Football Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
01-02-11 | San Diego Chargers -3 v. Denver Broncos | 33-28 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Late Power System Play is on the SD. Chargers. Game 331 at 4:15 eastern. The Chargers fit a late never lost Power System that plays on road favorites off a game where they were a road favorite of 3 or more and scored 21 or less vs an opponent that scored 21 or more. The Chargers are 11-3 straight up and ats long term as a road favorite of 3 or less and 10-1 in the last 4 weeks of the season. Denver is off a come from behind win at home vs Houston in a game where they need a major rally against a defense that is amongst the worst in the league. They will have a much tougher test here today vs a Charger team that is 100 yards better on defense and 40 yards better on offense and that without calculating how much Tebow will struggle against this defense. The Broncos are 2-9 in the last 4 weeks of the season and 1-6 straight up and ats with revenge. Look for the Chargers to get the win and cover. Play the Chargers
On Sunday the NBA System Side is on the Atlanta Hawks. Game 8-3 at 3:35 eastern. The Hawks fit a solid system here today. What we want to do is play on road favorites with rest if the line is +3 to -3 and they are a road dog and shot 45% or better in their last game vs an opponent that also shot 45% or better as a home dog of 4 or less. These road teams are 11-1 straight up and ats since 1995. The Hawks won last years game here by 18 points. They have won and covered 3 of 4 as a road favorite of 3 or less and have won 15 of 20 vs losing teams. The Clippers have lost 3 of 4 as a short home dog and are 1-7 straight up and ats at home when the total is 189 to 195. Look for the Hawks to get the win. Lay the small number. Take Atlanta |
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01-02-11 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens -9.5 | 7-13 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 5 m | Show | |
NFL Tier 2 play Baltimore
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01-02-11 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8 v. New Orleans Saints | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 48 h 19 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Power system play is on the Tampa Bay Bucs. Game 325 at 1:00 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play against Defending Super Bowl champions are 1-7 ats as a favorite of -4 or more in their last regular season of late. Division Dogs that have a winning record have covered 85% of the time if they have revenge, if the opponent is off a road win we really hit the peak. The Bucs are 8-0 ats as dogs off a non division win and cover if they won by 10 or more. They have been road warriors this season with 6 covers. They have covered 6 of the last 7 here in NO. Domes are no problem at all as they have covered 6 of 7 the last 3 years. Over the last 3 years they are 4-0 ats on the road from 7.5 to +10. They have major Blowout revenge and catch the Saints off a Monday night dog win in Atlanta their biggest win of the season. The Saints are 2-17 ats as a division favorite of 7 or more and 2-11 ats off a dog win vs an opponent with revenge. Deep down they know that Atlanta will not lose to Carolina, they are locked into the top wildcard slot. They will most likely win, But this game will be a dog fight. Take the points.
Bonus Late season Qualifier plays- ALL Go at 1 eastern. Indy Colts game # 304- Patriots game # 306- Jets game # 322 |
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01-01-11 | TCU -2.5 v. Wisconsin | 21-19 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
On New Years Day the Rose Bowl Winner is on TCU. Game 253 at 5:00 eastern. TCU has won the stat battle in 32 of their last 33 games. Today they fit one of my favorite bowl systems. What we want to do is play on favorites of 4 or less with less than 39 days of rest off a win where they scored 46 or more points. These teams are 15-0 ats long term. TCU wants to send a message here and finish at least 2nd in the BCC Standings. They have won 3 of 4 vs Big 10 teams and have a HUGE defensive edge and a 40 yard offensive edge. They can play with a physical Wisconsin team here. Another Fine system that plays against the Badgers here is to play against BCS Bowl dogs that allow more than 19 points per game if they scored 24 or more in their final regular season game. These Bowl dogs have failed to cover 12 of the last 13 times. Look for TCU to get it done today
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01-01-11 | Northwestern +10 v. Texas Tech | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
On New Years Day the Cotton Bowl System Play is on Northwestern. Game 245 at 12:00 eastern. Northwestern will look to bounce back from a beating at the hands of Wisconsin in their last game. They have covered 7 of 10 as a dog of 33.5 to 10 and covered 4 of the last 5 vs Big 12 teams. A good sign is the Iowa win over Missouri the other night as we see that Big 10 teams may be just as good as the Big 12 this year. Texas Tech is just 2-5 ats vs the Big 10. Texas Tech fits the same system we used the other night with Washington. What we want to do is play against certain favorites that won their last bowl game and are not off favored wins vs an opponent that is not off a conference road favored win and ats loss. Furthermore Texas Tech is 0-7 ats as favorites off a win of 10 or more points. The Big 10 conference has covered 7 of the last 8 vs Big 12 teams that come in off a win of 10 or more. Big 12 favorites are 6-19 as a favorite of 7 or more. With Northwestern Fitting a 19-1 Big 10 Power Angle we will back them here today. Take Northwestern.
BONUS PLAY OVER Michigan and Misst. St in Gator bowl |
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12-31-10 | Notre Dame v. Miami (Florida) -3 | 33-17 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
On Friday the Sun Bowl winner is on the Miami Hurricanes. Game 240 at 2:00 eastern. Miami fits a solid system that plays on Neutral favorites of 5 or less that are off a home favored loss. This system is in the high 90% range since 1980. Notre Dame is 1-9 straight up in Bowl games since 1995 and they draw a tough assignment here today as they are off a big revenge dog win vs USC in their last game. Miami is off a tough loss to South Florida as a 13 point favorite. Notre Dame fits a negative first year coach in a bowl angle while Miami has been out statting every one over their past few games. Look for Miami to emerge as the winner here today as they have the better offense and defense.
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12-29-10 | Arizona +6 v. Oklahoma State | 10-36 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
On Wednesday night the Alamo Bowl system play is on Arizona. Game 227 at 9:15 eastern. Arizona qualifies in my oldest Bowl system. What we want to do is play on a bowler that was shutout in a bowl game last year. Thus system gas cashed 75% of the time and dates to 1973. They also qualify in a system that pertains to bowl dogs that are unranked and an addition bowl system that plays on certain teams off 3 or more losses to end the regular season. The Capper stat is PAC 10 Bowl dogs off a straight up and ats loss are 14-1 ats. Big 12 favorites off a loss are just 5-18 ats. OK. ST is off a disappointing loss at home vs Oklahoma and may not be to excited to be here at 10-2. Arizona will look to get back on track especially on defense. Take the points here with Arizona.
On Wednesday night the NCAAB Play is on Idaho. Game 758 at 10:05 eastern. Idaho comes in off a huge win as a 12 point dog in Oregon. Tonight they come home to face New Mexico St as a small favorite. Idaho has excelled as a home favorite of 3 or less winning and covering all 4 times the past few seasons. They have won 18 of 22 as a favorite. They have won 4 of 6 vs losing teams this year. New Mexico State may be out of sorts for this one as they were just blown out by St. Mary's in a game that would show where they were at, they lost by 20. They are 1-7 vs winning teams, 2-8 as a dog this season and-3 after scoring 60 or less. In their road games they are 1-5 and are losing by 12 points per game. Take Idaho tonight. |
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12-29-10 | East Carolina +8 v. Maryland | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the Bowl Dog is on the East Carolina Pirates. Game 223 at 2:30 eastern. This game fits one of the Best Bowl Dogs systems I've tracked. What we want to do is play against bowl favorites that won 3 or less last year vs an opponent that won 6 or more games last season. Maryland qualifies since they won just 2 games last year, while ECU won 9 games. The Favorite in this system is 1-11 straight up! East Carolina also fits a bowl dog system that plays on teams that 6-6. A third system plays against certain bowl favorites of more than in pre new years day games. East Carolina may win this one outright as they have the offense to do it. Take the Points with East Carolina today
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12-29-10 | East Carolina v. Maryland OVER 67.5 | 20-51 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the BOWL Total of the Week is on the Over in the Maryland and East Carolina Bowl game. Rotation numbers 223/224 at 2:20 eastern. This game fits a bowl totals system that has cashed 13 of 16 times and averages over 82 points per game. East Carolina has the worst defense in the nation and one of the best offenses averaging 545 yards per game. Maryland has scored 38 or more 5 times this season. Look for a close but high scoring game that will favor the dog here. Take the over.
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12-28-10 | Missouri v. Iowa +3 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 101 h 25 m | Show | |
Insight Bowl winner Iowa at 10:00 eastern
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12-28-10 | Minnesota Vikings v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 41.5 | 24-14 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 9 m | Show | |
On Tuesday night the NFL Totals play is on the over in the Vikings at Eagles game. Rotation numbers 1133/34 at 8:00 eastern. This game fits a solid total system that plays to the over for road dogs of 10 or more if the total is 40 or higher and the road team scored 21 or less at home last week vs an opponent that scored 35 or more on the road last week. These games have played over 12 of 14 times since 1995. If we insist that the home team tonight which is Phily had 150 or more yards rushing last out the system goes perfect and averages 60 points per game. Philly should have no problem putting up points here tonight. Their defense is far from great so Minnesota may put up some points and get us over the total here tonight. The Vikings have played over the total 5 of 6 times as a road dog of 10 or more. The Eagles have played over 10 of 14 this year. Look for this one to go over the total.
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12-28-10 | North Carolina State +3 v. West Virginia | 23-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the Triple system Bowl play is on NC. St. Game 219 at 6:30 eastern. NC. ST fits 3 solid systems. One of which is 26-2 ats since 1981. What we want to do is play on bowl dogs off a straight up favored loss vs an opponent that has at least one loss and is off back to back wins with the last one by 6 or more points. ACC dogs are a solid 12-1 ats as a dog off a loss and the Wolfpack also fit a sagarin System that has cashed good the last few seasons. West Virginia fits a negative system that plays against favorites from 1.5 to -8 with less than 43 days off 3+ wins and not off an ats loss of 8 or more vs an opponent that did not win by shut put in their last game. This big system is 2-20 ats playing against the favorite. Take the points with NC. St tonight.
