Football Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
09-14-15 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Atlanta Falcons +3 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
The NFL Monday night super system side is on the Atlanta Falcons at 7:10 eastern as they fit a solid monday night opening week home dog system. The Falcons are 7-0 ats in opening home games and 12-1 ats at home with back to back road games coming up. The Eagles have lost the last 2 in the series. We will back the Falcons and the points The Total in this game is on the under as week 1 non division road favorites of 3 or more with a total of 45 or more have cashed over 95% over the last 25+ seasons |
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09-14-15 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 55.5 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
The Total in this game is on the under as week 1 non division road favorites of 3 or more with a total of 45 or more have cashed over 95% over the last 25+ seasons. Take Atlanta and Philly to play under |
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09-13-15 | NY Giants +7 v. Dallas Cowboys | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
The Sunday night Power system Play on NBC is on the NY. Giants. Game 487 at 8:35 eastern. BIG NFC East battle get things going on NBC Sunday night Football here tonight. Game 1 teams that had a losing record last season that are +3 to +6.5 are 13-0 to the spread covering by over a touchdown vs an opponent like Dallas that won 12 games last year. The Giants have always been a live dog with Eli Manning and he has covered the spread with NY 9 straight times on the road with revenge if he passed for 240+ yards the last time he Faced that opponent. Romo for Dallas has failed to cover 7 straight vs a team he had 3+ touchdowns against the last time he played them. Dallas his 0-5 ats in Division games at home vs a team that won 6 or less last year. The Giants have covered in 4 of 5 as division road dogs. Look for the Giants to control the clock with a solid ground attack and stay in the game. Take the NY. Giants plus the points
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09-13-15 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Oakland Raiders UNDER 43.5 | 33-13 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
The Late Afternoon Members only totals system Play is on the under in the Cincy at Oakland game. Rotation numbers 483/484 at 4;25 eastern. This game fits a powerful Week totals system that goes under for non division road favorites like the Bengals with a total of 45 or more. Cincy has gone under the last 8 times as a favorite of 7 or less in Games 1-3 and 6 of 7 vs Oakland and 5 of 6 vs any AFC West team. Oakland has gone under 4 straight v AFC North teams, 6 of 7 in the 1st of back to back homes games and 6 of 7 as a non division home dog of 7 or less. Play this one under the total. |
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09-13-15 | Detroit Lions v. San Diego Chargers -2.5 | 28-33 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
The late afternoon Super system Play is on the San Diego Chargers. Game 480 at 4:05 eastern. Dogs like Detroit in game 1 that are off a playoff loss in round 1 are 0-21 ats if the total is 37.5 or higher. The Chargers are 6-0 ats at -3 to +3 in game ones and Detroit has lost 12 straight as a dog and is 1-4 vs SD and have lost big here in San Diego the last 2 times. Look for the Chargers to win this one. |
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09-13-15 | Indianapolis Colts v. Buffalo Bills +3 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
The AFC Totals system play is on the Under in the Colts at Bills game. Rotation numbers 469/470 at 1:00 eastern. This one fits a Powerful week 1 totals system that has cashed 100% the last 22 times playing the Under for Road favorites in non division games if the total is 45 or more. The Bills have A tremendous defense and Rex Ryan at the helm they were 13 of 16 to the under and should have trouble scoring with Taylor at Qb. Buffalo has played under in 6 of 7 in game 1 home games and 5 of 5 with a non division games up next. The Colts have played under in 4 of 5 here and the last 4 on the road. We will also take the Bills in this game as a side play since game 1 road teams that won 13 or more last season like the Colts are 0-16 ats vs a team that won 12 or less if they are a dog or -3 or less and the total is 40 or more. The Colts are 0-4 vs AFC East 1-6 ats in game 1. Buffalo is 5-0 ats in game 1 vs non division teams and has covered 6 of the last 7 as a home dog and are 11-4 at home in the series. Take Buffalo plus the points and the Under. |
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09-13-15 | Indianapolis Colts v. Buffalo Bills UNDER 45 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 33 h 14 m | Show | |
The AFC Totals system play is on the Under in the Colts at Bills game. Rotation numbers 469/470 at 1:00 eastern. This one fits a Powerful week 1 totals system that has cashed 100% the last 22 times playing the Under for Road favorites in non division games if the total is 45 or more. The Bills have A tremendous defense and Rex Ryan at the helm they were 13 of 16 to the under and should have trouble scoring with Taylor at Qb. Buffalo has played under in 6 of 7 in game 1 home games and 5 of 5 with a non division games up next. The Colts have played under in 4 of 5 here and the last 4 on the road. We will also take the Bills in this game as a side play since game 1 road teams that won 13 or more last season like the Colts are 0-16 ats vs a team that won 12 or less if they are a dog or -3 or less and the total is 40 or more. The Colts are 0-4 vs AFC East 1-6 ats in game 1. Buffalo is 5-0 ats in game 1 vs non division teams and has covered 6 of the last 7 as a home dog and are 11-4 at home in the series. Take Buffalo plus the points and the Under. |
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09-13-15 | Miami Dolphins v. Washington Redskins UNDER 43.5 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
The Early totals system is on the Under in the Miami at Washington Game. Rotation numbers 471/472 at 1:00 eastern. Powerful totals system at play here today that goes under for non division road favorites if the total is 45 or more. These totals have gone under 22 of 23 times. The Dolphins are 5 of 5 under in game 1, 12 of 13 under vs NFC Teams if the total is 41 or more and 9 of 10 if the total is 39.5 or higher in games they are a road favorite. the Red skins are 5 of 5 under as dogs with a total of 44.5 or less and 6 of 6 in 1st of back to back home games. Look for this one to go under the total.
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09-12-15 | San Jose State +7 v. Air Force | 16-37 | Loss | -125 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
The late night system snacker is on San Jose st. Game 365 at 10:15 eastern. We are playing on teams like San Jose st that are triple digit defense improvement teams in September games that are allowing less than 34 points per game and have revenge on their opponents who were winning teams from last season, provided our team is not taking 14 or more points. Airforce has to be looking ahead to Michigan St next week and they are 2-11 ats in the 2nd of back to back home games vs a .500 or better team, They are only returning 10 starters from last seasons team. The Spartans should be much better and are a solid play with the points |
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09-12-15 | LSU v. Mississippi State +4 | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
The SEC super system side is on MISS. St. Game324 at 9:15 eastern. MIss. St has the benefit of playing a game already as the LSU Cream puff game was called due to weather 5 minutes in. Home dogs of 8 or less that are .800 or better and won 10 or more games last season and scored 30+ points in their last game have covered 20 of 25 since 1980. The Bulldogs are 7-0 ats as a dog of a road favored win and have won 12 of the last 14 at home. The points are the play tonight. Make it Miss. ST |
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09-12-15 | Temple v. Cincinnati -6.5 | 34-26 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
The NCAAF Dominator play is on the Cincy Bearcats. Game 322 at 8:00 eastern. The Bearcats fit one of our tremendous super systems that has cashed year in and year out for us and plays on home teams -3 to-17 that are off a win by 10 or more points and are taking on a road team off a dog win at +5 or more like Temple. These teams are an incredible 65-12 ats long term. Cincy has won all 5 in the series and beat Temple by 8 on the road last year and by 18 here 2 years ago. Temple comes off a monumental program win knocking off Penn St for the first time since 1941. Some believe there wont be a let down. However. Cincy has a solid team, gets good line value because if that upset win and is 5-1 ats in the 2nd of back to back home games. Were on the Bear Cats tonight. |
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09-12-15 | Marshall v. Ohio +3.5 | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 88 h 50 m | Show | |
The super system play is on Ohio U. Game 330 at 7:00 eastern. Ohio U is 4-0 at home if the total is 56.5 to 63 . They fit 2 solid systems here tonight. We are playing on .500 or better home dogs that scored 40+ points last out and won 13 or more games the last 2 seasons combined, vs an opponent that allowed 14 or more last out like Marshall. These home dogs have covered 24 of 29 long term. Ohio has major revenge but has won the last 2 here vs Marshall and are 6-0 ats at home agains them winning 2 years ago as a 7.5 point dog, and they are 4-0 ats as a home dog off a win. Marshall was lucky to get the win and the cover last week as they had 2 interception returns and may be flat off their first ever big 10 win. The Hers are 0-5 ats as favorites of less than 21 vs an opponent with revenge. Home dogs with more than 16 starters from last season are 15-2 ats since 1987 with revenge vs a non conference foe if they scored at least a touchdown in their last game. Marshall will get exposed here and they are 3-10 ats on the road when the total is 56.5 to 63. Take the points with Ohio. U |
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09-12-15 | Western Michigan v. Georgia Southern +5 | 17-43 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
NCAAF Off shore steam play on GA. Southern. Game 310 at 6:00 eastern. OFF Shore moves on a 55-22 all sports run. This was the hardest hit move of the day. |
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09-12-15 | Iowa v. Iowa State +3.5 | 31-17 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Members only play on Iowa. St at 4:45 eastern |
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09-12-15 | Tulane v. Georgia Tech -30.5 | 10-65 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show | |
