The NFL off shore steam move is on the Over in the SD at NYG Game at 1:00 eastern. This game was hit with a jumbo buy order. This game also applies to a perfect subset of a solid long term over system. Play this one over the total

NFL Situation totals play on the under in the Steelers at Jags game at 1:00 eastern

The late night snacker system is on Nevada. Game 414 at 10:30 eastern. The Wolfpack might be winless. However teams in game 6 as a conference home dog have covered 14 of 18 vs losing teams. Nevada has played some tough teams. Hawaii will not be one of them. The Rainbow Warriors have lost 29 of 34 on the road and are 1-10 ats vs losing teams, 1-10 off back to back losses and have failed to cover 7 of 8 as a favorite. Nevada has won 7 of 8 in the series here. Take the points with Nevada.

The PAC 12 Play is on Oregon. Game 378 at 8:00 eastern. The Ducks have a plethora of annoying injuries but the line is more than adjusted in this game. The Ducks did return 16 starters from last season have double revenge in this game. They are 4-0 ats after California. Washington St is undefeated. However, this is their first road game and they fit a monster play against system that goes against road teams at +9 or less that played the first 4 games at home. The last 6 teams to beat usc as a dog are 1-5 straight up and ats. Play on Oregon

The College ESPN Power system play is on Texas A@M. Game 410 at 7:15 eastern. The Aggies are a heavy dog here despite bouncing back from a terrible loss tom UCLA with 4 straight wins. They have covered 4 of 5 as a home dog of 10 or more. Alabama is in a system that plays against undefeated teams in week 6 or later and they fit a subset where these teams are 2-31 ats. The Tides blowout win last week inflates this spread tonight and we will play on Texas A@M To stay within the number tonight. See the system below

 SU:13-22-1 ATS:2-31-3 Nov 01, 1980Saturday101980ALAMSSTaway3-6-17.5-3-20.5LL0Oct 17, 1981Saturday71981MIZIWSTaway13-34-3.5-21-24.5LL0Oct 17, 1981Saturday71981NCARNCSTaway21-10-13.511-2.5WL0Nov 07, 1981Saturday101981CLEMNCARaway10-8-2.020.0WP0Oct 22, 1983Saturday91983TEXSMUaway15-12-7.53-4.5WL0Oct 29, 1983Saturday101983NCARMARYaway26-28-3.5-2-5.5LL0Nov 10, 1984Saturday121984WASUSCaway7-16-3.5-9-12.5LL0Oct 19, 1985Saturday81985MICHIOWAaway10-12-3.0-2-5.0LL0Nov 02, 1985Saturday101985IOWAOHSTaway13-22-3.0-9-12.0LL0Jan 01, 1988Friday191987OKLAMIAFaway14-20-3.0-6-9.0LL0Nov 06, 1993Saturday111993OHSTWISaway14-14-6.50-6.5PL0Oct 11, 1997Saturday81997FLALSUaway21-28-16.5-7-23.5LL0Nov 15, 1997Saturday131997MICHWISaway26-16-14.510-4.5WL0Nov 22, 1997Saturday141997FLSTFLAaway29-32-5.5-3-8.5LL0Oct 07, 2000Saturday72000FLSTMIAFaway24-27-6.5-3-9.5LL0Oct 28, 2000Saturday102000NEBOKLAaway14-31-2.5-17-19.5LL0Nov 11, 2000Saturday122000OKLATXAMaway35-31-10.04-6.0WL0Oct 13, 2001Saturday82001FLAAUBaway20-23-23.5-3-26.5LL0Oct 27, 2001Saturday102001UCLASTANaway28-38-7.5-10-17.5LL0Dec 01, 2001Saturday152001MIAFVTCHaway26-24-14.02-12.0WL0Oct 10, 2002Thursday82002VTCHBCOLaway28-23-9.55-4.5WL0Oct 19, 2002Saturday92002OHSTWISaway19-14-7.05-2.0WL0Nov 01, 2003Saturday112003MIAFVTCHaway7-31-3.5-24-27.5LL0Oct 08, 2005Saturday62005CALUCLAaway40-47-1.5-7-8.5LL0Oct 14, 2006boxSaturday72006MIZTXAMaway7-1010-72-80-019-25-2.050.5-6-8.0-6.5-7.20.8LLU0Nov 09, 2006boxThursday112006LOURUTaway15-710-70-80-625-28-5.552.5-3-8.50.5-4.04.5LLO0Oct 31, 2009boxSaturday92009TEXOKSTaway3-021-717-00-741-14-9.553.52717.51.59.5-8.0WWO0Oct 09, 2010boxSaturday62010ALASCARaway3-146-75-77-721-35-7.047.5-14-21.08.5-6.214.8LLO0Nov 26, 2010boxFriday132010BOISNEVaway3-021-70-77-1731-34-14.068.0-3-17.0-3.0-10.07.0LLU1Oct 22, 2011boxSaturday82011WISMCSTaway14-00-233-014-1431-37-7.550.0-6-13.518.02.215.8LLO0Oct 29, 2011boxSaturday92011STANUSCaway7-33-314-1410-1456-48-8.061.080.043.021.521.5WPO1Oct 13, 2012boxSaturday72012KASTIWSTaway3-014-147-03-727-21-6.048.560-0.5-0.2-0.2WPU0Nov 03, 2012boxSaturday102012ALALSUaway0-314-00-77-721-17-8.040.04-4-2-3.01.0WLU0Oct 11, 2014boxSaturday72014AUBMSSTaway0-2113-77-03-1023-38-3.062.0-15-18-1-9.58.5LLU0Oct 25, 2014boxSaturday92014MISLSUaway7-00-30-00-77-10-4.045.0-3-7-28-17.5-10.5LLU0Oct 31, 2015boxSaturday92015CLEMNCSTaway16-1310-721-79-1456-41-10.551.5154.545.525.020.5WWO0 Oct 07,

2017Saturday62017ALATXAMaway-

The SEC Showdown game is on LSU. Game 395 at 3:30 eastern. tHE tigers have big home loss revenge from last season and fit a powerful conference dog system that plays on .333 or better conf. road dogs at +12 or less off a -7 or higher home favored loss. These teams are 103-43 long term. LSU was clearly caught looking ahead last week in their loss and have covered 3 of 4 in the series. With LSU 12-1 ats as a dog off a favored loss vs .701 or better teams we will take the points in this one.

The  BIG 10 Banger is on Minnesota. Game 347 at 3:30 eastern. The line on this game will likely continue to spiral in the Direction of Purdue. The public and every taking head out there is talking up how well Purdue will play for the memory of Coach Tiller who passed on earlier this week. While I think the Boilermakers will come out with energy, they are not as good as Minnesota who is set up with solid technical data with last weeks upset loss. Minnesota will likely wear down Purdue late. Her we go. We are playing on Conference road dogs of less than 19 points off  a-7 or higher home favored loss if it was their first loss from game on out. Since 1981 these teams have covered 27 of 31 times  The Gophers have a solid defense allowing under 290 yards and they are 9-1 ats off a conference loss and 17-2 ats as a conference dog. They are 5-0 ats on the road if the total is 2 to 49. Purdue a 3 win team last year is 0-12 vs winning teams, 2-11 off a conference loss and 1-10 ats in the 2nd of back to back home games. R.I.P Coach Tiller but Make it Minnesota today.

