Football Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
09-04-10 | Army v. Eastern Michigan +9.5 | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Big revenge game is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles. Game 184 at 7:00 eastern. Eastern Michigan seeks revenge for a home loss here last year. In an odd occurrence this will be the second straight year the game will be played here. Army and their vaunted ground and pound attack was too much for the Eagles last year as they won the rushing battle 300-40. Even with that big of a margin they only won by 13 points. This year they are double digit favorites in this one. EMU fits a solid system that goes back nearly 30 years and plays on certain home dogs that were winless last year. Army has been terrible as a favorite of more than 7 points. In fact they are just 3-18 ats in this role. Army may have a road win here. However road wins are hard to come by for the Cadets as they have lost 15 of the last 18 on the road. Eastern Michigan won this meeting 2 years ago and should keep this close.
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09-04-10 | San Jose State Spartans v. Alabama Crimson Tide UNDER 51.5 | 3-48 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Off shore steam Under Alabama 51.5
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09-04-10 | UCLA v. Kansas State -1.5 | 22-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NCAAF non conference game is on the Kansas St Wildcats. Game 172 at 3:30 eastern. The Wildcats seek revenge for a 23-9 last year at UCLA. In that game Kansas St was uncharacteristically out rushed 173-69. Things figure to be much easier here for the Wildcats here at home today. UCLA fits a negative long term system that plays against certain road teams in their first roady with a new coach. Kansas St qualifies in a solid 95% system that pertains to teams who have improved their defense by more than one hundred yards and are now taking on a non conference opponent. Kansas St has won 5 of 6 vs the PAC 10 long term. They have won and covered 75% of the time through the years as a short home favorite of 3 or less. UCLA is just 3-14 straight up as an underdog. Look for Kansas St to get their revenge today. Lay the deuce with the Wildcats.
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02-07-10 | New Orleans Saints v. Indianapolis Colts -5.5 | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 263 h 17 m | Show | |
01-24-10 | Minnesota Vikings v. New Orleans Saints OVER 54 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
On Sunday the 16-0 DOUBLE system play is on the OVER in the Minnesota at NO. Saints game at 6:45 eastern. In NFL Conference championship games the total has gone over 9 straight times if the home team is off a win of 2 touchdowns or more and the posted total is 37 or more. In addition games where the total is 51 or more have played to the over 7 straight times since 1991. Look for an up and down game with alittle or no defense as both teams light up the score board tonight. Tkae the over in the NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME.
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01-24-10 | New York Jets v. Indianapolis Colts -7.5 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
On Sunday the 68-6 Conference Championship angle is on the Indy Colts at 3:00 eastern. The Colts fall into an incredible 4 systems here today. Lets break some of them down. What we want to do is play on home team in Conference Championship games off an ats win vs an opponents who is off a win and cover and allowed 10 or more points. This system has cashed 19 of the last 21 times. The Colts also fit another deadly system indicator that plays on Playoff teams that won 13 or more games this year and 1 or more games last year. These teams are 39-4 straight up and 33-8-2 ats. The Colts will want this one badly after all the heat they took for blowing the perfect season at home against the Jets in week 16. The whole city was upset after that loss calling the game a forfeit. The Colts will make amends for this game. Another benefit for the P. Manning and the Colts is having seen the Jets defense already this season. Every team playing the Jets for a second time has been more productive in the second go around. The Colts defense does not get nearly the credit they deserve and may very well shut the Jets vaunted ground attack down. It will be very difficult for the Jets to win a third straight road game against a winning team in as many weeks. There is a reason why its only happened 1 or 2 times. It will be very difficult against a battle tested Colts team that may win this game much easier than expected. Consider that since 1973 in 74 Conference championship games the spread has only come into play 6 times. When favorites win these games they very rarely fail ats. Look for a solid win and cover for the Colts here today. Lay the points.
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01-17-10 | New York Jets v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 42.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Big totals play is on the Under in the NY.Jets at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 115/116 at 4:40 eastern. The Jets have the # 1 defense this year and lead many defensive categories. They allow a shade over 13 points per game this season. SD has made a habit of scoring 20 or more points in their games. Today if they get 20 it will be the toughest points they score all year. They have not faced a blitzing,scheming defense like this all season. The Jets on offense are the leading rushing team. So they will do what they can to burn the clock and keep the game close. They will not score much either against a SD defense that knows exactly what's coming and have had the extra week to prepare for it. Look for a low scoring ,boring affair here today. Take the Under 42 in the Jets at Chargers game.
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01-17-10 | Dallas Cowboys +3 v. Minnesota Vikings | 3-34 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
On Sunday the 5 star NFL system play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 113 at 1:00 eastern. Americas team comes in to this as the ' HOT LIKE WOW" team. They have allowed 14 points the last 3 weeks combined. Based on that bruising defense comes this top notch playoff system. What we want to do is play on playoff underdogs that allowed 17 or less points in back to back games vs an opponent who scored 30 or more points in their last game. This system has cashed 22 of the last 27 times. The Cowboys have been clicking on all cylinders of late and will be tough for anyone to stop. The Vikings come in here off the bye week and an impressive win prior to that against a down trodden Giants team. The Vikings will not have an easy time scoring here today. The Dallas defense will be in Favres face all day and may force some poor decisions. Take the points here and wait until game time so you can get 3 points or buy up to 3 if you have to.
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01-16-10 | Baltimore Ravens v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 44 | 3-20 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Ravens at Colts Simulator total is on the over 44 points. Through 3 different statistical simulations this one played over all 3 times with an average 47 points. Take the Over here tonight.
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01-16-10 | Arizona Cardinals v. New Orleans Saints -7 | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
On Saturday the BIG NFL play is on the NO.Saints. Game 110 at 4:30 eastern. This game fits 2 big systems that I use to deterine the outcomes of playoff games. Lets take a look at one of the aplications here today. What we want ot do is plays against playoff road dogs in a certain range if they are coming in off a home dog win and lost their previous game. These road teams lay an egg in this spot failing to cover every time since 1980. Better yet is that these games are not even close. Home teams in this spot are winning by over 15 points per game. The Saints also fit a tight system that pertains to #1 seeds off back to back spread losses. The Saints are ready and will take on an Arizona defense that may get tired early after their second half debacle agains the Packers. Playoff teams who won and allowed 28 or more points are poor investments in the Playoffs. Look for the Saints to come out firing on all cylinders and put an end to the Arizona season. Lay 7 the points with New Orleans.
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01-10-10 | Green Bay Packers v. Arizona Cardinals +2 | 45-51 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Big 14-0 system play is on Arizona. Game 108 at 4:40 eastern. Arizona qualifies in a solid system that plays on wild card home teams off a straight up home loss vs a non divisional team. These home teams bounce back in a big way. The Cardinals also qualify in a big right back revenge system due to their loss last week vs The Packers. Green Bay won here last week with most of the Cardinals starters resting. They also did very well in the 3rd pre season game against the Cards a game in which starters played 3 quarters. The Packers really have the Cardinals attention here. The Public has moved the line from the Cardinals -2.5 to a 1.5 dog. This is fine with me. Look for the NFC defending champs to surprise every one once again as their extra time in the film room provides big dividends. Take Arizona today.
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01-09-10 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 45 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Big NFL playoff totals play is on the Over in the Dallas and Philly game at 8:00 eastern. Right back revenge games have gone over 9 of 11 times since 1978. The Eagles were stymied last week at Dallas and have a lot of soul searching to do. They will be vastly improved here and put up points vs a Dallas defense that has back to back shut outs. Dallas may be a little too over confident due to their recent success. This game looks like and up and down the field affair. Take the over tonight. Take the Over 45 points
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01-09-10 | New York Jets v. Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 | Top | 24-14 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
On Saturday the 100% triple system NFL wildcard play is on the Cincinnati Bengals. Game 102 at 4:30 eastern. The Bengals are the beneficiaries of some solid systems that play against the Jets here today. What we want to do is play against certain playoff teams that are off a shutout win of 27-0 or better. This system is very rare. However it has covered 100% of the time since 1978. The Jets ironically fell into this system against Oakland a few years back and needless to say lost by 20 points. Home team with a total of 35 or less also do very well in the playoffs. This game is a right back revenger for the Bengals as they lost last week in New York and had to listen to how badly they played all week. The Jets may have an excellent defense. However the Bengals have an excellent run defense that will not be shelled by the Jets running attack 2 weeks in a row. There will be no surprises from B. Smith either. The Jets may have opened the playbook trying to get there. The Bengals will be the ones with the tricks up their sleeves. The Odds makers are reacting to the recent success of road team the past few years after a long playoff dominance by homers. This perhaps is why the line is so low here. Take the Bengals here as there are just too many reasons and systems for them to cash here.
