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Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
10-24-18	Nets v. Cavs OVER 227	Top	102-86	Loss	-107	3 h 28 m	Show
Strictly a very strong situational play for tonight which is 244-143-8 to the over. Make the play on the over.
10-22-18	Pacers v. Wolves OVER 226	Top	91-101	Loss	-101	11 h 58 m	Show
Scoring and pace of the game is soaring early this season with the average total posted by odds makers at 218.5 which is the highest average in 23 years of data I have. The odds makers having trouble keeping up as 27 of the 39 NBA games played have averaged 226.6ppg. Minnesota opponents squeezing off 95 shots a game and their 3 games have averaged 250 points. Indiana joining in with a 244 point combined total last time out vs Brooklyn. A 400 game sample size situation active here on the over as well at 59%. Make the play on the over.
10-19-18	Kings v. Pelicans OVER 230	Top	129-149	Win	100	11 h 41 m	Show
The NBA is underway and today in the newsletter we will take a look and see if we can answer the question does a pair of teams off a high scoring game serve as a breeding ground for another high scoring game? Universally speaking I would tend to think no, nit in the case I am about to present the answer is a resounding yes. Let's jump right in and take a look at the parameters: 1) Road team is off a game where both teams combined for more than 225 points. 2) Home team is off a game where both teams combined for more than 235 points. 3) The total is less than 232. (oddsmakers have not adjusted enough). When all of the above is met these teams have played to a record of: 132-65-4 O/U That is 200+ games with a win rate of 67%! Tonight consider a play on Sacramento/New Orleans over the total
05-02-18	Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 207	Top	116-108	Loss	-115	10 h 59 m	Show
The Houston Rockets have taken a 1-0 series lead over the Utah Jazz. The game was a lot more competitive than it appeared, as Houston shot 40% from inside the arc, but 53.3% from the arc and beyond. When Houston hits 53% from deep they will win, as the Rockets are 15-0 SU on the season when shooting better than 42.5% from deep, and 13-2 ATS. Perhaps the key component here is the fact that is just 15 times out of 88 games, or just 17% of all games. Houston had 6 of 7 players that attempted a 3 shoot 50% or better. Utah got the pace of the game they wanted, as the game saw just 158 shots attempted. Just 12 of the 50 playoff games thus far have seen less than 160 shots taken. Houston does not have nearly the same offensive success as totals indicate, when in a game vs a good defender such as Utah, and a lower total. The Rockets are 4-21 O/U the last 2 years when the total is 215.5 or less. (2-13 O/U this year), and have played 10 straight to the under. These 26 games have failed to reach the posted total by -8.64ppg. The public sees the 3 happy Rockets explosive offense, and rather low total, and have weighed in at 70%+ on the over. Make the play on the under.
04-27-18	Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 204.5	Top	87-121	Loss	-110	11 h 54 m	Show
This one comes down to a very strong situation. Play te under in a playoff game, if a team has 3 series wins (a close out game), if each of the last 2 games played under the total, and their opponent has at least 1 series win, if the total is less than 206. These teams are 56-17 to the under. If they are less than a 7 seed vs an opponent that is .500 or better, they are 51-12 to the under. Make the play on the under.
04-24-18	Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 205	Top	91-99	Win	100	9 h 44 m	Show
While I believe this total shows just a half point to a point in value, as long as the value is neutral or positive, the situations are huge, for the under. The Wrriors simply play at a different pace, and are somewhat easier to guard without Curry on the floor. They have averaged 118.9ppg with him this year, and 105.1ppg without him. Moreover the Warriors shoot 51.8% as a team with him, and 41.1% from 3, but just 48.2% without him, and 35.8% from deep. The Spurs shoot 47.2% at home and just 35.9% from deep, on the road they are 44%, and 34.9%, and average less than 100ppg. Warriors are 14-29 O/U in their last 43 playoff games at home, covering by 6.69ppg. Playoff double-digit home favorites are 22-48 O/U to a total of greater than 188, (14-33 O/U if round 1). Make the play on the under.
04-10-18	Suns v. Mavs OVER 208	Top	124-97	Win	100	7 h 36 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 33-6 ATS, and the play is on the over.