The BONUS SEC Showdown game is on LSU. Game 395 at 3:30 eastern. tHe tigers have big home loss revenge from last season and fit a powerful conference dog system that plays on .333 or better conf. road dogs at +12 or less off a -7 or higher home favored loss. These teams are 103-43 long term. LSU was clearly caught looking ahead last week in their loss and have covered 3 of 4 in the series. With LSU 12-1 ats as a dog off a favored loss vs .701 or better teams we will take the points in this one.

The early ACC Play is on Virginia. Game 336 at 12:20 eastern The Cavs fit the same system last week we used that cashed 2 of 3 that pertains to playing against teams like Duke that are off their first loss in week 5 or later. The Cavs have won 9 of 12 here and have rest 

The MAC Conference play is on Eastern Michigan. Game 317 at noon eastern. Eastern Michigan will keep this one close and Toledo fits a 16-69 play against system we use that pertains to week 5 or later teams off their initial loss of the season. They have covered 9 of 11 vs winning teams and have home loss revenge.

The week 4 conference blowout system side is on Oklahoma. Game 398 at 12 noon eastern. The Sooners are in the massive system below that has cashed 19 of 22 times and 18 of 20 if the line is less than 31.5.  Oklahoma has won and covered 4 of 5 off a bye week and will likely blow out an average at best Iowa St team. The Sooners are averaging over 600 yards on offense and with a system that wins by an average 37 points we will lay it with Oklahoma

SU:22-1-0 

ATS:19-3-1 

Oct 21, 2006boxSaturday82006BYUUNLVhome21-07-714-010-052-7-28.554.04516.55.010.8-5.8WWO0

Sep 22, 2007boxSaturday42007WVAECARhome10-017-014-07-748-7-24.559.54116.5-4.56.0-10.5WWU0

Oct 07, 2007boxSunday62007BOISNMSThome21-014-010-013-058-0-24.062.05834.0-4.015.0-19.0WWU0

Oct 25, 2008boxSaturday92008FLAKTKYhome28-014-314-07-263-5-25.049.05833.019.026.0-7.0WWO0

Oct 21, 2010boxThursday82010OREUCLAhome15-017-314-314-760-13-25.560.54721.512.517.0-4.5WWO0

Oct 06, 2011boxThursday62011ORECALhome14-60-922-07-043-15-24.064.0284.0-6.0-1.0-5.0WWU0

Nov 05, 2011boxSaturday102011HOUUABaway7-714-314-321-056-13-27.575.54315.5-6.54.5-11.0WWU0

Oct 13, 2012boxSaturday72012OKSTKANaway0-010-07-03-1420-14-26.070.06-20-36-28.0-8.0WLU0

Sep 21, 2013boxSaturday42013BAYLMONhome35-014-721-00-070-7-30.574.56332.52.517.5-15.0WWO0

Oct 05, 2013boxSaturday62013BAYWVAhome28-728-710-77-2173-42-28.570.0312.545.023.821.2WWO0

Oct 19, 2013boxSaturday82013FRESUNLVhome14-014-1410-00-038-14-24.074.0240.0-22-11.0-11.0WPU0

Nov 02, 2013boxSaturday102013UTSTHAWhome10-313-017-77-047-10-23.552.03713.55.09.2-4.2WWO0

Nov 09, 2013boxSaturday112013WASCOLOhome10-721-021-07-059-7-29.562.55222.53.513.0-9.5WWO0

Nov 16, 2013boxSaturday122013BOISWYOhome14-714-017-03-048-7-23.570.04117.5-15.01.2-16.2WWU0

Nov 23, 2013boxSaturday132013BOWLEMCHaway17-717-017-07-058-7-26.055.55125.09.517.2-7.8WWO0

Nov 08, 2014boxSaturday112014MRSHSMISaway7-1421-314-021-063-17-26.563.04619.51718.2-1.2WWO0

Nov 15, 2014boxSaturday122014WMCHEMCHhome27-021-03-70-051-7-27.556.54416.51.59.0-7.5WWO0

Nov 14, 2015boxSaturday112015BOISNMXhome0-73-77-314-1424-31-31.558.0-7-38.5-3-20.817.8LLU0

Nov 14, 2015boxSaturday112015SDSTWYOhome14-07-03-014-338-3-24.049.03511-81.5-9.5WWU0

Nov 21, 2015boxSaturday122015LTCHUTEPaway3-07-107-20-317-15-25.054.02-23-22-22.50.5WLU0

Sep 29, 2016boxThursday52016TXTKANhome14-014-913-1014-055-19-28.079.5368-5.51.2-6.8WWU0

Oct 15, 2016boxSaturday72016LSUSMIShome7-73-328-07-045-10-25.056.53510-1.54.2-5.8WWU0

Nov 26, 2016boxSaturday132016WKYMRSHaway28-013-09-610-060-6-27.564.55426.51.514.0-12.5WWO0

Oct 07, 2017Saturday62017OKLAIWSThome-28.066.5

The Friday night under the lights play is on Connecticut. Game 308 at 8;00 eastern. Memphis fits a 16-69 play against system that goes against week 5 or later teams off their first loss of the season. Memphis is a bit over rated this year and has won some close games against some marginal teams at home like LA. Monroe at Southern Illinois. In their first road game they were smoked by a solid UCF Team which may have shaken their confidence. We wont lay doubles on the road with a team that allows over 500 yards. Both teams have averaged  around 460 yards on offense so the line seems a bit high. Memphis is 2-7 ats in weeks 5-9. The Huskies have covered 3 of 4 as a home dog from 10.5 to 14. Play on Connecticut plus the points.

 The NFL thursday night double system power play is on the New England patriots. Game 303 at 8:25 eastern. The Pats have covered 7 of 8 in Weeks 5-9 and 4 of 5 as a road favorite from -3.5 to -7. Tampa is 1-6 ats on Thursdays. Road favorites on Thursdays that come in off a -7 or higher home favored loss have on and covered EVERY TIME Since 1989 vs an opponent off a win. Conversely Thursday home dogs off a home favored win are 0-8 covering just once over the past 28 years. Play on The Patriots

The Sun Belt Power system side is on Arkansas St. Game 301 at 8:00 eastern. Arky St has played a much tougher schedule with losses at SMU and an overtime loss at Nebraska. They fit a powerful system that play on rested road teams off 1 loss and a spread loss of 10 or more. These teams have covered 18 of 22 long term. Arky St won last years game despite a -5 turnover margin which is very rare. GA. Southern is averaging under 260 yards on offense and actually lost here to New Hampshire. Southern is 1-5 ats off back to back losses and has failed to cover 6 of 8 in weeks 5-9. Arky St has covered 5 of 7 in weeks 5-9 and 12 of 16 conference games. Lay it with Arkansas St.