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01-07-10 | Texas v. Alabama -4 | 21-37 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
On Thursday the National championship perfect angle play is on Alabama. Game 268 at 8:35 eastern. Alabama has the better rush offense in this one. In Championship games over the last 11 years the team who has rushed for more yards than their opponent has won and covered the last 11 games. Alabam has beaten arguably the best team in the nation at the time in Florida. They play in the best conference in college football in the SEC. Texas has not faced the same level of competiton and their toughest game of the season against Oklahoma was a close game despite the Sooners playing without their starting Qb. The Crimson Tide are 4-0 as a neutral favorite in this range and have won 26 of 30 times as a favorite. In the only other SEC VS BIG 12 matchup we cashed big with Ole Miss over Ok.State. This to me is a positive conference indicator for conference play to me. Similarly the Big 10 teams beat the ACC teams in both games this bowl season. I feel these 2 conferences will follow suit. Look for Alabama to get the cash tonight.
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01-04-10 | Boise St +7 v. TCU | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
On Monday the 24-2 bowl system play is on Boise.St. Game 261 at 8:10 eastern. TCU is the play against in this system which pertains to Their 3 wins and Boise State off an ats loss. The Broncos are great on turf with a 9-0 record. They are 10-1 vs the Mountain West Conference. When they play winning teams they have an astounding 34-9 record. Best of all they play with revenge from last years 17-16 loss to these same Horned Frogs. Add in the fact they are getting very little respect for an undefeated team and you have a motivated team who is looking to win. Take Boise
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01-03-10 | Washington Redskins +3 v. San Diego Chargers | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Big 5 star play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 329 at 4:15 eastern. The line has come down somewhat in this game. The Chargers may be resting some key people in this one as they have the #2 seed wrapped up. The Skins fits 2 solid systems that date back to 1980. What we want to do is play on certain road teams off a shut out loss in non conference games. This Power system gets even stronger if our team failed to cover the game prior to the shut out. Many of these road dogs win the game outright. For whatever reason the Redskins have played much tougher football in road games this year than they have at home. The dog in their road games has covered 5 of the 7 games. I look for a much improved effort from Washington here and expect them to win the game as a small dog.
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01-03-10 | Chicago Bears v. Detroit Lions +3.5 | 37-23 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
On Sunday the 17-1 Power angle play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 310 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions may do to the Bears what the Bears did to the Vikings on Monday night. Win a game no one thinks they can win. The Lions are 8-0 ats as a home dog vs less than .500 teams in division play. Chicago is 0-9 ats on the road if they are less than .500 and are playing an opponent who has revenge. GOT SYSTEMS? This game fits my Loser bowl week 17 system that plays dogs of less than 7 points in the final game if both teams have won less than 8 games. The Lions also fit the Sweet sub set which applies to teams who have won 6 or less on the season. Lions and Tigers and bears oh yeah. Lions roar today. IF oyu like this game wait till you see the 17-1 NBA total system of the month and the 2 big 5 star NFL system bombs on Sundays card.
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01-03-10 | Atlanta Falcons -1 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
On Sunday big system play is on Atlanta. Game 321 at 1:00 eastern. The Bucs fit a negative system here today that plays against certain home teams off a road dog win at +10 or more last week. These over achieving homers come home and lay an egg of the big upset win Tamp actually fits 2 systems based on this premise. Atlanta is a better team and laying less than 2 points here is very attractive. Take Atlanta today.
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01-02-10 | Mississippi -3 v. Oklahoma State | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
Big Bowl system play on Ole Miss.
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01-01-10 | Cincinnati +13 v. Florida | 24-51 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
On Friday the NBA system play is on the Orlando Magic. Game 703 at 8:05 eastern. Orlando qualifies in the above system which plays on road favorites of -5 or more off a home game and scored 100 or more, if they had 3 or more days rest prior to their last game. and the opponent which is Minnesota in this case is coming off a home game. This system has cashed 6 of 7 times winning by an average 13 points per game. The Magic won here last year 118-94 and have cashed 6 of the last 7 times vs an opponent that allows more than 99 points per game and are 15-5 ats when the total is 200 to 205. The Timberwolves are a terrible home dog in this range at 3-19 straight up and 6-16 ats. Look for a nice win and cover from Orlando tonight.
On Friday night in the Sugar Bowl our play is on the Cincinatti Bearcats. Game 249 at 8:30 eastern. The line in this game is way to large considering the Bearcats are undefeated. All the hoopla surrounding the departure of U. Meyer has swayed many bettors and a large volume of the public. Cincinatti,however applies to a solid bowl system that plays on certain dogs that are off a win and allowed 30 or more points in the game prior to their bowl appearance. This system has cashed already today with LSU. Florida realizes now that Meyer will be back and that this not the same type of send off that coach Bowden is going through. Florida will have some form of let down as most favored teams do after losing their first game of the season this late in the season. They are no longer playing for a champoinship and find themselves in the same position Alabama found themselves in last year. A heavy favorite taking on an undefeated team that feels slighted by the large line and lack of attention paid to them. We all remember what Utah did to Alabama in that one. While I do not think Cincy will win, I do think that even without coach Kelly they will fiercely competitive. Qb Pike leads a balanced offensive attack that will not be intimidated by the Florida defense. The Gators are just not as good as last years team, that was blowing out everyone in sight. They played alot of inferior teams much closer than expected and benefitted in several late calls at home agaisnt Arkansas a game they may have lost. In closing I think the 13 points it too much to lay to an undefeated team. Take the points here |
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01-01-10 | Ohio State +4.5 v. Oregon | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
Ohio.St game 247 at 5:00 eastern
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01-01-10 | Florida State v. West Virginia -2.5 | 33-21 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
West Virginia Game 224 at 1;00 eastern
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12-31-09 | Tennessee +6 v. Virginia Tech | 14-37 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
On Thursday the 97% Bowl system play is on Tennnessee. Game 239 at 7;30 eastern. The Vols are the beneficiaries of a solid system that plays against VA.Tech here tonight. Another solid angle is to play on SEC teams vs ACC teams as they are 17-5 straight up and 16-3 ats as dogs of 10 or less vs an opponent off a win. The Vols have played top tire talent and have taken Florida to the wire. They will be in this game throughout and may even win the whole game. Take the 6 points here.
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12-31-09 | Navy +7 v. Missouri | Top | 35-13 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
On Thursday the Big Bowl dog is onNavy. Game 229 at 3;30 eastern. Navy Qualifies in 2 solid system today. Lets take a look at one. What we want to do is play against favorites from -1.5 to -8 after December 22nd if they have 43 or less days rest off 3 wins and not off an ats loss of 8 or more intheir last game if our team is not off a shut out win. This system has cashed 21 of 22 time slong term. Navy is another of our rushing dog qualifiers and they are 5-1 on turf and 4-1 vs winning teams. Missouri is 1-4 ats vs winning teams and will get areal good game here. Take Navy and wait till game times for the 7 points. Buy the half if you have to.
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12-30-09 | Bowling Green v. Idaho | 42-43 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the Big Bowl bomb is on Idaho. Game 228 at 4:30 eastern. There are several solid systems that pertain to Idaho and play against Bowling Green here today. Lets take a look at one. What we want to do is play against certain favorites off 3 straight up wins, if they did not lose ats by more than 8 points in their last game and our team is not off a a shut out win. This system is 20-1 going back through the years. MAC teams line Bowling Green have struggled in Bowl games of late going 1-6 ats. The fact that Idaho is playing this game in their home state is also an added advantage. The Idaho offense should have a field day against a beleaguered Bowling Green Defense. Take Idaho here.
