Take Dallas.

This is my LVSM.

Game 200.

10:00 am pst.

Dak Prescott and the No. 1 passing unit in the NFL will decimate the depleted Cleveland secondary that is already a league doormat. With the issues Baker Mayfield is having (31st ranked passing unit), the Cowboys can key on Nick Chubb and the ground game. The Browns are 0-7 ATS L7 on the road and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Take Baltimore.

This is my BB play.

Game 269.

10:00 am pst.

The Washington Football Team might want to change their name again. After this matchup, the team, the fans, and the city, are going to want to forget everything about this Sunday. Baltimore, which many feel (including yours truly) are serious AFC contenders, got embarrassed on MNF by the defending Super Bowl champs, Kansas City. Thus ending their 14-game regular season win streak. Facing this opponent six days later will allow the team to take out their frustration and will earn them their redemption. Look for Lamar Jackson and the offense to light up the scoreboard here, while their very angry defense, particularly John Harbaugh's pass rushers to get to the shaky, Dwayne Haskins Jr., and create turnovers. If he tossed three INT'S against the mediocre, Browns "D", the fierce, Ravens stop-unit will definitely take advantage. Baltimore is 5-0 ATS L5 as a road fav, 4-0 ATS L4 vs. teams with a losing record, and 11-3 ATS L14 overall. WFT is 3-8 ATS L11 at home, 1-5 ATS L6 as a 'dog, and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. Take BALTIMORE. Thank you.

Take Auburn.

This is my HIGH ROLLER.

Game 153.

4:30 pm pst.

They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Since taking over the reins at Auburn, head coach, Gus Malzahn has suffered three consecutive losses at the hands of Georgia head coach, Kirby Smart, and six defeats in the last eight overall meetings with their conference rival. This is the meeting that will cost the Bulldog's revolving door quarterback issue dearly. Whether it's USC-transfer, Daniels (just received medical clearance, last start August 2019), the shaky Bennett, or redshirt freshman Mathis under center, look for the experienced Tigers defense to wreak havoc on any quarterback Smart names here. They have the size and the speed to exploit this issue in this matchup. Auburn sophomore quarterback, Bo Nix (233 yards passing, 3/0) looks to be on top-form after breaking down the competitive Kentucky defense a week ago. He can keep the Georgia "D" on the field and on their heels come the second half. The Tigers are money as they are 11-4 ATS the L15 overall. Buy the half point just to air on the side of caution here. Take AUBURN. Thank you.  

Take Alabama.

This is my CRUSHER.

Game 144.

12:30 pm pst.

Alabama is not just the No. 2 ranked team in the nation, they are also one of the healthiest. Role players, play makers, coaches, and even the towel boy will be suited up here as they are one of the few college football squads presently at full strength.Head coach, Nick Saban enjoys only one thing as much as winning titles, and that's beating former assistants, like Jimbo Fisher. As a matter of fact, Saban is 19-0 SU vs. his former assistant coaches. Trying to match up with the well-balanced Alabama offense is going to be a nightmare for Fisher and the Texas A&M stop-unit.The Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS the last five following an ATS loss. Take ALABAMA. Thank you.  

Take Texas.

This is my NO LIMIT.

Game 142.

9:00 am pst.

The once feared TCU defense is no more. Their stop-unit showed no improvement from last season, as they allowed the pedestrian Iowa State "O" to put up 37 points last week. One of the Heisman contenders not named Trevor Lawrence, Texas, gunslinging quarterback, Sam Ehlinger (688 yards passing 10 TD's, one INT in 2020) leads the top-scoring offense (61.0 PPG) in the nation. Look for him to hook up with standout receivers, Moore and Schooler at will and burn the Horned Frogs (lack of) defense. After seeing the Sooners go down this past week, the Longhorns won't take this matchup lightly, knowing they can take control of the conference here. TCU is1-6 ATS L7 in the month of October, 1-4 ATS L5 on the road, and 6-15 ATS L21 vs. the Big 12. Take TEXAS. Thank you.  

Take Denver.

We go from the Chiefs/Ravens MNF matchup to the battle of winless teams here. Brett Rypien gets his first start for Denver here. He looked pretty good last week filling in late for the benched, Jeff  Driskel. Word is that RB, Lindsay (check status) will join Gordon in the backfield here. The Broncos defense, even without Von Miller, are still playing decent football. The Jets are a mess on both sides of the ball. they rank 32nd in scoring (12.3 PPG) and 27th on "D" (31.3 PPG allowed). Denver is 5-2 ATS L7 meetings in this series, 6-1 ATS L7 in October, and 10-3 ATS L13 on Thursday. New York is 4-11-1 ATS L16 vs. the AFC, 1-5 ATS L6 as a favorite, and 2-6 ATS L8 overall. Take the Broncos. Thank you.

Take New England.

This is my BB play.

Game 462.

10:00 am pst.

Las Vegas comes in here prime for a letdown. they come off a short week, having played on MNF in which they bested a superior New Orleans team. This is also the second trip across the country in just a few weeks for the Raiders. New England returns home after a tough loss in Seattle. No team in football is better at bouncing back from a loss than his team. No head coach is better than Bill Belichick at maximizing his strength and exploiting an opponent's weakness. Look for Cam Newton and the Patriots offense to pad their stats here both in the air and on the ground. This is a mismatch. Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS the last seven vs. the AFC and 8-15-1 ATS the last 23 on the road. Take New England. Thank you.

Take Los Angeles.

This is my TD play.

Game463,

10:00 am pst.

Two 2-0 teams from opposite coasts square off. Both squads seem to be on the rise. But, I wouldn't put too much stock into the fact that LA is traveling through several time zones and playing early here. Sean McVay's Rams are 7-0, both SU and ATS the last three years on doing just that. They also possess a defense that held Dak Prescott and Carson Wentz in check thus far. The Bills are a good team but have had issues defensively with offenses that pass off the run. Enter the Rams and Goff, Kupp, Woods, Brown, and Henderson Jr. Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS the last four as a road underdog, 9-2 ATS the last 11 overall on the road, and 5-1 ATS the last six in September. Take the Rams. Thank you.

Take Atlanta.

This is my GI play.

Game 476.

10:00 am pst.

Yes, these two teams own mirror image records. But, in all honesty, the Bears have played far inferior foes (Lions and Giants) than did the Falcons (Seahawks and Cowboys). Mitch Trubisky and the pedestrian, Chicago "O" (21.0 PPG) can not go score-for-score with the high-flying, Atlanta offense (32.0 PPG). The Bears are 1-6 ATS the last seven on the road, 2-6 ATS the last eight vs. the NFC, and 1-4 ATS the last five overall. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS the last five following a SU loss, 4-1 ATS the last five vs. the NFC, and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. Take Atlanta. Thank you.

Take Baylor.

This is my BIG 12 GOM.

Game 408.

4:30 pm pst.

Any optimism Kansas had for the 2020 season was quickly snuffed out in their 38-23 loss to Sun Belt rep, Coastal Carolina. Les Miles must think he is still at a top-ranked Louisiana school, where he didn't need to go out and recruit to replace graduates. He is going to need a miracle to improve on last year's, 3-9 squad. We finally get to see Baylor after two cancellations. There is some talk that the Bears might be a step down on the defensive side of the ball. But, considering they return several key role players from a stop-unit that allowed just 19.3 PPG last season, I wouldn't worry too much. Especially with quarterback, Charlie Brewer (7,147 yards passing, 64.8% completion rate, 48/18 TD/INT) back at the helm. Baylor is 10-0 SU the last 10 meetings with Kansas, going 9-1 ATS (eight straight covers by 40.5 PPG). Take the Bears. Thank you.

Take Louisville.

This is my LVSM.

game 401.

9:00 am pst.

The Pittsburgh defense will come in here way overconfident after facing Austin Peay and Syracuse. well, they now must line up against the very talented and well-balanced Louisville squad here. The Cardinals "O" will move the chains, keeping, the Panthers "D" on the field, and gasping come the second half. Louisville is 5-2 ATS the last seven in September and 4-1 ATS the last five overall. Pittsburgh is 8-20 ATS the last 28 as a home favorite and 1-4 ATS the last five overall. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

Take New England.

This is my LB play.

Game 287.

5:20 pm pst.

Cam Newton brings a whole new dynamic to the New England offense. Mind you, Seattle has always had trouble with dual-threat quarterbacks over the years. But, this matchup is all about the Patriots defense. They were one of the best in football a season ago and are even better this season. No way Russell Wilson has the same luck here as he had last week against the very beatable, Falcons "D". Seattle is 2-7 ATS L9 at home and 1-5 ATS L6 in Week 2. New England is 7-3 ATS L10 on the road and 12-3 ATS L15 as an underdog. Take the Patriots. Thank you.

Take Baltimore.

This is my GRIDIRON PLAY.

Game 283.

1:25 pm pst.

The Ravens, on both sides of the ball are one of the most well-balanced teams in the NFL. They thumped Houston, 41-7 last November, keeping DeShaun Watson and the Texans ground game to some of their lowest stats of the season. Baltimore's "D" will once again keep the lackluster Houston "O" in check, while Lamar Jackson and the explosive Ravens offense show why they are NFL elite. The Ravens are 8-1 ATS L9 vs. the AFC, 5-0 ATS L5 on the road, and 10-2 ATS L12 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Take Los Angeles.

