Football Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
11-03-12 | Pittsburgh +17 v. Notre Dame | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 84 h 17 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Dog with Bite is on TCU. Game 353 at 3:00 eastern. TCU has won 3 of 4 on the road this season and may win outright in this game where they have a solid defensive edge of 160 yards. West Virginia has a mediocre defense and teams who have lost 2 straight after opening the season with 4 or more straight up wins if they are favored by less than three touchdowns and are taking on a conference opponent off a spread loss in their last game. Look for TCU to give West Virginia a solid game today. Take the Points with TCU.
On Saturday the Non Conference play is on Pittsburgh plus the points. Game 357 at 3;30 eastern. The Panthers are taking a ton of points here. Likely due to the Notre Dame big win in Oklahoma last week. Notre Dame is 0-9 ats vs the Big East, and has lost ats te last 7 years in game 9. The Panthers are 5-1 ats after Temple, 4-1 as a dog of 15 or more and the visitor has covered 5 of the last 6 in the series. Look for Notre Dame ton win with no cover today. Take the Points with Pittsburgh. On Saturday the SEC Play is on OLE. Miss game 371 at 3:30 eastern. We will play against Georgia off their Big satisfying dog win taking out #2 Florida last week. Georgia has a solid play against system in their way tonight. We want to play against conference home favorites of 10 or more that won as a conference dog win at +3 or higher. This one has cashed 23 of the last 28. The Bulldogs could be a bit flat in this one. Take the points with OLE. Miss. |
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11-03-12 | Illinois v. Ohio State -27.5 | 22-52 | Win | 100 | 42 h 43 m | Show | |
blowout play on ohio. st
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11-03-12 | Florida Atlantic v. Navy -16 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 42 m | Show | |
Play on NAVY
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11-02-12 | Washington v. California -4 | 21-13 | Loss | -115 | 66 h 49 m | Show | |
On Friday the PAC 12 Power Play is on California. Game 310 at 9:00 eastern. California plays this one with revenge and catches Washington off a big upset win dealing previously undefeated Oregon St its first loss of the season. That win sets up the Huskies in a negative system that pertains to teams who beat a team that was 5-0 or better in their last game. The Last 32+ season these teams have been solid money makers when one plays against them. Washington has been outscore 145-41 on the road this season and takes on a Golden Bears team that has cashed 90% of the time vs an opponent that plays of a dog win. Look for Cal to cover tonight.
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11-01-12 | Kansas City Chiefs +9 v. San Diego Chargers | 13-31 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 38 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL power System Play is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 310 at 8;25 eastern. We want to play against any home favorite off 3 or more straight up and ats losses, vs an opponent that is also 0-3 straight up in the last 3 and is coming off a an ats loss. The Chiefs have 17 point home loss revenge and are a solid 14-2 ats with division loss revenge if entering off a loss. Romeo Crennel is 8-1 to the spread on the road vs an opponent off 2 or more loses and Coach Turner for the Chargers has failed to cover in 12 of the last 14 as a favorite off a loss, vs an opponent off a loss by 10 or more. The Chargers have started their usual mid season swoon off a fast start and may win, but we cant lay the points in this one as San Diego is very inconsistent and the Chiefs are sitting on a big game off a disappointing home favored loss to the Raiders. Take the points in this one. Take the Chiefs.
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11-01-12 | Virginia Tech v. Miami (Florida) +2 | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
On Thursday night In college action we have a Tier 3 Power side on Miami of Florida. Game 306 at 7:30 eastern. The Canes are an amazing 12-1 straight up at home when the total is 56.5 to 63 and have won and covered 7 of the last 9 when the spread is +3 to -3. We also note that conference home dogs with rest and revenge have been solid cash cows on Thursday nights. Coach Golden has been GOLDEN as a home dog of two dozen or less cashing 12 straight. VA. Tech has always been a solid short road favorite. However this is not the typical Hokies team and they are 0-5 ats vs an opponent with revenge that enters off a loss. The Canes are off a pair of close losses and have played the Likes of Florida St and Notre Dame super tough. Look for the Canes to break that 2 game home losing streak tonight. Make it Miami.
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10-29-12 | San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 38.5 | 24-3 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
On Monday night football the 92% Power totals system is on the Over. Game 243/244 at 8:40 eastern. This game fits a solid tech system illustrated below that plays to the over for home dogs that are off not playing off a bye week that scored 21 or less as a road dog of 3 or more with a total that was 38 or less, vs an opponent that scored 14 or less as a home favorite of 3 or more that also had a total of 38 or less. These games have flown over 12 of 13 times. If we insist the home dog is getting 3.5 or more that 12-1 is a perfect 9-0 since 1989. The Niners are averaging 25 points on the road and Arizona 21 here at home. The Cardinals have also flown over the total 4 of the last 5 times as a home dog from +3.5 to +7. Look for this game to go over the total tonight.
O/U: 12-1-0 (8.2) avg total: 35.8 +6: 12-1-0 (92.3%) Final Team: 24.7 94.1 32.2 17.2 197.8 2.4 4.5 4.6 3.0 4.4 16.5 Opp: 33.8 139.2 29.5 17.5 219.9 1.8 4.3 9.5 4.9 8.5 27.5 |
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10-28-12 | New Orleans Saints v. Denver Broncos -6 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Super System Side is on Denver. Game 242 at 8:30 eastern. The Extra week to prepare for the Saints offense will be very beneficial to a Denver defense that is already 136 yards better statistically. The Saints may very well be without star tight end J. Graham for this one. Now for our Masterpiece. We want to play on any home team that scored 35 or more as a road team with a line that was +3 to -3 vs an opponent that also scored 35 or more on the road. These home teams have covered every time and win by an average 14 points per game. The Saints have failed to cover 5 of the last 6 as a dog off a division road win. The Broncos are 6-1 ats with rest off a win vs an opponent off a win and 18-6 ats overall off a bye week. The Broncos may put up huge numbers vs that Saints defense. Look for Denver to get the win and cover.
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10-28-12 | San Diego Chargers v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 44 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 84 h 46 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Top totals Play of the day is on the Under in the Chargers at Browns game. Rotation numbers 225/ 226 at 1:05 eastern. The system for this game is to play the under in games where the total is 39 or higher and one team is off a bye week like the Chargers are that allowed 30 or more points in back to back games. Look for the Chargers defense to play much better and this one to stay under the total.
NFL Power Angle total Over Seattle at Detroit. Game 229/230 at 1:00 eastern.The Lions are 19-0 (+10.2 ppg) since October 2000 when they are off a game in which they punted at least seven times and held their opponent to fewer than 20 points. |
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10-28-12 | San Diego Chargers -2.5 v. Cleveland Browns | 6-7 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Play is on the San Diego Chargers. Game 225 at 1:00 eastern. The Chargers fit some solid systems here today. We want to play on teams off a Monday night football loss if they scored 24 or more in the loss. The Chargers are off a bye week and perhaps the worse collapse in their history blowing a Huge lead in a loss to the Broncos. They will look to get the bad taste out of their mouths knowing they are 4-1 straight up and ats off a Monday night game and 13-5 ats as a road favorite of 3 or less. The Browns fit a negative system that plays against home teams from +3 to -3 if they are off 1 or more games that went under and are playing a team that allows 14 or more points in the first half. These home teams are 3-23 ats. The Chargers are 12-1 ats in the road if the last 2 games they played in had 50 or more points scored. The Browns are 4-12 ats from +3 to -3 and are 1-7 straight up in the series. The new version of the Brwons is 1-7 ats vs The AFC West and the Chargers are 12-2 ats after playing Denver. Finally we note the Chargers are 11-0 at off a home loss vs a team with less wins than they have. Chargers win and cover today.
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10-28-12 | Miami Dolphins +3 v. NY Jets | 30-9 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
3 Team 10 point Terminator Teaser is on Miami to +12.5. Game 231 at 1:00 eastern. There are 3 solid systems and a 17-0 angles in this one. The Jets and all home favorites are in a play against mode off a road overtime loss. Additionally we want tom play against any home teams that lost by 3 or less as a double digit road dog. We went against the Raiders in that role and cashed with the Jags last week. The Dolphins are 17-0 ATS as a dog when they are off a game in which their defense stifled at least ten third down attempts and recorded at least one sack. Three of those wins were against the Jets. Game 2 is on the Dallas Cowboys to +12.5. Game 240 at 4:25 eastern. The Giants are 0-4 ats off 3 wins and 1-7 ats as division favorites of late. Dallas has covered 9 straight division games if scored 20 or less and opponent has double revenge. Game 3 of this teaser is on the Colts to +13.5. Game 221 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts are 11-0 ATS since November 2008 on the road when they are off a win as a home favorite in which they failed on fewer than three red zone attempts and fewer than two goal-to-go attempts. The Titans are 0-10 ATS (-11.0 ppg) since September 10, 2000 as a favorite when one game under 500. Miami +12.5, Dallas +12.5 And Indy +13.5
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10-27-12 | Mississippi State +24.5 v. Alabama | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 29 m | Show | |
SEC PLAY ON MISS ST
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10-27-12 | Notre Dame v. Oklahoma -10 | 30-13 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 56 m | Show | |
On Saturday in Game 3 of the World Series our Selection is on the Detroit Tigers. Game 906 at 8:05 eastern. Detroit fits a Never lost system here that plays on all home teams off a road loss and had 2 or less hits, vs an opponent like the Giant off a home dog win. All time in this setup In game 3 home teams that have lost the first 2 on the road have a 21-15 record. When leading a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 2-games-nil, the San Francisco Giants have a 2-0 overall series record, a 0-2 overall Game 3 record, a 1-0 Finals series record, and a 0-1 Finals Game 3 record. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 2-games-nil, the Detroit Tigers have a 0-4 overall series record, a 3-1 overall Game 3 record, a 0-2 Finals series record, and a 1-1 Finals Game 3 record. So these stats favor the Tigers tonight. The Tigers are also a solid 7-1 at home this season when the total is 7 or less. Vogelsong for the Giants has faced A. Sanchez 3 times over the past 3 seasons and has lost 2 of those battles. Sanchez has better overall numbers vs the Giants going 3-1 with a 1.98 era. With the Tigers 11-4 as a home favorite from -125 to -150 we will back them here tonight.
On Saturday night the Blowout Side is on Oklahoma. Game 198 at 8:00 eastern. Notre Dame is a mess on offense and will have to play flawless on defense to stay in this game. Oklahoma will be the toughest team they have faced and as good as their defense is it will be tough to stop an Oklahoma team that will play fast and go no huddle. Notre Dame will have a tough time on an improving Oklahoma defense and will get buried if they start turning it over. The Sooners are 10-1 at off a win vs an non conference team winning team that is also off a win and 6-1 ats as a favorite of less than 17 vs winning teams. Now for some technical systems we not that certain home teams off back to back 40 or more points wins that allowed 10 or less in their last game have never lost the last 32+ years. Also teams like Oklahoma that are home favorites of less than 24 that scored 150 or more combined in their last 3 games are 63-25 ats. Finally road dogs of 9.5 or more off back to back wins and no covers have failed 22 of 29 times against the spread. Notre Dame has failed to cover all 4 times vs Big 12 teams if off 2 or more wins. The Sooners have held every team they have played to season low averages and coach Stoops has covered 7 of 8 vs opponents that are unbeaten if he is a favored by a touchdown or more in week 4 or later. Oklahoma is the Play tonight |
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10-27-12 | Texas A&M -14 v. Auburn | 63-21 | Win | 100 | 1 h 59 m | Show | |
On Saturday night the NCAAF Computer Simulation Game of the Month is on Texas A@M. Game 145 at 7:00 eastern. Computer Simulations of this game were hads down for Texas Am to win by over 3 touchdowns.
