Play Louisiana Tech, game 222.

Kenneth Dixon is a big reason why the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs went 10-3 ATS this season. The team dominated Conference USA going 7-1 against them. They face an Illinois team who was 6-6 on the season, and 3-5 in the Big Ten, barely making it in for a post-season bid. The Fighting Illini don't have much fight on defense, as they rank 123rd against the run and 109th and points allowed, yielding 33.9 PPG. Lest not forget that Illinois' non-league schedule included Youngstown State and Texas State which helped the team to Bowl eligibility. In contrast, Louisiana Tech's non-league schedule had them traveling to Oklahoma and Auburn. The Bulldogs can light up any defense as they averaged 37.5 PPG on the arm of quarterback, Cody Sokol (3189 YP and 29 TD'S) and the legs of running back, Kenneth Dixon (1236 YR and 21 TD'S). They also possess a very strong defense that gave up only 25.2 PPG. Take Louisiana Tech. Thank you.

Play Rice, game 220.

Fresno State comes into this Bowl game with a 6-7 record. And most would say that they backed in to a Bowl opportunity. They are the only team in the nation with a sub .500 record to make it to a Bowl game. Rice has legitimate bowl credentials and looks like they can exploit the Fresno State weak defense which ranks 101st in the nation, allowing 32.6 PPG. The Owls have a balanced attack on offense and a pretty solid "D" considering their opposition. QB, Driphus Jackson has a good receiving corps and two solid running backs in Davis and Dillard that will light up the scoreboard in this matchup. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS their L5 vs. Conference USA and 0-5 ATS there L5 Bowl games. The Owls are 10-1 ATS vs. teams with a losing record and 4-0 their L4 vs. the MWC. Take Rice. Thank you.

Play Western Kentucky, game 218.

Western Kentucky finished the season with four straight wins, covering the last three, including a 67-66 victory over Marshall as a 24-point underdog their final game. Brandon Doughty takes the #6 ranked Hilltoppers into this Bowl game. They averaged 44 PPG with for the third best passing team in the nation. Doughty has passed for over 4344 yards, a 67.5% completion rate, and a 44/10 TD /INT ratio. The teams best ball-carrier, Leon Allen has amassed 1490 yards rushing and 12 TDs on the ground. Central Michigan comes in failing to cover their last two and losing their finale against Western Michigan, 32-20. The Chippewas have a highly ranked defense but show very little on the offensive side of the ball, scoring just 25.2 PPG. Western Kentucky played a much tougher schedule than did Central Michigan this season. If you recall, they Hilltoppers non-conference schedule included four Bowl teams while the Chippewas didn't face and non-Mac Bowl qualifier. Over the years, MAC teams have crushed bettors. Take Western Kentucky. Thank you.

Play San Diego State, Game 216.

In a rematch of the 2010 Poinsettia Bowl won by San Diego State, 35–14, I don't expect a different outcome. Navy's triple-option offense will be tested by Aztecs defense that ranks first in the Mountain West Conference in scoring, yielding just 20.1 PPG. Sure, the Midshipmen can run the ball however I don't see a lot of scoring by Navy here against San Diego State unorthodox, 3-3-5 defense. The Middies come in here failing to cover the last two while the Aztecs have a covered three straight. San Diego State is basically playing a home game here in front of friendly San Diego crowd. Please remember that all seven victories by San Diego State this season bar by double digits. They have a strong rushing game as well as a very good passing attack. I don't see a problem with the Aztecs moving the chains against a Midshipmen defense that is very weak in the middle, with just eight sacks and 12 total takeaways, while allowing over 5 yards per carry. Lay the field-goal on San Diego State here. Take San Diego State here. Thank you.

Play Detroit (Game 111).

This is my NFC NORTH GOY.

With Chicago having a fire sale (looking for a new HC, DC, and QB) and Detroit needing a win to keep pressure on Green Bay in the NFC North, I must side with a Lions team that has covered 5 straight in this series, including a 34-17 victory just 3 weeks ago. Take Detroit here. Thank you.

Play Baltimore (Game 121).

This is my Best Bet play.

Baltimore's defense is clicking on all cylinders after an 8-sack performance last week against Jacksonville and now face backup QB's for Houston. The Ravens will contain the Texans' only weapon in RB, Arian Foster. Play Baltimore. Thank you.

Play Air Force (Game 208).

Air Force will run all over WMU with their 8th-ranked rushing attack that beat up such notables as Boise State, Navy, Nevada, and Colorado State. WMU represents the MAC who went 0-5 in Bowls last year and are just 8-19 ATS in Bowl play since 2008. Take Air Force. Thank you.

Play Philadelphia (Game 105).

This is my NFC EAST GOY.

The line here doesn’t bother me as Philadelphia needs to win out to stay alive. RG3 is taking the reins with an OL that allowed 7 sacks LW and 36 over the L6 outings vs. a very tough Eagles pass rush. The Redskins are 0-5 ATS their L5 at home. Take Philly here. Thank you.

Play Utah (Game 205).

These two teams know each other well but the Ute's have taken the L5 matchups SU, going 4-1 ATS. Colorado State lost HC, Jim McElwain which will affect their play. Utah plays a higher-level of competition not to mention they are 10-1 SU their L11 Bowl games. Take Utah. Thank you.

Play UTEP, game 203.

Yes, I know Utah State overcame losing nine starters to season ending injuries but I am still very reluctant to lay double digits on the Aggies and this matchup. UTEP has evolved into a very defensively-minded squad. The Miners were very competitive in every game except it's uncharacteristically sloppy loss to Louisiana Tech in which they had five turnovers. The big edge in this contest is time of possession. Texas El Paso ranks second nationally TOP, which tells me their superior ball-control will allow the team a chance to keep this game very close. The Miners are 6-1 ATS their L7 games overall while the Aggies are 1-4 ATS their L5 non-conference games. Take Texas El Paso. Thank you.

Play New Orleans (Game 333).

Over the last two months, New Orleans has been a better road team then at home, covering 3 straight. The Saints, despite being 5-8 are still alive in the NFC South which gives the team a real reason to play here. Chicago ranks 30th vs. the pass and last in scoring "D" and must face Drew Brees' air attack that will; shred them. I definitely must go against the Bears who are 8-22 ATS their  L30 vs.  the NFC and 5-15-1 their L21 at home. Take New Orleans. Thank you.

Play Indianapolis, game 312.

This is my Best Bet Play of the Year.

In the earlier matchup, back on October 9th, Andrew Luck and the Colts dissected the Texans for 363 yards passing in their 33-28 victory. Luck avoided JJ Watt in that match up and will do again here.  Houston did well against teams like Tennessee and Jacksonville but the 28th ranked passing defense of the Texans just don't stand a chance against Luck and the top-rated passing unit in the NFL. QB, Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for just  135 yards against Jacksonville last week and let's face it, that was the Jaguars. There is no way Fitzpatrick can play score - for- score with Andrew Luck here. The Texans are 0-4 ATS their L4 meetings vs. the Colts and 1-48 ATS their L5 games played in Week 15. The Colts are 20-6 ATS their  L26 home games and 20-7 ATS their L27 games played in December. Take Indianapolis. Thank you.

Play New England, game 316.

This is my AFC East game of the year.

New England not only has their eyes on their 12th division title for Brady and Belichick together but more importantly, a 1st-round bye and home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. Having said that, can you say revenge? These two teams met back in September when the NE had a 20-10 halftime lead only to lose 33-20. In that match up, the Dolphins did have now-injured RB in Knowshon Moreno while the Patriots have since added LeGarrett Blount and moreover WR, Brandon LaFell, who was in his first game in that contest and now is a proven, established target for Tom Brady. New England had a very solid defense last week in holding Philip Rivers to just 189 passing yards in their 23-14 victory at San Diego. So you no Fitzpatrick and the Miami office aren't going to be an issue. The home team is 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings in the series. The Patriots are 7-1 ATS their L8 vs. teams with a winning record, 5-1 ATS their L6 vs. the AFC, and 5-1 AYS their L6 overall. Take New England. Thank you.

Play Green Bay, game 321.

This is my Touchdown play of the Year.

I know Green Bay isn't the same team on the road that they are at home but right now they are playing the best football in the NFL as they have won 5 in a row SU. As of print, they are the top-scoring team in the League, averaging 32.5 PPG. I keep hearing how good the Buffalo defense is however they lost to Kansas City, lost to Miami, beat nobodies New York and Cleveland, then just gave up 24 in their seven point loss to Denver. On offense, Kyle Orton is still a mistake-prone QB. His only true receiver happens to be Sammy Watkins who is still a rookie. This is a team that ranks 22nd in total yards, 25th on the ground, and only posts to 21.6 PPG. They don't have the running game to take pressure off of Orton. The Green Bay defense will get to the passer and create turnovers. The favorite is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. The Packers are 15-7 ATS their L22 games played in December, 22-8 ATS their L30 games vs. teams with a winning record, and 7-3 ATS their L10 overall. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

Play Arizona (Game 301).