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12-27-10 | New Orleans Saints +3 v. Atlanta Falcons | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL play is on the NO.Saints. Game 131 at 8:35 eastern. The Saints have home loss revenge on their minda here in Atlanta tonight. The good part is they are 9-2 with revenge including 3-0 the last 3 years. In the first game the Falcons ran roughshod ver the Saints in route to a close 3 point win. The Saints are 4-1 on Monday night football. The Falcons are just 4-10 in Monday night games. They come home tonight off 3 straight road wins and covers. The Saints are off a 30-24 loss to Baltimore. If anyone can melt Matty Ice it will be the Saints. They did win here last year. Take the Saints plus the points.
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12-27-10 | Georgia Tech +3 v. Air Force | 7-14 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 10 m | Show | |
ON Monday the 20-1 Bowl system play is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Game 217 at 5:00 eastern. GA. Tech fits the Sagarin system as well as a rushing bowl dog system here tonight. However most importantly Air Force qualifies in 1-20 ats go against system. What we want to do is play against certain teams with less then 43 days rest off 3 wins and not off an ats loss of 8 or more vs an opponent that is not off a shutout win. ACC Dogs have also been fantastic off a loss covering 12 of the last 13 times. Look for GA. Tech to sting Air Force tonight. Take GA. Tech
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12-26-10 | Florida International +1.5 v. Toledo | 34-32 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Little Caesars Bowl system play is on Florida International. Game 215 at 8:30 eastern. FIU has better numbers on both sides of the ball and qualifies in a crucial subset of my rushing dog system here tonight. Toledo fits a negative bowl system that plays against favorites in bowl games that are off back to back wins with the last win coming as a revenge win. FIU also qualifies in a system that pertains to bowl dogs tht have a 6-6 record. After losing their first few games FIU really improved. Look for them to win this one as a small dog tonight. Play FIU
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12-26-10 | NY Giants +3 v. Green Bay Packers | 17-45 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
On Sunday the 100% NFL Power system Play is on the New York Giants. Game 127 at 4:15 eastern. The Giants fit a 100% system here today that wins by an average 15 points per game. What we want to do is play on road teams if the line is +3 to -3 and our team scored 21 or more at home with a total that was more than 40 and the opponent scored 21 or more as a road dog of 10 or more points. On top of the fine system we note that the visitor is 5-0 straight up since 1998 in this series. Many will see Qb Rogers back for Green Bay and remember what M.Vick did to the Giants late in their 4th quarter collapse and think that New York is finished. However the Giants have a lot of poise. They have played in many big games in recent years and will surprise everyone with a solid performance here today. Take the Giants plus the points today.
On Sunday the NBA Play of the day is on the Chicago Bulls. Game 505 at 6:10 eastern. The Pistons fit a negative system here tonight that plays on Against home dogs with rest that scored 110 or more as a road dog in their prior game if they are playing an opponent that was a road dog in their last game. The Pistons are off a big road dog win 115-93 in their last game, while the Bulls lost in New York on Saturday. The Bulls have won the last 8 in the series and have covered both times as a road favorite in this range this season. They have wont 10 of 12 vs losing teams this season. The Pistons are just 3-11 vs winning teams and have failed to cover every time this season off a win of 10 or more points. Look for Chicago to rebound tonight and continue their dominance in this series. Take the Bulls |
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12-26-10 | Baltimore Ravens v. Cleveland Browns +4 | 20-10 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
NFL Power system play on Cleveland
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12-26-10 | Detroit Lions v. Miami Dolphins -3 | 34-27 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
Sunday NFL Triple pack is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 116 at 1:00 eastern. Miami game 106 at 1:00 eastern and KC. Game 122 at 1:00 eastern. Buffalo fits 3 big systems here today. This one plays against teams like the Patriots that are road favorites off home favored win at -7 or more but failed to cover. The Bills fit a home dog off a road dog win system and should be very competitive today. In the Miami game we are playing against the Detroit Lions who finally got a road win. They apply to a system that plays against non conference teams off back to back dog wins. Miami has been inept at home this year. Today they get it done vs a dome team coming to Florida. In Game 3 we take KC who cashed us out good last week as our 7* GOY. Today they fit 2 solid game 15 systems. One of the systems is 17-3 ats the other is 34-9 ats. Look for KC to get the cash today.
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12-25-10 | Dallas Cowboys -7 v. Arizona Cardinals | 26-27 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NFL Game 15 Super side play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 103 at 7:30 eastern. The Cowboys fit a week 15 system here tonight that plays on road teams in game 15 that are on the road next week to close out the season if they are taking on an opponent that is off straight up and against the spread loss. This system has cashed 34 of 47 times since 1980. Dallas will look to improve on defense as they have allowed 30 or more the last 4 games. That however was against some high powered offensive teams. Tonight they take on an anemic Arizona offense that averages over 100 yards less than Dallas does. The Cowboys have covered 16 of 21 in the series off a an ats loss. Dallas is 3-1 ats on the road when the total is 45.5 to 49, while Arizona is just 3-7 ats as a dog. Look for Dallas to coast for once in a solid win and cover. Take Dallas
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12-24-10 | Tulsa v. Hawaii OVER 73 | 62-35 | Win | 100 | 79 h 38 m | Show | |
On Friday the NCAAF BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on the Over in the Tulsa at Hawaii game known as the Hawaii Bowl.. Rotation numbers 213/214 at 8:00 eastern. This game fits my favorite bowl totals system. What we want to do is play the over in bowl games where the posted total is 63.5 or higher. These games have gone over the total in 13 of 15 games. Plus there is a 100% Subset in play. These games average 82 points per game. This game should get up their rather quickly. Both teams can light up the score board with their quick strike offenses. Hawaii and Tulsa both average right around 500 yards of offense per game. On Defense Tulsa allows 442 yards per game while Hawaii allows 342 yards. The Rainbow Warriors have gone over 5 of 7 times as a home favorite from -10 to -14 and all 4 of their last December games. Look for this one to fly over the total tonight.
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12-23-10 | Navy v. San Diego State -3 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
On Thursday the Poinsettia Bowl System winner is on San Diego St. Game 212 at 8:00 eastern. The Aztecs fit a 100% Bowl system here tonight. What we want to do is play on favorites of 4 or less with less than 39 days rest off a win where they scored 46 or more points. The Aztecs backed into this system as they were a 5 point favorite. However Navy has become a very popular Public dog this week. They are the home team here and Home favorites in this range are solid bowl investments through the year. The Aztecs also fit the favorite with the worse record system. Overall bowl favorites are 21-3 straight up and 21-4 ats of late including wins and covers in all 3 games this season. Independent teams like Navy are 3-10 straight up and 4-9 ats as dogs. Navy has lost both recent meetings in the series. San Diego St has edges on both sides of the ball and has gone 4-0 when the total is in this range. Look for San Diego St to get the win and cover tonight.
On Thursday the NFL play is on the Pittsburh Steelers. Game 102 at 8:20 eastern. The Steelers will look to roll here after getting jobbed at home vs the Jets on Sunday not getting 2 clear cut pass interference calls on their final drive. Tonight we note they are 6-1 ats off a straith up favored loss vs non confernece teams. Carolina is 3-10 ats as non conference dogs and 0-6 and 1-5 ats vs winning teams. They are 3-9 ats with 6 or less days rest. The Steelers are 4-0 ats in the series and 7-2 ats when the total is 35.5 to 42. Steelers Coast tonight. |
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12-22-10 | Utah +17.5 v. Boise State | 3-26 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the Las Vegas Bowl System winner is on Utah. Game 209 at 8:00 eastern. Utah fits a 100% Power system tonight. What we want to do is play on pre New Years day bowl dogs of 15 or more are 100% ats since 1996. Utah fits a Sagarin system that is 70-36 ats long term. We also want to play on lower ranked dogs vs Higher ranked teams, this has cashed over 70% the last 3 years. Moving on we note that WAC Favorites on a neutral field are 0-10 ats. Utah also fits a nice Database system that plays on neutral dogs off a home favored win vs an opponent off a win and no cover. This one has cashed 14 of 17 since 1980. The Utes are 5-0 with 2 weeks rest, 12-3 vs winning teams and have won 8 of 8 vs WAC Teams. Take the points.
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12-21-10 | Louisville -2.5 v. Southern Mississippi | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the St. Petersburg Bowl play is on Louisville. Game #207 at 8:00 eastern. Louisville fits some solid angles here tonight. Lets go right to them. Bowl favorites of -3.5 or less are 20-3 straight up and 19-4 ats of late counting the 2 wins over the weekend. Big East teams such as Louisville are 28-8 vs opponents who allow 23 or more points per game on the season. SO.Miss allows 29 ppg. Conference USA teams are 0-11 straight up and 2-9 ats vs BCS teams in conference Play and 4-15 ats overall as a dog of 7 or less. Louisville is 3-0 vs Conference USA and beat SO. Miss in their encounter last year. They have won 5 of 6 this year when installed as a favorite. For a solid system we note that teams whop are favored but have a worse that's worse than their opponent are 25-7 the last 3 years. So. Miss also pertains to a negative system that plays against teams that allowed 54 or more in their previous game. Look for Louisville to get the cash tonight.
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12-20-10 | Chicago Bears v. Minnesota Vikings +8.5 | 40-14 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL System play is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 332 at 8:35 eastern. The Vikings qualify in a never lost system that dates to 1989. What we want to do is play on home dogs if the total is 34 or less if they scored 21 or less and their opponent also scored 21 or less at home in their last game. Ironically the Home dog has won the game straight up every time. While I don't think they will win the game here with 3rd string Qb Weber I do think that the game will be more competitive than last weeks 21-3 loss to the Giants. The Bears were man handled by the Patriots and are 0-3 as a favorite from 3.5 to -9. The Vikings are 8-2 with division revenge at home and 4-1 ats on Monday night football. Look for the Vikings to get the cover tonight.
