Betting NFL Football – The Game Plans
Betting NFL Football – The Game Plans
For serious football bettors who like betting NFL football, here is breakdown of what to look for from key contests for Week 6 and what these teams will be attempting to accomplish to win the contest.
(203) OAKLAND at (204) KANSAS CITY CBS
SUNDAY OCT. 13 / 1:00 E
Raiders Game Plan: It has been a stunning development to see how well Terrelle Pryor has played. He’s been poised in the pocket and thrown well and he continues to use his legs to keep plays alive and advance the ball for Oakland. With the possible return of RB’s Darren McFadden and Rashard Jennings, the Raiders would have more diversity in the offense. On defense, Oakland played more coverage against San Diego with success (three picks) and probably will use the same method of play because of how quickly QB Alex Smith gets rid of the ball.
Chiefs Game Plan: Kansas City might be 5-0, but this is a game they really want. In the Chiefs last 10 battles against Oakland; they have surrendered 157.3 yards a game on the ground against a team which has not come close to that figure except for one year (2010). For Andy Reid’s team to win and cover the spread, they have to limit the Raiders on the ground and keep Pryor in the pocket. On offense, Smith has been intelligent and he and his team have to maintain the same patient approach which has worked all year.
Key sports betting number: Oakland is 7-0 ATS at Kansas City and has won six straight there.
(207) GREEN BAY at (208) BALTIMORE FOX
SUNDAY OCT. 13 / 1:00 E
Packers Game Plan: The Packers newfound running game has been a major surprise (5th in the NFL) which helps take some of the pressure off of Aaron Rodgers. If Green Bay is able to continue to gain yards rushing versus Baltimore’s No. 6 run defense, this will afford Rodgers more time to throw and keep Terrell Suggs in check. The loss of Clay Mathews really hurts, nonetheless, it does not change the game plan which will be for the Pack to contain Ray Rice and get in Joe Flacco’s face.
Ravens Game Plan: With no Mathews, Baltimore’s coaches do not have to account for him and this simplifies the offensive strategy. Flacco will do what most Packer opponents have done, take shots down the field against a mediocre secondary. Rice is a tremendous asset catching passes and other than A.J. Hawk, no other Green Bay linebacker can stay with the former Rutgers back. The Ravens will have to heat up a pass rush, because the last line of defense is vulnerable to pass catchers who make multiple moves like all the Packers receivers do.
Key sports betting number: Baltimore is an underdog, yet is 11-2 ATS at home off an upset win as a road underdog.
(225) NEW ORLEANS at (226) NEW ENGLAND FOX
SUNDAY OCT.13 / 4:25 E
Saints Game Plan: Besides the quality of the teams, this encounter features Sean Payton running his offense against Bill Belichick, who essentially is in charge of the Patriots defense. What has set this New Orleans team apart this year is the usage of TE Jimmy Graham and RB Darren Sproles. Like a basketball team with five shooters, the defense cannot cover everyone, which has given Drew Brees multiple options based on what he sees in defensive formations. The Saints are only conceding 14.6 PPG by keeping steady pressure on the opposing quarterback. If this works against New England, the Saints march to 6-0.
Patriots Game Plan: The offensive line was pathetic last week in Cincinnati and has to play much better. It does not appear Tom Brady and the offense is going to magically return to prior form until everyone is healthy and on the same page. Linebackers Dont’a Hightower and Jerod Mayo will have to have monster games and be a force all over the field and always maintain a watchful eye on Sproles. One aspect New England has been very good at this season is pressure up the A-gaps and this might be how they limit the Saints offense.
Key sports betting number: This is worth noting, New England is 11-3 ATS vs. teams who average 21 or more first downs and 32 or more minutes time of possession.
(227) WASHINGTON at (228) DALLAS NBC
SUNDAY, OCT. 13 / 8:25 E
Redskins Game Plan: Off their first victory of the season and a bye week, there is no excuse for Washington not to be 100 percent prepared for their rivalry confrontation with Dallas. Redskins coach Mike Shanahan is a solid 11-6 SU after byes and should have the passing offense ready to shred the Cowboys 31st ranked pass defense. Washington will still want a balanced attack with Alfred Morris toting the pigskin, which would further open up the offense. The defense simply has to play better (last in total defense) and welcomes back starters DE Jarvis Jenkins and OLB Rob Jackson from suspension.
Cowboys Game Plan: The available Dallas personnel in the secondary has not adapted well to more coverage in DC Monte Kiffin’s defense and it will be worth following to see if Washington, who has not thrown often to their tight ends, utilizes TE’s Fred Davis and Nikes Paul more for this contest. Tony Romo played a fantastic game against Denver, but the same old bugaboo about not coming thru in the clutch happened again. Romo should be able to build on his performance last week against a miserable Skins defense.
Key sports betting number: Washington is 11-2 ATS vs. Dallas and 6-0 ATS in Big D.
(229) INDIANAPOLIS at (230) SAN DIEGO ESPN
MONDAY, OCT. 14 / 8:40 E
Colts Game Plan: Indianapolis rushed for more than 100 yards as a team for the first five games of the season, which tied a franchise record. In order to have success against San Diego, the Colts must continue to be aggressive with their ground attack against an opponent allowing 4.8 yards a carry (27th). This helps out Andrew Luck and set up big strikes through the air which is why Indy is on a 3-0 SU and ATS move. The Colts defense has been giving up yardage between the 20-yard lines, however, the defense has been able to settle down and force field goals instead of giving up touchdowns. And they know Philip Rivers will give them chances at interceptions.
Chargers Game Plan: Coming off a five-turnover showing and stunning loss to Oakland, San Diego has to right ship, because a 2-4 record makes the playoffs hard to imagine. Rivers is improved in Mike McCoy’s offense, yet is still prone to foolish mistakes. The Indianapolis secondary is nothing special giving the quarterback a chance for big outing. If the Chargers run defense is stout, they have a chance to make the Colts something they do not like being, a throwing team.
Key sports betting number: Indianapolis is 10-2 ATS in road games against teams who force one or less turnovers a contest on the season.