 The Monday night power system play is on Kansas City. Game 280 at 8:30 eastern. The Chiefs are the last undefeated team and that sets them up in a solid system that dates to 1980 and plays on game 4 home favorites at -9.5 or less that have not lost. These teams are 38-6 with a  31-13 ats mark. We note that these teams are 28-5 if our team averages more than 7 yards per play. As for as perfect monday night systems. We are playing on any monday night home team in a non conference games if they are off a division road win vs a team off a home win. These home teams win by an average 31-17 score over the last 32 years. KC has won and covered all 6 times in the series. The Chefs are 7-0 ats if they scored 10 or less points then their season to date average. Washington is off a pair of dog wins and have numerous players that are questionable and may not be at full strength. The Skins have lost 22 of 30 on Monday nights and are 0-5 ats on Mondays off a 10 or more point win. The Skins are 1-12 ats when they lose as a non conference road dog. Washington on grass on Monday night vs a non-divisional opponent are 0-10 ats as seen below. Finally we see that KC is 19-3 ats when they win as a home favorite in non conference games.  Play on the Chiefs tonight.  See one of the angles that plays against Washington below

SU:0-10-0 

ATS:0-10-0 

Oct 04, 1993Monday51993RedskinsDolphinsaway0-143-00-07-310-175.539.5-7-1.5-12.5-7.0-5.5LLU0

Sep 14, 1998Monday21998RedskinsFortyninershome7-73-140-70-1710-456.544.0-35-28.511.0-8.819.8LLO0

Oct 30, 2000Monday92000RedskinsTitanshome7-00-207-07-721-27-3.037.5-6-9.010.50.89.8LLO0

Sep 24, 2001Monday32001RedskinsPackersaway0-70-30-100-170-378.541.0-37-28.5-4.0-16.212.2LLU0

Sep 11, 2006Monday12006RedskinsVikingshome3-610-33-70-316-19-5.035.5-3-8.0-0.5-4.23.8LLU0

Nov 03, 2008Monday92008RedskinsSteelershome6-00-100-60-76-23-2.036.5-17-19.0-7.5-13.25.8LLU0

Nov 25, 2013Monday122013RedskinsFortyninershome0-76-30-140-36-275.547.0-21-15.5-14.0-14.80.8LLU0

Oct 06, 2014viewMonday52014RedskinsSeahawkshome0-77-103-07-1017-277.045.5-10-3.0-1.5-2.20.8LLU0

Sep 12, 2016viewMonday12016RedskinsSteelershome6-00-143-107-1416-382.549.5-22-19.54.5-7.512.0LLO0

Dec 19, 2016viewMonday152016RedskinsPanthershome3-106-30-106-315-26-6.050.5-11-17-9.5-13.23.8LLU0

Oct 02, 2017viewMonday42017RedskinsChiefsaway7.049.0

The Sunday night double system side is on the Colts. Game 277 at 8:30 eastern. The Colts are taking nearly 2 touchdowns here and they fit a 2 big systems here tonight. First we want to play on any game 4 dog of +1.5 or higher that comes in off their first win as these teams have covered 50 of 68 times long term. Next we want to play on dogs of more than 8 that are off a win if both teams are under .500 as these teams are 34-8 ats since 1980. The Colts have covered 3 of 4 here and Seattle has had trouble scoring when teams are not in a prevent defense. We will take the boat load of points in what looks like a classic win and no cover for the favorite.

The Late afternoon power system play is on the NY. Giants plus the points. Game 269 at 4:05 eastern. NY is in desperation mode knowing they go 0-4 the season is all but over. They do have some solid systems on their side as we note that non division road dogs of 3 or more that scored 21 or more in a division road loss are 100% to the spread the last 28 years vs a team off a road loss by 7 or more points. NY has covered 4 of 5 here and Tampa has allowed over 400 yards per game so far. The Giants are 16-0 ATS  as a dog after a game in which they benefitted from 95+ penalty yards last out. Take the points with the Giants.

The NFL off shoe steam jumbo buy order total is on the under in the Giants at Bucs game. Rotation numbers 269270 at 4:05 eastern. This game was hit very hard and there is a solid totals system that has cashed 23 straight unders that is in application today. Play this one under.

NFL Totals play Under Steelers at Ravens at 1:00 eastern. Analysis to follow

The NFL Totals Play is on the over in the Rams vs Cowboys game. Game 255/ 256 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits an undefeated system we use that plays over for teams who played on Monday nights vs an opponent off a Thursday night game and with a powerful subset these games are 100% to the over since 1980 and average over 58 points. Dallas is 5-0 over home off a Monday night games and 7 of 7 over off a road win where they never trailed. The Rams are 4 of 5 over off a Thursday road game. Look for this one to soar over the total.

BONUS 3 TEAM 10 POINT TEASER

3 Team teaser of the week 10 Points is Baltimore, SD and New England

The NFL London is calling play is on Miami. Game 252 at 9:30 AM Eastern. The Early Bird gets the worm here as we have a powerful game 4 specific system that plays against favorites like New Orleans off their first win if that win came as a dog. The Saints avoided an 0-3 start with an upset win at Carolina. Now they face a Miami team that lost to the Lowly Jets and had their lone score come with under a minute left.The Dolphins are 11-0 ATS  as a dog vs a non-divisional opponent off a loss in which they had less than 25 minutes of possession time. Look for Miami to get the cover.

The PAC 12 PLAY is on UCLA. Game 160  This one has a Week 5 15-67 1st loss play against system that goes against Colorado. UCLA has played much better at home and this is the first true road game for Colorado. The Bruins have revenge. UCLA has an offense that averages over 500 yards and Colorado will have a tough time staying close. Lay it with UCLA

The NCAAF PLay is on VA. TechGame 194 at 8:00 eastern

NCAAF OFF SHORE STEAM MOVE on UCF. Game 210 at 7:00 eastern. Jumbo buy order down on this one. Move on UCF

NCAAF Early evening power system side on SO. Miss. Game 182 at 7:00 eastern

Late SEC Play on Auburn at 6:00 eastern. Miss St is in a 15-64 play against system that pertains to their first loss. Play on Auburn

The Blowout system side is on Stanford. Game 202 at 4:00 eastern. Stanford qualifies in the huge system that is 72-17 long term and already 4-0 this year for us that plays in certain home teams as favorites from -3 to -17 that are off a win by 10 or more vs a team off a dog win at +5 or more. The line is heading downward on this game as everyone is in love with Arizona St off their big dog win as a 15 point dog over Oregon. However that win sets them up in the let down system and they allowed 52 points in their lone road game. Meanwhile, Stanford has been hot at home putting up and average of 58 points here. They are 6-1 ats as a favorite from -11 to -21. One might think its odd to have this high a spread between two teams with a .500 record.  One wont feel that way when this ones over. Play on Stanford.

The afternoon power play is on Florida St. Game 147 at 3:30 eastern. 

The early play is on Wisconsin. Game 150 at 12:00 eastern

Early SEC PLay on Florida at 12:00 eastern. Vandy is in a 15-64 play against system that pertains to their first loss. Go with the Gators.

The Late night bailout is on Washington. St. Game 112 at 10:30 eastern. The Cougars fit a powerful conference home dog system that pertains to teams that scored 40+ points in more than 2 straight games and allowed 2 or more touchdowns in their last game. USC has failed to cover 7 of 10 after a game vs California and are 1-4 ats in weekday games. Even worse is the Trojans 9-0 spread record as a road favorite vs winning teams that arrive off a win.. Look for Washington St to get the cover.

The Friday night hot side is on Duke Game 106 at 7:00 eastern.Duke enters this contest ranked 37th in the nation in total offense (471.0 ypg), 62nd in passing (243.0 ypg), 27th in rushing (228.0 ypg) and 23rd in scoring at 40.5 ppg. On defense, they have been very solid as they come in ranked 16th in total yards allowed (271.8 ypg), 41st against the pass (196.2 ypg) and 5th vs the run (75.5 ypg), while allowing just 15.2 ppg, which is 17th in the nation. The Hurricanes have been  good on offense so far this year as they come in ranked 6th in the nation in total offense (571.0 ypg), 32nd in passing (283.0 ypg), 10th in rushing (288.0 ypg) and 8th in scoring at 46.5 ppg. On defense, they have been decent as they come in ranked 72nd in total yards allowed (389.5 ypg), 114th against the pass (286.5 ypg) and 23rd vs the run (103.0 ypg), while allowing 21.5 ppg, which is 47th in the nation. Looking at the numbers the line should not be this high with Duke taking a touchdown. In fact home dogs getting more than 6 that are off 2+ wins the last of which was a conference win are 17-1 ats vs a conference team that enters off 2+ wins while covering in their last game. The Canes are 0-5 ats as a road favorite of 7 or less vs a team that has not lost. Meanwhile the Blue Devils have covered 3 straight week day games and 4 of 5 as a home dog of 7 or less. Duke has played tougher teams and has a better defense. Take the points.