This is my Thursday Night Winner.

At 10-3, Arizona is tied for the best record in the NFL but they are just one game ahead of Seattle in the West and need every win they can get right now. I know St. Louis blanked their L2 opponents however Oakland and Washington aren't exactly the toughest of foes. The Cards already took down the Rams, 31-14 about a month ago to mark 3 straight covers in the series. St. Louis has played some good ball but their offense has problems when facing solid defenses. In comes the 3rd best stop unit in the League, holding squads to just 18.3 PPG. With a healthy Larry Fitzgerald and an emerging, Kerwynn Williams running the ball, 'Zona has enough firepower to win this one. The Cardinals are 10-4 ATS the L14 meetings in this series, 12-2 ATS their L14 games vs. teams with a losing record, and 6-1 ATS their L7 games played in December. Take Arizona. Thank you.

Play Green Bay Packers, Game 180.

It is difficult to keep up with Green Bay anywhere but at Lambeau, Aaron Rodgers has a string of 31 TDP’s without an INT while the team is just 1-point away from a 6-0 ATS mark. Without a running game and the 32nd ranked defense in Yards Passing and Total Yards, Atlanta will not be able to keep pace with the Green Bay juggernaut that happens to be 15-6 against the number their L21 games played in December. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Play Denver, game 170.

This is my MVP Play.

Denver is undefeated this season at home and is in the running for the top seed in the AFC. Peyton Manning captains an offense that posts 30.1 PPG on 304.4 YPG in the air and another 109.5 YPG on the ground, which will neutralize the Bills defense that really hasn't played an offense of this caliber since their October 12th, 37-22 loss to New England. Take Denver. Thank you.

Play Indianapolis, Game 155.

 This is my AFC game of the month.

It won't matter if either Brian Hoyer, who's thrown five INT' S the L2 games or rookie, Johnny Manziel, at quarterback. Because the running game of the Brown's has now sputtered, putting any play-caller in jeopardy. Indianapolis, who has covered 4 of their L5 road games and 9 of their L12 overall has a chance to basically lock up the AFC South. The #1-ranked scoring offense in football will devour Cleveland's defense behind 4011 yard-passer, Andrew Luck. The road team is 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in the series. The Colts are 20-6 ATS their L 26 December games. The Browns are 1-7 ATS their L8 games played in December. Take Indianapolis. Thank you.

Play Houston, game 157.

This is my AFC South game of the year.

 Houston will get their third straight road win here and keep their playoff hopes alive. Ryan Fitzpatrick tossed 6TD's last week in their thumping of Tennessee. Fitzpatrick, along with RB, Arian Foster who is now back and healthy will light up the scoreboard against the 28th ranked defense of Jacksonville. The Jaguars post a dismal, 15.5 PPG which won't be nearly enough to stay in this game. The Road Team is 5-1 the L6 meetings in the series. The Jaguars are 17-37 ATS their L54 games played at home. Take Houston. Thank you.

Play Georgia Tech (Game 126).
This is my ACC championship game winner.

Florida State is not the same team they were from a season ago, particularly at QB as Jameis Winston is missing some departed key players which has resulted in a 17 INT campaign and a 3-9 against the spread mark. Georgia Tech has momentum, winning and covering five straight, including three as an outright 'dog. Dual threat QB, Justin Thomas will utilize his fourth ranked rushing attack and open up his passing game at exploit the Florida State weak defense. Take Georgia Tech. Thank you.

Play Missouri (Game 123). This is my SEC championship game winner.

Alabama QB, Blake Sims has much better numbers at home that away from Tuscaloosa. He won't have the same success hooking up with WR, Amari Cooper here against the fast and furious Missouri 13TH ranked defense that has amassed 40 Sacks and holds opponents to just 19.7 points per game. Even more, Tthe Tigers have a very stout front seven that will stifle the Tides ground game. Mizzou's crafty QB,  Maty Mauk (22 TDP's and 336 YR) has a very healthy and dangerous receiving corps. This along with RB, Hansbrough (949YR and 9 TD's) will prove to be successful against an Alabama "D" that allowed Auburn to stack up 630 yards last week. The Tide is 4-12 ATS L16 overall while be Tigers are 16-5 ATS their L21 Conference games. Take Missouri. Thank you.

Play Louisiana Tech (Game 121).
This is my Conference USA championship game winner.

Marshall has been looking vulnerable of late which culminated in last weeks, 67–66 loss to Western Kentucky as a 24-point favorite. The defense collapsed and must face the 12th ranked scoring offense in the nation here. Louisiana Tech's quarterback, Cody Sokol  (3117 YP) and running back, Kenneth Dixon (1080 YR) have enough weapons to keep Rakeem Cato and the Marshall offense off the field. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS L4 versus teams with a winning record, 4-1 ATS L5 Conference games, and 20-7 ATS their L27 away games. Take Louisiana Tech. Thank you.

Play Dallas (Game 101).

The Chicago offense has been deplorable, posting just to 21.1 PPG. The team appears to be just going through the motions and waiting for the season to end. They can play with lesser opponents but fold when facing solid offenses. Dallas played horribly against Philadelphia last week but at 8-4, the Cowboys control their own destiny. They are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS their L5 as a road favorite this season while Chicago is1-7 ATS their L8 as a home underdog. Tony Romo will pick apart the 29th ranked pass defense of the Bears while the NFL's best running back, DeMarco Murray will pad his stats. The Bears are 8-21 ATS L 29 vs. the NFC, 3-12 ATS their L15at home, and 10-23 ATS L33 overall. Take Dallas. Thank you.

The UCF (Game 103).
This is my AAC Game of the Year.

Central Florida is a Top-10 team in every defensive category, holding opponents to a mere, 16.8 PPG. The Knights defensive secondary ranks #1 nationally in pass efficiency with 16 I NT' S and 12TD' S. This unit will slow down the Pirates third ranked passing squad and certainly shut down their rushing game. Odds makers have inflated ECU's line for months as the Pirates are just 1-6 ATS their L7. The Knights are 4-1 ATS their L5 meetings in this series, 4-1 ATS their L5 Conference games, and 4-1 ATS their L5 overall. The Pirates are 4-15 ATS their L19 vs. teams with a winning record, 1-6 ATS their L7 Conference games, and 1-1 ATS their L7 overall. Take you UCF. Thank you.

Play New England (Game 471).

For once, Aaron Rodgers won't be the better quarterback playing at Lambeau Field. Tom Brady is leading the AFC's best team in this big-game matchup. The Patriots offense ranks #1 in Points Scored (32.5) and 6th in both Total Yards and Passing Yards. The Gray/Blount New England ground game will take advantage of the 30th ranked rush defense of Green Bay here. This will allow Brady to open up the passing game and connect with his vast receiving corps. The Patriots are 6-0 ATS their L6 games played vs. teams with a winning record, 4–0 ATS Their L4 games played in November, and 4-0 ATS their  L4 overall games. Take New England. Thank you.

Play Cleveland. (Game 455).

This is my AFC GOM.

The return of last year's leading WR, Josh Gordon helped Brian Hoyer to pass for over 300 yards in last weeks, 26-24 over Atlanta. The Browns are 4-1 ATS on the road this season and have the 8th ranked defense in football, yielding just 19.9 PPG. Buffalo and limited QB, Kyle Orton just can't punch it in the end zone. Without a powerful running game, the Bills will fall short in this AFC matchup. With one game separating the AFC North, I see the Browns coming in very motivated here. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

Play New York (Game 459).

This is my MVP Play.

The Giants showed a real improvement in the last weeks lost to the Cowboys. RB, Rashard Jennings is healthy and QB, Eli Manning looked sharp. Let's face it, the Jaguars are horrible, ranking last in offense (14.6 PPG) and 31st on defense (27.7 PPG). QB, Blake Bortles has 8 TD's compared to a whopping, 15 INT's. They have a poor ground game, which is the only thing that would keep the Giants "D" at bay. This game will get ugly. Take New York. Thank you.

Play Pittsburgh (game 466).

This is my TD play.

The Steelers have won 4of their L5 to catapult the team in a three-way tie for second place in the AFC North. New Orleans comes on a three-game skid, losing by an average of  9 PPG, and those were at home. We all know how poorly the Saints play away from the Superdome, going 1-4 as a visitor on the season. Pittsburgh has been money at home, owning a 4-1 mark as host. The Steelers expect the return of defensive standouts, Troy Polamalu and Ryan Shazier while the Saints lost WR Cooks and S, Bush to injury this past contest. The Saints are 0-5 ATS their L5 games played in November and 4-9 ATS their L13 road games. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS their L7 games played in November and 8-3 ATS their L11 games played at home. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you.