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12-29-09 | Wisconsin +4 v. Miami (Florida) | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the College Bowl Game of the month is on the Wisconsin Badgers. Game 225 at 8:00 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play against certain favorites off 3 wins as long as they are not off an ats loss of 8 or more and tonights opponent is NOT off a shut out win. These favorites are 1-20 ats long term. The Badgers are another rushing dog here as they average over 200 yards per game on the ground. Wisky is 12-2 in non conference games and 4-1 vs ACC teams the last few years. Miami is a nice team, however they will have a hard time stopping the Badgers vaunted ground attack here. Take the points in this one.
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12-28-09 | Texas A&M +7 v. Georgia | 20-44 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
On Monday the big 22-1 college bolw system play is on Texas A@M. Game 221 at 5:00 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play against certain favorites like Georgia that won the last bowl game they played in and are NOT off 4 or more favored wins if todays opponent is not off a conference road favorite wn wnd ats loss. The system may seem some what entailed, however it has cashed 22 of 23 times long term. The Aggies are another solid rushing dog. They out rush the Bulldogs by a 190 to 157 and may very well control this game with their solid ground game. Georgia is not nearly as good as in past years and A@M has covered 3 of 4 vs winning teams this season. Take the touchdown here with Texas A@M.
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12-27-09 | Denver Broncos +7 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
On Sunday the big dog play is on the Denver Broncos. Game 121 at 4:15 eastern. The Broncos fit a solid 43-14 system here today that plays on dogs of more than 2 points that are off a favored loss at -7 or more and allowed 27 or less vs an opponent off an ats win. Denver was shocked by Oakland last week as a 14 point favorite. I expect a much better effort vs the Eagles here today. Philly has been a hot team winning and covering easily here last week against the 49 ers. Today they will get a tough test from a solid Denver defense. The line appears to be too high here. Take the Broncos today
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12-27-09 | Buffalo Bills v. Atlanta Falcons -8.5 | Top | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
On Sunday the 7 unit NFL GOY is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 110 at 1:00 eastern. The Falcons qualify in a big blowout system today. What we want to do is play against road dogs of 7 or more, like Buffalo that were home dogs of 7 or more and scored 21 or less in their last game and had 150 or less yards passing, if our team Atlanta in this case scored 14 or less points and had 100 or less yards rushing. This system has cashed all but one time since 1989. What I like most about the system though is the average 29-8 score for home teams that apply to it. I also have a secondary game 15 sandwich system that plays against teams line Buffalo that are off a home game and are on the road in game 15 with the season ending homer on deck. These road sandwich teams have struggled through the years going just 6-20 ats if their opponent is off a win of 10 or less points. Atlanta is 6-1 ats after scoring 10 or less points in their last game and are a perfect 5-0 straight up and ats at home when the total is 38.5 to 42.. The Bills struggled at home last week to score and were able to get a late touchdown to make the score respectable. They do not have much to play for and have rookie Qb Brian Brohm making the start today. With a loud crowd and a good team that has lost their last 2 home games, this will be a real tough spot. The Falcons are a fast team and will be aided by the Dome and the Turf today against a Bills team that should get blown out today. M.Ryan is back and I look for the Falcon offense to be much more potent today. Take the Falcons today.
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12-26-09 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -1.5 | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Double system bowl play is on Pittsburgh. Game 216 at 4:30 eastern. Pitt. Fits 2 solid system here today. Lets take a look at them. What we want to do is play on any team that is off a bowl shut out loss last year. These bowlers have cashed over 70% since 1973. Also of note is that bowl favorites of less than 5 points are 11-1 su and 10-2 ats . The Panthers come in off a pair of disappointing losses at West Virginia and then a heart breaking 45-44 loss at home to Cincinnati. They should rebound here today against an unranked North Carolina team that also come sin off a close 28-27 road favored loss. The Panthers are the better running team in this one and have a veteran offense that should give the Tar heels big problems today. Take Pittsburgh today.
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12-24-09 | SMU v. Nevada OVER 72 | 45-10 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
On Thursday night the lone game on the board we are on the over in the Nevada/SMU game. Rotation numbers 211/12 at 8:00 eastern. Both of these teams play aspread offense and there ill be plenty of scoring tonight. June Jones has SMU playing a similar style of offense that he had when he was with Hawaii. In fact SMU has made one of the biggest single season turn arounds in history as they were 1-11 last year. Nevada is a team that also lights up the score board on a regular basis. As for the system, we want to play the over for certain games where the posted total is 63.5 or more. These higher posted totals have gone over 12 of 13 times and average 82 points per game. Take the over here and wait until game times as this line has gone down to 72 in some spots. This total is now down to 69
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12-23-09 | Utah Utes v. California Golden Bears -2.5 | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the Triple system Bowl game is on the Cal Golden Bears. Game 210 at 8;00 eastern. Cal fits 3 solid systems here today. The line has come down to -3 in this game as Utah has become a very public dog the past 2 days. Favorites of 3 or less even after Oregon St loss last night are still 17-3 su and 16-4 ats. Another sucessful system has been to play the team as a favorite if they have a worse record than their opponent. This systm has cashed big time over the last few years. Finally Utah fits a Sagarin rating fade system here tonight. Most will be fooled by Utah/s great 8-0 bowl record and that they have won 22 of their last 25. Well, they have not won that many against PAC 10 teams. They lost at Oregon earlier in the year and are coming off a dissapointing loss to BYU in their last game. Cal has won the last 3 games vs Mountain West Conference teams and 10 of the last 11 out of conference. They have better rushing numbers than Utah on both sides of the ball and will look to make amends for the blowout loss at Washington. Lets not forget this team cashed as a big 5 star for us winning as a 8 point dog at Stanford earlier this year. Cal has won 6 of their last bowl appearances and should cash us out here tonight. Lay the 3 points.
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12-22-09 | BYU v. Oregon State -2.5 | 44-20 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the 17-2 Bowl system play is on Oregon St. Game 208 at 8:00 eastern. The Beavers apply to a solid system that plays on certain Bowl favorites of -3 or less tonight. Byu applies to a Sagarin fade system that has been effective the last few seasons. OSU is 7-1 vs the Mountain West Conference, 6-2 in all bowls the past few years, and 6-3 on Turf. Byu is 0-3 in games with a +3 to-3 spread and have lost 5 of their last 6 as a dog. Look for the Beavers to bounce back from their civil war loss to Oregon with a nice bolw win here. Byu is coming off a satisfying revenge win over Utah. Take Oregon.St tonight.
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12-21-09 | New York Giants v. Washington Redskins UNDER 43.5 | 45-12 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL double system totals play is on the Under in the Giants at Redskins game. Rotation numbers 321/22 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits 2 solid Monday night totals systems. What we want to do is play the under for Monday night division home dogs if the posted total is 40 or higher. This simple system has cashed 28 of 39 times long term. Another system which has cashed 17 of 21 times is to play the under when you have a road favorite that scored 30 or more in their last game and lost, if the total is 41 or higher. The Giants are coming off a terrible defensive game last Sunday night allowing over 40 points and looking very unorganized. Today they get what they need in a Washington offense that will be hard pressed to duplicate last weeks 30+ point explosion in Oakland. While the Giants will improve on defense the Skins will regrss some on offense. The Giants offense may regress some too as they face a staunch Washington defense that can shut down anyone if they are on their game. Take the Under here tonight in what looks to be a low scoring grind it out type of game.
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12-20-09 | Minnesota Vikings v. Carolina Panthers +9 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the Double system Sunday night POWER play is on Carolina. Game 330 at 8:20 eastern. The Vikings are involved in a great go against system here that dates to the late 70/s. What we wan to do is play against road favorites in the first of back to back road games if they have a monday night game on deck and its vs a division opponent. These road favorites are 4-25 ats. The Vikes also qualify in another neagative system that plays on non division road favorites of -6.5 or more off a win of 20 or more and scored less than 42 points vs an opponent who did not lose by 20 or more in their last game. This system has cashed 24 of 34 times over the years. The Panthers are 4-0 ats this year vs winning teams and have covered 8 of 10 times in December. Whe installed as home dogs in this range they have covered all 5 times. Take Carolina
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12-20-09 | New England Patriots v. Buffalo Bills +7 | 17-10 | Push | 0 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Dog of the week is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 310 at 1:00 eastern. The Patriots fit a negative system here that plays against road favorites that come in off a home favored win and ats loss, taking on an opponent off a road win. These over valued road teams are just 3-20 ats. This game will likely be played in inclement weather which may slow down the Patriots more than the Bills. The Pats are 1-4 ats on the road this year, and have lost ats in 4 of the 5 division games they have played. The Bills have covered 2 of their 3 games against winning teams this year. In the first meeting between these teams the Bills blew a big lead and lost 25-24. Today they take 7 points from a struggling team. Buffalo is the play.
