-Baltimore was embarrassed in Cincinnati in their last spotlight TV game; big division game too

-offense is averaging 32.3 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 25.7 points per game 
-Ravens defense allows just 4.5 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Pittsburgh comes in off a must win game in Tampa Bay on Monday night; poor scheduling spot
-offense has faced a collection of defenses that give up 6.3 yards per play; big step-up in class
-Steelers defense is giving up 30 points per game on a terrible 6.2 yards per play this season 

9* Play RAVENS (+).

-San Francisco will be playing their 3rd road game in the first 4 weeks; terrible scheduling spot
-offense lost starting QB Jimmy Garappolo to a season-ending injury; C.J. Beathard to start here
-49ers defense is giving up 31 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 28.4 ppg

-Los Angeles is taking a huge drop in class here after facing the Chiefs and Rams; blowout spot
-offense is averaging 7.1 yards per play versus defenses that are giving up 6.2 yards per play
-Chargers defense allowing just 55.6% pass completions at home this season; will limit scoring

9* Play CHARGERS (-).

-New Orleans comes in off 3 straight down to the wire games; now on the road; huge flat spot
-offense is averaging just 82.7 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 101.9 rypg
-Saints defense is giving up 34.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 26.9 points per game

-New York got their first win of the season last week in Houston; positive momentum will carry
-offense has faced 3 strong defensive teams that only give up 19 ppg on 5.1 yppl; drop in class
-Giants defense gave up just 20 points on 5.0 yards per play in their lone home game this season 

9* Play GIANTS (+).

-Buffalo comes in off their huge upset win as 16.5-point underdogs at Minnesota; major flat spot
-offense is averaging just 4.3 yards per play versus defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-Bills defense is allowing a whopping 74.2% pass completions; facing a terrible matchup here

-Green Bay returns home off an ugly loss in Washington last week; expect a bounce back effort
-offense is averaging 26.5 points per game on a solid 6.0 yards per play at home this season
-Packers defense is taking a big step-down in class here while facing rookie QB Josh Allen 

10* Play PACKERS (-).

-Minnesota is off an embarrassing home loss to Buffalo last week; expect bounce back effort 

-offense was terrific in their lone road game; 29 points scored on a whopping 7.3 yards per play 
-Vikings defense allows just 5.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Los Angeles comes into this game with a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS record; played 3 bad teams
-offense has faced a collection of defenses that give up 6.4 yards per play; big step-up in class
-Rams defense allows 5.7 yards per play despite allowing 12 points per game; numbers don't jive

9* Play VIKINGS (+).

-Pittsburgh’s first two games went Over the total; average of 60.5 ppg; more of the same here
-offense is averaging 29 points per game versus defenses that only give up 25.2 points per game 
-Steelers defense has given up 31.5 points per game on 5.9 yards per play so far this season

-Tampa Bay is also 2-0 to the Over with their games averaging 68 points per game; expect points
-offense is averaging 8.2 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 6.4 yards per play

-Buccaneers defense is giving up 8.1 yards per pass attempt and 6.8 yards per play; bad numbers

9* Play OVER the total.

-New England comes in off a loss and a terrible offensive performance; expect breakout here
-offense is taking a huge drop in class here; indoors on a fast track; look for an explosion game 
-Patriots defense gave up 31 points on an ugly 7.0 yards per play in their lone road game 

-Detroit returns home with an 0-2 SU record; they were awful in their home opener; big effort
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.2 yards per play

-Lions defense is giving up 7.1 yards per pass attempt and 6.3 yards per play; bad matchup here

9* Play OVER the total.

-Chicago comes in off 2 spotlight games vs. Packers and Seahawks; now on the road; flat spot
-offense is averaging just 4.6 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.8 yards per play
-Bears defense gave up 8.1 yards per pass attempt and 6.7 yards per play in their lone road game

-Arizona has lost their first 2 games by a combined score of 58-6; it’s now or never for this team
-offense faced 2 strong defenses that are only giving up 10 points per game on 4.8 yards per play
-Cardinals defense is taking a monumental step-down in class for this game; expect big effort 

9* Play CARDINALS (+).

-Los Angeles is 1-1 on the season after losing to Kansas City and beating Buffalo; focus spot
-offense is averaging 7.1 yards per play versus defenses that are giving up 6.4 yards per play
-Chargers defense allowing just 95 rushing yards per game on a measly 3.9 yards per rush

-LA comes into this game with a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS record; beat 2 bad teams; jump in class
-offense is averaging just 3.9 yards per rush versus defenses that give up 4.5 yards per rush
-Rams defense is still giving up 5.1 yards per play vs. poor offenses that only average 5.2 yppl

9* Play CHARGERS (+).

-San Francisco bounced back nicely last week after losing their opener; expect another big effort
-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play versus defenses that are giving up 5.8 yards per play
-49ers defense allowing just 5.5 yards per play vs. offenses that are averaging 5.8 yards per play  

-Kansas City plays their first home game after winning 2 games SU as underdogs; flat spot
-offense cannot play any better than they did in their 2 games; 80 points scored; regression now
-Chiefs defense is allowing 7.7 yards per pass attempt and a whopping 7.0 yards per play

10* Play 49ERS (+).

-Seattle had a tough opening game in the thin air and altitude of Denver; played well in that loss
-offense averaged a solid 7.2 yards per pass attempt and 6.2 yards per play; positive sign
-Seahawks defense projects to give up just 21.6 points on 309 yards of offense in this game

-Chicago blew a 20-0 lead in Green Bay last Sunday night; off that performance, overvalued now
-offense only averaged 4.4 yards per pass attempt and 4.7 yards per play; terrible numbers
-Bears defense gave up a bad 8.1 yards per pass attempt and a whopping 6.7 yards per play 

9* Play SEAHAWKS (+).

-New York lost at home to a stout Jacksonville defense last week; big drop in class here
-offense was stymied by the Jaguars, but running for 5.0 yards per rush was a definite bright spot
-Giants defense projects to give up just 21.4 points on 362 total yards in this game

-Dallas returns home from a loss in Carolina; nothing they showed in that game was a positive
-offense was atrocious against the Panthers; averaged 4.8 yards per pass and 4.5 yards per play
-Cowboys defense allowed 147 rushing yards on 4.6 yards per rush; bad sign for this matchup

9* Play GIANTS (+).