Play Michigan State (Game 399).

This is my TD play.

Penn state has dropped five of their L 7 both SU and ATS, including three contests as a favorite. The Nittany Lions offense is deplorable, averaging just 20.6 PPG. Without a significant rushing game and a QB that hasn't thrown for more than 177 yards over his L4 outings, the Spartans fierce stop unit (199 YPG allowed) will devour the inferior offense of the Nittany Lions. Between Michigan State QB, Connor Cook (2720 YP and a 21/5 TD/INT ratio) and RB, Jeremy Langford (1242 YR and 17 TD'S) the offense will add to their 43.4 PPG (6th nationally) average. The Spartans are 18-7-1 ATS their L26 road games, 12-4-1 ATS their L17 vs. teams with a winning record, and 4-1 ATS L5 overall. Take Michigan State. Thank you.

Play Ohio State (Game 346).

This is my BIG 10 GOM.

With a big win here, Ohio State can impress the selection committee. The Buckeyes need two more explosive victories and some upsets to happen to boost the team into the spotlight. This team has won a record 23 consecutive conference games. Averaging 44.3 points per game, I believe dual threat QB, JT Barrett and RB, Ezekiel Elliott will be too much for the mediocre, Michigan squad. The Wolverines can play some defense but their offense is quite poor behind the mistake prone, QB, Devin Gardner. The Wolverines are 1-6 ATS the L7 meetings in this series, 7-18-1 ATS their L26 games played on the road, and 9-20 ATS their L29 games played in November. Take Ohio State. Thank you.

Play Georgia Tech (Game 391).

Both teams come in with nine wins a piece, but Georgia Tech's four straight wins and covers, including two lopsided out right 'dog victories over Pitt and Clemson stand out to me. Both teams can run the ball and score points but Georgia's inferior passing game will be the difference here. This makes the Bulldogs one sided at allows the Yellow Jackets defense to key on the ground game. Watching Georgia's "D" get pummeled by the Florida rushing game a few weeks ago tells me that Georgia Tech's option QB, Thomas will do even more damage in this matchup. The Road Team is 12-3-1 ATS the L16 meetings in the series. The Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS their L6 vs. teams with a winning record, 4-1 ATS their L5 games played in November, and 4-1 ATS their L5 games played on the road. Take Georgia Tech. Thank you.

Play Navy (Game 333).

This is my IC Game of the Month.

Navy comes in here winning 3 of their L4 SU and their L3 ATS. South Alabama enters this contest failing to cover 6 straight, going 1-3 SU their L4. One thing that Navy does exceptionally well is run the ball. The 2nd ranked Midshipmen rushing team rolls for 354.8 YPG on the ground and is averaging 46.0 PPG over their L4 outings. The Jaguars will not be able to slow down let alone contain the juggernaut that is the Navy ground assault. The Jags are 0-5 ATS their L5 home games, 0-4 ATS their L4 November games, and 0-5 ATS their L5 games following an ATS loss. The Midshipmen are 5-1 ATS their L6 road games, 4-0 ATS their L4 November games, and 8-1 ATS their L9 games played following a SU win. Take NAVU. Thank you.

Play TCU (Game 311)

This is my NO LIMIT.

Fifth-ranked TCU desperately needs to better their standings in the playoff scenario. The Horned Frogs are outgaining foes by 162.8 YPG and points by 22.8 PPG. At 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS, TCU is posting 45.9 PPG while holding opponents to just 23.1 PPG. QB, Trevone Boykin (3021 YP, 24/5 TD/INT ratio, and 548 YR and TD's on the ground) and RB's, Green and Catalon (1170 YR and 16 TD's combined) will shred the Texas 69th ranked rush defense. UT scores only 23.7 PPG and despite a steady growth by QB, Swoopes, the offensive unit has just 9 TDP's on the season and only 1 over the past 4 games. The Longhorns can not keep pace with the 'Frogs here. The Horned Frogs are 7-1 ATS their L8 vs. teams with a losing record, 7-2 ATS their L9 Conference games, and 10-2 ATS their L12 games played overall. Take TCU. Thank you.

Play LSU (Game 313).

This is my High Roller play.

LSU won and covered 3 in a row before consecutive losses to offensive powerhouses, Alabama and Arkansas in which the Tigers yielded a total of 37 points. LSU's stop unit is 5th nationally, giving up a mere 16.4 PPG. They are excellent against the pass which matches up well with the air-oriented offense of Texas A&M. The Tigers took their bye week to strengthen both their ground and passing attacks. The legs of Fournette, Magee, and Hilliard (1647 YR and 16 TD's combined) will slice up a "swiss-cheese like" Aggies "D" that allowed the Missouri Tigers  to roll for 335 YR last week. The Aggies are 0-8 ATS their L8 games played off of a bye week, 0-5 ATS their L5 games played at home, and 1-6 ATS their 7 games played overall. Take LSU. Thank you.

Play Arizona (Game 267).

This is my TD play.

At 9-1, Arizona not just has the best record in the NFL, but also owns a 3-game lead in the NFC West. Drew Stanton is 3-1 as a starter this season and comes off a great effort, passing for 306 yards over a tough Detroit defense in last week's victory. The QB has a much better receiving corps than does his counterpart, Russell Wilson. Seattle comes off another loss (6-4 on the year) to Kansas City last week. Wilson has been shaky at best, throwing for less than 200 yards in 5 of the past 6 contests. RB, Lynch is the only bright spot for the 'Hawks. However, the Cards possess the #3 rushing defense in football, yielding just 80.5 YPG. Lynch will get his yards but it will be a grind. This will allow Arizona to get to Wilson and create TO's. The Cardinals are 17-5 ATS their L22 vs. the NFC, 7-1 ATS their L8 road games, and 20-7 ATS their L27 overall. Take Arizona. Thank you.

Play New England (Game 256).

This is my MVP Play.

New England is red-hot, winning 6 in a row SU and going 5-1 ATS. The Patriots are looking at another AFC East Title, as they are posting 40.5 PPG during their current streak. The emergence of RB, Jonas Grey and the return of TE, Rob Gronkowski has been the key factors for the team's success. On top of that, QB, Tom Brady has been getting help from his pieced-together OL. Detroit has a solid "D" but will get worn down in this matchup at Foxborough. On offense, the Lions post a dismal, 18.8 PPG. Things will go from bad to worse for this unit as the Pats have the CB's to cover the Lions wideouts and shut down Stafford. The Lions are 2-6 ATS their L8 road games and 1-4 ATS their L5 vs. teams with a winning record. The Patriots are 10-3 ATS their L13 at home and 5-0 ATS their L5 vs. teams with a winning record. Take New England. Thank you.

Play Missouri (Game 127).

This is my High Roller play.

Missouri controls their own destiny in the SEC East. QB, Marty Mauk got some help with the return of his favorite target, receiver, Darius White. The Tigers have won their L4 SU to bring their overall record to 8-2 on the season, covering 6 of their L9. On top of that, Mizzou has won and covered their L9 as a visitor. UT has lost defensive standouts, Johnson, and Williams to suspension and several players to injury. But the big difference here is the disparity between the Tigers "D" (15th nationally, allowing 20.1 PPG) going up against the mistake-prone Tennessee offense and Mauk and company facing a young, inexperienced Vols "D". The Tigers are 12-2 ATS their L14 road games, 14-5 ATS their L19 Conference games, and 21-8 ATS their L29 overall. Take Missouri. Thank you.

Play WMU (Game 149).

This is my 10 Dime play.

WMU is riding a 5-game SU win streak and a 9-game cover streak. The Broncos average 36.2 PPG. QB, Terrell (2668 YP and a 19/6 TD/INT ratio), RB, Franklin (1356 YR and 22 TD's), and WR's, Davis and Braverman (1776 YR and 15 TD's combined) make this explosive unit very hard to defend especially for a CMU team that is just 1-4 ATS at home this season. The Broncos are 7-0 ATS their L7 Conference games, 5-0 ATS their L5 road games, and 10-1 ATS their L11 overall.

Play Louisiana Tech (Game 161).

This is my TD winner.

L Tech has won their L5 SU and boast an 8-2 overall spread mark this season. The Bulldogs are doing everything right, posting 36.2 PPG while ranking 24th nationally in Total Yards on defense (342.9 YPG). QB, Cody Sokol has 2513 YP and a 24/10 TD/INT ratio. The gun-slinger will light up an OD stop unit yielding 41 or more in 7 straight and haven't covered since September 20th. The Monarchs are 0-5 ATS their L5 Conference games and 0-5 ATS their L5 at home. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS their L6 Conference games and 20-6 ATS their L26 overall. Take Louisiana Tech. Thank you.