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12-20-09 | Houston Texans v. St. Louis Rams +14 | Top | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
On Sunday the 100% NFL Double system play is on the St.Louis Rams. Game 322 a 1:00 eastern. The Rams fit this huge system that has cashed twice already this season. What we want to do is play against certain road favorites off a home win vs an opponent off a road dog loss and a prior road loss. These road favs are 0-14 ats since 1908. Also we want to play on and home dog that scored 7 or less in their last game if they started the season 0-4 or worse. This system has cashed 32 of 43 times long term. The Rams may have their 3rd string Qb today. However that will not scare us off as the line has eleavted to 14 points which more than compensates for the switch. Look for The Rams to come out and be competitive in this one. Take the Rams.
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12-19-09 | Central Florida v. Rutgers -2.5 | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
In College bowl action tonight our play is on Rutgers. Game 203 at 8:00 eastern. Rutgers qualifies in a tight system today that plays on neutral favorites of less than 5 with rest if they come in off a home favored loss. This system is 10-1 su and 9-2 ats going back through the years. Rutgers will rebound from their home loss to West Virginia as they have won 7 of the last 9 off a loss, are 12-4 vs non conference teams, 4-1 with rest and thye have won 3 of 4 times vs Conference USA and when the line is -3 to +3. Central Florida on the other hand comes in off a very satisfying revenge dog win over UAB. When they play Big East teams they are 0-13. This game is played on Turf and they have lost 20 of 26 times on the fake stuff. When Central Florida has rest they are 0-5. Take Rutgers here tonight.
The Bonus NFL play is on the Saints tonight in NFL action. The Saints fit several solid trends tonight. They are 7-1 and 5-2 ats at home when the total is 49 or more, 4-0 covering 3 times vs winning teams this year,6-0 and 5-1 ats vs Dallas in the series and are winning by an average 36-21 at home this year. Dallas is just 1-9 ats in the month of December the past few years and 2-8 and 3-7 ats as a road dog of +7 to +10 since 1992. When they play winning teams they have failed to cover 13 of 20 times. Lay the points with the Saints tonight as your bonus play. |
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12-14-09 | Arizona Cardinals v. San Francisco 49ers +4 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
On Monday night football our play is n the SF.49ers. Game 134 at 8:35 eastern. The Niners are the beneficiaries of a system that plays against the Cardinals due to their road favored status and previous high scoring home dog win last week over the Vikings. Arizona was beat by the niners earlier in the year and 0-4 as a Monday night fotball favorite and 2-13 ats off a dog win vs a sub .500 division opponent. In December the Cards are 1-7 ats if they are 500 or better and off a win. Take the 49ers here tonight plus the points
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12-13-09 | Philadelphia Eagles v. New York Giants +1.5 | 45-38 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the Double system NFL play is on the New York Giants. Game 132 at 8:20 eastern. The Giants are off an impressive win at home against Dallas and look to carry that momentum at home tonight in a another crucial division Home game against the Eagles. What we want to do is play on homers in weeks 13-17 from +3 to -3 if they are coming off a home game where they were +3 to -3 and scored 28 or more points. These late season homers are 9-2 ats and if the opponent is off a road game they have won and covered all 4 times since 1989. The Eagles fall into a negative system that is 10-28 ats and plays against road teams in the second half of the season that come in off a double digit road win if the line is less than three points. This secondary system also dates to 1989. The Eagles has an easy time of it last week against an Atlanta team playing without their starting Qb. Tonight the Eagles will face the Giants and are going into blowout revenge from a 40-17 blowout they laid on the Giants earlier in the season. The Giants will be motivated tonight as this is the biggest game of the season for them needing to split the season series with Philly. Take the Giants tonight plus the point.
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12-13-09 | Washington Redskins -1 v. Oakland Raiders | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
On Sunday the 5 unit Triple system play is on Washington. Game 127 at 4:05 eastern. The Skins suffer one heart breaking loss after another. They should have won last week vs the Saints. Their kicker missed a 23 yard field goal late. Today the Redskins travel into LA to take on the Raiders who are coming off one of the biggest upsets of the year as a 14 point dog to the Steelers. That win sets them up in a terrible spot. What we want to do is play against home teams as a dog or favorite of less than 2 that won on the road at +10 or more if their opponent scored 21 or more points. This system hits well into the 90% range when I add a special tightener sub set to it. The Raiders are just 1-6 off a win,while the Redskins are 7-1 before the Giants and 12-2 in December when they are less than .500 and are on the road off a loss. Take the Skins today.
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12-13-09 | Green Bay Packers v. Chicago Bears +4 | 21-14 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Double system dog play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 114 at 1:00 eastern. The Bears are comig off a game where they broke their losing streak vs the lowly Rams. Today they get a Green Bay team that they lost to by 6 points to on the road earlier in the year. The Bears are 7-1 ats as a dog of 3 or more with revenge with coach Lovie Smith. They are also 8-2 with revenge vs an opponent that comes in off a double digit win. The Packers in the man time fit the same negative system that the Vikings fit into last week in their loss to Arizona. What we want to do is play against road favorites that have won 4 or more in a row but lost on the road prior to the streak. This system is now 53-17 long term. With a chance of inclement weather this only helps the Bears slow down the Packers. Take Chicago today.
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12-13-09 | Detroit Lions v. Baltimore Ravens -13.5 | 3-48 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Blowout play is on Baltimore. Game 118 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens come in off the bad performance on Monday night vs the Packers. Today they will make amends at home against the Lions. Baltimore is an outstanding 16-0 ats at home coming off a non conference game. The Ravens are also 8-2 ats as double digit home favorites off a 10 or more point loss and 9-1 ats in December games vs an opponent who is off a double digit loss. The Lions are 0-6 on the road this year and the loss by 10 points last week is as close as any game has been. This one could get ugly fast. Detroit will have D.Culpepper lading them today and he may have a real tough go of it. Lay the points today. Take the Ravens
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12-07-09 | Baltimore Ravens v. Green Bay Packers -3 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
On Monday the 100% system play is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 366 at 8:35 eastern The Packers qualify in this big system that actually plays agaginst the Ravens tonight. What we want to do is play against road dogs that scored 21 or less as a home favorite of 7 or more and had 250 or more yards passing vs an opponent who is coming off a road game and also had 250 or more yards passing. These road dogs are 0-9 su-ats ince 1989. These two teams rarely meet,however the home team has won the last 3 games in the series. The Packers are excellent at home in December games when playing off a win and Baltimore has not played nearly as good as they did early in the season starting 3-0. They neede overtime to beat a Steeler team that just lost at home to the Raiders. Lay the points here as the Packers squash the Ravens.
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12-06-09 | Minnesota Vikings v. Arizona Cardinals +3.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Triple system dog is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 360 at 8:20 eastern. The Cards also fit 3 solid systems here today. What we want to do is play against road favorites off a 4 or more game win streak if they lost on the road prior to the streaks start. This system plays against the Vikings her today and has cashed to a 52-17 record. All the systems play against the Vikings here today pertaining to their road favorite status. Those concerned with Leinart starting over Warner should not be. Leinart should be much better prepared after taking most of the first team snaps this week in practice. Minnesota may be flat here playing on the road off 3 blowout home wins. one of these weeks the Vikings are going to get beat. The Defending NFC champs may provide the venue for the upset. Road favorites of -5 or less off a home favored win and cover are just 3-15 ats if the home team is off a road dog loss and cover. Take the points with the Cardinals here today.
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12-06-09 | San Diego Chargers v. Cleveland Browns +14 | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
On Sunday the big non conference system play is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 356 at 1:00 eastern. The Browns qualify in some solid systems today. The Best of which goes against the Chargers. What we want to do is play against road favorites of -10.5 to -15 off a home win vs an opponent off a road dog loss and a prior road loss. These road favorites are 7-4 su but 0-11 ats since 1980. As you can see the system is pretty rare. The Browns should be very competitive here vs a Chargers team that may be some what flat after their big Divisional blowout win last week vs KC. Look for the Browns to stay close in this one and cover the big number.
