Football Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
12-11-11 | NY Giants +4.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC East Power Clash Division winner Side is on the New York Giants. Game 131 at 830 eastern. The Giants were JOBBED last week at home vs the Packers. They were called for several of the same infractions Green Bay committed. They were good enough to win that game and give the Packers their closest call this season. Now they travel to Dallas where they have won each of the last 2 seasons to take on a Dallas team that gave one away in Arizona last week. Dallas is a paltry 0-11 ats off a straight up favored loss vs an opponent that has revenge. The Giants are 9-0 ats in December as a dog off a non division game vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss. Dallas has failed 6 of 7 times in conference play and are 2-6 ats as a favorite. The Giants are 3-1 most recently in the series and benefit from this nugget. Teams in game 13 or later that are .500 and come in off a loss and have revenge have covered 11 of 12 as a dog. Take the Giants here tonight.
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12-11-11 | San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals +4 | 19-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Live NFL 96% DOUBLE Dog system play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 127 at 4:05 eastern. The Bears have covered 7 of the 8 in this series and are 8-0 ats vs AFC West teams on the road as a dog off a loss and have covered 5 straight as a dog of 3.5 or more off a non conference game. Denver has allowed a ton of Points vs NFC North teams this season. In 3 games they have allowed 45 twice and 32 last week to the Vikings. While I don't see the Bears lighting it up here, I do see Tebow struggling big time against the best defense he will have seen. Denver is 1-12 ats in December games off an NFC Game and come in off a rare 5 straight dog wins. In games off this many dog wins teams have failed to cover 66% of the time in the next game. Coach Fox for Denver has failed ats in 11 of 12 games vs non division teams that are 500 or better if -7 or less. The cappers is that teams off a straight up favored loss at -7 or more vs an opponent off a spread win are 44-16 ats if they allowed less than 27. DOES A BEAR Crap in the Woods? They do in Denver and spoil the Broncos run. Take the Bears.
On Sunday the NFC West Power system winner is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 126 at 4;05 eastern. Arizona has played much better of late especially on defense. They are a perfect 7-0 ats as a home dog of more than 3 vs an opponent off a win of 10 or more and Coach Whisenhunt is 7-0 straight up as a home dog vs an opponent off a double digit win. The Niners have failed to cover in 9 of 12 as a road favorite and are just 2-10 ats off a double digit ats win. Now for the systems. Play against road favorites off a home favored win and cover if they won by 14 or more and scored 35 or less and had a prior road dog ats loss. Road favs are 6-22 ats. Road favs of less than 5 are 3-9 ats since 1980 in division games off a home shut out win. Look for Arizona to get the cash here today. |
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12-11-11 | Chicago Bears +3.5 v. Denver Broncos | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Live NFL 96% DOUBLE Dog system play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 127 at 4:05 eastern. The Bears have covered 7 of the 8 in this series and are 8-0 ats vs AFC West teams on the road as a dog off a loss and have covered 5 straight as a dog of 3.5 or more off a non conference game. Denver has allowed a ton of Points vs NFC North teams this season. In 3 games they have allowed 45 twice and 32 last week to the Vikings. While I don't see the Bears lighting it up here, I do see Tebow struggling big time against the best defense he will have seen. Denver is 1-12 ats in December games off an NFC Game and come in off a rare 5 straight dog wins. In games off this many dog wins teams have failed to cover 66% of the time in the next game. Coach Fox for Denver has failed ats in 11 of 12 games vs non division teams that are 500 or better if -7 or less. The cappers is that teams off a straight up favored loss at -7 or more vs an opponent off a spread win are 44-16 ats if they allowed less than 27. DOES A BEAR Crap in the Woods? They do in Denver and spoil the Broncos run. Take the Bears.
On Sunday the NFC West Power system winner is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 126 at 4;05 eastern. Arizona has played much better of late especially on defense. They are a perfect 7-0 ats as a home dog of more than 3 vs an opponent off a win of 10 or more and Coach Whisenhunt is 7-0 straight up as a home dog vs an opponent off a double digit win. The Niners have failed to cover in 9 of 12 as a road favorite and are just 2-10 ats off a double digit ats win. Now for the systems. Play against road favorites off a home favored win and cover if they won by 14 or more and scored 35 or less and had a prior road dog ats loss. Road favs are 6-22 ats. Road favs of less than 5 are 3-9 ats since 1980 in division games off a home shut out win. Look for Arizona to get the cash here today. |
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12-11-11 | New Orleans Saints v. Tennessee Titans +4 | 22-17 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early power system play is on the Titans. Game 116 at 1:00 eastern. The Titans fit some solid systems here today, while the Saints fit some negative ones. We want to play against favorites off back to back home wins and covers with the last one a Monday nighter. These favorites are 2-14 ats long term. The Titans 9-0 ats in non division games as a dog off a dog win, while the Saints have failed to cover in 9 of the last 11 tries in the first of back to back road games. The Titans have covered in 15 of 18 at home off a win of 7 or less vs an opponent with revenge in non division games. Non division home dogs off a road dog win are 44-16 vs an opponent off a home win. Lastly home dogs less than 7 that are better than .500 are 31-4 ats off a road dog win since week 12 of 1990. Road favorites like the Saints that won 4 or more in a row and lost prior road games are an 86% go against. I think you get the picture here. Take the Titans and the 3.5 points.
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12-11-11 | New England Patriots v. Washington Redskins OVER 47.5 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Totals play is on the Over in the Patriots at Redskins game. Rotation numbers 119/120 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits the rare system below that plays to the over for road favorites of 7 or more that come off a home game where they were -10 or more, scored 28 or more and had 250 or more yards passing and played an opponent that scored 21 or less at home. In the series 2 of the 3 have played over and the Pats have gone over 8 straight times as a road favorite of 8 or more. On 6 or less days rest they have played over in 6 of 9. The Skins have played over both times as a home dog from +7.5 to +10. Look for this one to soar over the total today.
O/U: 8-0-0 (9.8) avg total: 45.7 +6: 8-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 8-0-0 (100.0%) +13: 8-0-0 (100.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team: 23.9 86.5 41.2 26.0 297.5 3.0 2.6 7.2 6.0 8.6 24.5 Opp: 29.0 96.5 32.8 20.4 254.6 0.8 6.2 9.1 6.1 9.5 31.0 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 13 1991 HOU PIT A 0-6 7-10 0-7 7-3 14-26 -7 +39' -12 -19 +0' -9.2 9.8 L L O 0 SUN 15 1994 SF SD A 7-0 14-3 3-6 14-6 38-15 -9 +45 23 +14 +8 11.0 -3.0 W W O 0 MON 4 1995 SF DET A 0-3 10-10 7-3 7-11 24-27 -11 +48 -3 -14 +3 -5.5 8.5 L L O 0 SUN 8 2000 STL KC A 0-20 14-7 14-13 6-14 34-54 -7 +55' -20 -27 +32' 2.8 29.8 L L O 0 SUN 4 2001 IND NE A 0-7 0-13 7-3 6-21 13-44 -12 +44 -31 -43 +13 -15.0 28.0 L L O 0 SUN 15 2005 SEA TEN A 14-0 0-14 7-10 7-0 28-24 -7 +45' 4 -3 +6' 1.8 4.8 W L O 0 MON 5 2007 DAL BUF A 0-7 10-10 3-7 12-0 25-24 -10 +44' 1 -9 +4' -2.2 6.8 W L O 0 SUN 16 2010 SD CIN A 0-7 3-6 7-0 10-21 20-34 -7' +43' -14 -21' +10' -5.5 16.0 L L O 0 SUN 14 2011 NE WAS A -8 +48 |
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12-10-11 | Army +7 v. Navy | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
On Saturday the College football selection is on Army. Game 103 at 2:30 eastern. Army Qb Trent Steelman is probable for this game and this should propel an Army offense that has struggled of late. When we delve into the numbers in this one we see 2 very similar statistically matched teams. On Offense both teams average over 300 yards on the ground. Army is averages 8 yards less on offense and is 54 yards better on Defense. Last season Army lost by 14 largely in part to turnovers in a game where they won the stats battle. Both teams bring back 11 starters for that game while Army brings back a few more lettermen. Navy usually handles Army. However that's when their a winning team going to a bowl game. This years Navy team is just 4-8 and 1 game better than Army and should not be laying a touchdown here. Army is 6-0 ats as a dog vs losing teams and Navy has lost 7 of 9 and has failed to cover in 8 of the last 11. Look for a much closer game here resulting in Army covering. Maybe they even pull an upset. Take Army today
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12-08-11 | Cleveland Browns +14.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 3-14 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Power System side is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 101 at 8:25 eastern. The Browns fit a solid system I use for teams play the first of 3+ road games. We want to play on these teams provided they are not favored by 4 or more. That base system is 26-8 ats, I f I want to add a subset or two I can insist the opponent be off a home win which elevates our 26-8 to the 92% level. The Browns have covered the last 6 times off back to back losses vs an opponent off a win of 7 or more and a prior straight up win. The Steelers are 0-8 ats as favorites of 10 or more vs losing teams that come in off an ats loss and are also 1-9 ats off a double digit ats win and scored 35 or more points. Look for the Browns to stay within the number tonight. Take Cleveland.
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12-05-11 | San Diego Chargers v. Jacksonville Jaguars +3 | 38-14 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
On Monday the NFL power System side is on the Jaguars. Game 376 at 8:35 eastern. The Jags will be energized with the coaching change here tonight and have 2 Super Rare systems on their side tonight. Since 1981 Monday night home dogs of 3 or more are 7-1 ats if they come in off a home loss. A secondary rare system also dating back well over 25 years is to play against certain teams like the Chargers that arrive off 6+ losses and a straight up favored loss. This system has cashed all but one time as well. The Jaguars are 7-0 straight up at home in tonight's total range and 10-2 ats home off back to back losses. They are also an identical 10-2 ats as a favorite or dog of 3 or less vs an opponent that has failed to cover their last 2 games. The Chargers cant get out of their own way this season and are a paltry 1-8 ats off a division game vs losing teams that have revenge. They have failed to cover 9 of the last 12 on the road on Monday night football. The Jaguars have played solid defense this season. Just ask Baltimore, a much better team that arrived here a few short weeks ago and were defeated as a 10 point favorite. Look for The Jaguars to go for the jugular tonight and dash the Chargers wild card hops for good. Take Jacksonville.
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12-04-11 | Detroit Lions +9 v. New Orleans Saints | 17-31 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL System Play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 363 at 8:30 eastern. The Saints fit a negative system here that has cashed every time since 1989. We want to play against home teams with a total of 42.5 or more if they scored 42 or more at home in their last game vs an opponent that scored 21 or less at home in their last game. IF out team was a home dog in their last game, which Detroit was at home vs Green Bay, the system is perfect. The Saints played real well of the bye and are now on a short week vs a Detroit team that has extra prep time last playing on Thanksgiving. The Saints are 0-4 ats off aa Monday nighter and Coach Patyon is just 2-9 ats as a home favorite vs a winning team off a loss. The Lions have been solid on the road this season. Look for the Lions to cover in what looks like classic win and no cover for the Saints.