Play Air Force (Game 119).

This is my MWC GOM.

At 8-2, Air Force comes into this meeting riding a 4-game SU win streak and covering their L3. San Diego State has only covered 2 of their L8 contests, failing to cover any home games in that span. Despite the possible absence of RB, Jacobi Owens (foot), the Falcons are loaded with ball-carriers, ranking 8th nationally, averaging 288.4 YPG on the ground. Sure, the Aztecs can rack up points against teams like the Vandals but they have been less than stellar when facing strong defenses. The Falcons are 5-2 ATS their L7 overall and the Aztecs are 2-5-1 ATS their L8 overall. Take Air Force. Thank you.

Play Utah State (Game 122).

Mountain West contender, Utah State comes in winning 4 straight games by an average of 15 PPG. The Aggies have a solid offense behind backup QB, Kent Myers, who has a stable of good ball-barriers and receivers. But it is still the Aggies defense that earns the teams victories. The stop-unit ranks 12th in the land, allowing a mere 19.4 PPG. This won't bode well for the anemic, mistake-prone SJ State "O" that posts just 21.8 PPG and ranks 111th in TO margin (-11). The Spartans are 1-4 ATS their L5 vs. the Aggies, 1-5 ATS their L6 road games, and 1-6 ATS their L7 games played in November. The Aggies are 12-5-1 ATS their L18 Conference games, 7-1 ATS their L8 games played on Friday, and 4-1 ATS their L5 November games. Take Utah State. Thank you.

Play Kansas City (Game 109).

This is my Thursday Night Winner.

Kansas City has 9 straight covers against the number and at 7-3 on the season, the Chiefs are a legitimate contender for the AFC Title. Oakland is winless at 0-10 on the season and has now lost 6 in a row going back to last season. QB, Derek Carr will have problems passing vs. KC's top ranked pass defense which also ranks 2nd in Points Allowed at 17.1 PPG. Oakland also owns the worst ranking rush "D" in the League, which tells me the Carr will be back-peddling all game long. On the flip-side, Kansas City RB, Jamaal Charles and the 4th ranked rushing squad will run amok vs. the 27th ranked run defense of the Raiders. The Chiefs are 9-2 ATS their L11 played at the Raiders, 6-0 ATS their L6 vs. the AFC, and 4-0 ATS their L4 against teams with a losing record. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

Play Duke (Game 114).

Duke will come in here looking for redemption after suffering their first home loss of the season. North Carolina has one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing 41.2 PPG on 511.9 YPG. The Blue Devils can run, pass, and most-importantly, score. They possess the 11th ranked stop unit in the country, yielding a mere 18.1 PPG. I expect them to come out and pass the ball off the run and earn their vengeance at home. The Home Team is 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in the series. Take Duke. Thank you.

Play Kansas State (Game 111).

This is my Touchdown Play.

Kansas State comes off of a very bad defeat to TCU two weeks ago. However, the Wildcats still have a chance at the Big 12 Title if they win out and a few other things go their way. West Virginia has lost their L2. QB, Trickett is a good passer but can't run the ball. K State has problems with mobile facing mobile QB's. That isn't the case here. The Wildcats can score points while only yielding 21.1 PPG. The Mountaineers are a bit banged-up and certainly step up in class here. They are 4-10 ATS their L14 Conference games, 1-4 ATS their L5 November games, and 0-7 ATS their L7 after a bye week. The Wildcats are 36-15-1 ATS their L52 Conference games, 20-6-1 ATS their L27 vs. teams with a winning record, and 6-1 ATS their L7 overall. Take Kansas State. Thank you.  

Play Pittsburgh (Game 475)

Tennessee has yet to cover at home this season. You can be sure that Dick LeBeau will have his defense ready for rookie QB, Zach Mettenberger. Big Ben and his stellar WR corps will get back on track here as Le'Veon Bell will add to his 747 YR against one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you.

Play New England (Game 473).

This is my Touchdown play.

Both teams are coming off a bye week which tells me that HC, Bill Belichik will prepare his Patriots "D" for Andrew Luck and the Colts offense. The Patriots have won the L4 in this series, covering the most-recent 2 meetings. These two squads match up very close on both sides of the ball. But New England seems to be striding right now so I must side heavily with getting the points here. The Patriots are 8-3-1 ATS their L12 at the Colts and the 'dog is 13-5-2 ATS the L20 in the series. Take New England. Thank you.

Play Denver (Game 465).

This is my Touchdown play.

It won't matter who is over Center for St. Louis. No QB on their roster can play score-for-score with Peyton Manning and the motivated Denver offense. The Broncos are 17-3 ATS vs. sub-.500 teams since Manning has taken the reigns. The Rams average just 18.1 PPG (28th) and allow 27.9 PPG (27th) while the Broncos post 31.8PPG (2nd) and yield 22.4 PPG (18th). The Orange top the League against the run, allowing a paltry, 67 YPG on the ground. The Rams can't run the ball to begin with and without that rushing attack, any QB will be in over his head here. Take Denver. Thank you.

Play Arizona State (Game 393).

This is my PAC 12 GOM.

The #8 Sun Devils will crush the struggling Beavers here. OSU has covered just one game this season and only two games at home the L2 years. ASU is riding a 5-game win streak, going 4-1 ATS and taking down such notables as USC, Stanford, Washington, Utah, and Notre Dame. The team is averaging 36.7 PPG and are absolutely loaded at the QB, RB, and receiving positions. Oregon State is having problems protecting their QB as their ground game hasn't helped out at all. This Sun Devils revamped defense will get to the Beavers QB, Mannion and keep him and the offense off the field. The Sun Devils are 5-0 ATS their L5 vs. teams with a losing record and the Beavers are 0-4 ATS their L4 Conference games. Take Arizona State. Thank you.

Play Missouri (Game 387).

This is my TD play.

The Tigers lead the race for the Conference crown with a 4-11 record in the SEC. I know the Aggies pulled off a big upset victory over the Tigers (Auburn) last week but that was their best played game this season by far. They will come back down to Earth here. Mizzou has won and covered their L8 games played as a visitor and now face an A&M squad that has allowed 45 PPG in SEC play this campaign. Missouri's stacked arsenal on offense will have no problem piling up big numbers off of big plays in this matchup. The Aggies are 0-4 ATS their L4 games played at home, 1-4 ATS their L5 November games, and 1-4 ATS their L5 in the Conference. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS their L6 vs. teams with a winning record, 5-0 ATS their L5 in November, and 16-6-1 ATS their L23 overall. Take Missouri. Thank you.

Play Duke (Game 342).

This is my High Roller Game.

Duke is on their way to another ACC Coastal Title. The Blue Devils have won 8 in a row SU at home and possess an astounding, 17-5-1 record ATS their L23 overall. Virginia Tech can likely miss a Bowl game for the first time since 1992. The Hokies own a 15-33-1 mark ATS their L49 outings. Duke is a solid, well-balanced team that allows just 18.1 PPG while V Tech hasn't looked sharp since early September. The Home Team is 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take Duke. Thank you.

Play Miami (Game 310).

Miami's defense has stepped up over their L4 games, allowing just 11.7 PPG and tallying 11 sacks just in their L3 contests. Overall, the Dolphins "D" ranks 5th in Points Allowed, 2nd in Yards Passing, 10th in Yards Rushing, and 4th in Total Yards. Buffalo's defense isn't bad either but has sprung some serious leaks this season at times. The difference in this game is the offenses. The Bills can hardly score and running the ball seems to be getting harder with a "not so healthy" Fred Jackson back in the lineup. With the flat-footed Kyle Orton at QB, the aggressive Miami stop unit will create TO's. QB, Ryan Tannehill has matured greatly this season amassing 15 TD's against 7 INT's, a 64.3% CR, 2114 YP, and 245 YR. The Bills are 1-4 ATS their L5 vs. the AFC and 1-4 ATS their L5 games played in November. The Dolphins are 9-4 ATS their L13 vs. the AFC and 11-5 ATS their L16 games played at home. Take Miami. Thank you.

Play Arizona. (Game 268).

This is my NFC WEST GOM.

Arizona will improve on their NFL-leading record of 7-1. The Cardinals are 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS) at home this season while Carson Palmer is 5-0 on the campaign and 12-2 his L14 starts. With the passing game flourishing, the 6th ranked defense of 'Zona (19.5 PPG) will have no problem against the anemic Rams offense (18.6 PPG). St. Louis is 2-4 both SU and ATS their L6. Don't be fooled by this team that got 2 victories (by a total of 5 points) in their L3 outings. Arizona will show St. Louis' true colors. The Rams are 4-9 ATS their L13 vs. the Cards and 2-5 ATS their L7 road games. The Cardinals are 11-1 ATS their L12 vs. teams with a losing record and 5-0 ATS their L5 vs. the NFC. Take Arizona. Thank you.

