All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is going to be a tight game, the Nigerians are better than what they showed in their first game and it seems now that losing 2-0 to Croatia is not that big a surprise, just ask Argentina.

Iceland continues to show they are a good side, very difficult to break down and they take their chances in front of the goal when they are presented to them.

I am of the opinion that there is more chance of an Iceland win or draw than there is Nigeria winning and so I am taking Iceland on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Costa Rica was quite poor in their first game loss to Serbia, by the same account Brazil was just as poor against Switzerland and both teams will have to improve, which I do expect.

The so-called minor nations are doing better than expected, even when they lose, few are being thrashed and some, like Mexico and Croatia, are actually winning.

So, it is not a given that Costa Rica will be run over and it would not be a huge surprise if they breach the Brazilian defence and get a goal.

That said, I do think Brazil will win and score a minimum of two goals, from that point onwards it is a question of will they score more or will Costa Rica score and I think one of those two will happen, as an example I see either a scoreline of 2-1 to Brazil or 3-0, something in that region.

Take over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I was impressed with Croatia in their opening game, they played open expansive football and were very fluent and clinical when it was needed. The same cannot be said about Argentina, who simply must get a result from this game after a lacklustre performance against Iceland.

A win for Croatia and they qualify for the next stage, a loss would put that in danger, especially if Iceland win against Nigeria.

Both teams are more than capable of knocking the goals in, both play an attacking form of soccer and I do expect that both sides will score at least once.

All things considered, the best pick is over 2.25 goals.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

France was underwhelming against Australia, they did win but their entire performance was sluggish, they found it difficult to break down a determined Aussie side who really only wanted to defend, the French must do better going forward and I am confident they will do so. 

Peru was disappointing against Denmark, they struggled to get through the Danish defence and like France must do better, in fact, if they lose this game they will be eliminated if Denmark gets at least a point against Australia.

Of the two teams, it is France I expect to improve more, they have the players to win this game comfortably and while the bigger teams have struggled this tournament they do still manage to get the result they need.

The question for me was would France win by more than a single goal? I think there is more chance of that than there is of them losing or drawing and therefore backing the French -1 is the most logical selection.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Australia need to win this game or they will face being eliminated and that means they will have to go for goals, they simply have no choice in the matter.

Denmark can afford to drop points but they also know a win puts them into the last 16 and that is for sure what they will be focussed on today.

Neither team is prolific in front of the goal but the circumstances of this game and their respective status within the groups means that defending will take a back seat to attacking.

I see goals in this game and am confident that we will see over 2.5 goals. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Even though they conceded three goals Spain was impressive nonetheless against Portugal, they were unfortunate in part and you have to remember it took brilliance from one of the best players on the planet to score against them.

Spain should have beaten Portugal, they were the better team and I fully expect them to be sharper and more focussed against Iran.

Iran did well to beat Morocco but they really are up against it today and I just cannot make a case for them getting anything from this game, they are playing one of the best sides in the World Cup, if not the best, and will basically defend throughout the game, however, it will take some doing to keep Spain at bay for the whole game.

All things considered, Spain will win and by more than a single goal.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Uruguay win and a comfortable one at that.

The Saudis were humbled against Russia and are a poor team and they are up against better opposition than the Russians today.

Uruguay was lucky against Egypt with a 89th minute and was overall poor, especially Luis Suarez and you have to think they will improve and if they do I see them running up a high score against the hapless Saudi's

Take Uruguay -1.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both teams need the win, especially Morocco as a defeat and a win by Spain would see them eliminated.

If Morocco can somehow nullify Ronaldo then they stand a chance of getting something from this game but it is a long shot, Ronaldo will run havoc I am sure.

I am not a great fan of Portugal and they are vulnerable in defence and I can see Morocco scoring, however, the chances are that Portugal will win, either way, I am confident that we will see more than two goals in this game.

Put it this way, Morocco must go for a goal which leaves the counter-attack open and with the likes of Ronaldo you just know that it is very risky for the Moroccans. Portugal must also score, they will not want to face Iran behind on points and a draw or loss would ensure that.

Take over 2.25 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Even though Russia won 5-0 in their opening game I was not impressed with them, that result is not a true reflection of their quality.

The Saudis basically folded and the final result flattered the Russians, yes, the Russians did deserve the win but the brutal truth is that Saudi Arabia is not that good, Russia had home advantage and it took them ages to break down a very poor opposition.

Egypt is in a different class to Saudi Arabia, they have to get something from this game otherwise they are probably eliminated and while I am of the opinion that this group of African teams is weaker than in previous World Cups that is negated by the fact that Russia is the weakest European side in this tournament and if they had not qualified as hosts they would not be in the tournament.

Take Egypt +0.5

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Poland to get the win in their opening World Cup match against Senegal today.

The African teams have been a little disappointing so far in this world cup and the overall general feeling is that this current batch of African nations is not as good as in previous World Cups and that is showing on the field of play.

Senegal has done ok in the build-up to the tournament and qualified comfortably but their opposition was very limited and they will not have faced a team with the quality of Poland.

Poland eased through their group winning eight from ten games, they have some quality players and in Robert Lewandowski have a world class striker.

I cannot see Senegal getting anything from this game and expect Poland to emerge the winners.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with overs on this one.

Both teams play open expansive soccer when required and while they will both be cagey at the start I fully expect the game to open up when a goal goes in and I do see a goal going in at some point.

Take over 2 goals

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

For a change England enter a tournament with low expectations and that will help them, the less pressure the better they will perform.

Let there be no doubt that England do have some top quality players in the likes of Kane, Sterling, Alli and so on, they are young and raring to go and I really do believe that they will be looking to lay down a marker today.

Tunisia will not be walkovers, they will be defensive and will look to attack as much as possible but they are a limited side, African teams have been poor so far in this World Cup and Tunisia are not the best of the bunch but of course, they are playing a famous European side and will feel they can get something from this game, especially considering the results so far.

I cannot see anything other than an England win and if this England team clicks from word go they could do better than what a lot of people think and to do that they need to win and win comfortably today, which I fully expect them to do.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Belgium are genuine contenders for the World Cup, especially in light of the so-called big teams all failing to win so far, they have an opportunity here to show their credentials and that is what I fully expect them to do.

Belgium does suffer as a team of fantastic individuals that struggle to harmonise as a team but the signs are good that they are overcoming that hurdle and against minnows Panama they really should win and win easily.

This World Cup has been full of shocks, however, it would be seismic if Panama got anything from this game, they simply are not in the same class as Belgium, they do not have anywhere near the same quality of talent and the reality is that only Belgium can stop Belgium from winning this game handily.