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12-04-11 | Green Bay Packers v. NY Giants +7 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Sunday the 100% NFC Play is on the New York Giants. Game 372 at 4:15 eastern. Many will back the pack here. Especially after watching the Giants get lit up on Monday night football by a rested Saints team. Looking and digging deeper though we note that Undefeated teams in the last quarter have failed to cover EVERY TIME on the road vs non division teams since 1979. The Giants are still right there in the NFC East even with their current losing streak. The Giants are also capable of coming up big at any time, remember the Patriots game a few weeks back. In fact coach Coughlin is perfect ats as a home dog when his teams play an undefeated team. Look for the Giants to give Green Bay a game here today. Take the Giants
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12-04-11 | Dallas Cowboys v. Arizona Cardinals +5 | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Shocker is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 370 at 4:15 eastern. Arizona has won 3 of the last 4 times outright as a home dog in this range including a nice win here last December vs Dallas as a 7 point dog. They have covered 4 of the last 5 vs NFC East teams. Arizona is 13-3 ats in December games at home vs an opponent with revenge. Dallas has failed to cover 5 of 6 this season off a win and 5 of 6 vs Conference teams. When they take on losing teams they are 1-4 ats. Now for a little system action we blend in this little nugget. Road favorites off a home favored win and ats loss are 3-21 ats vs an opponent off a road win. Dallas is just a 4.5 point favorite, when line looks to good to be true, you know what to do. Take Arizona plus the points .
On Sunday the NCAAB Play is on SMU. Game 847 at 3:00 eastern. The Mustangs play this one with Home loss revenge here today. SMU is a solid 17-5 vs teams with a losing record, 6-1 vs teams who score 63 or less points per game and have won 3 of the 4 games the past few seasons vs The Sun Belt conference with the lone loss to Arkansas Little rock. SMU has also won 5 of 7 when the total is posted at 119.5 or less. Little Rock has lost 12 of 17 vs Conference USA and 7 of 8 vs teams who play good defense and allow less than 64 points per game. In games after they scored 80 or more they have lost 9 of the 13. Look for SMU To get their revenge here today. Take SMU |
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12-04-11 | Denver Broncos v. Minnesota Vikings +1 | 35-32 | Loss | -101 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early power System Play is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 366 at 1:00 eastern. Denver fits 2 negative systems that pertain to their Division Road dog win and their being on the road in a non division game here today. The Broncos have won 4 straight as a dog. However this will be a tough spot with Tebow making his first start in a dome with what should be a raucous crowd. The Broncos are 5-17 ats vs NFC North teams and 1-9 ats in December games off back to back wins and covers. They are also 1-5 ats on the road off a division win. The Vikings have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series and are a solid 13-1 ats off back to back losses vs a team that is .500 or better. Look for the Vikings to win this one today. Take Minnesota.
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12-04-11 | Indianapolis Colts +21 v. New England Patriots | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Dog play is on the Colts. Game 373 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit 3 solid systems here today. Lets take a look at 2 of them. Teams that are an ats loss streak of 7 or more are 13-2 ats since 1980. Secondly, winless teams in the second half of the season have covered 15 of 16 times if getting more than 10 points. Road dogs that are off back to back home dog losses are a solid investment vs teams off a road win. The Patriots expect to coast here and can coast by 17 points and still not cover. Take the 21 points with the Colts here.
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12-03-11 | Georgia +14 v. LSU | 10-42 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
On Saturday the SEC Power side is on Georgia. Game 341 at 4;00 eastern. Georgia fits a Perfect system. We want to play against teams that are 8-0 or better vs an opponent that has a win percentage of .666 to 895 and not off back to back ats wins. Georgia should give LSU a big game here today as they would like nothing better that to win the SEC. LSU could conceivably lose this game and still play for the championship, AND THEY KNOW IT.. They were down 14-0 last week before their rally. The Bulldogs have covered 7 of the last 10 vs winning teams and will give LSU a big game here today. Take the points. Take Georgia.
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12-03-11 | Texas v. Baylor -2.5 | 24-48 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
On Saturday the BiG NCAAF Power System Side is on Baylor. Game 322 at 3:30 eastern. Baylor fits the same system that Wisconsin fit last week and Utah fit over their win vs UCLA. We want to play on home teams from -3 to -17 off a win of 10 or more vs an opponent that comes in off a dog win at +5 or more. This system has won 54 of 61 times, And YES it fits the 30-0 subset. Baylor is 8-3 this season and should be favored by 7-8 points here. Texas is off a big revenge win vs Texas A@M last week and while they have revenge here too. They are just 1-6 ats with revenge vs teams off back to back wins. In non home games the Long Horns have come up short failing all times vs winning teams. Texas has an edge on defense but Baylor has a big edge on offense. They average 577 yards per game and Griffin is playing. Take Baylor today.
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12-03-11 | Iowa State +11 v. Kansas State | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Big 12 Play is on Iowa.St. Game 313 at 12:30 eastern. Kansas St has excelled all season as a dog. Now they are a favorite off back to back dogs wins. Favorites in this situation in the last game of the season have failed to cover 93% of the time since 1980. The Cyclones hung in last week despite several turnovers and played Oklahoma ultra tough particularly in the 2nd half. They have covered the last on Turf. K.St has failed to cover 9 of the last 13 in December. Look for a Closely contested game here today. Take Iowa. St.
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12-03-11 | Southern Mississippi +14.5 v. Houston | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
On Saturday at high noon its the Conference USA Power system side on SO. MISS. Game 339. What we want to do is play against teams like Houston that are 8-0 or better vs an conference opponent that is NOT off back to back ats wins if they they have a win percentage of 666. to 895. This system is 29-4 ats and I can make it perfect with a tweak or two. SO. MISS can stay with Houston. They beat the last season 59-41 and stayed with them in a loss in 2009. SO. MISS has covered in 4 of 5 vs winning teams and has been under the radar by most this season. Look for a high scoring game with SO. MISS in it the whole way. Not saying they will win, but the line is simply too high. Take the points with SO. MISS.
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12-02-11 | Northern Illinois v. Ohio OVER 70 | 23-20 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
On Friday the MAC Conference championship totals play is on the Over in the Northern Illinois at Ohio U Game 305/306 at 7:05 eastern This game fits a solid system that plays to the over when we have both teams that average 400 or more yards on offense and at least one of the teams averages 400 yards or worse on defense. NIU has played over in 7 of 9 on Turf, 3 of 4 when the line is +3 to -3 and 3 of the 4 times this season vs an opponent with a winning record. Ohio U has played over in 6 of 8 when the line is +3 to -3 and 9 of 11 as a dog. In the series both the 2 most recent outing have flown over the total. Take the over here tonight
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12-01-11 | West Virginia v. South Florida +2 | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NCAAF play is on South Florida. Game 304 at 8:00 eastern. USF Applies to a last home game with revenge system here tonight. After a hot start they have lost their last 3 at home. They need this game to become bowl eligible and have revenge for a loss last season to West Virginia. The Mountaineers are in tough spot and may be flat off their emotional close win in the back yard brawl over Pittsburgh. West Virginia has failed 6 of the last as a road favorite. Look for South Florida to win this one.
On Thursday in NFL Action our play is on the Philadelphia Eagles as we play against home dogs like Seattle off a home favored loss at -3 or more. The Eagles have a solid edge on offense even with Vince Young at he helm, while the defenses are right around even statistically. Philly also have some tremendous team and coaching angles on their side. The Eagles are 16-2 ats in December games on the road vs an opponent who played an NFC opponent, 6-0 straight up and ats on the road when the total is 42.5 to 45 and have won and covered 4 of the last 5 on Thursdays. Coach Reid is 18-2 ats off a straight up and ats loss vs an opponent off a non division loss and 8-0 ats off a loss of 10 or more vs an opponent off a straight up and favored loss. Seattle has lost 4 of the last 5 at home to the Eagles and 4 of the last 5 vs teams under .500. Based on the systems and Angles we will back the Eagles tonight. |
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11-28-11 | NY Giants v. New Orleans Saints -7 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 28 h 28 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Power System play is on the Saints. Game 240 at 8:30 eastern. The Saints fit the same system the Packers and Patriots fitted the last 2 Mondays which plays on certain home favorites on Monday night football off a win in a non division game vs an opponent off a loss. The game fits most of the upper echelon subsets of the system too. As the road team Giants are off an ats loss of 3 or more and the total is 39 or higher. The Giants have failed to cover 19 of the last 22 vs a winning team off a straight up ats loss vs an opponent off a dog win. In fact the Giants are 1-9 ats in the 2nd half of the season vs winning teams and appear to be a team regressing since their big win vs New England. The Giants have not responded well off back to back losses failing to cover in 5 of the last 6 in that scenario. The Saints have won their last 5 Monday night affairs and will be jacked up at home off they bye week where they have won and covered the last 3 years with the added rest. The Saints have covered 5 of the last 6 in game 11 of the season and the Giants are 0-6 ats on the road off an ats loss of 10 or more. Take the Saints here tonight.
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11-27-11 | Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers -5 | 16-13 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Blowout Side is on the San Diego Chargers. Game 236 at 4:15 eastern. The Broncos are off 3 straight dog wins all of them in dramatic fashion. The Chargers fit 2 Solid systems here today. First we want to play on home favorites from -5 to -10 in Division games that are off a road dog straight up and ats loss vs an opponent off a home dog win. The second system plays against road teams off 3 straight dog wins. Both of these systems date to 1980. The Chargers are 5-1 ats before a Monday night game and won here 35-14 last season. These 2 met once already and Denver emerged with a 5 point win in Denver. The Broncos are 2-9 ats in game 11 and failed to cover 9 of the last 12 vs teams under .500. Look for Denver to break their 5 game losing streak today with a win and cover.
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11-27-11 | Carolina Panthers v. Indianapolis Colts +4 | 27-19 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early 5* NFL Side is on the Colts. Game 224 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit a 100% system here that plays on winless teams in game 6 or later off a bye that are off a spread loss of 5 or more and scored 7 or less in the their last game. We also note that Home dogs that lost at least their last 3 vs an opponent that lost their last 3 have covered 17 of the last 21 times. The Colts are 5-1 ats with rest and Carolina has lost the last 12 road games. Look for the Colts to at the very least get the cover.
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11-27-11 | Buffalo Bills v. NY Jets OVER 41.5 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Totals play is on the Over in the Bills at Jets game. Rotation numbers 217/218 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a reversal system I use that plays opposite of the total result for teams playing a second time in a 2-3 week span. The first game went under in a Jets 27-11 win. This one projects to go over the total. The Jets have flown over in 7 of 10 as a road favorite loss and 3 of 4 coming off a Thursday game. The Bills have played over in 5 of 5 as a road dog in this range the past 3 years and 5 of 6 as a dog on the road in their 3rd straight road game. Look for this one to fly over the total in what's expected to a sunny and Mild day in New York. Take the Over.
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11-26-11 | UCLA Bruins +14.5 v. USC | 0-50 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 6 m | Show | |
On Saturday night the PAC 12 Power Play is on UCLA. Game 203 at 10:00 eastern. USC is off huge upset of Oregon. That win sets them up in a negative e system that has cashed 23 of the last 27 times since 1980. We want to play against conference home favorites of -10 or more off a conference dog win of 3 or more at +10 or more vs an opponent that is better than .500. This is a big rivalry game and UCLA Will likely hang around in this one. UCLA can actually spring the upset and win the PAC 12 South. The More likely scenario though is a loss and cover for the Bruins. Take the points here with UCLA.