04-09-18	Pelicans v. Clippers OVER 224	Top	113-100	Loss	-105	12 h 33 m	Show
While the LA Clippers have played themselves out of the playoffs, the New Orleans Pelicans can still host an opening round playoff game. New Orleans has been on the go offensively scoring over 120 points in each of their last 3, and in their last 21 games this season, as a favorite of -2.5 or more, they are 17-4 to the over piling up an average of 119.1ppg, and allow over 110. The Clippers have allowed over 120ppg average in their last 3, and high scoring Denver hung a 134 on them here last time out. This game fits a situation that is based on certain teams, both off very high scoring games which is 101-46-4 to the over. MY NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH IS ON THE OVER.
04-06-18	Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 209	Top	73-92	Win	100	8 h 17 m	Show
This game fits a situation tat is 262-138 ATS, and the play is on the under.
04-05-18	Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 224.5	Top	96-100	Win	100	10 h 46 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 192-121 ATS, and the play is on the under.
04-05-18	Nets v. Bucks UNDER 220	Top	119-111	Loss	-101	7 h 17 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 243-194 ATS, and the play is on the under.
04-04-18	Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 206	Top	78-96	Win	100	10 h 33 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 191-121 ATS, and the play is on the under.
04-03-18	Pacers v. Nuggets OVER 215.5	Top	104-107	Loss	-105	12 h 23 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 80-54 ATS and the play is on the over.
04-03-18	Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 207.5	Top	102-106	Loss	-105	11 h 24 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 259-138 ATS and the play is on the under.
04-01-18	Bucks v. Nuggets OVER 225	Top	125-128	Win	100	11 h 19 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 109-41 ATS and the play is on the over.
03-29-18	Bulls v. Heat UNDER 210	Top	92-103	Win	100	10 h 39 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 37-4 ATS, and the play is on the under.
03-28-18	Nets v. Magic UNDER 216.5	Top	111-104	Win	100	8 h 24 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 73-41 ATS, and the play is on the under.
03-28-18	Knicks v. 76ers OVER 221	Top	101-118	Loss	-105	8 h 23 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 237-129 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-27-18	Nuggets v. Raptors OVER 226	Top	110-114	Loss	-100	10 h 27 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 79-52 ATS and the play is on the over.
03-25-18	Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 216.5	Top	108-105	Win	100	9 h 4 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 189-119 ATS, and the play is on the under.
03-23-18	Bucks v. Bulls OVER 216.5	Top	118-105	Win	100	11 h 55 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 108-41 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-22-18	Hawks v. Kings UNDER 212.5	Top	90-105	Win	100	12 h 58 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 72-41 ATS, and the play is on the under.
03-21-18	Clippers v. Bucks OVER 224.5	Top	127-120	Win	100	9 h 23 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 107-41 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-20-18	Rockets v. Blazers OVER 217.5	Top	115-111	Win	100	10 h 22 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 232-129 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-20-18	Hawks v. Jazz UNDER 207	Top	99-94	Win	100	9 h 54 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 252-138 ATS, and the play is on the under.
03-20-18	Clippers v. Wolves OVER 226.5	Top	109-123	Win	100	8 h 53 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 76-52 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-19-18	Grizzlies v. Nets UNDER 212	Top	115-118	Loss	-110	10 h 46 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 71-39 ATS and the play is on the under.
03-19-18	Hornets v. 76ers OVER 222.5	Top	94-108	Loss	-104	9 h 15 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 232-123 ATS and the play is on the over.
03-17-18	Mavs v. Nets OVER 213.5	Top	106-114	Win	100	10 h 43 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 103-40 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-17-18	Hornets v. Knicks OVER 220.5	Top	101-124	Win	100	10 h 43 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 226-128 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-17-18	Hawks v. Bucks OVER 215.5	Top	117-122	Win	100	8 h 14 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 103-40 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-16-18	Celtics v. Magic OVER 205	Top	92-83	Loss	-110	9 h 31 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 506-353 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-15-18	Cavs v. Blazers OVER 222	Top	105-113	Loss	-105	12 h 13 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 71-44 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-13-18	Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 231	Top	103-112	Loss	-107	14 h 40 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 224-125 ATS, and the play is on the over
03-13-18	Cavs v. Suns OVER 230	Top	129-107	Win	100	13 h 10 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 224-125 ATS, and the play is on the over
03-10-18	Magic v. Clippers UNDER 218.5	Top	105-113	Win	100	14 h 51 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 84-38 ATS, and the play is on the under.
03-10-18	Spurs v. Thunder OVER 210	Top	94-104	Loss	-104	12 h 52 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 87-49 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-10-18	North Carolina v. Virginia UNDER 128	Top	63-71	Loss	-106	10 h 6 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 83-41 ATS, and the play is on the under
03-10-18	Suns v. Hornets UNDER 218	Top	115-122	Loss	-110	8 h 20 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 84-38 ATS, and the play is on the under.
