-Colorado comes into tonight’s game with a strong 7-1 record; efficient on both ends of the court 

-offense is shooting 49.4% from the field vs. defenses that allow 44.1% shooting from the field 

-Buffaloes defense gives up just 23.7% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.6%

-New Mexico is just 4-3 on the season; lost their last 2 games by a combined score of 185-125           
-offense is shooting 44% from the field vs. defenses that allow 44.2% shooting from the field
-Lobos defense allows 42.6% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 33.9% from 3 

10* Play COLORADO (-).

-CS Fullerton hots the road off a home favorite loss; expect a big bounce back effort tonight

-offense is shooting 46.9% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46% shooting from the field 

-Titans defense gives up just 27% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 29.2% from three

-Saint Mary’s comes into this game on a 3-game winning streak; lost previous 4 games; bad spot         
-offense shot an incredible 50%+ from the field in each of their last 3 games; major regression
-Gaels defenses allows 35.3% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3

9* Play CS FULLERTON (+).

-Houston is a perfect 7-0 SU on the season; yet to be challenged; true road game here gets them         
-offense averages 77.1 ppg vs. defenses that give up 74.3 ppg; poor numbers for unbeaten team
-Cougars defense has faced terrible offenses that only shoot 42.2% from the field; jump in class

-Oklahoma State returns home off back-to-back road losses; expect big bounce back home effort

-offense is shooting 48.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 44.3% shooting

-Cowboys defense gives up just 59 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 73.5 ppg 

9* Play OKLAHOMA STATE (-).

-Iowa State plays at a slow pace; they combine that with efficient offense and stout defense

-offense is shooting 46.8% from the field vs. defenses that allow 45.7% shooting from the field 

-Cyclones defense gives up just 37.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 43.1%

-Iowa needs to play at a fast pace to be successful; don’t expect it in this game; bad matchup         
-offense has scored 69 points or less in their last 3 games; 1-2 SU when held to less than 70 pts
-Hawkeyes allow 74.2 points per game; allowed 78 points or more in 3 games so far this season 

10* Play IOWA STATE (-).

-Nebraska is on a 3-game winning streak; SU road dog win then a home blowout win; bad spot

-offense is shooting 32.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from 3

-Cornhuskers defense is worse away from home; 11.5 ppg more and 9.2% shooting difference

-Minnesota returns home off an embarrassing 20-point loss at Ohio State; big bounce back effort     
-offense is averaging 88.3 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 70.2 points per game 
-Golden Gophers allow 42.5% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.6%

10* Play MINNESOTA (+).

-West Virginia needs to play at a fast pace to be successful; not going to happen in this game         
-offense is shooting just 42.9% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 43.8% shooting
-Mountaineers allow 42.3% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.3% from 3 

-Florida plays at one of the slowest paces in the country; style of play will frustrate West Virginia

-offense is shooting 46.2% from the field vs. defenses that allow 43.4% shooting from the field 

-Gators defense gives up just 39.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 43.8%

10* Play FLORIDA (-).

-Eastern Washington needs to play at a fast pace to be successful; not going to happen here         
-offense is shooting just 29.5% from 3 vs. defenses that give up 31.7% shooting from 3
-Eagles defense allows 35.9% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 32.3% from three 

-Washington returns home off a neutral court loss to Minnesota; expect big bounce back effort

-offense is shooting 43.7% from the field vs. defenses that allow 41.8% shooting from the field 

-Huskies defense gives up just 59 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 74.4 ppg 

9* Play WASHINGTON (-).

-Nebraska is 5-1 SU on the season by utilizing their pace of play and their stout defense; in form

-offense is shooting 47.9% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.4% shooting from the field   

-Cornhuskers defense allows 51.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 69.5 points per game

-Clemson needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; they won’t get that here; bad matchup     
-offense has faced a bad collection of defenses that give up 71.6 points per game; jump in class 
-Tigers defense has given up 80 points or more twice this season; not a good sign for this game

10* Play NEBRASKA (+).

-Middle Tennessee State needs to play at a fast pace to be successful; not going to happen here         
-offense is shooting just 33.3% from 3 vs. defenses that give up 36.5% shooting from 3
-Blue Raiders gave up 92 points on 53.8% shooting from the field in their lone road game 

-Virginia is a perfect 3-0 on the season while winning each game by 19 points or more; blowout

-offense is shooting 54.5% from the field vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting from the field 

-Cavaliers defense gives up just 46.3 points per game on 34.8% shooting from the field 

9* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Dayton is 3-0 on the season, but they’ve played a cupcake schedule; stepping way-up in class    
-offense is shooting just 29.6% from three vs. defenses that allow 38.5% shooting from three
-Flyers defense is giving up 32.4% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that only shoot 30.5% from 3     

-Butler is also 3-0 on the season against a much harder schedule; expect an easy double digit win 

-offense is shooting 53% from the field vs. defenses that allow 42.8% shooting from the field  

-Bulldogs defense allows 43.3% shooting from the field; Dayton will struggle to score points 

10* Play BUTLER (-).

-Arkansas Little Rock is in a major rebuilding season; only 4 players have D-I experience     
-offense is shooting just 26.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 37.4% shooting from 3
-Trojans defense is giving up 79.5 points per game; now taking a major step-up in class here

-Nevada has won both of their games by double digits; stepping down in class; another blowout

-offense is averaging 84.5 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 70.4 points per game 

-Wolfpack allow 39.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.5% from the field

9* Play NEVADA (-).

-Wichita State lost all 5 starters from last year’s team, and only have 11% of their scoring back     
-offense shot 50% (30-60) from the field and 54.5% (12-22) from 3 in their last game; regression 
-Shockers defense is giving up 80 points per game on 37.9% shooting from 3 away from home    

-Davidson is 2-0 on the season; they returned a loaded roster that made the NCAA tournament

-offense is averaging 81 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 70 points per game  

-Wildcats defense gives up 69.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 85.8 points per game 

10* Play DAVIDSON (-).