On Saturday night the NCAAB Play of the week is on Utah St. Game 845 at 9:00 eastern. Utah. St has blown out Idaho St in both recent meetings and has won all 9 in the series. They are 9-1 with 6 covers in games after scoring 60 or less points and have won 16 of the last 19 vs losing teams. Idaho St is 0-6 straight up and ats since 1997 as a home dog of +6.5 to +9 and 1-5 straight up and ats vs an opponent that scores 64 or less per game. The last 3 years they have lost and failed to cover all 3 times vs WAC Teams. Look for a nice win and cover from Utah. St here tonight. |
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11-26-11 | Memphis v. Southern Mississippi -35.5 | 7-44 | Win | 100 | 85 h 5 m | Show | |
SO.MISS BIG CITY BLOWOUT
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11-26-11 | Oregon State v. Oregon -28 | 21-49 | Push | 0 | 85 h 38 m | Show | |
PAC 12 PLAY OREGON
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11-26-11 | Penn State v. Wisconsin -14.5 | 7-45 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Big NCAAF Play is on Wisconsin. Game 178 at 3:30 eastern. The Badgers fit one of my favorite systems today. This system has cashed 5 times this season and is 53-7 and has a perfect subset today. We want to play on home favorites from -3 to 17 off a win of 10 or more vs a road team off a +5 or more dog win. Penn. St was able to do just enough to upset Ohio.St last week. Today their luck runs out against a Wisconsin team that can score and still stop a mediocre Penn. St Offense. The Nittany Lions have dropped 6 of the last 8 on the road vs teams with a win percentage of .800 or better and rarely cover on the road which is what will happen today. The Favorite has covered the last 6 between these two and The Badgers have covered 5 of the last 6 in the 2nd of back to back home if -3 or more. Look for an easy coast to coast win for Wisky here today. Take Wisconsin.
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11-26-11 | Virginia Tech -5 v. Virginia | 38-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
On Saturday the ACC Play is on VA. Tech. Game 175 at 3:30 eastern. Virginia is off a tremendous road dog win vs Florida St and that big upset win put them in a RARE System that is 15-1 ats the last 32 years. We want to play against .400 or better home teams that won 4 or more last season off a conference road dog win at +10 or more, vs an opponent is off an ats loss and allows less than 18 points per game. Va. Tech take full advantage of the rest after playing a weekday game going 7-1 ats following those games. They have been super solid as a conference road favorite covering 18 of the past 23. Look for VA, Tech to get the win and cover. Take Va. Tech.
On Saturday the Blowout Pack has 3 POWERFUL Plays. SO. Miss. Game 188 at 4;00 eastern. SO. MISS Applies to a solid system that plays on home favorites of 20 or more off a double digit favorite loss. They can name the score here against a Memphis team that is among the worst in the country. Look for SO. MISS To score often and Early here today. Take Souther Mississippi today. Game 2 is on Oregon. Game 174 at 3:30 eastern. Oregon fits the same system that pertains to teams off a double digit favored loss that are now -20 or more. Oregon St also fits a negative system that plays against teams off a home dog win that scored 31 or more and allowed 21 or more. The Ducks are much better and are 5-0 ats as a favorite od 10 or more off a favored loss and 8-1 ats in the 2nd of back to back home games. Look for Oregon to pull away in the 2nd half for the win and cover. Take Oregon |
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11-26-11 | Nevada +1.5 v. Utah State | 17-21 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Live Dog is on Nevada. Game 167 at 2:00 eastern. Nevada fits a solid conference dog system that I use. With Texas cashing the system is now 81-21 ats and plays on road dogs that are .333 or better that +12 or less and lost as a home favorite at -7 or more. Nevada can stay with Utah St here and will likely pull off a mid upset. Take whatever you can get as we back Nevada in this one.
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11-26-11 | Ohio State +7.5 v. Michigan | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 81 h 10 m | Show | |
BIG 10 PLAY OHIOST
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11-26-11 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma -27.5 | 6-26 | Loss | -118 | 81 h 10 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early Power Play in College football is on Oklahoma. Game 200 at 12 noon eastern. The Sooners will look to take it out on Iowa.St after their loss to Baylor. They fits a big system here today that plays on home favorites of more than 20 off a double digit loss, The Cyclones fit a big negative system that plays against road dogs of more than 17 that scored 31 or more and allowed 21 or more in a home dog win. Okalhome wins in a land slide scoring often and early. Big one On Oklahoma
On Saturday in early action its the BIG 10 Rivalry game. Our selection is on Ohio. St. Game 139 at 12 noon eastern. Ohio. St fits the same system Texas was in on Thursday as we play on Road dogs of less than 12 off a home favored loss at -7 or more. Ohio St has won the last 7 in the series and has just one loss by more than 7 points when playing off back to back losses the last 54 years. When they are a dog off back to back losses they have covered all 5 times. After taking on Penn.St they have covered 11 of the last 12. Michigan has failed to cover the last 14 times with Conference revenge. Take Ohio.St On Saturday the non conference play is on GA. Tech. Game 154 at 12 noon eastern. Georgia is going to the Championship game in the SEC so this game has no title implications for them. They fit a negative 88% system based on that premise. GA. Tech has an excellent run game and can control the clock here as a nice size dog. Look for Ga. Tech to cover today. |
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11-26-11 | Georgia v. Georgia Tech +6 | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
On Saturday the non conference play is on GA. Tech. Game 154 at 12 noon eastern. Georgia is going to the Championship game in the SEC so this game has no title implications for them. They fit a negative 88% system based on that premise. GA. Tech has an excellent run game and can control the clock here as a nice size dog. Look for Ga. Tech to cover today.
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11-25-11 | California v. Arizona State -6 | 47-38 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
On Friday night the PAC 12 play is on Arizona St. Game 138 at 10:15 eastern. ASU Falls into a late season home favorite season that plays on home favorites off 2+ losses vs an opponent off an ats loss. ASU has double revnge here tonight and still has manged to cover 7 of the last 9 in the series. When taking on winning teams they have covered 8 of the last 10. CAL is just 1-6 ats in road games when the total is 49.5 to 56. They have lost all 4 covering just onnce last week vs Winning teams. Last week CAL had a demoralizing loss to rival Stanford and only covered because Stanford fit a big bubble burst system. While many will be fooled into taking them again because thye lost by 3 to a better Stanford team are now getting 6 against Arizona St, many will grab the points. However the situations favor the Sun Devils. Look for ASU To get the win and cover tonight.
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11-25-11 | Arkansas +12.5 v. LSU | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
On Friday the SEC Game of the Month is on Arkansas. Game 129 at 2:30 eastern. LSU fits a big negative system here today that plays against certain undefeated team in their last regular season game if the opponent is a winning team and has no more than 2 losses. Arkansas has been under the radar the past few weeks but has come alive as they relish the late going. The Razorbacks are a solid 11-0 ats in weeks 10-13 with 10 wins in that span. They have covered the last 4 in the series. LSU is 1-7 ats as favorites when their opponent has revenge. Look for a close game that get decided late. Take the points.
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11-25-11 | Houston v. Tulsa +3.5 | 48-16 | Loss | -115 | 57 h 11 m | Show | |
On Friday the conference USA Play is on Tulsa. Game 124 at 12 noon eastern. Tulsa fits 3 Powerful systems. One is to play on conference homers with a winning record to -26 off a win and scored 55 or more won by 21 or more off back to back wins vs an opponent off back to back wins and covers. A secondary system that plays against Houston goes like this. Play against road favorites off a home favored win and cover, a prior road favorite win and cover if they are -12 or less vs an opponent that has a win percentage of .375 or more and scored 40 or more. Houston is favored because they are undefeated, In reality though they have only beat one winning team and have dropped 8 of the last 11 straight up vs winning teams and are 1-6 ats as a road favorite or dog of 4 or less. Tulsa has won 6 of 7 at home when the total is 70 or higher and 5-0 ats from +3 to -3. The last 2 in the series have been decided by just 4 points. Tulsa is not getting much respect. However their 3 losses were to 3 teams that were undefeated at the time they played them and have been ranked in the top 5 most of the season. Tulsa has lost to both Oklahoma schools and to Boise St. Look for Tulsa to get the cash here tonight. Take Tulsa.
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11-24-11 | San Francisco 49ers v. Baltimore Ravens -3 | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 60 m | Show | |
On Thursday night the Later Power Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 108 at 8:20 eastern. The Ravens fit a solid system that plays on home favorites of less than -5 in non division games with no rest if they are .500 or better and off a home favored win and cover vs an opponent also off a home favored win and cover and a prior win. These homers are 9-1 straight up with 8 covers since 1980. The Ravens are a poised team with big game experience and coach Harbaugh is 16-0 with 13 covers as a home favorite of 7 or less. They have won 8 of the last 10 at home when the total is 38.5 to 42. The Niners are 2-13 ats in November off a win vs a .500 or better opponent also off a win. They are 1-6 ats off a division win vs a non division win and have lost 21 of 26 on the road vs Non division teams. Even better dogs with a better record on Thanksgiving day have failed to cover 1o of 11 times the last 31 years. Baltimore ruins the niners perfect spread record. Take Baltimore.
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11-24-11 | Texas +8 v. Texas A&M | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 41 h 12 m | Show | |
BIG 12 PLAY ON TEXAS
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11-24-11 | Miami Dolphins v. Dallas Cowboys -7 | 19-20 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
On Thursday the Afternoon Power Side is on Dallas. Game 106 at 4;15 eastern. Thanks giving day favorites are 17-1 and 16-2 ats the last 23 years off back to back wins. Dallas is on a roll right now and Rob Ryan has this defense clicking on all cylinders. The Cowboys are an amazing 10-0 ats off a win vs losing teams on Thanksgiving day and 9-0 ats on Turkey day if off a win and the opponent is .700 or less. Miami has done well to get 3 straight wins but this is a tough spot to travel to Texas on just 3 days rest against a winning team. Look for Dallas to get the win and cover.
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11-24-11 | Green Bay Packers -6 v. Detroit Lions | 27-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
On Turkey day early play is on Green Bay. Game 103 at 12:30 eastern. The Packers will be ready for this one as they play with Qb Knockout revenge from last seasons 7-3 loss here in which the Lions knocked Rogers out of the game. Today we note that Turkey day favorites are 17-1 with 16 covers off back to back wins. The Lions also apply to a negative system which is RARE with only 9 applications and plays against home dogs from 5-10 in division play that are off a home favored win and cover vs an opponent off a win. Green Bay has covered 4 of the last 5 here and are 12-3 ats as favorites after scoring 35 or more and 8-1 ats in November vs an opponent off a home game. When they are road favorites from -3.5 to -7 they are 5-1 ats and have been solid vs winning teams in the second half the past 3 years going 9-3 ats. The Lions are 1-8 ats in all 3 of the following situations. As a home dog vs an opponent revenge. Off a win vs an opponent with revenge and in division play vs an opponent off 2+ wins with revenge. They are also 2-10 ats as a dog 10 less vs teams that are .666 or better. The Lions are 0-7 straight up and ats the last 7 Thanksgivings. Look for the Packers to get the win and cover
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11-22-11 | Miami (OH) v. Ohio -8.5 | 14-21 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the BIG MAC Super Value play is on Ohio U. Game 102 at 7;00 eastern. Ohio U Fits a solid mid week system and has several Powerful Angles on their side tonight. They have covered the last 5 in the series and the last 5 years in their last home game. In game 12 they are 4-1 ats and 7-2 ats in weeks 10-13. The favorite in this series is 7-0 ats of late. Miami Ohio has failed 3 of the last years in their last road game and 5 of the last 6 in games 12. Ohio U is better on both sides of the ball with a 96 yard edge on offense. Ohio U is the play tonight.