-Detroit couldn’t have played much worse at home on Monday night; expect bounce back effort
-offense saw QB Matthew Stafford throw 4 interceptions and complete just 55.8% of his passes
-Lions defense was better than the 48 points on the scoreboard indicate; blame on the offense 

-San Francisco returns home off a loss in Minnesota; still overvalued from 2017 ending results
-offense only ran for 3.0 yards per rush, and overall, they averaged just 5.6 yards per play
-49ers defense played as good as they can last week and still lost; expect lots of regression here

9* Play LIONS (+).

-Indianapolis lost to Cincinnati in their season opener; Bengals came back to win; good sign
-offense has QB Andrew Luck back under center; 73.6% completions on 305 yards in Game 1 
-Colts defense, especially their secondary, is taking a big step down in class here in Game 2 

-Washington won easily in Arizona last week as expected; now facing a much better team
-offense had it easy against a very poor Cardinals defense; expect some regression here
-Redskins defense is taking a big step-up in class; don’t expect a 6-pt performance like last week 

10* Play COLTS (+).

-Kansas City faced a very strong Chargers secondary last week, and they still shredded them
-offense put up 38 points while averaging a whopping 9.5 yards per pass; easier defense now
-Chiefs defense gave up 28 points on an eye-popping 7.4 yards per play last week; bad sign

-Pittsburgh comes home off a terrible offensive game on a windy and rainy day; big bounce back 
-offense still threw for 7.6 yards per pass despite the awful weather conditions for QB Big Ben 

-Steelers defense is taking a huge jump up in class now after facing the Cleveland Browns

9* Play OVER the total.

-Baltimore crushed an out-classed Buffalo team on Sunday; division game; will be focused
-offense is much more explosive this season, especially in the passing game; good matchup here

-Ravens defense will be very good this season; projected to allow just 20.1 points in this game

-Cincinnati won as expected last Sunday in Indianapolis; stepping way up in class now though
-offense had a great passing matchup vs. the Colts in Week 1; now facing a stout secondary
-Bengals gave up 73.6% completions on 305 passing yards to a rusty Andrew Luck; bad sign 

9* Play RAVENS (-).

-Los Angeles went 11-5 in 2017, but they played an extremely easy schedule; overvalued now
-offense was explosive last season, but their best matchup here comes on the ground with Gurley
-Rams defense gave up 21.6 ppg on the road compared to 17.4 ppg at home (excludes Week 17)

-Oakland was besieged with injuries last season which led to their 6-10 record; undervalued now
-offense will be best served to play ball control in this game; fits new HC Jon Gruden perfectly
-Raiders defense allowed 20 points or less in five of their seven true home games last season  

9* Play RAIDERS (+).

-Chicago has a new coaching staff, a new quarterback, and a revamped defense for 2018
-offense will be led by young Mitchell Trubinsky who will make his first NFL start; tough spot
-Bears defense projects to give up 21.9 points on just 343 yards of total offense in this game

-Green Bay will be a much better team in 2018 as long as they stay healthy, especially at QB
-offense will get Aaron Rodgers back under center, but it will take some time for them to gel

-Packers defense projects to give up 20.6 points on just 323 yards of total offense in this game

9* Play UNDER the total.

-Washington made some moves in the offseason that should make them a more competitive team
-offense is now led by QB Alex Smith who fits HC Jay Gruden’s system much better; good fit
-Redskins defense has a terrific matchup for Week 1; expect them to limit scoring opportunities 

-Arizona was worse than their 8-8 record in 2017; went 4-0 in games decided by 3 points or less
-offense now has Sam Bradford under center; he doesn't have a talented unit to work with
-Cardinals defense was awful last season; they gave up 24 points or more in nine games

9* Play REDSKINS (+).

-Cincinnati lost 20-0 in Week 1 last season; that led to firings and a tumultuous season; big effort
-offense is completely healthy; QB Andy Dalton will throw all over the Colts terrible secondary
-Bengals defense allowed just 21.8 points per game in 2017; should limit scoring chances today  

-Indianapolis went 4-12 in 2017 without the services of QB Andrew Luck; questions still remain
-offense was very predictable in the preseason; Luck was eased back; don't expect much here
-Colts defense ranked 30th last season and they have little talent again this season; bad matchup

10* Play BENGALS (+).

-Houston gave New England all they wanted in their first meeting last season; lost 36-33
-offense had QB Deshaun Watson healthy for that game before he was lost for the season
-Texans defense was shredded by injuries in 2017; stout unit is fully healthy for today’s game

-New England made another Super Bowl in 2017, but they tend to start September slow
-offense lost a lot of production from last year’s team, especially in pass catchers; question marks
-Patriots defense was torched by Watson in last year’s meeting; gave up 33 points on 417 yards

9* Play TEXANS (+).

-Atlanta’s offense has been much more efficient when playing indoors on a fast track
-offense doesn’t project for much scoring; QB Matt Ryan slated for just 237 passing yards
-Falcons defense projects to give up 21.7 points on just 325 yards of total offense in this game

-Philadelphia will play their first game after winning the Super Bowl; lots of distractions here 
-offense will play with QB Nick Foles under center; he was terrible in the preseason

-Eagles defense projects to give up 20 points on just 347 yards of total offense in this game

10* Play UNDER the total.

-Philadelphia’s offense broke out in the NFC Championship; expect offensive efficiency in SB52  
-offense averages 28.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 21.6 points per game

-Eagles defense was much worse on the road; gave up 6.2 points per game more (23.5-17.3)  

-New England has scored 23 points or more in 15 of their 18 games; expect more of the same
-offense is averaging 28.7 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22.2 points per game 
-Patriots defense gives up 5.9 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.5 yards per play   

10* Play OVER the total.

-Minnesota comes in off a miraculous win, but ignore that; they led 17-0 late in the 3rd quarter
-offense is averaging 24.2 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22 points per game
-Vikings defense has only allowed 16.2 points per game on 4.9 yards per play this season

-Philadelphia is the #1 seed yet they were home dogs to #6 seed Atlanta and here; line is telling
-offense has scored just 34 total points in their last three games; bad matchup vs. Vikings defense  
-Eagles defense faced terrible offenses that only averaged 20.8 ppg this season; big step-up here

10* Play VIKINGS (-).