This is my TD play.

Game 261.

10:00 am pst.

With no fans in the stands, Philly has very little home field advantage here. This on top of the fact that this team is once again banged-up, urges us to side with LA here as they come off a big win over Dallas last week. The Rams pass rush will go through the paper-thin Eagles offensive line that gave up eight sacks in Week 1, like butter. Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS L10 on the road and 13-3-1 ATS L17 vs. the NFC. Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS L5 at home and 1-7 ATS L8 in the month of September. Take the Rams. Thank you.

Take Buffalo.

This is my CONSENSUS play.

Game 271.

10:00 am pst.

Ryan Fitzpatrick is going to be in for another long afternoon here against the stout Buffalo defense. The Bills bested the 'Fins in both meetings a season ago and saw Josh Allen have some of his best performances as a pro (458 YP, 5 TD's). Miami has problems with dual-threat quarterbacks. Buffalo is 7-1-2 ATS L10 on the road. Miami is 0-6 ATS L6 in the month of September. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Take Minnesota.

This is my DOW.

Game 273.

10:00 am pst.

Philip Rivers, new uniform, same mistakes. The Colts quarterback had a pair of interceptions in the Week 1 loss to the Jaguars. He now has 25 picks and three fumbles in his last 17 games. I know Minnesota gave up points in their opener, but that was too one of the best teams in the NFC. Expect their defense to come up big here and cause turnovers while Kirk Cousins and the Minny offense devours the mediocre Indy "D". The Vikings are 7-2 ATS L9 following an ATS loss and 11-5 ATS L16 in the month of September.Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Take Louisiana Tech.

This is my DOW.

Game 125.

4:30 pm pst.

Louisiana Tech opens up another very promising season under Skip Holtz while Southern Miss comes off a 32-21 loss to South Alabama  as an 11.5-pt favorite. The Golden Eagles will be distracted even more here after their head coach resigned this week. Yes, the Bulldogs lost quarterback, Smith but, 1000-yard rusher, Henderson returns. The underdog is 4-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series. Louisiana Tech is 8-3 ATS L11 as an underdog and 12-5 ATS L17 on the road. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you.

Take Central Florida.

This is my HR play.

Game 109.

12:30 pm pst.

One mistake many bettors make is judging a team solely by their last performance. Georgia Tech upended Florida State in Week 1. But the Seminoles gave away the contest. Central Florida, which is the favorite to take the ACC crown, is a monstrous team. They return most of their offensive role players from last seasons' Top-10 squad (43.0 PPG). On the flipside, the Knights possess an experienced, veteran "D" that will get to Yellow Jackets frosh quarterback, Josh Sims, and force the youngster to make mistakes. Look for their stellar, ball-hawking secondary (all four starters return) to make his life miserable here. Georgia Tech is 0-6 ATS L6 nonconference games, 1-8 ATS L9 home games, and 2-7 ATS L9 September games. Take Central Florida. Thank you.

Take Appalachian State.

This is my STL play.

Game 121.

12:30 pm pst.

Even though Appalachian State didn't cover last week, this week, they get us the money. Yes, Marshall flattened Eastern Kentucky in their opener with only four offensive starters back, however they will have no such luck in this matchup. The Mountaineers haven't given up more than 20.2 PPG over the last five seasons. Appalachian State, with Zac Thomas at the helm, joined by solid running backs, Marcus Williams Jr. and Camerun Peoples, and wideout, Thomas Hennigan, will light up the scoreboard here on an outclassed, Marshall team. The Mountaineers are 7-2 ATS L9 in the month of September, 12-3 ATS  L15 on the road, and 9-3 ATS L12 nonconference matchups. Take Appalachian State. Thank you.

Take Pittsburgh.

This is my MNF WINNER.

Game 479.

4:15 pm pst.

This game opened up -3 and quickly soared to -6. I normally do not side with the general public, but sometimes in sports betting, you throw "normal" out the window. Big Ben is back and healthy. Look for him to connect early and often with receiver, Smith-Schuster. New York is without Eli for the first time since 2003. Daniel Jones is back at the helm and is joined by Saquon Barkley in the backfield. However, the offensive line is shaky at best and won't provide enough protection for the quarterback or open up holes for the running back. Throw into the mix that the ferocious, Pittsburgh defense was ranked third vs. the pass and an overall fifth in scoring (18.9 PPG allowed) a season ago. This doesn't bode well for the Giants. New York is 3-12-1 ATS the last 16 games played at home, 1-10 ATS the last 11 games played as a home 'dog, and 2-7 ATS the last 11 games played in Week 1. STEELERS -6 gets you paid. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you.

Take Philadelphia.

This is my NFC EAST GOW.

Game 463.

10:00 am pst.

Despite being bitten badly by the injury bug a season ago, Philly still took their division. They are now healthy. The Eagles have taken the last four meetings in this series SU, going 3-1 ATS (5-1 ATS last six meetings). Wentz has the best tight end tandem in football in Ertz and Goedert. They are accompanied by an arsenal of wideouts. This is an offense that is equally talented in the air and on the ground. This doesn't bode well for a Washington defense that will once again be a doormat. Washington has a second year quarterback and a rookie running back. It's going to be a very long and frustrating day for the offense here. Washington is 2-8 ATS the last 10 at home and 0-5 ATS the last five vs. the NFC East. Take the Eagles. Thank you.  

Take Chicago.

This is my DOW.

Game 465.

10:00 am pst.

Yeah, yeah, yeah, I know Stafford is back. But what good is it when the Lions have no OL whatsoever to protect him? In comes the Bears and their ferocious "D". Linebackers, Mack and newly acquired, Quinn are going to come at Stafford from both edges and create havoc. Trubisky is at the helm and gets to face the NFL's 32nd ranked pass defense here that he lit up for six TD's in both meetings last year. Both wins for Chicago. As a matter of fact, the Bears are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS the last two seasons vs. the Lions. They are also 9-4 ATS the last 13 vs. the NFC North. Take Chicago. Thank you.

Take Baltimore.

This is my AFC NORTH GOM.

game 456.

10:00 am pst.

After the Ravens lost to the Browns in week 4 last year, they were so motivated, they didn't lose another regular season contest. They did get some payback in a week 16, 31-15 win and cover over the Browns, but they are looking to exact some real revenge here and prove to the rest of the AFC that they are the best team in the conference. Cleveland is 0-6 ATS the last six on the road and 9-19-1 ATS the last 29 vs. the AFC North. Baltimore is 4-0 ATS the last four in Week 1 and 7-1 ATS the last eight vs. the AFC. Take the Ravens. Thank you.

Take Clemson.

This is my NO LIMIT.

Game 407.

4:30 pm pst.

The preseason, top-ranked, Clemson Tigers are on a mission this season. After going 13-0 in the regular season a year ago, they ousted Ohio State from the Bowl semifinals, only to lose badly to LSU in the Title game. This is an ideal matchup to kick off the campaign and make a statement to the rest of college football. They crushed Wake Forest the last two seasons by a combined, 115-6.  Don't put too much stock into the whispers that the Tigers lost a lot of talent to the NFL again. This team is stacked higher than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast joint. Their entire defensive line returns and will cut through the Demon Deacons OL like butter, get pressure on the quarterback, and force turnovers. On the flipside, Trevor Lawrence, who Wake Forest could not slow down in recent meetings, is back with an all-star cast. Look for Lawrence to make a serious push out of the gate, in the Heisman race. Clemson is 19-7-1 ATS the last 27 games in the conference, 10-1 ATS the last 11 games as a road favorite and 20-7 ATS the last 27 games played overall. Take the Tigers. Thank you.

Take SMU.

This is my BEST BET play.

Game 239.

1:30 pm pst.

This line officially opened at -17 and quickly jumped up to -22.5. It's hovering around 23.5. SMU comes off a 10-win season in which they started off at 8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS. It took a very good Memphis team to put up 54 to their 48 to hand them their first loss. They love to run up scores. Guys, they are infamous for covering big numbers in August, September, and October. Now, they did lose their top-two ball carriers. But, reports are that they won't miss a beat with their new backfield personnel. This is an offense that accounted for over 43.0 PPG a season ago and this season sees the return of their gun slinging QB, Shane Buechele, who threw for 3929 yards a year ago, with 34 TD's against just 10 INT's. He has an arsenal at his disposal as his six top receivers all return as well. This is bad news for a Texas State secondary that ranked 106th vs. the pass last year, with an overall defensive unit that has only four starters returning. The Mustangs will own the time of possession, keeping the Bobcats "D" on the field and win this game by 4 or more TD's. Lay the 22.5. Take SMU. Thank you.  

Take UAB.

This is my TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Game 248.

5:00 pm pst.

UAB, which is the clear favorite to win the CUSA, are 4-0 vs. FCS foes under Bill Clark, winning by an average of 28.0 PPG. They return 18 starters, including their top passer, top rusher, top WR, and their top five tacklers. Central Arkansas, which did win their opener against Austin Peay last Saturday, comes off a short week. In that game, they had 11 trips inside the 35 yard line and six times walked away without a single point. They now must face a far more experienced and superior defense here. Expect the Blazers, with their impressive "O" to move the chains often and keep the Bears "D" on the field and tired. Look for them to come out on a mission especially after finishing last season with two poor outings. UAB is 20-7-1 ATS the last 28 at home and 4-1 ATS the last five in the month of September. Take the Blazers. Thank you.