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11-21-11 | Kansas City Chiefs v. New England Patriots -16 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL play is on the New England Patriots. Game 440 at 8:30 eastern. The Patriots fit a solid Monday night specific system that plays on non division home teams off a win, vs an opponent off a loss of 3 or more and ats loss of 3 or more, if the total is 39 or more.. The Chiefs fit a secondary never lost system that plays against road dogs of 10 or more off a home favored loss and scored 14 or less, vs an opponent that scored 28 or more as a road dog last out. These road teams deserve to this heavy a dog. They have lost every time and by an average 30-5 score. The Patriots are ready to roll after basically putting themselves in an excellent position to win yet another AFC East title. The Chiefs will be without starting qb Cassel who has been largely inconsistent this season. Consider that KC Has been destroyed by Buffalo and Miami already this season and wee see the makings of a long night. The Only way they stay in this one is if the refs even things out in the penalty area. That said were backing the better team to get the win and cover. Take the Patriots
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11-20-11 | Philadelphia Eagles +6.5 v. NY Giants | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Power Side is on the Eagles. Game 437 at 8:30 eastern. The Eagles may be without Vick. However V. Young has plenty of starting experience and should be able to do a credible job in what is a back to the wall must win game for the Eagles. Philly plays this one with revenge, a role they are 13-2 ats in if off a double digit ats loss. They are also 15-2 ats away with revenge vs an opponent off a road game in the month of November. The Giants still have to deal with a solid Eagle defense. The Giants are 1-7 ats at home vs an opponent off a double digit loss and 1-8 ats at home when the total is 45.5 to 49. In November they are 2-8 ats most recently. We have already seen the Giants lose here as an 11 point favorite to Seattle and barely get by a then winless Miami team. Look for a spirited effort from Philly as they move to 5-0 ats here. Take Philly here tonight
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11-20-11 | Tennessee Titans v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 44 | 17-23 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Total of the Month is on the Over in the Titans at Falcons game. Rotation numbers 415/416 at 4;15 eastern. This game fits one of my favorite totals systems. We want to play the over for non division teams off a straight up division home favored loss by 3 or less points if they scored 21 or more points. Like this the system is 24-5. If I add a subset or two I can bang that 24-5 down to 18-0. Atlanta has gone over the total in 6 of the last 7 in the 2nd of back to back home games if -6 or less and 6 of 8 to the over at home if the total is 42.5 to 45. When playing off a loss the Falcons have played over in 3 of the last 4. The Titans should also do nicely on the offensive side of the ball. Look for this one to play over the total.
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11-20-11 | San Diego Chargers +4 v. Chicago Bears | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Non Conference Game of the Year is on the Chargers. Game 435 at 4;15 eastern. WHY? Would anyone take a team that blew a 3 game lead in their division with repeated bone head mistakes and in the midst of a 4 game losing streak. The reason is that dogs of 2 or more off a straight up favored loss at -7 or higher while allowing less than 27 points are 44-15 ats vs an opponent off an ats win. Those who know me, know that 44-15 id solid but wont do. So I dig and go 3 subsets deep to bang this 44-15 down to 29-1. The Chargers also have better numbers on both sides of the ball and have the benefit of 2 extra days after playing on Thursday. The Chargers are an incredible 8-0 ats on the road off back to back losses, vs an opponent off back to back wins. The Bears are 1-13 ats off back to back wins vs an opponent off back to back losses and 1-8 ats off back to back wins with the last coming by 10 or more. An incredible coincidence in this game. All systems and Angles aside. The Bears were in a Big trash talking revenge match vs Detroit last out and it is unlikely that they can carry that edge into this one. The Chargers are off a tough Division home favorite loss and will be anxious to get things back on track in a division that is still up for grabs. With the Chargers 10-1 ats as a road dog in November if they were favored in their last game we will back them here. Take the Chargers and the points.
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11-20-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Cleveland Browns | 10-14 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early Double Down Power Pack is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 421 at 1:00 eastern and Carolina. Game 425 at 1:00 eastern. Both these plays have tremendous power systems in their favor. Jacksonville applies to a big negative system that plays against non division road teams off a division road win if they scored 26 or less and are taking on an opponent off a straight up and ats loss if they are a dog or favorite of 7 or less. The Jaguars cant be trusted to win 2 straight on the road here. Take Cleveland. Carolina fits a big system as well. We want to play on teams with 1 or more win at +6.5 or more vs a non division team and are taking on an opponent off a division loss. This system cashes over 96% and is 23-3 of late. The Panthers also fit a secondary system that plays on road teams as long as they are not laying 4 or more in the 1st of 3+ road games. These teams are 26-6 ats. The Panthers have covered 4 of the last 5 as a dog after scoring 10 or less vs a non division team. Detroit is 0-9 ats vs a non division team off 2 or more losses and clearly are not the same team that started 5-0 now having lost 3 of the last 4. With Carolina 7-0 ats off a straight up favored loss by 10 or more vs an opponent off a loss and ats loss, we will back Carolina here.
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11-19-11 | California +18.5 v. Stanford | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 67 h 51 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Pac 12 Play is on California. Game 369 at 10:15 eastern. Stanford fits a negative system here that pertains to teams in game 8 or later off their first loss if they are -10 or more and allowed 17 or more points. Stanford in fact fits a few variations of the base system that plays against 1 loss teams. California fits a solid revenge system that plays on road teams getting 3 or more off back to back wins if they allowed 15 or less points in both wins combined and have revenge. California won the last time they were here and are 6-1 as a double digit road dog, the have covered 4 of the last 5 here. Stanford is just 1-9 straight up in game 11 of the season and 0-4 ats off a straight up favored loss vs an opponent that has revenge. They are also 0-5 ats off a loss of 10 or more vs an opponent off back to back wins and covers. Look for Cal to keep this one close tonight. Take California.
On Saturday the PAC 12 POWER PLAY is on USC. Game 401 at 8:00 eastern. Oregon fits a big negative system that plays against certain double digit favorites after beating an undefeated team after game 6. These teams rarely duplicate the intensity. Oregon may win but they are simply laying too many here. Oregon is just 1-8 ats as a home favorite vs an opponent that has revenge and comes in off a win and cover. USC can score with Oregon and keep this one close. Take USC. |
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11-19-11 | Western Kentucky v. North Texas +2 | 31-21 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NCAAF Live dog play is on North Texas. Game 410 at 7:10 eastern. North Texas has only lost one game at home this season and that was to an undefeated Houston team. They are taking on a Western Kentucky that has been a covering machine this season, winning 4 straight as a dog and even covering last week in a 30+ point loss to LSU. North Texas has won all 4 recent meetings between the 2 teams with the last 3 by double digits. Look for North Texas to get the win here as a 3 point dog.
On Saturday the Big 12 Power Play is on Kansas St. Game 381 at 8:00 eastern. Kansas St is taking more points they should here. Their only loss was by 7 points to Oklahoma ST. A team that destroyed Texas on the road. We also note that conference home favorites from -5 to -10 have failed to cover 22 of 29 times off a road favored loss and prior road favorite win and cover. Texas is 0-4 ats of late as a favorite of 18 or less vs an opponent off a dog win. Kansas St has covered the last 3 here and will be in this one till the end and is very capable of pulling the upset here. Take Kansas St and the points. On Saturday night the late night snack is on USC. Game 401 at 8:00 eastern. Oregon fits a big negative system that plays against certain double digit favorites after beating an undefeated team after game 6. These teams rarely duplicate the intensity. Oregon may win but they are simply laying too many here. Oregon is just 1-8 ats as a home favorite vs an opponent that has revenge and comes in off a win and cover. USC can score with Oregon and keep this one close. Take USC. |
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11-19-11 | Utah State -9.5 v. Idaho | 49-42 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NCAAF Blowout Play is on Utah St. Game 389 at 5:00 eastern. Utah St has been better than anyone would have thought this season. Today they take on an Idaho Team that is 1-5 ats at home when the total is 49.5 to 56 and has lost and failed to cover in 3 of the last 4 as a home dog from +1-.5 to +14. There is also a 94% System here that plays against against home dogs when both teams are under .500 and the road team comes in off back to back wins. Utah St has home loss revenge here today and will look to serve it up on Idaho. Take Utah St.
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11-19-11 | Kansas v. Texas A&M OVER 66 | 7-61 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NCAAF Power total is on the Over in the Kansas At Texas A@M Game. Rotation numbers 357/358 at 12 noon eastern. This game fits a Solid totals system I use that pertains to games where both teams have a defense that allows over 400 yards and either team has an offense that averages over 500 yards. Both teams have bee poor on Defense, while accumulating a lot of yardage on offense. Kansas has one of the worst stop units in college football this season and allows 48 points per game on the road. That times in nicely with a Texas A@M squad that averages 40 points per game at home. The Aggies have gone over 75% of the time at home when the total is 63 to 70 and 5 of the last 6 off 2+ losses. Look for this one to fast and furious with plenty of scoring. Take the Over.
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11-18-11 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State +27.5 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
On Friday the 5* power system side is on the Iowa. St Cyclones. Game 317 at 8:00 eastern. Iowa. St fits a classic system that dates to 1980. What we want to do is play on rested home dogs with revenge off a win vs an opponent off a win of 7 or more. There are many variations of this system the best of which is 23-0 with a couple of subset additions. Iowa. St is a quiet 5-4 this season and has covered 755 of the time as a home dog with rest, while Ok. St has failed to cover in 6 of the last 6 in their last road game. Look for Iowa. St to keep this one within range and cover the spread tonight. Take Iowa. St tonight.
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11-17-11 | North Carolina +11 v. Virginia Tech | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NCAAF Play is on North Carolina. Game 309 at 800 eastern. The Tar Heels are off an offensively inept showing in a shutout loss last out. Tonight I look for a better performance and note that they have covered 6 of the last 7 as a conference dog playing with revenge. The last time they were here they won outright as a 14 point dog. The Visitor has cashed the last 5 in the series. VA. Tech is 0-5 ats as a double digit favorite this season. Look for a solid game from North Carolina tonight. Take the points.