-Minnesota has scored 23 points or more in 9 of their last 11 games; expect more of the same 
-offense is averaging 24.2 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22 points per game 

-Vikings defense gives up 112.1 rushing yards per game on the road; Eagles average 130.1 rypg 

-Philadelphia’s offense has been terrible lately; need to be aggressive to have any chance to win
-offense did average 27.8 points per game under QB Wentz; total adjusted too low with him out 
-Eagles defense faced terrible offenses that only averaged 20.8 ppg this season; big step-up here   

9* Play OVER the total.

-Jacksonville has scored 30 points or more in 5 of their last 7 games; in terrific current form  
-offense averages 28.1 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 22.7 points per game

-Jaguars defense faced terrible offenses that only averaged 20.9 ppg this season; big step-up here 

-New England has scored 21 points or more in every home game this season; more of the same
-offense is averaging 30 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 22.5 points per game 
-Patriots defense gives up 6.1 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play   

9* Play OVER the total.

-New Orleans is a terrific home team inside the dome; big benefit playing inside a dome here
-offense is averaging 28.2 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 21.6 points per game
-Saints defense gives up just 18.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 22 ppg

-Minnesota beat New Orleans 29-19 in Week 1, but Saints were just 20% (1-5) in the red zone   
-offense is only averaging 5.5 yards per play vs. defenses that also give up 5.5 yards per play    
-Vikings defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 22 points per game; big step-up

10* Play SAINTS (+).

-Tennessee has scored 20 points or more in 7 of their last 10 games; need to score points here  
-offense averages 4.3 yards per rush; they’ll face a defense that allows 4.8 yards per rush at home

-Titans defense gives up 23.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.2 ppg 

-New England has scored 21 points or more in every home game this season; more of the same
-offense is averaging 29.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 22.3 points per game 
-Patriots defense gives up 6.3 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play   

10* Play OVER the total.

-Carolina lost both regular season meetings against New Orleans, but expect a close game here
-offense is averaging 22.7 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 21.4 points per game
-Panthers defense only allows 19.6 points per game on 5.4 yards per play on the road this season

-New Orleans lost 31-24 last week, and with 2 wins over Carolina already, expect tight play
-offense has to throw the ball to be successful, but Carolina gives up just 6.5 yppa; bad matchup  
-Saints defense is worse at home where they give up 22.5 points per game on 5.6 yards per play 

10* Play PANTHERS (+).

-Buffalo is in a bad scheduling spot; it will be their 3rd straight road game off a must win effort
-offense is only averaging 17.6 points per game on 4.8 yards per play on the road this season
-Bills defense gives up 24.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that only average 21.4 ppg 

-Jacksonville returns home off back-to-back road losses; good spot for a big bounce back effort
-offense is averaging 25.9 points per game at home vs. defenses that only give up 22.7 ppg    
-Jaguars defense gives up just 16.7 points per game on 4.9 yards per play this season 

9* Play JAGUARS (-).

-Atlanta won a big game at home vs. Carolina last week, so expect momentum to carry here
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that only allow 5.6 yppl 
-Falcons defense is only giving up 19.7 points per game on 5.3 yards per play this season

-Los Angeles rested their starters last week, but with a young QB and team, that was a bad idea
-offense needs to throw the ball to be successful, but Atlanta gives up just 6.2 yppa; bad matchup  
-Rams defense is worse at home where they give up 22.3 points per game on 5.6 yards per play 

10* Play FALCONS (+).

-Tennessee is not in good current form at all; they’ve scored 68 total points in their last 4 games
-offense is averaging just 17.5 points per game on 4.9 yards per play on the road this season
-Titans defense allows 5.0 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.3 yards per play 

-Kansas City opened the season at 5-0, then they lost 6 of 7 games before closing on a 4-0 run 
-offense was worse at home; they averaged 1.8 points per game less and 0.6 yards per play less   

-Chiefs defense only gives up 16.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 21 ppg

9* Play UNDER the total.

-Oakland has lost 3 straight games, but they are still playing hard; lost 17-16 to Chargers earlier  
-offense is averaging 5.5 yards per play vs. defenses that also give up 5.5 yards per play
-Raiders defense has held four of their last five opponents to 20 points or less; good current form

-Los Angeles returns home off back-to-back road games; they’ve gone just 1-3 ATS last 4 games
-offense is only averaging 21.7 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22.4 points per game     
-Chargers defense allows 5.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play 

10* Play RAIDERS (+).

-Carolina has played their last three games at home, and now hit the road; bad scheduling spot 
-offense is only averaging 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Panthers defense is giving up 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that also average 5.7 yards per play 

-Atlanta returns home off an ugly 10-point loss in New Orleans; expect a big effort in a big game
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.6 yards per play
-Falcons defense is giving up just 17.7 points per game on 5.2 yards per play at home this season 

9* Play FALCONS (-).

-Green Bay has lost their last two games and seem to have quit on the season; in a bad spot here
-offense is only averaging 5.2 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.4 yards per play    
-Packers defense allows 26.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.9 ppg

-Detroit returns home off a road loss in Cincinnati, and off that ugly loss, expect a big effort
-offense is averaging 25.9 points per game at home vs. defenses that only give up 20.7 ppg
-Lions defense has given up just 57 points in their last three games; in good current form  

9* Play LIONS (-).

-Oakland hits the road after back-to-back losses; scored just 32 total points; expect bounce back
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Raiders defense has held 3 of their last 4 opponents to 20 points or less; good current form

-Philadelphia returns home off 3 straight draining road games; natural letdown spot here
-offense scored 34 points in backup QB Nick Foles’ first start this season; regression in this game  

-Eagles defense has given up 88 total points in their last three games; in bad current form

9* Play RAIDERS (+).

-Seattle is off back-to-back losses with their last being a blowout home loss; expect big effort
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play
-Seahawks defense is giving up just 18 points per game on 5.1 yards per play on the road 

-Dallas has won 3 straight games, but with Ezekiel Elliott returning, their identity changes
-offense is only averaging 5.4 yards per play at home vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Cowboys defense is giving up 24.1 points per game on 6.1 yards per play at home this season  

10* Play SEAHAWKS (+).