Take San Francisco.

Game 101.

3:30 pm pst.

I feel that the line here is about where it should be to appeal to both sides. I sincerely feel that this game is a true pick 'em. Both teams are very well coached and have had two full weeks to rest, heal, and prepare.

 Kansas City enters this game winning eight in a row SU and going 7-0-1 ATS. They rank fifth in scoring at 28.2 PPG behind the NFLs fifth ranked passing unit. Patrick Mahomes has been outstanding this postseason, passing for 615 yards with eight TD's and no INT's, adding 106 yards rushing and one score on the ground. The one weakness the offense has is that they don't have a real threat at running back to keep defenses honest and eat away the clock. This specific matchup will be extra difficult as San Francisco owns the No. 1 pass defense in football. They will slow down Mahomes a bit. But, he is capable and dangerous when pressured.

 The 49ers possess a monstrous ground attack, ranking second in the league. Overall, the "O" accounts for over 29.9 PPG (No. 2). Quarterback, Jimmy Garoppolo, who isn't as polished as his counterpart, has led this team to a 15-3 mark in his first healthy campaign. They will exploit the Chiefs 23rd ranked run defense.

 There’s an argument for both sides here. But, to win on this stage, you must be able to run the ball with authority, control the clock, and be able to put pressure on the opposing quarterback. All things that San Francisco does well.

 San Francisco is 5-0 ATS the last five games played as an underdog and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the 49ers. Thank you.  

 Below are some of my favorite prop bets for Super Bowl LIV:

 Shortest Field Goal Of Game 27.5 Yards. UNDER -110.

Both coaches are smart and will want any points they can muster, therefore take the under here.

 Will There Be Overtime? YES +800.

In what I feel is going to be a close game, this prop offers huge value.

 Will The Game Be Tied After 0-0? YES -110.

To me, this is one of the smartest of the prop wagers.  

 Total Rushing Yards By Raheem Mostert 73.5. OVER -110.

A huge part of the 49ers offense that gained over 278 yards rushing this postseason.

 Longest Rush By Patrick Mahomes 11.5 Yards. OVER -110.

Mahomes has great feet and is facing a fierce pass rush so he will need to run the ball a bit to make plays and at times stay alive. He will gain some yards.

 Total Touchdown Passes By Patrick Mahomes 3. OVER +200.

The Chiefs offense is all about the pass. The QB has 8 TD's this postseason.

 Total Rushing Yards By Patrick Mahomes 29.5. OVER -110.

Mahomes' feet is a big reason why the Chiefs offense is successful.

 Total Rushing Yards By San Francisco 135.5. OVER -110.

 The 49ers are a running offense and will need to control the clock to keep the Chiefs "O" off the field.

 Longest Lead UNDER 14.5 points +110.

I feel this is going to be a very tight game therefore no huge leads.

 San Francisco To Lead After First Quarter. YES -110.

As I stated earlier, I feel this is going to be a tough game and the score will seesaw.

Take San Francisco.

Game 312.

3:40 pm pst.

Giving the experienced and playoff savvy Aaron Rodgers a TD or more seems to be a mistake. This is a team that has rattled off six straight victories, including W's against some strong stop-units (Chicago, Minnesota). But, San Francisco has one of the best and most ferocious front seven's in the NFL. And let's be honest, Rodgers ain't no spring chicken anymore.

 The 49ers "D" ranks first vs. the pass and yields just 19.4 PPG. Just last week, they sacked Kirk Cousins six times and held Dalvin Cook to a mere, 18.0 yards on the ground.

 Jimmy Garoppolo has an arsenal of weapons at his disposal, with a talented wide receiving corps, tight end, George Kittle underneath, and the league's second ranked rushing unit, a weakness for the 23rd ranked run defense of the Packers.

 FYI, the last time meeting resulted in a San Fran, 37-8 win back at the end of November.

 Green Bay is 2-5 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS the last five in the month of January. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Take Kansas City.

Game 314.

10:00 pm pst.

Tennessee beat Kansas City (the Chiefs last loss) on November 10th.

 Derrick Henry has been outstanding as he is the only running back in history to rush for 180 or more yards in three straight games. The KC defense, which ranks 26th overall vs. the run, is going to get a heavy dose of the ballcarrier. BUT, Andy Reid and Steve Spagnulo are pretty sharp guys and over the last six weeks of the regular season, the stop unit got much, much better. Also, after being down 24-0 at the half last week, held Houston to just seven points in the second half.  

 What urges so many to side with Tennessee is the same reason why me must go against them here. Yes, they beat Houston, New England, and Baltimore the last three weeks, but, this is the fourth straight road game for the team.

 Patrick Mahomes and the potent, Chiefs air assault will exploit the Titans 24th ranked pass defense. They will get up early and the Titans can not catch up as they are not built offensively to play from behind.

 Kansas City is 5-0-1 ATS the L6 vs. the AFC and 6-0-1 ATS the L7 overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you.  

Take Clemson.

Game 283.

5:00 pm pst.

 Whether you are a novice sports bettor or a seasoned veteran, it is vital to know why a game has been given the number it has. The line on the College Football Playoff Title Game is at 5.5 as of post. LSU has a record of 14-0 playing in the SEC, arguably the toughest conference in college football. Personally, I feel the line should be closer to 6.5 or even 7.0, given that the game is being played in New Orleans, Louisiana. If the location would have been in Dallas, Texas, the line would have been a 3.0. The odds makers know the general public, which are favorite bettors to begin with, are thinking the same thing and will bet this number up. I feel for betting purposes the line is exactly where it should be. I think many out there might be overlooking just how good of a coach and a team, Dabo Swinney and Clemson is. In his 12 years as the head coach of the Tigers, Swinney has compiled a record of 130-30 and two National Championships. The team is 29-0 the last two seasons. Let's not forget their two Nationals Titles have come over Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide. As game time approaches, there will be Clemson money coming in. Some by fans and some by the "sharps." Now it's time to touch on the elephant in the room. As a handicapper, I must always look at a team's record, recent performances, and strength of schedule. Yes, LSU faces a tougher slate of opponents. But, we must not overlook the amount of close games they played this season. Texas, Florida (closer than the score), Auburn, and Alabama were all very tight games. At times, their offense needed to score to win, as their defense got beat. In the high-flying ACC, none of Clemson's foes could put up points on their fast and ferocious, defense. So I am not putting too much stock in the disparity between these two teams schedules. Isaiah Simmons is going to be the one you read about the day after the game. The Butkus Award winner is not only an incredible linebacker, but he drops back and acts as a safety. He is a threat to the LSU both behind the line of scrimmage and in front. Quarterback, Joe Burrow has yet to face a player of his ability. Trust me when I say, Burrow will have nightmares about him for years to come. Burrow deservedly won the Heisman. He is an amazing athlete that we have watched mature way beyond his years. He can run and he can throw. More importantly, he thinks well on his feet and reads and reacts to defenses as quick as any quarterback in the nation. All this and yet, many say that Trevor Lawrence, if was eligible this year to enter the draft (not eligible until 2021), would go before Burrow. To be honest, it's would be a good argument. Lawrence has never lost a game he has started at the collegiate level. I like Burrow and think he has a bright future in the NFL. However, Lawrence will have a better game because he faces a defense that leaks at times. He has already faced and conquered solid SEC defenses in the Title game. Because of this, he has confidence entering this Title game. Lawrence can and will exploit the leaks and shine here. I believe this game will be tighter than most think and will come down to the team that makes fewer mistakes. The team that wins this game will be because their defense was able to stop the others quarterback. Burrow and the LSU "O" has not faced a "D" like that of Clemson. Take Clemson. Thank you.    

Take Seattle.

This is my LI play.

Game 307.

3:40 pm pst.

The Seahawks play more close games than any other team in football. I am not looking to take away any respect from Aaron Rodgers and a Packers team that won their last five outings. But, Russell Wilson, who is having a career year, has the ability to escape the pocket and make big plays here. The fourth ranked rushing attack of Seattle will shred the Green Bay 23rd ranked rush defense. One more item, Seattle is 8-1 SU as a visitor this season. The Seahawks are 8-1 ATS the L9 as a road underdog and 11-3-1 ATS the L15 overall on the road. Take Seattle. Thank you.

Take Houston.

This is my OM play.

Game 305.

12:05 pm pst.

I don't normally judge a matchup by a previous meeting, but these two AFC rivals met mid-October when Houston won, 31-24. It's not the win I am judging this release by, it's the difference in the point spread. In the earlier matchup, Kansas City was a 3.5-point favorite. Now, they are laying nearly a TD more. Since then, defensive end, J.J. Watt has returned and seems to be back at 100 percent. He will be headache for Chiefs quarterback, Patrick Mahomes. Hyde, Watson, and Johnson JR. are a devastating threat on the ground and face the lax, 26th ranked run defense here. The road team is 6-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series. The Texans are 5-2-1 ATS the L8 on the road. The Chiefs are 2-8 ATS the L10 playoff games.Take Houston. Thank you.

Take Tennessee.

This is my TD play.

Game 303.

5:15 pm pst.