On Thursday the NFL Meltdown play is on the New York Jets. Game 307 at 8:20 eastern. The Jets are off a tough home loss to the Patriots. Tonight they will look to bounce back against a Denver team at home in a tough spot off 2 back to back division road dog wins. Denver has been pulling rabbits out their rear with a one dimensional offense. Both of their starting backs are banged up and they will have trouble throwing the ball on a tough Jets defense. Look for the Jets to stack 8 in the box and run blitz with precision to sow down the Jets run game. They have solid defensive corners that wont be exploited in one on one match ups. The Jet are 7-1 ats with Coach Ryan off a division game vs losing teams. They have covered 4 of the last 5 vs the AFC West and have won and covered both of their most recent games on Thursday nights as they are solid on preparation. Look for the Jets to take this one. |
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11-16-11 | Ohio -6.5 v. Bowling Green | 29-28 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the NCAAF Play is on Ohio U. Game 305 at 8:00 eastern. Ohio has covered 7 of the last 8 in November games and 12 of the last off a win. They have solid edges on both sides of the ball. Especially on Offense where they are clicking to the tune of over 500 yards in each of the last 3 games. Week day games they have been well prepared resulting in an 8-1 spread ledger. After scoring 35 or more points they have covered 9 of the last 11. Bowling Green is 1-10 straight up and 2-9 ats vs winning teams. They are 2-6 straight up and ats as a home dog from +3.5 to +7, including 0-5 ats as a conference home dog of less than 9. Look for Ohio U to get the win and cover here tonight.
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11-15-11 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois -16.5 | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the MAC Conference play is on Northern Illinois. Game 302 at 8;00 eastern. Much like the Monday night football game where Green Bay destroyed the Vikings. Were not gonna sit around and wait to see if Ball St can hang in this one. NIU is winning by an average 46-22 score while Ball. St is losing by a 35-21 overall score on the road. NIU is 10-2 ats in game eleven and has covered 5 of the last 6 vs losing teams that have revenge. They have solid edges on both sides of the ball including 110 yards better on offense. They are 6-2 ats in November. In home games they are 4-0 with 3 covers this season. Look For Northern Illinois to get the win and cover here tonight.
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11-14-11 | Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers -13 | 7-45 | Win | 106 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Selection side is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 246 at 8:35 eastern. Green Bay fits a short Turn around System I use for teams that are playing for the second within a 2-3 week time frame. The system basically reverses the game one results and the unique parameters suggest a Green Bay win and cover. The system is an Oldie but goody dating all the way back to 1973. The Packers also have some solid angles pointing their way. The Pack are 12-1 ats off a win vs an opponent with rest and 11-2 ats as favorites after scoring 35 or more. They have also covered the last 6 in week 9 of the season. In games where they allowed 35 or more they have come back to cover 6 of the last 7. The Vikings have lost and failed to cover the last 4 on Monday night and are 0-4 ats in week 9. When playing with revenge they are 0-7 ats as a dog off a road game. The Vikings hung tough making a nice comeback at home to cover a few weeks ago. However even if the refs help them with some timely penalties for Green Bay it still may not be enough to Stop a Green Bay team that has had it with talk of their weak defense. Look for Green Bay to win and cover tonight.
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11-13-11 | New England Patriots v. NY Jets | 37-16 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 56 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the AFC EAST BEAST SIDE is on the NEW YORK JETS. Game 244 at 8;30 eastern. Last week no one believed the Vaunted Patriots could possible lose 2 straight. Then the Giants pulled off a big win. The same skeptics wont believe they could lose 3 straight. HOWEVER. The Jets have revenge and have played much better here than in New England. They will be on Brady all night and be very physical at the line of scrimmage. Since Ryan has been here they have allowed just 11 points per game against the Jets here. The Patriots have a leaky defense that can be exploited here with a Jets offensive line that has played much better in recent weeks. The Jets KNOW they cant lose here and fall 2 games behind the Patriots and lose a possible tie breaker scenario. This IS the most important game for their season, win or their playing for a wild card and 3 road games to get to the super bowl. The Good news is the Jets are 15-2 straight up as a home favorite vs .600 or less opposition and 6-1 off a dog win. They have won and covered 7 of the last 8 off a division win and have won and covered 8 of the last 11 with revenge. In Sunday night games the Jets are 7-1 straight up and against the spread off a win. The Patriots have failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times as a road dog vs an opponent off a win of 14 or more. Jets Defense has played much better and have been a big reason why they have catapulted back into the division race. Look for the Jets to soar past the Patriots tonight. Take the Jets.
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11-13-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Indianapolis Colts +3 | 17-3 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Early dog with bite is on the Colts. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit a myriad of winless teams systems for this time of year. Let us have a look see at one of the tighter ones.We want to play on winless home dogs after week 4 that scored 7 or less last out. In reality the Colts were shutout as their only score came on a pick six. Look for them to rebound here. I actually think this is a win for them here.Jage are just the 2nd losing team they have pled. Jags are 5-15 on the road including 0-4 this season. As a favorite they are 1-7 ats if -9.5 or less vs .333 or less. They are 0-8 ats in November games vs losing teams off a an ats loss of 10 or more. Look for the Cots to get the cash.
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11-13-11 | Buffalo Bills +5.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | 7-44 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Non Conference play is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 235 at 1:00 eastern. The Browns fit a bad home favorite system that plays against home favorites in non conference games that are under .500 if both teams are off road dog losses and failed to cover. These home favorites are 9-19 straight up and 7-21 ats. Cleveland is 2-8 ats as a home favorite, while the Rams are 10-0 ats off a straight up and ats loss vs an opponent that is less than .500 in non divisional games. The Browns are 0-7 ats if less than .500 vs an opponent off an NFC game that has revenge and 0-4 ats at home as a favorite of 3 or less off a loss. Brown check in at 1-8 straight up in game 9. The Rams are the play today.
On Sunday the 31-5 statisticians dream play is on Arizona. Game 237 at 1:00 Eastern. Check this cutting edge power system out. Visiting teams off a win at +8 or more have covered the spread 31 of 36 times if both teams are under 500. Philly continues to receive way too much respect. They are 14 point favorites while continuing to disappoint. Even without Kolb this is too many points. Take Arizona to cash with a 14 point or maybe higher at game time spread. On Sunday the road warrior play is on Buffalo. Game 223 at 1:00 eastern. Buffalo plays the first of 3 straight road games here. When NFL teams take to the road in the first of these 3 game sets they are 25-5 ats provided they are not laying more than 4 points. The Bills are 5-1 ats as a road dog from +3.5 to 7 and have a nice 16-9 record vs NFC East teams even with some of their lean year records. They are a team that capitalizes on turnovers and Dallas is a team that has the propensity to turn it over. While I don't think they will win, I do think they can stay close and get the cover. Take Buffalo. |
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11-13-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals +4 | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC North Power play is on the Bengals. Game 218 at 1:00 eastern. Many love the Steelers to bounce back here off the loss to Baltimore. The Reality though is that the Bengals are for real and can win this one. We note that, home dogs of less than 7 that are winning teams off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home game are 31-3 ats with a little subset action. The Bengals are 6-0 ats in conference games and 8-1 ats as dogs off a dog win. As a home dog of 3 or less they are 6-1 straight up. They have covered 7 of the last in game nines. Cincy is 2-0 vs teams that have winning record when they have played them. The Steelers are 2-8 ats as a road favorite of more than 3 and have failed to cover 6 of the last 8 on turf. The Stark reality is that a better Steeler team last season beat a much worse Bengal team by here last season. The Bengals are much improved and will give the Steeelers a game that the Pittsburgh may not believe they are capable of giving them. Take the Bengals here today.
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11-12-11 | Idaho v. BYU -21.5 | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
On Saturday, the blowout play is on BYU. Game 144 at 9:15 eastern on ESPN 2. BYU has won and covered the last 4 times when playing off a bye week.
They have also cashed 6 of the last 8 games in November. Idaho has never has much luck vs winning teams. In fact they have lost 28 of the last 33 in that situation. This game also applies to a solid system that plays against road teams at +13 or higher. If they are coming in off a win and were one game under 500 while having played 13 games last season. BYU should be able to score at will vs an anemic Idaho defense. Look for BYU to win this one in landslide fashion. Lay the points with BYU. |
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11-12-11 | Oregon v. Stanford -3 | 53-30 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
On Saturday our PAC 12 game of the month is on Stanford. game 178 at 8:00 eastern. Stanford has major revenge for a blowout lost at Oregon last season. In that game Stanford raced out to a 21 point lead before being overtaken by a better Oregon team last year. Stanford has this game circled on their schedule and has won and covered every game so far this season. They are an incredible 9-1 ats with conference revenge. They have covered 5 of the last 6 as a conference home favorite of less then 10 points. They are 21 and 6 ats as a favorite the last 3 years and are sixty yards better defensively. Look for Oregon to slip to 2 and 6 ats in November games. Andrew Luck should exploit an Oregon defense in route to a win and cover. Take Stanford.
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11-12-11 | Louisiana Tech v. Ole Miss +1 | 27-7 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Late breaking off shore steam play is on Ole. Miss. Game 190 at 7:30. This game was hit hard by 2 groups off shore.
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11-12-11 | UCLA Bruins v. Utah -6.5 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
On Saturday the college Power angle is on Utah. game 199 at 6:30 eastern. Utah fits a tremendous system that has cashed 55 of 62 times and 28 straight time with an applicable subset. What we want to do is play on certain home favorites from minus 3 to minus 17 off a double digit win vs a road team that is coming off a dog win at +5 or more. This system has already cashed big this season with Georgia tech blowing out Kansas. Today we note that Utah is 10 and 2 at home off an underdog win. Utah is 88 yards better on defense and should be able to move the ball on a UCLA team that comes in off back to back dog wins. UCLA has failed to cover 16 of 23 times in conference play. Utah has won 21 of 23 times when favored and won by 13 points at Arizona while UCLA lost by 36 at Arizona. Utah has won and covered the only recent meeting between the two teams here in Salt Lake City. Look for Utah to coast to an easy win and cover here tonight. Take UTAH.
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11-12-11 | TCU +16 v. Boise State | 36-35 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NCAAF Power Dog system is on TCU. Game 151 at 3:30 eastern. Boise St qualifies in a solid system that plays against that are 8-0 or better in conference play vs an opponent that has a win percentage of .666 to .875 and is not off back to back ats wins this system has cashed 29 of 33 times tcu is 12-2 vs winning teams, 6-3 ats as a road dog of 14.5-21 and 3-0 ats on the road if the posted total is 56.5 to 63. tcu has won an incredible 59 of 63 times in saturday games they are 18 and 1 off a win. they are playing with bowl loss revenge vs a Boise. state team that has under achieved all year. Boise has failed to cover the spread in 4 of 5 games at home when the total is 56 to 63. Look for TCU to give Boise a big game here today. Take tcu plus the points. The bonus NCAAB Play is on Butler. Game 750 at 3:00 eastern. Butler plays this one with Home loss revenge from a bad loss as a 17 point favorite to Evansville. In the series Butler has won 10 of 12 so it was a rare win last year for Evansville. Butler has covered 4 of here and Evanville has lost and failed to cover 3 of the last 4 as a home dog of 3 or less. Pay back is a bitch, especially when the Butler does it. Take Bulter here today.