-Detroit is in a major rebuilding season; lost top 2 leading scorers and 7 of top 8 players overall       
-offense is shooting just 41% from the field in 2 games so far this season; big jump up in class
-Titans defense is giving up 86 points per game on 46.9% shooting from the field; bad matchup    

-Butler cruised to a 90-68 win in their first game against Miami OH; expect another blowout win 

-offense shot an incredible 60.8% from the field and 38.1% from 3-point land in that game  

-Bulldogs defense allowed 39.7% shooting from the field; Detroit will struggle to score points 

10* Play BUTLER (-).

-Towson is in a major rebuilding season; lost 3 senior starters and their leading scorer from 2017          
-offense will be without 50.7 points per game from departed players; face a stout defense tonight
-Tigers defense will be hard-pressed to keep Virginia from scoring in the high 70’s; bad matchup    

-Virginia is hell bent on atoning for losing in the opening round as a #1 seed in the tournament

-“The way last season ended is a huge motivation factor,” Kyle Guy said. It will propel us.”

-Cavaliers defense gave up just 54 points per game last season; #1 in the ACC and #1 overall

9* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Michigan is getting too many points here; my power ratings only make them a 6-point underdog
-offense is shooting 46.9% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.4% shooting from the field
-Wolverines allow 31.4% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.9% from 3

-Villanova has steamrolled thru their opponents so far in this tournament; off their best game too
-offense shot 55.4% (44-92) from the field and 45% (18-40) from 3 vs. Kansas; regression here
-Wildcats defense has faced 4 inefficient 3-point offenses in their 5 games; big step-up in class

10* Play MICHIGAN (+).

-Kansas has been battle tested in this tournament, and that’s a good thing coming into this game
-offense is shooting 40.3% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.5% shooting from three
-Jayhawks allow 30.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3

-Villanova has steamrolled thru their opponents so far in this tournament; not a good thing now
-offense shot an incredible 47.8% (44-92) from 3 in their first 3 games; unsustainable numbers
-Wildcats defense has faced 3 inefficient offenses in their 4 games; big step-up in class here 

10* Play KANSAS (+).

-Loyola Chicago gets a poor matchup here; opponent also likes a slow pace, negating their edge
-offense shot 57.4% (27-47) from the field and 50% (9-18) from 3 vs. Kansas State; won’t repeat
-Ramblers defense is stepping way up in class for this game; faced 3 inefficient offenses so far

-Michigan isn’t laying enough points here; my power ratings make them a solid 6-point favorite
-offense is shooting 47% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.5% shooting from the field
-Wolverines defense allows 63.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 75.1 points per game

9* Play MICHIGAN (-).

-Mississippi State just won at Baylor and at Louisville; impressive wins; line is too high here
-offense is shooting 46.7% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.2% shooting from the field
-Bulldogs defense allows just 41.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.3%

-Penn State had a much easier path to New York with wins over Notre Dame and Marquette
-offense scored 73 and 85 points in last 2 games; scored 69 points or less in 5 of their previous 6 
-Nittany Lions defense much worse on the road; allow 4.7 ppg more and 2.5% higher in shooting  

9* Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (+).

-Duke has a terrific matchup edge here; zone defense combined with a solid and efficient offense
-offense is shooting 37.7% from three vs. defenses that only give up 34.8% shooting from three
-Blue Devils defense allows just 40.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.1%

-Kansas has faced 3 opponents that they dominated in terms of talent; big step-up in class here 
-offense struggles in slow-paced games, and Duke’s new found zone defense will cause them fits
-Jayhawks defense is poor away from home; they give up 71.4 points per game this season

10* Play DUKE (-).

-Florida State has been very impressive in their 3 tournament games; great speed and athleticism
-offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.3% shooting from the field
-Seminoles defense allows just 41.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.9%

-Michigan played way above their level in their 99-72 win over Texas A&M team; regress here
-offense shot 61.9% (39-63) from the field and 58.3% (14-24) from 3-point land; can’t repeat 
-Wolverines defense faced 3 slow-footed teams so far in the tournament; big step-up in speed

9* Play FLORIDA STATE (+).

-Texas Tech is just 4-5 SU and 1-7-1 ATS over their last 9 games; not in good form despite wins 
-offense has been poor on the road this season; average 4.6 ppg less and shoot 2.4% worse
-Red Raiders perimeter defense can be had; they gave up 33.9% shooting from 3 on the road

-Purdue is without Isaac Haas, but they played without him against Butler; expect a better effort
-offense is shooting 42.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 35% shooting from three
-Boilermakers defense allows 65.4 points per game vs offenses that average 73.4 points per game  

10* Play PURDUE (-).

-Clemson has a nice matchup edge here; slow pace combined with a solid and efficient defense
-offense is shooting 36.8% from three vs. defenses that only give up 34.6% shooting from three
-Tigers defense allows just 40.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.2%

-Kansas is laying too many points here; my power ratings only make them a 3.5-point favorite
-offense struggles in slow-paced games; 1-3 SU when held to less than 70 points; lone win by 4
-Jayhawks defense is poor away from home; they give up 71.2 points per game this season

9* Play CLEMSON (+).

-Kentucky is laying way too many points here; terrible matchup while stepping way up in class
-offense struggles mightily in slow-paced games; 2-8 SU when held to less than 70 points
-Wildcats defense is average at best; given up 71 points or more in 9 of their last 12 games

-Kansas State has a big matchup edge here; very slow pace combined with their strong defense
-offense is shooting 47.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 43.9% shooting
-Wildcats defense allows just 42.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%

10* Play KANSAS STATE (+).