On paper, Baltimore is a better team. However, being a better team and covering nearly double digits in the postseason are two entirely different things. Running back, Derrick Henry (1,746 total yards, 18 total TD's) led the NFL in rushing while quarterback, Ryan Tannehill led the league with a 117.5 passer rating. The duo will score points on the third ranked defense of the Ravens. There is another "X" factor that benefits the Titans. Defensive coordinator, Dean Pees spent several years on the Baltimore staff and knows head coach, John Harbaugh and the team well. Tennessee is 6-1-1 ATS the L8 vs. the AFC, 4-0 ATS the L4 on the road, and 6-2 ATS the L8 overall. Take Tennessee. Thank you.

Take Minnesota.

This is my TEN STAR.

Game 301.

1:25 pm pst.

While San Francisco is a solid team, there is a huge disparity ATS when they are playing on the road, compared to playing at home this season. The 49ers are 6-2 ATS away from Levi's Stadium, but just 3-4-1 ATS when playing host. Quarterback, Jimmy Garoppolo has won two Super Bowls, but never as a starter. And, to be honest, there is a lot more pressure on him than his counterpart, Kirk Cousins, who outdueled future Hall Of Famer, Drew Brees in last week's, 26-20 OT win against New Orleans. Winning on the road in the loudest and craziest venue in the NFL says a lot about the play caller. Look for running back, Dalvin Cook (1,654 total yards , 13 total TD's) to eat up the clock and move the chains on the 17th ranked rush defense here. The underdog is 5-2 ATS the L7 meetings. The Vikings are 7-3 ATS the L10 vs. the NFC, 5-2 ATS the L7 on the road, and 4-1 ATS the L5 overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Take ULL.  

Football is all about the matchups. So, don't hesitate to lay two TD's here as the Ragin' Cajuns are far superior on both sides of the ball. ULL puts their seventh ranked rushing attack (265.3 yards per game) against the Mia-Oh 81st ranked rush defense. Look for the three-headed monster of running backs, Mitchell, Calais, and Ragas (2,755 yards rushing, 32 TD's combined) to devour the porous, Redhawks defense. Miami-Ohio owns some of the nation's poorest offensive numbers. Things will go from bad to worse here as they must line up against the 20th ranked ULL defense (19.9 PPG allowed). The Ragin' Cajuns are 4-0 ATS the L4 nonconference games and 17-7 ATS the L24 overall games. Take ULL. Thank you.  

Take New Orleans.

This is my NFC WC GOM.

Game 146.

10:05 am pst.

Normally, getting more than a TD in the postseason with a 10-6 team would be inviting. And it looks like running back, Dalvin Cook will return to the Vikings backfield (check status). However, this game is being played in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome, which is just about the loudest and wildest venue in football. So, laying more than a TD with a Saints team that has averaged 40.0 PPG over the last month and that has covered their last three outings, leaves no doubt. Future Hall-Of-Famer, Drew Brees is on fire, tossing 15 TD's and more importantly, 0 INT's during that four-game span. Running back, Alvin Kamara and tight end, Jared Cook have heated up, while wide receiver, Michael Thomas has set a single-season mark for receptions (149). Minny has one offensive weapon in Cook, who will be compromised here. Even if the ball-carrier is 100 percent, he still must line up against the league's fourth ranked run defense. The Saints are 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings vs. the Vikings and 8-3 ATS the L11 vs. the NFC. The Vikings are 4-14 ATS the L18 vs. winners and 2-5 ATS the L7 road playoff games. Just to err on the side of caution, buy this number down for the extra few pennies. Take New Orleans. Thank you.     

Take Buffalo.

This is my AFC WC GOM.

Game 141.

1:35 pm pst.

Both teams took it easy last Sunday, locked into their playoff seeds. When they last met, a little more than a year ago, Houston prevailed, 20-13. And despite Buffalo still in a maturing phase, their defense sacked Deshaun Watson seven times. Well, since then, the Bills stop-unit  has gotten better. They rank fourth vs. the pass, 10th vs. the rush, and second overall in scoring, yielding a mere, 16.2 PPG. Yes, offensively, Buffalo hasn't posted better than 17.0 points in over a month. However, they did face the defenses of Baltimore, Pittsburgh, New England, and the improved, New York Jets. They run the ball very well and will move the chains against the NFL's 25th ranked run defense. J.J. Watt is slated to return here. A player of his caliber will always have an impact. But, he hasn't seen action in months and his timing might be a bit off. The Bills are 8-1-2 ATS the L11 on the road. The Texans are 1-6 ATS the L7 as a home favorite. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Take Ohio.

Nevada will be without three defensive starters for this game, nose tackle, Hausia Sekin, safety, Austin Arnold, and cornerback, Daniel Brown, and also linebacker, Gabriel Sewell for the first half (suspensions). Even if these players were playing, the Wolf Packs, 102nd ranked defense would have their hands full with the Bobcats, 20th ranked offense. Ohio comes in here red-hot, having thumped Bowling Green and Akron by a combined, 118-27. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS the L4 Bowls, 5-1 ATS the L6 on neutral sites, 18-8 ATS the L26 nonconference games, and 19-7 ATS the L26 vs. winners. Take Ohio. Thank you.

Take Cincinnati.

Boston College comes into this matchup without several key faces. Head coach, Steve Addazio was fired. Although Ohio State's co-offensive coordinator , Jeff Hafley will take the reins next season, wide receivers coach, Richie Gunnell will serve as interim head coach here. The Eagles rank 107th in passing and are known as a running team. But, workhorse running back, AJ Dillon (1,685 yards rushing, 14 TD's) is sitting this one out to prepare for the upcoming NFL draft. The high-flying Cincy team comes off back-to-back losses to Memphis (both covers), following a nine-game SU win streak, with a lot to prove. Boston College is 2-7 ATS the L7 Bowls and 1-5 ATS the L6 nonconference games. Take the Bearcats. Thank you.  

Take Baylor.

Outside of blowing up a less than stellar, Georgia Tech team, the Georgia offense has not performed well over recent months. To be quite honest, Bulldogs quarterback, Jake Fromm tends to fold like a cheap suit in big games. Baylor comes in here getting the bettors paid, covering five straight and has played very well against solid opposition. The Bears are 6-1 ATS the L7 as an underdog and 5-2 ATS the L7 Bowls. Take the Bears. Thank you.   

Take Auburn.

With all respect to Minnesota and their 10-2 record, they scaled back their nonconference slate to no Power 5 teams. But, yet still had trouble with and failed to cover against South Dakota State, Fresno State, and Georgia Southern. On the other hand, Auburn had just about the toughest schedule in the nation. The Hawkeyes and badgers went head to head with the Golden Gophers and beat them. Well, a combination of the Tigers stout and stingy defense (18.6 PPG allowed) and a healthy dose of dual threat quarterback, Bo Nix will be too much for them here. Auburn is 6-0 ATS the L6 nonconference games, 10-2 ATS the L12 as a favorite, and 10-3 ATS the L13 overall. Take the Tigers. Thank you.

Take Alabama.

Jim Harbaugh is not a bad coach by any means. He is a pretty sharp guy. He is just not successful when it comes to Bowl games, going 0-3 the last three Bowl contests. Now, he faces the experienced, Nick Saban and an Alabama team that feels playing in anything but a CFP is an insult. Behind arguably the best wide receiving corps in the nation and a bruising running attack, the Crimson Tide has too much offense for the Wolverines to both contend with on defense and keep pace with on offense. Michigan is 1-4 ATS the last five Bowls. Alabama is 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. the Big Ten. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you.

Take Wyoming.

Both offense are one dimensional, with most of their success coming on the ground. The big difference here are the facts that the Panthers are horrible defending the rush and the Cowboys are one of the best in the nation at defending it. Wyoming, which plays a higher level of competition, is also 8-1 ATS the L9 vs. the S-Belt, 5-2 ATS the L7 in December, and 4-1 ATS the L5 Bowls. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Take Navy.

The awkward, Navy option is extremely difficult to defend. Throw into the mix Malcolm Perry (1,804 yards rushing, 21 TD's on the ground, 1,027 yards passing, 6 TD's in the air) and any defense in the country is in trouble. The Middies played and beat some very good opponents. Kansa State is a good team, however, they too are one dimensional, solely relying on the run. Well, Navy counters with the 17th ranked run defense in the nation. The Middies will control the clock with their option offense while slowing down the Wildcats "O" with their stingy run "D". Navy is 5-0 ATS the last L5 Bowls and 12-3-1 ATS the L16 overall. Take the Midshipmen. Thank you.

Take Florida.

Game 252.

5:00 pm pst.

Make no mistake of it, the Orange Bowl just may be the biggest mismatch this Bowl season. The 10-2 Florida Gators are on a three-game win and cover streak (covered six of last seven) against better competition. Quarterback, Kyle Trask (2,636 yards passing, 67.6 percent completions rate, 24/6) will shred the 70th ranked lax, pass defense of Virginia here. The Cavaliers offense, which has put up points on lesser foes, is going to be brutalized by the nation's eight ranked defense (14.4 PPG allowed). The Gators have won three straight Orange Bowls, by the average of 23.0 PPG. In front of a friendly, Florida crowd, they will continue their streak. Florida is 7-2 ATS the L9 Bowl games and 7-2 ATS the L9 nonconference games. Take the Gators. Thank you.

Take Western Kentucky.

Game 246.

9:30 am pst.