Play Dallas. (Game 251).

This is my MVP Play.

Dropping the L2 games will jump start Dallas into a victory here. Tony Romo is expected to start. Romo, along with RB, DeMarco Murray will face the 1-8 Jacksonville squad and roll over the 30th ranked defense in the NFL. To make matters worse, the Jaguars are the lowest scoring team in the League, putting up a dismal, 15.7 PPG. Blake Bortles has tossed a whopping 13 INT's and will once again throw PICKS here against an angry Cowboys "D". Dallas is 3-0 ATS on the road this season. Take the Cowboys in London. Thank you.

Play Pittsburgh (Game 261).

This is my TD play.

With three straight wins and covers, Pittsburgh is striding as the 1-8 (both SU and ATS) NY Jets fans are calling for Rex Ryan's and John Idzik's heads. Roethlisberger has RB, Le'Veon Bell, and receivers Brown, Miller, and Wheaton rolling. New York does not possess the DB's to stay in this one at all, ranking 28th in Points Allowed (28 PPG). On offense, Michael Vick won't be able to increase the Jets average of 17.7 PPG. The Steelers are 5-0 ATS their L5 games played in November, 5-2 ATS their L7 road games, and 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. the AFC. The Jets are 2-8 ATS their L10 games played in November, 1-5 ATS their L6 vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-5 ATS their L6 vs. the AFC. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you.

Play Marshall (Game 175).

This is my TD play.

Despite sporting an 8-0 record, Marshall hasn't been able to crack the Top-25. The Thundering Herd will come into this matchup looking to impress and looking for respect. Whoever starts at QB for Southern Mississippi, it won't matter as the offense keeps racking up TO's. The 1-2 punch of Cato at QB and Johnson at RB will light up the scoreboard and boost their combined 42 TD's up even higher. UM has the #3 offense (45.9 PPG) and the #7 defense (16.5 PPG) in the land while So Miss ranks 116th on "O" (19.7 PPG) and 105th on "D" (33.9 PPG). The Thundering Herd is 6-1 ATS their L7 overall and the Golden Eagles are 8-19 ATS their L27 overall. Take Marshall. Thank you.

Play Georgia Southern (Game 179).

This is my HR play.

Georgia Southern is averaging 42.2 PPG in Sun Belt action this season. At 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS, the Eagles will stomp on a Bobcats defense that allowed the Aggies squad to amass 639 yards LW. This is a solid Ga Southern team that leads the nation in rushing (406.6 YPG) and ranks 7th in scoring (44.4 PPG) while giving up just 20.9 PPG (24th). Texas State was in trouble in their ULL, 34-10 loss three weeks ago. This matchup will prove to be fatal. The Bobcats are 3-8 ATS their L11 Conference games and 1-4 ATS their L5 games played at home. The Eagles are 5-1 ATS their L6 Conference games and 8-1 ATS their L9 played on the road. Take Georgia Southern. Thank you.

Play Georgia Tech (Game 127).
This is my ACC Game of the Month.

Georgia Tech has won and covered their L2 games looking to stay in the ACC Coastal Division Title race. Their triple-option attack has the unit as the #4 rushing squad in the nation (319.7 YPG on the ground) and scoring over 36.9 PPG. They face a NC State team that is 1-4 SU their L5, with their only victory coming over a "nobody" Syracuse team. There is no way the Wolfpack "D" will be able to contain dual-threat QB, Justin Thomas (1247 YP and a 14/4 TD/INT ratio and 721 yards rushing a 4 TD's on the ground). The Road Team is 4-0-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series, the Yellow Jackets are 5-0-1 ATS their L6 at the Wolf Pack, and the Wolf Pack is 2-7 ATS their L9 games played at home. Take Georgia Tech. Thank you.

Play Cincinnati (Game 110).

The Bengals are unbeaten at home this year and are in a true race in their Division. As a matter of fact, Cincinnati is riding a 13-0-1 streak at home, spanning three seasons. RB, Bernard is questionable but backup, Hill ran for 154 yards and 2 TD's last week. With the return of receiver, Green, QB, Dalton has his passing attack back. The Browns won their L2 but that was against the Raiders and Buccaneers, who are a combined 1-15. Cleveland's ground game has been horrible, ranking 16th in the League, their top back, Tate has rushed for just 65 yards in the L3 outings. This unit is in trouble here. Cincy can run the ball against the 31st ranked rush "D" of Cleveland and allow Dalton and Green to hook up with success. Take the Bengals. Thank you.

Play Baltimore (Game 471).

This is my Late Bailout.

The Ravens come off a heartbreaking late loss LW to Cincy while Pittsburgh comes into this game following a shellacking over Indianapolis. The Ravens won the first meeting back on September 11th, 26-6, three days after losing Ray Rice. Justin Forsett has played well with 571 YR. QB, Joe Flacco has been money with a 62% CR, and a 14/7 TD/INT ratio. Pitt has started to stride but caught  two less than stellar defenses their L2 games. Now they must face the 2nd ranked Ravens "D" that allows just 16.4 PPG. Remember that the Steelers defense has more leaks than ever, yielding 250.1 YPG in the air and tallying only 12 sacks. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Play Arizona (Game 463).

This is my TD play.

Whoever starts at QB for Dallas, it will still be the DeMarco Murray show. The 6-1 Arizona team has the DB's to neutralize the Dallas passing game. The one important thing here is that the Cards rank 3rd in the NFL against the run and have the LB corps to slow down Murray. The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS their L4 vs. the NFC, 6-1 ATS their L7 road games, and 5-1 ATS their L6 overall. Take Arizona. Thank you.  

Play Georgia (Game 360).

This is my SEC Game of the Month.

Todd Gurley will be out again here but it won't matter as Nick Chubbs (569 YR and 5 TD's) has rushed for 345 in the two games filling in for Gurley. Georgia's offense posts 43.4 PPG while their "D" gives up a mere 20 PPG. Freshman, Treon Harris will start at QB for Florida. The Bulldogs will blitz the newbie and force TO's. The Gators are 1-3 SU their L4 and 1-4 ATS their L5. Their mediocre offense can not go shot-for-shot with the Bulldog's here. The Home Team is 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take Georgia. Thank you.  

Play Boston College (Game 313).

This is my HIGH ROLLER.

Boston College is undefeated away from home this season. Virginia Tech has dropped 4 of their L6 SU, going 1-5 ATS, and only managing 22 total points their L2 contests. The Hokies have allowed six 100-yard rushers this season and now face an Eagles team that runs for 277 YPG. BC also yields a mere 18.8 PPG on defense. The Eagles are 7-3 ATS the L10 vs. the Hokies. Take Boston College. Thank you.  

Play Duke (Game 323).

This is my TD play.

Duke is right in track for their second straight ACC Championship game with the #4 defense in the nation, allowing just 15.1 PPG. Pitt has dropped 4 of their L5 SU and has only covered 1 of their L6 overall games. RB, James Conner is the teams only true weapon and even with him, the offense has showed very little the L5 games. The Blue Devils are 7-3 ATS the L10 road games, 9-2 ATS their L11 Conference games, and 15-5-1 ATS their L21 overall. Take Duke. Thank you.

Dallas comes in riding a 6-game (5-1 ATS) win streak, boasting the top-ranked rushing squad behind DeMarco Murray's 913 YR and 7 TD's which has allowed Tony Romo to thrive. Now, without LB, Brian Orakpo, the Washington "D" will yield even more than their 31.2 PPG average in their L5. Expected to start is most-likely a not 100% RG3 and if he doesn't go or falls short early, 3rd string QB, Colt McCoy will take the reins. And with RB, Alfred Morris already slumping, the Cowboys defense will continue to dominate against a Redskins team that is 2-7 ATS their L9 MNF games. Lay the points with Dallas. Thank you.

Play Indianapolis (Game 271).

This is my Best Bet Play.

Indy is striding as the Colts are riding a 5-game win and cover streak. The Colts boast the top passing unit and average 30.9 PPG while their defense has emerged to be one of the best in the AFC. Pittsburgh's offense has been erratic, only posting 22 PPG while their once-feared defense is now a doormat, giving up yardage to both the pass and the run. The Colts are 4-1 ATS their L5 road games, 23-8 ATS their L31 vs. the AFC, and 5-2 ATS their L7 vs. teams with a winning record. Take Indianapolis. Thank you.

Play Minnesota (Game 253).

This is my MVP PLAY.

Tampa Bay is giving up a ton of points, especially over their L4 games, yielding 41.2 PPG. The Bucs rank dead last in the League in Points Allowed, Passing Yards, and Total Yards. Teddy Bridgewater is maturing and almost stole one last week in Buffalo. Minny's ground game will give the QB time to move the chains. The Bucs are 1-7 ATS their L8 vs. the NFC, 17-35-1 ATS their L53 at home, and 2-7 ATS their L9 overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Play Miami (Game 263).