On Monday the NCAAB Power totals play is on the over on the North Colorado at Colorado St. game. Rotation numbers 531/532 at 9:00 eastern. This game has several solid over angles. North Colorado will look to improve their shooting performance as they have shot progressively worse the last 3 games. They have played over in 17 of 23 off a non conference game and 75% of the time as a road dog in this range. Colorado St is coming off their worst performance thus far in a loss to Kansas which saw them shoot only 28% from the field. They are a hot shooting team and have shot over 50% the prior 6 games before Kansas. They have gone over 10 of 14 times after scoring 60 or less and 11 of 16 vs losing teams. Both games in the series have played over. Look for this one to go over the total as well. |
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12-19-10 | Denver Broncos +7 v. Oakland Raiders | 23-39 | Loss | -115 | 86 h 39 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Big revenger play is on the Denver Broncos. Game 307 at 4:14 eastern. Denver plays with major home loss revenge for a 59-14 pasting. Same season revengers off a road favored loss ae 35-14 ats long term. The Broncos are 6-1 ats on the road after scoring 7 or less. Oakland is a poor home favorite and is just 1-9 ats vs Losing teams. Thye are 3-12 ats at home vs divisional teams that are less than .500 and have revenge. K. Orton will not play in this one. Instead we will see T. Tebow. Look for Denver to get the cash
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12-19-10 | NY Jets v. Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 35.5 | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Big totals system is on the Over in the Jets at Steelers game. Rotation numbers 325/326 at 4:15 eastern. This game fits a tight totals system I use. What we want to do is play the over for road teams that were home favorites of 3 or more and scored 9 or less points vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home favorite. These games have played over 15 of 17 times averaging 45 points per game. And yes I have a 100% Subset that remains for my eyes. Both offenses have been dismal. The Steeles haven't done much the past 2 games managing just 9 points last week. They had 2 defensive touchdowns. The Jets haven't put up a score since thanks giving in an actual offensive series. Today this will change as Both teams will open it up. The Steelers are without T. Polamalu today which will be a key loss. The Jets defensive signal callers are done in Leonard and E. Smith. The Jets have gone over the total all 6 times on the road this season and 8 of 10 times in the second half vs winning teams. Pittsburgh has gone over 13 of 17 times off a division game and 4 of 5 times vs AFC East teams. Look for the Steelers to snap their 4 game under streak. Play the over in this one.
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12-19-10 | Atlanta Falcons v. Seattle Seahawks +7 | 34-18 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Play is on the Seattle Seahawks. Game 324 at 4:05 eastern. The Seahawks are taking 7 points here today. They are a decent 4-2 at home and catch the Falcons in a tough scheduling spot. Atlanta off 2 impressive road wins are playing their 3rd straight road off 2 wins and covers. Their is a perfect system that dates to 1980 and plays against certain teams in the 3rd game of a 3+ road trip. Another system is alos in play. What we want to do is play on non division road favorites of 6.5 or more that won by 20 or more and scored 42 or less vs an opponent that did not lose by more than 20 ats. A secondary system is to play against road favorites off a win streak of 4 or more games if they lost the previous road game prior the win streak. Both system are high percentage systems long term. Seattle should give Atlanta a tough game here today, especially with the Falcons very well aware of the big showdown game next week vs the Saints. Take the points in this one.
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12-19-10 | Kansas City Chiefs +3 v. St Louis Rams | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
On Sunday the 7* NFL DAISY CUTTER GOY is on the Kansas City Chiefs. Game 303 at 1:00 eastern. The Chiefs are coming off one of the poorest offensive performances in recent times. They totaled just 67 yards in a 31-0 loss at San Diego last week. That loss sets them up in a bevy of systems. The Best of which is 100% and wins by over 10 points per game. What we want to do is play on road teams if the line is +3 to -3 and they were road dogs of 7 or more with a total of 40.5 or more and they had less than 100 yards rushing and less than 150 yards passing. KC had B. Croyle making the start last week in a crucial divisional game. This hand cuffed the Chiefs from the start. Now they know they have to win. The Good news is the probable return of starting Qb Cassel. A secondary system that dates to 1980 plays on small road favorites off a 24 pr more point road loss. The Rams are off a blowout loss to the Saints. They have not been good against teams with a winning record. They are 3-16 straight up, including 0-9 the last 3 years. They are 1-6 as a home dog of 3 or less and 1-10 at home when the total is 42.5 to 45. KC is 3-1 vs winning teams this year and 18-5 vs NFC West teams. The Chiefs are 8-1 ats vs non divisional teams on the road off a loss of 10 or more and the Rams are 2-7 ats home off a loss of 10 or more vs an opponent off a loss and failed cover. Look for the Chiefs to win this one here today as the NFC West continues to be a mess and the AFC West heats up. Take the KC Chiefs +3
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12-18-10 | Ohio +2.5 v. Troy State | 21-48 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Big Bowler Play is on Ohio. U. Game 205 at 9:00 eastern. Ohio U is getting no respect here tonight. They are a 3 point dog to an average Troy Team. The Big technical system in plays is to play on bowl Dogs off a straight up favored loss vs an opponent with at least one loss and off a win of 6 or more and also off back to back wins. This system is 26-2 ats long term. Ohio is 3-0 vs Sun Belt teams and has won both games vs winning teams. They also have the rushing advantage on both sides of the ball. Troy has lost 11 of their last 14 vs Non conference teams and 3 of their 4 games vs bowl teams. When Troy plays a MAC team the favorite is 0-6 ats. Look for Ohio U to pull the upset tonight. Take Ohio U.
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12-18-10 | Northern Illinois -1.5 v. Fresno State | 40-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
On Saturday, the bowl system dominator is on northern Illinois. Game 203 at 5:30 eastern. NIU fits a 100% power system that plays on bowl dogs or favorites of less than 4 that lost there conference championship game and scored 7 or more points. Off the disappointing loss these team come back with a vengeance. NIU also has superior numbers in the rushing game which is a big plus in bowl games, especially in games in this line range. NIU has won 9 of 10 as a favorite and 8 of 10 on turf. When playing against winning teams thsy have won 2 of 3 this year, compared to Fresno which has lost 11 of their last 14 vs winning teams including 3 of 4 this season. NIU is the top team in their conference even with the recent loss. Fresno is a middle of the Pack WAC team. Look for NIU to win this one
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12-18-10 | UTEP +12 v. BYU | 24-52 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Triple System Bowl banger is on UTEP. Game 201 at 2:00 eastern BYU fits 2 negative systems today. what we want to do is play against pre-new years day bowl favorites of 8.5 or more these teams are cashing just 20% of the time. a secondary system plays against bowl favorites of 7.5 or more if they are coming in off a loss. our third system plays on bowl dogs with a 6-6 record. these .500 bowls dogs cash 70% of the time. byu is 0 in 5 when playing a bowl game off a loss. they are also and mediocre 2-5 vs fellow bowlers. they suffered a heartbreaking loss by 1 point to rival Utah in a game which saw them allow all 17 points in the 4th quarter. UTEP has always played BYU tough. Look for a close game again today.
On Saturday afternoon the College hoops Bonus play is on Stanford. Game 531 at 2:00 eastern. Stanford is getting plenty of points here today agaisnt a Butler team that is clearly not as talented as last year. They are just 1-4 ats vs PAC 10 teams and allowed Miss. Valley St to shoot over 50% against them at home in their last game. Thye are just 5-4 after 9 games this season and may not even be the most talented team in their conference this year. Stanford is 26-12 ats off 3+ ats losses and will give Butler a game here today. |
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12-16-10 | San Francisco 49ers +9.5 v. San Diego Chargers | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
On Thursday the Triple System NFL Play is on the San Francisco 49 ers. Game 301 at 8:20 eastern. The Niners are the beneficiaries of 3 big systems tonight. What we want to do is play against home favorites of 6 or more in their 3rd straight home game if the total is 45 or less. Secondly we want to play against non division home favorites off a home shutout win of 13 or more points vs an opponent that has a win percentage of less than .666. Third system plays on road dogs off a home favorite win of 14 or more and a prior loss of 14 or more as a road dog. This beauty is 20-2 Since 1980. The Niners are 7-1 ats as a non conference dog of 4 or more, 3-0 on Thursdays and 7-2 in the last 4 weeks of the season. The Chargers are just 1-3 vs losing teams. In the series they have lost 2 of the last 3 here at home. When the Chargers are playing a non division team after allowing 10 or less they are just 1-5 ats. Look for the Niners to keep this one close. Take the points with San Francisco.
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12-13-10 | Baltimore Ravens -3 v. Houston Texans | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Power system Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 133 at 8:35 eastern. The Ravens qualify in a solid system here that plays on road favorites off home favored loss that scored 14 or less points vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road dog and had 300 or more yards passing. On Top of this System we note the Balty is 12-0 vs teams with a losing record, while Houston has lost 3 of 4 vs winning teams this season. In the month of December the Ravens are 13-1 ats vs a non division team if they are playing off a home loss. The have a defense that is over 80 yards better. In fact Houston has allowed 24 or more points in every game except one, or 11 of 12 this season. Balty is 12-1 ats when they score 24 or more points on the road the past few seasons. The Texans have lost all 3 meetings vs Baltimore as well. Look for the Ravens to come out with a chip on their shoulder. Take the Ravens
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12-12-10 | Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Power Play side is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 131 at 8:20 eastern. This is the first match betwen theses 2 NFC east Division rivals. The last time they played Dallas was a Perennial playoff team and knocked Philly out of the Playoffs with a 34-14 victory. Things have changed drastically this season as Dallas is in last place and Philly is in a battle for first with the Giants. This game fits a nice system that plays on Road favorites that are coming in off a Thursday game vs an opponent off a win and Both teams scored 28 or more in the last game. The Eagles are 5-1 off Thursday games and have covered 10 of the last 12 in the second week of December. Dallas is 0-6 ats in the second week and 0-8 ats off a non divisional road win vs an opponent off a win. There will be no Dez Bryant in this one for Dallas.. The Eagles have edges on both sides of the ball and will feel added pressure once the Giants dispatch of Minnesota earlier in the day. Look for Dallas to win and cover here tonight.