Western Michigan had only one very strong performance in 2019, a 37-34 OT win against Ohio. Other than that, the Broncos have fallen short when facing strong adversaries. Western Kentucky owns the best scoring defense in the CUSA (20.1 PPG allowed). WMU won't have the same success here that they had in MAC play. The Broncos are 1-6 ATS the lasts seven in December and 2-8 ATS the last 10 as an underdog. The Hilltoppers are 4-1 ATS the last five in December and 7-2 ATS the last none overall. Take Western Kentucky. Thank you.

Take Oakland.

Oakland need a lot of help to make the playoffs...a lot. But the team has had success against Denver covering the last four meetings and winning three of the four, including a September, 24-16 victory. The Broncos are 4-11 ATS the L15 vs. the AFC West and 2-7-1 ATS the L10 as a home favorite. Take the Raiders. Thank you.

Take KC.

During their current five game SU and ATS win streak, the Kansas City defense has allowed just 9.6 PPG. They face an LA team that is -13 in TO's the last six games. The Chargers are 1-5 ATS the L6 meetings in this series and 0-5 ATS the L5 vs. the AFC West. Take the Chiefs. Thank you.

Take Clemson.

Game 243.

5:00 pm pst.

Disregard the baloney about the Tigers strength of schedule. Clemson is the most well-rounded team in the nation. They have won the last two meetings against the Buckeyes (2014, 2016), both in the postseason. This is a team possessing an enormous amount of speed on both sides of the ball and a very stout offensive line. But I am betting not just on the players, but on the coaches here. Dabo Swinney's (9-1 ATS the last 10 in the postseason), substantial big game, bowl experience, and success will play a big part over the first year head coach, Ryan Day. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS the last five vs. the ACC. Take Clemson. Thank you.

Take Notre Dame.

Game 238.

9:00 am pst.

This is a very short number to lay with a talented, Notre Dame team that is on a five-game SU streak, covering the last four. The Iowa State defense had major problems this season when facing well-balanced offenses. It doesn't get too much more complete than the Irish "O", which ranks 13th, averaging over 37.1 PPG. The Cyclones own a one-dimensional offense, revolving around quarterback, Brock Purdy and the passing game. Well, he must face the ferocious, third ranked pass "D" in the nation here. ISU is 2-5 ATS the last seven nonconference games, 0-4 ATS the last four neutral site games, and 1-5 ATS the last six December games. Take Notre Dame. Thank you.

Take Air Force.

Game 236.

7:15 pm pst.

The 10-2 Air Force Falcons are a very good team on both sides of the ball. They possess one of the nation's best scoring offenses (34.3 PPG), spearheaded by the No. 3 ranked rushing attack in college football. The Falcs will decimate the 78th ranked rush defense of the Cougars here. On the flipside, Washington State is lethal in the air, but has no running game to speak of. Air Force can key on the pass with one of the strongest and stingiest stop units in the land (19.8 PPG allowed). The Falcons are 21-7 ATS the L28 nonconference games and 5-2 ATS the L7 Bowl games. Take Air Force. Thank you.

Take Iowa.

Game 234.

5:00 pm pst.

Iowa plays some of the toughest competition in the country being in the Big Ten and yet their fifth ranked defense hasn't allowed a single opponent to put up more than 24 points this season. USC is no defense and all offense. Against this "D" on this platform, expect the Trojans to "O" to get very frustrated and make mistakes. Southern Cal is 0-4 ATS the L4 Bowls, 0-5 ATS the L5 vs. the Big ten, and 0-7 ATS the L7 neutral site games. Take Iowa. Thank you.

Take L Tech.

Game 224.

1:00 pm pst.

Louisiana Tech has won the last nine games started by J'Mar Smith. The quarterback leads a very potent offense (34.0 PPG) that will move the chains on the solid Miami defense. The Hurricanes can pass the ball, especially against the Bulldogs secondary. But, without any running attack whatsoever, the 'Canes won't be able to eat away any clock, keeping Smith and the 'Dogs "O" off the field. On a side note, Skip Holtz has won all of his Bowl games the last five years and playing in front of a friendly, Shreveport crowd will help to extend his streak. L Tech is 6-1 ATS the last seven Bowls, 6-2 ATS the last eight in December, and 7-3 ATS the last 10 as an underdog. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you.        

Take Green Bay.

This is my MNF WINNER.

Game 481.

5:15 pm pst.

With no Dalvin Cook to keep the Packers defense honest, we must side with the red-hot, Green Bay team which is riding a three-game SU win streak. The Packers have Detroit up next while the Vikings have the Lions on deck. Minnesota is 2-11 ATS the L13 MNF games and 4-13 ATS the L17 vs. teams with a winning record. Green bay is 5-2 ATS the L7 on the road and 6-1 ATS the L7 vs. teams with a winning record. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Take Dallas.

This is my NFC EAST GOM.

Game 475.

1:25 pm pst.

In the battle for NFC East supremacy, we must side with a Dallas team that has won and covered four in a row against Philadelphia. Dak Prescott has presided over the last three, including a 37-10, October dismantling. The Eagles were lucky to get victories the last two weeks against much lesser foes, but are crushing bettors at 1-4 ATS the last five. Look for Prescott to dissect the weak, Philly pass "D". The road team is 11-5 ATS the L16 meetings in this series. The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS the L7 at the Eagles and 16-5 ATS the L21 vs. the NFC East. The Eagles are 4-10 ATS the L14 at home and 3-7 ATS the L10 vs. the NFC. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Take Pittsburgh.

This is my 10 STAR.

Game 467.

10:00 am pst.

Pittsburgh is clinging to the No. 6 seed in the AFC but needs to win here. New York is out of the postseason and is playing for nothing. They weren't all that good when they had something to play for. The Steelers stingy "D" (18.5 PPG allowed) will completely shut down one of the worst offense in football. After winning three in a row SU and ATS (7-1 SU L8, 9-3 ATS L12), Pitt suffered a tough loss last week and will bounce back here against a NY team that hasn't covered since late-November (0-3 ATS L3). The Steelers are 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series, 4-1 ATS the L5 on the road, and 5-2 ATS the L7 vs. losers. The Jets are 1-6 ATS the L7 vs. the AFC, 3-8-1 ATS the L12 at home, and 0-5-1 ATS the L6 in December. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you.

Take Baltimore.

This is my LIM.

Game 473.

10:00 am pst.

Baltimore, which has won 10 in a row SU and seven of the last eight ATS, will sew up the top seed and home field in the AFC playoffs with a win here. There is also a huge revenge factor here as the Ravens suffered a 40-25 loss in Week 4 to the Browns. Cleveland is no match for the NFL's No. 1 scoring offense and will be in dire straits facing the league's No. 4 defense. Baltimore is 8-2-1 ATS the L11 at Cleveland, 4-0 ATS the L4 on the road, and 5-0 ATS the L5 vs. the AFC. Take the Ravens. Thank you.

Take SF.

This is my NFC WEST GOY.

Game 452.

5:15 pm pst.

San Francisco can secure the NFC's top seed by wining this week and next week. Look for the 49ers 2nd ranked ground attack to wreak havoc on the Rams 23rd ranked run defense. LA can't run the ball at all and rely solely upon the passing game. This doesn't bode well as San Francisco owns the NFL's #1 pass "D". The Rams are 2-6 ATS the L8 meetings in this series and 4-12-1 ATS the L17 as an underdog. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Take Boise State.

This is my LAS VEGAS BOWL WINNER.

Game 216.

4:30 pm pst.

 Chris Peterson, who left Boise State after eight seasons for Washington, is coaching his final game for the Huskies. U-Dub is a good team, but at 7-5, fell way short of preseason expectations. Boise State, which won its final six games of the season en route to a 12-1 mark, is in a bowl for the 18th consecutive year. As of posting this, it looks like Jaylon Henderson will continue to quarterback the Broncos, although Hank Bachmeier has been cleared to play.

 Both teams match up well, but playing in Sam Boyd Stadium gives a big edge to Boise State, which has won this event four times since 2011 and is also 3-0 vs. UNLV on this field over that span. On a side note, this team was getting points just once in 2019, when they bested Florida State, 36-31 as a 6.5-point 'dog.

 The Broncos are 7-0 ATS the last seven as an underdog and 7-3 ATS the last 10 bowl games. Take Boise State. Thank you.

Take FAU.

This is my BOCA RATON BOWL WINNER.

Game 212.

12:30 pm pst.

Without a doubt, the wrong team is favored, as I feel the Owls should be a FG fav. Maybe the odds makers are putting too much stock in the fact that defensive coordinator, Glenn Spence is the interim head coach in the wake of Lane Kiffin's departure for 'Ole Miss. This is the home stadium for FAU which lost their opening two games on 2019 to Ohio State and UCF, before rattling off 10 wins in their final 11 outings, all by double-digits.

 Both offenses can light up the scoreboard, but the FAU defense (led nation in takeaways and interceptions) is much tighter than the leaky, SMU "D" (31.8 PPG allowed).

 The Owls are 4-0 ATS the last four vs. winners, 7-3 ATS the last 10 in December, and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. Take Florida Atlantic. Thank you.

Take CMU.

This is my NEW MEXICO BOWL WINNER.

Game 207.

11:00 am pst.

