern's defensive coordinator Mike Hankwitz, who would reach 400 career wins if the Wildcats win here. Trust me, the team will go all out for their DC here. While neither team possesses a very exciting or explosive offense, the big disparity here is on the defensive side of the ball. Northwestern owns the nation’s 5th ranked stop-unit, yielding only 15.5 PPG. This is a squad that is equally strong against the pass and the run. In recent years it seems that teams have abandoned the basics, but not the Wildcats. And that will be the difference in this matchup. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS L5 vs. the Big Ten, 0-4 ATS L4 vs. winners, and 0-4 ATS L4 in January. Take Northwestern. Thank you.

Cincinnati.

Peach Bowl WINNER.

Game 327.

9:00 am pst.

 There are those out there that will automatically take the SEC team in a matchup over the AAC representative. Well, that may have worked in the past, but 2020 is full of surprises. And if we have learned anything, it’s that we must expect the unexpected. With all respect to head coach Kirby Smart and the Bulldogs, they are not unbeatable. They were picked apart by quarterbacks Mac Jones and Kyle Trask. Sports fans, Desmond Riddler (2,090 yards passing, 66.4% completion rate, 17/6) may not be as popular as the previously mentioned, but he is darn good and has an arsenal of receivers to dissect the 90th ranked pass defense of Georgia. Then there is the way we look at the Bulldogs when they are on offense. They have very pedestrian numbers. Sure, they can smash lesser defenses like that of the Razorbacks, Gamecocks, and Tigers (Missouri) but this defense they face here, is not a lesser one. And don’t think for a moment that the Bearcats ”D”, which ranks 8th nationally (16.0 PPG) can be intimidated here. Cincy is 4-1 ATS the last five nonconference games and 4-0 ATS the last four games played as an underdog. Take the points with Cincy here and watch an AAC rep gets you paid over the mighty SEC. Take the Bearcats. Thank you.

San Jose State.

Arizona Bowl WINNER.

Game 322.

11:00 am pst.

 Ball State vs. San Jose State -9.5: If ever a team was in “let down” mode it is Ball State following their 38-28 victory over Buffalo in the MAC Title game nearly two weeks ago. This is the matchup they will sorely miss their top running back, Caleb Huntley (opted out). Playing in the MAC, the Cardinals have not faced a defense as well-balanced or as ferocious as the Spartans (13th, 17.9 PPG allowed). On the other side of the ball, look for quarterback, Nick Starkel (1,906 yards passing, 65.1% completion rate, 16/4) and the top-20 SJ State passing attack to put up the best numbers of 2020 against the 119th ranked pass defense of Ball State. The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS the last four Bowl games. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS the last six in the month of December. Take San Jose State. Thank you.  

Tulsa.

Armed Forces Bowl Winner.

Game 318.

9:00 am pst.

It’s just not a good situation for Mike Leach and his Mississippi State Bulldogs. In a “normal” season, this 3-7 team wouldn’t be able to play in a Bowl. Several players have opted out. The few wins they had were far from convincing. They account for a dismal, 20.7 PPG. And they are one of the nation’s worst at turning the ball over.

 Just the opposite for the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. They are money, covering seven of eight outings in 2020. Their only losses came at the hands of notables Oklahoma State and Cincinnati. And they are stacked with talent on both sides of the ball. Particularly on the “D” side where they allow just 20.8 PPG. Tulsa is 6-1 ATS the last seven Bowls. Take the Golden Hurricane. Thank you.

Oklahoma.

Game 316.

4:15 pm pst.

Early season losses kept Oklahoma from a CFP spot. But it didn’t stop them from being motivated to win. Both teams will be able to pass the ball but Florida is without their biggest playmaker and Kyle Trask’s “go to” guy, TE, Kyle Pitts (opted out). This will make it tougher for the Gators. The Sooners defense improved as the season progressed and kept quite a few solid offenses in check. Florida is 2-8 ATS L10 on field turf and 1-3-1 ATS L5 overall. Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS L7 vs. the SEC and 6-1 ATS L7 overall. Take the Sooners. Thank you.  