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12-12-10 | New England Patriots -2 v. Chicago Bears | 36-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
On Sunday the 25-3 Power system Side is on the New England Patriots. Game 109 at 4:15 eastern. While many will fade the Patriots and chalk up their big win as just the extra motivation of revenge and longer preparation we wont. The Patriots fit a Never before released 25-3 Power System that pertains to teams who scored 30 or more while allowing less than 10 on Monday night. Popular thinking assumes these teams will fall flat. The exact opposite happens. The Patriots are a unique team when it comes to game planning and preparation. They are favored here for a reason. While Chicago has 6 dog wins to their credit and a better statistical defense. The Patriots are better on offense and will be able to throw the ball on a Chicago team that will surrender big plays if they do not get to Brady. The Patriots defense has played much better and the hidden truth is that they are always ahead in their games to the point where other teams amass a lot of yards trying to play Catch up. The Patriots have won 4 of the last 5 in the series and are 5-0 vs winning teams. They are 9-1 in non conference games and 8-1 in December. The Bears coach Smith is 0-7 as in December off back to back wins. The Patriots actually win by a larger margin on the road than Chicago does at home. Look for the Patriots to get the win and cover.
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12-12-10 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Washington Redskins OVER 41 | 17-16 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Tampa at Washington game. Rotation numbers 119/120 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a 100% Totals system that averages 54 points per game over the last 22 years. What we want to do is play the over for certain road favorites with a total of more than 40 that scored 21 or more as a home dog last week and are taking on an opponent that scored 9 or less as a road dog last week. Tampa blew a later double digit lead last wee at home vs Atlanta. Now they travel to Washington to take on a Redskins team that has lost three straight at home and was shelled real good last week in New York. Washington is allowing nearly 400 yards per game on defense. Both teams are averaging over 320 yards per game on offense. The Weather will be Milder than first predicted and it will be approximately 47 degrees at kickoff. Look for both teams to play a much different game that last years model that accumulated just 29 points. Take the Over
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12-09-10 | Indianapolis Colts v. Tennessee Titans +4 | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
On Thursday the Night the NFL Triple system play is on the Tennessee Titans. Game 102 at 8:20 eastern. Am I losing my mind going against a Colts team off back to home favored losses against a Titans team that cannot get out of their own way offensively? Of course not here is why. What we want to do is play against any road favorite that comes in off a home favored loss vs an opponent also off a home favored loss. Since 1980 these road favorites are 4-9 straight up and against the spread. Moving on we note that home dogs of less than 5 points off a home favored division loss and scored 10 or less points have covered 10 of 14 times since 1980. For the third system we polish of these un worthy road favorites noting they are covering just 28% of the time if they are road favored off 2 consecutive home favored losses. The Colts could lose here and still win the division. On Defense the Colts may struggle more than the Titans with the limited preparation time and they have not played that well on the road this season anyway allowing over 26 points per game. compared to the Titans at 18 points per game at home and 13 points per game in divisional games. Tennessee has covered 4 of 5 on Thursday nights. Titans offense has been non existent the past 2 weeks with just 6 points. Home dogs that are off back to back games scoring less than 7 in both are solid investments. Titans get the cash here tonight. Take Tennessee
On Thursday the NBA play is on the Portland Trail blazers. Game 706 at 10:35 eastern. Orlando comes in to this one off a tough loss to the Hawks 80-74. That results sets them up in a negative system here tonight. What we want to do is play against road favorites of -4 or less with 1 or more day of rest if they scored 90 or more as a home favorite and shot 40% or less from the field,in vs an opponent that score 90 or more as a home favorite. These road chalk teams are 3-9 straight up and 2-10 ats since 1995. The Magic are 1-6 ats on the road after scoring 80 or less at home in their last game. The Blazers have won 2 straight after their long losing streak. last year they took care of Orlando here 102-87. Look for more of the same tonight. Portland is the play. |
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12-06-10 | NY Jets +4 v. New England Patriots | 3-45 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
The Jets and Patriots may be an East Coast match up. However this game that pits to of the Best teams in the AFC will draw Plenty of attention nation wide. Both teams come in with stellar 9-2 records and both appear headed to another playoff appearance.
The Patriots are back at home off a big come from behind win on Thanks giving day in Detroit. The Jets are also off a big home win against the Bengals on Thanks giving night. Both teams are well rested for this one here with 10 full days of preparation time. In the first game on September 19th the Jets came away with a 28-14 win as a 3 point home dog. The Jets won the battle of the stats in that game with 336 yards to 291 for New England. They managed to hold the Patriots to just 52 yards rushing. On the season the Jets are averaging 360 yards on offense with 148 coming on the ground and 212 yards through the air. The Patriots are averaging 349 yards on offense, with 112 yards per game coming form their rushing attack and 236 yards per game coming from the arm of Tom Brady. On Defense the Patriots have been susceptible this season allowing 399 yards per game. Of particular concern is their pass coverage as opposing teams have averaged 288 pass yards per game. Their run defense has been better but still allows 110 yards per game on the ground. The Jets have a decided edge on defense allowing 103 yards less per game than New England. The Jets run defense has allowed 86 yards per game, while their pass coverage has been superb allowing 210 yards per game. So as we can see the Jets have edges on both sides of the ball. On Monday nights the Patriots have won three of their last four, while the Jets have dropped three of their last four. For some team specific Angles we note that the Patriots are 5-0 at home this year, and 7-1 in the month of December the past few seasons. They have out scored opposing teams by a 31-24 score here at home while averaging 384 yards on offense. The Jets are 10-5 straight up as an underdog the past few seasons including 4-0 as a road dog of 3.5 or less. They are an amazing 5-0 on the road this season winning by an average 28-17 score, and accumulating 400 yards per game on offense. In Divisional play long term the Jets are 14-2 against the point spread if they are .500 or better as a road dog and a perfect 9-0 if they are coming off a win. Coach Rex Ryan is 6-1 ats in his short coaching career as an underdog vs an AFC team if his teams record is .500 or better. The Patriots have some equally impressive angles on their side tonight. They are 9-1 ats as a home favorite of 3 or more vs a team with a win percentage of .600 or better and 11-1 ats long term in divisional play if they have revenge and their opponent is off back to back wins. Expect the winner of this game to win the AFC East this season. Despite all the angles going both ways I will lean with the Jets here at +4 or more as they are statistically better in road to home sets. |
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12-05-10 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3 v. Baltimore Ravens | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the Big System Play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 367 at 8:20 eastern. Baltimore fits a nice play against system here tonight that goes against home teams that scored 21 or less at home last week that had less than 100 yards rushing and 250 or more yards passing vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a road favorite. The Steelers play with home loss revenge from an early loss back in week 4. Pittsburgh is 9-1 straight up with revenge, 9-3 in the second half vs winning teams and 3-1 straight up as a road dog of 3 or less. Look for the Steelers to deal the Ravens their first loss of the season at home. Take the Steelers +3
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12-05-10 | Atlanta Falcons -140 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Power System Game is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 357 at 4:15 eastern. Atlanta qualifies in the team playing their first game of road trip system provided they are not favored by more than 4 points. This system is 22-4 ats and has a 100% Subset going. Atlanta is a team on a mission this season as they look to stay ahead of the Saints and get home field advantage in the playoffs. Tampa rallied late in the first meeting and nearly pulled the upset. Atlanta will not take them lightly here and will get the win and cover. The Falcons are 14-5 in games with lines that are +3 to -3. Tampa is 0-3 as a home dog of 3 or less and 0-3 vs winning teams. In December they are just 2-6 of late. Atlanta mean while has won 75% of their games vs winning teams.
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12-05-10 | Cleveland Browns +5 v. Miami Dolphins | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Double System play is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 343 at 1:00 eastern. The Browns fit a solid system here today that plays on certain teams as long as they are not favored by more than 3 and are playing their first game of a 3 game road trip. The Browns are 9-1 ats vs AFC East in regulation games . Miami is just 2-8 ats home off a dog win and 0-6 ats the last 3 years as a favorite from 3.5 to 6. that were home favorites of 7 or more and had 150 or more yards rushing vs an opponent that was a dog and also had 150 or more yards rushing. Cleveland offense should do better with Qb Delhomme than with C. Mcoy. Take the points here with Cleveland.
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12-04-10 | UNLV Rebels v. Hawaii -35 | 21-59 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Blowout System Game is on Hawaii. Game 308 at 10:30 eastern. Hawaii is playing this one with revenge for a 1 point loss last year as a 7 point favorite. This year they have big advantages and are 9-1 ats at home with revenge. Over the years they are 30-2 ats when they win at home with revenge. There's not much doubt on whether or not they will wn this one as they have huge edges on both sides of the ball. SD.ST Called off the dogs last week in a 48-7 home win over a UNLV Team that is 0-6 ats on the road this season. Hawaii is 8-2 ats vs Mountain West Conference teams while UNLV is 1-5 ats vs WAC Teams. Hawaii could conceivably cover the spread here at the half. With Revenge the motivating factor we will back Hawaii here tonight.
