-Kansas State went just 10-21 SU over the regular season; off a rare win; major regression here

-offense averages just 61.1 points per game away from home vs. defenses that allow 66.5 ppg

-Wildcats allow 45.1% shooting from the field away from home vs. offenses that shoot 43.2%

-TCU comes in off back-to-back losses to Oklahoma and Kansas; huge class relief; big effort
-offense is shooting 35.3% from three vs. defenses that allow 32.2% shooting from three
-Horned Frogs allowing 65.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 69.9 points per game

9* Play TCU (-).

-Vanderbilt went just 11-20 SU during the regular season; off back-to-back upset wins; bad spot

-offense shoots 42.1% from the field away from home vs. defenses that allow 42.4% shooting

-Commodores allowing 48.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 44.5%

-Arkansas comes in off a loss at Texas A&M in their final regular season game; bounce back
-offense averages 75.5 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 69 points per game
-Razorbacks defense allowing just 27.4% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 32.8% from 3

10* Play ARKANSAS (-).

-Washington went just 15-16 SU during the regular season; off 2 straight upset wins; regression

-offense is averaging just 66.9 points per game away from home vs. defenses that allow 67.4 ppg

-Huskies defense has given up 72 points or more in 3 of their last 5 games; in poor current form

-Arizona comes in off an ugly home loss to tonight’s opponent as 10-point favorites; big effort
-offense averages 76.4 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 68.8 points per game
-Wildcats allowing 39.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.2% from the field

9* Play ARIZONA (-).

-Elon will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days; off an upset win yesterday; terrible spot here
-offense shoots 38.7% from the field away from home vs. defenses that allow 44.6% shooting
-Phoenix allowing 45% shooting from the field away from home vs. offenses that shoot 43.4%

-Northeastern will be playing their 3rd game in 9 days; big scheduling advantage for this game

-offense is shooting 47.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.4% shooting from the field

-Huskies allow 30.4% shooting from 3 away from home vs. offenses that shoot 33.8% from 3

10* Play NORTHEASTERN (-).

-Iowa is just 5-5 SU over their last 10 games; 1-4 on the road during that stretch; bad spot here

-offense is shooting just 32.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that shoot 32.5% from 3

-Hawkeyes allow 76.7 points per game on the road vs offenses that average 71.3 points per game

-Illinois returns home off a road loss; last home game and playing with revenge; big effort here
-offense is shooting 45.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that only allow 42.2% shooting
-Illini defense allowing just 62.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 71.3 points per game

10* Play ILLINOIS (-).

-Butler hits the road off back-to-back home wins; 2-5 SU over their previous 7 games; bad spot

-offense averages 64.2 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 68.7 points per game

-Bulldogs allowing 36.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34% from 3

-Xavier returns home off a road loss; last home game and playing with revenge; big effort here
-offense averages 72 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 69.2 points per game
-Musketeers allowing just 65.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 73.2 points per game

10* Play XAVIER (-).

-Oklahoma is just 2-4 SU over their last 6 games; 1-5 in their last 6 road games; bad current form

-offense is shooting just 31.6% from three vs. defenses that allow 32.2% shooting from three

-Sooners defense allows 71.9 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 69.9 ppg

-TCU returns home off a road loss in Kansas; revenge in their last home game; big effort here
-offense is shooting 37.4% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 32.1% shooting from 3
-Horned Frogs defense allows 61.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 69.9 ppg

9* Play TCU (-).

-Kansas is 27-3 SU on the season; team struggles in slow, half-court games; bad matchup here
-offense has been worse on the road this season; averaging 3.9 points per game less than overall
-Jayhawks defense gave up 75 points on their home court to Texas Tech; bad sign for the rematch

-Texas Tech returns home on a 3-game winning streak; revenge game here; big home effort

-offense is shooting 47.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 42% shooting

-Red Raiders allow 59.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 70.8 points per game

9* Play TEXAS TECH (+).

-Marquette is just 1-5 SU over their last 6 games, including 0-3 on the road; bad road favorite

-offense is shooting 40.9% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 41.7% shooting

-Golden Eagles allowing 77.3 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 71.9 ppg

-St. John’s returns home off a 22-point road loss; revenge game; last home game; bounce back
-offense averages 78.3 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 68.4 points per game
-Red Storm allowing 40.3% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 43.3%

9* Play ST. JOHN’S (+).

-VCU is just 2-7 SU over their last 9 games, including 0-4 on the road; in terrible current form

-offense is shooting 30.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 32.2% shooting from 3

-Rams defense allows 37.3% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 33.2% from 3

-Davidson returns home off back-to-back road losses; revenge in their last home game; big effort
-offense averages 79.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 68.8 points per game
-Wildcats defense allows 37.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 43.1%

9* Play DAVIDSON (-).

-Boise State is just 4-3 SU over their last 7 games; consecutive wins over UNLV; big class jump

-offense scored just 67 and 66 points in their last 2 games; expect another bad offensive game

-Broncos allowing 47.2% shooting from the field away from home vs. offenses that shoot 44%

-San Diego State cruised to a double-digit win over Air Force last night; positive momentum
-offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that allow 43.8% shooting from the field
-Aztecs defense allowing 59.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.4 points per game

10* Play SAN DIEGO STATE (-).

-Georgia Tech hits the road off 3 straight home wins; beat Georgia Tech recently; bad spot

-offense is shooting 30.9% from three vs. defenses that allow 31.9% shooting from three

-Yellow Jackets defense has given up 73, 79, 79, and 80 points in their last 4 road games; ugly

-Clemson returns home off a 12-point road loss; revenge game; last home game; bounce back
-offense is shooting 45% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 41.9% shooting
-Tigers defense allowing 40.4% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 43.4%

9* Play CLEMSON (-).

-Northern Arizona is just 4-5 SU over their last 9 games; 1-2 SU their last 3 road games; bad spot
-offense is shooting 43.9% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 44.4% shooting
-Lumberjacks defense has given up 80, 76, and 87 points in 3 of their last 4 road games

-Portland State returns home on a 4-game winning streak; revenge game here; big home effort

-offense averages 84.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 71.5 points per game

-Vikings allow just 32.6% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 33.2% from 3

10* Play PORTLAND STATE (-).