Dolphins.

LVSM.

Game 461.

5:15 pm pst.

The Raiders defense is one of the worst in football, ranking 29th and yielding 30.1 PPG. The Dolphins need to keep winning to maintain a postseason spot. This is a team that has been money winning eight of their last 10 SU and going 9-1 ATS. Very quietly they own the NFL’s No.1 defense allowing foes a mere 18.4 PPG. Going back a decade, they have taken five of six meetings with the raiders SU while covering all six. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS L10 at home, 2-7 ATS L9 in December, and 0-4 ATS L4 overall. Miami is 4-0 ATS L4 vs. the AFC, 5-0 ATS L5 in December, and 20-6 ATS L26 overall. Take the Dolphins. Thank you.

Liberty.

Game 283.

4:30 pm pst.

Things changed for Cinderella at midnight. And the same will happen for Coastal Carolina here. Liberty’s sole defeat was a 15-14 cover against NC State. Superstar, Malik Willis (2,040 yards passing 20/4 in the air, 807 yards rushing 10 TD’s on the ground) has the offensive personnel to control the clock and keep the Coastal Carolina offense off the gridiron.
 When the Chanticleers do have the ball, they will be threatened by one of the best and most well-balanced (10th vs. the pass, 26th vs. the run) in the nation.

 The Flames are 21-7 ATS the last 28 as an underdog, 5-1 ATS the last six vs. the Sun Belt, and 7-0 ATS the last seven overall.Take Liberty as the carriage turns into a pumpkin here. Take Liberty. Thank you.

Cardinals.

NFC WEST GOM.

Game 460.

1:30 pm pst.

No matter who is at the QB position, San Francisco is in trouble here. They are severely undermanned at quite a few key spots and without a true ballcarrier, they will have problems moving the chains. Arizona is fighting for a playoff spot as the Cardinals are red-hot, winning and covering their last two outings. The 49ers are 0-5-1 ATS L6 meetings in this series, 1-5 ATS L6 vs. the NFC, and 1-6 ATS L7 overall. The Cards are 4-1-1 ATS L6 in December, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. losers, and 6-2-2 ATS L10 following an ATS win. Take Arizona. Thank you.

UTSA.

Game 286.

12:30 pm pst.

This is way too many points for a Ragin’ Cajuns team to lay against the competitive and feisty Roadrunners squad. UTSA covered big numbers against such notables as BYU and UAB. They have the ground game to keep this one close.

 ULL is 2-5 ATS the last seven vs. winners and 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS win. UTSA is 5-1 ATS the last six vs. winners and 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. nonconference opponents.Take the Roadrunners. Thank you.

Saints.

Game 452.

1:30 pm pst.

Minny is riding a five-game no cover streak and possesses one of the poorest defenses against the rush in the NFL. Alvin Kamara will move the chains on the ground allowing Drew Brees to open up the passing game while also allowing the QB to shake of any rust before the postseason begins. On the other side of the ball, the only offensive weapon the Vikings have is Dalvin Cook. But the Saints “D: ranks 4th in the league yielding just 95.6 YPG on the ground. Minnesota is 2-5 ATS L7 meetings in this series, 0-4 ATS L4 vs. the NFC, and 1-4 ATS L5 in December. New Orleans is 9-2 ATS L11 vs. losers, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the NFC, and 5-2 ATS L7 overall. Take the Saints. Thank you.

Buffalo.

Game 280.

10:30 am pst.

Teams have figured out how to shut down the Marshall offense (13 total points scored the last two games) thus resulting in their defense spending way too much time on the field.

 Well, no team in the nation can keep a defense busy and on the field like the No.1 rushing unit of Buffalo. The Bulls come in here looking for vengeance following their first loss of the season.

 They are 6-2 ATS the last eight vs. C-USA, 4-0 ATS the last four following a SU loss, and 11-3 ATS the last 14 overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you.  

Memphis.

Game 275.

4:00 pm pst.