The NFL Power system Play is on Green Bay. Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. The Packers are 8-2 ats as a home favorite in this range and Chicago is 7-22 ats on the road if the total is 45 to 49. Even better is that Thursday home teams off a home win are 100% winning by an average 25 points vs a team off a home dog win like the Bears.  Play on The Packers

NCAAF Play on Iowa. St. Game 104 at 8:00 eastern. The Cyclones are 8-0 ats as a dog of 16 or less vs losing teams. Texas is 1-4 ats as a conference road favorite, 1-4 ats on Thursdays and have failed to cover 23 of 31 after passing for 280 or more yards last out. Iowa St has covered 7 of the last 8 at home and the series host is 4-1 ats. The biggest reason to like the Iowa St comes from a powerful college system we use that plays on home dogs that scored more than 39 points in 3 straight games, vs a team that allowed more than 13 last out. These live home dogs have covered 16 of 17 over the last 37 years. Take the points with Iowa. St.

The Monday night power system Play is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 490 at 8:30 eastern. Arizona fits a big monday night specific system that plays on non division homers off aa win vs an opponent off loss and spread loss by more than 3 if the total is 39 or more. This system is 27-4 long term. Since 1993 The Cowboys are 0-25 ATS the week after they attempted at least eight more passes than their season average and rushed for less than 145 yards as a favorite. Dallas is also 0-10 ats as a favorite after a game where they were road favorites. The Cardinals are 4-0 ats in the series and 11-0 ats vs NFC East teams when playing of a win.. With Dallas 1-8 ats on Monday nights vs a team off a win. We will take the points with Arizona.

Sunday night NFL Totals Play on the Over in the Oakland at Washington game at 8:30 eastern

The Sunday night power system play is on Washington. Game 488 at 8;30 eastern on NBC. The Redskins are in a huge system we use that plays on Home dogs in weeks 2, 3 or 4 that are off a non division road win vs an opponent off a home game. If we have a .500 or better record and are taking less than 7 points vs a team that scored 28 or more this system is perfect. The Raiders are 0-9 ats on the road if they rushed for 50 or more yards than their season average in their last game. The Skins are 6-0 ats off a dog win. Look for Washington to get the cover.

NFL Total Under packers and bengals at 4:25 eastern

The late afternoon system side is on the Cincy Bengals. Game 485 at 4:25 eastern. The knee jerk reaction here is to play on Green Bay off a loss vs a team that has been inept. However, The Packers have a plethora of injuries on both sides of the ball and will face a Bengals team with extra rest off a pair of home losses so they will be in dire straits if they lose so expect a top effort here. The Bengals are 6-0 ats as a dog after scoring 10 or less and we have solid systems that call for a cover in this one. Non division dog from 7 to 10 are 46-14 ats if both teams are off non division losses. The Packers are 2-9 ats off back to back non division games vs .500 or less teams. Coach Lewis is 10-0 ats as a dog vs NFC team with a .400 or less win percentage. Interesting for the Packers are that All time they are 1-5 vs losing AFC North teams.  Since 1989 there have been only 4 times where a road dog of 7 or more has played off a Thursday night home loss where they scored 14 or less points. ALL 4 have covered. Play on the Bengals.

NFL Totals Play under Steelers vs Bears at 1:00 eastern. 

Carolina at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers are 7-0 to the spread at home vs a team off back to back 10 point losses. Carolina fits a solid 40-8 week 3 specific system. The Saints off to their perpetual slow start and are allowing over 500 yards on defense. Conference road dogs off a +3 or higher home dog loss where they failed to cover by 10+ points and allowed 35 or more points are 0-11 and 2-9 ats vs a team off a home win and lose by an average 31-12 score. Look for Carolina to get the cover. 

Major off shore steam move on the over in this one between Wyoming and Hawaii Rotation numbers 363/364 at 10:15 eastern. This one was nailed with an XXX-Large jumbo buy order. Move on the over

The BIG 10 power system Play is on Iowa. Game 318 at 7:30 eastern. We have a pair of 3-0 Big 10 teams going here tonight. This game figures to be closer than the double digit spread here. In fact. Conference home dogs with a .700 or higher win percentage that are off back to back wins vs an opponent off back to back wins and covers are 15-1 ats if they allow 23 or less points per game long term.  Coach Ferentz for Iowa is 10-0 ats with revenge and  Iowa has covered 8 of 10 in game 4 and 5 of 6 as a home dog of 4 or more.

The SEC play is on Auburn at 7:30 eastern. Auburn was obviously looking ahead in a lack luster game vs a non board team last week. Even with a Back Qb they should put up big numbers against a terrible Missouri defense. Auburn lost by 8 at Clemson in a close game and are allowing just 200 yards in total defense. As for our system we want to play against .666 or less home dogs off a -3.5 or higher home favored loss by 12 or more points in game 4 or later as these teams are 10-30 ats long term. Look for Auburn to Maul Missouri

College Dominator system side is on Rice at 7:30 eastern. We are playing against Florida International in this game as game 3 road teams with rest with a .500 record and off a win are 2-13 straight up. Rice has covered 7 of 10 as a home favorite in this range.

The SEC Power system play is on Georgia. Game 324 at 7:00 eastern on ESPN. The bulldogs fit one of our favorite systems and we cashed twice last week with this system that plays on certain home favorites off a double digit win vs an opponent off a +5 or more dog win  last out. this system is now 71-16 and we have a rare perfect subset in effect tonight. LSU comes in off a massive upset over LSU and that has the line dropping all week. Georgia has a solid defense and can defend the Miss. St ground game. Georgia had a much easier game last week and also has a big road win at Notre Dame this season.

The MAC Conference Play is on Miami Ohio at 3:30 eastern. We have another nice game 4 system here that plays against conference home teams off their first loss if they allowed 35 or more  and are playing a team that allows 28 or more points per game like Central Michigan. These home teams have failed to cover 19 of 22 . Miami Ohio is the better team.

The Early NCAAF Play is on West Virginia. Game 329 at 12 noon eastern. The Mountaineers should coast in this one and won by 49 here the last time they met in Kansas. The Jayhawks fit a dismal system that has dogs in game 10 or earlier at an amazing 1-64 straight up and 14-51 ats vs a team that scored 37 or more and won by 28 or more if they have a win percentage of .345 or less. This one gets ugly fast. Play on West Virginia.

The NCAAF Play is on Utah. Game 307 at 10:30 eastern. The Utes are favored to win by around 9 in our simulation models. They have better talent on both sides of the ball and have a particularly solid offense this season. Both teams are off big wins last week. The Utes are 10-0 in september games and have covered 6 of 8 vs winning teams. Arizona has failed to cover 8 of 11 vs winning teams and 13 of 17 as a dog. They have failed to cover 15 of the last 22 at home and 41 of 59 after rushing for 200+ yards. Utah has covered 14 of 17 vs opponent with a winning home record which is impressive. They are 5-1 ats after allowing under 100 yards rushing. The Killer stat shows Utah at 9-0 ats vs an opponent that is .850 or less and off a win of 10 or more. Play on Utah.