Panama will be defensive, they will look for the counter-attack and try to emulate Mexico win over Germany, I just do not see a repeat of that result.

Belgium to win by at least two goals, probably more.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

European teams, apart from Germany, have done quite well so far in this World Cup and I expect Sweden to continue that pattern today against an underwhelming South Korea.

Sweden had to overcome Italy in the playoffs to reach the finals and are a far better side in competitive games than they are in friendlies, this will not be an easy game and I suspect it will be a low scoring affair and I see the Swedes winning this by a single goal, they defend well and are good at set pieces.

South Korea does not enter these finals in good form, though in all fairness we are talking about their friendly results but even so, confidence is important and I am not sure that the Koreans have that in abundance right now.

But, even if the Koreans were full of confidence and had momentum I still feel they are not as good a side as the Swedes and that will show today.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Brazil are a top team and on their day are capable of beating any team but Switzerland are no walkovers and this will be a tight game.

Brazil are deserved favourites, they are on a great run of wins and come into this tournament on a high, it will not be a surprise if they win but there are good reasons to back Switzerland on the spreads.

The Swiss are a good team, they have lost just once in their last 17 matches, a 2-0 loss to Portugal, they have held Spain in a friendly and won nine of ten qualifying group games finishing on the same points as table toppers Portugal.

The Swiss will frustrate Brazil today and they are more than capable of nicking a goal and while Brazil will probably win I do not see them winning by more than a single goal and a draw is also a possibility.

Back Switzerland +1.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Mexico won their qualification losing just once and while their opposition is not as difficult as in some of the European groups they did end up winning by a clear five points and are a hard team to beat, they did lose some friendly games but drew 3-3 with Belgium and while I doubt they will get anything from this game I am confident they will score at least once.

The world champions have not had the best pre world cup journey, a couple of their players have been booed, some top names were left behind and reports are that all is not well in the German camp, but they are one of the best teams on the planet and I would be surprised if they did not win.

There was zero value in backing Germany outright and the spreads were tricky, but because I believe Germany will win and Mexico will score then over 2.5 goals is the most logical pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game has all the hallmarks of a very close match.

Neither side has had the best set of friendly games prior to this tournament, Serbia did win 5-1 against Bolivia in their last game but they also lost to Chile and Morocco and drew with Korea, they did well in qualification otherwise they would not be here but they were far from convincing.

Costa Rica has had a poor set of friendly results but in competitive games they are specialists are being hard to beat with quite a few draws, they drew four of their ten games and lost just twice.

This is the first game for both sides and of course, both sides will want the win but they will be more determined not to lose and I am of the opinion that a draw is the most likely outcome.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Nigeria is a good side, they got to the final of the African Nations before being humbled 4-0 by Morocco, they had a disappointing friendly build up to this world cup but they are an electrifying side when they are in the mood and with this being their first game of this World Cup I expect them to come out all guns blazing.

Croatia is a bit of an enigma, they can be humbled easily and yet can play some sublime football, regardless of the opposition, as an example, they stuffed Greece 4-1 in the playoffs but finished behind Iceland in their group.

We have two teams here more than capable of finding the back of the net, they are not negative sides and my confidence is high that between them we will see at least three goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Denmark is quite a negative side and that is why the overs are low, however, on their day, especially if Christian Ericksen is in the mood they can run the goals in as they did against Ireland (5-1) but those sort of performances are rare but this is the World Cup and I cannot see them keeping Peru out for the entire 90 minutes which means they will have to score if they are to get anything from this game.

Peru is not that bad, they are unbeaten in their last 15 international games, they did have to qualify against New Zealand but they twice held Argentina in qualification and beat Uruguay also, they are not as negative as Denmark and I do see them scoring at least once, which will definitely drive the Danes on as well.

I am confident we will see at least two goals and a high chance of at least three and overs is definitely the pick for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game for me is all about the Argentinians if they play to their talent level they will win by a handful of goals, if they play to their frustrating level they will struggle to win, it is as simple as that.

Iceland did beat a very poor England side a couple of years ago but in their next match they got thrashed by France and even though they have qualified, it was hardly the hardest group and their friendly run-in has been very poor.

Iceland will have to frustrate  Argentina and defend for their lives and hope to get a sucker punch goal but that is all they have, hope. Argentina should win this game easily, they have stunning talent all the way through the team and are one of my favourites to win this tournament outright and the only thing that can stop them today is themselves.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is not one of the strongest Australian teams I have seen in recent years, I watched them struggle to overcome Syria and while they did well in the playoff against Honduras and in recent friendly games I am not convinced that they have all of a sudden turned into a good team, they are mediocre and will be found out at this level.

France are a bit hit and miss, on their day they can beat anyone, they have a team brimming with world-class talent but they have an average manager who lacks a plan B and makes some very strange tactical decisions.

That said, there is a clear gulf between these sides and if France, as I expect, play to their full unquestioned ability then they will have enough to dispatch the Aussies by at least a couple of goal.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The biggest game so far in this world cup and it is Spain I am going to back for the win.

A lot has been made of the sacking of the Spain manager just a couple of days ago but I am confident that this Spain side is good enough to put that aside, they are highly experienced and ooze talent throughout the team, they are unbeaten in their last 20 games and recently beat Argentina 6-1, albeit in a friendly.

Portugal are European Champions but they were hardly convincing and while they have had a decent run of results the opposition they have beaten has been mediocre and when they do go up against the better sides they invariably do not win.

I simply do not rate Portugal that highly, they are over-reliant on the ageing Ronaldo and play negative football. I expect them to get found out against arch-rivals Spain today and to lose and probably by a couple of goals. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is my best pick of the day.

Morocco are African Champions, they thrashed Nigeria 4-0 in the final, they are unbeaten in their 18 games in all competitions, they have beaten some good teams including Serbia and Slovakia in recent friendlies and they are as well prepared as any team entering into this tournament.

Iran are also well prepared and have been on a decent run but the quality of opposition as not been as strong as what Morocco has faced and when they have gone up against half decent teams, even in friendlies, they have lost, Tunisia and Turkey as examples.

Of course, friendlies are not reliable indicators, but the overall form of Morocco in both competitive matches and friendlies is superior to that of Iran and I am highly confident that Morocco will have too much today for the Iranians to contend with. 

Morocco to win

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Egypt is one of the better teams in Africa but I do not see them getting anything from this game against Uruguay today.

At the time of writing this, it is still unknown if Salah will play, however, even if he does I do not see it making much difference, I doubt he would be fully recovered from injury anyway and his teammates are fairly limited in comparison to the Uruguayans.