Memphis owns an explosive, well-balanced offense (31.6 PPG). This is a unit that can burn you both on the ground as well as in the air. Granted, the FAU “D” is one of the best in the nation (16.5 PPG allowed). But what good is having a strong defense if your offense can’t move the chains at all and just about every time you have the ball it’s a three-an-out? Their offense is so bad (20.0 PPG) it just doesn’t eat up any clock to give their stop-unit and rest. By the second half, the Owls defense will be gasping for air in this matchup.

 Tigers Quarterback, Brady White (3,096 yards passing 28/9) and running back, Rodrigues Clark (563 yards rushing) will put up career stats here.

 Memphis is 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. C-USA. FAU is 1-4 ATS the last five overall. Take Memphis. Thank you.

Nevada.

Game 270.

12:30 pm pst.

Tulane is making a 1,900-mile trip to play in freezing cold weather here. The Green Wave are a one-dimensional offense relying solely upon the run. That’s going to be a problem as the Wolfpack own the nation’s 30th ranked rush defense. On the flipside, Nevada and their seasoned and savvy QB, Carson Strong (2,587 YP, 69.4% CR, 22/4) will carve up the Tulane 115th ranked passing defense with their top-10 passing unit. The Wolfpack are used to playing in this weather and more importantly, in this stadium. Nevada is 5-0 ATS L5 as an underdog, 4-1-1 ATS L6 Bowl games, 7-2-1 ATS L10 in December, and 9-4 ATS L13 overall. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you.

NO.

Game 366.

125.

With Drew Brees most-likely back at the helm and tied for the best record in the NFC, New Orleans comes in here following their first loss since September. This is the most well-balanced and strongest defense Kansas City has had to face. But the real mismatch here is the NFL’s 7th ranked rushing offense of the Saints lining up against the 26th ranked run defense of the Chiefs. New Orleans is 6-1 ATS L7 as a home ‘dog. KC is 0-5 ATS L5 overall. Take the Saints. Thank you.

Seattle.

LVSM.

Game 355.

10:00 am pst.

Alex Smith is out. Not sure it would make a difference as the Seattle defense has literally improved each of the last five weeks, yielding 23, 21, 17, 17, and 3 points. I wouldn’t put too much stock in the WFT’s four-game win streak. They have faced four flat-footed QB’s. Meanwhile the last several weeks the Seahawks have once again become a well-balanced offense with the return of RB, Chris Carson. He allows Russell Wilson to open up the passing game. The WFT stagnant offense (22.1 PPG) just can’t keep pace here. The road team is 4-0-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series. The favorite is 5-2-1 ATS the L8 meetings. Take Seattle. Thank you.

Chicago.

NFCN GOM.

Game 357.

10:00 am pst.

Chicago got off the snide last week in their 36-7 dismantling of Houston. Meanwhile Minnesota has crushed bettors failing to cover four in a row. They are in for real trouble here as they must now face a Bears offense that has the 1-2 punch of Trubisky and a healthy Montgomery. The Vikings “D” has gotten steamrolled foe 31, 27, 24, and 3-26 points in consecutive weeks. Mind you three of those contests were against the likes of the Cowboys, Panthers, and Jaguars. The Bears are 5-2 ATS L7 meetings in this series. The Vikings are 1-4 ATS L5 at home. Take Chicago. Thank you.

UCLA.

VJP.

Game 222.

5:00 pm pst.

UCLA possesses a backfield of outstanding runners. Felton, Brown, and yes, even Thompson-Robinson have combined for 1,252 yards rushing and 12 TD’s on the ground giving the Bruins the 16th ranked rushing offense in the nation. Well, the Cardinal have gotten steamrolled by the run ranking 102nd. The ground game will allow QB, DTR, who comes off his highest passer rating of 2020, to open up the passing attack. Stanford is 0-4 ATS L4 on grass, 2-7-1 ATS L10 on the road, and 2-6-1 ATS L9 overall. Take UCLA. Thank you.

San Jose State.

MWC GOY.

Game 242.

1:15 pm pst.