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12-04-10 | Washington Huskies v. Washington State Cougars +6 | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 21 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Last Home game play is on the Washington St Cougars. Game 322 at 7:00 eastern. Wshington State fits a 100% System that dates to 1980. What we want to do is play on rested Home Dogs with revenge off a win vs an opponent off a win. The Cougars have an wxta wek for this one after pouncing on Oregon St as a 20+ point dog. This is basically their bowl game here at home. Washington is 1-13 ats as a conference favorite of more than 3 and just 2-8 in the month of December. Wash. St is 5-0 in December and and 9-4 as a home dog from 3.5 to 7. The Huskies have failed to cover every time as a road favorite off a win and every time off a dog win the past few years. Take Washington St
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12-04-10 | Auburn v. South Carolina +6 | 56-17 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 17 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Conference Championship System side is on South Carolina. Game 336 at 4:00 eastern. This game pertains to a Same season revenge system that cashes 90% of the time and basically plays on the revenging team as they rarely lose the second game by more than the first game. South Carolina was done in by 4 turnovers as they blew a 20-14 halftime lead vs Auburn in the first go around on the road. Now they are getting 6 points after losing by 8 points on the road at a neutral site. Auburn will find it much tougher to run the ball on the Gameocks the second time around. Auburn also comes in off the Big emotional win vs Alabama last week in what was their toughest game of the season. They were lucky Alabama Qb was unable to play in the final 2 drives or they may already have a loss on their record. Look for South Carolina to take this one to the wire and maybe pull the upset.
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12-04-10 | Nevada v. Louisiana Tech +10 | 35-17 | Loss | -115 | 86 h 43 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Power System Play is on LA. Tech. Game 318 at 3:00 eastern. Nevada comes in off the big win vs undefeated Boise St last week. That win sets them up in 2 negative systems here today. First of we want to play against road favorites off a home dog win vs an opponent with at least double revenge. The Second system pertains to late season road favorites that are off an upset win vs a undefeated team. Nevada was so geared up for the Boise game it may be hard to duplicate that type of intensity for LA. Tech here tonight. LA Tech is 8-0 ats as a home dog of more than 3 and are playing this game to become bowl eligible. Look for LA Tech to give Nevada their best game here today.
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12-03-10 | Illinois -5 v. Fresno State | 23-25 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
On Friday the College Football Power Angle play is on Illinois. Game 305 at 10:15 eastern. The Fighting Illini come into this one with home loss revenge for a 53-52 season ending loss vs Down trodden Fresno St team. Tonight Illinois is less likely to take Fresno so lightly and have the added week of preparation time. They are 3-1 ats off a bye and 6-1 ats vs winning teams. Illinois is also a superb 13-3 ats on the road after scoring 35 or more in their last game. The Capper is Fresno State is 0-5 ats at home vs an opponent that has revenge. Look for Illinois to get the win and cover here tonight. Play Illinois
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12-02-10 | Houston Texans v. Philadelphia Eagles -8 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
On Thursday the Double System Power Play in the NFL is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 302 at 8:20 eastern. Houston falls in to a few negative systems here tonight. Lets take a look see. What we want to do is play against non division teams that have a win percentage of less than .875 off a home shutout win of 13 or more points vs an opponent that comes in off a favored loss. The Second system plays against road dogs from +3.5 to +9.5 that are off a double digit division win. Both of these systems are consistent money makers year in and year out. Coach Kubiak is a terrible 0-8 ats vs an opponent off a road loss and failed cover. The Eagles rarely lose as a home favorite in this range winning 21 of the last times and are a solid 6-0 ats as a home favorite of 7 or more off a straight up favored loss vs a losing team. Take Philly here tonight.
On Thursday the bonus NCAAF Play is on the Arizona Wildcats. Game 304 at 8:00 eastern. Arizona gets the nod in their big rivalry game with Arizona St here tonight. The Wildcats are 7-1 vs losing teams while The Sun Devils are 0-14 vs teams with a losing record and 3-12 as a road dog of late. Arizona St is also 1-6 ats in their last road game the past 7 years. Arizona gets the nod tonight. |
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11-29-10 | San Francisco 49ers -1 v. Arizona Cardinals | 27-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
On Monday the 5* NFL System Play is on the SF 49 ers. Game 239 at 8:35 eastern. The Niners fit a solid 95% Power system here tonight. What we want to do is play on certain road favorites off a home game where they scored 9 or less points vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a road dog in their last game. These road favorites win by an average 12 points per game. Looking at this game statistically we see that the 49 ers have a 40 yard edge on offense and a 70 yards edge on defense. Monday night angles all favor them too. They are 23-9 ats on Monday night football including 12-5 as a road favorite and 8-1 vs an opponent off a loss. Arizona is 0-5 on Monday night football vs an opponent and again vs losing teams. Overall they are 0-7 at home off a loss of 10 or more vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. Coach Whisenhunt is 1-9 off a non division game if tonight's opponent is off a straight up and ats loss. The Niners are 9-2 off a favored loss and have covered the last 5 games here in Arizona. Too much overwhelming info. Take San Francisco
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11-28-10 | San Diego Chargers +3 v. Indianapolis Colts | 36-14 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Play is on the SD. Chargers. Game 237 at 8:25 eastern. SD is better on both sides of the ball by 30 yards on offense and 75 yards on defense. This is their time of the year as they are like a closer in speed duel of a horse race. SD has covered 12 of 13 times here in Indy. The Colts are all banged up on both offense and defense but somehow seem to keep find guys off the shelf to come in and contribute. This will be tough to do on a Charger defense that is top notch this year. On Sunday night the Colts are 1-8 ats vs an opponent that comes in off back to back wins. The Chargers play their best ball in November and December. They are 12-3 ats on the road when the total is 49.5 or higher and have covered 7 of their last 9 as a dog. Take the Chargers tonight. Bonus NBA Below
On Sunday the NBA System Play is on the over in the Pacers at Lakers game. Rotation numbers 715/716 at 9:35 eastern. This game fits a solid 90% NBA Totals system. What we want to do is play the over for home favorites of -5 or more with 1 or more day of rest if the total is 190 or higher and they scored 90 or more on the road with a spread range of +3 to -3 and shot 45% or less. Id the opponent which is Indiana in this case scored 100 or more as a home favorite of 4 or less this system cashes 90% and averages 210 points per game. The Lakers have gone over 4 of 5 times this season as a home favorite from -6.5 to -9. In the series between the 2 teams the last four games have all flown over the total. The Pacers have no problem playing an up tempo game with the Lakers. |
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11-28-10 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Chicago Bears +3.5 | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 86 h 24 m | Show | |
On Sunday the BIG Dog with Bite is on the Chicago Bears. Game 228 at 4:15 eastern. The Bears qualify in one of my favorite system here today. What we want to do is play on Batter than 500 home dogs of less than 7 off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home games. This seemingly simple system has cashed 31 of 34 times. The Bears at 7-3 are getting no respect here. They have a superb defense capable of shutting down M.Vick and the Eagles who only managed to win by 7 points over a Giants team that had 5 turnovers and a 133 yards passing. The Philly defense is much better at home than on the road as well. Chicago has extra preparation time having played their last game last Thursday in a shut out win in Miami. The Bears are 5-1 with a +3 to -3 line and 7-2 at home when the total is 38.5 to 42. They play this on with Home loss revenge from last years loss here. In that game they were doomed by turnovers. Finally Lovie Smith is 9-1 ats with revenge vs an opponent off a divisional game. Look for the Bears to surprise the Eagles here today.
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11-28-10 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. NY Giants -7 | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 2 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NON Conference Power system play is on the New York Giants. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. The Giants qualify in 2 solid systems here today. Lets take a look at one that's directly from the database and has cashed 100% of the time since 1989. What we want to do is play on home favorites of 7 or more that scored 21 or less as a road dog in their last game and had less than 150 yards passing vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home favorite. These homers win by an average 21 point per game. The Giants were still close last week in a 24-17 loss to Philadelphia, despite 5 turnovers. Now they take on a Jacksonville team that is 2-8 ats vs winning teams and 1-5 ats off 2 or more wins. The Giants have won both meetings here in this series and are 4-0 with 3 covers as a favorite from -3.5 to -9. With the Jaguars 1-8 ats in November off a win vs an opponent off a loss we will back the Giants here today.
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11-28-10 | Green Bay Packers v. Atlanta Falcons -1.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Power Angle Play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 230 at 1:00 eastern. The Falcons are 18-1 at home with Matt Ryan at the helm. They are on a terrific run right now and are real tough here. They are 3-0 as a home favorite of 3 or less and 5-0 vs NFC North teams. Green Bay on the 2nd of back to back road off a big win last week in Minnesota. We note that the Packers are 0-5 vs NFC South teams and just 1-4 as a road dog of 3 or less. For system purposes we want to play against road teams that are 3-0 straight up and ats in their last 3 games if they scored 30 or more back to back. Another fine system is to play against road teams in the 2nd half of the season off a double digit road win if the spread is less than 3. Look for coach to Smith to move to 9-1 vs teams off back to back wins. Take the Falcons here today.
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11-27-10 | UNLV Rebels v. San Diego State -24 | 14-48 | Win | 100 | 94 h 4 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Blowout play is On San Diego State. Game 202 at 8:00 eastern. The Aztecs have big edges on both sides of the ball in this one. They are fresh off a loss to Utah where they blew a 17 point lead. This will not happen tonight. SD.St is applies to a solid system that pertains to teams with revenge who have a winning record and can rush the ball and bring back 17 or more returning starters. State has won and covered 5 of 6 at home vs UNLV. The Rebels are 0-5 straight up and ats on the road this season with every loss by 23 or more points. Tonight they catch the Aztecs at the wrong time. Look for this one to be over by half time. Lay the points with San Diego St.
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11-27-10 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -2.5 | 47-41 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Power Play is on OK.St. Game 184 at 8:00 eastern. Ok.St never beats Oklahoma unless they have a superior team. At 10-1 thats exactly what they have. They are 24-1 as a favorite and have a Huge offensive edge as they average over 550 yards of offesne this year. That will spell big trouble for an Oklahoma team that has allowed no less than 24 points in any of their true road games. The Cowboys are 5-0 at home when the total is 63 to 70 and 4-1 vs winning teams. Ok.St will let out some of their frustrations vs Oklahoma tonight and will have no problem running up the score on the Sooners.