The blowout play is on Georgia Tech. Game 348 at 3:30 eastern The Yellow Jackets fit a blowout system that cashes over 90% by playing on home favorites off a win by 60+ points. Linesmakers do not catch up quick enough to these teams and they are lethal against teams off double digit losses like Tulane. Last season they won by 17 in Tulane. This should be a complete white wash here tonight. GA. Tech is 8-1 ats vs teams who lost by 10 or more and have covered 7 of the last 10 vs American athletic conference teams. Tulane is 1-10 ats vs ACC Teams and has lost and failed to cover in the last 5 against them. They have failed to cover 7 of the last 10 vs Non conference teams and wont be able to stop the vaunted Ga. tech attack. Lay it today. |
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09-12-15 | UMass v. Colorado OVER 62.5 | 14-48 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
NCAAF Simulation total over U.MASS and Colorado. Rotation numbers 341/342 at 2;00 eastern. This one had the Highest simulation computer differential this week. Take the Over |
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09-11-15 | Utah State +12.5 v. Utah | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
The Friday night under the lights NCAAF Play is on Utah St. Game 305 at 9:00 eastern. Taking the points here in this one with an Aggies team that has won over 755 of their games the last 4 years and have lost just 5 times by more than 7 in that span. They were obviously looking ahead to this one last week in a lack luster 12-9 home win over Southern Utah. State is 12-1 ats as a dog of 5 or more and has covered 7 of 8 in week day road games. They have 16 returning starters from a 10 win team and have Qb Keaton back at the helm. Utah was in a tough one last week vs Michigan but has failed to cover 7 straight times vs a team that has not lost. The Utes may win but it should be a close game. Take the points |
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09-10-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. New England Patriots -6.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 55 h 14 m | Show | |
Thursday night play is on the Patriots. Game 462 at 8:30 eastern. The Patriots are catching th eSteelers at the right time as they are with Our Center Pounce, Running back Bell and deep threat Matavius Bryant. Certain Dogs like the Steelers that are off a 1st round playoff loss in a game where the total is 37.5 or more have failed to cover. The Patriots have covered 5 of 7 at home in the series and Super Bowl winners are 12-2 and 9-4-1 ats. On Thursdays they have won 13 straight. The Steelers have failed to cover 6 of 7 as dogs in September games and the Pats have covered the last 6 times vs a team who had more than 9 wins last year. Look for a team effort tonight as the Pats get the win and cover. |
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09-07-15 | Ohio State v. Virginia Tech +14.5 | 42-24 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
The Monday night showdown game super side is on Va. Tech. Game 209 at 8:00 eastern on National TV. OhioSt will be looking to seek revenge for last seasons lone loss. This would be more of a factor if they were at home. Instead however the play a vastly improved Tech team and have to lay upwards of 14 points. The Lines makers have juiced the line up knowing they would get a tin of Ohio. St money. We have no problem with an under rated dog in a National televised game. Especially one that lost the yardage battle last season by 3 yards and brings back 15 returning starters. VA. Tech has covered 10 of 11 as a home dog of 10 or more. They are 6-2 in non conference games, 7-3 in September and have won the last 2 vs Big 10 teams. OhioSt has failed to cover 5 of the last 7 vs ACC Teams. Buckeyes win but dont cover. Take VA. Tech. |
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09-06-15 | Purdue +7.5 v. Marshall | 31-41 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
The Sunday College Football Pay is on Purdue plus the points. Game 207 at 3:00 eastern. Purdue has most of their ream back 16 returning starters and should be better this season. The Boilermakers have won 8 of the last 10 season openers. Marshall was hit with several losses on both sides of the ball most notably QB Cato. Marshall is 0-5 vs BIG 10 Teams. Laying over a touchdown with a team that will revert back to normal from a 13-1 season is not a wise thing to do. Take the Points with Purdue |
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09-05-15 | Arkansas State v. USC OVER 68.5 | 6-55 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
NCAAF off shore steam jumbo buy order total over USC at Arkanas St. Rotation numbers 205/206 at 11:00 pm eastern |
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09-05-15 | Texas +10 v. Notre Dame | 3-38 | Loss | -115 | 43 h 39 m | Show | |
The NCAAF Dog with Bite is on the Texas Longhorns. Game 197 at 7:30 eastern. Texas is 11-2 on the road when the total is 49.5 to 52. Texas is 15-0 in first games and dogs from + 30 to =10.5 that lost their last 2 games but still went bowling have covered 19 of 22 times. Notre Dame has failed to cover 3 of the last 4 vs BIG 12 schools and are 4-10 ats as a home favorite of 10 or less. Texas could be on the up tick as Charlie Strong is now in his 2nd season ands tarts to bring his own players in. Look for Texas to hang around and get the cash. |
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09-05-15 | Troy v. NC State -26 | 21-49 | Win | 100 | 77 h 30 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early Evening Dominator is on NC. St. Game 180 at 6:00 eastern. The Wolfpack return 15 starters from a bowl winning 8 win team. Troy was a 3 win team last season and now travel into a tough ACC Venue with a new coach. This is a big no no and the premise for or Super system here tonight that plays against new coaches in first road games vs a team that won 7+ games last year and the road team was a losing team. With Troy 0-3 ats as a road dog of more than 21 we will back the Pack tonight. Take North Carolina St. |
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09-05-15 | Virginia v. UCLA -19 | 16-34 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
The Afternoon Blowout system is on the UCLA Bruins. Game 170 at 3:30 eastern. This game fits a Powerful early season system that pertain to favorites from 10.5 to 21. There are a few big subsets that apply for these teams That include winning by an average margin of at least 7 points, having 8 or more returning defensive starters, averaging 31 or more points last year and plating in a non conference game. UCLA Opened at Virginia last season and had to come back and win late by 8 as a 19 point favorite. Now they have 18 starters back from a 10 win team, and wont take the Cavaliers so lightly. Virginia has failed to cover 3 of 4 on the Road with a total that is 49.5 to 56 they have just 11 guys back from a 5 win team. Take UCLA |
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09-05-15 | Stanford -11 v. Northwestern | 6-16 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
NCAAF Early Members only play on Stanford at 12 noon eastern |
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09-04-15 | Washington v. Boise State -13 | 13-16 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
The Late power system play is Boise St. Game 160 at 10:15 eastern. Boise Returns 17 starters and 49 lettermen from a 12 win team that was undefeated here at home on the blue turf where they won by an average 18 points per game. They have won 9 of their last 10 home openers by at least 13 points. The Huskies return just 10 men from a pedestrian like 7 win team that lost there bowl game as a 6.5 favorite. Boise St fits a solid system we use that pertains to September games that plays on favorites from -10.5 to -21 that out scored their opponents by 7 or more points and have at least 8 returning defensive starters. Boise is 3-1 ats at home vs PAC 12 Teams. Washington is 3-8 ats in game ones and 0-3 ats in week day games. Look for Boise to get the win and cover |
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09-04-15 | Colorado v. Hawaii +7.5 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 36 h 45 m | Show | |
The College football play is on Hawaii in late action. Game 150 at 1:00 eastern. Hawaii has covered 9 straight as a non conference home dog of less than 8 points. They fits nice opening week system that plays on home dogs of more than 3 that won 3 or more games last season and are taking on an opponent that was 6-5 or worse last season like Colorado. These home dogs are covering over 65% long term. Colorado has failed to cover seven straight as non conference road favorites and have been a terrible road team. the last 10 seasons. The Rainbow Warriors have covered 5 of the last 6 home openers that were lined. Look for them to get the cover here tonight. |
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09-03-15 | Michigan v. Utah -4.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 50 m | Show | |
The Power System play is on Utah. Game 140 at 8:30 eastern. The Utes bring back 16 starters from a solid 9-4 team that beat Michigan by 16 in ann Arbor. The have won 9 of the last 10 home openers. Michigan will be a public dog here because of Harbaugh and the home loss revenge. The truth though is that new coaches in their first road game that were under .500 last season and are taking on a team that won 7 or more games last season have been dead set play against teams. The Wolverines are 0-9 ats vs PAC 12 Teams and have failed to cover the last 3 in the series. Michigan is 1-6 ats in September games and 0-3 ats on Thursday nights. Utaj has won and covered 3 of 4 on Thursdays and are a perfect 7-0 straight up and ats in Non conference games. They have covered 6 of 8 vs BIG 10 Teams. Take Utah |
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09-03-15 | Oklahoma State -24.5 v. Central Michigan | 24-13 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
The Blowout play is on Oklahoma St. Game 137 at 7:00 eastern. The Cowboys and coach Gundy will look to run this one up tonight as they look to regain prominence off a lack luster season. They will once again have a Powerful offense that will score fast and bring back 17 starters. Central Michigan is 0-8 ats as a home dog and new coached at home that are taking 3 touchdowns or more on the spread have covered once time long term. Central Michigan is 1-7 ats in September. Look for the Cowboys to blast the Chippewas. |
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02-01-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. New England Patriots | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
New England Patriots In Closing Seattle appears to the Destiny team here tonight after their miraculous comeback at home vs Green Bay. The Patriots are a dark team with the major distraction of DEFLATE GATE. Seattle is better defensively and should do enough on defense to take down the Patriots. R. Wilson plays much better than he did in NFC Championship game. Based on the major aforementioned indicators we will Side with Seattle here tonight.
