Ross Benjamin’s Blog of the Week

Written by rocketman | January 21, 2011
Ross Benjamin’s Blog of the Week

In spite of wining on the Chicago Bears as my 50* Divisional Round Game of the Year on Sunday, I actually felt a bit sorry for Matt Haselback. I thought he threw the ball exceptionally well yesterday and was the victim of an inexperienced receiving corps not giving him much help. Kudos to Hasselback who took a lot of heat this season from Seattle fans but played terrific in both playoff games…Contrarily even though Jay Cutler had a fine game statistically I felt he really was lucky to get away with a few throws. If he duplicates those blunders next week against a very opportunistic Green Bay defense he won’t be quite as lucky… By the way is it me? Why would Mike Martz call a halfback option pass by Ike Forte being up 28-3. The Bears were running the ball exceptionally well and were driving inside of Seahawks territory. The ball was intercepted and the Seahawks proceeded to drive for a touchdown off of that turnover to give them a ray of hope. Again calls like this against Green Bay given the circumstances will be very costly.

For you people out there who don’t believe in NFL angles, or don’t know the difference between an angle and a trend. You can stick this in your pipe and smoke it. Any playoff away underdog (Seattle) that was coming off a playoff home underdog SU win is now 0-10 SU&ATS since the 1982 playoffs. The average margin of victory by the favorite in that situation going into yesterday was by 19.7 points per game. If you watched yesterday’s game you know the game wasn’t as close as the 35-24 score would indicate.

I took a lot of criticism from clients yesterday who questioned my selection on the Jets +9.0. There’s no way that line should’ve been that high to start with. It’s always easy to say after the fact. However the books banked on the fact the general public would jump all over New England based on their 45-3 thrashing of the Jets in the first week of December. Truth told that playoff teams that play good defense, have a solid running game, and are a touchdown or more underdog have tremendous value at this time of year. I personally thought this game would go down to the wire. I would be lying if I said I thought the Jets would dominate in the fashion that they did.

Can you believe both #1 seeds getting knocked off in their first playoff game (Atlanta and New England). Even more alarming is that both #6 seeds (Green Bay and New York) are in the conference championship games. It’s not out of the realm of possibility that both #6 seeds will meet in the Super Bowl for the first time ever. If you had the guts to make a wager on the Jets before yesterday’s game to win the Super Bowl you would’ve received 15-1 odds. Hindsight always has 20/20 vision especially in sports wagering.

I really think my Syracuse Orange are going to get exposed at Pitt tonight. The undefeated (18-0) Orange are 4.5 point underdogs and rightfully so. I think Pitt has far more offensive balance and they are just as good on the defensive end. Syracuse star forward Kris Joseph is also questionable after banging his head on the floor in Saturday’s home win over Cincinnati.

My early picks for the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament are Ohio St., Duke, Kansas St., and Texas. My Elite Eight would also include Pittsburgh, Kansas, Wisconsin, and Michigan St. Has there been a more underachieving team so far this season than Michigan St. You just have to know Tom Izzo will have this veteran club peeking at tournament time. They are currently listed at 10-1 to win it all. The most intriguing odds of my Elite Eight selections to go the distance is Wisconsin at 75-1. There’s no doubting they lack the speed and athleticism of a lot of the elite clubs. They do have size, can shoot the three-ball very well, play very good defense, are disciplined, and have an underrated head coach in Bo Ryan.



 
Thank You:

Ross Benjamin

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