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10-27-12 | Ohio State +1 v. Penn State | 35-23 | Win | 100 | 76 h 27 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Dog with Bite is on UTEP. Game 159 at 4:30 eastern. The Miners are a perfect 8-0 ats as a conference road dog of 7 or more with revenge. They take on a Houston team that allowed an amazing 72 points on the road last week to an average SMU Team. That sets up today's System that plays against any favorite that allowed 70 or more vs an opponent that has revenge. These favorites have not covered not even once vs teams with revenge since 1980. Another system is to play against conference favorites in game 7 or later that allowed 28 or more as a road favorite in their last game. These favorites are 20-52 ats. Take UTEP Plus the points.
On Saturday the BIG 10 Banger is on Ohio. St. Game 178 at 5:30 eastern. The Buckeyes escaped with an Overtime win last week vs a Game Purdue team. Whether They are a small dog or a small favorite they are the choice here as they are 12-1 ats as a road favorite of 16 or less vs 667 or better teams and 10-1 ats with Conference revenge. They have Home loss revenge in this one, vs a Penn. St team that has surprised every one in the Big 10 and around the country with a solid win streak after opening 0-2. However the Nittany Lions have failed to cover 17 of 18 times vs teams who are unbeaten if the come in off a win of 10 or more points. The Lions blasted Iowa last week and will likely have a bit of a letdown in this one. Now to add a Perfect system into the fray we note an Emerging system that is 10-0 ats the last 5 years. We want to play against game 8 or later home teams that are .875 or less off back to back wins with the last by 10 or more vs an undefeated team. Take Ohio. St |
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10-27-12 | UTEP +13.5 v. Houston | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Dog with Bite is on UTEP. Game 159 at 4:30 eastern. The Miners are a perfect 8-0 ats as a conference road dog of 7 or more with revenge. They take on a Houston team that allowed an amazing 72 points on the road last week to an average SMU Team. That sets up today's System that plays against any favorite that allowed 70 or more vs an opponent that has revenge. These favorites have not covered not even once vs teams with revenge since 1980. Another system is to play against conference favorites in game 7 or later that allowed 28 or more as a road favorite in their last game. These favorites are 20-52 ats. Take UTEP Plus the points.
On Saturday the BIG 10 Banger is on Ohio. St. Game 178 at 5:30 eastern. The Buckeyes escaped with an Overtime win last week vs a Game Purdue team. Whether They are a small dog or a small favorite they are the choice here as they are 12-1 ats as a road favorite of 16 or less vs 667 or better teams and 10-1 ats with Conference revenge. They have Home loss revenge in this one, vs a Penn. St team that has surprised every one in the Big 10 and around the country with a solid win streak after opening 0-2. However the Nittany Lions have failed to cover 17 of 18 times vs teams who are unbeaten if the come in off a win of 10 or more points. The Lions blasted Iowa last week and will likely have a bit of a letdown in this one. Now to add a Perfect system into the fray we note an Emerging system that is 10-0 ats the last 5 years. We want to play against game 8 or later home teams that are .875 or less off back to back wins with the last by 10 or more vs an undefeated team. Take Ohio. St |
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10-27-12 | Florida v. Georgia +7 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
On Saturday the SEC Premier Play is on Georgia. Game 164 at 3:30 eastern. Every one and their grand mother Loves Florida in this one. Mainly due to their series dominance and Georgia shoddy record as a dog and vs teams who are unbeaten. However, This line is too high and the Computer Simulations show that this one could go either way and will be much like the last 2 seasons where the games were decided by 4 or less points. Florida is just 6-11 straight up vs teams with a winning record and it was clear last week the Georgia was looking past Kentucky with a close win as a 26 point favorite. Florida was out yarded pretty good last week vs South Carolina but managed to still get a blowout win. This one will be a lot tougher as they will get the Bulldogs best game here. Take the points in this upset maker.
OFFSHORE STEAM PLAY ON Kent St. Game 171 at 3:30 eastern |
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10-27-12 | TCU +7 v. Oklahoma State | 14-36 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
OFF SHORE STEAM SIDE ON TCU AT 3:30 EASTERN
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10-27-12 | Kent State +14 v. Rutgers | 35-23 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
OFF SHORE STEAM On Kent. St at 3:30 eastern
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10-27-12 | Tennessee v. South Carolina -13.5 | 35-38 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 48 m | Show | |
EARLY PLAY ON South Carolina
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10-27-12 | Ball State v. Army OVER 67.5 | Top | 30-22 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
On Saturday the Early Totals Play is on the over in the Ball. St at Army game. Rotation numbers 117/118 at 12 noon eastern. This game fits perhaps my favorite totals system that pertains to games in this totals range and 2 teams who both average 450+ yards and allow 400+ yards. These two fit the criteria in a big way here today. Army averages 456 and allows 476. Ball. St averages 480 and allows 466. Ball. St has allowed 30 or more in all 4 road games and Army has allowed 31 or more in 6 of their 7 games, so this 67 point total is very achievable. Now for some Over angles. Ball. St has flown over in 8 of 9 as a favorite, all 3 on the road with a posted total of 63.5 to 70, 14 of 18 off a conference game, 8 of 9 off a win and 7 of 8 vs losing teams. Army has played over in 9 of 10 vs MAC Conference Teams, 6 of 8 as a home dog from 3.5 to 7, 8 of 10 in weeks 5-9 and 13 of 18 on turf. Look for a high scoring game. Take the over.
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10-26-12 | Cincinnati v. Louisville -3.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
On Friday the Big East Play is on the Louisville Cardinals. Game 108 at 8:00 eastern. Louisville fits a solid system that pertains to undefeated Home favorites in week 6 or later. The Bearcats fit a negative system that plays against teams off their first loss in week 6 or later. The Bearcats are in a similar situation that South Carolina was in last week in their loss to Florida. Cincy is just 1-4 straight up and to the spread as a road dog of 3.5 or less. Louisville has Double revenge in this one and has cashed 5 of the last 6 with Conference revenge and is a solid 6-0 ats at home in game 8 of the season and 6-0 ats vs an opponent that averages 425 or more yards. Look for Louisville to serve up revenge against a Cincinnati team that lost its first real road game last week and beat up on some poor teams at home. Take Louisville
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10-25-12 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Minnesota Vikings UNDER 42 | Top | 36-17 | Loss | -103 | 32 h 32 m | Show |
On Thursday the NFL Totals System Play is on the Under in the Tampa Bay at Minnesota game. Rotation numbers 103/104 at 8:25 eastern. Since 1996 had you played the under for road dogs that scored 21 or more points as a home dog or favorite from -3 to +3 that had 100 or less yards rushing, vs an opponent that had 150 or more yards rushing as a home favorite. You would have cashed Every time. Tampa has stayed under in 10 of 12 vs winning teams, 4 of 5 vs NFC North teams and the last 4 times on 6 or less days rest. The Vikings have stayed under in 4 of 5 vs NFC South teams and 8 of the last 10 when the total is 35.5 to 42. Look for this one to go under the total tonight.
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10-23-12 | Arkansas State v. Louisiana-Lafayette -4 | 50-27 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the Sun Belt Super Side is On LA. Lafayette. Game 102 at 8:00 eastern. The Cajuns are 7-0 straight up here vs Arkansas St and are a perfect 9-0 ats off 1 loss. They are 5-1 ats vs winning teams and have covered 12 of 16 on Turf. In their 3 home games this season they are winning by an average 43-11 score. Arkansas St is just 2-8 straight up with 3 covered as a road dog from 3.5 to 7 and is an anemic 4-32 straight up vs teams with a winning record. In the end the rushing games will tell the story and out home team has the 3rd best rushing defense in the country and out road team has the 120th ranked road rushing rank and the 71st ranked pass offense vs the 29th ranked pass defense. Those numbers are too good to pass up. Look for the Cajuns to exact some revenge and get the nasty taste of last Tuesdays loss to North Texas out of their mouths. Take UL. Lafayette tonight.
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10-22-12 | Detroit Lions v. Chicago Bears UNDER 47.5 | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
On Monday night in the NFL the totals system play is on the under in the Detroit at Chicago game. Rotation numbers 437/438 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a never lost totals system that plays to the under for all home teams that scored 35 or more as a road favorite in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road dog if both teams passed for 250 or more yards in their last game. These games have been solid Under plays and the games have averaged 26 points per game. While I think their will be more than that scored in this one, I do think the under is the right way to go in this one, as both teams have good run defenses. The Lions have posted under in 8 of 10 Monday night appearances. Look for this one to stay under the total tonight.
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10-21-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers -109 v. Cincinnati Bengals | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the AFC North Super system play is on the Steelers. Game 435 at 8:20 eastern. This game fits a 100% System that plays on road teams from -3 to +3 if both teams were on the road in their last game and rushed for less than 100 yards while passing for 250 or more yards. Since 1989 these teams have covered every road game. The Steelers have extra rest for this one with Cincy off a tough turnover filled loss to Cleveland. The Steelers are 3-0 straight up as a road favorite of 3 or less the past few seasons and the Bengals are 2-10 straight up in games where the total is 42.5 to 49. The Bengals are 0-5 after allowing 30 or more. The Steelers have cashed 10 off 11 here. The Steelers have won 17 of 21 in the series and are a perfect 10-0 if off 1 loss vs the Bengals. Look for the Steelers to get the cash tonight.
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10-21-12 | Jacksonville Jaguars +6 v. Oakland Raiders | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Super System Play is on Jacksonville. Game 434 at 4;25 eastern. The Raiders appear to be the victims one of of my favorite system that pertains to teams as road dogs of 10 or more that are off a loss of 3 or less, if they are home in their next game vs an opponent off a loss. These Dejected homers carry the heart breaking close loss over to the next week and have a tough time covering. With a subset or two they fail over 90% of the time. Oakland is 1-13 ats vs losing teams and has lost 4 of the last 5 vs AFC South teams. They are also 1-11 ats vs teams off back to back losses like the Jaguars. The Jags have won the last 2 times off a bye and have won 4 of 5 in this series vs Oakland. Take the Points in this one.
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10-21-12 | Baltimore Ravens +7 v. Houston Texans | 13-43 | Loss | -103 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Play is on Baltimore. Game 421 at 1:00 eastern. No, We did not lose our minds. We are aware Baltimore is without 2 defensive starters including Ray Lewis. However this is more than built into the line today. The Ravens are getting 7 here and we have a solid system that has cashed every time and pertains to teams like Houston un week 6 or later that are -7 or less and off their first loss. There are a few more parameters to this one, just as there were last week when this one was in play with Arizona in this same spot in their loss to Buffalo. Houston is 1-8 ats in weeks 5-9 at home and has lost and failed to cover in all 3 here in the series. Baltimore will have the advantage of shock value in their first game without Lewis. They have covered 7 of 10 on the road with a total of 45.5 to 49 and are 8-2 straight up in weeks 5-9, including 7-0 ats off a win vs an opponent off a favored loss. Coach Harbaugh is 5-1 to the spread as a dog vs an opponent off a loss. Green Bay exposed a Houston weakness in pass defense something Flacco will surely take advantage of. As we saw last week with the Niners and Giants, just because one team has playoff revenge it does not mean they will win and cover. Take the points in this one.