NFL play on LA. Rams. Game 301 at 8:25 eastern. The Rams have double revenge in this one and Thursday road favorites off a home favored loss are 100% perfect vs an opponent off a road loss scoring 14 or less since 1989. Furthermore, home teams like the Niners that are off a loss by 1-3 points as a double digit road dog have failed to cover 32 of 40 times. The niners are 0-5 ats in game three of the season and they will get support for their close loos in Seattle. We will side with the technical data and play on the Rams.

The Monday night NFL Power system Play is on Detroit. Game 289 at 8:30 eastern. The Lions fit the rare system  that plays on monday night conference dogs that are off a home win where the total is 42 or more and they are playing an opponent off a road dog loss. These road dogs since 1980 have won all 7 times straight up. Non division Monday night home favorites are 0-3 in the first 4 weeks of the season off a road loss where they scored 1 4or less and are taking on a team off a home win. The Lions are 4-0 ats on Monday nights off a dog win. They have covered 4 of 5 here in this series and the Giants have failed to cover 5 of the las6 vs NFC North teams. The Giants had trouble moving the ball last week and they continued to be plagued by an inept offensive line. The Lions are in off a nice home win over Arizona. Play on Detroit as a live dog tonight.

The Sunday night football NBC Power system side is on Green Bay at 8:35 eastern. The Packers have playoff loss revenge and since that is happening in the first 3 weeks it sets up a big system that plays on teams in weeks 1-3 with revenge if the total is 35 or more. the packers ar 4-0 ats with double revenge and 6-0 ats after playing Seattle. The pack deliver at 6-1 ats as a sunday night road dog with revenge. Atlanta won but looked average in Chicago last week. They are 0-10 ats as a regular season home favorite vs a team that has revenge and 0-8 ats as a favorite if they were a favorite last week and scored less than projected. With Green Bay 6-1 ats as a dog of +2.5 or more vs .666 or better teams and having covered 4 of 5 here. We will Grab with Green Bay

The Non Conference power play is on Denver. Game 284 at 4:25 eastern. The Broncos are 13-1 ats as a non division home dog and 5-0 ats at home in this series. They catch the Cowboys off a huge divisional home opening win over the NY. Giants. Dallas is 0-11 ats as a road favorite in a non division game where the total is more than 40 and they are off a spread win in a non conference game with a Monday nighter up next. Speaking of Monday night football we have an exclusive system that pertains to this set up. Play against any non conference road favorite with a non division monday night road game up next. These road favorites are 3-20 ats long term. Dallas is a dismal 0-15 ats as a favorite off a home game where they had 0 Turnovers. This looks like a low scoring win for the home dog. Play on Denver

The NFL Live dog play is on Washington. Game 281 at 4:25 eastern. Washington should bounce back here with a solid cover as they are 8-0 ats as a dog off a straight up and ats loss and 8-1 ats vs the NFC West. The Rams are off a blowout win and we note that game 2 teams off a win scoring 40 or more are 0-7 straight up and ats vs a non division team with a losing record. Look for Washington to get the cash in this one.

NFL off shore steam move. Under Dallas at Denver. Rotation numbers 283/284 at 4:25 eastern. Jumbo buy order down on this under.

The Early AFC Banger is on the Jags. Game 262 at 1:00 eastern The Jags fit one my tightest home dog systems. Play on home dogs of less than 7 if they have a winning record and are off  a road dog win vs an opponent off a home game. These home dogs are 35-4 and go perfect with a subset or two. The Jags have a new culture with Coughlin back in the organization. JAX is as follows. They are 7-0 ats home off a road win if they have a better record, 8-0 ats vs the division opponents that averages  25 or less rushes, 6-0 ats at home vs the division off a 10 or more point road win, 8-1 ats as a dog after allowing 10 or less, 10-1 ats in the 2nd of back to back division  and 5-0 ats in the series at home. The Titans are 0-11 ats on the division road , 0-5 ats as a game 2 favorite, 0-15 ats as a favorite vs a team that scores and 40%or more of their possessions and 0-9 ats on the road after allowing 100 or more yards rushing at home. Play on Jacksonville

The NFL Totals play is on the Over in the Patriots at Saints game. Rotation numbers 267/268 at 1;00 eastern. Both teams have high powered offenses and in an indoor game with 2 suspect defenses this one could be a back and forth high scoring game. In fact we looked at games where one team played on Thursday night and the other monday night and we saw that as long as the game was played earlier than week 12 these games went over 13 straight times. Also of note was the 12-0 over record for non divisional home dogs of more than 3 if the total was higher than 39. Play this one over the total

The NCAAF Totals play is over in the Texas vs USC Game. Rotation numbers 201/202 at 8:30 eastern on FOX. This game fits an early season totals simulation model that shows this game playing over the total. Both teams have a solid offense and have put up a plethora of points. Texas has put up 41 and 56 and USC Torched Stanford and West Michigan. Texas defense played well over an offensively challenged San Jose team. This will be a much tougher task. Lets not forget Maryland put up 50 on them 2 weeks ago at home. Play this one over the total

NCAAF Off shore steam move. Jumbo buy order on Troy. Game 197 at 8:00 eastern. Sharp off shore steam on this one. Move coming early in the week xx large jumbo alert. Move on Troy.

The ACC Banger system play is on Louisville. Game 148 at 8:00 eastern. The Cardinals are 3-0 ats as a dog in this series and will be a tough challenge for Clemson. Looey has covered 6 of 7 in game 3 and 3 of 4 in their first home game. Clemson has failed to cover the last 4 times after scoring 20 or less and they are 0-6 ats as a conference road favorite of -6.5 or less and 0-4 ats in first road games, 3 of 4 spread losses after Clemson. The biggest reason we will play against Clemson here is a nasty game 3 system that plays against conference road teams off back to back wins and covers  vs an opponent off a win. There is a 96% subset to that system in effect and dates to 1980. With Louisville 7-1 ats as a dog of 6 or less and looking to get some revenge. We will take the points,

The Afternoon dominator system is on Minnesota. Game 134 at 3:30 eastern. The Gophers have been solid this year and they fit a monster 69-16 system that plays on home favorites from 3 to 17 off a 10+ win vs an opponent off a +5 or more dog win. The Gophers have covered 7 of 9 after allowing less than 275 yards and M.Tennessee has failed to cover 6 of 8 off a win. The blue Raiders were able to get a nice road dog win over Syracuse but this will be much tougher. Make it Minnesota.

Friday night under the lights the power system side is on South Florida. Game 108 at 7:00 eastern. The Bulls have extra rest for this one and despite starting slow against Stony Brook they should be focused here tonight as they have covered 4 of 5 vs BIG 10 Teams and 4 of the last 5 vs winning teams as well as 5 of 6 after allowing 170 or less pass yards. The Illini play their first road game and have failed to cover 4 of the last 5 on grass. Perhaps the biggest reason for this play is a monster system that cashes big year in and year out for us that plays on certain home teams from -3 to -17 off a double digit win vs a team off a dog win at +5 or more. The BULLS take the Illini by the Horns tonight. Lay it with South Florida.