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11-27-10 | Notre Dame +4.5 v. USC | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
On Saturday the College Football game is on Notre Dame. Game 197 at 8:00 eastern. Notre Dame has Home loss revenge from a heart breaking loss last year. Tonight they fit a solid system that plays on dogs of more than 3 off back to back wins with revenge if they allowed less than 15 points in the past 2 games combined. Notre Dame has allowed 6 points in the last 2 games, both solid wins. Thye are 10-1 ats as a dog of 8 or less vs an opponent off a loss. USC is clearly not as good as in past years and is just 3-2 at home this year winning by an average 32-29 score. Last week they were shelled vs an Oregon St team that were beat by Washington St. team. Look for USC to struggle again with or without Qb Barkley. Take Notre Dame
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11-27-10 | Cincinnati +1.5 v. Connecticut | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 5 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NCAAF Dog with Bite is on Cincinnati. Game 157 at 12 noon eastern. U.Conn fits a negative system here tonight that plays against teams in their last home game that are off 3 or more straight up dog wins. This system has cashed every time long term. They also fit a variation of a system with the same premise, this time as a favorite off 3 dog wins. U.Conn has lost 5 of 6 in the series and they are 1-6 straight up when the line +3 to -3. The Bear cats are 16-2 with 6 or less days of rest, 15-4 in conference play, 8-1 in November games and 9-1 vs an opponent off back to back wins. The defensive numbers are very similar. However Cincinnati has a huge edge on offense. Look for the Bear Cats to get the Job done here as a small dog with a Big Bite.
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11-26-10 | Boise State v. Nevada +14.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
On Friday night the Double Power system Play is on Nevada. Game 138 at 10:15 eastern. Boise St qualifies in a big 94% Power system play against system that pertains to conference road favorites or dogs of 7 or less vs an opponent that wins 70% or more of their games and comes in off a win of 17 or more points. This system dates all the way back to 1980. Nevada has been a great team this year with just one loss. They played Boise tougher than anyone the past 2 years losing by 7 here in 2008 and then by 11 last year in Boise. The line appears to be too high here tonight. Nevada is outscoring teams 49-7 here at home and has an offense that puts up as may yards as Boise. Take Nevada to stay within the number is what should be Boise toughest game this year.
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11-26-10 | Auburn v. Alabama -4.5 | 28-27 | Loss | -105 | 65 h 36 m | Show | |
On Friday the College Football Game of the Month is on the Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 128 at 2:30 eastern. Nationally televised on CBS. Alabama comes into this one with the chance to do severe damage to the national Championship hopes of arch rival Auburn. Alabama has many angles on their side here today. We note that Defending National Champs are 27-1 su with 18 spread covers at home if off back to back wins vs an opponent that is unbeaten for the year, including a 100% Ats this late in the season. Alabama is 25-3 straight up off back to back wins and allows less than 7 points per game here at home. They are 15-4 vs winning teams and a perfect 100% vs undefeated teams in the second half of the season long term. Auburn is enjoying a great season. However they only have one big road win by double digits. The rest of their road games were games that could have went either way. Especially the Game they escaped in Knetucky where they were dominated in the second half. Auburn is 0-3 straight up and ats as a road dog from 3.5 to +7 and 2-7 ats as dog with rest. They have also failed to cove 6 of 8 times on the road off back to back home games. Coach Saban has covered 91% of the time off a double digit win vs an undefeated team in his coaching career and Auburn qualifies in a second half system that plays against undefeated teams off a bye week vs teams who are .665 or better on the season. This system has cashed 15 of 18 times since 1979. Take Alabama to throw a money wrench into the BCS Championship game
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11-25-10 | Cincinnati Bengals v. NY Jets -9 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Power system play is on the New York Jets. Game 108 at 8:20 eastern. The Cardiac kids the New York Jets are. They have several miraculous comebacks in games they should have won with no problem. Tonight they qualify in a Huge Thanks giving day system that plays on Home favorites in certain winning percentage that are off a win. This system is perfect lone term. Cincy will struggle on defense regardless if its a short week or not. At 2-8 they are a big disappointment and will likely get blown out here by a Jets team that will look to shore up the defensive lapses they suffered against Houston. Take the Jets tonight.
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11-25-10 | Texas A&M -3.5 v. Texas | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NCAAF play is on Texas A@M. Game 109 at 8:00 eastern. The Aggies play this one with 49-39 home loss revenge from last year. They are much better this year than Texas and has already beat teams on the road that Texas lost to at home. Texas is just 1-4 vs winning teams this year and 0-5 as a home dog in this range since 1997. A@M Has a huge edge on offense and is 34-9 vs .500 or less. Look for Texas A@M to win and cover here tonight.
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11-25-10 | New Orleans Saints -3.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
On Turkey day the 5* Play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 105 at 4:15 eastern. The Saints have now hit their best stride and qualify in a big system here today that plays on certain favorites off back to back wins and covers vs an opponent off a win. Dallas has played much better under new coach J. Garret. However their defensive woes will be exposed today against a Saints team that will look to score fast and often. Dallas is a solid play on Thanksgiving against losing teams. However when facing a winning team they are not nearly as good. The Saints have covered 6 of the last 7 in the series and are 7-2 ats as a road favorite of less than 5 off a win. The Cowboys are 2-9 ats at home vs an opponent off back to back wins and covers. Look for the Saints to get the win and cover today.
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11-25-10 | New England Patriots v. Detroit Lions +7 | 45-24 | Loss | -115 | 58 h 0 m | Show | |
On Thursday the early NFL play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 104 at 12:30 eastern. The Lions are playing solid ball at home despite their lsoing record this season. They are averaging 33 points per game. Today they take on a New England team that has allowed at least 20 points in all but one road game. Look for Detroit to be in this the whole way and get the cover today.
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11-22-10 | Denver Broncos +9.5 v. San Diego Chargers | 14-35 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
Monday night side
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11-21-10 | NY Giants v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 47.5 | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
On Sunday night our Big totals play is on the Over in the Giants at Philly game. Rotation numbers 435/436 at 8:20 eastern. This game fits a tremendous totals system that has gone over the total 22 of 26 times with a 100% subset. What we want to do is play the over for home teams with a total of 42 or more if they scored 35 or more as a road favorite in their last game and the opponent scored 21 or less at home in their last game. Philly is off the explosive 59 point game vs Washington on Monday night. While the Giants are off the bad home favored loss to Dallas. The Giants have gone over in 12 of 15 games after playing Dallas and 5 of 6 vs conference opponents. The Eagles have gone over 5 of 6 times as a home favorite of 3 or less and 16 of 22 times when the line is +3 to -3. These 2 played some real barn burners last year. Philly can score and has struggled on defense while the Giants can score and will have trouble with M.Vick and Phillys offense. Look for this one to play over the total tonight.
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11-21-10 | Atlanta Falcons v. St Louis Rams +3 | 34-17 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Power System Pay is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 430 at 4:05 eastern. The Rams fit a solid system here today. We want to play against teams like Atlanta that are road favorites of less than 5 off a home favored win and cover vs an opponent that is off a road dog loss with an ats win. The Rams covered in their ot loss last week in San Francisco while Atlanta beat Baltimore as a short home favorite. This system is 5-16 straight up and 4-16-1 ats since 1980 and has a 100% Subset of the system. The Rams are much improved this season and already have some big wins here this year. The Rams are 6-1 ats with 6 or less days of rest and 4-0 ats vs the NFC South. When they have played winning teams they have covered both times this year. At home vs the Falcons they have won 8 of 12 times. The Falcons are just 2-12 ats off back to back wins vs an opponent off a loss. Take the points. Play St. Louis
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11-21-10 | Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings +3 | 31-3 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 21 m | Show | |
NFL PLAY ON MINNESOTA
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11-21-10 | Baltimore Ravens -11 v. Carolina Panthers | 37-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Blowout Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 413 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens fit one of my favorite blowout system. Here goes. Since 1980 road favorites of MORE than 10 are a solid 14-0 straight up and 12-2 ats. The Ravens are well rested off their Thursday night loss to Atlanta. When they play losing teams they Hammer them. They are 11-0 with 9 covers vs losing teams. They are better on both sides of the ball, including nearly 100 yards better on offense. Carolina has not thrown in the towel. They are just overmatched. They are 1-6 ats with 6 or less days of rest and head coach J. Fox is 0-10 ats vs teams who win over 75% of their games. Lay the 11 with Baltimore.