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10-21-12 | Dallas Cowboys v. Carolina Panthers OVER 45.5 | 19-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Dallas at Carolina game. Rotation numbers 425/426 at 1:00 eastern. The Cowboys are 17-0 OU when they are off a game vs an AFC opponent in which they scored more than 20 points, as long as they did not lose the game by two-plus TDs. Dallas has gone over in 7 of 10 October games, 5 of 6 in Game 6, and 5 of 6 off a non conference road game. Carolina has flown over in 7 of 10 at home vs NFC East teams and 3 of 4 off a home favored loss. In the series 4 of 6 here have played over and the Panthers have played over 75% of the time as a home dog of 3 or less. Look for a high scoring game. Take Dallas at Carolina to fly over the total today,
O/U: 17-0-0 (11.3) avg total: 44.8 Final Team: 25.6 Opp: 26.4 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 15 2005 DAL WAS A 0-7 0-21 0-7 7-0 7-35 0 +35' -28 -28 +6' -10.8 17.2 L L O 0 SUN 5 2006 DAL PHI A 7-10 14-7 0-7 3-14 24-38 +2 +43' -14 -12 +18' 3.2 15.2 L L O 0 MON 7 2006 DAL NYG H 0-9 7-3 0-14 15-10 22-36 -3' +45 -14 -17' +13 -2.2 15.2 L L O 0 THUR 12 2006 DAL TB H 7-7 14-3 14-0 3-0 38-10 -12' +39 28 +15' +9 12.2 -3.2 W W O 0 SUN 3 2007 DAL CHI A 0-3 3-0 14-7 17-0 34-10 +3 +42 24 +27 +2 14.5 -12.5 W W O 0 SUN 6 2007 DAL NE H 0-14 17-7 7-10 3-17 27-48 +4' +52 -21 -16' +23 3.2 19.8 L L O 0 THUR 13 2007 DAL GB H 13-10 14-7 0-7 10-3 37-27 -7 +51' 10 +3 +12' 7.8 4.8 W W O 0 MON 2 2008 DAL PHI H 14-6 10-24 7-0 10-7 41-37 -6' +47 4 -2' +31 14.2 16.8 W L O 0 SUN 6 2008 DAL ARZ A 0-7 7-0 7-7 10-10 24-30 -5 +49' -6 -11 +4' -3.2 7.8 L L O 1 SUN 17 2008 DAL PHI A 3-3 0-24 0-17 3-0 6-44 +1' +42' -38 -36' +7' -14.5 22.0 L L O 0 SUN 7 2009 DAL ATL H 0-7 17-0 7-7 13-7 37-21 -5 +47' 16 +11 +10' 10.8 -0.2 W W O 0 SUN 13 2009 DAL NYG A 0-0 10-14 7-7 7-10 24-31 -1 +45' -7 -8 +9' 0.8 8.8 L L O 0 SUN 5 2010 DAL TEN H 3-10 7-7 7-3 10-14 27-34 -6' +42' -7 -13' +18' 2.5 16.0 L L O 0 SUN 6 2010 DAL MIN A 7-7 7-0 0-14 7-3 21-24 +1' +44 -3 -1' +1 -0.2 1.2 L L O 0 SUN 14 2010 DAL PHI H 7-7 3-7 10-3 7-13 27-30 +3' +50' -3 +0' +6' 3.5 3.0 L W O 0 SUN 2 2011 DAL SF A 0-0 7-14 7-7 10-3 27-24 -3 +42' 3 0 +8' 4.2 4.2 W P O 1 SUN 11 2011 DAL WAS A 7-0 3-14 0-3 14-7 27-24 -7 +41' 3 -4 +9' 2.8 6.8 W L O 1 SUN 7 2012 DAL CAR A -2 +45 |
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10-20-12 | Washington v. Arizona OVER 65 | Top | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
On Saturday Night the Offshore Steam Totals Play is on the Over in the Washington at Arizona game. Rotation numbers 353/354 at 10:00 eastern. This game was naiked with some of the sharpest money out there andand is considered a level 1 totals Play.
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10-20-12 | Baylor v. Texas -8.5 | 50-56 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Blowout Side is on Texas. Game 392 at 8:00 eastern. Texas will be out for blood off a pair of Terrible defensive efforts the last a blowout loss to Oklahoma. Texas has double revenge in this one a role where they are an 80% spread proposition. They have won 9 of 10 here vs a Baylor team that is 0-7 ats on the conference road vs an opponent with revenge and 1-10 ats on the road in conference if they are getting 9.5 or less. Baylor is also 1-6 ats in their last 6 road dog losses. Look for Texas to rebound here and Blowout Baylor.
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10-20-12 | Kansas State +3 v. West Virginia | 55-14 | Win | 100 | 27 h 6 m | Show | |
On Saturday night in BIG 12 action our selection is on Kansas St. Game 369 at 7:00 eastern. K-State applies to a solid system that plays against teams like West Virginia who lost their first game after going 5-0 and the loss came as a favorite while allowing 5 or more touchdowns, vs an opponent off a road win. The Wildcats have covered 10 of the last 11 as a dog and have a huge defensive edge. Kansas St will burn alot of clock with their slow moving yet effective offense while keeping Geno Smith and West Virginia off the field. The Mountaineers have failed to cover 5 of the last 6 times as a favorite of less than 10 after scoring 35 or more. Kansas St is 5-0 in game 7 and has covered 6 of the last 8 times in the 2nd of back to back road games. Many of the computer simulations have Kansas St winning outright. Take the points in this one.
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10-20-12 | Louisiana Monroe +3 v. Western Kentucky | 43-42 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Offshore steam on LA. Monroe
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10-20-12 | Ball State v. Central Michigan +3.5 | 41-30 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
On Saturday the dog play is on Central Michigan. Game 318 at 3:30 eastern. CMU is the beneficiary of a solid system that plays against Ball. St and all road favorites that are off an overtime win and either won or lost to the spread by less than 14 points while scoring 24 or more points in the win and have a win percentage of .600 or less. Ball St has dropped 10 of their last 15 road games look for the Central Michigan to get the cash today. Take the 3 points.
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10-20-12 | Michigan State v. Michigan -9.5 | 10-12 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
On Saturday in Big 10 action the play in on Michigan. Game 358 at 3:30 eastern. Michigan has finally started to turn things around and are off a pair of solid wins the last of which was a 45-0 win over Illinois. That win sets them up in a solid system that plays on certain home favorites from -21 to -33 that scored 40 or more in a home shutout win vs an opponent off a loss. This system is 56-9 ats and has a solid 100% subset. Michigan St has had trouble scoring on offense which has put added pressure on their defense that will have their hands full with Michigan's rejuvenated offense. Many will look at Michigan's poor spread record with revenge. However they have Double revenge in this one and will be at home in the big house. Michigan has covered 5 of the last 6 off back to back wins vs an opponent off a favored loss. In a battle of two teams headed in opposite directions we will back Michigan. Lay the 8.5
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10-20-12 | Purdue v. Ohio State -18.5 | 22-29 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 27 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early 5* Play is on Ohio. St. Game 356 at 12 noon eastern. Ohio. St applies to a 19-0 Power System based on their undefeated status at this juncture of the season and Their win and spread loss to Indiana last week. The Buckeyes will look to avenge last years 26-23 loss knowing they are 10-0 ats with conference revenge and blasted Purdue her 49-0 in 2010. Ohio. St has covered 8 of the last 9 in game 8. Purdue is 0-7 here filing to cover in 5 of those losses. They are also allowing over 6 yards per rush against the better teams they have faced. They are playing just their 2nd road game of the season while coming off a 4 game home stand and are 0-4 ats in the first of back to back road games. They were beaten good the past 2 weeks at home by good but not great Michigan and Wisconsin teams. Look for Ohio. St to shore up on defense and roll to a win and cover.
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10-19-12 | Connecticut +4.5 v. Syracuse | 10-40 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
On Friday the College Football Play is on U.Conn. Game 309 at 8:00 eastern. The Huskies are the choice here tonight as they are 15-5 ats on the road off a home loss and have won 5 straight in this series. They have also won 4 of the last 5 in Domes and are a solid 21-8 ats off back to back losses including 3-0 straight up and to the spread of late. When playing teams under 500 they have won 5 of the last 7. Now they take on a Syracuse team that is 1-3 as a home favorite from -3.5 to -7 and 2-5 ats vs fellow opponents that are under .500. With the Orangemen 1-8 ats in conference play we will back U.Conn here in this Friday night Big East match up
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10-18-12 | Seattle Seahawks v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 37.5 | Top | 6-13 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
On Thursday the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Seattle At San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 303/304 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits 2 Perfect Totals systems that pertain to the under. First we want to play the under for road dogs like Seattle with 6 or less days of rest that scored 21 or more as a home dog, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less at home. This system is perfect and the games have averaged 28 points. Second we will play the under for home favorites of 10 or less like the Niners that scored 14 or less at home and rushed for under 100 yards, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home in their last game and also rushed for under 100 yards. This system is also perfect and they both date to 1989. Now for some angles we note that Seattle has stayed under in all 5 conference games this season and all 3 of their road games have stayed under 36 points. The Niners have played under in their last 5 Thursday games and 9 of 13 vs teams with a winning record. The Niners will probably score more in this one than they did vs the Giants and will also play much better on defense. Seattle has been solid on defense and will have trouble scoring here. Look for a low scoring game resulting in the Under.
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10-16-12 | Louisiana-Lafayette -3.5 v. North Texas | 23-30 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the Sun Belt Super Side is on LA. Lafayette. Game 301 at 9:00 eastern. ULLF has cashed 12 of their last 13 on turf and a perfect 6-0 ats on the road in games where the posted total is 56.5 to 63 the last few years. They have also covered 3 of the last off a bye week. North Texas has lost 23 of the last 27 vs an opponent with a winning record. They are 1-5 ats on Tuesday and 0-7 ats as a dog of 2 or more with revenge. Finally they have dropped 7 of 8 to the spread in games before taking on Middle Tennessee State. In Common opponents we see that U.L.LF defeated Troy by 13 on the road and North Texas lost to Troy here by 7. With the road teams having covered 5 of the last 6 in this series we will Take UL. Lafayette tonight.
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10-15-12 | Denver Broncos +1 v. San Diego Chargers | 35-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
On Monday the NFL power System Play is on Denver. Game 233 at 8;40 eastern. You would think in such a closely lined game it would be difficult to get such a clear cut system side. However, we dash to the database and take the guess work out. This line could fluctuate from + to -1 for either team by game time. So we go right to a system that is specific to games from -3 to +3. Here we go. We want to play on road teams like Denver that are +3 to -3 and scored 21 or more on the road last week and passed for 250 or more yards, vs an opponent that was a road dog of 3 or more in their last game, which San Diego was in their loss to the Saints. These teams as illustrated below are 12-2 straight up and 13-0-1 to the spread. The Road team in this series has won 5 of the last 6. Peyton Manning has won all 8 times from -3 to +3 in Monday night affairs. Coach Turner for the Chargers has lost and failed to cover all 5 times as a divisional favorite of 3 or less and has been also a solid play against as a favorite when taking on a team off a loss of 10 or more. Denver also showed as a simulation winner on the Computer analysis. In this AFC West battle look for the Broncos to get the cash. DO DENVER.