BONUS PROPS:Under 24 first half3 Straight unanswered scores- this has happened in 35 of 48 super bowlsShane Vereen over 10 yards rushingMarshawn Lynch over 82 yards rushingOver 7.5 points Seattle Kicker HauchkaR. Wilson to score TD- YesR. Wilson over 41 yards rushing |
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01-25-15 | TEAM CARTER -2 v. TEAM IRVIN | 28-32 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
In the Pro bowl we will back Team Carter. Game 497 at 800 eastern. While we have cashed the last 3 pro bowls we will advise not to go nuts in this one as the purpose of the play is the better overall roster for Team Carter and the higher end coach in J. Harbaugh. Team Irvin has talent but in a game where passing is fancy, Irvin and crew took many smallish receivers and Carter took the better of the defensive backs. Coach Carter in this one. |
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01-18-15 | Indianapolis Colts +7 v. New England Patriots | 7-45 | Loss | -115 | 65 h 44 m | Show | |
In The AFC Championship game the Selection is on the Indianapolis Colts. Game 303 at 6:45 eastern. We have a solid system here today that plays against the Patriots and any team in their second game of the playoffs off one home win exact as they are a terrible 1-20 straight Up and 1-19-1 ATS in games in where the total is set at 37.5 or more points. The Patriots are in this one as they are off a come back win vs the Ravens and lost their prior game. Additionally teams off a playoff win where they allowed 28 or more have failed to cover 17 of 22 since 1980. Moving on through the system folder we play against conference Championship teams that won and scored 30 or more and won by 21 or less. The Colts and Playoff dogs that allowed 17 or less back to back are 29-8 to the spread vs an opponent that scored 30 or more. The Patriots have Playoff revenge from last year and Home Blowout loss revenge from this year. They have covered 23 of 30 off back to back wins by 10 or more and dogs of 4 or more are perfect the past few years if they won on the road last week and at home the week before. Coach Bellichick have failed to cover 5 Straight in Conference Championship games and teams who lost last year in the Conference championship have lost 9 straight covering just once if they are playing an opponent who has lost less than 28 percent of their games. The Colts were the side in our Simulation models as well. Look for the Colts to get LUCKY here today. |
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01-18-15 | Green Bay Packers v. Seattle Seahawks -7 | Top | 22-28 | Loss | -120 | 158 h 57 m | Show |
The NFC Championship play is on the Seattle Seahawks. Game 302 at 3;05 eastern. The Defending champs come in on a superior role and have several powerful indicators on their side as well as a solid advantage in Simulation models. Seattle has covered 8 straight off back to back 10+ point wins and 10 of 11 after allowing 17 or less in 2 or more games. The Packers are 0-5 ats on turf and have failed to cover 6 of 8 vs NFC West teams. They are a dog here and they have not done well in that scenario going 1-8 ats. NFL Home team off back to back spread wins have covered 13 of 14 vs an opponent that has won .669 or less the last 32 games. Green Bay wont reach 100 yards rushing here against the vaunted Seattle defense and have a Qb that with a torn muscle could be one play away from the bench. Truth be told it probably would not matter if Rogers were 100%. Conference Championship teams who win are an amazing 75-8-1 ats over the past 40+ years. Look for Seattle to get the win and cover here. |
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01-12-15 | Ohio State +7 v. Oregon | Top | 42-20 | Win | 100 | 68 h 28 m | Show |
The National Championship taken center stage tonight and the Power Play is on Ohio. St. Game 277 ay 8:30 eastern. The Buckeyes are the Cinderella story so far as they beat out TCU for the 4th spot after winning the big 10 championship 59-0 over Rival Wisconsin. Then they proceeded to show the country that they are no fluke knocking off the 2 seed Alabama 42-35. Now it gets tougher against an Oregon team with Heisman trophy winner M. Mariota. When looking at this game the firs thing that stand out is how close the teams are statistically. Oregon has a better offense but Ohio. St has a defense that was nearly 90 yards better. In games vs fellow bowl teams Ohio. St won the stats in all 11 games and Oregon all but one. The Simulation model run 100.000 times predicted a 2 point Oregon win. Ohio. St has won al 8 times in the series between these two and is a a tremendous 30-1 off 2 or more wins and 7-0 vs winning teams. They average 42 points on the road and rush for 280+ yards overall which is 40 or more than Oregon. Coach Urban Meyer teams are 12-1 ats as a dog off a dog win and is 15-4 to the spread vs a team that wins by more than 16 points. Oregon is 1-4 straight up as neutral favorites from -3.5 to -7 which is one of the few negative indicators against them. Thier win vs FSU was impressive but the game was close for nearly 3 quarters until Oregon took advantage of Turnovers. Both these teams will score tonight and The Buckeyes will be ready for the Oregon up tempo and may even implement it themselves. Ohio. St is 12-4 vs PAC 12 Teams and should be in this throughout. The Points are the play here with Ohio. St. |
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01-11-15 | Indianapolis Colts v. Denver Broncos OVER 53.5 | 24-13 | Loss | -103 | 1 h 32 m | Show | |
NFL MEMBERS ONLY OVER INDY VS DENVER |
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01-11-15 | Indianapolis Colts v. Denver Broncos -7 | Top | 24-13 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
The Divisional Game is on Denver over the Colts. Game 120 at 4:40 eastern. Denver in 100.000 simulations was on average a 9 point winner. The Broncos have a solid advantage here with rest and getting to play a Colts team that must travel in January to a cold weather location, never a good thing for a dome homer. In fact these teams are 0-12 if they have revenge and are off a win. Home teams like the Broncos are solid playoff investments in their first home game if they lost as a favorite last year in the playoffs. The last 35 years these teams have won 53 of 60/ P. Manning had an extra week to rest his arm and the Broncos are 16-3 to the spread with 2+ weeks rest. They are also 12-2 ats vs an opponent that has 7.5 or less average punt return yards. The Colts can be one dimensional and may not run the ball well which will force them to throw pretty much on every down. In week 1 they were getting destroyed here before Denver took their foot off the pedal and wound up winning by 7. When the Colts dont show up they get blasted, like they did in Dallas and this could happen here. Teams with revenge that won and covered at least 2 straight as a favorite have failed to cover 27 of 35 times. Were Doing Denver here today. |
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01-11-15 | Dallas Cowboys +6 v. Green Bay Packers | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
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01-11-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. Green Bay Packers OVER 51.5 | 21-26 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
The NFL Playoff totals play is on the Over in the Dallas at Green Bay game. Rotation numbers 117/118 at 1:05 eastern. The Packers average 38 per game at home and Dallas 34 per game on the road. Home teams off a bye that won their last regular season game at home and scored 28 or more have played over every time since 1989 vs a team off a home win. In the series 12 of 15 have flown over. The Packers are 7 of 8 over at home and 4 of 5 off a division game. Dallas is 6 of 6 in conference and 6 of 7 on the road. Simulation show a high scoring game. This may be one of the better games to watch as both offenses should put up points. Take this one over the Total. |
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01-10-15 | Carolina Panthers v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 39.5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
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01-10-15 | Baltimore Ravens v. New England Patriots -7 | 31-35 | Loss | -100 | 38 h 24 m | Show | |
On Saturday in Early Action the AFC Divisional Play is on the Patriots. Game 112 at 4:35 eastern. The Patriots are rested and ready and fit Powerful database systems here today. First we want to play against teams that are off a Wild card win asa dog if they are playing a team with rest. These teams have lost 14 of 15. The Ravens pulled the upset and are back to the road with 1 less day of rest than normal. The Pats have won and covered 6 straight off a loss vs AFC North teams and are 7-2 straight up and ats vs winning teams this year and 8-0 ats the last 2 years if that opponent is off a win and cover. Teams who lost their last regular season game have been solid all time if they are at home in the first game they are playing in the playoffs. The Pats also fits a powerful subset that plays on teams off back to back spread losses that is 100% perfect the last 3 years. Home teams that scored less than 10 points in their last game vs a team that scored 30 or more are 52-22 and the Pats fit a 26-0 subset of that system, they are also 7-0 ats off a loss. The Ravens are 1-4 ats off 2+ wins and wont be able to pull of the win or cover here as Simulations showed the Pats with an average win of 9 points. Play the Patriots. |
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01-10-15 | Illinois State +6.5 v. North Dakota State | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 19 h 6 m | Show | |
On Saturday in early action the FCS Title play is on Illinois St plus the points over North Dakota State. Game 151 at 1:00 eastern. Three-time defending national champion North Dakota State and Illinois State shared a conference title without having to play each other this season. This game is a double championship game as the Missouri Valley championship and FCS Title are at stake. North Dakota State and Illinois State didn't meet in the regular season for the first time in eight years. The only loss for both teams was to Northern Iowa, which Illinois State beat in a rematch in the Redbirds' playoff opener a month ago. This is the first time two teams from the same conference square off in the FCS championship game. Both teams have solid offensive units and defensive units. Our Simulations on this one has North Dakota St winning 52% of the time and by 2-3 points. The Red Birds are not just happy to beat here and will not give up here. The Points are the play. Take Illinois St. |
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01-04-15 | Toledo v. Arkansas State +4 | 63-44 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
The Go daddy bowl play is on Arkansas. St. Game 276 at 9:00 eastern. Sun belt dogs that scored 31 or more in their last game have covered 5 straight. Arkansas St is 12-2 vs winning teams and has won the last 2 they have played vs MAC Conference teams. When playing with 2+ weeks rest they are 5-0. Dogs off a spread win of 8 or more that are playing in the same bowl as last season have covered 17 of 24 times. Another fine Bowl system is to play on teams who allowed 30 or more but still won. Arky St put nearly 70 in their last game. Sun Belts dogs of less than 8 have covered 7 of the last 8. Toledo is 1-5 ats in Bowl games and have failed to cover 5 of 6 with rest. Look for Arky St to get the cover. |