San Jose State isn’t just undefeated (6-0), they are also one of college football’s best teams against the spread (5-0-1). With all respect to Boise State, I think we would all agree that the Broncos just aren’t the same team when not playing on their blue carpet. Point in fact, they did not cover either of their last two outings, both on the road at Hawaii and Wyoming. Which are two lesser foes.

 Boise State had problems with the BYU defense in their 51-17 drubbing at the hands of the Cougars. Don’t look now but San Jose State owns a very stingy “D” (13th) that yields a mere 17.5 PPG. The Spartans have held both good passing and good rushing units to some of their lowest performances this season. The Broncos are in for a long day.

San Jose State is 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 as a ‘dog, 18-7-3 ATS the last 28 in conference play, and 5-0 ATS the last five in December. Take San Jose State. Thank you.

Minnesota.

GI.

Game 211.

1:00 pm pst.

To say Wisconsin has had a disappointing season is truly an understatement. Granted, the Badgers have been impacted by Covid-19 about as bad as any team in the country. But, their once potent offense is no more. After opening the campaign with decisive wins over Illinois and Michigan, Wisconsin has now dropped three in a row (both SU and ATS) to opponents that were all favored by. During their current slide, the offense has mustered a total of 20 points.

Minnesota has trudged through 2020 quite nicely, winning and covering three of their last four outings. Veteran quarterback, Tanner Morgan has a stellar ballcarrier at his disposal in Mohamed Ibrahim (925 yards rushing, 15 touchdowns) to keep the Wiscy defense honest and this game closer than the point spread.

 The Golden Gophers are 4-1-1 ATS the last six at the Badgers, 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 on the road, and 11-5 ATS the last 16 overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Oklahoma.

Game 231.

9:00 am pst.

Both teams have had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare. Iowa State deserves all their praise as the Cyclones have played solid football all season long. But Oklahoma is red-hot, winning six in a row SU and going 5-1 ATS. On both sides of the ball, I see the Sooners outclassing their counterpart here.

ISU’s weakness is stopping the pass. Spencer Rattler (2,512 yards passing, 68.5% completion rate, 24/7) will carve up the Cyclones secondary like a holiday dinner. Defensively, Oklahoma owns the best rush defense that Iowa State has faced in 2020. The Cyclones are a run-oriented offense. Well, the Sooners have stuffed every ground attack during their hot streak with the nation’s 4th ranked run defense.

 ISU is 0-5 ATS the last five on neutral sites, 0-4 ATS the last four as a ‘dog, and 2-6 ATS the last eight in December. Take Oklahoma. Thank you.

Rutgers.

TD play.

Game 207.

1:00 pm pst.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights. The line is currently Nebraska -6.5. After finally sporting a victory at Purdue, Nebraska then plummeted back to Earth last week losing to Minnesota by seven as a nine-point favorite. Rutgers quarterback, Noah Vedral is questionable here (check status). But if doesn’t go, no worries because three-year play-caller, Artur Sitkowski has got what it takes to lead (67.2% completion rate, 311 yards passing, 3/0). Nebraska has several key players out and their star wideout has opted out for the season, seeing the writing on the wall. The Cornhuskers are 1-6 ATS the last seven games as a favorite. Take the points with the Scarlet Knights. Thank you.

Pittsburgh.

LIM.

Game 177.

5:20 pm pst.

The pressure is off the Steelers as they come off their first loss of the season. They are also most-likely to see the return of their RB, James Connor. The Bills haven’t had to face a solid defense in months. Well, after their last week, you can expect the No.1 stop-unit in the NFL (17.6 PPG allowed) to come in here angry. Knowing quite well that they just might meet Buffalo in the postseason, Pittsburgh, which is the more seasoned team, will want this win. The Steelers are 6-1 ATS L7 vs. the AFC, 21-7-2 ATS L30 as an underdog, and 4-1 ATS L5 on the road. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you.

NO.

BB.

Game 173.

1:25 pm pst.