-Texas A&M comes in off an upset win of North Carolina; slow pace here will be their undoing
-offense is only shooting 33.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.3% shooting from three
-Aggies defense looks a lot better because of their recent games; expect major regression here  

-Michigan struggling against Houston was expected; get a much better matchup here; big effort
-offense is shooting 46.7% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.5% shooting from the field
-Wolverines defense gives up 63.1 points per game vs. defenses that average 75 points per game  

9* Play MICHIGAN (-).

-Western Kentucky quietly has 26 wins on the season; line is too high based on my power ratings
-offense is shooting 49.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.6% shooting from the field
-Hilltoppers defense allows just 42.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.4%

-Oklahoma State had a negative efficiency margin in conference play this season; bad favorite
-offense shoots just 43.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 43.6% shooting from the field 
-Cowboys defense allows 36.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.7% from three

10* Play WESTERN KENTUCKY (+).

-Washington is just 5-8 SU away from home this season; just won as a home underdog; bad spot
-offense is only shooting 29.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35% shooting from 3 
-Huskies defense is in poor current form; allowed 72 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games

-St. Mary’s got snubbed from the NCAA tournament; they are on a NIT mission; big effort here
-offense is shooting 51.7% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44.6% shooting from the field
-Gaels allow just 59.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 71.8 points per game

9* Play ST. MARY’S (-).

-Marshall pulled a big upset of Wichita State on Friday; don’t expect a repeat performance here
-offense has struggled mightily vs. in-state rival’s defense; 68 points or less in last 5 meetings
-Thundering Herd allow 81.2 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 73.9 ppg

-West Virginia beat Murray State easily on Friday; their relentless press will be the difference
-offense is averaging 79.8 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 71 points per game
-Mountaineers defense only allows 42.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.4%

10* Play WEST VIRGINIA (-).

-UMBC shocked the world in their upset win over Virginia; off that win, expect a major letdown
-offense is shooting 43.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 45% shooting
-Retrievers allow 35.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 33.7% from 3

-Kansas State handled Creighton without much energy exerted on Friday; expect a strong effort
-offense is shooting 48% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 43.9% shooting
-Wildcats defense allows just 42.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%

9* Play KANSAS STATE (-).

-Nevada now owns 28 wins on the season; very strong perimeter team on both ends of the court
-offense is shooting 41.9% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.9% shooting from 3
-Wolf Pack allow 31.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3  

-Cincinnati was unimpressive in their win over Georgia State on Friday; step-up in class here
-offense is shooting 33.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.7% shooting from 3
-Bearcats defense has faced a string of slow-paced and inefficient offenses recently; big test now

9* Play NEVADA (+).

-Houston is a very dangerous team, and they get a very favorable matchup for tonight’s game
-offense is shooting 38.7% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.6% shooting from three
-Cougars defense allows just 32.6% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from three

-Michigan is a perimeter orientated team on offense, and this is a terrible matchup for them
-offense faced terrible 3-point defenses this season; their opponents allowed 35.2% shooting
-Wolverines defense gave up 43.9% shooting from the field on the road, so they can be had here

9* Play HOUSTON (+).

-Florida is back to playing their best; 4-1 SU over their last 5 games after losing 3 straight games
-offense is shooting 38.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.8% shooting from 3
-Gators defense allows 69.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 75.1 points per game  

-Texas Tech is just 3-5 SU and 0-7-1 ATS over their last 8 games; team is in poor current form 
-offense has been poor on the road this season; average 4.7 ppg less and shoot 2.4% worse
-Red Raiders perimeter defense can be had; they gave up 34.4% shooting from 3 on the road

9* Play FLORIDA (+).

-Ohio State was embarrassed by 27-points versus Gonzaga earlier this season; lots of motivation
-offense is shooting 48.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.5% shooting from the field
-Buckeyes defense only gives up 41.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.5%

-Gonzaga had more trouble with UNC Greensboro than they should have; step-up in class now
-offense has played slightly worse away from home this season; average 2.8 points per game less
-Zags defense allows 35.5% shooting from the 3 on the road vs offenses that shoot 35.4% from 3

9* Play OHIO STATE (+).

-Loyola Chicago now has 29 wins on the season; they have a terrific offense and a strong defense
-offense is shooting 50.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.4% shooting from the field
-Ramblers defense allows 61.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 70.7 ppg   

-Tennessee had a very easy draw in the opening round; big step-up in class vs. a half-court team
-offense is shooting 42.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.8% shooting
-Vols defense is off one of their best performances of the season; expect regression off that game

9* Play LOYOLA CHICAGO (+).

-Buffalo had a great matchup vs. Arizona and their win wasn’t a shock at all; big step-up here
-offense shot 54.8% (34-62) from the field and 50% (15-30) from 3-point land; major regression
-Bulls defense gives up 76.6 points per game vs. offenses that average 74.6 points per game

-Kentucky was very impressive in their win over a smart Davidson team; get their preferred style
-offense is shooting 47.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.2% shooting from the field
-Wildcats defense allows 40.3% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.2%

10* Play KENTUCKY (-).

-Florida State underperformed greatly over their conference schedule; negative efficiency margin
-offense is shooting 32.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from 3
-Seminoles defense allows 36.4% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from three 

-Missouri will be without suspended Jordan Barnett, but Michael Porter returns from injury
-offense is shooting 38.5% from three vs. offenses that give up 33.4% shooting from three
-Tigers defense allows 40.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.4% from the field

9* Play MISSOURI (+).

-New Mexico State quietly went 28-5 this season; they are terrific on both ends of the court
-offense is shooting 46% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44.7% shooting from the field
-Aggies defense allows 63.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.2 points per game  

-Clemson went just 2-6 SU when held to less than 70 points this season; bad matchup for them 
-offense averages 69.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 71.2 points per game
-Tigers defense allows 39% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.9% from 3

10* Play NEW MEXICO STATE (+).