-LSU is just 3-5 SU over their last 8 games, including just 1-4 SU on the road; poor current form

-offense scored just 66 and 64 points in their last 2 games; expect another bad offensive game

-Tigers defense allows 80.6 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 72.2 ppg

-Arkansas returns home off a 10-point road loss in Georgia; last home game; expect a big effort
-offense is shooting 45.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow just 42.5% shooting
-Razorbacks allowing 41.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.5%

10* Play ARKANSAS (-).

-UAB comes in off a big home win over Marshall; 3rd road game over their last 4 games

-offense averages 65.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 70.1 points per game

-Blazers defense allows 35.7% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 32% from 3

-Texas-San Antonio returns home off a road loss; lost their previous home game; bounce back
-offense averages 83.1 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 71 points per game
-Roadrunners defense allows 41.3% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 43%

10* Play TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO (-).

-South Florida hits the road off a home win that snapped a 4-game losing streak; bad spot here

-offense averages 61.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 67.2 points per game

-Bulls defense allowing 46.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.4%

-Temple returns home off back-to-back road losses; step-down in class; big bounce back effort
-offense is shooting 45.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 41.7% shooting
-Owls defense allowing 39.1% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 42.8%

9* Play TEMPLE (-).

-Utah State is 23-7 SU on the season against a very weak schedule; last 2 losses on the road
-offense averages 69.6 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 73.2 points per game
-Aggies defense has been much worse on the road; allowing 6.1 points per game more

-New Mexico is on a 5-game losing streak, but 3 of those games were on the road; big effort here

-offense is shooting 49.5% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow just 43.9% shooting

-Lobos defense has been better at home; allowing 2.4 points per game less than overall

9* Play NEW MEXICO (+).

-Utah comes into this game off a loss at Stanford; focused spot for a team that needs to win
-offense is shooting 44.8% from the field vs. defenses that allow 41.9% shooting from the field
-Utes defense allows just 69.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.2 points per game

-California comes in off a 14-point home win as 8.5-point underdogs; natural letdown spot here

-offense averages just 62.9 points per game vs. defenses that give up 67.5 points per game

-Golden Bears defense allows 34.9% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 34.3% from 3

10* Play UTAH (-).

-Seton Hall hits the road off back-to-back home wins; lost their previous road game; bad spot

-offense has been much worse on the road this season; shooting just 42.4% from the field

-Pirates defense has given up 72 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games; in poor current form

-Marquette comes in off a confidence-building blowout home win; revenge game; big effort
-offense is shooting 37.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 32.4% shooting from 3
-Golden Eagles allowing 38.2% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 43.7%

9* Play MARQUETTE (-).

-Temple will play on a back-to-back road set; last time they lost by 15 points in this situation
-offense is shooting 36.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 41.8% shooting
-Owls defense after giving up less than 70 points: 89, 78, 79 and 76 points allowed; bad matchup 

-Wichita State returns home off a road loss in Cincinnati; revenge game here; big home effort

-offense averages 76.8 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 68.5 points per game

-Shockers allow just 38.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 43% from the field

10* Play WICHITA STATE (-).

-Maryland is playing on a back-to-back road set; lost their last game; another tough spot here
-offense is shooting 40.2% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 41.5% shooting
-Terrapins allow 35.6% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 33.2% from 3

-Minnesota returns home off a momentum building road win; lost last home game; big effort
-offense averages 72.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up 67.5 points per game
-Golden Gophers allow 39.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.1%

9* Play MINNESOTA (-).

-Texas Tech is 5-1 SU over their last 6 games, but come in off a 30-point win; expect regression
-offense is shooting 30.9% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 32.7% shooting from 3
-Red Raiders defense has been much worse on the road; allowing 4.6 points per game more

-Oklahoma returns home off an ugly 17-point loss at Oklahoma State; big bounce back effort
-offense averages 73.4 points per game at home vs. defenses that give up just 66 points per game
-Sooners defense allows 38.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 43.7%

9* Play OKLAHOMA (+).

-TCU hits the road off an upset home win over West Virginia; they’ve lost 7 straight road games
-offense is shooting 27.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 31.9% shooting from 3
-Horned Frogs allow 47.4% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.3%

-Iowa State stays home off an ugly 30-point loss to Texas Tech; big bounce back effort here

-offense is shooting 45.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow just 41.4% shooting

-Cyclones allow 67.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 71.2 points per game

9* Play IOWA STATE (-).

-Louisville hits the road off back-to-back home wins, snapping a 2-game losing streak; revenge
-offense is shooting 35.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allows 32.2% shooting from 3
-Cardinals allow 38.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 43.7% from the field

-Florida State is 6-1 SU over their last 7 games against some bad teams; lost to Duke; class jump

-offense has scored just 67, 65, and 65 points in 3 of their last 6 games; in poor current form

-Seminoles have faced a bunch of slow-paced teams recently; change of pace; bad matchup here

10* Play LOUISVILLE (+).

-Texas Tech is 4-1 SU over their last 5 games, but 3 of those wins have come by 8 points or less
-offense is shooting 30.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 32.6% shooting from 3
-Red Raiders defense has been much worse on the road; allowing 5.3 points per game more

-Iowa State returns home off an ugly 20-point road loss in Kansas; big bounce back effort here

-offense is shooting 46.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow just 41.4% shooting

-Cyclones allow 65.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 71.1 points per game

9* Play IOWA STATE (+).

-Florida is 5-1 over their last 6 games after a 3-game losing streak; in good current form now
-offense is shooting 35.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 31.8% shooting from 3
-Gators defense allows 29.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 32.8% from 3

-Kentucky returns home off a road upset win at LSU; hit the road again after this game; no focus

-offense is shooting just 28.4% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 32.1% shooting from 3

-Wildcats defense has given up 72 points or more in 5 of their last 9 games; in bad current form

9* Play FLORIDA (+).