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12-06-09 | New Orleans Saints -9.5 v. Washington Redskins | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
On Sunday the Big Blowout system play is the New Orleans Saints. Game 349 at 1:00 eastern. The Saints are an incredible 42-1 ats when they win on the road going back through the years. I fully expect they will win here today against a Washington team that just does not have the same talent. In fact Washington is just 1-36 ats when they lose at home over the past 10 years. As for the system what we want to do is play against certain home teams if they were a double digit dog in their last game and lost by 3 or less points. These teams just fall to pieces off the big effort and short loss. Homers are 3-26 ats in this role. The Redskins have suffered a pair of close tough losses in back to back divisional road games the past 2 weeks and may be ready to toss the towel here. Take the Saints
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12-05-09 | Wisconsin v. Hawaii OVER 57 | 51-10 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
Simulator total over wisky-Hawaii
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12-05-09 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson +1 | Top | 39-34 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
On Saturday the Big college Championship game is on Clemson. Game 334 at 8:00 eastern. The Tigers fit a Big same season revenge system here tonight. Earlier in the season they allowed over 300 yards rushing to a Georgia tech team that escaped at home with a 30-27 victory using a fake field goal on one of their scores. Clemson figures to be much more prepared for the Yellow Jacket attack this time around having already seen it once this year. Clemson made nice adjustments in the second half of the first game which allowed them to shut Ga.Tech down and get back into the game. Clemson can throw the ball and Ga.Tech may have trouble stopping the aerial attack. Another rbig weapon is the CJ Spiller factor. He can change the game on special teams which could give Clemson a big edge. The Tigers have cashed 3 of the last 4 times with revenge and Ga.Tech is just 3-7 in December games. Take whatever you can get. Play Clemson
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12-05-09 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International OVER 62.5 | 28-21 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
GAME 327 LATE OFF SHORE STEAM OVER FIU-FLORIDA ATLANTIC
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12-05-09 | Houston v. East Carolina +3 | 32-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
On Saturday the College football underdog of the week is on East Carolina. Game 330 at 12 noon eastern. East Carolina plays this one with Double revenge including a loss at home last year 41-24 in a game where they allowed nearly 700 yards on defense. This time the Pirates will be much more prepared for the Houston pass happy attack. They have done well this year vs winning teams going 8-2 and have played a much tougher non conference schedule than Houston. E.Carolina has won 20 of the last 25 conference games and will look to retain their conference championship crown for a second straight year. Houston is 0-6 ats off back to back wins and 0-7 ats as a road favorite of -7 or less. I know they will score,however their defense figures to struggle in this one against a balanced E.Carlolina offense. Take the 3 points with ECU and wait till kick of as this one may get to 3.5
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11-30-09 | New England Patriots v. New Orleans Saints -120 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
On Monday night the 5 star NFL play is the NO. Saints. Game 230 at 8:30 eastern. The Saints qualify in a solid 11-0 system that dates to 1989. What we want to do is play on certain home favorites if they were a road favorite of 7 or more points in their last game and had 150 or more yards rushing if tonights opponent is coming off a home game where they scored 28 or more points. This system has the home team winning all 11 times by an average 31-14 score. The Patriots also qualify in a negative system that is 1-6. What we want to do is plays against certain road teams in this range if they were a home favorite of 10 or and scored 28 or more points with 250 or more yards passing in their last game if the opponent is coming off a road game. Both these system combine to 17-1. The Saints have covered 5 of the last 6 times in this series,which really means nothing to me,but does sound good. Ironically the Patriots have lost the last 3 times they were installed as an underdog. The Saints have done well at home when the total indicates a high scoring game as they are 6-1 at home when the total is 49 or more. In closing the Saints should be able to win this game. I dont believe because they are 10-0 they are due to lose. Whle the public and many others are big the Patriots. Im on the Saints. It wont be easy for the Pats with the amount of noise and fire power the Saints have. Take the NO.Saints tonight.
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11-29-09 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Baltimore Ravens -2.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
Sunday night play Baltimoe Ravens
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11-29-09 | Kansas City Chiefs v. San Diego Chargers OVER 45 | Top | 14-43 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
On Sunday the big AFC total is on the over in the KC at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 225/6 at 4;00 eastern. This game fits a solid system that is 16-3 over the past 20 years. What we want to do is play on the over for any home favorite of -10 or more points that was a road favorite in their last game and scored 28 or more points. If the road team was at home and scored 21 or more. There is a subset of this system that is 100% which also qualifies today. The average score in these games is 54 points. The Chargers have already pasted the Chiefs once this season putting up over 30 points in a blowout win earlier in the year. KC has been better of late and should be able to put more than the 7 points they scored in the first game. Take the over in this one.
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11-28-09 | UCLA v. USC -13 | Top | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 44 m | Show |
On Saturday the Blowout system winner is on the USC Trojans. Game 194 at 10:00 eastern. The Trojans are off a bye week here coming off the disappointing performance vs Stanford. They are 14-3 ats with rest. They also qualify in a solid system that pertains to their having rest and UCLA coming in off back to back spread wins. USC will be ready for this big rivalry game and will look to regain their swagger especially on defense here. UCLA is a nice team but nothing special. The Bruins are 2-13 ats off back to back ats wins if their opponent is coming in off a loss. USC is the play here.
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11-28-09 | Utah St. +3 v. Idaho | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Triple system Dog winner is on Utah.St. Game 175 at 5:00 eastern. Utah.St qualifies in 3 big systems today. What we want to do is play on road dogs from +1 to +3 if they are off a home dog loss vs an opponent off a road dog loss. System 2 says to play against home favorites of less than 5 off a road dog loss and ats loss if they allowed 40 or more and today's opponent is off a home loss. This system is 11-31 ats against Idaho. Utah.St should have a much easier time than they had last week against Conference power house Boise.St. Idaho on the other hand surprised every one with their hot start after last years 2 win season. However they have hit a wall of late losing the last two games. Take Utah.St here today
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11-28-09 | Florida State +25 v. Florida | 10-37 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
On Saturday the 19-1 non conference system play is on Florida.St. Game 167 at 3:30 eastern. This big system actually plays against Florida here today. What we want to do is play against any defending National champ as a favorite of -7 or more in a non conference game,if they are off an ats win and are taking on an opponent with revenge. Since 1980 this system has cashed 19 of 20 times. Florida has a big one on deck next week against Alabama in the SEC championship game. Couple that with the fact that this is not the big game it was when FSU was a top tier game and we have a potential flat spot similar to what Alabama had yesterday against Auburn. Florida will win this game ,however the line is now up to 25 in some spots and may get higher by game time. The Seminoles are poor on defense but can score with any one. This should be a high scoring game here. Look for a closer than expected game and FSU cover.
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11-27-09 | Wyoming Cowboys +3 v. Colorado State Rams | Top | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
On Friday the Big revenge game in college football is on Wyoming. Game 119 at 2:00 eastern. The Cowboys play this one with 31-20 home loss revenge from last year. Today they fit a solid last game system that has cashed 96% of the time. They can become bowl eligible with this win as well. Colorado.St has been decimated by defensive losses this year and have lost 8 games in a row. When they are favored by more than 2 points vs a losing team who has revenge they are 2-9 ats. Favorites on long losing streaks are poor investments especially when they take on teams who have a better record. Take Wyoming to day as they are just flat out better.