-Bucknell closed the season by going 18-1 SU over their last 19 games; lone loss came in OT
-offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44.8% shooting from the field
-Bison defense allows just 42.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45%

-Michigan State couldn’t win games by margin this season when forced into a slow-paced game
-offense struggled in slow games; 1 win by more than 10 points when held to less than 70 points
-Spartans defense faced just 2 tournament teams over their final 14 games of the season

9* Play BUCKNELL (+).

-Texas is just 4-6 SU over their last 10 games; 2-8 SU their last 10 games away from home 
-offense is shooting 31.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from 3
-Longhorns defense is in bad form; they’ve given up 73 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games 

-Nevada quietly went 27-7 this season; very strong perimeter team on both ends of the court
-offense is shooting 42.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.9% shooting from 3
-Wolf Pack allow 30.3% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3   

9* Play NEVADA (+).

-Butler comes in off a blowout loss to Villanova; no shame in that; expect strong bounce back
-offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44% shooting from the field
-Bulldogs allow 45% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.3% from the field

-Arkansas is 4-3 SU their last 7 games; every win by single digits; every loss by double digits
-offense is in poor current form; they’ve scored 69 points or less in three of their last four games
-Razorbacks allow 39.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.1% from 3

9* Play BUTLER (-).

-Marshall needs to play as fast as possible to be at their best; terrible pace matchup for them here
-offense is shooting 34.9% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.9% shooting from 3
-Thundering Herd allow 81.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 73.6 ppg

-Wichita State comes into this game off a loss, and they’ve lost 2 of their last 3 games; big effort
-offense is shooting 47.8% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.1% shooting from the field
-Shockers defense only allows 41.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.2%

9* Play WICHITA STATE (-).

-Buffalo lost 8 games this season, but five of those losses came by 7 points or less; tough out
-offense is shooting 47.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44% shooting from the field
-Bulls defense allows 32.6% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.7% from 3 

-Arizona is now a public darling after their Pac 12 tournament win; had a tumultuous season
-offense is shooting 33.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.2% shooting from 3
-Wildcats defense was much worse on the road where they gave up 74.4 points per game

10* Play BUFFALO (+).

-Davidson closed the season with a flourish; 11-2 SU over their last 13 games; one loss in OT
-offense is shooting 39.1% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from three
-Wildcats defense allows just 43.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.4%

-Kentucky is talented, but they are extremely young and will be forced into a half court game
-offense struggles mightily in slow-paced games; just 2-8 SU when held to less than 70 points
-Wildcats defense faded down the stretch; they allowed 78.3 ppg over their last 4 road games

9* Play DAVIDSON (+).

-Loyola Chicago quietly went 28-5 this season; they have a terrific offense and a strong defense
-offense is shooting 50.7% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.4% shooting from the field
-Ramblers defense allows 61.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 70.6 ppg   

-Miami, FL went just 5-6 SU against tournament teams; 4 of those wins came by 6 points or less 
-offense is stepping up in class; faced defenses that allow 71.3 ppg; opponent allows 9.4 ppg less
-Hurricanes defense is in bad form; they’ve given up 78 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games 

9* Play LOYOLA CHICAGO (+).

-Oklahoma has a lot of doubters saying they shouldn't be in the tournament; lots of motivation
-offense is shooting 46.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.2% shooting from the field
-Sooners defense allows 44.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.6%

-Rhode Island went to their conference tournament final on Sunday and lost by 1 point; bad spot
-offense is in poor current form; they’ve scored 61 points or less in three of their last five games
-Rams defense allows 45.6% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.4%

9* Play OKLAHOMA (+).

-Syracuse surprisingly made the NCAA tournament, but good matchup here, and value in the line
-offense comes in off a terrible performance; scored just 59 points; expect bounce back effort
-Orange allow just 39.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.5% from the field  

-Arizona State peaked in mid-December; 12-0 to open the season; 8-11 since; 1-5 last 6 games
-offense is stepping up in class; faced defenses that allow 72.5 ppg; opponent allows 8 ppg less
-Sun Devils allow 47.8% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%

10* Play SYRACUSE (+).

-NC Central is in good current form; they’ve won 5 straight games; 4 wins by 8 points or more
-offense is shooting 46.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.7% shooting from the field
-Eagles defense allows 32.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 32.9% from 3

-Texas Southern had a losing record at 15-19 this season; a fortunate conference tournament win
-offense is shooting just 42.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 44.3% shooting
-Tigers defense allows 81.4 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 71.5 ppg

9* Play NC CENTRAL (+).

-Northern Kentucky went 22-9 this season; 1 win and 3 close losses to NCAA tournament teams
-offense is shooting 48% from the field vs. defenses that give up 45.2% shooting from the field
-Norse defense allows 30.9% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 33.8% from three 

-Louisville is crushed that they didn't make the NCAA tournament; players voted to skip the NIT
-offense is in poor current form; they’ve scored 69 points or less in three of their last four games
-Cardinals defense is also in poor current form; allowed 74 points or more in their last 3 games

9* Play NORTHERN KENTUCKY (+).

-West Virginia has lost twice to Kansas this season; playing with legitimate revenge; good spot
-offense is averaging 79.9 points per game vs. defenses that give up 71.3 points per game
-Mountaineers defense allows just 42% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.2%

-Kansas has cruised in their first two tournament games, but this is a high step-up in class
-offense has shot 52.1% (61-117) from the field in their last two games; expect regression here
-Jayhawks defense had given up 74.9 ppg in their previous 7 games before the tournament

10* Play WEST VIRGINIA (-).

-Oregon is playing their 3rd game in 3 nights; overtime and big comeback; terrible spot here
-offense is shooting 41.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 44.2% shooting
-Ducks defense allows 37.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3 

-USC cruised to an easy 13-point win last night over Oregon State; excellent scheduling spot
-offense is shooting 38.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.1% shooting from 3
-Trojans defense allows just 43.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.5%      

9* Play USC (-).