-Villanova will be playing their 3rd straight road game; won their last 2; bad scheduling spot
-offense scored 91 points after shooting 57% from the field and 69% from 3 in their last game
-Wildcats defense allows 44.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 44.1% 

-Xavier gets a big game at home after playing 4 of their last 5 games on the road; big effort here

-offense is shooting 43.4% from the field vs. defenses that allow 41.6% shooting from the field

-Musketeers allow 65.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 73.2 points per game

10* Play XAVIER.

-Tennessee has alternated wins and losses over their last 5 games; off a home win; expect a loss

-offense is shooting just 30.4% from three vs. defenses that give up 31.5% shooting from three

-Volunteers defense has been much worse on the road; allowing 5.5 points per game more

-Auburn returns home off back-to-back road losses; expect a big bounce back home effort here
-offense is shooting 46.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 42.7% shooting
-Tigers allowing just 40.6% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.8%

9* Play AUBURN (-).

-Oregon State hits the road off a 3-game homestand; lost by 22 points in their last game; bad sign
-offense is shooting 27.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.7% shooting from 3
-Beavers defense allows 34.3% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 33.2% from 3

-Arizona comes in off back-to-back road wins; lost their last home game; revenge game here too

-offense shoots 48.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 42.3% shooting

-Wildcats defense allows just 63 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 72.6 ppg

10* Play ARIZONA (-).

-Indiana comes in off an ugly 24-point loss in Michigan; expect a big bounce back effort tonight
-offense is shooting 45.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 41.7% shooting from the field
-Hoosiers defense allows 31.7% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34% from 3

-Minnesota is just 2-5 SU over their last 7 games; in awful current form; laying too many points

-offense is shooting just 31.9% from three vs. defenses that allow 32.3% shooting from three

-Golden Gophers have faced a bunch of slow-paced teams recently; change of pace; bad matchup

10* Play INDIANA (+).

-Butler is just 4-6 SU over their last 10 games; all 4 wins came by 5 points or less; in bad form
-offense averages 63.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 68.2 points per game
-Bulldogs defense has given up 73, 76, and 76 points in 3 of their last 4 games; bad matchup here

-Seton Hall comes in off a road loss in Providence; lost their last home game too; bounce back

-offense shoots 45.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that only give up 41.5% shooting

-Pirates defense allows 64.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 72.5 ppg

9* Play SETON HALL (-).

-Baylor is 23-1 SU on the season; beat Oklahoma by 4 points at home; bad spot on the road
-offense has scored 67 points or less in 4 of their last 7 road games; 61 at home vs. Sooners
-Bears defense allows 33.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 32.7% from 3

-Oklahoma returns home from a 17-point blowout loss at Kansas; big bounce back effort here

-offense is shooting 44.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow just 41.5% shooting 

-Sooners defense allows 63.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 70.5 ppg

10* Play OKLAHOMA (+).

-Arizona State is on a back-to-back road set; 4th road game over their last 6 games; bad spot
-offense is shooting 29.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 33% shooting from 3
-Sun Devils defense has been worse on the road; allowing 3 ppg more and 2.3% higher shooting

-California has lost their last 3 games; 2 on the road; last at home; big bounce back effort here

-offense shoots 46% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 42% shooting from the field

-Golden Bears defense allows 66.3 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 72.9 ppg

10* Play CALIFORNIA (+).

-Colorado is on a back-to-back road set; 1-4 ATS over their last 5 games; bad scheduling spot
-offense is shooting 40% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 41.5% shooting
-Buffaloes allowing 34.7% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 33.9% from three

-Oregon State will be playing their 3rd straight home game; won both of those games; good spot

-offense is shooting 47.9% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 42.6% shooting

-Beavers allow 42% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 43.5% from the field

9* Play OREGON STATE (+).

-Pacific has won 5 straight games; favorite in 4 games; small underdog in 1; big class jump

-offense shoots just 42.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 44.9% shooting

-Tigers defense gave up 99 points at home to St. Mary’s in the first meeting; not a good sign

-St. Mary’s comes in off an embarrassing 30-point home loss to Gonzaga; revenge game as well
-offense is shooting 47.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting
-Gaels allowing just 64.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 73 points per game

10* Play ST. MARY’S (-).

-Houston is 8-1 over their last 9 games; on a back-to-back road set; 0-2 in this scheduling spot
-offense is shooting 43% from the field on the road vs. defenses that also give up 43% shooting
-Cougars defense allows 33.1% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 32.4% from 3

-SMU is 5-2 SU over their last 7 games; both losses were on the road; revenge game; big effort

-offense is shooting 49.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 42.3% shooting

-Mustangs allow 65.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 71.3 points per game

9* Play SMU (+).

-Texas is on a 3-game losing streak; 2-6 SU over their last 8 games; in terrible current form
-offense averages 60.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 66.3 points per game
-Longhorns allow 35.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 33.5% from 3

-Iowa State returns home off an ugly 29-point road loss in Oklahoma; big bounce back effort

-offense is shooting 45.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow just 41.4% shooting

-Cyclones allow 66.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 71.5 points per game

9* Play IOWA STATE (-).

-Weber State comes in off back-to-back home wins; 2-4 SU their last 6 road games; bad spot
-offense is shooting 42.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 45.5% shooting
-Wildcats defense allows 48.8% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.2% 

-Montana is on a 3-game winning streak; lost by just 2 points at Weber State earlier; revenge

-offense is shooting 47.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 43.4% shooting

-Grizzlies defense allows 40.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.3%

10* Play MONTANA (-).

-Louisville has won 10 straight games; one of those wins came by 4 points vs. tonight’s opponent
-offense was held to less than 70 points in 2 of their last 10 games; wins came by 4 and 3 points
-Cardinals defense has been worse on the road; allowing 4 ppg more and 1.4% higher shooting

-Georgia Tech returns home off a road loss in Pittsburgh; expect a big bounce back effort tonight

-offense is shooting 45.1% from the field vs. defenses that allow 41.6% shooting from the field

-Yellow Jackets defense allows 64.1 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 71.9 ppg

10* Play GEORGIA TECH (+).