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01-04-15 | Detroit Lions v. Dallas Cowboys -6 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
On Sunday the NFC system play is on Dallas. Game 102 at 4:40 eastern. Detroit is 0-6 ats in the playoffs and has not won a road game in the post season since 1991 Going 0-9 straight up all time.. In fact NFL Playoff road teams off a 10+ division loss have failed to cover 11 of 12 times. Stafford is 0-17 in his career in road games against teams that finished the season over .500. The most recent examples are a 10-point loss to the Green Bay Packers in Week 17. That stat does not help considering that teams in this round who lost straight up are 0-20 ats and 11-96 since 83. Opening game road dogs off a loss are 0-7 ats since 1989 and lose by an average 31-13 score. Dallas is 11-4 ats at home in the playoffs since 1980 and teams at home making the playoffs for the first time in the last 4 years have covered 75% long term. The Lions are 4-120 at if they won at least 3 of their last 4. Were not big fans of Post season dome teams on the road. Take Dallas here. |
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01-04-15 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Indianapolis Colts -3.5 | Top | 10-26 | Win | 102 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
In the AFC Wild card round the Power system Play is on the Indy Colts. Game 108 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts are 4-1 at home in playoff action this round and have edges on both sides of the ball. They have won 8 of 9 if the total is 42.5 to 49. The Bengals who were already shutout here 27-0 have several negative indicators against them today. They are 0-7 at Indy and 0-6 on the road in the playoffs. So we are not going to expect them to do some thing they have not done before. Road dogs off a road loss to end the season are 0-7 straight up and ats since 1989 losing by an average 31-13 score. The Bengals have lost 11 of 13 in January. Even if A.J. Green plays there is no guarantee how effective he will be. The Colts have a history of getting behind in games but have big time playoff poise. Last year they rallied from a big deficit to beat KC. The Simulation models have them winning by 6.and teams who win this round straight up have covered 19 straight. Look for them to get past the Bengals here today. |
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01-03-15 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 44 | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
The AFC Wild card Play is on the Over in the Baltimore at Pittsburgh game at 8:15 eastern. There are two 100% totals system that play to the over here. Divisional road teams with a total 37 or higher that are home favored win and spread loss at -3 or more that scored 21 or more have flown over every time in the first round. Home divisional teams that are off a home divisional win in the final regular season game have played over every time since 1989. Steelers home games average 56 points and Baltimore road games average 49 points. The Steelers have played over All 6 times in the wild card round and 13 of 17 on Saturday. The Ravens have played over 4 of 5 times vs winning team and both times off a division win. The Steelers statistically have not played as well at home as on the road. The Ravens average 25 points on the road. The Ravens also remember the last time they were here and Big Ben went bananas on them for 6 td passes. This looks to be another high scoring affair and the total is dropping with the anticipation on rain, you know because teams don't score when its wet out. Take the over. |
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01-03-15 | Arizona Cardinals +7 v. Carolina Panthers | Top | 16-27 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 56 m | Show |
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01-03-15 | East Carolina +7 v. Florida | 20-28 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
The Birmingham Bowl Play is on East Carolina. Game 273 at high noon. The Pirates own the nations best pass offense and they should be able to over the ball against a Florida squad that cant be too motivated for this one. The Gators are just 2-5 vs bowl teams this season and have lost 3 of 4 vs winning teams. They have a temporary coach and these teams have lost and failed to cover 7 of the 8 times if they are taking on a team that lost as a favorite, like ECU did in their last game. The Pirates are 6-0 ats as a dog off a loss and have covered the last 4 vs non conference teams. Dogs of 7 or more that are off a home favored loss usually bounce back. Look for the Pirates to keep it close. |
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01-02-15 | Oklahoma State v. Washington -6 | Top | 30-22 | Loss | -104 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
In the Cactus Bowl the Power system Play is on Washington. Game 272 at 10:15 eastern. The Cougars have won 12 straight vs teams with a .600 or less win percentage and have rushing edges on both sides of the ball. For our system play in this one, we are playing against Bowl favorites or dogs of less than 14 that allow 31 or more points per game like Ok.St. Pac 12 Bowlers that have won 2 or more in a row have covered 17 of the last 24. Ok. St comes in off a huge Dog win at +19 at Oklahoma and they are sure to bounce off that game after getting bowl eligible at 6-6. They are 1-6 vs Bowl teams and are allowing 38 points per game on the road. Look for Washington to get the win and cover. |
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01-02-15 | UCLA -1.5 v. Kansas State | 40-35 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
The Alamo Bowl play is on UCLA. Game 269 at 6:45 eastern.. UCLA is a solid 4-0 straight up and ats off a loss vs inter state rival USC. So they should be poised and ready and after opening as a small dog they are now favored in this one. The Bruins are 6-1 off a bye and have won 6 of 9 vs Fellow bowl teams. Kansas St has failed to cover 7 of the last 8 Post season games including a dismal 1-4 record in January. The Bruins are 6-0 away from home while averaging 38 points and are a solid 9-2 on Turf. To tie in a nice system we note that neutral favorites of less than 5 that are off a home favored loss have covered 12 of 17 since 1980. Look for UCLA To emerge with a win and cover. |
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01-02-15 | Pittsburgh v. Houston +3.5 | 34-35 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
The Armed forces Bowl system Play is on Houston. Game 260 at high noon. Houston has powerful systems on their side today, most of which play against Pittsburgh.We want to play against Bowl favorites that are off a conference dog win at +6 or more if they are playing a team that was .500 or better last season. These teams are just 3-18 ats since 1978. The Panthers are 1-6 ats in Bowl games if they won at least their last 2 games. Houston is a well seasoned bunch that returns several starters from last season. Pittsburgh is off a big dog win at Miami and is 2-4 vs winning teams. The Cougars are 5-1 with 2+ weeks rest and the Panthers are 0-3 on Neutral Fields if the total is 52 to 57 while Houston has covered both times as a dog this year. No surprise here in Houston gets the cover. |
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01-01-15 | Ohio State +8 v. Alabama | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
The Sugar Bowl Power system Play is on the Ohio. St Buckeyes. Game 263 at 8:30 eastern. Ohio. St is on an 11 game win streak and has an identical 12-1 record as Alabama and comes in off a 59-0 BIG 10 Championship win over Wisconsin. They are 6-0 vs winning teams, 5-1 with rest and 11-3 in domes. In games on turf they are a solid 30-2 straight up. When they have played Bowl teams they are 9-1 out statting those teams by 166 yards. Alabama is 0-3 ats vs non conference teams and has failed to cover 3 of 4 on turf. Bowl favorites in the same bowl as they played in last year are 0-4 straight vs up an opponent off a dog win. Bowl teams that covered the spread by more than 39 points are 8-3. Even more impressive is Coach Meyers 5-0 straight up ledger as a dog with rest. Take the points in this one as the Buckeyes keep it close against Alabama. |
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01-01-15 | Florida State v. Oregon OVER 71 | Top | 20-59 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show |
The Rose Bowl Power total is on the over in the playoff game between Oregon and Defending National Champion Florida St Seminoles. Rotation numbers 261/262 at 5:00 eastern. This game fits one of our best totals systems and the one that cashed last seasons highest rated bowl total. The system pertains to games where the total is higher than 70 points and both teams have offenses that average over 425 yards and at least one of the defenses allows over 400 yards. Oregon will run their no huddle on a Florida St Defense that allows a plethora of points and big plays to even the most mediocre of offenses this year. Oregon averages 48 points in non home games and Florida. St averages 40 on the road, while allowing 30. The Seminoles will have to throw to keep up and may go a little up tempo themselves will will create more plays and tiring defenses mid way through the 3rd quarter. Oregon does not have a good pass defense and allows over 300 yards per game through the air. Look for a high scoring game. Take this one over the total. |
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01-01-15 | Michigan State +3 v. Baylor | 42-41 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
e Cotton Bowl play is on Michigan. St. Game 257 at 12:30 eastern. The Spartans are nearly as good as Baylor on offense and have a much better defense. Baylor beats up on Weaker teams and will get exposed in their secondary by an unusually solid offense. Baylor is 0-3 straight up and ats vs BIG 10 Teams. As for a Bowl system. Play against neutral field favorites with rest off a home favored win and cover, vs an opponent off a road win. These favorites are well under .500 especially when laying less than 5 points. Coach Briles for Baylor is a disastrous 0-15 straight up in non home games vs teams with a win percentage of .750 or higher. Michigan St is 5-1 vs winning team and 10-2 on turf. They are 6-1 ats as a dog. Make it Michigan St today. |
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01-01-15 | Wisconsin +7 v. Auburn | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
The Outback Bowl system Play is on Wisconsin. Game 255 at 12 noon eastern. The Badgers will look to atone for a terrible loss in the Big 10 Championship again Ohio. St where they suffered their worst loss 59-0. Teams who are taking 7 plus points that lost their conference championship have covered 7 of 8 times. Wisky will have AD Alvarez on the sideline for this one and they have a defense that is nearly 100 yards better than Auburn. The Badgers are 7-2 vs fellow bowl teams with a +174 yard advantage. Auburn is 6-4 vs bowl teams and 0-3 ats vs winning teams, while Wisky is 5-1 vs winning teams and has rushing edges on both sides of the ball which is essential when selecting a bowl dog. Another fine system is to play against bowl favs or dogs of less than 4 that scored 35 or more and lost like Auburn. Also Bowl favorites on New Years Day that allowed more than 32 points have failed to cover 16 of the last 20. Look for Wisconsin to get the cover here. |