-Georgia will be playing their 3rd game in 3 nights; off upset win; terrible spot while unrested
-offense is shooting 30.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.5% shooting from 3
-Bulldogs defense is stepping way up in class after facing two weak offensive teams; tired legs

-Kentucky comes in off a blowout road loss at Florida in their season finale; bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 46.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.3% shooting from the field
-Wildcats defense only allows 41.1% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%

9* Play KENTUCKY (-).

-Baylor is in poor current form; they’ve lost 3 of their last 4 games by 10 points or more
-offense averages 69.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 73.6 points per game
-Bears defense has given up 71, 77, and 84 points in 3 of their last 4 games; in bad current form  

-West Virginia comes in off an overtime loss at Texas; expect a big bounce back off that game
-offense is averaging 80.4 points per game vs. defenses that give up 71.5 points per game
-Mountaineers defense allows just 41.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.2%

10* Play WEST VIRGINIA (-).

-Colorado played way above their level yesterday; 97 points; 53.2% from 2 and 61.9% from 3
-offense is shooting 33.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.2% shooting from 3
-Buffaloes defense has given up 73 points or more in 5 of their last 6 games; terrible form

-Arizona is 5-1 over their last 6 games; lone loss came in overtime; excellent scheduling spot
-offense is shooting 50.9% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.7% shooting from the field 
-Wildcats defense allows just 43.2% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%      

9* Play ARIZONA (-).

-Boston College has to be drained after 4 starters played 37 minutes or more; bad spot unrested
-offense is shooting 30.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.7% shooting from 3
-Eagles defense allows 47.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45%

-Clemson comes in off a loss at Syracuse in their season finale; strong bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 37% from three vs. defenses that only give up 34.8% shooting from three
-Tigers defense only allows 40.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%

9* Play CLEMSON (-).

-Arizona State is just 1-4 their last 5 games, but good matchup here; won by 14 and lost in OT 
-offense is averaging 83.5 points per game vs. defenses that give up 72.6 points per game
-Sun Devils allow 43.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.5% from the field

-Colorado has also lost 4 of their last 5 games; 3 by double digits; that trend continues here
-offense is shooting 31.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.2% shooting from 3
-Buffaloes defense has given up 73 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games; terrible form

9* Play ARIZONA STATE (-).

-BYU has alternated wins and losses over their last 5 games; trend continues off a close win
-offense is shooting 31.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.1% shooting from 3
-Cougars defense has given up 70 points or more in 5 of their last 6 games; terrible form

-St. Mary’s beat BYU twice already this season; good matchup based on the pace; same here
-offense is shooting 40.8% from three vs. defenses that give up 35.6% shooting from three
-Gaels defense allows just 63.8 points per game vs. offenses that average 71.9 points per game

10* Play ST. MARY’S (-).

-North Carolina hits the road off a stunning last second home loss to Miami; bad spot here
-offense shot 54.4% (31-57) from the field and 48.1% (13-27) from 3; major regression coming  
-Tar Heels give up 40.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 36.8% from 3  

-Duke returns home off a road loss; 14-1 SU at home; last home game with revenge; big effort
-offense is shooting 51.9% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 42.6% shooting
-Blue Devils defense allows just 63.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 74.9 ppg 

10* Play DUKE (-).

-St. Bonaventure hits the road off 4 straight close games; last was a triple OT win; bad road spot
-offense has been much worse on road this season; averaging -8.5 points per game less than home
-Bonnies' defense has given up 79.3 points per game over their last 4 games; poor current form

-Saint Louis returns home to play their last home game with revenge; excellent scheduling spot
-offense has scored 70 points or more in 5 of their last 6 home games; terrific current form
-Billikens' defense allows just 61.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 73.3 ppg

9* Play SAINT LOUIS (+).

-Colorado hits the road off a last home game underdog win over UCLA; bad spot on the road
-offense is shooting 42.9% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 44.3% shooting
-Buffaloes defense has given up 249 total points in their last 4 road games; poor current form

-Utah comes in off an ugly 16-point home loss to USC; last home game here, so expect big effort
-offense is shooting 47.4% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 44.2% shooting
-Utes defense only allows 38.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.7%

9* Play UTAH (-).

-Iowa State is 0-9 in true road games this season; losing by an average of 14.1 points per game
-offense has scored 70 points or less in their last 5 road games; 1-7 when scoring less than 70 pts 
-Cyclones defense allows 47% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.6%

-Oklahoma returns home off a 23-pt blowout road loss; last home game with revenge; big effort
-offense is shooting 50.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 42.9% shooting
-Sooners defense allows 43.5% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9%

10* Play OKLAHOMA (-).

-Kent State hits the road where they’ve lost 4 straight; off a last home game OT win; bad spot
-offense is shooting 30.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.9% shooting from 3
-Golden Flashes allow 46.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 44.5% 

-Akron has played 3 of their last 4 games on the road; big effort in last home game with revenge
-offense is shooting 39.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.3% shooting from 3
-Zips defense only allows 31% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

9* Play AKRON (-).

-Oregon has played 4 straight draining games with 2 of last 3 going to overtime; bad road spot
-offense is shooting 31.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.5% shooting from 3
-Ducks defense gives up 38.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3

-Washington State returns home off back-to-back road games; lost last home game; big effort
-offense is shooting 37.9% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 34.9% shooting from 3
-Cougars defense allows 32% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.8% from 3

10* Play WASHINGTON STATE (+).

-Troy hits the road where they are just 3-9 SU this season; off a last home game win; bad spot
-offense is shooting 30.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from 3
-Trojans defense allows 44.3% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 44% 

-Georgia State returns home off 3 road games; lost their last home game; big effort with revenge
-offense is shooting 46.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 44.6% shooting
-Panthers defense allows 40.4% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 43.8%

9* Play GEORGIA STATE (-).