Uruguay was in mixed form but they have gained some momentum recently and should be well prepared for this game.

Overall Uruguay have the better recent form and better preparations and it has to be said, the better squad and as long as they play to form they will win.

My only concern is the spread, I would have prefered -3/4 spread but -1 is still fine and if Uruguay win by the single goal then stakes are returned and I am confident that they have more chance of winning by two goals as opposed to drawing or even losing.

All things considered Uruguay -1 is the pick

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The opening game of the 2018 World Cup pits the host nation Russia against minnows Saudi Arabia and it is difficult to see anything less than a Russian win.

There was a myth that opening games tend to end in draws, however, that is a myth, certainly in recent years apart from 2010 in South Africa and apart from France losing to Senegal in 2002 the favourites tend to win.

That said, Russia's recent record has been awful but in all fairness, their games have been non-competitive, they have had no qualifying games and that has clearly affected their results.

The Saudi's have an appalling record away to European teams and this is an away game for them despite it being a World Cup because Russia is the host nation, this is not a neutral location and despite the poor recent Russian performances I simply cannot make a case for the Saudi's to get anything from this game.

The spread is -1 which means that Russia would have to win by two clear goals, which they are more than capable of doing considering their opposition, however, even if they win by just the single goal your stakes would be returned.

All things considered, the best bet is Russia -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is potentially the biggest game of the season for both teams.

This is the bottom line, Lazio needs to avoid a loss to make the Champions League next season and Inter must win to overhaul Lazio for that final top four spot.

Both sides have shown significant nerves in recent weeks with some stunningly bad results and recent form is not something that is reliable for this game, even home advantage for Lazio is of little advantage in this scenario, this is basically a cup final.

I cannot hand on heart say which team will win because I simply do not see a winner, their mentalities will be different, Lazio will be happy with a draw while Inter must win and will play as such.

I am confident however that Lazio will not lose and that is why the draw is the value for me, certainly, I have more confidence in that result than an Inter win and the way the game will be played is how I expect that t unfold.

If Inter take a lead then Lazio will go all out for an equaliser, if they get that equaliser they will then sit back and I see them doing that almost from the start.

The most likely outcome for me is the draw and the odds are good for that outcome.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Ths is the final game of the season and a game that Milan has to win, if they do not they run a significant risk of missing out on sixth place and a place in Europe next season.

Milan has not had the best of seasons, especially after the money they have spent but they can finish it off on a high note with a win in front of their own fans.

Fiorentina have nothing to play for and some of their players will have their eye on holidays or the World Cup for their respective nations., well, the nations that have qualified, Italy not being one of them.

All things considered, I cannot see anything other than a Milan win, they have their fate in their own hands and I do not see them blowing it.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game for both sides, Atalanta need the win to have any hope of making Europe next season and Cagliari needs a win to avoid relegation.

There are permutations involving the draw and other teams results but a win for either team is the most basic requirement and I fully expect both sides to go full out for that win.

Cagliari has home advantage but they are playing a better team but in these sort of situations that tends to go out the window and it will all come down to the performance on the day.

I expect both teams to score, I expect both to be attack minded and I do not see either team's defences putting in memorable performances.

All that leads to goals and that is what I fully expect to happen.

I am going with a minimum of three goals and am confident we will see even more.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am expecting a tight game between these two and a draw looks the value pick.

After eight games there is just one point separating these two teams and a deeper look into their results shows a pattern developing.

Two of the four Stromgodset home games this season have ended in draws and two of the three away games that Sarpsborg have played this season has finished in draws.

Add to those results the fact that both games between these two last season finished in a draw as well as the tightness in the league this season between their respective positions and it becomes apparent that a draw is the value pick.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Just one point separates these two in Serie A with AC Milan occupying the final Europa League position, however, a win for Atalanta today and they will replace Milan for that Europa League qualification spot.

Atalanta is on a six-game unbeaten run and has lost just once in their last nine Serie A games, they have won their last two home games and have the momentum just at the right time.

Milan have won their last two games but they are the only wins in their last eight league games, they have been very inconsistent this season and have beaten Atalanta just once in their last eight meetings.

Considering how crucial this game is and with home advantage I am backing Atalanta to win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is really quite simple, Liverpool need at least a point to ensure champions league qualification, whereas Brighton has nothing to play for.

I cannot see Liverpool playing for a draw, not at home and they certainly will not want this game going into the final few minutes without the game in the bag.

If Liverpool loses and Chelsea win then the Reds will miss out on qualification via the league, though they would qualify automatically if they win the final against Real Madrid.

Liverpool tend to win convincingly at home, they did draw their last home game 0-0 against Stoke City but their previous four games saw them win by at least two goals every time.

Brighton has not won in their last 12 away games and against the top six, they have lost by at least 2 goals against four of them with only Man Utd failing to beat them by more than one goal.

Liverpool have something to play for and Brighton does not and with home advantage and players playing for a place in the champions league final I fully expect to see Liverpool put on a dominant performance today and to win this game by a significant margin.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game comes from the Swedish Allsvenskan and I am confident that there will be goals in this game.

In 5 of the 7 games that Dalkurd have played this season have all gone over 2.5 goals, usually with the opposition scoring the more goals.

Djurgarden games this season have not seen as many goals, however, they have lost their last 3 games and will be desperate to get back to winning ways, they are at home and against a team that is very beatable, they will come into this game with an attacking mentality.

I was tempted to back Djurgarden outright, however, their recent form has dented my confidence in them and the over 2.5 goals bet looks the better option.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game has goals written all over it and over 2.5 goals is the pick.

Goteborg has had over 2.5 goals in 5 of their 7 games so far this season and has won their last two home games after losing their first one of the season in front of their home fans.

Norrkoping has featured in 4 games that have gone over 2.5 goals from their 7 games this season and currently sit 4th.

This is a big game early on in the season for both sides and both will go for the win, any other result and a gap will start to open up with the top two. 

I expect a game that will flow back and forth with both teams scoring and a very high chance that at least one of them will score at least twice.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a very crucial game for both teams, Lazio needs to win to maintain their champions league qualification hopes and Crotone needs the win to stay above the relegation zone.

Both teams have good recent home and away records respectively, Crotone have won two and drawn one of their last three home games and that draw was against Juventus.

Lazio has won their last three away games on the bounce and is on a nine-game unbeaten run, whereas Crotone lost their last game and have recorded just four wins in their last 17 league games.

Crotone will be hard to break down at home and are fighting for their Serie A lives but I expect the quality of Lazio to come to the fore and to emerge the winners. 