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11-12-11 | San Jose State +10.5 v. Utah State | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 85 h 9 m | Show | |
NCAAF Play San Jose
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11-12-11 | West Virginia +4 v. Cincinnati | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 33 h 45 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early Power System side is on West Virginia. Game 155 at 12 noon eastern. West Virginia qualifies in one of my best dog system. We want to play on conference road dogs with win percentage of .333 or higher if they are +12 or less and lost as a home favorite at -7 or more last week. This system has cashed to a 78-21 long term record. WVU is a solid 11-0 ats as conference dogs of 2 or more and has won 14 of 16 off a loss. They have covered 4 of the last 5 on the road when playing with revenge and 7 of the last in game 10 of the season. Cincinnati is 0-3 ats at home in the series and 1-6 ats in November games. They are also a lousy 0-4 ats as a favorite vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss. Look for West Virginia to get the cash today. Take the points.
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11-12-11 | Wake Forest +17 v. Clemson | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 0 h 8 m | Show | |
Late phone winner on Wake Forest
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11-11-11 | South Florida -3.5 v. Syracuse | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
On Friday the BIG East Side play is in South Florida. Game 115 at 8:00 eastern. USF is off 4 straight straight up favored losses and after a promising start are now 4-4. While many will steer clear of them tonight we will back the as they have decided edges on both sides of the ball and have exhibited series domiance winning and covering 5 of 6 in the series. They also have Home loss revenge abd have covered 5 of 7 on the road off 2+ losses. Syracuse has lost 7 of 8 in game 10 and 3 of 4 at home when the total is 49.5 to 56 and 0-5 ats in week day games. South Florida is 5-0 straight up and ats in all dome games since 1997. Lay it with South Florida.
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11-10-11 | Oakland Raiders +8 v. San Diego Chargers | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL POWER SYSTEM side is on the Oakland Raiders. Game 107 at 8:20 eastern. The Raiders fit a Solid System here that plays on road dogs off a division home favored loss at -6.5 or higher vs an opponent that is .500 or better and also off a loss. This system has cashed 14 of the last 15 times. The Raiders will look to get the Denver debacle behind then knowing they are 6-0 ats on the road off back to back losses vs a division opponent and have covered 6 of the last vs an opponent that has revenge. The Raiders have covered the last 4 in the series and 10 of the last 11 as division dogs off a division loss. The Chargers are 0-7 ats in the 2nd of back to back home games after allowing 35 or more. Look for Oakland to get the cover.
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11-10-11 | Virginia Tech -1 v. Georgia Tech | 37-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
On Thursday the College Football Power Play is on the VA. Tech Hokies. Game 113 at 8:00 eastern. The Hokies fit a solid road system here that plays on road favorites of less than 10 off a road favored win and spread loss if they allowed 17 or less in the win. This system has covered 30 of the last 39 times. GA. Tech meanwhile is in a let down situation after beating previously undefeated Clemson. GA. Tech is also 0-4 ats off a bye and has lost 5 of the last 7 in the series. VA. Tech was obviously looking past Duke last week but will firing on all cylinders this week and they are an awesome 9-1 straight up and ats as a road favorite of 3 or less. The Hokies have won 19 of 22 in conference play and turn up the heat in November going 7-1 ats. Winning teams are no problem as they have won 9 of the last 13 vs good teams. In game 10 they are 6-1 ats and are 6-1 ats in the 2nd of back to back road games. They will be the better prepared team here and can stop the GA. Tech rushing attack with a defense that allows just 87 rush yards per game. Take VA. Tech here tonight.
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11-09-11 | Miami (OH) v. Temple -12.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 60 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the BIG MAC Side is on Temple. Game 106 at 8:00 eastern. Temple fits a late Season Power system that plays on teams off back to back road losses and are now favorites of 9 or more. Temple has edges on both sides of the ball and is 3-0 with 2 covers since 1997 as a home favorite from -10.5 to -14. In conference play they have covered 12 of 14 at home off 2 losses. Tonight they take on a Miami Ohio team that has played a weak schedule. When Miami O plays good teams with a winning record we see them start to falter as they are 2-8 ats the last 3 years including 0-2 straight up and ats this season. Even worse is their 0-5 ats spread mark after allowing 10 or less vs an opponent off a loss. Look for Temple to get the win and cover here tonight. Take Temple. Also be sure to check out the Big 5* 14-1 NFL power system on Thursday night and the highest rated 7* Game of the year this weekend in College football from a 55-7 system that has a 28-0 subset.
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11-08-11 | Western Michigan +12.5 v. Toledo | 63-66 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the MAC power System side is on Western Michigan. Game 101 at 8:00 eastern. Toledo was last seen in a shoot out loss here at home last Tuesday to Northern Illinois in a game they lost 63-60. That loss sets them up in this system tonight. We want to play against home teams in the 3rd game of a home stand off 1 exact loss as a favorite if they were -15 or less in the loss. This system has Cashed over 92% of the time when I activate of the subsets to it. The Line appears a bit inflated here as Toledo is only about 30 yards better on both sides of the ball. The Visitor is 4-0 ats in the series. WMU Won here 58-26 here as an 8 point dog 2 years ago. They are also 10-1 ats away after allowing 35 or more points. This one looks like a classic win and no cover for Toledo. Take the points.
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11-07-11 | Chicago Bears v. Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 47.5 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
On Monday the NFL Totals system side is on the under in the Chicago At Philly game. Rotation numbers 431/432 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a rare system that plays to the under for Home favorites of 7 or more if the total is 44.5 or higher and they are coming off a home win scoring 21 or more on 200 or more yards rushing. Power Angles? We have them, The Bears have gone under in 18 of 23 as a dog and all 7 times off a bye week. When on the road with a total of 45.5 to 49 they have gone under all 5 times the last 3+ seasons. The Eagles have played under all 5 times recently at home after allowing 7 or less points. At home with a total of 45.5 to 49 the Eagles have played under 6 of 8 times. When they are favored by more than 7 off back to back wins they have played under all 9 times. Look for this one to play under as well tonight.
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11-06-11 | Baltimore Ravens +3.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 46 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Power Side is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 429 at 8:30 eastern. The Ravens have played lethargically for long periods the past 2 games. Last week they barely escaped at home as a 13 point favorite getting a late field goal to take down Arizona. The week before they lost at Jacksonville on Monday night football. Now they travel to Pittsburgh a team they defeated in week one in perhaps the best game they have played all season. The fact is this Ravens team was built with beating Pittsburgh in mind. This game will awaken the Ravens here tonight. Baltimore is 5-0 ats as a division dog, 8-1 ats as a dog off a double digit spread loss and have covered 4 of the past 5 off 2 ats losses. The Steelers do have revenge but may not play as well as they did last week in a statement win over the Patriots. The Steelers are 1-10 ats as a favorite of less than 4 under Coach Tomlin vs an opponent with a win percentage of .760 or less. Take the Points here as the Ravens get the cash.
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11-06-11 | St. Louis Rams +3 v. Arizona Cardinals | 13-19 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC West play is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 423 at 4:15 eastern. Many will fade the Rams here off the big Home dog win over the Saints. However the Cardinals are very weak on defense and may not have Kolb. The Rams may get Bradford back but can play well enough even with Feeley. For technical purposes we note that teams like the Cardinals coming home off a loss of 3 or less as a road dog of 10 or more are as flat as a pancake off the big effort and near miss. These teams are 5-27 ats. The Rams are 9-1 ats off a non division win of 10 or more and are 100% after scoring 34 or more in the situation there in today. The Rams have covered 5 of the last 7 in November and the Cardinals are 0-4 ats as a home favorite of 3 or less. Take the Rams plus the points in this one.
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11-06-11 | Atlanta Falcons v. Indianapolis Colts +7.5 | 31-7 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
On Sunday in Early action the Double System side is on the Indy Colts. Game 406 at 1:0 eastern. The Colts fit 2 solid systems here today. First we want to play on win less homers in weeks 8-10 as they have covered 19 of the last 26 times. The second system plays on non division home dogs that started 0-4 straight up and against the spread off a straight up and ats loss vs an opponent off a win and cover. That one has cashed 15 of 18 times since 1980. The Colts return home off 3 tough road losses and are 9-1 ats vs an opponent off a dog win. Atlanta is 1-8 ats as a favorite of 6 or more off a dog win vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. Coach Smith is just 1-7 ats on the road off a non division win. This will be much closer than some may think with the Colts coming home. Those with me last week what happened to the Saints when they took a Rams team lightly. Not saying the Colts win, but this one should be tight. Take the Colts
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11-05-11 | Oregon v. Washington +16.5 | 34-17 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Pc 12 Play is on Washington. Game 362 at 10:30 eastern. Oregon is in a negative system here that plays against road favorites of 7 or more in conference play off a home favored win allowing 28 or more points vs a winning team that scored less than 60 last out. Washington has covered 5 of the last 6 in weeks 10-13 while Oregon has dropped 5 of the last ats in weeks 10-13. Washington coach Sarkasian has cashed over 80% vs teams that allow 17 or more. Stanford has their biggest game of the year on deck and may be looking ahead in this one. Look for Washington to hang around for the cover. Take Washington.
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11-05-11 | LSU v. Alabama -185 | 9-6 | Loss | -185 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
On Saturday the SEC play is on Alabama. Game 360 at 8:00 eastern. Alabama applies to a solid late season system that plays on certain home teams off a win with rest and revenge vs a road team that comes in off a win of 10 or more points. They system has all subsets in full effect and has cashed every time. Now for the 2 perfect angles. LSU is 0-10 ats off back to back straight up and ats wins vs an opponent with revenge, 0-6 ats as a dog after scoring 35 or more and 0-4 ats as a road dog of 7 or less v an opponent off a double digit ats win. Alabama is 7-0 ats as a favorite of 17 or less vs an opponent off back to back wins and covers and 10-0 ats with revenge vs SEC opponents. Coach Saban teams are 16-4 ats when both teams enter without a loss. Alabama has edges on both offense and defense. Look for the Crimson Tide to put last seasons loss behind them and get the win and cover tonight. Take Alabama.
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11-05-11 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma -13.5 | 25-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
On Saturday the 3 game Afternoon Power Pack is On Oklahoma. Game 354 at 3:30 eastern- Oregon St. Game 376 at 3:30 eastern and LA. Monroe. Game 398 at 3:30 eastern. Oklahoma will look to get the bad taste out of their mouth here after they lost here 2 weeks ago as a 29 point favorite. Oklahoma takes on a Texas A@M team that is 2-40 ats when they lose on the road and have lost ats 5 of the last 6 here in Oklahoma. Look for the Sooners to roll. Game 2 is on Oregon St and the Beavers have covered 6 of the last 7 at home vs Stanford and the host in the series has covered the last 4. Stanford may be flat off the big Overtime win vs USC. The Cardinal have failed to cover in 6 of the last in the second of back to back road games, while Oregon. St is 7-1 ats as a home dog of 17 or more. Take Oregon St and the 3 touchdowns. Game 3 is on LA. Monroe. Game 398 at 3:30 eastern. LA. Monroe has covered the last 7 times in game 9 of the season and 9-0 ats off back to back straight up and ats losses. The host in this series which is Ul. Lafayette has failed to cover in 7 of the last 8 times. Take LA. Monroe in this Sun Belt Conference afternoon clash.