The Thursday night NFL Perfect system totals play is on the Over in the Houston at Cincy game. Rotation numbers 101/102 at 8:30 eastern. The Public is pounding the bengals as the line has moved up over 3 points. The total has not moved much and we have a perfect system that plays over every time the last 28 seasons. Play the over for road teams like Houston when both teams are off a home loss and scored under 10 points. These offenses seem to perk up and these games have averaged 46.8 points. Houston has gone over the last 2 times off a division loss and Cincy the last 2 as a home favorite from -3.5 to -7. Look for this game to play over the total

The Thursday night college football power play is on Boise St. Game 104 at 8:00 eastern on ESPN. The Broncos are off a tough overtime loss and should come out aggressive here tonight. They have covered 7 of 9 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing. Tonight they take on a New Mexico team that is off a heart breaking loss to cross town rival New Mexico St after a huge come back only to fall short. The Lobos should have a difficult time regrouping from that loss on a short week road game scenario. New Mexico has failed to cover 20 of 27 after allowing 450+ yards and the last 4 in September. Boise won last year in New Mexico by 28. They are 61-2 vs teams that are .500 or less. Lay the points with Boise St

The Monday late night power system play is on an Diego. Game 481 at 10:20 eastern. Monday night opening week dogs have been big cash cows the past few years. This is a battle that headlines two new coaches. The Chargers have a solid shot in this game and they are 9-3 ats as a road dog of late. Week 1 road dogs that won 6 or less games last season are 21-7 ats and have covered 7 straight. The Chargers should control the clock with Gordon in the back field and have Rivers back fro another go at the AC West. Both teams are close in talent level. The Chargers plus the points tonight.

The Sunday night NBC power system play is on Dallas. Game 478 at 8:35 eastern. Dallas was swept by the Giants last year mainly because they could not run on the Giants big defensive line. Tonight should be a different story as Dallas remembers last years season opening loss here on Sunday night and will look to make amends. Dallas has some tech indicators on their side. Play on game 1 divisional home dogs or favorites at -3.5 or less that won 8 or more last year. These teams are 32-10 ats long term. We also want to play against week 1 dogs with a total of 37.5 or more that lost in the first round of the playoffs last season as they entered this season on an 0-23 spread run. Play on Dallas.

NFL Steam move jumbo buy order plays under in the Carolina at SF Game. Rotation numbers 475/476 AT 4:25 EASTERN

The Early NFL Power system Play is on Tennessee. Game 464 at 1;00 eastern. The Titans will be much improved and have home loss revenge on the Raiders. Oakland fits a system that is 0-23 ats heading into this season. Play on Tennessseee.

The early NFL Power system Play is on Arizona. Game 461 at 1;00 eastern. Arizona fits a plethora of power angles in this game and are a bit under rated this year. The Lions have some injuries on defense and they fit a system that has cashed 23 straight times heading into this season. Play on Arizona

The NFL early totals play is on the under in the Atlanta at Chicago game. Rotation numbers 455/456 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits 2 high end systems. Play the under for week 1 non division road favorites if the total is 44 or more. The secondary system pertains to week 1 when you have a team that won 11 or more taking on a team that won 5 or less. Among the plethora of angles that applies to this one is the series history which points to the under in 8 of the last 10 matchups. Play this one under the total

BONUS 3 team 10 point teaser play BILLS, BALTIMORE, WASINGTON

The Late night power system play is on Utah. Game 395 at 10:15 eastern. Utah has covered 9 of 11 here and is 6-0 ats as a dog or favorite of 2.5 or less vs a non conference team that comes in off a loss. BYU is an under average offensive team and was held to under 100 yards in last weeks shut out loss to LSU/ Speaking of shutouts. Home teams in game 3 off a shut out loss have not covered in this line range. Utah has won the last 5 in this series. Look for the UTES to take another

The Prime time banger system power play is on Auburn. Game 377 at 7:00 eastern. This is a major revenge spot for the Tigers and coach Malzan is a perfect 5-0 ats on the road with revenge off a 10+ point win. Clemson will be solid this season. However this is a tough spot for them even at home. National champs are winless to the spread off a win  and cover vs a non conference opponent that was a winning team last season and has revenge comes in off a win and scored 30 or more last out. Auburn has covered 6 of 7 in games twos. Both teams had blowout wins last week but Auburn man handles GA. Southern allowing under 80 yards and putting up over 500. Look for Auburn to get the cover.

College NON CONFERENCE play on Missouri Game 374 at 7:00 eastern. Game 2 home teams like Missouri off a win but failed to cover the spread at -30 or more are 14-0 ats if they are not laying more than 23 points. The Tigers put up 73 last week but should be better on defense after allowing 43. South Carolina is off an upset win and falls into a negative system that is 69-17 based on that premise. The Gamecocks are 1-9 in true road games and were out played last season at home vs Mizzou and won due to a +3 turnover differential. Play on Missouri

The BONUS MLB 23-0 Dominator system is on Boston.Game 924 at 7:10 eastern. Boston is a large favorite here tonight. However they deserve to be. They qualify in a beautiful 23-0 system that plays on home favorites at -200 or higher with a total of 8 or less that won by 5 or more runs at home, vs an opponent off a 5+ run road loss and had 5+ hits and 1 error. Since 2004 these teams have won all 23 tines. Boston is 14-2 at home at -175 to -250. They have Sale going and he has  a solid 2.85 era this season. Andriese for Tampa is in terrible form going 0-3 with a 9/39 era in his last 3 starts. Look for Boston to win this one

The College blowout banger system is on Texas. Game 362 at 3:30 eastern. Texas will likely bounce back big here today as they were embarrassed badly at home allowing over 500 yards to an average Maryland team. Now they take on an under average San Jose St team. Game 3 road teams off a win vs an opponent playing in their second game have not covered vs an opponent off a favored loss that allowed 31 or more points. The Spartans have failed to cover 10 of 12 in September and 5 of 7 off a spread win. Texas can light up the score board and with 10 returning starters on defense and off a hard practice week, this one gets ugly fast. San Jose St is Texas Toast in this one.

The Early dominator is on Michigan St. Game 310 at 3:30 eastern. Sparty is on a mission this year after last seasons debacle and they are off a solid win and cover last week at home. BG 10 teams have dismantled the MAC Teams over the last 35+ seasons. Western Michigan is a nice team and hung with USC for awhile. However they tired badly late in the game on defense and could be demoralized after blowing the lead. First year coaches in non conference games that lost last week and are now facing a team off a win and cover have failed to cover every time the last 28 years if that opponent did not cover by 15 or more points. Many will take the points here with WMICH. However they allowed over 500+ yards last week and that solid showing last week gives us nice line value here. Make it Michigan St.

The Early NCAAF Side is on Louisville. Game 323 at 12 noon eastern on ESPN. The Cardinals were in look ahead mode last week as they let Purdue hang around. Now they are in conference action and they are a solid 13-0 ats on the road off a spread loss by 5 or more points. UNC Struggled here last week against an average Californian team. For a system in this one we are playing against September home teams that closed out last season with 2+ losses vs an opponent that was a bowl team and closed out last season with three or more losses. Playing against these home teams we would be 31-6 to the spread. In fact, game 2 teams like Carolina that are off a favored loss at -10 or more and were a bowl team themselves last year are winless straight up and ats long term as a conference dog of 3 or more. The Heels are 0-6 ats at home off a non conference loss while Louisville is 4-0 ats if they have 3 or more homers on deck. Lay it with Louisville

The Friday night hot side is on Ohio. U. Game 301 at 8:15 eastern. the Bobcats are a solid 5-0 ats on the road if the total is 56-63. They have covered 9 of 11 as a dog and are 9-2 ats in non conference games. Purdue is 3-10 ats at home of late and they are in a solid play against system of mine that pertains to home favorites with a new coach that are off a loss and are taking on an opponent that allowed 7 or less in their last game. This system has cashed big through the years. Purdue hung in the game last week vs a Louisville team that was clearly looking ahead to this weeks big matchup. Ohio is a solid team and have the weapons to go into a weaker BIG 10 schools field and come away with a win. Take the points with Ohio U.