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Lyon has to win this game if they want to qualify for next seasons Champions League.

Lyon are one point ahead of Monaco and Marseille with just two games in the season remaining and so they have their destiny in their own hands but a draw or loss could be disastrous for them and they will know that.

Strasbourg themselves are fighting for their lives, they are in a relegation battle and need points desperately but they are where they are for a reason and that is that they are not that good a team at this level.

Strasbourg will put up a fight for sure but the quality of Lyon will shine through and I expect them to win this game.

I am not too happy about the spread but Lyon should have enough about them to emerge the winners by a couple of goals come the final whistle.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Montreal to inflict yet another away defeat on the hapless Philadelphia Union.

Philadelphia has not won away in their last 20 road games in all competitions, that is an appaling record and so far this season, they have lost all four away games conceding nine and scoring none.

Montreal is just the one spot above Philadelphia in the standings but their home record this season is not bad with two wins and one loss and while they are not one of the better teams in the league they certainly are more than capable of beating a team with such a poor away record that Philadelphia has.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is the second leg of the Europa League play-off in Holland and Heerenveen lead 4-3 from the first game.

Heerenveen really blew this, they had a 3-0 lead early on in the first leg and ended up needing a goal in the last five minutes to get the win, they will regret blowing such a lead.

Utrecht, even though they lost the first game, will come into this game the happier of the two sides, they know they have been given a second chance here and will confident that on their home turf that they will get the win.

Utrecht are on a 14 game unbeaten run at home and have turned their home stadium into a fortress with just one loss there all season long, they beat Heerenveen 3-1 earlier in the season at home and have won the last three meetings between these two sides when played in Utrecht.

I cannot see anything other than a home win here.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Middlesbrough to get a crucial home win in this Champions play-off semi-final first leg against Aston Villa,

Middlesbrough finished the season off in splendid form and at home have won seven of their last eight league games and that only home loss was against the champions Wolves.

Villa stumbled slightly as the season came to a close but not significantly but they did look tired and their away record has been patchy at best with three losses in their last five away games.

All things considered, I am confident that Middlesbrough will be too strong at home for the visitors, they have the better current form and their home record is superior to Villa's away record by some margin.

I have taken the safety first route in this game and backed Middlesbrough on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Brann looks like a good thing and while I would have prefered a higher price they still represent value.

Brann sits on top of the table with seven wins and one draw from their eight games to date, whereas Start sits rock bottom with just one win and one draw from their opening eight games.

Brann have won their last three away games on the bounce while Start has lost their last three home games conceding a mammoth 11 goals.

Unless there is a dramatic turnaround in form this looks like a win all day long for Brann.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

My early day Saturday pick comes from Sweden and it is for Sundsvall to beat Brommapojkarna.

The season is still quite early in Sweden, however, a pattern is already developing with these two sides.

Sundsvall are unbeaten at home so far, they started off with two draws but have now won two on the bounce in front of their home fans.

Brommapojkarna have lost three straight on the road, conceding nine and scoring just twice and while those defeats have been against better sides a rut has still set in.

All things considered, a home win looks the logical pick.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolfsburg needs just a point to basically avoid relegation but with home advantage and against the bottom side Koln, who have already been relegated, I expect them to go full out for the win and a good win at that.

Koln have nothing at all to play for and while they will be competitive they are a poor side and with the atmosphere from the home fans today I cannot see them getting anything from this game at all.

All things considered, I am confident that Wolfsburg will win to ensure their Bundesliga presence for next season and to win comfortably. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is the first leg in the Championship play-off semi-finals and both sides will be looking to gain an edge ahead of the second leg.

The home advantage is with Derby, however, they did lose at home to Fulham just a couple of months ago and that will give a mental edge to Fulham and so in terms of advantage they are probably equal.

But I am going with Derby to win, they were in the middle of a very rough patch when they lost to Fulham and have since improved finishing off the season in fine form.

Fulham cannot be dismissed of course and do have a good chance but at this stage of the season and with the magnitude of this game I believe that home advantage is very important.

Derby to win

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of Columbus in this one and see them winning by a couple of goals.

Philadelphia are not in good form, they have lost all three away games this season without scoring a single goal and conceding eight times, they have won just twice in the league from eight games, both home games.

Columbus have won three of their five home games, losing just once and they come into this game unbeaten in their last three games, albeit two were draws.

Considering the poor form of Philadelphia and the half decent home form of Columbus I do expect the home side to win and to win by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am prepared to give Tottenham one more chance to show their quality.

They have wobbled in recent weeks but back at home, against a Newcastle team not in the best form, I do expect Spurs to win handily.

Tottenham won their last home game 2-0 against Watford in what can be best described a scrappy affair and in front of their own fans, I do expect them to perform better than they did in the 1-0 away loss to West Brom.

Newcastle have nothing to play for and are a limited team, whereas Tottenham has to win otherwise they run the risk of missing out on a top-four spot and with the new Stadium set to open next season missing out on Champions League football is unthinkable.

The spread is high but it is well within Tottenham's range as long as they play to form.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going for a draw in this Europa League semi-final first leg playoff.

This will be a cagey affair, Heerenveen will look to utilise their home advantage and get the win ahead of the return game in Utrecht but their recent home form does not fill one with confidence.

They have lost their last two games and at home, they have drawn two of their last four games.

Utrecht are not in the greatest of form either, they have recorded just the one win in their last seven games, though that win was in their last match, so at least they come into this game on the back of a win, they have also drawn two of their last four away games and will be happy if they come away from this game with at least a draw.

All things considered, I am of the opinion that the draw is the most likely outcome.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a huge game for both teams and could very well decide who is relegated and who stays in the Premier League.

A win for Southampton means they are basically safe because of their superior goal difference, a win for Swansea means that they will be three points ahead of Southampton with just one game to play, a draw leaves them both in a very precarious position for the final day of the season at the weekend, so you can see how important a win is for either team with a loss being nothing short of a disaster.

Nerves will play a part but you can still be certain that both teams will go for goals, they know how priceless a goal will be and as soon as one team scores I fully expect the opposition to go all out for an equaliser, this is not a game where either team will play for a draw and it is a game that will change dramatically once a goal is scored.

The statistics do make a case for a low scoring game but the circumstances of this game change everything and the stats can be ignored for the most part.

I cannot make a case for either team or a draw simply because it would be guesswork at this stage of the season, but the case for goals is very strong and I will be going for overs in a big way.

This is one of my biggest bets of the season and I have the safety net that if there are just two goals I get my stakes returned, but I am very confident that two goals is the absolute minimum I expect to see.