-Notre Dame has won 4 straight games; scored 80 points or more in 3 of those games; not here
-offense is shooting 40.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.2% shooting
-Irish defense allows 37.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 32.7% from 3

-Virginia returns home off a road loss in Louisville; expect a big bounce back effort tonight

-offense has scored 65 and 73 points in 2 of their last 4 games; playing much better as of late

-Cavaliers defense allows just 48.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 70.6 ppg

9* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-California is on a back-to-back road set in thin air and altitude; bad team; bad scheduling spot
-offense is shooting 37.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42% shooting
-Golden Bears allow 39.2% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.7% from 3

-Utah snapped their 2-game losing streak with a home win over Stanford; positive momentum

-offense is averaging 84.5 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 69.2 points per game

-Utes allow 40.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.3% from the field

9* Play UTAH (-).

-Louisiana Tech comes in off a loss as favorites at Western Kentucky; bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 43.7% shooting
-Bulldogs allowing just 61.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 69.5 points per game

-Marshall was a double digit home favorite in their last game and won; class jump; bad spot

-offense is shooting just 28% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 32.3% shooting from 3

-Thundering Herd allow 34.4% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 33.8% from 3

10* Play LOUISIANA TECH (-).

-Seton Hall is 17-5 SU on the season; schedule hasn’t been too tough; back-to-back road set here
-offense is shooting just 32.5% from 3 vs. defenses that also give up 32.5% shooting from 3
-Pirates defense has given up 70 points or more in 4 of their last 6 games; in poor current form

-Villanova returns home off a road loss at Butler; also lost their previous home games; big effort

-offense is shooting 37.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow 32.3% shooting from 3

-Wildcats allow just 63.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 72.9 points per game

9* Play VILLANOVA (-).

-USC hits the road off an ugly 21-point home loss to Colorado; big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 44.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42% shooting
-Trojans allowing just 37.5% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 44%

-Arizona returns home off 3 straight road games; won the last 2 games; letdown spot here

-offense scored 66 and 65 points in 2 of their last 3 games; 66 points or less in 3 of last 6 games

-Wildcats defense has given up 72 points or more in 4 of their last 7 games; in poor current form

10* Play USC (+).

-South Carolina has won 3 straight high-scoring games; 4th road game over their last 6 games
-offense is shooting 31.4% from three vs. defenses that also give up 31.4% shooting from three
-Gamecocks defense has given up 77 points or more in 3 of their last 6 games; 2 on the road

-Mississippi returns home off back-to-back losses; lost their previous home game; big effort here

-offense is shooting 47.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 41.6% shooting

-Rebels allow just 64.4 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 71.9 points per game

9* Play MISSISSIPPI (-).

-Mississippi State has won 2 straight high-scoring games; 3rd road game over their last 4 games
-offense is much worse on the road; average 4.3 ppg less and shoot just 43.6%; 46.7% overall
-Bulldogs gave up 144 points in their last 2 wins; 70 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games

-Kentucky returns home off an expected road loss at Auburn on Saturday; big bounce back effort

-offense is shooting 47.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 41.8% shooting

-Wildcats allow just 62.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 72.5 points per game

10* Play KENTUCKY (-).

-Colorado is on a back-to-back road set; they’ve lost their last 2 road games; bad scheduling spot
-offense is shooting 38.9% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 41.8% shooting
-Buffaloes defense has given up 72 and 75 points in their last 2 road games; bad matchup again 

-USC is 5-1 SU over their last 6 games; lone loss came at a very good Oregon team; good form

-offense is averaging 77.3 points per game at home vs. defenses that allow 68.7 points per game

-Trojans allowing 38.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.1% from the field

9* Play USC (-).

-Kentucky has won their last 2 road games as underdogs; 4th road game over their last 6 games
-offense is much worse on the road; average 3.3 ppg less and shoot just 43.5%; 46.2% overall
-Wildcats defense has given up 221 total points in their last 3 road games; in poor current form

-Auburn is on a 3-game winning streak; lost back-to-back road games prior; undefeated at home

-offense is shooting 48.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow 43.1% shooting

-Tigers allow just 67.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 74 points per game

9* Play AUBURN (-).

-Houston was a double digit favorite in their last 2 games; back-to-back road set; bad spot here

-offense has scored 69 points or less in 4 straight games, and in 5 of their last 6 games; bad form

-Cougars defense allows 33.3% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 32.3% from 3

-Cincinnati has won 3 straight games after a blowout road loss in Memphis; positive momentum
-offense is shooting 48% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up just 41.3% shooting
-Bearcats allowing 57.8 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 71 points per game

10* Play CINCINNATI (-).

-Bowling Green is on a 7-game winning streak; 8-1 SU over their last 9 games; in good form
-offense is shooting 34.7% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 31.8% shooting from 3
-Falcons allowing just 41% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 42.6% from the field

-Buffalo returns home off an upset win as 7.5-point road underdogs at Akron; letdown spot here

-offense is shooting just 33.2% from three vs. defenses that give up 34.6% shooting from three

-Bulls defense allows 75.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 71.8 points per game

10* Play BOWLING GREEN (+).

-Colorado is 16-4 on the season; hit the road off back-to-back blowout home wins; bad road spot

-offense is shooting just 38.6% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 41.7% shooting

-Buffaloes defense has given up 75 and 76 points in 2 of their last 3 road games; bad matchup 

-UCLA returns home off an ugly 21-point road loss at Oregon; expect a big bounce back effort

-offense is shooting 44.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up just 42.4% shooting
-Bruins allowing 65.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 71.6 points per game

9* Play UCLA (+).

-Baylor is 17-1, and ranked #1 in the country; off an upset win; 3rd road game in last 4 games

-offense is shooting just 42.8% from the field this season; terrible number for a one loss team

-Bears defense allows 35.4% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 32.8% from 3

-Iowa State returns home off a road loss at Auburn; scored 170 points in their last 2 home games

-offense is shooting 46.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up just 41.7% shooting
-Cyclones allowing just 40.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 43.7% 

9* Play IOWA STATE (+).