-Los Angeles lost 30-13 in Kansas City last week, and off that ugly loss, expect a big effort
-offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play vs. defenses that only allow 5.5 yards per play
-Chargers defense is giving up 18.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 22 points per game  

-New York has lost their last two games by a combined score of 54-19; in terrible current form
-offense is averaging 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play    
-Jets defense allows 24.4 points per game vs. offenses that only average 21.6 points per game  

9* Play CHARGERS (-).

-Atlanta is off 3 straight close games with their last two being 3-point wins; back-to-back road 
-offense is only averaging 22.7 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22 points per game     
-Falcons defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 22.4 points per game; big step-up

-New Orleans has scored 30 points or more in their last 4 home games; expect more of the same 
-offense is averaging 31.1 points per game at home vs. defenses that only allow 21.9 ppg
-Saints defense gives up 5.5 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

9* Play SAINTS (-).

-Atlanta has scored just 53 total points in their last 3 games; need to trade points with the Saints 
-offense is averaging 6.3 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play 

-Falcons defense has given up 63 points to the Saints in their last two trips to New Orleans

-New Orleans has scored 30 points or more in four of their last five games; in good current form
-offense is averaging 31.1 points per game on 6.8 yards per play at home this season
-Saints defense is giving up 23.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 22.7 pg  

9* Play OVER the total.

-Minnesota is in a bad scheduling spot; it will be their 3rd road game in 4 weeks; 6th in 8 games
-offense is averaging just 5.3 yards per plat on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.6 yards per play 
-Vikings defense gives up 4.4 points per game more (21.7-17.3) on the road than overall average

-Green Bay returns home off a road loss in Carolina; 2nd home game in last 5 games; good spot
-offense has scored 24 points or more in each of their last four games; in excellent current form  
-Packers defense gives up just 20.9 points per game on 5.5 yards per play at home this season 

9* Play PACKERS (+).

-Atlanta will be playing their first road game in a month; letdown spot after Saints and Vikings
-offense is averaging just 22.6 points per game vs. defenses that give up 21.9 points per game  

-Falcons defense gives up 22.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.6 points per game

-Tampa Bay is playing their second straight home; good scheduling advantage here off a loss
-offense is averaging 5.7 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play
-Buccaneers defense is giving up just 16.7 points per game on 5.3 yards per play at home 

9* Play BUCCANEERS (+).

-Dallas has won their last two games after going on a 3-game losing streak; in good current form
-offense is averaging 25.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 22.8 ppg
-Cowboys defense gives up 22.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.7 points per game  

-Oakland returns home off a road loss in Kansas City where they scored 15 points; bounce back
-offense is averaging 23.1 points per game on 5.9 yards per play at home this season 

-Raiders defense gives up 23.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.4 points per game 

9* Play OVER the total.

-New England was in a terrible spot for their game on Monday night; expect big bounce back
-offense is averaging 28.3 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22.4 points per game
-Patriots defense is only giving up 15 points per game and 5.6 yards per play on the road

-Pittsburgh has won 8 straight games, but 6 of those wins came by 6 points or less; jump in class  
-offense is averaging 94.8 rushing yards per game at home vs. defenses that allow 112.4 rypg   
-Steelers defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 21.2 ppg on 5.3 yppl; big step-up

10* Play PATRIOTS (-).

-New England only scored 43 total points in their last two games; expect big performance here
-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play 
-Patriots defense is giving up 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play

-Pittsburgh has scored 112 total points over their last four games; in excellent current form
-offense is averaging 29 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 21.5 points per game

-Steelers defense has faced terrible offenses that only average 21.2 ppg; big step-up in class here 

9* Play OVER the total.

-Los Angeles lost 16-10 at home to Seattle earlier this season, and off a loss, expect a big effort
-offense is averaging 30.5 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22.4 points per game 
-Rams defense is giving up 20.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.1 points per game  

-Seattle is 3-3 SU over their last 6 games; 2 of those 3 wins came against the 49ers and Cardinals 
-offense has scored 17 points or less in three of their last four meetings against the Rams defense   
-Seahawks defense allows 5.6 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play 

9* Play RAMS (+).

-Chicago is playing with legitimate revenge after blowing a 17-7 home lead to Detroit last month
-offense is averaging 124.3 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that only give up 107.2 rypg  
-Bears defense is only giving up 5.2 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.6 yppl

-Detroit is 2-2 SU over their last four games, but both of those wins came by exactly 3 points
-offense is only averaging 76.3 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that give up 104.5 rypg   
-Lions defense is giving up 25.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 21.4 points per game 

10* Play BEARS (+).

-Denver will play their first game inside a dome on a fast track this season; breakout here
-offense has faced a tough slate of defenses that only give up 21.6 ppg; step-down in class
-Broncos defense gives up 30.5 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 21.9 ppg  

-Indianapolis returns home off back-to-back road games with their last played in a blizzard 
-offense has faced a strong group of defenses that only give up 21.4 ppg; big step-down in class 

-Colts defense gives up 26.4 points per game vs. offenses that only average 21.7 points per game

10* Play OVER the total.

-New England will be playing their 4th road game over the last five weeks; bad scheduling spot
-offense scored just 23 points in a bad spot last week; now in a worse spot, expect similar result

-Patriots defense is giving up 6.1 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.6 yards per play   

-Miami will be playing their 3rd home over the last four weeks; good scheduling advantage here
-offense is much better at home where they average 25.2 points per game on 5.8 yards per play
-Dolphins defense is giving up just 5.1 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.6 yppl 

10* Play DOLPHINS (+).

-Baltimore has scored 90 total points in their 3 games since they bye week; good current form
-offense is averaging 23.3 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22 points per game 
-Ravens defense has given up 57 total points to the Steelers offense in their last two meetings 

-Pittsburgh has scored 100 total points in their last three home games; scoring ways will continue 
-offense is averaging 27 points per game at home vs. defenses that are only giving up 21.6 ppg

-Steelers defense has given up 20 points or more to the Ravens in 8 of their last 9 meetings

9* Play OVER the total.