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Rio Ave have absolutely nothing to play for, they cannot make Europe next season and will simply be going through the motions today.

They also are a very poor away team, they have lost their last seven away games in a row scoring just three times in those seven games and conceding 22.

Pacos are in deep trouble, they are just above the relegation zone on goal difference, however, they are fighting for their lives and at home they do not have such a bad record, they did lose 5-1 recently but just before that bad result they beat Porto 1-0 and overall their home record is far better than the away record of Rio Ave.

A win for Pacos will not guarantee them safety but it will give them a massive chance with just one game remaining after this one.

All things considered, I am going with Pacos to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

El Classico and no matter the circumstances this is always a huge game and there are good reasons to see this game being a high goal scoring affair.

Barcelona wants to be the first team in La Liga to go the entire season unbeaten and the only team that can stop them now, in reality, is Real Madrid.

By the same token Real Madrid do not want Barcelona going unbeaten through the entire league season and will be determined to stop them.

Barcelona does have home advantage, however, Real Madrid has tended to be better against the big teams this season when they have been away, just look at the results against Bayern Munich and Juventus in the Champions League.

I do actually think that Barcelona will win, however, the odds are too low and not for me but I also see there being goals, the mentality of both these teams when they play each other is to try and bury their opponents, they both love winning by decent margins and I expect Barcelona to take that view today.

I also expect Real Madrid to play extensive counter-attacking football and with the players they have are always capable of scoring a couple of goals against any team on the planet.

I see at least four goals in this game and would not be surprised to see something like 3-1 or 2-2 or 4-2 etc.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Very important game for both sides, if Chelsea loses then their chances of making next seasons top four are greatly reduced and probably over with.

If Liverpool were to lose then they themselves would run a huge risk of finishing outside the top four and while they do have a fallback position of being in the Champions League final they also could lose out on playing in next seasons Champions League.

Both teams do have a defensive vulnerability and with so much at stake, I am very confident that we will see a see-saw game with goals galore.

It should also be noted that in big games Liverpool tends to be involved in high scoring games as results against Roma, Man City, Tottenham etc have shown this season.

All things considered, I am backing over 2.3/4 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Interesting game this, Burnley would love to overhaul Arsenal for 6th place but at the same time their participation in Europe next season has been confirmed and so it must be questioned how strong their motivation really is.

Arsenal are playing their final home game under departing manager Arsene Wenger and the atmosphere with the crowd will be passionate and the players will want to send their manager off with a convincing win.

Arsenal are a lot better at home than away this season and while Burnley has done well they are far from being as strong on the road as they are at home.

Everything is in Arsenals favour to get a strong win today and that is what I expect to see happen.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Napoli has to win it is as simple as that if they do not then Juventus will be crowned champions of Italy.

Torino has nothing to play for at all, they are mid-table and cannot make Europe or be relegated.

You can forget last weeks result for Napoli when they lost 3-0, they lost a man to a red card early on and the result reflected that.

With home advantage, massive motivation and playing a team with nothing to play for then I am convinced that Napoli will win this game by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Tottenham win today.

West Brom will more than likely be relegated this weekend and even if they somehow won this game they could still be relegated and there is a reason they are in this situation, it is because they are a very poor team.

West Brom have won just twice at home all season and while they have improved recently with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last four games, home and away, they remain a poor side that are very vulnerable to a beating and against a team like Tottenham I see that happening today.

Tottenham themselves are vulnerable at the end of the season but they are playing to finish at least third in the table, they do not want to have to play a qualifying game in next seasons Champions League and they got back on track with a scrappy 2-0 win over Watford in their last game.

If Tottenham plays how they have been doing all season they will win this game, West Brom are simply not good enough to withstand them for 90 minutes and for me, it was just a question of how many goals they will win by.

If Tottenham score first, as I expect them to, then I can see West Brom folding like a pack of cards, they need to keep Tottenham at bay for as long as they can and hope to sneak a goal, if they try and attack Tottenham they will get punished, their best hope is to employ rope a dope but I just do not see that working for them, the gulf in quality between the two sides is just too big.

Take Tottenham -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Frankfurt are just one point behind Leipzig and must win to keep their hopes of making the Europa League next season alive.

Hamburg are second bottom and must win if they are to have any chance of avoiding relegation, a loss today means they are relegated.

So both teams have massive reasons for going al out for the win, if either team goes behind then they will throw caution to the wind and go all out attack.

The circumstances of this game scream goals and I am going over 2.5 goals for that very reason.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Early day pick

Critical game for both teams, especially Stoke City.

Stoke must win as simple as that if they do not then they will be relegated today, a draw would not do them any good either, there is no ifs or buts here, they simply must win and that will determine their mental approach to this game.

Palace are more or less save but and a win will make them mathematically safe.

This is a game that will see both teams go flat out for goals because of the circumstances, it will become like a cup fixture and I find it very difficult to see this game being a low scoring affair, if it was mid-season then yes, but it is not.

All things considered, I am going for over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Sevilla to get a positive result today in La Liga.

Sevilla recent form has dipped dramatically, however, they still have an outside chance of making the Europa League and their last two home games have seen credible results, including a 2-2 draw with Barcelona.

Real Sociedad have been in much better form, this is probably because they have no pressure on them, they cannot be relegated and they cannot make it into Europe, however, their away form has not been so great with just one win, against second-bottom Las Palmas, in their last 13 away games.

I would have felt better if Sevilla recent form had been better but they have the motivation and home advantage and I am confident that will be enough to drive them to victory.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Liverpool lead this game 5-2 from the first leg and that will play a huge part in the mentality of both teams.

Roma have zero choice but to attack and will be hoping for the same sort of performance that they put in when they defeated Barcelona in the previous round and Liverpool will be fully aware what Roma can do if allowed to dominate.

If Liverpool score just once then Roma would need to score four times, an unlikely scenario and that will be one of the major objectives for the Reds, to score at least once.

Liverpool know they will have to defend for a large part of the game, they will be happy to lose this game 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-1 and so on and will not be looking for a win, they will be looking to avoid a big defeat.

Bottom line is that I do expect Roma to win but not to qualify.

Backing Roma at scratch is the most sensible option, I cannot see them losing but I want the safety net of a draw with stakes returned because of the danger of Liverpool counter-attacking.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Werder Bremen have absolutely nothing to play for, they cannot make Europe, they cannot be relegated, this is winding down time for these players with either the World Cup or holidays on the players minds, that does not mean they will not be up for this game but they will lack motivation for sure.

Dortmund, on the other hand, do have something to play for, they have a Champions League spot up for grabs, they are n pole position but a loss or even a draw could be harmful and even if they do manage to qualify they do not want to qualify in 4th spot and be forced to play a qualification game prior to the group stage next season.