SU: 12-2-0 (9.8) ATS: 13-0-1 (10.4) avg line: 0.6 Final Team: 30.1 Opp: 22.8 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 2 1990 STL TB A 14-0 14-7 7-0 0-7 35-14 -3 +47 21 +18 +2 10.0 -8.0 W W O 0 SUN 3 1994 BUF HOU A 0-0 9-0 3-0 3-7 15-7 +2' +44' 8 +10' -22' -6.0 -16.5 W W U 0 SUN 4 1997 RAI NYJ A 6-3 16-7 0-6 0-7 22-23 +1' +46 -1 +0' -1 -0.2 -0.8 L W U 0 SUN 16 1997 DET MIN A 0-7 7-6 0-0 7-0 14-13 +1 +46 1 +2 -19 -8.5 -10.5 W W U 0 SUN 10 2000 DEN NYJ A 10-0 10-10 3-10 7-3 30-23 +3 +46 7 +10 +7 8.5 -1.5 W W O 0 SUN 12 2001 SF IND A 3-7 17-7 7-7 13-0 40-21 +2' +52 19 +21' +9 15.2 -6.2 W W O 0 MON 14 2004 KC TEN A 0-7 14-14 14-7 21-10 49-38 -1 +52' 11 +10 +34' 22.2 12.2 W W O 0 SUN 2 2005 STL ARZ A 7-3 3-3 7-3 0-3 17-12 +1 +44' 5 +6 -15' -4.8 -10.8 W W U 0 SUN 9 2008 ARZ STL A 0-7 24-0 7-0 3-6 34-13 -3 +50 21 +18 -3 7.5 -10.5 W W U 0 SUN 3 2009 IND ARZ A 0-3 21-0 7-7 3-0 31-10 +2' +48' 21 +23' -7' 8.0 -15.5 W W U 0 SUN 11 2009 PHI CHI A 10-0 0-9 7-11 7-0 24-20 -3 +45 4 +1 -1 0.0 -1.0 W W U 0 SUN 12 2009 ARZ TEN A 0-3 3-3 7-7 7-7 17-20 +3 +45 -3 0 -8 -4.0 -4.0 L P U 0 SUN 11 2011 RAI MIN A 3-7 21-0 3-0 0-14 27-21 0 +45' 6 +6 +2' 4.2 -1.8 W W O 0 SUN 4 2012 CIN JAC A 3-0 14-7 0-3 10-0 27-10 +1 +44' 17 +18 -7' 5.2 -12.8 W W U 0 MON 6 2012 DEN SD A +1 +49' |
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10-14-12 | Green Bay Packers +3.5 v. Houston Texans | 42-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Late Play is on the Packers. Game 231 at 8:30 eastern. Last week we nailed New Orleans over San Diego in this spot. This week we go to a live dog in Green Bay. The Texas apply to a Solid system direct from the database that plays against any home team that was a road favorite by 7 or more in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road favorite in their last game. These home teams are 2-13 ats since 1989. If we insist that the home teams had 150 or more yards rushing in their last game the system is Perfect against the home teams. Houston is also 1-5 to the spread in the first of back to back home games and 1-5 ats as a home favorite off a road loss. Even worse they are 0-8 to the spread vs .400 or less non conference teams. The Packers have won 5 of 6 in game 6 of the season and are opposite Houston at 8-0 to the spread vs .500 or better non conference opponents. They have also won 12 of 15 vs winning teams overall. With the Packers having covered 5 of the last 6 as a dog we will. BACK The PACK Tonight.
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10-14-12 | NY Giants +7 v. San Francisco 49ers | 26-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
On Sunday Double System Super Pack is on Seattle. Game 224 at 4:05 eastern and the NY Giants. Game 229 at 4:25 eastern. Seattle fits several variations of the Home dog off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home win systems. The Patriots fit the play against the super bowl loser as a non division road favorite vs a winning team system that has been a Huge money maker through the years. Seattle has covered 11 of 12 before playing on the division road and 11 of 12 home vs non conference teams. Seattle is much tougher here with the loud crowd than they are on the road. The Patriots could be stuck in a flat spot with a big one on deck next week. Take Seattle. Game 2 of the pack has the Giants as we play against teams like the Niners that have allowed 3 or less points combined in their last 2 games. The Niners put up a ton of points the last 2 weeks in a pair of Blowout wins and will be hard pressed to duplicate those performances. Teams who have allowed 3 or less combined in back to back games have Never covered long term vs teams who scored 17 or more last out. Add in the fact that Super Bowl champs as a dog off back to back wins have been money. These teams do not need the point in many cases. Look for a tight game with the Giants in it the whole way. Take New York.
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10-14-12 | Buffalo Bills +5 v. Arizona Cardinals | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 48 h 52 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Dog is on Buffalo. Game 225 at 4:05 eastern. There is a huge System Subset that is 22-0 and plays against Arizona and all Favorites of 7 or less that are in week 6 or later that come in off their first loss, there are a few more parameters to this one that gets it Perfect but the base system is solid enough. The Bills have the edge on offense while Arizona has it on defense. The Cardinals may be deflated off the loss last week and The Bills are 17-7 ats vs NFC West teams and have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series, They are also a Fabulous 6-0 ats as a dog of 3.5 or more off a loss and scored 7 or less last out. The Bills will want to get the bitter taste of last weeks 45 point blowout loss out of their mouth and will give Arizona all they can handle in this one. Take the Points with the Bills.
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10-14-12 | New England Patriots v. Seattle Seahawks +4 | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 48 h 51 m | Show | |
On Sunday Double System Super Pack is on Seattle. Game 224 at 4:05 eastern and the NY Giants. Game 229 at 4:25 eastern. Seattle fits several variations of the Home dog off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home win systems. The Patriots fit the play against the super bowl loser as a non division road favorite vs a winning team system that has been a Huge money maker through the years. Seattle has covered 11 of 12 before playing on the division road and 11 of 12 home vs non conference teams. Seattle is much tougher here with the loud crowd than they are on the road. The Patriots could be stuck in a flat spot with a big one on deck next week. Take Seattle. Game 2 of the pack has the Giants as we play against teams like the Niners that have allowed 3 or less points combined in their last 2 games. The Niners put up a ton of points the last 2 weeks in a pair of Blowout wins and will be hard pressed to duplicate those performances. Teams who have allowed 3 or less combined in back to back games have Never covered long term vs teams who scored 17 or more last out. Add in the fact that Super Bowl champs as a dog off back to back wins have been money. These teams do not need the point in many cases. Look for a tight game with the Giants in it the whole way. Take New York.
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10-14-12 | New England Patriots v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 42.5 | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
NFL OFF SHORE STEAM TOTAL OVER 42.5 PATS AND SEAHAWKS
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10-14-12 | Kansas City Chiefs +4 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 10-38 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Blowout Play is On Miami. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. Where playing again's the Rams here as they fit a bevy of system that pertain to low lined dogs that are off back to back dogs wins. The Rams pulled a pair of upset home dog wins against division rivals Seattle and Arizona and may bot be nearly as focused for a non conference road game. They are 7-20 ats as a road dog from 3.5 to 7. Miami has won and covered the last 3 here in the series and comes in off a solid win themselves. While I'm aware that Rookie Quaterbacks have not fared well when favored this season I feel that trend can quickly turn. There is one system that is super rare and has applied just 7 times since 1980 and plays against certain non conference teams off back to back dogs wins. Miami should win and cover and may win by double digits here. Make it Miami.
On Sunday the Dog with Bite that Wins Outright is on Kansas City. The Chiefs fit one my favorite dog systems that plays on dogs that scored 7 or less points but still managed to cover the spread. They also own all the Power Angles in this one. The Chiefs are 14-1 ats in October games off a loss and 9-0 ats vs NFC Teams off a loss. Coach Crennel has covered 9 of 10 on the road off back to back losses. The Bucs are 1-9 straight up and ats off back to back losses and 0-8 ats as a non conference favorite of more than 3. They have lost the last 5 years in game 5 of the season. Finally we want to play against home favorites off back to back losses that have rest. Take the Chiefs in this one. |
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10-14-12 | St. Louis Rams v. Miami Dolphins -4.5 | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Blowout Play is On Miami. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. Where playing again's the Rams here as they fit a bevy of system that pertain to low lined dogs that are off back to back dogs wins. The Rams pulled a pair of upset home dog wins against division rivals Seattle and Arizona and may bot be nearly as focused for a non conference road game. They are 7-20 ats as a road dog from 3.5 to 7. Miami has won and covered the last 3 here in the series and comes in off a solid win themselves. While I'm aware that Rookie Quaterbacks have not fared well when favored this season I feel that trend can quickly turn. There is one system that is super rare and has applied just 7 times since 1980 and plays against certain non conference teams off back to back dogs wins. Miami should win and cover and may win by double digits here. Make it Miami.
On Sunday the Dog with Bite that Wins Outright is on Kansas City. The Chiefs fit one my favorite dog systems that plays on dogs that scored 7 or less points but still managed to cover the spread. They also own all the Power Angles in this one. The Chiefs are 14-1 ats in October games off a loss and 9-0 ats vs NFC Teams off a loss. Coach Crennel has covered 9 of 10 on the road off back to back losses. The Bucs are 1-9 straight up and ats off back to back losses and 0-8 ats as a non conference favorite of more than 3. They have lost the last 5 years in game 5 of the season. Finally we want to play against home favorites off back to back losses that have rest. Take the Chiefs in this one. |
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10-13-12 | California v. Washington State +7 | 31-17 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 37 m | Show | |
On Saturday night the PAC 12 play is on Washington St. Game 180 at 10:30 eastern. We want to play against road favorites like California of -3.5 or more off a home dog win, vs an opponent that has Double or more revenge. These teams are 18-43 to the spread long term and 1-7 ats the last 4 years. A secondary system that also plays against road favorites off a home dog win and scored 5 or more touchdowns, vs an opponent off a spread win also applies and has cashed over 85% of the time. Coach Leach has cashed all 6 times as a dog of 15 or less off a loss. Coach Tedford for California has lost straight up 8 of the last 9 times off a dog win and is 0-5 ats of late as a road favorite. Cal is also 2-8 ats on turf and 2-6 off a conference win. The Cougars have cashed 10 of 15 as a home dog from 3.5 to 7 and 9 of the last 12 off back to back losses. Look for Washington St to get the cover
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10-13-12 | South Carolina +3 v. LSU | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
On Saturday the Dog with Bite that Wins outright is on South Carolina, game 177 at 8:00 eastern as we note,that certain home conference teams are like LSU are 0-19 ATS if they are coming off 3 or more consecutive ATS losses and were outyarded last week. LSU had severs damage done to their national title hopse last week. They are just 7-20 ats at home and have struggled even when they win, particularly against Towson. South Carolina Smashed a good Georgia team last week. LSU has had their rushing numbers go down the last 4 weeks and their rush yards allowed go up. Look for South Carolina +3 to win this one.