-Richmond is 15-5 SU on the season; their wins have come against bad teams; tough road spot

-offense has been worse on the road this season; averaging 5 points per game less than overall

-Spiders defense has given up 74, 87, and 87 points in 3 recent games; in poor current form

-VCU returns home on a 3-game winning streak after losing their previous 2 games; good form
-offense is shooting 36.5% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 32.5% shooting from 3
-Rams allowing just 58.7 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 69.8 points per game

9* Play VCU (-).

-North Carolina snapped their 5-game losing streak with a 23-point win; momentum carries here
-offense is averaging 71.4 points per game vs. defenses that give up 66.9 points per game
-Tar Heels allowing just 40.7% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 44.1% 

-NC State is 14-6 on the season; just 4-3 SU over their last 7 games; 3 wins by 6 points or less

-offense is shooting 32% from 3 at home vs. defenses that give up 32.4% shooting from 3

-Wolfpack defense has faced a terrible group of opposing offenses recently; big class jump here

9* Play NORTH CAROLINA (+).

-Pacific hits the road off back-to-back losses with the last at home; big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 45.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 44.5% shooting from the field
-Tigers allowing just 39% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.6% 

-Gonzaga is 20-1 on the season and ranked #2 in the country; 3rd straight home game; unfocused

-offense has shot greater than 50% from the field in each of their last 3 games; expect regression

-Bulldogs defense has given up an average of 70.5 points per game over their last 6 home games

9* Play PACIFIC (+).

-Washington State is playing a back-to-back road set in thin air and altitude; bad scheduling spot

-offense is shooting 38.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 42.1% shooting

-Cougars defense allows 46.6% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.9%

-Utah snapped their 4-game losing streak with a recent home win; positive momentum carries
-offense is shooting 50.2% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 41.8% shooting
-Utes defense allowing just 40.9% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.6%

10* Play UTAH (-).

-Kansas State comes in off an ugly 21-point road loss at Kansas; big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 33.3% from three vs. defenses that give up 31.8% shooting from three
-Wildcats allowing just 32.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 33.4% from 3

-Alabama is on a 3-game winning streak; upset win over Auburn and 2 blowout wins; letdown

-offense scored 77, 83, and 88 points in their last 3 wins; expect major regression in this game

-Crimson Tide defense allows 76.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 75 points per game

9* Play KANSAS STATE (+).

-UCLA was on a 1-6 SU streak before winning their last game at home; now in a bad road spot

-offense averages 65.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 69.2 points per game

-Bruins defense allows 37.2% shooting from three vs. offenses that shoot 33.5% from three

-Oregon State returns home off back-to-back losses on the road; big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 50.4% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting
-Beavers allowing just 40.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 43.5%

9* Play OREGON STATE (-).

-UTEP comes in off an ugly 16-point road loss at UT-San Antonio; big bounce back effort here
-offense has scored 70, 76, and 80 points in 3 of their last 4 games; facing a terrible defense now
-Miners allowing just 29.3% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.1% from 3

-Rice is on a 3-game losing streak; 1-7 SU over their last 8 games; bad team in poor current form

-offense is shooting 42.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 42.6% shooting from the field

-Owls defense has given up 72 points or more in their last 5 games; bad defense; bad matchup

10* Play UTEP (-).

-South Carolina comes in off back-to-back upset wins as dogs; 3rd road game in last 4 games

-offense scored 81 points in each of their last 2 games; they only average 69.9 ppg; regression

-Gamecocks defense has given up 76 points or more in 4 of their last 9 games; in poor form

-Auburn returns home off back-to-back blowout losses on the road; big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 49.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 43.1% shooting
-Tigers allowing just 40.4% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%

10* Play AUBURN (-).

-Oklahoma State is on a 5-game losing streak; 3 of those losses were at home; bad sign; bad team

-offense is shooting just 29.8% from three vs. defenses that allow 31.5% shooting from three

-Cowboys defense has given up 75 and 76 points in their last 2 games; in poor current form

-Iowa State comes in off an ugly 20-point road loss at Texas Tech; big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 45.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 41.8% shooting
-Cyclones allowing just 40.8% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 43.9%

10* Play IOWA STATE (-).

-Kentucky comes in off a loss at South Carolina on Wednesday; 3rd road game in last 4; bad spot

-offense is shooting just 30.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 32.1% shooting from 3

-Wildcats defense allows 44.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.7%

-Arkansas has won back-to-back games since losing by just 2 points at LSU; in good form
-offense is shooting 46.6% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 42.8% shooting
-Razorbacks allowing just 21.6% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 32.9% from 3

9* Play ARKANSAS (-).

-Kansas is 13-3 SU on the season; they’ve played a tough schedule, so their record is pretty legit
-offense is averaging 77.1 points per game vs. defenses that give up 66.1 points per game
-Jayhawks defense is allowing just 29.4% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 34.6% from 3

-Texas also has a strong at 12-4 SU, but they’ve played a much easier schedule to achieve that

-offense is averaging 67.1 points per game vs. defenses that also give up 67.1 points per game

-Longhorns defense has given up 71 points or more at home 3 times; bad sign for a bad matchup

9* Play KANSAS (-).

-Wisconsin upset Penn State on the road; followed with a home win; back on the road; bad spot 

-offense is shooting just 26.6% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.1% shooting from 3

-Badgers defense has given up 69, 72, and 71 points in 3 recent games; in poor current form

-Michigan State comes in off an ugly 29-point road loss at Purdue; big bounce back effort here
-offense is shooting 48.8% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up 41.1% shooting
-Spartans allowing just 21.5% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 32.5% from 3

10* Play MICHIGAN STATE (-).