Dortmund will be focused and motivated, they will go for the win and I struggle to find any decent reason why they will not collect all three points today and almost certainly ensure their Champions League spot for next season.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Napoli win, they will be absolutely focused on collecting all three points, yes, Fiorentina will be at home and still have hopes of making the Europa League places but they are up against a team going for the title who have huge momentum and who are in great form.

I would have liked a lower spread for sure but as I am starting from a point that I cannot see anything other than a Napoli win then it is just a case of how many will they win by.

If, as I fully expect, Napoli win then the worse case scenario is stakes returned but I am confident that Napoli will show their class and superiority today and win this game by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

On paper Man Utd should win this game, they have done very well at home against the top 6 sides, losing just the once and they certainly will be up for this game.

But it must be remembered that United lost at home to West Brom last week and have drawn against Burnley and Southampton this season on their own turf, point being is that they are not unbeatable at Old Trafford.

Arsenal have been very poor on the road this season and that is why we have such huge odds on the Gunners winning this game but they are still a top-class team, they are still more than capable of winning this game if they can get their act together, this is not a case of David v Goliath.

Additionally this is Arsene Wenger's last visit to United and the players are aware of that, there will be some emotion in this game and with the Europa League second leg coming up on Thursday there will be Arsenal players that will want to put in a good performance to further their chances of being played in that game.

Also, the Europa League game is not for 5 days and so there is no need for Wenger to play a weakened team.

United are clearly the favourites but the odds on Arsenal are ridiculous, they are far too high and the value is definitely with them, this is a game they can win, they have the motivation and from a value point of view, they simply cannot be ignored.

Based on the value I am going for Arsenal to win

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The stats for this game point to it being under 2.5 goals but the circumstances point to the exact opposite.

The bottom line is this, a draw is useless for both sides and a loss is a disaster.

These two teams are in the bottom three and facing relegation, a win and it would really boost their hopes of survival, it does not guarantee survival, far from it, but it would provide hope and momentum.

I expect both teams to go flat out for the win and as soon as a goal goes in the game will really open up, it will be cagey to start off with as nerves will lay a part but that will not last long and a free-flowing attacking game is what I fully expect to see.

The odds are decent on ver 2.5 goals and I will be taking advantage.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a game that both sides need points from, certainly Crotone and while I do expect a hesitant start from both teams I do expect the game to open up as the game progresses.

Crotone are just two points above the relegation zone and they will not get many better chances to get three points as the season comes to a close, they are at home and if they fail to take advantage of that today they could be in serious trouble.

Sassuolo are in a much better position, a win for them will almost certainly guarantee them safety and a draw will do them the world of good as well but a loss will make for a nervy end of season, they probably are safe but they will want to guarantee that and will play to avoid a loss as much as possible.

With Crotone almost certain to be attacking I am confident they will score, once they do the game will open up and that is when I expect to see goals.

Two goals guarantees stakes returned and I am very confident that will happen and in my opinion, it is highly likely that we will see at least three goals.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

After their home loss against Napoli Juventus must win this game or they could see the title slip from their grasp, however, they face a tough Inter side who also have a huge prize to play for.

Inter have a great chance still of making next season Champions League, a loss or even a draw would seriously damage their chances and just as Juventus will go for a win, so will Inter.

A draw is acceptable but barely, both sides will want all three points and I have very good reason to be confident that Inter will emerge the winners.

For starters, Juventus have stumbled in recent weeks, losing at home to Napoli was huge and that came after the heartbreaking loss in the champions league away at Real Madrid, a win over Sampdoria and a very disappointing draw against Crotone.

Inter have the home advantage where they have lost just once all season and won four of their last five home games.

Inter are buoyant at the moment, they want champions league football and against a slightly damaged Juventus side and with home advantage I am going with Inter today to either win or at worst draw.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both teams still need points to achieve their end of season ambitions, however, the chances are that Brighton will not be relegated and that Burnley are almost certain to qualify for next seasons Europa League.

But until their respective positions are confirmed mathematically both teams will go full out for the points.

Burnley have done very well this season, they are quite decent at home and while they have lost more often on their home ground this season, it has tended to be against the best teams in the league.

Brighton have been very poor away this season and just because they are desperate for points does not mean that all of a sudden they will improve on the road.

I cannot see anything other than a Burnley win.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Massive game for both sides, if Burton does not win they may be relegated today if they win they would jump out of the relegation spots and be replaced by Bolton.

A draw would not be the end of the world but it would be better for Bolton, though if Barnsley wins then a draw would also see Bolton join Burton in the relegation zone.

It is all a little complicated but the bottom line is that both sides are desperate for the points, both are fighting for their Championship lives and both simply cannot lose.

With so much pressure and so much at stake and the regularity that these teams have drawn this season the most likely outcome is another draw in my judgement.

Back the draw.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two teams fighting for Bundesliga survival and it is Wolfsburg that have all the advantages coming into this game.

If Wolfsburg wins then Hamburg could be relegated this weekend depending on other results if Hamburg was to win then Wolfsburg could see themselves heading towards a relegation playoff at lightning speed.

Wolfsburg has home advantage, they know a win will make them more or less safe, though not quite mathematically and they also know that a draw may not be good enough.

Points are now at a premium and with so much at stake, I cannot see the home side throwing away this golden opportunity to take a huge step towards safety.

All things considered, I am going with a Wolfsburg win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Club Brugge are set to win the title have been the best team in Belgium this season but their recent away form has been poor and there is good reason to back Genk to get the win today.

Genk have won four of their last five home games and against quality opponents, whereas Brugge have won just once on the road from their last eight games, losing four and drawing three.

Both teams will want the points for differing reasons but I cannot ignore the disparity in recent home and away form respectively and am backing Genk to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game and home advantage will be key to which team progresses to the Champions League final.

Both these teams are world class and it is a very fine line that separates them, however, based on what I have seen this season it is Bayern Munich that I feel is the better side and the most likely to reach the final.

I have high confidence that the German champions will win at home, Real Madrid have not had the best time on the road against top sides this season, yes, they did beat Juventus in Italy in the last round but we all saw what happened in Madrid in the return leg.

A lot will depend on how Ronaldo performs for sure and while he can still put in the occasional great performance, he does lack the consistency of old.

Real have had an average season by their very own high standards, they will not be winning the Spanish title and may even end up fourth, they are there for the taking and Bayern are more than good enough to hand them a defeat tonight.