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11-20-10 | Utah v. San Diego State +3 | 38-34 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 28 m | Show | |
NCAAF Play on Sandiego St
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11-20-10 | Houston +4 v. Southern Miss | 41-59 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
11-20-10 | Florida Atlantic v. Texas -21 | 17-51 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
On Saturday the BIG CITY Blowout system is on Texas. Game 400 at 3:30 eastern. Texas fits a HUGE 100% Never lost system here today that pertains to non conference teams. Florida Atlantic also fits negative system that plays against road dogs of more than 9 points off back to back wins with no covers. Texas will get their swagger back today in big fashion against a Sun Belt conference middle of the pack type team. This is usually the type of game Texas plays in the beginning of the year. Today its a stampede in Texas. Take the Long horns
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11-20-10 | Ohio State v. Iowa +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
On Saturday the BIG 10 game of the Month is on the IOWA. Hawkeyes. Game 336 at 3:30 eastern. IOWA fits some tremendous situations here today. They are an incredible 17-3 straight up in their last home game and 15-1 ats home vs a conference opponent when coming off back to back road games. Iowa is 9-2 as a dog. For Technical purposes we see that certain home dogs with revenge in their last home game have been solid money makers vs teams with 1 or less loss if they are allowing less than 18 points per game. Iowa nearly beat Ohio St last year on the road and actually out gained them 322- 300. Today they get their revenge as a live home dog. Take IOWA
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11-20-10 | East Carolina v. Rice OVER 72 | 38-62 | Win | 100 | 87 h 30 m | Show | |
Conf USA TOTALS PLAY
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11-18-10 | Chicago Bears v. Miami Dolphins -120 | 16-0 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
NFL Side play on Miami
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11-17-10 | Bowling Green State v. Toledo -10.5 | 14-33 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the MAC play is on Toledo. Game 306 at 8:00 eastern. Toledo will look to rebound off their bad loss last week. In that game they allowed 65 points. Tonight they will have a much easier take at home vs Bowling Green. The Host in this series is 9-2 ats and Toledo has double revenge. They have decided advantages on both sides of the ball, especially on defense where Bowling Green allows over 420 yards a game. BG is 0-8 su and 2-6 ats vs winning teams the last 3 years and lose by an average 14 points per game on the road. Toledo is 22-7 ats as a favorite in this range and should take care of business tonight. Take Toledo
On Wednesday the NCAAB Double Power angle play is on the UAB BLazers. Game 537 at 8:00 eastern. This game features an early season conference mismatch. UAB owns Sun Belt conference teams going 15-2. They have covered over 70 % as a road favorite in this range and now take on Middle Tennessee St team that is 0-11 vs Conference USA Teams. MT St. has a win in their opener again Tennessee Temple in blowout fashion. Which basically is like playing no one. UAB beat South East Mizzou which we have at least heard of. Lay the modest number here with UAB |
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11-15-10 | Philadelphia Eagles -3 v. Washington Redskins | 59-28 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL System Play is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 239 at 8:35 eastern. I must admit I liked Washington with my opinion most of the week. That all changed when I poured over the data. I found Dynamite in the database. Play on road favorites that scored 21 or more as a home favorite and rushed for 150 or more yards vs an opponent who scored 21 or more as a road dog in their last contest if theyy rushed for less than 100 yards. A perfect 100% system. The we look at the angles and see that Washington is 0-9 straight up and ats at home on Monday night most recently. They are also 2-7 ats as a division home dog. Philly is 6-1 ats on Monday nights including coach Reids 6-0 ats Monday night football mark on the road vs division teams. The Eagles are 10-2 ats in November games off a non division game if they have revenge. Philly has taken 12 of 18 here in Washington and has won and covered 5 of the last 7 as a road favorite in this range. Play Philly Tonight.
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11-14-10 | Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 41.5 | 36-18 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC Total is on the over in the Seattle at Arizona game. Rotation numbers 233/34 at 4:15 eastern, This game fits several solid totals angles here today. Both defenses are allowing nearly 400 yards as well. The Cards are 6-0 to the over with 6 or ess days of rest and 6 of 8 on the year. In home games over the past 3 years 15 of 22 have played over the total. Seattle has gone over 4 of the last 5 times a a dog. For system purposes this game fits the short turn around system that reverses the prior totals result between two teams that have played within the last 3 weeks. The first game went under with 32 points. Expect a much higher game here. Take the over
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11-14-10 | Minnesota Vikings v. Chicago Bears +1.5 | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC North Game is on the Chicago Bears. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. The Bears have lost their last 2 home games and should bounce back nice vs a Vikings team that is winless on the road this year at 0-4. The Bears qualify in a solid home dog system here that pertains to home dogs off a road win vs an opponent off a home win. The Vikings pertain to a big negative system that plays against road favorites off a home favored win at -7 or more if they failed ats in that game. Chicago has covered 6 of the last here in the series and has won 11 of 15 vs losing teams. Minnesota has lost both games this year vs teams with a winning record and coach Childress is just 1-5 ats on the road vs a division team off a win. Look for the Bears to cash this one. Take Chicago.
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11-14-10 | Detroit Lions v. Buffalo Bills -2 | 12-14 | Push | 0 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Blowout system side is on Buffalo. Game 224 at 1:00 eastern. The Bills may be winless but this is their best chance here today. The Bills apply to a winless homer system here today and catch a Detroit team off a heart breaking loss to the Jets. They also may be without starting Qb M.Stafford. The Lions are 2-14 on the road vs a non divisional opponent that is off 2+ losses and 1-8 vs losing teams Even worse is their 3-27 mark on the road when the total is 42.5 to 49. The Bills have won both recent meetings here in the series and get their first win here today. Take Buffalo
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11-13-10 | Oregon v. California +20 | 15-13 | Win | 100 | 79 h 30 m | Show | |
On Saturday the PAC 10 play is on California. Game 168 at 3:30 eastern. Oregon is in a bad spot here today. What we want to do is play against undefeated road favorites in game 9 or later if they are road favorites of more than 20 and less than 28 and come in off back to back double digit wins. Cal is a much better and more confident team at home. While they wont win this game they will be able to match scored with Oregon throughout this game and keep the score much closer than the 20 point spread.. The Golden Bears are 7-3 ats as a home dog of more than 7 and have covered 3 of the last 4 vs Oregon. Grab the points here with California
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11-13-10 | Penn State Nittany Lions v. Ohio State Buckeyes -18 | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 75 h 36 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NCAAF Blowout system play is on the Ohio .State Buckeyes. Game 180 at 3:30 eastern. The Buckeyes are a 1 loss team that has fallen from the face off the BCS standings. There not to happy about it either. Once ranked #1 they are seemingly out of championship contention. This will not matter here today. Ohio. St will be looking for style points today and style points they will get. Ohio. St fits one of my favorite systems. Game 8 or later home teams off a win vs a road team off a win of 10 or more points is as solid as they get. OSU is 6-0 ats home with rest 6-1 ats off win of 35 or more, 15-1 ats in their second to last home game, 7-1 ats at home vs Penn.ST and will catch Penn. St in a Huge flat spot. The Nittany Lions rallied big time last week in Happy Valley to get Joe Pa his 400th win. The Hoopla surrounding that win will work against them here today. The Pressure of this win is off their backs and they will struggle big time to score against a vaunted Buckeye defense that is rested and ready. Penn St will lose this game. Penn. St is 2-18 ATS in their last 20 road losses and they have scored 6 points in 2 combined games vs teams that had a winning record this year when playing on the road. Ohio St should win by a landslide. Lay the points.
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11-13-10 | Virginia Tech -3 v. North Carolina | 26-10 | Win | 100 | 38 h 50 m | Show | |
On Saturday our Big ACC Game is on VA.Tech. Game 181 at 3:30 eastern This game fits a solid system here that plays against North Carolina. What we want to do is play agaisnt home teams as as a short favorite or home dog off a road dog win at +10 or more vs an opponent off a win. North Carolina played like crap at home two weeks ago William And Mary and then exploed for a big win at Florida St. Now they get a Hokie team that has won 6 straight and has big home loss revenge for their only home loss last year. Take VA.Tech here today as the Tech gets a big win and cover.
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11-13-10 | Rice +4 v. Tulane | 49-54 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
On Saturday the dog with bite is on the Rice Owls. Game 173 at 3:30 eastern. Tulane fits a big negative system here that plays against conference home favorites of 10 or less if they are off back to back straight up ats losses and allowed 40 or more but did not lose ats by more than 21 and have lost at least half of their last 22 games and today's opponent is also off a loss. This complicated to follow system has cashed at high rate since 1980. Tulane is 1-5 ats at home vs Rice. The Owls were demolished last out vs Tulsa and will play much better in this spot here today. Take Rice as the dog with bite.
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11-13-10 | Cincinnati +6 v. West Virginia | 10-37 | Loss | -120 | 34 h 14 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Double system college winner is on Cincinnati. Game 117 at 12 noon eastern. The Bearcats fit 2 solid systems here today. We want to play on rested road dogs that are under .500 if they have lost both of their last games as a favorite. These teams have covered 88% long term. West Virginia enters off an overtime loss as a favorite and teams in this role have not bounced back well failing in 80% of their games if they are once again favored. Look for the Bearcats to stay within the number in this one and take home the cash. Play Cincinnati today.
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11-11-10 | Baltimore Ravens v. Atlanta Falcons -1 | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Power system play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 106 at 8:20 eastern. This game fits a solid system that plays on certain home teams if the line is +3 to -3 and both teas are off home games where they were favored and scored 21 or more points. Baltimore is just 3-7 on turf and 2-11 in domes. When the total is 42.5 to 45 they are 2-6 on the road. Atlanta is 8-1 at home when the total is 42.5 to 45. Look for Atlanta to win this one tonight in the battle of the birds take the Falcons.
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11-11-10 | East Carolina +2 v. UAB | 54-42 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NCAAF play is on East Carolina. game at 8:00 eastern. ECU is off a bad loss to Navy where they had several turnovers and allowed 76 points. I expect a much sharper effort here tonight. ECU is 12-1 as a dog of 6 or less. UAB is 2-8 ats with conference revenge vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more and 0-6 vs a conference opponent off a straight up favored loss. Look for East Carolina to get back on track with a win here tonight. Take East Carolina.