-Boise State comes in off a loss at #1 San Diego State; 4-0 SU after their last 4 losses; big effort
-offense is averaging 77.4 points per game vs. defenses that give up 70.5 points per game
-Broncos defense is allowing just 31.6% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 34% from 3

-Air Force is just 2-3 SU over their last 5 games; 8-9 overall on the season; in poor current form 

-offense has scored 78 points or more in 3 of their last 4 losses; can’t trade points in this game

-Falcons allowing 46.2% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 43.6% from the field

9* Play BOISE STATE (-).

-Virginia Tech is 12-4 on the season, but their wins have come against inferior teams; bad spot

-offense averages 63.8 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 68.5 points per game 

-Hokies defense allows 46.8% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.8%

-Wake Forest returns home off a blowout loss at Duke; lost their previous home game; big effort
-offense is shooting 47.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that give up just 42.2% shooting
-Demon Deacons defense allows 43.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.4%

10* Play WAKE FOREST (+).

-BYU comes in on a 6-game winning streak; 8-1 SU over their last 9 games; good current form
-offense is shooting 49.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 41.7% shooting
-Cougars defense is allowing 28.2% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that shoot 34.7% from 3

-Saint Mary’s returns home off a 107-99 loss at Pacific; that game went to 4 overtime’s; bad spot

-offense just scored 99 points in their last game; expect major regression off that performance 

-Gaels defense has given up 73 points or more in 4 of their last 10 games; something missing

10* Play BYU (+).

-Oklahoma comes in on a 3-game winning streak; all 3 were at home; lost their last 2 road games
-offense is shooting just 30.7% from three vs. defenses that give up 31.9% shooting from three
-Sooners defense is worse on the road; allow 73.3 points per game; 4.1 ppg more than overall

-Texas returns home off a 15-point road loss at Baylor; 3 days off since; expect a big effort here

-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow just 42.0% shooting 

-Longhorns defense allows 59.6 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 72.3 ppg

10* Play TEXAS (-).

-Penn State comes into this game at 12-2 SU on the season; easy home schedule; bad road spot
-offense is shooting just 31.7% from three vs. defenses that give up 33% shooting from three
-Nittany Lions defense is bad on the road; allow 79.2 points per game on 40.8% shooting from 3

-Rutgers is 11-3 SU on the season; losses at Pittsburgh and Michigan State; big effort tonight

-offense is shooting 48.7% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow just 42.2% shooting 

-Scarlett Knights defense allows 54.5 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 70.9 ppg

9* Play RUTGERS (+).

-Oregon State is on a back-to-back set in altitude; lost at Utah and now in Colorado; bad spot
-offense is shooting 30.9% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 33.2% shooting from 3
-Beavers defense allows 34% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 31.8% from 3 

-Colorado is on a 4-game home stand; 2-0 SU and ATS in the first 2 games; good momentum

-offense is shooting 41.7% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow just 32.4% shooting from 3

-Buffaloes allowing just 38.7% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 45.4%

9* Play COLORADO (-).

-Oregon lost as expected in Colorado; now they will play another game in altitude; bad road spot
-offense is shooting just 33% from 3 on the road this season; facing a strong perimeter defense
-Ducks defense has been worse on the road; they allow 5.4 points per game more than overall

-Utah has 3 losses on the season, and they all came away from home; strong home court edge

-offense is shooting 55.1% from the field at home vs. defenses that allow just 42.7% shooting

-Utes defense allowing just 30.7% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that shoot 34.8% from 3

9* Play UTAH (+).

-Oregon comes into this game at 11-2 SU and highly ranked in the country; easy recent schedule
-offense is shooting just 43.9% from the field on the road this season; facing a strong defense
-Ducks defense has been worse on the road; they allow 5.5 points per game more than overall

-Colorado is also 11-2 SU on the season; losses came at Kansas and vs. Northern Iowa; big effort

-offense is shooting 43.3% from 3 at home vs. defenses that allow just 32.8% shooting from 3

-Buffaloes defense allows 58.9 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 71.4 ppg

9* Play COLORADO (+).

-Ball State comes in off their best game in years; they beat IUPUI 102-54 at home; regression
-offense is shooting 30.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 34.6% shooting from 3
-Cardinals allowing 35.3% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 32.8% from 3

-Georgia Tech comes in off back-to-back losses to Syracuse and Kentucky; big class relief here

-offense is shooting 44.2% from the field vs. defenses that allow 41.2% shooting from the field

-Yellow Jackets defense allows 64.2 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 75.5 ppg

10* Play GEORGIA TECH (-).

-Oklahoma is 7-1 on the season with their lone loss to Stanford; 8 days to prepare for this game 

-offense is shooting 45.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 41.9% shooting from the field

-Sooners defense allows 41.4% shooting from the field vs. offenses that average 44.2% shooting

-Wichita State is 8-1 on the season, but they’ve played a very easy schedule; huge class jump
-offense is shooting 41.9% from the field vs. defenses that allow 42.0% shooting from the field
-Shockers allow 33.1% shooting from 3 at home vs. offenses that average 31.1% shooting from 3

9* Play OKLAHOMA (+).

-Indiana opened the season with 8 straight wins before losing to Wisconsin; big bounce back

-offense is shooting 50.8% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.4% shooting from the field

-Hoosiers defense allows 65.9 points per game vs. offenses that average 74 points per game

-Connecticut is 6-2 on the season, but they’ve played a very easy schedule; huge step-up in class
-offense is shooting 41.5% from the field vs. defenses that allow 42.8% shooting from the field
-Huskies defense has given up 171 total points in their 2 losses this season; bad matchup here

9* Play INDIANA (-).

-New Mexico State comes in off a loss to Washington State; big step-down in class; bounce back

-offense has skewed numbers due to tough opponents; scored 77 points or more against lesser

-Aggies defense allows just 63.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 70.1 points per game

-Denver has one of the youngest teams in all of college basketball; inconsistent play shows that
-offense averages just 62.3 points per game vs. defenses that give up 67.9 points per game
-Pioneers allow 45.2% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 42.5% from the field

10* Play NEW MEXICO STATE (-).