All things considered, I am very confident that Bayern will win tonight. 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolfsburg are in desperate trouble and need to win this game otherwise their chances of staying in the Bundesliga will be severely damaged.

Their opponents are also not safe but are in a slightly better position and would more than likely be happy with a point.

And that is how I see this game going, I expect Wolfsburg to come out all guns blazing in front of their home fans, while Augsburg will be looking to defend more than attack.

Neither team can look to recent form for encouragement, this is now about attitude and survival and with home advantage and in a more desperate position I expect Wolfsburg to put in the right performance and win.

Wolfsburg -0.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Despite having an average season by their standards, Arsenal should still be able to take care of a very poor Southampton team.

Southampton are third bottom and in very real danger of being relegated, they have lost their last two away games 3-0 against mediocre opposition and they face yet another comprehensive defeat.

Arsenal have only really dropped points against their fellow top six sides at home this season, when it comes to teams near the bottom they tend to knock the goals in with relative ease.

We have two teams that are the polar opposite in terms of ability and I fully expect that Arsenal will win this game and win it by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Another huge Premier League game, however, that does not mean it will be close, not with Man City playing.

The gap between Man City and the rest of the clubs in England is huge, they are by far the best team and with home advantage, I cannot see anything other than a clear home win.

Chelsea, of course, is a class team but they are not in great form, they are a limited side and their record this season away from home against fellow top sides has been poor.

City to win this game and by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither team is in great form and if I had to choose one of these teams as the one in the better form it would be Everton but only just.

Both sides are mid-table outfits and their results have shown that this season but both sides will be looking to get some momentum building and will see this game as the exact sort of game they can win and that is why I am going for over 2.5 goals.

Both sides will believe they will score and I agree with that and I also see one of them scoring at least twice.

I cannot pick a winner, it would be like a toss of the coin but I am very confident that we will see at least 3 goals, this game is all set up for just such a scenario.

Take over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Last time out Bournemouth got humbled 4-1 away to Huddersfield and Newcastle registered a fine 1-0 win over Man Utd and so it would be easy to look at Newcastle as the value pick here but I do not see it like that.

Bournemouth was in great form before that loss to Huddersfield and back at home, I expect them to bounce back from that defeat. Newcastle did well against United but the truth is that Man Utd did not perform at all that day and the result does flatter Newcastle somewhat.

I am backing Bournemouth at home against a poor away side

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Southampton has been in good form recently, whereas Burnley has not, however, I am backing Burnley to get back to winning ways at home today.

Burnley have lost at home regularly recently, however, those losses have been against the very best in the Premier League and last time out in front of their own fans they held Man City 1-1. The losses against Arsenal, Tottenham, Man Utd and Liverpool have been their only defeats in their last 12 home games.

Southampton has won just once in their last 10 away games and even though they are in good overall form it is still never easy to go to Burnley and take anything from the game unless you are a top side and Southampton are not a top side.

All things considered, I am convinced that Burnley at home will beat Southampton.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

These two teams are in deep relegation trouble and both will be desperate for the points.

Troyes are conservative at home in terms of scoring goals but that is mainly because they are looking to defend most of the time, that will not be the case tonight.

Metz on the road tend to feature in games with goals in them, 4 of their last 5 away games have had at least 4 goals in them and their last away game had no less than 9 goals.

This game has all the ingredients for goals.

Take over 2,5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Montpellier to get the win tonight.

They have home advantage, they have lost just once in their last seven at home and have won their last two home games.

Guingamp have not been so bad away from home recently in Ligue 1, they have lost just once in their last five, but previous to that they had lost nine of ten and overall their form is not what you would regard as solid on the road.

Take Montpellier -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game for both sides and in the recent past this would have been a banker for Juventus, but not now, not against this Tottenham side.

This is the same Tottenham side that put both Dortmund and Real Madrid to the sword, the same Tottenham side that has just beaten Arsenal and Man Utd and drawn at Liverpool, this is a top class side that will not be overawed by a visit to Turin.

Juventus is, of course, a brilliant team and have home advantage but they are not as strong as they once were, they are not running away with Serie A like they have been doing and have suffered some surprising defeats this season and if they are not at their supreme best they will lose this game.

I am more confident that Tottenham will either draw or win than I am by a Juventus win and therefore I am taking Tottenham +0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Man City are probably the best club team in world soccer right now, only Barcelona and PSG can claim to be in the same category and with all due respect to Basel, they are not a top European team.

The spread on this game though is a little high, City will probably overcome it but I am not as confident as I am in City winning but Basel scoring.

City does let goals in, they did at home against Leicester City and their defence is their most vulnerable position and Basel do have home advantage.

The bottom line for me is that I do expect that there will be at least 3 goals and that would see stakes returned and the chances of there being more than 3 goals are higher than there being less.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Lyon has a great chance to get all three points today, in their last 3 home games they have beaten both PSG and Marseille and have lost just the once in their last 13 home league games, they are in great form in front of their own fans and will be desperate to bounce back from two consecutive away losses.

Rennes are very average, they are bang in the middle of the table, they are inconsistent and while they do get some good away wins occasionally, they are always against teams below them in the standings.

If Lyon plays to form they will win and by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Liverpool are flying at the moment and scoring for fun but remain vulnerable at the back.

Southampton has finally found some form, they are unbeaten in their last four league games and have started to find their scoring boots.

This is a tricky game to call, Liverpool is the better side but Southampton has home advantage and is in good form.

Liverpool are deserved favourites but my confidence in them winning is not as strong as I would wish simply because Southampton is playing better than they have been.

I would not be surprised if we see a high scoring game and I do see there being at least 3 goals in this game, which would see stakes returned, however, I am far more confident that we will see at least 4 goals in this game then I am in picking an outright winner.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Bournemouth is in good form at the moment and Huddersfield is not, however, Huddersfield does have home advantage and that will count for something today.

I struggle to see Huddersfield winning but at the same time, I am not overconfident that Bournemouth will win.

That said, I do see both teams scoring, I do not see this being a boring game, both sides will believe that they can get all three points and that is a recipe for an attacking game.

The market is set at Over 2 goals which makes this a very safe option as is reflected in the odds with 2 goals seeing stakes returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Angers have won their last three home games in Ligue 1 but they were against side inferior to Monaco and I expect their home winning run to come to an end today.

Monaco have not been prolific on the road that is for sure but the 2-2 away draw at Marseille last time out will have done them the world of good and I see them kicking on from that result.

Class will tell and Moncao to win.

Monaco -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Anderlecht has been hit and miss this season but they are a top team in Belgium and have won five of their last seven away games.