-Tennessee hits the road again off back-to-back wins; 3rd road game in 4 weeks; letdown here
-offense is only averaging 18.3 points per game on 5.0 yards per play on the road
-Titans defense is giving up 25.7 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 20.9 ppg  

-Arizona will be playing their third straight home game, and off a loss, expect a strong effort here 
-offense is scoring 3.8 points per game more at home than they are overall this season (22-18.2)
-Cardinals defense is giving up 5.2 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yards per play 

9* Play CARDINALS (+).

-Minnesota is in a terrible scheduling spot; it will be their 3rd straight road game; 5th in 6 games
-offense is averaging just 5.2 yards per plat on the road vs. defenses that allow 5.6 yards per play 
-Vikings defense gives up 3.2 points per game more (20.2-17.0) on the road than overall

-Carolina returns home off a road loss in New Orleans; first home game in a month; great spot
-offense has scored 121 total points in their last four games; in excellent current form  
-Panthers defense gives up just 19.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 23 points per game 

10* Play PANTHERS (+).

-Green Bay hits the road after back-to-back draining games; terrible situational spot here
-offense is only averaging 5.3 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.4 yards per play
-Packers defense is giving up 27 points per game on 6.0 yards per play on the road

-Cleveland returns home off back-to-back road games; expect their best game of the season
-offense has faced a difficult slate of defenses that only give up 20.9 points per game; step-down
-Browns defense only gives up 20 points per game on 4.7 yards per play at home this season 

9* Play BROWNS (+).

-New Orleans has scored 30 points or more in four of their last five games; in good current form
-offense is averaging 29.4 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 22 points per game  
-Saints defense is giving up 5.7 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.5 yards per play 

-Atlanta comes in off their 2nd worst offensive game of the season (9 points); big bounce back 
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.6 yards per play 

-Falcons defense has given up 31 points or more to the Saints in three of their last four meetings

10* Play OVER the total.

-Pittsburgh hits the road after winning and scoring 71 total points in two home games; bad spot
-offense is much worse on the road; they are averaging 3 points per game less (20.5-23.5) 

-Steelers were 4-point home favorites over Cincinnati earlier this season; same price on the road 

-Cincinnati has won 2 straight games after going just 1-3 in their previous 4 games; good form
-offense is much better at home where they’ve scored 74 total points in their last three games
-Bengals defense is giving up just 17.6 points per game on 4.8 yards per play at home this season 

10* Play BENGALS (+).

-Philadelphia will be playing just their 3rd road game over the last 7 weeks; bad spot out West
-offense is due for major regression after scoring 31 points or more in their last five games 
-Eagles defense has given up just 12 total points in their last two games; expect a bad game here

-Seattle has lost their last two home games, so expect a big effort, especially in a spotlight game
-offense is averaging 28.8 points per game on 6.1 yards per play at home this season  
-Seahawks defense is giving up 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

9* Play SEAHAWKS (+).

-Carolina is playing with legitimate revenge after losing 34-13 to the Saints at home in Week 3
-offense is averaging 23 points per game on the road vs. defenses that give up 22.6 ppg  
-Panthers defense is only giving up 18.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 22.9 ppg  

-New Orleans’s 8-game winning streak was snapped last week; overtime week before; bad spot 
-offense has faced terrible defenses that allow 5.7 yards per play; Panthers only give up 5.3 yppl 
-Saints defense is giving up 25.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 22.7 ppg  

10* Play PANTHERS (+).

-New York will start Geno Smith at quarterback; lots of bad press, so expect big effort here
-offense has faced a strong group of defenses that only give up 22.2 ppg; big step-down in class
-Giants defense is allowing 6.1 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that only average 5.7 yppl 

-Oakland comes in off back-to-back poor offensive games; expect an explosive performance here
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play at home vs. defenses that only give up 5.5 yards per play

-Raiders defense is giving up 24 points per game on 5.9 yards per play at home this season  

9* Play OVER the total.

-New England will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 weeks, including Mexico trip; bad spot
-offense has scored 33 points or more in three straight weeks; regression against a solid defense
-Patriots defense is giving up 6.3 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play 

-Buffalo returns home off two road games; blown out in previous home game; big effort here
-offense has been much better at home where they average 3.8 ppg and 0.4 yppl more per game    
-Bills defense is only giving up 5.5 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play 

9* Play BILLS (+).

-Washington hits the road after snapping their 2-game losing streak; momentum will carry here
-offense is averaging 23.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 21 points per game 

-Redskins defense is giving up 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play  

-Dallas is in terrible form; they’ve lost 3 straight games; their offense scored 22 total points
-offense is only averaging 20.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 22.4 ppg
-Cowboys defense allows 25.8 points per game on 6.3 yards per play at home this season  

9* Play REDSKINS (-).

-Houston hits the road after snapping their 3-game losing streak; expect momentum to carry here
-offense scored 31 points last week; best game with QB Tom Savage at the helm (97.1 QB rate)
-Texans' defense is giving up just 92 rushing yards per game vs. offenses that average 107 rypg

-Baltimore returns home off misleading 23-0 shutout win in Green Bay last week (+4 turnover edge)
-offense is only averaging 4.5 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.3 yards per play this season
-Ravens' defense allows 136 rushing ypg at home vs. offenses that average only 107 rushing ypg

9* Play TEXANS (+).

-Green Bay was shutout at home last week, so expect a strong bounce back performance tonight
-offense played their best in their lone road game with Brett Hundley at QB; scored 23 points 
-Packers defense is giving up 26 points per game on 5.8 yards per play on the road this season 

-Pittsburgh is in terrific current form after winning five consecutive games; expect points here 
-offense is averaging 26 points per game at home vs. defenses that are only giving up 21.6 ppg

-Steelers defense has key injuries in the secondary, including Joe Haden; vulnerable to big plays

9* Play OVER the total.

-Tampa Bay comes in off back-to-back wins, so they’re playing with positive momentum
-offense has played much better on the road where they are averaging 23.4 ppg on 5.8 yppl 
-Bucs defense in good form; they’ve held three of their last four opponents to 20 points or less

-Atlanta returns home off their high-scoring 34-31 win in Seattle on Monday night; letdown here 
-offense is averaging just 23.1 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22.4 points per game 
-Falcons defense is also an average unit; they give up 21 ppg vs. offenses that average 21.8 ppg

9* Play BUCCANEERS (+).