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11-05-11 | Texas Tech v. Texas -14 | 20-52 | Win | 100 | 58 h 36 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early NCAAF Triple System Power Play is on Texas. Game 352 at 12 noon eastern. Texas qualifies in solid systems here today. What we want to do is play on home favorites from -2 to -33 that scored 40 or more in a home shut out win vs an opponent off a loss, second one is to play on conference home favorites from -10.5 to -15 off a home favored win by shutout, this one is 8-1 straight up and ats since 1980 and is very rare. The third system plays against teams like Texas Tech that are double digit road dogs off a straight up home favored loss at -14 or more. Texas has a big defensive edge and has covered 4 of 5 as a home favorite of 7 or more . Texas Tech is 0-7 ats as a road dog of 17 or less with revenge. Texas allowed under 50 yards total last week to Kansas while amassing over 500 yards, they have hit their best stride and will cash here today. Take Texas today.
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11-04-11 | Central Michigan +1.5 v. Kent State | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
On Friday the MAC Power Play is on C. Michigan. Game 311 at 8:00 eastern. The Chippewa's have a nearly 200 yard edge on defense and that out weighs the defensive edge that Kent has. Looking at the numbers in this game we see that Kent is 2-7 straight up when the line is +3 to -3 and 1-4 ats in game 9 of the season. They have failed to cover 3 of the last 4 in the series. Central Michigan has won 8 of the last 11 vs losing teams and is a solid 10-1 straight up vs teams coming in off a dog win. They have won 8 of the last 10 in the series and are 16-7 straight up when the line is +3 to -3. Look for them to get the win here tonight as a small dog. Take Central Michigan.
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11-03-11 | Akron v. Miami (OH) -14 | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
On Thursday the MAC power play is on Miami Ohio. Game 306 at 7:30 eastern. Miami Ohio qualifies in a solid system that pertains to losing teams off a double digit spread win after game 8 of the season if they were winning teams last season. Miami Ohio has a solid 5-0 ats record when the total is 42.5 to 49 in home games and 8-0 ats off a double digit win if they are a home favorite. They have won all 8 games in this series and have covered 4 of the last 5 in weekday games. In game 9 of the season they are 9-2 ats. They have edges on both sides of the ball and take on an Akron team that is 1-9 ats as a double digit road dog vs an opponent off a win and Akron is 1-8 straight up and 2-7 ats as a road dog from +10.5 to +14 the last 19 years. Take Miami Ohio.
On Thursday the Conference USA Game is On Tulsa. Game 309 at 8:00 eastern. Tulsa has played a much tougher schedule than UCF. The Golden Hurricane have lost 3 games to Boise and a pair of teams out in Oklahoma, 3 losses against teams that have one loss between them. Now they travel to Florida to take on a UCF team that is a lousy 11-30 straight up vs teams with a winning record. UCF Has lost 4 of the last 5 with 6 or less days rest and have failed to cover in a pair of weekday games this season. Tulsa is a solid 3-1 with 4 covers when the line is +3 to -3 and 8-2 ats off 2 or more wins. Both of these two teams have played UAB and SMU. Tulsa gas fared much better in these 2 contests and they have a balanced offense that will be tough to stop. UCF has allowed 9 points in 3 home games this season, that will change tonight. Take Tulsa. |
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11-02-11 | Temple -3.5 v. Ohio | 31-35 | Loss | -104 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the MAC play is on Temple. Game 303 at 8:00 eastern. Temple applies to a very effective system here that plays on certain road teams off a road favored loss at -7 or higher that allowed 17 or less. These road teams have covered 17 of their last 21 long term. Temple plays with a solid combo of rest and revenge for a home loss. The Owls are 12-4 ats the on the road. When playing on turf they are 6-2 straight up and against the spread and a perfect 5-0 straight up covering every time as a road favorite from -3.5 to -7. They have one of the best defenses in the country allowing just 263 yards per game. The real capper though comes when we look at the 3 common opponents played. Temple defeated Buffalo at home while Ohio lost to Buffalo on the road. Temple smoked Ball St on the road by 42 while Ohio lost at home to Ball.St. Ohio did beat Akron on the road by 17, but Temple beat them on the road by 38. Temple appears to be the hungrier more talented team. In a battle of 5-3 teams look for Temple to get the win and cover.
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11-01-11 | Northern Illinois v. Toledo OVER 67 | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the MAC Power total is on the over in the N. ILLY at Toledo game. Rotation numbers 301/302 at 7:00 eastern. Both of these teams can light up the scoreboard and have offenses that are averaging over 435 yards or better. On defense Toledo has a slight edge but still allows 363 yards per game, while Northern Illinois is well over 400 yards. For angles we note that NIU has played over in 6 straight in weeks 10-13, 5 of the last 6 on turf, and both times as a road dog from 7.5 to 10. Toledo has flown over in 10 of 13 off a conference win, 30 of the last 42 here at home, 7 of the last 10 vs another winning teams and 3 of the last 4 as a home favorite from -7.5 to -10. Look for this one to play over the total.
Bonus side in this game is Toledo. Number 302, as they are 5-0 ats as a week day favorite, 6-0 ats at home off a win of 10 or more vs an opponent off a win, and the host has covered the last 4 years. Toledo plays with 35 point loss revenge as well, they have won 6 of the last 7 in the series. Northern Illinois has failed to cover 5 of the last 6 here and are 1-6 ats in games after Western Michigan. Take Toledo. |
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10-31-11 | San Diego Chargers -3 v. Kansas City Chiefs | 20-23 | Loss | -102 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
On Monday night the Power System Play is on The San Diego Chargers. Game 231 at 8:30 eastern. The Chargers come in off an inept performance on the road losing to the Jets in a game where they blew the lead and did not score in the 4th quarter. Tonight they take on a Chiefs team they beat in a close game last month. In that game the Chargers took their foot off the gas as they hung on for a close win in a game where KC had no first downs and 30 yards of offense in the first half. The Chargers have better numbers on both sides of the ball and have played a much tougher schedule. The Chiefs have some nice angles that pertain to them here tonight. However home dogs have not covered the last 310 years off 3 straight dog wins. KC has won the last 3 straight. However when they have played the good teams this year they have been shellacked. Detroit and Buffalo pasted then and they have wins over the Vikings and Colts no world beaters there. Last week they had the advantage of a bye week and caught Oakland in transition with C. Palmer splitting time at Qb. They took advantage with 2 Pick sixes in a 28-0 victory. Thinks figure to get much tougher in this one. KC is just 1-9 ats in division games off a division game and back to back wins vs an opponent that is 500 or better and 0-8 ats home off back to back wins and covers in October games. The Chargers have won 10 of the last 14 vs the Division and 11 of 15 as a road favorite of 3 or less. Look for the Chargers to put an end to the Chiefs 3 game win streak. Take San Diego.
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10-30-11 | Dallas Cowboys +3 v. Philadelphia Eagles | 7-34 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Late Game Power System Play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 227 at 8:30 eastern. Dallas has won 8 of the last 11 vs teams under .500 and have new found success in the running game with Murray which should take some pressure off Romo. Dallas has covered 9 of the last 12 a dog . The Eagles are off a bye week and the whole country is aware of how good they are off a bye. They have split the last 2 years with rest so that trend may start to reverse some. The Eagles have lost 4 of the last vs Dallas and are 1-10 ats as a division favorite of 2 or more vs an opponent off a win and cover and 2-11 ats as a division homer vs an opponent off a win that played in back to back non division games.. Now to tie a nice system into the equation we note that home favorites off a bye week are a losing proposition vs an opponent that comes in off a win of 21 or more. Take the points with The Cowboys.
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10-30-11 | New England Patriots v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Power Play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 224 at 4:15 eastern. The Steelers have home loss revenge here and are an eye popping 27-3 ats with revenge in the month of October long term. They are also 14-0 ats if they have revenge and are .500 or better and a dog of 10 or less vs a winning team. The best part of this play is a solid 3-19 system that plays against road favorites of 3 or less that are off a home favored win and spread loss vs an opponent off a win. The Patriots are 10-16 ats off a bye losing to the spread in the last two. The Patriots are better on offense but the Steelers are over 150 yards better on defense. Look for the Steelers to serve it up on a cold platter for last seasons 39-26 loss here. Take the Steelers.
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10-30-11 | New Orleans Saints v. St. Louis Rams +14.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC Top tier system play is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 214 at 1:00 eastern. The Rams are in a good spot here as far as line value. They are getting nearly 14 points here mainly due to the Big Saints destruction of The Colts and their loss to Dallas. However when we travel to the database and go back to 1978 we see that road favorites like the Saints are 0-16 ats off a home win vs an opponent off a road dog loss and a prior road loss if they are favored from -10.5 to -16. Another system is to play on non division home dogs that started 0-4 or worse off a straight up and ats loss vs an opponent off a win and cover. Their are a few variations of that system and the Rams fit all the subset with one of the stronger being if they scored 7 or less last out. The Saints in general are 0-8 ats as a team when off a double digit ats win vs an opponent off back to back losses. As my curiosity grew I checked to see how Road favorites of 10 or more did if they were favored by 10 or more at home last week and scored 42 or more. Amazingly they are just 1-6 ats since 1989. The Rams are not going to win this one. But they are going to hang in. Take the Rams.
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10-29-11 | Clemson v. Georgia Tech +4.5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 90 h 21 m | Show | |
On Saturday the ACC Play is on GA. Tech. Game 124 at 8:00 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play against teams like Clemson that are 8-0 or better vs an conference opponent with a win percentage of .666 to .875 if they are NOT off back to back spread wins. These teams are 4-28 ats. If we insist that our team has a win streak of 3 or more on the season the system moves to 0-26 ats. GA. Tech has dropped their last two prior to winning their first 5. The stats are close to even in this one and the points are a nice plus for us. Clemson is 0-4 ats on the road after scoring 35 or more vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. GA. Tech is 3-0 the last 3 years in game 9 and 4-0 off back to back losses. Coach Johnson is 15-3 ats as a pick or dog of less than 4 and have won all 3 times when the total is between 63 and 70 in their home games.. Look for GA. TECH To get the cash.
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10-29-11 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State +7.5 | 29-33 | Win | 100 | 88 h 19 m | Show | |
On Saturday the PAC12 Play is on USC. Game 196 at 8:00 eastern. USC IS 7-1 ATS at home off back to back wins and covers and 15-4 here at home when the total is 56.5 to 63. Stanford has failed to cover 5 of the last 6 on the road vs a team off 2+ wins with revenge. The Cardinal have lost 18 f the last 20 on the road vs teams with a .778 or better win percentage. USC is 10-2 ats as a home dog of 3 or more and has won an amazing 15 of 17 vs teams who are undefeated. For system purposes we want to play against undefeated teams in game 6 or later from -7 to -20 vs an opponent off a win that has revenge and a win percentage of .400 to .860. Stanford barely escaped USC at home last season 37-35. Now they have to to USC. Look for the Trojans to cover.