-Villanova playing back-to-back road games off a loss; 4th road game in last 5 games; bad spot
-offense has scored 271 points while shooting 52.8% from the field in their last 3 games; regress 
-Wildcats defense has given up 76 points or more in their last 4 road games; in poor current form

-Seton Hall returns home off back-to-back road games; just 3rd home game this month; big effort
-offense is shooting 47.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 43.7% shooting
-Pirates defense allows 68.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that score 76.5 points per game 

9* Play SETON HALL (+).

-Oklahoma snapped their 6-game losing streak with a home win on Saturday; back on the road
-offense is shooting 31% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.7% shooting from 3
-Sooners defense allows 85.4 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 76.5 ppg

-Baylor returns home off a road loss; playing with revenge in their final home game; big effort
-offense is shooting 49.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 44% shooting
-Bears defense allows 40.2% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%

10* Play BAYLOR (-).

-Tennessee will play back-to-back road games; 1-3 SU in this situation this season; bad spot
-offense is shooting 41.9% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 43.1% shooting
-Volunteers defense has given up 216 points in their last 3 road games; in poor current form

-Mississippi State is 7-2 SU over their last 9 games; last home game of the season; big effort
-offense is shooting 49.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 43.3% shooting
-Bulldogs defense allows 30.8% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 34.6% from 3

9* Play MISSISSIPPI STATE (-).

-Duke hits the road off back-to-back blowout home wins; 2-2 SU last 4 road games; bad spot
-offense is shooting 34.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.7% shooting from 3
-Blue Devils defense allows 76.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 74.7 ppg

-Virginia Tech is off an ugly home loss; playing with revenge in their final home game; big effort
-offense is shooting 52.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 43.5% shooting
-Hokies defense allows 41.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.7%

9* Play VIRGINIA TECH (+).

-Florida State hits the road off back-to-back home wins; 1-2 SU last 3 road games; bad spot
-offense is shooting 33.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35% shooting from 3
-Seminoles defense has given up 73 points or more in 14 of their last 15 games; terrible form

-NC State has won 3 straight games after losing their previous 2; on an upswing; big effort
-offense is shooting 50.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 43.2% shooting
-Wolfpack defense allows 31.8% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 36% from 3

10* Play NC STATE (-).

-Arizona is in major turmoil right now; best player suspended and head coach caught on wire tap
-offense is shooting 33.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from 3
-Wildcats defense allow 36.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3

-Oregon stays at home after a confidence building win over Arizona St; big effort with revenge
-offense is shooting 49.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 44.1% shooting
-Ducks defense only allows 66.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 76.3 ppg

10* Play OREGON (-).

-Kansas hits the road off a 30-point (104-74) revenge home win over Oklahoma; bad spot here
-offense shot 60.9% (39-64) from the field and 55.2% (16-29) from 3; major regression coming  
-Jayhawks defense has given up 74 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games; in bad current form 

-Texas Tech returns homes off back-to-back road losses; 16-0 SU at home; expect a big effort
-offense is shooting 48.9% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 43.7% shooting
-Red Raiders defense allows just 60.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 75.9 ppg 

9* Play TEXAS TECH (-).

-College of Charleston hits the road off a last home game revenge win; clinched #1 seed;bad spot
-offense is shooting 32.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.9% shooting from 3  
-Cougars defense has given up 74 points or more in their last 3 road games; more of the same

-William & Mary will play their last home game with revenge; excellent scheduling spot here
-offense is shooting 52.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 45.3% shooting
-Tribe defense has held two of their last four opponents to 69 points or less; in good current form     

9* Play WILLIAM & MARY (+).

-Tennessee hits the road off a bounce back home win; 4th road game in last 6 games; bad spot
-offense is shooting 42.2% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 43% shooting
-Vols defense has given up 151 total points in their last 2 road games; poor current form

-Mississippi returns home off back-to-back road games; also lost their last home game; big effort
-offense averages 79.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 70.2 points per game
-Rebels defense only allows 41% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.2%

9* Play MISSISSIPPI (+).

-Ohio State hits the road off a blowout home win; their last 2 road games were blowout losses
-offense is shooting 33.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 35.1% shooting from 3
-Buckeyes defense has given up 153 total points in their last 2 road games; poor current form

-Indiana returns home off back-to-back road games with their last being a loss; big effort here
-offense is shooting 47% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 43.5% shooting
-Hoosiers defense only allows 68.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 75.5 ppg

10* Play INDIANA (+).

-Arizona State hits the road off 3 straight home games; off big game loss to Arizona; bad spot
-offense is in poor current form; shooting just 29.2% from three over their last five games
-Sun Devils allow 47.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.6%

-Oregon returns home off back-to-back road losses by a total of 10 points; big effort coming here
-offense is shooting 49.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 44.1% shooting
-Ducks defense only allows 66.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 76.1 ppg

10* Play OREGON (-).

-St. John’s is on a 4-game winning streak with wins over Duke and Villanova; in excellent form   
-offense is shooting 36.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.9% shooting from 3
-Red Storm allow 41.6% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.2% from the field  

-Marquette is off an upset win at Creighton; top scorer Markus Howard got hurt and is doubtful
-offense will miss Howard’s 21.3 points per game tremendously; unlikely to trade points now 
-Golden Eagles allow 48.2% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46.5% from the field     

10* Play ST. JOHN’S (+).

-Mississippi State lost 2 straight road games then returned home for blowout of rival; bad spot 
-offense is only shooting 31% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.7% shooting from three  
-Bulldogs defense is much worse on the road where they give up 6.3 ppg more (72.9-66.6) 

-Texas A&M returns home off back-to-back road losses; 12-2 SU at home; expect big effort here   
-offense is shooting 46.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 43.3% shooting
-Aggies defense allows 38% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.5%     

10* Play TEXAS A&M (-).