03-09-18	Knicks v. Bucks UNDER 213.5	Top	112-120	Loss	-105	11 h 46 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 84-37 ATS and the play is on the under.
03-09-18	Rockets v. Raptors UNDER 220.5	Top	105-108	Win	100	10 h 16 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 71-39 ATS and the play is on the under.
03-09-18	Bulls v. Pistons OVER 212.5	Top	83-99	Loss	-102	10 h 47 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 103-38 ATS and the play is on the over.
03-08-18	Akron v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 134	Top	58-67	Win	100	12 h 46 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 23-3 ATS, and the play is on the under.
03-08-18	Suns v. Thunder UNDER 228	Top	87-115	Win	100	11 h 15 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 83-36 ATS, and the play is on the under
03-08-18	76ers v. Heat OVER 208.5	Top	99-108	Loss	-113	11 h 46 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 506-350 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-08-18	Nets v. Hornets UNDER 218	Top	125-111	Loss	-110	10 h 15 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 83-36 ATS, and the play is on the under
03-07-18	Colorado State v. Utah State UNDER 146	Top	65-76	Win	100	7 h 44 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 56-19 ATS, and the play is on the under.
03-07-18	Arkansas-Little Rock v. Appalachian State UNDER 133	Top	64-93	Loss	-105	5 h 8 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 29-5 ATS, and the play is on the under.
03-06-18	Pelicans v. Clippers UNDER 237	Top	121-116	Push	0	13 h 24 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 133-88 ATS, and the play is on the under.
03-06-18	Nuggets v. Mavs OVER 219	Top	107-118	Win	100	11 h 25 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 222-123 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-06-18	Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 222.5	Top	122-112	Loss	-110	11 h 4 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 133-88 ATS, and the play is on the under.
03-05-18	BYU v. St. Mary's UNDER 136.5	Top	85-72	Loss	-110	12 h 36 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 248-132 ATS and the play is on the under.
03-05-18	NC-Wilmington v. Northeastern UNDER 151.5	Top	52-79	Win	100	9 h 31 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 104-45 ATS and the play is on the under.
03-05-18	Celtics v. Bulls OVER 214.5	Top	105-89	Loss	-107	9 h 48 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 86-47 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-05-18	Suns v. Heat OVER 217.5	Top	103-125	Win	100	8 h 18 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 86-47 ATS, and the play is on the over.
03-05-18	Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 209.5	Top	89-92	Win	100	8 h 49 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 248-138 ATS, and the play is on the under.
03-05-18	Northern Illinois v. Kent State OVER 145.5	Top	59-61	Loss	-105	7 h 7 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 32-6 ATS and the play is on the over.
03-05-18	Ohio v. Miami-OH OVER 140	Top	55-68	Loss	-105	7 h 7 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 32-6 ATS and the play is on the over.
03-05-18	Delaware State v. North Carolina A&T UNDER 138	Top	61-62	Win	100	6 h 30 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 105-50 ATS and the play is on the under.
03-04-18	76ers v. Bucks UNDER 208	Top	110-118	Loss	-105	10 h 13 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 316-183 ATS and the play is on the under.
03-04-18	Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 223	Top	126-109	Loss	-102	9 h 12 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 316-183 ATS and the play is on the under.
03-04-18	Pacers v. Wizards UNDER 209.5	Top	98-95	Win	100	8 h 13 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 316-183 ATS and the play is on the under.
02-27-18	Kings v. Blazers UNDER 210.5	Top	99-116	Loss	-105	15 h 7 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 132-85 ATS and the play is on the under.
02-25-18	Rockets v. Nuggets UNDER 228	Top	119-114	Loss	-105	12 h 23 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 310-177 ATS and the play is on the under.
02-25-18	Pelicans v. Bucks OVER 222.5	Top	123-121	Win	100	7 h 22 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 219-123 ATS and the play is on the over.
02-24-18	Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 205.5	Top	90-97	Win	100	14 h 32 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 244-137 ATS and the play is on the under.
02-24-18	Bulls v. Wolves OVER 219	Top	104-122	Win	100	14 h 30 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 84-46 ATS and the play is on the over.
02-24-18	Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 208	Top	121-112	Loss	-110	12 h 7 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 244-137 ATS and the play is on the under.