This is my Touch Down play.

Miami is improving, especially the play of QB, Ryan Tannehill, who has thrown for 2 TD's in each of the L3 weeks. They come in here and face a Jacksonville "D" that ranks 30th in Passing Yards Allowed and 27th in Points Allowed. The Jags got their first win of the season LW but QB, Blake Bortles has now tossed 8 INT's in his 4 games. The Dolphins 4th ranked defense will get to the newbie and force mistakes. The Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS the L6 meetings in this series. Take Miami. Thank you.

Play Baltimore (Game 267).

This is my HIGH ROLLER.

Can you say Revenge?! Baltimore has been looking forward to this rematch since losing to Cincinnati in their season opener. The Bengals started strong with 4 wins then went 0-2-1 SU and 0-3 ATS their L3 as their defense has yielded 35.6 PPG in that span. The 1-2 punch of Flacco and Forsett are lighting up scoreboards as the Baltimore "D" ranks #1 in Points Allowed, yielding a mere 14.9 PPG. The Bengals are 0-4 ATS their L4 October games while the Ravens are 5-1 ATS their L6 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Play Ohio State (Game 198).

This is my Ten Dime Play.

Ohio State comes in here rolling as the Buckeyes have won and covered their L4 while Penn State has lost and failed to cover their L2. The Nittany Lions have yielded 20 QB sacks and will be highly challenged by the Buckeyes talented receiving corps. OSU has won and covered each of the L2 meetings over PSU. The Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS their L5 Conference games, 1-3-1 ATS their L5 off a bye week, and 1-4 ATS their L5 October games. The Buckeyes are 53-25-2 ATS their L80 Conference games, 6-2 ATS their L8 off a bye week, and 27-11 ATS their L38 October games. Take Ohio State. Thank you.

Play Mississippi State (Game 121).

This is my Touchdown play.

Coming off a bye week, the top-ranked Bulldog's are a perfect 6-0 SU (5-1 ATS) and are riding high  after an outright 38-23 win over the Tigers. The Wildcats are fresh off a 41-0 spanking at the hands of the LSU Tigers. MSU's QB, Prescott has 1478 YP, a 14/4 TD/INT ratio and another 576 YR and 8 scores on the ground. He and RB, Robinson (689 YR and 8 TD's) will devour a Kentucky "D" that allowed 303 YR to LSU last week. Mississippi State has won the L5 in this series, going 4-1 ATS. The Road Team is 7-1 ATS the L8 meetings in this series. The Wildcats are 5-15 ATS their L20 Conference games. The Bulldog's are 7-0 ATS their L7 Conference games. Take Mississippi State. Thank you.

Play Western Michigan (Game 132).

This is my MAC GOM.

WMU has covered 6 straight behind RB, Franklin's 5.6 YPC and 16 TD's and QB, Terrell's  247 YPG passing average and 12 TD's in the air. The Bronco's will exploit a Bobcats team that is decimated by injuries on both sides of the ball, ranking 117th in scoring on offense and 117th vs. the pass on "D". The Home Team is 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings in this series. Take WMU. Thank you.

Play Memphis (Game 161).

This is my High Roller Play.

SMU is the most disastrous team in the nation, losing all six outings by an average of 41.5 PPG. The Mustangs rank at or near the bottom in just about every major offensive and defensive category. The well-rested Memphis squad comes in with a triple revenge motive on their minds, dropping the L3 to SMU. The passing game and solid rushing attack will shred the SMU "so-called" stop unit. The Road Team is 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take Memphis. Thank you.

Today’s winner: Pittsburgh-3 over Houston.

The last place Steelers come home for only the second time over their L6 contests. Despite JJ Watt, the Texans still rank 27th overall on defense. Big Ben is playing solid and the tandem of Bell and Blount will control the clock. Houston hasn’t outgained any foe this season. The Steeler ”D” will frustrate the mistake-prone Ryan Fitzgerald (6 INT’s and 4 Fumbles) and slow down Arian Foster. The Texans are 0-6 ATS their L6 MNF games while the Steelers will get their 5th straight home victory on MNF. Lay the FG with Pitt here.

Play Arizona (Game 473).

This is my High Roller.

The Cardinals have Carson Palmer back. The QB has been superb against the AFC since joining Arizona going 5-0 SU. 'Zona is 4-1 and leads the NFC West. The offense is putting up numbers while their defense has had just one poor performance this season, barring that game, the Cards stop-unit hasn't allowed more than 20 points in any of their four victories. Oakland played above themselves last week in their 31-28 loss to San Diego but won't have the same success here against the experienced, talented, and superior Arizona secondary. The Raiders are 0-5 SU this season, ranking 31st in Yards Rushing, Total Yards, and Points Scored. The Cardinals are 10-1 ATS their L11 vs. teams with a losing record, 5-1 ATS their L6 road games, and 9-3 ATS their L12 overall. The Raiders are 2-6-1 ATS their L9 vs. teams with a winning record, 1-6 ATS their L7 home games, and 3-12-1 ATS their L16 following an ATS win. Take Arizona. Thank you.

Play Indianapolis (Game 452).

This is my Best Bet.

Cincy's in trouble here. Over the L2 weeks, the Bengals were shredded for 80 points and 936 yards and now go into Indianapolis and face the #1 offense in the NFL. Indy tops the League in Total Yards, Passing Yards, and Points Scored. The Colts are riding a 4-game win streak (covering all 4), including wins against the number in both home contests. To make matters worse, Cincinnati's LB's, Maualuga, Lamur, and Burfict are all banged-up and WR, Green is most-likely sitting this one out. Without his top target, Andy Dalton is in for a long afternoon vs. an Indianapolis stop-unit that has racked up 16 sacks during their current win streak. The Favorite is 5-1 ATS their L6 meetings in this series. The Home Team is 4-1 ATS the L5 matchups. The Bengals are 3-7 ATS their L10 October games and 3-7-1 ATS their L11 on the road. The Colts are 17-5 ATS their L22 home games and 22-8 ATS their L30 vs. the AFC. Take Indianapolis. Thank you.

Play Cleveland (Game 457).

This is my MVP PLAY.

Cleveland is in revenge mode after LY's 4-point loss to Jacksonville. The Browns are 3-0-2 ATS while the winless Jags are 1-5 vs. the number. Brian Hoyer is 6-2 as the Browns starter with a 60.7% CR, 1232 YP, and a 7/1 TD/INT ratio. Tate, Crowell, and West have combined for 715 YR and 8 TD's on the ground. The Jacksonville rookie QB, Blake Bortles has 7 INT's and 2 Fumbles. RB, Toby Gerhart had a mere 123 YR and is expected to sit out here. Backups, Robinson and Jackson offer no better options for the rushing game. This is an offensive unit that hasn't put up more than 17 points in any game this year. The Jaguars are 1-5-1 ATS their L7 vs. the AFC, 8-22-1 ATS their L31 vs. winners, and 16-34-1 ATS their L51 home games. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

Play Marshall (Game 313).

This is my Conf USA GOM.

Marshall is 6-0 SU, have covered 5 straight, and are outscoring opponents by an average of 30.6 PPG. FIU gave up a ton of points to both Pittsburgh and Louisville, both offensive powers. And now we see Panthers QB, McGough slumping with a less than 50% CR and 4 INT's against 3 TD's, just over his L4 games. UM's QB, Cato is rolling with 1698 YP, a 15/5 TD/INT ratio, and another 200 YR and 5 scores on the ground. He along with RB, Johnson (814 YR and 11 TD's) will keep FIU on their heels all game long. The Golden Panther's offense isn't bad but can not go shot-for-shot in this contest especially with a frosh QB and an offensive unit ranking 122nd in Total Yards. The 'Herd is 4-1 ATS their L5 Conference games while the Golden Panthers are 4-10 ATS their L14 vs. teams with a winning record. Take Marshall. Thank you.  

Play Iowa (Game 323).

This is my Big 10 GOM.

Regardless of the fact that Maryland had an extra week off doesn't matter. The results will be the same as the last Big 10 school they faced in Ohio State, ending in a 52-24 thumping. Iowa comes in riding a 3-0 SU and ATS run, with two of those games coming on the road where the Hawkeyes have covered 8 straight. Iowa will have no problem running the ball vs. a Maryland DL that has allowed 282 YPG on the ground and 5.6 YPC over their L3 outings. QB, Rudock has a slew of quality receivers that will exploit the Terps secondary. The Hawkeyes are 8-0 ATS their L8 road games, 4-1 ATS their L5 Conference games, and 4-1 ATS their L5 games vs. teams with a winning record. The Terrapins are 1-5 ATS their L6 games played at home, 1-5 ATS their L6 games played in October, and 0-7 ATS their L7 games played after a bye week. Take Iowa. Thank you.