-Oklahoma is just 2-8 over their last 10 games; one of those wins came over Kansas; inflated line    
-offense is shooting 47.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting from the field
-Sooners allow 44.2% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.7% from the field  

-Kansas is off a big comeback home win over West Virginia; trailed by 12 points late; flat spot 
-offense is in poor current form; they’ve shot just 30.3% from three over their last 5 games   
-Jayhawks have allowed 48.3% shooting from the field and 43.1% from 3 over their last 5 games    

10* Play OKLAHOMA (+).

-Nebraska has won their last 3 road games SU as underdogs; now laying points; bad spot  
-offense is shooting 40.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 43.2% shooting  
-Cornhuskers defense has given up 148 points in their last 2 road games; 70.6 ppg on the road

-Illinois returns home off a road loss at Indiana; only lost 64-63 at Nebraska earlier this season
-offense averages 81.2 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 70.6 points per game    
-Illini defense only allows 32.8% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 34.8% from three 

10* Play ILLINOIS (+).

-Ohio State comes in off an ugly 23-point road loss at Penn State; big bounce back effort here    
-offense is shooting 48.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.6% shooting from the field
-Buckeyes allow 41.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.8% from the field  

-Michigan is off back-to-back blowout wins over Wisconsin and Iowa; big step-up in class now 
-offense is only averaging 1.2 points per game more than their opponents are giving up (74-72.2)  
-Wolverines defense allows 35.3% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that also shoot 35.3% from 3   

9* Play OHIO STATE (+).

-North Carolina is just 4-4 SU on the road this season; 1-2 last 3 road games; bad spot tonight
-offense shot 55% (72-131) from the field in their last 2 games; expect major regression here  
-Tar Heels defense allows 40.4% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 37% from 3 

-Louisville returns homes off a blowout road win; lost 2 of their last 3 home games; big effort
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 43% shooting
-Cardinals defense allows just 66.6 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 73.7 ppg 

10* Play LOUISVILLE (-).

-Florida is in poor current form; 2-3 SU over their last 5 games; off home OT loss; bad spot  
-offense has scored 69 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games; bad form to be road favorites  
-Gators defense allows 36.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.9% from 3

-Vanderbilt is 2-1 over their last 3 games; just 2-7 over their previous 9 games; on an upswing
-offense shoots 39.5% from three at home vs. defenses that give up 33.8% shooting from three  
-Commodores defense allows 71.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 75.6 ppg 

9* Play VANDERBILT (+).

-Texas A&M will play back-to-back road games; 3rd road game in last 4 games; bad spot 
-offense is shooting 32.8% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34% shooting from 3  
-Aggies defense has given up 74 points or more in 6 of their last 7 road games; more of the same

-Arkansas is 3-0 SU and ATS over their last 3 games; 13-1 at home; big effort with revenge    
-offense is shooting 50.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 43.1% shooting
-Razorbacks defense allows 41.5% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.8%     

9* Play ARKANSAS (-).

-Rhode Island hits the road off back-to-back blowout home wins; E.C. Matthews less than 100%
-offense has shot 50% (121-242) from the field over their last 4 games; expect regression here  
-Rams defense allows 47.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.3% 

-St. Bonaventure is in terrific current form; won 7 straight games; legitimate revenge; big effort
-offense shoots 47% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 44.6% shooting from the field  
-Bonnies defense allows 39.5% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.4%     

10* Play ST. BONAVENTURE (+).

-Ohio State upset Purdue on the road and then blew out Iowa at home; now on the road; bad spot
-offense is shooting 34.3% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 35.2% shooting from 3   
-Buckeyes defense gave up 82 points to Penn State at home earlier this season; more of the same

-Penn State is 5-1 SU their last 6 games; only loss to Michigan St; 3 days off; great spot at home
-offense shoots 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that only allow 43.4% shooting from the field
-Nittany Lions defense allows 39.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45%

10* Play PENN STATE (-).

-Tulsa hits the road off a 10-point come from behind home win in overtime; terrible spot here
-offense is shooting 39.5% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 43.4% shooting   
-Golden Hurricane defense is in poor current form; allowed 75 ppg over their last 4 games

-Connecticut returns home off a 21-point loss at Wichita State; big step-down in class; big effort   
-offense has been much better at home where they average 2.3 points per game more this season
-Huskies defense allows 39.5% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%     

9* Play CONNECTICUT (-).

-Dayton has lost two of their last three game in overtime; big step-down in class; good spot   
-offense is shooting 48.5% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.6% shooting from the field
-Flyers defense allows 73.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 74.8 points per game 

-George Mason is just 2-5 SU over their last 7 games; in bad current form; bad spot off a win
-offense is shooting 32% from three at home vs. defenses that allow 34.8% shooting from three  
-Patriots defense allows 75.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 73.4 points per game   

9* Play DAYTON (-).

-Texas A&M comes in off their big spotlight home win over Kentucky; bad spot on the road now  
-offense is shooting 34% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 34.1% shooting from 3   
-Aggies defense has given up 74 points or more in all 5 of their conference road games; 77 ppg

-Missouri has won 4 consecutive games after losing 4 of their 5 previous games; trending up
-offense shoots 38.9% from three at home vs. defenses that give up 32.7% shooting from three  
-Tigers defense is allowing 66.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 74.9 ppg 

10* Play MISSOURI (-).

-Georgetown has played in 6 straight close games; 4th road game in last 5 games; bad spot 
-offense is shooting 42.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 44.1% shooting   
-Hoyas defense allows 78.1 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 74.4 ppg

-Butler returns home off a road loss; also lost their previous home game; big step-down in class   
-offense is shooting 52.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 43.8% shooting
-Bulldogs defense allows 43% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 46.3%     

9* Play BUTLER (-).