On Saturday the BIG 10 Power System Side is on the Ohio. St Buckeyes. Game 192 at 8:00 eastern. Ohio. St is rested with revenge here tonight and Wisconsin fits a Big 1st loss system that plays against favorites in week 7 or later off their first loss if they were favorites and allowed 35 or more points while winning .778 of their games last season. Ohio.St has not lost by more than 7 points in their LAST 50 HOME GAMES. They are 8-0 ats after playing Illinois and have this one circled as Wisconsin was their only loss. The Buckeyes Serve up revenge to the tune of 6-0 ats the last few years. They are 14-3 straight up vs winning teams and have won and covered the last 3 off a bye week and 5 of the last as a dog. Wisconsin has lost the last 2 times as a road favorite in this range and may have a tough time putting last weeks hail Mary loss behind them. Take the Points with Ohio.St |
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10-29-11 | Stanford v. USC +8.5 | 56-48 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
On Saturday the PAC12 Play is on USC. Game 196 at 8:00 eastern. USC IS 7-1 ATS at home off back to back wins and covers and 15-4 here at home when the total is 56.5 to 63. Stanford has failed to cover 5 of the last 6 on the road vs a team off 2+ wins with revenge. The Cardinal have lost 18 f the last 20 on the road vs teams with a .778 or better win percentage. USC is 10-2 ats as a home dog of 3 or more and has won an amazing 15 of 17 vs teams who are undefeated. For system purposes we want to play against undefeated teams in game 6 or later from -7 to -20 vs an opponent off a win that has revenge and a win percentage of .400 to .860. Stanford barely escaped USC at home last season 37-35. Now they have to to USC. Look for the Trojans to cover.
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10-29-11 | South Carolina -3 v. Tennessee | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
On Saturday the SEC play is on South Carolina. Game 185 at 7:15 eastern. South Carolina fits a solid system that plays on road favorites of less than 10 off a road favored win and ats loss if they allowed 17 or less. The Gamecocks are 37-10 vs losing teams, 4-1 the last 3 years. They are 5-1 ats with rest and have covered 5 of the last 7 here. Tennessee is 0-3 ats this year vs winning teams and 0-5 ats as a conference home dog with revenge. South Carolina has a big defensive edge too. Look for the Visitor to move to 13-2 ats in the series. Take South Carolina.
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10-29-11 | Oklahoma v. Kansas State +14 | 58-17 | Loss | -125 | 84 h 50 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Big 12 Power Dog is on Kansas St. Game 187 at 3:30 eastern. Oklahoma fresh off their worst loss in years as a 29 point favorite to Texas Tech is now in a solid play against system that plays against favorites off a favored loss after starting 5-0 or better, if they allowed 35 or more points and were a .750 or better team last season. These teams have failed to cover the next time 97% of the time vs an opponent that allowed 17 or more, the last 30+ years. Kansas St is 7-0 and getting 2 touchdowns here getting no respect. They have covered 12 of the last 17 in the series and are a perfect 9-0 ats off a win of 10 or more and 15-5 ats in conference play. The Sooners are 0-7 ats as a road favorite of less than 4 touchdowns vs a conference opponent that won and covered their last game. They have failed to cover 7 of the last 9 on Turf and are a lousy 2-9 ats as a a conference road favorite vs .800 or better opponents. Look for Kansas St to get the Cover
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10-29-11 | Michigan State v. Nebraska -3.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 30 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early Power Play is on Nebraska. Game 128 at 12 noon eastern. The Huskers fit a Super System that has cashed 51 of 58 times. What we want to do is play on certain homers from -3 to -17 off a double digit win vs an opponent off a a dog win at +5 or more. We were on Michigan St the past 2 weeks cashing with their wins over Michigan and Wisconsin. Today we fade then as they may be flat as a pan cake as they take to the road off those 2 big wins. The Spartans struggle on offense on the road as they have scored 23 points in their only 2 road games this season. Nebraska has won 6 of the last 8 as a home favorite with 5 covers as a home favorite from -3.5 to -7 and have won and covered all 3 meetings in the series. In fact the Huskers have won 22 of 26 games since 1978 vs the Big 10 covering most of them. Look for Nebraska to get the win and cover.
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10-27-11 | Virginia +14 v. Miami (Fla) | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
On Thursday the ACC Power Angle Play is on Virginia. Game 105 at 8:00 eastern. Virginia comes in off a tough home favored loss to NC. St. While Miami handled GA. Tech with a 17 point win. Tonight Miami will face a Virginia team with a much more balanced Offense. In fact when we look at the 14 point spread we see that the line is too high considering that Virginia has edges on both sides of the ball. The Cavalier are over 60 yards better on defense and nearly 40 yards better on offense. Virginia has covered 6 of 7 as a dog vs a team off 2 or more wins and has covered the last 2 times as a road dog from 10.5 to 14. In game 8 of the season they have covered 8 of the last 9 years. Miami is a terrible 0-11 ats off back to back wins and covers and 0-6 ats in the second of back to back home games. Look for Virginia to get the cash as a live dog tonight. Take Virginia.
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10-26-11 | Connecticut +10.5 v. Pittsburgh | 20-35 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 40 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the Big East Power Play is on U. Conn. Game 103 at 8:00 eastern. We have a pair of 3-4 teams here tonight. Pitt has an offense that's a few yards better and U.Conn has a defense that is a few yards better. The Huskies apply to the better angles here tonight as they are 6-0 straight up and against the spread vs teams under .500 the last 3+ years. They have covered 12 of 17 as a dog and 6 of 7 as a dog with rest. The Panthers have failed to cover 4 fo the past 5 in the series and are also 1-4 ats in week day home games. Coach Graham for the Panthers has failed 7 of 8 times as a home favorite of 10 or more off a straight up and ats loss. Pitt may win but U. Conn Covers. Take the points with Connecticut.
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10-25-11 | Troy v. Florida International -6 | 20-23 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the Sun Belt Power Play is on Florida International. Game 102 at 8:00 eastern. FIU has covered the last 4 in the series and is a perfect 5-0 straight up and ats on Tuesday. They have a defense that is over 100 yards better than Troy. FIU has won 6 of the past 7 meetings and takes on a Troy team that is 1-10 ats of the road off a double digit loss vs a winning team. They are also 0-7 ats with rest vs an opponent off a loss and 0-6 ats after LA. Monroe. When they scored 10 or less in their last game they have failed to cover their last four. Look for Florida International to get the win and cover. Take FIU.
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10-24-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 39.5 | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Totals system play is on the Under in the Baltimore at Jacksonville game. Rotation numbers 425/426 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a solid Monday night Football specific totals system that plays tot he under for home dogs of 3 or more off back to back losses vs an opponent off a win and cover. Since 1993 this system has cashed 14 of 17 times and with a little subset goes perfect. The Jaguars have been anemic on offense and have gone under 5 of 6 this season and the last 5 times on Monday night. As a non division home dog they have played under in 8 straight. The Ravens have gone under in 3 of the past 4 Monday nighters and have one of the leagues best defenses. Jacksonville has a good defense as well. This game should be of the low scoring variety tonight. Take the Under.
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10-23-11 | Indianapolis Colts v. New Orleans Saints UNDER 49.5 | 7-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Totals system Play is on the Under in the Colts at Saints game. Rotation numbers 423/424 at 8:30 eastern. This is the first meeting between these two since the 2010 Saints Super Bowl win. This game here tonight fits the 91% system below which plays to the under for all home teams since 1989 if they scored 21 or less as a road favorite, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a road dog and both teams rushed for under 100 yards in the previous game. Four of the last 5 in the series have played under and Saints have played under in 11 of 12 off a loss if the total is 45 or higher. They have also played under in 6 of the last 8 at home when the total is 45.5 to 49. Look for this one to play under the total.
O/U: 1-10-0 (-7.6) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team: 28.0 122.5 32.8 19.9 202.2 2.4 3.5 6.5 2.8 5.8 18.6 Opp: 23.3 97.6 34.6 18.0 171.9 2.0 1.2 4.8 2.5 4.7 13.3 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 4 1991 SF STL H 3-0 7-10 3-0 14-0 27-10 -7' +38' 17 +9' -1' 4.0 -5.5 W W U 0 SUN 11 1993 NO GB H 0-3 14-7 0-3 3-6 17-19 -6' +37' -2 -8' -1' -5.0 3.5 L L U 0 SUN 2 1996 KC RAI H 0-0 7-0 7-0 5-3 19-3 -6' +37' 16 +9' -15' -3.0 -12.5 W W U 0 SUN 14 1997 CAR NO H 0-0 3-13 0-0 10-3 13-16 -9 +33 -3 -12 -4 -8.0 4.0 L L U 0 SUN 8 1998 GB BAL H 14-0 0-0 14-3 0-7 28-10 -11 +41' 18 +7 -3' 1.8 -5.2 W W U 0 SUN 17 1999 JAC CIN H 7-7 10-0 0-0 7-0 24-7 -9 +40 17 +8 -9 -0.5 -8.5 W W U 0 SUN 12 2000 MIA NYJ H 0-3 3-3 0-0 0-14 3-20 -3' +39 -17 -20' -16 -18.2 2.2 L L U 0 SUN 14 2001 TB DET H 0-0 7-3 0-6 8-3 15-12 -8' +36' 3 -5' -9' -7.5 -2.0 W L U 0 SUN 12 2003 MIN DET H 7-0 0-0 0-7 17-7 24-14 -10' +47 10 -0' -9 -4.8 -4.2 W L U 0 SUN 15 2005 RAI CLE H 0-0 7-3 0-3 0-3 7-9 -3 +38' -2 -5 -22' -13.8 -8.8 L L U 0 SUN 4 2010 GB DET H 7-0 14-14 7-6 0-6 28-26 -14' +46 2 -12' +8 -2.2 10.2 W L O 0 SUN 7 2011 NO IND H -14 +49' On Sunday the MLB Play is on Texas. Game 958 at 8:05 eastern. Texas has won 12 straight off a single loss and have the benefit of seeing Cardinals starter Jacks from his days earlier in the season with Detroit. Jackson last start did not go well vs Texas as he was pulled after 5+ innings allowing 4 runs with 11 hits. He has a 5.05 road era and 5.84 in his last 3 starts. Holland goes for Texas and he has never faced the Cardinals. Texas has won 14 of his 19 home starts. Look for Texas to tie this up tonight. Take Texas. |
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10-23-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 44 | 32-20 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Double totals system play is on the Under in the Steelers at Cardinals game. Rotation numbers 417/418 at 4:05 eastern. This game fits 2 solid totals systems. We want to go under the total for teams like Arizona that allowed 30 or more back to back before their bye, if they lost the last game and today's spread is +7 to -7 and the game is non division. The second system plays to the under for home dogs of less than 5 off a loss of 24 or more points, a prior road dog loss and ats loss, vs an opponent off a home favored win. Arizona has played under in 13 of 15 after a bye week and 5 of 6 as a dog of 4 or less. With the Steelers solid defense and inconsistent offense we will back the Under here.
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10-23-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Arizona Cardinals +4.5 | 32-20 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Big Power system play is on Arizona. Game 418 at 4:05 eastern. Arizona fits a huge system that is very rare. Since 1980 home dogs of less than 5 off a road dog loss by 24 or more points and a prior road dog loss and ats loss are 11-2 straight up and 12-1 ats, if the opponent is off a home favored win. Coach Whisenhunt will have his team ready off the bye week and he is 16-1 ats vs non division opponents that won by a touchdown or more. The Cardinals are also 12-2 ats of late as a home dog of 4 or less. The Steelers are 0-11 ats if they are .500 or better and on the road vs an opponent who played an NFC game last out. The Steelers are also a poor 1-8 ats as a road favorite of -3 or more. Take the points in this one. Take Arizona.
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