-Chicago has seven losses on the season, but five of those losses have come by 8 points or less
-offense is averaging 131.6 rushing yards per game vs. defenses that only give up 104 rypg  
-Bears defense is only giving up 5.2 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.6 yppl

-Philadelphia is 9-1, but off their spotlight win in Dallas on Sunday night, expect a letdown here
-offense is due for major regression after scoring 33 points or more in their last four games  
-Eagles defense has given up 23 points or more in three of their last five games

10* Play BEARS (+).

-Cleveland is winless, but in a revenge spot against their in-state rival, expect a big effort
-offense has faced a strong group of opposing defenses that only give up 21.1 points per game
-Browns defense is only giving up 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.4 yards per play 

-Cincinnati returns home off three straight road games with their last being a win; poor spot
-offense is averaging just 13.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 22.7 ppg  
-Bengals defense has given up an average of 23.2 points per game over their last five games

9* Play BROWNS (+).

-New York snapped their 3-game losing streak with a home overtime win last week; regress here
-offense is averaging just 16.2 points per game vs. defenses that give up 22.1 points per game   
-Giants defense is giving up 6.0 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.7 yards per play

-Washington comes into this game off back-to-back losses; expect strong performance tonight
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play versus defenses that are giving up 5.5 yards per play
-Redskins defense allows just 5.2 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.9 yppl

9* Play REDSKINS (-).

-San Diego is off their best offensive game of the season (54 points); expect momentum to carry
-offense is averaging 5.7 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.6 yards per play 
-Chargers defense has given up 20 points or more in seven of their ten games so far this season 

-Dallas is off back-to-back terrible offensive games (16 total points); expect strong bounce back
-offense is averaging 24.2 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 23.2 points per game 

-Cowboys defense is giving up 25.4 points per game on 6.0 yards per play at home this season

9* Play OVER the total.

-Minnesota is playing with same season revenge after losing 14-7 at home to Detroit in Week 4
-offense is averaging 24.1 points per game vs. defenses that are giving up 21.6 points per game  
-Vikings defense is only giving up 4.9 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yards per play

-Detroit has won back-to-back games after overcoming double digit deficits; regression spot
-offense is only averaging 75.6 rushing ypg; the Vikings only allow 5.9 yards per pass attempt
-Lions defense is giving up 24.8 points per game on 5.9 yards per play at home this season  

10* Play VIKINGS (-).

-Atlanta has scored 69 points in their last 3 games; scored 41 points in their previous 3 games
-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play on the road vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play 
-Falcons defense has given up 20 points or more in seven of their nine games this season  

-Seattle has scored 101 points in their four games since their bye week; in good current form 
-offense is averaging 28.2 points per game on 6.3 yards per play at home this season

-Seahawks defense is giving up 5.7 yards per play at home vs. offenses that average 5.5 yppl

9* Play OVER the total.

-Philadelphia is 8-1 on the season, but they’ve played an extremely weak schedule so far
-offense is averaging 5.6 points per game less on the road than they are overall on the season 
-Eagles defense is giving up 5.7 yards per play on the road versus offenses that average 5.5 yppl

-Dallas returns home off a 20-point road blowout loss in Atlanta; expect strong bounce back here
-offense is averaging 27 points per game on 6.0 yards per play at home this season   
-Cowboys defense is giving up just 5.4 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.7 yards per play 

9* Play COWBOYS (+).

-New England has scored 85 total points over their last three games; in good current form
-offense is averaging 30 points per game on 6.6 yards per play on the road this season 
-Patriots defense is giving up 6.7 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.7 yards per play 

-Oakland has gone Over the total in three of their last four games since QB Derek Carr returned
-offense is averaging 5.8 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.5 yards per play 

-Raiders defense is giving up 6.0 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.3 yards per play

10* Play OVER the total.

-Tampa Bay is 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS on the road this season; four losses coming by 11.3 ppg
-offense is only averaging 19.2 points per game vs. offenses that allow 21.5 points per game
-Buccaneers defense is giving up 33 points per game on 7.0 yards per play on the road 

-Miami has lost three consecutive games, but that sets them up for a strong performance here
-offense has faced a strong group of opposing defenses that only give up 20.9 points per game  
-Dolphins defense is only giving up 21.7 points per game on 5.3 yards per play at home

9* Play DOLPHINS (+).

-Los Angeles has scored 33 points or more in their last three games; in excellent current form
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play 
-Rams defense is allowing a below average 5.8 yards per play on the road this season

-Minnesota has scored 23 points or more in their last 4 games; 71 points in their last two games
-offense is averaging 24.1 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 21.9 points per game

-Vikings defense has faced a terrible group of offenses that only average 22 ppg; big step-up here 

9* Play OVER the total.

-Tennessee is off back-to-back close home wins since their bye; step-up in class and on the road
-offense is only averaging 18.2 points per game on 4.7 yards per play on the road this season
-Titans defense is giving up 23.7 points per game vs. offenses that only average 20.4 ppg    

-Pittsburgh returns home off two road games; just their third home game over their last 8 games
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play vs. defenses that only give up 5.4 yards per play  

-Steelers defense is giving up just 17.7 points per game on 4.7 yards per play at home this season

9* Play STEELERS (-).

-Miami is off back-to-back losses in which they were out-scored 67-24; bad current form  
-offense is only averaging 4.5 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.4 yards per play
-Dolphins defense has given up 95 points in their last three games; 5.7 yards per play on the road   

-Carolina is just 2-2 SU at home, but those two losses came against the Eagles and Saints
-offense has faced a group of strong defenses that only give up 21.7 ppg; step-down in class here  

-Panthers defense is giving up just 17.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 23.6 ppg 

9* Play PANTHERS (-).

-New England is off a few poor offensive performances; expect an outburst tonight
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.6 yards per play 
-Patriots defense is giving up a whopping 6.3 yards per play on the road this season   

-Denver returns home off three straight road blowout losses; expect a strong effort in this game
-offense has scored 92 points in four home games; they’ve scored just 58 points in 4 road games 

-Broncos defense has given up 124 points in their last four games; bad time to face New England 

9* Play OVER the total.