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12-31-14 | Georgia Tech v. Mississippi State -4.5 | Top | 49-34 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
The Orange Bowl Play is on Miss. St. Game 254 at 8:00 eastern. This game fits a massive system that has cashed 23 of 24 times long term and pertains to teams like Miss. St that arive off a straight up favored loss, if they are playing an opponent off a loss and have a winning spread record. Both teams can run the ball effectively. Miss. St has a better defense and the one thing they struggle with on defense is pass defense, something Tech won't take advantage of. The Bull Dogs have a more balanced offense and can put of points and Dak and the boys should not have any problems with a Tech team that has lost and failed to cover 3 of the last 4 vs SEC Teams. In fact SEC Teams are 24-10 vs ACC in Bowl games. Tech lost a heart breaker to FSU in the ACC Championship and ma let down here. if they can't run against Miss.St that allows just 126 on the ground it will be a long night. Miss St has won 12 of 14 vs non conference teams and covered 6 of 7 December games and has the #1 Red zone defense which is not what you want to face when you want to run the run the ball over 75% of the time. Bulldogs atone for their bitter road loss to rival Ole Miss. Make it Miss. St tonight. |
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12-31-14 | Boise State v. Arizona -150 | 38-30 | Loss | -150 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
The Fiesta Bowl play is on Arizona on the money line. Game 252 at 4:00 eastern. Arizona fits a powerful subset of a system we use that plays on money line short favorites vs an opponent that has a better overall record, Boise St is 11-2 this year but is 0-6 straight up as a dog the last few years and has failed to over the last 3 vs PAC 12 Teams. Arizona is 11-0 straight up vs Non conference teams and will look to get he bad taste of a Conference championship loss to Oregon out of their mouths. Teams with a win percentage of .700 or better that are dogs or favorites of less than 4 that lost their conference championship game but scored 7 or more points are 22-7 ats. Mountain West Conference teams like Boise have failed to cover 10 of 13 off a win in bowl games. Arizona wins this one. |
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12-31-14 | Ole Miss v. TCU -3 | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
The Chick Fila Play is on TCU. Game 250 at 12:30 eastern. While its easy to think TCU doesn't want to be here and won't care so much after getting left out of the playoff series. The Constrain approach is to believe they will come out and look to prove their case by taking down an Ole Miss team off a satisfying home dog rival win over Miss. St. TCU has one loss on the season in a game they should have won vs Baylor. They are better rushing on both sides of the ball and have as good a defense and a more explosive offense than the Rebels. They have won and covered 5 of 6 vs winning teams, are 6-1 ats with rest, 7-1 off back to back wins. Even more impressive is their 7-1 mark vs fellow Bowl teams. They have the 2nd best turnover margin in the country. Teams who were under .500 last season but were winning teams in each of the 3 years before that losing season have covered every time in bowl action if they have a .701 or better record and their opponent allowed less than 50 combined in their last two games. Look for Boykin and the Frogs to give the Rebels fits today. Take TCU. |
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12-30-14 | Maryland +14 v. Stanford | 21-45 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
The Foster Farms bowl side is on Maryland. Game 247 at 10:00 eastern. Maryland is taking 14 here in a game where both teams lost 5 of 7 vs fellow bowl teams. The Terrapins are 3-0 ats off a loss and coach Edsall has covered over 90% of the time if his teams are over .500 and off a straight up and ats loss. Stanford has lost 14 of 15 straight up off a conference game if their opponent is non conference. for the technical system we want to play on bowl dogs like Maryland that are off a straight up and favored loss vs an opponent that has at last 1 loss and is off back to back wins with last win by 6+points. December bowl favorites of more than 8 points are a losing proposition. Look for Maryland to hang around for the cover. |
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12-30-14 | Louisville +7.5 v. Georgia | 14-37 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the Belk bowl play is on Louisville. Game 245 at 6:30 eastern. The Cardinals have won 15 straight non conference games and are 4-0 vs SEC Teams. With extra rest they are 5-1 ats, have won their last 2 bowls and have won 4 of 6 vs Bowl teams this year. Georgia is 1-6 ats with rest and December bowl favorites of 6 or more have failed to cover 10 of 11 times vs an opponent that is off a spread loss of more than 3. Coach Petrino has won 20 straight vs teams off a loss if his team is off a win and dogs who allowed 30 or more and are off a win have covered at a solid rate historically. Louisville has the 3rd best rush defense in the nation. Both teams had identical 9-3 records but the Cardinals were a 12 win team last year and have remained solid even with the departure of Bridgewater. Take the points with Louisville today. |
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12-29-14 | Texas v. Arkansas -6.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
In the Texas Bowl the Power system Play is on Arkansas. Game 242 At 9:00 eastern. The Razorbacks are 10-2 ats vs Big 12 teams, 8-2 ats on turf, 4-0 ats in non conference games and 3-0 straight up and ats as a neutral favorite from -3.5 to -7. Texas has failed to cover 3 of the last 4 in the series and will have problems stopping an Arky offense that runs for 220 yards. Texas Bowl favorites have covered 6 of 9. The Longhorns are 0-6 in bowls vs a team off a loss and Big 12 teams are 1-9 straight up and ats vs SEC Teams. Finally 1st season coaches have lost and failed to cover the last 5 times off a spread loss of more than 24 points. Look for Arkansas to get the win and cover here tonight. |
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12-29-14 | Clemson +4.5 v. Oklahoma | 40-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
The Russell Athletic Bowl play is on Clemson. Game 539 at 2:30 eastern. Clemson is alive dog here today against an Over rated Oklahoma team that lost at home to a mediocre Ok. St team.. Clemson is 5-1 vs winning teams while the Sooners are 1-3 vs winning teams and 2-6 ats off a conference game. The Tigers have won their last 2 bowl games and are 7-0 on Turf. When playing with rest they are 4-0 ats. The Dog in Clemson Bowl games has covered 90%. Clemson is 9-1 ats in non home games after rushing for 6.24 or more yards per carry. Oklahoma won last years bowl as a dog and teams who are off a bowl dog win at more than 6 last season are 0-9 ats when playing this bowl game off a loss. Look for Clemson to get the cover. |
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12-29-14 | West Virginia -1.5 v. Texas A&M | 37-45 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
On Monday afternoon the Liberty Bowl Play is on West Virginia. Game 237 at 2:00 eastern. The Mountaineers having rushing edges on both sides of the ball. Texas A@M Applies to a nasty system that plays against teams that allowed 6.5 or more yards rush in 2 straight games. These teams are 33-74 ats. The Aggies are 2-12 ats vs winning teams and 0-4 ats off a conference loss. WVU should control the game with their vaunted rushing attack against an Aggies defense that allows 224 yards per game on the ground. Lay the small Number with West Virginia. |
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12-28-14 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 48 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 3 m | Show |
The Sunday night Total is on the Under in the Bengals vs Steelers game. Rotation numbers 305/306 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a short turn around system that pertains to reversing the total result between 2 teams playin the 2nd time in a 3 week span.. These two flew over the total 2 weeks ago in a 42-21 game the featured 9 touchdowns. This one should be lower scoring as the Steelers are 8 of 10 under off 2+ wins. The Bengals check in at 5 of 7 under as a dog and 6 of 7 on the road. This is an important Divisional game with Playoff Implications which is why the game is Flexed to Sunday evening. Look for a hard fought divisional game that goes under the total. |
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12-28-14 | Carolina Panthers +3 v. Atlanta Falcons | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Final Game Super system play is on Carolina. Game 315 at 4:25 eastern. The Panthers are a live dog here and losing teams that are divisional road dogs playing with revenge have covered 13 of 14 times since 1978 vs an opponent off a dog win. The Falcons dashed the Saints playoff hopes on the road last week and now must win to host a playoff game. The Panthers are 6-0 ats as road dogs vs losing teams and have covered 11 of 13 off an AFC Game vs a losing team. The Falcons have failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 final home games vs losing team in division play. The Falcons have the worst defense in the league. Look for the Panthers to at the very least get the cover. |
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12-28-14 | Detroit Lions v. Green Bay Packers OVER 47 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
The NFC North totals Play is on the Over in the Detroit at Green Bay game. Rotation numbers 301/302 at 4:25 eastern. A powerful totals system takes center stage here today as we play the over teams playing a 2nd straight road game and are dogs of 7 or more and scored below their season average in both of their last 2 games but did not lose to the spread by 10 or more points in either game. These teams have posted overs in 18 of the last 19 instances. The Lions are 9 of 9 over off a road game at Chicago, 9 of 9 off a road win that did not require overtime. The Packers have flown over in 11 of 11 if they had less than 165 yards rushing and Rogers threw for less than 215 yards. As a favorite of -6.5 or higher they are 13 of 13 over vs an opponent with an identical record. The First game between these two was a low scoring Lions win. The Packers are averaging over 40 points at home and their home games average over 60. The Lions defense may not be as effective as a dome team playing outdoors in December has had problems historically. Look for this one to go over the total today. |