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11-26-09 | New York Giants v. Denver Broncos +7 | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
On Turkey day the big 91% NFL Super system play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 106 at 4:15 eastern. Dallas has been a train wreck on offense the past 2 weeks scoring a total of 14 points. This will change big time today against a poor Oakland defense. Tony Romo will come out and be much more focused in front of the home crowd today and this will result in big Dallas victory today. Dallas is 15-2 ats as home favorites in November vs losing teams. As for the system we want to play on teams off a win who were held scoreless through 3 quarters and still won the game. Dallas was able to get a late touchdown on Sunday to basically steal the win over Washington. This ones much easier as Oakland has been outscored a combined 61-3 after their 2 wins this year and are 2-8 ats in non conference games. Play Dallas today
On Turkey day the Cutting Edge System side is on the Denver Broncos. Game 108 at 8:20 eastern. The Broncos fit a solid system that goes back to 1980. What we want to do is play on home dogs off a home dog loss of 24 or more points if their opponent comes in off a win. This system has been a solid money maker through the years.. Denver will be much better prepared for this game tonight,coming off the shellacking at the hands of the Chargers. The Broncos are 3-1 as home dogs in this range since 1992. In contrast the Giants are just 1-4 vs winning teams this year and have lost both prior meetings in the thin Denver air. Take the points in this one with Denver. On Thursday the Triple Angles college hoops play is on Baylor. Game 510 at 6:30 eastern. The Bears are a solid 14-1 after allowing 60 or less points,32-6 in non conference games,15-2 in November and have won and covered 4 of the last 5 times they were a neutral court favorite of 3 or less. Alabama is just 6-9 vs teams who score 77 or more points per game. Baylor also has big edges in the percentage game as they are hitting 51% from the field compared to Alabama at 46%. On defense Baylor has allowed just 31% shooting compared to the Crimson at 41%. These statistical edges are the best in comparison for the day. Take Baylor tonight. |
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11-23-09 | Tennessee Titans v. Houston Texans UNDER 48.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL play is on the Under in the Titans at Texans game. Rotation numbers 435/6 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a solid Monday night totals system that plays to the under whenever you have a Monday night Division home team that is off a loss if the total is 45 or higher. This system cashes over 80% long term. For additional support consider that Houston has gone over 4 of the last 5 times off a bye week and all 6 times the last few years in the second half vs teams with a less than .500 record. The Titans have gone under 6 of the last 7 times when the total is 42.5 to 49. Houston has a much better defense than years past. While Tennessee has been much improved of late as well on defense. Look for this one to stay under the 48.5 points.
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11-22-09 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Oakland Raiders +10 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
On Sunday the BIG Triple system dog of the week is on the Oakland Raiders. Game 430 at 4:15 eastern. What we are looking to do here islay against certain road teams off 3+ dog wins. The Bengals fit this negative system as well as two others that pertain to last weeks big Road dog divisional upset of the Steelers. This could be a big time let down spot. The Raiders have beaten Philly here in a simialr scenario and will not have musical Qb/s today as B.Gradkowski is now the starter. Over the long haul the Raiders have covered 7 of 9 at home vs Cincy. The Bengasl have been flat after the Steelers going 0-8 ats over the past few years. I don't think they will lose,but I don't think they will cover either. Take the Raiders today plus the points
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11-22-09 | Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys -10.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
SU: 12-1-0 (17.3) Teaser Records
ATS: 12-1-0 (9.8) avg line: -7.5 +6: 13-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 13-0-0 (100.0%) +13: 13-0-0 (100.0%) O/U: 6-6-1 (-1.0) avg total: 43.2 +6: 8-5-0 (61.5%) +10: 8-4-1 (66.7%) +13: 11-2-0 (84.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team: 35.2 154.7 29.5 19.4 213.8 1.0 7.4 9.5 7.5 5.4 29.8 Opp: 20.1 69.3 32.1 18.2 165.1 2.1 0.9 3.4 3.7 4.5 12.5 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 7 1991 BUF IND H 14-0 14-6 7-0 7-0 42-6 -20' +41 36 +15' +7 11.2 -4.2 W W O 0 SUN 3 1993 PIT CIN H 7-0 10-7 10-0 7-0 34-7 -10 +32' 27 +17 +8' 12.8 -4.2 W W O 0 SUN 17 1994 MIA DET H 7-3 20-7 0-3 0-7 27-20 -3 +47 7 +4 0 2.0 -2.0 W W P 0 SUN 8 1995 RAI IND H 7-3 3-7 17-7 3-0 30-17 -4 +39' 13 +9 +7' 8.2 -0.8 W W O 0 SUN 2 1996 DAL NYG H 14-0 7-0 3-0 3-0 27-0 -10 +37' 27 +17 -10' 3.2 -13.8 W W U 0 SUN 5 1996 SF ATL H 6-3 21-0 9-7 3-7 39-17 -12 +42 22 +10 +14 12.0 2.0 W W O 0 THUR 14 1996 DAL WAS H 0-0 7-3 7-7 7-0 21-10 -9 +42 11 +2 -11 -4.5 -6.5 W W U 0 MON 17 1997 MIA NE H 3-0 3-0 0-7 6-7 12-14 -3 +44 -2 -5 -18 -11.5 -6.5 L L U 0 SUN 15 2000 STL MIN H 14-0 6-7 13-14 7-8 40-29 -3' +58 11 +7' +11 9.2 1.8 W W O 0 SAT 17 2000 DEN SF H 0-0 17-0 21-0 0-9 38-9 -7' +50' 29 +21' -3' 9.0 -12.5 W W U 0 SUN 2 2004 BAL PIT H 7-0 6-0 7-0 10-13 30-13 -3' +35 17 +13' +8 10.8 -2.8 W W O 0 SUN 2 2006 SEA ARZ H 14-0 0-0 0-3 7-7 21-10 -7 +47 11 +4 -16 -6.0 -10.0 W W U 0 SUN 3 2009 NE ATL H 3-3 10-7 3-0 10-0 26-10 -4' +46 16 +11' -10 0.8 -10.8 W W U 0 SUN 11 2009 DAL WAS H -11 +41' On Sunday the Big Blowout system play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 422 at 1:00 eastern. The Cowboys qualify in a Huge system today that plays on home favorites of 3.5 or more off a road favored game at -3 or more where they scored 9 or less points and had less than 100 yards rushing,if today's opponent is coming off a home game. This system has a 100% subset the Dallas qualifies in that wins by 22 points per game. Dallas was inept last week against a Packer defense that played well,but has been nothing special statistically. Off that bad performance I expect a complete turn around. Washing ton is just the opposite they won a game last week at home vs Denver that could have gone either way. However with the loss of starting Qb K.Orton,Washington was able to take advantage and take control of the game in the second half. I doubt they will do much here against a much improved Dallas defense. The Cowboys are 11-2 ats in the first of back to back home games if they are taking on a division opponent. The Redskins are 2-12 ats as less than .500 dogs in division play if there opponent is off a loss and failed to cover. Now for the irony in this game. Dallas is home for the Skins for a second straight year as a double digit favorite after playing at Green Bay. Last year Dallas fell flat on their face and lost to Washington 26-24 after soundly beating the Packers. This year they lost at Green Bay and should be super focused here. Take Dallas. |
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11-22-09 | New Orleans Saints -10.5 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
On Sunday the NFC Game of the year is on the NO. Saints. Game 423 at 1:00 eastern. The Saints are undefeated this year,however they have not played well in the first half the past few games, falling behind to Miami,Carolina and the Rams last week. Today however they are the beneficiaries of a solid 96% system that plays against Tampa Bay. What we want to do is play against certain home teams that lost by 1-3 points last week as a double digit dog. These teams fall flat on their face after the dejecting loss from the week before. Tampa Bay was riding high last week full of confidence with their first win of the season against Green Bay,only to have their hearts broken late last week vs Miami. While Tampa was good to us the last 2 weeks as 5 unit wins,today we must fade them as things get back to normal here.With the support of the 96% system, look for the
Saints to win this one comfortably. Take NO. Saints |
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11-21-09 | Nevada -30 v. New Mexico St | Top | 63-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show |
On Saturday the BIG WAC play is on Nevada. Game 393 at 10:30 eastern. Coach Ault one of the most under rated coaches in college football is nearing the end of his 25th season here at Nevada. The Wolf Pack have won 7 straight since losing 3 non conference games to start the year. Tonight they have a game they no doubt have circled on their calendar. They take on a New Mexico State team that stunned them on their home turf last year as a 20 point favorite. The Aggies came away with a huge upset win 48-45 in a game where the stats were basically even. Now Nevada will get their revenge and win this one by a land slide. The Key angle is this game is that New Mexico State is 0-11 ats at home when they face a team that has revenge. Look for Nevada to blow the doors off the Aggies tonight. Take Nevada.