-New Orleans has won six straight games after opening the season 0-2; tough spot on the road
-offense is averaging 2.9 points per game less on the road than they are overall on the season
-Saints defense giving up 5.8 yards per play on the road versus offenses that average 5.4 yppl  

-Buffalo plays much better at home than on the road; extra prep off Thursday loss in New York
-offense is averaging 27.7 points per game on 5.6 yards per play at home this season 
-Bills defense is giving up 18.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 19.8 points per game  

10* Play BILLS (+).

-New Orleans has scored 128 total points over their last four games; in good current form
-offense is averaging 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.7 yards per play 
-Saints defense giving up 5.8 yards per play on the road versus offenses that average 5.4 yppl  

-Buffalo has scored 64 total points in their last two home games; expect the scoring to continue
-offense is averaging 27.7 points per game on 5.6 yards per play at home this season

-Bills defense has faced weak offenses that only average 19.8 points per game; step-up in class

9* Play OVER the total.

-Green Bay has lost three consecutive games, but that sets them up for a strong performance here
-offense has faced a strong group of opposing defenses that only give up 20.3 points per game  
-Packers defense held the Bears to just 14 points on 308 yards of total offense in their 35-14 win 

-Chicago’s three wins this season have come when they were underdogs; bad stats for a favorite
-offense is only averaging 4.9 yards per play versus defenses that allow 5.4 yards per play
-Bears defense has given up 20 points or more in six of their eight games; 1-5 SU in those games 

9* Play PACKERS (+).

-Seattle comes into this game off a home loss, so expect a strong bounce back effort tonight
-offense is averaging 5.8 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play   

-Seahawks defense is giving up just 16.7 points per game on 5.1 yards per play on the road

-Arizona is 0-3 off a win this season; the Cardinals lost their next game by 11, 27, and 33 points 
-offense is only averaging 5.4 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play
-Cardinals defense is giving up 25.1 points per game vs. offenses that only average 23.5 ppg   

9* Play SEAHAWKS (-).

-Detroit has lost three straight games, and four of their last five games overall
-Lions are 1-25 SU at Green Bay L26 times; cold conditions tonight (31 degrees)
-offense is only averaging 5.2 yards per play vs. defenses that give up 5.3 yards per play
-Lions' defense is giving up 24.1 points per game vs. offenses that only average 20.4 ppg

-Green Bay lost their last game at home (3-1 SU), so expect a strong bounce back effort tonight
-coming off bye week which gave extra prep time and adjustments for backup QB Hundley
-Lions' pass defense has been terrible, allowing 7.4 yards per pass this season
-Packers' defense is giving up just 18.2 points per game on 5.5 yards per play at home

9* Play PACKERS (+).

-Oakland is off a terrible offensive performance in their last game; expect an outburst tonight
-offense is averaging 5.7 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.4 yards per play 
-Raiders defense is giving 5.9 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.5 yards per play   

-Miami comes into this game off a 40-0 loss in their last game; expect strong offensive effort
-offense is averaging 23.5 points per game at home; much better stats than their road games 

-Dolphins defense has given up 68 total points in their last two games; bad time to face Oakland 

9* Play OVER the total.

-Indianapolis has lost three consecutive games, but that sets them up in strong bounce back spot
-offense has scored 22 points or more in three of their last four games; expect more of the same
-Colts defense is good against the run (116 ypg), so Texans will struggle to pass with backup QB

-Houston lost quarterback Deshaun Watson to an injury in practice this week; big negative here
-offense is going to struggle with Tom Savage at quarterback; he was terrible in his Week 1 start 
-Texans defense is giving up 26.9 points per game vs. offenses that only average 23.2 ppg 

10* Play COLTS (+).

-Los Angeles has scored 27 points or more in four of their last five games; in good form
-offense is averaging 5.9 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.6 yards per play 
-Rams defense is allowing a whopping 6.1 yards per play on the road this season

-New York comes into this game off their bye, so they’ll be fresh and ready with a strong effort
-offense has faced a strong group of opposing defenses that only give up 21.4 points per game

-Giants defense is giving up 5.7 yards per play versus offenses that also average 5.7 yppl

9* Play OVER the total.

-Denver has lost three consecutive games, but that sets them up for a strong performance here
-offense has faced a strong group of opposing defenses that only give up 21.2 points per game  
-Broncos defense is giving up just 4.7 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.7 yppl 

-Philadelphia is 6-1 on the season, but they’ve played an extremely weak schedule so far
-offense runs first to open up passing game; Broncos allow just 73 rushing yards per game  
-Eagles defense is giving up 5.5 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.6 yppl

9* Play BRONCOS (+).

-Buffalo has won their last two games after scoring a combined 64 points; regression tonight 
-offense is only averaging 14 points per game on 4.1 yards per play on the road this season 
-Bills defense is giving up 5.5 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.6 yards per play  

-New York has lost their last three games, but those defeats have come by a total of 15 points 
-offense averages 6.0 yards per play at home, so expect a strong effort in this revenge spot  

-Jets defense is giving up just 18.7 points per game on 5.0 yards per play at home 

9* Play JETS (+).

-Denver has lost back-to-back games with their last being a shutout loss; expect strong effort
-offense has faced a strong collection of opposing defenses that only give up 5.5 yards per play  
-Broncos defense is giving up just 4.7 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.5 yppl   

-Kansas City is on an 0-2 SU and ATS run after opening the season with a 5-0 SU/ATS record
-offense has faced a group of bad defenses that give up 5.7 yards per play; step-up in class here  
-Chiefs defense is giving up 6.3 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

10* Play BRONCOS (+).

-Pittsburgh will play their first game inside a dome on a fast track; expect an explosive offense
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play versus defenses that only give up 5.2 yards per play 
-Steelers defense has faced below average offenses that only average 20.9 ppg; big step-up here 

-Detroit has scored 24 points or more in five of their six games, including all three at home
-offense is averaging 26.8 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 21.8 points per game 

-Lions defense is giving up 26.7 points per game on 5.8 yards per play at home this season

9* Play OVER the total.