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10-13-12 | Florida v. Vanderbilt +9 | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
On Saturday the SEC Play is on Vandy. Game 144 at 6:00 eastern. Florida fits a negative system here today that plays against 5-0 teams that are a dog or favorite from -7 to -20 and plays an opponent off a win with revenge vs an opponent with a win percentage of .400 to .860. Florida is 0-3 straight up and ats on the road if the total is 42 or less. Last season they just got past a stubborn Vandy team 26-21 at home. The Commodores are 9-0 ats at home the last 2 seasons and are better than advertised this season. Look for Vandy to hang around and get the cover, just like they did vs South Carolina here losing late 17-13 while covering the spread. Take Vandy plus the points
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10-13-12 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech +4.5 | 14-49 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
On Saturday the dog with Bite is On Texas Tech. Game 182 at 3:30 eastern. Tech will look to rebound off their 1st loss. They were beaten good by a Motivated Oklahoma team that had rest. Today they take on a West Virginia team that was an upset winner last week in Texas. This could be a much tougher spot for a West Virginia team that may bounce and will be taking on a much better defense. Tech has the #3 defense and has won 7 of 10 straight up as a home dog from +3.5 to +7. They are also 20-5 ats off a home loss since 1992. West Viginia applies to a Huge Play against tystem that pertains to Undefeated road favorites. Look for Texas Tech to get the cover here today.
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10-13-12 | Stanford v. Notre Dame -7 | 13-20 | Push | 0 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Defensive Dominator is on Notre Dame. Game 170 at 3:30 eastern. Notre Dame has been awesome on defense this season holding opponents to far below their offensive averages, including teams like Michigan and last week vs Miami. Stanford was a loser in their lone road game to an average Washington team. Road teams like the Cardinals have never covered if coming off an Overtime win, if they are a spread loss vs an opponent off a win and cover. These teams are 0-11 ats. Stanford has lost 7 of 9 here in the series and will have a tough time scoring on Notre Dame here. Coach Kelly is 8-0 ats after 2 straight games allowing 17 or less with Notre Dame. Statistically both offenses are nearly even. Look for Notre Dame to ground the Cardinal.
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10-13-12 | Fresno State +7 v. Boise State | 10-20 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
OFF SHORE STEAM Fresno St game 161 at 3:35 eastern.
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10-13-12 | Kansas State v. Iowa State +7 | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 85 h 51 m | Show | |
On Saturday the BIG 12 Play is on Iowa. St. Game 154 at 12 noon eastern. There is a fabulous 21-0 Power System in play in this game. We want to play on certain Game 6 or later Home dogs if they have a win percentage of 750 or higher and are taking on an undefeated opponent that allows 18 or less points per game and comes in off a spread win of 9 or more. This system was last seen CASHING for us last season when Michigan St upended Wisconsin as a 7 point dog. The Cyclones have won 2 of 3 as a home dog in this range and both times at home when the total is 49.5 to 52. Kansas St is a poor road favorite failing to cover the last 5 times vs an opponent off a win. Meanwhile Iowa. St has covered 8 of the last as a dog. Take a Ride on the Cyclones with the 7 points
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10-13-12 | Texas +3.5 v. Oklahoma | 21-63 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early Side is on Texas. Game 11 at high noon. Texas fits a solid system that pertains to them being a Conference dog in non home games if they were a favorite of 7 or more and are getting less than 19, provided its Game 4 or later and this is their first loss. This system is 23-1 ats since 1981. Texas plays with Big revenge in this one for a 55-10 Pasting last year in this game where they had 5 turnovers. Stoops for Oklahoma is 0-4 ats vs Texas when he has at least one loss. The Sooners have failed to cover 12 of 16 times in games before Playing Kansas and Texas has covered 5 of the last 6 in Game six. Coach Brown has covered 8 of 9 with Double Revenge. The Sooners have not faced an offense this good all season. This game should be a Nail biter and Will probably be decided on one or 2 of the last possessions. In the End Oklahoma is TEXAS TOAST. Take UT
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10-13-12 | Syracuse +7.5 v. Rutgers | 15-23 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Big East Beast Play is on Syracuse. Game 133 at 12 noon eastern. The Orangemen have played a tougher schedule than Rutgers with games against USC and Northwestern. They have a 120 yard edge on offense and are the beneficiaries of a Solid week 6 system that plays against Rutgers and all 5-0 teams favored from -7 to -20 vs an opponent off a win, with revenge and with a win percentage from .400 to .850. These undefeated teams have failed to cover 38 of 50 times long term. The Last 2 seasons these two have played tight games decided by 3 or less points. This game has a similar feel and it would be no surprise to see Syracuse pull an upset here. Take Syracuse plus the points.
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10-12-12 | Navy +2 v. Central Michigan | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
On Friday the NCAAF play is on Navy. Game 109 at 8:00 eastern. Navy should be able to control this game on the ground as they rush for 232 yards per game and that number is also what the Central Michigan defense allows on the ground. Navy is 8-1 ats as a dog of 7 or less vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more points. Navy has won 4 of the last 5 on turf and both meetings in this series. When they are a road dog of 3 or less they are 7-2 ats. Central Michigan is 1-11 ats in weeks 5-9 and 1-5 ats vs losing teams. On 6 or less days of rest they have failed to cover in 16 of 19 games. Finally Central Michigan is 0-6 ats off back to back losses vs an opponent off a loss. Look for Navy to get the cash tonight.
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10-11-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Tennessee Titans +6.5 | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
On Thursday we "Remember the Titans" Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. The Titans are 11-0 ATS in franchise history when they are off a road game in which they scored fewer than ten points, had more than 25 yards rushing and committed at least two turnovers. The Steelers apply to a system that is 1-13 ats that plays against all road teams with short rest off a home game where they scored 21 or less vs an opponent off a road game and scored less than 10 and had less than 100 yards Rushing. Where else would you fing system and material like this. I looked for every reason to like thr Steelers here. I even querirs how thye do in their last 15 games as a road favorite when they win the game, and still they are ust 8-7 ats. The Steelers are 2-9 ats as a non division favorite of -3 or more and have dropped 9 of 10 to the spread in games before playing the Bengals. The Titans have covered 5 of 6 on Thursday since 1992. Take the points. The Titans will likely be a 7 point dog by game time.
SU: 9-2-0 (8.4) ATS: 11-0-0 (7.4) Team: 35.6 Opp: 19.1 Day Week Season SUN 13 1997 TEN BUF H 14-0 7-7 3-0 7-7 31-14 -3' +36' 17 +13' +8' 11.0 -2.5 W W O 0 SUN 10 1999 TEN CIN A 14-0 0-0 10-7 0-7 24-14 -9 +34' 10 +1 +3' 2.2 1.2 W W O 0 SUN 6 2001 TEN TB H 7-0 10-7 0-7 11-14 31-28 -2' +33 3 +0' +26 13.2 12.8 W W O 1 SUN 9 2001 TEN JAC H 7-0 0-17 7-0 14-7 28-24 -3 +37' 4 +1 +14' 7.8 6.8 W W O 0 SUN 3 2003 TEN NO H 10-2 3-3 7-0 7-7 27-12 -4' +43' 15 +10' -4' 3.0 -7.5 W W U 0 SUN 8 2004 TEN CIN H 0-3 13-0 14-10 0-7 27-20 -3 +40 7 +4 +7 5.5 1.5 W W O 0 SUN 2 2005 TEN BAL H 7-0 6-0 3-3 9-7 25-10 +3' +36' 15 +18' -1' 8.5 -10.0 W W U 0 SUN 3 2006 TEN MIA A 0-3 7-0 3-7 0-3 10-13 +10' +35' -3 +7' -12' -2.5 -10.0 L W U 0 SUN 10 2006 TEN BAL H 12-7 14-10 0-0 0-10 26-27 +7 +38 -1 +6 +15 10.5 4.5 L W O 0 SUN 13 2007 TEN TEX H 7-7 0-3 14-0 7-10 28-20 -3' +42' 8 +4' +5' 5.0 0.5 W W O 0 SUN 8 2009 TEN JAC H 3-0 10-7 10-6 7-0 30-13 -3 +44' 17 +14 -1' 6.2 -7.8 W W U 0 THUR 6 2012 TEN PIT H +6' +43 1-13 ATS System plays against the Steelers. SUN 4 1991 HOU NE A 3-3 3-14 0-0 14-7 20-24 -12' +38 -4 -16' +6 -5.2 11.2 L L O 0 SAT 17 1994 PHI CIN A 3-7 17-3 7-10 3-13 30-33 +1 +36 -3 -2 +27 12.5 14.5 L L O 0 SAT 17 1994 SEA CLE A 0-7 0-14 3-7 6-7 9-35 +10' +33' -26 -15' +10' -2.5 13.0 L L O 0 THUR 14 1996 WAS DAL A 0-0 3-7 7-7 0-7 10-21 +9 +42 -11 -2 -11 -6.5 -4.5 L L U 0 SUN 9 1997 IND SD A 0-3 0-9 6-14 13-9 19-35 +6 +37' -16 -10 +16' 3.2 13.2 L L O 0 SUN 12 1997 PHI BAL A 0-7 0-0 3-0 7-3 10-10 +2' +41 0 +2' -21 -9.2 -11.8 P W U 1 SUN 11 1999 NE MIA A 7-3 3-7 7-14 0-3 17-27 +3 +37 -10 -7 +7 0.0 7.0 L L O 0 FRI 16 1999 DAL NO A 0-10 7-0 17-7 0-14 24-31 -9 +37' -7 -16 +17' 0.8 16.8 L L O 0 SAT 17 2000 SF DEN A 0-0 0-17 0-21 9-0 9-38 +7' +50' -29 -21' -3' -12.5 9.0 L L U 0 SUN 16 2001 NO TB A 0-17 0-13 7-3 14-15 21-48 +3 +38 -27 -24 +31 3.5 27.5 L L O 0 SUN 9 2002 PHI CHI A 0-0 7-13 6-0 6-0 19-13 -7 +38' 6 -1 -6' -3.8 -2.8 W L U 0 SUN 3 2005 DAL SF A 0-7 12-17 7-7 15-0 34-31 -6' +40' 3 -3' +24' 10.5 14.0 W L O 0 SAT 16 2011 STL PIT A 0-3 0-7 0-3 0-14 0-27 +12 +34' -27 -15 -7' -11.2 3.8 L L U 0 SUN 4 2012 SEA STL A 7-3 0-10 3-3 3-3 13-19 -2 +39 -6 -8 -7 -7.5 0.5 L L U 0 THUR 6 2012 PIT TEN A -6' +43 |
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10-11-12 | Western Kentucky v. Troy +3 | 31-26 | Loss | -120 | 44 h 21 m | Show | |
On Thursday the 96% Sun Belt Slammer is on Troy. Game 108 at 7:30 eastern. This game fits a Huge 96% power system that plays on Rested Home dogs with revenge off a win of 7 or more with a win percentage of 750 or less, vs an Conference opponent and is also off a win. Troy is 6-0 ats at home with rest and has won 5 of 6 in the series. Western Kentucky is 2-9 vs winning teams and has dome most of their damage vs losing teams of late. The Hilltoppers are also an anemic 3-13 with rest. With Troy 5-1 at home with a total of 49.5 to 56 we will back them here tonight to serve up revenge. TROY Takes out their Trojans and sticks it WKU Good tonight.
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10-08-12 | Houston Texans v. NY Jets +9 | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 139 h 48 m | Show |
On Monday the NFL Power system Play is on the NY. Jets plus the points. Game 436 at 8:35 eastern. Teams like the Jets off a home loss by 2 dozen or more points bounce back big in right back home games, vs an opponent who comes in off a win. If the home team get more than a field goal the system really sky rockets. The Jets were so pathetic on offense last week and rushed for under 50 yards and passed for slightly over 100 yards. In fact home dogs off a home dog loss that rushed for less than 50 yards and passed for less than 150 have won straight up every time if the total is 44 or less. The Jets have won all 5 meetings in the series and are 3-0 vs AFC South teams. Coach Ryan has won 5 of the last 6 vs an undefeated team and the Texans have failed to cover every time in October games off a win and cover vs a non divisional opponent. Backed with the 2 systems and the 4 Power Angles we will take the points in this one.