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12-28-14 | Dallas Cowboys v. Washington Redskins +6 | 44-17 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 49 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early Power System play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 323 at 1:00 eastern. Dallas is in a tough spot here today as Teams off a spread win by more than 29 points have lost straight up over 70% of the time vs an opponent off a spread win. Dallas has revenge for their home Monday night loss to Washington but that may not matter here as Home dogs off a home dog win have been solid in this range . The Cowboys go from a nice Cozy home game to a cold weather venue in late December. Dome teams have struggled mightily regardless of how good they are in this spot going back to the 70/s losing over 85% of the time not even factoring in the spread. The Skins are actually a decent team from the line of scrimmage. Washington has covered 4 of the 5 in the series and this is one of the most closely contested rivalries in football. Take the points,
Green Bay- 24-0 on a teaser line home favored at 14 or less in reg. season off back to back road, have lost lost here since 91 vs Lions
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12-27-14 | Nebraska +7 v. USC | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
The Holiday Bowl Play is on Nebraska. Game 235 at 8:00 eastern. The Huskers qualify on powerful systems here tonight that pertain to rushing dogs. One of the better ones plays on December bowl dogs that rush for 200 or more yards, vs an opponents that rush for 199 or less yards on the ground and the line is 7 or more points. The Huskers and all bowl dogs off a win that allowed 30 or more are a solid investment through the years.. Nebraska will be fine without Coach Pelini here as his bone head mistakes have cost the Huskers through the year. They should control the clock with their vaunted ground game. PAC 12 Teams have faired much better as dogs than favorites in recent years. The Huskers have a better defense and average 9 more points on the road than USC Does at 35 per game. They are a perfect 4-0 vs non conference teams. With the Trojans 0-7 ats as a favorite off a win we will Take the points in this one. |
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12-27-14 | Miami (Fla) -3 v. South Carolina | 21-24 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
The Independence Bowl Power system Play is on the Miami Hurricanes game 231 at 3:30 eastern. The Canes fit a powerful subset of a dynamite bowl system we use that plays on favorites of less than 7 that are off 3+ losses to end the season and are playing a team that has lost at least 3 times on the season. What kicks the subset in is that Miami is off 2 straight up favored loss and the last by 10 or more to the spread. Another fine system plays on 6 win bowl favorites vs another 6 win bowl team as the lines maker gets it right as the favorite has covered 8 of the 10 times this has occurred. Miami has a big edge on defense and most the Positive South Carolina trends you may see are when the Gamecocks were a much better team. For instance Last seasons Qb Connor Shaw will start for Cleveland tomorrow. Look for Miami to get the win and cover. |
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12-27-14 | Duke +7.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show |
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12-27-14 | Virginia Tech +3 v. Cincinnati | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 35 h 7 m | Show | |
In The Military Bowl the Power system play is on Va. Tech. Game 227 at 1:00 eastern. The Hokie are a hot dog here today and they have Coach Beamer in one of his better roles here as he is 13-3 to the spread in non home games if his team won by 6 or less last out. VA. Tech is off a home dog win over Virginia and a prior upset loss at Wake Forest and that scenario sets them up in a solid system here today that plays on teams that have 28 or more days rest off a dog win a prior straight up favored loss and are playing an opponent that did not lose to the spread at home by 12 or more points. These teams are 100% To the spread long term and win by an average 20 points per game. Additionally neutral dogs of 5 or less with rest off a home dog win have covered 7 of 9 since 1999. Bowl teams with 6 wins have covered 15 of 21 vs an opponent that has 67% or more of their games. The Bear Cats may be on a win streak but are just 1-5 straight up and ats in bowl games. Take the points with VA. Tech. |
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12-26-14 | North Carolina State +3 v. Central Florida | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
The St. Petersburg Bowl system winner is on North Carolina St. Game 225 at 8:00 eastern. This game fits one of Our Powerful Bowl systems that play against teams like UCF that .795 or less and are off 3 or more straight up and ats spread wins as these teams have failed to cover 26 of 36 times and often lose straight up. We cashed with Central Michigan plus the points on Wednesday with a variation of this system. The Golden Knights are 2-9 vs ACC Teams and NC. St has cashed 6 of the last 7 in bowl games and 5 of 6 with rest. They are also 4-0 ats off a dog win And are a live dog with bite that can win outright. Take NC. St |
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12-26-14 | Rutgers v. North Carolina -3 | 40-21 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
The Quick Lane Bowl selection play is on the North Carolina Tar Heels. Game 224 at 4:30 eastern. The Heels are 6-6 and Rutgers is 7-5. Straight up the last several bowl season s teams that are favored have been solid on the money line if they have a worse record than their opponent. Also Neutral favorites of of less than 5 that are off a straight up and home favored loss with rest are 13-3 since 1980. The Heels have won 3 of the 4 in the series and are a perfect 6-0 ats in dome games and 7-3 ats off a conference loss. Rutgers is 1-5 ats from +3 to -3 and has lost 8 o 12 vs ACC Teams. The Heels will want to bounce back and give a nice end to their season by getting over .500 and atoning for their home loss to NC. St as they are 11-1 off a favored loss. Take North Carolina. |
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12-26-14 | Illinois v. Louisiana Tech -6 | 18-35 | Win | 100 | 35 h 35 m | Show | |
On Friday the Hear Of Dallas Bowl play is on LA. Tech. Game 221 at 1:00 eastern. LA. Tech maybe from a smaller conference than Big 10 Illinois, However, they are a better team and have covered all 7 games vs teams who are bowl bound. They crushed Illinois in 2012 on the road by 28 points and have covered 3 of the last 4 bowl games. The Ilini were out yarded by nearly 160 yards vs fellow bowler and have lot 14 of 16 vs winning teams. Also of note is that bowl teams that have 6 wins and allow 33+ points cover just 20% of the time. Illinois played well in back to back upset wins to even get a bowl appearance and teams who enter off back to back dog wins are not teams we look to play on. Lay it With LA. Tech. |
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12-24-14 | Fresno State v. Rice -2.5 | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 19 h 0 m | Show | |
The Hawaii bowl on Christmas Eve takes center stage and the Power Angle Play is on the Rice Owls. Game 220 at 8:00 eastern. Fresno is a pathetic 6-7 and gets a post season bid. They have an inept defense that allows a whopping 200 yards on the ground. That will work well for a Rice team that likes to run and averages 170 on the ground. Rice is 5-0 this year vs losing teams and coach Bailiff is a solid 16-3 ats when the line is within 3 points of pick. The Owls have won the last 2 games vs Mountain West Teams. Fresno is 0-5 straight up and ats in Bowl games and has lost 5 of 6 vs winning teams. Conference USA Teams have covered 14 of 17 off a spread loss of 10 or more. Fresno is 0-3 vs Conference USA Teams and allowed 76 points last out, not a good omen for Bowl teams. The Owls are on the Bull dogs like WHITE ON RICE. |
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12-24-14 | Central Michigan +4 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 48-49 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
On Christmas Eve the Popeye's Bahamas Bowl play is on Central Michigan. Game 217 at 12 noon eastern. This game is a bowl rematch from the Little Caesars bowl in 2012 when Central Michigan beat Western Kentucky by 3 as a 6 point dog.The Chippewas are on a big roll now as they have out gained their last 7 opponents on average by over 150 yards. They will have a field day on a Hiltoppers defense allowing over 500 yards. For Technical purposes, we note that bowl favorites like WKU are an anemic 0-8 straight up and ats off 3 or more straight up and ats wins if they are playing an opponent off a straight up and favored loss. WKU has not played since knocking off a then undefeated Marshall team 67-66. Playing against teams in non home games that took down a previously unbeaten team in their next game has been very profitable through the years. Another thing to consider is MAC Team Bowling Green capturing a nice dog win over Sun Belt squad South Alabama. WKU is a conference USA Team this year for the first time but played in Sun Belt last year. With Central Michigan holding a big edge in defense we will take the points today. |
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12-23-14 | Navy v. San Diego State -2.5 | 17-16 | Loss | -107 | 32 h 8 m | Show | |
In The Poinsettia Bowl the Power system play is on San Diego. St. Game 216 at 9:30 eastern. The Aztecs are the home team here and this is their 3rd time in 5 years they are here. In the Series with Navy they are a perfect 3-0 straight up and ats against them. This season they are 6-0 on this field winning by an average 32-12 score. A solid system for this game is to play on Home bowl team that are not laying 7 or more points and their opponent is not off a win of 20 or more points. Having the extra time to prepare for the Navy offense will also be a plus. Navy will be a public dog in this game and the line has already come down a bit. Take San Diego St. |
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12-22-14 | Denver Broncos v. Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 | Top | 28-37 | Win | 100 | 53 h 18 m | Show |
The NFL Monday night Super Side is on The Cincinnati Bengals. Game 132 at 8:30 eastern. There are several powerful indicators that apply to this game. Cincy is 9-0 ats as a dog off a spread win by 10 or more points. Teams that allowed 6 or less first down have covered 40 of the last 57 times. Bengals are off a dominating shut out win over the Browns 30-0. Home teams off a shutout win have covered 80% of the time. The Broncos are 0-10 straight up on Monday night football vs Non division teams. We also want to play against road favorite that have won at least 4 straight games, but did lose their prior road game before the streak. These road teams are 24-61 to the spread with the last on being Green Bay and we saw what happened to them last week. Super Bowl losers are poor non division road favorites historically particularly if they are laying more than 2 vs a winning team where they are failing to cover well over 90%/. On Monday nights non division home dogs of favorites of 4 or less that are off a road dog win and allowed 7 or less also are a solid investment. Simply too much data to support the Bengals so we will take the points here. |