02-24-18	Grizzlies v. Heat OVER 195	Top	89-115	Win	100	12 h 1 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 33-5 ATS and the play is on the over.
02-23-18	Wolves v. Rockets OVER 226.5	Top	102-120	Loss	-110	8 h 48 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 108-67 ATS, and the play is on the over.
02-22-18	76ers v. Bulls UNDER 214	Top	116-115	Loss	-102	10 h 22 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 131-82 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-18-18	Loyola-Chicago v. Evansville UNDER 127.5	Top	76-66	Loss	-105	6 h 31 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 78-33 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-15-18	Lakers v. Wolves OVER 226	Top	111-119	Win	100	9 h 13 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 216-123 ATS, and the play is on the over.
02-14-18	Suns v. Jazz UNDER 209.5	Top	97-107	Win	100	11 h 48 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 130-81 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-14-18	Raptors v. Bulls UNDER 217	Top	122-98	Loss	-105	11 h 2 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 130-81 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-14-18	Wizards v. Knicks UNDER 208	Top	118-113	Loss	-109	11 h 32 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 242-137 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-13-18	Virginia v. Miami-FL UNDER 119.5	Top	59-50	Win	100	8 h 52 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 113-57 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-13-18	Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 209.5	Top	92-97	Win	100	7 h 58 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 241-137 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-12-18	Pelicans v. Pistons OVER 220	Top	118-103	Win	100	7 h 9 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 504-350 ATS, and the play is on the over.
02-12-18	Knicks v. 76ers UNDER 211.5	Top	92-108	Win	100	7 h 31 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 240-137 ATS, and the play is on the under. (Sorry for the confusion, I made a mistake on the last entry).
02-11-18	Mavs v. Rockets OVER 218.5	Top	97-104	Loss	-105	11 h 13 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 216-122 ATS, and the play is on the over.
02-11-18	Pistons v. Hawks UNDER 210.5	Top	115-118	Loss	-107	8 h 42 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 310-175 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-11-18	Raptors v. Hornets UNDER 215.5	Top	123-103	Loss	-100	5 h 13 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 310-175 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-10-18	Virginia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 130.5	Top	61-60	Win	100	10 h 46 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 113-57 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-07-18	Jazz v. Grizzlies UNDER 202	Top	92-88	Win	100	10 h 19 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 239-134 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-07-18	Nets v. Pistons UNDER 209.5	Top	106-115	Loss	-105	9 h 20 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 239-134 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-07-18	Virginia v. Florida State UNDER 130.5	Top	59-55	Win	100	9 h 9 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 113-61 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-06-18	Grizzlies v. Hawks UNDER 204.5	Top	82-108	Win	100	6 h 38 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 238-134 ATS and the play is on the under.
02-04-18	Lakers v. Thunder UNDER 218.5	Top	108-104	Win	100	5 h 6 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 127-81 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-04-18	Bucks v. Nets UNDER 209	Top	109-94	Win	100	3 h 7 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 236-134 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-04-18	Grizzlies v. Raptors UNDER 208	Top	86-101	Win	100	3 h 6 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 236-134 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-04-18	Blazers v. Celtics OVER 202	Top	96-97	Loss	-110	3 h 5 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 504-349 ATS, and the play is on the over.
02-03-18	Warriors v. Nuggets UNDER 230	Top	108-115	Win	100	11 h 56 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 232-106 ATS, and the play is on the under.
02-02-18	Blazers v. Raptors OVER 214.5	Top	105-130	Win	100	5 h 21 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 503-349 ATS and the play is on the over.
02-02-18	Lakers v. Nets UNDER 217.5	Top	102-99	Win	100	5 h 19 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 68-39 ATS and the play is on the under.
01-31-18	Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 208	Top	73-103	Win	100	11 h 31 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 313-197 ATS, and the play is on the under.
01-31-18	Grizzlies v. Pacers UNDER 204	Top	101-105	Loss	-108	9 h 26 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 236-132 ATS, and the play is on the under.
01-29-18	Celtics v. Nuggets UNDER 206	Top	111-110	Loss	-110	7 h 23 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 236-131 ATS, and the play is on the under.
01-28-18	Clippers v. Pelicans UNDER 227.5	Top	112-103	Win	100	7 h 13 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 125-81 ATS and the play is on the under.
01-28-18	Bucks v. Bulls UNDER 215	Top	110-96	Win	100	7 h 44 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 556-419 ATS and the play is on the under.