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10-07-12 | San Diego Chargers v. New Orleans Saints -3.5 | 24-31 | Win | 102 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Power system play is on the Saints at 8:35 eastern. We want to play on 0-4 teams in week 5 that were installed as favorites as these teams finally break through to the tune of 80% win and cover if they were a playoff team last season and lost their last game by 6 or less points. The Saints have covered the last 10 times off a loss if their opponent is a winning team. The Chargers are 1-7 to the spread on the road vs teams that are .333 or less if they scored 35 or more in their last game. Chargers are a nice team but not good enough to start 3-0 on the road.
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10-07-12 | Tennessee Titans +6 v. Minnesota Vikings | Top | 7-30 | Loss | -109 | 111 h 31 m | Show |
On Sunday the NFL Road warrior System play is on the Titans. Game 419 at 4:25 eastern. The Titans are the beneficiaries of some solid technical systems that plays against the Vikings in this one. Week 5 teams off a pair of dog wins have been money vs an opponent that had a winning percentage of .400 or less last season. The Vikes have failed to cover the last 6 times as a team when playing off back to back dog wins. The Titans fit a nice week 5 system that plays on 1-3 teams off a loss vs an opponent off a win that has at least one win. There is no surprise that teams coming home vs a non conference team struggle off a big road division dog win. The Vikings struggled at home in their opener vs a very mediocre Jacksonville team. Take the points today with the Titans.
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10-07-12 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Pittsburgh Steelers -3 | 14-16 | Loss | -125 | 107 h 7 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Early Power System Winner is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 414 at 1:00 eastern. The Steelers are rested and ready and have covered 6 of 7 off a straight up favored loss vs a non conference team. The Eagles may be flat off the big division win vs the Giants and they are 1-6 to the spread as non conference dogs of 9 or less. Even worse we want to play against teams as a dog of 3 or more after beating the defending Super Bowl champions as these teams turn up flat as a pan cake having lost 30 of the last 34 times. The Steelers fit a nice system that plays on non division favorites that scored 20 or more before their bye week as these teams rested teams have covered 27 of the last 32 times over a 29 year period. The Tomlin, Rothlisberger combo are 9-0 straight up and to the spread off 1 exact loss of late. Look for the Steelers to rebound and get the win and cover.
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10-07-12 | Atlanta Falcons v. Washington Redskins +3 | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC power System Side is on Washington. Game 412 at 1;00 eastern. The Redskins fit a plethora of systems pertaining to home dogs off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home win. Atlanta fits a negative system that plays against road favorites of -3 or less off a home favored win and spread loss vs an opponent like the Skins off a win which has cased 20 of the last 24 times. The Falcons have lost and failed to cover 14 of the last 16 times vs an NFC East team if both they and their opponent won their last game. As we seen on Thursday night in our 5* Rams selection, these short prided 4-0 road favorites are no cinch to get win number 5. Washington is 7-1 to the spread in October off a dog win vs a winning team, and 5-1 ats as non division home dogs of 3 or more. Look for Washington to get the cash here today.
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10-07-12 | Green Bay Packers v. Indianapolis Colts +7 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 83 h 29 m | Show |
On Sunday the NFL Rest system side is on the Colts. Game 416 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit a huge rest system that play on home dogs of 6 or more off a bye week vs an opponent with no rest. These home dogs are 25-6 to the spread. These rested home teams are also 7-0 straight up and ats if getting 2.5 or more and come in off a home loss. The Packers have failed to cover 6 of 7 as a road favorite of more than 6. Even worse are teams that are 2-2 off one exact win if they had a win percentage of .800 or higher last season. These teams are 2-8 ats since 1977. The Packers have failed to cover 4 straight in the series here. The Colts have covered 7 of 8 in October games if getting 5 or more vs a winning team. Look for the Colts to keep this one close today.
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10-06-12 | Washington v. Oregon -24 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 92 h 29 m | Show | |
On Saturday the LATE NIGHT SNACK is on Oregon. Game 348 at 10:30 eastern. Oregon fits an excellent Game 6 system that plays on home favorites that have played 4 of the first 5 games at home. These game 6 homers coming off a road game have covered 92% of the times vs an opponent that rushed for 95 or more yards last out. Oregon has Dominated the series covering 7 of the last 8. Washington has failed 75% of the time on the road when the total is 63 to 70 and may be flat off the big revenge Win over Stanford last week. The Ducks average 200 more yards on offense than the Huskies. This one could get ugly fast. Take Oregon.
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10-06-12 | UNLV v. Louisiana Tech OVER 69 | 31-58 | Win | 100 | 89 h 55 m | Show | |
NCAAF OFF SHORE STEAM MOVE Over LA. Tech
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10-06-12 | West Virginia v. Texas -7 | 48-45 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
On Saturday the BIG 12 Banger is on Texas. Game 352 at 7;00 eastern. Texas fits one of may favorite scoring systems that pertains to home or neutral teams that are -24 or less and scored 150 or more points combined in their last 3 games. This system is 62-25 long term and 10-2 the last 12. West Virginia also fits a negative system that plays against 4-0 road dogs at +4 or more. Both teams will score in this one. However Texas has the better defense and will likely get the win and cover.
On Saturday the BIG 10 Bangers is on Ohio. St. Game 394 at 8:00 eastern. The Buckeyes are 10-0 ats with Revenge and fit a solid week 6 system that pertains to home favorites that played 4 of first 5 at home and are coming off a road game. Ohio St has covered the last 5 times in game 6 and are a better team than Nebraska. Lay the small number here. On Saturday the SEC Slammer is on Georgia. Game 349 at 7:00 eastern. The Bulldogs have 45-42 home loss revenge in this one and are a solid 7-0 ats off 3+ home games, 3-1 as a conference road dog of 3 or less. Coach Richt has won 22 of 24 on the road vs winning teams if he is not off a win of 25 or more. In the battle of 5-0 teams the dog has covered every time if the opponent is off 2+ wins and covers. Look for Georgia to get revenge on South Carolina here tonight. |
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10-06-12 | Wyoming v. Nevada -16 | Top | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 2 m | Show |
On Saturday the Conference Power System Winner is on Nevada. Game 366 at 7:00 eastern. This game should be a complete and utter Blowout here tonight as Nevada fits the parameters to one of my favorite Dominator systems as we play on conference home favorites in game 6 or later to -23 off a win vs an opponent off 1 exact road dog win at +2 or more. Nevada is a Perfect 10. They have covered the last 10 homers vs Mountain West Conference teams. They have the #1 ranked rushing attack on top of being able to throw the ball over the place. They take on a Wyoming team that allowed over 500 yards to Idaho and their back up Qb and then the same to Toledo. Nevada under coach Ault have been a solid home favorite. Look for them to pull away late in this one.
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10-06-12 | Washington State +15.5 v. Oregon State | 6-19 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
On Saturday the PAC 12 Play is on Washington St. Game 383 at 6:00 eastern. Oregon St is now off 3 dog wins in a row and find them in the favored roll which has been a solid play against for teams off 3 upset wins/ Particularly vs teams who were not losers of more than 4 touchdowns in their last game and scored less than 7 touchdowns last out. Playing against these fat cat favorites would have you cashing 96% long term. Oregon St doesn't have the offense that Washington St saw last week vs Oregon and will be able to stay in this game here tonight. Let us not forget what happened here the last time the Cougars visited the Beavers. Lets just say the "Broke the Dam" Winning outright as a 23 point dog. The Cougars are 5-0 ats after allowing 35 or more vs an opponent off a dog win. From Big dog to Fat cat, Oregon St fits our Flat spot. Take the Points with Washington St.
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10-06-12 | Oklahoma -5 v. Texas Tech | 41-20 | Win | 100 | 86 h 32 m | Show | |
On Saturday the System Club Play is on Oklahoma. Game 371 at 3;30 eastern. Oklahoma is rested and ready here off their huge upset loss to a Kansas St Team they blasted and out yarded by over 500 yards last season. Now they come off the loss as a 15 point favorite vs a Texas Tech squad off a nice conference road win at Iowa St. The Sooners are 6-1 to the spread as a favorite of less than 17 vs a winning team and 8-2 ats off a double digit loss. Coach Stoops has won and covered 7 straight vs a team that is undefeated if his team allowed 24 or more points last out. Tech coach Tubberville has never covered the spread as a home dog in this range if the opposing team comes in with revenge. How bad do you think the Sooners want this one after losing to Texas Tech 41-38 last season as a 29 point favorite. They were 6-0 at the time and had their season ruined. The Very next week they woke up and Slaughtered Kansas St. Look for Texas Tech to suffer a similar fate. Lay the Points in this one.
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10-06-12 | Kent State v. Eastern Michigan +3 | 41-14 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Super Simulator Play is on Eastern Michigan. Game 334 at 1:00 eastern. We want to play against teams like Kent that are conference road favorites off back to back conference dog wins, if they were less than .500 last season. These Road kill teams have failed to cover 16 of 18 times the last 33 Years. Another solid system in this one is to play against road favorites off a home dog win vs an opponent with double or more revenge as this system is 43-18. Line is 3 points for a 3-1 team vs a team that is 0-4, Fishy. Look for Eastern Michigan to fine their home ground much more comfortable than the Big 10 road. Take the points with Eastern Michigan.
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10-06-12 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina -6 | Top | 34-48 | Win | 100 | 59 h 9 m | Show |
On Saturday the Early 5* Power System play is on North Carolina. Game 346 at 12:30 eastern. Va. Tech is OVER RATED this year. There, I said it. The line is moving up in this game as folks start to realize the Heels are just better this season. The Hokies have dropped 4 of the last 5 to the spread. Perhaps the biggest reason though were on the Heels is Dynamite from the database. Home favorites from -2 to -33 that scored 40 or more in a home shutout win have been awesome vs teams off a loss. Long term these teams are 55-9 to the spread and have covered 25 of the last 28. Never satisfied unless we have perfection, we note that there is a 22-0 Subset involved in the aforementioned system. The Heels also fit another tight system that plays on home favorites off a win of 60 or more vs a team off a loss which is 6-2 of late and was hitting 86% before that. Look for Carolina to get the win and cover in this one.
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10-05-12 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +2.5 | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 65 h 3 m | Show | |
On Friday the College Football Play is on Syracuse. Game 310 at 7:00 eastern. Syracuse has covered 7 of the last 8 with rest and 6 of the last 7 off a straight up favored loss. The Panthers looked inept losing 31-17 in their lone road game at Cincinnati. Conference road teams in this spread range vs teams .500 or less that have revenge have been poor investments over the years. The Panthers wasted their time scheduling Gardner Webb as they get no credit for a 55-10 win. The Orange have played tougher teams and lost by 1 here to a 4-0 Northwestern team. Look for Syracuse to take Pittsburgh tonight.