-Northern Illinois comes into this game off a blowout loss at St. Mary’s; class relief; bounce back

-offense is shooting 36.8% from three vs. defenses that only give up 34.4% shooting from three

-Huskies defense is allowing just 38.5% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 42.6%

-UC Davis comes in off an upset win at Northern Arizona; 6-point dogs won by 19 points; fade
-offense has been held to 67 points or less in 6 of their games this season; another bad matchup
-Aggies defense allows 45.9% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45% from the field

9* Play NORTHERN ILLINOIS (-).

-Utah State returned 4 of their 5 starters from last year’s 28-win team; 7-0 already this season

-offense is shooting 38.9% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 31.5% shooting from 3

-Aggies defense has allowed just 57.5 points per game on 36.2% shooting from the field so far

-St. Mary’s is 5-1 on the season, but they’ve played a very easy schedule; huge step-up in class
-offense will struggle tonight; been held to less than 70 points in 3 of their 6 games; bad matchup
-Gaels defense allows 45% shooting from the field at home vs. offenses that shoot 44.5%

10* Play UTAH STATE (+).

-Fairfield is just 1-3 on the season with their lone win coming against Holy Cross; big class jump
-offense is shooting just 26.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 31.1% shooting from 3
-Stags defense gives up 46.4% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 45.3%

-Maryland is a perfect 3-0 on the season; 3 blowout wins; expect another easy win tonight

-offense is shooting 48.7% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.4% shooting from the field

-Terrapins defense is allowing 37.1% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 41.9%

9* Play MARYLAND (-).

-Seattle is 2-3 on the season with their wins coming against Pacific-Lutheran and Pacific-Oregon
-offense is shooting just 36.8% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 46.2% shooting
-Redhawks give up 87 points per game on the road vs offenses that average 72.5 points per game

-Mississippi is 3-0 on the season with their average win coming by a solid 22.7 points per game

-offense is shooting 49.4% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.3% shooting from the field

-Rebels defense is allowing just 33.1% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 45.5%

9* Play MISSISSIPPI (-).

-Air Force is 2-1 on the season with their wins coming against Texas State and Army; class jump
-offense is shooting just 41.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 41.5% shooting
-Falcons defense gives up 72.3 points per game vs offenses that average 69.7 points per game

-TCU is a perfect 2-0 on the season after a pair of blowout wins; expect another easy win tonight

-offense is shooting 39.4% from 3-point land vs. defenses that give up 33.5% shooting from 3

-Horned Frogs defense is allowing 39.3% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 42.7%

9* Play TCU (-).

-Illinois Chicago is 1-2 on the season with their lone win coming against Olivet-Nazarene
-offense is shooting just 24.2% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 38.4% shooting
-Flames defense gave up 92 points on 59.3% shooting from the field at Memphis this season

-Bradley comes in off an easy home win after losing their season opener on the road; momentum

-offense is shooting 38.3% from 3-point land vs. defenses that give up 37.1% shooting from 3

-Braves defense is allowing 23.6% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that are shooting 32.6% from 3

9* Play BRADLEY (-).

-Cleveland State got waxed in both of their road games this season; another blowout loss here
-offense is shooting just 33% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.3% shooting
-Vikings defense allows 79 point per game on the road vs. offenses that average just 62.6 ppg

-South Carolina is already 2-0 on the season after 2 blowout wins over inferior teams; same here 

-offense is averaging 71.5 points per game vs. defenses that allow just 66.3 points per game

-Gamecocks allow 24.0% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 39.5% from the field

9* Play SOUTH CAROLINA (-).

-Georgia State is 1-1 on the season with their win coming against Brewton-Parker; class jump
-offense is shooting 44.1% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow 47.6% shooting
-Panthers defense gave up 84 points on 47.2% shooting from the field in their road loss

-Duke is a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS so far this season; expect another easy blowout win tonight

-offense is shooting 49.3% from the field vs. defenses that allow 43.3% shooting from the field

-Blue Devils allow just 58.3 points per game vs. offenses that average 68.6 points per game

10* Play DUKE (-).

-Wisconsin Green Bay was waxed in their lone road game vs. Purdue; another blowout loss
-offense is shooting just 46.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 49.6% shooting
-Phoenix defense gave up 79 points on 50.8% shooting from the field in their lone road game

-New Mexico is already 2-0 on the season after 2 blowout wins over inferior teams; same here 

-offense is averaging 94.5 points per game on an incredible 60.0% shooting from the field

-Lobos defense is allowing 34.0% shooting from 3 vs. offenses that are shooting 36.6% from 3

9* Play NEW MEXICO (-).

-Denver has one of the youngest teams in all of college basketball; just 2 upperclassmen; 1 senior
-offense will struggle early on: “It will be rough at times,” said Jase Townsend; bad matchup
-Pioneers defense gave up 74 points on 46% shooting from the field in their lone road game

-Utah State returned 4 of their 5 starters from last year’s 28-win team; 2-0 already this season

-offense has picked up right where they left off last season; they’ve scored 89 and 81 points

-Aggies defense has allowed just 53.5 points per game on 33% shooting from the field so far

9* Play UTAH STATE (-).

-Texas Tech has been ultra impressive in the tournament; meet their defensive equal here
-offense averaged 3.5 points per game less on the road; facing one of the best defenses tonight
-Red Raiders defense allows 32% (#176 overall) of points scored to come from 3; bad matchup

-Virginia didn’t take full advantage of their matchup edge vs. Auburn; lucky win; undervalued
-offense is shooting 39.3% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.1% shooting from three  
-Cavaliers defense allows 55.5 points per game vs. offenses that average 73 points per game   

10* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Texas Tech has been the most impressive team in the tournament; confidence and momentum
-offense is shooting 47.1% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.8% shooting from the field
-Red Raiders defense allows 59 points per game vs. offenses that average 73 points per game

-Michigan State had an easy path prior to their last game against Duke; another tough out here
-offense faced four mediocre defensive teams; now they are facing one of the best in the country
-Spartans defense is also terrific, but they had the pace edge in every tournament game; not here 

10* Play TEXAS TECH (+).