Oostende is the third bottom team in the league has lost three of their last four home games and all things being equal are unlikely to get anything from this game.

Anderlecht -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Swansea is in form and with home advantage stand a very good chance of extending their recent unbeaten run.

The Swans last two home games saw them win over Liverpool and Arsenal and confidence must be high that they can extend that run today against a team that has not won in their last 6 away games.

Swansea is in frim and at home and Burnley are not in good form and that is the bottom line here.

Swansea win 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I expect a competitive game between these two sides today, both have been inconsistent recently, especially Everton and I simply cannot see both sides keeping clean sheets.

I have a feeling that Everton will win but would not be surprised if Palace nick the win either.

What I am certain of is that both sides will score at least once and that makes over 2.5 goals a high possibility and the odds make that the value pick for this game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A tricky game this, Preston have been good on the road recently and are unbeaten in their last seven away games, they have beaten teams above and below them in the standings and come into this game full of confidence.

Brentford may have lost their last home game but they have lost just twice in their own backyard all season and will not be overcome easily.

Very difficult to pick a winner and an analysis of both these teams recent form points to goals in this game.

I see both sides scoring and would not be surprised if we end up with a 2-2 draw or something similar, in better words I expect both sides to score and at least one of them to score at least twice, if not both.

Over 2.5

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two sides in decent form but it is Derby I see emerging as the winners.

Norwich have been scrapping away wins recently but they are up against the team second in the league and I expect they will face a tough game today just to get the draw.

Derby has won four of their last six home games and are desperate to get momentum going so that they can remain in the second automatic promotion spot.

All things considered, I am going with Deby to scrape out the win.

Derby -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both sides have come back from the winter break in decent form, however, Frankfurt have home advantage and against the team at the bottom of the Bundesliga they should be winning this game and I fully expect them to do so.

Frankfurt -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Early morning pick and it is a huge one.

This is a top London derby between two very good teams, however, it is Tottenham that has the advantage and not just because they are playing at home.

Tottenham is in far better form than Arsenal, they come into this game on the back of two very good results, a win over Man Utd and a draw at Liverpool and confidence is very high.

Arsenal did bounce back to winning form but they are not as good as Tottenham these days and they are still bedding in new players.

Tottenham -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game for both sides but it is Monaco I am backing to win.

Both teams are in great form but Lyon did lose their last game away at Bordeaux and Monaco do have home advantage and that is critical for me.

Lyon is strong away there is no hiding that fact but Monaco are formidable at home and only PSG have beaten them on their home turf.

This game will be great to watch but the edge has to be with Monaco.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have watched Charleroi recently and they are nowhere near as good as they were earlier in the season, they greatly disappointed me against both Eupen and Antwerp and neither of those sides is in the same class as Brugge.

Brugge beat Charleroi in the Belgium cup 5-1 just a couple of weeks back and while the league leaders have suffered two shocking defeats in their last 2 games they are now back at home and I expect them to bounce back to winning form and to win this game by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game could go either way, both these sides are in great form and both have registered wins against fellow top sides, however, Tottenham does struggle against top 6 sides on the road but let's not forget the beating that they handed Liverpool earlier in the season.

If I had to pick a winner it would be Liverpool but Tottenham winning would not be a huge surprise either.

What I am confident in is that we will see goals, these two teams score at will when they are in the mood and they are both certainly in the mood at the moment.

Everything points to a goal feast and I am happy to go over 3 goals.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Palace has a great opportunity here to grab 3 points from fellow relegation fighters Newcastle United.

Palace have the better overall form recently and have been playing rather well at home losing just the once in their last 9 home Premier League games and that was 3-2 against Arsenal, they have beaten Chelsea and held Man City and it is going to be their home form that will be critical to their survival.

Newcastle have had 2 wins on the road recently but overall this season have been poor when travelling, they have had a hard run recently against top teams but before that, they were losing to mediocre sides and I see them struggling to get anything from this game today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Arsenal are at home and are favourites but recent results do not justify that clear favouritism, they have been playing very poorly and even though they bought well in the transfer window they did not buy were it was most needed, which is in defence.

Everton is getting better and in former Arsenal forward Theo Walcott they have a player that has hit the ground running and will be looking to get one over his old team.

Arsenal should win but I cannot see them winning easily and it would be a mistake to underestimate Everton.

Everton +1.5 is the value pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

There has been a mini-turnaround at Swansea with some very impressive results recently and while they are still very much in trouble confidence has grown and they look like a team that has finally found some belief.

Leicester have been plodding along nicely but they have some internal issues now and will obviously be without Mahrez today, which is significant.

The Foxes do have home advantage but I have more confidence in Swansea not losing than Leicester winning and so backing the Swans on the spread is the safest option.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Bournemouth is in excellent form right now, they are unbeaten in their last 6 Premier League games and have beaten both Arsenal and Chelsea in that run and that win over Chelsea is as good as it gets, winning 3-0 at Chelsea.

Stoke City are very one dimensional and they are poor on the road, they have 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 5 away games and I cannot see them improving on that today.

Take Bournemouth to win.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Derby County looks good to get a home win over Brentford today.

Derby are second in the table and they know they must do well at home if they are to maintain that position, they have drawn their last 2 home games and won 3 prior to that, they are strong at home and confidence will be high that they will get all 3 points today.

Brentford does present a danger but they are very inconsistent, especially on the road and their 11th position in the table shows that inconsistency.

If Derby play to form they will win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Leeds are in poor form right now, they blow hot and cold and that is undermining their season, they can easily go on an unbeaten run but as is the case now they can just as easily go on a winless run.

But Leeds do have home advantage and they will look to get back to winning ways in front of their home fans but they remain vulnerable and Cardiff will be confident that they can get something from this game despite being the away side.

I see an open game with Leeds going for the win and Cardiff being just as attack mined, which all leads to a high chance of goals and over 2.5 goals looks a solid pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Aberdeen looks good for the win today and should have enough about them to score at least a couple of times, possibly even more.

Hamilton will not be walkovers though, I do expect them to lose but they are more than capable of finding the back of the net.

The value is going with over 2.5 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A massive game between two bitter rivals and when Marseille play top teams at home they play well, however, Monaco is getting better since the dismantling of their team from last season.

Marseille is formidable at home but this Monaco side is far better now than they were earlier in the season and I am convinced they will put up a strong performance today.

Monaco may not win but I am confident that they will not lose either.

Take Monaco +0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with over 2.5 goals in this Dutch match.

7 of the last 9 Excelsior games have been over 2.5 goals and while Roda does not have the same sort of record they do play in a good percentage of games that go over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 goals is the clear value pick

Stake - 3pts