New Orleans has won nine in a row SU and the last five ATS. Taysom Hill has been solid, making very few mistakes. Bit it is the stellar Saints defense that will once again shine here as they have help opponents to just 8.8 PPG during their current ATS win streak. Whether it’s an ice-cold Wentz or the inexperienced Hurts, the Eagles are in trouble here. Philly is 3-7 ATS L10 vs. winners and 4-9 ATS L13 overall. New Orleans is 24-9 ATS L33 vs. losers and 37-15 ATS L52 on the road. Take The saints. Thank you.

NYG.

NFC GOW.

Game 158.

10:00 am pst.

The golden rule of sports betting is to ride a hot team. And there is no team hotter than the New York Giants. The “boys in blue” have rattled off four consecutive wins SU and are money, going 7-2 ATS their last nine outings. This is a big game for the G-men as they are tied for the NFC East lead with the WFT. The team is optimistic that Daniel Jones will play here. But even if he does not, having Colt McCoy is quite fortuitous.

 Arizona has sprung a leak dropping three in a row SU and five straight ATS. Their strength is running the ball. Well, NY’s is stopping the run. Take the Giants. Thank you.

Houston.

LVSM.

Game 159.

10:00 am pst.

In case you might have overlooked it, Chicago has gone from 5-1 to 5-7 and haven’t covered since November 1 (0-4 ATS run). Mitch Trubisky is always reliable to find new and improved ways to lose.

 Houston and the NFL’s No.2 passing unit are getting the bettors paid, riding a 3-1 ATS streak. DeShaun Watson, despite missing a few key receivers will wreak havoc on an overworked Bears defense that has given up 75 points the last two games.

 By the way, the Texans are 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in this series. Take Houston. Thank you.

BYU.

TD.

Game 432.

7:00 pm pst.  

While I don’t exclusively look at betting angles, I do put some stock in them when deciding on games. This contest has several. For starters, BYU got their perfect season broken up last week against an opponent that was virtually unknown prior to 2020. Look for their very talented team (7th offensively, 4th defensively) to bounce back here against a well-known and respected team, and make a statement.

 Next, I don’t fall into the trap of judging a team solely on their previous performance. Many will look at last week’s San Diego State victory over Colorado State and play them here because of it.

 Lastly, the revenge factor. After dominating this series winning six in a row SU, the Cougars got shut down last season, 13-3. These are very different squads this season and BYU will exact some revenge here.

The Aztecs are 1-4 ATS the last five on the road and 2-5 ATS the last seven following a SU win. The Cougars are 9-3 ATS the last 12 vs. the MWC and 10-4 ATS the last 14 following a SU loss.Take BYU. Thank you.

Virginia.

GI GOY.

Game 421.

5:00 pm pst.

My friends,the odds makers make mistakes too. Trust me when I tell you, they have made a huge error in the line in this matchup. I honestly feel the wrong team is favored. Virginia should be at least a 1.5-2.5 favorite here. The once-feared Virginia Tech defense has fallen from grace to become a doormat, ranking 96th and getting plowed for over 33.8 PPG, resulting in the teams four-game slide both SU and ATS.

 On the other sideline, Virginia is red-hot, winning four in a row SU and their last five ATS. Cavaliers dual-threat quarterback, Brennan Armstrong has matured nicely. He has racked up over 1,858 yards passing and 529 yards rushing. Believe me when I tell you he will star in his own highlight reel here.

 Not only does UVA get bragging rights here but they also get to stop their rival from a Bowl invite for the first time since 1992 and aid in a probable departure for head coach, Justin Fuente.

 The underdog is 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. The Hokies are 1-4 ATS the last five vs. winners and 1-4 ATS the last five as a fav. The Cavs are 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 on grass and 4-1 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Don’t be so “Cavalier” and take the underdog all the way to the bank here folks. Take Virginia. Thank you.

CC.

HR.

Game 119.

12:00 pm pst.