-Stanford is just 2-4 SU over their last 6 games; both wins came at home; bad spot in altitude
-offense has struggled mightily on the road recently; scored just 197 points in last 3 road games
-Cardinal defense allows 39.7% shooting from 3 on the road vs offenses that shoot 36.4% from 3  

-Colorado has won their last 2 games after losing their previous 3 games; on a home upswing
-offense is shooting 37.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 35.3% shooting from 3
-Buffaloes defense allows 69.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 77.3 ppg

10* Play COLORADO (-).

-Kentucky has lost back-to-back games; just 3-7 ATS over their last 10 games; bad road spot here
-offense is shooting 29.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.5% shooting from 3  
-Wildcats defense gave up 73 points at home to A&M earlier this season; bad sign for this game

-Texas A&M has won 3 straight games after losing 7 of their previous 9 games; on an upswing
-offense is shooting 46.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 43.4% shooting
-Aggies defense allows just 64.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 78.2 ppg 

10* Play TEXAS A&M (-).

-Dayton is in poor current form; 2-4 SU over their last 6 games; 0-3 on the road during that span  
-offense is shooting 32.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.9% shooting from 3   
-Flyers defense allows 46.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45%

-VCU returns home off a road loss; also lost their last home game; big effort with 27-pt revenge
-offense shoots 36.8% from three at home vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from three  
-Rams defense is allowing 70.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 72.8 ppg 

9* Play VCU (-).

-Xavier comes in off back-to-back overtime games; 3rd road game in last 4 games; bad spot 
-offense shot 59.3% from the field and 47.6% from 3 in their last game; regression here  
-Musketeers allow 37.6% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35.7% from 3

-Creighton returns home off back-to-back road games; perfect 13-0 SU at home; big effort    
-offense is shooting 54% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 43.7% shooting
-Bluejays defense allows 39.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%     

9* Play CREIGHTON (-).

-Washington comes in off back-to-back SU underdog wins at home; now on the road; bad spot
-offense is shooting 28.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.8% shooting from 3
-Huskies defense has given up 70 points or more in 3 of their 5 road games; 1-2 in those games  

-Oregon returns home off back-to-back road games with their last being a 35-pt loss; big effort
-offense is shooting 50% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 43.9% shooting
-Ducks defense allows 69.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 76.1 ppg

10* Play OREGON (-).

-Duquesne has played 6 of their last 7 games in overtime or decided by 3 points or less; bad spot
-offense is shooting 41.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 45.4% shooting
-Dukes defense allows 45.8% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.1%  

-Dayton returns home off back-to-back road losses; 3 days to get ready for this game; big effort
-offense is shooting 51.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 43.3% shooting
-Flyers defense allows 72.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 74.7 points per game

9* Play DAYTON (-).

-Nebraska will be playing their 4th road game over their last 5 games; off upset win; terrible spot
-offense is shooting 39.4% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 43.2% shooting
-Cornhuskers defense has given up 156 points to Minnesota in their last 2 meetings; bad matchup 

-Minnesota returns home off back-to-back road losses; lost their last 2 home games; big effort
-offense averages 80.7 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 71.1 points per game
-Golden Gophers allow 38.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.8% 

10* Play MINNESOTA (-).

-West Virginia is just 2-5 over their last 7 games; off a blowout home win; bad spot on the road
-offense is shooting 40.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.6% shooting
-Mountaineers allow 37.7% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 35% from 3 

-Oklahoma returns home off a road loss; 11-0 at home and playing with revenge; great spot here
-offense is shooting 52.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 42.8% shooting
-Sooners defense allows 42.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.9% 

10* Play OKLAHOMA (-).

-Texas Tech is just 1-6 ATS over their last 7 games; off a road win and home OT win; bad spot
-offense is shooting 30.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.9% shooting from 3  
-Red Raiders defense is in bad current form; allowed 70 points or more in 5 of their last 7 games

-TCU will be playing just their 4th home game over the last month; big effort vs. in-state rival
-offense is shooting 50.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 43.5% shooting
-Horned Frogs defense allows 45.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 46% 

10* Play TCU (-).

-Duke lost at home to Virginia and then blew out Notre Dame; expect another blowout here   
-offense shoots 50.9% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.4% shooting from the field 
-Blue Devils defense allows 40.7% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.5% 

-St. John’s has lost 11 straight games; injuries derailed their season; out-classed in this game
-offense is shooting 28.5% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 33.6% shooting from 3
-Red Storm defense allows 37.5% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 35.5% from 3    

9* Play DUKE (-).

-Toledo needs to play at a fast pace; 1-4 SU when held to less than 70 points; lone win by 2 pts  
-offense scored just 67 points at home vs. Akron earlier this season; get another slow pace game 
-Rockets defense allows 46.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.3%

-Akron returns home off back-to-back road losses; 10-1 SU at home; big effort with revenge
-offense shoots 42.4% from three at home vs. defenses that give up 35.9% shooting from three  
-Zips defense allows just 31.7% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 35.6% from 3 

9* Play AKRON (+).

-SMU is 3-1 over their last 4 games after losing their previous 3 games; on the upswing   
-offense is shooting 47% from the field vs. defenses that allow 43% shooting from the field
-Mustangs defense only allows 62 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.6 points per game

-Tulsa is just 1-5 SU over their last 6 games; off a 19-point loss to Wichita State; bad spot here
-offense is shooting just 43.4% from the field; need to play fast to be successful; terrible matchup    
-Golden Hurricane defense is in terrible current form; allowed 77.1 ppg over their last 7 games

9* Play SMU (-).

-Middle Tenn St upset Western Kentucky on road then won 2 home blowouts; bad travel spot now
-offense averages 70.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 72.4 points per game
-Blue Raiders' defense much worse on road; allowing 45% FG away, compared to just 37% at home

-Old Dominion 7-1 SU at home; spotlight game for ODU with major revenge motive from L2 years
-offense averages 78.0 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow just 74.3 ppg overall
-Monarchs' strong defense allows only 36.0% FG shooting at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.3%

9* Play OLD DOMINION (-).