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10-04-12 | Arizona Cardinals v. St. Louis Rams +2 | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 68 h 42 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Triple System Super Side is on the Rams. Game 302 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits 3 Powerful systems here tonight. What we want to do is play against certain road favorites like the Cardinals that are off a home favored win and spread loss, vs an opponent off a win in their last game. These road favorites are just 4-20 ats long term. Another Highly Successful system plays on home dogs off a home dog win, vs an opponent off a home favored win. Finally our perfect system plays on all home teams from -3 to +3 that that scored 21 or less at home in their last game and rushed for less than 100 yards, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home and rushed for less than 50 yards. These home teams are flawless to the spread. Arizona coach Whisenhunt is 1-7 ats off back to back wins. The Rams are 5-1 ats home off a dog win and have improved on defense in each of the last 3 games. Arizona has lost the only two times they have played on Thursday. Look for St. Louis to to take this one here tonight
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10-04-12 | Arizona Cardinals v. St. Louis Rams OVER 38.5 | 3-17 | Loss | -105 | 67 h 20 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Totals system is to play over the total in the Arizona at St. Louis game 301/302 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits another cutting edge system that plays to the over for home dogs that rushed for less than 100 yards at home in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home in their last game and also rushed for less than 100 yards. In a week shortened game the offenses tend to have the advantage. Look for this one to play over the total
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10-04-12 | East Carolina v. Central Florida -11.5 | 20-40 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
On Thursday The College Football selection is on Central Florida. Game 304 at 8:00 eastern. The line is dropping in this one as UCF once a 14 point favorite is now down to 11.5. UCF has revenge from a 38-31 loss last season and will look to rebound off a home loss to Missouri on Saturday. They have covered 3 of the last 4 in the series. The Knight have been a solid proposition vs this level of talent at home. East Carolina is 0-16 to the spread when they lose on the road, which is a very real possibility here for them. Look for UCF to get the win and cover here tonight.
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10-01-12 | Chicago Bears v. Dallas Cowboys -3 | 34-18 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 23 m | Show | |
On Monday the NFL Power system play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 232 at 8:35 eastern. The Cowboys fit a solid week 4 system that pertains to teams off back to back spread losses, vs an opponent off an ats win and scored 19 or more. Dallas has lost their ground game after starting big against the Giants. Dallas does have edges on both sides of the ball and has won and covered 3 of the 4 here at home vs Chicago. The Bears are 0-6 ats after allowing 10 or less points and just 2-16 ats after a game where they were favored by 7 or more and had 1 or less turnovers. On Monday nights the Bears are 3-9 ats on the road off a win and cover and 3-11 to the spread on the road vs non division teams. Look for Dallas to get the win and cover here tonight.
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09-30-12 | NY Giants +1.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles | 17-19 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 29 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC East Power Side is on the Giants. Game 229 at 8:30 eastern. The Giants are well rested in this one and we note that Divisional dogs or favorites of less than 7 in September games have failed to cover in 20 of 22 times if they .500 or worse last season and did not lose in the preseason this year. The Giants also fit a superb system that plays on teams off a win and cover on Thursday vs an opponent off a loss and failed cover. The Eagles also fit another negative system that plays against home teams with a +3 to-3 line if they are off 1 or more unders and allow 14 or more points in the first half. These home teams are 3-22 to the spread. The Eagles are 0-9 ats at home vs division teams off a non division road game and 1-6 ats as favorites vs an opponent off 2 or more wins that last as a dog. The Eagles are 0-4 the last 4 times playing off 1 exact loss and the Giants are 5-0 as dogs off a spread win by 10 or more vs winning division teams. I thing we have all heard enough. Take the Giants in this one.
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09-30-12 | Miami Dolphins +6.5 v. Arizona Cardinals | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 108 h 51 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL System Play is on Miami. Game 219 at 4:05 eastern. Miami fits a few system here today. Taking a look at one we want to play against Non division favorites off 3 straight dog wins if they are -4 or more. These teams like Arizona have lost 8 of 9 times to the spread the last 32 years. Miami has cashed 8 of times vs any team off 3+ wins. The Cardinals have failed to cover all 5 times in non division games as favorites off a dog win. Coach Whisenhunt is 0-5 ats laying a field goal or more when off at least 2 wins. Finally the Cardinals are 1-7 ats off a double digit ats win vs losing teams. Miami has a solid defense and that will keep them in this game. Look for Miami to get the cover in this one.
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09-30-12 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Jacksonville Jaguars +3 | 27-10 | Loss | -120 | 75 h 41 m | Show | |
This Pack must cash 2 of 3 games. Jacksonville +1.5, Oakland +7 and New Orleans +7.5
On Sunday the NFL Triple pack is on Jacksonville. Game 224 at 4:05 eastern. Game 2 On Oakland. Game 221 at 4;05 eastern and New Orleans. Game 225 at 4;05 eastern. Both the Jags and Raiders fit a game 4 system that plays on all dogs of 1.5 or more off 1 exact win. These teams are 45-14 ats. The Saints fit a 37-9 system that plays on road dogs from 7 to 10 in a non division game if both teams are off non division games. The Bengals are 0-5 ats after allowing 35 or more while the Jags are 10-1 ats with revenge in non division games vs an opponent off a dog win. Oakland is 16-2 ats as division dogs and have covered the last 6 here. In the Saints games we note that their is a second system that plays on 0-3 road teams in Sunday games that are off a non shutout loss vs an opponent with at least one win. Take Jacksonville, Oakland and New Orleans in late afternoon action. |
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09-30-12 | New England Patriots v. Buffalo Bills +4.5 | 52-28 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Shocker is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 206 at 1:00 eastern. The Patriots are off a pair of close losses both by a combined 3 points. A last play missed field goal at home vs Arizona and a late loss on Sunday night aided by shoddy officiating left Bellichick with a 50,000 fine. Those close losses set the Patriots up in a Never lost system that dates to 1980 and plays against teams off 2 losses by 3 or less points. These teams have lost every time the last 33 years. The Patriots usually do well here. However this could be the year Buffalo knocks them off. The Pats are 1-7 to the spread as favorites off 2 losses and the Billls are 7-0 ats as a dogs of 3 or more vs an opponent off back to back losses. Finally the Bills have won an amazing 19 of 20 times off a win in September games vs a losing team that is off a loss. The Patriots cant go 1-3. Can They? We will grab the points in this one.
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09-29-12 | Oregon v. Washington State OVER 71 | 51-26 | Win | 100 | 57 h 20 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Super Charged power total is on the Over in the Washington St at Oregon game. Rotation numbers 145/146 at 10:30 eastern. This game fits a Powerful system that pertains to teams averaging over 500 yards of offense vs opponents who are allowing 400 or more yards on defense. Last week the much anticipated 90 point combined out put expected in the Oregon and Arizona game never materialized as Arizona scored 0 points in 4 early redzone attempts and Oregon didn't pour on the offense until later in the game. Washington St is improved on offense this year , but still has problems on defense. The Cougars have flown over all 7 times in September games. Look for this game to have back and forth scoring and perhaps this one gets into the 90/s tonight. Take the over in this one.
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09-29-12 | Oregon State +3 v. Arizona | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 90 h 40 m | Show | |
On Saturday the PAC 12 Dog with Bite that Wins outright is on the Oregon St Beavers. Game 159 at 10:00 eastern. This game fits one of my favorite First loss systems and pertains to game 5 teams like Arizona off their initial loss of the season in a conference game, vs an opponent off back to back wins. One more Subset gets this system to a 96% win percentage. Oregon St excels in closely lined games as evidence to their 7-0 spread records when the line is +3 to -3. The Beavers have built quite the dam here in Arizona covering the last 5 trips. Arizona has failed 10 of the last 12 times as a conference favorite and 3 of the last 4 times at home when the total is 56.5 to 59. With Oregon ST having covered 12 of the last 15 with Conference revenge we will take them and the points in this one.
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09-29-12 | Ole Miss +30 v. Alabama | 14-33 | Win | 100 | 56 h 10 m | Show | |
On Saturday the SEC Play is on OLE MISS. Game 161 at 9:15 eastern. The Rebels fit a 25-5 Power system that pertains to road dogs off a road shutout win. There is a sweet subset that gets this one in the high 90% range. We also want to play against teams like Alabama that allow 4.2 or less yards per play if they allowed 150 or less in their last game. These teams have failed to cover in 33 of the last 38 games since 2002. The Rebels played Alabama very close here in 2010 and have covered the last 4 times as a road dog of 21.5 or more. Alabama has failed to cover every time the past few season at home when the total is 52.5 to 56. In light of the recent struggles of Arkansas and Michigan the Alabama wins against those two don't look as impressive as they did previously. Look for OLE MISS to hang around for the cover.
On Saturday the MLB Play is on the Pirates. Game 952 at 7:05 eastern. The Pirates were not hit last night by Homer Bailey. This made me immediately wonder how home teams do when they were off a close loss and had 2 or less hits. Here is what the Database spits out. All 9 home teams the last 9 years are 9-0 straight up off a home loss by 1 run and had 2 or less hits, vs an opponent off a 1 run road favored win while scoring 4 or less runs. Of these 9 home teams 6 were straight up dog winners. The Pirates have done well this season on Saturday. They have won 17 of 25 games. The Reds even with the win have not hit much of late with a .215 average and just 3 runs per game the past week. Leake goes for the Reds and he has been off of late with a 7.93 era in his last 3 starts. When on the road vs the Pirates, Leake has lost 4 of 5 starts. Mcpherson for the Pirates has a decent 3.45 era in all appearances this season. Look for the Pirates to rebound and get game two tonight. |
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09-29-12 | UNLV v. Utah State -20 | 13-35 | Win | 100 | 55 h 56 m | Show | |
On Saturday the College Football Blowout Play is on Utah ST. Game 186 at 8;00 eastern. This game fits a 56-8 power system that has cashed big for us year in and year out and has a 100% subset. We want to play on certain home teams off a win of 10 or more vs an opponent off +5 or more dog win. Utah. ST Catches UNLV off a double digit dog win over Air Force last week. UNLV is playing their first road game after opening the season with 4 home games. The Rebels are 1-13 ats on the road and have failed to cover in each of the last 3 games in this series. Utah St has a big defensive edge and has covered 7 of the last 8 on turf and they are 4-0 to the spread vs an opponent off a double digit dog win. With UNLV just 1-17 to the spread when they lose on the road and Utah St. If you get 21 buy down to -20.5
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09-29-12 | Texas v. Oklahoma State OVER 66.5 | 41-36 | Win | 100 | 55 h 39 m | Show | |
BIG POWER TOTAL OVER TEXAS
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09-29-12 | Central Michigan v. Northern Illinois -10 | 24-55 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
OFF Shore steam Play on North Illinois.
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09-29-12 | North Carolina State +3 v. Miami (Florida) | 37-44 | Loss | -117 | 80 h 44 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early 5* Power System Play is on NC. St. Game 169 at 12 noon eastern. This game fits a Huge system here that plays against home dogs or favorites that are off a road dog win at +9.5 or more. The Wolfpack are a perfect 9-0 ats as dogs, vs an opponent off a dog win and 3-0 straight up as a road dog of 3 or less. Coach O'Brien is an amazing 19-1 to the spread vs an opponent off an upset win and 7-0 ats if they allowed 17 or less in back to back games. Look for Miami to bounce in this one. Take NC. St plus the points.