At 10-0 SU, Coastal Carolina has become the most popular team in college football. More importantly, to us bettors, they are money at 8-1-1 ATS. With their victory over the Cougars the Chanticleers have done away with any naysayers. In this health-conscious season, this team is at full force, listing zero players on their injury report (as of deadline). Offensively, they put up over 37.0 PPG on the arm of Grayson McCall (1,832 yards passing, 67.2% completion rate, 20/1) and the legs of a backfield that would make NFL teams envious (227.9 yards per game). Defensively, (11th, 16.8 PPG allowed) they have not allowed any opponent to shake them.

 Don’t put any stock in the performance Troy showed last week in their shutout of the 4-7 South Alabama. This is a team that is outclassed on both sides of the ball here.

 They are 0-5 ATS the last five vs. winners, 1-4 ATS the last five at home, and 1-4 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Coastal Carolina is 4-0 ATS the last four in December, 16-5 ATS the last 21 on the road, and 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 overall. Take the Chanticleers. Thank you.

Colorado.

Wiseguy Move.

Game 258.

9:00 am pst.

Very quietly, Colorado has a 4-0 record (both SU and ATS. While Utah needed to face an Oregon State team with a QB making his first career start to get a win. The Buffaloes have a monster ballcarrier in Jake Broussard (733 yards rushing, 3 TD’s). he and QB, Sam Noyer (179 yards rushing, 5 TD’s) will control the clock and keep the Utah defense om the field. Not that the Utah offense is anything to worry about (22.7 PPG). Colorado is 5-0 ATS L5 at home and 4-1 ATS L5 as a ‘dog. Take the Buffaloes. Thank you.

Pitt.

TD.

Game 111.

4:00 pm pst.

Pitt enters this matchup sporting a 5-5 record and would love to finish the season better than .500. The Panthers, which have won and covered the last two meetings with the Yellow Jackets, own a defense that yields just 25.0 PPG and ranks 12th in the nation with 12 takeaways. G tech are a one-dimensional offense, that solely relies upon the rush. They don’t match up well here facing the No. 5 run defense in college football. Gt also ranks 124th with 11 turnovers. I smell trouble here folks. On the flipside, Kenny Pickett’s numbers (outside of their meetings with Clemson) are getting better and better. Look for the QB to exploit the lax 114th ranked pass “D” of Tech here. The Panthers are 4-0 ATS L4 following a bye week. The Yellow Jackets are 0-6 ATSA L6 following an ATS win. Take Pitt. Thank you.

Buffalo.

LVSM.

Game 458.

5:15 pm pst.

The hot-handed Bills have won four of their last five SU and three straight ATS. The 49ers offense, which is dealing with some absences, has struggled. They now must face a Buffalo “D” that looks to be back on track. They will shake up Nick Mullens (6 TD/7 INT) who certainly is no Jimmy G. The Bills, which are 8-3, can taste the AFC East crown. But with the Dolphins right behind them at 8-4, need every win they can get right now. Buffalo is 5-2-1 ATS L8 on grass and 6-1-2 ATS L9 as a road ‘dog. San Francisco is 1-5 ATS L6 on grass and 9-21-1 ATS L31 as a fav. Take the Bills. Thank you.   

Patriots.

LVSM.

Game 473.

1:25 pm pst.

Cam Newton showed that he still has what it takes to spark his team to victory. The Patriots have now won three of their last four, trying to keep home alive on their season. The defense has recently frustrated Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray and will frustrate the young, Justin Herbert. The Chargers have crushed bettors, not covering since October, riding a five-game ATS slide. New England is 5-0 ATS L5 meetings in this series and 37-17-3 ATS L57 as a ‘dog. LA is 0-5 ATS L5 vs. the AFC and 3-8 ATS l11 as a fav. Take the Patriots. Thank you.

Giants.

BB.

Game 467.

1:05 pm pst.

Colt McCoy takes the reins for a New York team that has won three in a row SU and six of eight ATS. Seattle has gotten burned by just about every offense they have lined up against in 2020. Offensively, you will see a slower pace by the Seahawks as they expect the return of their RB, Chris Carson. The Giants are 5-0 ATS L5 following an ATS loss, 6-0 ATS L6 as a ‘dog, and 21-8 ATS L29 on the road. The Seahawks are 0-4 ATS L4 following a SU win, 0-3-1 ATS L4 in December, and 2-5 ATS L7 overall. Take New York. Thank you.