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12-22-14 | BYU +2 v. Memphis | 48-55 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
On Monday at 2:00 eastern in the Miami Beach Bowl is on the BYU Cougars. Game 211 at 2:00 eastern. BYU will look to atone for a bowl loss last year and teams off a win that allowed 30 or more points have been cash cows if they are dogs in bowl actions. On the other side Memphis and Bowl favorites that won 3 or less last year have failed to cover 13 of 16 vs a team that won 6 or more. Another play against system for Memphis is to play against .900 or less bowl favorites that are off back to back wins with the last win a revenge win. If the opponent is off back to back wins the system is near perfect. BYU is still a solid 4-1 straight up and ats in bowl games and should have a preparation edge. Take BYU. |
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12-21-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals +8 | Top | 35-6 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
The Sunday night NFC West super system play is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 130 at 8:30 eastern. Will have to reach down and grab them here tonight. Were playing against the World champs on Prime time TV and were playing a 3rd string Qb to boot. Here is why though. Road favorites at -5.5 or more that were favored in their last 2 games and 3 or more sacks in each game while allowing 439 or less yards through the air in both games combined have failed to cover 19 straight times long term. Home dogs off a road dog win that scored 14 or less have covered 22 of 27 times. The Cards allow 15 points per game here and are 10-0 ats after Larry Fitzgerald had 6 or more catches and have covered 7 straight home in between 2 road games. Over the last 7 years only 3 home dogs have had 11 or more wins and all 3 won straight up. Seattle is 0-8 ats on grass in between home games. Finally winning teams in their last home game have covered 17 of 20 times the last 35 years if they are off a dog win, have revenge and are playing a .500 or better division team. Coach Arians is 15-1 ats vs an opponent off a win and cover. In what should be a low scoring game we will take the points. |
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12-21-14 | Indianapolis Colts +3.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | 7-42 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
The Late afternoon Power Play is on the Indy Colts. Game 127 at 4:25 eastern. Angles galore in this one. Lets have a look see. Dallas comes in off a big road dog division win vs the Eagles. Now they come home for the Colts who despite a win vs Houston did not play that well on offense. Dallas is 0-11 ats in game 13 or later off a win vs a non division team. The Colts are 13-0 ats if they scored 21 or less last out and 6-0 ats if they scored 10 or less than their season average and have covered 6 straight on the road vs an opponent off a dog win.Dallas gets a big breal with the unexpected Philly loss but In what should be a good game we will back the Dog here. Take the Colts. |
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12-21-14 | Green Bay Packers -11 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 41 h 2 m | Show | |
On Sunday in early action the NFL Road warrior system side is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 109 at 1:00 eastern. The Packers are off a road last week in Buffalo where they previously had never won. Look for a big bounce back week from the offense against a Tampa team that's playing out the string. The Packers are 7-0 ats on the road off a road loss if any of their receivers had 5+ catches. Since 1980 road favorites of more than 10 have covered 14 of 17 times. The Packers have covered 7 of the last 8 on grass and Tampa has failed to cover 5 of the last 5 at home and 2-5 ats the last few season as non division home dogs off a loss. They are also a dismal 1-9 ats in the 2nd half vs teams who average 375+ yards per game Green Bay has a tough challenge vs Detroit for the division this season. Look it to be GREEN BAY ALL DAY. |
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12-21-14 | Cleveland Browns +4.5 v. Carolina Panthers | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
The NFL Power system play is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 119 at 1:00 eastern. Expect a much better effort from the Browns here today as they fit several variations of a shutout system we use. Here is one of the nicer ones. Since 1980 we are playing on certain non conference road dogs off ats shutout loss if they lost by 17+ points and the opponent is off a win. The Conference head to head brings an interesting slice of data today. NFC South teams are 5-13 ats vs AFC North teams including 0-6 ats if the NFC South team is favored. No surprises as we have the deepest Conference vs the weakest. Carolina is 0-8 ats vs the AFC North The Panthers have failed to cover 3 of 4 off a division game while the Browns are 3-0 out of conference. The Panthers struggled with Tampa last week. Look for Cleveland to get the cash and see what Brown can do for you today. |
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12-20-14 | South Alabama -2 v. Bowling Green | 28-33 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 42 m | Show | |
The Ray com Bowl play is on South Alabama. Game 209 at 9:15 eastern. South Bama has covered all 3 vs MAC Teams and have a big edge on defense against a Bowling Green Teams that has the worst pass defense of any bowl team this year. They alos have a first year coach and that spells trouble as these teams are 0-5 straight up and ats off a loss of more than 24 if they are dogs. MAC Bowl teams off a loss are just 1-13 ats and Bowl dogs off 3+ losses have failed to cover nearly 90% if they lost by more than 25 points. Bowling Green was hammered by Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship and are 1-3 ats with rest. South Alabama and all 6 win bowl teams that are 2 or more losses have covered 13 of 19 times. Look for South Alabama to get the win and cover. |
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12-20-14 | South Alabama v. Bowling Green UNDER 54 | 28-33 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
NCAAF Off shore steam Sharp money bowl total is the under in the Raycom media bowl. A large buy order came down on the under here. For technical purposes it is worth noting that teams like Bowling Green off a conference Championship loss in Bowl game prior to New Years Day have stayed under 20 of 22 times the last 8 seasons. Take the Under. |
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12-20-14 | San Diego Chargers v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 41 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NFL Totals System Play is on the Under in the San Diego at San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 103/104 at 8:25 eastern. The Chargers are 5 of 5 under after Denver, 5 of 5 as a non division dog of 4 or less, 4/4 on Saturday, 4 of 5 before KC ,4 of 4 if the line is +3 to -3. San Francisco is 4/4 under in 1st of back to back home, 5 of 6 vs AFC West, 6 of 8 on Saturday, 5 of 6 off a road loss by 10 or more. Now to tie in an exclusive system to all those Under angles above we play the under for non conference home favorites that scored 10 or less in a road dog loss at +7 or more, vs an opponent off a home dog loss and scored 14 or less. These games have played under every time since 1991, with no gam e getting above 30 points. Look for a low scoring game with points at a Premium. Take the Under. |
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12-20-14 | Western Michigan -1.5 v. Air Force | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
The Idaho Potato bowl play is On Western Michigan. Game 207 at 5:45 eastern. The Broncos fit a perfect Bowl system here today that plays on .600 or better bowl teams vs an opponent that won their last game as 7+ point dog like Air Force did last out. These teams are perfect ats. Air Force is 0-9 ats if they are not at home and forced 1 or less turnovers in 2 straight games. Western Michigan is 4-0 straight up if the line is within 3 points of pick and 10-1 ats on Saturday. On Turf they have covered 9 of 10 and 3 of 4 vs winning teams. Look for Western Michigan to bounce back here tonight. |
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12-20-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins +8 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
NFL Matinee Play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 106 at 4:30 eastern. Washington lost the first meeting in Philly 37-34. Now they are taking over 7 points at home. The Skins are actually a decent team from the line of scrimmage and do well in the yardage battle despite the losing record. One can remember their 10 point dog win at Dallas on Monday night Football. In fact home dogs of 7 or more that are off a road dog loss and scored 21 or less are 5-0 ats since 1980 vs an opponent off a home loss that scored 21 or more. The Eagles are 0-14 ats at home if they had a receiver with a 25+ yard catch in last game. Philly is 0-13 to the spread vs an opponent that averages 25 or less rush attempts. They are also 0-7 ats as a road favorite off a home game. Home teams like Washington that have failed to cover in 4 of the last 5 or 5 of the last 6 that have a win percentage of .250 or less are 82-43 ats in the second half long term vs an opponent with a winning record. Finally Washington is 17-4 ats vs a team that averages 260+ yards. Take the Points in this one. |
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12-20-14 | Utah v. Colorado State +3 | 45-10 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Members only Las Vegas bowl play on Colorado St Game 206 at 3:30 eastern |
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12-20-14 | Nevada v. UL-Lafayette +1 | 3-16 | Win | 100 | 37 h 49 m | Show | |
New Orleans bowl On Saturday we start things off with UL. Lafayette. Game 202 at 11:00 am. The Cajuns will one again enjoy the home cooking here as teams who played in the same bowl as last year are perfect to the spread as a dog or favorite of less than 2 points. Mountain West Conference bowl teams like Nevada have failed to cover 7 of 8 vs an opponent off a win. Cajun Coach Hudspeth has covered 13 of 16 off a win vs an opponent off a win. While Nevada is 0-6 in a bowl game off a win. Nevada has lost 12 of 16 vs winning teams and is 1-6 with 2+ weeks rest. Lafayette is 5-1 with 2 or more weeks rest, 10-3 vs winning teams and 3-0 in dome games. Look for LA. Lafayette to take this one. |
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12-18-14 | Tennessee Titans v. Jacksonville Jaguars -3 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 31 h 29 m | Show | |