Under head coach, Jim McElwain (MAC Coach of the Year), CMU had the biggest turnaround in college football from a season ago (1-11 to 8-5). The Chippewas possess a very well-balanced offense (40th pass, 40th rush) that accounts for over 31.9 PPG. Quarterback, Quenten Dormady (2,148 yards passing, 14/6) and running back, Jonathan Ward (1,404 all purpose yards, 16 TD's) are a potent, 1-2 punch.

 San Diego State is known to have one of the stingiest defenses in the country (12.8 PPG allowed), however, the statistics are skewed as the team has only faced one offense ranked among the top 61 nationally. It won't be so easy as they line up against a stout offensive line that allowed Dormady to be sacked just 11 times this season.

 Central Michigan is 5-1 ATS the last six nonconference games. San Diego State is 3-8 ATS the last 11 in the month of December. Take Central Michigan. Thank you.  

Take New Orleans.

This is my MNF WINNER.

Game 334.

5:15 pm pst.

New Orleans need to win here. They must not only get back on track after last week's, 48-46 loss to San Francisco,, but they also are fighting for a better postseason seeding. Indy is on a 3-game SU slide, dropping 5 of the L6 SU and only covering twice in the L7 outings. Look for Drew Brees to pick apart the NFL's 21st ranked pass defense here. The Colts "O" relies solely on the ground game but faces the #2 run defense in football. The Saints are 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. losers and 8-3 ATS the L11 overall. Take New Orleans. Thank you.

Take Minnesota.

This is my TEN STAR WINNER.

Game 331.

5:20 pm pst.

Minnesota is just one game behind Green Bay in the race for the NFC North title. They own a very well-balanced team, ranking in the top 10 on both sides of the ball. Don' t put too much stock in LA's, 45-10 romp over Jacksonville last week. That reflects in the short line here, which is to our advantage. Philip Rivers has tossed 20 TD's but has 15 INT's and two fumbles. Kirk Cousins has been significantly more reliable (24 TD's, 4 INT's) and also has the luxury of having a solid ground game on the legs of Delvin Cook (1,108 yards  rushing, 13 TD's). There will probably be as many or more Vikings fans in the stands here, as been the case for many of the Chargers home games this season, where they have covered just twice as a host. Overall, Los Angeles is 7-18-1 ATS the last 26 at home. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Take Tampa Bay.

This is my LI MOVE.

Game 305.

10:00 am pst.

Tampa Bay has won 3 in a row SU and can in all reality, finish the season winning  their final 6 games. Meanwhile, Detroit is on a 6-game SU slide and lost 9 of the L10 SU, only covering once over the L8 outings. Offensively, they face the NFL's #1 rush defense. Defensively, they line up against the league's 2nd ranked pass offense and its 3rd in scoring (29.1 PPG). The road team is 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings in this series. The Lions are 1-6 ATS the L7 vs. the NFC. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

Take Tennessee.

This is my AFC SOUTH GOM.

Game 314.

10:00 am pst.

Outside of Baltimore, no AFC team is playing as well as Tennessee, which is 6-1 SU since Tannehill took over the reins. They have covered 4 straight. The matchup heavily favors the Titans with Derrick Henry's legs while the Texans offense relies upon their ground game, but faces a very tough run defense. Houston is 1-4 ATS the L5 vs. the AFC South and 2-5 ATS the L7 overall. Tennessee is 4-0-1 ATS the L5 vs. the AFC and 3-0-1 ATS the L4 at home. Take the Titans. Thank you.

Take Seattle.

This is my NFC GOM.

Game 315.

10:00 am pst.

Coming off an embarrassing, 28-12 loss and no cover to the Rams last week, brought the Seahawks to 10-3. Seattle is one full game behind San Francisco in the NFC West and needs to win here. Ron Rivera has been fired as head coach of the Panthers as the team is riding a five-game SU (1-4 ATS) slide. Carolina's defense is one of the worst in the NFL, particularly against the rush (29th) and will get plowed here as the third ranked run offense in football comes to town. The Seahawks are 10-3 ATS the last 13 on the road. The Panthers are 1-5 ATS the last six vs. the NFC. Take Seattle. Thank you.

Take Army.

Game 303.

9:00 am pst.

In one of the biggest traditions in college football, Army faces Navy for the 117th time to compete for the Commander-In-Chief's Trophy. These squads happen to be two of the healthiest in the nation. Prior to the Black Knights current-three game win streak in this series, the Midshipmen dominated for 14 consecutive years. The 2018 meeting landed on the number to give the bettors a push, however, Army have covered seven of the previous against Navy.

 Statistically, both teams mirror one another. The Middies rank first nationally in the rush (361.1 yards per game on the ground) while the Black Knights rank second (311.7 yards per game on the ground). Both own just about the poorest numbers in the air, both are decent vs. the pass, and very strong vs. the run.

Quarterback's, Malcolm Perry and Kelvin Hopkins Jr. are dual-threat's, with Perry having a bit more success with his arm. But, don't be surprised as there will probably be more Elvis and Bigfoot sightings in the stands than there will be pass attempts as both play callers lead their squads in rushing. The double digit point spread urges me to take the underdog here, which kills just as much clock as the favorite. Take Army. Thank you.

Take Seattle.

This is my NFC WEST GOM.

Game 157.

5:20 pm pst.

Seattle, at 10-2, is playing some of the best football in the NFL. MVP-candidate, Russell Wilson (3,177 yards passing, 67.4 percent completion rate, 26/4) leads one of the most well-balanced offenses in the league. This is a team that is on a five game SU win streak, while covering four straight. Los Angeles is a far cry from the team that went to the Super Bowl a season ago. Opponents now know how to best the Rams. This is why they beat the teams they should and lose to the better teams. The Seahawks are 4-0 ATS the last four vs. the NFC, 6-1 ATS the last seven on the road, and 25-11-1 ATS the last 37 in the month of December. Take Seattle. Thank you.

Take Pittsburgh.

This is my LIM.

Game 153.

1:25 pm pst.

Arizona got shellacked by LA last week, 34-7, to give the Cardinals their 5th SU loss in a row. QB, Kyler Murray was sacked 6 times and doesn't have the chops to bounce back here, especially against the stingy, Steelers defense that ranks 7th vs. the pass and 6th in points allowed, yielding just 18.8 PPG. Devlin Hodges will continue to shine as he faces the 32nd pass defense in the league. Pittsburgh is 10-3-1 ATS the L14 following an ATS win and 8-2 ATS the L10 overall. Arizona is 1-3-1 ATS the L5 vs. winners and 1-4 ATS the L5 in December. Take the Steelers. Thank you.

Take Tennessee.

This is my 10 STAR WINNER.

Game 155.

1:25 pm pst.

Oakland has yet to defeat a team with a current winning record. Tennessee is on a 5-1 SU and ATS streak. Coincidentally, the Titans got hot when Ryan Tannehill took the helm. The offense has since become one of the most well-balanced in football, with the arm of Tannehill and the legs of Derrick Henry. The road team is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings. The favorite is 9-2 ATS the L11 meetings. Take Tennessee. Thank you.

Take Ohio State.

This is my BIG TEN GOY.

Game 120.

5:00 pm pst.

Ohio State is the most complete team in college football. Not only that, but they get us bettors paid, going 9-3 ATS this season. This includes a 38-7 shellacking of Wisconsin just six weeks ago. We all know how explosive the Buckeyes are offensively (No. 1, 49.9 PPG). But it is their defense that will shine here (No. 4, 11.8 PPG allowed). You see on a team full of playmakers and future NFL players, the best player on the field, and maybe in the country, is defensive end, Chase Young, who has tallied 16.5 sacks in 10 games (two-game suspension). He will wreak havoc on the 96th ranked passing unit of the Badgers and allow the rest of the Buckeyes "D" to focus on Jonathan Taylor and the ground game. These two Big Ten rivals met three times in recent years in the same situation, with OSU winning and covering all three. Take Ohio State. Thank you.

Take Clemson.

This is my STL play.

Game 122.

4:30 pm pst.

We're laying more wood than a union carpenter here. And it doesn't scare me one bit.  It's hard to believe that Clemson's schedule is under the microscope as some feel, despite a 12-0 record, the Tigers don't belong in the CFP. Dabo Swinney will have his boys put the pedal to the metal here to leave no doubt. This is a team (9-3 ATS) that has covered six of the last seven outings and have won each by no less than 31 points. Virginia is in real trouble here. The Cavaliers pose no threat on the ground (110th) and in the air, face the nation's top pass defense. Oh, by the way, the Tigers also rank No. 1 in scoring "D", allowing a mere, 10.1 PPG. Clemson is 14-3 ATS the last 17 on neutral sites, 18-7-1 ATS the last 26 in the conference, and 17-5 ATS the last 22 overall. This game is going to get uglier to watch than the MNF hit Lawrence Taylor put on Joe Theisman back in the day.Take Clemson. Thank you.  

Take LSU.

This is my TD play.

Game 118.

1:00 pm pst.

Georgia would certainly benefit from a good showing here. But wanting to play well and actually doing so are two entirely different things. To contend with the nation's top team, you must be a complete squad. Well, Georgia falls short offensively. The 76th ranked passing offense is going to once again be without wide receiver, Lawrence Cager (ankle) and will not have the use of wide receiver, George Pickens until the second half (disciplinary). Quarterback, Jake Fromm has barely completed 50 percent of his passes over the last month. The Bulldogs can run the ball but facing the ferocious Tigers stop-unit with a one-dimensional offense, is going to be an uphill battle. On the flipside, Heisman-candidate, Joe Burrow leads the nation's No. 2 offense in both passing and more importantly, scoring. While Georgia is good, LSU is great. The Bulldogs are 0-3-1 ATS the last four meetings in this series and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS win. The Tigers are 6-2 ATS the last eight games played vs. teams with a winning record and 15-7 ATS the last 22 games played vs. conference foes. Take LSU. Thank you.