-Auburn needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; not happening tonight; bad matchup
-offense is shooting just 43.5% from the field on the road; facing one of the best defenses here
-Tigers defense allows 35.5% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.4% from 3 

-Virginia plays at an extremely slow pace; they grind teams in the half court; excel vs. fast teams
-offense is shooting 39.4% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.1% shooting from three  
-Cavaliers defense allows 55.4 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.8 points per game   

9* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Michigan State has been dominant in their tournament games; terrific in the half court as well
-offense is shooting 39.4% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 33.3% shooting from 3
-Spartans allow 37.8% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 44.2% from the field

-Duke needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; won’t be easy to dictate pace in this game
-offense is shooting 27.1% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow 32.9% shooting from 3
-Blue Devils defense was worse on the road this season; allowing 4.1 points per game more

10* Play MICHIGAN STATE (+).

-Auburn has been quite impressive throughout this tournament; expect another solid game here
-offense is shooting 38.1% from three vs. defenses that allow just 33.7% shooting from three
-Tigers defense allows 68.8 points per game vs. defenses that average 73.2 points per game

-Kentucky won their last 2 games in the final minute; team is now overvalued here by a 2 points 
-offense is shooting 34.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.2% shooting from 3
-Wildcats defense has been worse away from home this season; allow 3.2 points per game more 

9* Play AUBURN (+).

-Texas Tech comes in off an ultra-impressive win over Michigan; confidence and momentum
-offense is shooting 47.2% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting from the field
-Red Raiders defense allows 58.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.6 points per game

-Gonzaga has had an easy path to the Elite 8; every win by 12 points or more; big jump in class  
-offense faced three mediocre defensive teams; now they are facing one of the best in the country
-Bulldogs defense has been worse away from home this year; allowing 5.1 points per game more 

10* Play TEXAS TECH (+).

-Houston quietly went 31-3 during the regular season; impressive in the tournament so far too
-offense is shooting 36.5% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow just 33.6% shooting from 3
-Cougars defense allows 60.7 points per game on the road vs. defenses that average 72 ppg

-Kentucky is a very young team, and may be without their starting center; bad pace matchup here
-offense is shooting 34.2% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that give up 34.1% shooting from 3
-Wildcats defense has been worse away from home this season; allow 3.1 points per game more 

9* Play HOUSTON (+).

-Virginia Tech plays at a slow pace, so the matchup here is good; beat Duke 77-72 last month
-offense is shooting 39.5% from three vs. defenses that give up 33.2% shooting from three  
-Hokies defense allows 61.7 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.1 points per game   

-Duke needs to play at a fast pace to be at their best; won’t be easy to dictate pace tonight
-offense is shooting 30.7% from three vs. defenses that allow just 32.9% shooting from three
-Blue Devils defense was worse on the road this season; allowing 4 points per game more

10* Play VIRGINIA TECH (+).

-Oregon took advantage of 2 easy matchups to reach the Sweet 16; stepping way up in class now
-offense averages 66.4 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 71.5 points per game
-Ducks defense faced inefficient offenses throughout the season in the Pac 12; skewed numbers 

-Virginia has yet to play 48 minutes of their best basketball in this tournament; happens tonight
-offense is shooting 40.1% from three vs. defenses that allow just 33.1% shooting from three
-Cavaliers allowing just 55 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.9 points per game  

10* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Florida State comes in off one of their best games of the season; regression off that blowout win
-offense is shooting 43% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.3% shooting
-Seminoles defense hasn’t faced many fast-paced teams; allow 70 points or more when they do

-Gonzaga had a tough matchup with an undervalued Baylor team; easier matchup here; blowout 
-offense is shooting 52.5% from the field on the road vs. defenses that allow just 44% shooting
-Bulldogs defense allows 30.5% shooting from three vs. defenses that shoot 34.9% from three

9* Play GONZAGA (-).

-Ohio State was a surprise to make the tournament; win over Iowa State was an upset; run ends 
-offense is shooting 39.7% from the field on the road vs. defenses that give up 42.5% shooting
-Buckeyes defense held a negative efficiency rating in conference play this season; bad sign

-Houston quietly went 31-3 during the regular season; easy win over Georgia State; momentum 
-offense is shooting 37% from 3 on the road vs. defenses that allow just 33.6% shooting from 3
-Cougars defense allows 60.9 points per game on the road vs. defenses that average 72.2 ppg

10* Play HOUSTON (-).

-Oklahoma took advantage of an easy matchup on Friday; stepping way up in class for this game
-offense needs to play at a fast pace; not happening here; 3-8 SU when held to less than 70 points
-Sooners defense allows 34.8% shooting from 3 on the road vs. offenses that shoot 34.6% from 3 

-Virginia was terrible in the first half on Friday; they dominated the second half; blowout here
-offense is shooting 40.5% from three vs. defenses that allow just 33.1% shooting from three
-Cavaliers allowing just 55.1 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.9 points per game  

9* Play VIRGINIA (-).

-Texas Tech has the goods to make a deep run in this tournament; great pace matchup here 
-offense is shooting 47.3% from the field vs. defenses that give up 42.9% shooting from the field
-Red Raiders allow just 59.2 points per game vs. offenses that average 72.3 points per game

-Buffalo needs to play as fast as possible to be their best; not going to happen here; bad matchup
-offense has faced a terrible collection of defenses that allow 71.3 points per game; class jump
-Bulls allow 74.3 points per game on the road vs. offenses that average 72.5 points per game

9* Play TEXAS TECH (-).

-Iowa rallied in the second half to beat Cincinnati on Friday; unlikely they can repeat that effort
-offense shot 54.7% (29-53) from the field and 50% from three (11-22) in that game; regression
-Hawkeyes allow 46.1% shooting from the field on the road vs. offenses that shoot 43.8%

-Tennessee struggled a bit with Colgate; that wasn’t unexpected; better matchup for a big win
-offense is shooting 49.6% from the field vs. defenses that give up 43.1% shooting from the field
-Vols defense allowing 40% shooting from the field vs. offenses that shoot 43.8% from the field

9* Play TENNESSEE (-).