Play Temple (Game 311).

The two best defenses in the AAC match up here. The Owls have turned 17 TO's into 79 points while the Cougars have 19 takeaways. But Houston lost some key players this week including one of their best receivers in Daniel Spencer as their QB, Greg Ward jr. is making only his 2nd start as the helm. On defense, UH lost CB, Hightwower and  LB, Matthews to injury in last week's contest. Temple leads the nation in red zone "D", allowing just 6 scores in 12 trips. QB, Walker has been solid and with RB, Thomas piling up yardage, I see Temple's offense, who have faced better competition, move the chains here. The Owls are 6-0 ATS their L6 road games, 7-2 ATS their L9 Conference games, and 10-3 ATS their L13 overall. Take Temple. Thank you.

Play San Diego. (Game 269).

This is my Best Bet.

San Diego has been money, going a perfect 5-0 ATS this season, posting 29 PPG during their current 4 game win streak. Philip Rivers is armed with an arsenal of receivers Oakland hasn't seen yet. The Raiders "O" posts a dismal, 12.8 PPG, ranking amongst the worst in the NFL with no glimmer of a passing or running game. The Chargers solidify their top spot in the AFC West. The Raiders are 26-53-1 ATS their L80 home games, 2-7 ATS their L9 vs. the AFC, 2-9 ATS their L11 after a bye week, 1-6-1 ATS their L8 vs. winners, and 0-4 ATS their L4 vs. the AFC West. The Chargers are 6-0 ATS their L6 road games, 5-0 ATS their L5 vs. the AFC, 10-1 ATS their L11 overall, 4-0 ATS their L4 vs. losers, and 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. the AFC West. Take San Diego. Thank you.

Play Denver (Game 251).

This is my MVP PLAY.

With a win here, Denver can tie San Diego for the best record in the AFC. New York is 1-4 both SU and ATS and come off a 31-0 spanking by San Diego. Philip Rivers tore up a Jets "D" that has allowed 12 TD passes already. The Broncos are a top offensive squad with QB, Manning salivating because he knows he will face a very weak Jets secondary. On offense, NY ranks 30th, averaging 15.8 PPG, 32nd in Passing, and 27th in Total Yards. Geno Smith has more INT's than TD's (6/4) and with Michael Vick's, 4-of-14 performance coming off the bench LW, New York will desperately lean on RB, Chris Ivory to carry most of the load. But Denver knows this and they happen to be the 7th ranked stop-unit against the run, giving up a mere 88.2 YPG on the ground. Take Denver. Thank you.

Play Cincinnati. (Game 264).

This is my TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Cincy is looking for their 12th straight regular season home victory. Carolina, at 3-2 suffered both losses against AFC North opponents. The Panthers can't run the ball and their once mighty defense has gotten burned for 99 points just over their L3 outings. The Bengals are fresh off their first loss of the season in an embarrassing, 43-17 defeat at the Patriots. Prior to that, the stout Bengals "D" gave up just 11 PPG. Cincinnati can key on the Carolina passing game and has the talent at CB to contain Cam Newton and his receiving corps. AJ Green is listed as doubtful (as of print) but Andy Dalton has a slew of capable receivers while RB, Giovani Bernard moves the chains. The Bengals are 10-1 ATS their L11 at home, 6-1 ATS their L7 vs. winners, and 8-3 ATS their L11 overall. Take Cincinnati. Thank you.

Play Arizona (Game 168).

This is my 10 Dime play.

Arizona comes in off a huge 31-24 outright victory over Oregon as a 21 1/2 point 'dog to boast a 5-0 record. Southern Cal's defense is vulnerable to up-tempo and spread offenses and now face the 7th ranked passing unit in the land led by QB, Soloman who will have no problem adding to his 1741 YP and a 14/4 TD/INT ratio as RB, Wilson's legs (574 YR & 6 TD's) keep the USC "D" honest. The Trojans are 3-12 ATS their L15 road games. 'Zona blows it up here. The 'Dog in this series is 8-1 ATS their L9 meetings. The Trojans are 2-7 ATS the L9 vs. the Wildcats and the Wildcats are 6-1 ATS their L7 games played in October. Take Arizona. Thank you.

Play Mississippi (Game 187).

This is my HIGH ROLLER.

'Ole Miss is 5-0 SU and ATS and comes off a 23-17 victory last week over 'Bama. Their average margin of victory is 25.6 PPG while their defense hasn't allowed for than 17 points to any foe this season. The Aggies have only played one quality team this season and lost, 48-31 a week ago at Mississippi State. QB, Kenny Hill leads the SEC in Passing Yards and TD's but folded LW, tossing 3 INT's. Things will get worse for him here against a Rebel "D" that ranks 2nd in the land in Points Allowed (10.2 PPG) and has tallied 10 INT's. QB, Bo Wallace has a 68.5% CR, 1522 YP, 14/6 TD/INT ratio, with a solid tandem of ball-carriers that will control the Time Of Possession. A&M has yielded 34.7 PPG and 492 YPG in their 3 SEC matchups this year. Another factor...DOUBLE REVENGE angle as 'Ole Miss dropped the L2 meetings in this series each by 3 points. The Aggies are 8-20 ATS their L28 vs. winners, 1-5 ATS their L6 Conference games, 2-8 ATS their L10 October contests, and 3-7 ATS their L10 overall. The Rebels are 4-1-1 ATS their L6 vs. winners, 3-0-1 ATS their L4 following a SU win, 4-0 ATS their L4 October games, and 5-0-1 ATS their L6 overall. Take Mississippi. Thank you.

Play Missouri (Game 172).

This is my SEC East GOM.

10th ranked Georgia comes into this matchup winning 3 in a row all as a favorite of 3 TD's or more. They played their only road game at South Carolina as a TD favorite and lost a shootout, 38-35. In the process the 'Dawgs lost their most valuable asset in Todd Gurley to suspension. The RB accounted for most of the Bulldog's offense with 773 YR and 8 TD's on the ground, 53 receiving yards, and he even is 1-for-1 in  pass attempts for 50 YP. The offense doesn't have much of an air attack. Inconsistency has plagued QB, Mason, who has poor numbers of a 7/3 TD/INT ratio, averaging 137 YPG in the air, and just 13.8 completions per game. Missouri comes in after a bye week rested following their 21-20 outright win over South Carolina. Maty Mauk's 1110 YP and 14 TD's derive from his leadership, solid receivers, and the tandem of RB's in Hansbrough and Murphy who will keep the Georgia "D" busy, allowing Mauk to make big plays. The Tigers own the best pair of pass-rushers in the nation in Ray and Golden (13 combined sacks) and without having to deal with Gurley, they can stack the box and put pressure on the shaky Mason at QB. Mizzou had their way with UG last year in a 41-26 thumping. The Bulldog's are 1-6 ATS their L7 road games, 1-8-1 ATS their L10 Conference games, 1-7-1 ATS their L9 vs. winners, and 4-11-1 ATS their L16 overall. The Tigers are 7-3-1 ATS their L11 at home, 5-1 their L6 Conference games, 5-1 ATS their L6 vs. winners, and 14-4-1 ATS their L19 overall. Take Missouri. Thank you.

Play Seattle (Game 477).

I know since taking over as Seattle's QB, Russell Wilson's away record isn't the greatest. But the Seahawks remain one of the best teams in the NFL. Kirk Cousins took over for RG3 and has since guided the team to two straight losses, extending his personal staring losing streak to five straight. Seattle comes in well-rested after a bye week with the #2 ranked rushing team in the League and averaging 27.7 PPG. The QB has a 69% CR, 651 YP, a 6/1 TD/INT ratio, and another 87 yards on the ground. Workhorse, Marshwan Lynch will move the chains while Percy Harvin has now added rushing to his resume as the standout WR, has tallied 86 YR over the season. The Redskins "D" leads the NFL in sacks but has yielded 82 points in their L2 games alone. RB, Alfred Morris is in for a long night against the 2nd rated rush defense in the NFL. The 'Hawks have won 8 straight MNF appearances. They are also 21-7 ATS their L28 games vs. the NFC, 6-1-1 ATS their L8 MNF games, and 37-16-1 ATS their L54 overall. The Redskins are 4-11 ATS their L15 vs. the NFC, 2-6 ATS their L8 MNF games, and 3-7 ATS their L10 games played in October. Take Seattle. Thank you.

Play Cleveland (Game 453).

This is my Best Bet.