-Houston had a bye at the worst possible time; expect that break to have a negative impact 
-offense is averaging 6.5 points per game less on the road (23) than at home (29.5) 
-Texans defense is giving up 24.5 points per game vs. offenses that only average 22.9 ppg 

-Seattle is playing terrific football right now; they are on a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS run
-offense is averaging 29 points per game on 5.8 yards per play at home this season
-Seahawks defense is holding opponents to just 15.7 points per game on 5.0 yards per play

10* Play SEAHAWKS (-).

-Carolina comes into this game off back-to-back losses; expect strong bounce back effort
-offense has played much better on the road where they are averaging 5.6 yards per play     
-Panthers defense is giving up just 18.5 points per game on 5.0 yards per play on the road    

-Tampa Bay has lost three straight games and four of their last five games overall 
-offense must pass the ball to have success, but Carolina only allows 6.1 yards per pass attempt  
-Buccaneers defense is giving up 25.2 points per game on 6.2 yards per play this season 

9* Play PANTHERS (+).

-Los Angeles has scored 21 points or more in three of their last four games; in good form
-offense is averaging 5.6 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play 
-Chargers defense has faced below average offenses that only average 20.8 ppg; big step-up here

-New England has scored less than their seasonal average in their last 3 games; bounce back spot
-offense is averaging 29 points per game on 6.1 yards per play at home this season 

-Patriots defense is giving up 6.8 yards per play versus offenses that average 6.0 yards per play 

9* Play OVER the total.

-Washington lost 30-17 at home to Washington in Week 1; just a 2-pt game with 2 minutes left
-offense is averaging 6.1 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.9 yards per play  
-Redskins defense is giving up just 5.5 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.9 yppl   

-Philadelphia is 5-1 on the season, but they’ve played an extremely weak schedule so far
-offense runs first to open up passing game; Redskins allow just 87 rushing yards per game  
-Eagles defense is giving up 5.7 yards per play versus offenses that also average 5.7 yppl

10* Play REDSKINS (+).

-Atlanta’s offense is taking a big step-down in class against New England’s defense in this game
-Falcons offense is averaging 6.4 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.4 yards per play 
-defense is below average, giving up 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 4.8 yppl  

-New England returns home off two poor road games, so expect a strong offensive performance
-offense is averaging 31 points per game on 6.0 yards per play at home this season 

-Patriots defense is giving up 6.9 yards per play versus offenses that average 5.9 yards per play

9* Play OVER the total.

-Cincinnati comes into this game off their bye fresh and ready for a divisional opponent 
-offense has been strong on the road where they are averaging 27.5 ppg on 5.6 yards per play
-Bengals defense is excellent, giving up just 16.6 points per game on 4.4 yards per play 

-Pittsburgh returns home after handing the Chiefs their first loss of the season; letdown here
-offense is only averaging 17.5 points per game on 5.0 yards per play at home this season  
-Steelers defense has faced a group of mediocre offenses that only average 21.3 ppg on 5.4 yppl  

10* Play BENGALS (+).

-New York hits the road after a 24-17 home loss to New England; expect bounce back effort
-already beat the Dolphins 20-6 this season after out-yarding them by 111 yards (336-225)    
-Jets defense is giving up just 21.7 points per game on 5.5 yards per play this season    

-Miami returns home off their big upset win at Atlanta as 14-point road underdogs; letdown spot
-offense is below average; averaging just 12.2 points per game vs. defenses that allow 23.2 ppg  
-Dolphins averaging just 4.2 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play

9* Play JETS (+).

-Tennessee off high-scoring home win on Monday night vs. division rival; letdown here
-offense is only averaging 20.3 points per game on 5.0 yards per play on the road
-Titans defense is giving up 27.3 points per game versus offenses that only average 21.9 ppg  

-Cleveland is winless on the season, but returning home, expect a strong performance here  
-offense has played strong defenses that only give up 5.3 yards per play; step-down vs. Titans
-Browns defense good at home where they give up 23 points per game on 5.3 yards per play 

9* Play BROWNS (+).

-Kansas City’s offense is taking a big step-down in class against Oakland’s defense 
-Chiefs offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play vs. defenses that give give up 5.7 yards per play 
-defense is giving up 6.2 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.8 yards per play  

-Oakland remains at home after a terrible offensive performance; scored just 16 points 
-offense averages 26 points per game on 5.9 yards per play at home, so expect bounce back effort  

-Raiders defense is giving up 5.8 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.5 yards per play 

9* Play OVER the total.

-New York is only scoring 16.4 points per game versus defenses that give up 22 ppg  
-offense is averaging 5.4 yards per play, but they’ve played defenses that give up 5.7 yppl
-Giants defense has been poor on the road, giving up 23.7 points per game on 5.9 yards per play

-Denver returns off a bye, so expect a fresh and healthy team; big edge vs. injury riddled Giants
-offense is averaging 24.5 points per game versus defenses that give up 21.5 points per game 
-Broncos defense is holding opponents to just 18.5 points per game on 4.6 yards per play 

9* Play BRONCOS (-).

-Pittsburgh is off an ugly 30-9 home loss to Jacksonville, so expect a strong performance here  
-offense has played strong defenses that only give up 5.3 yards per play; Chiefs allow 6.0 yppl
-Steelers defense is excellent, giving up just 17.8 points per game on 4.8 yards per play 

-Kansas City is a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS, but off high-scoring game on Sunday night, letdown here
-offense has faced a group of terrible defenses that allow 6.0 yards per play; stepping up in class 
-Chiefs defense is giving up 6.0 yards per play overall, and 6.5 yards per play at home 

9* Play STEELERS (+).

-Los Angeles’ offense is taking a big step-down in class against Oakland’s defense in this game
-Chargers offense is averaging 5.8 yards per play versus defenses that give up 5.5 yards per play 
-defense is below average, giving up 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yppl  

-Oakland is getting QB David Carr back on the field, so expect a strong offensive performance
-Carr was fantastic in earlier games; he completed 67.9% of his passes with a 7/2 TD/INT ratio 

-Raiders defense is giving up 5.9 yards per play versus offenses that only average 5.4 yppl 

10* Play OVER the total.