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09-27-12 | Stanford -6.5 v. Washington | 13-17 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
On Thursday the College Football Power Side is on Stanford. Game 103 at 9:00 eastern. Stanford is a much better team than Washington. The last 2 meetings have resulted in Blowouts 65-21 and 41-0 here in 2010. Many will be on Washington tonight due to the home dog with rest and revenge systems which the Huskies do qualify in. HOWEVER These rest systems are far more effective when the road favorite is unrested. Stanford has an extra week to prepare for this one as well. We are also aware that only 1 road team has covered after knocking off the #1 ranked team in their last game. A feat that Stanford accomplished in their last game over USC. Again a stat based on the assumption that the road team is unrested. The truth of the matter is that Stanford stymied a much better USC Team then they will see here tonight in Washington. LSU Pasted the Huskies who have an unimpressive home win over an average at best San Diego St team and a Portland St team that is a cup cake on their schedule. Stanford has a Solid defense and they are 24-1 with 18 spread wins as a favorite, including 10-0 and 9-1 as a road favorite. Its no wonder they have covered 19 of their last 20 road wins. The Cardinal are 15-3 ats off 2+ ats wins and 8-0 ats in September games. They have covered the last 4 trips here and take on a Washington team that has failed to cover in 14 of their last 16 home losses. Even Worse Washington is 1-10 ats at home when the total is 45.5 to 49. All stats that cant be ignored. Look for Stanford to win and cover.
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09-27-12 | Cleveland Browns v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 44.5 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Power System total is on the under in the Cleveland at Baltimore game. Rotation numbers 101/102 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that won all but one time since 1989. We want to play the under for home teams off a home favored win and scored 38 or more points vs an opponent that is off a home dog loss and scored 21 or less and had 50 or less yards rushing. Look for a lower scoring game as Baltimore looks to shore up an unusually leaky defense with a home game against Weeden and the Browns. Baltimore will obviously win this one but may be a little flat off the Big win vs the Patriots on Sunday night. Look for a defensive battle early on with Baltimore pulling away late. Take the under,
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09-24-12 | Green Bay Packers -3 v. Seattle Seahawks | 12-14 | Loss | -116 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Play is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 429 at 8:35 eastern. Green Bay fits a perfect system and Seattle applies to a negative 0-17 angles that pertains to their ats dog win over Dallas while covering by more than 14 on a Sunday. For the system we want to play on any road favorite with more than 6 days rest if they scored 21 or more at home, vs an opponent that also scored 21 or more at home and rushed for 150 or more yard which Seattle did against Dallas going for 182. These road favorites are 10% since 1989 winning by an average 12 points per game. The Packers 7-2 straight up vs Seattle and have covered the last 3 here. The Seahawks are just 1-8 to the spread as a non division dog off a dog win. Look for the Packers to get the win and cover tonight. See the Power Angle charted below.
ATS: 0-17-2 (-9.5) Seattle Final Team: 22.7 Opp: 32.9 SUN 3 2003 SEA STL H 7-7 3-10 0-6 14-0 24-23 -3 +47' 1 -2 -0' -1.2 0.8 W L U 0 SUN 14 2003 SEA MIN A 0-0 0-13 7-7 0-14 7-34 +1 +51' -27 -26 -10' -18.2 7.8 L L U 0 SUN 5 2004 SEA STL H 7-0 17-7 0-3 3-17 27-33 -7 +43' -6 -13 +16' 1.8 14.8 L L O 1 SUN 4 2005 SEA WAS A 3-0 0-7 7-10 7-0 17-20 +2 +36' -3 -1 +0' -0.2 0.8 L L O 1 SUN 7 2005 SEA DAL H 0-7 3-0 0-0 10-3 13-10 -4' +45 3 -1' -22 -11.8 -10.2 W L U 0 SUN 15 2005 SEA TEN A 14-0 0-14 7-10 7-0 28-24 -7 +45' 4 -3 +6' 1.8 4.8 W L O 0 SUN SB 2005 SEA PIT A 3-0 0-7 7-7 0-7 10-21 +4 +47 -11 -7 -16 -11.5 -4.5 L L U 0 SAT WC 2006 SEA DAL H 3-3 3-7 7-7 8-3 21-20 -2 +47' 1 -1 -6' -3.8 -2.8 W L U 0 SUN 5 2007 SEA PIT A 0-0 0-7 0-7 0-7 0-21 +6 +39 -21 -15 -18 -16.5 -1.5 L L U 0 SUN 9 2007 SEA CLE A 7-0 14-9 3-7 6-14 30-33 +1' +47 -3 -1' +16 7.2 8.8 L L O 1 SUN 5 2008 SEA NYG A 3-14 3-13 0-10 0-7 6-44 +7 +43' -38 -31 +6' -12.2 18.8 L L O 0 SUN 9 2008 SEA PHI H 7-0 0-14 0-6 0-6 7-26 +6' +43 -19 -12' -10 -11.2 1.2 L L U 0 SUN 2 2009 SEA SF A 0-10 10-3 0-7 0-3 10-23 +1 +39 -13 -12 -6 -9.0 3.0 L L U 0 SUN 6 2009 SEA ARZ H 0-14 3-3 0-7 0-3 3-27 -3 +45' -24 -27 -15' -21.2 5.8 L L U 0 SUN 2 2010 SEA DEN A 0-7 0-10 7-7 7-7 14-31 +3' +40 -17 -13' +5 -4.2 9.2 L L O 0 SUN 11 2010 SEA NO A 3-7 13-20 0-7 3-0 19-34 +11' +44 -15 -3' +9 2.8 6.2 L L O 0 SUN 7 2011 SEA CLE A 0-0 0-3 3-0 0-3 3-6 +3 +41 -3 0 -32 -16.0 -16.0 L P U 0 SUN 12 2011 SEA WAS H 0-7 7-0 3-0 7-16 17-23 -3' +37' -6 -9' +2' -3.5 6.0 L L O 0 SAT 16 2011 SEA SF H 7-0 3-3 0-10 7-6 17-19 +2 +37 -2 0 -1 -0.5 -0.5 L P U 0 MON 3 2012 SEA GB H +3' +47 |
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09-23-12 | New England Patriots +3 v. Baltimore Ravens | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 43 h 25 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Perfect play is on the Patriots. Game 427 at 8;35 eastern. Certainly you have seen this stat Its all over the place and on TV. Tom Brady is 11-0 off a loss. That's nice but still not enough to warrant a play on the Patriots. However when we throw in that Road dogs of 2.5 or more are 46-15 to the spread off a a -7 or higher home favorite loss vs an opponent off a loss, now we have something. The Patriots are 7-1 in this building and 8-0 ats on the road when the total is 45.5 to 49.5. They are 4-0 straight up as a dog and have a much better defense. Even without Welker and Hernandez the Patriots will still find a way. Both teams are off close and tough losses and one of them will be 1-2 after this game. We think it will be the Ravens that go under .500. Take the Points with the Patriots.
On Sunday the MLB Power System Play is on the Reds. Game 954 at 8:05 eastern. The Reds fit a tremendous 26-3 system here tonight. We wan to play on home favorites at -140 or more off a -140 or higher home win by 5 or more runs with 5 or more men left on base and no more than 1 error, vs an opponent off a +140 or higher road dog loss by 5+ runs in a game where the total was 8 or less and scored 2 or less with 5+ men left on base and also with 1 or less errors. This system as is has won 26 of 29. If we insist that the total in this game is 8 or less its a perfect 12-0. Homer Bailey goes for the Reds tonight and he is 14-0 if he went 6 or more innings last out but less than 8 innings and allowed 1 or les runs. He is also 4-0 of late vs the Dodgers and has won 6 of his last 7 home September starts. Harang for the Dodgers has lost 7 straight road September starts. Plenty of times e have seen the public fade the team that clinches a playoff spot and that team rests all their players and wins anyway. Look for the Reds to win this one. |
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09-23-12 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Arizona Cardinals +3.5 | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 74 h 16 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC Game is on Arizona. Game 420 at 4;05 eastern. Arizona fits one of my favorite early season system that plays on home dogs in weeks 2-4 at +6.5 or less, that are better than .500 and are off a road dog win, vs an opponent off a home game. These teams are 19-0 ats with the addition of a subset. Philly will be without J. Macklin and are off a pair of 1 point wins. Team in their next game off these back to back 1 point wins are 0-5 straight up the last 24 years. The Eagles fit another play against system that goes against road favorites off a home favored win and ats loss, vs an opponent off a road win. These road favorites are 3-15 to the spread. Philly has lost 3 of the last to the spread in the series including a loss last season. Arizona has won 8 of 12 here in the series and are a live dog here once again. Take Arizona Plus the points.
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09-23-12 | Kansas City Chiefs v. New Orleans Saints -8 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 16 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Blowout Play is on the NO. Saints. Game 414 at 1:00 eastern. Both teams come in at 0-2 in this one. That sets up a solid week 3 system that plays on certain teams off back to back straight up favored losses, provided they are not off a spread lobby by more than 2 touchdowns and lost no more than 5 games last season. These teams have won and covered every time the last 32 years. The Saints are 7-1 to the spread at home when the total is 49.5 or more and 5-1 ats in September as a home favorite vs a non division team. The Chiefs are a mess especially on defense and are 1-6 to the spread in September games as a road dog of less than 10. Look for the Saints to come marching in here today. Take New Orleans
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09-23-12 | Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 v. Washington Redskins | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 11 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Dog is on the Bengals. Game 409 at 1:00 eastern. The Bengals are the beneficiaries of a huge System that plays against Washington and all homers in week 3 that have one exact win and won 12 or less last season vs an opponent that was 9-7 or worse. These teams with an additional parameter have not covered. Se we are playing against Washington here today. The Skins are also 0-7 ats as a non conference home favorite. The Bengals have solid power angles pertaining to September. They are 7-1 to the spread as a road dog off a win and 6-1 ats on the road after scoring 28 or more. The Bengals overall are 14-5 ats vs the NFC East. They may very well pull the upset in this one. Take The Bengals here today.
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09-23-12 | Detroit Lions v. Tennessee Titans +4.5 | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans Off shore NFL Play at 1:00 eastern
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09-22-12 | Nevada v. Hawaii OVER 61.5 | 69-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Over Neavada at Hawaii
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09-22-12 | Clemson v. Florida State -14 | 37-49 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 9 m | Show | |
On Saturday the ACC Play is on Florida St. Game 312 at 8:00 eastern. Florida St. fits a couple of solid systems here today. One is to play on home favorites of -10.5 to -15 in conference games off a home favored win and cover vs a conference opponent shut out win. This one is Perfect the last 33 years. A secondary system is to play on any team that is not on the road nor favored by more than 24 points that scored 150 or more in their last 3 games. This one has cashed 9 of the last 10 the last 4 years and is 61-24 overall. Clemson has failed to cover in 30 of 31 times in losses off a win by a half dozen or more points last out. The Seminoles also fit a solid system that pertains to undefeated game 4 home teams. They have revenge in this one for a 5 point loss at Clemson last season and have a big defensive edge in this one. The Tigers have lost 9 of the last 10 here and 5 of the last to the spread as a road dog from 10 to 15 Look for the Seminoles to serve up revenge on a cold platter tonight.Take Florida St.
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09-22-12 | Fresno State +6.5 v. Tulsa | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 3 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NCAAF Dog with Bite Play is on Fresno St. Game 341 at 8:00 eastern. The Tigers fit a solid system that pertains to road dogs that come in off a win by 7 or more touchdowns. These teams have covered 87% of the time and 96% vs an opponent that scored 22 or more last out. Fresno has covered every time as a road dog of 5 or more in non conference games vs an opponent off a win which ties in nicely with the aforementioned system and shows covers in 78% of the computer generated simulations on this game. Tulsa has played no one compared to Fresno and have lost 4 of 5 in the series here. With Fresno having covered 7 of the last 9 on Turf and getting some sharp off shore money. We will back the Road dog here. Take Fresno St.
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