On Thursday the NBA Totals play is to go over the Warriors at Bulls game. Rotation numbers 503/504 at 8:05 eastern. This game fit a Totals system that has averaged 229 points per game since 1995. What we want to do is play the over for teams like the Warriors that are on the road with no rest if they scored 120 or more points as a road dog of 4 or less. With the Warriors in the midst of a 4th game in 5 nights I don't expect much defense once again. The Bulls have been an up tempo team at home thus far this season and both teams shoot for a decent percentage from the field. Look for this one to fly over the total tonight. |
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11-10-10 | Miami RedHawks -2.5 v. Bowling Green St Falcons | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the NCAAF Play is on Miami Ohio. Game 103 at 8:00 eastern. Miami O is better on both sides of the ball, especially on defense where they have a 65 yard edge as Bowling Green allows 425 yards per game. Bowling Green qualifies in 2 negative system here that play on home teams that are off road dog wins at +10 or more if its one exact win and their opponent is also off a win and has a win percentage of .600 or less. One system is 75-29 ats the other is 20-6 ats. Bowling Green is 0-7 vs winning teams and 1-4 in conference play. Miami Ohio has 35-14 Home loss revenge and has won 6 of the last 9 meetings here. They are 4-1 in conference and 3-1 vs losing teams. With the line now under 3 we will back Miami Ohio. Lay the 2.5 points
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11-09-10 | Toledo Rockets +11 v. Northern Illinois | 30-65 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 26 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the NCAAF Play is on Toledo. Game 101 at 7:00 eastern. Toledo is getting double digits here tonight at N.Illinois. Toledo has controlled this series winning 12 of the 14 games. They are undefeated in MAC conference play this year and 4-0 straight up off a conference win. Northern Illinois is just 1-8 straight up and ats vs winning teams and 0-4 ats with rest the past few years. They are 0-6 ats after playing W. Michigan and 1-6 ats as a favorite with revenge vs an opponent off back to back wins. Last years game was a tight game that went down to the wire. With Toledo 4-1 ats on the road this year we will grab the points. Take Toledo.
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11-08-10 | Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5 v. Cincinnati Bengals | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Power system play is on the Steelers. Game 429 at 8:35 eastern. The Steelers fit an undefeated system that plays on road favorites that scored 14 or less on the road last week as a dog or favorite of less than 3 vs an opponent that scored 14 or less last week at home also as a dog or favorite of 3 or less. If we make the total in these game 40.5 or more our road favorites cover every time. The Bengals have really struggled this season and have lost their last 2 home games. They are a hideous 1-13 ats at home in divisional play off a non division loss vs an opponent off a loss. The Steelers are 5-0 ats after scoring 10 or less points vs an opponent off back to back losses. Look for the Steelers to cash out tonight.
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11-07-10 | Dallas Cowboys v. Green Bay Packers -7 | 7-45 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL System play is on Green Bay. Game 428 at 8:25 eastern. The Packers qualify in a solid system here that gas cashed 12 of 14 times. What we wan to do is play on home favorites that scored less than 10 points on the road last week as a dog vs an opponent that scored 21 or les as a home favorite with both reams rushing for under 100 yards. Dallas has struggled big time at 0-4 straight up and ats in conference play. Green Bay is still good enough to get the win and cover tonight. Take Green Bay
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11-07-10 | Kansas City Chiefs +3 v. Oakland Raiders | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 88 h 35 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC West Power system Play is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 423 at 4:15 eastern. The Chiefs and Raiders battling it out at the top of the AFC West who would have thunk it. The Chiefs have won 75% of the time as a short road dog and the visiting teams has covered 8 straight in the series. Oakland is 2-7 in November and 4-14 ats vs KC. As a favorite Oakland is 1-12 ats and 0-6 ats off back to back wins. For system purposes we note that certain home teams coming off a home game are a 94% go against when taking on an opponent that scored 14 or less as a home favorite of 7 or more. Look for KC to win this one.
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11-07-10 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 45.5 | 21-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Top totals plays is on the Under in the Tampa Bay at Atlanta game. Rotation numbers 413/414 at 1:00 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play the under for Teams like Atlanta that allowed 30 or more in back to back games before the bye week. These teams usually shore up their defensive woes and play a much tougher game. If the total is 44 or less the system hits a nice 90% subset. All 4 game sin the series have gone under and Tampa has been an under team vs Division opponents going under in 11 of 14 games. When the Bucs take on winning teams they go under 11 of 15 times. When the line is 44 or more Tampa has gone under 8 of 8 times. The Falcons have gone under 8 of 9 times as a division favorite of -3 or more points. Look for this one to stay under the Number. Take the Under in the Tampa Bay at Atlanta game.
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11-07-10 | NY Jets -4.5 v. Detroit Lions | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Blowout Power System Game is on the New York Jets. Game 415 at 1:00 eastern. The Jets fit 2 solid systems here today. Lets take a look at one. What we want to do is play against certain home dogs of less than 5 points if they come in off a home favored win and cover and have a win percentage of .400 or less. These home dogs usually do not win back to back games. Detroit is an improved team. However they are in a bad spot here against a Jets team off a shut out loss. The Jets have taken care of business vs losing teams winning and covering in all games vs these doormat types. Their offense will be much more productive this week. The Jets are 4-0 su and ats with 6 or less days rest and 14-6 ats vs NFC North teams and have better numbers on both sides of the ball. Detroit is 1-14 vs winning teams, 1-5 as a home dog in this range and 2-7 ats in November games. The capper is The Lions 0-6 ats record in games after scoring 35 or more points. Take the Jets to soar past the Lions.
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11-06-10 | Oklahoma Sooners v. Texas A&M +4 | 19-33 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Big 12 play is on Texas A@M. Game 366 at 7:00 eastern. The Aggies are a much better home team than Oklahoma is at home and they fall into a late season Momentum system that pertains to their back to back 40 or more point outbursts. The Host in this series is 13-3 ats and Texas A@M is 7-1 ats at home vs the Sooners. They have allowed over 60 points in consecutive years vs Oklahoma,so they will be ready here tonight. Oklahoma has failed both times as a road favorite this year and has struggled on the road. The Aggies have better numbers on both sides of the ball and have won 4 of here this year. Take Texas A@M.
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11-06-10 | Navy Midshipmen +3 v. East Carolina Pirates | 76-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
On Saturday the dog with Bite to win outright is on Navy. Game 357 at 3:30 eastern. ECU fits a nasty system here today that plays against home favorites of less than 5 points off a road dog loss and failed cover if they allowed 40 or more and their opponent is off a home loss. Navy will rebound off the upset loss to Duke. Navy is an incredible 17-1 ats from game 6 out as a road dog if their opponent is off a loss. The Pirates are just 1-12 ats as a home favorite vs a .600 or better team. Based on the Power system and the team Angles we will side with Navy as the Dog with bite to win outright. Take Navy +3
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11-06-10 | Texas Christian Horned Frogs v. Utah Utes +5 | 47-7 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Mountain West Conference game is on UTAH. Game 372 at 3:30 eastern. This game fits a solid system that pertains to both teams being undefeated. What we want to do is play on certain dogs at this juncture of the season if both teams are perfect and the favorite is off a win and cover and beat the spread by 10 or more points. Utah is 7-0 ats as a home dog off back to back wins and has allowed just 43 points in 4 home games. They have covered over 80% of the time at home with revenge and beat TCU here 2 years ago as a dog 13-10. TCU is coming in here playing real well. However they are 1-10 ats in the 2nd of back to back road games. Look for Utah to keep this close and perhaps spring an upset. Play UTAH at 5 or more- bonus Breeders Cup below
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11-06-10 | Baylor Bears v. Oklahoma State -7.5 | 28-55 | Win | 100 | 71 h 4 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Conference System play is Oklahoma St. Game 338 at 12:30 eastern. The Cowboys qualify in a Huge system here that plays on certain home teams off a double digit win vs a road team that is off a dog win at +5 or more. This system has cashed 47 of 54 times without the subset which makes it near perfect. The favorite in the series has covered the last 5 games and Ok.St is 8-0 ats as a favorite from -3.5 to -10 and have covered the last 5 times here vs Baylor. The Bears are improved this year even winning their last 2 road games. However they will likely be flat coming off a rare win vs Texas. Baylor is 1-13 ats in game 10 of the season and has failed to cover 11 of the last 13 times in their last road game vs teams who win 85% or more of their games. Look for Ok.St to win and cover today.
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11-06-10 | Louisville Cardinals +6 v. Syracuse Orangemen | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 20 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Big East game is on Louisville. Game 321 at 12 noon eastern.
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11-05-10 | Western Mich +3.5 v. Central Mich | 22-26 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
On Friday the College Football system Play is on Western Michigan. Game 309 at 6:00 eastern. Central Michigan has lost 6 straight and qualifies in a negative system that plays against home favorites of less than 5 off a home favored loss in vs an opponent off a home dog loss. These Home teams have failed to cover 10 of 12 times since 1980. Central Michigan is a lousy 0-5 straight up and ats off back to back losses. Western Michigan has some nice road wins already this season at Akron and Ball.St. Tonight we note they are 8-2 as a dog of more than 2 vs a losing team. On top of that they have home loss revenge from last year. Look for Western Michigan to get the cover.
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11-04-10 | Buffalo Bulls v. Ohio Bobcats -15 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 18 h 60 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NCAAF Play is on the Ohio U Bobcats. Game 306 at 7:30 eastern. Ohio is playing their last home game tonight against a bad Buffalo team that is 1-6 straight up and ats the last 7 games. Ohio is 5-0 ats in their last home game and 6-1 ats after scoring 35 or more vs a less than .500 opponent. Ohio is 4-1 ats in conference and 7-2 ats off 2+ wins. Now to tie in our big system we want to play against certain road dogs off a home dog loss vs an opponent that comes in off a home favored win but ats loss. These home favorites cover 84% of the time. Look for Ohio U to give the fans what they want in the last home game. A big win and cover. Take Ohio U minus the points.
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11-03-10 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights +10.5 v. South Florida Bulls | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the NCAAF Play is on Rutgers. Game 303 at 7:00 eastern. Rutgers has superior numbers in this one tonight. They are 5-2 off a bye, 5-1 in weeks 9-13, 8-3 vs winning teams and have covered 5 of the last 7 as a road dog in this range. South Florida has ,lost 4 of the 5 meetings between these two including the last one here at home by a 49-16 score. They are just 4-11 vs winning teams and have failed to cover every time the past 3 years as a home favorite in this range. They are also a horrendous 0-5 off a conference win and have failed to cover 5 of 6 times in weeks 9-13. This appears to be too many points between two evenly matched teams. Take the points with Rutgers.
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