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11-21-09 | California +8 v. Stanford | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
On Saturday the dog of the Month is on California. Game 357 at 7:30 eastern. The Public will be lining up to plunk their cash on Stanford. The Cardinal have won back to back games as an underdog to then top 10 teams. They cant possibly lose or not cover a measly 7-8 point spread vs California right? Wrong teams off back to back dog wins are poor investments in this role. This is a huge rivalry game and it will be difficult for Stanford to "bring it" 3 weeks in a row. Stanford is just 1-6 ats as home favorites with revenge if their opponent is off a win and cover. The Golden Bears come off a solid win last week vs an improved Arizona team and have covered 3 of the last 4 here. When discussing the two teams one would never believe these two have the same 7-3 record this season. Look for California to be in this game throughout and maybe spring an upset. Take Cal plus the points and wait till game time as we take advantage of all that extra public money to move the line up.
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11-21-09 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -11 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
On Saturday the big blowout system game is on Arkansas. Game 348 at 12:20 eastern. The Razorbacks have have revenge here from a 31-28 loss last year at Miss.St. Today Arky qualifies in a solid system that is 18-1 su and 16-2-1 ats. What we want to do is play on home favorites from -10.5 to -15 in conference play if they are off a a home favored win and cover and scored 50 or more,if today's opponent is off an ats loss. Miss.St is off a big disappointing loss at home to Alabama last week. Coming off a bye week with revenge the Bulldogs were thought to be a highly competitive opponent for the Crimson Tide. Instead they laid an egg 31-3 in a game that was much closer through 3 quarters. The Bulldogs may not be to motivated here after last weeks debacle. The visitor in this series is 0-7 ats and Arkansas has been playing much improved ball of late. Look for the Razorbacks to get their revenge today.
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11-19-09 | Miami Dolphins +3 v. Carolina Panthers | 24-17 | Win | 112 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
In NFL Thursday night action we have a play on the Miami Dolphins. Game 305 at 8:20 eastern. The Dolphins are a solid 15-2 ats when they are dogs vs an opponent off a dog win. The public will be all over a rejuvenated Panthers team now that Miami star running back R. Brown is out for the season. However that is not a good enough reason to fade Miami here. The Dolphins will still be tough to stop and Carolina is a very inconsistent team and may be some what flat here off their big home dog win vs the Falcons on Sunday. Miami coach Sparano is 5-0 ats in road games off a win and in a game where the line should be a pick,Ill lean with Miami plus the points.
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11-16-09 | Baltimore Ravens -10.5 v. Cleveland Browns | 16-0 | Win | 100 | 22 h 53 m | Show | |
On Monday night the big system play is on Baltimore. Game 243 at 8:35 eastern. The Ravens are big road favorites tonight and they are coming off a loss. In this game what we want to do is play on any road favorite of more than 10 points off a straight up and ats loss. These road favorites have won every single time since 1980. Failing to cover just once. The Browns may be off a bye week,however they are a team in turmoil this year. They have a pathetic and inept offense that cannot sustain long drives and take time off the clock. Their defense has to shoulder much of the load. While they have been decent on defense,they wear down late in games. Look for Baltimore to make a statement here tonight. Lay the 10.5 points.
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11-15-09 | Seattle Seahawks +9 v. Arizona Cardinals | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
On Sunday the 21-2 system is on Seattle. Game 233 at 4:15 eastern. The Seahawks qualify in a big super system here that plays on teams in the first of 3+ road trip if they are not favored by 4 or more points. There is a second system that also plays on the first of 3+ road games which has to do with our team not having allowed 30 or more points back to back and this game being a non Monday night game. Seattle has home loss revenge and catches the Cards off a big satisfying win in Chicago in a game where everything broke their way. Seattle will be much tougher in this game than the first go round. Arizona is 0-9 ats as favorites off a straight up non divisional dog win. Look for Seattle to keep this one close. Take Seattle plus the 9 points.
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11-15-09 | Dallas Cowboys v. Green Bay Packers +3 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Triple system NFL play is on Green Bay. Game 238 at 4:15 eastern. No one expects the Packers to win off their lowly loss at Tampa last week. However Dallas is in a huge letdown flat spot off their big road win at Philly. What we want to do here is play against road favorites that have won 4 or more games in a row,but lost their previous road game before the win streak. These road teams are just 17-51 ats. Another system that pertains to this game is to play against non divisional road teams off a straight up division road win, if they scored 26 or less points and their opponent is a dog or favorite of less than 7 and off a straight up and ats loss. This system has cashed nearly 90% of the time. The Packers are 10-1 ats as an NFC conference dog if they have failed to cover in back to back games. The Packers are the play here today.
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11-15-09 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10 v. Miami Dolphins | Top | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
On Sunday the BIG 30-3 system play is on Tampa Bay. Game 229 at 1:00 eastern. I hate having plays on bad teams. However once again for the second straight week we have a 5 unit play on the Bucs. Last week we were rewarded with a solid performance as they beat the Packers outright. Today the popular theory is that bad teams cant put together 2 good games in a row. This may be true most of the time. Today though I will buck popular thinking and share a 29 year old system that is 30-3 ats and has seen the underdog win the game 20 of the 33 times. What we want to do is play on visiting teams as an underdog of 8 or more points if both teams are under .500. The Dolphins may have played a tough schedule but so has Tampa. The Dolphins are lucky the Jets played them badly in their 2 wins or they might have the same record as Tampa. This system has been golden through the years and nearly qualified a few weeks ago when the Bills opened as a 9 point dog against the Panthers. The sharps quickly bet that game down to 7 at game time. Therefore the Bills did it qualify as they were getting 7 not 8 points. The Bills won the game none the less 20-9. The Bills at the time has the worse rush defense in the league against a solid Panther running attack that day. So im not overly concerned that Tampa will be intimidated by the Miami Wildcat offense. Now that the Bucs have committed to rookie Qb J. Freeman they may well be much more explosive on offense. This is a big rivalry down here and this game should be played close.With Miami 0-6 ats as a home favorite of 7 or more and Tampa cashing 4 of their last 5 when scoring 35 or more vs an opponent off a loss we will Take Tampa with the 10 points.
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11-14-09 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma -20 | 10-65 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Big Blowout game is on Oklahoma. Game 172 at 7:00 eastern. The Sooners should steam roll the Aggies here tonight. While there are no big systems that apply to this game its worth noting if you can pick the winner in Texas A@M road games,you can pick the spread as well. The Aggies are 15-0 ats when they win on the road and 2-39 ats when they lose. I think they will have a tough time scoring on Oklahoma and get blasted pretty good in this one, the way the did against Kansas.St a few weeks back. Tonight they catch the Sooners at the wrong time off a bad loss to Nebraska. Take Oklahoma
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11-14-09 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +12.5 | Top | 31-3 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
On Saturday the BIG SEC play is on Miss.St. Game 186 at 7:00 eastern. Miss.St qualifies in one of my best systems. What we want to do is play on certain conference home teams that have rest and revenge off 1 exact win where they scored 17 or more points van an opponent off a win and cover. This system has cashed 25 of 27 times since 1980. For those of you who see the similarity from last week. This is the same system we used with Stanford for last weeks big GOY winner. While I will not call for an upset of Alabama here tonight,I do think the Bulldogs will be in this through the whole game. Coach Saban is a poor 1-6 ats as a double digit favorite vs opponents off a dog win. The Crimson Tide are also just 3-9 ats as road favorites of more than 11. Miss. St has won 2 of the last 3 meetings in the series and are an excellent 9-2 ats off a dog win vs opponents who have won 2 or more in a row. There are 2 other systems that are 18-1 and 34-9 that apply to this game as well. Take MISS.ST
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11-14-09 | UL Lafayette v. Middle Tenn St -13.5 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
On Saturday the Big Sun Belt Conference play is on MiddleTenn. St. Game 214 at 4:15 eastern. The Blue Raiders qualify in one of my best system today. What we want to do here is play on certain home favorites off a win,if they are taking on an opponent off a +5 or more dog win. These home teams have cashed to a 46-5 ats mark. MTU is one of the better Sun Belt team and should have no problems with LA.Lafayette team that is playing in their third straight road game after covering the first one then pulling the big upset last week at Arkansas. St. Take M.Tenn. St today for 5 units at -13 or less.