Take CMU.

This is my 95% ANGLE PLAY.

Game 106.

9:00 am pst.

The MAC West has fared well in the championship game, winning 9 of the L13. CMU enters the title game covering 9 of the L10 with the #1 offense in MAC play (515.0 YPG). Miami-Ohio ranks 115th in passing, 98th in rushing, and 96th in scoring. The Redhawks just can't keep pace offensively in this matchup. The Chippewas are 5-1 ATS the L6 in conference play, 5-0 ATS the L5 as a favorite, and 6-1 ATS the L7 overall. Take CMU. Thank you.  

Take Dallas.

This is my TEN STAR WINNER.

Game 101.

5:50 pm pst.

Dallas, which leads the NFC East at 6-6, has Chicago this week, Los Angeles next, then two division rivals in Philadelphia and Washington. The Cowboys need every win they can get right now. They have the NFL's #1 offense in yards (432.8 YPG) and face a team that owns its 29th offense in the same category (281.8 YPG). The dismal, Bears, which average a mere, 17.7 PPG just won't be able to keep pace here offensively. They have no ground game to control the clock and keep the Cowboys "D" honest. Dallas is 8-3-1 ATS the L12 as a road favorite. Chicago is 2-5 ATS the L7 at home. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.  

Take New England.

This is my LB.

 Game 473.

5:20 pm pst.

Say what you want about the New England offense but Tom Brady is still piling up "W's". This is the game they get back in sync. Their No. 1 defense (10.6 PPG allowed) will shut down Deshaun Watson and the Houston "O". The Patriots have taken the L8 meetings in this series SU, going 6-2 ATS. They are 7-3 ATS the L10 vs. the AFC, 10-4 ATS the L14 in December, and 6-2 ATS the L8 on the road. The Texans are 1-4 ATS the L5 vs. the AFC, 2-9-1 ATS the L12 in December, and 1-5 ATS the L6 at home. Take New England. Thank you.

Take Green Bay.

This is my LI MOVE.

Game 451.

10:00 am pst.

Green Bay comes into this contest pissed off after their worst performance of the season, last week's, 37-8 embarrassing loss to San Francisco. They are tied for first in the division with Minnesota and need every win they can get. Meanwhile, New York is on a seven game slide SU, going 2-5 ATS. This is a team that owns 1-4 marks at home both SU and ATS. Look for Aaron Rodgers to have a huge day as he faces the 27th rankled pass defense of the Giants. New York is 0-4 ATS the L4 vs. winners and 5-15-1 ATS the L21 at home. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Take New York.

This is my TEN STAR WINNER.

Game 465.

10:00 am pst.

New York has found a sense of pride, resulting in three consecutive wins and covers, as the offense has accounted for 34.9 PPG during the streak. Winless Cincinnati (0-11 SU) is 0-5 at home, both SU and ATS, being outscored by visitors by 15.8 PPG. The NFL's 31st ranked offense averages a dismal, 14.3 PPG. With issues at quarterback and facing the League's No. 1 ranked defense against the rush, things won't get any better here. The Bengals are 1-10 ATS the L11 at home. Take the Jets. Thank you.

Take UAB.

This is my CUSA WEST GOY.

Game 421.

1:00 pm pst.

There is no room in sports betting for playing teams you like. But, I have released UAB several times this season and they haven't let us down yet. They are in the running for the CUSA West crown (tied at 5-2 with Louisiana Tech and Southern Mississippi). There is a chance that Tyler Johnston III (questionable, check status) will return to action here. Even if the quarterback remains sidelined, the Blazers are all about the defense (fifth vs. the pass, ninth vs. the rush, 17th in scoring). I don't see how a North Texas team that won't be able to score can compete here. This is a team that suffered outright losses to such nobodies as Houston, Middle Tennessee State, Charlotte, and Rice. Let me repeat that last one again, Rice. The Blazers are 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in this series, 19-6-1 ATS the last 26 vs. the CUSA, and 9-2 ATS the last 11 vs. losers. The Mean Green are 2-6 ATS the last eight at home, 3-13 ATS the last 16 vs. the CUSA, and 7-19 ATS the last 26 overall. Take UAB. Thank you.

Take Alabama.

This is my LVSM play.

Game 397.

12:30 pm pst. 

With all respect to Tua Tagavailoa, who is an amazing athlete, this is an Alabama Crimson Tide football team. Did it really surprise anyone that Mac Jones is succeeding? He has a 71.4 percent completion rate, 841 yards passing, and 7/1. Hands down, the play caller is the best quarterback on the field here. Bo Nix has had problems when facing the SEC's top teams (Auburn put up just 13 points vs. Florida, 20 vs. LSU, and 14 vs. Georgia, all SU losses). Whether 'Bama gets to the College Football Playoff is uncertain. One thing for sure, a loss puts them out. Nick Saban will not allow this to happen. Nix is not the greatest passer to begin with and will be under pressure the entire 60 minutes. The stout, Crimson Tide defense will force him to make mistakes.This is the time of year when Alabama shines as they are 5-2 ATS the last seven in November. If the line remains at 3.5, err on the side of caution and buy it down for the extra few cents. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you.

Take Clemson.

This is my STL.

Game 369.

9:00 am pst.

The Tigers, which rank third in the polls, must go all out here, as a less than stellar performance can jeopardize their chances of making the final four. Clemson is 8-2 ATS in 2019 when laying 24 or more points. South Carolina is 1-4 SU and ATS their L5 outings and are totally outclassed on both sides of the ball here. The Tigers tank fourth in scoring (45.9 PPG, and second defensively (10.7 PPG allowed). The Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS the L5 vs. winners and 1-4 ATS the L5 non-conference. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. losers and 9-1 ATS the L10 on the road. Take Clemson. Thank you.

Take Texas Tech.

This is my TD play.

Game 321.

9:00 am pst.

The road team has covered the last five meetings, while the last four matchups have been decided by seven, four, eight, and three points. Not much has changed to warrant a double-digit point spread. Both teams can pass the ball well and neither can stop the pass. Very simply, this is too high of a spread, especially to give a Red Raiders squad that treats this contest each year, like it is a Bowl game. The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS the last five against conference foes, 4-9-1 ATS the last 14 in the month of November, and 1-4 ATS the last five vs. teams with a losing record. Take Texas Tech. Thank you.

Take Mississippi.

This is my TD play.

Game 311.

4:30 pm pst.

To be quite honest, the wrong team is favored here. I feel Mississippi should be a favorite of three points. Yes, both teams are 2-5 in conference play and the Rebels are 0-4 SU on the road in 2019, however, they are 3-1 ATS as a guest and an overall, 7-4 ATS on the campaign. Ole Miss comes into this contest well-rested, having not played since a November 16th cover vs. LSU, the team's third consecutive cover and their sixth in the last seven outings.

 Mississippi State will be overconfident, having just thumped Abilene Christian, 45-7. This is a team that has not looked sharp at all this season. The matchup heavily favors Mississippi with the nation's seventh ranked rushing attack consisting of four solid ballcarriers. On the flipside, the Rebels will neutralize the Bulldogs ground game with their 34th ranked run defense. There is no home field advantage here, as the road team has covered the last four meetings. Mississippi is 6-1 ATS the last seven in the conference. Mississippi State is 1-5 ATS the last six in the conference. Take Mississippi. Thank you.

Take Chicago.

This is my TEN STAR WINNER.

Game 305.

9:30 pm pst.

Mitch Trubisky and the Chicago offense are struggling. But, playing Detroit with their 30th ranks pass, 24th ranked run, and 26th ranked scoring defense (26.5 PPG allowed) will remedy this. The quarterback accounted for 173 yards passing and 3 TD's with 0 INT's in the November 10th, 20-13 win and cover. It was the Bears third consecutive win and cover in this NFC North rivalry. Detroit, which has not covered since mid-October (0-6 ATS L6) and has just one victory since mid-September (1-7 SU L8) is done for the eason. With Driskel at the helm and no rushing threat to speak of, the Lions continue to fall on Thanksgiving (4-11 ATS L15). Chicago is 9-1 ATS the L10 vs. the NFC North and 11-5 ATS the L16 vs. losers. Detroit is 0-5 ATS the L5 vs. the NFC and 0-5 ATS the L5 in November. Take the Bears. Thank you.

Take Baltimore.

This is my MNF GOY.

Game 275.

5:15 pm pst.

The Rams are a far cry from the team they were a season ago. And now they have to face arguably, the best team in the NFL. The L.A. offense has slowed down quite a bit and does not have the horses to run with the No. 1 scoring unit in football (34.1 PPG). Look for the ever-improving, Ravens pass rush (six sacks last week vs. the Texans) to get to Jared Goff, who does not have the luxury of having a running game to keep them honest. Baltimore is 6-2 ATS the last eight on the road, 10-4 ATS the last 14 on MNF, and 4-0 ATS the last four overall. Take the Ravens. Thank you.

Take New England.