It won't matter which QB is over Center for Tennessee as the Titans have been outscored, 100-34 the L3 games, all losses SU and ATS never mustering above 10 points. Cleveland, despite a 1-2 record is 3-0 ATS and battling teams right up until the final seconds of every game. The well-rested browns come off a bye week which allowed TE, Cameron, LB, Mingo, and RB, Tate to get healthy. Tennessee is just atrocious and facing a team that can both run and pass the ball successfully will continue to make matters worse. The Road Team is 6-2 ATS the L8 meetings in this series. The Titans are 0-7 ATS their L7 games played at home and 0-7-1 ATS their L8 overall. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

Play Detroit. (Game 464).

This is my MVP Play.

Detroit has won 3 of 4 both SU and ATS, winning and covering both home games over New York and Green Bay by a combined, 54-21. Detroit has the #1 defense in Total Yards, #2 in Yards Passing, #6 in Yards Rushing, and #4 in Points Allowed, yielding a mere 15.5 PPG. Kyle Orton takes the helm for Buffalo this week. the QB steps onto the field with the 31st ranked passing game and a team that averages only 19.8 PPG, allowing 45 points in their current 2-game SU and ATS funk. The Lions "D" keep the Bills offense in trouble while the Stafford/Johnson connection thrives. Take Detroit. Thank you.  

Play South Carolina (Game 351).

This is my Best Bet.

South Carolina HC, Steve Spurrier is 20-1 lifetime vs. Kentucky. The Wildcats will be stepping up in class here as they haven't played the toughest schedule and with the Gamecocks "D" getting better with each game, this SEC matchup will get ugly. Remember, UK will be without four players suspended for disciplinary reasons, including Stanley Williams and Dorian Baker. Williams leads the team in total yards and is their best returner while Baker is one of the offense's best receivers. The Gamecock's are 7-2 ATS their L9 games played at the Wildcat's while the Wildcat's are 1-5 ATS their L6 Conference games. Take South Carolina. Thank you.

Play Notre Dame. (Game 368).

Everett Golson is making an argument for the Heisman. The Irish QB has 1124 YP, a 69.6% CR, and an 11/2 TD/INT ratio. He is leading an offense that is posting 35 PPG and is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. Stanford has faced two solid squads this season in USC and Washington and has failed to cover both outings. The lack of a consistent ground game has hampered the Cardinal offense. QB, Kevin Hogan also lacks the consistency and leadership that this team only recently had an abundance of. I know how good the Stanford "D" is but the Notre Dame stop unit ain't no slouches either, yielding just 11.5 PPG themselves. Take Notre Dame. Thank you.

Play Colorado State (Game 364).

This is my TD play.

Tulsa has dropped their L3 both SU and ATS. The Golden Hurricane's "D" ranks 124th in Points Allowed (42.5) and 121st in Yards allowed (505.8). QB, Dane Evans has 7 INT's already and must face a very fast CSU stop-unit. On the Ram's "O", QB, Garrett Grayson has been superb. He and his 18th ranked passing game will decimate the Tulsa secondary that has allowed some subpar QB's to rack up numbers. Take Colorado State. Thank you.  

Play Marshall (Game 339).

This is my Shocker Play.

Marshall has had an extra week to rest and prepare for this matchup. The 'Herd are posting 45.5 PPG (5th) and 596.8 Total yards per game (2nd). No way can and Old Dom team that has allowed 41 points or more in 3 of their 4 contests this year contain UM. QB, Rakeem Cato will feast on the Monarchs secondary that has put no pressure on FBS foes this season. I look for another Thundering Herd blowout here. Take Marshall. Thank you.

Play San Diego. (Game 266).

This is my Best Bet play.  

Blake Bortles is making his first NFL start. The rookie has a talentless supporting cast. RB, Toby Gerhart has only 82 YR while the OL has yielded 18 sacks. Injuries are also starting to take their toll on the jags as well. San Diego has won and covered the L3 meetings in this series. But the Chargers come in winning their L2 SU and their L3 ATS. Philip Rivers has a 68.4% CR, 778 YP, and a 6/1 TD/INT ratio. Gates, Floyd, Royal, and Allen will tear up the 32nd ranked (in Points Allowed, Rushing Yards, Passing Yards, and Total Yards) Jacksonville defense. Rivers has been successful in the "hurry-up" offense and will exploit this inferior defense and post big numbers. The favorite is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. The Chargers are 9-1-1 ATS their L11 September games, 5-1 ATS their L6 vs. the AFC, and 5-0 ATS their L5 overall. The Jaguars are 8-20 ATS their L28 September games, 8-21-1 ATS their L30 vs. winners, and 4-9 ATS their L13 road games. Take San Diego. Thank you.

Play Houston. (Game 256).

This is my TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Ryan Fitzpatrick is ready to face his old team here. The QB had an "off" game last week giving the team their first loss of the season. However, tossing 3 picks wasn't all Fitzpatrick's fault. He was without RB, Arian Foster and it threw the entire offense out of whack. Foster is slated to return this week. This offense uses the "hurry-up" which will be successful just as the Chargers was against the Bills "D" that ranks 26th vs. the pass. Buffalo QB, EJ Manuel hasn't shown much and the running game doesn't exist. a very hungry Texans stop-unit is allowing a mere 16.7 PPG and will shut down the Bills "O". Take Houston. Thank you.

Play Indianapolis (Game 258).

This is my MVP Play.

Indy's first two losses were by a combined 10 points to NFL elite, Denver and Philadelphia. They then came back to spank Jacksonville, 44-17. The Colts have won and covered the L5 vs. the Titans. Whether it be Locker or Whitehurst at QB for Tennessee, it won't matter. The Titans were lit up for 59 points the L2 games. Offensively, they average 14.3 PPG and will have trouble with the speedy Colts defensive unit. There is no doubt that the Top-5 offense in Points scored, FG%, Yards Passing, and Total Yards of Indy will continue to succeed in this matchup. The Titans are 1-5 ATS their L6 at the Colts, 3-13-2 ATS their L18 vs. the AFC South, and 1-6-1 ATS their L8 overall. The Colts are 14-2 ATS their L16 vs. losers, 13-3 ATS their L16 vs. the AFC South, and 6-2 ATS their L8 overall. take Indianapolis. Thank you.

Play Chicago. (Game 254).

This is my NFC North GOM.

The Bears have won and covered each of their L2 games outright as a 'dog in both. The Packers OL issues hasn't allowed Aaron Rodgers time to throw and RB, Eddie Lacy has been a non-factor. I must side with the red-hot Bears at home here. Take Chicago. Thank you.

Play Boise State. (Game 197).

This is my NO LIMIT.

Boise State comes in here covering three in a row, including the L2 as DD favorites. Air Force has failed to cover their L2 and step up in class here. Bronco's QB, Hedrick (73.7% CR and 1086 YP) will light up a "small" Falcon's "D" that just gave up 38 points to Georgia State. Take Boise State. Thank you.

Play Washington. (Game 174).

This is my Shocker GOM.

Washington has covered the L2 meetings in this series with the games being separated by 4 and 3 points each. The Huskies are tied for the nation's lead with 19 sacks. They haven't played the toughest teams but their defense IS for real. Stanford hasn't run the ball well and is very vulnerable to aggressive defenses. U-Dub QB, Cyler Miles and RB, Lavon Coleman will control the clock while the speedy Washington "D" keys on Cards QB, Kevin Hogan and keeps the game close. Washington comes in riding a 7-game win streak with wins over Oregon State and BYU. Take Washington. Thank you.

Play Temple. (Game 127).

This is my Revenge GOM.

Can you say REVENGE? Temple covered 7 straight in this series winning in 2010 and 2012 before blowing a 21-0 HT lead last year to lose, 28-21. The Owls come in here after a 59-10 rout over the Blue Hens. They have covered 2 of their 3 contests this year and are 9-2 ATS their L11. Big advantage for Temple here at QB with PJ Walker who owns a 63.9% CR, 574 YP, and another 98 YR over Huskies backup QB, Chandler Whitmer who owns a 50.6% CR. The UCONN OL has yielded 8 sacks and the running game is laughable. The Owls are 5-0 ATS their L5 road games and 6-1 ATS their L7 Conference games. The Huskies are 0-4 ATS their L4 games played in September and 0-4 ATS their L4 overall. Take Temple. Thank you.

Play Penn State (Game 136).

This is my Blowout play.

The Wildcats are a mess, ranking 106th in yardage with a QB in Trevor Siemian who has a QB rating of 106.5, with 3 INT's, and has been sacked 8 times already. RB, Justin Jackson has just 184 YR. To make matters worse, NW has failed to cover 12 of their L13, including 6 straight no-covers. PSU QB, Heckenberg has a solid receiving corps and a pair of talented RB's., They are one of the top passing teams in the nation and rank #1 vs. the run. The 'Cats are 0-5 ATS their L5 games played vs. the Nittany Lions Take Penn State. Thank you.