The Thursday night NFL System Play is on the Jacksonville Jaguars. Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. The Jags fit 2 Powerful system here tonight. One that pertains to Thursday games and one that pertains to week 16. Thursday home favorites off a road dog loss, vs an opponent off a home loss are 100% since 1989 and win by an average 31-15 score. Week 16 home favorites off a road dog loss have covered every time the last 25 seasons vs an opponent off a home dog straight up and ats loss. The Jaguars have revenge and are 3-0 ats as a home favorite off a +7 or more road dog loss. The Titans have failed to cover 4 of the last 5 in their last road game and Coach Whisenhunt is a dismal 1-9 straight up and ats on the road in game 13 or later of the season. The Jaguars are 1-1 vs losing teams while The Titans are 1-7 vs losing teams and have the worst rush defense in the league. The Titans appear to be on the Duck Hunt for Oregon Qb Mariotta and cant afford to win here, Take Jacksonville. |
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12-15-14 | New Orleans Saints -3 v. Chicago Bears | 31-15 | Win | 102 | 24 h 7 m | Show | |
On Monday the NFL Double system power play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 333 at 8:30 eastern. The Saints are alive in the NFC South and need a win here tonight against a Chicago team that is in disarray. Monday night homers have not covered since at least 1989 if they are off a Thursday home loss, and road favorites are 6-0 ats as road favorites over the last 20 years off a home favored loss at -7 or more if they lost by 21+ points and scored 21 or less. The Saints are 5-0 ats vs NFC North teams and won here by 8 last year. The Bears are 2-13 ats home off a home, 2-12 ats vs teams who average 375+ yards, 0-8 ats vs teams who average 7 or more yards per pass attempt, 0-4 straight up and ats as a home dog of 3 or less and 1-5 ats at home of the total is 49.5 or more. Look for the SAINTS TO COME MARCHING IN. |
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12-14-14 | Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 55 | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 19 m | Show | |
Sunday night Total, over Eagles vs Dallas |
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12-14-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 38 | 7-17 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the San Francisco at Seattle game. Rotation numbers 329/330 at 4:25 eastern. This game fits a short turn around system we use that reverses the result of the total from the first meeting if the two teams played within 2-3 weeks of their last matchup. On Thanksgiving these two played to a total of 22 points. This game should produce more points and the total is set low here today. Seattle has played over 8 of 8 off a win if they were losing by 7 or more after the first quarter and 10 straight times on Sunday in games where the total is 38.5 or less. We will also play over for road teams in the 2nd of back to back games if they are a dog of 7 or more and scored less than their season average in the last 2 games and punted 4 or more times in both of those games. These teams have flown over 33 of 38 times. Seattle has gone over 20 of 20 at home when the total is 35.5 to 38 and the Niners are 7 of 9 over in the last 4 weeks and 7 of 9 over as a dog. Take the over today. |
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12-14-14 | San Francisco 49ers +10 v. Seattle Seahawks | Top | 7-17 | Push | 0 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
NFL Play on San Francisco |
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12-14-14 | Minnesota Vikings +8 v. Detroit Lions | Top | 14-16 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
The NFL Dog with bite is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 323 at 4:25 eastern. The Vikings are in a solid spot to make some noise here today. The Lions have an incredible system that is 18-0 playing against them and any home favorite of 5 or more that are off back to back home wins vs an opponent like Minnesota that scored 13 or more points in a non conference game last week. This one is solid and dates to 1980. Another variation of this system plays against home favorites on Sunday or Monday playing their 3rd straight at home at -6 or more if the total is 45 or less. These home teams are 2-18 ats. Minnesota scraped past the Jets with an Overtime win. So were interested in seeing how a road dog would do if they are off a home favored win in overtime if they scored 21 or more points and their opponent is off a home win. Well, These road dogs are 7-0 ats since 2003. Minnesota hits another gear this time of year going 8-1 ats in the last 4 weeks and 3-0 ats on the road if the total is 42.5 to 45. The Lions have lost 8 of 9 straight up in the last 4 weeks and are 1-6 off back to back wins. The Lions are 4-17 ats off a game that went over and 0-5 ats as a game 14 favorite. Minnesota is 7-0 ats as a road dog in their 2nd to last road game and 5-0 ats in game where both teams are off a home game. Detroit is 0-7 ats off a win if they had a +2 or more turnover edge. The Vikings are 10-1 ats vs defenses that allow less than 61% completions in the 2nd half of the year and have covered 7 straight vs an opponent that average 260+pass yards in the 2nd half and finally 11-1 ats with revenge vs the Lions. Make it Minnesota here today. |
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12-14-14 | Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers +5 | 22-10 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
The Late Afternoon Power system play is on San Diego. Game 328 at 4:05 eastern, The Chargers have revenge here today. The Chargers are 8-0 straight up in last home games and Are 30-7 straight up in December with Philip Rivers at the helm, including 6-1 ats off a loss. They have covered 4 straight as a home dog off a home game. Denver is 0-11 ats off a win if their conversion rate was 50% or better. The Chargers have covered 9 straight off a non overtime loss if they scored 16 or less and had 3 or less turnovers. Finally, play against road favorites that won last Sunday by 7 or more points and threw 10 or less passes than what they average on the season and had 1 or more turnovers and led in that game by at least 11 points at halftime. These road teams have failed to cover 24 of the last 25 times. Look for San Diego to be far more competitive than they were in the loss at Denver. |
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12-14-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Buffalo Bills +5.5 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 36 h 23 m | Show | |
The early play is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 322 at 1:00 eastern. The Bills are 12-1 ats off a road loss an have covered 3 straight last home games. They take on a Green Bay team that may be flat for this one after a wild Monday night affair where they scored at will but had their defense torched by Atlanta allowing 37 points. They have NEVER WON HERE in Buffalo going 0-5 straight up all time. The Packers are 0-4 ats off a Monday night game and are in a terrible system here that plays against road favorites off 4+ wins in a row if they lost the road game prior to the win streak. These teams are 24-60 ats. Look for the Bills to get the cover. The 3 Team 10 point teaser of the week is on |
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12-13-14 | Army v. Navy UNDER 57.5 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 38 h 30 m | Show |
On Saturday the College Football Totals Play is on the Under in the Army- Navy game. Rotation numbers 303/304 at 3:00 eastern on CBS. Its another installment of Army vs Navy and the Middies have a bowl bid locked up. This is the Bowl game for Army. This figures to be another lower scoring game. In the series 14 of 22 have played under including 8 straight with all 8 of those games combining for less than 40 points. The key is the defenses have the edge with he bye week and with both teams running the same rushing styles the defenses can get prepared with much more efficiency by going against their own offense. Military games in general are lower scoring and 28 of the last 36 have gone under in including 10-0 if the total is 55.5 or higher he last 16 seasons. Army has a slightly better statistical defense and they are 7 of 7 over vs winning teams and 3 of 4 as a dog of 10.5 to 21. Navy has played under 14 of 17 as a favorite and 9 of 11 vs losing teams. When playing off a bye week Navy is 11 of 12 to the under. Look foe this game to stay under the posted total. |
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12-11-14 | Arizona Cardinals v. St. Louis Rams -4 | 12-6 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
On Thursday night the Double system Dominator is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 302 at 8:25 eastern. The Rams are rolling and are a hot team now. They have won 3 straight at home including wins over Seattle and Denver shutting Peyton Manning down and allowing just 7 points. They are doing it with defense and are the first team since the 2000 Pittsburgh Steelers to achieve back to back shutout wins. The Steelers that year followed those shutout wins with a 9-6 win over Baltimore. The Rams get a Cardinals team with a banged up Larry Fitzgerald and the key is no Andre Ellington who causes problem rushing and receiving. In the first meeting the The Cardinals won 31-14 despite trailing 14-10 at the half. The Rams had costly turnovers in that game late. Now the Cardinals will have a loud crowd to deal with and a Qb that will have happy feet in this against a Vaunted Rams Pass rush. The Cardinals are 1-15 straight up as a road dog off a home dog win and are 1-8 ats of late in that role. This game being played on a Thursday is key as road teams have struggled with the short week. Lets head to the league wide database. Thursday NFL Road dogs are 0-7 straight up with 1 spread win since 1989 off a home dog win vs an opponent off a favored win. These road teams are losing by a 30-10 average score. The Rams are 9-0 ats at home off a double digit non division cover. Finally home teams off a road favored win by 14 or more points that allowed less than 10 are 7-0 straight up and ats since 1989 and win by an average 36-10 score. Look for St. Louis to get their revenge Tonight. RAM TOUGH. |
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12-08-14 | Atlanta Falcons v. Green Bay Packers -13 | Top | 37-43 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
On Monday night football the power system play is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 180 at 8:30 eastern. These two met here exactly one year ago on December 8th and the Packers escaped with a 22-21 win. Tonight the situations are different and The Packers apply to a never lost system that plays on Monday night home favorites of 10 or more that are off a home favored win and cover and scored 21 or more. These teams win by an average 34-10 score. The Falcons apply to a perfect system as well, as we play against and road dog of 10 or more that is off a home dog win if the total is 50 or higher. Green Bay is 7-0 ats as a home favorite of 7 or more vs an opponent that averages 35+ pass plays per game and 10-0 ats at home after a home game vs an AFC Team. They are also 8-1 ats as a double digit home favorite vs losing teams vs an opponent off a win. Atlanta has failed to cover 14 of 16 as a losing team on Monday night Football and 0-7 ats off a dog win and had 300+ yards passing. Its Green and Gold tonight. Play the Packers. |