The Thursday night NFL opener is on New England. Game 452 at 8:30 eastern. The Pats should get down to business here and we note that SB Champs are 16-0 and 14-2 ats on Thursdays. even with the loss of Edelman and the departure of Blount the pats should be very explosive. They have Cooks from the Saints and a triple headed attack at running back. KC is 0-8 ats when they lost straight up as a dog.  Play on the Patriots

The College football ESPN power system play is on Tennessee Game 213 at 8:00 eastern. The Vols have had plenty of time to prepare for the GA. Tech offense. The SEC vs the ACC with a pair of 9-4 teams from last season. The SEC took a nice jump between the 2 conferences with Alabama easily handling FSU on Saturday. The Vols are 9-1 vs non conference teams and 4-0 on neutral fields. GA. Tech is 0-5 straight up and ats in neutral field games where the total is 52 to 56. In this game is a sweet system as well. Play against week 1 teams that had a win percentage of .600 to .800 last season if they closed out last year with 3+ spread wins and are taking on a team tonight that had a winning record last season. These teams are 5-30 ats and Florida St fit this play against system in their loss to Bama on Saturday. The Yellow jackets have no sting on week days going 0-4 ats. With Tennessee 4-0 ats as non conference favorites of less than 5 we will look their way today.

The Sunday night ABC Power system play is on West Virginia. Game 209 at 7;30 eastern. The Mounties are in 2 big systems tonight. First we are playing against teams like V. Tech in week 1 that had a .600 to .800 win pct last year and close the season with 3+ ats wins vs an opponent with a winning record. These teams are a dismal 5-29 ats. Game 1 road dogs from +3.5 to +10 are 35-8 ats if they were winning teams that went to a bowl game. WV is 7-1 ats vs non conf. teams and 6-0 in September. They have covered 11 of 13 in first lined games and 4-0 ats in games ones. Tech is 1-8 ats as a non conference favorite of 17 or less and 0-7 ats in game ones and have failed to cover 5 of 7 on a neutral field. Take the points with West Virginia.

The Sunday night Power system Play in College action on Fox ports is on Texas A@M. Game 211 at 7:30 eastern. The Aggies were the much better team last year and they fit a 35-8 power system that plays on certain dogs in game 1 that were winning team and played in bowl team last year. The Aggies have covered 4 of 5 vs the PAC 12 and are 8-0 in September games. UCLA has failed to cover 7 of 8 vs non conference teams and 14 of 18 on grass. They are 1-4 ats at home of the total is 56 to 63. Take the points with Texas A@M.

The TV Power system Play is on Alabama. Game 206 at 8:00 eastern. Alabama takes on FSU Tonight and will look to get back on track after losing the a Championship last year. That loss sets them up in a never lost Banger system tonight. The same one we used last season with Florida St. we want to play on teams in their season opener that lost as a bowl favorite if they were favored by 7 or more in that loss and are not laying 10+ points. This system is perfect since 1990. FSU is every ones hot team this year, and they will be solid. However Bama will be as well with 2nd best recruiting class. The Tide will once again be strong on both sides of the ball. They wont blow the Seminoles out but should get the win and cover here.

The NCAAF System play is on Coastal Carolina. Game 162 at 7:00 eastern. Coastal was a 10 win team last year and opens their season at home against a U.Mass team that should be very flat here on the road after blowing their home opener in the last minute to Hawaii. One would think that the Minutemen would have the edge having already played a game. However, this is not the case. Game 2 road favorites off a loss vs an opponent playing their first game are 3-14 ats the last 35+ years. We cant lay points with a U.Mass team that allowed over 500 yards last week at home to an average Hawaii team. U.Mss is 7-40 on the road and 6-37 vs non conference opponents Coastal cashes tonight.

College football offshore steam move on Kentucky.Game 103 at 4:05 eastern. Kentucky wash it an XX-Large jumbo buy order. Move on Kentucky today.

The NCAAF Road warrior is on Michigan. Game 201 at 3:30 eastern. The Wolverines are a team on the rise and have covered 4 of 5 in September games.. Florida is 1-7 ats vs non conference games and has failed to cover the last 4 on field turf. Michigan fits a huge undefeated system that plays on season opening teams that are not laying 10 or more points that lost their bowl game as a 7 or more point favorite. Florida has failed to cover 6 of 8 as a dog and while they should be good are more of a wait and see type of team. Michigan has won and covered all three in this series, Make it Michigan.

The Early Dominator is on Northwestern. Game 172 at 3:30 eastern. We are playing against Nevada here as they are playing with a new coach and playing their first road game while having a losing season last year and taking on a team with 7 or more wins. These road teams fail to cover over 90% with an added subset or two. Nevada is having major difficulty deciding on a Qb this year and is weak at receiver as well. The Wolfpack are in a rebuild year particularly on defense where they are weak stopping the run. Northwestern has an explosive offense and is solid on defense. Look for them to run this one up today.

The College crusher is on Navy. Game 145 at 8:00 eastern.  Navy has covered the last 5 in September games and 4 of 5 vs Conference USA Teams. Florida Atlantic has failed to cover 13 of 15 on grass, 11 of 12 at home and the last 4 vs non conference teams. Coach Kiffin has several returning starters but that may not be a good thing for this team. Home teams in the first month of the season that lost their last 2 regular season games have failed to cover 30 of 37 the last 25+ years vs an opponent that lost their last 3 the last of which was a bowl loss last year. Navy has covered 7 of 8 as a favorite from -3.5 to -10. Play on Navy

The College football opening week power Play is on U. Mass. Game 294 at 6:00 eastern. The Minutemen return 17 starters from last year and have this one circled for a season ending 46-40 loss at Hawaii. The Warriors won that game then stayed at home for a satisfying bowl win in the Hawaii Bowl. Hawaii most likely will rotate 2 qb/s in this game and has failed to cover 17 of 24 on Saturdays. Even worse id their record in Eastern Time zones. Hawaii has lost 8 of 9 going back over 58 years. They don't play these type of games much and we can see why when noting the blowout losses they have sustained when coming East. Much better Hawaii teams have manage to average just under 4 points per game in these tough road games. Now they meet a home team with revenge who hung with them last season getting out yarded by only 16 yards in that loss. Play on U. Mass.