This is my LI Play.

Game 270.

1:25 pm pst.

Dallas has three wins over their last four games. But, those victories weren't against a single team with a winning record. Any good teams they faced, they folded against (New Orleans, Green Bay, Minnesota). Now, they go up against the #1 defense in the NFL (10.8 PPG allowed), that will get to Prescott and force TO's. The Cowboys "D" is good but coming off two subpar outings, expect Tom Brady to go to work and do what he does best. Dallas is 0-6 ATS the L6 vs. winners. New England is 42-17-2 ATS the L61 at home. Take the Patriots. Thank you.  

Take Seattle.

This is my 10 STAR WINNER.

Game 273.

10:00  am pst.

Very quietly, Seattle has become a true force in the NFC. Under MVP-candidate, Russell Wilson, the Seahawks offense (10th passing, 6th rushing, 7th scoring) will be too much for the overrated, Eagles "D". Offensively, Philly has looked out of sync and I just don't see them competing with the red-hot, Seattle squad here. Giving a team, which is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS on the road this season, any points is a gift. The road team is 7-3 ATS the last 10 meetings in this series. The Seahawks are 4-0 ATS the last four meetings with the Eagles. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS the last seven vs. the NFC. Take Seattle. Thank you.

Take San Diego State.

This is my DOW.

Game 215.

8:00 pm pst.

San Diego State, which is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS as a visitor in 2019, owns a top-10 defense (13.7 PPG allowed) that will completely shut down the one-dimensional offense of Hawaii. The Aztecs are 6-1 ATS the L7 at the Rainbow Warriors. The Rainbow Warriors are 15-35-1 ATS the L51 in the conference. Take SD State. Thank you.

Take Boise State.

This is my 94% ANGLE PLAY.

Game 213.

7:30 pm pst.

The odds makers are looking to trap you here as this line should be higher than double digits. Nationally-ranked Boise State (9-1 overall, 6-0 conference) is not just looking to stay atop the Mountain West, they are seeking a possible, New Years Bowl Six bid. The Broncos enter this meeting brimming with confidence, as they have dominated the Aggies, taking 11 of the last 12 matchups SU, and are a whopping, 12-3-2 ATS the last 17, including 8-1 ATS the last nine in Logan, Utah. This is a mismatch on both sides of the ball. Utah State quarterback, Jordan Love (questionable) has more INT's (14) than TD's (13). The Aggies rushing game faces one of the best run defenses in college football (23rd, 118 yards per game allowed on the ground). On the flipside, the Broncos mighty, balanced offense (30th pass, 53rd rush, 36.1 PPG) will score at will whether Hank Bachmeier (questionable) is at the helm or not. BSU is 7-3-2 ATS the last 12 in the conference. USU is 2-5 ATS the last seven following a SU win. Take the Broncos. Thank you.

Take UAB.

This is my CUSA WEST GOM.

Game 190.

12:30 pm pst.

Normally, I don't solely judge a team from its previous performance, but without quarterback, J'Mar Smith (suspended), the Bulldogs offense came to a complete halt in the 31-10 drubbing at the hands of the Thundering Herd. UAB, which has won and covered the last two meetings in this CUSA West rivalry, owns 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS marks at home in 2019. The Blazers are all about the defense with one of the nation's fastest and most ferocious (18.7 PPG allowed) stop-units. As of posting this, the starting quarterback (Johnston III or Hopkins) has not been named. Either way, the offense will put up enough points to get us paid. UAB is 19-6-1 ATS the last 26 at home and 20-6-1 ATS the last 27 in the conference. Take the Blazers. Thank you.

Take Air Force.

This is my STL play.

Game 217.

11:00 am pst.

New Mexico, which is riding a seven-game SU losing streak, will have no answer for the 2nd ranked rushing attack (314.4 YPG on the ground) in the nation, while their lackluster, 108th ranked offense (22.0 PPG) is in for a long day against the Falcons stout, stop-unit that yields just 20.9 PPG. Air Force is 4-0 ATS the L4 in the conference. New Mexico is 5-16 ATS the L21 vs. conference foes, 2-10 ATS the L12 at home, and 7-20 ATS the L27 overall. Take the Falcons. Thank you.

Take Oklahoma State.

This is my TD play.

Game 129.

9:00 am pst.

Sports betting isn't about a teams win/loss record. It's about covering the spread. Oklahoma State is the best team in the Big 12 at getting the bettors paid, with an 8-2 ATS mark this season. The Cowboys possess a monster offense, lighting up opponents for over 36.5 PPG. The Mountaineers are in "let down" mode here as they just bested the Wildcats as a 14-point underdog, following a five-game SU slide. Changing quarterback's is not going to help the anemic, 112th ranked offense (21.4 PPG). West Virginia just won't be able to keep pace here. Oklahoma State is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in this series. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Take Indianapolis.

This is my 10 STAR.

Game 109.

5:20 pm pst.

The line here urges me to side with an Indy team that has found a way to once again win. This is a team that has won and covered the L3 meetings in this series, including a 30-23 victory back in October. Defensively, the Colts are tighter and can slow down Watson and Hyde. The road team is 8-2-2 ATS the L12 meetings in this series. Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS the L6 vs. Houston and 6-0 ATS the L6 vs. the AFC South. Houston is 1-4 ATS the L5 at home and 2-8 ATS the L10 vs. winners. Take the Colts. Thank you.

Take Buffalo.

This is my TD play.

Game 106.

4:30 pm pst.

Toledo, which has yet to cover a road game this season (1-4 ATS) solely relies upon their ground game. Well, they face the 5th ranked rush defense of Buffalo here. On the flipside, their 106th ranked run "D" lines up against Patterson and Marks (1,919 yards rushing, 13 TD's combined) who lead the nation's 17th ranked ground assault (226.5 YPG on the ground). The Rockets are 1-5 ATS the L6 meetings in this series. The Bulls are 13-4 ATS the L17 at home. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Take KC.

This is my 10 STAR.

Game 475.

5:15 pm pst.

Kansas City, at 6-4 is tied with LA in the AFC West. The Chargers will throw a healthy dose of RB, Melvin Gordon at the Chiefs 30th ranked run defense. But this is still an offense that averages just 20.7 PPG. Coming off a loss to Tennessee will motivate KC here. Phillip Rivers has no footwork and faces the ever-improving pass rush of the Chiefs. KC is 6-0 ATS the L6 at LA and 20-8 ATS the L28 vs. the AFC West. Take the Chiefs. Thank you.

Coming off their first loss of the season and get to face the team that beat them in the Super Bowl the last time they met. New England is 5-0 ATS the L5 following a bye week and 5-2 ATS the L7 on the road. Take the Patriots. Thank you.   

This is the game that sets the pace for Dallas to re-establish themselves. Detroit dropped five of the last six SU, failing to cover four straight. Zeke will be a human highlight reel as he faces the 27th ranked run defense in the NFL. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.  

Take Wyoming.

This is my CONTRARIAN.

Game 353.

1:00 pm pst.

The masses jumped on USU because Wyoming QB, Chambers is out but his backup, Vander Waal has filled in without hitch. The Cowboys don't get a lot of ink but they are a solid team, they can run the ball very very well, and control the tempo, while keeping the Aggies defense on the field. They can also stop the run, therefore forcing the USU offense to many three and outs. The Aggies can not stop the pass  so look for the Cowboys to do damage both in the air and on the ground. Wyoming is 8-3 AYS the L11 overall, 5-1 the L6 on the road, and 5-2 ATS he L7 in the conference. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Take Clemson.

This is my ACC-ATL GOM.

Game 338.

12:30 pm pst.

The naysayers will be siding with the 7-2, Wake Forest team getting nearly five TD's here. This will be a fatal mistake. Third ranked Clemson will not give the selection committee any reason to drop them from the top-four. They took last year's meeting, 63-3 and are just as talented this year. Jamie Newman was picked-off twice in last week's, 36-17 loss and no cover at the hands of the Hokies. Well, the second ranked Tigers pass "D" (137.2 yards per game allowed) and third ranked scoring "D" (11.5 PPG allowed) will terrorize the Demon Deacons quarterback and give him nightmares for years to come. Look for Clemson running back, Travis Etienne (1,214 yards rushing, 13 TD's) and quarterback, Trevor Lawrence (67.1 percent completion rate, 2,303 yards passing, 23/8) to remind everyone just who is the defending national champion. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS the last five vs. winners, 5-2 ATS the last seven at home, and 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 in the conference.Take Clemson. Thank you.

Take Alabama.

This is my SEC WEST GOY.

 Game 397.

9:00 am pst.

I am not coming in with 'Bama because they were my only paid game loss in last week's Saturday card, I am coming in with them because they need to win and win big here. They suffered their first defeat of the season last week and dropped to No.4 in the rankings. The top-three teams, LSU, Ohio State, and Clemson are all in action today, but later on in the day. Nick Saban and company does not take losing lightly to begin with, but they must run the score up here. Tua Tagavailoa will use this game to fine tune himself, still hobbled by his ankle injury. This is still the fourth ranked aerial assault in the nation. Mississippi State can not pass the ball at all (103rd). The offense relies upon the running game. Look for Alabama's "D" to make a statement here after getting plowed for 171 yards on the ground in last week's loss to LSU (39 yards over their average). The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS the last five in conference play. Take Alabama. Thank you.