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11-14-09 | Stanford v. USC -10 | 55-21 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
On Saturday USC is the top off shore steam play of the week. Game 164 at 3:30 eastern
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11-14-09 | Texas -23 v. Baylor | 47-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
On Saturday the 97% Double system Power house play is on Texas. Game 139 at 12:00 eastern. Texas applies to 2 solid system here today. What we want to do is play on road teams from +3 to -26 if they are taking on a home team that is off an upset road dog win at +10 or more. These Road teams have covered to a 68-27 mark. Also based on that same premise is a super rare system that plays against home teams that are .400 or better won 4 or more games last year and are off a road dog win at +10 or more if today's opponent allows less than 18 point per game. This rare beauty has cashed 13 of 14 times since 1980. Baylor is just 1-12 ats in game 10 of the season,which is meaningless,but does sound good. Texas should be able to win this one by a land slide as Colt McCoy makes his push for the Heisman. Take Texas.
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11-13-09 | West Virginia +10 v. Cincinnati | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
On Friday night the Double system College football play is on West Virginia. Game 115 at 8:00 eastern. The Mountaineers come in to this one with home loss revenge and have lost 4 straight ats. Tonight they are the beneficiaries of 2 systems that play against Cincinnati.Lets take a look at one of them What we want to do is play against undefeated teams from game 6 on out if they are favored from -7 to -20 if they are taking on an opponent off a win with revenge in a certain win percentage. The Bearcats are working in another Qb tonight as Pike may not play the whole game, and he may struggle in this one against a West Virginia team that is 9-1 ats as a conference dog. Take points tonight.
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11-12-09 | Chicago Bears v. San Francisco 49ers -3 | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
On Thursday night the 21-2 NFL play is on the 49ers at 8:20 eastern. The Niners apply to a solid system tonight that plays on certain home favorites with a total higher than 42 that were home favorites of 3 or more in their last game,scored 21 or more points and had 250 or more pass yards. If our opponent was at home in their last game and also had 250 or more pass yards,our home teams wins 21 of 23 times since 1980 by an average 30-17 score. The Niners have covered the last 6 here at home in the series and are looking to bounce back off a tough home loss on Sunday to the Titans. The Bears were blown out at home by the Cardinals and get no breaks from the schedule maker traveling to the West coast on short rest. Take SF. tonight.
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11-09-09 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Denver Broncos +3 | Top | 28-10 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
On Monday night the 5 star NFL system play is on the Denver Broncos. Game 430 at 8:30 eastern. The Steelers apply to a negative system that plays against defending Super Bowl champions that are on the road on Monday night football vs certain non-divisional teams off a home game. The Steelers are 1-6 ats as road favorites vs non division winning teams and 0-5 ats as a road favorite on Monday nights. Denver is 6-2 straight up as a home dog of 3 or less since 1992. Denver will give the Steelers fits on defense and do enough on offense to get the win.Not often will you see a team with a better record as an underdog on Monday night.Usually these teams get teh job done. Take the Broncos +3 points tonight.
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11-08-09 | Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles -135 | 20-16 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the 90% System game is on the Philly Eagles. Game 454 at 8:20 eastern. The Eagles are the beneficiaries of a system that plays against Dallas here tonight. What we want to do is play against road teams from -3 to +3 off a home favored win scoring 35 or more points as a 7+ favorite,if our teams was at home and scored 21 or more points. This system has cashed every time but once since 1989,winning by an average 25-15 margin. Dallas is 1-9 ats on the road off a double digit ats win vs an opponent off a 10+ win. The Cowboys are also 1-7 ats off back to back wins and covers vs an opponent off a dog win. The Eagles are 11-1 ats after playing the Giants. Take Philly tonight.
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11-08-09 | Arizona Cardinals +3 v. Chicago Bears | 41-21 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Live dog of the week is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 413 at 1:00 eastern. The Cardinals qualify in a solid technical system that plays on certain road dogs that are off a home favored loss and ats loss of 15+ points if they won as a road dog the prior week. The Cardinals bounced pretty good following their big dog win over the Giants. They laid an egg against Carolina last week in a game where turnovers really hurt them. The Bears come in off an easy win and cover vs a pathetic Browns team that is inept on offense. Today the Bears will have a tougher time stopping a potent Arizona offense. The Bears are -4 ats as favorites in the second of back to back home games. Take the Cardinals on the strength of the 20-3 system play above.
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11-08-09 | Baltimore Ravens v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 45 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
On Sunday the 24-4 totals system play is on the under in the Ravens at Bengals game. Rotation numbers 405/6 at 1:00 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play the under when we have a road favorite with a total of 42 or more if they have a road divisional Monday night game up next. These teams in the first road g0ne have gone under the total 24 of 28 times dating back through the mid 1970/s. The first game between these 2 teams was low scoring at 17-14 a month ago in Baltimore. Look for this one to stay under the 45 points today.
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11-08-09 | Green Bay Packers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
On Sunday the Triple system NFL play on on Tampa Bay. Game 412 at 1:00 eastern. The Bucs qualify on some solid system sets today. Lets take a look at one that is active. What we want to do is play on home dogs that started 0-4 or worse that scored 7 or less in their last game. These winless Pups are 31-8 ats long term. Tampa comes in off a bye week here today and should be very competitive at home in this spot. Green Bay lost here 30-21 last year and are coming off a tough home loss to Minnesota. The Bucs have covered 4 of the last 5 years off the bye week are 6-0 ats as dogs vs an opponent with revenge off a su favored loss. Look for the Bucs to improve to 11-2 ats as non divisional home dogs. Take Tampa.CONGRATS TO THOSE WHO CASHED SATURDAYS GOY WINNER ON STANFORD.
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11-07-09 | USC Trojans -10 v. Arizona State Sun Devils | 14-9 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Blowout game is on USC. Game 385 at 8:00 eastern. USC is 11-1 ats as favorites of 10 or less vs an opponent with revenge. Arizona.ST is 1-17 ats in their last 18 home losses. The Sun Devils catch the Trojans at the Wrong time. USC is off a bad loss to Oregon. Tonight they will look to show the country they are still an elite team. Arizona.St just lost at home to a California team that USC beat on the road by 27 points. OUCH the Sun Devils get burend big here by USC. Lay the 10 points.
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11-07-09 | Ohio State +6 v. Penn St. | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Dog of the week system play is on Ohio.St. Game 359 at 3:30 eastern. The Buckeyes qualify in a solid system that has already cashed twice for me this season. What we want to do is play on certain road dogs that are off back to back wins and covers,if they allowed 15 or less combined in their last 2 wins and have revenge today. Ohio.St has rare home loss revenge from last years 13-6 loss. In that game Ohio.St won the yardage battle but was a -2 in turnovers and that sealed the deal for them. Penn.St is not nearly as good as they were last year. This year they were heavily favored in several game winning with no cover. The Buckeyes still have a tremendous defense and are 12-1 ats on the road vs teams with a win percentage of .666 or better. In contrast the Nittany Lions are 0-5 ats when taking on an opponent who has revenge. Take the 5.5 points here with Ohio.St another dog with bite that can win outright.
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11-07-09 | Oregon v. Stanford +7.5 | Top | 42-51 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
On Saturday the BIG 98% system play is on Stanford. Game 374 at 3:30 eastern. The Cardinal fit a tight system that plays on certain home dogs with rest and revenge off 1 exact win,scoring 17 or more points and taking on an opponent off a win and cover. They have the added week or preparation against an Oregon team that crushed USC 47-20. Unfortunately for the Ducks they are 0-5 ats on the road off back to back wins the last one as an underdog. Stanford played Oregon real tough last year losing 35-28, a game in which they turned the ball over 4 times. The Cardinal have played excellent defense this year at home allowing only 15 points per game. Playing against road favorites of more than 3 points has always been profitable in college football when they are coming off a home dog win and our team has double or more revenge. Stanford will take advantage of a flat Oregon team that will no doubt suffer a let down following their big USC win. Take Stanford here today plus the 7 points.
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11-07-09 | Illinois +7 v. Minnesota | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Super system Stat Dominator play is on Illinois. Game 319 at 12:00 eastern. The Illini fall in to a solid system today. What we want to do is play on conference dogs or favorites of 7 or less that are off a a win vs an opponent that comes in off a home dog win of 7 or more points,scored 35 or more points and allowed 17 or more points. This system pertains to Minnesota here off their big home upset win over Michigan. St last week 42-34. Illinois has home loss revenge here today for a 27-20 loss,a game in which blew the doors of the Gophers statistically. They has a 550-312 yardage advantage and still lost as a 13 point favorite. look for them to turn the tables here and get the cash against Minnesota. Take the points with Illinois.
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