Bears.

TD play.

Game 456.

10:00 am pst.

With Trubisky back at the helm and just a game out of a playoff berth, Chicago will do what they’ve done in five straight meetings with Detroit, and that’s win and cover. The Lions are distracted by sidelined players and an interim head coach. Detroit is 3-8 ATS L11 on the road, 5-12 ATS L17 vs. the NFC, and 1-4 ATS L5 overall. Take Chicago. Thank you.

Saints.

NFC S GOM.

Game 463.

10:00 am pst.

Taysom Hill brings a whole new dynamic to the New Orleans offense. He along with Kamara and Murray will control the tempo of this game and the clock. They will do it on the ground. Their defense (7.0 PPG allowed L4) will get to Matt Ryan and force mistakes. New Orleans is on an eight-game SU win streak and have covered their last four by over 25.2 PPG. They are also 5-1 ATS L6 meetings in this series, 23-9 ATS L32 vs. losers, and 36-15 ATS L51 on the road. Take New Orleans. Thank you.

Oregon State.

Wiseguy Move.

Game 379.

7:30 pm pst.

Oregon State has four games under their belt this season, going 3-1 ATS. Utah has played only two games in which they got blown out by USC and then gave up a 21-point lead to Washington en route to an 0-2 start. The Beavers have monster playmaker on offense. Tristan Gebbia and Jermar Jefferson are going to light up a Utes “D” that has gotten plowed for over 78 points thus far. Offensively, Utah is missing all their playmakers from the last few seasons. Their two QB’s have tossed a combined 2 TD’s against 5 INT’s. Way too many points here to give a very tough and confident Oregon State squad. The Beavers are 6-0 ATS L6 as an underdog and 8-0 ATS L8 on the road. Take Oregon State. Thank you.

Clemson

Game 343.

4:30 pm pst.

In his first game back following a five-week hiatus, Trevor Lawrence put up 403 yards passing and two touchdowns against a highly-regarded Pitt defense. This is the final outing of the regular season for the quarterback and his third-ranked team. It is the last opportunity for both Lawrence to make a push for the Heisman and his team to solidify their place in the CFP. As much as the future No.1 draft pick shined, it was Brent Venables defense that stole the show, with four INT’s.

 The Tigers “D” will go thru the Hokies offensive line (allowed eight sacks last two games) and put pressure on Hendon Hooker. The quarterback has only accounted for 190.2 yards per game in 2020. Virginia Tech, which is riding a three-game loss and no cover streak is in real trouble on both sides of the ball here. Dabo Swinney took no mercy on Pitt in last week’s 52-17 rout and won’t show any this week.

Clemson is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 11-1 ATS the last 12 in December, and 11-3 ATS the last 14 as a road favorite. Take the Tigers. Thank you.

Colorado.

GI.

Game 381.

4:00 pm pst.

There’s a new sheriff in the Pac-12 and their name is Colorado. Along with USC and Washington, they are the only other undefeated team. They are also getting bettors paid at 3-0 ATS. Just to show you how good the Buffaloes are this season, they decisively bested the Aztecs last week in a last-minute matchup.

 Arizona (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) was last victories mid-October, riding an 11-game SU skid. The Wildcats defense, or lack thereof, is getting burned for 35.0 PPG. Things will go from bad to worse here as the very confident and talented Buffaloes offense will shred them both in the air and on the ground. Look for the 1-2 punch of Noyer (650 yards passing 4/2, 112 yards rushing three touchdowns on the ground) and Broussard (432 yards rushing three touchdowns) to light up the scoreboard here in a mismatch. On an added note, Colorado has revenge on their mind, dropping the last three meetings with Arizona.

 The road team is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. The Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS the last five on grass and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. The Wildcats are 0-4 ATS the last four in December and 2-8 ATS the last 10 overall. Take Colorado. Thank you.