The BONUS Travers stakes Race 11 at Saratoga. We will use a win Play on #3 West Coast  and box him in exactas and Triples with  #7 Always Dreaming and #1 Cloud Computing

The Super bowl 51 selection is on New England at 6:35 eastern on FOX. The Patriots have been the best team all year. Even in the NFLX when other teams were removing starters the Patriots were dominating with their backups. This team went 3-0 with their 2nd string Qb Garapollo until he was hurt before losing in game 4. The winning team in Super bowl history is 42-6-2 to the spread.  The Patriots have a top 10 defense and the Falcons do not. This key since the team with the higher rated defense has won 42 of the 50 super bowls. In fact the #1 Defense when playing in the big game has won 10 of 12 all time.. The Falcons have an edge on offense ranked #2 overall. The edge is not that significant when we consider the Patriots are ranked #3 overall. The key in this game will be red zone defense. which team will bog down and hold the other to a field goal. The team who has the better defense can usually limit the damage in these instances and the Patriots defense is a bend but dont break stop unit. The Falcons will try and get pressure on Brady like most teams do. However. Brady releases the ball quickly and wont need 8 seconds in the pocket to find an open receiver. The New England offense is very diverse and without turning them over, is very tough to stop. The Patriots never key on one guy and run guys in and out all game long. They spread the ball around and even when you make adjustments always appear to be one step ahead in finding the right guy. They have a solid run game and can control the clock and Keep Matt Ryan and the vaunted Falcons off the field if they choose. Looking deeper in the our statistical approach we see that when the #1 scoring offense takes on the #1 scoring defense. The defense has come out on top 5 of the 6 times in SB history  and the last 5 #1 scoring offenses were held to 17 or less points. 

When favored in a super bowl an important thing to consider is. Can our favorite score 28 or more points. In The history of this game. these favorites are 18-2-1 to the spread. The Patriots have put up 28 or more in 10 of their 16 games. They have scored 28 or more EVERY time this season vs a defense that was ranked worse then 12th excluding the Buffalo game where they had a 3rd string Qb at the helm. So we know the Patriots can put up the points. Looking at the Falcons we see they have scored 30 or more points in 6 straight games. No team since the turn of the century has won a Super bowl in this situation and only 11 teams have even done this. Atlanta put up over 40 points in their NFC Championship win. teams who score 40+ points in a playoff game have failed to cover 24 of the last 28 times. In fact teams who average more points are 2-12 to the spread of late in the super bowl. Matt Ryan will most likely be the MVP which has not been a good thing. SB QB/S who are MVP are 4-12 straight up since 1980 and are 0-7 to the spread over the last 19 seasons.

Coach Belichick has covered 11 of 12 vs teams who are averaging more than 29 points per game if that team passed for 260 or more yards and teams with a coach like the Falcons facing Belichick for the first time are a lousy 3-22. Tom Brady has never lost in Texas going 7-0 straight up and to the spread.

The Falcons are the 12th team since 1978 to score 500 or more points in the regular season. These teams are 1-6 to the spread since 1999 in the Super bowl. Pass defense has been a big indicator in this game. In fact only ONE team has EVER won the Super bowl with a pass defense that was worse than league average. The Falcons are at the bottom of the league ranked 28th. The Patriots have quietly held their last 5 opponents to 17 or less points. The Pats are 16-0 to the spread on turf vs a non-divisional opponent when they are averaging less than 3.80 yards per rush.

BONUS TOTAL-UNDER-

BONUS PROPS. Under 47.5 for longest field goal made

Yes- for a score in the final 2 minutes of the first half

MVP- Tom Brady

Over 3 receptions Malcolm Mitchell

Under 321 yards passing Matt Ryan

In closing and based on the aforementioned statistical data and Historical super bowl systems and angles we will back the Patriots to win super Bowl 51. Lay the 3 points in this one. Best of luck and enjoy the game. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

The NFL AFC Championship system side is on Pittsburgh at 6:45 eastern. The Steelers have the best offense the Pats have seen in Months and pose a real threat to win this game. The Steelers have covered 7 of 8 as a playoff road dog and apply to some solid power systems in this game. One of the better ones that plays against the pats is to play against teams who lost the conference championship game last season and are taking on an opponent with a win percentage of .722 or better. These returning teams are 1-9 straight up and 2-8 to the spread. The pats lost last year in Denver. Dogs who allowed 17 or less points in back to back games are 30-10 to the spread in the playoffs vs a team that scored 30 or more last out. Road teams off a road win vs an opponent off a home favored win at -7 or more scoring 28 or more are 4-0 to the spread winning 3 times straight up vs a team who was off prior to the win. The Steelers are a hot team on a big win streak and have everyone healthy. They can score with New England and will be in this game throughout. Play on Pittsburgh.

The NFC Championship system play is on Atlanta at 3:05 eastern. The Falcons have the advantage of being home here today and they are scoring 35 points per game here. They have matchup edges on both sides of the ball and will score in a plethora of different ways here today. In the earlier matchup where the Packers were far healthier they came from behind here to win close. Green Bay is banged up on defense and have several players on limited practice, they will be exposed in the defensive back field. Teams who win in Championship games are 78-9-1 to the spread. For some technical support road teams in championship games that scored 30 or more and won by 21 or less have been a solid play against historically and home teams like Atlanta that covered last and are playing a team off a win and cover that allowed more than 10 have covered 21 of 29 times. Teams who allowed the fewer points in divisional round games have also been solid long term. The packers will rely on Rogers but they will see that he wont be able to do it alone. The Falcons have the added day of rest since playing on Saturday. In the final game here the Falcons get the win and cover.

The NFL Super system Play is on KC. at 1:00 eastern. The Chiefs have MAJOR Revenge in this game down 29-0 in Pittsburgh at the half and losing 43-14. The extra rest will surely help and KC Will be prepared for this game. Coach Reid is 18-0 with rest vs an opponent who wins less than 88% of their games. Since 1989 road dogs off a home favored win in this round are 0-4 vs a team off a road favored win. KC has won 4 of 5 vs winning teams. Since 1989 Division round homers off a bye are 4-0 winning by 18 points per game if the line is -3 to home dog vs a team off a home game. Play on KC Today

The NFL Totals system play is on the Over in the Green Bay at Dallas at 4:40 eastern. This game fits a 100% totals system that plays over for road teams off a home win vs an opponent off a road loss in their final regular season game and dates to 1989. In the series here 9 of the last 10 have flown over the total. Dallas has gone over the last 3 times with 2+ weeks off and 4 of 5 as a home favorite in this range. The Packers are 5-1 over off 2+ wins and 6 of 8 over on the road while playing over in 4 of the last 5 vs winning teams. Both teams are going to score  and move the ball in this game. Play on the over in this one

The NFL Divisional round Play is on the Patriots at 8:15 eastern.  The Pats destroyed The Texans here without Brady 27-0. The Pats are 4-0 ats the last 5 years as a home favorite of more than 7 in the divisional round. They are 2-0 ats as a home favorite from -14 to -21, have covered 5 of 6 vs winning teams, 6 of 7 vs AFC South and 9 of 10 when the total is 42.5 to 49. Houston is 0-4 straight up and ats here losing by an average 37-12 score and have failed to cover 7 of 10 as a dog. Home favorites of 10 or more in the division round win by a 35-17 average score since 1989. Teams playing their second playoff game off 1 exact win and a total that is more than 37 are 1-20 straight up and 1-19-1 to the spread. Teams who won 13 or more last year and 11 or more this year are 36-12-3 to the spread vs teams with a win percentage of .777 or less.. Play on the Patriots

The NFL Totals System play is on the over in the Seattle at Atlanta game at 4:35 eastern. This game fits a powerful totals system that plays over for home teams off a bye in round 2 that won their last game at home and scored 28 or more like the Falcons and allowed 250 or more yards passing.  Seattle will have to throw the ball more in this game especially if they fall behind. In the series 5 of the last 6 have posted over and simulations models show around 58 points for this game. The Falcons are 9-0 over as favorites, 10 of 10 on turf, 4-0 with revenge and 7 of 7 if the total is 49.5 or higher all trending overs. Look for this game to go over the total.